June 2011

Debt default in Greece would crteate chaos: Mersch

June 26, 2011

Debt default in Greece would crteate chaos: Mersch

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Airbus orders reach new peak at USD72b

June 26, 2011

Airbus orders reach new peak at USD72b

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Brazil’s 2011-2012 coffee output to decline

June 26, 2011

Brazil’s 2011-2012 coffee output to decline

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German USD14b tax cuts are unrealistic

June 26, 2011

German USD14b tax cuts are unrealistic

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New measures to counter failure of big banks

June 26, 2011

New measures to counter failure of big banks

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Obama to tackle US debt problem

June 26, 2011

Obama to tackle US debt problem

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India relaxes banking norms for foreign nationals

June 26, 2011

India relaxes banking norms for foreign nationals

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Trade-boosting foreign travel to US is ‘Ready for Takeoff’

June 26, 2011

Trade-boosting foreign travel to US is ‘Ready for Takeoff’

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Hungary- China to remain long-term investor in Europe

June 26, 2011

Hungary- China to remain long-term investor in Europe

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UK at risk by Eurozone debt crisis

June 26, 2011

UK at risk by Eurozone debt crisis

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L America, Caribbean May food inflation 7.4%: FAO

June 26, 2011

L America, Caribbean May food inflation 7.4%: FAO

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China, Taiwan trade up 15.3% from Jan- May

June 26, 2011

China, Taiwan trade up 15.3% from Jan- May

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Japan to increase taxes to finance reconstruction

June 26, 2011

Japan to increase taxes to finance reconstruction

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Oil reserve release justified, Geithner says

June 26, 2011

Oil reserve release justified, Geithner says

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Obama: One Of My Responsibilities ‘Is To Keep An Eye On Robots’

June 25, 2011

President Barack Obama joked that one of his responsibilities as the nation’s commander in chief “is to keep an eye on robots” while speaking at the National Robotics Engineering Center at Carnegie Mellon University on Friday. “I just met with folks from some cutting-edge companies and saw some of their inventions here in your National Robotics Engineering Center, but that’s not the only reason I’m here,” the president said . “You might not know this, but one of my responsibilities as commander in chief is to keep an eye on robots. And I’m pleased to report that the robots you manufacture here seem peaceful, at least for now.” The remarks from Obama drew laughs from his audience. The AP reports : But Obama’s main theme was that advanced manufacturing has the potential to fuel job growth. He called for a joint effort by industry, universities and the federal government to help reposition the United States as a leader in cutting-edge manufacturing. With growing interest from the military, businesses and consumers, the Carnegie Mellon Robotics Institute has more than 500 technical experts and a $65 million annual budget. And its scientists aren’t just asking questions – they’re building robots that ask questions, too. White House Press Secretary Jay Carney joked at a press conference earlier this year that Obama himself is “not a robot.” Below, video of the speech the president delivered on Friday via WhiteHouse.gov. WATCH:

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Departing Regulator: Government, Banks Suffer From ‘Short-Termism’

June 25, 2011

Sheila Bair, outgoing chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., said on Friday that the American government and financial system are in danger of forgetting the lessons of the 2008 financial crisis, according to The Wall Street Journal . Bair, who plans to step down as FDIC chair on July 8 , said that some leaders in finance and government are suffering from a case of “short-termism”: a focus on reaping short-term gains at the expense of maintaining long-term economic stability. “The alternative is to risk another financial crisis that could someday throw millions of people out of work and wreck our public finances,” she said, according to The Wall Street Journal . Banks recently have been pouring money into lobbying against the implementation of the Dodd-Frank Act, which imposes more limits on financial institutions. Congressional Republicans also have hardened their push to weaken the Dodd-Frank Act, with U.S. Representative Michele Bachmann even introducing a bill that would repeal it altogether. Key regulators, most prominently the Securities and Exchange Commission, have also have made concessions, delaying and watering down rules set to be imposed on the derivatives market and hedge funds. Bair, like Elizabeth Warren, has called for better laws to rule over risk-prone banks, in order to maintain economic peace. “The history of the crisis shows many examples when regulators acted too late, or with too little conviction, when they failed to use authorities they already had or failed to ask for the authorities they needed to fulfill their mission,” she said in late May . “As the crisis developed, too many in the regulatory community were too slow to acknowledge the danger, and were too slow to act in addressing it.” Bair also suggested in April that the United States follow a British proposal to solve the problem of too-big-to-fail financial institutions. She said she would like the FDIC to follow the same proposal and section off the risk-prone investment banking portion of banks from the section of banks that lend to retailers and consumers. More recently, however, she has focused on the issue of requiring banks to hold a certain amount of capital in case of an emergency, warning that European capital requirements do not go far enough, particularly since some European countries are facing debt crises and banks are exposed to that debt. She said it is “troubling” that European banks “continue to effectively set their own capital requirements using internal risk estimates, unconstrained by any objective hard limits.”

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Iran Condemns Decision By Consumer Nations To Tap Oil Reserves

June 25, 2011

TEHRAN – Iran condemned on Saturday a decision by oil consumer nations to release strategic crude stocks as politically motivated interference in the market that would not have a sustained impact on prices. “The measure by the International Energy Agency in consuming their oil stockpile is meddling in the natural oil market trend and the drop in oil prices will not be sustainable,” Iran’s OPEC governor Mohammad Ali Khatibi was quoted as saying by the Oil Ministry website SHANA. The 28-member IEA said on Thursday it would release 60 million barrels a day over an initial 30 days to fill the gap created by the disruption to Libya’s output. Earlier this month, OPEC failed to reach consensus to increase production, which consumer countries wanted and leading exporter Saudi Arabia had pushed for, but which other producers, including Iran, opposed. After the OPEC meeting, Saudi Arabia said it would unilaterally increase output to meet the needs of the market. Iran said the move was politically motivated as Saudi Arabia was under western pressure. “After the United States and Europe failed to raise the organization’s output in the recent OPEC meeting, they used their utmost efforts to lower the global oil price. The consumption of stocks by the IEA to compensate for the oil shortage will push down prices in an artificial way,” Khatibi said. Khatibi reiterated Iran’s hawkish position about the current situation of the market. “The international oil market is not facing any shortage and supply and demand are balanced and any measure to increase output is a political act and maneuver,” said Khatibi. “The Americans’ meddling in the oil market and the consequent drop in its price is an attempt to influence the outcome of the presidential election next year ,” Khatibi said. (Reporting by Hashem Kalantari; Writing by Ramin Mostafavi; Editing by Sugita Katyal and Toby Chopra) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Mitt Romney Criticizes Obama Economic Policies

