April 2010

Charles Gasparino: The Rest of Wall Street Is Beginning to Fear the Goldman Spillover

April 28, 2010

For the past two years, most of the big Wall Street firms have been joyfully watching Goldman Sachs take most of the hits for their collective sins: Their three-decade risk-taking binge culminating in a massive taxpayer bailout, and then less than a year later, handing out billions upon billions in bonuses to their bailed out bankers. Amid this bizarre (and sadly true) scenario, Goldman Sachs — the most successful of the big banks — became a disgusted public’s Wall Street whipping boy; something that its CEO Lloyd Blankfein even acknowledged yesterday to Peter Barnes of the Fox Business Network after being grilled for a couple of hours by a Senate subcommittee investigating Goldman’s business practices during the financial crisis. Goldman, in case you haven’t heard, is at the center of Wall Street PR nightmare; just a year after the 2008 financial collapse and subsequent bailouts, it used low interest rates supplied by the Fed and guarantees supplied by the federal government to crank out around $12 billion in profits and a whopping $20 billion in bonuses for its executives. In addition to the public outrage over its profits and bonuses, Goldman is also the focus of a civil fraud case brought by the Securities and Exchange Commission alleging that the firm and a young trader failed to disclose key information on some bonds it sold to clients in 2007. Amid all of this, Goldman’s competitors at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup, have been silently cheering. They hate Goldman nearly as much as Rolling Stone magazine, which has lampooned the firm as the center of all evil on Wall Street. That is until Tuesday, when the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigation got into Goldman-basing mode as well with hearings focusing on firm’s business practices, namely how it elevated the practice of screwing its clients to an art form in the years leading up to the 2008 banking collapse. During the hearings, a half dozen Goldman executives including the firm’s CEO Lloyd Blankfein were lawyered-up enough to successfully obfuscate through much of the questioning, though by the end of the 10-hour ordeal, they had to acknowledge something that will likely cause Goldman and the rest of Wall Street a lot of trouble: That in making so much money, before the financial collapse and now in its aftermath, the firm really doesn’t care about its clients. It really doesn’t think twice about selling customers investments that are “shitty” (a word subcommittee chairman Carl Levin repeatedly used after he found it referenced in several Goldman emails) and that as a firm, Goldman has no problem whatsoever hiding from its clients key details of these shitty investments, namely that it knew those investments were shitty when it was selling them. That point was made perfectly clear by one of the “stars” of yesterday’s proceedings, the now famous trader named Fabrice Tourre, who is at the center of the recent SEC case against the firm. At issue is whether Tourre should have disclosed the involvement of a short seller, John Paulson, in the creation of an investment tied to the mortgage bond market, known as a collateralized debt obligation. Paulson, of course, was betting that the bonds were going to fall in value (as the mortgages fell into default), while two other investors bet the bonds’ prices would appreciate. Paulson was right and made billions, while the investors were wrong and lost big bucks, and there’s nothing wrong with that. The problem, according to the SEC, is that Goldman didn’t tell investors of Paulson’s involvement in helping to craft the portfolio in question which, as it turns out, reflected mortgages that Carl Levin would describe as “shitty.” More than that, the SEC also charges that one of the investors, ACA Capital, actually believed Paulson was “long” on the portfolio of shitty bonds, thus betting that their prices would rise. Tourre, in his wonderful French accent, both denied the SEC charges and then did something that I believe is very important: He gave the subcommittee and the rest of the investing public an education on what on Wall Street counts for full and honest disclosure. Contrary to the SEC’s complaint, Tourre said he actually alerted ACA that Paulson was going short. How did he do that? By telling ACA that Paulson was “buying protection” on the deal. Buying protection is Wall Street speak for going short, he assured the committee. Maybe so, but as many as five traders yesterday told me that they use the same term “buying protection” when they are going short in order to hedge or “protect” a long position. In other words, Tourre’s disclosure could have just as easily confirmed the belief of ACA, (no matter how absurd that belief might be as Goldman has argued), that Paulson was in fact long the portfolio of CDOs in question. Why didn’t Tourre use the most explicit explanation of Paulson’s position and describe it as a “short”? I don’t know, and no one on the committee asked him. But during his testimony he offered a clue. In response to a question by Senator Susan Collins, Tourre basically said that he and his colleagues have a very limited responsibility to clients in terms of disclosing information. Goldman, like the rest of the Street, is a market maker not a “financial adviser.” This distinction may sound like technical mumbo-jumbo but its very important. As a market maker, Tourre has no “fiduciary responsibility” to his clients and their interests. As a financial adviser he does. Last week when reports of Tourre’s short “disclosures” broke, several major news organizations declared the SEC case to be weak or even dead on arrival. I know lawyers or say just the opposite; that the case is a solid one, though it should be noted that among the many unanswered questions in the case is why, for instance, ACA believed Paulson was long the CDOs, as the SEC maintains. To me a bigger issue and problem for Goldman, and for that matter the rest of Wall Street, is what the hearings signaled may lie ahead in the future. Between some of the truly dopey questions asked by the committee, and the weasel-wording of the Goldman people, emerged a central truth about the Wall Street business model: It’s designed, albeit legally, to screw clients, and some in Congress are thinking about changing that business model — making Wall Street have a “fiduciary responsibility” to its clients. And that’s why top executives at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup are starting to feel Goldman’s pain. The problem for Wall Street is pretty simple: Most of its profits come from risk-taking trading activities, not giving clients advice such as how best to float a stock deal, or whether or not the client should merge with another company. In other words, Wall Street lives off gambling, as was made perfectly clear during the hearings as the committee discussed some of the crass emails from Goldman executives describing just how the gambling takes place. But when was the last time a Las Vegas casino was bailed out by the US taxpayer? That’s why Wall Street is so concerned about the the public’s hatred of Goldman spilling over to force lawmakers to consider some drastic reforms. Keep in mind, fraud charges are easy to settle for firms that earn $12 billion in profits. What’s more potentially threatening (and costly) to Wall Street is the public’s revulsion of a business that does nothing more than sell shitty investments to investors and make tens of billions in the process. That’s when lawmakers start to take aim. Susan Collins raised the “fiduciary responsibility” issue in her questioning with Tourre, but Senator Ted Kaufman of Delaware has turned it up a notch during an interview with the Fox Business Network on Wednesday afternoon. Kaufman said that after financial reform is dealt with, he and other senators will investigate whether the casino should continue to exist by designating firms as “financial advisers,” meaning not only will they have a fiduciary responsibility not to screw their clients, their responsibility will be to make sure their clients aren’t screwed. The SEC, I am told, is looking into the matter as well. Wall Street, of course, will fight anything that makes the casino less profitable as it has the Volcker Rule which prohibits certain types of trading in the current reform legislation. But what Kaufman and Collins are talking about won’t just make the casino less profitable, it will end the casino once and for all. Wall Street would have to turn back the clock to a way of doing business that centers on providing advice and counsel to it clients. Wall Street will also have to turn back the clock on its profits, and that will mean a lot less of them.

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Frank Luntz: Why the Dodd Financial Services Bill Is Bad… For Democrats

April 28, 2010

The New York Times ‘ headline said it all: “Off Wall St., Worries About Financial Bill”. The Democrats in Washington may think it’s a slam dunk, but the rest of America doesn’t agree. Look, those who are on the side of significant financial reform are fighting on the side of the angels — and with broad public support. We are fed up with Wall Street abuses and arrogance that makes life for the rest of us on Main Street more difficult. Let’s hold people and businesses more accountable and responsible for what they do and how they do it. But that doesn’t suddenly equate to support for the legislation now being considered by the Senate. In exactly the same way that the public wanted healthcare reform, just not Obama’s healthcare reform, they want something done to punish the perpetrators of the financial meltdown, but not at the expense of their own checking accounts — or American economic freedom. The dirty secret of the Senate financial reform bill is that some of its biggest supporters work on Wall Street. Recipients of taxpayer bailout money have no concerns about the bill — in fact, the CEOs of Citi and Goldman Sachs have publicly endorsed it, and several of the other big banks have expressed support. It keeps the “too big to fail” guarantees in place for another generation of financial services companies. But here’s where it gets really interesting. The Democrats supporting the current legislation have assured an anxious electorate that whatever funds are used to create whatever regulatory scheme created will come from the banks, not the taxpayers. Let me emphasize that so that even casual readers will catch it: the Democrats promise that you won’t pay for their legislation, banks will. Really? Since when have corporations ever paid taxes, fees or penalties? Employees end up paying in the form of lower salaries and benefits. Customers end up paying in the form of higher costs. And in this case, every account holder will be forced to pay higher fees on their checking account and savings account. That’s you, my friendly reader. Can you say “checkbook tax”? I can, and I think lots of candidates will be saying it come November. Is that what you really want to do to your constituents, Senator Lincoln? Is that what you really want to explain on the campaign trail, Senator Bennett? But it goes deeper than just taxation and regulation. Wall Street can pass it all onto consumers. Main Street cannot. And that’s because Wall Street firms have all those pesky well-connected, nicely dressed lobbyists to ensure that whatever is passed strengthens their hand at the expense of the little guy. Regardless of what side you’re on, the financial reform bill is special interest heaven — a bill written by lobbyists, for lobbyists, and will probably be implemented by lobbyists. The Dodd bill has carve-outs right from the get-go. Real estate agents, title companies, the Farm Credit system, even Fannie Mae and Freddie Mae are exempt from its onerous and costly provisions. And for everyone else, it’s been a special interest feeding frenzy. More than 130 companies have publicly hired lobbyists seeking their own loophole. Mars Candy wants to continue to use derivatives to hedge against price hikes in sugar and chocolate, so they’ve hired a lobbyist. Harley Davidson wants to protect dealer financing of their bikes, so they’ve hired a lobbyist. And eBay wants to not harm its subsidiary, PayPal, so they’ve hired … well … a team of lobbyists. But most average Americans — the ones who bailed Wall Street out in the first place — cannot afford lobbyists, and won’t be exempted from the legislation. There’s a reason why American trust in government is at an all-time low. Voters believe legislation like this is passed not for the public interest, but for special interests. And that is certainly the case with the Dodd bill. Sen. Dodd has bragged that his legislation will create a new super-regulatory agency like we have not seen before — and with good reason. Every single financial transaction will now be subject to government regulation — from layaway plans to auto loans. Citibank and Goldman Sachs don’t have to worry about that, but Joe’s furniture store and Jane’s used car dealership do. I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: it’s not what you say; it’s what people hear. Democrats believe they have a winning issue in financial reform because it gives them the vehicle to attack Wall Street. Well, they’re right, but only right now. The American people are once again hearing the same old song of more taxation, more regulation and more litigation, all because of well intentioned (you read that correctly) but poorly executed legislation. They will reject this approach just as they came to reject the healthcare reform legislation — even after the vote. Democrats — especially those in conservative districts — were promised a bounce if they voted for ObamaCare. We didn’t even see a dead cat bounce. Just ask Blanche Lincoln — but you better ask her quickly. Instead voters have been inundated with information such as a recent HHS memo that confirmed what opponents of the legislation were saying — the bill would not reduce spending or the deficit after all. Voters will soon find out that the financial reform bill won’t end bailouts — it will enshrine them into law. Purple and red state Democrats will spend their summers back home explaining their votes to angry voters upset about the never-ending growth of government spending — and the taxes and fees to pay for it. These are the same voters that supported Barack Obama in 2008, Chris Christie and Bob McDonnell in 2009, and Scott Brown in 2010 — all for the same reason. Americans want to change the direction of their government, and they will keep replacing incumbents until they get it right.

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Obama Plans to Announce Choice of Yellen, Raskin, Diamond to Fed’s Board

April 28, 2010

By Hans Nichols and Scott Lanman April 28 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama plans to announce his choice of Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen tomorrow as vice chairman of the Fed Board of Governors, according to two people familiar with the decision. The president will also name Sarah Bloom Raskin , Maryland’s commissioner of financial regulation, and Peter Diamond , an economics professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, for the two remaining open seats on the seven-person board, according to the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity before the announcement. The nominations are subject to Senate confirmation. Yellen, 63, would replace Donald Kohn , a 40-year Fed veteran who announced in March that he would leave the board June 23. She served as President Bill Clinton’s chief economist in the 1990s and has been supportive of keeping interest rates low. Yellen would gain a permanent vote on monetary policy, instead of having a vote one year out of every three as a regional Fed chief. All governors have a vote on rate decisions. Raskin, an attorney, was appointed in August 2007 as Maryland’s top banking regulator. She was previously managing director of Promontory Financial Group, a consulting firm, and worked at the New York Fed and as a counsel for the Senate Banking Committee. She graduated from Harvard Law School in 1986. Her husband, Jamie Raskin , is a law professor and a Democratic Maryland state senator. Diamond, a specialist in taxation and behavioral economics who turns 70 tomorrow, has written widely on overhauling entitlement programs. His 2003 book “Saving Social Security” was co-written with Peter Orszag , director of the Office of Management and Budget. He joined MIT’s faculty in 1966. To contact the reporters on this story: Hans Nichols in Washington at hnichols2@bloomberg.net ; Scott Lanman in Washington at slanman@bloomberg.net

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Morgan Stanley Hires Dan Toscano as Co-Head of Global Leveraged Finance

April 28, 2010

By Michael J. Moore April 28 (Bloomberg) — Morgan Stanley, the sixth-largest U.S. bank by assets, hired Dan Toscano as co-head of global leveraged and acquisition finance as lending to non-investment grade companies rebounds. Toscano, 45, will join the New York-based firm May 3 and will lead the group with Gene Martin , according to an internal memo from Raj Dhanda , Morgan Stanley’s head of global capital markets. A copy of the memo was obtained by Bloomberg News and confirmed by Morgan Stanley spokeswoman Mary Claire Delaney . Toscano was co-head of leveraged and acquisition finance in the Americas at HSBC Holdings Plc , which he left last year. He also worked in leveraged finance at Deutsche Bank AG and Bankers Trust Co. for almost 16 years, according to the memo. Leveraged lending has rebounded this year after the amount of high-yield loans dropped in 2009 to the lowest level since 2001. Companies borrowed $66.8 billion in the U.S. syndicated leveraged loan market in the first quarter, more than five times that of a year earlier, according to Bloomberg data. High-yield, or leveraged, loans are those rated below Baa3 by Moody’s Investors Service or BBB- by Standard & Poor’s. Morgan Stanley and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. led lenders to CF Industries Holdings Inc. to finance the $4.7 billion takeover of Terra Industries Inc., which was completed this month. Toscano is at least the fourth senior hire for Morgan Stanley’s capital markets unit in the last six months. The firm hired John Moore from 3i Capital to serve as co-head of equity capital markets for the Americas earlier this month, according to an April 12 memo. Last month, the unit hired Wylie Collins a vice chairman for global capital markets. He was previously head of Americas debt capital markets at Merrill Lynch & Co. Morgan Stanley hired David Moffitt , also a former Merrill Lynch executive, in November as head of global credit solutions. Whit Marshall will serve as head of leveraged and acquisition finance for the Americas, and Matt Naber and Mark Walsh will continue to lead the unit in Europe, the memo said. To contact the reporter on this story: Michael J. Moore in New York at mmoore55@bloomberg.net .

