February 2010

Video: Dicker Expects Andrew Cuomo to Be Next NY Governor: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Fred Dicker, a reporter for the New York Post, talks with Bloomberg’s Mark Crumpton about New York Governor David Paterson’s decision not to seek election. Paterson withdrew his candidacy for election in November after published reports said that he and state police officers spoke with a woman who had filed domestic abuse charges against one of his aides. They spoke before Paterson announced he was withdrawing his candidacy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Hank Lowenstein: ‘It’s All About Jobs’

February 26, 2010

Without the restoration of at least five million of the over eight million American jobs lost in this recession, and the sustained creation of at least 250,000 jobs per month for the next decade, America will never truly recover from this horrible recession. Consumer spending and tax revenues will continue to suffer, and the federal government will be forced to keep spending and thereby increase the deficit. Americans without jobs lose their ability to purchase goods and services, send their children to college, pay taxes and keep their homes and health care coverage. Strong health care reform, with a public option, would add many well-paying jobs and reduce the huge cost of health care in this country. But first and foremost is job creation across the board, in every sector. We must make meaningful progress in consumer spending and tax revenues, and the only way to do this is through full employment in America. The President and Congress must immediately create an FDR-like program to repair every bridge, tunnel and road in America, whatever the cost. The next step would be for the Senate to pass the House version of Obama’s energy plan. These two initiatives, along with a sustainable health care reform bill would create millions of new American jobs, reinstate millions onto the nation’s tax rolls, and increase consume spending which would be the key to stimulating the growth of small businesses. The Senate recently passed a meaningless $15 billion jobs creation bill that may add 250,000 jobs by the end of this year. How is it that our elected officials, and even our brave and highly intelligent young president don’t get it that we need at least that many jobs every month just to keep pace with new workers entering the job market? This kind of thinking will add hundreds of billions of dollars to our already unmanageable deficit as the federal government will be paying more unemployment benefits and food stamps for a lot longer period of time, and paying employers to hire unemployed workers for at least the next twelve months. The result of this huge deficit growth means that by 2015 we will be paying more in interest on our national debt every year than we spend on national defense! And all this becuse nobody seems to understand that it is all about jobs, and the powers that be are either too scared or too inept to figure out how to create meaningfull, well paying American jobs.

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Edward Minnema Joins Secure Runway Systems as President

February 26, 2010

TORONTO–(Marketwire – February 26, 2010) –  Secure Runway Systems ( PINKSHEETS : SRWY ) (“Secure Runway Systems,” “SRWY” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has appointed Mr. Edward Minnema, as President. Mr. Reno Calabrigo will remain as Chairman and will assume the role as Chief executive officer.

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Lennar Buys 2,700 Plots of Land from Starwood Subsidiary

February 26, 2010

more than 2,700 plots of land, for building new homes in 38 communities across Florida, from residential real estate investment firm Starwood Land Ventures . The land was part of the Florida portfolio of the now-bankrupt builder Tousa that Starwood

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Moinian Expected to Restructured N.Y. Office Debt (Commercial Real Estate Direct)

February 26, 2010

Extract not available.

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Video: Harry Rady Sees U.S. Stocks Trading `Sideways’ in 2010: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Harry Rady, chief executive officer of Rady Asset Management LLC, talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about the U.S. stock market and his investment strategy. (This report is an excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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Existing-Home Sales in U.S. Drop as Lack of Job Growth Undermines Recovery

February 26, 2010

By Bob Willis Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Sales of previously owned U.S. homes unexpectedly declined in January for a second month, signaling the benefits from a government’s extension of a tax credit are being limited by lack of job growth. Purchases fell 7.2 percent, the second-largest decline ever, to an annual pace of 5.05 million, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington. In December, sales decreased a record 16.2 percent. The median sales price was unchanged from the same month last year, the group said. The federal tax incentive helped drive purchases in the second half of 2009 and its extension in November may have trouble generating as much demand in coming months. Mounting distressed sales are making it harder to clear inventories , indicating job growth is required to sustain the recovery in the housing market. “The recovery in housing is likely to be a lot more prolonged than many had hoped,” said Mark Vitner , a senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC in Charlotte, North Carolina. “Outside of the tax credit, there isn’t that much improvement.” Economists forecast existing home sales would rise to a 5.5 million rate in January, according to the median of 70 projections in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from 5.04 million to 6 million. Stocks fluctuated after the report, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index at 1,102.64 at 10:21 a.m. in New York compared with 1,102.94 late yesterday. Weaker Confidence Separate reports today showed consumer confidence fell in February from the prior month, while a measure of business activity expanded more than anticipated. The Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment for February dropped to 73.6 from 74.4 in January. The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc. said its business barometer climbed to 62.6 this month, from 61.5 in January. Readings greater than 50 signal expansion. Economists projected the Chicago index would drop to 59.7 from 61.5 in January, based on the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. The number of previously owned unsold homes on the market decreased 0.5 percent to 3.27 million. At the current sales pace, it would take 7.8 months to sell those houses, compared with 7.2 months at the end of December. The median price was $164,700 in January, matching the same month in 2009, the agents’ group said. First-Time Buyers The share of homes sold to first-time buyers fell to 40 percent in January from 43 percent the prior month, Lawrence Yun , the group’s chief economist, said in a news conference, indicating the renewal of the tax credit in early November failed to spur increased demand. Distressed sales accounted for 38 percent of total homes sold, compared with 32 percent the prior month, he said. Sales of homes paid with cash, largely a reflection of investor demand, accounted for 26 percent of all existing home purchases, the real estate agents’ group said. The report showed sales of existing single-family homes decreased 6.9 percent to an annual rate of 4.43 million. Sales of condos and co-ops fell 8.1 percent to a 620,000 rate. Purchases fell in all regions, led by an 11 percent slump in the Northeast. Sales fell 7.4 percent in the South, 6.9 percent in the Midwest and 5.2 percent in the West. Last Year Housing, the industry that ignited the subprime mortgage meltdown and triggered the worst recession in seven decades, began to recover in 2009 after a three-year decline. Some 5.16 million previously owned homes were sold last year, up from 4.91 in 2008. New home sales , which account for less than 6 percent of the market and compete with cheaper foreclosed properties, fell in January to the lowest level on record, the Commerce Department reported Feb. 24. Distressed sales have driven down prices, leaving many Americans facing a bigger mortgage than their house is worth. A record 3 million U.S. homes will be repossessed by lenders this year, according to a RealtyTrac Inc. forecast last month. Last year there were 2.82 million foreclosures, the most since the Irvine, California-based company began compiling data in 2005. Home Depot “We’re not projecting robust growth,” Frank Blake, chief executive officer at Home Depot Inc. said Feb. 23 on a conference call, citing rising mortgage defaults and a lack of employment. The largest U.S. home-improvement retailer reported a fourth-quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates. President Barack Obama has pushed banks to modify mortgages and on Feb. 19 announced $1.5 billion in aid, targeting the worst-hit states of Nevada, California, Arizona, Florida and Michigan, to help struggling homeowners. Even as the economy is forecast to grow an average 3 percent this year, it isn’t generating jobs. Economists surveyed at the beginning of this month forecast unemployment this year will average 9.8 percent, a percentage point below the historic post-war peak of 10.8 percent reached in November 1982. The end of Federal Reserve purchases of mortgage-backed securities, aimed at keeping borrowing costs low, represents another challenge for the housing industry. The program is scheduled to expire at the end of March. The average rate on 30- year mortgage has hovered within a half point of 5 percent since August, according to Freddie Mac. To contact the report on this story: Bob Willis in Washington at bwillis@bloomberg.net

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Sonoran Lifestyle Real Estate Opens Foreclosure Resource Center in Show Low, AZ

February 26, 2010

Prospective second home owners who want to learn how to purchase Bank Owned properties to increase their real estate portfolios can receive information on REO (Real Estate Owned) properties at the newly-opened Sonoran Lifestyle Real Estate Foreclosure

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Video: Bloomberg’s Lorin Discusses Private Schools in New York: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Janet Frankston Lorin talks with Bloomberg’s Mark Crumpton about getting into New York City private elementary schools. Anxiety over the recession is trumping the angst of New York City parents to get their children into elite private schools. Fewer children took entrance exams for private elementary schools, continuing a decline that began last year, as the economy hurt parents’ ability to pay annual tuition of more than $30,000. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Ex-Googlers Become Angel Investors, Seeding 200 Startups: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Since going public six years ago, Mountain View, California-based Google has generated more than $170 billion for its employees and investors. Many of the millionaires the company has produced are active angel investors, with more than 40 ex-Googlers investing in about 200 fledging companies since 2005, according to Bloomberg BusinessWeek’s March 8 issue. Bloomberg’s Gigi Stone and Mark Crumpton report. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Dennis Santiago: La-La Land Gets Feisty

