February 2010

Hong Kong Raises Tax on Luxury Homes to Cool Market After 29% Price Gain

February 23, 2010

By Frederik Balfour Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Hong Kong raised the transaction tax on luxury homes and said it would boost the supply of residential apartments in an attempt to cool the property market as the economy expanded faster than economists estimated. Stamp duty on homes selling for more than HK$20 million ($2.6 million) will rise to 4.25 percent from 3.75 percent, Financial Secretary John Tsang said today in his budget speech for the year beginning April 1. The government will also put more residential sites up for auction, depending on market conditions, he said. The lowest mortgage rates in at least two decades drove a 29 percent gain in home prices last year. Buyers of luxury properties were undeterred by an October increase in down- payment requirements from 30 percent to 40 percent. Tsang said inflows of capital raise the risks of asset bubbles in Hong Kong. “The inflow of funds has fuelled an increase in the prices of luxury flats, which to some extent has affected the prices of small and medium-sized flats,” Tsang said. “This, together with a relatively low supply of flats in the past two years, has led some people to worry that their plans to buy a home may be frustrated.” Luxury property prices, for which there is no official index, may have risen as much as 40 percent, according to Nicole Wong , a Hong Kong-based real estate analyst at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, the regional brokerage unit of Credit Agricole SA. Prices Jump Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. , the world’s biggest developer by market value, reported selling 900 homes in the suburban Yuen Long area for HK$4.2 billion on Feb. 20 and 21, or an average of HK$5,400 per square foot. That compared with HK$3,000 in the same area a year ago, Centaline Property Agency Ltd. said. Gross domestic product rose a seasonally adjusted 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter from the previous three months, Tsang said. That compared with a 0.4 percent gain in the third quarter and the 2 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of five economists. A stimulus-driven rebound in mainland China, the fastest- growing major economy, is aiding Hong Kong via demand for exports and financial services and 18 million tourist arrivals in 2009. Tsang forecast an expansion of between 4 percent and 5 percent this year. Fiscal stimulus measures by governments around the world have created a spike in liquidity, much of which has found its way to Asia, driving up asset prices, Tsang said. Hong Kong isn’t alone in worrying about asset bubbles. The Chinese government has raised the amount of money banks are required to keep as reserves twice this year and raised taxes on homes sold within five years of their purchase. Property prices across 70 cities in the country increased 9.5% in January from a year earlier. Supply Side In Hong Kong, the primary source of land available to property developers is through government auctions. The operator of the city’s Mass Transit Railway, the MTR Corp. , and the Urban Renewal Authority also put land up for tender. A number of developers also own farmland on which they must pay a land premium to the government before building on it. The Hong Kong government will change the way it puts sites up for auction, Tsang said. Under the current system, developers must indicate interest in a site on a government list. Once a “trigger price” has been met, the site is auctioned. Tsang said the government would consider putting sites up for sale even if they haven’t been triggered. “Overall the government wants to increase the land supply,” said Buggle Lau, chief property analyst at Midland Holdings Ltd., who noted there were only two land auctions last year. “In the past the land bank replenishment pace has not been very fast.” The government is also pushing the MTR and URA to sell more sites, Tsang said. To contact the reporter on this story: Frederik Balfour in Hong Kong at fbalfour@bloomberg.net

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Geithner May Allow Volcker-Rule Leeway as Congressional Opposition Mounts

February 23, 2010

By Rebecca Christie Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. Treasury Department wants to give regulators discretion to define proprietary trading as the White House tries to revive its plan to bar banks from making risky bets that could cause another financial crisis. One month after President Barack Obama said firms “will no longer be allowed” to trade for their own accounts, officials say they need flexibility to avoid impairing the $7.2 trillion Treasury securities market . Dealers who trade in government bonds on behalf of clients need to be able to maintain inventories in their firms’ own accounts to insure market liquidity, said Lee Sachs , a counselor to Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner . “This measure is not aimed at anything having to do with customer business, market- making or hedging,” Sachs, a former senior managing director in charge of debt capital markets at Bears Stearns & Co., said in an interview. The Obama administration is working with the Senate on legislation to forbid banks that take government-insured deposits from trading exclusively for their own profit or investing in hedge funds or private-equity operations. At the same time, proprietary trading will need to be defined in a way that doesn’t prevent banks from keeping their own trading accounts that may be used to offset customer bets or to ensure that securities are easily traded. “Obviously some Treasury activity is necessary, and it is extremely hard — impossible — to distinguish between facilitating customer trades and proprietary trading,” said John Brynjolfsson , chief investment officer of Aliso Viejo, California-based Armored Wolf LLC, an investment management firm. Opposition in Congress The proposed ban on proprietary trading has met opposition in Congress, hampered by criticism that the administration waited too long and offered too few details. Senator Judd Gregg , a New Hampshire Republican who is helping to write parts of the Senate’s regulatory overhaul bill, said in an interview yesterday that he thinks the administration is “having troubles getting their arms around it.” The Treasury’s effort comes as the Senate Banking Committee prepares a new draft of regulatory overhaul legislation. Senator Christopher Dodd of Connecticut, the panel chairman, has been working on the bill while negotiating with Republicans on a range of issues, including whether to add a stand-alone consumer protection agency. Obama named the Jan. 21 trading-ban proposal after its chief proponent, former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker , who is now chairman of the White House’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board. Gibbs Comments Asked if the Obama administration is softening its insistence on the Volcker rule, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs yesterday said, “absolutely not.” “We’re not walking away from, and we’re not watering down that proposal one bit,” Gibbs said. In negotiations with Congress, administration officials have focused on giving regulators the power to set limits and to design the program in a way that avoids market disruptions. “Regulators have to be very careful to get this right,” said Chris Rupkey , chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York. “Daily trading activity adds tremendous liquidity to these markets. If you eliminate trading for the house account at the investment banks, you risk harming overall market liquidity and could do irreparable damage to the functioning of markets.” The Treasury is financing a budget deficit that the White House earlier this month predicted will reach a record $1.6 trillion in the 12-month period ending Sept. 30. U.S. government borrowing will total a net $392 billion from January through March and $268 billion in the three months to June 30, the Treasury said Feb. 1. Legislative Details Congressional officials say the legislative details of the proposed proprietary-trading ban are still under discussion. “We’re continuing to consider the president’s proposal,” Kirstin Brost , a spokeswoman for Dodd and the banking committee, said yesterday. Obama’s proposal builds on one element of the House of Representatives regulatory bill that passed last year. That measure, added by Representative Paul Kanjorski , would enable regulators to set limits on the size and scope of financial firms. Kanjorski said yesterday that the Volcker rule “would be very helpful in stabilizing the system long-term,” in comments after his remarks at the Credit Union National Association conference in Washington. Moving Along “It is being pursued,” said Kanjorski, a Pennsylvania Democrat and a member of the House Financial Services Committee. “I would be probably optimistic that we’re going to move along.” Treasury spokesman Andrew Williams said yesterday that “we continue to work closely with congressional members from both sides of the aisle.” At a Feb. 2 hearing, Deputy Treasury Secretary Neal Wolin said the administration did not want the law to be too prescriptive. “Certainly a lot of the detail would be left over to specific application in the rule-making process or the advisory process,” Wolin told the Senate Banking Committee. This week, Republicans continued to question whether additional legislation was needed for regulators to crack down on risky activity. Senator Richard Shelby , the top Republican on the banking panel, said it will be difficult to define proprietary trading in the legislation. If regulators need additional powers, “we ought to look seriously at giving it to them,” Shelby said in a Feb. 22 interview. “It might just be a question of exercising the power they already have.” — With assistance from Ian Katz and Alison Vekshin in Washington. Editors: Brendan Murray , Christopher Wellisz To contact the reporter on this story: Rebecca Christie in Washington at rchristie4@bloomberg.net ;

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Asian Shares Drop, Australia Bonds Gain as U.S. Consumer Confidence Falls

February 23, 2010

By Clyde Russell and Shani Raja Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks declined for the first time in three days and concerns about credit quality in the region rose as U.S. consumer confidence fell to a 10-month low. Australian government bonds gained the most in almost a month. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 1.4 percent to 117.37 at 2:40 p.m. in Tokyo, snapping two days of gains. The Markit iTraxx Asia index of 50 investment-grade borrowers outside Japan rose 4 basis points to 114 basis points, according to ICAP Plc, heading for its biggest increase in more than two weeks. The yield on the Australian benchmark 10-year fell seven basis points. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures were little changed. The slump in the Conference Board’s confidence index to 46 in February, below the lowest forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists and down from 56.5 in January, raised concern that the U.S. economy won’t generate enough jobs to sustain the recovery. The survey reinforces expectations Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will pledge to keep interest rates low for “an extended period” in testimony to Congress today. “The U.S. consumer confidence report has again created nervousness about the fragility of the recovery and its sustainability,” said Nader Naeimi , an investment strategist in Sydney at AMP Capital Investors, which oversees about $90 billion globally. BHP, Canon BHP Billiton Ltd. , the world’s largest mining company, dropped 2.9 percent in Sydney on speculation a slowdown will dent demand for metals. Canon Inc. , a camera maker that gets 79 percent of sales outside Japan, sank 3 percent. Hyundai Motor Co. , South Korea’s biggest carmaker, declined 3.4 percent after AutoWeek magazine said the company halted U.S. sales of some cars due to a door-lock problem. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped 1.6 percent to 10,182.78, the biggest decline among benchmarks in Asia. The MSCI Asia Pacific index has lost 7.2 percent from a 17- month high on Jan. 15 on concern governments will start withdrawing stimulus measures, and that Greece, Spain and Portugal will struggle to curb deficits. South Korea’s won declined 0.6 percent to 1,155.40 per dollar after a Bank of Korea report today showed consumer sentiment fell in February for the first time in four months. The yield on the benchmark five-year bond fell 7.5 basis points to 4.695 percent. The dollar weakened to $1.3539 per euro in Tokyo from $1.3507 in New York yesterday, when the greenback jumped 0.7 percent. It was little changed against the yen. The Australian dollar added 0.2 percent. Treasuries Drop Treasuries declined today before a U.S. report that economists said will show new-home sales increased in January and as the government prepared to sell $42 billion of five-year notes. The recovery from the global recession is “extremely unbalanced,” former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said yesterday in a speech in Washington. The world economy has undergone “by far the greatest financial crisis globally ever,” Greenspan told the Credit Union National Association’s Governmental Affairs Conference. Bernanke is set to deliver his semiannual report on the economy today and tomorrow to Congress, a week after the central bank decided to raise the discount rate charged to banks for direct loans. Fed Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said yesterday in Richmond, Virginia, that increases in the benchmark fed funds may not come in 2010. Benchmark interest rates are 3.75 percent in Australia and 2.5 percent in New Zealand, compared with 0.1 percent in Japan, as low as zero in the U.S. and 1 percent for the countries sharing the euro, attracting investors to the South Pacific nations’ higher-yielding assets. Credit Default Swaps The Markit iTraxx Japan index climbed 5 basis points to 148 in Tokyo, according to Morgan Stanley, while ICAP prices show the Markit iTraxx Australia index climbed 3.5 basis points to 97.5 in Sydney. Crude oil partially reversed yesterday’s 1.8 percent loss, rising 0.4 percent to $80.16 a barrel in New York as an industry report showed a decline in crude supplies in the U.S., the world’s biggest energy consumer. Copper for three-month delivery rose 0.4 percent to $7,160 a metric ton, after dropping 2.7 percent yesterday, the most in almost three weeks on the decline in U.S. consumer confidence. Soybeans for May delivery were up 0.7 percent at $9.6575 a bushel. To contact the reporters for this story: Clyde Russell in Singapore at crussell7@bloomberg.net ; Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net .

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Lease Up/Lease Down (Feb. 21-27): Largest U.S. Office Lease in Two Years

February 23, 2010

CoStar compiles news of corporate expansions, relocations, extensions, closures, layoffs, lease cancellations and mergers in the weekly Lease Up/Lease Down news report, a concise read keeping you updated on major corporate moves affecting commercial…

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Don McNay: Things About Money You Don’t Learn in College

February 23, 2010

Out of college, money spent See no future, pay no rent All the money’s gone, nowhere to go The Beatles College seniors are entering a world of money – - and without very much preparation for what is about to hit them. College is good for many things, but preparing students for “real world” finance is not one of them. There are three things a college graduate should know about money: How to make it, how to keep it and how to use it to develop a lifestyle that that will give you long-term happiness. Even when planning on being an entrepreneur and having their own gig, most graduates get experience by working for someone else. They need someone to hire them. Getting hired is a tricky thing. There are courses, counselors and tons of books devoted to the subject, but I offer students only one piece of advice: “It’s all about them, not about you.” Employers hire employees to help employers make more money. They are not interested in accommodating your personal desires unless that somehow happens to coincide with adding to the bottom line. In a time of high unemployment, you need to sell them. They don’t need to sell you. Which brings me to social networking. Do potential employers look at your Facebook page and other social networking sites? Of course they do. I have for a long time. It can make or break a person. I don’t mind pictures from drunken keg parties. I can imagine what my Facebook page would have looked like if people carried cameras during my undergrad years. (And, of course, had there been a Facebook then . . . or computers) Doing crazy stuff is part of the college experience. Employers want a hard worker with a positive attitude. Thus, the quickest way to NOT get a job is to mouth out online about your former and current employers. I’m stunned when I see examples of where people post negative remarks about their job or boss, usually while they are sitting at the job where they are supposed to be working. Which leads to the second topic: How to keep the money you make. The days of lifetime employment are over. Corporations and government entities come in and cut thousands of jobs on a whim. They will invent a computer or robot that does your job. One day, you will wake up and find that someone in India has taken your position. Be ready and build a “take this job and shove it” fund. Former Treasury Secretary Don Regan called it “f___ you money.” Either way, (I prefer the Regan terminology), it means freeing yourself from staying in a job you hate because you can’t afford to quit. In order to do that, you need to be financially independent. Most college students aren’t. It used to be that students just didn’t have any income. Now they have huge debts. I keep running into the same type of college graduates. They have big credit card debts, student loans outstanding, payments on cars they’re upside-down on and looking to buy their first home. They are never going to have “F____ you” money. They will spend the next 50 years of their lives at the whim of whatever boss, bank or creditor who wants to pull their chain. Before buying a brand new car or a house, the focus needs to be on paying down debt and getting some savings in the bank. Somewhere I read that a person’s financial style is set by age 27. If a person is a spender at 20, he may get over it by 30. If he is a spender at 30, he probably will be for the rest of his life. The years after college are the time to be “reborn,” in a financial sense. It’s a time to set up your life so that money works for you, rather than you working for money. Don McNay, CLU, ChFC, MSFS, CSSC is one of the world’s leading authorities in helping people deal with “Big Money” issues. McNay is an award winning, syndicated financial columnist and Huffington Post Contributor. You can read more about Don at www.donmcnay.com McNay founded McNay Settlement Group, a structured settlement and financial consulting firm, in 1983 and Kentucky Guardianship Administrators LLC in 2000. You can read more about both at www.mcnay.com McNay has Master’s Degrees from Vanderbilt and the American College and is in the Eastern Kentucky University Hall of Distinguished Alumni. McNay has written two books. Most recent is Son of a Son of a Gambler: Winners, Losers and What to Do When You Win The Lottery McNay is a lifetime member of the Million Dollar Round Table and has four professional designations in the financial services field.

