September 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) – James Grant, editor of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, talks about the overhaul of U.S. financial regulation. Grant also discusses Federal Reserve monetary policy. He talks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Grant Says U.S. `On the Road’ to Socialization of Credit: Video

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Dan Dorfman: More Than Autumn Leaves Could Fall

by Dan Dorfman on September 30, 2010

With Halloween just around the corner, many of us will soon be shaking as we confront the usual array of ghosts, ghouls and goblins. Adding to our jitters will be a TV bombardment of such time-worn horror films as Frankenstein , Dracula and Night of the Living Dead . Equally significant from an investment standpoint, Wall Street will undoubtedly be shaking, as well, since October is notorious for having produced one of the bloodiest one-day showings in the history of the stock market. That was October 19, 1987, or “Black Monday,” as it’s called, a day that saw the Dow Jones Industrials dive a wicked 508 points or 22.6% and shed some $500 billion of market value. The reason: computer and insurance programs all flashed sell signals at the same time, which touched off a selling panic. What’s more, October has savaged investors with a series of additional hefty declines, namely, 20% in 1929, 17% in 2008, 14% in 1932 and 10% in 1937, I’m told by Standard & Poor’s chief investment strategist, Sam Stovall. October is a spooky month, says Stovall, pointing to such events as: the two biggest monthly declines in the stock market both occurred in October, five of the last 10 bear markets (declines of 20% or more) bottomed in October and four of 17 corrections (losses of from 10% to 20%) also ended in October. On the other hand, some market pros pooh-pooh any October fears, noting that the market is on a roll, what with the Dow — largely reflecting expectations of a zippier economy — having ballooned more than 700 points since late July. What’s more, the Dow posted a 7.7% gain in September, which is traditionally the market’s worst month of the year. A money manager at Baltimore-based investment biggie also plays down October worries, telling me “unless you’re blind, you can’t help but see the market wants to go higher, and it looks like that’s where it’s going.” Stovall agrees, arguing it’s pretty likely that the correction of 2010 bottomed in July. Further, he believes technically that the S&P 500 has undergone a bullish reversal and the bull market that started in March 2009 is likely to resume, albeit at a slower pace than the initial surge. Further, he points out, dating back to 1945, October has displayed a lot more vigor, averaging an 0.8% annual gain and rising in six out of every 10 years. Still, this October is saddled with a number of concerns. Among them on the investment front are a couple of closely tracked contrary market indicators which invariably signal lower stock prices. One of them is a report from Investors Intelligence that a recent survey of investment advisers showed 49.1% were bullish, far exceeding the 29.3% that were bullish. Another contrary indicator, recently highlighted by Michael Larson, editor of the Safe Money Report newsletter in a commentary to subscribers, took note of a release from the American Association of Individual Investors — viewed as Wall Street’s “dumb money” — that investors are more optimistic about the stock market than at any time since October 2007, May 2008 and January of 2010. That’s an unbelievably strong contrarian signal, observes Larson, who notes that these points in history, in fact, marked major stock market tops, leading to Dow declines ranging from 900 to 6,600 points. Tack on his expectations of a double-dip recession, a skid into the Dow 9,000s before year end and he says investors should be loaded to bear with inverse exchange-traded funds, a bet that these vehicles will go up in price as the stock market goes down. His favorites: ProShares Short Real Estate (REK), an inverse ETF designed to rise 1% for every 1% gain in the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index, ProShares Short S&P 500 (SH), also designed to rise 1% for every 1% drop in the S&P 500, and ProShares Short Financials (SEF), likewise geared to advance 1% for every 1% decline in the Dow Jones U.S. Financials Index. Needless to say, if the market goes up, these investments will spell trouble with a capital T. Larson also favors a stake in what’s now everyone’s investment darling — that precious yellow metal. Here, he favors a gold bullion ETF, SPDR Gold Trust (GLD). Charles Biderman, the CEO of West Coast liquidity tracker TrimTabs Research, partially owned by Goldman Sachs, is another worry-wart, noting the U.S. economy is stalling, new offerings are soaring and insider buying is plunging. Near term, say for the next few weeks, Biderman is neutral on equities. But after that, he says, watch out. Given the enormous amount of debt in the economy, final demand is unlikely to grow rapidly over the next few years, he says. Unless incomes grow faster than 2% a year and above growth in unemployment — which is not what he expects — less money will be coming into equities over time. And that means, he believes, price-earnings multiples (now above 15, based on trailing 12-month earnings), could drop below 10. That’s as ominous a forecast as one could make. The S&P 500 is presently trading at around 1,145. Based on inflation-adjusted earnings for the past 10 years, the S&P 500 would have to fall to 550 for its PE ratio to drop to 10. If that were to occur, stock prices would be stripped of more than half of their value from current levels. Sounds incredulous, but no less incredulous than what actually took place between October 2007 and March 2009 — an astounding 53% drop in the Dow from 14,100 to around 6,500. It’s worth noting that one of my favorite indicators — call it the “Dorfman indicator” — reflects the thinking of an investment adviser who boasts an unenviable record of never being right. In other words, whatever he thinks, just go the other way. His latest market view: “We’re on the verge of a huge decline in stock prices.” It all reminds me of those colorful Autumn leaves that are already falling in many parts of the country. Relating that to the stock market, if our three bears are right, more than Autumn leaves will be falling. and that could include the economy, the number of Democratic House and Senate seats and President Obama’s already sinking approval ratings. What do you think? E-mail me at Dandordan@aol.com

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Dan Dorfman: More Than Autumn Leaves Could Fall

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David Isenberg: Putting the Contract in Private Security Contractors

