August 2011

Standard & Poor’s Slams Google For Motorola Deal

August 16, 2011

NEW YORK — Standard & Poor’s is saying investors should sell Google’s stock because it believes the search leader’s decision to buy Motorola Mobility increases the risk to the company and its shares. Google Inc. said Monday it will pay $12.5 billion for Motorola Mobility, a major maker of phones using Google’s Android mobile software. The deal includes mobile patents that could help Google defend itself against rivals. S&P said Tuesday that while the acquisition would include a patent trove, that might not be enough to keep Google’s Android mobile operating software from encountering intellectual-property issues. It downgraded its rating on Google’s shares to “Sell” from “Buy.” Further, the ratings service says the transaction will hurt Google’s growth, margins and balance sheet. S&P cut its price target for Google’s stock by $200 to $500. Google shares fell along with the overall market Tuesday, slipping $18.23, or 3.3 percent, to finish trading at $539.

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Ken Blackwell: What? Another Department of Jobs?

August 16, 2011

Floundering. Flopping around like a fish on deck. That’s the best description of the Obama administration this summer. The president’s now on a bus tour of the Heartland. Next, he’s slated to go to Martha’s Vineyard for a well-earned vacation. He’s done about all the damage he can do for one summer, so let’s give him a break. The media shows the president stepping smartly off Air Force One or briskly scaling the stairway up to Air Force One. It’s intended to impress us and it does impress. Until you recall that that’s $187,000 an hour to fuel and fly the jumbo jet, all added to our national debt. Earlier this month, President Obama announced a new program for returning veterans. In his “Weekly Radio Address,” he called it “a reverse boot camp.” A what? What does that mean? Boot camp, as everyone knows, is designed to whip you into shape, to get you ready for the rigors of military service. So, what’s a reverse boot camp? To reverse that process would do what? Get you out of shape? Make you less prepared for your role? Leave you a couch potato? It cannot mean wear your boots in reverse. Who writes this stuff, anyway? The president’s speechwriter makes $172,200 a year. Maybe we could start trimming the deficit there. Barack Obama is on record saying he’s a better speechwriter than his speechwriters. If this is what that speechwriter comes up with, Mr. Obama could hardly do worse. Now making the rounds is this howler: The president is planning to unveil his new jobs proposals — in September. Why wait until after Labor Day? Wouldn’t it be neat to think, as we approach Labor Day, that the administration had a forward-looking plan in place right now? I think the 25 million unemployed or underemployed Americans would be especially excited to hear of a plan before they have to shell out for the kids’ new school shoes. One of the trial balloons currently being floated is that the president will announce a new Department of Jobs. This has got to be a joke. Here’s a paragraph on the U.S. Department of Labor. It details the history of this federal agency , now approaching its one hundredth year of existence: The organic act establishing the Department of Labor was signed on March 4, 1913, by a reluctant President William Howard Taft, the defeated and departing incumbent, just hours before Woodrow Wilson took office. A Federal Department of Labor was the direct product of a half-century campaign by organized labor for a “Voice in the Cabinet,” and an indirect product of the Progressive Movement. In the words of the organic act, the Department’s purpose is “to foster, promote and develop the welfare of working people, to improve their working conditions, and to enhance their opportunities for profitable employment.” Reads pretty much like a Jobs Department to me. Has anyone talked to Labor Sec. Hilda Solis about any new “Jobs Department?” What is she supposed to do, how is she supposed to labor, if we have another Jobs Department? Then, of course, we have the U.S. Commerce Department. The Mission Statement of this department makes it sound like it, too, is a Jobs Department. The U.S. Department of Commerce promotes job creation, economic growth, sustainable development and improved standards of living for all Americans by working in partnership with businesses, universities, communities and our nation’s workers. Reading these official statements — cranked out by people whose salaries we all pay — reminds us of Ronald Reagan’s famous line. The closest thing to eternal life we will see on this earth is a government program. If the function of the U.S. Secretary of Commerce is to promote job creation and economic growth, it sure seems that — how can I say this charitably? — this distinguished public servant has been falling down on the job of late. Like the last two and a half years. If I were Mr. Obama’s Commerce Secretary, I’d want to get out of town, and fast. In fact, that’s exactly what Sec. Gary Locke did. Having done such yeoman’s work in promoting job creation and economic growth here, Gary Locke was recently sworn in as our Ambassador to China . Now, there’s a jobs plan! If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em. Ambassador Locke can now observe job creation and economic growth from a unique vantage point: Beijing. As he unpacks in China’s Forbidden City, I suggest that Amb. Locke enter into meaningful dialog with the Chinese about U.S. exports. Maybe he can persuade them to buy more American flounder. We have entirely too much American floundering here and on Martha’s Vineyard.

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Global conditions support Australia’s Bank to leave rates steady 

August 16, 2011

The RBA released its minutes concerning the August’s meeting when monetary policy makers decided to keep the benchmark interest rates steady at 4.75%. The bank sees that information about earlier …

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Murchison Metals Limited (ASX:MMX): Environmental Protection Authority of Western Australia Recommends Approval for Jack Hills Expansion Project

August 16, 2011

http://www.abnnewswire.net/rss2/menafn/abn_menafn_en.asp Murchison Metals Limited (ASX:MMX) (PINK:MUMTF) advises that the Environmental Protection Authority of Western Australia (“EPA”) has …

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Asian Activities Report for August 16, 2011: Insurance Australia Group (ASX:IAG) Makes Strategic Investment in a Chinese General Insurer

August 16, 2011

http://www.abnnewswire.net/rss2/menafn/abn_menafn_en.asp Insurance Australia Group Limited (ASX:IAG) has agreed to acquire a 20% strategic interest in a general insurer in China, Bohai Property …

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New York- Google to buy Motorola Mobility for $12.5 billion

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Arab News) Setting its sights on rival Apple, Google announced its biggest deal ever, a $12.5 billion cash acquisition of mobile phone maker Motorola Mobility Holdings. Google’s biggest …

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Gold lures more investors

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Gold is luring investors again, according to AP. Prices for the precious metal are rebounding after easing off a high just above $1,800 an ounce during last week’s …

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US stocks rise after USD19 billion acquisition fury

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) U.S. stocks have closed higher for the third straight day after a $19 billion buying spree by corporations, according to AP. The Dow Jones industrial average is up …

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Oil up almost USD2 as euro optimism lifts market

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Oil rose almost $2 a barrel on Monday, supported by optimism that European leaders will come up with solutions to the region’s debt crisis and by broader gains in …

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ECB buys 22 billion euros of government bonds

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) The European Central Bank (ECB) announced it bought up Monday a massive 22 billion euros’ (31.5 billion dollars) worth of bonds issued by the most highly indebted …

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China Gas Consumption Up 24.50%

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Qatar News Agency) China’s natural gas consumption hit a five-month high of 10.3 billion cubic meters in July, which was also 24.5% more than last year, according to the latest figures …

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Google buys Motorola’s mobile phone unit

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Internet search engine concern Google has reached agreement to purchase the mobile phone division of the Motorola company for 12.5 billion dollars, dpa quoted the two …

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Foreign Investors Withdraw Massively from S. Korea’s Stock Market

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Qatar News Agency) Foreign investors have been pulling out money en mass from South Korea”s securities market this month amid deepening worries over fiscal debt in Europe and the United …

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EU countries must restructure economies: WB

