March 2010

Gartmore May Face Client Withdrawals as Manager Investigated, Merrill Says

March 31, 2010

By Andrew Macaskill and Gavin Finch March 31 (Bloomberg) — Gartmore Group Ltd. may suffer client withdrawals following the suspension of Guillaume Rambourg , who helps oversee its two biggest hedge funds, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analyst Philip Middleton said. “Franchise damage would arguably be irrational, but it is, in our view, a scenario worth at least considering,” Middleton said in a note to clients today as he put his “buy” rating on the shares under review. Gartmore’s European hedge funds “have been a flagship product for the company” and are “a key plank of Gartmore’s expansion strategy.” Gartmore plunged 31 percent yesterday following the announcement of the investigation. The shares climbed 3.9 percent to 120.5 pence as of 10:34 a.m. in London trading today. The probe of Rambourg relates “to breaches of internal procedures regarding directing trades,” the firm said in a statement yesterday. It isn’t connected with last week’s arrests of seven people suspected of insider trading, the London-based money manager said. “Gartmore has not identified any information to date which suggests that Gartmore’s clients have suffered any loss as a result of these breaches,” the firm said. Roger Guy will oversee the assets Rambourg managed in the meantime. Caroline Villiers , a spokeswoman for Gartmore, wasn’t immediately available for comment. Rambourg joined Gartmore in 1995 and focused on European equities. He co-managed the firm’s $2.3 billion Alphagen Capella fund with Guy since it started in 2000. The pair managed 8.1 billion pounds ($12.2 billion), 37 percent of Gartmore’s assets and accounted for 40 percent of the firm’s revenue, according to company filings. Rambourg is an essential employee whose departure “could impact more heavily on Gartmore’s business than the loss of others,” according to the company’s prospectus. Rambourg owns about 11.8 million Gartmore shares, making him the second- largest employee investor behind Guy. To contact the reporters on this story: Gavin Finch in London at gfinch@bloomberg.net

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Obama Will Propose Allowing Oil, Gas Drilling in Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico

March 31, 2010

By Nicholas Johnston and Kim Chipman March 31 (Bloomberg) — U.S. President Barack Obama will today announce proposals to allow oil and natural-gas drilling off U.S. coastlines in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico when he delivers a speech on energy security. Obama will propose allowing exploration off the coast of Virginia and, if a Congressional moratorium is lifted, in the Gulf of Mexico 125 miles (201 kilometers) off the coast of Florida, according to an administration official speaking on the condition of anonymity. The new policies are designed to reduce the nation’s dependence on foreign oil and create jobs while taking environmental risks into account, the official said. “It’s absolutely a big change in policy because these areas have been closed for years,” said Stuart Traver, principal adviser at consultant Gaffney, Cline & Associates Ltd. in Singapore. “While it’s interesting, we’re really talking probably years before we see an impact in terms of new production.” Obama is providing his most detailed comments to date on coastal drilling, a topic that has long divided lawmakers and now threatens to derail efforts to reach a compromise on climate-change legislation. Democratic senators such as Bill Nelson of Florida have said they won’t support a bill providing for unlimited exploration, while U.S. oil companies press to increase domestic exploration. Oil prices have swung from less than $20 a barrel in 2001 to a record $147.27 a barrel in July 2008 as investors bet demand growth would outstrip new findings. Crude traded at $82.35 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 3:02 p.m. Singapore time. Ban Expired “Our member companies are very interested in access and want to see areas opened up,” said Randall Luthi , president of the National Ocean Industries Association. The Washington-based trade group represents companies in the offshore energy industry, such as Irving, Texas-based Exxon Mobil Corp. A federal ban on drilling off the East and West Coasts and in parts of Alaska expired in 2008. Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell , a Republican, supports offshore drilling off his state and this month signed legislation on how to distribute royalty revenue from energy production. Under Obama’s proposal the Department of the Interior will allow drilling 50 miles off the coast of Virginia and open up the rest of the outer continental shelf in the south- and mid- Atlantic to oil exploration, the official said. In Alaska, Obama is proposing to cancel leasing in Bristol Bay, and cancel sales in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas to allow for further scientific study, the official said. A sale in Cook Inlet will proceed. Along with the announcement on offshore drilling, Obama will announce a final rule on increased fuel efficiency standards for cars and the purchase by the federal government of 5,000 hybrid cars and trucks. To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Washington at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Kim Chipman in Washington at KChipman@bloomberg.net

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Greece Plans Dollar Bond After Euro Sale to Make $15.6 Billion by End-May

March 31, 2010

By Matthew Brown and Maryam Nemazee March 31 (Bloomberg) — Greece plans to sell a global bond in dollars in the next two months to help raise 11.6 billion euros ($15.6 billion) in funding requirements by the end of May after investors lost money on its most recent sale. Greece needs to borrow a total of 32 billion euros this year, including May, Petros Christodoulou , director general of the Public Debt Management Agency, said today in a Bloomberg Television interview. He declined to say how big the dollar issue might be. Seven-year notes sold by the government this week fell even after the European Union and the International Monetary Fund crafted an aid package that would be triggered should the nation be unable to raise sufficient cash from capital markets to cover its financing needs. Greece may pay about 13 billion euros more in interest on the debt it sells this year than it would have to had yields stayed at their pre-crisis levels relative to Germany’s, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank. “A dollar bond sale means that they don’t have to go to the long end of the curve after they’ve sold” five-, seven- and 10-year debt this year, said Charles Diebel , senior fixed-income strategist at Nomura International Plc in London. “They may raise 7 billion euros in a three-year deal, leaving them 4 billion euros to raise in dollars to complete their May funding.” Spread Widening Greek bonds fell for a third day, pushing the yield on the two-year note up 17 basis points to 5.22 percent as of 10:26 a.m. in London. The 10-year yield increased 7 basis points to 6.58 percent. The seven-year notes sold on March 29 have fallen 2.3 percent since issue. The extra yield, or spread , that investors demand to hold Greek 10-year bonds instead of benchmark German bunds climbed 12 basis points to 345 basis points, the most since Feb. 25. Christodoulou said he wants the nation’s 10-year bonds to yield about 250 basis points over Germany by the end of European summer and a “low 200” basis-point spread to bunds by the fourth quarter. Interest on the three bonds it sold this year, including a seven-year note offered this week, will amount to 7.7 billion euros over the life of the securities, compared with 3.8 billion euros had they sold them at the average extra spread over German debt that prevailed between 2000 and 2008, the data show. Greece will incur a further 18.9 billion euros of interest on this year’s remaining issuance, compared with 9.4 billion euros before the crisis began, according to Bloomberg calculations based on Credit Agricole data. ‘Snowball’ “Greece needs to get through its current funding and start growing at a decent rate so this large amount of debt doesn’t snowball,” said Peter Chatwell , a fixed-income strategist at Credit Agricole in London. “The market is currently reflecting disappointment that the seven-year deal didn’t outperform.” Greece sold 8 billion euros of five-year notes on Jan. 25 to yield 3.81 percentage points more than benchmark German securities of similar maturity, compared with an average spread of 0.26 percentage points before the crisis. It issued 5 billion euros of 10-year bonds yielding 3.25 percentage points more than German debt on March 4, compared with an average 0.34 percentage point. Credit Agricole predicts that this year Greece will sell 8 billion euros of five-year notes, 4 billion euros of 15-year bonds, 8 billion euros of 10-year securities, 3 billion euros of 30-year bonds and 5 billion euros of five-year floating notes. “We are continuing to muddle our way through the funding hump that Greece has over the next few weeks,” Jim Reid , head of fundamental strategy at Deutsche Bank AG in London, wrote in a note to clients yesterday. “This story will run and run as these levels of funding relative to core Europe aren’t really sustainable.” To contact the reporter on this story: Matthew Brown in London at mbrown42@bloomberg.net

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Irish Banks Need $43 Billion After `Appalling’ Lending

March 31, 2010

By Dara Doyle and Colm Heatley March 31 (Bloomberg) — Ireland’s banks need $43 billion in new capital after “appalling” lending decisions left the country’s financial system on the brink of collapse. The fund-raising requirement was announced after the National Asset Management Agency said it will apply an average discount of 47 percent on the first block of loans it is buying from lenders as part of a plan to revive the financial system. The central bank set new capital buffers for Allied Irish Banks Plc and Bank of Ireland Plc and gave them 30 days to say how they will raise the funds. “Our worst fears have been surpassed,” Finance Minister Brian Lenihan said in the parliament in Dublin yesterday. “Irish banking made appalling lending decisions that will cost the taxpayer dearly for years to come.” Dublin-based Allied Irish needs to raise 7.4 billion euros to meet the capital targets, while cross-town rival Bank of Ireland will need 2.66 billion euros. Anglo Irish Bank Corp. , nationalized last year, may need as much 18.3 billion euros. Customer-owned lenders Irish Nationwide and EBS will need 2.6 billion euros and 875 million euros, respectively. ‘Truly Shocking’ The asset agency aims to cleanse banks of toxic loans, the legacy of plunging real-estate prices and the country’s deepest recession. In all, it will buy loans with a book value of 80 billion euros ($107 billion), about half the size of the economy. Lenihan said the information from NAMA on the banks was “truly shocking.” “The regulator is taking the bank system by the scruff of the neck,” said James Forbes , senior equity strategist at Irish Life Investment Managers in Dublin. “Allied Irish has a lot of work to do to avoid majority state ownership, Bank of Ireland less so.” Allied Irish rose 10 percent to 1.37 euros as of 9:06 a.m. in Dublin. Bank of Ireland surged 26 percent to 1.62 euros. Credit-default swaps insuring both banks’ debts declined. Allied Irish will sell its stakes in banks in the U.S. and Poland and said late yesterday this will meet a “substantial part” of its capital needs. It also plans a share sale. Bank of Ireland said today it’s working to fill the capital deficit after posting a net loss of 1.46 billion euros in the nine months through December 2009. The lender expects to be able to raise most of the new capital privately, Chief Executive Officer Richie Boucher said. Capital Target Lenders must have an 8 percent core Tier 1 capital ratio, a key measure of financial strength, by the end of the year, according to the regulator. The equity core Tier 1 capital must increase to 7 percent. AIB’s equity core tier 1 ratio stood at 5 percent at the end of 2009 and Bank of Ireland’s at 5.3 percent. Those ratios exclude a government investment of 3.5 billion euros in each bank, made at the start of 2009. “The banks are undergoing major surgery via NAMA,” financial regulator Matthew Elderfield said at a press conference in Dublin. “They need a transfusion now to speed their recovery and that of the economy.” Credit-default swaps insuring Allied Irish Bank’s debt against default fell 6.5 basis points to 195.5, according to CMA DataVision prices at 8:45 a.m. Contracts protecting Bank of Ireland’s debt fell 7 basis points to 191 and swaps linked to Anglo Irish Bank’s bonds were down 3.5 basis points at 347.5. Credit-default swaps pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent should a company fail to adhere to its debt agreements. A decline signals improving perceptions of credit quality. State Aid If Allied Irish can’t raise enough funds privately, the state will step in with aid, Lenihan said. It is “probable” the government will then end up with a majority stake, he said. The banks “are in a better position today, but we also have to be cautious about thinking we are done and dusted here,” Forbes said. Ireland may not be able to afford to pump more money into the banks. The budget deficit widened to 11.7 percent of gross domestic product last year, almost four times the European Union limit, and the government spent the past year trying to convince investors the state is in control of its finances. The premium investors charge to hold Irish 10-year debt over the German equivalent was at 139 basis points today compared with 284 basis points in March 2009, a 16-year high. Ireland’s debt agency said it doesn’t envisage additional borrowing this year related to the bank recapitalization. It is sticking to its 2010 bond issuance forecast of about 20 billion euros, head of funding Oliver Whelan said in an interview. “The bank losses, awful as they are, represent a one-off hit. It’s water under the bridge,” said Ciaran O’Hagan , a Paris-based fixed-income strategist at Societe Generale SA. “What’s of more concern for investors in government bonds is the budget deficit. Slashing the chronic overspending and raising taxation by the Irish state is vital.” To contact the reporters on this story: Dara Doyle in Dublin at ddoyle1@bloomberg.net ; Colm Heatley in Belfast at cheatley@bloomberg.net

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Irish Banks Need $43 Billion on Appalling Lending

March 31, 2010
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Sugar `Crash’ Isn’t Over as Crops in India, Brazil Recover, Analysts Say

March 31, 2010

By Yi Tian and Debarati Roy March 31 (Bloomberg) — Sugar prices, heading for the biggest quarterly drop since 1985, will extend a slump as Brazil and India, the world’s largest producers, harvest bumper crops next season, analysts and traders said. Raw sugar will fall 16 percent to 15 cents a pound by early July as the bulk of Brazilian supplies reach the market, said Marcelo Dorea , a partner at Round Earth Capital in New York. The price will tumble to 13 cents at the end of the year, posting a 52 percent annual loss, said Mark Hansen at CPM Group. Last year, the sweetener more than doubled. “Sugar has transitioned from a bullish scenario to a bearish scenario,” said Dorea, who began trading agricultural commodities in 1981. “Investors should sell into rallies. The market may correct itself a little bit more, but there isn’t anything that would bring sugar up to the levels of the mid- 20s.” Raw sugar tumbled as much as 47 percent from a 29-year high of 30.4 cents on Feb. 1, as importers including India, Pakistan and Egypt withdrew from the market. Yesterday on ICE Futures U.S., the contract for May delivery rose 0.37 cent, or 2.1 percent, to 17.88 cents. The commodity has tumbled 34 percent in the first quarter. “It has basically been a price crash,” said Hansen at CPM, a New York-based research and asset-management company that structures hedges and trades for producers and consumers. “It’s not unreasonable to expect some kind of a bounce, but it’s unlikely to see sugar return to anywhere near” 27 cents, the level at the end of the year, he said. Mills Open Early Today, Brazilian sugar industry group Unica will issue its first output forecast for the Center South, which produces about 90 percent of the nation’s sweetener and ethanol. Brazilian yields are beating forecasts as a waning El Nino brings dry weather, boosting prospects for a record harvest. Mills began crushing cane early after two years of heavy rains pared output, said Maurilio Biagi Filho, the world’s second- largest grower. “I had never seen a single mill operating in January before,” Biagi said in an interview on March 24. “This January, we had 90 of them working at full capacity.” The Indian Sugar Mills Association on March 25 estimated production in the year ending Sept. 30 will be 17 million tons, up 1.5 million from a February projection. Output next season may be as much as 24 million tons, the group said. ‘Overestimated Deficit’ “The market had basically overestimated the extent of the deficit,” said Judith Ganes-Chase , a Katonah, a New York-based consultant. She forecast “single-digit” prices in 12 months, assuming favorable weather conditions. The global supply shortfall will be 12.8 million tons this year, down from 14.8 million projected in February, Czarnikow Group Ltd. said on March 24, citing higher-than-expected output in India. The market will return to a surplus next year, according to London-based Czarnikow and Ratzeburg, Germany-based F.O. Licht. “The unknown issue is the weather,” Round Earth’s Dorea said. “Last year, we were under this El Nino regime which is beginning to go away now. We’re moving to La Nina, which is typically better for crops in terms of rainfall distribution. In most cases, crops are going to be better and yields are going to be higher.” The cyclical heating of the Pacific Ocean known as El Nino will continue to fade, U.S. forecasters said this month. The weather event, which occurs every four to seven years, brings more rain to South America and less precipitation to Asia. In 2009, sugar soared partly because two straight years of drought damaged the Indian crop. El Nino Weakens A weakening El Nino is a “positive sign” for the monsoon, India’s main source of irrigation, Ajit Tyagi, a director general at the India Meteorological Department, said on March 18. “A repeat of last year is positively not going to happen.” The sweetener will rebound in the second half as prices become “appealing enough to ramp up demand,” said Claudio Oliveira , a trader at New York-based Castlestone Management LLC., which manages $600 million, including sugar futures. The commodity may fall to 15 cents in three months, he said. Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators reduced their net-long position in New York futures by 9.3 percent in the week ended March 23, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data . Speculative long positions, or bets prices will rise, outnumbered short positions by 155,463 contracts, down 15,890 contracts from a week earlier. Net-longs have dropped 23 percent since Feb. 2, the day after sugar reached the highest level since January 1981. The bullish wagers were up 19 percent from a year ago. “There’s still a very large speculative-long position in the market,” CPM’s Hansen said. “We need prices probably to fall further to see that washed out.” To contact the reporters on this story: Yi Tian in New York at ytian8@bloomberg.net ; Debarati Roy in New York at droy5@bloomberg.net

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Panasonic Rejects Idea of Using Google’s Android on TVs Because of Expense

March 31, 2010

By Cliff Edwards March 31 (Bloomberg) — Panasonic Corp. , the fourth-largest television maker, decided against using Google Inc. ’s Android operating system to handle Internet features in its TVs because the approach would be too costly, a Panasonic executive said. The company held talks with Google about using the software, which has been offered to electronics manufacturers as a way to bring Web applications to TVs. While Android is free, the technology would have required pricey computer chips from Google’s partner Intel Corp. , said Robert Perry , senior vice president of Panasonic Consumer Electronics Co., its U.S. unit. Android would “require processing power that adds too much to the cost of the set,” Perry said in an interview after a presentation of the company’s 3-D technology in San Francisco. Panasonic, Samsung Electronics Co., Sony Corp. and other makers of high-definition televisions are adding Internet connections to home-entertainment products this year, with each company taking a different approach. The goal is to let consumers use Web services such as Netflix, YouTube and weather sites without leaving the couch. Mary Ninow, a spokeswoman for Santa Clara, California-based Intel, declined to comment. Mountain View, California-based Google said in an e-mail it had no comment. Panasonic, based in Osaka, Japan, develops its own Web software and delivers content from its servers — rather than allowing users to pull up anything they want. The Google -Intel partnership, meanwhile, would let users connect to almost any Web site, just like a personal computer. Sony also is part of that coalition, known as Google TV, according to people involved in the discussions. The decision by Panasonic not to use Android follows a similar move by Samsung. That company said this month that it wasn’t interested in Google TV because its current focus is on its own applications platform for TVs and Blu-ray players. Panasonic ranked behind Samsung, LG Electronics Inc. and Sony in worldwide revenue from TVs in the fourth quarter, according to DisplaySearch , part of Port Washington, New York- based NPD Group. To contact the reporter on this story: Cliff Edwards in San Francisco at cedwards28@bloomberg.net

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Stanford Admitting Record-Low 7.2% Sets New Normal for Ivy League Colleges

March 31, 2010

By Janet Frankston Lorin March 31 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. colleges that have been hard to get into are getting even harder. Duke University offered admission this year to 3,972, or 15 percent of aspirants, down from 18 percent last year, after applications soared, according to Duke officials. Stanford University admitted 2,300 — or 7.2 percent, the least ever — said Shawn Abbott , admission director. The Massachusetts Institute of Technology saw its admittance drop below 10 percent for the first time, said Stuart Schmill , admissions dean. Applications are surging because colleges are marketing themselves more vigorously, and the tougher they are to get into, the more students seek entry to multiple schools and increase competition for slots, said Jon Reider, director of college counseling at San Francisco University High School. The typical senior applies to a dozen colleges, 50 percent more than 10 years ago, Reider said. “This is without any question the hardest year ever,” Reider, who is also a former admissions officer for Stanford, near Palo Alto, California, said in an interview. “This is unprecedented. No question.” Seven of the eight members of the Ivy League, a group of four-year private colleges in the northeastern U.S., had an increase in applications, according to data from the institutions. The exception was Yale University, which had a decline of 134 applications, or less than a percent, from 26,003 last year, said Jeffrey Brenzel , admissions dean. Yale, in New Haven, Connecticut, expects to announce its admissions rate tomorrow. Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts, which admitted 7 percent of 29,114 applicants last year, may disclose this year’s figures today, said William Fitzsimmons , dean of undergraduate admissions and financial aid. Put Up or Go Away Colleges are beginning to notify high school students, by e-mail or through the U.S. Postal Service, of admission decisions. Most applicants who are offered places must pay deposits by May 1 to secure the spots. “Students are looking at a wider range of schools because they are less certain of their chances of being admitted to colleges that typically would have been reasonable choices for them,” said Christoph Guttentag , dean of undergraduate admissions at Duke, in Durham, North Carolina. Applications to Duke rose 12 percent, and the university had to hire three part-time readers to help evaluate candidates, Guttentag said. Chicago’s Drive With a 42 percent increase in applications, the University of Chicago offered places to 3,560, or 18 percent, of 19,370 applicants, said Jeremy Manier, a spokesman. That compared with 27 percent last year. As recently as 1993, Chicago’s acceptance rate was 77 percent, according to the university. Chicago began a campaign in 2009 to increase applications by sending more mailings and targeted e-mails to prospective students who showed interest. MIT , in Cambridge, said yes to 9.7 percent of 16,632 applicants, Schmill said. About 6 percent more students applied than a year earlier. Last year, MIT admitted 11 percent and drew from its waiting list to reach that share, Schmill said. Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire, a member of the Ivy League, received 18,778 applications this year, about a 3.5 percent increase, said Maria Laskaris, dean of admissions and financial aid. Dartmouth admitted 11.5 percent this year, down from 12.5 percent. Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, accepted 23 percent of applicants, down from 27 percent last year, said Christopher Watson, dean of undergraduate admission. While applications increased 9 percent to 27,615, the university took about 500 fewer students because it overenrolled last year and wants a class of about 2,025, Watson said in an interview. Applications from students in California rose 15 to 20 percent, Watson said. Northwestern stepped up recruiting on the West Coast and in the South and Southwest because the college- age population is expected to increase in those regions while declining in the Midwest, he said. “If they’re considering migration from their home state, we are certainly on their radar,” Watson said. To contact the reporter on this story: Janet Frankston Lorin in New York jlorin@bloomberg.net .

