December 2009

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North Korea New Year’s Message Seeks End to `Hostile’ Relations With U.S.

December 31, 2009

By Ed Johnson and Ryan Flinn Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — North Korea issued a New Year’s message calling for an end to its “hostile relationship” with the U.S. and said the regime is committed to making the Korean peninsula nuclear-free. The country’s “consistent stand” is to establish a “lasting peace” on the peninsula and make it “nuclear-free through dialogue and negotiations,” the state-run Korean Central News Agency reported. The government will “strive to develop relations of good neighborliness and friendship” with other countries, KCNA said, citing a joint editorial in three official newspapers. Kim Jong-Il’s government last year pulled out of six-party nuclear disarmament talks with the U.S., China, Japan, Russia and South Korea, tested a second nuclear device and declared it has almost succeeded in highly enriching uranium. The regime said last month it reached a “common understanding” with the U.S. on the need to resume the six-party process after President Barack Obama’s envoy, Stephen Bosworth , visited Pyongyang. The New Year’s message could be in response to the letter Bosworth delivered to Kim from Obama, Victor Cha , a senior adviser at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies , said in a telephone interview. “It’s potentially a good start to the New Year,” said Cha, who was President George W. Bush’s director for Asian affairs from 2004 to 2007 and was the U.S. deputy head of delegation to the six-party talks. “I wouldn’t sort of pop the champagne and say, ‘Hooray, North Korea decided to denuclearize,’ because we’ve been down this road many times before.” Obama’s Letter Bosworth’s visit marked the first direct senior-level contact between the two countries since Obama took office last January. White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said last month Obama’s letter sought to convince the regime to return to the talks with the goal of ridding the Korean peninsula of nuclear weapons. In 2005, North Korea committed to scrapping its nuclear weapons in return for economic and energy aid, normalized diplomatic relations and talks on a permanent peace accord for the Korean peninsula. North Korea and South Korea are still technically at war as their 1950-1953 conflict ended in a truce rather than a peace treaty. Disarmament talks stalled after North Korea refused to let inspectors remove samples from its Yongbyon nuclear reactor. It pulled out of the six-party process in April after the United Nations condemned the country for launching a missile over Japan. To contact the reporters on this story: Ed Johnson in Sydney at ejohnson28@bloomberg.net ; Ryan Flinn in San Francisco at rflinn@bloomberg.net

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North Korea New Year’s Message Seeks End to `Hostile’ Relations With U.S.

December 31, 2009

By Ed Johnson and Ryan Flinn Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — North Korea issued a New Year’s message calling for an end to its “hostile relationship” with the U.S. and said the regime is committed to making the Korean peninsula nuclear-free. The country’s “consistent stand” is to establish a “lasting peace” on the peninsula and make it “nuclear-free through dialogue and negotiations,” the state-run Korean Central News Agency reported. The government will “strive to develop relations of good neighborliness and friendship” with other countries, KCNA said, citing a joint editorial in three official newspapers. Kim Jong-Il’s government last year pulled out of six-party nuclear disarmament talks with the U.S., China, Japan, Russia and South Korea, tested a second nuclear device and declared it has almost succeeded in highly enriching uranium. The regime said last month it reached a “common understanding” with the U.S. on the need to resume the six-party process after President Barack Obama’s envoy, Stephen Bosworth , visited Pyongyang. The New Year’s message could be in response to the letter Bosworth delivered to Kim from Obama, Victor Cha , a senior adviser at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies , said in a telephone interview. “It’s potentially a good start to the New Year,” said Cha, who was President George W. Bush’s director for Asian affairs from 2004 to 2007 and was the U.S. deputy head of delegation to the six-party talks. “I wouldn’t sort of pop the champagne and say, ‘Hooray, North Korea decided to denuclearize,’ because we’ve been down this road many times before.” Obama’s Letter Bosworth’s visit marked the first direct senior-level contact between the two countries since Obama took office last January. White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said last month Obama’s letter sought to convince the regime to return to the talks with the goal of ridding the Korean peninsula of nuclear weapons. In 2005, North Korea committed to scrapping its nuclear weapons in return for economic and energy aid, normalized diplomatic relations and talks on a permanent peace accord for the Korean peninsula. North Korea and South Korea are still technically at war as their 1950-1953 conflict ended in a truce rather than a peace treaty. Disarmament talks stalled after North Korea refused to let inspectors remove samples from its Yongbyon nuclear reactor. It pulled out of the six-party process in April after the United Nations condemned the country for launching a missile over Japan. To contact the reporters on this story: Ed Johnson in Sydney at ejohnson28@bloomberg.net ; Ryan Flinn in San Francisco at rflinn@bloomberg.net

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Obama Receives Initial Assessments on Northwest Airlines Terror Incident

December 31, 2009

By Nicholas Johnston and Jonathan Salant Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama is receiving initial assessments of the attempted bombing of a U.S. airliner on Christmas Day and will meet with agency heads Jan. 5 to discuss the investigation. In a statement released in Hawaii where he is vacationing with his family, Obama said he spoke today with Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano and John Brennan , his adviser for homeland security and counterterrorism. “I anticipate receiving assessments from several agencies this evening and will review those tonight and over the course of the weekend,” Obama said in the statement. “I will meet personally with relevant agency heads to discuss our ongoing reviews as well as security enhancements and intelligence- sharing improvements.” Obama ordered reviews of anti-terrorism and aviation- security policies after the Dec. 25 attempted bombing of a Northwest Airlines flight preparing to land in Detroit. Obama has said a “systemic failure” allowed Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab to carry explosives onto a U.S. airliner leaving Amsterdam. Although Abdulmutallab was on a list of potential terrorists, he wasn’t subject to special screening at the airport. The 23-year-old Nigerian is charged with trying to blow up the Northwest Airlines flight. Watch List Senate Intelligence Committee Chairwoman Dianne Feinstein asked the president in a letter yesterday to change a 2008 policy that limits the government’s ability to place people on a watch list requiring extra screening or banning them from flying. “The U.S. government should watch-list, and deny visas to, anyone who is reasonably believed to be affiliated with, part of, or acting on behalf of a terrorist organization,” Feinstein, a California Democrat, said in the letter. Obama has requested the criteria used for placing people on watch lists as part of the examination of anti-terror policies. Initial reports from government agencies are stressing the need to improve information sharing between agencies and link databases of intelligence, an administration official speaking on the condition of anonymity told reporters in Hawaii. White House Meeting Agencies submitting reports, and that will attend the Jan. 5 meeting in the White House Situation Room, include Homeland Security, the Central Intelligence Agency, Department of Justice, Director of National Intelligence, Transportation Security Administration, National Security Agency and Department of State. After the initial reviews, Napolitano said today she is sending top aides to meet with overseas airport officials to better coordinate security and passenger screening procedures. The Netherlands and Nigeria announced yesterday they will start using full-body scanners to detect explosives being carried by passengers. Dennis Blair , the director of national intelligence, vowed to “hold accountable” those who failed to do their jobs leading up to the attempted attack. “In coming days, we will review what information was available to whom, determine what mistakes were made in assessing or sharing that information, commend those who did their jobs well and hold accountable those who did not,” Blair said today in a letter to employees in the intelligence agencies he manages and coordinates. State Department Review The State Department said it is conducting an internal review of its visa processes and procedure. Abdulmutallab had a valid visa for travel to the U.S. when his father warned officials at the American Embassy in Abuja, Nigeria, that his son was in Yemen and had adopted extremist views. While the information placed Abdulmutallab on one watch list, he wasn’t placed on a no-fly list that would have kept him off planes to the U.S. and his visa wasn’t revoked. The State Department has said such revocations would have to be determined by an inter-agency group in a specified process. Airline security and intelligence were overhauled after the Sept. 11 attacks, including creation of the Department of Homeland Security to improve intelligence-gathering and the Transportation Security Administration to take over passenger screening at airports. Connecting the Dots Eight years later, “the same kind of failures that were there in 9/11 were present in this one,” former New Jersey Governor Tom Kean , a Republican who was chairman of the commission that examined the Sept. 11 attacks, said in an interview yesterday. “No one is connecting the dots.” Obama said Dec. 29 that U.S. intelligence agencies missed “red flags” that could have put Abdulmutallab on a watch list requiring extra screening or banning him from flying. Conventional metal detectors don’t detect the explosives Abdulmutallab was carrying. Several congressional committees plan to hold hearings next month on the incident. “We have to fully investigate this incident to find accountability for the breakdown in security procedures,” said Byron Dorgan of North Dakota, a member of the Senate Commerce Committee. U.S. Representative John Mica of Florida, the top Republican on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee , said more is needed. ‘Floundering’ TSA “It’s turned into sort of a reactionary system and not enough initiatives to handle situations like we’ve got,” Mica said. The TSA “has been sort of floundering” in the past year, he said. The TSA is without a top administrator because Senator Jim DeMint , a South Carolina Republican, is blocking the Senate from confirming Obama nominee Erroll Southers , an antiterrorism expert. DeMint opposes efforts to allow TSA employees to form a union; public-employee unions have given Democrats 91 percent of their $4.5 million in campaign donations since Jan. 1. Abdulmutallab and would-be shoe-bomber Richard Reid boarded U.S. airlines overseas, and that’s where security officials need to focus, Mica said. “There’s no reason you can’t adopt an Israeli model and do a better examination of the passengers before they depart” for the U.S. from overseas, Mica said. TSA will take the lead on increasing security in response to the attempted bombing, said Hasbrouck Miller, a vice president of London-based Smiths Group Plc’s Smiths Detection unit, which makes explosive-detection equipment. “TSA is given a lot of latitude to shift around where they see needs and requirements,” Miller said in an interview. The agency is responding with bomb-sniffing dogs and additional screening, spokesman Greg Soule said. Machines that can detect explosives under clothing are in use at 19 U.S. airports , most of the time only as a secondary check on selected passengers, according to the TSA. In 2007, the Government Accountability Office said its investigators smuggled liquid explosives and detonators past airport-security screeners. To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Honolulu at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Jonathan D. Salant in Washington at jsalant@bloomberg.net

