business

Harlan Green: We Should Raise Corporate Taxes (Not Lower Them)

March 21, 2012

When Warren Buffet says corporate taxes are too low, we should listen. “It’s a myth that American corporations are paying 35 percent or anything like it,” Buffett said, referring to the top marginal corporate tax rate in a CNBC interview. “Corporate taxes are not strangling American competitiveness.” Corporate taxes are too low for several reasons. Firstly, they are doing little to improve our economy to warrant such favorable treatment. As Buffett said, his corporation pays less in taxes than his Secretary. Yet corporations have record profits, and hirings are at multiple year lows, while hoarding a record $2.3 million in cash. What are they doing with their cash? Most large corporations are either boosting already record executive pay that disregards performance incentives, buying back their stocks to increase the value of their stock options, or looking for Merger and Acquisiton opportunities. There is very little investment in either plant or equipment for organic growth that would boost employment. Graph: St. Louis Fed Corporations are no longer the productive core of our economy, as economists such as Rutgers economic historian James Livingston points out — in fact, haven’t been for the last century. Rather they have used their economic clout to buy legislation that limits or eliminates regulations to control them, and even the Supreme Court, since the Citizens United ruling that allowed unlimited corporate contributions. Professor Livingston says: “Between 1900 and 2000 real gross domestic product per capita (the output of goods and services per person) grew more than 600 percent. Meanwhile, net business investment declined 70 percent as a share of G.D.P. What’s more, in 1900 almost all investment came from the private sector — from companies, not from government — whereas in 2000, most investment was either from government spending (out of tax revenues) or “residential investment,” which means consumer spending on housing, rather than business expenditure on plants, equipment and labor.” Their power was at one time balanced by both government regulations and labor unions, the countervailing power pronounced by J.K. Galbraith in The Affluent Society . That was before they were able to systematically decimate labor unions. Corporate ‘leadership’ councils succeeded in eroding union bargaining and organizing rights, while lobbyists flooded Congress to write anti-union legislation. This is while 23 state legislatures to date have enacted Right-To-Work laws that are really right-to-not-pay union dues, even though union members enjoyed union benefits. Corporations have become too powerful, in other words, overriding the balance of powers enshrined in our constitution and laws that limited the power of any one economic sector over American lives. The result has been successive asset bubbles since 2000, as well as record income inequality. It is now well-known that since the 1970s wealth has been shifted from workers — mainly the 80 percent who are wage and salary earners — to the ‘rentiers’; major investors, as well as Wall Street and corporate executives who control most of the wealth. It is time to downsize their power, and raising the corporate tax rate is a good place to start. We now know how this happened. This is well documented in such books as Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson’s Winner-Take-All Politics . It began in the 1970s, as Big Business began to organize to oppose what they saw as too much government — in reality regulations (including tax codes) that restricted their profits. Their main tool is of course their lobbying largesse. Officially, say Hacker and Pierson, more than $3 billion per year is spent or donated to influence just federal legislation, a figure that has doubled over just the last decade. Two of the most visible lobbying entities are the U.S. Chamber of Commerce that advocates abolishing corporate taxes altogether, as well as the National Federation of Independent Business representing small businesses, which tends to lobby against any government regulation of business. Both organizations’ memberships doubled during the 1970s. So corporate profits do not drive economic growth, says Livingston — they’re just restless sums of surplus capital, ready to flood speculative markets at home and abroad. “In the 1920s, they inflated the stock market bubble, and then caused the Great Crash. Since the Reagan revolution, these superfluous profits have fed corporate mergers and takeovers, driven the dot-com craze, financed the “shadow banking” system of hedge funds and securitized investment vehicles, fueled monetary meltdowns in every hemisphere and inflated the housing bubble.” There is another way to level the playing field between workers and corporations. And would be to increase the incomes of employees, which have fallen for so many years. But that would require the roll back of the many anti-labor laws that have blossomed since the 1970s. Graph: St. Louis Fed But then is it any easier to close the tax loopholes that have allowed Warren Buffett’s taxes to be lower than his secretary’s? Raising corporate taxes — or closing all the loopholes — is a first step if we want to create a sustainable recovery, rather than more busted bubbles. The alternative is more economic uncertainty which will certainly cause a further decline in our global competitiveness.

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Ben Cohen: Why Goldman Sachs Resignation Could Spark Seismic Change

March 21, 2012

The departure of Greg Smith, the executive director and head of Goldman Sachs’ United States equity derivatives business in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, has made huge ripples in the financial industry. While there have been other Wall Street bankers quitting the industry out of disgust, none have been as high profile as Smith, and none have published the reasons for their departure in the New York Times . Smith tore into his former employer, accusing the company of ripping off its customers and promoting dangerous culture of greed. He wrote : What are three quick ways to become a leader?a) Execute on the firm’s “axes,” which is Goldman-speak for persuading your clients to invest in the stocks or other products that we are trying to get rid of because they are not seen as having a lot of potential profit. b) “Hunt Elephants.” In English: get your clients — some of whom are sophisticated, and some of whom aren’t — to trade whatever will bring the biggest profit to Goldman. Call me old-fashioned, but I don’t like selling my clients a product that is wrong for them. c) Find yourself sitting in a seat where your job is to trade any illiquid, opaque product with a three-letter acronym. Goldman Sachs has been vilified by the media and pounded relentlessly by journalists like Matt Taibbi and Paul Krugman . The Occupy Wall Street movement has also focused much of its attention on the bank, making it about the most despised institution in America. The stock price hasn’t budged much since Smith’s departure, leading insiders to believe the uncomfortable affair was an annoying but inconsequential glitch. But just as Wall Street only thinks short term, it may not have thought too deeply about the longer lasting effects. Taibbi, the journalist responsible for labeling Goldman a ‘ Vampire Squid ‘ believes Smith’s departure signifies the beginning of something more powerful than the popular movements going on around the country: Real change was always going to have to come from within Wall Street itself, and the surest way for that to happen is for the managers of pension funds and union retirement funds and other institutional investors to see that the Goldmans of the world aren’t just arrogant sleazebags, they’re also not terribly good at managing your money … The only way to break this cycle, since our government doesn’t seem to want to end its habit of financially supporting fraud-committing, repeat-offending, client-fleecing banks, is for these big “muppet” clients to start taking their business elsewhere. Right now, many clients stay because they think that even if Goldman takes a bite out of them here and there, the bank still has the smartest guys in the room. But as Forbes writes this morning, this incident may turn Goldman into such a pariah that the best young bankers won’t want to work there anymore. The impetus for change comes from culture — and predicting when massive shifts in culture happens is difficult to do. Nobody foresaw the explosion of the Occupy Wall Street movement, just as no one saw the Arab Spring coming. The seismic change in the Middle East started when a young street vendor, Mohamed Bouazizi, set himself on fire in Tunisia in protest of continuous harassment by the police and the confiscation of his wares. While war, political tension, and economic uncertainty across the region provided the fuel for the movement, one single event ignited protests that changed the political dynamics of a region. The resignation of Greg Smith may or may not be the beginning of something big, but more and more of these events are happening and one of them could provide the tipping point for an irreversible change in culture. Smith’s resignation was an important act of defiance, and a signal to other employees that they too can stand up for what is right. Another big name executive leaves, unable to live with the havoc Goldman or any other insidious banking institution is wreaking upon the economy, the shift in culture may become too big to stop. The conditions for serious change are there; the economy is still extremely fragile with high unemployment, massive job insecurity and spiraling inequality. Who knows when or where the ignition will happen, but as Goldman continues to disregard their clients and the well being of the economy, it is becoming clear that they are living on borrowed time. Change does not necessarily come from within institutions — it is unlikely that Goldman Sachs will suddenly go back to its more ethical roots. But when no one believes in the institution, it may simply fall apart. Ben Cohen is the editor of the recently relaunched TheDailyBanter.com

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Brian Tolle: Your Innovation Lifejacket: Pull to Inflate

March 21, 2012

Ever received an email like this one from your boss? Please send me two to three innovative ideas by close of business tomorrow. By the way, you open the email at 8:30 p.m. after putting your kids to bed. OK, so your first reaction is, “what the… ” (This may be on the Huffington Post but this blog is family-friendly.) Your second reaction is brain freeze, as if you just chugged a Slurpee. That’s what panic will do to you. Your third reaction (hopefully) is to start thinking, “Now what am I going to do?” That’s when you should reach for the following “Innovation Lifejacket” — quick questions to ask yourself to get the ideas bubbling. Remember, your boss didn’t ask for a business plan, just ideas. Ready? KIIS — Keep It Intuitive, Stupid. This one is all about “ease of use.” The payoff is that there are usually lots of potential customers not using your offering because they see or experience it as too complicated. God bless our engineers but they sure do love to, well, over-engineer things. Let you be the counter-balance to your engineers. Example: I just opened a Square account to take credit card purchases for my book at speaking engagements using my iPhone. Everything about setting it up was easy. Everything. I’m sure I ended up making trade-offs that I haven’t even learned about this early in the game but so far, I’m in love. Strip Show This is a close relative to first one. There is always a market for a version of your product or service with less functionality. It’s a simple fact that people only want to buy what they really want. When we load up the bells and whistles we run the risk of turning off potential customers. They may be outside the United States or they may be a population you don’t want to associate your brand with for fear of tarnishing it. But at least they’re paying customers. Example: QuickBooks Online — not as a shining example but as an offering that can strip down even further for someone like me. 3. PIY — Pump It Yourself This is the self-service option. Shift your low-end customers to a lower cost checkout option to reserve higher-end customers for your talented sales staff. Example: I was in my local Apple store recently with a friend who was ready to buy a $1,800 MacBook Pro. I tagged along and decided to see what they had for propping up my iPad. He picked out his laptop; I picked out my $30 cookbook stand. A different store employee came up to me and asked me if I was ready to buy the stand. I said “yes” and she said, “do you have your iPhone on you?” She then showed me the EasyPay function through the Apple store app where I could check myself out with no employee help. It’s way smarter to give the high touch service to the $1,800 sale than the $30 one. Bonus Sources Ugh Moments This one is a bit more general. Look for moments as your customers experience your product or service where they struggle. Therein lies an opportunity for innovation — to make the experience more relevant or useful to your customer, not to you. Backroom Innovation Use Osterwalder, Pigneur, and Smith’s Business Model Canvas to help you think about opportunities for innovation in the other parts of your business model besides products and services. How about different channels or supplier relationships?