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Don McNay: Things About Money You Don’t Learn in College

February 23, 2010

Out of college, money spent See no future, pay no rent All the money’s gone, nowhere to go The Beatles College seniors are entering a world of money – - and without very much preparation for what is about to hit them. College is good for many things, but preparing students for “real world” finance is not one of them. There are three things a college graduate should know about money: How to make it, how to keep it and how to use it to develop a lifestyle that that will give you long-term happiness. Even when planning on being an entrepreneur and having their own gig, most graduates get experience by working for someone else. They need someone to hire them. Getting hired is a tricky thing. There are courses, counselors and tons of books devoted to the subject, but I offer students only one piece of advice: “It’s all about them, not about you.” Employers hire employees to help employers make more money. They are not interested in accommodating your personal desires unless that somehow happens to coincide with adding to the bottom line. In a time of high unemployment, you need to sell them. They don’t need to sell you. Which brings me to social networking. Do potential employers look at your Facebook page and other social networking sites? Of course they do. I have for a long time. It can make or break a person. I don’t mind pictures from drunken keg parties. I can imagine what my Facebook page would have looked like if people carried cameras during my undergrad years. (And, of course, had there been a Facebook then . . . or computers) Doing crazy stuff is part of the college experience. Employers want a hard worker with a positive attitude. Thus, the quickest way to NOT get a job is to mouth out online about your former and current employers. I’m stunned when I see examples of where people post negative remarks about their job or boss, usually while they are sitting at the job where they are supposed to be working. Which leads to the second topic: How to keep the money you make. The days of lifetime employment are over. Corporations and government entities come in and cut thousands of jobs on a whim. They will invent a computer or robot that does your job. One day, you will wake up and find that someone in India has taken your position. Be ready and build a “take this job and shove it” fund. Former Treasury Secretary Don Regan called it “f___ you money.” Either way, (I prefer the Regan terminology), it means freeing yourself from staying in a job you hate because you can’t afford to quit. In order to do that, you need to be financially independent. Most college students aren’t. It used to be that students just didn’t have any income. Now they have huge debts. I keep running into the same type of college graduates. They have big credit card debts, student loans outstanding, payments on cars they’re upside-down on and looking to buy their first home. They are never going to have “F____ you” money. They will spend the next 50 years of their lives at the whim of whatever boss, bank or creditor who wants to pull their chain. Before buying a brand new car or a house, the focus needs to be on paying down debt and getting some savings in the bank. Somewhere I read that a person’s financial style is set by age 27. If a person is a spender at 20, he may get over it by 30. If he is a spender at 30, he probably will be for the rest of his life. The years after college are the time to be “reborn,” in a financial sense. It’s a time to set up your life so that money works for you, rather than you working for money. Don McNay, CLU, ChFC, MSFS, CSSC is one of the world’s leading authorities in helping people deal with “Big Money” issues. McNay is an award winning, syndicated financial columnist and Huffington Post Contributor. You can read more about Don at www.donmcnay.com McNay founded McNay Settlement Group, a structured settlement and financial consulting firm, in 1983 and Kentucky Guardianship Administrators LLC in 2000. You can read more about both at www.mcnay.com McNay has Master’s Degrees from Vanderbilt and the American College and is in the Eastern Kentucky University Hall of Distinguished Alumni. McNay has written two books. Most recent is Son of a Son of a Gambler: Winners, Losers and What to Do When You Win The Lottery McNay is a lifetime member of the Million Dollar Round Table and has four professional designations in the financial services field.

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Sen. Dodd: CRE Problems Require ‘Prompt and Robust’ Action By Regulators

February 23, 2010

Concern continues to mount in Congress about the potential impact of weak commercial real estate markets on the economic recovery, even as major legislation overhauling regulations for the nation’s banking and financial system move closer to the Senate…

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Japan’s Export Growth Accelerates to 40.9% as Asian Demand Drives Recovery

February 23, 2010

By Keiko Ujikane Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Japan’s exports climbed 40.9 percent in January from a year earlier, compared with a 12.1 percent increase in December, the Finance Ministry said today in Tokyo. The median estimate of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a 39.5 percent gain. To contact the reporter on this story: Keiko Ujikane in Tokyo at kujikane@bloomberg.net

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Suicides at France Telecom Set Agenda for Richard Before Day One as Chief

February 23, 2010

By Matthew Campbell Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — France Telecom SA investors have written Stephane Richard’s playbook for him before he has even taken over as the company’s chief executive officer. Richard’s nomination as CEO of France’s largest phone company will be voted on by its board today. Investors want Richard, 48, to close the chapter on a year when the company was roiled by a spate of suicides that unions blame on its reorganization efforts. They also want him to come up with a plan for the brutally competitive phone market, especially on his home turf where a fourth mobile operator won a license in December, and develop a strategy for emerging markets. “There are three challenges,” for Richard, said Emmanuel Soupre , who helps manage $15.6 billion at Neuflize OBC in Paris. “First, to prepare France Telecom for a reduction in prices that will impact telcos in France, the second is development in emerging markets, the third is the restoration of confidence and optimism in the company.” Richard was hired by France Telecom about six months ago as an eventual successor to Didier Lombard , who retires in 2011. His ascent was hastened by the suicides and criticism from unions and opposition parties on how management dealt with the issue. Richard will take the top job on March 1. Lombard, who will remain chairman, will direct strategic and technological matters. Richard, currently deputy CEO, will deploy “the new industrial project as well as the new social contract,” the company said on Feb. 1. Suicides At least 37 France Telecom employees have committed suicide since January 2008, acts unions blame on stress caused by reorganization to meet intensifying competition. Lombard, 67, tried to restructure France Telecom to compete with rivals including Deutsche Telekom AG and Vodafone Group Plc . “France Telecom are probably hoping to put 2009 behind them,” said Peter Boyland , an analyst in London at IHS Global Insight. “It was a bit of an annus horribilis, really, between the social problems and the economic downturn. This is part of why Lombard is out. Not because he has done anything wrong, but because they want to draw a line under last year.” Unions are guardedly optimistic about Richard. At a meeting with unions in January, Richard pleased workers by agreeing to reconsider some office closures. “He said the closure of small sites was no longer an obligation, and that France Telecom would discuss with local groups how best to organize operations at the local level,” said Sebastien Crozier , a representative of the CFE-CGC union. “He said, this is no longer a dogmatic position. Lombard had an opinion that was completely different.” Powerful Unions More than half the company’s employees in France retain civil-servant status and can’t be easily fired, a remnant from its past as a state-owned monopoly. Unions say the company tried to edge employees out by assigning skilled workers to menial jobs, or asking them to repeatedly move to different cities, driving some of them to commit suicide. Unions are powerful at France Telecom. In October, deputy CEO Louis-Pierre Wenes was forced out after labor groups said he had mishandled the suicide incidents. The company also suspended much of its restructuring plan. Richard, with his experience in the public and the private sectors, is well suited to manage the fine balance between the business and social demands, unions said. Elite Schools Richard has been preparing for this job for a long time. Born in Cauderan in southwestern France, Richard graduated from France’s elite Grandes Ecoles, like top executives at several large companies in France. He attended the Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales and the Ecole Nationale d’Administration. Richard started his career in government in 1987, before being hired away by Jean-Marie Messier at Generale des Eaux, which later transformed into Vivendi SA . He then worked for and became chairman of the supervisory board at Nexity SA, the property developer that grouped together the real-estate assets of Generale des Eaux. Richard joined Veolia Transport, a unit of Veolia Environnement , before returning to the ministry of finance, working in the office of French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde . He joined France Telecom in September as the head of international operations. About a month later, prompted by the union-forced exit of Wenes, Richard became deputy CEO. ‘Driving the Group’ “I knew him in 1996,” said Alain Dinin , chairman and CEO of French property company Nexity , who worked with Richard for seven years. “He was young, but he knew already he wanted to have an important career, at the head of a big, international, industrial group. With his determination, he’s put all the elements in place to reach his objective.” Some analysts worry that Richard may be dragged so much into socio-political challenges in France, he’ll take his eye off the company’s broader strategic goals. “France has to be taken care of, and of course the unions need to be brought on board,” said Michael Kovacocy , an analyst at Daiwa Capital Markets in London. “At the same time we need to turn a page and go back to what really drives the group.” France Telecom’s Orange mobile service will face an aggressive new competitor after Iliad SA — which has dramatically reduced Internet prices in France — was awarded the country’s fourth mobile license. “The main challenge is to try to preserve margins” as Iliad enters the mobile business and other competition mounts, said Xavier Delaye , a DNCA Finance fund manager in Paris. Action Needed France Telecom, which has operations in countries such as Uganda and Jordan, needs to seek growth in emerging markets, said Soupre. “In Africa, they’re putting in a lot of money and setting up deals with local operators,” said IHS’s Boyland. “With Richard it should be more of the same. They are tapping into a market with huge potential.” Under Lombard, France Telecom looked overseas for growth. In 2005, the year he took over at the Paris-based company, sales in France accounted for 58 percent of revenue. In 2008, they were 53.4 percent, and in the third quarter, 44.2 percent. In the first nine months of 2009, profit fell 6.1 percent as revenue slid 4.3 percent to 38.1 billion euros ($51 billion). “The key thing for me is to construct a strategy to get the top line growing again,” said Andy Lynch , who manages $1.8 billion at Schroder Investment Management in London. Acquisitions that “add value and aren’t empire-building” may drive revenue growth, he said. Investors are taking a wait-and-see approach on Richard. France Telecom shares have fallen 3.4 percent this year to 16.85 euros. Twenty-one analysts have a “hold” or “sell” rating on the stock , compared with 19 who recommend buying it, according to Bloomberg data. Unions, too, want to see what he does before giving him their unqualified support. “We feel a change in tone with Richard,” said Sandrine Le Roy , a Force Ouvriere union representative. “But as always, we’re not waiting for words, we’re waiting for actions.” To contact the reporter on this story: Matthew Campbell in London at mcampbell39@bloomberg.net .

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U.S. Unprepared to Battle Large Cyber Attack, Former Top Spy Official Says

February 23, 2010

By Jeff Bliss Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. isn’t prepared for a massive attack on its computer networks by another country, a former top intelligence official said. “If the nation went to war today, in a cyber war, we would lose,” former Director of National Intelligence Michael McConnell told a Senate panel today. McConnell joined a number of former government officials who have warned of cyber vulnerability. A bipartisan group of ex-federal officials said on Feb. 16 after a simulated cyber attack that the U.S. was unprepared to respond to the real thing. “We’re going to have a catastrophic event” before Americans are prompted to action, McConnell told the Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee. He served in his intelligence post under President George W. Bush . The country is more vulnerable than other nations because a greater share of U.S. businesses and government agencies rely on the Internet, McConnell said. The U.S. also has more trade secrets that other countries want to steal, he said. Federal authorities are working with Google Inc. and security consultants to investigate a breach of the Mountain View, California, company’s computer defenses in China. Google, owner of the most popular Internet search engine, publicly disclosed the attack in January and threatened to leave China. The Chinese government has denied any involvement in the breach. McConnell said the government needs to get more involved in dictating security standards on the Internet. Several cyber-security measures being considered by Congress would give the government a greater role. They include legislation sponsored by Commerce panel Chairman Jay Rockefeller , a West Virginia Democrat, and Senator Olympia Snowe , a Maine Republican. To contact the reporter on this story: Jeff Bliss in Washington jbliss@bloomberg.net .

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Diageo Says Bacardi Trying to Sabotage Subsidies on Captain Morgan Rum Tax

February 23, 2010

By Ryan J. Donmoyer

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Morgan Stanley’s Lynch Steps Down as Legal Chief, Had Investigated Boesky

February 23, 2010

By Ian Katz Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Morgan Stanley’s Gary Lynch , who led investigations of Ivan Boesky and Michael Milken at the Securities and Exchange Commission in the 1980s, will step down as the bank’s chief legal officer. Lynch, 59, will remain vice chairman and a member of the New York-based firm’s operating and management committees, according to an internal memo from Chief Executive Officer James Gorman obtained today by Bloomberg News. Morgan Stanley spokeswoman Mary Claire Delaney confirmed the memo’s contents. Morgan Stanley, the world’s biggest brokerage, will consider internal and outside candidates for the job to be based in New York, Gorman said in the memo. Lynch, who will remain in the position until a successor is named, will stay in London, where he moved last year, according to the memo. Lynch will “focus on firm management and his responsibilities as a board member of our European subsidiaries,” Gorman wrote. “He will also take on key relationship responsibilities with our international clients.” Lynch headed the SEC’s enforcement division from 1985 to 1989 and led insider-trading investigations of Boesky and Milken. Former Morgan Stanley CEO John Mack hired Lynch to work at Credit Suisse First Boston in 2001 and then at Morgan Stanley when Mack moved there in 2005. Mack stepped down as CEO at the beginning of this year and remains chairman. Lynch, who started at the SEC in 1976, was also a partner at law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP from 1989 to 2001. His move was reported earlier today by the Wall Street Journal. To contact the reporter on this story: Ian Katz in Washington at ikatz2@bloomberg.net .

