August 2009

Foreclosure guilt haunts home buyers | LoanWorkout.org

August 28, 2009

In most cases, folks who buy foreclosed properties never deal with the previous residents, but Jesse Chase, 30, of Las Vegas came home one day to find his life.

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Paramount Lodging Advisors, Hardisty Baxter Create Distressed Hospitality Services Group

August 28, 2009

Full service hotel brokerage and advisory firm Paramount Lodging Advisors has merged with hospitality real estate services firm Hardisty Baxter to open Paramount’s new Southern California office. Phil Miller, a Cornell classmate of Phil Baxter and Senior

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Video: Market Close 8.28

August 28, 2009

S&P and Dow Each Fall Less than 1%, Nasdaq Remains Virtually Flat; Tiffany & Co CEO Says “The Tide is Beginning to Turn”, Shares Rise 11%; Merck Shares Fall Nearly 2% (Bloomberg News)

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Jill Schlesinger: Cash for Clunker Sequel: Dump the Pump

August 28, 2009

Given the success of “Cash for Clunkers,” the government will introduce a sequel that one observer called ” Dollars for Dishwashers “. That’s not really the name, but it’s better than “Clunkers, Part Deux”. It’s reported that Uncle Sam will fund a $300 million program via the stimulus plan that will allow you to swap energy-sucking appliances for new ones that carry that ” Energy Star ” seal of approval. If car dealers thought that getting paid was hard, the sequel plans to allow each state to get in on the act. In other words, while in NY, your air conditioner might fetch a $200 rebate, in Wyoming, it may only get you $150. The Department of Energy wants to focus on ten categories of appliances, but states could petition for an expansion of that list. The rebates are likely to be $50-$200 per appliance. After hearing about this and then the Toys-R-Us “Cash for Kiddie Clunkers,” I started to feel left out. How about a program for women who need new, more efficient shoes for the fall season? Under the “Dump the Pump” program, we’ll trade in our beat up, bull market Manolo Blahniks for more sensible, recession-style flats. For every pair of shoes that we trade, I’m thinking we should get a $50 rebate. The struggling retailers will love it and we would be helping to reduce the cost of podiatry care. It’s just a thought… Image by Flickr User Scalleja , CC 2.0

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Video: Chart of the Day – Selling Buffett’s Shares Slowly

August 28, 2009

July-August: Gates Foundation Sells Buffet’s Shares Slowly (Bloomberg News)

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Wall Street Leverage Rising At Fastest Pace Since ’07

August 28, 2009

Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — Banks are increasing lending to buyers of high-yield company loans and mortgage bonds at what may be the fastest pace since the credit-market debacle began in 2007.

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Michael de Portu: The Economy: Cycling Along With the Training Wheels On

August 28, 2009

There is a sharp divergence of views about the economy’s near-term prospects. Some speak of a V-shaped snap-back, others of a W-like double-dip, yet others of an L-pattern driven by a secular change in consumer spending.

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Video: Survey Says – Market Rally Coming to End

August 28, 2009

Investors Will Get Big Shock This Fall – Interview with TrimTabs Investment Research CEO Charles Biderman (Bloomberg News)

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Geisha Turn Barmaids, Tap Internet to Keep Japan’s `Floating World’ Afloat

August 28, 2009
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Microsoft Holds Secret ‘Screw Google’ Meetings In D.C.

August 28, 2009

Microsoft’s chief Washington lobbyist has been convening regular meetings attended by the company’s outside consultants that have become known by some beltway insiders as “screw Google” meetings, DailyFinance has learned.

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Small-Car Output May Outstrip Consumer Demand as Fuel Costs Fall, CSM Says

August 28, 2009

By Keith Naughton and Jeff Green Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler Group LLC, primed by government incentives to make fuel-efficient models, plan a 63 percent boost in small-car production capacity by 2015 that may outstrip demand. The U.S. automakers will be able to assemble 2.71 million small cars annually in North America in six years, rising from 1.66 million now, according to consulting firm CSM Worldwide in Northville, Michigan. Industrywide capacity for the segment will rise to 7.5 million vehicles from 4 million, CSM estimated. Consumers may not be ready for that many small autos. Based on projections for small-car purchases from consultant IHS Global Insight, U.S. auto sales by 2015 would have to surge to almost twice the current annual record to absorb all of the possible new output. “Unless the government is doing something we don’t know about to raise the price of gasoline, we don’t think there’s going to be a lot of demand for small cars,” said John Wolkonowicz , a Global Insight analyst in Lexington, Massachusetts. The small-car push is being driven in part by the U.S. requirement that auto fuel efficiency rise about 40 percent to an average of 35 miles per gallon by 2016. Small-car sales climbed to 18.1 percent of the U.S. market last year from 15 percent in 2007, as gasoline prices surged to record highs. Automakers also are tapping sources such as the Energy Department’s $25 billion loan program to develop more fuel- efficient vehicles. Sales, Gas Prices This year through July, small cars accounted for 18.5 percent of U.S. sales, according to Autodata Corp. of Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey. Gasoline for the period averaged $2.17 a gallon, a 39 percent drop from $3.53 a year earlier, according to motorist group AAA. Global Insight estimated that small cars’ share of U.S. sales may rise to 22.3 percent in 2015. At that percentage, the total U.S. auto market would have to exceed 33 million to absorb the annual production capacity of 7.5 million small cars projected by CSM. The record for total sales of cars and light trucks was 17.4 million in 2000. “Fuel prices are the No. 1 issue,” said Jeff Schuster , an auto analyst at market research firm J.D. Power & Associates in Troy, Michigan. “If they remain in the range we’re at, this product push and capacity change is certainly at risk. American buyers tend to prefer larger things and larger spaces.” In the next six years, small-car production capacity will rise 58 percent to 1.35 million at GM, 61 percent to 870,000 at Ford and 83 percent to 495,000 at Chrysler, according to CSM. By 2013, there will be 46 compact and subcompact car models in the U.S., up from 36 this year and 28 in 2005, according to J.D. Power. ‘Betting the Company’ Rising fuel prices will justify the small-car buildup, said Michael DiGiovanni , GM’s chief sales analyst. “That’s what we’re betting the company on,” DiGiovanni said in an interview. “We think it’s better to err on the side of high oil than to err to the side of low. Consumers were burned big time in 2008 and they are not forgetting.” When the global economy recovers, U.S. gasoline prices may meet or exceed the record $4.11 a gallon of July 2008, said George Pipas , sales analyst at Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford. Small cars are “the linchpin of our growth strategy,” Pipas said in an interview. “We made this bet three or four years ago before gas even crossed the $3 mark.” Ford rose 4 cents to $7.71 at 2:02 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading . The shares have more than tripled this year. ‘Clunkers’ Boost Small cars got a boost the past two months from the U.S. government’s “cash for clunkers” program, which offered credits of as much as $4,500 to new-vehicle buyers who traded in older, less fuel-efficient models. Small cars from Toyota Motor Corp., Ford, Honda Motor Co. and Hyundai Motor Co. accounted for the top five models purchased through the program. The segment rose to 22.2 percent of U.S. sales in July, according to Autodata. In the year’s first half, small cars accounted for 17.7 percent of U.S. auto sales, a decline from 18.8 percent a year earlier. “Cash for clunkers is an unnatural distortion that doesn’t give us any indication of what people really want,” said Wolkonowicz, of Global Insight. “People are buying the deal.” To contact the reporters on this story: Keith Naughton in Southfield, Michigan at Knaughton3@bloomberg.net ; Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan, at jgreen16@bloomberg.net

