April 2011

GBPUSD and Other Pound Crosses Threaten Breakout Ahead of UK GDP Release

April 26, 2011

GBPUSD and Other Pound Crosses Threaten Breakout Ahead of UK GDP Release

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EU powers push UN council to condemn Syria

April 26, 2011

EU powers push UN council to condemn Syria

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New hurdles for Air India crash compensation

April 26, 2011

New hurdles for Air India crash compensation

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FOREX: Dollar Makes a Weak Attempt at Recovery on Thin Trading Conditions, Encouraging Housing Data

April 26, 2011

FOREX: Dollar Makes a Weak Attempt at Recovery on Thin Trading Conditions, Encouraging Housing Data

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India- Non-Resident Gujaratis take fancy to ‘priority card’

April 26, 2011

India- Non-Resident Gujaratis take fancy to ‘priority card’

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Huawei enters Brazil with USD30b credit

April 26, 2011

Huawei enters Brazil with USD30b credit

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FXBootCamp European Outlook 04/26/2011

April 26, 2011

FXBootCamp European Outlook 04/26/2011

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Netflix Earnings Show Impressive Growth

April 25, 2011

SAN FRANCISCO — Netflix Inc. attracted another 3.6 million customers to its video subscription service in the first quarter, the biggest growth spurt yet in a prosperous run that has established the company as a Hollywood power broker and Wall Street darling. The financial results announced Monday topped analyst forecasts. But management offered a cautious outlook that included a second-quarter earnings projection below analyst estimates. That caused Netflix shares to shed more than 5 percent in Monday’s extended trading. Netflix’s first quarter earnings nearly doubled to $60.2 million, or $1.11 per share, during the first quarter. That was up from $32.3 million, or 59 cents per share, at the same time last year. The performance was 4 cents per share above the average estimate among analysts surveyed by FactSet. Revenue rose 46 percent to $719 million about $13 million above analyst estimates. The company, which is based in Los Gatos, ended March with 23.6 million subscribers in the U.S. and Canada, up from 20 million at the end of 2010. The first-quarter surge left Netflix with more subscribers than long-established pay-TV channels such as CBS Inc.’s Showtime. Netflix charges $8 per month to stream movies and TV shows over high-speed Internet connections. Most customers pay a little more per month so they can also rent DVDS delivered through the mail. The company is trying to nudge its subscribers to stream video more frequently to help lower its postal expenses. In the process, Netflix hopes to free up more money to buy more compelling material for its streaming library, which is currently stocked with more than 20,000 movies and TV shows. Netflix spent $192 million on streaming rights in the first quarter, nearly quadrupling the amount spent at the same time last year. The company’s recent success emboldened Netflix to expand its streaming service outside the U.S. After entering Canada last fall, Netflix plans to begin streaming in another international market that management will identify later this year. The company is so confident about the next step in its expansion that it is already drawing up plans to move into another country early next year. Netflix ended March with 22.8 million subscribers in the U.S. The remaining 800,000 are in Canada. After adding more than 3 million subscribers in each of the last two quarters, Netflix expects its growth to taper off in the spring and summer – typically a tougher time to sell subscriptions because more people are taking vacation and spending more time outside. Netflix thinks it will add 1.3 million to 2.25 million subscribers in the second quarter. The company projected earnings as much as $1.15 per share for the period, below the average analyst estimate of $1.19, according to FactSet. The company’s shares fell $13.50, or 5.4 percent, to $238.17 in extended trading. After tripling last year, Netflix’s stock price had risen more than 40 percent so far this year before the reaction to management’s forecast.

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Richard Kirsch: We’re Not Broke. We’ve Been Robbed!

April 25, 2011

We’re not broke. We’ve been robbed by the super-rich and big corporations who are raking in the cash and running up the deficit. Our economy is still more than twice as large as any other country in the world. With 4% of the world’s population, we generate 24% of its wealth . We spend more on our military than almost all other nations combined and more than twice as much per person on health care as other developed countries. But over the past three decades, the rich have gotten richer while their tax rates have plummeted. While the income of the richest 400 Americans quadrupled — they now have more wealth than the 155 million Americans on the other end — their effective tax rates were cut almost in half . One thing is for sure: corporate America is not broke. Sitting on some two trillion in cash, fattened every quarter by record profits, corporate taxes are at an historic low in terms of the economy and share of federal revenues. And that includes Wall Street, which was rewarded with bailouts, bonuses and bonanza profits for igniting the deepest recession in three-quarters of a century. We’re not broke, but the wealth grab is wrecking our economy. The rich can’t spend enough to keep the economy going. The engine that drives it is a strong middle class. The problem isn’t that we haven’t generated wealth, it’s that we’ve stopped sharing the wealth we’ve generated. If wages had kept up with productivity over the past 30 years, the median wage would be 60% higher than it is now. If income had increased at the same rate for everyone from 1979 to 2006, the average family would make about $10,000 more a year , but the top 1% would make $700,000 less. We’re not broke, but the power grab of the greedy is ruining our democracy. None of this happened by accident, nor is it the inevitable result of globalization and technological change. While the rich gobbled up a bigger chunk of the United States’ economy, that hasn’t been true in other developed countries — including Germany, France and Japan — that face the same economic pressures. Our politicians have been bought off with campaign contributions and wined and dined by lobbyists, many of whom used to work for or serve in Congress. Democracy is increasingly a myth; politicians respond to the policy preferences of the richest 10% and ignore the choices of the rest of us . The result has been tax, spending, financial and trade policies that have resulted in huge deficits and a crumbling middle class. The middle class is not only the engine of our economy, it’s the glue of our democracy. A bigger middle class leads to higher voting rates and lower levels of public corruption. When we believe that the system is stacked against us, we’re more likely to drop out or cheat. It’s no wonder that despite elite celebration of economic recovery, Americans are deeply pessimistic about the future . Much of the public believes that our best days are behind us. And unless we build a movement for change, they will be right. Building a movement for change requires both anger and hope. The story I’ve just told gets people angry. To turn that anger into positive change we need the rest of the story, how we can write a happy ending if we rally together. The fact is, it doesn’t have to be this way. We can make other choices that will lead to shared prosperity, opportunity and security for all and a brighter future for our children. We can create good jobs for everyone in America. There is more than enough vital work to be done, and Americans stand ready and eager to do it. We can create tens of millions of jobs, jobs for a green economy and energy independence, jobs to rebuild our infrastructure and create a new one for the information age, jobs to educate our children and take care of our seniors. We can assure that every job — private and public — pays enough to support a family, with decent wages, health and retirement benefits and family-friendly leave policies. We can create good jobs in America with the right trade, tax, purchasing and financial policies. Each of these are political choices, within our control. We can tame the deficit without sacrificing our future by creating good jobs, increasing taxes on the wealthy and closing corporate tax loopholes, cutting unneeded military spending and controlling health care spending through a system that puts quality ahead of quantity and stops overpayments to drug and health insurance companies. There are real budget proposals in Congress that do all that. We can take our democracy back from the super-wealthy and big corporations if we create a real movement for change. We need to embed the reforms necessary for restoring our democracy — public financing of elections, slamming the revolving door shut between Congress and corporate lobbyists, a Supreme Court that has the common sense to see that money is not speech and corporations are not people — in the movement to create shared prosperity and opportunity for all. We’re not broke, but we have been impoverished by an “on-your-own” ideology that denies the best in us. At the end, this is a question of what we believe. When you stood in school and took the pledge of allegiance, was it a pledge for liberty and justice for the few, for the super-rich? Or was it a pledge for liberty and justice for all? That’s the pledge I remember taking: liberty and justice in an America that works for all. Cross-posted from New Deal 2.0 .

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Susan Buchanan: Oyster Growers Say Post-Spill Assistance Is Inadequate

April 25, 2011

(This article was published in “The Louisiana Weekly” in the April 25, 2011 edition.) African American oystermen in Louisiana’s lower Plaquemines Parish, where beds are damaged, are a tenacious bunch and don’t intend to abandon their livelihoods and seek work elsewhere if they can help it. After a disastrous year since the spill, they’re getting assistance from the state but want BP to live up to a commitment to restore beds. And they hope that Gulf Coast Claims Facility paymaster Ken Feinberg will compensate them fairly for losses. “Oyster beds on the east bank of lower Plaquemines were decimated by the opening of the Caernarvon Freshwater Diversion” on the Mississippi River, said Telley Madina, executive director of the Louisiana Oystermen Association based in Pointe a la Hache. He spoke at an April 19 panel on the coast sponsored by the Greater New Orleans Foundation. Last May, the state opened the Caernarvon Diversion — located 15 miles below New Orleans on the east bank near Braithwaite at the St. Bernard and Plaquemines Parish border — at full capacity to keep oil from the west bank and surrounding areas. Fresh water from the river, however, reduced salinity in oyster habitats, with deadly consequences. Madina said that his father in law, Byron Encalade — president of the Louisiana Oystermen Association — expects to harvest nothing this year from the waters around Pointe a la Hache, where Encalade lives. Oysters there died from the intrusion of fresh water. He said “most of the population on the east bank of lower Plaquemines is minority African American, and many families have been surviving off the water there for generations.” In addition to killing oysters, fresh water diversions didn’t always keep oil at bay. “The Caernarvon opening was intended to suppress oil, but oil still got into both the west and east banks, including Spanish Bay,” an oyster area east of the river in Plaquemines, Madina said. Some private beds on the east bank in lower Plaquemines survived oil and the diversion’s opening, however. Madina said “we’re estimating that it will take five years for most east bank beds to recover, partly because it took five years for them to come back strong after Katrina. They had just gotten full grown when the oil spill happened.” Other predictions are that recovery will take 3 to 5 years, or 5 to 10 years, he said. “The diversions were done for the good of the state because of the spill, to keep oil from the west bank and from coming into Spanish Bay on the east bank — although it eventually did,” Madina said. “BP should help the state recoup losses but has already said it doesn’t want to pay for oyster damage from diversions.” Olivia Watkins, spokeswoman for the Louisiana Dept. of Wildlife and Fisheries, said last week “we had a $15 million, verbal commitment for oyster restoration from BP last fall, but they’re trying to back out of it now. In Louisiana, a verbal commitment and a handshake are as good as a promise.” Watkins pointed to the high mortality of oysters along Louisiana’s coast as a result of the oil spill and spill-response actions. “The oyster industry can’t wait for the federal NRDA process–which can take five to ten years to complete–to begin restoration,” she said. Louisiana and other Gulf states are to be returned to pre-spill conditions through a Natural Resource Damage Assessment or NRDA. Scientists involved in the NRDA continue to collect data in the Gulf, and restoration ideas are being sought. Watkins said “we can’t sit back and do nothing” about the beds. The state took action this month, and announced two, $2 million allocations, or a total of $4 million, in emergency funding for cultch planting on public oyster seed grounds on the Mississippi River’s east bank. Cultch, mostly shells and limestone, is used to provide bedding where young oysters, called spat, attach and grow. Louisiana oysters spawn in the spring and in late August or September. Watkins said the state will ask BP to compensate it for the $4 million in cultch spending. She said “we already have permits from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers for the Lake Borgne cultch planting.” And at the request of the Louisiana Oyster Task Force, “we will be applying for a permit for Black Bay in Plaquemines Parish so that planting can get started there in time for the fall spat set.” Curtis Thomas, Louisiana-based spokesman for BP’s Gulf Coast Restoration Organization, said last week that BP intends to fulfill its environmental and economic commitments to the Gulf, and added “BP knows the NRDA process will resolve many issues that remain through and even after this unprecedented response” to the spill. Thomas continued, saying “with respect to the oyster beds, alleged damage to them caused by the state of Louisiana’s fresh water diversion, which may have reduced water salinity, is not compensable under the Oil Pollution Act — that is, BP is not obligated to pay for such damage because it was not caused by the oil spill.” He also said “some, senior Gulf state regulatory officials are reporting that damage to oyster beds in 2010 was not caused by the spill or the fresh water diversion; rather it was caused by increased water temperature and lower levels of dissolved oxygen.” He did not explain who those state regulatory officials were or what locations they had referred to. BP will provide $1 billion for early, restoration projects in the Gulf for damage to natural resources caused by the spill, NRDA trustees said last week. The trustees include Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, Texas, the U.S. Dept. of the Interior and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The trustees said they plan to use the money for rebuilding coastal marshes, replenishing damaged beaches, conserving ocean habitat for injured wildlife, and restoring barrier islands and wetlands. Meanwhile, fishermen are getting the short end of the stick from the Gulf Coast Claims Facility, Madina said. “Less than 10% of GCCF payments have gone to Gulf fishermen, shrimpers and oystermen, who so far have been compensated for only a fraction of their losses.” He had heard that some workers in seafood restaurants in New Orleans had been fully paid on their GCCF claims. “These groups of people shouldn’t be pitted against each other, but GCCF should first help the people affected on the coast, like fishermen,” he said. Madina continued, saying “I don’t think problems on the coast will wrap up in 2012 as Ken Feinberg says. We’re still seeing big tar balls wash ashore in lower Plaquemines, and I won’t be surprised if we have more, enormous fish kills, like we did last September.” Madina knows oystermen in lower Plaquemines who are taking $5,000 final, individual payments from the GCCF and signing away their rights to sue BP because they can’t wait any longer for money. “For shrimpers, the season is starting and they need cash to get their boats ready,” he said. “Fisheries are a $2.4 billion industry statewide, and it is just about the only industry on the east bank of lower Plaquemines.” Madina said “oystermen need money to pay their mortgage or rent. You can’t survive these days floating up and down the river on a boat.” Under a new initiative, oyster shells from participating New Orleans restaurants will be collected to rebuild oyster beds in Louisiana, said Mandi Thompson, executive director of the Gulf Coast Leadership Forum, speaking at that group’s conference in the Crescent City last week.

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The Unemployed Can Now Apply: New Jersey Bans Discriminatory Job Ads

April 25, 2011

In New Jersey, it is no longer legal for employers to specify in their job ads that unemployed persons will not be considered. Gov. Chris Christie (R) recently signed a bill that bans overt discrimination against the jobless in print or online — the first legislation of its kind in the United States. Employers would face a penalty of $1,000 for the first offense and $5,000 for subsequent offenses. New Jersey state Rep. Celeste Riley (D-Cumberland), a primary sponsor of the bill, said she became aware of the problem of employers discriminating against the jobless when her colleague showed her an actual online job ad that ruled out unemployed candidates. “My district has one of the highest unemployment rates in the state, and when jobs are few and far between, I don’t want somebody saying, ‘Just because you’re unemployed I’m not gonna hire you,’” she told The Huffington Post. “There’s the old theory of ‘you need a job to get a job,’ but that’s absolutely unacceptable. You should be employed based on your skills and what you bring to the table.” HuffPost has been reporting on the discrimination against the unemployed since June 2010, when Sony Ericsson posted a job ad online that specified in bold lettering, “NO UNEMPLOYED CANDIDATES WILL BE CONSIDERED AT ALL.” It’s still easy to find job ads that specify that a candidate must already have a job in order to be considered. Riley said she’s not sure to what extent the New Jersey law will actually change employers minds about hiring unemployed people, but she hopes it will at least send them a message. “You can’t control people’s behaviors,” she said, “but as a state, we can say that we find this practice unacceptable — especially in these hard economic times.” Rep. Hank Johnson (D-Ga.) introduced similar legislation on a federal level in March that would amend the Civil Rights Act to include unemployed people as a protected group. The Fair Employment Act of 2011 — a bill which is still in committee — would make it illegal for employers to refuse to hire or to lower compensation based on employment status. “I’m hopeful this can be a bipartisan effort,” he told HuffPost, “because unemployment knows no demographic difference.”

