February 2010

RAU announces major increase in treatment plant throughput rate

February 24, 2010

RAU announces major increase in treatment plant throughput rate

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RNG kicks off processing of ore from Mt Morgans

February 24, 2010

RNG kicks off processing of ore from Mt Morgans

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RNG kicks off processing of ore from Mt Morgans

February 24, 2010

RNG kicks off processing of ore from Mt Morgans

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UraniumSA completes drilling at Blackbush Prospect

February 24, 2010

UraniumSA completes drilling at Blackbush Prospect

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UraniumSA completes drilling at Blackbush Prospect

February 24, 2010

UraniumSA completes drilling at Blackbush Prospect

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PAB granted key patent for lead anti-cancer product

February 24, 2010

PAB granted key patent for lead anti-cancer product

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PAB granted key patent for lead anti-cancer product

February 24, 2010

PAB granted key patent for lead anti-cancer product

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AAG Resources commences drilling at Central Murchison Gold Project

February 24, 2010

AAG Resources commences drilling at Central Murchison Gold Project

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AAG Resources commences drilling at Central Murchison Gold Project

February 24, 2010

AAG Resources commences drilling at Central Murchison Gold Project

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BCC Energy finalises institutional $25.5 m convertible note funding

February 24, 2010

BCC Energy finalises institutional $25.5 m convertible note funding

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BCC Energy finalises institutional $25.5 m convertible note funding

February 24, 2010

BCC Energy finalises institutional $25.5 m convertible note funding

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Malaysia emerges from recession in Q4

February 24, 2010

Malaysia emerges from recession in Q4

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Malaysia emerges from recession in Q4

February 24, 2010

Malaysia emerges from recession in Q4

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BRM Resources confirms upgradeability of Marillana detrital ore

February 24, 2010

BRM Resources confirms upgradeability of Marillana detrital ore

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BRM Resources confirms upgradeability of Marillana detrital ore

February 24, 2010

BRM Resources confirms upgradeability of Marillana detrital ore

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French union ready to suspend refinery strike

February 24, 2010

French union ready to suspend refinery strike

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US- CAIR praises sheriff for response to hate e-mail

February 24, 2010

US- CAIR praises sheriff for response to hate e-mail

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India: 3 soldiers, militant killed in Kashmir gunbattle

February 24, 2010

India: 3 soldiers, militant killed in Kashmir gunbattle

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Hong Kong grew more than forecasts in the fourth quarter of 2009

February 24, 2010

Hong Kong grew more than forecasts in the fourth quarter of 2009

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China- Jinan to acquire Laiwu for $1.7b

February 24, 2010

China- Jinan to acquire Laiwu for $1.7b

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IOH reports on significant mineralisation at Iron Valley Project

February 24, 2010

IOH reports on significant mineralisation at Iron Valley Project

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AEX announces variation to acquisition terms and capital raising

February 24, 2010

AEX announces variation to acquisition terms and capital raising

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Hong Kong economy rebounds in Q4

February 24, 2010

Hong Kong economy rebounds in Q4

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Official: Iran’s oil sector needs $30b in investments

February 24, 2010

Official: Iran’s oil sector needs $30b in investments

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Fiat suspends production temporarily in Italy

February 24, 2010

Fiat suspends production temporarily in Italy

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Sears posts $430m profit in Q4

February 24, 2010

Sears posts $430m profit in Q4

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German 4Q GDP Raises Concerns

February 24, 2010

German 4Q GDP Raises Concerns

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US consumer confidence falls this month

February 24, 2010

US consumer confidence falls this month

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GM, Spyker close Saab deal

February 24, 2010

GM, Spyker close Saab deal

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Fufeng Group (HKG:0546) Joins The Hang Seng Composite Index

February 24, 2010

Fufeng Group (HKG:0546) Joins The Hang Seng Composite Index

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Germany continues under the scrutiny as the recovery is confirmed at a standstill!

February 24, 2010

Germany continues under the scrutiny as the recovery is confirmed at a standstill!

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Insurance Cost of NOCs seen to decrease by around 20%

February 24, 2010

Insurance Cost of NOCs seen to decrease by around 20%

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Calm trading after yesterday’s drop

February 24, 2010

Calm trading after yesterday’s drop

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CBRE Investors Buys East End Apts. for $100.5 Million

February 24, 2010

Los Angeles-based CB Richard Ellis Investors purchased the Mass Court apartments at 300 H St. NW in Washington, DC, for $100.5 million, or about $270,889 per unit, according to public record. Prudential Real Estate Investors, acting on behalf of institutional…

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Vote on Measure to Combat Joblessness Scheduled for Today in U.S. Senate

February 24, 2010

By Brian Faler Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. Senate plans to vote today on a $15 billion bill to fight joblessness that gives companies a tax break for hiring people who have been out of work at least 60 days. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid , a Nevada Democrat, had hoped the chamber could complete action on the measure last night after a handful of Republicans, including Scott Brown of Massachusetts, joined Democrats in a Feb. 22 vote to end Republican stalling tactics. Republican Senate leaders objected to Reid’s efforts, prompting him to schedule final votes on the bill today. Passage of the bill will send it to the House, where Democratic leaders could seek a vote on it without changes or attempt to merge it with a $150 billion jobs plan the House passed in December. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer , a Maryland Democrat, said lawmakers in the chamber haven’t decided which route to pursue. The Senate bill’s centerpiece is a $13 billion plan to fight unemployment by offering companies a one-year holiday from paying a 6.2 percent Social Security payroll tax for each worker they hire who has been jobless for at least 60 days. Democrats previously rejected the payroll tax idea as part of an economic stimulus package passed last February. Senator Charles Schumer , a New York Democrat and one of the chief sponsors of the tax provision, said it makes more sense now that the U.S. economy is growing. ‘Business Sense’ “Obviously employers decide to hire workers when it makes business sense” and “no tax incentive, if your sales are declining, is going to encourage you to hire somebody,” he said. “But we’re finding that at this stage of the nascent, incipient and all-too-small recovery that many businesses, large and small, are finding orders beginning to rise.” Schumer said, “It is those businesses that our tax credit is aimed at — this proposal may give them the push they need to add a few workers or hire them a few months sooner than they otherwise might. Either would be a good thing.” The plan would save or create as many as 234,000 jobs, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Other provisions in the bill would expand aid to state governments by expanding federal subsidies for bonds they issue to pay for construction projects, allow small businesses to immediately write off more of the cost of equipment purchases and expand infrastructure spending. The cost to the Treasury would be offset in part by cracking down on offshore tax evasion. Supermajority Lost Democrats, who lost their 60-vote supermajority with Brown’s election last month, were able to bring the legislation to a final vote after he and four other Republicans broke with their party leaders on the Feb. 22 procedural vote . Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell , a Kentucky Republican, had demanded a chance to make additional changes to the plan, including adding more tax cuts. Asked yesterday if we was unhappy with Brown, McConnell said his party “represents all parts of the country, different points of view — we don’t expect our members to be in lockstep on every single issue and we’re happy to have him here.” Reid said lawmakers will soon take up legislation extending unemployment benefits, including Cobra subsidies to help the jobless buy health insurance, as well as additional aid to state governments struggling with slack tax revenue. To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Faler  in Washington at   or bfaler@bloomberg.net .