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GM Hummer Sale to Sichuan Said to Be Imperiled as China Withholds Approval

February 23, 2010

By Katie Merx Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — General Motors Co. failed to win approval from Chinese regulators to sell its Hummer brand to Sichuan Tengzhong Heavy Industrial Machinery Co. , said two people briefed on the deal. A government agency indicated that it won’t provide approval for Chengdu, China-based Tengzhong to purchase the Hummer line of sport-utility vehicles from GM in China, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the decision hasn’t been made public. The deal may be completed offshore, the people said. Regulators said they won’t block a transaction closed elsewhere, one person said. Suolang Duoji, Tengzhong’s investment partner in pursuing Hummer, has holdings that include 38 percent of Hong Kong-based Lumena Resources Corp., according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Lumena is incorporated in the Cayman Islands. Calls placed today to China’s Ministry of Commerce, one of the regulators, weren’t answered. “The key element here is that both parties want to do the deal,” said Rebecca Lindland , an analyst with IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. “None of these deals to sell car brands are simple. If they still want to do it, it’s still possible it will happen.” Expanding Hummer Acquiring Hummer would propel Tengzhong, a closely held maker with products including bridge parts, into the passenger- vehicle industry. The company has said it wants to expand Hummer into China and other expanding markets outside the U.S., which accounted for about two-thirds of the brand’s sales under GM. Hummer CEO James Taylor and Christina Stenson , a spokeswoman for Tengzhong in New York, each declined to comment. Baodong Wang, a spokesman for the Chinese embassy in Washington, D.C., didn’t have an immediate comment. To build and sell in China, Tengzhong would still need approval from Chinese regulatory and licensing agencies, according to the people. Hummer is among four brands, along with Pontiac, Saab and Saturn, that Detroit-based GM is unloading to focus on Chevrolet, Buick, GMC and Cadillac in the U.S. after exiting bankruptcy on July 10. Tengzhong agreed to buy the Hummer brand from GM in October. The transaction is worth $150 million, people familiar with the deal said at the time, about 70 percent less than GM valued it in court. Tengzhong CEO Yang Yi told China Daily in October that he hoped to win government approval for the deal by early 2010. To contact the reporter on this story: Katie Merx in Southfield, Michigan, at kmerx@bloomberg.net

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Japan January Export Growth Accelerates as Overseas Demand Drives Recovery

February 23, 2010

By Keiko Ujikane Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Japan’s exports climbed 40.9 percent in January from a year earlier, compared with a 12.1 percent increase in December, the Finance Ministry said today in Tokyo. The median estimate of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a 39.5 percent gain. To contact the reporter on this story: Keiko Ujikane in Tokyo at kujikane@bloomberg.net

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Asian Shares Fall for First Time in Three Days on U.S. Consumer Confidence

February 23, 2010

By Jonathan Burgos and Shani Raja Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks declined, dragging down the MSCI Asia Pacific Index for the first time in three days, as U.S. consumer confidence decreased to a 10-month low and as the stronger yen hurt Japanese exporters. Sony Corp., an electronics maker that receives 23 percent of sales from the U.S., retreated 2.4 percent in Tokyo, and Nissan Motor Co., a carmaker that gets 35 percent of revenue in North America, lost 3.1 percent. BHP Billiton Ltd., Australia’s top oil producer and the world’s largest mining company, dropped 1.8 percent after oil and metal prices fell. “The U.S. consumer confidence report has again created nervousness about the fragility of the recovery and its sustainability,” said Nader Naeimi , an investment strategist in Sydney at AMP Capital Investors, which oversees about $90 billion globally. “Nevertheless, the fundamentals remain strong and we are still seeing good earnings coming through.” The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.1 percent to 117.70 as of 9:15 a.m. in Tokyo, snapping gains of 3.2 percent in the past two days. The gauge has lost 7.2 percent from a 17-month high on Jan. 15 on concern governments will start withdrawing stimulus measures, and that Greece, Spain and Portugal will struggle to curb deficits. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped 1.7 percent to 10,180.95. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 1.2 percent in Sydney. South Korea’s Kospi Index slipped 1 percent. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.2 percent. The measure retreated 1.2 percent in New York yesterday after the Conference Board’s confidence index for February decreased to the lowest level since April 2009, a report from the New York-based private research group showed. Confidence, Commodities Decline In addition, the Ifo institute in Munich said its survey of German business confidence unexpectedly fell for the first time in 11 months in February as the coldest winter in 14 years damped retail sales and construction. Crude oil for April delivery lost 1.8 percent in New York yesterday, the steepest decline in two weeks. The London Metal Exchange Index of six metals including copper and zinc dropped for a second day yesterday, slipping 2.3 percent. The dollar weakened to as low as 89.92 yen in Tokyo from 91.08 at the 3 p.m. close of stock trading yesterday. Japanese companies consider an average level of 92.90 as the dividing line between losses and profits, the Cabinet Office said on Feb. 19. To contact the reporters for this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net ; Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota Prius Keeps Consumer Reports’ Environmental Title Following Recall

February 23, 2010

By Jeff Plungis Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Toyota Motor Corp. ’s Prius retained its title as Consumer Reports magazine’s top pick for environmentally friendly vehicles two weeks after the automaker recalled 437,000 hybrids to fix a brake software flaw. The carmaker’s $76,572 Lexus LS460L was named best overall vehicle among more than 280 autos tested, the publication said at a news conference in Washington today. The Prius was ranked best “green” car for the seventh straight year. The Consumer Reports rankings, used by U.S. car buyers, may help Toyota weather recalls now totaling more than 8 million vehicles worldwide and widening probes into its handling of the faults. A federal grand jury has asked for documents related to unintended acceleration and braking in the Prius, and three congressional panels are planning hearings, starting with a House Energy and Commerce subcommittee today. Consumer Reports also named General Motors Co.’s Chevrolet Traverse as the best sport-utility vehicle and GM’s Silverado as the top pickup. Nissan Motor Co. also had two recommended models, the Altima sedan and Infiniti G37 sports car. Other favored vehicles included the Mazda Motor Corp. Mazda5, Fuji Heavy Industries Ltd.’s Subaru Forester, Volkswagen AG’s GTI and Hyundai Motor Co.’s Elantra SE. Suspended Sales Toyota’s Highlander and RAV4 SUVs were dropped from the magazine’s top-pick list because the company has suspended sales of the models as part of the recalls, said David Champion , deputy technical director at the magazine’s automotive test center. The magazine will reevaluate the decision when sales resume, he said. In a separate ranking of best values, Consumer Reports again singled out the Prius and the Honda Motor Co. Ltd.’s Fit small cars as the top two scoring models among more than 280 tested. In response to the Toyota recalls, Consumers Union, the Yonkers, New York-based publisher of Consumer Reports , said today that U.S. regulators should require simpler controls that allow drivers to turn off car engines in an emergency. Technical experts at Consumer Reports found that in panic situations vehicle controls such as ignition shut-offs may not operate the way drivers expect, Champion said in an interview. The push-button ignition found on Toyota models such as the Prius was particularly difficult, Champion said. Drivers have to hold down the button for three seconds to turn the ignition off, he said. The vehicles should be redesigned so that pushing it multiple times turns the car off, Champion said. “Even most of us on the test track didn’t realize you had to hold the button,” Champion said. Policy Recommendations Evaluation of the recalled cars showed some issues that should have standardized fixes, Champion said. Automakers should be required to design accelerator pedals to clear floor mats with expected normal usage, he said. Consumer Reports hasn’t seen any unintended acceleration in its test cars, Champion said. In a set of policy recommendations, Consumer Reports said the government should lift the current $16.4 million cap on civil penalties for failure to recall vehicles as required by law. The relatively low amounts may be considered a “cost of doing business,” and not a deterrent, the magazine said. In addition to the 437,000 hybrids being recalled for brakes flaws, Toyota is recalling about 8 million vehicles on five continents to repair accelerator pedals and pedals that can be trapped by floor mats. Toyota “all but ignored pleas from consumers” to examine complaints of sudden unintended acceleration, Representative Bart Stupak , chairman of the Energy and Commerce Oversight and Investigations Subcommittee, said at today’s hearing. The company “misled the American public” by saying they thoroughly examined electronics as a possible cause, said Stupak, a Michigan Democrat. To contact the reporter on this story: Jeff Plungis in Washington at jplungis@bloomberg.net .

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Nine Irons Breaking Windows Beats Party of No: Margaret Carlson

February 23, 2010

Commentary by Margaret Carlson Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — In living color and surround sound, straight from the ballroom of the Marriott in Washington, a production that portends either the coming world domination of the Republican Party or its crack-up. At the largest Conservative Political Action Conference ever this past weekend, where attendance was up 20 percent (more than half were young people paying $25 instead of the standard $175 registration fee), you could see the pragmatists and purists in full flower. There’s a guy wearing a plastic sheet with an AK-47 (or Uzi, I can’t tell the difference) on the back and too many “Don’t Tread on Me” hats and T-shirts to count. Paraphernalia aplenty for whatever your beef against government might be. You have folks in the exhibition hall pushing guns, abstinence, secession, tax protests and militias. The John Birchers, who labeled Dwight Eisenhower a communist, had a big booth. On the agenda are all the stars of the political right — Dick Armey , Newt Gingrich , Ann Coulter and Glenn Beck , joined by conservatives from Congress, like Representative Michele Bachmann . Most of the Republican presidential hopefuls for 2012 also were there. They need the energy of the whooping crowd, but they also want to win. For Republicans, the path back to power requires that the coalition be enlarged. They may be the Party of No but they aren’t nihilists. Elections are won by putting the poles of your tent as far out as possible, even if it sags in the middle. But for the CPAC crowd, ideological purity is the road to recovery. They’d like to limit membership to those willing to submit a strand of hair to prove their DNA is 100 percent conservative. Rubio’s Star Inside the hall, a candidate for the Senate like Marco Rubio got a rousing but at times muted reception when he talked policy. A rising star, he appeals to insiders as a former speaker of the Florida House. Yet he also attracts outsiders who like his anti-government rhetoric and up-from-the-bootstraps origins as a Cuban-American. He made his moderate opponent, former Governor Charlie Crist , a laughing stock for man-hugging Barack Obama when the president came to Fort Myers to push the stimulus bill. He also — unlike Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown — warmly and publicly embraced the tea partiers. When Rubio was throwing red meat, the crowd went wild. When he wasn’t and touched on governing, the room grew quiet and restive. The crowd wanted tax cuts and nothing but tax cuts. He’s still leading in the primary against Crist but the ardor cooled when he said in a recent interview that he would have taken the stimulus money for his struggling state. Strange Bedfellows Looking at the agenda, you have to wonder what prime-time speakers like Fox News star Beck and presidential aspirant Mitt Romney have in common. The latter’s hair never moves, the former’s mouth never stops. Beck refrained from barking during his speech, the most popular of the event. His trademark chalkboard got a standing ovation. He did make chomping sounds as he attacked the very thought of letting infidels into the fold. Beck’s idea, the prevailing one at the gathering, brooks no compromise or fair-weather friends like Romney, who tries to pass himself off as one of them by disavowing the beliefs he held as governor of Massachusetts. To that point, Romney, considered by many pundits to be the leading contender in 2012, lost the convention’s straw poll. It doesn’t mean much as Romney, who won it last year, can tell you. This year, Texas Republican Representative Ron Paul , who ran in 2008 and is a hero of campus conservatives, won with 31 percent. If the movement could put together a candidate limb by limb, Paul would be it all the way down to abolishing the Federal Reserve. Romney did come in second with 22 percent, while Sarah Palin was a distant third with 7 percent. Take the Money That paltry showing has to be a case of be-there-or-be- square for the reigning queen of the conservative movement. Palin turned down the invitation of CPAC, which doesn’t pay its speakers, in favor of the National Tea Party Convention, which did. Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty , one of the more viable hopefuls for 2012, embodied the dilemma of trying to govern and be angry enough to appeal to the base of the party. The diminutive Pawlenty urged his audience to emulate Tiger Woods ’s wife: “We should take a page out of her playbook and take a nine iron and smash the window out of big government in this country.” ‘We’re in Trouble’ The comment came up later on “Meet the Press.” “With that kind of rallying cry,” host David Gregory asked, “do you really expect people to take you seriously?” Pawlenty deflected his out-of-character moment, saying, “If we’ve gotten to the point where you can’t make a joke, I think we’re in trouble.” Beck whose hour-long speech ended the conference demonstrated the difference between this year and last when headliner Rush Limbaugh , in Johnny Cash garb, bounced his way through a speech devoted to jibes at the common enemy, Obama. The common attack against Obama this year was about his teleprompter usage — by speakers using teleprompters. In his speech, Beck’s enemy wasn’t Obama but the GOP, which he likened to a newbie at Alcoholics Anonymous taking the first of the 12 steps. “Hello, my name is the Republican Party, and I got a problem. I’m addicted to spending and big government.” We know what happened in 2000 when Green Party candidate Ralph Nader , at heart a Democrat, saw no differences where there were many. Purity tests are for losers. ( Margaret Carlson , author of “Anyone Can Grow Up: How George Bush and I Made It to the White House” and former White House correspondent for Time magazine, is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: Margaret Carlson in Washington at mcarlson3@bloomberg.net

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Doctors’ Hours Fall for a Decade, Adding to a U.S. Shortage, Study Reports

February 23, 2010

By Pat Wechsler Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Work hours for U.S. doctors dropped steadily for more than a decade, mirroring a decline in inflation-adjusted fees and worsening a nationwide physician shortage, a study said. Doctors’ hours per week fell to an average of 51 in 2008 from 55 in 1996, after two decades of being almost unchanged, according to research published today in the Journal of the American Medical Association . The report showed the slide was linked to a falloff in fees paid to physicians. The charges declined 25 percent after inflation from 1995 to 2006, according to an index measure of fees going to doctors. The U.S. is suffering a nationwide shortage of practitioners that has left some Americans without a primary-care doctor and has caused hospital emergency rooms to be overcrowded, said the American College of Physicians. Pressure may mount if the federal government is successful in extending medical insurance to another 31 million Americans in the proposed health overhaul, said the authors of today’s report. “You would be hard-pressed to find a profession that has experienced such a drop in hours over a decade,” said Douglas O. Staiger , one of the study’s authors who is an economist at Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire. “We concluded that doctors weren’t seeing either the financial or nonfinancial rewards that made it worth working that last hour.” Other Professions Lawyers, engineers and registered nurses showed almost no drop in the length of their work weeks during the 30 weeks examined in the study, he said. Staiger said a change of less than an hour a week over 10 years, either up or down, would be the experience of most professions. The stagnant number of doctors has already left parts of the U.S. with 16,787 too few physicians to meet a federally set, “medically appropriate” ratio of one doctor for every 2,000 residents, according to the U.S. Health Resources and Services Administration. That shortfall was 16,679 in mid-November. Doctors and economists have debated whether there is a shortfall or simply uneven distribution by geography and by medical specialty. Some cite mounting evidence from Massachusetts, where health-insurance expansion has enabled some 97 percent of residents to have medical coverage and patients are waiting longer to get an initial doctor’s appointment, or having trouble getting one at all. Waiting Time The average waiting time to see a family-medicine doctor in Boston, a city with 14 teaching hospitals, is 63 days, the longest among 15 cities in a 2009 survey by Merritt Hawkins & Associates, a recruiting and research firm in Irving, Texas. “While there has been growth in the number of doctors, it has slowed over the last decade,” said Staiger, who also works for the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, Massachusetts. “Clearly, something unique is going on with physicians and it is somehow tied to declining fees.” The study didn’t have data on physicians’ overall annual incomes. A 2009 Merritt Hawkins survey showed primary-care doctors to be the lowest-paid physicians, earning $173,000 a year, compared with $481,000 for orthopedic surgeons. The U.S. Government Accountability Office suggested that the introduction of managed care in the mid-1990s was linked to the decline in hours as pressure from insurers increased competition and cut fees, the journal report said. Across the Board Today’s study used U.S. Census Bureau records to track the work hours of resident and non-resident doctors. Because of legislative limits on hours imposed on physicians-in-training in 2003, the length of residents’ work weeks dropped an average 10 percent to 59.3 hours in 2008 from 1996, with most of the decline happening in the last five years surveyed. Still, nonresident doctors’ hours fell 5.7 percent to a low of 49.6 hours in 2008, the study showed. With no law restricting hours for the non-residents in the study, the cutback was tied at least in part to declining fees, Staiger said. Based on a weighted average of Medicare and private-sector fees, inflation-adjusted physician fees have declined almost without interruption since 1995, according to the study. Urban Doctors Where fees were lowest, so too were hours worked weekly, Staiger said. The study showed that the decline in hours tracked similarly across both age and sex, even though doctors have suggested that the graying of the profession and the higher number of women were leading to fewer hours, Staiger said. “Those were the first stories I heard when I began this study,” he said. “While it may be true that women doctors are working fewer hours because of families, we saw almost identical drops for males and females.” While doctors over 45 years old worked fewer hours on average than those under 45, the 7.4 percent decline in the work week for younger physicians was more than double the decline for older practitioners, according to the study. The study was funded by the National Institute on Aging. To contact the reporter on this story: Pat Wechsler in New York at pwechsler@bloomberg.net

