March 2010

Canada- Yellow Media to buy Canpages for $221m

March 30, 2010

Canada- Yellow Media to buy Canpages for $221m

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Wendel posts a net loss in 2009

March 30, 2010

Wendel posts a net loss in 2009

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Swiss bank Credit Suisse goes strongly to India

March 30, 2010

Swiss bank Credit Suisse goes strongly to India

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Japan’s stocks close highest in 18 months

March 30, 2010

Japan’s stocks close highest in 18 months

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Daimler to boost commercial output in Brazil

March 30, 2010

Daimler to boost commercial output in Brazil

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British economy unexpectedly expands 0.4% in Q4

March 30, 2010

British economy unexpectedly expands 0.4% in Q4

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Ireland’s Aer Lingus posts $176m loss in 2009

March 30, 2010

Ireland’s Aer Lingus posts $176m loss in 2009

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Forex daily technical analysis – March 30

March 30, 2010

Forex daily technical analysis – March 30

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Forex daily technical analysis – March 30

March 30, 2010

Forex daily technical analysis – March 30

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Gindalbie signs $65b deal with China’s Angang

March 30, 2010

Gindalbie signs $65b deal with China’s Angang

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Geithner: Real estate loans still trouble the US

March 30, 2010

Geithner: Real estate loans still trouble the US

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NASA to join investigations in Toyota’s recall

March 30, 2010

NASA to join investigations in Toyota’s recall

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US consumer spending rises 0.3% in February

March 30, 2010

US consumer spending rises 0.3% in February

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Hong Kong plans new bourse laws, penalties up to $1m

March 30, 2010

Hong Kong plans new bourse laws, penalties up to $1m

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Cisco secures approvals for Tandberg acquisition

March 30, 2010

Cisco secures approvals for Tandberg acquisition

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Linc Energy secures A$81m in additional funding

March 30, 2010

Linc Energy secures A$81m in additional funding

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Bermuda’s tourism decline 11% in 2009, amid crisis

March 30, 2010

Bermuda’s tourism decline 11% in 2009, amid crisis

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Europe Ahead: United Kingdom fourth quarter GDP final reading unrevised

March 30, 2010

Europe Ahead: United Kingdom fourth quarter GDP final reading unrevised

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Nissan to sell electric car for $40,000 in Japan

March 30, 2010

Nissan to sell electric car for $40,000 in Japan

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Female suicide bombers kill dozens on Moscow metro

March 30, 2010

Female suicide bombers kill dozens on Moscow metro

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Editorial: Moscow bombings

March 30, 2010

Editorial: Moscow bombings

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Japanese factory output falls 0.9% in February

March 30, 2010

Japanese factory output falls 0.9% in February

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U.K. Economy Expands at Faster-Than-Estimated 0.4% Pace in Fourth Quarter

March 30, 2010
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UBS Fixed-Income Revenue Said to Reach $2.3 Billion

March 30, 2010

By Jacqueline Simmons March 30 (Bloomberg) — UBS AG generated about $2.3 billion of revenue at its fixed-income division in the first quarter as Switzerland’s biggest bank rebuilt the unit following record losses, people with knowledge of the situation said. UBS may have revenue of almost $1 billion from credit alone, said the people, who declined to be identified because the figures haven’t been publicly released. UBS hired about 350 people at its fixed-income unit, which includes emerging markets and foreign exchange, in the past 12 months. The performance would mark a reversal of fortune for the bank’s debt unit, which was responsible for most of the more than $57 billion in writedowns and losses during the credit crisis. UBS, in a statement today, said the figure of about $2.3 billion is “slightly higher” than its current estimate for the period. Zurich-based UBS had a loss of 1.97 billion Swiss francs ($1.85 billion) from fixed-income sales and trading in the first quarter of 2009, the company reported. “The relative progress for UBS’s fixed-income has to be good because they barely made any revenue in 2009,” said Dirk Hoffmann-Becking , an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein in London. “Whether you get back to a top five position in fixed income, which is where the profit is, is another issue.” UBS rose as much as 5.2 percent in Swiss trading, the most since August, and was 63 centimes, or 3.8 percent, higher at 17.23francs by 12:20 p.m. Zurich time. The stock has advanced 7.4 percent in 2010. Possible ‘Adjustments’ In its statement, UBS said that “because the quarter has not ended and results to date are subject to possible fair value adjustments, including those relating to own credit,” the estimate of about $2.3 billion “may not be reliable.” UBS will publish first quarter results on May 4. Banks are profiting from trading and selling debt as credit markets recover to levels not seen since 2007. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ’s fixed-income, currencies and commodities unit will probably report revenue of $6.8 billion for the first quarter, up from $4 billion in the fourth quarter and $6.6 billion in the first quarter of 2009, according to a note from Richard Staite , an analyst at Atlantic Equities. He rates New York-based Goldman Sachs “overweight.” UBS’s hires so far this year include Thomas Siegmund , formerly of Nomura Holdings Inc. , and Shahryar Mahbub , previously at New York-based Citigroup Inc., to co-head fixed- income Asia, people close to the bank said. UBS also hired Edward Hubner and two other credit traders from Deutsche Bank AG in New York, according to the people. Turnaround ‘Central’ The fixed-income unit is composed of three businesses: credit, emerging markets and “macro,” including foreign exchange, money market and interest-rate sales and trading. A turnaround at the debt unit will be “central” to the bank’s goal of reaching an annual pretax profit of 15 billion francs in three to five years, UBS said in November. Carsten Kengeter , 42, gave up his role as co-head of fixed income in January to focus on his position as co-chief of UBS’s investment bank. Alexander Wilmot-Sitwell , 49, leads the investment bank with Kengeter. UBS named Rajeev Misra , 48, and Dimitri Psyllidis , 43, co- heads of the fixed-income division in January. Misra, who left Deutsche Bank in June 2008, joined UBS last year as global head of credit at its investment bank. Psyllidis, formerly of Merrill Lynch, joined the Swiss bank last year to head foreign exchange and rates trading globally. Revenue Targets UBS aims to generate about 40 percent of the investment bank’s total revenue from fixed income in three-to-five years, or at least 8 billion francs annually. That would return fixed- income revenue to the levels achieved before the credit crisis led to record losses at the bank. A recovery at the investment bank, which includes equities and investment banking as well as fixed income, helped the bank report its first profit in more than a year last month. The bank said on Feb. 9 net income was 1.21 billion francs in the fourth quarter, compared with a loss of 9.56 billion francs in the year-earlier period. UBS aims to reach an annual pretax profit of 6 billion francs at the investment bank over the next three to five years, after losses since 2007. To contact the reporters responsible for this story: Jacqueline Simmons in Paris at jackiem@bloomberg.net .

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OPEC, Energy Agencies to Unveil Action Plan to Combat Oil-Price Volatility