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Vote on Measure to Combat Joblessness Scheduled for Today in U.S. Senate

February 24, 2010

By Brian Faler Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. Senate plans to vote today on a $15 billion bill to fight joblessness that gives companies a tax break for hiring people who have been out of work at least 60 days. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid , a Nevada Democrat, had hoped the chamber could complete action on the measure last night after a handful of Republicans, including Scott Brown of Massachusetts, joined Democrats in a Feb. 22 vote to end Republican stalling tactics. Republican Senate leaders objected to Reid’s efforts, prompting him to schedule final votes on the bill today. Passage of the bill will send it to the House, where Democratic leaders could seek a vote on it without changes or attempt to merge it with a $150 billion jobs plan the House passed in December. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer , a Maryland Democrat, said lawmakers in the chamber haven’t decided which route to pursue. The Senate bill’s centerpiece is a $13 billion plan to fight unemployment by offering companies a one-year holiday from paying a 6.2 percent Social Security payroll tax for each worker they hire who has been jobless for at least 60 days. Democrats previously rejected the payroll tax idea as part of an economic stimulus package passed last February. Senator Charles Schumer , a New York Democrat and one of the chief sponsors of the tax provision, said it makes more sense now that the U.S. economy is growing. ‘Business Sense’ “Obviously employers decide to hire workers when it makes business sense” and “no tax incentive, if your sales are declining, is going to encourage you to hire somebody,” he said. “But we’re finding that at this stage of the nascent, incipient and all-too-small recovery that many businesses, large and small, are finding orders beginning to rise.” Schumer said, “It is those businesses that our tax credit is aimed at — this proposal may give them the push they need to add a few workers or hire them a few months sooner than they otherwise might. Either would be a good thing.” The plan would save or create as many as 234,000 jobs, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Other provisions in the bill would expand aid to state governments by expanding federal subsidies for bonds they issue to pay for construction projects, allow small businesses to immediately write off more of the cost of equipment purchases and expand infrastructure spending. The cost to the Treasury would be offset in part by cracking down on offshore tax evasion. Supermajority Lost Democrats, who lost their 60-vote supermajority with Brown’s election last month, were able to bring the legislation to a final vote after he and four other Republicans broke with their party leaders on the Feb. 22 procedural vote . Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell , a Kentucky Republican, had demanded a chance to make additional changes to the plan, including adding more tax cuts. Asked yesterday if we was unhappy with Brown, McConnell said his party “represents all parts of the country, different points of view — we don’t expect our members to be in lockstep on every single issue and we’re happy to have him here.” Reid said lawmakers will soon take up legislation extending unemployment benefits, including Cobra subsidies to help the jobless buy health insurance, as well as additional aid to state governments struggling with slack tax revenue. To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Faler  in Washington at   or bfaler@bloomberg.net .

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Obama Summit May Give Democrats Chance to Jumpstart Health-Care Overhaul

February 24, 2010

By James Rowley and Kristin Jensen Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama may be creating the best chance to push through his stalled health- care plan by summoning his political foes to a summit tomorrow. Obama’s invitation to congressional leaders to convene at Blair House, across from the White House, challenges Republicans to provide ideas for overhauling a medical system that accounts for 17 percent of the U.S. economy. It also gives Obama a televised forum to focus on popular parts of a measure that is generally opposed by Americans. Republicans are pushing back against what they see as a political show designed to paint them as obstructionists so Democrats can score points with the public and move on alone. The Democrats’ likely last resort is to use a budget process called reconciliation, which would allow them to circumvent opposition in the Senate, though it may limit the bill’s scope. Democrats “want to make the Republicans look like partisan fools to give them the opportunity to do reconciliation,” said Republican strategist John Feehery . Obama raised the stakes Feb. 22 by releasing what White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer called an “opening bid,” a proposal that relies heavily on legislation the Senate passed in December. The plan, which the White House said would cover 31 million uninsured Americans and cost $950 billion over 10 years, includes a tax on unearned income such as capital gains to help fund the bill. The possibility of using reconciliation was “a factor” in drafting the measure, Pfeiffer said. Republicans balked. ‘Obamacare 2.0’ “House Republicans will continue to oppose any effort to use this so-called summit as a media preamble to forcing through Obamacare 2.0,” Indiana Representative Mike Pence , chairman of the House Republican Conference, said yesterday. Passage is far from assured through reconciliation, with a number of Senate Democrats opposing the maneuver, and some House Democrats lukewarm about the idea. Hanging in the balance is legislation that would give insurers such as WellPoint Inc. of Indianapolis and drugmakers including New York-based Pfizer Inc. millions of new customers while requiring them to make concessions. Insurers agreed to new rules; drugmakers would help Medicare patients afford medicines. Obama also supports eliminating an antitrust exemption for insurers, spokesman Robert Gibbs said yesterday. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will head a Democratic delegation to the meeting, which starts at 10 a.m. tomorrow; House Minority Leader John Boehner and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell lead the Republicans. It’s His Party The two sides have wrangled over details as small as the shape of the table, originally planned as a U-shape and now set to be rectangular. Obama can’t appear dismissive of Republican ideas after inviting them to seek common ground, said Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. “He’s the man who called the party,” she said. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius said Obama is “eager” to meet, yet would challenge Republicans. “He wants the Republicans to be honest about what they’re doing,” Sebelius told Bloomberg Television on Feb. 19. “You can’t cover everyone unless there’s some cost connected with that.” One House Republican plan would expand coverage to just 3 million uninsured Americans and cost $61 billion over 10 years, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Senate Republicans have offered no proposal. Massachusetts Vote Democrats were days away from a House-Senate compromise when they lost the 60th vote they needed in the Senate because of a Jan. 19 special election in Massachusetts. Reconciliation would allow passage with a simple majority; Democrats control 59 of the 100 Senate seats. Republicans say that election underscored public disapproval of the overhaul. A Feb. 3-9 Pew Research Center poll found 50 percent of Americans “generally oppose” the legislation, while 38 percent “generally favor” it. Democrats can win converts, said Scott Keeter , Pew’s director of survey research. After the House passed its bill in November, Pew found more support. The numbers also got closer in September after Obama spoke before Congress. “The making of the sausage is a troubling sight,” Keeter said. “Once it’s made, you then have for the people who voted for it at least a pretty strong incentive to unify around it.” Public Appeal Obama can also use the forum to emphasize changes people like. An ABC News/Washington Post poll this month found 80 percent of Americans support the proposal to force insurers to accept customers with pre-existing medical conditions; 72 percent favor a requirement that employers cover workers; and 56 percent back the individual mandate to buy insurance. “Most Americans like various parts of it but have a very negative view of its totality,” said Vic Fazio , a former Democratic congressman from California who’s now a Washington lobbyist with clients that support the health overhaul. With both sides standing fast, agreement at the meeting is unlikely, said David Rohde , a political scientist at Duke University in Durham, North Carolina. Democrats want to avert blame for getting nothing done and Republicans don’t want to give Obama a victory, Rohde said. “That, more than anything else, probably makes the Republicans skittish about getting involved in this,” he said. To contact the reporters on this story: Kristin Jensen in Washington at kjensen@bloomberg.net ; James Rowley in Washington at jarowley@bloomberg.net

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Obama Summit May Give Democrats Chance to Jumpstart Health-Care Overhaul