June 25, 2011

SALT LAKE CITY — Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney criticized President Barack Obama’s economic policies Friday at campaign stops in his one-time home state of Utah. “Gasoline is too expensive, food’s too expensive, there’s too many people out of work, and there’s nothing to be proud of in Barack Obama’s economic policies,” Romney said from the back of a bright red pickup outside a popular Salt Lake City drive-in restaurant. “My policies will get Americans back to work and let America lead the world as it has in the past.” Romney’s stop at the locally owned Hires Big H was his first public appearance in heavily Republican Utah since he announced his bid for the nomination. The event drew about 200 supporters and was bookended by a pair of private fundraisers, including a $1,000-a-plate luncheon at a private home in Orem and a $2,500 per-person reception at a downtown Salt Lake City. It wasn’t clear Friday how much money Romney had raised during his swing through the state. This is Romney’s second bid for the GOP nomination. He’s considered the front-runner in a primary field that includes former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachman and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman. Romney said that by the end of his first term, Obama will have racked up more debt than all previous U.S. presidents combined – a remark that drew loud booing from the crowd. “He has spent too much money, he has borrowed too much money … he’s put in place the greatest takeover of states’ rights with his Obamacare, which we’re gonna repeal and reverse,” Romney said with his wife of 42 years, Ann, by his side. Merle and Robert Fullmer, republicans from Midvale, waited about an hour in the hot sun to see the candidate. They said they think Romney, who like the couple is a member of the Utah-based Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, can tackle the nation’s economic and foreign policy problems. “He seems to have integrity and he seems to have the right experience at this particular time in politics,” said Robert Fullmer, 78. A registered Democrat, Anne Ryan, of Portland, Ore., interrupted her Utah visit to bring her husband and two teenage sons to the rally. “I am a Mitt fan. I’ve followed his campaign for a long time … and also this is just such an experience for my son to come see a campaign event,” said the 43-year-old, who is also a Mormon. Ryan, a former computer systems engineer, said it was Romney’s performances as Massachusetts’ governor and head of the 2002 Olympic Winter Games in Salt Lake City that drew her interest and support. After the rally, Romney munched on a cheeseburger and talked with local small-business owners and state government leaders about their concerns, including taxes, health insurance costs, entitlement programs and energy policy.

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Global Regulators Agree To Impose Extra Capital Charge On Biggest Banks

June 25, 2011

BASEL (Huw Jones) – Global banking regulators have agreed on a proposal to slap an extra capital charge on the world’s biggest banks to make them safer by 2019. The surcharge is part of a series of regulatory reforms launched in response to the financial crisis, which forced countries worldwide into costly bailouts of their banking sectors to prevent systemic collapses. The Group of Governors and Heads of Supervision (GHOS) said after a meeting in Basel on Saturday the proposal would be put out to public consultation next month. “The additional loss absorbency requirements are to be met with progressive common equity tier 1 capital requirement ranging from 1 percent to 2.5 percent, depending on a bank’s systemic importance,” the group said in a statement. An additional 1 percent surcharge would also be imposed if a bank becomes significantly bigger, pushing the total to 3.5 percent. The plans, which need approval from world leaders (G20) in November, would be phased in between January 1 2016 and end of 2018. The capital surcharge will come on top of the new 7 percent minimum core capital all banks across the world will have to hold under new Basel III rules being phased in over six years from 2013. However, many of the world’s biggest banks already hold core tier 1 capital ratios of 10 percent or more and therefore easily meet or exceed the top end of the surcharge band. The central bankers have opted for a smaller surcharge than forseen but, in return, the surcharge will have to be in the form of top quality capital — retained earnings or common equity. This marks a victory for hardline countries such as Britain and the United States but will disappoint some banks that have been hoping to use hybrid debt such as contingent capital (CoCos) to pad out the surcharge band. Dirk Jaeger, Managing Director for supervision matters at Germany’s banks association BdB said the decision was not much of a surprise: “But we regret that bank levies and CoCo bonds do not count for the additional capital buffer.” COCOS REVIEWED The proposal, which was due to be finalized by last November but faced opposition from banks and some countries, will apply initially to so-called globally systemically important banks (G-SIBs). “These measures will strengthen the resilience of G-SIBs and create strong incentives for them to reduce their systemic importance over time,” the statement said. The consultation paper in July will indicate how many banks face a capital surcharge but it is not clear yet if their names will be published. The number of banks affected is likely to change over time as lenders grow or shrink and the consultation will spell out how often a snapshot of the sector will be taken. Banks will face a surcharge according to an indicator that draws on five elements — size, interconnectedness, lack of substitutability, global (cross-jurisdictional) activity, and complexity. The group of central bankers and the Basel Committee it oversees said they will continue to review the use of contingent capital. The central bankers said they would support the use of contingent capital to meet higher national requirements than the global minimum surcharge. However, even then, there would have to be a high-trigger for converting the debt into equity to help absorb losses on a going concern basis, the central bankers said. (Additional reporting by Alexander Huebner in Germany; Editing by Toby Chopra) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Madoff Trustee Triples Size Of JPMorgan Lawsuit

June 25, 2011

NEW YORK (Jonathan Stempel and Jochelle Mendonca) – The trustee seeking money for Bernard Madoff’s victims is now demanding $19 billion in damages from JPMorgan Chase & Co, more than tripling what he hopes to recover from what had been the main bank for the now-imprisoned Ponzi schemer. The amended complaint by the trustee Irving Picard adds new charges and was filed three days after the second-largest U.S. bank agreed to pay $153.6 million to settle U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission fraud charges. Picard maintained that JPMorgan was “thoroughly complicit” in Madoff’s fraud and ignored red flags. In his original complaint, made public in February, he had sought $6.4 billion, including $5.4 billion of damages and $1 billion for fraudulent transfers and claims. “JPMorgan Chase chose to enable Madoff’s fraud, not just through the various ways it participated in its activity, but by helping to cover Madoff’s naked theft with the imprimatur of a globally recognized financial institution,” the 155-page amended complaint said. The higher damage request reflects “life-to-date damages,” or what the trustee considers the minimum losses over the entirety of Madoff’s Ponzi scheme. Picard is also seeking at least $500 million that JPMorgan made “off the backs of Madoff’s victims,” and more than $400 million of alleged fraudulent transfers. Tasha Pelio, a JPMorgan spokeswoman, repeated in an email the bank’s earlier statement that Picard’s lawsuit is meritless and distorts the facts and law. “JPMorgan did not know about or in any way become a party to the fraud orchestrated by Bernard Madoff,” she said. “At all times, JPMorgan complied fully with all laws and regulations governing bank accounts.” Picard has filed roughly 1,050 lawsuits seeking more than $100 billion for former investors at Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC. “BEFORE THEIR VERY EYES” The amended JPMorgan complaint adds new allegations that another financial services company around 1997 investigated nearly daily transfers of $1 million to $10 million between Madoff’s account there and his account at Chase. It said that company questioned Madoff’s employees about the suspicious back-and-forth transfers. Having failed to be satisfied about them, they closed Madoff’s account, it said. “JPMorgan Chase’s bankers literally watched the fraud unfold before their very eyes,” Deborah Renner, a lawyer representing Picard, said in a statement. Both are partners at the law firm Baker & Hostetler. The amended complaint also discusses Madoff’s longtime relationship with Sterling Equities, a private banking customer of JPMorgan founded by Fred Wilpon and Saul Katz, owners of the New York Mets baseball team. Picard has sued the Mets’ owners for $1 billion, prompting them to enter talks to sell part of the team to hedge fund manager David Einhorn for $200 million. [ID:nN26247232] The owners have denied knowing Madoff was committing fraud. In a regulatory filing last month, JPMorgan estimated that as of March 31 it might have to pay out as much as $4.5 billion more for litigation than it had set aside for that purpose. It also said it faced more than 10,000 legal proceedings. Tuesday’s SEC accord resolved charges that JPMorgan did not tell investors that a hedge fund helped shape — and then bet against — complex mortgage securities they bought. HSBC, BANK MEDICI, UNICREDIT ALSO SUED Picard’s case against JPMorgan is being overseen by U.S. District Judge Colleen McMahon. It is one of three high-profile Madoff lawsuits that have been moved to federal district court, where juries can hear cases, from bankruptcy court, where Picard originally sued. U.S. District Judge Jed Rakoff is reviewing some issues in Picard’s $9 billion case against HSBC Holdings Plc. Rakoff is also considering whether the trustee can invoke racketeering law in a $58.8 billion lawsuit against Italy’s UniCredit SpA, Austria’s Bank Medici AG and its founder Sonja Kohn, and other defendants. JPMorgan has until August 1 to respond to the amended complaint, Picard said. Madoff, 73, was arrested on December 11, 2008, and after pleading guilty is serving a 150-year prison sentence. JPMorgan shares fell 16 cents in after-hours trading, after closing Friday’s session down 58 cents at $39.49. The cases are Picard v. JPMorgan Chase & Co et al, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Southern District of New York, No. 10-ap-04932; and Picard v. JPMorgan Chase & Co et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No. 11-00913. (Reporting by Jonathan Stempel in New York and Jochelle Mendonca in Bangalore; editing by Andre Grenon, Gary Hill Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Abercrombie & Fitch Sued Over Headscarf Firing