March 30, 2010

By Margot Habiby and Peter Millard March 30 (Bloomberg) — OPEC, the International Energy Agency and the International Energy Forum will announce a “joint action plan” this week to combat oil-market volatility, IEA Executive Director Nobuo Tanaka said. The plan will tackle “volatility of the price and other issues like the outlook of the energy market,” he told reporters yesterday before the biennial IEF ministerial meeting that starts today in Cancun, Mexico. “We’ll have closer dialogue with our organizations and we’ll see what we can do.” The accord involves pooling expertise and sharing data to improve transparency, two people with direct knowledge of the plan said. They declined to be identified because the information hadn’t been made public. Details of the agreement will be announced March 31 at the end of the meeting. Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi and U.S. Deputy Energy Secretary Daniel Poneman , representing the world’s biggest oil exporter and the largest consumer, are among officials from more than 60 countries attending the gathering. Chief executive officers from some of the largest oil companies, including Exxon Mobil Corp. ’s Rex Tillerson and Royal Dutch Shell Plc ’s Peter Voser , will join a concurrent business forum. IEF Secretary General Noe van Hulst said in an interview on March 28 in Cancun that oil producers and consumers, trying to avoid a repeat of the $115 a-barrel price swing in 2008, will seek a “broad agreement” to combat volatility. “The better the market is informed about what happened in the past, what’s happening in the present and what will happen in the future, the less room there will be for, say, unfounded speculation and second-guessing,” he said. G-8 Mandate The Group of Eight nations called for measures to curb volatility in energy prices in July at its L’Aquila, Italy, meeting, to enable oil producers to plan their spending. The G- 8’s formal statement called for continued dialogue between energy producing, consuming and transit countries through the Riyadh-based IEF. Members account for more than 90 percent of global oil and gas supply and demand. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the IEA and IEF “should work hard together to reduce volatility,” OPEC Secretary-General Abdalla El-Badri told reporters in Cancun yesterday. He called the IEF “a good vehicle” for dialogue. El-Badri also applauded the U.S. for “putting some brakes on speculation. It’s a positive step in the right direction.” Oil’s climb to a record $147.27 a barrel in 2008 led regulators in the U.S. and U.K., home to the world’s two major oil exchanges, to consider trading limits on the commodity. CFTC Limits The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which oversees more than $5 trillion in daily trading, in January proposed adding limits to the energy markets as part of a government campaign to prevent individuals or companies from gaining too much control of a commodity market. The market needs better data on supply, demand and output levels from all producing and consuming countries, particularly those from nations outside the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Van Hulst said. Improvements in futures-market transparency are also needed, he said. Non-OECD countries such as China and India are forecast to drive energy-demand growth after the global economic recession. “Transparency is one of the themes of the times, particularly after 2008,” Daniel Yergin , chairman of IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, said in an interview earlier this month in Houston. “Understanding demand better on a global basis, particularly where the growth is, and at the same time better understanding supply would at least ground markets more in the realities of supply and demand.” Implied Volatility Oil prices traded between $32.40 a barrel and $147.27 a barrel in 2008. Implied volatility for at-the-money options expiring in 30 days, a measure of expected price swings in the futures contract and a key gauge of options prices, climbed to 105 percent at the end of 2008. Implied volatility fell to 27.8 percent on March 26, the lowest level since Dec. 24, 2007. Oil has traded in a $68-to-$84 range since October. Sudden accelerations in oil prices hurt consumers because they cause inflation and reduce spending, curbing economic growth. A plunge in prices affects investment in future supplies by both publicly traded and state-owned oil companies. “Being against excess volatility is kind of like being against world hunger,” said David Kirsch , the Kansas City, Kansas-based director of oil markets at consultant PFC Energy. “Who’s for it? At the end of the day, what are you going to do about it?” Crude for May delivery rose $2.17, or 2.7 percent, to $82.17 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange yesterday, the highest settlement since March 18 and the biggest gain since Feb. 16. The increase caused implied volatility to rebound to 28.5 percent. Oil was at $82.12 in after-hours trading at 10:46 a.m. in Singapore. To contact the reporters on this story: Margot Habiby in Cancun, Mexico at mhabiby@bloomberg.net ; Peter Millard in Cancun, Mexico, at pmillard1@bloomberg.net .

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Fed’s Evans Sees Jobless Staying Above 9% This Year, Affirms Rate Policy

March 30, 2010

By Susan Li and Vivien Lou Chen March 30 (Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said the U.S. jobless rate may remain higher than 9 percent at the end of this year, underscoring the potential need to keep interest rates low into 2011. The unemployment rate may be “nine and a quarter” at the end of 2010, and higher than 7 percent at the end of 2011, Evans said in an interview with Bloomberg Television today in Hong Kong. A government report this week may show the rate was 9.7 percent in March, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. Evans’s outlook reflects concern that the U.S. recovery from its deepest postwar recession isn’t yet strong enough for employers to rehire fired workers and absorb new entrants to the workforce. The Fed’s rate-setting Open Market Committee said this month that the “substantial” slack in the economy will keep inflation subdued for some time. Evans, who visited Shanghai and Beijing last week on a trip to meet with businesspeople, economists and academics, reaffirmed the Fed’s intention to keep borrowing costs low for an “extended period” as policy makers try to generate a self- sustaining recovery. The Chicago Fed chief is scheduled to speak on financial regulation later today at a conference in Hong Kong. Job Report The Labor Department’s April 2 report may show the largest employment increase in three years, with payrolls climbing in March by 184,000, based on the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Such a reading would be a “huge improvement,” said Evans, 52, who has led the Chicago Fed since September 2007 and doesn’t vote on the FOMC this year. At the same time, not all employers are ready to ramp up hiring. J.M. Smucker Co. — the maker of jams, Folgers coffee and Jif peanut butter — and Brown University in Providence, Rhode Island are among those that have announced further job cuts this month. The economy has lost 8.4 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007, the most of any downturn in the postwar era. Gross domestic product shrank for five of the six quarters through June 2009. The subsequent rebound has been driven mostly by a restocking of inventories, Evans said March 24. GDP Advance GDP expanded at a 5.6 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter, the fastest pace in six years, figures from the Commerce Department showed last week. Evans reiterated his view today that the U.S. central bank is likely to maintain an “accommodative” interest-rate stance for at least six months to support the momentum of economic growth. His views contrast with those of officials such as Kansas City Fed president Thomas Hoenig , who favors abandoning the Fed’s pledge. Hoenig, currently the longest-serving president of one of the Fed’s 12 district banks, warned that the expectation of exceptionally low levels of rates for an extended period “could lead to the buildup of financial imbalances,” the Fed said in its policy statement earlier this month. Evans said at a press briefing earlier today that faster rate increases after 2003 might have helped attenuate the boom in housing, construction and property values that preceded the financial crisis. “With hindsight, I probably would have preferred a quicker increase in the short-term funds rate,” he said. Rate Debate San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen and Richard Fisher of the Dallas Fed have also indicated the central bank held borrowing costs lower than it should have in the aftermath of the 2001 recession. Alan Greenspan , who was Fed chairman from 1987 until 2006, blames low global long-term rates for the housing bubble. Yellen, who served as a governor on the Washington-based Fed board from 1994 to 1997 when Greenspan was at the helm, told a conference last June that “higher short-term interest rates probably would have restrained the demand for housing” and “slowed the pace of house price increases” before the bubble burst in 2006. The inflation-adjusted rate target was “held lower longer that it should have been,” Fisher said in a Nov. 2, 2006, speech. “That amplified speculative activity in the housing and other markets.” For Related News and Information: Top Stories: TOP Federal Reserve links: FED Credit crunch page: WWCC Fed balance-sheet figures: ALLX FARW Fed Web links: FRBM

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Primerica Sells at a Discount in IPO as Citigroup Dismantles Weill’s Deals

