June 2011

Why It’s Hard To Predict Bubbles

June 24, 2011

The recent sky-high IPO of LinkedIn, along with eye-popping valuations for other social networking and shopping companies, has raised concerns that we are now in the midst of another technology bubble, this one fueled by excessive investor enthusiasm for all things social. No sooner have these concerns been raised, however, than they have been countered by an array of arguments, all of which are variations on the basic claim that this internet boom is unlike the previous one. This debate illustrates one of the central causes of financial bubbles: Although after the fact it seems obvious that prices were irrational and an unhappy end was inevitable, bubbles are neither obvious nor inevitable at the time.

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Daniel Dicker: Strategic Petroleum Reserve Release Under Fire — For Being Effective

June 24, 2011

Argue all you want about the release of 60 million barrels of crude oil from the International Energy Agency, including 30 million barrels from our own Strategic Petroleum Reserve, but one thing you can’t argue is the level of its effectiveness — it is killing the speculators and dropping prices like a stone, at least for now. A lot of pushback from market analysts and oil mavens has emerged in the 24 hours since the IEA decision — that President Obama’s decision was politically motivated for one. Other pundits are convinced that the announcement was coordinated with the Bernanke speech that noted the slowdown in growth acceleration since the start of the recovery. Others are calling the SPR release a new “stimulus” plan, being used because so little is left to be done and the Federal Reserve is holding off on fresh monetary loosening, at least for the present. Argue all the rationales you like, a different QE3, a way for Obama to get ahead of the 2012 elections, I don’t know — but whatever you do, don’t argue how incredibly effective it’s been and how much it will drop gasoline prices, even if only in the short term. Crude oil dropped more than 6% on Thursday alone, despite the fact that the SPR release will represent a literal drop in the bucket — that 60 million barrels is equivalent to 16 hours of global demand, nothing more. The downward move in prices that this release has created, considering how small it is, is nothing less than stunning. It strikes at the heart of the speculators who have been flooding into the oil trade since the start of the year and particularly since the Egypt unrest. It is signalling, whether rightly or wrongly, that sovereign nations are going to use some pretty unorthodox tools to getting at and getting out some of that spec money with no connection to oil other than the desire to make money from a rising price. Along with margin hikes in the past month, this tool should scare the bejeezus out of the hedge fund players and prop desks — the White House intimated that this release should not be considered a “one time only” event. As a market player, you’ve got to be nervous holding long positions with the influence of an SPR release being held over your head. The timing also couldn’t have been better — It is when markets are under pressure that bearish news has the biggest impact. That’s why the argument that oil prices were already coming down and the release was therefore unnecessary was misguided — for full effectiveness, you’d want to release it as a straw to break a camel’s back. With oil streaking higher, a release of reserves would have had far less impact. Will more releases happen? Will this release “do the job” fully? Will it drop prices for the long-haul? Was it a misuse of the SPR and the reason it was created? Is this a political short-term answer to a mismanaged long-term energy policy? All good questions, worthy of answers. But for now, there’s no need to argue how much it has helped, if you’re in favor of lower prices — it’s helped a lot .

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Stocks Fall On Concerns Over Greece

June 24, 2011

NEW YORK (Edward Krudy) – Stocks headed for three days of losses on Friday on worries about the Italian banking sector and Greece’s austerity plan, but the S&P 500 managed to hold its 200-day moving average in a sign of market strength. Italian banks UniCredit SpA (Milan:CRDI.MI – News) and Intesa Sanpaolo (Milan:ISP.MI – News) fell sharply on concerns about their capital positions alongside uncertainty about the euro-zone crisis. Trading in the banks’ shares was briefly suspended. Greece’s government faced an electorate vehemently opposed to austerity measures that must be passed in parliament next week to avert default. But progress is being made in persuading banks to take part in a second bailout. “They (politicians) may not believe that financial markets are as sensitive to their decisions as they actually are, and there is a worry that somewhere along the line, some political vote goes against the market,” said Nicholas Colas, chief market strategist of the ConvergEx Group in New York. The S&P 500 remained within striking distance of its 200-day moving average — a line that has been tested twice in recent trading and has so far acted as a springboard for stocks. The level was at 1,263.49. “Every time you test a resistance or support level, you make it weaker,” Colas said. “It’s almost like a piece of metal. Every time you hit it, it grows more fragile and that’s why people are really worried the third or fourth time.” The Dow Jones industrial average (DJI:^DJI – News) dropped 82.04 points, or 0.68 percent, to 11,967.96. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (^SPX – News) fell 10.82 points, or 0.84 percent, to 1,272.68. The Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq:^IXIC – News) lost 26.51 points, or 0.99 percent, to 2,660.24. The KBW Banks Index (Philadelphia:^BKX – News) lost 0.8 percent and the S&P Financial Sector Index (^GSPF – News) shed 0.7 percent. On Thursday, the market welcomed Greece’s agreement to a five-year austerity plan. The euro declined against the dollar for a third straight session on worries Greece’s parliament might not pass austerity measures needed for the country to secure more bailout funds. In the latest economic data, new orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured products, known as durable goods, increased 1.9 percent in May after dropping 2.7 percent in April as bookings for transportation equipment rebounded strongly. Oracle Corp (NasdaqGS:ORCL – News), off 3.9 percent at $31.21, was the biggest drag on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes (Nasdaq:^NDX – News) a day after the world’s No. 3 software maker posted disappointing results, especially in hardware sales. Oracle’s results sparked concerns about a bigger slowdown in technology spending. Micron Technology Inc (NasdaqGS:MU – News) tumbled 13.8 percent to $7.27 after the memory chipmaker recorded results below expectations late Thursday. (Reporting by Edward Krudy; Editing by Jan Paschal) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Coca-Cola Raising Its Prices

June 24, 2011

Coca-Cola Co plans to raise prices on its soft drinks by 3 percent to 4 percent in July, in addition to a 2 percent increase taken earlier this year, a company spokesman said on Friday. News of the increases — to be implemented on July 31 — was first reported by industry newsletter Beverage Digest, which quoted retail customer pricing letters as saying the increases were due to higher-than-anticipated commodity costs. Like many food and drink companies, Coca-Cola is facing higher costs for goods like corn, oil and packaging. Coca-Cola, the world’s largest soft drink maker, said earlier this year that it expected to raise prices in that range, but the timing was unknown. Credit Suisse analyst Carlos Laboy said in a research note that there were concerns the company would wait until after Labor Day, at the end of the summer. That would make it more difficult for other soft drink makers, like PepsiCo Inc and Dr Pepper Snapple, to raise prices on their products during the key summer selling season. “Today’s news should provide some relief for all players in the industry in North America,” Laboy wrote. Beverage Digest reported earlier this month that Pepsi was notifying retailers of price increases of 3 percent to 5 percent between July 10 and around Labor Day. Coke shares were up 0.2 percent at $65.09 in afternoon trade on the New York Stock Exchange. Pepsi shares were up 0.8 percent at $68.54. (Reporting by Martinne Geller; editing by John Wallace) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Wisconsin Senator Has Found A Creative Way To Recoup His Campaign Investment

June 24, 2011

Back in 2010, Wisconsin Democrat Russ Feingold lost his Senate seat in dramatic fashion to Republican Ron Johnson, an Oshkosh businessman-turned-Tea Party mantle-wearing political insurgent. Johnson’s win came after a late-summer surge in the polls that had elite election-watchers baffled, given Feingold’s long history and solid reputation in the state. Johnson, for his part was best known as one of the 2010 election cycle’s many self-funders — and one of the few successful ones. Throughout it all, Johnson cast himself as a self-made businessman and Tea Party outsider. But if you were willing to look past the self-mythologizing, it was readily apparent that his candidacy was built, in part, on donations from businesses and individuals who were showered with taxpayer money . And now, Johnson has lucked into a very creative way of earning back the millions of dollars of his own that he sunk into his campaign. Looks like 2010′s biggest bailout baby is all grown up. One of the more amusing features of this particular election is that it ran against a piece of conventional wisdom that everyone in the media said governed the thinking of those who comprised the membership of the Tea Party: their antipathy to bailouts. Maybe this wasn’t clear to everybody, but Feingold never voted for the Troubled Asset Relief Program in the first place, twice voted to end it and was the author of a piece of legislation that would have forced unspent TARP money to be directly applied to paying down the Federal deficit. On the other hand, Johnson was showered with largesse from a lot of institutions that should have struck TARP-opponents as ironic. As The Awl’s Abe Sauer reported in September of 2010 : “Now campaign finance filings found by The Awl show that despite his vigorous denouncement of the bank bailouts, Johnson’s campaign has received funding from many of the same banks who received bailouts.” Much like many of this year’s tea party-associated GOP candidates, one of Johnson’s core campaign points is criticism of the financial bailout. Funny then that Johnson’s campaign has been the beneficiary of the largess of the very corporations he believes should not have received bailout money. For example, the cash Johnson received from the Financial Services Roundtable PAC on August 27 and the American Bankers Association PAC on July 8 and July 30 came from, amongst others, hardcore Treasury bailout beneficiaries such as JP Morgan Chase, SunTrust, Bank of America, Regions Financial, Zions and First Horizon. The money Ron Johnson received from the Bluegrass and Senate Majority Fund PACs came, in part, from one of the greatest bailout beneficiaries of them all, Goldman Sachs. Despite statements about staying out of politics this cycle, Goldman donated to both PACs on March 31 of this year. On June 24, Ron Johnson’s campaign received two $5,000 donations from the Bluegrass PAC, a day later the campaign received two donations from the Senate Majority PAC in the same amounts. To be clear, while it may not be the backbone of his funding, some of the very bailout money that Ron Johnson has criticized is now funding his campaign. Sauer is correct that this money — funny as it was, under the circumstances — did not form the “backbone” of his campaign. The majority of his financial support came out of his wallet — to the tune of $9 million. Johnson’s personal wealth is from a business he founded, PACUR, LLC, a “custom sheet extruder company” that in turn owes its success to the fact that it has a cozy relationship with packaging product manufacturer Bemis Company, Inc. If you’re wondering how this cozy relationship came about, wonder no more: Bemis’ CEO is Johnson’s father-in-law, and PACUR’s co-founder is Johnson’s brother-in-law. As Jud Lounsbury reported back in September of 2010 : In the late 1970s, under the direction of Bemis CEO (and Ron Johnson father-in-law), Howard Curler, the multi-national, publicly-held, corporation was looking to open a new plastics plant in Oshkosh, Wisconsin. Here’s how the Oshkosh Industrial Development Corporation (Chamco) explains it: “In 1965 Bemis acquired Curwood in New London and in the late 1970s they decided to add another facility. Curler says they chose Oshkosh because it had a good transportation network and a dedicated and highly skilled workforce. As Bemis prepared to open the Oshkosh plant, Curler looked to the city and Chamco for help with site selection, to purchase land and to smooth out any problems along the way.” Meanwhile, at the same time, Howard Curler built a new, privatly-owned, plastic plant right accross the street from the new Bemis plastics plant. The new company would be headed up by his son, Patrick Curler, and would also be named after his son: PACUR. PACUR would be a “captive supplier” of Bemis and for the first few years, meaning that Bemis was their only customer. Today, PACUR’s relationship with Bemis is somewhat the same, with the vast majority of PACUR’s business going to Bemis subsidiaries and Bemis being controlled by the Curler family. In addition, Bemis has built several more plastic plants in the area, including Perfecseal, which is a backyard neighbor (and big customer) of PACUR, and headed-up by another one of Johnson’s brothers-in-law, Robert Krostue. It’s pretty easy to run a successful supply company and raise $9 million to use on a run for office when your wealthy father-in-law is giving you this kind of leg up. But the new, exciting news is that Johnson’s myriad connections are helping him recoup that $9 million investment in his own campaign. In Friday’s Milwaukee Journal Sentinel , Daniel Bice reports that in Johnson’s latest financial disclosure report , PACUR paid Johnson $10 million in deferred compensation. Johnson — in terse fashion — tells Bice that the package is “reasonable” and that he’s “complied with all the disclosure laws,” but Bice goes on to report that Mike McCabe of the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign says the arrangement looks “looks like a scheme to get around a century-old law,” that “bars corporate donations to candidates.” Per Bice: After the election, in which he defeated Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Johnson said he dialed down his active involvement with Pacur and received the deferred compensation package for serving as its CEO over the previous 13 years. Unlike most deferred package deals, however, it appears that the company had not set aside a specified amount annually that would be paid out when he left the firm. Instead, Johnson said the $10 million payment was “an agreed-upon amount” that was determined at the end of his tenure with the company. Agreed upon with whom? “That would be me,” he said. Johnson told Bice, “I have no idea what could be suspicious or cynical about this.” Go read the whole thing , and see if you don’t end up feeling suspicious or cynical! For his part, Lounsbury seems to feel that way . There is, however, a teensy silver lining: The good news for the state of Wisconsin and the IRS is that Ron Johnson is finally going to be paying his fair share of his taxes — or at least part of it. Before Johnson took control of Pacur in 1997, Pacur was paying 3-400K a year in Wisconsin corporate taxes. When he took control of Pacur, however, he made Pacur into an LLC, where the corporate income “passes through” to the owner (Johnson) and the taxes are paid by Johnson as an individual. However, through a variety of tax avoidance schemes — including loaning himself millions at nearly an interest-free rate — he and his wife have paid only 50K-70K a year in state income taxes since 1997. Here’s the kicker: From the State of Wisconsin’s perspective, before Johnson owned Pacur, they were getting 3-400K a year in tax revenue from Pacur and 50-70K from Johnson and his wife, but after Johnson took control of Pacur the State got ZERO from Pacur and still got about 50-70K each year from Johnson and his wife. In other words, the net effect of Johnson owning Pacur has been that Pacur has paid no taxes. However, now Johnson will have to pay the Wisconsin top rate of 7.75% on the 10 million, and have to cut a check to the Wisconsin Department of Revenue for $775,000. Which is still a fraction of what Pacur would have paid if Johnson wasn’t using his tax avoidance schemes, but… beggers can’t be choosers! It’s okay though, because the revenue the state would have been entitled to will be collected by scuttling the public-sector pensions of middle class Wisconsinites! RELATED: ” Johnson proves to be a big spender — and taker: Firm pays him $10 million ,” Milwaukee Journal Sentinel ” Johnson’s Ten Million Dollar Pay Check Part of Elaborate Tax Avoidance Scheme ,” Uppity Wisconsin ” Dystopian Wisconsin: Who is Ron Johnson? ,” The Awl PREVIOUSLY, ON THE HUFFINGTON POST: ” Russ Feingold, TARP Critic, Down In The Polls To Bailout Beneficiary Ron Johnson ” Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com — learn more about our media monitoring project here .

