January 2010

Texon Petroleum to drill first well in Mosman-Rockingham leases

January 28, 2010

Texon Petroleum to drill first well in Mosman-Rockingham leases

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Dynasty announce continuation of mineralisation at Marra Mamba prospect

January 28, 2010

Dynasty announce continuation of mineralisation at Marra Mamba prospect

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Asian Markets Overview of January 28

January 28, 2010

Asian Markets Overview of January 28

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Mission NewEnergy appointed member of ISCC board

January 28, 2010

Mission NewEnergy appointed member of ISCC board

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Kairiki Energy quarterly report for 31 December 2009

January 28, 2010

Kairiki Energy quarterly report for 31 December 2009

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D’Aguilar Gold Limited (ASX:DGR) Drill Results Indicate Large Porphyry Copper Gold System At The Peenam Prospect

January 28, 2010

D’Aguilar Gold Limited (ASX:DGR) Drill Results Indicate Large Porphyry Copper Gold System At The Peenam Prospect

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Carpentaria Exploration Limited (ASX:CAP) Quarterly Report For The Period Ended 31 December 2009

January 28, 2010

Carpentaria Exploration Limited (ASX:CAP) Quarterly Report For The Period Ended 31 December 2009

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Thailand’s PTT Chemical and GE sign gas turbine service agreement

January 28, 2010

Thailand’s PTT Chemical and GE sign gas turbine service agreement

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Australian enterprises demand more control, savings on telecoms expenses

January 28, 2010

Australian enterprises demand more control, savings on telecoms expenses

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Underwriters Laboratories forms landmark alliance in China

January 28, 2010

Underwriters Laboratories forms landmark alliance in China

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Vietnam- Cenergy Power expands operations into Southeast Asia

January 28, 2010

Vietnam- Cenergy Power expands operations into Southeast Asia

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China establishes state energy agency

January 28, 2010

China establishes state energy agency

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Hyundai quarterly profits soar to $820m

January 28, 2010

Hyundai quarterly profits soar to $820m

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Singapore- Axiom Asia completes final closing on second fund

January 28, 2010

Singapore- Axiom Asia completes final closing on second fund

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MONOPOLY CITY is game of the year 2009

January 28, 2010

MONOPOLY CITY is game of the year 2009

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GE, Komatsu complete delivery of the first AC mining trucks in India

January 28, 2010

GE, Komatsu complete delivery of the first AC mining trucks in India

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Forex daily technical analysis – January 28

January 28, 2010

Forex daily technical analysis – January 28

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British sky Broadcasting released its earnings for the first half

January 28, 2010

British sky Broadcasting released its earnings for the first half

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ERG SpA and Total reached an agreement over a joint venture

January 28, 2010

ERG SpA and Total reached an agreement over a joint venture

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Sarkozy says world needs new Bretton Woods

January 28, 2010

Sarkozy says world needs new Bretton Woods

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Editorial: It’s time for action

January 28, 2010

Editorial: It’s time for action

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Sri Lanka- Rajapaksa win challenged

January 28, 2010

Sri Lanka- Rajapaksa win challenged

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Retail sales in Japan dropped for the 16th straight month

January 28, 2010

Retail sales in Japan dropped for the 16th straight month

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Toyota to recall additional 10.9m vehicles in US

January 28, 2010

Toyota to recall additional 10.9m vehicles in US

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Japan retail sales decline 0.3% in December

January 28, 2010

Japan retail sales decline 0.3% in December

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Fed leaves interest rates unchanged

January 28, 2010

Fed leaves interest rates unchanged

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The euro dropped against the U.S dollar

January 28, 2010

The euro dropped against the U.S dollar

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Russia discovers huge oil deposit in Siberia

January 28, 2010

Russia discovers huge oil deposit in Siberia

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Vale buys Bunge’s assets in Brazil for $3.8b

January 28, 2010

Vale buys Bunge’s assets in Brazil for $3.8b

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Philippines economy grows 0.9% in 2009

January 28, 2010

Philippines economy grows 0.9% in 2009

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Indian forum donates to Haiti relief

January 28, 2010

Indian forum donates to Haiti relief

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Apple IPad Will Need Content Cool as It Is: Commentary by Rich Jaroslovsky

January 28, 2010

Commentary by Rich Jaroslovsky Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — With all due respect to Steve Jobs , he chose the wrong name for Apple Inc.’s new iPad. A far better name would be iWonder. As in, it certainly is a consumer-tech wonder. And also as in, I wonder if the content providers who may determine its success are prepared to take full advantage of it? The half-hour or so I spent playing with the iPad at its San Francisco unveiling yesterday was much too short a time to evaluate it authoritatively. What I can say is that it’s fast, beautiful and loaded with potential. The half-inch-thin iPad looks something like an iPod Touch on steroids. While it uses the iPhone/iPod Touch operating system — meaning it runs just about all the 140,000 or so applications already written for those pocket-sized devices — you can sense a little Mac DNA as well in the machined aluminum back. It feels solid and substantial in your hand — and also, at about a pound and a half, is considerably heavier than a typical e-book reader, one of its core functions. Indeed, the iPad is about consumption of media in all its forms, from storing and viewing your photos to watching high- definition movies on the beautiful 9.7-inch touch screen. I was struck by its speed and responsiveness. In the photo application, for instance, I could race through hundreds of photos in a blur. Apps originally written for the iPhone, such as Electronic Arts Inc. ’s car-racing game Need for Speed Shift , looked terrific when expanded to fit the iPad screen. They may look better still once developers begin writing specifically to the new dimensions and the capabilities of the custom Apple- designed chip that powers the unit. Turning the Page Books in the new iBooks application look much more paper- like than they do on devices such as Amazon.com Inc. ’s Kindle or Barnes & Noble Inc. ’s Nook. The process of turning a page is so smoothly animated that if you stop in the middle of the process, you see both the content of the page being turned and that of the new page peeking out from underneath, just as if you were holding a physical book. While Apple is hardly known for the value pricing of its products, the iPad may be the exception. It will be available in six models, with the least expensive — including 16 gigabytes of flash-memory storage and Wi-Fi connectivity — starting at just $499. It and two other Wi-Fi models with more memory go on sale in March. 3G Connectivity A month later, three more iPads will go on sale, adding connectivity over AT&T Inc. ’s 3G wireless network in the U.S. The top-of-the-line model, with both 3G and 64 GB storage, will cost $829. AT&T will offer no-contract data plans costing $14.99 for up to 250 megabytes per month, or $29.99 for an all-you-can- eat plan. At those prices, and if the iPad also fulfills Jobs’s battery-life promises — 10 hours of heavy-duty use, and even longer for lower-impact functions like listening to music — Apple will have delivered a true achievement. Then the question will be whether the publishing industry, which up to now hasn’t been known for forward thinking, will do the same. Will book publishers, for example, get to work producing added-value interactive versions that include author interviews and DVD-style extras to take advantage of the iPad’s multimedia capabilities? Or will they be content to use Apple’s new iBooks store to sell the same plain-vanilla e-books they currently produce, in hopes of simply lessening their dependence on Amazon.com? Life Preserver What about newspaper and magazine publishers? These, after all, are the same geniuses who decided to give away their product for free, then expressed shock when their audiences ended up valuing it no more highly than they did. Will they now recognize the life preserver Apple has thrown them and produce versions optimized for the new platform, with features that will excite their customers and re-engage their advertisers? To a larger extent than with most of Apple’s other products, the iPad’s fate is out of the company’s hands. Without compelling new content, it risks having no reason to be. If that’s the case, it may turn out that Apple’s decision to bring iWork , its Mac productivity suite, to the iPad will be crucial. The three iWork programs — a word processor, spreadsheet and presentation software — will sell for $9.99 each. With them and a Bluetooth keyboard, or perhaps the new combination keyboard-dock that Apple showed off this week, the iPad becomes a sophisticated alternative to inexpensive netbook computers running Microsoft Corp. ’s Windows software. While that might still sell a fair number of iPads, it would signal failure in the ambitious goals Jobs has set out for the device. To be truly “revolutionary,” which was the word he used to describe it, the iPad needs content as cool as it is. ( Rich Jaroslovsky is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: Rich Jaroslovsky in New York at rjaroslovsky@bloomberg.net .