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IPhone-Weary Local TV Broadcasters Fight U.S. Regulators to Keep Airwaves

March 31, 2010

By Kelly Riddell March 31 (Bloomberg) — TV broadcasters are getting ready for a fight over a U.S. government attempt to redistribute airwaves and help wireless carriers cope with a surge in traffic from bandwidth-guzzling devices like the iPhone. Ion Media Networks Inc. , the biggest local TV station owner, and at least three others are resisting a Federal Communications Commission plan to take back spectrum awarded to them by the government and auction it to carriers. About 500 broadcasters went to Capitol Hill this month to lobby members of the House and Senate, and they plan more in the weeks ahead. Ion, Nexstar Broadcasting Group Inc. , Sinclair Broadcast Group Inc. and LIN TV Corp. say they’re depending on that spectrum so they can offer live TV via mobile phones. The FCC says carriers such as AT&T Inc. need the airwaves more as smartphones like Apple Inc. ’s iPhone cause the amount of data sent through U.S. networks to more than double annually. “Why is the iPhone entitled to more spectrum than local broadcasters?” said Nexstar Chief Executive Officer Perry Sook , whose Irving, Texas-based company owns or provides services to 62 stations. “When the snowstorm hit Washington, did people rush to an iPhone app to find out what was going on? No, they turned to their local broadcasters.” Washington’s biggest snowfall in more than a century may not be enough to sway the FCC. The agency’s plan to improve U.S. broadband Internet services calls for the government to reclaim about 40 percent of broadcasters’ spectrum, which the commission says is possible because it is largely unused now. The government would compensate them with an unspecified share of the auction proceeds, which may total as much as $27 billion, according to Brattle Group in Washington. More Mobile TV The prospect has done little to appease broadcasters. “I applaud the FCC’s goal of wanting a broadband solution for the country, but I personally believe mobile-TV has to be part of that,” Brandon Burgess , CEO of West Palm Beach, Florida-based Ion Media, told a group of reporters this month. His company owns or operates 60 U.S. TV stations. Broadcasters are counting on mobile TV to supplement their audiences and advertising sales. Local TV ad revenue plunged 24 percent last year, to $12 billion, triple the pace of the drop in national network spending, according to data from New York- based ad tracker Kantar Media. The four companies represent 207 of the more than 1,700 TV stations across the U.S. Their concerns reflect broader resistance to the FCC’s plan, said Dennis Wharton , spokesman for the National Association of Broadcasters, the Washington-based trade group that represents broadcasters including ABC and NBC. Possible Clash? “I haven’t heard one broadcaster say ‘I’m interested in giving back my spectrum,’” Wharton said. Instead, they’re pushing for the government to give up its own underused airwaves. The opposition sets up a clash with the FCC as the Senate prepares for hearings on the broadband proposal in April. FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski said Feb. 24 that the country’s goal, after falling behind Japan and Korea in land-line broadband service, should be to lead the world in wireless Internet service. Currently there isn’t enough spectrum to meet demand, he has said. AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson concurs. He said this month that high-quality wireless Internet service will only be possible with more airwaves. Spokeswoman Claudia Jones declined to comment beyond his remarks, made at the CTIA wireless industry trade show in Las Vegas. “It is clear that we need to make more effective use of broadcast spectrum, and that we need to find a way to put a significant amount of this spectrum to use for mobile broadband,” Steve Largent , CEO of CTIA, said in an e-mailed statement. “The chairman’s approach is a significant step in that direction.” Slicing Up Spectrum The FCC’s plan still needs Congressional approval. In the wake of the NAB’s lobbying, House Energy and Commerce Communications Subcommittee Chairman Rick Boucher and Senator Olympia Snowe have said they support the broadcasters. The broadcasters probably will ultimately surrender most of the spectrum the FCC seeks, said Rebecca Arbogast , an analyst at Stifel Nicolaus & Co. in Washington. “The writing is pretty clear on the wall,” said Arbogast. “There’s such a tremendous appetite for wireless broadband right now, and it’s less clear that there’s an appetite for traditional broadcasters.” Seizing the broadcasters’ spectrum won’t disrupt existing TV services, the FCC said, and only 10 percent of the U.S. population watches free TV using an antenna. The agency expects to attract “sufficient broadcaster participation,” said Jen Howard , a spokeswoman at the FCC. No Interference U.S. airwaves can transmit everything from television signals and mobile-phone calls to FM radio and military communications. The airwaves are sliced into different frequencies, or bands, for specific uses so your phone call doesn’t interfere with a top-secret spy mission. Today, about 300 megahertz of spectrum has been set aside for free over-the-air television. According to the broadband plan, if no broadcasters come forward, the FCC may raise the fees it charges them and prod broadcasters into condensing some of their channels to clear spectrum for broadband. Broadcasters say they won’t concede easily. “To give up our spectrum, in my way of thinking, puts us out of business,” said Nexstar’s Sook. To contact the reporter on this story: Kelly Riddell in Washington at kriddell1@bloomberg.net .

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Dagestan Suicide Bombings Kill At Least 13 People in Wake of Moscow Blasts

March 31, 2010

By Anastasia Ustinova March 31 (Bloomberg) — A suicide bomber disguised as a police officer killed at least six law enforcement personnel and four civilians in the southern Dagestan region after a first explosion killed three other officers. The first blast destroyed a police car at about 8:40 a.m. in the city of Kizlyar, killing the three officers inside, the regional Interior Ministry said on its Web site today. About 30 minutes later, when investigators were working at the scene, the suicide bomber walked up to them and detonated his explosives belt, killing the local police chief, among others. The blasts in Dagestan, located in Russia’s mostly Muslim North Caucasus region, came two days after female suicide bombers killed at least 39 people in attacks on the Moscow subway. To contact the reporters on this story: Anastasia Ustinova in Moscow at austinova@bloomberg.net

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Shell, Total, Chevron Chase `Impossible’ Sales in Race to Cut Oil Refining

March 31, 2010

By Brian Swint and Brett Foley March 31 (Bloomberg) — Oil companies may struggle to unload their excess refining capacity in Europe this year as profits from turning crude into fuel stay depressed. Total SA, Royal Dutch Shell Plc and Chevron Corp. are seeking to sell refineries in Europe after the recession reduced demand. Eni SpA Chief Executive Officer Paolo Scaroni said this month it’s “impossible” to find buyers after refining profit margins slumped to a 15-year low in December. The desire to cut capacity highlights oil companies’ shift toward China and India for growth as demand for fuel slips in Europe and North America. BP Plc Chief Executive Officer Tony Hayward , whose company sold at least 10 refineries in the past decade, has said that mature markets will never again consume as much gasoline as they did in 2007. “It will be very difficult to get a decent price, there are just too many sellers,” said Gudmund Halle Isfeldt , an Oslo-based analyst at DnB NOR ASA, Norway’s largest bank. “Both the U.S. and Europe are in structural decline when it comes to these products. The refining market will be difficult for the next three years.” The International Energy Agency on March 12 raised its forecast for fuel demand growth in developing countries, led by China and India, to 41.2 million barrels a day and cut its prediction for Europe and the U.S. That’s why Shell and BP have considered joining China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., known as Sinopec , in investing in new refineries in the world’s fastest- growing major economy. Dismantle Dunkirk Total SA said March 11 it intends sell a European refinery outside of France with a capacity of about 200,000 barrels a day. The company will shut and dismantle a 137,000 barrel-a-day refinery near Dunkirk, France in its effort to trim confining capacity by about 20 percent. OAO Gazprom Neft , the oil unit of Russia’s natural-gas exporter, said March 28 that it doesn’t plan to buy Total’s U.K. Lindsey refinery after the Sunday Times of London reported that it was up for sale. If buyers can’t be found, companies can close them, use them for storage or wait to sell until refining becomes more profitable. Shell, which has been negotiating with India’s Essar Oil Ltd. since August to sell three refineries in Europe, said this month it may convert others into terminals. Eni said last month that its Livorno refinery is no longer for sale after it had been on the market for more than a year. ‘Lowball Bid’ “Sellers, especially the majors, aren’t going to panic and hit a lowball bid,” said Ryan Kauppila , a refining analyst at Nomura International Plc. “But there is an opportunity for willing buyers to acquire assets at very attractive prices. We’ll see some transactions by year-end.” PetroChina Co. , the world’s biggest company by market value, may acquire Ineos Group Holdings Plc’s Grangemouth facility in Scotland, Chairman Jang Jiemin said on March 5. The company will spend at least $60 million in the next decade on overseas acquisitions, he said this week. “The ones that people will want to buy tend to be coastal refineries with lots of storage capacity,” said Lydia Rainforth , an analyst at Barclays Capital in London. “The smaller, less efficient capacity will have to shut and will get moved over toward the Middle East and Asia.” Valero Energy Corp., the largest U.S. independent refiner, said March 9 it will consider buying the Pembroke refinery in Wales that Chevron Corp. said it plans to sell. At the same time, Valero is selling assets in the U.S. Delaware City The company is in “advanced” negotiations to sell its closed refinery in Delaware City, Delaware, to PBF Investments LLC, the investment arm of Petroplus Holdings AG, Valero said Jan. 22. PBF is a partnership with private equity firms Blackstone Group and First Reserve Corp. “Refinery valuations in the U.S. have fallen further than they have here in Europe, so we may have further to drop here before people start buying,” said David Waring , head of oil and gas banking at Lexicon Partners in London. “Sellers are still not being realistic about expectations on price.” Sellers may improve their bargaining position if profitability continues to pick up. Margins for turning crude into fuels rose 98 percent to $2.95 per barrel in the quarter to March 25, according to BP’s Global Indicator Margin. That compares with the 15-year low of $1.49 in the fourth quarter and $6.20 in the first quarter of last year. “Margins can be strong for a period of time, but it’s a very seasonal and very cyclical industry,” said Barclays’s Rainforth. “Companies are taking this decision because they think we’re not going back to the golden age of refining.” To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Swint in London at bswint@bloomberg.net ; Brett Foley in London at bfoley8@bloomberg.net .

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Greek Budget Crisis Adds $17.5 Billion to Interest on Debt Sold This Year

March 31, 2010

By Matthew Brown March 31 (Bloomberg) — Greece may pay about 13 billion euros ($17.5 billion) more in interest on the debt it sells this year than it would have if yields had stayed at their pre-crisis levels relative to Germany’s, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank. Interest on the three bonds it sold this year, including a seven-year note offered this week, will amount to 7.7 billion euros over the life of the securities, compared with 3.8 billion euros if they had sold them at the average extra yield, or spread, over German debt that prevailed between 2000 and 2008, the data show. Greece will incur a further 18.9 billion euros of interest on this year’s remaining issuance, compared with 9.4 billion euros before the crisis began, according to Bloomberg calculations based on Credit Agricole data. Greece is struggling to lower its borrowing costs even after the European Union and the International Monetary Fund crafted an aid package that would be triggered if the nation can’t raise sufficient cash from capital markets to cover its financing needs. Prime Minister George Papandreou ’s government, which is seeking to narrow a budget deficit that is more than four times the EU’s limit, must raise as much as 10.5 billion euros by the end of May. “Greece needs to get through its current funding and start growing at a decent rate so this large amount of debt doesn’t snowball,” said Peter Chatwell , a fixed-income strategist at Credit Agricole in London. “The market is currently reflecting disappointment that the seven-year deal didn’t outperform and Greek spreads are likely to stay where they are for now.” Sale Forecast Greece sold 8 billion euros of five-year notes on Jan. 25 to yield 3.81 percentage points more than benchmark German securities of similar maturity, compared with an average spread of 0.26 percentage points before the crisis. It issued 5 billion euros of 10-year bonds yielding 3.25 percentage points more than German debt on March 4, compared with an average 0.34 percentage points. Credit Agricole predicts that this year Greece will sell 8 billion euros of five-year notes, 4 billion euros of 15-year bonds, 8 billion euros of 10-year securities, 3 billion euros of 30-year bonds and 5 billion euros of five-year floating notes. Dollar Bond Greece plans to sell a global bond priced in dollars in late April or early May after a delegation visits the U.S., Petros Christodoulou , director general of the Public Debt Management Agency, said in a Bloomberg TV interview today. Greece must raise 11.6 billion euros in bonds before the end of May after April funding was “taken care of,” Christodoulou said. He declined to say how big the dollar issue might be. Greece’s seven-year notes fell yesterday on the first day of trading, with the yield rising to 6.078 percent from an issue yield of 6.001 percent. Greek bonds fell for a third straight day, pushing the yield on the two-year note up 14 basis points to 5.19 percent as of 9:13 a.m. in London. The 10-year yield rose 4 basis points to 6.56 percent. “We are continuing to muddle our way through the funding hump that Greece has over the next few weeks,” Jim Reid , head of fundamental strategy at Deutsche Bank AG in London, wrote in a note to clients yesterday. “This story will run and run as these levels of funding relative to core Europe aren’t really sustainable.” To contact the reporter on this story: Matthew Brown in London at mbrown42@bloomberg.net

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Asian Stocks Decline on Concern Rally May Overvalue Earnings; Yen Weakens

March 31, 2010

By Will McSheehy and Jonathan Burgos March 31 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks declined on concern a rally this month has overvalued earnings prospects. The yen weakened as signs the global recovery is gathering steam damped demand for Japan’s currency as a refuge. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 0.5 percent to 125.23 as of 4 p.m. in Tokyo after climbing 6 percent this month, the most since July’s 8.4 percent gain. The yen headed for a monthly loss versus all 16 of its major counterparts. Standard & Poor’s 500 futures lost 0.3 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.2 percent to 263.40 as of 8 a.m. in London. “Valuations are about fair following recent gains,” said Daphne Roth , Singapore-based head of Asian equity research at ABN Amro Private Banking, which oversees about $21 billion in the region. “Stocks are not cheap but neither are they expensive. We are still overweight on equities as we believe the global economic recovery is on track.” Rising stocks, a stabilizing housing market and fewer job losses may be giving U.S. households hope that the recovery from the worst recession since the 1930s will be sustained. The Conference Board’s confidence index rose to 52.5 from 46.4 in February, according to data yesterday from the New York research group. Home prices unexpectedly rose in January for an eighth month, an S&P/Case-Shiller index showed. A Bank of Japan survey of large manufacturers, due to be published tomorrow, will probably show business confidence improved for a fourth straight quarter. The Tankan index will climb 11 points in March, according to the median forecast of 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Yen Weakens Japan’s currency dropped to 125.13 per euro as in Tokyo from 124.44 yesterday, when it touched 125.46, the weakest since Feb. 4. The yen slipped to 93.185 per dollar from 92.7. The euro was at $1.3425 per dollar from $1.3414. The European currency has fallen against 14 of its 16 major peers this quarter, including a 6.4 percent decline versus the dollar, amid concern Greece’s debt woes would derail a euro-zone recovery. That would be the currency’s worst performance since an 11 percent drop against the greenback in the three months ended September 2008. Malaysia’s ringgit and Indonesia’s rupiah were poised for their best monthly advances since at least September, rallying as the world’s fastest economic growth attracts funds to Asia. The region’s developing economies will expand 8.4 percent this year, outpacing growth of 2.7 percent in the U.S. and 1 percent in the euro region, the International Monetary Fund forecasts. Overseas Investors The ringgit gained 3.9 percent, Asia’s best performance, as the central bank this month raised its 2010 economic growth forecast for Malaysia to as much as 5.5 percent, from an October estimate of a maximum 3 percent. The rupiah strengthened 2.4 percent as overseas investors pumped $609 million into Indonesian stocks. “As the global economic outlook improves and investor sentiment becomes normal, money will move from low-yielding nations to high-yielding ones,” said Daisuke Ueno , president of Gaitame.Com Research Institute Ltd. in Tokyo. “The bias is for currencies to rise against the yen as risk sentiment picks up.” Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average was little changed and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index sank 0.8 percent in Sydney, where government data released today showed retail sales unexpectedly fell in February. China’s Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.8 percent, extending the worst quarterly drop since entering a bear market in August last year, on concern faster inflation will curb corporate earnings growth. Rising Costs Baoshan Iron & Steel Co ., China’s biggest steelmaker, dropped 2.1 percent, widening its loss for the last three months to 18 percent. Bank of China Ltd. declined 1.8 percent, rounding out a 6 percent first-quarter retreat for the financials index. “The market is worried that corporate earnings growth might peak in the first quarter due to the low base last year and rising costs,” said Wang Zheng , a fund manager at Jingxi Investment Management Co. in Shanghai. The measure lost 5 percent this year as the central bank twice ordered banks to set aside more money as reserves to slow record lending growth. The Shanghai Composite is set to be the fifth-worst performer among 93 indexes globally tracked by Bloomberg, and the worst quarter since the three months ended Sept. 30, when the gauge tumbled more than 20 percent in August. Thailand’s SET Index rose 0.8 percent, extending this month’s gain to 10 percent, the best performer in Asia after Mongolia, which isn’t actively traded. Thai Gains Overseas investors bought a net 48.6 billion baht of Thai stocks in the past 26 days to yesterday, the longest stretch of net buying in more than five years. Investors bought more stocks as the economy recovered and as anti-government protest didn’t turn violent. Exports, which account for 60 percent of the economy, increased in January by the most since July 2008, official data show. “Overseas investors have aggressively poured their money into Thai equities this month as economy is on a strong path of recovery and the political concerns abated,” said Songyos Kulvichien , senior executive vice president at Country Group Securities Pcl, Thailand’s second-biggest stock brokerage by trading volume. “Thai shares are also attractive because of its cheap valuation relative to other markets in the region.” Oil traded little changed above $82 a barrel after rising on signs of increasing U.S. economic growth and as an industry- funded report showed fuel-product supplies declined in the world’s biggest energy consumer. Crude oil for May delivery was at $82.30 a barrel, down 7 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The commodity it poised for a 3.7 percent gain in the first quarter after rising 12 percent in the previous three months. Copper in London has climbed 5.5 percent this quarter, a fifth quarterly increase, reaching $7,878 a ton yesterday, the highest level since August 2008. It lost 1 percent today to $7,770 a ton. Gold for immediate delivery has advanced 0.9 percent in the first three months, a sixth quarterly gain. To contact the reporters on this story: Will McSheehy in Singapore at wmcsheehy@bloomberg.net Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net