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Lori Wallach: Trade Deals: Backdoor Financial Deregulation

March 20, 2012

Wall Street has a new power tool to demolish financial stability policies, and it comes from a source many would not expect. It’s not the cozy relationship between Wall Street and some members of Congress, or the hordes of bankster lobbyists who roam Capitol Hill. Wall Street has obtained and is now pushing for more powers to challenge U.S. and other nations’ financial regulations via the international agreements that it has sold to a skeptical American public under the appealing brand of export-expanding “free trade” deals. In Sunday’s New York Times , Gretchen Morgenson described how the financial provisions of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement) operate as backdoor deregulation instruments. Those of us who have studied these so-called “trade deals” understand that these agreements have very little to do with trade per se. Rather, they mainly include new rights for corporations and new constraints on governments’ non-trade regulatory policy space. As my piece in a special edition of the American Prospect shows, instead of following through on President Obama’s campaign commitments to fix this backdoor corporate power grab, now the administration is rushing to massively expand this mess by completing a Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) deal now being negotiated behind closed doors with eight Pacific Rim nations . Like NAFTA before it, the TPP would establish a two-track judicial system for corporations, giving them the right to attack our financial regulations before tribunals of three private sector attorneys operating under World Bank and UN arbitral rules . This “investor-state” system allows firms to skirt our courts and laws to directly sue our governments for cash damages over regulatory policies that they claim undermine their “expected future profits.” And, this is no hypothetical threat. Currently, Chevron is using an “investor-state” tribunal to try to avoid paying $18 billion to clean up horrific contamination in the Amazon ordered after 18 years of U.S. and Ecuadorian court rulings. Philip Morris is using the system to attack Australian and Uruguayan cigarette plain packaging laws. More than $675 million has been paid by governments to corporations under U.S. pacts’ “investor-state” provisions alone, 70 percent of which has been in attacks on environmental, health and other non-trade policies. There are 11,933 corporations cross-registered between the TPP nations to which the Obama administration is now pushing to extend these outrageous powers. Morgenson’s article serves as a rallying cry for those who care about financial stability or about the sovereign right of the Congress and state legislatures to enact an array of public interest policies prohibited in these pacts. She notes threatened attacks on the Volcker rule using NAFTA. The Volcker rule is a part of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. It was designed to stop banks from making the kind of risky speculative moves that contributed to the financial crisis, by preventing them from making bets for themselves with deposits backed by taxpayers. The Investment Industry Association of Canada argues that ” the Volcker rules may contravene the NAFTA trade agreement.” Morgenson also revealed that the Obama administration had blocked a call simply to review the 1990s WTO financial sector rules to ensure that they were consistent with the regulatory push underway in many countries. Last month, Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.) sent a letter to the administration calling out the administration for blocking this review, focused on how these rules ban the use of capital controls — key tools to counter floods of speculative money that now even the International Monetary Fund (IMF) considers “an essential feature of the monetary policy framework.” As Morgenson notes, such WTO rules are controversial among the trade deal’s member countries. Over a year ago, Barbados raised these problems at the WTO and proposed reforms. When Ecuador, backed by a weighty block of other WTO member countries, asked for a simple review of these rules, the U.S. blocked it – a move that is hard to understand as anything but promoting Wall Street’s best interest over those of the American public. The problems that Morgenson exposes in the WTO and NAFTA are all the more pressing, since the U.S. is currently negotiating a new “trade” deal. Once again, with the TPP, we are hearing the same sales pitch about how the deal could expand exports. This is a shameless claim, made even with respect to the recent enacted Korea Free Trade Agreement, which the official U.S. International Trade Commission study concluded would increase the U.S. trade deficit and specially slam seven manufacturing sectors . The TPP is being negotiated behind closed doors and the text is being kept secret. However, we know that U.S. negotiators are pushing to extend a ban on capital controls, impose limits on domestic financial regulation and again empower direct corporate attacks on these policies through the investor-state regime. The TPP (which now includes Vietnam, the U.S. and seven other Pacific Rim nations, but would be open for China, Russia and others to join) would outright prohibit certain types of financial regulations that countries would no longer be allowed to “adopt or maintain” even if they apply to domestic and foreign firms alike. If it sounds like the Bush administration is negotiating the deal, it is because the draft text was written during the Bush presidency. Morgenson’s article should serve as a wakeup call that so-called “trade” deals aren’t really mainly about trade but operate as a one-percenter power tool. As we mark 18 years of NAFTA’s damage, there is still time to stop the TPP. If President Obama wants to ensure financial stability here and abroad, he must tell his trade negotiators to stop pushing a TPP that is emerging as NAFTA on steroids with Asia. In the meantime, Americans must demand that the TPP text, which had its 11th round of negotiations last week in Australia, be made public. Certainly we must have the same access as the 600 corporate official U.S. trade “advisors” who are allowed to see the text. The last time a regional agreement of this sort was attempted, the Free Trade Area of the Americas, a draft text was released – by the Bush administration. But repeated demands to release the TPP text have to date been rebuffed by the Obama administration, even as it touts its commitment to government transparency.

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James Perry: Banks Could Learn a Thing or Two

March 20, 2012

Plunging from revered financial arbiter to America’s anathema — the lending industry has descended in dramatic fashion. Expressions of lending industry scorn are now standard fodder in a near constant flow of blogs, newspaper articles, editorials, evening news reporting and cable news analysis. Consumer scorn is not only shared around kitchen tables, places of worship and work place water colors, rather, it is embodied in the Occupy Movement. In fact the movement so embodied the public’s disdain, that at the urging of the Occupy Movement, people en masse closed bank accounts at major banking institutions and opted for credit unions. Arguably, in the last ten years we have not seen a more visceral example of capitalism gone awry. Lending institutions got away from core business principles that required fiscal soundness, conservative growth, honesty in business and a recognition of the interconnectedness of profitability and community. The principled belief that a stronger local, state and national community results in a stronger more consistent bottom line for lending institutions is not just feel good chatter. In fact, the existence of lending institutions relies upon this business principle. If lenders strip all equity and worth from communities then they end up destroying the very source of their income and ultimately, their entire business. Regrettably, we have seen lending institutions all too eager to feast on the hen that lays the golden eggs. It was the cause of the tumult and eventual ruin of Lehman Brothers, Country Wide Mortgage, AIG and others. Perhaps a refresher course in the form of a business school style case studio would do well by CEO’s of top lending institutions. Enter Kiva New Orleans . Kiva New Orleans is a non-profit small business lender where quite literally, you make the loan. Any and everyone in the world, can visit the Kiva web site and loan capital to small businesses. Here’s how it works . Interested small businesses and entrepreneurs, are counseled and qualified by business experts. Once qualified, they post information about their business model and the exact purpose and goal for the loan on the Kiva website. In the post, they explain their business model and loan repayment strategy all with an eye toward persuading site visitors to loan them the capital necessary to make their business grow. Visitors to the Kiva site commit $25 to $250 pooling as much as $10,000 to capitalize the proposed project. The small businesses then make use of the capital and repay the loan over 24 to 36 months. Kiva businesses have a 98.91 percent repayment rate . So clearly Kiva lenders are not the typical bunch of Armani wearing Wall Street money guys. Instead regular people looking for a chance to help community while simultaneously generating income examine business proposals and build their own loan portfolios. Kiva, has been operating since 2004 lending more than $ 293 million over only eight years . Seeing a need for community minded capital in the United States of America, Kiva decided to launch loan projects in Detroit and New Orleans . The results have been incredible. I interviewed staff of Kiva New New Orleans and found out that in only 6 months, 32 area small business entrepreneurs received loan capital, totaling $272,500. 100 percent of these businesses are minority-owned. 66 percent are women-owned. 57 percent are start-ups. 88 percent are low-income. And amazingly, but not surprisingly, 100 percent of these minority small business entrepreneurs were turned down for loans from traditional funding sources… you know, the Armani Suit Wall Street types. So there is a clear lesson to be learned from the greed induced profit by any means lending model that has spurred a financial crisis inducing massive home foreclosures and nearly bankrupting America. Respect and compassion for community is a requisite ingredient in the mixture that constitutes responsible lending. A business model that destroys the very thing that sustains it, will fail in the long term. The Kiva approach proves that real people get it. It is only the Wall Street types whose hunger for profitability leads them to devour the hand that feeds them. And while recent $25 billion dollar fines paid by major actors in the lending crisis may send a strong message. It surely is not enough. In fact the entire lending system may need to be retooled. And I know that I suggested a business school refresher course for big bank CEO’s, but maybe I was wrong. Perhaps what they really need is a good old talking to by some the regular people who made loans through Kiva to grow business and make community strong.

