October 2009

Singapore Airlines’ Chief Chew Says Too Soon to Call Global Travel Revival

October 27, 2009

By Chan Sue Ling and Mary Schlangenstein Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Singapore Airlines Ltd. , the world’s biggest carrier by market value, said it was too soon to say whether a rebound in air travel last month marked the beginnings of a long-term revival in demand. “There is not enough evidence yet to conclude that we are back on a firm trail to recovery,” Chief Executive Officer Chew Choon Seng said yesterday at a Star Alliance press conference in New York. Whether the current uptrend persists “remains to be seen.” Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Tony Tyler has also said that he is “cautious” about the prospects for airlines, as the global recession continues to damp demand. Singapore Airlines last month filled 80.9 percent of its total available seats, the highest tally this year. “The bottom has been reached,” Chew said. “Demand has stabilized and even started to grow from September.” It will only be possible to say whether this is a sustained recovery after as long as nine months, he added. Singapore Airlines and Cathay have both cut flying and grounded planes as the worst recession in six decades threatens to push the industry to an $11 billion loss this year. Singapore Airlines has said it may post its first annual loss since going public in 1985 because of the demand slump. To contact the reporters on this story: Chan Sue Ling in Singapore slchan@bloomberg.net ; Mary Schlangenstein in New York at maryc.s@bloomberg.net

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Australia Inflation Cools to Slowest in Decade, Easing Interest Rate Talk

October 27, 2009

By Jacob Greber and Victoria Batchelor Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Australian inflation cooled to the slowest pace in 10 years, easing pressure on central bank Governor Glenn Stevens to increase the benchmark lending rate by a half point next week. The consumer price index rose in the third quarter by an annual 1.3 percent, the smallest gain since the second quarter of 1999, after advancing 1.5 percent in the previous three months, the Bureau of Statistics said in Sydney today. Prices gained 1 percent from the second quarter. Australia’s dollar fell as the report prompted traders to trim bets on the size of interest-rate increases. The Reserve Bank of Australia, the first Group of 20 central bank to raise borrowing costs since the height of the global financial crisis, said keeping borrowing costs too low may threaten its goal of maintaining inflation between 2 percent and 3 percent on average. “Anyone worrying about inflation in the near term is barking up the wrong tree,” said Prasad Patkar , who helps manage about $1.3 billion at Platypus Asset Management in Sydney. Still, “today’s report probably won’t alter the Reserve Bank’s stance on gradually withdrawing monetary stimulus from ‘emergency’ levels.” The Australian dollar, the best performer among the 16 major currencies, fell to 91.06 U.S. cents at 2:09 p.m. in Sydney from 91.80 just before the report, paring its gain over the past 12 months to 42 percent. The two-year government bond yield dropped 8 basis points to 4.85 percent. A basis is 0.01 percentage point. Bank Minutes The currency’s gain will “likely” act as a “contractionary influence on activity and help contain inflation,” central bank policy makers said last week. Investors are certain Governor Stevens will increase the key rate by a quarter point on Nov. 3, according to Bloomberg calculations based on interbank futures on the Sydney Futures Exchange. There is also a 10 percent chance of a half-point increase, the futures showed at 1:46 p.m., down from 16 percent prior to the report. Food prices fell 0.8 percent and health costs slipped 1 percent in the third quarter, today’s report showed. By contrast, electricity costs rose 11.4 percent and gasoline advanced 4 percent. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for annual inflation of 1.2 percent. Core Measures The Reserve Bank’s core inflation measures, which exclude the largest price increases and declines, were also published today. The weighted-median gauge of inflation advanced 0.8 percent in the third quarter for an annual increase of 3.8 percent. Economists forecast gains of 0.8 percent and 3.7 percent respectively. “The Reserve Bank is on a path back to neutral but there’s nothing in the data that suggests they have to ramp up their rhetoric or their tightening,” said Annette Beacher , senior strategist at TD Securities in Singapore. Signs are mounting that Australia’s economy, one of the few including China and India to skirt a recession in the first half of this year, will strengthen in coming months. Reports published since Sept. 30 show consumer confidence jumped this month to the highest level in more than two years, business sentiment held last month near a six-year high, retail sales rose in August, and house prices climbed 7.9 percent this year through August. Skilled Vacancies An index of skilled vacancies in Australia rose 1.9 percent in October from September, a report today showed. Gross domestic product expanded 1 percent in the first half of this year as consumers increased spending, spurred by the central bank slashing borrowing costs by a record 4.25 percentage points between September last year and April, plus A$42 billion ($39 billion) in government stimulus spending. Governor Stevens expects GDP growth to accelerate close to its “trend” pace of 3 percent next year. Australia’s experience of the global recession has been “much milder than elsewhere,” Assistant Governor Malcolm Edey said in Sydney today. “Australia came into the most intense phase of the crisis period in better shape than most, and with more scope than most to make timely macroeconomic policy responses.” The economy’s rebound from the worst global recession since the Great Depression was a key reason central bank policy makers raised the benchmark interest rate to 3.25 percent from a 49- year low of 3 percent on Oct. 6. Keeping the rate at “very low levels” may be “imprudent,” the bank said in minutes of its October meeting, published last week. “While the current forecasts suggested inflation would fall in the coming year, the expected trough in inflation was significantly higher than earlier thought,” the bank said on Oct. 20. “By 2011 inflation could be rising again.” To contact the reporters for this story: Jacob Greber in Sydney at jgreber@bloomberg.net Victoria Batchelor at vbatchelor@bloomberg.net

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Asian Stocks Drop on National Australia Loss, Canon Earnings; Yen Advances

October 27, 2009

By Shani Raja and Patrick Rial Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks fell, dragging the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to a three-week low, as losses at National Australia Bank Ltd. and Canon Inc.’s lower profit raised concern about the strength of the global recovery. The yen advanced. National Australia fell 2.4 percent after posting a second- half loss amid rising charges for bad debt. Canon , the world’s largest camera maker, lost 3.6 percent as it posted its seventh- straight drop in quarterly profit. BlueScope Steel Ltd. dropped 3.2 percent in Sydney as rising Chinese steel inventories raised concern oversupply will hurt producers. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 0.8 percent to 116.98 as of 12:38 p.m. in Tokyo, set to close at the lowest since Oct. 6. The gauge has surged 66 percent from a more than five-year low on March 9 amid signs stimulus measures around the world are reviving the global economy. “The thought is starting to creep into people’s minds that once stimulus measures run out, the recoil will run rather deep,” said Hiroshi Morikawa , a senior strategist at MU Investments Co., which manages the equivalent of $14 billion. “Earnings might be good now, but that’s looking to the past, and everyone is more worried about the uncertain future.” Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average lost 0.7 percent. Toshiba Corp. sank 3.9 percent as a narrower second-quarter loss failed to ease speculation the stock is expensive relative to the company’s earnings prospects. South Korea’s Kospi Index fell 1.3 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 0.8 percent. Honda, Astellas Among companies that rose, Honda Motor Co. , Japan’s second- largest carmaker, surged 3.9 percent after tripling its full- year earnings forecast. Astellas Pharma Inc. gained 2.4 percent after agreeing to pay for global rights to develop and sell an experimental drug for prostate cancer. Futures on the U.S. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 0.1 percent. The measure dropped 0.3 percent yesterday as a gauge of confidence among the country’s consumers unexpectedly fell. The yen gained against all 16 of the most-active currencies on speculation the pace of the global economic recovery will disappoint, reducing demand for higher-yielding assets. Japan’s currency rose to 135.47 per euro from 135.89 in New York yesterday, after earlier reaching 135.26, the highest level since Oct. 21. Better-than-estimated economic and earnings reports have helped fuel a global stock-market rally since March. The advance has driven the average price of companies in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to 1.6 times book value, up from 1.04 times at this year’s low. Net Loss “The market’s in a bit of a wait-and-see mode,” said Prasad Patkar , who helps manage about $1.3 billion at Platypus Asset Management in Sydney. “In this stage of the recovery, valuations always looked stretched. The market is forward- looking and expecting an earnings recovery to come through.” National Australia, the country’s biggest lender to businesses, fell 2.4 percent to A$29.97. The net loss of A$75 million ($69 million) in the six months ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of A$1.85 billion in the year-earlier period, the Melbourne-based bank said today. Canon slumped 3.6 percent to 3,450 yen after its third- quarter net income fell 56 percent to 36.7 billion yen from a year earlier. The company maintained its estimates for full-year earnings and sales. No Revisions “Some investors had expected an upward revision of the full-year earnings forecasts because of Canon’s robust camera business,” said Tetsuya Wadaki , a Tokyo-based analyst at Nomura Holdings Inc., who recommends buying the stock. Toshiba dropped 3.9 percent to 523 yen, cutting its advance in the past six months to 61 percent. The chipmaker’s second- quarter loss narrowed on cost reductions, helping Toshiba beat its first-half forecast. Still, the outlook for the global economy in the second half of its fiscal year “remains highly opaque,” Toshiba said. BlueScope Steel Ltd., Australia’s largest steelmaker, slumped 3.2 percent to A$3.06. JFE Holdings Inc. , Japan’s No. 2 producer, sank 2 percent to 2,960 yen. Posco, South Korea’s biggest steelmaker, dropped 2.8 percent to 529,000 won. Steel inventories held by large Chinese companies jumped 10 percent in the first nine months of the year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said, adding to evidence of rising oversupply in the world’s largest producer of the metal. Steel Supply The nation’s cabinet in August said it was studying curbs on overcapacity in industries including steel. Monthly steel production in China reached records for four months from May through August. Honda Motor climbed 3.7 percent to 2,950 yen after forecasting net income of 155 billion yen in the year ending March, compared with an earlier target of 55 billion yen. Toyota Motor Corp. added 1.1 percent to 3,640 yen. Astellas, Japan’s second-largest drugmaker, gained 2.1 percent to 3,410 yen. The company agreed to pay as much as $765 million to California-based Medivation Inc. for global rights to develop and sell the prostate cancer drug. To contact the reporter on this story: Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net ; Patrick Rial in Tokyo at prial@bloomberg.net .

