August 2009

Cadence Design Systems Appoints John Bruggeman as Chief Marketing Officer

August 27, 2009

Former Wind River Marketing Executive to Lead Worldwide Marketing Organization

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IATA: In the Red, despite demand improvements

August 27, 2009

IATA: In the Red, despite demand improvements

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MBS/Vox Hires Two

August 27, 2009

PARSIPPANY, NJ–(Marketwire – August 27, 2009) – MBS/Vox, the research-based consultancy unit of CommonHealth specializing in the linguistic analysis of healthcare communication, today announced two new hires. CommonHealth ( www.commonhealth.com ) is the world’s leading healthcare-communications network and a WPP ( NASDAQ : WPPGY ) ( www.wpp.com ) company. New Hires

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IPREX Expands Further in Asia Pacific as Wilkinson PR Joins

August 27, 2009

IPREX Expands Further in Asia Pacific as Wilkinson PR Joins

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Health-Care Overhaul Backers Seek Momentum by Citing Kennedy’s Commitment

August 27, 2009

By James Rowley Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Democrats are invoking the late Senator Edward M. Kennedy ’s commitment to universal health-care coverage in seeking regain political momentum to pass a U.S. health overhaul plan by the end of the year. “ Ted Kennedy ’s dream of quality health care for all Americans will be made real this year because of his leadership and his inspiration,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California said in a statement after the death of the Massachusetts Democrat . Maryland Representative Chris Van Hollen , chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, recalled in a statement that Kennedy called health-care legislation the fight of his life when he spoke to the Democratic National Convention in Denver a year ago. Kennedy, a Massachusetts Democrat who served 47 years in the Senate, died Aug. 25 of brain cancer. “Today we pick up the torch and recommit ourselves to health-insurance reform,” said Van Hollen. He said Democrats won’t use Kennedy’s death to politicize the health-care debate, though he hopes lawmakers “will reflect on his work” and “focus on getting the job done.” Congress missed President Barack Obama ’s deadline for the House and Senate to pass their health-care measures before lawmakers’ August recess. Lawmakers’ work has been complicated by cost concerns and polls that show declining support for health-care proposals. During the break some members were confronted by noisy opponents of overhaul plans at town-hall meetings. ‘Resonance’ of Speeches Former Democratic President Jimmy Carter told CNN that Kennedy’s commitment to universal health coverage and the “resonance of his speeches” will be remembered by lawmakers so “that we can still have a comprehensive health program passed this year.” It’s more likely that Congress will scale back an overhaul plan that Democrats will advertise as “the next installment of health-care reform,” said Ira Loss , a senior health analyst at Washington Analysis, a Washington-based company that examines the effects of public policy decisions. House Democratic leaders are working to combine proposals passed by three committees last month. In the Senate, a bipartisan group of six senators is trying to craft a compromise that would win Republican support. Kennedy’s death denies Democrats the 60th vote they would need to overcome a Republican filibuster seeking to kill a measure through endless debate. Under Massachusetts law the vacancy can’t be filled for almost five months, though Governor Deval Patrick wants to change the law to allow an interim senator. ‘Civil Tones’ Connecticut Senator Christopher Dodd , a Democrat who shepherded a health-reform measure through Kennedy’s Health, Education, Labor and Pension Committee , said he hoped his colleague’s death “would remind people to calm down” and debate “in more civil tones about what needs to be done, because that’s what Teddy would do.” Dodd, 65, who faces a tough re-election fight next year, said he hasn’t decided whether to give up his chairmanship of the Banking Committee and succeed Kennedy as chairman of the health committee. Kennedy was praised by Democrats and Republicans alike for his ability to bridge partisan differences. Yet Dodd told reporters in East Haddam, Connecticut, he didn’t know whether Kennedy’s death would inspire Congress to put aside political conflict to pass the legislation. ‘Not Enough’ Julius Hobson , a senior health policy analyst at the Washington law firm Bryan Cave LLP, predicted Kennedy’s death won’t spur Congress to act because an “emotional concern is not enough to drive members by itself.” Such a push “also has to come from the grassroots,” he said. Former House Republican Leader Dick Armey , whose organization FreedomWorks has helped mobilize opponents of health-care legislation during the August recess, said on Fox Business News the dynamics of the debate won’t be changed by Kennedy’s death. Lawmakers “don’t have the sense of collegiality in Congress that they once had,” Armey said. “They just don’t have the reach across the aisle” so “I don’t think the passing of Senator Kennedy will inspire a great deal of that.” Another group that has mobilized town-hall protesters, Conservatives for Patients’ Rights , said it was suspending its advertising campaign out of respect for Kennedy’s family. ‘Time for Respect’ “We look forward to engaging in the debate, but now is a time for respect, reflection and remembrance,” the group’s chairman, Rick Scott, said in the statement. Utah Republican Orrin Hatch , who worked with Kennedy to craft many health-care measures, told CNN that if his former colleague hadn’t been dying of brain cancer, the two of them “would have worked this out on a bipartisan basis.” Hatch voiced a willingness, as a tribute to Kennedy’s memory, to rejoin bipartisan Senate talks that he had abandoned. “But it has got to be something that’s good,” he said, adding that the legislation cannot be “just some partisan hack job.” Massachusetts law requires Kennedy’s seat to be filled in a special election that won’t be held for at least 145 days. Patrick, a Democrat, said he wants the Democratic-controlled state legislature to allow appointment of an interim senator to serve until the election. The current law was passed in 2004 to prevent the state’s Republican governor at the time, Mitt Romney , from appointing a successor if Democratic Senator John Kerry won the presidential election that year. To contact the reporter on this story: James Rowley in Washington at jarowley@bloomberg.net

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Health-Care Overhaul Backers Seek Momentum by Citing Kennedy’s Commitment

August 27, 2009

By James Rowley Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Democrats are invoking the late Senator Edward M. Kennedy ’s commitment to universal health-care coverage in seeking regain political momentum to pass a U.S. health overhaul plan by the end of the year. “ Ted Kennedy ’s dream of quality health care for all Americans will be made real this year because of his leadership and his inspiration,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California said in a statement after the death of the Massachusetts Democrat . Maryland Representative Chris Van Hollen , chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, recalled in a statement that Kennedy called health-care legislation the fight of his life when he spoke to the Democratic National Convention in Denver a year ago. Kennedy, a Massachusetts Democrat who served 47 years in the Senate, died Aug. 25 of brain cancer. “Today we pick up the torch and recommit ourselves to health-insurance reform,” said Van Hollen. He said Democrats won’t use Kennedy’s death to politicize the health-care debate, though he hopes lawmakers “will reflect on his work” and “focus on getting the job done.” Congress missed President Barack Obama ’s deadline for the House and Senate to pass their health-care measures before lawmakers’ August recess. Lawmakers’ work has been complicated by cost concerns and polls that show declining support for health-care proposals. During the break some members were confronted by noisy opponents of overhaul plans at town-hall meetings. ‘Resonance’ of Speeches Former Democratic President Jimmy Carter told CNN that Kennedy’s commitment to universal health coverage and the “resonance of his speeches” will be remembered by lawmakers so “that we can still have a comprehensive health program passed this year.” It’s more likely that Congress will scale back an overhaul plan that Democrats will advertise as “the next installment of health-care reform,” said Ira Loss , a senior health analyst at Washington Analysis, a Washington-based company that examines the effects of public policy decisions. House Democratic leaders are working to combine proposals passed by three committees last month. In the Senate, a bipartisan group of six senators is trying to craft a compromise that would win Republican support. Kennedy’s death denies Democrats the 60th vote they would need to overcome a Republican filibuster seeking to kill a measure through endless debate. Under Massachusetts law the vacancy can’t be filled for almost five months, though Governor Deval Patrick wants to change the law to allow an interim senator. ‘Civil Tones’ Connecticut Senator Christopher Dodd , a Democrat who shepherded a health-reform measure through Kennedy’s Health, Education, Labor and Pension Committee , said he hoped his colleague’s death “would remind people to calm down” and debate “in more civil tones about what needs to be done, because that’s what Teddy would do.” Dodd, 65, who faces a tough re-election fight next year, said he hasn’t decided whether to give up his chairmanship of the Banking Committee and succeed Kennedy as chairman of the health committee. Kennedy was praised by Democrats and Republicans alike for his ability to bridge partisan differences. Yet Dodd told reporters in East Haddam, Connecticut, he didn’t know whether Kennedy’s death would inspire Congress to put aside political conflict to pass the legislation. ‘Not Enough’ Julius Hobson , a senior health policy analyst at the Washington law firm Bryan Cave LLP, predicted Kennedy’s death won’t spur Congress to act because an “emotional concern is not enough to drive members by itself.” Such a push “also has to come from the grassroots,” he said. Former House Republican Leader Dick Armey , whose organization FreedomWorks has helped mobilize opponents of health-care legislation during the August recess, said on Fox Business News the dynamics of the debate won’t be changed by Kennedy’s death. Lawmakers “don’t have the sense of collegiality in Congress that they once had,” Armey said. “They just don’t have the reach across the aisle” so “I don’t think the passing of Senator Kennedy will inspire a great deal of that.” Another group that has mobilized town-hall protesters, Conservatives for Patients’ Rights , said it was suspending its advertising campaign out of respect for Kennedy’s family. ‘Time for Respect’ “We look forward to engaging in the debate, but now is a time for respect, reflection and remembrance,” the group’s chairman, Rick Scott, said in the statement. Utah Republican Orrin Hatch , who worked with Kennedy to craft many health-care measures, told CNN that if his former colleague hadn’t been dying of brain cancer, the two of them “would have worked this out on a bipartisan basis.” Hatch voiced a willingness, as a tribute to Kennedy’s memory, to rejoin bipartisan Senate talks that he had abandoned. “But it has got to be something that’s good,” he said, adding that the legislation cannot be “just some partisan hack job.” Massachusetts law requires Kennedy’s seat to be filled in a special election that won’t be held for at least 145 days. Patrick, a Democrat, said he wants the Democratic-controlled state legislature to allow appointment of an interim senator to serve until the election. The current law was passed in 2004 to prevent the state’s Republican governor at the time, Mitt Romney , from appointing a successor if Democratic Senator John Kerry won the presidential election that year. To contact the reporter on this story: James Rowley in Washington at jarowley@bloomberg.net

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Fight Likely for Kennedy’s Seat in U.S. Senate With No Obvious Successor

August 27, 2009

By Heidi Przybyla Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Edward M. Kennedy ’s death will likely set off a fight in Massachusetts for his U.S. Senate seat, with no obvious successor for a spot held by his family for almost all of the last 57 years. The contest for a prized Senate seat is complicated by Kennedy’s longtime dominance of state politics as well as uncertainty over the procedure for replacing him. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick said yesterday he wants a change in state law to let him appoint an interim senator to serve until the state can hold a special election. Massachusetts Democrats, not wanting to let a Republican governor appoint a senator, changed the law in 2004 to require a special election within 145 to 160 days of a vacancy. Before he died, Kennedy sent a letter asking that the law be amended to allow for an interim officeholder. At least eight political figures in the state may emerge as realistic candidates for the seat. They include House lawmakers Stephen Lynch , Michael Capuano , Edward Markey , James McGovern and William Delahunt , state Attorney General Martha Coakley and former Representative Martin Meehan , all Democrats. Republicans including former lieutenant Kerry Healey could also contend. The special election is likely to increase the number of competitors and create a political “domino” that could reach the precinct level of the Bay State, said Fred Bayles , director of Boston University ’s statehouse program. “Everything’s going to fall down because everyone will start moving around either jockeying for his seat or for the other positions that could open up,” Bayles said. Patrick Backs Change Kennedy, 77, who died Aug. 25 of brain cancer, was first elected to the Senate in November 1962. His brother, the late President John F. Kennedy , held the seat from 1953 to December 1960. Patrick, a Democrat, said in an interview on Boston radio station WBUR yesterday that “the senator’s request to appoint someone to serve for the five months until a special election was entirely reasonable.” “Particularly now, when you think about the momentous change legislation that is pending in the Congress today, Massachusetts needs two voices,” the governor said. Massachusetts House Speaker Robert DeLeo and state Senate President Therese Murray , both Democrats, said a hearing on changing the law likely will be moved up from October to September, the New York Times reported. 60-Vote Majority A Democratic appointee would help keep the party’s 60-vote majority needed to maintain support for health-care legislation. Passage of a health-care bill was a Kennedy goal throughout his Senate career. Several veteran politicians have been mentioned as temporary replacements, including former Governor Michael Dukakis , who is traveling in Greece and didn’t immediately respond to an e-mail seeking his comment. Another issue is whether a member of the Kennedy family will try to claim the seat. The senator’s wife, Victoria, has told friends she doesn’t want it, the Boston Globe reported . Other relatives, including Kennedy’s nephew Joseph P. Kennedy , a former congressman, haven’t indicated their intentions. Massachusetts lawmakers in the House such as Barney Frank , 69, who heads the Financial Services Committee, and Edward Markey , 63, who heads the Subcommittee on Energy and the Environment, would have to give up their chairmanships to become a freshman senator. Wars to Health Care During his Senate career, Kennedy helped shape the national discourse on everything from wars to health care and led the transformation of Massachusetts to one of the most Democratic states in the country. In Massachusetts, 92 percent of state legislators are Democrats, and the congressional delegation is Democratic, as are all statewide officials except the treasurer, who has no party affiliation. At the heart of the race to succeed Kennedy is the state law requiring a special election. When John Kerry , then the junior senator from Massachusetts, was running for president in 2004, the governor was Mitt Romney , 62, a Republican. The law at the time empowered the governor to appoint a replacement. The Democrat-controlled legislature changed the law to require a special election to keep Romney from appointing a Republican. Then Kerry lost the election to incumbent President George W. Bush , 63. In his July 2 letter, Kennedy asked that Patrick choose an interim replacement who has made “an explicit personal commitment not to become a candidate in the special election.” Free-For-All A special election allows a political free-for-all because any House member who runs can avoid a conflict with the next official congressional election in 2010. Massachusetts also may lose a House seat during the next census. “All of them could run without risking their current spots,” said Democratic Party Chairman John Walsh . Massachusetts law prohibits state election funds being used for federal campaigns, giving the congressmen an upper hand over potential candidates such as Coakley. Still, Coakley has other advantages, said Tufts University political scientist Jeffrey Berry . “She hits the trifecta,” he said. “She has high name recognition, proven fundraising abilities and high favorables.” Republicans haven’t elected a U.S. senator in the state since 1972, when incumbent Edward Brooke won. To contact the reporter on this story: Heidi Przybyla in Washington at hhprzybyla@bloomberg.net

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Ford Seeks More Europe `Clunkers’ Cash to Shun Sales Decline, Fleming Says