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Gary Oakland: Why Credit Unions Matter

March 20, 2012

BECU, formerly the Boeing Employees’ Credit Union, was founded in 1935, by 18 members with an initial investment of only $9. Today BECU services 750,000 customers. BECU has grown, but our core philosophy has not changed. BECU remains a not-for-profit financial cooperative that exists to serve our members. Credit unions are a vital source for consumer financial services and private sector lending. Credit unions serve more than 90 million Americans and play a key role in supporting our economic recovery by extending much needed credit in communities across the country. And our numbers are growing. Nationally, more than 1.3 million Americans opened new credit union accounts in the past year. BECU welcomed over 100,000 new members in the same period. This growth is a testament to credit unions’ commitment to providing consumers access to affordable financial services. Unfortunately, current law imposes inflexible regulatory capital requirements on credit unions which unfairly penalize healthy credit unions for growing to meet the needs of their members. As a result, many credit unions are being forced to consider discouraging deposits, limiting new memberships and scaling back member services. This is a disservice to the communities we serve. That is why BECU counts itself among the many credit unions across the country that support the Capital Access for Small Businesses and Jobs Act, H.R. 3993 , introduced by Representatives Peter King (R-NY) and Brad Sherman (D-CA) on February 9, 2012. This bi-partisan legislation would permit credit unions to accept additional forms of capital to supplement their retained earnings in a manner that is consistent with their status as a not-for-profit financial cooperative. Supplemental capital is a tool that would help well-managed credit unions, large and small, meet their members’ demand for affordable financial services. Expanded capital authority will enhance credit unions’ ability to serve their members, promote safety and soundness of the credit union system, and benefit the broader economic recovery by facilitating job growth. BECU’s commitment to serving its members extends to doing what we can to help stimulate an economic recovery and create jobs in the communities which we serve. H.R. 3993 would help us achieve these goals. Congress should support supplemental capital for credit unions now.

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Denise Bowyer: Smith and Lesson

March 20, 2012

Roger Smith, CEO and Scott Smith, President of American Income Life and National Income Life Insurance Companies could have told you years ago, exactly what Greg Smith, ex Goldman Sachs Executive, told us a few days ago. “Wall Street is greedy. Goldman Sachs puts profits ahead of clients. The system is rigged to benefit wealth creation for the very privileged. The Golden Rule is — those who have the Gold Make the Rules.” Perhaps the public shaming of Goldman Sachs will force cultural changes within their organization and others on Wall Street, maybe not. The toxic and destructive environment portrayed by Greg Smith is really a much bigger story about a corrupted system of players, politicos, and public media mouthpieces. Unfortunately, there are those who are intent on putting a gun to the head of the middle class — their story is the same. We need to take away their license to destroy. It’s time to change the Golden rule and enforce a system that provides oversight, accountability and transparency. Let’s start now. Here is an example. JOBS — Roger Smith states, “It is not the time to strip away the few rules that hold companies accountable while raising capital. The Jumpstart our Business Startups (JOBS) ACT should NOT be signed without significant investor protection language. Without some real oversight and safeguards, I fear that that investors and crowd funders just might get trampled under the weight of “billion dollar emerging growth companies” running to raise money. ” My understanding is, under the bill, investment banks that underwrite stock offerings could publish research reports before the IPOs, offering investor’s information that would compete with the regulated disclosures required by the SEC. Seriously, as investors who do you believe would protect your interest, Mary Schapiro at the SEC or the likes of Lloyd Blankenfein at Goldman Sachs ? I’m taking Greg Smith’s advice and steering clear of Goldman Sachs. I don’t hold out hope that public shaming will change the likes of GS or the many companies who put profits before people. Now is the time to support companies that create a culture that honors the contract between Main Street and Wall Street. Now is the time, to support companies with years of practice; in serving the clients interest, accepting the moral responsibilities of stewardship, and putting long term interests ahead of transactional profits. We all make choices. Now is the time to choose wisely, your future depends on it.

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Georges Ugeux: Italy Must Reschedule Its Debt Now

March 20, 2012

The recent weeks have been extraordinary. After considering that Europe was going to bankrupt and that the economy was in recession, investors and market participants have decided to be optimistic. As always, they disregard the dangers and prefer to believe that the recovery is happening. One of the elements of this euphoria is the bailout of Greece: the impact of a $150-billion haircut for the private sector, which will graciously receive $60 billion in new bonds — between 25 and 30 percent their face value. In a strange way, this overoptimism could become an opportunity. The Overoptimism Is Obvious The non-AAA issuers of sovereign bonds will need $500 billion to refinance their debt, of which $300 billion will be… Italian. The mismanagement of the Greek debt under Berlusconi was abysmal. The result is that the Italian public debt reached $2 trillion. It is four times that of Greece. Greece was a problem, but the collapse of Italy is not manageable. Fifty percent of the Italian debt will mature in the next two years. This is a Damocles sword, and it is not going away any time soon. The problem does not affect Europe only. According to Business Week , JP Morgan, Citi, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley hold $19.5 in net derivative exposure on Italy. Where Is the Opportunity? Over the past three months, the 10-year bonds of Italy saw their yield decrease from 7.26 percent to 4.8 percent today. This means that Italy has the ability to organize a voluntary exchange of its bonds maturing in 2012 and 2013 into a 5-percent five-year bond issue. It would reduce the undue concentration of its refinancing over the next two years, and the bondholders who would do that exchange would increase their interest rate for a longer maturity. Those bonds would trade at par, and no sacrifice is required of the bondholders. After a $1.3-trillion “gift” to the European banks who are using it to refinance their debt, the European Central Bank has a balance sheet twice as large as the Federal Reserve. It has exhausted its intervention possibilities. Why Is It Not Happening? Nobody wants to take the initiative. Europe considers that it has more urgent matters. The bondholders are traumatized by the Greek bailout. Italy does not want to take initiatives that would appear to be desperate. We know by now that the Eurozone leaders are incapable of managing a crisis, and that their inaction on the Greek crisis came with a huge sot for all private lenders. Si vis pacem para bellum. If you want peace, prepare the war. This Latin adage is pointing in the direction of taking immediately the necessary preemptive measures to avoid unnecessary risks. Today’s position is nothing else than a trillion-dollar bet on two years of market (over)optimism. As in-digest as it was, the Greek moussaka was… a piece of cake. An Italian default will bankrupt Europe and seriously shake the entire world. Nobody should take such a huge bet. Didn’t we learn our lesson?

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Jerry Ashton: Even JPMorgan Chase Takes Cover When ‘Mt. Saint Almonte’ Explodes

March 19, 2012

In the second in a series in American Banker on JPMorgan Chase’s delinquent credit card collections operation which ground to a halt in a spectacular fashion in 2009, reporter Jeff Horwitz details what the bank is learning to its horror — you don’t mess with Linda Almonte. Linda, described as a “midlevel Chase executive,” was unceremoniously escorted out the door by the bank’s credit card litigation support group in San Antonio late that year for challenging her superiors as to the integrity of a $250,000,000 portfolio of card debt they were preparing to sell to debt buyers. In appreciation of that treatment — and for Chase essentially destroying her banking career — Linda Almonte responded with a wrongful termination case. The bank then hired big-gun Houston firm Baker Botts to represent them and the case was settled. But not for Almonte Aware that Chase’s practices had not changed, in 2009-2010 she took the matter to the FTC, Congressional Oversight Committee and Senate Banking Committee. No luck here, as no one seemed to want to deal with another big bank scandal — much less a TBTF (Too Big To Fail) firm which had extracted billions of taxpayer dollars to stay in business. When Chase, in response, caused the case to be moved to federal court, Almonte’s plight caught the attention of the local and national press. The New York Times ran a prominent article in its business section highlighting her and her allegations and coined Almonte’s phrase “robosigning.” (Coincidentally, some $45.9 billion in consumer lawsuits were dropped and Chase acknowledges that Almonte’s case has had a significant impact on their credit card division’s bottom line.) Linda took her treasure trove of files with her to national press and began working with Scott Pelley, CBS and 60 Minutes to patiently educate producers and reporters on how to research her allegations and build an incontrovertible case. Once the SEC Whistleblower Program was up and running in August, 2011, Linda set about to establish an SEC Whistleblower claim — which then caused her supporting documents to become public information. She also complained to the OCC (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency) which dispatched enforcement staffers to the San Antonio bank offices for two months. They have since left, and the investigation is described as “ongoing.” Alert reporters begin digging… the best work to date being done by American Banker ‘s Jeff Horwitz… and national television broadcasts are in the works. The bottom line expense for JPMorgan Chase… one which is constantly and unhappily expanding…is that it has had to – as Horwitz put it — “mothball” a legal operation that had been producing several billion dollars in legal judgments a year and more than $1.2 billion in recoveries. And, what stoked this eruption? By punishing one of its own for actually doing her job — which as a six sigma black belt in quality control meant protecting the bank from crossing any legal lines — they set into motion the legal and ethical foundations for the case which she has prepared. More than that, it stoked fire and anger. When Linda was put out on the street, it was along with her husband and four children. They moved from a comfortable apartment to cheap motels. The children were pulled from school and hauled to Florida where expenses were manageable. And she was out of work for over a year. JPMorgan Chase may have made this lady unemployable, but Jamie Dimon may personally be contemplating this possibility when the ashes of Mt. St. Almonte settle and the final wheels of justice grind to a halt. You just don’t mess with Linda Almonte.