March 30, 2010

By Michael Tsang, Craig Trudell and Michael J. Moore March 30 (Bloomberg) — Primerica Inc., the insurance business that Sanford I. “Sandy” Weill used to build Citigroup Inc., is selling shares in an initial public offering at a discount to its competitors. Primerica plans to raise $252 million tomorrow, a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission and Bloomberg data showed. At the middle of its price range, the Duluth, Georgia- based distributor of consumer-finance products from term-life insurance to mutual funds would be valued at 6.74 times earnings after accounting for its planned reorganization. That’s 29 percent less than the median for U.S. life and health-insurance providers, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Citigroup Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit is dismantling the company Weill built spending about $50 billion on Travelers Corp., Salomon Inc. and Citicorp during the 1990s to offer everything from insurance to stock broking and branch banking. The sale comes after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s rally to an 18-month high spurred a rebound in the IPO market. “The Primerica deal reflects a shift from the financial supermarket model , where instead of being good at a lot of things, a company like Citigroup ended up being mediocre at everything,” said James Dailey , who oversees $140 million as chief investment officer at TEAM Financial Asset Management LLC in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. “Primerica could fetch a reasonable price. It’s been around a long time, its brand is established.” Primerica is one of four U.S. companies scheduled to sell shares through initial offerings this week. IPO Rebound All five IPOs since March 15 have priced within or above their forecast range as the S&P 500 extended a rebound from its 2010 low on Feb. 8 to 11 percent . The previous 14 deals since the start of the year had been cut by 24 percent on average, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Carlyle Group’s Windsor, Connecticut-based SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc. , which sells trading and investment management software to the financial industry, and Meru Networks Inc. of Sunnyvale, California, which makes Wi-Fi networking equipment, are scheduled to price their IPOs today. Carlyle, the Washington-based buyout firm that oversees $89 billion, won’t sell SS&C shares in the $161 million offering. Tengion Inc. , the East Norriton, Pennsylvania-based company trying to grow replacement organs and tissues, is also set to hold its IPO this week, according to Bloomberg data. Primerica , which has 100,000 representatives selling financial services to households with $30,000 to $100,000 in annual income, earned $495 million in 2009, an almost threefold increase from a year earlier. Relative Value Net income rebounded after declining 72 percent in 2008, when Primerica wrote down some of its goodwill, or the amount paid above the net asset value in an acquisition. As part of its reorganization, Primerica will transfer 80 percent to 90 percent of the “risk and rewards” from the life insurance policies that it sold and distribute $622 million in assets to Citigroup before the IPO, according to the filing. That includes a $454 million one-time dividend to Citigroup. At the middle of its $12 to $14 price range, the company is valued at 6.74 times its 2009 per-share income of $1.93, after taking into account a decrease in revenue and profit that would have taken place if the reorganization occurred on Jan. 1, 2009, according to its filing and data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s less than the median 9.52 times price-earnings ratio for 23 publicly-traded U.S. life and health-insurance providers, Bloomberg data show. Prudential, Ameriprise Prudential Financial Inc. of Newark, New Jersey, the second-largest life insurer, and Ameriprise Financial Inc. , the Minneapolis-based financial planning and services firm, command higher valuations, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Primerica lists the two companies among its biggest competitors. Buyers of Primerica’s IPO will own 24 percent of the insurance firm after the offering. They will also be investing alongside New York-based Warburg Pincus LLC, which oversees $30 billion. The private- equity firm agreed to buy 17.2 million shares, or a 23 percent stake, in a private sale at the IPO midpoint price, and warrants to purchase 4.3 million shares at a 20 percent premium. Warburg’s stake may increase to 33 percent if the firm exercises its right to buy additional shares from Citigroup. “It’s a ‘fire sale’ by Citi,” Francis Gaskins , president of IPOdesktop.com in Marina del Rey, California, said in an e- mail. Also, “the IPO investor can get in on the same terms as Warburg. There appears little, if any, risk in this IPO at $13.” Credit Markets All proceeds will go to New York-based Citigroup, which is serving as the lead underwriter for the sale. Primerica is part of Citi Holdings, the collection of businesses that Citigroup’s Pandit said he would sell, wind down or restructure. Pandit is dismantling Weill’s empire after loans and investments tied to the U.S. subprime mortgage market led to $47.6 billion in losses since the last quarter of 2007. Citigroup took a taxpayer-funded bailout after the credit markets froze, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed and Bear Stearns Cos. and Merrill Lynch & Co. were forced to sell themselves. All three companies were based in New York. Weill used Primerica to build Citigroup through a series of acquisitions. In 1992, Primerica bought a 27 percent stake in Travelers, then took over the company a year later for $3.3 billion, keeping Travelers’ name and umbrella logo. The company acquired Salomon in 1997 and in 1998 merged with Citicorp in a $37.4 billion deal to create Citigroup. “This provides an important message that Citi is prepared to shed assets which clearly do not fit the current strategy, even if they have well-known brands,” said Richard Staite , a London-based analyst who covers financial institutions at Atlantic Equities LLP. “It’s a high-profile sale.” To contact the reporters on this story: Michael Tsang in New York at mtsang1@bloomberg.net ; Craig Trudell in New York at ctrudell1@bloomberg.net ; Michael J. Moore in New York at mmoore55@bloomberg.net .

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Emerging-Market Stocks Climb to 10-Week High; Greek Bonds Drop After Sale

March 30, 2010

By Gavin Serkin March 30 (Bloomberg) — Emerging-market stocks rose to a 10-week high as oil traded above $82 a barrel on speculation the world economic recovery is strengthening, while Greek stocks and bonds fell after the government sold debt. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index climbed 0.5 percent at 10:30 a.m. in London and the MSCI World Index of stocks in 23 developed markets rose for a fourth day. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index were little changed. Crude oil held above $82 a barrel in New York trading. Greece’s seven-year notes sold yesterday lost value compared with German bunds. U.S. payrolls may have increased by the most in three years in March, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists before a government report April 2, and consumer spending rose in February for a fifth month. Britain’s economy grew faster than economists had predicted in the fourth quarter, while Ireland was scheduled to announce plans to buy banks’ toxic assets. “The market is looking for an excuse to buy risk,” Jim Reid , a strategist at Deutsche Bank AG in London, wrote in a research note. “We will keep a close eye on developments in Ireland and its banking sector. Greece is still paying a high price for funding which will make its ongoing fiscal consolidation efforts more difficult.” Dubai, Romania Dubai’s DFM General rallied 1 percent while Romania’s BET index rose 0.7 percent and South Africa’s FTSE/JSE Africa All Share Index climbed 0.7 percent. The ruble gained 0.6 percent to the highest level in a week against the dollar as yesterday’s gain in oil prices improved the outlook for the world’s biggest energy exporter. South Korea’s won climbed for a third day, the longest winning streak in three weeks, on speculation the nation’s improving economy will spur overseas demand for assets. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1 percent to a 10-week high, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.2 percent and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of Hong Kong-traded shares jumped 1.6 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.3 percent as people with knowledge of the situation said UBS AG , Switzerland’s biggest bank by client assets, generated about $2.3 billion of fixed- income revenue in the first quarter. Allied Irish Banks Plc plummeted 15 percent in Dublin for the biggest two-day drop in a year before a government report on bank capital requirements. U.S. Futures Futures on the S&P 500 gained 0.1 percent before reports on U.S. home prices and consumer confidence. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values in 20 cities may have dropped 0.3 percent in January from a month earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the median forecast of 18 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The New York-based Conference Board’s sentiment index probably climbed to 51 in March from 46 last month. Credit-default swaps on Greek sovereign debt rose for a second day, climbing 11 basis points to 327.5, the highest in a week, according to CMA DataVision. Swaps on Ireland increased 1 basis point to 135.5, Spain was 2 higher at 114.5 and Portugal advanced 1 basis point to 135.5. The yield premium on the Greek seven-year security widened about 5 basis points to 339 basis points over benchmark German debt, according to ING Groep NV prices on Bloomberg. The 10-year Greek bond yield jumped 15 basis points to 6.47 percent, and the difference in yield, or spread , with benchmark 10-year bunds widened 14 basis points to 330 basis points, based on Bloomberg generic prices. Copper for delivery in three months fell 0.3 percent to $7,744.75 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange. Gold added 0.1 percent to $1,110.85 an ounce. The dollar traded near a one-week low against the euro as mounting evidence the global economy is improving damped demand for the perceived safety of the U.S. currency. The pound climbed against all 16 of its most-traded peers after the report showing the U.K. economy expanded 0.4 percent. To contact the reporter for this story: Gavin Serkin at gserkin@bloomberg.net

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Subprime Debt Rallies as U.S. Enhances Loan Aid: Credit Markets

March 30, 2010
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IPad Weekend Sales Are Anyone’s Guess as Analysts Shy Away From Estimates