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Obama Receives Initial Assessments on Northwest Airlines Terror Incident

December 31, 2009

By Nicholas Johnston and Jonathan Salant Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama is receiving initial assessments of the attempted bombing of a U.S. airliner on Christmas Day and will meet with agency heads Jan. 5 to discuss the investigation. In a statement released in Hawaii where he is vacationing with his family, Obama said he spoke today with Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano and John Brennan , his adviser for homeland security and counterterrorism. “I anticipate receiving assessments from several agencies this evening and will review those tonight and over the course of the weekend,” Obama said in the statement. “I will meet personally with relevant agency heads to discuss our ongoing reviews as well as security enhancements and intelligence- sharing improvements.” Obama ordered reviews of anti-terrorism and aviation- security policies after the Dec. 25 attempted bombing of a Northwest Airlines flight preparing to land in Detroit. Obama has said a “systemic failure” allowed Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab to carry explosives onto a U.S. airliner leaving Amsterdam. Although Abdulmutallab was on a list of potential terrorists, he wasn’t subject to special screening at the airport. The 23-year-old Nigerian is charged with trying to blow up the Northwest Airlines flight. Watch List Senate Intelligence Committee Chairwoman Dianne Feinstein asked the president in a letter yesterday to change a 2008 policy that limits the government’s ability to place people on a watch list requiring extra screening or banning them from flying. “The U.S. government should watch-list, and deny visas to, anyone who is reasonably believed to be affiliated with, part of, or acting on behalf of a terrorist organization,” Feinstein, a California Democrat, said in the letter. Obama has requested the criteria used for placing people on watch lists as part of the examination of anti-terror policies. Initial reports from government agencies are stressing the need to improve information sharing between agencies and link databases of intelligence, an administration official speaking on the condition of anonymity told reporters in Hawaii. White House Meeting Agencies submitting reports, and that will attend the Jan. 5 meeting in the White House Situation Room, include Homeland Security, the Central Intelligence Agency, Department of Justice, Director of National Intelligence, Transportation Security Administration, National Security Agency and Department of State. After the initial reviews, Napolitano said today she is sending top aides to meet with overseas airport officials to better coordinate security and passenger screening procedures. The Netherlands and Nigeria announced yesterday they will start using full-body scanners to detect explosives being carried by passengers. Dennis Blair , the director of national intelligence, vowed to “hold accountable” those who failed to do their jobs leading up to the attempted attack. “In coming days, we will review what information was available to whom, determine what mistakes were made in assessing or sharing that information, commend those who did their jobs well and hold accountable those who did not,” Blair said today in a letter to employees in the intelligence agencies he manages and coordinates. State Department Review The State Department said it is conducting an internal review of its visa processes and procedure. Abdulmutallab had a valid visa for travel to the U.S. when his father warned officials at the American Embassy in Abuja, Nigeria, that his son was in Yemen and had adopted extremist views. While the information placed Abdulmutallab on one watch list, he wasn’t placed on a no-fly list that would have kept him off planes to the U.S. and his visa wasn’t revoked. The State Department has said such revocations would have to be determined by an inter-agency group in a specified process. Airline security and intelligence were overhauled after the Sept. 11 attacks, including creation of the Department of Homeland Security to improve intelligence-gathering and the Transportation Security Administration to take over passenger screening at airports. Connecting the Dots Eight years later, “the same kind of failures that were there in 9/11 were present in this one,” former New Jersey Governor Tom Kean , a Republican who was chairman of the commission that examined the Sept. 11 attacks, said in an interview yesterday. “No one is connecting the dots.” Obama said Dec. 29 that U.S. intelligence agencies missed “red flags” that could have put Abdulmutallab on a watch list requiring extra screening or banning him from flying. Conventional metal detectors don’t detect the explosives Abdulmutallab was carrying. Several congressional committees plan to hold hearings next month on the incident. “We have to fully investigate this incident to find accountability for the breakdown in security procedures,” said Byron Dorgan of North Dakota, a member of the Senate Commerce Committee. U.S. Representative John Mica of Florida, the top Republican on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee , said more is needed. ‘Floundering’ TSA “It’s turned into sort of a reactionary system and not enough initiatives to handle situations like we’ve got,” Mica said. The TSA “has been sort of floundering” in the past year, he said. The TSA is without a top administrator because Senator Jim DeMint , a South Carolina Republican, is blocking the Senate from confirming Obama nominee Erroll Southers , an antiterrorism expert. DeMint opposes efforts to allow TSA employees to form a union; public-employee unions have given Democrats 91 percent of their $4.5 million in campaign donations since Jan. 1. Abdulmutallab and would-be shoe-bomber Richard Reid boarded U.S. airlines overseas, and that’s where security officials need to focus, Mica said. “There’s no reason you can’t adopt an Israeli model and do a better examination of the passengers before they depart” for the U.S. from overseas, Mica said. TSA will take the lead on increasing security in response to the attempted bombing, said Hasbrouck Miller, a vice president of London-based Smiths Group Plc’s Smiths Detection unit, which makes explosive-detection equipment. “TSA is given a lot of latitude to shift around where they see needs and requirements,” Miller said in an interview. The agency is responding with bomb-sniffing dogs and additional screening, spokesman Greg Soule said. Machines that can detect explosives under clothing are in use at 19 U.S. airports , most of the time only as a secondary check on selected passengers, according to the TSA. In 2007, the Government Accountability Office said its investigators smuggled liquid explosives and detonators past airport-security screeners. To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Honolulu at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Jonathan D. Salant in Washington at jsalant@bloomberg.net

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Hatoyama Says He’ll Focus on Deflation, Jobs as `Honeymoon Period’ Ends