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S&P: California’s Rating Will Remain The Same — For Now

April 25, 2011

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services on Monday affirmed California’s A-minus general obligation rating with a negative outlook, but warned any ratings downgrade would likely be related to liquidity problems. “The outlook on California’s rating remains negative, mostly because of our view of the risk to the state’s cash position in the coming months if state lawmakers are unable to reach the level of political consensus necessary to resolve the remaining projected budget deficit,” the credit rating agency said in a statement. California lawmakers have so far agreed to spending cuts and other measures to tackle $11.2 billion of the state’s $27 billion budget gap and S&P said that marked “good progress.” But it added that a protracted stalemate in dealing with the remainder of the gap “could expose the state’s liquidity to significant risk of being insufficient to fund all of the state’s operations,” possibly leading to aggressive cash management measures by the state controller. (Reporting by Karen Pierog, Editing by Andrew Hay) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Kyle Westaway: The Top Four Startups At The Summit Series Conference

April 25, 2011

It’s been called “The Next TED” and “Davos for Generation Y.” President Bill Clinton has called it “A gift to the United States and the world.” But, honestly, the only way to describe the Summit Series is… Epic. Summit Series engages the world’s most dynamic dreamers and doers through curated events, such as this year’s Summit at Sea, in order to make the world a better place. The Summit Series team believes what’s good for business should be good for the world, and is working to inspire the millennial generation to redefine what success looks like in business and in life. To that end, earlier this month a boat carrying the next generation entrepreneurs, artists and activists set sail from Miami for a weekend of inspiration, connection and, of course, revelry. The weekend was filled with inspiring content from Richard Branson, Russell Simmons, Gary Vaynerchuck and Jaqueline Novogratz. The party was set to the music of The Roots, Imogen Heap, Pretty Lights, Axwell and Eclectic Method. You couldn’t wait in line for a drink at the bar without meeting a 20-30 something that is crushing it in their respective field. The atmosphere was very open, and every conversation was both humbling and inspiring. In the closing session one of the founders of the Summit Series said, “If you want to be a fast runner, spend time with sprinters.” Well, in the world of entrepreneurship and social good, this boat was full of world-class sprinters. Out of this group there were four exceptionally innovative startups from members of the Summit Series community that have the potential to be incredibly disruptive… in a good way. SKILLSHARE What is Skillshare? from Skillshare on Vimeo . The learning revolution is on! Skillshare is redefining what an education is by challenging the assumption that learning only occurs within the four walls of a classroom. Skillshare is a platform to learn anything, from anyone. Think of it as the “Etsy for Learning”. Want to learn how to compost food, win at scrabble, or bake the perfect cupcake from the folks at Magnolia Bakery? You’ll be able to take a class on these interesting topics through the Skillshare community. Skillshare is flipping the traditional notion of education on its head and democratize learning by tapping into existing communities and networks, which we believe are the world’s largest universities. Skillshare is in Beta. THE ADVENTURE PROJECT What’s the best way to create access to water in rural India, clean cookstoves to Haiti, or irrigation in Uganda? The Adventure Project believes it’s by encouraging investment in social entrepreneurs in the developing world. Rather than giving charity, which is so often ineffective, inefficient and destructive, The Adventure Project seeks to empower local entrepreneurs on the ground to meet the biggest challenges in their community. The Adventure Project accesses microphilanthropy — donations of $100 or less — from their grassroots network of donors in America and invests those donations in innovative, low cost solutions in developing communities across the globe. Every quarter they focus on a different project. The Adventure Project transforms philanthropy into investment. The vision is simple. The Adventure Project believes that we can end extreme poverty in our lifetime by reinventing how we give. Ways that spur economic opportunity, promote dignity and save lives. The Adventure Project launched in December 2010. Check them out at http://theadventureproject.org ZAARLY Zaarly Introduction from Team Zaarly on Vimeo . Say you’re on a deadline at the office and you’re totally craving Chicken Tikka Masala from that one Indian restaurant across town, but there’s no way you can get out to grab it. You think to yourself, “Man, I’d pay $30 to get that Tikka Masala right now.” Well, that’s exactly what Zaarly does. Zaarly is a proximity based, real-time buyer powered market. Buyers make an offer for an immediate need and sellers cash in on an infinite marketplace for items and services they never knew were for sale. It’s the perfect marketplace to facilitate division of labor, so that users can spend their time focusing on the best use of their time. Additionally, it’s creating a solution to the languishing unemployment problem. Anybody can run errands in their free time and make a decent amount of money. Zaarly is in stealth mode. BRE.AD Do we really need another link shortener? That was my initial thought when I heard about bre.ad. But Bre.ad is the first innovator in this space because its patented technology enables users to promote their personal brands and causes. Here’s how it works: say you send me a link to a Harvard Business Review article. When I click on the link I will be directed to a 5 second billboard of your choosing, perhaps a page promoting Pencils of Promise, then it will automatically take you to the HBR article. The first bre.ad link was used by Lady Gaga to promote her new album on Twitter and Facebook. The company is working with online personalities, brands and charities to help them gain more exposure across social media while letting their audiences know what they care about most. Bre.ad is currently in stealth mode To sign up for their beta, visit http://bre.ad These four startups are changing the way we learn, give, share and get stuff done. But there are sure to be more innovative startups coming out of conversations that happened at the Summit at Sea. With all the talent, ambition, positive vibes, great music and inspiration on the ship, there’s sure to be dreamers and doers that are bold enough to ask the question, “What if…?” Whatever the answer to that question is, the world is bound to be a better place because of it.

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Minimum Wage Boost Wouldn’t Hurt Job Growth: Study

April 25, 2011

Raising the minimum wage wouldn’t cripple job growth and hurt businesses like some conservative groups have argued , according to a new study . To the contrary, it could pump money into the economy and reduce turnover in low-wage positions, the researchers found. The current federal minimum wage is $7.25, or about $15,000 a year for a full-time job. Until 2007, the minimum wage had been set at $5.15 for over 10 years. Seventeen states currently have a minimum wage set higher than the federal standard, and a number of states are considering giving their standards another boost. The food and retail industries often fight such hikes, arguing that higher wages discourage growth, particularly in down economies. Sylvia Allegretto , an economist at the University of California-Berkeley and the study’s lead author, believes those concerns are unfounded. “A lot of people say we can’t increase the minimum wage during recessions because it’ll have this big negative effect,” said Allegretto, whose study was published in the journal Industrial Relations . “We didn’t find that — in general, or when there were recessions.” Researchers, who focused specifically on teen employment, looked at every federal and state minimum-wage raise over the last twenty years, including during the recession from 2007 to 2009, and found that the effects of wage raises on job growth and unemployment didn’t change with the business cycle. Allegretto said a lot of the benefits of higher minimum wages tend to be overlooked — like higher morale and productivity, and less time spent searching for workers and training them. Advocates of a minimum-wage boost often argue that the extra income for workers functions a lot like unemployment benefits or food stamps, in that it’s money pumped immediately back into local businesses. Jen Kern, who runs the minimum wage campaign at the National Employment Law Project, says a wage hike “could provide a boost to families and the economy, putting money into the hands of people who have no choice but to spend it.” According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics , 1.8 million of the country’s 73 million hourly-paid workers were earning the federal minimum wage during 2010, with another 2.5 million earning even less than that. Minimum-wage earners tend to skew young, with workers under age 25 accounting for roughly half of those making the minimum wage or less. Kern says if the minimum wage had kept pace with inflation since it’s peak in the 1970’s it would now be over $10. A survey conducted last year by the Public Religion Research Institute found that roughly two-thirds of Americans supported raising the federal minimum wage to at least $10 per hour.

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Robert Auerbach: Bernanke’s Press Conferences Will Not Remedy the Fed’s Corrupt and Deceptive Public Records Policies

April 25, 2011

Chairman Ben Bernanke’s public press conferences are intended to open the nation’s central bank, the Federal Reserve, to needed public sunlight. Bernanke may well dodge any questions on Fed policies, the only policies the Fed has authority to alter. He will be eager to talk about fiscal and budget policy over which the Fed has no direct control except for Fed loans. Some of these loans were forced into public view by the recent Fed audit required under the 2010 Chris Dodd-Barney Frank Act. What is needed is a complete record of the discussions at the Fed meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee, FOMC (12 members), and its Board of Governors (7 governors when all seats are filled). These unelected officials determine the size of the nation’s money supply and the payment of billions of dollars of interest to private sector banks that currently (4/20/2011) hold $1.486 trillion in reserves at the Fed. Bernanke has said he may raise the rate of interest on these reserves, as he will be forced to do if market interest rates rise. The transcripts of the FOMC meetings should be published within six months, ending the practice of a five-year delay. The Fed should not destroy the original FOMC transcripts that were formerly sent to the National Archives and Records Administration after 30 years. The Fed does publish minutes of its FOMC meetings with about a month delay. The minutes are a poor and inaccurate substitute for transcripts. The minutes currently released were created by Fed Chairman Arthur Burns in 1976 as a substitute for the transcripts which the Fed publicly said would no longer be made. The 17-year lie ended in 1993. During a House Banking Committee Chairman Henry B. Gonzalez investigation the Fed was forced to show to me the 17 years of transcripts which they had kept secret, avoiding Freedom of Information requests. The transcripts were in an office around the corner from Greenspan’s office. Unlike the FOMC transcripts, the minutes contain no attributions of FOMC members’ views except on final recorded votes where all but an occasional few members display unanimity. The interpreters of the Fed’s minutes should read what Fed Chairman Burns said to his staff about padding the minutes and not giving the public too much information. Researching Burns’ papers at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library and Museum, I was able to obtain and include in my book his instructions to the Fed staff about the FOMC minutes. Bernanke’s press conferences will not replace the FOMC transcripts that establish individual accountability for the Fed officials who discuss and vote on important national policies. Bernanke may give some insight into his views but this can be misleading without the transcripts. There is a clear episode in the Greenspan Fed where public statements about monetary policy were completely different from what was said by the chairman at a number of the then secret FOMC meetings. As Bernanke surely knows, a Fed chairman can make a dangerous mistake at a press conference that dramatically affects equity markets and bank customers. This kind of information can be edited from the published FOMC transcripts in conjunction with professional archivists from the National Archives and Records Administration. When it came to public questioning of Fed chairmen, Greenspan was the master of garblements as I well learned from preparing questions for members of the Financial Services Committee to ask Fed Chairmen Arthur Burns, William Miller, Paul Volcker, and Alan Greenspan. Greenspan even told the FOMC (10/5/1993) members how to play the congressional committee members during the very month that the Fed officials were required to be witnesses at a Gonzalez hearing on Fed records: “… it would be quite easy to say: And by the way, this reminds me of an incident in 1936 in Sacramento or something like that.” Some members of the press may be reticent to ask pointed questions on Fed polices and operations because of the need for access to the Fed chairman and to avoid retaliation. The Fed has a history of retaliation to members of the press. My book includes a picture of an internal memo about the treatment of a member of the press, Nicholas von Hoffman who was a columnist at the Washington Post and had segments on 60 Minutes . A Fed official sent an internal memo (12/6/1974) to Fed Chairman Arthur Burns “concerning our conversation yesterday about Nicholas von Hoffman. Bart Rowen [Hobart Rowen, former financial writer at the Washington Post ] thinks it would be an excellent idea for you to discuss the matter with Katherine Graham [Katharine Graham]“, the owner of the Post, apparently to get Hoffman fired or warned. Although this memo may not have played a part in Hoffman leaving the Post , the following warning about the Post editor is an interesting tribute to free journalism. The Fed official warned Burns to be careful of the editor, Ben Bradlee: “Additionally, Ben Bradlee’s reaction to an approach of this nature might be: “Washington’s officialdom is squirming; keep up the good work.”

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Goldman Sachs, Other Banks Propose Plan To Restructure Lehman Brothers

April 25, 2011

A group of banks including Goldman Sachs (GS.N) and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) has filed a plan to restructure Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc that would let the failed bank’s different parts remain separate. The plan, filed on Monday in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Manhattan, is one of three competing plans to restructure Lehman. Another was filed by Lehman. A third was filed by a group of creditors including hedge fund Paulson & Co. The plans come as different groups jostle to see who will be able to recoup money that they lost when Lehman filed for Chapter 11 protection in September 2008. At the time, it reported $639 billion of assets, six times more than any other U.S. company to go bankrupt. The latest plan would allow creditors to file claims against the scores of individual Lehman entities involved in the bankruptcy. This contrasts with the creditor group’s plan, which supports consolidating all the units. Lehman’s plan seeks a compromise in which recovered assets would be redistributed among different classes of creditors. It would appoint a representative for the banks and the hedge funds that filed it. It also would ensure that all claims that different Lehman units have against each other are treated the same way. A spokeswoman for Lehman said the company is reviewing the new plan. She had no other comment. Representatives for the Paulson Group declined to comment. Attorneys for the banks did not return telephone calls on Monday. Creditors have an April 29 deadline to file their plans. Bankruptcy Judge James Peck has scheduled a hearing for them on June 28. The group led by Paulson & Co proposed a reorganization plan in December that would boost bondholder recoveries to nearly 25 percent. That plan is kinder to that group than Lehman’s proposal, which would provide 21.4 percent recovery for the Paulson group and other bondholders. Lehman’s plan also would provide more than 34 cents on the dollar for derivatives creditors. (Reporting by Nick Brown. Editing by Robert MacMillan) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Oracle President Safra Catz to Assume Role as Oracle’s Chief Financial Officer

April 25, 2011

REDWOOD SHORES, CA–(Marketwire – Apr 25, 2011) – Oracle Corporation ( NASDAQ : ORCL ) announced today that Oracle President Safra Catz will assume the additional responsibility of Chief Financial Officer. Ms. Catz’s appointment follows the resignation of the company’s current CFO, Jeff Epstein, who reported directly to Ms. Catz. The company announced Ms. Catz’s appointment is permanent and is effective immediately.