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) World Bank President, Robert Zoellick, said that since the international economy started to enter into an uncertainty phase, EU countries should restructure their economies in order to …

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Qantas Airways to cut 1,000 jobs

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) Qantas Airways’ Ltd. CEO, Alan Joyce, said that as part of the carrier’s plan to adjust its global operations, the company would slash around 1,000 jobs, reported Associated Press. Joyce …

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Pink-slipped Canadian tech workers win lottery

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Jordan Times) A group of Canadian technology workers won a CAN$7 million ($7.1 million) lottery this week on the same day they lost their jobs at an Ottawa manufacturing plant. The 18 …

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UK- Footsie up as fears ease

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Kuwait News Agency (KUNA)) The FTSE 100 Index closed ahead tonight as memories of last week’s turbulent trading began to fade. London’s leading share index was 30.5 points higher at 5350.6 …

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Obama says Warren Buffett is right about taxes

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Small-town Americans probably don’t make as much money as Warren Buffett, but they pay more of their income in taxes, President Barack Obama said on Monday, citing the …

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USA- Google’s Motorola deal reshuffles the wireless pack

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Google’s out-of-the-blue, 12.5-billion-dollar purchase of Motorola Mobility took the tech world by surprise, according to dpa. Monday’s announcement underlined how …

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Sean McManus: The Business of Life

August 16, 2011

In the spring of 2010, Clayton Christensen, a professor at Harvard Business School, delivered an unorthodox speech to the graduating class. The students who invited him were already familiar with his concept of “disruptive innovation”, the term he has famously used to describe simple technologies that overthrow entire industries. But these students wanted something more. Having just emerged from the forced introspection of the Great Recession, they wanted Christensen to reveal the meaning of life. One of the world’s leading business strategists, Christensen has devoted his life’s work to understanding why great companies fail. Now he was being asked to explain why great people fail. To a packed campus auditorium, Christensen described the disturbing experience of returning to HBS, his alma mater, for class reunions. “By the 20th, and especially the 25th reunion, it was just shocking what a huge portion of my classmates came back here or didn’t come back because they were divorced or their children were being raised on the other coast, totally alienated from them,” he lamented. “And they came back, those who came, with a lot of money, but a lot of them were broken people.” Christensen made a name for himself in the late nineties with The Innovator’s Dilemma , a book that explains his theory of disruptive innovation — the process through which a simple new product or service upends established industries. Digital photography, mobile phones and online shopping are all examples of disruptive innovations. The prospect of the next disruptive start-up — the next Netflix or iTunes — tends to fill otherwise healthy corporations with dread. Today, many of these new products and processes are now coming from emerging markets, or from individuals exploiting a business climate where barriers to entry in many industries are remarkably low. “These days, market futurists and business wonks rarely have a meaningful economics discussion without using the term ‘disruptive technology,’” observed McKay Coppins in Newsweek magazine last year. Indeed, Christensen has applied his theories widely — to business management, education and health care. He wants organizations to understand that designing new products and business models that are good enough to meet the needs of large and different market segments is often a better strategy than making stuff that is more complicated or more expensive. Andy Grove, the former Chairman of Intel, credits Christensen with inspiring the launch the low-cost Celeron processor. As Grove said at the time, “If we lose the low end today, we’ll lose the high end tomorrow.” At the same time, Christensen has attracted a cult following who believe that his theories can be applied to all aspects of life. Two years ago, Craig Hatkoff, a real-estate investor and author, launched the Disruptive Innovation Awards at The Tribeca Film Festival, which he co-founded. Video from the ceremony shows Christensen rubbing shoulders, a bit uneasily, with Robert De Niro. Hatkoff says disruptive innovation is a philosophy that resonates far beyond business strategy. He and Irwin Kula, a rabbi and public intellectual, are working on a book that applies Christensen’s theories to religion and spirituality. At Harvard, Christensen teaches a course called ” Building and sustaining a successful enterprise ,” which uses case studies to consider different management approaches. Each semester, after months of rigorous examination of his key business theories, he devotes his final class to the business of life. For this, he asks his students to consider three big questions: How can I be sure that I’ll be happy in my career? How can I be sure that my relationship with my spouse and my family are an enduring source of happiness? And how can I be sure I’ll stay out of jail? This last question is not a joke. Christensen notes that of his 32 fellow Rhodes Scholar classmates, two spent time in prison. Enron’s Jeff Skilling was his classmate at HBS. Students are meant to consider these questions in the context of a semester dedicated to strategic decision-making. In every case, Christensen says, his students uncover profound insights that apply to their personal lives. The question of how to live a meaningful life took on special urgency for Christensen when, in 2009, he was diagnosed with follicular lymphoma, a type of cancer. The prognosis for patients tends to be bleak, but he was able to return to work five months later. A lifelong member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints and a former missionary in South Korea, Christensen started thinking more about how he could use his own life as a case study — to help reveal lessons for fulfillment beyond the billions of dollars in capital generated by the successful application of disruptive innovation. In his last class, he talked about the nobility of management, the problem with money, and the necessity of finding a clear life’s purpose. For Christensen’s students, who matriculated the same month as the collapse of Lehman Brothers, these ideas were exceptionally powerful. “It’s the one class we would still remember at our 50th reunion,” says Christina Wallace, a student who asked the administration to host a special lecture based on this last class, for the entire class of 2010. Christensen’s lecture underscored the philosophical recalibration that was happening in business schools around the world. “People who have a high need for achievement have this unconscious propensity to under invest in their families and over invest in their careers,” Christensen said. “And I just want to let you know having experienced it in my life and having watched it with my classmates and with thousands of students, that the most enduring and deep source of happiness and satisfaction in your lives will come from intimate relationships that you cultivate with the members of your family and with your close friends.” Around the time of Christensen’s talk, Karen Dillon, editor of the Harvard Business Review , was interviewing graduating students about their expectations upon entering the job market and whether their views on happiness and success had changed since the financial crisis. “A lot of the kids were talking about Clay’s address, especially in the context of his illness”, she says. “So I asked him if we could turn it into an article.” The subsequent piece, ” How Will You Measure Your Life? ” spread like wildfire on the Web, becoming the most popular HBR article of 2010 in terms of traffic. Business blogs linked to it. David Brooks wrote about it in The New York Times . In the article, Christensen used business school language to communicate his ideas about life, family, and priorities — Create a strategy, allocate your resources, create a culture, avoid the “marginal costs” mistake, remember the importance of humility, choose the right yardstick. Christensen’s notions about how to live a meaningful life are hardly disruptive. In the marketplace of ideas, they are the established incumbents that have been fending off disruptive innovators for millennia. In a newly humbled economy searching for new definitions of value, they have renewed relevance.

