April 2011

Southwest squeezes USD5m profit out of Q1

April 23, 2011

Southwest squeezes USD5m profit out of Q1

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JetBlue Q1 tiny profit at USD3m

April 23, 2011

JetBlue Q1 tiny profit at USD3m

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CSX profit hikes 30% to USD395m in Q1

April 23, 2011

CSX profit hikes 30% to USD395m in Q1

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FOREX: Dollar Faces a Heavy Week of Event Risk, But Can GDP and a FOMC Decision Revive the Currency?

April 23, 2011

FOREX: Dollar Faces a Heavy Week of Event Risk, But Can GDP and a FOMC Decision Revive the Currency?

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New Zealand Dollar To Be Heavily Influenced By RBNZ Rate Decision

April 23, 2011

New Zealand Dollar To Be Heavily Influenced By RBNZ Rate Decision

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Canadian Dollar Correction To Be Short-Lived, 0.9000 In Sight

April 23, 2011

Canadian Dollar Correction To Be Short-Lived, 0.9000 In Sight

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British Pound Rallies on Dollar Weakness – Traders Eye GDP Data

April 23, 2011

British Pound Rallies on Dollar Weakness – Traders Eye GDP Data

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Euro Debt Tensions and FOMC Decision Critical as ECB Expectations Fall

April 23, 2011

Euro Debt Tensions and FOMC Decision Critical as ECB Expectations Fall

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Dollar Sees Thin Margin for Recovery with GDP, FOMC Decision

April 23, 2011

Dollar Sees Thin Margin for Recovery with GDP, FOMC Decision

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Vale eyes Metorex purchase

April 23, 2011

Vale eyes Metorex purchase

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Dragon Oil produces 21% more in Q1

April 23, 2011

Dragon Oil produces 21% more in Q1

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Obamas make USD1.7m in 2010

April 23, 2011

Obamas make USD1.7m in 2010

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Obama’s Oil Market Fraud Squad May Miss Wall Street Abuses

April 22, 2011

WASHINGTON — On Thursday, President Obama unveiled a new working group to combat any fraud or manipulation in the oil and energy markets that may be contributing to near-record gas prices. But some economists and market experts worry that by focusing on criminal activity, Obama is shrugging off a much bigger problem: rampant Wall Street speculation in commodities markets that has helped drive up food and energy prices in the past. “If prices start moving quickly up, you can get a side effect … that people might try to play [fraudulent] games of one sort or another,” said Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist John Parsons. “But it wouldn’t be central to the price movement” currently being seen in the market, he said. Gas prices are approaching record levels set in 2008, when prices at the pump eclipsed $5 a gallon. While unrest in the Middle East is almost certainly playing a major role in boosting current prices, increased speculation in commodities markets is likely contributing to the near record prices. The number of speculative bets being placed on oil and gas now far exceeds that of the 2008 price swing , which many economists believe was driven by excess speculation. Moreover, on March 21, Goldman Sachs analyst David Greely advanced the argument that Wall Street speculation was helping drive up oil prices in a memo sent to the bank’s clients. But, if speculative excess is contributing to current sky-high gas prices, such activity may not be illegal, in part because the Commodities Futures Trading Commission has not yet issued key regulations intended to rein in Wall Street gambling on food and energy prices. Congress ordered the agency to crack down on excessive speculation with last year’s financial reform bill, but the CFTC has been slow to implement new rules in the face of intense lobbying from Wall Street bankers. Financiers are quick to note that commodities markets need speculation — a raw bet that the price of oil or food will move up or down — in order to function. But economists say that too much speculation can distort the market, leading to wild price swings. Even if so-called “fundamental” factors are driving prices, heavy speculation can cause prices to swing further than normal supply and demand forces would dictate. In January, the CFTC announced it would push back implementing ‘position limits’, a key regulatory tool that restricts the size of the bets investors can make on commodities, in order to collect more data. But many reform advocates and CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton say that there is plenty of data available to implement new rules now. “What the administration and others should do, which they have the power to do quickly, is impose position limits, which would stop excessive speculation now,” said Dennis Kelleher, a former securities lawyer with Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom who now heads the financial reform advocacy group Better Markets. “An investigation into criminal acts is not likely to lead to much.” Attorney General Eric Holder, who is in charge of the new inter-agency taskforce, specifically instructed members of the new taskforce in a Thursday memo to look into “the role of speculators and index traders in oil futures markets” — something the CFTC is already required to do. Officials from the CFTC, the Federal Reserve, the Federal Trade Commission, the Department of Agriculture, the Deparment of Energy and state attorneys general will be part of the group. But Chilton, the CFTC’s strongest proponent of reining in commodity speculation, says that the task force may well do some good. “Seventy-five percent of the cases we send to the Justice Department for criminal prosecution are rejected,” Chilton told The Huffington Post. “But if we can work more closely with the DOJ folks, we may be able to put more people in jail.” Nevertheless, Chilton said the CFTC should be taking steps independent of the task force: “That doesn’t mean that the working group is a panacea for actions that can be taken by regulators right now. The position limits are something we can do right now. I don’t need a task force to tell me to do that.” Unlike the stock market and other capital markets, commodities markets are not designed to function as a forum for investment vehicles. Instead, commodity markets are supposed to allow farmers, manufacturers and other producers to hedge the risks of doing business. By taking out a futures contract, or similar bet in the derivatives markets, farmers can lock in a price for their crops, protecting themselves from price changes. Producers need someone to take the other side of their price bets, whether it be another producer or, as it more frequently is, a Wall Street trader. Commodities markets work well when around 30 percent of the market is dedicated to speculation, According to Kelleher. But since the mid-2000s, the share of speculators in commodity market activity has increased to about 70 percent, Kelleher says, in part driven by new commodities “index funds,” which allow investors to bet on the price of several commodities at once.The size of those funds expanded from about $15 billion in 2003 to $200 billion in 2008 , and are currently valued at over $400 billion , according to Barclays Capital. The explosion in the over-the-counter derivatives market has also contributed significantly to oil price increases, according to Kelleher, by allowing investors to place huge bets on commodities without either regulatory oversight or market scrutiny. The derivatives market for commodities grew from about $674 billion in 2001 to $13.2 trillion by June 2008 , according to the Bank for International Settlements. Last year’s financial overhaul gave the CFTC authority over that entire derivatives market — one vastly larger than the $5 trillion futures market that the agency had previously policed in isolation. Whatever new rules the CFTC writes, they will need funding additional funding to enforce them. “The CFTC’s current funding is far less than what is required to properly fulfill our significantly expanded mission,” CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler warned in April 12 testimony before the Senate Banking Committee . But Obama was willing to negotiate away additional funding for the agency during negotiations over the budget for the rest of 2011. Under the budget deal Obama struck with congressional Republicans earlier this month, the CFTC will receive a $34 million boost in funding for the remainder of the year. But, even with that additional cash, the agency will receive about $60 million less this year than the amount Obama requested for the agency under his 2011 budget. Calls to the White House were not returned. The Department of Justice declined to comment. Elise Foley contributed to this report.

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GM Will Become World’s Biggest Automaker This Year

April 22, 2011

DETROIT — General Motors is almost certain to claim the title of world’s biggest automaker this year, retaking the top spot from Toyota, which has been hurt by production problems since the Japanese earthquake and still can’t escape the shadow of major safety recalls. The No. 1 title, a morale booster for the winner’s employees and managers, would cap GM’s remarkable comeback from bankruptcy. GM’s sales are up, mainly in China and the U.S, the world’s top two markets. Its cars are better than in the past, especially small ones. But even though GM came within 30,000 sales of Toyota last year and began strong in 2011, any sales victory this year has more to do with Toyota’s problems. First, a series of big recalls has ballooned to 14 million vehicles worldwide and damaged Toyota’s reputation for reliability. That has spurred loyal buyers to look at other brands. Second, a March 11 earthquake and tsunami in Japan curbed Toyota’s car production. On Friday, Toyota Motor Corp. said its factories worldwide won’t return to full production until November or December. That means buyers across the globe may not be able to get the models they want. Already the crisis has cost the company production of 260,000 vehicles. Last year, Toyota sold 8.42 million cars and trucks, barely ahead of a resurgent GM, which sold 8.39 million. GM held the No. 1 spot from 1932 until 2008. Here’s why GM is almost a lock to retake the lead this year: A BETTER GM: General Motors Co. was dysfunctional three years ago, hobbled by enormous debt and a giant bureaucracy. Its quality was suspect, it lost billions, and it had few products other than pickups that buyers found appealing. After a government bailout, a leaner GM emerged from a 2009 bankruptcy with new vehicles and a focus on Chevrolet, Buick, GMC and Cadillac. Since then, GM has come up with hits including the Chevrolet Equinox small SUV, the Buick LaCrosse luxury car, and the Chevrolet Cruze compact. Its quality is better. Sales so far this year are up 25 percent in the U.S. and 10 percent in China. The efficient Cruze compact and Chevrolet Volt car both hit the market as U.S. gasoline prices started rising. TOYOTA TROUBLES: Bad publicity from the recalls, mainly for cars that can accelerate without warning, was hurting Toyota long before the earthquake. The recalls began late in 2009, and came just as GM, Ford, Hyundai, and others introduced more competitive cars and trucks. With a bunch of nice alternatives and doubts about quality, customers who once dutifully returned to Toyota started considering other brands. Many Toyota models look old and need upgrades. Despite rebates and low-interest financing, Toyota was the only major automaker with lower U.S. sales last year. Sales are up 12.5 percent so far in 2011, but only at half the growth of GM. Toyota is scrambling to keep factories open after the earthquake, and U.S. dealers expect to run out of some models. Already dealers are reporting shortages of the Prius gas-electric hybrid, a high-demand model because of gas prices. Merle Gothard, general manager of North Park Toyota in San Antonio, says he’s not worried about GM retaking the title because it still has a tarnished image from bankruptcy. “It’s important from a marketing standpoint,” he says. “But Toyota has other things going for it.” He notes that Toyota is still profitable and never took a dime of stimulus money from the government. THE CHINA FACTOR: Toyota has nowhere near GM’s presence in China, now the world’s largest auto market. Through March, Toyota sold 208,000 vehicles there, but GM and its joint ventures sold more than three times that number. Growth in China by itself probably would have moved GM ahead of Toyota in worldwide sales. Toyota’s lead was only about one day’s worth of sales for GM. CAVEATS: Toyota still has a loyal customer base that believes the cars are safe and will last forever. Many Toyotas run for hundreds of thousands of miles with little more than routine maintenance. It also has a reputation for fuel efficiency, led by the Prius. GM would have to run into major problems to let No. 1 slip away this year. So far it has not been seriously hurt by parts shortages, but if some key electronic components from Japan can’t be made elsewhere, the company could run short of models. A new management team also is pushing to speed up introduction of new models, and that could hurt quality. If GM takes No. 1 this year, it won’t crow much, says Jesse Toprak, vice president of industry trends and insights for TrueCar.com, an auto price tracking website. “It’s because of (factory) capacity restrictions, and that’s not something they want to brag about,” he says.

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BofI Holding, Inc. Elects James J. Court to Its Board of Directors

April 22, 2011

SAN DIEGO, CA–(Marketwire – Apr 22, 2011) – BofI Holding, Inc. ( NASDAQ : BOFI ), holding company of Bank of Internet USA, announced today the election of James J. Court to the Company’s Board of Directors, effective immediately. Mr. Court will be an independent director and his election fills the vacancy left by the passing of Mr. Gordon Witter in January 2011. Mr. Court will chair the Company’s Technology and Operations Committee.

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Marshall Goldsmith: What Was That?