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Singapore Withdraws Red Carpet for Overseas Workers on Political Concern

February 23, 2010

By Shamim Adam Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — After luring investor Jim Rogers , actor Jet Li , Filipino maids and Bangladeshi construction workers with one of Asia’s most open immigration policies, Singapore is becoming a little less welcoming to foreigners. Singapore almost doubled the rate it grants citizenship and permanent residence in the past five years to counter a falling birth rate, and let firms bring in thousands to work at hotels, shipyards and restaurants. The move saw foreigners make up one in every three people. The government plans to slow the inflow to avoid being “overwhelmed,” and unveiled higher levies for overseas laborers, cooks and janitors in its Feb. 22 budget. The effort is part of a shift in economic policies designed to ease discontent in the aftermath of the deepest recession since independence in 1965 and to shore up public support before elections that must be held by February 2012. The danger is that the changes may make Singapore more expensive for companies to operate in and less attractive to investors. “The economy generates more jobs than can be filled by locals and it wasn’t that long ago the government was arguing vehemently that we need foreign talent to ensure strong and sustainable growth,” said Song Seng-Wun , an economist at CIMB- GK Securities Pte in Singapore. “They’re trying to soothe Singaporeans’ anxiety that the whole island is swamped with foreigners. It’s politics.” Election Timing The government’s shift, which includes higher school and medical fees for non-citizens, has spurred speculation that an election may be called as early as this year. Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong on Feb. 17 directed the Elections Department to update electoral rolls with eligible voters and for the process to be completed by March 31. A day later, a government gazette published the boundaries of new and existing polling districts. Lee’s People’s Action Party was co-founded in 1954 by his father, former Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew , and it has been in power since 1959. Its politicians currently hold 82 of 84 elected seats in parliament. Prime Minister Lee in a speech on Jan. 25 noted a speculation “fever” of early elections, while adding that it’s not imminent. Support for long-serving governments in Asia has diminished in recent years. At the last Singapore election in 2006, Lee’s party won about 67 percent of ballots, 8 percentage points lower than the previous vote. In neighboring Malaysia, voters reduced the ruling coalition’s majority to a record low in 2008. Japan in August saw the ouster of the Liberal Democratic Party, which ruled the nation for almost all the postwar period. Hit to Economy Singapore’s economy contracted 2 percent last year as the global slump reduced demand for goods, hurting the island’s exports. The trade ministry last week said it expects an expansion as much as 6.5 percent in 2010. Policy makers in Singapore say productivity is a cornerstone of their economic blueprint for the next decade, aiming to reduce the island’s dependence on exports. The government has blamed some industries’ use of cheaper, low- skilled foreign labor as a reason for low productivity in the past 10 years. “We’re not against foreign workers,” Lim Swee Say , a government minister and secretary-general of the National Trades Union Congress, said at a Feb. 1 media briefing. “But just like drinking wine, wine is good but too much wine is bad. Foreign workers are good but too many foreign workers growing at too fast a rate is no good for the economy because it dilutes our focus on productivity.” Birth Rate Immigration had been a key component of Singapore’s population and economic strategy, given the failure of other incentives offered since 1987 to arrest a birth-rate decline — such as tax breaks, subsidies and cash bonuses. Singapore, which has one-quarter the land area of Rhode Island, has no natural resources and the government relies on the skills of its populace to drive growth. The government insists it’s still welcoming foreign talent, suggesting it will aim to reduce the inflow of lower-skilled workers rather than bankers, scientists and athletes. The laborers who build office towers and ships and serve at the city’s restaurants and hotels are mostly not allowed to apply to be permanent residents or citizens. The influx of foreigners, both skilled and unskilled, has boosted sales for property developers such as CapitaLand Ltd. , transportation providers including SMRT Corp. and telephone companies such as Singapore Telecommunications Ltd. It’s also helped consumption, given the birth rate has been below the level needed to replace the population since the 1970s. Citizenship, Residence About 20,513 people became Singapore citizens in 2008, and another 79,167 were given permanent residence. The tally is three times more than the 32,423 babies born to citizens that year. Of the 4.99 million population, about 1.8 million are non- citizens. Disgruntled Singaporeans say the immigration policy means more competition with newcomers for jobs, public housing and places in choice in schools for their children. In the past few months, the government has lowered healthcare subsidies for permanent residents, increased public school fees for non- citizens, and tweaked a balloting system to give Singaporean children twice the chance of getting into the educational institution of their choice. To address the flood of workers brought in by companies such as SembCorp Marine Ltd. , the world’s second-biggest oil-rig maker, and casino operator Genting Singapore Plc , the government now plans to increase levies on foreign labor. Levies on Workers Singapore will raise the monthly charge for foreign workers in manufacturing and services industries by an average S$100 ($71) over the next three years, while construction companies will see a larger increase because there is more room for productivity improvements, Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam said Feb. 22. The first increase from July will see a rise of as much as S$30 a month per worker, he said. An employer currently pays the government between S$50 and S$470 monthly per foreign worker. Professionals and executives who earn more than S$2,500 fall under a separate category that doesn’t require a levy. The government’s latest move may cost SembCorp Marine, which estimates it has as many as 20,000 foreign workers and sub-contractors, an additional S$600,000 a month, said Ong Poh Kwee , the company’s deputy president. “It will add on to the cost of operations,” Ong said. “This is the catalyst to driving productivity and adds to the urgency” of becoming more efficient. The levy increase will slow economic growth and raise business costs, said Alvin Liew , an economist at Standard Chartered Bank in Singapore. ‘Hollowing-Out’ “The new policy on foreign workers may place a disproportionate burden on certain sectors, posing risks to their profitability in the next few years,” Liew said. “The most obvious victim is the construction sector, followed by low- end manufacturing and labor-intensive services industries like hotels and restaurants.” Higher costs may also accelerate the “hollowing-out” of some manufacturing industries, which may move to cheaper locations in the region, he said. For consumers, Singapore will likely become a more expensive place for hotel stays and restaurant meals, he said. Singapore cannot slow down the intake of foreigners too much because it will hurt growth even as locals complain of competition in schools or congestion in trains, buses and public areas, Lee Kuan Yew , now known as Minister Mentor, said at a community event Feb. 18. In an interview with National Geographic last year, he called the country’s recent migrants “hungry” and “determined to succeed” compared with locals who are “less hard driving and hard-striving.” “We tell them, look, they have to work harder or they’ll become stupid,” the elder Lee said of Singaporeans. “It’s just they don’t see the point of it. Why race when you can canter and save your energy and do other things? A regular inflow of migrants without too huge a deluge will keep” a society “on its toes,” he said. To contact the reporter on this story: Shamim Adam in Singapore at sadam2@bloomberg.net

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Bobsledder in Debt Offers Olympic Contrast to Vonn

February 23, 2010

By Erik Matuszewski Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — U.S. bobsledder Bill Schuffenhauer represents the other side of the Olympic dream. Unlike Olympic teammates Shaun White in snowboarding and Lindsey Vonn in Alpine skiing, Schuffenhauer doesn’t make millions of dollars from endorsements. He’s not featured in marketing campaigns or starring in television commercials. To pursue a third trip to the Winter Olympics, Schuffenhauer, 36, quit a job in the business banking group for Wells Fargo & Co . more than a year ago and fell deeply in debt, losing his house and a car in the process. When the 2002 silver medalist was selected as part of the U.S. team, his initial joy gave way to the realization his family probably wouldn’t be able to join him at the Vancouver Games. “The reality was that it cost us so much,” Schuffenhauer said yesterday in an interview. “While it’s been a fantastic experience, probably the best I’ve ever had in the Olympics, it was hard to fathom not being able to share all this with them because we’ve done all this as a family.” Four days before Schuffenhauer is scheduled to compete in the four-man bobsled competition, Cincinnati-based Procter & Gamble Co. — a sponsor for Vonn and the U.S. Olympic Committee — stepped in. The world’s largest household-products maker surprised Schuffenhauer yesterday by bringing his fiancée, Ruthann Savage, and 4-year-old son, Corben, to Vancouver. Tears and Hugs “To be here representing my country and having my family here to share it means more to me than anything in the world,” Schuffenhauer said after breaking down in tears and sharing hugs with his fiancée and son at the P&G Family Home in Vancouver. “We’ll forever remember this.” While Schuffenhauer and his teammates aren’t among the favorites to medal in the four-man bobsled, his Olympic tale is already one of success. He said he grew up in Salt Lake City to drug-addicted parents. He said he lived on the streets, ate out of garbage cans and panhandled money for food. Before junior high school, his grandmother took him in and athletics became his salvation. Schuffenhauer sought to become an Olympic decathlete. A friend turned him to bobsled when an ankle injury ended his goal of making the 2000 Summer Games. When one of the members of the top U.S. four-man team tested positive for a banned substance, Schuffenhauer joined the sled as a pusher and won a silver medal eight years ago in his hometown. Quits Bank Job Schuffenhauer also competed in the 2006 Games in Turin and decided before the start of last year’s World Cup season that he’d try once more to be an Olympian, this time with a family. He quit his job in business payroll services for Wells Fargo and left home for up to eight months at a time. While Schuffenhauer gets some funding from the USOC and the U.S. Bobsled Federation , Savage’s paycheck as a labor and delivery nurse in Ogden, Utah, has been the family’s main source of income. When the recession hit, several potential sponsors dropped out and bills and expenses piled up. The couple lost their house and one of their two cars. “It’s hard to swallow your pride and say you let your house slip away, your vehicle slip away, things that are normal for other people day in and day out,” he said. “A lot of people think for training we just need supplements and a few pairs of shoes, but it’s a full lifestyle, a full-time job. You can’t make the Olympic team without committing 110 percent.” Own Agent Unlike athletes in many other sports, Schuffenhauer doesn’t have an agent. He serves as his own representative to try to land sponsorship deals, even at the Olympics. “It’s difficult. Other athletes are here focusing strictly on their events,” Schuffenhauer said. Bobsledding “is not a big time sport. Even if you do have an agent you kind of get looked over, so I took it on myself to do it on my own.” He’s no longer on his own in Vancouver, where his fiancée and son will get to see him compete for the first time outside Park City, Utah. “It means so much for me to be out here and have our son see with his own eyes the significance of what his father has done,” said Savage, who doesn’t wear an engagement ring because Schuffenhauer can’t afford one. “I keep telling him, ‘This is the Olympics, this is a big deal.’” Medal Chances Schuffenhauer probably won’t win a gold medal like Vonn and White, and said he realizes many people might not understand the sacrifices his family made for him to again compete in the Olympics. He jokingly called it “a sickness” as he held Corben in his arms and wiped away tears. “It’s just a passion of having the honor of representing your country,” Schuffenhauer said. “Hopefully my kids see that and whatever their passion is they pursue it with their heart and soul like their dad did.” To contact the reporter on this story: Erik Matuszewski in Vancouver, at matuszewski@bloomberg.net

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Winter Storm May Pound U.S. Northeast Later This Week, Add to Snow Totals

February 23, 2010

By Brian K. Sullivan Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — As a winter storm threatens to leave more than 12 inches of snow across upstate New York and parts of New England, forecasters are warning of an even more powerful system arriving Feb. 25. “You may hear it called a ‘snow hurricane’ because blizzard may not even do it justice,” said Alex Sosnowski , an expert senior meteorologist with AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pennsylvania. “It is like we’re getting a decade’s worth of storms all in one season.” Winter storm warnings and advisories for the current storm stretch from Pennsylvania through Vermont and Massachusetts, according to the National Weather Service. While rain is falling in coastal areas such as New York, heavy snow is falling in Albany, where forecasts call for as much as 7 inches tonight and 10 inches tomorrow, the weather service said. The next storm will develop off the U.S. East Coast out of a system coming up from the Gulf of Mexico, Sosnowski said. AccuWeather’s Web site describes the storm as “nothing short of a monster” and predicts high winds and heavy rain across Long Island, Connecticut and New York. “Midday models show a region from Cape Cod to northern Maine receiving hurricane-force winds at the storm’s peak, Thursday afternoon and overnight,” private forecaster MDA Federal Inc. said in a statement. The lowest hurricane-force wind is 74 miles per hour (119 kph). NYC Snow New York City will probably receive snow from the storm, which is forecast to enter the metropolitan area early in the morning on Feb. 25, said Joe Pollina, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Upton, New York. “We anticipate some snow for much of the area,” Pollina said by telephone. He said it is too early to estimate snowfall amounts for New York because the storm’s path may still change. The weather service will begin releasing those forecasts sometime tomorrow, he said. In coastal areas, the storm is likely to draw in warm air that will mean rain, while areas from upstate New York to Ottawa may receive 12 inches or more of snow, Sosnowski said. “This thing is a little different animal,” Sosnowski said by telephone. “Instead of passing on by, it looks like it is going to hook back.” The current storm has tied up air traffic along the East Coast, according to the Federal Aviation Administration Web site. Weather-related delays of more than an hour were reported in Boston, Philadelphia and Newark and at LaGuardia and John F. Kennedy airports in New York. To contact the reporter on this story: Brian K. Sullivan in Boston at bsullivan10@bloomberg.net .