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Ireland’s Banks Will Need $43 Billion in Capital After `Appalling’ Lending

March 31, 2010

By Dara Doyle and Colm Heatley March 31 (Bloomberg) — Ireland’s banks need $43 billion in new capital after “appalling” lending decisions left the country’s financial system on the brink of collapse. The fund-raising requirement was announced after the National Asset Management Agency said it will apply an average discount of 47 percent on the first block of loans it is buying from lenders as part of a plan to revive the financial system. The central bank set new capital buffers for Allied Irish Banks Plc and Bank of Ireland Plc and gave them 30 days to say how they will raise the funds. “Our worst fears have been surpassed,” Finance Minister Brian Lenihan said in the parliament in Dublin yesterday. “Irish banking made appalling lending decisions that will cost the taxpayer dearly for years to come.” Dublin-based Allied Irish needs to raise 7.4 billion euros to meet the capital targets, while cross-town rival Bank of Ireland will need 2.66 billion euros. Anglo Irish Bank Corp. , nationalized last year, may need as much 18.3 billion euros. Customer-owned lenders Irish Nationwide and EBS will need 2.6 billion euros and 875 million euros, respectively. ‘Truly Shocking’ The asset agency aims to cleanse banks of toxic loans, the legacy of plunging real-estate prices and the country’s deepest recession. In all, it will buy loans with a book value of 80 billion euros ($107 billion), about half the size of the economy. Lenihan said the information from NAMA on the banks was “truly shocking.” “The regulator is taking the bank system by the scruff of the neck,” said James Forbes , senior equity strategist at Irish Life Investment Managers in Dublin. “Allied Irish has a lot of work to do to avoid majority state ownership, Bank of Ireland less so.” Allied Irish rose 10 percent to 1.37 euros as of 9:06 a.m. in Dublin. Bank of Ireland surged 26 percent to 1.62 euros. Credit-default swaps insuring both banks’ debts declined. Allied Irish will sell its stakes in banks in the U.S. and Poland and said late yesterday this will meet a “substantial part” of its capital needs. It also plans a share sale. Bank of Ireland said today it’s working to fill the capital deficit after posting a net loss of 1.46 billion euros in the nine months through December 2009. The lender expects to be able to raise most of the new capital privately, Chief Executive Officer Richie Boucher said. Capital Target Lenders must have an 8 percent core Tier 1 capital ratio, a key measure of financial strength, by the end of the year, according to the regulator. The equity core Tier 1 capital must increase to 7 percent. AIB’s equity core tier 1 ratio stood at 5 percent at the end of 2009 and Bank of Ireland’s at 5.3 percent. Those ratios exclude a government investment of 3.5 billion euros in each bank, made at the start of 2009. “The banks are undergoing major surgery via NAMA,” financial regulator Matthew Elderfield said at a press conference in Dublin. “They need a transfusion now to speed their recovery and that of the economy.” Credit-default swaps insuring Allied Irish Bank’s debt against default fell 6.5 basis points to 195.5, according to CMA DataVision prices at 8:45 a.m. Contracts protecting Bank of Ireland’s debt fell 7 basis points to 191 and swaps linked to Anglo Irish Bank’s bonds were down 3.5 basis points at 347.5. Credit-default swaps pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent should a company fail to adhere to its debt agreements. A decline signals improving perceptions of credit quality. State Aid If Allied Irish can’t raise enough funds privately, the state will step in with aid, Lenihan said. It is “probable” the government will then end up with a majority stake, he said. The banks “are in a better position today, but we also have to be cautious about thinking we are done and dusted here,” Forbes said. Ireland may not be able to afford to pump more money into the banks. The budget deficit widened to 11.7 percent of gross domestic product last year, almost four times the European Union limit, and the government spent the past year trying to convince investors the state is in control of its finances. The premium investors charge to hold Irish 10-year debt over the German equivalent was at 139 basis points today compared with 284 basis points in March 2009, a 16-year high. Ireland’s debt agency said it doesn’t envisage additional borrowing this year related to the bank recapitalization. It is sticking to its 2010 bond issuance forecast of about 20 billion euros, head of funding Oliver Whelan said in an interview. “The bank losses, awful as they are, represent a one-off hit. It’s water under the bridge,” said Ciaran O’Hagan , a Paris-based fixed-income strategist at Societe Generale SA. “What’s of more concern for investors in government bonds is the budget deficit. Slashing the chronic overspending and raising taxation by the Irish state is vital.” To contact the reporters on this story: Dara Doyle in Dublin at ddoyle1@bloomberg.net ; Colm Heatley in Belfast at cheatley@bloomberg.net

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JLL Hires Leading Multifamily Team to Further Expand Apts., Capital Markets Business

March 31, 2010

Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL) announced its second set of major new hires in as many weeks as it pursues an aggressive strategy of bolstering its capital markets practice. This time, JLL tapped veteran investment brokers Al Cissel and Scott Melnick…

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Buffett Meeting Means Airlines Charge More to Visit Omaha Than Tour Paris

March 30, 2010
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Irish Banks Appalling Lending Puts Them in $43 Billion Hole

March 30, 2010
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Losing Kennedy Made Obama Find Health-Care Law in Homage to Undying Cause

March 30, 2010

By Kristin Jensen and Edwin Chen March 31 (Bloomberg) — Five days after President Barack Obama ’s inauguration, Tom Daschle requested a meeting with the new president. Daschle, tapped to become Health and Human Services secretary, wanted a commitment that Obama still planned to pursue an overhaul of the health-care system. Top advisers, from Vice President Joe Biden to members of his economic team, were pushing Obama to wait and focus instead on the recession. As Daschle, 62, and Obama huddled in White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel ’s office on the president’s first Sunday in office, Obama assured him the issue was a major priority. “I said, ‘Well, I just need to know: Is this as important to you as you said it was when you asked me to do the job?’” recalled Daschle, who later had to withdraw his nomination over a tax controversy. “And he said, ‘Let me tell you, this is even more important to me.’” That Obama chose to stake his presidency on the U.S. health overhaul will define his legacy even as he risked the careers of many fellow Democrats in doing so. Republicans are now vowing to work toward repeal and make Democrats pay at the polls in November, ensuring that the president will spend almost as much time defending the legislation as he did getting it passed. Obama’s pursuit of health care reflected his desire to succeed where no other president had, as much as a determination to seize the chance to fix a broken system, according to Daschle. “Once committed, he felt he just couldn’t afford to lose,” Daschle said last week. Biggest Since Medicare When Obama, 48, signed the last piece of the legislation yesterday, he cemented the biggest changes to the health system since the 1965 creation of the Medicare insurance program for the elderly. He also brought to a close a year-long fight in which he gambled his presidency and came out on top. The health-care initiative would be marked by missed deadlines and political missteps. Obama rewrote the rules for an industry covering one-sixth of the economy on a partisan basis with public support eroding. He and Democratic leaders revived the effort through legislative crises, party infighting, and opposition from Republicans determined to make it his downfall. “If we’re able to stop Obama on this, it will be his Waterloo,” South Carolina Senator James DeMint said in July. Former Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin warned of “ death panels ” stemming from a provision for end-of-life counseling. The Tea Party movement mobilized voters to confront Democrats at town-hall meetings in August, which drew so much attention they almost sank the bill. Sagging in Polls Polls showed the legislation had become unpopular, and Obama drew the ire of lawmakers in his own party. Many complained that he failed to provide direction at key junctures, shifted his rationale for the bill, and had made a campaign promise to air negotiations on C-Span that was coming back to haunt them because it was impossible to keep. In the end, the insurance industry, which fought Obama’s plans, offered what may have been his biggest boost by doing what he had said it would do: A WellPoint Inc. unit proposed a 39 percent rate increase for some California customers. Still, the deals that had to be cut meant that no one was completely happy with the final product, which Republicans said didn’t come close to putting a dent in rising U.S. health-care costs , already the highest in the world. “We have a bill that is chock full of gimmicks and hidden mandates,” said Representative Paul Ryan , a Wisconsin Republican, before the House’s March 21 vote to approve the measure. “The European-style social welfare state promoted by this legislation is not sustainable.” Significant Changes Democrats focused on the potential for significant changes down the road. They argued that free preventive care would mean less serious health problems; pilot programs designed to change the way Medicare operates would have larger ramifications for the system; and about 32 million uninsured Americans would get coverage. Over the past year, Obama and his aides liked to repeat a prediction credited to White House congressional liaison Phil Schiliro : The health-care effort would be “pronounced dead” four or five times before passage. They were right. The prospects began to look grim enough last summer that Emanuel suggested the president consider a scaled-back version and declare victory, according to one person with knowledge of the discussions. Obama said no. ‘Dead’ The worst day for the White House may well have been Jan. 19, when Democrats were stunned by the loss of a special election to fill a Massachusetts seat that had been held by the late Senator Edward Kennedy for 47 years. The party had been close to finishing a House-Senate compromise bill. Now, Republicans controlled 41 seats in the Senate, enough to kill the plan to push the new measure through both chambers. “Dead,” White House health policy adviser Zeke Emanuel wrote in response to an e-mail days later asking about the bill’s prospects. “F—–g dead.” Obama was already talking about the next steps even before the polls closed the night of the election, meeting with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in the Oval Office. Eventually, they would hit on a compromise: The House would pass the Senate bill and both chambers would pass another measure making changes to it. Emanuel, 52, the brother of Rahm Emanuel, said the mood soon turned around as the way forward became clear. The one thing that never wavered was Obama’s determination, said Emanuel as well as others in the White House and on Capitol Hill. “You’re the guy that made it happen,” Biden, 67, said to Obama before the president signed the first of two pieces of health-care legislation into law on March 23. Pessimism At the beginning, Biden and other top aides were pessimistic. They urged him to avoid making health care a top priority in the face of the worst economic recession in seven decades, two wars and the likelihood that special interests would fight any effort to overhaul the system. During one meeting soon after Inauguration Day, Biden said Americans didn’t care enough about health-care coverage to make it a priority, said two people involved in the discussions. Rahm Emanuel, 50, and senior adviser David Axelrod voiced caution, according to three people involved, who like others in this story spoke on condition of anonymity. “I had a whole bunch of political advisers telling me, this may not be the smartest thing to do,” Obama remembered a year later as he spoke in Elyria, Ohio, on Jan. 22. “I had no illusions when I took this on that this was going to be hard. Seven presidents had tried it, seven Congresses had tried it — and all of them had failed.” Obama had been persuaded by the data he had seen and the stories he heard from Americans. He also knew it was the lifelong cause of Kennedy, the Democratic Party icon who had given Obama’s political fortunes an early boost in the presidential primary fight against Hillary Clinton . Not Scoring Points That day in Ohio — three days after the loss of Kennedy’s seat — Obama said he was fighting on because the status quo was unsustainable. He cited soaring medical costs and premiums, Americans without insurance and struggling small businesses. “I didn’t take this on to score political points,” he said. Once Obama decided, his team fell in line. Biden’s chief of staff, Ron Klain , said his boss was “working to bring outside allies on board, and personally persuading key senators and congressmen to support the effort at critical moments — including the close vote on final passage in the House.” A year earlier, it was Daschle himself who set back the timetable as word trickled out that he had to file amended returns and pay $140,000 in back taxes and interest for unreported income. On Feb. 3, 2009, he withdrew his nomination, saying he didn’t want to prove a “distraction.” Missing Kennedy As a former Senate Democratic leader with relationships throughout Congress, Daschle was positioned to head the effort. Obama could ill-afford to lose him as he was already working without the legislative skills of Kennedy, who was suffering from brain cancer and would die at age 77 on Aug. 25. To win passage, a minority of more conservative Democrats overcame the majority’s desire for a government-run insurance program, or public option, that many said was the best way to reduce costs for average Americans. The White House team had studied the failed health-care push in 1993 and 1994 by former President Bill Clinton and his wife, Hillary, now secretary of state. Bill Clinton underlined the continuity of the effort when he stood in for Obama to speak at the Washington Gridiron Dinner on March 20, the night before the House vote, so the president could lobby lawmakers. The former president, who jokingly invoked the words of General Douglas MacArthur by saying, “I shall return,” about his visit to the capital, urged Congress to pass the bill. Winning Over Companies One lesson from the Clinton failure on health care was to try to win the support of health-care companies, many of whom helped destroy the earlier attempt. Obama cut deals with drugmakers and hospitals, ensuring a limited impact on their profits in return for specific dollar contributions to the overhaul effort and a pledge of support. Another lesson they drew was to leave the drafting of the legislation largely to Congress, Axelrod, 55, said in a July interview. That strategy backfired with some lawmakers. Iowa Senator Tom Harkin , 70, the Democratic chairman of the health committee, said Obama should have been more assertive. “The White House took a hands-off position until right before Christmas,” Harkin said in a Jan. 22 interview. “Maybe if they had gotten involved earlier we wouldn’t be in this mess.” ‘Lot of Grousing’ During summer months filled with protests and shouting at congressional town-hall meetings, Axelrod said he went to see Obama and told him, “The polls are difficult and there’s a lot of grousing on the Hill about it, and this is going to cost a lot politically in the short run.” “I know you’re right,” the president said, Axelrod recalled in a March 23 interview on the “ Charlie Rose Show.” Axelrod said Obama then told a story about a woman he had just met in Wisconsin with ovarian cancer. While the married mother of two had insurance, the policy didn’t cover her treatments, and the family was slowly going broke. Axelrod recalled that Obama patted him on the shoulder and said: “So, you know what? We’ve got to keep on fighting.” That September, Democrats came back shaken from encountering angry constituents during the August recess. Obama tried to revive the legislation and address some misconceptions with a Sept. 9 speech to a joint session of Congress. End of Bipartisanship Senator Bob Corker , a Tennessee Republican, said he saw a hardening by Democrats, tracing the end of bipartisanship to that address. Rahm Emanuel called Corker at home the weekend before and said “listen to the speech.” That night, Emanuel sat four rows ahead of Corker and could see he wasn’t applauding much. “He motioned for me to call him on the cell phone, which I did,” Corker, 57, recalled. “I told him that speech is the kind of speech you might hear in an Iowa primary or something. It had nothing to do with advancing policy, it was about consolidating the base.” There were efforts at bipartisanship, even if the prospects of success were slim. The most notable was the group known as the Gang of Six put together by Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus and his Republican counterpart, Senator Charles Grassley of Iowa. The group met 31 times over 63 hours and much of their work became the basis for the final legislation: They had decided against a public option; it didn’t make the final law. Instead of a straight employer mandate to provide insurance to workers, the final bill used Baucus’s model for penalties on certain companies. The group had moved toward medical industry fees and a tax on high-end insurance plans. Both made the bill. Building Blocks “At the very least, Democrats figured out how much reform their caucus could tolerate,” said Jennifer Duffy , a senior editor at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report in Washington. “At best, the group provided the building blocks of what would become the Senate bill.” That none of the Gang of Six Republicans signed on to the legislation reflects the deep political divide in Washington. On Sept. 16, when Baucus, 68, of Montana finally presented his plan, it was under his own name. Standing alone against a red, white and blue backdrop in Room 215 of the Dirksen Senate Office Building, he lacked the usual phalanx of back-slapping lawmakers involved in such moments. This, he said, “is a bill that can pass.” For the Senate, the following months were filled with special deals and arm-twisting. Reid, 70, needed every one of his Democrats to support the bill and used anyone he could to help. Courting Lincoln Rahm Emanuel asked Hillary Clinton to make dozens of phone calls to lawmakers, said two people familiar with the effort. Biden worked on Arkansas Senator Blanche Lincoln , 49, a friend from his years in the Senate, according to two people with knowledge of the meeting. Lincoln won assurances the bill would be made available to the public for three days before a vote. Louisiana Senator Mary Landrieu , 54, got what she called a “fix” of almost $300 million to help her hurricane-ravaged state fund the Medicaid health program for the poor. To secure the vote of Nebraska Senator Ben Nelson , 68, a former director of the Nebraska Department of Insurance, Reid promised not to include a provision repealing the insurance industry’s antitrust exemption. ‘Cornhusker Kickback’ Reid would have to add another sweetener — special aid for Nebraska’s Medicaid program later dubbed the “Cornhusker Kickback.” And on Dec. 18, he would spend 13 hours wooing Nelson and satisfying him that federal funds wouldn’t be used for abortion, with the help of White House aide Pete Rouse and New York Senator Chuck Schumer . The Senate passed its legislation on Dec. 24, and final approval of a House-Senate compromise looked on track until the Jan. 19 election in Massachusetts. Immediately after Scott Brown ’s victory, House members rebelled at the idea of simply passing the Senate bill, and Pelosi on Jan. 21 said she couldn’t get it through her chamber without changes. At one point, she said she was 63 votes short, according to a person with knowledge of the discussions. Obama took the fight behind closed doors, outwardly focusing on other issues while holding meetings to get health care done. California Rate Hike Within days, the announcement by WellPoint’s Anthem Blue Cross subsidiary in California to raise rates provided new fodder for a White House that billed the legislation as “health insurance reform.” That moment crystallized the fight, said Nancy-Ann DeParle , who ran the overhaul effort for the White House. “Anthem raising the rates in California was like, you must be kidding,” Pelosi said in a March 23 roundtable with seven reporters. “Thank you very much. That’s horrible for the people of California, but it’s great for the passage of our bill.” Democrats came up with a plan. First, the House would pass the Senate bill and then it would approve another bill to fix the things House members didn’t like. The Senate would also take up that second bill under a budget process called reconciliation that only required a simple majority vote. Obama’s Campaign Obama started a lobbying campaign, holding 64 meetings or phone calls with lawmakers between March 15 and March 19. He had no tougher or more effective ally than Pelosi. At one House Democratic caucus, shortly before the showdown votes, tempers flared as some members complained that neither the Senate nor the White House could be trusted, according to a person with knowledge of the meeting. “Do you trust me?” Pelosi replied, changing the tone. New York Representative Anthony Weiner said Pelosi, 70, told the members, “The Senate is going to go along because I am telling you I am going to make sure they go along.” By the time the House passed the Senate bill along with the other measure making changes, it was clear the Democrats would win. Obama had his victory. “When I spoke to him after the vote, he said that he was happier after the vote than he was the night that he won the presidency,” Pelosi said at the March 23 roundtable. “And I said, well, I’m pretty happy, but I’m not happier than the night he won the presidency because if you hadn’t won the presidency, we wouldn’t be here.” To contact the reporters on this story: Kristin Jensen in Washington at kjensen@bloomberg.net ; Edwin Chen in Washington at echen32@bloomberg.net

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Obama, Sarkozy Unified on Push for New UN Sanctions on Iran ‘Within Weeks’