April 22, 2011

Has anyone ever looked at you with a disappointed expression and said, “Are you listening?” My guess is that for you — like almost all of us — the answer is yes. Have you ever then replied to the person in an annoyed voice, “What do you mean I am not listening?” and then repeated what he or she said verbatim — to prove they were wrong? My guess is that for you — like almost all of us — the answer is again yes. Did your annoyed response dramatically improve your relationship with that other human being? My guess is that for you — like almost all of us — the answer is no. Even if you were listening, how much of an “I care about you” message were you sending to that other human being by taking a defensive posture? Zero. What was that other person really asking, “Why don’t you care?” Is “proving them wrong” really worth it? I don’t think so. So, the next time someone looks at you and says, “You’re not listening,” apologize. Just reply, “I am sorry. I will try to better in the future.” How do to better? Start looking like you care. As others speak to us, how do they know that we aren’t listening? They don’t. They only assume that we aren’t listening because we don’t look like we are listening. If we remember to look like we care, we will not only be reminding ourselves to listen better, we will also be reminding ourselves to communicate a sense of respect for the person who is speaking to us. Here are several ideas to help you not only listen better, but to look like you are listening, and to demonstrate caring to the person who is speaking to you: 1. After having a dialog with friends or family members, ask them to give you a 1-10 assessment of how much you looked like you cared about their remarks. 2. Find a partner and practice communication while recording it on video. Turn off the sound and just watch your non-verbal behavior. How much caring and respect are your communicating? 3. Try to eliminate all distractions when others are speaking to you. When you are doing other work, answering emails, or interfacing with your computer while someone is speaking to you — you may not look like you care. 4. Ask questions that let the other person know you have heard what they have to say and would like to learn more. While this advice can be very important at work, it may be just as important at home.

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Recent College Graduates Not Only Move Back Home, But Stay There

April 22, 2011

NEW YORK — Ashley Moore never planned on moving back in with her parents. Nearly a year after graduating from college, Moore, 22, also never expected to still be waking up in her old twin bed every morning. “It’s been difficult because not only was I on my own, I was really far away,” explains Moore, a St. Louis, Mo., native who graduated from Pace University in New York City. At one point, she spent an entire year away. “What I miss most is my freedom and having my own space.” We spoke yesterday via Skype. You can see Moore describe what it’s been like to move back home: Like many 20-somethings, Moore is experiencing what it’s like to not only move back home, but stay there . Despite a recent report released by the National Association of Colleges and Employers, which predicts that 2011 graduates may enter into an improved job market, many remain skeptical. Andrew Sum, an economist at Northeastern University, concedes that while “it’s better to be plus than minus, we’ve still got a really long way to go until we restore things back to the way they used to be.” Sum calls it the war against the young. Specifically, he’s seen a record number of college graduates forced to move home. Using data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Sum reports that 12.8 million college graduates under the age of 30 are either unemployed, working part-time or working at a job that doesn’t require a college degree. Such jobs can make it difficult for young people to establish a steady stream of income — to get the money required to not only move out of their parents’ house, but stay out. Further, Sum finds that young adults without a college degree have been pushed out of the labor market entirely and are finding work at a lower rate than anytime since the end of World War II. “The kids not working today will have a difficult time working tomorrow,” concludes Sum. “The evidence is overwhelming.” Since moving back home last June, Moore has been unsuccessful in securing a full-time job . She works part-time as a teaching assistant at a nearby pre-school. Her mother is an in vitro technician; her father owns a small carpentry business. For others forced into a similar situation, Moore stresses that communication is key to making the living arrangement work as best it can. “Your parents might regress and start treating you like you’re back in high school because, well, you’re back in their house.” Moore also advises to save, not spend. “Just because you’re not paying rent, doesn’t mean it’s a good time to go shopping.” The financial burden of going to college has always been her own. Moore is carrying $45,000 in undergraduate student loans and another $5,000 of debt split between two credit cards. Each month, she puts $250 of her part-time paycheck toward paying each of them down. Moore wants to attend law school and someday run for political office. In the meantime, she is keen on first getting her own apartment. Recently, Moore set a new deadline for herself: Come August, her goal is to finally be out from under her parents’ roof. “I know they love me, but it’s time for me to go,” says Moore. “I just hope that I can.”

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Increased Lamb Prices Help Sheep Farmers Prosper

April 22, 2011

LUBBOCK, Texas — In his 33 years raising sheep in West Texas, Glen Fisher has never seen it so good. Demand by U.S. consumers is up, imports are down and prices have soared. “You have almost what you can call a perfect storm,” said Fisher, 64, who has about 3,100 animals on his acreage near Sonora. “The great part is we have record prices for lambs – the highest ever by a whole lot.” Last year’s May delivery of lamb fetched about $1.39 a pound; this year the price is around $2.20 a pound, said Fisher, the immediate past president of American Sheep Industry Association. Lamb numbers far outstrip those for mutton. In 2010 about 156 million pounds of lamb was slaughtered at federal and state inspected plants, compared with about 11 million pounds of mutton. About 30 percent of lamb is purchased near Easter and Christmas, and consumers this year likely have noticed the increased cost at supermarkets and nontraditional markets that cater to people of Hispanic decent and those from Middle Eastern and African countries who live in urban areas of the Midwest and Northeast. The price is so high that Abbas Ammar, whose family owns two restaurants and a meat market in Dearborn, Mich., won’t carry it in the market. And he tells the restaurant’s wait staff to steer customers away from lamb. “Eat something else, pay less, enjoy,” said Ammar, who refuses to sell it in his market at $7 a pound. “I want to give a quality product for a low price,” he said. “I know it sounds weird. It’s really difficult to keep our (high-quality) standard and keep it at a low price, so I prefer to say I’m just out of it.” Still, Mazen Munaser, who father owns the Islamic Village Market in Dearborn, said demand remains strong. “It’s the busiest thing that we have in the store,” said Munaser. “It’s at a point that it’s very, very big sales. About 5.5 million sheep are raised in all 50 states, with Texas and California leading the nation. Roughly 35 percent of lamb and mutton are imported to the U.S. About one-third of U.S. sales are through nontraditional markets, which use smaller processing plants, farmer’s markets, direct sales off farms and through local butcher shops. The other two-thirds go through larger commercial plants and supermarket chains. Lately, nontraditional markets have grown more quickly. “The growth of the nontraditional markets has surprised everybody,” said Robert Oreck, executive director of the American Sheep Industry Association. “And it hasn’t peaked.” Higher prices have put meatpackers in a bind, said Greg Ahart, director of producer relations for Superior Farms, one of the nation’s larger lamb processors. If Superior raises its prices, it runs the risk that stores won’t buy and sales could plummet. “We need more product in front of the consumer so if they’re thinking about it they can easily find it,” Ahart said. “There’s got to be a happy medium where everyone can make money and the consumer can still find it.” That increased demand has come amid a drop in supply, in part due to decreased production in Australia and New Zealand, two of the world leaders in production and large exporters to the U.S., Orwick said. Australia has about 70 million sheep, down from 170 million 20 years ago. The drop has been blamed on the ending of a government support program and extended drought followed by recent flooding, Orwick said. In New Zealand, sheep numbers have dropped from about 70 million to 40 million, and many producers have switched to dairies and beef production. Drought also has hurt some producers in Texas, but others in states such as Tennessee, Kentucky, Michigan and Ohio have picked up the slack, Orwick said. There also has been increased interest in buying from U.S. producers, most notably demonstrated by a decision by Super Wal-Mart to sell only domestic lamb for the next two years. “It’s great,” Fisher said. “It’s going to be significant and should tip the demand curve up.” The worldwide drop in sheep populations also has created a tighter supply of wool, which is sold in a separate commodity market. That comes amid near-record prices for cotton and synthetic fibers, which are oil-based. It’s combined to push wool prices to a 20-year high. The sheep association has developed a plan to increase sheep numbers by adding two ewes per operation or by two ewes per 100 by 2014. The group also wants producers to increase the average birthrate per ewe to two lambs per year, and to raise the lamb slaughter rate by 2 percent. The program would mean 315,000 more lambs and 2 million pounds of wool for the industry to market. It also would add $71 million in lamb sales and about $3 million for wool, according to the group’s website. “If we can achieve that that’s a lot,” Fisher said.

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At The New York Auto Show: Star Power And Cross Promotions

April 22, 2011

The New York Auto Show has been rolling out this week at New York City’s Javits Center, and despite steadily rising gas prices, modesty is not its style. Lavish parties have sprung up around the city from the likes of Bentley and Mercedes-Benz, while other car companies have reeled in a variety of celebrity endorsements. Over at the Audi booth, longtime Audi-endorser Stephen Colbert talked up the 2011 Charleston Bermuda sailboat race, where he’ll serve as chief “morale officer” of a 65-foot boat, appropriately called The Audi. “Audi’s support in this race is the next best thing to putting a sail on my own Audi and sailing to victory,” Colbert joked with the crowd, adding that the boat was christened with a bottle of Jägermeister, appropriate to its German roots. Mini also rolled out the red carpet, as three out of the four members of KISS introduced Mini Countryman vehicles complete with custom KISS design. Anyone can request “custom KISS wraps” for their Mini vehicle, but four specific cars will be signed by the band and auctioned off at the end of May, with proceeds going to UNICEF. The band Train played a few songs to introduce the 2013 Ford Taurus. Volkswagen, not to be outdone, rented out a warehouse and featured a concert set from the Black Eyed Peas. “The shows are pretty awesome,” said Brian Reese, of Montclair, N.J. He also appreciated the show’s de rigueur Bravo-celebrity appearance. “On Tuesday a friend of mine saw one of the guys from ‘Iron Chef’.” A few blocks down from the Javits Center, at Pier 83, Acura had set up a tent to promote its partnership with the upcoming comic-book film “Thor,” in which all S.H.I.E.L.D. agents (the fictional Marvel intelligence agency) drive sleek Acura vehicles. Multiple lines spread around the block on 42nd Street, but it turned out the flurry was aimed at the nearby U.S consulate for the People’s Republic of China. “We’re not here for Acura,” said one man waiting in line to renew his passport. “I don’t know what that is.” Over at the Acura tent, passersby could strap on a pair of aviator sunglasses and sign up for an original “S.H.I.E.L.D. Agent ID badge” of their own. Actor Clark Gregg, who portrays Agent Phil Coulson in four of Marvel’s recent films and drives an Acura in “Thor,” was on hand for the festivities. “These are really nice cars,” Gregg said, admiring the ZDX model from the driver’s seat. “I wouldn’t mind having one of these for myself.” Just then, a group of protestors on the pier began a chant of “Free Tibet now.” “We can’t all become Chinese citizens, but we can become agents of S.H.I.E.L.D,” Gregg said. The black S.H.I.E.L.D. Acura ZDX will be traveling around Manhattan with an “@Acura_Insider” decal. Prospective S.H.I.E.L.D Agents can submit images of car sightings via Twitter .

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‘We All Need Jobs!’

April 22, 2011

Tired of getting nowhere in their search for work, 18 unemployed Californians are advertising themselves on billboards throughout the San Francisco area’s public transit system. “Let’s face it,” the advertisements say. “We All Need Jobs!” Howard Friedenberg, the leader of the group, said he got the idea for a campaign after seeing what he considered a badly-designed billboard for a lawyer or real estate agent. Friedenberg, who lost his job as a computer company’s communications specialist in November 2009, said he thought he could do better, and he recruited acquaintances he’d made while networking with other unemployed people. He said each of the 18 contributed $150 to cover the costs of ads and a website: www.WeAllNeedJobs.com . “We are a small group of self-promoting individuals looking for jobs,” the billboards explain. “Although we are talented, experienced professionals, getting attention of Bay Area employers hasn’t been easy. So here we are, on a poster.” Friedenberg said the initial goal was to receive media attention — and since the billboards went up in February, pretty much every TV station area has run a story . The campaign directs the curious to the group’s website, where employers can browse profiles of each of the 18 jobless individuals. Two of them have actually found work since its inception, according to the site. The word “LANDED!” is superimposed on their portraits. Do the billboards deserve credit for the hires? Not quite. But, Friedenberg said, it didn’t hurt. “I think what it did was it gave all of us a little more confidence,” he said. “We’re not embarrassed.” Friedenberg said the group has paid for for another eight weeks of ad space.