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GoDaddy Could Sell For $2.5 Billion

June 24, 2011

SAN FRANCISCO — Go Daddy, the domain-name registration company known for its racy Super Bowl ads, is close to being bought by two private investment firms for up to $2.5 billion, according to a person close to the deal. A deal is expected by Tuesday, said the person, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the transaction hasn’t been publicly announced. The deal is being led by Silver Lake Partners and KKR & Co., according to the person. Silver Lake’s investment portfolio includes a variety of tech companies, while KKR’s spans a number of industries, including technology. Private-equity and venture capital firm Technology Crossover Ventures will be involved as a lesser partner. The person said Go Daddy had been looking to sell itself. The Go Daddy Group Inc. was founded in 1997 by Bob Parsons, who continues to serve as its CEO. The privately held company, which is based in Scottsdale, Ariz., manages more than 48 million domain names. It also sells Web hosting services, site-building tools and other website-related offerings. The company’s ads for its eponymous domain registration website, GoDaddy.com, are known for featuring scantily clad women including Danica Patrick, a race car driver who is sponsored by the company. KKR’s desire for Go Daddy was reported earlier by the New York Post.

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Week Ahead: Lots of Data Ahead of July 4th Holiday

June 24, 2011

Most investors next week will undoubtedly be looking forward to the long July Fourth holiday weekend. Everyone could use a breather after weeks of bad economic news and stock market losses. Nevertheless, a good bit of economic data will be released. The ISM Manufacturing Index for June is due Friday and it may be the most significant report all week. The ISM index is the most widely watched factory report and it follows closely in the wake of disappointing regional manufacturing data. Economists expect the index to fall to 51.8 in June from 53.5 in May. For months manufacturing had been a lone bright spot on an otherwise grim economic landscape. But that may be changing; the regional data was impacted by bad weather across many regions of the U.S. — notably tornadoes and flooding in the Midwest — which disrupted supply chains. Three Federal Reserve District Bank surveys of manufacturing are due ahead of the ISM report and they should give a preview of what’s to come on a national scale. The Dallas Fed’s Texas Manufacturing Outlook is due Monday and it may offer the most optimistic view. The Richmond Fed’s Survey of Manufacturing is due Tuesday and the Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey is due Thursday. The Chicago Purchasing Managers index, used to gauge demand for goods made in factories, is due on Thursday. Consumer spending and personal income data for May are due on Monday. Meanwhile, more bad news is expected from the housing sector. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index for April is due Tuesday and the numbers are expected to show a continued decline in home values. Pending home sale data for May is due Wednesday. The U.S. housing sector has been just as stubborn as the labor market in its refusal to participate in a recovery. Consumer confidence has been rocked as homeowners see the value of their homes decline and with it the equity that provided a cushion against financial emergencies. Speaking of consumer confidence, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index will be released Tuesday and the final take on the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is due Friday. The only hope for an increase in these indexes stems from a slight drop in gas prices as oil prices have dipped in recent weeks to around $90 a barrel from over $110 a barrel in the spring. Car makers on Friday will release figures on June sales of North America-produced motor vehicles.

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Marty Zwilling: You Never Learn Anything While You Are Talking

June 24, 2011

When you are not presenting to investors or your team, try to spend more time listening than talking. You can’t learn anything new while you’re talking, yet many entrepreneurs seem to never stop. It’s a sad spiral, since the more you talk, the less people really hear, meaning they don’t learn anything either. If someone left this article on your desk, read extra carefully. Building a business is all about building relationships, and one of the most important elements of a relationship is effective communication. Communication doesn’t happen unless both parties practice the art of effective listening. Check to see if you are practicing the key disciplines of listening, as outlined by Brian Tracy in No Excuses: the Power of Self-Discipline : Listen attentively. Listen as though the other person is about to reveal a great secret or the winning lottery number and you will hear it only once. Since you always pay attention to what you most value, when you pay close attention to another person, you tell that person that they are of great value to you. You will be remembered. Pause before replying. When you pause, you avoid the risk of interrupting the other person if they are reformulating their thoughts. It also enables you to hear not only what was said, but what was not said. Then you can respond with greater awareness and sensitivity. Ask for clarification. Never assume that you automatically know what the other person is thinking or feeling. It is when you ask questions and seek clarity that you demonstrate that you really care about what he or she is saying, and that you are genuinely interested in understanding how he or she thinks and feels. Feed it back. The acid test of listening is to see if you can paraphrase what you heard in your own words. It is only when you can repeat back what the other person has just said, in your own words, that you prove you are really listening, and understood the message. For all feedback, be sure to mirror the other person’s pace and communication style. Even good communicators average only about half their time listening. Yet experts assert that most people listen with only about 25 percent of their attention, hear about 25 percent of what is said, and after two months, remember only half of that. That’s not effective communication. There are also things you can do to encourage others to listen to you, when you do speak, to improve the overall communication: Lower voice, no emotion. This causes the other party to listen more carefully, and facilitates a more pleasant and more effective conversation. Adapt to listener interests. Use analogies and terminology that are easy for the other person to relate to, and they will respond with attention and higher comprehension. Choose the right environment. Wait for the right opportunity, when you can be easily heard and understood, and the listener is in the right mood. Address people by name. This gets their attention and focus. Sometimes it helps to bring others into the conversation to support your input. In business, you need to always be listening – to customers, to advisors, to investors, and to your team members. When you do talk, concentrate on making it effective. You don’t have the time to have things repeated to you four times before you really hear and understand them. Responsible, effective listening is a rare skill that will give you a sustainable competitive advantage over your peers and your competitors. It’s also a skill that can be developed with practice. You can never know enough in business, so even top entrepreneurs find time to listen. Are you learning anything these days?

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BitDefender Appoints Alejandro Musgrove as President of the Americas

June 24, 2011

Experienced New Hire to Lead Aggressive Growth Plan for Region

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Steve Mariotti: How to Start a Non-Profit, Part Four

June 24, 2011

This is the fourth of four articles on starting a non-profit enterprise. Read Part one here and part two here . Here are some more issues and topics that will come into play when you begin a non-profit organization. Again, much of this advice would be useful in a for-profit startup, as well. Document Your Program You should document everything you do. For the first ten years, put half your money into programs and the other half into research and development. Explain to funders that you are looking for breakthrough ideas that will greatly expand and facilitate your mission. Always keep your research budget separate from your program budget; if they are combined, it will skew your cost-per-change unit. Try to have one set of funders to finance your research and another group fund the programs. Media There is nothing you can do to help your mission more than getting widespread media attention. Get the story right by demonstrating positive change in individuals involved in your program (as Jan Legnitto, formerly of 60 Minutes told me once). Developing a story based on improved conditions or behavior (depending on your mission) due to your program will be the key to attracting media notice. It is usually worth it to hire a public relations expert. Tell the Truth Do not exaggerate your program results. If you tell the truth, you will have nothing to be ashamed of. People will admire you for it. Develop an Earned-Revenue Strategy It is a good idea to have a product or service that you can sell directly to the public, rather then rely wholly on donations and grants. However, this scenario should not be developed for several years, until you are fully established as a non-profit. For one thing, it can derail you and your team from your primary mission. Also, if you are successful in raising revenue through a product or service, people will wonder why you became a non-profit in the first place, and be reluctant to donate money. Growth Can Kill Uncontrolled growth can destroy your organization. Don’t think that because your program has suddenly taken off and is expanding you can just let it go without careful supervision. If you’re not careful there will be a decline in the quality of the delivery of benefits to your target audience. My experience is that growth over 25% is unmanageable in a non-profit venture. Establish a Reserve Fund From day one, put a modest percentage of each dollar you raise into a reserve fund. It will keep you afloat if your top donors withdraw their funding (as they almost certainly will, eventually). If supporters question your development of a reserve fund, and try to prevent you from achieving financial independence, they are not your friends. Do not forget that you are dependent on your donors’ wealth. Becoming financially independent may not be one of their goals for you. But it should be your goal for yourself and your organization. Hire the Best People Hire the best people you can get. Compensate them as well as you can, and give them incentives to make bonuses. Even in non-profit environments, money matters – people have families to support and their personal aspirations. Be clear about what your employees have to achieve to earn bonuses and raises. Open Book Management Jack Stack’s Open Book Management is a must-read. In it he argues that letting people see the financials of an organization is absolutely critical for success. At NFTE, every aspect of our financial circumstances except salaries is open for inspection. Continue Strategic Research Hire a top researcher from a college or university that specializes in the area you are working on. Often, a professor will find a graduate student to do a Ph.D. thesis on your program. Develop a research design based on your unit of change. Whenever possible use the “random assignment” method in comparative studies, rather than just a control group. Think Globally A local problem is usually a global one as well. Food, shelter, health, education, environment – make a breakthrough locally and it will help people everywhere. Final Thoughts… I originally founded NFTE as a for-profit. I wanted to make money and solve a social problem at the same time. My primary motivation was split. I wanted to do both, but since the audience I wanted to reach — low-income youths and their parents — could not afford the products and services I wanted to develop, I established a non-profit instead. I realized that if NFTE were successful I would never be able to sell the company, and thus make a financial return on my investment, but I thought I would be paid in the personal satisfaction of having made a difference in the lives of many deserving individuals. And I was right.