February 26, 2010

L.A. City Councilman Richard Alarcon is hopping mad about the way his City and his people are being treated by the banking and finance industry and he’s building a template for how the City of Los Angeles will respond to it. He wants banks doing business with the City to prove they are involved in “investing local” and he is not of a mind to shy away from divesting Los Angeles’ treasure from banks who do not. And how much treasure is that? Start with around $28.9 billion dollars in city operating and related pension funds the City can influence directly. Then there’s the wealth of ordinary people and businesses local leaders can influence by example. When I testified to the Jobs and Business Development Committee on February 23rd I included in my testimony a 17 page table detailing the amounts of deposits in small and large bank branches in every zip code in Los Angeles County. It contains a powerful message that the actions of the City of Los Angeles messages a resident and commuter economic base of nearly $300 billion dollars in bank deposits presently split equally between large and small banking institutions. If such an effort activate an “invest local” movement succeeds, that is a potential public-private economic powerhouse. The hearing aired several public frustrations centering on issues including foreclosure prevention, access to banking by “Unbanked and Under Banked” persons and a most interesting side trip into the world of swaps. Alarcon reported that his 7th District faces the highest rate of pending single family home foreclosures in the City. With the 2010 wave of Option-ARM mortgage resets still to come, he has even more future social stress to weigh on his mind. A packed room filled with the yellow t-shirts from the Alliance for Californians for Community Empowerment (ACCE) and purple t-shirted members of the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) made their feelings known with the thunder of a crowd watching a Laker game. What was their message? The real net effect of the nation’s foreclosure prevention programs has done diddly. They do have a point. People are not only losing their homes they are suffering extraordinary emotional stresses dealing with a seemingly heartless loan modification process. A group from the California Reinvestment Coalition (CRC) even flew all the way down from San Jose to direct their anger specifically at the practices of the Bank of America who they allege as being singularly uncaring compared to every other bank dealing with these issues in the San Jose area. They reported they even went to Bank of America’s headquarters to express their concerns but alas Charlotte does not know the way to San Jose. The truth is that there’s no easy answer to the foreclosure problem for anyone involved with the process, bank or otherwise. Alarcon took a long view about loan modifications in his remarks. He opined that loan modifications are just kicking the can down the road and worried out loud that we’d wind up back at square one five years from now unless the programs ultimately morph into substantive principal reduction programs. The fly in that ointment though is that one can’t really offer mortgage principal relief to the troubled borrowers without creating an even greater political demand for equal or better principal relief for the far larger number of current mortgage obligors as well as a new series of tax credits for lien free real estate owners. Never mind the considerable effect it would have on bank balance sheets as mark-to-market rules trigger a mass devaluation of book assets, policy makers need to worry just as much about the implied hit to their property tax base. Like I said, there are no easy answers to this one. My gut still says we are looking at some sort of transformational outcome that will turn renters back into renters en masse. The real question is will be the landlords be a new wave of private barons, deputized banks turned unwilling REIT, federal GSE’s morphed into national rental property management companies, or does Los Angeles have in mind another one of those public-private coops that have been tried in the past be the City? The words from a song echo in my head. “life is so strange … destination unknown”. Here’s the thing, there isn’t actually anything in the draft ordinance that guides an implementable operational outcome to the issue at this time. Nebulous laws aren’t the way to San Jose either. If “responsible banking” in Los Angeles is to deal substantively with the issue of foreclosure, the control language outlining specific, actionable and realizable expectations of bankers and the specification of the public apparatus to that will be created to manage the process needs to be added to the text of the final ordinance. Councilman Alarcon also noted that fellow committee member Councilman Bernard Park’s 8th District contains the highest concentration of unbanked and under banked persons in the City of Los Angeles. It’s not a small problem. The FDIC’s 2009 Survey of Unbanked and Underbanked Households estimates that 7.7 percent of U.S. households are unbanked – meaning they have neither checking or savings accounts – and 17.9 percent of U.S. households are underbanked – meaning they make extensive use of far costlier non-bank alternatives to their financing needs. That’s a whopping 30 million households. The FDIC’s findings indicate the problem disproportionately impacts African-Americans, Hispanics and American Indians five to seven times greater than Whites and Asians. And so we get to one of the expanded objectives of City of Los Angeles Motion 09-0234 also known as the “Responsible Banking Practices” motion to compel banks doing business with the City to help address this concern. It’s a big ask and one that is a bit more complex than both government and banking probably realize. I’ve seen these we’ve got a good idea initiatives in a multitude of business and civic contexts now and I have to tell you that displacing establish incumbent businesses is not as easy as one thinks. It costs money for any business to establish a physical point of presence in a community and Los Angeles is a tough town to do that in. Bank accounts cost overhead to support and you typically have to maintain a minimum balance of some sort to gain service fees relief from a bank. Unbanked people tend not to like costs showing up as recurring fees on their already meager account balances. The check cashing shop down the street may cost more but the charge only hits when you actually have a check and the payday loan guy gives you money you need now. My message here is not that I’m supportive of higher cost alternatives to banking. Quite the contrary! I cut my teeth on civic involvement with Rebuild LA almost twenty years ago. I’ve witnessed my share of cycle of poverty perpetuating infrastructures and understand that it’s important to find and implement sustainable game change solutions. What I am saying is that a municipality contemplating mandating that banking and financial services vendors must somehow compete with entrenched “irregular immediacy” financial services models as a predicate to being eligible to deliver conventional services is a lot to ask from a portion of the banking industry that has little demonstrated business acumen addressing this kind of market demand profitably. Both of the above issues are certainly intriguing social responsibility challenges to ponder. Personally, I’d suggest making them agenda items for a banking practices task force to investigate separately rather than try to incorporate it into the original tenets of 09-0234. It’ll bog it down and in my opinion Los Angeles does not have the time to let that happen. Better to leave appropriate hooks in 09-0234 to bring the outcome of the task force’s recommendations back into the process to add to a bureaucratic vehicle created by an ordinance. The immediate need remains to perfect the primary motion into an draft ordinance that will actually be “operable” and pass it into law. Where to improve? The Los Angeles motion is presently moving along a track that could result in an ordinance that is strong on policy and weak on efficacy. The February 23rd hearing further amplified policy but left it up to the staff apparatus of the city to continue to pursue efficacy. The draft from the Los Angeles Chief Legislative Analyst’s (CLA) office is based on a copy of an old Philadelphia ordinance. The inspection criteria matrix is a direct extract from the 1978 CRA law. I have to tell you straight up. A photocopier is not a proper tool for designing a micromanagement version of the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) able to inspect, analyze and verify compliance with “invest local” policies by any municipality, county or state. Something more specific and actionable is needed. Something that, as committee member Bernard Parks alluded to several times during the hearing, will stand up to legal scrutiny. I see the stakes in that poker hand and raise you to stringent legal AND political scrutiny. The most glaring flaw in the draft is reliance on federal CRA scores. CRA ratings are federal ratings that are updated infrequently, once every three years nominally. The scores are also computed looking at the bank as a whole AND focusing on community involvement in its’ primary markets of presence. Thus a bank like say the Bank of New York – Mellon or Capital One who do business with the Los Angeles area can argue well within the limits of statutory reason that they owe Los Angeles or any other community outside their local areas nothing under CRA guidelines. No boys and girls, I did not make that observation up. Forescee Hogan-Rowles from the L.A. public-private Community Financial Resource Center (CFRC) did and I figure the on the record observations of someone who is also a Commissioner of the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power deserves the stature of ordinance designing guidance in this process. There’s a lot more brain trust out there that can help the City of Los Angeles get this template right. The CLA and CAO need to be taking advantage of it. Naturally you utter stuff like this within earshot of people and the next question becomes, “Ok if not CRA then what Dennis?” Time for me to put my mouth where my foot is so here’s this week’s lesson in financial analysis and requlatory reporting regime design. In this case, all you city councils, county boards of supervisors and state legislatures please pay close attention. The City of Los Angeles desires to annually assess using objective data on the specific “local economy impact” of banks wishing to do business with the City. These data will be used as part of the City’s criteria to qualify the eligibility of banks to conduct such business. The City further specifies that these objective tests be based on “evidentiary grade” public document data submittals and that the City wishes to create an effective solution to capturing this data that can be scaled for use by other government entities similarly interested in “local” efficacy measurement. 1. All banks are required to submit quarterly Call Reports to the FDIC as all credit unions are similarly required to do so with the NCUA within 30 days of the end of each operating quarter. The City is aware that these Call Reports are entity wide reports that are not locality specific however it does imply that the reporting infrastructure to file these reports exists. 2. All banks are also required to file a branch level of detail Summary of Deposits report commensurate with the FDIC timed to coincide with the June 30th (2nd Quarter) Call filing each year. 3. Evaluation categories, a. Local institutions: These will be defined as financial institutions with depository and lending operations contained within Los Angeles, Orange, Santa Barbara and Riverside counties. The economic impact of these institutions will be considered to fall within a City of Los Angeles greater economic zone benefitting the resident and commuter populations of the City. The primary test for qualifying as a local institution will be their listing of branch locations as reported in the most recent FDIC Summary of Deposits reference file. b. Broad-Based institutions: Broad-based institutions are depository and lending operations with greater than 10% business activity in locations outside of zip codes contained within the economic inclusion zone. In the case of multiple unit bank holding companies (BHC’s), the broadness test for an institution will be considered taking into account all of the banking units of the BHC. 4. Annual reporting data, a. For local institutions, the June 30th FDIC Call Report or NCUA 5300 filing shall serve as the basis of analysis. b. For broad-based institutions, a special June 30th Call Report styled equivalent filing encompassing just those branches identified within the zip codes of the Los Angeles economy zone detailing lending information of interest to the City shall serve as the basis for analysis and comparison against local institutions. (final requirements TBD to be identified by the yet to be commissioned L.A. Banking Practices Committee) c. All institutions are to additionally file an annual statement detailing their past year performance on loan modifications and access by “unbanked and underbanked” persons specifically within the Los Angeles area as well as a statement on their goals for the coming year. These goals to be part of each succeeding year’s performance evaluation. (Again, the specifics of what the statement needs to have in it should be delegated to a commission of specialists to ensure the best possible capture of objectivity.) I’ve rambled almost enough. I’ll end this section with one additional message to the FDIC and NCUA. You can make this process a lot easier on America by adding the most critical pieces of information on lending to the data collection set and output fields of the SOD file. That would enable scaling the process to apply across the nation as a level playing field. I’m more than happy to help draft a Notice of Proposed Rule Making to facilitate. Hey so what ya’ll wanna bet all them prarie dogs in banking are looking up right about now wondering what that cracking sound that just went overhead was? And now a side trip into swaps. This is actually more my partner Chris Whalen’s commenting territory and I’ll leave it to him to do any definitive banter on the topic elsewhere but it seems that Los Angeles got talked into one of those “hey sovereign government you know you can lessen the cost of your municipal bond issuance by also purchasing a swap deal with it” things. This one was a good deal for the City the first four years as interest rates chugged along normally but when Ben Bernanke decided the Fed was going to artificially drive interest rates to zero percent to save Manhattan Island from itself it put the City of L.A. in the awkward position of shelling out $10 million a year in windfall profit money to the Bank of New York – Mellon on a deal that last until 2028 OR the City can buy out of it for $29 million which by the way is equal to three years of payments aka one business cycle of look ahead modeling aka about where Ben Bernanke might have changed interest rates in God knows what direction by then territory. Read the world’s newspaper about sovereign debt boys and girls. They aren’t the only ones that got nailed with that one. My mechanic likes to point out whenever I try to play with my car too much that “it costs money to go to the school of hard knocks”. But a Federal Reserve artificial windfall and there was no pre-packed out in the deal structure protecting both parties against severe non-normal departures from the projected interest rate curve model at deal instantiation? Hmm? I think I’ll leave this one here for the moment. It’s time to close the kimono for the weekend. This one had a lot of babble not normally exposed to ordinary people. Hope you’re being entertained.

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Dr. Sasha Galbraith: Pipeline in Peril: Women MBAs Lag Behind

February 26, 2010

It was always just a matter of time. As more women graduated with advanced degrees, entered the workforce and gained relevant experience, we would see an abundance of talented women rise to the top of big corporations. But the so-called pipeline has sprung a leak and/or has an anti-female filter attached to it. A recent survey by Catalyst, a non-profit organization that works to promote women and diversity in business, found that women with MBA degrees lag behind their male counterparts in both advancement and compensation, and they don’t ever catch up. Not surprisingly, these women were also less satisfied with their careers. The report pins the blame on implicit bias in the recruiting, selection, job assignment and promotion processes. Women start their post-MBA careers at overwhelmingly lower levels in the organization than men, and they do not move up the ranks as quickly. Women in the survey earned, on average, $4,600 less than men. These results are true even when adjusted for years of work experience, ambition, parenthood, industry and region. The bottom line is that when high-achieving and highly educated women and men are compared, women are still getting the short end of the stick. Why? One reason is certainly bias, which I’ve discussed in previous columns. Bosses all too often assume things that they shouldn’t. Studies show that people assume that if a woman has a conflict with work, it’s due to childcare responsibilities. But men with work conflicts don’t face that same assumption. Bosses often assume that a woman does not want a promotion because it would mean relocating, or the job entails frequent travel or simply because she did not ask for it. What Women Want Not asking is a problem we women have. A study done at Hewlett-Packard found that women would not apply for promotion opportunities unless they felt they had 100 percent of the qualifications, whereas men applied as long as they met 60 percent of the requirements. In their book Women Don’t Ask , Linda Babcock and Sara Laschever found that the starting salaries of men graduating from the Carnegie Mellon University master’s program were $4,000 higher than the women. The reason was that eight times more men than women (57 percent of men versus 7 percent of women) negotiated their starting salaries. Another study found that men initiate negotiations four times more often than women do. If you look at those differences compounded over an average 38-year career (assuming no one takes time out for family or other pursuits), men end up with over a half-million dollars more than women! Why do women sell themselves short? Part of the issue is that they are brought up to “get along” and not rock the boat. They fear harming their relationships with others. Another problem is that society tends to look down on women who are assertive and state their needs and goals. Several studies show that women face a double bind in the workplace: they can either be likable or competent, but not both. A third part of the issue is that women’s achievements tend to be undervalued, a concept that often rubs off on the women themselves. And a final part of the equation is that women often prefer to work more collaboratively and rather than asking directly for something they want, they will seek to find a solution that benefits both parties. By and large, that is usually not a problem, but when a woman is negotiating something for herself (as opposed to someone else, like her workgroup) she is seen as less effective and her request is more often denied. Another aspect of this is the different ways that men and women approach negotiation. Men see negotiation as a form of competition, something that they are bred to do from the start. However, women see negotiation as an obstacle to getting along with others. But ironically, when women do negotiate they tend to focus on the needs of both parties and how any proposed solution will affect a wider range of people. Women use more “integrative tactics” like asking questions, listening, openly sharing their motivations and actively working to find a solution that benefits both sides. When women’s cooperative methods of negotiation are reciprocated, their ways of negotiating actually tends to yield better results. Unfortunately, when a newly minted female MBA is faced with a job offer, too many social and societal mores get in her way, and she’s seen as pushy, bitchy or overly aggressive. Not a great way to start your first job. So until bosses start to assume more positive things about women – and women step up to the plate and ask for what they want – that pipeline won’t become robust anytime soon.