September 30, 2010

Today we look at is another law journal article. It is noteworthy not only for its content and recommendation, but also for its author. The article is ” No More Nisour Squares: Legal Control of Private Security Contractors in Iraq and After ,”published last year in the Oregon Law Review (Vol. 88, No. 3) . The author is Charles Tiefer. In addition to being a professor at the University of Baltimore Law School he is also a commissioner on the Commission on Wartime Contracting in Iraq and Afghanistan . As you would expect he accepts that the use of private security contractors is here to stay. He is also concerned with “how to control the abuses and injuries of private security contractors” so we do not have more Nisour Squares, when Blackwater guards, some of whom claim they faced a threat, opened fire on civilians, killing seventeen Iraqis. He notes that the problem of private security abuses and injuries is part of the broader trend toward the privatizing of military effort. In turn, this effort has produced accountability issues reduce support for the U.S. government’s efforts both in Iraq and in the world. The U.S. Congress has attempted to deal with these problems by amending the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ) to cover private security employees and applying the amended Military Extraterritorial Jurisdictional Act (MEJA). Others see the solution in civil suits under existing statutes such as the Alien Tort Claims Act. But, to paraphrase social scientists Tiefer thinks that these efforts, while laudable, and perhaps even necessary, are not sufficient. Thus, he advocates what he calls the “contract law” approach. In the much-expanded form proposed in this Article, the “contract law” approach would use government contract requirements, contracting tools and sanctions, contract-related claims, and distinctive contract-related suits to both control and remedy private security abuses and injuries. Tiefer reminds us that soon after the Nisour Square killings the Departments of Defense and State implemented reforms, including new and stricter contractual requirements, departmental monitoring of contractor performance, and department-wide regulations in July 2009. But that is just the start: More could be done to follow up on this contract law approach. Government contracting has impressive tools. Additional contractual requirements for private security firms can serve as “quality control” specifications. The Departments of Defense and State may impose additional contractual requirements besides training and reporting that relate to the selection and assignment of employees, postincident responsibilities, and international licensing and accreditation. The government can treat incidents that cause the inappropriate harming of civilians, in addition to potentially prosecutable actions of individual employees, as both possible failures of “quality control” by the private security firms and occasions for scrutiny by an inspector general. Among the category of tools for civilians that have been discussed by commentators are different kinds of claims and suits, which already apply to the military in Iraq but apparently not to the contractors. As for civil suits, most interestingly, the civilian victims of security incidents may be able to invoke such contract requirements as third-party beneficiaries under a contract law theory. The intricacies of third-party beneficiaries of government contracts may support an argument that civilians have rights as to security contractors in Iraq. Before going further let’s take a moment to see what Tiefer writes about problems with amendments to the UCMJ and MEJA. These have been pointed out before by other commentators but the fact that they still exist says a lot about how useful he UCMJ and MEJA are in dealing with actual crimes by contractors. A number of practical problems stand in the way of applying the UCMJ, and the Department of Defense (DOD) has made little or no use of the new provision. The DOD did not seek the amendment. Military courts may find this particular exercise of their jurisdiction somewhat misaligned with the normal exercise. Unlike troops, private security contractors are not under military discipline and are not ordinarily acting under the orders of combat commanders. Turning to MEJA, Congress enacted this statute in 2000 specifically to bring overseas military contractor employees under the criminal jurisdiction of U.S. courts, after a scandal during the military intervention in the Balkans. After Abu Ghraib, it became apparent that the statute did not apply to contractors that were not technically hired under a DOD contract, even when they performed work with the military and the non-DOD contract was just a technicality. So, Congress amended the law to reach contractors “supporting the mission of the DOD.” The Defense Department issued proposed regulations for implementing MEJA as to that department. Practical problems hinder the pursuit of cases under MEJA also. No department other than the DOD adopted implementing regulations. The Nisour Square incident involved a State Department contractor, not a DOD contractor. On the other hand, the Department of Justice secured an indictment of five Blackwater guards in the Nisour Square incident pursuant to MEJA. Whatever the technical issues of applying MEJA to non-DOD contractors, criminal indictments under MEJA seem unlikely to become common. It is true that even a small number of successful prosecutions can have a strong deterrent effect, as well as propitiating the local indignation about abuses. Still, there are enormous practical and legal problems with bringing so many criminal prosecutions in federal courts about actions in a war zone that will shape corporate behavior. Tiefer see contracting law as a way of quality or best value in contractor’s work; something I touched on in this past post . Contract law offers different methods to obtain additional qualities. These methods could be mandated as requirements. For example, to perform the highest level of duties, the rules incorporated in the contract could require particular sets of backgrounds for selected contractors. Alternatively, the government could evaluate the firm’s additional attributes when deciding upon awarding contracts or task orders. Ordinarily, such awards may occur on a basis that does not fully gauge or reward quality, such as a lowest price offer that is technically acceptable. Instead, awards could occur on a basis that does gauge and reward quality. Awards could occur on a “best value” basis with a trade-off that puts the most weight on quality criteria and puts only limited weight on cost. Moreover, as successive awards of such contracts occur, the government could give weight in the later awards to the “past performance” on the early awards. Private security contractors may well argue that it is a hard challenge to avoid casualties to everyone under their protection, while at the same time completely avoiding casualties to local civilians. Counting “past performance” would reward those contractors who perform the best at those double challenges. Similarly, a contract law approach may deal with postincident responsibilities. For example, the government could require firms to transfer individual employees involved in any incidents to less-demanding duties (e.g., from mobile convoy duty to static perimeter duty, either temporarily or for the duration of the contract). This could occur for individual employees implicated either in dubious judgment significantly below the criminal level or in multiple instances of near-dubious judgment. The attraction of Tiefer’s approach is obvious. It does not require Congress to pass new laws. Instead it encourages government departments and agencies to use their existing power of writing contract specifications to encourage positive performance by contractors. And Tiefer notes that the government has powerful tools at its disposal to ensure proper auditing of contracts by using Inspector Generals. Before Nisour Square, and to some extent even after the event, some IGs did not see private contractor incidents as involving contract law issues. IGs could determine that incidents warranted some scrutiny by a criminal investigator but, apart from that, IGs had little or no role. However, the contract law approach lays the foundation for a much larger role for IGs. Now, the DOD would be rendering quality assurance requirements subject to audit. By creating much fuller incident reporting requirements, a contract law approach can establish a paper trail to monitor contractors, simultaneously with interview and other live evidence, to determine the actual quality of the firms’ employees. This partly concerns whether IGs see the subject in all its seriousness. They must not leave private security quality control to the DCMA after dangerous incidents have occurred. IG involvement sends a powerful message that is hard to send through other means, much like the message sent within police departments when weapon discharge incidents are investigated seriously. Contractors disinclined to take reporting requirements seriously would view the matter very differently when IGs scrutinize failures to make full disclosures or otherwise cooperate fully in inquiries. Moreover, IGs should have a degree of independence that others in the particular department may lack. For example, it is common, and perhaps natural, that officials working with a particular security contracting firm come to bond with it. Natural as that bonding is, it does not make for an independent judgment of whether the contractor has fulfilled all requirements, including those relating to sparing local civilians from injury. An independent IG has a better chance of making an independent judgment. Furthermore, an IG investigation could justify serious legal sanctions, contestable by the contractors if they so choose. These could include nonrenewing contractual option terms or partially or wholly terminating a contract for convenience. That, in itself, would not preclude the contractor from seeking more contracts. However, the sanctions in the most serious cases could go further, starting with adding negative ratings for past performance to the contractor’s record and, much more seriously, terminating a contract for default. These steps do make it harder, sometimes much harder, for the contractor to seek more contracts. The steps may even constitute a substantial threat to a firm’s existence if it has nowhere else, other than the U.S. government, to turn to sell its services. But, these tools should be available in case an investigation uncovers a particularly bad problem. Moreover, contract law can reduce the impact on the government of an interruption of the provision of services when the government terminates a contract. Even under existing law, the government can take control of subcontracts and of work in progress during the termination of a contract. It would not be much of an extension for private security in a country like Iraq to provide via contract provisions or applicable orders that, during termination of a contract, the government has full authority to order the shifting of firm employees in the theater of combat to a different contractor (subject to the employees’ choice rights), similar to the process when the government shifts subcontracts. Tiefer concludes that the contract law approach brings distinct advantages over other approaches. First, it applies to the private military firms, rather than to their employees. The firms have the resources and status, which their individual employees alone do not, to initiate and improve major programs for preventing injuries or abuses – programs such as accreditation, training, and vetting of new hires. Second, the contract law approach uses, and conforms to, the main thrust of government contracting law and its apparatus, which is the system that purchases private military services and oversees the implementation of that purchase Generalizing further, contract law tools in this context and in related ones may produce a virtuous cycle. Commentators on international law have tended to expect a “top-down” effect – that international agreements or principles on private security will bring about individual state regulation. Top-down international law may work. But, as a supplement, the elaboration of contract law tools by the United States in the context of the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan may affect both future U.S. action and action by other nations. For example, when the United States sets accreditation and training standards, both U.S. firms and third-country firms will seek to meet them. It then becomes simpler for other countries, such as those in the European Community, to institute similar standards; once the United States adopts standards, European firms that do business with the United States develop familiarity with, and a record of meeting, those standards. The role of contract law tools in this context might serve as a model in other contexts. For example, government contracting firms often play important environmental roles. They may clean up, store, process, or dispose of waste. [KBR burn pits anyone?] Criminal suit, civil suit, administrative action, international law, and other methods for dealing with problems with these firms may well work. Still, as a supplement, government contracting firms should come to comply with contract provisions on such matters and may be part of developing standards as to further provisions and strengthened contract oversight. This approach supplements, without supplanting, the other approaches. Of course, contract law is only useful if “government departments making the contracts actually taking active oversight roles, rather than depending on neutral bodies like courts or international agencies or on private lawsuits. For many reasons, departments may not rush to do so. In any event, whether from inertia, capture, or sincere views of national interest, departmental officials themselves may not rush to exercise their contract law tools.” Yet, “the significant steps taken after Nisour Square tell a different story. The increasingly used contract law tools, such as provisions requiring training and incident reporting, represented advances. Expanding that use did not require intervention by a neutral body, like a court or an international organization. Rather, the force of the public reaction – from Iraqis, Americans, and people of other countries – sufficed.”

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Federal Reserve ‘Will Be Gone’ In 25 Years, Top Financial Mind Predicts, Despite Geithner’s Vote Of Confidence

September 30, 2010

A mere half-hour after Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner praised the “necessary” and “very substantial” actions of the Bush and Obama administrations to “break the back of the financial crisis,” one of the world’s leading financial minds said Thursday that the United States is in the same economic predicament today as it was in 2007, predicting that within 25 years the Federal Reserve “will be gone.” Nassim Nicholas Taleb, renowned derivatives trader, university professor and author of “The Black Swan,” warned a gathering in Washington of the growing risk the nation has taken on as a result of poor decisions by the Fed and policymakers, including trillions of dollars in taxpayer money funneled into bailouts of private industry. “This transformation from private debt … to public debt” is “bad” from a risk standpoint and “immoral” from an ethical standpoint, Taleb — a member of the Derivatives Hall of Fame whose book became a bestseller — told a crowd at the Washington Ideas Forum, an event held by The Atlantic and The Aspen Institute. Deficits “will break the Fed” and it will be replaced, he predicted. “The Romans had a saying,” Taleb added: “The grandchildren should not bear the debt of the grandparents.” That debt is made more dangerous, Taleb said, by the increasingly complexities of the financial system, a problem that he said has not been ameliorated during the last three years. “Debt and complexity are not friends,” he said, because “complexity causes unpredictability,” and heavy debt burdens mean one false move, whether by an individual actor or a system, could spell disaster. Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman, a popular columnist for The New York Times, “doesn’t understand” the economic situation the U.S. finds itself in, Taleb claimed, nor do most economists. Because of the significant rise in debt, within 25 years “anything fragile will break,” Taleb said. That includes the Fed, he argued, because the Fed “fragilized this country.” “The Fed is what got us here,” he said, because of its inattention to risks in the financial system. “It’s like someone flying a plane without understanding how to fly.” Geithner appeared before the same crowd shortly before Taleb. His assessment of the economy and actions taken in response was essentially the exact opposite. The Treasury Secretary, who as the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York played a key role in the immediate response to 2008′s financial meltdown, told the crowd that without the “very substantial” financial force brought to bear “early and quickly” to fight the crisis, “nothing else would be possible.” “It’s worth just stepping back and recognizing that this country did do the necessary thing … in acting earlier to break the back of the financial crisis,” Geithner said in reference to controversial actions such as the Troubled Asset Relief Program and the stimulus bill. Referring to the $800 billion stimulus as “exceptionally large” and TARP as “overwhelming financial force,” Geithner said the two policy decisions are the two most important judgments made by the outgoing Bush administration and incoming Obama administration. Though private-sector economists generally conclude that the stimulus was a success, the unemployment rate has jumped from 8.2 percent to 9.6 percent since it was enacted into law on Feb. 17, 2009, Labor Department figures show. Economists argue that unemployment would have been much higher without the stimulus, though they acknowledge it would likely be lower if the stimulus had been larger. As for TARP, it helped the banking sector recover by instilling confidence in market participants — in part because the world now knew that the U.S. government was prepared to rescue large, systemically-important institutions by virtually any means necessary. The Fed’s multi-trillion dollar commitment to the financial sector and its near-zero interest rate policy likely helped, too. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is the business reporter for the Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

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Bernanke, Regulators Testify On Financial Reform Implementation

September 30, 2010

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and other top regulators said Thursday their agencies are working vigorously to put into effect the sweeping overhaul of U.S. financial rules and are closely coordinating with each other. Bernanke said the Federal Reserve is working with the Treasury Department to develop ways for regulators to best detect financial dangers that could damage the economy. “It is essential that the (overhaul law) be carried out expeditiously and effectively,” Bernanke testified at a hearing of the Senate Banking Committee. Deputy Treasury Secretary Neal Wolin said, “We are moving as quickly and as carefully as we can.” The regulators said they will collaborate in the Financial Stability Oversight Council, a powerful assembly created by the new law and headed by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner. The council, which has its first meeting on Friday, is charged with keeping watch over the entire financial system. At the same time, Bernanke, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair and other regulators affirmed the importance of their independence and the value of having divergent views within the council. Unlike the Treasury Department, which is part of the Obama administration, the others are independent regulatory agencies. “Coordination’s going to be extremely important,” Bernanke said. But he also said that independence “is very important for a lot of good reasons,” such as providing “multiple sets of eyes.” Bair said “there will be differences.” Mary Schapiro, chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, said the regulators already have had “lots of rigorous debate behind the scenes” on several issues. The new law, enacted in July, toughens government oversight of Wall Street and banks, provides stronger protections for consumers and gives the Fed and other regulators new powers to restrain risky financial practices. It’s aimed at preventing another financial crisis like the one that struck with force two years ago and plunged the country into a deep recession. The agencies are charged with writing scores of new rules to put meat on the bones of the overhaul law. As sweeping as the law is, Congress left much of the substance of the new rules to the discretion of regulators. The rule writing, just under way, already has drawn intense lobbying from financial industry interests. Bernanke also said the Fed is helping Treasury identify companies that are so big and so interconnected that their failure could take down the entire financial system. Those companies – which are likely to include Wall Street firms, big hedge funds and insurance companies – would be subject to tougher regulations. The law includes a process for shuttering big, complex financial companies using money from investors and loans from Treasury. __ AP Economics Writer Jeannine Aversa contributed to this report.