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Bruce Judson: A Seven Day Plan to Finally Hold Wall Street Accountable

March 19, 2012

It’s now a near certainty that Wall Street executives committed felonies. The recently released audits of robo-mortgage activities by the Office of the Inspector General of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) details shocking behavior at the five banks constituting the Federal Housing Administration’s largest mortgage servicers. At Wells Fargo, management quashed a midlevel manager’s study of the foreclosure process as negative results began to emerge, and it gave an individual whose last job had been in a pizza restaurant the title of ” vice-president of loan documentation ” to facilitate robo-mortgage signing. Bank of America evaluated employees on the volume of foreclosure affidavits produced. JP Morgan Chase gave individuals titles such as ” vice-president of Chase Home ” where “the titles were given by Chase for the sole purpose of allowing individuals to sign documents and came with no other duties or authority.” Citigroup and Ally similarly engaged in seemingly illegal practices. Under federal law , the knowing filing of a false affidavit with the court is a felony offense of perjury, punishable by a prison term of up to five years. An individual violates laws against perjury whether he or she personally appears in court and swears to a false statement or provides the court with a false affidavit. Individual states have their own perjury laws, which were undoubtedly violated as well. The HUD report also suggests that individual banks may be guilty of obstruction of justice and the criminal violation of the False Claims Act for filing insurance claims without following HUD requirements. Since the start of the financial crisis, federal and state officials have been struggling to change Wall Street behavior. To date, every effort has failed miserably, and the weak enforcement provisions of the robo-mortgage settlement are unlikely to meaningfully change this dynamic. Government officials have also relied, with very few exceptions, entirely on civil enforcement when criminal laws appear to have been egregiously violated. The greatest moral hazard now confronting the nation is what appears to be increasingly brazen criminal activity by financial industry executives. With each decision not to prosecute, Wall Street executives justifiably conclude that they are immune to the rules. As a result, it appears that Wall Street criminal activity is increasing in frequency and severity, as opposed to the reverse. The activities surrounding the collapse of MF Global are one example. So what can be done about it? We can change the behavior in the financial service industry for a full generation in just seven days. This plan may seem to be tongue and cheek, but it harkens back to a similar action in the era of the Great Depression. In the final months of Herbert Hoover’s presidency, the Senate Banking Committee began an investigation into the causes of the Great Crash of 1929, and a young prosecutor named Ferdinand Pecora was appointed as Chief Counsel. Subsequently, the Roosevelt administration conveyed to Pecora that “the prosecution of an outstanding violator of the banking law would be the most salutary action that could be taken at this time. The feeling is that if the people become convinced that the big violators are to be punished, it will be helpful in restoring confidence.” Ultimately, this investigation , which came to be known as the Pecora Commission, led to the indictment of one of America’s most prominent financiers; demonstrated widespread self-dealing in the financial sector; and, as noted by historian Alan Brinkley , generated “broad popular support” for Roosevelt’s reform agenda, including the creation of the SEC and the Glass-Steagall Act . My seven day plan is based on a simple premise: When criminal laws are egregiously violated, the guilty parties should face appropriate punishment. Here’s the plan: Day One : Read the HUD Inspector General’s reports and the public records of past mortgage foreclosure cases from across the nation. Day Two: Meet with the team at the Office of the Inspector General at HUD that prepared the audits. Obtain the names of all the bank officials, lawyers, and notaries whose behavior, as cited in the audit reports or otherwise known to the investigators, represent clear and unquestionable criminal violations. Add to this list other individuals who have similarly demonstrated or testified to behavior unquestionably constituting criminal acts, as indicated by the public records of the mortgage foreclosure cases reviewed in day one. Day Three : Indict all of the individuals on the list compiled on day two. Day Four : Indict banks and financial institutions on criminal charges where criminal behavior by employees (as demonstrated by day three indictments) appears to be endemic. The Justice Department guidelines for prosecuting firms include : (1) the pervasiveness of such activity, (2) the compliance procedures in place, (3) attempts by the corporation to end bad behavior, and (4) cooperation with federal investigators. In 2008, the Justice Department adopted a policy of accepting “ deferred prosecutions ,” involving agreements to change corporate behavior without damaging innocent third parties through prosecution. Corporations receive the benefits of “ legal persons ,” as demonstrated by Citizens United . But they must also bear the responsibilities of these privileges. A reading of the HUD reports, and other public records, suggests several banks should clearly be prosecuted. Day 5 : Discuss plea bargains with indicted lower-level officials in return for cooperating in investigations of higher-level officials. Day 6: Consider plea bargains with indicted banks, which require the removal of all remaining officers and directors who were serving when egregious criminal activity occurred, as well as senior officials who were in a position to exercise appropriate supervisory responsibility but chose to look the other way. Day 7: Indict any senior Wall Street officials implicated by new cooperative testimony resulting from activities on day five. Adopt and announce a policy that future criminal violations will be prosecuted in a similar fashion. What is particularly disturbing is that a look at the evidence already in the public domain (much less what investigators already know) shows that none of the actions discussed above are entirely absurd. The purpose of prosecution is not simply punishment. It acts to deter further illegal activity and to restore public confidence in our system of governance. The nation desperately needs both of these benefits today. Moreover, these ongoing, almost certainly criminal activities are ultimately dangerous threats to our economy, the success of capitalism, and our democracy. In his recent New York Times column on the collapse of MF Global, Joe Nocera noted that “customers need to be able to trust” the laws protecting their money. “Otherwise, the markets can’t function.” Today, as in the era of FDR, we must send a message to the financial community that illegal behavior will not be tolerated. By prosecuting blatant felonies now, we will deter future misbehavior and begin the process of recreating a fair society where equal justice prevails. This article originally appeared as part of the Restoring Capitalism series at the New Deal 2.0 blog , a project of the Roosevelt Institute.

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Harlan Green: Greater Lawlessness Causes Great Recessions

March 19, 2012

We know Greg Smith’s unveiling of Goldman Sachs’ “culture” of profits ahead of clients’ interests was nothing new. And that real laws were broken — from conflicts of interest to outright fraud. The 2010 congressional hearings unveiled much of the double dealing that was rationalized by Goldman Sachs’ buyer-beware code — its clients should be sophisticated enough to know that Goldman would try to maximize its own profits, before those of its clients. But other laws were broken, as well as economic rules that govern sound business practices, in the run up to the Great Recession. Pundits have traced the decline of Wall Street ethics from the morphing of partnership-owned investment banks to financial corporations, as well as the enormous growth of financial markets that bred outright greed. But there is little mention of the behavior that caused our economic decline into the Great Recession. Behind this culture of greed and unethical behavior was a culture of greater lawlessness that can be traced back to the early 1980s when President Ronald Reagan trumpeted that government was the problem and more private enterprise the solution for greater prosperity. In attempting to downgrade governmental powers, conservative regimes in particular began to consciously disregard the laws of our land — from enforcement of existing regulations, to Iran-contra gun-running in President Reagan’s case, to abrogating international treaties such as START and political muzzling Department of Justice attorneys general under G.W. Bush, to name just a few cases. The number of convicted criminals in those administrations tells part of the story. President Reagan’s administration was marked by multiple scandals, resulting in the investigation, indictment, or conviction of over 138 administration officials, the largest number for any U.S. president. And Salon.com had documented 34 incidents of law-breaking in just the first 4 years of G.W. Bush’s Presidency, the most blatant being unmasking covert CIA operative Valerie Plame, and its fabricated claims that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction. But even more damage was the disregard of basic economic safeguards by successive Republican administrations. It was really the attempt of Big Business to unravel the economic safeguards of the New Deal, first spelled out in Paul Krugman’s The Great Unraveling , by advocating massive budget deficits to pay for a Pax Americana — with especially severe consequences for the old and poor. “Deficits don’t matter” was the infamous chant of Bush VP Dick Cheney. At a time when economic inequality had risen to levels last seen in the 1920s, these administrations wanted to divert attention from a vanishing social safety net by proposing the ago-old Darwinian solution — the free market. For only the fittest will survive in a world ruled by self-interest, rather than laws and regulations. The United States, beginning in the 1980s once again became the most ardent advocate and practitioner of the oldest form of capitalism, now a primitive relic of 18th century enlightenment. This is but one part of our aging democracy that U.S. hegemonists put up as the model for western civilization. But it is a very imperfect model for the rest of the world as well. A 2002 survey of 38,000 people in 44 countries by the Pew Center for the People and the Press found what they think of our American Way. “Since 2000, favorability ratings for the U.S. have fallen in 19 of the 27 countries where trend benchmarks are available … pluralities in most of the nations surveyed complain about American unilateralism,” says the study. They think we disregard their interests in pursuit of our own self-interest. Few dispute that our capitalistic economic system has won the day. It produces great wealth, particularly for those at the top of the wealth pyramid. Robert Reich’s book, The Future of Success said it best: “By the end of the (20th) century, the richest 1 percent of American families, comprising 2.7 million people, had as many dollars to spend after taxes as the bottom 100 million.” But not for the 99 percent majority, in other words. Why so much greed, and willful lawlessness? This last happened in the 1920s run up to the Great Depression. Fear overruled both laws and financial common sense, so that the lobbyists of self-interest came to the fore. Our economy was being transformed — from rural to industrial economy, which drove workers into the cities. Wages plunged along with prices, and so did economic activity for more than 10 years. It was only Roosevelt’s New Deal that brought benefits to the larger majority of citizens and leveled the economic playing field. The same has happened today. Conservatives are again impoverishing the economy in their attempt to destroy our working class as we know it, by passing laws that ban collective bargaining in states like Wisconsin, or right to work laws that say workers do not have to pay union dues even though they derive the benefits from belonging to a union. We know the results in Wisconsin after one year. Employment has plunged and is the worst of the Midwest states that surround it, according to the Economic Policy Institute . It is no coincidence that those 23 states that have passed right to work laws are also the poorest states, with the highest income inequality, lowest educational achievement, and receive the most in public subsidies . Taking incomes and wealth away from those states’ workers can only make them poorer in relation to other states and regions, and be a continuing drain on public finances. That is the real lesson of our greater lawlessness. By choosing to break laws and regulations that govern economic activity, some economies are being pushed back to levels of past centuries. For workers will only produce more and better products and services when they have the incentive to do so. In the end, such greater lawlessness means a disregard for everyone but one’s own clan or tribe, a greater selfishness, and no country can remain prosperous with such a breakdown in social welfare. That is the lesson learned from the Great Depression and Great Recession. Policies that ignore economic as well as civil laws, that continue to divert incomes and wealth to the wealthiest, impoverish the majority. Harlan Green © 2012