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Jared Bernstein: Rick Perry, Ben Bernanke, and the Middle Class

August 16, 2011

Just when you thought our politics couldn’t get any weirder, I think Texas Governor Rick Perry just threatened to beat up Ben Bernanke for suggesting another round of quantitative easing. Responding to a question about the Federal Reserve at a campaign event in Cedar Rapids, Perry said: “If this guy prints more money between now and the election, I don’t know what y’all would do to him in Iowa, but we would treat him pretty ugly down in Texas. I wish I was making this stuff up, folks… I really do… but I’m not. (Does this mean the Fed research team needs to add a new variable into their impact models?… i.e., the estimate of the impact of monetary easing on long-term rates, conditional on the Chairman getting a fat lip.) Perhaps Gov. Perry is just looking over his shoulder at Ron Paul, who’s always bashing the Fed (and was a close second to Rep. Bachmann in the Iowa poll), but let’s take a look at the economics in play here. Quantitative easing (QE) is when the Fed “prints money” — really just bytes in Fed and Treasury electronic bank accounts — to buy longer term bonds, either Treasuries or mortgage bonds with the goal of lowering interest rates and stimulating more economic activity. They’ve done two rounds so far and estimates suggest they lowered long term interest rates by somewhere between 60 basis points (0.60 of a percentage point) to more than 1%. (Scholars of intermediate macro: they’re pushing out the LM curve!) Perry went on to complain about “devaluing the dollar in your pocket” based on the notion that if you’re printing money, you’re creating inflation. And as I and others — most notably Ken Rogoff — have argued recently, that would help right now. First off, faster inflation lowers the real interest rate — that’s the nominal rate minus inflation. So if a business is thinking of building a new factory, and the interest rate on the loan it needs is 4% and inflation is 3%, then the real rate faced by the borrower is 1%. That’s especially germane right now with corporations sitting on fat cash reserves. A little more inflation in the system could nudge them off of the sidelines. More inflation also speeds up the ongoing deleveraging cycle by eroding the real value of households’ debt burdens. That said, a commenter the other day raised a good question about this: how can I, as someone who actively worries about real wage losses, advocate higher inflation, which all else equal, means lower real wages? It’s the “all else equal” part — lower real rates and more deleveraging means faster growth and lower unemployment, which itself should help boost job and wage growth. Here’s the punchline of all this — and be clear that I’m not talking about very high inflation, which hurts everyone. I have no idea if this is where Gov. Perry is coming from, but what’s really behind conservatives’ view on this issue is that the wealthy get hurt a lot more by inflation than by unemployment, and visa-versa for the middle class. (Remember, I’m talking 2-4% inflation here, nothing higher.) For those living off of capital (versus labor) income, inflation erodes their assets, their wealth, their capital. So lower real interest rates, faster growth, lower unemployment ain’t what gets them out of bed in the morning. That’s also why the editorial page of the WSJ, for example, permanently campaigns against anything that would “weaken” the dollar. Why just last night, I was on the Kudlow show arguing against someone who wanted us back on a the gold standard (!!), the natural conclusion of sentiments like Gov Perry’s, and a fine way to cut the Fed off at the knees and ensure deflation at a time like this. And, of course, the other “punch”line: Ben, you might want to let things settle down a bit before you mosey on down to Texas. This post originally appeared at Jared Bernstein’s On The Economy blog.

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Peter Navarro and Greg Autry: Aircraft Carrier? What Aircraft Carrier? Oh, That Aircraft Carrier!

August 16, 2011

China’s first aircraft carrier recently slipped from its berth with little fan fare. The start of sea trials of the 1,000 foot long flattop gained little media attention in an America that is, as usual, too caught up in its own angst to notice external threats. While financial markets boiled, the ship formerly known as the Varyag and rumored to have been rechristened “Shi Lang” sailed out of Dalian harbor to test its battle systems and scare the hell of out China’s neighbors. The story behind this boat is both entertaining and highly instructive in the ways of Chinese state capitalism and its political and business norms. The Varyag was originally intended to be the pride of the Soviet fleet and was nearly complete when the collapse of that other evil empire resulted in its abandonment at a Black Sea berth. In 1998, she was auctioned off by the Ukrainian government to a subsidiary of a Hong Kong front company, secretly controlled by the Chinese military. Although China assured the world that the carrier would become a floating casino in Macau, America’s NATO ally, Turkey originally blocked the lethal vessel’s transit through the Bosphorus and the giant ship was towed in circles for more than a year. This provoked Yang Wenchang, the Chinese deputy foreign minister and other high level Chinese government officials to fly to Ankara with a reported $360 million “economic aid package” and a profitable tourism deal which secured the Varyag’s China passage. The whole project was a rather stupendous investment of capital and political muscle into what China continued to assert was a casino project. Of course, the warship never went anywhere near Maccau, and instead was sent directly to a special dock in China’s Dalian harbor where it began years of extensive retrofitting with the installation of a new propulsion system, flight decks, and electronics systems. While sticking to the casino story, China negotiated to purchase a number of Russian Sukhoi, SU-33 carrier ready aircraft — pretty odd investment for a nation with no carrier. Then, in its typical fashion, Beijing backstabbed its partner in state capitalism by committing to only a couple of planes in order to copy their design. When China announced the “new” J-15 carrier-capable fighter last year, Pravda reported , “Russia officially notified China of the violation of international agreements and promised to launch legal proceedings to defend its intellectual property.” This lack of honor among thieves would be funny if the subject wasn’t so deadly serious. So when the Communist Party’s puppet news agency, Xinhua now reports that “the aircraft carrier is for peaceful purposes only” we are expected to believe that China went through all that expensive subterfuge in order to conduct humanitarian missions. The fighter jets on its deck must be for entertaining folks at traveling air shows, rather than say, sinking Vietnamese ships in the disputed oil and gas fields of the South China Sea, attacking Japanese cutters defending the Senkaku islands, or providing air cover for the invasion of Taiwan. The entire episode offers a very public demonstration the duplicity of China’s ruling class and it should serve as a fair warning to those who continue to naïvely mistake its intentions and to underestimate its resolve to achieve regional military dominance and control over resource. It also provides a textbook lesson in Communist Party ethics for Western CEOs and investors who are betting their future at China’s casino of state capitalism.

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The Next Berkshire Hathaway?

August 16, 2011

In a four-page letter, Christopher P. Mittleman, the chief investment officer at a small New York money manager, likens the embattled hedge fund billionaire Philip A. Falcone to Warren E. Buffett.

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US transit agency under fire over wireless shutoff

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) A growing number of free speech advocates criticized a San Francisco Bay area transit agency on Monday, saying its decision to cut off wireless service in an effort to …

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Argentine leader: US and Europe hit poor hardest

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) President Cristina Fernandez said Monday that keeping Argentina’s economy growing despite the global consumption slowdown is her top priority as she looks forward to …

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India’s July inflation declines to 9.22%

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) India’s Ministry of Commerce and Industry said that last month, the country’s inflation went down from 9.44 percent in June to 9.22 percent, reported Xinhua News. The ministry added that …

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China’s Bright Food buys 75% of Manassen

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) China’s Bright Food Group Co Ltd’s spokesman, Pan Jianjun, said that the leading food manufacturer agreed to pay about USD416 million for a 75 percent stake in the Australian food …

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Iran inks USD1.5b oil contract with local companies

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) Iran’s Oil Ministry said that in order for the country to develop the third phase of its Darkhovin oil field, the ministry signed a USD1.5 billion contract with a group of Iranian …

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ISO estimates world sugar surplus to hit 4m tons

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) The International Sugar Organization’s (ISO) executive director, Peter Baron, said that the world sugar surplus is estimated around 4 million tons in the crop year to September 2012, above …

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USA- Credit card late payments down 0.60% in Q2

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) Credit reporting agency TransUnion’s global chief scientist, Chet Wiermanski, said that the national credit card rate for late payments fell to 0.60 percent during the second quarter of the …

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Indonesia hopes to earn $ 10bn from rubber exports

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Emirates News Agency (WAM)) Indonesia hopes to earn at least US$10 billion from the exports of natural rubber this year based on the present average price. The world’s second largest …