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Sarah O’Leary: Bad News Couldn’t Come at a Better Time for Toyota

February 26, 2010

If you’re an automotive company dealing with a massive recall, pray for a bad economy and look to maximize your opportunities. If bad was going to happen to Toyota, their timing couldn’t be better. It’s public knowledge that there aren’t many people entering into the new car market these days. Like other automotives, Toyota isn’t missing out on much. If the economy was healthy, the PR nightmare of such an enormous recall could potentially be devastating. In a poor economy, however, people are much more apt to hold onto their cars for longer, looking to repair rather than buy. This buys Toyota much needed time. The average ownership in a good economy is several years, and even longer when things go south. Current Toyota owners affected by the recall purchased their cars in recent years, so it’s fair to estimate they’ll be holding onto them for several years to come even if the economy improves. This gives time for memories to soften, and gives Toyota a real opportunity – yes, I said opportunity – to grow a loyal following in the process. True, dealerships have been faced with repairs in the tens of thousands. But many Toyota owners probably last saw their dealership when they purchased or when the warranty was running out, choosing instead to get servicing done for potentially less money elsewhere. And this, if it can think on its feet, spells opportunity for Toyota. Typically the most profitable area at a car dealership is its service department. Toyota has a chance to win owners back (and drum up some business in the process) with strategic interpersonal intervention. In order to succeed, the owners who come in for recall repairs need to feel appreciated. Dealerships can do this in a number of ways, with the hopes of turning a negative into a positive experience that can continue for the life of the car ownership. When owners arrive, offer a free car wash. Their time is valuable, and most dealerships have car washes. Provide beverages and snacks while they wait. Have the head of sales or other dealership big wig offer them Toyota’s sincere apology. To get them back for service within 6 months, a move they probably wouldn’t make on their own, give owners a free basic inspection certificate. (Coupons don’t work as effectively as certificates or gift cards, especially with men). The bounce back effort will allow the service department the opportunity to have a positive interaction with the owner, and give the dealership an opportunity to sell additional products and services. It also probably wouldn’t hurt dealerships to announce that, because of hard economic times, they’ve lowered their service department pricing for loyal Toyota consumers. Every bit of good news will help improve consumer perception. After an owner returns home with his/her repaired car, send a letter co-signed by the dealership owner and head of the service department. Any actions that make them feel that their initial purchase decision was not in error will help them reconcile their feelings about the brand. Next to a home it’s the biggest purchase decision most consumers make, and they don’t want to feel they made a huge mistake. Toyota corporate let dealerships and owners down. If it acts quickly, however, it has a chance to make things right. Sarah O’Leary is a marketing industry veteran and owner of Logic Marketing for Sales. Toyota and all others looking for advisement can reach the agency at info@thelogicagency.com.

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Video: Brynjolfsson Doubts German Aid Would Solve Greece Crisis: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — John Brynjolfsson, chief investment officer at Armored Wolf LLC, talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller about the impact of possible German aid on Greece’s debt crisis. Germany is considering buying Greek bonds through state-owned lender KfW Group, German lawmakers said today. Brynjolfsson also discusses Armored Wolf’s sovereign-debt strategy and debt issues in the U.S. and other parts of the developed world. (Source: Bloomberg)

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James Jubak: The Greek Debt (and Euro) Crisis Will Drag On and On…

February 26, 2010

Calendars here! Get your calendars here! Can’t follow the Greek debt crisis without a calendar. Have to have one. This crisis will either blow over in the next two months or so or run until the end of 2010 and threaten to take down Greek and German banks (German banks look like the biggest holders of Greek government and bank debt) and the euro. It all depends on how the chronology plays out. Deadline #1. End of March. Standard & Poor’s said three days ago (February 23) that it may lower the credit rating on Greece’s sovereign debt again at the end of March if political opposition prevents the government from delivering on its plans to reduce a budget deficit now running at 12.7% of GDP (gross domestic product.). A downgrade would raise the interest rates that Greece has to pay on its debt and make it harder to sell new bonds to repay those that mature in May. Deadline #2: May. Greece needs to refinance about $27 billion in debt that matures in May, according to calculations by Bloomberg. Already investors are demanding a 3.48 percentage point premium over the benchmark German bonds before they’ll buy Greek 10-year debt. That premium is four times the average premium of the last five years. Deadline #3: June-July. If the bond sales go badly and if the Greek government’s plan for cutting the budget deficit looks dead in the water, Standard & Poor’s could cut the country’s credit rating again and Moody’s, which has kept its rating on Greece the same since December, could join in. That could take the credit rating on Greek bonds below investment grade. A junk-bond-like rating for Greece would send Greek interest rates higher yet and usher in a new stage in the crisis. Deadline #4: The end of 2010. The fourth quarter is crunch time. The European Central Bank has said it wants to remove the emergency measures that let banks use below investment grade debt as collateral for loans from the bank. If the bank, as it has indicated, removes that emergency measure at the same time as the credit ratings on Greek sovereign debt fall below investment grade, it will set off a crisis at Greek banks. Greek banks are big holders of Greek national debt, which they then use as collateral for loans at the European Central Bank. Those loans are essential to the ability of Greek banks to fund themselves. No loans and the Greek banks wind up sitting on a huge supply of Greek sovereign debt that they would have to sell into what would become a market rout in order to remain liquid. If this crisis gets to Deadline #4 without a resolution, it reaches a new level of seriousness because the operation of the entire Greek banking system comes into question. And if liquidity in the Greek banking sector freezes up, then so does the Greek economy. And that would set the dominoes falling as banks in other European countries, especially German banks with their relatively large holdings of Greek government and bank debt, would face rapidly declining prices for debt in their portfolios. It’s the vulnerability of German banks to a Greek crisis, oddly enough, that’s the best guarantee that the German government, whatever its current rhetoric, will intervene to prevent a Greek collapse. The Merkel government in Berlin knows that at some point the consequences of not acting will be felt in Frankfurt as much as in Athens. My calendar, unfortunately, isn’t a crystal ball. It can’t predict when “at some point” will be. Until then, expect the euro to continue its retreat. The euro was trading at a one-year low to the yen this morning and had fallen below $1.35.

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Walking Away From Your Mortgage: When It’s OK To Move On

February 26, 2010

Millions of Americans are now deeply underwater on their mortgage. If you’re among them, you need to stop living in a dream world and give serious thought to walking away from the debt.

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Investors Soar as First-timers Fade

February 26, 2010

Fresh data from Campbell Communications’ monthly survey of more than 1,500 real estate agents found that the investor market share of buy-side transactions has jumped nearly six points since November, while first-time buyers have fallen more seven

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Video: DeSanctis Likes Small-Cap Technology, Industrial Stocks: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Steven DeSanctis, equity strategist with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, talks with Bloomberg’s Mark Crumpton about his investment strategy for small-capitalization stocks. DeSanctis also discusses the potential implications for investors resulting from a continued stalemate on health-care overhaul legislation. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Advance Nanotech Provides Strategic Update

February 26, 2010

MONTEBELLO, NY–(Marketwire – February 26, 2010) – Advance Nanotech, Inc. ( OTCBB : AVNA ) released the below letter to its shareholders today.

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Video: Ablin Likes Financial, Technology, Industrial Stocks: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank, talks with Bloomberg’s Mark Crumpton about investment opportunities, the U.S. economy and stocks. Ablin also discusses new home sales and mortgage rates. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Sen. Grassley Grills Goldman Sachs Over Hefty Fees For ‘Build America’ Bonds

February 26, 2010

Sen. Chuck Grassley (D-Iowa) is concerned that Goldman Sachs will collect sizable fees from its role as an underwriter of the ‘Build America’ bonds that play a key role in the Senate’s latest jobs bill. State and local governments will be allowed to sell the taxable bonds to combat sagging budgets, but Grassley worries that the program could siphon “off a lot of taxpayer dollars that are meant to help cities and states.” Grassley directed his query specifically at Goldman because of a new ad the firm published in favor of the program. In the ad, Goldman touts its role as “one of the principal underwriters.” Key to Grassley’s argument, it should be noted, is an assertion that Wall Street firms have already charged local governments approximately 30 percent more to underwrite Build America Bonds than they charged for other bonds. Grassley points to a November Bloomberg report on this fee disparity. At SeekingAlpha, Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns observes , “before the financial crisis, these types of transactions would have occurred without the slightest measure of political interference or regulatory oversight. But, now everything is being scrutinized because it has become increasingly obvious that bankers were not always looking out for the best interests of their clients.” READ Grassley’s letter to Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein: Dear Mr. Blankfein: I was interested to see your company’s full-page advertisement in support of Build America Bonds in yesterday’s edition of the Politico newspaper that stated that Goldman Sachs is “one of the principal underwriters…” of Build America Bonds. The “jobs bill” that passed the Senate today contained an expansion and an increase in the subsidy levels of the Build America Bonds program. This increased subsidy allows non-taxpaying entities to receive a check from the American taxpayers equal to either 65 percent or 45 percent (depending on the amount of bonds issued) of these non-taxpaying entities’ interest costs on Build America Bonds. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, more commonly known as the stimulus bill, allowed non-taxpaying entities to receive a check from the American taxpayers equal to 35 percent of these non-taxpaying entities’ interest costs. The President has proposed in his most recent budget for non-taxpaying entities to receive a check from the American taxpayers equal to 28 percent of these non-taxpaying entities’ interest costs. A November 27, 2009, Bloomberg article by Jeremy R. Cooke stated that: “States and municipalities paid an average 37 percent more to investment banks for underwriting Build America Bonds than for handling tax-exempt sales since offerings of the subsidized taxable debt began in April…. ‘The large subsidy gives them leeway to charge more because the issuer probably cares less about the underwriting fee,’” said Matt Fabian, managing director and senior analyst at Concord, Massachusetts-based independent research firm Municipal Market Advisors. ‘They shouldn’t care because federal taxpayers will cover the difference. As a federal taxpayer, I’m highly concerned.’” I, too, am concerned that American taxpayers are subsidizing larger underwriting fees for Wall Street investment banks, including Goldman Sachs, as a result of the Build America Bonds program. I have raised concerns about the increased subsidy levels in the Build America Bonds program that passed the Senate today. As “one of the principal underwriters” of the Build America Bonds program, please answer the following questions: 1. How much in total underwriting fees has Goldman Sachs collected to date on Build America Bonds’ issuances? 2. How has Goldman Sachs determined its underwriting fees on Build America Bonds’ issuances? 3. Are these underwriting fees larger than the underwriting fees that Goldman Sachs has charged on tax-exempt bond issuances? If so, how much larger are these underwriting fees? 4. Has Goldman Sachs received any money, in addition to the underwriting fees, in connection with the Build America Bonds program? 5. Does Goldman Sachs expect to receive additional underwriting fees if the Build American Bonds expansion and subsidy increase that passed the Senate today is enacted into law? Thank you in advance for your prompt response to these questions.