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NLRB Vows Faster Review Of Firings During Union Drives

September 30, 2010

WASHINGTON — The federal agency that oversees union elections plans to speed up its review of cases where employees are fired during union organizing drives. The National Labor Relations Board said Thursday it would act more swiftly in seeking federal injunctions to get workers reinstated when officials believe a firing was illegal. It is against the law to fire workers because they want to form a union. But some fired employees can wait months or years to get their cases resolved. “Firing an employee in the middle of a union organizing campaign can quickly destroy the campaign by creating a climate of fear in the workplace,” said Lafe Solomon, the NLRB’s acting general counsel. The move won praise from labor leaders, though they would prefer to see Congress pass legislation that imposes stiffer penalties against companies that intimidate or fire pro-union employees. “Until we can fix our broken system, the least we can do is provide swift justice to workers illegally fired,” said AFL-CIO Secretary-Treasurer Liz Shuler. Glenn Spencer, executive director of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce’s Workforce Freedom Initiative, called the decision another example of a board trying to tilt the balance in favor of unions under the Obama administration. “They are trying to make it easier for unions to organize and harder for employers to defend themselves against union organizers,” Spencer said. Under current law, illegally fired workers are entitled to back pay. A bill backed by unions would require triple back pay for illegally fired workers and fine employers $20,000 per violation. That bill – the Employee Free Choice Act – has stalled in Congress under threat of a GOP filibuster. Its most controversial provision would let unions organize by having a majority of workers sign cards instead of voting by secret ballot. “There’s a very concerted effort for unions to get as much as possible through the regulatory process what they couldn’t get through Congress,” Spencer said.

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William Tierney and Guilbert Hentschke: Nobody Wins When We Regulate Out of Ignorance

September 30, 2010

For-profit higher education has become a political piñata. Three Senate hearings have produced evidence of deceitful recruitment practices, unsustainable student-debt burdens, fraudulent promises of future jobs and high dropout rates at for-profit colleges. In response, Sen. Tom Harkin, chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, plans to propose legislation after the mid-term elections to curb industry abuses. Some for-profit critics would even like the schools to go away. Like it or not, we’re stuck with for-profit colleges. The roughly 3,000 for-profit colleges and universities now account for 12% of all post-secondary students, and they are closing in on serving 2 million students. Financially strapped public colleges and universities are in no position to absorb a rush of new students should for-profits start closing because of tougher regulation. The problem, lost amid the heated charges of widespread fraud in the industry, is that we too little about for-profit colleges to devise a proper regulatory framework for them. Leaders of traditional and for-profit colleges, locked in a cold war atmosphere for years, have stymied comparative research because they feared that objective data would either illuminate the strengths or demonstrate the weaknesses of for-profit colleges. That has produced some yawning gaps in our knowledge of the fastest-growing sector in higher education. Consider: We have no reliable industry-wide data on how many of the nearly 2 million students who begin classes actually complete a degree or certificate program. What exists, at best, are scattered reports issued by various colleges or sweeping analyses of the entire sector, none of which yield reliable information. More important, there is virtually no research that tells us how for-profits compare in terms of graduation rates with their public- and private-school peers. A 2010 study by the Parthenon Group, an independent research organization, is one of the few that examines this question. Using U.S. Department of Education data from 1996-2001 to look at students seeking two-year degrees or certificates, it found that 65% of the students attending for-profit colleges earned the associate degrees or certificates, compared to 44% at community colleges. Even that data, while encouraging, is hardly sufficient to serve as the foundation of a new regulatory schema. There is no systematic data on how effective for-profit colleges are in helping their graduates land meaningful jobs and on how well they are prepared for them. This question goes to the heart of the proposed “gainful-employment” standard, currently under review by the Department of Education, that would cut federal aid to for-profit schools – a major source of their profits — if student-loan repayment rates fell below a certain level. Draconian rules would no doubt put many for-profit colleges out of business. But the best information we have on the jobs/debt questions is no better than back-of-the-envelope projections. We just don’t know how successful for-profit colleges are in overcoming the educational obstacles posed by students who need remedial classes in, say, math and English. If students are unable to correct their academic deficiencies, they will be unlikely to complete their studies. This is not only a problem in for-profit schools. More than two-thirds of all students in higher education require some remedial classes, but they are disproportionately represented in for-profit colleges, as well as community colleges. It is these students – older and poorer than their four-year public and private school counterparts – who overwhelmingly make up the new populations that must be tapped if we are to turn out more college graduates. They are also the same students most at risk of dropping out and defaulting on their loans. There are some promising signs that the for-profit industry is opening its doors to research that will help fill in our knowledge gaps. Corinthian Colleges and the University of Phoenix have recently agreed to participate in research projects comparing their effectiveness against that of selected public institutions. The Career College Association, which represents 1,500 mostly for-profit colleges and universities, will host a major panel on comparative research at its annual convention next summer. And Kaplan University will share data on student performance with the chancellor’s office of the California Community Colleges. Still, a plea for more research at a time when some critics have likened for-profits to subprime mortgage lenders and called for their extinction might seem quixotic. Yes, protect students from the industry’s worst abuses. But before we construct an ambitious regulatory framework, let’s see if the budding cooperative spirit between traditional colleges and for-profits produces research that could help us devise one based in reality. It is not simply to the benefit of for-profit colleges that they succeed. By some estimates, we need to produce 22 million new degree-holders over the next eight years to meet the demands of our information-based economy. We cannot meet that goal if we over-regulate an industry out of ignorance. William Tierney and Guilbert Hentschke, professors of education at the University of Southern California, are the co-authors of “New Players, Different Games: Understanding the Rise of For-Profit Colleges and Universities.”

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Video: Ponvert Says HP’s Choice of Apotheker Is `Reactive Hire’: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Renny Ponvert, chief executive officer of Management CV, talks about Hewlett-Packard Co.’s appointment of former SAP AG Chief Executive Officer Leo Apotheker as CEO and president. Ponvert speaks with Pimm Fox and Julie Hyman on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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EPA Fines BP $15 Million For Clean Air Violations

September 30, 2010

HOUSTON — The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and the Department of Justice fined BP PLC $15 million on Thursday for Clean Air Act violations at its Texas City refinery, adding to the oil company’s troubles as it struggles to clean up the damage caused by its massive Gulf of Mexico oil spill. The fine, the largest civil Clean Air Act penalty given to a U.S. facility, resulted from a settlement between the EPA and BP and is subject to court approval. BP’s Texas City refinery, the company’s largest in the United States, was also fined $87 million by the U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration for problems found there after a March 2005 explosion killed 15 people and injured about 170 others. More recently, the Texas attorney general and the EPA launched an investigation into a 40-day benzene leak at the facility. The latest violations resulted from three incidents in 2004 and 2005 that forced Texas City residents to remain indoors while thousands of pounds of flammable and toxic pollutants were released into the air. The settlement also deals with allegations that BP had failed to identify all the regulated air pollutants used at the facility in the plans it submitted to the EPA. BP said in a statement that no injuries or serious illnesses resulted from the leak and two fires mentioned in the settlement. The deal helps BP reduce risks should similar events occur in the future, the statement said. The company also said it has incorporated lessons learned from these events into its training and has expanded its reporting to the EPA. “These are key elements of process safety management and have significantly improved at Texas City over the past several years,” the company said in its statement. Cynthia Giles, an EPA official, said BP has a three-year deadline to make significant changes at the facility and will be required to continually report to the EPA about what is going on there because the agency is “continuing to closely scrutinize this facility.” While the refinery is old and complex, it is not in worse condition than any other. No new refinery has been built in the United States for at least 30 years. Yet the Texas City facility has had more problems than most others, with federal agencies recovering more than $130 million in fines from BP for problems at the plant. In addition, BP pleaded guilty to a criminal violation at the plant related to the 2005 explosion, which “tells you how serious problems are at this facility,” Giles added. “The settlement requires BP to change the way they do business at their Texas City facility,” she said. Ignacia Moreno, an assistant attorney general in the Justice Department’s Environment and Natural Resources division, said the Clean Air Act was designed to prevent fatal accidents and to “penalize companies with poor practices that cause harmful air pollution.” “This settlement reflects the serious nature of the fires and releases of hazardous air pollutants that occurred at BP’s Texas City refinery,” Moreno said.

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Ted Kaufman To Replace Warren On Bailout Oversight Panel

September 30, 2010

Sen. Ted Kaufman, the outgoing Delaware senator who battled to break up major banks the past year, will replace Elizabeth Warren as chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel, an aide to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) told HuffPost. Reid initially appointed Warren to run the panel, launching her as a national champion of the middle class. The committee oversees the federal government’s bailout of Wall Street. Kaufman, a Democrat, was appointed to fill Joe Biden’s remaining two years and will serve until a new senator is sworn in in November, after which he’ll take over duties on the panel. In a recent interview with HuffPost, Kaufman reflected on his time in the Senate.