February 24, 2010

By James Rowley and Kristin Jensen Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama may be creating the best chance to push through his stalled health- care plan by summoning his political foes to a summit tomorrow. Obama’s invitation to congressional leaders to convene at Blair House, across from the White House, challenges Republicans to provide ideas for overhauling a medical system that accounts for 17 percent of the U.S. economy. It also gives Obama a televised forum to focus on popular parts of a measure that is generally opposed by Americans. Republicans are pushing back against what they see as a political show designed to paint them as obstructionists so Democrats can score points with the public and move on alone. The Democrats’ likely last resort is to use a budget process called reconciliation, which would allow them to circumvent opposition in the Senate, though it may limit the bill’s scope. Democrats “want to make the Republicans look like partisan fools to give them the opportunity to do reconciliation,” said Republican strategist John Feehery . Obama raised the stakes Feb. 22 by releasing what White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer called an “opening bid,” a proposal that relies heavily on legislation the Senate passed in December. The plan, which the White House said would cover 31 million uninsured Americans and cost $950 billion over 10 years, includes a tax on unearned income such as capital gains to help fund the bill. The possibility of using reconciliation was “a factor” in drafting the measure, Pfeiffer said. Republicans balked. ‘Obamacare 2.0’ “House Republicans will continue to oppose any effort to use this so-called summit as a media preamble to forcing through Obamacare 2.0,” Indiana Representative Mike Pence , chairman of the House Republican Conference, said yesterday. Passage is far from assured through reconciliation, with a number of Senate Democrats opposing the maneuver, and some House Democrats lukewarm about the idea. Hanging in the balance is legislation that would give insurers such as WellPoint Inc. of Indianapolis and drugmakers including New York-based Pfizer Inc. millions of new customers while requiring them to make concessions. Insurers agreed to new rules; drugmakers would help Medicare patients afford medicines. Obama also supports eliminating an antitrust exemption for insurers, spokesman Robert Gibbs said yesterday. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will head a Democratic delegation to the meeting, which starts at 10 a.m. tomorrow; House Minority Leader John Boehner and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell lead the Republicans. It’s His Party The two sides have wrangled over details as small as the shape of the table, originally planned as a U-shape and now set to be rectangular. Obama can’t appear dismissive of Republican ideas after inviting them to seek common ground, said Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. “He’s the man who called the party,” she said. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius said Obama is “eager” to meet, yet would challenge Republicans. “He wants the Republicans to be honest about what they’re doing,” Sebelius told Bloomberg Television on Feb. 19. “You can’t cover everyone unless there’s some cost connected with that.” One House Republican plan would expand coverage to just 3 million uninsured Americans and cost $61 billion over 10 years, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Senate Republicans have offered no proposal. Massachusetts Vote Democrats were days away from a House-Senate compromise when they lost the 60th vote they needed in the Senate because of a Jan. 19 special election in Massachusetts. Reconciliation would allow passage with a simple majority; Democrats control 59 of the 100 Senate seats. Republicans say that election underscored public disapproval of the overhaul. A Feb. 3-9 Pew Research Center poll found 50 percent of Americans “generally oppose” the legislation, while 38 percent “generally favor” it. Democrats can win converts, said Scott Keeter , Pew’s director of survey research. After the House passed its bill in November, Pew found more support. The numbers also got closer in September after Obama spoke before Congress. “The making of the sausage is a troubling sight,” Keeter said. “Once it’s made, you then have for the people who voted for it at least a pretty strong incentive to unify around it.” Public Appeal Obama can also use the forum to emphasize changes people like. An ABC News/Washington Post poll this month found 80 percent of Americans support the proposal to force insurers to accept customers with pre-existing medical conditions; 72 percent favor a requirement that employers cover workers; and 56 percent back the individual mandate to buy insurance. “Most Americans like various parts of it but have a very negative view of its totality,” said Vic Fazio , a former Democratic congressman from California who’s now a Washington lobbyist with clients that support the health overhaul. With both sides standing fast, agreement at the meeting is unlikely, said David Rohde , a political scientist at Duke University in Durham, North Carolina. Democrats want to avert blame for getting nothing done and Republicans don’t want to give Obama a victory, Rohde said. “That, more than anything else, probably makes the Republicans skittish about getting involved in this,” he said. To contact the reporters on this story: Kristin Jensen in Washington at kjensen@bloomberg.net ; James Rowley in Washington at jarowley@bloomberg.net

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Obama to Take Economic Plan to CEOs After Dinner Including Immelt, Dimon

February 24, 2010

By Nicholas Johnston and Julianna Goldman Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama will take his case for initiatives to encourage hiring and expand trade before almost 90 U.S. chief executives today as he works to combat perceptions that his administration is anti-business. When he addresses a meeting in Washington of the Business Roundtable , an association of executives from the biggest U.S. companies, Obama will speak about reviving the economy, the need to encourage American exports, and the steps the administration has already taken to end the financial crisis. “The president will outline a vision for a more competitive America,” White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said yesterday, including a discussion on “where the interests of workers, business and government intersect in creating a new foundation for ensuring incentives for continued hiring.” Obama will be making his remarks at about 1 p.m. Washington time after a private dinner last night at the White House with 17 chief executive officers, including Verizon Communications Inc. ’s Ivan Seidenberg and State Farm Insurance Co.’s Ed Rust , the chairman and vice chairman of the business group’s executive committee; General Electric Co.’s Jeffrey Immelt ; JPMorgan Chase & Co. ’s Jamie Dimon ; and American Express Co. ’s Kenneth Chenault . The president has said his administration is “fundamentally business-friendly,” and that the policies he’s pursued, including some opposed by individual industries, are intended to pull the economy out of the worst recession since the Great Depression. “The irony is, is that on the left we are perceived as being in the pockets of big business; and then on the business side, we are perceived as being anti-business,” Obama said in a Feb. 9 interview with Bloomberg BusinessWeek. Dinner Guests Among the other CEOs at last night’s dinner in the State Dining Room were: David Cote of Honeywell International Inc. ; Antonio Perez of Eastman Kodak Co. ; Xerox Corp. ’s Ursula Burns ; Indra Nooyi of PepsiCo Inc. ; Wal-Mart Stores Inc. ’s Michael Duke ; Steve Odland of Office Depot Inc. ; William Green of Accenture PLC ; Michael Morris of American Electric Power Co .; Randall Stephenson of AT&T Inc .; Boeing Co .’s James McNerney ; Harold McGraw of McGraw-Hill Cos.; and Clarence Otis of Darden Restaurants Inc. Most of the corporate leaders at the dinner are members of the Business Roundtable’s executive committee . In his talk to the Business Roundtable, Obama plans to repeat a theme he’s used repeatedly in talking about the economy: that the nation needs to invest more in education and fostering innovation and energy development, according to a White House statement. Regulations, Health Care Obama also will make a pitch for his proposals to overhaul financial regulations and the health-care system and steps to rein in a deficit that the administration forecasts will hit $1.6 trillion this year. One of the immediate concerns Obama plans to address is reviving economic growth and job creation, the White House says. The U.S. Senate has been debating this week a $15 billion jobs bill that offers companies a one-year holiday from paying a 6.2 percent Social Security payroll tax for each worker they hire who has been jobless for at least 60 days. The plan would save or create as many as 234,000 jobs, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. Obama also plans to discuss his call to double U.S. exports over the next five years. The U.S. trade deficit in 2009 was $380.7 billion, down 45 percent from 2008, according to figures from the Commerce Department. The Business Roundtable has applauded that part of the president’s agenda. Globally Competitive In a speech yesterday in Washington, Intel Corp. CEO Paul Otellini said he was concerned the government wasn’t doing enough to make U.S. businesses globally competitive. “We need to address the fact that government policies can create disincentives to investing in America and the trends here are worrisome,” he said. Throughout Obama’s term, his administration has invited business leaders to private lunches, dinners and other meetings in Washington to reach out to the business community. Cote, Perez and Seidenberg were among attendees at the President’s Feb. 7 Super Bowl Party at the White House. Earlier that week, Obama, senior adviser Valerie Jarrett and Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel had lunch with CEOs including Microsoft Corp. ’s Steve Ballmer , Cisco Systems Inc. ’s John Chambers and FedEx Corp. ’s Frederick Smith . Jobs Growth With unemployment at 9.7 percent, administration officials have repeatedly stressed the need for private-sector cooperation to boost jobs. Obama has predicted that he would sign legislation this year to cut corporate taxes by about $70 billion. Obama has clashed with industries such as insurance companies over his health-care plan, energy companies over climate change and banks over an overhaul of U.S. financial regulations. He said each of the proposals would benefit American businesses as a whole. In the Bloomberg BusinessWeek interview, Obama attributed perceptions among business leaders and investors that he is anti-business, in part, to “a spillover effect” from criticism he has leveled at large banks . “You would be hard-pressed to identify a piece of legislation that we have proposed out there that, net, is not good for businesses,” he said in the interview. To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Washington at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Julianna Goldman in Washington at jgoldman6@bloomberg.net

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Ping An Vies to Defy `Dead’ Universal Banking Model to Expand Bank, Wealth

