September 2010

Video: Garrabrant Sees Opportunities in Mexico Despite Crime: Video

September 29, 2010

Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) — Gary Garrabrant, chief executive officer of Equity International, discusses his company’s real estate investments in Mexico and strategy in Brazil. Garrabrant speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Al Norman: South African Unions: Wal-Mart "One of Worst Companies in the world."

September 29, 2010

Organized Labor Vows To Fight American Retailer by Al Norman It was hardly the graceful entrance into South Africa that Wal-Mart had hoped for. As soon as the U.S-based retailer announced this week that it was in talks to buy the South African Massmart chain, the deal was trashed by prominent unions in South Africa. In a press release dated September 28th, the Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU), which claims to represent nearly 2 million workers, referred to Wal-Mart as “one of the worst and stubbornly anti-union companies in the world.” COSATU compiled the following list of union grievances against Wal-Mart: • Wal-Mart is a known anti-union company with training and toolkits for managers to keep the workplace union-free. • It took almost fifty years for workers to successfully get Wal-Mart to recognize a union at one of their US outlets. • It has closed down departments and stores in North America where workers have successfully unionized themselves. • By July 2008 the company faced more than 80 lawsuits in connection with wages, overtime and hours violations, most of it class actions, with more than 10,000 workers affected in many of the cases. • It currently faces the largest class action on discrimination of women with more than 1.5 million women workers being part of the action. • It pays women less then men and women are less likely to be promoted than male workers. • It has been in court for racial discrimination against African-Americans truck drivers and Muslim employees of West African origin. • In the 2008 US Presidential elections it was exposed to have actively co-erced their employees not to vote for Obama – the reason, Obama will make it easy to for unions to get into the workplace. • It has been listed in Human Rights Watch reports for its aggressiveness of its anti-union activities. • In the US, wage levels at Wal-Mart has been found to be between 26% -37% lower than the national average. • In 2008 it was fined 2 billion US dollars for more than two million wage related violations. • Recently it was compelled to pay 34 million US dollars in unpaid back wages. • Today in the US, it still represents the main opposition to a bi-partisan Free Choice Act that will allow workers to form and join unions easier. • It conducts illegal surveillance on its employees to root out any attempts to unionisation. In addition to anti-union activities, COSATU warned of Wal-Mart’s economic impacts on the fragile economy of South Africa. “It is not only the anti-union attitude that concerns us, also the impact that the general operations of Wal-Mart have on local economies, distributors, suppliers and manufacturers,” COSATU wrote. “While Wal-Mart has been touted as the cheapest retail outlets, new studies increasingly show that basket comparisons between Wal-Mart and competitors show the opposite, and this has seen a shrinking of its market share in the US, their biggest market. This might be one of the considerations for this move into Africa.” “Wal-Mart has become so powerful, COSATU notes, “that it dictates to their suppliers at what price they (are) prepared to buy goods, and (business) failures have seen many suppliers, distributors and manufacturers going down. But more important, this `reverse auction` relationship it has with suppliers has seen not only the collapse of local manufacturing in many instances, but has also fueled the use of child labor and extreme low wage labor in other parts of the world where they source their goods from, like Guatemala and Bangladesh.” COSATU fears that a Wal-Mart take-over of Massmart will be a major setback for the local manufacturing movement in South Africa. “If this deal goes through,” COSATU says, “it will be a severe blow to all our intentions and attempts to build and develop local manufacturing, it will be a set-back for our buy local campaign and can lead to further increased unemployment not only in wholesale and retail, but also in other sectors of the economy.” COSATU, which was founded in 1985, say only a few executives at Massmart will profit from the American takeover . “Why would the management tout this as a great deal?” the union asks. ” Who are to benefit? Not the economy, not the workers, not even some of the shareholders, but top management and only those with astronomical amounts of shares. Top management will not only make millions from the sale but will immediately after the sale be offered large amounts of shares. Really, if anybody is to gain it will be the same top management that will try and sell the deal to its shareholders and the country as a great investment.” The Wal-Mart offer has also drawn fire from the South African Commercial, Catering and Allied Workers Union (SACCAWU), which said Wal-Mart’s business model of procuring from other countries would undermine the precarious local manufacturing industry in South Africa. “For sometime now, SACCAWU has not only anticipated this intention of Wal-Mart but we have also actively participated in international campaigns against Wal-Mart…Thus, a takeover of Massmart by Wal-Mart is a matter of serious concern to the SACCAWU.” “We as SACCAWU, will not allow any erosion of workers rights and benefits gained over decades through bitter struggles,” the union promises. “We will not be silent and watch the destruction of local procurement polices we are fighting for, we will not allow further destruction of the local manufacturing go unchallenged.” But how will these unions stop Wal-Mart? SACCAWU says that it will ask the public to support a “campaign against Walmartisation” of the sector, and if need be, will ask the government’s Competitions Commissions and Minister of Economic Development “to ensure that a deal so hostile to national interests and the developmental objectives of our country is not undermined.” In effect, organized labor is threatening to extend their ant-Wal-Mart campaign “to the entire labor movement and civil society of the country.” “We will not sit-back,” the unions say, “but (will) engage in a determined fight-back including calling on our international allies to support this struggle.” Wal-Mart has told the South African media that it contacted COSATU and SACCAWU leaders several days ago to discuss the takeover bid. Business Day quoted Wal-Mart International as saying, “We respect and honor pre-existing union relationships and are committed to abiding by South African labor laws.” That will be of little comfort to the scrappy unions of this African nation. With same store sales in the U.S. in negative numbers, and local site fights extenuating their production of new stores in America, Wal-Mart is increasingly dependent on international sales to keep its enterprise afloat. The retailer’s standard form of entering a new market is to partner with, or takeover, an indigenous company as cover. Massmart becomes the vehicle to open up Wal-Mart markets to nearly 1 billion African consumers. The business media is already predicting a ‘lengthy battle’ for the wallets of South African consumers. By announcing its official plans now, Wal-Mart has turned over a very unpleasant union rock. Al Norman is the founder of Sprawl-Busters, and the author of The Case Against Wal-Mart.