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Video: Hewlett-Packard Names Leo Apotheker as New CEO: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Hewlett-Packard Co., the world’s largest computer maker, appointed former SAP AG Chief Executive Officer Leo Apotheker as its CEO and president, succeeding Mark Hurd, who resigned on Aug. 6. Bloomberg’s Carol Massar, Matt Miller and Julie Hyman report. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Andrew Winston: China Leads the Clean Economy Race

September 30, 2010

Creating a clean economy will not be easy. It will require sustained, consistent, and large-scale investment across many sectors, including transportation, building systems and appliances, energy generation, and of course the electric grid itself. We will need new, more intelligent software and hardware to manage the new demands on the grid. We’ll need a smarter grid , one that will both communicate in real time with customers’ devices to help manage peak demand and manage the inflows of renewable energy and plugged-in electric cars. But this is not a single pursuit; it’s the connective tissue in a network of new technologies and energy systems. These are multi-trillion-dollar markets, so the opportunities for the countries and companies that lead the charge will be vast. And some governments, especially in China and Germany, are taking this challenge much more seriously than others. At the country level, I see two core indications of leadership and commitment to the clean energy economy: The amount of capital invested by both the private and public sectors. The implementation of an aggressive policy framework that supports the economy-wide shift. On both fronts, a few countries, but China in particular, are going for the gold. According to a pithy report from Deutsche Bank titled “The Green Economy: The Race is On” , in the years 2000 to 2009, the U.S. invested (public and private) about $67 billion in clean technology. Similarly China spent $72 billion and Germany $38 billion. However, as a percentage of GDP, China, Germany, and even Brazil are investing at a rate three times greater than the U.S. On the specific issue of smart grid investment, another report estimates that the U.S. and China far outpace the rest of the world with an estimated $7 billion each in spending in 2010 alone (PDF). Companies like IBM , Siemens, GE, Cisco, and HP have noticed this investment — and plan to get a piece of the business. The U.S. economic stimulus package, technically the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA), is really kicking in now. ARRA provides tens of billions of dollars for energy efficiency, R&D investment, and new transmission and smart grid investments. According to a recent report in Time Magazine , the Obama administration has turned the Department of Energy into “the world’s largest venture capital fund.” This level of investment should not be taken lightly, but the stimulus is short-term. China is doing things differently, making longer-term, sustained commitments that are much larger. The country is already in the process of building 16,000 miles of high-speed rail (that’s roughly, oh, 16,000 more than the U.S.). And China is bringing together 16 state-run companies to put one million electric cars on the road within a few years. But it was the country’s ten-year plan that made some jaws drop. Between now and 2020, the country will invest 5 trillion yuan in the clean economy. That works out to about $75 to $100 billion per year for 10 years running (smart grid investment alone is estimated at $60 to $100 billion over the next decade). Imagine the U.S. Congress passing the equivalent of the highly controversial stimulus package 10 times over (not likely). Since the $100 billion in stimulus spending is significant, it’s hard to argue that the U.S. is not investing in the future. It’s the second aspect of green economic leadership — building a strong climate and carbon policy framework that supports the economy-wide shift — where the U.S. falls short. Deutsche Bank’s report suggests that countries need a policy regime that provides “transparency, longevity, and certainty” to increase investment and get private money off the sidelines. The report lists eight national policy elements that it deems critical, including having a concrete emissions target and a renewable electricity standard, among others. Only Germany and China have put all eight policies in place, while the U.S. has only implemented one in the form of some tax benefits. Unsurprisingly, Deutsche Bank concludes that, “the US is falling behind in the race to develop new technologies, industries, and jobs as the global economy moves towards a low carbon future.” Finally, as an indication of how serious China really is, the country has built the largest solar and wind production industries in the world in just a few years. The government is supporting its renewable energy industries so aggressively and lowering their cost of business so much, that it’s likely the country is breaking World Trade Organization rules on fair play. Even if that’s true, you have to admit that China is in the clean economy race to win it. Is the U.S.? This post first appeared in a series on the smart grid at Harvard Business Online .

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Zachary Karabell: The China Blame Game

September 30, 2010

So bipartisanship isn’t dead. By a vote of 348-79, Democrats and Republicans alike put aside their acrimonious differences and agreed, at least for a moment, to stop blaming each other for the sad state of American economic life. Instead, they agreed to blame China. The bill authorizes the president of the United States to impose tariffs on Chinese goods in response to what it considers an illegal subsidy of Chinese exports in the form of an undervalued currency. It helps that the supporters in the House know that this bill has precious little chance of becoming law; it will not pass the Senate and it is unlikely that it would be signed into law by Obama if it ever came to that. As a result, the bill is the perfect campaign gesture, bombastic, angry, self-righteous, and without much real-world consequence. The office AFL-CIO union leader Richard Trumka issued a statement that encapsulated the thinking behind the bill: “the House of Representatives voted to put an end to the Chinese government’s currency manipulation, which has destroyed millions of good American manufacturing jobs. For more than a decade, the Chinese government has deliberately manipulated the value of its currency, ballooning our trade deficit with China and costing American communities good jobs….Working people continue to mobilize to elect candidates who will put America’s workers first and are committed to rebuilding an economy that values working people. This November we will send a powerful message that we will support those who vote for an economy that works for everyone.” The idea is that there is direct line between China, its currency, its exports of lower-cost goods to the United States, and the erosion of middle-class life and now soaring unemployment. But U.S. manufacturing has been bleeding jobs for decades, since the early 1970s, when the Rust Belt began to decay faced with competition from the likes of Japan and Germany. That continued almost unbroken for the next decades, as countries ranging from Taiwan to Mexico became the low-cost producers (remember Ross Perot’s famous warning about NAFTA in 1992 and “the giant sucking sound” of jobs heading south-of-the-border?). California and the state of Washington were hit hard by cuts in defense spending in the early 1990s, and industry throughout the country shed jobs as technology and robotics allowed fewer workers to do more. China is simply the latest example of these trends and hardly a cause. What’s more, the recent loss of millions of jobs since 2008 has everything to do with the collapse of the construction and housing industries along with the near-death of the Big Three American auto makers than with any competitive challenge from China. China has become a large car market for General Motors, but not for export to the United States: for sale in China. It would take a massive leap unsupported by any fact to lay the demise of the U.S. auto industry at the feet of China, or for that matter hold China responsible for the sub-prime and derivative debacles. Those are the cause of recent job loss. Furthermore, China has been revaluing its currency, nearly 20% between 2005 and 2008 and now nearly 3% since June when the government resumed that policy having shelved it during the midst of the global financial crisis. It is in the domestic interest of the Chinese government to raise the value of their currency because they are focused on building up on internal, domestic consumption market. They have no wish to be dependent long-term of the vagaries and whims of American consumers, and higher purchasing power for Chinese consumers is the answer. They are not revaluing quickly enough to suit an America stuck in second gear and looking for someone to blame, but revaluing they are. Of course, reason and fact aren’t driving these measures. Emotion, anger and frustration are. There are good reasons to be angry with the state of affairs in this country and frustrated by the inability of the political class to do more than contribute to the confusion. But blaming China for a series of domestic challenges is not an act of strength or courage. It is an act of desperation, and the only saving grace is that this measure is a gesture, not an actual law – yet. But it suggests that the only thing Congress can agree on is how to shoot ourselves in the foot, which requires minimal skill and even less aim. Railing against Beijing may feel empowering, but seriously grappling with growth, investment, infrastructure and innovation, well that would actually be empowering.

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Jess Walter: Trust Me… Finance and Poetry Are Funny

September 30, 2010

Last week, the Terminator mainframe that has replaced the American news media accidentally let a little old-fashioned news slip in between Kardashian bikini updates: Economists Locate End of Recession , the headline read. It turns out the worst economic crash since the Great Depression actually ended some fifteen months ago — although you could be forgiven for missing it, as you likely were out selling plasma or you don’t get CNN in the sewer-grate cardboard box where you live. So wait. That’s it? It’s… over? When this recession began, I was angry, agitated, upset. It felt like something structural had broken in our economy — that it was permanent and would require serious attention by serious people — reform of Wall Street and policies that would finally address the economic caste system we’ve been building the last thirty years in America. So certain was I that we were experiencing something historic and profound I did the only rational thing an angry person could do: I began working on a comic rant of a novel called The Financial Lives Of The Poets , about an unemployed guy who writes financial poetry, smokes pot outside his neighborhood 7-Eleven and stalks the man his wife is flirting with on facebook. At the time, my protagonist’s deep middle-class anxiety felt like life to me. Many of my friends were out of work, my house had lost a third of its value, and I was trying to figure out what to do about medical insurance. Two years later, the recession is over and it’s a new world. Many of my friends are out of work, my house is worth two-thirds what it was and I’m trying to figure out what to do about medical insurance. It’s Morning in America. And I can’t find my pants. To be clear, I’m not a real victim of this recession. I’m doing fine. A former journalist and now fat-cat-novelist, I am part of that media elite that President-Elect Palin keeps warning you about, a veritable multi-thousandaire whose assets are spread evenly between hard liquor (I’m hoarding; it’s the next gold) and signed copies of my friends’ books. And don’t get me wrong: I’m happy those economists finally found the end of the recession. (Turns out the damn thing was here all along; it had just slipped between cushions of the peasant-skin couch in the Goldman Sachs executive lounge.) I just wonder, now that it’s over, what’s changed? Remember in history class, how periods of American trial were followed by seismic sociological change? The Depression leads to government regulation and the beginnings of a social safety net; World War II leads to the baby boom, the beginning of racial integration and a burgeoning middle class. So what did we get for our collective trouble over the last few years? That’s easy. More of the same. The same week that economists found the end of the recession, another news story moved between Lindsay Lohan crime spree bulletins: During the last year, 3.8 million Americans (or roughly … Oregon) slipped below the poverty limbo stick. Now, 42 million people, or one in seven Americans, lives in poverty (for a family of four this means living on $22,000 a year; you should try it sometime.) This represents the largest percentage increase in that number since 1959, two full years before our current President was born (to sleeper cell agents in the very cave where Osama Bin Laden now lives; sadly, the cave is only worth 70 percent of what it was then.) This could end up being the first recession in history in which the gap between rich and poor actually gets bigger. According to several studies, the top 1 percent of people makes 23 percent of the money , the highest measure of income inequality since 1928, the year before the Great Depression. Not so fast, says the right-wing Cato Institute; these numbers aren’t fair because they don’t factor in government programs like food stamps, which would lower that number to the top 1 percent earning only 21 percent of the money . Yes. Food stamps. This is the world we live in, post-recession. The rich are richer and whining about food stamps in their attempt to keep former President Obama from raising taxes on those making more than $200,000 a year. And are the 80 percent of Americans making 20 percent of the money the ones who are inflamed? No, it’s the rich, who are fighting mad about socialism or food stamps or… something. Meanwhile, the poor are that much poorer, and more disenfranchised than ever. On CNBC , ratings are back up, along with the S&P, and they’re playing “Eye of the Tiger” as the up-ticking stock price flashes for a soaring financial concern that figured out the way to increase share price was to not hire people, to not invest its money, and seven million American homes remain in danger of being foreclosed while a handful of billionaires secretly and cynically fund the Tea Party as their own personal Trojan Horse, using religion, immigration, guns, and any other old distracting issue that will separate low- and middle-class Americans from voting in their best interest. Don’t raise taxes on the rich because you’re not factoring in food stamps. We went to the recession and all we got was this lousy T-shirt. “So what’s your book about?” a woman asked me at a reading recently. It’s a rant about the financial crisis, I said. She made a face. And it’s got poetry, I added. She made a worse face. It’s a comic novel? I tried. Finally, she smiled. “Ooh, I like those,” she said, “and do you draw the pictures yourself?” I started to say that it wasn’t that kind of comic . But baby needs more grain alcohol. Why yes, I said, I most certainly do. Jess Walter is a former National Book Award finalist and author of, most recently, The Financial Lives Of The Poets, now available in paperback .