December 31, 2009

By Sachiko Sakamaki and Takashi Hirokawa Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama , whose approval rating fell by a third since a landslide election victory in August, said his focus for 2010 will be to create jobs and fight deflation to revive Japan’s stuttering economy. “Our honeymoon period is over,” Hatoyama said in a New Year statement released today. “I’d welcome severe criticism.” Hatoyama’s tenure has been dogged by deteriorating ties with the U.S., whose troops help defend Japan, and cabinet bickering over spending priorities for a government laden with the world’s largest public debt. His personal reputation was tarnished last month when two former aides were charged with falsifying his campaign finances and he was forced to pay about 600 million yen ($6.5 million) in gift taxes. Japan unveiled a record $1 trillion budget on Dec. 25 designed to lift the spending power of households and switch the economic focus from public works spending. The extra yield on 30-year government bonds compared with two-year notes is trading at close to a four-year high, reflecting concern the administration may struggle to contain a debt load that is approaching 200 percent of gross domestic product. “I’ll devote myself to enacting an extra budget and next fiscal year’s budget speedily,” Hatoyama said. “Economic recovery, securing jobs and defeating deflation are the people’s urgent hopes.” Japan’s jobless rate rose for the first time in four months in November to 5.2 percent and consumer prices fell for a ninth month. A government report on Dec. 28 showed that monthly wages slumped for the 18th straight time. Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii , 77, was admitted to hospital on the same day suffering from high blood pressure. Approval Rating Hatoyama’s cabinet had an approval rating of 50 percent in a Nikkei newspaper survey published Dec. 28, down from 75 percent in September. The Dec. 25-27 Nikkei Inc. and TV Tokyo Corp. poll canvassed 1,597 households. Further complicating matters is a lingering dispute with President Barack Obama over where to move the U.S. Futenma Air Base on Okinawa, home to more than half the 47,000 American military personnel stationed in Japan. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton summoned Japan’s ambassador Ichiro Fujisaki on Dec. 21 to reiterate that the U.S. expects Hatoyama to honor a 2006 agreement on the base signed by the previous government. “We would like to strengthen the Japan-U.S. alliance,” Hatoyama said in his New Year address, adding that he also wants to ease the burden on the people of Okinawa. Hatoyama repeated an apology he made on Dec. 24 after prosecutors charged two of his former assistants with falsifying the source of 400 million yen of campaign funds. The next day he paid taxes he owed after receiving cash gifts from his mother, Kyodo News reported. To contact the reporters on this story: Sachiko Sakamaki in Tokyo at Ssakamaki1@bloomberg.net ; Takashi Hirokawa in Tokyo at thirokawa@bloomberg.net

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Hatoyama Says He’ll Focus on Deflation, Jobs as `Honeymoon Period’ Ends

December 31, 2009

By Sachiko Sakamaki and Takashi Hirokawa Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama , whose approval rating fell by a third since a landslide election victory in August, said his focus for 2010 will be to create jobs and fight deflation to revive Japan’s stuttering economy. “Our honeymoon period is over,” Hatoyama said in a New Year statement released today. “I’d welcome severe criticism.” Hatoyama’s tenure has been dogged by deteriorating ties with the U.S., whose troops help defend Japan, and cabinet bickering over spending priorities for a government laden with the world’s largest public debt. His personal reputation was tarnished last month when two former aides were charged with falsifying his campaign finances and he was forced to pay about 600 million yen ($6.5 million) in gift taxes. Japan unveiled a record $1 trillion budget on Dec. 25 designed to lift the spending power of households and switch the economic focus from public works spending. The extra yield on 30-year government bonds compared with two-year notes is trading at close to a four-year high, reflecting concern the administration may struggle to contain a debt load that is approaching 200 percent of gross domestic product. “I’ll devote myself to enacting an extra budget and next fiscal year’s budget speedily,” Hatoyama said. “Economic recovery, securing jobs and defeating deflation are the people’s urgent hopes.” Japan’s jobless rate rose for the first time in four months in November to 5.2 percent and consumer prices fell for a ninth month. A government report on Dec. 28 showed that monthly wages slumped for the 18th straight time. Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii , 77, was admitted to hospital on the same day suffering from high blood pressure. Approval Rating Hatoyama’s cabinet had an approval rating of 50 percent in a Nikkei newspaper survey published Dec. 28, down from 75 percent in September. The Dec. 25-27 Nikkei Inc. and TV Tokyo Corp. poll canvassed 1,597 households. Further complicating matters is a lingering dispute with President Barack Obama over where to move the U.S. Futenma Air Base on Okinawa, home to more than half the 47,000 American military personnel stationed in Japan. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton summoned Japan’s ambassador Ichiro Fujisaki on Dec. 21 to reiterate that the U.S. expects Hatoyama to honor a 2006 agreement on the base signed by the previous government. “We would like to strengthen the Japan-U.S. alliance,” Hatoyama said in his New Year address, adding that he also wants to ease the burden on the people of Okinawa. Hatoyama repeated an apology he made on Dec. 24 after prosecutors charged two of his former assistants with falsifying the source of 400 million yen of campaign funds. The next day he paid taxes he owed after receiving cash gifts from his mother, Kyodo News reported. To contact the reporters on this story: Sachiko Sakamaki in Tokyo at Ssakamaki1@bloomberg.net ; Takashi Hirokawa in Tokyo at thirokawa@bloomberg.net

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South Korea’s Exports Rise at Fastest Pace in 17 Months as Demand Revives

December 31, 2009

By Shinhye Kang and Seyoon Kim Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — South Korea’s exports increased at the fastest pace in 17 months, adding to signs that Asia’s fourth-largest economy is recovering from the global recession. Overseas shipments gained 33.7 percent in December from a year earlier to $36 billion, the Ministry of Knowledge Economy said today in Gwacheon. That was more than the median 27.9 percent forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 10 economists. Imports rose 24 percent to $32.9 billion for a trade surplus of $3.3 billion. Higher overseas sales suggest a strengthening recovery in South Korea’s $929 billion economy, which grew 3.2 percent in the third quarter. Exports in November 2008 recorded their biggest fall of the year as the financial crisis weakened demand, providing a low-base comparison for the figures released today. “Exports will post growth for the coming months given the low base from last year and also as demand from overseas rises,” said Kim Jae Eun , an economist at Hyundai Securities Co. in Seoul. “South Korea should benefit from orders from China and emerging nations less affected by the global recession.” Hyundai Motor Co. and other South Korean carmakers may sell 1.4 million vehicles in the domestic market this year from an estimated 1.37 million in 2009, the Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association said in December. Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., the world’s biggest shipbuilder, aims to win $17.7 billion in new orders in 2010. Markets Closed For 2009, the country’s trade surplus reached $41 billion as imports dropped 25.8 percent while exports declined 13.8 percent, according to separate figures released by the ministry. South Korea’s financial markets are closed for a public holiday today. The nation’s benchmark Kospi stock index gained 50 percent last year, the most since 2005. South Korean exports will increase 13.2 percent this year, after a 13.9 percent decline in 2009, the finance ministry said last month. Earlier reports showed industrial production climbed 1.4 percent from October while an index of leading economic indicators and manufacturers’ confidence increased. South Korean President Lee Myung Bak said Dec. 30 the nation’s economy is likely to expand more than 5 percent in 2010, the fastest pace in three years helped by exports and domestic spending. Both the finance ministry and the central bank in December raised economic growth forecasts for 2009 and 2010. To contact the reporters on this story: Shinhye Kang in Seoul at skang24@bloomberg.net ; Seyoon Kim in Seoul at skim7@bloomberg.net

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South Korea’s Exports Rise at Fastest Pace in 17 Months as Demand Revives

December 31, 2009

By Shinhye Kang and Seyoon Kim Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — South Korea’s exports increased at the fastest pace in 17 months, adding to signs that Asia’s fourth-largest economy is recovering from the global recession. Overseas shipments gained 33.7 percent in December from a year earlier to $36 billion, the Ministry of Knowledge Economy said today in Gwacheon. That was more than the median 27.9 percent forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 10 economists. Imports rose 24 percent to $32.9 billion for a trade surplus of $3.3 billion. Higher overseas sales suggest a strengthening recovery in South Korea’s $929 billion economy, which grew 3.2 percent in the third quarter. Exports in November 2008 recorded their biggest fall of the year as the financial crisis weakened demand, providing a low-base comparison for the figures released today. “Exports will post growth for the coming months given the low base from last year and also as demand from overseas rises,” said Kim Jae Eun , an economist at Hyundai Securities Co. in Seoul. “South Korea should benefit from orders from China and emerging nations less affected by the global recession.” Hyundai Motor Co. and other South Korean carmakers may sell 1.4 million vehicles in the domestic market this year from an estimated 1.37 million in 2009, the Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association said in December. Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., the world’s biggest shipbuilder, aims to win $17.7 billion in new orders in 2010. Markets Closed For 2009, the country’s trade surplus reached $41 billion as imports dropped 25.8 percent while exports declined 13.8 percent, according to separate figures released by the ministry. South Korea’s financial markets are closed for a public holiday today. The nation’s benchmark Kospi stock index gained 50 percent last year, the most since 2005. South Korean exports will increase 13.2 percent this year, after a 13.9 percent decline in 2009, the finance ministry said last month. Earlier reports showed industrial production climbed 1.4 percent from October while an index of leading economic indicators and manufacturers’ confidence increased. South Korean President Lee Myung Bak said Dec. 30 the nation’s economy is likely to expand more than 5 percent in 2010, the fastest pace in three years helped by exports and domestic spending. Both the finance ministry and the central bank in December raised economic growth forecasts for 2009 and 2010. To contact the reporters on this story: Shinhye Kang in Seoul at skang24@bloomberg.net ; Seyoon Kim in Seoul at skim7@bloomberg.net