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German Q2 GDP up 0.1%

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) German’s Federal Statistics Office said that in the second quarter, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew only 0.1 percent from the first quarter’s 1.3 percent, reported …

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Lagarde recommends measures to support growth

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) managing director, Christine Lagarde, said that policy makers need to impose measures to support economic growth in the short term as they implement …

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Brazil’s Petrobras Q2 profit up 32%

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN) Petroleo Brasileiro’s (Petrobras) SA CFO, Almir Barbassa, said that due to increasing drilling operations in the Americas, the company’s second quarter profit surged 32 percent to USD6.86 …

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ISRAEL- High price to pay

August 16, 2011

(MENAFN – Jordan Times) The demonstration fever seems to have spread to Israel where hundreds of thousands took to the streets, in Tel Aviv and other cities, to protest the skyrocketing cost of …

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WATCH: Rick Perry Goes After Fed Chairman

August 16, 2011

Texas Governor Rick Perry, who recently announced that he is running for president in 2012, had some harsh words for Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Monday. ThinkProgress has video of Perry in Iowa explaining that if Bernanke “prints more money between now and the election, I don’t know what y’all would do to him in Iowa, but we would treat him pretty ugly down in Texas.” Perry went on to say that if Bernanke printed more money, the act would be “almost treasonous in my opinion.” ABC News has more on Perry’s comments: He added, “We’ve already tried this. All it’s going to be doing is devaluing the dollar in your pocket and we cannot afford that. We have to learn the lessons of the past three years that they’ve been devastating. The President of the United States has conducted an experiment on the American economy for almost the last three years, and it has gone tragically wrong and we need to send him a clear message in November of 2012 that new leadership is coming.” Perry, who officially entered the presidential race on Saturday, was responding to a question from a member of the audience at a backyard county Republican Party fundraiser here who asked him what he would do with the Federal Reserve. Politico reports that NYU economics professor Nouriel Roubini tweeted of Perry’s comments: “Perry’s Remarks on Bernanke are criminal. This Texan thug is making murder threats on the Fed Chairman.” Perry’s jump into the presidential contest has generated a fair amount of buzz. Former President Bill Clinton recently remarked that he was “tickled” to see Perry enter the race. WATCH PERRY’S COMMENTS BELOW ( via ThinkProgress ):

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Google’s Motorola Bid To Draw Antitrust Scrutiny

August 16, 2011

NEW YORK — A move by Google to acquire mobile phone manufacturer Motorola Mobility for $12.5 billion , announced early Monday, will likely draw sharp scrutiny from federal antitrust regulators already engaged in a probe of the search giant’s business practices, analysts said. Google’s Android smartphone operating system, introduced in 2007, has been adopted by dozens of handset manufacturers and now commands a dominant share of the smartphone market. The purchase of Motorola positions Google as a major player in handset manufacturing for the first time. “It will come under close scrutiny,” Brian White, a technology analyst at Ticonderoga Securities, said of the deal. “It won’t go through without a fight.” Federal regulators are expected to focus on whether Google’s control of both hardware and software in the smartphone market would give the company an unfair competitive advantage in areas like mobile Web search. The takeover could also allow Google to outmaneuver other handset manufacturers currently using the Android system. The Federal Trade Commission is currently investigating whether Google has used its dominance in Web search to unfairly or illegally promote its own online businesses at the expense of rivals. FTC investigators are also looking at whether Google pressured carriers of its Android system to give preference to the company’s other mobile products and freeze out competitors. Google acknowledged the existence of the probe in June. Google’s high profile could lead regulators to demand concessions before the deal is approved, said Clayton Moran, a senior technology analyst for The Benchmark Company. Such concessions could include close federal monitoring of the Android marketplace for several years after the deal closes. “The regulators could require a high level of ongoing monitoring,” Moran said. “Google can live with that.” In a press release announcing the purchase bid, Google executives pledged that the Android system would remain open source and noted that the takeover of Motorola was a defensive move by the company. In a conference call following the announcement, David Drummond, Google’s chief legal officer, said he was “quite confident” that the deal would ultimately be approved. “We believe, very strongly, it is a pro-competitive transaction,” Drummond said. The purchase of Motorola will give Google more than 20,000 current and pending mobile phone patents, helping to protect the company from burdensome technology-licensing fees and a growing number of patent lawsuits against its Android system. In a blog post earlier this month, Drummond accused rival technology firms of using “bogus patents” to wage an “organized, hostile campaign” against the Android system. Intense competition in the mobile handset market, and Google’s pledge to keep Android open source, make it unlikely that the government will stop the deal, analysts said. Google has also touted the fact that all five of the largest handset manufacturers currently using the operating system have endorsed the deal. “I think the government would be hard pressed to make the case that this is anti-competitive,” Moran said. Consumer advocates who have blasted other recent mergers in the telecommunications sector also held their fire on the Google-Motorola deal. “I’m going to view it with interest, but at first glance I’m not overwhelmingly concerned,” said Andrew Schwartzman, policy director for the Media Access Project, a public interest law firm and advocacy organization working in communications policy. Others were more concerned. Gary Reback, a prominent Silicon Valley antitrust litigator, who has become a vocal critic of Google’s business practices, said that the deal deserved to be closely scrutinized. “You’re dealing with a company that is already a monopolist, that is already under investigation for allegedly anti-competitive behavior,” he said. “By buying this, they get a huge additional dose of market power.” At the very least, the Motorola takeover bid provides federal regulators probing Google yet another reason to subject the company to scrutiny. “I think they’ll see this as a good excuse to probe deeper into Google,” White said. If the deal ultimately falls apart, it could cost Google dearly, however. Bloomberg News reported that the purchase agreement includes a “busted deal” fee, requiring Google to pay Motorola $2.5 billion if the takeover is unsuccessful. “Clearly, on Motorola Mobility’s side,” Reback said, “they’re worried about something.”

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Why Google Wants To Buy Motorola Mobility