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BoCom Seeks $6.15 Billion Selling Stock After Loan Growth Drains Capital

February 23, 2010

By Bloomberg News Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Bank of Communications Ltd. , China’s fourth-largest lender by market value, plans to raise as much as 42 billion yuan ($6.15 billion) from a share sale as it follows rivals in replenishing capital depleted by a surge in loans. The bank, known as BoCom, will offer 1.5 shares for every 10 held in a rights offer for investors in its Shanghai-listed A-shares and Hong Kong-listed H shares, it said in a statement to the Hong Kong stock exchange yesterday. Chinese banks are raising money after a record 9.59 trillion yuan of new loans last year weakened their balance sheets and the regulator raised requirements for financial buffers. The 11 largest publicly traded lenders may need to raise as much as a combined 368 billion yuan to keep their capital adequacy ratios at 12 percent, BNP Paribas SA estimates. “The amount they aim to raise is within our expectation,” said Lee Yuk-kei, a Hong Kong-based analyst at Core Pacific- Yamaichi International Ltd. who rates BoCom stock as a “hold.” “They are one of the last big Chinese banks to announce fundraising plans, so things should begin to quiet down, at least in the short term.” Shares of BoCom, part-owned by HSBC Holdings Plc, fell 1.1 percent yesterday to close at 8.05 yuan in Shanghai, extending this year’s loss to 14 percent. The Hong Kong-listed stock rose 0.9 percent to HK$7.99. Bigger rival Bank of China Ltd. said last month it plans to sell as much as 40 billion yuan of bonds convertible into new shares and may raise more capital by selling stock in Hong Kong. China Merchants Bank Co. , the nation’s fifth largest by market value, said Feb. 22 it will grant 1.3 shares for every 10 held in a rights offer that will raise as much as 22 billion yuan. Financial Strength BoCom’s Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio, a key measure of a lender’s financial strength, fell to 8.08 percent as of Sept. 30, the second-lowest among the nation’s six largest publicly traded banks, from 9.54 percent at the start of 2009. Yesterday’s statement from the Shanghai-based lender didn’t say when the offer will take place or give details of the pricing of the rights shares. — Luo Jun , with assistance from Kelvin Wong in Hong Kong. Editors: Chitra Somayaji , Nerys Avery To contact Bloomberg News staff of this story: Luo Jun in Shanghai at +8621-6104-7021 or jluo6@bloomberg.net ; Cathy Chan in Hong Kong at +852-2977-6629 or kchan14@bloomberg.net ; Bei Hu in Hong Kong at +852-2977-6633 or bhu5@bloomberg.net

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Toyota’s Recalls May `Not Totally’ Solve Acceleration Issues, Lentz Says

February 23, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane and Alan Ohnsman Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Toyota Motor Corp .’s U.S. sales chief told a congressional committee that there are probably causes of unintended acceleration not yet resolved by recalls of 8 million vehicles worldwide. The recalls under way to reshape accelerator pedals and replace floor mats will “not totally” mitigate sudden acceleration in Toyota vehicles, linked to 34 deaths, Jim Lentz , president of Toyota’s U.S. sales unit in Torrance, California, told a House Energy and Commerce panel today in Washington. “We need to continue to be vigilant and continue to investigate all of the complaints from consumers that we have done a relatively poor job of doing in the past,” Lentz said. Under questioning from Representative Bart Stupak , a Michigan Democrat, Lentz agreed that the company may not know the cause of unintended acceleration in as many as 70 percent of reported incidents. Toyota is fixing or reshaping gas pedals that it says may become stuck or snagged by floor mats while saying it has found no evidence linking electronics to the defects. Testing hasn’t shown electronic flaws, Lentz said in his testimony. Toyota “all but ignored pleas from consumers” to examine complaints of sudden unintended acceleration, Stupak said. “They misled the American public by saying that they and other independent sources had thoroughly examined the electronics system,” Stupak, the subcommittee’s chairman, said today at the first congressional hearing looking at Toyota’s recalls and their handling by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration . “Toyota and NHTSA have a lot of explaining to do to the American people, to consumers and dealers.” Growth Over Development Toyota President Akio Toyoda is linking the flaws to expansion that made the company the world’s largest automaker. “We pursued growth over the speed at which we were able to develop our people and our organization, and we should sincerely be mindful of that,” Toyoda said in remarks prepared for his scheduled appearance tomorrow before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee . “I regret that this has resulted in the safety issues described in the recalls.” Toyota’s American depositary receipts, each equal to two ordinary shares, fell $1.38, or 1.9 percent, to $71.55 at 4:02 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading . Easy to Crack David Gilbert, an automotive-technology professor at Southern Illinois University in Carbondale, said in testimony that he was able to isolate weaknesses in Toyota’s electronic throttles that aren’t found in units from other automakers. “None were quite as easy as the Toyota system to crack,” Gilbert said. Asked why Toyota wasn’t able to figure this out, Gilbert said “Maybe they didn’t ask the right questions.” Gilbert is being paid for his work by Safety Research & Strategies Inc., a safety advocacy group in Rehoboth, Massachusetts that gathers data from NHTSA and other sources for plaintiff’s attorneys. Gilbert said during his questioning that he contacted the group because the reports about Toyota’s electronic system “piqued my curiosity.” Sean Kane , president of Safety Research, said he’s paid Gilbert $1,800, and reimburses him at a rate of $150 an hour. Consumer Testimony Lawmakers heard from Rhonda Smith of Sevierville, Tennessee, about a 2006 incident. She said the Lexus ES350 she was driving accelerated to about 100 miles per hour (161 kilometers per hour), “with the engine still revving up and down,” for about six miles. She was able to turn the engine off after the car slowed down, avoiding a crash and injury. “Shame on you Toyota for being so greedy,” Smith said. “And shame on you NHTSA for not doing your job. I hope that Toyota and NHTSA will be held accountable for their poor decisions that have cost some people their lives.” “Listening to Mrs. Smith, I feel embarrassed,” Lentz said. “I was embarrassed to hear the story.” Toyota will install advanced brake override systems in all new models beginning in 2011, Lentz told the committee. The company will also retrofit seven current models with the software fix, he said. In November, company said cars recalled for floor mat problem would get brake override software. In January at the Detroit Auto show, the company’s North American chief executive officer said they were expanding that program to all vehicles worldwide. A Toyota internal document sent to the House oversight panel and dated July 6, 2009, said the company saved $100 million through a “negotiated” vehicle recall. The document, obtained Feb. 21, showed the company outlining accomplishments described as “Wins for Toyota,” including the savings. ‘Too Cozy’ The presentation on savings, in a bullet-point format, said of an inquiry into sudden acceleration: “Negotiated ‘equipment’ recall on Camry/ES re: SA, saved $100M+, w/no defect found.” NHTSA may be “too cozy” with the auto industry, Stupak said. The agency also may have focused too much on mechanical causes in response to reports of sudden unintended acceleration rather than on potential electronic causes, he said. “There is no evidence that Toyota or the government agency, NHTSA, took a serious look at the possibility that electronic defects could be causing the problem,” said Representative Henry Waxman , a California Democrat who is chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee . “Addressing this problem will require legislation,” Waxman said. “Carmakers have entered the electronic era, but NHTSA seems stuck in a mechanical mindset.” Avoiding Delays U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood , whose department oversees NHTSA, said in testimony prepared for today’s hearing that regulators pushed Toyota at “every step” to act on reports of unintended acceleration. “By engaging Toyota directly, and persuading the company to take action, the agency avoided a lengthy investigation that would have delayed fixes,” LaHood said. Toyota, based in Toyota City, Japan, said in a regulatory filing this week that it received subpoenas from a federal grand jury in the Southern District of New York on Feb. 8 and the Los Angeles office of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Feb. 19 for documents related to potential product defects. To contact the reporters on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net ; Alan Ohnsman in Los Angeles at aohnsman@bloomberg.net

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Nomura Will Almost Triple Salaries for Some Graduates, Bridging Lehman Gap

February 23, 2010

By Takahiko Hyuga Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Nomura Holdings Inc. will almost triple annual salaries for some investment-banking and trading recruits, closing a compensation gap with workers who joined in the 2008 takeover of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s Asian unit. Tokyo-based Nomura plans to pay 6.5 million yen ($71,000) plus bonuses to some university graduates who join its investment banking , trading, research and legal departments in Japan next April, according to its recruitment Web site. It currently pays a 2.4 million yen starting salary for those posts. Nomura, Japan’s largest investment bank, is matching the pay it gave college graduates originally recruited by Lehman in the country before its September 2008 bankruptcy. Lehman offered jobs to more than 20 local college seniors before the firm collapsed. Those recruits were paid a 6.5 million yen salary, people with knowledge of the matter said last year. “It’s absolutely imperative for Nomura to raise salaries for new graduates,” said Wataru Kasatani, a senior analyst at MDAM Asset Management Co., which oversees about $2.5 billion in Japanese stocks. “This is a step toward becoming a global firm.” Japanese companies typically extend job offers to university students as much as a year before graduation. The Japanese academic year ends March 31, and the recruits begin work on April 1. Nomura hired about 500 university graduates for the fiscal year that starts April 1, 2010, said spokeswoman Keiko Sugai . English Test Score Nomura has introduced a new compensation system for university graduates, said Sugai. Employees who get paid the “global” package that includes a 6.5 million yen starting salary don’t get additional pay for overtime. Those who get 2.4 million yen receive overtime compensation and other benefits, Sugai said. Most new recruits will be paid the lower salary, she said. “The new pay system is designed to bring in specialists reflecting the characteristics of each business line,” Sugai said in an interview. “This will help new employees foster their career plans. You cannot simply compare the two types of salaries.” The company’s recruitment Web site advertises about 10 positions at its mergers and acquisition advisory and equity and bond underwriting businesses under the new salary system, and 20 at the global markets units, which includes trading operations. They are required score more than 860 on the Test of English for International Communication . In a prospectus issued a year ago for a $3 billion share sale, Nomura listed risks including “failure, delays or other difficulties in integrating the former Lehman employees with our original employees to form and operate efficiently as a single team.” Nomura added 8,000 Lehman employees in October 2008, guaranteeing salaries and bonuses for some workers. Lehman paid employees an average of $332,000 in the fiscal year ended Nov. 30, 2007. Nomura’s average pay was $144,000 for the 12 months through March 2008. To contact the reporter on this story: Takahiko Hyuga in Tokyo at thyuga@bloomberg.net

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Greenspan Calls Financial Crisis `by Far’ the Worst Ever, Recovery Uneven

February 23, 2010

By Joshua Zumbrun Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the financial crisis was “by far” the worst in history and called the recovery from the global recession “extremely unbalanced.” The world economy has undergone “by far the greatest financial crisis globally ever,” Greenspan said today in a speech to the Credit Union National Association’s Governmental Affairs Conference in Washington. Greenspan said that while the economy was in worse shape in the Great Depression, the recent financial crisis was potentially more harmful than that in the 1930s because “never had short-term credit literally withdrawn.” Greenspan said that the gross domestic product may recover to the level of previous peaks earlier this year, even though traditional drivers of growth such as housing starts and motor vehicles were “dead in the water.” He also said small businesses show few signs of improving because lenders are struggling with commercial real estate mortgages. The “extremely unbalanced recovery” is being led by high- income consumers and large businesses that are benefiting from a recovery in stock prices, he said. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.3 percent to 1,096.01 at 1:27 p.m. in New York. That level is 62 percent higher than the closing value of 676.53 on March 9, 2009, the lowest level since the financial crisis began. Greenspan said that the financial system is “not yet to the point where the capital positions of the largest banks is built up to where they’re freely lending.” Bank Lending Earlier this month, the Fed’s survey of senior loan officers said that banks continued to tighten terms of loans in the fourth quarter of 2009. Greenspan also said “fiscal affairs are threatening this outlook” for recovery, as Congress and the White House face difficulty raising taxes or cutting spending. He said that every day he checks the interest rate on 10-year Treasury notes and 30-year Treasury bonds , calling them the “critical Achilles Heel.” The financial crisis was caused by a “fundamental misjudgment in the marketplace,” Greenspan said. Greenspan defended markets, because other forms of economic organization are worse. Greenspan said he wants the subprime mortgage market to return. “I hope we can find a way of resurrecting the subprime market,” because it was working well until those mortgages were widely securitized, he said. To contact the reporter on this story: Joshua Zumbrun in Washington at jzumbrun@bloomberg.net

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Stocks Retreat as Dollar, Treasuries Gain on Slump in Consumer Confidence

February 23, 2010

By Nikolaj Gammeltoft Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Stocks tumbled in New York and Europe, while the dollar and Treasuries gained, as declines in confidence among U.S. consumers and German businesses spurred concern the global economic recovery will slow. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.2 percent to 1,094.6 at 4:09 p.m. in New York and Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index slid 1.2 percent, the biggest drops in more than two weeks. All 39 energy companies in the S&P 500 retreated as crude oil sank 1.8 percent to $78.86 a barrel. The dollar strengthened against 15 of 16 major counterparts, while the yield on the 10-year Treasury note slid 11 basis points to 3.69 percent. Copper, lead, tin and zinc each lost at least 2 percent. The Conference Board’s index of U.S. consumer sentiment declined to 46, the weakest level in 10 months and below the lowest forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. The Ifo institute’s German business climate index unexpectedly declined for the first time in 11 months. The reports spurred concern that an 11-month global rally in stocks has overshot the economy’s prospects. “The market is looking for signs of growth and confidence and this is just more data against that view,” said Giri Cherukuri , who helps manage $1.7 billion at Oakbrook Investments in Lisle, Illinois. “The lack of confidence means that economic growth will be slower.” All 10 industry groups in the S&P 500 retreated, led by declines of at least 1.4 percent in commodity, financial and technology companies. Home Depot led the Dow Jones Industrial Average higher in early trading after the world’s largest home improvement retailer posted earnings that topped analysts’ estimates and raised its dividend for the first time since 2006. Earnings Season Of the more than 400 companies in the S&P 500 index that announced results since Jan. 11, about 76 percent have beaten forecasts for earnings on a per-share basis, according to Bloomberg data. The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks fell 1.2 percent as the German confidence report overshadowed earnings that beat analysts’ estimates. The MSCI Emerging Market Index of stocks lost 0.6 percent. Benchmark equity indexes in Brazil, Hungary, Turkey, Dubai and Argentina fell at least 1.6 percent. The emerging markets gauge climbed as much as 0.5 percent before reversing gains after the economic reports. Wolseley Plc rose 12 percent in London after forecasting profit ahead of analysts’ estimates. Heineken NV , the world’s third-largest brewer, climbed 3.1 percent in Amsterdam and Carlsberg A/S surged 8 percent in Copenhagen after earnings topped forecasts. Commerzbank AG declined 6.5 percent in Frankfurt after posting a wider-than-estimated loss. Dollar Strengthens Developing-nation currencies fell against the dollar, with the Polish zloty retreating 1.6 percent and the Brazilian real dropping 1 percent. The Dollar Index, which tracks the currency against six major trading partners, climbed 0.5 percent to 80.939, the highest on a closing basis since June 2009. The retreat in consumer confidence bolstered demand at the U.S. government’s auction of a record-tying $44 billion in two- year notes. The notes drew a yield of 0.895 percent, compared with the forecast of 0.912 percent in a Bloomberg News survey of five of the Federal Reserve’s 18 primary dealers. The current two-year note yield fell five basis points to 0.84 percent. The sale came a day before Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will present his monetary policy outlook before Congress. Interest-Rate Watch Fed Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen said yesterday the U.S. economy still needs “the support of extraordinarily low rates” as policy makers try to damp speculation that last week’s increase in the Fed’s discount rate signals a rise in borrowing costs. While the U.S. central bank increased its discount rate for direct loans to banks last week, Bernanke is likely to reassure U.S. lawmakers tomorrow that the target rate for federal funds will remain in the range of zero to 0.25 percent. “Growth is recovering, but it’s not recovering too fast to have the major central banks tighten monetary policy,” Rajeev de Mello , the Singapore-based head of Asian investment at Western Asset Management Co., which oversees about $482 billion, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “We don’t think that the Fed’s going to tighten until very late this year, if at all. We don’t think the ECB is going to tighten,” he said, using the abbreviation for the European Central Bank. Greece Credit Woes Greece’s ASE stock index slumped 1.8 percent and yields on the nation’s 10-year bonds rose six basis points to 6.49 percent. Greece’s four largest lenders, including National Bank of Greece SA and EFG Eurobank Ergasias SA, had their credit ratings lowered at Fitch Ratings, which said the country’s economic crisis will hurt asset quality. German bonds advanced after the Ifo report, driving the yield on the 10-year security down by 10 basis points to 3.16 percent. Argentine bonds tumbled to a five-month low on speculation Economy Minister Amado Boudou may leave the government, sparking concern the country’s plan to restructure $20 billion of defaulted debt will be delayed. The yield on Argentina’s benchmark 7 percent bonds due in 2015 jumped 1.26 percentage points to 15.88 percent at 2:26 p.m. in New York, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. Asian shares rallied, with Thailand’s SET Index rising 1.4 percent and Indonesia’s Jakarta Composite Index up 0.8 percent. Gold futures for April delivery fell 0.9 percent to $1,103.30 an ounce in New York after dropping 0.8 percent yesterday. Silver for May delivery lost 2.1 percent to $15.913 an ounce, the biggest decline since Feb. 5. To contact the reporter on this story: Nikolaj Gammeltoft in New York at ngammeltoft@bloomberg.net