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Municipal M&A: Budget Woes May Force Cities To Combine

April 22, 2011

As cities grapple with continuing declines in revenue, some are considering merging with other strapped localities or sharing services in a bid to cut costs. Local officials in Michigan, Indiana, New Jersey, California and other states are considering municipal mergers, which some see as the only way to preserve services amid a historic economic downturn. Zionsville, Ind., combined with two townships last year, and political and economic pressures are pushing other communities in that direction. In California, some cities are outsourcing services to their counties. In Michigan, politicians in Detroit and neighboring Hamtramck say merging the two governments might save the dollars needed to stay afloat. In short, struggling governments are employing a strategy familiar to corporate chiefs and Wall Street investment banks: the merger or acquisition. Just as the recession has spurred companies to pair up, the persistent economic stagnation has made some cities see municipal M&A as a tempting, if incredibly complicated, method of cutting costs while still providing services to taxpayers. Jobs can be lost when such combinations take place, and thickets of obligations have to be reorganized. But municipal experts and local politicians say M&A is some cities’ best hope for fiscal survival. “This is, I think, going to happen nationwide. Not just in Detroit suburbs or New York suburbs or Chicago suburbs, but in effect everywhere,” said veteran municipal strategist Thompson Dyke, founder of the Chicago-based urban planning firm Thompson Dyke & Associates. “They’re approaching the concept of consolidating their governments reluctantly,” he continued. “They don’t want to do it, I don’t think. But they see this as something the electorate is going to increasingly ask for.” The worst economic downturn since the Great Depression has left many governments struggling to perform the most basic of functions. Tax receipts have withered as property values have fallen and residents have cut back on spending. Pension fund assets plunged as the stock market tumbled, with many municipal pension plans now requiring outsized contributions from taxpayers. And with states desperate to fill their own budget holes, many localities have gone without crucial portions of state aid. Awash in red ink, governments have laid off crossing guards and dismissed teachers. Others have delayed repairs to pothole-ridden streets or crumbling buildings. Still others have slashed bus service , preventing residents from accessing tens of thousands of potential jobs. And some of the nation’s statistically most dangerous cities have axed sizable percentages of their police forces. But there may be another way. Over the course of centuries, the U.S. has developed tens of thousands of local governments, designed to be responsive to citizens’ needs. There’s now one local government or public school system for every 3,500 Americans, according to Census data. But in today’s economic slump, not all of these small governments can survive on their own. With politicians reluctant to raise taxes to a level commensurate with other developed countries, localities are casting about for help. Frank Shafroth, director of the State and Local Government Leadership Center at George Mason University, speculated that in the next 20 years, one in four local governments will dissolve or merge into other governments. “It’s going to have to happen, and it’s going to be very, very hard,” said Shafroth, who was formerly director of government relations for Arlington County, Virginia. “There’s going to have to be change. The issue is who can be really creative and innovative in thinking how to make it work.” Local officials will likely look to history for guidance. In 1963, Nashville, Tennessee, merged with Davidson County. Six years later, Indianapolis, Indiana, combined with Marion County. And in 2003, Louisville, Kentucky, consolidated its government with Jefferson County’s. Consolidations are also happening on a service-by-service basis. Last summer, officials in Maywood, California, fired all municipal employees, and outsourced services to Los Angeles county. In Costa Mesa, every firefighter was issued a layoff notice last month, but nearly all of them had been offered jobs by the Orange County Fire Authority. If that deal goes through, Costa Mesa would cede control of its fire department, allowing the county to manage any future labor negotiations. The city would shed payroll costs, but it would pay the county for fire protection. Elsewhere, officials are itching to engage in some outright governmental M&A. Mitch Daniels, the Republican governor of Indiana, has made the elimination of township government one of his priorities. Last fall, Indiana voters approved a constitutional amendment that capped local property taxes. Given that restraint, local governments might be going the way of Zionsville, which combined with its townships last year. With fiscal pressures mounting, such mergers are likely necessary for many localities’ financial survival, said Matt Greller, executive director of the advocacy group Indiana Association of Cities and Towns. Combinations might also be in the works in Michigan, where local officials are mulling over the possibility of a merger of cities. A cluster of municipalities in the Detroit area faces severe strains, and a combination could potentially bring much-needed relief, some politicians say. Last year, Detroit and Hamtramck , an independent city located entirely within Detroit’s borders, were locked in a dispute over tax revenue. A General Motors plant — the one that produces the Chevrolet Volt — straddles the cities’ border, and the two governments agreed decades ago to share that property tax revenue. But then Detroit started withholding payments, critically weakening Hamtramck’s budget, the tiny city claimed. Desperate, the city of 20,000 people attempted to enter bankruptcy. As part of a deal struck last month, Detroit agreed to pay Hamtramck $3.2 million for the lost tax revenue, and Hamtramck agreed to pay Detroit for water and sewer charges it owed. But both cities still face myriad woes. Hamtramck, for its part, will remain solvent only for the next 10 months, estimates Bill Cooper, the city manager. Detroit, too, faces trouble. The decline of automobile manufacturers has put thousands out of work, and an exodus of residents has left the government scrambling to fill its coffers. Whole neighborhoods of buildings are decaying. The most recent Census numbers showed Detroit’s population had dropped by a fourth over the last decade. Making matters worse, Detroit’s population has officially dipped below a legal threshold, now preventing the city from collecting a tax on electricity, heat and phone lines, and forcing the government to reduce its income tax rate. Mayor Dave Bing has taken the matter up with the state, and significant portions of the city’s tax collection now hinge on whether the state legislature passes certain bills. In the meantime, the city stands to lose more than $100 million this year. Residents of Detroit and Hamtramck have talked about a possible merger for years. Last month, Michigan passed a law empowering state-appointed managers to take over the finances of troubled local governments, a scenario that local officials are striving to avoid. With budget strains mounting, local politicians now see a municipal merger as a potential way to resolve fiscal difficulties without state intervention. Outside city hall, Detroit politicians have quietly considered the idea of combining their city with Hamtramck and Highland Park, another municipality surrounded by Detroit. Councilman Kenneth Cockrel informally proposed taking a potential combination even further, merging Detroit with the suburbs of Ecorse and River Rouge. “It would automatically solve the population issue,” Cockrel said. “But it’s not like you can just go out and do an annexation next week. There’s a process you’ve got to undertake, and, I’ll admit, I’m not totally familiar with that process.” Even if a merger could solve some of Detroit’s problems, Hamtramck might resist. Hamtramck residents see their city as a relatively safe haven within Detroit, which, according to an analysis of FBI data, is the nation’s third most dangerous city. The police in Hamtramck pride themselves on fast, thorough service, and some officers and residents doubt that Detroit police would be able to provide the same level of protection. What’s more, a merger would likely require a reworking of payrolls, potentially resulting in layoffs. Dan McNamara, president of the local Detroit firefighters’ union, wouldn’t speculate about what might happen in a merger, but expressed support for the Hamtramck firefighters. The president of the Hamtramck firefighters’ local didn’t respond to requests for comment. But almost certainly, some jobs would be eliminated. At the very least, Cooper, the city manager, would be out of work, he said. “If a community can’t afford to provide the services that it should provide to its citizens, then you’ve got to look for alternatives,” Cooper said. “If that means combining communities, then that may be what has to happen.” Any combination of cities would be complicated, likely requiring the cities to hire outside consultants. Urban planners would serve the role of bankers in a corporate merger, poring over records in search of ways to maximize efficiency. But municipal M&A presents its own set of challenges. In Milwaukee, a local think tank released a study last year examining the consequences of a potential dissolution of Milwaukee County government. A county-city merger could yield efficiencies, the Public Policy Forum’s study noted, but the county’s pension and health care liabilities would present a potentially major challenge. Those benefits have to be paid, but the question is: if the government no longer exists, who will pay them? The study authors proposed a plan where the state would administer the benefits, but only the former county residents — the taxpayers who originally were on the hook — would be responsible for paying them. And, of course, a merger might not succeed in strengthening a city’s budget. Local governments across the nation are saddled with ballooning pension obligations, which are protected by state constitutions. Combining governments might just amount to rearranging the deck chairs. “Talking about merging entities will start to flush out some of the cost problems that you have,” said David Johnson, a partner at the Chicago-based ACM Partners, a boutique financial firm that advises municipalities. “But that’s not going to move the dial nearly as much as restructuring pension obligations would.” A successful merger, moreover, would have to better provide services to residents, said veteran bankruptcy lawyer James Spiotto, who has decades of experience in municipal restructuring. That’s the metric that local officials will use, he said. “The more local you get, the more responsive the government likely will be,” said Spiotto, who heads the bankruptcy division at the law firm Chapman and Cutler. If a merger doesn’t provide residents with the service they’re used to, he added, “it isn’t going to last.”

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Brett Caine: How To ‘Green’ Your Business

April 22, 2011

With Earth Day upon us, sustainability is a term we hear a lot but rarely as it relates to business economics. For most, the perception still remains that sustainability practices are at odds with financial realities. The recent data released by MIT Sloan and Boston Consulting Group in its Sustainability & Innovation Survey of global corporate leaders, certainly supports this point. Less than 9% of SMBs surveyed were classified as “embracers” of sustainable business practices, and only 34% of companies with more than 10,000 employees. However, sustainability is essential to helping today’s companies achieve many of their major business priorities, including attracting and retaining great talent and reducing capital expenses. In honor of Earth Day, I’d like to challenge the view that ‘green’ is incompatible with running a business by sharing the return on investment (ROI) we see achievable with four basic and “modernizing” changes to your business operations. Let’s face it, soaring gas prices and the stress of a challenging economy add a huge burden on today’s business owners. Adopting business practices that are good for your company’s long-term welfare as well as our global community is certainly a step in the right direction — not only on Earth Day, but every day. Here are some suggestions for consideration. Implement a telework program . You couldn’t have a greener commute than from your bedroom to your home office! Did you know that if most of the Americans that were able to telework actually did so just half the time, we could reduce our greenhouse gas emissions by about 51 million tons – the equivalent of taking the entire New York state workforce off the roads – and reduce Persian Gulf oil imports by almost half? These are a few of the findings from a new report our company commissioned called State of Telework in the U.S., which was conducted with the Telework Research Network. The report highlights the growth of U.S workers using telework, or workshifting as we call it, as a method of commuting. Happy workers make for a happy business. Flexible working can boost your company morale and be an attractive enticement for potential new recruits. Furthermore, why compromise the quality of the employees you are able to recruit by leashing them to a physical building? With so many amazing, easy-to-use, and affordable online collaboration and business tools, there are countless ways you can ensure remote employees are fully engaged and productive wherever they choose to work. Our research has found that workshifting actually increases productivity by some 27% and it turns out that workshifters are typically 55% more engaged than their office-bound counterparts (statistic courtesy of Right Management). Rethink your office space . In a 2010 Second Quarter “Facilities Snapshot” survey from the International Facility Management Association, sustainability ranked high on managers’ priorities. Almost half increased their sustainability efforts, actively seeking ways to conserve energy and reduce their carbon footprint. With the way we work evolving as the workforce becomes more distributed and mobile, there are key changes you can make to your office design that will go a long way in helping the environment. These changes include reducing square footage, not allocating full-time desk space to employees who workshift, and evaluating lighting, carpeting and air conditioning needs. For further insights please see here . Reduce costs associated with unused physical space and free up funds that can be directed to critical investment opportunities for the company. According to a study we conducted last year, if the 64 million Americans who could workshift did so just half the time, U.S. business would save $124 billion in office costs alone. This is a staggering statistic and one which should make all leaders take note. Increase energy efficiency . By giving employees more flexible work options, you can also install heat and motion detection lighting systems that will decrease energy consumption in the office and save money. Other ways your IT manager can increase energy efficiency is by replacing hard disk drives with solid-state drives in PCs, energy efficient chips in laptops, and switching from Alternating Current power to Direct Current power. Reducing facility operations costs and adding energy-efficient technology can chip away at unnecessary business expenses that could be better applied to investing in your business strategy and growth. For example, it has been calculated that virtualizing 100 servers could save $38,271 in energy costs per year. Use modern waste management techniques . When throwing away that paper coffee cup you picked up on your way into the office or the plastic container your sandwich came in, have you ever stopped to think about how much this adds to landfill? Perhaps it’s time for your company to consider reducing its waste and helping employees to do the same. Recycling paper is great, but there’s a lot more you can do. Composting, for example, not only reduces waste, it also enriches the soil. For small businesses on a budget, the costs of recycling and composting onsite may be a barrier. In that case, look for other companies in the area to start co-op recycling programs with or check into participating in a municipal composting program. From our own experience at Citrix Online, a robust recycling program has allowed our Santa Barbara headquarters to divert 42% of our waste from landfills in 2010; this increased to 58% in Q1 of this year. That’s good for the planet, can help improve sustainability processes and potentially reduce operating costs, not to mention giving employees an opportunity to participate in sustainability causes. And if you need any more evidence, the MIT Sloan and Boston Consulting Group survey mentioned at the beginning of this blog also found that the “embracers” were the highest performing businesses in the study, based on employee engagement, innovation, stakeholder appeal — and, yes, profitability.

