May 2011

U.S. Manufacturing Attempts A High-Tech Comeback

May 27, 2011

If it succeeds, what’s happening in upstate New York could help the whole country meet one of its most difficult challenges: re-creating the kinds of secure, long-term middle-class jobs that have long been the foundation of American prosperity.

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Arab Democracies Will Receive Billions In Support, G8 Leaders Say

May 27, 2011

DEAUVILLE, France — Rich countries and international lenders are aiming to provide $40 billion in funding for Arab nations trying to establish free democracies, officials said at a Group of Eight summit Friday. The officials didn’t provide a breakdown of where the money would come from or when, or what it would be for. But the overall message from President Barack Obama and the other G-8 leaders meeting in this Normandy resort appeared to be warning autocratic regimes in the Arab world that they will be shut out of rich-country aid and investment, while new democracies are encouraged to open their economies. Tunisia’s finance minister said French President Nicolas Sarkozy floated the $40 billion figure at talks Friday, in which the prime ministers of Tunisia and Egypt joined the G-8 leaders and appealed for help after uprisings earlier this year that overthrew longtime autocrats but also scared away tourists and investors. A French official says $40 billion is the overall goal, but that breakdowns by country and timetables are still under discussion. The official was not authorized to be publicly named according to his office policy. A group statement from the G-8 leaders said that $20 billion from international development banks could go to Egypt and Tunisia over the next three years. Beyond the institutional funding, the French official said the aim was for another $20 billion from bilateral support from G8 members as well as from rich Persian Gulf states and others. “We are really very satisfied by the very strong, very clear, very precise declarations that have come from all the G-8 nations and financial institutions – bilateral agencies and development banks,” Tunisian Finance Minister Jaloul Ayed told reporters in Deauville. He said foreign ministers and finance ministers from the countries involved were expected to meet between now and early July to flesh out details of the aid package. Tunisia’s government said it was asking the G-8 for $25 billion over the next five years, and Egypt says it will need between $10 to $12 billion for the fiscal year that begins in July to cover its mounting expenses. “This isn’t the end, additional funding will likely come from other sources after the G-8, and I think they’ll be satisfied with at least the ball starting to roll,” Jenilee Guebert of the G-8 Research Group at the Munk School of Global Affairs in Toronto. U.S. and European officials had said that they would not announce an aid figure at this summit, thinking it was too early to do so. “They said their main problem was the economy. They need some support,” European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso told reporters Friday after meeting the Egyptian and Tunisian leaders. “I think they are ready. Let’s do everything to support the Arab Spring. I think they can succeed.” Uncertainty lingers, however, about the fragile governments in Egypt and Tunisia as they prepare for elections later this year – and debate over how to handle Libya’s war. The G-8 leaders are also worried that fighting in Libya and violence against protesters in Syria could derail the pro-democracy movement that has swept around the Arab world since Tunisian protesters rose up against an autocratic regime and forced out their longtime president. In their final statement, the G-8 leaders said Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi “must go” and are pressing Syria’s regime to “stop using force and intimidation” against its people. The G8 leaders say Gadhafi and his government have failed to fulfill their responsibility to protect Libya’s people “and have lost all legitimacy. He has no future in a free, democratic Libya.” The main product of the G-8 summit was a partnership program aimed at supporting the countries’ fragile political leadership and fighting corruption and stabilizing the economies. The G-8 leaders laid out a plan for refocusing the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development – created to help eastern European economies after the collapse of communism – to help Arab democracies. The EBRD was set up 20 years ago, when the sudden collapse of the Soviet Union convinced European leaders of the urgency to provide support to a region emerging from decades of political and economic dictatorship. The idea was to set up a “transition bank” to help lead the way on banking systems reform, price liberalization, privatization and establishing legal property rights in a region just shaking off the effects of almost 50 years of planned economies. The G-8 leaders also met with African leaders Friday, calling for concerted efforts to settle conflicts on the continent. ___ Julie Pace and Sylvie Corbet in Deauville contributed to this report. (This version corrects short headline.)

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Video: Jim Bianco Says Fed QE3 Can `Definitely Be on the Table’

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research LLC, discusses the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy and the U.S. stock market. Bianco speaks with Betty Liu, Domininc Chu and Jon Erlichman on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Prasad Says Lagarde Would Do `Fine Job’ as IMF Chief

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Eswar Prasad, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, talks about the candidacy of Christine Lagarde as the International Monetary Fund director and the selection process of choosing a new IMF chief. Prasad, a former IMF official, speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Japan’s Prices Rise For First Time In Two Years

May 27, 2011

TOKYO — Japan’s consumer prices in April rose for the first time in more than two years on a spike in energy and tobacco prices, the government said Friday. Japan’s core consumer price index, which excludes fresh food, climbed 0.6 percent last month from a year earlier, marking the first year-on-year increase since December 2008, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said. The rise in Japanese consumer prices was mainly due to a jump in gasoline and tobacco prices. The ministry said education costs were also higher in April. On a month-on-month basis, Japan’s core consumer price index was up 0.4 percent last month. But economist Hiroshi Watanabe at the Daiwa Institute of Research said the April increase in consumer prices does not mean Japan’s economy has emerged from deflation. “The April results were mainly lifted by temporary factors, such as a surge in tobacco prices. Overall, Japan’s economy still remains under deflationary pressure as the economy has yet to post a steady recovery,” he said. The world’s No. 3 economy has been battling periods of deflation – or a steady decline in prices – since the 1990s. Deflation is a burden as it can hamper economic growth by depressing company profits, sparking wage cuts and causing consumers to postpone purchases. It also can increase debt burdens. Faced with tumbling output and exports following the March 11 earthquake and tsunami, Japan’s economy recently slipped into a recession after contracting at an annualized rate of 3.7 percent in the January-March quarter.

