December 2009

Video: Hwang Sees Nuclear Industry Growth Benefiting Doosan: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — Sean Hwang, an analyst at Mirae Asset Securities Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Haslinda Amin about the global demand for nuclear power plants and its potential impact on South Korean constructions companies. Korea Electric Power Corp., Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction Co. and other South Korean builders jumped the most in a year yesterday after winning a $20 billion nuclear-plant contract from the United Arab Emirates. Hwang speaks from Seoul. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Nikkei 225 Loses 73% Since Reaching Peak 20 Years Ago: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Mike Firn reports on the outlook for Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average, which has lost 73 percent since it climbed to a record 39,915.87 20 years ago today. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Broadpoint’s Marshall Sees Apple Shares Rising to $260: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Brian Marshall, an analyst at Broadpoint AmTech Inc., talks with Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox about the outlook for Apple Inc.’s shares. Marshall also discusses iPhone sales and Apple’s agreement with AT&T Inc. to be the exclusive service provider. (Source: Bloomberg)

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UPDATE 2-U.S. biotech Codexis files for $100 mln IPO

December 28, 2009
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World War Pope Sainthood Like Obama’s Nobel: Celestine Bohlen

December 28, 2009

Commentary by Celestine Bohlen Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — It’s not at all clear that the world needs another Roman Catholic saint, let alone another canonized Catholic pope. By one count , there are already more than 10,000 saints and “beati” or blessed, accumulated since Roman times, with at least three saints already assigned for every day of the year. That’s just one good reason why Pope Benedict XVI’s decision to proceed toward the canonization of Pius XII , the church’s controversial World War II-era pope, was so surprising. Another two miracles to his name, and Pius will have cleared all the hurdles to sainthood, where he will be among the ranks of such beloved figures as Saint Francis of Assisi and Saint Joan of Arc. It’s hard to see the urgency or the necessity of an act that was sure to anger and upset large groups of people — most significantly, Jews who worry that Benedict has again delivered a setback to the difficult and delicate task of reconciling Catholicism and Judaism. There may be explanations for Pius XII’s studied silence about the Holocaust in the early 1940s: it is true that public criticism might have put more innocent people in danger, and it is also true that the Pope, like many Catholics, took risks to protect Jews. The question of Pius’ wartime record remains open, and will stay that way as long as the relevant archives are closed. Benedict himself had previously asked Vatican officials to hold off any decision on Pius until the opening of the 1939-1958 archives, now slated for 2014. This approach was endorsed by Jewish leaders, who are now left expressing puzzlement and dismay over Benedict’s decision to jump the gun and issue a decree proclaiming Pius’ “heroic virtues,” setting the stage first for beatification, and then canonization. Vatican Bureaucrat So what was the rush? The answer is politics — which does not make for an edifying religious spectacle. The common perception, disputed by the Vatican, is that by pairing Pius XII with John Paul II in the Dec. 20 decree, Benedict had hoped to satisfy both the conservative and the liberal wings of the Catholic Church. Let’s just leave aside the fact that there isn’t much of a public constituency clamoring for a Saint Pius XII (Pius IX is beatified and Pius I, V and X are already saints), as there is for a Saint John Paul II, a charismatic pope who played a key role in the collapse of Communism. At his funeral in 2005, crowds called for a quick beatification, with chants of “Beato subito.” In contrast, Pius XII — born Eugenio Pacelli, scion of Rome’s so-called black nobility, which has staffed the church’s upper ranks for centuries — was a lifelong Vatican bureaucrat- turned-diplomat, with a dour, ascetic manner. No Mother Theresa This isn’t Mother Teresa , the Albanian-born nun who spent her life caring for the poor of Calcutta and was beatified in 2002, or even Father Jerzy Popieluszko, the Polish priest who was beaten to death by the communist secret police in 1984 and who this month was put on the path to sainthood, together with Pius XII and John Paul II. Last week, the Vatican once again found itself trying to calm waters stirred by one of Benedict’s decisions. Last February, when the pope offered an olive branch to leading figures of a conservative schismatic movement who included a Holocaust-denying ex-bishop, the Vatican blamed “a management error.” This time, the Vatican press office issued a statement explaining that the pope’s decree on Pius’s “heroic virtues” wasn’t an assessment of “the historical impact of all his operative decisions,” but a confirmation that he had led a deeply Christian life. Surely, that was a requirement Pacelli met when he was chosen to be Pope in 1939. Modern Teachings Many experts think that Benedict is trying to reconcile the church with its own history, with teachings that prevailed before the Second Vatican Council, the historical gathering of church leaders convened by Pope John XXIII in the 1960s. That was when the Roman Catholic Church entered the modern age, adopting such principles as separation of church and state, freedom of religion, a more modern liturgy and a repudiation of anti-Semitism. “Benedict wants to emphasize the continuity of the church’s teachings, to make the point that the Second Vatican Council was not a break with the past,” said the Reverend Thomas Reese, a Jesuit scholar and senior fellow at the Woodstock Theological Center at Georgetown University. This isn’t a surprising line of thinking from a conservative pope who as a theologian, once kept watch over the church’s doctrine. But he didn’t need to add another pope to the roster of saints to make the point. Of the 265 popes in history, 76 are already saints: six are blessed. Perhaps now is the time to declare a halt to the practice, for liberals like John Paul II and John XXIII, as well as for conservatives like Pius XII. As Father Reese aptly noted, popes cannot be examples for ordinary Christians: Popes can only be examples for other popes. After President Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize, a lot of people argued that heads of states should not be nominated for that kind of award until after they have left office. Maybe in the case of popes, sitting on the throne of St. Peter should be honor enough. ( Celestine Bohlen is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: Celestine Bohlen in Paris at cbohlen1@bloomberg.net

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U.S. Economy Poised for Growth Surge as Most Accurate Forecaster Sees It

December 28, 2009

By Timothy R. Homan and Bob Willis Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. economy next year will turn in its best performance since 2004 as spending perks up and companies increase investment and hiring, says Dean Maki , the most-accurate forecaster in a Bloomberg News survey. The world’s largest economy will expand 3.5 percent in 2010, according to Maki, the chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York. The rebound in stocks and rising incomes will prompt Americans to do what they do best –consume, said Maki, a former economist at the Federal Reserve. Faced with dwindling inventories and growing demand, companies will soon become confident the expansion will be sustained, he said. Household spending “will pick up steam as we move into the second half of 2010,” said Maki, 44, who topped all 60 forecasters in the Bloomberg News ranking of gross domestic product projections for the first three quarters of 2009. “The overall picture for 2010 will be an economy growing rapidly enough to bring down the unemployment rate” to an average of 9.6 percent. Maki, who specialized in researching household finances at the Fed from 1995 to 2000, said the economic recovery this time will be similar to past rebounds. Consumer purchases improved after last year’s 61 percent plunge in gasoline prices and will keep growing in 2010, reflecting the surge in stocks. Faster growth will push Treasury yields higher and help the dollar strengthen as the Fed raises interest rates, he predicts. Consumer Behavior Maki holds a doctorate in economics from Stanford University near Palo Alto, California. His dissertation addressed Americans’ response to the phasing out of tax deductions for interest on consumer loans. He received a bachelor’s degree in economics from St. Olaf College in Northfield, Minnesota, and joined the investment banking unit of London-based Barclays in 2005. “One area that we put more weight on perhaps than others is the stock market,” he said in an interview. The 67 percent gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since a 12-year low on March 9 has helped shore up family balance sheets, putting Americans in a better position to spend. The prospects for a stronger rebound are consistent with recoveries from past recessions, he said. “We don’t believe this time is different from all other business cycles ,” said Maki. “The consensus view that growth will stay subdued all through next year — there’s no parallel to that in modern U.S. history.” Goldman More Pessimistic Maki’s forecast for 2010 is among the highest of the 58 economists in a Bloomberg News survey this month. He is more optimistic than Jan Hatzius , chief U.S. economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in New York, who was No. 1 among forecasters of GDP during the 12 months through June 2009. Hatzius, 41, estimates the economy will expand 2.4 percent in 2010, and his 2.5 percent first-quarter growth forecast is half the pace Maki anticipates. Ed McKelvey , who works with Hatzius, said the Goldman team forecasts “subpar growth” next year because “employers will be reluctant to hire” and households will exhibit “a bias toward higher saving .” Budget difficulties at state and local governments and credit constraints will also restrain the economy, he said. Maki’s projected 5 percent rate of expansion in the first quarter, the fastest since the same three months in 2006, will reflect the need for companies to replenish inventories cut at a record pace in the first nine months of this year. Stocking Shelves Ramped-up production to increase stockpiles and investment in equipment will propel the expansion early in the year, leading to employment gains that will bolster spending in the second half, he said. “Businesses overreacted to the downside during the recession,” said Maki, who says he tries to keep fit by playing tennis and jogging with his dogs. “As firms turn to expansion mode rather than survival mode, they start raising both employment and investment spending in a similar way.” A rebound in corporate spending may be one reason investors have been eager to snap up shares of industrial equipment makers. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Industrial Machinery Index , which includes Cleveland-based Eaton Corp., a producer of circuit breakers and fuel pumps, and Craftsman brand tool-maker Danaher Corp., based in Washington, has outperformed the broader measure, rising 35 percent so far this year, compared with a 25 percent increase for the S&P 500. Higher Treasury Yields Economic growth will push the yield on the 10-year Treasury note up to 4.5 percent by year-end, Maki said, compared with a yield of 3.8 percent at the end of last week. Maki says central bankers will lift the U.S. overnight bank lending rate target to 0.5 percent in the third quarter, from zero to 0.25 percent currently, and to 1 percent by year-end. His colleague at Barclays, David Woo, global head of foreign- exchange strategy, predicts the dollar will end 2010 around $1.40 per euro. Maki’s top position in the Bloomberg ranking is based on estimates submitted in January for GDP. He forecast that month a 2 percent expansion for the third quarter. The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.2 percent annual pace, according to a Dec. 22 Commerce Department report. He also predicted a 4.5 percent contraction for the first quarter of 2009, followed by a 1 percent decline in the period from April through June. The Commerce Department later reported contractions of 6.4 percent and 0.7 percent. Soss and Lonski Neal Soss , 60, chief economist at Credit Suisse in New York, was the second most-accurate forecaster of GDP over the first three quarters of 2009. He projects the economy will grow 3.3 percent next year. John Lonski , 58, chief economist at Moody’s Capital Markets Group in New York, was No. 3. He sees a 2.7 percent expansion. Robert MacIntosh , chief economist at Boston-based Eaton Vance Management, was the most pessimistic forecaster on employment this year — and the most accurate. He expected unemployment to reach 10 percent in the fourth quarter and average 9 percent this year. The rate fell to 10 percent in November from a 26-year high of 10.2 percent the previous month, according to the Labor Department. MacIntosh, 52, agrees with Maki that the economy will rebound in 2010, forecasting growth of 3.5 percent, and that the jobless rate will average 9.5 percent. ‘Decent-Looking Economy’ “The combination of exports, investment and consumption will be enough to give us, on paper at least, a decent-looking economy,” said MacIntosh, a graduate of Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts, with an MBA from Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire. He manages $4 billion in municipal bonds for Eaton Vance. He sees an “upward trend” in payrolls, with the first positive reading coming as early as January. The gains in hiring will lower unemployment “modestly,” he said. Hatzius and the economists at Goldman Sachs project the unemployment rate will average 10.3 percent next year, compared with a median estimate of 10 percent for 58 responses in this month’s survey. Bart van Ark , chief economist at the Conference Board, a New York-based research firm, forecasts a 10.4 percent average unemployment rate next year that he said will restrain household purchases. Van Ark, the best forecaster of consumer spending for the period from January through September, said he sees household purchases rising 1 percent in 2010 after falling 0.6 percent this year. Maki forecasts a 2.1 percent gain in 2010. “Even though we do see a pickup in recent quarters, it’s not a signal that the consumer is going to lead us out of the recession into solid growth territory,” said van Ark, a 49- year-old Dutch native. “The consumer cannot play that role” any longer. To contact the reporters on this story: Timothy R. Homan in Washington at thoman1@bloomberg.net Robert Willis in Washington at bwillis@bloomberg.net .