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Sue Olson Elected Chair of Community Emergency Assistance Program Board of Directors

June 24, 2011

Sue Olson Is Training Administrator at TopLine Federal Credit

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U.S. Manufacturing Orders Rose Last Month, Easing Fears Of Slowdown

June 24, 2011

New orders for U.S. manufactured goods and a gauge of business spending plans rose in May, easing fears of a sharp slowdown in factory activity. Durable goods orders increased 1.9 percent after dropping 2.7 percent in April, the Commerce Department said on Friday. Economists had expected orders to rise 1.5 percent in May. Durable goods orders are a leading indicator of manufacturing health. An improvement across the board in May and revisions to April’s figures, which showed smaller declines than previously reported, pointed to underlying strength in a sector that has powered the economic recovery. The report came as a relief to investors after recent regional factory data had shown some signs of fatigue. Supply chain disruptions after the March earthquake and tsunami in Japan are constraining manufacturing. The report was “a little better than you might have expected given the gloomy news that’s coming out of the manufacturing surveys. So that’s a small plus,” said Nigel Gault, chief U.S. economist, IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. U.S. stocks extended gains on the data, while prices for Treasury debt fell. The report also supported views the sluggish economy would regain momentum in the second half of the year. The economy grew at an annual rate of 1.9 percent, the department said in another report, up from the previously estimated 1.8 percent. The revision was in line with economists’ expectations. The economy expanded at a 3.1 percent rate in the fourth quarter. Orders were a buoyed by a 36.5 percent jump in volatile aircraft bookings. Boeing received 27 aircraft orders, up from just two in April, according to information posted on the plane maker’s website. Motor vehicle orders rose 0.6 percent after plunging 5.3 percent the previous month, suggesting some improvement in auto production, which has been hit by a shortage of parts from Japan. Excluding transportation, durable goods orders increased 0.6 percent after a revised 0.4 percent decline in April, previously reported as a 1.6 percent fall. Economists had expected this category to rise 0.9 percent. Outside of transportation, orders for machinery, primary metals, capital goods, computers and electronic products all rose. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending, rebounded to increase 1.6 percent last month after a revised 0.8 percent fall in April. Economists had expected a 1.0 percent increase from a previously reported 2.3 percent drop. Shipments of non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, which go into the calculation of gross domestic product, increased 1.4 percent after falling 1.5 percent in April. (Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Neil Stempleman) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Janet Tavakoli: Third World America: Drowning in Debt and Choking on Lies

June 24, 2011

If a drunk driver crashed his speeding rental car into your house and killed your spouse, you would be outraged if law enforcers took bribes and refused to give the driver a blood test. If the judge then gave the killer a small fine and ordered you to pay the fine and pay for all the damages, you’d be outraged. If the government then handed the drunk-driver keys to a bigger faster rental car, handed the drunk driver an even bigger bottle of whiskey, and then gave you the rental bill; you’d storm Washington, blizzard elected officials with protests and organize friends and associates to vote these malefactors, the elected officials that betrayed your trust, out of office. Yet, we’ve remained largely silent in the face of the same sort of behavior by Wall Street and Washington. Bonus-seeking bankers crashed into Main Street’s economy and ran control frauds within banks that would have failed without taxpayer bailouts. Bureaucrats and elected officials bailed them out without demanding consequences. Bankers are revving their engines again in credit derivatives, currency derivatives, and commodities trades. “Financial reform” addresses none of the latter problems. Arianna Huffington’s Third World America: How Our Politicians are Abandoning the Middle Class and Betraying the American Dream explains that the $787 billion American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the bank bailout package also known as TARP, allotted only $72 billion to infrastructure projects. Another feature of the bill was to have banks agree to lend money to medium and small sized businesses to stimulate the economy. That didn’t happen and official unemployment numbers remain above 9%, while unofficial figures for underemployed Americans soar above 20%. The number one stimulus for any economy is not consumer spending, although that is a powerful secondary effect. The number one stimulus is capital spending, investment in the production of real goods and consumables. As Third World America explains: “There were three flaws with the old economy that has crashed. It favored consumption over production, debt over small savings, and environmental damage over environmental renewal.” Our ongoing bank bailouts included the mispricing of around $4 trillion of toxic assets that the banks cannot afford to honestly price, since bank capital would be wiped out sparking another global financial meltdown. We continue to provide cheap taxpayer funding through the Fed. New accounting rules allow banks to cover-up the low price of impaired assets, and government debt guarantees provide ongoing subsidies to banks that have a value of trillions of dollars. Ground Zero for America’s Debt Crisis Beyond the banks, we have fiscal mismanagement and corruption that plagues middle class taxpayers. I happen to live in Illinois, the best example of this in the nation. Cook County encompasses Chicago and some of its surrounding suburbs. This week, the Cook County Treasurer discovered “stunning” debt . This debt isn’t new, but apparently our officials are now properly terrified. Our total debt for the municipality, education, county, sanitary, park, fire, township, library and special services is now $108 billion. That means the debt per person in Chicago exceeds $37,000 or more than $63,500 per household, and that is just local debt. The other problem is that the Illinois economy isn’t growing. Many of those households have no income coming in other than government subsidies, and some have no income at all. Unofficial unemployment numbers top 20%. State of Illinois taxes increased from 3% to 5%, an increase of around 67%. Taxes on real estate, utilities, sales, and more are expected to skyrocket. Businesses like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are being courted by low income tax states (at least the income taxes are currently low) like Florida. We’re not doing better on a national level. Americans owe almost $26,500 per household or around $45,000 per person (Greek citizens owe $44,000 per person). That’s on top of our local debt. David Walker, the former U.S. comptroller general, says it’s even worse than that. When he takes into account future obligations for Medicare, Social Security, Federal debt, Military retirement, Civil servant retirement, and more, we owe $546,663 per household . That doesn’t even include your local debt — it may not be as bad as if you lived in Illinois, but it’s substantial nonetheless — and personal debt including mortgages and consumer debt that average more than $120,000 per household. We’re told we are a great country and we can “grow our way out of it.” Exactly how does that occur, when jobs are going overseas, taxes for the wealthiest in our country are uncollectible after exploiting tax breaks, and programs for investment in infrastructure and production are virtually nonexistent? America’s biggest problem by far is that capital spending in new production facilities that create jobs and real products never occurred, not even after trillions of dollars were thrown at banks in the global financial system. Chicago Police Superintendent McCarthy’s Cheap Shot: “Government Sponsored Racism” One would think that our fiscal problems and corruption by local and national officials would unite citizens in a common cause. I’ve been very vocal about predatory lending that targeted vulnerable minorities. A practice called “reverse red lining” targeted people of color and those in minority neighborhoods to get them to sign mortgages that had complicated documentation that hid risks. Yes, there was some fraud by borrowers, but the overwhelming problem in the Chicago area, was fraud on borrowers. I’ve explained this in some detail on The Huffington Post in past years and again recently: ” Third World America 2011: Forget ‘Fast Tracking to Anarchy.’ We’ve Arrived .” (June 8, 2011). I’ve also been vocal about shootings, mob wildings, and muggings in Chicago and the fact that our officials are lying to our population about the causes. It’s true that most of shootings are black-on-black or brown-on-brown and that violence in our poorer neighborhoods is branching out into middle class neighborhoods. In instances where perpetrators are black or brown and the victims are white, it is tempting to say it is all about race, but as I pointed out, this is much bigger than our racial issue: It’s Not a Race War; It’s a Class War It’s much too easy to let politicians divide the nation, make this about race, and ignore the underlying causes. It’s true that many of the mobs in downtown Chicago are comprised of African Americans, but Oprah Winfrey isn’t into wilding. Mary McCarthy didn’t get a close up look at the mob outside her window, but they appeared white — definitely not African American. Last year, I never mentioned race in my post about Chicago violence, but a few commenters brought up race and made unwarranted assumptions. Some commenters assumed “wildings” only involve black youths. Chicago is a city with a lot of diversity and gangs of every race. I mentioned a separate incident of an armed intruder being shot and killed by an off duty police officer; the armed intruder was not African American. I also mentioned three police officers were shot and killed within a two month period. Two were African American, one was not. I pointed out that our officials have been lying to the public about crime. On June 23, NBC televised a segment on how 911 calls on Memorial Day noted gang violence on Chicago’s trendy beaches and the lack of adequate police presence for crowd control. For example, a 911 caller implored for more police protection. He was selling chairs and umbrellas on the beach that day when he was confronted by thugs: “We have a couple of gentlemen, well, actually a few people, threatening to shoot us, threatening to whoop our ass. They’re unhooking our equipment.” Calls like belied the story told by Mayor Rahm Emanuel and Chicago Police Superintendent Garry McCarthy that the beach was closed due to the heat. More disturbing, however, were remarks made by Police Superintendent Garry McCarthy to Father Pfleger’s congregation on Sunday June 5, 2011 at St. Sabina’s Catholic Church. I provide the entire transcript along with this video, which has already been pulled from the web once, and was retrieved from the Google cache by a concerned citizen: The last part of the speech is wrong on many levels. I’m happy to speak up about injustices such as predatory lending and how this practice victimized many neighborhoods in Chicago. In fact, I co-authored an Op-ed for the New York Times with the Reverend Jesse Jackson on that topic; it wasn’t published, however, but we gave it a shot. When it comes to the type of violent crime referred to by the Superintendent, he has his cause and effects all wrong, and he made it all about racism. He equated gun laws to “government sponsored racism.” If criminals didn’t have guns, they would use knives. The killings in our African American communities have nothing to do with racism. These are black-on-black crimes perpetrated by criminals with no respect for authority and no self-respect. They victimize and terrorize decent members of the black community struggling to survive a devastating economic crisis. The Chicago Police Superintendent’s pandering and misinformation doesn’t make it easy for anyone to respect authority. Gun control is “government sponsored racism?” Superintendent McCarthy is wrong on many levels. He mentions segregation, Jim Crow and the Black Code. The latter denied African Americans the right to own guns and that left them open to victimization by armed racists. Now they are victimized by armed criminals in their own communities. Only law-abiding citizens aren’t allowed to have guns in Chicago, which seems to be a violation of U.S. citizens’ Second Amendment rights. The chief challenger of this prohibition in Illinois is an African American man who wants to own a gun so he can defend himself. Moreover, Superintendent McCarthy didn’t mention the understaffed and underequipped police officers, many of whom are men and women of color, who have been shot and killed, wounded, or have had guns pointed at them by criminals. How is any of this racism? Father Pfleger has something to answer for as well. What happened to separation of Church and State? Why does the Catholic Church deserve tax-exempt status if it allows a priest to use the Church pulpit for political rallies? Politicians divide the nation and try to make these issues about race, and ignore the underlying causes. In Third World America , Arianna Huffington notes: “the first step toward stopping our relentless transformation into Third World America has to be breaking the choke hold that special interest money has on our politics.” We must also break the choke-hold that politicians in clerical robes and uniforms have on our public discourse. Endnote: Transcript of Chicago Police Superintendent Garry McCarthy addressing the Congregation at St. Sabina’s Church in Chicago, Illinois on June 5, 2011 (from above video): I feel so inadequate after Father Pfleger speaking, but I would never turn down an opportunity to share a couple of words with the community. Because there’s only 24 hours in the day, I’m trying to fit that 25th hour in and get out everywhere and talk to everybody all the time. I’ve spent an awful lot of time over the last… tomorrow’s my three week anniversary. And I’m also up for conformation tomorrow, so speak to your alderman; that would be very helpful. But I’ve spent an awful lot of time speaking to police officers over the last few weeks and I cannot help but be impressed by the sense of pride that they all take in this great agency called the Chicago Police Department. And Father, I’ve gotta…You know what? I’m there. I’m going to take one second if you’ll forgive me for this. Um, You know I cannot echo or speak as articulate as you did laying out the challenges that we face as a society, but I’m here to tell you one or two quick things. There are no accidents. There are no accidents in this universe and I believe deep down in my soul, I’ve never made a decision in my police career but God has brought me to this place. I’ve never made a decision in my police career, and I jokingly tell people that I lead a Forrest Gump type existence, floating along and ending up where I go. But I did 20 years in the NYPD, and I was there on 911, so I have my own personal opinions about Osama Bin Laden. Please forgive me for that Father. But I was also there to see a change, a big change in the NYPD and the way we do business. And I want to give you a couple of numbers. In 1990 in NYC, there were 2, 245 people murdered. I’m going to say that again. 2,245 people murdered, and the headlines on the daily news were “Do something, Dave,” talking to David Dinkins, the Mayor at the time. Well we changed the way we did business, and the NYPD has been very successful to the point where last year they reduced that number to 450. Now that’s certainly progress, but it’s not good enough. Do you realize we’re talking about a 75% reduction, which is a big deal, but we had 450 people murdered. That’s not okay, that’s not okay. And again Father forgive me, I looked at my Blackberry in church, but while we were sitting here, there was another murder in the City of Chicago. It’s not okay, and I’m not willing to accept that it’s okay. And I’m setting the bar higher than anybody ever sets the bar for me. I set it higher than anybody sets it. And I had a conversation with Father Pfleger, and I told him my vision, and he basically articulated it. But I want to tell you, we used to react to crime, then we used to prevent crime. That’s what we’re doing now; that’s how we reduce crime. Nobody’s ever cured crime. Nobody’s ever cured it. The police cannot arrest their way out of crime. It’s got to be done on a different level. It’s got to be done in recognition of the moral authority of the community to change the behavior of criminals. Wow, there must be something about this pulpit here, ’cause I’m feelin’ strong. I usually, I, I, [sic] should never mix politics and faith, but since, since the Father mentioned it, I want to talk just one thing, and then I promise you I’m giving up the microphone. It’s, it’s the last time I get invited to speak. You know I’m going to take a risk here, and I’m gonna give you somethin’. This is definitely the right audience. Father Pfleger talked about gun control, and I wanna, I wanna give a little test here. And this is sensitive. You know, because everybody’s afraid of race. Have you noticed that? Everybody’s afraid of race. I’m not afraid of race. I was born and raised in the Bronx, NY, and when I was growin’ up, the three biggest problems were gangs, guns, and drugs. Does that sound familiar? So how, how much have we failed as a society to address this? I’m 52 years old. I’m 52 years old, and today in 2011, we’re talking about gangs and guns and drugs and what we’re going to do to fix it. Okay? A big component of this has to do with race. Everybody’s afraid of race. I’m not afraid of race. So here’s what I want to tell you. See, let’s see if we can make a connection here. Slavery. Segregation. Black codes. Jim Crow. What, what did they all have in common? Anybody getting’ scared? Government sponsored racism. [Long pause.] I told ya I wasn’t afraid. I told ya I wasn’t afraid. Now I want you to connect one more dot on that chain of the African American history in this country, and tell me if I’m crazy. Federal gun laws that facilitate the flow of illegal firearms, into our urban centers across this country, that are killing our black and brown children. [Long pause.] The NRA does not like me, and I’m okay with that. We’ve got to get the gun debate back to center, and it’s got to come with the recognition of who’s paying the price for the gun manufacturers being rich and living in gated communities. I, on December 23 in Newark, I was coming from a Christmas Party when we had two back-to-back events. We had five kids who were shot, two of ‘em succumbed to their wounds, and then we had two more men who were shot back-to-back within five minutes of each other. I was on my way to one, when I went to the other, and I was walking through shell casings, bullets, spent bullets in the street. They were gettin’ stuck in my shoes and I said “You know what? Sumpin’s wrong. Somethin’s wrong, and I went from one scene to the next, and by the time I got home, probably about 10:30, 11:00 that night, snapped on the TV to relax for a few minutes, and what was on TV? Sarah Palin’s Alaska. And she was caribou hunting, and talking about the right to bear arms. Why wasn’t she at the crime scene with me? I’m gonna need some help. Because people don’t want to hear this. Okay? And this is what I’m talking about changing the face of the way we do police in this country starting right here in Chicago. It’s with the recognition of what is going on, and a plan to address it. I couldn’t be happier. I feel like I’m in a perfect place, the perfect time, with the right people around me. Thank you very much everybody. This is gonna be great experience.