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U.S. Aaa Rating Outlook Stable as Supports Remain Intact, Moody’s Says

August 28, 2009

By Chris Fournier Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — The U.S.’s ability to cope with the credit crisis, its political stability and “favorable” economic prospects all support the country’s top Aaa credit ratings, according to Moody’s Investors Service. Although government financial strength is weakening as a result of intervention to support the financial system and the economy, other factors support a stable rating outlook, the New York-based company said in a statement today. The U.S. government and the Federal Reserve have spent, lent or committed more than $12 trillion in a bid to revive the economy and credit markets. The budget deficit is projected to reach $1.6 trillion this year and $1.4 trillion next year, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. The Office of Management and Budget, in its Aug. 25 mid-year economic review, added almost $2 trillion to the 10-year deficit estimate from its May forecast, to $9.05 trillion. “The federal government debt ratios, which Moody’s considers most relevant to the rating given the U.S.’s relatively decentralized fiscal structure, are rising steeply and will continue that trend at least through 2010,” wrote Moody’s analysts including Steven A. Hess in New York. “However a substantial portion of the rise results from asset purchases, meaning” the government’s net worth is less affected, they wrote. The budget deficit will fall to about 4 percent of output by 2015, boosting the ratio of debt to gross domestic product to 77 percent in 2019, the highest level since World War II, Moody’s said. Unless action is taken now to rein in deficits, pressure on public finances from Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid will be “even more difficult to deal with,” Hess wrote. To contact the reporter on this story: Chris Fournier in Montreal at cfournier3@bloomberg.net

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Stocks in U.S. Decline as Merck’s Drop Outweighs Rising Technology Shares

August 28, 2009

By Elizabeth Stanton Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks declined as investors sold companies whose earnings are least tied to the economy and falling oil prices dragged down energy shares. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., AT&T Inc. and McDonald’s Corp. declined as makers of consumer goods, drugmakers and phone companies posted some of the steepest drops in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. Exxon Mobil Corp. was the biggest drag on the index as crude erased earlier gains. Intel Corp. and Dell Inc. led technology shares to the only gain among 10 industries in the S&P 500. The S&P 500 lost 0.6 percent to 1,024.52 at 12:59 p.m. in New York after rising as much as 0.8 percent amid a rally in global stocks. The main benchmark for American equities gained seven of the past eight days and closed yesterday at the highest since Oct. 6. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 72.33 points, or 0.8 percent, to 9,508.3, dropping for the first time in nine days. “People are perhaps considering shifting from playing defense to playing offense,” said Lawrence Creatura , a money manager at Federated Clover Investment Advisors, which oversees $2 billion in Rochester, New York. “The offensive playbook says sell staples, sell safety, sell large-caps generically.” Makers of telephone equipment and drugs and suppliers of household goods failed to keep pace with the S&P 500 as it rebounded from a 12-year low on March 9, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. They also trailed the benchmark gauge for U.S. equities as it doubled between 2002 and 2007, with so- called consumer-staples providers climbing 40 percent and drugmakers increasing by 41 percent. Worst Performers McDonalds , the world’s largest restaurant company, fell 1.3 percent to $55.95. AT&T, the biggest U.S. phone company, dropped 0.9 percent to $26.19. Wal-Mart, the world’s largest retailer, declined 0.4 percent to $51.02. The companies are among the six worst-performing stocks in the Dow average during its six-month, 46 percent rally. Merck, maker of the asthma and allergy treatment Singulair, fell 2 percent to $32.22, leading healthcare companies to the biggest decline among the 10 industry groups in the S&P 500. “What’s doing poorly is what I’d consider defensive-type names,” said Nick Kalivas , a market analyst at MF Global Ltd. in Chicago. Exxon Mobil fell 1.1 percent to $70.09. Crude oil for October delivery fell as much as 1 percent to $71.78 a barrel. Intel Rises Intel rose 4 percent to $20.25, the biggest percentage gain in the Dow average , and had the biggest positive influence on the S&P 500. Third-quarter sales will be at least $8.8 billion, Intel said in a statement today. That compares with at least $8.1 billion the company projected last month. The company also increased its gross-margin forecast for the period. Dell, the world’s second-biggest maker of personal computers, climbed 2 percent to $15.96, a 10-month high. Dell reported second-quarter profit excluding some item of 28 cents a share on $12.76 billion of revenue. The average analyst estimates in a Bloomberg survey were profit of 22 cents a share on $12.59 billion of sales. Dell’s gross margin also beat estimates. Tiffany & Co. and J. Crew Group Inc. also beat analyst estimates for profit and sales. Tiffany, the world’s second- largest luxury jeweler, rose 8.5 percent to $36.61. J.Crew Group, the clothing retailer, advanced 6 percent to $34.74. “You have companies truly showing improvement, not just earnings getting better because of cost-cutting, but showing top-line revenue growth,” said Michael Mullaney , a money manager at Fiduciary Trust Co. in Boston, which manages $9 billion. More than 72 percent of S&P 500 companies have beat the average analyst estimate for second-quarter earnings, matching the highest proportion since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1993. Novell Inc. fell the most in the S&P 500, losing 6.6 percent to $4.40. The maker of Linux operating-system software posted adjusted quarterly profit of 7 cents a share, missing the average analyst estimates by 4.1 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg News. To contact the reporter on this story: Elizabeth Stanton in New York at estanton@bloomberg.net .