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Consumer Spending Sluggish On High Food, Gas Prices

May 27, 2011

WASHINGTON – Consumer spending rose less than expected in April as high gasoline prices continued to squeeze household budgets, according to government data on Friday which also showed annual inflation accelerating at its fastest pace in a year . The Commerce Department said consumer spending increased 0.4 percent, rising for a 10th straight month, after a downwardly revised 0.5 percent gain in March. Economists polled by Reuters had expected spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity, to rise 0.5 percent last month after a previously reported 0.6 percent rise in March. When adjusted for inflation, spending nudged up 0.1 percent last month after gaining 0.1 percent in March. The report suggested consumer spending maintained its weaker tone into the second quarter as high gasoline and food prices continue to stretch household finances. Consumer spending rose at a 2.2 percent rate in the first quarter, braking sharply from a 4 percent pace in the October-December period. But a recent cooling in gasoline prices should ease some of the pressure on households and boost spending in the months ahead. High food and energy prices in April kept inflation pressures simmering, with the personal consumption expenditures price (PCE) index rising 0.3 percent after advancing 0.4 percent in March. Compared to April last year, the index was up 2.2 percent, the biggest rise in a year, after increasing 1.8 percent in March. The core PCE index — excluding food and energy – increased 0.2 percent after rising 0.1 percent in March. The core index, which is closely watched by Federal Reserve officials, increased 1.0 percent in the 12 months through April, the largest gain since September. The index rose 0.9 percent year-on-year in March and the Fed would like to see it close to 2 percent. Incomes rose 0.4 percent last month, in line with expectations. Incomes gained 0.4 percent in March. Disposable incomes adjusted for inflation were flat and savings fell to an annual rate of $570.6 billion, the lowest since August 2009, from $576.7 billion in March. (Reporting by Lucia Mutikani, Editing by Andrea Ricci) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Raymond J. Learsy: Iran and the OPEC Follies — What a Difference a Day Makes

May 27, 2011

On Monday this corner posted ” Trouble Ahead! Iran and Saudi Arabia the “Oil” Brothers .” The post was a rumination on the impact the June 8 OPEC meeting in Vienna will reflect as result of the ascendency of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to the Presidency not only of Iran but as the President of OPEC by virtue of his assuming the post of Iran’s oil minister while Iran held the rotating presidency of OPEC. An event that was “setting the stage for a highly politicized gathering of the cartel,” according to the Financial Times . It became common consensus that Ahmadinejad would use his OPEC prominence not only to push for higher prices to shore up Iran’s flagging economy, but to grandstand, thereby consolidating his position at home. Shortly thereafter however, poof, we learned that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad would not participate in the upcoming OPEC meeting . The report thereby undercut a statement last week by a senior government official that Ahmadinejad would chair the next OPEC meeting in his capacity as the country’s caretaker oil minister. It appears that the Guardian Council, Iran’s constitutional watchdog body, had ruled that Ahmadinejad could not also serve in the oil ministry role. But then, lo and behold, another bit of news trickled out of Tehran. The Financial Times reported that a senior Iranian government official acknowledged that there exists a “global shortage in the supply of crude” and promised (I repeat the word “promised”) that OPEC will keep the market in balance. This from Mohammad Ali Khatabi, an OPEC governor who serves as Iran’s permanent representative to the organization. He went on “… OPEC will continue its onerous duty, which is to create balance in the market.” This is a fundamental change in tone and tune. Is it the beginnings of the stirrings of a more liberal and responsible Iran? That would be a most pleasant surprise. Now if only one could get the Saudis similarly responsive in deed rather than in vacuous word, all would benefit.

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WATCH: Obama Administration Economist Explains Departure