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Video: McDonald Says He’s Seeing More Startup Hedge Funds: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Jack McDonald, president and chief executive officer of Conifer Securities LLC, talks about investment in hedge funds. McDonald also discusses the outlook for the industry, and hedge fund fees and strategies. He talks with Bloomberg’s Matt Miller and Carol Massar on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Austan Goolsbee Trashes GOP Tax Plan Using White Board (VIDEO)

September 30, 2010

Austan Goolsbee, the new chairman of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, is the star of a new video which outlines the administration’s view on the increasingly contentious tax cut debate. In the first edition of the “White House White Board,” Goolsbee borrows a page from the graphical presentation styles of NPR and even, it seems, from Glenn Beck. From Goolsbee’s presentation: “Obama’s [tax plan] would preserve a couple thousand dollars per year for virtually all Americans. And even for people who make a lot they get to keep the tax cut on the first $250,000 of their income. Under the Republican plan however, people making over $1 million per year are going to be getting a tax cut of more than $100,000. That’s expensive…” On the White House’s blog , Jesse Lee added this talking point: “We simply can’t afford to give the wealthiest Americans these big tax cuts that would add to our deficit and, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, be just about the least effective way to grow our economy and help create jobs.” WATCH the video:

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Video: Acampora Sees `Majority’ of Bad News Priced in Stocks: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Ralph Acampora of Altaira Wealth Management, talks with Bloomberg’s Carol Massar and Matt Miller about the outlook for the U.S. stock market and the potential impact of the November elections on equities. (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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John Kiff: End the Credit Rating Addiction

September 30, 2010

One of the earliest take aways from the global financial crisis was the importance of access to information for effectively functioning financial markets. And, in that regard, credit ratings can serve an incredibly useful role in global and domestic financial markets — in theory. In practice, credit ratings have inadvertently contributed to financial instability — in financial markets during the recent global crisis and more recently with regard to sovereign debt. To be fair, the problem does not lie entirely with the ratings themselves, but with overreliance on ratings by both borrowers and creditors. In one of the background papers for the Fall 2010 Global Financial Stability Report that I prepared with IMF colleagues, we recommend that regulators should reduce their reliance on credit ratings. Markets need to end their addiction to credit ratings. Credit ratings should be seen as one of several tools to measure credit risk, and not as the sole and dominant one. Instead, credit ratings, which measure the relative risk that an entity such as a government or a company will fail to meet its financial commitments, have become hardwired into various rules, regulations and triggers. Central banks often use ratings in their collateral acceptability rules. The Basel II standardized approach to determining bank capital requirements relies heavily on ratings. And, many institutional investors–pension funds, insurance companies, retirement funds, and the like–have rules that trigger the sale of securities when they are downgraded below certain levels. Yet, when investors, regulators and borrowers rely on credit ratings too mechanically, changes in ratings, particularly abrupt downgrades, can lead to deleterious selloffs of securities. Not only does this create the potential for broader spillovers, but the resulting declines in the prices of securities trigger further sell-offs. In other words, those notorious domino effects! Actions by ratings agencies to “smooth out” or make changes in ratings less abrupt–for example, through a warnings ahead of a possible downgrade–may be intended to minimize disruptions. However, they we find that much of the market reaction occurs when these warnings are released rather than when the actual rating changes. And, as events of the past year or so have highlighted, sovereign ratings could have taken better account of debt composition and contingent liabilities. However, in some cases–Greece for example–the rating agencies did not have access to all the information they needed. In that regard, the IMF encourages countries to prepare and make publicly available a fiscal risk statement. Still, the real solution lies in reducing the reliance on credit ratings as much as possible. This should start with removing the mechanistic use of ratings in rules and regulations, which some countries are already beginning to do. Investors must be weaned off credit ratings too. Policymakers should persuade the larger ones, at least, to perform their own risk assessments as part of deciding what to buy or sell. Realistically, of course, not all investors have the same ‘in house’ capacity for risk assessment. Smaller and less sophisticated institutions will have to continue to rely heavily on third-party ratings. So, the process of reducing reliance on ratings should differentiate according to the size and sophistication of institutions, and the instruments being rated. Also, agencies–the main ones being Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch–whose ratings continue to play key regulatory roles (as in the Basel II standardized approach) should be subjected to increased oversight. (Both of these approaches were included in the recently signed U.S. financial sector reform legislation.) Beyond this, our paper recommends that policymakers should also continue to push rating agencies to improve their procedures, including those related to transparency and governance. This will provide more assurance to those that use ratings that they are fairly constructed. Credit rating agencies aggregate information about the credit quality of various types of borrowers and their financial obligations. The ratings they issue allow many of those borrowers to access global and domestic markets they would not otherwise have, enabling them to attract investment funds. As a result, ratings add liquidity to markets that would otherwise be highly illiquid. Wringing out the volatility, without drying up the liquidity, is the goal of any effort to reform the credit ratings agencies that issue them. Cross-posted from iMFdirect .

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Mortgage Rates Low: Level Matches Lowest In Decades

September 30, 2010

WASHINGTON — Rates on 30-year mortgages matched the lowest level in decades and rates on 15-year loans dropped to their lowest point in nearly 20 years. Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday the average rate for 30-year fixed loans fell to 4.32 percent, the lowest on records dating back to 1971. That’s down from 4.37 percent the previous week and equal to the average rate reached four weeks ago. The average rate on 15-year fixed loans fell to 3.75 percent, the lowest on records dating back to 1991. Rates have been at or near the lowest levels in decades since spring as investors poured money into the safety of Treasury bonds, lowering their yield. Mortgage rates tend to track those yields. In recent weeks, Treasury yields have dipped as bond traders bet that the Federal Reserve will soon boost its Treasury purchases in the hope of giving the economy a lift. That has pushed down rates. Still, historically low rates have done little to boost the struggling housing market, which had its worst summer in more than a decade. Fall sales are not expected to be much better. High unemployment and weak job growth have kept people from buying homes. And many of the hardest-hit markets are bracing for a big wave of homes sold at foreclosure or short sales. A short sale is when a lender lets a homeowner sell for less than the mortgage is worth. To calculate average mortgage rates, Freddie Mac collects rates from lenders around the country on Monday through Wednesday of each week. Rates often fluctuate significantly, even within a given day. Rates on five-year adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.52 percent, down from 3.54 percent a week earlier. Rates on one-year adjustable-rate mortgages rose to an average of 3.48 percent from 3.46 percent. The rates do not include add-on fees known as points. One point is equal to 1 percent of the total loan amount. The nationwide fee for loans in Freddie Mac’s survey averaged 0.8 a point for 30-year mortgages. It averaged 0.7 of a point for 15-year and 1-year mortgages and 0.6 of a point for 5-year mortgages.

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Jodi R. R. Smith: Back to School, Moving Up

September 30, 2010

September means back to school for many families, but for those of you in the working world I have a quick quiz. Think fast, True or False: _____ Working hard and doing your job are the best ways to get ahead. In our Mannersmith Professional Protocol seminars we always catch participants who believe this statement to be true. But it is not… This statement is completely false. Working hard and doing your job are why you receive your paycheck. To be eligible for promotion, you need to position yourself properly. Not sure what this means? Here are our top ten tips: 1. Create Perception ~ Make sure you look the part. Dress for the job you want. Keep your work area neat and clean. Arrive early, stay late. Respond in a timely manner. Deliver on promises. 2. Behave Better ~ Everything you say and do reflects on your professional persona. Be sure your actions communicate “polished professional.” Imagine your every interaction being captured on video. Act accordingly. 3. Read Cultural Landscapes ~ Understand what is valued in your office. Who are the stars, who is being promoted, who has the VP’s ear? Know the organizational chart as well as those who have personal power in your office. 4. Be the Answer ~ Look for issues at work that need resolution. From the kitchen fridge than needs emptying to the giant software conversion, helping to make things better identifies you as a problem solver. 5. Move Beyond the Safety of Your Desk ~ While you need not be friends with everyone in the office, you should understand the importance of being friendly. Ask about weekends, hobbies, interests. This way, when you do need to work together, the relationship will be there and the interaction will be comfortable. 6. Cross Boundaries ~ Take the time to know people from other departments. Understand how your job impacts them. 7. Follow in Footsteps ~ Look for mentors and ask about their career paths. Know what options you have for promotion based upon your current position. Know your next steps. 8. Replace Yourself ~ Be sure to train a potential replacement. There are times when managers do not promote great employees due to the time, hassle and stress of having to train a replacement. Being “irreplaceable” can hold you back. 9. Next Stop, Knowledge ~ There is always something new to learn in your field. Take the time to take classes and attend conferences so that your skills remain up to date. 10. Build Professional Networks ~ Know others in your field. Look for mentors, make connections, take on leadership roles. Your next stop may be in another organization before returning to your original company. Still not sure what it takes to be promoted? Then you had better ask. From your manager, to human resources, to those in the position you target, to mentors, there is always someone with knowledge and information to share. Lesson One: You are responsible for your own career path, start by playing an active role!