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Mutual Fund Teaches Grad Students Real World Investing

April 22, 2011

NEW ORLEANS — With all of the ups and downs of the stock markets over the past decade, the average investor might wonder who’s watching over his mutual funds. In the case of the Burkenroad Fund, it’s a group of students at Tulane University’s Freeman School of Business who spend hours combing through the financial reports of companies that a lot of retail investors haven’t heard of and analysts don’t follow – and eventually find many of the stocks the fund buys. The results over a decade of student involvement aren’t anything to sneeze at. According to Burkenroad’s prospectus, the no-load version of the fund, which started Dec. 31, 2001, had returned 11.9 percent since inception through March 31, 2011. The fund, managed by Biloxi, Miss.-based banker Hancock Holding Co., has current assets of about $70 million. The fund licenses its name from the university, but is managed independently from the school. The Russell 2000 index, a benchmark barometer of small- and mid-cap companies, returned an overall 7.5 percent over the same time. In the recessionary year of 2008, when many 401(k) plans lost much of their value, the Burkenroad fund suffered a loss of just under 25 percent compared to 33.8 percent for the Russell 2000 index. But both rebounded the following year. And for the three years ending March 31, the Burkenroad fund returned 10.72 percent compared to 8.6 percent for the Russell 2000 index. Peter Ricchiuti, who teaches the stock analysis course, said he picks most of the companies, and students come up with others. He said the Burkenroad fund’s reliance on student reports is unique, although other business schools put their students to the task of researching investments for university endowments. About 200 students over the current school year have been evaluating 40 companies across the South. Considering the region, it’s not surprising that 15 of the companies have some sort of involvement in the petroleum industry. The others include regional banks, as well as insurance, consumer goods, chicken- and egg- processing and retail companies. All of their final analyses – known as Burkenroad Reports – are available to the public. “At the Freeman school, we do our due diligence and take a more long-term look at investing,” said Anthony Elia, a 25-year-old graduate student in finance from Pasadena, Calif. The companies are generally in the $100 million to $1.5 billion market cap range and located in Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, or Florida. The group looks for profitable companies – and those that don’t have many financial analysts following them. “One of the things is that we can clearly understand what they do,” Ricchiuti said. “No wild high-tech companies. Just meat-and-potato companies.” Elia first reported on oilfield services company Key Energy Inc. and now heads a team of students studying Carbo Ceramics Inc., an oilfield services company, and consumer services specialist Rollins Inc. Alexandra Thurber, a graduate student from Bethesda, Md., first reported on oilfield service company Willbros Group Inc. and now is team leader of a group analyzing egg producer Cal-Maine Foods Inc. and Pool Corp., which provides swimming pool products. She’s not sure yet whether she’ll be doing the same task for a living. “My background is in math and this is an extension of that,” Thurber, 25, said. “The dynamic nature of the markets is interesting. I think I will wind up working in a financial career, but not necessarily investing.” In keeping with standard investment house rules, the students are forbidden from investing personally in companies they have researched. They can buy the Burkenroad Fund. These students, from their perspective in life, have grown up around a lot of cynicism concerning investing – the dot-com bust, the scandals of Enron and Tyco International and, last but not least, the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the ensuing retirement savings wipeout of the 2008 financial collapse. “There’s always been some cynicism,” said Arnaba Dasqupta, a 29-year-old graduate student with a previous job at a New York hedge firm and who is now hoping for a banking career. “It doesn’t have to come from a corporate scandal. It can be management being too optimistic. It’s not lying, but it’s misleading to investors.” What would the student stock-pickers tell a potential investor? “I suggest you find a company whose products and values you like and stick with it,” said Tray McCurdy, a 24-year-old graduate student in finance from Baltimore. Elia is against momentum investing – or “jumping on the bandwagon.” “Invest in companies you know and understand,” said Dori Brown, a 21-year-old undergraduate student from Houston. “Don’t focus on one aspect of a company,” Thurber said. “Look at the entire picture and not just one thing that excites you.” Arnab said that if an investor is not confident of his knowledge, he should seek an adviser who can be trusted. “Do your own homework,” he said. “Investing is a system with a lot of people with a lot of different opinions. The markets owe you nothing.”

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McDonald’s To Bump Prices, While Ads Wax Fifties Nostalgic

April 22, 2011

As food costs are expected to rise about four percent in the United States and Europe from last year, McDonald’s plans to raise its prices slightly and gradually. In March, the company raised all menu items by one percent, reports Nation’s Restaurant News, and plans to “keep taking small, additional menu price increases.”

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Chinese Truckers Strike For Third Day, Threatening China’s Exports

April 22, 2011

SHANGHAI – (Melanie Lee and Royston Chan) – Striking truck drivers protested for a third day on Friday in Shanghai’s main harbor district amid heavy police presence and signs the action has already started to curb exports from the world’s busiest container port. The strike is a very public demonstration of anger over rising consumer prices and fuel price increases in China. It comes as the government struggles to contain higher inflation, which hit 5.4 percent in March, fearful that rising prices could fuel protests like those that have rocked the Middle East. A crowd of up to 600 people milled about outside an office of a logistics company near the Baoshan Port, one of the city’s ports. Some threw rocks at trucks whose drivers had not joined in the strikes, breaking the windows of at least one truck. The strikers, many of them independent contractors who carry goods to and from the port, stopped work on Wednesday demanding the government do something about high fuel costs and what some called high fees charged by logistics firms, said the drivers, who clashed with police on Thursday. China is especially wary about threats to social stability following online calls for Middle East-inspired “Jasmine Revolution” protests and has detained dozens of dissidents, including renowned artist Ai Weiwei. As many as 50 police officers were at the area on Friday, and at least two people were arrested after throwing rocks at trucks. Plainclothes officers also briefly detained some foreign reporters and manhandled a Reuters photographer. The crowd thinned out after a policeman said authorities planned to meet representatives of the truck drivers on Monday for talks aimed at ending the strike. “Please disperse and go back,” he said through a megaphone to truckers who had gathered near a road junction. “We are already talking to your representatives. There will be an answer for you on Monday.” But two truck drivers told Reuters that they would continue their campaign for the government to offset the rising cost of fuel. “We are continuing our strike,” said a 38-year-old truck driver surnamed Liu. “There has been no response from the government or anybody else. There’s nothing we can do.” Workers organized the strike using word of mouth, said a driver. China’s tightly controlled state media has made no mention of the unrest, and the city’s government, which is working hard to turn glamorous Shanghai into a global financial hub to compete with Hong Kong and London, has denied knowledge of the strike. “We’re currently not aware of the situation,” a spokesman with the Shanghai city government said. He declined to be identified. EXPORTS SLOW Duncan Innes-Ker, China analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said the strikes could inspire protests by workers in other transport sectors, given rising fuel prices. “There are strikes in the taxi driver industry on a regular basis in numerous cities across China,” he said. “These are happening and they will continue to happen, and if the oil price continues to rise they will get worse.” China said in early April it would lift retail gasoline and diesel prices by 5-5.5 percent to record highs. [ID:nSGE736009]. An official reached by telephone at Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, which runs the Shanghai port, told Reuters the strike “has not affected operations,” though would not comment further. But one executive said the action was already starting to affect the port’s operations, at least for exports. “The strike has delayed exports and many ships cannot take on a full load before leaving,” said Wei Yujun, assistant to the general manager at China Star Distribution Center (Shanghai) Co. “For example, if one ship carries 5,000 containers en route to Hong Kong and the U.S., now they can only carry 1,000 or 2,000 containers,” Wei said, adding that such containers typically carry goods such as textiles and machinery. Traders said that the strike had caused only minimal disruptions to refined copper flows. Waigaoqiao, together with two other bonded areas in Shanghai, hold about 80 percent of China’s bonded copper stocks. “There is more than enough stocks in the bonded warehouses to offset any short-term impact on supplies,” said Bonnie Liu, a Macquarie analyst based in Shanghai. Shanghai’s most active copper futures contract closed flat at 71,440 yuan at midday. FEW OPTIONS FOR WORKERS Chinese workers have few means of pressing for better wages. The government prohibits unions independent of the All-China Federation of Trade Unions, an umbrella organization run by the Communist Party. Historically, the ACFTU tries to prevent strikes. “The most basic issue isn’t simply that fuel prices are rising. It is that when fuel prices rise, the truck drivers don’t have an independent channel to express their interests,” said Li Qiang, executive director of China Labor Watch, told Reuters from New York. The unrest is occurring near at least one of the port’s five major working zones — Waigaoqiao, a massive free-trade zone and bonded storage warehouse. Shanghai overtook Singapore in 2010 to become the world’s busiest container port. The Shanghai port handled 29.05 million 20-foot equivalent units, or TEUs, in 2010 — 500,000 TEUs more than Singapore . Shanghai’s cargo throughput rose to about 650 million tons in 2010, remaining the world’s largest, up from 590 million tons in 2009. Situated in the middle of the 18,000 km-long Chinese coastline, the Shanghai port is managed by the publicly listed Shanghai International Port (Group) Co Ltd (600018.SS), which is 44.23 percent owned by the Shanghai Municipal Government. Last May, a burst of labor disputes disrupted production for many foreign automakers including Toyota and Honda, which laid bare the rising demands of China’s 150 million migrant workers and raised questions about the region’s future as a low-cost manufacturing base. (Additional reporting by Jason Subler, Jane Lee, Carlos Barria in Shanghai, Ben Blanchard, Sui-Lee Wee, Michael Martina, Niu Shuping in Beijing and Tan Ee Lyn in Hong Kong,; Writing by Ben Blanchard and Sui-Lee Wee; Editing by Don Durfee and Robert Birsel) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Jerry Jasinowski: The S&P Wakeup Call

April 22, 2011

Standard & Poor’s decision to change the nation’s long-term credit outlook from stable to negative should be seen as a wakeup call to Congress and the White House that we simply must find a credible solution to the fiscal crisis, and soon. This is not strictly a domestic issue. Our government’s credit worthiness underpins the world economy. Foreign governments invest trillions in U.S. debt instruments because they believe our credit is good. The mere possibility that Congress will not extend the debt limit is enough to send shivers throughout the world financial system. The prospect of losing our credit worthiness in the not too distant future is even more disconcerting. Our ability to borrow vast sums of money at reasonable rates — and the acceptance of the U.S. dollar as the world currency of choice — confers upon us innumerable advantages. If we let these advantages slip away, the cost of credit will be higher, economic growth will be slower and our standard of living will be reduced. The reason for S&P’s change in outlook is not hard to understand. Our government is spending much more money than it takes in. Roughly 40 cents of every dollar that Uncle Sam spends is borrowed. We have had back-to-back deficits of $1.5 trillion and have almost reached our self-imposed debt limit. In the absence of a credible debt reduction plan, Congress may not be able to summon enough votes to raise the debt limit. If that happens, no one will need S&P to question our credit worthiness. It will be gone with the wind. The budget plan offered by Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI), Chairman of the House Budget Committee, was politically bold in that it proposed real reductions in entitlement spending. There is no question that is where the real problem is. Spending as a percentage of GDP has grown from 19 percent in 2000 to 25 percent of GDP in 2010, and almost all of that was due to the growth of Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and Defense. Any viable solution will of course include increased revenues, but there is not enough money in the world to plug that hole. Spending is the central problem that must be dealt with. Two bi-partisan deficit commissions, including the one created by President Obama, also made serious recommendations to reduce the deficit. One can quibble about specifics, but they did put everything on the table. Instead of criticizing Ryan, President Obama should focus on the recommendations of his own deficit commission. We need leadership to define the tough decisions that must be made and bring us all together to do what must be done. We urge the President to provide the leadership the country so urgently needs. Jerry Jasinowski, an economist and author, served as President of the National Association of Manufacturers for 14 years and later The Manufacturing Institute. You can quote from this with attribution. Let me know if you want to talk to Jerry.