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China Manufacturing Grows at Fastest Pace in 20 Months, Cementing Recovery

December 31, 2009

By Bloomberg News Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — China’s manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace in 20 months in December, cementing the recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy. The Purchasing Managers’ Index climbed to a seasonally adjusted 56.6, the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said today in an e-mailed statement in Beijing. That compares with 55.2 in November and the median 55.4 estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of seven economists. The boost to Chinese manufacturing from subsidies for home- appliance purchases and tax rebates for exporters will continue this year as the government extends policies to counter the financial crisis. China’s growth will accelerate to 8.8 percent in 2010, four times faster than the U.S., as the world economy expands 2.4 percent, the United Nations forecast last month. “Manufacturing will stay at a high level as industrial production quickens and companies receive more orders for new- year holiday sales,” Lu Zhengwei , an economist at Industrial Bank Co. in Shanghai, said before today’s data. “Exports may return to growth in December, aiding manufacturing growth.” Industrial production grew in November at the fastest pace since March 2008, exports dropped the least in 13 months and imports surged. Today’s figure compares with a record-low 38.8 in November 2008, when recessions in the U.S., Europe and Japan sent export orders plunging. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion. Global Recovery China and Asia are leading the world recovery, helping to boost global confidence , which held near a record high in December, according to a Bloomberg survey of users of six continents, first conducted two years ago. China may overtake Japan as the world’s second-biggest economy this year. Profits are climbing as the economy gathers pace. Beijing Automotive Industry Holding Co. , the company which is buying technology from General Motors Corp.’s Saab unit, said Dec. 23 that 11-month net income more than tripled. China Gas Holdings Ltd. ’s profit in the six months ended September jumped nearly six-fold. Premier Wen Jiabao said Dec. 27 that China won’t make the mistake of ending stimulus policies too soon, even as he signaled that the government may cool new lending that reached an unprecedented $1.3 trillion in the first 11 months of last year. Wen also said China will “absolutely not yield” to pressure from foreign countries for currency gains as the nation holds the yuan at about 6.83 per dollar. Tax Rebates Commerce Minister Chen Deming pledged Dec. 24 to maintain export tax rebates in 2010 because of a slow recovery in global demand. Also aiding manufacturers, a program of subsidies for purchases of appliances such as refrigerators and washing machines within rural China will be expanded by raising price caps to make more products eligible. China’s economic growth in the fourth quarter probably topped the third-quarter’s 8.9 percent, Xu Xianchun, deputy head of the statistics bureau said last month. Gross domestic product probably expanded 8.5 percent in 2009 and may grow 9.4 percent in 2010, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. The manufacturing index, released by the logistics federation and the Beijing-based National Bureau of Statistics, is based on replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives at more than 730 companies in 20 industries. It started in January 2005. — Li Yanping and Mark Lee. Editors: Paul Panckhurst , Michael Dwyer To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Li Yanping in Beijing at +86-10-6649-7568 or yli16@bloomberg.net Mark Lee in Hong Kong at +852-2977-6909 or wlee37@bloomberg.net

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China Manufacturing Grows at Fastest Pace in 20 Months, Cementing Recovery

December 31, 2009

By Bloomberg News Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — China’s manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace in 20 months in December, cementing the recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy. The Purchasing Managers’ Index climbed to a seasonally adjusted 56.6, the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said today in an e-mailed statement in Beijing. That compares with 55.2 in November and the median 55.4 estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of seven economists. The boost to Chinese manufacturing from subsidies for home- appliance purchases and tax rebates for exporters will continue this year as the government extends policies to counter the financial crisis. China’s growth will accelerate to 8.8 percent in 2010, four times faster than the U.S., as the world economy expands 2.4 percent, the United Nations forecast last month. “Manufacturing will stay at a high level as industrial production quickens and companies receive more orders for new- year holiday sales,” Lu Zhengwei , an economist at Industrial Bank Co. in Shanghai, said before today’s data. “Exports may return to growth in December, aiding manufacturing growth.” Industrial production grew in November at the fastest pace since March 2008, exports dropped the least in 13 months and imports surged. Today’s figure compares with a record-low 38.8 in November 2008, when recessions in the U.S., Europe and Japan sent export orders plunging. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion. Global Recovery China and Asia are leading the world recovery, helping to boost global confidence , which held near a record high in December, according to a Bloomberg survey of users of six continents, first conducted two years ago. China may overtake Japan as the world’s second-biggest economy this year. Profits are climbing as the economy gathers pace. Beijing Automotive Industry Holding Co. , the company which is buying technology from General Motors Corp.’s Saab unit, said Dec. 23 that 11-month net income more than tripled. China Gas Holdings Ltd. ’s profit in the six months ended September jumped nearly six-fold. Premier Wen Jiabao said Dec. 27 that China won’t make the mistake of ending stimulus policies too soon, even as he signaled that the government may cool new lending that reached an unprecedented $1.3 trillion in the first 11 months of last year. Wen also said China will “absolutely not yield” to pressure from foreign countries for currency gains as the nation holds the yuan at about 6.83 per dollar. Tax Rebates Commerce Minister Chen Deming pledged Dec. 24 to maintain export tax rebates in 2010 because of a slow recovery in global demand. Also aiding manufacturers, a program of subsidies for purchases of appliances such as refrigerators and washing machines within rural China will be expanded by raising price caps to make more products eligible. China’s economic growth in the fourth quarter probably topped the third-quarter’s 8.9 percent, Xu Xianchun, deputy head of the statistics bureau said last month. Gross domestic product probably expanded 8.5 percent in 2009 and may grow 9.4 percent in 2010, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. The manufacturing index, released by the logistics federation and the Beijing-based National Bureau of Statistics, is based on replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives at more than 730 companies in 20 industries. It started in January 2005. — Li Yanping and Mark Lee. Editors: Paul Panckhurst , Michael Dwyer To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Li Yanping in Beijing at +86-10-6649-7568 or yli16@bloomberg.net Mark Lee in Hong Kong at +852-2977-6909 or wlee37@bloomberg.net

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The 4 Best Real Estate Investments for 2010, Part II (Guru Focus)

December 31, 2009

By Daily Reckoning. yesterday’s edition of the Daily Reckoning, next year is going to be the most exciting one real estate investors have seen in a decade. I’ve got my eye on four spots, in particular – diverse opportunities around the globe, each of which represents an excellent value play. Read more » »

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DOT-BOMBS GIVE WAY TO REAL ESTATE, JOBS IMPLOSION (Chicago Sun-Times)

December 31, 2009

Can it really be 10 years since we were stocking our cellars in anticipation of Y2K? We should have been stocking our retirement funds, paying down the mortgage and hugging young family members who would shortly be called off to war — or wars.It’s amazing how silly the preoccupations of the moment can look years later. Ten years ago, housing prices only went up, Internet stocks were sure-fire …

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The 4 Best Real Estate Investments For 2010, Part II

December 31, 2009

As I mentioned in , next year is going to be the most exciting one real estate investors have seen in a decade. I’ve got my eye on four spots, in particular – diverse opportunities around the globe, each of which represents an excellent value

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Letters to the editor: Jan. 1, 2010 (Naples Daily News)

