September 2011

Italy- S&P Cuts Italy’s Sovereign-Debt Rating

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Qatar News Agency) Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services cut Italy’s sovereign-debt rating a notch, saying the Mediterranean nation’s weak economic growth and fragile government coalition …

Read the full article →

Tokyo Stocks Fall 1.61% Amid European Debt Woes

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Qatar News Agency) Tokyo stocks fell back Tuesday, with the Nikkei Stock Average closing the day at 8,721.24, down 142.92 points, or 1.61%. In response to an overnight fall on overseas …

Read the full article →

US- IMF Lowers Economic Outlook, Warns of Danger Ahead

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Qatar News Agency) The International Monetary Fund has lowered its global growth outlook, warning that “the global economy is in a dangerous new phase.” The IMF, a global financial …

Read the full article →

South Korean Builder Wins $3.5 Billion Order From Egypt

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Qatar News Agency) South Korea’s SK Engineering and Construction said Tuesday it has teamed up with a US engineering firm to build a $3.5 billion petrochemical plant in Egypt. The deal …

Read the full article →

US Analogic Q4 earnings USD5.6m

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN) Analogic Corp. said that since demand for the company’s medical and security imaging equipment surged, in the fourth quarter, earnings grew USD5.6 million compared with USD7.1 million in …

Read the full article →

Turkish FM Walks out on Israeli Official’s Anti-Terror Address

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Qatar News Agency) Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutouglu walked out on Tuesday on an international anti-terror conference held by the UN after Israeli deputy Foreign Minister Daniel …

Read the full article →

US- IMF cuts global growth forecast

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Khaleej Times) The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its forecast for global growth and predicted “severe” repercussions if Europe fails to contain its debt crisis or US …

Read the full article →

Oracle’s profit hikes 36% to USD1.84b

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN) Oracle Corp. said that in the latest quarter, profit hiked 36 percent to USD1.84 billion, driven by higher spending on business software, reported Associated Press. The company added …

Read the full article →

Adobe’s Q3 earnings down 15% to USD195m

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN) Adobe Systems’ Inc. CEO, Shantanu Narayen, said that in the third quarter, the firm’s earnings fell 15 percent to USD195 million from USD230 million recorded at 2010′s same period, reported …

Read the full article →

75.6 tons of gold reserves valued at US $4.4b

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Youm7) The Central Bank of Egypt said the weight of deposited gold reached 75.6 tons, at an estimated value U.S. $4.4 billion, after finishing inventory process in 2011 and matching with …

Read the full article →

Asian stocks dented by pessimism over Europe

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Youm7) Asian stocks floundered Tuesday as investors digested a credit downgrade slapped on Italy and awaited the outcome of a two-day Federal Reserve meeting that many hope will announce …

Read the full article →

US, EU economies to slow down in 2011, 2012: IMF

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN) The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that US and European countries economies would be expected to slow down in 2011 and 2012, reported Associated Press. The IMF added that in …

Read the full article →

Security tight for election in Zambia

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Zambians voted Tuesday amid tight security to pick a new president with incumbent Rupiah Banda expected to win another term, according to UPI. Voter turnout in the …

Read the full article →

Bomb blast rocks turkish capital

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) A bomb blast rocked the centre of the Turkish capital Ankara on Tuesday and some media reports said two people were killed, while a local mayor said nobody was dead but …

Read the full article →

20 militants killed in clashes in North-West Pakistan

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Pakistani soldiers on Tuesday killed at least 20 Taliban militants in an operation that also left one soldier dead in the north-west of the country, officials …

Read the full article →

US- Oil rises as FED hopes lift markets

September 21, 2011

(MENAFN – Saudi Press Agency) Oil rose on Tuesday after steep losses in the previous session, as financial markets got a lift from hopes the Federal Reserve’s policy panel could act to boost the …

Read the full article →

House prices rising again in Macedonia

September 21, 2011

Macedonia has been recovering from the crisis.

Read the full article →

Analysis: Nike, Adidas trounce China sportswear players

September 21, 2011

By Charlie Zhu and Donny Kwok SHENZHEN/HONG KONG (Reuters) – Drawn by a handwritten notice, a handful of customers sift through stacks of sports shoes and rows of clothes at a Li Ning discount outlet in China’s boom town of Shenzhen on a Sunday afternoon. “Last day! Enjoy 50-55 percent discount on all goods. Buy three, get another 10 percent off,” the note read. A few yards away, on the same floor of the giant shopping complex, another Li Ning retail store looks empty. The brightly lit Nike and Adidas outlets are busier, with youngsters and teenagers trying on sneakers and garments. “Nike and Adidas products are very good,” grumbles a Li Ning store employee, declining to be identified. “The materials they use, the soles and the designs are much better than ours.” After years of breakneck expansion, local brands such as Li Ning and China Dongxiang (Group) Co Ltd are grappling with shrinking margins, slowing sales growth and mounting inventories of outdated products, threatening the sector. While the Chinese brands struggle, Nike Inc and Adidas, armed with heavy investment in research and development plus marketing expertise, are gaining market share in the world’s second-largest economy. In the sportswear industry’s battle for China’s booming consumer market, the situation is bad and getting worse for the home grown retailers. China’s fashion apparel market, dominated by sportswear brands and local casual clothing brands, is expected to triple in size to more than 1.3 trillion yuan ($201.3 billion) in the next 10 years, Boston Consulting Group said in a report. Raising the stakes further, foreign companies are accelerating their expansion into the country’s smaller cities, the traditional stronghold of local brands, with products specifically tailored to target consumers in those cities. Adding to pressure on the Chinese companies, industry experts say it’s too early for any of the local retailers to be saved by a takeover or a private equity purchase. “There needs to be more pain before we see a shake-up in the sector,” said George Lin, head of Asia-Pacific consumer, retail and healthcare investment banking for Credit Suisse. Struggling with rising costs for labor, raw materials, rent, and advertising and promotion, Li Ning and Dong Xiang posted 50 percent and 71 percent falls in first-half earnings, respectively. Shares of the two companies have plunged more than 60 percent in the past year, while shares of local rivals ANTA Sports Products Ltd, Peak Sport Products Co Ltd, Xtep International Holdings Ltd and 361 Degrees International Ltd are down 30-50 percent. These listed sportswear companies, together with Nike and Adidas, account for 80 percent of the domestic market. Li Ning, whose founder and chairman won three gold medals as a gymnast at the 1984 Los Angeles Olympic Games, has been attempting to cut the number of distributors and shut inefficient retail outlets, while opening more self-operated stores — a move that may improve branding but also means increased costs. Adidas aims to unseat Li Ning — the country’s No.2 sportswear maker with a one-third share of the market after Nike — this year, targeting double-digit growth in China over the next five years and planning to expand coverage to 1,400 cities from 550. “Local brands will lose more market share to imported brands over the next 12 months as the former struggle with inventory issues, while the latter benefit from consumers trading up,” HSBC said in a research report this month. In June, Nike raised its global sales forecast, betting that strong demand in China and Brazil, and price rises would help it outpace rising costs. In Greater China, Nike topped $2 billion in annual revenue, double 2007′s level. EARNINGS DAMAGE Capitalizing on annual sportswear demand growth of about 30 percent, more Chinese sportswear companies, including leading indoor sportswear company Hosa International Ltd, are lining up to sell shares in Hong Kong. But pricing competition is set to intensify as domestic players scramble to dump inventories, sharpen their branding focus and scale back distribution networks. Domestic sportswear sellers are getting further squeezed by global brands expanding aggressively in both the high-end and low-end segments. Discounts from global brands are a boon to China’s Belle International Holdings Ltd, a strategic partner of Nike and Adidas, which accounts for more than 80 percent of its sportswear sales. Belle, the country’s largest shoe retailer with more than 10,000 outlets, also distributes Converse, Kappa, Puma, Reebok, Li-Ning and Mizuno branded sport shoes. Those discounts will only add to the challenges of local players. “With Nike and Adidas introducing lower priced products, it remains to be seen whether fans of domestic brands will maintain their loyalty,” the HSBC report said. “This could well become a case of ‘survival of the fittest’, with some getting hurt if not disappearing along the way.” (Editing by Chris Lewis, Anshuman Daga and Michael Flaherty)

Read the full article →

Dan Solin: What U.S. Open Tennis Can Teach You About Investing

September 21, 2011

I am a big tennis fan. I followed the men’s and women’s championship matches at the U.S. Open with great interest. No one gave Sam Stosur a chance against Serena Williams, including the expert commentators who seemed mildly amused at her prospects for success. The reality is that Stosur was the vastly superior player (at least on that day) and had a fairly easy, two set win. Lesson No. 1: Experts in many fields have no better predictive powers than you do. This is particularly true about investing. Most tennis commentators were former world-class players, which gives them some credibility. Relatively few brokers and advisers have any background in finance or economics. Even if they did, there is no evidence of their ability to pick stocks, time the markets or pick “hot” mutual fund managers with any greater accuracy than you would expect from random chance. The winner’s check of $1.8 million was presented to Ms. Stosur by the head of “wealth management” at JP Morgan, which sponsored the event. It is my view that advisors who use the term “wealth management” are referring to their uncanny ability to transfer the wealth of their clients to their own pockets. I hope this doesn’t happen to Ms. Stosur, who seems like a hardworking tennis professional worthy of much better. Here’s some data about JP Morgan that Ms. Stosur and others should consider when evaluating their investment prowess. Like most brokers, JP Morgan has a number of proprietary funds. I compared the performance of these funds to their benchmark index over a 5, 10, 15 and 20 year period. The analysis was complicated by the fact that JP Morgan, as is typical in the fund industry, routinely folds or merges poorly performing funds, so long term data is not really representative because it does not include the poor performing funds. When you evaluate this information, keep this in mind: How difficult should it be for investment managers who profess to have investing skills to simply beat their designated index? I found 75 funds with data for the past 5 years. 28 percent of them underperformed their index. The number of funds declined to 56 for the past 10 years. 12.05 percent of them underperformed their index. Only 27 funds had data for a 15 year period. 59 percent of them underperformed their index. For the past 20 years, only 12 funds had data and a whopping 75 percent of them underperformed their index. Lesson No. 2 : Sam Stosur should take the championship check from JP Morgan, but she should not give it back to them to invest. Neither should you. And that lesson is equally applicable to all brokers and advisers who claim to be able to “beat the markets.” Dan Solin is a Senior Vice President of Index Funds Advisors (ifa.com). He is the author of the New York Times best sellers The Smartest Investment Book You’ll Ever Read , The Smartest 401(k) Book You’ll Ever Read , and The Smartest Retirement Book You’ll Ever Read . His new book, The Smartest Portfolio You’ll Ever Own , was released in September, 2011.The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

Read the full article →

SOUR GRAPES: New Wine Industry Report Highlights Looming Challenges

September 21, 2011

DAVIS, Calif. — A new wine industry report indicates that wine grapes will be in short supply over the next few years, but it won’t mean higher prices. According to two surveys released by the University of California, Davis’ School of Management, wine industry professionals show concern for grape shortages because of recent cooler weather. But surveyed executives say discount pricing will remain in the foreseeable future because consumers and retailers have grown accustomed to lower prices prompted by the poor economy. Despite the challenges, the report says 71 percent of respondents believe the economic health of the wine industry would show improvement in the coming year. The school’s dean, Robert Smiley, says that reflects a level of confidence that hasn’t been seen since 2007. Smiley presented the findings Tuesday at a Napa wine industry symposium.