June 25, 2011

A San Mateo woman is suing Abercrombie & Fitch after she was allegedly fired from her job at the company’s Hillsdale Shopping Center outlet for not removing her headscarf.

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Wisconsin Justice Allegedly Grabbed Colleague Around The Neck Prior To Union Law Ruling

June 25, 2011

Wisconsin state Supreme Court Justice David Prosser allegedly grabbed one of his colleagues around the neck prior to the court’s recent decision to allow controversial restrictions on unions to take effect, the Wisconsin State Journal reports . According to the State Journal , Prosser purportedly grabbed fellow Justice Ann Bradley with both hands after she asked him to leave her office. The measure at issue in the alleged altercation denies most Wisconsin public workers of their collective bargaining rights. The legislation, which Wisconsin Republican Governor Scott Walker introduced in February of this year, sparked prolonged protests and thrust the Badger State into the national spotlight. The AP relays background on the Wisconsin state Supreme Court ruling on the measure: In a 4-3 decision that included a blistering dissent, the court ruled that Dane County Circuit Judge Maryann Sumi overstepped her authority when she declared the law void. She sided with a lawsuit that claimed Republicans didn’t provide proper public notice of a meeting that helped get the original legislation approved. … Walker claimed that the law, which also requires public employees to pay more for their health care and pensions, was needed to help address the state’s $3.6 billion budget shortfall and give local governments enough flexibility on labor costs to deal with deep cuts to state aid. Democrats saw it as an attack on public employee unions, which usually back their party’s candidates. According to the State Journal , Wisconsin Public Radio and the Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism launched a joint investigation into the altercation between Prosser and Bradley. Sources spoke about the incident with the local outlet on the condition of anonymity. Prosser said he had nothing to say about the matter on Friday when contacted by the organizations looking into the situation. The conservative justice was reelected to his post earlier this year in an extremely contentious race against challenger JoAnne Kloppenburg. The AP reported at the time: Although the race was officially nonpartisan, Democrats tried to link Prosser, a 12-year court veteran and former Republican Assembly speaker, to Republican Gov. Scott Walker and a divisive new law stripping public employees of most of their union rights. Anger over the law gave Kloppenburg’s campaign a boost in the weeks leading up to the election, but it wasn’t enough to put her over the top. … The law’s opponents hoped a Kloppenburg upset would tilt the court to the left and set the stage for the justices to overturn the measure. For his part, Prosser has told The Associated Press that he doesn’t necessarily support the law but cautioned his personal feelings don’t influence how he rules on cases before the court. According to the State Journal , details on what exactly happened between Prosser and Bradley remain scarce.

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Cost Of Childcare Has Skyrocketed In Last 50 Years

June 25, 2011

It cost $25,299 to raise a child from birth to age 18 in 1960. The amount rose to $226,920 last year. This may be one of the reasons many reasons Americans are having fewer children these days. Adjusted for inflation, the 1960 sum equals about $192,497 compared to $235,996 in 2010, about a 22% increase. Neither number paints a complete picture. Median household income rose 25% between 1960 and 2010. The cost of raising a child is, in comparison to income over the 50-year period, up very modestly.

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Poll Shows Where Americans Stand On Looming Debt Crisis

June 25, 2011

WASHINGTON — It might be time for another midnight ride by Paul Revere, this time warning “the creditors are coming.” Americans seem not to have awakened to the fast-looming debt crisis that could summon a new recession, imperil their stock market investments and shatter faith in the world’s most powerful economy. Those are among the implications, both sudden and long-lasting, expected to unfold if the U.S. defaults on debt payments for the first time in history. Facing an August deadline for raising the country’s borrowing limit or setting loose the consequences, politicians and economists are plenty alarmed. The people? Apparently not so much. They’re divided on whether to raise the limit, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that found 41 percent opposed to the idea and 38 percent in favor. People aren’t exactly blase. A narrow majority in the poll expects an economic crisis to ensue if the U.S., maxed out on its borrowing capacity, starts missing interest payments to creditors. But even among that group, 37 percent say no dice to raising the limit. In Washington’s humid air, talk of a financial apocalypse is thick. There are warnings of “credit markets in a state of panic,” as the House Budget Committee chairman, Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., put it, causing a sudden drop-off in the country’s ability to borrow and pushing the government off a “credit cliff.” He was characterizing a report by the government’s nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office that warns of a “sudden fiscal crisis” in which investors might abandon U.S. bonds and force the government to pay steep interest rates and impose spending cuts and tax increases far more Draconian than if default were avoided. The dire warnings appear to be falling on unconvinced ears, at least so far. Call it doomsday fatigue. In recent times, Americans heard that things were going to go haywire with the turn of the millennium, and they didn’t. They were primed for post-Sept. 11 terrorist plots that did not unfold. They’ve seen Congress, a lumbering body that gets fleet of foot at the last minute, come to the brink time after time, only to pull something out of its hat. Recently, a partial government shutdown was averted in that manner. To Robin Knight, 50-year-old teacher from Gilbert, Ariz., who’s trying to stay informed on the debt crisis, Washington’s tendency to cry wolf and stage histrionics on issues of the day isn’t helping. “It should be very easy to understand,” she said, “but I think there are so many skewed views and time given to people screaming that it can be hard to follow.” As during the lead-up to the government shutdown that didn’t happen, tortured negotiations are under way. Republican leaders are insisting on huge spending cuts as a condition for raising the debt limit. This position finds solid support from Republicans in the poll and backing from a plurality of independents. President Barack Obama is pushing for increased tax revenue to be part of the deal, and that insistence led House Republican leader Eric Cantor of Virginia to walk out of the negotiations this past week. About half of Democrats in the poll said the debt limit should be raised regardless of whether it’s paired with a deal to cut spending. The survey found no significant differences by education, age, income, or even by party, in perceptions of whether a crisis is likely if the limit is not increased. There was widespread dissatisfaction with how Obama is dealing with the deficit – a new high of 63 percent disapproval on that subject – and an even harsher judgment of how both parties in Congress are doing on the issue. A deal would permit the government to resume borrowing more than $100 billion a month to pay its bills. Paradoxically – or “perversely,” as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke put it – the absence of a deal would not stop the nation’s debt from climbing. Bernanke said the stain on U.S. creditworthiness would drive up deficits simply by saddling the country with higher interest rates on borrowing. Deficit hawks at the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget say a 1 percentage point jump in interest rates paid by Washington would increase deficits by $1.3 trillion through 2021, essentially adding a year’s worth of red ink. Although people in the poll betray plenty of concern about the debt, the prospect of a calamity-triggering default if the debt deadline is not met in August clearly is not dominating their calculations. The AP-GfK poll, as do many surveys over time, points to a divide in how people see the country and their own lives. The poll was conducted June 16-20 by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Corporate Communications. It involved landline and cellphone interviews with 1,001 adults nationwide and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. Although 80 percent ranked the economy as poor, 63 percent also said the financial situation in their own household was good. Also, 70 percent predicted the economy will improve or stay about the same in the next year. A majority says it’s a good time to put money into real estate. Altogether, it’s not unlike the bumper sticker sported on some cars when the world as we know it was supposed to end back in May: “After the Rapture, can I have your car?” ___ AP Polling Director Trevor Tompson, Deputy Polling Director Jennifer Agiesta, News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius and writer Stacy Anderson contributed to this report. ___ Online: Poll results: http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com