August 27, 2009

By Chris Reiter Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Ford Motor Co. is lobbying European governments to extend consumer sales incentives to avoid a new market collapse when the programs end, according to the U.S. automaker’s top executive in the region. Ford and the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association trade group are “asking governments if they would be prepared to maintain scrappage or at the minimum do a slow phase-out,” John Fleming , Ford of Europe’s chief executive officer, said yesterday in an interview at the division’s headquarters in Cologne, Germany. European car sales rose in June for the first time in 14 months after governments offered incentives to help lift the industry out of its worst crisis since World War II. Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford estimates that Germany’s 5 billion-euro ($7.1 billion) scrapping program, one of Europe’s most successful, will run out of money next month. The end of support for drivers to trade in old cars for new models “is going to take us back down to much lower numbers,” because the economy probably hasn’t sufficiently recovered, Fleming said. Next year will probably be “difficult,” he added. The U.S. government’s “cash for clunkers” trade-in program, which offered discounts of as much as $4,500, produced almost 700,000 automobile sales, the Transportation Department said yesterday. The initiative helped restore demand for the slumping auto industry, prompting Ford, General Motors Co. and Chrysler Group LLC to boost production plans in the second half of this year. Operating Profit Ford posted a second-quarter operating profit of $138 million in Europe, compared with a $550 million loss in the first quarter, as it slashed vehicle inventories by 30 percent. The automaker, which has renewed its entire lineup since 2006, increased market share in the first half to 8.9 percent from 8.4 percent, making it the second-largest brand in the region after Volkswagen AG , according to data compiled by Brussels- based ACEA. Ford has reduced production by about 25 percent by cutting about 3,000 temporary employees, canceling shifts and decreasing work hours. If the market continues to fall, it may be more difficult for the company to react, Fleming said. “We probably don’t have as much flexibility as we had,” he said. “If we need to take another significant step, it will have a more dramatic effect on people.” Ford is reluctant to reduce the workforce, Fleming said, because the carmaker doesn’t want to impair its ability to respond to a recovery. Volvo Sale “At some point, this industry will come back,” said Fleming. “What we’re not sure of exactly is when.” Ford, which put its Volvo Cars unit up for sale in December, has no plan to keep a stake in the division and is aiming to sell the Swedish automaker by the end of the year, the executive said. Maintaining a holding in Volvo is “just not something that’s even being considered,” Fleming said. Ford has been unwinding integration with Volvo for more than a year and is in talks with “a number of parties” about a sale, he said, declining to identify them. Ford is seeking about $2 billion for Gothenburg, Sweden-based Volvo, less than a third of what it paid a decade ago, people with knowledge of the sale said in May. Chinese automakers Geely Holding Group Co. and Beijing Automotive Industry Holding Co. are among possible bidders, people familiar with the talks have said. The slump in global auto markets “isn’t putting pressure on us from a timing perspective,” said Fleming. “We’re looking to close it in the last quarter of this year, but that’s very loose.” Saab, Opel Volvo’s European auto sales fell 14 percent in June from a year earlier, resulting in a market share in Europe of 1.4 percent, according to ACEA. In the U.S., Volvo had 0.6 percent of the auto market in July. General Motors is also divesting divisions in Europe. The automaker has agreed to sell Saab Automobile to Koenigsegg Automotive AB, the Swedish maker of $1.2 million sports cars, and is considering bids for Opel including an offer that would have GM retain 35 percent ownership. To contact the reporter on this story: Chris Reiter in Cologne, Germany at creiter2@bloomberg.net .

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BMW-Riding Finance-Minister-in-Waiting Says Merkel Must Back Tax Overhaul

August 27, 2009

By Leon Mangasarian and Tony Czuczka Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — The man who may become Germany’s finance minister after next month’s elections, Hermann Otto Solms , says tax and spending cuts are needed to lift the nation out of its worst economic crisis since World War II. “We believe that tax reductions are good for growth and employment and if you have more employees you have more taxpayers,” Solms said in an interview on Aug. 25 in his Berlin office overlooking the 19th century Reichstag building that houses parliament . A “big tax reform” is a non-negotiable demand for potential coalition talks after the Sept. 27 vote. Solms, 68, a vice-president of Germany’s parliament who rides a BMW motorcycle, wants to guide his Free Democratic Party back to power after 11 years in opposition. Chancellor Angela Merkel says she wants to dump her current Social Democratic coalition partner and govern with the FDP. Polls since December have given the two allies a combined 50 percent or more, enough to form a government. If replicated on election day, Solms, the FDP’s finance policy spokesman, is a leading candidate to replace Social Democratic Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck , a persistent critic of what he terms the “Anglo-American” financial model. “Solms will be the next finance minister,” said Friedrich Thelen , former parliamentary editor of the business magazine Wirtschaftswoche and founder of Thelen-Consult , a Berlin-based business advisory group. “There’s nobody else.” Record Borrowing If he gains office, Solms will inherit falling tax revenue and borrowing forecast to surge to a postwar record. The budget posted a 17.3 billion-euro ($24.7 billion) deficit in the first half of this year as the government boosted subsidies for companies to keep workers on the payroll during the crisis, the Federal Statistics Office said Aug. 25. The budget was close to balanced in 2008. Solms’s party leader, Guido Westerwelle , criticized the government’s first stimulus package, worth 50 billion euros, as the “most expensive election campaign in German history.” While Solms said he didn’t want to talk about Cabinet posts before the vote, he said he has no illusions about how difficult it will be for Germany’s next finance minister to reassert budget discipline. “In the finance ministry you are responsible for everything,” Solms said. “Finance ministers are never loved. Yet just like an executive who takes over a company in a crisis one has a chance to really improve things.” Kohl, Brandt The FDP last served in government under Christian Democrat Chancellor Helmut Kohl from 1982 to 1998. From 1969 to 1982, the party was junior partner in the governments of Social Democratic Chancellors Willy Brandt and Helmut Schmidt . If the FDP doesn’t win enough votes in four weeks to rule with Merkel, Solms said he’ll recommend the party stay in opposition rather than seek an alliance with the Social Democrats. The FDP’s platform calls for simplified, lower income tax rates between 10 percent and 35 percent. Germany’s top income tax bracket is currently 45 percent and the lowest is 14 percent. The CDU wants to drop the lowest bracket to 12 percent and raise the threshold for the 45 percent rate to 60,000 euros from 52,000 euros. The FDP also wants to revamp inheritance tax on family businesses, which Solms said “is driving lots of business people abroad.” While praising what he called Merkel’s swift reaction to the global financial crisis last year, Solms said Merkel’s bad- bank law was problematic because “no bank will take advantage of it unless they’re on the brink of insolvency.” He also condemned Merkel’s moves on bank supervision, saying “here, nothing has happened.” Aristocratic Title An aristocrat from Hesse in central Germany , Solms’s full name is Hermann Otto Prince zu Solms-Hohensolms-Lich. He said he decided to drop the title “because I am a convinced democrat and people should be measured by their achievements and not by their origins.” Solms never knew his father, a Luftwaffe fighter pilot, who was killed during World War II shortly before his birth. He said among his earliest memories as a 4-year-old boy was the arrival of American troops in March 1945. “I have this image of the Americans rolling into our village with their tanks,” he said. “It was a feeling of relief.” Solms studied agricultural economics in the U.S. from 1969- 1970 at Kansas State University in Manhattan, Kansas. “Naturally, one gets to know the American soul better in the Midwest rather than in New York,” Solms said. “That’s why I still think I can understand Americans better.” Thelen said Solms’s almost 30 years in parliament means he knows how to navigate the pressures faced by the man responsible for the nation’s finances. “They’ll need someone as a power-broker and Solms will do it,” Thelen said. To contact the reporters on this story: Leon Mangasarian in Berlin at lmangasarian@bloomberg.net ; Tony Czuczka in Berlin at aczuczka@bloomberg.net

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GM Does No Wrong as No. 1 in China With Minivans Selling Better than Buick

August 27, 2009

By Bloomberg News Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — When Beijing deliveryman Han Yanmin replaced his motorcycle with a low-cost minivan, he rejected Chinese automakers and opted for General Motors Co. “GM technology makes it very reliable,” Han, 32, said while waiting to unload his nine-month-old Wuling Sunshine at a city vegetable market. “All the folks in my village have bought Wulings.” Detroit-based GM, majority-owned by the U.S. government after emerging from bankruptcy, has boosted auto sales in China 43 percent this year, helped by state subsidies and prices starting at 25,800 yuan ($3,800). That’s less than 20 percent the cost of a Chevrolet Silverado pickup, GM’s best-selling model in the U.S. The company, maker of about one in every two minivans sold in China, has started exporting the 1-liter-engine vehicles to other emerging markets. “You can make money out of minivans — if you sell enough of them,” said Klaus Paur , a Shanghai-based director at market research company TNS China. In China, minivans are “selling really, really well this year.” GM expects to sell more than 800,000 minivans in China this year, a six-fold increase from 2003, the first full year of production for SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile Co. The carmaker opened the venture, based in the southwestern city of Liuzhou, after seeing a market for cheap, multipurpose vehicles, GM China President Kevin Wale said. “In China, people use cars for small business and at the same time for family transportation,” he said. “In the U.S., they are generally into comfort and rarely buy a passenger car with a commercial utilization.” No U.S. Demand GM no longer makes minivans in the U.S., focusing instead on crossover and sport-utility vehicles. Minivans account for about 4 percent of vehicle sales in the U.S. this year, according to Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey-based Autodata Corp. Sport utility vehicles make up 28 percent. The automaker couldn’t sell Wulings in the U.S. or Europe without significant upgrades to meet safety and emissions standards, said John Zeng , a Shanghai-based analyst at IHS Global Insight. GM China said it hasn’t put one through a U.S. safety test. Some models have air bags. The Wuling Sunshine , the best-selling minivan in China, has a wheelbase of 2.5 meters (98 inches). That’s 50 centimeters (20 inches) shorter than the $26,805 Honda Motor Co. Odyssey , the most popular in the U.S. The 2010 Odyssey gets 17 miles to the gallon in city driving. The Sunshine gets 47 mpg, Wuling said. “It’s awesome,” Lu Zongbo, 28, a Beijing vegetable seller, said of his Sunshine. “It never lets me down.” Dominant Grip Wuling’s three plants can make a total of 900,000 vehicles a year. Its 48 percent share of the Chinese minivan market is double that of its nearest rival, Sichuan province-based Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. That domination keeps Ford Motor Co. , which makes sedans with Changan, and Volkswagen AG , the largest overseas carmaker in China, out of the nation’s fastest-growing auto segment. Minivan sales jumped 60 percent in the first seven months to 1.09 million, almost double the growth rate for the overall passenger-vehicle market, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. Total vehicle sales, including trucks and buses, rose 23 percent as China surpassed the U.S. to become the world’s biggest auto market. GM’s total U.S. sales have fallen 38 percent through July. “It’s not that other foreign automakers don’t want to sell minivans, they just can’t,” said Yale Zhang , Shanghai-based director of auto-advisory company CSM Asia. “There’s simply no point pursuing it because the volumes and the economies of scale would be too small.” Low Margins Minivans likely have margins as low as 1,000 yuan ($150) each, Zeng said. GM shares Wuling’s profit because it only owns 34 percent. Shanghai government-controlled SAIC Motor Corp. , China’s biggest domestic automaker, holds 50.1 percent, and Liuzhou Wuling Motors Co., based in southern China’s Guangxi region, owns the rest. GM makes “reasonable returns” from minivans, Wale said without elaborating. The carmaker would be “happy” to own more of Wuling if either partner wanted to sell, yet no talks are under way, he said. Overseas carmakers can operate plants in China only through ventures with local companies. Earlier this month, GM also started shipping Wuling minivans to South America, the Middle East and North Africa, where it will sell them as Chevrolets. The automaker is looking for new overseas markets after first-half sales in North America fell about 40 percent, forcing its predecessor to shutter businesses and enter bankruptcy. Buick Sales The carmaker, which sold its first vehicle in China in the 1920s, also builds passenger cars in the country through Shanghai General Motors Co. That venture, equally owned with SAIC Motor, boosted sales 26 percent in the first seven months to 345,332, led by demand for the Buick Excelle, the nation’s No. 2 selling passenger car. Hyundai Motor Co. ’s Elantra Yuedong tops the rankings, with Volkswagen ’s Jetta in third. GM’s Asia-Pacific sales increased 22 percent in the first half , the only region to show an increase. All of its operations outside of North America are run from Shanghai by Nick Reilly , who was promoted from Asia-Pacific chief on Aug. 1. “GM has been very smart in developing markets,” said Michael Dunne , Shanghai-based managing director of J.D. Power & Associates China. “Global automakers have been fearful of what Chinese automakers can do when it comes to building small cars at a low price, but GM’s got out in front of this.” Back in Beijing’s vegetable market, Han said he liked his minivan for its dependability and big back door, which makes it easy to load. The chance to shelter from the city’s chilly weather is also a plus, he added. “It was so cold riding a motorcycle,” he said. “It’s nothing like that in my van.” For Related News and Information: Top transportation stories: TOP TRN China auto news: TNI CHINA AUT China auto sales: CNVSPSGR HCP M News on GM: 3341199Z US CN BN U.S. auto industry: TNI USAUT Autos and U.S. economy: TNI AUT USECO U.S. auto bailout: STNI AUTOBAILOUT U.S. auto sales graph: SAARTOTL GP GM’s debt distribution: 3341199Z US NDDS

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Soho House Plans `Urban’ Pizza Buzz, Lawyers Make Yogurt: Richard Vines