Read the full article →

Social Network Ning Acquired

September 21, 2011

(Reuters) – Glam Media, a collection of highly curated blogs mainly centered around fashion, beauty and health, is acquiring Ning, the social media platform co-founded by Marc Andreessen. Andreessen is joining Glam Media’s board of directors. “As consumer behavior broadly moves from old media to the web … the opportunity for high-end online content is gigantic and our combined company will be in the pole position in this huge market,” Andreessen, who also is the chairman of Ning, wrote in a post on his personal blog. The combined companies will have over 240 million users and 100,000 publishers. Ning is a custom platform for social media networks used by individuals and professional content creators to build out and manage websites that can integrate with Facebook, Twitter and Google Inc’s (GOOG.O) social network Google+. “Social is not only creating large consumer networks, social is also transforming other industries,” said Samir Arora, chairman and chief executive of Glam Media, who ticked off LinkedIn Corp (LNKD.N) for online recruitment and Zynga for gaming as examples. “No one has really cracked the code for content and media.” With Ning, Arora said Glam Media’s network of more than 4,000 authors and 2,500 publishers will now have access to an integrated social platform. Ning was founded in 2004 by Andreessen and Gina Bianchini. About 18 months ago, under the direction of Ning Chief Executive Jason Rosenthal, Ning changed to a subscription-only model from a hybrid that depended both on subscription and advertising revenue. Monthly subscriptions to Ning run anywhere from $2.95 to $60 a month, Rosenthal said. He added that Ning was attracted to Glam Media’s advertising platform. “It’s two different sides of the same coin,” Rosenthal said. Rosenthal is joining Glam Media as executive vice president social media and general manager of Ning. The Glam board directors that Andreessen joins include Accel’s Thereisa Ranzetta; Draper Fisher Jurvetson’s Tim Draper; Glam Media co-founder Fernando Ruarte; Hubert Burda Media’s Marcel Reichart and Glam Media Chairman Arora. The terms of the deal, expected to close in the fourth quarter, were not disclosed. (Reporting by Jennifer Saba in New York; and Andre Grenon) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions

Read the full article →

Rick Perry Travel Bankrolled By Activist Rabbi Irwin Katsof

September 20, 2011

Rick Perry is talking up his travels to Israel on the stump — a line that’s likely music to the ears of an activist rabbi who made the governor’s last two trips happen.

Read the full article →

Tony Greenberg: Amazon To Beat All Suitors for Hulu?

September 20, 2011

By Tony Greenberg ( view more ) The battle for Hulu has come down to a few prime fighters hustling for victory. I’m placing my vote that Amazon should be the winner. Well, that is for a consumer win. There’s been a lot of courting to acquire Hulu from News Corp., Walt Disney, and NBC Universal’s Comcast. And while these Hollywood honchos rarely run a profitable business online, they do love the smell of early cash. Of the many trying to grab Hulu, including Google, Yahoo, Dish Network, and DirecTV, I think Amazon should get the ring for the many gifts it can present. Amazon has more ways to monetize film and TV brands, thus putting more money in the pockets of Hollywood. Amazon does a better job of marketing than anyone else. It is also best positioned to cross-market the video properties with affiliate commissioned sales of music, merchandise and books. “Advanced merchandizing will be a key ingredient for success,” said Phil Wiser, former CTO of Sony and founder of Sezmi , a global cloud-based TV platform and a veteran of marketing content online. “We are at the brink of a seismic transformation for the TV industry,” he said. “Online video technology has evolved to a point where it can truly replace a traditional pay TV platform in the home.” Media executives are reluctant to admit this is the case, but they know there is a sea change occurring. Indeed, Hulu was created largely as an experiment to see how the process works. But Hollywood has a shameful history of turning their golden video properties into online sawdust. For them to get it right they know it’s time to set Hulu free. How they will handle the sale is a tough one to call. As I pondered in my previous story on Hulu, will its partners sell to the weakest competitor or to whoever is willing to strike the richest deal? At least they have the hindsight to have seen first hand how the music industry mismanaged their digital properties. “Looking back at the music industry, the digital business only really scaled when the content companies stopped trying to do it themselves,” said Wiser. Steve Jobs came to the rescue with iTunes, though it contained a few sour notes. “They effectively created a monopolistic retailer,” said Wiser. Amazon is best positioned to offer Hollywood a win-win proposal. It has the best business model to weave the video content into multiple revenue strings, thus being able to hand over a golden cloth that Hollywood mavens will be hard pressed to resist. “Of all the suitors, Amazon is the least objectionable to the TV networks’ traditional cable distribution partners,” said Jack Meyers, media economist and publisher of Jack Myers Media Business Report. “Hulu has the established infrastructure, financial leverage and consumer relationships to justify the inflated investment.” Amazon blows away the others starting with the basic economics of how online businesses are valued. It has the lowest client acquisition cost and the highest lifetime customer revenue. The other suitors are not really prepped for prime time. Consider that Yahoo is foundering and has pretty much destroyed all the properties it has acquired in the past. If the Hulu owners simply want their baby to wither and die, than Yahoo may be the right choice. Google has been working on its online video strategy for years but has yet to show how to market TV and movies profitably. Yes, Google’s YouTube is the 800-pound gorilla in video content, if skateboarding dogs, curious cats, celebrities by accident, and music videos are what lights your fire. Google’s job is to sell ads, not content. This counts against Google as Hulu’s acquirer as another losing proposition for the consumer. The other potential suitors have problems that may also lead to a lousy ending for Hulu. Amazon is not going to let the eggs of the Golden Goose that is Hulu rot. It’s obsessed with customer service and satisfaction. Amazon was rated No. 1 among online retailers in customer satisfaction in a Top 100 lists compiled by Foresee Results, displacing Netflix from the top perch. Customer satisfaction drives customer retention. That drives customer loyalty and revenue growth. I am confident Amazon buys content licenses for less than similar licenses sold to Netflix, who is spending its public coffers kitty in a mere land grab, rather than Amazon, which is disciplined in their process and valuation. But wait, there’s more. Customer loyalty is a huge management challenge and Amazon has mastered it. It has achieved that partly by building the best online recommendation engine in the world, much better than Netflix, the assumed champion. Amazon’s recommendation engine puts their customers at the center first by homing in on their interests and proclivities. Amazon invested a lot of money and brainpower figuring out who you are and what you like and they back up your vote with your purchases every day. Amazon also has low cost and highest-scale delivery infrastructure and encoding facilities through Amazon Web Services . These are essential keys that put it in position to offer Hulu owners the best value proposition. The Seattle-based merchant also had the foresight to buy IMDb , the Internet movie database that gets more than 100 million unique visitors monthly who can watch film and TV content, including that from Hulu. Combine that with Amazon’s unique click-and-buy features and soon you’ll be able to buy the proverbial Jennifer Aniston’s sweater on a whim! Or buy the book the movie was based on through your Kindle. That’s cross marketing, baby, with proceeds to be shared by all. Then there is Amazon Prime, where subscribers pay $79 per year for preferred shipping and access to digital movies and TV shows. That’s about $6.50 a month, less than what Netflix charges and it’s pure margin. More than 100,000 videos are available through Amazon Prime service. Combine that with Hulu’s huge library and Amazon trounces its competitors. It could merge in Hulu Plus, currently available for $7.99 a month, for free. Current Hulu subscribers could be given instant access to Amazon’s massive library, making it a win-win situation. It’s still early days for Amazon Prime, but customers love it, even if they may overpay on locally-available items. In this case, does the 80/20 rule hold, where Amazon Prime is a heavily subscribed, under-utilized service? As noted here , while Prime may seem to be simply about shipping, it is really about bolstering customer loyalty and encouraging consumers to buy more products than they might otherwise purchase. There are some other ideas why Amazon and Hulu make a good fit here . Put it altogether and Amazon has more resources than Netflix, Google, Yahoo, and all the rest. Amazon has other incentives. It’s ready to unveil a full-fledged tablet computer, which could very well be tightly integrated with Amazon Prime and Hulu video services. Wrap it all up and Amazon is a favorite suitor, with a special connection. Hulu CEO Jason Kilar has had a close relationship with Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos. Kilar had a 10-year career at Amazon, ending up as senior vice president for application software before joining Hulu as CEO. Lights. Camera. Action! ~~~Buy! As CEO of RampRate Sourcing Advisors and DeepStrat, Tony Greenberg has been an idea generator transforming perceptions and industries since he was 17. Under Greenberg’s leadership for more than a decade, RampRate has radically changed how IT services are purchased, creating actionable, data-driven, sourcing information that has saved tens of millions of dollars and thousands of hours of headaches for major clients in entertainment, Internet services, finance, media and video games. DeepStrat , a spinoff from RampRate’s strategic research arm, focuses on growth-advisory services for companies in the digital media value chain, particularly in mergers & acquisitions, ramp-ups and funding plans.

Read the full article →

Alaskans Get $1,174 Checks From State’s Oil Wealth

September 20, 2011

JUNEAU, Alaska — Most Alaska residents will soon be getting a check for $1,174 simply because they live there. Each person’s share of the state’s vast oil wealth was announced with much fanfare in Anchorage Tuesday, with Gov. Sean Parnell ripping open a gold-colored envelope to reveal the number. This day is so widely anticipated in Alaska that the announcement of the Permanent Fund Dividend amount was carried live on television statewide, and dozens tuned in to watch a live webcast by the governor’s office. This year’s check is the smallest since 2006 and $107 less than last year’s amount, which was $1,281. Parnell warned the amount could diminish more in the future, given market volatilities and the fact that oil production in the state is declining. Nonetheless, he called this year’s amount “healthy.” State Revenue Commissioner Bryan Butcher said 647,549 Alaskans were deemed eligible to receive dividends, and about $760.2 million is expected to be paid out. Most Alaskans will get their dividends by direct deposit Oct. 6; the rest will receive checks in the mail. The 2010 U.S. Census put Alaska’s population at 710,231. Already, Alaskans are making plans for how they’ll use their dividends, from paying bills to putting the money toward a new car to buying sled dogs. Retailers are advertising “PFD” sales. So is Alaska Airlines, whose offer is popular in a state where few communities are connected to a road system and the cost of going to the nearest city to shop – or just get away – adds up fast. While the extra money is a great perk, it doesn’t always go far in a state where some rural residents pay $7 or more a gallon for gasoline and one study showed food costs for a week could run into the hundreds of dollars for a family of four. Vern Weiss owns Moochers Bar and Grill in Nenana, a community of about 380 people 55 miles southwest of Fairbanks. He said he spends about the amount of last year’s check in a week on food and beverages for his business. Still, every bit helps. The economy in that area is tough, and he said he has barely been able to make sure his employees are paid. A dividend check, he said, can help pay a lot of little bills. Voters passed a constitutional amendment in 1976 to establish the Permanent Fund as a way to stretch out the state’s oil wealth for future generations. At the time, Alaska had just experienced a construction boom spurred by a $900 million bonus payment from energy companies for oil discoveries. Today, state government relies heavily on oil revenues to run, and most Alaska residents receive a dividend check; people have to live in the state for a year to be eligible to apply. The amount of investment earnings allocated to dividends is based on a five-year rolling average of the permanent fund’s performance. The market hit from the U.S. recession and ensuing economic slump are factored into the most recent period. Still, Tuesday was “a happy day for Alaskans,” Butcher said. State labor department economist Neal Fried said there’s no question the dividend has an impact on Alaska’s economy but he’s seen no research to quantify just how big the bump is. The way people treat their dividends likely varies with their individual circumstances and even how long they’ve been getting the extra money, he said. Butcher, who used to work at the Alaska Housing Finance Corp., said October tended to be the month when many people caught up with mortgage payments. Parnell said one of his great duties as governor is being able to announce the annual dividend, calling it a “unique duty that 49 other governors likely wish they had.” He said he and his wife, Sandy, would likely put their dividends toward the cost of college for their two daughters. Last year, $783.4 million was paid to 611,522 people, according to the Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend Division. The fund ended the recent fiscal year with a balance of $40.1 billion. Alaskans received their largest dividend – $2,069 – in 2008, according to the dividend division. In 2006, the dividend was $1,106.96. Bosco Olson Sr., city administrator of Hooper Bay, said dividend announcement day is like Christmas, with the town’s 1,100 residents patiently waiting and excited. Olson, whose town is about 500 miles west of Anchorage, said he’s considering using his dividend for a new lead dog or two for his sled dog team.

