September 12, 2009
By Jason Scott Sept. 13 (Bloomberg) — Australia’s unemployment rate will increase from 5.8 percent amid the global financial crisis, boosting the need to maintain the government’s economic stimulus measures, Treasurer Wayne Swan said. “Unfortunately unemployment will continue to rise,†Swan said in his weekly economic note released today. “We know that the government’s action, and the combined efforts of employers and employees, have helped cushion the impact of the global recession on jobs. Ripping the stimulus out prematurely would only pull the rug out from under the recovery, undermine confidence and threaten jobs.†Australian employment fell in August by almost twice as much as economists estimated, adding to signs the economy may slow in coming months. Other reports last week showed retail sales unexpectedly fell in July and home-loan approvals ended a record nine-month run of gains as the effect of government stimulus spending waned. “These figures are a sobering reminder that we’ve got a long way to go,†Swan said today. “While Australia has performed much better than the rest of the world, we still face a big jobs challenge ahead.†The number of people in Australia employed dropped 27,100 from July, when it rose a revised 33,700, the statistics bureau said Sept. 10. The median estimate of 21 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a decline of 15,000. Full-time jobs dropped around 30,800 in August as companies including BHP Billiton Ltd. cut workers amid the global recession that has eroded demand for exports of iron ore and coal. Part-time work increased about 3,800. Eroding Spending BHP, the world’s largest mining company, said on Aug. 25 it will cut 70 jobs at its Mt. Keith nickel project in Western Australia. Huntsman Corp., a U.S.-based chemical maker, said last week it will close a plant in Melbourne, shedding 325 jobs. The drop in employment may also erode consumer spending that helped Australia’s economy expand in the second quarter at the fastest pace in more than a year. Gross domestic product gained 0.6 percent in the second quarter from the previous three months, when it grew 0.4 percent. Domestic demand has been stoked by the decision of central bank Governor Glenn Stevens to slash the overnight cash rate target by 4.25 percentage points between September 2008 and April this year. Cash Handouts The government has issued A$20 billion ($17 billion) in cash handouts to consumers and increased grants to first-time home buyers in a so-far successful bid to avoid recession. The government is also spending A$22 billion on new roads, railways, ports and schools. “It is clear that what makes the stimulus greater than the sum of its parts is the positive impact it has had on confidence in the economy,†Swan said today. “Australia has not been immune from the recession. Unemployment has risen and will continue to rise as the global recession plays out.†Stimulus from governments also helped lift Germany out of its worst recession since World War II, a report showed on Aug. 25. Europe’s largest economy grew 0.3 percent from the first quarter following four quarters of contraction. France’s economy the second biggest in the euro region, unexpectedly exited a yearlong recession, gaining by the same amount as Germany. By contrast, the U.K.’s economy shrank 5.5 percent in the second quarter, the most since records began in 1955, and U.S. GDP dropped 1 percent. To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Scott in Perth at Jscott14@bloomberg.net ;
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September 7, 2009
By Patrick Rial Sept. 8 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks rose, led by banks and technology companies, as Australian business confidence jumped to the highest in almost six years and computer memory prices gained. National Australia Bank Ltd. climbed 3.3 percent in Sydney. Elpida Memory Inc., Japan’s largest maker of dynamic random access memory, rose 2.7 percent after the benchmark price for chips climbed to the highest since August 2008. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s largest mining company, climbed 1.4 percent in Sydney after a metals gauge in London rose to a one-week high. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.4 percent to 114.64 as of 12:11 p.m. in Tokyo, with about nine stocks advancing for every eight that fell. The gauge has climbed 62 percent from a more than five-year low on March 9 on speculation stimulus measures worldwide will revive the global economy. To contact the reporter for this story: Patrick Rial in Tokyo at prial@bloomberg.net ; Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net .
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