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Wealthier U.S. Investors Get a Do-Over Opportunity With Roth IRA Tax Rules

January 28, 2010

By Margaret Collins Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. investors who convert a traditional Individual Retirement Account into two or more Roth accounts to make a bet on the market rising can save on taxes if it doesn’t. The multiple Roth IRAs should be split among different investments, according to Joseph Spada, managing director of Summit Financial Resources in Parsippany, New Jersey, whose average client has $25 million in net worth. A conversion can be reversed if some of the assets lose value, saving $140,000 in income taxes, for example, on an account worth $1.2 million. “The IRS is giving you a bucket of mulligans with your IRA,” said John Bledsoe, a Dallas-based estate planner, referring to the term used in golf for a do-over. Investors who convert to a Roth IRA have until Oct. 17, 2011, to undo their decisions and recoup taxes paid, said Bledsoe, author of “The Gospel of Roth,” whose average client has $100 million or more in assets. The Internal Revenue Service lifted income restrictions this year on converting a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA, meaning U.S. taxpayers making more than $100,000 a year in adjusted income can make the transfer. There’s no limit on conversions if an investor has multiple IRAs or a cap on the amount that can be converted. Those who switch from a traditional IRA, where taxes are paid only on withdrawals, to a Roth IRA, must pay income taxes upfront in exchange for tax-free withdrawals during retirement. A taxpayer in the top income bracket with an IRA worth $1.2 million would pay 35 percent or $420,000 in federal taxes when converting the account into a Roth IRA this year. Three-Way Divide A $1.2 million account could be divided into three Roth IRAs worth $400,000 each, Spada said. The first account may be invested in fixed income, the second in equities and the third in high-yield bonds. If one fund lost value, the investor would save the 35 percent tax paid on the $400,000 account, or $140,000, by recharacterizing that Roth IRA into a traditional one, Spada said. “You don’t want to pay the tax on an account that actually went down in value,” Spada said. Undoing the conversion doesn’t change the fact you lost money on your investments, which is why investors shouldn’t take more risk than they normally would when converting to multiple Roth IRAs, he said. Theodore Lustig converted his family’s IRA into three Roth accounts with different asset types on Jan. 4. The 55-year-old attorney put the first account in fixed income, the second in oil stocks and the third in U.S. bank stocks. “You have a free look,” said Lustig, who’s based in Dallas. “You have until October 2011 to see how your investments have performed.” Lustig said he could reverse the conversion on accounts that decline or, “if everything works out,” pay a lower tax on income from accounts converted in January that rise in value. Jump in Conversions T. Rowe Price Group Inc. says the number of clients making Roth conversions is three times greater this year compared with the same period in 2009, said Heather McDonold , a spokeswoman for the Baltimore-based company, which had $366.2 billion in assets under management as of September 2009. USAA , which sells financial services primarily to military families, saw a 500 percent increase in Roth IRA conversions in the first week of January compared with the same week last year, said the San Antonio-based company with 7.3 million members. About 37.5 million American households held a traditional IRA in 2008 with $3.2 trillion in assets. That compares with 18.6 million households and $165 billion in assets with a Roth IRA, according to the Washington-based Investment Company Institute, a mutual-fund trade group. Let It Cook A Roth conversion works best when an investor can pay the taxes with funds outside the IRA and leave the proceeds to children or grandchildren, said Bill Fleming , managing director in the Private Company Services Group for New York-based PricewaterhouseCoopers. “The key with the Roth conversion is you need to have it cooking for as long as possible before taking the distributions,” Fleming said. Passing the account to heirs lets it grow tax-free. Future withdrawals are also tax-free. Taxpayers subject to the estate tax in the future should consider converting because paying the tax upfront on the Roth may lower their estate’s value, he said. Those who want to donate the money shouldn’t convert, said Spada of Summit Financial Resources , because a traditional IRA can be left to a charity or foundation tax-free. Brokerage houses and investment companies typically don’t charge for conversions and recharacterizations , Bledsoe, the estate planner, said. Rising Rates Those who file for an October extension on their 2010 tax returns should still pay taxes owed on income from a Roth conversion by April 15, 2011, or interest and penalties may apply, said Kenneth Powell, a tax partner at New York-based Berdon LLP . Investors can still recover taxes paid from the conversion, Powell said. The IRS is offering a one-time tax deferral this year on conversions. A taxpayer can choose to pay all the tax in 2010, or split it between tax years 2011 and 2012. Federal tax rates may rise in 2011 to as high as 39.6 percent, up from 35 percent, when tax cuts instituted by President George W. Bush expire. That means investors may want to report all the income from the Roth conversion in 2010 to avoid paying higher taxes in following years, Bledsoe said. “They wanted to kick my shins when I first told them how much they would have to pay,” said Bledsoe, of his 25 clients who have transferred $2 million each in IRAs to Roth IRAs this month. “The reality is they’re under no obligation. Convert now and analyze later if you need to undo it, when you have all the facts about account performance and next year’s tax rates.” To contact the reporter on this story: Margaret Collins in New York at mcollins45@bloomberg.net .

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Lenders Pursue Defaulted Mortgage Borrowers in U.S. Long After Foreclosure

January 28, 2010

By Kathleen M. Howley Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — When John King stopped making payments on his home in Coral Gables, Florida, two years ago, he assumed the foreclosure ended his mortgage contract, he said. Last month, a Miami-Dade County court gave collectors permission to pursue him for $44,000 stemming from the default . King is among a rising number of borrowers who are learning that they can be on the hook for years after losing their homes. Amid a crisis that stripped $6.4 trillion, or 28 percent, from the value of U.S. residential real estate since the 2006 peak, lenders are exercising their rights to pursue unpaid mortgage balances. To get their money, they can seize wages, tap bank accounts and put liens on other assets held by debtors. “The big dogs get a bailout, and the little man gets no mercy,” said King, 39, referring to the U.S. government’s rescue of banks and other financial institutions. While there are no statistics on the number of deficiency judgments approved by courts, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. tracks the amount banks collect after defaulted loans were written off. These mortgage recoveries rose 48 percent to a record $1.01 billion in the first nine months of last year compared with the year-earlier period, according to the Washington-based regulator. Recoveries on defaulted home-equity loans almost doubled to $392 million, the FDIC data shows. The figures don’t include money retrieved by trusts overseeing mortgage-backed securities, such as the one that holds the loan on King’s former home, or efforts by distressed- asset funds and companies that buy bad loans to profit from collection rights. Judgments such as the one levied against King usually tack on court fees, fines and interest. ‘Next Big Crisis’ Deficiency judgments were rare in the 15 years since the last real estate slump, said Ben Hillard, a former investment banker who now is a real estate and corporate attorney at Hillard & Rogers in Largo, Florida. “The banks have been too underwater with foreclosures to spend much time on deficiency judgments, but that’s beginning to change,” Hillard said in an interview. “This is going to be the next big crisis.” Almost 4.5 percent of mortgaged U.S. homes were in foreclosure during the third quarter, the highest rate in the 37 years of tracking the data, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Nov. 19. A record one in every 10 mortgages was at least one payment overdue in the same period, the Washington-based trade group reported. The Obama administration is seeking to modify as many as 4 million loans by 2012 to prevent foreclosures through the Home Affordable Modification Program, which cuts monthly payments to about a third of borrowers’ income. By the end of December, the program was responsible for more than 850,000 modifications, the Treasury Department said in a Jan. 15 report . 20-Year Window The federal government spent $230 billion in the year ended in September to support homeowners, according to the Congressional Budget Office in Washington. Those efforts didn’t help people who had already walked away from their houses. In states such as Florida, courts give mortgage holders as long as five years to seek a deficiency judgment and, if granted, up to 20 years to collect. Usually, they have the option of renewing the judgment if it’s not paid off within 20 years. About a third of U.S. states, including California and Arizona, prohibit collection efforts on primary residences after foreclosure. In some cases, homeowners waive that protection if they refinance. Most states allow collection on unpaid home equity loans. Depression-Era Protections The laws in states that protect some borrowers stem from the Great Depression in the 1930s, when a lack of bidders at foreclosure auctions caused deficiencies that, with added fees and interest, sometimes were bigger than the original loan amount, according to a 1934 Virginia Law Review article by Sol Phillips Perlman. Today, many courts measure the shortfall using a property’s market value at the time of foreclosure rather than auction results. The likeliest candidates for deficiency judgments are so- called rational defaults, said Larry Tolchinsky , a real estate attorney in Hallandale Beach, Florida. In those cases, people who are current on their mortgages decide to walk away from a property because its value has sunk so far below their loan balance they have no hope of recouping the loss. About 21 percent of American homeowners owe more on their mortgages than their properties are worth, according to Zillow.com, a Seattle-based real estate data firm. “Walking away from a property comes with a cost, especially for people who otherwise have good credit,” Tolchinsky said in an interview. “The bank is going to pull your credit report, and if you’re current on your other bills they are going to come after you and potentially ruin you.” Fine Print It’s not just foreclosures that can trigger debt collections. Short sales also may lead to deficiency judgments years after former homeowners have moved on, according to Hillard, the attorney in Largo. In a short sale, lenders agree to let borrowers sell a home for less than the mortgage balance. “Banks are being very careful to preserve their rights, either outright in the short sale agreement or by using vague language that leaves that door open,” Hillard said. About 90 percent of people who do a short sale think they are “off the hook.” That was the case when two of his clients, Brigitte and John Howard, sold their home in New Port Richey, Florida, almost two years ago without using a lawyer to check the bank’s short- sale agreement. $20,000 Shock “We got a call out of the blue saying we owed $20,000,” said Brigitte Howard, 45. “It was a shock. There was no mention in the short-sale contract that the bank might come after us for the difference.” The money King owes to the Soundview Home Loan asset-backed security that holds the mortgage on his former Coral Gables condominium consists of $38,000 for unpaid principal and almost $6,000 in legal fees and interest accrued prior to the ruling. According to the judgment, the security can charge 8 percent interest until he pays off the debt. King, who said his default was caused by a reduction in his income, now rents near Fort Lauderdale, Florida, where he teaches ballroom dancing. “I thought the foreclosure was the worst of a bad situation, but it’s not,” said King. “The people who got sucked into the real estate bubble are still paying for it, even after they’ve taken our homes.” To contact the reporter on this story: Kathleen M. Howley in Boston at kmhowley@bloomberg.net