March 30, 2010

By Connie Guglielmo March 30 (Bloomberg) — When it comes to predicting how many iPads Apple Inc. will sell this weekend, Piper Jaffray & Co. analyst Gene Munster has little company among Wall Street analysts in making a guess. In the weeks before Apple began selling the iPhone in 2007, analysts and technology pundits prognosticated about how many would be snapped up in the first few days. With the iPad, Munster is estimating first weekend sales of 200,000 — a figure his rivals say is too difficult to predict. The sticking point: It’s unclear how consumers will respond to the iPad, an untested category of computer that’s bigger than a smartphone and less powerful than a laptop. Apple is also offering multiple versions of the device, though only three are available on day one. “This is a big revolutionary device, but it’s a new market,” said Katy Huberty at Morgan Stanley in New York. “A lot of potential consumers are still questioning what it may be used for.” Investors look to new products from Apple Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs to spur sales and profit, which reached a record last quarter on demand for the iPhone and Macintosh computer. Anticipation for the iPad, which goes on sale April 3, helped drive Apple stock to an all-time high of $233.87 yesterday. Stake Out Munster, who has recommended buying Apple shares since June 2004, expects iPad sales of 2.8 million in 2010. He’s sending analysts to stake out stores in six cities to gauge early demand. “We’ll measure lines and get a pulse of the excitement,” Munster said. “If we go to the New York store and there are four people, that’s not a good sign.” Apple, based in Cupertino, California, started taking early orders for the iPad on March 12, offering consumers the choice of home delivery or collecting them in stores. That will help the company gauge demand and figure out where it needs the most inventory, said Shaw Wu , an analyst at Kaufman Bros. in San Francisco. “We’ve seen focus groups and market studies trying to predict demand, but the reality is you don’t really know until you know,” said Wu, who recommends buying Apple shares. “I’m not taking any guesses.” Apple isn’t disclosing early order numbers and won’t say whether it will disclose opening weekend sales, as it’s done in the past for the iPhone, said spokeswoman Natalie Kerris . Weekend Sales Last weekend, Apple moved back the shipping date for new iPad orders to April 12. Customers who previously placed orders will still get the device on April 3. The move fueled speculation that demand for the iPad is higher than Apple expected, Huberty said. Apple rose $1.49 to $232.39 yesterday in Nasdaq Stock Market trading . The shares have gained 10 percent this year. Jobs unveiled the iPad in January, showing off a tablet computer with a 9.7-inch (25-centimeter) touch screen that can serve up Web pages, e-mail, music, videos, games, electronic books and iPhone applications. While analysts are shying away from predicting initial iPad demand, they are taking a stab at sales for the full year. Even those vary widely. Huberty and David Bailey of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. both estimate sales of as many as 6 million in 2010. Ben Reitzes of Barclays Capital in New York puts the number at 5 million. Wu of Kaufman Bros. estimates 2 million to 2.5 million. Huberty said yesterday that she expects Apple will sell 750,000 iPads in the quarter ending in June. Wi-Fi Models The first three iPad models to go on sale in the U.S. work with Wi-Fi networks, and they start at $499. Three more versions will follow at the end of April. Those work with third- generation wireless phone networks and cost from $629. Most buyers will likely opt for the Wi-Fi versions because they are cheaper and don’t require wireless fees, Wu said. Munster estimates that 80 percent of all iPads sold will be the Wi-Fi models. Still, it’s often difficult to predict what consumers will go for, Wu said. “There’s always the customer who wants it all and who can afford it all, so they may have no problem buying the 3G model,” he said. Andy Hargreaves , an analyst at Pacific Crest Securities in Portland, Oregon, also said he won’t predict iPad demand for the first weekend. Early sales aren’t meaningful because it will take some time for consumers to understand the differences between Apple’s tablet and cheap notebook computers, he said. “The potential audience is anyone who sits on the couch and wants to surf the Internet or anyone who sits on the couch and wants to read a book,” said Hargreaves, who estimates Apple will sell 5.3 million iPads this year. “While the value proposition isn’t immediately clear, the thing is so flexible.” To contact the reporter on this story: Connie Guglielmo in San Francisco at cguglielmo1@bloomberg.net

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Vivendi’s Levy Looks to Emerging Markets for Next Lady Gaga, Guitar Hero

March 30, 2010

By Cécile Daurat and Matthew Campbell March 30 (Bloomberg) — Vivendi SA and its competitors must extend the reach of content such as video games and music into emerging markets to remain global media leaders, Chief Executive Officer Jean-Bernard Levy said. “We can’t stay in a situation where the content companies make almost all of their money out of 10 countries” in the developed world, Levy, 55, said yesterday in an interview at Bloomberg’s New York headquarters. “You cannot say you are a global content company if in some way or other you do not properly address a few billion out of these emerging countries’ populations.” Vivendi, owner of the world’s largest video-game and music companies, may use cash from the $5.8 billion sale of its stake in NBC Universal for emerging-market purchases , or to buy out minority investors in some of its units, Levy has said. He moved into Brazil in November with the purchase of fixed-line phone company GVT Holding SA, agreeing to pay $4.18 billion. Levy’s immediate goal is for GVT to offer more content for its broadband services and to expand into new Brazilian regions. Entering the mobile-phone market is “not a priority,” he said. Meanwhile, he aims to boost emerging-market revenue at the Activision Blizzard games unit, publisher of “Guitar Hero” and “World of Warcraft,” and Universal Music Group. Vivendi, based in Paris, closed unchanged at 19.85 euros yesterday in Paris trading . The stock has dropped 4.5 percent this year. Universal Music Last year, almost three-quarters of Vivendi’s total sales came from France, where it owns the second-largest mobile-phone operator, and the U.S., where Universal Music is based. About 8 percent came from Morocco, where Vivendi owns Maroc Telecom, the largest phone operator. The proportion of business from new markets should rise at Universal Music, Levy said. The unit’s artists include Lady Gaga and the Black Eyed Peas. “We will have missed a lot of opportunities if, 5 or 10 years down the road, we still do only a very tiny part of our revenues outside” developed nations such as Canada, the U.S. and Japan, he said. Vivendi may be able to squeeze more growth out of emerging markets through content businesses than through telecommunications, Claudio Aspesi , an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein in London, said by phone. “They may very well have realized there are limits to their aspirations” as more companies seek acquisitions in emerging-market telecommunications, he said. Africa, Latin America To enter the Brazilian telecom industry through GVT, Vivendi first had to outbid Telefonica SA , whose Telesp unit has a 28 percent market share for fixed-line services. Vivendi raised its bid from about $3 billion to top the Spanish company. Last month, India’s Bharti Airtel Ltd. agreed to buy Zain’s African operations for about $9 billion. Vivendi had earlier been in talks to acquire the assets to expand telecom service from North Africa, the home of its Maroc Telecom unit, to elsewhere on the continent. France Telecom SA , whose Orange mobile-phone service is France’s most popular, has also targeted African expansion. So far, Vivendi’s ambitions to enter new markets have focused on Africa and Latin America. China and India present complex questions for the communications group, Levy said. “There are many industries where you can operate in China, and there are also many industries where you can’t operate,” he said. “You can’t get a telecom license, you can’t get a TV license, and you have to find the right local partners for anything that’s Internet-related. That’s the rule of the game today for us.” India Competition While the Indian mobile-phone market is “very exciting,” Levy said, “it seems that it’s very difficult to make money” as a phone company due to price competition and expensive wireless spectrum. India, one of the world’s fastest-growing mobile-phone markets, has 11 operators including Japan’s NTT DoCoMo Inc. and Norway’s Telenor ASA. Call rates have fallen to less than a penny a minute. Vivendi’s Canal Plus unit, France’s biggest pay-TV operator, has expanded to French-speaking emerging markets like West Africa and the Caribbean, and announced a partnership with VTV, Vietnam’s state television network, to deliver pay-TV in the Southeast Asian country. Content like that generated by Canal Plus “is a very scalable business,” Alexander Wisch , an analyst at Standard & Poor’s Equity Research in London, said by phone. Still, he said, Vivendi will have to be careful to avoid overpaying for assets if it seeks more acquisitions abroad. “Everywhere they go, people know they have the cash,” he said. To contact the reporters on this story: Cécile Daurat in Wilmington, Delaware, at cdaurat@bloomberg.net ; Matthew Campbell in London at mcampbell39@bloomberg.net

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New York Airports Top List of Worst Delays With 41 of 50 Tardiest Flights

