October 2009

ArcelorMittal posts $903m profit in Q3

October 28, 2009

ArcelorMittal posts $903m profit in Q3

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Malaysia opens up its auto sector

October 28, 2009

Malaysia opens up its auto sector

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IATA to lobby governments on emission targets

October 28, 2009

IATA to lobby governments on emission targets

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Attiyah: Opec to boost output if supply short

October 28, 2009

Attiyah: Opec to boost output if supply short

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Valero Energy suffers $489m loss in Q3

October 28, 2009

Valero Energy suffers $489m loss in Q3

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McDonald’s to exit Iceland market

October 28, 2009

McDonald’s to exit Iceland market

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Serena: I’d hate to be on men’s tour

October 28, 2009

Serena: I’d hate to be on men’s tour

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English soccer team Tottenham submit plans for new stadium

October 28, 2009

English soccer team Tottenham submit plans for new stadium

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Kroenke edges closer to football club Arsenal takeover mark

October 28, 2009

Kroenke edges closer to football club Arsenal takeover mark

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Golf: Casey back as World Match Play goes Spanish

October 28, 2009

Golf: Casey back as World Match Play goes Spanish

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China Armco Metals, Inc. Appoints Three Independent Members to Its Board of Directors

October 28, 2009

SAN MATEO, CA–(Marketwire – October 28, 2009) – China Armco Metals, Inc. ( OTCBB : CNAM ), a distributor of imported metal ore with plans to launch a new state of the art scrap metal recycling facility in China, today announced that the Board of Directors has appointed Tao Pang, Heping Ma and William Thomson as directors of China Armco Metals. In addition, China Armco Metals established an Audit Committee, Compensation Committee and Nominating and Governance Committee and each of the directors were appointed to serve on these committees. The Board has determined that each of the newly appointed directors qualify as independent directors under the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

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China Armco Metals, Inc. Appoints Three Independent Members to Its Board of Directors

October 28, 2009

SAN MATEO, CA–(Marketwire – October 28, 2009) – China Armco Metals, Inc. ( OTCBB : CNAM ), a distributor of imported metal ore with plans to launch a new state of the art scrap metal recycling facility in China, today announced that the Board of Directors has appointed Tao Pang, Heping Ma and William Thomson as directors of China Armco Metals. In addition, China Armco Metals established an Audit Committee, Compensation Committee and Nominating and Governance Committee and each of the directors were appointed to serve on these committees. The Board has determined that each of the newly appointed directors qualify as independent directors under the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

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China Armco Metals, Inc. Appoints Three Independent Members to Its Board of Directors

October 28, 2009

SAN MATEO, CA–(Marketwire – October 28, 2009) – China Armco Metals, Inc. ( OTCBB : CNAM ), a distributor of imported metal ore with plans to launch a new state of the art scrap metal recycling facility in China, today announced that the Board of Directors has appointed Tao Pang, Heping Ma and William Thomson as directors of China Armco Metals. In addition, China Armco Metals established an Audit Committee, Compensation Committee and Nominating and Governance Committee and each of the directors were appointed to serve on these committees. The Board has determined that each of the newly appointed directors qualify as independent directors under the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

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China Armco Metals, Inc. Appoints Three Independent Members to Its Board of Directors

October 28, 2009

SAN MATEO, CA–(Marketwire – October 28, 2009) – China Armco Metals, Inc. ( OTCBB : CNAM ), a distributor of imported metal ore with plans to launch a new state of the art scrap metal recycling facility in China, today announced that the Board of Directors has appointed Tao Pang, Heping Ma and William Thomson as directors of China Armco Metals. In addition, China Armco Metals established an Audit Committee, Compensation Committee and Nominating and Governance Committee and each of the directors were appointed to serve on these committees. The Board has determined that each of the newly appointed directors qualify as independent directors under the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

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Pain Persists, But Worst May Be Over for Nation’s Industrial Real Estate Market

October 28, 2009

The vacancy rate for U.S. industrial space eclipsed 10% and negative absorption topped 44 million square feet in the third quarter of this year as companies continued to shed warehouse, flex and manufacturing space in the face of continuing job losses…

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Pain Persists, But Worst May Be Over for Nation’s Industrial Real Estate Market

October 28, 2009

The vacancy rate for U.S. industrial space eclipsed 10% and negative absorption topped 44 million square feet in the third quarter of this year as companies continued to shed warehouse, flex and manufacturing space in the face of continuing job losses…

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Pain Persists, But Worst May Be Over for Nation’s Industrial Real Estate Market

October 28, 2009

The vacancy rate for U.S. industrial space eclipsed 10% and negative absorption topped 44 million square feet in the third quarter of this year as companies continued to shed warehouse, flex and manufacturing space in the face of continuing job losses…

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AIG Dismantled by Asian, European Buyers as Dollar Plunges to 14-Month Low

October 28, 2009

By Hugh Son Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — American International Group Inc. , once the world’s largest insurer, is being dismantled by Asian and European buyers spurred by the plunge in the dollar and a dearth of U.S. bidders. More than 90 percent of $9 billion in assets AIG agreed to sell since its bailout last year have non-U.S. acquirers, according to a Bloomberg analysis. AIG’s rival U.S. insurers have been hobbled by more than $90 billion in credit losses and writedowns since 2007. The index that Intercontinental Exchange Inc. uses to track the dollar against currencies including the euro, yen and Swiss franc reached a 14-month low last week. “You have a weak dollar combined with the availability of quality assets at discounted values,” Hector Cuellar , president of McGladrey Capital Markets LLC , the Costa Mesa, California investment bank, said in an interview. “It’s the perfect storm for the foreign buyer, and they’ll continue to have the advantage over domestic players.” AIG, rescued in September 2008 after wrong-way housing market bets pushed the insurer to the brink of collapse, is selling assets to repay loans included in its $182.3 billion bailout package. Transactions involving New York-based AIG’s U.S. businesses and overseas buyers include the $2 billion sale of an auto insurer to Zurich Financial Services AG and the $815 million deal to sell an equipment guarantor to Munich Re. Takeovers in the U.S. insurance industry by buyers outside the country total $4 billion this year through yesterday, representing 86 percent of the purchases by value, according to Bloomberg data. That compares with $9.5 billion, or 39 percent of the total in 2008. Canada, Australia Lincoln National Corp. struck a deal in August to sell its asset manager to Sydney-based Macquarie Group Ltd. for $428 million and sold a U.K. subsidiary to Canada’s Sun Life Financial Inc. this month for more than $300 million. Philadelphia-based Lincoln took a $950 million bailout after investment losses. “The focus of the global financial meltdown has largely centered on U.S. assets,” said David Havens , managing director at investment bank Hexagon Securities LLC in New York. “U.S. life insurers and banks have a significant amount of troubled assets right now and their capital has been depleted.” European firms including Zurich and Munich Re that were expanding in North America before the financial crisis were more conservative in their investments than U.S. rivals, putting them in a “much better position to take advantage of this market” and add customers beyond their home nations, Havens said. Hong Kong, Korea AIG agreed to divest its asset manager to Hong Kong billionaire Richard Li’s Pacific Century Group for about $500 million and its New York headquarters to a group including South Korea-based Kumho Investment Bank for an undisclosed price. Mark Herr , an AIG spokesman, declined to comment. The insurer, built over almost four decades by former Chief Executive Officer Maurice “Hank” Greenberg to include operations in more than 100 countries, has divested non-U.S. units mostly to buyers expanding in their own regions. The insurer’s biggest deal was the $2.15 billion agreement this month to sell a Taiwan life unit to a group led by Hong Kong-based Primus Financial Holdings Ltd. AIG sold Canadian life units to Bank of Montreal and a stake in a Brazilian venture to Sao Paulo-based Uniao de Bancos Brasileiros SA, which later merged with Banco Itau Holding Financeira SA. ‘Regional Players’ “The main driver for foreign firms to purchase these assets is that many of AIG’s foreign subsidiaries are gems,” said Kirby Daley , a senior strategist in Hong Kong with Newedge Group’s prime brokerage business. They “greatly enhance and bolster the existing regional players who are purchasing them.” Aflac Inc. , the largest seller of supplemental insurance, said last year it lost interest in purchasing Japan operations from AIG because of declines in the Columbus, Georgia-based company’s share price and higher borrowing costs. “Right now, I think cash is king and liquidity is more important than acquisitions,” Aflac CEO Dan Amos said in a Nov. 14 interview. The largest announced deal involving a U.S. buyer was with Illinois-based Wintrust Financial Corp. , which agreed in July to pay about $679.5 million for a business that makes loans to wealthy life insurance buyers. AIG’s $9 billion in announced sales excludes a $1.14 billion public offering of shares in a reinsurer and $1.9 billion in energy holding divestitures, mostly to undisclosed buyers. The company has secured agreements to sell a total of about $12 billion in assets. Alico, AIA The insurer has placed its two biggest non-U.S. life insurance units, American International Assurance Co. and American Life Insurance Co., into special-purpose vehicles to pay down its debts to the Federal Reserve by $25 billion. The company plans to hold public offerings for the divisions if it can’t get satisfactory bids from competitors. MetLife Inc. , the largest U.S. life insurer, offered $11.2 billion for American Life Insurance earlier this year, people familiar with the bid said in February. MetLife Chief Financial Officer William Wheeler said last month he likes the company’s “chances” to acquire businesses outside the U.S. after the recession hobbled competitors. To contact the reporter on this story: Hugh Son in New York at hson1@bloomberg.net

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Afghan Taliban Kill Six United Nations Staff in Raid on Kabul Guesthouse

October 28, 2009

By Ed Johnson and James Rupert Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Six United Nations international workers were killed and nine wounded when insurgents attacked a guesthouse today in the Afghan capital, Kabul, where officials are preparing for next month’s presidential runoff election. Gunmen opened fire outside the main gate to the Bakhtar Guesthouse at about 6:30 a.m. local time and forced their way inside, killing UN workers as they “were running to escape,” UN spokesman Aleem Siddique said by telephone from Kabul. The Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack that left 10 people dead, saying it was intended to disrupt preparations for the vote, the Associated Press reported. Militants also fired a rocket, which failed to explode, into the grounds of the luxury Serena Hotel, forcing guests and employees to flee to the basement, the news agency said. Kabul has been on alert for a militant assault as Afghans prepare to vote on Nov. 7 to choose between incumbent President Hamid Karzai and former Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah . The capital has been hit several times in recent weeks, including a suicide bombing outside the Indian Embassy earlier this month that killed 17 people. The guesthouse is on a tree-lined street in Shahr-i-Nau, a central Kabul neighborhood where many government and international organizations have offices and residences. UN workers were injured, many with cuts and bruises suffered as they fled, Siddique said. “We’re trying to assure the safety of our staff, and we don’t know yet the identities of everyone who was killed,” he added. Machine Guns Taliban spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid said in a telephone call that three militants with suicide vests, grenades and machine guns carried out the assault, AP reported. Three militants wearing explosive-packed vests were killed, Agence France-Presse reported, citing the Interior Ministry. Kabul is under a “very significant threat” from the Taliban, who are escalating attacks against the capital, said Rohan Gunaratna , head of the Singapore-based International Centre for Political Violence and Terrorism Research. “One successful attack like this in Kabul sends a powerful message to the Afghan people and the international community that the Taliban will continue to fight and will not give up,” Gunaratna said by telephone. The assault came a day after eight U.S. soldiers were killed by roadside bombs in southern Afghanistan, making October the deadliest month for American forces in the eight-year conflict. President Barack Obama is reviewing his war strategy for Afghanistan and accusations of electoral fraud have complicated his decision on whether to grant the request of General Stanley McChrystal , the commander of U.S. and NATO-led forces in Afghanistan, to increase U.S. troop levels in the country. The runoff was triggered by a partial recount of the Aug. 20 vote that found more than 1 million ballots, most of them for Karzai, were suspect, putting his tally below the more than 50 percent needed to win in the first round. To contact the reporters on this story: Ed Johnson in Sydney at ejohnson28@bloomberg.net ; James Rupert in New Delhi at jrupert3@bloomberg.net .