March 30, 2010

By Helene Fouquet and Julianna Goldman March 31 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama and French President Nicolas Sarkozy said they’re unified over new sanctions if Iran fails to rein in its nuclear ambitions, and Obama said the United Nations may agree on the new steps “within weeks.” “The door remains open if the Iranians choose to walk through it,” Obama said at a joint news conference with Sarkozy at the White House yesterday. “In the interim we are going to move forcefully on a UN sanctions regime.” Sarkozy said France and other European nations will support stronger action at the UN. “The time has come to make decisions,” he said. “Iran cannot continue its mad race.” Obama said the U.S. and its partners still don’t have unanimous support for tougher sanctions and “that’s something we have to work on.” Both Russia and China hold a veto at the UN Security Council and have sent conflicting signals about punishing Iran, holder of the world’s second-biggest oil and gas reserves. The U.S. president suggested that some nations may be reluctant to impose sanctions because of Iran’s role as an energy supplier. Commercial Interests “There are a lot of countries around the world that, regardless of Iran’s offenses, are thinking that their commercial interests are more important to them than these long- term geopolitical interests,” Obama said. Still, he said, “We think we can get sanctions within weeks.” Obama and Sarkozy discussed the possibility for other measures if the UN sanctions aren’t strong enough, a French official told a reporters’ briefing on condition of anonymity. That’s not the favored solution, the official said, giving no details of what may be under consideration. Group of Eight foreign ministers, meeting in Canada, in a statement earlier yesterday, said actions by Iran have deepened “serious doubts” about the peaceful nature of the country’s nuclear program. They said they are prepared to take “strong steps” to show resolve on the issue. The statement fell short of calling for sanctions against Iran. Canadian Foreign Minister Lawrence Cannon and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said it wasn’t the meeting’s objective to agree on sanctions because that issue should be resolved at the UN Security Council. “It’s important to underscore that the negotiating forum we are all focused on is” the Security Council, Clinton said at a joint press conference. Regulations, Afghanistan Obama and Sarkozy said their meeting also included discussions about the global economic recovery, financial market regulations, the Middle East, Afghanistan and a potential bid by European Aeronautic, Defence & Space Co. to build aerial refueling tankers for the U.S. military. On regulatory overhaul, both leaders praised each another’s efforts to rewrite rules governing financial institutions and pledged to work together on globally coordinated efforts. “I will continue to work with President Sarkozy and other world leaders to coordinate our efforts, because we want to make sure that whatever steps we’re taking, they are occurring on both sides of the Atlantic,” Obama said. Sarkozy said the U.S. would work “hand-in-hand” on financial rules “so that we not go back to what we have already experienced.” Group of 20 Obama, Sarkozy and other world leaders are working as part of the Group of 20 on rules to govern international banks after the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Financial companies have written down or lost $1.76 trillion since the crisis began in 2007, according to Bloomberg data. Ahead of the group’s next summit in Toronto in June, Sarkozy, Obama, U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown , Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper and South Korean President Lee Myung Bak sent a letter to their G-20 counterparts, saying more work is required “to restore the soundness of some global banks’ balance sheets.” On Afghanistan, Sarkozy said the war in that country is crucial to global security and the allies battling the Taliban there “cannot lose.” “We support President Obama’s strategy,” he said. Obama, who made an unannounced visit to Afghanistan March 28, has asked North Atlantic Treaty Organization countries to contribute more resources to the eight-year-old war. French Deployment Since April 2008, France has almost doubled the number of its troops there, deploying them to the troubled east of the country. France’s 3,750 troops are the fourth largest contingent in NATO’s-led Afghan mission. Sarkozy has repeatedly said France has increased its forces enough, though he has promised to send more trainers. Obama said he told Sarkozy that the process for selecting bids for the aerial refueling tanker contract will be “free and fair.” The Defense Department is reviewing a request by EADS to extend by 90 days the period for bidders to submit proposals for the $35 billion contract. EADS’s U.S. partner, Los Angeles-based Northrop Grumman Corp. , dropped out on March 8, saying the rules gave an advantage to a smaller plane offered by Chicago-based Boeing Co ., the only other contender. Obama said the decision will be up to U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates , who has vowed to make the process “completely transparent.” Sarkozy said he told Obama that he trusts the U.S. president’s word on the process for reviewing bids. “Of course we talked about it,” the French president said. “But I said to him I trust you. And I do trust him.” Ben’s Chili Bowl Obama took time at the joint press conference to make light of Sarkozy’s lunch earlier at Ben’s Chili Bowl , a Washington institution known for half-smokes and chili-dogs. Sarkozy ate there with his family. Obama, who himself has been to Ben’s as president, thanked Sarkozy for sampling the local cuisine. Sarkozy joked that when Obama returns, beneath a giant picture of the U.S. president will be a new wall hanging. “When I walked in, I saw a huge photograph of President Obama,” Sarkozy said. “And I’m afraid that when you go back to that restaurant, you may see a smaller photograph of the French president.” To contact the reporters on this story: Julianna Goldman in Washington at jgoldman6@bloomberg.net ; Helene Fouquet in Washington via Hfouquet1@bloomberg.net

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Obama to Propose Allowing Oil, Gas Drilling in Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico

March 30, 2010

By Nicholas Johnston and Kim Chipman March 31 (Bloomberg) — U.S. President Barack Obama will today announce proposals to allow oil and natural-gas drilling off U.S. coastlines in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico when he delivers a speech on energy security. Obama will propose allowing exploration off the coast of Virginia and, if a Congressional moratorium is lifted, in the Gulf of Mexico 125 miles (201 kilometers) off the coast of Florida, according to an administration official speaking on the condition of anonymity. The new policies are designed to reduce the nation’s dependence on foreign oil and create jobs while taking environmental risks into account, the official said. Obama is providing his most detailed comments to date on coastal drilling, a topic that has long divided lawmakers and now threatens to derail efforts to reach a compromise on climate-change legislation. Democratic senators such as Bill Nelson of Florida have said they won’t support a bill providing for unlimited exploration, while U.S. oil companies press to increase domestic exploration. “Our member companies are very interested in access and want to see areas opened up,” said Randall Luthi , president of the National Ocean Industries Association. The Washington-based trade group represents companies in the offshore energy industry, such as Irving, Texas-based Exxon Mobil Corp. Ban Expired A federal ban on drilling off the East and West Coasts and in parts of Alaska expired in 2008. Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell , a Republican, supports offshore drilling off his state and this month signed legislation on how to distribute royalty revenue from energy production. Under Obama’s proposal the Department of the Interior will allow drilling 50 miles off the coast of Virginia and open up the rest of the outer continental shelf in the south- and mid- Atlantic to oil exploration, the official said. In Alaska, Obama is proposing to cancel leasing in Bristol Bay, and cancel sales in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas to allow for further scientific study, the official said. A sale in Cook Inlet will proceed. Along with the announcement on offshore drilling, Obama will announce a final rule on increased fuel efficiency standards for cars and the purchase by the federal government of 5,000 hybrid cars and trucks. To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Johnston in Washington at njohnston3@bloomberg.net ; Kim Chipman in Washington at KChipman@bloomberg.net

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Australia’s Stevens Invokes God, Says `Greed and Fear’ Exacerbated Crisis

March 30, 2010

By Michael Heath March 31 (Bloomberg) — Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens , who will decide next week whether to raise interest rates for the fifth time in six meetings, said he draws on his faith to help him do his job. “If you’re a Christian, God has given you certain capabilities to do a job,” Stevens told the Wesley Mission ’s Easter Breakfast in Sydney today, where he spoke on faith and finance. “And the Bible teaches that you should do that as if you’re doing it for Him, because you are.” Stevens said he was brought up in a home with strong Christian parents and that he came to a “position of faith” in his early teens. He told an audience including former Prime Minister John Howard that “greed and fear” had exacerbated the global financial crisis. “Human behavior is characterized by alternately greed and fear, and therefore economic systems are occasionally prone to this kind of instability,” he said. “Hopefully, on future occasions the excesses before the downturn will be smaller than they were on this occasion.” Stevens, an amateur pilot who was promoted to governor from his role as deputy in 2006, led the world in raising interest rates three times last quarter and was the first Group of 20 policy maker to increase borrowing costs in 2010. The central bank’s next monetary policy statement is due April 6. In his first television interview since taking the helm four years ago, Stevens this week described the anxiety he felt before the October 2008 announcement of a 1 percentage point cut in the benchmark interest rate, the biggest since 1992. ‘Inherent Unpredictability’ “My heart was in my mouth as I watched this unfold because there’s an inherent unpredictability about these reactions, you never quite know exactly how it will be taken,” he told Channel Seven’s Sunrise program, concerned about the impact on the currency. The Australian dollar recovered after an initial drop and the governor was vindicated. Stevens is not new to controversy. In 2007, he raised interest rates during an election campaign, destroying then Prime Minister Howard’s boast about his government’s record of keeping borrowing costs low. In April 2008, he was criticized by politicians, retailers, one of his predecessors and newspapers for raising rates too far too fast and risking a recession. The governor said in the interview that while he enjoys his job “most days, there’s been the odd day where it was not quite so much fun.” Stevens, 52, a father of two, also expressed concern in the interview about house prices in Australia. “I’ve got kids that within not too many years are going to want somewhere of their own to live and you wonder how is that going to be afforded.” ‘Spec Rubbish’ The governor has described his home in the southern Sydney suburb of Sylvania Waters as “a piece of spec rubbish built in the 1970s.” Stevens joined the Reserve Bank as a 22-year-old economist. He progressed through the ranks, serving as an assistant governor and then deputy under his predecessor, Ian Macfarlane , before being appointed to the top job in 2006 when his boss retired. “I joined the bank in 1980 after I finished my degree, thinking I’d be here for a few years,” he said today. “Thirty years later, I am still there.” The Wesley Mission’s community includes people who are homeless, mentally ill, disabled, aged, and the lonely, hurt and fragile, according to a statement on its Web site. Long Tradition “Easter Breakfast is part of a long tradition at Wesley Mission, bringing together members of the business community, parishioners and Wesley Mission to share in a meal and reflect upon the hope and the new beginning of Easter,” said Reverend Keith Garner, superintendent of the mission. The Australian central bank governor isn’t the only senior official to speak publicly of his faith. The Wall Street Journal cited former U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson as saying in his memoir that, exhausted and stressed-out during the height of the global financial crisis, he wrestled with taking a sleeping pill, a move that would have violated his religious beliefs. He instead flushed it down the toilet, deciding “to rely on prayer, placing my trust in a higher power.” To contact the reporter for this story: Michael Heath in Sydney at mheath1@bloomberg.net .

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Roubini Says India Needs `Massive Capital’ to Catch China Economic Growth

March 30, 2010

By Rajhkumar K Shaaw March 31 (Bloomberg) — India has a “massive” need for capital to catch China’s growth rate and fully benefit from a global shift in economic power to emerging markets, said Nouriel Roubini , the economist who predicted the financial crisis. “China has been a hare and India a tortoise but growth is accelerating in India,” Roubini said yesterday. “There is a massive need for both human and physical capital.” As the U.S., Europe and Japan struggle to recover from the worst recession since World War II, India’s main stock- market index has soared over the last 12 months and its economy may grow 8.2 percent in the year starting April 1, the fastest in two years, the finance ministry said in February. Chinese gross domestic product grew 10.7 percent in the three months through December, the quickest pace since the fourth quarter of 2007. Emerging markets are set for a V-shaped recovery, and the positive aspect about India is that its economy is less dependent on exports compared with China, Roubini said. India requires “physical capital in the form of infrastructure that can be provided by both by public and private investments or private-public partnerships,” Roubini said. The South Asian nation also needs to invest in human capital, innovation and land reform and “maintain social stability,” he said. “China might be facing a greater challenge in maintaining its double-digit growth rate than India is facing in achieving a double-digit growth,” he said. Roubini favors the “more balanced economy of India” over China. ‘Bright Spots’ While the economies of India and China are not large enough to lead global growth, emerging markets remain “bright spots” compared with the U.S., Europe and Japan, which all face deflationary pressures, Roubini said at a conference organized by Edelweiss Capital Ltd. in Mumbai. “The size of the emerging markets is going to become larger and larger, and it’s going to become greater than the GDP of the United States,” Roubini said. “It may take 20 to 30 years, depending on relative economic growth, but the process will occur” and “we should get used to it.” Financial markets in the U.S. and Europe, meanwhile, are “still damaged” from the crisis and U.S. economic growth may slow in the second half as stimulus measures are phased out and the job market remains “weak,” Roubini said. The U.S. recovery may be U-shaped, he said. Asian nations from China to India have begun withdrawing monetary stimulus to avert asset bubbles and curb inflation as their economies rebound. Any declines in Indian stocks are an opportunity to add to holdings, Zurich-based Bank Julius Baer & Co. said this week. Investor Mark Mobius this month predicted the nation’s stocks will outperform other emerging markets. Sensex Surges India’s Sensex index has surged 82 percent in the past year as is set for its fifth straight quarterly gain, the longest expansion since 1994. On March 19, the central bank raised the benchmark reverse repurchase rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.5 percent and the repurchase rate by the same amount to 5 percent. India’s stocks will withstand the stimulus withdrawal and extend last year’s rally, the biggest in 18 years, as domestic spending strengthens, John Praveen , the Newark, New Jersey-based chief investment strategist at Prudential International, a unit of Prudential Financial, which oversees $667 billion, said in a March 26 interview. To contact the reporter on this story: Rajhkumar K Shaaw in Mumbai at rshaaw@bloomberg.net

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China Spat Is Least of Google’s 2010 Woes as Microsoft-Like Slowdown Looms

March 30, 2010

By Ari Levy, Brian Womack and Joseph Galante March 31 (Bloomberg) — Google Inc.’s feud with the Chinese government may be the smallest of its challenges as the search leader contends with slowing growth, regulatory scrutiny and a shift in ad spending. While Mountain View, California-based Google has the biggest share of online search at home and in Western Europe, it has been leapfrogged by social network Facebook Inc. as the most popular U.S. Web site. Google’s ventures in mobile, video and display ads have failed to match the success of search, and regulators may thwart efforts to expand through acquisitions . As sales gains diminish, some investors are concerned that Google has begun to resemble Microsoft Corp., which generates billions of dollars in cash from its mature flagship business yet has struggled to conquer new markets. Google’s sales increased 9 percent last year after almost doubling in 2005. “They were the new kid on the block and everyone thought they were great,” said Daniel Morgan , a money manager at Synovus Financial in Atlanta, which oversees about $7.5 billion, including 27,720 Google shares, Bloomberg data shows. “That kind of euphoric, love-at-first-sight status has changed.” Last week, after a two-month dispute with China over censorship issues, Google shut its mainland Chinese search engine and redirected users to its Hong Kong site. Google was second in the Chinese search market, behind Baidu Inc. Google shares, which doubled last year, have dropped 8.6 percent in 2010, the sixth-biggest decline among the 75 technology stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. The stock is 24 percent below its peak of more than $740 in 2007. Google spokeswoman Jane Penner declined to comment. Facebook Rivalry One of Google’s biggest challenges comes from Palo Alto, California-based Facebook. This month, Facebook surpassed Google as the most visited Web site in the U.S., accounting for more weekly visits than Google.com, according to research firm Hitwise. Facebook’s gains at Google ’s expense weren’t lost on Levi Strauss & Co. The closely held maker of blue jeans and Dockers pants is advertising on Facebook this year for the first time, while its budget for search, Google’s mainstay, is staying about the same as last year, said Megan O’Connor, director of digital marketing. Earlier this month, the San Francisco-based company sponsored events at the South by Southwest music festival in Austin, Texas. Levi advertised across Facebook for two weeks leading up to the event, targeting 18- to 34-year-olds who identified themselves as music fans, O’Connor said. “We are looking at social as a new place for us to spend,” O’Connor said. Starbucks, JetBlue The same goes for advertisers including Starbucks Corp. and JetBlue Airways Corp ., which are eager to get their marketing messages in front of Facebook’s 400 million users and like Levi are spending more on social media while holding steady on search. “Facebook is not an experiment for us anymore,” said Chris Bruzzo , vice president of brand, content and online at Seattle-based Starbucks. “It is a key part of how we go to market.” Ford Motor Co. also is boosting spending on social networks at a faster pace than search. “We provide a platform for marketers to create an authentic, two-way connection with their customers that has not been possible at scale before,” Facebook spokesman Brandon McCormick said. To catch up in social media, Google added a social- networking feature called Buzz to its Gmail e-mail, letting users share photos, comments and clips from its YouTube site. The site drew criticism over privacy, prompting Google to scale back some of Buzz’s features. Dealmaking Google, with almost $25 billion in cash and marketable securities, also bought Aardvark, a site that lets users pose questions and receive answers online. And its Orkut social network has gained wide followings in India and Brazil. Even with rising competition, Google will benefit as advertisers shift spending to the Web, where consumers are spending more time, said Jeff Donlon , an analyst at Manning & Napier Advisors Inc. “Google will keep making improvements to search and display, allowing advertisers to get a higher return on their investment,” said Donlon, whose Fairport, New York-based firm manages more than $25 billion and owns about 1 million Google shares. Mobile, Display Ads Google has also made headway in efforts to expand into mobile and display advertising, where rival Yahoo! Inc. took an early lead. In mobile, Google is taking on Apple Inc.’s iPhone with its Android operating system. Some 6.8 million Android- powered phones were sold in 2009, accounting for 3.9 percent of the global market, according to researcher Gartner Inc. Most analysts remain bullish on Google. Of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, 32 have “buy” ratings, eight rate it a “hold,” and none recommends that investors sell the stock. By contrast, 15 analysts rate Yahoo a “buy,” 21 have it as a “hold,” and one has a “sell.” To bolster mobile advertising, Google announced plans in November to buy AdMob Inc. for $750 million. The U.S. mobile-ad market may more than triple to as much as $3 billion by 2013, according to a Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. report last year. Android Gains “They need to show how they’re going to monetize things like Android, where they seem to be taking good mobile market share,” said Richard Parower , manager of the $533 million Seligman Global Technology Fund at J.W. Seligman & Co. in New York, which holds Google stock. “How can they turn that into operating profits?” Google spent a combined $4.9 billion on YouTube and DoubleClick through 2008 to increase sales of ads in videos and help customers create and measure Web advertising campaigns. Those deals may generate $2 billion to $3 billion in sales next year, Citigroup Inc. analyst Mark Mahaney said. As ambitious as Google’s expansion efforts may be, the high end of that range represents less than 10 percent of Mahaney’s forecast for total sales. Microsoft too has tried with mixed results to expand beyond its main market, business software, into such areas as video games, online search and mobile operating systems. Parallels to Microsoft don’t end there. Google has been piling up cash faster than it can find ways to spend it. Its cash and marketable securities surged 54 percent to $24.5 billion at the end of 2009 from a year earlier and made up 60 percent of total assets, up from 50 percent. Meanwhile, research and development costs rose only 1.8 percent to $2.8 billion. Hemmed In That means Google is spending about 12 cents of every sales dollar on research and development, comparable with 15 cents for Microsoft. Jack Evans , a spokesman at Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft, declined to comment. Microsoft’s sales surged during the 1990s, lifted by the growing adoption of personal computers and new versions of the Windows operating system. Revenue climbed 46 percent in fiscal 1996 as users embraced Windows 95. By 2002, the pace of growth had slipped to 12 percent. At Google, sales growth has slowed in each of the past seven years, to 9 percent in 2009 from 409 percent in 2002. Also like Microsoft, Google faces regulatory obstacles to efforts to break into faster-growing markets. The Federal Trade Commission is investigating whether the AdMob deal would squelch competition in the mobile ad market. The U.S. Justice Department also has raised antitrust concerns over a proposed $125 million legal settlement between Google and a group of publishers and authors. The agreement, if approved by a judge, would create the world’s largest digital library. In Europe, Google is under scrutiny for possible privacy, antitrust and intellectual property violations. “Google has enjoyed an extended period of unfettered growth,” said Jonathan Zuck , president of the Association for Competitive Technology, a Washington trade group that represents technology companies. “Between Washington and Brussels, it’s clear that they’re now in a time where their explosive growth will be under greater scrutiny.” To contact the reporters on this story: Ari Levy in San Francisco at alevy5@bloomberg.net ; Brian Womack in San Francisco at bwomack1@bloomberg.net ; Joseph Galante in San Francisco at jgalante3@bloomberg.net