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Al-Qaeda’s Yemen-Based Arm Claims Responsibility for Attempted Jet Bombing

December 28, 2009

By Jonathan D. Salant Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula claimed responsibility for the Dec. 25 attempt to blow up a U.S. jetliner, according to IntelCenter, an Alexandria, Virginia- based group that monitors terrorist organizations. IntelCenter said in an e-mail that the organization’s two- page written claim included a photo of Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab , a 23-year-old Nigerian accused of carrying explosives onto a Northwest Airlines jet. He is accused of trying to detonate them as the plane approached Detroit. IntelCenter said the statement from Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula called the attempt “a huge blow to the myth of American and global intelligence services and showed how fragile its structure is.” Ben Venzke , chief executive officer of IntelCenter, said in a telephone interview that his group obtained the statement from the Internet. He wouldn’t specify the Web site, though he said the statement was released in the same manner that the al-Qaeda branch has released prior communications. Yesterday, IntelCenter said Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula threatened to retaliate for an air raid it said was carried out by U.S. jets. Five U.S. warplanes took part in the Dec. 17 strike in the southern province of Abyan, killing 49 civilians, the Al-Qaeda group said in a statement released late yesterday, according to an e-mail from IntelCenter. Yemen’s Defense Ministry said 34 suspected militants were killed in strikes that day in Abyan and near the capital Sana. “We shall avenge, God willing, the blood of innocent Muslim women and children,” the statement said, according to IntelCenter. To contact the reporter on this story: Jonathan D. Salant in Washington at jsalant@bloomberg.net .

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U.S. `Will Not Rest’ Until Northwest Air Bomb Plotters Found, Obama Says

December 28, 2009

By Nicholas Johnston and Roger Runningen Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama said “we will not rest” until the U.S. finds everyone responsible for a suspected terrorist’s alleged attempt to blow up an airliner on Christmas Day. “We will continue to use every element of our national power to disrupt, dismantle and defeat the violent extremists who threaten us,” said the president, who interrupted his vacation in Hawaii today to make his statement. Almost 300 passengers and crew could have been killed if the attack had been successful, he said. Federal authorities are investigating how a 23-year-old Nigerian man, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab , was able to board a Northwest Airlines flight in Amsterdam on Dec. 25 while carrying explosives, which he allegedly tried to detonate as the plane approached Detroit. Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula claimed responsibility for the attempt, according to IntelCenter, an Alexandria, Virginia-based group that monitors terrorist organizations. IntelCenter said in an e-mail that the organization’s written claim included a photo of Abdulmutallab. Obama’s statement was his first public comment since the incident three days ago. Yesterday two top administration officials, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano and press secretary Robert Gibbs , answered questions and reassured the public of air-travel safety. Conferred With Officials The president spoke at a U.S. Marine Corps base near his vacation home after conferring with Napolitano, Attorney General Eric Holder and John Brennan , the president’s counterterrorism and homeland security adviser. Napolitano said earlier today that the aviation-security system failed by allowing Abdulmutallab to board the flight. Although Abdulmutallab was on a watch list of more than 500,000 names because of possible ties to terrorist groups, he wasn’t subjected to additional security screening or barred from airline flights. Obama said he ordered a thorough review not only of how the suspect evaded the watch-list system, “but of the overall watch-list system and how it can be strengthened.” He also called for new scrutiny of screening policies and technologies. “We need to determine just how the suspect was able to bring dangerous explosives aboard an aircraft and what additional steps we can take to thwart future attacks,” Obama said. Security Rules Eased Some of the new security rules enacted after the attack, such as requiring passengers on international routes to the U.S. to stay in their seats for the final hour of the flight, are being relaxed. The Transportation Security Administration is now giving pilots the discretion to let passengers get up from their seats and access carry-on bags within an hour of landing, said a TSA official, who asked not to be identified because the information hasn’t been made public. Pilots can also let fliers keep pillows and blankets on their laps, the person said. The security administration advised that international passengers heading to the U.S. arrive at the airport an extra hour early, and that even domestic passengers should allow more time to go through security screening. Obama praised the “quick and heroic actions of passengers and crew” who helped subdue the suspect and put out the fire he started. The president vowed to keep up the pressure against terrorists seeking to attack the U.S. Shares Lower Shares of airline companies such as Northwest parent Delta Air Lines Inc., American Airlines parent AMR Corp. and United Airlines parent UAL Corp. fell in New York trading. Delta slid 48 cents, or 4.1 percent, to $11.29; AMR fell 39 cents, or 4.8 percent, to $7.75, and UAL slipped 45 cents, or 3.4 percent, to $12.64 at 4:01 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Delta and AMR are the world’s largest carriers, while UAL is No. 3 in the U.S. Makers of airport-security equipment, such as OSI Systems Inc. and L-3 Communications Holdings Inc., rose. OSI climbed the most in 11 months in Nasdaq trading to $2.45, up 11 percent, to $24.47 at 4 p.m. New York time in Nasdaq Stock Market trading. The percentage gain was the biggest since Jan. 29. L-3 rose $1.17, or 1.4 percent, to $86.80 in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. That was the highest closing price since October 2008. To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Honolulu at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Roger Runningen in Washington at rrunningen@bloomberg.net .

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Sumitomo Mitsui to Study Share Sale as Banks Urged to Boost Capital Ratios

December 28, 2009

By Finbarr Flynn and Takako Taniguchi Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. will consider whether to sell more stock after regulators called for tighter capital standards and larger rival Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. raised 1 trillion yen ($11 billion). “We have to stay competitive,” Sumitomo Mitsui President Teisuke Kitayama , 63, said in an interview at the Tokyo headquarters of Japan’s second-largest bank by market value. “It’s not a case of copying somebody, but we need to fully examine the matter to make sure we’re not slow off the block.” An agreement with shareholders not to sell new stock expired Dec. 21, freeing Sumitomo Mitsui to add to the 861 billion yen it raised in a share sale six months ago. Smaller competitor Mizuho Financial Group Inc. , which has the weakest capital among Japan’s major banks, is barred under a similar agreement from selling stock until Jan. 11. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision , seeking to avoid a repeat of the global financial crisis, said Dec. 17 that banks worldwide should increase the amount of equity and retained earnings they hold to better shield them from losses. Japanese lenders have weaker capital ratios than their global rivals and their shares have underperformed this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Japan’s Financial Services Agency said banks may have 10 years or more to comply with new capital standards. The Basel Committee won’t make final decisions until the end of 2010, as banks repair balance sheets weakened by $1.7 trillion of losses and writedowns during the credit crisis. Banks Can’t Hide The Topix Banks Index of 84 Japanese lenders has fallen 21 percent since Jan. 1, its fourth straight annual loss. The KBW Bank Index tracking 24 U.S. lenders including Bank of America Corp. slid 2.2 percent in the same period. “It is indisputable that, even though interim measures and transition periods will be put in place, banks will not be able to hide from tougher regulations,” Citigroup Inc. analysts Hironari Nozaki and Kana Saito said in a Dec. 18 report. Sumitomo Mitsui “is likely to raise capital.” Japanese banks’ weaker capital ratios are a legacy of more than $1 trillion of loan losses since the country’s property bubble burst in the early 1990s. Mitsubishi UFJ, Mizuho and Sumitomo Mitsui trail overseas peers such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and HSBC Holdings Plc in share capital, even after raising 2.8 trillion yen in stock sales in the past 12 months. Explanation Needed Sumitomo Mitsui had a Core Tier 1 ratio, an indicator of its ability to absorb losses, of 5.9 percent at the end of September, according to UBS AG. Mizuho’s ratio was 4.4 percent and that of Mitsubishi UFJ probably rose to 7.9 percent after its share sale this month, UBS has estimated. JPMorgan, the second-largest U.S. bank, had a Core Tier 1 ratio of 8.2 percent at the end of September and HSBC, Europe’s biggest bank, was at 8.8 percent on June 30. Should Sumitomo Mitsui choose to sell shares, it would have to demonstrate to investors how it can boost earnings per share in the next three to four years, Kitayama said. “We’d have to explain unambiguously to investors how this would lead to greater corporate value, and that is important,” he said. Sumitomo Mitsui’s shares have slumped 34 percent this year, after dropping 55 percent in 2008 and 31 percent in 2007, cutting its market value to 2.8 trillion yen. The share drop came even as it rebounded with two quarterly profits after posting a loss of 373.5 billion yen in the 12 months to March 31 on bad loans and declines in its stocks portfolio. Stock Holdings Kitayama also said the company must try to reduce its holdings of equities, citing stock market volatility as a risk for earnings. Sumitomo Mitsui’s banking unit held 1.98 trillion yen of stock investments at the end of September, according to its first-half financial report . Kitayama didn’t provide details on any planned reduction in the portfolio. Sumitomo Mitsui, which in October acquired Citigroup Inc.’s Nikko Cordial Securities Inc. and the underwriting divisions of Nikko Citigroup Ltd., will hire more bankers to boost its corporate and investment banking business, Kitayama said without providing more detail. “We want to be fully equipped in two or three years,” he said. To contact the reporters on this story: Finbarr Flynn in Tokyo at fflynn3@bloomberg.net Takako Taniguchi in Tokyo at ttaniguchi4@bloomberg.net

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UBS Said to Search New York-Area Market for Office Space as Prices Decline