Read the full article →

Solyndra Executives To Plead The Fifth At Hearing

September 20, 2011

WASHINGTON — Two of Solyndra’s top executives announced on Tuesday they will invoke their Fifth Amendment rights and refuse to answer any questions about the company’s collapse at an upcoming House hearing. Lawyers representing Solyndra CEO Brian Harrison and CFO W.G. Stover told the House Energy and Commerce’s subcommittee on Investigations and Oversight that their clients have been counseled to decline all lines of questioning in light of the Justice Department’s criminal investigation, Reuters reported . “[D]ue to the ongoing Department of Justice investigation and on the advice of their counsel, they will be unable to provide substantive answers to the Subcommittee’s questions and that present circumstances require both gentlemen to exercise their fifth amendment rights in the face of questioning that might occur,” wrote Solyndra in a statement. “The company is not aware of any wrongdoing by Solyndra officers, directors or employees in conjunction with the DOE loan guarantee or otherwise, and the company is cooperating fully with the office of the United States Attorney for the Northern District of California in its investigation. Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Fred Upton (R-Mich.) and Oversight and Investigations Subcommittee Chairman Cliff Stearns (R-Fla.) on Tuesday issued a statement blasting Solyndra’s executives for reneging on written assurances that they would testify and implored them to reconsider the decision. Who exactly are Solyndra’s executives trying to protect and what are they trying to hide? Despite repeated assurances that they would testify voluntarily and answer questions this Friday, today we received the news that these executives – who had plenty to say to federal officials when securing half a billion dollars in taxpayer funding for their venture – plan to invoke their Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination and will not answer questions from Congress… Both Mr. Stover and Mr. Harrison will be sworn in under oath this Friday. We have many questions for Solyndra’s executives on their dealings with the Obama administration, their efforts to secure federal support for a project that appeared doomed from the outset, and why they made certain representations to Congress regarding their dire financial situation just two months ago. We would encourage Mr. Harrison and Mr. Stover to reconsider this effort to dodge questions under oath and hide the truth from those American taxpayers who are now on the hook for their $500 million bust. Once touted as a model for green energy, Solyndra received a $535 million federal loan guarantee from the federal government, before laying off 1,100 workers and and filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy earlier this month. Read the full statement from Solyndra below: Today Solyndra’s President and CEO, Brian Harrison, and its CFO, Bill Stover, communicated to Chairman Stearns and Members of the House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations that, due to the ongoing Department of Justice investigation and on the advice of their counsel, they will be unable to provide substantive answers to the Subcommittee’s questions and that present circumstances require both gentlemen to exercise their fifth amendment rights in the face of questioning that might occur. The company is not aware of any wrongdoing by Solyndra officers, directors or employees in conjunction with the DOE loan guarantee or otherwise, and the company is cooperating fully with the office of the United States Attorney for the Northern District of California in its investigation. The company believes that the record will establish that Solyndra carefully followed the rules of the competitive application process, starting in December 2006 under the Bush administration and continuing under the Obama administration. The Department of Energy (DOE) conducted extensive due diligence on Solyndra prior to final approval of the DOE loan guarantee. Consistent with the DOE loan guarantee program requirements, all loan proceeds were used to build out the company’s state of the art Fab 2 facility from green field to a working fab that was already producing panels at an annual run rate of over 100 megawatts when operations were suspended in connection with the Chapter 11 reorganization filing. At the same time Solyndra was successfully building out its Fab 2 facility, the competitive landscape for solar photovoltaic panels was changing dramatically. Market conditions led to an oversupply of panels worldwide, which had a substantial negative impact on pricing of the company’s panels and the company’s ability to rapidly ramp its sales. As late as August, the company believed that existing investors and the DOE would come to a financing arrangement that would have secured the capital the company needed to achieve positive cash flow from operations. The Company’s investors had offered a transaction pursuant to which the required capital would have been invested, however, the terms of such transaction were not acceptable to the DOE. Ultimately, it was a failure to secure this financing that left the company with no other option but to seek to reorganize through a bankruptcy filing under Chapter 11. The decision to suspend operations and file for reorganization has had a devastating effect on the company’s talented workforce as well as a negative impact on the businesses of Solyndra’s valued partners, suppliers and customers. This was not a decision taken lightly. The majority of Solyndra’s workforce was in the United States and the company did all that it could to keep these manufacturing jobs that are so vital to the country, in place. A small number of employees remain while Solyndra evaluates options, including a sale of the business and the licensing of its advanced CIGS technology and manufacturing expertise in order to maximize the value of the assets for Solyndra’s creditors, including the DOE. The company is confident that the investigation will clarify the facts surrounding the events leading to the DOE loan guarantee to Solyndra and looks forward to a time when its executives can more freely discuss their views on these events.

Read the full article →

Google’s Rivals Say Web Giant Is ‘Trying To Kill Them’

September 20, 2011

This article has been updated Yelp, which has long dominated Google search results, has a new competitor that it’s taking very seriously: Google itself. The prime territory at the top of Google search results that Yelp could once lay claim to is now frequently taken over by Google’s own listings. A search for “Los Angeles restaurants” turns up a link to Yelp — but it’s buried halfway down the page below Google Places , a feature that showcases business listings together with reviews, maps and prices. As federal authorities ratchet up their scrutiny of Google’s practices, accusing the company of antitrust violations, at the center of the action is the company’s use of its dominant position as a search engine to steer users to Google-owned sites. A growing group of critics and competitors assert that Google now uses search to bring traffic to its new sites in travel, shopping and dining that are playing a significant role in Google’s overall business. “Google is not just competing in these verticals, but cheating. They are manipulating the search results,” said Gary Reback, a Silicon Valley antitrust lawyer who was an advocate for the antitrust suit against Microsoft in the 1990s and is now representing several companies, including ShopCity and Foundem, that claim to be affected by Google’s policies. Google maintains on its blog that it does not have a policy of promoting its own content in search results, but strives to “ deliver the best answers to users ” and “ never [takes] actions to hurt specific websites for competitive reasons .” It also notes that it takes only one click for consumers to switch to a competing search engine. “We rank search results to deliver the best answers to users, and that is the only consideration -– not political viewpoints, and not advertising dollars,” a Google spokesman told the Huffington Post. “Every search engine has shifted away from ‘ten blue links’ to embedding answers and different types of information directly in the search results, which helps give consumers the answers they’re looking for.” The valuable real estate Google is handing over to its own products — and the fact that it powers two-thirds of all searches in the U.S. and claims three-quarters of all search ad revenues — has prompted the Federal Trade Commission to investigate whether the company unfairly promotes its own offerings or manipulates ads to the disadvantage of other businesses. In addition to the ongoing FTC probe, a Senate panel has convened a Sept. 21 antitrust hearing called “The Power of Google: Serving Consumers or Threatening Competition?” at which former Google CEO Eric Schmidt will testify. The Internet companies that now vie with Google’s own offerings on its site accuse the company of using backhanded tactics to crush rivals and have lawyered up to oppose what they see as anticompetitive behavior. Reback said sites like Nextag, a price comparison site, and Yelp pose “a threat to Google” by competing for users and ad dollars, and accused Google of “trying to kill them” by promoting its own services in search. Travel and review sites such as Kayak, TripAdvisor and Yelp have argued publicly that by putting its own results ahead of others, Google stands to squelch the competition by making it more unlikely that users will have reason to visit these third-party sites. A group of tech companies, including Microsoft, TripAdvisor, Travelocity, Kayak, Hotwire and Expedia formed an advocacy group called FairSearch.org, with the mission to raise awareness about “how Google threatens competition and consumer choice” and to protest using “dominance to foreclose competitors from the search marketplace,” according to the group’s website . “The concern is that Google is in many ways the main street of the Internet,” said Robert Birge, Kayak’s chief marketing officer. “They’ve taken all of the real estate that anyone will ever click on and put a Google product there.” Though many companies do not publicly disclose what share of their web traffic comes from Google, data available from third-party research firms indicate the search engine drives a vital number of users to its competitors — which means they have much to lose if Google bumps them down the page of search results, where the likelihood of getting clicks decreases dramatically. “The whole promise of the web was that you could be a little guy and be the best and people could find you and would find you,” Reback said. “It’s great to get merchants on the Internet, but if no one can find them, they won’t go very far.” In a call with investors earlier this year, Expedia CEO Dara Khosrowshahi described Google as a “big traffic generator for us and something that we always watch.” During the first nine months of 2010, 15 percent of Kayak’s ad revenues and 8 percent of its total revenues came from Google, according to the company’s filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Google maintains that it generates no more than 8 percent of search engine traffic to the top 10 online travel sites. But opponents of Google’s acquisition of ITA Software , a flight information company, claimed that Google sends around 30 percent of all search traffic to travel websites — and could end up directing that traffic internally. Though many competitors may not take issue with the search engine’s policies, some companies allege there is a reluctance to speak out against Google for fear of reprisal. Keeping quiet, they may figure, will keep their Google ranking from going down. “Kayak was initially reluctant ever to speak out against Google because we did not want retaliation by such a formidable company,” Birge said. “They control the algorithm in terms of where we show up on the page and where we show up in paid search ads. They’re very influential in the market.” Yet smaller tech startups expressed few concerns with Google’s search practices, and actually welcomed Google as a rival. Several entrepreneurs said they stood to benefit from Google launching products that would compete with their own. Steve Huffman, the co-founder and CTO of flight and hotel search site Hipmunk, said the debut of Google Flight Search brought considerable media attention and record-setting traffic to his website. “We should be so fortunate that Google launches Flight Search every week,” Huffman said. “We had our best traffic day since we launched on the day that they launched. We got mentioned in almost every story on Google Flight Search. It was a great opportunity for us to grab a lot of users.” For a startup, having Google as a competitor could increase the possibility that it becomes an attractive acquisition target, either for Google or one of its rivals, entrepreneurs say. “I think Google entering your space is viewed as an opportunity for a lot of people to be very successful,” said Justin Kan, the founder of Justin.tv, a kind of YouTube for live streaming video, and Kiko, an online calendar app that went out of business following the launch of Google Calendar. “If your company beats Google, it becomes potentially a very interesting acquisition for Google and for other companies in the Internet space.” While regulators worry that Google’s growth could lead to anticompetitive behavior, these startup CEOs say Google’s enormity actually gives them an advantage and argue that their smaller staff and narrow focus allows them to be more nimble than the 20,000-person Mountain View, Calif., corporation. “We are ten people competing against multiple thousands of people and that’s to our advantage,” Huffman said. “We are smaller and so we’re more agile when it comes to being able to innovate and change direction.” This article has been updated to include a comment from Google.