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Obama Plans to Name Yellen, Raskin, Diamond to Fed’s Seven-Member Board

April 28, 2010

By Hans Nichols and Scott Lanman April 28 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama plans to announce his choice of Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen tomorrow as vice chairman of the Fed Board of Governors, according to two people familiar with the decision. The president will also name Sarah Bloom Raskin , Maryland’s commissioner of financial regulation, and Peter Diamond , an economics professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, for the two remaining open seats on the seven-person board, according to the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity before the announcement. The nominations are subject to Senate confirmation. Yellen, 63, would replace Donald Kohn , a 40-year Fed veteran who announced in March that he would leave the board June 23. She served as President Bill Clinton’s chief economist in the 1990s and has been supportive of keeping interest rates low. Yellen would gain a permanent vote on monetary policy, instead of having a vote one year out of every three as a regional Fed chief. All governors have a vote on rate decisions. Raskin, an attorney, was appointed in August 2007 as Maryland’s top banking regulator. She was previously managing director of Promontory Financial Group, a consulting firm, and worked at the New York Fed and as a counsel for the Senate Banking Committee. She graduated from Harvard Law School in 1986. Her husband, Jamie Raskin , is a law professor and a Democratic Maryland state senator. Diamond, a specialist in taxation and behavioral economics who turns 70 tomorrow, has written widely on overhauling entitlement programs. His 2003 book “Saving Social Security” was co-written with Peter Orszag , director of the Office of Management and Budget. He joined MIT’s faculty in 1966. To contact the reporters on this story: Hans Nichols in Washington at hnichols2@bloomberg.net ; Scott Lanman in Washington at slanman@bloomberg.net

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Stocks Rise in U.S. on Fed, Earnings; Fall in Europe on Spain

April 28, 2010

By Michael P. Regan April 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose on better-than- estimated earnings and the Federal Reserve’s pledge to keep interest rates low, while European equities slid as a credit downgrade of Spain fueled concern the region’s debt crisis is worsening. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 0.7 percent at 4 p.m. in New York, while the Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank 1.3 percent. The euro rebounded after sinking to a one-year low versus the dollar. Treasuries declined, sending the 10-year yield up eight basis points to 3.76 percent. Spain’s IBEX 35 Index of stocks slumped 3 percent following the downgrade by S&P as doubts about Greece’s ability to pay its debts spread through the region. Dow Chemical Co. and Comcast Corp. joined the 79 percent of S&P 500 companies that topped analyst earnings estimates so far in the first-quarter reporting season, near the highest proportion in Bloomberg data going back to 1993. Optimism about growth in the U.S. economy and earnings has propelled the S&P 500 to a 6.8 percent gain this year, while sovereign debt concerns limited the Stoxx 600’s advance to 1.7 percent and triggered an 7.8 percent slump in the euro against the dollar. “For the moment, the situation in Europe is external and the U.S. looks healthier,” Stephen Lieber , chief investment officer of Alpine Woods Capital Investors LLC, which manages more than $7 billion, said from Purchase, New York. “The U.S. is regaining its health. It looks like a reasonable alternative for someone who wants to keep away from the risky areas.” Bailout Package Europe’s worsening debt crisis is intensifying pressure on policy makers to widen a bailout package. International Monetary Fund Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said the size of Greece’s aid has yet to be decided after Green Party parliamentary spokesman Michael Schroeren quoted him as telling German lawmakers that the nation may need as much as 120 billion euros ($158 billion). The previous package was 45 billion euros. Global stocks and commodities tumbled yesterday, while yields on Greek notes jumped to records as S&P rating cuts on Greece and Portugal spurred a flight from riskier assets. German Chancellor Angela Merkel told reporters in Berlin today that negotiations with Greece over financial aid must be accelerated, while also saying Greece’s entry to the euro region was not based on “sustainable factors” and the nation faces a painful adjustment to reduce its deficit. Financial, energy and raw-materials companies rose at least 1 percent to lead gains in nine of 10 industries in the S&P 500 as the benchmark for U.S. equities recouped one-quarter of yesterday’s 2.3 percent slide. ‘Extended Period’ Federal Reserve officials restated their intention to keep the benchmark interest rate near zero for an “extended period” and saw signs of life in the labor market. “Economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement today in Washington. Futures trading showed a 16 percent chance of an increase in the benchmark rate by the Fed’s August meeting, compared with 29 percent odds a month ago. Dow Chemical, the largest U.S. chemical maker, rallied 5.9 percent after earnings were boosted by higher sales of commodity plastics and rebounding demand in the U.S. and Europe. Comcast, the largest U.S. cable operator, rose 1.9 percent after gaining customers with faster Internet speeds and cable programs that can be viewed online. Earnings Growth Companies in the S&P 500 may increase profits 29 percent this year and 19 percent in 2011, the biggest two-year advance since 1998, estimates from more than 1,500 analyst compiled by Bloomberg show. “I still believe that what will matter the most is whether U.S. economic and U.S. earnings numbers continue to do better than forecast, and I think they will do so,” said Hugh Johnson, who oversees $1.78 billion as chairman of Albany, New York-based Johnson Illington. The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks fell 0.7 percent after yesterday sinking 2.1 percent. Spanish banks plunged after S&P downgraded the nation’s credit rating one step to AA. Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. and Banco Santander SA lost more than 4 percent. Spain’s sputtering economy will be a key element in assessing the risks faced by banks, S&P said, citing expectations of an extended period of “subdued” growth. Spain ‘Surprised’ Spanish Deputy Finance Minister Jose Manuel Campa said he was “surprised” by the S&P downgrade, and said it was based on excessively low growth forecasts. He spoke in a telephone interview in Madrid today. Greece’s ASE Index rebounded 0.6 percent as the nation’s securities regulator banned short selling on the Athens exchange. The gauge tumbled 6 percent to a one-year low yesterday. National Bank of Greece SA , the nation’s largest lender, rose 2 percent, paring some of yesterday’s 10 percent plunge. The Hellenic Capital Market Commission banned short selling of stocks on the Athens stock exchange effective today through June 28, citing “the extraordinary conditions prevailing on the Greek market.” The ASE Index is down 22 percent this year. Greek notes gained, with the two-year yield falling 164 basis points to 17.35 percent as of 4:34 p.m. in London after earlier soaring as high as 26 percent. Asian, Emerging Markets The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 2 percent as financial stocks declined. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc sank 2 percent in Tokyo. Canon Inc. , a camera maker that counts Europe as its largest market, slumped 2.5 percent. Billabong International Ltd., an Australian surfwear maker that gets 23 percent of its revenue in Europe, sank 3.4 percent in Sydney. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index dropped 1.3 percent. Russia’s Micex Index lost 2.3 percent and Hungary’s Budapest Stock Exchange Index fell 2.3 percent. Brazil’s Bovespa index climbed 0.2 percent after a 3.4 percent plunge yesterday. Nickel for delivery in three months slumped 1.1 percent to $25,650 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange. Crude oil gained 1 percent to $83.23 a barrel after falling as much as 1.4 percent earlier. To contact the reporter on this story: Michael P. Regan in New York at mregan12@bloomberg.net .

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Burger, Stern’s Chosen Successor at SEIU, Drops Bid to Lead Labor Union

April 28, 2010

By Holly Rosenkrantz April 28 (Bloomberg) — Anna Burger , Andy Stern ’s chosen successor, today dropped her bid to succeed him as president of the Service Employees International Union, paving the way for the election of rival candidate Mary Kay Henry. Burger, the No. 2 official in the nation’s fastest-growing labor union, was the favored candidate of Stern, who led the group for 14 years and cultivated close ties to President Barack Obama and Democrats in Congress. Burger announced her withdrawal in an e-mailed statement today. Since Stern announced on April 14 that he was stepping down, four international vice presidents and heads of some of the union’s largest locals endorsed Henry. A leader of the union’s health-care division, Henry promised to heal rifts that grew as Stern became known for his access to politicians including Obama. To contact the reporter on this story: Holly Rosenkrantz in Washington at hrosenkrantz@bloomberg.net .

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Senate Republicans Say They’re Ready to Debate U.S. Financial-Rules Bill

April 28, 2010

By Alison Vekshin and James Rowley April 28 (Bloomberg) — Senate Republicans said they are ready to let debate begin on a financial-overhaul bill after talks reached an impasse and Democrats threatened to keep the chamber in session indefinitely. Republican Senators Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe , both of Maine, said they will vote to bring the measure to the floor. Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell said in a statement that “bipartisan negotiations have ended” and he hoped “the majority’s avowed interest in improving this legislation on the Senate floor is genuine and the partisan gamesmanship is over.” Democrats declared victory after days of delay. “Senate Republicans have finally agreed to let us begin this debate, which we appreciate, and we hope this foreshadows more cooperation to come,” Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said in a statement. “Now that we’ll be able to begin that process, the American people will finally have the opportunity to watch and weigh those ideas. Kristin Brost, a spokeswoman for Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd , said the Senate would vote on beginning the debate between 5:30 p.m. and 6:30 p.m., Washington time. Stronger Oversight The legislation, based on a proposal by President Barack Obama , is aimed at strengthening oversight of Wall Street in response to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Republicans blocked Democrats from starting debate on the measure in three procedural votes this week, including earlier today. Republican Senator Richard Shelby said his talks with Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat, had reached an “impasse.” “It is now my belief that further negotiations will not produce additional results,” Shelby of Alabama said in a news release. Senate Republicans held a party caucus to be briefed by Shelby on the talks and how to proceed. Signs of a Republican capitulation came after Democratic leaders said they would keep the Senate in session all night to pressure the minority to give up its objections to starting the debate. Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois, the second-ranking Democrat, said the Senate was prepared to “go all night long.” He said, “The Wall Street lobbyists are really controlling this vote.” No Fingerprints Maryland Senator Ben Cardin later said the Senate would remain in session indefinitely. Cardin said Republicans wanted to weaken the legislation in backroom negotiations “and are trying to do it without their fingerprints on the amendments” that they would have to offer publicly in a floor debate. “If the Republicans are going to filibuster it, the American people are going to see what they are filibustering,” Cardin said. “It is time for this debate to begin,” Dodd said in a statement after McConnell’s announcement. Dodd suggested talks broke off with Shelby because of disagreement over a proposed consumer financial protection bureau at the Federal Reserve. “They have been productive talks, but I cannot agree to his desire to weaken consumer protections, given the enormous abuses we have seen,” Dodd said. Collins had opposed starting debate as long as there were bipartisan discussions. More Ideas Earlier in the day, Dodd suggested he wasn’t prepared to complete an agreement with Shelby while Republicans were preventing the legislation from coming to the floor. Dodd said he and Shelby “are not going to write a bill for 98 other senators who have ideas and thoughts.” “There is general agreement” between both parties about the legislation’s objectives, Dodd said. Republicans should “let our members be heard. Let the debate go forward,” he said. Dodd and Shelby had broken off talks in November and again in February. They resumed negotiations last month after the banking panel approved Dodd’s measure on a party-line vote. In his statement, Shelby said Dodd “assured me that he will address a number of concerns I have expressed with respect to ending bailouts.” Shelby said he and Dodd had been unable to “make any meaningful progress on other important components of the legislation,” including oversight of derivatives and the powers of the consumer protection bureau. Earlier today, Shelby had told reporters he and Dodd were close to an agreement on a provision in the bill that would prevent future taxpayer-funded bailouts of Wall Street firms. The bill language would set up a mechanism for unwinding failing companies whose collapse would threaten the economy, with a $50 billion industry-supported fund to cover the cost. The provision has been the target of criticism from Republicans, who said it would set up a perpetual bailout. The bill would limit the Fed’s regulatory authority to banks with assets of at least $50 billion, transferring to other regulators its power to monitor smaller lenders. It would also set up a council of regulators to monitor the economy for systemic risk and ban proprietary trading at U.S. banks. To contact the reporters on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net ; James Rowley in Washington at jarowley@bloomberg.net

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Australian Home-Price Growth Slows Following Five Rate Increases, APM Says

April 28, 2010

By Nichola Saminather April 29 (Bloomberg) — Australian house prices grew at a slower pace in the first quarter from the last three months of 2009 as the central bank’s five rate increases since September took effect, Australian Property Monitors said. House prices rose 3.1 percent in the three months to March 31, from 5.3 percent in the previous quarter, APM said in an e- mailed statement. Unit prices added 0.2 percent, compared with 2.6 percent in the prior period. “House price growth in the March quarter slowed across the country as five interest rate rises and the expiry of the First Home Owner Boost began to impact prices,” APM Economist Matthew Bell said in the statement. “Even though quarterly growth rates are moderating, annual growth rates are still rising. This is due to a relatively strong March 2010 quarter replacing a weak March 2009 quarter in the annual figures.” Median house prices across the country surged 16.2 percent in the year to March 31, while unit prices added 10.4 percent. APM maintained its January forecast for an increase of as much as 10 percent in home prices in 2010. The widening disparity between the number of homes supplied and how many are needed is a major contributor to the climb in prices, a government report said on April 27. The gap grew by 78,900 dwellings in the year to June, and may rise further as the number of Australian households grows by 3.2 million over the next 20 years, the report said. Shortage Time consuming and expensive planning processes and restricted land supply are the reasons for the shortage of housing, the Housing Industry Association’s Chief Executive Officer Graham Wolfe said in a statement on April 27, calling for an “all-of-government approach” to solve the crunch. Sydney’s restrictions in particular could mean the loss of its place as Australia’s largest metropolis to Melbourne by 2037 if the harbor city’s home construction fails to keep pace with population growth, a report prepared by economic forecaster BIS Shrapnel said on April 27. Victoria is building new homes at double the rate of New South Wales, and has policies that are more favorable to new developments, BIS Shrapnel said. Sydney house prices rose 2.1 percent in the first quarter from the three months to Dec. 31, while Melbourne’s surged 6.8 percent, APM said in today’s report. Unit prices in Sydney added 1.2 percent, and Melbourne’s gained 0.3 percent. Price growth in more expensive suburbs across Australia has been double that of more affordable areas, APM said. “This top-end price growth has now moved well beyond a recovery of the price falls that occurred in late 2007 and throughout 2008 and is breaking new ground for most regions,” Bell said. To contact the reporter on this story: Nichola Saminather in Sydney at nsaminather1@bloomberg.net

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Visa Profit Climbs 33% as Credit-Card Revenue Gains With Economic Rebound

April 28, 2010

By Peter Eichenbaum April 28 (Bloomberg) — Visa Inc. , the world’s biggest payments network, said fiscal second-quarter profit increased 33 percent as U.S. credit-card spending climbed for the first time since 2008. Net income for the three months ended March 31 was $713 million, or 96 cents a share, compared with $536 million, or 71 cents, in the same period a year earlier, the San Francisco- based company said today in a statement. The average estimate of 33 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was 91 cents. Net operating revenue rose 19 percent, beating estimates, and Visa said revenue growth with be at the high end of its previous forecast. Chief Executive Officer Joseph W. Saunders , 64, is riding a shift by consumers from cash and checks to electronic payments as he widens Visa’s lead over No. 2 MasterCard Inc. Visa’s share of global purchase transactions rose to 64.79 percent last year from 64.09 percent in 2008, according to the Nilson Report, an industry newsletter. MasterCard’s fell to 26.5 percent. “We remain confident in delivering our guidance for fiscal year 2010,” Saunders said in the statement. “We are increasingly optimistic that economic growth will gradually improve.” Visa advanced 66 cents to $93.61 at 4 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The shares have gained 7 percent this year, and slipped 1.3 percent in extended hours. Quarterly operating revenue increased to $1.96 billion, exceeding the $1.92 billion average forecast of analysts in the Bloomberg survey. Visa derives more than half its revenue from the U.S. and has almost three-quarters of the U.S. debit-card market by purchase volume. That dominance helped the company weather the recession-driven drop in credit-card spending. Transactions Visa, which collects fees to shuttle payments between financial institutions, said processed transactions rose 14 percent from a year earlier to 10.6 billion. Payments with Visa credit cards in the U.S. climbed 3.4 percent to $182 billion, the first increase since the three months ended September 2008. U.S. debit-card spending rose 21 percent to $245 billion and has advanced every quarter since Visa’s March 2008 initial public offering. Saunders is looking to protect and expand Visa’s lead in processing Internet-based payments. Last week, the company agreed to buy CyberSource Corp. , based in Mountainview, California, for about $2 billion to defend its market share from electronic-commerce firms such as EBay Inc. ’s PayPal. MasterCard plans to report first-quarter results on May 4. To contact the reporter on this story: Peter Eichenbaum in New York at peichenbaum@bloomberg.net

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Stocks Rise in U.S. on Fed, Earnings, Decline in Europe on Spain Downgrade