December 28, 2009

By David M. Levitt Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — UBS AG , Switzerland’s biggest bank, is searching for as much as 800,000 square feet of New York-area office space, making it the biggest tenant shopping the market as rents fall, two people familiar with the plans said. The bank has about 5 million square feet in New York City, suburban New Jersey and Connecticut and is considering offices either in Manhattan or outlying areas as its existing leases expire, New York-based spokesman Kris Kagel said in an e-mail response to questions. “We have a number of leases that come up in 2013, so we have started to look at various options including new buildings, existing building, etc.,” Kagel said. “A decision probably won’t be reached for several months.” UBS already requested proposals from landlords, according to two people who spoke on condition of anonymity because the talks are private. The search could spark competition between commercial property owners in New York, where vacant office space has risen 57 percent since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy in September of 2008, the beginning of a wave of labor cuts. A building at 11 Times Square, a new 40-story skyscraper with 1.1 million square feet of offices, is completely unrented. Boston Properties Inc. postponed plans for another 1 million- square-foot tower in February after a law firm that had planned to take space there canceled. Rents for so-called Class A offices in Midtown fell 25 percent to an average of $66.75 a square foot in the 12 months ending in November, according to New York-based property brokerage Colliers ABR Inc. New Skyscraper? UBS’s options include becoming the anchor tenant of a new Manhattan skyscraper, or building or leasing existing space, said the people familiar with the bank’s search. The company has been in contact with “various” landlords in New York City and the New Jersey and Connecticut suburbs, Kagel said. “It would definitely be a boon to the landlord that lands them,” Robert Sammons , research director at Colliers, said in an e-mail. “ Manhattan rents are at or near their low point. It remains an ideal market for the tenant.” UBS’s biggest Manhattan offices are at 299 Park Ave. and 1285 Avenue of the Americas, both in midtown Manhattan. The bank also has wealth management offices at Lincoln Harbor in Weehawken, New Jersey. Kagel declined to say which leases are expiring first. UBS also occupies a trading complex in Stamford, Connecticut, which the bank says is the world’s largest trading floor at 103,000 square feet. The Stamford and Manhattan offices together house UBS’s U.S. investment-banking headquarters, Kagel said. To contact the reporter on this story: David M. Levitt in New York at dlevitt@bloomberg.net

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Nufarm Rejects Sinochem’s Reduced Takeover Bid; Sumitomo to Buy 20% Stake

December 28, 2009

By Victoria Batchelor Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — Nufarm Ltd. said it rejected a revised A$12 a share takeover offer from Sinochem Corp. in a statement to the Australian stock exchange today. Nufarm also said it has executed a memorandum of understanding with Sumitomo Chemical Co. and that its board recommended the proposal for Sumitomo to acquire 20 percent of shares in Nufarm for A$14 a share.

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Australia Shares Rise on Oil; Japan Exporters Climb in U.S. as Sony Gains

December 28, 2009

By Kana Nishizawa Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — Australian shares climbed after oil and metal prices rose while Japanese export-dependent stocks in the U.S. gained after the yen fell, boosting earnings outlooks. Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Australia’s second-biggest oil and gas producer, added 0.3 in Sydney. U.S.-traded receipts of Toyota Motor Corp., the world’s biggest carmaker which gets 31 percent of its revenue in North America, advanced 0.4 percent from the closing share price in Tokyo yesterday. Those of Sony Corp., Japan’s biggest exporter of televisions, advanced 0.2 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index climbed 0.1 percent today in Sydney. New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index advanced 0.5 percent in Wellington. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average expiring in March closed at 10,600 in Chicago yesterday, compared with 10,630 in Singapore. They were bid at 10,600 in the pre-market in Osaka, Japan, at 8:05 a.m. local time today. “High-technology stocks are likely to lead gains from the weakening yen,” said Fumiyuki Nakanishi , a strategist at Tokyo- based SMBC Friend Securities Co. “Commodity-related stocks are also likely to be bought.” The yen depreciated to as much as 91.68, from 91.54 at the close of stock trading in Tokyo yesterday. The currency fell yesterday against most of its 16 major counterparts on speculation Japanese investors will seek higher-yielding assets overseas. The weaker yen boosts the value of sales generated overseas in local terms for Japanese companies. Commodities Gain In New York, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advanced 0.1 percent yesterday, as rising metal and oil prices drove rallies in commodities producers. Crude oil for February delivery rose to a one-month high in New York yesterday, gaining 0.9 percent. Gold climbed for the third straight session, adding 0.3 percent. Copper futures for March delivery advanced to the highest price in more than 15 months, climbing 1.3 percent, on speculation that demand will strengthen and drain stockpiles. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has surged 70 percent from a more than five-year low on March 9, outpacing gains of 67 percent by the U.S. S&P 500 and 60 percent for Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index. Stocks in the MSCI Index are valued at an average of 22.6 times estimated earnings, compared with an average of 18.3 times for the S&P 500 and 15.8 for the Stoxx. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. , Japan’s second largest bank by market value, said it will consider whether to sell more stock after regulators called for tighter capital standards and larger rival Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. raised 1 trillion yen ($11 billion). Banks fell in New York yesterday after the Bank of Israel raised the benchmark interest rate for a third time by a quarter of a percentage point to 1.25 percent. To contact the reporter for this story: Kana Nishizawa in Tokyo at knishizawa5@bloomberg.net .

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Fannie mortgage holdings sink, delinquencies leap

December 28, 2009

Institutional Partners is the silent partner to commercial real estate companies, private equity firms, distressed debt companies, loan sale advisors, hedge funds and family offices. Institutional Partners provide companies with access …

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Video: BB&T’s Kasprzak Recommends Beacon Roofing, Great Lakes: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — John Kasprzak, an analyst at BB&T Capital Markets, talks with Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox about his investment strategy. Kasprzak also discusses prospects for Beacon Roofing Supply Inc. and Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp. (This is an excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Young Sees China Growth Peaking at 10% in First Quarter: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Alec Young, an equity market strategist at Standard & Poor’s, talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about the outlook for growth in China’s economy. Young also discusses Chinese and Brazilian stocks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Banks delaying recovery, N.Y. Conference told

December 28, 2009

Until U.S. banks are compelled to sell off distressed properties at significant losses, the retail property transactions market will remain in deadlock, executives said at ICSC’s New York National Conference this week. Plenty of money is sitting on

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Video: Townsend Sees More Losses for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Gary Townsend, president and co-founder of Hill-Townsend Capital LLC, talks with Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox about the U.S. Treasury Department’s removal of caps on $400 billion of combined federal assistance to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. (This is an excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Merkle Says Audi Will Be `Formidable Competitor’ to BMW: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Erich Merkle, president of consultant Autoconomy.com, talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about Volkswagen AG’s plan to compete with Bayerische Motoren Werke AG. Volkswagen’s Audi brand plans to add eight models by 2015 to challenge BMW as the world’s largest maker of luxury cars. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Evans Says U.S. Health Bills Potentially Irreconcilable: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Richard Evans, managing partner at Sector & Sovereign LLC, talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about the outlook for U.S. health-care legislation. Evans also discusses the impact of plans in Congress on the insurance industry and health-care costs. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: U.S. Stocks Advance as Commodities Producers Rally: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Courtney Donohoe reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. Stocks advanced, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its longest winning streak in almost two months, as rising metal and oil prices drove rallies in commodities producers and offset speculation that interest rates will increase. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Rendino Says Deficit, Terrorism `Headwinds’ to Markets: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Kevin Rendino, who manages about $10 billion at BlackRock Inc., talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about the outlook for the U.S. labor market and risks to the stock market and economy. Matt Shapiro, a trader at Stutland Equities LLC, also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Core-Mark Announces Organizational Changes to Its Senior Executive Team

December 28, 2009

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO, CA–(Marketwire – December 28, 2009) – Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. ( NASDAQ : CORE ), announced today a change in the roles of three members of its senior executive team. “These changes are designed to increase the strategic focus of the organization, to broaden the experience of its leadership and to strengthen its ability to meet the needs of its customers,” said J. Michael Walsh, Chief Executive Officer.

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Video: Barclays’s Maki Discusses Outlook for U.S. Labor Market: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Dean Maki, the chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc., talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about the outlook for the U.S. labor market. Maki is the most-accurate forecaster in a Bloomberg News survey. (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Keay Discusses Outlook for Airlines After Terror Attempt: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Hunter Keay, an analyst at Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., talks with Bloomberg Television about the outlook for airline stocks after a suspected terrorist’s attempt to blow up an airliner on Christmas Day. (This is an excerpt from the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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AP: Ponzi Busts Nearly Quadrupled In 2009

December 28, 2009

(AP — CURT ANDERSON) – It was a rough year for Ponzi schemes. In 2009, the recession unraveled nearly four times as many of the investment scams as fell apart in 2008, with “Ponzi” becoming a buzzword again thanks to the collapse of Bernard Madoff’s $50 billion plot. Tens of thousands of investors, some of them losing their life’s savings, watched more than $16.5 billion disappear like smoke in 2009, according to an Associated Press analysis of scams in all 50 states. While the dollar figure was lower than in 2008, that’s only because Madoff — who pleaded guilty earlier this year and is serving a 150-year prison sentence — was arrested in December 2008 and didn’t count toward this year’s total. In all, more than 150 Ponzi schemes collapsed in 2009, compared to about 40 in 2008, according to the AP’s examination of criminal cases at all U.S. attorneys’ offices and the FBI, as well as criminal and civil actions taken by state prosecutors and regulators at both the federal and state levels. The 2009 scams ranged in size from a few hundred thousand dollars to the $7 billion bogus international banking empire authorities say jailed financier Allen Stanford orchestrated, as well as the $1.2 billion scheme they say was operated by disbarred Florida lawyer Scott Rothstein. Both have pleaded not guilty. While enforcement efforts have ramped up — in large part because of the discovery of Madoff’s fraud, estimated at $21 billion to $50 billion — the main reason so many Ponzi schemes have come to light is clear. “The financial meltdown has resulted in the exposure of numerous fraudulent schemes that otherwise might have gone undetected for a longer period of time,” said Lanny Breuer, assistant attorney general for the U.S. Justice Department’s criminal division. A Ponzi scheme depends on a constant infusion of new investors to pay older ones and furnish the cash for the scammers’ lavish lifestyles. This year, when the pool of people willing to become new investors shrank and existing investors clamored to withdraw money, scams collapsed across the country. “Some portion of the investors in the Ponzi scheme always get the short end of the stick and do not get paid,” said Elizabeth Nowicki, a former Securities and Exchange Commission attorney who now teaches law at Boston University. Even those who say they did their homework before investing ended up losing everything. A retired Air Force sergeant, Tom Annis searched the Internet for red flags like complaints or lawsuits involving Minneapolis-based host Patrick Kiley after hearing about his investment on a weekly Christian radio show called “Follow The Money.” Finding none, the 63-year-old from Jacksonville, Fla., invested his $270,000 nest egg — money that has since evaporated after federal regulators shut down what they’ve called an elaborate, $190 million Ponzi scheme. “I tried to do my level of due diligence,” Annis said. “How could I be duped like this after years of investing?” Ponzi schemes, named for infamous swindler Charles Ponzi, are extremely simple: Investors attracted by promises of high profits are paid with money from an ever-increasing pool of new investors, with the scammer skimming off the top. Sometimes the investments are at least partially legitimate but more often are completely fictional. There’s no reserve fund for lean times, or for when droves of investors start demanding their money. Ponzi himself was an Italian immigrant who concocted a scheme in 1919 involving bogus investments in postal currency. He cheated thousands of people out of $10 million, eventually going to jail for wire fraud before being deported back to Italy in 1934. Eighty years after his scheme, federal statistics paint the picture of a Ponzi nation: _The FBI opened more than 2,100 securities fraud investigations in 2009, up from 1,750 in 2008. The FBI also had 651 agents working in 2009 on high-yield investment fraud cases, which include Ponzis, compared with 429 last year. _The SEC this year issued 82 percent more restraining orders against Ponzi schemes and other securities fraud cases this year than in 2008, and it opened about 6 percent more investigations. Ponzi scheme investigations now make up 21 percent of the SEC’s enforcement workload, compared with 17 percent in 2008 and 9 percent in 2005. _The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed 31 civil actions in Ponzi cases this year, more than twice the 2008 amount. Many of the 2009 cases have yet to head to trial. In its tally, the AP counted schemes in which prosecutions were initiated or in which regulators filed civil cases in 2008 and 2009. The Justice Department does not have totals of how many people were convicted in Ponzi schemes for either year, or for previous years. Experts believe the recession was the main reason for the collapse of so many Ponzi schemes, though the Madoff case brought greater regulatory scrutiny and heightened public awareness. More people are inclined to raise questions when things don’t look right. “We do get a lot more questions from investors now,” said Denise Voigt Crawford, Texas Securities Comissioner. “They are really worried about Ponzi schemes. That’s a good thing.”