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BNP Paribas Corporate & Investment Banking Announces Senior Appointments Within Fixed Income

June 24, 2011

Strategic Plan to Build Out Emerging Markets and USD Capabilities

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Cheerios, America’s Top Cereal, Turn 70

June 24, 2011

BUFFALO, N.Y. — Here’s a little quiz for the breakfast table: What is the most popular cereal brand in American grocery stores? Hint: It’s been General Mills’ top name since 1951. Another hint: If you’re a parent, you’ve vacuumed it from the minivan and under the high-chair cushion by the cupful. The answer, of course, is Cheerios. The iconic cereal, known by its distinctive yellow box, is 70 years old this year and still a force on the breakfast cereal market. One out of every eight boxes of cereal to leave the shelf in America carries the Cheerios name. “They’ve been around since the beginning of man, right?” said Kathy Scott in Cape Coral, Fla. For her, the cereal’s linked to memories of childhood Saturday morning cartoons. “My mother was very old-fashioned, a stay-at-home mom,” Scott, 50, said, “She made breakfast every morning, but on Saturday morning we were allowed to have cereal. Throw some fruit in there, sit on the floor and watch cartoons.” The tradition repeated itself with her own two children. “Saturday morning cartoons and Cheerios,” she said. To make Cheerios, balls of dough are heated and shot out of a “puffing gun” at hundreds of miles an hour, according to General Mills. The company’s waterfront plant in Buffalo has been firing them off since 1941, often cloaking the city with a distinctive toasty-with-a-sweet-finish aroma and inspiring T-shirts announcing “My city smells like Cheerios.” More than 10 shapes and sizes were considered before the makers settled on little Os. Since then, the company’s introduced several new flavors, starting with Honey Nut in 1979 and last year, chocolate. In 2009, sales of Honey Nut Cheerios surpassed the original flavor for the first time and remain in the top spot today. But Kathleen Dohl, 30, sticks to the originals, the ones she refers to as the “old-school, yellow box, plain Jane” variety. She buys it in bulk at Sam’s Club to keep her 6- and 3-year-olds happy. “That’s one of the first `real people’ foods that they ate,” the Chester, Va., mother said. “They know when we’re having a morning where we’re running late, they’re like, `can I get a snack bag of Cheerios?’” she said, “because it’s something I can’t say no to. I can say no to chips. I can say no to candy. I can say no to a dozen other things, but a snack bag of Cheerios? How can you say no to that?” So yes, she’s cleaned them out of the car seats. “At least they’re not sticky,” she said, “so that’s a plus. And they’re not so colorful. Once you grind them in they just look like the rest of the dirt, they don’t look neon-colored.” Minneapolis-based General Mills began advertising Cheerios (first called Cheerioats) as a first food for toddlers in 1974. Since 1999, the company has focused on promoting the cereal as healthy; it’s made from whole-grain oats, with 3 grams of fiber and 1 gram of sugar per serving. But in 2009, federal regulators took issue with the cereal box’s claim that it was “clinically proven to help lower cholesterol.” In a warning letter, the Food and Drug Administration said only FDA-approved drugs can make such a claim. General Mills, in its response, stood by the claims and said the FDA’s complaints dealt with how the language appears on the box, not the cereal itself. The case is still open, an FDA spokeswoman said. “I went through a phase in high school where I drank Coca-Cola and carried around a box of Cheerios in my back pack,” said Dohl, whose course schedule and yearbook duties often kept her at the computer and in her car through meals. “That’s literally what I ate for breakfast, lunch and dinner,” she said. “…At least I felt like it was healthy.” Since cereal is the major source of fiber for Americans, something most people shortchange themselves on, Cornell University nutrition expert David Levitsky said it’s actually not a bad idea to eat cereal as a relatively low-calorie lunch or dinner once in a while, even the sugar-sweetened variety. “They’re seducing kids to eat it,” he acknowledged. “It’s a technique that breakfast food companies have learned and it works… but it’s got a good aspect because that’s where they’re getting their fiber in the morning,” he said. “And all these cereals are enriched.” Americans spent $6.4 billion on ready-to-eat cereal in the 52 weeks ending May 15, according to SymphonyIRI Group, a Chicago-based market research firm that tracked sales at supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandise outlets, excluding Walmart. In honor of Cheerios’ 70th Buffalo’s Citybration Festival highlighting its assets will include a June 26 Cheerios breakfast in sight (and smell) of the General Mills facility. “Cheerios are actually a more iconic food to Buffalo than even the ubiquitous chicken wing,” said festival organizer Marti Gorman. (The spicy Buffalo wing came along in 1964.) “There just must be something so gently appealing about the product,” said Dave Hassett, a school counselor whose Born in Buffalo site sells the Cheerios T-shirts online and at local festivals. Along with his 4-year-old daughter, he said he eats a bowl daily. “I hope they stick around for 70 more years and beyond.”

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E.G. Bowman, NYC Insurance Brokerage, Names Sales Executive; Former Construction Executive Specializes in Insuring Construction Industry

June 24, 2011

NEW YORK, NY–(Marketwire – Jun 24, 2011) – Sean P. Flaherty joined E.G. Bowman Co., a Manhattan business-insurance brokerage, as a sales executive specializing in the construction industry.