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Pakistan Market Bombing Kills 60 as Clinton Arrives for Talks on Terrorism

October 28, 2009

By Farhan Sharif and Indira A.R. Lakshmanan Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — At least 44 people were killed and 100 injured by a bombing in a crowded Pakistani market as Secretary of State Hillary Clinton began her first official visit to the country to support the fight against terrorism. “Bodies are scattered and badly burned because of a fire caused by the explosion,” Mohammed Naeem, a spokesman for the Edhi Ambulance Service said today by telephone from Peshawar, the site of the explosion. Pakistan’s military is engaged in a campaign to rout Islamic militants from strongholds in South Waziristan along the porous border with Afghanistan. The almost two-week assault has sparked retaliatory suicide bombings and assaults that have claimed more than 150 lives before today’s attack, prompting tight security and secrecy around Clinton’s visit. Clinton, arriving in Islamabad on a three-day visit, is seeking to douse tension that flared this month over perceived conditions attached to a new U.S. assistance bill and back a military offensive against Taliban militants who have carried out suicide attacks. “We are turning the page on what had been in the past several years primarily a security, anti-terrorism agenda,” Clinton told reporters traveling with her. While security remains “our highest priority,” she said she’ll highlight U.S. support for the civilian government and initiatives on energy and economic development. Praising the resolve of authorities in fighting insurgents, she said it is “important for Americans and others to recognize the high price the Pakistanis are paying” in civilian, police and military casualties in battling allies of al-Qaeda. Army Anger Clinton traveled to Islamabad less than two weeks after a visit to Washington by Pakistani Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi . He conveyed the anger of Pakistan’s military establishment, government opponents and media over perceived strings attached to a $1.5 billion annual U.S. aid package passed by Congress last month. “It is unfortunate that there are those who question our motives who are perhaps skeptical that we are going to be there for the long term,” Clinton said. Language in the Enhanced Partnership with Pakistan Act became a rallying point for opponents of the government of Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari , and she said the outcry was misplaced. “There is misunderstanding,” Clinton said. “These aren’t conditions on Pakistan so much as they are metrics for measuring whether we think our aid is being productive.” The bill requires the Secretary of State to certify civilian control of Pakistan’s military, cooperation with counter-terrorism, protection of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal and compliance with international non-proliferation standards. Defense Bill An unrelated U.S. defense bill passed last week requires the secretaries of State and Defense to report to Congress on whether payments to Pakistan are spent in line with U.S. interests and not diverted to military spending against India. Clinton’s visit — to include meetings with tribal elders, women, journalists, civic leaders and government officials in Islamabad and Lahore — is intended to dispel fears the U.S. will abandon the region when counterterrorism objectives are accomplished. Polls show a majority of Pakistanis disapprove of U.S. policy, especially unmanned air strikes on suspected insurgent hideouts in tribal regions. Strong anti-American sentiment could “jeopardize the U.S. ability to partner with Pakistan effectively,” said Lisa Curtis , a senior research fellow at the Heritage Foundation in Washington. The Kerry-Lugar-Berman civilian aid bill signed this month by President Barack Obama authorizes $7.5 billion over five years for road construction, schools, power facilities and livelihood projects. It’s in addition to about $7.6 billion in U.S. military payments to reimburse Pakistan for counterterrorism spending since 2001. Obama’s Challenge Obama is weighing how to address a worsening regional insurgency eight years after the Sept. 11 terror attack on the U.S. and the retreat of its architects into tribal areas along the Pakistan-Afghan border. Pakistani authorities may raise their concern with Clinton that U.S. and NATO-led forces in Afghanistan must not abandon frontier posts lest militants seek haven on either side. In the Afghan capital of Kabul today, gunmen stormed a United Nations guesthouse and killed six UN workers in an attack the Taliban said was aimed at disrupting next month’s Afghan presidential runoff election. Eight more U.S. troops killed by bombings in Afghanistan made October the deadliest month for the U.S. since its 2001 invasion. Since May, the Pakistani army has cracked down on extremists who previously enjoyed some support from authorities. That has sparked an internal refugee crisis, suicide bombings on busy streets, assaults on military bases and the assassination of an army brigadier this month. The attacks have diminished public sympathy for religious extremists. Disengagement Asked if Pakistani security services had ceased to collaborate with militant groups they have sponsored as proxies in skirmishes with India, Clinton said, “We are constantly assessing that, because it remains a concern.” Still, “the level of cooperation that we have received from the Pakistani military and intelligence services has increased geometrically” since Obama took office in January, she said. “Nine months is not a lot of time to turn around a relationship that has a lot of scars,” Clinton said. The secretary acknowledged the U.S. helped create Muslim militias known as the mujahadeen in the 1980s and then abandoned the region after the Soviets were driven out. To contact the reporter on this story: Indira Lakshmanan in Islamabad at ilakshmanan@bloomberg.net

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ECB Says Banks Expect to Ease Credit Standards for Companies This Quarter

October 28, 2009

By Jana Randow Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — European banks expect to ease credit standards for companies in the current quarter after tightening them less aggressively in the third, the European Central Bank said. “For the fourth quarter of 2009, the euro-area banks expect a slight net easing of credit standards for loans to enterprises,” the Frankfurt-based ECB said in its bank lending survey published today. In the third quarter, a net 8 percent of the banks surveyed reported a tightening in credit standards for enterprises, down from a net 21 percent in the second quarter, the ECB said. The worst recession since World War II has made banks reluctant to lend and eroded company and household demand for credit. While the euro-area economy may have resumed expansion in the third quarter, growth is likely to remain muted unless credit flows improve and spending increases. The bank lending survey “confirms the indications of a turning-point in the tightening trend,” the ECB said. “At the same time, it needs to be kept in mind that the cumulated net tightening during the financial turmoil has not yet started to reverse itself and remains very substantial.” The ECB, which cut its benchmark interest rate to a record low of 1 percent in May, is buying covered bonds and providing banks with as much cash as they want in an effort to revive lending. To contact the reporter on this story: Jana Randow in Frankfurt at jrandow@bloomberg.net .

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Dubai’s Planned Islamic Bond Sale Gets $6.55 Billion of Bids, Bankers Say

October 28, 2009

By Haris Anwar and Vivian Salama Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Dubai’s planned Islamic bond issue attracted bids worth $5 billion for the dollar-denominated offer and 5.7 billion dirhams ($1.55 billion) for the dirham-floating note, bankers involved in the deal said today. The emirate’s five-year fixed rate dollar bond may be priced to yield 375 basis points above the midswap rate, while its dirham Islamic bonds, or sukuk, may be priced at the same spread above the three-month interbank offered rate , according to the bankers who didn’t want to be identified because the sale hasn’t been completed. Dubai and its state-controlled companies are raising funds after they amassed $80 billion of debt during a four-year real- estate boom, which produced the world’s tallest building and largest man-made islands. The global credit crunch had raised concern that the second-biggest sheikhdom in the United Arab Emirates may be unable to meet its debt obligations. “The order book shows that Dubai’s story is gaining credibility,” Chavan Bhogaita , head of credit research at National Bank of Abu Dhabi PJSC, said. “The sukuk format makes sense for Dubai now. There has been a lack of issuance in the Gulf sukuk market in recent months and they want to take advantage of the demand for this asset class.” Islamic debt is governed by Shariah laws barring investors from profiting from the exchange of money, as happens with interest payments on other bonds. Returns from exchanging funds for assets is allowed, as long as gambling, guns and alcohol aren’t involved. To contact the reporters on this story: Haris Anwar in Dubai on Hanwar2@bloomberg.net Vivian Salama in Dubai vsalama@bloomberg.net ; or

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Banco Santander Third-Quarter Profit Advances 0.7% on Brazil, U.K. Growth

October 28, 2009

By Charles Penty Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Banco Santander SA, Europe’s second- biggest lender by market value, said third-quarter profit rose 0.7 percent as higher earnings from the U.K and Brazil countered loan losses. Net income increased to 2.22 billion euros ($3.29 billion) from 2.21 billion euros a year earlier, the Santander, Spain- based lender said in a filing to regulators today. That beat the 2.20 billion-euro median estimate in a survey of nine analysts. Spain’s biggest bank has captured market share in the U.K. by expanding its business beyond mortgages and savings products as rival lenders focus on rebuilding damaged balance sheets. Chairman Emilio Botin is boosting capital as Santander battles recessions in Spain and Mexico and seeks growth in Brazil, where its Sao Paulo-based bank raised 14.1 billion reais ($8.2 billion) in an initial public offering this month. “It’s a diversified international bank with a strong capital base that’s able to pay a good yield while many others cannot,” said Andrea Williams , who helps manage 1.2 billion pounds ($2 billion) at Royal London Asset Management in London. “The U.K. is looking good for them as is the Latin American franchise with the Brazilian economy so robust.” Shares of the 152-year-old lender have risen 68 percent this year, compared with a 44 percent gain in the 63-member Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index. Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA, Spain’s second-biggest bank, which reported a drop of less than 1 percent in third-quarter profit yesterday, has gained 44 percent. Santander repeated guidance that it would match last year’s profit of 8.88 billion euros in 2009 and would maintain the amount paid out the shareholders at 4.81 billion euros. Spanish Slump Costs for provisioning bad loans, amid the worst Spanish recession in 60 years, rose to 2.57 billion euros from 1.79 billion euros, the bank said. Bad loans as a proportion of total credit climbed to 3.03 percent from 2.82 percent in June and 1.71 percent a year ago. Loans classed as “dubious” on its books almost doubled to 22.7 billion euros. Third-quarter profit from the U.K. jumped to 430 million euros from 317 million euros a year earlier, Santander said. Profit from Brazil rose to 628 million euros from 477 million euros. Santander may earn 4 billion euros from Brazil in 2011, making it the biggest contributor to profit at the bank, dwarfing an estimated 3.2 billion euros from its Spanish business, Evolution Securities said in an Oct. 5 report. The bank used 2.25 billion euros from its Brazilian share sale and a debt exchange to bolster its reserves and fund early retirements and other costs. To contact the reporters on this story: Charles Penty in Madrid at cpenty@bloomberg.net

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European, Asian Stocks Retreat; MSCI World Index Declines for Seventh Day

October 28, 2009

By Sarah Jones Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — European stock-index futures fell and Asian shares declined as SAP AG cut its software sales forecast and Canon Inc. posted a seventh straight quarterly profit drop. U.S. futures were little changed. SAP may decline after the world’s biggest maker of business-management software also reported third-quarter profit that trailed analysts’ estimates. Canon, the largest camera maker, retreated 3.4 percent in Tokyo. Heineken NV may be active after the brewer raised its earnings forecast. Futures on the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 Index slipped 0.5 percent at 7:25 a.m. in London. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index is set to open 20 points lower, according to BGC Partners. Europe’s Stoxx 600 snapped a three-day losing streak yesterday as profits from BP Plc and Vestas Wind Systems A/S that beat estimates overshadowed an unexpected drop in U.S. consumer confidence. The gauge has declined 2.8 percent from this year’s high on Oct. 19 amid speculation that a seven-month rally has outpaced prospects for earnings and economic growth. Still, 65 percent of the 83 companies in the Stoxx 600 that have reported earnings since Oct. 7 have beaten analyst estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. In the U.S., third-quarter results have topped projections for more than 84 percent of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index companies. S&P 500 futures expiring in December added less than 0.1 percent after the benchmark index for U.S. equities slid for three straight days. Reports today may show orders for durable goods and sales of new houses rose in September, capping the strongest quarter of U.S. economic growth in two years, economists said. Canon, SAP The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 1.1 percent today as Canon’s lower profit and losses at National Australia Bank Ltd. raised concern about the strength of the global recovery. SAP may decline. The German software maker posted an 11 percent increase in third-quarter profit to 435 million euros ($645 million) and said software sales will drop more than forecast as customers spend less. Sales fell 9.2 percent to 2.51 billion euros. Net income was seen at 454 million euros on sales of 2.63 billion euros, according to the average estimates of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Canon fell 3.4 percent to 3,460 yen. The company reported a 56 percent drop in third-quarter net income to 36.7 billion yen ($399 million). Canon maintained its forecast for a 64 percent decline in annual net income and a 22 percent drop in sales. Heineken, ArcelorMittal Heineken may be active. The world’s third-largest brewer said that it expects so-called net profit excluding one-time gains and losses, interest, amortization, currency moves and acquisitions to grow in “low double digits” this year, up from the previous outlook for a gain of “at least high single digits.” ArcelorMittal may move after the steelmaker reported third- quarter net income of $903 million, its first quarterly profit in a year, after restarting furnaces and raising shipments as demand rebounded. A report today may show U.S. bookings for goods meant to last several years gained 1 percent in September, the fourth increase in the past six months, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. New-Home purchases climbed last month to the highest level in more than year, a separate report may show. To contact the reporter on this story: Sarah Jones in London at sjones35@bloomberg.net .