August 15, 2011

Google’s decision to buy Motorola Mobility for $12.5 billion , the search giant’s largest acquisition to date, underscores a major shift in Google’s strategy, one that stands to transform the web giant from a company focused primarily on online services, such as search and email, to a hardware manufacturer building phones, tablets and other electronic devices. The expansion opens up a new front in Google’s head-to-head war with Apple, putting the two giants in direct competition with one another in several markets, as Google embraces Apple’s approach to gadgets by controlling all aspects of development. “Google is moving into hardware, which is very different from what they’ve done all along,” said Darren Hayes, a computer science professor at Pace University. “It’s very difficult for a company to be able to be a successful software and hardware company. It worked for Apple to be in the hardware and software industries, but not all companies have been that successful.” Google’s move toward Apple’s close management of software and hardware signals a departure from its previous path and suggests Google may be dissatisfied with its current software licensing arrangements, which have led to the proliferation, but also fragmentation, of its Android mobile operating system. Most directly, the deal marks a defensive maneuver in the high-stakes patent war that has pitted the world’s largest technology companies against one another in dozens of drawn-out intellectual property (IP) disputes. Google CEO Larry Page framed the acquisition as a means to protect Google’s Android mobile operating system against “anti-competitive threats” by shoring up his company’s arsenal of patents. Analysts agree that Motorola’s 17,000 patents and 7,500 patent applications are a major win for Google, which lacks a robust portfolio of wireless patents relative to more established players and has been vulnerable to lawsuits from the likes of Apple, Microsoft and Oracle. Over forty lawsuits have been filed against Android , and ongoing patent disputes threaten to impose licensing fees on the software Google has given away to phone manufacturers for free, potentially jeopardizing Android’s explosive growth. “Google is a relatively new entrant in the mobile space and does not have a lot of mobile IP, so anything it can do to build up its IP in the wireless space will help reduce potential risk to the company from lawsuits in the future,” said Ovum analyst Nick Dillon. “If you look at Motorola’s history and role in pioneering mobile communications from the very start, you’ll see they have some really key patents that will be useful to Google.” Yet patents are only part of the story, experts say. The acquisition suggests that Google sees itself as unable to adequately compete in the mobility market without its own handset manufacturer. Google’s bet is that having greater control over smartphone software and hardware will help it move beyond the desktop and beyond search. Owning Motorola will allow Google, more than ever before, to create mobile devices that satisfy the web giant’s vision for what cellphones and tablets should be able to do. A new breed of Motorola smartphones could be designed from the ground up to integrate Google products at every turn, from featuring the Google-plus social network to adding near field communication chips that allow cellphones to be substituted for credit cards via Google Wallet . Fundamentally, Motorola offers Google a bridge from the digital to the physical world, and with it, a means of gaining valuable information about its users, such as their locations or what applications they use the most. Though Google said that it will continue to license its Android software, its mobile strategy will cease being at the mercy of third-party handset manufacturers like HTC and Samsung. Instead, Google will able to dictate the price, distribution and features of its own line of devices. “Google no longer has to put its future in the hands of companies that deliver mediocre Android devices that damage the whole ecosytem,” explained Michael Gartenberg, an analyst with the research firm Gartner Group. “Apple’s success was built on controlling its own destiny and not relying on third parties to deliver its vision. Google is saying, “We’re going to deliver our vision as we see fit, much as Apple has.’” Google also stands to bolster its efforts to gain inroads into the living room by spreading to TVs. Google TV, which was unveiled lat year but was unable to gain much traction, may stand a better chance when paired with Motorola’s set-top box offerings. Until now, Google has been essentially hands off when it comes to hardware: it has offered its Android software to manufacturers at zero cost, without a having a say in the form of the phones Android will power. This disruptive and unorthodox strategy has allowed Google to gain enormous market share in very little time , overtaking Apple to claim 48 percent of the global smartphone market, according to Canalys . To some extent, quality has been sacrificed for quantity as Android has expanded to more than 150 million devices made by more than thirty different manufacturers . Google frequently updates its Android software, but app developers, manufacturers and carriers are not always able to keep up, resulting in a proliferation of different versions of the Android operating system offering a range of experiences for users. Depending on Google’s relationship with the handset manufacturer, or the manufacturer’s approach to upgrades, a consumer could purchase a smartphone running outdated software, straight out of the box. Not all Android apps perform equally on different versions of the software, an issue that has been a source of frustration for users and developers alike . Google’s new approach — controlling the smartphone experience from end-to-end — mirrors the vertical-integration strategy Apple has pursed with spectacular success, but one that has lately been a bust for the likes of Nokia and Research in Motion. Nokia, for example, recently ceded its top spot as the world’s largest smartphone vendor to Apple and announced it would retire its Symbian operating system in favor of Microsoft’s Windows Phone software . Google is staking billions on its ability to successfully control both the software and hardware components of its company’s devices — all while not alienating its partners, who have been instrumental in Android’s rise and with whom Google will directly compete once the Motorola acquisition is complete. “Google has had history of picking favorites, but it’s never directly competed with manufacturers,” said Ovum analyst Dillon. “Manufacturers have come out with statements of support. But what’s said in public in one thing, and what’s said behind closed doors is another.”

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Google Buys Motorola: The Patent Wars Ramp Up

August 15, 2011

Google’s purchase of smartphone maker Motorola Mobility for $12.5 billion on Monday marks the latest salvo in the software industry’s raging patent war — a pitched battle that threatens to have far-reaching consequences for American innovation. In buying the hardware company, Google made clear its desire to acquire the estimated 25,000 patents held by Motorola . Google CEO Larry Page characterized the defensive move as one that would “strengthe[n] Google’s patent portfolio, which will enable us to better protect Android from anti-competitive threats from Microsoft, Apple and other companies.” By gaining dominion over this trove of patents, Google will be better positioned to fend off lawsuits from competitors, including Apple and Microsoft . Both companies have launched several high-profile lawsuits over alleged copyright infringements by Google. Google, for its part, contends that these lawsuits are an attempt to levy a tax for the use of patented technology and, in turn, raise the prices of Android phones , which would make the product less competitive in the marketplace. According to some industry experts, patented technology is, in many cases, far from original — but simply by having access to a cache of patents, companies are in a better position to defend themselves against future lawsuits. Dan Ravicher, the executive director of the Public Patent Foundation , explained that in the tech sector, “There’s this notion that even if the Joneses are doing something crazy across the street, the popular perception is, ‘We should be doing it, too.’” And the patents themselves may be of questionable value. “There’s a patent bubble — a lot of speculation and bidding up,” Ravicher said. He brought up the $4.5 billion a consortium of companies including RIM, Microsoft and Apple paid last month to acquire 6,000 patent rights from software company Nortel “This reminds me of the housing bubble, the dot-com bubble,” he said. “Five years from now, people will realize that they have overbid.” Nonetheless, the market for patents has led to what some experts have dubbed an ” arms race ,” with rival companies stockpiling patents as insurance against litigation. “[The Motorola acquisition] is really about protecting the Android marketplace from these crazy patent lawsuits,” said James Bessen , an expert on innovation and patents and a lecturer at the Boston University School of Law. “It’s not like Google needed Motorola.” Patent litigation “tripled” after American patent law was changed in the mid-1990s to allow for a greater number of patents, Bessen said. Though he and Ravicher both pointed out that the biotech and pharmaceutical sectors have benefited from the increase in patents, the software industry has in large part been hurt by the change in regulations. This year, the industry is on track to have nearly 3,000 lawsuits. “In the tech sector, since the late ’90s, losses from litigation have been exceeding the benefits,” Bessen said, citing his 2008 study . And with Google’s latest move, the increase in patents shows little sign of slowing down. “There will only be more acquisitions based on patents,” Bessen said. “Back in the mid ’90s, you had Adobe and Oracle saying, ‘We don’t need patents.’ Then they got hit with lawsuits — and now they’re suing other people. It’s just this escalating arms race.” The endgame for the tech sector may be cross licensing deals, which Bessen described as “five year agreements by companies not to sue each other over patents in a particular field.” With more patents in its arsenal, Bessen explained that Google may be able to secure a better cross licensing deal with Apple or Microsoft. Yet if the patent battle continues unabated, there is always the threat that software companies will take their technology overseas — simply to avoid a thorny and litigious landscape in the United States. “With arms races, we can only have peace through a lot of fear,” Ravicher said.

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Californians Urged To Boycott Amazon For ‘Cheating’ The State

August 15, 2011

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — A coalition of nonprofit groups is calling on customers of Amazon.com to cancel their accounts unless the Internet retailer stops resisting a California law that requires more online retailers to charge a state sales tax. The nonprofits along with several state lawmakers Monday called on Amazon to “stop cheating California” by trying to repeal the law through a ballot referendum. Amazon’s opponents announced a Web campaign intended to organize opposition efforts and explain how customers can close their accounts. Amazon.com Inc. did not immediately respond to an email and a call for comment Monday. Lawmakers in June approved a measure to expand collection of California sales tax to more Internet retailers, estimating it would bring in at least $200 million a year. Amazon has spent $3 million fighting that law. ___ On the Web: http://www.ThinkBeforeYouClickCA.org

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Do Mean People Earn More?