Read the full article →

‘Credible Strategy’ To Lower Debt Must Include More Revenue: IMF

September 20, 2011

(Rachelle Younglai) – Any effort by the United States to pare its massive public debt without bringing in more revenue and tackling expensive benefit programs will lack credibility, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday. To show U.S. creditors and markets the government is serious about reining in the country’s $14.7 trillion debt, the IMF said so-called entitlement programs, such as the Social Security retirement program, must be reformed. U.S. credibility “could suddenly weaken if sufficiently detailed and ambitious plans to reduce deficits and debts are not forthcoming,” the fund said. “Any credible strategy will need to include entitlement reforms and higher revenues. Widening tax bases by phasing out tax expenditures would be a good place to start,” it added. The Obama administration on Monday unveiled a $3.6 trillion deficit reduction plan that steers clear of Social Security and does not make structural reforms to the Medicare health care program for the elderly. At the same time, Republicans in Congress have made clear that they would oppose any plan that raises taxes. The IMF said current low U.S. interest rates reflect the significant goodwill the United States has earned from investors even though there are fundamental weaknesses in the country’s fiscal situation, suggesting Washington could see a reversal of fortune unless it puts a credible deficit reduction plan in place. Conventional fiscal indicators such as deficits and debt ratios are no better for the United States than in many European countries that currently face significant market pressure, the fund said. A special committee of U.S. lawmakers is grappling with how to cut at least $1.2 trillion from deficits over the next 10 years. The committee must come to agreement by late November or else deep spending cuts to domestic and military programs will automatically kick in. The Obama administration would count on tax revenues for about half of its proposed budget savings. The plan, which needs congressional approval to become law, includes a minimum tax rate for people earning more than $1 million a year, a proposal that has drawn heavy fire from Republicans. The IMF’s fiscal affairs director, Carlo Cottarelli, did not condone the proposal but said that it was a legitimate tax policy goal “to make sure that the burden of taxation is distributed fairly.” (Editing by James Dalgleish) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

Read the full article →

Obama’s Deficit Plan ‘Worse Than Nothing’ Says Former U.S. Comptroller

September 20, 2011

WASHINGTON — One of the experts who attended President Obama’s Rose Garden deficit speech is hammering the White House Tuesday, saying the president is using a bogus standard to show savings when really his plan leaves the deficit in worse shape. The White House strongly denies the contention. David Walker, former U.S. Comtroller General, is a noted budget hawk who ran the Concord Coalition, funded by Pete Peterson , a hedge fund billionaire who has invested heavily in campaigns to slash the budget, then founded the Comeback America Initiative . He initially released a positive statement, praising Obama for focusing on some pressing deficit drivers. But that was before he had a chance to read the fine print, and see where the numbers were coming from, he said. “I was shocked and saddened to find out that they have created their own baseline for determining savings,” Walker told The Huffington Post. “If you enacted all of their proposals, you would be significantly worse off in 2021 than if the Congress and the president just went on a 10-year vacation.” Walker said the problem is that rather than use the baseline for future spending determined by the Congressional Budget Office, the Obama administration used its own figures. Where the CBO bases its figures on current law — which says the Bush tax cuts expire next year and Medicare will soon cut payments to doctors — the White House estimates at least some of the tax cuts will be kept, and Congress will fix the doctor payments. A White House spokeswoman countered that the White House’s benchmark is in fact more realistic, because Congress indeed is unlikely to let the Bush-era tax cuts expire or let Medicare payments to doctors be slashed. “The adjusted baseline we’ve used is the most accurate reflection of current policy and the most illuminating way to demonstrate to the American people what actual savings will be created by these proposals,” said White House spokeswoman Meg Reilly. “It’s consistent with not only standard administration budget practice, but also with the Fiscal Commission, Gang of Six and others. And we’ve been transparent in all budget documents about precisely how the adjusted baseline is calculated.” But Walker says the different numbers only serve to confuse people, and since the Obama administration’s baseline estimate is about $6 trillion worse over 10 years than the CBO’s, it is easier to show savings. When Obama says he cuts $3 trillion to $4 trillion, it’s at least $2 trillion short of what would happen if nothing is done, according to Walker. “[The White House's] debt-to-GDP [ratio] is 74 percent in 2021, versus the current law CBO baseline of 61 percent,” Walker said. “The way they’re keeping score is worse than doing nothing.” He contended that ignoring the current law is politically palatable, but makes it harder to deal with the structural problems the actual laws present. An administration economics official echoing Reilly pointed to a recent article by White House National Economic Council director Gene Sperling, which argued that other baselines are more accurate and that the deficit-slashing super committee can use different baselines as well. Walker agrees that the committee can do that, but he thinks it’s just as bad and confusing. “What I’m concerned about is the Joint Committee on Deficit Reduction has the ability to decide what they’re going to use as the basis for determining savings,” Walker said. “They can end up creating some kind of thing like this, too, to make it look like they are doing more than they are.” “Both the president as well as this joint committee needs to use the latest CBO current law baseline, because if they don’t, they’re not credible and they’re not consistent,” he added. The administration official countered that the White House at least has been consistent in its assumptions, and details where they differ from CBO. “No one expects current law to happen,” the economics official said. “We have done this in every one of our budgets.” Walker also noted that while the White House assumes the changes in law when it comes to tax cuts and paying doctors, it does not assume the expected draw-down from the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Instead, it counts the withdrawals as new policies that save money. “It’s time to quit playing games with the numbers,” Walker said, referring to Congress and the White House. “They need to be honest with the American people.” Reilly said the White House is doing so, and that the war savings are properly counted as new. “While the overseas contingency funding savings included in the proposal are consistent with the president’s policies for troop levels in Iraq and Afghanistan, constraining discretionary spending with the cap we’ve proposed is new,” Reilly said. “And counting this savings is consistent with House budget proposal and others.”

Read the full article →

Facebook Looking To Hire Hollywood Insider

September 20, 2011

By Alexei Oreskovic SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – Facebook is looking to hire a big-name executive to cultivate relationships and strike deals with the film and music industries to bolster its media offerings. In recent months, Facebook had discussions with former MySpace co-President and former MTV executive Jason Hirschhorn about a job spearheading the company’s outreach to media companies, according to several people familiar with the situation. While the talks do not appear to have gone anywhere, and it wasn’t clear whether Facebook had approached others about the position, the efforts signal Facebook’s intention to take a more hands-on approach in helping media companies bring their content to the social network. “They had held the media industry at arm’s length for a while. It was: ‘We are a platform, come use us all you want but we don’t necessarily need to partner with you.’ But now the attitude has changed,” said one of the people familiar with the situation. “They realize that one of the next phases in its evolution is to work with the media companies,” the person added. Facebook and Hirschhorn both declined to comment. Facebook’s media push comes as the company faces fresh competition from Google Inc, which launched a rival social networking service in June. Twitter recruited former Creative Artists Agency executive Omid Ashtari to be its “L.A. person” last November, according to a report in AllThingsD.com, and the company recently appointed Chloe Sladden to a new role overseeing content and programing efforts. “The view is they’re looking at Twitter and Google and their outreach to the media community and they don’t want to fall behind the curve,” the source said. “They don’t want the media companies to think they’re uninterested.” Facebook has gradually gotten closer to the media world, with Chief Operating Office Sheryl Sandberg joining the Walt Disney Co board of directors in December 2009, and Netflix Inc Chief Executive Reed Hastings taking a seat on Facebook’s board in June. Several movie studios have released movies that can be rented and viewed on Facebook this year, including Warner Brothers’ “Dark Knight” and Universal Pictures’ “Big Lebowski.” Facebook was aggressively exploring recruiting a media point-person a few months ago, but has since shifted its attention to other strategic priorities, the sources said. But with the company increasingly interested in making media a key part of the social network, people expect the search to pick up again soon. THE GAMING LESSON Facebook’s media ambitions will be on display on Thursday at its annual developer conference in San Francisco, where the company is expected to unveil new music features. The music platform will integrate streaming music services from companies including Spotify, Rhapsody and Rdio, directly into users’ home pages, said several other people familiar with the situation. Facebook users who subscribe to the music services will be able to share songs and playlists with each other and see what their friends are listening to, the people said. Facebook will also unveil new flavors of its “Like” button at the event, allowing users to flag Web pages or other online content with specific recommendations, such as “Read,” “Watched” or “Listened,” according to a source with knowledge of the matter. For Facebook, building a deeper integration with music, movies and other media into its service makes it more likely that users will spend more time on its site, allowing the company to generate more advertising dollars. Media also fits well with Facebook Credits, the payment system that Facebook has introduced for its users to buy digital goods on its site. Facebook takes a 30 percent cut of transactions using Facebook Credits. The template for Facebook’s media push is social games, which more than 200 million of its users play on the website every month. Companies like Zynga and Electronic Arts Inc’s Playfish have built successful businesses developing social games that can be played on Facebook. But recreating that magic with the media industry could be trickier. While technology-savvy social game companies are adept at quickly creating products that shine on various “platforms,” such as social networks or smartphone applications, traditional content providers don’t possess the same kinds of expertise, said another person familiar with the situation. “You can’t just drop platforms in Hollywood,” the person said. “They make content well,” he said. But, he noted, creating media that really shines on a social networking platform requires hand-holding. (Reporting by Alexei Oreskovic; Additional reporting by Peter Lauria and Yinka Adegoke in New York; Editing by Richard Chang) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions

Read the full article →

Porter Gale: Is There A Recipe For Entrepreneurialism?