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Video: Lardy Calls U.S.’s China Currency Policy `A Risky Road’: Video

September 29, 2010

Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) — Nicholas Lardy, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, discusses China currency legislation being considered by Congress. The House of Representatives may vote on the legislation, which would let U.S. companies bring trade complaints against importers of products that benefit from a weak Chinese currency, as soon as today. Lardy speaks from Washington with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Dean Baker: Bankers Running Wild: Foreclosure Flurry in Florida

September 29, 2010

Virtually everyone has had the experience of being forced to pay a late fee or a bank penalty because of some fine print provision that we overlooked. Sometimes begging by good customers can win forbearance, but usually we are held to the written terms of the contract no matter how buried or convoluted the clause in question may be. That is the way it works for the rest of us, but apparently this is not the way the banks do business, at least when those at the other end of the contract are ordinary homeowners. As a number of news reports have shown in recent weeks, banks have been carrying through foreclosures at a breakneck pace and freely ignoring the legal niceties required under the law, such as demonstrating clear ownership to the property being foreclosed. The problem is that when mortgages got sliced and diced into various mortgage-backed securities it became difficult to follow who actually held the title to the home. Often the bank that was servicing the mortgage did not actually have the title and may not even know where the title is. As a result, if a homeowner stopped paying their mortgage, the servicer may not be able to prove that they actually have a claim to the property. If the servicer followed the law on carrying through foreclosures then it would have to go through a costly and time-consuming process of getting its paperwork in order and ensuring that it actually did have possession of the title before going to a judge and getting a judgment that would allow them to take possession of the property. Instead banks got in the habit of skirting the proper procedures and filling in forms inaccurately and improperly in order to take possession of properties. GMAC, the former financing arm of GM, has become the poster child for these sorts of practices. Jeffrey Stephan, a leader of one of its foreclosure units, acknowledged that he had signed thousands of affidavits claiming that he had reviewed documents that he had never seen. In addition to being a major subprime lender during the heyday of the housing bubble, GMAC — following its collapse last year — also has the notoriety of being primarily owned by the federal government. This fact may ensure greater accountability at GMAC, but there is no reason to believe that its practices are qualitatively different than those of other servicers carrying through foreclosures. The basic point is that the banks foreclosing on homes don’t feel that they should be held to the letter of the law like ordinary people. As we approach the two-year anniversary of the Troubled Asset Relief Program it is certainly understandable that the big banks would think that the laws that apply to others don’t apply to them. After all, the lesson of the TARP was that when the banks got themselves into trouble with their reckless lending, the taxpayers would come to the rescue with whatever loans and guarantees were needed to keep them in business. In fact, many of the bankers who were begging Congress for below-market loans two years ago are now bragging about having paid back the money with interest. This should prompt ridicule. Instead, all the reporters and columnists who were too thick to see an $8 trillion housing bubble are repeating the banks’ lines and telling us how happy we should be about the bailouts. In the financial crisis of two years ago, these banks would have been forced to pay enormous interest rates to borrow money in private markets. This would have pushed most of them into bankruptcy. Instead, the Treasury and the Fed gave them money at near-zero cost. This was an enormous subsidy that allowed them to stay in business. It’s nice that the banks tossed us a few nickels in interest, but the taxpayers preserved trillions of dollars in wealth for their shareholders, top executives and creditors. We would have a very different economy, with a very different wealth distribution, if we had allowed the magic of the market to do its work on the financial industry. But, that’s history. The current issue is whether we will again grant special treatment to the financial industry by allowing them to skirt the legal procedures required for foreclosures. In the land of endless affirmative action for the rich, the smart money is on the banks. After all, huge multi-national banks can’t be expected to read all the fine print that binds the rest of us. This post originally appeared at The Guardian .