December 31, 2009

Letter of the Day: How thoughtful (and not)Editor, Daily News:On Dec. 15, about 10:30 a.m., my car broke down in the middle of traffic on U.S. 41 and Fourth Avenue North.After calling for a wrecker, I proceeded to raise the hood of the car to identify a problem as my emergency blinkers wouldn’t work because the battery was fried.Being highly distressed, I was at my wit’s end when an extremely …

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NIH Director Says Stimulus Money Adds Jobs and Research After Funding Lag

December 31, 2009

By Meg Tirrell Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. National Institutes of Health has created or saved 50,000 jobs with its $10 billion in federal stimulus funds, boosting medical research and returning $2.25 on the dollar in goods and services, the agency’s director Francis Collins said. Collins , appointed by President Barack Obama in August, said the Bethesda, Maryland-based organization aims to accelerate drug development, promote research on rare, neglected diseases and cut health-care costs. He spoke in a Dec. 30 interview and outlined areas for investment and research in an article released today by the journal Science . The NIH is aiming to prove that science is an important investment in the economy’s recovery as budgeting decisions are being made for the 2011 fiscal year, Collins said. The 50,000 jobs the agency created in the first year with stimulus money “are high-paying, quality jobs that are employing people with considerable skills that we’d hate to see migrating overseas.” “After five years of flat funding between 2003 and 2008, where NIH effectively lost about 15 percent of its buying power, the community has been exhilarated,” Collins said. “We’re going to see acceleration in both the basic and the clinical aspects of biomedical research.” Comparative Effectiveness The agency is investing $400 million of stimulus money in studies comparing the efficacy of treatments for ailments including dementia, gastro-esophageal reflux disease, or GERD, and the staph infection MRSA, according to the agency’s Web site . MRSA, or methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureas, has become increasingly resistant to standard treatments and affects about 2 million Americans. Germs such as MRSA cost about $20 billion annually to treat, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Comparative effectiveness studies can help lower health- care costs and benefit patients by identifying the best treatments with the fewest side effects. Previous such studies have shown that exercise and life- style changes prevent the onset of diabetes better than medication, and that older, less expensive antipsychotics work as well as newer drugs, with fewer side effects, Collins wrote in his article. Economic Incentives The agency also plans to start a grant program encouraging development of new models for health economics, Collins said. Incentives for doctors should be based on patient outcomes rather than the number of tests or procedures performed, he said. “Our health-care system is currently loaded with incentives that may be counter to cost savings,” Collins said. “We would like to perhaps study that more carefully in a research environment.” In a frenzy to access the stimulus funds, researchers submitted thousands of grant applications, with some institutions such as the University of California in Irvine preparing more than 200, according to an April article in Science. Not all applicants concluded the program would help boost the economy. “I am one of the 21,000 applicants for the NIH Challenge Grant, which will fund roughly 200 grants at a success rate of 1 percent,” Sailen Barik, of the University of South Alabama College of Medicine in Mobile, wrote in a July 7 letter to Science. “This unprecedented low rate makes me wonder whether this feeding frenzy is actually stimulating American recovery.” Barik wasn’t immediately available for comment today. Neglected Diseases The U.S. has a responsibility to use its resources to help solve some health problems in developing areas of the world, going beyond the “big three” of AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria, Collins said. Some diseases are rare or affect patients in areas with few resources, making them unappealing to drug companies that need cover the cost of research through revenue, Collins said. The NIH plans to forge more partnerships with drugmakers in which academic investigators perform initial studies. That may help remove some of the risk of drug development so companies can enter in the later stages and take a more mature treatment through human trials. Model Drug Development Collins cited as a candidate for this model a treatment for a disease called schistosomiasis, found primarily in sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East, that’s carried by water snails and affects about 250 million people. Parasites on the snails can transfer to humans and cause damage to the liver, intestines, lungs and bladder, according to the CDC. “There hasn’t been a new drug for this in 50 years,” Collins said. “Through academic efforts, as a consequence of NIH investing in the front-end of the drug development pipeline, a very promising compound has emerged that cures this disease in the mouse model, and can now be moved toward the clinical trial potential.” Before taking his current role, Collins was director of the National Human Genome Research Institute , an arm of the NIH that sought to understand the genetic makeup of humans. It completed a map of the human genome sequence in April 2003. A physician with a Yale University doctorate in chemistry, Collins helped isolate the gene linked to cystic fibrosis in 1989. In 1993, he helped pinpoint the gene for Huntington’s disease, a brain disorder. That same year, he joined the government’s genome research institute, taking over the Human Genome Project, which had begun in 1990. Affordable Human Genome One goal supported by the NIH’s stimulus funds is the reduction in cost of sequencing an individual human genome to $1,000 from about $20,000 currently, Collins said. “If you just do it really well one time for $1,000, you’re probably going to save money in the long run from a lot of targeted testing,” he said. Researchers may be on track to reach the $1,000 mark within three to five years, he said. “It’s not going to end at that,” Collins said. “Take this out 10 years and the cost of the complete genome sequence will be under $100.” While stimulus money has boosted biomedical research this year, Collins said he worries that progress will be interrupted in 2011 when the two years to spend the funds are up. “Science is not a hundred-yard dash; it’s a marathon, and very few projects get done in two years,” he said. “We will have revved up this remarkable engine of discovery and then we will run the risk that the tank falls empty in 2011, and a great deal of disruption may occur as a result.” To contact the reporter on this story: Meg Tirrell in New York at mtirrell@bloomberg.net .

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Obama Receives Initial Assessments on Attempted Bombing of U.S. Airliner

December 31, 2009

By Nicholas Johnston and Jonathan Salant Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama said he will review later today initial assessments of the attempted bombing of a U.S. airliner on Christmas Day and will meet with agency heads Jan. 5 to discuss the investigation. In a statement released in Hawaii where he is vacationing with his family, Obama said he spoke today with Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano and John Brennan , his adviser for homeland security and counterterrorism. “I anticipate receiving assessments from several agencies this evening and will review those tonight and over the course of the weekend,” Obama said in the statement. “I will meet personally with relevant agency heads to discuss our ongoing reviews as well as security enhancements and intelligence- sharing improvements.” Obama ordered reviews of anti-terrorism and aviation- security policies after the Dec. 25 attempted bombing of a Northwest Airlines flight preparing to land in Detroit. Obama has said a “systemic failure” allowed Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab to carry explosives onto a U.S. airliner leaving Amsterdam. Although Abdulmutallab was on a list of potential terrorists, he wasn’t subject to special screening at the airport. The 23-year-old Nigerian is charged with trying to blow up the Northwest Airlines flight. Watch List Senate Intelligence Committee Chairwoman Dianne Feinstein asked the president in a letter yesterday to change a 2008 policy that limits the government’s ability to place people on a watch list requiring extra screening or banning them from flying. “The U.S. government should watch-list, and deny visas to, anyone who is reasonably believed to be affiliated with, part of, or acting on behalf of a terrorist organization,” Feinstein, a California Democrat, said in the letter. Obama has requested the criteria used for placing people on watch lists as part of the examination of anti-terror policies. The Netherlands and Nigeria announced yesterday they will start using full-body scanners to detect explosives being carried by passengers. Representative Ike Skelton , a Missouri Democrat who heads the House Armed Services Committee, also sent Obama a letter saying a briefing on the incident yesterday “left me with more questions than answers.” ‘Should Not Have Happened’ “I understand that there were failures across the government and the international community that quite frankly, eight years after the attacks on 9/11, should not have happened,” Skelton wrote. Airline security and intelligence were overhauled after the Sept. 11 attacks, including creation of the Department of Homeland Security to improve intelligence-gathering and the Transportation Security Administration to take over passenger screening at airports. Eight years later, “the same kind of failures that were there in 9/11 were present in this one,” former New Jersey Governor Tom Kean , a Republican who was chairman of the commission that examined the Sept. 11 attacks, said in an interview yesterday. “No one is connecting the dots. It’s the same thing all over again, and that’s what is frustrating.” Obama said Dec. 29 that U.S. intelligence agencies missed “red flags” that could have put Abdulmutallab on a watch list requiring extra screening or banning him from flying. Conventional metal detectors don’t detect the explosives Abdulmutallab was carrying. Congressional Committees Three congressional committees plan to hold hearings next month on the incident. “We have to fully investigate this incident to find accountability for the breakdown in security procedures,” said Byron Dorgan of North Dakota, a member of the Senate Commerce Committee. U.S. Representative John Mica of Florida, the top Republican on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee , said more is needed. “Unfortunately, it’s turned into sort of a reactionary system and not enough initiatives to handle situations like we’ve got,” Mica said. The TSA “has been sort of floundering” in the past year, he said. The TSA is without a top administrator because Senator Jim DeMint , a South Carolina Republican, is blocking the Senate from confirming Obama nominee Erroll Southers , an antiterrorism expert. DeMint opposes efforts to allow TSA employees to form a union; public-employee unions have given Democrats 91 percent of their $4.5 million in campaign donations since Jan. 1. Richard Reid Abdulmutallab and would-be shoe-bomber Richard Reid boarded U.S. airlines overseas, and that’s where security officials need to focus, Mica said. “There’s no reason you can’t adopt an Israeli model and do a better examination of the passengers before they depart” from overseas airports to deny people with suspected terrorist connections from entering the U.S., Mica said. TSA will take the lead on increasing security in response to the attempted bombing, said Hasbrouck Miller, a vice president of London-based Smiths Group Plc’s Smiths Detection unit, which makes explosive-detection equipment. “TSA is given a lot of latitude to shift around where they see needs and requirements,” Miller said in an interview. The agency is responding with such measures as bomb- sniffing dogs and additional screening, spokesman Greg Soule said. Pan Am Bombing A number of government commissions since the 1988 bombing of Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, have called for increased passenger screening for explosives. Two decades later, machines that can detect explosives under clothing are in use at 19 U.S. airports , most of the time only as a secondary check on selected passengers, according to the TSA. In 2007, the Government Accountability Office said its investigators smuggled liquid explosives and detonators past airport-security screeners. “It’s just incredible that this is still going on,” said Kathleen Flynn of Montville, New Jersey, who lost a son in the Pan Am 103 bombing. She was a member of the White House Commission on Aviation Safety during President Bill Clinton’s administration. “With our technology and our wherewithal, we should be able to conquer this,” she said. To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Honolulu at njohnston3@bloomberg.net Jonathan D. Salant in Washington at jsalant@bloomberg.net ;