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Foreclosure Recap – Week #34

August 28, 2009

For a change we are going to start things off with some good uplifting news. It seems that foreclosures in the state of New Jersey might just be going down or at the very least stabilizing to some degree. The numbers for the month July 2009 are actually a nearly six percent lower than the numbers for the month of July 2008 . The amount of new foreclosures was almost even with the numbers form the month of June 2009 and the combination of those two things have people hopeful that the worst of the real estate crisis might actually be behind us at this point. While it might be a little too soon to actually make a prediction about that, the numbers as outlined in this article tend to leave the reader with some hopeful outlooks on the situation. According to the Washington Times, the sale of homes is up for the fourth month in a row . This is the first time that can be said since the year 2004, which is yet another positive indicator that the real estate market might at the very least be leveling off and possibly even starting a slight reversal. In fact in a direct quote from the article it says – “The trend signals that the housing market, decimated by the longest and deepest economic downturn since the Great Depression, is finally beginning to recover.” Those are fairly strong words and if true is certainly cause for the nation to begin chilling an appropraite bottle of bubbly for the celcbration.

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Video: Inside Look – Hotel Boom in Nation’s Capital

August 28, 2009

Washington Hotels Defy U.S. Travel Slump – Analysis and Discussion with PKF Consulting VP Kannan Sankaran (Bloomberg News)

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Dave Johnson: President Obama’s Upcoming "Section 421 Tire Case" Trade Enforcement Decision

August 28, 2009

This post originally appeared at Campaign for America’s Future (CAF) at their Blog for OurFuture as part of the Making It In America project. I am a Fellow with CAF. When China was accepted into the World Trade Organization, they agreed that if we experienced import surges of Chinese goods that caused “market disruption,” we would be allowed to limit the import of those goods. The particular section of the agreement is called “Section 421.” When the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) determines that the level of imports from China cause or threaten to cause market disruption to American producers of competitive products, it proposes a remedy that can include quotas or other relief. The President of the United States then makes a decision whether to enforce that recommendation. President Bush repeatedly (seven times) refused to enforce Section 421 even when our own ITC found that American companies, factories and jobs were being lost. Bush claimed at the time that the destructive effects of dramatic, sudden increases in Chinese imports that Section 421 was meant to mitigate were actually good for the U.S. economy. Bush’s policy was the opposite of “protectionism” — it actually favored China’s companies over our own! (I think we’ve seen how that has worked out.) Very soon we will have an opportunity to see where President Obama comes down on this issue . The ITC has decided by a 4-2 vote that the U.S. tire industry has been harmed by a large increase in imports. They have recommended increasing tariffs starting at 55%, falling to 35% over three years. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative now has to give its recommendation on this to the White House by Sept. 2. President Obama has until Sept. 17 to make a decision. This is just one week before the upcoming G-20 summit in Pittsburgh. There is considerable pressure on him to to signal that the US will restore trade balance and help manufacturing in America, by following the rules of the WTO that China agreed to. According to the United Steel Workers , which represents workers in the tire industry, thousands of jobs are being lost and tire plans in the US are shutting down. Also at this page is a chart from the ITC showing that the benefits of enforcing remedies “are two-and-a-half times greater than the costs” to consumers. Mike Elk wrote the other day at the Campaign for America’s Future blog, President Obama stands at a crossroads in the fight to rebuild the American economy. President Obama has made a commitment in the past to uphold previously signed trade agreements. China, however, is violating these agreements by flooding the market with a massive 300 percent increase in tire imports in an attempt to wipe out American tire manufacturers. In 2004, China sent 14 million tires to the U.S. valued at $453 million. By last year, that had increased to 46 million tires valued at $1.7 billion. Mike also points out, Chinese importers, in conjunction with the Chinese Chamber of Commerce, have ironically formed a lobbying front group ironically named American Coalition for Free Trade in Tires. The coalition is run by Jochum, Shore & Trossevin, a Washington D.C. lobby firm run by former Bush trade officials who are cashing in on their years of U.S. government service to advise foreign competitors. Jim Wansley, former USW Goodyear local president, testified about the impact of the closing of the Goodyear plant in Tyler, Texas where he had worked for 39 1/2 years: The closure put hundreds of workers, many of whom had given decades of service to the plant, out of work. The closure was devastating to the workers and their families, but it is also being felt throughout the community of Tyler, Texas. Tyler has a population of about 100,000. Like many small and medium-sized towns that depend on manufacturing for middle class jobs, the loss of these jobs has taken its toll. The Goodyear plant directly benefitted the local economy by supporting local small businesses who served as its suppliers and service providers. The plant also provided enormous indirect benefits. Jobs at the plant paid good wages and benefits, enabling workers to lead decent middle class lives, buy homes, send their kids to college, and save for retirement. These are the kind of jobs that support an entire community as families pay their doctor bills, buy new cars, and contribute to local charities. The plant and its workers were also an important source of tax revenue for the city, the county, and the state. . . . The victims will not only be the workers and their families, but the suppliers, service providers, local businesses, and entire communities that depend on the industry. In sum, there is an enormous cost to doing nothing. If more plants like Tyler close, we can expect to suffer total additional losses of almost a billion dollars per plant, per year. On the other hand, The Washington Post points out, If Obama backs the tariff, he risks upsetting the Chinese at a time when the United States needs China to keep buying U.S. government debt to fund stimulus efforts. This is not just an intellectual discussion. This, like all trade issues, is about American workers losing their livelihoods and communities losing their economic base. At the same time the policies of the Bush administration — borrowing trillions of dollars from them while allowing our manufacturing base to deteriorate — have placed China in a very strong position of economic advantage which gives them the power to demand concessions. For more information : USW fact sheets, background, other info related to tire trade case against China Statements by Senators, other lawmakers supportive of USW unfair trade case claim against Chinese tires More Members of Congress, Senate praise ITC ruling in tire trade case A post at TradeReform.org: Trade Community Awaits President’s Decision on China Tire Safeguard Testimony of Senator Sherrod Brown before the U.S. ITC on the tire issue. Gilbert B. Kaplan, Former Deputy Assistant and Acting Assistant Secretary of the U. S. Department of Commerce, writing at Huffington Post on this and other trade issues with China . ManufactureThis.org: Making the Case for Relief from Chinese Tire Imports One group in opposition to this ruling is American tire distributors , who benefit from the low prices of Chinese imports. (Note this is published by the Chinese Xinhua News Agency.)