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America’s Wealthiest Religions: Income Levels By Faith

February 23, 2010

It’s no secret that the distribution of wealth is inequitable in the United States across racial, regional, and socio-economic groups. But there is a distinct variance among and within America’s faiths as well. This transparency takes a look at the income levels of America’s major religious groups, as compared to the average U.S. income distribution.

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Jim Thomas: Only 10% Read Contract Before Signing; Remainder Aren’t Smarter Than a 7th Grader

February 23, 2010

My law practice is dominated by contracts–short, long, confusing, one-sided; micro-font printed and by-the-pound custom door-stoppers. Folks who sign before fully understanding, or sometimes even reading, a legal document never cease to amaze and keep armies of trial lawyers in business. While I’ve seen this in practice, I’ve never had any quantitative data on the extent of the problem, that is until now. The 2010 Denver Metropolitan Regional Science & Engineering Fair is February 24 and 25. Hundreds of students, grades 6-12, will set up their projects, an amazing array of intellectual curiosity, in the Denver Museum of Nature and Science . My 7th grade daughter’s middle school held their science fair last week in preparation for Metro. In a room packed with displays, it was a study of contract-signing behavior that grabbed my attention. This 7th grade scientist/lawyer had stationed herself in the Cherry Creek Mall with a clipboard and a bowl of chocolates. She asked shoppers to help her compare the relative sweetness of the chocolates, but of course, first, they needed to sign a one-page, printed release. If they read the release, however, the subjects would learn that what she really wanted was for them to flip the page and draw a happy face on the back. Only two of her twenty subjects drew a circle with eyes and a smile, and one of those two first apologized for having to read the consent form, because she is a lawyer. The click-to-accept contracts of the internet age and releases as justifiable paranoid responses to a litigious society apparently wore the rest into legal apathy. Maybe you, too. Standardized contracts offered on a take-it-or-leave-it basis are, in legal circles, often referred to as “adhesion contracts.” There are legal theories and court cases on why adhesion contracts are unconscionable and thus unenforceable–sometimes. Is there a better example of a take-it-or-leave-it contract than the terms of use for social media networking sites like Facebook? A recent attack on Facebook’s terms of service as an unenforceable adhesion contract, however, was rejected by a federal court . Law Professor Eric Goldman writes about the case in his Technology & Marketing Law Blog : It’s harder to trump properly formed online user agreements than most people wish, and this case is a small example of that. Facebook users who are unhappy with Facebook’s user agreement can find recourse in a variety of ways, but assuming the contract is going to fail in court is one of the least preferred methods. If legal issues arise under an unread or merely skimmed contract, resolving the issues by voiding the contract requires judicial action. That means long waits, legal fees, stress and hours of your time. Even if you succeed in defeating the contract–and that is hardly a given–think of what it has cost you. So read before signing. If a contract is important, hire a lawyer to work with you. Even a take-it-or-leave-it deal gives you the choice of leaving it; if you do take it, take it knowing what is expected of you. Most likely it is more than a happy face. Speaking of happy faces, the next time you are enjoying the spray of your morning shower in your face, consider the following photo from my daughter’s Metro project. She and a partner tested shower heads for mold and bacteria growing inside the shower head. So read your contracts and occasionally run your shower head through your dishwasher.

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Mark Miller: How to Avoid Pitfalls in Automatic Retirement Saving

February 23, 2010

On long driving trips, I love to use cruise control. I just set the speed once and stop worrying about how fast I’m going. Of course, I still need to steer, and watch out for other drivers. Automation can be good for retirement saving, too — but only up to a point. Employers have been adding more automatic features to their retirement plans ever since the Pension Protection Act became law in 2006. Some of that law’s provisions aimed to boost participation in workplace retirement plans by encouraging employers to enroll new workers automatically in retirement plans, and by making it easier to offer target date funds, which re-balance portfolios to a more conservative stance as retirement dates approach. Automatic features began gaining ground immediately. About half of companies that offer defined benefit savings — mainly 401(k)s — now auto-enroll their employees, and one-third of those that don’t are thinking of adopting it, according to a survey by Towers Watson, the employee benefits consulting firm. Ibbotsen Associates reported that assets in target funds hit $256 billion at the end of 2009, up from $159 billion at the end of 2008. Employers are worried that about the ability of their employees to save for retirement. Hewitt Associates reports that 80 percent of companies that suspended or reduced their 401(k) matching contributions in 2009 plan to restore them this year. Hewitt’s survey also found rapid adoption of other automation features, including automatic portfolio re-balancing and automatic contribution escalation. A growing number of employers also are adding online investment guidance for employees or managed account options, which allows employees to turn over investing to a money management professional. These are positive developments. Automatic enrollment has boosted participation rates, and target date funds can eliminate dangerous asset allocation errors made by consumers, who tend to stay overweight in riskier equities as retirement nears. So, automation has the potential to boost retirement security for millions of Americans. But if you’re in a plan offering these features, don’t assume automation alone will get you to the destination of a secure retirement without some manual driving on your part. Get the details on what you still need to do at RetirementRevised .

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Alan Greenspan Calls Financial Crisis "By Far" The Worst In History

February 23, 2010

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the financial crisis was “by far” the worst in history and called the recovery from the global recession “extremely unbalanced.” The world economy has undergone “by far the greatest financial crisis globally ever,” Greenspan said today in a speech to the Credit Union National Association’s Governmental Affairs Conference in Washington.

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Texas Subsidiary of UHY Advisors Elects Executive Committee

February 23, 2010

HOUSTON, TX–(Marketwire – February 23, 2010) – The professional services firm of UHY Advisors TX, LLC recently announced its 2010 Executive Committee.

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Toyota: Recalls Won’t Totally Fix Gas Pedal Issues

February 23, 2010

WASHINGTON — The president of Toyota’s U.S. operations acknowledged to skeptical lawmakers on Tuesday that the company’s recalls of millions of its cars may “not totally” solve the problem of sudden and dangerous acceleration. “We are vigilant and we continue to look for potential causes,” Toyota’s James Lentz told a congressional panel. However, he repeated his company’s position that unexpected acceleration in some of the company’s most popular cars and trucks was caused by one of two problems – misplaced floor mats and sticking accelerator pedals. He insisted electronic systems connected to the gas pedal and fuel line did not contribute to the problem, drawing sharp criticism from lawmakers who said such a possibility should be further explored – and from a tearful woman driver who could not stop her runaway Lexus. “Shame on you, Toyota,” Rhonda Smith, of Sevierville, Tenn., said at a congressional hearing. Then she added a second “shame on you” directed at federal highway safety regulators. Texas Republican Rep. Joe Barton cautioned his colleagues early in the hearing against conducting a “witch hunt” and said “We don’t want to just assume automatically that Toyota has done something wrong and has tried to cover it up.” But midway through Lentz’s testimony, Barton said of Toyota’s investigation of the problems: “In my opinion, it’s a sham.” Lentz said the company had not completely ruled out an electronics malfunction and was still investigating causes of the sudden acceleration. Still, “We have not found a malfunction” in the electronics of any of the cars at issue, he said. As to Smith’s harrowing story, “I’m embarrassed for what happened,” Lentz said. “I want her and her husband to feel safe about driving our products,” Lentz said. At one point in more than two hours of testimony Lentz was asked by Rep. Eliot Engel, D-N.Y., whether there were any new bombshells to come. “God, I hope there aren’t any more,” he said, while apologizing anew for the problems. “We stubbed our toe,” he said. Three congressional panels are investigating Toyota’s problems, which affect a huge number of Americans. Toyota has recalled some 8.5 million vehicles worldwide – more than 6 million in the United States – since last fall because of unintended acceleration problems in multiple models and braking issues in the Prius hybrid. It is also investigating steering concerns in Corollas. People with Toyotas have complained of their vehicles speeding out of control despite efforts to slow down, sometimes resulting in deadly crashes. The government has received complaints of 34 deaths linked to sudden acceleration of Toyota vehicles since 2000. Lentz, who choked up while discussing the death of his own brother more than 20 years ago in a car accident, said he understood the pain. “I know what those families go through,” he said. Lentz has said in the past that he was confident Toyota’s fixes on the recalled vehicles would correct the problems. But when pressed by Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Henry Waxman, D-Calif., on whether the two recalls Toyota put in place to deal with the issue would completely solve it, Lentz replied: “Not totally.” Still, he said chances of unintended accelerations were “very, very slim” once the recall was complete. Lentz also said Toyota was putting in new brakes that can override the gas pedal on almost all of its new vehicles and a majority of its vehicles already on the road. Meanwhile, Toyota president Akio Toyoda, who will testify before a separate panel on Wednesday, said he took “full responsibility” for the uncertainty felt by Toyota owners and offered his condolences to a San Diego, Calif., family who were killed in late August, reigniting interest in the problems. “I will do everything in my power to ensure that such a tragedy never happens again,” Toyoda said in prepared testimony for Wednesday’s hearing to the House Government Oversight Committee. “My name is on every car. You have my personal commitment that Toyota will work vigorously and unceasingly to restore the trust of our customers.” Lawmakers heard a brief, but riveting, description from Smith, the Tennessee woman whose Toyota-made Lexus suddenly zoomed to 100 miles per hour as she tried to get it to stop – shifting to neutral, trying to throw the car into reverse and hitting the emergency brake. Finally, her car slowed enough that she was able to pull it off the road onto the median and turn off the engine. Fighting back tears, she described her nightmare ride of October 2006, calling it “a near death experience.” “After six miles, God intervened” and slowed the car, she said. She added that it took a long time for Toyota to respond to her complaints. In an often contentious full day of testimony, lawmakers returned again and again to the question of whether electronic malfunctions may have contributed to the speeding cars. “We are confident that no problems exist with the electric throttle control system in our vehicles,” Lentz said. He cited “fail-safe mechanisms” in the cars that were designed to shut off or reduce engine power “in the event of a system failure.” Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood told the panel that possible electronics problems were being looked into by his agency. He said the company’s recalls were important steps but “we don’t maintain that they answer every question.” Toyota hired a consulting firm to analyze whether electronic problems could cause unintended acceleration. The firm, Exponent Inc., found no link between the two. But committee investigators said the testing studied only a small number of vehicles Tracking down an electrical problem can be far more difficult, expensive and time-consuming than finding a mechanical problem. Electrical problems can have more than one source, and they can come from inside or outside the car. Mechanical problems often leave clues such as physical damage, where electronic troubles can be hidden in software or leave no trace at all. House investigators who reviewed Toyota’s customer call database found that 70 percent of the complaints of sudden acceleration were for vehicles that are not subject to the recalls over floor mats or sticky pedals. Lentz is president and chief operating officer of Toyota Motor Sales USA Inc. Separately, among hundreds of Toyota dealers lobbying members of Congress Tuesday, there seemed to be widespread rancor toward a federal government they view as picking on the automaker, at least in part because of the government’s investment of billions of dollars in General Motors and Chrysler. “That’s hard for me as a citizen to understand why my tax dollars are going in that direction,” Paul Atkinson, a Houston-area Toyota dealer, said at a news conference that also served as a pep rally for the visiting dealers. “To compete with the government as an individual entrepreneur is pretty tough.” ___ Associated Press writers Alan Fram, Stephen Manning and Tom Raum in Washington and Tom Krisher in Detroit contributed to this story.

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Hansen Medical Appoints Peter Osborne as Interim Chief Financial Officer

February 23, 2010

MOUNTAIN VIEW, CA–(Marketwire – February 23, 2010) – Hansen Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ : HNSN ), the global leader in flexible medical robotics and the developer of robotic technology for accurate 3D control of catheter movement, announced today that it has appointed Peter Osborne, age 53, to serve as interim chief financial officer of the company effective February 24, 2010. Mr. Osborne, who will serve as the company’s principal financial and accounting officer, replaces Steve Van Dick, who is resigning as an officer of Hansen Medical to pursue other opportunities. Hansen Medical has initiated a search for a permanent replacement for Mr. Van Dick.

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ShopNBC CFO Resigns to Pursue Business Opportunity

February 23, 2010

MINNEAPOLIS, MN–(Marketwire – February 23, 2010) – ShopNBC ( NASDAQ : VVTV ), the premium lifestyle brand in electronic retailing, today announced that Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Frank P. Elsenbast has resigned as of February 22, 2010, and is leaving the Company to accept a chief financial officer position at another public company.

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ShopNBC CFO Resigns to Pursue Business Opportunity

February 23, 2010

MINNEAPOLIS, MN–(Marketwire – February 23, 2010) – ShopNBC ( NASDAQ : VVTV ), the premium lifestyle brand in electronic retailing, today announced that Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Frank P. Elsenbast has resigned as of February 22, 2010, and is leaving the Company to accept a chief financial officer position at another public company.