April 28, 2010

By Michael P. Regan April 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose on better-than- estimated earnings and the Federal Reserve’s pledge to keep interest rates low, while European equities slid as a credit downgrade of Spain fueled concern the region’s debt crisis is worsening. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 0.7 percent at 4 p.m. in New York, while the Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank 1.3 percent. The euro rebounded after sinking to a one-year low versus the dollar. Treasuries declined, sending the 10-year yield up eight basis points to 3.76 percent. Spain’s IBEX 35 Index of stocks slumped 3 percent following the downgrade by S&P as doubts about Greece’s ability to pay its debts spread through the region. Dow Chemical Co. and Comcast Corp. joined the 79 percent of S&P 500 companies that topped analyst earnings estimates so far in the first-quarter reporting season, near the highest proportion in Bloomberg data going back to 1993. Optimism about growth in the U.S. economy and earnings has propelled the S&P 500 to a 6.8 percent gain this year, while sovereign debt concerns limited the Stoxx 600’s advance to 1.7 percent and triggered an 7.8 percent slump in the euro against the dollar. “For the moment, the situation in Europe is external and the U.S. looks healthier,” Stephen Lieber , chief investment officer of Alpine Woods Capital Investors LLC, which manages more than $7 billion, said from Purchase, New York. “The U.S. is regaining its health. It looks like a reasonable alternative for someone who wants to keep away from the risky areas.” Bailout Package Europe’s worsening debt crisis is intensifying pressure on policy makers to widen a bailout package. International Monetary Fund Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said the size of Greece’s aid has yet to be decided after Green Party parliamentary spokesman Michael Schroeren quoted him as telling German lawmakers that the nation may need as much as 120 billion euros ($158 billion). The previous package was 45 billion euros. Global stocks and commodities tumbled yesterday, while yields on Greek notes jumped to records as S&P rating cuts on Greece and Portugal spurred a flight from riskier assets. German Chancellor Angela Merkel told reporters in Berlin today that negotiations with Greece over financial aid must be accelerated, while also saying Greece’s entry to the euro region was not based on “sustainable factors” and the nation faces a painful adjustment to reduce its deficit. Financial, energy and raw-materials companies rose at least 1 percent to lead gains in nine of 10 industries in the S&P 500 as the benchmark for U.S. equities recouped one-quarter of yesterday’s 2.3 percent slide. ‘Extended Period’ Federal Reserve officials restated their intention to keep the benchmark interest rate near zero for an “extended period” and saw signs of life in the labor market. “Economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement today in Washington. Futures trading showed a 16 percent chance of an increase in the benchmark rate by the Fed’s August meeting, compared with 29 percent odds a month ago. Dow Chemical, the largest U.S. chemical maker, rallied 5.9 percent after earnings were boosted by higher sales of commodity plastics and rebounding demand in the U.S. and Europe. Comcast, the largest U.S. cable operator, rose 1.9 percent after gaining customers with faster Internet speeds and cable programs that can be viewed online. Earnings Growth Companies in the S&P 500 may increase profits 29 percent this year and 19 percent in 2011, the biggest two-year advance since 1998, estimates from more than 1,500 analyst compiled by Bloomberg show. “I still believe that what will matter the most is whether U.S. economic and U.S. earnings numbers continue to do better than forecast, and I think they will do so,” said Hugh Johnson, who oversees $1.78 billion as chairman of Albany, New York-based Johnson Illington. The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks fell 0.7 percent after yesterday sinking 2.1 percent. Spanish banks plunged after S&P downgraded the nation’s credit rating one step to AA. Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. and Banco Santander SA lost more than 4 percent. Spain’s sputtering economy will be a key element in assessing the risks faced by banks, S&P said, citing expectations of an extended period of “subdued” growth. Spain ‘Surprised’ Spanish Deputy Finance Minister Jose Manuel Campa said he was “surprised” by the S&P downgrade, and said it was based on excessively low growth forecasts. He spoke in a telephone interview in Madrid today. Greece’s ASE Index rebounded 0.6 percent as the nation’s securities regulator banned short selling on the Athens exchange. The gauge tumbled 6 percent to a one-year low yesterday. National Bank of Greece SA , the nation’s largest lender, rose 2 percent, paring some of yesterday’s 10 percent plunge. The Hellenic Capital Market Commission banned short selling of stocks on the Athens stock exchange effective today through June 28, citing “the extraordinary conditions prevailing on the Greek market.” The ASE Index is down 22 percent this year. Greek notes gained, with the two-year yield falling 164 basis points to 17.35 percent as of 4:34 p.m. in London after earlier soaring as high as 26 percent. Asian, Emerging Markets The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 2 percent as financial stocks declined. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc sank 2 percent in Tokyo. Canon Inc. , a camera maker that counts Europe as its largest market, slumped 2.5 percent. Billabong International Ltd., an Australian surfwear maker that gets 23 percent of its revenue in Europe, sank 3.4 percent in Sydney. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index dropped 1.3 percent. Russia’s Micex Index lost 2.3 percent and Hungary’s Budapest Stock Exchange Index fell 2.3 percent. Brazil’s Bovespa index climbed 0.2 percent after a 3.4 percent plunge yesterday. Nickel for delivery in three months slumped 1.1 percent to $25,650 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange. Crude oil gained 1 percent to $83.23 a barrel after falling as much as 1.4 percent earlier. To contact the reporter on this story: Michael P. Regan in New York at mregan12@bloomberg.net .

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Roubini Says Greece `Tip of Iceberg’ as Sovereign Debt Threatens Recovery

April 28, 2010

By Vivien Lou Chen April 28 (Bloomberg) — Nouriel Roubini , the New York University professor who predicted the U.S. recession more than a year before its start in December 2007, said rising sovereign debt from the U.S. to Japan and Greece will ultimately lead to higher inflation or government defaults. “While today markets are worried about Greece, Greece is just the tip of the iceberg,” Roubini, 52, said today during a discussion on financial markets at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California. Increasing tax revenue won’t be enough “to save the day.” Roubini’s remarks underscore statements by officials such as Dominique Strauss-Kahn , managing director of the International Monetary Fund, that the global economy still faces risks. Credit-rating cuts on Greece, Portugal and Spain in the past two days are spurring investors’ concern that the European deficit crisis is spreading and intensifying pressure on policy makers to widen a bailout package. “The thing I worry about is the buildup of sovereign debt,” Roubini, who teaches at NYU’s Stern School of Business, told attendees at the Beverly Hilton hotel. If the issue isn’t addressed, nations will either fail to meet obligations or experience higher inflation as officials “monetize” their debts, or print money to tackle the shortfalls. Michael Milken , founder of the Milken Institute, said the U.S. has the ability to continue selling private and public debt because its markets remain liquid. “I would say it is individual leadership’s fault if they are not taking advantage of today’s markets,” Milken, the junk- bond billionaire turned philanthropist, said on the panel moderated by Matt Winkler , editor-in-chief of Bloomberg News. Debt Crisis The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 1.3 percent to 258.24, a six-week low, after Standard & Poor’s downgraded Spain’s debt by one step to AA. The euro traded at $1.3205 at 4:02 p.m. in New York, compared with $1.3175 yesterday, after touching $1.3115, the lowest since April 28, 2009. Almost $1 trillion of worldwide equity value was erased yesterday on concern that rising public debt will spur defaults, derailing the global economy, data compiled by Bloomberg show. German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the IMF pledged to step up efforts to overcome the Greek fiscal crisis, after bonds and stocks plunged across Europe in the past week. Roubini predicted a bubble in U.S. housing prices during an interview with Bloomberg News in October 2005, months before the market peaked, and said in August 2006 that he expected a “painful” recession. Subprime Warning In May 2007, the economics professor said problems in the subprime-mortgage market were worsening and spreading, while Federal Reserve officials were saying the damage was contained. Roubini, chairman and co-founder of Roubini Global Economics LLC in New York, was previously a senior economist for the White House Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton administration, an adviser to the U.S. Treasury Department and a consultant to the IMF. Milken, 63, is the former high-yield bond chief from Drexel Burnham Lambert Inc. who was indicted on 98 counts of racketeering and securities fraud in 1989, ultimately serving about two years after a plea bargain and sentence reduction. For the past decade, he has focused on philanthropy and running the research institute, which seeks ways to generate capital for people around the world. To contact the reporter on this story: Vivien Lou Chen in Los Angeles at vchen1@bloomberg.net

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Hewlett-Packard to Buy Palm for $1.2 Billion

April 28, 2010

By Ari Levy and Connie Guglielmo April 28 (Bloomberg) — Hewlett-Packard Co. , the world’s biggest personal-computer maker, agreed to acquire Palm Inc. in a deal that values the company at about $1.2 billion, stepping up efforts to compete in the smartphone market. The price of $5.70 a share represents a 23 percent premium over Palm’s closing price today. The transaction should be completed by the end of July, Palo Alto, California-based Hewlett-Packard said in a statement. The Palm deal vaults Hewlett-Packard back into contention with the world’s biggest smartphone makers, including Apple Inc. and Research In Motion Ltd. Sales of Hewlett-Packard’s current smartphone, called iPaq, haven’t kept up with competitors. The company also gets a Palm patent lineup that spans mobile hardware, software and power-saving technologies. “This solidifies the portfolio of products they can offer an enterprise,” said Bill Kreher , an analyst at Edward Jones & Co. in St. Louis. He recommends buying Hewlett-Packard’s shares, which he doesn’t own. “You are combining the exciting technology from Palm and the scale and distribution capabilities of H-P.” While Palm has a bigger presence in the phone market than Hewlett-Packard, it too has struggled to match the appeal of Apple’s iPhone, RIM’s BlackBerry and phones using Google Inc.’s Android software. The company’s Pre and Pixi phones, released last year in a comeback bid, didn’t sell as well as expected. The company has reported 11 straight quarterly losses . Pre’s Debut After Palm introduced the Pre at the Consumer Electronics Show in January 2009, the stock jumped 80 percent in two days to $5.96 and climbed as high as $17.46 in September. The stock then dropped 74 percent, as Palm’s sales growth was outpaced by marketing costs and it lost market share to Apple and Google. By March, when Palm said its current-quarter sales would be less than half of Wall Street estimates, some analysts began questioning the company’s viability. Palm was founded in 1992 by Jeff Hawkins and Donna Dubinsky and was part of 3Com Corp. until 2000. Its current operating system, called WebOS, was built by Palm Chief Executive Officer Jon Rubinstein , who previously led development of Apple’s best-selling iPod media player. Rubinstein was recruited to Palm by Fred Anderson , Apple’s former finance chief and a co-founder of lead Palm investor Elevation Partners. The company started selling its first WebOS phone, the Pre, in June 2009 and followed with the smaller, cheaper Pixi in November. The phones let users send e-mail, surf the Web, stream video and run multiple applications at the same time. Both devices were sold in the U.S. exclusively by Sprint Nextel Corp., the country’s No. 3 carrier, until Verizon Wireless began offering enhanced versions in January. To contact the reporters on this story: Ari Levy in San Francisco at alevy5@bloomberg.net ; Connie Guglielmo in San Francisco at cguglielmo1@bloomberg.net

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U-Store-It Announces Major Expansion of Property Management Operations; U-Store-It Expands Third Party Management Business With Acquisition of 85 Management Contracts; A 23% Increase to U-Store-It’s Portfolio of Owned and Operated Self-Storage…

April 28, 2010

WAYNE, PA–(Marketwire – April 28, 2010) –  U-Store-It Trust ( NYSE : YSI ) today announced the closing of its acquisition of management and other contracts from United Stor-All Management, LLC (“United Stor-All”). Through this transaction, U-Store-It adds the management of 85 self-storage facilities to its existing portfolio of 375 owned or managed assets. In addition, U-Store-It adds eight United Stor-All corporate employees, including Carol Shipley as Vice President in charge of the Company’s third party management business, as well as the on-site employees currently managing the self-storage facilities. The 85 self-storage facilities contain approximately 5.4 million square feet and are located in 16 states and the District of Columbia.

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Timberland Bancorp, Inc. Announces Appointment of Michael J. Stoney to Its Board of Directors

April 28, 2010

HOQUIAM, WA–(Marketwire – April 28, 2010) –  Timberland Bancorp, Inc. (the “Company”) ( NASDAQ : TSBK ), the holding company for Timberland Bank (“Bank”), announced today that Michael J. Stoney has been appointed to the Board of Directors of the Company and the Bank effective April 27, 2010.

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SmithGroup Names William Diefenbach, FAIA, LEED AP, Office Director in San Francisco

April 28, 2010

James Hannon to Focus Full-Time on Firm’s National Health Practice

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Artefact Invests in Its Software Development and Design Teams With Four Strategic Hires

April 28, 2010

The Company Foresees Continued Growth in Demand for Software Development in 2010

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SAFER: Ending Interconnectedness: It’s Already in the Bill

April 28, 2010

Jane D’Arista University of Massachusetts, Amherst, SAFER www.peri.umass.edu/safer On the eve of the proposed debate on the Restoring Financial Stability Act reported by the Senate Banking Committee, the focus was on the weaknesses in the bill – in particular, that it didn’t do enough to prevent a repetition of a financial crisis as serious as the one we have just experienced. The bill identified and provided for a great many studies of the problems that appeared to have caused the crisis without necessarily incorporating the preventive medicine it prescribed into statute. But that particular form of weakness is already well known and a number of Senators have readied amendments to be offered on the Senate floor to strengthen the legislation. Among those amendments, one is the Brown-Kaufman-Casey-Whitehouse-Harkin SAFE Banking Act to deal with “Too Big to Fail” (TBTF) institutions by capping banks’ size as a share of total deposits, putting limits on non-deposit liabilities of banks and non-banks as a share of GDP, and instituting a statutory 6 percent leverage ratio for bank holding companies. Another strengthening amendment was offered by Senators Merkley and Levin to ban proprietary trading by banks (the so-called Volcker Rule) through statutory restrictions rather than authorize the Financial Stability Oversight Council to develop regulations after a study. Their amendment also closes loopholes in the definition of proprietary trading, imposes higher capital standards and position limits on non-banks engaged in high-risk asset and trading strategies, and prohibits Goldman-style bets against clients by banning transactions that undermine the value, safety or performance of asset-backed securities by the firms that originate them. But what about the other component of TBTF – the interconnectedness of the largest banks and non-banks that became so glaringly apparent when Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and AIG collapsed in 2008? As much as size itself, the growth in the amount of borrowing by these and other financial institutions both caused and exacerbated the crisis. Not only had they leveraged their individual and aggregate balance sheets to historically high levels but, equally important, most of the funding that supported the explosion in asset and derivative positions on and off their balance sheets was borrowed from other financial institutions. When the prices of the collateral that backed these positions began to decline, counterparties called for more collateral. Their calls forced a widening group of institutions to take charges against capital and the process of collapse began. The interconnectedness caused by the extraordinary level of borrowing by these institutions from one another resulted in a crisis that took the form of a run on the financial sector by the financial sector. Clearly, interconnectedness is one of a critical group of related causes that helped push the system to the breaking point. Has that been forgotten? No. While it has been ignored by those who focus on the weaknesses in the Senate bill, the fact is that the bill reported by the Banking Committee does address the problem. Section 610 of Title VI is a powerful tool that will reduce the level of systemic risk by limiting the amount of funding financial institutions can provide to one another. As a result, it will shrink the size of the largest institutions by reducing their ability to fund proprietary trading and create outsized on- and off-balance-sheet positions. Moreover, reducing the funding available for market making by the big 5 derivatives dealers that dominate the market will force most of the activity onto exchanges. Section 610 does these desirable things by amending the National Bank Act to make the existing limits on loans to a single borrower in relation to capital applicable to credit exposures resulting from derivatives transactions, repurchase agreements, reverse repurchase agreements and securities lending and borrowing transactions. Because most of these transactions involve counterparties that are financial institutions, the amendment makes clear that the word “person” used in the Act applies to financial as well as non-financial borrowers. The impact of this section on institutional growth is important in itself and especially so if other restrictions are not adopted. Capping the size of institutions is needed to restore a market economy by ensuring that decisions about the allocation of financial resources are not concentrated in too few hands. Much of the growth in the size of individual institutions and the financial sector as a whole is fairly recent, unprecedented and has outstripped the growth of the economy in which it was embedded. Financial sector liabilities rose from 63.8 to 113.8 percent of GDP over the decade from 1997 to 2007 (Federal Reserve System [FRS], Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States) and the six largest banks with assets of 17 percent of GDP in 1994 now have assets estimated to be over 60 percent of GDP (Simon Johnson, Baseline Scenario.com). This amount of growth was made possible by the ability of the financial sector to monetize debt. Using assets already on their balance sheets as collateral, the largest institutions borrowed funds through repurchase agreements to buy more assets that could be used for even more borrowing. When traditional collateral such as government securities and corporate bonds grew scarce, mortgage-backed securities were used as backing. As demand for collateral grew, synthetic assets (collateralized debt obligations or CDOs) based on existing assets were created. And then came the rapid expansion of credit default swaps – a way of betting on assets owned by others that turned balance sheets into pure froth. Over the decade of the 1990s, the market for repurchase agreements rose from about $200 billion to nearly $1 trillion and liabilities for repos accounted for 20 percent of banks’ total deposits by year-end 2001 (FRS, Flow of Funds). The size of the repo market peaked at $4.3 trillion in early 2008, falling back to about $2.5 trillion currently as lenders began to require higher quality assets as collateral from borrowers. Half or more of the financial sector’s liabilities for repos after 2001 were held as assets by other financial institutions. In the offshore markets, the proportion may be as high as 80 percent (Bank for International Settlements, Annual Report [various issues]). The three-fold jump in outstanding repos between the beginning of the decade and 2007 tracks the rate of growth of the largest institutions in this period, suggesting that the dramatic rise in funding within the financial sector enabled that growth. But it also culminated in an enormous web of opaque interconnections among these institutions that precipitated a credit crunch when confidence in counterparties evaporated. The vicious circle that took hold of financial markets got underway as firms’ inability to fund existing positions forced sales that drained their capital and that of the system as a whole. The incestuous nature of the build-up in funding within the financial sector must be stopped and the Senate bill takes a major step in that direction. Building on existing law to limit the credit exposure of banks to other financial institutions is a critical prophylactic measure that must be adopted to prevent on-going speculation and unsustainable growth of both institutions and the system as a whole. Moreover, it is the only way to disentangle the web of interconnections within the financial system that causes a level of contagion high enough to threaten systemic collapse.