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Gas Prices Expected To Drop 25 Cents By Mid-July, Experts Say

June 25, 2011

NEW YORK — A summer road trip may not be such a bad idea after all. Gasoline prices are falling fast. In the past 7 weeks, the average U.S. retail prices has dropped 38 cents to $3.60 per gallon. Another 25-cent drop is expected by mid-July. When prices approached $4 in early May, drivers were worried that $5 gasoline was a possibility this summer. But since then, oil prices have collapsed, the result of slowing economic growth in developed countries, weaker demand for oil and gas and this week’s decision by the U.S. and other countries to release 60 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves. Economists say falling prices will benefit consumers by leaving money in their wallets, and making them feel freer to spend on travel, shopping and dining. Ron Meyers, 51, a handyman from Little Rock, Ark., was doubtful that he could afford the drive to visit family in Pennsylvania. Now, thanks to cheaper gas, the trip is on. And he plans on seeing a few more summer movies, too. “You can go out and have a good time, and have a little money left in your pocket,” he said. Economists say that while, for instance, a 25-cent-per-gallon drop only saves the typical driver $12.50 per month, it has a huge effect both on the economy as a whole and on the psychology of consumers. Naveen Agarwal, who helps small businesses and car companies manage fuel costs as CEO of Pricelock, in Redwood City, Calif, said he expects drivers will travel farther distances this summer than originally planned. And they’ll spend as they go. “They’ll be a little bit more liberal about their consumption instead of just having a barbeque in their back yard,” Agarwal said. Instead of thinking of ways to cut back, the Dykstra family of Orange City, Iowa, will now be able to spend a little more on meals and souvenirs when it visits Chicago. “We actually budgeted for $5 a gallon,” Mark Dykstra, 46, a supermarket assistant manager who will be travelling with his three teenage children, said earlier this week. For the first five months of the year, gasoline prices went in one direction: up. Growing economies, especially in Asia, burned more gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. Turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa prevented oil from reaching the market and scared oil traders into bidding prices higher. Oil peaked at $114 per barrel in April. It’s now at $91 per barrel after a 2 percent drop this week. Energy economists and Wall Street investment bankers caution that oil is likely to rise above $100 again next year, particularly if oil producers struggle to meet rising global demand. Hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico or further unrest in the Middle East could also boost prices. Agarwal expects gasoline prices will return to a range of $3.50 to $3.75 per gallon by the end of the year. Goldman Sachs and other investment banks predict oil will rebound next year to levels that would push gasoline above $4 for the first time since 2008. “If you’re asking whether gasoline could be $3.50 or higher forever, the answer is yes,” said oil analyst Andrew Lipow. “People will have to make some adjustments.” Adzi Vokhiwa, 22, of Acworth, Ga., is relieved by the price drop, but skeptical. “It almost doesn’t matter because I know (prices) are going to go back up again,” she said. She commutes 60 miles a day from her home in Acworth, Ga. to her job in downtown Atlanta. Twice a week she puts $40 worth of gasoline into her Kia Soul, and has asked her boss to change her schedule so she can carpool a couple of days a week. High gasoline prices have made it tougher for Vokhiwa to save for graduate school. But for now, at least, she says she’ll have a little more money to put towards that goal. Randy Herring, 46, of Montpelier, Vt. had been borrowing his wife’s Subaru Legacy instead of driving his Chevy Tahoe SUV and he had even contemplated pulling out his bicycle. Now he’s employing a strategy to capitalize on the falling prices. He’s started to give the Tahoe the equivalent of a sip of gasoline every so often so he doesn’t miss out on the coming savings. “Whatever I need for the week, and that’s it,” Herring said. ___ Associated Press Writers Michael Rubinkam in Allentown, Penn. and Barbara Rodriguez in Chicago contributed to this story. ___ Chris Kahn can be reached at twitter.com/ChrisKahnAP. Jonathan Fahey can be reached at twitter.com/JonathanFahey

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Michel Kelly-Gagnon: Regulating Advertisement Won’t Make Us Behave