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European Confidence Rises for 10th Month as Global Recovery Lifts Exports

January 28, 2010

By Simone Meier Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — European confidence in the economic outlook improved for a 10th month in January as reviving global demand helped stoke exports and bolstered earnings across the 16-nation euro region. An index of executive and consumer sentiment increased to 95.7 from a revised 94.1 in December, the European Commission in Brussels said today. Economists expected confidence to rise to 92.3 from a previously reported December reading of 91.3, the median of 29 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey showed. European companies are stepping up output to meet export demand after governments around the globe committed trillions of dollars to stimulus measures. SAP AG , the world’s biggest maker of business-management software, said yesterday it expects a rebound in sales in 2010. Still, European Central Bank council member Axel Weber forecast a “protracted” recovery. “A recovery will be solid but nothing too exciting,” said Rossa White , chief economist at Dublin-based securities firm Davy. “We won’t get the same economic expansion in the first half of 2010 than in the previous six months. One of the factors is that stimulus measures will fade.” The euro was little changed against the dollar after the report, at $1.4037 as of 10:03 a.m. in London from $1.4024 yesterday. German government bonds remained lower, pushing the yield on the 10-year bund up 3 basis points to 3.23 percent. Global Growth Signaling a revival in production, capacity utilization rose for a second quarter, today’s report showed. The index, compiled every three months, increased to 72.4 from 71. The gauge had fallen to a record low in the third quarter. The global economy may expand 3.9 percent this year instead of a previously projected 3.1 percent, led by emerging economies, the International Monetary Fund said on Jan. 26. The euro region may grow 1 percent this year, the Washington-based organization forecast. In China, growth accelerated to the fastest since 2007 in the fourth quarter. Indian exports rose to a 15-month high in December, bolstering growth in Asia’s third-largest economy. Deutsche Lufthansa AG, Europe’s second-largest airline, expects faster growth in the U.S. and Asia than in its home market over the coming years, Chief Executive Officer Wolfgang Mayrhuber said on Jan. 19. Volkswagen AG, Europe’s biggest carmaker, reported a 37 percent surge in Chinese sales in 2009. Momentum In the euro region, the recovery is losing some momentum as governments phase out stimulus measures and companies continue to cut jobs, eroding consumer demand. Expansion in Europe’s manufacturing and services industries unexpectedly weakened in January and German investor confidence declined. The Dow Jones Stoxx 50 Index has shed 4.9 percent this year while Germany’s benchmark DAX Index has lost 4.2 percent. Remy Cointreau SA, France’s second-largest liquor maker based in Paris, said on Jan. 21 that revenue in the three months through December dropped on declining demand. Airbus SAS, a unit of European Aeronautic Defence & Space Co., said this month that it plans to cut about 1,000 temporary jobs to reduce costs. Euro-area unemployment probably rose to 10.1 percent in December from 10 percent the previous month, according a Bloomberg survey. That would be the highest since June 1998. The European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg will release the report tomorrow. A gauge of consumers’ price expectations over the next 12 months jumped to minus 2 in January from minus 6 in December, the highest since April, today’s report showed. The ECB earlier this month kept borrowing costs at a record low of 1 percent to bolster spending and President Jean-Claude Trichet said a European recovery will likely be “uneven.” “In 2010, we expect only moderate growth in the euro region and probably a bumpy recovery,” ECB Executive Board member Juergen Stark said on Jan. 26. “Overall, I wouldn’t expect a fast return to robust growth.” To contact the reporter on this story: Simone Meier in Dublin at smeier@bloombert.net

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Lula Leaves Brazilian Hospital After Blood-Pressure Increase Prompts Tests

January 28, 2010

By Laura Price and Helder Marinho Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has left a hospital after spending a night undergoing emergency medical exams for high blood pressure. Globo TV showed a smiling Lula leaving a hospital in the northeastern city of Recife accompanied by his Cabinet Chief Dilma Rousseff. The network said he was traveling to his home in Sao Bernardo do Campo to rest. Two medical exams performed on the 64-year-old Lula came back normal, Cleber Ferreira told journalists at the hospital, according to a posting on the presidential palace’s blog . As a precautionary measure Lula will no longer travel to the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, Communications Secretary Franklin Martins said, according to the blog. Folha de S. Paulo newspaper said Lula became ill while on the plane ready to depart for Davos. Lula, who does not suffer from hypertension, saw his blood pressure rise to 180 over 120 after a full day of work in 86 degree Fahrenheit (30 degrees Celsius) heat, the doctor said. Central Bank President Henrique Meirelles will receive the forum’s first “Global Statesman” award on Lula’s behalf, Martins said. Editors: Joshua Goodman To contact the reporter on this story: Laura Price in London at lprice3@bloomberg.net ; Helder Marinho in Rio de Janeiro at hmarinho@bloomberg.net

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Karzai Says Afghanistan May Need Foreign Troops for Another 10 to 15 Years