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Lisa Earle McLeod: Emotions Count: Five Tough Leaderhip Lessons For 2010

December 28, 2009

We’ve all been told not to bring our emotions to the work. But the idea that feelings don’t belong in the office is one of the biggest myths in business today. If you want passionate customers, excited employees and motivated managers, how are you going create them if you don’t engage with people on an emotional basis? Like it or not, feelings count. The way people feel affects everything that they do. As we wrap up what Time Magazine referred to as “The Decade from Hell,” here are a few tough lessons we need to take into 2010. 1. Face Fear Fear is a paralyzing emotion. But you can’t make it go away by ignoring it or stuffing it down. It’s time to get the fear on the table and deal with it. Leaders have to acknowledge the angst in the air if we’re going to move past it. Speaking the truth about fear doesn’t make it worse; it enables people to deal with it. 2. Make Peace with Ambiguity The reality is, you can’t promise bonuses next year. You don’t know how the market may turn. We don’t even know what’s going to be invented in the next decade. You’ve got to be able to function in the face of uncertainty, and you’ve got to teach your people the discipline of doing the same. People still need goals, but the organizations that succeed in 2010 and beyond will be ones that are nimble, flexible and can turn on a dime. 3. No Secrets It’s a transparent world. You can no longer hide information about your compensation plan, a bad product or even a single bad customer or employee experience. Thanks to the Internet, the Sarasota grandma who thinks your CEO makes too much money and that your customer service people are rude is now empowered to create a YouTube video about her grievances and tweet it out to all her peeps. Lest you think your texts or e-mails are safe, ask Tiger Woods how much losing Gatorade cost him. Save yourself a scandal; don’t do anything you’ll need to cover up later. 4. Connectivity Is Key You’ve got to communicate authentically (and kindly) with everyone in your organization and outside it. Customers now know your product or company, warts and all, thanks to technology, so you need to learn to use it to your benefit. The Internet didn’t de-personalize the world; in many ways, it personalized it more. Companies can no longer treat the general public like one big, slobbering uber-consuming mass. You’ve got to make interpersonal connections with people if you want them to buy into you or your organization. 5. The “L” Word In the end, it all comes down to love. If you want your customers to love your product, your employees to love their jobs and the market to love your organization, you’ve got to be the one putting the love in before you can expect to get any back out. The situation we’re living with today is a direct result of the emotional climate we’ve created over the last 10 years. Choose greed, you get this. Choose love, and you’ll start creating something much better. Lisa Earle McLeod is an author, syndicated columnist and inspirational thought-leader. Her newest book is The Triangle of Truth: The Surprisingly Simple Secret to Resolving Conflicts Large and Small. (WATCH VIDEO) A popular keynote speaker, Lisa is principal of McLeod & More, Inc., a training and consulting firm specializing in sales, leadership and conflict management. www.TriangleofTruth.com

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2009: Worst Year Ever? (Finance and Commerce)

December 28, 2009

For most commercial real estate professionals, this year can’t end soon enough. There’s general agreement that 2009 was the toughest year in the business in recent memory. But was 2009 the worst year ever for commercial real estate?

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Incentium Appoints Tom Venable as Senior Vice President of Sales

December 28, 2009

CHATTANOOGA, TN–(Marketwire – December 28, 2009) – Incentium, formerly VIPGift, announced today the appointment of Thomas Venable as Senior Vice President of Sales. Venable brings twenty five years of sales and executive leadership experience to his new role. “We’re excited to have Tom on board,” said Richard Char, Company President and CEO. “In the last twelve months, we’ve completely revamped our sales team to more effectively serve our growing client base. We’ve assigned a dozen new Sales Directors to various enterprise clients and industry verticals, we’ve created a Middle Market team to serve our medium-sized businesses, and we also recently launched a new Small to Medium Business website. Tom’s extensive sales management experience will be critical to helping us reach new markets and customers.”

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Mike A. Hall: Solar Made in China — Opportunity (Not Crisis) for American Solar Industry

December 28, 2009

When I started working in the photovoltaic (PV) industry in late 2002, the Chinese were nowhere to be seen. On a recent trip to China, my executive team and I were blown away by the number of billboards for solar cells and modules while traveling between Shanghai and Wuxi. I’m going to go out on a limb and say there are more billboards for solar cells and modules between Shanghai and Wuxi then there are in all of North America. We thought the U.S. was the new hub of solar innovation today, but we couldn’t recall ever seeing this many billboards advertising solar in the U.S. As one of the larger developers of solar PV projects in the U.S., we felt like we knew all of the players. It is rare that we encounter a module manufacturer that is not already on our radar. What was amazing about the drive outside of Shanghai is that we came across so many advertisements for solar companies that we had never heard of. Although we already believed this to be true, this trip proved to us that China has taken the lead in solar cell manufacturing.a position the country will NOT be giving up any time soon. As I mentioned, less than a decade ago, China was not a player in the global solar industry. Although companies like Suntech and Yingli did exist, we never saw any of their products in the marketplace. In the early days, the Japanese providers dominated the market, and a few years later the German manufacturers — supported by tremendous government incentives for both system installation and manufacturing — were able to move to the top of the heap. Even as late as 2007 the Chinese were not considered major suppliers in the U.S. Now, two years later, the Chinese boast the largest manufacturer by capacity as well as at least four other companies that are generally considered to be top-tier global suppliers of PV modules. Behind them, there are reportedly hundreds of second-tier solar cell and module manufacturers trying to export their products to Europe and North America. The solar center of gravity has shifted from Europe to China. There are a number of causes for China’s rapid ascension. First is the simple manufacturing cost advantage that the Chinese have over Europe and the U.S. Chinese companies have an extremely low cost for both skilled and unskilled labor. Conversations I had in China revealed that the salary of a Chinese engineer is about one-tenth of that of an equivalent employee in the U.S., and factory workers in China earn salaries that are an even smaller percentage than that of their U.S. counterparts. Second, the Chinese government appears to have committed 100 percent financially to becoming the world leader in solar manufacturing. Chinese banks have been aggressive about lending to companies up and down the solar supply chain. For example, there have been a large number of investments in very expensive polysilicon manufacturing plants, which is the basis for most solar cell technologies. These would not have been possible without major backing from Chinese government-controlled banks. More recently, when the global demand for solar modules took a big dip in late 2008, the Chinese government stepped in and quickly created an incentive program in order to drive domestic demand. Over the last five quarters, this support has allowed these companies to continue to focus on growth while many other companies across the globe were focused on survival. Ultimately, I believe it is important that the U.S. accepts that China is going to manufacture the majority of the world’s solar cells and modules. That said, the U.S. is still well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for solar energy. For example, two of the most innovative and successful solar companies in the world are still based in the U.S. First Solar (headquarters in Arizona) is the largest (by market cap) pure-play solar company in the world and has developed a thin-film technology that has a cost advantage over all of its competitors. Sunpower (headquarters in California) has developed the highest efficiency cell on the market. Although neither of these companies do the majority of their manufacturing in the U.S., they are going to be among the greatest beneficiaries of the growth in global solar demand. There is also an incredible opportunity to create domestic jobs, lower carbon emissions and lessen our nation’s dependence on foreign energy by stimulating the construction of solar PV systems in the U.S. The model of creating domestic demand and then creating service companies that become exporters of solar services has been a tremendous success in Germany, which is home to the largest solar service providers in the world. Overall, the U.S. is well-positioned to be a world leader in the rapidly growing PV industry. We have the innovation machine, financial community and domestic solar resources to make it happen. We just need to choose our battles, and devise a strategy that plays to our strengths.

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Sustainable Power Corp. Board of Directors Appoints Michael Garjian as Chairman of the Board, Chief Technology Officer, and Vice-Chairman of the…

December 28, 2009

BAYTOWN, TX–(Marketwire – December 28, 2009) – Sustainable Power Corp. ( PINKSHEETS : SSTP ) announced today that its Board of Directors has appointed Michael Garjian as Chairman of the Board, Chief Technology Officer, and Vice-Chairman of the Scientific and Technical Advisory Board. Following this board action, John H. Rivera, SSTP’s majority stockholder, announced the transfer, by proxy, of all his stock voting rights to Mr. Garjian. “With this action, I am excited and confident that SSTP will continue to achieve everything I have been hoping for during my decades of development work,” announced Rivera, who is now focusing his efforts on innovations that will further the success of SSTP.

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Cascade Microtech Announces Appointment of Interim Executive Vice President

December 28, 2009

Company Reaffirms Revenue Guidance for Fourth Quarter Ending December 31, 2009

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Finisar Corporation Appoints Tom Pardun as New Director

December 28, 2009

SUNNYVALE, CA–(Marketwire – December 28, 2009) – Finisar Corporation ( NASDAQ : FNSR ), a technology leader in fiber optic solutions for high-speed networks, today announced that the Board of Directors has appointed Thomas E. Pardun to fill an existing vacancy on the Board. Morgan Jones of Battery Ventures, who had served as a member of our Board since the completion of the Optium merger in August 2008, previously announced his decision not to stand for re-election at the Company’s annual meeting of stockholders held on November 18, 2009. Finisar’s Board consists of nine directors who are elected to staggered three-year terms. Mr. Pardun will serve as a director until the annual meeting of stockholders in 2012.