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Brown Working With Obama on Tighter Airport Security After Bomb Plot Fails

December 31, 2009

By Reed V. Landberg Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — Prime Minister Gordon Brown said the U.K. government is working with President Barack Obama on tightening airport security and rooting out potential terrorists after a Nigerian man tried to blow up a trans-Atlantic aircraft. “The threat can only be met through enhanced cooperation,” Brown said in a statement posted on a government Web site in London today. “It has been another wake-up call for the ongoing battles we must wage.” Brown said Britain and the U.S. are examining advanced x- ray technology, equipment that detects a trace of explosives on passengers and full-body scanners that penetrate clothes. The comments are aimed at answering concerns that Britain is harboring communities of extremists planning to attack Western nations. Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab , who was arrested on Dec. 25 after a bomb hidden in his trousers fizzled, lived in the U.K. before boarding a plane from Amsterdam to Detroit. Brown said he ordered a review of U.K. airport security on Dec. 28 and that he will receive preliminary findings in the next few days. Obama has ordered similar measures. U.K. has barred 180 people from entering the country on national security grounds, Brown said. Britain has deported eight people citing security concerns since July 2005, when bombs exploded in a London bus and subway trains. Eight more have left voluntarily. “We have to take on extremists wherever they are based, in Afghanistan, Pakistan and all around the world, including here in Britain,” Brown wrote in the message. “We nevertheless need to remain vigilant against people being radicalized here as well as abroad.” For Related News and Information: To contact the reporter on this story: Reed Landberg in London at landberg@bloomberg.net .

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JPMorgan Leads U.S. Corporate Bond Underwriting for Second Straight Year

December 31, 2009

By John Detrixhe Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. retained its place this year as the top underwriter of U.S. corporate bonds, leading banks managing a record $1.24 trillion of fixed-income offerings as borrowers take advantage of the lowest rates in almost five years. New York-based JPMorgan, the second-largest U.S. lender by assets, underwrote 13.5 percent of investment-grade new issues with 508 transactions worth $115.3 billion, followed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which had 12.8 percent and moved into second place, displacing Citigroup Inc., with 11.5 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Including self-led sales, Citigroup was the top underwriter with 15.6 percent. Issuers such as Pfizer Inc. , the world’s biggest drug maker, tapped the U.S. credit market as bond buyers poured cash into fixed-income assets. Borrowers raised money at ever-lower rates as the economy stabilized following the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. “We’ve had a pretty banner year as far as new issuance goes,” said Rajeev Sharma , who helps oversee about $1.4 billion of investment-grade bonds as a portfolio manager at First Investors Management in New York. “I would think that January is going to pick up again.” Junk Bonds JPMorgan was the top underwriter of high-yield, high-risk bond issuance for the fourth straight year, Bloomberg data show. Not including self-led transactions, the lender underwrote $25.8 billion of bonds, or 16.1 percent with 164 issues, followed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch with $25.79 billion of offerings in 183 sales, Bloomberg data show. Deutsche Bank AG was third, underwriting $16 billion, which was 10 percent of issues through 98 transactions. High-yield, or junk, bonds are rated below Baa3 by Moody’s Investors Service and BBB- by Standard & Poor’s. While record debt sales by the government led to a 3.58 percent loss for Treasuries this year, optimism that a recovering economy will make it easier for companies to meet debt payments spurred a 26 percent average return for corporate bonds, including reinvested interest, according to Merrill Lynch indexes. Corporates lost 10.9 percent in 2008 while Treasuries gained 14 percent. “There’s been a lot of demand for corporate bonds because people are moving out of a money market that pays almost nothing and into higher-yielding corporate bond funds,” said Michael Cheah , who manages $2 billion in bonds at SunAmerica Asset Management in Jersey City, New Jersey. Pfizer sold $13.5 billion of notes in a five-part issue on March 17 to help finance its purchase of Wyeth in the largest non-financial offering since Roche Holding AG ’s sale on Feb. 18. The Basel, Switzerland-based drug maker sold $16 billion of bonds to finance its takeover of Genentech Inc. in the second- largest corporate bond offering in a single day, Bloomberg data show. France Telecom SA raised $16.4 billion in March 2001 in the largest corporate bond offering without a government guarantee, Bloomberg data show. The sale consisted of bonds denominated in dollars, euros and pounds. To contact the reporter on this story: John Detrixhe in New York at jdetrixhe1@bloomberg.net

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Singapore Economy Recovering After First Contraction Since 2001, Lee Says