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Robert F. Brands: Feels Like the First Time: Innovation Through Product Experience

April 25, 2011

When was the last time you experienced your product like it was your first time? Product development is a process of cycles — followed by closure. We innovate and create a new concept. Assemble teams to research, develop, manufacture and market the product or service. We then ship it to market. And then … what? We leave it out there for consumers to embrace, or ignore. Meanwhile, as our products mature on the store shelves of the marketplace, we mentally have moved on to the next next thing. Instead, we should revisit our product to gain a fresh perspective. The CBS Television show Undercover Boss follows the adventures of executives who embark on an undercover mission “to examine the inner workings of their companies…Working alongside their employees, they see the effects that their decisions have on others, where the problems lie within their organizations and get an up-close look at both the good and the bad while discovering the unsung heroes who make their companies run.” When was the last time you were an undercover boss or prospect? As the CEO or Chief Innovation Officer, when did you last sample your wares, walk your store, demo your product or read your user manual? Playing the role of a “cold prospect” often gives a new point of view on even the most mature products. Innovation Manager-as-Mystery Shopper touches on several of Robert’s Rules of Innovation . It allows us to Observe & Measure our products first hand. We take Ownership of our product lifecycle to an entirely new level. It may even encourage fresh lines of new product development. Hopefully, it encourages us to think about ways to train and coach other innovators — and even our customer-facing employees — on the finer points of the product, service or company mission. Want to play mystery shopper or prospect? Call your customer service or main office line to make an appointment or reach an individual. Do you get trapped in phone bank hell? Is it easy to “zero out” to a receptionist? I recently spoke with a physician who lamented it taking him almost an hour to get lab results over the phone — from his own office. “Welcome to our world,” I chided. Record and listen to your customer service rep encounters. If your organization actually records customer phone calls (you hear it all the time, “This call may be recorded for training purposes…”), listen to the calls. Find high and low points. Look for ways to improve the user experience. Walk the aisles. Watch your salespeople or retail associates in action. How responsive are they? How effective are they at engaging the customer? Are they upselling where possible? Stanley Steemer maximizes upsell opportunities once they’re in a customer’s home. Keep a notepad handy. Be on the lookout for fresh ideas about process or product innovation. Assemble or use your own product. Are your instructions clear? Does “Ready to Assemble” really mean ready to assemble? The saying, “You never get a second chance to make a first impression,” may be only part true. Being an undercover prospect may give you that second chance to see your product like the first time — and innovate anew. By Robert F. Brands with Jeff Zbar

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Jay Mandle: The Politics of the Budget Deficit

April 25, 2011

The federal budget showed a surplus of $185.2 billion in 2000. By 2010 it was in deficit by $1.3 trillion. What happened? Only after that question is answered is it reasonable to discuss what we should do. The numbers are clear: between 2000 and 2010 tax revenues declined from 21.5 percent of the economy’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to 16.3 percent. During these same years, federal government expenditures increased from 19.6 percent to 25.4 percent. The budget surplus disappeared because revenues declined by 5.2 percent of GDP and expenditures increased by 5.8 percent. 1 It does not take much investigation to explain the contrasting trends in revenues and expenditures. The two tax cuts passed during the Bush Administration, combined with the two recessions that occurred during that administration, starved the government for funds. At the same time, defense expenditures increased dramatically — from 3.7 percent of GDP to 5.6 — while health care rose from 5.0 to 7.3 percent in 2009 (the most recent available data). This means that increased health care and military spending together were responsible for about three-quarters of the growth in government expenditures as a percentage of GDP that occurred during the last decade. Economic downturns and tax cuts, combined with increased military expenditures and escalating health care costs, were clearly the villains. Logic therefore would suggest that these are the areas that need to be corrected. The economy’s vulnerability to crises should be reduced, the Bush tax cuts rescinded, defense expenditures curbed, and the health care sector made more efficient. But as obvious as these corrective steps might seem, the dominance of wealthy special interests in our political system makes it unlikely that any of them will be implemented. Despite the financial debacle of 2007, Wall Street continues to ride high and the economy remains vulnerable to a financial meltdown. Reducing health care costs will require taking on powerful special interests in a way that the Obama Administration has shown no stomach to do. Increasing taxes on the wealthy at a time of mounting income inequality is so obviously a matter of justice that it would seem not to require much of an argument. Yet spokespersons for the elite like Arthur C. Brooks of the American Enterprise Institute recently argued in The Washington Post that increasing taxation on the rich will damage not only the economy but the meritocratic ideals upon which the country rests. 2 Then there is the question of defense spending. The fact is that the importance of the military in the American economy far exceeds that anywhere else in the world. Most Americans are unaware of that imbalance or its implications. But the fact is that defense spending in the United States as a share of GDP is at least twice as high as in any comparably developed country. In contrast to the roughly 5 percent in the United States, France stands out as the big spender in the European Community at 2.4 percent. The United Kingdom’s level is 1.7 percent. 3 This commitment to the military is particularly anomalous because the United States is a relatively low tax country. Defense spending here therefore claims a significantly larger share of the overall budget. One estimate has it that United States spends 19.3 percent of budget appropriations on the military, in contrast to 6.3 percent in the United Kingdom and 5.4 percent in France. 4 The consequence is that desirable social and labor market policies are crowded out for lack of funds much more so in this country than in Europe. The people who most need social support are the same people who pay the cost of our military expenditures. Given the configuration of power in our political system and in particular the dominant role of wealth, it is all too likely that in addressing the budget deficit, legislators will inflict a grave injustice on large numbers of people. Middle and low income households were not responsible for the budget deficit. But the programs from which they benefit that are most likely to be on the chopping block. The deficit emerged because rich people succeeded in achieving major tax reductions, Wall Street decimated the economy, the costs of health care remained exorbitant, and the growth of defense spending remained unchecked. Yet as things stand, none of these will be the object of political redress. It is at times like these — when real and important choices have to be made – that the fundamental dysfunction of a political system based on wealth is most obvious. 1. Statistics from this and the next paragraph are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Economic Accounts, http://www.bea.gov , Table 3.2, 1.1.10, and 3.12 2. Arthur C. Brooks, the Washington Post , April 24, 2010, p. B-1 3. The World Bank, “Military Expenditures as % GDP,” http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS 4. “How Countries Spend Their Money,” % of Total Budget Allocated to Military, http://www.visualeconomics.com

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For-Profit Colleges Mount Unprecedented Battle For Influence In Washington