March 30, 2010

By Mary Schlangenstein and Mary Jane Credeur March 30 (Bloomberg) — After meetings in New York, Chris Nagy often went home on Continental Airlines Inc. ’s 7:30 p.m. flight to Omaha, Nebraska. It was so reliably late he could eat a leisurely dinner before going to New Jersey’s Newark airport. “I knew it was never going to leave on time, and sure enough I’d get there at 8 or 8:30 and they wouldn’t even be close to boarding,” said Nagy, 45, managing director of order routing sales and strategy for TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. Thousands of travelers at New York’s three major airports shared experiences like Nagy’s, whose Flight 2558 arrived late half the time in 2009 by an average 61 minutes. Of the country’s 50 tardiest flights, 41 started or ended at Newark or New York’s LaGuardia and Kennedy airports, according to data compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics for Bloomberg News. The figures offer the first full-year glimpse at delays on individual routes in the biggest U.S. aviation market and the ripple effect across the nation. The statistics agency ranked almost 3,400 flights based on how often they arrived late, which is defined as 15 minutes or more beyond schedule. “It’s part of the cost of doing business in the chronically congested New York area,” said Michael Derchin , a CRT Capital Group LLC analyst who previously worked for billionaire Julian Robertson ’s Tiger Management LLC. “You just have to expect a certain amount of delays.” Delay Cost New York-area flights make up 12 percent of operations at the 35 largest airports while accounting for almost half the delays, according to the Air Transport Association. Industrywide delays may have cost U.S. carriers as much as $17 billion in 2009, including spending on wasted fuel and crew pay, the Washington-based trade group said yesterday. Carriers affected by New York tie-ups include Delta Air Lines Inc. , which has a hub at Kennedy; AMR Corp.’s American Airlines , second-largest in the world behind Delta and operator of bases at Kennedy and LaGuardia; Continental , which has a Newark hub; and New York-based JetBlue Airways Corp. Airlines keep their chronically delayed flights to preserve “use it or lose it” landing rights at airports such as LaGuardia where the U.S. government controls access, said Jeff Straebler , a fixed-income strategist at RBS Securities Inc. The solution, Continental and other airlines said, is to upgrade the U.S. air-traffic control system. The federal data offer clues on how airlines manage congestion: All but eight of the most-delayed flights involved regional carriers such as Delta’s Comair unit and Continental partner ExpressJet Holdings Inc. ‘Very Proactive’ “They’re very proactive in choosing ‘this is the flight that’s going to take the hit’ because they want to minimize cost and passenger irritation from missed connections or late arrivals,” said Straebler, who like CRT’s Derchin is based in Stamford, Connecticut. Continental moved Flight 2558, operated by ExpressJet , to 9 p.m. Nagy said it still rarely leaves before 10:30 p.m., arriving in the wee hours the next day. He said passengers on the 50-seat Embraer 145 jet dubbed it the “Midnight Pencil.” “If you’re on a little regional jet like that, the airlines are like ‘Sorry guys, but you’re gonna sit on the tarmac for two hours to clear all the big jets out first, then you can take off,’” said Nagy, who estimated he flies about 125,000 miles a year. New York-area delays reinforce the need to “modernize the nation’s antiquated air-traffic control system,” said Julie King , a spokeswoman for Houston-based Continental. ExpressJet referred calls to Continental . 74 Minutes The 50 most-delayed flights in 2009 were an average of 74 minutes late, and 14 had longer delays than their average time in the air, according to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, which hadn’t previously released annual results. Newark posted the worst on-time arrival rate among the biggest U.S. airports last year, at 66 percent, government figures show. LaGuardia was second-worst with 69 percent. The most-delayed flight was a trip from Washington Dulles to Kennedy on Comair that was late 85 percent of the time, according to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics. It was airborne for 62 minutes on average, and late by 65 minutes. Delta’s schedule shows that flight operated for only four months last year, which isn’t reflected in the U.S. figures. Snow and rain and congestion can “significantly” delay Comair flights because half the carrier’s operations occur in the northeastern U.S., said Christine Weaver, a spokeswoman. “We constantly monitor those flights on the frequently delayed list and work closely with Delta to develop a schedule that takes into account the many factors that impact Northeast operations,” Weaver said. Congestion Outlook Improvements in New York may come slowly. Construction began March 1 to replace Kennedy’s longest runway, which handles half of departures. JetBlue , Delta and others agreed not to increase flights for the peak travel season to minimize tie-ups until work is complete in June. “It’s going to be a hell of a summer,” said Kevin Mitchell , chairman of the Business Travel Coalition, a group that represents about 300 corporate-travel buyers globally. Airlines at all three New York airports should be exempted temporarily from a rule taking effect in April that requires carriers to let passengers off planes stuck on tarmacs for more than three hours, Continental said on March 17. Violators face fines. In October, the Federal Aviation Administration extended hourly flight limits at Kennedy, LaGuardia and Newark for two more years while the agency hunts for ways to ease delays. The airports are run by the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and handle more than 100 million travelers annually. “We understand how much flight delays impact our passengers, which is why we’ve invested billions” in runway and terminal improvements, said Stephen Sigmund , a port authority spokesman. New air traffic control technology would “produce the most significant” reductions in delays, he said. To avoid delays, TD Ameritrade’s Nagy has started taking Southwest Airlines Co. flights to New York sometimes, even though it means making a connection at Chicago’s Midway airport. “They don’t dink around,” Nagy said. “The pilot has the engines fired up and it’s like ‘Come on, get in, we’re going with or without you.” To contact the reporters on this story: Mary Schlangenstein in Dallas at maryc.s@bloomberg.net ; Mary Jane Credeur in Atlanta at mcredeur@bloomberg.net

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Iranian Student With $750 Transformed Into Billionaire Made by Islamic Art