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Video: Callow Says European Economies Most Exposed to Recession: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Julian Callow, chief European economist at Barclays Capital, talks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat about the outlook for European economies. ¶ Callow also discusses the U.K economy and pound, and the potential impact of inclement weather on European growth. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Hakura Says Turkey’s Bid for EU Entry on `Life Support’: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Fadi Hakura, an analyst at Chatham House, talks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat and Margaret Brennan about prospects for Turkey’s entry into the European Union following renewed tensions between President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Islamist-leaning government and the nation’s military. Turkish police today detained 18 additional military officers in connection with an alleged 2003 coup plot. The detentions follow the arrests this week of about 50 other officers in a probe that has challenged the standing of NATO’s second-largest military force. (Source: Bloomberg)

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IHG To Open Quebec’s First LEED Hotel

February 26, 2010

Real Estate ForumReal Estate New York Archive Real Estate New Jersey Archive Real Estate Southern California Archive Real Estate Florida Archive 2010 Media Guide Subscribe

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Video: McClellan, Jennings Discuss Health-Care Summit, Outlook: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Mark McClellan, director of the Engleberg Center for Health Care Reform at the Brookings Institution, and Chris Jennings, president of Jennings Policy Strategies, talk with Bloomberg’s Margaret Brennan about yesterday’s bipartisan summit in Washington on stalled health-care legislation. (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Citigroup Names Ex-Mexico President Zedillo to Board: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Betty Liu reports on major newsmakers in today’s Movers & Shakers. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: S&P’s Seifert Says AIG Is `Not Out of the Woods Yet’: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Cathy Seifert, an analyst with Standard & Poor’s, talks with Bloomberg’s Betty Liu about the outlook for American International Group Inc. AIG posted a wider-than-expected loss after setting aside more reserves for insurance claims and paying down bailout debts.(Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: O’Neill Says Japan Has Biggest Risk for Debt Crisis: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Sara Eisen reports on Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s Jim O’Oneill’s concerns over Japan’s debt. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Gamco’s Haverty Sees Revival of NBC Under Comcast: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Lawrence Haverty, portfolio manager at Gamco Investors Inc. talks with Bloomberg’s Betty Liu about the outlook for General Electric Co.’s NBC Universal unit following a proposed takeover by Comcast Corp. Brian Roberts, chief executive officer of Comcast and Jeff Zucker, chief executive officer of NBC Universal, testfified about the takeover plan before a congressional committee yesterday. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Caisse returns 10% in 2009 but underperforms benchmarks

February 26, 2010

transition for the Caisse. We rebalanced our portfolio investments and rebuilt our equity positions. We also re-evaluated our real estate portfolios and repositioned our operations in this sector that has been pummeled by strongly declining international

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Video: Dodd Says Consumer Agency Must Have Rule-Writing Power: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — U.S. Senator Christopher Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat and chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, says a new consumer protection authority needs rule-writing powers regardless of whether it’s created as a separate agency or becomes part of an existing regulator. Dodd, who is leading negotiations on a financial regulatory overhaul bill, spoke in an interview for Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital With Al Hunt,” which airs this weekend on Bloomberg TV. Peter Cook reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Keller Says Turkish Government Must Decide on Reforms: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Christian Keller, an economist at Barclays Capital, talks about the Turkish government’s plans for economic and social reforms following the release of military chiefs held over an alleged coup plot in 2003.¶ Keller also discusses the effect of political risk on Turkish stocks and the currency. He speaks with Bloomberg’s Maryam Nemazee in London. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Transgene Attack on Lung Cancer May Yield $1.6 Billion Tumor-Fighting Drug

February 26, 2010

By Andrea Gerlin Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Investors are counting on Transgene SA to attract a drugmaker to help fund development and promote what may become the first product to attack lung cancer by stimulating patients’ immune systems. Transgene, whose biggest shareholder is the French family headed by Alain Merieux , needs a partner to meet the $30 million to $50 million cost of final tests on the TG4010 vaccine, said Gary Waanders , a London analyst at Nomura Code Securities Ltd., citing his estimate for the price of a 1,000-patient trial. The chances Transgene will attract a drugmaker rose Dec. 1 when U.S. regulators granted TG4010 fast-track status, meaning a shortened review for a product that may be better than available treatments. TG4010 helped prolong the median survival time by about six months for people with normal levels of a type of immune cell known as natural killer cells, Transgene said in February 2009. Twice as many patients responded to treatment with TG4010 as with chemotherapy alone, the company said . “It’s two times better than what we have today, than other products for non-small cell lung cancer,” said Arnaud Guerin , an analyst at Portzamparc Societe de Bourse SA in Nantes. Transgene rose 5 cents, or 0.2 percent, to 20.50 euros in Paris trading yesterday. The shares, bolstered by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recommendation and the prospect of a licensing deal, have climbed 17 percent since Dec. 1. Waanders is the only one of six analysts in a Bloomberg survey who doesn’t recommend buying the stock. Possible Announcement The company is close to selling rights on TG4010, said Pierre Corby , an analyst at Aurel BGC in Paris, in a Feb. 16 interview. Pfizer Inc. , Roche AG, Novartis AG and Sanofi-Aventis SA are potential partners, Corby said. Corby said he was told by Transgene Chief Executive Officer Philippe Archinard and another company official in January that terms of a deal had been set. Transgene, based near Strasbourg, France, said in a Dec. 1 statement that it “hoped to reach a collaborative agreement” around the end of last year. The company’s financial chief, Philippe Poncet , said in 2008 that Roche, Novartis and Sanofi may be interested in TG4010. Transgene executives haven’t commented publicly this year on their search for a drugmaking partner. Archinard and Poncet declined to comment for this article, Elisabetta Castelli, a spokeswoman, said on Feb. 23. She cited the possibility of a news announcement in early March as the reason. Sales Forecast Nina Schwab-Hautzinger , a spokeswoman for Basel, Switzerland-based Roche, declined to comment. So did Eric Althoff , a spokesman for Basel-based Novartis. Geoffroy Bessaud , a spokesman for Sanofi-Aventis in Paris, and Ray Kerins , a spokesman for Pfizer in New York, also had no comment. Peak sales may reach 1.15 billion euros ($1.6 billion) in 2018 if TG4010 makes it to the market, possibly as early as 2015, said Aurel’s Corby. The analyst recommended buying Transgene in December 2008, when the market price was 12.10 euros, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. His price target was 16 euros, later raised to 22.50 euros and most recently to 26 euros, a level set after the FDA granted fast-track status to TG4010. If the medicine is cleared for other types of cancer, annual sales may reach $3 billion, said Guerin of Portzamparc Societe de Bourse, assuming a treatment price of 10,000 euros. Transgene currently has no marketed products. TG4010 is designed to spur the immune system to fight malignancies. Enlisting the help of a large drugmaker may help Transgene reach the market before GlaxoSmithKline Plc and Merck KGaA , which are also developing lung cancer vaccines, Corby said. Survival Benefit Data released in February 2009 from a mid-stage study of 148 patients indicated that TG4010 combined with chemotherapy extended survival of advanced non-small cell lung-cancer patients with normal levels of natural killer cells by 17 months, compared with 11 months for chemotherapy alone. “The data they showed from this trial was a dream, so it makes sense to pursue it,” said Robert Dreicer, chairman of solid-tumor oncology at the Cleveland Clinic in Ohio, in a Feb. 4 interview. Dreicer, a member of Transgene’s scientific advisory board, led a mid-stage trial of TG4010 for prostate cancer. Christoph Rochlitz, an oncologist at University Hospital Basel, in Switzerland, said he doubts the survival benefit. “Very frequently, the inclusion criteria for Phase II studies lead to a seemingly ‘better survival’ compared to Phase III trials,” Rochlitz said in a Feb. 2 e-mail. Phase III is the last of three sets of trials ordinarily required for regulatory approval. ‘Well Tolerated’ Rochlitz was involved in a Phase I trial of TG4010. That research, published in August 2003, found the medicine “was generally well tolerated in patients with metastatic tumors.” Lung cancer kills about 1.3 million people each year, more than any other malignancy, according to the Geneva-based World Health Organization. About 85 percent of patients die within five years of diagnosis. Unlike immunizations that prevent disease from taking hold, so-called therapeutic cancer vaccines are aimed at helping the body to fight disease once it occurs. The only such product on the market is Vitespen, which was approved in Russia for kidney cancer last year after being rebuffed in the U.S., according to Cornelia Thomas , an analyst for WestLB AG in London. Vitespen is made by Antigenics Inc., a biotechnology company based in Lexington, Massachusetts. ‘Promising’ Data More vaccines may be coming down the track. Twelve of the 50 cancer therapies in late-stage clinical trials as of 2008 were therapeutic vaccines, according IMS Health Inc., a research company in Norwalk, Connecticut. “The Phase III data which is coming forward from a number of trials looks promising,” said Karen Anderson, an oncologist at the Dana Farber Cancer Institute’s Cancer Vaccines Center, in Boston, in a Feb. 4 interview. “The actual benefit remains to be proven.” Anderson has no ties to Transgene. Glaxo, of London, began the final trials of its MAGE-A3 vaccine for lung cancer in 2007 and for melanoma in 2009. Family-controlled Merck KGaA — based in Darmstadt, Germany, and not affiliated to Merck & Co. of Whitehouse Station, New Jersey — began final tests of its Stimuvax vaccine in lung cancer in 2007 and in breast cancer last year. The lung cancer studies may take four to five years to complete. The biggest investor in Transgene is Institut Merieux , the Lyon, France-based holding company for Alain Merieux and his family. Forbes magazine last year estimated Merieux’s fortune at $2.4 billion, ranking him 285th among the world’s richest people. The institute owns 55 percent of Transgene as well as 59 percent of BioMerieux SA, a publicly traded diagnostics company based in Marcy L’Etoile, France. Natural Killers Transgene plans to enroll 1,000 patients with normal levels of natural killer, or NK, cells in TG4010’s final test. People with that cell type survived longer in mid-stage tests than those without it. About 75 percent of the population has normal levels of NK cells, a type of white blood cell. Glaxo is enrolling patients with early or moderately advanced lung cancer. Merck KGaA is focusing on patients with more advanced levels of the disease, while Transgene is targeting those with the gravest prognoses. Transgene had 72.9 million euros of cash as of Sept. 30. It expects to use 25 million to 30 million euros a year this year and next. Corby estimated a partnership may bring in as much as 400 million euros. Transgene also has a 218 million-euro agreement with Roche, the world’s biggest maker of cancer treatments, for the development of TG4001, an experimental vaccine to treat precancerous lesions that might lead to cervical cancer. To contact the reporter responsible for this story: Andrea Gerlin in London at agerlin@bloomberg.net

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Stents as Good as Surgery to Prevent Stroke From Clogged Artery