April 25, 2011

The morning after an 11th-hour deal to avert a government shutdown earlier this month, as many in Washington were still catching up on lost sleep, a group representing the for-profit college industry raced to send an online plea marked “urgent.” After a lobbying and campaign finance blitz totaling millions of dollars over the past year, the industry appeared to be on the verge of getting a special provision in the budget bill that would block increased government oversight of their schools. The matter was still not decided, they insisted. “We need you to make calls this weekend!” urged the letter from the group to its more than 1,600 member colleges. “Members and staff are meeting over the weekend to finalize the details of the [bill]. We encourage you TODAY and throughout this weekend to contact the offices of your Congressman/Senators urging them to support inclusion of the … amendment in the final package.” The email communique was a last-ditch bid to protect the massive federal subsidies that have fueled the spectacular growth of what is now a multibillion-dollar, publicly traded industry in higher education. With student loan defaults growing alongside profits at many of the largest companies, the government is seeking more accountability for colleges that promise training for careers, but leave students with unsustainable debts. As the stakes for this fast-growing industry rise, so have the dollars spent on an expansive lobbying campaign to ensure the government money keeps flowing. Some of the largest publicly traded college corporations receive nearly 90 percent of their revenues from federal student aid programs. While government money fuels increased enrollments and record profits, the industry has poured increasing amounts of those proceeds into an unprecedented effort to preempt the rules through greater influence in Washington. In other words, an industry that derives a vast majority of its revenue from federal funding is actively using that money to fight government efforts for accountability. The last-minute scramble earlier this month was only the latest chapter in the industry’s yearlong battle against increased federal oversight of their schools. Overall, the industry spent more than $8.1 million on lobbying in 2010, up from $3.3 million in 2009, according to a Huffington Post analysis of lobbying data compiled by the Center for Responsive Politics. (Source: Analysis of data from the Center for Responsive Politics) In addition, campaign spending from the industry’s political action committees and executives increased to more than $2 million from $1.1 million between the 2008 and 2010 election cycles, according to a Huffington Post analysis of campaign finance records from the Sunlight Foundation’s website, TransparencyData. The industry’s political action committees and executives spent nearly twice as much on Democrats as on Republicans. Industry representatives say the uptick in spending for a business that derives most of its money from the government is not at all unusual in Washington. “It’s not unique in any sense,” said Harris Miller, the president and chief executive of the Association of Private Sector Colleges and Universities, “any more than it is for traditional higher education lobbying to get earmarks for their schools, or Boeing or defense contractors using their money to promote an agenda, which is to win a contract of the U.S. government.” For-profit college companies and trade associations have hired a dream team of Washington insiders to lobby on their behalf, however, bringing on 14 former members of Congress, including former Democratic House Leader Dick Gephardt. Some of the most powerful lobby shops in Washington have been employed in the fight: Tony Podesta and the Podesta Group; former Clinton special counsel Lanny J. Davis; numerous former staffers from the Department of Education and the education oversight committees on Capitol Hill. Until scrutiny of the schools intensified last year, when the Obama administration announced plans for new accountability rules, many of the colleges’ parent companies were known on Wall Street for their exemplary profit margins. The stakes for industry executives and shareholders have been huge. Andrew Clark, the chief executive at Bridgepoint Education Inc., which owns two online colleges, brought home more than $20 million in compensation last year. Corinthian Colleges Inc., which owns a string of more than 100 campuses across the nation, saw profits increase from $4.5 million in 1999 to more than $146 million in 2010. Revenues for publicly traded college corporations topped $20 billion last year. The industry has not been shy about funneling its money into marketing. Ubiquitous advertisements for the colleges fill subway cars in major cities and are plastered on billboards along highways across the country. Advertising Age listed The Apollo Group, which owns the University of Phoenix, as one of the top 100 spenders on U.S. advertising in 2009: The company spent in excess of $377 million, more than Apple Inc. But the outcomes for students at such schools have prompted deep concerns about the federal government’s increased investments. Students at for-profit colleges default on federal loans at double the rate of their counterparts at nonprofit schools, according to recently released data from the Department of Education. And although only 10 percent of students nationwide attend such institutions, they account for nearly half of all student loan defaults, leaving the government to pick up the tab. On average, the tuition at many of the largest for-profit colleges is nearly twice that of in-state tuition at four-year public universities and more than five times the average tuition at community colleges, according to a Senate report released last year. Critics have pointed to an unfair bargain behind those statistics: Students and taxpayers take on all the risk while the schools reap all the rewards, in the form of profits from federal money. “Going to college should not be like going to a casino, where the odds are stacked against you and the house always wins,” Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa), a vocal critic of for-profit colleges, said at a Senate hearing last fall. For their part, for-profit colleges argue that they provide educational opportunities for many Americans who would otherwise have no such options, and that additional regulation could deny such students advancement. “It does literally threaten the existence of hundreds if not thousands of programs, and threaten the ability of hundreds of thousands of students to continue to get an education,” said Miller, of the Association of Private Sector Colleges and Universities. Advertisements in Washington newspapers and on websites across the country have broadcast the same message: The Department of Education is trying to prevent students from going to college, especially low-income students who have struggled in other educational fields. Education advocacy groups, meanwhile, argue the for-profit college rhetoric skillfully twists reality. “They’ve mastered the art of marketing,” said Jose Cruz, vice president for Higher Education Policy at the Education Trust, a student advocacy organization. “In an attempt to protect the most important revenue source, which are the federal subsidies, they have launched this campaign to appeal to Americans’ belief in choice and opportunity, particularly for those who have been traditionally underserved.” As the industry pours more money into lobbying, marketing and campaign finance, both Republicans and Democrats in Congress have shown their support. (Source: Huffington Post analysis of data from the Sunlight Foundation) Its increased clout was on display during a House vote in February, when more than 50 House Democrats, including House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and incoming Democratic National Committee chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.), joined Republicans in voting to block new regulations on the industry. (Source: Huffington Post analysis of data from the Sunlight Foundation) And during this month’s budget fight, a bipartisan group of House members pushed to prohibit the Department of Education from moving forward with such regulations later this year. The Senate eventually stripped from the budget bill the rider that would have exempted for-profits from further regulation, but the industry has vowed to continue seeking such an exemption. Many of the lawmakers who voted in support of the exemption in February, and who signed on to a letter urging its inclusion in the budget earlier this month, were the most well-compensated by the for-profit college industry. “These burdensome and unnecessary regulations unfairly single out the private sector of postsecondary education and will negatively affect the landscape of our nation’s higher education system,” read a letter from six Democratic and six Republican House members urging that the budget compromise include a provision to block additional regulations. Five of the signatories were among the top 10 recipients of campaign cash from the industry, receiving more than $20,000 apiece in the last election cycle. (Source: Huffington Post analysis of data from the Sunlight Foundation) AN EXISTENTIAL THREAT The rules at issue, developed by the Department of Education, are known as “gainful employment” regulations. It’s an effort to measure the quality of for-profit college and nonprofit vocational college programs by analyzing student outcomes in the workplace, gauging whether the schools set students up for careers that will allow them to pay off debts. Rules requiring that vocational colleges prepare students for “gainful employment in a recognized occupation” have been on the books since the 1970s, adopted following a series of problems with unscrupulous, fly-by-night trade schools that didn’t provide the training they promised. This marks the first time the Department of Education has ever sought to officially define those rules written into the law by Congress. For-profit colleges say that would pose an existential threat to the industry. The Department of Education, on the other hand, has said the regulations are designed as both a consumer protection measure for students and a student aid accountability test for the federal government. A final version is expected within months. The rules have been in the works since 2009, and were first drafted and presented to the public by the Department last summer. According to the draft version, the Department of Education would track students after leaving college and evaluate them using two criteria: whether they are paying down the principal on their student loans and whether graduates have attained an income that allows them to manage debts. Programs at certain for-profit colleges and other vocational college programs that do not meet targets for student loan repayment or debt levels would be restricted from receiving federal student aid or forced to disclose debt levels to prospective students. As drafted, the rules would allow programs to remain fully eligible for aid even if less than half of students are repaying the interest on loans, plus at least one penny of the principal after graduating or dropping out of the program. Programs could also remain fully eligible if less than a third of students are repaying the principal on loans, as long as graduates are not spending more than 20 percent of discretionary income toward paying off student loans. Student advocacy groups say the standards are not overly stringent, since each scenario would allow more than half of students to be behind on repaying the balance of their loans. The industry says there have not been enough studies of the effects the rules would have on the industry. The rules would not punish entire schools; rather, individual programs that fail to meet the standards could face sanctions. The regulation would not go into effect until the 2012-’13 school year and the rules would punish only the worst 5 percent of offenders during the first year, giving programs time to adjust their curriculum or reduce costs. “There hasn’t been much discussion about what the regulation actually would do,” said David Hawkins, director of public policy and research at the National Association for College Admission Counseling, whose member colleges include mostly nonprofits. “Instead there has been this hyperbolic, grand debate about limiting student choice. Really what the debate is about is the federal government drawing a line, beyond which they will be prepared to say, ‘I’m sorry, we cannot fund this program anymore.” The Department of Education estimates the rules would completely restrict federal aid to about 5 percent of for-profit college programs, and that 55 percent of such schools would have to warn students about average debt levels. Industry estimates, of course, are much higher. A study financed by the Association of Private Sector Colleges and Universities estimated that 33 percent of students at such schools would be affected. Rep. Robert Andrews (D-N.J.), an opponent of the regulations who is also one of the top campaign recipients from the industry, said he disagrees with the government’s focus on measuring debts compared to earnings. Instead, he said gainful employment should be measured by job placement that increases a graduate’s income. “I think the question is how we do this, not if we do it,” Andrews said. “If they don’t place enough students up to a fair standard, kick them out of the program. Whether they’re owned by a for-profit, nonprofit or public institution.” Davis, the Democratic lobbyist and former special counsel to Bill Clinton, questioned why the the regulations should not be applied to all sectors of higher education. “If we’re looking at the problem of excessive student debt, it is a problem and there needs to be a national solution,” Davis said. “I, as a liberal Democrat, would say the national solution isn’t cracking down on poor people who default.” REVOLVING DOOR CULTURE Many critics of the for-profit sector who have long argued for more oversight say the rules proposed by the Obama administration are simply a reaction to a loose regulatory approach practiced during the administration of George W. Bush. During those years, the corporations and their regulators developed a distinct revolving-door culture, where administration and congressional officials shifted from policy work for the government to advocacy work for the industry. Both Bush Education Secretaries, Rod Paige and Margaret Spellings, have worked in connection with for-profit college corporations since leaving their posts. And for the majority of the Bush years, the assistant secretary overseeing higher education in Washington was Sally Stroup, a former lobbyist for the University of Phoenix, the largest of the for-profit college corporations. After leaving the administration in 2006, she became a top aide for the House Education and Labor Committee, now known as Education and Workforce. That same year, current House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio), then the chairman of the lower chamber’s education committee, helped to successfully pass legislation that lifted restrictions on federal student aid flowing to online college programs. The provision nixed a previous rule that required schools to have at least half of students attending ground campus classes in order to be eligible for federal student aid. The old rule’s elimination allowed for unprecedented growth at primarily online, for-profit schools. DEFINING THE MESSAGE The final gainful employment rules were supposed to be released last fall, but the Department of Education delayed publishing them after receiving more than 90,000 comments from the public — the most ever received on any regulation in the Department’s history. Many of the comments came from identical email form letters set up by colleges and trade associations for employees and students to send out — the byproduct of an extensive online marketing campaign. Some of the form letters sent in as comments were not even filled out. One filed by Alyssa Hoskins of Edinburgh, Ind., read, “I am a career college student at [INSTITUTION] studying [PROGRAM]. [INSTITUTION] is providing me with the education and training necessary to obtain the job I’ve always wanted as a [CAREER].” One anonymous comment from an employee at Herzing University included an email from the university president, Renee Herzing, stating that, “If you have not already you need to make a comment/letter through this web site … E-mail me to confirm that you entered a comment -– we (are) counting our total comments.” The lobbying efforts directed at members of Congress in recent months have been similarly strategic. During a “Hill Day” organized by the Association of Private Sector Colleges and Universities last month, the trade group handed out a series of tip sheets for students talking to the media, which were first obtained by CampusProgress, an advocacy group affiliated with the Center for American Progress. Most of the instructions dealt with potential questions about student loan debt or recruiting tactics. “Should a reporter ask if or how much debt you incurred at a career institution, you can firmly but politely reply: ‘I made an adult decision to invest in my education, and I am confident in my ability to meet my financial responsibilities,” one bullet point read. “Should the reporter continue to push on the debt point, you can politely but firmly reply: ‘I have answered that question, and am happy to talk more about how my degree/diploma/certificate has enhanced my career prospects.’” (See the document here ) The Association of Private Sector Colleges and Universities has represented the industry for decades. But last year, two of the larger publicly traded education companies, Education Management Corp. and ITT Educational Services Inc., joined other colleges to form a separate lobbying organization called the Coalition for Educational Success. They brought on Davis, a former legal counsel to Bill Clinton, to lobby on their behalf last fall — a time when scrutiny of the sector was reaching an all-time high. The Department of Education had announced new rules, Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) had begun a series of hearings probing abuses in the industry, and the Government Accountability Office had released scathing findings from an undercover investigation of recruiting tactics at 15 for-profit schools. The coalition and other corporations have brought on a wide array of lobbying expertise over the past year, employing many with deep connections to the committees and constituencies who could control the debate. (Source: Analysis of data from the Center for Responsive Politics Other major Democratic lobbying powers hired on for the fight include the Podesta Group, hired by Career Education Corp. and APSCU; and Steve Elmendorf, a major organizer for John Kerry’s 2004 presidential campaign, who was hired by the Washington Post Co.’s Kaplan Inc. College corporations have also focused on outreach to minority lawmakers and interest groups, fueling the debate about access to education for disadvantaged groups. One of the lobbyists hired from the Podesta Group is Paul Braithwaite, a former executive director of the Congressional Black Caucus, whose members have been split on the question of the gainful employment regulations. Former Maryland Congressman Albert Wynn Jr., a longtime member of the CBC, was hired by Bridgepoint Education Inc. of San Diego. Other lobbyists had backgrounds with the National Association of Latino Elected Officials, on education committees in both the House and Senate, and as staffers with the Department of Education. Corinthian Colleges Inc. brought on Gephardt, the former Democratic House leader for 14 years, and a number of his former staff members. Aside from Davis, none of the lobbyists or firms mentioned in this article returned phone calls and emails seeking comment; but trade groups for the industry have defended the increased advocacy, arguing they are no different from other industries seeking to be part of the debate. “I wouldn’t say that it’s unusual for companies that feel regulation is going to either put them out of business, or drastically change their business, to advocate for their point of view,” said Penny Lee, the managing director of the coalition. Davis, who was lobbying for the Coalition for Educational Success until last week, said the outreach to Democrats has been a way to shift debate on the issue away from a traditional anti-government, pro-business perspective. “I had an argument to make that was not a conservative, anti-regulation argument, and that was unusual,” Davis said. “I think they reached out to other liberal and Democratic lobbyists for exactly the same reason. It’s the ‘man bites dog’ point of view, because I’m criticizing my own fellow Democrats in the administration.” GROWING REACH The for-profit college industry’s influence has been noticeable during public hearings in Washington. At a hearing last September focusing on recruitment practices at for-profit colleges, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) read aloud an op-ed letter written by Davis and published by The Huffington Post and other publications. The letter criticized Democratic support for the gainful employment rules. “We’ve done a battle on many occasions,” McCain said, but later pointed out that, “I find myself in complete agreement with Lanny Davis.” He then walked out of the hearing in protest, without noting the fact that Davis was being paid more than $40,000 to lobby on behalf of a number of schools. Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) noted that fact later in the hearing. “Lanny Davis is being paid by the industry to make these arguments that we get regurgitated here,” Franken said. “I would appreciate it if the other members would stay, instead of making a comment, quoting a paid lobbyist — with great umbrage — and then leaving.” For-profit education companies gave more than $18,000 to McCain in the last election cycle, making him one of the top recipients in the Senate. McCain and other Republicans on the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee wrote a letter to committee chairman Harkin last week, asking him to reconsider holding a scheduled May hearing on for-profit colleges. “Should you decide to decline this request, we will not participate in the next hearing on for-profit institutions,” the letter stated, calling the previous hearings “disorganized and prejudicial.” The letter was released the same day the budget amendment was finalized, without the rider that would prevent regulations. Most of the Republicans who signed the letter have either not attended previous Senate hearings on for-profit colleges or have walked out in protest. That letter and others sent by Republicans and Democrats fighting against regulations over the past few months have also focused on two lines of attack pushed by industry lobbyists: one against the Department of Education, and another against the Government Accountability Office. Rather than focusing on the substance of the rules at issue, the industry has instead tended to assert that it is under attack by the federal government. The coalition in particular has been vocal in criticizing the GAO, Congress’ independent investigative arm, over corrections made to an undercover investigation of for-profit college recruiting last year. The group has sued the GAO and publicly attacked the agency. Members of Congress have followed suit, calling into question the report’s findings. The GAO has stuck by its conclusions in the report, which was updated to include tweaks to language and more elaborate descriptions after GAO lawyers reviewed undercover footage. Lobbyists for the industry say the changes should invalidate the entire report. The video evidence shown, however, is compelling: Recruiters encouraged investigators posing as prospective students to falsify federal financial aid documents and refused to provide details about tuition costs until they had signed paperwork to enroll in classes. “I don’t recall any kind of frontal assault the way they have mounted this one against the GAO,” said Barmak Nassirian, associate executive director of the American Association of Collegiate Registrars & Admissions Officers, which mostly represents nonprofit colleges. “We saw with our own eyes how they were lying to and defrauding students.” The coalition has also sought to discredit the Department of Education by accusing department officials of conspiring to develop the regulations with Wall Street short sellers –- investors who profit when stocks tumble. The theory is based on four meetings that Department of Education officials had with short sellers who had done analysis on publicly traded for-profit schools, and a number of mostly one-way emails from four hedge fund managers to officials in the department. Representatives of for-profit colleges, who are also invested in how stocks fare on the market, have met privately and publicly with top-level Department of Education officials and the Office of Management and Budget on nearly 50 occasions over the past year, according to public schedules posted by the department. CRITICS GET CASH Some of the most vocal regulatory critics in Congress have also been the most well-compensated by the industry. Rep. John Kline (R-Minn.), who chairs the House Education and the Workforce Committee, received more than $40,000 in campaign contributions during the last election cycle. His political action committee, the Freedom & Security PAC, received an additional $35,000. Kline was instrumental in introducing the legislation in the House that aimed to block the gainful employment rules, and led the effort earlier this month to have the prohibition included in the budget bill. Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon (R-Calif.), another longtime member of the education committee, received more than $20,000 from the industry in his personal campaign and more than $65,000 to his political action committee, the 21st Century PAC. While McKeon was serving on the committee during the Bush administration, he owned stock in one company, Corinthian Colleges Inc., at the time the restrictions on online programs were being lifted. Staffers for McKeon and Kline did not respond to requests seeking comment. Democrats who have opposed regulations on for-profit colleges have also been rewarded with contributions. Reps. Andrews and Carolyn McCarthy (D-N.Y.), who signed onto the letter pushing for the budget bill rider, are among the top five recipients of campaign cash: Andrews received more than $70,000, and McCarthy more than $41,000, during the last election cycle. Andrews said he has been involved with the industry for a long time and believes that career programs can offer many benefits for students. “I do what I do based upon what I think is right,” he said. “I’m interested in the outcome for the student and the taxpayer, not on the outcome for the school. But I also disagree with people who say that by definition for-profit education is bad. I think bad education is bad, and I think we ought to come up with a measure to figure that out.” One notable exception is Rep. George Miller (D-Calif.), the former chairman of the education committee until this year, who took in more than $105,000 from the industry — the most of any single candidate in Congress. His son also works for a lobbying firm in California that lobbies for Education Management Corp., the second-largest publicly traded college corporation. But Miller has supported the Department of Education’s proposed regulations, and has been critical of attempts to delay or water them down. A spokeswoman for Miller said the contributions are “completely separate” from any policy work. “The fact is that Rep. Miller has a long and successful track record of holding for-profit schools accountable and reforming this industry,” said the spokeswoman, Melissa Salmanowitz. Other top recipients of campaign money who have not supported the industry include Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.), who took in more than $50,000; and Iowa Democrat Harkin, who received about $13,000 but has held a series of highly critical hearings probing the industry. Looking at the February House vote, however, Democrats who supported the amendment to block regulations received on average nearly twice as much in political donations as Democrats who opposed the regulations. Harris Miller, the president of the trade group representing for-profit colleges (who is not related to George Miller), downplayed the importance that political contributions play in changing policy, pointing to the donations to many who have actively opposed the industry. “I know some people like to think there’s this simplistic correlation between writing a check and getting a vote,” he said. “I wish it were that easy.”

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FranNet Minnesota Announces Recruitment of Susan Faue as Marketing Director

April 25, 2011

Rapid Growth of the Franchise Consulting and New Business Ventures of Mike Welch Requires Adding Professional Staffing

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Wall Street Stocks Slip On Fears Of Inflation’s Effect Taking Place

April 25, 2011

U.S. stocks fell on Monday on signs some corporate outlooks were being strained by concerns over higher raw material costs, including consumer products maker Kimberly-Clark Corp. The market’s decline in a low-volume session followed some strong earnings last week, which helped pushed the Dow to a closing high for the year. The S&P 500 has moved to the top end of its recent trading range where it is facing resistance. Kimberly-Clark (KMB.N) sank 2.9 percent to $64.13 and was one of the S&P 500′s top percentage decliners after it cut the low end of its full-year outlook, saying the cost of pulp and other goods were rising more than twice as much as it had expected. The Kleenex tissue maker is one of the companies most exposed to rising commodity costs because its products contain oil-based materials and paper. Johnson Controls Inc (JCI.N) fell 3.3 percent to $39.38 after the company, one of the world’s largest auto suppliers, said its fiscal third-quarter results would be hit by a drop in car production following the earthquake in Japan. “There are some legitimate inflation concerns among investors related to raw material prices, which could put pressure on margins later in the year,” said John Carey, portfolio manager of Pioneer Investment Management in Boston, which has about $260 billion in assets under management. Of S&P 500 companies that have reported results so far, 75 percent beat analysts’ expectations. That is just above the average over the past four quarters but well above the average of 62 percent since 1994, according to Thomson Reuters data. Helping the Nasdaq, SanDisk Corp (SNDK.O) rose 1.6 percent to $49.81 after raising its 2011 margin outlook late on Thursday. The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI was down 34.40 points, or 0.28 percent, at 12,471.59. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index .SPX was down 2.89 points, or 0.22 percent, at 1,334.49. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC was up just 0.10 of a point, or unchanged on a percentage basis, at 2,820.26. Energy and materials companies’ shares ranked among the weakest of the session, with the S&P Energy Index .GSPE down 0.7 percent and the S&P Materials Index down 0.6 percent. Crude oil futures prices fell after hitting their highest level since September 2008 earlier in the session, while silver reversed course after a sharp rally. The CBOE Volatility Index .VIX, known as the VIX, rose 7.8 percent after falling last week to its lowest level since 2007. This week is another hectic one for earnings with 180 S&P 500 companies set to report, including Amazon.com (AMZN.O), Coca-Cola Co (KO.N), Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N). The week’s agenda includes a two-day meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policymaking committee on Tuesday and Wednesday. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will hold the first of four annual press conferences on Wednesday after the Federal Open Market Committee’s meeting ends. Investors will look for clues about the direction of monetary policy when the Fed’s bond buying program ends in June. Traders noted that activity would likely be subdued as many major European markets remain closed over the long Easter weekend. About 2.92 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange and Nasdaq as of midday, below average for this point in the session. (Reporting by Ryan Vlastelica; Editing by Jan Paschal) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Dylan Howard Named North Park University’s Men’s Basketball Coach

April 25, 2011

CHICAGO, IL–(Marketwire – Apr 25, 2011) – After reviewing 139 applicants and interviewing five finalists in a national search, North Park University introduced Dylan Howard as its new head men’s basketball coach this week.