January 28, 2010

By James Rupert and Thomas Penny Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — A $500 million plan to entice Taliban fighters to quit the growing insurgency in Afghanistan will form the centerpiece of a conference in London after President Hamid Karzai warned that international troops may be needed in his country for as many as 15 years. More than 60 foreign ministers are meeting top Afghan officials to approve a political strategy backing the U.S.-led troop surge. The ministers will show support for Afghan President Hamid Karzai and resolve to stabilize his country, while countering falling public support for the war in Europe and the U.S. by offering a timeline for troops to come home. “This conference marks the beginning of the transition process, agreeing the conditions under which we can begin district by district, province by province, transferring the responsibility for security from international forces to Afghan forces,” U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown said in a speech today opening the one-day meeting. Governments at the conference will pledge about $500 million, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said, to provide jobs, homes and farming help for Taliban fighters who return to civilian life. Alexander Dobrindt, deputy leader of Merkel’s sister party, the Christian Social Union , dubbed the plan a “Taliban cash-for-clunkers” program. Conference attendees will also renew pressure on Karzai to reduce official corruption that has weakened his government. Karzai, in an interview with BBC television, said he’ll present a “new, invigorated” anti-corruption plan. The blueprint will include more deadlines, laws and regulations than previous plans, he said. Sanctions Lifted The reconciliation offer “goes to those who are not part of al-Qaeda or other terrorist networks who have accepted the Afghan constitution,” Karzai said. The United Nations Security Council this week lifted sanctions against five former Taliban officials, in what Afghan UN ambassador Zahir Tanin called “a message for anyone in the Taliban that wants to join the peace process.” The Taliban’s regional commander for southern Afghanistan, Akhtar Mohammad, dismissed the London conference as “nonsense that will do nothing to bring Taliban to the negotiating table.” In a telephone interview from an undisclosed location, Mohammad repeated the guerrillas’ demand that all foreign forces leave Afghanistan. In trying to stabilize the Afghan government before 2011, when the U.S. plans to begin reducing its military forces, governments may be hampered by Karzai’s political weakness. The Afghan leader has failed to get parliament to approve his full Cabinet 12 weeks after being declared the winner of a fraud- tainted election. ‘Loss of Momentum’ The conference, hosted by the British government , will try to reverse what “was essentially a loss of momentum in the whole Afghan project” last year because of distractions around the disputed elections, plus Taliban military gains, said Mark Sedwill , the British ambassador to Afghanistan, who was appointed this week as the top civilian North Atlantic Treaty Organization official in the country. In 2009, 520 NATO troops were killed in the Afghan war, a 76 percent jump over 2008, according to the casualty-monitoring Web site iCasualties.org . NATO is getting 38,500 reinforcements in Afghanistan that will bring its troop strength to almost 150,000 in the ninth year of the war. Foreign Troops Needed Afghanistan may need the support of international forces for as long as 15 years, Karzai told the BBC. For training the Afghan forces, “five to 10 years is enough,” Karzai said. “With regard to sustaining them, the time may be extended to 10 to 15 years.” Since 2003, several Afghan reconciliation plans have collapsed because the government failed to deliver on promises of land, money or jobs for Taliban who quit the war. “This time they have to be sure the money gets through,” said Shada Islam , an analyst at the European Policy Centre , a research institute in Brussels. The new effort has a better chance because it has greater international support, Afghan Finance Minister Omar Zakhilwal said in an interview with Bloomberg Television yesterday. The U.S. backs the plan, its special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, Ambassador Richard Holbrooke , told MSNBC this week in an interview. Germany will contribute $70 million, Merkel has said. Mullah Omar A reconciliation program should work at local and provincial levels to woo lower-level Taliban, and should exclude the Taliban leadership including its commander, Mullah Omar , former Afghan Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah told Bloomberg Television in an interview yesterday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Afghanistan is seen as the world’s second-most corrupt country, according to the annual survey by Transparency International , a Berlin-based corruption-monitoring group. Graft has outstripped the country’s violence as the biggest worry for Afghans, 59 percent of whom called it their top concern in a survey released this month by the UN Office on Drugs and Crime. To contact the reporters on this story: James Rupert in New Delhi at jrupert3@bloomberg.net ; Thomas Penny in London at tpenny@bloomberg.net ;

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Specter of Mortgage Defaults Returns to Haunt Beleaguered Banks in Ireland

January 28, 2010

By Dara Doyle Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — It’s hard to tell that Ireland’s economy is en route to recovery at the High Court in Dublin. As lawyers swarm around the wood-paneled room, Justice Brian McGovern considers the case of a cab driver owing 297,000 euros ($421,000) to his mortgage lender. It’s one of 60 cases involving defaulting homeowners in front of McGovern. “I know you’ve fallen on difficult times because of the economic circumstances,” said McGovern as he ordered the debtor to pay 3,400 euros by March 1 to avoid foreclosure. “But you will appreciate that when parties enter a legal arrangement, if someone loans you money, you have to pay it back.” Ireland endured its worst economic crisis in 88 years as a modern state and the government now predicts an end to the recession this year. Yet prospects of rising exports and a narrowing budget deficit obscure concern over a new round of losses on personal loans and mortgages that some economists say threatens the stability of the country’s banks. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services said on Jan. 26 Irish banks were riskier than it previously thought and predicted “high credit losses.” S&P also reduced its ratings for Dublin- based Bank of Ireland Plc and Allied Irish Banks Plc. A month earlier, Morgan Kelly , an economics professor at University College Dublin, said banks faced “complete destruction” from mortgage losses as the rate of unemployment and the cost of borrowing rise. ‘Big Defaults’ “Don’t tell me that the Irish loan book is not going to have big defaults on it,” said David McWilliams , a former economist at the country’s central bank and UBS AG . “When those defaults come through, the banks become nationalized, the rest of the shareholders get wiped out.” Irish households are among the world’s most indebted after lending more than tripled in the decade through 2007, according to Goodbody Stockbrokers in Dublin. Real estate prices since have fallen by half, adding to concern that lenders will face more losses after initially writing off about 24 billion euros on loans to property developers. A moratorium on government-backed Irish banks moving to foreclose on homes ends on Feb. 1. Bank of Ireland, which took over 13 vacant properties in the nine months through September, said in an e-mailed statement it’s “modifying” 400 mortgages a month. Allied Irish said it “continues to work with customers who are experiencing difficulties.” The Dublin-based lender said in an e-mail it hasn’t repossessed a family home in six years. Linked to Jobs “My view is that as long as unemployment doesn’t reach epidemic proportions, mortgage losses won’t be off the radar,” said Ciaran Callaghan , an analyst at NCB Stockbrokers in Dublin. “I hope that view doesn’t change through the year.” Some 3.3 percent of Irish mortgage borrowers were at least 90 days behind in their repayments at the end of September, more than double the proportion in June 2008, according to the country’s Financial Regulator. “What keeps me awake at night is, will there be another wave of arrears?” Fergus Murphy , chief executive officer at Dublin mortgage lender EBS Building Society said last month. He put the chances of that at 25 percent. “It’s absolutely center stage to what I’m concerned about.” The National Asset Management Agency , established last year to cleanse banks of toxic debt, is buying 80 billion euros worth of property development loans from lenders at a discount of about 30 percent. That may leave banks short of capital, even before mortgage losses come through, and the government pledged to provide extra cash to prop them up if needed. Debt Burden Irish household debt as a percentage of disposable income rose to 175 percent in 2008 from 48 percent in 1995, according to Goodbody. That compared with 134 percent in the U.S. in 2008, the broker said. The European Central Bank reduced its benchmark interest rate to 1 percent in May from 4.25 percent in August 2008, helping to ease the burden on homeowners in Ireland, the western edge of the eurozone. Now analysts say Irish banks may start lifting their rates later this year to improve profitability. Murphy said he expects EBS’s arrears level to peak at above 6 percent, from 4.5 percent in December. By the end of this year, 196,000 homes will be in negative equity, amounting to 30 percent of households with a mortgage, according to the Dublin-based Economic and Social Research Institute . That’s when a homeowner’s mortgage is larger than the value of the property. “The Irish state can do nothing but watch as the second wave of the mortgage defaults sweeps in and drowns them,” Professor Kelly said in a research paper dated Dec. 21. ‘Up to You’ Back at court, McGovern gives the cab driver running behind in his payments a final warning. “It’s up to you,” said the judge. “I want to do the best I can for you.’ McGovern then heard from a defendant who said he hoped to raise cash from selling an investment overseas and help repay 1.5 million euros owed to Lloyds Banking Group Plc’s Irish unit. “I hope it’s not a ski resort in the desert in Dubai,” said McGovern. To contact the reporter on this story: Dara Doyle at ddoyle1@bloomberg.net

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Ukraine’s Government Plans to Sell Up to $1 Billion in Bonds Next Quarter