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Broadridge Renews for 373,000 SF in Jersey, Manhattan

October 27, 2009

After weighing its options, Broadridge Financial Solutions is staying put in the Tri-State region, renewing 373,000 square feet in New York and New Jersey office leases. The Long Island-based brokerage firm has extended its stay at 2 Journal Square…

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Deal-Breaker for Copenhagen Climate-Change Treaty May Be Obama’s Congress

October 27, 2009

By Alex Morales and Kim Chipman Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — When Barack Obama was elected president, he was heralded as a possible savior for climate- treaty talks that had dragged on for years while George W. Bush rejected limits on U.S. greenhouse-gas emissions. “America is back” at the United Nations negotiating table, Democratic Senator John Kerry declared after the November election. Danish climate minister Connie Hedegaard said U.S. emissions policy moved forward 35 years overnight. Instead, Obama may send empty-handed envoys in December to the table in Copenhagen where 192 countries will try to assign emissions reductions because Congress has given him no mandate. With the 27-nation European Union, Japan and Australia ready to pledge cuts of more than 20 percent only if other nations follow suit , the stage is set for promises to collapse. “How can we expect other major players to move their position until they know that in the end the U.S. is also going to deliver?” Hedegaard , chairwoman of the UN talks running from Dec. 7-18, said in an interview. The possible domino effect, along with a continuing split between the U.S. and China, erode chances for a strong treaty, negotiators and political scientists say. “It is unlikely that an agreement which would be meaningful is going to be finalized” in the Danish capital, Robert Stavins , director of the Harvard Environmental Economics Program in Cambridge, Massachusetts, said in an interview. Hour From Copenhagen When Obama picks up his Nobel Peace Prize in Oslo in December, he’ll be an hour’s flight from where more than 10,000 envoys, UN officials and lobbyists will be meeting to conclude an agreement on slowing climate change, a challenge the president has said the U.S. will “lead the world” in tackling. Obama hasn’t decided whether to make an appearance, administration officials said. Carol Browner , the White House coordinator of energy and climate policy, said the administration hasn’t given up on getting a bill through the Senate this year, and can point to actions aimed at cutting greenhouse gases, such as proposed tailpipe emissions standards and investments in clean energy. “We feel very, very confident that we can work with the rest of the world to take significant steps forward in Copenhagen,” Browner said in an interview yesterday. Environmentalists say Obama is a likely no-show because stalled climate bills in Congress mean the U.S. may have little to offer, threatening to unravel prospects for a global deal. Getting Ready “If this were a play getting ready to come to Broadway, we would say: ‘Well, we aren’t sure of the financial backing or the orchestra and, guess what, the lead star says he might not sing,’” said Peter Goldmark , director of the climate and air program at New York-based Environmental Defense Fund. There are other stumbling blocks beyond the U.S. Industrialized nations are still split with developing countries such as China, the largest greenhouse-gas producer, over transferring clean-energy technologies to poorer nations and climate-adaptation aid. Yet the heart of a climate deal is to get nations to slash heat-trapping gases such as carbon dioxide that scientists blame for global warming. That was the UN’s principal conclusion in a 2007 declaration made in Bali, Indonesia , that proposed a “road map” for forging a new treaty in Copenhagen two years later. “If the United States comes out with an ambitious target, they’ll inspire others to do the same,” said Sweden’s chief climate negotiator, Anders Turesson , who speaks for the EU because his country holds the bloc’s rotating presidency. 1990 Levels Obama has said he’ll push to cut U.S. emissions back to 1990 levels by 2020. The U.S. House passed legislation in June to create a cap-and-trade system that would limit gas emissions and create a market in pollution permits. Today, Senate committee hearings are set to begin in Washington on a comparable measure. Congressional leaders, embroiled for months in the debate over health-care legislation, made no promises that the full Senate will take up the climate bill before 2010. The moderate Democrats and Republicans “we are counting on” to back climate-change legislation are preoccupied with overhauling the U.S. health-care system, said Bob Simon, chief of staff of the Senate Energy Committee. Having no congressional mandate will make it “extraordinarily difficult” to commit to a target in treaty talks, U.S. lead negotiator Jonathan Pershing said Oct. 9 at the last negotiating round in Bangkok. Firm Commitments If the U.S., the second-largest emitter, could deliver, other countries might firm up their commitments, Brice Lalonde , France’s lead negotiator, said in a telephone interview. He pointed to carbon-reduction pledges by many developed nations that are conditional on a deal being reached in Denmark. “Look at all the commitments which are conditioned by ‘if,’” Lalonde said. “Take out all these ifs and we’ve got an agreement.” Only if other nations take similar steps will Japan and Australia cut their emissions 25 percent by 2020, they said. Commitments by New Zealand and Switzerland are also contingent on a wider deal. The EU has pledged a 20 percent greenhouse-gas cut by 2020 from 1990 levels and will ramp that up to 30 percent if comparable action is taken by other developed nations. Developing nations, whose emissions are growing faster than in richer countries, might be motivated to talk about when they can ‘peak’ their greenhouse gases before starting to cut them if they got a clear stance from the U.S., Lalonde said. Industrial Competitors The U.S. climate position avoids giving too much economic leeway to China, a growing industrial competitor that rejects binding emissions targets. China says that as a developing nation the priority is to pull its people out of poverty. The two nations release 40 percent of global emissions. Even so, China President Hu Jintao has said that his country will cut emissions in proportion to economic growth by a “notable” margin by 2020. “It’s fair to say that the Chinese are holding back on putting forth a number in terms of their greenhouse-gas intensity target until they have greater clarity on what the U.S. is going to do,” said Jake Schmidt , international climate policy director for the Natural Resources Defense Council, a New York-based environmental group. “If the U.S. put forward a number and gave a clear signal of what it would do, I think China would follow minutes after that.” Back Home American negotiators say they don’t want to bring a deal back home to the Senate, the only U.S. body that can ratify a treaty, and get it rejected. Former President Bill Clinton’s UN envoy Peter Burleigh signed the Kyoto Protocol accord in 1998. Neither Bush nor Clinton sent the treaty to the Senate. The 100- member chamber said at the time it would reject an accord that didn’t make requirements of developing nations such as China. “We don’t want to repeat the Kyoto experience of having a number where there’s nothing behind it,” Obama’s climate envoy, Todd Stern , said Oct. 18 in London. By avoiding Kyoto, the world’s biggest energy consumer was allowed to increase emissions by about 16 percent from 1990 through 2007, UN data show. Kyoto demanded a 7 percent reduction from the same base year to the 2008-2012 measurement period. Hostage to Congress “Are we going to be forever hostage to the U.S. Congress?” asked Bernarditas Muller , a negotiator for the Philippines who helps co-ordinate the G77 group, an alliance of 130 developing nations. Just as in the 1990s, Congress is concerned over losing jobs to low-cost economies with no emission rules and members are considering setting duties to be paid on their imports. “The negotiations need to move forward on what we do with leveling the playing field on manufacturing so that a country that acts responsibly on CO2 emissions doesn’t lose jobs to those countries that don’t,” said Senator Sherrod Brown , a Democrat from Ohio. Obama and many world leaders probably will send underlings to the Danish capital instead of traveling themselves as the chance of countries breaking a deadlocks are slim, said Eileen Claussen , head of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change in Arlington, Virginia. “There is a lot of pressure on the president to go,” Claussen said. “But it’s hard to imagine heads of state going to Copenhagen and ending up with a political declaration that says: ‘It’s really hard and we are going to take another six months to do it.’” Long-Term Targets The U.S. has signed up to some long-term targets, including a commitment by the G8 that developed nations should cut emissions by 80 percent by 2050. In July, the Major Economies Forum, which groups the biggest polluters including the EU, U.S., China and 14 other nations, said they’ll aim to contain average warming since industrialization in the 1800s to 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit). Signing up to such targets means countries need to devise “pathways” on how to get there with targets in the nearer term, according to France’s Lalonde. “It’s easy to say something for 2050 but what’s more important for us is to show how you get there,” Lalonde said, adding that the U.S., which is lagging behind for now in the fight against global warming, has a “treasury of ingenuity” that can help it catch up. “If they’ve been on the moon, they can reduce greenhouse gases,” he said. To contact the reporter on this story: Alex Morales in London at amorales2@bloomberg.net . Kim Chipman in Washington at kchipman@bloomberg.net

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Electric-Car Makers Use U.S. Taxpayer Cash to Enter Market `Full of Risks’

October 27, 2009

By Jeff Green and Alan Ohnsman Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Electric-car makers ranging from Ford Motor Co. to California startups are using $11 billion in taxpayer funds to supply a market that doesn’t yet exist. Fisker Automotive Inc., backed by a $528.7 million U.S. loan, said today it will join the rush to the assembly line by buying a closed Delaware plant from the former General Motors Corp. for $18 million. It will spend $175 million to refurbish and retool the factory to build plug-in hybrid cars. “The cars built here are truly going to be the cars of the future,” Vice President Joe Biden said at the announcement in Wilmington, Delaware. “It’s important that we take the lead in this new technology,” Biden added. Obama administration aid to spur demand for more fuel- efficient autos is luring companies including General Motors Co. and Nissan Motor Co. into the electric-car push. The result may be a supply of new vehicles that outstrips demand, said Michael Omotoso , a senior manager for J.D. Power & Associates in Troy, Michigan. “The U.S. government is saying we’ll have 1 million electric vehicles on the road by 2015; we’re saying it will take three to five years longer,” Omotoso said. “Realistically, manufacturers could be selling 80,000 to 100,000 by 2015.” Investors betting on acceptance of electric autos include Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers , the venture-capital firm that employs former Vice President Al Gore and is backing Fisker. Government Capital “A huge amount of private capital is on the sideline, so a new locus for funding right now is the U.S. government,” said Ray Lane , a managing partner at Kleiner Perkins who works on the firm’s alternative energy investments. “The Department of Energy has stepped into the role of private capital, at least temporarily.” There are about 50 alternative vehicle ventures competing for capital right now and 40 of them will probably fail because they “never got scale,” Lane said. Of the surviving 10, perhaps two will remain independent companies while the rest are acquired for their brand or technology, he said. Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is advising Santa Monica, California-based Coda Automotive, which seeks to import China-built electric sedans in 2010. He also is a Coda investor. While Coda isn’t requesting U.S. aid, Ford, Nissan and Irvine, California-based Fisker are among the companies approved for Energy Department loans and grants to build autos that meet President Barack Obama’s goal of cutting tailpipe emissions and easing dependence on oil imports. New Field Making passenger vehicles that run on a charge from a household outlet is such a new field that global output this year may total only a few thousand autos. Obama seeks to have 1 million on the road within six years. “Hybrids are still less than 3 percent of the market, and that’s a relatively proven technology,” said Rebecca Lindland , an IHS Global Insight Inc. forecaster in Lexington, Massachusetts. “Modern-day electric cars are still chock full of risks.” U.S. auto sales averaged 16.8 million this decade through 2007. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP projected in an Oct. 19 report that global electric-vehicle output might reach 700,000 by 2015. The idle so-called Boxwood plant, which was never part of the post-bankruptcy GM, will be used to build as many as 100,000 hybrids annually. “This is a major step toward establishing America as a leader of advanced vehicle technology,” Henrik Fisker , the company’s chief executive officer, told more than 1,000 people gathered at the plant for the announcement. “We can lead the world again in car manufacturing.” Union Shop Fisker has committed to making the plant “a union shop, so we are expecting union wages,” said Kerry Kryspin, a trustee of UAW Local 435, which represents workers at the facility. The average autoworker made about $28 per hour at the plant before it closed last year, he said. Automakers worldwide will introduce 42 plug-in and electric models from 2009 to 2012, according to an estimate from PricewaterhouseCoopers. The autos include new entrants from Ford and Detroit-based GM, which championed full-size pickups and sport-utility vehicles in the 1990s. Nissan is making the biggest electric-vehicle commitment. It is targeting its $1.6 billion government loan to build as many as 150,000 battery-powered Leaf hatchbacks annually and produce lithium-ion battery packs in Smyrna, Tennessee. “We think that we are the only full-line maker that’s offering an electric vehicle as a mass-market vehicle,” said Fred Standish , a spokesman for its U.S. unit. “We don’t issue sales forecasts. We don’t know where this market will be.” Tesla, Too Ford, whose approval for $5.9 billion in federal aid makes it the largest such recipient, plans an electric version of its Transit van next year, an all-electric Focus sedan in 2011 and a plug-in hybrid in 2012. Some of the money for Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford is going to improved gasoline engines. Tesla Motors Inc., which began delivering $109,000 Roadster electric sports cars last year, was approved for $465 million in Energy Department funds to help finance a battery plant and a factory to make the Model S electric sedan. GM has said it will build as many as 60,000 Chevrolet Volt plug-in electric cars annually after sales begin in November 2010, while Toyota City, Japan-based Toyota Motor Corp. plans to build a plug-in model for fleet customers by next year and for retail buyers in 2012. Electric cars may make up 10 percent of global demand by 2020, Nissan Chief Executive Officer Carlos Ghosn said on Aug. 2 at the company’s new headquarters in Yokohama, Japan. IHS Global Insight estimates the total may reach 18 percent by 2030. Fuel Prices Fuel prices will be pivotal, according to the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Michigan. With gasoline at $6 a gallon, U.S. sales of plug-in vehicles may reach 518,000 by 2015, the center projected, based on a survey of executives at vehicle powertrain companies. At $2.50 a gallon, the total may be only 169,400. The U.S. retail average was $2.67 a gallon on Oct. 25. Since June, the Energy Department has awarded $8.5 billion in loans to Ford, Nissan, Tesla and Fisker for development and production of advanced vehicles, and $2.4 billion in grants to set up lithium-ion battery factories in the U.S. “Consumers aren’t pulling on demand for electric vehicles,” said Lindland, the IHS Global Insight forecaster. “Instead regulation and policy is pushing these vehicles into the market.” To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan, at jgreen16@bloomberg.net ; Alan Ohnsman in Los Angeles at aohnsman@bloomberg.net