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Jigar Bhatt: "We Are the 99 Percent" — The Unlikely Journey of a Revolutionary Slogan

March 19, 2012

She responded back with only a single line: “We say we are the 99%.” This was my 22-year-old niece’s response when I asked what people her age thought of the Occupy Wall Street protests two weeks after demonstrators had liberated Zuccotti Park in Manhattan’s financial district. I first visited Liberty Square in early October. By then, Occupy Wall Street had descended on Manhattan’s financial district and converted Zucotti Park, a non-descript, languid patch of concrete, into a lively center of debate and transformational democratic practice. But while the people’s kitchen, library, and command center were impressive, I was drawn to something more modest — protesters carrying signs reading “We are the 99%.” I couldn’t believe my eyes. Could it be, I asked myself? Could these activists and my niece’s generation be defining themselves in terms of rigorous quantitative analysis on inequality in top economics journals? Had economists’ empirical work weaved its way into the public lexicon, and that for a popular protest against neoliberal economic policies? Indeed it had, but in a way we wouldn’t necessarily expect and one that holds lessons for the relationship between social research, public discourse and economic policy. Well before the 99% had become a household statistic I had run into the work of Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez in the Quarterly Journal of Economics and American Economic Review . As a student of political economy and inequality I had read my share of research on the widening gap between the rich and poor, not just in the United States, but across the world. But I was immediately impressed by the innovativeness in Piketty and Saez’s work. Economic work on inequality has been hampered by the challenge of data quality and availability. Most work on inequality is conducted using household surveys, which are not only criticized for their unreliability, but were also not widely available prior to the early 1960s. Also, inequality has largely been calculated and explained in terms of Gini coefficients. Gini coefficients measure the relative wealth held by fractions of a population, but the measures are abstract and unappealing to the general public. While it’s easy enough to understand that the higher the coefficient, the higher the income inequality, “0.47″ just doesn’t resonate like “the 99%” or “the 1%” does. Piketty and Saez transcended the usual economics research on inequality by doing two simple, yet remarkable, things. They overcame the historical data limitation by foregoing household surveys and relying on an alternative data source — income tax records. Income tax records in the United States go back to 1913, before the Great Depression. They stepped back from the Gini coefficient and reported the raw proportion of who held America’s income. Piketty and Saez broke down the share of United States’ income held over time by three distinct groups — the top ten, 5 and most importantly, 1 percent of wealthiest Americans. Their findings were striking. Not since 80 years ago, in 1928, one year before the Great Stock Market crash of 1929 and ensuing depression, had the top wealthiest 1 percent of Americans held so much of the country’s collective wealth. More importantly, the top 1 percent captured more of the country’s overall economic growth between 1993 and 2008 than the remaining 99 percent of the country combined. Economists are not known for their oratorical skills, but politicians are. While Piketty and Saez’s work was impressive, leading to Saez winning the American Economics Association’s most prestigious award, the John Bates Clark Medal , it was still very much contained to the world of economists. Bernard Sanders, the independent Senator from Vermont, changed all that. Furious at the Obama administration’s decision to backpedal on a campaign promise to repeal the 2003 Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans, Bernard Sanders took to the Senate floor on December 10, 2010 to protest Obama’s decision to cut a deal with Republican Senators and extend Bush’s tax cuts for 2 more years. Sanders spoke for over 8 hours in what became known as “Filibernie,” a play on the Senate term for delaying action on a bill. Sanders, however, was not intent on filibustering to obstruct the tax cut extension. His main objective was to communicate that the budget deficit was already too high and the wealthiest Americans did not need a tax cut. The 1% had already disproportionately benefited from a regressive American tax policy. Filibernie was an immediate hit. The Twittersphere lit up; Sanders attracted 4,000 new followers. The livestream on his website was so overloaded that it became temporarily disabled . And why not? It’s not everyday that a U.S. Senator expresses the collective national frustration over inequality with statistics, charts, and graphs. Excerpts from Sander’s speech show him drawing a stark distinction between the 1 and 99% of the country: We cannot give tax breaks to the rich when we already have the most unequal distribution of income of any major country on Earth…The percentage of income going to the top 1 percent nearly tripled since the 1970s…The top 1 percent now owns more wealth than the bottom 90 percent. That is not the foundation of a democratic society…The fact is, 80 percent of all new income earned from 1980 to 2005 has gone to the top 1 percent. People should be mindful of this fact: The last time that type of income disparity took place was in 1928. I think we all know what happened in 1929. Although he doesn’t mention them by name, Sanders is taking these figures directly from the work of Piketty and Saez, as well as of Edward Wolff , an economist who has done important work on wealth inequality. The New York Times and other publications have erroneously attributed the 99-1% distinction to Joseph Stiglitz because of a popular article ” Of the 1%, by the 1%, for the 1% ” that he wrote for Vanity Fair . That article, however, was published in May 2011, half a year after Filibernie. Stiglitz’s work, like Sander’s speech, popularized the 99-1% split, but the distinction of having done this important work on inequality belongs to Piketty, Saez and Wolff. Sanders’ speech was a decisive moment in the discussion over inequality in the United States. Going where no Democrat or Republican would dare, the independent Sanders gave political legitimacy to an issue that was kryptonite to both Congressional chambers and the corporate owned mainstream media. Nonetheless, Sanders’ speech did not compel the public to identify themselves with income categories. This was the work of two New York based organizers who were vital to the early stages of the OWS movement. On August 23, 2011 Chris and Priscilla began publishing submissions from ordinary, hard-hit Americans on a Tumblr blog called We are the 99 Percent. Mother Jones interviewed the social media sensation’s founders who said they started the blog as a way to promote the OWS protest on September 17. The idea was to “Get a bunch of people to submit their pictures with a hand-written sign explaining how these harsh financial times have been affecting them, have them identify themselves as the ’99 percent,’ and then write ‘occupywallst.org’ at the end.” What started out as 5 entries burgeoned to more than 100 entries a day by early October. When asked why they felt it was connecting so strongly the organizers said, “Because we all have a story, and the conversation about social safety nets has been lessened to that of accounting and not the day-to-day realities” and “I think they want to let others know that they’re out there, that they exist, that their problems exist. That they’re not just some statistic compiled in a spreadsheet, that they’re real human beings with real human challenges. That they won’t be an abstraction. Specificity has great power.” As protesters chanted “We are the 99 percent” in marches across the country, “99 percent” and “1 percent” entered the popular lexicon. People began using the quantitative divide to refer to things that had nothing to do with income inequality. In the most peculiar adaptation, African leaders who supported Gadaffi said after his death “We are the 1 percent who are not celebrating.” OWS had gone global. The New York Times called the slogan a “national shorthand for disparity.” Democrats began referring to public projects as “for the 99 percent.” Those unabashedly proud of their disproportionately rising income, like the commodity traders at the Chicago Board of Trade, hung signs in their windows signaling that they were the “1 percent.” This, in fact, is the power of the “99-1 percent” distinction: it changes the frame of the debate. Even those who are the target end up referring to themselves in terms defined by the movement. The conservative establishment has framed the debate over public economics since Reagan declared that “government is the problem” in his 1981 inaugural address. It has been their centerpiece strategy for a “winner take all politics.” By framing economic success in terms of personal responsibility and safety nets as enlightenments, they cast any strategy for public investment or middle-class relief as socialist and un-American. As we saw most recently with President Obama’s 2012 State of the Union speech , the terms of that debate are changing. Obama struck a populist tone and while his specific tax policy or politics kept him from mentioning “99 percent,” he did nonetheless mention the “98 percent,” If you make under $250,000 a year, like 98 percent of American families, your taxes shouldn’t go up. You’re the ones struggling with rising costs and stagnant wages. You’re the ones who need relief. No statistic was called for. In times past Obama mentioned the $250,000 income cut-off, but did not cast it in proportional terms. Even multi-millionaire Mitt Romney, a member of the 0.1 percent (the highest income category employed by Piketty and Saez), campaigned in Florida using language of the Occupy movement “I know what it takes to make America the most attractive place for jobs again. I want to do that, not because I’m worried about the 1 percent. The 1 percent is doing fine. I want to help the 99 percent.” This is out of necessity, not compassion — 3 out of 5 Americans voters support federal policies to reduce income inequality. Until actual income inequality changes, the “99 percent” slogan will continue to be mobilized. Redefining the terms of debate has been the most the important contribution of Piketty, Saez and Wolff’s work and the OWS movement. After the early weeks of the OWS protest the “99 percent” signs burgeoned into buttons, stickers, t-shirts and whatever else you could fit a statistic onto. I began asking protesters at Liberty Square and Washington Square Park if they knew where “the 99 percent” came from. One man who was handing out “99%” buttons pulled out a sheet of paper with multiple graphs representing income inequality, corporate profits and executive bonuses on it. “Here!” he said. Others mentioned the “gross income inequality in our nation.” Everyone knew the “99-1 percent” divide represented income inequality, but no one mentioned Saez, Piketty, or Wolff by name, yet their work was on everyone’s lips. There are multiple lessons to be learned from this story. Social researchers, especially economists, need to do social science that matters. For too long economists have been smitten with formal mathematical models that were and are divorced from reality. The predictions based on these models failed and the public lost faith in “expertise.” Piketty, Saez, and Wolff shunned abstract and largely irrelevant models that dream away the world’s complexity. Instead, they opted for empirically grounded research on topics salient to the public. Still, not all empirical economists are cut from the same cloth. For at least a good decade economists were using data to ask questions about whether inequality was good or bad for growth. Corporate executives and governors are interested in growth. The public is interested in inequality. Rightly or wrongly, most of us are more concerned with matters like our colleagues’ raises and promotions rather than the quarterly growth rates of our states and countries (even if the latter matters to our standard of living). Making social science matter is about asking the right questions. While they didn’t ask for the 99-1 percent divide to become a protest platform, Piketty, Saez and Wolff approached questions on inequality in a progressive way. They reversed previous studies’ questions to show that the United States certainly experienced growth — but it was a kind of growth that was terrible for equity. Those same economists who favored abstract and irrelevant models helped create the notion of a distant and unconcerned “ivory tower.” Whether intentionally or inadvertently, each complex model and illegible proof was like a brick in a wall constructed between the university and the needs and concerns of the general public. Piketty, Saez and Wolff helped build a bridge that connected the university and public. For example, Emmanuel Saez made tax data used in his research downloadable in Excel and published a non-technical “Summary for the broader public” on his website. Numerous journalists and bloggers have accessed this material to broadcast the findings. We often are dissatisfied or grow impatient with social research. We find that most research goes unnoticed or unused. This is because we expect social research to mimic research in the natural sciences such as physics. But the two get used very differently. In the natural and physical sciences knowledge gets ‘translated’ from the scientific theory to the real world applications in a relatively straightforward way. For example, theories in quantum physics inform applied research in molecular reactions which then gets translated into CAT scanning technology. Social research, on the other hand, gets “diffused” throughout society, usually in an unsystematic way. Researchers produce the knowledge that then gets disseminated through journals and conferences. Interest groups, politicians, and organizers might then filter the research and use it for varying purposes, often in ways the researchers never intended. In many cases, social research never gets used. When it does, it is usually because the political environment is ripe for action. That, of course, is outside the research’s control, which is why many findings seem to be like Frankenstein’s monster brought back to life. If we see tax policy changes in 2013, which is looking increasingly likely regardless of which party wins the presidential election, it will have been almost a decade after the early studies on inequality identifying the 99-1 percent split were published. Together, activists and researchers can be a powerful force for change. In fact, they need and rely on each other. What social researchers and scholars tried to do for years — bring rising inequality in the United States to the media and public’s attention — a ragtag group of activists did in weeks. Piketty, Saez, and Wolff’s research were limp statistics on a page until a pioneering politician and thousands of regular Americans gave them life. But the research results were there patiently waiting nonetheless. While individual stories on a Tumblr blog are powerful, so are national trends that affect millions. Stories must be framed to gain popular and political support. This is how social research supports social movements — by asking questions that matter and linking the intimate experience of one to the public trend of so many.