February 24, 2010

By Bloomberg News Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Ping An Insurance (Group) Co., the world’s second-biggest life insurer, aims to sell banking and investing services to its 50 million customers with a one-stop shopping model being abandoned by U.S. and European companies. Ping An, listed in Hong Kong and Shanghai, expects banking, asset management and insurance to each contribute a third of profit within about 10 years. Five years after Citigroup Inc. sold Travelers Life & Annuity and 17 months after Allianz SE agreed to sell Dresdner Bank, President Louis Cheung says Ping An will succeed in its bank-assurance ambition because it developed each business. “Universal banking is dead, but we are not the same,” he said in an interview in his Shenzhen office. “We built from scratch each of our businesses, and we have such a young client group that grows continuously during the process.” Ping An, part owned by HSBC Holdings Plc, may find it hard to convince some investors to back its vision as memories linger of Citigroup and Allianz’s retreat, and as some U.S. politicians propose reinstituting Depression-era strictures barring bank holding companies from other financial businesses. Ping An’s insurance unit accounted for 77 percent of its profit in the first half of last year, dwarfing banking operations’ 10 percent share and the 13 percent contribution of asset management. “I have no strong preference to own a financial conglomerate,” said Winson Fong , who helps manage $2.5 billion at SG Asset Management H.K. Ltd. “Not many success stories in history and conglomerates tend to trade at discount valuation.” Allianz, Citigroup Allianz bought Dresdner in 2001 for $20 billion in its biggest acquisition, with the aim of selling more insurance products through bank branches. Instead, mounting loan losses at Dresdner and falling stock markets dragged on its own shares and profit. Munich-based Allianz agreed to sell the unit in September 2008 to Commerzbank AG for 9.8 billion euros ($13.4 billion). Travelers Insurance Group’s $70 billion merger with Citicorp in 1998 created the world’s biggest financial services company. Citigroup agreed to sell the life unit and most of its international insurance business to MetLife Inc. in January 2005 for $11.5 billion to focus on what it expected would be more profitable areas. Bank-assurance groups tend to lack “singular focus” on each business line as the top management’s expertise isn’t as diversified, said Arjan van Veen , a Sydney-based insurance analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG who doesn’t cover Ping An. “There are some synergies, but they’re generally not enough to make up for the pitfalls of the bank-assurance model.” Bullish Analysts Still, that hasn’t deterred 18 of the 28 analysts who cover Ping An from rating the stock a “buy” compared with just one “sell” recommendation, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Chairman Peter Ma in 2004 hired Dominic Leung , who had three decades of experience with insurers including Prudential Plc, to manage the group’s life insurance business. Richard Jackson, who worked for Citigroup for 20 years, joined in 2005 and now heads banking operations. Ping An shares have dropped 12 percent in Hong Kong trading this year, while the benchmark Hang Seng Index slid 5.7 percent. Larger rival China Life Insurance Co. stock is down 9.1 percent. Shenzhen-based Ping An has often been the first mover among China’s insurers. Set up by Ma in 1988 in a then state- monopolized market, the company was the first local insurer to get a commercial insurance license, usher in foreign investors and use personal agents to distribute life policies. Home Ground Ping An is expanding at home after suffering a setback in its plans to expand overseas asset management operations through acquisitions. It wrote off 22.8 billion yuan ($3.3 billion) in 2008 on a stake in Brussels-based Fortis, which was bailed out by three European governments after becoming a casualty of the credit crunch. The Chinese insurer remains committed to that goal, although it will mainly focus on growing its Hong Kong asset management unit for the near term as financial markets have yet to stabilize after the crisis, Cheung said. Today, Ping An has secured a rare spectrum of financial licenses in a nation where the insurance, banking and securities industries are still separately regulated. It owns units in life, property insurance, pension, banking, securities, trust, and is awaiting regulatory approvals for a fund management venture with Singapore’s United Overseas Bank Ltd. Expanding Market China’s insurance market, which was the world’s sixth largest in 2008, expanded by an average 30 percent annually since 1978 to 1.1 trillion yuan last year. The life insurance market alone may grow to as much as $275 billion in gross premiums by 2015, making it at least the fifth largest, according to McKinsey & Co. China’s per capita spending on life insurance was $71.70 in 2008, compared with $1,901 in the U.S., according to a Nov. 24 report by Ping An Securities Co., giving Ma room to penetrate a client base that’s growing more than 10 percent a year. “The important thing is to satisfy these 35- to 40-year- old clients,” whose needs for non-insurance products will emerge gradually, President Cheung said. “As long as they approve us adequately, our services can catch up and we can keep the cost of selling new products lower than others.” ‘Explosive Growth’ The company added more than 8 million new customers last year, bigger than the population of Switzerland. The new clients, over 90 percent of whom are policyholders, average 35 years of age, compared with 40 years old for the entire client base. “We want our insurance market share to keep growing” providing a platform for selling other products, Leung, now Ping An’s chief insurance officer, said in an interview. The group’s property insurance premiums rose 44 percent last year, overtaking China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co. as the nation’s second-biggest non-life insurer, while life premiums surged 31 percent. Not content with that, “we hope to see explosive growth in banking, and we want asset management to develop faster,” Leung added. Ping An Asset Management Co. will oversee about 1 trillion yuan of the group’s insurance funds by the end of 2013, up from about 650 billion yuan now, Deputy Chief Investment Officer Chen Dexian said. The trust unit is forecast to be managing about 500 billion yuan of clients’ money by then, compared with more than 100 billion yuan now. Banking Growth Ping An Securities, which underwrote the most initial public offerings in China last year, contributed 6.1 percent of the group’s profit in the first half. The banking arm is already selling 60 percent of its credit cards, which total almost 3.4 million currently, to existing insurance clients, keeping issuing costs at a “very low” level, Cheung said. That’s just a start, said Jackson , president of Ping An Bank Co. “Once the customer has made a decision to become a customer of the banking business as well, then that opens up the full range of banking products and services.‘’ — Zhang Dingmin . Editors: Malcolm Scott , Andreea Papuc To contact the Bloomberg News staff for this story: Zhang Dingmin in Beijing at Dzhang14@bloomberg.net

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Iron Ore Derivative Traders Bet on `Tipping Point’ in $200 Billion Market