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How New York Fed’s Secret Decision on AIG Swaps Cost Americans $13 Billion

October 27, 2009

By Richard Teitelbaum and Hugh Son Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — In the months leading up to the September 2008 collapse of giant insurer American International Group Inc. , Elias Habayeb and his colleagues worked nights and weekends negotiating with banks that had bought $62 billion of credit-default swaps from AIG, according to a person who has worked with Habayeb. Habayeb, 37, was chief financial officer for the AIG division that oversaw AIG Financial Products, the unit that had sold the swaps to the banks. One of his goals was to persuade the banks to accept discounts of as much as 40 cents on the dollar, according to people familiar with the matter. Among AIG’s bank counterparties were New York-based Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co., Paris-based Societe Generale SA and Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank AG . By Sept. 16, 2008, AIG, once the world’s largest insurer, was running out of cash, and the U.S. government stepped in with a rescue plan. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the regional Fed office with special responsibility for Wall Street, opened an $85 billion credit line for New York-based AIG. That bought it 77.9 percent of AIG and effective control of the insurer. The government’s commitment to AIG through credit facilities and investments would eventually add up to $182.3 billion. Beginning late in the week of Nov. 3, the New York Fed, led by President Timothy Geithner , took over negotiations with the banks from AIG, together with the Treasury Department and Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s Federal Reserve. Geithner’s team circulated a draft term sheet outlining how the New York Fed wanted to deal with the swaps — insurance-like contracts that backed soured collateralized-debt obligations. Subprime Mortgages CDOs are bundles of debt including subprime mortgages and corporate loans sold to investors by banks. Part of a sentence in the document was crossed out. It contained a blank space that was intended to show the amount of the haircut the banks would take, according to people who saw the term sheet. After less than a week of private negotiations with the banks, the New York Fed instructed AIG to pay them par, or 100 cents on the dollar. The content of its deliberations has never been made public. The New York Fed’s decision to pay the banks in full cost AIG — and thus American taxpayers — at least $13 billion. That’s 40 percent of the $32.5 billion AIG paid to retire the swaps. Under the agreement, the government and its taxpayers became owners of the dubious CDOs, whose face value was $62 billion and for which AIG paid the market price of $29.6 billion. The CDOs were shunted into a Fed-run entity called Maiden Lane III. Habayeb, who left AIG in May, did not return phone calls and an e-mail. Goldman Sachs The deal contributed to the more than $14 billion that over 18 months was handed to Goldman Sachs, whose former chairman, Stephen Friedman , was chairman of the board of directors of the New York Fed when the decision was made. Friedman, 71, resigned in May, days after it was disclosed by the Wall Street Journal that he had bought more than 50,000 shares of Goldman Sachs stock following the takeover of AIG. He declined to comment for this article. In his resignation letter, Friedman said his continued role as chairman had been mischaracterized as improper. Goldman Sachs spokesman Michael DuVally declined to comment. AIG paid Societe General $16.5 billion, Deutsche Bank $8.5 billion and Merrill Lynch $6.2 billion. New York Fed The New York Fed, one of the 12 regional Reserve Banks that are part of the Federal Reserve System, is unique in that it implements monetary policy through the buying and selling of Treasury securities in the secondary market. It also supervises financial institutions in the New York region. The New York Fed board, which normally consists of nine directors, in November 2008 included Jamie Dimon , chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Friedman. The directors have no direct role in bank supervision. They’re responsible for advising on regional economic conditions and electing the bank president. Janet Tavakoli , founder of Chicago-based Tavakoli Structured Finance Inc., a financial consulting firm, says the government squandered billions in the AIG deal. “There’s no way they should have paid at par,” she says. “AIG was basically bankrupt.” Citigroup Inc. agreed last year to accept about 60 cents on the dollar from New York-based bond insurer Ambac Financial Group Inc. to retire protection on a $1.4 billion CDO. Unwinding Derivatives In March 2009, congressional hearings and public demonstrations targeted AIG after it was disclosed it had paid $165 million in bonuses that month to the employees of AIGFP, which is unwinding billions of dollars in derivatives under the supervision of Gerry Pasciucco , a former Morgan Stanley managing director who joined AIG after the CDS payments were mandated. Far more money was wasted in paying the banks for their swaps, says Donn Vickrey of financial research firm Gradient Analytics Inc. “In cases like this, the outcome is always along the lines of 50, 60 or 70 cents on the dollar,” Vickrey says. A spokeswoman for Geithner, now secretary of the Treasury Department, declined to comment. Jack Gutt , a spokesman for the New York Fed, also had no comment. One reason par was paid was because some counterparties insisted on being paid in full and the New York Fed did not want to negotiate separate deals, says a person close to the transaction. “Some of those banks needed 100 cents on the dollar or they risked failure,” Vickrey says. A Range of Options People familiar with the transaction say the New York Fed considered a range of options, including guaranteeing the banks’ CDOs. They say that by buying the securities, AIG got the best deal it could. According to a quarterly New York Fed report on its holdings, the $29.6 billion in securities held by Maiden Lane III had declined in value by about $7 billion as of June 30. Edward Grebeck, CEO of Stamford, Connecticut-based debt consulting firm Tempus Advisors, says the most serious breach by the government was to keep the process of approving the bank payments secret. “It’s inexcusable,” says Grebeck, who teaches a course on CDSs at New York University. “Everybody should be privy to the negotiations that went on. We can’t have bailouts like this happening behind closed doors.” Secret Deliberations The deliberations of the New York Fed are not made public. In this case, even the identities of the AIG counterparties weren’t disclosed until March 2009, when U.S. Senator Christopher Dodd , head of the Senate Finance Committee, demanded they be made public. Bloomberg News has filed a Freedom of Information Act request seeking copies of the term sheets related to AIG’s counterparty payments, along with e-mails and the logs of phone calls and meetings among Geithner, Friedman and other New York Fed and AIG officials. The request is pending. The Federal Reserve has been reluctant to publish information on its efforts to stabilize the financial system since the crisis began. The Fed has loaned more than $2 trillion, yet it refuses to name the recipients of the loans, or cite the amount they borrowed, saying that doing so may set off a run by depositors and unsettle shareholders. Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News, sued in November 2008 under the Freedom of Information Act for disclosure of details about 11 Fed lending programs. In August, Manhattan Chief U.S. District Judge Loretta Preska ruled in Bloomberg’s favor, saying the central bank had to provide details of the loans. The Fed has appealed to the Second Circuit Court of Appeals, and the data remain secret while the appeal proceeds. ‘Cataclysmic Financial Crisis’ Information on the borrowers is “central to understanding and assessing the government’s response to the most cataclysmic financial crisis in America since the Great Depression,” attorneys for Bloomberg said in the Nov. 7 suit. Questions about the New York Fed transactions may be answered by Neil Barofsky , inspector general for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP. He is working on a report, which may be released next month, on whether AIG overpaid the banks. TARP is the vehicle through which the Treasury invested more than $200 billion in some 600 U.S. financial institutions. William Poole , a former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, defends the New York Fed’s action. The financial system had suffered through months of crisis at the time, he says. The investment bank Bear Stearns Cos. had been swallowed by JPMorgan; mortgage packagers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had been taken over by the government; and the day before AIG was rescued, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. had filed for bankruptcy. ‘Enough Trouble’ “I think the Federal Reserve was trying to stop the spread of fear in the market,” Poole says. “The market was having enough trouble dealing with Lehman. If you add, on top of that, AIG paying off some fraction of its liabilities , a system which is already substantially frozen would freeze rock-solid.” Still, officials at AIG object to the secrecy that surrounded the transactions. One top AIG executive who asked not to be identified says he was pressured by New York Fed officials not to file documents with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission that would divulge details. “They’d tell us that they don’t think that this or that should be disclosed,” the executive says. “They’d say, ‘Don’t you think your counterparties will be concerned?’ It was much more about protecting the Fed.” ‘An Outrage’ Friedman’s role remains controversial. In December 2008, weeks after the payments to the banks were authorized in November, Friedman bought 37,300 shares of Goldman stock at $80.78 a share, according to SEC filings. On Jan. 22, he bought 15,300 more at $66.61. Both purchases took place before the payments to Goldman Sachs were publicly disclosed under pressure from Senator Dodd in March. On Oct. 26, Goldman Sachs stock closed at $179.37 a share, meaning Friedman had paper profits of $5.4 million. Jerry Jordan , former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, says Friedman should have resigned from the New York Fed as soon as it became clear that Goldman stood to benefit from its actions. “It’s an outrage,” Jordan says. “He needed to either resign from the Fed board or from Goldman and proceed to sell his stock.” 98,600 Goldman Shares Friedman remains a member of Goldman’s board and held a total of 98,600 shares of the firm’s stock as of Jan. 22. Vickrey says that one reason the New York Fed should have insisted on discounted payments for AIG’s CDSs is that the banks likely had hedges against their insured CDOs or had already written down their value. On March 20, Goldman Sachs CFO David Viniar said in a conference call with investors that Goldman was protected. “We limited our overall credit exposure to AIG through a combination of collateral and market hedges,” Viniar said. “There would have been no credit losses if AIG had failed.” In any event, former St. Louis Fed President Poole says the entire process should have been public and transparent. “There should be a high bar against not disclosing,” Poole says. “The taxpayer has every right to understand in detail what happened.” To contact the reporters on this story: Richard Teitelbaum in New York at rteitelbaum1@bloomberg.net . Hugh Son in New York at hson1@bloomberg.net

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Afghanistan’s First Railroad Aims to Undermine Bandit Funding of Taliban