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Video: MIT’s Johnson Says Obama Needs Weaker Dollar: Video

September 29, 2010

Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) — Simon Johnson, a professor at Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Sloan School of Management and a Bloomberg News columnist, discusses his commentary that the U.S. economy can recover quickly and jobs can return faster than expected if the dollar now depreciates. Johnson talks with Deirdre Bolton and Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Plateau Systems Appoints Industry Veteran Jay O’Connor to Board of Directors

September 29, 2010

Former NetSuite Executive Joins Industry’s Leading SaaS Talent Management Provider

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Cornerstone OnDemand to launch $115m IPO

September 29, 2010

Cornerstone OnDemand to launch $115m IPO

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Japanese automakers expected to increase overseas production

September 29, 2010

Japanese automakers expected to increase overseas production

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European Commission proposes new budget rules

September 29, 2010

European Commission proposes new budget rules

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Boeing bags $5.2b contract from US navy

September 29, 2010

Boeing bags $5.2b contract from US navy

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Vietnam sees 12.7% decline in FDI

September 29, 2010

Vietnam sees 12.7% decline in FDI

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MindTree to launch 3G smartphone in US

September 29, 2010

MindTree to launch 3G smartphone in US

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Indian consumer confidence falls

September 29, 2010

Indian consumer confidence falls

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Air Products to supply Malaysia’s photovoltaic market with turnkey contract

September 29, 2010

Air Products to supply Malaysia’s photovoltaic market with turnkey contract

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Big 4 challenge Google’s position as the world’s most attractive employer

September 29, 2010

Big 4 challenge Google’s position as the world’s most attractive employer

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AOL acquires 5min Media

September 29, 2010

AOL acquires 5min Media

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EU allows Foxconn to buy Dell unit

September 29, 2010

EU allows Foxconn to buy Dell unit

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Aries Waaree solar bags a 40MW power plant order from Adani Group

September 29, 2010

Aries Waaree solar bags a 40MW power plant order from Adani Group

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Stronger majors during the Asian session

September 29, 2010

Stronger majors during the Asian session

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GrowMax completes Potash pre-feasibility study for its Bayovar, Peru project

September 29, 2010

GrowMax completes Potash pre-feasibility study for its Bayovar, Peru project

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Passlogix v-GO simplifies, secures access to cloud computing

September 29, 2010

Passlogix v-GO simplifies, secures access to cloud computing

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Itau Unibanco, China Unionpay sign agreement

September 29, 2010

Itau Unibanco, China Unionpay sign agreement

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Washington awards $5.3b defense contract to Boeing

September 29, 2010

Washington awards $5.3b defense contract to Boeing

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Australia new home sales down 2.6% in August

September 29, 2010

Australia new home sales down 2.6% in August

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Air-India Express to shift base to Kerala

September 29, 2010

Air-India Express to shift base to Kerala

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Why the ‘rise in crimes against Muslims’ becoming a dangerous fact?

September 29, 2010

Why the ‘rise in crimes against Muslims’ becoming a dangerous fact?