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FOMC Minutes: Fed To Keep Interest Rates Low For An ‘Extended Period’

April 28, 2010

By JEANNINE AVERSA, AP: Wrapping up a two-day meeting, the Fed in a 9-1 decision retained its pledge to hold rates at historic lows for an “extended period.” Doing so will help energize the recovery. The Fed offered a more upbeat view of the economy even as it noted that risks remain. It said the job market is “beginning to improve,” an upgrade from its last meeting in mid-March. It observed then that the unemployment situation was merely “stabilizing.” The Fed also noted that consumer spending has “picked up,” an improvement from its last observation that spending was expanding at a “moderate pace.” Even with the improvements, the Fed said there was reason to be cautious. High unemployment, sluggish income gains and tight credit is still dampening consumer spending, a major contributor to economic activity. Commercial real estate remains fragile. And though housing activity has edged up, it is still at depressed levels. Bank lending continues to shrink. Investors showed little reaction to the Fed’s statement. The Dow Jones industrial average was relatively unchanged after the announcement. Prices for Treasurys continued to slip following the announcement. The yield on the 10-year note, which moves inversely to its price, edged up to 3.77 percent, from 3.75 percent just before the announcement. READ the entire statement from the Federal Reserve: Federal Reserve Press Release Release Date: April 28, 2010 For immediate release Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March suggests that economic activity has continued to strengthen and that the labor market is beginning to improve. Growth in household spending has picked up recently but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software has risen significantly; however, investment in nonresidential structures is declining and employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. Housing starts have edged up but remain at a depressed level. While bank lending continues to contract, financial market conditions remain supportive of economic growth. Although the pace of economic recovery is likely to be moderate for a time, the Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability. With substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to be subdued for some time. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary to promote economic recovery and price stability. In light of improved functioning of financial markets, the Federal Reserve has closed all but one of the special liquidity facilities that it created to support markets during the crisis. The only remaining such program, the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility, is scheduled to close on June 30 for loans backed by new-issue commercial mortgage-backed securities; it closed on March 31 for loans backed by all other types of collateral. Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Donald L. Kohn; Sandra Pianalto; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against the policy action was Thomas M. Hoenig, who believed that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period was no longer warranted because it could lead to a build-up of future imbalances and increase risks to longer run macroeconomic and financial stability, while limiting the Committee’s flexibility to begin raising rates modestly.

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Janis Bowdler: Setting the Record Straight: Why Auto Dealers Do Not Need Carve-Outs

April 28, 2010

Auto dealers arrived on Capitol Hill yesterday seeking special carve-outs from the proposed “Restoring American Financial Stability Act of 2010″ (S. 3217) . This banking reform bill aims to put an end to the reckless practices of Wall Street and the abusive and discriminatory tactics by financiers of all stripes. In their search for a loophole, auto dealers claim that the bill will restrict affordable car loans and result in fee hikes. The dealers’ concerns, itemized in a press advisory issued by the National Auto Dealers Association on April 26, patently ignore clearly stated rules in the bill. Before more misinformation is propagated, we need to set the record straight. The auto dealers are urging senators to avoid over-regulating their dealerships, burdening them with redundant laws, and ultimately limiting consumers’ credit options. These concerns are unfounded. A key feature of the “Financial Stability” bill is to consolidate the consumer protections currently scattered across several federal agencies under one roof by creating a Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA). The CFPA would be charged with monitoring the financial marketplace and structured to react quickly to new tricks, scams, and abuses. In the case of auto dealers, the CFPA would not regulate the sale of a car or financing when the borrower obtains their financing from their bank or credit union. Dealers would only be subject to regulation―as they are now―when they affect the terms and conditions of auto loans. The bill would not impose onerous new regulations, but give the CFPA the authority currently held by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the primary regulator of most auto dealers: the power to address unfair or abusive lending practices wherever they occur. This would ultimately save the consumer money, not limit their credit options. While not much will change for auto dealers in the way of rules, the CFPA promises to indentify and stem abusive trends that have cropped up in the loosely enforced rules of today. Of all industries, auto dealers could use another cop on the beat. They are consistently the top source of consumer complaints to the Better Business Bureau and state and local consumer protection agencies. As in the mortgage industry, predatory and abusive financing practices have occurred throughout the auto market. Such abuses are especially prevalent among borrowers of color. Research shows that similar to home loans, Latino and African American borrowers are charged unnecessary mark-ups much more frequently than their White peers. The “Financial Stability Act” will improve matters for consumers and ultimately lenders alike. Having authority over all lending entities, such as auto dealers, a strong CFPA would streamline and reward better practices and contribute to stabilizing the market. Exemptions for special-interest groups would carve out major players who have committed some of the biggest offenses in stripping our families of their honest dollars. Click here for more information.

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U.S. Stocks Rise on Earnings as Euro Drops on Spains Downgrade

April 28, 2010
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VIX’s Biggest Jump Since 2008 May Prove to Be One-Day Wonder: Chart of Day

April 28, 2010

By David Wilson April 28 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. stock market’s fear gauge probably will settle down in the next few days after its biggest one-day surge since October 2008, according to Bill Luby, editor of the VIX and More newsletter and blog. The CHART OF THE DAY displays daily percentage changes in the indicator — the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, also known as the VIX — during the past 18 months. The VIX climbed 31 percent yesterday as Standard & Poor’s lowered Greece’s debt ratings to junk-bond status and downgraded Portugal, heightening concern that European government deficits will spark a global financial crisis. This was only the eighth increase of 30 percent or more since the CBOE introduced the gauge in 1993, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Yet the index’s closing level of 22.8 “is not the kind of number that suggests panic is in the air,” Luby wrote yesterday on his blog . Europe’s deficit burden is “a less significant structural risk, at least for now,” to the financial system than the events behind previous jumps in the VIX, he wrote. He cited the credit crunch in 2008, the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks in 2001 and the Asian financial crisis in 1997. A drop within the next week would be in keeping with the VIX’s past performance, Luby’s posting said. The index has lost an average of 7 percent in the first three days after single-day gains of at least 20 percent, according to his calculations. The average five-day decline has been 9 percent. (To save a copy of the chart, click here.) To contact the reporter on this story: David Wilson in New York at dwilson@bloomberg.net

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Brown Is `Penitent’ After Being Caught Calling U.K. Voter `Bigoted Woman’

April 28, 2010

By Gonzalo Vina and Kitty Donaldson April 28 (Bloomberg) — Prime Minister Gordon Brown called himself a “penitent sinner” after being caught on a microphone calling a voter he’d just met “a bigoted woman,” a potential setback as his Labour Party struggles to win support for the May 6 election. Brown was discussing the concerns the voter, Gillian Duffy, had about immigration in Rochdale, near Manchester in northwest England, today as he campaigned to win back the district from the opposition Liberal Democrats. Brown made the comments, played on Sky News television, while still wearing his microphone after he got back into his car. He later spent a half hour visiting Duffy at her home to apologize. “It’s an embarrassment and it doesn’t do much for his honesty and reputation,” said John Curtice , a professor of politics at Strathclyde University in Scotland. “This is obviously going to make it harder for Labour to catch up.” Brown has been running third behind the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats in most recent polls. Labour is also forecast to have the most seats in Parliament, though short of a majority. Gains by the Liberal Democrats have increased the chance of a so-called hung Parliament. “She is just the sort of bigoted woman who said she used to be Labour,” Brown said in the car. “That was a disaster. Who put me with that woman?” ‘Eastern Europeans’ Duffy had confronted Brown in the street. “You can’t say anything about immigrants,” she told him. “All these eastern Europeans — where are they coming from?” “I am a penitent sinner, sometimes you say things that you don’t mean to say, sometimes you say things by mistake and sometimes when you say things you want to correct it very quickly,” Brown told reporters as he left Duffy’s house. “I have come here to say to Gillian that I am sorry that I made a mistake but also to say that I understood the concerns she was bringing.” Pollster Andrew Hawkins of ComRes Ltd. said the episode will benefit Liberal Democrats the most because “reluctant Labour voters are more likely to lend their votes” to the party’s leader, Nick Clegg , next week. “Now Gordon Brown is going to come across as a leader who cannot be trusted,” Hawkins said in an interview. Poll Findings A ComRes poll last night showed the Conservatives at 32 percent support, compared with 29 percent for Labour and the Liberal Democrats. That would give Labour 277 seats, with Conservatives taking 248, and the Liberal Democrats 93 in the 650-seat House of Commons . The uneven distribution of votes in the U.K. means Labour may still be the biggest bloc in Parliament, though without a majority, even if it only comes in third in the popular vote. The threat of a hung Parliament may roil markets on concern that power sharing between parties would create a government too weak to fix Britain’s finances. The pound has dropped 2.1 percent against the dollar since the first TV debate as polls have pointed increasingly to a hung Parliament. Sterling fell to $1.5166 at 4:32 p.m. in London from $1.5265 in New York late yesterday. Investors are concerned about possible lack of action to narrow the U.K.’s budget deficit, the biggest of any Group of Seven country. The deficit widened 76 percent in the year through March to 152.8 billion pounds ($233 billion), the largest since World War II. The encounter with the voter was the last such public appearance before Brown was due to gather with officials to prepare for a debate with Clegg and Conservative leader David Cameron tomorrow. Final Debate Labour Party officials had been counting on the final televised debate, on the economy, to give Brown a chance to overshadow his opponents because of his decade of experience as finance minister before becoming premier in 2007. Clegg was judged by polls to have won the first encounter. The second, last week, was judged to have had no clear winner. “I am very upset,” Duffy told reporters in Rochdale after hearing Brown’s comments. “He’s an educated person. Why has he come up with comments like that?” “I don’t want to speak to him again,” she said. “I want to know why I was called a bigot, that’s all.” Duffy said she would not be voting in the election now after supporting Labour all her life. ‘Lot of Explaining’ “We have found out the prime minister’s internal thoughts,” the Conservative Party’s Treasury spokesman, George Osborne , told Sky News television. “He has got a lot of explaining to do.” Clegg told Sky that Brown was right to apologize. “Saying something that’s clearly fairly insulting is not right, not right at all,” he said. Labour’s most senior politicians rallied around Brown to say that the comments were a mistake and that Brown had no intention of hurting Duffy. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson said the comments were made in the “heat of the moment” and Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling said Brown had made a “profuse” apology. Immigration is the second most important issue facing Britain after the economy, according an Ipsos Mori poll carried out this month. Fourteen percent of those questioned said it was the most important issue, the poll of 977 voters showed. Brown’s behavior has attracted scrutiny in the past and this latest episode may undermine his ability to leapfrog the Liberal Democrats in the opinion polls. Last year, Cameron taunted him in Parliament about reports of mobile phones being hurled at aides. The prime minister has thrown pens and even a stapler at officials, according to one former adviser; he says Brown once shoved a laser printer off a desk in a rage. Another aide was warned to watch out for “flying Nokias” when he joined Brown’s team. To contact the reporters on this story: Gonzalo Vina in Rochdale, England, at gvina@bloomberg.net ; Kitty Donaldson in London at kdonaldson1@bloomberg.net

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Shelby Says He, Dodd Are Near Overcoming Hurdle in Finance-Overhaul Talks

April 28, 2010

By Alison Vekshin April 28 (Bloomberg) — The main Republican negotiator on U.S. financial-overhaul legislation said he was close to an agreement on language governing bank bailouts, a move that may break the Senate impasse over whether to begin debate. Richard Shelby of Alabama, the top Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, said he and committee Chairman Christopher Dodd “have made great strides” in talks regarding the most contentious section of the bill dealing with government power to unwind large failing companies. Shelby, who plans to meet with Dodd of Connecticut later today, said he would be willing to move forward with the bill without agreeing on other key provisions, including a consumer agency and derivatives oversight. “We’re going to try to see if there is any way to bridge any gap between us and the Democrats on the consumer agency,” Shelby told reporters. “If there’s not, we’ll have to go the next step. All roads ultimately lead to the floor one way or the other.” Senate Republicans blocked Democrats from starting debate on the Wall Street rules overhaul for a third time today, saying they want the legislation changed to prevent future bank bailouts. Republicans remained united against Democrats in the 56-42 vote, with 60 needed to begin consideration. Republican leader Mitch McConnell cited yesterday’s testimony by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein that he was “generally supportive” of the bill. Dodd’s bill would create a mechanism to unwind failing firms whose collapse would disrupt the economy, with a $50 billion industry-supported fund to cover the cost. Republicans say the fund could perpetuate bailouts of Wall Street banks. Shelby said he expects the fund to be removed from any agreement he reaches with Dodd. To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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E.ON Is Near Accord to Sell $7.5 Billion U.S. Electricity Business to PPL

April 28, 2010

By Nicholas Comfort and Jordan Burke April 28 (Bloomberg) — E.ON AG is nearing an agreement to sell its U.S. unit to PPL Corp. in a deal that values the unit at about $7.5 billion including debt, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. E.ON, based in Dusseldorf, is seeking to sell more than 10 billion euros of assets by the end of the year after being saddled with debt from acquiring power plants and customers from Spain to Siberia. PPL, based in Allentown, Pennsylvania, owns its state’s second-biggest utility. E.ON’s U.S. unit, which includes two utilities, delivers electricity to about 900,000 customers and gas to about 318,000 customers. It can generate more than 8,000 megawatts of power. PPL owns or controls about 12,000 megawatts of power generation, of which 34 percent is coal-fired and 18 percent is nuclear. PPL has 1.4 million Pennsylvania customers and 2.6 million U.K. customers. “Consolidation in this industry makes sense,” said Paul Patterson , an analyst at Glenrock Associates LLC in New York. “There are a large number of smaller utilities, when combined together, that could drive operational efficiencies.” E.ON already has raised almost 6 billion euros selling high-voltage power lines, about 20 percent of its electricity generation capacity in Germany and a holding company for stakes in local energy suppliers, according to a March 10 presentation. E.ON’s net debt was 44.67 billion euros as of Dec. 31. E.ON acquired the U.S. assets when it bought U.K. electricity producer PowerGen Plc in 2002. PowerGen agreed to buy LG&E Energy Corp. for $5.4 billion in 2000. The German company also has 1,720 megawatts of wind turbines in the U.S. managed by its renewable-energy unit, according to its 2009 annual report. LG&E was originally formed in 1838 as Louisville Gas & Water to provide gas-fired street lighting. In February, FirstEnergy Corp. agreed to buy Allegheny Energy for about $4.7 billion to increase generation capacity in PJM Interconnection LLC, the largest electricity market in the U.S., which stretches from Washington to Chicago. “With the bigger balance sheet and more asset base, you can take on bigger projects that smaller and medium utilities cannot do,” said Steve Mitnick , a partner at Oliver Wyman in New York who advises power and utility companies. “That’s a real advantage.” E.ON hired Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to find a buyer for the unit, a person briefed on the matter said last month. With wider geographic spread, companies may find it easier to weather state utility commission actions, Mitnick said. Florida regulators in January rejected or reduced rate increases for Progress Energy Inc. and FPL Group Inc.’s Florida Power & Light Co. Both companies reduced capital-spending plans following the decisions. “Where a utility is in several states and is not dependent on just one regulatory commission, that means that its financial stability is less dependent on one commission,” Mitnick said. “In these tough times, some of these commissions have been difficult and challenging.” To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Comfort in Frankfurt at ncomfort1@bloomberg.net ; Jordan Burke in New York at jburke29@bloomberg.net .