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Karen Luniw: Skepticism: Helping or Hindering?

March 18, 2012

Healthy skepticism is a good thing but what if we could actually reframe it and call it ‘awareness’ instead? Here’s why, the definition of skepticism has a negative bent to it — ‘an attitude of doubt or a disposition to incredulity either in general or toward a particular object.’ See, we’re already starting out with a filter of doubt and given the way the mind works — if we’re expecting something to not be true — our subconscious mind will automatically look for evidence of our focus. The definition of awareness on the other hand is more open ‘having or showing realization, perception, or knowledge’. What if we could actually start to acknowledge what our senses are perceiving? Some people call this our intuition and some may call it our gut-feelings. The fact is that our subconscious mind is processing about 400 billion bytes of information per second — which is a lot of information! Our conscious mind — where we live day in, day out, and where we’re so smart all day long — processes about 2000 bytes per second. Our conscious mind — the thoughts and actions we’re aware of — can process only 0.5 percent of what our subconscious mind can process. Wow! Is it safe to say that we’re missing out on a ton of information? (Hint: Say yes!) Now, of course, we don’t actually need to consciously access all that information but we can start to open up ourselves to being aware of what is most important for us to thrive. The thing is, when we’re being skeptical and coming at something from a feeling of doubt, our conscious mind will only receive that information that aligns with what we might be doubtful of. Hmm, okay, that might be hard to envision so here’s an example. Let’s use an example that many of you may have bumped up against with your friends or family when it comes to talking about Attraction Principles. Perhaps you, personally, have moved past the state of skepticism, or actually never experienced it around Attraction Principles, you have a state of awareness of how this principle shows up in your life. And, because you have this awareness and focus — your subconscious mind will find evidence to prove your right. Now, when you try to talk to friends and family that are skeptical and doubtful of Attraction Principles because they have this focus — their subconscious mind will find evidence to prove them right. It’s like Ford said — If you think you can or you think you can’t — you’re right. The act of skepticism is already concluding there is something to be doubtful of and when you conclude something, you lock it into place. What I’ve become aware of is that people who are skeptical and live with what I call the Trinity of Trouble — fear, doubt and worry operating in their life constantly, have a really hard time creating what they truly want in their life. They’ll try something once or twice and when it doesn’t work — throw their hands up in the air and say this stuff doesn’t work. How do you get past that? How do you start to move out of skepticism, fear, doubt and worry? 1- First, stop giving a damn so much about what other people think. While this might surprise you, I have to tell you that this is the biggest hindrance and I really do mean THE BIGGEST(!!) hindrance to people living the life of their dreams. 2- Start asking ‘What if…?’ or even better ‘What else is possible?’ These two things will start to shift you out of the Trinity of Trouble and start to open up your awareness. What if you could just be aware of what was going on around you without judging it to be right or wrong? Look, I want you to ask questions about everything but from a point of view with no judgment. What if you could actually acknowledge your intuition as being valid? We all have it but most don’t know it. Instead of passing something off as a coincidence — next time, pat yourself on the back for having been aware of it ahead of time. Cheers.

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Dave Johnson: The So-Called "JOBS Act": Crowd-funding Good, Deregulation Bad