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Private equity donations to politicians seen – Crain's New York …

August 28, 2009

Over the past decade or so, including the time periods of the campaign contributions, New York’s pension fund has invested $1.7 billion in real estate and private equity investments with Blackstone, while the Pennsylvania pension fund …

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Fortune’s Stanley Bing: Goog The Underdog?

August 28, 2009

The massive machinery of the tech business is mobilizing against a common adversary. That’s right, in spite of all it’s done to transform our world and define free, open digital space, nobody in the business seems to like the Goog (GOOG). In fact, the operators of the Death Star in Redmond (MSFT) have reportedly taken the point on a new “screw Google” strategy that they are rolling out in Washington. It’s always amazing to me how the most rapacious monopolistic capitalists — opponents of even the most rational regulation that might affect their revenue picture — hump it to Washington for highly targeted relief when they think a certain form of regulatory action would hurt their adversaries. The bottom line here seems to be that nobody is against ALL regulation. They’re just against the unfair government intervention that has something to do with THEM. I’ve heard it in confabs, gatherings and business meetings, and you read about it in the reports of those sagacious analysts who have done us so little good over the years, particularly recently. Goog has jumped the shark. Goog is going to invade your backyard and drain your above-ground pool. Goog this. Goog that. Boo! Now here comes Microsoft to lead a band of other fiercely independent competitors who are seeking to make Washington do what they can’t — squash the Goog before, like a wild beast acquired as a baby, it grows to adult size and eats every living thing in sight. Dailyfinance.com reports that “one source familiar with the meetings says, ‘Law Media Group has several people who work full-time on Google-bashing. Everybody knows Microsoft is trying to throw roadblocks at Google and knock them off their game. Microsoft is trying to harm Google in the regulatory, legal, and litigation arenas because they’re having problems with Google in the competitive marketplace.’” No question that the Goog has pushed the envelope and continues to do so. Scanning books before they asked for permission to do so, for instance. Or doing creepy things with your gmail. Like, a few months ago I wrote a friend of mine on my gmail account, beginning the note with my usual inane salutation: “Dude!” As I continued to type my message, I noticed that a number of ads were scrolling down the righthand side of my screen. “Wax your surfboard!” one of them said. “Surfing vacations!” said another. That gave me the hiccups for a minute. They tell me that whole process is automated and they’re NOT reading my mail. And of course I believe them. At the same time, you’ve got to wonder about the whole strategy of the anti-Googlers. First, because in my view Google is smart. Second, because if you bring down the biggest, snazziest ship in the armada the rest of your fleet may be sucked into the downdraft. Third, perhaps most importantly, has Washington, once engaged, ever produced a little bit of regulation? And would we all truly benefit from the closing of that frontier? Follow Stanley Bing on Twitter at twitter.com/thebingblog

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Video: Whirpool Cutting Jobs

August 28, 2009

Whirlpool Cutting 1100 Jobs, 1.6% of Workforce (Bloomberg News)

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Frank: Bill Mandating "Complete Audit" Of The Fed Will Pass House In Fall