May 27, 2011

WASHINGTON — On the heels of his departure from the Obama administration, economist Jared Bernstein warned that Washington’s political culture misleads the public about basic economic facts, adding that he thought Obama administration economists had not effectively made the case against many conservative economic ideas that currently hold sway in Washington. “What frustrated me was … the real misleading, skewed debate on so many of these issues,” Bernstein said. “Partisans claiming that up was down and you could cut [spending] aggressively today and all these jobs would magically appear … That if you raise any taxes on anybody at any time by any amount, the economy will crumble to its knees. Or the notion that Keynesian stimulus is a bad thing when demand is contracting in the private sector.” “All these basic things that we really kinda know already being challenged, with the electorate being mislead about, that was frustrating. And I felt like I couldn’t do enough from the inside to influence that debate.” Bernstein, who served as chief economist to Vice President Joe Biden until two weeks ago, now works as a senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a respected Washington think tank. Bernstein was widely viewed as the most progressive voice on economic policy within the administration, and his departure from the administration was viewed in Washington as a sign that progressive voices were being marginalized within the administration’s economic team. Another progressive economist, former Chair of Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers Christina Romer — whose frequent feuds with Larry Summers, director of the White House National Economic Council, have been widely publicized — left the administration last summer. And former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker departed under terms indicating that his more aggressive stance on bank regulation was not welcome in a team of policymakers with strong ties to Wall Street. Of the economic advisers who entered office with Obama and Biden, only Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and National Economic Council chairman Austan Goolsbee remain (Goolsbee has changed jobs within the administration). Summers and Romer returned to academia, while former Office of Management and Budget director Peter Orszag left the administration for a lucrative position with Citigroup , recipient of an enormous taxpayer bailout. He was replaced by Jack Lew, who made upwards of $1 million at Citigroup running its alternative investments unit, which took massive losses before taxpayers rescued the bank. Bernstein, however, downplayed differences with other members of the economic team, including Summers and Geithner, insisting that his frustration with the job was driven not by internal feuding among the Obama crew, but by the team’s inability to to counter leading economic notions successfully. Faced with the choice between advocating from the Vice President’s office or from the freedom offered as an independent critic at a think-tank, Bernstein chose to leave. Bernstein expressed deep concerns about the path of the economy, saying that overall economic activity is not growing fast enough to make a serious dent in the unemployment problem. He said the government needs to spend more, not less, to create jobs, and worried that it would be extremely politically challenging to achieve that after a host of new members of Congress were elected amid a pledge to cut spending. He said foreclosures were creating a particularly big drag on the overall economy, preventing the recovery from reaching “escape velocity” that will allow the private sector to grow on its own. Bernstein called for banks to clean up their act on the foreclosure documentation so that the housing market doesn’t “break down the whole system” over concerns about the integrity of mortgage and land records. “I think the political system needs to do something,” Bernstein said. “When I was in the administration, we were thinking a lot about what we could do, but there’s also bank regulators … and absolutely, they need to put some pressure on [the banks]. The attorneys general are one very good line of defense here, and some of them are talking about this pretty aggressively, which I think is positive.” Bernstein also weighed in on the debate over raising the federal debt ceiling. He said he believes it is extremely unlikely that the debt ceiling will not ultimately be raised. But given that the alternative to raising the debt ceiling is a global economic catastrophe, the current negotiations should be considered unacceptable. “It’s a dangerous precedent,” Bernstein said. “What purpose is served by even entertaining the possibility of a default?”

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Video: U.S. Consumer Spending Rose Less Than Forecast in April

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Consumer spending in the U.S. rose 0.4 percent in April after a revised 0.5 percent gain the prior month that was smaller than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Incomes climbed 0.4 percent, matching the median forecast. Betty Liu and Michael McKee report on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Hindery Sees a `Very Fragile Bubble’ in Social Media

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Leo Hindery, managing director at InterMedia Partners LP, talks about Liberty Media’s $1 billion bid for Barnes & Noble Inc. and the outlook for social media stocks. Hindery, speaking with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop,” also discusses unemployment in the U.S. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Lipsky `Confident’ IMF Will Pick an ‘Effective’ Leader

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — John Lipsky, the acting managing director of the International Monetary Fund, talks about the IMF’s talks with Greece on aid to the country and plans to replace former Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn. He speaks with Betty Liu and Michael McKee on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Dynamic Ventures, Corp. Announces Resignation of Al Cain From the Board of Directors

May 27, 2011

Company Anticipates Filling His Seat Within the Next Quarter

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Video: Adewuya Says Deals Are `Coming Back’ in Technology

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Iyan Adewuya discusses mergers and acquisitions and recent initial public offerings in the technology industry. Adewuya speaks with Deirdre Bolton in this edition of Deal Desk on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Peabody Sees `Very Low’ Chance of Goldman Being Indicted: Video

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Charles Peabody, an analyst at Portales Partners LLC, talks about regulatory scrutiny facing Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and the outlook for the investment bank’s credit rating and the performance. Bonds of Goldman Sachs have lost 0.9 percent in May as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Lloyd C. Blankfein faces criticism over business practices and a U.S. Senate report last month accused the firm of misleading clients. Peabody speaks with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Tyrangiel Says USPS Using `Junk Mail’ to Boost Revenue

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg Businessweek editor Josh Tyrangiel talks about the magazine’s cover story this week on the outlook for the U.S. Postal Service. Tyrangiel speaks with Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Venrock Extends Leading Healthcare IT Franchise, Adds Robert Kocher

May 27, 2011

Former White House Advisor Will Focus on Healthcare Innovation

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China ACM Announces Board Changes

May 27, 2011

BEIJING–(Marketwire – May 27, 2011) – China Advanced Construction Materials Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ : CADC ) (“China ACM”), a leading provider of eco-friendly ready mix concrete and related technical services in China, today announced the appointment of Joanna Wang to its Board of Directors. The Company also announced that Larry Goldman and Dennis Slavich resigned from the Board of Directors this week. With the recent appointment of Jin Tao, China ACM maintains a total of seven directors, four of whom are independent.

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Video: Credit Suisse’s O’Sullivan Recommends U.S. Equities

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Michael O’Sullivan, head of U.K. research and global asset allocation at Credit Suisse Private Banking, talks about the U.S. economy and the possibility of a Greek debt restructuring in Europe. He speaks with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television’s “The Pulse.”

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Video: Goldman Logs Most Banker Time on Schapiro’s Calendar

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. officials were frequent guests during U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Mary Schapiro’s first two years on the job. Schapiro had 10 meetings with Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein, more than any other bank, according to her personal calendar for 2009 and 2010. The calendar information, posted without notice this week on the agency’s website, shows the dates, times and participants in meetings with Schapiro. Bloomberg’s Megan Hughes reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: David Joyce Says CBS in `Great Financial Position’

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — David Joyce, a media analyst at Miller Tabak & Co., talks about the performance of and outlook for CBS Corp. Joyce speaks with Deirdre Bolton and Jon Erlichman on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Willbros Elects William B. Berry, Arlo B. DeKraai and Daniel E. Lonergan and Appoints Michael C. Lebens to Board

May 27, 2011

HOUSTON, TX–(Marketwire – May 27, 2011) – Willbros Group, Inc. ( NYSE : WG ) announced that at its 2011 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, held on May 23, 2011, stockholders re-elected William B. Berry and Arlo B. DeKraai and elected Daniel E. Lonergan as Class III directors to its Board. Willbros also appointed Michael C. Lebens to its Board as a Class I director.