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Bank of America Said to Elect Ex-DuPont CEO Charles Holliday as Chairman

April 28, 2010

By David Mildenberg April 28 (Bloomberg) — Bank of America Corp. ’s board elected former DuPont Co. Chief Executive Officer Charles Holliday as chairman, a person briefed on the matter said. Holliday was elected today, the person said, speaking anonymously because the decision hasn’t been publicly released. Holliday, 62, has been a director since September. He was DuPont Co.’s chairman from January 1999 to December 2009 and CEO from January 1998 to December 2008. He’s on Bank of America’s corporate governance and credit committees and serves as a director at firms including Deere & Co., the maker of farm machines based in Moline, Illinois. His background at “a large, highly regulated, multinational corporation and a founding member of the International Business Council” was cited in the proxy as “directly relevant to the oversight of a large global organization like Bank of America.” The bank is based in Charlotte, North Carolina. To contact the reporter on this story: David Mildenberg in Charlotte at dmildenberg@bloomberg.net

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Stocks in U.S. Advance on Earnings, Fed Pledge to Keep Interest Rates Low

April 28, 2010

By Elizabeth Stanton April 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose as better-than- estimated earnings and the Federal Reserve’s pledge to keep interest rates near zero overshadowed a downgrade of Spain’s credit rating. Dow Chemical Co., the largest U.S. chemical maker, and insulation producer Owens Corning Inc. rallied at least 5.9 percent as profits topped the average analyst forecasts. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. rose 2.4 percent, leading banks to the largest gain in the S&P 500, after defending its dealings with clients at a Senate hearing yesterday. Equities extended gains as the Fed said it will keep its benchmark interest rate near zero for an extended period even as the labor market begins to improve. The S&P 500 increased 0.9 percent to 1,194.6 at 2:28 p.m. It fell as much as 0.2 percent today after S&P cut Spain to AA from AA+. Stocks plunged around the world yesterday after the ratings firm reduced ratings for Greece and Portugal. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 78.67 points, or 0.7 percent, to 11,070.66. “Earnings season is going exceptionally well,” said David Katz , chief investment officer at Matrix Asset Advisors Inc. in New York, which manages $1.2 billion. “A better economy and better earnings should continue to drive the market higher as the year progresses.” Europe “is going to muddle through” its debt crisis, he said. Earnings Season Profit for companies in the S&P 500 surged 176 percent during the final three months of 2009, the most in Bloomberg data going back to 1998, and analysts estimate a 44 percent increase for the first quarter of 2010. Earnings estimates for companies in the index rose 9.1 percent on average in April, twice the gain in prices and the largest monthly increase since at least 2006. Income for the first three months of this year is beating estimates at near the fastest rate ever for the third time in a year, with 79.4 percent of the 219 companies that have reported topping projections. That compares with 79.5 percent in the third quarter and 72.3 percent in the period before that. “Economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement today in Washington. S&P said in a statement today that the outlook on Spain is negative, reflecting the chance of a possible further downgrade if the “budgetary position underperforms to a greater extent than we currently anticipate.” Spain was last cut by S&P in January 2009. “While Greece doesn’t have huge implications in the global economy, and Portugal doesn’t either, Spain does,” said John Massey , a money manager at SunAmerica Asset Management Corp. in Jersey City, New Jersey. “Europe represents a fair amount of sales for most global companies.” To contact the reporters on this story: Elizabeth Stanton in New York at estanton@bloomberg.net

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Fed Repeats Pledge to Maintain Low Rates, Sees Improvement in Labor Market

April 28, 2010

By Craig Torres April 28 (Bloomberg) — The Federal Reserve restated its intention to keep the benchmark interest rate near zero for an “extended period” and said the labor market is “beginning to improve.” “Economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement today in Washington. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is contending with an economy that’s been growing for almost a year without an increase in inflation or a decline in unemployment below 9.7 percent. While consumer spending is recovering along with business investment, credit to households remains tight. A surge in corporate profits last quarter was led by demand from overseas and lower labor costs, according to results from Standard & Poor’s 500 companies that have reported earnings this month. “With substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to be subdued for some time,” the FOMC said. Treasury notes remained lower after the decision. Stocks and the dollar were little changed. Spending, Employment Officials also said growth in household spending has “picked up recently.” The job market is “beginning to improve,” according to the statement. Last month, the FOMC said the labor market “is stabilizing.” U.S. central bankers have kept the benchmark lending rate in a range of zero to 0.25 percent since December 2008. Their purchases of $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities, which ended last month, boosted the balance sheet to a record $2.34 trillion, creating concern among some officials that aggressive monetary stimulus could lead to imbalances later. Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig dissented for the third straight meeting. He said “that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rates for an extended period was no longer warranted because it could lead to the buildup of future imbalances and increase risks to longer-run macroeconomic and financial stability” and limiting the ability to increase rates “modestly.” Gross domestic product grew at a 3.3 percent annual pace in the first quarter, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of an April 30 report from the Commerce Department. After a 5.6 percent expansion in the prior three months, such growth would mark the best back-to-back performance since the last six months of 2003. Markets Improve Conditions in financial markets have also improved. Raytheon Co., the world’s largest missile maker, and the finance unit of Royal Dutch Shell PLC led a drop in U.S. industrial company debt yields to 129 basis points more than similar- maturity Treasuries last week, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data. The spread is one basis point tighter than it was on Aug. 9, 2007, when BNP Paribas SA halted withdrawals from three investment funds near the start of the credit crisis. Industrial company spreads widened 1 basis point yesterday to 130 basis points. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. Economists have raised forecasts from earlier this month as reports showed consumer spending climbed, inventories rose and businesses invested in new equipment. The median estimate of analysts polled from April 1 to April 8 called for a 3 percent growth rate. Retail sales increased 1.6 percent last month, more than anticipated and the biggest gain in four months, according to figures from the Commerce Department. Stocks of companies that rely on discretionary spending are up. Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., a Denver-based Mexican restaurant chain, are up about 55 percent year-to-date. Shares of Starbucks Corp ., based in Seattle, have risen 14.5 percent. Jobless Rate For all the positive news, economists surveyed by Bloomberg News expect non-farm payrolls to rise by just 175,000 this month, not enough to lower the unemployment rate from 9.7 percent, where it stood in March. Slack in labor markets and resulting weak wage pressures have held down consumer prices. The consumer price index minus food and energy rose at a 1.1 percent pace for the 12 months ending March, down from 1.3 percent in February. “The Fed is going to be pretty cautious until we start seeing 300,000 gains in private monthly payrolls,” Julia Coronado , senior U.S. economist at BNP Paribas SA in New York, said before the announcement. “Without a stronger turn into job growth, and without credit creation, it doesn’t look like we would accelerate much from here.” Inflation Outlook Officials brought a fresh set of forecasts to today’s meeting. Their outlook for inflation and unemployment, which will be disclosed in three weeks when minutes are released, will offer insights into their estimates of how fast the economy will use up spare capacity. About 80 percent of S&P 500 companies to have posted first- quarter earnings have topped analysts’ projections, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Some companies are positioning for a sustained increase in demand. Caterpillar Inc. , based in Peoria, Illinois and the world’s largest maker of construction equipment, posted its first earnings increase in seven quarters on April 26, exceeding analysts’ estimates. Eastman Chemical Co. , the biggest U.S. maker of plastics for water bottles, topped analysts’ estimates with first-quarter earnings and its second-quarter forecast. Jim Rogers , chief executive officer of the Kingsport, Tennessee-based company, said April 23 that its output will rise after first-quarter sales jumped 39 percent to $1.56 billion. Sales Forecast Macy’s Inc., the second-largest U.S. department-store chain, boosted its annual profit and sales forecasts yesterday. Sales at stores open at least a year will rise as much as 3.5 percent, Chief Financial Officer Karen Hoguet said at an analyst meeting in New York. The Cincinnati-based retailer earlier predicted a gain of 2 percent at most. “We are at the early stages of gaining confidence that the recovery is sustainable,” Alan Ruskin , global head of currency strategy at RBS Securities Inc., said before the announcement. “The virtuous cycle of generating jobs through consumption is just starting up, but demand is still vulnerable to a change in financial conditions, if for example the market’s attention shifts to disturbing U.S. fiscal accounts.” Bernanke expressed concerns yesterday about the long-term prospects for the economy, telling a White House commission on the budget deficit that budget deficits may eventually drive up interest rates . The failure to achieve a sustainable fiscal plan in the U.S. would “sap the nation’s economic vitality, reduce our living standards and greatly increase the risk of economic and financial instability,” he said. To contact the reporter on this story: Craig Torres in Washington at ctorres3@bloomberg.net

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Martin Luz: Blankfein Plays Dumb, But Did Tourre Just Sink Wall Street?

April 28, 2010

Lots of ink will be spilled over Lloyd Blankstare, I mean, Blankfein and the wide range of grimaces he managed to conjure as he was questioned. But the hoped for admission of guilt (a smoking gun?) came today from none other than the only individual named in the SEC lawsuit against Goldman: Fabrice Tourre . And with this admission, he confirmed what Yves Smith (of Naked Capitalism) blogged about just a month ago in his post: Debunking Michael Lewis’ The Big Short In Llyod’s Defense, Idiocy Yes, we now know what Llyod’s defense strategy will be: play dumb. Just like Alan Greenspan has done for the better part of two years now. Lloyd will have an inscrutable stare plastered on his face for the next year or so as the SEC case wends its way through the courts. He will look bemused. Sometimes irritated, squishing up his face as if to say, “Say what?” Once in a while he’ll flash a warm homespun PR smile. And all the while, the man at the head of one of the most sophisticated financial and trading operations the world has ever know will claim: I didn’t know what the firm’s aggregate risk position was relative to the housing market. I had nothing to do with the day-to-day operations of the mortgage desk (which accounted for more than half the risk of the entire firm, even though it was only a small fraction of revenues). We had no official short position on housing… ever… and even if we did I would have no idea what it was. I was out golfing for charity every time the risk management committee met. I was windsurfing with John Kerry every time the Board discussed the firm’s risk profile. I don’t know what you mean when you ask about “making a bet against clients”… are those words in English? Basically this man will claim to know nothing. That the firm knew nothing. Took long and short positions all the time without having the least sense of what the aggregate position of the firm was. Had absolutely no clue as to the quality of the underlying mortgages in the pools it was peddling (even though Sen. McCaskill produced a risk report from a lowly analyst that indicates Goldman was parsing every mortgage in every pool.) Couldn’t have known. Didn’t know. “Whaddaya want from me? Didn’t Greenspan already tell you clowns that we’re just innocent market makers? And this is how ‘free markets’ operate?” (Cue blank stare and squinty look of befuddlement.) Fabulous Fabrice Tourre’s Smoking Gun The most important moment of the day came at the end of Sen. McCaskill’s 20 minutes of pontification, which was impressive, if somewhat unfocused. She was railing against the Abacus deal and asking Mr. Tourre whether it was common-sensical to let short sellers (i.e., “protection buyers”) pick the securities in a pool that would be sold to investors… without telling the investors how the securities were picked. She kept rubbing her face with her palms, maybe hoping a genie would materialize and explain what she just didn’t understand: how do you justify selling a security that’s designed to fail, designed in fact by the guy who is betting against it? She asked whether that was common practice. And here is when the SEC was surely taking notes and smiling … and when every major market maker in CDOs got on the phone to their lawyers. Mr. Tourre replied: “In every synthetic CDO transaction, the protection buyer [i.e., short seller] has to be involved in some shape or form in creating the portfolio, otherwise there would be no transaction … Without a protection buyer, there is no deal. Billions Up In Smoke So here now we finally have the truth. All those synthetic CDOs, in which investors lost tens of billions of dollars, were created to fail, and they were designed by the people betting against them. It was not only common practice, it was the whole reason these instruments existed in the first place — exclusively as vehicles for short sellers to buy protection against. If true, that means all the firms that sold such vehicles are on the hook for exactly the same scam as Goldman: letting short sellers pick the securities in the reference portfolio and not telling the buyers who selected the portfolio constituents, how those constituents were chosen, and that in fact the whole deal was concocted as a vehicle simply to give the short seller something to bet against. Tourre admitted it: the short seller has to pick the portfolio or there is no deal. Short sellers are too smart (and too greedy) to bet against something that they have not designed to fail. So the higher the demand by shorts, the more synthetic CDOs are created… and who takes the long side of those deals? Institutional investors lured in by the fraudulently high ratings. This is exactly what Yves Smith was saying in his post. The short sellers are not heroes for calling BS on the housing bubble, they are the arsonists who threw gasoline on the fire. They stoked demand for instruments they could “buy protection” against. It was “the shorts” who fueled the explosion of the synthetic CDO market (literally), because without their demand for something to bet against, these securities never would have been created or sold in the first place. How Far Will The Dominoes Fall? It remains to be seen whether Mr. Tourre’s admission turns out to be correct. But if he is, if every synthetic CDO deal was the result of short sellers picking portfolios, and placement agents keeping that information from buyers, then there will be a whole lot more suits like the one we are now seeing against Goldman. Things just get curiouser and curiouser.

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Financial ‘Reform’ Dodges Big Lessons