August 28, 2009

Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, told a Massachusetts audience at a recent town hall that the House will pass legislation this fall mandating a “complete audit” of the Federal Reserve. The bill to audit the Fed, H.R. 1207, was introduced by libertarian Fed critic Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and is backed by well over a majority of the House . Frank’s comment suggests it won’t just be left to languish in committee. “I want to restrict the power of the Fed in a number of ways,” said Frank in response to a question about the bill. “They have had since 1932… the right to intervene in the economy almost whenever they” wanted to, Frank said, noting that the Fed relied on its extraordinary lending power to forward billions to financial institutions last fall. He intends to curtail that lending power, he said. “Finally we will subject them to a complete audit,” he said. “I have been working with Ron Paul, the main sponsor of that bill. He agrees that we don’t want to have the audit appear as if it is influencing monetary policy, because that would be inflationary and Ron and I agree on that.” Defenders of an independent monetary policy, including much of the political elite of both parties, argue that politicizing monetary policy would destabilize the financial system, devalue the dollar and lead to higher interest rates. “If monetary policy is seen as not being independent that could shake people’s confidence in the dollar. I mean, we are dealing with a world of nervous people,” Frank told HuffPost in June. A politicized monetary policy is assumed to be inflationary because politicians have an incentive to run-up deficits and then have inflation reduce the value of the debt — a policy that would harm debt-holders such as China. “One of the things the audit will show is what the Federal Reserve buys and sells, and that will be made public,” Frank said. “But not instantly, because… you would have a lot of people trading off of that, and you would have too much impact on the market. Again Ron agrees with that, so we will probably have that data released after a time period of several months, enough time so it wouldn’t be market-sensitive. That will be part of the overall Fed regulation that we are inducting.” The questioner followed up: “By the end of the year?” “The House will pass it probably in October,” said Frank. The bill has steadily picked up co-sponsors since it was introduced, with rank-and-file Democrats and Republicans coming together in an unusual way. Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio), who has his own legislation pressing for Fed transparency, became the symbolic 118th cosponsor of Paul’s bill. House passage will put pressure on the Senate to act. The upper chamber has had a similar bipartisan coming-together, with Sen. Bernie Sanders, a socialist, and Sen. Jim DeMint, as far from a socialist as imaginable, cosponsoring a version of Paul’s bill. Ryan Grim is the author of This Is Your Country On Drugs: The Secret History of Getting High in America

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Video: In-Depth Look – Signs of Recovery

August 28, 2009

Leverage Rising on Wall Street – Banks Fund Leveraged Loan Market (Bloomberg News)

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Video: Inside Look – Seeking More Information on UBS Accounts

August 28, 2009

Exclusive Interview with Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (Bloomberg News)

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Spectrum Brands Exits Chapter 11 With a Stronger Balance Sheet and Positive Momentum in Many of Its Largest Brands

August 28, 2009

ATLANTA, GA–(Marketwire – August 28, 2009) – — Company eliminates $840 million of subordinated debt and exits with substantially improved capital structure — Market share growth in many key product categories with improving adjusted EBITDA in businesses — All suppliers to be paid in full Spectrum Brands, Inc. today announced that it has emerged from bankruptcy. The Company and its domestic subsidiaries officially concluded their Chapter 11 reorganization today after meeting all closing conditions to the Company’s Plan of Reorganization (the “Plan”), which was confirmed by the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas, San Antonio Division, in a written order entered on July 15, 2009.

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Video: In-Depth Look – Auction Rate Securities Remain Dead?

August 28, 2009

Analysis and Discussion with Anthony Carfang of Treasury Strategies Inc. (Bloomberg News)

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Video: Market Outlook – "The Demi-Ashton Ratio"

August 28, 2009

A Bullish Global Perspective – Analysis and Discussion with Ajay Kapur of Mirae Asset Securities (Bloomberg News)

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China Stocks Cheapest to Analyst Targets After Shanghai Index Slumps 16%

August 28, 2009
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S&P 500 May Surge 40% as U.S. Duplicates Japan in 1990s: Chart of the Day

August 28, 2009

By Alexis Xydias Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks are behaving like Japanese equities in the 1990s, meaning the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may return 40 percent in the next year, according to Bank of America Corp. The CHART OF THE DAY shows the Nikkei 225 Stock Average since 1980 and the S&P 500 during the past two decades, when adjusted for currencies. The Nikkei doubled between October 1998 and April 2000 in dollar terms, as the chart illustrates. The S&P 500 has risen 34 percent since March when the Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar against currencies in six major U.S. trading partners, is factored in. A “melt-up” rally in the U.S. may be triggered by central bankers keeping interest rates near record lows, an economic recovery or an undervalued dollar, Bank of America strategists wrote in an Aug. 26 report. “Even in economies overcoming credit booms, rallies can be powerful and last much longer than you think,” Bank of America’s Sadiq Currimbhoy , Arik Reiss and Jacky Tang wrote. Should the similarity between the U.S. and Japan persist, the S&P 500 will keep rising, partly because of gains in the dollar, the Hong Kong-based strategists said. “If there is one persistent similarity between Japan and the U.S., it is they both seem to be fighting a debt problem by producing more debt,” they added. “So, for equity investors, if these relationships were to repeat themselves, the risk for the U.S. market is that like Japan, the stock market ends up with big rallies and then sell-offs.” When adjusted for currencies, the Nikkei 225 peaked in December 1989, while the S&P 500 reached its high in September 2000. Following its jump through 2000, the Nikkei retreated three years. On the vertical axis of the Chart of the Day, 100 corresponds to the Japanese index’s record high. (To save a copy of this chart, click here.) To contact the reporter on this story: Alexis Xydias in London at axydias@bloomberg.net .