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SAP Cuts Full-Year Sales Forecast as Customers Reduce Spending on Software

October 28, 2009

By Simon Thiel and Ragnhild Kjetland Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — SAP AG , the world’s biggest maker of business-management software, said sales will drop more than initially forecast this year as customers spend less amid the economic slump. SAP, which today reported a 12 percent increase in third- quarter profit, cut its sales outlook for the second time this year. Software and related service revenue will fall 6 percent to 8 percent in 2009 at constant currencies, excluding a writedown from acquiring Business Objects SA , it said in an e- mailed statement. In July, it had predicted a drop of 4 percent to 6 percent. “While we are seeing signs of stabilization in the general environment, the market remains difficult,” Chief Financial Officer Werner Brandt said in the statement. Software sales suffered in the economic slowdown, as businesses put off spending to conserve cash. SAP customers include Apple Inc., Coca-Cola Co., and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. Last month, SAP’s biggest rival, Oracle Corp. , reported sales, including revenue from acquired companies, slid 6.6 percent to $5.06 billion in the three months to Aug. 31. Walldorf, Germany-based SAP’s net income rose in the third quarter to 435 million euros ($645 million), from 389 million euros a year earlier, the company said. Sales slipped 9.2 percent to 2.51 billion euros. Net income had been seen at 454 million euros on sales of 2.63 billion euros, according to average estimates of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Margins “Third-quarter software and software-related service revenues came in lower than we expected mainly because of a particularly challenging environment in the emerging markets and Japan,” Brandt said. Third-quarter non-Gaap revenue from software and related services fell to 1.94 billion euros from 2.04 billion euros a year earlier. SAP reiterated its target for the full-year non-GAAP operating margin to be between 25.5 percent and 27 percent, excluding a writedown and charges for acquiring Business Objects. In the third quarter, the non-GAAP operating margin was 26.9 percent, compared with 26.1 percent a year earlier. “This demonstrates our continued success in maintaining tight cost controls,” Brandt said. SAP said earlier it would cut 3,000 jobs this year in the first redundancy program since the company’s foundation in 1972. Today, the company said it had cut 2,900 positions in the first nine months, for a restructuring charge of 186 million euros. Acquisitions SAP, whose software is used by companies to manage tasks such as payroll, has said it could spend as much as 5 billion euros on takeovers to win market share from competitors, which include Redwood City, California-based Oracle. In September, executive board member John Schwarz said the company would look for broader opportunities after the 4.8 billion-euro acquisition of Business Objects last year. Typically, the company has acquired small rivals to add pieces of software to existing products. Oracle’s main growth strategy is through acquisition and it has bought 53 companies in four years. To contact the reporters on this story: Simon Thiel in London at sthiel1@bloomberg.net ; Ragnhild Kjetland in Frankfurt at rkjetland@bloomberg.net

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Q3 Retail Real Estate Report: Better but Not Out of the Woods Yet

October 28, 2009

CoStar Group subscribers who attended this week’s webinar led by Jay Spivey, CoStar Group’s Senior Director of Research & Analytics, were provided with the latest insights on the state of the nation’s retail commercial real estate industry covering economic…

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Lease Up/Lease Down (Oct. 25-31): Big Renewals in Tri-State Area

October 28, 2009

News of corporate expansions, relocations, extensions, closures, layoffs, lease cancellations and mergers has been consolidated into Lease Up/Lease Down. Look to Lease Up/Lease Down every week for valuable information that can be used as a source…

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Lease Up/Lease Down (Oct. 25-31): Big Renewals in Tri-State Area

October 28, 2009

News of corporate expansions, relocations, extensions, closures, layoffs, lease cancellations and mergers has been consolidated into Lease Up/Lease Down. Look to Lease Up/Lease Down every week for valuable information that can be used as a source…

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World Series Games Worth $15.5 Million Each to New York City Businesses

October 28, 2009

By Henry Goldman and Aaron Kuriloff Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Each World Series game played at Yankee Stadium adds $15.5 million to the New York City economy, according to an estimate by the city’s Economic Development Corp. The New York Yankees could play as many as four games against the Philadelphia Phillies in the new, $1.5 billion Bronx stadium, each worth about 30 percent more to city businesses than an ordinary Major League Baseball playoff game, according to David Lombino , a spokesman for the corporation. More fans visit overnight during the title round than during the earlier playoffs, more press attend and fans spend more, Lombino said in an e-mail. The EDC is a city-owned corporation that owns and leases property and finances private projects intended to create jobs and stimulate the city economy. It estimated this month that each playoff game already played in earlier rounds was worth $6.7 million in direct spending and $11.9 million in total economic impact to the city. That includes money spent by visitors, players and media on hotels, retail, transportation and dining, assuming that about 34,000 people attend the game who don’t live in the city, the analysis said. It also estimated the indirect economic impact, such as workers spending money earned at the stadium, at $5.2 million. Victor Matheson, who teaches sports economics at the College of Holy Cross in Worcester, Massachusetts, said the World Series may just bring in money originally destined for elsewhere in the city’s economy. “When New Yorkers spend their money on World Series games, they’re not spending as much on Broadway shows,” Matheson said in an interview. To contact the reporter on this story: Henry Goldman in New York at hgoldman@bloomberg.net ; Aaron Kuriloff in New York at akuriloff@bloomberg.net .

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Yankees Get Money’s Worth at New Stadium With Record Home-Field Advantage

October 28, 2009

By Erik Matuszewski Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — The New York Yankees are getting their money’s worth out of their new $1.5 billion ballpark. They’ve won 57 times at Yankee Stadium this season to tie a Major League Baseball record for a team in a new ballpark, while they are 5-0 at home in the playoffs and 36-8 in New York since the All-Star break. The Yankees host the defending-champion Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of the World Series tonight with designs on becoming the second franchise since 1923 to open a stadium with a World Series title. “I don’t think our players feel invincible, but we feel this park is good for us,” manager Joe Girardi said in advance of the Yankees’ workout yesterday. “We’ve had a lot of great things that have happened in this ballpark late in games. That’s a good feeling.” In the past 86 years, the only team to win a World Series title in its first year in a new stadium was the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006. Before the 1923 Yankees, who claimed the championship in their first year at the old Yankee Stadium, the last team to do it was the 1912 Boston Red Sox. The Yankees spent 85 years in their former home, appearing in 37 World Series and winning a record 26 titles behind Hall of Fame players such as Babe Ruth , Lou Gehrig , Joe DiMaggio , Mickey Mantle , Yogi Berra and Reggie [bn:PRSN=1] Jackson. [] Home Wins The shell of the old stadium still stands, just across the street from the new park. After beginning this season with a 6-7 record at the new stadium, New York has gone 56-17 since Alex Rodriguez recovered from hip surgery. “There’s definitely a special mystique when you walk into Yankee Stadium, new or old,” said Phillies outfielder Jayson Werth , whose stepfather Dennis played for the Yankees from 1978- 81. “It’s the cathedral of baseball. It’s where everybody wanted to play as a kid.” The Yankees had 36 comeback victories at home this year, breaking the franchise-record of 32 set by the 1932 Yankees championship team, according to the Elias Sports Bureau, baseball’s official statistician. This season’s team won 15 times at Yankee Stadium in the game’s final at-bat, the most in the majors. Extending their home success in Game 1 may be a crucial first step in the Yankees’ quest for a 27th championship. Teams winning the opening game have won six consecutive World Series titles and 11 of the past 12. “It’s a great thing going to the World Series in the first year of a new stadium,” Yankees outfielder Nick Swisher told MLB.com . “To be able to make memories of our own is a wonderful way to start this off.” Game 1 Starters CC Sabathia will pitch Game 1 for the Yankees against Cliff Lee , his former teammate with the Cleveland Indians. Sabathia and Lee have a combined 0.96 earned run average this postseason and exchanged text messages in advance of today’s showdown. “A couple years ago we were talking about maybe pitching in a World Series together, now we’re in different clubhouses,” said Sabathia, who threw the first pitch at Yankee Stadium this season. “It’s just a little weird, but it’ll be fun.” Lee is 2-2 with a 5.91 ERA at Yankee Stadium, and in his only start at the park this year allowed one run over six innings while with Cleveland. In Game 2 tomorrow in New York, the Phillies will turn to Pedro Martinez , who had a career 8-4 record with a 2.95 ERA in 16 career starts at the old Yankee Stadium while pitching for the New York Mets and Red Sox. He’ll be opposed by A.J. Burnett . The best-of-seven series then shifts to Philadelphia before returning to New York for a sixth and seventh game, if necessary. The Phillies are 11-1 at Citizens Bank Park over their past five postseason series. Home Run Hitters In addition to pitching, power may play a pivotal role in determining the champion. The Yankees and Phillies combined for 468 home runs this season, the most for two teams entering the World Series. The Yankees set a franchise-record with a major league-high 244 homers, while the Phillies led the National League with 224. The teams hit 12 homers — six each — during a three-game series at Yankee Stadium in May, when the Phillies won twice. “I don’t think those games really hold a lot of weight at this time of year,” said Werth, who has five homers this postseason. “But we went 2-1 there, so we feel comfortable going into Yankee Stadium.” To contact the reporter on this story: Erik Matuszewski in New York at matuszewski@bloomberg.net

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Irish Pubs Cut Beer Prices After Pound Slide Leaves Economy `High and Dry

October 28, 2009

By Dara Doyle and Louisa Fahy Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) — Dublin’s Thomas Read Group grew into a chain of more than 20 pubs as Ireland’s economy boomed in the mid 1990s. After real estate prices collapsed and drinkers stayed at home, the bars are being sold off. A receiver, who has the power to sell assets to recover debt, is seeking buyers for nine of the city’s most fashionable hostelries. The bars on the block include Ron Black’s, home to the Champagne Bar during the boom, and the Harbourmaster in Dublin’s financial district, minutes walk from Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. offices. “The sale of the Thomas Read pubs will be an acid test for the market,” said John Ryan, director of hotels and licensed premises sales at CB Richard Ellis Group Inc. in Dublin. In a country famed for its pub culture, the industry is mirroring the rise and fall of Irish fortunes. Pubs surged in value as Ireland transformed into one of Europe’s richest countries from among its poorest, with developers snapping up buildings to refurbish and cater to free- spending Irish drinkers or convert into apartments. Property brokers now estimate prices for pubs have sunk as much as 40 percent as Ireland suffered the worst collapse in its modern history. The benchmark ISEQ stock index has lost 48 percent over the past 18 months, with pub supplier C&C Group Plc , the maker of Magners cider, dropping 37 percent. “At the height of the Celtic Tiger, it was a different process entirely — there would be full auction rooms with any sort of a decent pub,” said Aidan Heffernan, an auctioneer at Dublin-based Sherry Fitzgerald Group . “The day is fast coming to an end when we would have 15 or 16 pubs in a town.” Dry Market Heffernan last month sold the Royal Denn pub in Athboy , a medieval town 40 miles (64 kilometers) northwest of Dublin, for 470,000 euros ($702,000). Six years ago, the owners rejected a 750,000-euro offer as too low, he said. The sale of the Thomas Read pubs and one restaurant will be a better gauge of the collapse of the market, said Ryan. Only one Dublin bar so far was sold publicly this year, he said. Six changed hands last year, less than 1 percent of the total number of pubs, dropping from 4.8 percent in 2006 when more people wanted to get into the trade, according to Morrissey’s , the auctioneer handling the sale of Thomas Read. Bill Morrissey, who is overseeing the sale, told broadcaster RTE that he received more than 30 “solid” expressions of interest. Creditors Thomas Read, which started life as one pub in 1991, sought protection from creditors in November last year. It controlled 13 bars and restaurants in Dublin and another eight bars at the city’s airport, the company said. After it failed to find an investor, a receiver was appointed in March on behalf of ACC Bank, the Irish unit of Dutch lender Rabobank NV, according to documents lodged at the Companies Registration Office in Dublin. The documents don’t say how much ACC is owed. The problems for bars are not confined to Ireland. London- based Regent Inns Plc , the owner of the Walkabout pub chain, was put into administration on Oct. 20. In Ireland, sales are tumbling as unemployment edges beyond 12 percent and taxes rise. That’s amplifying a trend toward drinking at home, started by a 2004 ban on smoking in public places. Bar takings fell 13 percent in August from a year before, according to Ireland’s statistics office. “The bar trade here is incredibly challenging,” said Andrew Richards, head of the Irish unit of Britvic Plc , which sells fruit juices and sodas to pubs. “People are much more mindful of their spending than in the past.” Cutting Jobs At least 4,800 pub jobs were cut in the past year, the Vintners Federation of Ireland said in an August report. Demand for bars as sites for homes is also evaporating. In 2006, a developer paid about 12 million euros for a north Dublin bar to turn into apartments overlooking Dublin Bay. The site is still idle awaiting work to start. Three years on, home prices are down 25 percent and the government is creating an asset management agency to purge lenders of souring property. That’s leaving realtors looking for any signs of life in the market. “If they sell and make satisfactory prices, it will be a big boost,” Ryan said of the Thomas Read sale. “The boy meet girl thing is always there, and Irish people like to go out.” To contact the reporters on this story: Louisa Fahy at lnesbitt@bloomberg.net Dara Doyle at ddoyle1@bloomberg.net

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Indictment Dogs Fiat Family Company as Heir Bets on Asian Hedge Fund Firm