October 27, 2009

By Dave McCombs Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Afghanistan is building its first rail link with the help of the Asian Development Bank in a bid to improve trade and aid and undermine highway bandits helping to fund insurgents, including the Taliban. The bank will name the design and operation contractors next week for the $170 million railway from Uzbekistan’s border to Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan’s second-largest city and a hub for aid and imports, said Juan Miranda, ADB director-general for Central and West Asia. Work on the 75-kilometer (47-mile) line will start this year and may finish in 2010, he said. Afghanistan has only 25 kilometers of train track and crime gangs along the highways extort cash and steal cargo from haulers. Human rights campaigners and U.S. government officials say the bandits are helping fuel an insurgency that prompted President Barack Obama to send 21,000 additional soldiers to the country this year and to consider committing more U.S. troops. “It’s a project that will be transformational,” Miranda said by phone from the Philippines capital, Manila. “A railway is a visible sign of progress and it will really help with the trade bottleneck at the border. It’s a sign of hope, rather than desperation.” U.S. General Stanley McChrystal , the commander of U.S. and NATO-led forces in Afghanistan, wrote in an August assessment requesting more troops that insurgent taxes imposed on the “local population through check points” would enable anti- government forces to fund operations, even if profit from the opium trade was eliminated. For more than a century, every attempt to build a rail network has failed as French, German, Indian, Iranian and Soviet rail plans were abandoned or never broke ground, leaving the landlocked nation without an all-weather transport backbone. Cutting off Bandits “A rail line would help by cutting off the source of funds for some of the organized crime groups, because they would not be able to stop the train,” said Ahmad Nader Naderi, a member of the Kabul-based Afghan Independent Human Rights Commission . Afghanistan’s reliance on trucks facilitates “informal payments” such as extortion that inflate shipping costs by 50 percent in the region, according to a 2006 World Bank study. The International Monetary Fund in 2007 estimated shipping costs and delays in Afghanistan are double the regional average. “Projects like this railway would bring hope for a better future,” said Nader Naderi, whose commission investigates human rights abuses. Aid Bottleneck In February, 1,500 metric tons of Russian-donated flour packed onto 25 rail cars arrived at Haryaton, where the Uzbekistan railway line ends, Russia’s state-run RIA Novosti news agency reported. The cargo took days to shift onto trucks and weeks to deliver, allowing more spoilage, theft and extortion. Almost half of Afghanistan’s imports and even more of its humanitarian aid now come through Haryaton to Mazar-e-Sharif, 290 kilometers north of the capital, Kabul. Local governors have been accused of extorting payments from truck drivers, undermining support for President Hamid Karzai’s central government, Nader Naderi said. Deteriorating road security is also thwarting the U.S. military. In June 2008 alone, 44 trucks and 220,000 gallons (832,790 liters) of fuel were lost because of hijackings and attacks while delivering fuel to Bagram air field near Kabul, the U.S. Government Accountability Office said in a March 2009 report . While the ADB is financing 97 percent of estimated costs through a $165 million grant, Afghanistan will contribute $5 million. The rail construction contract has been awarded to Uzbekistan Temir Yollari , the Uzbek national railway company. ADB Investment The ADB expects to invest about a billion dollars in Afghanistan over the next five years, Miranda said. The paving of a 3,000-kilometer ring road through Kabul, Herat and Kandahar, started six years ago, has yet to be completed as the December 2009 target approaches. Taliban attacks on workers and traffic have delayed construction, Richard Boucher , assistant U.S. secretary of state, said last November. Attempts to create an Afghan railroad began in the 1920s when two German locomotives were used on a 7-kilometer line from Kabul. When King Amanullah Khan, who ordered them, was overthrown, the project was abandoned. The engines now sit rusting among weeds in an outdoor museum, said Andrew Grantham, news editor of Railway Gazette International magazine and author of a Web site on the history of rail projects in Afghanistan. Three locomotives imported from Germany in the 1950s to supply a power station east of Kabul vanished, their fate unknown, said Grantham, who also said he thinks the ADB-financed railway will be built. Similar Fate The current rail project may meet a similar fate, given the lack of security, said Malou Innocent, a foreign policy analyst at the Cato Institute, a Washington research organization. Aid projects pay a percentage to the Taliban for protection, though that may not prevent attacks, she said in an e-mailed comment. “Unless enough U.S., NATO, and Afghan troops are prepared to defend the new railway network indefinitely, we could see all of this infrastructure destroyed almost as quickly as we build it,” said Innocent, co-author of the report: “Escaping the Graveyard of Empires: A Strategy to Exit Afghanistan.” To contact the reporter for this story: Dave McCombs in Tokyo at dmccombs@bloomberg.net .

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October Becomes Deadliest Month for U.S. in Afghanistan With 8 More Killed

October 27, 2009

By Gregory Viscusi Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — At least eight U.S. troops were killed by bombings in southern Afghanistan, making October the deadliest month for the U.S. since its 2001 invasion. The eight service members, as well as an Afghan civilian working for them, were killed in “multiple complex IED attacks,” the U.S. military said in a statement, referring to improvised explosive devices. There were also several injured, the military said. A phone call to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in Kabul seeking more detail wasn’t immediately returned. One attack killed seven soldiers and the civilian, while the eighth soldier was killed by another bomb, Agence France-Presse reported, citing an unidentified NATO official. The deaths bring U.S. fatalities in Afghanistan so far this month to 55, according to Pentagon spokeswoman Air Force Major April Cunningham, overtaking the previous high of 51 in August. October’s death toll already exceeds the number of U.S. fatalities in each of the years from 2001 to 2004. President Barack Obama is currently considering an army request to increase U.S. troop levels in Afghanistan. Yesterday, 14 Americans were killed in two separate crashes involving three helicopters, NATO said. Helicopter Crashes Seven U.S. soldiers and three U.S. drug agents were killed when a helicopter crashed as a joint U.S.-Afghan force withdrew after a drug raid on a compound in western Afghanistan, NATO said. Another 14 Afghan soldiers, 11 U.S. military personnel and one American civilian were injured in the crash. In the other incident, two helicopters collided in midair in southern Afghanistan, killing four U.S. troops, NATO said. While the Taliban claimed responsibility for at least one of the downings, hostile fire doesn’t appear to be the cause of either incident, the alliance said. Separately, the U.S. military said it’s recovered the bodies of three civilian crew killed when their Army C-12 Huron crashed in the mountains of northeastern Afghanistan Oct. 13. Obama will meet with the Joint Chiefs of Staff, his top military advisers, on Oct. 30 as part of discussions to reach a decision on whether to increase the number of troops, an aide said. “The president requested a meeting with the Joint Chiefs because he wanted to consult with uniformed military leadership as a part of his policy review,” spokesman Tommy Vietor said in an e-mailed response to a question. Obama has indicated he’ll hold off deciding on a military request for up to 40,000 extra troops until after the second round of Afghanistan’s presidential elections Nov. 7. To contact the reporter on this story: Gregory Viscusi in Paris at gviscusi@bloomberg.net .

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Hong Kong Developers Seek Cheaper Land as Government Wants to Curb Prices

October 27, 2009

By Chia-Peck Wong Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Hong Kong’s biggest developers signaled they want cheaper land as the government seeks to increase supply and curb speculation after home prices surged 28 percent this year. “The developers are requesting the government put the prices closer to the market level,” Stewart Leung , an executive director at New World Development Ltd., told reporters in Hong Kong yesterday after a meeting with the city’s Financial Secretary John Tsang . “We also hope that the government will increase the opportunities for selling land via applications.” Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. , the world’s biggest developer by market value, and rivals including Cheung Kong (Holdings) Ltd. fell in Hong Kong trading yesterday after the government tightened downpayment requirements for luxury homes, and suspended mortgage insurance for rental properties. On Oct. 14, Hong Kong Chief Executive Donald Tsang expressed concern about a possible property “bubble.” “These measures are unlikely to cool down the market significantly as they won’t hurt the ability of those who can afford to buy these homes or want to rent properties for yield,” Patrick Chow , a Hong Kong-based analyst at Everbright Securities Co., said. Sun Hung Kai dropped 3.4 percent to HK$118.20, trimming this year’s gains to 83 percent. Cheung Kong, controlled by Li Ka- shing , Asia’s second-richest man, fell 3 percent to HK$102.30. Land Auctions The government in January 2004 introduced a system of selling land through auctions only after developers promise to pay a minimum amount, part of an undisclosed reserve price. On May 5, the government sold a residential building site for a higher-than-estimated HK$61 million ($7.9 million), the first of the fiscal year that started April 1. It was the first public sale of a building site at least partially designated for housing since May 2008, according to the Lands Department. Executives from some of the city’s largest developers, including Thomas Kwok , vice chairman of Sun Hung Kai; Cheung Kong Deputy Chairman Victor Li ; Robert Ng , chairman of Sino Land Co.; and Hang Lung Properties Ltd. Chairman Ronnie Chan met John Tsang at government headquarters yesterday. Henderson Land Development Co. earlier this month said it sold a flat for what it called a world-record HK$88,000 a square foot. That announcement came hours after Donald Tsang said the government may release more land for developers to stem price increases. The index that tracks six of the city’s biggest developers had HK$20.7 billion wiped off its value yesterday after the Hong Kong Monetary Authority raised deposit levels for luxury apartments on Oct. 23. The city’s de facto central bank made the change, the first since 1991, after record-low interest rates fueled a surge in home prices this year. ‘Stop Price Appreciation’ The measures gave investors a reason to sell property stocks to profit from this year’s gains, Everbright’s Chow said. He downgraded Sun Hung Kai to “accumulate” from “buy” “simply because the stock has risen so much,” he said. Sino Land , this year’s best performer on the Hang Seng Property Index , fell 5.4 percent to HK$15.52. The index declined 3.6 percent, making it yesterday’s weakest performing sub-group on the benchmark Hang Seng Index. The measures “may reduce volumes in primary and secondary markets, which could indirectly slow or stop price appreciation for the rest of the year,” David Ng , head of regional property research at Royal Bank of Scotland Plc, said in a report e- mailed yesterday. Henderson, controlled by billionaire Lee Shau-kee , fell 4.3 percent to HK$52.90. New Mortgages Banks in the city of 7 million people have cut mortgage rates to the lowest since records began. Hong Kong home prices have risen 28 percent this year as of the week ended Oct. 18, according to the Centa-City Leading Index compiled by Centaline Property Agency Ltd. and the City University of Hong Kong. New mortgage loans approved dropped for a third straight month in September from a month earlier, the HKMA said yesterday. Loans last month fell 2.5 percent to HK$33.3 billion from August, it said. Of the mortgage loans approved, 42.4 percent have an interest margin of more than 2.5 percentage points below the nominal best lending rate, according to the statement on HKMA’s Web site. That compares with 46.9 percent in August. Sales of homes in Hong Kong worth more than HK$10 million almost tripled in September, according to the Land Registry. The property market has been boosted by an influx of money from China, where a $585 billion stimulus package has driven an economic rebound. Maximum Loan The Hong Kong Mortgage Corp., a government-backed home-loan insurer, said Oct. 23 it will limit coverage on loans of more than 70 percent of a residence’s value to borrowings of HK$12 million or less, down from a maximum of HK$20 million. The impact on property prices will “probably start at the beginning of next year when buyers become more convinced that interest rates are going to go up in the middle of the year,” Stanley Wong , deputy general manager at Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Asia Ltd., the Hong Kong unit of China’s biggest lender, said in an interview yesterday. For home buyers wishing to borrow as much as 95 percent of a property’s value, the corporation cut the maximum loan to HK$6 million from HK$8 million, the HKMC said. The agency will also suspend insurance for homes that aren’t owner-occupied, it said. The HKMA said banks can lend as much as HK$12 million for homes priced below HK$20 million, effectively meaning that downpayments on properties between HK$17 million and HK$20 million would range from about 60 percent to about 70 percent. To contact the reporter on this story: Chia-Peck Wong in Hong Kong at cpwong@bloomberg.net

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Deutsche Bank Said Near Deal to Buy Wealth Manager Sal. Oppenheim Holding