August 27, 2009

By Richard Vines Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Soho House Group plans to open a pizzeria on Oct. 15 on the ground floor of the Tea Building, a stone’s throw from Shoreditch House in East London. “Pizza East will offer gourmet cuisine in a relaxed and urban environment,” according to a job advertisement on Caterer.com . No, I have no idea what that means. “The atmosphere will be buzzing and cosmopolitan with a strong emphasis on quality service.” Well, that’s all right then. Soho House , whose clubs are hangouts for the cool and those who want to be, has also taken over the Hoxton Grill, in the nearby Hoxton hotel . The eatery was confusing when it opened in 2006, promising Parisian chic with a New York vibe. The new owners say they’ve turned it into a classic American grill. The hotel’s official name? The Hoxton Urban Lodge. Respect. “When Lehman Brothers collapsed, we were all privately crying in our offices,” the chef Richard Corrigan told me in February. Looks like the tears have been replaced by action. Corrigan is among the London culinary masters who are giving cooking lessons to eager amateurs. At Corrigan’s Mayfair, you prepare lunch with the chef and his right-hand man Chris McGowan, then eat with them. The sessions cost 250 pounds ($412) and are scheduled for Sept. 5, Nov. 28 and Feb. 6. Details on the Web site: http://www.corrigansmayfair.com/pages/home/ . Tom Aikens is offering similar food and wine classes at his eponymous Chelsea restaurant. Food alone is 120 pounds; wine alone is 60 pounds; combined, the cost is 165 pounds. Dates include Sept. 19, Oct. 17, Nov. 14 and Dec. 12. For more, e-mail info@tomaikens.co.uk or call +44-20-7584-2003. Restaurant Gordon Ramsay offers a package for couples, with one person taking a class with chef Clare Smyth and then both enjoying lunch. The cost might give you indigestion. It’s 600 pounds. For more information, go to http://www.gordonramsay.com/royalhospitalroad/masterclasses/ . Other chefs offering classes include Ichiro Kubota of Umu. The price is 140 pounds. Call +44-20-7499-8881. It’s the same price with Antonin Bonnet at the Greenhouse. Call Jean-Marie Miorada on +44-20-7499-3331 or e-mail reservations@greenhouserestaurant.co.uk . Walk through London’s Marylebone and you may notice a new Italian eatery that is opening with little publicity. Cocorino will sell ice creams and snacks. The focacceria has soup, stuffed focaccia, ciabatta, sourdough, thin Italian wraps (piadina) and hot panini. The gelateria is still testing the more than 20 ice creams and sorbets to be made on the premises. The people behind Cocorino are Linda Yau (sister of Hakkasan founder Alan Yau) and the chef Francesco Mazzei. The address is 18, Thayer Street, W1U 3JY and the phone number will be +44-20- 7935-0810 or you might try http://www.cocorino.co.uk/html/cocorino.html . Lower East Side, a new bistro and bar at Westferry Circus, Canary Wharf, has opened with an offer of 50 percent off the food bill. At least, the restaurant said food is half-price until Sept. 20 and the public relations company said that’s only for some local companies. The venue will start opening early for breakfast on Sept. 1. For information, call +44-20-7536-2862 or click http://www.lowereast.co.uk/index.html . Try not to get confused with the East Side Inn. What’s with all these New York names? I had lunch on Sunday with Hrishikesh Desai, the winner of this year’s Roux Scholarship , the annual U.K. competition for young chefs, on which I was guest judge. We ate at the Ledbury, where Brett Graham’s cooking is much admired by fellow chefs. Desai works at Lucknam Park , in the west of England. Desai, whose family lives in Chinchwad, near Pune in India, is quietly spoken and very focused. He’s a chef to watch in the years to come. He’s 30 today. Looking for an offbeat place for drinks on the edge of the City? Callooh Callay is worth the trip to Shoreditch. The venue is inspired by Lewis Carroll , the director is Richard Wynne (former manager of Loungelover) and the decor is a fantastic jumble. You enter the bar area out back through a wardrobe. My favorite touch is the old gramophone (with a big speaker) in which the Mad Hatter’s Tiki Punch is served. It costs 30 pounds and should serve up to five. Or two thirsty people, I’d say. 65 Rivington Street, EC2A 3AY. For more information, call +44-20- 7739-4781 or go to http://www.calloohcallaybar.com/. Tickets are on sale for the Eat-Japan Sushi Awards 2009, in which masters compete to create unforgettable dishes. This year, the event will be held at Olympia on Nov. 14 in conjunction with “Masterchef Live.” For more information, click on http://www.eat-japan.com/sushi-awards-2009/index.html . Heinz Beck, 45, who holds three Michelin stars at La Pergola in Rome, will oversee Apsleys, at London’s Lanesborough hotel, early next month. The pithily named “Apsleys — a Heinz Beck Restaurant” will feature dishes such as rabbit ravioli with asparagus and pistachio; and black cod with chickpeas. Mains will start at 19 pounds and the set lunch will be 26 pounds. For information, call +44-20-7259-5599 or click on http://www.lanesborough.com/ . The press release says the Lanesborough is iconic, which must be a good thing. Fans of organic frozen yogurt, and I’m sure there are some of you out there, may be pleased to hear about a venue on Islington’s Camden Passage. “Frae is the brainchild of Scottish businessmen Donald Murray and Martyn Pollock, who traded in life as high-flying corporate lawyers in the City to open the organic frozen yogurt company,” the press release says. Both specialized in mergers and acquisitions — Murray at CMS Cameron McKenna LLP and Pollock at SJ Berwin LLP. Frae, 27 Camden Passage, Angel, N1 8EA or click on http://www.frae.co.uk/Frae_Organic_Frozen_Yogurt.html . The Mango Tree restaurant is holding its annual Lady Boy beauty contest on Sept. 13. Tickets are 15 pounds in advance, 18 pounds on the door. For information, call +44-20-7283 1888. ( Richard Vines is the chief food critic for Bloomberg News. Opinions expressed are his own.) To contact the writer on the story: Richard Vines in London at rvines@bloomberg.net .

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Milan Rate Swaps Under Criminal Investigation by Prosecutor Pursuing Bank

August 27, 2009

By Vernon Silver and Elisa Martinuzzi Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) –In June 2005, Milan’s city council voted to hire four banks to arrange Europe’s biggest-ever municipal bond sale at a fee of just 0.01 percent. That minuscule cost puzzled one councilman. “I had a hunch something was wrong,” says Basilio Rizzo, one of 14 politicians on the 60-member council who tried to change the deal after becoming suspicious of the banks’ motives. “Banks can’t do things for free.” Rizzo was onto something. Depfa Bank Plc, now a unit of Hypo Real Estate Holding AG; Deutsche Bank AG; JPMorgan Chase & Co. ; and UBS AG charged Milan 168,532 euros ($239,189) to find investors for 1.69 billion euros of bonds — the promised 0.01 percent. That wasn’t all. As part of the deal, the same four banks were hired by the city to advise it on how to use the new bonds to restructure its existing debt in a way that would cut costs. The banks had two pieces of advice for Milan: First, the city could save money by buying interest-rate swaps, which are derivatives designed to keep monthly payments low as rates change. Second, the institutions best prepared to sell them those swaps were none other than the banks themselves. The four banks thus play four roles — as underwriters, advisers, swap dealers and counterparties in the derivative contracts. Undisclosed Fees The group of banks wrote in a June 3, 2005, letter that the bond issue would save Milan about 55 million euros over the 30- year life of the bonds. The firms never said what their fees on the swaps would be, public records show. Today, Milan faces so-called mark-to-market losses of 231 million euros on its swaps, according to council member Davide Corritore. In all, the city’s losses include at least 101 million euros in hidden fees, according to Milan prosecutor Alfredo Robledo , who’s investigating the swap deals. The fees were buried because they were built into swap interest rates without any written explanation, the prosecutor says. That 101 million euro price tag for Milan’s dealings with the four banks was 599 times the original figure of 0.01 percent for selling bonds and providing advice. Without seeking competitive bids, the city agreed on June 16, 2005, to let the four banks sell them swap contracts. Neither the new swap rates nor the costs associated with them had been part of the original vote by the city council. Seeking Indictment Robledo said in July he would ask Milan judges to indict Depfa, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, UBS and 14 individuals, including two city officials, on fraud charges in connection with the swap deals. He said the banks were bound by U.K. securities rules because their London-based bankers managed the transaction, which was signed in London. The banks violated regulations by failing to inform Milan in writing that for the swap deal the city was no longer a customer, but a counterparty to the banks, Robledo said. Banks are required to shield customers from conflicts of interest and provide them with clear and fair information that isn’t misleading. The banks had agreed to abide by those rules. The soured Milan swap deals are part of a string of such transactions that have stung local authorities. The Italian Finance Ministry, through its Financial Police unit, is examining contracts worth 9.11 billion euros signed by 46 cities and regions, according to a June 10 report. Global Phenomenon The city of Turin, combined with the surrounding region of Piedmont, had a total of 2 billion euros of swap contracts outstanding. Turin and Piedmont had lost 214 million euros combined on their swaps, according to Italy’s state-owned RAI television network. Italy’s tales of swaps, losses and conflicts of interest are part of a global phenomenon in which local governments have signed contracts they had hoped would lower their debt payments. In many cases, taxpayers later discovered the swap deals held risks and expenses that their elected and appointed officials didn’t expect or understand and that banks hadn’t disclosed. In September 2008, JPMorgan closed its municipal derivatives unit in New York almost two years after the U.S. Justice Department began its largest-ever criminal investigation of public financing. Prosecutors sent letters to five JPMorgan bankers saying they were likely to be indicted. No charges have been filed, and JPMorgan declined to comment. Jefferson County, Alabama, the state’s most populous county, has been on the verge of bankruptcy for more than a year because $3 billion in swaps meant to lower its borrowing costs backfired and credit ratings for its bond insurers were lowered. More Losses Italian government bodies with swap contracts, from mountaintop towns to entire regions, have so far seen losses on paper of at least 1.93 billion euros, according to data from the Rome-based Bank of Italy. After suffering losses, some countries, including Poland and the U.K., have restricted municipalities from engaging in derivative transactions. In mid-2008, Italy temporarily banned public derivative contracts. “Municipalities and local governments around the world have target signs painted on them for bankers,” says Satyajit Das , a former derivative banker at Citigroup Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co. and author of “Traders, Guns & Money” (FT Press, 2006). “They’re generally not financially sophisticated, and they’re under pressure to raise money,” Das says. “And nobody in the derivative business is willing to actually be truthful.” Low Odds Cities and regions worldwide that have entered swap deals were bound to lose from the start, says Marcello Minenna. The head of quantitative analysis at Consob, Italy’s financial market regulator, Minenna holds a master’s degree in financial mathematics from New York’s Columbia University and a doctorate in applied math from Universita degli Studi di Brescia. He analyzed a typical municipal interest-rate-swap contract with terms that were representative of those issued around Italy in the past few years. He found the odds of a locality’s benefiting from such a deal on the day the contract was signed were 0.16 percent. Minenna, 37, showed how these likely day-one outcomes allow banks to build hidden fees into swap contracts and said banks could easily disclose them to clients. Banks included such hidden or implicit costs in swap contracts that Milan and other cities signed to switch fixed interest rates on loans to floating ones, Das says. Concealed Fees Banks that drafted the contracts were able to conceal the fees by calculating them into the new, variable yield . They also set limits on how high or low the rate could go, known as the cap and the floor. Interest-rate swaps require a municipality and bank to exchange payments as frequently as every month. Each participant in a swap contract is called a counterparty. Banks tell governments that swaps are intended to save the public money. The amounts that change hands are based on various global lending rates. Bankers set swap terms to their advantage without telling clients by using computer programs that project likely future rates that signal what the odds are of profiting from any combination of yields, floors and caps, Minenna says. “Even when interest rates change, the government entities don’t benefit from lower rates because of limits built into the contracts,” Minenna said at a June 12 presentation in Rome to Italian municipal administrators who’d gathered for a conference on derivatives. ‘Just Gets Worse’ “The local government’s position, in terms of the costs and the ability to renegotiate, just gets worse,” he said. To exit an unfavorable swap deal, a city has to pay its current liability from the contract to the bank. If a municipality sticks with the deal, it keeps paying predetermined rates that may be to its disadvantage. That’s the fix the Umbrian city of Polino, population 290, finds itself in. In 2005, it swapped an average fixed rate of 4.65 percent on its 547,367 euro loans for a variable rate that could go no lower than 4.3 percent and no higher than 7.16 percent. From the moment the hilltop town’s officials signed the contract, Polino was out 11,000 euros in an upfront fee that wasn’t disclosed in the agreement, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. When prevailing interest rates later decreased, the contract’s floor prevented the city from benefiting. The city has lost as much as 27,000 euros on the deal, which is the amount it would have to pay to cancel the contract. Stopped Payments For a city that size, that amount covers the cost of fixing and cleaning streets for a year. So the city decided not to pay the bank anything and await the outcome of the Milan dispute. Polino Mayor Ortenzio Matteucci says he agreed to the deal because other, bigger cities had entered into swap contracts. “I thought, ‘Can the Province of Terni and all the other municipalities bigger than us, such as Milan, all be wrong?’” says Matteucci, 59, a retired steelworker. The Milan case has led to a public swap showdown with hundreds of millions of euros at stake. The city sued the four banks in January, alleging they hid profits on the sales. And the Financial Police, acting on prosecutor Robledo’s behalf, seized 345 million euros in assets from the banks’ Italian accounts on April 27, pending resolution of the cases. Negotiated Return The banks have since negotiated the return of some of the assets after agreeing to a cash guarantee for an amount equal to each bank’s share of the 101 million euros in allegedly hidden profits from the swaps. Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank and Zurich-based UBS argued in civil court in Milan that the city was aware of fees charged on contracts for derivatives. “The city of Milan was a sophisticated counterparty which fully understood the nature of its transactions with JPMorgan,” bank spokesman David Wells says. “We are vigorously defending the legal proceedings brought by the city and are confident that the strength of our legal position will ultimately be demonstrated through the judicial process,” he says. “JPMorgan further considers that the JPMorgan employees involved in the transactions acted with the highest degree of professionalism and entirely appropriately.” Deutsche Bank says it did nothing wrong. “We believe that our case is compelling and will prevail,” the bank says. “We are also confident that our employees involved in the transactions acted with integrity.” Market Rate The fact that Milan already had derivatives meant the city was sophisticated in such transactions, a lawyer representing UBS says. Milan officials understood the four banks’ potential conflicts of interest, and the banks gave the city a market rate for the swaps, the lawyer says. Officials at Munich-based Hypo Real Estate and officials for the city of Milan declined to comment. Milan’s recent journey through the opaque world of interest-rate swaps began in January 2005, when bankers from JPMorgan sent letters to the city suggesting ways to refinance Milan’s debt. At the time, Milan owed about 1.2 billion euros in variable-rate mortgages at an average cost of six-month Euribor plus 0.26 percent. It also held 524 million euros of fixed-rate mortgages at an average cost of 5.16 percent, according to transcripts of council meetings. Some of those mortgages were accompanied by swaps the city had entered into three years earlier with another bank, Milan- based UniCredit SpA , Italy’s biggest lender. Closing Swaps In letters to Giorgio Porta , Milan’s director general, JPMorgan bankers Antonia Creanza and Antonio Polverino argued the town could save money by selling new debt. JPMorgan said that would pay off the liability while taking into account the need to close previous swaps, court documents show. Robledo has said he’s also seeking to indict Porta for fraud and collusion for his role in helping to oversee the debt restructuring. A lawyer for Porta declined to comment. Robledo said in his asset seizure request that it’s significant that the banks’ early pitches discussed the process of unwinding old derivatives. Later correspondence, after Milan selected the four banks, didn’t discuss those costs — an omission the prosecutor says was part of the alleged fraud. As the banks’ proposals made their way from Porta to other members of the city’s governing council, or giunta, the elected officials chose to take advantage of the chance to save on their debt by pushing out payments over a longer time period. Re-Election The city was about 100 million euros short of its budget target that year after plans to sell a stake in Milan airport company SEA SpA had been blocked by a court. Giunta members were coming up for re-election the following year, and cutting expenses wasn’t a viable option, according to a January deposition by Porta. The city opted instead to refinance. On May 3, 2005, members of the giunta voted to hold a competitive tender to select banks for the refinancing. Citing the potential for savings from eliminating payments on existing debt, the giunta vowed to replace existing mortgages provided “the entire transaction is financially advantageous,” according to a deliberation cited by the prosecutor. The city gave banks a week to pitch for the role, city documents show. Milan judged the contenders based on experience in managing other municipal bond sales, as well as their fees for selling both 20- and 30-year debt. Didn’t Ask While the city also sought the banks’ derivatives credentials, it didn’t ask how much the swap contracts would cost the taxpayer. On May 20, bankers gathered at Milan’s Palazzo della Ragioneria, a municipal building across the road from La Scala Opera House, to hear the announcement of the winning bids, says council member Rizzo. Milan selected Depfa, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan and UBS. All four agreed to charge the lowest fee that had been proposed, the 0.01 percent Depfa had bid, public records show. The next day, council member Rizzo, 62, a bespectacled, graying nuclear physicist who has served on the Milan council since 1983, started raising objections to the process. He told the council that the winning offer, with the 0.01 percent commission, was essentially free, so the process must be flawed. “I’d like to point out that in the coming three-year period, the benefit would be 174.1 million euros,” the late Mario Talamona, who was then Milan’s budget commissioner, told the city council, according to a transcript of the June 13, 2005, council meeting. ‘Who Will Run It?’ Rizzo remained skeptical, meeting records show. The following day, at a June 14 council session, he asked: “Will there be a tender for the swap? Who will run it? How will our counterparties be chosen? Wouldn’t it have been more useful to have a tender on that?” Rizzo now says, “There needs to be a separation between those that are advising the city’s administration and those who act as counterparties in derivative transactions.” The tiny commission should have raised a danger alert, says Piero Burragato, a former derivatives banker at Dresdner Kleinwort Benson and Nomura Holdings Inc. who hasn’t been involved in the Milan transactions. “An underwriting fee of 0.01 percent looks unreasonably low indeed, particularly so in relation to the underwriting risk of a fixed-rate, 30-year bond,” says Milan-based Burragato, who now advises companies on restructuring. Comparative Fees Similar deals in Italy in the same period have carried fees of 0.3 and 0.45 percent of the face value of the bonds. Without derivatives, the transaction couldn’t have been done. The 30-year bonds themselves needed swaps because Italian laws, intended to keep municipalities solvent, prohibit a city from pushing off its obligations so far into the future. What’s more, if Milan replaced its mortgages with a bond, the city would need to dispose of its existing swaps. When the banks gave Milan officials their overview of the deal’s financial benefit to the city, they didn’t mention the swaps, according to court records. The banks sold the bonds on June 24, 2005. That day, during a meeting at Deutsche Bank’s London office, Milan finance director Angela Casiraghi first learned the financial details of the swaps; the banks had never addressed potential losses, she says now. “They always said that the city, at the end of the 30 years, would have saved,” Casiraghi said in a Jan. 19, 2009, deposition in prosecutor Robledo’s investigation. ‘Never Showed’ “They never showed the potential problem of a negative mark-to-market,” meaning that based on current interest rates, Milan could lose money under the contract, forcing the city to pay the banks if they ever needed to exit the deal. Three days after the bond sale, Milan and the four banks signed the swap contracts related to the bonds. Three months later, as Milan used the bond proceeds to pay off its old mortgages, the four banks oversaw the second derivative deal: the unwinding of the swaps related to those old loans. At the time, those swaps had a value of 96 million euros in favor of the bank, UBI, a unit of UniCredit. To get out of the swaps, Milan would have to compensate UBI by that amount. The prosecutor hasn’t accused UniCredit of any wrongdoing. The city did it in parts: Milan paid UBI 20 million euros. The group of four banks absorbed 48 million euros, using extra, hidden fees it had taken from Milan in the bond-related swap contracts, prosecutor Robledo says. Hidden Cost And Milan paid off the final 28 million euros by rolling that debt over into another derivative contract with UBI, which charged the city 2 million euros, or 7.14 percent, in a new implicit fee, Robledo found. Robledo learned the amount of that hidden cost because he has access to the financial records of the Italian bank, which booked the implicit fee as revenue. In mid-2007, Robledo began his probe of the four banks, the bankers and some city employees. The prosecutor had been steeped in high-profile investigations before. He assisted former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker in probing kickbacks in the United Nations oil-for-food scandal. And he has pursued a case against Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi for false accounting and embezzlement. The three-time premier has fought off the charges, which have been temporarily suspended, partly because allies in parliament passed an immunity law in 2008 shielding him from prosecution. Bellwether As Robledo prepares to bring the banks to trial, local government officials around Italy are watching the case as a potential bellwether, saying they hope it might lead to improved terms for their derivative deals. Magenta , a town of 25,000 residents just outside Milan, is one of many municipalities that have lost money on swap deals — and now is looking to its larger neighbor for help. In 2001, Magenta bought interest-rate swaps from Caboto Holding SIM SpA, which is now a unit of Milan-based Intesa Sanpaolo SpA , on 4.6 million euros in fixed-rate loans. Magenta then restructured the deal in 2005 and 2006, signing similar contracts with the same bank. “The problem is that there’s never been an adviser, and our contact at the bank essentially took on the role as our consultant,” says Diana Naverio, director general of the city of Magenta. “This is the conflict of interest that’s talked about. There was never an objective third party.” Crimp Plans Magenta has a mark-to-market loss of about 120,000 euros, according to Naverio, down from about 900,000 euros a year ago. The possibility of future losses may crimp the city’s ability to plan, says Luca Del Gobbo, Magenta’s mayor. In the past year, Magenta has sought to round up 19 municipalities from three northern provinces and consulted with a lawyer in efforts to force banks to renegotiate the current deals. “One town against the bank probably can’t get anything better,” Del Gobbo says. “But we’re banding together under the slogan we’ve adopted: ‘He who with harmful derivatives flourishes, with collective legal action perishes.’” What happens next — in Magenta or hundreds of other Italian cities — depends on Milan. Das, the former derivatives trader, says the four banks are likely to settle with Milan prosecutors. That agreement may leave swap practices worldwide unchanged. So, he says, he expects municipal officials will continue to hand over money to banks in deals they don’t understand. “Cities still think they can get money for nothing,” he says. “The bankers are laughing.” To contact the reporters on this story: Vernon Silver in Rome at vtsilver@bloomberg.net ; Elisa Martinuzzi in Milan at emartinuzzi@bloomberg.net