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South Korea to resume diary exports

September 29, 2010

South Korea to resume diary exports

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British economy grows 1.2% in Q2

September 29, 2010

British economy grows 1.2% in Q2

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Russia to cut farm subsidies after 2012

September 29, 2010

Russia to cut farm subsidies after 2012

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Talking Non-Traded REITs With Nick Schorsch of American Realty Capital

September 29, 2010

Both publicly traded and so-called private real estate investment trusts (REITs) have been fairly aggressive in raising and deploying capital in the current market. But few have been as aggressive as Nicholas S. Schorsch, chairman and chief executive…

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Signet Appoints Michael W. Barnes as Chief Executive Officer

September 29, 2010

HAMILTON, BERMUDA–(Marketwire – September 29, 2010) – Signet Jewelers Limited (“Signet”) ( NYSE : SIG ) ( LSE : SIG ) today announced that it has appointed Michael (“Mike”) Barnes as Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) with effect from January 30, 2011. He will join Signet on December 1, 2010 as Chief Executive Officer Designate and will be based in Akron, Ohio. He succeeds Terry Burman who will retire, as previously announced, on January 29, 2011.

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Signet Appoints Michael W. Barnes as Chief Executive Officer

September 29, 2010

HAMILTON, BERMUDA–(Marketwire – September 29, 2010) – Signet Jewelers Limited (“Signet”) ( NYSE : SIG ) ( LSE : SIG ) today announced that it has appointed Michael (“Mike”) Barnes as Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) with effect from January 30, 2011. He will join Signet on December 1, 2010 as Chief Executive Officer Designate and will be based in Akron, Ohio. He succeeds Terry Burman who will retire, as previously announced, on January 29, 2011.

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VXi Mourns Passing of Founder and Chairman Dodge Morgan

September 29, 2010

The Sailor, Journalist and Entrepreneur Was 78

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David Isenberg: Different Strokes for Different PMC Users