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Video: Automakers Offer Military Discounts; PayPal Sues Google: Video

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Jane King summarizes the top stories this morning on the Bloomberg Business Report. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Warsaw Exchange Looks Beyond Poland to Attract IPOs

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s David Tweed reports on the attraction of the Warsaw Stock Exchange for Eastern European companies seeking to list their shares.

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Video: Bevan Recommends Food Retail Industry, Utility Companies

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — James Bevan, chief investment officer at CCLA Investment Management Ltd., talks about the outlook for commodities and investment strategy. He speaks with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move.”

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Global housing markets take a turn for the worse

May 27, 2011

We present the latest Global Property Guide survey of global house prices for the year ending Q1 2011.

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Video: Owen Says ECB Raising Rates in July Would Be ‘Mistake’

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — David Owen, managing director of Jefferies International in London, talks about the European debt crisis and U.S. fiscal policy. He speaks with Owen Thomas on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Video: Gardner Says U.K. House Prices Hit by ‘Stagnant’ Economy: Video

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) –- Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide Building Society, talks about the outlook for the U.K. housing market. He speaks with Owen Thomas on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Nabarro Says No Periphery Nations in Europe Will Default

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Willem-Mark Nabarro, head of European equities at Exane BNP Paribas, talks about the possibility of a Greek debt default and the outlook for stocks. He speaks from Singapore with Linzie Janis on Bloomberg Television’s “First Look.”

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Video: Verevskiy Says Warsaw Exchange Draws Ukranian Companies

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Andrey Verevskiy, chairman of Kernel Holding SA, talks about investing in Poland and listing on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. He speaks with Owen Thomas on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Video: Chinese Go Under the Knife Seeking a `Prosperous Nose’: Video

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Rosalind Chin reports from Shenzhen, China, on rising demand for plastic surgery in the country. The popularity of cosmetic surgery underlines how much China has changed since 1979, when former leader Deng Xiaoping ditched predecessor Mao Zedong’s hard-line communism, opened the nation’s doors to the world and introduced pro-market policies. Then, most Chinese struggled for conformity rather than beauty. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Cassidy Turley to Acquire Atlanta-based Carter’s Brokerage, Property Mgt Business

May 27, 2011

In a move that would gain it a significant foothold in the Atlanta and Central Florida markets, Cassidy Turley announced its intention to acquire the brokerage and property management operations of commercial real estate services firm Carter. Carter, which employs 350 professionals at its headquarters and full-service office in Atlanta along with a a full-service office in Tampa and offices around the country, will continue to operate and grow…

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Video: Panjwani Sees `Silver Lining’ in China’s Energy Shortage

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Rajesh Panjwani, an analyst at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets in Hong Kong, talks about China’s energy shortage and its potential impact on the nation’s economy. Coal prices may climb to the highest level in almost three years as China’s worst drought in half a century depletes hydroelectricity supplies, prompting utilities to burn more fossil fuels amid a nationwide power squeeze. Panjwani speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Job Growth Continues for Ninth Consecutive Month

May 27, 2011

Retail, professional and business services, and hospitality added jobs in April, contributing to an overall increase of 244,000 jobs last month. read more

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Video: Utility Companies Seek Younger Electrical Linemen

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Chris Housand, who left his job as a forklift operator in January, trains in electrical-lineman school at Nash Community College in Rocky Mountain, North Carolina.¶ Housand is catching a wave of demographic change that’s likely to benefit younger workers. A generational replacement cycle is taking hold as companies such as General Electric Co., Norfolk Southern Corp., Boeing Co., American Electric Power Co. Inc. and Dominion Resources Inc. all try to hire skilled younger staff to prepare for a wave of retiring workers. Bloomberg’s Lizzie O’Leary reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: KBW”s Threadgold Sees Value in Tokio Marine, NKSJ, T&D

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — David Threadgold, a Tokyo-based analyst at Keefe Bruyette & Woods Inc., talks about the impact of Japan’s March 11 earthquake on insurers. Japan’s four largest life insurers, including Nippon Life Insurance Co., reported a 10.5 percent drop in combined full-year profit on claims following the quake. Threadgold speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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CoStar’s People of Note (May 22-28)

May 27, 2011

This week’s People of Note includes the following markets: Atlanta, Dallas/Fort Worth, Denver, Los Angeles, New York City, Phoenix, San Francisco and South Florida. DENVER CBRE Taps Barrett as Global Corporate Services SVP Workplace strategy specialist Sharon Barrett joined CB Richard Ellis in Denver as senior vice president of global corporate services. The 25-year industry veteran is a former senior director at Cushman & Wakefield and founding…

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Video: RBC’s Trinh Says Yen May Weaken to 83 Against Dollar

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Sue Trinh, a senior currency strategist at Royal Bank of Canada in Hong Kong, talks about the outlook for global currencies. Trinh also discusses central banks’ monetary policies and Greece’s debt problems. She speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Jason Alderman: Senior Year Sticker Shock