February 24, 2010

By Firat Kayakiran and Thomas Biesheuvel Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Sitting at his desk on ICAP Plc’s dealing floor in London, iron ore broker Andy Strickland is plotting how to get business 5,000 miles away in China. He handles so-called swaps for iron ore , allowing buyers and sellers to fix prices months in advance for single cargoes of the raw material that’s essential in steelmaking. Strickland says he aims to expand his two-man team to eight, the same size as the nearby coal desk whose brokers are busy shouting into their telephones, and handle more deals as steelmakers increasingly favor buying individual iron ore consignments instead of relying on fixed-price supply agreements. “The potential is huge,” Strickland says. “You just need a catalyst for it to reach that critical mass.” The prize for the growing band of brokers and traders handling the derivatives is the possibility that iron ore will evolve into a market rivaling the liquidity and volume of other commodities. The iron ore market is worth about $200 billion a year, second only to crude oil, according to Credit Suisse Group AG. The swap market may grow 10-fold to 360 million metric tons annually over the next two years, says Phillip Killicoat , an iron-ore dealer at the bank in London. Such an expansion would be a vindication for the pioneers in a market that only began in May 2008. Ray Key , global head of metal trading at Deutsche Bank AG and Kamal Naqvi , Credit Suisse’s global head of investor sales, began offering swaps at the instigation of BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s largest mining company, which was dissatisfied with the way iron ore is priced. Incredible Size “Iron ore struck us as one of the last of the true commodity markets that did not have any financial presence,” says Key, who likens iron ore trading to where oil trading was in the 1980s. “Its size is just incredible.” The proportion of iron ore sold on contracts pegged to an annual price benchmark will shrink to 40 percent in five years, from 70 percent now, as accords expire and aren’t renewed, according to Killicoat. Melbourne-based BHP reduced the proportion of its Western Australian ore priced using the benchmark to 54 percent in the second half, from 68 percent in January through June. The benchmark traditionally takes effect from April 1. Asian steelmakers pushed for price cuts in 2009, the first in seven years, after the biggest slump in demand for their product since World War II. The three largest iron ore producers — Brazil’s Vale SA, London-based Rio Tinto Group and BHP — and Japanese and South Korean steelmakers agreed to a 33 percent reduction. Growing Volatility That wasn’t enough for Chinese customers. Price talks with the world’s biggest steelmaking nation ended in deadlock and a benchmark wasn’t officially recognized, helping to opening the market to spot cargoes. “I don’t think anyone could foretell just how dire the negotiations would become,” says Key, 37, who joined Deutsche in 2007 after five years as global head of precious metal at Morgan Stanley. Growing price volatility also helped stoke demand for spot iron ore cargoes and swaps. “The benchmark system is untenable in the long term,” says Strickland at ICAP , the world’s largest broker of transaction between banks. “Market sentiment changes on a monthly basis.” Some steelmakers aren’t welcoming the trend. Customers of Japanese steelmakers wouldn’t want more frequent change in raw- material costs, Shoji Muneoka , Nippon Steel Corp.’s president and the Japan Iron and Steel Federation’s chairman, said at a JISF conference last month. ‘More Players’ Nor has Rio matched BHP’s increase in spot sales. It sold most ore priced on a benchmark in the second half of 2009, after selling about half as spot in the first half. “Markets are dynamic, markets are moving toward a position of shorter terms,” Chief Executive Officer Tom Albanese said on a conference call when Rio posted its full-year earnings on Feb. 11. “A lot of that’s associated with more players that are involved in the market.” For the benchmark to survive, “it will need to evolve. And again if it does not evolve it will not survive,” he said. Four employees of London-based Rio, including Stern Hu , an Australian who previously led its Chinese iron ore unit, were detained in July in China. The country said Feb. 10 they were indicted for “infringing” trade secrets and accepting bribes. Market Freeze Swap trading started with volumes of about 250,000 tons a month, Credit Suisse’s Killicoat says. It grew to about 3 million tons by September 2008, the month Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. was declared bankrupt amid the worsening global financial crisis, at which point the market froze. Volumes have since recovered, he says. “The tipping point will come as benchmark pricing becomes less rigid and more physical material is sold on a spot and index basis,” Killicoat says. BHP has done just that, cutting the proportion of ore sold in the second half using the annual price. It sold the rest by other means, including spot sales, CEO Marius Kloppers said in a Feb. 10 conference call. Illtud Harri, a London-based spokesman for BHP, declined to say how much was sold on spot. The swap market allows ore producers to lock in volumes and prices as they see fit, rather than being tied to a benchmark that may not reflect current demand, said Simon Overy , who works on the iron ore team with Strickland at ICAP. The derivative enables steelmakers to hedge their main raw material, he said. ICAP declined to give the value of the trade its iron ore team is handling. ‘Explosive’ Activity Iron ore demand is rising as steelmakers restart blast furnaces and customers rebuild inventories . In China, spot prices have gained 49 percent in the past 12 months. “Price activity in the iron ore spot market has been explosive during the early weeks of 2010,” Citigroup Inc. commodity analyst Alan Heap wrote in a Feb. 2 report. Credit Suisse raised its forecast for the 2010 iron ore benchmark price, saying Feb. 4 it will rebound 50 percent to $86 a ton. Chinese steelmakers have started contract price talks with foreign suppliers, Luo Bingsheng , vice chairman of the China Iron & Steel Association said Feb. 9. ICAP’s Strickland says that to get more people to use swaps, their “traditional” view of the market needs to change. “Currently there is still resistance from producers that prevents the launch of a liquid spot market in iron ore,” he says. “The challenge is to change people’s mindsets.” To contact the reporter on this story: Firat Kayakiran in Istanbul at fkayakiran@bloomberg.net Thomas Biesheuvel in London tbiesheuvel@bloomberg.net ;

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Wells Fargo Vying for Top Tier in Equities Where JPMorgan, Goldman Reign

February 24, 2010

By Dakin Campbell and David Henry Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Wells Fargo & Co. , whose previous leader once said investment banking was “incompatible” with its consumer culture, is seeking a bigger share of the U.S. equity underwriting business dominated by JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The expansion could propel Wells Fargo into the top tier of equity underwriters, according to Rob Engel and Jonathan Weiss , co-heads of investment banking at San Francisco-based Wells Fargo. The addition of Wachovia Corp.’s securities unit helped Wells Fargo rank 10th in 2009 U.S. equity offerings, its best showing ever, and eighth so far this year. “The opportunities are immense,” Weiss said in a Feb. 10 interview from New York. “We have all the talent and capabilities, and certainly the client base, to be a Top Five equity house.” Former Chairman Richard Kovacevich , 66, said in 2005 that investment banking was “incompatible” with the culture of a lender that gets 70 percent of its profit from consumers and small businesses. That was before he led the 2008 purchase of Wachovia along with its securities units, and then turned the firm over to Chief Executive Officer John Stumpf , 56. Last year’s efforts were concentrated in two industries, with more than half the $4.33 billion the lender helped raise tied to real estate investment trusts, and limited partnerships for oil and gas and pipelines, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Wells Fargo helped raise about $741.6 million in 15 deals this year, the data show. Still on Top That’s not enough to displace JPMorgan , ranked No. 1 last year with $33.7 billion in U.S. equity underwriting. The firm is leading in 2010 by managing at least 22 equity sales that collected $3.1 billion. Goldman was second last year with $31.5 billion; this year, the firm helped raise at least $840 million across 10 deals, slipping to sixth place, Bloomberg data show. Wells Fargo made about $213 million in disclosed underwriting fees from equity and equity-related deals since the beginning of 2009, according to Bloomberg data. By contrast, JPMorgan earned $1.38 billion and Goldman Sachs $1.14 billion. JPMorgan spokeswoman Tasha Pelio and Goldman Sachs spokeswoman Andrea Rachman declined to comment. Both firms are based in New York. Obstacles “Breaking into the top tier of investment banking has never been easy,” said Bruce Foerster , president of South Beach Capital Markets in Miami and former executive at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Costs are high for recruiting bankers away from rival firms, he said. As for the brokerage staff, ranked third with almost 15,000 advisers, brokers throughout the industry are showing more independence and may be less willing to sell equity deals managed by the parent company, he said. The bank is looking to provide customers with more services and isn’t looking to build market share just for the sake of it, Weiss said. Companies that have loans with the bank, or use treasury management services or corporate checking accounts may turn to Wells Fargo for investment banking business, Engel said. Engel, 46, joined Wachovia in 2005 from Gleacher Partners LLC, a New York advisory firm, and Weiss, 52, came to the company the same year after working for JPMorgan. Wells Fargo doesn’t disclose investment banking revenues or earnings, spokeswoman Elise Wilkinson said in a Feb. 22 e-mail. The unit is part of the wholesale banking group, which earned $3.9 billion last year, almost triple 2008’s total. Management The burden of boosting the business will rest in part on Andy Sanford , 49, a former JPMorgan and Citigroup Inc. executive who joined Wachovia before its collapse and now runs the combined equity capital markets business. In November, Sanford hired Michael Tiedemann , 46, from JPMorgan as a managing director to expand the unit, Wilkinson said. In theory, Oppenheimer & Co. analyst Chris Kotowski said, Wells Fargo could build its equity underwriting business by taking advantage of its corporate relationships. In reality, he said, that’s unlikely. “The real synergies between investment banking and commercial banking generally are fairly modest,” said Kotowski, who rates the stock “outperform.” In its biggest initial public offering of the last 13 months, a $350 million offering on Dec. 8 for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust , Wells Fargo shared the leadership with Bank of America Corp. and Raymond James Financial Inc. Of the three, Wells Fargo took on the fewest shares, 2.63 million, according to the offering statements from the deal. “I don’t see Wells becoming a Top Five equity underwriter,” said Todd Hagerman , an analyst in New York with Collins Stewart Plc who rates the stock “hold.” “It’s not in their DNA.” To contact the reporters on this story: Dakin Campbell in San Francisco at dcampbell27@bloomberg.net ; David Henry in New York at dhenry19@bloomberg.net