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Peabody Energy Makes Unsolicited $3 Billion Cash Offer for Macarthur Coal

March 30, 2010

By Jason Scott and Ben Sharples March 31 (Bloomberg) — Peabody Energy Corp., the biggest U.S. coal company, offered A$3.3 billion ($3 billion) in cash for Australia’s Macarthur Coal Ltd. to benefit from rising demand in China, where imports tripled last year. The unsolicited bid, which values Macarthur’s shares at A$13 each, prompted the Brisbane-based company to rise as much as 20 percent. The offer is “highly conditional” and not in the best interest of shareholders, Macarthur said today in a statement. The offer may thwart Noble Group Ltd. ’s attempt to become Macarthur’s biggest shareholder in a stock swap for the Hong Kong-based commodity supplier’s Gloucester Coal Ltd. Peabody already operates eight mines in Australia’s Queensland and New South Wales states, and is seeking more to feed power stations and steel mills in China, the world’s largest user of coal. “Peabody is probably looking to get bigger in a market that’s growing, especially when compared with the U.S.,” Andrew Harrington , an analyst at Patersons Securities Ltd. in Sydney said. “A bidding war for Macarthur is possible.” Citic Australia Coal Ltd. owns 22.4 percent of Macarthur, with ArcelorMittal, the world’s biggest steelmaker, holding 16.6 percent and South Korea’s Posco having 8.3 percent, according to Bloomberg data. The deal values Macarthur, the world’s biggest exporter of pulverized coal used by steelmakers, at 17 times earnings before interest and tax, which is more than double the EBIT multiple that Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. paid for Felix Resources Ltd. in a A$3.5 billion takeover seven months ago. Peabody’s Rationale Peabody’s offer is conditional on Macarthur’s takeover of Gloucester Coal not proceeding, Macarthur said. Gloucester fell 9.4 percent to A$9.05 at 3:33 p.m. in Sydney. Gloucester has unanimously recommended shareholders accept Macarthur’s offer of A$8 a share. Macarthur traded 16 percent higher at A$14.04 at 3:36 p.m., the highest since August 27, 2008. The company controls 145 million tons of reserves and 1.3 billion tons of resources, Peabody said today in a statement. “There is a strong strategic rationale for a combination of Macarthur’s operating assets and project pipeline with Peabody’s growing Australian platform of metallurgical and thermal coal production,” the company said, saying it’s “disappointed” with the Macarthur’s reaction to its bid. Peabody’s offer is below the A$20 a share that ArcleorMittal and Posco paid former director Ken Talbot to buy shares in Macarthur in June 2008. Double Output “Macarthur has three substantial shareholders who will need to be convinced this is worth doing,” Patersons’ Harrington said. “It’s quite a complex situation. You’ve got a big fish swallowing a mid-sized fish, which is in the process of swallowing a small fish.” Macarthur Chief Executive Officer Nicole Hollows , aiming to complete the Gloucester takeover by July, is seeking to double output in the next five years. The company has two operations in Queensland’s Bowen Basin. Four of Peabody Australia’s mines are located in the same region, according to its Web site. “Peabody’s proposal is highly conditional and does not fully value Macarthur and its significant growth prospects,” Macarthur Chairman Keith De Lacy said in today’s statement. Japanese steelmakers agreed to pay 89 percent more for Macarthur’s low-volatile pulverized coal, UBS AG analysts led by Sydney-based Tom Price said in a report last week. Mills will pay $170 a metric ton for three-month and six-month supply contracts starting April 1, UBS said. Steel Recovery Worldwide steel production is recovering from a plunge in demand caused by the global economic crisis and annual contract coking coal prices may almost double this year, Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty has forecast. Peabody said Jan. 27 it plans to sell between 240 million and 260 million tons of coal this year, compared with 243.6 million in 2009, driven by demand in India and China. “We’ve seen Asian markets become red hot,” President Rick Navarre said the same day on a conference call with analysts and investors. China is the world’s biggest user of coal and Peabody has focused on expanding in the market. In 2009, China’s coal imports more than tripled to 125.8 million tons, according to data from the Beijing-based General Administration of Customs. Peabody’s coal shipments out of Australia in the three months to Dec. 31 climbed 10 percent from a year ago to 6.4 million tons. The company mines both thermal coal, used in power stations, and coking coal, used by steel mills. Macarthur is aiming to sell between 4.8 million tons and 5 million tons this year. Chinese Demand China bought more coal than it exported for the first time in 2009, prompted by cheap supplies in the global market and a crackdown on mine safety that caused domestic output to plummet. Coal is burned to make about 41 percent of power worldwide and will increase its share to 44 percent by 2030, the International Energy Agency forecast last year. To contact the reporters on this story: Jason Scott in Perth at jscott14@bloomberg.net ; Ben Sharples in Melbourne at bsharples@bloomberg.net

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Lease Up/Lease Down (Mar. 28 – Apr. 3): GSA Expands, Boston Scientific Layoffs Loom

March 30, 2010

CoStar compiles news of corporate expansions, relocations, extensions, closures, layoffs, lease cancellations and mergers in the weekly Lease Up/Lease Down news report, a concise read keeping you updated on major corporate moves affecting commercial…

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Booz Allen Takes 142,100 SF in DC, VA

March 30, 2010

Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. secured two office leases totaling 142,073 square feet in the Washington, DC, market. In the biggest deal, the consulting firm signed for 112,078 square feet at Dulles Overlook at 575 Herndon Parkway in Herndon, VA. An investment…

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PCCP Rides Troubled Lehman Funds Acquisition to National Prominence

March 30, 2010

Following a 13-month competitive bidding process, PCCP, LLC recently took over two Lehman Bros. private-equity mezzanine funds with more than $2 billion in assets. The transaction involving the collapsed New York investment house instantly made the California…

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China Property Bust May Prove Temporary in Redux of 1970s Japan Experience

March 30, 2010

By Mayumi Otsuma March 31 (Bloomberg) — China’s stage of economic development means any property-market bust following the current boom may prove temporary, according to economists at the Bank of Japan and UBS AG. China today shares characteristics of Japan’s real-estate boom of the 1970s, when the nation quickly recovered from a slump, according to a Bank of Japan research paper. The Chinese economy will be able to keep expanding even in the event of a property contraction, said UBS’s Beijing-based Wang Tao . The view contrasts with that of Kenneth Rogoff , the Harvard University professor who said last month China may see growth plunge to as low as 2 percent in the aftermath of the collapse of a “debt-fuelled bubble” within 10 years. Premier Wen Jiabao is trying to rein in property speculation after prices rose the most in almost two years. “People tend to compare China with Japan in the late 1980s but the two situations are very different,” Wang, the head of China economic research for UBS, said in an interview last week. “The biggest difference is of course that China is still at a low stage of development, so if there is a big correction it still has the potential to grow out of it.” Economic growth of almost 10 percent, surging incomes and a rapid flow of people into cities spurred “real demand” for housing and boosted property prices in Japan in the 1970s, similar to China today, according to the paper co-written by four BOJ economists. Parallels With Japan The parallels also include a low ratio of debt used to buy homes, the Japan central bank officials said in the paper released yesterday. Wang also said the lack of a mortgage- securities market in China means property buyers aren’t borrowing as much as Americans did during the U.S. housing bubble . Property prices in Japan rebounded “pretty quickly” after plunging in 1974 amid the global oil shock, because brisk economic growth fueled incomes, the officials said. In contrast, Japan’s asset-price collapse at the start of the 1990s drove the country into prolonged doldrums because urbanization was almost complete and growth slowed. Japan’s experiences show “the depth of the property-market adjustment would differ depending on the stage of economic development,” the economists said. “Given its high potential growth and low leverage, China won’t likely suffer a severe property-market adjustment, like the one Japan went through in the 1990s.” Development Stage Growth in Japan averaged 9.3 percent in the decade through 1973, compared with 9.9 percent in China between 2000 and 2009, according to the paper. About 45 percent of Chinese currently live in urban areas, the same level as Japan in the early 1960s, it said. Per-capita gross domestic product in China, the world’s fastest-growing major economy, is about $3,500, similar to Japan’s $3,800 in 1973. Wang also said the possibility of a “boom-bust is quite high” and “avoiding a property bubble in China will be very, very difficult.” Rogoff, the former International Monetary Fund chief economist, said in an interview in Tokyo last month that land is “the best bet” for the cause of a China crisis. A collapse would cause a “very painful” period which would persist for about a year and a half, while falling short of a 1990s Japan-style lost decade, he said. Local Authorities Local governments in China are aggressively developing properties to boost revenues and are welcoming market rallies , the BOJ report said. The paper was written by Ichiro Muto , Tomoyuki Fukumoto , Miyuki Matsunaga and Satoko Ueyama , all economists at the bank’s international department. Capital inflow from overseas is also providing short-term speculative money, the report said. Bank lending in China also draws parallels with Japan in the 1970s. Loans by Chinese banks equal between 110 percent and 120 percent of nominal gross domestic product, the same level as Japan around 40 years ago, the researchers said. The ratio jumped to around 180 percent in the 1980s in Japan. “During Japan’s bubble economic boom in the 1980s, real- estate prices rose without real demand for houses related to urbanization,” the BOJ paper said. “That makes a difference from the booms in Japan in the early 1970s and China today.” To contact the reporter on this story: Mayumi Otsuma in Tokyo at motsuma@bloomberg.net

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Downtown NYC Towers Empty as Best Market Falters

March 30, 2010

By David M. Levitt March 30 (Bloomberg) — Downtown Manhattan, where demand for office space began to surge three years after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, is about to lose its spot as the best- performing U.S. market . Vacancies may exceed 14 percent of the area’s 87 million square feet by late 2011, empty space that’s equivalent to four Empire State Buildings and the highest rate since 1997, according to property broker Cushman & Wakefield Inc. That doesn’t include the 4.4 million square feet of offices in two towers now under construction at the World Trade Center site. Those are scheduled for completion in 2013. “The amount of space that’s potentially going to come to the market will increase availabilities and put pressure on pricing,” said Kenneth McCarthy , Cushman’s head of New York- area research. “It will be quite awhile before it can be absorbed.” Lower Manhattan, dominated by financial firms, withstood the commercial property slump better than any other U.S. business district, with more than 90 percent of offices occupied at the end of last year even as the city lost 67,500 jobs in the 12 months through December. Now open space is rising faster than demand, as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. moves into its new downtown building, American International Group Inc. relocates its headquarters, and Bank of America Corp. shifts operations to its new tower in Midtown. Lehman Move Downtown New York’s success defied the most dire predictions after Sept. 11, 2001, that financial companies would flee. Within weeks of the World Trade Center’s destruction, executives of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., working out of makeshift offices at a Sheraton hotel, decided to leave the area rather than face a daily reminder of the terrorist attacks. They put their offices up for sale and sublease and paid $748 million for a 32-story building north in Midtown’s Times Square, according to a regulatory filing. Goldman Sachs announced plans after 9/11 to move equity trading and research employees to Jersey City, New Jersey. The bank suspended plans for its new West Street headquarters in April 2005, citing uncertainty about the future of the nearby World Trade Center site. The city and state increased tax-exempt Liberty Bonds available to the company to $1.65 billion. Even the New York Stock Exchange considered opening a second trading floor outside of downtown as a backup in case of another attack. ‘Unduly Reliant’ Downtown has “always been unduly reliant on the financial services sector,” said Robert Freedman , executive chairman of property broker FirstService Williams. The office market outperformed other U.S. cities through the first years of the financial crisis, thanks to government subsidies, rents that were lower than Midtown and a 28 percent gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index from the end of 2001 through 2007 that helped boost Wall Street profits. The availability rate for downtown Manhattan offices was 12.7 percent in the first quarter, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous three months, according to Studley Inc., a New York-based brokerage that specializes in finding space for tenants rather than representing landlords. Midtown’s availability rate dropped 0.9 percentage point to 13.2 percent. Until now, supply downtown was restricted. Developer Larry Silverstein ’s 7 World Trade , completed in 2006 north of Ground Zero, added just 1.7 million square feet of offices, compared with about 13 million square feet destroyed by the attacks. Goldman Sachs The biggest addition of space now comes with Goldman Sachs’s move to 200 West St. The company will leave behind about 2 million square feet at downtown buildings including 85 Broad St. and 1 New York Plaza. AIG, the global insurance company bailed out by the U.S. government in 2008, last year sold its headquarters at 70 Pine St. and 72 Wall St. to raise cash. It is moving employees into space Goldman Sachs is vacating at 180 Maiden Lane. Bank of America has yet to tell landlord Brookfield Properties Corp. what it plans to do with the offices it inherited at downtown’s World Financial Center when it bought Merrill Lynch & Co. last year. The Charlotte, North Carolina- based company has been moving employees into its new skyscraper in Midtown at 1 Bryant Park. The Merrill lease expires in 2013. Sitting on Market “What’s going to happen with those big blocks is that they’re going to sit on the market for a while, because to divide them up and make them smaller and more marketable involves a huge capital investment, and a lot of landlords can’t afford it,” said Ruth Colp-Haber , a partner at Wharton Property Advisors Inc., a New York-based brokerage that represents tenants. A partnership led by New York developer YoungWoo & Associates LLC bought AIG’s buildings and has said it plans to convert some of the property into residential condominiums. Other areas will remain commercial. “The question is, when is the demand going to come into the economy?” Haber said. “Most don’t see demand returning till the end of 2011. The real estate cycle moves slowly.” Donald Trump , whose company owns a 1.1 million square-foot tower at 40 Wall St., pushed for new leases ahead of the Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch and AIG vacancies. He put his son, Donald Trump Jr. , in charge of the effort. “My father a year ago saw what was going on in the market and he called me up, and I remember it clearly because it was Christmas Day,” Trump Jr. said in an interview. “He said ‘I want you to meet with me tomorrow and make 40 Wall part of your day-to-day life.’” The Trumps leased 268,000 square feet of space in the building last year and expect to sign more tenants this year. Downtown asking rents fell 2.8 percent in the first quarter to $38.54 a square foot, Studley data show. Prices for the best quality class-A space declined 4.3 percent to $44.21 a square foot. Ground Zero Building In all, about 4.5 million square feet of downtown offices may be available by 2013, according to Cushman & Wakefield. That’s also the year the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey expects to complete the first building under construction at Ground Zero. One World Trade Center , formerly known as the Freedom Tower, is to be the Western Hemisphere’s tallest skyscraper, adding 2.6 million square feet to the market. Silverstein also is developing a second tower at the site, which he aims to complete in 2013, that will have 1.8 million square feet of offices. A third building may be started if Silverstein raises $300 million in equity, signs tenants for about 20 percent of the space, and meets other financing goals. ‘Lot of Space’ “That’s a lot of space to fill,” said Robert Stella , principal of Boston-based brokerage CresaPartners, which represents Manhattan office tenants. “It’s going to have an impact.” A little more than half the space currently under construction at the trade center site is spoken for by tenants, mostly government agencies. Federal and state agencies, including the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s customs and border protection units plan to take about 1 million square feet, though they have yet to sign a lease. Chinese developer Beijing Vantone Real Estate Co. signed a contract for 190,000 square feet, making it the only private company agreeing to move to the 16-acre site. At Silverstein’s 4 World Trade Center, the Port Authority and the city each agreed in 2006 to rent 600,000 square feet, leaving another 600,000 square feet to be leased. Four, Five Years “We are not building for today’s market,” John “Janno” Lieber, head of Silverstein’s World Trade Center unit, told a New York State Senate panel in September. “These buildings will take four or five years to build and when they open, the city will be in a much stronger position. We need to be ready.” Both Silverstein and Lieber declined repeated interview requests for this story, saying through spokesman Dara McQuillan they were busy with Port Authority negotiations on financing for reconstruction at the trade center site. Port Authority spokesman Stephen Sigmund said the agency isn’t worried about demand for One World Trade Center. “We’re not comparing and contrasting to other buildings downtown,” he said. “One World Trade Center is certainly going to be a world-class building that will be attractive to tenants, many tenants.” Brookfield Properties, lower Manhattan’s biggest office landlord, is planning to renovate its World Financial Center to help it face new competition. The space that Bank of America vacated there includes trading floors of greater than 65,000 square feet, almost the size of a World Cup soccer field. Those floors could be among the hardest to rent in the city, said Colp-Haber of Wharton Property Advisors. Brookfield in December presented a plan to brokers that would split the trading floors in two and serve each of the spaces with its own elevator, according to a property broker who attended the presentation. The broker declined to be identified because he wasn’t authorized by his employer to speak publicly. ‘Front-Burner Issue’ The renovation also would link the 25-year-old World Financial Center to a pedestrian passageway through the trade center site, allowing access to a new subway hub at Broadway and Fulton Street. “This has got to be a front-burner issue, number one in Brookfield’s mind,” said Michael Knott , a real estate analyst for Newport Beach, California-based Green Street Advisors. Melissa Coley , a Brookfield spokeswoman, declined to comment. The space available downtown may appeal to companies seeking accommodations at a time when rents in midtown Manhattan are expected to rise, said Mark Shapses , senior managing director at Studley. “It’s a place where people want to be,” he said. “You’ve got water views from a lot of the properties. Mass transit is probably better than anywhere else in the city. It’s true there’s going to be some increased vacancy, but they usually end up working these out through markets. It’ll take some time to lease up but I think it will lease up.” Landlord Optimism While construction at the 16-acre World Trade Center site scared off some property investors, Brookfield Chief Executive Officer Richard “Ric” Clark said on a conference call last month that the area’s new transportation and infrastructure will be complete by 2014. “Most of our peers, we’ve heard them make comments that they’re not interested in lower Manhattan,” he said. “That’s fine with us.” His optimism is shared by William Rudin , president of the family owned Rudin Management Co., which owns six lower Manhattan office buildings. “If we continue to invest in lower Manhattan in terms of transportation and the memorial and all the things going on, at a certain price point, these spaces will find tenants,” Rudin said. To contact the reporter on this story: David M. Levitt in New York at dlevitt@bloomberg.net

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Chi-X Given In Principle Approval for Bid to Compete With ASX in Australia

March 30, 2010

By Marion Rae and Shani Raja March 31 (Bloomberg) — Australia has given “in principle” approval to a license application by Chi-X Australia Pty Ltd. to be the nation’s first rival to stock-exchange operator ASX Ltd . The government supports competition between markets for trading in listed shares, Financial Services Minister Chris Bowen said today. Chi-X Australia is a wholly-owned Australian- incorporated subsidiary of share-trading platform provider Chi-X Global Inc. ASX’s shares slumped 2.7 percent to A$34.10 as of 11:36 a.m. in Sydney. “Competition between financial markets for trade execution services is new to Australia” and would be a “vital step in the development of Australia as a financial hub,” Bowen said in an e-mailed statement. The Senate this month voted to hand oversight of real-time trading on licensed markets to the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, replacing self-regulation that allowed ASX to supervise the nation’s main stock exchange . The government has said the transfer of the market-supervisor role also paves the way for rival exchanges. Lower Fees Chi-X was the first so-called multilateral trading facility to challenge traditional bourses including Deutsche Boerse AG, London Stock Exchange Group Plc and NYSE Euronext by offering lower fees and faster trading. The introduction of competition will be a significant change in Australia’s market structure, with implications for price discovery, compliance and execution, Bowen said. The changes will also require “relevant amendments” to regulations and the settling of market-integrity rules by ASIC , the country’s regulator. “Market participants will require a lead time to adapt” and “supervisory and regulatory arrangements will be established and communicated to the market before competition is introduced,” Bowen said, without giving a timeframe. Other applications for market licenses will be considered. To contact the reporter on this story: Marion Rae in Canberra at mrae3@bloomberg.net Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net .