October 28, 2009

By Vernon Silver and Sara Gay Forden Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — When John Elkann was just 29 years old, in 2005, he faced the possibility of becoming the Agnelli family leader who lost control of Fiat SpA a century after his great-great-grandfather founded the automaker. The Turin-based maker of Ferraris and 500s had lost money in each of the previous four years. Instead of using cash to repay a loan of 3 billion euros, equivalent to $3.6 billion at the time, Fiat issued new shares to the lenders in September 2005. The banks may have supplanted the family as Fiat’s biggest shareholder if Agnelli holding companies hadn’t used an equity swap transaction with Merrill Lynch & Co. to retain the family’s grip on the automaker, according to the holding companies. Merrill, which had bought 10 percent of Fiat’s shares, sold most of its stake to the family at the exact moment the automaker issued new stock to pay back its lenders. The maneuver worked, keeping the Agnelli stake at 30 percent, according to the contracts for the deal. The family preserved control of Fiat. While the swap deal itself was lawful, in May 2008 Turin prosecutors filed charges against two Agnelli holding companies and two longtime family advisers for market manipulation. The prosecutors allege that the companies, Giovanni Agnelli & C. Sapaz and IFIL Investments SpA, and the advisers, Gianluigi Gabetti and Franzo Grande Stevens , misled investors by failing to disclose the swap deal in two press statements released a month prior to the transaction. Prosecutors say investors drove up Fiat’s stock price because they believed that the family companies might purchase shares in the market to keep hold of the automaker. Turin Trial Elkann, a native New Yorker who was raised in the U.K., Brazil, France and Italy, is scheduled to testify at the trial in November. It has been held in a courthouse hearing room buried under the streets of Turin and known to Italians by an English name: the Bunker. Lawyers in black gowns stroll past stone lions by contemporary artist Michelangelo Pistoletto to reach the subterranean chamber. The two companies, and both Grande Stevens and Gabetti, have denied the charges in documents filed in court. Elkann, who isn’t charged in the case, declined to discuss it through a spokesperson. “These are serious charges that call into question the transparency of one of Italy’s most important industrial families and whether they communicated correctly to the market,” says Luca D’Auria , a Milan-based lawyer who specializes in financial crimes. “Market manipulation carries severe penalties.” Chrysler Deal The trial is one of a series of challenges hitting the Agnelli family at its base in Turin, in northern Italy at the foot of the Alps. In June, Fiat agreed to dedicate about $10 billion worth of vehicle designs, engine technology and management time to Chrysler Group LLC in exchange for a 20 percent stake in the then-bankrupt U.S. company. Fiat says it made the deal to try to survive as an independent automaker by getting bigger and expanding sales in the U.S. Starting in mid-2007, investors punished the stock of Agnelli holding company IFIL Investments. The family combined IFIL and another company in March 2009 to form Exor SpA , where Elkann serves as chairman. Shares of IFIL plummeted 82 percent from July 2007 to Feb. 27. Exor has since partly recovered that loss, more than doubling to 14 euros on Oct. 27. IFIL and Exor have tracked Fiat stock. “Exor has been beaten up,” says James Morton , a London- based money manager at Mackenzie Financial Corp., which has a 16 percent stake in Exor. “The stock is trading at a deep discount. We think it’s a value.” Sporting Lifestyle The Agnellis are one of Italy’s richest families, holding a 59 percent stake with a market value of about $2.6 billion in Exor, whose investments include Fiat and Juventus Football Club SpA. Elkann says he was left with control of the family’s business assets when his grandfather, Giovanni Agnelli II, died in 2003. Known as Gianni, the grandfather spent his early adulthood darting around the Mediterranean on his yacht and helicopter. He was often accompanied by celebrity friends, from Jacqueline Kennedy to film star Anita Ekberg. Elkann has carried on the patriarch’s sporting lifestyle, spending 2.5 million euros of his own money to buy a racing yacht named Ericsson 3. He’s using the sailboat to enter an Italian team in the Volvo Ocean Race 2011-2012. Elkann decided to buy the racer in 2009 after a nine-day venture across the Atlantic Ocean with his skipper, Giovanni Soldini, on the Stealth, a black yacht that Gianni Agnelli had built. Artist and Journalist Elkann, now 33, possesses little of his grandfather’s zeal for public life. Called serious by associates, he works out of Exor’s Turin headquarters , a 19th-century, gray-stone, neoclassical palazzo that stretches for an entire city block. It was the Agnelli family home until the 1960s. Fluent in English, French, Italian and Portuguese, Elkann appears in public mostly at ceremonial events, such as the one in June with Fiat Chief Executive Officer Sergio Marchionne and Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi to showcase Fiat’s new 500 convertible in Rome. Elkann was raised mostly by his mother, Margherita Agnelli de Pahlen, 54, a painter whose poetic-realist landscapes and figurative works have been exhibited at galleries in France and Italy. Elkann’s father, French-Italian journalist Alain Elkann, and mother divorced in 1981. Agnelli de Pahlen’s second husband, former Fiat executive Serge de Pahlen, is a Russian count. Soccer Fan In one of Elkann’s early displays of leadership, in 2006, he overhauled the management of the Juventus soccer team. Juventus has been Italy’s most dominant club, with 27 national championships. Prosecutors disclosed in May 2006 that they were investigating managers for match fixing by allegedly arranging to have friendly referees assigned to important games. A soccer fan who regularly attends Juventus matches in Turin and on the road, Elkann moved quickly to address the scandal, appointing a new nine-member board of directors and CEO in June 2006. “Today, we turn a page after what we’ve learned in recent weeks, in a sad chapter in Juventus history,” he told reporters at the time. Giuseppe Berta, a business professor at Milan’s Bocconi University, says cleaning up the Juventus mess was a small first step for the young heir. “It has no comparison to the industrial and financial challenges John is facing now,” Berta says. “His match is still to be played out.” Elkann’s Investments Elkann says he devotes most of his time to Exor, where he’s leading the hunt for investments. He’s looking primarily at financial services and commercial real estate firms. “We’d like to add exposure to the largest emerging markets such as India and China,” Elkann says. “What’s important is to make decisions in the best interest of the stakeholders.” He oversaw the April 2007 purchase of a 72 percent stake in New York real estate services company Cushman & Wakefield Inc. for $625 million near the peak of the real estate bubble. In February 2008, IFIL said it agreed to invest 61 million euros in Hong Kong-based hedge fund manager Vision Investment Management Ltd. via a convertible bond that can become a 40 percent stake by 2013. One Friday morning in June, 6-foot-2-inch (1.88-meter), curly-haired Elkann walks into a conference room at his headquarters to talk with reporters about his gamble on Chrysler. With a serious look on his face, he fishes small chocolate bars from his suit jacket pocket and hands them to reporters. ‘Ensure Our Legacy’ “Chrysler is a tremendous opportunity and a huge challenge, and we are completely engaged,” says Elkann, who speaks carefully, his hands resting on the table. “Our conviction as a family and as Fiat shareholders is to ensure our legacy by strengthening the car business over time.” Elkann receives counsel from his late grandfather’s advisers, Gabetti and Grande Stevens. Gabetti, 85, has worked for the family since the early 1970s and was chairman of the two holding companies when they were charged with manipulating the market in 2008. He’s a life trustee of New York’s Museum of Modern Art. Naples-born lawyer Grande Stevens, 81, has served as the secretary of Fiat’s board from 1982 and was Gianni Agnelli’s legal adviser. In the market manipulation trial, Gabetti and Grande Stevens each face a maximum prison sentence of six years and fines of up to 3 million euros, says D’Auria, the attorney. Their ages would exempt them from actually serving time under Italian law. The two companies, IFIL and G.A. Sapaz, may each be fined as much as 1.5 million euros, D’Auria says. Paying Penalties The advisers and companies say that the August press releases weren’t misleading because company managers hadn’t decided for sure to buy Fiat shares from Merrill, according to defense filings. “One does not expect something like this to happen at the end of one’s career, but when it’s over, I am confident that things will be set right,” says white-haired Gabetti during a break at a hearing outside the courtroom in October. He’s stooped over and fighting a flu, a scarf wrapped around his neck. The indictments stem from an administrative ruling in 2007 by Consob, Italy’s market regulator, that the advisers and companies had issued misleading press releases. On appeal, judges reduced the fines for the companies, advisers and a third executive to 6.3 million euros from 16 million euros. In September, the civil division of Italy’s supreme court issued a final ruling upholding the administrative penalties for breaking market rules. Mother’s Lawsuit Consob also fined Merrill 250,000 euros in December 2007 for failing to disclose it had taken a stake in Fiat that exceeded 5 percent. A Merrill spokeswoman in Milan said the case had been resolved and declined to comment further. As the Agnelli companies face trial, the family is also dealing with an inheritance dispute. Two years ago, Elkann’s mother, Margherita Agnelli de Pahlen, filed a lawsuit in Turin against Gabetti and Grande Stevens, accusing them of failing to tell her about assets from her father, Gianni Agnelli, allegedly stashed outside of Italy. Gabetti and Grande Stevens have contested the suit’s merits in court filings. In June 2007, leaders of the family, which has more than 200 living members, broke with Elkann’s mother in a letter to her that was reproduced by Italian newspapers. The letter, which was signed by Gianni Agnelli’s four sisters, voiced support for Gabetti, Grande Stevens and Agnelli de Pahlen’s mother, Marella. In 2004, Agnelli de Pahlen and her mother had reached a settlement over the inheritance. ‘Indignant’ “Your attack against your mother and people who for years worked with us, who enjoyed the full confidence of your father and who enjoy our trust, leaves us in complete disagreement,” the letter said. Elkann, who didn’t sign the letter, told Italian news wire Ansa in 2007 that his mother’s suit surprised and pained him. Agnelli de Pahlen, who lives near Geneva, declined a request for an interview. The suit spurred Italy’s tax authority, Agenzia delle Entrate, to open an investigation into the family’s holdings, the agency said in August. Elkann denounced press accounts of the inquiry. “I am indignant,” Elkann told Ansa on Sept. 1, “about the violence of the words used and the false accusations that have been made about my grandfather.” An Exor spokesperson says the probe doesn’t include the holding company or Fiat. Elkann’s Training Elkann showed interest in the family business before he received a degree in industrial engineering and management at Turin Polytechnic. “He was already thinking about the work he was going to do,” Grande Stevens says. After graduating in 2000, he joined the corporate audit staff of General Electric Co., where Jack Welch — a Fiat board member — was CEO. Four years later, Elkann married Lavinia Borromeo, whose family owns the Borromean Islands in Italy’s Lake Maggiore. They have two sons, Leone, 3, and Oceano, 1. Gianni Agnelli, who died at age 81, picked Elkann, his eldest grandchild, to take the reins from him. Gianni’s only son, Edoardo, a devotee of Eastern religions, died in 2000 of an apparent suicide, his body found below a bridge near Turin. Elkann’s younger brother Lapo Elkann, 32, almost died of a drug overdose in 2005. “Gianni said there had to be a leader of the family, and he was right to pick John,” Grande Stevens says. “He is very serious and well prepared.” ‘Might Fail’ Elkann inherited a crisis at Fiat. In 2003, it was losing 2 million euros a day and had exhausted all of its lines of credit, Gabetti said in a 2006 deposition. “Fiat was under so much tension that it wasn’t out of the question to think it might fail,” he said. By 2005, the automaker’s 3 billion euro loan was coming due, creating the possibility that the family would lose its grip on Fiat. Instead of paying the banks in cash, Fiat planned to give them stock, converting the loan into a 27 percent Fiat stake. IFIL, a family company, would be left with 22 percent, according to Consob. At a July 2005 meeting in Grande Stevens’s office in Turin, a plan was set in motion that would keep the family in charge of Fiat, according to depositions by the two Merrill bankers, Maurizio Tamagnini and Enrico Chiapparoli , who were at the meeting. Grande Stevens told the Merrill bankers he wanted to rewrite an existing equity swap contract between the bank and a Luxembourg-based Agnelli holding company, according to the bankers’ depositions. Merrill Swap In the existing equity swap, the Agnellis had bet that Fiat’s stock, which had hit a 20-year closing low of 4.53 euros in April 2005, would rise. Merrill would pay the family a sum based on the difference between a starting price of 5.50 euros and whatever higher price the shares might hit in December 2005. So that Merrill could make good on the bet, the New York-based firm had bought about 90 million Fiat shares, or 10 percent of the automaker, starting in April 2005, according to Consob. The new contract changed the way Merrill would pay the Agnellis. The family would buy 82.25 million shares of Fiat stock, exactly enough to bring its holding to 30 percent, at 5.60 euros a share. In July and August, investors drove up Fiat’s stock price 24 percent on speculation the family would buy tens of millions of shares on the market to preserve control, according to Consob. On Aug. 23, the market regulator, noting the spike in Fiat stock, asked the two Agnelli holding companies, G.A. Sapaz and IFIL, for comment. The regulator wanted to know whether the companies had researched or implemented plans to deal with the possibility they would be supplanted by the lending banks as Fiat’s top shareholder. Press Releases In response, Gabetti and Grande Stevens helped write two statements released to the media on Aug. 24, according to the charges filed in court. IFIL’s statement said that the company intended to retain control of Fiat but hadn’t enacted or studied any initiative to do so. G.A. Sapaz issued a release referring to IFIL’s statement and confirming its contents. Three weeks later, on the evening of Sept. 15, the two companies disclosed that they had approved the equity swap deal with Merrill to keep hold of Fiat. Following the news that the Agnellis wouldn’t have to buy shares on the market, Fiat’s stock plummeted for five straight trading days, losing 8 percent from Sept. 16. Four days later, the companies and Merrill executed the share handoff as planned. ‘Personal Matters’ In the court battle in Turin, the advisers deny that they misled investors, saying the swap deal with Merrill wasn’t approved by directors of the holding companies until Sept. 15, after they issued their press releases, according to a memorandum filed in court by Cesare Zaccone , a lawyer who’s defending Gabetti and Grande Stevens. Cesare Giordanengo, a lawyer for the holding companies, declined to comment. “The market doesn’t need to be informed of a plan that is subject to conditions,” Zaccone wrote. “The plan for keeping the group’s role as controlling shareholder of Fiat was still undefined and uncertain.” Elkann says the trial and lawsuit are “personal matters” that don’t interfere with running Exor . After consulting with Gabetti, Elkann hired Fiat chief Marchionne from SGS SA, a Swiss goods inspection company, in 2004. Marchionne, 57, revived the automaker’s profits from 2005 through 2008 by firing managers, building vehicles with shared parts and introducing new cars such as the Bravo. “He’s a dynamic and innovative leader,” says Ron Bloom , head of the U.S. government’s auto task force, which led the restructuring of Chrysler in bankruptcy. “He’s just what Chrysler needs.” Fiat in America Marchionne now wants to transform Chrysler, which lost $16 billion in 2008 with a lineup dominated by gas guzzlers like Dodge Ram trucks. In the next 18 months, he plans to roll out Chryslers with more fuel-efficient Fiat engines. As soon as late 2010, the CEO hopes to sell the Fiat 500 in the U.S. The subcompact gets about 40 miles (64 kilometers) to the gallon (3.8 liters) in city driving. The car, which is six inches shorter than BMW’s Mini Cooper compact, may be built in Mexico. Aaron Bragman , an analyst at IHS Global Insight in Troy, Michigan, forecasts North America sales of 40,000 to 50,000 for the Fiat 500 in the first year. The automaker pulled the Fiat brand out of the U.S. market in 1983 and withdrew Alfa Romeo in 1995. The company was dogged by quality problems and the lack of a dealership network — distribution it now has with Chrysler. Two prior Chrysler owners, Daimler -Benz AG and Cerberus Capital Management LP, threw away billions on the U.S. carmaker. Daimler paid $36 billion for Chrysler in 1998 before selling 80 percent of it to the buyout fund for $7.4 billion in 2007. Giving Up Control Even if Fiat resurrects Chrysler, Elkann may be forced to sell or merge the Italian automaker with yet another company, says Gregor Claussen , an equities sales specialist at Frankfurt- based Commerzbank AG, which rates Fiat a “ sell .” Fiat, which lost 578 million euros in the first half of the year amid a global recession, returned to profitability in the third quarter, with net income of 21 million euros, due partly to cost cuts. “Some sharing of power by the family seems necessary for survival,” Claussen says. Six years into leading a dynasty, Elkann’s hurdles are high. While the family’s companies fight charges in court, he’s relying on Marchionne to turn Fiat into a stronger and more profitable competitor. If that requires the Agnellis to give up control of the carmaker through a sale or merger, Elkann says the family is willing to do so. After the Agnellis ran Fiat for five generations, Elkann may become the heir who finally surrenders his clan’s grip on its automaker. To contact the reporters on this story: Vernon Silver in Rome at vtsilver@bloomberg.net ; Sara Forden in Milan at sforden@bloomberg.net