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Yen Funding-Cost Spread Widest Since 1993 as Fed Cash Flows Into Economy

August 27, 2009

By Yasuhiko Seki Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Dollar borrowing costs between banks dropped to the lowest level in 16 years relative to yen rates as the Federal Reserve pumped money into the financial system to relieve the worst global recession since the 1930s. The spread between London interbank offered rates, or Libor, for three-month yen and dollar loans reached minus 16 basis points yesterday, according to British Bankers’ Association data. That’s the most since May 27, 1993, when the difference was 62.5 basis points. Dollar loans became cheaper than those in yen on Aug. 24, leaving the Swiss franc as the only currency that’s less expensive to borrow than the dollar. “Declines in the dollar Libor rates suggest that the anxiety about the credit crunch in the U.S. is fading,” said Izuru Kato , chief economist in Tokyo at Totan Research Institute Ltd. The Federal Reserve has more than doubled the size of its balance sheet since June 2007 to $2.02 trillion by purchasing Treasuries and other securities, while the Bank of Japan has increased its assets by about 10 percent, according to central bank figures. The gap between yen and dollar borrowing costs reached 3.78 percentage points in January 2008 as U.S. banks struggled to raise funds during the financial crisis. “Since the Bank of Japan has been managing short-term money market operations effectively, an inversion of borrowing cost gaps is limited to a selected zone,” Totan’s Kato said. The spread between the yen and dollar Libor for six months was at 187.5 basis points today, indicating overall borrowing costs are still cheaper in Japan than in the U.S., Kato said. Yen Impact The narrowing gap between short-term borrowing costs may have some impact on the yen carry trade, according to BNP Paribas SA, France’s largest bank. “At these levels there is little incentive to borrow in yen to fund investments” in higher-yielding assets, analysts led by Hans-Guenter Redeker , London-based global head of currency strategy at BNP Paribas, wrote in a research note yesterday. “The dollar-yen is likely to remain pressured.” The dollar, trading at 93.60 yen today, reached a 13-year low of 87.99 yen in January. “People remember vividly the sharp appreciation of the yen back in early 1990s, when you were able to raise funds more cheaply in the U.S. than in Japan,” said Kazutoshi Yasuda , general manager of the markets department in Tokyo at FX Prime Corp., a foreign-exchange unit of Japanese trading house Itochu Corp. “But the economic and financial circumstances that have created the inversion of funding costs are much different this time. We are highly unlikely to see a massive rise in the yen this time.” To contact the reporter on this story: Yasuhiko Seki in Tokyo at Yseki5@bloomberg.net .

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Diageo Indicates Worsening Profit; Economic Outlook Is `Murky,’ Walsh Says

August 27, 2009

By Andrew Cleary Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Diageo Plc, the maker of Johnnie Walker whisky and Guinness stout, indicated a worsening profit outlook for the coming year on concern over the pace and sustainability of an economic recovery. Operating profit in fiscal 2010 will rise at a “low single digit” pace, excluding currency swings and takeovers, London- based Diageo said today. Earnings on that basis rose 4 percent in the year ended June 30, according to the company, which in February lowered its forecast for growth to 4 to 6 percent. Diageo fell as much as 4.6 percent in London trading, the steepest drop since March 19. The forecast is “appropriate” given the “murky” outlook for the drinks industry, Chief Executive Officer Paul Walsh told Bloomberg Television today. The distiller’s global volumes declined 4 percent last year, with consumption declining in every region, except North America. The “opaque” profit outlook is “disappointing,” Simon Hales , a London-based analyst at Evolution Securities Ltd., said in a note today. “The market hoped to see a repeat of the 4 to 6 percent.” Diageo is “still the more defensive play in spirits,” said Hales, who rates the stock “neutral.” Diageo shares were down 30 pence, or 3.1 percent, to 966.5 pence as of 9 a.m. U.K. time, erasing most of this year’s gain. Rival Pernod Ricard SA fell as much as 2.6 percent in Paris. Net income rose to 1.62 billion pounds ($2.63 billion) in the year through June from 1.52 billion pounds a year earlier, London-based Diageo said today. That beat the 1.58 billion-pound average estimate of 11 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. ‘Worst is Over’ “We feel that the worst is over, but were not shouting about green shoots,” Chief Financial Officer Nick Rose said on a conference call today. Rose said he would prefer to provide lower profit guidance now to avoid a repeat of last year, when the distiller cut its forecast halfway through the year. Net sales, which exclude excise duties, rose 15 percent to 9.31 billion pounds last year, helped by 1.1 billion pounds of positive exchange rate movements. The gross margin, a gauge of profitability, narrowed 1.5 percentage points due to “the negative mix effect of consumers trading down within brands and the volume decline of higher gross margin segments,” such as Scotch whisky, the company said. Volume sales of Johnnie Walker whisky declined 11 percent. “While the economic downturn has affected all markets, the response of customers and consumers has not been uniform and therefore the impact on our business has been varied,” CEO Walsh said in the statement. New York Yankees In the U.S., where Diageo generates almost 40 percent of earnings, volumes and operating profit were unchanged as distributors began to re-order stock and the company introduced products such as ready-to-pour Smirnoff cocktails. The distiller, which sponsors the New York Yankees with Johnnie Walker and Ketel One vodka, said U.S. distributors and wholesalers cut inventory levels by 1 million cases at the end of the third quarter. Operating costs increased by 912 million pounds, largely due to higher costs for promoting and discounting products to make sure drinkers don’t switch to cheaper brands. The liquor maker increased advertising in the U.S. and slowed activity in weaker markets including Spain, leading to a 9 percent reduction in marketing expenditure, excluding currency swings. Marketing spend fell to 14.1 percent of net sales from 15.3 percent in the year-earlier period. Diageo’s share of earnings from associates, chiefly its 34 percent stake in LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA’s drinks unit, fell 7.3 percent to 164 million pounds as demand waned for the French company’s Veuve Clicquot and Dom Perignon champagnes. The distiller incurred a one-time charge of 166 million pounds in the year for its global restructuring program, and will book a further 70 million pounds this year. In addition to the austerity program ending this year, the company has a second initiative that will cull 40 million pounds of costs by 2012. To contact the reporter on this story: Andrew Cleary in London at acleary7@bloomberg.net .

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Federal Reserve Says Emergency-Loan Disclosures Would Hurt Banks, Economy

August 27, 2009

By Mark Pittman Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — The Federal Reserve argued yesterday that identifying the financial institutions that benefited from its emergency loans would harm the companies and render the central bank’s planned appeal of a court ruling moot. The Fed’s board of governors asked Manhattan Chief U.S. District Judge Loretta Preska to delay enforcement of her Aug. 24 decision that the identifies of borrowers in 11 lending programs must be made public by Aug. 31. The central bank wants Preska to stay her order until the U.S. Court of Appeals in New York can hear the case. “The immediate release of these documents will destroy the board’s claims of exemption and right of appellate review,” the motion said. “The institutions whose names and information would be disclosed will also suffer irreparable harm.” The Fed’s “ability to effectively manage the current, and any future, financial crisis” would be impaired, according to the motion. It said “significant harms” could befall the U.S. economy as well. The central bank didn’t say when it would file its appeal. The Fed has refused to name the financial firms it lent to or disclose the amounts or the assets put up as collateral under the emergency programs, saying disclosure might set off a run by depositors and unsettle shareholders. Bloomberg LP, the New York-based company majority-owned by Mayor Michael Bloomberg , sued on Nov. 7 under the Freedom of Information Act on behalf of its Bloomberg News unit. Public Interest “Our argument is that the public interest in disclosure outweighs the banks’ interest in secrecy,” said Thomas Golden , a lawyer with New York-based Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP who represents Bloomberg. Preska’s Aug. 24 ruling rejected the Fed’s argument that the records should remain private because they are trade secrets and would scare customers into pulling their deposits. “What has the Fed got to hide?” said Senator Bernie Sanders , a Vermont independent who sponsored a bill to require the Fed to submit to an audit by the Government Accountability Office. “The time has come for the Fed to stop stonewalling and hand this information over to the public,” he said in an e-mail. The Clearing House Association LLC, an industry-owned group in New York that processes payments between banks, filed a declaration that accompanied the request for a stay. Negative Consequences     “Experience in the banking industry has shown that when customers and market participants hear negative rumors about a bank, negative consequences inevitably flow,” Norman Nelson, vice president and general counsel for the group, said in the document. “Our members have accessed the discount window with the understanding that the Fed will not disclose information about their borrowing, especially their identity.”      Members of the Clearing House are ABN Amro Holding NV , Bank of America Corp. , Bank of New York Mellon Corp. , Citigroup Inc. Deutsche Bank AG , HSBC Holdings Plc , JPMorgan Chase Inc. , UBS AG , U.S. Bancorp and Wells Fargo & Co.      The case is Bloomberg LP v. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 08-CV-9595, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan). To contact the reporter on this story: Mark Pittman in New York at mpittman@bloomberg.net

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Loans to European Companies, Individuals Expand at Slowest Pace on Record

August 27, 2009

By Jana Randow Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Loans to households and companies in Europe grew at the slowest pace on record in July after the worst recession since World War II curbed demand for debt and banks tightened credit standards. Loans to the private sector rose 0.6 percent from a year earlier, the slowest growth since records began in 1991, after increasing an annual 1.5 percent in June, the European Central Bank said today. On the month, loans fell 0.4 percent, the biggest decline ever recorded. M3 money-supply growth, which the ECB uses as a gauge of future inflation, slowed to 3 percent from 3.6 percent. The global recession has made banks more reluctant to lend and eroded company and household demand for credit. The ECB, which kept its benchmark interest rate at a record low of 1 percent this month, is buying covered bonds and flooding banks with cash in an effort to revive lending. The euro-region economy barely contracted in the second quarter as Germany and France unexpectedly emerged from recession. “The decline in new loans is primarily demand-driven and reflects, until recently, terrible economic conditions,” said Michael Schubert , an economist at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “While demand will improve in the coming months, credit supply may worsen further. We won’t see a sustainable recovery in loan issuance before next year.” European banks tightened credit standards for companies and households again in the second quarter, albeit less aggressively than in the first, according to a survey published by the ECB on July 29. Policy makers have urged banks to clean up their balance sheets and step up lending after the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. last year exacerbated the global slump. In the three months through July, annual M3 growth slowed to 3.4 percent from 4.1 percent in the three months through June, the ECB said. M3 is the broadest gauge of money supply and includes cash in circulation, some forms of savings and money- market holdings. Demand for the most liquid assets rose. The annual rate of M1 money-supply growth increased to 12.2 percent in July from 9.4 percent in June. To contact the reporter on this story: Jana Randow in Frankfurt at jrandow@bloomberg.net .