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Florida’s Crist Names Former Aide LeMieux to Senate Seat He Plans to Seek

August 28, 2009

By Jerry Hart Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — Florida Governor Charlie Crist chose George LeMieux, a former chief of staff, to serve out the U.S. Senate term of Republican Mel Martinez , who announced this month he would resign when a replacement is named. LeMieux, Crist’s deputy when the governor was Florida’s attorney general, served as chief of staff for a year and is currently chairman of the law firm Gunster Yoakley & Stewart. LeMieux, 40, is from Fort Lauderdale and served as chairman of the Broward Republican Party from 2000 to 2002. LeMieux might serve little more than a year. Crist, 53, a first-term Republican, said in May he will seek the seat in the November 2010 election. He led his closest Republican challenger, former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio , 54 percent to 23 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released June 10. Martinez, 62, a first-term senator elected in 2004, said Aug. 7 he’d leave as soon as his successor was chosen and that he planned to return to private life. He had announced that he wouldn’t seek re-election in December after a Quinnipiac poll showed that only 36 percent of respondents said he deserved another term. Martinez, born in Cuba, was secretary of Housing and Urban Development under President George W. Bush and resigned in December 2003 to run for the Senate. He was chairman of the Republican National Committee in 2007. As a senator, he was a member of the committees on armed services; banking, housing and urban affairs; and science and transportation. One Hispanic Senator Martinez’s departure leaves Robert Menendez , a New Jersey Democrat, as the only Hispanic U.S. senator. Eight senators, including six Republicans, have announced they won’t seek re- election next year. A special election will be scheduled in Massachusetts to fill the seat of the late Democratic Senator Edward Kennedy , who died this week. Crist, who was empowered by Florida law to fill the seat, ran for the Senate in 1998 and lost a bid to unseat Democrat Bob Graham , who didn’t seek re-election in 2004. Bill Nelson , a Democrat first elected in 2000, holds Florida’s other Senate seat. In the race to succeed Crist as governor, Florida Attorney General Bill McCollum , a Republican, led Democrat Alex Sink , the state’s chief financial officer, by 38 percent to 34 percent in an Aug. 19 poll by the Hamden, Connecticut-based Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. To contact the reporter on this story: Jerry Hart in Miami at jhart@bloomberg.net .

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Mexico’s Peso Posts World’s Biggest Weekly Slide on Budget Deficit Concern

August 28, 2009

By Catarina Saraiva Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — Mexico’s peso headed for its first weekly decline in seven on concern that the government will struggle to raise taxes and narrow a 2010 budget deficit. The peso dropped 3.2 percent this week to 13.2620 per U.S. dollar at 9:14 a.m. New York time, from 12.8330 on Aug. 21. The peso this week is the worst performer against the dollar among 26 emerging-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg. It fell 0.2 percent today, after closing at 13.2322 yesterday. “I think in a week where you don’t have much data coming out that the external factors probably drive the peso,” You-Na Park , an emerging-markets economist at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt, said in a telephone interview. “The government said that it wants to try to consolidate the fiscal balance, it’s questionable whether they can really raise taxes.” Mexico’s Institutional Revolutionary Party said Aug. 26 that it will seek to cut government spending before increasing taxes. The plans signal that the party may block an attempt by President Felipe Calderon ’s National Action Party to win approval for raising taxes. To contact the reporter on this story: Catarina Saraiva in New York at Asaraiva5@bloomberg.net .

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Norway’s Wealth Fund Hires Managers After Record Loss Erases 12-Year Gain

August 28, 2009

By Meera Bhatia and Josiane Kremer Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — Norges Bank Investment Management, which oversees Europe’s largest sovereign wealth fund, named a new team of executives after record losses last year wiped out gains from 12 years of investing Norway’s oil and gas revenue. The 2.47 trillion-krone ($410 billion) Government Pension Fund – Global promoted Bengt Enge to chief investment officer, Trond Grande to chief risk officer and Age Bakker to chief operating officer, the Oslo-based fund said today. Mark Clemens from Citigroup Inc. will be chief administrative officer and Jessica Irschick from UBS AG chief treasurer. “NBIM now has a management team with considerable international financial markets experience,” Yngve Slyngstad , the chief executive officer of the fund, said in a statement. Deputy CEO Stephen Hirsh also remains in his position. The fund had a record 633 billion-krone loss last year, wiping out gains over the past 12 years amid tumbling global markets. It recouped some losses in the second quarter of this year with a record 12.7 percent gain as it completed a move to increase its stock holdings to 60 percent from 40 percent. Adding Stocks The fund has been adding stocks and moving into emerging markets as well as planning to start investing in real estate, in contrast to other sovereign wealth funds that are set to cut risk, according to a study this month by State Street Corp. Assets of Singapore’s Temasek Holdings Pte fell S$40 billion ($27 billion) in the last fiscal year. Stocks gained in the second quarter amid signs the world was emerging from a recession. The German and French economies unexpectedly expanded in the quarter while the U.S. contraction slowed to a 1 percent rate from a 6.4 percent in the first three months of the year. The MSCI World Index stock rallied 20 percent in the second quarter, and is up 19 percent this year, after plunging 42 percent last year amid the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Norway, the world’s fifth-largest oil exporter and second- largest exporter of natural gas, derives money for the fund from taxes on oil and gas and ownership of petroleum fields. The fund has a portfolio of around 8,000 companies and offices in Oslo, London, New York and Shanghai. Abu Dhabi Only Abu Dhabi, with $627 billion, and Saudi Arabia, which has $431 billion, have bigger sovereign funds, according to the Roseville, California-based Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute. Irschick was previously chief of staff to the head of the UBS investment bank in London and Clemens was global chief administrative officer at New York-based Citigroup. Enge has been with the NBIM for 13 years, while Grande had been acting head of risk management since 2007. Bakker joined this year as head of information technology. Enge, who will start his new job Oct. 1, wasn’t available for an interview, said Dag Dyrdal , manager of external relations at the fund. Slyngstad was previously also chief investment officer and his deputy, Hirsh, was chief operating officer. The other positions are newly created. The fund declined to provide the ages, said Norges Bank spokesman Vidar Korsberg Dalsboe. To contact the reporter on this story: Josiane Kremer in Oslo at Jkremer4@bloomberg.net .