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Greek Unions Stage Second Strike This Month Over Government’s Budget Cuts

February 24, 2010

By Maria Petrakis Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Greece’s unions plan to shut down transportation, medical and educational facilities today in a second 24-hour strike aimed at resisting Prime Minister George Papandreou ’s drive to cut the European Union’s biggest budget deficit. Air-traffic controllers, customs and tax officials, bus and train drivers, doctors at state-run hospitals and school teachers are walking off the job for a one-day strike to protest government spending cuts that will freeze salaries and hiring and cut bonuses. Journalists are also joining the strike, creating a media blackout. “People on the street will send a strong message to the government but mainly to the European Union , the markets and our partners in Europe that people and their needs must be above the demands of markets,” Yiannis Panagopoulos, president of the private-sector union GSEE , told NET TV yesterday. “We didn’t create the crisis.” Half a million civil servants already held a 24-hour strike on Feb. 10. Today they’re joining forces with GSEE , which represents 2 million workers, after EU warnings that Papandreou’s government needs to bring in new taxes and make more spending cuts if it fails to rein in the largest budget gap of all 27 EU member states. Greek bonds have slumped, driving up borrowing costs, as investors fear that government plans outlined so far will fail to reduce the gap this year to 8.7 percent of GDP from 12.7 percent. Papandreou’s government needs to sell 53 billion euros ($72 billion) of debt this year, the equivalent of 20 percent of gross domestic product. Bailout Concern Greece’s fiscal woes have stoked concerns that it may need a bailout and helped spark a rout in global stocks . The premium that investors demand to buy Greek debt over comparable German bonds ballooned on Jan. 28 to the highest since 1998 amid worries that Papandreou’s deficit plan relied too much on one- off measures for revenue and not enough on expenditure cuts. “We haven’t yet seen anything of the fiscal contraction that Greece has to go through if it wants to avoid a sovereign default,” Fredrik Erixon , director of the Brussels-based European Centre for International Political Economy, said in a phone interview. Almost 500 international and domestic flights have been canceled today, a spokeswoman for Athens International Airport , Greece’s biggest, said by telephone. The Athens Metro, which carries 650,000 commuters to work each morning, won’t run nor will the capital’s trolleys and trams. Urban buses will operate only until 7:30 a.m. and after 10 p.m. Passenger ferries and other vessels will remain docked until the end of the strike. Protest Marches Rallies and protest marches are planned in Athens and other cities and towns. Yesterday, the PAME union group, aligned to the Communist Party of Greece, blockaded the Athens stock exchange headquarters, preventing staff from entering the building. The Athens benchmark general index fell 1.8 percent to 1,922.69 yesterday, bringing losses so far this year to 12 percent, the second-worst performance in western Europe. Greek government bonds extended their decline after Fitch Rating downgraded the country’s four largest banks, pushing the yield on the 10-year bond up 7 basis points to 6.49 percent at 6 p.m. in London. Ratings companies, which cut the country’s grades in December after Papandreou revealed the country’s budget shortfall was more than four times the EU limit, have warned the government’s three-year budget plan must be implemented to the letter. Slash Spending EU governments are looking for guarantees that Papandreou, elected in October, will slash spending before they spell out what help they may offer. Under proposals adopted by finance ministers from the 16 nations that share the euro, the Greek government will have to take additional measures to cut its deficit if it fails to satisfy the European Commission next month. These may include higher value-added tax, a levy on luxury goods, higher energy taxes and spending cuts, they said. German Chancellor Angela Merkel , in a speech in Hamburg on Feb. 22, said a solution to the Greek crisis is the “core element” in re-establishing confidence in the single currency. “The mistakes have to be dealt with at their roots,” Merkel said. “In the case of Greece, we need to do everything to support the Greek government, which of course has taken this path, in formulating a true consolidation program.” Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou has resisted calls for deeper spending cuts and said Feb. 16 the government was “ahead of the target” set out in its deficit-reduction plan. Most Greeks support the measures outlined so far, which include an increase in the retirement age and a freeze on increases for public-sector workers, according to opinion polls. “New measures may be needed,” said George Mikonyiatis, 42, who has watched civil servants protesting cuts in their income rally outside the Finance Ministry for weeks from his camera shop in central Athens. “They need to be just. If you can prove the measures are just then the strikes won’t have mass support. They need to be targeted at those who aren’t paying their way.” To contact the reporters on this story: Maria Petrakis in Athens at mpetrakis@bloomberg.net ;

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Accor Posts Unexpected Full-Year Loss on Charges, Business-Travel Slowdown

February 24, 2010

By Ladka Bauerova Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Accor SA , Europe’s largest hotelier, posted an unexpected 2009 loss after it wrote down asset values and business travel declined. Accor reported a full-year net loss of 282 million euros ($382 million) compared with a 575 million-euro profit a year earlier, the Paris-based company said today in an e-mailed statement. That missed the 85 million-euro profit average estimate of 10 analysts compiled by Bloomberg. The loss was due to impairment and restructuring charges of 514 million euros and after demand for accommodation weakened in 2009 as companies put a freeze on business travel and tourists reduced their budgets. Accor said it plans to spin off its faster-growing service-voucher division in late June, earlier than first planned. The split of the businesses “will herald a new era of high-margin growth in services and accelerated restructuring in hotels,” Jeffries International Ltd. analyst William Birch said in a note yesterday. He has a “buy” rating on the stock. Full-year operating profit before tax and non-recurring items dropped 49 percent to 448 million euros, missing the 543 million-euro average analyst estimate. Sales in 2009 declined 8.5 percent to 7.07 billion euros. The service vouchers unit will be separated from the hotels and the two businesses will be listed as separate companies, Accor said in a separate statement. The hotel company will hold debt of 1.2 billion euros, while vouchers will have debt of 400 million euros. Accor will pay a 2009 dividend of 1.05 euros per share, down from 1.65 euros a year earlier. Accor fell 14 cents, or 0.4 percent, to 36.47 euros in Paris trading yesterday. The stock gained 8.9 percent last year. To contact the reporter on this story: Ladka Bauerova in Paris at lbauerova@bloomberg.net .

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General Growth Cuts Deal With Brookfield in Bid to Exit Bankruptcy

February 23, 2010

General Growth Properties (OTC: GGWPQ) is attempting to head off a hostile $10 billion takeover by Simon Property Group by striking a friendly recapitalization deal with Toronto-based Brookfield Asset Management Inc. But this game is far from over. If…

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Bernanke Likely to Confront Concerns on Second Jobless Recovery in Decade