December 31, 2009

By Shamim Adam Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — Singapore’s economy is improving after a “volatile” year that saw it shrink for the first time since 2001, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said. Gross domestic product fell 2.1 percent in 2009, Lee, 57, said in his New Year message yesterday. That’s in line with the government estimate for a contraction of 2 percent to 2.5 percent. The trade ministry forecasts the economy will expand 3 percent to 5 percent in 2010, an estimate reiterated by Lee. “Our economy is growing again, and has recovered much of the ground since the recession began” in 2008, Lee said. “Worldwide, economies have stabilized. The U.S., Japan and Europe are starting to grow again, although problems remain and no one expects an exuberant boom.” Singapore joined other Asian nations in emerging from a global economic slump last year after the region’s governments unveiled about $1 trillion in stimulus measures to spur growth. Still, a “sluggish recovery” in overseas demand for goods made by companies such as Stats Chippac Ltd . may moderate growth prospects in the coming months, the government said in November. The economy grew 3.5 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, Lee said. That compares with the 3.8 percent median forecast of nine economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. GDP probably contracted an annualized 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter from the previous three months, after climbing 14.2 percent from July to September, according to the median estimate of eight economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The trade ministry will release the economic data at 8 a.m. on Jan. 4. Vulnerable Recovery Lee’s estimates yesterday suggest the Southeast Asian economy may have shrunk as much as 5 percent in the fourth quarter from the previous three months, said Song Seng-Wun , an economist at CIMB-GK Securities Pte in Singapore. The likely “contraction in the fourth quarter after two strong quarters highlights the vulnerability of the recovery,” Song said after Lee’s message yesterday. Asia’s rebound could falter as the effect of stimulus measures fade, the Asian Development Bank’s Office for Regional Economic Integration said Dec. 15. The U.S., Asia’s largest export market, needs to prepare for a second stimulus package as there’s a “significant” chance that growth will slow in the second half of 2010, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said Dec. 21. The global economy will experience “modest” growth this year even as “the worst is behind us,” Lee said in a Dec. 30 commentary written for Bloomberg News. Still, Asia is expected to resume its “rapid” growth, he said yesterday. Stimulus Measures Singapore’s economy shrank in the 12 months through March as the worst global recession since World War II curbed exports, prompted tourists to stay away and damped consumer spending . The government cut corporate taxes and tapped its reserves to fund record spending last year in an effort to minimize job losses and help businesses and workers. It said this week it will extend by a year measures to help companies get financing, after deciding in October to prolong a wage-subsidy program. Economic growth in 2010 may be supported by the services industry amid the opening of two casino resorts, said Selena Ling , head of treasury research at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore. Genting Singapore Plc unit Resorts World Sentosa plans to open its $4.5 billion project in early 2010, and Las Vegas Sands Corp. says it may open the Marina Bay Sands in April. The government said in November it doesn’t expect a return to recessionary conditions even as the outlook for the second half of 2010 remains uncertain. Shifting Gears Singapore is seeking ways to ensure its economy grows in a more sustained manner after three recessions in the past decade. Lee announced the formation of the Economic Strategies Committee in May, which is due to unveil its recommendations this month. “We must shift gears, to grow by qualitative improvement: transforming the economy, developing skills and growing talent, both our own and from abroad,” Lee said. The city, which has 3.73 million citizens and permanent residents and 1.25 million non-residents, may ease the number of foreigners entering the country to work and live, Lee said. “We will manage and moderate the inflow of foreign workers so that Singaporeans are not overwhelmed by the sheer numbers,” he said. “But we must continue to welcome hardworking, enterprising people to our shores. We need them to both expand our talent pool as well as to top up our own population and make up for our low birth rates.” To contact the reporter on this story: Shamim Adam in Singapore at sadam2@bloomberg.net

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Commodities Post Biggest Annual Gain in Four Decades as China’s Use Surges

December 31, 2009

By Stuart Wallace and Chanyaporn Chanjaroen Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Commodities posted the biggest annual gain in four decades, led by a doubling in copper, sugar and lead prices, as Chinese demand compensated for the longest slump in the global economy since World War II. In 2009, the S&P GSCI Index of 24 raw materials rose 50 percent, the most since at least 1971, and commodities drew record investment of $60 billion this year, Barclays Capital estimated. This year, the MSCI World Index of stocks in 23 developed nations climbed 27 percent, and U.S. Treasuries fell 3.5 percent, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes. China, the biggest consumer of commodities such as copper and iron ore, expanded 8.5 percent this year, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The nation imported record amounts of both raw materials this year, making up for slack demand in the U.S. and Europe. “If you look at the theoretical or global portfolio of assets that are out there, the percentage of commodities allocation is tiny, less than 1 percent,” said Kevin Norrish , a commodity analyst at Barclays Capital in London. “If you look at what investors think that they should have, clearly that would suggest there’s a lot of potential for growth.” This year, the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 raw materials advanced 23 percent, the most since 1979. Lead Surges China’s central bank will maintain a “moderately loose” monetary policy because 2010 will be a crucial year for strengthening the recovery, Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said today. Among industrial metals traded in London, lead posted the biggest gain. Since the end of 1999, the metal more than quadrupled, leading gains among 36 exchange-traded raw materials in the U.S., Europe and Asia. Copper also doubled this year, leading gains in the CRB gauge. The metal climbed almost fourfold in the decade. Lead for delivery in three months rose $21, or 0.9 percent, to $2,432 a metric ton today on the London Metal Exchange. Copper gained 0.6 percent to $7,375 a ton. In 2009, gold futures in New York rose 24 percent, the ninth straight annual gain. The dollar’s slump spurred demand for precious metals as an alternative investment. Crude oil advanced 78 percent this year. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, accounting for 40 percent of global supply, reduced output in response to the worldwide economic slump. Raw-sugar futures in New York more than doubled this year, trailing only copper’s advance in the CRB index. Cane harvests in Brazil and India, the biggest producers, were hurt by adverse weather. To contact the reporter on this story: Stuart Wallace in London at swallace6@bloomberg.net ; Chanyaporn Chanjaroen in London at cchanjaroen@bloomberg.net

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Year in Review: Stocks, Commodities Rally

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks posted the biggest annual gain since 2003 and commodities rallied as the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate near zero and governments around the world enacted stimulus programs to halt the first global recession since World War II. Click here for a wrap-up of the world’s markets in 2009. See the VIDEO tab above for more on the Year in Review from Bloomberg Television. Click here for a slideshow presentation from Bloomberg BusinessWeek magazine, “The Unbelievable Quotes, Acts and Ideas of 2009.” Following are more stories looking back on the past year and previewing 2010. Citigroup, Marshall & Ilsley Post Biggest S&P Drops Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Citigroup Inc. and Marshall & Ilsley Corp. were among the worst performing stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index this year, dragged down by defaults on commercial and residential property loans that may extend declines into 2010. U.S. Treasuries Post Worst Performance Among Sovereign Markets Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Treasuries fell, posting the worst performance this year among sovereign debt markets as the U.S. sold record amounts of securities, including $118 billion of notes this week, to help spur a recovery from recession. Tax-Free Shortage May Repeat Muni Debt Outperforming Treasuries Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Tax-exempt bonds may return more than Treasuries for a second straight year, paced by the biggest increase in taxable state and local issues as U.S. income tax rates are poised to rise in 2011. M&A Rebound Years Away as Morgan Stanley Sees ‘Gentle Recovery’ Dec. 30 (Bloomberg) — Takeover advisers who cheered a surprise fourth-quarter surge in mergers and acquisitions may still have years to wait for a return to 2007’s record dealmaking. Goldman Sachs Takes Biggest Share of $923 Million U.S. IPO Fees Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. won the biggest share of the $923 million in fees from U.S. initial public offerings this year, while Citigroup Inc. fell out of the top five after its revenue plummeted more than 50 percent. Decade’s Worst Funds Never Recovered From Technology-Stock Bust Dec. 30 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stock mutual funds with the biggest losses in the past 10 years, a list topped by Fidelity Growth Strategies and Vanguard U.S. Growth, were crushed by the market sell-off at the start of the decade and never recovered. Yuan Forwards Rose 5% in 2009 as Recovery Spurred Bets on Gains Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — China’s 12-month yuan forwards gained 5 percent this year as the economy’s recovery from the slowest growth this decade fanned speculation policy makers will allow the currency to resume appreciation. Local bonds fell. Rupiah Is Asia’s Top Performer as Yields, Growth Attract Funds Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Indonesia’s rupiah posted its biggest annual advance in seven years as signs the global economy is recovering from the recession encouraged overseas investors to return to emerging-market assets. Russia Unbeatable to Stock Funds as Kudrin Says Prices Too High Dec. 30 (Bloomberg) — Russia is the top investment pick for the biggest emerging-market stock funds in 2010, even after the RTS Index’s world-beating 129 percent rally prompted Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin to say shares are too expensive. Raphael’s $47.5 Million Muse Beats Matisse to Top 2009 Prices Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — While the art market shrank in 2009, many individual artworks achieved strong results at auction. Next Decade Will Be Good One for Stock Investors: Matthew Lynn Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — Even the most practiced soothsayer will struggle to make any detailed predictions for the next 10 years. It’s hard enough to know what will happen in the markets in January 2010, never mind December 2019. Eight Things for Markets to Watch Out for in 2010: Matthew Lynn Dec. 22 (Bloomberg) — No one can complain that the last two years have been light on drama. We had the worst financial crash in living memory, and some of the biggest banks in the world effectively came under state control. My Casualty List Shows Stocks Ready to Rebound: John Dorfman Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — From 1999 through early 2007, I compiled a quarterly Casualty List of banged-up stocks that I believed had good rebound potential. Obama’s Foreign-Policy Team Bests Economy Stars: Albert Hunt Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — A year ago, the expectation was that President-elect Barack Obama’s economic team would be a smooth- functioning machine, and the outlook was for turbulence in the national-security arena. ‘New Normal’ Tops 2009 Overused Phrases List: Caroline Baum Dec. 23 (Bloomberg) — For journalists, pundits and comedians, the end of the year provides an opportunity to look back, fantasize forward and let the creative juices flow. # # -0- Dec/31/2009 23:02 GMT

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Dividend Declaration: Delaware Enhanced Global Dividend and Income Fund Announces Dividends

December 31, 2009

PHILADELPHIA, Dec. 31 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ — Today, Delaware Enhanced Global Dividend and Income Fund (the ‘Fund’), a New York Stock Exchange-listed closed-end fund trading under the symbol ‘DEX,’ declares a monthly dividend of $0.1025 per share.