March 30, 2010

By William Green March 30 (Bloomberg) — Nasser David Khalili stands in an exhibition hall in St. Petersburg’s Winter Palace, gazing at an 18th-century painted enamel of flowers that’s one of 25,000 works of art he owns. “I’d have paid anything for it,” he says, appraising this miniature by Frenchman Philippe Parpette. “There’s no way I’d have let anybody else buy it.” Khalili, 64, an Iranian-born billionaire who lives in London, has come to Russia to unveil his fifth art collection: On this overcast December afternoon, 320 of his 1,200 enamel treasures will go on display at the State Hermitage Museum, home to the collection of Catherine the Great, Bloomberg Markets magazine reports in its May issue. Having flown in on a chartered plane, Khalili is relishing a private preview, peering through tinted eyeglasses at such possessions as a gilded clock with matching candelabras that once adorned the home of U.S. railroad tycoon William Vanderbilt. Khalili, who says he has a photographic memory, recalls paying $16,500 for these three pieces 34 years ago. He estimates that they’d now cost $600,000. In all, Khalili says the enamels he has lent the museum are insured for more than 100 million pounds ($150 million). Even so, they are a trifle compared with the obsession that’s consumed him for four decades: his 20,000 pieces of Islamic art. “His collection is certainly the best in private hands,” says Edward Gibbs , Sotheby’s London-based head of Middle Eastern art. “He is the man who has everything. He’s come to define the market.” Signs of Revival Khalili is revealing his latest collection just as the $43 billion global art market is showing signs of reviving — with an Alberto Giacometti sculpture selling for a record 65 million pounds in February to a buyer later identified by dealers as London-based billionaire Lily Safra . In the Islamic art world, prices for the best pieces have been buoyed by a new generation of Middle Eastern buyers, including museums in Qatar and Abu Dhabi. “There’s fierce competition for anything unique, rare, beautiful or important,” Gibbs says, noting that an Islamic textile Sotheby’s estimated would fetch $250,000 to $350,000 in a March 2009 auction went to Qatar’s Museum of Islamic Art for $3.4 million. The limited supply in this niche within the art market has made Khalili’s collection all the more precious, says Claire Penhallurick , an Islamic art consultant for Bonhams auction house. She says it’s impossible to guess what his entire collection is worth. “How could you value something that’s unique and irreplaceable?” Penhallurick says. “If you had all the money in the world, you couldn’t assemble his collection now.” Shrouded in Secrets When an exhibition of 471 of Khalili’s Islamic pieces opened at the Institut du Monde Arabe in Paris in October, they alone were insured for almost 600 million pounds. The story behind how Khalili built his fortune has long been shrouded in secrets. As a property developer, he shunned publicity and didn’t slap his name on buildings or the company that is his main investment vehicle. He has also operated under the radar when buying art. “During the collecting, I don’t say anything,” Khalili says. “When it’s done, then I speak.” His elusiveness has fueled much speculation, often revolving around how he financed his collecting. Khalili, who left Iran in 1967 with $750, says he’s since spent $650 million on art. London’s Sunday Times, which estimated his fortune at 5.8 billion pounds in 2007, gave up guessing his worth the following year and removed him from its annual rich list . Top Collector Khalili, whose works are held in a family trust, says he used subterfuge to amass his Islamic collection, pretending for several years to be an art dealer so he could acquire pieces at wholesale prices. While his stealth has often obscured the scale of his buying, the magazine ARTnews says Khalili is one of Britain’s top collectors, along with Safra and private museum owner Charles Saatchi . The Iranian says he’s aware of whispers within the art trade that he grew rich buying Islamic works for Brunei’s Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah . Sitting in his office in London’s Mayfair neighborhood, where the treasures on display include an 8th- century bronze camel and a 7,000-year-old stone sculpture, Khalili beats his chest with his hand when asked about the rumors. “I didn’t buy anything for anybody. Nobody, right?” he says. “I bought for myself. This is all bulls—, all right?” The questions surrounding Khalili stem in part from his emergence in the 1980s as a trailblazer in Islamic collecting. Press Speculation “There was this sudden transformation,” says William Robinson, director of Islamic art at Christie’s International. “In the late 1980s he was the No. 1 buyer.” Robinson and others thought he was buying as the exclusive agent for a powerful client. “It was assumed that the Sultan of Brunei was behind it,” Robinson says. “I really don’t know.” Brunei’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs didn’t respond to requests for comment. Britain’s press also fueled speculation about the source of Khalili’s riches. “He spends on a scale no art collector has done before,” London’s Independent wrote in 1994. “Yet no one knows where his money comes from. … (Khalili) vehemently denies the suggestion that he has been secretly investing the sultan’s money rather than his own.” Khalili says he met the Sultan of Brunei around 1984, after the U.K.’s Foreign Office asked him to advise the monarch on creating an Islamic gallery at the Brunei Museum. Sultan’s Artworks “He had about 10,000 pieces,” Khalili says. “I chose about 1,000 pieces and said, ‘Throw the rest away. They’re junk.’” As a favor, he says, he selected several items for the Sultan to buy at auction and the Khalili family trust sold him a dozen pieces from its Islamic collection, including Qurans, metalwork and textiles, for about 4 million pounds. Khalili dismisses rumors that he sold art to the Sultan at inflated prices, pointing out that he later convinced him to donate 10 million pounds to the University of London for an Islamic gallery. “If you rip somebody off, would they turn around and give you 10 million pounds to build a gallery?” he asks. It’s now obvious he was buying for himself, Khalili says, since his Islamic collection is cataloged in 19 books written by an army of scholars he has hired to document its provenance and authenticity. Khalili, who has also built collections of Japanese Meiji art, Spanish metalwork and Swedish textiles since 1975, says the value of his artworks is irrelevant, because he will never sell them. Offer to Britain “All five collections are priceless: 2 billion pounds, 3 billion pounds, 4 billion pounds, it doesn’t make any difference,” he says. “These collections cannot be replaced.” His Islamic treasures include a 14th-century Iranian world history by Rashid al-Din Fadlallah, which he says cost him 12 million pounds in 1990. “It’s one of the greatest illustrated manuscripts in the world,” says Tim Stanley, senior curator for the Middle East at London’s Victoria & Albert Museum . Khalili, who holds both U.S. and U.K. passports, offered to lend his Islamic collection to the British nation in 1992 if the government provided a museum to house it. Khalili says he stipulated that the loan would become a gift after 15 years if the collection was exhibited to his satisfaction; if not, he could take it back. Outsider in London “The offer to the British government was a really terrible one,” says Anna Somers Cocks , editor-in-chief of the London- based monthly Art Newspaper, because of this risk. After months with no response, Khalili abandoned the plan. Still lacking a permanent home, most of his artworks are stored in warehouses in London and Geneva. Michael Franses, a U.K.-based retired dealer in rare carpets who’s known Khalili since the 1970s, says this rebuff reflected Khalili’s outsider status in his adopted country. “The British establishment was very closed,” Franses says. “I don’t think people trusted him because he was Iranian and strange and different.” That setback is a distant memory as Khalili strides through the Hermitage, musing on how far he’s come since leaving Iran. His artworks have been showcased by 40 museums, including the Victoria & Albert and New York’s Metropolitan Museum of Art. Khalili also prides himself on the honors he has won for his philanthropy. An observant Jew who says he avoids discussions of politics, Khalili co-founded the Maimonides Foundation in 1995 to foster dialogue between Jews and Muslims through sports, cultural events and education. He also endowed a research center for Middle Eastern culture at the University of Oxford. ‘I’m Self-Made’ In recognition of Khalili’s interfaith work, Pope Benedict XVI anointed him last year as a Knight Commander of the Pontifical Equestrian Order of St. Sylvester. “I’m self-made. I’ve done it all on my own,” says Khalili, whose 14-page resume is headlined: “Scholar, Benefactor and Collector.” Khalili sees no contradiction in being Jewish and owning an Islamic collection. “I fell in love with it because it was the most beautiful and diverse art,” he says. In 2005, at the launch party for Khalili’s book The Timeline History of Islamic Art and Architecture, Iran’s then- ambassador to London, Seyed Mohammad Hossein Adeli, hailed him as “an ambassador for the culture of Islam.” First Treasure Khalili’s journey to the top of the art world began in Iran on Dec. 18, 1945. The fourth of five children, he grew up in Tehran. His mother counseled divorced women. His father — like his father before him — visited homes to acquire artworks he could sell for a few dollars profit. As a child, Khalili tagged along when his father traded art, once joining him at the home of a former education minister with a collection of pen boxes. The 12-year-old yeshiva student was enraptured by a lacquer pen box painted with 800 men and horses, each one different. Khalili recalls that when he rhapsodized about the box, the owner’s eyes filled with tears. “He turned round to my dad and said, ‘I’m not selling this to you. I’m giving this to your son,’” Khalili says. He still has the pen box in his Islamic collection. “So the first piece I didn’t buy; I was given,” he says. Art Mentor After high school, Khalili did national service, training as an army medic. At 22, he left Iran for New York, where he worked at a Howard Johnson’s restaurant while studying at Queens College, part of New York’s public education system. One evening, as Khalili sipped cream to soothe an ulcer, the restaurant manager scolded him for taking it without permission. Khalili threw his waiter’s jacket at his boss and decided he’d trade art to pay his school fees. At an auction of Russian enamels months later, Khalili noticed the main bidder was Alan Hartman, whose family ran a Manhattan antiques store. Khalili borrowed several enamels from Hartman on consignment. He says he sold them that evening for a $26,000 profit to Iranian collectors he knew on Long Island, where many wealthy Iranians were settling. (Khalili’s four siblings have since moved there.) Hartman, now 80, says he wanted to help because Khalili was a Jewish immigrant struggling to build a new life. “We felt sorry for him,” he says. “Alan and I did a hell of a lot after that,” Khalili says. “In two years, I was a millionaire.” Friends say it was typical of Khalili that he’d launched himself by charming a stranger into lending him art. “He has a way of winning people over,” says Sotheby’s Gibbs. Tactile Billionaire In person, Khalili exudes warmth: Meeting someone for the first time, he’s liable to introduce himself with a hug. He stands close to people, resting his hand on their arm, shoulder or back. Before graduating from Queens in 1974 with a bachelor’s degree in computer sciences, Khalili was already amassing his own collection. “I used to buy a group of objects — let’s say, 10 objects for $100,000 — keep 3 or 4 of the best aside and sell the rest for $250,000,” he says. “I used my knowledge to create money to finance my dream.” In 1978, Khalili married Marion Easton, an Englishwoman he’d met while buying jewelry from her in a London antique store, and they settled in the U.K. capital. They have three sons: Daniel, 28, a jewelry designer, and twins Benjamin and Raphael, 25, who invest family money in startups such as PlayPit Games Ltd., an online entertainment company. Decoy Shop In addition to dealing art, Khalili says he began in the late 1970s to buy commercial properties in the U.K., France, Portugal and Spain. “As he made money with property, he put it into art,” says Franses, the retired carpet dealer. “He was only ever interested in the art.” Khalili approached him whenever he had cash to spare, buying such rarities as two 16th-century rugs that Franses says would now cost 2 million pounds each. Khalili deployed misdirection to his advantage when he opened an Islamic art store in London in 1978. For three years, Khalili says he used the shop as a ruse to obtain dealers’ prices. “I never sold anything there; I used that place as a decoy and bought unbelievable stuff,” he says. “His timing was impeccable,” says Penhallurick. Islamic art was such a backwater that dedicated Islamic auctions didn’t begin until the 1970s. Khalili — whose main rivals at the time included the Kuwaiti royal family and the David Collection , owned by a Danish foundation — says many pieces he acquired then would now cost 10 to 50 times more. Beautiful and Overlooked “Anything that is beautiful and was overlooked, I bought,” says Khalili, who received a Ph.D. in Islamic lacquer at the University of London in 1988. By the mid-1980s, Khalili says, his purchases were partly funded by venture capital investments that he declines to name. He says he made 30 times his money off shares he had bought in the late 1970s in a company developing technology to treat tumors. In 1987, he says he pocketed $15 million from the sale of a private company that made indigestion pills. Khalili says he stopped trading art around 1980 and bankrolled his collecting primarily with profits from property. In a typical deal, he says, he paid 32.5 million pounds in 1992 for Cameron Toll, an Edinburgh shopping mall, selling it two years later for 55 million pounds as the market revived. Public records show Khalili has owned various private property companies. Property Development His main vehicle, Favermead Ltd., was incorporated in the U.K. in 1992 and sold 97 million pounds of property in 1995 alone, according to the company’s financial statements. “Business is the least of my pride,” Khalili says. “Compared to collecting, it’s a piece of cake.” Still, he currently owns a 60,000-square-foot (5,574- square-meter) business park in Exeter, England; a 32,000-square- foot building in Mayfair; and a site in central London where he plans to build a 320,000-square-foot, 13-story office tower when the real estate market recovers. “If he starts building in the next 12 months, it’ll be very good timing as there’s very little available in the market,” says Gerald Ronson , CEO of London-based developer Heron International , which also bid for the central London site. Mayfair Mansion One personal property venture proved more problematic. In 1993, Khalili began combining two buildings in Kensington that once housed the Russian and Egyptian embassies into a 55,000-square-foot home. Khalili says he spent 90 million pounds on the house, including 45 million pounds on the refurbishment. He employed 400 craftsmen for 4 years, installing 3,200 square meters of marble, a Turkish bath and underground parking for 20 cars. Marion Khalili says she refused to move in, deeming the house too palatial. In 2001, Khalili unloaded the property for 50 million pounds to Formula One tycoon Bernie Ecclestone , who sold it to steel magnate Lakshmi Mittal for 57 million pounds in 2004, according to public records. Khalili now lives instead in a seven-story Edwardian mansion in Mayfair. These days, Khalili says, his buying of Islamic art has slowed. With competition intensifying, he’s turned his attention elsewhere. One afternoon in late February, he reveals that he’s already begun his sixth collection. This time, Khalili says, he’s acquired an existing trove of nearly 200 pieces, to which he’ll add more treasures. And the collection’s theme? “I’m not telling you,” Khalili says with a smile. With that, he draws a veil on the next chapter in the improbable story of the Iranian yeshiva student who became the world’s leading private collector of Islamic art. To contact the reporter on this story: William Green in London at wgreen6@bloomberg.net .