June 25, 2011

Do you trust yourself to make the best decisions in your own interest when it comes to what you eat, what you drink, and all the various products that you buy on the market? If so, you must be deluded. Otherwise, why would the government and various groups of do-gooders want to prevent you from even seeing the name of some products for fear that you may not resist the urge to buy them? That’s the logic supporting the many regulations that exist on products such as cigarettes, alcohol and fast food. True, these products may have some negative side effects, especially when consumed in large quantities. But they are still legal and you can buy them anytime you want. Our nanny state however has decided that it needs to hold our hand and shield our eyes from temptation, because we are too immature to make that decision alone. The zeal of government bureaucrats in imposing these rules sometimes reaches absurd heights. Last year, the Gilles-Villeneuve Museum, located in Berthierville, Quebec, decided to stage a small exhibition of pictures of the late racing champion in Montreal during the Grand Prix. Of course, you could see the name Marlboro on several of those pictures, the cigarette company being one of Villeneuve’s major sponsors in the 1970s. Some inspectors for the provincial department of health and social services visited the exhibition and decided that this was a crime . The museum itself is exempted from article 24.1 of the law on tobacco advertising, but not a private room open to the public in another venue. The government decided a couple of days later not to fine the museum for $2,000 after the news caused uproar in the media. That may be an extreme case, but the trend is clear. In many countries around the world, governments are increasingly likely to regulate the advertising industry. Whether in the name of consumer protection or health concerns, advertising for products that are perfectly legal must conform to ever stricter rules. This worldwide trend was recently highlighted by the head of planning for a well respected ad agency in the British newsweekly the Observer . He predicted that governments, instead of banning the sale of certain products outright, would increasingly turn to prohibiting their advertisement. Along the same lines, a group of American health professionals has just called for the retirement of mascot Ronald McDonald. The same group campaigned against mascot Joe Camel in the 1990s. This insistence on protecting consumers from themselves rests on the belief that advertising actually creates a demand for a product. Regulating or banning advertising is therefore thought of as an effective way to reduce the consumption of those products. People who are committed to “helping” others, with or without their consent, are not inclined to question that belief. For them, it’s simply a moral imperative. But it is still possible to study social behaviour and check if this is scientifically valid. There are certainly good reasons to doubt that advertising is required to create or sustain demand for a product. If this perception were true, the consumption of illegal drugs, for example, would not be so widespread. Similarly, the consumption of alcohol did not decrease substantially during American Prohibition. And how to explain that the legalization of alcohol-related advertising in Saskatchewan in 1983 did not lead to increased consumption ? Or that the banning of beer ads in 1974 in Manitoba did not diminish consumption in that province as compared with Alberta, where advertising remained legal? In a case of a new product such as computer tablets, advertising of course serves to make consumers aware of its existence and to develop a new market. But for the bulk of advertising, which focuses on already established products, it simply does not increase demand. So, you may ask, why do businesses spend so much on advertising? Quite simply to capture the largest possible market share and to steal customers from their competitors. For example, Peter will remain indifferent to a beer ad if he never drinks beer. On the other hand, for a beer drinker like John, it is possible that the ad will lead him to choose one brand over another. There is a large amount of empirical research that shows this to be the case. Advertising informs people about the choices available to them, or about the characteristics of certain products. But when all is said and done, the choice remains the consumer’s. What a company hopes to do when it advertises a product is promote what it can do better than its competitors and establish the best possible brand image. In this game, what one gains, another loses, and total consumption is not affected in the vast majority of cases. There is a lesson here for governments and for those do-gooder lobby groups who want us to behave like proper children. Instead of regulating whole industries, why not give customers the information they need to make what you believe are better choices? If you think advertising is so influential, why not advertise your own theories and values and let free individuals decide for themselves?

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Rick Perry’s Claim Exposes Disconnect With Texas Conservatives

June 25, 2011

The country’s longest-serving governor naturally depends on the accomplishments of the state Legislature to bolster his presidential bona fides. But Perry’s neon-light promotion of the robust reserve account on the national stage exposes a disconnect with the conservative lawmakers battling for his principles at home, where at the state level his party is working to divert negative public sentiment about the deep budget reductions.

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European Week: Relief on Greece might be seen with pending parliament vote on austerity package

June 25, 2011

European Week: Relief on Greece might be seen with pending parliament vote on austerity package

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Asia Ahead: Important Economic Data from Major Countries in Asia

June 25, 2011

Asia Ahead: Important Economic Data from Major Countries in Asia

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The World’s largest economy knocks doors of July with further economic fundamentals due to be released next week…

June 25, 2011

The World’s largest economy knocks doors of July with further economic fundamentals due to be released next week…

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QE2 Expiring, Greece Crisis Deeping –Perfect Storm for Dollar, Risk

June 25, 2011

QE2 Expiring, Greece Crisis Deeping –Perfect Storm for Dollar, Risk

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European debt crisis and the Fed’s decision drove Asian markets to fluctuate

June 25, 2011

European debt crisis and the Fed’s decision drove Asian markets to fluctuate

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VIDEO: Julian Malnic Exec. Chairman of Sydney Mining Club Introduces Investorium.tv

June 25, 2011

VIDEO: Julian Malnic Exec. Chairman of Sydney Mining Club Introduces Investorium.tv

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Dollar On the Verge of a Market-Wide Rally as QE2 Set to Expiring

June 25, 2011

Dollar On the Verge of a Market-Wide Rally as QE2 Set to Expiring

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Earthquake direct damages at USD210b: Japan

June 25, 2011

Earthquake direct damages at USD210b: Japan

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Universal Forest sales down 9.5% to USD765m

June 25, 2011

Universal Forest sales down 9.5% to USD765m

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US factory orders rising: Commerce Department

June 25, 2011

US factory orders rising: Commerce Department

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Publicis to spend USD933m this year: CEO

June 25, 2011

Publicis to spend USD933m this year: CEO

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Gold to Fall Further on Easing Inflation Bets, US Dollar Gains

June 25, 2011

Gold to Fall Further on Easing Inflation Bets, US Dollar Gains

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European leaders pledge to help Greece, BoE supports lose monetary policy

June 25, 2011

European leaders pledge to help Greece, BoE supports lose monetary policy

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A slower US gradual recovery pace seen clearly this week…

June 25, 2011

A slower US gradual recovery pace seen clearly this week…

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FINANCE VIDEO: Metallica Minerals (ASX:MLM) Managing Director Andrew Gillies Speaks With ABN Newswire at Rare Earths and Strategic Metals 2011

June 25, 2011

FINANCE VIDEO: Metallica Minerals (ASX:MLM) Managing Director Andrew Gillies Speaks With ABN Newswire at Rare Earths and Strategic Metals 2011

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FINANCE VIDEO: Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK) Managing Director Ian Chalmers Speaks With ABN Newswire at Rare Earths and Strategic Metals 2011

June 25, 2011

FINANCE VIDEO: Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK) Managing Director Ian Chalmers Speaks With ABN Newswire at Rare Earths and Strategic Metals 2011

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Bigger Trades Coming Our Way: EURUSD, S&P 500, Gold and Others

June 25, 2011

Bigger Trades Coming Our Way: EURUSD, S&P 500, Gold and Others

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Brad Harrington: 1,000 Caring Fathers Counter Media Stereotypes