April 28, 2010

As congressional partisans wrangle over financial reform, neither side is grappling with a fundamental lesson learned from an investigation into the causes of the financial crisis. A recent Senate inquiry offered a rare peek into the secret world of bank examiners. What it revealed was that regulators had stopped regulating. In the case of Washington Mutual, regulators found all sorts of trouble, from lax lending standards to high delinquency rates on loans, and yet failed to prevent the biggest bank failure in history. Starting in 2003, examiners for the Office of Thrift Supervision found 545 problems at the bank. But the agency left it up to WaMu to track its own compliance with examiners’ recommendations, and took no formal action against the bank until it was too late. Even when problems grew so severe that the OTS should have taken strong enforcement action — and let the public know — the agency did nothing. In a revealing e-mail to WaMu’s CEO, Kerry Killinger, agency director John Reich said of OTS’ failure to demand remedies that “if someone were looking over our shoulders, they would probably be surprised.” A central lesson from the failure of Washington Mutual was that a system set up to prevent what happened utterly failed. For all the talk of reform, Congress isn’t addressing the problem of regulators who fail to do their job. Regulators routinely deferred to bankers and market forces and engaged in petty squabbles over who had authority over the bank. So the question now is: Can Congress fix ineffective regulators themselves? “It’s not only feeble enforcement, it is pitiful enforcement,” Sen. Carl Levin, (D-Mich.), chairman of the subcommittee on permanent investigations said at an April 16 hearing when scolding Reich, who has since retired from the OTS. In a bipartisan moment, Sen. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.) took it even further. “I have concluded that investors would have been better off had there been no OTS,” Coburn said. “OTS said everything was fine when, in fact, OTS knew everything wasn’t fine and wasn’t getting it changed.” ‘Conflict of Interest’ OTS’s own fortunes were heavily tied to Washington Mutual’s. The bank paid fees that amounted to 15 percent of OTS’s budget – more than any other financial institution under its watch. So it was in the OTS’s interest to make sure WaMu survived as a thrift, a bank that specializes in home mortgages. The financial reform bill emerging in Congress would fold the function of OTS into another agency that oversees national banks, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. That would eliminate a practice in which some banks could pick and chose their regulator. But as Coburn pointed out it an interview with the Investigative Fund, the reform bill still would compel regulators to depend on the banks they supervise for revenue. “They haven’t addressed that issue” in the financial reform bill, Coburn noted. “You have to end that conflict of interest.” Another issue highlighted by the Senate subcommittee investigation was deference to the market to regulate. Emails and reports turned up in that investigation show regulators would allow unsafe practices as long as shareholders and investors were happy. For example, an OTS examiner wrote in an e-mail to his boss in 2005 – three years before WaMu’s collapse — that he had problems with WaMu’s lax lending standards, because it could lead to bad loans. Yet, he added that as long as WaMu was profitable, “it has been hard for us to justify doing much more than constantly nagging (okay, “chastising”) … since they have not been really adversely impacted in terms of losses.” The reluctance to tell bank executives what to do so long as they reported profits came despite examiners’ own concerns in that year that a booming housing market was “masking” potential losses from shoddy loans — what would have been the first signs of a coming mortgage meltdown and financial crisis, and key opportunities to prevent it. Persistent ‘Liars’ Loans’ An easy target of the hearing was stated-income loans, mortgages that didn’t require borrowers to show proof of their income. Within the industry, these became known as “liars’ loans” because income could so easily be fabricated. Regulators knew about liars’ loans, and the trouble that might ensue. But they permitted them. In private emails, OTS’ chief examiner overseeing WaMu called stated-income loans “a flawed product that can’t be fixed and never should have been allowed in the first place.” Regulators could have banned stated-income loans. Reich said he didn’t because bankers persuaded him that stated-income loans performed no worse than other loans. But stated-income loans became an invitation for fraud and led to high default rates. What’s more, stated-income loans were once used sparingly but during the mortgage frenzy, 90 percent of Washington Mutual’s home-equity loans and more than 50 percent of its subprime loans were stated income. Now that the world knows that stated-income loans are shoddy loans have regulators gotten rid of them? “They certainly are frowned-upon,” testified FDIC examiner George Doerr. “There’s nothing to prevent them in the rules today.” FDIC chair Sheila Bair said she wouldn’t oppose getting rid of them. But she hasn’t. The problem, she says, is that if you forbid federally insured banks from giving loans to people who can’t document their income, they could lose business to unregulated lenders. So fears about regulations putting banks at a competitive disadvantage remain strong even in the wake of the financial crisis. Regulators did ban stated-income loans for subprime loans. But that was in late June 2007, just as Wall Street was shutting down the subprime market completely. Investors refused to buy the bad loans anymore. And banks refused to make them and hang onto them. In that case, the market took stronger action than the regulators. In 2006 when regulators issued a new “guidance,” urging banks to make sure borrowers could repay high-risk loans before approving them, OTS ignored the guidance for a year because Washington Mutual argued it was going to lose business as a result. Some in Congress aren’t sure how to address this problem. “The culture of regulators driven by heir ideology is a very tough one to legislate around,” said Steve Adamske, spokesman for the House Financial Service Committee . Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, said, “You can’t always count on the regulators, especially in the administration like the one before this one. So we need more teeth in the bill.” No Room for a Rival While regulators treated Washington Mutual with kid gloves, they put on boxing gloves when dealing with each other. While the OTS had an interest in keeping Washington Mutual alive for its fees, the FDIC ultimately had an interest in making sure Washington Mutual was sold before it had a chance to fail. The FDIC would have to pay for Washington Mutual’s losses if the bank failed outright, and Washington Mutual was big enough to wipe out the FDIC’s insurance fund. An FDIC analysis determined that WaMu’s demise would have wiped out $41 billion of the insurance fund’s $45 billion. While rivalries between banking agencies are well-documented, these competing interests sometimes played themselves out in juvenile stunts. The FDIC was the “backup regulator” of Washington Mutual but still had a dedicated examiner assigned to the bank. Even so, for four months in 2007, the OTS as primary regulator wouldn’t give the FDIC examiner a chair or a desk in the library where WaMu kept its records for inspection by regulators. When Senate investigators privately asked an unidentified senior FDIC official why the agency wasn’t tougher and had failed to take action on its own, the official said such behavior would be viewed by other regulators as an “act of war” and could hurt relationships among agencies. That was precisely the atmosphere in early August 2008, when Bair asked Reich, her counterpart at OTS, about discreetly checking with other banks to see if they’d be willing to buy WaMu whole after a seizure. There had already been a run on the bank. This set Reich off, who lectured Bair in an e-mail , “I should not have to remind you the FDIC has no role until the (OTS) rules on solvency…You personally, and the FDIC as an agency, would likely create added instability if you pursue what I strongly believe would be a precipitous and unprecedented action.” Reich threatened to expose Bair publicly. But weeks later, with WaMu on the verge of running out of cash, the OTS concurred with Bair and WaMu was sold to JP Morgan Chase. And now? This same sort of agency rivalry could show up in a reformed system. The Senate bill creates a “bureau” of consumer financial protection to prevent predatory lending practices. But the bureau, a political hot potato, is given limited power to make rules. For example, any member of a special oversight council, which includes other regulators, can temporarily set aside the bureau’s rules and the council can overrule them with a two-thirds vote. The bureau is even required to coordinate its examinations with those of other regulators, even state regulators. And if the findings conflict with the other regulator, the banks can force the two regulators to issue a joint decision. The hearings, which followed an 18-month investigation, left Levin puzzled as to what to do. If regulators can’t pass tough regulations, should Congress do it for them? Do we need a law, he asked, to outlaw stated income loans and to require banks to make loans only to people who can afford to repay them? But those are just some of the questions. Coburn alluded to the other, huge one: Even if Congress passes a financial reform law, will regulators, operating in their secret world, fail to enforce it? Congress should have been watching the regulators more closely, he said. Maybe right now, he added, more needs to be learned about what went wrong behind the scenes — and how to really fix it. Follow the Huffington Post Investigative Fund on Twitter or fan us on Facebook . Do you have information about this story? Send us a tip or submit a correction . REPUBLISH THIS STORY FOR FREE: The Huffington Post Investigative Fund licenses its content through Creative Commons. We encourage you to republish our stories in full with proper attribution.

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myFreightWorld Technologies Announces Board of Directors and Dividend Status

April 28, 2010

OVERLAND PARK, KS–(Marketwire – April 28, 2010) –  myFreightWorld Technologies ( PINKSHEETS : ANYT ) www.myfreightworld.com released the names of its new Board of Directors today:

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Liz Ryan: Don’t Give Me That "I’ve Got No Accomplishments" Baloney

April 28, 2010

Dear Liz, I have seven years of work experience but no accomplishments. I did my job every day and that was it. I didn’t make any huge deals for the company or win any awards or anything like that. What do I put down for my resume bullets? Thanks, Malina Liz Replies: Dear Malina, You’re not used to thinking about your background through an ‘accomplishments’ lens. If you’re like most of us, you’re used to thinking about your past jobs like this: “I created the X-10 report every Friday for our CFO, and I reconciled return authorizations and processed credits for our clients. I took care of calls from Sales and answered questions for product managers.” That’s the way most of us are used to thinking about our backgrounds. If we step back and think about it, that’s a very strange way to talk about a job history. It’s like you’re standing outside the room watching yourself work, watching the action through a glass window. You’re telling us what was happening, without telling us why you did any of these things or why they mattered. We describe our work backgrounds the way a primate specialist describes the behavior of great apes in the wild: “Male grooms female, female pushes him away to nurse infant. Juvenile reaches for a branch and swats a fly.” What’s missing from these sterile descriptions is the blood and guts of the story. We need the punchline: why you built that report every Friday, what the CFO did with it once she got it, and why either of you bothered to look at the dang thing in the first place. We need to know why salespeople were calling you, and what you said to them, and what happened as a result. What did you do exactly for those Product Managers, as you answered their questions? What did the information you provided for them enable them to do? We want the story, Malina. Mini dramas play out in every department of every company every day, but those human stories seldom make it onto a resume. If they did, prospective employers would get a better sense of our power! We’re not going to say in a resume: “This wench Tamrin had always hated me, and one Friday she got her revenge when she saw a chance to shank me in the staff meeting.” That’s a good opener, but it has nothing to do with your qualifications for your next Accounting job. (Too bad.) However, we might say: “We were under the gun to create sales forecasts for our JV partner and a major investor, so I merged three existing spreadsheets to create a simple forecasting model over a weekend.” You’ve got accomplishments Malina, but you may have to work a bit, first to recall them and then to frame them into bullets for your resume. Here’s an accomplishment-jogging cheat sheet to get you started on digging those accomplishments out of your memory banks and claiming them: Think of a time when you changed a process that wasn’t working very well, to make it smoother, faster or more logical. Think of a time when you got two groups (or two people) that weren’t working well together, to sit down and hash things out. Think of a time when you got a customer or a decision-maker inside the company over a philosophical hurdle, by arguing your case and marshalling evidence. Think of a time when you calmed a crisis situation. Think of a time when you started a new system, a meeting, or a report that made a positive difference. Think of a time when you came up with a new communication vehicle – perhaps a memo or an event or a podcast or a presentation – that made a complicated issue clearer. Think of a time when you trained or mentored someone, even if it wasn’t in your job description. Think of a time when you took care of an important customer or partner. Think of a time when you purchased something in a smarter way or for less money, or you negotiated an important matter on the company’s behalf. Think of a time when you sold one of your big ideas to the leaders in your company. Think of a time when you convinced a customer to buy, or a job applicant to join the company, or someone to partner with your firm. Think of a time when you wrote a white paper or report or flowchart or built a spreadsheet that helped someone make an important decision more thoughtfully. Cheers — Liz

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Paul David Walker: Leadership: The Solution is …

April 28, 2010

Mr. Geithner, given the evolution of the global economy, and the position of the U.S.A., how does an American company achieve growth? How do we unleash the genius of the companies we work with? This is the question for you, our leaders, and all of us. Here are a few of my observations. I look forward to your thoughts, and any solutions you might have. The Bad News 1. We are at a disadvantage in the export markets due to our high wage rates, compared with Asia. It is almost impossible to be competitive on cost of goods. 2. Our economy has been expanded beyond it’s natural size due to financial re-engineering that has created and lost, due to the financial crisis, more jobs than we can sustain. It will take decades to rebuild the consumer base. 3. Our culture is becoming less competitive with the movement of entitlement into the middle class, which used to be our strength, and worse, our attitudes indicate we are living off past glory… we often act like spoiled children. 4. Our debt to equity ratios across the board are way out of balance and it will take at least a decade to re-balance them, hence credit availability will never be as robust as in the past. 5. Real global competition, which we have never experienced in the past, is heating up rapidly. We built our economy after World War II, while Europe and Asia were devastated. The assumptions built up in our culture and business practices are no longer relevant, perhaps even dangerous blind spots. 6. Our social, financial, educational and physical infrastructures are behind Europe, and Asia is using enormous cash flows to build new ones. We have been living on borrowed time and money for thirty years. 7. Our military spending is greater than all the other industrialized countries combined, and brings us little advantage in the world. Over-spending and over-extension of the military destroyed the Soviet Union, Great Britain, Rome and many others. The Good News 1. Innovation is still a deep cultural strength, positioning the U.S. as leaders in many products and industries — high-tech being the primary example. 2. Our standard of living is still the best in the world. There is really no better place to do business or to live. 3. The rule of law is much stronger than in most of the world, with the exception of Europe. We are a civilized nation that offers safety and certainty. 4. Our vast size, natural resources, common language and culture still provide advantage in many industries. Oil is our only real weakness. 5. Our culture has shown high levels of resilience and an ability to change in times of crisis, as the increased savings rates indicate. We feel like anything is possible and we can achieve anything. 6. Our financial systems, once properly regulated, are still the safest in the world. China still sends its money for us to invest, and the oil-rich countries are still anxious to invest their money in the U.S.A. 7. Much of the world, especially emerging economies of Asia, depends on our middle class for consumption of their products. Therefore, it is in their best interest for the U.S.A. to succeed. To summarize, our optimism, while being a great strength, dulls our ability to acknowledge reality prior to crisis. Often times those who acknowledge realities are considered unpatriotic and subversive. This is the most difficult cultural challenge, which plagues America as a whole and many of our business enterprises. We cling to the glory of the past, and often use hope as a strategy. How do we shift this mentality and use our strengths to compete in the global economy?

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Housing slowdown inevitable in China

April 28, 2010

The pundits are prophesying doom. With good reason, we think: Chinese house prices are higher than ever before. Rents and yields are falling. The Chinese regulators are alarmed, and are imposing new controls on house purchases.

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Verifi Appoints Chief Revenue Officer and Chief Product Officer to Drive Next Phase of Company Growth

April 28, 2010

Tony Wootton and Jeff Sawitke to Focus on Delivering a World-Class, End-to-End Payment Management Solution That Protects Merchants During Card-Not-Present Transactions

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Dividend Slump Ending as Record Cash Lifts Payouts for S&P 500 Companies

April 28, 2010

By Whitney Kisling April 28 (Bloomberg) — The fastest profit growth in 16 years means no companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index are likely to lower their dividends this quarter, the first time that’s happened since 2004. Of 245 companies in the index yet to announce payouts, 218 will probably keep their level and 27 may increase, according to forecasts based on data compiled by Bloomberg. The projections come from criteria such as options prices, comparisons with competitors and statements from management. S&P 500 dividends were slashed by a record $52 billion in 2009, S&P data show. “Dividends show what companies are really saying, how they feel about the economy and their prospects,” said Tom Wirth , senior investment officer at Chemung Canal Trust Co., which manages $1.6 billion in Elmira, New York. “When no companies are cutting, that is a signal that the economy is doing well, and it certainly helps the stock market .” Earnings in the S&P 500 rose 176 percent in the fourth quarter and probably climbed 44 percent in the first three months of 2010, giving companies a record stockpile of cash, estimates compiled by Bloomberg show. That helped spur Starbucks Corp. , the world’s largest chain of coffee shops, to offer its first-ever dividend, while Safeway Inc., Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. may boost theirs, the data show. International Business Machines Corp., the world’s biggest computer-services provider, increased its payout by 18 percent yesterday, more than forecast by Bloomberg. IBM is based in Armonk, New York. Not Since 2004 The last time all dividend-paying companies in the S&P 500 maintained or increased their rates was the second quarter of 2004, S&P data show. That was during the first half of the rally between 2002 and 2007 that drove the index up 101 percent. In the energy industry, 23 percent of companies are forecast to increase payouts through the end of the quarter, the most among 10 groups in the S&P 500. Consumer companies such as carmakers and entertainment companies are next, with 14 percent expected to raise their rates, according to the data. Safeway , the Pleasanton, California-based grocery-store chain, may push its dividend up 20 percent to 12 cents this month. Pharmaceutical distributor McKesson Corp. in San Francisco may increase its payout 25 percent to 15 cents. Irving, Texas-based Exxon and Chevron in San Ramon, California, could boost theirs by 4.8 percent and 5.9 percent, respectively, the data indicate. 85% Success Rate Bloomberg’s analysis had an 85 percent success rate identifying companies that started dividends or raised them in 2009. Starbucks announced on March 24 its first quarterly dividend since going public in 1992. Nine hours earlier, Bloomberg News said expanding cash levels would prompt the Seattle-based company to boost its rate. Higher payouts may help increase the S&P 500’s dividend yield from 1.80 percent, which is near the five-year low of 1.75 reached on April 23. The measure has slipped from 4.67 percent in November 2008, the highest level in at least 15 years, as a 75 percent rally in the index pushed up prices relative to the cash companies paid shareholders. “Balance-sheet management has been stellar over the past two years,” Jonathan Golub , the U.S. equities strategist for Zurich-based UBS AG, wrote in a note to clients on March 29. “We continue to like high dividend yielding stocks as alternatives to money-market and short-duration bond funds.” More than 800 dividend decreases were announced in 2009, a year after the S&P 500 plunged 38 percent for its worst annual performance since the 1930s. The January-to-March period in 2009 was the worst quarter ever for S&P 500 dividends with $38.7 billion in reductions, according to S&P. The stock index sank to a 12-year low on March 9, 2009. Billions in Cash As the economy rebounded, cash balances rose to a record $831.2 billion at the end of the fourth quarter, according to S&P data. One company cut its dividend and another suspended it during the first three months of 2010, the fewest since 2006, according to S&P. “Dividends are emblematic of corporate strength,” Jack Ablin , chief investment officer at Chicago-based Harris Private Bank, who oversees $55 million, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “It is remarkable to me the level of cash on corporate balance sheets. It’s certainly a strong vote of confidence for corporate America right now.” To contact the reporter on this story: Whitney Kisling in New York at wkisling@bloomberg.net .