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Carlo Cottarelli: Tax Matters for Developing Countries

April 22, 2011

You hear a lot these days–not least from me–about the fiscal problems of advanced economies. But let’s not forget the fiscal problems that low-income countries face, though they are of a different kind. For all too many low-income countries, government tax revenues are far from enough to meet the needs of their people. Some have made good progress, and this helped them weather the crisis better than many advanced economies–but there is an underlying, quiet crisis of inadequately resourced governments. Nor is it just the level of revenue that matters; tax design and implementation are also critical to the efficiency of economic activity, to fairness, and to the legitimacy of the state. Sharing experiences Supporting low-income countries’ efforts to strengthen their ability to raise revenue is an important part of the IMF’s role in helping them maintain stable and growing economies. How best to do this was the topic of two recent IMF conferences: one, in Nairobi , focused on sub-Saharan Africa ; the other, with a global focus , in Washington, DC, earlier this week. In both cases, I was impressed by just how candid and frank participants–government officials as well as civil society, donors, business and academics–were about what has and hasn’t worked for them. At both events, participants made very clear their view that the IMF’s technical support has, and is, helping their countries become better governed states that are responsive to the needs of the people. But they also made very clear that ultimately the solutions to these problems must be home-grown. We want to hear your ideas too, on both our recent paper on this topic and the G-20′s request for major international and regional organizations (including the IMF) to advise them on what they could do to help. Please visit our comments page to weigh in. More than “show me the money” There was, of course, a lot of technical stuff at both events . I now know much more about the details on which revenue mobilization ultimately depends, such as taxpayer segmentation, compliance management, production sharing agreements, transfer pricing, and small business taxation, among other critical issues. But it is the broader issues that left the most powerful impressions. Four in particular stand out: (i) Strong Commitment Many low-income countries have shown strong commitment to strengthen their revenue systems, through both administrative reforms and improved tax policies. There is a lot still to do. In sheer revenue terms, an additional 4 percentage points of GDP or so was suggested needed in some low-income countries if they are meet the Millennium Development Goals . But there have also been notable successes: Tanzania, for instance, achieved a 5 percentage point increase in its revenue to GDP ratio in the decade after 2000. Such good results exemplify the need for a commitment to the reform process over the medium- to long-term; sustainable changes require continued effort, and, particularly, continued political support. (ii) Equity, fairness and good governance Strengthening revenue systems is about much more than increasing revenue. Effects on growth and efficiency clearly matter–the poor are not likely to be best served by tax systems that treat investment harshly, for instance. But equity and fairness matter a great deal too, maybe even more. They matter in themselves: after all, a main reason that low-income countries need more revenue is to finance poverty-reducing measures. And equity and fairness also matter for the legitimacy and effectiveness of the tax system: taxes that are seen as unfair will be poorly complied with. And poor compliance leads itself to actual and perceived unfairness, as only some pay their fair share. Then there are links between taxation and building modern, accountable and responsive governments overall. One reason we have long seen combating corruption in tax administrations as so critical, for instance, has been its potential value in spearheading wider improvements in public governance. Ensuring that elites are seen to pay a decent amount of tax is important in this context, too. (iii) Avoiding exemptions and preferences Exemptions and preferential treatments in tax systems are a pervasive source of revenue loss in many developing countries–as they are too, of course, in many advanced economies. Discussions at the two recent conferences made clear again that many low-income countries fully understand the misallocation of resources and inequities these create. They feel, though, largely powerless to do much about them because of both strong domestic interests and a perceived need to compete with neighboring countries for foreign investment. Increased transparency has an important role here, particularly in the form of analyzing the revenue losses associated with tax expenditures. So, perhaps, does stronger regional tax cooperation, so countries can avoid “beggar thy neighbor” tax policies. (iv) Political will But addressing inappropriate tax policies, and improving revenue administration and enforcement, is ultimately an act of political will. The trouble is–and this is my final impression–that we still know very little about this ‘political will.’ We know it is needed in order to drive through tough policy changes. And that it matters to build and support firm, even-handed enforcement. But there are many hard questions, to which we don’t yet have the answers, about where political will comes from and how to create it. Our best hope of finding the answers is by continuing the kind of dialogue we have had in Nairobi and Washington. From iMFdirect blog

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Blackwater Prosecution Resurrected By Appeals Court

April 22, 2011

WASHINGTON — An appeals court on Friday resurrected the case against four Blackwater Worldwide guards involved in a 2007 shooting in a Baghdad public square that killed 17 Iraqi citizens. A federal trial judge in Washington, Ricardo Urbina, threw out the case on New Year’s Eve 2009 after he found the Justice Department mishandled evidence and violated the guards’ constitutional rights. But a three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals ruled Friday that Urbina wrongly interpreted the law. It ordered that he reconsider whether there was any tainted evidence against four of the five defendants _former Marines Evan Liberty of Rochester, N.H.; Donald Ball of West Valley City, Utah; and Dustin Heard of Knoxville, Tenn.; and Army veteran Paul Slough from Keller, Texas. The Justice Department has dismissed charges against the fifth defendant, Nick Slatten, a former U.S. Army sergeant from Sparta, Tenn. Blackwater security contractors were guarding U.S. diplomats when the guards opened fire in Nisoor Square, a crowded Baghdad intersection, on Sept. 16, 2007. Seventeen people were killed, including women and children, and 20 others wounded in a shooting that inflamed anti-American sentiment in Iraq. Blackwater said the guards were innocent and responding to an ambush by insurgents. Prosecutors said the shooting was unprovoked. The U.S. rebuffed Iraqi demands that the U.S. contractors face trial in Iraqi courts. After a lengthy investigation, U.S. prosecutors charged the five contractors with 14 counts of manslaughter and took a guilty plea from a sixth, Jeremy Ridgeway of California. Urbina’s dismissal outraged many Iraqis, who said it showed Americans considered themselves above the law. Since the shooting, the Moyock, N.C.-based Blackwater has renamed itself Xe Services and overhauled its management. There was no immediate comment from defense attorneys, who said they were reviewing the ruling.

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Gordon Brown: Global ‘Mini-Lateralism’ Will Get Us Nowhere

April 22, 2011

Two years ago the formal creation of the G20 helped prevent the world recession from becoming a world depression. World leaders agreed to a one trillion dollar underpinning of the world economy, and strengthened the World Bank, the IMF and the World Trade Organization. In its concluding statement, however, the G20 promised more: that it would work towards implementing new global standards and regulations across the world’s banking system and that it would be the architect of a global growth agreement designed to deliver rising prosperity and create jobs in the decades ahead. Two years on, what some now call mini-lateralism, seems to be the order of the day. The immediate crisis has passed and despite outstanding leadership in our international institutions and bold international initiatives by some national leaders, many governments have retreated into their national shells. We cannot agree on the proposed ‘global growth pact’, a world trade agreement is yet again stalled, risking the first failure of a planned trade agreement since 1948, and, even after a nuclear catastrophe in Japan and a period of violent volatility in oil prices, there is still insufficient momentum for a global climate change agreement. So what has happened? The need for cooperation cannot be in dispute. Indeed this year the world is facing an unremitting onslaught of new challenges – food shortages, commodity price rises, youth unemployment and social unrest ; and large imbalances even as inflation reappears. Some now talk not of a crisis but of crisis-ism, a state of ever recurring crises that cannot easily be resolved by nations acting autonomously. Our interdependent world means that our problems are no longer just problems we share in common but are global, interwoven between countries and only concerted action across continents can effectively tackle them. The IMF has already shown that we might have been in a position to raise world growth by an extra 3 per cent by 2015, and create anything between 25 and 50 million new jobs if the enhanced global cooperation that the G20 promised in 2009 had happened. But we need better global coordination not just to address the problems of today but the challenges of tomorrow, triggered by the next revolution ahead in global markets. Indeed, this generation finds itself in a unique place — at the vanguard of the biggest transformation of the world economy in history. In the last twenty years, two billion men and women have joined the ranks of industrial producers, trebling the size of the world’s industrial economy. In the next ten to fifteen years this revolution will be augmented by at least two billion people joining the ranks of the world’s middle-class, trebling its current numbers. So the recent shift in producer power will soon be matched by a coming shift in consumer power, and we will see and feel this transformation powering through our lives and shaping our national fortunes with an irresistible force. The world’s biggest market, for instance, will no longer be in America but in Asia and it will grow to around 40 percent of all consumer spending, twice the size of the American market, and substantially bigger than the German market (4 percent) and the British market (3 percent). So who will be the biggest beneficiaries of these changes? With the right opening up of trade, European and American brand names, with high value added, and technology driven, niche and custom-built products and services, could be providing us with engines of growth and employment as demand for these products and services rises in Asia (as well as in other areas with increasing consumer power, like Brazil, Turkey, Indonesia and parts of Africa). Yet without enhanced international cooperation the west will not be in the best position to take advantage of these changes. Indeed unless we enshrine market access in a global agreement we will lose out on some of the greatest economic opportunities for rising standards of living we have ever seen. And global coordination is necessary for other reasons, too. The world has been too ready to unlearn the lessons of the financial crisis and there is a danger that we are sowing the seeds of the next financial crash. Without agreement on global financial standards -and currently individual continents and even countries are going their own way- finance will be in a race to the bottom with the good financial centers at risk of being undercut by the bad and the bad by the worst. And of course, if present trends continue, if markets remain closed to certain countries or operate randomly and in an unfettered way, the world will become structurally more unequal — India, China, Indonesia, Brazil and Russia will see inequality grow and Africa will become more isolated. The economic discontents of the peoples of North Africa and the Middle East will not be met without international support. Enhanced cooperation is essential in helping to prevent embryonic problems in poorer parts of the world from escalating into crises that could threaten the security of and through mass migration risk the stability of all the peoples of the world. Without global flows of investment to empower entrepreneurship in Africa and to facilitate economic and educational development, the region will become the source of new migration, climate change and security crises that will threaten us all. Today, the responsibility to pick up the reins of global cooperation falls on all of us. We need to argue more strongly than ever for the employment benefits that will flow from a world growth plan. Civic organizations, especially churches and faith groups, often underestimate the resonance of their collective voice: their voice should be listened to as they demand action against poverty and youth unemployment. There should be a stronger partnership with business which, in a world of heightened risk, needs avoidable uncertainty removed not least the stable environment that comes from a clean banking system operating to global standards. Business benefits too when we act to end the volatility in energy prices, when we organize effectively to increase food production and reduce food prices and when we take active steps to raise employment levels. Enhanced global cooperation needs to be championed by a strengthened coalition of business, NGOs, international institutions and public leaders working together on global issues. That opportunity is being championed today by the vision of the World Economic Forum led by Professor Klaus Schwab, which is already part of the business outreach President Sarkozy has championed for the G20, following President Obamas lead in 2009. Today there is, indeed, too much mini-lateralism: we cannot succeed without enhanced cooperation and it’s time once again to raise our ambitions on what global co-operation can achieve. Gordon Brown is the former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and author of Beyond the Crash; Overcoming the First Crisis of Globalisation. He is to be Chairman of the Global Policy Coordination Board of the World Economic Forum in an unpaid capacity.