September 29, 2010

A student thesis paper published in March by the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School examines problems that states face when using private military companies (PMCs) and possible solutions for solving those problems. The paper is Regulation of Private Military Companies in Iraq by Nihat Dumlupinar. Dumlupinar’s argument is that the problems and their solutions are not the same for all states. They change mainly because of the capability of state institutions such as the Ministry of Defense, national laws, and public armed forces. For that reason, the problems and solutions are examined from the aspect of two types of states: strong state and weak state. The use of PMC in Iraq represents both. The goal of his thesis is to answer such questions as: Which theory of civil military relations can be a guide for regulating PMCs from the aspects of control, effectiveness and efficiency? What are the main challenges of the U.S. as a strong state and of Iraq as a weak state? Echoing the work of academics such ad Deborah Avant he finds that the solutions for regulation mainly depend on the capabilities of national institutions, which affect the principal-agent relations between states and PMCs. Weak states, such as Iraq, are more vulnerable to the challenges PMCs cause than strong states such as the U.S. Moreover, weak states do not have sufficient capacity to solve the problems in the near future, except by putting limitations on foreign PMCs and operational functions. In contrast, strong states have the capacity for solving these problems. They need political will, however, to do so. Moreover, international regulation is an indispensible element for effective regulation over private military industry due to the industry’s transnational feature. Although his subject has been dealt with before he makes points worth considering. First, in the literature, there is no clear definition of private military companies (PMCs). Even in international legal documents, there are almost no definitions of PMCs. In summer 2009, an international attempt to draft a convention on defining and regulating PMCs was made by a working group in the United Nations Commission on Human Rights. Second, in addition to benefits, the use of PMC in Iraq also had costs for both the U.S. and Iraq. The main challenges for the U.S. are: (1) A decreasing international reputation due to the immunity of PMCs in Iraq. (2) The unclear definition of “Inherently Governmental Functions” and non-transparent nature of private military contracts harm the legitimacy of outsourcing military functions, and in turn, this harms the values of democracy. (3) Wasting of taxpayers’ dollars due to uncompetitive contracting and cost-reimbursement contracts and also due to insufficient oversight on contracts. (4) Negative effects on military functions due to the unreliability of PMCs. As for Iraq, the main challenges are related to the survival of democratic Iraq. These are: (1) PMCs (especially operational functions) impose an important threat to the sovereignty of Iraq. (2) The use of PMCs will be an obstacle in the development progress of Iraqi Security forces (ISF). (3) PMCs may be a good opportunity for ethnic groups to be armed. And this, in turn, may create a security dilemma between the factions. Third, in regard to regulation of PMC he finds that that neither self-regulation nor a complete ban can be a solution for the regulation of PMCs. They are so integrated into the military operations of states (especially strong states), that such states cannot give up using PMCs without experiencing significant difficulties. Dumlupinar’s solution is A registration and licensing system that is supported by national laws can be effective for all types of states. However, specific characteristics of a system must be different according to the types of states (strong or weak). Moreover, national regulations cannot be sufficient without international support because of the transnational nature of the PMI. An international institution under the command of an international organization must be established. The main activity of this institution should be to serve as a guide for all states on regulating and contracting. Moreover, international laws must support the regulation systems by organizing juridical responsibilities of states in cases of unlawful behavior of PMCs and their employees . On the issue of cost effectiveness: Because of high level of uncertainties in the environment that PMCs function, their contracts are often cost-reimbursement contracts. For example, according to a Government Accountability Office (GAO) report, in Iraq, the U.S. government has primarily used cost-reimbursement type contracts in which the government has agreed to reimburse the companies for “all reasonable and allowable costs incurred in performing the work.” Cost-reimbursement contracts include: cost contracts, cost-sharing contracts, cost-plus-incentive-fee contracts, cost-plus-award fee contracts and cost-plus fixed fee contracts. According to Grasso, in 2005, the U.S. government spent $110 billion dollars for cost-plus contracts of which nearly half ($52 billion) were cost-plus-award-fee contracts. In these contracts, the private contractors’ fees increase with contract costs. As stated by Grasso, “Increased costs means increased fees to contractors. There is no incentive for the contractor to limit the government’s costs.”With regard to this point, Schreier and Caparini argue that “the contractor’s profit is a percentage of their costs, thus giving them an incentive to keep those costs high – which is hardly a recipe for efficiency or rigor.” Finally, in his conclusion, Dumlupinar offers a recommendation I’ve not seen before. Speaking on options for the Iraq government: First of all, due to an insufficient state capacity (weak institutions), Iraq must seek to limit the presence of PMCs, especially foreign PMCs, in Iraq. In particular, after the withdrawal of the United States, the first goal of the Iraqi government must be to limit the numbers of foreign PMCs operating in Iraq, because, as stated above, foreign PMCs impose an important threat to Iraq’s sovereignty. There are two options for Iraq to limit the presence of foreign PMCs in Iraq: a complete ban of the functions of foreign PMCs in Iraq; and a fee or taxation system in which the amount can be changed according to the type of functions. The first option is not possible, because as mentioned above, the need for PMCs will be higher after the withdrawal of the U.S. troops, and because the numbers and capacities of local PMCs are insufficient by now. Thus, a fee or taxation system, as opposed to banning them, seems more feasible. Furthermore, a limit on individual non-Iraqi employees is also required in Iraq. Again, a defined fee for each non-Iraqi contractor can be an option for this purpose. A taxation system on foreign PMCs and foreign employees will have two positive results. First, potential clients of PMCs will tend to hire local PMCs because they can be controlled easier than foreign PMCs. Second PMCs, in turn, will tend to hire Iraqi contractors and this tendency will provide employment for Iraqis.

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Indicators Show Moribund View of Present, Future Construction Activity

September 29, 2010

The Architecture Billings Index (ABI), a barometer of future construction activity, rose for a third straight month in August. However, the widely watched index still suggests weak demand for new construction into late 2011, while real-time indicators…

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Lisa Mirza Grotts: Workplace Etiquette: Be Your Best at Work