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Clinton Arrives in Pakistan to Underscore U.S. Support on Terrorism Fight

October 28, 2009

By Indira A.R. Lakshmanan Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Secretary of State Hillary Clinton arrived in Islamabad for a three-day visit intended to underscore U.S. support for a crucial partner in the fight against terrorism and to chip away at mistrust of American aims in the region. Clinton is making her first trip to Islamabad as the top U.S. diplomat at a delicate moment for relations with Pakistan, which for decades have been strained by mutual suspicion of each others’ motives. The tension flared this month in Pakistan over perceived conditions in a U.S. assistance bill. “We are turning the page on what had been in the past several years primarily a security, anti-terrorism agenda,” Clinton told reporters traveling with her to Islamabad. While security “remains a very high priority,” she said her visit will highlight U.S. support for the civilian government and economic development. It also will seek to counter fears that the U.S. will abandon Pakistan when its objectives in Afghanistan are accomplished, she said. Pakistan’s military is engaged in a politically sensitive campaign to rout Islamic militants from strongholds along the porous border with Afghanistan. The offensive has sparked retaliatory suicide bombings and assaults that have claimed more than 150 lives this month, leading to heightened security across the country. Many Casualties It is “important for Americans and others to recognize the high price the Pakistanis are paying” in civilian, police and military casualties in the battle against local allies of al- Qaeda, Clinton said. She arrived in Islamabad less than two weeks after a visit to Washington by Pakistani Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi . He conveyed the anger of Pakistan’s military establishment, political opponents of the government and the media over perceived strings attached to a five-year $7.5 billion economic aid package. “It is unfortunate that there are those who question our motives who are perhaps skeptical that we are going to be there for the long-term,” Clinton said. The anger in Pakistan over the aid package is misplaced, she said. Her visit — to include meetings with tribal elders, women, Pakistani media, civic leaders and government officials in Islamabad and Lahore — is intended to dispel that skepticism. Building Infrastructure The U.S. assistance plan, signed this month by President Barack Obama , authorizes funds for road construction, schools, power facilities and other civilian projects. It is on top of about $7.6 billion in U.S. military aid to reimburse Pakistan for counterterrorism since 2001. The latest aid demonstrates “the American people’s long- term commitment to the people of Pakistan,” Senator John Kerry , a Massachusetts Democrat, and Representative Howard Berman , a California Democrat, said in a document released Oct. 15. Obama is weighing how to address a worsening regional insurgency eight years after the Sept. 11 terror attack on the U.S. and the retreat of its masterminds into tribal areas along the Pakistan-Afghan border. Pakistani authorities may raise their concern with Clinton that U.S. and NATO-led forces in Afghanistan must be vigilant in patrolling the frontier to protect against militants seeking haven on either side. Army Crackdown Since May, the Pakistani army has cracked down on extremists who previously enjoyed support from authorities. That has sparked an internal refugee crisis, suicide bombings on busy streets and a university, assaults on military bases and the assassination of a senior army official this month. The attacks have diminished public sympathy for religious extremists. Clinton praised Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari and military authorities for their commitment to push back Taliban forces that seized territory in the Swat Valley and nearby districts within 100 miles of the capital. Clinton said she is unsure that Pakistani security services had ceased to collaborate with militants they have sponsored as proxies in skirmishes with India and as a hedge against U.S. disengagement from the region. “We are constantly assessing that because it remains a concern to us,” she said. Still, “the level of cooperation that we have received from the Pakistani military and intelligence services has increased geometrically” since Obama took office in January, she said. “Nine months is not a lot of time to turn around a relationship that has a lot of scars,” Clinton said. There is a longstanding Pakistani view that the U.S. helped create Muslim militias known as the mujahadeen in the 1980s and then abandoned the region after the Soviets were driven out. Osama bin Laden was among the CIA-supported mujahadeen fighters in Afghanistan who turned against the West and formed al-Qaeda. To contact the reporter on this story: Indira Lakshmanan in Islamabad at ilakshmanan@bloomberg.net

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Global Rice Market `On Thin Ice’ as Prices Set to Surge in 2010, Yap Says

October 28, 2009

By Luzi Ann Javier Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Rice prices may return to record levels as bad weather curbs output in major growers including India, a Philippine minister and the U.S. Rice Producers Association said. “We are not very far from another rerun of 2008 prices,” Arthur Yap , the Philippines’ Agriculture Secretary, said at a conference in Cebu, central Philippines today. Higher oil prices may push up fertilizer costs, boosting prices further, he said. Food price protests swept the globe from Bangladesh to Haiti last year after fears of supply shortages prompted producers including India and Vietnam to cut exports. Rice futures surged to a record $25.07 per 100 pounds in April 2008 as shipments slowed and the Philippines, the biggest buyer, increased purchases to secure supplies and cool inflation. “Circumstances present that possibility” of rice prices returning to record levels, Dwight Roberts , president of the U.S. Rice Producers Association, said in an interview in Cebu yesterday. “We’re on thin ice.” Spot rice prices in the U.S., the fourth-largest exporter, may surge to $16 per 100 pounds early next year from more than $12 now, as cool, wet weather reduces output there and drought and storms limit supplies from Latin America, India and the Philippines, Roberts said. U.S. output may miss a Department of Agriculture estimate by as much as 15 percent and help push spot and futures prices even higher, through last year’s records, he added. Demand High Global demand for milled rice in the marketing year through 2010 will jump to the highest level since at least 1960 and exceed output by 2.4 million metric tons, the USDA said Oct. 9. That forecast assumes a 2.7 percent decline in global output to 433.6 million tons and an 8.3 percent gain in U.S. output from a year earlier to 7.056 million tons. Rough rice for January delivery rose as much as 1.3 percent to $13.945 per 100 pounds in electronic trading on the Chicago Board of Trade. The contract traded at $13.855 at 10:36 a.m. in Singapore and has gained 9.8 percent the past six months. The risk of rice prices returning to record levels requires governments to support his call for a global food reserve to ensure supplies, Yap said. “In 2008 when prices shot up, when fertilizer prices moved up, when export bans were imposed, a free liberalized international trading order was not able to do anything for the world, especially the world’s poor and hungry,” he said. Transparency Lacking Futures and spot prices have yet to reflect the global supply and demand situation because of a lack of transparency in some of the government data that traders rely on, the U.S. Producers Association’s Roberts said. “Sooner or later when there’s a big purchase, and stocks are low, then reality hits,” he said. “And that’s not just in the United States.” The Philippines is bringing forward rice imports for 2010 after losses in the domestic crop from cyclones the past month, National Food Authority administrator Jessup Navarro said yesterday. Drought in South America has also reduced irrigation, forcing some producers to cut acreage this planting season and curbing exports, Roberts said. Declining output in India, the second-biggest producer, may also turn the South Asian nation into an importer, triggering a surge in global prices, he added. “I think India is a real wild card in the next few months, or the next few weeks,” Roberts said. Still, India has no plans to import rice because its reserves are adequate, Nanda Kumar , the country’s farm secretary, said in New Delhi yesterday. To contact the reporter on this story: Luzi Ann Javier in Cebu at ljavier@bloomberg.net

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ArcelorMittal Third-Quarter Net Slumps to $903 Million From $3.82 Billion

October 28, 2009

By Thomas Biesheuvel Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — ArcelorMittal , the world’s biggest steelmaker, posted its first quarterly profit in a year after restarting furnaces and raising shipments as demand rebounded. Third-quarter net income slid to $903 million, or 60 cents a share, from $3.82 billion, or $2.78, a year earlier, Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal said today in a statement. That beat the $58 million median of 4 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The company said fourth-quarter operating income plus depreciation, impairment expenses and exceptional items will be $2 billion to $2.4 billion. “We have seen the first signs of recovery in the third quarter,” Chief Executive Officer Lakshmi Mittal said in the statement. “We should continue to see further gradual improvement through 2010, although the operating environment remains challenging.” The plunge in global steel demand has ended and usage will grow by 9.2 percent next year as automakers and builders recover, the World Steel Association said earlier this month. ArcelorMittal said in July it would restart blast furnaces in Belgium, France, and Spain as customers rebuilt inventories. Price Slump The cost of hot-rolled coil, a benchmark steel product used in cars and construction, gained 16 percent in the third quarter, the steepest increase in 15 months, according to data compiled by Metal Bulletin. Steel coil, which currently fetches 415 euros ($615) a metric ton, has dropped 38 percent from a year earlier after the global economy contracted. “The key question is whether end demand is coming back,” Luc Pez , an analyst at Oddo & Cie. in Paris, said before results. “So far everybody is extremely cautious about that and there is no sign at all that there is a genuine pick-up.” ArcelorMittal cut output as much as 50 percent earlier in 2009, fired workers, and sold shares and bonds to refinance borrowings. The company amended terms on $31 billion of facilities in July allowing net debt to rise to 4 1/2 times its Ebitda, from a limit of 3 1/2 previously. Other steelmakers have suffered from the collapse in demand. U.S. Steel Corp ., the largest U.S. producer, yesterday posted its third consecutive loss. Tata Steel Ltd., India’s largest steelmaker, missed analyst estimates after saying yesterday second-quarter profit slumped 50 percent. Rautaruukki Oyj and Outokumpu Oyj, Finland’s biggest steelmakers, both posted larger-than-expected losses last week. ArcelorMittal, formed by the takeover of Arcelor SA by Mittal Steel Co. in 2006, produced 101.6 million tons of steel in 2008. That was equal to 7.7 percent of total global output of 1.32 billion tons, based on World Steel Association data. Sales slipped 54 percent to $16.2 billion. To contact the reporter on this story: Thomas Biesheuvel in London tbiesheuvel@bloomberg.net .

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Nomura Resumes Dividend Payouts After Quarterly Net Profit Beats Estimates

October 28, 2009

By Takahiko Hyuga (Corrects currency conversion in second paragraph.) Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Nomura Holdings Inc. , Japan’s largest brokerage, posted a second straight quarterly profit and resumed dividend payments as earnings from trading and investment banking increased. Net income was 27.7 billion yen ($303 million) in the three months ended Sept. 30, compared with a loss of 72.9 billion yen a year earlier, the Tokyo-based brokerage said in a statement today. The average of five estimates from analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was for second-quarter profit of 11.5 billion yen. The 2008 acquisition of parts of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., which resulted in a record loss last fiscal year, helped Nomura take advantage of a recovery in trading and stock sales in the past six months. Chief Executive Kenichi Watanabe , who turned 57 today, raised about $8 billion in stock sales this year to mend the company’s balance sheet and challenge Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. in the U.S. “Nomura’s earnings will keep improving as it can expect underwriting mandates for the third quarter and later,” Azuma Ohno , a Tokyo-based analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG, said before the announcement. “It’s important for the stock’s performance to show results from the overseas expansion.” Nomura is the biggest arranger of equity and equity-linked sales in Asia-Pacific this year, up from eighth in 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. To contact the reporter on this story: Takahiko Hyuga in Tokyo at thyuga@bloomberg.net

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China Joint Ventures: Legal Due Diligence | China Briefing News

October 28, 2009

Professional valuers such as American Appraisal or the major Real Estate firms in China will have a valuations department, and will usually be accurate, fair and use internationally accepted standards in carrying out work. …

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GMAC Asks For $2.8 Billion More In Taxpayer Money

October 27, 2009

The U.S. government is likely to inject $2.8 billion to $5.6 billion of capital into the Detroit company, on top of the $12.5 billion that GMAC has received since December 2008, these people said. The latest infusion would come in the form of preferred stock. The government’s 35.4% stake in the company could increase if existing shares eventually are converted into common equity.