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Stocks in U.S. Decline as Walmart Drop Outweighs Rising Technology Shares

August 28, 2009

By Elizabeth Stanton Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks declined as investors sold companies whose earnings are least tied to the economy, shifting into technology shares following better-than-estimated profit at Dell Inc. and Intel Corp.’s increased sales forecast. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., AT&T Inc. and McDonald’s Corp. lost more than 0.7 percent as makers of consumer goods, drugmakers and phone companies posted the steepest drops in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. Intel Corp., the world’s largest computer-chip company, climbed 4.5 percent and PC maker Dell rose 2.9 percent as technology demand improved. The S&P 500 lost 0.2 percent to 1,028.82 at 11:44 a.m. in New York after rising as much as 0.8 percent amid a rally in global stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 42.02 points, or 0.4 percent, to 9,538.61, dropping for the first time in nine days. “People are perhaps considering shifting from playing defense to playing offense,” said Lawrence Creatura , a money manager at Federated Clover Investment Advisors, which oversees $2 billion in Rochester, New York. “The offensive playbook says sell staples, sell safety, sell large-caps generically.” Makers of telephone equipment and drugs and suppliers of household goods failed to keep pace with the S&P 500 since the index hit its March 9 low, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. They also trailed the benchmark gauge for U.S. equities as it doubled between 2002 and 2007, with so-called consumer-staples providers climbing 40 percent and drugmakers increasing by 41 percent. Worst Performers Walmart fell 0.8 percent to $50.84, AT&T lost 0.9 percent to $26.18 and McDonald’s retreated 1.2 percent. The companies are among the six worst-performing stocks in the Dow average during its six-month, 46 percent rally. Intel added 4.3 percent to $20.30. The company raised its sales forecast for this quarter, adding to evidence that personal-computer demand is recovering. Third-quarter sales will be at least $8.8 billion, Intel said. That compares with at least $8.1 billion the company projected last month. The company also increased its gross-margin forecast for the period. Dell rose 2.7 percent to $16.07. The world’s second-biggest maker of personal computers topped profit and revenue estimates after slashing costs by contracting out production. To contact the reporter on this story: Elizabeth Stanton in New York at estanton@bloomberg.net .

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Intel Raises Sales Forecast in Sign Computer Demand Reviving; Shares Gain

August 28, 2009

By Ville Heiskanen and Amy Thomson Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — Intel Corp. , the world’s biggest chipmaker, raised its sales forecast for this quarter, adding to evidence that computer demand is recovering. Third-quarter sales will be at least $8.8 billion, Intel said in a statement today. That compares with at least $8.1 billion the company projected last month. The company also increased its gross-margin forecast for the period. Consumer demand for PCs in Asia, particularly China, has led to a rebound, Intel said last month. Moody’s Investors Service raised its outlook for the technology hardware industry this month, saying that orders are stabilizing. Dell Inc., the world’s second-biggest maker of personal computers, reported profit and revenue yesterday that topped analysts’ estimates. The company saw a pickup in sales of server computers, storage devices and low-cost notebooks. Intel, based in Santa Clara, California, advanced as much as $1.12, or 5.8 percent, to $20.59 in trading before U.S. exchanges opened. The stock closed at $19.47 yesterday on the Nasdaq Stock Market. To contact the reporter on this story: Ville Heiskanen in New York at vheiskanen@bloomberg.net

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Video: In-Depth Look – Filling Senator Kennedy’s Seat

August 28, 2009

Democrats and Republicans Squabble Over Selecting a Temporary Successor for the Late Sen. Kennedy (Bloomberg News)

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Video: In-Depth Look – Credit is Loosening in Auto Industry

August 28, 2009

According to Ford Americas President Mark Fields, Credit is “Thawing” (Bloomberg News)

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Video: Retail Outlook – Consumer Environment is Challenging

August 28, 2009

Analysis and Discussion with Matt Arnold of Edward Jones & Co. (Bloomberg News)

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Friday Diversion: Blackstone’s Schwarzman Lists, Producer Apatow Buys

August 28, 2009

Brown Harris Stevens Stephen Schwarzman’s Hamptons home. Click here to see more photos. Here’s a look at this week’s high-end real estate news: Blackstone Group Chief Executive Stephen Schwarzman lists a 2.1-acre property in East Hampton, N.Y., for $7.2 million. The property includes a shingled traditional home with four bedrooms, three bathrooms and a powder room in 3,250 square feet. It also has a pool, a pool house and a tennis court. Records show that Mr. Schwarzman bought the home for $2.3 million in 1996. He is currently finishing work on a house he’s building on a 9.9-acre estate in nearby Water Mill, which he bought for $34 million in 2005. He also owns a triplex apartment on Park Avenue in Manhattan and a 13,000-square-foot estate in Palm Beach, Fla. Click here to see photos of the Hamptons home. ( WSJ ) Movie producer Judd Apatow buys film producer Marty Adelstein’s fully-furnished house in the Brentwood Park neighborhood of Los Angeles for $18.8 million, about 6% less than the asking price. The 10,300-square-foot classic traditional sits on three-quarters of an acre and has five bedrooms, eight bathrooms and about 3,500 square feet for outdoor entertaining. It also has a pool and a screening room. The Adelsteins built the house in 2006. It wasn’t officially listed but had been shopped quietly for $20 million. ( WSJ ) Developer Bruce Ratner sells his home in Montauk, N.Y., to Chelsea art dealer David Zwirner for $10 million. Located on seven acres, the home measures 4,500 square feet. ( New York Post ) Actress Molly Shannon sells her New York City condominium for $2.61 million. Located in the Porter House building in Manhattan’s Chelsea neighborhood, the 1,836-square-foot home with three bedrooms sold for $1 million more than what Ms. Shannon paid for it six years ago. ( The Real Deal ) Film producer Daniel Dubiecki buys a 2,893-square-foot home in the Hollywood Hills from veteran actress and comedian Ruth Buzzi for $1.021 million. Built in 1937, the Spanish-style house has three bedrooms, three bathrooms, two decks and canyon and mountain views. Ms. Buzzi bought the two-story home in 1976 and first listed it last December for $1.55 million. ( Los Angeles Times ) Baltimore Ravens player Trevor Pryce sells his Los Angeles home for $2.1 million. Built in 2002, the 5,883-square-foot home has five bedrooms, six bathrooms, a pool and a four-car garage. Mr. Pryce and his wife, Sonya, bought the home in April 2008 for $2.2 million, according to public records. ( Los Angeles Times ) The estate of composer Frederick Loewe hits the market with a price tag of $5.95 million. Located in Palm Springs, Calif., the 4,369-square-foot home has four bedrooms and four-and-a-half bathrooms, as well as glass walls, a pool, a spa, a tennis court and a private putting green. Mr. Loewe died in 1988, ( Zillow )