September 29, 2010

Treating your colleagues with respect can gain you a winning edge and create a win-win situation for everyone at the office. Here are some basic rules of etiquette in the office and at office parties. • Have respect for those around you, and show a keen interest in your position. • Familiarize yourself with the protocols of your office. • Personal problems should be kept out of the office. It’s unprofessional to discuss such matters at work. • Romantic liaisons at the workplace can become very sticky. Need I say more? • Salaries should not be discussed with colleagues. If you are congratulated on a raise or promotion, your response requires only two words: Thank you! • Be aware of your body language in social interactions. For example, turning a shoulder and speaking with your body at an angle may suggest Get away from me. Instead, face the other person and make eye contact, which says I’d like to get to know you. • Greet visitors to your office while standing at the door or in front of your desk, never while seated behind it. • For meetings or interviews, place two chairs in front of your desk: one for you and your guest. This method presents you both as equals. • Remember the theory of mutual respect. If your visitor stands, you stand, etc. • Be respectful and courteous at all times. • Always ask before you borrow anything. Office Party Etiquette • Don’t be a wallflower. Make a point of talking to other people rather than waiting for them to come to you. • Do mingle with other employees, especially ones you don’t know. • Don’t drink too much. Less is more when it comes to alcohol and the office. • Do take small portions if at a buffet. You can always go back for seconds. Also, eat first, then mingle. This will cut down on possibly spilling food on your clothes and ruining your cocktail attire. • Do keep your drink in your left hand if possible. This way you don’t have to transfer your drink when shaking hands, and you won’t shock the other person with a cold hand. • Do remember to thank your boss when leaving the party and follow it up with a handwritten thank-you note. You can save a stamp by hand delivering it the next day. • Do dress in a presentable manner. It’s better to be overdressed than to dress too casually. If you are unsure of what to wear, ask your boss ahead of time. • Don’t show up for a party at 8 P.M. if the invitation reads 6 to 8 P.M. Arrive on the early side, as speeches generally take place early on and you don’t want to miss being thanked by the boss for all your hard work! Lisa Mirza Grotts is a recognized etiquette expert and the author of A Traveler’s Passport to Etiquette. She is a former director of protocol for the City & County of San Francisco and the founder of The AML Group ( www.AMLGroup.com ), certified etiquette and protocol consultants. Her clients range from Cornell University and Microsoft to Nordstrom, KPMG and Stanford Hospital. She has been quoted by The Sunday Times, InStyle Magazine, the San Francisco Chronicle, USA Today and the Los Angeles Times. She has appeared on various radio and television stations, such as ABC, CBS, and Fox News. To learn more about Lisa, follow her on www.Twitter.com/LisaGrotts and www.Facebook.com/LisaGrotts.

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COPT Pays $119M for 345,736-SF Office Portfolio in DC

September 29, 2010

Corporate Office Properties Trust made its first purchase in the Capitol Riverfront area of Washington, DC, with the acquisition of Maritime Plaza I and II for $119 million, or approximately $344 per square foot. Investcorp International Inc. sold the…

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Geir Haarde, Iceland Ex-PM, Indicted For Role In Financial Crisis