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Chris Christie Has Some Advice For Obama

June 24, 2011

TRENTON, N.J. — New Jersey Governor Chris Christie says he thinks President Barack Obama should follow his lead and personally engage in budget talks with lawmakers. Speaking on NBC’s “Today” show on Friday, Christie said “you can’t negotiate through a second person.” The Republican suggested the first thing Obama do about debt ceiling talks is “show up.” “Everybody needs to bring skin to the game,” said the New Jersey governor. Christie’s comments come one day after reaching a compromise with Democratic leaders to require public employees in New Jersey to pay more for health and pension benefits. In an interview with The Associated Press, Christie called the deal his greatest accomplishment since taking office in 2010. During the one-on-one, the GOP governor who was elected into office last year was asked about sharp remarks he recently directed toward a voter after she asked him about where his children go to school in the context of where he stands on education policy. “You don’t send your children to public schools,” a woman said to the governor, according to CBS New York. She continued, “You send them to private schools, so I was wondering why you think it’s fair to be cutting funding to public schools?” Christie’s response : “It’s none of your business. I don’t ask you where you send your kids go to school, don’t bother me about where I send mine.” Host Matt Lauer told Christie that even he was “surprised” by the governor’s comments before playing a clip of the exchange that had gone down. He asked the Republican governor if his remarks were “a little harsh” even for someone known not to mince words. Christie said, “No it’s not, because her point is completely ridiculous. I shouldn’t be able to make decisions about budgetary issues that relate to public schools because my children go to private school, that was the question. And, it’s none of her business where I send my kids to school.” WATCH: Visit msnbc.com for breaking news , world news , and news about the economy

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Yippy, Inc. (YIPI) Opens ALA New Orleans 2011 Announcing New Incoming CEO

June 24, 2011

FORT MYERS, FL–(Marketwire – Jun 24, 2011) – Yippy, Inc. ( PINKSHEETS : YIPI ), www.yippy.com , the providers of the world’s fastest, family friendly, educational search engine and web portal, reports that Marc Bigelow has formally accepted the appointment as President & CEO of Yippy, Inc. Marc is 53 years old and has served with Yippy as a consultant most recently. Yippy’s incoming CEO has over 22 years of senior management experience in the educational publishing, information and new media markets and most recently served as an industry consultant and an adjunct professor at Sierra Nevada College. Marc Bigelow has during his previous career served at McGraw-Hill, Times Mirror, Thomson Learning (a division of Thomson Company) and most recently Gale Cengage. Marc will formally join Yippy July 11 th and will continue to foster partnership agreements in educational and related markets as a consultant until that day.

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Paper or Plastic? Neither, At New Grocery Store Without Packaging

June 24, 2011

Austin, Texas is already home to Whole Foods, but that won’t stop a group of entrepreneurs from founding a new grocery store right in the natural food behemoth’s backyard. While the new store In.gredients will also specialize in local and organic ingredients, there’s one major difference between this venture and its hometown competion: In.gredients promises to be the country’s first ever “package-free, zero waste grocery store.”

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Erika Shaker: The Attack on Workers: Back(sliding) (in)to the Future

June 24, 2011

The public response to recent labour disputes has been a disturbing sideshow to the return of Parliament. What’s remarkable is the level of nastiness that gets tossed around, littered with references to “union stooges” and the ubiquitous “socialist dinosaurs.” Perhaps the most obvious line of attack is based on a backdrop of selfishness — “I don’t have benefits/vacation/job security, so why should they?” It is an argument borne of misplaced resentment. The understandable anger at an increasingly stratified society is being directed not at the handful of people who are benefiting handsomely from an increasingly unfair and unequal economy, but rather at those individuals and organizations trying to make that same economic system a little less unfair for themselves and eventually for others. As a strategy, though, it’s completely backwards: rather than resenting unionized workers for what they have achieved, doesn’t it make more sense to say, “What great benefits — I would like to have them too” (or maybe, “I would like my kids to have those opportunities, even if I don’t”)? Isn’t that how we improve living and working conditions for all of us? I don’t understand the apparently pervasive rationale that unless everyone (or at least the person doing the complaining) has these rights, no one should. How does that guarantee any kind of social progress? Do we reject social improvements out of sympathy for those who didn’t benefit from them? Or do we initiate social progress by creating examples of good policy and practice to which we all collectively work to aspire? Like, for example, paid maternity leave — which many of us now have as a direct result of the postal workers’ fight for that benefit in the 80s. If the founders of Medicare thought that establishing public health care would be unfair to those who grew up without it, where would we be today? But there’s also another theme that’s been percolating on message boards (following news stories about what has become a full-fledged lockout of postal workers by Canada Post, and the recent tabling of back-to-work legislation by the federal government) — one deeply rooted in elitism and adherence to a rigid class system. “What makes them think they deserve more?” “You only need a grade 6 education to do their job.” “Why should unskilled labour get paid $50,000 a year?” Funny, isn’t it, how people claim to respect those who do “an honest day’s work.” Yet when that “honest day’s work” comes with decent wages, benefits, vacation days, a pension and job security — you know, if it’s unionized — suddenly those same hardworking folks are “coddled,” their work somehow not so “honest” anymore. Workers are universally loved (or at least they get some rhetorical “props”) when they’re downtrodden… but the moment they have the gall to look beyond their “place,” they’re met with a wave of righteous indignation: who do they think they are, anyway? “They think they work harder than you and me,” someone responded on facebook when I voiced my support for postal workers. “Well, maybe they do,” I said. I’m certainly not out there every day carrying upwards of 35 lbs of mail for hours at a time, trudging through Ottawa streets in minus-40 winters and plus-40 summers, and dealing with the realities of a job that has the second-highest rate of work-related injuries in the federal sector. The implication is that some jobs (and the people who do them) just aren’t deserving of a good wage, security, or safe working conditions. Times are tight (for working people, though not for CEOs), they have a job, and that should be enough for them. Living wages are for slackers, and unions have to get with the times. Really? So this is the new definition of progress: household debt is at record levels and working people (particularly the younger ones who are just entering the job market) are told they have to do more and expect less while paying off student loans, raising families, and caring for aging parents. Ironically, in resisting this so-called “new reality” for their current and future members (and more broadly, for society) unions are painted as obstructionist and out of touch. But it’s our increasingly stratified system — the one so many people, against even their own best interests, tie themselves into knots defending — that’s truly untenable. Erika Shaker is Director of the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives ‘ Education Project.

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Mark Bourrie: Canada’s New Bills Won’t Change Old Financial Habits

June 24, 2011

In a drawer somewhere, I have a nickel-sized coin of the Roman emperor Gallienus (ruled 253-268 AD). Gallienus is long-forgotten, but he shouldn’t be. He is one of the true fathers of inflation, and there should be a statue to him on the Acropolis in Athens and in the lobby of every government’s central bank. Gallienus was a victim of bad timing. Plagues and invasions had weakened the Roman Empire. Big chunks of it were seceding and rebelling. Gallienus rarely visited Rome. He spent most of his reign on the road, hunting down various barbarian hordes and rebel legions. And he fretted over his finances. Because of the wars and the decline of trade, (along with hoarding by nervous Romans), silver disappeared from circulation. Coins were almost impossible to come by. Gallienus’ money guys came up with a solution to this problem. They got the mint to stamp his coinage in copper. Then they put a silver wash on the coins. Gallienus paid his army with it. The resulting carnage left Gallienus and his entire family dead, his statues smashed and his monuments pulled down. Geneologists re-wrote family histories to erase Gallienus. I bring up poor Gallienus just hours after seeing Canada’s new polymer $100 bills. I was at a news conference where these bills were handed out to reporters. We had to give them back, but, while we had them, I went at mine with every intention of seeing if it really could not be torn or mutilated, as the Bank of Canada’s people said. Some of the people around me reacted in horror at the disrespect I showed to my little piece of plastic, as though “money” — even a piece of holographed chemistry that no one would accept as money right now — was somehow sacred. Money is what people think it is. A “dollar” used to be the same everywhere: one ounce of silver, give or take a small nip. A dime was 1/10 of an ounce of silver. A “penny” was, for hundreds of years, 1/240 of a Roman silver pound, which was 12 troy ounces. A British pound morphed from those 12 ounces of silver to ¼ ounce of gold, which was also about the size of a U.S. $5 gold piece. A U.S. $20 gold piece was just under one troy ounce of gold. A century ago, Canadians were very familiar with the big British copper penny, which was about the size of a loonie and had about the same purchasing power. But now money is all numbers, articles of faith. Canada’s paper money used to bear the words “The Bank of Canada will pay to the bearer on demand…” the number of dollars on the bill. The bill was a promise to pay money. By sleight of hand, the bill somehow became money. Money and governmental jiggery-pokery have always been intertwined. Henry VIII’s subjects called him “Old Copper Nose” because he watered his silver coins down with so much copper. I have a $50 trillion Zimbabwe note around the house somewhere, one of the last bills issued by Robert Mugabe’s regime before the German printers stopped the presses until their account was settled (in Euros). Somewhere else, I have a stash of billion-mark bonds issued by Germany’s Weimar Republic in 1923. That inflationary trick, which conned some of my gullible relatives and wiped out the bond-holding German middle classes, helped seal the German republic’s fate. (The company that printed the German bank notes in the worst weeks of the inflation submitted a bill to the government for 32,776,899,763,734,490,417.05 marks.) Sound currency issuers: Elizabeth I, Julius Caesar, Constantine the Great, Napoleon, George Washington, Sir John A. Macdonald, Otto von Bismarck. Unsound currency issuers: Richard Nixon, Jimmy Carter, unlamented Gallienus, the Soviet Union, Communist China, Robert Mugabe (and Abraham Lincoln, just to throw a wrench into my own argument. But war is hell on currency). We’re in for a reckoning about money, not because we’ve physically debased it, but because we don’t understand it. The yuppie who stiffs a waitress on a tip has no problem bidding up a house by $50,000 over its asking price, which already reflects a speculative “value” that has no basis in intrinsic costs. Politicians in Canada hold a five-week election campaign to argue about economics, then pass $275 billion in spending, some 800 pages of estimates, in far less time than it takes to read them. Each Canadian family has, on average, some $180,000 in mortgage and personal debt. Take out the renters, the people making minimum wage, people with bad credit, the elderly who have the sense to be debt-free at retirement, people who abhor debt or have religious scruples about usury, and the small number of people who are so rich that they rarely borrow, and you have a skilled working class and a professional middle class in deep, deep financial trouble. The CMHC, which insures most of the worst of Canadian mortgages, has more risk on its books than the amount of the federal debt. We also hide debt by spreading it among pension plans, provinces and municipalities. Our statisticians play with numbers to try to convince us that inflation is much lower than it actually is. Our allies and friends are already showing us the future. In Greece, revolution is in the air because the government is worse than broke. In the U.S., public debt levels are above the ability of most people to comprehend. It’s like trying to calculate the number of stars in the universe. Eventually, things will work out. People will need stuff. People will make stuff. People will carry stuff around and sell it. Barter is far less efficient at setting prices than a cash economy, so people will create good money out of necessity. But the road between now and then could be pretty rough. I doubt the new plastic currency will help, though I did find that if you do pull really hard, you can stretch the new bucks. You just can’t stretch them far enough.

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European Banks, Finance Officials Discuss New Greek Rollover Plan

June 24, 2011

LONDON/FRANKFURT (Alex Chambers, Jonathan Gould and Philipp Halstrick) – European banks and finance officials are discussing a proposal to replace existing Greek debt with a different type of bond to get around ratings agencies’ reservations about a planned rollover, two senior European banking sources said on Friday. The proposal foresees a voluntary rollover of debt into securities of a different and not comparable credit composition to avoid agencies moving Greece to default status, the sources told Reuters on Friday. “Only by a completely different composition of the bonds would the rating agencies see the restructuring as voluntary and not declare Greece insolvent,” said one senior banker. Banks, insurers and national finance officials have held meetings this week to seek a solution to Greece’s sovereign debt crisis. A senior German banking source said that banks were still examining a variety of proposals and that they would not agree to commit to any rollover deal without a signal from ratings agencies that there would be no default. French President Nicolas Sarkozy said on Friday that French banks and insurance companies were willing to participate in a voluntary rollover of Greek debt. German private creditors have been asked by the country’s finance ministry to submit data on their Greek exposure and their intentions to roll over the debt by early next week, two other sources familiar with the meetings said. Euro zone governments are discussing a second bailout package for Greece that would run from 2011 to 2014 and could amount to 120 billion euros ($170 billion) , including up to 30 billion euros from the private sector. Germany and France, along with Greek banks themselves, are the biggest holders of Greek state debt and therefore most exposed to any default. There has been rising pressure in countries like Germany, Finland and the Netherlands for aggressive steps to force banks to share the burden of a new aid package, after taxpayers coughed up all of the money in the previous round. (Editing by Patrick Graham) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Will Higher Taxes Tank the Economy?