June 24, 2011

Last week, the Boston College Center for Work & Family released the results of a study we completed on nearly 1,000 American fathers. ” The New Dad: Caring, Committed and Conflicted ” explores the experience of mainly “white collar” fathers who work in large American companies. The results present a clear picture of fathers who care deeply about their work and their families but who are struggling to be active, engaged parents while investing significant energy in successful careers. At work, these new dads are succeeding by traditional measures: they work for highly respected companies, many are in leadership positions, and they are well paid. They are also succeeding in other important career aspects as well: 90 percent said they find the work they do meaningful, 87 percent said that they feel respected in their organizations, and more than 80 percent said they “really feel a part of the group of people they work with.” By any measure, this sounds like success. At home, these men put a strong premium on good partnering and good parenting. They report spending more than 2.5 hours per work day with their children and more than three-quarters say they would like to spend even more time with the kids. They enjoy high levels of support from their spouse. When asked to rate six aspects they felt would define them as good fathers, being a breadwinner was important, but it ranked behind other roles including providing their children with love and support and being involved and present in their children’s lives. These are not the absent fathers of days past who saw their role as simply bringing home a paycheck. Dividing their attention between work and family seems to be paying off for them and their employers. Four out of five fathers reported that their role as family members had a positive spillover for their employers. They reported that fatherhood puts them in a good mood and the happiness they derive from being fathers makes them better workers. Conversely, the support they received from their employers and their managers to live balanced lives led to higher levels of work-life alignment but also higher levels of job satisfaction, greater commitment to their employer, and a lower likelihood to look for jobs elsewhere. What has proved difficult of course is their effort to “do it all” — to meet high career aspirations and to fulfill their expectations of being a good father. It was also challenging to be present in their children’s lives while they worked 45, 55, or more hours per week. And they were cognizant of the fact that their intentions to share equally with their spouse or partner in parenting responsibilities did not match with the reality: while 65 percent of the fathers said caregiving should be shared 50/50 with their spouse, only 30 percent said that was actually the case. Just as it is important to take stock of the challenges faced by working moms, it is important to see the challenges that confront working dads reflect a significant shift in attitudes and expectations that’s been taking place over the last generation. What these fathers report offers concrete data that runs counter to some of the old stereotypes of workaholic, absent fathers who focus on career above all else. While television shows and the media seem intent on casting fathers as inept, clueless caregivers, this national sample of working fathers suggests otherwise and perhaps will help change outdated or inaccurate mindsets. Based on what fathers are telling us, it’s clear that they carry an appreciation of the important role that fatherhood plays in their lives and the lives of their family members. A steady string of high-profile men behaving badly – a sit-com actor, a former governor, an international banking executive, a one-time Vice Presidential candidate and a former Congressman – may grab the majority of media attention. But from our research, we see American men who are striving to be good workers, good fathers, and good men.

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Americans Have Never Been More Distrustful Of Banks: Poll

June 24, 2011

The recession might be officially over, but American views toward the institutions that brought the economic system close to collapse have never been worse. According to a new poll by Gallup , 36 percent of Americans now say they have “very little” or “no” confidence in U.S. banks, the highest percentage on record since Gallup first started tracking that data. Those saying they have a “great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence in banks has also stagnated, stuck at 23 percent for the second straight year, after falling to a low of 22 percent in 2009. Safe to say it’s been a tough year in the banks’ public relations departments. U.S. banks have spent much of the past year aggressively lobbying against the implementation of Dodd-Frank financial reform. This week, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner called out banks for the “huge amount of money [spent by banks] to erode, weaken, walk back” financial reform. Indeed, the largest-lobbying institutions of last year spent 2.7 percent more in the first months of this year in an attempt to combat rules including higher capital requirements and restrictions on swipe fees. The nation’s five largest mortgage servicers — Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial — have also been the focus of a federal investigation into whether the banks defrauded taxpayers in their handling of foreclosures, first reported by The Huffington Post in mid-May. In addition, in April, Goldman Sachs, the nation’s first-largest bank by assets, was accused in a Senate report of systematically misleading clients by selling them assets known to be junk and then subsequently betting against that junk. So this year’s Gallup results only further emphasize the growing animosity toward banks in America. Never before 2009 had more Americans expressed more distrust than trust in banks. That has not only been the norm for three years now, but the gap is widening. Gallup, who has been tracking confidence in banks for over thirty years now, notes the steady decline of confidence in their release, pointing out that 60 percent of Americans had at least “quite a lot” of confidence in banks in 1979. That fell to 30 percent in the early 1990s, but then steadily rose to 53 percent in the mid-200s. The percentage of Americans with a good deal of trust in banks has been nearly halved since 2007: Although levels of confidence have fallen in all regions since the first years of the financial crisis in 2007, confidence is again on the rise in the Midwest and West. This year, it is the East that has the least confidence in banks, at 20 percent. The below graph charts levels of confidence since the financial crisis:

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Rick Robinson: What the Groupon Cat Should Have Said, Were it Not Such a P*ssy

June 24, 2011

After a couple weeks of virtual waterboarding by just about everyone from mainstream media to “recovering journalists” to an army of bloggers , Groupon used its blog for something of a response . The critics filled the mandated Quiet Period with all kinds of noise about unhappy local businesses victimized by the Groupon model to deconstructed formulas demonstrating how the Groupon numbers add up to poorer local merchants and a very rich Daily Deals company. On the blog “Groupon the Cat, slouching majestically across a cloud of pure wisdom,” doles out wisdom to all the Goupies. The Cat meowed: The “Quiet Period” is the time right before a company “goes public,” during which it is legally prohibited from saying anything to the press that may make the company look “good,” “successful,” or “not currently on fire.” During this sensitive time, it is the duty of the press to force the adolescent company through a series of brutal hazing rituals, designed to desensitize it to public criticism. This tough love helps the naively optimistic company to thicken its skin, atrophy its soul, and finally grow up into a real corporation. Groupon the Cat mentioned several morsels of what companies in a quiet period can expect from people raining hate (or logic) while the company is tied and gagged by mandated silence. I’ve offered an interpretation: WHAT CAT SAID: Wait until the company is sleeping to smear scream-activated bees on its face. Lesson Learned: Don’t believe your company’s own “buzz.” WHAT CAT MEANT TO SAY: Take the names of all who belittle you and hide in the bush for right time to pounce and claw their bloody eyes out. WHAT CAT SAID: Photoshop the company’s logo to appear to be shaking hands with James Buchanan, America’s worst president. Lesson Learned: Everything you see or read about a company is true, if it’s on a computer. WHAT CAT MEANT TO SAY: Take pictures of all who belittle and Photoshop them inside Cat’s mouth, speared by bloody incisors. WHAT CAT SAID: Kick sand in the company’s face. Lesson Learned: If the company survives, it’s time to move on to sand’s close relative, powdered glass. WHAT CAT MEANT TO SAY: Take faces of all who belittle and grind them open-mouthed in the moist bloody center of Cat’s litter box. WHAT CAT SAID: Write disparaging articles about the company. Lesson Learned:That’s what they get for trying to be a company. WHAT CAT MEANT TO SAY: Never try. Instead, take a long afternoon nap and wait for someone else to invent stuff. Then claw their bloody fucking eyes out.

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David Isenberg: PMC und Drang in the Persian Gulf