October 27, 2009

By Aaron Kirchfeld Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Deutsche Bank AG , Germany’s biggest lender, is poised to buy the Luxembourg-based holding company of wealth manager Sal. Oppenheim Jr. & Cie. for about 1 billion euros ($1.5 billion), two people familiar with the matter said. The family owners of Sal. Oppenheim will retain 25 percent in an operating unit of the asset and wealth management business in Cologne, Germany, said the people, who declined to be identified because the discussions are private. An agreement may be announced as soon as tomorrow after Deutsche Bank’s supervisory board meets, said the people. Chief Executive Officer Josef Ackermann is seeking control of Sal. Oppenheim, Germany’s biggest independent private bank, to cut reliance on investment banking and bolster the asset and wealth management business. The acquisition would almost double Deutsche Bank’s assets under management at the private-wealth unit to more than 300 billion euros and add about 150 million euros in operating profit a year, according to estimates by Morgan Stanley analysts. Spokesmen for Deutsche Bank and Sal. Oppenheim declined to comment. Die Welt earlier today reported the structure of the transaction, which the German newspaper said has tax benefits. Sal. Oppenheim, run by the seventh generation of the same family, put itself up for sale after reporting its first loss since World War II last year from soured investments in companies such as insolvent German retailer Arcandor AG as well as derivatives and real estate. The bank in April posted a 2008 net loss of 117 million euros. Wealth-Management Unit Deutsche Bank is only interested in the wealth management business and Sal. Oppenheim is seeking a buyer for its investment bank. The company’s effort to sell the advisory and securities unit is focused on Macquarie Group Ltd., Australia’s biggest investment bank, and won’t be completed until after the Deutsche Bank transaction, the people said. Italy’s Mediobanca SpA previously dropped out of negotiations. Deutsche Bank loaned 350 million euros to Sal. Oppenheim to help the wealth manager pay off loans to other banks, two people familiar with the matter said in September. The loan followed 300 million euros in financing provided by Deutsche Bank in August the wealth manager used to raise capital. Deutsche Bank received Sal. Oppenheim shares as collateral, paving the way for a stake purchase, the people said. Sal. Oppenheim says it became Europe’s largest independent bank after its 2004 purchase of BHF-Bank from ING Groep NV for 600 million euros. The company, which employs about 4,000 people, traces its roots to a commission and exchange house founded in 1789 by Salomon Oppenheim Jr. To contact the reporter on this story: Aaron Kirchfeld in Frankfurt at akirchfeld@bloomberg.net

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Honda Rises After Almost Tripling Profit Forecast on China, Japan Sales

October 27, 2009

By Makiko Kitamura

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National Australia Bank Turns to Loss on Bad-Debt Charge, Tax Settlement

October 27, 2009

By Angus Whitley Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — National Australia Bank Ltd. , the country’s biggest lender to businesses, slumped to a fiscal second-half loss after charges for bad debts climbed and the company set aside funds for a tax settlement in New Zealand. The net loss of A$75 million ($69 million) in the six months ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of A$1.85 billion in the year earlier period, the Melbourne-based bank said in a statement today. Cash earnings rose 8 percent to A$1.81 billion. Chief Executive Officer Cameron Clyne , who took over in January, has embarked on the bank’s biggest acquisition spree since 2007, adding life insurance, mortgage and wealth- management businesses to shelter earnings as loan losses rise. “If you look at the outlook there are a number of positive signs but you also need to be somewhat cautious,” Clyne told reporters at a briefing in Sydney today. Asset quality “might be stabilizing but there are still a number of issues to be worked through,” he said. Charges for bad and doubtful debts in the second half rose to A$2 billion from A$1.76 billion in the year-ago period, National Australia Bank said. The lender also set aside A$542 million for a tax bill after New Zealand authorities reviewed structured finance transactions the bank carried out. National Australia said in a statement it may reduce the bank’s Tier 1 capital ratio, a measure of the lender’s ability to withstand future losses, “when conditions become more predictable.” Recession Dodged National Australia shares have jumped 47 percent this year as analysts forecast an earnings rebound after the country dodged the global recession. “We seem to be past the worst of the cycle,” said George Boubouras , head of investment strategy at UBS AG’s Australian wealth-management business, in an interview before the earnings release. “We buy the banks for earnings certainty, because they’ve increased their market share in Australia. There’s margin growth.” Full-year profit at the bank fell as bad debts swelled and earnings slumped in the U.K. Net income dropped to A$2.59 billion from A$4.54 billion. National Australia was expected to report profit of A$4.18 billion, according to the average of seven analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. To contact the reporters on this story: Angus Whitley in Sydney at awhitley1@bloomberg.net

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Biggest Banks Would Bear Bulk of Future Bailout Costs Under House Plan

October 27, 2009

By Robert Schmidt and Rebecca Christie Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — A U.S. House committee is calling for financial firms with more than $10 billion in assets to pay the costs after the government takes over companies deemed too big to fail, according to draft legislation released today. The House Financial Services Committee measure lays out rules for dealing with institutions whose collapse would pose risks to the financial system. The bill is a compromise worked out by the Treasury Department and the panel’s Democratic chairman, Barney Frank of Massachusetts. The legislation “is a tough and sound response to too big to fail,” said Michael Barr , an assistant Treasury secretary who has helped spearhead the Obama administration’s work to overhaul Wall Street rules. “It spells out the harsh consequences of failure while preserving the government’s ability to prevent a financial meltdown.” The draft legislation would shift the costs to rescue and unwind the biggest financial firms away from the $700 billion taxpayer-funded bailout passed last year after the U.S. rescued Bear Stearns Cos. and American International Group Inc. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is scheduled to testify to the committee Oct. 29 and endorse the plan. Companies including insurers and hedge funds, not just banks, would be tapped to pay for resolutions, Frank said today in Washington. “The purpose is to go to other institutions as well because they would get the benefits,” Frank said. Frank said the legislation’s $10 billion threshold would spare smaller community banks. Tier 1 Under the bill, the Federal Reserve would oversee the biggest financial companies, known as Tier 1, and would hold the most power on a new council of regulators, officials said. The measure gives each major market regulator a seat on the council and some authority for monitoring systemic risk. The council will “identify financial companies and financial activities that pose a threat to financial stability, and will subject those companies and activities to heightened prudential oversight, standards and regulation,” Frank’s committee said in a statement. The legislation gives the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. power to resolve financial holding companies. The FDIC would use a new line of credit from the Treasury so it could fund any takedowns. The money would then be paid back by an assessment on “any financial company” with at least $10 billion under management. Separately today, the Financial Services Committee approved by a 67-1 vote a bill that will require hedge funds to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission, subjecting the private investment pools to required federal oversight for the first time. The Obama administration had proposed such a step. To contact the reporters on this story: Robert Schmidt in Washington at rschmidt5@bloomberg.net ; Rebecca Christie in Washington at rchristie4@bloomberg.net

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Most Japanese Stocks Gain After Honda Boosts Profit Forecast; Sony Falls

October 27, 2009

By Kana Nishizawa and Toshiro Hasegawa Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Most Japanese stocks rose after Honda Motor Co. tripled its profit forecast. Electronics makers declined after U.S. consumer confidence dropped and the yen strengthened. Honda Motor Co., Japan’s second-largest carmaker, jumped 4.8 percent. Sony Corp., the maker of the PlayStation 3 game console, fell 1.3 percent. Canon Inc. , the world’s largest camera maker, dropped 3.1 percent after reporting a seventh- straight quarterly profit decline. “There’s no local reason to be buying Japanese stocks, while the consumer-related companies have started a retreat in the all-important U.S. market, and that’s likely to resonate here as well,” said Hiroichi Nishi , an equities manager at Nikko Cordial Securities Inc. in Tokyo. The Topix Index rose 0.1 percent to 896.21 as of 9:10 a.m. in Tokyo, with about 11 stocks advancing for 10 that declined. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 0.2 percent to 10,196.56. The yen strengthened to as high as 91.61 per dollar, compared with 92.12 at the close of stock trading in Tokyo yesterday. Against the euro, Japan’s currency appreciated to the highest level in a week. The stronger yen reduces income at Japanese companies when overseas revenue is converted into their home currency. In New York yesterday, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 0.3 percent. Consumer confidence unexpectedly fell for a second month in October, reinforcing the views of Federal Reserve policy makers who say household spending will be restrained by rising unemployment. To contact the reporter on the story: Kana Nishizawa in Tokyo at knishizawa5@bloomberg.net ; Toshiro Hasegawa in Tokyo at thasegawa6@bloomberg.net .

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Kevin Krupa's Page – Commercial Real Estate Professional Investors …

October 27, 2009

All content on this site is strictly the opinion of the member and does not necessarily convey the beliefs of CREPIG or it’s associates. CREPIG(tm) Commercial Real Estate – Distressed Commercial Property – CRE Funding – Investments …

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Lori McMahon's Page – Commercial Real Estate Professional …

October 27, 2009

Lori McMahon’s Page on Commercial Real Estate Professional Investors Group. … Audio Visual, Banking, Bloomberg, Commercial Mortgage Backed, Commercial Real Estate , Credit Crunch, Crisis, English Multimedia, Financial Services, Home Builders, Housing Market, Interviews, Markets, Mortgage News, Multimedia-Exec Interview, News, Real Estate , REITs, Subprime Lending, Syndication, Reports, Public-Private Investment Program, Troubled Assets, Business Economy]. Quantcast.

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ING Group To Split Under EC Pressure

October 27, 2009

ING Group revealed plans to separate its banking and insurance businesses reports Bloomberg

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Lehman Brothers Art Collection For Sale

October 27, 2009

On November 1st, Philadelphia auction house Freeman’s is holding the first of two sales of nearly 700 pieces from Lehman Brothers’ private art collection.

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Carol Orsborn: How Confident are Boomer Consumers?

October 27, 2009

Wall Street is closely monitoring the consumer heartbeat after the Consumer Confidence Index dipped unexpectedly in September and continued to deteriorate in October according to the latest results released today. One of the key demographics on the examination table are the men and women of the Boomer generation whose faith in Wall Street has been deemed essential for economic recovery. As both a member and expert on this largest, wealthiest generation in history, I would suggest that when it comes to Boomers, Wall Street worry less about our level of consumer confidence and more about our degree of consumer denial. Despite our accumulation of unprecedented resources, Boomers have never fully trusted institutions of any kind–financial or otherwise. And yet, we’ve looked the other way for decades, dutifully funding our 401k’s and taking orders from our financial advisors. But what will happen if due to our continuing job losses, the hits our retirement funds have taken, and our concerns about the future of Medicare and Social Security, our denial finally breaks? Some worry about the mass defection of Boomers from financial institutions. But in fact, the Boomer generation represents a long, rich history of working and investing even while simultaneously suffering from increasing degrees of disenfranchisement. Before our generation’s high-functioning denial set down its roots in American soil, confidence was a much less complex affair. From founding fathers and pioneers to industrialists, immigrants and war heroes, pre-Boomer America epitomized the belief that hard work would be rewarded, and that the good life was attainable in our lifetime. Kennedy’s Camelot was as close as our generation was to come to this non-paradoxical version of reality. The triple blow of the assassinations of JFK, RFK and MLK, followed hard on the heels by the betrayal of Watergate, shook our generation definitively loose from faith that our institutions had either the power or will to protect us, and left us with the persistent feeling that we were largely on our own. Those of us with a spiritual bent feasted at the table of eastern philosophy, Oprah and Chopra, just in time to reassure us not to worry so much, since everything is an illusion. Those of us who went on to higher education busily put ourselves to work deconstructing reality, while watching the Wizard of Oz exposed as a fraud year after year alongside our kids and grandkids. As the years unfolded, we didn’t so much ignore the advice to “drop out” as we gamely learned to live on multiple levels simultaneously. And always, tucked in the back of our minds, was the suspicion that the same generation that was taught that ducking under one’s school desk would protect us from the atom bomb, was, in the end, going to be had. So does that mean Wall Street needs to worry? In this, the age of post-modernism, existentially, perhaps. But after our generation’s lifetime of playing a game we were never fully invested in any way, what’s new? While the Boomers I know are gradually returning, albeit cautiously, to mainstream investing, I would argue that the level of the Consumer Confidence Index is truly more a measure of our capacity for consumer denial. For when haven’t Boomers, regardless of what we’ve suffered, come back for yet another round? Add to this the fact that with our impaired retirement savings, we’re going to be working longer, accumulating more contributions to our 401k’s, than any generation in history–and there may even be cause for Wall Street to celebrate. At any rate, this is the opinion of one generational expert who not only writes about the demographic, but belongs to it. But then again, take all this with a big grain of salt. It is entirely possible, after all, that I am in denial.