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Iran Trails Only China in Executions Amid Political Turmoil, Amnesty Says

March 30, 2010

By Ali Sheikholeslami March 30 (Bloomberg) — Iran executed more people last year than any other country except China, according to a report by Amnesty International. The Islamic Republic accounted for 388 of at least 714 executions worldwide, excluding China, Amnesty said in its Death Sentences and Executions 2009 report published today. China, which doesn’t release figures, executed thousands of people, the report said. The number of executions increased from a minimum of 672, excluding China, the year before as Iran stepped up political repression, Amnesty said. Almost a third of those killed in Iran were executed between the June 12 election and the Aug. 5 inauguration of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as president for a second term. “To us that’s a way of sending a political message of ‘we will not tolerate any form of dissent’,” Claudio Cordone , interim secretary general of Amnesty International, said by phone. Ahmadinejad’s re-election drew large numbers of protesters to the streets in the biggest challenge to the Islamic Republic since the 1979 revolution that brought it to power. Some individuals were accused of “enmity against God,” a charge that may cover membership of opposition groups, Cordone said. “Many of those executed were convicted in flawed legal proceedings, some after having made televised confessions,” according to the report. Iraq, U.S. Worldwide, almost two-thirds of countries have abolished capital punishment, while 58 retained it in 2009, Amnesty said. Iraq executed at least 120 last year, while Saudi Arabia, publicly beheaded 69 people. The U.S. was the only country in the Americas to carry out executions. It killed 52 and sentenced at least 105 individuals to death, the report said. This year Amnesty has not published numbers for China. Previous estimates for China were “flawed” and “understated the reality,” according to Cordone. “The information on the statistics, the offences for which the death penalty has been imposed, how many people have been sentenced to death or executed remains a state secret,” Cordone said. Those charged with corruption, drug trafficking and rioting in the province of Xinjiang Uighur got death sentences. Cordone called on President Barack Obama to abolish the death penalty in the U.S. New Mexico became the 15th state to ban capital punishment last year, he said. “Even though we can’t predict when it’s going to be, and it will take a long struggle, the trend toward abolition continues and we’re confident that we’ll get rid of the death penalty like we eventually got rid of slavery and apartheid,” Cordone said. To contact the reporter on this story: Ali Sheikholeslami in London at alis2@bloomberg.net .

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Ireland Breaks From Greece, Spain, Portugal to Lead Bond Gains in Europe

March 30, 2010

By Paul Dobson March 30 (Bloomberg) — Ireland’s bonds are poised to outperform those of every other euro member except Austria this quarter as investors bet it will be more successful than countries such as Greece in cutting its budget deficit. The nation’s debt returned 3.2 percent this year, according to Bloomberg/EFFAS indexes. Yields on 10-year Irish bonds fell to within 128 basis points of those on German bunds on March 12, a 14-month low. Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc anticipate that spread may drop to about 65 basis points by the end of 2010 as the bonds keep rising. Prime Minister Brian Cowen ’s plans to cut pay for teachers, nurses and police and set up a bank to purge lenders of toxic property loans have helped cut the yield premium investors demand to hold Irish debt over bunds by more than 50 percent from a 16-year high. A year ago, credit downgrades and concern the nation would be unable to curb its budget gap prompted investors to include the country in a group they called PIIGS, for Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain. “Ireland has left the pigsty for the time being and it has come out smelling of roses,” said Stuart Thomson , who helps oversee more than $100 billion as chief market economist at Ignis Asset Management in Glasgow, Scotland. “It doesn’t face the same problems that the southern Mediterraneans face this year.” Bond Returns Only Austrian bonds have performed better than Ireland’s this quarter, returning 3.3 percent, Bloomberg/EFFAS indexes show. Italian debt has returned 1.7 percent, Portugal’s bonds have made 0.6 percent, Spanish debt has gained 2 percent and Greece’s bonds have lost 0.1 percent. Germany’s have gained 2.3 percent. Ignis increased its holdings of Irish bonds to “overweight” last month, meaning it owns a greater percentage of the debt than in the indexes it uses to measure performance, Thomson said. It has an “underweight” holding of Greek, Italian, Portuguese and Spanish securities. A slump in Ireland’s real-estate market may still force the government to increase aid to the nation’s banks, widening a budget deficit that was 11.7 percent of gross domestic product in 2009, said Nick Stamenkovic , a fixed-income strategist in Edinburgh at RIA Capital Markets Ltd., a broker for banks and investors. Dublin-based Allied Irish Banks Plc said yesterday it’s in talks to agree capital requirements with the country’s financial regulator. Finance Minister Brian Lenihan will lay out his plan for the financial system today as the National Asset Management Agency begins taking over toxic loans from lenders. Euro Slide “Our biggest concern is that the weak property market could prompt further writedowns by Irish banks, prompting more sovereign support,” Stamenkovic said. The euro has slid 6 percent against the dollar this year on concern some of Europe’s most recession-hit economies will struggle to narrow deficits and pay debt. The Irish-German 10- year spread rose to 284 basis points in March 2009, the highest since 1993. It was 139 basis points yesterday, compared with an average of 33 basis points in the past decade. Standard & Poor’s lowered Ireland’s credit rating twice last year, cutting it one step to AA+ from AAA in March and to AA in June. Fitch Ratings reduced the nation to AA+ from AAA in April and two levels to AA- in November. Moody’s Investors Service cut it by a single grade to Aa1 in July. Lenihan said in December he would reduce spending by 6 billion euros over two years to help tackle the deficit. The country’s economy will return to growth in the second half of 2010, Cowen said March 15. GDP shrank 7.1 percent last year. ‘Committed to Measures’ “Ireland has shown its government is committed to austerity measures,” said Luca Franchi , who helps manage 22 billion euros as head of fixed income and currencies at UBI Pramerica SGR SpA in Milan. “The commitment shown by the Irish government puts them in a better situation.” While Ireland has pressed ahead with implementing budget measures, Greece has been criticized for not doing enough. European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said on March 1 Greece needed to step up action to rein in the deficit, the largest in the euro region at 12.9 percent of GDP and more than four times the EU limit. The premium investors demand to hold Greek 10-year bonds instead of German bunds reached 396 basis points in January, the most since before the euro’s debut in 1999. It was 316 basis points yesterday, more than five times the 60 basis points it averaged in the past decade and 178 basis points wider than Ireland’s. Greece’s Role Model “Greece has a role model and the role model is Ireland,” European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet told the European Parliament in Brussels March 25. “Ireland had extremely difficult problems and Ireland took very seriously its problems. This has been recognized by all.” The Irish 10-year bond yield will drop to about 100 basis points more than the bund by the end of June and to 65 basis by 2011, according to Harvinder Sian , a senior fixed-income strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland. Credit Agricole forecasts the year-end spread at 60 basis points. Ireland plans to raise about 21 billion euros in debt this year, John Corrigan , chief executive officer of the Dublin-based National Treasury Management Agency, said this month. The agency said March 16 it had raised 10.2 billion euros in 2010 after selling almost 34 billion euros of debt in 2009. Ireland had about 77.6 billion euros of outstanding debt at the end of February, according to debt agency’s Web site. To contact the reporter on this story: Paul Dobson in London at pdobson2@bloomberg.net