February 26, 2010

By David Olmos Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Using stents to open clogged arteries in the neck was as safe and effective as surgery to clear the artery, according to a U.S. study that differs from some previous research on the best way to prevent stroke. A stroke, heart attack or death occurred in 5.2 percent of patients within 30 days of surgery, compared with 4.5 percent treated with a carotid stent made by Abbott Laboratories, according to research presented today at the American Stroke Association’s international conference in San Antonio. The study’s results differ from research published online today in Lancet Neurology that found more patients with narrowed neck arteries who received a stent had a stroke, heart attack or died compared with those who underwent surgery. The devices are used by doctors trying to reduce the risk of strokes without the danger of cutting open the carotid arteries that line the neck. In the research presented today at the stroke conference, “stenting didn’t win and surgery didn’t win,” study investigator Christopher White , a cardiologist at the Ochsner Heart and Vascular Institute at the Ochsner Medical Center in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, said in a telephone interview. “What we won here is that there should now be a choice for patients.” Medicare Coverage Results of the study, known as CREST, may persuade the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to broaden coverage of carotid stents for Medicare patients, White said. The federal health agency covers carotid stents only for Medicare patients for whom standard surgery is considered too risky, White said. Medicare is the U.S. government health insurance program for the elderly and handicapped. Doctors use a catheter threaded from a patient’s groin area to open the clogged portion of the neck artery and insert a stent, which is small wire mesh device, to keep the section cleared, according to the Mayo Clinic. Today’s study was funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke with additional support from Abbott Park, Illinois-based Abbott. The company’s Acculink and Accunet carotid stent systems were approved for the U.S. market by the FDA in 2004, according to the company. Abbott competes in the carotid stent market with Boston Scientific Corp. , of Natick, Massachusetts, Johnson & Johnson , based in New Brunswick, New Jersey and Ev3 Inc. of Plymouth, Minnesota. The study in Lancet Neurology included stents from those three companies. About 795,000 people in the U.S. suffer a stroke each year, according to the Atlanta-based Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. About 20 percent of strokes are caused by blockages in the carotid arteries that supply blood to the brain, White said. Different Outcomes While the CREST study found that surgery and stents had “similar outcomes” on overall safety, there were differences among the procedures. Strokes occurred in 4.1 percent of stent patients within 30 days of the procedure, compared with 2.3 percent of surgery patients, the researchers found. Heart attacks occurred in 2.3 percent of patients in the surgery group, or more than twice the 1.1 percent of those who got stents, the study found. The CREST study results “are particularly impressive since the trial began almost a decade ago, when stenting was still a very new therapy,” said Charles Simonton, chief medical officer for Abbott Vascular, in an e-mail. To contact the reporter on this story: David Olmos in San Francisco at dolmos@bloomberg.net .

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U.S. Economy Expanded at 5.9% Pace in Fourth Quarter on Business Spending

February 26, 2010

By Timothy R. Homan Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. economy expanded at a 5.9 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter, more than the government reported last month, reflecting stronger business investment and a greater contribution from inventories. The rise in gross domestic product, which exceeded the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, marked the best performance in more than six years, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Inventories added 3.88 percentage points to GDP, more than previously reported, and investment in software and equipment grew at the fastest pace in almost a decade. Manufacturers such as Deere & Co. may continue to lead the recovery as increasing sales prompt companies to boost purchases and add to stockpiles. At the same time, consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy, is likely to be restrained by an unemployment rate that’s forecast to average 9.8 percent this year. “There’s still room for inventories to add to growth,” said James O’Sullivan , global chief economist at MF Global Ltd. in New York, who accurately forecast the rise in GDP. “Going forward, the question comes back to sustainability, and the key to that is a clear pickup in the labor market, which I think is coming.” Stock-index futures swung between gains and declines after American International Group Inc.’s bigger-than-forecast quarterly loss overshadowed the GDP report. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures expiring in March rose less than 0.1 percent to 1,103.30 at 9:14 a.m. in New York after rising as much as 0.4 percent. Economists’ Estimates The economy was forecast to grow at a 5.7 percent annual pace, the same rate the government initially reported in January, according to the median estimate of 76 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from gains of 4.2 percent to 6.3 percent. For all of 2009, the economy shrank 2.4 percent, the worst single-year performance since 1946. The GDP report is the second for the fourth quarter and will be revised in March as more information, such as corporate profits, becomes available to the government. Consumer spending rose at a 1.7 percent pace, compared with the 2 percent rate forecast by economists and a 2.8 percent gain in the prior quarter. Spending added 1.23 percentage points to GDP. Third-quarter purchases received a boost from the government’s auto-incentive program that offered buyers discounts to trade in older cars and trucks for new, more fuel- efficient vehicles. The plan expired in August. Household Purchases Household purchases dropped 0.6 percent last year, the biggest decrease since 1974. Increases in production last quarter stemmed the slide in inventories from earlier in the year. Stockpiles dropped at a $16.9 billion annual pace following a $139.2 billion decline the previous three months. Inventories declined at a record $160.2 billion pace in the second quarter. Today’s report showed purchases of equipment and software increased at an 18.2 percent pace in the fourth quarter, the most since 2000. The gain helped offset a 13.9 percent drop in commercial construction, leaving total business investment up 6.2 percent during the final three months of 2009. A report yesterday showed companies ordered more capital goods in January, driven primarily by bookings for commercial aircraft. Declines in other, less volatile industries indicate business investment may be slowing, according to yesterday’s Commerce Department figures. Job Market The job market is one part of the economy where a recovery is slow to take hold. Payrolls fell by 20,000 last month after a 150,000 drop in December. The U.S. has lost 8.4 million since the start of the recession in December 2007, the most of any slowdown in the post-World War II era. The jobless rate fell to 9.7 percent in January, the Labor Department said on Feb. 5. Unemployment is projected to end the year at 9.5 percent, according to a Bloomberg survey. In other areas of the economy, today’s report showed a smaller trade deficit, which contributed 0.3 percentage point to fourth-quarter growth. Government spending fell at a 1.2 percent pace after a 2.6 percent increase the previous quarter. Residential construction climbed at a 5 percent rate last quarter after expanding at a 18.9 percent pace in the previous three months. Deere, the world’s largest maker of farm machinery, posted first-quarter profit this month that topped analysts’ estimates and raised its 2010 forecast. Chief Executive Officer Samuel Allen said Feb. 17 that full-year equipment revenue will increase as much as 8 percent. ‘Great Potential’ “Positive developments based on the world’s prospects for population and economic growth hold great potential and should help our company,” he said in a statement. Inflation stayed within the Fed’s long-term forecast range, today’s report showed. The central bank’s preferred price gauge, which is tied to consumer spending and strips out food and energy costs, rose at a 1.6 percent annual pace following a 1.2 percent increase in the prior quarter. The GDP price gauge climbed at a 0.4 percent pace, less than the 0.6 percent median forecast of economists surveyed. To contact the reporter on this story: Timothy R. Homan in Washington at thoman1@bloomberg.net

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SAC’s Cohen Trades Secrecy for Golf With Investors Enticed by 30% Returns