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Accused Mortgage Scammer Loses His Wacky Website After Court Order

April 25, 2011

Accused mortgage-modification fraudster Howard Shmuckler has lost the website he used to call his accusers “the real scammers.” Even though Shmuckler had been indicted and repeatedly sued for charging homeowners for modifications he never delivered, he maintained his website until a court order went against him earlier this month. Shmuckler charged homeowners thousands of dollars in upfront fees on the promise he would get them mortgage modifications to help them stay out of foreclosure. Yet, hundreds of his clients never received mortgage modifications, according to the Maryland government and attorneys representing homeowners in Virginia, where the now-defunct Shmuckler Group had been based. But, at www.HowardShmuckler.com — which redirected to www.TheyKilledTheSavior.com — Shmuckler maintained that he’d been a savior for more than 900 homeowners. “No, Howard Shmuckler cannot, does not and never claimed to grant Eternal Salvation or save a Soul from Eternal Damnation,” Shmuckler’s site said. “Did Howard Shmuckler and The Shmuckler Group, LLC save nearly a thousand (1,000) HONEST families from being out on the street – from being evicted from their homes once they fell behind on their mortgage payments? YOU BET HE DID!” The Federal Trade Commission outlawed upfront fees for mortgage assistance services at the beginning of 2011 in an effort to shut down a growing industry that preys on struggling homeowners unable to win help from indifferent banks and mortgage-servicing companies. Homeowners who want help dealing with their lenders can get free assistance from housing counselors certified by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Virginia resident Hassina Ansary sued Shmuckler in 2009 for charging her $2,000, but doing nothing while her home slid into foreclosure. A Virginia jury took her side and order Shmuckler to fork over $686,600. Instead, he paid her a tribute on his website, with a picture of the “evil monkey” from the TV-series “Family Guy” pointing an accusatory finger at a picture of Ansary. The header on the page warned: “BEWARE – THE REAL SCAMMERS.” The page also included a long list of names, presumably former clients, described as “FRAUD MASTERS.” Shmuckler’s site accused Ansary of receiving rental income from investment properties, which Ansary denied in the defamation suit that resulted in the site going down earlier this month. A Virginia judge ruled in Ansary’s favor, and Ansary’s attorney said she entered into separate agreements with the companies that hosted the site. Shmuckler, who previously told The Huffington Post to check out his site in lieu of an interview, could not be reached on Monday. In an ironic twist, Shmuckler is now fighting to save his own home: Last summer Ansary filed a civil complaint to force him to sell his Virginia Beach house to pay the judgment she’d been awarded as a victim of his scam.

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BlueWave Technology Announces New Company Leadership, Promotes Internal Expertise

April 25, 2011

HONOLULU, HI–(Marketwire – Apr 25, 2011) – BlueWave Technology , a leading provider of claims management solutions for the property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry, is pleased to announce the promotion of Alyssa Hostelley to president and Matt Grover to vice president of product management .

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Alan W. Silberberg: America Sucks at Being "Service Economy"

April 25, 2011

I have just been on 10 airplanes over the course of 11 days. I was in seven different airports, each with stores, restaurants, etc. I have been in countless cabs and other forms of transportation between airports, meetings. All this frenzied travel had nothing whatsoever to do with customer service, nor was I pondering America as a service economy. But it slammed home all by itself. It. What it? That if America has shifted from an economy of making things to an economy of servicing things, then you would think we would be getting good at it. However the stark reality exists. People have become rude. Manners have fallen by the wayside. The economic strains and other societal forces combining with everyone’s head stuck to their electronic tether have created a downward spiral of customer “service.” At the 2010 Gov 2.0 LA Craig Newmark , the founder of Craigslist, and I had a discussion about bringing customer service best practices from business to government. But in light of the current state of things in the U.S., I now believe more is needed. If America is to be a service economy and succeed, and even innovate, then we need to buckle down and focus. People, if you have a job, be happy, do the best you can do, smile, and treat people the way you yourself would like to be treated. Plain and simple. Anything else just creates confusion, bad feelings and ill will towards your brand, or yourself. If your job is to service people, then remember that the people actually come first, not some script handed to you by a supervisor who could care less. Some of my colleagues at Constellation Research Group are the worlds leaders on customer experience having led some of the biggest brands to success. When you look at their research and other writings on these subjects, it becomes clear that if America is to succeed as a Service Economy, then we need to take seriously the training, human relations and communications components that make the difference between world class service and customer service failures. We need to be creating educational tools that start to train young people in schools. Maybe it might even be time to institute manners classes and help people manage expectations of their own behavior in a service environment. Certainly, if our future is service then we need to be raising the level of service all across our economy.

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New Home Sales Inch Up From Rock Bottom

April 25, 2011

Sales of new homes rose slightly in March after reaching a record low in February, bolstering hopes among economists and home builders that the housing market’s multi-year decline has finally hit rock bottom. New home sales — tabulated when contracts are signed — grew 11.1 percent in March to a seasonally-adjusted rate of 300,000, according to estimates released Monday by the Census Bureau. Last month, only 270,000 new homes were sold, the lowest number recorded since the government started tracking the data in 1963. Housing experts say that some of the March increase reflects catch-up from February and January, when bad winter weather delayed home sales and construction projects. Although the 11 percent monthly growth is welcome, new homes sales are still down a staggering 21.9 percent from March of 2010. The median sale price for a new home was $213,800, up 2.9 percent from $207,700 in February, but down 4.9 percent from the March of last year. Analysts are awaiting a Tuesday release of the closely watched S&P/Case-Shiller index of home prices in the 20 largest US cities, which is expected to show a 0.4 percent decline since February. “With existing homes being sold at much more competitive prices, the demand for newly built properties will recover only very gradually,” Capital Economics, a London-based research firm, wrote in response to the latest data. Meanwhile, a separate report indicates that nearly half of the housing market is now made up of distressed properties. “It’s certainly a case that we’re establishing a pretty solid bottom for how low [home sales] can go,” said Michael Englund, chief economist at Action Economics. “The outlook is pretty bleak for housing, but not as bad as we thought a month ago. It does appear that without any sort of big outside shock, things are not going to get any worse.” Last month showed several mildly encouraging signs that the housing market may be on the mend: existing home sales and new home construction both increased slightly in March. Even so, President Obama said last week that housing is “probably the biggest drag on the economy right now.” Englund and others who think the housing bust has finally bottomed out argue that the general uptick in economy will eventually translate to a pick-up in home sales. “I look more to the housing market being pulled by the rest of the economy, and therefore I’m counting on the housing market moving forward because the rest of the economy is moving forward,” said David Crowe, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders. First time home buyers, Crowe argues, will begin buying more as the job market improves. In the past year, the national unemployment rate has dropped from 9.7 to 8.8 percent — but much of that decrease has come from Americans dropping out of the labor force entirely . “We still have a sizable pool of people waiting to enter the job market, and that’s just one more factor hanging over the head of the housing market. People that quit looking for jobs are probably also not looking for a new home,” Englund said. Englund points to employment as the key to improving the housing market, saying businesses have to start hiring again. “What’s unusual in this recovery cycle is that the business community remains remarkably terrified,” Englund said. “By year three, that’s usually when the business starts to go gangbusters. I’ve never seen such a spooked economy at this state of the cycle.”

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Brink Lindsey: Why Growth Is Getting Harder — And What To Do About It

April 25, 2011

The worst of the Great Recession is apparently over. The economy is growing again, and the unemployment rate is down to 8.8 percent from its peak of 10.1 percent. Yet even if the acute crisis is abating, the grim fact is that the U.S. economy still faces chronic health problems. Even before the recession hit, back in 2007, real income for the median American household was lower than it had been in 2000. So too was total employment as a percentage of the population. Here’s the fundamental problem. Economic growth is harder than it used to be. This is the argument made by the economist Tyler Cowen in his provocative new e-book The Great Stagnation . Even if you don’t buy all his analysis (and I don’t ), he’s right that the American economy will have to contend with some pretty stiff headwinds over the next couple of decades. Let me mention here one of the main challenges that confronts us: increasingly unfavorable demographics. If you want to increase GDP per person — the main yardstick for economic growth — one of the best ways is getting an ever-higher percentage of the population into the business of producing GDP. And that’s exactly what happened over the course of the 20th century with the rise of women in the work force. In 1900, only 20 percent of women sought work outside the home; in 2000, the female labor force participation rate hit an all-time high of 60 percent. As a result, the overall employment-to-population ratio climbed steady, and this progressive mobilization of Americans into the money economy helped to propel growth and prosperity. But now demographics are pushing in the opposite direction. Female participation in the labor force started falling after 2000, well before the Great Recession. Meanwhile, the percentage of adult men in the workforce has been slowly declining for decades, thanks to later entry due to more schooling and more years in retirement. And looking ahead, the aging of the population will put further downward pressure on labor force participation. The switch from a rising to a falling employment-to-population ratio matters a great deal. A recent report by the McKinsey Global Institute estimates that growth in the workforce (due to increasing population) will add only 0.5 percentage points to the average annual growth rate between 2010 and 2020. By contrast, the expanding workforce added 2.0 percentage points to growth back in the 1970s. If we’re going to avoid a historically unprecedented slowdown in the long-term growth rate, something has to make up the difference. That something is productivity. Economic growth can be seen as having two basic sources: (1) increases in working hours per person, and (2) increases in output per working hour. Since the first has tailed off, the second — otherwise known as productivity growth — needs to pick up the slack for growth to stay on course. According to McKinsey , we will need to boost productivity growth by roughly 25 percent above present levels to keep economic growth from falling below the long-term historical trend line. Welcome to the era of “frontier economics.” That’s the term I used to describe our situation in a recently released study for the Kauffman Foundation. In that study I argue that growth comes in two basic forms: imitation, or expansion based on the application of existing knowledge; and innovation, or the development of new ideas at the technological frontier. Because of shifting demographics and other factors as well, the sources of imitative growth are being exhausted. As a result, we are now increasingly reliant on innovation to keep prosperity alive. The only alternative to Cowen’s “great stagnation” is to push back the frontier of our knowledge and know-how. Once the challenge that confronts us is understood, the implications for economic policy become clear. If we are to pull out of the current slump and launch a 21st-century boom that rivals the growth record of decades past, it will be through unleashing the power of competitive markets to spur innovation. I’m not talking about laissez-faire here, or the absolute minimum of regulations and taxes. Competitive markets don’t exist in a vacuum: They are the product of a highly developed and sophisticated regulatory structure. And the example of the Nordic countries shows that robust competition is possible even with much bigger government than I would personally prefer. Rather, I’m talking about an economic environment in which new businesses are free to enter the market, struggling businesses are free to exit, prices move freely in response to supply and demand and product offerings change freely in response to consumer preferences. Both empirical researchers and theorists of economic growth agree: Competitive intensity is the key to spurring progress at the technological frontier. Existing firms pressed by their rivals have sharper incentives to innovate. Meanwhile, a competitive business environment open to entrepreneurial upstarts creates opportunities for those new firms with new ideas that are so frequently the agents of disruptive, discontinuous innovation. That’s the big picture, but what are the specific steps we need to take to make America a more competitive, innovative economy? To answer that question, the Kauffman Foundation launched the Law, Innovation, and Growth initiative to explore how to reform the country’s laws and regulations to promote long-term growth. The early fruits of this project were published this year in a new book by the Kauffman Foundation titled Rules for Growth , which contains specific policy recommendations from some of the nation’s top legal experts. We still have much work to do. But here in the era of frontier economics, the choice is clear: innovation or stagnation. To keep the American dream of widely shared prosperity alive, we need to choose entrepreneurship and competition over the vested interests of the status quo.

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Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Paul Krugman: ‘I’m A ‘Loner’

April 25, 2011

Paul Krugman is a Nobel-Prize winning economist and world-famous blogger. According to a new article, you can add self-described loner to that list as well. In a New York magazine profile, “What’s Left of the Left,” Krugman, author of the New York Times ‘ highly-influential blog, “The Conscience of a Liberal”, is described as a “lonely man” that had trouble naming a single friend that could be interviewed to provide the author with a better understanding of one of America’s most famous liberals. Asked to describe himself, Krugman, who allegedly avoids eye contact with colleagues in the elevator, quickly points to his own solitary characteristics: “Loner. Ordinarily shy. Shy with individuals.” The portrayal differs somewhat from the March 2010 profile by the New Yorker in which a relatively-content Krugman allows the public into his life and mariage with fellow economist Robin Wells. “I think he’s happy,” his friend Craig Murphy said at the time. “A much happier person now than when we first met him.” The New York profile’s author, Benjamin Wallace-Wells, instead, contrasts Krugman with his bombastic former classmate at Harvard graduate school: Larry Summers, ex-director of Obama’s National Economic Council. “Let’s put it this way,” Krugman says when describing the difference between the two. “When things go crazy, my instinct is to go radical on policy, and Larry’s is to be a little more cautious.” Summers, in return, took aim at Krugman as “the guy in the bleachers who always demands the fake kick, the triple-reverse, the long bomb, or the big trade,” without ever getting in the game. Krugman has previously said his wife pushed him to remain true to his gut, denouncing filibusters and holding strong to his belief that that Obama’s health-care bill needed a public option. In an interview with New York , Krugman describes his first years blogging for the NYT as “a radicalizing experience,” primarily because of wading through the Bush administration’s economic policy closer than ever before. Krugman says he discovered a world in which the president of the United States could say something “demonstrably false” and no one would say anything. “That was pretty awesome,” he said.

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Top Ten Most Stressful Jobs

April 25, 2011

We don’t need April to be labelled Stress Awareness Month to know how stressful the American workplace can be. And with fears of a double dip recession only adding top of the usual demand of performing your job at a high level, it’s worse now than ever. A recent survey conducted by CareerCast asked respondents to rank 200 different jobs based on the level of stress. To quantify workplace anxiety, the survey asked respondents to rate eleven stress factors found in the workplace: outlook/growth potential, travel, deadlines, working in the public eye, competitiveness, physical demands, environmental conditions, hazards encountered, own life at risk, life of another at risk and meeting the public. What they found was that stress can show itself in a number of ways. For real estate agents, it’s the unusual hours, while the responsibility of caring for others, as in occupations like emergency medical technicians and airline pilots, can foster more palpable stress. Among newscasters and corporate executives, instead, it’s the expectations of the job that induces performance anxiety. Here are the top ten most stressful jobs according to CareerCast .

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BCHC Introduces New CEO

April 25, 2011

NEW YORK, NY–(Marketwire – Apr 25, 2011) – BoNa Coffee Holdings Corp. ( PINKSHEETS : BCHC ) is excited to announce the appointment of Rich Cabael as President and Chief Executive Officer of BoNa Coffee Holdings Corp.