May 27, 2011

Are American families overspending on proms? A new survey released by my employer, Visa Inc., shows that the average family with a high school student attending the prom will spend $807 this year — a surprisingly large amount. Prom inflation has run amok. Ever-more extravagant proms create a cycle of teenagers continuously trying to outdo each other, making the evening more and more expensive. The survey also found large economic and regional disparities in prom spending: Southerners will spend an average of $542 Northeasterners will spend an average of $667 Midwesterners will spend an average of $943 Westerns will spend an average of $1,073 Parents who make less than $20,000 will spend $713 Parents who make $20,000-$29,999 will spend $812 Parents who make $30,000-$39,999 will spend $1,281 Parents who make $40,000-$49,999 will surprisingly spend even less, $426 Parents who make $50,000-$74,999 will spend $916 Parents who make over $75,000 will spend $864 Defying this trend, however, nearly a quarter of families said they will spend nothing on prom, which likely indicates their kids are not attending. Overall, 22 percent of families who have teenagers will not spend any money on the prom. In the Southern and Midwestern states, that number jumps to 29 percent and 27 percent respectively. Here’s a breakdown of where prom dollars typically are spent: New prom dresses often cost $100 to $500 or more. Plan on spending another couple hundred for shoes, accessories, flowers and professionally styled hair, nails and make-up. New tuxedos cost several hundred dollars, not to mention the formal shirt, tie, studs and shoes you’ll need. Even renting all this will likely run over $150. Figure at least $100 an hour plus tip to rent a limousine for a minimum of four hours. Prom tickets typically cost $50 to $150 per person, depending on venue, entertainment, meals, etc. And don’t forget about commemorative photos. The couple will probably need at least $40 for a nice pre-prom meal. After-parties can run anywhere from a few bucks at the bowling alley to hundreds for group hotel suites. If you’re looking for cost-saving ideas, try these: Shop for formal wear at consignment stores or online. As with tuxedos, many outlets rent formal dresses and accessories for one-time use. Have make-up done at a department store’s cosmetics department or find a talented friend to help out. Split the cost of a limo with other couples, or drive yourselves. Team up with other parents to host a pre-prom dinner buffet or after-party. Take pre-prom photos yourself and have the kids use cell phones or digital cameras for candid shots at various events. Work out a separate prom budget with your child well in advance to determine what you can afford. They may need to take a part-time job to help cover costs, or decide which items they can live without. Prom is only one component of the senior-year experience. If you’ve got a high school junior, you need to start planning and budgeting now for next year. Start by talking to recent graduates and their parents about expenses they faced and their lessons learned. Decide early on which expenses are essential and which ones you can do without. If your child is college bound, entrance exams, study guides and tutoring are important, but can quickly add up: The Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) costs $47 each time it’s taken, plus an additional $10 to $21 per individual subject test. Many students take the SATs at least twice. American College Testing (ACT) costs $33, plus another $15 for the writing test. A comprehensive online SAT review course from the Princeton Review will set you back $599. Personalized individual and small group tutoring sessions can cost thousands of dollars. Other common senior year expenses you might anticipate include: College application fees – often $40 to $80 per institution. Site visits. If you’re looking at schools outside the area, costs can vary widely. Don’t forget such variables as airfare, gas, lodging, meals, local transportation, etc. Professionally shot senior portraits and prints often cost hundreds of dollars. Graduation announcements, thank-you notes and postage — depending on your network of family and friends, this could be $100-plus. Senior class dues — check with your school. Yearbooks can run $35 to $85, plus additional fees if you take out a congratulatory ad. Class rings — different styles often run $100 to $500 or more. Cap and gown — usually $25 to $50. Graduation gift and party — it’s up to you to manage expectations. Senior trip – varies from school to school, but it could run hundreds of dollars for a ski weekend, for example. You want to ensure your child has a memorable senior year, but not at the expense of your overall budget. Before the school year begins, create a senior-year budget and get your kid involved in the tough decisions, prioritizing expenses from vital to non-essential. For example, an additional SAT practice session is probably more important than a top-of-the-line class ring. Learning the importance of setting and sticking to a budget is a valuable life lesson for your kids. If you need help making a budget, numerous online tools are available online at sites such as the U.S. Financial Literacy and Education Commission’s MyMoney.gov , the National Foundation for Credit Counseling and Practical Money Skills for Life , a free personal financial management program run by Visa Inc. Readers, I’m curious to know your experiences with senior prom expenses and if you’ve got any cost-cutting tips you’d like to share. This article is intended to provide general information and should not be considered legal, tax or financial advice. It’s always a good idea to consult a legal, tax or financial advisor for specific information on how certain laws apply to you and about your individual financial situation. Follow Jason Alderman on Twitter: http://twitter.com/PracticalMoney

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Video: Korn Says IMF Should Consider `All Comers’ for Top Spot

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Thai Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij spoke with Bloomberg’s Mike Firn in Tokyo on May 25 about the selection process for the next head of the International Monetary Fund and Thailand’s economy and politics. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Lau Says China Utility Stocks Offer Trading Opportunity

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Pierre Lau, an analyst at Citigroup Inc., talks about China’s power shortages, its implications for the nation’s utility stocks and his investment strategy. China is facing what may be its worst ever power shortage as rising fuel costs curb utilities’ output. (Source: Bloomberg)

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David Coates: Punishment or Pushback: Financial Regulation in the Midst of Recession