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Optimistic Economist Brian Wesbury’s Upbeat 2010 Predictions

December 28, 2009

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Economics is known as the dismal science, but not every economist is a pessimist. Brian Wesbury might be one of the more optimistic forecasters out there. He’s proud of being dubbed “Mr. Sunshine” by well-known short-seller Doug Kass. The chief economist at First Trust Advisors, a Chicago asset manager, Wesbury has one of the most bullish assessments on the economy. His new book trumpets that optimism in its title: “It’s Not As Bad As You Think.”

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Video: Barton Biggs Discusses Outlook for U.S. Stocks, Dollar: Video

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Barton Biggs, managing partner at Traxis Partners LP, talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about the outlook for U.S. stocks and the dollar. (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Tiger Woods Infidelity Scandal May Cost Investors $12 Billion, Study Says

December 28, 2009

By Brad Skillman Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Shareholders of Tiger Woods sponsors, including Nike Inc, may have lost as much as $12 billion in the wake of Woods’s decision to take a break from golf after admitting he’d been unfaithful to his wife, researchers at the University of California, Davis, said in a statement.

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Israel Will Build Almost 700 Homes in Jerusalem, Prompting U.S. Criticism

December 28, 2009

By Gwen Ackerman Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Israel plans to build almost 700 homes in three areas of Jerusalem outside the city’s 1967 border to help alleviate a housing shortage, the Housing Ministry said today. The decision to add 692 new homes brings to 1,600 the number approved by Israel in the past six weeks in parts of the city captured from Jordan in the 1967 war. The U.S. condemned the plan in a statement from a presidential spokesman. Israeli construction in east Jerusalem, which Palestinians seek as a capital of a future state, has been criticized by the U.S. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced a 10- month construction freeze in West Bank settlements last month, while excluding Jerusalem from the move. “We are not looking to goad the U.S.,” Housing Minister Ariel Atias said on Israel Army Radio. “All of the governments of Israel have built in Jerusalem for the past 20 years. Not one government has frozen construction in the city.” The U.S. opposes new Israeli building in East Jerusalem, Robert Gibbs , President Barack Obama ’s press secretary, said in a statement today. “Neither party should engage in efforts or take actions that could unilaterally pre-empt, or appear to pre-empt, negotiations,” Gibbs said. Construction Consequences When Israel announced plans last month to build 900 new homes in Gilo, an area outside the 1967 boundaries, Obama said settlement building could have “dangerous” consequences. Palestinian chief negotiator Saeb Erakat said that the road-map peace plan sponsored by the U.S., the United Nations, Europe and Russia demanded Israeli building stop in all areas where Palestinians sought a state. “The United States must understand that the current policy of the Israeli government is to back settlement-building and not peace,” Erakat said in an e-mailed statement. After capturing East Jerusalem, Israel annexed it as part of its capital in a move that was never internationally recognized. Netanyahu has said that Jerusalem won’t be divided and will remain under Israeli sovereignty. Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has rejected the freeze announced by Netanyahu as insufficient and has said he won’t return to the negotiating table unless Israel announces a total halt to all West Bank settlement construction. To contact the reporter on this story: Gwen Ackerman in Jerusalem at gackerman@bloomberg.net .

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Obama Says `We Will Not Rest’ Until Northwest Air Bomb Plotters Are Found

December 28, 2009

By Nicholas Johnston and Roger Runningen Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama said “we will not rest” until the U.S. finds everyone responsible for a suspected terrorist’s alleged attempt to blow up an airliner on Christmas Day. “We will continue to use every element of our national power to disrupt, dismantle and defeat the violent extremists who threaten us,” said the president, who interrupted his vacation in Hawaii today to make his statement. Nearly 300 passengers and crew could have been killed, he said. Federal authorities are investigating how a 23-year-old Nigerian man, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab , was able to board a Northwest Airlines flight in Amsterdam on Dec. 25 while carrying explosives, which he allegedly tried to detonate as the plane approached Detroit. Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula claimed responsibility for the attempted attack and said it was in retaliation for a U.S. operation against the group in Yemen, the Associated Press reported today, citing a statement by the group posted on the Internet. Obama spoke after conferring earlier today with Attorney General Eric Holder , Secretary of Homeland Security Janet Napolitano and John Brennan , the president’s counterterrorism and homeland security adviser. Napolitano said earlier today that the aviation-security system failed by allowing Abdulmutallab to board the flight. Obama has already called for a review of procedures for U.S. terrorist watch lists and of airport screening capabilities. Although Abdulmutallab was on one watch list of more than 500,000 names because of possible ties to terrorist groups, he was not subjected to additional security screening or barred from airline flights. “What I would say is that our system did not work in this instance,” Napolitano said on NBC’s “Today” show. “No one is happy or satisfied with that. An extensive review is underway.” To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Honolulu at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Roger Runningen in Washington at rrunningen@bloomberg.net .

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China Railway, Tongling Bid $651 Million for Canada’s Corriente Resources

December 28, 2009

By Bloomberg News Dec. 29 (Bloomberg) — China Railway Construction Corp. and Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Holdings Co. offered C$679 million ($651 million) for Canada’s Corriente Resources Inc. to gain copper resources in South America. Corriente shareholders will receive C$8.60 per share in cash, China Railway said in a statement to the Hong Kong stock exchange yesterday. That’s 14 percent more than the last traded price of the Vancouver-based company. China’s biggest railroad builder and Tongling, the nation’s second-largest copper producer, would gain mining rights to 17 deposits in southeast Ecuador. China has been scouring the globe for raw materials to sustain the world’s fastest-growing major economy, buying assets from iron-ore mines in Brazil to oil fields in Canada in the past year. The acquisition “is in line with the long-term strategy of the company,” Beijing-based China Railway said in the statement. The company “has added development of mineral resources as one of its principal operations,” it said. Corriente shares closed at C$7.55 on the Toronto stock exchange on Dec. 24 and have risen 102 percent in the past year. Canadian markets were closed for a holiday yesterday. China Railway dropped 0.3 percent to HK$9.87 in Hong Kong trading before the announcement. The stock has fallen 14 percent in the past year. Tongling stock, which has more than tripled in the past 12 months, rose 2.7 percent on the Shenzhen stock exchange . Mining Rights Corriente’s main assets include mining rights in the Corriente Copper Belt in Ecuador, covering 17 deposits in the four main mining regions of Mirador, Mirador Norte, Panantza and San Carlos, China Railway said in the statement. Copper reserves in the four deposits are about 11.54 million tonnes, according to the statement. Corriente said in May that it planned to spend $418 million on start-up of its Mirador mine and was in talks with a partner that might invest as much as $3 billion. Corriente’s reserves in Ecuador hold about $50 billion worth of copper based on prices of about $2 a pound, Ian Harris , the company’s country manager, said then. Copper for March delivery was at $3.319 a pound at 9:32 a.m. local time on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex unit. The metal has more than doubled this year as China’s imports reached records in the first half. Corriente is also involved in exploration and development of gold, silver and molybdenum mines, according to China Railway’s statement. Zijin Purchase China’s currency regulator, which oversees the country’s $2.27 trillion of foreign-exchange reserves, said on Dec. 8 it will “actively support” companies investing overseas. Zijin Mining Group Co., China’s third-largest copper producer on Dec. 1 agreed to pay $500 million for Indophil Resources NL to gain a stake in Southeast Asia’s largest untapped copper and gold deposit. Overseas investment by Chinese companies surged 190 percent to $20.5 billion in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to the Ministry of Commerce. China Railway and Tongling’s venture, CRCC-Tongguan Investment Co. will finance its offer for Corriente through bank loans and internal resources, the statement said. The acquisition is subject to acceptance by shareholders representing a minimum of two-thirds of Corriente shares, China Railway said in the statement. The takeover is also subject to government approval in China and Canada, it said. For Related News and Information: To contact the reporter on this story: Nerys Avery in Beijing at Navery2@bloomberg.net

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AIG Rises Most in S&P 500 Index After Aid Cap on Freddie, Fannie Is Lifted

December 28, 2009

By Jamie McGee Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — American International Group Inc. , recipient of a $182.3 billion taxpayer-funded rescue, gained the most in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index after the government removed caps on aid to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. The U.S. Treasury Department said on Dec. 24 it would provide assistance to the two mortgage financers as needed for the next three years, after giving the companies a combined $400 billion lifeline. New York-based AIG’s rescue helped the insurer survive losses related to the subprime mortgage crisis. “The assumption is that with the government owning effectively 80 percent of AIG, they will do the same thing and they will backstop everything in AIG’s book,” said Malcolm Polley , chief investment officer at Stewart Capital Advisors LLC in Indiana, Pennsylvania, which oversees about $1 billion. “A lot of people are grasping at straws trying to find a way they can justify having paid what they paid for AIG if they bought it recently or continuing to own AIG if they never sold it.” AIG rose $1.88, or 6.2 percent, to $32 at 12:38 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Earlier today it hit $32.80, the insurer’s highest price this month. Freddie Mac climbed 26 cents, or 20 percent, to $1.52 and Fannie Mae rose 18 cents, or 17 percent, to $1.23. Short Sellers “If AIG holds a lot of Freddie and Fannie paper, this could end up helping their assets as well,” said Jud Pyle , a market analyst at Chicago-based options trading firm PEAK6 Investments LP. “I still wouldn’t put my money in AIG. There are better places to put it, but this could cause people who are short it to think twice.” A short position is a bet the stock will decline. Mark Herr , a spokesman for the insurer, didn’t immediately return a call seeking comment. AIG has reported two straight quarterly profits after bad bets on subprime mortgages contributed to more than $100 billion in net losses in the 18 months ended March 31. The insurer’s stock traded at more than $1,400 a share at the end of 2006. The insurer’s $182.3 billion rescue includes a $60 billion Federal Reserve credit line , a Treasury Department investment of as much as $69.8 billion, and up to $52.5 billion to buy mortgage-linked assets owned or backed by the company. AIG agreed to turn over a stake of almost 80 percent in connection with its September, 2008 bailout. To contact the reporter on this story: Jamie McGee in New York at jmcgee8@bloomberg.net .