September 20, 2011

Some people thought I was crazy when I announced that I had resigned as Vice President of Marketing, at Virgin America. Others applauded and sent kudos. It’s time to try something new. Crazy? Maybe, but as the phrase goes, “we only live once.” So, all systems go. My story begins as a simple girl from Minnesota born to a probation officer mom and an industrial designer dad. My dad sat, day-after-day, in a musty basement drawing. He was creatively content, but fiscally frozen. He designed lawn trimmers, a floating calf feeder, a swivel chair and a plastic device you could put on a motorboat so your beer didn’t spill. That last idea might give you some insight into my “happy pappy.” With over thirty patents, he died without a dime. So why do some people make it and others don’t? I signed onto Facebook recently and a woman I know wrote, “this entrepreneurial stuff ain’t for the faint-hearted.” Posts of encouragement quickly filled the screen. A couple of phone calls later, two other entrepreneurial friends are on the upswing. A winemaker obsessed with Pinots bubbled over with excitement. And a handbag designer shared that this week she filled her own pocketbook. Both graciously offered to help – and one even joked, “I’ll take care of you until you get your stride.” Helping others–that must be one ingredient to success. Another ingredient will be learning to collaborate with new partners. Based on Myers Briggs, I’m an ‘ENFP’ and am defined as warmly enthusiastic and imaginative. I see life as full of possibilities. I’m spontaneous and flexible and rely on my ability to improvise and use my verbal fluency. Yep, that’s me. A therapist of mine suggested that we pick romantic partners who compliment our weaknesses; I’m guessing it works for business partners too. So future partners, I hope you can handle the financials and the excel charts. Other successful friends tell me the recipe for success is focus and follow-up. I’m usually good with focus, but admit if Ben & Jerry’s is in my house, I can’t accomplish anything. I love spending the night with those two guys. If I’m procrastinating, there’s nothing like an oversized soup spoon loaded with ice cream filled with chocolate shaped fish, oozing caramel and marshmallow swirls. I could eat the whole pint and fall asleep into a food coma. Or, I could focus. Ugh, I may have to implement a no ice cream rule if I want to make it. As I leave my kitchen table, I recall a conversation with a successful Bay-area business owner, “What people don’t see is the seven years of failures that didn’t make it. I finally have an idea that works, but it didn’t happen overnight.” This is a common theme I keep hearing, “don’t give up, work hard and success won’t happen overnight.” So maybe there’s no recipe at all, and it’s more like a test kitchen. You try, and try and try again until you find something that works. Adapt the recipe. Learn from your mistakes. Keep what’s working and get rid of the rest. What do you think? If you have entrepreneurial tips, I’d love to hear them. Comment here or let me know via Twitter @portergale . This is the first in a series of posts by Porter Gale on entrepreneurship and career changes.

Read the full article →

Mattson Technology Announces Board of Directors Appointments

September 20, 2011

FREMONT, CA–(Marketwire – Sep 20, 2011) – Mattson Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ : MTSN ), a leading supplier of advanced process equipment used to manufacture semiconductors, today announced the appointment of Dr. Hans-Georg Betz as the chairman of the board of directors and the appointment of Scott S. Kramer as a member of the board. Dr. Betz succeeds Ken Kannappan, who will continue as a member of the board.

Read the full article →

Jagadeesh Gokhale: Social Security Ponzi Scheme? Perhaps, but That’s Not the Problem

September 20, 2011

Presidential candidate Governor Rick Perry’s claim that Social Security is a “Ponzi scheme” — that is, the program not very different from the operation run by Bernard Madoff — sparked a firestorm, but the comparison is not wholly inappropriate. Even so, that is wrong issue to focus on. We’ve inherited a Social Security system which has survived court challenges, along with its unfunded liabilities — regardless of the fact that Social Security’s primary transactions resemble that of a Ponzi scheme. The question is what are we going to do about it in our time — sustain it or get rid of it? And, in both cases, how? Many economists, including some Nobel laureates , have alluded to Social Security as a Ponzi scheme — one that takes money from new investors to directly pay to older investors as a return. As long as the population of investors keeps growing, the money coming in is sufficient to provide a positive rate of return to earlier investors. Eventually, however, the population of new investors must stop growing-at which point, investors cannot be repaid and the entire scheme collapses. Using the “Ponzi scheme” label to describe such ventures in the private sector is legitimate. But what about when such ventures are operated by the government — such as Social Security? Full disclosure: In 1996, I co-wrote an Economic Commentary for the Cleveland Federal Reserve, essentially comparing Social Security to a Ponzi scheme. I still agree with much of what it says although, in hindsight, I would express some of its ideas differently today. A key test of whether Social Security is exactly like a Ponzi scheme — ignoring for the moment that it’s operated by a sovereign — is whether it produces anything of value. It’s supposed to produce value by providing “social insurance.” What is that, exactly? Advocates of sustaining Social Security’s current structure (as opposed to its objectives of providing economic security to retirees and associated individuals) claim that it more efficiently provides support for those who suffer economic misfortunes during their lifetimes. Another description is that Social Security enables the pooling of economic risks across generations through its benefit formula that averages across high and low productivity experiences of different worker generations. These advocates are wrong. In the last chapter of my book , I examine whether Social Security reduces the variability of lifetime incomes across people from what it would be without it. I find a very small negative effect of the program on cohort-specific variance of lifetime income, most of it arising from payroll taxes and very little from the benefit side of Social Security. That suggests that the program’s various redistributive features do little to alter the distribution of economic well being. Other studies also refute the idea that Social Security is successful in providing social insurance through its redistributive provisions. In yet another study , I show how Social Security’s current rules can prevent people from becoming richer over generations. Social Security’s rules induce low income households to save very little through retirement, thereby preventing them bequeathing wealth to their children — unlike children of rich families. Advocates of Social Security also point to its original intent of providing “old age insurance.” But Social Security does a very poor job today of fulfilling this function. Living beyond Social Security’s “full retirement age” of 66 is a relatively sure bet for 20-year-olds today compared to the 1930s when the program’s full retirement age was set. Today, Social Security acts more as a “retirement saving” program than an “old-age insurance” program and its merits as a “productive business” — as opposed to a forced saving mechanism that doesn’t actually result in higher national saving — should be seriously questioned. To restore its old age insurance function to earlier levels, its retirement, survivor, and other benefit eligibility ages would have to be increased by significantly more than the scheduled increases enacted by Congress in 1983, which are currently underway. Even with the results from the studies cited, actuaries’ and economists’ knowledge about how Social Security operates, how it affects the economy, and how it will evolve in the future is still quite limited, in view of the myriad factors influencing its finances. The public debate on Social Security is mired in inaccuracies, untrue factoids, unsupportable claims, and diversions into immaterial discussions, partly, but not exclusively, due to this imperfect information. That’s unlikely change anytime soon. The program will continue to bumble along until — like a Ponzi scheme — it doesn’t.

Read the full article →

Chuck Collins: A Tax Plan to Rally Around: The Buffett Rule

September 20, 2011

If you care about the future of the republic, the health of our communities, and the prospects for a transition to a new green economy — the fight over taxation and concentrated wealth is your fight. If you care about children — and the kind of society we are going to leave for the next generation — in terms of ecological health, infrastructure, functioning government — the fight to tax the wealthy and close corporate tax abuses is your fight. President Obama has put forward a revenue proposal worthy of vocal support and organizing. Progressives need to engage the media and our neighbors — and dramatize the reality that a majority of people support increasing taxes on millionaires and corporate tax dodgers. Why We Should Increase Taxes on the Wealthy There will be a vigorous debate over this proposal that will flow all the way into the 2012 election. There are four reasons for taxing the wealthy that we should repeat in any conversation we have: 1. Taxes on the Wealthy Have Declined Steadily for Decades. Over the last decade — and really over the last fifty years — the portion of income paid in taxes by our wealthiest citizens has steadily declined. In 1961, when Barack Obama was born, the effective rate paid by households with income over $1 million was 43 percent. Today it is 23 percent. The richer you are, as Warren Buffett has illustrated, the smaller the percentage of your income you pay. 2. The Wealthy Benefit Enormously from U.S. Society . The U.S. wealthy have disproportionately benefited from the public investments we have all made together over the last several generations in technology, scientific research, infrastructure and the system of property rights protections, education and stable market regulations that enable wealth creation to happen. If they have any doubts about the centrality of the U.S. system to their good fortunes, they should try somewhere else. 3. We All Have A Moral Obligation to Future Generations . Those with significant wealth at this time have a moral obligation to pay back the society that made their wealth possible. Progressive taxation is an “economic opportunity recycling” program, enabling present generations to ensure that future generations have the same opportunities they had. We all have a responsibility to future generations — and the wealthy have an obligation to pay their fair share of taxes as their parents and grandparents did. 4. Progressive Taxation will Reduce Extreme Inequalities of Wealth and Power . Over the last thirty years, we’ve seen a dramatic increase in inequalities of income, wealth and opportunity. The wealthiest one percent of households own 35.6 percent of all private wealth, more than the bottom 95 percent of households combined. These extreme inequalities have undermined all that we care about — our democracy, education, mobility, economic stability. This concentrated wealth and power is threatening the fundamental tenets of our democracy — and progressive taxation is one of the few ways to reduce inequality. President Obama’s Tax Plan The President’s Tax Reform Plan has many components and covers eight pages of provisions in the summary released, “Living within Our Means and Investing in the Future.” But they fall into three areas: 1. Allowing Bush Tax Cuts Expire and Reform the Estate Tax . President Obama has renewed his campaign pledge to allow the 2001 and 2003 Bush tax cuts for the wealthy expire on households with incomes over $250,000. Since 2001, we’ve effectively borrowed almost $1 trillion to give the highest income households in our nation these tax breaks. Reversing them is part of how we’ll get our fiscal house in order. The President also proposes restoring the estate tax to 2009 levels when the tax applied to individuals with wealth over $3.5 million and couples with wealth over $7 million. The estate tax is our nation’s only levy on substantial inherited wealth. The combined revenue of these provisions would generate over $866 billion over 10 years, according to the Office of Budget and Management. 2. Millionaire Tax Rates and the Buffett Rule . The Obama proposal includes the “Buffett Rule” that no millionaire should pay an effective rate lower than a middle class taxpayer. It was inspired by the billionaire investor’s disclosure of the ways our tax code gives preferential treatment to higher income taxpayers. Buffett revealed that in 2010 that he paid an effective tax rate of 17.4 percent while many middle class and higher income taxpayers pay over 25 percent of their income. High wage earners pay at 35 percent rate while income from wealth — capital gains and dividend tax rates — are 15 percent. This preference creates all kinds of distortions, including hedge fund managers who claim their income should be taxed at the lower 15 rate. The President’s tax proposal would eliminate this so-called “Carried Interest” loophole and require hedge fund managers to pay at higher rates. 3. Corporate Tax Reform. The Obama proposal includes a number of important tax reforms, including elimination of subsidies for the oil and gas industry and reform of huge loopholes the insurance industry uses. It closes down some of the accounting games that corporations play that contribute little to jobs or economic health. A Few Missing Pieces There are few major missing pieces in the President’s revenue plan. There is no proposal for a financial transition tax, a modest levy on transfers of stocks, bonds and other financial instruments. European countries have been pressing the U.S. to join a global move to institute such taxes to slow unproductive currency and financial speculation. A penny tax on every four dollars of transactions could generate over $150 billion a year in revenue. The president’s proposal unfortunately does not fully address the huge corporate loopholes that encourage offshore tax havens and aggressive corporate tax avoidance by U.S. companies. He should fully embrace Sen. Carl Levin and Rep. Lloyd Doggett’s “Stop Tax Haven Abuse Act,” which would raise an estimated $100 billion a year. The president’s proposal still gives preferential tax treatment to income from capital over income from work. The tax rate gap between earned wage income and investment income is a glaring problem that creates huge abuses and distortions. We should tax all income under the same rate structure system, whether it comes from dividends or paychecks. Organizing Time: Celebrate and Get to Work The principles and policies behind President Obama’s revenue proposals are worth lifting up and defending. They would restore progressivity and fairness to the tax code. They would raise $1.5 trillion over the next decade from those with the greatest capacity to pay. The push back will be enormous. Hedge fund managers, corporate CEOs, the offshore tax dodgers — together will spend hundreds of millions if not billions to attack these proposals. They believe income from their investments is more virtuous that income from wages. They believe they should get special treatment for everything they do. They would be comfortable living in an American with great disparities of income, wealth and opportunity. They’ll accuse Obama of class warfare. But as Warren Buffett himself observed, “There is a class war in a America, and my class is winning.” Obama noted that his proposal is not based on class war, but math. We must talk to our friends, families and neighbors -post articles on social media and send around information. Tell people you know why the fight for fair taxes matters to everything they care about. Get the facts -and counter the mythology offensive. Check out Citizens for Tax Justice , the Center for Budget on Policy Priorities and the Tax Policy Center . Join groups like U.S. UNCUT and The Other 98 Percent and other social networking and direct action groups that will be keeping the pressure on. If you know a wealthy person who believes their taxes should be raised, tell them to join Wealth for the Common Good and speak out for the tax fairness. It does no good if they keep their position private. Warren Buffett made a difference by telling his story and exposing that there is one tax system for the wealthy and one for the other 98 percent. If you are a small business owner, don’t let the right wing perpetuate the myth that tax increases on the wealthy and closing corporate tax loopholes are bad for small business and destroy jobs. You have a unique voice in this debate. Join Business for Shared Prosperity along with thousands of other small business people who believe that taxes are the price we pay for an unparalleled business environment and infrastructure. We should remember to celebrate. The fact that these tax proposals are on the agenda is testament to a decade of work by organizers, netroots activists, workers, researchers, and policy advocates who have made the case for progressive taxation. It is the result of groups like Patriotic Millionaires and Wealth for the Common Good -that lift up the Warren Buffetts of the world, the thousands of other business leaders and wealthy individuals who believe they should pay more and are willing to face the cameras and say so. It is a celebration of legislative champions like Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Jan Schakowsky, Rep. Barbara Lee, Sen. Carl Levin, and Rep. Lloyd Doggett who introduced and incubated many of the policies that are in the President’s proposal when they were considered “off the table.” This fall will be decisive -and the debate over taxes will go to heart of what kind of country we become. All hands on deck! This article was initially published at www.Commondreams.org