May 27, 2011

Nearly one American in two is currently “financially fragile ” — unable, that is, to come up with $2000 dollars in 30 days to deal with an unexpected emergency. That fragility presumably does not stretch out to the fortunate few employed by Goldman Sachs, collectively the recipients of the reportedly $15.4 billion set aside by the Wall Street giant for the payment of bonuses at the end of 2010. Fifteen point four billion dollars averages out at $435,000 per Goldman Sachs employee: in a year in which, far away from Wall Street, one million homes were foreclosed and 15 million Americans went without employment, let alone bonuses. While mainstream America continues to struggle with the recessionary consequences of a meltdown caused by financial excess, large financial institutions have left that struggle far behind. They are back to profitability and back to their old ways. Senior bankers are making money again while the rest of us are not. There was a time, not so very long ago, when things were otherwise: when leading Wall Street players publicly conceded (and indeed apologized for) the causal role played by their institutions in the financial meltdown of 2008. There was a time when the energies of Congress were accordingly focused on the creation of stronger regulatory structures designed to block a repetition of that meltdown. There was even a time when some of the minor players in the debacle of 2008 found themselves in court, charged with fraud. But those apologies were brief. The new regulatory structures were born flawed; and the few prosecutions failed to deliver. To a truly remarkable degree, given the scale and longevity of the damage they have caused, the guilty have escaped unpunished from the financial crisis of 2008, as Washington has turned its attention elsewhere, in the process allowing bank lobbyists to water down even the modest reforms imposed at the height of the crisis. Washington, that is, except Carl Levin and his subcommittee. Their Wall Street and the Financial Crisis report deserves to be compulsory reading for every concerned citizen, for it reaffirms what we already knew — that regulation and even punishment, certainly not pushback, remains essential if the practices which generated such economic havoc and social misery in 2008 are not eventually to do the same again on an even grander scale. A little recap would not go amiss, given the amount of money, energy and argumentation now flowing into the weakening of new regulatory constraints on the behavior of leading U.S. financial institutions. 1. Lest we forget, remember this. The credit crisis of 2008 was caused by inadequately-regulated and over-confident U.S. financial institutions, within which there were serious lapses of accountability and ethics. This is the well-established conclusion of a welter of both academic and journalistic reports on the events and processes leading up to the collapse of Lehmann Brothers in September 2008, and the subsequent financial meltdown. The credit crisis was the product of recklessness, corruption, managerial failure, greed and arrogance – in what Michael Mayo called “an industry on steroids .” That is also the conclusion reached by the subpoena-empowered Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in its January 2011 report. Among the Commission’s findings were these: that “widespread failures in financial regulation and supervision proved devastating to the stability of the nation’s financial markets;” that “dramatic failures of corporate governance and risk management at many systemically important financial institutions were a key cause of this crisis;” and that “a combination of excessive borrowing, risky investments, and lack of transparency put the financial system on a collision course with crisis.” ( report , pp. xviii-xix) 2. To prevent an even deeper crisis, leading financial institutions received huge amounts of taxpayer and Federal Reserve support, without which many of them would undoubtedly have folded. We now know, because of Bernie Sanders ‘ diligence, that in addition to TARP money Goldman Sachs received nearly $600 billion in loans and other financial aid from the Federal Reserve in the wake of the crisis, “Morgan Stanley…received nearly $2 trillion, Citigroup…$1.8 trillion, Bear Stearns…$1 trillion, and Merrill Lynch…some $1.5 trillion in short term loans from the Fed.” Even hedge fund giants like John Paulson apparently took their cut of the Fed’s emergency cash. But though rapidly saved in this fashion by this staggering volume of tax-payer dollars and Fed loans, the big six financial institutions now sitting astride Wall Street — Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo — failed miserably to pass on their good fortune with equal speed to either struggling small banks or to a Main Street suddenly bereft of available credit. 3. The fallout from the crisis created by bad financial practices continues unabated: primarily in the form of extensive job loss, unprecedented levels of home foreclosure, and now serious cuts in state-level public services. As Simon Johnson has recently noted , “employment remains more than 5 percent below its pre-crisis peak, millions of homeowners are still underwater on their mortgages, and the negative fiscal consequences — at national, state and local level — remain profound.” Indeed we may be facing such a prolonged recession as a result of the 2008 financial collapse as to effectively lose a whole decade, even perhaps a whole generation. Certainly there are disturbing signs in the wind of new and awesome problems ahead: not least persistent and unexpected unemployment among the estimated 85 percent of the 2 million new college graduates likely to return home in 2011 for want of adequate work ! 4. Bankers did initially concede responsibility and invite some degree of regulatory reform. Bank of America chief executive and president Brian Moynihan told the opening session of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission that “over the crisis, we as an industry caused a lot of damage;” and JP Morgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon admitted before the same body that “we did make mistakes and there were things we could have done better .” Appearing before a parliamentary committee in London a month later, the former chairman of HBOS made similar concessions, saying that he was “profoundly and unreservedly sorry.” John Mack of Morgan Stanley even called the crisis “a profound wake up call for [his] firm;” and all four bankers appearing before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission declared their willingness to co-operate with tighter oversight while indicating their fear that such oversight might become excessive. It didn’t last of course. By the time of the next Davos conference, Jamie Dimon for one was already condemning ‘the incessant broad-based vilification of the banking industry” as both unfair and damaging. Fortunately for the rest of us, the French President did not agree, reminding the American banker that “the world has paid with tens of millions of unemployed, who were in no way to blame and who paid for everything.” Nicholas Sarkozy had a point. 