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Henderson Has Hong Kong Deadline to Explain Uncompleted Luxury Home Sales

March 30, 2010

By Chia-Peck Wong March 31 (Bloomberg) — Henderson Land Development Co. , the Hong Kong-based builder controlled by billionaire Lee Shau-kee , faces a government deadline today for more details on uncompleted sales of luxury homes, including the world’s most expensive apartment. The company included sales of 25 apartments at its 39 Conduit Road luxury project in its profit for the 18 months ended in December, it said yesterday. The government, which is concerned that the real estate market is in a bubble, gave the company until today to explain the sales after only one out of the 25 transactions was completed. Among those not completed was the duplex that Henderson said in October was sold for HK$88,000 ($11,334) a square foot, the world’s most expensive on that basis, according to company spokeswoman Bonnie Ngan . “It’s quite rare” for the government to seek clarifications on property sales, David Ng , a Hong Kong-based analyst at Royal Bank of Scotland Plc, said before Henderson’s earnings. This “shows the government is serious about scrutinizing luxury property transactions.” Buying from rich mainland Chinese and near-zero interest rates on savings deposits fueled a 45 percent jump in prices of luxury homes in 2009, real estate broker Savills Plc said earlier this year. Luxury homes in Hong Kong are typically defined as those costing more than HK$10 million each or are bigger than 1,000 square feet (92.9 square meters). Misses Estimate Henderson’s underlying income, which excludes the valuation changes of investment properties, was HK$6.09 billion, or HK$2.84 a share, in the 18 months ended in December, the company said yesterday, without giving a year-earlier figure. That was less than the average estimate of HK$6.29 billion from five analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. The completion of sales of the remaining 24 units at 39 Conduit Road in the Mid-Levels district has been extended by between two and four months from February, at the request of buyers, the company said. “Currently, there are no reasons to believe that the sale of such 24 units would not proceed,” the company said. Should the sale fail to go through, Henderson would record a loss of about HK$780 million from forfeiting deposits, without accounting for resales, it said. The Lands Department sent a second letter to Henderson on March 25 after the developer said it verbally agreed with the buyers to delay the completion of the sales, according to an official statement. Revenue From Homes Sales of the 25 apartments were included in the 18-month revenue of HK$15.2 billion, Henderson said yesterday. Revenue from the 25 homes reached HK$3.28 billion. Net income from the apartments would reach HK$973 million, the developer said. Hong Kong developers sell homes that aren’t yet finished, booking income when construction is completed. The Hong Kong government has since October raised the down payment to 40 percent from 30 percent on homes costing more than HK$20 million and will from April 1 increase stamp duties on luxury homes to deter speculators amid concern that home prices are inflated. The number of homes costing at least HK$10 million sold in February more than tripled to 546 from a year earlier, Land Registry figures show. Prices and sales of Hong Kong luxury residences have risen this year, signaling that the government’s measures aren’t working. The average sale price of existing luxury homes this month is HK$11,823 a square foot, 8.2 percent higher than December’s HK$10,931, according to transactions at 30 key luxury projects, Centaline Property Agency Ltd., one of the city’s biggest property agencies, said in a March 18 report. ‘Fuel Further Growth’ Hong Kong developers remain optimistic about the property market even with the government’s measures. “Better affordability supported by the prevailing low mortgage rate, as well as tight primary housing supply in the pipeline, will fuel further growth in the local residential property market,” Henderson Chairman Lee said in yesterday’s statement. His comments echo those of Li Ka-shing , Hong Kong’s richest man, who said yesterday that the city’s property market is expected to “remain stable and positive in the medium to longer term.” Cheung Kong (Holdings) Ltd. , the builder owned by 81- year-old Li, said yesterday that 2009 profit rose 53 percent on higher home sales and values of investment properties. Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd., the Hong Kong-based developer that is the world’s biggest by market value, said earlier this month that the city’s home market may see “another good year” in 2010. During the 18 months, Henderson spent HK$18 billion buying old buildings to redevelop, it said. The company now has 30 projects that are expected to provide a total attributable gross floor area of about 4 million square feet, or 6,000 homes. Second-Richest Man Lee, ranked by Forbes Magazine this month as Hong Kong’s second-richest man, said in December he planned to spend HK$10 billion on property in coming months and another HK$10 billion on government land premiums for its Wu Kai Sha project. The 82-year-old was estimated to be worth $18.5 billion, behind Li Ka-shing, in Forbes. Henderson’s shares rose 1.4 percent to close at HK$57.10 yesterday, before the earnings announcement. The stock has dropped 2.2 percent this year, after more than doubling in 2009. The Hang Seng Property Index that tracks the seven biggest developers traded in Hong Kong has gained 2 percent this year. Including revaluation changes to its investment properties, Henderson said 18-month profit was HK$14.3 billion. Henderson reported 18-month income after changing its financial year to end in December instead of June. It gave data for the 12 months ended June 2008 as a basis for comparison. It will pay a final dividend of 70 Hong Kong cents a share. To contact the reporter on this story: Chia-Peck Wong in Hong Kong at cpwong@bloomberg.net

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Yen Declines Toward Eight-Week Low Versus Euro Amid Global Recovery Signs

March 30, 2010

By Yoshiaki Nohara and Ron Harui March 31 (Bloomberg) — The yen fell toward an eight-week low against the euro as signs of a global economic recovery damped demand for Japan’s currency as a refuge. The yen headed for a monthly decline against all 16 of its major counterparts before an industry report today that economists said will show U.S. companies added jobs for the first time since January 2008. The Australian dollar reversed gains after a government report showed retail sales unexpectedly fell in February. “As the global economic outlook improves and investor sentiment becomes normal, money will move from low-yielding nations to high-yielding ones,” said Daisuke Ueno , Tokyo-based president at Gaitame.Com Research Institute Ltd., a unit of Japan’s largest currency margin company. “The bias is for currencies to rise against the yen as risk sentiment picks up.” The yen dropped to 124.96 per euro as of 10:06 a.m. in Tokyo from 124.44 yesterday, when it touched 125.46, the weakest since Feb. 4. Japan’s currency slipped to 93.20 per dollar from 92.76, after earlier declining to 93.26, the lowest since Jan. 8. The euro was at $1.3407 from $1.3414. The European currency has fallen 6.4 percent versus the dollar this quarter, heading for its worst performance since an 11 percent drop in the three months ended September 2008. U.S. companies added 40,000 jobs this month, the most since December 2007, according to a Bloomberg survey before ADP Employer Services releases the figures today. Retail Sales Australian retail sales dropped 1.4 percent from January, when they rose a revised 1.1 percent, the Bureau of Statistics said in Sydney. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News forecast a 0.3 percent increase. The Australian dollar fell to 91.53 U.S. cents from 92.05 cents before the retail sales report was released and yesterday’s close of 91.97 cents. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said policy makers need to manage economic “upswings” to prevent future deep downturns, signaling that the central bank may raise interest rates further. “Very deep recessions leave a long-lasting legacy of unemployment and all the things that go with it,” Stevens told the Wesley Mission’s Easter Breakfast in Sydney today. The Reserve Bank’s next monetary policy statement is set to be released on April 6. The benchmark interest rate is 4 percent in Australia , compared with 0.1 percent in Japan and as low as zero in the U.S., attracting investors to the South Pacific nation’s higher- yielding assets. New Zealand’s dollar gained for a third day versus the yen before ANZ National Bank Ltd. releases its March business confidence survey at 3 p.m. in Wellington. Last month’s survey showed confidence rose to a 10-year high. The so-called kiwi advanced to 66.22 yen from 65.88 yen. To contact the reporters on this story: Yoshiaki Nohara in Tokyo at ynohara1@bloomberg.net ; Ron Harui in Singapore at rharui@bloomberg.net .

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U.S. Economy: Consumer Confidence, Home Prices Rise

March 30, 2010

By Courtney Schlisserman March 30 (Bloomberg) — Consumers in the U.S. gained confidence in March as the gloom over job prospects began to lift, indicating employment will be central to preserving the recent acceleration in spending. The Conference Board’s confidence index rose to 52.5, exceeding the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, from 46.4 in February, according to figures today from the New York research group. Home prices unexpectedly rose in January for an eighth month, data also showed. “With signs of improvement in the labor market, confidence is more likely to be up than down in the next few months,” said James O’Sullivan , chief economist at MF Global Ltd. in New York, who forecast sentiment would pick up. “It’s still a low level of confidence.” Rising stock prices, a stabilizing housing market and fewer firings may be giving households hope that the recovery from the worst recession since the 1930s will be sustained. The 184,000 increase in payrolls economists project for this month shows it will take years for the economy to reverse the loss of 8.4 million jobs since the contraction began in December 2007. Stocks rose on the improving economic outlook. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 11.6 points, or 0.1 percent, to close at 10,907.42. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose less than 0.1 percent to 1,173.27. Economists forecast confidence would rise to 51 for the month from a previously reported 46, according to the median of 73 projections in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from 46.6 to 59. Confidence Averages The measure averaged 45 in 2009, and 97 during the expansion that ended in December 2007. Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose 0.3 percent in January, indicating the housing market is stabilizing as the economy expands. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index climbed from the prior month on a seasonally adjusted basis after a similar gain in December. Cheaper homes, low borrowing costs and government incentives have combined to support the housing market after its collapse helped trigger the recession. “It’s a temporary stabilization,” said Joseph Brusuelas , president of Brusuelas Analytics in Stamford, Connecticut, who had forecast a month-over-month gain in the adjusted index. “Foreclosures are still going to bite the market. Given the preponderance of negative housing data, we may see another leg down.” Data at Odds The S&P/Case-Shiller figures are at odds with other measures that have shown property values are again softening. A gauge of national single-family home values issued by First American CoreLogic’s LoanPerformance unit, the figures tracked by the Federal Reserve, showed prices dropped 1.9 percent in January, the fourth decrease in five months. The Conference Board’s measure of present conditions increased to 26, the highest level since May, from 21.7 in February. The gauge of expectations for the next six months rose to 70.2 from 62.9. The share of consumers who said jobs are plentiful advanced to 4.4 percent from 4 percent. The proportion of people who said jobs are hard to get decreased to 45.8, the fewest since August. More people also anticipated incomes and employment would improve in the next six months, the report showed. “Despite this month’s increase, consumers continue to express concern about current business and labor market conditions,” Lynn Franco , director of the Conference Board’s consumer research center, said in a statement. “Overall, consumer confidence levels have not changed significantly since last spring.” Spending Improves Consumer spending in February rose for a fifth consecutive month, figures from the Commerce Department yesterday showed. Best Buy Co. and Nike Inc., which have reported higher-than- anticipated profits, are among companies that may keep benefitting as the emerging recovery gives Americans the confidence to buy. Nike, the world’s largest maker of athletic shoes, said this month that third-quarter profit more than doubled as North America posted a sales increase for the first time in a year. Best Buy, the largest U.S. electronics retailer, last week reported sales climbed after the Richfield, Minnesota-based company cut prices on flat-panel TVs and offered discounts during the holidays. Fed Signals Fed officials this month signaled the U.S. recovery isn’t strong enough to stoke inflation, reduce unemployment quickly or justify an end to record-low interest rates. While the economy has “continued to strengthen,” policy makers said in a statement after their March 16 meeting that “employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls.” The projected increase in payrolls this month, based on the median forecasts of economists surveyed, would be the biggest in three years. Even so, the unemployment rate is projected to end the year at 9.5 percent, showing the labor market will continue to be a challenge to consumers this year, according to a survey of economists taken by Bloomberg earlier this month. To contact the reporter on this story: Courtney Schlisserman in Washington cschlisserma@bloomberg.net

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Northeast States Declare Emergency on Record Rainfall

March 30, 2010

By Aaron Clark March 30 (Bloomberg) — Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut declared emergencies, closing roads and sandbagging low-lying areas as storms pounded the U.S. Northeast for a second day today. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick mobilized about 1,000 National Guard troops. The storm, which set a daily rainfall record in Boston, is expected to bring “beach erosion, major flooding and widespread road closures,” he said on his Web site yesterday . Connecticut Governor M. Jodi Rell said in a statement the weather had created “extremely dangerous situations” in the eastern part of the state. In Rhode Island, where officials warned of “historic flooding,” Governor Donald Carcieri urged residents to leave work early and head home, said a spokeswoman, Amy Kempe. “In some cases there has been two months of rain in the matter of a few days,” Tom Kines , a senior meteorologist for AccuWeather Inc., said in a telephone interview. “When you get that much rain over a few-day period, that spells trouble.” Storm Upon Storm Flooding in the Northeast from two storms earlier this month caused more than $10 million in damage, drove residents from their homes as power failed and sewer systems backed up, and washed out a section of the Massachusetts Bay Transit Authority’s Green Line light rail service. The Charles River, which divides Boston and Cambridge, is set to break the record crest of 9.24 feet reached in August 1955 when two hurricanes dumped more than 26 inches of rain in less than two weeks, the National Weather Service said. Boston’s Logan International Airport set a single-day record for rain after 1.96 inches fell yesterday, breaking the high of 1.85 inches set in 1984. March 2010 became the wettest March in Boston history and the second-wettest month on record today after the 30-day total reached 13.63 inches. Rainfall from the three separate storms within the last three weeks is “unprecedented in our recent 100-year weather history,” said the National Weather Service office in Taunton, Massachusetts. As much as 8 inches of rain is expected in parts of Rhode Island before the three-day storm ends tomorrow, with the Pawtuxet and Blackstone basins hardest-hit, according to the state’s Emergency Management Agency. Rivers Rise The Yantic River in Connecticut is expected to reach record flood levels, said Rell, who activated 150 National Guard troops and said helicopters from the U.S. Coast Guard, the military and state police are on standby. Mandatory evacuations are under way in Rhode Island, although Kempe said she did not know how many. State officials are monitoring Interstate 95, which runs from Maine to Florida, and will close it if necessary, she said. “The rain is still coming down very heavily and it has caused major street flooding, major street closures” throughout Rhode Island, said Kempe. “The governor is recommending that individuals consider leaving work early to head home.” The Pawtuxet River in Cranston, Rhode Island, set a flooding record of 17.03 feet at 2:45 p.m. and is expected to crest at 19 feet tomorrow, according to the weather service. Charles River The Charles River at Dover, Massachusetts, will crest at a record 9.9 feet on April 1, the weather service estimated. The 1955 storms and flooding killed at least 180 people and caused more than $650 million in damage, including the complete or partial failures of more than 200 dams in southern New England, according to the agency. New York City had received a monthly total of 10.16 inches by early today, heading toward the March record of 10.54 inches set in 1983. The rain was easing off in the city by mid- afternoon today. About 150 people have evacuated their homes in the Fall River area in southeast Massachusetts because of flooding, said Peter Judge , a spokesman for the state’s Emergency Management Agency . Record flooding is forecast on the Sudbury and Assabet rivers, he said. “Every river in central and eastern Massachusetts is expected to be at well-above flood stage before this storm is over,” Judge said. To contact the reporter on this story: Aaron Clark in New York at aclark27@bloomberg.net

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Bhutto Assassination Report Delayed by UN at Request of Pakistan’s Zardari

March 30, 2010

By Peter S. Green March 30 (Bloomberg) — A United Nations report on the 2007 assassination of former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto will be held back two weeks at the request of Pakistan’s president, a United Nations spokesman said today. The report by an independent commission was to have been released today. UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon received a request overnight from Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari , Bhutto’s widower, to delay the report until April 15, UN spokesman Martin Nesirky said in New York. “The commission has completed its work; the report is ready to be delivered,” Nesirky said. “The intention is that the report will not be seen by the government of Pakistan” before its release. Nesirky said he was looking into reports that UN offices in Pakistan had been ordered to shut for fear the report’s release could provoke retaliation. Bhutto, a two-time prime minister, was killed in a suicide bombing at a rally of her Pakistan Peoples Party in Rawalpindi on Dec. 27, 2007. Her widower, Asif Ali Zardari, was elected president in 2008. Zardari pressed for a UN probe even after London’s Metropolitan Police said its investigation showed Bhutto died from a head injury sustained when the force of the blast threw her against her vehicle’s sunroof. The report rejected allegations that she was shot dead. No Autopsy No autopsy was performed on Bhutto’s body, and the crime scene was cleaned shortly after her death, prompting suspicions of a cover-up and Zardari’s demand for the UN investigation. The government last year asked Ban to “establish an international commission for the purpose of identifying the culprits, perpetrators, organizers and financiers behind the assassination of Shaheed Mohtarma Benazir Bhutto with a view to bring them to justice.” Ban decided instead on a “fact-finding” panel. A spokesman for Pakistan’s UN mission, Mian Iqbal, said he had no information on why his government asked to delay the report. “The fact that Zardari himself intervened doesn’t mean he was the target of the investigation,” said Marvin Weinbaum , a scholar in residence at the Middle East Institute , a policy group in Washington, and a former U.S. State Department analyst for Afghanistan and Pakistan. Neither the London police nor the UN investigators had significant access to evidence or key players in Pakistan, suggesting that the report may not contain any explosive revelations, Weinbaum said. Rather, it may simply show that the Army or intelligence services failed to adequately protect Bhutto. “Zardari may have reached a modus vivendi with the military, and might not at this time be anxious to see some kind of resentment on their part that they had not intervened,” Weinbaum said. To contact the reporter on this story: Peter S. Green in New York at psgreen@bloomberg.net

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Obama Sees Tougher UN Sanctions on Iran in `Weeks’ to Curb Nuclear Program

March 30, 2010

By Julianna Goldman and Helene Fouquet March 30 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama said he believes the United Nations will agree on new sanctions for Iran in a matter of weeks if the Islamic republic fails to comply with resolutions aimed at limiting its nuclear program. Obama said he and French President Nicolas Sarkozy agreed at their meeting today on the need for tougher steps against Iran. “The door remains open if the Iranians choose to walk through it,” Obama said at a joint news conference with Sarkozy at the White House. In the “interim we are going to move forcefully” on a sanctions regime. Sarkozy said the U.S. has “all my support for strong sanctions” at the UN Security Council. “The time has come to make decisions,” he said. Obama said the U.S. and its partners are still seeking unanimous support for tougher sanctions. Both Russia and China hold a veto at the UN Security Council and have sent conflicting signals about punishing Iran. “We think we can get sanctions within weeks,” Obama said. Group of Eight foreign ministers, meeting in Canada, released a statement earlier today, saying actions by Iran have deepened “serious doubts” about the peaceful nature of the country’s nuclear program. They said they are prepared to take “strong steps” to show resolve on the issue. The statement fell short of calling for sanctions against Iran. Canadian Foreign Minister Lawrence Cannon and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said it wasn’t the meeting’s objective to agree on sanctions because that issue should be resolved at the UN Security Council. “It’s important to underscore that the negotiating forum we are all focused on is” the Security Council, Clinton said at a joint press conference following the meeting. To contact the reporters on this story: Julianna Goldman in Washington at jgoldman6@bloomberg.net ; Helene Fouquet in Washington via Hfouquet1@bloomberg.net