March 17, 2012

The Senate is considering the House-passed, typically-misnamed “JOBS Act.” This act dramatically cuts regulations and disclosure requirements for companies that want to sell stock. As written it opens the door to the usual scammers, fleecers and fraudsters that feast on deregulation. But I think with some core limits and protections this concept — not this bill, but this concept — could transform our economy in some very good ways. The So-Called JOBS Act The word “jobs” in the name of the bill does not mean the kind of jobs that millions of people are currently desperate for, it means “Jumpstart Our Business Startups.” The bill makes it easier for companies to “go public” — sell stock to the public for the first time. It lets these businesses sidestep certain additional auditing procedures for up to five years. It opens up “crowd-funding” — letting companies raise up to $2 million from investors online, while cutting out much of the usual disclosure process that companies now have to go through. Gatekeepers — Good and Bad If you are going to start a business you have to raise capital. This can be money you save up or borrow, but a serious business requires a serious investment. Please don’t start a business without a careful process of thinking through the first two years of operation and having way more than enough money available to get you through that period! This means that no matter what the business is, you are probably going to need at least a few hundred thousand dollars. Most people don’t have that available, which means you are going to have to go out and raise it. Currently it is very difficult for small businesses to raise capital. The usual path is to go find a wealthy “angel” investor or a group of wealthy investors like a venture capitalist firm. If you have a bigger business and are ready to “go public” you typically have to partner with a Wall Street-style firm to guide you through the process. Selling stock is heavily regulated — for very, very, very good reasons — and the regulations make it very, very expensive to go public. On the one hand, having to raise money usually means your plans will be tested and challenged, which is a good thing. It is a terrible mistake to start a business without going through the planning process and thinking through what you are getting into. A failing business takes a terrible toll on the wealth and health of the participants. On the other hand, because of the way things are currently structured businesses are largely dependent on the already-wealthy to raise capital, and the already-wealthy can demand a lot in return, because the current regulatory structure means they can. And all of this means that the not-already-wealthy do not have the opportunity to participate in these early-stage investments. The way things are today, it takes a whole lot of money to make money. It doesn’t have to be this difficult. Crowd-funding “Crowd-funding” is a term used to describe the way the Internet has enabled the raising of large amounts of money quickly from lots and lots of small donors – the crowd. Regular people all across the country can hear from candidates, non-profits, etc., and decide to donate. When lots of people get involved very large amounts can be raised. Howard Dean’s Presidential campaign publicized the concept. The Internet enabled Dean to quickly raise millions of dollars in small amounts from lots and lots of people. During President Obama’s campaign he famously raised $1 million in one minute through Internet crowd-funding. Applying crowd-funding to the process of raising capital for small companies could transform our economy by democratizing the process. It can move the gatekeepers for the already-wealthy out of the way, and open up early-stage investment opportunities to participation by regular people. A small company could raise a million dollars in increments of $100 or even $10, and lots of people can share in the gains if the business is successful. Online investment pools could examine and rate business plans for small, local businesses, and raise the money they need. Or a tech startup can raise enough “seed money” to get going, and be in a position to negotiate much better deals with venture firms when the time comes to raise much more. The small-amount investors could then be in a position to do quite well as the company grows. And regular people — people who don’t already have tens of millions in the bank — can participate in the process and share in the gains — and, it must always be noted, the losses. But this can only succeed if regular people are protected from the fleecers and fraudsters and scammers. Opportunities for Fleecing and Fraud There is a reason for the burdensome regulations that protect investors. Those regulations were proven necessary because fraudsters would set up scam investments and whip up excitement, causing unsophisticated people to lose their life savings. This has happened again and again. Even with the current regulations how many people lost out during the “Tech Bubble” when a company needed only to add “dot com” to its name and its stock would soar? SEC Chairman Mary L. Schapiro warns ,”Too often, investors are the target of fraudulent schemes disguised as investment opportunities.” As written, the JOBS Act only removes protections against fraud, without adding any protections for regular people. The AFL-CIO has issued this statement, The Jobs Act–A Cynical and Dangerous Return to the Politics of Financial Deregulation , Workers’ retirement savings will be in greater risk of fraud and speculation if securities market deregulation once again is railroaded through Congress. Once again our economy will be at risk from the folly of policymakers promoting financial bubbles and ignoring the needs of the real economy. The AFL-CIO calls on Congress to set aside the politics of the 1%, the old game of special favors for Wall Street, and turn to the business of real job creation. The labor movement strongly opposes the JOBS Act and any other effort to weaken the Dodd-Frank Act. We support the efforts of Senate Democrats such as Jack Reed, Carl Levin, and Mary Landrieu to amend the “JOBS Act” to lessen the harm it does to investors, pension funds and the U.S. economy. Jesse Eisinger, writing at ProPublica in Congress’s Genius Jobs Plan–for Fraudsters, Shills, and Wall St. Analysts , makes the case John Coffee, a Columbia Law professor, has hailed the bill as “the boiler room legalization act.” And rightly so. Boiler room operations were one of the unsung job creators of the 1990s, producing some of America’s greatest penny stocks and boom times for yacht makers and coke dealers. … Taking advantage of the revolutionary possibilities of the Internet, the bill loosens decades-old investor protections so that companies can directly advertise to those who would like to be separated from their money. It does that by giving broad exemptions for start-ups that want to “crowdfund” by raising small amounts of money over the Internet. I.P.O. pitches next to “Lose Your Belly!” ads. Sounds like a great idea! Nigeria shouldn’t be the only country to benefit from the web. Right here in America, the elderly are increasingly attractive to a variety of entrepreneurial spirits. If JOBS becomes the law, such innovators could flourish. Other provisions in the JOBS Act allow companies to solicit investors, with advertising, etc. This is a mistake. Fixing the Bill Crowd-funding is enabled by new technologies, and should be explored for democratizing and expanding investment opportunities. If done right this is an opportunity to enable companies to bypass the gatekeepers-of-wealth, and regular people to participate in a democratic investment economy. But it has to be done right, with adequate protections in place from the start. The legislation has to limit what people can lose and ensure sufficient transparency, to make sure an investment is real and viable and is not a scam designed to take off with the cash. There is a Reed-Landrieu-Levin amendment that addresses many of the concerns in the bill. According to the Consumer Federation of America , among other protections it, … limits the companies that would qualify as “emerging companies” to those with less than $250 million in gross revenue and by eliminating the House bill’s exemptions from accounting rules, say-on-pay and golden parachute vote requirements, and executive compensation disclosures. And it provides somewhat greater protection than the House bill against a resurgence in the kind of abusive securities analyst practices that fueled the tech stock bubble and bust. … It includes stronger pro-investor provisions from the Senate Reg A bill, including requirements for audited financial statements, SEC authority to require up-front disclosure and periodic reporting, and a negligence-based litigation remedy. Importantly, it improves on that bill by limiting companies to raising $50 million through Regulation A offerings over three years, rather than once every 12 months, thus significantly reducing the risk that this provision will be used to evade public reporting requirements for larger companies. … takes important steps to minimize the potential for harm, in particular by requiring that crowd-funding be conducted through an appropriately regulated Internet portal and requiring offerings of all sizes to provide financial information to investors subject to regulatory requirements appropriate to the size of the offering. Also, Senators Scott Brown (R-MA), Jeff Merkley (D-OR) and Michael Bennet (D-CO), have introduced the bipartisan CROWDFUND Act (S. 2190). The CROWDFUND Act will: Allow entrepreneurs to raise up to $1 million per year through an SEC-registered crowd-funding portal. Free people to invest a percentage of their income. For investors with an income of less than $100,000, investments will be capped at the greater of $2,000 or 5 percent of income. For investors within an income of more than $100,000, investments will be capped at 10 percent up to $100,000. Require crowd-funding portals to provide investor protection, including investor education materials on the risks associated with small issuers and illiquidity. This looks to be right on the money to me. Limit how much can be raised. Limit how much people can invest (lose). Require the online portals to provide information and transparency. It is important that the House JOBS Act not pass as written . It is a scam-enabling bill that does what you would expect a Republican-written law to do. Namely, it would let the 1%ers fleece the 99% of whatever might remain in our bank accounts. But Internet-enabled crowd-funding of small and local businesses democratizes investment, and could transform our economy. Let’s open up the regulations to let this begin, on a very small scale at least for now, and with good protections that keep people from being conned out of their money. This post originally appeared at Campaign for America’s Future (CAF) at their Blog for OurFuture . I am a Fellow with CAF. Sign up here for the CAF daily summary .

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Alex Gover: Japan — One Year On

March 16, 2012

If you have any kind of connection with Japan, March 11, 2011 was one of those terrible “I remember where I was” days. The earthquake struck, the tsunami swept in and 16,000 people lost their lives. Some 370,000 homes, schools, hospitals and factories were leveled and three nuclear reactors went into meltdown. The power cuts that followed, the summer floods in Thailand, the increasing strength of the yen and the difficulties of high-profile names like Olympus, Sony and NEC have led many in the media to starting ringing the death knell of ‘Japan Inc.’ But what we are seeing on the ground is quite the reverse: Firstly, the tsunami highlighted just how important Japan is to the global high-tech sector — supply chains ranging from automotive to mobile came under intense pressure as many of the key components, modules and advanced materials come from the lesser known global leaders like Murata, Alps and Asahi Kasei. Secondly, we are seeing some real moves towards the structural reforms needed for Japan to regain its edge in the increasingly competitive global marketplace. In the semiconductor space where margins have been steadily eroding, the merger of the chip divisions of Renesas, Fujitsu and Panasonic will result in a leaner ‘meaner’ outfit ready to take on its younger Korean and Chinese competitors. In LCD displays the establishment of the joint venture between Sony, Hitachi and Toshiba has cut through traditional rivalries and created a genuine force in an industry that was starting to lose its way against companies like LG and Samsung. Thirdly there are dozens of Japanese firms in the high-tech sector that are posting healthy and growing balance sheets — companies with more than a billion dollars in revenues but that most people have never heard of. Names like Ulvac, DaiNippon Screen and Shibaura will usually be met with a “who?” by the man in the street, but these are the guys that make the high-margin, high-end capital equipment that sits in semiconductor and display factories across the world. In other words every time a “non-Japanese” brand sells an iPod or mobile phone, that’s cash dropping in the coffers of Japan Inc. That’s not to say the big names are lying down. The automotive sector is as strong as ever and in consumer electronics, the new smartphone paradigm is seen as a golden opportunity for the handset manufacturers to get back into overseas markets. Sony for example bought out Ericsson and last month launched its new Xperia smartphone at Mobile World Congress to rave reviews, while Panasonic, NEC and Fujitsu also brought out new phones for the export market. Whether they all survive remains to be seen but they are certainly not giving up without a fight. The Tsunami was a tragedy and there is much still to be done in the reconstruction effort. But many see it as the catalyst for a renewed entrepreneurial and collaborative spirit that will ensure Japan maintains its place as the leading high-tech country in the world.