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Toys `R’ Us to Set Up FAO Schwarz Boutiques in Stores for Holiday Shopping

October 27, 2009

By Inyoung Hwang Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Toys “R” Us Inc., the largest U.S. toy-store chain, will open FAO Schwarz boutiques in its stores next month as the holiday shopping season gets under way. The boutiques will open Nov. 1 and be located near the front of all 585 Toys “R” Us stores, the Wayne, New Jersey- based company said in a statement yesterday. Toys “R” Us will continue the FAO Schwarz boutiques into next year, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Jerry Storch said in a telephone interview. Toys “R” Us bought FAO Schwarz in May, taking over its retail shops in New York and Las Vegas and increasing its market share in an industry that has faced increasing competition from discount chains such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Target Corp. FAO Schwarz’s Web site is also being restarted. “We’re excited to bring FAO Schwarz to the millions of Americans who in the past couldn’t make their way to New York City,” Storch said. “We’ll continue to feature FAO merchandise that’s very different and distinguishes Toys “R” Us from other toy sellers.” The FAO Schwarz Web site features interactive pages that include a version of the Muppet Whatnot Workshop in the FAO Schwarz store in New York, the company said. Storch declined to predict the FAO Schwarz boutiques’ sales for the holiday shopping season. FAO Schwarz struck a similar store-within-a-store deal with Macy’s Inc. in May 2008. Those shops will close by November, the department-store chain said. Closely held Toys “R” Us has also purchased Web sites KBToys.com, BabyUniverse.com, ePregnancy.com and eToys.com. The chain agreed to be acquired in 2005 for $6.6 billion by an investment group including Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co., Bain Capital LLC and Vornado Realty Trust. To contact the reporter on this story: Inyoung Hwang in New York at ihwang7@bloomberg.net .

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Christie’s Wine Auctioneer Boasts Market-Sensitive Nose: A. Craig Copetas

October 27, 2009

By A. Craig Copetas Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Anthony Hanson’s nose is a sobering economic indicator. The senior wine consultant at Christie’s International is poised over an uncorked barrel of one of the world’s most expensive white wines in a dungeon 30 feet beneath the ancient French town of Beaune. He declares “one of the greatest vintages in history” the 28-day-old Batard-Montrachet Grand Cru , which is set for sale at the 149th Hospices de Beaune wine auction on Nov. 15 that will establish the 2009 benchmark prices for Burgundy. Hanson sniffs a glass of Hospices de Beaune Mazis- Chambertin Grand Cru and telegraphs a delicious signal. “I suspect bargains,” says Hanson, who has spent 38 of his 64 years grading Burgundy wine and analyzing its long-term value for clients such as Microsoft Corp. and the U.K. government. “The world has a remarkable 2009 Burgundy crop with supposedly very little money to invest in a vintage that matches those of 1989, 1990, 1999 and 2005,” he says. He takes a long sip of Corton Grand Cru Cuvee Dr. Peste and issues a prognosis. “If prices drop, we’re going to have difficult times in 2010,” says Hanson, manager of the celebrated charity event for the past five years. “A good auction has always pointed toward optimism and vitality. The Hospices is a global economic barometer.” Market Forecast In November 2008, two months after the collapse of Lehman, the auction’s forecast on the 2009 economy as reflected through 544 assorted barrels of cherished Burgundy wine was swift and sour: 2.8 million euros ($4.2 million) in total sales, down from a record 4.2 million euros in 2007 and equivalent to a 30 percent drop in price. “Which way the 2009 swings in price will send a significant message about how people are viewing the economy in 2010,” Hanson says. “Burgundy prices going up is a positive economic indicator for sure,” says Robert Lyster , 65-year-old co-founder of Lyster Watson Management Inc. hedge fund in New York. “The system is now clogged with three years of Burgundy that has been hard to sell because of the economy, but I’m confident people will be going for the 2009 vintage.” This year the Hospices has 799 barrels in its cellars, 31 reds and 13 whites harvested from some 60 hectares of the region’s Grand Cru or Premier Cru vineyards. Since 1443, domaine owners donate wine for auction to help tend the sick and poor. Online Bidding With the prospect of a further drop in prices, Hanson says investors don’t need to be millionaires to get in on the action. Christie’s Live, a software program that can be downloaded from http://www.christies.com , allows potential buyers anywhere to participate live in the auction. “Anyone can bid on a barrel,” Hanson says. “All you need is an Internet connection and around a 3,500 euro wine budget.” Hanson has estimated the per-barrel or “piece” price on the four luxury casks of 2009 Batard-Montrachet Grand Cru Cuvee Dame de Flandres at between 40,000 euros and 60,000 euros each. The bountiful supply of Hospices Burgundy on tap this season, though, makes the arithmetic aromatic for those suffering from a shrinking wine budget, he says. Here’s how it works: One barrel of wine pours 288 bottles (about 24 cases) and Hospices manager Roland Masse reckons the tastiest deal this year is presently achieving pinot-noir perfection in the 10 barrels of Auxey-Duresses Premier Cru Les Duresses Cuvee Boillot set to sell for between 2,000 euros and 3,000 euros a barrel. Valued Grapes “The cost-to-quality ratio is important,” Masse says, filling a glass with liquid pressed from grapes grown on vines planted in 1963. “Les Duresses is the value leader.” Other budding bargains emerge after sampling all 44 of the 2009 Hospices wines, including Baronne du Bay’s Corton Grand Cru Clos du Roi (15 barrels at between 5,500 euros and 8,500 euros each). Hanson has set five precious pieces of Paul Chanson’s white Corton Vergennes Grand Cru — arguably the rarest white Burgundy ever made — to open at a bid of 9,000 euros a barrel, with a top estimate of 12,000 euros a barrel. Among the possible top pinot-noir deals at the 2009 Hospices auction are the 14 barrels of Beaune-Greves Premier Cru Cuvee Pierre Floquet. Hanson plans to start the bidding at 2,800 euros per piece. The 2008 vintage sold for 3,200 euros a barrel, less than 12 euros each for a bottle of Burgundy’s signature wine with a retail price of more than 60 euros in Europe. Savoring History “Christie’s doesn’t normally sell 24 cases of French wine for 2,800 euros,” Hanson says with a laugh. “We usually sell cases of Chateau Lafite for 20,000 euros per case, but I wanted the auction to level the playing field and let all wine drinkers become participants in seven centuries of Hospices history.” The low-cost ticket to becoming part of Burgundy’s storied annals while enjoying the fruits of its labor is a cask of Beaune Premier Cru Cuvee Cyrot-Chaudron. It’s a red wine from one of the oldest plots in the Hospices estate and estimated to sell at 2,500 euros a barrel, not including the 7 percent commission Christie’s levies on the ultimate hammer price. No matter the cask price, add another 500 euros to purchase the oak barrel and, depending on the “negociant” chosen by Christie’s or the buyer to mature the investment, a minimum of 1,000 euros to cover the cost of ensuring an expert oversees the wine’s delicate voyage from barrel to bottle. “It’s really like raising a child,” Hanson says of the 18-to-20-month process required before delivery. “And you get to visit the cellar where the wine is kept and barrel-taste the investment as it grows.” Hanson says that most of the 2009 vintage will be ready to drink by 2014, with many of the reds looking forward to a lifespan of 50 years and beyond. “Hospices wine is not an assurance of quality, but there’s not one dud in the 2009 cellar,” is his verdict. “The best thing about it is you get to keep the barrel.” To contact the writer on the story: A. Craig Copetas in Paris at ccopetas@bloomberg.net .

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Harvard Giving Ends When Reject Letter Arrives: Amity Shlaes

October 27, 2009

Commentary by Amity Shlaes Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — You know the stereotypes about college giving. Alums give after their school’s marquee team, football or basketball, wins a conference championship. They give when there’s a family connection to the school. They give when they want their child to get admitted. These assumptions are mostly correct. But there’s a lot more drama to the donor-college relationship. That’s what scholars Jonathan Meer of Texas A & M and Harvey Rosen of Princeton reveal in a series of papers that make good reading for the college-obsessed. The authors surveyed tens of thousands of instances of alumni giving between 1983 and 2007 at a highly selective private university they call Anon U. They tracked both frequency and quantity of giving. We’ll infer that Anon U is an Ivy League school or equivalent from the following facts. Some 28 percent of Anon U alumni went to private high school. At Anon U, alums’ children are admitted at three times the rate of other children. Anon U started admitting women only in the 1960s. Anon U athletes fence and play water polo. Anon U has squash courts. The nuances start with men. Male graduates indeed reach into their pockets at the news of an Anon U football or basketball championship. But they give even more when the specific team for which they themselves played in college wins a championship, even if the team plays an obscure sport, such as fencing. There are differences among the sports. Crew and lacrosse players give a lot. Past Is Present For men, it turns out, the past is still present. If your team was conference champion your sophomore year, you give about the same amount to the athletic program as the average athlete alum. If your team won your junior year, you give more. If your team took the prize your senior year, your lifetime giving is highest of all, about 8 percent higher per annum over decades than the giving of an athlete whose team didn’t get the prize in the last year at school. That lucky fellow whose team was conference champion junior and senior years gives the most among athletes. This suggests a deep need to re-experience the triumphs of youth. Female athlete grads, by contrast, don’t seem to get that nostalgia buzz . Their gifts don’t correlate to their team’s performance while they were at Anon. When it comes to families in which more than one member attended Anon, the scholars found that “legacies,” or grads whose parents, aunts and uncles attended the school before them, give more frequently than the average donor. Children Matter Children matter most to alumni. A person with a child at Anon is 20 percent more likely to give than another person with some other family connection. When a niece or nephew has attended Anon, giving increases as well. Men and women in these families give in similar patterns. “Broadly, past generations matter a little bit, the current generation doesn’t matter at all, and the future matters a lot,” Meer writes. It all suggests that donors view children as investments. And the burning child admission question? Here the authors’ studies ranked donors by the frequency of their gifts. As soon as a child is born, an alum begins giving substantially more often than an alum with no child. Giving frequency stays high until the child reaches age 13. After that, about ninth grade, parents seem to divide their offspring into Anon candidates and kids without Anon in their future. Those parents whose child does eventually apply give more in the four years leading up to application year than those whose child in the end doesn’t apply to Anon. At Peace Giving by applicants’ parents peaks when the child turns 17, at which point parents are almost half again more likely to give than the childless. Those alumni whose teens never apply seem at peace: they just keep on giving steadily after their child goes elsewhere. Not so households that experience the arrival of the dreaded thin envelope. After a first child is rejected, an alum parent gives substantially less often than before. And the disappointment builds. A few years out the parent’s giving drops all the way to that of a childless alum. Those whose last child has been turned down by Anon U actually give less and in smaller amounts than the average alum. Harvard, you are dead to me. Given such theatrics, it’s hard to resist inquiring about the behavior of donors whose children get rejected the same year a school team wins a conference championship. Such a conundrum confronted plenty of Harvard alumni in 2008, 2007, 2004, and 2001, years when Harvard took the football crown . That analysis isn’t done yet, but Meer hypothesizes that child rejection wipes out sports satisfaction. You don’t need a college degree to sense he’s right. ( Amity Shlaes , senior fellow in economic history at the Council on Foreign Relations, is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.) Click on “Send Comment” in sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: Amity Shlaes at amityshlaes@hotmail.com

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Antipsychotic Drugs in Kids Linked to Rapid Weight Gain, Research Finds