February 23, 2010

By Steve Matthews and Alison Vekshin Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke , in two days of congressional testimony beginning today, will probably face questions on how he plans to end the worst jobs slump since the Great Depression. Unemployment “will be a big topic” when the Fed chief faces the Senate Banking Committee, Senator Bob Menendez , a New Jersey Democrat and a panel member, said in an interview. “How do we help small- and mid-sized businesses, because they’re the ones who are going to create the jobs? What is he going to do and the Federal Reserve going to do to help grow this economy?” Democratic leaders are pushing legislation to stimulate the job market amid concerns that unemployment will translate into losses in November elections. The Senate is scheduled to vote today on a $15 billion bill that provides a payroll tax holiday for hiring workers who have been jobless for at least 60 days. Bernanke will deliver his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House Financial Services Committee at about 10 a.m. today. He plans to testify before the Senate Banking Committee tomorrow. The U.S. unemployment rate will be 9.5 percent to 9.7 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with 9.7 percent in January, according to projections of Fed policy makers last month. After the last recession ended in November 2001, unemployment didn’t peak until 19 months later, in June 2003. Fed Bank Presidents Janet Yellen of San Francisco and Dennis Lockhart of Atlanta said this month that economic growth probably won’t rapidly bring down the unemployment rate. More than 8 million jobs have been lost in the recession that started in December 2007. ‘Jobless Recovery’ “It sure looks like we are in the middle of a jobless recovery,” said Mark Gertler , a New York University economics professor. “Sluggish employment growth” after 2001 “in part reflected an unwinding of an extraordinary employment growth during the late 1990s. In the current recovery, credit market frictions and general uncertainty may be the main factor dampening hiring.” The U.S. unemployment rate may average 9.1 percent in 2011 and 8 percent in 2012, according to economists surveyed this month by Bloomberg News. Confidence among U.S. consumers fell in February to the lowest level in 10 months, a sign that concern about job prospects may hold back the spending needed to sustain the recovery. The Conference Board’s confidence index slumped to 46, below the lowest forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists, from 56.5 in January, a report from the New York- based private research group showed yesterday. Repeat a Pledge Bernanke is likely to repeat a pledge to keep the Fed’s target interest rate near zero for “an extended period,” said Gertler, who co-wrote research with Bernanke. The central bank may retain the pledge until “some signs of a significant pickup in employment growth.” Central bankers last month restated their intention to cease buying $1.25 trillion of mortgage-backed securities at the end of March, and maintained their commitment to keep rates near zero for an “extended period.” The U.S. economy will operate below its potential this year and next, Yellen said Feb. 22. “Even though the recession appears to be over, it does not mean that we are where we want to be,” she said. Lockhart said Feb. 18 he is forecasting a “more gradual recovery with slow progress on unemployment.” Manufacturing a Focus Manufacturing jobs will be a focus for Senator Sherrod Brown , an Ohio Democrat and a member of the Senate Banking Committee. “I want to hear Bernanke talk about how he’s going to rebuild American manufacturing,” Brown told reporters. “I look at this economy as more and more tilted to finance.” “Finance should be a byproduct of growth,” he said. “That’s not helping our economy, that de-emphasis on manufacturing, emphasis on finance.” Since World War II, the Fed has waited an average of six months after unemployment peaked to begin raising interest rates, and the central bank held off longer when inflation was low, Joseph LaVorgna , a Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. economist, said in a research note in November. To contact the reporters on this story: Steve Matthews in St. Louis at smatthews@bloomberg.net ; Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net

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Thai Court May Seize $2.3 Billion Thaksin Fortune, Risking Public Backlash

February 23, 2010

By Daniel Ten Kate and Shiyin Chen Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — A Thai court will decide this week whether to seize about $2.32 billion from fugitive Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra ’s family, a verdict that may widen a societal divide that has deterred investors for four years. Nine Supreme Court judges will conclude Feb. 26 if Thaksin controlled the country’s top mobile-phone operator and other firms during his five-year tenure and used his position to boost their value. Since the army ousted Thaksin in 2006, courts have disbanded parties linked to him that won the past two elections. The power struggle has split Thailand into rival camps that disagree on how much authority appointed soldiers, judges and royal advisers should wield over elected politicians. Protests by the two sides, one wearing yellow and the other red, have led to airport blockades, rioting and bombings since the coup. “We’re avoiding Thailand,” said Burkhard P. Varnholt , who manages about $30 billion as chief investment officer of Switzerland-based Bank Sarasin & Co . “It’s a very attractive market that we would like to get back into, but we need to get more comfortable with the political situation.” Since the coup, Thailand’s SET index has trailed benchmarks in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines. Foreigners have been net sellers of $205 million of Thai stocks this year, the most in Southeast Asia after Vietnam, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The baht has gained 2.7 percent against the dollar over the past six months, sixth-highest among Asia’s 10 most-actively traded currencies. Bonds have performed better, returning 2 percent so far this year, the second-best performance among 10 Asian local-currency debt indexes compiled by HSBC Holdings Plc. ‘Vastly Positive’ “If the political situation clears up it would be vastly positive for a number of Thai assets, including the currency and equities,” said Rajeev de Mello , Singapore-based head of Asian investment at Western Asset Management Co., which oversees $506 billion globally. “For government bonds, it’ll probably be a bit more negative.” The case to seize Thaksin’s assets was started after the coup. Prosecutors are seeking to confiscate the 76.6 billion baht ($2.31 billion) that Thaksin’s family received from its 2006 sale of Shin Corp. to Temasek Holdings Pte, Singapore’s state-owned investment firm. The court is “widely expected” to seize the money, Suwat Bumrungchatudom , an analyst with Bualuang Securities Pcl, which has a tie-up with Morgan Stanley for Thai research, said in Feb. 9 report. An acquittal “would not only be very embarrassing for the government, it would throw its legitimacy into question,” he wrote. Abuse of Power Prosecutors argued that Thaksin concealed ownership of his stake in Shin Corp., which controls companies including Advanced Info Service Pcl , Thailand’s biggest mobile-phone operator. They accused him of abusing his power to benefit the firm, including influencing changes to Advanced Info’s royalty payments to its concession holder. Thaksin refutes all the charges against him, and will “keep all options open” after the verdict, including filing an appeal if necessary, said Noppadon Pattama , a former foreign minister and a member of Thaksin’s legal team. During the verdict Thaksin will be in Dubai, his home for most of the time since he left Thailand in 2008 to avoid a two-year jail term, Noppadon said. “We hope that the court would be impartial and offer a fair judgment,” Noppadon said. “Thaksin has been known as a billionaire several years before becoming prime minister.” Billionaire Businessman Thaksin, 60, worked at a Kentucky Fried Chicken outlet in the 1970s while studying in the U.S. for a master’s degree. Two decades later in Thailand, he won one of two mobile-phone concessions and an exclusive satellite franchise. When appointed foreign minister in 1994, Thaksin disclosed that he and his wife were worth 60 billion baht — $2.4 billion at the time. The couple transferred their Shin Corp. stake to their children and relatives before he became prime minister. Shin shares gained 168 percent from when Thaksin was elected in January 2001 to when he was ousted in September 2006, compared with a 161 percent gain in the benchmark SET index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Siam Cement Pcl , Thailand’s fourth-biggest company that is controlled by the monarchy’s investment arm, gained 733 percent in that time. Thaksin’s red-shirted supporters have threatened large demonstrations after the verdict to repeat demands that Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva call an election. The army has placed about 5,400 soldiers on standby and police have set up about 170 checkpoints in the capital to inspect vehicles for weapons. Abhisit took power in December 2008 after a court dissolved the pro-Thaksin ruling party for vote buying under a clause in the 2007 constitution drafted after the coup. An election must be called by the end of next year. “We cannot talk about the case in legal terms because it stems from the coup, which is wrong from the beginning,” said Kanin Boonsuwan , a law lecturer at Bangkok’s Chulalongkorn University. “The only way to make people trust again in the judicial process is to return the political process to the people and let them decide for themselves.” To contact the reporter on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net ; Shiyin Chen in Singapore at schen37@bloomberg.net

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Hu Meets North Koreans in Beijing Amid Diplomatic Drive for Nuclear Talks

February 23, 2010

By Bomi Lim Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Chinese President Hu Jintao met a North Korean delegation in Beijing yesterday, where U.S. and South Korean negotiators were scheduled to discuss North Korea’s nuclear weapons program today. Hu held “friendly talks” yesterday with Kim Yong Il, director of the international affairs department of the Workers’ Party, and others in the visiting group, North Korea’s official Korean Central News Agency reported today. The report didn’t say whether the parties discussed North Korea’s nuclear program. The meeting comes as envoys from the U.S. and South Korea converge in Beijing to discuss ways to resume disarmament negotiations that last took place in December 2008. President Barack Obama ’s envoy Stephen Bosworth is due in Beijing today, and South Korea’s chief nuclear negotiator Wi Sung Lac traveled to the Chinese capital yesterday. “China wants to show how it’s exerting its utmost efforts on the North Korea nuclear talks as the host country,” said Kim Yong Hyun, professor of North Korean studies at Dongguk University in Seoul. “China’s role is more important than ever as it is they who can try to bridge the gap between North Korea and the U.S.” North Korea has said it will return to talks only after sanctions by the United Nations Security Council are removed, a demand rejected by the U.S. The communist country has been under stricter UN sanctions, which ban arms trading and restrict financial transactions, since it detonated a second nuclear device in May 2009. The U.S. is still waiting for a “signal” from North Korea on how to resume the nuclear discussions, State Department spokesman Philip J. Crowley said this week. Bosworth’s trip to Asia comes after he traveled to Pyongyang in December. Sung Kim, the chief U.S. negotiator to the six-party talks, is traveling with Bosworth on this week’s trip that includes stops in Seoul and Tokyo. South Korea and Japan are participants in the talks, which also involve Russia. To contact the reporter on this story: Bomi Lim in Seoul at blim30@bloomberg.net