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Garrett Johnson: Junk Economics and the Assault on the Middle Class

February 23, 2010

“Behind every great fortune lies a great crime.” – Balzac Capitalism hasn’t failed. What has failed is the economic system in place today. No amount of government taxes, trade barriers, or regulation caused it to fail. No investigative reporter, or congressional oversight committee, or regulatory watchdog, exposed the massive fraud and corruption in the financial system today. All of the safeguards put in place to protect the public, and the current system from itself, failed. The global financial crisis came to light because what amounts to a falling out amongst thieves. They simply stopped trusting the ability of each other to pay their debts. Once lending stopped, credit creation froze, and the Ponzi scheme that parallels our financial system broke down . This so-called “Great Recession” isn’t cyclical, and the problems are systemic. We didn’t get here by accident. Choices were made by very wealthy and powerful people, and those choices can be reversed. It’s important to understand that we aren’t fighting Adam Smith’s Invisible Hand . We are fighting against the Money Trust. The first thing that one must acknowledge is that we have just witnessed one of the most massive transfers of wealth, from the poor to the rich, in mankind’s history. This enormous theft now threatens the very existence of the middle class in America. David DeGraw does an excellent job of adding it all up . Here are a few highlights: 50 million Americans now live in poverty Half of all American children will need foodstamps at some point in their lives Hunger rates are now at all-time highs 50 million citizens are now without health care 1.4 million filed for bankruptcy last year, 60% of them because of medical bills 13 million are expected to lose their homes before the crisis is over Meanwhile, we incarcerate more people in the world than any other nation, and a new prison opens somewhere in America every week . These are merely the highlights. Make no mistake — this trend was in place even before the financial crisis struck. In 1972 the CPI adjusted wages for the average worker was $738.48 per week. In January 2008 that figure was $598.18. Simply put, the average American worker has been getting poorer for a long time. What’s more, the past decade was the worst in 70 years , and we are looking at a permanent underclass of former workers. The trend isn’t limited to America . In 1970, 434 million people were suffering from malnutrition. That number is now 854 million. In 1820, the gap between the richest and poorest country was 3 to 1. Today it is 80 to 1. On the other side of the coin, the wealthy have never had it better : The richest 1% have seen their after-tax income triple since 1980 as a percentage of the nation’s total income, while the bottom 90% have seen their share drop 20% This trend accelerated since 2002 . The top 1% owns 70% of all financial assets, an all-time high The average CEO makes 500 times the compensation that the average worker does. In 1970 it was only 25 to 1. The top 400 richest have more wealth than 155 million Americans, and that gap is increasing The list goes on and on… “The war against working people should be understood to be a real war…. Specifically in the U.S., which happens to have a highly class-conscious business class…. And they have long seen themselves as fighting a bitter class war, except they don’t want anybody else to know about it.” — Noam Chomsky So what? Why should you care if our nation has less and less equality? It’s not a matter of class envy. Going all the way back to Aristotle , a strong middle class has been the most important part of a stable and just society. According to Seymour Lipset , and many other economists, a strong middle class is necessary for a stable democracy. To put it another way, the decline of the working class in this country is a threat to our Constitutional form of government. What does that mean? If you want a glimpse of the near future of America, look no further than Samson, Alabama . Last March, Michael McLendon, a disgruntled worker from Pilgrim’s Pride, a chicken processing company, went on a killing rampage that left 11 people dead. While a horrible tragedy in itself, the event was marked by something more unusual — federal Army troops from nearby Fort Rucker were brought into Samson and other surrounding areas to patrol the streets. This fact was largely ignored by the major media. The reason why the troops were manning traffic stops in the small Alabama town, in clear violation of the Posse Comitatus Act, was because the local sheriff asked for support from the military. The reason he couldn’t handle the situation? Budget cuts in police enforcement. What has this got to do with Michael McLendon and Pilgrim’s Pride? In 2006, the giant chicken processor teamed up with Wall Street and borrowed hundreds of billions of dollars to acquire a rival company. To pay for the buyout, and the executive bonuses that came with it, it cut the wages of its workers. Soon after it found it couldn’t pay for the debt and declared bankruptcy. This led to massive layoffs and devastation of the tax base of the community. So who put together the deal that bankrupted Pilgrim’s Pride? Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch. The Merrill banker who made the deal was recently hired by JP Morgan Chase. JP Morgan was behind the financial derivatives that has bankrupted Jefferson County, Alabama over a sewer project. Because of the financial disaster regarding the sewer project, sewer charges were raised to more than double the national average. Poor, working residents are being forced to chose between water and heat . Cuts in the sheriff’s office are so severe that plans are being made to call in the National Guard for any breakout in civil order. If this sounds suspiciously like the scenario of a 3rd world nation, it only means that you are paying attention. Junk Economics “For if leisure and security were enjoyed by all alike, the great mass of human beings who are normally stupefied by poverty would become literate and would learn to think for themselves; and when once they had done this, they would sooner or later realize that the privileged minority had no function, and they would sweep it away. In the long run, a hierarchical society was only possible on a basis of poverty and ignorance.” — George Orwell Last November, Andy Haldane, the Head of the Bank of England, said that the state and the banking system was locked in a “doom loop” , and that massive reforms were necessary to break out of it. Since then there has been very little reforms on either side of the Atlantic. The biggest obstacles to reforms are a) the false belief that we have a free market, and b) the false belief that there are no other alternatives. These perceptions have been carefully shaped by the Federal Reserve, and other central banks, over several decades. First of all, the Federal Reserve virtually controls the field of economics today. The Federal Reserve, through its extensive network of consultants, visiting scholars, alumni and staff economists, so thoroughly dominates the field of economics that real criticism of the central bank has become a career liability for members of the profession, an investigation by the Huffington Post has found. … “The Fed has a lock on the economics world,” says Joshua Rosner, a Wall Street analyst who correctly called the meltdown. “There is no room for other views, which I guess is why economists got it so wrong.” “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.” – Upton Sinclair As Barry Ritholtz has pointed out, the field of economics today has become a joke. Indeed, the arrogance of economics is that it is the polar opposite of Science. It begins with a few basic assumptions, many of which are obviously untrue; some are demonstrably false. No, Mankind is not a rational, profit maximizing actor. No, markets are not perfectly, or even nearly, efficient. No, prices do not reflect the sum total of all that is known about a given market, sector or stock. Those of you who pretend otherwise are fools who deserve to have your 401ks cut in half. That is called just desserts. The problem is that your foolishness helped cut nearly everyone else’s 401ks in half. That is called criminal incompetence. Starting from a false premise that fails to understand the most basic behaviors of the Human animal, economics proceeds to build an edifice of cards on a foundation of sand. It’s hard to believe that a field of study could have drifted so far off course into obvious delusions…unless it was done intentionally. The fact that the wealthy elites have gained so much power and wealth from both the booms and busts of this unstable system is all the motive that you would need. “The last duty of a central banker is to tell the public the truth.” – former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, Alan Blinder Albert Edwards, the chief strategist at Societe Generale, has flat out accused the Federal Reserve and Bank of England in complicity in robbing the middle classes of America and Britain. While governments preside over economic policies which make the very rich even richer, national consumption needs to be boosted in some way to avoid underconsumption ending in outright deflation. In addition, the middle classes also need to be thrown a sop to disguise the fact they are not benefiting at all from economic growth. This is where central banks have played their pernicious part… Now you might argue central banks had no alternative in the face of under-consumption. Or you might conclude there was a deliberate, unspoken collusion among policymakers to rob the middle classes of their rightful share of income growth by throwing them illusionary spending power based on asset price inflation. We will never know. But it is clear in my mind that ordinary working people would not have tolerated these extreme redistributive policies had not the UK and US central banks played their supporting role. To over-simplify things, the Federal Reserve has only one tool at its disposal: the printing press. The Fed cheapens money to stimulate the economy, but this encourages speculation, which leads to bubbles. The moral is: Cheap money creates bubbles; and bubbles move wealth from workers to rich motherporkers. It’s as simple as that. That’s why the wealth gap is wider now than anytime since the Gilded Age. Lately, the Federal Reserve has become much more open about its collusion with the financial elite. For examples, the Fed’s efforts to cover up its role in the bailout of AIG, and its role involving the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers . The Big Picture “A corporation cannot be ethical; its only responsibility is to turn a profit!” — Milton Friedman One of the things missing from the economic discussion today is the lack of the perspective . Wall Street has financialized the public domain to inaugurate a neo-feudal tollbooth economy while privatizing the government itself, headed by the Treasury and Federal Reserve. Left untouched is the story how industrial capitalism has succumbed to an insatiable and unsustainable finance capitalism, whose newest “final stage” seems to be a zero-sum game of casino capitalism based on derivative swaps and kindred hedge fund gambling innovations. The failure of today’s economists extend beyond the fact that they failed to anticipate the recession (as late as January 2008, most economists were predicting we would avoid a recession ). Their real failure is that they don’t even understand why the recession happened, despite the fact that the man on the street can grasp the idea once he is aware of the facts. It’s that sort of failure that cannot be forgiven. My favorite contemporary economist with a historical perspective is Michael Hudson . His view of economists today is not complimentary . the “intellectual engineering” that has turned the economics discipline into a public relations exercise for the rentier classes criticized by the classical economists: landlords, bankers and monopolists. It was largely to counter criticisms of their unearned income and wealth, after all, that the post-classical reaction aimed to limit the conceptual “toolbox” of economists to become so unrealistic, narrow-minded and self-serving to the status quo. It has ended up as an intellectual ploy to distract attention away from the financial and property dynamics that are polarizing our world between debtors and creditors, property owners and renters, while steering politics from democracy to oligarchy. Economics today is not just a science without a purpose. Economics, as the professions now exists, is to science what Fox News is to the news media. Just like the purpose of Fox News is to mis inform the public, the purpose of economics today is a PR con to justify inefficient and immoral policies that defend the status quo and keep mankind from advancing. Manufacturing and industry, the great drivers of the American middle class for over 100 years, didn’t die by accident. There was a deliberate decision made in the late 1970′s to favor finance over industry. We have arrived at this point because choices were made. One of those choices made by economists was to turn their backs on the moral values of classical economics. This was reflected by political ideology in a certain segment of society. For instance, I noticed Glen Beck had this to say at the CPAC. He then read disapprovingly the Theodore Roosevelt quote that “we grudge no man a fortune in civil life if it is honorably obtained and well used…so long as the gaining represents benefit to the community.” “Is this what the Republican Party stands for?” Beck demanded. He was answered with boos and cries of “no!” It may seem ironic that a group well versed on religion, and supporting laws regulating practices that they consider immoral, would never consider extending their morality to the accumulation of great wealth and power. Their outrage appears limited to immoral acts that don’t actually effect them. Why should honor and benefit to a person’s community be excluded from the discussion of economics and moral behavior in general? Also, isn’t this strange concept of separating honor and morality from economics at least part of the reason why we are in this situation? “We’re moving to an oligopolistic situation.” – Kenneth Guenther, Independent Community Bankers of America, 1999 It should be noted that the field of economics wasn’t always like this. In fact, its original purpose was enhancing the human condition. What have been lost are the Progressive Era’s two great reforms. First, minimizing the economy’s free lunch of unearned income (e.g., monopolistic privilege and privatization of the public domain in contrast to one’s own labor and enterprise) by taxing absentee property rent and asset-price (“capital”) gains, keeping natural monopolies in the public domain, and anti-trust regulation. The aim of progressive economic justice was to prevent exploitation – e.g., charging more than the technologically necessary costs of production and reasonable profits warranted. A second Progressive Era aim was to steer the financial sector so as to fund capital formation…Today’s bank credit has become decoupled from capital formation, taking the form mainly of mortgage credit (80%), and loans secured by corporate stock (for mergers, acquisitions and corporate raids) as well as for speculation. The effect is to spur asset-price inflation on credit, in ways that benefit the few at the expense of the economy at large. The current economic system is sick. It’s been poisoned with self-serving ideology from top to bottom. It’s needs radical and systemic reforms, not tinkering within the current system (like those proposed so far). This will not happen within the current political and economic system because the wealthy elite do not want it to happen. However, the system was constructed by choices that were made. It can be changed in the same way the progressives changed it a century ago, but it requires a mass movement. It requires people to understand that their enemies aren’t working people from other cities, nations, races, religions, or anyone who collects a paycheck. Their enemies are those of the powerful and wealthy elite who rigged the current system. (Because I can’t say it better)

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Underemployment Poll: 6 Out Of 10 ‘Underemployed’ Not Hopeful About Finding Full-Time Work

February 23, 2010

Sixty-one percent of the “underemployed” — those who are either out of work or working part time and want full-time jobs — are not hopeful they will find a job in the next four weeks, according to Gallup tracking polls conducted Jan. 2-31.

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Ryan Mack: Credit Card Companies Like Making Money! (DUH!)

February 23, 2010

It is a good day for consumers as important components of the “CARD” legislation have gone into effect. As of today, February 22nd, all credit card companies must do the following: Keep all due dates the same on your credit card : Now you can better plan for your credit card payments each month without fear of being late because they have arbitrarily changed the grace period. Provide you 45 days notice before they raise rates : While there are no limits as to how high the rates can go and they can still jack up your interest rates, at least you now have much more time to prepare for these rate increases. Younger adults under the age of 21 will find it much harder to obtain a credit card : I used to have a portion of my workshop for college freshmen that cautioned them against credit card companies that solicited their business… that practice will severely be limited because of this age restriction. No more double cycle billing : Card companies used to be able to charge interest on a debt that had already been paid in a previous month. As wrong as this practice was it was legal… not anymore. No more over limit fee transactions unless previously approved : If you have a500 limit and charged505 there used to be a fee for going over your limit. You must now give consent to make this possible and issuers cannot charge more than one of these fees per billing cycle. No more paying to pay: This is huge because the credit card companies took advantage of the ease of which you can pay your debt if you use the internet or phone to pay your debt. It never made sense to me to have to pay a fee just to pay my debt… this practice is now over. Longer notice: Companies were required to send statements 14 days in advance; they are now required to send statements 21 days before a payment is due. That being said, I want to reveal a piece of groundbreaking news to you that might floor you so make sure that you are sitting down before you read this next statement. The news is: Credit card companies like to make money! Did I shock you? Of course I am being facetious but the bottom line is peoples always seem to be shocked when they find out that credit card companies are lobbying, bending rules, and manipulating as many people as possible to increase their bottom line. These rules still leave a lot of loopholes that you can be sure the credit card companies will try to exploit. They are not in the business of making payments easy for you, but to make as much money as possible. Therefore, these rules do not negate the need for personal responsibility. It is preposterous that people have items piling up in their garage collecting dust that they don’t use but they are still paying for on their credit cards! If it is not an emergency (no a new video game system for a crying child who feels he deserves it is not an emergency) or you are not using the card to establish credit history (i.e. making payments at the grocery store with a credit card and paying it off within the week to establish a good history of timely payments) then DO NOT use your credit card. An individual who uses a credit card will spend 35% more at the time of purchase. The average purchase costs 112% more when using a credit card verses using cash after you factor the interest rates and other fees. The credit card companies, who could give a darn about your personal financial situation, are steadily trying to find ways to get into your pocket… let’s not make it easy for them and start planning and using credit cards wisely.