Read the full article →

Report: To Keep Their Jobs In PA Warehouse, Amazon Employees Work In Dizzying Heat

September 20, 2011

Some workers at Amazon.com’s Allentown, Pennsylvania warehouse are reportedly willing to contend with working at a brutal pace in dizzying heat so long as it means having a job. Only one out of 20 Allentown-based current or former Amazon employees interviewed by current or former Amazon employees interviewed by The Morning Call reported that the online retailer was a good place to work. During summer heat waves Amazon had paramedics on standby to treat any employees who couldn’t stand the heat, the paper reported. But many workers pushed through difficult working conditions after seeing what happened to other employees who didn’t meet expectations — they were fired and escorted out of the warehouse. Some employees worked 11-hour days during the holiday season and others were forced to maintain their productivity levels, even during the summer heat, the Morning Call reported. That might be what it takes to get the giant boost in sales Amazon saw last year. The company says otherwise. Amazon officials told The Morning Call in an emailed statement , “the safety and welfare of our employees is our No. 1 priority,” in response to complaints forwarded to the company by the paper. ( Read the entire story of alleged Amazon.com abuse here. ) But, this isn’t the first time Amazon has been in hot water over the company’s working conditions. Amazon required some employees to work seven days a week and scared others out of taking sick leave, according to a December 2008 report from The Times of London. With the unemployment rate hovering above 9 percent for months and more than 2 million Americans who have been jobless for 99 weeks, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics , some of those interviewed by the paper said they felt lucky to have a job. The dismal jobs outlook means that it’s not uncommon for workers to avoid complaining about working in dizzying heat, according to Denise McDavid, director of the Contra Costa Builders Exchange. The Northern, California based company brought in Occupational Safety and Health Administration regulators during a May heat wave to educate employers on their obligations to their workers during a heat wave, according to CBS News . Amazon is one of few companies that’s been on a hiring spree in an uncertain economy. The company added close to 15,000 employees between the second quarter of 2010 and 2011 , TechFlash reported. Many of the new hires came from acquisitions of other distribution centers, which the company is set to continue in 2011, according to TechFlash. And the employee boost seems to be paying off. Amazon sales surged by 51 percent in the second quarter of 2011 , compared with the same period a year ago, according to TechFlash. Amazon also may have had a leg-up in sales because in many states online retailers are allowed to collect and remit sales tax , according to Reuters. The company reached an agreement to collect sales tax beginning September 2012 with California state legislators and the California Retail Association earlier this month. Read the entire story of alleged Amazon.com abuse here.

Read the full article →

Pessimism remains predominant with the raging debt woes in the euro area on Greek bailout and Italian downgrade 

September 20, 2011

The market started the week with renewed fears and a strong wave of pessimism after the EU finance chiefs failed to derail rising fears and did not take any concrete action in Poland summit and only …

Read the full article →

CHINA MINING 2011 to Strengthen International Cooperation and Accelerate Geological Exploration and Mine Development

September 20, 2011

http://www.abnnewswire.net/rss2/menafn/abn_menafn_en.asp As one of the largest mineral production and consumption countries, the importance and involvement of China in the global mining industry …

Read the full article →

Western Manganese Limited (ASX:WMN) Update on Manganese Surface Sampling Results from West Timor

September 20, 2011

http://www.abnnewswire.net/rss2/menafn/abn_menafn_en.asp Western Manganese Limited (ASX:WMN) is pleased to announce results from surface sampling conducted over a number of manganese tenements in …

Read the full article →

German investor confidence plunge in September, adding to worries

September 20, 2011

The release of fundamentals from the euro area did not result in any improvement in the bearish sentiment haunting euro zone economies amid expectations Greece may face a default. Data from …

Read the full article →

Prada’s H1 profit surges 74% to USD244m

September 20, 2011

(MENAFN) Prada SpA, the Italian luxury fashion house, said that due to higher sales of leather goods to China and Asian countries, in 2011′s first half, profit hiked 74 percent reaching USD244 …

Read the full article →

South Africa Q2 employment up 0.1% to 8.3m

September 20, 2011

(MENAFN) Statistics South Africa said that in the second quarter, the country’s employment in formal, non-agricultural industries grew 0.1 percent to 8.3 million from the first quarter, reporetd …

Read the full article →

Brian Keane: New Job Growth Numbers Tell the Larger Story of Solar

September 20, 2011

Let’s face it: Solyndra wasn’t a winner. But it was the company’s inability to keep up with rapidly declining solar panel costs — not its focus on clean energy technology — that led to its demise. Nevertheless, the associated job losses and pique of political scandal have overshadowed the real story of the U.S. solar industry. The larger picture shows that solar businesses are growing — and creating boatloads of jobs. That claim is backed up by preliminary data from The Solar Foundation’s National Solar Jobs Census 2011 . As of August 2011, 100,237 solar workers are employed in the United States. Solar is employing workers in all 50 states and across a vast supply chain. To put that in perspective: the solar industry has grown 6.8 percent over the previous year, adding 6,736 new workers in 12 months. During that same time span, overall national employment grew by only 0.7 percent. The fossil fuel electric generation industry fared even worse, losing 2 percent of its workforce. These are not insignificant numbers — and all policy makers would be wise to study them carefully. Unlike the negative conjecture by pundits about the state of the U.S. solar industry, The Solar Foundation’s stats are a real snapshot of the industry. (And they’re backed by social science researchers at Cornell.) They’re also backed up by countless industry success stories. Take solar installation firm SolarCity, which currently employs more than 1,200 people in 11 states. It will create jobs in an additional 22 states thanks to an agreement with the Department of Defense to install 160,000 rooftop solar installations on military housing complexes at 124 military bases across 34 states. The company hopes to fill many of those jobs with veterans and military family members. Of course we can’t forget Sungevity, which just inked a deal to double its workforce. Sungevity founder Danny Kennedy told me recently that all these reports about the death of the solar industry are greatly exaggerated, especially in light of the Solar Foundation’s new numbers: “What other industry in America with over 100,000 employees grew at nearly 7 percent year-on-year, while the rest of our economy was doing a dead-cat bounce? The solar industry is one of a few bright spots in America’s employment landscape.” Rooftop solar installations are just the beginning. Utility-scale solar provider BrightSource is constructing a solar power plant in the Mojave Desert , a move that will create demand for skilled construction workers. These types of development create jobs along the supply chain, reinvigorating manufacturing companies that had previously supplied parts to older, declining industries. Meanwhile, the American solar manufacturing industry is holding its own in a competitive global market. America continues to be a net exporter of solar technology — to the tune of $1.9 billion in 2010. Across the country, solar manufacturing centers are emerging. In the Southwest, SCHOTT employs more than 500 at its flagship factory in Albuquerque, N.M., while Suntech Power employs more than 100 at its factory in Arizona. Other firms — Hemlock Semiconductor in Michigan, and Wacker Chemie in Tennessee — prove that solar jobs are growing across the country. So, yes: Solyndra wasn’t a winner. It’s disappointing when any American business doesn’t make it and jobs are lost. But one isolated case just can’t paint an accurate picture of an entire industry. Let’s tone down the rhetoric and focus on the data — and the success stories — that are abundant in the U.S. solar industry. These should be what guide policy makers and the American public. Brian Keane is the President of SmartPower, a non-profit marketing organization funded by private foundations to help build the clean energy marketplace by helping the American public become smarter about their energy use.

Read the full article →

HP Laying Off Employees

September 20, 2011

The layoffs have begun at Hewlett-Packard’s Palm division.