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Loans to European Companies, Individuals Expand at Slowest Pace on Record

August 27, 2009

By Jana Randow Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Loans to households and companies in Europe grew at the slowest pace on record in July after the worst recession since World War II curbed demand for debt and banks tightened credit standards. Loans to the private sector rose 0.6 percent from a year earlier, the slowest growth since records began in 1991, after increasing an annual 1.5 percent in June, the European Central Bank said today. On the month, loans fell 0.4 percent, the biggest decline ever recorded. M3 money-supply growth, which the ECB uses as a gauge of future inflation, slowed to 3 percent from 3.6 percent. The global recession has made banks more reluctant to lend and eroded company and household demand for credit. The ECB, which kept its benchmark interest rate at a record low of 1 percent this month, is buying covered bonds and flooding banks with cash in an effort to revive lending. The euro-region economy barely contracted in the second quarter as Germany and France unexpectedly emerged from recession. “The decline in new loans is primarily demand-driven and reflects, until recently, terrible economic conditions,” said Michael Schubert , an economist at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “While demand will improve in the coming months, credit supply may worsen further. We won’t see a sustainable recovery in loan issuance before next year.” European banks tightened credit standards for companies and households again in the second quarter, albeit less aggressively than in the first, according to a survey published by the ECB on July 29. Policy makers have urged banks to clean up their balance sheets and step up lending after the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. last year exacerbated the global slump. In the three months through July, annual M3 growth slowed to 3.4 percent from 4.1 percent in the three months through June, the ECB said. M3 is the broadest gauge of money supply and includes cash in circulation, some forms of savings and money- market holdings. Demand for the most liquid assets rose. The annual rate of M1 money-supply growth increased to 12.2 percent in July from 9.4 percent in June. To contact the reporter on this story: Jana Randow in Frankfurt at jrandow@bloomberg.net .

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Lloyds May Sell Part of Fund Management Unit, Weighs Scottish Widows IPO

August 27, 2009

By Ambereen Choudhury Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Lloyds Banking Group Plc may sell part of its fund management business, including a possible initial public offering of Scottish Widows, to raise cash after its bailout, two people familiar with the talks said. Lloyds is in the early stages of assessing options for Scottish Widows, its 194 year-old money management and insurance division , said the people, who declined to be identified because the talks are private. The bank may also sell Clerical Medical, a provider of investment products and pensions, the people said. The takeover of U.K. mortgage lender HBOS Plc, announced last September, is putting pressure on Lloyds to dispose of assets as losses from the acquisition increase. Lloyds posted a 3.1 billion-pound ($5.3 billion) first-half loss, with HBOS accounting for about 80 percent of the bank’s 13.4 billion pounds of bad-loan provisions. Scottish Widows may be worth about 4 billion pounds, said Marcus Barnard , a banking analyst at Oriel Securities Ltd. London-based Lloyds paid 7.3 billion pounds for the firm in 2000 to boost sales of life insurance and pensions. The bank, which has yet to decide on the IPO, would keep a stake following any transaction, the people added. Scottish Widows is an “integral part” of the group, Chief Executive Officer Eric Daniels said when the bank reported first-half results on Aug. 5. Lloyds spokesman Mark Elliott declined to comment. A spokeswoman at U.K. Financial Investments Ltd. , which manages the government’s 43 percent stake in the bank, and a spokeswoman at Scottish Widows in Edinburgh declined to comment. Insight Sold Prime Minister Gordon Brown has pledged to insure 260 billion pounds of Lloyds’ toxic and other assets. European Competition Commissioner Neelie Kroes, who is examining whether bailed-out banks hurt competition, has said Lloyds may have to sell units following a government-led rescue. Lloyds acquired 185-year-old Clerical Medical when it purchased HBOS. The unit is valued at 3 billion pounds, and may draw an offer from Resolution Ltd. , Clive Cowdery ’s investment firm, the people said. The bank hasn’t made a decision to sell so far, the people added. Lloyds said in April it would phase out the brand and combine Clerical Medical’s sales teams with their counterparts at Scottish Widows. Resolution spokesman Alex Child-Villiers declined to comment. The lender agreed to sell Insight Investment Management, a money manager it also acquired as part of HBOS, to Bank of New York Mellon Corp. for 235 million pounds earlier this month. ‘Confidence Returns’ The MSCI World Index’s 20 percent gain in the second quarter, the biggest since 1998, is encouraging companies to revive IPO plans after the credit crisis caused a two-year dearth of the sales. Aviva Plc , the U.K.’s second-biggest insurer by market value, said on Aug. 6 it plans to sell 25 percent of its Delta Lloyd insurance unit through an IPO. “Confidence is returning to the market, though it’s still fragile,” said Richard Weaver , a London-based partner at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP’s capital markets group. “Positive economic news is leading companies to consider IPOs.” Scottish Widows traces its origins to 1812, when a group of Edinburgh businessmen set up the fund to provide for widows of British soldiers killed in the Napoleonic wars. The firm set up the Scottish Widows Fund Life Assurance Society in 1815, and early clients included Walter Scott, the author of the Waverley novels. The company had considered going public before Lloyds agreed to acquire it from its customer-owners. Scottish Widows oversaw 83 billion pounds at the end of June. Since then, Lloyds moved 42 billion pounds of funds managed by its Insight unit to Scottish Widows. First-half pretax profit at Widows rose 7 percent to 287 million pounds. The company’s largest investment pool, the 2.4 billion- pound U.K. Corporate Bond Fund run by Neil Murray , has returned 8.7 percent so far this year, compared with 13.7 percent for the average corporate bond fund registered in the U.K., according to data compiled by Bloomberg. To contact the reporters on this story: Ambereen Choudhury in London at achoudhury@bloomberg.net

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Take-Two pushes beyond ‘Grand Theft Auto’ reliance

August 27, 2009

Take-Two pushes beyond ‘Grand Theft Auto’ reliance

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Diageo sees ‘challenging’ year ahead; profit up 7%

August 27, 2009

Diageo sees ‘challenging’ year ahead; profit up 7%

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Americans can agree on health-care reform

August 27, 2009

Americans can agree on health-care reform

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European shares lower for second day as autos drag

August 27, 2009

European shares lower for second day as autos drag

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Retail stocks drop; Guess, Genesco beat estimates

August 27, 2009

Retail stocks drop; Guess, Genesco beat estimates

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Retail stocks drop; Guess, Genesco beat estimates

August 27, 2009

Retail stocks drop; Guess, Genesco beat estimates

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BAE Systems tumbles on Pentagon contract loss

August 27, 2009

BAE Systems tumbles on Pentagon contract loss

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Japan’s opposition widely favored to win election

August 27, 2009

Japan’s opposition widely favored to win election

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Japan’s opposition widely favored to win election

August 27, 2009

Japan’s opposition widely favored to win election

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U.K. August House Prices Rise at Fastest Pace Since 2006, Nationwide Says

August 27, 2009

By Svenja O’Donnell Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — U.K. house prices rose at their fastest pace in more than 2 1/2 years in August as low interest rates spurred demand and a lack of property for sale underpinned values, Nationwide Building Society said. The average cost of a home climbed 1.6 percent, the most since December 2006, to 160,224 pounds ($260,000), the mortgage lender said in a statement today. Economists predicted an increase of 0.5 percent, according to the median of 17 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey . From a year earlier, prices fell 2.7 percent. The Bank of England this month kept the benchmark interest rate at 0.5 percent and extended its asset-purchase program to pull Britain out of its worst recession in a generation. Today’s report adds to evidence the housing market may be stabilizing. “Even though house prices remain high relative to earnings, the fall in interest rates has improved the affordability of mortgages for those looking to buy a home,” Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide’s chief economist, said in the statement. “The fall in debt servicing costs has meant that fewer homeowners are under immediate financial pressure to sell.” The August increase in house prices was the fourth in succession, leaving them 3.2 percent higher than at the end of 2008, according to Nationwide. In the three months through August, they rose an average of 3.3 percent from the previous period, the most since February 2007. House prices are still down 14.4 percent from their peak in October 2007, the mortgage lender said. Mortgage Approvals Britain’s six biggest banks approved more home loans in July, a sample from the Bank of England’s lending panel showed on Aug. 20. U.K. mortgage approvals rose in July to the highest level since February 2008, the British Bankers’ Association said this week. Recent house price increases may “become difficult to sustain” if efforts to spur economic growth are successful and lead the U.K. central bank to raise interest rates in the future, Nationwide said. “At the moment, a rise in interest rates is probably still some way off,” Gahbauer said. “However, the eventual exit from exceptionally loose monetary policy could make the recovery in the housing market bumpier than some might expect after the last few months of price increases.” The economic slump is also keeping a lid on workers’ pay. The median pay award in the country was for a 1 percent increase in the three months to July, Incomes Data Services said in a separate report today. The report was based on a survey of 75 settlements covering more than 500,000 employees. To contact the reporter on this story: Svenja O’Donnell in London at sodonnell@bloomberg.net .

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China Curbs on Industrial Overcapacity Show Strength of Economic Recovery

August 27, 2009

By Bloomberg News Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao ’s curbs on steel and cement production show the government is confident the economy is now strong enough to tackle industrial overcapacity created by record lending this year. “Early adjustment is welcoming news,” said Helen Qiao , an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Hong Kong. “The fact that policy makers decided to make the adjustment now signals they deem investment strength and growth momentum outside of these areas already strong enough to withstand this move.” China’s State Council yesterday called on authorities to “resolutely” curb overcapacity as the economy is still in a “critical period.” The restraints on steel and cement output, as well as parts of the coal, glass and power industries, come as Chinese economic growth rebounded to 7.9 percent in the second quarter and Japan, France and Germany exited recession. “It’s a timely move,” said Tomo Kinoshita , an economist at Nomura Holdings Inc. in Hong Kong. “They are already suffering from an overcapacity but if they don’t stop now, the problem is going to worsen.” China’s benchmark Shanghai Composite Index has gained 62 percent this year. The gauge fell 0.4 percent today, after gaining 1.8 percent yesterday. Fixed-asset investment in China increased 33.5 percent in the first half as local banks made a record $1.1 trillion of new loans in the first six months. That fueled growth in steel production to record levels in July, leading to a 12 percent drop in China’s benchmark steel prices in the two weeks ended Aug. 21. The China Iron & Steel Association said last month that the risk of a “market glut is piling up.” Stimulus Package China’s 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus package is aiding the economy, with manufacturing exhibiting signs of recovery, the State Council, the nation’s cabinet, said yesterday after a meeting chaired by Premier Wen. Authorities should “guide the healthy development of industries” through the coordinated use of industrial, environmental, land and financial policies, it said. Controls on stock and bond sales by companies in targeted sectors will be strengthened, according to the State Council’s statement. Rio Tinto Group, BHP Billiton Ltd . and other commodities companies fell on concern China’s curbs would cut demand for their ore. Rio Tinto, which got 19 percent of its sales in China last year, fell 2.8 percent in Sydney trading. BHP Billiton, the world’s biggest mining company, declined 1.2 percent. Steel, Cement China is the world’s biggest producer of steel, with the nation’s output last year exceeding the combined total of Japan, the U.S., Russia and India, the next four biggest makers, according to the World Steel Association . In the first seven months, China accounted for almost half of global output. Cement production in China accounted for half the world’s output last year, making it more than eight times bigger than closest rival India, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. The country is also the biggest coal producer and consumer, accounting for 43 percent of global demand last year, according to BP Plc. “Many countries, such as Australia, have been seeing significant increases in Chinese imports of raw commodities,” said Joseph Tan , chief Asia economist at Credit Suisse Group AG in Singapore. “If the demand is coming from industries that have been over-investing and the government is now signaling concerns over over-capacity, then demand for raw materials will likely fall in the next months.” Exiting Recession The Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development said the economies of its 30 members collectively stopped shrinking in the second quarter as Japan, France and Germany exited recession. China accounted for a third of global growth last year, according to International Monetary Fund data using purchasing power parity calculations. In addition to curbs on industrial production, Chinese regulators are planning to tighten capital requirements for banks, three people familiar with the matter said last week. China’s central bank this month said it would carry out “dynamic fine-tuning” of the nation’s monetary policy. The People’s Bank of China also said it will maintain a “moderately loose” monetary policy and guide “appropriate” loan growth. Changes to China’s lending policies won’t hurt growth, which remains the top priority of policy makers, the Royal Bank of Scotland Plc said in a report today. “The current tweaking is aimed at reducing froth, rather than slowing growth,” wrote Wendy Liu , Hong Kong-based head of China research at RBS ABN Amro. For Related News and Information: Most-read stories about China today: MNI CHINA 1D China economic statistics: ECST CH Chinese stocks stories: TNI CHINA STK Most-read China economy stories: TNI CHECO MOSTREAD BN Top economic news: TOP ECO

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Abdullah Rejects Karzai’s `Mafia-Like’ Power Sharing Deal for Afghanistan