October 27, 2009

By Nicole Ostrow Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Children and teens who took antipsychotic medicines in a study gained weight and developed increased blood-fat levels, possibly harming their future health, researchers in New York State said. The subjects, taking the antipsychotic drugs for the first time, gained from 9.7 to 18.7 pounds (4.4 to 8.5 kilograms) after about 11 weeks of treatment, depending on which medicine they were given, the scientists said today in the Journal of the American Medical Association. Fifteen patients who didn’t stick with drugs or who declined to participate in the research gained less than half a pound on average. The study was the largest to show how antipsychotic medicines affect the bodies of children taking the drugs for the first time, the researchers wrote. Many past studies of the drugs involved patients who had also used other treatments — methodology that may have masked the extent of weight gain, according to an editorial published along with the study. “We were able to show all of these agents can cause quite a bit of body weight changes and body composition changes that are not beneficial to the health,” said Christoph Correll , the study’s lead author, in a telephone interview on Oct. 23. “What we need to figure out is what are the long-term consequences in the lives of children,” Correll, who is a medical director at Zucker Hillside Hospital in New York City’s Queens borough and an associate professor of psychiatry at Yeshiva University’s Albert Einstein College of Medicine in the Bronx. Metabolic Syndrome Gaining weight and changes in blood sugars and fats can be precursors to metabolic syndrome , a group of risk factors linked to heart disease and diabetes, according to the research article. Patients in the study had been diagnosed with mood disorders, schizophrenia and disruptive or aggressive behavior. Their doctors had prescribed Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.’s Abilify, Eli Lilly & Co.’s Zyprexa, AstraZeneca Plc’s Seroquel or Johnson & Johnson’s Risperdal. Risperdal and Abilify are the only two antipsychotics approved for pediatric use. A panel of outside advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recommended in June that Seroquel, Zyprexa and Pfizer Inc.’s Geodon be cleared for pediatric use. The medicines, so-called atypical antipsychotics, were introduced for adults in the mid-1990s and marketed as having fewer neurological side effects than older drugs. The FDA has grappled with pediatric use for years because of concerns that the weight gain, sleepiness and movement disorders reported as side effects in adults may be more pronounced in children. Sales in Billions U.S. sales of antipsychotic drugs reached $14.6 billion last year, the most for any class of medicines, according to IMS Health Inc. in Norwalk, Connecticut. Use of antipsychotic medicines by people less than 20 years old has more than doubled since 2001, according to data compiled by Medco Health Solutions Inc. of Franklin Lakes, New Jersey. The study reported today was conducted to determine if weight gain and other changes to the body were related to the start of a psychiatric illness or hospital admission, or to the medicines. Researchers at Zucker Hillside, and at the Feinstein Institute for Medical Research in Manhasset, New York, studied 272 people ages four to 19 who were prescribed the antipsychotic medicines for behavioral, mood or psychosis-related problems. The patients were followed for the first 12 weeks. Added Pounds At about 11 weeks, those taking Zyprexa gained 18.7 pounds on average, compared with 13.4 for Seroquel, 11.7 for Risperdal and 9.7 for Abilify, the study showed. “The extent and the rate of weight gain is remarkable,” said Christopher Varley , a professor in the psychiatry and behavioral sciences department at the University of Washington in Seattle, in a telephone interview on Oct. 23. “Realistically the kids were exposed to 11 or 12 weeks of medication. Some of them gained over 20 pounds.” Varley co-wrote the editorial in the journal that was published along with the study. Ten percent to 36 percent of the patients in the study became overweight or obese within 11 weeks of starting the medicine, the researchers said. Those on Zyprexa had larger increases in cholesterol and blood sugars, according to the study. Those on Risperdal had rises in their levels of triglyceride, a type of fat found in the blood, without affecting their blood sugar, the researchers wrote. Those on Seroquel also had an increase in total cholesterol and triglycerides, and patients on Abilify didn’t have any significant worsening in their blood fats or blood sugars, according to the scientists. Monitoring Kids Correll recommended that parents monitor their children’s weight and make sure the kids are eating healthy food and exercising. Doctors in some cases should consider counseling and behavior therapy, as well as parental training, before prescribing the drugs, Correll said. Once the medicines are given to children and adolescents, doctors need to frequently monitor the weight gain and the patients’ blood sugars and blood fats, he said. In the editorial accompanying the study, Varley wrote, “Given the risk for weight gain and long-term risk for cardiovascular and metabolic problems, the widespread and increasing use of atypical antipsychotic medications in children and adolescents should be reconsidered.” The study was funded partly by the U.S. National Institutes of Health, based in Bethesda, Maryland. For Related News and Information: To contact the reporter on this story: Nicole Ostrow in New York at nostrow1@bloomberg.net .

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Demand for Swine Flu Vaccine Rises, Adding to U.S. Shortage, CDC Says

October 27, 2009

By Meg Tirrell Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — The swine flu vaccine shortage is boosting demand from Americans concerned they won’t get the product in time to hold off the disease, said Thomas Frieden , director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention . The amount available to doctors and clinics starting this week will have risen to 22.4 million doses from about 14 million on Oct. 21, Frieden said today. The supply is still smaller than needed, he said. A U.S. health official has blamed the shortage on production delays at two drugmakers, and one manufacturer’s failure to gain regulatory approval for its product. President Barack Obama declared swine flu a national emergency Oct. 24. The disease, also known as H1N1 influenza, is widespread across the country and accounts for 411 confirmed deaths and more than 8,200 hospitalizations since Aug. 30, according to the Atlanta-based CDC. Frieden didn’t update the numbers of infected during today’s call. “We are currently in a situation where we have too little vaccine in the community,” Frieden said during a conference call with reporters. “It’s quite likely that too little vaccine is one of the things that’s making people more interested in getting vaccinated.” Health officials said last week the U.S. won’t get the 195 million doses it had planned for by the end of the year. Americans may get 42 million doses by mid-November, 8 million less than earlier U.S. estimates, said Nicole Lurie , Health and Human Services assistant secretary for preparedness and response, in an Oct. 23 telephone interview. Lurie linked the shortage to production delays. Greater Demand “When we have shortages we see an increase in demand,” Frieden said today. “In the next week or so, there will be a significant increase in the perceived and real availability of vaccine.” Frieden said medical authorities still recommend the vaccine be given first to people most at risk of severe infection from swine flu. Children and young adults ages 6 months to 24 years, pregnant women, those with underlying medical conditions and health-care workers are most at risk according to the CDC. ‘Many millions’ of H1N1 cases have occurred in the U.S. since the outbreak began in April, he said Oct. 23. “We wish we had better technology that could produce vaccine in weeks or months, rather than the six to nine months it takes with current, tried-and-true technology,” Frieden said. “It’s challenging with a limited amount of vaccine for a lot of people who want to get vaccinated.” Similar Symptoms While H1N1 produces similar symptoms and outcomes as seasonal flu in most cases, it targets a younger population and can lead to severe illness and death. The seasonal flu kills about 36,000 people a year in the U.S., though the majority of those deaths are in people over the age of 80. Ninety-five children have died from confirmed swine flu since April 2009, more than the pediatric toll for a typical year of influenza, the CDC said on its Web site, which tracks deaths from 28 states that provide data. To contact the reporter on this story: Meg Tirrell in New York at mtirrell@bloomberg.net .

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Goldman Sees `False Bottom’ in U.S. Housing While Merrill Sees a `Treat’

October 27, 2009

By Carlos Torres Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — The stabilization in U.S. home prices won’t last, according to economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in New York. Their counterparts at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research see a “treat” rather than a retreat. “The risk of renewed home price declines remains significant,” Alec Phillips , an economist based in Goldman’s Washington office, said in an Oct. 23 note to clients. “Our working assumption is a further 5 percent to 10 percent decline by mid-2010.” “We should expect subdued home price appreciation over the next few years,” wrote Merrill Lynch’s Ethan Harris and Drew Matus on the same day. Both camps agree government stimulus programs, including the $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit, foreclosure moratoria and Federal Reserve purchases of mortgage-backed securities, have helped stem the slump in housing. At the center of the debate is how much influence these initiatives have had, and therefore what happens after they expire or wane. On the supply side, the programs have reduced the number of foreclosed houses reaching the market by about 450,000, according to Goldman calculations, said Phillips. They have also boosted sales by about 200,000 homes, he said. ‘Temporary Factors’ “Taken together, these moves might have added 5 percent to home prices nationally,” Goldman’s Phillips wrote. “If this estimate is correct, it suggests that most of the increase in home prices since this spring — which has totaled between 2 percent and 4 percent in seasonally adjusted terms — has been due to temporary factors.” The latest reading on one of those measures came today. The S&P/Case-Shiller index covering 20 U.S. cities climbed 1 percent in August from the prior month, the third consecutive increase. The measure was down 11.3 percent from August 2008, the smallest 12-month decrease since January 2008. Combined sales of new and existing homes totaled 5.52 million at an annual rate in August, up 15 percent from a January low, according to figures from the Commerce Department and the National Association of Realtors. Purchases of previously owned houses jumped 9.4 percent in September, the most since comparable records began in 1999, the real estate agents’ groups reported last week. Figures on September sales of new houses are due from the Commerce Department tomorrow. “Much of this strength seems to have been policy- induced,” Phillips wrote in a section of the report titled: “A False Bottom?” Halloween ‘Treat’ “While tax credits and distressed property sales may be influencing both sales activity and prices, they are not the primary force behind the rebound in housing,” Merrill Lynch’s Harris, head of North American economics, and Matus, a senior economist, wrote in a Halloween-themed report that likened the improvement to a “treat.” Halloween is the Oct. 31 celebration in the U.S. when children go door-to-door “trick-or-treating.” They wear costumes, ask for sweets and play pranks. Home prices have fallen so much that prospective buyers no longer expect them to drop much further, said Harris and Matus, citing results of a question asked by the Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment . ‘Dramatically’ Affordable The price drop has also made homes “dramatically” more affordable , they said. “This combination of factors has created enough renewed demand to offset the ongoing negative impact of rising unemployment and foreclosures,” Harris and Matus said. The improvements will only lead to “subdued” price increases over the next few years because of “the magnitude of the housing downturn and high level of inventories,” the Merrill Lynch economists concluded. The differing views on housing may help explain the banks’ divergent views on the economic outlook. Goldman projects the U.S. economy will grow 2 percent in 2010, while Merrill Lynch forecasts a 3.1 percent expansion. To contact the reporter on this story: Carlos Torres in Washington ctorres2@bloomberg.net

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Retirement Readiness of Americans Drops on Housing Slump, Nationwide Says

October 27, 2009

By Jamie McGee Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Fewer U.S. households are prepared for retirement after the value of their homes and investment portfolios declined in the recession, Nationwide Mutual Insurance Co. said. Fifty-one percent of Americans would be unable to maintain their standard of living if they retired at age 65, compared with 44 percent in 2007, the insurer said today in a statement, citing the National Retirement Risk Index it developed with the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. The estimate is “conservative” because it doesn’t include medical costs or long-term care, the insurer said. “The real problem behind this is that so many households were dependant on their home values,” Paul Ballew , a senior vice president of customer insights and analytics at Nationwide, said in an interview. “Once home prices came back down to normal levels, we wake up one day and realize we don’t have adequate savings.” Americans are facing a decline in the value of their homes and other assets at the same time the U.S. government is pushing back the age that retirees qualify for full Social Security benefits. The average 401(k) retirement savings account fell by almost one-third in 2008, and people aren’t saving enough to make up the difference, Ballew said. The U.S. median price of existing homes was $174,900 in September, 24 percent less than its peak in July 2006, according to the National Association of Realtors. The average balance of 401(k) accounts at the end of 2008 was $45,519, compared with $65,454 a year earlier, reflecting market losses, according to data collected by the Employee Benefit Research Institute, based in Washington. Savings Rate Equity markets have improved in 2009, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbing 18 percent this year before today. Individuals in higher-income brackets with more stock holdings will benefit most from the index’s recovery, Ballew said. “For non-upper income Americans, they were just housing-dependent,” he said. The U.S. personal savings rate fell to 3 percent of disposable income in August from 4 percent in July, compared with 8.9 percent at the end of 1992. The saving rates needs to increase to 8 percent to 10 percent to compensate for the drop in retirement funds, Ballew said. “The level of savings that has to be sustained over a period of a decade is much higher than what anybody would have assessed a few years ago,” Ballew said. Running Dry Social Security statistics show that 2.57 million people requested social security benefits in the 12 months ended in September, up from 2.1 million applications in the same period a year earlier, as the first baby boomers — those born right after World War II — are starting to retire. Applications for the benefits rose almost 50 percent more than expected this year because of the recession. The shift in the age of full eligibility for benefits from 65 to 67 further erodes the income available to those who plan to retire at 65, Ballew said. The Social Security trust fund will run out of assets in 2037, four years sooner than previously forecast, and expenses will exceed revenue beginning in 2016, the trustees of the program said in May. Eligibility requirements and average retirement ages are likely to be increased further to make up for a shortfall in Social Security funds, Ballew said. The retirement risk index estimates how much income households are expected to have in retirement relative to their pre-retirement income, Nationwide said. The rate is compared with an income that would allow the household to maintain their standard of living. Those that fall more than 10 percent below the target rate are considered ‘at risk.’ The Boston College survey measured retirement readiness through June. Nationwide, based in Columbus, Ohio, sells home, auto, business and life insurance. The company is owned by its policyholders. To contact the reporter on this story: Jamie McGee in New York at jmcgee8@bloomberg.net .