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Linda McMahon: ‘We Ought To Review’ The Minimum Wage

September 30, 2010

Linda McMahon, the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Connecticut, suggested Thursday that the U.S. ought to take a second look at the federal minimum wage. “The minimum wage now in our country, I think we’ve set that, so there are a lot of people have benefited from it in our country, but I think we ought to review how much it ought to be, and whether or not we ought to have increases in the minimum wage,” McMahon said at a press conference. After the event, “McMahon admitted she didn’t know what the current minimum wage is or if any of her employees at World Wrestling Entertainment are paid it,” CTNewsJunkie.com reported . McMahon was CEO of the WWE before launching her Senate campaign. The minimum wage rose in 2009 to $7.25 per hour from $6.55 per hour, the first increase in a decade. Among workers paid an hourly wage, 980,000 earned the minimum wage in 2009, and 2.6 million earned less, according to the Department of Labor. Those groups together comprise 4.9 percent of all hourly workers. With a lower minimum wage, “You’d have even more people who were poor even though they were working than you already do,” said Elizabeth Lower-Bacsch, a policy analyst with the Center for Law and Social Policy in Washington, D.C. “In this economy, you’d have some people who were desperate enough to take the jobs — at least in the short run. Others wouldn’t be able to take them because they can’t afford to — after paying for child care and transportation, they’d be losing money. Overall, it probably wouldn’t have much of an effect on the economy as a whole. The minimum wage in the US is still sufficiently low that it only affects a small portion of the labor market.” McMahon’s opponent jumped on the remarks: “Linda McMahon laid off ten percent of her workers and takes home $46 million a year so it’s no surprise she’s thinking about lowering the minimum wage,” said a spokeswoman for Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (D). John Olsen, president of the AFL-CIO in Connecticut, also jumped on the remarks: “It is outrageous that multi-millionaire McMahon is open to reducing the minimum wage, and mind boggling that she doesn’t even know how much it is.” UPDATE 4:20 PM: The McMahon campaign says reporters are wrong to suggest McMahon favors lowering the minimum wage. From a spokesman: “I think a good deal of creative interpretation is needed for anybody to take away from these quotes that she is in favor of reducing the minimum wage. She is clearly saying that we ought to review whether this is in fact the time to raise the rate. It’s impossible to accept the spin that a handful of reporters are putting on this without changing the definition of the word ‘review.’ That word is not one and the same with ‘cut’. Noah Webster, I’m certain, is turning over in his grave today.”

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Vivian Norris de Montaigu: The Future of Banking

September 30, 2010

Based on the adherence to the Chatham House Rules, no individuals nor companies will be identified by name. A remote location near St. Andrews, Scotland, was a somehow ideal place for bankers and their technology bedfellows to discuss their common future, held under gray clouds and bad financial news brewing in nearby Ireland, and austerity protests in much of Europe. Except these bankers were 90% from Africa, Asia and the Middle East. The rare European and even rarer (expat) American, although often dominating the speaking space, added little to the reality of those who attended. Underlining this fact was a Kenyan banker who announced a 36% yearly profit or an Indian CEO expanding internationally taking the stage just after a gloom and doom American analyst or frankly depressing former Central Bank representative from the West. Will the emerging market economies be able to sustain this optimism or will yet another wave of crisis hit those markets as well? Or had they learned from the ’97 crisis (bankers from countries such as Thailand helped to put that crisis in perspective) and were thus in better shape to deal with any new ones to come? And is this crisis in the West not a kind of karmic payback for that ’97 Asian Financial Crisis, without which China and much of Asia would have already been much stronger? Africa, without violence, famine and AIDS too would have risen up as a financial leader much earlier. At last these parts of the world, where the majority of the poor, those Bottom of the Pyramid citizens of the world, were seeing a brighter future. Our crisis in the West should not be hindering their prosperity, nor should globalization force those who have begun pulling themselves out of dire poverty, fall back because of rising food prices or debts to the IMF and World Bank. Ironically those same countries, which were told they could not bail out their own banks when times became rough, have been watching closely as the US bailed out its own banks. This kind of hypocrisy does not go down well. I doubt that kind of advice will be listened to again. Yet one hopes they do not follow in our Western footsteps and that regulations will indeed hinder the kind of hyper-speculation and virtual splicing, bundling and reselling of thin air. Ironically we ran into an old friend who had been an executive at a large bank in the US (which had failed) who happened to be vacationing, golfing in St Andrews. When he found out we were attending a banking conference he asked questions, and the answers we provided demonstrated that not all was gloom and doom. The demographic charts showed the aging US and Europe while most of the developing world has young populations that are energetic and entrepreneurial… and which can trade with one another. In other words, speaking from a US perspective, in some ways, they simply do not need us. The former banker friend went on to work with manual laborers and has been questioning the way things were done in the past. He witnessed firsthand how cheap credit and over-expansion brought down a once strong economy. And though the first evening a former Irish rock star turned philanthropist and humanitarian took the stage to address and scold those he perhaps believed to be a Goldman Sachs and City crowd, the reality was that I spent much of the free time discussing with Indian, African and expat US bankers, about the good being done by banking the unbanked, how technology could help speed up that process, and how the BRIC economies were not looking towards their Western colleagues for how to build their economies, but rather trying out new architectures and customer-focused approaches that we in the West would be wise to learn from and implement. Microcredit, women, microsavings were all discussed with bankers who all focused on the human needs in their countries. I was impressed time and again that they did not ignore these difficult topics but were extremely straightforward. I was also frankly shocked as I spoke to several expat American former bankers and analysts who had seen the crisis coming and has moved to Australia and other parts of the world. All of them stated they had done so to ensure their children a better future. WE in the West are now finding ourselves having to stare poverty in the face as much of our population is suffering and without work. There was talk of the end of banks as we know it, mobile banking and bank branches in a box, but also maintaining a human connection and knowing the customer. But the most exciting ideas came from ex-bankers or those who had been running big banks and who were focusing on funding projects and businesses created by women, or looking at how the poorest of the poor were fulfilling their financial needs via new technologies. African telecoms buying up banks, non-banks doing business that used to be monopolized by banks — local investments in Africa and Asia were paying off. But perhaps the most moving part of the event was the final evening, as we were bussed to a farm for a Scottish dinner and dance, accompanied by traditional music of the bagpipes and a farewell sendoff by the Scottish guards. As we stood there, bankers who came in many cases from former European, especially former British empire colonies, watching the cultural manifestation of a fading glory, I realized that the world has already changed, things will never be as they once were, and that is for the best. It is a new time. We need to learn from those we thought we were helping, as they will save us in the end.

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Inder Sidhu: Profiles in Doing Both: The Resiliency of the American Real Estate Agent

September 30, 2010

If you’re one of the 11 million Americans who owe more on their mortgages than their properties are worth , the last person you probably want to hear from is the real estate agent who sold you your home. But if you did business with Austin Realtor Steve Crossland , expect your phone to ring. Almost every customer Steve and his wife, Sylvia, have served in the past 20 years hears from The Crossland Team at least once per year. Sometimes, Steve says, he hears an earful of woe and anxiety. But more often than not, he learns something new that he applies to his thriving Texas real estate company. That’s right, thriving. Though business is down sharply from the boom years of the last decade, Steve and Sylvia are hanging tough in what experts agree is the worst housing market in more than a generation . Steve wishes he could say the same for many of his peers. In case you haven’t heard, a significant number of America’s 1.25 million Realtors live close to the edge . In Texas, where Steve and Sylvia do business, half of the state’s real estate professionals do not renew their licenses every two years as required. Battered by the economy and belittled by critics , many Realtors have simply walked away from the industry. Where have they gone? If your child’s substitute teacher can quickly amortize a 30-year loan at 5 percent without a calculator, you probably have a pretty good idea. But what about people like Steve and Sylvia, who have made real estate their chosen profession? In business for more than 20 years, they are hardly “wave riders” who jump in and out of real estate like some agents. Instead, the Crosslands have made a lifelong commitment to serve their market and customer base alike. In good times and bad, serious Realtors have improved their performance through ongoing efforts to optimize almost everything they do. Twenty years ago, for example, they leveraged desktop publishing tools to produce attractive newspaper advertisements for a fraction of what they previously could. Later, they developed more sophisticated sales techniques and financial lending skills. For a while, optimization worked wonders–and not just for the Crosslands but hundreds of thousands of agents nationwide. But then the bubble burst on the real estate market. Not only were real estate professionals unprepared for the economic calamity that ensued, they were also ill-equipped for the technological revolution and cultural upheaval that followed. “In the past, we held all the keys–literally,” explains Steve Crossland. “We were the ones with access to homes and access to listings through Multiple Listing Services. But new technology challenged our value proposition. Suddenly, anyone could list and market a house online. To make matters worse, the economy turned, promoting some people to question home ownership altogether.” This one-two combination punch sent thousands of Realtors reeling. Those who were able to collect themselves were forced to step back and reassess the value they provided. Much like corporate recruiters and journalists before them, real estate professionals began to realize that they had to reinvent themselves in order to survive. That’s why Steve Crossland began writing a popular Internet blog. More educator than salesman, Crossland has fundamentally changed his approach to selling real estate. Fully aware that he now relies on the very technology that once threatened his profession, he has nevertheless jumped into the new age with both feet. “As it turns out, the Internet did not replace Realtors. But it did force us to look at some things very differently,” he says. “Customers today have too much information and not enough context. So I have found that they need: someone who can advise them. A cool video of a beautiful home doesn’t tell you what the neighborhood is like or the quality of the local schools. A trained real estate consultant can.” To get the most from this latest reinvention, Steve and Sylvia continue to optimize everything they do. Sylvia, for one, makes daily calls to customers old and new. Only this time, she is more keen to share her insights with Steve so he can broadcast them to the rest of the world. By doing both optimization and reinvention, The Crossland Team is carving out a future that some thought to be in doubt. Austin real estate hasn’t been the same since. Inder Sidhu is the Senior Vice President of Strategy & Planning for Worldwide Operations at Cisco , and the author of Doing Both: How Cisco Captures Today’s Profits and Drives Tomorrow’s Growth . Follow Inder on Twitter at @indersidhu .