August 27, 2009

By James Rupert Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Afghan presidential candidate Abdullah Abdullah says he won’t take part in a power-sharing deal with incumbent Hamid Karzai , if that means accepting what he views as a fraudulent election. “I don’t find a place for myself in this mafia-type system,” Abdullah said in an interview last night at his home in Kabul. He spoke hours after the Independent Election Commission said Karzai had widened his lead, 42 percent to 33 percent for Abdullah, with about 17 percent of votes counted. Abdullah said he “will not accept the outcome” if Karzai is declared the victor, unless the commission resolves hundreds of complaints of voter fraud. Local and provincial government and electoral officials helped conduct a “state-engineered fraud,” stuffing ballot boxes for Karzai and discarding voting papers marked for other candidates, he said. Complaints of fraud combined with a lower turnout than in the first presidential poll in 2004 may undermine the legitimacy of the result. A clear mandate would strengthen the government in its conflict with Taliban Islamic insurgents, and offer an eventual way out for the U.S.-led forces that have lost 1,343 soldiers in the fighting, according to iCasualties.org . Karzai’s side may be pressing rival candidates to reach a power-sharing deal that includes accepting the president’s re- election, said Haroun Mir , director of Afghanistan’s Center for Research and Policy Studies. Abdullah rejected that idea. “I will use every peaceful, responsible means to oppose it,” he said. While he hadn’t been approached directly with an offer to share power, “there have been hints here and there” from Karzai’s camp, Abdullah said. Mirwais Yasini, Ramazan Bashardost and Sarwar Ahmedzai, who also contested the Aug. 20 poll, have echoed Abdullah’s accusation of widespread fraud. Complaints Abdullah’s campaign has filed more than 200 reports of voting fraud with the United Nations-backed Electoral Complaints Commission (ECC), he said. “We have faith in the integrity of the commission,” in which three of five members were named by the UN Secretary-General’s office, “but we will need to see its capabilities in dealing with so many cases,” Abdullah said. The election monitoring team from the Washington-based National Democratic Institute, said in an Aug. 22 statement that the complaints panel, formed four months ago, got too little time to hire and train adequate staff. Karzai campaign spokesman Sediq Seddiqui has denied there is any pattern of fraud that might change the vote’s outcome. In announcing results yesterday, the election commission gave no geographical breakdown of the vote, leaving it unclear whether Karzai is likely to surpass the 50 percent threshold he would need to avoid a runoff election. Karzai has more support in the south; Abdullah’s stronghold is in the north. Turnout The updated returns suggested a turnout of about 6 million voters, compared with 8 million in the country’s first direct presidential vote five years ago. Independent monitoring teams from the National Democratic Institute and the Free and Fair Election Foundation of Afghanistan say opportunities for fraud rose in last week’s vote because Taliban influence over many rural areas kept independent observers, as well as voters, away from polling places. Over eight years, Karzai and his international backers have failed to keep Afghanistan’s war from spreading or to improve the lives of most of its people. Measured by income, life expectancy and literacy, Afghanistan is the world’s fifth-poorest country , according to a 2007 report by the Afghan government and the UN. To contact the reporter on this story: James Rupert in Kabul at jrupert3@ bloomberg.net.

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Toyota Gets Biggest Boost in Car Sales From U.S. `Cash for Clunkers’ Plan

August 27, 2009

By Kae Inoue and Angela Greiling Keane Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Toyota Motor Corp. , the world’s biggest automaker, got the largest boost from the U.S. government’s “cash for clunkers” vehicle trade-in program, topping the list of new auto sales. Toyota accounted for 19 percent of the almost 700,000 sales under the rebate program, according to the U.S. Transportation Department. Rebate applications valued at $2.88 billion were submitted by the Aug. 24 deadline. The initiative helped restore demand for the slumping auto industry, prompting General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler Group LLC to boost production plans. Toyota , which is predicting a second consecutive year of losses, may be able to revise earnings outlooks based on the sales gain. “Toyota hasn’t included the impact from incentive programs in its forecasts,” said Yoshihiro Okumura , who helps oversee the equivalent of $365 million at Chiba-gin Asset Management Co. “It will probably lift their results this year.” Toyota has forecast a net loss of 450 billion yen ($4.8 billion) in the year ending March 2010, compared with an earlier forecast of 550 billion yen, the Toyota City, Japan-based carmaker said Aug. 4. The automaker expects its North American vehicle sales to drop 16 percent to 1.86 million vehicles this fiscal year from last year. Toyota fell 2 percent to 4,030 yen in Tokyo morning trading, compared with a 1.6 percent decline in the benchmark Topix index. Honda, Nissan Vehicles from GM, Ford and Chrysler made up about 39 percent of sales under the program. That compares with the three companies’ 45 percent combined share of the U.S. market this year through July and trails the combined sales of Toyota, Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. , which made up 41 percent of new auto sales through the rebate plan. Honda accounted for 13 percent of sales under the program, and Nissan Motor Co. made up 8.7 percent. Toyota’s Corolla compact car was the most popular model sold under the rebate plan, followed by Honda’s Civic and Toyota’s Camry. Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford’s Focus compact car was the only vehicle from a U.S.-based company among the top five. Hyundai Motor Co. ’s Elantra came in fifth. The “cash for clunkers” program offered buyers discounts of as much as $4,500 to trade in older cars and trucks for new, more fuel-efficient vehicles. The government granted dealers an extra day to file repayment applications. 58 Percent Improvement The U.S. had estimated the program’s initial $1 billion would spur 250,000 sales. That amount was exhausted less than a week after the initiative began. Congress added $2 billion to keep it going through Labor Day, which is Sept. 7. The Transportation Department formally kicked off the effort in late July. Total sales of cars and light trucks in the U.S. were 997,824 in July, according to Autodata Corp. in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey. The average fuel economy of the vehicles traded in was 15.8 miles per gallon, while the average for vehicles purchased was 24.9 mpg — a 58 percent improvement, the Transportation Department said. The program will save 9 million to 10 million barrels of crude oil over the next five years, with consumers saving $700 to $1,000 annually at the gasoline pump, according to George Pipas , Ford’s sales analyst. To contact the reporters on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net ; Kae Inoue in Tokyo at kinoue@bloomberg.net

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U.K. House Prices Increase at the Fastest Pace Since 2006, Nationwide Says

August 27, 2009

By Svenja O’Donnell Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — U.K. house prices rose at their fastest pace in more than 2 1/2 years in August as low interest rates spurred demand and a lack of property for sale underpinned values, Nationwide Building Society said. The average cost of a home climbed 1.6 percent, the most since December 2006, to 160,224 pounds ($260,000), the mortgage lender said in a statement today. Economists predicted an increase of 0.5 percent, according to the median of 17 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey . From a year earlier, prices fell 2.7 percent. The Bank of England this month kept the benchmark interest rate at 0.5 percent and extended its asset-purchase program to pull Britain out of its worst recession in a generation. Today’s report adds to evidence the housing market may be stabilizing. “Even though house prices remain high relative to earnings, the fall in interest rates has improved the affordability of mortgages for those looking to buy a home,” Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide’s chief economist, said in the statement. “The fall in debt servicing costs has meant that fewer homeowners are under immediate financial pressure to sell.” The August increase in house prices was the fourth in succession, leaving them 3.2 percent higher than at the end of 2008, according to Nationwide. In the three months through August, they rose an average of 3.3 percent from the previous period, the most since February 2007. House prices are still down 14.4 percent from their peak in October 2007, the mortgage lender said. Mortgage Approvals Britain’s six biggest banks approved more home loans in July, a sample from the Bank of England’s lending panel showed on Aug. 20. U.K. mortgage approvals rose in July to the highest level since February 2008, the British Bankers’ Association said this week. Recent house price increases may “become difficult to sustain” if efforts to spur economic growth are successful and lead the U.K. central bank to raise interest rates in the future, Nationwide said. “At the moment, a rise in interest rates is probably still some way off,” Gahbauer said. “However, the eventual exit from exceptionally loose monetary policy could make the recovery in the housing market bumpier than some might expect after the last few months of price increases.” The economic slump is also keeping a lid on workers’ pay. The median pay award in the country was for a 1 percent increase in the three months to July, Incomes Data Services said in a separate report today. The report was based on a survey of 75 settlements covering more than 500,000 employees. To contact the reporter on this story: Svenja O’Donnell in London at sodonnell@bloomberg.net .

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Credit Agricole Second-Quarter Profit More Than Doubles to $286 Million

August 27, 2009

By Fabio Benedetti-Valentini Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Credit Agricole SA , France’s third- largest bank by market value, reported a more than doubling in second-quarter profit, beating analysts’ estimates, as losses narrowed at the investment-banking unit. Net income rose to 201 million euros ($286 million) from 76 million euros a year earlier , the Paris-based bank said in a statement today. Earnings surpassed the 122 million-euro median estimate of 13 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Credit Agricole cut the loss at its investment bank to 87 million euros in the second quarter from the 855 million euros reported a year earlier as asset writedowns shrank. Chief Executive Officer Georges Pauget pledged last year to reduce the capital allocated to the unit, eliminate 500 jobs and scale back the riskiest structured credit and derivatives activities. “We see clearly that the path that we’ve determined is a good path and we are confident for the months to come,” Pauget told reporters on a conference call today. The bank, along with French competitors BNP Paribas SA and Societe Generale SA, saw a surge in loan defaults as the global economy slumped. Provisions at Credit Agricole more than tripled to 1.13 billion euros in the second quarter from a year earlier. Losses at Emporiki Bank of Greece SA , Credit Agricole’s unit in that country, have also weighed on the French bank’s earnings. Emporiki had a net loss of 190 million euros in the second quarter, the company said on July 29. Credit Agricole advanced 57 percent so far this year in Paris trading, trailing a 90 percent gain in BNP Paribas , France’s largest bank. Societe Generale , the second-largest French lender by market value, gained 53 percent this year. Pauget, 62, told shareholders at the May 19 general meeting that the financial side of the crisis was “behind us,” while the economic effects “will be felt for some months.” Credit Agricole’s profit lagged behind BNP Paribas, which recorded a 6.6 percent increase in second-quarter net income to 1.6 billion euros. Societe Generale reported a 52 percent drop in profit to 309 million euros in the period. Pauget sealed an agreement with Societe Generale to merge the asset-management units of the two banks. In July, Credit Agricole agreed to take a 75 percent stake in the venture, which will be run by Credit Agricole’s Yves Perrier and will have 591 billion euros of assets under management. To contact the reporter on this story: Fabio Benedetti-Valentini in Paris at fabiobv@bloomberg.net .

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Yen Advances for Third Day as China Policy Concern Spurs Demand for Safety

August 27, 2009

By Yasuhiko Seki and Ron Harui Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — The yen rose for a third day against the euro, the longest run since July, on speculation restrictions on Chinese production will stifle an economic recovery, sparking demand for the relative safety of the Japanese currency. The yen gained versus all of its 16 major counterparts as Asian shares declined on the proposed production curbs and before reports estimated to show a faster contraction in the U.S. economy contracted and higher unemployment in Japan. The pound dropped to the weakest level in more than a month against the yen before a U.K. report today that economists said will show British home prices increased at a slower pace this month. “Uncertainties about China’s policy action, aimed at tackling credit expansion, will continue to be a key driving force of the market,” said Toshiya Yamauchi , a manager of the foreign-exchange margin-trading department at Ueda Harlow Ltd. in Tokyo. “Should the Chinese stock market struggle, the safe- haven currencies may strengthen.” The yen advanced to 133.43 per euro as of 7:23 a.m. in London from 134.36 in New York yesterday. Japan’s currency climbed to 93.75 per dollar from 94.26. The dollar traded at $1.4236 versus the euro from $1.4255. The pound dropped to 151.89 yen from 153.17 after falling to 151.70, the lowest since July 14. The U.K. currency declined to $1.6204 from $1.6249 yesterday when it touched $1.6160, the weakest since July 13. The Australian dollar fell to 82.70 U.S. cents from 82.84 cents as crude oil, the nation’s fourth-most valuable export, slid for a third day. ‘Undermine a Recovery’ China’s cabinet said yesterday it’s studying restrictions on overcapacity in industries including steel and cement as policy makers seek to rein in investment growth fueled by a record credit expansion this year. “China is a key engine for Asia’s economies, so any curbs on investment would likely undermine a recovery in the region,” said Tsutomu Soma , a bond and currency dealer at Okasan Securities Co. in Tokyo. “Risk aversion will probably increase, leading to buying of the yen and the dollar.” The Chinese government will also increase “guidance” over parts of the coal, glass and power industries, the State Council said on its Web site yesterday. Controls on stock and bond sales by companies in targeted sectors will be strengthened, it said. The nation’s benchmark stock index has dropped some 15 percent from this year’s high set on Aug. 4 on concern banks will tighten credit after extending a record $1.1 trillion of loans in the first six months. Chinese Stocks The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.3 percent today. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average declined 1.6 percent and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index of regional shares lost 0.7 percent. The yen also strengthened as a Bloomberg News survey of economists showed the unemployment rate in Japan rose last month, damping risk appetite. The jobless figure is forecast to climb to 5.5 percent from 5.4 percent. Consumer prices excluding fresh food dropped an unprecedented 2.2 percent in July, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Both reports are due tomorrow. Adding to concern the global recovery will be slow, the U.S. government’s revised figures for second-quarter gross domestic product, due today, will show the economy shrank at a 1.5 percent annual rate, compared with the preliminary reading of a 1 percent contraction, according to another Bloomberg survey. ‘Little Incentive’ Gains in the dollar were limited after the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for three-month dollar loans dropped below that for similar-maturity yen loans for the first time in 16 years, according to BNP Paribas SA, France’s largest bank. “At these levels there is little incentive to borrow in yen to fund investments” in higher-yielding assets, analysts led by Hans-Guenter Redeker , London-based global head of currency strategy at BNP Paribas, wrote in a research note yesterday. “The dollar-yen is likely to remain pressured.” Libor for three-month dollar loans fell to 0.37188 percent yesterday from 0.38000 percent on Aug. 25. Libor for three-month yen loans declined to 0.38813 percent yesterday from 0.38875 percent on Aug. 25. The Dollar Index , which the ICE uses to track the dollar against currencies of six major U.S. trading partners including the euro and the yen, was little changed at 78.663 from 78.636. Regional Currency Japan’s opposition leader Yukio Hatoyama wrote in the New York Times that his nation should work with other Asian countries to create a single regional currency and bolster alliances to make it possible. Asia should “aspire to move toward regional currency integration,” wrote Hatoyama, who polls indicate will become Japan’s prime minister after a national election on Aug. 30. “We must spare no effort to build the permanent security frameworks essential to underpinning” a single currency that “will likely take more than 10 years” to establish. The pound declined for a seventh day against the euro, the longest run since January, on concern an economic recovery in the U.K. will lag behind its major counterparts. The average cost of a British home climbed 0.5 percent in August following a 1.3 percent increase in July, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists before the Nationwide Building Society releases the data today. “The recovery in U.K. house prices may be stalling,” said Lee Wai Tuck , a currency strategist at Forecast Pte in Singapore. “It’s not good for the economy and it’s negative for the pound.” The Bank of England has cut its benchmark interest rate to 0.5 percent, allocated 175 billion pounds ($284 billion) to buy bonds and is raising 220 billion pounds of debt through March 2010 to fund stimulus packages and bank bailouts. To contact the reporters on this story: Yasuhiko Seki in Tokyo at yseki5@bloomberg.net ; Ron Harui in Singapore at rharui@bloomberg.net .