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Goldman Sachs Emerges From Showdown Up $549 Million

April 28, 2010

By Christine Harper and Michael J. Moore April 28 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. executives endured more than 10 hours of congressional grilling in one of the most public, and most hostile, political lashings in the firm’s 141-year history. By day’s end, the investment bank’s market value had risen by $549 million. Senator Carl Levin and members of his Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations said evidence they presented made the case for Congress to pass legislation tightening financial regulation. Goldman Sachs, the world’s most profitable securities firm, was alone among 79 stocks of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Financial Index in posting a gain yesterday. The shares added 1.9 percent in New York trading today. “Both sides got what they wanted,” said Robert Hillman , a securities law professor at the University of California, Davis. “The Senate probably did what it felt it had to do, which was bring Goldman people up and embarrass them. For Goldman, the goal was to demonstrate that they had not engaged in fraud or illegal conduct. They probably succeeded in that.” The senators, capping a probe of Goldman Sachs that has lasted more than a year, peppered Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein and six current and former executives with questions about their duty to clients and the ethics of betting against the housing market as the bank sold mortgage-linked securities to customers. The hearing came 12 days after the Securities and Exchange Commission sued the New York-based firm for fraud, saying the bank misled investors in a mortgage-linked investment known as Abacus, claims the company denies. ‘Jarring’ Realities “The cultural realities of what you all do is jarring to most Americans,” Sen. Claire McCaskill , a Democrat from Missouri and former prosecutor, told Blankfein during the hearing. “This notion of selling a product that you’re betting against is hard for people to understand.” Blankfein, who repeatedly insisted the company had done nothing wrong, said after the hearing that he had “no illusions” about how hard Wall Street must work to win back the trust of the American people. “Wall Street has a lot of work to do to regain the confidence of Main Street,” Blankfein told Bloomberg Television. “We have a lot to improve in our communication with Main Street and we’re committed to do it.” In a voicemail to employees last night, Blankfein called the questioning “rigorous,” and said he tried to convey the “seriousness with which we adhere to the rules and regulations that govern our business.” Shares of the company rose $2.85 to $155.89 in composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange at 9:59 a.m. ‘Continued External Focus’ “Let me remind you that we should anticipate continued external focus on Goldman Sachs for the foreseeable future,” Blankfein said in the message. “Please do not let this distract you from your daily responsibilities.” Some senators used the hearing to advertise their position on a financial regulatory bill that’s been blocked by Republicans so far this week. Levin concluded the hearing by calling for tougher regulation than the bill contains, while Republicans including Tom Coburn said they felt the measure fails to address issues such as how to handle companies that are “too big to fail.” As the day began, a line to enter the hearing stretched down the corridor on the first floor of the Dirksen Senate office building, the equivalent of half a city block. At the head of the queue were four protesters dressed in black-and- white convict stripes and holding “wanted” posters for Blankfein and Fabrice Tourre , the 31-year-old Frenchman who was the only Goldman Sachs employee named in the SEC suit. Television crews from Russia and Japan were among journalists who filled the packed room. ‘Huge Shorts’ Disagreements between the senators and the executives started with how much money the bank earned. Levin said Goldman Sachs made $3.7 billion in 2007 by placing “huge shorts” against mortgage-linked securities. Taking into account losses on securities it held, the firm’s residential mortgage securities had net revenue of less than $500 million, Chief Financial Officer David Viniar said. “How about the fact that you sold hundreds of millions of that deal after your people knew it was a shitty deal?” Levin asked Daniel Sparks , who ran the bank’s mortgage unit at the time. “Does that bother you at all?” Levin was referring to a June 2007 e-mail from Thomas Montag , the former head of sales and trading in the Americas at Goldman Sachs, to Sparks. The message described a set of mortgage -linked investments that his bank had been trying to sell as part of “one shitty deal.” ‘I Don’t Recall’ “I don’t recall selling hundreds of millions of that deal after that,” Sparks replied, adding that he believed the e-mail referred to his performance, not the security itself. “If you can’t give a clear answer to that one, Mr. Sparks, I don’t think we’re going to get too many clear answers from you,” Levin said. Blankfein, responding to questions from Levin, said the nature of the principal business often puts the firm on the opposite side of customers and market-makers have no obligation to tell clients about their own position in a security. “What clients or customers are buying is they are buying an exposure,” Blankfein said. “The thing we are selling to them is supposed to give them the risk they want. They are not coming to us to represent what our views are. They probably, the institutional clients we have, wouldn’t care what our views are. They shouldn’t care.” Levin ‘Troubled’ Levin, a Michigan Democrat, told Blankfein he’s “troubled” by his view that the company doesn’t seem to understand conflicts of interest. “You can make sure that someone you sell an investment to knows that you believe it’s a bad investment,” Levin said. “You obviously don’t see that. It troubles me that you don’t see that.” Levin added, “It troubles me that you don’t see that your client is yourself. Goldman Sachs has turned itself into its own client.” The U.S. claims Goldman Sachs misled investors by failing to disclose that hedge fund Paulson & Co., which was betting against the U.S. mortgage market, helped the Abacus CDO manager select securities to include in the portfolio. Goldman Sachs has called the SEC’s lawsuit “completely unfounded.” Paulson wasn’t accused of any wrongdoing. Tourre , wearing a charcoal-gray suit, white shirt and red- and-navy striped tie, testified that he “categorically” denied the allegations. “I will defend myself in court against this false claim,” Tourre told the standing-room-only hearing. Conveying Risks “The securities weren’t meant to fail; they succeeded by conveying the risks that people wanted,” Blankfein told Senator Jon Tester about the Abacus deal. “I’m sorry, it’s like we’re speaking a different language here,” replied Tester, a Democrat from Montana who was a farmer before he entered politics. Tester said “it seemed to me more than just a little bit odd” that Paulson helped pick securities even as he was betting against a CDO that later collapsed in value. The politicians expressed frustration over a lack of direct answers during the first panel, which lasted more than five hours and featured testimony from Tourre; Sparks; Michael Swenson , a managing director in the structured-products group; and Joshua Birnbaum , a former managing director in the group. Levin and Viniar, the chief financial officer, agreed on at least one thing during his testimony: Investment bankers shouldn’t call the securities they sell “crap.” ‘Very Unfortunate’ “I think that’s very unfortunate to have on e-mail,” Viniar said, drawing laughter from the audience and the press, after Levin asked how he felt when he read e-mails in which Goldman Sachs employees described mortgage-linked securities as “crap” or “shitty.” “Please don’t take that the wrong way,” Viniar said when pressed by Levin. “I think that’s very unfortunate for anyone to have said that in any form.” Levin then asked, “How about to believe that and sell it?” and Viniar agreed that was also unfortunate. “Well, that’s what you should have started with,” Levin said. To contact the reporters on this story: Christine Harper in New York at charper@bloomberg.net ; Michael J. Moore in New York at mmoore55@bloomberg.net .

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How Mine-Safety Law Following 2006 Deaths Led to `Broken’ U.S. Enforcement

April 28, 2010

By Jeff Plungis and Holly Rosenkrantz April 28 (Bloomberg) — A West Virginia mining disaster claims lives. Congress pledges to pass legislation to crack down on mine operators. That was four years ago. Following an explosion this month that killed 29 West Virginia coal miners, history may be repeating itself. Safety advocates say they hope the reaction this time doesn’t follow the pattern. “The fact of the matter is the law is there to protect miners, and the law isn’t doing that,” said Representative George Miller , a California Democrat, of legislation passed in 2006 after 12 miners were killed in Sago, West Virginia. “That’s what we have to change,” Miller said in an interview. Miller says the House Education and Labor Committee, which he heads, will look into ways to toughen safety laws following the April 5 blast at Massey Energy Co. ’s Upper Big Branch Mine in Montcoal, West Virginia, the worst U.S. mining explosion in 40 years. The Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee held a hearing on mine safety yesterday, the first since the accident. It’s “long past time to strengthen the critical laws,” Senator Tom Harkin , an Iowa Democrat who heads the committee, said as he opened the hearing. ‘Sweeping Overhaul’ The same resolve in 2006 resulted in the Mine Improvement and New Emergency Response Act, signed into law by President George W. Bush in June that year. It followed the Sago accident and two others in 2006 that killed 7 more miners. At the signing ceremony, Bush called the measure “the most sweeping overhaul of federal mine safety law in nearly three decades.” The act raised the maximum penalty for safety violations, forced mine operators to build emergency underground shelters with oxygen, water and food, and required installation of more modern communication devices. While the new law did result in more citations and higher fines, the Labor Department’s Mine Safety and Health Administration in 2007 added 10 criteria that inspectors had to meet before a mine could be shut down for a “pattern of violations,” said Tony Oppegard , a former MSHA official who is now an attorney working on mine safety cases in Lexington, Kentucky. Only one mine has ever been ordered closed for a pattern of violations, according to a Labor Department report given to President Barack Obama on April 15. That order, issued in November 2008 to a Patriot Mining LLC mine in Virginia, was revoked when one of the violation findings was withdrawn, the report said. ‘Broken’ System “There should have been hundreds” of mines closed, Oppegard said. “For substantial periods of time, MSHA has been anti-regulation, anti-miner and pro-industry.” The “pattern of violations” system is “broken and must be fixed,” Joe Main , assistant secretary of labor for Mine Safety and Health, said at yesterday’s Senate hearing. “It is too easy for mine operators to evade responsibility and too hard for the government to hold bad actors accountable.” Massey, the country’s sixth-largest coal producer, has defended its safety record. “If there was improper conduct regarding operations and safety, there will be accountability,” the Richmond, Virginia-based company said in a statement on April 26. “What we do know is this: Accusations that Massey Energy is indifferent to safety could not be more wrong.” The Mine Safety and Health Administration said it ordered workers out of parts of three Massey mines yesterday after investigating complaints of hazardous conditions. The agency said it issued multiple citations for serious violations. Massey fired eight employees and another quit following the agency’s moves, the company said. Contested Citations As the safety agency stepped up citations and fines following the 2006 law, the industry responded by appealing the findings to ward off penalties, said Patrick McGinley, a law professor at West Virginia University who served on a panel that investigated the Sago disaster. “I have no doubt that was quickly determined, and that it became their strategy,” McGinley said of the company challenges. “I don’t know if MSHA expected this to happen, but that’s what happened.” The backlog of challenged cases at the Federal Mine Safety and Health Review Commission has grown to more than 16,000 today from fewer than 1,500 in 2005, that panel’s chairwoman, Mary Lu Jordan, said at a hearing of the House Education and Labor Committee earlier this year. Recognizing the regulatory weaknesses, the House in January 2008 passed a bill supplementing the 2006 law and sent it to the Senate. The House approved the measure five months after six miners and three rescuers were killed at a mine in Crandall Canyon, Utah. Industry Opposition The new bill would have increased penalties for safety violations and given the mining agency the power to close mines more quickly when patterns of violations were found, said Peter Galvin, a former senior adviser to Representative Miller who helped write the legislation. The National Mining Association , the industry’s trade group, opposed the legislation, saying it would “divert industry and regulatory resources” from implementing the 2006 act, “and interfere with safety progress.” The association spent $4.6 million on lobbying in 2008, up 12 percent from 2007 and almost double the 2006 amount of $2.4 million, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a Washington research group. Peabody Energy Corp. , the biggest U.S. coal producer, stepped up its 2008 spending by 50 percent, to $8.4 million, while No. 4 Consol Energy Inc. boosted its outlay for lobbying 15-fold to $3.7 million from $240,000 in 2007. No Vote Beth Sutton , a spokeswoman for St. Louis-based Peabody, declined to comment. Joseph Cerenzia, a spokesman for Consol Energy, based in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania, didn’t respond to phone calls and two e-mails seeking comment. Following the Crandall Canyon accident in August 2007, Consol Energy Chief Executive Officer J. Brett Harvey warned the industry that more safety legislation was on the way. Media attention to multiple-fatality incidents was obscuring the industry’s improving safety record, Harvey said at the Utah Mining Association’s annual meeting that month. “Congress should resist the temptation to bully MSHA into writing more violations,” he said. Harvey’s concerns proved unjustified. President Bush threatened to veto the 2008 bill, saying it “would cause confusion in the industry.” Most Republican senators who supported the 2006 act, and some Democrats including West Virginia Senator Jay Rockefeller , said they saw no need for a new law so soon. The measure died without a Senate vote. The 2006 law didn’t go far enough, Rockefeller said at yesterday’s hearing. “We need to put an end to the loopholes,” he said. To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Plungis in Washington at jplungis@bloomber.net ; Holly Rosenkrantz in Washington at hrosenkrantz@bloomberg.net .

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Senate to Hold Third Vote on Starting Financial-Overhaul Debate, Reid Says

April 28, 2010

By Alison Vekshin April 28 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. Senate will hold a third vote today on Democrats’ effort to open floor debate on their financial-overhaul legislation and end fruitless bipartisan negotiations, Majority Leader Harry Reid said. The vote will be held at 12:30 p.m. Washington time, said Reid, a Nevada Democrat. Republicans blocked debate in the first two votes this week as Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd , a Connecticut Democrat who wrote the bill, and Richard Shelby of Alabama, the banking panel’s top Republican, continued efforts to broker a deal. “The negotiations we hear so much about are never going to end,” Reid said. “It’s ‘As the World Turns,’ the soap opera that never ends.” Reid has the option of scheduling a vote for tomorrow if today’s vote fails, his spokesman Jim Manley said in an interview. The legislation is based on a proposal offered by President Barack Obama and is aimed at strengthening oversight of Wall Street in response to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Republicans, who say the legislation doesn’t go far enough in preventing future bank bailouts, blocked Democrats from starting debate on the bill in two procedural votes this week. No Republicans broke ranks to join Democrats in the 57-41 votes yesterday and the day before, with 60 needed to begin consideration of the bill. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell , a Kentucky Republican, cited testimony at a Senate subcommittee yesterday by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein , who said he was “generally supportive” of the Democrats’ bill. “Republicans aren’t about to rush this bill just to make Lloyd Blankfein happy,” McConnell said. “And not before there’s an ironclad protection against any taxpayer funding of Wall Street firms like his.” To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net

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Brown Apologizes After Calling U.K. Voter `Bigoted’ in Immigration Stance

April 28, 2010

By Gonzalo Vina and Kitty Donaldson April 28 (Bloomberg) — Prime Minister Gordon Brown had to apologize after he was caught by a microphone calling a voter he’d just met “a bigoted woman,” a potential setback as his Labour Party struggles to win support for the May 6 election. Brown was discussing the concerns the voter, Gillian Duffy, had about immigration in Rochdale as he campaigned to win back the seat that is near Manchester in northwest England. Brown made the comments, played on Sky News television, while still wearing his microphone after he got back into his car. His aides said he visited Duffy at her home to apologize for the comments. “It’s an embarrassment and it doesn’t do much for his honesty and reputation,” said John Curtice , a professor of politics at Strathclyde University in Scotland. “This is obviously going to make it harder for Labour to catch up.” Brown was already runninng third in a ComRes Ltd. poll yesterday, which also forecast him as having the most seats in Parliament behind the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, though short of a majority. Gains by the Liberal Democrats have increased the chance of a so-called hung parliament. “She is just the sort of bigoted woman who said she used to be Labour,” Brown said in the car. “That was a disaster. Who put me with that woman?” Duffy had confronted Brown about immigration from eastern Europe and people claiming out-of-work benefits. Brown later told BBC radio in an interview he apologised “profusely” for his comment, saying he found the question on immigration “annoying.” Liberal Democrat Gain Pollster Andrew Hawkins of ComRes Ltd. said the episode will benefit Liberal Democrats the most because “reluctant Labour voters are more likely to lend their votes” to the party’s leader, Nick Clegg , next week. “Now Gordon Brown is going to come across as a leader who cannot be trusted,” Hawkins said in an interview. The encounter with the voter was the last such public appearance before Brown was due to gather with officials to prepare for a debate with Clegg and Conservative leader David Cameron tomorrow. Labour Party officials hoped the final televised debate on the economy would allow Brown overshadow his opponents because of his decade of experience as finance minister before becoming premier in 2007. Clegg was judged by polls to have won the first encounter. The second, last week, was judged to have had no clear winner. “I am very upset,” Duffy told reporters in Rochdale after hearing Brown’s comments. “He’s an educated person, why has he come up with comments like that?” ‘That’s All’ “I don’t want to speak to him again,” she said. “I want to know why I was called a bigot, that’s all.” Duffy said she would not now be voting in the election. “We have found out the prime minister’s internal thoughts,” Conservative Treasury spokesman George Osborne told Sky News television. “He has got a lot of explaining to do.” Clegg told Sky that Brown was right to apologize. “Saying something that’s clearly fairly insulting is not right, not right at all,” he said. Labour’s most senior politicians rallied around Brown to say that the comments were a mistake and that Brown had no intention of hurting Duffy. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson said the comments were made in the “heat of the moment” and Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling said Brown had made a “profuse” apology. Brown’s Character Brown’s character has attracted scrutiny in the past and this latest episode may undermine his ability to leapfrog the Liberal Democrats in the opinion polls. Last year, Cameron taunted him in Parliament about reports of mobile phones being hurled at aides. The prime minister has thrown pens and even a stapler at officials, according to one former adviser; he says he once saw Brown shove a laser printer off a desk in a rage. Another aide was warned to watch out for “flying Nokias” when he joined Brown’s team. Because of the uneven distribution of votes, Labour may still be the biggest bloc in Parliament, though without a majority. The threat of a hung Parliament may roil markets on concern that power sharing between parties would create a government too weak to fix Britain’s finances. A ComRes Ltd. poll last night showed the Conservatives at 32 percent support, compared with 29 percent for Labour and the Liberal Democrats. That would give Labour 277 seats, with Conservatives taking 248, and the Liberal Democrats 93 in the 650-seat House of Commons . The pound has dropped 1.9 percent against the dollar since the first TV debate as polls have pointed increasingly to a hung Parliament. Sterling fell to $1.5189 at 3:24 p.m. in London from $1.5265 in New York late yesterday. Investors are concerned about possible lack of action to narrow the U.K.’s budget deficit, the biggest of any Group of Seven country. The deficit widened 76 percent in the year through March to 152.8 billion pounds ($233 billion), the largest since World War II. To contact the reporters on this story: Gonzalo Vina in Rochdale, England, at gvina@bloomberg.net ; Kitty Donaldson in London at kdonaldson1@bloomberg.net