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Samsung Countersues Apple Over iPhone, iPad ‘Copying’

April 22, 2011

(SEOUL) – Samsung Electronics Co has filed patent lawsuits against Apple over the U.S. firm’s iPhone and iPad in a tit-for-tat case after Apple claimed Samsung’s smartphones and tablets “slavishly” copied its products. Apple filed a lawsuit last Friday alleging Samsung violated patents and trademarks of its iPhone and iPad, as the popular gadgets are being threatened by the fast rise of rival devices based on Google’s free Android operating system. The legal battle between Apple and Samsung could jeopardize business ties between the two technology companies, as the Cupertino, California-based company depends heavily on Samsung for components such as chips and LCD displays. Operating systems have emerged as the key battlefield for dominance of the world’s smartphone market. Android became the most popular smartphone software in the United States in the three months ending in February, ahead of Apple and Research in Motion, according to a recent survey by research firm comScore. Samsung is one of the fastest growing smartphone makers on the back of the Android boom and has emerged as Apple’s strongest competitor in the tablet market, with models in three sizes. COUNTER LAWSUITS Samsung said in a statement Friday that Apple’s iPhone and iPad infringe Samsung’s 10 mobile technology patents and it called for Apple to stop infringing its technology and compensate the company. Samsung said the suits, filed in South Korea, Japan and Germany, involved 10 alleged infringements of patents mainly involving power reduction during data transmission, 3G technology for reducing errors during data transmission, and wireless data communication technology. “Samsung is responding actively to the legal action taken against us in order to protect our intellectual property and to ensure our continued innovation and growth in the mobile communications business,” the statement said. Global technology companies are locked in a web of litigation as they try to defend their shares of the booming tablet and smartphone market. Strong sales of the iPhone and iPad translate into more revenue for Samsung. Apple was Samsung’s second-biggest client after Japan’s Sony Corp last year, bringing in around 6.2 trillion Korean won ($5.7 billion) of sales, and is widely expected to become Samsung’s top client this year. The battle comes ahead of Samsung launching a new version of its successful Galaxy S smartphone next week in Korea, a key product for the world’s No.2 handset maker to meet its target of 60 million units of smartphone sales this year. Shares in Samsung, Asia’s biggest technology company with a market value of $140 billion, fell 2.5 percent by 0410 GMT after three consecutive sessions of gains, versus a 0.2 percent fall in the broader market. ($1 = 1080.950 Korean Won) (Editing by Ken Wills and Anshuman Daga) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions

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Amazon, eBay Battle For Investors

April 22, 2011

NEW YORK (Phil Wahba) – When Amazon.com and eBay report quarterly results next week, investors will try to determine how well the e-commerce rivals’ expensive fight for shoppers is paying off. They will want to see if revenue is growing fast enough to justify the costs. Amazon has been moving further from its traditional business selling physical goods online to take on tech rivals like Apple Inc and Google Inc in areas such as selling digital entertainment and storing data. EBay is best known for its online auction website and PayPal, a payment system, but it has been making deals to compete more directly with Amazon, such as its $2 billion purchase in May of e-commerce services firm GSI Commerce. That deal is aimed at getting more retailers to sell to their customers using eBay. Amazon’s growth — its sales nearly doubled between 2008 and 2010 — has come at a cost: shrinking operating margin. Amazon has made no bones about it, warning investors to expect pressure on its profitability for some time yet. The question for investors will be how much pressure. “They (Amazon) are investing for the future and it’s just a matter of how long this investment process will take,” said Michael Koskuba, a senior portfolio manager at Victory Capital Management, which has owned Amazon stock since March 2009. Amazon shares plunged 9 percent on January 27 when it reported a lower operating margin over the holiday quarter. Amazon has been challenging rivals from Apple to Barnes & Noble Inc and many others with low prices on e-books, cheap shipping and offering customers the ability to store music on its servers in a “music locker.” A stellar sales performance by Amazon would mollify investors worried about the impact on profits, but a so-so performance could send shares down. “If Amazon has a strong revenue quarter, people will be more willing to overlook margins,” said Cowen & Co analyst Jim Friedland. “If they come in close to expectations (on sales) but margins are weaker, that would absolutely provoke a sell-off.” Ultimately, revenue will be the barometer of how well Amazon is doing at fending off a resurgent eBay. “Revenue reflects how much market share they still have to gain,” said BGC Partners analyst Colin Gillis. On average, Wall Street analysts expect Amazon to report a first-quarter profit of 61 cents per share on $9.52 billion in sales, down from 66 cents a year earlier, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. They expect eBay’s profit to come to 46 cents per share on revenue of $2.48 billion, compared to 42 cents per share a year earlier. For a graphic comparing Amazon and eBay’s revenue growth, see: r.reuters.com/nuj29r SCRUTINY OF EBAY’S AUCTION SITE Investors will most likely be swayed by how much merchandise is sold on eBay’s auction site as well as the number of new PayPal accounts. But one analyst said eBay would probably only get punished for weakness, rather than rewarded for strength. “If eBay falls short, it’s more about stronger than expected competition from Amazon, but if it rises more than expected, it’s more about the (better) overall economy,” Cowen’s Friedland said. Friedland is expecting gross merchandise volume, a closely watched measure of the total value of goods sold on eBay’s marketplaces, to be up 6 percent increase, excluding vehicles. PayPal has led the company’s revenue growth for years, while its marketplaces unit has matured. PayPal accounted for just over one third of sales last year but its revenues rose 23 percent, while the marketplaces business sales were up only 8 percent. Amazon shares trade at a 2011-earnings-to-price multiple of 55, far above most store chains as well as eBay, Apple and Google, suggesting the stock has downside. EBay shares trade a future earnings to price ration of 16.4 and analysts say that means it may have more upside than Amazon’s if its results impress investors. They have slipped 10 percent since hitting a yearly high in February. “EBay is coming back. If you want e-commerce exposure, buy eBay.” BCG’s Gillis said. (Reporting by Phil Wahba. Editing by Gary Hill) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Greece PM: Rating Agencies Want To Control Our Lives

April 22, 2011

ATHENS, Greece — Greece’s prime minister has lashed out at credit ratings agencies, as borrowing rates in the crisis-hit country at record levels threaten plans to return to the bond markets next year. George Papandreou in a written statement posted on a government website early Friday said the agencies, instead of elected governments, “are seeking to shape our destiny and determine the future of our children.” Major rating agencies have all relegated Greek bond status to below investment grade amid the continuing debt crisis. The move has angered the government which argues the fiscal benefits of its austerity program are being ignored. Yields on 10-year Greek bonds rose above 15 percent, compared with the German benchmark rate of 3.27 percent, before the Easter long weekend.

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Study: ‘Strategic Defaulters’ Actually Pay Their Bills On Time

April 22, 2011

A growing body of research shows that these so-called “strategic defaulters” defy the tell-tale characteristics of most people whose loans go bad. They pay their bills on time, rarely exceed their credit-card limits and hardly use retail credit cards, according to a study released Thursday.

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In Deposition, Donald Trump Admitted Exaggerating His Net Worth, Stretching The Truth

April 22, 2011

Q: Let me just ask you first about the first sentence there: Trump relentlessly bloviating about his developments — this is going to be the biggest, best, most amazing — leads people to assume he exaggerates his net worth. Do you see that? A: Yes. Q: Do you know what bloviating means? A: Well, I’m not sure that there’s an exact definition, but I would imagine that’s what it means. Q: Exaggeration? A: Could be, yeah. Q: Lying? A: No. [from a deposition given by Donald Trump in a libel lawsuit] * * * * * NEW YORK — Notorious for his lack of modesty, Donald Trump has long flaunted his wealth and touted his net worth as a multibillionaire. During his Comedy Central roast, which aired last month, the real estate developer and possible 2012 presidential candidate joked, “What’s the difference between Donald Trump’s hair and a wet raccoon? A wet raccoon doesn’t have seven fucking billion dollars in the bank.” Now that he’s considering a campaign on the Republican ticket, he’s wielding his bravado as a political cudgel. He recently mocked multimillionaire Mitt Romney’s reputation as a successful businessman by declaring himself “many, many, many times Mitt Romney.” Yet Trump has often been accused of exaggerating his wealth, even adding a few zeroes to the actual amount, which may undermine his credibility as a candidate with business credentials. Despite Trump’s own claims that he’s worth around $7 billion, last September the most recent Forbes 400 rankings — which many consider to have overestimated the real estate developer’s wealth in the past — estimated his net worth at $2.4 billion, putting him in a six-way tie for 153rd-richest person in America. And a deposition in a defamation lawsuit filed by Trump provides numerous examples of him stretching the truth about his success in real estate. Former New York Times editor and reporter (and current Huffington Post national editor) Timothy L. O’Brien wrote in his 2005 book, “TrumpNation: The Art of Being the Donald,” that the developer was probably worth $150 to $250 million, rather than the typical estimates of $2 to $3 billion. Trump sued O’Brien for libel, claiming that the book’s lower figure killed some potential deals and damaged his reputation. The case was dismissed, but Trump filed an appeal and a decision is pending. Trump’s deposition, taken on Dec. 19-20, 2007, was obtained by The Huffington Post and CNN . In 2005, Trump claimed that he was worth $3.5 billion, but a financial analysis by North Fork Bank estimated his worth at just $1.2 billion. The previous year, when he was claiming a worth in excess of $3 billion, Deutsche Bank estimated his worth much lower, at $788 million. Asked in the deposition about his statements in 2007 that his net worth was $8 billion, Trump conceded: “I don’t know. I don’t think so. Well, maybe I’m adding 4 or 5 billion dollars worth, 3 billion, for the value of a brand. But I don’t know.” Such comments prompted CNN contributor Jeffrey Toobin to tell “In the Arena” host Eliot Spitzer on Thursday night that the deposition could be used against Trump by his GOP opponents: “They could beat him over the head with this,” Toobin said. Among the deposition’s most glaring examples of his fondness for exaggeration, Trump was asked why he claimed in several media accounts that he had a 50 percent interest in the massive Riverside South project on Manhattan’s Upper West Side when he actually had a much smaller interest. “I own 30 percent,” Trump replied. “But because of the fact I put no money up, that 30 percent is equated to 50 percent.” At another point, he is quizzed about his claim to CNN’s Larry King that he earned over $1 milliion from a speech he gave to the Learning Annex. Trump admits that he was actually paid only $400,000 in cash, proffering the novel argument that adding in the annex’s promotional expenses puts his payment in the $1 million-plus range. In November 2007, Trump wrote a letter to the editor of the Wall Street Journal to complain about a story on his net worth, explaining that a development in Hawaii was a huge success. “My tower in Waikiki was 100 percent sold out with 729 million in sales, 5 hours, a record,” he wrote. Yet he admitted in the deposition that he doesn’t actually own the building — he just has a licensing agreement with the real owners. At another moment, he is asked about $18.3 million in insurance proceeds he received due to hurricane damage to his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida in 2005, explaining that he never felt obligated to turn that money over to the club or to spend all the money on repairs. And he told Crain’s New York Business in 2004 and 2005 that his Trump Organization has 22,000 employees, but admitted in the deposition that some of those employees are “not directly” on the payroll. Some are “suppliers, including construction workers, people that supply items to your building.” For his part, Trump lawyer Michael Cohen told The Huffington Post that Trump is worth “a lot … substantially more than what’s recorded in Forbes .” “They don’t take into account the value of the Trump brand, of the mark, one of the most valuable marks that’s ever been created,” Cohen said. “He has very little debt, triple-A assets. He is going to provide audited financial disclosures when the time comes, if in fact he decides to run — I think you’re going to be shocked by the number that’s being released.” Those records have yet to be prepared, Cohen said, but Trump does obviously have audited financials year to year.” “I don’t think there’s any downside,” to Trump running for president, Cohen added. Trump has claimed it is rare for him to file a defamation lawsuit, but O’Brien’s lawyers noted the number of times that he has threatened to sue, citing the following targets: • The New York Times • Rosie O’Donnell • Fortune magazine • Author Robert Slater • George magazine • Wall Street Journal reporters Neil Barsky and Alex Frangos (for separate stories) • The New York Post (twice) • Tina Brown (after Vanity Fair published a profile that described how Trump keeps a book of Hitler speeches by his bed, prompting Trump to write Brown that writer Marie Brennan “was a sick woman who couldn’t see fairness if it was staring her in the face.”) • The Chicago Tribune architectural critic Paul Gapp • The Los Angeles Times ‘ David Lazarus

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WATCH: The City That Privatized (Nearly) Everything