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US softens stance on private equity bank deals

August 27, 2009

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – US banking regulators partially retreated from a much-criticized proposal to impose new rules on private equity investment in troubled banks, aiming to encourage responsible investment in distressed banks. …

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KBS REIT II Pays $112.1M for Fairfax Office Complex

August 26, 2009

KBS REIT II acquired the Willow Oaks Office Corporate Center in Fairfax, VA, from Brandywine Realty Trust for $112.17 million, or a little less than $200 per square foot. The 570,038-square-foot office complex consists of three buildings at 8260,…

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Developer Files for Bankruptcy Liquidation: Bank Wants Waterside …

August 26, 2009

Private equity groups and other wealthy investors have become one of the few options open to real estate developers, he said. He is trying to obtain financing from a number of such groups, the developer added. …

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Kennedy’s Flaws Gave Way to the Great Man: Margaret Carlson

August 26, 2009
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Japan Unemployment, Inflation Reports May Deal Blow to Aso on Election Eve

August 26, 2009

By Toru Fujioka Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Japanese economic reports are likely to deliver more bad news to Prime Minister Taro Aso tomorrow, two days before a general election that may oust his ruling Liberal Democratic Party for the second time in 54 years. The unemployment rate rose last month, matching a record high of 5.5 percent, and consumer prices excluding fresh food dropped an unprecedented 2.2 percent, deepening Japan’s deflation, economists expect the government figures will show. The LDP trails the Democratic Party of Japan in polls ahead of the Aug. 30 lower-house election amid voter discontent over the government’s management of an economy that’s emerging from its worst postwar recession. Tomorrow’s figures will help the opposition cement its lead, said economist Kyohei Morita . “The deflation and historic deterioration in the job market will be widely reported,” said Morita, chief economist at Barclays Capital in Tokyo. “That’s something politicians really don’t need right before the election.” The DPJ may win more than 300 seats out of 480, according to a poll by Kyodo News released this week. The opposition already controls the less-powerful upper house. Finance Minister Kaoru Yosano said on Aug. 25 that the party is “engulfing Tokyo like a massive wave.” The labor and inflation reports “won’t influence the election outcome,” Economic and Fiscal Policy Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi said this week. “We will keep explaining the details of our policies to voters as much as possible until the last minute,” said Hayashi, who is an upper-house LDP lawmaker. 1993 Defeat The jobless rate was at a six-year high of 5.4 percent in June, close to a record 5.5 percent last seen in April 2003. Unemployment was also rising in 1993, when the LDP lost power for the only time in its history to a coalition led by Morihiro Hosokawa . The rate was at a five-year high of 2.5 percent when the election was held in July of that year as the economy ground to a halt after an asset bubble burst. The ruling party says it will continue a policy of financially supporting employers who place workers on leave instead of firing them. The Aso administration has also made more people eligible for unemployment insurance. The DPJ, which has never governed, promises to raise the minimum wage and discourage hiring through agencies or on temporary contracts. Temporary workers, who have borne the brunt of the layoffs during the recession, should get equal pay and as much access to training as their permanent counterparts, according to the party’s election campaign pledge . After a collapse in exports and production in the first quarter of this year, the number of non-regular workers fell 470,000 from April to June, the biggest drop since the survey began in 2003, the statistics bureau reported this month. Graduates Suffer Graduates are also suffering. Moto Yokota, 21, is one of the 447,000 students who hope to find a job before graduating in March. After being rejected by 30 companies, the senior bioscience engineering student said the setbacks prompted him to stop job hunting for a month in July. “Whoever wins the election, it won’t change this horrendous job environment,” Yokota said. “It’s depressing because I’m doing my best but I have no clue about when I can get out of this.” The number of jobless in the world’s second-largest economy has swelled by 1 million people since the recession began in November 2007 to 3.6 million in June. A collapse in demand at home and abroad has left businesses with excess workers. The unemployment rate would have been 12.2 percent in June had all of Japan’s surplus labor been considered unemployed, according to Takahide Kiuchi , chief economist at Nomura Securities Co. in Tokyo. Toyota Cuts Back Toyota Motor Corp. , Japan’s biggest automaker, said yesterday that it will shut down a domestic assembly line as sales plunge. Japan Airlines Corp. may cut 5,000 jobs, or about 10 percent of its workforce, in three years, Kyodo News reported this week. Sanyo Electric Co. said yesterday it will offer early retirement as it scales back some businesses. Hisako Abe, 53, has been looking for a job since she was fired in April after working for a textile manufacturer for eight and a half years. “I don’t think it’s going to make a difference whether the LDP or the DPJ end up governing,” Abe said at an unemployment office in Tokyo last week. “Either way, the economy won’t get better anytime soon.” To contact the reporter on this story: Toru Fujioka in Tokyo at tfujioka1@bloomberg.net ;

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Japanese Opposition’s Vow to Cut Construction May Curb Economic Stimulus

August 26, 2009

By Stuart Biggs and Masatsugu Horie Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Japan’s opposition vows to slash public works spending if it wins this month’s election, as polls indicate. Keeping that promise may be tough in a nation where construction is the No. 5 employer and a political fundraiser. Government outlays on dams, roads and bridges have been a source of stimulus since Japan’s bubble economy burst two decades ago. Infrastructure spending amounted to 4.4 percent of gross domestic product last year, extending a binge that has driven public debt to almost twice GDP, or $175,000 for every Japanese household. The opposition Democratic Party of Japan says much of that money cements ties between builders, bureaucrats and government officials and pledges to spend less on construction. Yasuo Tanaka , a DPJ-supported candidate in the Aug. 30 election who canceled public projects as governor of Nagano prefecture, says the population isn’t well served. “Japan creates huge public projects, huge highways, huge dams, huge tunnels and huge cranes,” Tanaka, 53, said at a rally on Aug. 13 while campaigning in Amagasaki, west of Osaka . “Politicians who leave responsibility to the bureaucrats ensure policies that squander money and serve vested interests. We need to change all these things.” Just three of Japan’s 113 major rivers flow uninterrupted, the result of damming that provides construction jobs regardless of the need for flood control or the creation of reservoirs. The 1.44 trillion yen ($15.3 billion) Tokyo Bay Aqualine tunnel and bridge attracts only two thirds of the 33,000 vehicles a day originally forecast. Inflated Numbers? The DPJ says many projects are built and financed on the basis of inflated estimates, a practice known in Japanese as “enpitsu o nameru” or “licking the pencil.” “Japan has turned its agricultural lands and countryside into construction sites,” said Martin Schulz , a senior economist at Fujitsu Research Institute in Tokyo. “What they’ve been doing is pouring concrete on mountains.” The party, which has never run the government, promises to cut 1.3 trillion yen from 7.9 trillion yen in public works spending earmarked in this year’s budget by canceling what it calls “anachronistic” projects, including dams, and diverting those funds to child-care benefits and education subsidies. That has drawn complaints from industry critics such as Tetsuya Nomura , chairman of the Japan Federation of Construction Contractors, and chairman of Shimizu Corp ., Japan’s third- largest building company. Recession Fears “My particular concern is the potential of Japan falling deeper into recession,” Nomura said in a July 22 press briefing in Tokyo. The DPJ “mustn’t stop the economic recovery.” Shares of Tokyo-based Shimizu fell 25 percent this year compared with a 20 percent gain for the benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average, as the DPJ overtook the ruling Liberal Democratic Party in opinion polls. The 100-member Topix Construction Index gained 5.7 percent in the same period. Building projects often have little residual economic benefit in rural areas, where the population is both aging and shrinking, Schulz said. The DPJ, headed by Yukio Hatoyama , 62, promises to keep bureaucrats from moving after retirement to construction companies and other industries they have regulated, a practice known as “Amakudari” or “Descent from Heaven.” Ichiro Ozawa resigned as DPJ leader in June over a campaign funding scandal involving Nishimatsu Construction Co. Ozawa’s aide was indicted in March on charges of concealing 35 million yen in donations. Tokyo-based Nishimatsu apologized in June after former president Mikio Kunisawa was convicted of making illegal contributions. Poll Lead A Kyodo News poll released on Aug. 23 said the DJP would win more than 300 of the 480 seats in the lower house of parliament if the election were held then, while the LDP would win less than 150. The poll surveyed 155,110 voters from Aug. 20 to Aug. 22; Kyodo gave no margin of error. The LDP currently has 300 seats and the DJP 112. Taking on builders carries risks as Japan emerges from its deepest postwar recession . The industry employs one in 12 workers, twice the ratio in the U.S, according to Japan’s bureau of statistics and the U.S. Labor Department. Japan’s jobless rate is set to climb to an unprecedented 5.9 percent by next year up from 5.4 percent in June, according to a Bloomberg News survey. In Amagasaki, Tanaka’s opponent is 73-year-old incumbent Tetsuzo Fuyushiba , a former land minister with LDP coalition partner New Komeito. Fuyushiba boasts on his Web site of past projects he championed, including hospitals, schools and parks in the city, which has a population of about 460,000. People’s Needs “We never build something just because we want to build it,” Fuyushiba aide Shigeyuki Hirata said in an Aug. 14 interview. “It’s always based on people’s requests. I basically think we should build what people need.” Hirata said Tanaka’s history as Nagano governor serves as a warning for Amagasaki’s voters. A total of 334 construction companies in the prefecture went bankrupt in Tanaka’s six years in office as he slashed public spending, according to Hirata. Tanaka, now head of New Party Nippon , a DPJ ally, says he advised unprofitable construction companies to shift their business model or merge. Nagano’s budget was reduced by 22 percent during his tenure, cutting the prefecture’s debt by 7.9 percent, local government statistics show. Spending on construction projects nationwide rose to 22.1 trillion yen from 21.1 trillion yen in the year ending March 31, or about 4.4 percent of GDP, said Keisuke Naito , a senior economist at Mizuho Research Institute in Tokyo. To contact the reporter responsible for this story: Stuart Biggs in Tokyo at sbiggs3@bloomberg.net .

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Woolworths Profit Rises 16% as Cash Handouts Boost Demand at Supermarkets

August 26, 2009

By Robert Fenner Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Woolworths Ltd. , Australia’s biggest retailer, increased second-half profit 16 percent as demand grew at the company’s supermarkets and Big W discount stores after government cash handouts aimed at skirting a recession. Net income rose to A$852.4 million ($705 million) in the six months ended June 28 from A$735.5 million a year earlier. Second-half figures were calculated by subtracting first-half earnings from the A$1.835 billion full-year profit the Sydney- based company reported today. Sales stoked by store refurbishments and government payments helped Woolworths extend three years of market-share gains from second-ranked Wesfarmers Ltd. New ordering and distribution systems to replenish shelves helped boost profit margins in Australian supermarkets, its biggest unit. Net income in 2010 will rise between 8 percent and 11 percent with sales increases in the “upper single digits,” the company said. “The result does look quite good with their margin in the Australian food and beverage division up,” Chris Weston , an institutional dealer at IG Markets in Melbourne, told Bloomberg Television today. “It’s another really strong result from the company that seems to be dominating market share.” Woolworths shares rose 25 cents, or 0.8 percent, to A$28.95 at 10:14 a.m. in Sydney. The stock has gained 8.5 percent this year, less than half the 20 percent rise in the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index . Home Improvements Full-year profit rose 13 percent to A$1.835 billion, beating the A$1.8 billion average of 11 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Revenue in the year ended June was A$47 billion. Consumer spending helped Australia avoid a recession after the government distributed more than A$20 billion in cash to households and the central bank slashed interest rates to a half-century low. Retail sales rose 2 percent in the three months ended June 30 as house prices climbed for the first time in five quarters. Chief Executive Office Michael Luscombe , 56, this week announced plans to start a chain of home improvement stores, taking on his rival’s most profitable retail business. Woolworths plans capital expenditures of A$1.9 billion in 2010, almost double the A$1 billion Wesfarmers is spending on its Coles chain. More Fresh Fruit Luscombe is continuing to rollout a new supermarket format that allocates greater selling space for more profitable fresh fruit and vegetables. About 40 percent of Australian grocery outlets have been converted, the company said today. Second-half earnings before interest and tax from Australian supermarkets, the company’s biggest unit, rose 13 percent to A$1.038 billion. The Australian supermarkets unit widened its profit margin , which measures earnings as a proportion of revenue, to 5.98 percent from 5.52 percent a year earlier. Wesfarmers’ Coles’ chain has a margin of 3 percent. “This solid result was delivered in a difficult global economic climate and reflects increased acceptance of our retail offer,” Luscombe said in the statement. “Our investment has improved stores, created jobs, added services, delivered value.” Earnings from Woolworths’ New Zealand supermarkets rose 3.5 percent to A$85.5 million. Profit from Big W discount department stores surged 81 percent to A$58 million. The hotels unit, Australia’s biggest owner of pubs, had a 1.6 percent drop in second-half earnings to A$92.9 million. The consumer electronics unit, which includes the Dick Smith brand stores, had an 1.8 percent fall in earnings to A$21.9 million. Australia’s Woolworths isn’t related to London-based Woolworths Group Plc , which collapsed last year, or Woolworths Holdings Ltd. based in Cape Town, South Africa. To contact the reporter on this story: Robert Fenner in Melbourne rfenner@bloomberg.net

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Esprit Shares Plunge as Krogner Warns Clothes Profits May Continue to Drop