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Video: Alpert Says Fed May Seek More Stringent Rules Than Basel: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Daniel Alpert, managing partner at Westwood Capital LLC, talks with Bloomberg’s Julie Hyman and Mark Crumpton about the outlook for U.S. financial regulations. Alpert also discusses Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s testimony in Congress today and American International Group Inc.’s plan to wind down the government’s stake in the company. (Source: Bloomberg)

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America’s ‘Cheapest Family’: The Economides Share Frugality Tips

September 30, 2010

The Economides, who have been living up to their billing as “America’s Cheapest Family” since 1982, recently published the latest in their series of fun-while-frugal household tips, this time focusing on what is often a budget-buster for families: the grocery store. Their book, “Cut Your Grocery Bill in Half — With America’s Cheapest Family,” is on bookstore shelves now.

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Leo W. Gerard: No Fluke: Republicans Support Off-Shoring Jobs

September 30, 2010

Like the clear results on a pH test strip, the vote in the U.S. Senate this week on the Creating American Jobs and Ending Off-Shoring Act showed Republicans’ true color: Red. Red for China. Or Mexico. Or Indonesia. Or anywhere multi-national corporations get tax breaks for exporting American jobs. In this test of loyalty, every Republican in the Senate voted for corporate greed over American workers. No fluke, this is a GOP pattern. The red party has consistently sided with giant corporations to the detriment of the American economy and American workers. In voting against health care reform, Republicans chose giant health insurance corporations over uninsured Americans. In opposing financial reform, Republicans embraced Wall Street over the taxpayers who bailed out the big banks and don’t want to do it again. Republicans vainly attempted to rationalize those votes as opposing government regulation. There’s no regulation issue in the Creating American Jobs and Ending Off-Shoring Act. That Act would have removed tax incentives the U.S. government gives corporations to close domestic factories, fire American workers and move production overseas. And, conversely, the Act would have instituted tax cuts for corporations that return foreign employment to U.S. soil. Every Republican in the Senate voted against the Act. They voted to continue forcing Americans to give tax breaks to corporations that ship jobs overseas during the worst recession since the Great Depression. The GOP said it is right and proper for U.S. citizens to subsidize corporate killing of American manufacturing. And Republicans said it would be wrong to do the opposite — to use tax breaks to encourage corporations to restore off-shored jobs to the U.S. Democrats, whose first priority is American workers, are pushing a 17-bill Make it in America plan. The Creating American Jobs and Ending Off-Shoring Act is part of that effort to bolster domestic industry and employment. With joblessness stuck at 9.6 percent and with the U.S. trade deficit destroying or displacing 5.6 million jobs — 70 percent of them good-paying manufacturing jobs — in just one year – 2007, Democrats developed this plan to preserve American industry and jobs. Recent surveys of likely voters suggest the Democrats’ Make it in American program is exactly what Americans want and believe the country needs. In a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll released earlier this week, 86 percent of respondents cited corporate off-shoring of American jobs as the primary cause of the country’s continuing economic distress. Similarly, a bi-partisan polling team that conducted a survey of likely voters for the Alliance for American Manufacturing in April found large majorities believe manufacturing strength is crucial to U.S. economic security and that the government should fortify American industry. These voters told the pollsters that they believe America no longer leads the world in manufacturing but could again with proper support. That can-do-it attitude is realistic. Already some manufacturers are on-shoring . General Electric is moving production of its energy-efficient water heaters from China to the United States. Caterpillar and NCR, a technology company, are doing the same. A survey in June found 21 percent of North American manufacturers brought production into or closer to the United States in the previous three months and another 38 percent planned to research such a move. Manufacturers gave USA Today numerous reasons for this repatriation. Chinese wages and shipping costs have risen. They cited poor quality foreign manufactured goods; theft of intellectual property; long product delivery times interfering with response to consumer demand, and benefits from providing engineers easy access to assembly lines. The trade publication, Supply Chain Digest , quoted two experts in an August story about the on-shoring trend: “George Stalk, a consultant at Boston Consulting Group, has led research efforts showing the inventory benefits for high margin, fashion-oriented goods from bringing production at least back to North America almost always trump the value of lower manufacturing costs in Asia. Those benefits come from both not losing sales from being out of stock and not getting stuck with obsolete inventory that a company can’t sell or must mark down dramatically.” And, the story quoted Jeremy Leonard, a consultant for Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI: “A lot of companies who have gone there to take advantage of cheap labor are starting to tell us that if you (calculate) total cost and don’t just look at wages, it’s actually not worth it.” Democrats sought to nurture and expand the repatriation trend. But like numerous Make it in America bills passed by the U.S. House, the Creating American Jobs and Ending Off-Shoring Act died at the hands of Senate Republicans. Democrats had the majority with 53 votes for the measure, but Republicans, as they have all year, blocked passage by using a filibuster to require a super-majority of 60. The next test for Republicans will occur Nov. 2. In the mid-term election, Americans red-in-the-face angry at the GOP for extending tax breaks to corporations for expatriating American jobs have the opportunity to show Republican politicians what it feels like to lose a job.

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‘Club Fed’: The Cozy Ties Between Fed And Big Investors

September 30, 2010

The minutes from that same gathering of the powerful Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, are made available to the public — but only after a three-week lag. So [former Fed governor Larry] Meyer’s clients were provided with a glimpse into what the Fed was thinking well ahead of other investors. His note cited the views of “most members” and “many members” as he detailed increasingly sharp divisions among the officials who determine the nation’s monetary policy.

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Video: Jim Davidson Sees Pickup in Technology Acquisitions: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Jim Davidson, co-founder and co-chief executive officer of Silver Lake, discusses the outlook for investing in technology companies and the prospects for mergers and acquisitions in the industry. Davidson speaks with Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness With Margaret Brennan” from the Bloomberg Dealmakers Summit in New York. (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Covance’s Herring Interested in Southern European Market

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Joseph Herring, chief executive officer of Covance Inc., talks about a 10-year, $2.2 billion agreement with Sanofi-Aventis SA, France’s biggest pharmaceutical company, to carry out drug research. He speaks with Andrea Catherwood on Bloomberg Television’s “The Pulse.”

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Video: Ghosn Sees Strong Demand for Leaf Electric Car in U.S.: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Carlos Ghosn, chief executive officer of Renault SA and Nissan Motor Co., talks about the demand outlook for the Leaf electric car. Ghosn, speaking at the Paris Motor Show, also discusses the infrastructure needed to support the electric-car industry and the outlook for auto sales. He speaks with Ryan Chilcote on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Wallison Says AIG Exit Plan Not a Win for U.S. Taxpayers: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Peter Wallison, co-director of financial policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, discusses American International Group Inc.’s agreement with U.S. regulators to repay its bailout by converting the government’s holdings into common shares for sale. Wallison, speaking with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness,” also discusses the potential impact of Republican congressional victories in the midterm elections on the Dodd-Frank Act. (Source: Bloomberg)

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10 Scary New Realities Of Today’s Job Market: Vault.com (PHOTO)

September 30, 2010

By Vault.com : The recession ended in June 2009. Did you notice? Chances are you probably didn’t –e specially if you’ve been looking for a job. The bad news: things aren’t likely to get much better any time soon; current economic growth rates mean the unemployment rate will do well to drop by much more than a single percentage point by the end of 2011. All of that is likely to continue reshaping the employment market, and will affect everything from your ability to conduct a salary negotiation to the pace at which you can expect to climb the ladder–or even get on it in the first place. So what’s a job seeker to do? Vault’s industry and career experts put their heads together and identified a number of key trends that will affect careerists over both the short and medium term. Below are 10 trends reshaping the employment market from Vault.com. For more insight on the jobs, be sure to visit Vault.com

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Video: Ernie Patrikis Says AIG Plan `Beats The Alternative’: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Ernest “Ernie” Patrikis, a partner at White & Case LLP and a former general counsel at American International Group Inc., discusses AIG’s agreement with U.S. regulators to repay its bailout by converting the government’s holdings into common shares for sale. Patrikis speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Hasenstab Says U.S. Vote on Yuan Bill a `Slippery Slope’: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Michael Hasenstab, co-director of international bonds in Franklin Templeton Investment’s fixed-income group, talks about the U.S. House of Representatives passage of a measure that pressures China to appreciate the yuan. Hasenstab, speaking with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop,” also discusses his bond market investment strategy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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David M. Evins Joins Integrated Freight Corporation Management Team

September 30, 2010

Brings Over 15 Years of CFO Experience to IFCR

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Video: Gaytan Says Insurers Shouldn’t Gain From Soldier Deaths: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Peter Gaytan, executive director of the American Legion, discusses concerns over so-called retained-assets accounts used by Prudential Financial Inc. to administer death benefits owed to survivors of U.S. soldiers killed in battle. Insurers have drawn fire from government officials since Bloomberg Markets magazine reported in July that Prudential sent checkbooks instead of checks to survivors requesting lump-sum payments. Gaytan speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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U.S. Economy Grew At ‘Feeble’ Pace In 2Q As Consumers Remained Cautious