February 26, 2010

By Katherine Burton and Anthony Effinger Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — In late January, billionaire Steven A. Cohen hosted a golf outing for two dozen people at the Bear Lakes Country Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. Most of his guests were investors in his hedge fund firm, SAC Capital Advisors LP, plus a few prospects. The party played the Lakes Course — so named because 12 holes out of 18 have a water hazard — as 30-mile-per-hour gusts blew off the Atlantic Ocean, says Jeffrey Vale , director of research at Infinity Capital Partners LLC, who was one of Cohen’s guests. Cohen, who’s proud of his 10-stroke handicap, hit shot after shot straight down the fairways, Vale says. The outing was unusual for Cohen, Bloomberg Markets reports in its April issue. Cohen, 53, spends most days trading stocks on his 180-person trading floor in Stamford, Connecticut. He and 100 portfolio managers buy and sell 100 million shares a day, about 1 percent of all shares traded on U.S. exchanges. Two years ago, Cohen didn’t need to take his investors golfing. He let his record — a 30 percent average annual return for 18 years — speak for itself. “There was a perception that Steve was the wizard behind the curtain,” says Vale, an SAC client since 2001. “Performance was so good, most investors probably didn’t care.” Cohen has become more sociable because he sees an opportunity to grow as the hedge fund industry shrinks, investors say. SAC, an acronym of its founder’s name, now manages $12 billion, down from $16 billion at its mid-2008 peak. First Loss Ever The firm’s flagship SAC Capital International Ltd. fund suffered a 19 percent loss in 2008 — its first ever — amid a stampede out of hedge funds by panicked investors. The financial crisis and subsequent recession killed off 2,300 funds in 2008 and 2009, according to Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc. Cohen, one of the survivors, is raising money so he can hire and mentor new investment professionals to keep the firm going after he retires. The new openness may put current investors at ease. Two former employees of SAC have been linked to the Galleon Group LLC scandal, the largest insider-trading probe ever to shake the $1.6 trillion hedge fund industry. Neither is accused of engaging in insider trading while working for SAC. Cohen is lifting the veil because he must, says Peter Rup , chief investment officer at Artemis Wealth Advisors LLC, a New York-based company that manages $352 million for wealthy families. He says investors stopped tolerating SAC-type secrecy after New York investment manager Bernard Madoff was exposed as a fraud. More Investor-Friendly “After Bernie Madoff , nobody will invest in an operation that is very clandestine,” Rup says. “Even the most crass and abrasive managers are more investor-friendly now.” Rup considered investing in SAC in 2005, he says, then balked when neither Cohen nor any of his analysts would meet with him. Cohen, who lives on a 14-acre (6-hectare) estate in Greenwich, Connecticut, which he bought for $14.8 million in 1998, allowed a reporter to visit his offices in Stamford. He declined to comment for this article. Though Cohen attends more golf and other outings than he once did, most days the balding, blue-eyed, stocky investment manager does what he knows best: He trades. He has a perch in the middle of the Stamford floor, and his bets account for about 10 percent of profits — down from more than 50 percent 10 years ago. He doesn’t like noise, so the phones on the floor don’t ring; they light up. He prefers jeans and sweaters to suits and looks more like a tax accountant on casual Friday than a trading titan running a $12 billion hedge fund firm. Picasso to Warhol Near the trading floor hang pieces from Cohen’s extensive art collection, which includes works by Vincent Van Gogh , Pablo Picasso and Andy Warhol . Cohen maintains the temperature on the trading floor at 69 degrees Fahrenheit (21 degrees Celsius) to make sure no one dozes. If a portfolio manager or analyst can’t answer a question about a stock, Cohen is likely to lash out. “Do you even know how to do this f—ing job?” is a standard barb, current and former employees say. Portfolio managers make money, or they’re fired. They usually last about four years. Cohen snapped back from his 2008 loss in 2009. The $6 billion SAC Capital International fund, open to investors outside the U.S. and to tax-exempt institutions within the country, was up 29 percent, after fees, according to investors. The gain was about the same at Cohen’s main onshore fund, the $3 billion SAC Capital Management LP. Bad Credit Bets It was a return to form after the 2008 loss, which was mostly due to credit investments that went bad. While a 19 percent downturn was about average for hedge funds, according to HFR, Cohen has since turned his focus back to what he has done for most of his career: buying stocks and selling them short. Cohen doesn’t so much own stocks as rent them: He typically holds positions for 2 to 30 days, although some might remain on the books for six months or more, according to a document sent to potential investors in early 2009. The 2008 loss could have been much worse. Months before Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. went bankrupt in September 2008, Cohen saw trouble coming in the credit markets and sold off as much as $7.5 billion of bonds, primarily debt issued by banks and finance companies, along with related securities, according to four people familiar with the situation. Amid the wreckage of the market crash, SAC and other survivors are trying to vacuum up money from pension funds and other institutions that must chase higher returns to meet obligations. Many of those investors are choosing big hedge funds with long track records such as SAC. Pitching Goldman Clients During his January visit to Florida, Cohen pitched prospective investors at Morgan Stanley’s annual conference on hedge funds, people who attended say. He spoke at a similar conference in May that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. organized for its clients, and recently made a marketing trip to Europe, according to people familiar with his fundraising efforts. The campaign has worked. During the last six months of 2009, investors poured $1.3 billion into SAC, about 10 percent of the $15 billion raised by all hedge funds during the period. Investors are handing Cohen their money even though he collects some of the highest fees in the industry — a 3 percent management fee and as much as 50 percent of profits. Most managers charge 2 percent and 20 percent. Links to Galleon The new investments are flooding in despite the fact that SAC’s name cropped up in the Galleon probe. That investigation goes back to at least 2007, when the Justice Department used wiretaps in an insider-trading case for the first time and recorded phone conversations that led in October to the arrest of Galleon founder Raj Rajaratnam and five others. Another 15 people have been charged since, and nine have pleaded guilty. Rajaratnam managed $7 billion at Galleon’s peak. Two people linked to the Galleon case have ties to SAC. Richard C.B. Lee pleaded guilty on Oct. 13 to charges that he traded on insider information at Spherix Capital LLC, a San Jose, California-based firm he co-founded in 2008. Lee worked at SAC from 1999 to 2004. He’s cooperating with authorities. No one has alleged that Lee engaged in insider trading while at SAC. Portfolio manager Richard Grodin left SAC to start New York-based Stratix Asset Management LLC in 2004, taking Lee with him. Last year, his new firm, New York-based Quadrum Capital Management LLC, received a subpoena regarding its trading, according to a person familiar with the investigation. He hasn’t been charged. Grodin didn’t return calls seeking comment. Tapping ‘Tippee 1’ A third former employee, analyst Jonathan Hollander , was allegedly involved in another insider-trading ring while he was employed by Cohen at SAC, according to two people familiar with the matter. In January 2009, the SEC filed a civil complaint against Ramesh Chakrapani , then a Blackstone Group LP managing director. The SEC alleged that in January 2006 Chakrapani told a person identified as “Tippee 1” that supermarket chain Albertsons was about to be purchased. About a week later, a consortium that included the private-equity firm Cerberus Capital Management LP announced the buyout. Tippee 1 used the information to reap $18,000 in a personal account and to generate $3.5 million for his employer, who wasn’t identified. Hollander is Tippee 1, the two people say. Neither Hollander, who left SAC in late 2008, nor SAC is accused of wrongdoing in the Chakrapani suit. SEC Probes After the suit was filed, SAC examined Hollander’s trades, SAC spokesman Jonathan Gasthalter says, and the firm continues to cooperate with the U.S. inquiry. Hollander didn’t return a call seeking comment. His lawyer, Aitan Goelman , also declined to comment. The Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department are looking into the trading patterns of even larger players than Rajaratnam, according to a person familiar with the case. The SEC and the Justice Department declined to comment. At least one agent at the Federal Bureau of Investigation, B.J. Kang, has been inquiring about SAC’s trading for several years, according to a person who’s been interviewed by him. Kang was the lead agent in the Galleon investigation and is pictured in photos taking Rajaratnam into custody on Oct. 16. No one at SAC has been accused of wrongdoing, and the firm has received no subpoenas. Kang didn’t return a call seeking comment. FBI spokesman James Margolin declined to comment. Hedge Home Runs People who have worked for Cohen say they never saw any evidence of insider trading. Cohen doesn’t need pilfered information to succeed, says a person who worked at SAC. Another former portfolio manager for SAC says working there is like working for the New York Yankees — a team that always wins and that everyone who’s not a fan hates. Other hedge fund managers say that one reason federal investigators might be asking questions about SAC is that, like Galleon, Cohen’s firm made its name with rapid trades in and out of stocks. Cohen has also made a practice of investing in the funds of some of his former employees, including Grodin’s Stratix, according to investors. Cohen told clients at the beginning of the year that he will no longer make such investments because of the risk to his reputation if something goes wrong. SAC takes strong measures to prevent traders from dealing in insider information, investors say. Cohen’s staff of 800 includes 20 legal and compliance workers who, among other things, monitor instant messages and e-mails, including those sent and received by Cohen. Harvey Pitt , former chairman of the SEC, and Stephen Cutler , former head of the regulator’s enforcement unit, have held workshops with SAC employees about complying with SEC rules. Divorce Battle Cohen’s most aggressive accuser may be his former wife, Patricia. She sued him in U.S. District Court in New York in December, alleging that Cohen lied about his net worth during their divorce, thereby reducing payments to her. They were married for a decade and had two children before separating in 1988. Patricia alleged in court papers that in 1986 Cohen, then a trader at investment firm Gruntal & Co., told her that he had received inside information about the soon-to-be-announced takeover of RCA Corp. by General Electric Co. Patricia says she asked her husband if trading on such information was legal, and he answered that the source was a former classmate of his and that the information had come via a “mutual friend,” not directly from the source, so it didn’t count as insider trading. Taking the Fifth Patricia’s lawsuit says that Cohen was questioned by the SEC and that at times he invoked his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination. No charges were brought. “These are ludicrous allegations made by a former spouse that are entirely without merit,” Gasthalter said in a statement e-mailed to Bloomberg News on Dec. 16. In mid-January, Patricia dropped her suit, switched attorneys and said she planned to file a new complaint. She had not done so as of Feb. 25. A week after his ex-wife’s court action last year, Cohen was featured in the tabloid New York Post, which put up a video on its Web site showing Cohen and his second wife, Alexandra, then newlyweds, appearing on a talk show in 1992 devoted to men who can’t separate from their ex-wives even after starting new relationships. Cohen, looking trim with a full head of dark hair and orb- like horn-rimmed glasses, spars with a man in a muscle shirt in the audience after admitting he slept with his ex-wife while courting Alexandra. Television Appearance “I don’t think it’s unusual when you’re separated that you go back a few times to just find out that it doesn’t work,” Cohen says on the show. “It clarified things.” Cohen is a rich target for an angry former wife. About half of the $12 billion managed by SAC belongs to Cohen or his employees, according to a document provided to investors in 2009. His mansion in the woods north of downtown Greenwich has a basketball court, an ice skating rink and a two-hole golf course. Inside hangs his eclectic art collection, which includes works by Marc Quinn , who casts sculptures of his head in his own frozen blood. In April 2009, Cohen exhibited some of his collection at Sotheby’s in New York, including paintings by Paul Cezanne , Lucian Freud and Edvard Munch . All 20 images were of women. Art dealers estimated that the works on display, just a small part of Cohen’s collection, were worth $450 million. Cohen gives tens of millions to charity. Alex, as his second wife is known, is president of the Steven A. and Alexandra M. Cohen Foundation. Robin Hood Contributor Among its biggest beneficiaries is the Robin Hood Foundation , started by hedge fund billionaire Paul Tudor Jones in 1987 to fight poverty in New York. Cohen sits on the board. In 2008, the Cohens gave $8.6 million to Robin Hood, according to their charity’s most recent public filing with the Internal Revenue Service. The same year, the Cohens gave $50 million for emergency pediatric care at Morgan Stanley Children’s Hospital at New York-Presbyterian hospital in Washington Heights, the northern Manhattan neighborhood where Alex, who is of Puerto Rican heritage, grew up. In 2009, the foundation gave $30 million to Brown University for undergraduate financial aid. Cohen’s son Robert graduated from there in 2008. Cohen has been interested in the stock market since he was 13 years old. He started following stocks listed in the New York Post that his father, a dress manufacturer, brought home to suburban Great Neck, New York, each night. Wharton Grad Cohen left Long Island for the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, where he would often skip class to watch stocks at a local brokerage. He taught himself to be a master “tape reader,” according to people who know him, able to predict the direction of a stock by watching each tick of the price and the volume of shares traded. After graduating in 1977 with a degree in economics, Cohen joined Gruntal, a New York brokerage firm. Cohen came on board as a proprietary trader, buying and selling stocks with Gruntal’s money. He thrived and in 1985 became the firm’s head proprietary trader, a job he held until 1992, when he quit to start SAC. In 1991, a transaction at Gruntal became the sole black mark on his record. He bought 100 shares of a very thinly traded stock at the end of the month, enough to drive the share price up sharply, increasing the value of the firm’s holdings by more than $100,000. In January 1995, a New York Stock Exchange panel sanctioned Cohen, saying he “engaged in conduct inconsistent with just and equitable principles of trade.” NYSE Sanction The NYSE barred him for four weeks from working for a company that was a member of the exchange. By that time, Cohen, who neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing, had left the broker- dealer to found SAC. At Gruntal, glass walls separated Cohen’s team from the retail brokers, says Dan Cherniack, who was a clerk on the retail options desk. “He was a pretty good yeller and screamer back in the day,” says Cherniack, who admired Cohen’s trading prowess. One day, Cherniack and Cohen struck up a conversation in the elevator. Cohen said his trading clerk had just left and asked whether Cherniack wanted the job. Cherniack took it on the spot. The move made his career. He was one of nine people who started the firm that became SAC. Everyone stumped up cash. They took some from investors, too, and raised a total of $25 million. About half came from Cohen, Cherniack says. Money at Risk They rented an office at 14 Wall Street, across from the NYSE. Everyone sat at one long desk shaped like a capital I, with Cohen in the middle. The new company traded mostly large-capitalization stocks such as 3M Co., Merck & Co. and GE, as Cohen had done at Gruntal, Cherniack says. The difference was that the money they were risking was theirs, and that made the group overly cautious, he says. Cohen became impatient. “He ripped into everybody,” Cherniack says. “He said, ‘What, are you scared because it’s your own money now?’” The group got the message. In August 1992, its first month, SAC returned 3.41 percent, according to SAC marketing documents. For the year, it earned 17.5 percent, after fees. As a sign of things to come, the group made money every month that year and for all of 1993, when SAC returned 51 percent. The firm didn’t have a losing month until December 1994, when it dropped 0.02 percent, according to SAC documents. ‘A Brotherhood’ “It was a brotherhood,” Cherniack says. Cohen married Alexandra Garcia the same year he started SAC. She worked as an administrative assistant at brokerage Hoare Govett Ltd. before marrying Cohen. Cohen’s best years were yet to come. In 1999, at the height of the Internet bubble, the firm’s biggest fund returned 69.7 percent, after fees, betting that technology shares would soar. Then SAC turned around and bet that the Internet and tech bubble would pop, which it did. The fund earned 71.8 percent in 2000. Cohen’s natural ability as a tape reader has been a big part of his success, former employees say. In addition to trading his own stocks and overseeing 300 managers, analysts and traders globally, Cohen buys and sells “minis,” says one former employee. “Mini” is short for a security called the S&P 500 E-mini future, an electronically traded derivative that rises and falls with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and is sold in smaller units than other index futures. ‘Mini’ Trading “He does that all day, every day, completely intuitively,” the former employee says. Unlike many hedge funds, which tend to have a handful of executives making investment decisions, SAC runs what amounts to 100 small funds. SAC borrows as much as $4 for every $1 of its own from prime brokers, including Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co., then distributes the hoard to various teams. Managers’ contracts have “down-and-out” clauses: lose 5 percent from your peak assets, and SAC can take away half of what remains. Suffer a 10 percent loss, and you could be out. In 2008, 12 portfolio managers and their teams were fired or resigned, according to a person familiar with the matter. Each team manages from $300 million to $500 million, on average, according to an SAC marketing document. The teams are paid based on their own performance, and SAC’s higher-than- normal fees ensure that each portfolio manager’s take is almost as high as if he or she were running an independent shop. Long Vetting Process After an interview process that can take 14 months, including multiple rounds with executives, including Cohen, and a background check that employees joke will turn up the name of a candidate’s second-grade teacher, a manager will sign a two- or three-year contract, which will be renewed if he meets his return targets. There can be heated competition among portfolio managers, who are often vying with colleagues covering the same industries. SAC has 13 teams trading health-care stocks, for example, and 11 doing technology, according to an October 2009 marketing document. In his own trading, Cohen solicits ideas from everyone at the firm, people familiar with the arrangement say. Send “Stevie” an idea that makes money and you get paid something extra, they say. When pitching a contrarian bet on a stock to Cohen, his minions must explain what other big investors think of it, and why that’s not correct. Stock Catalyst Whether the stock is cheap or expensive is irrelevant. There must be a catalyst that will make it move, a former employee says. The boss has a sense of humor that’s dry, along the lines of Jerry Seinfeld , former employees say. In September 2008, before Lehman’s bankruptcy, Cohen sent a companywide e-mail: “It’s all up to the government now. I have no idea what will happen. Good luck to you all. This is a recording.” Working at SAC is tough, even as hedge funds go. One of the worst aspects, at least for people who like weekends, is Sunday “homework.” Every week from 5 p.m. to 9 p.m., Cohen has his portfolio managers and analysts call in to tell him what’s coming up that week for the companies they follow. One former analyst says she worked every weekend one summer before, fed up, she quit. Borrowing $7 Billion Cohen succeeds because he cuts his losses quickly when things go south, former employees say. A case in point was his move out of corporate bonds. In 2006 and 2007, a team of traders at SAC’s New York-based subsidiary, Sigma Capital Management LLC, spent $400 million of the firm’s cash, plus as much as $7 billion in borrowed money, on the debt, according to people familiar with the transactions. In the fourth quarter of 2007, Cohen and one of his senior bond managers, Peter Abramenko , concluded that with subprime mortgages starting to tumble, banks were about to lose billions of dollars on home loans made during years of easy credit and rising prices. They decided to sell everything and, by mid-2008, had gotten out of most of their positions. Abramenko declined to comment. That June, SAC closed down the bond arm of Sigma. Three months later, Lehman failed, and the debt of financial institutions fell in price by more than 40 percent during the next six months. Had SAC held on, it would have faced punishing margin calls and might have had some of its assets stuck at Lehman, one of its prime brokers, after it declared bankruptcy. On Oct. 8, 2008, after the S&P 500 had fallen for six consecutive days, Cohen told most of the SAC managers trading stocks to liquidate. Going to Cash By the end of the year, SAC held $7.9 billion in cash, according to a document sent to potential investors in early 2009. Even so, his biggest fund had dropped by almost a fifth, mostly from losses in its holdings in convertible bonds and other securities tied to the credit markets. Cohen is a restless manager of both stocks and his company. In 2005, he branched out from stocks into bonds, currencies and private equity. By the end of 2008, he had fired almost everyone who didn’t trade stocks, saying the lesson of the market crash was that he couldn’t trade every asset class successfully. Investors don’t mind if Cohen is fickle, so long as he continues to bring in 30 percent annual returns. “It’s Cohen’s ability to adapt to a changing environment that’s his biggest strength,” Infinity Capital’s Vale says. “My biggest fear is that he retires.” To contact the reporters on this story: Katherine Burton in New York at kburton@bloomberg.net ; Anthony Effinger in Portland, Oregon, at aeffinger@bloomberg.net .