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JPMorgan’s Dimon Said to Call Darling to Protest U.K.’s 50% Tax on Bonuses

December 28, 2009

By Elizabeth Hester Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon told U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling that his 50 percent tax on banker bonuses would unfairly penalize the U.S. lender, a person close to the firm said. Dimon, 53, mentioned plans to build a 1.5 billion pound ($2.4 billion) European headquarters in London’s Canary Wharf as an example of the New York-based firm’s commitment to the city, the person said. Dimon reiterated that the bank, the second-biggest U.S. lender by assets and deposits, paid British taxes and didn’t take a U.K. taxpayer bailout, the person said, declining to be identified because the conversation was private. The telephone call was made after Darling on Dec. 9 imposed a 50 percent tax on discretionary bonuses greater than 25,000 pounds at all banks operating in the U.K. The tax, which the Treasury says will raise more than 550 million pounds, covers about 20,000 people in the U.K. The Dimon phone conversation with Darling was reported earlier today by the London Telegraph. JPMorgan spokesman David Wells declined to comment. A U.K. Treasury spokesman today defended the tax as fair because it would be applied to all banks and said he couldn’t confirm whether the conversation took place. The U.K. Treasury is working with banks to identify employees who are excluded from the tax, and Darling said Dec. 16 he will resist calls to change the policy. He suggested banks’ complex operations won’t allow them to escape the levy by arguing that some activities aren’t defined as banking. JPMorgan paid 237 million pounds in November 2008 to acquire land in London’s Canary Wharf financial district to build a 1.9 million square foot (176,500-square-meter) tower. Under the agreement with Canary Wharf’s owners, who will build the offices, JPMorgan can scale back the size of the project. The planned headquarters will house JPMorgan employees from seven other buildings after the bank scrapped plans to build its new head office in London’s main financial district. To contact the reporter on this story: Elizabeth Hester in New York at ehester@bloomberg.net

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U.S. Holiday Retail Sales Rise 3.6%, Rebounding From Worst Year Since 1970

December 28, 2009

By Cotten Timberlake and Linda Sandler (Corrects ICSC holiday forecast in ninth paragraph.) Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. retail sales rose an estimated 3.6 percent this holiday season as online gift-buying, last- minute spending and an extra shopping day spurred a recovery from last year, the worst in four decades. A jump in purchases the week before Christmas helped year- over-year electronics sales increase 5.9 percent from Nov. 1 to Dec. 24, MasterCard Advisors’ SpendingPulse said in a statement. Jewelry and luxury sales also gained, the research firm said. The increase may signal that revenue at retailers will beat trade groups’ forecasts for the two-month period ending Jan. 2. Shoppers resumed purchasing this season as consumer confidence rebounded from a record low in February. “We saw a nice little surge toward the end of the season,” with the pace picking up Dec. 22, 23 and 24, said Michael McNamara , a vice president for research and analysis at SpendingPulse, in a Bloomberg Television interview today. “Last year, we were in critical condition, this year, in stable.” Retailers also recorded an extra day of sales because there were 28 days between Thanksgiving and Christmas this year compared with 27 last year. Excluding the extra day would temper the increase “anywhere from 2 percent to 4 percent,” SpendingPulse said. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. , the world’s largest retailer, gained 13 cents to $53.73 at 11:46 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Macy’s Inc. , the second-largest U.S. department store company, jumped 42 cents, or 2.4 percent, to $17.99. The 30-member Standard & Poor’s 500 retail index rose 0.5 percent to 419.71. ‘Improving Faster’ “Consumer sentiment for higher-income folks has been improving faster as of late,” David Schick , an analyst with Stifel Nicolaus & Co., said in a telephone interview today. “That is driving some of the better spending coupled with the fact that we are comparing with a dramatic drop-off in the more discretionary categories last year.” The SpendingPulse estimate for Nov. 1 to Dec. 24 excludes automotive and gasoline sales, the Purchase, New York-based researcher said in an e-mail yesterday. SpendingPulse measures retail sales across all payment forms, including cash and checks. The firm didn’t disclose dollar spending totals. Holiday Forecasts SpendingPulse doesn’t forecast holiday sales. The Washington-based National Retail Federation has predicted a 1 percent decline, to $437.6 billion. The International Council of Shopping Centers, another trade group, anticipates a 1 percent increase in sales at stores open at least a year. The ICSC forecast a 2 percent gain in sales for December only. The NRF’s measure is based on U.S. Commerce Department retail sales data, excluding auto dealers, gas stations and restaurants. The NRF releases holiday results after the Commerce Department announces its December data on Jan. 14. The ICSC will report the retail chains’ latest weekly results tomorrow. Retailers will report December sales — the period ending Jan. 2 — on Jan. 7. Last year holiday sales fell 3.4 percent, according to the NRF. The 2008 season was the worst since New York-based ICSC started recording sales four decades ago. This season, online sales jumped 18 percent from Nov. 27 to Dec. 24, according to SpendingPulse. “People were more comfortable doing last-minute shopping online, especially with the bad weather,” Kamalesh Rao , director of economic research for SpendingPulse, said in a telephone interview yesterday. A snowstorm on the East Coast the weekend before Christmas closed some malls early on Dec. 19 and kept shoppers at home. Jewelry sales rose 5.6 percent for November and December, while luxury retail excluding jewelry gained 0.8 percent, SpendingPulse said. “Holiday 2009 can be described in one word, ‘Adequate,’” Marshal Cohen , the chief retail industry analyst at Port Washington, New York-based NPD Group Inc., said today. To contact the reporters on this story: Linda Sandler in New York at lsandler@bloomberg.net ; Cotten Timberlake in Washington at ctimberlake@bloomberg.net

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Fed’s New Strategy To Combat Inflation – Let Banks Open CD Accounts At The Fed

December 28, 2009

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve on Monday proposed allowing banks to set up the equivalent of certificates of deposit at the central bank, a move that would help the Fed mop up money pumped into the economy and prevent inflation from taking off later. Under the proposal, the Fed would offer so-called “term deposits” that would pay interest. Doing so would provide banks with another incentive to park their money at the Fed, rather than having it flow back into the economy. The proposal comes as no surprise. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and other Fed officials have repeatedly said the creation of so-called “term deposits” – essentially the equivalent of CDs for banks – would be one of several tools the Fed could use to drain money from the economy when the time is right. Against that backdrop, the Fed said the proposal “has no implications for monetary policy decisions in the near term.” With both the economy and the financial system on the mend, the Fed this year started to wind down and scale back some emergency lending programs. Many of those programs were set up at the height of the financial crisis in the fall of 2008 when some credit markets virtually shut down. Lending conditions have improved but still aren’t back to normal. They continue to restrain the economic recovery. The Fed’s balance sheet has ballooned to $2.2 trillion, reflecting the creation of lending programs intended to ease the financial crisis. That’s more than double the pre-crisis level. The Fed will need to mop up that money or it could trigger inflation down the road. The Fed proposed that the interest rate paid on the term deposit be set through an auction mechanism. Banks wanting to hold a term deposit would bid in regularly scheduled competitive auctions. The banks would indicate both the interest rate at which they are willing to be paid and the amount of money they want to deposit into the account at that interest rate. Given that process, it’s unclear now what the rates on the accounts would be. The Fed said it anticipated term deposits with “relatively short maturities” likely ranging between one and six months. It said deposit maturities wouldn’t exceed one year, and no early withdrawals of money in the accounts would be allowed. The public, the banking industry and other interested parties will be given an opportunity to weigh in on the proposal. The plan could be revised before a final rule is adopted. Most economists don’t believe the Fed will start raising its key bank lending rate, which also influences a range of consumer lending rates, until the middle of next year. At its meeting earlier this month, the Fed kept rates at record low and pledged to hold them there for an “extended period” to foster the recovery. Separately, in a weekly report issued Monday, the Fed said banks cut back on emergency loans from the central bank, a fresh sign credit problems have eased. The Fed said banks averaged $18.7 billion in daily borrowing over the week ending Dec. 23. That was a decrease of $344 million from the prior week. Banks also drew fewer short-term loans – just $75.9 billion – from another Fed program called the term auction credit facility. That marked a decrease of $9.9 billion from the previous week.

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Jamie Dimon Reportedly Entreated British Politician To Reconsider U.K. Bonus Tax

December 28, 2009

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon told U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling that his 50 percent tax on banker bonuses would unfairly penalize the U.S. lender, a person close to the firm said.

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Tiger Woods Scandal: $12 BILLION Fallout?

December 28, 2009

Tiger Woods has destroyed $12 billion in stock value since his post-Thanksgiving car accident, according to a new study from two University of California, Davis economics professors. The study estimates that Gatorade, Nike and Electronic Arts have suffered the most, while Accenture “experienced no ill effects following the accident.” Woods’ sponsors have engaged in a flurry of activity over the past month as his list of alleged mistresses continued to grow. Gatorade announced it was discontinuing its Tiger Focus beverage , although it claimed the decision was already in the works before the scandal broke. Gillette said it would “limit [Woods'] role in our marketing programs” earlier in the month, and Accenture dropped Woods as the scandal widened. Watchmaker Tag Heuer initially indicated that it would ” downscale ” Woods’ role in the company’s advertising, but has since prominently displayed him on its web site, along with the text “TAG HEUER stands with TIGER WOODS.”

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Investor Confidence Improves after Dubai World Episode

December 28, 2009

Capital, the UAE’s biggest investment bank, said investor confidence was dented due to the November 25 surprise debt restructuring announcement by Dubai World. But optimism has returned, although only partially, after the repayment of a $4.1 billion

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10 Jobs Expected To Get A Pay Raise In 2010: Report

December 28, 2009

In a recent look at the IT and finance industries, Robert Half researchers identified 10 fields where pay overall is steady or rising, and starting salaries in 2010 will be more generous than average.

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PHIGroup Provides Update on Special Dividend Distribution

December 28, 2009

LOS ANGELES and FRANKFURT, Germany, Dec. 28, 2009 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — PHIGroup, Inc. (OTCBB:PHIE) (Frankfurt:PR7) (XETRA:PR7) (WKN A0RNQV), a company engaged in the development and management of real estate properties, mining interests and consulting, merger and acquisition advisory services, today provides an update on the special dividend distribution of Philand Ranch Limited stock (Frankfurt:1P8) (XETRA:1P8) to the company’s eligible shareholders of record.

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David Sirota: What Happens When We Can’t Trust the Media/Economic Verifiers?