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Sinopec Profit Jumps 39.9% as Resurgent Chinese Economy Boosts Fuel Demand

April 28, 2010

By Bloomberg News April 28 (Bloomberg) — China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. , Asia’s biggest oil refiner, reported a 39.9 percent jump in first-quarter profit, matching estimates, as a resurgent economy boosted fuel demand. Net income climbed to 15.79 billion yuan ($2.3 billion), or 0.179 yuan a share, from 11.28 billion yuan, or 0.129 yuan, a year earlier, the Beijing-based company known as Sinopec said in a statement to the Shanghai stock exchange today. That’s in line with the 15.8 billion-yuan median estimate of six analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. China’s economy grew at the fastest pace in almost three years in the first quarter, spurring factory demand for raw materials, oil and petrochemicals. Sinopec, relying on refining and fuel distribution for most of its revenue, processed 20 percent more crude into oil products during the period after the government raised fuel prices five times last year. “The next three months may be even better as the economy continues to expand,” said Yin Xiaodong , an oil analyst with Citic Securities Co. “The rebound in demand and prices helped the company in the first quarter.” China, the world’s second-biggest energy user, may process a record volume of crude oil in April, bolstered by an economic recovery, an increase in pump prices, and fuel stockpiling before the Shanghai World Expo in May, the government-backed China Petroleum & Chemical Industry Association said on April 21. Sinopec has advanced 12 percent in Hong Kong trading in the past year compared with the 44 percent increase in the benchmark Hang Seng Index. The shares fell 2.3 percent to HK$6.27 today, before the earnings announcement. — Wang Ying in Beijing and John Duce in Hong Kong. Editors: Ryan Woo , Ang Bee Lin . To contact the reporter on this story: Ying Wang in Beijing at ywang30@bloomberg.net

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Euro Drops to One-Year Low Against Dollar as S&P Cuts Spain’s Debt Rating

April 28, 2010

By Ben Levisohn April 28 (Bloomberg) — The euro dropped to a one-year low against the dollar as Standard & Poor’s cut the debt rating of Spain in a sign the deficit crisis is spreading. “There’s a tremendous amount of uncertainty at the moment,” said Sebastien Galy , a currency strategist at BNP Paribas SA in New York. “The euro should break below $1.30.” European Central Bank Jean-Claude Trichet said at a press conference the stability of the “euro zone is impacted” by the crisis and Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel told reporters the nation accepts its responsibility to support the euro. The euro fell 0.2 percent to $1.3146 at 11:41 a.m. in New York, from $1.3175 yesterday, after touching $1.3129, the lowest level since April 2009. The euro advanced 0.5 percent to 123.48 yen, from 122.88. The dollar appreciated 0.8 percent to 94.02 yen, from 93.26. International Monetary Fund Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn told German lawmakers Greece may need as much as 120 billion euros ($158 billion), Green Party spokesman Michael Schroeren said today. That’s almost three times the 45 billion euro value of the aid package initially proposed. Germany may be able to make a final decision on aid for Greece as soon as May 7, when the upper house of parliament mamy approve a support package, Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said. Spain’s credit rating was cut to AA from AA+ by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services. The outlook is negative, S&P said. To contact the reporter on this story: Ben Levisohn in New York at blevisohn@bloomberg.net

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Goldman Sachs `Armed’ Salespeople to Discard Mortgage Assets, E-Mails Show

April 28, 2010

By Joshua Gallu and Jesse Westbrook April 28 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. , seeking to reduce assets tied to the declining U.S. housing market, urged its sales force in 2006 and 2007 to sell those products to clients, newly disclosed internal e-mails show. The e-mails, including communications from Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein , show that employees discussed how to “arm” salespeople to shed bonds the firm found too risky to hold. The e-mails were released yesterday by Senator Carl Levin in connection with a hearing where current and former managers testified about the firm’s role in the financial crisis. Levin, the Michigan Democrat who heads the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations , grilled the executives about the firm’s bets against the housing market and its disclosure to clients. In one of the e-mails, Blankfein asked whether employees were doing enough to sell bonds backed by home loans including subprime mortgages. “Could/should we have cleaned up these books before and are we doing enough right now to sell off cats and dogs in other books throughout the division,” Blankfein, 55, wrote in an e- mail dated Feb. 11, 2007. Questioned about the e-mail at yesterday’s hearing, Blankfein told senators that his comment didn’t represent an opinion of the bonds. “When I use the expression ‘cats and dogs’ I mean miscellaneous stuff,” he said. “This is part of my normal point about aged inventory. Part of the discipline of our business is to manage risk and sell inventory.” Clients’ Questions The e-mails show that as early as the fall of 2006 clients were questioning products tied to the mortgage market. On Oct. 19, 2006, Mitchell Resnick sent an e-mail to two colleagues asking whether the firm had material about “how great” BBB bonds tied to home loans were. BBB is a credit rating from Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings that indicates an asset is two levels above junk. “A common response I am hearing” from potential investors is “a concern about the housing market and BBB in particular,” Resnick wrote. “We need to arm sales with a bit more. Do we have anything?” Goldman Sachs Chief Financial Officer David Viniar convened a meeting of mortgage traders and risk managers on Dec. 14, 2006, according to a document prepared by the firm that the Senate panel released yesterday. ‘Net Long’ At the time, Goldman Sachs had a “net long exposure” to the subprime-mortgage market, meaning the bank was betting the market would continue to rise. At the meeting, executives agreed that the firm should “reduce its overall exposure to the subprime mortgage market,” the document said. Goldman Sachs’s Stacey Bash-Polley sent an e-mail to colleagues six days later with the subject line “Mezz Risk,” a reference to lower tranches of collateralized debt obligations linked to mortgages. Investors in mezzanine tranches are among the first to lose money when the asset starts souring. “We have been thinking collectively about how to help people move some of the risk,” wrote Bash-Polley, an executive in the Goldman Sachs division that sold bonds. “We need to make sure we arm” salespeople “with our pricing and have them focus on the more difficult positions.” Targeting Clients In targeting clients, Bash-Polley wrote that Goldman Sachs should focus on those that “can possibly do larger size at a level that would be attractive when you take into consideration the size of risk we could move.” “Makes sense to me,” responded Kevin Gasvoda , a Goldman Sachs colleague. Goldman Sachs spokesman Samuel Robinson declined to comment on the e-mails. The Senate hearing comes less than two weeks after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission sued the firm and employee Fabrice Tourre , 31, on claims they withheld material information from investors in a CDO. Goldman Sachs said it will vigorously contest the case, and Tourre told the senators yesterday, “I deny categorically the SEC’s allegations.” Levin said at the hearing that Goldman Sachs “profited by taking advantage of its clients’ reasonable expectation that it would not sell products that it didn’t want to succeed, and that there was no conflict of economic interest between the firm and the customers it had pledged to serve.” Making Money In a Sept. 26, 2007, e-mail released by the committee, Peter Kraus , Goldman Sachs’s then co-head of investment management, told Blankfein that some clients were expressing concern that the firm was making money for itself but not its customers. Goldman Sachs had reported six days earlier that third- quarter net income rose 79 percent to $2.85 billion after the bank bet against mortgage bonds. Kraus told Blankfein he had met with more than 10 clients and “individual prospects” since the earnings announcement. “The institutions don’t and I wouldn’t expect them to, make any comments like ur good at making money for urself but not us,” wrote Kraus, who left Goldman Sachs in September 2008 after working at the company for 22 years. “The individuals do sometimes, but while it requires the utmost humility from us in response, I feel very strongly it binds clients even closer to the firm. The alternative of take ur money to a firm who is an under performer and not the best, just isn’t reasonable. Clients ultimately believe association with the best is good for them in the long run,” he wrote. To contact the reporters on this story: Joshua Gallu in Washington at jgallu@bloomberg.net ; Jesse Westbrook in Washington at jwestbrook1@bloomberg.net

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Greece Turning Viral Sparks Search for EU Solutions as Aid Estimates Surge

April 28, 2010

By Simon Kennedy April 28 (Bloomberg) — European policy makers may need to stump up as much as 600 billion euros ($794 billion) in aid or buy government bonds if they are to stamp out the region’s spreading fiscal crisis, said economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. As Greece’s budget turmoil infects markets from Rome to Dublin, economists are urging German Chancellor Angela Merkel , European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet and other officials to come up with unprecedented measures. Other steps could see governments guaranteeing bonds and the ECB abandoning collateral rules or reviving unlimited lending to banks, the economists said. Bonds and stocks have plunged across Europe in the past week while Merkel’s government delayed approving a rescue plan for Greece. As OECD head Angel Gurria likens the crisis to the Ebola virus, the EU may need to come up with a plan equivalent to the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program deployed by the U.S. after the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. “It is perhaps time to think of policy options of the last resort in the current sovereign crisis,” said David Mackie , chief European economist at JPMorgan in London. “It may now be time for the euro area to do something much more dramatic in order to prevent the stress from creating another broad-based financial crisis which pushes the region back into recession.” Virus Spread The extra yield that investors demand to hold Portuguese 10-year bonds over bunds rose 59 basis points to 277 points yesterday, the most since 1997, before slipping 3 points today. The spread on Spanish debt increased to the most in more than a year yesterday and the spread on the bonds of Italy, the euro region’s third-largest economy, was the highest since July. The premium on Greek bonds surpassed 8 percentage points. “This is like Ebola,” Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Secretary General Gurria told Bloomberg Television today. “It’s threatening the stability of the financial system.” The World Health Organization calls Ebola “one of the most virulent viral diseases known to humankind.” The first stage of an enhanced rescue would be for the euro-area and International Monetary Fund to boost the size of the Greek lifeline package from the 45 billion euros initially discussed for the first year, said Erik Nielsen , chief European economist at Goldman Sachs. Talks between the EU, the IMF and the Greek government are likely focused on assistance in the first year of between 55 billion euros and 75 billion euros with an announcement by early next week, he said yesterday. That would ensure Greece doesn’t have to access the market for the next year or so, he said. Speed IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn told German lawmakers today that Greece may need a total of as much 120 billion euros, said Green Party lawmaker Juergen Trittin in a statement. Trichet emphasized the importance of quickly handing out funds if talks in Athens between Greek, EU and IMF official conclude this weekend. “The rapidity of the decision is absolutely essential,” he told reporters. A Greek agreement may not be enough to end a crisis that’s ricocheting through all euro region markets and governments may have to come up with a blanket plan for the bloc as a whole, said Mackie. He calculates that in a worst-case contagion scenario, supporting Spain, Portugal and Ireland and Greece may require aid worth 8 percent of the gross domestic product of the rest of the region. That’s equivalent to about 600 billion euros. Greek Junk “This is a big number, but the region has the fiscal capacity to backstop both banks and these countries,” said Mackie. Governments could also guarantee each other’s debt for a limited period such as three years, an “attractive form of support because no money is needed up front,” he said. The ECB may also have a role to play even if the crisis has its roots in fiscal policy. Following yesterday’s decision by Standard & Poor’s to downgrade Greek debt to junk status, the central bank may need to dilute its collateral rules again so as it can keep accepting the country’s bonds when making loans, said economists led by Juergen Michels at Citigroup Inc. Under current rules, Greek bonds will be ineligible at money-market operations if Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Investors Service cut them to junk as well. “The collateral rules may have to be changed soon again in order to maintain the eligibility of Greek bonds,” Michels’ team said in a note to clients today. ‘Nuclear Option’ The central bank could eventually start accepting all government debt regardless of its rating and revive last year’s policy of lending unlimited amounts for periods up to a year so as to support the region’s banks, said Jacques Cailloux , chief European economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. What Cailloux calls the “nuclear option” of the ECB purchasing government bonds is also attracting attention among economists. While the central bank is prohibited from buying assets directly from authorities, it can do so on the secondary market. “We need 300 billion euros of purchases and then the problem goes away overnight,” said James Nixon , co-chief European economist at Societe Generale SA. Obstacles to a sweeping bailout package abound. The EU’s structure means no one elected politician is responsible for ensuring Greece’s survival and Trichet, the only major official solely responsible for the euro, has no authority to disburse taxpayers’ funds. In Germany, Merkel has delayed approving the release of funds for Greece in the face of voter opposition and an election in North Rhine-Westphalia in May 9. ‘Extremely Unrealistic’ German politicians and central bankers may also oppose government bond purchases by the ECB as that would run counter to the country’s tradition of fiscal conservatism since World War II. That option is ‘extremely unrealistic,” said Marco Annunziata , chief economist at UniCredit Group in London. It “would be seen, correctly, as direct monetary financing of excessive fiscal deficits. German opposition to such a move would be even stronger than to fiscal bailout operations.” European policy makers continue to play down speculation of contagion, with ECB Executive Board member Juergen Stark saying today that Greece should be seen as a “unique case.” Leaders will wait until around May 10 before meeting again to discuss Greece, EU President Herman Van Rompuy said today in Tokyo. He also said there was “no question” of Greece restructuring its debt. Strike Back Some economists are optimistic that market turmoil will eventually force politicians and central bankers to do what’s necessary to rescue the euro region. Eric Kraus , a strategist at Otkritie Financial Co. in Moscow, said he’s buying Greek bonds on the bet policy makers will eventually strike back. “Sooner or later those morons in Brussels and Berlin will realize that they are playing with fire, have already been burned, and will have to stop feeding the flames,” said Kraus, who works at a brokerage part-owned by Russia’s second-biggest bank. “Then we should see a very nice bounce.” To contact the reporters on this story: Simon Kennedy in Paris at skennedy4@bloomberg.net

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Spain’s Long-Term Credit Rating Reduced by S&P as Greek Contagion Spreads

April 28, 2010

By Emma Ross-Thomas April 28 (Bloomberg) — Spain had its credit rating cut one step by Standard & Poor’s to AA, putting it on a par with Slovenia, as contagion from Greece’s debt crisis spreads through the euro region. S&P said in a statement today that the outlook on Spain is negative, reflecting the chance of a possible further downgrade if the “budgetary position underperforms to a greater extent than we currently anticipate.” Spain was last cut by S&P in January 2009. The risk premium investors demand to hold Spanish bonds surged to the highest in more than a year today and the price of insuring Spanish bonds against default reached a record as doubts about Greece’s ability to pay its debt spilled over into Spanish and Portuguese markets. S&P’s move on Spain, which has the euro region’s third- largest budget deficit , follows downgrades to Greece and Portugal yesterday. It also increases pressure on policy makers to disburse aid to Greece and say how they would help other nations faced with surging borrowing costs. “We now project that real GDP growth will average 0.7 percent annually in 2010-2016,” S&P said. Spain is rated Aaa by Moody’s Investors Service and AAA by Fitch Ratings. To contact the reporter on this story: Emma Ross-Thomas in Madrid at erossthomas@bloomberg.net

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Motion Picture & Television Fund Announces Election of Bob Pisano as New Chairman of the Motion Picture & Television Fund Board of Directors

April 28, 2010

WOODLAND HILLS, CA–(Marketwire – April 28, 2010) –  Veteran entertainment industry executive Bob Pisano has been elected as Chairman of the Motion Picture & Television Fund’s Board of Directors, it was announced today by Bob Beitcher, interim MPTF President and CEO. Pisano succeeds Frank Mancuso, who has served in that post since 2003 and will continue to serve on the Board for the next two years as Immediate Past Chair.

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NASBA Announces Executive Promotions

April 28, 2010

NASHVILLE, TN–(Marketwire – April 28, 2010) –  The National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA) today announced two executive promotions — one new chief operating officer of NASBA and one president and CEO position of the organization’s subsidiary Professional Credential Services (PCS) — reflective of the organization’s ongoing commitment to establish and maintain a dynamic and innovative leadership team across its unique portfolio of businesses.

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Dresner Partners Names Kevin McMurchy Senior Managing Director

April 28, 2010

CHICAGO, IL–(Marketwire – April 28, 2010) – Dresner Partners, a leading FINRA-registered, middle-market investment bank and IMAP member, announced today that Kevin W. McMurchy has joined the firm as a senior managing director. In his new role, Mr. McMurchy will focus on middle-market transactions within the financial services and insurance industries.

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