September 30, 2010

WASHINGTON — The nation’s economic growth tailed off sharply in the spring and probably isn’t faring any better now. Gross domestic product – the broadest measure of the economy’s health – expanded at a feeble 1.7 percent annual rate in the April-June quarter, The Commerce Department reported Thursday. That’s a notch higher than the 1.6 percent growth rate the government estimated a month ago. The slight change was mostly due to a little more spending by consumers than first estimated. Still, that’s not enough to have a major impact on the economy. The second quarter estimate is a sharp slowdown from a 3.7 percent growth rate logged in the first quarter. Most economists expect growth to be similarly weak in the July-September quarter, with estimates ranging between 1.5 percent and 2 percent. The government’s first report on third quarter GDP will be released Oct. 29. Unemployment – now at 9.6 percent – is expected to stay high or even rise in the coming months. Americans aren’t spending enough to give companies the kind of confidence in the economy that leads to rapid hiring. Consumers did boost their spending in the second quarter at a 2.2 percent pace. It was a tad better than the government’s previous estimate of 2.0. But it is still considered lackluster for this point in the recovery by historical standards. Economists think consumers will spend at a slightly slower pace through the rest of this year. Consumer spending is important because it accounts for roughly 70 percent of economic activity. In the second quarter, Americans saved 5.9 percent of their disposable income, the most in a year. Before the recession, they saved just 2.1 percent. The economy is the top issue heading into the congressional midterm elections. Voter backlash could cause Democrats to lose control of Congress. GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S. The sharp drop off in the second quarter mainly reflected fallout from a bigger trade deficit. A surge in imported goods swamped growth in U.S. exports to other countries. The bigger trade gap that resulted shaved 3.5 percentage points from second quarter growth, the most since 1947. Another major factor in the economy’s slowdown: Businesses added to their stockpiles of goods at a slower pace in the spring, reflecting concerns about the spending appetites of their customers. The economy’s growth has to be much stronger than what the U.S. has been logging to lower unemployment. Under one rule of thumb, the economy would have to expand by at least 5 percent for an entire year to drive down the jobless rate by one percentage point. The Federal Reserve is weighing new action to bolster the economy. One likely step is to buy more government debt. Doing so would be aimed a lowering rates on mortgages, corporate loans and other debt. The Fed’s goal: get Americans to boost their spending, which would strengthen the economy. Thursday’s report also showed that prices – excluding food and energy – rose at a slower pace in the second quarter. They increased at a 1 percent annual rate. That was down from a 1.2 percent in the first quarter and was the slowest pace since the beginning of 2009. One of the things that Fed doesn’t want to see happen is for the weak economy to lead to a dangerous bout of deflation, a widespread drop in prices of goods and services, in wages, and in the value of homes, stocks and other assets. Meanwhile, the GDP report also showed that corporations’ after-tax profits rose at a slower pace in the spring. Less generous profits are likely to make businesses think twice about making big capital purchases or stepping up hiring. When the government reported in late August that the economy’s growth had slowed to just a 1.6 percent pace, it stoked fears the economy might fall back into a recession. Since then, those fears have receded a bit, with reports showing that sales at retailers and activity at factories are holding up. Nonetheless, with the economy so fragile, it is more vulnerable to being hurt by any negative forces. For each quarter, the government makes three estimates of GDP. It revises the figures based on more complete data. Thursday’s was the third and final estimate for the second quarter. The government makes it first estimate of the economy’s third-quarter performance at the end of October.

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Signature Diagnostics Appoints Rainer Kramer to Chief Business Officer and Member of the Management Board

September 30, 2010

POTSDAM, GERMANY–(Marketwire – September 30, 2010) – Signature Diagnostics / Signature Diagnostics Appoints Rainer Kramer to Chief Business Officer and Member of the Management Board processed and transmitted by Hugin AS. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.

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As TARP Ends, Small Banks Still Struggling To Repay

September 30, 2010

Reuters) – The U.S. government’s $700 billion bailout of the financial system has become a form of long-standing aid for many of the nation’s small and regional banks, even as the program officially expires on Sunday. The banks are eager to repay the taxpayer money, but the meek economic recovery has gotten in the way.

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China Housing Market: Government Moves To Curb Lending Again

September 30, 2010

SHANGHAI — China has tightened limits on mortgage lending and plans to roll out a new tax on home sales, acting once again to cool a property market that some fear is frothing into a bubble. The required downpayment for a first home purchases rises to 30 percent, up from 20 percent, while purchases of second homes will require a 50 percent downpayment, up from 40 percent. Loans for purchases of third homes are banned, said the announcement on the government’s website. In line with many investors’ expectations, the government also said it would introduce a trial property tax in some major cities. Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen and Chongqing are expected to be among the cities where the tax will be rolled out first, state media have said. The moves reflect growing unease over the failure of repeated efforts to fully bring under control a property market that has shot out of reach of most ordinary Chinese and is viewed as a threat both to political stability and to the financial system. Though China’s overall economy has entered what many economists are calling a “soft-landing,” with forecasts for roughly 9 percent growth in the last quarter of the year, real estate remains a wild card. “The housing problem affects people’s livelihood and apart from being an economic problem also affects social stability,” the government statement said. “Excessively high housing prices make it difficult for families to find homes, increase financial risks and are an obstacle to coordinated economic development.” Authorities have sought repeatedly to cool the market by discouraging housing purchases for investment purposes, particularly speculative buying, that has helped drive prices out of reach for many city dwellers. The recent gains in the value of China’s currency, the yuan, are also believed to be drawing in illicit flows of investment from overseas, adding to upward pressures on prices. “Together, the yuan’s appreciation and booming housing prices are thought to have contributed to the frothiness in the property market, perhaps risking an inflationary spiral or financial crisis,” said Hui Qiangjian, a senior researcher at E-house R&D Institute in Shanghai. The newest actions followed news that real estate dealings had surged since mid-August, pushing prices higher. Overall, housing prices in 70 major Chinese cities rose 9.3 percent in August from the year before. In some cities prices are spiking to new records: The average price per square meter for an apartment along Beijing’s Fourth Ring Road, on the city’s outskirts, is about 34,000 yuan (nearly $5,100), according to city government statistics. That compares with an average annual per capita income of less than 30,000 yuan ($4,500) and much more modest income of 12,000 yuan ($1,800) per capita for the lowest fifth of urban dwellers. “By putting economic stability ahead of people’s financial gains, the restrictions may, hopefully help cool the prices in the short term,” Hui said. The government is also seeking to discourage property developers from hoarding land, or newly built housing, thus constraining supply, while waiting for prices to rise further. Since worries over what the government might do had been weighing on investor sentiment, the relatively moderate new measures relieved some of that concern, and prompted a round of bargain hunting following recent sell-offs of property shares. Share prices for major developers surged, with Poly Real Estate up 8.9 percent to 12.36 yuan. Industry leader China Vanke jumped 7.6 percent to 8.40 yuan. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, meanwhile, gained 1.7 percent to 2,655.66. ___ Associated Press researcher Ji Chen contributed to this report.

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Video: Meredith Whitney Says U.S. May Face Bailout for States: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Meredith Whitney, founder and chief executive officer of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, discusses her report rating the finances of the 15 largest U.S. states. Whitney, speaking with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop,” says the U.S. government may face a bailout for states over the next 12 months. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Meredith Whitney Says U.S. May Face Bailout for States: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Meredith Whitney, founder and chief executive officer of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, discusses her report rating the finances of the 15 largest U.S. states. Whitney, speaking with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop,” says the U.S. government may face a bailout for states over the next 12 months. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Molycorp’s Smith SeeModerate Growth in Rare-Earth Demand: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Mark A. Smith, chief executive officer of Molycorp Inc., discusses the outlook for rare-earth metals demand and the U.S. economy. Molycorp is owner of the world’s largest non-Chinese deposit of rare-earth metals. Smith talks with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (This report is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Molycorp’s Smith SeeModerate Growth in Rare-Earth Demand: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Mark A. Smith, chief executive officer of Molycorp Inc., discusses the outlook for rare-earth metals demand and the U.S. economy. Molycorp is owner of the world’s largest non-Chinese deposit of rare-earth metals. Smith talks with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (This report is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Envision Solar Announces Desmond Wheatley as President and Chief Operating Officer

September 30, 2010

Industry Veteran Joins Envision Executive Team

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Video: U.S. Jobless Claims Fell 16,000 to 453,000 Last Week: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits decreased last week, a sign companies are cutting back on firings even as economic growth slows. Initial jobless claims decreased by 16,000 to 453,000 in the week ended Sept. 25, lower than the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. ¶ Separately, the U.S. economy grew at a 1.7 percent annual rate in the second quarter, marking the start of a slowdown in growth that has concerned the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg’s Betty Liu and Michael McKee repot. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: U.S. Jobless Claims Fell 16,000 to 453,000 Last Week: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits decreased last week, a sign companies are cutting back on firings even as economic growth slows. Initial jobless claims decreased by 16,000 to 453,000 in the week ended Sept. 25, lower than the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. ¶ Separately, the U.S. economy grew at a 1.7 percent annual rate in the second quarter, marking the start of a slowdown in growth that has concerned the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg’s Betty Liu and Michael McKee repot. (Source: Bloomberg)

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BIOLASE Announces Appointment of Chief Executive Officer

September 30, 2010

Search Is Commenced for Chief Financial Officer / Chief Operating Officer Position

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Video: Tennenbaum Says $50 Bln of Distressed Debt Could Default: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Michael Tennenbaum, founder of Tennenbaum Capital Partners LLC, discusses the outlook for distressed debt. Tennenbaum says $50 billion of distressed debt could default in the next two years, creating opportunities to take control of companies. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Tennenbaum Says $50 Bln of Distressed Debt Could Default: Video

September 30, 2010

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — Michael Tennenbaum, founder of Tennenbaum Capital Partners LLC, discusses the outlook for distressed debt. Tennenbaum says $50 billion of distressed debt could default in the next two years, creating opportunities to take control of companies. (Source: Bloomberg)

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