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Video: In-Depth Look – Intel Raises Sales Forecast Again

August 28, 2009

Sizing Up Tech Demand – Analysis and Discussion with Kimberly Caughey of Fort-Pitt Capital Group (Bloomberg News)

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Pat Ryan Appointed General Manager of Salem Media of Boston

August 28, 2009

BOSTON, MA–(Marketwire – August 28, 2009) – Salem Communications announced that Pat Ryan has been appointed General Manager of its three Boston radio stations, WEZE (590 AM), WROL (950 AM) and WWDJ Radio Luz (1150AM). Ryan has more than 14 years of broadcasting experience all in the Salem Boston cluster. Most recently she served as General Sales Manager. Pat is a Boston native and holds a Masters Degree in Education from Eastern Nazarene College, Quincy, MA. In announcing this appointment, Joe D. Davis, President of Salem’s Radio Division, said, “Pat Ryan is the kind of manager we like to promote from within. She has proven her abilities with increasing levels of responsibility during her tenure with Salem, and has won the trust of staff and clients. When we needed someone to sell time on WROL right after we purchased it, Pat stepped right up and volunteered to take on additional responsibility. She has experienced one success after another since that day.”

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Video: Movie Spotlight – "September Issue"

August 28, 2009

Interview with Director R.J. Cutler (Bloomberg News)

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Sacramento’s RealtyCrack Addiction

August 28, 2009

New York Times – Sacramento economy’s addiction to realtycrack among nation’s highest From the Sacramento Business Journal : An upswing in home prices and a surprising rebound in consumer confidence this week have economists buoyant about a possible turnaround in the national economy. But for Sacramento? Not so much. Sacramentans’ mortgage debt, the weakness of the commercial real estate market and a bleak outlook for California overall have tempered any bright spots for the local economy. … “We predict things to get a little worse over the next 12 months,” said Ryan Sharp, director of The Center for Strategic Economic Research in Sacramento, which forecasts the region’s economy. “Sacramento isn’t going to outperform California.” … Ezra Becker, director of consulting and strategy for TransUnion’s financial services group…said Sacramentans’ mortgage problems are affecting spending habits. “A lot of people took pay cuts, they were laid off or had to make other adjustments,” he said. From the Sacramento Bee : A major credit reporting company predicts mortgage delinquency rates will continue rising in the Sacramento area – with 12 percent of homeowners falling at least two months behind on their payments by year’s end. That’s nearly twice the national projection and a dramatic jump from just two years ago, when less than 2 percent percent of area homeowners’ notes were delinquent. … Double-digit percentage unemployment and unpaid furlough days are increasingly catching up with homeowners who have “safe” fixed-rate loans, rather than the subprime loans that initially sparked the housing crisis. Mike Himes, director of NeighborWorks Homeownership Center in Sacramento, which counsels struggling and first-time homeowners, said his office is seeing more clients facing growing debt and making choices between house payments and other expenses. His clientele includes a growing number of state workers whose paychecks have been pared by unpaid furloughs. “There’s a lot of money borrowed to stay in the house and keep up with living expenses,” Himes said. “This is becoming more and more of a problem.”

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Video: Inside Look – Japanese Equities Post Election

August 28, 2009

Interview with Gloom, Boom, & Doom Report Editor Marc Faber (Bloomberg News)

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Video: In-Depth Look – California’s Garage Sale

August 28, 2009

Interview and discussion with Rick Levin of the Rick Levin and Associates. He gives his insights about the California’s garage sale. He says other state may follow California’s example. (Bloomberg News)

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UHY Advisors in New York Announces the Promotion of Anthony Tomaro as Managing Director and a Partner of UHY LLP

August 28, 2009

NEW YORK, NY–(Marketwire – August 28, 2009) – UHY Advisors NY, Inc. announces the promotion of Anthony Tomaro as a managing director of UHY Advisors in New York and a partner of UHY LLP, a national accounting firm. Tony, 44, of Smithtown, NY, has more than 20 years of experience in the accounting profession. He was most recently a Partner with Marcum & Kliegman LLP in Melville, NY until joining UHY Advisors earlier this year as a Principal. In his new role, Tony will continue to be based in New York City and manage a variety of corporate client audit engagements under the direction of UHY LLP. He will have responsibility for developing new business for the firm throughout Metro New York.

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Better Place Wins 2009 INDEX: Design to Improve Life Award

August 28, 2009

Better Place Wins 2009 INDEX: Design to Improve Life Award

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