August 15, 2011

When it comes to the bottom line, it’s better to be disagreeable in the workplace, according to a new study. The Wall Street Journal reports on research to be published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, which suggests that the more agreeable you are, the less income you’re likely to make. The difference is particularly significant for men. From the Wall Street Journal: The researchers examined “agreeableness” using self-reported survey data and found that men who measured below average on agreeableness earned about 18% more — or $9,772 more annually in their sample — than nicer guys. Ruder women, meanwhile, earned about 5% or $1,828 more than their agreeable counterparts. The study was based on data from 10,000 workers in a wide range of jobs, salaries and ages. The researchers found that men “earn a substantial premium” for being disagreeable while the same behavior has a negligible effect for women. The findings ring true across occupations. The reason for this, the study suggests, likely has to do with employers’ expectations for how men or women behave. The study also posits that more agreeable people may be less likely to assert themselves in salary negotiations. As TVNZ puts it , “It seems that nice guys do finish last and are also getting paid less.”

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USD/CHF Classical Technical Report 08.15

August 15, 2011

USD/CHF: The latest sharp reversal off of record lows just shy of 0.7000 is encouraging and could finally be starting to signal the formation for a major base. Weekly studies are also confirming …

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AUD/USD Classical Technical Report 08.15

August 15, 2011

AUD/USD: The latest violent bearish reversal off of post-float record highs is significant with the market now looking to carve out a major top. The recent acceleration and close below 1.0390 has …

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NZD/USD Classical Technical Report 08.15

August 15, 2011

NZD/USD: The latest violent bearish reversal off of post-float record highs is significant with the market now looking to carve out a major top. Next key support comes in by 0.7965, with a break …

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EUR/CHF Classical Technical Report 08.15

August 15, 2011

EUR/CHF: The latest sharp reversal off of record lows just shy of parity is encouraging and could finally be starting to signal the formation for a major base. Weekly studies are also confirming …

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Mohamed el-Erian: How to Restore Economic Leadership in America

August 15, 2011

It is another hot and humid Washington summer and, understandably, most politicians would rather be on holiday elsewhere. Moreover, with today’s technology, they can easily stay in touch while escaping the sweltering weather. But this is not a typical summer given the economic difficulties facing the nation. We need politicians to do more than stay in touch from afar. In such uncertain times, we look to our elected representatives (and their appointees) to lead, and do so in a visible manner. We expect them to instill confidence. And we want them to lead by example, especially when they talk of “shared sacrifices” and “joint responsibilities.” So, why are our politicians not returning to Washington? Some claim that, by staying away, they get a better feel for the situation “on the ground.” Indeed, after the awful and damaging debt ceiling debacle, members of Congress were encouraged to do so in order for them to hear directly from their constituencies – and thereby get a better understanding of the nation’s anger and disappointment. Others argue that an unscheduled return to Washington would be viewed as sign of desperation — thus causing more harm than good. While I understand both arguments, they sound weak given that the American economy is stuck in what economists call a negative feedback loop of deteriorating economic conditions, inadequate policy responses, and volatile markets. Indeed, elsewhere in the world where this situation is admittedly most extreme — Europe — politicians are returning to work. Tomorrow there will even be a Franco-German Summit in Paris; and it is the middle of August! I think the real reason for the hesitation has a lot to do with crude political cost-benefit calculations. Over the last few years, our economy has slipped further away from “first best” solutions. We are not in a world where problems have relatively costless solutions. Instead, we now live in the world of second and third best where most solutions involve costs and imperfections. As such, they are immediately open to political attack. Not surprisingly, in today’s uncertain economy too many politicians would rather react than lead; and they would rather criticize the ideas of others than put forward their own. America, as a nation, cannot afford for this situation to continue for long. Remember, we are now in the grips of a negative feedback loop. The longer the policy paralysis continues, the bigger the shortfalls in economic performance; and this bigger the shortfall, the more daunting the policy challenges. It may take too long for politicians to find their mojo. Too many are tempted to hold off decisions until the “national referendum” in the form of the next year’s presidential and congressional elections. In the meantime, an already worrisome economic situation will deteriorate further. An alternative is to change the national economic narrative and, thus, the political dynamics and dialogue. After all, ongoing global economic realignments require a reassessment of the big picture. Rather than endlessly argue on individual measures, let us instead take it from the very top. And do so in five steps: First, start with a specific destination for the economy defined by transparent metrics for growth, jobs, inflation, financial soundness and, importantly, the key social indicators. I suspect that most can agree on a formulation that is both desirable and feasible. Second, translate these objectives into clear priorities for lifting the major structural impediments to our economy. Again, I suspect that there would be broad-based accord on key sectors where simultaneous and coordinated actions are needed. (My list would include housing, the labor market, banks, infrastructure and public finances, as well as immediate steps to unleash productive energies.) Third, put in place a mechanism and quantifiable variables for high frequency assessment of both the implementation of structural reforms and overall progress towards the overall objectives. Fourth, get the executive and legislative branches to commit to this trio (medium-term objectives, major areas of structural reforms and process for mid-course corrections). In doing so, America would secure the political air cover that is so critical to the successful implementation of measures over a number of years. Finally, get the technocrats to work out the details and present them as a package for political review and approval. Their focus would be on both immediate measures and those to be implemented over a number of years. I suspect that this reformulated approach would offer greater prospects for economic improvement. Indeed it could be pursued by the newly formed Congressional super committee, working closely with the Administration. And, by encouraging the coordinated implementation of a package of measures rather than a series of ad hoc steps, it would provide for a whole that is greater the sums of the parts. Households and businesses will tell you that many seemingly difficult problems have been overcome through the revamping of the solution seeking approach. The US provides a potential case for this. After all, the problems facing the country are much less of an engineering challenge and much more of a political one. By altering the basis of the political discourse, we would stand a better change of making progress on the economics.

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Matt Cohen: Entrepreneurs Reveal the Secrets of Market Research (and Ice Cream)

August 15, 2011

Ben Cohen and Jerry Greenfield (better known the guys behind Ben & Jerry’s) have written a traditional business book. It’s called Ben & Jerry’s Double Dip: How to Run a Values Led Business and Make Money Too . As you’d expect, it delivers expert advice on socially responsible business practices… but I’m not going to talk about Double Dip . Instead, let’s take a quick look at another book they wrote. It’s a cookbook . And, where you least expect to find it, it serves up a quick lesson in market research. Ben & Jerry’s Homemade Ice Cream & Dessert Book has recipes for ice creams, sorbets, and even some baked goods. It also has an introduction where they tell the story of becoming entrepreneurs. According to Cohen, they ran into a major pothole on the road to becoming the brand you know and love. Pillsbury, the major food conglomerate that owned Haagen-Dazs, told Ben & Jerry’s distributor to stop carrying Ben & Jerry’s or else they would lose Haagen-Dazs. The fledgling ice cream company filed a lawsuit, but they knew they lacked the financial resources to fight Pillsbury’s legal team. They also attempted to “take the issue directly to the people.” One of the ways they did this was to set up an 800 number that people could call for more information about what Pillsbury was doing. They put the number directly onto the packaging for their pints. This simple idea was part of a public-relations campaign, but it ended up yielding market research. People called the hot-line, and Ben & Jerry noticed that most of the calls came between midnight and 2 a.m. That’s when Ben & Jerry’s really learned how their product was being consumed. There are two things that can be learned from this unintentional market research. First, sometimes you can learn a lot by asking an unexpected question. If you had been putting together a survey about ice cream, would your list of demographic and psychographic questions have included a question of when people eat ice cream? This is one of the reasons why it’s wise to start with preliminary anecdotal research before launching a full quantitative research project. The second take-away lesson is that sometimes the best market-research is free. If your business has a web presence, there is a wealth of data that can be used not just as a metric to judge the success of your marketing efforts, but also as a source of information about your customers. Do you have a customer relations department? The complaints that customers have aren’t just problems to be solved — they’re free market research. Now if you’ll excuse me, I have an appointment with a pint of Phish Food ice cream.