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Christopher Mondini: Why Facebook Needs a Foreign Policy

April 25, 2011

Facebook has appeared less frequently in international political news lately, but in the aftermath of attention the social media site received in the wake of Arab world unrest, they need to get their act together and gird themselves for the next wave. Facebook’s “deer in the headlights” response to calls for it to do more to help protesters in Tunisia and Egypt contrasted starkly with the proactive role of Google, whose employee, Wael Ghonim, went so far as to exhort the masses in Tahrir Square. Why the difference in approach? For better or worse, Google’s “Don’t Be Evil” mantra empowers its employees not only to decide how best to react to world events, but also how to shape them. One example was the “speak2tweet” work-around designed by Google engineers for Egyptians in the wake of a Twitter shutdown. Similarly, Google’s tools that have sprung up to assist the victims of earthquakes in Haiti and Japan, and, in particular, their transparency map of government controls are further evidence of the confidence with which Googlers seek to put “Don’t Be Evil” into practice. Hard lessons learned in dealing with Chinese censorship, having a physical presence (people, offices and servers) in many places around the world, and employing a deeper bench of talent in global policy issues have also helped Google navigate the shoals of political risk abroad. Facebook, like much of Silicon Valley, is full of brilliant engineers, whose talent for innovation is directed toward developing products and seizing markets. They are competitive, accustomed to (justifiably) feeling like the smartest people in the room, and proud of their contributions. What they seem to lack, however, are esteemed colleagues who understand the cultural and political environments into which their products are introduced. What’s more, Facebook’s public pronouncements often betray their impatience when questioned on these matters. If they were better at articulating it, Facebook might get away with the following argument: We are a company that offers a service that is governed by rules (e.g. no anonymous profiles) enshrined in a Users Agreement. By asking Facebook to change its rules (for example, to allow activists to have anonymous profiles), critics — including the U.S. Congress — are taking the easy way out. The rules that should be changed are those of repressive foreign regimes, not Facebook’s. Facebook’s responsibility ends with providing the service. Facebook’s facilitation of free assembly and free expression has clearly outpaced efforts to strengthen the rights of people around the world to freely assemble and express themselves, but is this Facebook’s fault? At its most benign, this argument translates as “We’re just a website.” But to the general public and policy makers the argument sounds like “The world just hasn’t caught up with us yet.” This communications gap has led to such gaffes as asserting that privacy doesn’t matter that much, a threat to move Facebook out of the U.S. to avoid its jurisdiction, and refusals to appear at congressional hearings on global internet freedom. What should Facebook do? First, decide who’s in charge. Facebook urgently needs a policy guru who can both reconcile internal conflicts, help their leaders understand how they are coming across, and serve as an appealing and persuasive spokesman to both governments and the media. Second, Facebook needs to engage with a broader circle of stakeholders. These include users, employees, U.S. and foreign governments, policy experts and forums like the Global Network Initiative . This will help them to establish the boundaries of their corporate responsibility. Formulating a policy that balances business goals with unwieldy social impacts will take time and be an ongoing process, a process that needs to be transparent, with results communicated regularly to Facebook’s 600 million users — and to national governments wherever they may log in. Another point about public perception: any assertion that Facebook lacks resources is trumped by awareness of the billions that investors have poured into the company, just as any assertion that they have no political mission is weakened when they host President Obama for a town hall meeting. Freedom on the internet is in retreat, as governments become better at imposing controls and using social networks to their own advantage. At the same time, the road that leads through Ukraine (2004), Iran (2009) and the convulsing Arab states of today will surely lead to more political upheavals. A little scenario planning, more dialogue with stakeholders, and a humbler articulation of a flexible foreign policy will help Facebook remain more hero than target.

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The End Of America Is Best Illustrated By Major League Soccer, Apparently

April 25, 2011

This morning’s Drudge Report gives the banner treatment to a report from the Wall Street Journal ‘s MarketWatch , detailing how the International Monetary Fund has set a 2016 date for “the moment when the “Age of America” will end and the U.S. economy will be overtaken by that of China.” Per MarketWatch, this “provides a painful context for the budget wrangling taking place in Washington, D.C.” and “raises enormous questions.” (Basically, what it all means is that some big numbers will get bigger and something that’s been true for a long time — China’s economy is growing at a faster pace than that of the United States — will continue to be true.) Here’s another enormous question, though: What is going on in the picture that Drudge provides for this story? Holy crap! What is going on there? Have the mobs already formed to rampage over this news from the IMF? What have they set ablaze? And are we all uniting under this blue-and-gold checked banner, for freedom? Actually, no. None of those things are happening. Apparently, what’s depicted is a gathering of the ” Sons of Ben ” — fans of the Philadelphia Union of Major League Soccer , so named for Philly’s own Benjamin Franklin (which is bad-ass, by the way). It seems that this is a shot of the Sons, cheering in the “River End” section of PPL Park in Chester, Pennsylvania . I’ve got no idea what the smoke is, but it appears in other images of the fans in full cheer. [UPDATE: A Union supporter writes me to say that the smoke is from smoke bombs that are set off whenever Philly scores a goal.] Well, you have to give Drudge credit for getting an image of Union supporters. [Hat tip: Twitter users @VercengetorixII , @gplefka ] [Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com -- learn more about our media monitoring project here .]

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Carnegie Mellon University Recoups $40M In Alleged Swindle

April 25, 2011

PITTSBURGH — Carnegie Mellon University is getting back $40 million, or about 83 percent of what it lost in an alleged investment swindle that targeted university endowments and other nonprofits. A federal court judge in New York last month approved a plan to repay $814 million to 24 victims, roughly 85 percent of what was lost. The payouts were to begin Friday and CMU says on its website Monday that it is getting back $40 million of $49 million invested in the Westridge Capital Management. The school says it is “aggressively” pursuing the rest of the money it lost. The University of Pittsburgh was also victimized, having invested about $65 million. A Pitt spokesman did not immediately return a call for comment about how much that school could receive under the court-ordered plan.

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Battelle Appoints Experienced R&D Leader as President of New Energy, Environment and Material Sciences Global Business at Battelle

April 25, 2011

COLUMBUS, OH–(Marketwire – Apr 25, 2011) – Battelle’s President and CEO Jeff Wadsworth has named Battelle veteran Martin Toomajian as President of Battelle’s newly formed Energy, Environment and Material Sciences Global Business.

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Dean Baker: The Battle Is Over Money, Not Philosophy

April 25, 2011

Ever since House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan put out his proposal for voucherizing Medicare we have seen a steady drumbeat of stories telling us that this is a battle over the size and role of government. This is not true. It is a battle over money. This point is important because there are very few people in this country who are interested in debates over philosophy. Insofar as they do give it any thought, most people will say that they prefer small government over big government. They want to see government play a less intrusive role in our lives. There are probably less than a hundred people in the entire country who support “big government” as a matter of principle. Unfortunately, most of them write columns in major national papers. This is bad news for progressives because insofar as the Ryan plan is seen as being about reducing the size of government, then it could be acceptable to a substantial portion of the electorate. On the other hand, if the public understands that the Ryan plan will transfer tens of trillions of dollars from the middle class to the insurance and health care industries, the plan will become radioactive to politicians seeking reelection. The basic story is that the Medicare system is far more efficient than the private insurance sector in delivering health care and holding down costs. This has nothing to do with whether we prefer the government or the private sector. It just happens to be true. We know this because we have tested it. The government first opened up Medicare in a big way to private insurers in the mid-’90s when the Gingrich Congress pushed through Medicare Plus Choice. It turned out that Medicare Plus Choice raised costs. Beneficiaries with comparable histories cost about 10 percent more to treat in the private program than in the traditional Medicare program. We tested the private-sector route a second time when President Bush pushed through his Medicare Advantage plan along with the Medicare prescription drug benefit in 2003. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) concluded that Medicare Advantage also raised costs. This is why the CBO calculated that Representative Ryan’s voucher system would raise costs compared with the existing Medicare system. The CBO’s projections imply that switching to the Ryan voucher system would raise the cost of buying Medicare equivalent policies by $30 trillion over Medicare’s 75-year planning period. This amount is approximately six times the size of the projected shortfall in Social Security over its 75-year planning period. It comes to almost $100,000 for every man, woman and child in the country. In other words, even in Washington, the burden of the Ryan plan is real money. It is important to recognize that this $30 trillion figure is simply the increase in the cost to the economy of providing health care. This number does not include the shift in costs from the government to beneficiaries. The $30 trillion represents higher payments that would go to insurers, pharmaceutical companies, medical supply companies, doctors and other health care providers because the private system put in place under Ryan’s plan is less efficient than the Medicare program. This enormous waste, and the resulting transfer of income from taxpayers and beneficiaries to insurers and providers, has absolutely nothing to do with whether our preference is for big or small government. The relevant question is whether we want ordinary workers and retirees to pay tens of trillions more for their health care in the decades ahead in order to enrich the insurers and health care industry. The answer to that question for the vast majority of voters would be a loud “no.” If the public understood what the CBO is telling us — that the Ryan plan will hugely raise the cost of health care for retirees so that the vast majority will no longer be able to afford plans that are anywhere near the quality provided by Medicare — then there is no doubt that there would be massive opposition to his proposal. However, if this massive upward redistribution of income is concealed as a debate over the size and role of government, then those who want to destroy Medicare may get their way. So, just remember, tell the “size and role” folks to shove it. The debate over the Ryan plan is about money; it’s that simple.

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Eric Schoenberg: How I Paid Only 1% of My Income in Federal Income Tax

April 25, 2011

In 2009, the median U.S. family had an income of just under $50,000, on which they would have paid roughly $2,761 (or about 5.5%) in federal income tax. I, by contrast, enjoyed an income of $207,415 in 2009, but paid only $2,173 (or 1.0%) in income tax. In a recent newspaper interview, I mentioned my absurdly low tax rate to illustrate the extent to which the tax system is biased in favor of the wealthy (my income varies widely from year to year, but is typically north of half a million dollars). My point was that with our country facing frightening budget deficits amid an ever-widening income gap between the rich and everybody else, I consider it both unwise and unfair that a former investment banker like myself pays less in taxes than working Americans with far lower incomes. Among the dozens of emails I received in response were many from people who assumed that rich people avoid taxes through complicated strategies devised by an army of expensive advisors (many correspondents asked for the name of my accountant). But under our current tax system, the rich don’t need high-priced lawyers who exploit obscure loopholes; I wasn’t even trying to minimize my taxes (and, in fact, could have paid zero tax if I was). Warren Buffett has observed that if there’s class warfare in this country, the rich are winning. I offer my 2009 tax return, then, as a flare to illuminate the battlefield. Americans are understandably angry over the government’s multi-billion-dollar bailouts of reckless bankers. But low tax rates on investment income have put far more money into Wall Street’s pockets than the TARP bill did. Even President Obama’s proposal to let the Bush tax cuts lapse for the richest Americans would leave a top marginal rate on capital gains and qualified dividends of just 20% — half the proposed rate on labor income. This difference creates a loophole you can drive a Rolls Royce through. Having left Wall Street in 2002, I now earn far more money from my financial portfolio than from my job as an Adjunct Professor, and as a result I consistently pay under 15% of my income to the IRS. Still, I was astonished when my accountant told me that my tax rate for 2009 was a mere 1%. I knew my deductions were an unusually large percentage of my income that year due to three items: $46,000 in charitable gifts, $56,000 in state and local taxes (mostly related to 2008, when my income was much higher) and $45,000 in investment expenses (basically fees paid to various money managers). Personally, I think there are reasonable arguments to be made for keeping each of these types of deduction, but the numerous “tax expenditures” that litter the tax code mean that citizens with similar incomes can end up paying wildly different amounts in tax. Even after deductions and exemptions, however, I still had taxable income of $37,349, putting me in the 15% bracket (higher than the average rate I’ve paid in years past with income twenty times as large). If I’d been an ordinary worker, my tax bill would have been $4,764. But wait! Under the Bush tax cuts, if one’s income from other sources is low enough (which mine was after deductions), certain types of investment income are subject to zero — yes, zero — tax. In my case, the qualified dividends I received in 2009 would have escaped taxation altogether if not for the Alternative Minimum Tax. Even under the AMT, however, I paid less than half the income tax paid by a wage-earner with the same taxable income (and less than a third of the tax burden when including social security taxes, which are not due on investment income). Does that seem fair to you? Advocates of lower taxes on investment income argue that they increase the incentives for folks like me to create jobs. As a long time investor, I’m skeptical. After all, job growth was much higher in the years following the Clinton tax hike in 1993 than it has been over the last decade as investment tax rates were repeatedly slashed. And lower rates on investment income also reward financial speculators, whose actions in recent years haven’t exactly promoted increased employment. Middle class anger in the Tea Party era, meanwhile, has been directed primarily at government spending. Arguing that government will simply waste whatever money it receives, Tea Party supporters oppose higher taxes on anybody (which explains why this is one populist movement which many billionaires are happy to support). But by focusing attention solely on whether government costs too much, the Tea Party ignores the completely separate question of who pays those costs. Last year, the answer was: not me. And I’m not happy about it. Some Tea Party types have observed that I am welcome to pay more voluntarily to the federal government if I want, but this entirely misses the point. Given the choice, of course I prefer to give money to my own causes rather than the federal government. But the whole point of democracy is for the community to decide what activities are in our collective self-interest. “Taxes are the price we pay for civilization,” and since we all share in that benefit, we should all pay our fair share of the cost. While the Republicans talk about the “shared sacrifices” necessary to close our government’s budget deficit, their plan imposes pain mostly on the sick, the elderly, and the poor. Asking the rich to sacrifice by paying higher tax rates surely pales in comparison. I believe that having wealthy investors pay taxes at the same rate as middle-class workers would be an important step towards making sure that we all contribute to putting our fiscal house in order.

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JPMorgan Pays Millions To Settle Wrongful Military Foreclosure Suit

April 25, 2011

Bloomberg: JPMorgan Chase & Co., one of the lenders criticized over improper foreclosures on military families’ homes, agreed to pay $56 million to settle claims it overcharged service members on their mortgages.

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Renowned Enterprise Governance Leader, Tony Filippone, Joins HfS Research as Vice President to Lead Governance and Healthcare Strategies

April 25, 2011

Former WellPoint Outsourcing Governance Leader Joins Growing Analyst Team at HfS Research as Research Vice President

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Robert Lenzner: A Tipping Point for the Dollar and the Yuan

April 25, 2011

We are at a tipping point for the advent of a new global currency that will recognize the seeds of the dollar’s fall and the rise of China as the new world economic power. It will take time, but you could grasp it in the multiple examples of changes being floated in the public arena. The amazingly steady climb of gold and silver for 5 straight weeks to new peak prices is the signal that investors recognize the dollar — and therefore dollar securities — are risky. Gold and silver and to a lesser extent oil have become hedges against the dollar’s decline. In China, Xia Bom, an adviser to the People’s Bank of China, China’s central bank, did not rule out this week a one-off revaluation upward of the Chinese currency. Such a move would be highly beneficial to the Chinese economy; it would dampen the worrying high rate of inflation by making it cheaper to buy the natural resources China requires for her 9.7% rate of growth including energy, metals, coal — and even foodstuffs. Controlling inflation is a key priority in China, and a yuan appreciation would be a bold surprise — but may be required if the policy of raising bank interest rates does not work. And it would mean China could continue to buy US Treasury securities at a cheaper price to make up for the declining value of the dollar, which hit a new low for the past several decades today. If the yuan rises as the dollar goes lower, it’s beneficial for the profits of US multinationals like Apple, Proctor & Gamble, and Colgate Palmolive, that sell their products to China. That’s one explanation for the surprising spike in stock prices this week, as earnings reports surprise on the upside. However, a yuan appreciation with a lower dollar might mean a spike in all other Asian currencies as well like the Singapore dollar. Add up the negatives for the dollar. A rating agency that puts the government on notice about its credit rating. The sad spectacle of waiting until the last minute to raise the debt limit. The brutal standoff between Republicans and Democrats over the need to reduce the federal budget deficit — estimated at $1.5 trillion — or over 10% of the budget. Oil at $112 a barrel means a higher trade deficit, and a larger budget deficit. My gold gurus, Frank Giustra and Chris Wood, are skeptical about a meaningful deal on retrenchment in the US, and strongly believe gold as a momentum play has no equal. Wood is so optimistic he is telling US pension funds to have a 40% weighting for gold bullion and gold mining shares. This is 8 times the position just amassed by the University of Texas pension fun

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Chicago’s Gas Prices Highest In U.S.