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Alan Greenspan Wins ‘Dynamite Award’ For Economist Who Did Most To Fuel The Financial Crisis

February 23, 2010

This award won’t be going on Alan Greenspan’s mantle. The once-lauded Federal Reserve chairman has been awarded the “Dynamite Prize In Economics” by his fellow economists, according to the blog Real-World Economics Review. The blog solicited votes for the economists most responsible for the financial crisis from its 11,000 subscribers — most of which, the blog claims, are economists. Finishing second was Milton Freidman, the staunch free market advocate (3,349 votes), followed by Lawrence Summers (3,023 votes), Obama’s chief economic adviser and former president of Harvard. From the blog: This blog established the prize in response to attempts by economists to evade responsibility for the crisis by calling it an unpredictable, “Black Swan” event. In reality, the public perception that economic theories and policies helped cause the crisis is correct. Check out the rest of the list at Real-World Economics . (Incidentally, they’re also looking for submissions for their “Revere Award In Economics” for the economist who best saw the financial crisis coming. We put together our own list of some of the economic thinkers who predicted the crisis.)

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Simon Johnson: Prospects for Financial Reform

February 23, 2010

The best opportunity for immediate reform of our financial sector was missed at the start of the Obama administration. As Larry Summers and Tim Geithner know very well — e.g., from their extensive experience around the world during the 1990s (see Summers’s 2000 Ely lecture ) — when a financial system is in deep crisis, you have an opportunity to fix the most egregious problems. Major financial sector players are always good at blocking reform — except when they are on the ropes. (Look again at Paul Blustein’s The Chastening for more detail on what Geithner-Summers, with David Lipton and others, got right when they sided with reformers in Korea.) Congratulations to the Treasury PR people for placing such a warm and fuzzy article about Secretary Geithner in Vogue (not available on-line, but definitely worth finding; nice photos). But what exactly was the point — unless Mr. Geithner is planning to run for the Senate in Massachusetts? Mr. Geithner comes through as someone who, against much advice, decided to stick with exactly the financial sector that got us into such deep trouble — despite the fact that this is exactly what he and his colleagues (at Treasury, at the IMF, and at the NY Fed) have always, and with good reason, strongly urged other countries not to do. Naturally, the Obama administration’s generally weak and unfocused financial reform proposals have morphed into generally weak and unfocused congressional bills. The overall narrative has been lost — despite moments of clarity from the president (e.g., when he spoke first about the Volcker Rules, but this was spun away within 12 hours by Secretary Geithner and others on the team). Some limited change may now emerge from the Dodd-Corker compromise. I expect we’ll see a version of the “resolution authority”, despite the fact this is a complete unicorn — a mythical beast with magical properties, but not actually useful in the real world. I’ve recently asked senior executives from both Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase — both proponents of a resolution authority — point blank to explain how a US resolution authority of this kind would help close down their cross-border firms (or Citigroup). I’m still waiting for an answer. No doubt there will be some sort of “systemic regulator,” meaning a group chaired most likely by Treasury. This is a great fuss about essentially nothing. On top of the obvious points about how hard it would be for such a body to act preemptively — particularly when our next wave of problems will again be cross-border, in terms of exuberant lending into emerging markets — we actually already have the functional equivalent: the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets. This group, of course, was to used to great effect by Robert Rubin and others in blocking Brooksley Born in 1998 — to them, she was the systemic threat, because she wanted to regulate over-the-counter derivatives. And the same group was used to no effect whatsoever by Hank Paulson in the run-up to the September 2008 crisis. In the European Union, creating new committees can make a difference; we’re better on form over structure in the US — but when the big banks are so powerful and out of control, we’re lousy at both. Sadly, the consumer protection agency is likely to be gutted as the price of bringing Senator Corker on board. This is of course an affront to everyone who has been — and continues to be — ripped off by the financial sector. But we are where we are in terms of the blatant mistreatment of customers in this society. Business people often tell me that we need to “rebuild confidence” in this economy. I couldn’t agree more, but how does cheating people — and refusing to prevent others from cheating — lead to more confidence? Despite — or rather because — of all the arrogance and misbehavior among our more prominent financial players, we are making progress on the bigger agenda:changing the consensus on what is regarded as safe and sound in all kinds of banking. Yesterday, Jerry Corrigan of Goldman Sachs told the UK parliament that there was “nothing inappropriate” in the way Goldman helped arrange for Greece to hide its debts. This was helpful — it essentially acknowledges that the much vaunted “reputation effects” of issuing securities with a top tier investment bank are worth less than zero. Mr. Corrigan affirmed that it is completely acceptable for Goldman and its peers to mislead investors and deceive the markets. So you can strike out one more purported reason why we should keep massive global financial institutions. They do not enhance transparency, they do not bring clarity, they do not keep governments accountable. Instead, they are paid a great deal of cash to mislead people. What is the social value of that exactly? With the broader financial picture unchanged — major banks will make lots of money, while unemployment remains sickeningly high — legitimate concerns about the practices of Big Finance continue to build. Small and medium-sized banks find themselves increasingly hit by commercial real estate woes. The alliance that has held back reform begins to crack. Very few people now claim that serious reform is only proposed by people carrying pitchforks; that myth is long gone. The middle of the consensus has started to move, against mega-banks and against dangerous overborrowing by the financial sector. This will be a long hard slog, but we are finally heading in the right direction. Crossposted at The Baseline Scenario

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Adele Scheele: Secrets for Becoming Indispensable

February 23, 2010

Driving with NPR in my ear, I listen aghast to the daily unemployment statistics– thousands of jobs still being lost. And this, according to the survey, is an improvement, down a quarter percent from the month before. Are you next? Before you prepare yourself to accept what looks like the inevitable axe, know that not everyone is let go. The majority of people still have their jobs. It’s fair to say, however, that the more your talent is recognized, the more your work satisfies, and the more connected you are to your bosses, the greater your chances of keeping your job. This works, as the efforts of my clients prove. There are secrets to making yourself indispensable, and I don’t mean blackmail. Here are some ways achievers do it. 1. Do more than your job description–a lot more. This won’t be easy especially if you are overworked as is. But you can always work smarter. You can ask what is most important to do. This helps you not only prioritize your tasks, but also makes you part of the concerned team. 2. When you perform the work you are asked to do, like writing reports, don’t just silently turn them in and passively wait for praise. Never do either – wait or ask. Instead, explain to your boss why this report is important – whether you have revised the order, bulleted critical steps, shortened overlong prose, added charts or summaries. If you wait for a pat on the head, you are still caught in the “Good Student Trap” of doing simply what is required and waiting for your grade. Your boss will very likely respond in the same way – checking off that you’ve done the work but not recognizing any specialness. If you are the one who tells why the report is critical, your bosses will pay attention and respond to your good work counting you as more of a colleague. And, isn’t that what you want? 3. Anticipate what your boss needs, which, in turn, becomes your clue to making yourself essential. Whether it is a matter of organizing data or desks, you can intuit important tasks that are going undone. A caution, however. Don’t jump in without asking which method is preferred — whether the folders should be organized alphabetically or chronologically; how to make better travel plans; increase preparation for the next important meeting, or conduct background research that was insufficient in the first place. You don’t want to do that extra work that isn’t even wanted and can make you wrong. Instead, offer up your solution and ask if it’s helpful. Being recognized takes more than one step of delivery. In fact, it takes at least three steps: recognition, discussion, and then action. Only then, will you will bring positive attention to yourself. That’s what you want even though it might feel somewhat forced. But you are still not finished. You have to talk about what the problem was, how you fixed it, how it works now, and why it is important to the people who are in charge. There’s work in getting your work noticed. And, you may have to endure some flack from your co-workers who are unwilling to put themselves out and view your efforts as brown-nosing. Keeping your job is worth the extra work and snide comments. 4. Stop complaining. No whining. Such negative responses have to be channeled to positive energy, even in the face of depressing news. At the very least, you can say something like, “what is, is; still we have to go on.” Optimism on your job keeps up not only your own morale but that of others. 5. Befriend your boss. Don’t stay distant. If he or she likes movies, and you like the same kind, you can talk about film reviews or what you have rented on Netflix. Or, if your boss cooks, and you do too, trade recipes or bring in samples. Is this sucking up? Only if you have a juvenile student attitude. This is the essential skill of what I call Showing Belonging and is critical to your career. Never heard of it? Too bad it is not taught in B school, let alone college. Until it is, you need to learn it yourself and from great role models in your field. It’s not so different from how you respond to your friends. Why treat your boss as less? Sharing interests gives you an edge to building trust. Doing indispensable work with a great attitude goes far to make you indispensable. Make your luck happen! Adele Scheele DrAdele.com

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Liz Ryan: Oh, You Mean That Job Market?

February 23, 2010

Job-searching in the U.S. is like queuing in the U.K. Have you ever seen the lines next to the bus stops in London? In the U.K., people line up. It’s like breathing for them. No jostling, no line-cutting. That’s their thing. They’re very good liner-uppers. Here in the U.S., we apply for jobs the same way. Show us two velvet ropes, we’re gonna stand between ‘em. There’s nothing quite like job-hunting to remind us of how rule-abiding we are. Fill out this online application. Take this personality test. Answer this twenty-minute questionnaire. My husband says to me “There’s something about forms — online or on paper. You get a form, you start filling it out, suddenly you’re six years old and every authority figure from your whole lifetime is standing over your shoulder, checking for accuracy.” He’s right. We are trained to follow the rules, and when it comes time to job-hunt, we fall right in line. When I write about a rule-breaking job-seeker who got a job (and most of the folks I know who are getting good jobs right now, are breaking rules right and left) some people get discouraged. They even get mad. I always get comments that say “You’re wrong, that’s B.S., you can’t get a job that way.” It makes some people angry to hear that other people are getting great jobs by not following the rules. But think about it: whose rules are these? They’re not laws. They’re bureaucratic HR policies. You don’t work for these companies (yet). Why should you follow their rules? Every resume must go into the Black Hole. No phone calls. No end-running HR, do not contact the hiring manager, do not pass Go, do not collect two hundred dollars. Yeah, well, who says? I wrote a story a while back (How That Guy Doug Got the Job) and I got mail in my inbox saying “It wasn’t fair how that guy got the job.” It was fair! The guy showed up with a desire to find out what the employer really needed. He asked good questions. He got to the heart of the matter and made himself and his background relevant to the CEO. How is that not fair? He didn’t bribe anybody. He didn’t call on his old friend Vincent “The Chin” Gigante to make someone an offer he couldn’t refuse. Job specs are full of filler and garbage, and Black Holes don’t work. I can understand why people are reluctant to ignore the formal hiring system — they fear they might be blackballed — but that fear is keeping them on unemployment (with or without benefits) for months longer than they need to be. Real employers have real business pain. “I have twenty years of progressively more responsible experience in yada yada” doesn’t make anyone’s heart beat faster. “Say, I was calling to see whether the XYZ acquisition you finalized last month is putting you in need of contract attorneys” might. It’s not as scary as you think, to pick up the phone or launch an email message or LinkedIn overture to ask “Am I right in thinking that you’re dealing with A, B and C?” To the manager in pain, your call or email message is manna from heaven. There is another job market. It’s not the be-a-good-boy-or-girl job market of Black Hole resumes lobbed over the transom and ignored forever. That job market is broken. Forget about it. It doesn’t work, and you won’t get a job that way. I know what you’re thinking. SOMEONE might get a job that way. Someone will also win the lottery. Would you bank your future on the lottery? The why-not, I’m-calling-this-guy, I’m-sending-another-Pain-letter job market is alive and well. My client Betsy got an $80K job this week, and another client, Clara, got a $55K job offer last Sunday. (She got a job offer on a Sunday! Someone was in pain.) These folks got their jobs because they took the employer’s perspective and constructed an outreach of some type (phone, email, snail mail, LinkedIn, personal introduction) that spoke to the manager’s most likely pain. “I wasn’t sure, so I figured I’d ask” is the theme in this approach. Nothing about their long years of experience. Nothing about their own assessments of their skills (“I’m strategic, I’m savvy, blah blah blah.”) A guy called me on the phone, and he said “I see you do tele-seminars. Would you be interested in a quote on fast, high-quality transcription?” I said “Why not?” What risk did the transcription guy take? Only the risk that I’d say “No, not really,” and that’s no risk at all. Job-seekers in the Other Job Market are doing the same thing. They’re not putting their faith in Black Holes and HR pipelines and Hurry Up and Wait and Maybe We’ll Get Back to You, One Day and Oh Wait, We Also Need Your College Transcripts and a Writing Sample. They’re doing what the transcription guy did. They’re saying to themselves This Guy Might Need My Help, and I’ll Never Know Until I Ask Him. Life is too short to spend your time beating your head against the wall and kowtowing to bureaucracies, right? You’re not the groveling type, anyway.

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DocStoc Launches DocStore, Marketplace For Professional Documents

February 23, 2010

Today, DocStoc is officially opening up its premium content channel, called the DocStore, addressing a lightly different sector, with a focus on selling professional documents to businesses and individuals. DocStoc’s CEO and founder Jason Nazar says the one of the platform’s fastest growing user base segments are small business owners looking for free and paid documents for entrepreneurs, startups and professionals. Documents range from legal documents to real estate contracts to analysis to forms for business models.

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Volcker Rule: Obama Administration To Abandon Prop-Trading Ban, New York Post Reports

February 23, 2010

The New York Post reports that “according to people familiar with the situation,” the White House is abandoning the “Volcker Rule,” a key reform named after the former Fed Chair that would prohibit proprietary trading at commercial banks. Instead, the paper’s sources say, the administration will push for a new rule that requires banks that engage in prop trading to maintain higher capital reserves.

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Bank Lending Dives, But Wall Street Bonuses Are Way Up: CHART

February 23, 2010

The Business Insider’s Joe Weisenthal and Kamelia Angelova produced this great chart juxtaposing the latest data on Wall Street bonuses (up 17%) with bank lending (down 7.5%). Their take away: “sitting on your hands and doing nothing is a pretty lucrative gig.”

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Roger Bodamer Named as Technology Advisor to Infobright

February 23, 2010

Highly Respected Innovator and Technical Visionary to Help Advance Company’s Technology

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Roger Bodamer Named as Technology Advisor to Infobright

February 23, 2010

Highly Respected Innovator and Technical Visionary to Help Advance Company’s Technology

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Tiger Woods 101 Grads Send Beautiful Woman Home: Scott Soshnick

February 23, 2010
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