June 24, 2011

The main sticking point in negotiations between Republicans and Democrats on deficit reduction measures to accompany a rise in the debt limit is whether higher revenues should make any contribution. A key Republican concern is that any tax increase would depress the economy.

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Obama To Announce A New High-Tech Manufacturing Effort

June 24, 2011

PITTSBURGH — Imagining advances from lighter cars to smarter robots, President Barack Obama is announcing a $500 million project to spur high-technology manufacturing, a sector of U.S. industry that presidential advisers say has lost ground to such competitors as Germany and Japan. On Friday in Pittsburgh, Obama is to call for a joint effort by industry, universities and the federal government to help reposition the United States as a leader in cutting-edge manufacturing, including biotechnology, robotics and nanotechnology – the development of new materials at the molecular level. The initiative represents yet another effort by Obama to promote job-creation in the midst of an economic slowdown that has reduced hiring and weakened his job approval standing with the public. The president has tried to elevate his profile on the economy with weekly job-related trips to states that are key to his re-election. In 2008, Obama beat John McCain, his Republican opponent, by a 55-45 percent margin in Pennsylvania. But presidential elections are usually competitive there, making the state a 2012 battleground. He is to launch his new high-tech plan at Carnegie Mellon University, one of six universities in what the administration is calling the Advanced Manufacturing Partnership. The plan also features 11 manufacturing companies, including Ford Motor Co., Caterpillar Inc., Procter & Gamble Co. and Northrop Grumman Corp. Leading the effort will be Andrew Liveris, chairman, president and CEO of the Dow Chemical Co., and Susan Hockfield, president of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. “The idea here is that we’re bringing together all of the key players in a collaborative partnership to help identify these promising technologies, to invest in these promising technologies and to use them to drive a revitalization of American manufacturing,” said Ron Bloom, assistant to the president for manufacturing policy. Obama will be touring the Carnegie Mellon Robotics Institute, which is building machines that can help with bomb disposal, brain surgery, lawn mowing and paint scraping. Ultimately, some scientists at the institute are trying to figure out whether robots and humans can “treat each other as equal partners or teammates.” The administration’s plan includes $70 million for a robotics initiative. It also is aiming $300 million toward national security industries and $100 million for research and training to more quickly develop advanced materials at lower costs. Some of the $500 million would come from existing allocations to government agencies, but other money is only reflected in Obama’s 2012 budget request and would require approval by Congress. Bloom envisioned nanotechnology that could create stronger but lighter materials. “And what that means is, if we can be the leader in creating these kinds of materials, then we’re going to have cars that are lighter, but yet as strong; we’re going to have airplanes that are light and consume less energy in order to power them,” he said. The initiative is the brainchild of the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. In a report issued Friday, the council warned that U.S. leadership in manufacturing is at risk. It said the United States has been losing research and development associated with manufacturing to other countries. Most importantly, the council noted, the United States is losing the manufacturing competition for products that were invented in the U.S., including laptop computers, flat panel displays and lithium ion batteries. In a teleconference with reporters, Bloom rejected a suggestion that the effort could be criticized because it could single out beneficiaries at the expense of others “We’re not trying to pick a winner,” Bloom said. “We just want to give entrepreneurs and innovators tools to work with.” ___ Associated Press writer Kevin Begos contributed to this report.

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Deutsche Fired Top Trader After Complaints Of ‘Substantial’ Anomalies

June 24, 2011

NEW YORK (Matthew Goldstein) – In the fall of 2009, Deutsche Bank quietly fired one of its top derivative traders in London after a colleague in New York complained about finding “substantial trading anomalies” in a multibillion dollar portfolio of high-risk credit default swaps managed by the German-based bank, Reuters has learned. The bank dismissed Alex Bernand after a quick internal investigation prompted by the employee’s complaint led to the discovery of improper trading in one of Bernand’s personal brokerage accounts, according to documents seen by Reuters and interviews with people familiar with the situation. The documents, part of a Sarbanes-Oxley whistleblower action filed against Deutsche in May 2010 by the employee in New York, also reveal that the Securities and Exchange Commission opened an inquiry last year into a related allegation that some of the assets in the derivatives portfolio overseen by Bernand may have been improperly valued in order to hide trading losses. Deutsche bank spokeswoman Renee Calabro declined to comment on Bernand’s dismissal. But she said the allegation that some assets in the bank’s derivatives book had been improperly valued was investigated by the bank and is “wholly unfounded.” The SEC investigation and Bernand’s October 2009 firing, neither of which has been previously reported, come as Deutsche is aggressively winding down the portion of its derivatives trading business that Bernand had overseen. Earlier this month, the bank reported in an investor presentation that its plan to unwind its “high-risk” credit correlation portfolio “is well ahead” of schedule. The bank first announced a plan to begin “de-risking” some of its derivatives trading desks in late 2008. In January, Deutsche settled the whistleblower case by agreeing to pay $900,000 to trader Matthew Simpson and promoting him to managing director shortly before he voluntarily agreed to leave the bank in April. It was the largest Sarbanes-Oxley whistleblower settlement for a complaint filed in 2010. Simpson, who now works for Rochdale Securities in Stamford, Connecticut, did not return a phone call seeking comment. UNFOUNDED ALLEGATION “This complaint, which is over a year old, has been the subject of a thorough investigation, and we believe that any allegations about financial misreporting are wholly unfounded,” said Calabro, who declined to comment on the terms of the settlement with Simpson. “The bank is cooperating with the SEC on its review of the matter.” An SEC spokesman declined to comment. Bernand, who lives in France, also declined to comment. On his LinkedIn profile, Bernand describes himself as an “independent philanthropy professional.” Simpson’s and Bernand’s names were redacted from the whistleblower documents seen by Reuters, but their identities were confirmed by two people familiar with the situation. In its settlement agreement with Simpson, Deutsche also denied “any wrongdoing in connection with the matter.” In light of the settlement, the U.S. Department of Labor in February closed its investigation into Simpson’s claim that he had been retaliated against by some of his superiors for bringing the allegations of improper trading to the attention of the bank’s compliance department. The firing of Bernand, a one-time rising star in the derivatives world, is something of an embarrassment for Deutsche. In 2006, the bank issued a press release to trumpet his hiring from Bank of America as its global head of credit correlation. At BofA, Bernand had pretty much built the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank’s structured credit trading business from scratch. Inside Deutsche, the portfolio that Bernand oversaw from London was called the “exotics book,” because many of the derivatives in the portfolio were tied to complex securities. At its peak, the portfolio was one of the largest on Wall Street with the assets underlying the trades valued in the tens of billions of dollars. ILLUSORY PROFITS The bank’s credit correlation desk specialized in using credit default swaps to make proprietary trades that were aimed at hedging some of the bank’s exposure to potentially risky corporate bonds, leveraged loans, currencies, indexes and commercial paper. Many of the trades put on by correlation traders involve synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), financial instruments that use credit default swaps to get exposure to various bonds and other assets. Some have blamed credit default swaps — a type of derivative that is supposed to provide a level of insurance against an underlying asset going bad — with exacerbating the global financial crisis because they increase the level of risk on balance sheets of the world’s major banks. However, the synthetic CDOs traded by the correlation desk were not like the more popular variant of CDOs which were stuffed with subprime mortgage securities. Janet Tavakoli, a Chicago-based derivatives consultant who has written several books on credit derivatives and structured products, said many bank managements did not fully appreciate the illusory nature of the trading profits being generated from derivatives correlation desks before the financial crisis. She said those profits often disappeared and turned into losses when the underlying assets turned south. “The thing about correlation desks is that it will appear you are making a lot money from trades, but it is all money at risk,” said Tavakoli. “I call this kind of trading an invisible hedge fund.” In an early 2010 regulatory filing, Deutsche attributed some of the rise in the bank’s value-at-risk, or VAR, at the end of 2009 to a “recalibration of parameters in the Group’s credit correlation business.” On Wall Street, VAR is one metric used by a bank to estimate how much money it could conceivably lose in a day if all of its trading bets and hedges went awry. It’s an imperfect measurement, but one followed by most industry analysts. A person familiar with Deutsche said the bank is winding down the credit correlation desk to both reduce its risk profile and better comply with the so-called Volcker Rule’s ban on proprietary trading in the United States. The bank’s internal investigation into Simpson’s allegations was overseen by the big New York law firm Fried Frank. The revelation that the SEC is investigating the valuations used for some of Deutsche’s derivatives portfolio comes at an awkward time. Over the past few months, the bank has taken some high-profile lumps for its role in contributing to the financial mess. A Senate report released in April faulted Deutsche for continuing to churn out collateralized debt obligations and other securities backed by subprime mortgages even as the housing market in the United States was starting to crumble. The report from the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations said Deutsche aggressively marketed CDOs to its client, “despite the negative views of its most senior CDO trader” about the failing health of the housing market. Just last month, federal prosecutors in New York filed a civil suit against Deutsche, claiming its MortgageIT subsidiary repeatedly lied about the quality of the mortgages it was issuing to obtain federal guarantees on those iffy home loans. The government seeks to recoup some $1 billion in losses it incurred from insuring the mortgages. Deutsche contends most of the problem loans were issued before the bank acquired MortgageIT in 2007. Before filing his whistleblower complaint last May, Simpson had built a long track record at Deutsche. Over the dozen years he worked for the bank in New York, he held positions in finance, risk management and then trading. He joined the firm’s correlation trading group in 2008 and was responsible for trading derivatives tied to bonds and currencies. In his whistleblower complaint, Simpson said when he reported his concerns about trading improprieties to Deutsche’s compliance department he “expressed concerns for future retaliations.” Among the acts of retaliation that Simpson alleged were being passed over for a promotion in February 2010 and later “stripped” of all his trading and management responsibilities. Calabro said the bank denies Simpson’s claim of retaliation. (Reported by Matthew Goldstein; Editing by Michael Williams and Claudia Parsons Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Obama, Boehner Held Secret Debt Ceiling Meeting At White House

June 24, 2011

WASHINGTON (AP/The Huffington Post) — Efforts to find a bipartisan agreement blending huge budget cuts with a must-pass measure to increase how much the government can borrow have entered a new phase after Republican negotiators pulled out of talks led by Vice President Joe Biden. The exit of House Majority Leader Eric Cantor from the talks on Thursday means the most difficult decisions have been kicked upstairs to GOP House Speaker John Boehner of Ohio and President Barack Obama. The Biden-led group had made solid progress in weeks of negotiations but was at an impasse over taxes. Cantor, R-Va., said that the Republican-dominated House simply won’t support tax increases and that it’s time for Obama to weigh in directly because Biden and Democrats were insisting on tax increases. Democrats said it’s only fair to blend in additional revenues from closing tax breaks to balance trillions of dollars in spending cuts. It had long been assumed that the Biden group would set the stage for more decisive talks involving Obama and Boehner. As a result, Cantor’s move was interpreted as trying to jump-start the talks rather than blow them up – a view shared by Cantor himself. “The purpose here is to alter the dynamic,” Cantor said. In fact, Cantor’s withdrawal came after Boehner had already made a trek to the White House – in a secret meeting Wednesday night that followed up on a golf outing over the weekend. According to The Hill newspaper, Cantor’s walkout had been planned for weeks: The timing of Cantor’s exit from the talks has been discussed for weeks, and senior House Republicans cast it as a natural progression for the negotiations. “There have been discussions about when these talks need to end and when the Speaker and the president need to get in the game,” one GOP aide explained. For his part, Cantor didn’t inform Boehner of his decision to leave the talks until Thursday, shortly before the news broke, said a GOP official familiar with the situation. The official required anonymity because of the sensitivity of the information. The White House sought to put a positive spin on developments. “As all of us at the table said at the outset, the goal of these talks was to report our findings back to our respective leaders,” Biden said in a statement. “The next phase is in the hands of those leaders, who need to determine the scope of an agreement that can tackle the problem and attract bipartisan support. For now the talks are in abeyance as we await that guidance.” The Senate’s Republican negotiator, Jon Kyl of Arizona, also exited the talks. For his part, Cantor said the secretive Biden-led talks had “established a blueprint” for agreement on significant cuts in spending. One of the byproducts of Cantor’s departure was to provide an opportunity for partisans on all sides to make statements at odds with the positions they may have to take to achieve a deal. Democrats insist that at least some new revenues are needed – both to soften spending cuts and to line up the Democratic votes needed to pass the measure. “It will take Democratic votes to pass any debt-ceiling agreement,” said Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. “As a result, certain things are going to have to be true. We cannot make cuts to Medicare benefits. We have to allow for revenues like wasteful subsidies for ethanol and oil companies. And we have to do something on jobs.” “President Obama needs to decide between his goal of higher taxes or a bipartisan plan to address our deficit,” said Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky. “He can’t have both.” As for Democratic demands for new deficit-financed “jobs” initiatives, McConnell scoffed: “What planet are they on?” Cantor said that plenty of progress has been made in identifying trillions of dollars in potential spending cuts to accompany legislation to raise the $14.3 trillion cap on the government’s ability to borrow money. Passage of the legislation this summer is necessary to meet the government’s obligations to holders of U.S. Treasurys. The alternative is a market-shaking, first-ever default on U.S. obligations.