September 29, 2010

REYKJAVIK, Iceland — Iceland’s former Prime Minister Geir Haarde has been referred to a special court in a move that could make him the first world leader to be charged in connection with the global financial crisis. After a heated debate Tuesday, lawmakers voted 33-30 to refer charges to the court against Haarde for allegedly failing to prevent Iceland’s 2008 financial crash – a crisis that sparked protests, toppled the government and brought the economy to a standstill by collapsing its currency. Haarde faces up to two years in jail if found guilty. The court, which could dismiss the charges, has never before convened in Iceland’s history. A hearing date has not yet been set. Haarde, ex-leader of the Independence Party, is no longer in parliament and stepped down from office last year following widespread protests and treatment for esophageal cancer. “I will answer all charges before the court and I will be vindicated.” Haarde, 59, told the Icelandic Broadcaster RUV. “I have a clean slate. This charge borders on political persecution.” Iceland, a volcanic island with a population of just 320,000, went from economic wunderkind to fiscal basket case almost overnight when the credit crunch took hold. After dizzying economic growth that saw banks and companies in this tiny Nordic nation snap up assets around the world for a decade, the global financial crisis wreaked political and economic havoc in Iceland. Its banks collapsed in October 2008. Unemployment has soared since then and the country has lurched from crisis to crisis. In April, an eruption at Iceland’s Eyjafjallajokull volcano triggered a giant ash cloud that disrupted global air travel for weeks and later restricted travel to and from the island nation. In the same month, a report into the banking collapse accused Haarde and the central bank chief of acting with “gross negligence” in allowing the financial sector to overheat without adequate oversight. The 2,300-page government-commissioned report detailed a litany of mistakes made in the lead-up to the bank meltdown. Pall Hreinsson, the supreme court judge appointed to head the Special Investigation Commission that issued the report, singled out seven former officials including Haarde and central bank chief David Oddsson for particular criticism. No other officials besides Haarde were referred for prosecution to the court on Tuesday. Lawmakers decided Tuesday not to charge three other former ministers, which angered some who felt the blame extended beyond Haarde. “You could say that all of the four former ministers should have been charged or none at all,” says Thorkell Sigvaldason, 35, a university student. “But on the other hand, Geir Haarde was the leader and sometimes they have to pay for the mistakes of their men.” Teacher Bragi Johannnsson, 41, agreed that all four should face charges. He said the laws are too lenient and must be toughened. “I think there is a need for reform on the laws on politicians,” he said. Haarde has blamed the banks in the past, and said he felt government officials and regulatory authorities tried their best to prevent the crisis. The report found that the country’s three leading banks – Glitnir, Kaupthing and Landsbanki – got too big and overwhelmed the financial system when they ran into trouble with excessive risk-taking. By the time the banks dropped in a domino-like sequence within a week of one another in October 2008, the banking sector had grown to dwarf the rest of the economy by around nine times. In one major blunder detailed in the report, staff at the Icelandic central bank forgot to extend a $500 million loan agreement, reached in March 2008, with the Bank of International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland. A belated attempt to receive an extension was not granted by the international bank. The report said that it was a key error at a time when few things were more important than building up Iceland’s foreign currency reserves. The central bank then turned to the Bank of England in April 2008, seeking a currency swap agreement. Mervyn King, the British central bank’s governor, refused, but offered to help Iceland to reduce the size and burden of its banking sector. Iceland rejected the offer at the time. Before Haarde was prime minister, he also held the posts of finance minister and foreign minister. The special court will consist of 15 members – five supreme court justices, a district court president, a constitutional law professor and eight people chosen by parliament every six years.

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Dan Solin: Higher Returns. Lower Risk.

September 29, 2010

Defining the holy grail of investing is easy. Achieving it is hard. I define it as additional returns without greater risk. Most investors don’t appreciate that increased returns typically involve more risk. You can get a higher return on lower rated bonds, but the risk of default is higher. There’s no free lunch. Or is there? Here’s an example of an exception to the rule. A small community bank offers a higher interest rate on its Certificate of Deposit than a large national bank. Both banks are FDIC insured and the amount of your deposit is within FDIC coverage guidelines. By purchasing the higher interest rate CD, you have obtained more return, but have incurred no additional risk. Here’s another anomaly I recently discovered. I was asked by a wealthy prospective client to put together a laddered portfolio of low cost, bond index funds. The client was adamant that he wanted no exposure to the stock market, because he is concerned about the risk. A laddered portfolio staggers the maturity date of the bonds. When the bonds mature, the investor can reinvest the proceeds, taking into consideration the interest rate climate at the time. I had suggested to the client that he read The Big Short , by Michael Lewis. It’s my belief that anyone who reads that book would never do business with any broker, and would be especially terrified of purchasing individual bonds. I also referred him to excellent study from Vanguard which explained why bond investors should use bond funds and not individual bonds. Among the advantages of bond funds noted were diversification, cash-flow treatment, liquidity and costs. To those benefits I would add honesty and transparency, both of which are in short supply at your brokerage firm. He was persuaded by this data, but here’s what neither of us expected. We built a ten year ladder of very high quality, low cost, passively managed, bond funds and ran the returns for the period from January, 1973 to August, 2010. We wanted to measure the returns over a significant period of time so they would be representative. This laddered bond portfolio had an annualized return of 6.71%, with a risk (as measured by standard deviation) of 4.27%. Standard deviation measures volatility of a portfolio (or stock or bond). It shows how much variation there is from the “average” over a given period of time. A low standard deviation means the portfolio measure is unlikely to deviate significantly from its average, based on historical data. While standard deviation is not predictive, it is a useful historical measurement of risk. This data told us the ten year laddered bond portfolio we constructed had a very decent annualized return, with low risk. We wanted to find out what would happen if we added a globally diversified portfolio of low cost, passively managed, stock funds to the mix. The stock portion would make up only 15% of the portfolio. We reduced the bond ladder to five years. Here’s what we found: The annualized returns increased to 7.16% and the risk decreased to 3.72%! For those who believe I have cherry picked the numbers, or used an unrealistically long time period, I ran the returns for this portfolio for the past ten years, which is often incorrectly referred to as “the lost decade.” The portfolio had an annualized return of 4.14%, with an annualized standard deviation of 2.74%. An investment of $50,000 grew to $75,250.68. Nothing was “lost.” How can that be? We added a riskier asset class which we expect would increase returns, but it should also have increased risk. It didn’t. The explanation can be found in Modern Portfolio Theory , the Nobel Prize winning work of Harry Markowitz, which explained how to construct optimal portfolios for a given amount of risk. It’s possible to achieve decent returns with relatively low risk. A portfolio of 100% bonds may not be less risky than a portfolio with a small exposure to the global stock markets. Don’t expect to get this advice from your broker. The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog. Here is the trailer for my new book, Timeless Investment Advice .