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New York City May Get 18 Inches of Snow as Wind Brings Blizzard Conditions

February 26, 2010

By Brian K. Sullivan and Alex Morales Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — New York City closed all public schools as the U.S. National Weather Service extended its winter storm warning for the metropolitan area until 6 a.m. tomorrow, saying the city faced “near-blizzard” conditions. The storm, which began about 8 a.m. yesterday, is forecast to leave 18 inches (46 centimeters) or more as it lashes the largest U.S. city with winds up to 35 mph (56 kph). By 6 a.m., 16.9 inches had fallen in Central Park, the agency said. “An intense storm will drift from Connecticut southwestward into the New York City metropolitan area today,” the service said. Snow, wind and ice “will make travel very hazardous or impossible.” Airlines including Continental Airlines Inc. canceled hundreds of flights after snow began falling yesterday. Speculation that the snows would reduce demand for motor fuel contributed to a drop in gasoline futures. All New York City public schools will close today because of the snow, the city’s Department of Education said on its Web site . AccuWeather Inc. warned of downed trees and power lines and said winds may cause whiteouts in some areas. A man was killed by a falling tree branch in New York’s Central Park, WNBC reported. “This will be a heavy wet snow and will be more difficult than usual to shovel, possibly causing back, shoulder and wrist injuries, and even heart attacks if not handled properly,” the weather service said. Second Storm The current system is the second winter storm of the week for the U.S. Northeast. It came just weeks after parts of the mid-Atlantic region set seasonal records for snowfall. Gasoline for March delivery declined 6.17 cents, or 2.9 percent, to settle yesterday at $2.037 a gallon on the New York Mercantile Exchange. “Demand numbers are going to be annihilated by the bad weather,” said Ray Carbone , president of Paramount Options Inc. in New York and a trader at the Nymex. New York’s Metropolitan Transportation Authority said on its Web site that all subways, buses, railroads, bridges and tunnels will operate a “normal or near-normal morning rush hour,” except for the Metro-North Railroad, which will run a special service , with 5-to-10 minute delays possible. More than 1,500 flights were halted across the Northeast yesterday, most of them in New York, Boston and Philadelphia. That represented about 3 percent of the 50,000 flights scheduled in the U.S. this time of year, according to FlightStats.com , a Web site that tracks aircraft movements. Flights Canceled Continental canceled flights including all 200 of its regional partner airlines from Newark’s Liberty International Airport, said Mary Clark , a spokeswoman for the carrier. Amtrak canceled eight trains on its Empire Service line in upstate New York yesterday. Some service between New York City and Albany-Rensselaer was temporarily reduced. CSX Corp., which owns the line, repairs tracks and systems damaged by trees, said Tracy Connell , a spokeswoman for the passenger railway. CSX, the third-largest U.S. railroad by revenue, said its customers should expect delays during “the worst of the storm” and that its effects will linger through the weekend. The lines are used by shippers including coal producers. Two crude oil tankers put off unloading in Portland, Maine, at least until today, said Tony Youells, port manager for Inchcape Shipping Services , a shipping agent. Waves as high as 25 feet are forecast in the waters off Maine according to the National Weather Sevice. ‘Battering Waves’ “Large battering waves will cause a prolonged period of beach erosion with periods of significant splash-over and possible coastal flooding near the times of high tide,” the service’s office in Gray, Maine, said in an advisory. Winter storm warnings, meaning heavy snow, ice and freezing rain are imminent, were issued from Maryland to Maine. Blizzard warnings stretched from the mountains of North Carolina into West Virginia. Warnings for gusts as high as 65 miles per hour were posted for parts of North Carolina, Virginia, Vermont, Maryland and the District of Columbia. About 75,000 customers in New York and New England were already without power as the storm moved through the Northeast, according to utilities. A system brought rain to New York City and almost two feet of snow to western Massachusetts starting Feb. 23, disrupting air traffic in Newark, Boston, Baltimore and New York. To contact the reporters on this story: Brian K. Sullivan in Boston at bsullivan10@bloomberg.net ; Alex Morales in London at amorales2@bloomberg.net

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Lyondell Chemical, U.S. Said to Settle Dispute Over Environmental Cleanup

February 26, 2010

By Tiffany Kary Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Lyondell Chemical Co. ’s bid to shed some environmental claims brought by the U.S. will be settled without going before a federal district court judge, a person familiar with the negotiations said. The parties reached an agreement in principle to settle the U.S.’s dispute with Lyondell , which filed for bankruptcy court protection last year, the person said. The person declined to elaborate on the terms of a settlement, saying it hadn’t yet been written. The U.S. previously sought a claim of as much as $5 billion related to contaminated sites. U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein in Manhattan had been scheduled to hear Lyondell’s dispute with U.S. agencies and decide whether it falls under the bankruptcy code or federal environmental law, an issue the district court is better equipped to evaluate. Lyondell, reorganizing in a Chapter 11 bankruptcy, said it opposed the government’s attempt to claim future cleanup costs at sites across the U.S. that Lyondell says it doesn’t own. Janice Oh , a spokeswoman for the U.S. Attorney’s Office wasn’t immediately available for comment yesterday. Andrew Troop, a lawyer for Lyondell, didn’t immediately return a call seeking comment yesterday. Lawyers for the Environmental Protection Agency and California state agencies had asked to have the dispute heard in district court, saying Houston-based Lyondell is trying to use the bankruptcy court to get an order “discharging” it from compliance with federal environmental law. PCBs, TCE Lyondell makes solvents, resins and other chemicals, many of them related to the refining industry. It has been named by the EPA as a potentially responsible party at sites where suspected carcinogens, including PCBs and trichloroethylene, or TCE, have been detected. The company hasn’t disputed that it releases hazardous substances that endanger human health, or that it has cleanup orders for the sites under federal law, lawyers for the EPA wrote in court documents. “If their hazardous waste has been dumped or otherwise released onto a third-party site, however, the debtors contend that the U.S. and the California environmental agencies are precluded from requiring the debtors to comply with their obligations under federal and state environmental laws,” the lawyers said in court documents. Creditor Objections Lyondell and its creditors objected to having the decision about environmental liabilities made in federal district court. The U.S.’s claims for environmental costs are the same as other claims in a bankruptcy, and should be discharged, lawyers for creditors said. “This issue is a core task of the bankruptcy court,” the creditors’ lawyers wrote in court documents. David Harpole , a Lyondell spokesman, said the company is “continuing to work toward a settlement with the EPA on this matter, which covers a variety of environmental issues for legacy properties.” The U.S. sought a claim of as much as $5 billion for cleanup costs, environmental damages and penalties at 11 so- called third-party sites where Lyondell isn’t the current owner of the polluted property, Lyondell said. The U.S. also sought to hold the company responsible for unknown costs at seven of those sites. The dispute in the lawsuit involved a separate category of claims that covered the seven sites, and all claims about Lyondell’s obligations for environmental damage that can be connected to the company’s pre- bankruptcy conduct, even if the U.S. hasn’t made a claim about it yet, lawyers for Lyondell said. 11 Sites Of the 11 sites, three are in Texas and two are in Pennsylvania. The remainder are in California, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey and Oklahoma. Lyondell’s outline of its plan to reorganize is set to be considered by U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Robert Gerber on March 8. Reliance Industries Ltd. , India’s biggest company, has expressed interest in the bankrupt chemical maker. Lyondell has also proposed reorganizing by repaying its $8 billion bankruptcy loan and giving an equity stake in the new company to lenders, including sponsors of a $2.8 billion rights offering. The main case is In re Lyondell Chemical Co., 09-10023, and the adversary case is 09-01375, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan). To contact the reporter on this story: Tiffany Kary in New York at tkary@bloomberg.net .