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McDonald’s Pulls Out Of Iceland

October 27, 2009

I learned from Matthew Yglesias that McDonalds is pulling out of Iceland , victims of that nation’s currency collapse. The BBC has more : McDonald’s is to close its business in Iceland because the country’s financial crisis has made it too expensive to operate its franchise. The fast food giant said its three outlets in the country would shut – and that it had no plans to return. Besides the economy, McDonald’s blamed the “unique operational complexity” of doing business in an isolated nation with a population of just 300,000. It should be pointed out, however, that while Iceland will have to do without packaged, low-grade meat products infused with artificial aromas to make them stomachable to the human palate, it does not necessarily mean Iceland is doomed. While Thomas Friedman observed, in The Lexus And The Olive Tree , that “no two countries that both had McDonald’s had fought a war against each other since each got its McDonald’s,” his Golden Arches Theory of Conflict Prevention was disproven when Russia rolled into South Ossetia last year . So, Iceland needn’t necessarily fear that they will soon find themselves in the midst of armed conflict. Besides, I think that there are faeries that protect them , or something. Anyway, good luck, Iceland! [Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com -- learn more about our media monitoring project here .]

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Healthcare Reform: Walgreens Worried Over Possibility Of New Laws

October 27, 2009

With the news yesterday that some form of the public option for healthcare appears to be moving forward, we can probably expect more companies to start including warnings like Walgreen (WAG) did in the 10-K it filed yesterday:

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NY Fed Rejects 5 CMBS, Accepts 81 For TALF Program (Nasdaq)

October 27, 2009

NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- The Federal Reserve Bank of New York Tuesday announced which existing commercial mortgage-backed securities would be eligible for cheap funding under its Term Asset-Backed Loan Facility.

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Flood Evacuees Form New Community As Neighbors

October 27, 2009

As part of its Bearing Witness 2.0 project, the Huffington Post is rounding up a few of the best local stories of the day. Thirteen families displaced by flooding in the Southeastern United States in September are now living as neighbors in an apartment complex, reports Mark Davis of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution . The families, some of whom escaped their old homes only with what they could carry, originally met at the local Cobb County Civic Center, which was operating as an emergency shelter. They have since formed a tight-knit community, doing favors for each other and cooking meals together. “It was the Lord who brought us together,” said Marla Jackson. Many of the families are in their new homes with the help of non-profits like Hosea Feed the Hungry & Homeless , who help with rent and food. ****** Rosemary Ponnekanti of the Washington News Tribune writes about musicians in the Pacific Northwest who are giving up their passions for paychecks. “I’ve been doing this since 1997,” said Anne deMille Flood, whose color pencil drawings of local landmarks have made her a local stalwart, “and at the peak in 2007 I’d be selling around 15 originals a year, at around $500 each.” Since then her sales — and her income — have dropped 60 percent, and she is looking for another job. “I hate to give it up,” she said “but…I gave it my best shot. I hope the economy will recover, and I’ll get back to it.” ****** Shannon McGinnis, a single mother of two recovering from lymphoma cancer, earns just $485 a month as a nanny. But her bills are much more than that, and she depends on the Colville Food and Resource Center , reports Sophia Aldous of the Eastern Washington Statesman Examiner . She credits the food bank with keeping her family together: “They’re not just a food bank. They help me with the electricity bill, school supplies for my kids…I know they are here for me,” she said. The Food and Resource Center supports over 1,200 people a month — about half of them minors — and, like many food banks and shelters, is gearing up to serve even more people during the holiday season. ****** In Lafayette, Ind., Amanda Hamon of the Journal and Courier reports that 67 crumbling houses and buildings have been demolished by the city Hearing Authority. The department, established in 2006, identifies unsafe buildings and seeks to either refurbish them or tear them down. A rise in foreclosure rates has sent many homes into disrepair, and the city receives several calls a day because of blighted property. HuffPost readers: Seen a good local story? Heard about a heroic judge, neighbor, or doctor helping people stay in their homes? Tell us about it! Email jmhattem@gmail.com .

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Tanger Reports Third Quarter 2009 Results

October 27, 2009

GREENSBORO, N.C., Oct. 27, 2009 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Tanger Factory Outlet Centers, Inc. (NYSE:SKT) today reported funds from operations available to common shareholders (“FFO”), a widely accepted measure of REIT performance, for the three months ended September 30, 2009 was $0.54 per share, or $24.0 million, as compared to FFO of $0.67 per share, or $25.4 million, for the three months ended September 30, 2008. For the nine months ended September 30, 2009, FFO was $81.2 million, or $1.99 per share, as compared to FFO of $61.6 million, or $1.63 per share, for the nine months ended September 30, 2008.

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Lynn Tilton: Obama’s Small Business Plan: Recognition of the Problem is a Critical First Step, But Much More is Needed

October 27, 2009

The plan announced last week by President Obama to encourage lending to small businesses, in its recognition of the severity of the problem, is a noble first step. However, if we are truly committed to the salvation and revival of America’s small and mid-sized businesses and to saving and creating jobs, a more comprehensive plan is required. The Obama plan, while well intentioned, places the onus, in its entirety, on community banks to restart lending.

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Diane Francis: Bust Up the Banks Before it’s Too Late

October 27, 2009

The world desperately needs Glass-Steagall on steroids. Banking must be atomized — a la America’s 1933 Glass-Steagall legislation — in order to separate high-risk investment banking from taxpayer-insured deposits. Canada does a reasonably good job of sequestering these businesses, but the facts are that excessively big banks like ours contributed mightily to the current global catastrophe. Busting up the banking trusts is essential for the following reasons: 1) It eliminates the too-big-to-fail issue, which puts entire economies at risk. 2) Excessively large banks destroy democracies, like the United States, through inordinate influence on policy, politicians and regulators. 3) Oligopolies and monopolies are economically inefficient and charge excessive fees, earn excessive profits and pay excessive salaries and bonuses. 4) Oligopolies and monopolies don’t innovate because they don’t have to. 5) Oligopolies and monopolies are risky because they indulge in groupthink mistakes that are too large for economies and the business community to bear. 6) Oligopolies and monopolies fossilize markets by dealing with big entities, cronies, politically connected clients and nepotism. 7) Oligopolies and monopolies hurt economies because of overcharging and gouging. The world’s concentrated financial sector has been grabbing more than its fair share of wealth because it has been able to, and this must stop. Between 1989 and 1999, financial fees increased tenfold. Since the 1960s, the financial sector in the United States has more than doubled in size, from 3% of GDP to 7.5% currently. “This is like looting,” said outspoken Boston money manager Jeremy Grantham, whose firm invests $89 billion in funds. “That 7.5%, that goes to financial fees, is on its way to 10%. This industry can grow to gobble up all the benefits of the real economy if allowed to. It is trying to grab our cash. It’s obscene.” Despite the obvious benefits of busting up the bank trusts, the U.S. and other governments resist a Glass-Steagall restructuring. Washington’s intransigence flies in the face of the anti-trust tradition in the United States. Americans invented a strong economy by keeping banks smaller and competitive, by blowing up Rockefeller’s abusive Standard Oil of New Jersey into pieces to prevent it from owning the world and by curbing other robber barons through law. More recently, AT&T’s breakup created innovation and competition, as did the prolonged (even if unsuccessful) attempt to break up software bully Microsoft Corp. Even though the bust-up didn’t happen, the firm was cosseted and the possible stultification of the high-tech world was prevented. Glass-Steagall is the only type of reform that will work, which is why Bank of England governor Mervyn King and former Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker came out last week in support of a global Glass-Steagall. But Washington, London, Ottawa and others are counting on regulation instead, even though that didn’t work. Their position is even less justifiable given the fact that the meltdown has increased concentration of banking power, with even more accompanying problems. For instance, monopoly profits are why, months after Goldman Sachs was given $10 billion in taxpayer bailout funds, it has amassed $23 billion for bonuses this year — an amount equivalent in size to the economies of Trinidad and Tobago, Estonia, Lebanon or Congo and Mongolia combined. Goldman Sachs should be the first to be broken up. The firm would have disappeared if not for its $10 billion bailout (which it paid back) and is still at the taxpayer trough, thanks to its conversion of part of its business into a deposit-taking institution to get $26 billion taxpayer deposit insurance. Likewise, oligopoly profits are why a handful of America’s other rescued banks also planned on handing out obscene salaries, forcing Washington this week to chop some salaries by 90% to appease an outraged public. But slashing salaries is a one-time event that won’t work as bankers learn how to get around such salary restrictions by paying themselves through consulting contracts, by outsourcing to partners, or by simply fooling regulators or co-opting politicians, as they have done for years. Governments must bust up the banking giants or risk ruination again. Diane Francis blogs at National Post

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Marc Hershon: Eight Soloist Secrets To Getting Your Work Done

October 27, 2009

To be a Soloist is to be aware of that which the masses are too distracted to see. The following are secrets not so much because the information is hidden, but because most people simply aren’t paying attention to the obvious. In I Hate People! , the book I wrote with Jonathan Littman, we maintain that people can be more productive by becoming a Soloist. The Soloist isn’t a loner but instead is that adventuresome, creative spirit that tends to get crushed by too many meetings, interruptions and annoying co-workers. To help you to discover (or re-discover) the Soloist within you, yearning to escape, here are eight secrets that will help you to kick loose from the daily grind for a little while. 1. Let Your Calls Go To Voicemail Unless you’re expecting an important call, stop jumping to answer every time the phone rings. 2. Turn Off Your E-mail Arrival Alert We’ve become worse than Pavlov’s dog. Check your e-mail when you want to, not every time that chime goes off. 3. Get In Five Minutes Early Before the madness starts, just a few leisurely minutes at your desk — reading the news, sports or celebrity gossip — can start the day off right. 4. Mini-Brainstorm With Your Ensemble A Soloist’s Ensemble is his trusted group. His gang. His posse. Just by firing off a single question to your Ensemble about something that’s got you stumped can bring back a handful of useful answers in minutes. 5. Slow To A Stroll Unless you’re racing to make a flight at the airport, everything else can wait until you get there. Any time you catch yourself in that frantic speedwalking pace between meetings, tap the brakes a bit and slow it down. 6. Cut The Caff Coffee is not a substitute for rest, so wean yourself off the “liquid nap”. Switch to green tea, starting cutting your regular joe with decaf or go for a glass of water until your heartbeat starts to approach normal (under 90 beats a minute) for a change. 7. NanoNap Practice turning your back to the door in your cube or office then shutting your eyes for a few minutes at a time. If anyone catches you, tell them you’re meditating or imitating Winston Churchill (a famous napper.) 8. Take The Stairs A little exercise never hurt anyone, which is the excuse you need to take the stairs instead of the elevator. What you’re really getting are a few floors of peace and quiet at whatever pace you want to go. Marc Hershon is the co-author of the new book I Hate People (Little, Brown and Company; June 2009) with Jonathan Littman. Marc is a branding expert who, through his Simmer Branding Studio, has created such memorable names as nüvi, Crackle.com and the title for Dr. Phil’s book Love Smart.