April 25, 2011

Some Chicagoans are heading to the suburbs to fill up their tanks, as gas prices continue to climb in the city limits. According to the latest Lundberg Survey of fuel prices, Chicago has the highest gas prices in the country. While the average price of gas reportedly rose by 12 cents in the past two weeks, Chicago is well above the national average–paying about $4.27 per gallon. Many Chicagoans are paying more than that, however. Chicagogasprices.com reports that a Northwest Side BP station is charging $4.69 per regular gallon, and prices remain in the $4.30-$4.50 range throughout much of the city. “That’s why I’m only putting 10-bucks in here and then going up to the suburbs in Lake County and put the rest, that’s my plan right now,” Chicagoan Mark Jacobsen told Fox Chicago . Prices in the suburbs range from $4.07 per gallon at the Costco station in Melrose Park to the $4.20 range in some southwest suburbs, according to Chicagogasprices.com. President Obama discussed the issue of high gas prices in his weekly address, and told donors in Los Angeles that prices at the pump have quite an impact on his polling numbers. “These gas prices are killing you right now,” Obama said at Facebook headquarters in Palo Alto , acknowledging that many Americans can’t afford new fuel-efficient cars and must drive older models.. For some, he said, the cost of a fill-up has all but erased the benefit of the payroll tax holiday that he and congressional Republicans agreed on last December. Illinois Sen. Mark Kirk pitched some ideas for alleviating pain at the pump in Illinois last week. He said exploring natural gas supplies, speeding up the offshore drilling permit process in the Gulf of Mexico and easing federal regulation would bring down prices quickly. “If the market saw Congress moving in this bipartisan direction, it would see larger supplies in the future and that would directly affect the futures market. The price of gasoline right now is artificially high because the markets see a constriction of supply,” Kirk said, according to WBEZ . The Associated Press reports that the latest Lundberg Survey puts the average price for a gallon of regular gas at $3.88, as of April 22. The national average for a gallon of mid-grade is $4.02, and $4.13 a gallon for premium.

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Buffett May No Longer Be Invincible

April 25, 2011

NEW YORK (Ben Berkowitz) – Aside from maybe the odd cheeseburger stain on his tie, nothing much sticks to Warren Buffett. Whether his underlings are convicted of helping insurance companies inflate results or a major company he helps oversee is sanctioned for accounting shenanigans, his admirers don’t seem to care. Or at least, they haven’t historically. But with a key Buffett lieutenant resigning under a cloud recently, some sophisticated investors are no longer willing to overlook the obvious. For all the shareholders who still consider Buffett the epitome of American capitalism, there are others who wonder whether the time may be near for Buffett to take a graceful bow and exit the stage. Some will clamor for that this weekend, when 40,000 of his shareholders prepare to descend on Nebraska for the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, the ice-cream-to-insurance conglomerate he runs with absolute authority. “I want to hear more about Sokol, I want to hear more about how they’re going to outperform the markets. I want to hear about what (Buffett’s recent) trip to India leads us to believe about how the money is going to be invested in the future,” said Michael Yoshikami, chief executive of wealth management firm YCMNET Advisors and a widely quoted Berkshire shareholder. Investor disappointment reflects not just the revelation that David Sokol, once Buffett’s presumed successor as chief executive, bought stock in a company he then pushed Buffett to acquire. It is also because of Berkshire’s lackluster performance recently, and questions about the firm’s ability to thrive after its octogenarian chairman and chief executive moves on. Berkshire Hathaway has grown exponentially over decades, but many investors question how it can possibly do as well in the future. With the dozens of companies that Berkshire Hathaway owns having had relatively little oversight for years (by Buffett’s own proud admission), some wonder how much earnings power Berkshire actually has and whether future earnings can be as strong as past. “Obviously Berkshire has intrinsic value but now I have to question that intrinsic value,” said Janet Tavakoli, an expert on derivatives and author of “Dear Mr. Buffett,” a 2009 book laden with fulsome praise for the legendary investor. Tavakoli, like many others, has revised her thinking sharply in the intervening years. Yet she, like so many others, added an important caveat about Buffett: “(His) brand is so powerful you are reluctant to question.” SOKOL AFFAIR By now the details of Sokol affair have been told many times. Citigroup bankers pitched a long list of companies to Buffett’s presumed successor, and he told them he thought Lubrizol Corp, which makes lubricants and other chemicals, might make a good acquisition target. He started buying up shares for his own account, and after building up a $10 million position he pushed Buffett to buy the company. As Buffett put it, Sokol made only a “passing” mention that he owned some Lubrizol shares. Sokol made about $3 million on the trade, perhaps at Buffett’s expense. Buffett has been called to task for how he handled the matter. In a letter to investors, he announced Sokol’s resignation, explained the stock issue and offered a grant of absolution: “Neither Dave nor I feel his Lubrizol purchases were in any way unlawful,” he wrote. Less than three weeks later, the first shareholder suit was filed, accusing Berkshire’s board of breaching its fiduciary responsibility. More are expected, particularly from bigger firms with a track record of winning large settlements for shareholders. Governance experts say Buffett blamed the sin but not the sinner. “The response wasn’t as strident as … I would have hoped for in suggesting that personal stock transactions that are related to corporate stock transactions are problematic and not the sort of thing that the company thinks is a good idea,” said Charles Elson, director of the Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware. “And I would hope in these situations that you would be pretty tough on that in your response.” Some of Buffett’s biggest investors also say he should have chastised Sokol or told him to sell his stock. What is murkier, however, is the question of whether Buffett actually did anything wrong from a legal standpoint. “There’s a lot of very problematic behavior here that doesn’t easily find an explanation, so the question remains, what in fact was going on here?” said Harvey Pitt, chief executive of Kalorama Partners and the former chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. “Why would somebody be allowed and be deemed to have acted properly in profiting to the tune of $3 million based on his privileged position at the company?,” Pitt added. It wasn’t the first time that Buffett has been close to people behaving questionably. But few of his investors have cared, and the damage to his reputation seemed slight if at all. In 2008, for example, the government won convictions of four executives from his reinsurance business for helping other insurers inflate their results. The nearly uniform reaction from legions of Buffett fans around the world: yawn. And in 2005, the SEC sanctioned the Coca-Cola Co, whose audit committee Buffett sat on, for inflating earnings. His admirers barely batted an eyelash. ‘THAT’S MY GUY’ Buffett, of course, benefits mightily from his folksy image. After all, it’s tough to imagine how someone who drives himself to work and stops at McDonald’s for a bite on the way home can also be guilty of high crimes of finance. “Warren Buffett works very hard reflecting an image that 300 million Americans, six billion people around the world say, ‘That’s my guy. That’s the way I’d like to be like.’ And he works very hard at that — not every week or every month, but every day. And I think by working hard at it every day, he drives that image hard into people’s minds,” said Robert Dilenschneider, a public relations executive who heads the Dilenschneider Group in New York. The audience at the annual meeting is one of the tools he uses to burnish his reputation. There is no better financial television than footage of Buffett having an ice cream at (Berkshire-owned) Dairy Queen, with hordes of investors thronging him and hoping he might drop a stock tip on the floor with the crumbs of his vanilla cone. It is hard to interrupt that storyline. “With the cash that he was able to squeeze out of that dying textile business (Berkshire Hathaway) and astutely reallocating it year after year after year, the business grew from $18 a share to $120,000 a share,” said Roger Lowenstein, author of a well-regarded 1995 Buffett biography and a number of other finance books. “I have no doubt that he’ll be regarded as the investor and probably the financier of the era. This incident sort of tells people that he’s human.” PERFORMANCE UNDER FIRE While many would agree with Lowenstein on Buffett’s place in financial history, his returns of late have not necessarily matched his reputation. Berkshire shares have only barely matched the S&P 500 since September 2008, the depths of the crisis and the time Buffett made some of his most lucrative bets, like buying Goldman preferred shares that threw off more than $15 a second in dividends. Just this year, Berkshire has underperformed the S&P 500 by about 4 percent. Buffett has said returns will slow, so it does not necessarily come as a surprise. There is expected to be less reluctance to question him this year in Omaha. Author Tavakoli said shareholder dissatisfaction was already palpable at the last meeting she attended in 2009, as Buffett went on about his bet on Wells Fargo and investors grumbled that he was not talking about the “crony capitalism” they saw behind the crisis-era bailouts. “It seems as if Warren Buffett has sort of lost touch with the tone of the people who invest in Berkshire Hathaway and their sentiment,” she said. The Q&A session will again be moderated by financial journalists this year, so even if investors don’t ask tough questions, reporters may. Words like “contentious” and even “raucous” are being thrown around. And yet, some investors still do not expect much. “I don’t expect any great revelations but what I want is not necessarily what I’m going to get,” said YCMNET’s Yoshikami. Yet he still expects the annual meeting to be a “lovefest,” given the overwhelming number of shareholders who flock to Omaha annually for nothing more than pearls of Buffett’s wisdom (and perhaps some discount pearls from his jewelry business, one of a number of Buffett companies to offer steep shareholder discounts over the course of the weekend). Yoshikami said that if Buffett gets away from the Sokol episode unscathed, it will be because he has banked sufficient goodwill with investors in the past. “When you have an inventory of transparency that you can fall back on I think you get the benefit of the doubt,” he said. “I think when you self-disclose enough and you have a reputation for self disclosing it buys you some reputation credits.” But no matter what Buffett says or does in Omaha, there is a growing realization that the old days have slipped by. Buffett and his partner, Charlie Munger, are aging, the questions about the future of the conglomerate are getting louder and people are recognizing, as they do, that all good things have to come to an end. “The passage of time is hitting home. This year is the end of Berkshire as it used to be,” said Alice Schroeder, a former stock analyst who wrote what many view as the definitive biography of Buffett. “It will never be the same. Even if people think Buffett’s not going to address all these issues and the questions won’t be as tough as they should be, Berkshire as it used to be is over,” Schroeder said. (Additional reporting by Brett Gering of Reuters Insider; Editing by Jim Impoco) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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CHART: Bloggers’ Predictions Beat Wall Street Professionals

April 25, 2011

When it comes to Apple’s stock, the advice of financial bloggers may be more reliable than tips from professional analysts. On Wednesday, Apple reported a second-quarter net profit of $5.99 billion, or $6.40 per share. CNN Money, however, tracked revenue predictions, and Apple made $24.67 billion of it in the second fiscal quarter. They found amateur bloggers were much more bullish on Apple than their professional counterparts. Of the 58 analysts surveyed, in fact, bloggers on average predicted Apple would generate 8.53 percent more revenue than Wall Street professionals. That optimism, it turns, out was also more accurate. Predicting the tech giant would generate $25.25 billion in revenue, bloggers’ estimates overshot Apple’s results by $58 million on average. The average Wall Street prediction, on the other hand, was low by $1.4 billion. The below HuffPost chart compares blogger predictions (blue) with Wall Street analysts (orange). The horizontal dotted line indicates Apple’s actual reported revenue: AAPL Q2 Forecast Accuracy Powered by Tableau

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Paul Carr: The Strip Diary, Day Twenty One: From Sin City to Sim City — Tony Hsieh’s Plan to Rebuild Downtown Vegas