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Bank of America Hires Barclays’ Oscar Brown for Energy Investment Banking

February 26, 2010

By David Mildenberg Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Bank of America Corp. hired former Barclays Capital executive Oscar Brown as a managing director and head of the Houston investment banking office. Brown, 39, will report to Laurie Coben , global head of energy and power investment banking, and Scott Van Bergh , chief of Americas energy investment banking, the Charlotte, North Carolina-based company said in a statement today. Brown worked at Barclays Capital and predecessor Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. for the past 10 years, most recently as managing director in the energy group. He previously worked at Credit Suisse First Boston. At Barclays, Brown advised on transactions including GlobalSantaFe Corp.’s sale to Transocean Ltd. in 2007 and NATCO Group Inc.’s sale to Cameron International Corp. in November, according to Bank of America spokesman John Yiannacopoulos . The lender’s global banking and markets units reported a profit of $10.2 billion last year, helping offset losses from the company’s home-loan and credit-card businesses. To contact the reporter on this story: David Mildenberg in Charlotte at dmildenberg@bloomberg.net

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Senate’s Dodd Says Consumer Protection Agency Must Have Rule-Writing Power

February 26, 2010

By Alison Vekshin Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Senate Banking Committe e Chairman Christopher Dodd said a new consumer protection authority needs rule-writing powers regardless of whether it’s created as a separate agency or becomes part of an existing regulator. Dodd would prefer an independent Consumer Financial Protection Agency, and said he realizes that it may not be politically viable, Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat who is leading negotiations of a financial regulatory overhaul bill, said today in an interview for Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital With Al Hunt” to be broadcast this weekend. “I’m more concerned about what powers it has than where it’s actually located,” Dodd said. President Barack Obama ’s proposal to create a separate consumer agency to police banks for lending abuses has been the main sticking point in Senate negotiations over the regulatory overhaul bill. Democrats support a separate agency, saying it would prevent the business practices that contributed to the financial crisis, while Republicans are opposed, saying it would create a new bureaucracy. To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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AIG Extends Support to ILFC, Consumer Lender for Third Time, Until 2011

February 26, 2010

By Jamie McGee and Susanna Ray Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — American International Group Inc. extended for the third time the period in which it is committed to supporting plane-leasing and consumer-lending units. AIG said in its annual report today it “intends to provide support” to International Lease Finance Corp. and American General Finance Corp. through Feb. 28, 2011, if needed, more than three months later than the date the company gave in its third-quarter filing in November. AIG, which is selling businesses to help repay bailout loans, previously announced three-month extensions in both August and November of last year. ILFC and American General lost access to their usual financing sources, including commercial paper and unsecured debt, after downgrades of New York-based AIG, which needed a $182.3 billion U.S. rescue after losing bets on home loans. The units had been downgraded in the past three months on the prospect AIG would decline to extend support past November. “At some point, the reality is that it has to stand on its own,” Howard Rubel , an aerospace analyst at Jefferies & Co. in New York, said of ILFC before today’s announcement. The Los Angeles-based plane unit is among the biggest customers for both Boeing Co. and Airbus SAS . ILFC said this week it was seeking a bank loan of as much as $750 million secured against its fleet. AIG used bailout funds to prop up ILFC with a $1.7 billion credit line in March and $2 billion in October. ‘Restructuring Opportunities’ “We continue to address the funding needs and are exploring strategic restructuring opportunities for International Lease Finance Corporation and American General Finance,” AIG Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche said today in a statement. Credit-default swaps on ILFC rose 0.5 percentage point to 9.5 percent upfront, according to broker Phoenix Partners Group. That means it would cost $950,000 upfront and $500,000 a year to protect $10 million of ILFC obligations from default for five years, up from $900,000 yesterday. Swaps on AIG were unchanged at 2 percent upfront. The plane unit may sell aircraft, Benmosche said this month in announcing the departure of ILFC CEO Steve Udvar-Hazy , who founded the company 37 years ago and then sold it to the insurer. Private-equity groups had backed Udvar-Hazy in an attempt to buy as much as a $4.5 billion chunk of ILFC’s fleet to start a firm, people with knowledge of the matter said in October. “ILFC does have a lot of unencumbered assets, aircraft, so that’s one possible way they could raise funds,” said Craig Fraser , aerospace analyst at Fitch Ratings, before today’s announcement. “Aircraft are still attractive assets to support financing.” Ratings Downgrades Standard & Poor’s downgraded ILFC last month on concern AIG may take “several years” to sell the business. AIG has struck deals to divest more than 20 businesses including a U.S. auto insurer and Canadian mortgage guarantor. ILFC had more than $6.7 billion of debt maturing in 2010, AIG said in the filing. For Evansville, Indiana-based American General, the figure was more than $6.5 billion. “We would not hang our hat on support, and we would approach American General as a standalone entity at this point,” said Adam Steer , an analyst at CreditSights Inc. in New York, in an interview before today’s announcement. The consumer lender cut more than 1,000 jobs last year, scaled back lending, closed branches and sold mortgage-backed certificates to Credit Suisse Group AG. AIG made a $600 million capital contribution to American General last year. ‘Confident in the Future’ AIG posted a fourth-quarter net loss of $8.87 billion today on charges tied to paying down its bailout debt and boosting commercial insurance reserves. ILFC’s operating profit rose 66 percent to $344 million after the unit expanded its fleet and borrowing costs fell. American General had an operating loss of $309 million on a drop in finance-charge revenue and higher provisions for loan losses. ILFC had more than $26 billion in borrowing through bonds and bank debt as of Dec. 31, AIG said today. American General had more than $20 billion in outstanding debt. “We also remain confident in the future of the International Lease Finance Corporation as a leader in its market segment,” Benmosche said in a separate statement posted on the insurer’s Web site. American General “is a well run business and we continue to explore a variety of options to protect its value and meet its obligations.” To contact the reporters on this story: Jamie McGee in New York at jmcgee8@bloomberg.net ; Susanna Ray in Seattle at sray7@bloomberg.net .

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U.S. Economy Grew at 5.9% Pace in Fourth Quarter, More Than First Reported

February 26, 2010

By Timothy R. Homan Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. economy expanded at a 5.9 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter, more than the government reported last month, reflecting stronger business investment and a greater contribution from inventories. The rise in gross domestic product, which exceeded the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, marked the best performance in more than six years, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Inventories added 3.88 percentage points to GDP, more than previously reported, and investment in software and equipment grew at the fastest pace in almost a decade. Manufacturers such as Deere & Co. may continue to lead the recovery as increasing sales prompt companies to boost purchases and add to stockpiles. At the same time, consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy, is likely to be restrained by an unemployment rate that’s forecast to average 9.8 percent this year. “There’s still room for inventories to add to growth,” said James O’Sullivan , global chief economist at MF Global Ltd. in New York, who accurately forecast the rise in GDP. “Going forward, the question comes back to sustainability, and the key to that is a clear pickup in the labor market, which I think is coming.” Stock-index futures swung between gains and declines after American International Group Inc.’s bigger-than-forecast quarterly loss overshadowed the GDP report. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures expiring in March rose less than 0.1 percent to 1,103.30 at 9:14 a.m. in New York after rising as much as 0.4 percent. Economists’ Estimates The economy was forecast to grow at a 5.7 percent annual pace, the same rate the government initially reported in January, according to the median estimate of 76 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from gains of 4.2 percent to 6.3 percent. For all of 2009, the economy shrank 2.4 percent, the worst single-year performance since 1946. The GDP report is the second for the fourth quarter and will be revised in March as more information, such as corporate profits, becomes available to the government. Consumer spending rose at a 1.7 percent pace, compared with the 2 percent rate forecast by economists and a 2.8 percent gain in the prior quarter. Spending added 1.23 percentage points to GDP. Third-quarter purchases received a boost from the government’s auto-incentive program that offered buyers discounts to trade in older cars and trucks for new, more fuel- efficient vehicles. The plan expired in August. Household Purchases Household purchases dropped 0.6 percent last year, the biggest decrease since 1974. Increases in production last quarter stemmed the slide in inventories from earlier in the year. Stockpiles dropped at a $16.9 billion annual pace following a $139.2 billion decline the previous three months. Inventories declined at a record $160.2 billion pace in the second quarter. Today’s report showed purchases of equipment and software increased at an 18.2 percent pace in the fourth quarter, the most since 2000. The gain helped offset a 13.9 percent drop in commercial construction, leaving total business investment up 6.2 percent during the final three months of 2009. A report yesterday showed companies ordered more capital goods in January, driven primarily by bookings for commercial aircraft. Declines in other, less volatile industries indicate business investment may be slowing, according to yesterday’s Commerce Department figures. Job Market The job market is one part of the economy where a recovery is slow to take hold. Payrolls fell by 20,000 last month after a 150,000 drop in December. The U.S. has lost 8.4 million since the start of the recession in December 2007, the most of any slowdown in the post-World War II era. The jobless rate fell to 9.7 percent in January, the Labor Department said on Feb. 5. Unemployment is projected to end the year at 9.5 percent, according to a Bloomberg survey. In other areas of the economy, today’s report showed a smaller trade deficit, which contributed 0.3 percentage point to fourth-quarter growth. Government spending fell at a 1.2 percent pace after a 2.6 percent increase the previous quarter. Residential construction climbed at a 5 percent rate last quarter after expanding at a 18.9 percent pace in the previous three months. Deere, the world’s largest maker of farm machinery, posted first-quarter profit this month that topped analysts’ estimates and raised its 2010 forecast. Chief Executive Officer Samuel Allen said Feb. 17 that full-year equipment revenue will increase as much as 8 percent. ‘Great Potential’ “Positive developments based on the world’s prospects for population and economic growth hold great potential and should help our company,” he said in a statement. Inflation stayed within the Fed’s long-term forecast range, today’s report showed. The central bank’s preferred price gauge, which is tied to consumer spending and strips out food and energy costs, rose at a 1.6 percent annual pace following a 1.2 percent increase in the prior quarter. The GDP price gauge climbed at a 0.4 percent pace, less than the 0.6 percent median forecast of economists surveyed. To contact the reporter on this story: Timothy R. Homan in Washington at thoman1@bloomberg.net

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RBC Capital Initiates Coverage on Colony Financial (CLNY) with an Outperform

February 26, 2010

see all the upgrades/downgrades on shares of CLNY, visit our Analyst Ratings page. Colony Financial, Inc. is a real estate finance company, that will acquire, originate and manage a diversified portfolio of real estate-related debt instruments

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CoStar’s People of Note (Feb. 21-27)

February 26, 2010

Co. appointed Brett Hunsaker as executive vice president and managing director of its Atlanta branch. Hunsaker will oversee real estate services operations for the market. He took over for Steve Dils who joined Avison Young last month as managing

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The First Tee of West Virginia Names New State Director

February 26, 2010

BECKLEY, WV–(Marketwire – February 26, 2010) –  At the meeting of its board of directors this week, Mike Mays was introduced as the new executive director who will lead The First Tee of West Virginia (TFTWV). Mays, who just returned from the Eastern Regional meeting of The First Tee in St. Augustine, Fla., reported to the board on news and strategic direction from the parent organization.

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Video: Lebas Says Keep a `Close Eye’ on Feb. Jobless Data: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Guy Lebas, fixed-income strategist and economist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, talks with Bloomberg’s Betty Liu about today’s announcement by the Commerce Department that fourth-quarter gross domestic product expanded at a 5.9 percent annual rate. Lebas also discusses the impact of weather on consumer sentiment, January’s existing home sales and jobless data. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Behringer Harvard Gets Mortgage on Philly Tower

February 26, 2010

Real Estate ForumReal Estate New York Archive Real Estate New Jersey Archive Real Estate Southern California Archive Real Estate Florida Archive 2010 Media Guide Subscribe

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Video: Broadpoint’s Marshall Says Apple Buyback `Makes Sense’: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Brian Marshall, an analyst at Broadpoint AmTech Inc., talks with Bloomberg’s Betty Liu about the Apple Inc.’s acquisition strategy. Marshall also discusses the possibility of a partnership with Verizon Communications Inc. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Turley Says U.S. Corporate Tax Policy Is `Uncompetitive’: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — James Turley, chief executive officer of Ernst & Young LLP, talks with Bloomberg’s Erik Schatzker and Deirdre Bolton about the impact of U.S. corporate tax policy on the nation’s competiveness globally. Turley also discusses how “uncertainty” over government policy on issues including health care and taxes is affecting hiring activity. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Elop Discusses Microsoft Internet-Based Program Strategy: Video

February 26, 2010

Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Stephen Elop, president for Microsoft Corp., talks with Bloomberg’s Cris Valerio about the company’s strategy to gain market share in the Internet search engine business and competition. (Source: Bloomberg)

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