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Corporate Bonds Extend Longest Winning Streak Since 2004: Credit Markets

March 30, 2010

By Pierre Paulden and Caroline Salas March 30 (Bloomberg) — Corporate bonds are rallying for the fourth straight quarter, the longest streak since 2004, extending a record advance as 73 percent of companies beat analysts’ earnings expectations. The securities returned 2.6 percent this quarter through March 29, following a 16.3 percent gain in 2009, according to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch index. The extra yield, or spread, investors demand to own corporate bonds fell 0.25 percentage point since year-end relative to benchmarks to 1.51 percentage points as of yesterday, the narrowest since November 2007. Company debt rallied on signs the global economy is improving, with U.S. consumer confidence gaining in March and corporate defaults declining from record levels. Borrowing costs declined to the lowest since 2005, spurring $730 billion of bond issuance globally this quarter, a 25 percent increase from the final period of last year. “We’ve certainly had a very good ride over the last 12 to 15 months, but there still is good value in corporate bonds today in select areas such as banking,” Mark Kiesel , global head of corporate bond portfolio management at Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. Debt ranging from leveraged loans to high-yield bonds to commercial mortgage-backed securities climbed in the quarter as the Federal Reserve’s zero-interest-rate policy prompted investors to seek riskier assets. “Investors initially were only concerned about protecting their principal,” said Matt Freund , a money manager for fixed- income investments at San Antonio-based USAA Investment Management Co., who helps oversee $44 billion of assets. “Now that they’ve been reassured, they want spread product.” Citigroup Prices CLO Elsewhere in credit markets, the aircraft-leasing unit of American International Group Inc. sold $750 million of notes in a two-part reopening. Citigroup Inc. priced a $525 million collateralized loan obligation, the first new issue backed by widely syndicated debt in the CLO market since last March. Lyondell Chemical Co. ’s $500 million term loan to help finance its exit from bankruptcy rose during initial trading. International Lease Finance Corp., the Los Angeles-based AIG unit, sold $500 million of 8.75 percent notes due in 2017 and $250 million of 8.625 percent debt maturing in 2015, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The Citigroup deal, managed by WCAS Fraser Sullivan Investment Management LLC, was boosted from a planned $500 million, said a person familiar with the transaction who declined to be identified because terms aren’t public. The CLO refinances an existing fund, COA CLO Financing Ltd., and increases its size by more than 50 percent. Lyondell Loans Houston-based Lyondell’s loan, sold at a discount of 99 cents on the dollar, climbed as high as 100.75 cents, according to people familiar with the trades who declined to be identified because the transactions are private. It initially broke at 100.25 cents, the people said. UBS AG arranged the term loan due in 2016 with an interest rate 4 percentage points more than the London interbank offered rate, with a 1.5 percent Libor floor, the people said. Three- month Libor, the rate banks charge to lend to each other, is 0.29 percent. The cost to protect against defaults on corporate bonds in the U.S. rose for the first time in four days. The Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index Series 14, which investors use to hedge against losses on corporate debt or to speculate on creditworthiness, increased 1.1 basis point to a mid-price of 86.3 basis points as of 5:18 p.m. in New York, according to Markit Group Ltd. The index typically increases as investor confidence deteriorates. European iTraxx In London, the Markit iTraxx Europe Index on 125 investment-grade companies was unchanged at 77.5 basis points, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. Greece led an increase in the cost of credit-default swaps on sovereign debt after the country’s new seven-year bond offering fell in trading, deepening concern that Europe’s most indebted nations may struggle to fund their budget deficits. Contracts on Greek government debt rose 20 basis points to 335.5 in London, the highest in more than a week, according to CMA DataVision. Swaps on Spain, Portugal, Italy and Ireland also climbed and the Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe Index of contracts on 15 governments rose 3.5 basis points to 82, the highest level in a month. Bondholder Protection Credit swaps pay the buyer face value if a borrower defaults in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point and equals $1,000 annually on a contract protecting $10 million of debt for five years. Worldwide corporate bond sales for the first three months compare with $583 billion in the fourth quarter of 2009 and $1 trillion in the same period last year, Bloomberg data show. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and Kraft Foods Inc. the maker of Oreos that’s buying Cadbury Plc, led the busiest day of the quarter in the U.S., as issuance reached $18.85 billion on Feb. 4. Junk bond sales reached a record $38.9 billion in March, passing the previous high of $36 billion in November 2006, Bloomberg data show. Speculative-grade securities are rated below Baa3 by Moody’s Investors Service and lower than BBB- by Standard & Poor’s. The debt returned 5.54 percent through March 29, after gaining 60.6 percent last year, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global High Yield Index. Leveraged Loans The bonds rallied as the percentage of speculative-grade companies defaulting in the prior 12 months fell to 11.6 percent in February, from a peak of 12.9 percent in November, Moody’s said March 4. The rate will fall to 2.9 percent by the end of this year, Moody’s said. The S&P/LSTA US Leveraged Loan 100 Index gained 4.16 percent this year as companies sold junk bonds to repay their bank loans. That extended the record 52.2 percent gain in 2009. Commercial mortgage-backed securities advanced 7.1 percent this quarter, according to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch CMBS index, after returning 27.9 percent in 2009. Bond returns are justified by corporate earnings, USAA’s Freund said. Companies in the S&P 500 Index beat analyst estimates 73 percent of the time in the quarter, the second- highest percentage for positive earnings surprises on record, Bloomberg data show. Consumers in the U.S. gained confidence in March as the gloom over job prospects began to lift, indicating employment will be central to preserving the recent acceleration in spending. Rally Waning? The Conference Board’s confidence index rose to 52.5, exceeding the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, from 46.4 in February, according to figures from the New York research group. “With signs of improvement in the labor market, confidence is more likely to be up than down in the next few months,” said James O’Sullivan , chief economist at MF Global Ltd. in New York, who forecast sentiment would pick up. “It’s still a low level of confidence.” The rally in credit may be waning as expectations grow that the Fed will raise interest rates, undermining returns in fixed- income markets and prompting investors to shift money into equity funds, Bank of America Corp. strategists said in a March 26 note to investors. “Such a shift in liquidity may well persist as yield levels in fixed income no longer provide for the equity-like return potential that debt once offered,” strategists led by Jeffrey Rosenberg in New York wrote in the report. That would leave “a less robust liquidity environment for debt.” Corporate bonds offer opportunities for additional gains, even as economic growth may be hampered by governments withdrawing stimulus programs, Pimco’s Kiesel said. He recommends investors buy financial and emerging-market debt. “You can still get 5 to 6 percent returns, which still look very attractive relative to other fixed income alternatives,” Kiesel said. To contact the reporters on this story: Pierre Paulden in New York at ppaulden@bloomberg.net ; Caroline Salas in New York at csalas1@bloomberg.net

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Li May Raise Hutchison Dividends for First Time in 10 Years on 3G Business

March 30, 2010

By Mark Lee and Chia-Peck Wong March 31 (Bloomberg) — Li Ka-shing , Hong Kong’s richest man, said Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. may raise its dividend for the first time in a decade as the global recovery busies ports from the U.K. to Korea and drives retail earnings to a record. “If this year we can meet the budget, I will consider raising dividends on Hutchison,” Li said at a briefing yesterday, after Hutchison announced 2009 results. “The expectation on 3G business would be better than last year. If 3G can meet the target, there is a chance to increase dividends.” Hutchison, with investments from drugstores in the U.K. to phone services in Vietnam, last increased its full-year dividend for 2000, to HK$1.73, the amount it has paid shareholders in every subsequent year. The company and parent Cheung Kong (Holdings) Ltd. will generate growth in 2010, Li told reporters. Li sold some of Hutchison’s most profitable businesses and used ports, property, energy and retail earnings to finance more than seven years of losses at 3 Group, the provider of 3G, or third-generation, services in seven markets in Europe and Australia. The phone unit is expected to be profitable before interest and tax this year, the company said yesterday. Li said “the future is good” for 3G. “The cost of acquiring customers has come down and they are operating their businesses more efficiently,” Gary Pinge , who rates Hutchison shares “buy” at Macquarie Group Ltd. in Hong Kong, said before the announcement. The mobile-phone operations will show an “ongoing improvement,” while the ports and energy divisions are expected to rebound, Pinge said. Slower Spending Hutchison cut spending on its wireless units and increased property sales in China as the global recession dragged down earnings from oil production and shipping. The company, with operations in 54 countries, may increase investments this year as the economic recovery revives trade and consumer spending. “The company deferred some capital spending last year, and they will put some of that back this year,” said Kalai Pillay , senior director at Fitch Ratings in Singapore. The improvement at the mobile-phone division was marginal “and not game- altering,” Pillay said. Hutchison’s net income rose to HK$14.2 billion ($1.8 billion), or HK$3.32 a share, from a restated HK$12.7 billion, or HK$2.97, a year earlier, Hutchison said in a filing to the Hong Kong stock exchange yesterday. That compares with the HK$14.6 billion median estimate of five analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. Sales fell to HK$208.8 billion from HK$235.5 billion a year earlier, Hutchison said. Ports Earnings Hutchison’s port unit earned HK$10.4 billion before interest and tax last year, 21 percent less than a year earlier, the statement said. Sales at the division fell 16 percent to HK$33.4 billion. The company handled fewer containers in China last year as slumping economies in the U.S. and Europe dampened demand for Asian-made clothes, furniture and other consumer goods. Volume at Chinese ports jumped 28 percent in the first two months of 2010 as the economy improved and retailers rebuilt inventories. The container-port industry will improve this year after an “extra difficult” 2009, Li said yesterday. In retailing, the operator of drugstores in Asia and Europe will have a record year, he said. Hutchison’s retail earnings before interest and tax increased 30 percent to HK$5.69 billion, according to yesterday’s filing. In Hong Kong dollar terms, sales fell 2 percent to HK$116.1 billion. The company also runs supermarkets and electronics chains in Asia. Husky Energy Husky Energy Inc. , the Calgary-based oil producer partly owned by Hutchison, last month said full-year profit more than halved to C$1.42 billion ($1.39 billion) as sales declined because of the drop in selling prices. Hutchison’s profit was lifted by HK$12.5 billion in one- time gains from transactions, including the sale of an indirectly held controlling stake in Israel’s Partner Communications Ltd. in October and the merger of its mobile unit in Australia with the local subsidiary of Vodafone in June. At parent Cheung Kong, 2009 net income climbed to HK$19.9 billion, or HK$8.59 a share, from a restated HK$13 billion, or HK$5.63, in 2008, the world’s second-biggest builder by market value said in a statement yesterday. That beat the average HK$17.6 billion estimate of 10 analysts compiled by Bloomberg. Excluding 49.97-percent-held Hutchison, profit jumped to HK$12.8 billion from HK$6.69 billion. Cheung Kong Cheung Kong’s income rose as Hong Kong home prices jumped 29 percent last year. It booked an HK$3.86 billion gain in the fair value of real estate held for investment, compared with HK$134 million in 2008. Revenue from China jumped 76 percent. “People would focus on their China number because Hong Kong shouldn’t be any big surprise,” Adrian Ngan , a Hong Kong- based analyst at CCB International Securities Ltd., said yesterday after the announcement. Victor Li , deputy chairman of Cheung Kong and Li’s son, said at yesterday’s briefing that “demand is very strong” for Hong Kong property. Li Ka-shing said that investors should consider buying real estate if they have “excess funds” and aren’t borrowing too much. “The local property market is expected to remain stable and positive in the medium to longer term” amid low interest rates and the government’s pledge to increase land supply, Li said in the statement accompanying the earnings announcement. Li, dubbed “Superman” by Hong Kong’s media because of his track record for investing, was born in Chaozhou in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong. The plastics company he started in 1950 spawned an empire with investments in industries ranging from oil drilling to telecommunications. Forbes magazine listed Li as the world’s 14th-richest person this month, compared with 16th a year earlier, after his wealth increased 30 percent to $21 billion. To contact the reporters on this story: Mark Lee in Hong Kong at wlee37@bloomberg.net ; Chia-Peck Wong in Hong Kong at cpwong@bloomberg.net .

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Honeywell Boosts First-Quarter Profit Forecast as Customer Orders Improve

March 30, 2010

By Gopal Ratnam March 30 (Bloomberg) — Honeywell International Inc. , the maker of controls for planes and buildings, increased its first- quarter profit forecast because of stronger orders and improved sales in businesses including Turbo Technologies and automation. Profit will be 45 cents to 49 cents, the Morristown, New Jersey-based company said in a statement today. The company had previously forecast profit of 40 cents to 45 cents. The average estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was 44 cents. The company’s shares rose in late trading. “We continue to see signs of recovery throughout our portfolio and are encouraged by improving customer order trends in the first quarter,” Chief Executive Officer Dave Cote said in the statement. Honeywell rose $1.05, or 2.3 percent, to $46 at 5:21 p.m. in electronic trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The shares gained 62 percent in the 12 months through the close of regular trading today. The company said it will record a one-time charge of $13 million after taxes in the first quarter because of changes in the tax treatment of retiree drug benefits in the health-care law signed by President Barack Obama . Honeywell said it will announce first-quarter results April 23. To contact the reporter on this story: Gopal Ratnam in Washington at gratnam1@bloomberg.net .

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Japanese Business Sentiment Approaches Pre-Crisis Levels, Tankan May Show

March 30, 2010

By Keiko Ujikane and Minh Bui March 31 (Bloomberg) — The Bank of Japan’s Tankan survey will probably show that business sentiment improved for a fourth straight quarter, approaching levels before the global financial crisis intensified 18 months ago. The Tankan index of sentiment among large manufacturers will climb 11 points to minus 14 in March, according to the median forecast of 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. A negative number means pessimists outnumber optimists. Companies including Toshiba Corp. are investing again, a sign that companies have recovered from global fallout spurred by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. ’s collapse in September 2008. Signs of improvement may persuade central bank Governor Masaaki Shirakawa and his policy board to hold off on easing policy next week after already doubling a credit program to banks in March. “Concerns over a double-dip recession have receded considerably and corporate profits have turned up on export growth, which has improved business confidence,” said Hideo Kumano , chief economist at Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo and a former Bank of Japan official. “The Tankan could be used by the BOJ as evidence that the real economy is solid, if it’s asked to undertake more monetary easing.” Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama’s government has repeatedly called on the central bank to help stem deflation that threatens to stunt the nation’s recovery from its worst postwar recession. The survey may show a weaker yen and a rebound in the stock market also bolstered sentiment, according to Masahiko Hashimoto, an economist at Daiwa Institute of Research in Tokyo. Japan’s currency has fallen about 8 percent since surging to a 14-year high of 84.83 per dollar on Nov. 27. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average has gained more than 9 percent this month. Investing Again The report is due at 8:50 a.m. in Tokyo on April 1. Higher confidence is encouraging some companies to invest or pare back cutbacks in spending plans . Large enterprises plan to cut capital spending by 0.4 percent in the fiscal year starting April 1, according to the survey of economists. Toshiba, Japan’s biggest memory-chip maker, will start construction of a flash-memory plant in July, reviving a plan to expand production capacity that was shelved during the recession. The facility, a fifth production line at Toshiba’s manufacturing site in Yokkaichi, central Japan, will be completed by 2011, the Tokyo-based company said this month. “There’s no doubt that companies will increase spending little by little as demand in Asia is robust,” said Soichi Okuda , chief economist at Sumitomo Research Institute in Tokyo. “Yet, companies are more keen on investing in plant and equipment overseas, so a recovery in domestic investment should be gradual.” Uneven Recovery Improvements aren’t assured after reports this week indicated that the recovery is uneven. Industrial production fell in February and payroll cuts kept the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.9 percent, contrasting with data released earlier showing retail sales surged at the fastest pace since 1997 and exports advanced the most in 30 years. “The worst is over for Japan’s economy, but that just means the recovery’s bud is starting to bloom,” Okuda said. “It will be difficult to see a sustainable recovery in domestic demand anytime soon.” Twelve consecutive months of consumer-price declines also show that Japan has yet to overcome deflation, which may prompt the central bank to ease policy further even as sentiment recovers. The bank doubled a lending program for commercial banks to 20 trillion yen ($217 billion) following government calls for it to do more. Shirakawa and his policy board will meet on April 6-7. Government Pressure While the Tankan won’t suggest a need for more action “the BOJ may keep its commitment to an extremely accommodative monetary stance because the government will keep pressuring them as long as prices are falling,” said Daiwa’s Hashimoto. The central bank increased the number of companies it surveys in the report, which is regarded as Japan’s mostly closely watched gauge of business confidence. Under the new sample, confidence among large manufacturers was minus 25 in December, compared with the minus 24 initially reported, and companies projected they would cut spending 12.8 percent this fiscal year. The sentiment index has been improving since hitting a record low of minus 58 in March last year. The Tankan confidence index among large service companies will improve 3 points to minus 18 in March, according to the median estimate of economists, an indication that the “worst is over” for non-manufacturers, Okuda from Sumitomo Research said. To contact the reporter on this story: Keiko Ujikane in Tokyo at kujikane@bloomberg.net

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Google Now Blames Search Disruption on Chinese Firewall, Reversing Stance

March 30, 2010

By Brian Womack March 30 (Bloomberg) — Google Inc. , after earlier blaming a service disruption in China on changes to its search engine, now says the country’s government-controlled firewall caused the blockage. Service in China is now back to normal — without Google making any changes on its end — suggesting that the earlier disruption was caused by the firewall, the company said today in a statement. Google has clashed with China since January, when the company said that it would no longer censor search results there. Last week, Google started redirecting mainland Chinese users to its Hong Kong site, where officials typically don’t help China censor Web-search results. The company said earlier that its own changes prevented many users in China from carrying out Web searches on its Hong Kong site beginning yesterday. Users whose searches included phrases such as “Beijing Olympics” and “Beijing Metro” received error messages. The company had blamed the glitch on a series of letters that it added to the Web addresses of Google search pages — a change it now says it made a week ago. Those letters, “rfa,” are blocked by China’s so-called Great Firewall, Google said. “The Great Firewall was associating these searches with Radio Free Asia , a service that has been inaccessible in China for a long time — hence the blockage,” Google said earlier. Other Google services, including YouTube and Blogger, have been consistently blocked in mainland China, according to the company. Its general Web, images and news search features remain available, Google has said. Google, based in Mountain View, California, rose $4.26 to $566.71 at 4 p.m. New York time on the Nasdaq Stock Market . The shares have fallen 8.6 percent this year. To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Womack in San Francisco at Bwomack1@bloomberg.net

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The Zacks Mutual Fund Rank reveals its top 5 Real Estate funds: DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities A, JPMorgan US Real Estate A, Forward Select Income A, Cohen & Steers Realty Shares and Natixis AEW Real Estate A

March 30, 2010

CHICAGO – (Business Wire) Today Zacks.com features the Top 5 Real Estate Funds; DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities A (RRRAX), JPMorgan US Real Estate A (SUSIX), Forward Select Income A (KIFAX), Cohen & Steers Realty Shares (CSRSX) and Natixis AEW Real

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Plumas Bank Announces New Leadership

March 30, 2010

QUINCY, CA–(Marketwire – March 30, 2010) –  Plumas Bancorp ( NASDAQ : PLBC ), a bank holding company and the parent company of Plumas Bank, announced that the employment relationship with Douglas N. Biddle has ended as of March 26, 2010. Mr. Biddle had formerly been the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer.