April 25, 2011

“So, how are you going to write sarcastically about all of this?” Tony Hsieh makes a good rhetorical point. We’re standing in the Downtown Cocktail Room , the epitome of a hipster San Francisco bar: hot young locals lounging on sofas, sipping cocktails with names like ‘Sniff Happens’ and ‘Persephone’s Pomme’; moody lighting; bathroom stalls with two-way mirrors so you can look out as you pee; half of the people in here work for an Internet company. You know the drill. The only difference is, we’re not in San Francisco. We’re in Las Vegas. And all of these Internet people work for Zappos, the Internet shoe retailer that relocated here from San Francisco in 2004. I’ve been invited to join company CEO Hsieh (pronounced “shay”) and his team for one of their regular Friday night social events so that he can tell me about his big new project. And what does the CEO of a company that was acquired by Amazon for almost a billion dollars do next? He rebuilds downtown Las Vegas, obviously. Since the start of my trip to Las Vegas , I’ve received dozens of emails and tweets encouraging me to get off the strip and explore “downtown”, the area around Fremont Street which formed the town’s original gambling center, before the advent of the Strip. “There’s a thriving arts scene downtown!” some wrote. “There are great bars!”, insisted others. Frankly, though, there seemed to be more than a touch of wishful thinking to the claims: pressed for specifics, most mentioned First Friday — the monthly arts and culture “block party” held downtown on the – uh – first Friday of every month. At a push, a few could identify a specific bar or coffee shop they frequented, but the overall consensus from those I spoke to – cab drivers, waiters, PR people, actors and lawyers alike – was that Vegas is a at heart a small, transient, town yearning for a cultural community. Even Tony Hsieh — who wrote a book called ” Delivering Happiness ” and is capable of putting a positive spin on almost anything – admits that “Vegas isn’t really known for having a sense of culture or community.” But, unlike the cab drivers and waiters and PRs and actors and lawyers, Hsieh is actually in a position to do something about it. Zappos currently employs 1100 people at its main headquarters in Henderson. The company boasts of its culture of happiness and how employees are made to feel part of a giant family. Indeed, on Thursday, en route to a tour of the Zappos campus, I asked my company-supplied driver what first attracted him to the job. “I was living in Las Vegas but all my family was in New York,” he said “People told me that working at Zappos was like joining a family – and it is. Every night I have at least one or two invitations to parties or social events organized by other people from the company. The difficult thing is knowing which ones to say no to.” Comparing those two realities — the uber-social Zappos family (set to double in size in the next two years) and Vegas’ perceived lack of community, particularly downtown — Hsieh saw an opportunity to ‘deliver happiness’ to all sides. When the City Council announced plans to change the location of City Hall, Tsieh made his move, buying the building and announcing plans to move Zappos HQ from Henderson to Fremont East. As Mayor Oscar Goodman told the Las Vegas Review Journal the move “revolutionizes the way downtown will exist in the future… It creates a critical mass of [creative] folks… They’ll be over at the Arts District. They’ll be milling around the downtown and creating energy.” Put simply: the relocation of the Zappos family to Fremont East will inject a ready made community of 2000 people into the area, transforming its social and cultural scene from “burgeoning” to “established” at a stroke. The big move won’t happen until at least 2013, but already the effects have been seen: Zappos employees are starting to look for homes nearer to the new location, and every night after work more and more of them make the journey downtown to see what all the fuss is about. Which is what brings Hsieh and his team to the Downtown Cocktail Room. Come on,” he says, “I’ll give you the tour.” Fremont street is a curious thing – ” Checkpoint Charlie ” as one Zappos-ite likened it – forming a dividing line between the tourist-heavy Fremont Street Experience and the ‘real’ downtown: the burgeoning hub of bars, coffee shops and arts and entertainment venues which make up Fremont East. The effect on crossing from the tourist zone to the local zone is instant, and a little trippy. Suddenly gone are the gigantic plastic cups of booze and the staggering, belching drunks, and in their place swarms a thick cloud of hipsters, munching gourmet hotdogs from curbside food carts and patiently lining up outside drinking hole with names like ” The Beauty Bar “. As Tony and I walked, something started ticking away in my brain. A feeling that I’d been here before, and not just because there’s also a bar called The Beauty Bar in San Francisco’s Mission district. Continuing on, past a sign for 6th Street – “this whole area is closed to traffic at the weekends” — it clicked: the streets of Fremont East feel uncannily like the streets of Austin, Texas during the South by Southwest festival. Stepping inside the bars, though, one is instantly transported West to San Francisco: the inside of Vegas’ Beauty Bar is the spitting image of it’s San Francisco counterpart (later Googling would confirm they have the same owners ). Another recently-opened Fremont East bar that should be in San Francisco, but isn’t, is ” Insert Coin(s) “: essentially a karaoke bar for gamers. Open until 6am, the bar offers multiplayer games on giant flat-screens as well as coin-op arcade classics: The line outside stretched halfway around the block – but, fortunately, I’m with Tony so there’s no waiting. Everyone in Fremont East knows Tony. The bar’s owner comes over to say hello. “You’ve come at a good time,” he tells me when Tony explains that I’m writing about the rebirth of Fremont East, “you’re witnessing the start of something big here.” A block or so away from Insert Coin(s) stands City Hall which seems as good a place as any for Hsieh to spell out his vision, not just for the building — “there are jail cells in there; we’re thinking of turning them into nap rooms, or maybe a speak-easy” — but for the whole of downtown Vegas. “This will be a completely different area in the next five years,” he says, “we’re bringing food, live music, an entertainment scene; we’ve even talked about opening a charter school. Did you ever hear of the game Sim City?” “Of course.” “Well, for us it’s like playing Sim City in real life. One tagline we’ve come up with is ‘from Sin City to Sim City’…” He pauses. “…you know, like adding another little hump on the ‘n’” It’s impossible not to love Tony. Speaking of which, if I were a cynical man, then I’d be convinced that what happened next had been set up in advance. “Excuse me, are you Tony Hsieh?” say the slightly breathless fellow who accosts us as we walked back towards the Cocktail Room. Tony extends his hand, instinctively — clearly he gets this a lot. The man proceeds with his pitch; he’s the founder of a not-for-profit art collective, and was wondering whether Zappos might care to display some of their art. The moment brings all of the pieces of Tony’s vision together: Zappos, local art, downtown Vegas… “Sure,” says Tony, “in fact we’re having drinks at the Downtown Cocktail Room, why don’t you come by and I’ll introduce you to the person in charge of our art.” Like I say, Tony couldn’t have scripted the encounter better. Delivering happiness indeed. Even the Downtown Cocktail Room itself is conveniently on-message, owned as it is by Michael Cornthwaite. Michael and his wife Jennifer have been described as ” the first couple of Fremont East “, responsible for numerous local artistic and cultural initiatives including ” Emergency Arts “, a cultural center, housed within the former Fremont Medical Building. Where once there were waiting rooms and doctors surgeries, now the space has been taken over by dozens of independent artists and retailers. Tony’s tour of Emergency Arts takes me past painters and fashion designers and tattoo parlors and even the headquarters of the ‘Burleseque Hall Of Fame’, each neatly packed into its own space — “look at this: there’s a whole hair salon built into an old waiting room — isn’t that great?” It is great. On the ground floor of the building sits The Beat Coffeehouse which, judging by the number of people who have suggested meeting there during my continuing exploration of off-strip Vegas, has become the de facto social hub of Fremont East. Again, the vibe at Beat is unlike anything I’d experienced in Vegas so far; but very like what I’m used to seeing in places like San Francisco or Austin. (Even the name screams San Francisco, although actually it refers to the fact that the coffeehouse also sells vinyl records.) Finally back at the Cocktail Room, I ask Jennifer Cornthwaite to explain Fremont East’s problem. Why, given the lines around the block at Insert Coin(s) and streets bustling with local hipsters, had so many locals complained to me about the lack of community downtown? I’d asked dozens of self-described locals for suggestions on where the local arts and cultural scene can be found. With the exception of First Friday, none of them had been able to offer specific recommendations. Unless — “were they trying to keep me — a tourist — away?” “No, it’s surprising how few locals even know about these places,” Cornthwaite said, clearly exasperated. “We’re trying to raise awareness, but it takes time.” She’s also keen to persuade out-of-towners to venture down, away from the Strip, she insists, but — another echo from San Francisco — admits that she doesn’t want the area to become flooded with drunken tourists. At the Downtown Cocktail Room, that “people like us” test starts with figuring out how to open the damn door. It’s fun to watch the increasingly drunk procession of tourists passing by, trying to push on the glass wall at the front of the bar to gain access. In fact the real door is a handle-free metal panel tucked away to the left. “We didn’t design it to confuse people,” Michael Cornthwaite insists, “but it’s pretty effective at keeping out drunk people.” (The locals vs tourists attitude is contagious: I hesitated for an embarrassingly long time before deciding to include the ‘secret’ of the door, or even the name in this piece). Another of Jennifer Cornthwaite’s goals is to attract some of the creative talent from the Strip to venues around Fremont East. “Las Vegas has some of the world’s best musicians, and artists and performers. There’s so much artistic and creative talent in the town,” she says. By way of example, Cornthwaite mentions Absinthe — the circus-meets-burlesque show I’ve been raving about for the past two weeks. “A big part of me really wants Caesars to screw it up,” she says, “then we can be like ‘come put the show on here!’ We’d be the perfect venue for it.” She’s not wrong. In the meantime, given the echoes of Austin and San Francisco, surely it’s time for Fremont East to host its own arts and technology festival, to rival South by Southwest. Especially as — paging Portlandia — many early adopters are declaring the original festival “over”. Vegas plays host to the CES conference every January. “Why not pitch Fremont East as a kind of Vegas Fringe for those guys?” I suggest. Cornthwaite likes the phrase “Vegas Fringe”, but as for the other stuff “It’s already happening. During this year’s CES, I asked around the bar, who was in town for CES? It was like — woah — so many of them were. We just have to keep spreading the word.” Fortunately spreading the word is something Tony Hsieh is very, very good at. This, after all, is the man who bought a tour bus once owned by the bass player from Dave Matthews Band and drove around America on a ” Delivering Happiness Tour ” to promote his book. The bus is parked down the street, and Tony offers to give me a ride back to my hotel, stopping only to pick up a gourmet hotdog on the way (price $3, with toppings including pineapple and crushed potato chips). “I always order what I call ‘an underdog’” he says, “that’s where you put the condiments on first, and then the dog on top, so all the stuff doesn’t fall out.” I laugh. Every day millions of people complain about the messiness of hotdog toppings. But the difference between those people and Tony Hsieh is that Tony didn’t just bitch about the problem. He fixed it.

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This Isn’t A Tech Bubble, It’s Something Else Entirely

April 25, 2011

If you’re an early stage venture capitalist or angel investor there is no time like the present to declare a bubble, say valuations are out of control and predict the demise of the tech industry in the very near future. Since they’re in the business of buying low and selling high, any angle that suggests that the buy price should be even lower sounds great to them.

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Roger Martin: Fixing the Game: What the NFL Can Teach Us About Executive Compensation

April 25, 2011

The last decade has seen unprecedented upheaval in our capital markets, marked by two massive crashes that destroyed billions of dollars in value: the dot-com crash of 2000-2 and the financial market crash of 2008. After 2002, a whole series of regulatory changes were adopted to prevent a future crash. Yet the next crash still came. And as it did, one might have expected that observers would ask: what did we do wrong the last time? Why didn’t our fixes do what they were intended to do? One might have expected that we would ask these hard questions. Yet we haven’t. And as long as we fail to understand the real, fundamental reasons behind these crashes, and the bubbles that preceded them, it is only a matter of time until the next crisis. The mayhem in our capital markets is ultimately the unfortunate effect of tightly tying together two different markets: the real market and the expectations market. The real market is the world in which factories are built, products are designed and produced, real products and services are bought and sold, revenues are earned, expenses are paid and real dollars of profit show up on the bottom line. That is the world that business executives control — at least to some extent. The real market has been utterly overtaken in emphasis by the expectations market. The expectations market is the world in which shares in companies are traded between investors — in other words, the stock market. In this market, investors assess the real market activities of a company today and, on the basis of that assessment, form expectations as to how the company is likely to perform in the future. The consensus view of all investors and potential investors as to expectations of future performance shapes the stock price of the company. Modern capitalism dictates that the job of executive leadership is to maximize shareholder value, as measured by the market value of the company’s stock. To that end, the CEO should always be working to increase the stock price, to raise expectations about the company’s prospects ad infinitum. And just how does that play out? To see, let’s look at how expectations play out in professional football. In 2007, the New England Patriots had a remarkable year; the team went unbeaten in the regular season, racking up a stellar 16-0 record. Eight of its starters went to the Pro Bowl. Quarterback Tom Brady was named the league’s most valuable player, and head coach Bill Belichick earned coach of the year honors. The team scored more points that season than any team in history. It was, in short, a superlative performance. In terms of the real market, the Patriots were perfect. But the Patriots’ performance in the expectations game was mediocre in comparison. In betting vernacular, a favored team covers the spread when it wins the game by more than the point spread. In this case, the point spread is the moral equivalent of the stock price, in that it captures the consensus expectations of all bettors. In their sixteen-win regular season, the Patriots covered the point spread only ten times. Why? Because expectations grew to unattainable levels. The Patriots had started the season with sensible expectations and played, admittedly, exceptionally well. The average point spread for the first eight weeks was 10.5, and the Patriots were able to cover the spread in every game, winning by an average of 20.5 points. But as they continued to perform very well, expectations rose; bettors expected the Patriots to continue to be more and more exceptional each week. Soon, the Patriots were facing the largest spreads in the history of the NFL. They played very well in the second half of the season too. They still won each game, but in the final eight weeks, the Patriots beat opponents by just 12.5 points on average. Yet point spreads had risen to an average of 16.5. Against these heightened expectations, the Patriots covered the point spread in only two of their games in the second half of the season. Brady’s Patriots thrashed the Dolphins 28-7 in the second-to-last game of the season, but still couldn’t meet bettors’ expectations for a win by 22 points or more. The lesson is that no matter how good you are, you cannot beat expectations forever. Expectations will get ahead of you. Patriots quarterback Tom Brady had perhaps the finest season of any quarterback in NFL history, but he couldn’t beat expectations more than ten of sixteen times. And that is why quarterbacks aren’t compensated on the basis of how they perform against the point spread. While Tom Brady was leading his team to a perfect record but only beating expectations ten times out of sixteen, his young counterpart on the Cleveland Browns, Derek Anderson, was leading his team to a decent but unspectacular 10-6 record on the field, but a strong 12-4 record against the spread. If the point spread mattered more than the real game, Anderson, whose team missed the playoffs, would have out-earned Brady, who took his team to the Super Bowl championship game and set records doing so. The problem is, in American capitalism, CEOs are compensated directly and explicitly on how they perform against the point spread; that is, against expectations. Imagine the following scenario: a company decides to pay its CEO $10 million in total compensation for the year. It could pay that CEO $10 million in salary or it could pay him $2 million in salary and $8 million worth of phantom stock units (say 100,000 units with the stock at $80 per share). The simple $10 million salary embodies no incentive to increase the stock price, while the $2 million salary plus stock embodies a large incentive to do so. If the CEO can double the price of the stock by the time he retires, he will have earned $18 million in that year rather than $10 million. No wonder, then, that our executives focus almost entirely on the expectations game. They do so at the cost of turning their attention from the real game, from real customers and from real value. In the face of expectations that can run wild, CEOs have increasingly focused on what they can control: managing share price over the short run. Shareholders, on the other hand, should want CEOs to focus on the long term, on increasing share price more or less forever. So it turns out that rather than aligning the interests of shareholders and executives, stock-based compensation has reinforced the agency problem it was created to solve. What’s more, it has destroyed long-term shareholder value by driving shorter horizons of decision making and contributing to shorter CEO tenure. CEOs know that expectations are likely to fall, so they have incentive to leave or retire in order to cash in stock-based compensation instruments while expectations are high. Focusing executives on shareholder value maximization using stock-based compensation was supposed to give shareholders a better deal. Yet, it simply hasn’t worked out that way. Total returns on the S&P 500 for the period from the end of the Great Depression (1933) to the end of 1976, the beginning of the shareholder-value era, were 7.5 percent (compound annual). From 1977 to the end of 2010, they were 6.5 percent–suggesting that shareholders have little to celebrate, despite having been made the clear priority. It is time to do away with stock-based executive compensation. It’s just one lesson we can learn from the NFL and one step towards fixing the game. This post is excerpted from Fixing the Game: Bubbles, Crashes, and What Capitalism Can Learn from the NFL , to be published May 3 by the Harvard Business Press.

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Chrystia Freeland: The Real Cost Of Diminished U.S. Clout

April 25, 2011

Now, as the relative power of the United States in the global economy declines, it is a fact of life that Americans need to get used to, too. That is one of the important messages of the S&P decision at the beginning of this week to put the United States on a negative outlook — essentially a warning that the ratings agency is no longer certain the United States will maintain its AAA rating.

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Oz Levia Joins Jasper Design Automation as Vice President of Marketing and Business Development and Corporate Counsel

April 25, 2011

MOUNTAIN VIEW, CA–(Marketwire – Apr 25, 2011) – Jasper Design Automation , the leading provider of verification solutions based on formal technology, today announced that Oz Levia has joined its executive team as Vice President of Marketing and Business Development and Corporate Counsel.

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PivotLink Appoints Bruce Armstrong as Chief Executive Officer

April 25, 2011

Business Analytics and Data Warehousing Veteran Driving Next Stage of Growth

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Digital Media Pioneer Patrick Seaman Assumes Chief Operating Officer Role at Cinsay, Inc.

April 25, 2011

LOS ANGELES, CA–(Marketwire – Apr 25, 2011) – Technology and new media pioneer Patrick Seaman has been elevated to Chief Operating Officer for Cinsay, Inc., it was announced today by Matthew D. Papish, President and CEO, Cinsay, Inc. Seaman joined Cinsay as Chief Information Officer in February, and his expanded role now includes oversight of all operations at the eCommerce technology company. Since his arrival, Seaman has brought a number of technology executives onboard, including Chief Technology Officer Rick Spitz and Vice President, Engineering Sergey L. Sundukovskiy as part of the company’s major technology staffing initiative. Further key staff additions are expected within the coming weeks, as Cinsay completes major funding with Pepperwood Partners, with whom an agreement for up to $40 million in financing is in place.

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