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For Defense Industry, Golden Age Is Over

August 15, 2011

NEW YORK (AP) — The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are winding down, Osama bin Laden is dead, and the federal government is deeply in debt. This spells the end of what was a golden decade for the defense industry. In the decade since the Sept. 11 attacks, the annual defense budget has more than doubled to $700 billion and annual defense industry profits have nearly quadrupled, approaching $25 billion last year. Now defense spending is poised to retreat, and so are industry profits. “We’re about to go into the downhill side of the roller coaster here,” said David Berteau, a defense industry analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Congress agreed last month to cut military spending by $350 billion over the next 10 years. The defense budget will automatically be cut by another $500 billion over that period if lawmakers fail to reach a deficit-cutting deal by November. Defense industry stocks have already begun to suffer; they are lagging the S&P 500 in recent months. During the last defense spending downturn, which lasted from 1985 to 1997, defense stocks underperformed the broader market by 33 percent, according to an analysis by RBC Capital Markets. The Sept. 11 attacks forced the world’s biggest and best-funded military to quickly retool itself. It needed to develop technologies, weapons and strategies to find and fight an elusive network of terrorists that seemed more sophisticated and dangerous than ever imagined. The U.S. spent $1.3 trillion in the ten years following the attacks chasing al-Qaida and fighting two wars. That was on top of baseline military spending in excess of $4 trillion. “After 9/11 the floodgates opened,” says Eric Hugel, a defense industry analyst at Stephens Inc. The defense budget grew from $316 billion in 2001 to $708 billion in 2011. Federal spending on homeland security, which includes everything from airport security to border control, also rose dramatically. Last year dozens of federal agencies, including the Department of Homeland Security, spent $70 billion on such programs, according to the Office of Management and Budget. That’s up from $37 billion in 2003, the first year after DHS was formed. All that spending was reflected in the soaring performance of the defense industry, led by the top five defense contractors: Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics and Raytheon. In 2001, revenues for U.S.-based defense contractors totaled $217 billion, according to data compiled by the analytics firm Capital IQ. By 2010 revenues had grown to $386 billion. Profits grew more than twice as fast over the same time period, from $6.7 billion to $24.8 billion. Contractors based abroad, such as BAE Systems, also flourished. BAE was the sixth biggest defense contractor in 2010, with $7.2 billion in U.S. military contracts. Stock prices of defense companies in the S&P 500 index have risen 67 percent since September 11. The index as a whole climbed 8 percent in that period. Military spending typically rises during wartime and falls during peacetime. But after Sept. 11, and as the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan evolved, it became clear the country needed to spend money on very different military technologies and strategies. Fighter jets, missile defenses and other Cold War-era systems designed to deal with the perceived threats of nation-states were less useful. The U.S. military had to increase its ability to find, recognize and track enemies that were scattered in many countries and dispersed among the civilian population. During the war in Iraq the military realized that it couldn’t protect troops from a low-tech, but potent threat: jerry-rigged road side bombs. In Afghanistan, commanders needed ways to find and root out insurgents that had tucked themselves in caves in hard-to-reach mountains. These challenges led to new hardware. Among the most important: _ Transport trucks that protect troops and supplies from roadside bombs. Mine-resistant, ambush-protected vehicles, or MRAPs, quickly became crucial equipment for the Army. Oshkosh Corp., a maker of these trucks, was the 9th biggest military contractor last year. Before 9/11, it wasn’t in the top 20. _ Identification tools. Soldiers now carry small portable devices that identify a person by scanning fingerprints, irises and faces. These devices, made by L-1 Identity Solutions, which was recently acquired by Safran, can weigh as little as 3 pounds, transmit data by several different wireless methods and remember 1 million identities. _ Unmanned aircraft. General Atomics’ Predators, drones that can fire missiles, have killed several al-Qaida commanders. Lockheed Martin’s RQ-170 Sentinel reportedly kept watch on Osama bin Laden’s compound as the raid that killed him was taking place. Another type of company surged in importance in the last decade: Companies that provide services and support to military operations. As of March, the Defense Department had more contractor personnel in Afghanistan in Iraq than uniformed personnel, according to a study by the Congressional Research Service. Afghanistan has the highest ratio of contractors to military personnel than any other U.S. war. This has boosted companies like KBR, once a division of Halliburton. KBR, which builds and maintains military bases and other facilities, had $4.7 billion in military contracts in 2010, up from $860 million a decade earlier. Analysts say the heavy reliance on contractors should allow the military to wind down spending more quickly, because it is easier to terminate a contract than to reduce uniformed troop levels. Also, the government isn’t responsible for pensions, health care and other benefits for contract workers, which should save money. Equipment spending is already being scaled back. In 2009, funding for the F-22 fighter jet, a $65 billion program, was discontinued. Spending on the F-35 fighter jet is in danger of being cut back. An advanced warship called the DDG1000 has been canceled, and an upgrade to the Bradley tank called the Ground Combat Vehicle may also be scaled back or canceled. Over the past six months, defense company stocks in the S&P 500 index have fallen 16 percent. That compares with an 11 percent decline for the entire index. During wartime, when dollars are flowing, the new equipment developed to battle new enemies is used together with the equipment that had been developed for earlier wars. But as budgets shrink this time, some of the technologies that were developed during the past decade, such as the unmanned aircraft, will have to replace older systems entirely. “The era of manned airplanes should be seen as over,” says Michael O’Hanlon, a defense policy expert at the Brookings Institution. “The problem is nobody wants to give up the previously agreed on platform.” ———- Below, a scene from the Seinfeld episode, “The Hamptons.”