Read the full article →

Capital One says big bank mergers not always risky

September 20, 2011

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Capital One Financial defended its proposed takeover of ING Groep NV’s U.S. online banking portfolio on Tuesday, telling U.S. regulators and community groups that big doesn’t necessarily mean risky. John Finneran, general counsel for Capital One, delivered the defense at the first of three public hearings the Federal Reserve is holding on the $9-billion deal that would create the 7th-largest U.S. bank, by assets, according to SNL Financial. “Dodd-Frank is clear on a key point: There is no automatic finding of increased risk to our financial system in the event one institution acquires another, even if those institutions are relatively large,” he said. The markets are watching the U.S. Federal Reserve’s review as a test case for how the U.S. government will treat big-bank mergers after the financial crisis. Last year’s Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act requires U.S. regulators to now take systemic risk into account when evaluating a merger, in addition to public benefit, concentration of resources, unfair competition and other factors. Community groups such as the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, which has led the charge against the merger, will also testify. (Reporting by Alexandra Alper; Editing by Derek Caney)

Read the full article →

Leo Hindery, Jr.: Carried Interest: A Very Big Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing

September 20, 2011

In America, we believe strongly in investment as the backbone of economic growth and job creation. This is why I’ve been strenuously arguing, for several years, for a National Infrastructure Bank that would greatly expand investment in our country’s infrastructure and help restore our global competitiveness. Similarly, I believe that a person who invests his money in an enterprise should pay lower taxes on any gains he makes because he is taking on risk and he too is providing capital that makes our economy prosper. We can debate the rate at which capital gains should be taxed — I think it should be 20% and not 15%, as it is currently — but the principle behind it is sound. Yet since the mid 1980s we have — very unfairly to all other taxpayers — given this same tax incentive to one, not particularly exceptional group of managers who, rather than managing other people’s businesses, manage other people’s money in either limited partnerships or limited liability companies. While these money managers are paid salaries, by far most of their compensation is a share of the net gains earned in the entities they manage, which is called “carried interest”. The gross inconsistency is that carried interest, by every measure, is no different in substance than the performance or incentive fees which hundreds of thousands of other managers earn every day from the results of the businesses they oversee, whether it be restaurants or department stores or banks, etc. Yet carried interest is taxed as a capital gain, whereas everyone else’s performance or incentive fees are taxed as ordinary income. When these money managers do invest their own money, what they earn on it is of course a capital gain, and it is and should be taxed as such. But carried interest is not now and it never will be deserving of being taxed as a capital gain, since there is no risk to the money manager and only upside potential. And of course because the 15% capital gains tax rate is less than half the 35% maximum ordinary income tax rate, when this inequity is resolved, the benefit to the U.S. Treasury and all other taxpayers will be on the order of $10-plus billion a year, as I will describe. To President Obama’s great credit, it looks as if Congress, as it considers his recently proposed “American Jobs Act”, might finally have the chance to put a stop to this quarter-century-long tax abuse. And while much of the public’s attention on this issue has been directed at hedge fund and private equity managers, the management income earned by managers of all investment partnerships needs to be scrutinized: hedge fund, private equity, oil-and-gas, real estate and timber partnerships alike. However, as the New York Times reported on September 14, “private equity executives and hedge fund managers are [suddenly] apoplectic that President Obama has included [this] provision in his jobs bill.” The Times went on to write that, “Private equity and hedge fund firms have exploded over the last decade, and their executives have become among the most powerful and wealthiest players on Wall Street. [Carried interest] … has become a flash point in the debate over how to pay for programs that will create jobs and stimulate the economy.” We’ve seen these managers’ attack dogs before, and whenever they start attacking, then the treatment of carried interest stays unchanged. But this time, if we can disabuse the three errant arguments likely to come our way, then maybe we can finally get Congressional passage: First , investment partnership managers will say that this proposed tax reform is nothing more than a vindictive singling out of their firms because of their extraordinary success. They will also say that increasing the tax rate on their earnings to the ordinary income level will create an “investment tax”, of sorts, with dire unintended consequences for the entities whose money is being managed and for the American economy. These conclusions are self-serving and complete poppycock. Congress would not be changing the tax rate on investments made by investors — Congress would only be restoring fairness in how the individuals who manage these investments are individually taxed compared to other managers and other workers. It’s beyond disingenuous to predict dire unintended consequences on investing when the consequence would only be to the manager’s incentive fee and not even to his base salary. Second , President Obama and the White House have calculated that the amount of revenue to the Treasury from this tax reform would be $18 billion over 10 years, which is even less than the $3 billion per year which two Congressional committees calculated during the last Congress. However, the actual benefit would be on the order of $10 billion per year, which is a massive and critical difference . If the naysayers can persuade Congress in general and especially the twelve members of the upcoming Congressional ‘supercommittee’ that the revenue to be raised from properly taxing carried interest is only1.8 billion or even3.0 billion per year, then this reform will very likely get swamped by the enormity of the supercommittee’s $1.2 trillion ‘savings’ mandate and be ignored. How do we know the potential benefit is the much higher figure? It’s quite simply because of the magnitude of the earnings which are now escaping ordinary income taxation. We know from recent data that there are: More than 1,000 private equity funds managing limited partnership (LP) equity investments aggregating around $1.0 trillion which earn $18 billion or so of carried interest each year; 8,000-9,000 hedge funds managing LP equity investments also of around $1.0 trillion which likewise earn $18 billion or so of carried interest each year; and 1.2 million real estate limited partnerships managing $1.3 trillion of LP equity investments (note: this is not the value of their managed assets) which earn $20 billion or so of carried interest each year. Without even considering the carried interest being earned by the 1.3 million “other” limited partnerships which each year file with the IRS, the sum of the carried interest earned annually by just these three categories of special limited partnerships is more than $50 billion — and $50 billion times the 20% differential between the ordinary income tax rate (of 35%) and the capital gains rate (of 15%) is $10 billion per year. Third , much of the difference between my calculations and the revenue estimates used by the White House, some in Congress and, especially, the self-serving Private Equity Growth Capital Council is that their revenue estimates “take into account taxpayers’ likely behavioral responses in attempting to avoid higher taxes under proposed legislation, as well as the likely success of the proposed legislation at preventing avoidance and collecting those revenues.” This methodology — that tax avoiders will just find other ways to avoid taxes — has, without any persuasive supporting evidence, been used repeatedly over the years to put off fair-minded Members of Congress from closing tax loopholes. Having been around this space myself for 23 years, I’m not aware of any possible “avoidance schemes” which these managers might possibly take to avoid paying these particular taxes — and of course the difference between $1.8 billion and $10 billion per year implies an absurd and unrealistic amount of tax avoidance. We must finally slay this big wolf once and for all — and as it attempts to do so, Congress must not be put off by outright lies, obfuscation and miscalculation. Treasury needs the revenues, the supercommittee needs to meet its obligation with something other than more spending cuts, and the middle class needs to start to see tax fairness restored. Properly taxing carried interest is the perfect place to start. There is, however, one part of the President’s American Jobs Act proposal which is wrong — headed, no matter how well intentioned. And that’s his proposal — made over the objections of the Democratic staff of the House Ways and Means Committee — to tax profits on the sale of an investment management partnership at the ordinary income tax rate. By contrast, right now, proceeds from the sale of every U.S. business, regardless of type, is taxed at the capital gains rate (Peter Lattman, New York Times , 9-14-11). The President says that this “enterprise value tax”, as he calls it, is needed as a complement to changing the tax rate on carried interest in order to prevent fund managers from circumventing the new rule by selling their businesses to avoid paying higher tax rates on future carried interest income. As much as I want to rein in unfairly taxed carried interest, this ‘fillip’ is nothing more than a bill of attainder punitively targeting investment management partnerships as the only businesses in America for which proceeds from the sale of the businesses would be taxed at ordinary income rates. It is far better, Mr. President, to watch these firms be sold and taxed at the capital gains rate – although I don’t think many will be — than it is it to usurp a guiding principle of the Constitution, which is what your enterprise value tax would do. As a final note, just as I was writing this piece yesterday, the President, to his further credit, put forward three additional proposals targeting the highest earners, all greatly overdue and thus all greatly welcome. First , he reiterated his commitment to not further extend the Bush tax cuts for families earning more than $250,000 a year, which was a hallmark promise of his 2008 campaign. While he wavered on this promise in December 2010, when he agreed to their extension for another 24 months, pray God he means it this time and we will see these outrageous cuts finally expire in December 2012. Second , he has said he will also limit deductions for families earning more than $250,000. While the proof will be in the details to follow, there indisputably are a myriad number of deductions to pursue which have no national benefit other than further enriching the already extremely wealthy, such as deductions for second homes, yachts, private aircraft use, etc. Third , the President proposes levying minimum taxes on the 20,000 to 25,000 individuals earning more than $1 million per year. Except for reforming the treatment of carried interest, no change is more overdue. However, just because Warren Buffett coined the phrase “millionaire’s tax” doesn’t mean this tax reform should start with individuals earning more than $1 million a year. This is an absurdly high level of annual income, and a figure of, say, $350,000 and not more than $500,000 would be much more appropriate. (Ask the millions of long-time real unemployed workers what figure they think we should start this reform at, and it certainly won’t be $1 million!)

Read the full article →

Conor White-Sullivan: The Best Jobs Idea I’ve Heard From a Candidate So Far

September 20, 2011

A few years ago my friend Sam Novey ran social media for a relatively unknown candidate during the race for Ted Kennedy’s Senate seat. The candidate billed himself as a “social entrepreneur” looking for grassroots solutions to our major problems. At the time, I had just founded an Internet start-up focused on local civic engagement, and his message appealed to me. I thought he was a little idealistic, but I joined his mailing list and I stayed on it even after he lost the election. Today I’m glad I did. Alan Khazei’s proposal on jobs is remarkable for its simplicity. We give out 99 weeks of unemployment insurance now. What if we turned that into a voucher that employers could redeem for 99 weeks of wages? To put it in perspective, 99 weeks is nearly 2 years. Unemployment insurance covers a fraction of former wages, so if you were making $40,000 a year and were laid off, you might receive $10,000 in unemployment ( it varies state by state ). Under this plan, the unemployed would have the option to give money they had not yet collected to an employer to put towards wages. In the example above that could allow a new company to hire you for your former salary but only pay $30,000. As a caveat: my company has never employed more than four people at a time, and our employees have all been college educated. That said, there are a few reasons I think this is a good idea. 1) There is a powerful psychological benefit to working. Being unemployed sucks. I’ve had enough friends and family crushed by unemployment in this recession to see that firsthand. Unemployment costs much more than lost wages, it is worse than it has been since we started measuring it more than 60 years ago, and a larger portion of the unemployed have been unemployed for an extended period of time (in July the average length of unemployment was 40.4 weeks ). The more tools we can give people to reenter the workforce, the better. 2) As an employer, it feels a lot better to hire someone away from another job than it does to hire someone who is unemployed. There is a certain feeling of confidence that comes with knowing that the person chose to work with you over other options. This is just one of the reasons it can be so much harder to find a job when you have been unemployed for a long period of time. 3) Being able to hire someone for free or at a discount makes it easier to take a shot creating or filling a position you might not usually hire for. More than that, it gives you an incentive to look at candidates who are out of work. Some will argue that these jobs will be lost when the insurance runs out, but they forget that when you look at the cost of recruiting, interviewing, and training, employers have a strong incentive to retain talent. Additionally, any voucher system could easily have a provision saying it could only be used for new jobs, or jobs where a person quit or was fired with cause. I’ll be the first to admit that, as with any new idea, there are plenty of potential problems with this, and there are plenty of debates to be had about specific aspects of the proposal. But, what I like most about this idea is that it isn’t really left or right, it’s just practical. My hope is that we’ve got a Congress that can get itself together long enough to debate some point on its actual merits, deal with potential pitfalls, and push forward a bill that will actually create jobs.