January 28, 2010

By Halia Pavliva Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — Ukraine will seek to borrow $500 million to $1 billion by selling Eurobonds as early as next quarter, Economy Minister Bohdan Danylyshyn said, as Europe’s hardest hit economy looks for ways to restructure its debt. “We have been analyzing the whole debt system,” Danylyshyn said in an interview in Kiev yesterday. “We are in talks with potential participants of the restructuring from the European Union, the U.S. and Japan.” While the country is considering different currencies for the sale, Danylyshyn said he thinks the bonds should be denominated in euros. The former Soviet state needs to get through a presidential runoff vote on Feb. 7 before turning to markets for financing, Danylyshyn said. Prime Minister and presidential candidate Yulia Timoshenko and her opponent Viktor Yanukovych have both said they’re ready to dispute the outcome of the ballot if they suspect vote rigging. That would prolong the period of political uncertainty that’s left Ukraine’s $16.4 billion International Monetary Fund loan frozen since November. “The major risk to the economy is the political risk,” Danylyshyn said. Ukraine plans to choose banks to manage the placement in the second half of March, he said. Ukraine last sold international bonds in June 2007, when it offered investors $500 million in notes at 6.385 percent. The country has $5 billion of foreign-currency bonds outstanding, including 35.1 billion yen ($388 million) of 3.2 percent securities due in December 2010, Bloomberg data show. The cost to insure against nonpayment by Ukraine using credit-default swaps is the world’s third highest, behind Venezuela and Argentina. Ukraine’s five-year default swaps have dropped to 910 basis points from a record 5,384 basis points in March. This compares to 483 basis points for Latvia and 179 basis points for Russia, Bloomberg data show. Markets The extra yield investors demand to own Ukraine debt instead of U.S. Treasuries fell 10 basis points to 7.47 percentage points as of 10:20 a.m. in Kiev, down from a peak of 35.93 percentage points in March, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s EMBI+ Index. Acting Finance Minister Ihor Umanskyi said yesterday Ukraine is in talks to borrow abroad as early as April, and wants to sell debt that will mature in two to three years and pay a “one-digit” interest rate. The IMF last month agreed to allow Ukraine access to $2 billion more than originally agreed from its foreign reserves to help the country pay for Russian gas. The concession was made to keep the government liquid through the election without releasing loan funds. Reserve Floor Even so, the central bank has signaled it may limit access to reserves, which stood at $26.5 billion at the end of December, as policy makers try to avoid fueling inflation . Consumer prices grew an annual 12.3 percent last month, from 13.6 percent in November, the State Statistics Committee said on Jan. 6. Danylyshyn said the central bank should agree to print as much as $2.7 billion this year and next to help revive growth and resurrect the economy from 2009’s contraction, which he last month estimated at between 12 percent and 12.5 percent. Output shrank 15.9 percent in the third quarter after declining 17.8 percent in the second and a record 20.3 percent in the first three months of 2009. “This money should be spent for production, not for consumption and that would allow us to keep inflation under control,” he said. “Inflation is not a problem and there are good chances it will stay below 10 percent this year.” The winner of the presidential runoff vote will probably keep the current Cabinet in place until the next parliamentary elections, due in 2012, Danylyshyn said. Cabinet Outlook “There are no reasons for any talks about the new Cabinet in the near future,” he said. “The Cabinet is backed by the majority in the parliament.” Gross domestic product will expand between 3 percent and 3.7 percent in 2010, as prices for Ukraine’s key exports such as metals, grains and chemicals recover, Danylyshyn said. If the central bank agrees to print more money to finance industrial projects, the economy will probably grow between 5 percent and 6 percent this year and next and 7 percent in 2012, he said. “We have passed the peak of the crisis,” Danylyshyn said. To contact the reporter on this story Halia Pavliva in Kiev at hpavliva@bloomberg.net

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Darling Says Pimco View of Gilts as Risky Investment Not Shared by Others

January 28, 2010

By Gonzalo Vina Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling brushed aside criticism from international investors about Britain’s debt, saying plans to halve the deficit in four years are the most ambitious of any major economy. The remarks come after advice this week by Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross, who said U.K. government bonds are “a must to avoid” and that gilts “are resting on a bed of nitroglycerine” because the country has relatively high debt and the ability to devalue its currency. “It’s not a view shared by others,” Darling said in an interview with Bloomberg Television in London today. “If you look at what we are doing, we have the fastest deficit reduction plan of major economies; we are going to halve the deficit in four years.” “Inevitably, markets are markets,” Darling said. “People will say things, do things; that’s the way markets operate. My concern is how we conduct our affairs here.” To contact the reporter on this story: Gonzalo Vina in London at gvina@bloomberg.net

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European Confidence in Economy Rose for 10th Month in January on Recovery

January 28, 2010

By Simone Meier Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — European confidence in the economic outlook improved for a 10th month in January as reviving global demand helped stoke exports and bolstered earnings across the 16-nation euro region. An index of executive and consumer sentiment increased to 95.7 from a revised 94.1 in December, the European Commission in Brussels said today. Economists expected confidence to rise to 92.3 from a previously reported December reading of 91.3, the median of 29 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey showed. European companies are stepping up output to meet export demand after governments around the globe committed trillions of dollars to stimulus measures. SAP AG , the world’s biggest maker of business-management software, said yesterday it expects a rebound in sales in 2010. Still, European Central Bank council member Axel Weber has forecast a “protracted” recovery. “It’s a further improvement but it doesn’t suggest that sentiment will go through the roof,” said Juergen Michels , chief euro-region economist at Citigroup Inc. in London. “We’ll probably see a further economic expansion, if at a slightly weaker pace than in the second half of 2009. This won’t be a boom year, that’s clear.” The euro was little changed against the dollar after the report, at $1.4017 as of 10:21 a.m. in London from $1.4024 yesterday. German government bonds remained lower, pushing the yield on the 10-year bund up 3 basis points to 3.22 percent. Global Growth Signaling a revival in production, capacity utilization rose for a second quarter, today’s report showed. The index, compiled every three months, increased to 72.4 from 71. The gauge had fallen to a record low in the third quarter. The global economy may expand 3.9 percent this year instead of a previously projected 3.1 percent, led by emerging economies, the International Monetary Fund said on Jan. 26. The euro region may grow 1 percent this year, the Washington-based organization forecast. In China, growth accelerated to the fastest since 2007 in the fourth quarter. Indian exports rose to a 15-month high in December, bolstering growth in Asia’s third-largest economy. Deutsche Lufthansa AG, Europe’s second-largest airline, expects faster growth in the U.S. and Asia than in its home market over the coming years, Chief Executive Officer Wolfgang Mayrhuber said on Jan. 19. Volkswagen AG, Europe’s biggest carmaker, reported a 37 percent surge in Chinese sales in 2009. Momentum In the euro region, the recovery is losing some momentum as governments phase out stimulus measures and companies continue to cut jobs, eroding consumer demand. Expansion in Europe’s manufacturing and services industries unexpectedly weakened in January and German investor confidence declined. “A recovery will be solid but nothing too exciting,” said Rossa White , chief economist at Dublin-based securities firm Davy. The Dow Jones Stoxx 50 Index has shed 4.9 percent this year while Germany’s benchmark DAX Index has lost 4.2 percent. Remy Cointreau SA, France’s second-largest liquor maker based in Paris, said on Jan. 21 that revenue in the three months through December dropped on declining demand. Airbus SAS, a unit of European Aeronautic Defence & Space Co., said this month that it plans to cut about 1,000 temporary jobs to reduce costs. Euro-area unemployment probably rose to 10.1 percent in December from 10 percent the previous month, according a Bloomberg survey. That would be the highest since June 1998. The European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg will release the report tomorrow. A gauge of consumers’ price expectations over the next 12 months jumped to minus 2 in January from minus 6 in December, the highest since April, today’s report showed. The ECB earlier this month kept borrowing costs at a record low of 1 percent to bolster spending and President Jean-Claude Trichet said a European recovery will likely be “uneven.” “In 2010, we expect only moderate growth in the euro region and probably a bumpy recovery,” ECB Executive Board member Juergen Stark said on Jan. 26. “Overall, I wouldn’t expect a fast return to robust growth.” To contact the reporter on this story: Simone Meier in Dublin at smeier@bloombert.net

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Stocks, High-Yield Currencies Gain on Fed Outlook; Bonds Fall, Oil Climbs