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Stocks Rise, Won Strengthens on Economic Outlook; Bond Default Risk Slides

March 30, 2010

By Rocky Swift and Yasuhiko Seki March 30 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks climbed toward a 10- week high, the South Korean won strengthened and bond risk in the region fell as improving business confidence encouraged investors to seek higher-yielding assets. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 1 percent to 126.23 at 4 p.m. in Tokyo, set for the highest close since Jan. 18. The won climbed versus 15 of 16 of its most-traded counterparts, and the cost of protecting corporate bonds from non-payment fell in Japan and Australia. The Stoxx Europe 600 climbed 0.3 percent at 8 a.m. in London. Standard & Poor’s 500 futures rose 0.2 percent. Consumer spending in the U.S. rose in February for a fifth straight month. A South Korean central bank survey said manufacturers are the most confident they’ve been in at least seven years and a report showed European sentiment improved to the highest in almost two years. New Zealand said home-building approvals gained in February for the first time in three months. “With a slew of economic data signaling a steady economic recovery at home and abroad, risk sentiment is also picking up,” said Masahide Tanaka , a senior strategist in Tokyo at Mizuho Trust & Banking Co. “And as risk sentiment improves, assets such as stocks and higher-yielding currencies are likely to draw stronger capital inflow going forward.” The MSCI Asia gauge headed for a 5 percent gain this quarter , a fourth-straight advance. On a monthly basis, the index is poised for a 6.6 percent increase in March, the most since July. Japanese Stocks Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average gained 1 percent, set for its highest close since October 2008, as a report from the statistics bureau showed the country’s jobless rate held in February at the lowest in about a year. Korea Exchange Inc. said today it expects the number of foreign listings to jump more than fivefold by 2012 as “ample” liquidity lures companies from China, the U.S. and Japan. Raw material producers posted the biggest gain among 10 industry groups in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index. Mitsubishi Corp., which gets about 40 percent of sales from commodities, leapt 3.9 percent to 2,462 yen. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s No. 1 mining company, jumped 2.4 percent to A$44.41. BHP plans to sell iron ore to Asian steel mills on short-term contracts, enabling it to benefit from rising spot prices. Canon Inc. , the world’s largest camera maker, gained 2.5 percent to 4,325 yen in Tokyo. Konica Minolta Holdings Inc. , the Japanese maker of printers, scanners and film used in liquid- crystal displays, climbed 3.5 percent to 1,096 yen after Mitsubishi UFJ Securities upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “market perform.” Hynix Semiconductor Inc. , the world’s second-largest maker of computer memory, added 1.9 percent after it said chipmakers are meeting about 60 percent of demand after they scaled back investments. Business Confidence The Bank of Korea said today its index of manufacturers’ expectations climbed to 105 in March, the highest since the fourth quarter of 2002, when the bank published its confidence survey on a quarterly basis. That followed a report yesterday from the European Commission that its index of executive and consumer sentiment rose to 97.7 in February, the highest since May 2008 and topping estimates. The won led gains among Asian currencies, climbing for a third day on speculation the nation’s improving economy will attract more funds from abroad. Foreign investors bought more Korean shares than they sold on all but one day since the end of February, and trade data this week is forecast to show exports climbed in March for the fifth month in a row. “Risk appetite’s up and fundamentally the news in Asia is really positive,” said Mitul Kotecha , the Hong Kong-based head of global currency strategy at Credit Agricole CIB. “There’s evidence of strong flows coming into the region and that’s helping to boost Asian currencies as well. We’re still bullish on Asia for the rest of the year.” Won Strengthens The won strengthened 0.4 percent to 1,130.10 per dollar in Seoul, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The Bloomberg- JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index, which tracks the region’s 10 most- used currencies excluding the yen, was headed for its highest close since August 2008. Permits to build homes in New Zealand increased 5.9 percent in February, compared with economist estimates for a 2 percent advance, adding to signs construction will buoy economic growth and spur the nation’s central bank to raise interest rates. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has climbed 10 percent from its lowest level in more than two months on Feb. 8 as improving U.S. jobs data, a Federal Reserve pledge to keep borrowing costs low and a Japanese bank-lending program eased concern that budget deficits in Europe will derail the global recovery. ‘On Track’ “The recovery is on track, but there still remains a number of structural issues that markets need to be wary of,” said Stephen Halmarick , Sydney-based head of investment-markets research at Colonial First State Global Asset Management, which holds $135 billion. “Governments are very committed to keeping policies in place until they get the results they’re after.” The Markit iTraxx Japan Series 13 index decreased 3 basis points to 114 basis points, according to Morgan Stanley. That is the lowest since Sept. 25, a day after the Series 12 benchmark started trading, according to CMA DataVision prices. The Markit iTraxx Australia index fell 1.5 basis point to 84 basis points, according to Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. Oil for May delivery was at $82.62 a barrel, up 45 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Yesterday, the contract rose $2.17, or 2.7 percent, to $82.17, the highest settlement since March 18 and the biggest gain since Feb. 16. Copper for three-month delivery on the London Metal Exchange dropped as much as 0.8 percent to $7,711 a ton after gaining as much as 3.8 percent yesterday to $7,800, the highest in 19 months. The metal had gained as inventories declined and a sinking dollar made metals more appealing as an alternative investment. It traded at $7,765 a ton in Asia. To contact the reporters for this story: Rocky Swift in Tokyo at rswift5@bloomberg.net . Yasuhiko Seki in Tokyo at yseki5@bloomberg.net .

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Axa to Buy APH Asia Business From National Australia Bank for $8.7 Billion

March 30, 2010

By Rebecca Evans March 30 (Bloomberg) — AXA Asia Pacific Holdings Ltd. executed documentation with National Australia Bank Ltd. and AXA SA to implement the proposal announced to shareholders on 17 December, 2009. Under the proposal NAB will acquire 100 percent of AXA APH, retaining AXA APH’s Australian and New Zealand businesses, and divesting AXA APH’s Asian businesses to AXA SA, the company said today in a regulatory filing. To contact the reporter on this story: Rebecca Evans in Sydney at revans6@bloomberg.net

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In The Pipeline: CoStar Development and Construction News for March 28-April 3

March 29, 2010

This week’s In The Pipeline focuses on health care — where activity remains brisk, in both the legislative and property development arenas. Much more rare is new development in Harvard Square, where Jones Lang LaSalle says it has landed a leasing assignment…

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