April 22, 2011

In 2005, decades after Sandy Springs first attempted annexation, the Republican-dominated Georgia state legislature allowed the affluent city, located 15 miles outside of Atlanta, to break off and become a largely autonomous, self-governing entity. Scrambling to ready themselves for the division, Sandy Springs effectively privatized the large majority of the municipal services by entering into a public-private partnership with CH2M HILL, a full-service operations company that now controls nearly all of the once-public sector, from road maintenance to cleaning up trash in the park. “Nobody likes change,” Sandy Springs Mayor and former economist Eva Galambos told Reason , a libertarian magazine. “But, if your city is fiscally bankrupt, there may have to be some change.” The city, sixth-largest in the state with a 2010 population of 93,853, wanted to separate itself from what it saw as wasteful government spending in surrounding communities. The city benefits greatly, though, from the number of Fortune 500 companies headquartered there, boasting an extremely high per capita income, with the median family household income, according to a 2008 census estimate, approximated at $129,810, and the average family income $169,815. Comparatively, the surrounding Fulton County has a median family income of only $58,573. The median national income is $49,777. Adding to that, only 3.1 percent of families — 7.9 percent of the entire population — live below the poverty line in Sandy Springs. The percentage of Fulton County families living in poverty, in comparison, is nearly four times higher at 11.5 percent. Without needing to provide to as many poverty-stricken families, who typically use more public services, Sandy Springs can more easily keep taxes at a lower, sustainable level. Not all of Sandy Spring’s public services have been privatized, however. Public safety continues to be handled by government police officers and firefighters, and the Fulton County School System still operates public schools within the city, something not noted in the below video by Reason magazine. Mayor Galambos also notes the city “made a clear decision” to not hand out “defined benefits” of any sort to police officers and firefighters, in order to keep taxes low and avoid future obligations. In light of municipal budget crises wreaking havoc across the country, the fiscally-conservative Sandy Springs government is proud of their radical decision, which they say has left them with no long-term liabilities. The $25 million they paid to CH2M HILL for one year’s work, Reason argues, is less than half what they would pay in a typical, government-run scenario. Since 2005, four surrounding Georgia cities have adopted the model. Watch Reason Magazine’s video on Sandy Springs’ privatization:

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Barack Obama Debt Reduction Plans Run Into Economic Reality

April 22, 2011

LOS ANGELES — President Barack Obama headed west to sell his big picture deficit-reduction plan. But many people are waiting for a quick fix to their own economic problems caused chiefly by persistent unemployment and the crippled housing market. Audiences in California and Nevada understood why it’s important to get a handle on the deficit over the long term. Yet they made clear that the economic recovery hasn’t fully taken hold in ways that are meaningful to them. As Obama shifts into re-election mode, he will need to show that he hasn’t lost his focus on jobs even as the conversation in Washington swings to paying down what the nation owes. An audience member at Obama’s town hall meeting Wednesday at Facebook headquarters in Palo Alto, Calif., summarized how the increased attention on red ink looks to the public. “At the beginning of your term you spent a lot of time talking about job creation and the road to economic recovery,” the questioner told the president. “Since then, we’ve seen the conversation shift from that of job creation and economic recovery to that of spending cuts and the deficit.” “I would love to know your thoughts on how you’re going to balance these two going forward, or even potentially shift the conversation back,” she added. Obama said that unless lawmakers get the country’s long-term finances under control, more immediate economic gains could prove difficult. “If we don’t have a serious plan to tackle the debt and the deficit, that could actually end up being a bigger drag on the economy than anything else,” Obama said. The economy has rebounded since the early days of Obama’s presidency. But the unemployment rate is 8.8 percent and millions of jobs cut during the recession haven’t returned. A questioner at Obama’s town hall meeting in Reno, Nev., on Thursday said both he and his wife were out of work. The faltering housing market has left many homeowners owing more on their loans than their homes are worth. Prospective homeowners are struggling to find the money to buy. A question submitted for Obama online during the Facebook town hall put the public’s frustration simply: “The housing crisis will not go away.” Obama didn’t reject that assessment. He said the housing market was the “biggest drag” on the economy. Factor in rising gasoline prices and it’s no surprise that many people are feeling squeezed from all sides. In an Associated Press-GfK poll from March, 90 percent of those questioned said the economy was a top priority. The poll found that 76 percent see budget and deficit issues as extremely important or very important. The poll was conducted before Obama and Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., announced competing plans for bringing down the deficit. Obama’s plan would cut spending by $4 trillion over 12 years and raise taxes on the wealthy. House Republicans have passed a plan that would cut nearly $6 trillion from the deficit, in part by overhauling Medicare and Medicaid. Obama and Republicans have accused each other by turn of pitching “radical” plans, and there are few indications of where they’ll find room for compromise.

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Gold Hits Records High, Americans Sell Their Treasures

April 22, 2011

This story was reported in collaboration with our partners at Patch.com. It was a rainy afternoon in January of 1848 when a builder named James Marshall arrived at the office of his employer, John Sutter, a tannery owner, farmer and merchant, in a rural trading post in what is now Sacramento. “He told me then that he had some important and interesting news which he wished to communicate secretly to me,” Sutter later wrote in a letter to Hutchings’ California Magazine . “… Marshall took a rag from his pocket, showing me the yellow metal: he had about two ounces of it; but how quick Mr. M. put the yellow metal in his pocket again can hardly be described.” The yellow metal was gold, of course, and the secret wasn’t secret for long. “Gold fever” struck, and by the next year people were flocking to California from as far away as Chile, Australia and China. Fast-forward to April 2011. The price of gold has just hit $1,500 an ounce, a record high, and in a shop not so far from where that fateful meeting occurred, a different sort of gold rush is taking place. Well, maybe not a rush, exactly. More like a “bump” — that’s how John Paul Liscandro, an employee of The Pawn Advantage Store in Santa Rosa, described it. A lot of people have been coming into the store to sell gold, he said. “It’s kind of rough,” he added . Asked whether he meant that people were desperate, he replied, “I mean, it’s a pawn shop.” Across the United States, people are heading to pawn shops and jewelry stores with gold necklaces their ex-boyfriends gave them, gold coins that they inherited from their grandfathers, and in at least one case, ” 10 half pairs of earrings and a bracelet they got in the ’80s and monstrous hoops. ” Also : “gold teeth — yes, teeth” and “ancient computers that were once soldered with gold.” “The middle class is growing very rapidly ,” said Sam Dolabany, owner of Dolabany Jewelers in Westwood, Mass. Unfortunately for people who live in the United States, he was talking about the middle class in India and China, where the demand for gold, high to begin with, is getting higher. As Cathryn J. Prince pointed out in her article for the Patch site in Weston, Conn., ” Investors consider gold a safe haven for their money during fiscal and political upheaval.” Think of gold as fear in mineral form. As economic anxieties increase, so does the price of gold, as does the financial desperation that drives a person to cash in on the solid gold Elvis pendant their husband bought them in Memphis on that cross-country trip in 1982. For this reason, store owners are generally wary of sharing their customers’ information with reporters. “Some people — I don’t want to use ‘ashamed,’ but it’s not a happy situation,” said Brian Weinberg, the owner of Parkway Gold in Alpharetta, Ga. He added, more bluntly: “The economy’s bad. People need money.” The shame of having to sell jewelery is why Irma Evearts and her husband, George, the owners of Evearts Gallery in Haddonfield, N.J., will often bring customers to a private room in the back of the store. Sometime they’ll even shut the whole store down. “” People come in for all reasons ,” she said. Meaning, hey-I-never-really-liked-this-bracelet-anyway-and-now’s-the-time-to-get-some-money-for-it reasons, and sadder reasons. “A lot of people don’t want to sell their jewelry, but they have to,” said Steven Bumb, part owner of Santa Cruz Pawn. “It’s their monthly mortgage payment or whatever the case is … We hear a lot of sad stories.” Also in the bad news department was this report from Barnstable, Mass.: “In a town where break-ins are commonplace — this past weekend there were three break-ins and two attempts — drugs are a key driver of jewelry thefts, not the price of gold. ” Meaning the rash of burglaries is completely unrelated to soaring gold prices? “The nitwits stealing the gold don’t really follow the commodities market,” noted Sean Sweeney of the Barnstable police department. As sad stories go, there may be none sadder than this dispatch from Connecticut’s “gold coast”, the ribbon of super-wealthy suburbia stretching from the Westchester border to Westport. There, people in the habit of buying $10,000 Swiss-made watches must now steel themselves for the possibility of paying, oh, slightly more. As Terry Betteridge, of Betteridge Jewelers in Greenwich, reported, “Customers of ours are very concerned.” However, gold’s soaring price has had brighter consequences for some: Across the country, women have been holding “gold parties” at their homes, inviting friends to dig into their jewelry chests for whatever pieces they can stand to part with. Licensed dealers arrive with scales, and the guests leave with cash. “Gold parties are actually pretty fun,” said Brian Weinberg, the owner of the Alpharetta shop. “People have sold things that you know they had no intention of selling. A girl might be wearing something an ex-boyfriend gave her and when she sees it’s worth 500 bucks she cares even less about him than she did before.” For most Americans, though, this latest gold rush appears to be no more a cause for celebration than the last one was for old John Sutter. “So soon as the secret was out my laborers began to leave me,” Sutter wrote. Sutter eventually left the trading post himself and tried to make a go of gold-digging, but the expedition was doomed by his reliance on a drunken, duplicitous workforce. “Instead of being rich,” he wrote, “I am ruined.”

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U.S. ‘Strong Dollar’ Rhetoric Fades As Currency’s Value Declines

April 22, 2011

WASHINGTON (Glenn Somerville and Tim Reid) – For years, Treasury secretaries parroted a line that the U.S. was committed to a strong dollar policy. But as the greenback slides close to all-time lows, President Barack Obama’s administration has been noticeably quiet. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner last used “strong dollar” language in November, and a glance through his speeches and news databases shows he has had almost nothing to say on the matter since. Meanwhile, record low interest rates, the Federal Reserve’s bond buying program, staggering budget deficits and the White House’s export-driven jobs policy all have contributed to the dollar’s decline. All this has a growing number of investors and currency experts thinking Washington is passively accepting a gradual decline in the currency, hoping it helps engineer a vigorous enough recovery to get a battered economy in order. “There is no obvious evidence of that in official rhetoric or in the commentary of key officials, but de facto the United States is permitting if not aiding a deliberate dollar decline,” said Allen Sinai, chief global economist for Decision Economics Inc. in Boston. “The heart of the dollar decline,” he added, stems from the super-loose monetary policy run by the Federal Reserve for more than two years as opposed to fiscal or tax policy. “Markets aren’t going to buy the dollar when you offer zero interest rates and have an economy that is growing at roughly one-third the rate of China’s — that’s an easy choice for investors.” On Thursday, the dollar index, a gauge of the U.S. currency against six advanced country currencies, fell to 73.735, its lowest level since August 2008, setting up a possible run toward its record low of 70.698 touched in March 2008. The euro soared to a 16-month high above $1.46. Geithner last year flatly denied he is pursuing a policy aimed at cheapening the dollar. “We will never use our currency as a tool to gain competitive advantage,” he told reporters last November after a meeting in Kyoto, Japan, of finance ministers from the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation group. “I’m happy to reaffirm again that a strong dollar’s in our interest as a country.” Undeniably, though, financial markets see the dollar on a slide against other currencies that is likely to continue, in no small part because current trade policy seems to demand it. “It’s implicit in the administration’s call for a doubling of exports, that can’t happen without the dollar falling,” said David Gilmore, a partner at FX Analytics in Essex, Connecticut. The U.S. government’s consistent pressure for a revaluation of the currency of its major trading partner, China, only underline these perceptions. Much of the argument for the dollar’s decline — down 6.2 percent this year against that basket of six major currencies — comes back to the Fed’s policy of keeping interest rates low to spur a fledgling recovery from the 2007-2009 financial crisis. It’s a policy that’s drawn criticism from the world’s new economic powerhouses in Latin America and Asia, who say U.S. monetary policy is fueling global inflation and hurting efforts to balance the global economy. “I’ve noticed there’s a strategy by the United States and advanced countries to increase exports and reduce their imbalances at the cost of emerging markets,” Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega, a former economics professor, said last year. Strong corporate earnings reports this week showed the declining dollar has helped U.S. companies sell drugs, chemicals and food in foreign markets. A former White House economist in the Obama administration, who requested anonymity, summed it up: “I don’t believe the U.S. is actively pushing a weak dollar policy — but I would say this: the fact that interest rates are low and the U.S. is aggressively pushing monetary stimulus, that has the effect of depreciating the dollar,” the former official said. “That is certainly a mechanism which would result in a de facto weak dollar policy.” PLAYING WITH FIRE? There are major dangers with such a strategy, not least of which are the inflationary risks it creates. The Fed’s buying up of U.S. government debt, also known as quantitative easing, is to many the equivalent of cranking up the dollar printing presses at the central bank, devaluing the value of the currency in the process. “When you print money or create money…it weakens the value of the dollar” and stokes potential inflation, said Representative Steve Stivers, a freshman Republican from Ohio. The same sentiment was expressed by Republican Senator Jim DeMint, who told the Senate Banking Committee last month, “The quantitative easing, monetizing of debt, or however we term that, has caused some concern about…the long-term value of our currency.” Indeed, with U.S. gasoline pump prices soaring partly because investors have been able to borrow money cheaply in the U.S. and invest it in crude oil and other commodities, Obama has been lashing out. On Thursday, he announced that a group of federal agencies were being asked to probe fraud in the energy markets. Of course, no Obama administration official is ever likely to officially endorse a declining dollar. There is no political upside to being a “weak dollar” president. But analysts say allowing a slow decline in the dollar isn’t a policy to be feared unless the fall turns into a rout. “It’s a necessary part of both global rebalancing and domestic rebalancing, given that the U.S. has agreed that it needs to rely less on debt-financed consumer spending and more on export-driven growth,” said C. Fred Bergsten, director of the Peterson Institute think-tank in Washington. Bergsten, a noted commentator on exchange-rate policy, noted there has been essentially a nine-year “bear market” in the dollar since 2002, aside from brief upward spurts in value when the global financial crisis struck in 2008 and again last year when Europe’s debt crisis was acute. That means a substantial amount of foreign exchange rate rebalancing has taken place, aside from a continuing disconnect between the value of fast-growing China’s yuan and the dollar. Bergsten estimated the yuan remains undervalued by around 20 percent. In financial markets, major players anticipate a continuing decline for the dollar, partly connected to skepticism that the Obama administration and opposition Republicans are anywhere near agreement on how to tame towering deficits. “Absent problems elsewhere in the world, history and economics suggest that America’s current fiscal and monetary policy stance will put continued pressures on the dollar,” said Mohamed El-Erian, co-chief investment officer of top bond manager PIMCO, which has $1.2 trillion in assets under management and is betting against U.S. treasuries. And influential investor Jim Rogers warns that investors will stop buying increasingly risky U.S. government assets even if the returns go up from current levels. “At some point along the line, people are going to realize it’s absurd to lend money to the United States government at 30 years in U.S. dollars at 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 percent interest,” he told Reuters Insider. (Additional reporting by Donna Smith, Thomas Ferraro, Mark Felsenthal and Jennifer Ablan in New York, editing by Kristin Roberts and Martin Howell) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Toyota’s Production Won’t Return To Normal Until November Or Later