January 28, 2010

By Justin Carrigan Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — Stocks rallied, with the MSCI World Index snapping its longest losing streak in almost a year, and high-yield currencies and oil rose after the Federal Reserve said for the first time the U.S. economy is in a recovery. The MSCI Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks advanced 0.5 percent at 10:17 a.m. in London, after falling for six straight days. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.5 percent. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Banks Index gained 2.4 percent as U.S. President Barack Obama said in his first State of the Union address he isn’t “punishing” financial companies. The Australian and New Zealand dollars strengthened the most against the yen and the dollar. Crude oil rose 1 percent. Fed policy makers yesterday upgraded their economic outlook and pledged to keep interest rates at a record low for an “extended period,” helping offset investor concern this week that China is withdrawing stimulus. Almost 80 percent of the companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings so this quarter far have beaten analysts’ estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Ford Motor Co. and Microsoft Corp. are scheduled to report today. “Investors are shifting attention to the fact that the overall recovery remains intact and there may be upgrades in earnings estimates,” said Chu Moon Sung , fund manager at Shinhan BNP Paribas Asset Management Co., which manages $26 billion. “Uncertainties that overwhelmed markets in the past few days such as tightening concerns in China are subsiding.” European Gains The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index rose 1.2 percent, its biggest gain since the first trading day of the year. The measure has declined 3.9 percent from its Jan. 19 high, as Obama called for limits on risk-taking by banks and China moved to restrict lending and cool the fastest economic growth since 2007. Hennes & Mauritz AB, Europe’s second-biggest clothing retailer, jumped 7.2 percent in Stockholm as its earnings beat estimates. British Sky Broadcasting Group Plc , the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider, added 2 percent in London after reporting a record gain in high-definition TV clients and fewer cancellations. Canon Inc., which generates 28 percent of its revenue in the Americas, advanced 1.8 percent in Tokyo after forecasting its biggest profit increase in a decade. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 1.3 percent, heading for the biggest advance in almost four weeks. The 22-country benchmark index snapped its longest losing streak in a year after declines during the past six trading sessions sent the gauge down 9.7 percent from a 2010 peak. Futures Advance The gain in U.S. futures indicated the S&P 500 may extend yesterday’s 0.5 percent advance. Economic reports may show the recovery is gaining momentum. Orders for goods meant to last several years probably climbed in December, economists said before Commerce Department figures due at 8:30 a.m. in Washington. A separate report from the Labor Department may show fewer Americans sought jobless benefits last week. A record nine-quarter earnings slump for S&P 500 companies is projected to have ended in the fourth quarter with a 73 percent increase in profits. More than 130 companies in the index are scheduled to release results this week. Procter & Gamble Co. and Amazon.com Inc. also are reporting today. The Australian dollar strengthened 1.4 percent against the yen and 0.9 percent versus the U.S. dollar as optimism the economic recovery is gaining momentum spurred demand for higher- yielding currencies. The New Zealand dollar climbed 1.3 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively. The Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against those of six major trading partners, snapped a two-day advance, falling 0.1 percent. Gilts Drop U.K. gilts led declines in government bonds, with the yield on the 10-year note rising 7 basis points to 3.95 percent. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury climbed 2 basis points to 3.67 percent, the highest level in a week. Greek bonds extended losses amid concern the government will struggle to narrow a budget deficit of almost 13 percent of GDP last year, the highest in the European Union. The 10-year note yield rose 8 basis points to 6.83 percent, adding to yesterday’s 51 basis-point gain. The extra yield, or spread, that investors demand to hold the securities instead of benchmark German bunds widened 4 basis points to 360 basis points, the most since December 1998. Copper for delivery in three months fell 1.2 percent to $7,145 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange on concern that demand may wane in China. Aluminum and nickel also retreated. Gold for immediate delivery rose 0.4 percent to $1,092.32 an ounce in London. To contact the reporter on this story: Justin Carrigan in Copenhagen at swallace6@bloomberg.net

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USA Uranium Appoints John Perez as New President and Releases Highlights of the Occidental/Pasadena Mine

January 28, 2010

PALM DESERT, CA–(Marketwire – January 28, 2010) – USA Uranium Corp. ( PINKSHEETS : USAU ) ( http://usauranium.com ) — Ken Berscht, Chairman and CEO of USA Uranium is pleased to announce John Perez as new President of USA Uranium. Mr. Perez the former Director of Communications has now assumed the role of President of USA Uranium. “Mr. Perez brings his experience in helping bring USA Uranium to the next level of developing an emerging exploration mining company which has focused on ‘Going where Gold is’ and was responsible for bringing Ken Berscht to the team as CEO of USA Uranium.

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Hamptons Home Sales Increase 59% as Buyers Seek Bargains in Luxury Market

January 28, 2010

By Oshrat Carmiel and Prashant Gopal Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — Home sales in the Hamptons, the New York vacation getaway for dealmaker Stephen Schwarzman and movie star Sarah Jessica Parker, surged 59 percent in the fourth quarter as two years of declining prices lured buyers. Transactions climbed to 409 from 257 a year earlier, the biggest increase in seven years of recordkeeping, New York-based appraiser Miller Samuel Inc. and broker Prudential Douglas Elliman Real Estate said in a report today. Competition for properties pushed the median price up 4.9 percent to $917,900, the first year-over-year gain since the beginning of 2008. “This is all very good news, better than expected, but I still think we’re not through this yet,” Miller Samuel President Jonathan Miller said in an interview. “The surge in activity to more normal levels, a large portion of that is a release of pent-up demand.” The median Hamptons home price dropped 31 percent since 2007 as financial firms recorded $1.74 trillion in global losses and asset writedowns tied to sour U.S. home loans. Wall Street executives drive Hampton’s property sales. Part-time residents have included Schwarzman, chairman and chief executive officer of the Blackstone Group LP and billionaire Ronald Perelman. Hamptons sales slumped in 2008 and the beginning of 2009 as the financial industry cut 26,300 New York City jobs in 12 months, the state Labor Department said Jan. 21. New York City’s unemployment rate jumped to 10.6 percent in December, the highest level since 1993. “We have two macro issues, unemployment and credit, that are not expected to change significantly in 2010 from where we are now,” Miller said. “It’s more the second half of the year that I’m concerned about.” Price Cuts Hamptons home sellers cut an average of 14 percent from their asking prices to attract buyers in the fourth quarter, compared with discounts of 16 percent a year earlier, Miller said. Peter and Annette Smergut found a buyer for their East Hampton ranch-style house after agreeing to sell it for $815,000, a 19 percent discount from their original asking price. The 1,800 square-foot home includes a pool, pond and private beach access. The sellers got a deal of their own, purchasing a new place in East Hampton for $715,000, 28 percent less than the asking price 10 months earlier, said Peter Smergut. “It was a hit for us and a hit for them,” he said. Two other real estate brokers issued Hamptons sales reports this month. The Corcoran Group , based in Manhattan, said annual home sales tumbled 22 percent in 2009 and the median price dropped 4 percent to $830,000. Broker Views Town & Country Real Estate said the median price across 11 towns and villages that comprise the Hamptons fell 2.5 percent to $905,000 in 2009, while the number of properties changing hands climbed 4.9 percent to 1,045. Each brokerage report draws data from different sources. “The fourth quarter was the saving grace for all of 2009,” said Judi Desiderio , president and chief executive officer of Town & Country Real Estate . Luxury sales throughout the Hamptons and Long Island’s North Fork climbed to 55 properties, a 53 percent increase in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, according to Miller Samuel and Prudential Douglas Elliman. The median luxury price dropped 3.4 percent to $4.5 million. Miller defines the luxury market as the top 10 percent of sales, which in the fourth quarter included properties sold for $3 million or more. High-end sellers cut their price by an average of 17 percent compared with 9 percent a year earlier, Miller said. To contact the reporter on this story: Oshrat Carmiel in New York at ocarmiel1@bloomberg.net ; Prashant Gopal in New York at Pgopal2@bloomberg.net

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Volkswagen’s Sprightly GTI Is Porsche Lover’s Starter Car: Jason H. Harper