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Anna Burger: It’s Time for Congress to Investigate the Banks

October 27, 2009
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Survey finds 601 troubled condo projects – Crain's New York Business

October 27, 2009

More Residential Real Estate Headlines. » Developers try ‘free’ chic to sell their empty condos » Schumer, Serrano smack Fannie » Bronx area takes on big government … “By the time government takes action, apartments will start to sell or rent,” said Boaz Gilad, president of Ore International, a Brooklyn-based developer who has been scooping up troubled projects and finishing them at bargain prices. “It might not be a relevant program anymore.” …

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Synapse Taps Freescale Veteran to Lead Worldwide Sales

October 27, 2009

“Synapse’s SNAP will revolutionize wireless sensor networks.” – Michael Davidson

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Fortune’s Stanley Bing: This Is It! The Biggest (Secular) Dead Guy Ever!

October 27, 2009

Today is This Is It Day in Los Angeles. All the theaters at the swank new multiplex downtown are devoted to the premiere of Michael Jackson’s new posthumous movie, a lovely, gift-wrapped sausage made up of everything they could find on the floor after the Grade A beef left the factory. A host of the dead man’s stuff is also going to be sold today, including gloves, jackets, psychotically reverent oil paintings of the royal duke himself, gloves, vehicles, and gloves. Sixty percent of all Fandango activity is now said to be dedicated to fans going online for tickets to the picture, which will run in London for almost as long as he was supposed to. His management company AEG, as you recall, scheduled that never-ending gig in a vain attempt to recoup some of the money they had sunk into the King of Pop. I will always believe that it was the pressure of knowing he had to go out and do that job that drove the sleepless, terrified entertainer to what was, in effect, an assisted suicide. But AEG has to be happy now. You can almost feel the money gushing into their pockets. And given the state of his debt load, I believe it’s quite possible that his handlers will get to keep it all, with a little left over on the side for the kids, for optical reasons. Yes, when This Is It and associated projects are through, it’s quite clear that Michael Jackson will take his place as the most successful dead man of all time, leaving aside a number of religious figures who continue to generate significant revenue each year for their associated organizations. Prior holders of the crown include: — Elvis, who continues to attain in death the kind of annual financial performance that often eluded him in life; — Lenin, whose embalmed body was on display in the Kremlin for decades; — Shakespeare, who died so long ago that, while his plays have produced better ROI than most hedge funds, unfortunately makes nothing for himself and his heirs. Alive, Michael Jackson was a problem for the guys at AEG. Dead? He’s the best investment in the history of the business. You can almost hear them thinking, “Hey! Why didn’t we think of this sooner?” Who knows? Perhaps they did.

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Rep. Edolphus Towns: AIG’s Misguided TARP-Funded Bonuses

October 27, 2009

The American people were justifiably outraged when they learned earlier this year that American International Group (AIG) would pay $165 million in bonuses to executives at AIG’s Financial Products Division (AIGFP), the very division that brought the company to its knees. The news came just months after taxpayer dollars funded an $85 billion bailout of AIG last September, followed by more money in October, more again in November and still more in March of this year. In total, the federal government committed $180 billion to save the insurance giant. Not long after the last transfer of $85 million in TARP funds to this company, Federal Reserve officials learned that AIG planned to distribute a total of $1.75 billion in bonuses and other extraordinary compensation throughout the company. Since that time, the American people have been eager to understand how the government failed to prevent these bonus payments from going out the door – payments that were paid out with their taxpayer dollars. The public also wants to know what their government is doing to prevent an episode like this from happening in the future. Recently, I held a House Oversight and Government Reform Committee hearing to better understand why there was not diligent oversight of pay practices at AIG after the company received a multi-billion dollar government funded bailout. Our sole witness for the hearing was the government’s TARP watchdog, Neil Barofsky, the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (SIGTARP). The SIGTARP completed an audit this month that examined compensation practices at companies that received bailout money, including AIG, and his testimony provided us with an explanation of the findings of his report. We first learned from the SIGTARP that AIG was not always a company that awarded its executives lavish bonuses. The SIGTARP’s audit found that AIG’s compensation used to be weighted toward long-term incentives that were payable only at retirement. In other words, they used the classic “golden handcuffs.” But in 2007, when losses began to mount, AIG’s new management decided to “update” their compensation plans. The golden handcuffs were replaced by golden envelopes. The era of instant gratification had arrived at AIG. In essence, long-term incentives were rejected in favor of risky, short-term gains. We also learned from Mr. Barofsky’s report that the Treasury Department, under former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, abdicated its responsibility to oversee the executive compensation plans at AIG. In fact, Treasury made no independent effort to evaluate the breadth of AIG’s compensation obligations before funneling taxpayer dollars to the company. Not until March 19, 2009, when Secretary Geithner announced a plan to deal with future payments of executive compensation at AIG, did Treasury finally begin to oversee the company’s compensation practices. Therefore, much of the public outcry this spring could have been avoided had Treasury evaluated the compensation packages at AIG from the moment former Secretary Paulson began allocating TARP funds. Widespread outrage at this situation among taxpayers and policymakers has resulted in a number of actions designed by the Obama Administration to rein in executive compensation, particularly at firms receiving TARP funds. On June 10, 2009, the Treasury Department issued its Interim Final Rule on TARP Standards for Compensation and Corporate Governance. The most important part of the rule was the creation of the Office of the Special Master for TARP Executive Compensation. Treasury appointed Kenneth Feinberg as Special Master, who is serving pro bono. Mr. Feinberg already has his hands full. According to the SIGTARP, AIG executives still believe that $200 million dollars in bonuses – or so-called retention payments – should be paid to them without regard to the company’s performance and without repaying the government in full. News reports indicate that Mr. Feinberg is having trouble convincing AIG to reduce those payments. This does not surprise me. I look forward to hearing directly from Mr. Feinberg tomorrow, Wednesday, October 28th, when he will testify before our Committee about his review of executive compensation at TARP recipient companies, including his decision last week to slash compensation for the top 25 executives at the seven largest bailout companies (AIG, Bank of America, Citigroup, Chrysler, Chrysler Financial, General Motors and GMAC) that have not repaid the taxpayers.

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Don McNay: 2010: The Year Main Street Sticks it to Wall Street and Washington

October 27, 2009
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Lavante Expands Management Team With Key Engineering Hire

October 27, 2009

Leader in On-Demand Profit Recovery Continues Strong Growth

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Video: Harris Sees `Sustained’ Home Price Rebound in 3-5 Years: Video

October 27, 2009

Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Ethan Harris, head of North America economics at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, talks with Bloomberg’s Mark Crumpton and Lori Rothman about the U.S. housing market. Harris also discusses the economy and the outlook for the government’s $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit. Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose in August for a third consecutive month. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index climbed 1 percent from the prior month, seasonally adjusted, after a 1.2 percent increase in July, the group said today in New York. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Colony Financial loans $206 million to William Lyon Homes

October 27, 2009

The collapse of commercial real estate is a topic of conversation across America, unemployment is getting worse and foreclosure statistics seem to set records every month. So Tom Barrack, CEO of Colony Capital, has decided

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Biggest real estate investment in U.S. history close to collapsing

October 27, 2009

billion for the Stuyvesant Town and Peter Cooper Village apartment complexes in 2006, the transaction marked the biggest real estate deal in U.S. history. Now, the owners are expected to let the New York City properties go into default within two or

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Video: Kronfol Sees More Issuance of Islamic Debt: Video

October 27, 2009

Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Mohieddine Kronfol, managing director at Dubai-based Algebra Capital Ltd. talks with Bloomberg’s Margaret Brennan about Islamic bonds. Kronfol sees “a lot more issuance” of Islamic debt in the next few months. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: WEF’s Zahidi Says Wage Gap Remains Wide Between Genders: Video

October 27, 2009

Oct. 17 (Bloomberg) — Saadia Zahidi, director of Women Leaders and Gender at the World Economic Forum, talks with Bloomberg’s Margaret Brennan about the findings of the WEF’s 2009 Global Gender Gap Report. Zahidi also discusses the wage gap between men and women, the impact of the recession on gender roles and how the Nordic countries have remained world leaders in the survey. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Blue Dog Fundraising Declines From Beginning Of 2009

October 27, 2009

A Center for Public Integrity analysis shows that fundraising for the Blog Dog Democrat Coalition has significantly dwindled over the course of the year. The 52-member fiscally conservative group, which wielded much influence during this year’s effort to reform health care, pulled in a lackluster $12,500 during the month of September. Compare that with the $176,000 it averaged during the first half of the year. The group raised $1.1 million from January to June but raised just $87,000 between July and September, its average monthly fundraising dropping by more than $50,000. The money that the coalition did pull in came from just three donations, according to CPI . Accounting firm Ernst & Young’s PAC donated $5,000, the Food Marketing Institute PAC gave $2,500 and the National Rifle Association of America Political Victory Fund contributed $5,000.

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Video: Patrick Stewart Says Theater Needed Amid Difficult Times: Video

October 27, 2009

Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Patrick Stewart, the actor famous for his roles in the “X-Men” and “Star Trek” films, talks with Bloomberg’s Francine Lacqua about theater ticket sales growth amid the global recession. Stewart also discusses corporate sponsorship for theater production. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Scott de Marchi: Who’s Likely to Stick with Obama?