June 24, 2011

This post was originally written June 5. It’s now been three weeks since the New York Times published its story on the United Arab Emirates business doings of Erik Prince, the man that lefty critics of private security contracting love to berate. So now that the reflexive PMC und Drang, to coin a phrase, has died down a bit, it is a good time to take a step back, draw a breath, and try to consider some the pros and cons of this latest development. Note, however, PMC und Drang is actually a useful phrase to keep in mind, as the protagonist in a typical Sturm und Drang stage work or novel is driven to action — often violent action — not by pursuit of noble means nor by true motives, but by revenge and greed. If you substitute free market enterprise or good old fashioned capitalism for greed — remember, as Gordon Gecko said, greed is good — then it seems entirely appropriate. For those who need their memories jogged, the May 14 NYT article ” Secret Desert Force Set Up by Blackwater’s Founder ” by Mark Mazzetti and Emily B. Hager detailed how Prince was hired by Sheik Mohamed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, the crown prince of Abu Dhabi and the de facto ruler of the United Arab Emirates, to put together an 800-member battalion of foreign troops for the U.A.E. The force is intended “to conduct special operations missions inside and outside the country, defend oil pipelines and skyscrapers from terrorist attacks and put down internal revolts, the documents show. Such troops could be deployed if the Emirates faced unrest in their crowded labor camps or were challenged by pro-democracy protests like those sweeping the Arab world this year.” While it is impossible to say for certain since I’ve not seen its documentation so far, the NYT story has, factually, stood up pretty well. Apart from using words like mercenaries, the worst thing that can be said about was an incorrect and somewhat derogatory reference to the old South African based Executive Outcomes. See the details here on Eeben Barlow’s blog So Prince has formed a new company called Reflex Responses (any resemblance to a malady like acid reflux is, I’m sure, entirely coincidental), complete with a nifty logo. He has reportedly hired Colombians, along with South African and other foreign troops that are trained by retired American soldiers and veterans of the German and British special operations units and the French Foreign Legion. Hmm, trained by Legionnaires; this could be the first Legion/PSC hybrid in history as Feral Jundi noted . What should we make of all this? Well, first, evidently Erik Prince has decided that of all the things he might or could do in the post Blackwater/Xe Services era, teaching history and economics to high school students is not one of them. Remember that was one of the things he said in early 2010 he might be doing when it was announced that he was leaving the United States and moving to the UAE. Somehow I think the UAE education establishment will weather this loss. Second, let’s consider some of the positives of this. Generally speaking, doing business in the Persian Gulf is a good thing. Why is that? For the same reason Willie Sutton robbed banks; because it is where the money is. Also, Erik has learned something from his past BW contracts in Iraq. BW, along with all the other PSC contractors, took a lot of PR grief for being protected by the old Coalition Provisional Authority immunity provision covering contractors. Although it was never the one hundred percent get out of jail free card critics claimed, it was enough to cast a cloud of suspicion and doubt over their activities. But that was then, this is now. RR’s contract with the UAE states: Article 17 Compliance with the Laws, Regulations and Bylaws The Second Party undertakes to comply with all the laws, regulations and bylaws in force in the State, and all provisions of the Decision of the Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces referred to hereinabove shall apply to this Contract, provided that the general legal principles in force in the State concerning contracts and contracting methods of the administration shall apply to any matter regarding which there is no specific provision in the said Decision or in this Contract. So if something wrong does happen you will have to take it up with the UAE legal system. Although it is unclear how responsive the UAE system will be to redressing any human rights violations. The latest annual State Department human rights report notes: Section 5 Governmental Attitude Regarding International and Nongovernmental Investigation of Alleged Violations of Human Rights The government generally did not permit organizations to focus on political issues. Two recognized local human rights organizations existed: the quasi-independent EHRA, which focused on human rights issues and complaints such as labor rights, stateless persons’ rights, and prisoners’ well-being and humane treatment; and the government-subsidized Jurists’ Association Human Rights Committee, which focused on human rights education and conducted seminars and symposia subject to government approval. And as Feral Jundi astutely noted , if things work this could be the start of a new financial empire for Prince. Call it Moycock II: Persian Gulf. Emirati military officials had promised that if this first battalion was a success, they would pay for an entire brigade of several thousand men. The new contracts would be worth billions, and would help with Mr. Prince’s next big project: a desert training complex for foreign troops patterned after Blackwater’s compound in Moyock, N.C. So will R2 be opening it’s doors for training to the world, much like how BW operated in the US? If true, I could see something like this becoming a multi-billion dollar project for Prince and company. Just because it would be located in the middle east and cater to all the OPEC nations. Furthermore, qualitatively speaking it is hard to accuse Prince of doing something new. As Strategy Page observes , just about all Persian Gulf states have, for decades, been using foreigners, either working directly for foreign governments or private sector civilians with that government’s approval to equip and train their military security forces. If one wants to accuse Prince of doing something bad one has to similarly accuse firms like Vinnell which has been training the Saudi National Guard for decades. On the negative side it is hard to see the initial force that RR is training as being for any other purpose than to deal with future internal unrest and dissent, as in cracking down on protesters. Training a force of 800 men to deal with a threat from perennial boogeyman threat Iran is farcical. The Iranian military may have its problems but it is clearly capable of overwhelming so few. Though as Nation reporter and perennial Erick Prince critics Jeremy Scahill noted : In a speech Prince delivered in late 2009, a copy of which was obtained by The Nation, Prince spoke of the need to confront Iranian influence in the Middle East, charging that Iran has a “master plan to stir up and organize a Shia revolt through the whole region.” At the time, Prince proposed that armed private soldiers from companies like Blackwater be deployed in countries throughout the region to target Iranian influence. If Prince, Sheik al-Nahyan, or U.S. State or Defense Department officials think a battalion is going to help with that, they are smoking something far more potent than Bill Clinton ever inhaled. In fact, the State Department probably deserves more blame than the Pentagon on this. Even though RR is a UAE majority owned company, Prince is still a U.S. citizen and subject to the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR) the regulation, and the law is the Arms Export Control Act (AECA). As such he needs to be registered as a Broker or as an Exporter of Defense Articles or Defense Services and would need approval from the Directorate of Defense Trade Controls (DDTC) at the State Department. Even commentators like military historian and foreign-policy analyst Max Boot, who has staunchly defended the use of PSC in the past, wrote : I am nevertheless slightly discomfited by news that Erik Prince, the former SEAL officer and founder of Blackwater, is now in the process of assembling a mercenary battalion for the United Arab Emirates. The UAE is a close American ally and by Middle Eastern standards relatively liberal. But there is no mistaking it for a democracy. It is run by a small number of ruling families which keep a tight lid on dissent–especially among the vast underclass of foreign-born workers who keep the emirates running but are denied citizenship or any of the other benefits that native Emiratis receive. Many of these workers belong to a more or less indentured class of laborers from the Indian subcontinent who live in squalid, miserable conditions. They are deported at any hint of labor organizing or any other attempt to redress their numerous grievances. If the New York Times account of Prince’s dealings can be trusted, he is recruiting Latin Americans and other foreigners, because Arabs cannot be trusted to fire on other Arabs. This suggests that his force is designed to be used for internal repression among other, more legitimate tasks. If that is the case then this is morally dubious undertaking. Again there is nothing inherently wrong with mercenaries but like any other military force they can be used for good or ill. It is not hard to imagine disreputable uses to which this new force could be put by the unelected rulers of the UAE. Likewise 800 men are also clearly inadequate to protect the UAE’s oil infrastructure. And when one looks at the UAE’s human rights record it seems, that while it is hardly the worst in the region, it is also not one inclined to tolerate things like freedom of speech and association. Thus training a force that could be used for “crowd control” doesn’t sound good if the United States wants to be on the side of democratic forces in the future. This raises an interesting potential question as the New Yorker pointed out : A document obtained by the paper describes “crowd-control operations” where the crowd “is not armed with firearms but does pose a risk using improvised weapons (clubs and stones).” After the Arab Spring, and what we have seen in Libya, that is an interesting business to be in. … If the U.A.E.’s R2 battalion ends up killing civilians, might we intervene? And would we do so with the support of private contractors from companies like Blackwater? Interestingly, but perhaps not surprisingly, Reflex Responses does not appear to be a signatory to the International Code of Conduct For Private Security Service Providers that came into effect last November. Perhaps it is because of provisions like this: 21. Signatory Companies will comply, and will require their Personnel to comply, with applicable law which may include international humanitarian law, and human rights law as imposed upon them by applicable national law, as well as all other applicable international and national law. Signatory Companies will exercise due diligence to ensure compliance with the law and with the principles contained in this Code, and will respect the human rights of persons they come into contact with, including, the rights to freedom of expression, association, and peaceful assembly and against arbitrary or unlawful interference with privacy or deprivation of property. Having to comply with UAE law, which doesn’t offer that much in the way of guaranteeing basic civil liberties, is one thing; having to incorporate basic international humanitarian law standards might be something else entirely. So what kind of grade do we give this? Actually, I see three. First, for Prince it is an A plus. Give him credit for knowing where to go to make a profit. For the United States it is a B minus. As long as nothing goes wrong, as in using the future force for breaking up a demonstration of oppressed workers or a continuation of Arab Spring protests in the UAE, the U.S. can sit back and twiddle its geopolitical thumbs and say Erik Prince, who’s that? But if and when some civilian gets killed by a RR employee it can forget about that attempt at plausible deniability. As for the PMSC industry itself, I give it a C. In recent years the PMSC industry has invested considerable effort and some resources to depicting itself as a highly ethical peace and stability operations industry. While a lot of it is rhetorical, some of it has been very real. It is not clear that Prince and RR are doing much to bolster the image that companies and trade groups have tried so hard to cultivate.