January 28, 2010

Review by Jason H. Harper Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — What’s so special about the Volkswagen GTI? A gussied-up Golf with a special grill on its pug nose, this squat squirt certainly is no Maserati. Yet among certain car cognoscenti, the spirited, sprightly hatchback is a hallowed thing. The sixth-generation GTI recently won Automobile magazine ’s Car of the Year. The bare facts: It starts under $25,000 and has a scrappy 2.0-liter turbo four-cylinder engine with 200 horsepower and 207 pound-feet of torque. That’s much peppier than the Golf, but is pretty pale in this era of 500-plus-horsepower powerplants. So what gives? “The GTI has a direct bloodline to Audis and Porsches,” says Brian Scotto, editorial director of 0-60 magazine and a GTI devotee. “It’s an aspirational vehicle. The guy who wants to grow up and drive a Porsche will probably drive a VW first. It’s the least expensive German sports car you can buy.” First released in the U.S. in the early 1980s, today the GTI is based on the $18,000 Golf (some versions of which were named the Rabbit in the U.S.), and is available with two or four doors, plus the rear hatch opening. The four-door model only costs an additional $600, though the two-door version looks cleaner. My test car was a two-door model with an optional sunroof, Xenon headlights and a $27,255 sticker. While the GTI may have created the segment of economical rockets, the front-wheel-drive hatch has stiff competition from the likes of the Subaru WRX and Mitsubishi Evolution. A similarly equipped WRX Premium has all-wheel-drive and more power (265 hp), yet costs only about $1,000 more. Frozen Roads With temperatures hovering around freezing and forest roads flecked with snow, my buddy Josh and I stepped into a steel-gray GTI to find out just what was what. Not having grown up slavering over the car, my vision was maybe a bit clearer than that of some colleagues. Josh settled into the passenger seat as we set out onto a network of secondary roads. “Nice sport seats,” he commented. They were. My frame was slightly big for them, but they were clingy — just right for keeping you in place during hard cornering. I was somewhat less sure of their plaid pattern. I did like the eye-catching cross-stitching which ran along the inside of the perfectly sized steering wheel and down the leather covering of the six-speed stick shift. Yes, it had a manual transmission, a feature disappearing on cars more quickly than bluefin tuna from the oceans. From Ferraris to Fords, everything I drive these days seems to be equipped with some type of automated transmission. Smooth Shift Yet while a six-speed automated double-clutch is available, the manual seemed perfect for the small 2.0-liter four-cylinder engine. Gear shifts were smooth and, most importantly, fun. In fact as I swept through a series of off-camber S-turns, I was enjoying myself a lot. “For a change, it feels really smooth,” said Josh, giving no clue as to whether he was commenting on the suspension or my normal driving style. The suspension wasn’t spine-jarringly stiff like many small sports cars such as the Mini Cooper S with the John Cooper Works package. Yet the nose easily tucked into turns upon request, like a happy-to-please puppy. “Smooth is fast,” goes a common racing mantra, and my speeds began to pick up. A series of short undulating hills, a carnival ride, big smiles. Holding Corners The biggest problem with front-wheel-drive sports cars is understeer. That is the tendency for the front wheels to lose traction in curves and bends, forcing the car to plow forward rather than turning. The effect is especially pronounced in turns with tight radiuses or when you enter a turn carrying too much speed. To help counteract the problem, the GTI lightly brakes the inside wheels in a turn, effectively coaxing it to turn in, and reducing understeer. I might not have been consciously aware of this electronic intervention, but as I dove into sharp twists fast and late, I certainly noticed that the GTI behaved better than most front- wheel drives. Brakes were sturdy, but I rarely needed them. Power on, shift up; take foot of gas, shift down, turn; power back on. This is uncomplicated motoring fun. The fact is that you can’t use all the horsepower in a Corvette or Viper on tight roads anyhow. While I would have been cursing the GTI on the autobahn, on rising and winding lanes its 200 horsepower is plenty. Bluetooth Connection The rear hatch lends the GTI some practicality, the interior has Bluetooth connectivity, power locks and windows and a nice stereo, and it has a full complement of safety features from side airbags to electronic stability controls. And yet there’s still something about the GTI which is not quite grown up. With its wedge shape, red-striped front grill and rear spoiler, it retains more than a hint of its boy-racer roots. Whether you regard that as its greatest asset or liability depends on age — both actual and mental. For me, I might not be a devotee, but I finally understood the appeal. The 2010 Volkswagen GTI at a Glance Engine: 2.0-liter turbo 4-cylinder with 200 horsepower and 207 pound feet of torque. Transmission: Six-speed manual or automated double clutch. Speed: 0 to 60 mph in 6.8 seconds. Gas mileage per gallon: 21 city; 31 highway. Price as tested: $27,255. Best feature: Supple yet sporty suspension. Worst feature: It looks like a boy’s toy. Target buyer: The enthusiast looking for an entry-level German sports car. ( Jason H. Harper writes about autos for Bloomberg News. The opinions expressed are his own.) To contact the writer of this column: Jason H. Harper at Jason@JasonHharper.com .

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Democrats Welcome Obama’s Focus on Jobs, Deficit After Political Setbacks

January 28, 2010

By Catherine Dodge and Lorraine Woellert Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — Democrats said President Barack Obama ’s emphasis on jobs, middle-class struggles and bloated government spending in his State of the Union speech would help settle anxiety after recent setbacks for the party. “What I heard him say is we don’t want people running to the hills,” Representative Gerald Connolly , a Virginia Democrat, said in an interview after Obama’s speech last night. “He did a good job reminding the American public of why they voted for him in 2008.” Democrats are seeking to regroup after focusing most of last year on a sweeping health-care overhaul that was sidelined after Republican Scott Brown ’s victory for the U.S. Senate seat held by the late Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts. Republicans, emboldened by Brown’s Jan. 19 upset and victories in the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races in November, have criticized Obama and his fellow Democrats for what they say is big-government spending and a failure to create jobs for middle-class Americans. Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell , in the Republican response to Obama’s address, said “massive” federal spending to stimulate the economy last year didn’t hold down unemployment . Obama, in his first State of the Union address last night, stressed his administration’s efforts to spur economic growth, create jobs and impose fiscal discipline. Obama and Democrats in Congress are facing voter anxiety over rising deficits and 10 percent unemployment nationwide. ‘Workmanlike Speech’ “It was a workmanlike speech to say he has heard the voices of the American people and that we should focus on the things we need to get done,” Representative Michael McMahon , a New York Democrat, said in a phone interview. “That economic call to action, that brings people together,” said Senator Amy Klobuchar , a Minnesota Democrat. Last year’s federal budget shortfall was a record $1.4 trillion, and the Congressional Budget Office this week forecast this year’s will be $1.35 trillion, the second-highest ever. The president proposed a three-year freeze on spending for many domestic programs to save about $250 billion over 10 years, and called on Congress to pass a package of tax cuts and spending to stimulate the economy and create jobs. Tax Proposals Obama proposed tax relief targeting middle-income Americans and $38 billion worth of tax incentives for businesses to buy equipment. “The fact that about 55 minutes of the speech was about people’s pocketbooks and the struggles they are having and what he’s going to do about it” made it clear Obama understands the concerns of the American people, said Democratic consultant Peter Fenn in an interview. Representative John Dingell , a Michigan Democrat, called Obama’s speech “vigorous.” “I heard the president talk of responsible government, the need to work together, the need to terminate some of this insane partisanship that’s be plaguing this place,” said Dingell, who was first elected to his House seat in 1955. Republicans said Obama’s actions haven’t matched his rhetoric. “After a year of failed policies and broken promises, President Obama once again demonstrated the rhetorical flair in an attempt to sound populist,” said Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele in a statement. ‘Job-Killing Policies’ House Republican Leader John Boehner of Ohio said Americans “were looking to President Obama to change course” in his speech and “they got more of the same job-killing policies instead.” “What government should not do is pile on more taxation, regulation, and litigation that kill jobs and hurt the middle class,” McDonnell said in his speech at the Virginia House of Delegates in Richmond. McDonnell’s victory in November delivered one of the early political setbacks to Obama, who in 2008 became the first Democrat to carry Virginia in a presidential race since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. McDonnell, sworn into office earlier this month, called for policies to spur economic growth and promote entrepreneurship to create jobs and make the U.S. more competitive globally. He said lawmakers must lower the federal debt because it is on an unsustainable path. “In the past year, over 3 million Americans have lost their jobs, yet the Democratic Congress continues deficit spending, adding to the bureaucracy and increasing the national debt on our children and grandchildren,” McDonnell, 55, said. To contact the reporters on this story: Catherine Dodge in Washington at cdodge1@bloomberg.net Lorraine Woellert in Washington at lwoellert@bloomberg.net ;

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Gold Fields Says Changes to South African Mine Law Should Be `Sustainable’