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I’m Mad As Hell And I’m Not Gonna Write Any More Checks

August 15, 2011

The CEO of Starbucks wants Washington to wake up and smell the coffee. Infuriated by what he described as irresponsible behavior, Howard Schultz is calling on his fellow CEOs — and other would-be donors — to boycott all campaign contributions to either party until the nation’s elected leaders put aside their political posturing and find some common ground on long-term fiscal issues. Schultz wrote in a widely distributed email dated Monday that, like “so many common-sense Americans,” he wants elected leaders to consider “all options, from entitlement programs to taxes,” and reach a wide-ranging budget deal “long before the deadline arrives this fall.” Schultz concluded with a promise: “We today pledge to withhold any further campaign contributions to the President and all members of Congress until a fair, bipartisan deal is reached that sets our nation on stronger long-term fiscal footing. ” It’s not clear who else he was speaking for — and Schultz is something of an unlikely populist. His 2010 compensation was nearly $22 million, according to Equilar, adding to a net worth of over three-quarters of a billion dollars. Then again, earlier Monday morning, the even richer Warren Buffett, in a New York Times op-ed , railed at Congress for being too billionaire-friendly. Fred Wertheimer, dean of Washington’s campaign-finance reform community, said his group, Democracy 21, will be working with Schultz to build national support for a donation boycott. “He asked for our help and we are happy to give it to him,” Wertheimer said. “We think it’s a bold move,” he added. “And we think the gridlock and deadlock and partisanship in Washington has reached such levels that it has to be broken through.” Wertheimer said the relationship between money and Washington politics is clear: “When you’re in a situation when you need sacrifices to be made from all quarters, the power exercised by political money makes it extremely difficult to achieve that result.” Republican intransigence on raising any taxes whatsoever, even on the wealthiest Americans, has been a major source of Washington’s gridlock. Schultz has not been a particularly generous political donor himself. And if he ends up being the only donor who actually goes through with the boycott, the losers will be Democratic candidates. The opensecrets.org website shows Schultz gave $70,000 to the Democratic National Committee between 1996 and 2000, but in the last four years has contributed less than $10,000 total, shared among Washington State’s two Democratic senators and President Barack Obama. In his email, Schultz made what he called a “second pledge” as well, after noting that “while the long-term fiscal challenge is serious, even more painful to millions of Americans today is the immediate crisis of jobs.” He vowed: “Our companies are going to hire. We are going to accelerate growth, employment, and investment in jobs.” Schultz’s boycott campaign was first reported over the weekend by New York Times columnist Joe Nocera . Nocera described how the boycott campaign was the outgrowth of an earlier email that Schultz sent last week to Starbucks employees and some fellow business leaders. In that email, Schultz described himself as “growing more and more frustrated at the lack of cooperation and irresponsibility among elected officials as they have put partisan agendas before the people’s agenda.” He told Nocera the response was so positive that it galvanized him to take the next step. Schultz was not immediately available for comment. READ the full text of Schultz’s email: August 15, 2011 Dear Fellow Concerned Americans: Our country is better than this. Over the last few weeks and months, our national elected officials from both parties have failed to lead. They have chosen to put partisan and ideological purity over the well-being of the people. They have undermined the full faith and credit of the United States. They have stirred up fears about our economic prospects without doing anything to truly address those fears. They have spent a resource even more precious than the dollar: our collective confidence in each other, in the future, and in our ability to solve problems together. As leaders in business, we have watched all this unfold, first with frustration and then with dismay. Like so many of our employees and customers, we are gravely concerned about the current situation. Today, with both humility and urgency, we propose to do something about it. First, we aim to push our elected leaders to face the nation’s long-term fiscal challenges with civility, honesty, and a willingness to sacrifice their own re-election. This means not kicking the can anymore. It means reaching a deal on debt, revenue, and spending long before the deadline arrives this fall. It means considering all options, from entitlement programs to taxes. This is what so many common-sense Americans want. That is why we today pledge to withhold any further campaign contributions to the President and all members of Congress until a fair, bipartisan deal is reached that sets our nation on stronger long-term fiscal footing. And we invite leaders of businesses – indeed, all concerned Americans – to join us in this pledge. We also believe in leading by positive example. And we believe that while the long-term fiscal challenge is serious, even more painful to millions of Americans today is the immediate crisis of jobs. Tens of millions are unemployed and underemployed. Right now our economy is frozen in a cycle of fear and uncertainty. Companies are afraid to hire. Consumers are afraid to spend. Banks are afraid to lend. Record levels of cash are piling up in corporate treasuries, idling. That cash is not being used to expand operations, train new workers, underwrite new ventures, or spark innovation. The only way to break this cycle of fear is to break it. The only way to get the country’s economic circulatory system flowing again is to start pumping lifeblood through it. That is why we today issue a second pledge. Our companies are going to hire. We are going to accelerate growth, employment, and investment in jobs. We do this because we want to set in motion an upward spiral of confidence. We are not waiting for government to create an incentive program or a stimulus. We are not waiting for economic indicators to tell us it’s safe to act. We are hiring more people now. We invite leaders of businesses across the country to join us in this pledge as well – and to bring their stakeholders into the effort. Confidence is contagious. The best thing we can do now is to spread it. This is a time for citizenship, not partisanship. It is a time for action. We don’t pretend that our two pledges are quick fixes. We just believe that in this moment of great uncertainty, the government needs discipline, the people need jobs – and leaders need to lead. Our country is better than this. Let’s get things moving now. Respectfully, Howard Schultz

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Lisa Earle McLeod: How to Win the Hearts and Minds of Other People

August 15, 2011

How do you get people excited and engaged? Traditional wisdom says that you have to show people what’s in it for them if you want them to join your team, support your cause, work long hours or buy your product. Traditional wisdom is wrong. The secret to getting people engaged isn’t about showing them why it’s good for them. It’s the exact opposite. It’s about providing people with a purpose that’s bigger than they are. Social science research is proving what we already know in our hearts to be true: People are willing to work harder for a cause they believe in than they are for individual rewards. That’s why soldiers face death rather than abandon their unit. It’s why parents sacrifice to send their kids to college. It’s why in 2001 employees at Southwest airlines, including the CEO, took pay cuts rather let anyone go. Southwest “cut pay rather than people” and kept their enthusiasm in tact. Their motto, “Not Just a Career, a Cause” wasn’t a meaningless platitude. It was a living breathing thing beating inside the heart of every employee. We’ve long bought into the myth that people are only out for their own self-interest. That’s total bunk. People are desperate to be part of something that’s bigger than themselves. That’s why I spent $54 a pair buying my daughters and me canvass slip-on shoes from Toms. We watched the video on www.Toms.com . When I learned that for every pair purchased, Toms gives a pair of new shoes to a child in need, I couldn’t get my Amex out fast enough. I could have bought similar shoes for half that price at Wal-Mart, but I wanted to be part of the Toms “One for One™ Movement.” But you don’t need a video of your employees hand-placing new shoes on a little girl’s feet in Rwanda to motivate your team. If you want to win the hearts and minds of your customers, your colleagues, or even your family, you need to provide them with three things: People need to know what to do. They need to know how to do it. And they need to know why they’re doing it. What and how engage people’s minds. But it’s the why that captures their hearts. Here’s an example: One of our clients provides IT services to small businesses. That’s what they do. How they do it is via computer consulting services, products and support. But here’s the why — They’re committed to helping small businesses grow. “We sell IT services” is nice. But compare that to: “Small business is the backbone of America. Our job is to eliminate the IT hassles so small business owners can achieve their dreams.” Which one makes you want to get out of bed? The first statement is internally focused; the second statement provides a larger external purpose. A compelling “why” is how I survived as a working mother with a husband who traveled. When our kids were little and I was exhausted, I always reminded myself, “I’m raising the future President of the United States and her Secretary of State.” It sounds hokey, but it inspired me to do my best because I knew the world was counting on me. The reason people focus on their own self-interest is because we haven’t given them anything better to care about. Real leadership isn’t about appealing to self-interest. Real leadership is bringing people together around a purpose that’s bigger than they are. Business strategist Lisa Earle McLeod specializes in sales force and leadership development. A sought after speaker, she is author of The Triangle of Truth, a Washington Post Top 5 Business Book. Download free tips on www.TriangleofTruth.com

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