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Republicans Bail On Debt Ceiling Talks, Blame Democrats

June 24, 2011

WASHINGTON — Republicans pulled out of debt-reduction talks led by Vice President Joe Biden with a flourish on Thursday, blaming Democrats for demanding tax increases as part of a deal rather than accepting more than $1 trillion in cuts to Medicare and other government programs. “Let me be clear: Tax hikes are off the table,” said House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio. Boehner spoke shortly after the House GOP second-in-command, Majority Leader Eric Cantor, announced he would not attend a planned negotiating session and said it is “time for President Obama to speak clearly and resolve the tax issue.” White House spokesman Jay Carney quickly obliged, while announcing that the talks were “in abeyance.” He said Obama supports a “balanced approach” to debt reduction. “I would point that the president supports a balanced approach,” Carney said. “He does not support an approach that provides for a $200,000 tax cut for millionaires and billionaires paid for by a $6,000 a year hike in expenses and costs for seniors.” Numerous officials have said in recent days that Obama and Boehner would soon take a more public role in the negotiations, as time grows short for confronting politically vexing questions over taxes and Medicare and other benefit programs. As a result, it appeared that the day’s events marked an eruption of political maneuvering rather than a blow-up that would jeopardize the success of negotiations. “The goal of these talks was to report our findings back to our respective leaders,” Biden said in a statement. “The next phase is in the hands of those leaders, who need to determine the scope of an agreement that can tackle the problem and attract bipartisan support. For now the talks are in abeyance as we await that guidance.” In general, the negotiations are aimed at producing legislation to cut future deficits while simultaneously lifting the $14.3 trillion limit on Treasury borrowing. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner has said that without an increase in the debt limit by Aug. 2, the United States faces a first-ever default, with potentially catastrophic consequences for the economy. Carney told reporters that Boehner had met unannounced with Obama at the White House Wednesday evening. The meeting was at the president’s initiative, and the first known encounter between the two men since their widely publicized round of golf last weekend. Nor was it likely Democrats were taken by surprise by the day’s events, since Cantor informed Biden of his plans before making any public announcement. Adding to the intrigue, one GOP leadership aide said Cantor did not inform Boehner of his plan to withdraw from the talks until shortly before he did so. Nor was Cantor aware of Boehner’s trip to the White House the evening before, this aide said. For his part, Cantor said the secretive Biden-led talks had “established a blueprint” for agreement on significant cuts in spending, but had reached an impasse because of the Democratic demand for taxes. Sen. Jon Kyl of Arizona, the other Republican participant, also said he would not attend the scheduled session, and Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell spoke in unusually biting terms of Democratic demands for new government spending as part of a debt-reduction deal. “What planet are they on?” McConnell wondered aloud. While accepting a need to raise the debt limit, Boehner has said that deficit cuts must exceed the size of any increase in borrowing authority – a position that neither Obama nor any other Democrat has challenged. The president and Biden were meeting with House Democratic leaders at the White House when Cantor made his announcement. One of the Democratic negotiators, Rep. Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, said at a news conference that Republicans “are playing with fire and really putting the very fragile economy at greater threat by playing the games that we’ve been seeing.” In several weeks of talks, Biden and congressional negotiators had largely completed a review of the federal budget, focusing at first on areas where the two sides were amenable to cuts. They quickly identified higher pension contributions for federal employees as one area of savings, and cuts in farm programs and student loan subsidies as others. Additional items include a federal auction of parts of the spectrum and the sale of surplus federal property. Discretionary programs, which bore the brunt of an earlier agreement to cut spending by $38 billion, would be ticketed for additional cuts. Other steps had been discussed to rein in future government spending automatically if deficit targets were not reached. But in recent days, officials said, the two sides were increasingly at an impasse, with Democrats demanding higher taxes to accompany spending cuts, while Republicans ruled out tax hikes and pushed for deeper cuts in benefit programs. The conflicts long predate the current negotiations. Republicans long ago branded themselves as the party of lower taxes, while Democrats, looking to the 2012 elections, are already campaigning hard against a new Republican plan to turn Medicare into a system of private insurance coverage beginning with anyone currently under 55 years of age. Privately, Republicans bristle at the suggestion that taxes be traded off for Medicare. They argue that official reports make it clear that without significant changes, the Medicare program is financially unsustainable. Yet polls show that while there is general support for spending cuts, there is opposition to benefit cuts in Medicare. The imperative to cut spending has gained impetus since Republicans won control of the House last fall, benefiting hugely from tea party activists demanding a smaller and less intrusive government. In addition, sputtering recovery from the worst recession in decades and stubbornly high unemployment have helped form a bipartisan agreement that long-avoided steps are needed to reduce federal red ink. The Congressional Budget Office warned on Wednesday that unless steps are taken to rein in deficits, the country risks a “sudden fiscal crisis,” with investors losing faith in the U.S. government’s ability to manage its fiscal affairs. ___ Associated Press writers Julie Pace and Andrew Taylor contributed to this report.

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Controversial Anti-Union Bill Poised To Become Law In New Jersey

June 24, 2011

TRENTON, N.J. — The New Jersey Assembly has passed landmark employee benefits legislation requiring public workers to pay sharply more for pension and health benefits. The divisive bill passed 46-32 Thursday with support from all Republicans who were present and a smattering of Democrats. The Senate approved the bill Monday. Republican Gov. Chris Christie is expected to quickly sign it. The measure requires 500,000 teachers, police, firefighters and other public workers to pay a portion of their health insurance based on income. It also increases pension contributions. The state’s retirement funds are underfunded by $110 billion. The bill’s backers say higher contributions are needed to ensure solvency. Opponents object to the four-year suspension of bargaining over health benefits. More than 8,000 rallied at the Statehouse Thursday to oppose the bill.

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Opening The Oil Taps: A Shot Fired At Speculators

June 24, 2011

On first inspection, President Obama’s decision to tap the nation’s petroleum reserves, announced Thursday, seemed far more symbolic than consequential: Only 30 million barrels of oil will be injected into the national supply over the next month — less than what the United States consumes in two days. But energy experts emphasized that symbolism has a way of altering perception in global markets, molding a new reality. Oil prices, stocks of major energy companies and futures prices all plummeted following the announcement, as traders interpreted the news as a sign that the Obama administration will take a harder line against high oil and gas prices. Crude oil futures plunged to a four month low on Thursday, and Goldman Sachs projected that crude oil prices could drop by as much as $12 a barrel — more than 10 percent — by the end of July. In this case, Obama’s move appeared to convince traders that his administration is intent on intervening in the markets and snuffing out speculative zeal in order to confront the soaring price of gasoline. Rising prices at the pump have been putting Americans in a particularly thrifty mood, just as fears deepen about a weak and slowing economy. “It will hopefully keep speculators from getting back in the market for fear that [Obama] could do this again,” said Daniel J. Weiss, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress. “It is very important to burst this speculative bubble.” The administration’s action was part of a coordinated campaign with the International Energy Agency, which announced plans to expand the global supply by 60 million barrels of oil over the next 30 days. The United States will lead the effort by providing half of that amount from its emergency stock, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Both the Obama administration and the IEA cited the ongoing conflict in Libya as an imperative for expanding the global supply, asserting that chaos in that country had effectively taken an estimated 132 million barrels of oil out of the market through the end of May. Some energy experts have asserted high oil prices are in part the result of speculators, who have exploited global instability to send prices skyward. Since last June, oil prices have climbed by nearly 50 percent. Earlier in the week, federal regulators launched a probe into whether oil companies and refineries have manipulated prices. Senior administration officials told Reuters that they have decided to release oil from emergency reserves in order to help the debilitated U.S. economy. But analysts were divided over whether the action will ultimately offer lasting relief. Using the results of past emergency reserve sales as a guide, Weiss estimated that gas prices will fall by about 25 cents per gallon, collectively saving about $95 million per day for American consumers. But MIT energy economics professor Christopher Knittel estimated that gas prices would fall only about 2 to 3 percent, which would translate to about 8 to 11 cents per gallon in New York City. Knittel emphasized that the science of estimating the impact of any one infusion of oil is very imprecise, since a number of variables affect oil and gas prices. He criticized the administration’s attempt to lower prices, arguing doing so would interfere with the fundamental message of the market’s high prices: the need to conserve energy and embrace renewable sources. “It signals to consumers that the administration appears to be willing to use the strategic oil reserves to move oil prices, and I think that is a bad precedent to set because U.S. consumers should face the actual price of oil,” Knittel said. “It’s also not obviously sustainable.” Proponents of expanding American oil production took a different, but still critical, position, asserting that by tapping the strategic reserve the government risks sowing a false sense of relief, undercutting momentum for domestic drilling. Spencer Pederson, press secretary for the House Natural Resources Committee, said the reserves are meant to be used to address severe supply shocks, and not simply to roll back rising oil prices. He urged the administration to “go offshore, go onshore and drill for more oil,” adding that this would stimulate the economy by creating jobs, as well as by bringing down oil prices.

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Beck To Santorum: ‘I Could Kiss You In The Mouth’

June 24, 2011

Fox News host Glenn Beck responded with an awkward suggestion when Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum confirmed on his program that he’s signed his name to the “Cut, Cap and Balance” pledge, which entails opposing any debt limit increase without significant spending cuts, enforceable spending caps and congressional approval of a balanced budget amendment. “I could kiss you in the mouth,” said Beck to Santorum on Thursday. A few moments later after the pair laughed, he added, “I was just kidding, I don’t want to kiss you in the mouth.” Santorum lauded House Republicans last month for voting down a clean measure to raise the debt ceiling. “Conservatives in the House are absolutely right,” the presidential hopeful and former U.S. senator wrote in a Facebook post at the time. “We cannot continue to write blank checks that our nation cannot cash. Before we again raise our nation’s debt ceiling, we must insure that the major components of our exploding debt are under control, namely our entitlement programs.” The Hill reports that Republican presidential contenders former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, U.S. Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and former Godfather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain have all added their names to the “Cut, Cap and Balance” pledge, which is backed by conservative favorite Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.). Via Mediaite comes video of the exchange between Beck and Santorum. WATCH: The Huffington Post wants to know about the campaign ads, town halls, robocalls, mailings and other election news happening where you live. Email us your tips, videos and photos at offthebus@huffingtonpost.com.