October 27, 2009

If President Obama were a product, what would it mean to be loyal to him? His job approval rating went from 62% in the second quarter of 2009 to 53% in the third quarter, a 9-point drop that ranks as the steepest reported decline for a newly elected President. A year ago “Yes We Can” and “Hope” were familiar signs and slogans . To see who’s abandoning their support for Obama now, pollsters often ask how voters feel about the state of the economy or the health care debate. To really understand who’s likely to support the President, however, you may have better luck if you look at how they shop, drive, and eat. In choosing what to buy or believe, you face choices about happiness now or in the future, the possibility of a bad outcome, or whether your choice somehow affects others. In deciding what to consume or what cause to support, you can make decisions by gathering a lot of information, looking to others for guidance, or simply deciding to go with what you’ve always done before. We call the way people approach decision-making their TRAITS, an acronym for Time, Risk, Altruism, Information, meToo, and Stickiness. In our research, we use decisions people make every day to measure their decision-making approaches. We measure a taste for Risk by studying whether a person gambles, smokes, drives fast, or plays risky sports. People score high on our Information measure by buying more books, consulting more sources for financial information, and searching out news on the web and cable. Rating whether a person is high on meToo depends on the degree they look to the brand and product decisions of others and are part of a large network of friends. A person’s Stickiness rating depends on factors such as the number of cars they considered when shopping, how many fast food or casual dining restaurants they go to, and the number of different cuisines they eat. Our TRAITS measures let us use how people make decisions on the road or in the supermarket to predict how they react in the voting booth or in political conversations. Being a fan of a political party is like being a fan in sports or music: you’re consuming an identity, expressing an idea, and belonging to a team. Major party fans are easy to spot in their lives as neighbors or shoppers. They’re altruistic, enjoy information, show a sense of belonging, and are stickier than most people in their product choices. Political independents are also easy to spot. They are high on risk, so they’re willing to consider new ideas and politicians. They don’t show much loyalty in the market, and are willing to shop around for cars and cuisines. They don’t look much to the decisions of others for reassurance. They also like to gather lots of information from many sources, and tend to focus on the future when they’re making choices. When we studied changes in President Bush’s job approval rating between 2004 and 2005, we found that political fans predictably stuck with their teams. Republicans continued to rate the President much more highly than Democrats, and Independents were somewhere in between in their evaluations. Yet we also found that how people made their purchasing decisions affected the degree that they stuck with the Bush II presidency. In 2005,as news and events went considerably against the President, people who scored high on Information were more likely to express much more dissatisfaction with the President. In 2004, whether someone was focused on today or tomorrow had no impact on President Bush’s approval rating. Yet in 2005, a higher concern for the future meant lower numbers for Bush. Stickiness inclined people to stay with President Bush. To see this, we divided Republicans and Democrats by their Stickiness scores. Republicans who were stickier in the consumer market were more likely to rate Bush favorably in 2005. Democrats who tended to stick with the same products were also more likely to rate Bush favorably. Even though they were from the opposition party, these Democrats stuck with the status quo and stood by the president. President Bush and President Obama are very different politicians, and support very different policies. Yet people’s view about each president’s job performance is driven by the TRAITS they reveal as consumers. Major political fans, the people who declare a party identity, will continue to pull for their man. People who are willing to take risks, change their mind, gather information, and care about the community are political independents and more likely to have reactions in between Democrats and Republicans. A strong predictor of how your friends will react to President Obama depends on two factors, whether they’re loyal to products and whether they like information. If the news and events are favorable to President Obama in the future, then people with a high taste for Information will be more likely to rate him favorably. Regardless of which team they pull for, if your friends are generally Sticky in their decisions then they’re more likely to approve of President Obama’s performance. The people with a favorite car brand and favorite restaurant are also more likely to stick with the President they have. Scott de Marchi and James T. Hamilton are professors at Duke University and the authors of You Are What You Choose: The Habits of Mind that Really Determine How We Make Decisions .

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Daniel Weston, Mary Ann Parmelee: Los Angeles Couple Allegedly Beat, Torture Loan-Modification Agents

October 27, 2009

As Los Angeles housing advocates launched a campaign warning of mortgage rescue scams, a couple hit by foreclosure are charged with torturing two loan-modification agents they suspected of fraud, authorities said on Monday.

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Dan Collins: The Smartest Guy in the Room

October 27, 2009

If New York was mother to many of the evildoers in the financial disaster that sent the economy into a tailspin, it’s also home to an avenging angel for the millions of ordinary Americans who lost billions of dollars in the meltdown. The guy with the wings and the sword also wears robes: He’s federal Judge Jed Rakoff. The shock waves from Rakoff’s scathing denunciation last month of a proposed settlement between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Bank of America are still rippling through Wall Street and Washington. Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis is on his way out, and New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is pressing an investigation into the deal in which the bank purchased ailing Merrill Lynch last December without telling its shareholders that executives of the tottering brokerage were paid $3.6 billion in bonuses shortly before the takeover was announced. A congressional panel is also probing the deal. The common-sense wisdom of Rakoff’s ruling resonated with a public infuriated with billion-dollar bonuses and bailouts. The SEC signed off on an agreement in which the bank agreed to pay $33 million (in shareholder money) for concealing the bonus payments from the shareholders. In effect, the victims were being punished, a topsy-turvy outcome fairly typical of the SEC’s handling of wrongdoing by large corporations in cases like these. “Oscar Wilde once famously said that a cynic is someone ‘who knows the price of everything and the value of nothing,’” Rakoff wrote. The proposed consent judgment in this case suggests a rather cynical relationship between the parties: the S.E.C. gets to claim that it is exposing wrongdoing on the part of the Bank of America in a high-profile merger; the Bank’s management gets to claim that they have been coerced into an onerous settlement by overzealous regulators. And all this is done at the expense, not only of the shareholders, but also of the truth. Rakoff’s ruling may well mark the dawn of a new era in corporate accountability, since the judge has pressed for the names of the bank executives responsible for hiding the bonus payments. “I think Judge Rakoff resented the degree to which a government agency was seeking to pull the wool over his eyes, and just blandly stating it was his duty to rubber-stamp their settlement,” said Columbia Law School professor John Coffee, who teaches a seminar on white-collar crime at Columbia with Rakoff. The federal jurist who overturned the Wall Street applecart is a 66-year-old workaholic who neither smokes nor drinks, according to friends and colleagues. In keeping with that New York theme, Rakoff enjoys Broadway show tunes and once dreamed of becoming a lyricist. The judge and his wife of 35 years, Ann, have three daughters. The couple enjoys ballroom dancing. He admires the writing of Kafka and Arthur Miller, and is himself admired for legal opinions filled with sharp writing and laced with wit. His legal hero is Benjamin Cardozo, the Supreme Court justice from New York whose lofty reputation rests partly on his writing skill. Lawyers who know Rakoff mention three qualities that mark his style as a jurist: intelligence, independence and a thoroughness that can turn the resolution of an apparently routine legal question into a day-long hearing. “He is one of the best federal judges that I have ever seen,” said criminal defense lawyer Gerald Shargel, “because he’s the smartest guy in the room, he’s painstakingly fair, and he never kowtows to the government.” Last summer, Rakoff imposed a 20-year-sentence on Shargel’s client, Marc Dreier. (Dreier, a prominent Manhattan lawyer, financed a Gilded Age lifestyle for himself by selling fake promissory notes to hedge funds and other investors. He stole about $400 million before he was caught impersonating a lawyer for a Canadian retirement fund he hoped to loot.) Given the temper of the times, and the irritability of the public, Shargel found himself treated like a winner by other lawyers after the sentence was announced. Bernard Madoff had gotten 150 years for his $50 billion fraud and the government had urged Judge Rakoff to send Dreier to prison for 145 years, apparently calculating that the shady barrister was only slightly less evil that the Prince of Financial Darkness himself. But Rakoff refused, “Mr. Dreier’s crimes, despicable though they may be, pale in comparison to Mr. Madoff’s,” he said. “What I said to the lawyers who contacted me was that we’ve come to a very strange place if I’m getting congratulated for ‘winning’ a 20-year sentence for a 59-year-old white collar offender,” Shargel recalled. Since he was named to the federal bench by President Clinton in 1995, Rakoff has built a judicial resume that includes overturning the federal death penalty (reversed on appeal), thumbing his judicial nose at federal sentencing guidelines and forcing the Pentagon to reveal the names and nationalities of hundreds of detainees held at Guantánamo Bay. Some of Rakoff’s more interesting opinions have come in cases that are less than earth-shattering. In 2005, for example, New York City put the kibosh on a block party in Chelsea because the organizer planned to let artists spray graffiti on mock-ups of subway cars. Mayor Michael Bloomberg argued that such activity would encourage vandals to deface real subway cars with graffiti. Judge Rakoff disagreed. “By the same token, presumably, a street performance of ‘Hamlet’ would be tantamount to encouraging revenge murder,” Rakoff wrote. “As for a street performance of ‘Oedipus Rex,’ don’t even think about it.” “He has an extremely droll sense of humor. One might almost call it puckish,” said Ron Kuby, the lawyer ( and HuffPost blogger ) who represented the party-thrower. Rakoff’s strong suit is securities law. He was born in Philadelphia and, after graduating from Swarthmore in 1964, attended Oxford and Harvard Law School. According to friends and colleagues, he arrived in New York City in 1970 with a dual dream: He would work as a lawyer by day and by night write the book for a musical that would take Broadway by storm. Despite Rakoff’s love of lyrics, the law won out. He soon joined the prestigious U.S. Attorney’s office in Manhattan, where he worked as a prosecutor for seven years, including two as chief of the securities fraud unit. That paved the way for a career in private practice that made him one of the top securities lawyers in the U.S. (He has written a number of books and more than 100 articles). “He was a great, great securities litigator. He’s forgotten more about securities law than some of the top lawyers in the country have ever known,” said Anthony Sabino, a professor of law and business at St. John’s University. “His knowledge of securities law is such that if he asks you a question, you’d better have the answer. The SEC and the Bank of America didn’t have the answers, and that’s why they’re in the pickle that they’re in.” The bank and the government agency are scheduled to go to trial in Judge Rakoff’s courtroom in March. Not surprisingly, given Rakoff’s harsh criticism of the $33 million deal, both sides have opted for a jury trial.

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Photo Release — IBERIABANK, FHLB Dallas Attend Dedication Ceremony for New Living Facility for Individuals With Disabilities

October 27, 2009

LITTLE ROCK, Ark., Oct. 27, 2009 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — The Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas (FHLB Dallas) is pleased to announce the dedication of Wilson Court II, a 15-unit living facility for individuals with disabilities. FHLB Dallas and IBERIABANK awarded a $154,000 Affordable Housing Program (AHP) grant to Easter Seals Arkansas for the construction of the project. A dedication ceremony takes place today honoring the opening of the facility.

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Huff TV: HuffPost’s Ryan Grim On Banks: ‘Critical Time’ In History of Financial Reform (VIDEO)

October 27, 2009

HuffPost senior congressional correspondent Ryan Grim joined the Morning Meeting panel today to discuss the news that hundreds of protesters have descended upon Chicago to disrupt the annual meeting of the American Bankers Association and let Wall Street know that taxpayers are unhappy with how they have been handling our money. Grim said, what the debtors’ revolt, and what this protest out in Chicago shows you, is that we really are at a critical time in the history of financial reform. Over the course of the last couple hundred years, this is something that has been happening in America every 50 years or so… The American people are pretty comfortable with wealth and capital accumulation as long as their own standard of living is increasing and as long as the banks are following some rules. Whenever they start breaking those rules, that’s when you see these types of uprisings of discontent. Now the question will be has capital gotten so strong that it’ll be able to fight off the reforms that are the historical pattern. WATCH: (Grim starts at 5:30) Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News , World News , and News about the Economy

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George Soros Battles Free Market Zealots With New Fund, Economic Journal: Newsweek

October 27, 2009

Large swaths of economics are going to have to be rethought on the basis of what’s happened.” So said Larry Summers, President Obama’s chief economic adviser, in an interview in the weeks after the markets crashed a year ago. Yet to a remarkable degree, economic thinking hasn’t changed very much at all. (Click here to follow Michael Hirsh). Now financier George Soros is announcing a $50 million effort to speed things along.

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Video: Obama Speaks on Smart-Grid Spending

October 27, 2009

President Barack Obama Proposes $3.4 Billion in Grants for Smart Grid Spending, the Largest Ever (Bloomberg News)

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INTERVIEW – Anant Raj sees low cost houses drive growth

October 27, 2009

Delhi-based realtor Anant Raj Industries will build low-cost houses on land worth 2 billion rupees bought in distressed sales in the National Capital Region to grow in FY10, a senior official said on Tuesday. The land parcels were bought from individuals

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