December 28, 2009

This month, a British government report admitted that one of the major rationales for invading Iraq — the claim that Saddam could deploy WMDs in 45 minutes — probably came from a cab driver. Had the public originally been told about this sketchy sourcing, there may have been a more, ahem, forceful mass opposition to preemptive war in the Middle East. It’s a good lesson about the need for transparency. We cannot fully snuff out spin, and we will never be able to guarantee perfect results from policy choices. But we can increase the chances for successful societal decision-making when we at least know the facts. That’s the common sense rationale behind our sunshine laws. While courts say we can’t ban politicians from raising private money, we can force politicians to disclose who their benefactors are so that we know what they really represent. We may not bar sugary foods — but we do require nutrition labels so we can know what we are eating. More often than not, this was the American compromise: We fought about regulations and mandates, but there had been consensus support for transparency. “Had been,” mind you, is the key phrase — and the cab-driver-induced war is only the beginning. In 2008, the New York Times’ David Barstow reported that 75 retired military officers regularly appearing on television “have ties to military contractors vested in the very war policies they are asked to assess on air.” Collectively, the group represented “more than 150 military contractors either as lobbyists, senior executives, board members or consultants,” and here’s the kicker: “Those business relationships are hardly ever disclosed to viewers.” Had networks reacted to Barstow’s blockbuster with better disclosure, we could have rested easy. Instead, the deceptions persist. HuffPost recently showed how “major television networks continue to host retired generals as military analysts without alerting viewers to their extensive ties to defense contractors.” Additionally, Wired magazine reports that neoconservative think-tankers who directly helped craft the Pentagon’s Afghan escalation are now appearing throughout the media as allegedly disinterested analysts of the escalation — again, without any mention of their concurrent work. Considering the sometimes murky relationship between advertisers and newsrooms, it’s easy to think this opacity is the exclusive transgression of commercial media. Unfortunately, it’s not — it has bled into the country’s single most powerful economic institution, the Federal Reserve. This is the bank currently lobbying against congressional oversight by arguing it must preserve its “independence” — the same institution whose regional board members are elected by the private banks they regulate and whose chairman, Ben Bernanke, quietly cavorts with the bank CEOs he’s supposed to be independent from. Even worse, the Fed is paying many of the ostensibly objective economists who sculpt the debate about Congress’s Fed policy. HuffPost ace reporter Ryan Grim found that the Fed today doles out roughly $400 million a year for “research” — much of it to outside economists who then advocate for the Fed’s agenda without disclosing their Fed ties. For instance, seven of the eight economists on a recent anti-oversight letter to Congress failed to note they are or were on the Fed’s payroll. That blatant chicanery, though, is not the worst of it. The real subterfuge is how the Fed’s shadowy pay scheme bakes an invisible pro-Fed consensus into our public discourse. Through its academic largesse, Grim notes the Fed “so thoroughly dominates the field of economics that real criticism of the central bank has become a career liability for members of the profession.” Ronald Reagan, of course, warned us to “trust, but verify.” It was good advice, except for one hitch: What happens when the verifiers are the ones who can no longer be trusted?

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Leo W. Gerard: Q&A With Responsible Pension Investment Expert Thomas Croft

December 28, 2009

Leo W. Gerard: Tom, your new book, Up From Wall Street: The Responsible Investment Alternative , provides both cautionary tales for those responsible for investing workers’ pension funds and a field guide of practical assistance for institutional investors who want to use responsible investing (RI) techniques. Let’s start with the caution. Why should workers care how their pension funds are invested? Thomas Croft: As we discovered when we pulled together the original Heartland Labor/Capital Working Group in 1995, it’s incredible how much we don’t know when it comes to the investment practices and trends that affect workers’ retirement assets and other institutional savings. Before the crash, workers owned over $9 trillion in pension trusts, and, if we added it all up, working families owned $24 trillion in all institutional savings. So, steelworkers, teachers, insurance holders, students and college endowments, and the vast majority of our population have an interest in how these funds are invested. Since these funds control a majority of public stocks, we have an interest in how those corporations are governed. In terms of the general economy, we have an interest in the general direction of investment flows. The historian Kevin Phillips has written about the growing power of the financial services industry. In the 1970s, manufacturing led financial services by a two-to-one margin. By 2006, goods production had shrunk to just 12% of GDP while financial services jumped to a “swollen 20-21% of GDP.” So, f inancial sector profits , as a percent of domestic corporate profits, rose from 16% in 1973 to 41% in 2000s. That means that vast waves of our savings and assets–our money–has increasingly disappeared into a dark hole called financialization . I’ll come back to financialization. So, what it means in terms of the economy is that the country doesn’t build things anymore. Remember Allentown, and the song by Billy Joel that described the shutdown of Beth Steel? Bethlehem Steel was originally constructed to build the nation’s rail systems. And those workers helped build the skyscrapers in New York City, and they helped win WWII. After the Beth Plant was closed, a new Las Vegas Casino was to be built on the former steel site. Well, the casino couldn’t find the structural steel, at first, to build the casino. Kind of ironic, but also tragic If we can’t find enough steel to build casinos today, how in the world will we build the green jobs industries of the future? We need steel to build the Obama administration’s proposed new high-speed rail system, right? And how will the Allentowns and Homesteads and Youngstowns and Flints of this country, and all of our other rust-towns ever fully recover? We can’t depend on casino jobs, eds and meds, tourist and service jobs alone to replace the lost manufacturing jobs. We need a robust domestic manufacturing economy if we are going to benefit from the green jobs boom. As Lynn Williams once said, “The pension savings of American workers should not only guarantee good pensions. They should guarantee American workers jobs to retire from.” Beyond that, pension trusts were collectively bargained benefits that are long-term promises to workers so that they can retire with comfort and dignity. People gave up wage increases and other current benefits to pay for that promise. Before pensions, and before FDR created Social Security, older workers might be found scrounging through trash bins in the alley or living in poor houses. Along with Social Security, pension funds are part of a three-legged stool, as it’s called, so that workers can retire without the constant fear of deprivation. Do we want to go back to the days of the poor house? Gerard: You documented here, and in your earlier work, Working Capital: The Power of Labor’s Pensions , that workers’ pension money could cruelly be used to injure them. Isn’t that investment practice perverse? Croft: It’s not only perverse, it should be illegal. First, as our colleagues put it, there is a gigantic pension industrial complex that is centered on Wall Street that takes hundreds of billions of dollars in fees out of pension funds just to manage our pension funds. Then, time after time, our money have been sucked and suckered into risky financial schemes that are unsustainable, and eventually crash, destroying the hard-earned savings of tens of millions of workers and their families. As you have pointed out, before this crash, the country suffered through the savings and loans debacle and the dot-com bust, and similar made-on-Wall-Street catastrophes. When we come to learn that the CEOs and other financial geniuses who devised these crash schemes all made off with billions in CEO compensation and bonuses, then it’s apparent that we are putting the wrong kind of people in jail. I’d like to return to the concept of financialization. A large driver of financialization is the shadow bank system. The shadow banks include the large banks and investment houses that utilize un-regulated trading and derivative schemes to make immense profits. They also include the largely unregulated investment funds that invest in the private economy, such as real estate funds, the mega-private equity funds and hedge funds. These systems became so inter-related that the collapse of one sector then brought down many others. For instance, when Lehman Brothers went under, the credit default insurance plans that theoretically insured the hedge funds vanished, and the hedge fund market tanked. After AIG was nationalized, its business continued cratering due to its business selling these default swaps to Lehman and others. And the pension funds that had invested in these massive hedge funds and the AIGs, etc., then lost tons Our pension funds were siphoned into these shadow bank markets. When pensions invest in alternative investments–not stocks and bonds–there is a term for the ancillary benefits that might result from the investment. For instance, if a pension fund invests in affordable or workforce housing, the main reason is to achieve a good return on the investment. But the housing that is also built might be called a collateral benefit. In Working Capital , Dean Baker and a co-author discovered how hundreds of billions of our trust funds were invested in schemes that caused “collateral damages” for pension beneficiaries, other workers and our society. For example, our pensions were invested in off-shore sweat-shop corporations–many American owned — that not only exploited third-world workers but also then shipped cheap products back into the country, causing jobs to be ultimately lost here. And the lure of investing in the dot-coms that never had realistic business plans contributed to the last crash. There’s lots of examples, but collateral damage investing continued after the crash. We all know about the sub-prime mortgage and the housing bubble disasters. Well, CalPERS, the California public employees pension fund, along with many other state pensions, lost $1 trillion in one case alone by investing in securities backed by sub-prime mortgages. A lot of my research went into hedge funds and mega-buyout funds. Hedge funds were originally designed as an investment program for wealthy investors. Then hedge assets boomed over the last decade, growing ten-fold from 1998 to 2008 (to over $2 trillion). From 2002 to 2007, the share of dollars in hedge assets coughed up by institutional investors–including pensions, university endowments, foundations, and insurance funds, etc.–jumped from 2% to 50%. That’s a lot of money for what became, in essence, a Wall Street game to short markets and firms. And the money pouring into private equity, climbing by 2006-2007 to $301 billion, came disproportionately from institutional investors. In the case of the mega-private equity funds–which in reality looked like the large LBO funds in the 1980s—there’s ample evidence that many of the funds over-leveraged their portfolio firms, leading to firm failures and bankruptcies. Or worse, they stripped and flipped their acquisitions. That includes Simmons Bedding, a Steelworker-represented company that just filed for bankruptcy and closed plants. That includes Mervyn’s, Linens ‘n Things, and many others. The money that the Boston mega-fund used to destroy Simmons came from pension funds. Why? In addition, they have been privatizing many our longest-standing companies–firms that often had good labor relations. These new Wall Street barons–like KKR, Blackstone Partners and Apollo Partners–now own many of the largest employers in America and Europe; in essence, they have achieved a new stage in corporate ownership. What does that mean for those workers, communities and our economies? We should be investing our money to build up companies, not tear them down. They’ve also damaged many of our civic institutions. I don’t have to look far to see the damage. Here in Pittsburgh, CMU and the University of Pittsburgh recently filed fraud lawsuits against Westwood Capital –ostensibly a hedge fund– after their $114 million investment vanished. And the Pennsylvania public pension fund lost an additional $2.5 billion (than they would have otherwise, according to some estimates) by betting on an extremely large hedge fund gamble (almost 1/3 of total portfolio). Colleges, states and municipal pension funds are cash-strapped. That’s no reason to bet the farm. Worse, Congress and the White House have not passed meaningful financial reforms that might have prevented or moderated the 2008 crash and the ones before it. The author Tom Wolfe dubbed these new corporate owners the “New Masters of the Universe.” I call them the Shadow Bank Robbers . Not only should government and institutional investors force transparency, reasonable fees and prohibitions against practices that harm workers, companies and communities, we should re-regulate, bring back the New Deal protections that were discarded. And it wouldn’t hurt if we put the shadow bank robbers behind bars. Bernie Madoff got caught running what he called a hedge fund; thousands of uber -financiers are making off with billions running an even larger ponzi scheme that is perfectly legal. It’s crack finance, and it should be illegal. Gerard: What struck me in your book is these two sentences: “This book tells the story of a group of responsible enterprise and real estate investors who are profitably investing pension and similar assets in good jobs, affordable housing, and a green future. This book shows how workers’ capital, endowments, and other institutional investors, through responsible investment principles, can do well and do good at the same time.” My emphasis added because I think most people would not believe you could do both. They would think that if you made socially-correct investments, you would lose money. What did your research show? Croft: When I started writing the book, I traveled to towns and cities all over North America. I came to know some remarkable and innovative stewards of our capital…worker-friendly investors who have built projects and invested in ventures and companies in ways that make you proud. These investors were managing about $35 billion. And, in fund after fund, investment after investment, these responsible fund managers have been–for the most part–financially successful. None of the real estate funds that I surveyed in this field guide were investing in sub-prime scams. And none of the private enterprise investors were investing, as far as I know, in the LBO over-leveraging strategies that failed so dramatically. So, the book shows you can do well and do good. How? They’re making honest profits (for our pension funds) but also treating workers with respect, investing in affordable and multi-family housing, advanced manufacturing and green jobs. In Pittsburgh, for example, pensions invested some $3/4 billion in worker-friendly real estate funds that successfully built multi-family housing, revitalized brownfields and re-built new commercial workplaces all over the region. And worker-friendly enterprise funds have, in fact, saved steelworker jobs of two manufacturing firms that were bankrupt. So, thousands of jobs were created or saved just in this area. And these investments were the tip of the iceberg, as I’m sure many of the large redevelopment investors in the region were capitalized by institutional investors. So, my book shows that worker-friendly investment funds have indeed had singular and significant impacts on the regions, economic sectors, companies and projects in which they invest. Most of the funds met or bested their respective investment benchmarks. The portfolio investments showcased in the field guide yielded not just good returns-on-investment, but also collateral benefits for working people and the environment. Gerard: So that is terrific news for workers. You’ve given me the big numbers. In the book, though, you provide specific examples where these investments worked out both for the investors and workers. Would you give one here? Croft: There are so many important examples. The AFL-CIO Investment Trusts worked on efforts to rebuild New Orleans, including a factory making sustainable manufactured housing. The MEPT Fund rebuilt a burned down hospital on the north tip of Roosevelt Island, New York, and converted it into an award-winning green housing community with 500 units, plus a daycare center and essential amenities. The KPS Capital Partners Fund restructured a bankrupt transportation company with factories in towns like St. Cloud and Crookston, Minnesota, and Winnipeg, Manitoba, now employing 1,800 union workers making hybrid busses. And, let’s take a really big case that helped Steelworkers. On May 14, 1999, in the largest union-led buyout in the country since 1994, KPS Special Situations Fund partnered with other investors and a minority ESOP formed by employees to buy a pulp and paper mill, an extruding plant, and five converting plants from Champion International (for $200 million), which was distressed. The new company, Blue Ridge Paper Products, was launched with 2,200 new employee owners. Blue Ridge is a leading integrated manufacturer of liquid packaging, envelope paper and coated bleachboard used in food service packaging. The Company also produces specialty uncoated and extrusion coated papers. The Company had eight manufacturing facilities located in seven states, including the paper mill in Canton, North Carolina, the extruding mill in Waynesville, North Carolina, and in five Dairy Pak converting plants in Georgia, Iowa, Texas, New Jersey & Olmsted Falls, Ohio. Blue Ridge subsequently acquired another Dairy Pak plant in Richmond, Virginia from MeadWestvaco. And, this company became greener. The Canton mill became a charter member of the EPA National Achievement Track Program in 1999. Due to a $400 million investment in new technology over a decade, the facility is one of the most efficient and environmentally-friendly pulp mills in the world. In July 2007, Blue Ridge was sold to Packaging Holdings Corp. KPS returned approximately 2.5 times its invested capital to its investors–including pension funds– and employee-stockholders had approximately $30 million of cash deposited into their ESOP accounts. What a huge success! Gerard: Let me press you a little bit, though, because everyone will be asking this question when pension funds have suffered so badly during this downturn in the economy. Would responsible investing have made a differenc Croft : In my travels, I watched as great states and communities buckled from the weight of the Great Recession: Downstate New York. The auto towns of the Great Lakes states. The strapped communities of California. From years of working in Pennsylvania, I’ve come to understand what happens when investment markets red-line communities. Boom towns go bust, and rust towns take their place. When the economy falls as rapidly as it did, most sectors of the economy get dragged down. This was the largest market crash and recession since the 1930s. So, many of the investments by even good investors were bound to be weighed down. But my point has been that irresponsible investment practices–using our money–were a large factor in the crash, as they have been over and over. Some of the worker-friendly investors will inevitably suffer because the firms they’ve invested in are now having a hard time. Some of the real estate funds have suffered redemptions from pension funds having to re-balance their assets (since pension funds lost so much in the general markets). But as I said, the responsible funds did more due diligence, so their investments were not as risky. If they’ve had trouble, they’ll likely recover quickly. And some funds have actually done pretty well since the downturn started. So, we also know that it’s time that our assets are put to work for the long-term, and not in ways to destroy our economy. With the Obama Administration’s help and guarantees, for instance, we could co-invest real money to re-build our cities and towns, and re-grow and re-shape this economy. And our money should be invested so that markets serve society–community, in other words– and not the other way around. We indeed have the capacity to construct infrastructure, reinvigorate our cities, and create those highly-anticipated green jobs for our children. We just have to re-claim control of our money. Gerard: Well, let’s talk for a minute about California Public Employees Retirement System, then, the nation’s largest pension fund. CalPERS did engage in some responsible investing, as noted in your book. But it has suffered terribly and is expected to fire some of its real estate investment managers. Is that simply a result of the market and could not have been avoided? Or should they really, in your estimation, have been doing something else. Croft: For all the things that CalPERS did right in terms of double-bottom line investing, as it’s called–investing in green housing and buildings, urban investments, and clean technology– it may have been overly aggressive in alternative investments. And CalPERS was caught up in the sub-prime and real estate bubble markets. CalPERS is, in fact, suing Moody’s and other ratings agencies because the pension fund claims that it did not know that a $1 trillion investment in securities (that I mentioned earlier) were in fact backed by sub-prime mortgages. And some of their high profile investments in large real estate projects and overly-risky private equity have been slammed. But CalPERS has recovered to the $200 billion level, and, given the fiscal crisis in California, we’re all hopeful that recovery will continue. Some of my labor friends are now concerned that CalPERS is going back into the “dark pool,” doubling down in hedge funds and the mega-LBO funds to make up for the losses. Gerard: What kind of response have you gotten to the book and what do you hope will happen as a result. Croft: It’s really been great. We’ve started to get a lot of coverage, and the book is making the rounds. I’d like to see Heartland be able to create an ongoing “Center for Responsible Capital” so that we can continue to push responsible investments and act as a watchdog for union members and communities against investment abuses. Your earlier support and that of the union has allowed me to write this book. And, your leadership in capital strategies, rebuilding manufacturing, and kicking off the green economy has provided a lot of inspiration for the book, and we actually quoted you a couple of times–simply because it could not have been stated better. We’ve now come to understand that responsible investors have been, profitably, creating hundreds of thousands of good jobs, building hundreds of thousands of living spaces, and helping to rebuild cities and communities. So, as you said, our capital stewards can indeed invest in a responsible future–our future, and that of our children–and invest in a vision of the economy that’s more humane and sustainable. *** Thomas Croft is an international expert on innovative capital strategies and jobs-oriented economic revitalization policies. He serves as executive director of the Steel Valley Authority , a regional economic development organization for Pittsburgh and 11 municipalities in the Mon Valley. The authority uses creative techniques to preserve and revitalize companies in crisis. Croft also is director of the Heartland Network , a working group of responsible pension investment advocates in the U.S. and Canada. Croft was commissioned by the Heinz Endowments to write Up From Wall Street .