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Reid Gambles on Democratic Unity in Senate With Push for Public Option

October 27, 2009

By Laura Litvan and James Rowley Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — U.S. Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid is gambling that he can keep his party’s votes together as he pushes for a government-run health-insurance program that’s likely to alienate the one Republican on his side. Reid said he will ask the Senate to vote for the so-called public option that would allow states to opt out, as part of broader health-care legislation. That idea is opposed by Senator Olympia Snowe , the only Republican to support any of the bills before Congress to remake the medical system. With no room for error, Reid expressed confidence he would be able to corral all 60 votes the Democrats control to allow debate to start on legislation, President Barack Obama’s top domestic priority. The public option has divided lawmakers, drawing opposition from every Senate Republican and some Democrats who say it would undermine the private market. “We clearly will have the support of my caucus to move to this bill and start legislating,” Reid, a Nevada Democrat, told reporters in Washington yesterday. He called the public option “an important way to ensure competition” for insurers. Lawmakers are trying to cover tens of millions of uninsured Americans while curbing rising medical costs. Their proposals, including new purchasing exchanges, subsidies and a requirement that all Americans have insurance, would represent the biggest changes to U.S. health care in four decades. Melding Bills Reid is seeking a Congressional Budget Office cost estimate for the proposal. He has been melding a measure passed by the Senate health committee in July with an $829 billion plan approved by the finance panel on Oct. 13. The health panel included a public option; the finance committee rejected it. Illinois Senator Richard Durbin , the No. 2 Senate Democrat, said he didn’t know if leaders had enough votes to bring legislation to the floor. Reid’s spokesman, Jim Manley , said Reid was “within striking distance” of getting 60 votes. Reid’s decision on the public option risks the loss of Republican support that Obama and Democrats such as Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus have sought for months, wooing Snowe especially. Baucus said as recently as Sept. 29 that he saw no way for a public option to pass. Snowe said last week she would vote against allowing Democrats to bring a bill with a public option to the floor. She favors triggering the plan only if the private insurance market fails to lower premiums. ‘Deeply Disappointed’ “I am deeply disappointed,” Snowe said in a statement after Reid’s press conference yesterday. A trigger “could have been the road toward achieving a broader bipartisan consensus.” Asked by reporters if she felt deflated by Reid’s move after having been courted by Democrats for months, Snowe said, “nothing surprises me in the political process.” While she pledged to continue meeting with moderate Democrats, she said the public option “constrains us for those who don’t support that type of approach.” Without Snowe, Reid can’t afford to lose a single Democrat and may have to accept changes. One Democrat critical of the public option, Nebraska Senator Ben Nelson , has said he wouldn’t support legislation without Republican votes. “I certainly am not excited about a public option where states would opt out,” Nelson said on CNN’S “State of the Union” program on Oct. 25. He said he prefers letting states decide to opt in. Nelson’s Vote Nelson said he would decide whether to vote for allowing debate to proceed once he has seen a specific proposal. His office referred to the CNN interview when asked for a comment. Two other Democrats, Arkansas Senator Blanche Lincoln and Louisiana Senator Mary Landrieu , have criticized the public option. Landrieu said last week she’s hopeful for compromise. Lincoln says she might join with Republicans to block debate on legislation she didn’t support. Reid has been under pressure to include a public option from most Democrats in the chamber and from unions. Durbin said Reid had considered Snowe’s trigger idea. “Unfortunately, it’s a zero-sum situation,” Durbin said. “There were some who felt that it just didn’t go far enough.” Under the proposal, states could opt out of the public plan in 2014. Senators are still deciding whether to require states to participate for at least a year or two, Manley said. Seed Money The bill will also include seed money for nonprofit health-care cooperatives, Reid said. States that opt out of the public option wouldn’t be eligible, Manley said. Reid’s decision may clear the way for more cooperation between the Senate and House, which has a public option in its version of the legislation. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told reporters on Oct. 23 that she “didn’t think there’s much problem” with allowing states to opt out. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said today that Democratic leaders in that chamber intend to bring their health legislation to the floor next week. “A bill is possible this week,” the Maryland Democrat told reporters. “That would be our objective as we want to consider it next week.” Reid, when asked why he would take a chance of alienating Snowe, expressed frustration with the partisanship of the Senate, and insisted that after years of a moderate Republican tradition in the chamber he can now “count them on two fingers.” “We hope that Olympia will come back,” Reid said. “She’s a very good legislator. I’m disappointed that the one issue, the public option, has been something that’s frightened her.” To contact the reporters on this story: Laura Litvan in Washington at +1- llitvan@bloomberg.net ; James Rowley in Washington at jarowley@bloomberg.net

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Obama Announces $3.4 Billion in Grants to Improve U.S. Electricity Network

October 27, 2009

By Nicholas Johnston and Roger Runningen Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama today announced $3.4 billion in government grants to improve the efficiency of the nation’s electrical transmission network. “We are making the largest-ever investment in a smarter, stronger and more secure electric grid,” while boosting a “clean-energy economy,” Obama said in Arcadia, Florida, at one of the nation’s largest solar-power generating facilities. The grants, ranging from $400,000 to $200 million, will be used to develop and install “smart-grid” technology to make electricity transmission more reliable and aid the delivery of energy generated from sources like wind and solar power. The money comes from the $787 billion economic stimulus legislation approved by Congress in February. Jared Bernstein , chief economic adviser to Vice President Joe Biden , told reporters last night the grants will “save or create tens of thousands” of jobs. Bernstein said Oct. 15 the stimulus legislation has created or saved about 1 million jobs since it was enacted. The nation’s unemployment rate rose to 9.8 percent last month, and the president has said he expects it to exceed 10 percent before it starts coming down. Biden, in a separate event in his home state of Delaware, announced today that Fisker Automotive Inc. is reopening a shuttered former General Motors Corp. factory in Wilmington to produce long-range, plug-in electric hybrid vehicles. “While some wanted to write off America’s auto industry, we said no,” Biden said. “A new chapter had to be written” to “strengthen American manufacturing by investing in innovation.” Solar Power Obama made the “smart-grid” announcement at Florida Power & Light Co. ’s DeSoto Next Generation Solar Energy Center, which will generate enough power for 3,000 homes when it is completed. He highlighted new technologies to transmit electricity from places like Arcadia, about 60 miles (97 kilometers) southeast of Tampa, to locations where energy demand is greater. “Now, for the very first time, a large-scale solar-power plant, the largest of its kind in the entire nation, will deliver electricity produced by the sun to the citizens of the Sunshine State, and I think it’s about time,” Obama said. The president also touted the use of so-called “smart meters,” devices for 2.6 million customers of Florida Power & Light Co . that will let families measure electric use by the week, month or hour, and vary the use when electricity is the cheapest. “We’re on the cusp of a new energy future,” he said. Climate-Change Legislation Obama also called climate-change legislation “critical” to a clean-energy economy, and said legislation passed by the House and being considered by the Senate will “finally” make such energy profitable. Still, he warned, “the closer we get to this clean-energy future, the harder the opposition’s going to fight.” Obama traveled to Arcadia after an overnight stop in Miami, where he attended two Democratic fundraising events that brought in a total of $1.5 million. Before his departure from his Miami hotel this morning, several of the dozen or so cars in the president’s motorcade waited for 30 minutes outside the hotel, their engines running. One of the largest grants announced today is $200 million for Constellation Energy Group Inc. ’s Baltimore Gas and Electric Co. to provide new electric meters to 1.1 million households that will allow real-time monitoring of electricity use and help customers adjust their usage during peak times. Sempra Energy’s San Diego Gas & Electric Co. will receive $28.1 million to build a wireless system to link the utility’s 1.4 million meters and monitor other equipment across the electrical grid. The 100 government grants in 49 states are being matched by $4.7 billion in private investments. To contact the reporter on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Washington at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Julianna Goldman in Arcadia at jgoldman6@bloomberg.net

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Consumer Confidence in U.S. Unexpectedly Fell in October on Job Concerns

October 27, 2009

By Courtney Schlisserman and Shobhana Chandra Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly fell for a second month in October, reinforcing the views of Federal Reserve policy makers who say household spending will be restrained by rising unemployment. The Conference Board’s confidence index dropped to 47.7, trailing the lowest economist forecast, from a revised 53.4 in September, a report from the New York-based private research group showed today. A measure of employment availability slid to a 26-year low. The emerging recovery from the deepest recession since the 1930s may fall short of expectations without a sustained rebound in consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy. A separate report showed an index of home prices rose in August, indicating the housing market, while stabilizing, may be getting a boost from government aid. “As long as you have increasing unemployment, consumer confidence will remain mired in the muck,” said Joseph Brusuelas , an economist at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania, who forecast a drop in sentiment. “We think we are going to have another rough patch in the housing market” after a government tax credit expires, he said. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index covering 20 metropolitan areas climbed 1 percent from the prior month, seasonally adjusted, after a 1.2 percent increase in July, the group said today in New York. Smaller Decline From a year earlier, the gauge fell 11.3 percent, less than the 11.9 percent decline forecast by the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 33 economists. The index fell 13.3 percent in July from a year earlier. Year-over-year records began in 2001. Most stocks fell for a third straight day. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 0.3 percent to close at 1,063.41. Faltering consumer confidence is weighing on sales at retailers including Limited Brands Inc. The owner of the Victoria’s Secret chain yesterday said sales at stores open at least a year will decline by a percentage in the low- to mid- single digits. It had previously forecast sales would be little changed. J.C. Penney Co. Chief Executive Officer Myron Ullman told analysts Oct. 23 that the company is “starting to see some stabilization and some modest improvement in traffic,” although consumers are “still under enormous pressure.” Fewer Jobs The share of consumers who said jobs are plentiful dropped to 3.4 percent from 3.6 percent, according to today’s report from the Conference Board. The proportion of people who said jobs are hard to get increased to 49.6 percent, the highest level since May 1983, from 47 percent. The proportion of people who expect their incomes to rise over the next six months decreased to 10.3 percent from 11.2 percent. The share expecting more jobs fell to 16.3 percent from 18 percent. Buying plans for automobiles, homes and major appliances within the next six months all decreased this month, today’s report showed. Government reports have shown that while companies are slowing the pace of firing they are reluctant to hire. The U.S. has lost 7.2 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007. Unemployment will top 10 percent in the first quarter of next year, according to a Bloomberg survey this month. ‘Quite Pessimistic’ Consumers “remain quite pessimistic about their future earnings, a sentiment that will likely constrain spending during the holidays,” Lynn Franco , director of the Conference Board Consumer Research Center, said in a statement. Consumer spending probably increased at a 3.1 percent pace in the third quarter, according to the median projection of economists ahead of the gross domestic product report due in two days. Demand will ease to a 1 percent growth rate the final three months this year, according to median forecasts in Bloomberg’s monthly survey. Regional Fed bank directors sought to leave borrowing costs unchanged last month, citing weak economic conditions and “strained” financial markets, according to minutes of their meetings on the discount rate released Oct. 20. “Household spending remained damped, constrained in part by job losses and consumer caution,” the minutes said of the directors’ views. Fed policy makers next meet Nov. 3-4. At their last meeting, in September, the Federal Open Market Committee repeated its vow to keep its benchmark rate low for an “extended period.” Tax Credit Home sales are getting a boost from an $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers and mortgage rates that have been held near historic lows by the Fed’s program to buy $1.2 trillion of mortgage-backed securities. “The good news about this is it really looks like a bottom,” Karl Case , an economics professor at Wellesley College and co-creator of the S&P/Case-Shiller index, said today in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. “The two risks are employment is terrible and the pipeline is still full of foreclosures. That has to be cleared out eventually for this to really turn up and produce a recovery.” Sales may cool after the tax credit expires. Lawmakers are debating an extension of the credit, which is currently set to lapse on Nov. 30. To contact the reporter on this story: Courtney Schlisserman in Washington cschlisserma@bloomberg.net ; Shobhana Chandra in Washington at schandra1@bloomberg.net

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Hatoyama Orders Probe After Japanese Destroyer Hits South Korean Vessel

October 27, 2009

By Stuart Biggs and Anna Kitanaka Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Japan’s Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama ordered a “thorough” investigation after a Japanese warship collided with a South Korean freighter late yesterday, damaging both vessels and injuring three Japanese sailors. “It’s extremely regrettable,” Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirofumi Hirano told reporters in Tokyo today. “We are very sorry and apologize for the incident. A thorough investigation has been ordered by the prime minister.” The 5,200-ton destroyer, the Kurama , burst into flames in the Kanmon Strait between Japan’s main island of Honshu and Kyushu, Japan’s Defense Minister Toshimi Kitazawa told reporters late yesterday. The South Korean container ship, the Carina Star , has a hole in its hull, though there was no fire or flooding, the minister said. Traffic in the Kanmon Strait was stopped because of the collision. The strait is a major shipping lane between Honshu and Kyushu, linked by a 712-meter suspension bridge between the cities of Shimonoseki and Kitakyushu. It’s the quickest shipping route from South Korea and northern China to the Japanese ports of southern Honshu. The collision occurred at about 8 p.m. local time and national broadcaster NHK Television showed images of an explosion near the suspension bridge. NHK broadcast shots of the ships at dock today showing the damage. The 7,400-ton Carina Star, operated by Seoul-based Namsung Shipping Co. , was sailing to Osaka, according to the company’s online shipping log. The 159-meter long Kurama was returning to its home port of Sasebo, Kitazawa said. The Japanese destroyer Atago collided with a fishing boat in the Pacific Ocean in February 2008, slicing the smaller vessel in half and leaving two of its crew dead. Japan’s Defense Ministry replaced the head of the navy, fired two officers and cut the pay of 21 others because of the collision and other scandals, including the leaking of classified information. To contact the reporters on this story: Stuart Biggs in Tokyo at sbiggs3@bloomberg.net ; Anna Kitanaka in Tokyo akitanaka@bloomberg.net .

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Afghan Police Say Five People Dead in Afghan Guesthouse Shooting, AP Says

October 27, 2009

By Ed Johnson Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Five people died in shooting at a guesthouse used by United Nations workers in the Afghan capital, Kabul, the Associated Press reported, citing police. Gunfire and explosions rocked the city early today and thick smoke rose above offices and residential buildings, according to the report. Kabul is on alert for a Taliban attack before next month’s runoff presidential election, AP said. Afghans are scheduled to vote Nov. 7, choosing between incumbent President Hamid Karzai and former Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah , after allegations of fraud triggered a partial recount of the Aug. 20 ballot. To contact the reporter on this story: Ed Johnson in Sydney at ejohnson28@bloomberg.net .

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