January 28, 2010

By Ron Derby Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — Gold Fields Ltd. , Africa’s second- biggest producer of the metal, said any changes to South African mining law to encourage black investor participation should be “sustainable” to avoid damaging the country’s industry. “I hope that sanity prevails,” Nick Holland , chief executive officer, said in an interview in Johannesburg yesterday at the company’s headquarters. “Don’t kill the goose that laid the golden egg.” The government, mining companies and labor unions will review South African legislation at a meeting in March. Minister of Mineral Resources Susan Shabangu said in November the industry had missed targets to increase black investment. Shares of companies that mine in South Africa plunged in 2002 when laws compelling them to sell assets to black owners were first reported. The ruling African National Congress party passed legislation in 2004 forcing miners to sell 15 percent of their assets to black investors by 2009 and 26 percent by 2014. The measures are aimed at compensating for discrimination against blacks during apartheid, which ended in 1994. “Are we in for an unpleasant surprise that’s going to cause another wave of investor fatigue and investor retreat?” Holland said. “That’s the risk.” Jeremy Michaels , a spokesman for the Department of Mineral Resources, declined to comment. “The real concern in the industry is whether the goalposts are going to be moved,” Peter Leon, chairman of the Mining Law Committee of the International Bar Association, said in a telephone interview from Cape Town. “It’s up to government to allay those concerns as best they can.” Platinum, Ferrochrome South Africa produces almost four-fifths of the world’s platinum, is the largest maker of ferrochrome and third-biggest gold miner. Johannesburg-based AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. is Africa’s biggest gold producer. If new measures are introduced following the March meeting, the government has to be “realistic and reasonable” on how long it will take to implement them, Holland said. Measures put in place over a “short period” would be a “recipe for disaster,” he said. To contact the reporter on this story: Ron Derby in Johannesburg at rderby1@bloomberg.net

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Gulf Gap in Davos Belies Booming Economies in Oil-Rich Saudi Arabia, Qatar

January 28, 2010

By Henry Meyer and Arif Sharif Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — The program for this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos features no speakers from Qatar, Dubai or Abu Dhabi in any of the conference’s 230 events. Five spots are occupied by Saudis and four by Kuwaitis. “I think the absence of the Middle East is quite conspicuous,” said Ibrahim Dabdoub , chief executive officer of the National Bank of Kuwait, interviewed in the conference center in the Swiss village. “It’s a pity that Gulf involvement is so low.” Especially for anyone looking to make money. Six weeks after Dubai almost defaulted on $4.1 billion in debt, the region as a whole is set to prosper. Oil prices, which account for 75 percent of the revenue of the six monarchies in the Gulf Cooperation Council , have more than doubled from their February 2009 low of $34 a barrel. Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Abu Dhabi are spending $600 billion by the end of 2013 to build roads, railways and new cities while expanding energy and manufacturing. The GCC countries are forecast by HSBC Holdings Plc to post an average expansion of 4 percent or more in 2010, after no increase last year. That compares with projected growth of 2.7 percent in the U.S. and 1 percent in the 16-nation euro zone, according to the International Monetary Fund . Serious Opportunities “As a region I think we are on the cusp of some very very serious growth opportunities in the years ahead,” said Arif Naqvi , CEO of Dubai-based Abraaj Capital Ltd., the biggest private-equity company in the GCC, in an interview in Davos. “It is probably higher than in other parts of the world. There is liquidity and there is a desire.” The new spending may benefit Munich-based Siemens AG , Europe’s largest engineer, which said in November it is looking to win more contracts in Saudi Arabia to tap rising demand for power generation. Paris-based Total SA , Europe’s largest oil company, said Nov. 24 it is in talks with Qatar to build a petrochemical cracker, a fuel-processing plant. Emad Mostaque , a Middle East equity-fund manager in London for Pictet Asset Management Ltd., which oversees more than $100 billion, plans to add to Saudi shares that currently represent a third of his portfolio. Saudi Arabia’s benchmark Tadawul All Share Index jumped 28 percent in 2009, the best-performing of the Gulf markets , followed by Oman. “Saudi Arabia is where we see the most potential,” Mostaque said in a phone interview. He said he recently bought more shares in Riyadh Bank, Riyadh-based Saudi food producer Almarai Co. and Riyadh-based Saudi Basic Industries Corp. , the world’s largest petrochemical producer. Pipes and Building He plans to acquire stock in Jeddah-based Saudi Cement, Riyadh-based pipe manufacturer Saudi Arabian Amiantit Co. and Zamil Industrial Investment Co., a Dammam-based maker of building materials. The kingdom last year announced that it would spend $400 billion on projects including three new railway lines and six new industrial cities over five years. It is the largest stimulus package in the Group of 20 nations as a share of gross domestic product. This year, almost $70 billion will go to roads, railways, airports and other projects, a 16 percent increase over 2009. Crude prices, which have rebounded to about $75 a barrel, are likely to boost Saudi oil revenue in 2010 to $151.7 billion from $116.7 billion in 2009, according to EFG-Hermes. The Saudi 2010 budget was based on an average oil price assumption of $46 a barrel, according to Riyadh-based Banque Saudi Fransi. New Airport Qatar, which has the world’s third-largest gas reserves, is spending more than $100 billion over three years on projects including a new financial center and an airport. Abu Dhabi, the largest sheikhdom in the United Arab Emirates, is allocating $100 billion to such investments as a $40 billion project to build an island tourism and leisure destination. Abu Dhabi holds 8 percent of the world’s oil reserves. “Oil prices will be a very important driver of confidence in the region,” said Dubai-based Monica Malik , chief Middle East economist at EFG-Hermes, which forecasts an average price of $80 a barrel in 2010. The six Gulf Arab nations in the GCC supply about 20 percent of the world’s oil — two-thirds of that crude output in Saudi Arabia alone. Growth will be slower in the smaller Gulf nations of Oman and Bahrain, which have less oil wealth, and Kuwait, where political infighting is slowing spending programs, said Simon Williams , chief Middle East economist at HSBC. Less Risk In a sign of the economic disparity, investors see less than one-fifth the risk in Saudi Arabian bonds compared with Dubai’s, according to trading in credit-default swaps. The cost of protecting against Dubai government default stood at 473 basis points on Jan. 27, CMA Datavision prices show. Bond-default risk for Abu Dhabi was 138, for Qatar 97 and 83 for Saudi Arabia. The seven-member U.A.E. will grow by no more than 1 percent this year because of a continuing contraction in Dubai, the IMF forecast Jan. 26. Saudi Arabia will post growth of almost 4 percent, according to a Jan. 13 forecast by Banque Saudi Fransi. Qatar, which plans to raise its production of liquefied natural gas by 42 percent to 77 million tons by September, is expected to have GDP growth of 17 percent in 2010, according to a median forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg in November to December 2009. The country is considering an investment in Petroleo Brasileiro SA , Brazil’s state-controlled oil company, Qatari Energy Minister Abdullah bin Hamad al-Attiyah said on Jan. 21. The next day, Brazilian Energy Minister Edison Lobao said Qatar may invest in a refinery joint venture with Rio de Janeiro-based Petrobras. Credit Squeeze The Gulf region as a whole suffered from a credit squeeze last year provoked by the global financial crisis. That, along with the sharp fall in oil prices from a peak of $147.27 a barrel in July 2008, led to the slump in 2009. Dubai, where real-estate prices have plunged 50 percent since their 2008 peak has fared the worst as it struggles under at least $80 billion in debt. Dubai World, one of three main state-owned holding companies, avoided default in December only with an infusion from neighboring Abu Dhabi that allowed it to repay a $4.1 billion Islamic bond. Bank lending elsewhere in the Gulf was also upset by the default of two Saudi family conglomerates. Eighty lenders, including BNP Paribas SA and Citigroup Inc. , are owed at least $15.7 billion by the two groups. Bank credit in Saudi Arabia declined 6.6 percent in the 11 months through November, 2009, central bank data shows. This year, government spending will remain the key driver of growth in Saudi Arabia as well as in most other Gulf economies as banks remain reluctant to lend, said John Sfakianakis , chief economist at Banque Saudi Fransi. In addition, Abu Dhabi has sovereign assets of about $426 billion, one of the world’s largest funds, according to RGE Monitor in New York. Saudi Arabia holds a fund of $358 billion, Qatar $75 billion and Kuwait has about $271 billion. To contact the reporters on this story: Henry Meyer in Dubai at hmeyer4@bloomberg.net ; Arif Sharif in Davos at asharif2@bloomberg.net

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