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Christopher Brauchli: Bank Presidents and the U.S. President

December 28, 2009

Surfeit begets insolence, when prosperity comes to a bad man. Theognis, c. 545b.c. I hope the President didn’t take it personally. I’m sure no offense was intended. Even though bank presidents have shown they can single handedly almost sink the economy, they can’t control the weather that prevented their making it to the meeting. Of course some people might wonder why they didn’t leave a day earlier. A lot of people who have a morning meeting scheduled with the President of the United States would be very anxious to make sure they were in town the night before so as not to miss the meeting. Such a meeting is heady stuff even for a bank president. My guess is that the men all had good reasons for not arriving in Washington D.C. the night before the meeting and it was not, as some might think, a lack of respect for the President of the United States. A number of factors explain their actions. One is that it was the middle of the holiday season and a Sunday night two weeks before Christmas is a time when there are lots of holiday parties. It is important for bank presidents to be in attendance to show that even though 12 months ago they were being bailed out by, among others, the people at the parties as well as lots of other people their cheerful demeanors prove that they are not the least bit nervous about the economy or the state of their banks. Another reason they may have waited until Monday to travel to see the President (if they were not partying) was to give them additional time to work for the benefit of customers, employees and shareholders. Lloyd Blankfein, president of Goldman Sachs (who missed the meeting), was very likely spending the evening doing rough calculations as to how to divide up $16 billion in bonuses among his thousands of employees. That is a complicated calculation. He may also have been working on the speech he would give to his employees to explain why some of them would get bonuses in stock instead of cash. Citigroup’s Vikram Pandit missed the meeting because Citigroup had a $17 billion stock offering on the same day as the meeting with the President took place. Mr. Pandit spent the day convincing investors they should buy some of the stock that was being offered. Thanks to those efforts Citigroup received $425 million in fees from the offering. In Mr. Pandit’s place Citigroup’s chairman, Richard Parsons was to attend, but having better things to do on Sunday night than spend the night in the capitol he waited until Monday morning to travel and because of weather had to miss the meeting. He may have spent some time Sunday night working on helping those struggling to pay their mortgages who were hoping to qualify under the “Making Home Affordable Program.” In November 2008 Citigroup said its intention was to reach out to 500,000 borrowers who needed help to avoid foreclosure. It said its program might result in $20 billion of mortgage refinancings. As of November 2009 it had fallen a bit shy of its goal. Of all mortgagees who were eligible for modification it had only entered into trial modifications with 100,126 homeowners instead of 500,000 homeowners and had only made permanent modifications with 271 borrowers out of the 231,000 who were estimated to be eligible. John Mack of Morgan Stanley was probably also spending Sunday night trying to figure out how to help those threatened with foreclosure who were in distress. Morgan Stanley’s subsidiary, Saxon Mortgage Services, Inc. had an estimated 80,000 eligible loans and had 35,565 trial modifications going on but as of the end of November had only made 42 of the loan modifications permanent. The rest were still awaiting approval. Of course he might have been toasting the fact that although those numbers are not impressive, when its permanent loans modifications are added to its trial modifications it turns out that 44% of its loans have been modified or are in the trial stage and that, percentage wise, places it at the top of all the Servicers in the program. The “Making Home Affordable Program” has been in place for slightly over a year. The Treasury Department estimates there are 3,299,780 people eligible to participate in the program. As of the end of November only 31,382 have received permanent modifications. The three bank presidents who missed the meeting are probably keenly ware of the failure of their institutions to do more for those in trouble. They may even feel a bit of guilt about it. Not enough, however, to have made sure they’d get to the meeting with the President on time. And not enough to cause them to forego their large bonuses. Christopher Brauchli can be e-mailed at brauchli.56@post.harvard.edu. For political commentary see his web page at http://humanraceandothersports.com

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