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Sales of New Homes in U.S. Probably Rose in January After Credit Extended

February 23, 2010

By Bob Willis Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Sales of new homes in the U.S. probably rose in January as an extension of a first-time homebuyers’ tax credit spurred demand from a nine-month low, economists said before a report today. Purchases increased 3.5 percent to an annual pace of 353,000 new homes, according to the median estimate of 71 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Demand slumped 7.6 percent in December, the month after the incentive was originally scheduled to expire. Expansion and extension of the credit covering contracts signed by the end of April may give housing a further lift in coming months. Sustained growth in home sales will require payroll gains after the loss of 8.4 million jobs the last two years. “We expect a bumpy ride for the housing market but for the recovery to stay on course,” said Michelle Meyer , a senior economist at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York. January will “be payback from the sharp decline in December and we suspect the tax credit should start to boost new sales,” she said. The Commerce Department’s report is due at 10 a.m. in Washington, the same time Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke delivers his semiannual testimony to Congress on the economy. Survey estimates ranged from 325,000 to 386,000. Bernanke is likely to repeat the central bank’s pledge to keep interest rates low for “an extended period,” to help nurture the recovery. Housing, the industry that spawned the subprime mortgage meltdown and triggered the worst recession in seven decades, began to recover in 2009 after a three-year decline. Last Year Purchases of new homes fell to a record low 329,000 pace in January 2009, down from an all-time high of 1.39 million homes in July 2005. Their highest level last year was 419,000 in July. New-home purchases, which account for about 6 percent of the market, are considered a leading indicator because they are based on contract signings. Sales of previously owned homes, which make up the remainder, are compiled from closings and reflect contracts signed weeks or months earlier. Sales of previously owned homes have risen 21 percent from their historic lows in January 2009, while new-home purchases have risen 4 percent. Existing-home sales have been driven by record distressed sales, which pulled down prices and accounted for 36 percent of existing home purchases last year, according to the National Association of Realtors. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of average home prices in 20 major cities, which have increased seven straight months on a seasonally adjusted basis, was down 29 percent in December from its July 2006 peak. Rising Foreclosures Rising foreclosures are the main threat to a sustained housing recovery, according to Meyer. A record 3 million U.S. homes will be repossessed by lenders this year as unemployment and depressed home values leave borrowers unable to make their house payment or sell, according to a RealtyTrac Inc. forecast last month. Last year there were 2.82 million foreclosures, the most since the Irvine, California-based company began compiling data in 2005. President Barack Obama on Feb. 19 announced $1.5 billion in aid, targeting the worst-hit states of Nevada, California, Arizona, Florida and Michigan, to help struggling homeowners avoid losing their homes. The lack of jobs is another hurdle. Consumer confidence in February fell to its lowest level since April 2009 and a gauge of current conditions declined to the lowest level in 27 years on concerns about the labor market and the economy, the Conference Board reported yesterday. Unemployment Forecast Economists surveyed by Bloomberg at the beginning of this month forecast unemployment this year will average 9.8 percent, a percentage point below the historic post-war peak of 10.8 percent reached in November 1982. The end of Fed purchases of mortgage-backed securities, aimed at keeping borrowing costs low, represents another challenge for the housing industry. The program is scheduled to expire at the end of March. Some homebuilders that have benefited from the government incentives are cautious about the market once the tax credit expires. D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder by revenue, this month reported its first quarterly profit since 2007. “We expect our September quarter will be the most challenging as a tax credit support for home sales will have expired,” Donald J. Tomnitz , president and chief executive officer, said during a Feb. 2 conference call. The Standard & Poor’s Homebuilder Supercomposite Index has increased 10 percent so far this year, compared with a 1.7 percent decline in the broader S&P 500. To contact the report on this story: Bob Willis in Washington at bwillis@bloomberg.net

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Harvard’s Rogoff Says `Horrible’ China Crisis May Trigger Regional Slump

February 23, 2010

By Aki Ito and Patrick Rial Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — China’s economic growth will plunge to as low as 2 percent following the collapse of a “debt- fueled bubble” within 10 years, sparking a regional recession, according to Harvard University Professor Kenneth Rogoff . “You’re not going to go a decade without having a bump in the business cycle,” Rogoff, former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, said in an interview in Tokyo yesterday. “We would learn just how important China is when that happens. It would cause a recession everywhere surrounding” the country, including Japan and South Korea, and be “horrible” for Latin American commodity exporters, he said. China, set to surpass Japan as the second-largest economy this year, has helped pull the world out of its deepest postwar slump. Record lending, soaring property values and accelerating economic growth prompted the government to begin retracting stimulus measures implemented during the global recession. “Their response to the latest financial crisis clearly raised the risk that they have a debt-fueled bubble in the economy,” said Rogoff, who in 2008 predicted the failure of big American banks. In 2008, China cut interest rates, started rolling out a 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) spending package and scrapped quotas limiting lending by banks to counter slumping exports. ‘Best Bet’ While Rogoff said he isn’t sure what will cause China’s bubble to pop, he said land is “the best bet” as it is “the most common source” of crises. Real estate values in Shanghai and Beijing have “taken a departure from reality,” said the economist, co-author of “This Time is Different,” a 2009 book that charts the history of financial calamities in 66 countries. A collapse would depress output gains to 2 to 3 percent, a “very painful” period which would persist for about a year and a half, Rogoff said. The slowdown won’t lead to a Japan- like “lost decade,” he added. In a speech earlier yesterday, he said China will do “very well this century.” China, the world’s fastest-growing major economy, expanded 10.7 percent from a year earlier last quarter. The World Bank forecasts a 9 percent expansion in 2010. China may provide more than a third of global growth in this year, according to Nomura Holdings Inc., Japan’s biggest broker. The country’s policy makers aim for a minimum of 8 percent growth annually to create jobs and avoid social unrest. Migrant Laborers The global financial crisis left 20 million Chinese migrant laborers unemployed and more than 7 million college graduates seeking work by March last year. In February 2009, a clash between police and about 1,000 protesting workers from a textile factory in Sichuan province injured six demonstrators, rights group Chinese Human Rights Defenders reported. World exporters are increasingly relying on China as consumers in the U.S. and Europe retrench. Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. are adding capacity in China, which last year overtook the U.S. as the biggest car market. Rio Tinto Group ’s sales to China overtook those to North America and Europe in 2009, reaching 24.3 percent of the total from 18.8 percent a year earlier, the mining company said this month. Chinese policy makers are trying to cool lending that helped property prices in 70 cities climb at the fastest pace in 21 months in January. The government aims to reduce new loans to 7.5 trillion yuan this year from a record 9.59 trillion yuan in 2009. The People’s Bank of China raised the proportion of deposits that lenders must set aside as reserves twice this year to cool the economy. “If there’s a this-time-is-different story in the world right now, it’s China,” Rogoff said in the speech at a forum hosted by CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, a unit of Credit Agricole SA, France’s largest retail bank. People say China “won’t have a financial crisis because there’s central planning, because there’s a high savings rate, because there’s a large pool of labor, blah blah,” he added. “I say of course China will have a financial crisis one day.” To contact the reporter on this story: Aki Ito in Tokyo at aito16@bloomberg.net ; Patrick Rial in Tokyo at prial@bloomberg.net

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