5. The appropriateness of that admission of responsibility was confirmed by later bipartisan investigatory panels, particularly Carl Levin’s. The suspicion that even major players in the industry misbehaved prior to the crisis is now evident for all to see from the evidence presented in the Levin report. As the Senator put it, the investigation of his sub-committee found a “financial snake pit rife with greed, conflicts of interest, and wrong doing.” And not just the Democratic Senator. His Republican counterpart was equally blunt. “Blame for this mess lies everywhere,” the ultra-conservative Tom Coburn said when sitting alongside Levin, “from federal regulators who cast a blind eye, Wall Street bankers who let greed run wild, and members of Congress who failed to provide oversight….It shows without a doubt the lack of ethics in some of our financial institutions who embraced known conflicts of interest to accomplish wealth for themselves, not caring about the outcome for their customers.” Goldman Sachs (for their marketing practices), and Standard & Poor’s (for the inadequacy of their credit rating), were both heavily censored in the Levin report. The Subcommittee found no less than 12 Goldman Sachs’ practices that raised conflict of interests concerns: criticizing the company for designing, marketing and selling “CDOs in ways that created conflicts of interest with the firm’s clients and at times led to the bank’s profiting from the same products that caused substantial losses for its clients.” (report, page 8) The logical outcome of these five unassailable truths would, in an entirely sane world, presumably be the extensive re-regulation of the entire financial sector and the punishment of the guilty among the financial elite; and there is some slow momentum building for at least a degree of punishment. Many of the main players have already slipped through the judicial net. Individuals like Angelo Mozilo, who agreed in October 2010 to pay $67.5 million to settle insider trading and other charges brought by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Institutions like Citigroup, which paid $75 million in July 2010 to settle civil fraud charges filed by the SEC; or Goldman Sachs, who settled with the SEC that same month for $550 million. (Two top Citigroup executives settled separately with the SEC that July, paying $100,000 and $80,000 respectively.) But at last the net seems to be tightening slightly. The FDIC has reportedly filed suit to recover $900 million in damages from three former executives of Washington Mutual, and is said to be conducting at least 50 criminal investigations of former senior figures in banks that have failed. Carl Levin, for his part, has referred the evidence given to his subcommittee by Goldman Sachs executives (including by its CEO) to the Justice Department for possible criminal prosecution; Attorney Generals in Nevada and Arizona have filed suit against Bank of America for dubious lending procedures in the housing market; a coalition of 50 state attorney generals is gearing up to do the same; and New York’s Attorney General has called in documents on mortgage operations during the housing bubble from major financial institutions that include Bank of America and Morgan Stanley. However, don’t hold your breath. American justice grinds mighty slow when it is the mighty who are being called to justice. The initial anger – in Washington and beyond – against bank excess has now largely dissipated, and lobby spending by financial institutions has accordingly grown of late, as the battle over regulatory details has shifted away from Congress and back into the regulatory agencies themselves. There was significant pushback against reform even before the passage of the Dodd-Frank Act – pushback that left gaps in the new regulatory structures through which old forms of financial malpractice could and do continue to slip: pushback that ensured that there would be no impenetrable wall between commercial and investment banking, no watertight limit on the size of financial institutions, and an indeterminate amount of derivative trading still exempt from the new regulations. (The formulation of those was left to the CFTC, where partisan infighting recently eroded the potency of the new regulatory codes still further). Tighter regulation in the wake of the Act is accordingly proving more difficult than was originally hoped: partly due to the difficulty of getting Congressional clearance for Obama appointees, partly because of the sheer complexity of the practices being regulated, and partly because of resistance from large institutions and their lobbyists. The new Republican majority in the House of Representatives is an additional thorn in the side of this tighter regulation: with the Tea Party-inspired legislators persistently underfunding (or attempting to defund) regulatory agencies, introducing bills to slow down or eviscerate the Dodd-Frank Act, and waging a particularly focused war on the new Consumer Financial Agency and its erstwhile head, Elizabeth Warren. Even the Obama administration is now apparently planning to exempt certain foreign exchange derivatives from regulations mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act. Meanwhile, old practices are up and running again, as though they had made no contribution to our present malaise. The board of Citigroup awarded its CEO a base salary of $1.75 million for 2011. Bank of America paid its CEO $10.2 million in 2010, as JPMorgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon earned $23.6 million. Even the credit agencies, so defective in the run up to the crisis, are full of self-confidence again. Standard and Poor’s chose to warn in April of a potential downgrade to the credit rating of the United States, a downgrade directly linked to public borrowing made necessary by the recession that inadequate credit rating had helped trigger less than 3 years before! Standard & Poor’s, the very company on which in that same month the Levin-Coburn report had laid prime responsibility for triggering the financial meltdown (through their and Moody’s July 2007 mass downgrading of mortgage-backed securities hitherto rated AAA). It takes some nerve to be simultaneously so criticized and so critical, but Standard and Poor’s clearly have those kinds of nerves! Richard Eskow complained in 2010 that “a banker can’t get arrested in this town.” Well, perhaps it’s time that they could. In Iceland, in Germany and even in the UK, delinquent bankers occasionally end up in court, sometimes in jail, even expelled from the industry because of their malpractice. But not here, not this time, not yet (unlike in the earlier S&L crisis, when more than a thousand bankers were jailed). As a whole string of commentators (including Richard Eskow, Matt Taibbi, Les Leopold and Joshua Holland ) have recently argued, it is surely time to call our bankers to account. Time because of justice; time because of the sufferings of others; time because only by calling delinquent bankers to account can we ever hope to prevent them dragging us all down again into a crisis and a recession of which we would be innocent, and which would be entirely of their making. Initially posted, with full academic sourcing, at: www.davidcoates.net