August 26, 2009

By Wing-Gar Cheng Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Esprit Holdings Ltd., the biggest Hong Kong-traded clothing retailer, may take until next year to return to profit growth after reporting its first earnings decline in more than a decade. “I don’t expect a positive change in the next half year,” Chairman Heinz Krogner said in Hong Kong yesterday. “The situation might change next spring, but it’s just a personal assumption and I can’t give you any guarantees.” While its biggest market Germany unexpectedly emerged from a recession that contributed to Esprit’s 26 percent profit drop, consumption is geared toward car purchases and “there’s less left for other industries,” Krogner said. Esprit seeks to focus on strengthening its retail business and to revamp stores to rid itself of “too much sameness,” he added. “I’m always wary when a company changes its business model,” CIMB-GK Securities analyst Renee Tai , who has an “underperform” rating on the clothier’s stock , said in a phone interview yesterday. “I’m not sure they can successfully complete a revamp within 12 months.” Esprit has gained 36 percent in Hong Kong trading this year, lagging behind the benchmark Hang Seng Index’s 42 percent climb. The stock advanced 3 percent to HK$59.90 yesterday, before the earnings results were announced. ‘No Miracles’ Krogner said a recovery may be more than a year away and not to expect “any miracles.” The clothier earns more than four-fifths of its revenue from Europe, where the worst economic slump since World War II led customers to cut spending. “Consumption and apparel is shrinking very clearly during these days,” Krogner said at a briefing. “We cannot expect a much better year this business year, this is what’s absolutely clear to us.” The company yesterday reported net income in the fiscal year ended June fell 26 percent to HK$4.75 billion ($613 million), 5 percent below the lowest of seven analyst estimates in a Bloomberg survey. The analysts had an average profit estimate of HK$5.17 billion. “We expected a decline in earnings but not so much,” said CIMB-GK Securities’ Tai. “The company lost 300 wholesalers in Europe and given there’s no replacement for that.” Esprit still faces “headwinds where wholesale is concerned” because clients have little appetite to invest and take risks, Krogner said. Retail Sales Grow Wholesale revenue, which includes transactions at department-store counters, fell 14.5 percent to HK$17.9 billion while retail sales gained 1.8 percent to HK$16.4 billion. Licensing and other sources of revenue made up the rest. Total sales fell 7.3 percent to HK$34.5 billion. The company won’t spur sales by cutting prices because getting on “a discount train” would “kill us.” Krogner said. Esprit , which has stores in more than 40 markets, will “heavily invest” in places such as France and aims to sell more products to women aged between 28 and 45 years old. The company also seeks to target very young, who still “throw around their money somehow,” he added. “We will not take risks in new markets that we don’t know. These times are too difficult to take these risks.” Full-year same-store sales grew 3.5 percent, slowing from 6.9 percent in the fiscal year ended June 2008. Same-store or comparable sales strip out the effects of newly opened outlets. Operating profit fell 26 percent to HK$5.73 billion, the company said. Operating profit margin narrowed to 16.6 percent from 20.7 percent. Expansion Plans The retailer added 104 directly managed stores to bring the total to 801, with selling space of 313,000 square meters (3.4 million square feet) as of June 30. Esprit plans to open 60 to 80 stores in the current fiscal year, spending about HK$800 on the expansion, it said. As many as 140 franchise stores have been approved to open. Esprit made 45 percent of its sales in Germany and 9.1 percent in France, with outlets in Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg contributing 15.4 percent. The clothier made 85.3 percent of its sales in Europe, 12.2 percent in Asia and 2.5 percent from the U.S., Canada, Chile and Columbia. Sales in Germany dropped 11 percent to HK$15.5 billion. Revenue from France declined 3.7 percent to HK$3.1 billion. German government spending rose 0.4 percent in the three months ended June from the previous quarter, helping boost private consumption and lifting Europe’s biggest economy out of recession, with gross domestic product expanding a seasonally adjusted 0.3 percent in the second quarter. The unexpected return to growth followed four quarters of contraction. While sales in July and August are “not dramatically bad,” Esprit will “still be under pressure” in the six months ending December, Krogner said. “One sees little signs of recovery here and there but these are not dramatic changes.” To contact the reporter on this story: Wing-Gar Cheng in Hong Kong at wgcheng@bloomberg.net

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China `Tweaking’ Lending Policy to Cut `Froth,’ Maintain Growth, RBS Says

August 26, 2009

By Bloomberg News Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — China’s banking regulators are “tweaking” lending policies to remove “froth” from the system while growth remains the top priority for policymakers, according to Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. The goal is to manage risk exposure among banks and asset quality by checking lending from going into A-shares traded on the mainland and properties, Wendy Liu , Hong Kong-based head of China research at RBS ABN Amro, said in a report dated yesterday. “The current tweaking seems aimed at reducing froth, rather than slowing growth,” Liu said. China plans to tighten capital requirements for banks, threatening to curb the record lending that’s fueled a rally in the stock market this year, three people familiar with the matter said last week. Chinese banks handed out a record $1.1 trillion of new loans in the first half to support the nation’s 4 trillion yuan economic stimulus package. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index was the best- performing major market from Jan. 1 to Aug. 4, when it reached this year’s high. It has dropped 15 percent since then on concern the government will curb lending. The banking regulator sent draft rule changes to banks on Aug. 19 that would require lenders to deduct all existing holdings of subordinated and hybrid debt sold by other lenders from supplementary capital, said the people, who have seen the document and declined to be named as the matter is private. This may cut lending by as much as 700 billion yuan ($102 billion), China International Capital Corp. said Aug. 24. Loans, Stocks Wei Jianing, a deputy director at the Development and Research Center under the State Council, estimated about 1.16 trillion yuan of loans were invested in stocks in the first five months of this year, China Business News reported on June 29. Premier Wen Jiabao said in comments published this week that the government will maintain its fiscal and monetary policies as the economic recovery isn’t stable and faces many “uncertainties.” Authorities can’t be “blindly” optimistic as a “decline in external demand may continue for a longer time” and excess capacity may restrain industrial growth, Wen was quoted as saying on the State Council’s Web site Aug. 24. The top policy priority for the government in 2009 and 2010 remains growth given possible weak U.S. consumer spending next year, RBS’s Liu said. Real estate and commodities will benefit “significantly” from a continuation of China’s pro-growth policy, she said, adding that policymakers have “far greater tolerance” for asset-price appreciation over the medium term than before. China’s stock market may resume its rally in the fourth quarter as investors gain “better clarity on earnings and policy priority,” she added. To contact the Bloomberg News staff for this story: Chua Kong Ho in Shanghai at kchua6@bloomberg.net

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Philippine Economic Growth Accelerates, Bolstering Regional Recovery Signs

August 26, 2009

By Karl Lester M. Yap Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Philippine economic growth accelerated in the second quarter from the slowest pace in a decade, supporting the central bank’s decision last week to end interest-rate cuts. Gross domestic product increased 1.5 percent from a year earlier, the National Statistical Coordination Board said in Manila today. That compares with the 0.5 percent median forecast of 17 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The economy expanded 0.4 percent in the first quarter, the government said in May, the weakest pace since a recession ended in 1998. President Gloria Arroyo has increased spending and widened the 2009 budget deficit target to a record to shield the economy from the worst global slump since the Great Depression. The central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record low of 4 percent last week after slashing borrowing costs by 2 percentage points from mid-December to July. The government’s “stimulus programs have been successful in preventing a slowdown,” said Jonathan Ravelas , a market strategist at Banco de Oro Unibank Inc. in Manila. “They should continue to pump prime to create the necessary conditions for sustainable economic growth.” SM Investments Corp. , whose assets include the Philippines’ biggest bank and largest shopping mall operator, said profit rose 16 percent in the second quarter as people spent more at its supermarkets and department stores. The “worst is over” for the country’s retailers and the industry will grow moderately this year, the Manila Times cited Philippine Retailers Association Chairman Jorge Mendiola as saying Aug. 14. Avoid Recession The Philippine government predicts expansion in the $167 billion economy will improve in the second half of the year as the global slowdown eases and state spending kicks in, helping the nation avoid a recession this year. “We expect positive growth for the whole year,” Economic Planning Secretary Augusto Santos said yesterday. “The crisis appears to have bottomed in the second quarter and we expect a rebound in the third quarter.” The decline in Philippine exports narrowed to the least in seven months in June as the region showed signs of recovery. China’s growth accelerated in the second quarter for the first time in more than two years after the government implemented a 4 trillion-yuan ($585 billion) stimulus plan and prodded banks to lend more. Singapore last month raised its 2009 economic forecast, predicting the economy will shrink 4 percent to 6 percent this year, less than earlier estimates. To contact the reporter on this story: Karl Lester M. Yap in Manila at kyap5@bloomberg.net ;

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Dollar, Yen Gain as Stocks Fall, China Policy Concern Spurs Refuge Demand

August 26, 2009

By Yasuhiko Seki and Ron Harui Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — The dollar advanced for a fourth day against the euro amid concern restrictions on Chinese production will stifle an economic recovery and as regional shares fell, sparking demand for safe-haven currencies. The yen rose versus all of its 16 most-active counterparts as risk appetite waned before reports this week forecast to show Japan’s unemployment rate matched a record high and the U.S. economy contracted at a faster pace than initially projected. The Australian dollar sank for a third day against the greenback after crude oil fell, undermining demand for the currencies of commodity producers. “Uncertainties about China’s policy action, aimed at tackling credit expansion, will continue to be a key driving force of the market,” said Toshiya Yamauchi , a Tokyo-based manager of the foreign-exchange margin trading department at Ueda Harlow Ltd. “Should the Chinese stock market struggle, the safe-haven currencies may strengthen.” The dollar traded at $1.4232 versus the euro at 9:38 a.m. in Tokyo from $1.4255 yesterday in New York. The yen was at 133.74 per euro from 134.36. The dollar weakened to 93.98 yen from 94.26 yesterday. The Australian currency was at 82.59 U.S. cents from 82.84 cents. Crude oil, the nation’s fourth-most valuable export, fell for a third day to $71.17 a barrel. Chinese Policy China’s cabinet said yesterday it’s studying restrictions on overcapacity in industries including steel and cement as policy makers seek to rein in investment growth fueled by a record credit expansion this year. “China is a key engine for Asia’s economies, so any curbs on investment would likely undermine a recovery in the region,” said Tsutomu Soma , a bond and currency dealer at Okasan Securities Co. in Tokyo. “Risk aversion will probably increase, leading to buying of the yen and the dollar.” The Chinese government will also increase “guidance” over parts of the coal, glass and power industries, the State Council said on its Web site yesterday. Controls on stock and bond sales by companies in targeted sectors will be strengthened, it said. The nation’s benchmark stock index has dropped 15 percent from its Aug. 4 high this year on concern banks may tighten credit after extending a record $1.1 trillion of loans in the first six months. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 0.8 percent today and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index of regional shares lost 0.3 percent. Japanese Data The yen advanced for a third day against the euro as a Bloomberg News survey of economists showed the unemployment rate in Japan rose last month, sapping risk appetite. The rate is forecast to match a record high of 5.5 percent. Consumer prices excluding fresh food dropped an unprecedented 2.2 percent in July, according to a separate survey. Both reports are due tomorrow. Adding to concerns that a global recovery will be slow, the U.S. government’s revised figures for second-quarter gross domestic product, due today, may show the economy contracted at a 1.5 percent annual rate, compared with the preliminary showing of a 1 percent fall, according to a Bloomberg News survey. The pound extended its drop for seventh day versus the euro, the longest stretch of losses since January this year, before a report forecast to show U.K. house prices increased at a slower pace this month. The average cost of a home climbed 0.5 percent this month following a 1.3 percent rise in July, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists before the Nationwide Building Society releases the data today. “Sell sterling,” Sophia Drossos , co-head for global foreign-exchange strategy at Morgan Stanley in New York, said in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. “The economy there is going to lag the rest of the world, so you should buy a currency of an economy that is showing growth and where the central bank is likely to tighten.” To contact the reporters on this story: Yasuhiko Seki in Tokyo at yseki5@bloomberg.net ; Ron Harui in Singapore at rharui@bloomberg.net

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Asian Stocks Decline as China Considers Production Curbs; Rio Tinto Falls

August 26, 2009

By Jonathan Burgos and Shani Raja Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks declined, led by commodity companies, after China’s government said it may curb overcapacity in the steel and cement industries, as well as strengthen controls of stock and bond sales. Rio Tinto Group , which got 19 percent of its sales in China last year, sank 2.6 percent in Sydney. Mitsubishi Corp., a Japanese trading company that gets more than a third of its revenue from commodities, retreated 2.5 percent. China Vanke Co., the nation’s biggest publicly traded property developer, sank 2.7 percent in Shenzhen on share-sale plans. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 0.6 percent to 112.84 as of 10:47 a.m. in Tokyo. The gauge has climbed 60 percent from a more than five-year low on March 9 on speculation government stimulus packages and lower borrowing costs will revive the global economy. “There’s been a few stories about Chinese authorities trying to pull back on some of the stimulus,” said Stephen Halmarick , Sydney-based head of investment markets research at Colonial First State, which holds about $114 billion. “In the short term, it takes some of the froth off the big rally we’ve had in the market.” Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped 1.4 percent to 10,493.35. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 0.2 percent. South Korea’s Kospi Index fell 0.5 percent. Studying Curbs Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.3 percent. The gauge was little changed yesterday as a smaller-than- estimated rise in orders for some durable goods and possible curbs on raw-materials suppliers in China outweighed a surge in new-home sales. The Chinese government said yesterday it’s studying curbs on overcapacity in industries including steel and cement. It will also increase “guidance” over parts of the coal, glass and power industries, the State Council said on its Web site . Controls on stock and bond sales by companies in targeted sectors will be strengthened, it said. Rio sank 2.6 percent to A$57.40. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s biggest mining company, lost 1.4 percent to A$37.61. Mitsubishi dropped 2.5 percent to 1,875 yen in Tokyo. Mitsui & Co., which counts commodities as its biggest source of profit, declined 3.3 percent to 1,219 yen. “For commodity exporters like Australia the demand from China for commodities has been one of the key reasons we’ve managed to avoid the worst of the global downturn,” said Colonial’s Halmarick. Commodity Prices OZ Minerals Ltd. slumped 5.2 percent to A$1.09. The Australian copper and gold producer reported a first-half loss on the sale of $1.6 billion of mines. Material producers were the second-biggest drag on the MSCI Asia Pacific Index today following declines in commodity prices. Crude oil slipped 0.9 percent to $71.43 a barrel in New York yesterday, the lowest settlement since Aug. 18, and a gauge of six metals in London fell for a second day, dropping 0.8 percent. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index’s five-month rally has lifted the average price of its companies to 24 times estimated earnings , up from 13.7 at the end of 2008. The gauge’s current valuation is higher than the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s 17.2 times and 15.1 for Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index. “Current prices fully reflect a possible V-shaped recovery in company earnings next year,” said Mitsushige Akino , who oversees the equivalent of $637 million at Tokyo-based Ichiyoshi Investment Management Co. “It’s still unclear whether such a recovery will indeed happen and this uncertainty is allowing speculators to dominate the market.” In Shenzhen, China Vanke fell 2.7 percent to 10.65 yuan after saying it plans to raise as much as 11.2 billion yuan ($1.6 billion) by selling additional shares. James Hardie Industries NV , the biggest seller of home siding in the U.S., climbed 3.8 percent to A$7.40 in Sydney. Sales of new homes in the U.S. jumped 9.6 percent in July, the most in four years, a government report showed. To contact the reporter for this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net ; Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net .

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Investors Facing Fallout from Values, Ratios Knocked ‘Out of Whack’

August 26, 2009

While signs of a tentative recovery in the economy continued to appear, including reports issued this week on the fourth-consecutive month of improving new-home sales in July and a sizable increase in durable goods orders by manufacturers’ orders also…

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Real Estate Roundtable: CRE Challenges Far from Over

August 26, 2009

Despite signs that the global economic free fall may be over, conditions in the commercial real estate sector remain extremely stressed. A financing drought and declining property fundamentals are pushing up both maturity and performance defaults on commercial…

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