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House Approves Major Overhaul Of U.S. Patent System

June 24, 2011

WASHINGTON — The House on Thursday voted to rewrite 60-year-old patent law to give inventors a better shot of obtaining patents in a timely manner and bringing the U.S. patent system in line with those of other industrialized nations. The legislation also takes steps to help the underfunded U.S. Patent and Trademark Office deal with a backlog that forces inventors to wait three years to get a decision on patent applications and has swamped the agency with some 1.2 million pending applications. The vote was 304-117, closer than the 95-5 vote by which a similar bill cleared the Senate in March. The two chambers still have to reconcile differences, but the bill has the advantage of being supported by the White House, major business groups, and leaders from both parties who have hailed it as a major jobs-creating measure. “This legislation modernizes our patent system to help create private-sector jobs and keep America on the leading edge of innovation,” said House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio. Before getting to a final vote, House supporters had to overcome challenges from opponents who charged that the legislation violated the Constitution and would make it more difficult for the small-scale inventor to prevail in disputes with large corporations. There was also strong opposition to a provision that allows financial institutions to challenge patents issued on business methods, such as ways to process checks. The opponents said the provision amounted to a bailout for banks, but Rep. Robert Goodlatte, R-Va., chairman of the Judiciary intellectual property subcommittee said business method patents, a fairly recent phenomenon, were “a fundamental flaw in the system that is costing consumers millions each year.” An amendment to remove the section concerning the business method patents was defeated 262-158. The most significant change brought about by the bill would put the United States under the same first-inventor-to-file system for patent applications used by Europe and Japan. Currently the country operates on a first-to-invent system that House Judiciary Committee Chairman Lamar Smith, R-Texas, said is “outdated and dragged down by frivolous lawsuits and uncertainty regarding patent ownership.” A chief opponent of the change, former Judiciary Committee Chairman John Conyers, D-Mich., said it would “permit the Patent and Trademark Office to award a patent to the first person who can win a race to the patent office regardless of who is the actual inventor.” But Smith said that for a $110 fee an inventor can file a provisional application that gives him a year to prepare for his formal application. He said it can cost $5 million for legitimate inventors to defend themselves against unwarranted lawsuits. The Senate and House will also have to work out differences on another major element of the bill, how to fund the patent office. The Senate ensures that the PTO can keep all the user fees it collects. Since 1992, the office has lost nearly $1 billion because it gets less from Congress than the fees it collects, which go to the general Treasury. This is a major factor in the backlog in processing applications. The House, however, acceded to Appropriations and Budget committee demands that Congress retain control over the PTO’s purse strings. As a compromise it was agreed to set up a reserve fund for fees collected that exceed what Congress allots to the PTO in a given year. An attempt to reverse this decision was defeated 283-140. The chief Senate sponsor of the bill, Judiciary Committee Chairman Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., and the White House said they continued to support the bill despite the House change in the office’s revenue stream. Among supporters of the legislation – some with specific concerns – are IBM; the U.S. Coalition for 21st Century Patent Reform, which represents major manufacturers and pharmaceutical companies; and the Coalition for Patent Fairness, which represents Apple, Dell, Google and other high-tech companies. Opposition came mainly from groups representing independent inventors, small businesses and academics. The legislation sets up a process for third parties to submit information regarding a patent application and establishes a new administrative framework for post-grant reviews that allows disputes involving patent quality and scope to be settled, ideally without lawsuits.

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Minnesota Government Shutdown Looms As Judge Weighs Budget Dispute

June 24, 2011

ST. PAUL, Minn. — The budget spat between Minnesota’s Democratic Gov. Mark Dayton and Republican state lawmakers moved from the Capitol to a courtroom Thursday, with a judge warning that the stalemate threatens a state constitutional crisis with a government shutdown a week away. Ramsey County Chief Judge Kathleen Gearin urged the two sides to keep trying to resolve their differences over raising taxes and cutting spending. “It feels a little bit something almost like a game of chicken,” Gearin said. The failure to agree on a budget creates “far more sweeping a crisis and more significant an issue than ever before,” Gearin said, calling it “a constitutional disagreement of extreme importance.” Most of Minnesota’s state government functions would be suspended starting July 1 if the governor and Legislature don’t enact a new two-year budget. It would be the state’s second shutdown in six years, and the closure would be far more extensive than the partial shutdown in 2005. Budget talks have stagnated for weeks. Dayton wants to raise new taxes while Republicans seek a definite ceiling on state spending. Gearin denied Dayton’s request to order the talks into mediation, and ruled against four GOP senators who argued that court involvement in the budget process would violate the constitutional separation of powers. Gearin is charged with sorting out conflicting views between Dayton and his fellow Democrat, Attorney General Lori Swanson, over how to determine which state services are critical to preserving public health and safety and should be continued during a shutdown. Swanson is asking that the court appoint a retired judge as referee empowered with making those decisions. “We ask you and this court to step in and protect the constitutional rights of the people of Minnesota,” Swanson said. But Dayton’s attorney David Lillehaug said that would be an unconstitutional step for the courts and that only the governor can decide what state funding would continue in a shutdown. “If July 1 arrives, and there is no state appropriation, the governor will take action,” Lillehaug said. “He will not allow the prisons to be opened. He will not allow sex offenders to be released from supervision. He will not allow the State Patrol to be pulled over to the side of the road. He will not allow veterans homes to close.” Gearin also heard appeals from a parade of attorneys representing interests ranging from subsidized health care patients to highway contracts to local government officials to keep money flowing to their groups during a shutdown. Hennepin County Attorney Mike Freeman argued that his county, the state’s largest, needs the $1 million a day in federal Medicaid dollars that get passed through the state for hospitals and medical programs. “We need word from this court that in a shutdown, they will continue,” he said. Former Attorney General Mike Hatch spoke about a 24-year-old Medicaid patient named Jenny Taylor, who got notice last week with almost 600,000 others that a shutdown could interrupt state-subsidized health care coverage. “She is the face of what government is about,” Hatch said. “Jenny is what we are talking about here today.” As the pleas wore on, Gearin showed frustration. “At some point, people have to realize it’s not the court’s role to make everything better,” she said. Gearin repeatedly warned of the danger of the court intervening in a budget process the constitution reserves for the executive and legislative branches. The judge said the legal proceedings that would spring forth from a shutdown would present a “complex conundrum” and compared the likely fallout to the Charles Dickens novel “Bleak House,” the dark tale of a lawsuit that lasted for decades. She implored attorneys for Dayton and the House and Senate to urge their bosses to dedicate themselves anew to settling the budget dispute before July 1. “The people want them to keep talking,” Gearin said. “Please, keep talking.” Still, she quickly declined Dayton’s request to appoint a mediator to help him and Republicans reach a budget deal. Gearin said she concluded that the executive and legislative branches have the “institutional competency” to resolve the standoff. As the court hearing unfolded, however, the two sides still bickered a few blocks away at the Capitol – over whether negotiations tentatively scheduled for Friday and Saturday would include the leaders of Democratic legislative minorities. Gearin said she probably wouldn’t rule until next week on Swanson’s request for a shutdown referee. “It would be far better if this were resolved by the legislative and executive branches getting together,” she said. ___ Associated Press writer Martiga Lohn contributed to this report.

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Larry Magid: Report: Twitter to Place Ads in Timeline

June 24, 2011

The Financial Times is reporting that Twitter will include advertisements in users’ message streams “according to people with direct knowledge of its plans.” The newspaper’s site also said that Twitter is likely to launch a Groupon-like service to provide discount offers to Twitter users. Twitter already offers “promoted Tweets” which are placed “at the top of some Twitter.com search results pages,” according to a Twitter help page . The Tweets are labeled as “promoted” but “in every other respect they exist initially as regular Tweets and are organically sent to the timelines of their followers.” The difference between what the company now offers and what it is reportedly considering is that the new ads would be part of the user’s regular Twitter stream among the Tweets of the people or organizations users follow. In March Twitter introduced a “QuickBar” in its iPhone app which displayed ads, but withdrew it a few weeks later after user complaints . Likely to generate complaints I certainly respect Twitter’s need to sell advertising. Without ads, the company couldn’t stay in business — unless it started charging people to send and read Tweets which isn’t going to happen. But the question is whether they can come up with an advertising strategy that isn’t intrusive. Google, for example, has proven that it’s possible to put clearly labeled ads on the side or above search results and on the side of a user’s Gmail page without actually interrupting what the user is doing, That type of creative placement of ads has earned Google plenty of money without alienating its user-base. If Twitter winds up interrupting users with ads, the reaction will be loud, swift and not pretty. I don’t see any downside to a Groupon-like discount program as long as it’s something people subscribe to or see outside of their regular Twitter stream.

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  Wall Street close the week in red, on concern Greece’s debt crisis will deepen…

June 24, 2011

  Wall Street close the week in red, on concern Greece’s debt crisis will deepen…

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US Dollar Appeal and Forecast Improve as QE2 Comes to An End

June 24, 2011

US Dollar Appeal and Forecast Improve as QE2 Comes to An End

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EURUSD, S&P 500, Gold and Oil Ready for Major Reversal

June 24, 2011

EURUSD, S&P 500, Gold and Oil Ready for Major Reversal

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CHF/JPY Ascending Channel Provides Swing Trading Opportunity

June 24, 2011

CHF/JPY Ascending Channel Provides Swing Trading Opportunity

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How Do I Know If a Stop Is Too Big?

June 24, 2011

How Do I Know If a Stop Is Too Big?

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Ichimoku Trading Wins this Week’s Be Your Own Analyst Contest

June 24, 2011

Ichimoku Trading Wins this Week’s Be Your Own Analyst Contest

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Guest Commentary: Fed Benefits from Global Fears

June 24, 2011

Guest Commentary: Fed Benefits from Global Fears

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Euro 2011 Following Euro 2008 Script – Low on Monday?

June 24, 2011

Euro 2011 Following Euro 2008 Script – Low on Monday?

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Euro’s Health Hinges on Greek Parliamentary Vote

June 24, 2011

Euro’s Health Hinges on Greek Parliamentary Vote

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Kiwi Direction Continues to Revolve Around Risk-Appetite

June 24, 2011

Kiwi Direction Continues to Revolve Around Risk-Appetite

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Canadian Dollar At Risk on Price Data, Global Shift to Risk Aversion

June 24, 2011

Canadian Dollar At Risk on Price Data, Global Shift to Risk Aversion

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US Dollar Advance to Continue on Weaker Stocks, Market Fears

June 24, 2011

US Dollar Advance to Continue on Weaker Stocks, Market Fears

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British Pound To Threaten Rebound From January As Growth Falters

June 24, 2011

British Pound To Threaten Rebound From January As Growth Falters

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Australian Dollar At Risk Of Bearish Breakout

June 24, 2011

Australian Dollar At Risk Of Bearish Breakout

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Japanese Yen Likely to be Buffeted by Slew of Economic Data Next Week

June 24, 2011

Japanese Yen Likely to be Buffeted by Slew of Economic Data Next Week

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Will Euro Traders be Pacified by Possible Short-Term Greece Fixes?

June 24, 2011

Will Euro Traders be Pacified by Possible Short-Term Greece Fixes?

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Greek Vote on Tuesday Highlights an Otherwise Relatively Quiet Week

June 24, 2011

Greek Vote on Tuesday Highlights an Otherwise Relatively Quiet Week

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