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U.S. Real Estate Forecast From A Supply | Kingston Commercial Real …

December 31, 2009

On any given day, people can easily find articles and news stories describing an impending bust of the so-called real estate bubble. Despite this gloomy.

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Dividend Declaration: Delaware Investments(R) Dividend and Income Fund, Inc. Announces Dividends

December 31, 2009

Today, Delaware Investments Dividend and Income Fund, Inc. (the ‘Fund’), a New York Stock Exchange-listed closed-end fund trading under the symbol ‘DDF,’ declares a monthly dividend of $0.0575 per share. This dividend is payable January 29

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CMBS Loan Delinquencies Could Reach 7% and Beyond in 2010, says Realpoint

December 31, 2009

transfers were 177 loans issued from 2005 to 2007 – the height of the bull market for commercial real estate lending. These 177 loans have a current balance of $7.46 billion. Simply put, 86% of the newly transferred loan balance to special servicing is

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CMBS Loan Delinquencies Could Reach 7% and Beyond in 2010, says Realpoint

December 31, 2009

transfers were 177 loans issued from 2005 to 2007 – the height of the bull market for commercial real estate lending. These 177 loans have a current balance of $7.46 billion. Simply put, 86% of the newly transferred loan balance to special servicing is

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The best and worst funds of 2009

December 31, 2009

2008 markets have staged a dramatic return to form over the past 12 months, we look at how fund managers have fared. Global bounce: But which funds soared highest? WANT TO KNOW MORE? ‘s fund supermarket OTHER STORIES What happened in 2009? The MSCI World

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Huff TV: Arianna Explains Move Your Money To CNN’s Rick Sanchez

December 31, 2009

Arianna spoke to Rick Sanchez on CNN Thursday afternoon to urge Americans to withdraw their money from big bailed out U.S. banks and instead deposit their funds into smaller, better managed community banks. The project, called ” Move Your Money ,” is a practical response to banks that have posted record profits using bailouts from taxpayers to weather a financial meltdown caused by their actions. Visit moveyourmoney.info to learn more about the project, and find a well-ranked community bank near you. WATCH: Part 1 WATCH: Part 1

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Kuwait’s Global seeks shareholder nod for debt plan

December 31, 2009

KUWAIT – Shareholders of Kuwait’s Global Investment House, which defaulted on most of its debt last year, will vote on a restructuring deal to transfer its main investments and real estate assets to two new units. The vote will take place on Jan. 12, the

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Generating Leads in the Online World

December 31, 2009

and maybe the impetus behind why you wrote the book, Homes Buyers and Mortgages: A Guide to Purchasing Real Estate in Todays Market? Kotar: I have a masters degree in education, so education has always been my love. When I got out of graduate school, I

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Generating Leads in the Online World

December 31, 2009

and maybe the impetus behind why you wrote the book, Homes Buyers and Mortgages: A Guide to Purchasing Real Estate in Todays Market? Kotar: I have a masters degree in education, so education has always been my love. When I got out of graduate school, I

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Video: Frederick Says Investors See Opportunity in Technology: Video

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Randy Frederick, director of trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab & Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox about U.S. stocks. Frederick also discusses the outlook for the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Frederick Says Investors See Opportunity in Technology: Video

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Randy Frederick, director of trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab & Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox about U.S. stocks. Frederick also discusses the outlook for the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Landesman Doubts Brazil Stocks Will Repeat 2009 Gains: Video

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Uri Landesman, a senior portfolio manager at ING Investment Management, talks with Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox about the outlook for equity markets in Brazil. Landesman also discusses Chinese stocks, and the economies of Brazil and China. (This is an excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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CMBS Loan Delinquencies Could Reach 7% and Beyond in 2010, says …

December 31, 2009

Institutional Partners is the silent partner to commercial real estate companies, private equity firms, distressed debt companies, loan sale advisors, hedge funds and family offices. Institutional Partners provide companies with access …

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Criterion International Equity Fund Announces Completion of Merger

December 31, 2009

(Marketwire Canada) Criterion International Equity Fund (“International Equity”) announces the completion of its merger with Criterion Global Dividend Fund (“Global Dividend”). As a result of the merger, former unitholders of International Equity

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Video: Hartman Likes `Very Short’ Bonds, Emerging-Market Stocks: Video

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Kirk Hartman, chief investment officer at Wells Capital Management, talks with Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox about his investment strategy. Hartman also discusses the outlook for U.S. bond and stock markets. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Tampa Bay real estate market took its medicine in 2009 (St. Petersburg Times)

December 31, 2009

Year-in-review columns have been treating 2009 as if it were toxic. Let’s take a different approach as we examine the year in Tampa Bay real estate. The housing market forced down some nasty medicine. Is that a bad thing? No, it is not.

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Video: U.S. Stocks Fall to Trim Biggest Yearly Rally Since 2003: Video

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. stock market today. Stocks fell, trimming the market’s biggest yearly gain since 2003, as a decrease in jobless claims added to evidence the economy is improving enough to allow the Federal Reserve to withdraw more stimulus. (Source: Bloomberg)

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BRIEF-ERA Carbon Offsets extends private placement

December 31, 2009

are unsure about any matters raised by the above information you should obtain appropriate expert independent advice. UK equity prices and indices are delayed by 15 minutes and US equity prices are delayed by 20 minutes. Fund prices are updated each

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Dividend Declaration: Delaware Investments(R) Global Dividend and Income Fund, Inc. Announces Dividends

December 31, 2009

/PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ —-Today, Delaware Investments Global Dividend and Income Fund, Inc. (the “Fund”), a New York Stock Exchange-listed closed-end fund trading under the symbol “DGF,” declares a monthly dividend of $0.0575 per share. This

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Dividend Declaration: Delaware Enhanced Global Dividend and Incom…

December 31, 2009

Companies: Dexter Corp. (DEX), Lincoln National Corp. (LNC) Today, Delaware Enhanced Global Dividend and Income Fund (the “Fund”), a New York Stock Exchange-listed closed-end fund trading under the symbol “DEX,” declares a monthly dividend of $0.1025 per

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Video: Wilbanks Likes `Blue Chip,’ Technology Shares in 2010: Video

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Wayne Wilbanks, chief investment officer at Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas, talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about his investment strategy. Wilbanks also discusses the outlook for U.S. stocks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Dividend Declaration: Delaware Investments(R) Global Dividend and…

December 31, 2009

Companies: Delaware Group Global Dividend & Income Fund, Inc. (DGF), Lincoln National Corp. (LNC) Today, Delaware Investments Global Dividend and Income Fund, Inc. (the “Fund”), a New York Stock Exchange-listed closed-end fund trading under the symbol

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Dividend Declaration: Delaware Investments(R) Dividend and Income…

December 31, 2009

Companies: Delaware Group Dividend & Income Fund, Inc. (DDF), Lincoln National Corp. (LNC) Today, Delaware Investments Dividend and Income Fund, Inc. (the “Fund”), a New York Stock Exchange-listed closed-end fund trading under the symbol “DDF,” declares

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Video: Edwards Discusses NYC New Year’s Ball LED Lighting: Video

December 31, 2009

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) — Ed Crawford, chief executive officer of Philips Lighting North America, talks with Bloomberg’s Lori Rothman about the light-emitting diodes used to light this year’s Times Square New Year’s ball. Crawford also discusses LED technology for homes and businesses. (Source: Bloomberg)

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