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Video: Cheever Says Ad Clients Expect Great Ideas, Value: Video

September 29, 2010

Sept. 28 (Bloomberg) — Claudine Cheever, executive vice president at Saatchi & Saatchi, discusses the advertising industry. She speaks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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IMF Chief: World Recovery Sluggish, Job Market Still Worrisome

September 29, 2010

WASHINGTON — The head of the International Monetary Fund says that while the global economy is recovering at a sluggish pace, the recovery remains uncertain because of the risk that not enough jobs will be created to make the rebound secure. Dominique Strauss-Kahn said he is optimistic about the outlook for the United States, the world’s largest economy. A risk remains of a dip back into recession, he said, but it is not substantial. He told a group of reporters Tuesday ahead of next week’s annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank that Asian and Latin American economies are doing well but prospects for some European countries remain uncertain. Still, he said, “There is no good to expect from intervention. History has shown that this kind of intervention does not last long.” Speaking of the global economy, Strauss-Kahn said it would be difficult to say the crisis that began toward the end of 2007 is over until “unemployment is really decreased.” Strauss-Kahn said the risk of a jobless recovery “is still real. Even if the recovery is secure, the question is how many jobs this will provide.” The IMF does not see the risk of a double-dip recession in the United States “as big as some others do,” he said. Strauss-Khan said China and other Asian countries as well as many Latin American countries are maintaining strong rates of growth. He said China’s effort to rebalance its economy away from export-led growth and toward putting more emphasis on strengthening domestic consumption was a “step in the right direction.” On Europe, he said the recovery has not been strong enough and that some countries, particularly Ireland, Spain and Portugal, “were not at the edge of a cliff but still have serious fiscal issues they have to address.” Strauss-Kahn also said he expects a solution soon to a struggle within the 187-nation lending organization over voting shares and board seats. Strauss-Kahn, a former finance minister of France, said European countries understand the need to redistribute power within the IMF and give a stronger voice to developing countries who are playing an increasingly important role in the global economy. These countries and some poorer developing nations have long resented the dominant role that the United States and European nations play within the IMF. The U.S. and European nations founded the IMF after World War II, and its structure and practices reflect their influence and that era. He said the IMF had provided various scenarios to its members on how to resolve the voting shares issue and a solution could come at the annual meeting or at a G-20 conference in South Korea this year. Strauss-Kahn said there ware no guidelines in the fund’s charter for distribution of seats on the 24-member decision-making executive board, and it must be the job of member nations to resolve the issue. Some countries want the nine seats that Europe holds reduced to reflect the declining role of the region in the global economy, but smaller European nations are reluctant to give up their places. In contrast, Australia and South Korea share a seat and are content to continue that arrangement. ___ Online: International Monetary Fund: http://www.imf.org

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Video: Perks, Camp See Opportunity in Dividend Paying Stocks: Video

September 29, 2010

Sept. 28 (Bloomberg) — Edward Perks, a portfolio manager for Franklin Templeton Investments, and James Camp, managing director of fixed income at Eagle Asset Management Inc., talk about their investment strategies, the U.S. bond market and dividend paying stocks. They talk with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Michigan’s Granholm Sees `Bright Spot’ in Renewables: Video

September 29, 2010

Sept. 28 (Bloomberg) — Michigan Governor Jennifer M. Granholm, a Democrat, talks about the outlook for the state’s economy and the U.S. alternative energy industry. Granholm speaks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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