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Tesoro Bets on Conoco’s Gregory Goff to Bolster Refining as Margins Sink

March 30, 2010

By Jessica Resnick-Ault March 30 (Bloomberg) — Tesoro Corp., the largest refiner in the western U.S., is betting that a ConocoPhillips vice president will help the company emerge intact after refining margins dropped by almost two-thirds since 2007. Tesoro, based in San Antonio, is expected to name Gregory Goff , a senior vice president at ConocoPhillips, to succeed retiring Chief Executive Officer Bruce Smith , according to two people familiar with the search. An announcement of Goff’s selection is expected by April 1, one of the people said. Goff plans to leave ConocoPhillips, according to an e-mail today from John Roper , a spokesman for the Houston-based company. In 29 years at ConocoPhillips, Goff, 53, has overseen trading and managed the company’s refining and marketing in Europe and the Asia Pacific region. Goff is responsible for the company’s supply and trading in his current post, according to a biography on the ConocoPhillips Web site . Goff didn’t return a telephone call for comment. “With positions in exploration and production including the Lower 48 and Latin America in addition to extensive downstream exposure, Goff is a well-rounded executive whose experience should prove helpful,” Ann Kohler , an analyst with Caris & Co. in New York said in an e-mailed comment. Goff could use a pipeline project in Panama through which Tesoro is shipping crude for “new commercial opportunities,” she said. Consultants suggested candidates from Marathon Oil Corp., Valero Energy Corp. and ConocoPhillips during Tesoro’s seven- month search for a replacement for Smith, 66, according to three people familiar with the recommendation process. Crude Strategy Tesoro has shifted its plant operations over the past four years from processing oil from Alaska and other sources to less expensive imports from Chad, Thailand, Peru, Russia and Ecuador, according to U.S. Energy Department data. Last year, the company said it had changed its oil-buying strategy again, keeping lower volumes in storage as it cut production due to lower demand. Goff’s experience supplying and trading crude may help the company reduce refinery supply costs even more, said one of the people familiar with the search. Goff is expected to join Tesoro as narrow refining profit margins have slashed the company’s earnings. Tesoro’s net income has fallen annually since 2006. The company reported a $140 million loss in 2009. Smith said in late 2008 that refining margins could be depressed for “a couple of years.” At that time, he announced a plan to reduce the company’s capital-spending budget and invest in smaller projects at its plants. Tesoro ended 2009 with $413 million of cash and cash equivalents, according to a company filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Borrowing Capacity Cut In late February, Tesoro’s borrowing capacity under a credit agreement was temporarily reduced because of failure to meet a term, according to the filing. As of Feb. 28, 2010, borrowing capacity was $1.3 billion before outstanding letters of credit of $711 million. Refining magnate Thomas O’Malley said he would look at Tesoro and other companies when asked last week about potential acquisitions. O’Malley, chairman of European refiner Petroplus Holdings AG and CEO of PBF Investments LLC, is pursuing two East Coast Valero refineries. Moving Forward By selecting an executive with trading and operating experience rather than a background selling assets and companies, Tesoro’s board has indicated that it’s going to try to operate the company going forward rather than enter into negotiations, according to the two people familiar with the executive search. In August 2009, Tesoro extended Smith’s contract until Dec. 31, 2011, to give him time to search for a successor. The company said at the time that Smith would continue to serve as non-executive chairman for up to one year after his successor was named, for an annual $1 salary. “The process of selecting a successor for Bruce has been under way since Bruce announced his retirement last year,” Lynn Westfall , Tesoro’s spokesman, said in a statement yesterday. Westfall didn’t respond to a request for comment today. Tesoro fell 7 cents to $13.63 as of 1:30 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. To contact the reporter on this story: Jessica Resnick-Ault in Calgary at jresnickault@bloomberg.net .

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U.S. Economy: Consumer Confidence Improves, Home Prices Rise

March 30, 2010

By Courtney Schlisserman March 30 (Bloomberg) — Consumers in the U.S. gained confidence in March as the gloom over job prospects began to lift, indicating employment will be central to preserving the recent acceleration in spending. The Conference Board’s confidence index rose to 52.5, exceeding the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, from 46.4 in February, according to figures today from the New York research group. Home prices unexpectedly rose in January for an eighth month, data also showed. “With signs of improvement in the labor market, confidence is more likely to be up than down in the next few months,” said James O’Sullivan , chief economist at MF Global Ltd. in New York, who forecast sentiment would pick up. “It’s still a low level of confidence.” Rising stock prices, a stabilizing housing market and fewer firings may be giving households hope that the recovery from the worst recession since the 1930s will be sustained. The 184,000 increase in payrolls economists project for this month shows it will take years for the economy to reverse the loss of 8.4 million jobs since the contraction began in December 2007. Stocks, which rose following the reports, erased gains as shares of financial and energy companies led the market lower. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.1 percent to 1,171.57 at 11:53 a.m. in New York. Economists forecast confidence would rise to 51 for the month from a previously reported 46, according to the median of 73 projections in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from 46.6 to 59. Confidence Averages The measure averaged 45 in 2009, and 97 during the expansion that ended in December 2007. Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose 0.3 percent in January, indicating the housing market is stabilizing as the economy expands. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index climbed from the prior month on a seasonally adjusted basis after a similar gain in December. Cheaper homes, low borrowing costs and government incentives have combined to support the housing market after its collapse helped trigger the recession. “It’s a temporary stabilization,” said Joseph Brusuelas , president of Brusuelas Analytics in Stamford, Connecticut, who had forecast a month-over-month gain in the adjusted index. “Foreclosures are still going to bite the market. Given the preponderance of negative housing data, we may see another leg down.” Data at Odds The S&P/Case-Shiller figures are at odds with other measures that have shown property values are again softening. A gauge of national single-family home values issued by First American CoreLogic’s LoanPerformance unit, the figures tracked by the Federal Reserve, showed prices dropped 1.9 percent in January, the fourth decrease in five months. The Conference Board’s measure of present conditions increased to 26, the highest level since May, from 21.7 in February. The gauge of expectations for the next six months rose to 70.2 from 62.9. The share of consumers who said jobs are plentiful advanced to 4.4 percent from 4 percent. The proportion of people who said jobs are hard to get decreased to 45.8, the fewest since August. More people also anticipated incomes and employment would improve in the next six months, the report showed. “Despite this month’s increase, consumers continue to express concern about current business and labor market conditions,” Lynn Franco , director of the Conference Board’s consumer research center, said in a statement. “Overall, consumer confidence levels have not changed significantly since last spring.” Spending Improves Consumer spending in February rose for a fifth consecutive month, figures from the Commerce Department yesterday showed. Best Buy Co. and Nike Inc., which have reported higher-than- anticipated profits, are among companies that may keep benefitting as the emerging recovery gives Americans the confidence to buy. Nike, the world’s largest maker of athletic shoes, said this month that third-quarter profit more than doubled as North America posted a sales increase for the first time in a year. Best Buy, the largest U.S. electronics retailer, last week reported sales climbed after the Richfield, Minnesota-based company cut prices on flat-panel TVs and offered discounts during the holidays. Fed officials this month signaled the U.S. recovery isn’t strong enough to stoke inflation, reduce unemployment quickly or justify an end to record-low interest rates. While the economy has “continued to strengthen,” policy makers said in a statement after their March 16 meeting that “employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls.” The projected increase in payrolls this month, based on the median forecasts of economists surveyed, would be the biggest in three years. Even so, the unemployment rate is projected to end the year at 9.5 percent, showing the labor market will continue to be a challenge to consumers this year, according to a survey of economists taken by Bloomberg earlier this month. To contact the reporter on this story: Courtney Schlisserman in Washington cschlisserma@bloomberg.net

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Massachusetts, Rhode Island Declare Rain Emergencies

March 30, 2010

By Aaron Clark March 30 (Bloomberg) — Massachusetts and Rhode Island declared emergencies and Boston recorded unprecedented rainfall as storms pounded the U.S. Northeast for a second day today. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick mobilized about 1,000 National Guard troops because of the threat of “beach erosion, major flooding and widespread road closures,” according to a statement on his Web site yesterday. “In some cases there has been two months of rain in the matter of a few days,” Tom Kines , a senior meteorologist for AccuWeather Inc., said in a telephone interview. “When you get that much rain over a few-day period, that spells trouble.” Boston’s Charles River is set to break the record crest of 9.24 feet reached in August 1955 after two hurricanes dumped more than 26 inches of rain on the region in less than two weeks, according to the National Weather Service. In Rhode Island, where officials warned of “historic flooding,” Governor Donald Carcieri urged residents to leave work early and head home, said a spokeswoman, Amy Kempe. As much as 8 inches of rain is expected in parts of Rhode Island before the three-day storm ends tomorrow, with the Pawtuxet and Blackstone basins hardest-hit, said the state’s Emergency Management Agency. Boston’s Logan Airport set a single-day record for rain after 1.96 inches fell yesterday, breaking the high of 1.85 inches set in 1984. Storm Upon Storm Flooding in the Northeast from two storms earlier this month caused more than $10 million in damage, drove residents from their homes as power failed and sewer systems backed up, and washed out a section of the Massachusetts Bay Transit Authority’s Green Line light rail service. An AccuWeather meteorologist, Jesse Ferrell, posted a radar loop showing, by his count, 22 storms hitting the Northeast since the official start of the winter season Dec. 1, with almost double the average amount of moisture. “The rain is still coming down very heavily and it has caused major street flooding, major street closures, throughout” Rhode Island, said Kempe. “The governor is recommending that individuals consider leaving work early to head home.” Mandatory evacuations are under way in the state, although Kempe said she did not know how many. State officials are monitoring Interstate 95, which runs from Maine to Florida, and will close it if necessary, she said. Rivers Rise The Pawtuxet River in Cranston, Rhode Island, set a flooding record of 15.07 feet at 9:45 a.m. and is expected to reach 17.5 feet by tomorrow, according to the weather service. The weather service projects the Charles River at Dover, Massachusetts, will reach 9.9 feet on April 1. The 1955 storms and flooding killed at least 180 people and caused more than $650 million in damage, including the complete or partial failures of more than 200 dams in southern New England, according to the National Weather Service. Both Boston and Providence, Rhode Island, have set records this month for the wettest March in history, AccuWeather said. An additional 1.06 inches had fallen at Logan Airport as of 10 a.m. today, according to the National Weather Service . March 2010 is already the fourth wettest-month in Boston history and may become the second-wettest. New York City had received a monthly total of 10.16 inches by early today, heading toward the March record of 10.54 inches set in 1983. About 150 people have evacuated their homes in the Fall River area in southeast Massachusetts because of flooding, said Peter Judge , a spokesman for the state’s Emergency Management Agency . Record flooding is forecast on the Sudbury and Assabet rivers, he said. “Every river in central and eastern Massachusetts is expected to be at well-above flood stage before this storm is over,” Judge said. To contact the reporter on this story: Aaron Clark in New York at aclark27@bloomberg.net

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Massachusetts, Rhode Island Declare Emergencies as Rain Pounds Northeast

March 30, 2010

By Aaron Clark March 30 (Bloomberg) — Massachusetts and Rhode Island declared emergencies and Boston recorded unprecedented rainfall as storms pounded the U.S. Northeast for a second day today. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick mobilized about 1,000 National Guard troops because of the threat of “beach erosion, major flooding and widespread road closures,” according to a statement on his Web site yesterday. “In some cases there has been two months of rain in the matter of a few days,” Tom Kines , a senior meteorologist for AccuWeather Inc., said in a telephone interview. “When you get that much rain over a few-day period, that spells trouble.” Boston’s Charles River is set to break the record crest of 9.24 feet reached in August 1955 after two hurricanes dumped more than 26 inches of rain on the region in less than two weeks, according to the National Weather Service. In Rhode Island, where officials warned of “historic flooding,” Governor Donald Carcieri urged residents to leave work early and head home, said a spokeswoman, Amy Kempe. As much as 8 inches of rain is expected in parts of Rhode Island before the three-day storm ends tomorrow, with the Pawtuxet and Blackstone basins hardest-hit, said the state’s Emergency Management Agency. Boston’s Logan Airport set a single-day record for rain after 1.96 inches fell yesterday, breaking the high of 1.85 inches set in 1984. Storm Upon Storm Flooding in the Northeast from two storms earlier this month caused more than $10 million in damage, drove residents from their homes as power failed and sewer systems backed up, and washed out a section of the Massachusetts Bay Transit Authority’s Green Line light rail service. An AccuWeather meteorologist, Jesse Ferrell, posted a radar loop showing, by his count, 22 storms hitting the Northeast since the official start of the winter season Dec. 1, with almost double the average amount of moisture. “The rain is still coming down very heavily and it has caused major street flooding, major street closures, throughout” Rhode Island, said Kempe. “The governor is recommending that individuals consider leaving work early to head home.” Mandatory evacuations are under way in the state, although Kempe said she did not know how many. State officials are monitoring Interstate 95, which runs from Maine to Florida, and will close it if necessary, she said. Rivers Rise The Pawtuxet River in Cranston, Rhode Island, set a flooding record of 15.07 feet at 9:45 a.m. and is expected to reach 17.5 feet by tomorrow, according to the weather service. The weather service projects the Charles River at Dover, Massachusetts, will reach 9.9 feet on April 1. The 1955 storms and flooding killed at least 180 people and caused more than $650 million in damage, including the complete or partial failures of more than 200 dams in southern New England, according to the National Weather Service. Both Boston and Providence, Rhode Island, have set records this month for the wettest March in history, AccuWeather said. An additional 1.06 inches had fallen at Logan Airport as of 10 a.m. today, according to the National Weather Service . March 2010 is already the fourth wettest-month in Boston history and may become the second-wettest. New York City had received a monthly total of 10.16 inches by early today, heading toward the March record of 10.54 inches set in 1983. About 150 people have evacuated their homes in the Fall River area in southeast Massachusetts because of flooding, said Peter Judge , a spokesman for the state’s Emergency Management Agency . Record flooding is forecast on the Sudbury and Assabet rivers, he said. “Every river in central and eastern Massachusetts is expected to be at well-above flood stage before this storm is over,” Judge said. To contact the reporter on this story: Aaron Clark in New York at aclark27@bloomberg.net

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Greek Seven-Year Bond Demand Seen as Gauge to Measure Need for EU Support

March 30, 2010

By Caroline Hyde and Sonja Cheung March 30 (Bloomberg) — Greece’s prospects of raising 35 billion euros ($47 billion) of debt this year to avoid a bailout from the European Union may depend on how investors receive the nation’s seven-year bonds on their first day of trading. Greece’s 5 billion euros of notes fell after the country sold the securities yesterday without offering a yield premium over existing debt. The government got 6 billion euros of orders for the notes, compared with 15 billion euros for the 10-year bonds it issued on March 4, when it offered an extra 32 basis points, bankers involved in the deals said. “The market will be looking to see how this deal performs over the next few days, which is the real test,” said Georg Grodzki , head of credit research at Legal & General Investment Management in London, which oversees more than 300 billion pounds ($449 billion) of assets. “Greece needs to set the stage for its next issue and it won’t be a good signal if the spreads move out on this new seven-year issue.” Prime Minister George Papandreou ’s government must raise as much as 10.5 billion euros by the end of May if it’s to avoid re-igniting the budget crisis that prompted the EU to step in with a rescue plan March 25. Yesterday’s sale was Greece’s first since EU leaders drafted the financial safety net. Greece’s Public Debt Management Agency said in January it needs to raise 53 billion euros of bonds in 2010. It has sold 18 billion euros so far. Bonds Fall The yield on the new notes rose to 6.27 percent as of 4:15 p.m. in London, up from 6 percent when they were issued yesterday, ABN Amro Bank NV prices show. Yields move inversely to bond prices. “The crucial message to the market is that we successfully raised another decent benchmark-size new issue,” Petros Christodoulou , head of the PDMA in Athens, said yesterday in an e-mailed comment. “We have prefunded the whole of April. Once the market digests that, it will realize that our refinancing risk is largely gone.” The new notes stayed lower after Greece’s surprise auction of 5.9 percent bonds maturing October 2022 today attracted demand for less than half the debt on offer. The country’s increase of its existing 12-year issue raised 390 million euros, compared with an upper limit of 1 billion euros, the PDMA said. Greece needs an average of almost 2 billion euros a month to cover the budget gap and interest payments on debt, according to its deficit-reduction plan. The nation is aiming to cut the deficit by 4 percentage points in 2010 from last year’s 12.7 percent of gross domestic product, before satisfying the EU’s 3 percent limit by 2012. Spread ‘Risk’ “We may see the price of the latest bond fall a bit, as there’s still volatility in the market and in general a risk of widening spreads as Greece contends with refinancing existing debt,” Tim Brunne , a credit strategist at UniCredit SpA in Munich, said before the notes started trading. Greece priced the seven-year securities to yield 310 basis points more than the benchmark swap rate, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The 6 percent yield at issue was the same as on the nation’s existing seven-year notes, according to composite prices on Bloomberg. That compares with 6.44 percent on the 10-year benchmark bonds it issued March 4 and 5.93 percent on five-year notes sold on Jan. 26, Bloomberg data show. A spokesman for ING Groep NV, one of the managers of the bond sale, couldn’t be reached for comment. Bankers from Bank of America Merrill Lynch also weren’t available. A London-based spokesman for Societe Generale SA declined to comment. Alpha Bank AE and Emporiki Bank SA were also hired to manage the transaction. Spain, Portugal While the seven-year bonds didn’t offer a yield premium over existing government debt, Greece paid investors switching out of comparable Spanish or Portuguese securities as much as five times the spread, according to prices on Bloomberg. The yield on the Greek bonds equates to 363 basis points more than benchmark seven-year German securities, compared with 334 basis points when the securities were issued. That compares with 63 basis points for similar-maturity Spanish debt and 115 basis points for Portugal’s bonds, Bloomberg data show. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. Greece will pay about 570 million euros more in interest over the lifetime of the new bonds than on bonds due July 2017 issued January 2007, according to Bloomberg calculations. ‘Next to No Premium’ “The new issue is offering next to no premium over existing debt and is therefore not a compelling trade,” said Louis Gargour , chief investment officer at hedge fund LNG Capital LLP in London, who didn’t buy the securities. “However, Greece has probably priced it tightly because investors expect that, from here on in, their debt will tighten as a result of expected assistance from IMF and Europe.” EU backing for Greece was “significant” in clarifying the willingness of Greece’s euro-area partners to act as a “lender of last resort” and to support an International Monetary Fund program if required, Fitch Ratings said in a statement yesterday. The IMF will impose conditions on Greece if the debt- stricken euro-region economy asks for assistance, Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said in an interview. “If, and it’s a big if, Greece asks for support, we will provide support for Greece as one of our members, as we do with any other member,” Strauss-Kahn said. “The IMF will define the conditionality, as we do with any country.” Spread Widens The extra yield investors demand to hold 10-year Greek notes rather than benchmark German bunds has risen 28 basis points since before the bond sale was announced, to 333 basis points. The difference was 239 at the start of this year and as high as 396 in January, compared with an average of about 60 basis points in the past 10 years. The cost of default insurance on Greece’s debt also rose, with credit-default swaps on the nation climbing 20 basis points to 335.5 basis points, according to CMA DataVision prices. The contracts, which pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent in the event of default, rose to 428 basis points on Feb. 4. A basis point on a contract protecting $10 million of debt from default for five years is equivalent to $1,000 a year. To contact the reporters on this story: Caroline Hyde in London chyde3@bloomberg.net ; Sonja Cheung in London at scheung58@bloomberg.net

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