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Video: Barings’s Do Likes China Consumer, Health-Care Stocks

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Khiem Do, head of multi-asset strategy at Baring Asset Management Ltd. in Hong Kong, talks about the outlook for China stocks and his investment strategy. Do also discusses U.S. stocks and the U.S and European economies. He speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Tang Says New Venture to Offer Amusing, Practical Items: Video

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — David Tang, the entrepreneur who founded the Shanghai Tang boutique chain, spoke with Bloomberg’s Robyn Meredith on May 21 in Hong Kong about his views on style, art and his latest commercial venture. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Dennis Santiago: Crunching the Bank Numbers for 1st Quarter of 2011

May 27, 2011

We received the 1st Quarter of 2011 research dataset from the FDIC at Institutional Risk Analytics yesterday. The computers churned the data overnight so our customers could begin to look at the surveillance analytics for their banks of interest this morning. I’ve been staring at the summary statistics for the industry today and file the following observations for those of you entertained by how this is all playing out. Stress: Forks in the Road There’s a fork in the road for the stressed out TBTF’s. At the end of 2010, we were tracking 545 institutions representing $4,909B in assets that has an IRA Bank Stress Index grade of B. This was the interesting population of “large complex institutions” (LCI’s) dealing with the indigestion of rotting mortgages in their bellies. Come the end of 1Q2011, forty-four of these banks exit the B grade column and look to have split with one group representing maybe $3.1T in assets migrating back up to A stress grade condition and another faction worth approximately $1.6T dropping further down to join other banks in the C column. We are just beginning to look at what commonalities are shared by these two emerging clusters of larger institutions but for me it begins to add a little more clarity to the musing I referred to in the article I filed a couple of days ago, “Bank Fail” Pondering the Unthinkable . There’s another major note in this quarter’s data on the small bank side. A little over 500 of them joined the A+ grade stress silo this quarter, quite a number of them going from F to A+ as they begin to show positive operating income again. The most common strategy we see is an adoption of a mixed business operating profile cutting back on lending and favoring the use of money to put into investment assets made so attractive by quantitative easing. Clearly, the economist’s view that encouraging all banks to migrate towards post Glass-Steagall portfolio management profiles is tickling down. That’s good news for Wall Street. Read on for what it means to Main Street. Deposits: Big Winners The news in bank deposits country for Q1 is that the big banks continue to be the big winners. The over $65B size institutions hold just over $6T in deposits versus $3.6T by all the smaller banks combined. More important, the big banks have grown deposits by $1T since June 2008 while the smaller bank group has stayed flat only moving up $100B in deposits in the same time. More interestingly, this winning formula by the big banks has been happening in the low or no interest paying checking and savings accounts category. Interest paying time deposits are way down at the big banks, a much deeper decline than experienced at the smaller institutions. This means the cost of doing business for these big banks is materially advantaged versus the smaller group. I’m not saying I like it. What I am saying is despite people in America whining about “Too Big To Fail”, the deposits story says Americans still bank there. The big banks have known this all along of course. Now you do too. Lending: Still a Dearth Back in January I filed a blog on the Huffington Post titled “A Deepening Dearth of Lending” . That trajectory towards that dearth remains in effect. Total bank industry lending is now down about $800B since June 2008. Bank willingness to extend commitments to borrowers is down around $2T in the same timeframe. That’s a lot of private capital energy taken out of the economy. The bank’s reluctance to lend manifests as a steady flight to quality. We see them hammering down annualized gross default rates – a measure of operating stress – from a peak of 302 basis points (bp) this time last year to around 211 bp this quarter. That’s still elevated compared to the 127 bp it was in June 2008 so the pressure to stay stingy doesn’t look like it’s gone away just yet. The flight to quality also shows loss given default rates have come down now to 86.8% which is actually below the 90% it was in 2008. The message of these numbers is clearly that you’d better have stellar credit to ask for credit. But you already knew that. Now you have a little better picture of how much it matters to your banker. Distressed Real Estate: The Workout Continues The news is that real estate lending for the banking industry is getting safer. The annualized gross default rate for residential real estate is down from a peak of 212 bp a year ago to 159 bp roughly following the same trend as lending in general. Nationwide R.E. loans have dropped by $634B to $4,161B down from $4,795B in June 2008. Magnitude wise things could have been worse at this point and clearly this apparent stabilization has much to do with the gargantuan efforts of the United States to deliberately spend treasure to buy time. That time continues to be spent working out the excess inventory of our last mortgage boom. Looking at degraded real estate in particular that data shows that work to stem what was a tidal wave of 30-89 day delinquent loans seems to have gotten us back to the same levels of $76-78B today as it was in 2008 when the swan eggs hatched. This doesn’t mean the nest isn’t toxic. Over 90 day delinquent real estate presently stands at $105.5B. It was a mere $19B the day the music stopped. Similar large workout inventory remains in Non-Accrual loans that stand at $186B today and Other Real Estate Owned sits at $52B as of 1Q2011. To see the numbers behind this report go to the IRA Industry Fact Sheet .

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U.S. Dollar Broadly Lower on Disappointing Data

May 27, 2011

U.S. Dollar Broadly Lower on Disappointing Data

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