Read the full article →

Gloomy Forecast: IMF Cuts Estimate For U.S. Growth

September 20, 2011

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund is sharply downgrading its outlook for the U.S. economy through 2012 because of weak growth and concern that Europe won’t be able to solve its debt crisis. The international lending organization expects the U.S. economy to grow just 1.5 percent this year and 1.8 percent in 2012. That’s down from its June forecast of 2.5 percent in 2011 and 2.7 percent next year. The IMF has also lowered its outlook for the 17 countries that use the euro. It predicts 1.6 percent growth this year and 1.1 percent next year, down from its June projections of 2 percent and 1.7 percent, respectively. The gloomier forecast for Europe is based on worries that Greece will default on its debt and destabilize the region.

Read the full article →

SLIDESHOW: Tech Startups That Could Save The World

September 20, 2011

Could a Facebook competition encourage users to cut their utility usage? Can a mobile communication network help rural farmers share crop tips? Bringing together activists, world leaders and tech influencers, the second annual Social Good Summit seeks to answer these questions and more. The summit, which kicked off on Monday in New York, aims to find new ways to use new media and technology to make the world a better place. Presented by Mashable, the UN and New York nonprofit community center 92Y, the summit will host a number of events, including an inaugural “Startups for Good Challenge.” This competition showcases new businesses whose primary goal is to tackle, and solve, domestic and international issues. The organizations will compete for a chance to win a $10,000 cash prize. The following eight finalists have been selected to pitch their idea at the Social Good Summit: SLIDESHOW: WATCH Related Video:

Read the full article →

IMF warns U.S., Europe could slip into recession

September 20, 2011

By Lesley Wroughton WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Europe and the United States could slip back into recession next year unless they quickly tackle economic problems that could infect the rest of the world, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday. The IMF said financial volatility had increased dramatically as investors worried about an escalating debt crisis in the euro zone and a weakening U.S. recovery. Those two regions present the biggest risks to the global economic outlook, it said, warning that political gridlock could block remedial action. The fund also called for a more ambitious plan to lower Japan’s public debt. “Policy indecision has exacerbated uncertainty and added to financial strains, feeding back into the real economy,” the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook report. The IMF cut its forecast for global growth to 4.0 percent for this year and next, shaving projections for almost every region of the world and saying risks remained tilted to the downside. Just three months ago it had projected an expansion of 4.3 percent for 2011 and 4.5 percent for 2012. The IMF’s message to European leaders was they should do whatever it takes to preserve confidence in national policies and the euro, and it urged the European Central Bank to lower interest rates if risks to growth persisted. Investors have questioned Europe’s ability to come up with a convincing solution to its festering sovereign debt crisis, which has rattled confidence and roiled financial markets. On Monday, international lenders told Greece to shrink its public sector and improve tax collection to avoid running out of money within weeks, and Standard and Poor’s downgraded its unsolicited ratings on Italy by one notch and kept its outlook on negative — a move that surprised markets. The fund cut its growth forecast for the 17-nation euro zone by nearly half a percentage point to 1.6 percent in 2011 and even weaker conditions are seen for next year with growth of just 1.1 percent. Currently the single currency region is scarcely growing at a 0.25 percent annual rate. The IMF cautioned that hasty budget cuts in the United States could further weaken growth, and it said the U.S. Federal Reserve should stand ready to ease monetary policy further. The Fed meets on Tuesday and Wednesday. The IMF shaved its forecasts for U.S. growth to 1.5 percent for 2011 and 1.8 percent for 2012, down from June projection of 2.5 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively. WEAK AND BUMPY RECOVERY Japan’s economy was forecast to shrink 0.5 percent this year, not quite as severely as previously thought, but to grow just 2.3 percent in 2012. In June, the IMF said Japan would likely grow 2.9 percent next year. Taken together, advanced economies, including the United States, euro zone and Japan, were forecast to expand 1.6 percent this year and 1.9 percent next year. That marks sharp downward revisions from June’s 2.2 percent and 2.6 percent projections. The outlook, it said, was for a “weak and bumpy expansion” The IMF also said prospects for emerging market economies were growing more uncertain, although growth would likely remain fairly strong at about 6.4 percent this year, slowing to 6.1 percent in 2012. Signs of overheating still warranted close attention in emerging market economies, it cautioned. In some countries, higher commodity prices and social and political unrest loomed large, it added. The fund trimmed its forecasts for China and other emerging Asian economies, in part due to slowing global growth. Asian “growth remains strong, although it is moderating with emerging capacity constraints and weaker external demand,” the IMF said. It said it expects China’s economy to grow 9.5 percent in 2011 and 9.0 percent in 2012. That’s down from its June forecasts of 9.6 percent this year and 9.5 percent in 2012. The IMF said headline and core inflation had been on the rise in many parts of the world until recently. An IMF inflation tracker showed inflation pressures were still relatively elevated in emerging and developing economies. But in major advanced economies, inflation had been losing momentum. (Editing by Neil Stempleman)

Read the full article →

Widening Income Inequality Bad For Economic Growth: IMF Report

September 20, 2011

The widening gap between the wealthy and everyone else in the United States may be hindering a broader economic recovery, according to a new study. The study out of the International Monetary Fund found that greater income equality positively correlates with stronger economic growth. Released in September, the study more specifically concluded that a 10 percent decrease in inequality increased the expected duration of economic growth by 50 percent. The IMF paper, which studied a sample of countries around the world between 1950 and 2006, found that in countries with more income inequality, such as Jordan and Cameroon, the economy more frequently plunged into deeper recessions, while economic growth lasted much longer in more equal societies. Indeed, greater levels of income equality corresponded more strongly to sustained economic growth than other economic factors, including lower debt levels, according to the report. “Sustainable economic reform,” the authors write, “is possible only when its benefits are widely shared.” The United States Income inequality has grown in the United States over the past four decades and now more closely compares to the income distributions of Russia and Iran than many other developed economies. And some U.S. corporations are coming to grips with providing for a society with more rich and poor, and fewer middle class. The household-goods manufacturer Procter & Gamble, for example, has reduced its emphasis on middle-market items , instead focusing on developing luxury and bargain items, according to The Wall Street Journal . Yet mushrooming income inequality isn’t exclusive to the United States, rising 0.3 percent every year between the mid-1980s and mid-2000s in OECD countries. Some economists have attributed stagnant wages for most Americans over the past four decades in part to growing inequality , as the rich have mostly benefitted from the country’s recent economic gains . And so long as Americans don’t spend like before, the economy may not be able to fully recover. Historically the backbone of the U.S. economy, the eroding middle class has created an anemic economy , Berkeley labor economist Robert Reich recently wrote. He emphasized that the spending of the richest people alone is not enough to lead to “a virtuous cycle of more jobs and higher living standards.” Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz agrees. “An economy in which most citizens are doing worse year after year — an economy like America’s — is not likely to do well over the long haul,” he recently wrote in Vanity Fair .

Read the full article →

Oil downside risk rises as economic outlook darkens

September 20, 2011

By Christopher Johnson LONDON (Reuters) – A series of supply squeezes have helped keep oil strong this year but some of them have been short-term factors and could give way to longer-term weakness as the outlook for the world economy and global fuel demand dims. The uprising against Muammar Gaddafi in Libya, production problems in the UK and Norwegian North Sea, lower supplies from Russia, central Asia, Nigeria and Angola have all cut supplies, especially of high quality, light, low sulphur crude oil. More than 2 percent of global oil supply has been lost at a time of buoyant demand from emerging economies such as China, keeping the oil market, in the words of a Merrill Lynch report on Tuesday, as “tight as a drum.” Brent crude has stayed above $100 a barrel for most of the year and hit $127 in April, its highest since 2008. But as economic growth slows in the United States and debt crisis deepens in the euro zone oil demand may be slowing. And the economic downturn is coinciding with the removal of some of the supply issues that have been supporting the market as Libyan oil exports restart and North Sea maintenance ends. “The oil market is caught between bearish macro-economic factors and bullish micro-economic factors in the oil sector itself,” said Julian Lee, senior energy analyst at the Center for Global Energy Studies in London. Many analysts say the twin poles of “micro” strength in the oil market and “macro” weakness from a slowing global economy are strong enough to hold for some time, but others are convinced that a period of serious weakness may be imminent. FUTURES SWITCH “Regardless of the current strength of prompt prices, we think there is room for a downward correction in the coming weeks,” said Christophe Barret, global oil analyst at French Bank Credit Agricole. “The longer-term outlook appears weaker for oil prices. The economic environment remains very weak in Europe and the United States, renewing fears of a significant slowdown in the coming months,” Barret added. One sign of the changing attitude to oil prices can be seen in Brent futures, where spreads between nearby oil futures and forward contracts have switched in recent months with forward prices now at a substantial discount to prompt. While futures prices are not a prediction of where the market will go, they are a reflection of current concerns and a deep forward discount shows tightness is seen as temporary. A divergence between stock markets and oil prices could also be a warning signal. Since July, global equities have taken a dive with the MSCI World stock index losing around 15 percent, while Brent has fallen by only half of that. The last time there was a similar divergence, in 2008, it heralded both a sharp fall in oil prices and a deep recession. Copper, a good indicator of real industrial demand, has also taken a sharp tumble since July, leaving oil behind. $75 PER BARREL Chris Weafer, chief strategist at Russian investment company Troika Dialog, said valuations in the Russian stock market, sensitive to oil, are already pricing a substantial fall in the price of Urals crude, which is similar to Brent. “The current equity market level reflects Urals nearer to $75 per barrel,” Weafer said. The biggest single change to oil supply over the next year is likely to be the return of Libyan oil production, which was pumping at around 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) before the uprising in the country took hold in February. Saudi Arabia and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries members have raised output to fill the gap left by Libya and will pump less as Libyan exports resume, OPEC Secretary General Abdullah al-Badri has said. But past experience suggests it is harder to cut output than increase it, especially when spot prices are slipping. Credit Suisse Private Banking commodities analyst Stefan Graber says even with lower oil production from the rest of OPEC, global oil demand may not be strong enough to absorb Libyan oil when it returns to the market “Moderating short-term momentum suggests that prices could extend their pullback in the days ahead,” Graber said. Ultimately, prices will reflect the pace of global oil demand growth, which has tended to be equivalent to around 90 percent of global economic growth minus 2 percentage points. Most forecasts of global GDP growth next year are between 3.5-4.0 percent, suggesting modest growth in oil consumption. But the most recent Reuters poll suggests the probability of a recession in the United States, euro zone and UK is now about one in three, dangerously close to where such predictions have been correct in the past. And if Europe can’t solve its debt and allows it to become a global financial crisis, as some bankers fear, oil could collapse. David Hufton, head of brokers PVM Oil Associates says: “If we come out of next weekend with another set of anemic announcements there is no prospect that oil prices, or any other risk assets, will hold at anything like current levels.” (Editing by James Jukwey)

Read the full article →