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Former Egypt Bank Chairman Pleads Guilty To Sexually Abusing Maid

June 24, 2011

NEW YORK — A prominent Egyptian businessman admitted Friday to kissing and groping a hotel housekeeper who didn’t welcome his advances, pleading guilty as the woman sued him for $5 million. Mahmoud Abdel Salam Omar pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor sexual abuse charge, acknowledging he kissed the woman on the lips and neck and touched her breasts after she brought tissues to his room at the posh Pierre hotel. The 74-year-old chairman of state-run salt production firm El-Mex Salines Co. already has completed five days of community service in a soup kitchen, and his case will be closed without jail time or probation if he stays out of trouble for a year. After softly answering “yes” in English to questions from a judge and prosecutor, Omar declined to comment as he left a Manhattan courthouse. Arrested while in New York to pick up a salt-industry award for El-Mex Salines, he spent about four days behind bars before being released on bail earlier this month. His lawyer, Lori Cohen, called the case the result of a “big miscommunication” between the 44-year-old maid and Omar. While he acknowledged in court that he knew he didn’t have the woman’s consent for his advances, Cohen said he thought the housekeeper was receptive. “I believe he thought something was happening that wasn’t,” she said. “I think his lack of a great understanding of English, and her desire to file a multimillion-dollar lawsuit, led to these accusations.” The woman’s lawyer bristled at the suggestion that she embellished the encounter to try to reap money from the former bank chairman. “That’s just not true,” said the attorney, John P. Grill. “She didn’t know who he was.” Omar initially faced a felony sexual abuse charge that carried up to seven years in prison. After interviewing numerous witnesses and reviewing surveillance video and forensic evidence, prosecutors concluded the incident “did not rise to the level of forcible compulsion,” which would have to be proven for the felony charge, Manhattan assistant district attorney Nicole Blumberg said. Whatever his plea deal, the woman’s lawyer said, “it doesn’t change what happened.” The woman’s federal assault and false-imprisonment lawsuit says Omar also rubbed his groin against her legs and groped her buttocks. It was filed Friday so Omar could officially be served with a copy before he left the country, Grill said. Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly had said the case could be complicated to prosecute. Although the maid told a superior immediately that she had been attacked, the supervisor waited until the next morning to alert the hotel’s security director, who then told police. The hotel suspended the supervisor and promised to buy “panic buttons” for maids to alert managers if they are attacked. A spokeswoman for the hotel’s owner, Mumbai-based Taj Hotels Resorts and Palaces, didn’t immediately return a telephone call Friday. Omar’s lawyer said he might well have chosen to go to trial but was eager to get home to his wife, who has recently had surgery. “This was the most expeditious way for him to return home,” she said. Besides chairing the salt company, Omar has served as chairman of Egypt’s Bank of Alexandria, the Egyptian American Bank and the Federation of Egyptian Banks, according to a biography on his company’s website. He has led El-Mex Salines since 2009. Omar’s arrest came little more than two weeks after then-International Monetary Fund leader Dominique Strauss-Kahn was arrested on charges of attempting to rape a maid at a different hotel, charges Strauss-Kahn denies. Together, the cases drew attention to the potential dangers of hotel maids’ jobs. The New York Hotel and Motel Trades Council plans to call for panic buttons as part of its contract negotiations with 150 hotels next year, and a state legislator has proposed to require the devices statewide. ___ Associated Press writer Tom Hays contributed to this report. ___ Jennifer Peltz can be reached at http://twitter.com/jennpeltz

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Corporate Tax Holiday Would Shift Investment, Jobs Overseas: Report

June 24, 2011

In recent weeks, Congressional support has been forming around the idea of another “repatriation tax holiday,” reports the Wall Street Journal . The would mean corporations doing business overseas would be permitted to pay only 5.25 percent tax on earnings brought back to the United States for a temporary time period, as opposed to 35 percent corporate tax rate on domestic profits. Proponents of the proposal claim a tax holiday will bring much needed capital back to the U.S. economy for investment. But not everyone agrees. Following the conclusion of the last tax holiday, in 2004, corporations actually increased the rate at which they moved investments out of the U.S, according to a study by the Center of Budget and Policy Priorities . The decision to move overseas, the study claims, was at least partly in anticipation of there being another tax holiday. See how the 2004 tax holiday affected relocation of corporate assets overseas here: Rather than using their extra earnings to invest in American jobs, corporations laid off thousands of workers and passed the savings onto their shareholders, states the report. Pfizer, which according to the WSJ is one of the main corporate supporters of the newly proposed tax holiday, repatriated $37 billion in 2004, the report states. Despite the repatriation windfall — the largest of any firm in 2004 — Pfizer cut 10,000 U.S. jobs in 2005. The study also takes aim at the claim that a tax holiday would help give firms extra and needed cash to create jobs in the U.S. “According to the Federal Reserve,” the report states, “U.S. non-financial corporations now have $1.9 trillion in liquid assets, the highest level as a share of total corporate assets since 1959.” In other words, the report is saying there is enough money to invest as is. Potential Congressional supporters want the new legislation to require companies would spend the money the way policy-makers intend them to, rather than legislating on faith. Republican Senators like Orin Hatch (R-UT) wants to make sure companies don’t take advantage of the government, reports WSJ . “I’m not against bringing it back this time, but we’re going to have to get something back for it.” And Senator Charles Schumer (D-NY) who sits on the Senate Finance Committee, stated that he would want to use the new revenue to fund an infrastructure bank , a policy goal of several liberals in Congress, reports Bloomberg . But how much revenue the government would really take in is up for serious debate. According to the non-partisan Joint Committee on Taxation, a tax holiday would significantly increase the deficit, reports the WSJ . A tax-holiday would cost the U.S. $78.7 billion in lost revenue over the decade following its implementation, the committee found. See how a tax-holiday would affect the deficit here:

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