April 22, 2011

TOKYO — Toyota’s global car production, disrupted by parts shortages from Japan’s earthquake and tsunami, won’t return to normal until November or December – imperiling its spot as the world’s top-selling automaker. President Akio Toyoda apologized to customers for the delays due to the March 11 disasters that damaged suppliers in northeastern Japan, affecting automakers around the world. “To all the customers who made the decision to buy a vehicle made by us, I sincerely apologize for the enormous delay in delivery,” Toyoda said at a news conference in Tokyo. Toyota Motor Corp. earlier said it has suffered a production loss of 260,000 cars. Earlier this week, it resumed car production at all of its plants in Japan for the first time since the quake, but the factories are running at half capacity due to the parts shortages. Japanese manufacturers are also grappling with power shortages. Aftershocks from the magnitude 9.0 quake have slowed progress, Toyoda said. “We’ve seen some of the recovery work set back to square one many, many times,” he said. The setbacks could cost Toyota its top position in the global auto industry. Last year, Toyota sold 8.42 million vehicles, barely keeping its lead over a resurgent General Motors Co., which sold 8.39 million, thanks to booming sales in China. Given Toyota’s production woes, GM could reclaim the title of world’s largest automaker that it lost in 2008. Adding to those worries, customers in some overseas markets are raising questions over possible radiation contamination of exported vehicles due to radiation leaks at a tsunami-damaged nuclear plant in northern Japan’s Fukushima prefecture (state). In response to that concern, Japanese automakers have begun checking radiation levels on some cars and tires before shipment. “We want to erase their worries by taking this measure,” said Hirokazu Furukawa, a spokesman for the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association. He noted that no radiation has been detected on cars bound for overseas markets so far. Toyoda and other Toyota executives said normal production for some vehicles inside Japan could resume by July, with normal output beginning to be restored by August overseas. But it will take until late in the year for the company to bring its production lines back to full capacity for all models. “In November or December means that all lines and all models will go back to normal and we will be able to receive orders and make deliveries as usual,” Toyoda said. The company would not provide details on which vehicles might become fully available first. The announcement Friday was meant to facilitate dealers’ discussions with customers, Toyoda said. “Even if it is only the timing we can share with others … we may be able to deal better with people working on the front lines,” he said. “Dealers cannot discuss deliveries or any other specifics and they are having a hard time right now.” The parts crunch has been felt around the world, from Malaysia to Europe to the United States. Nissan Motor Co. and Ford Motor Co. have said several North American plants would be closed for some of April, and Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne has said his company will see disruptions. Toyota has extended production cuts at its North American factories into early June, a move that will likely result in widespread model shortages. Its factories in China are operating at 50 percent capacity, and production at three Thailand plants is being cut by 70 percent. The company has pledged not to lay off any of its 25,000 workers in North America and says it will use the extra time for training to make improvements at its 13 factories in the region. The disaster has left Toyota and other Japanese manufacturers who pride themselves on just-in-time efficiency in an awkward bind. Toyota executives say that while the industry’s supply chains were designed out of necessity to maximize competitiveness, the company might consider ensuring that its plants have alternative suppliers or that each region is relatively self-sufficient. “I don’t want to think about this, but we are in an earthquake-prone country, so we will have to give serious consideration to what we will do in the future,” said Shinichi Sasaki, an executive vice president. ___ Associated Press writers Shino Yuasa and Malcolm Foster in Tokyo and Grant Peck in Bangkok contributed to this report.

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Florida Homestead Law Group Hires Expert Paralegal Supervisor

April 22, 2011

John Stockton Joins Florida Homestead Law Group Team

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How Much Is Donald Trump Worth?

April 22, 2011

Eliot Spitzer and CNN Sr. Legal Analyst Jeffrey Toobin look at discrepancies by possible GOP pres. candidate Donald Trump in a deposition for a libel case.

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Obama Administration Asks Supreme Court To Reinstate FCC Indecency Policy

April 22, 2011

WASHINGTON — The Obama administration asked the Supreme Court Thursday to reinstate a policy that allows federal regulators to fine broadcasters for showing nudity and airing curse words when young children may be watching television. The administration is seeking the high court’s review of appeals court rulings that threw out the Federal Communications Commission’s rules against the isolated use of expletives as well as fines against broadcasters who showed a woman’s nude buttocks on a 2003 episode of ABC’s “NYPD Blue.” Last year, the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in New York threw out the FCC policy, saying it was unconstitutionally vague and left broadcasters uncertain of what programming the agency will find offensive. The challenge to the FCC rules arose over celebrities’ use of the F-word and S-word on live awards show programs. In January, the same court said its ruling on the FCC policy compelled it to nullify a penalty of more than $1.2 million against ABC and 45 affiliates over less than seven seconds of airtime from “NYPD Blue.” Acting Solicitor General Neal Katyal, the administration’s top Supreme Court lawyer, said the justices should hear the case because the appeals court has stripped the FCC of its ability to police the airwaves. “The court of appeals’ decisions preclude the commission from effectively implementing statutory restrictions on broadcast indecency that the agency has enforced since its creation in 1934,” Katyal wrote. Katyal included a DVD of the “NYPD Blue” episode with the filing for the court’s convenience. The “NYPD Blue” episode led to fines only for stations in the Central and Mountain time zones, where the show aired at 9 p.m., a more child-friendly hour than the show’s 10 p.m. time slot in the East. In the “NYPD Blue” episode, actress Charlotte Ross played a police detective who had recently moved in with another detective. In the scene at issue, Ross disrobes as she prepares to shower. After her buttocks and the side of one of her breasts are briefly shown, the camera pans down and reveals her nude buttocks while she faces the shower. Then the other detective’s young son enters the bathroom and sees the naked woman. Embarrassment ensues as the child retreats from the room. The appeals court said ABC said the scene was intended to portray the awkwardness between a child and his parent’s new romantic partner, and the difficulty of adjusting to the situation. The part of the case involving the awards shows has been to the high court before. Three years ago, the justices narrowly upheld the policy, but in a ruling that pointedly avoided dealing with First Amendment issues. Instead, the court directed the appeals court to undertake a constitutional review. For many years, the FCC did not take action against broadcasters for one-time uses of curse words. The policy flowed from a 1978 Supreme Court decision that upheld the FCC’s reprimand of a New York radio station for airing a George Carlin monologue containing a 12-minute string of expletives in the middle of the afternoon. But, following several awards shows with cursing celebrities in 2002 and 2003, the FCC toughened its long-standing policy after it concluded that a one-free-expletive rule did not make sense in the context of keeping the air waves free of indecency when children are likely to be watching television. The FCC said that some words are deemed to be so offensive that they always evoke sexual or excretory images. The policy essentially excluded news programming and some other broadcasts, including ABC’s airing of “Saving Private Ryan” in 2004.

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Retail REIT Invests $68M in Gilroy Crossing

April 22, 2011

Excel Trust Inc., a retail REIT based in San Diego, CA, purchased a portion of the Gilroy Crossing shopping center at 6715-6975 Camino Arroyo in Gilroy, CA, from Lakha Investments. The final sale price was reported at $68.5 million or $210 per square foot. The 326,220-square-foot center was 99 percent leased at the time of sale. The complex, completed in 2006, includes such anchors as Kohl’s, Sports Authority and Ross. The Target store was not…

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Parties Spoil For 2012 Fight Over Size Of Government

April 22, 2011

It’s always hazardous to predict the issues that will define the next presidential selection. But leading thinkers in both parties say that events of the past two weeks have locked in place a major part of the 2012 general-election contest.

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Top Economist Joins CBRE as Head of Americas Research, Senior Managing Dir.

April 22, 2011

CB Richard Ellis Group named Asieh Mansour, PhD, as head of Americas research and senior managing director of global research and consulting. As one of the top economists at CBRE, Mansour will oversee the firm’s analysts in the Americas, advise on economic issues and serve as a spokesperson on the industry. “Our research and analytical capabilities are a key strength for CB Richard Ellis, which we continually work to improve,” said Mike Lafitte…

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CoStar’s People of Note (April 17-23)

April 22, 2011

This week’s People of Note includes the following markets: Atlanta, Dallas/Fort Worth, Houston, Los Angeles, South Florida, New York City, and Washington, DC. WASHINGTON, DC Avison Young Taps Almquist as a Principal Twenty-four-year industry veteran Marty Almquist joined Avison Young in Tysons Corner, VA, as a principal. The broker will focus on agency leasing and tenant representation in Northern Virginia. She will collaborate with top leasing…

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Fareed Zakaria: Short-Term Good News Is Bad News For U.S. Economy

April 22, 2011

It is now conventional wisdom that the U.S. faces an acute fiscal calamity. America’s problems are severe: a deficit that is more than 10% of GDP and total debt that is more than 70% of GDP. But all evidence suggests that the U.S. does not face an immediate crisis. Take a look at the simplest indicator: the day that Standard & Poor’s raised its now famous warnings, the markets decided to lower America’s borrowing costs, and the dollar rose against its principal alternative, the euro. In fact, the real problem for America may well be that it does not face a short-term crisis.

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Video: Ullal Says Arista Part of `Next Generation’ Cloud

April 22, 2011

April 21 (Bloomberg) — Jayshree Ullal, chief executive officer of Arista Networks Inc., discusses the company’s cloud computing services and the outlook for an initial public offering. She talks with Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Kedrosky Says Demand `Hot’ for Engineers on West Coast

April 22, 2011

April 21 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg News contributor Paul Kedrosky talks about technology companies’ hiring and demand for engineers on the U.S. West Coast. He talks with Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Warden Sees No Need to Panic Over Apple IPhone Tracking

April 22, 2011

April 21 (Bloomberg) — Former Apple Inc. software engineer Pete Warden talks about the iPhone and iPad’s ability to logs users’ whereabouts. Warden is one of the computer programmers who discovered the tracking feature. He speaks with Emily Chang on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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