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Adele Scheele: How to Change Your Interview Outcome

March 15, 2012

A young, beautiful, talented and experienced woman failed yet another interview in her second year of job hunting. She did not know how to do better because she didn’t have a clue about why it was happening to her in the first place, time after time. What went wrong? Were there no real jobs, or were her stars crossed? When you, like her, do not land the job after the extraordinary effort it takes to set up a face-to-face meeting, it’s time to look within yourself to see what mistakes you are making unconsciously during those precious make-it-or die minutes with someone who can actually offer you a job. The most common mistake is concentrating on your own past, especially how difficult the job-hunting process has been. Even though you have so much to complain about, this is not to time for any words of blame or depression to be uttered. Even if your boss was a monster or the deck was stacked against you, say nothing negative. While you might arouse sympathy, you won’t be hired. The interview is about how you can fulfill the needs of the employer and how you might fit in to their culture. Period. Prepare by learning as much as you can about the job you are applying for and translating your experience to that job. You can’t expect your interviewer to do that for you. It’s up to you to make meaning from your resume, which you must have tweaked just for this position. If you have a website, it must have a prominent place to show that you are in sync with the position you are applying for. You have to rehearse the answers to the tough questions: why you left or were laid off, even why you stayed in a low position for many years without trying to move up. You will be asked to describe your relationship with your past supervisors, co-workers and clients. You need to demonstrate your resourcefulness in a tight economy. Even though it may be true, you can’t admit that what you are applying for isn’t what you’re looking for in the future, but that you would be willing to settle for the job temporarily. Find out beforehand as much as you can about the position: who had it, why it’s open now and who else they are considering. Then, be able to have a conversation about their needs. Explain how your skills will apply to that open job using specific stories from your work experience. It helps if you are knowledgeable when it comes to their business and business culture — ratings, competition, new markets. Look for common bonds — colleges, sports, interests, family or mutual friends. If you don’t know of any beforehand, take a look around their office for clues. Remember that you are courting them, like dating before marriage, so use all your skills to make that match. Don’t leave without making your pitch for the job. Say that you want it and ask for next steps. If they hesitate, ask about their concerns about you so you can address them on the spot. If they want someone with more experience, offer to take extra training. You might ask for an assignment to prove your worth or a six-month trial period as a good will measure, knowing that most jobs have some probationary basis anyway. Do not be afraid to be persistent. After the obligatory thank you note, call or email once or twice a week with a question or some information that you remembered. Whether it’s pestering them or not, you want to demonstrate your determination to work there. Don’t let the job go to someone else who is willing to do that. Make your luck happen!

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Peter S. Goodman: Speculator’s Paradise: How The Obama Administration Has Failed to Limit Gas Prices

March 15, 2012

Listen to the conventional wisdom and President Barack Obama is powerless to arrest soaring gasoline prices, even as they imperil his political fortunes, the still-tepid economic recovery and the ability of ordinary Americans to pay their bills. Oil prices supposedly reflect the omniscient judgment of the market. What the market sees now is the prospect of a military strike on Iran and an attendant disruption to the global oil supply. But the supply-and-demand story of gas prices is largely a fairy tale. Academic experts, commodity specialists and members of Congress identify one thing that the president could do immediately to alleviate pain at the pump: He could unleash a serious-minded, subpoena-wielding probe aimed at frightening the Wall Street speculators who are responsible for most of the climb in gas prices. This is not news to the president, who has already fingered speculators for price spikes while twice ordering up a consequential investigation. But Attorney General Eric Holder — the man tasked with overseeing the probe — seems either to have mislaid the memo or construed it as an invitation to indulge the administration’s usual modus operandi on most of its initiatives, from its impotent anti-foreclosure efforts to its weak stab at financial regulatory reform. That is, hold a press conference, talk tough and ooze empathy for struggling victims — then hope everything gets fixed up by itself. Earlier this month, the president called on Holder to “reconstitute” the Oil and Gas Price Fraud Working Group, the body that the attorney general first convened at Obama’s direction nearly a year ago. “Reconstitute” seemed an odd verb, given how the group by all indications seems to have never really been constituted. As McClatchy Newspapers reported , the group has met no more than five times since its inception and has never made a public report on its activities. (Somewhere — presumably far from any windows — Dick Cheney is giggling.) Yet, if the president’s choice of word can be taken at face value, the working group was at some point either disbanded or, more likely, forgotten. Either it looked into speculation and came up empty, telling Obama not to worry. Or it didn’t really look and found nothing by design. Or it did find worrisome activity but didn’t do anything about it. This is bad governance and terrible politics at a time when gas prices seem to be shaping up as a defining issue in a presidential election year. (Only fools put themselves between the American electorate and its fleet of gas-guzzling SUVs). More than anything, the Obama administration’s hollow promise on the investigative front increasingly looks like an enormous missed opportunity: Had the task force really barged into Wall Street offices in search of people needing to be held to account, it might well have taken some of the momentum out of gas price increases. “The manipulation inquiry, even if it just has the appearance of being taken seriously, would drop the gas price immediately,” Michael Greenberger, a finance expert at the University of Maryland School of Law, told me on Wednesday. “A serious investigation in and of itself has historically shown that the speculators pull back and the price drops,” Greenberger added. “If there is evidence of manipulation and subpoenas are issued, and the FBI is investigating, it will drop even further. If indictments are brought, the bubble will collapse. We don’t see the investigation that the president wants done.” Greenberger is more than a just another credential-laden specialist willing to be quoted. In the late 1990s, he oversaw the division of trading and markets at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. There, he and director Brooksley Born sounded the alarm about the dangers of a then-exploding trade in the unregulated financial instruments known as derivatives. They were steamrollered by Alan Greenspan, Robert Rubin and Larry Summers, who together ensured that Wall Street’s casino proclivities were allowed to build to disastrous levels, unobstructed by annoying bureaucrats. This resulted in hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars eventually being showered on major financial institutions to avert a meltdown. These days, Greenberger is consumed by the impact that speculators are having on energy markets. He is hardly alone. A recent Forbes analysis found that speculation was responsible for increasing the price of oil by more than one-third. A policy brief by former International Monetary Fund researcher Mohsin Kahn , now a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, concluded that the steep runup in oil prices during the summer of 2008 was driven predominantly by “speculation.” A paper by Kenneth J. Singleton at Stanford Business School pinned much of the oil price boom on “the financialization of commodity markets,” meaning the influx of commodity index funds unleashed by Wall Street. “There are 50 studies showing that speculation adds an incredible premium to the price of oil, but somehow that hasn’t seeped into the conventional wisdom,” Greenberger said. “Once you have the market dominated by speculators, what you really have is a gambling casino.” Traditionally, regulators have proceeded on the assumption that a commodity market is healthy when commercial players — those whose businesses really need the good being traded — comprise about 70 percent of trading volume, while pure speculators are limited to 30 percent. But these days, estimates suggest that ratio has reversed , a reality that virtually guarantees an upward spiral of prices. Commodity markets are supposed to bring together willing parties with opposite concerns — say, a factory owner who frets about rising fuel prices and a fuel producer who worries about a drop in the price. They agree to a trade in the future at a price that gives them both a hedge. But as major Wall Street institutions have poured into commodities markets, offering investors ways to profit from price increases, these banks have wound up holding the short side of those bets: When the price rises, they have to pay up. Needing a way to profit themselves from that outcome, they have gone into futures markets directly and bought up contracts for fuel, driving up the price. Now, Holder is once again tasked with taming this casino-like market and restoring order. But even after Obama’s call for the task force to reconvene, it has met only once and only via teleconference, a source familiar with its deliberations told me. For Obama, the point of throwing the assignment to Holder was to leverage the Justice Department’s formidable investigative resources. The Community Futures Trading Commission also has jurisdiction, but that agency has been overwhelmed with rule making to implement the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill. The commission passed one weak rule that increases its authority to limit speculators in the market. But its resources are meager. Republicans have starved it through the budget process to ensure that Wall Street — land of infinite campaign cash and future sinecures for unemployed Hill denizens — continues to be a regulation-free zone. What has Holder been doing with his resources? Is the FBI looking into the impact of speculation? Has the task force used its subpoena power to examine the trading documents at issue? The White House referred questions to the Department of Justice. The Justice Department never returned my calls, though a spokeswoman previously told the National Journal that Holder’s task force “is aggressively focused on identifying civil or criminal violations in the oil and gasoline markets, and ensuring that American consumers are not harmed by unlawful conduct.” In recent days, Democrats on Capitol Hill have conveyed their strong displeasure to the White House that Holder appears to be mailing it in, according to people involved. This pressure campaign prompted Obama to return to the podium to call for fresh action. Much of Washington now views Holder as a man merely counting the days until he clears out his office, cognizant that — whether the boss wins re-election or not — he is moving on. His task force has been run with all the urgency of a guy contemplating what amusing story to recount when his office mates gather around the sheet cake to say goodbye. The rest of us, alas, are still here, still constituted into a nation living in fragile economic times, hoping gas prices will not send the unemployment rate climbing anew. The world is fraught with enough dangers. A leadership vacuum inside the single office that has the power to work for American consumers ought not be one of them.

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Ralph da Costa Nunez: Homelessness a Racial Matter: Why Are Black Families Over-represented in Homeless Shelters?

March 14, 2012

When U.S. attorney general Eric Holder described the United States as a “nation of cowards” when it comes to openly discussing race, he was lambasted. But he was absolutely right. And one area where race has long been an issue spoken about in hushed tones is the racial disparity among homeless families in the United States. But a report by The Institute for Children, Poverty, and Homelessness, “Intergenerational Disparities Experienced by Homeless Black Families,” highlighting disparities among black and white families in the United States, has gotten people talking about this topic. The response has been overwhelming. From newspapers in many of the 37 cities across the country where statistics show black families are greatly over-represented in shelters to CNN.com , BET.com and right here on The Huffington Post the conversation has started. And the report continues to go viral on Facebook and Twitter with people of all races and backgrounds sharing the facts. It’s no wonder. The statistics are stark: In 2010, 1 in 141 black family members stayed in a homeless shelter, a rate 7 times higher than for white families. Black people in families make up 12.1 percent of the U.S. family population, but represented 38.8 percent of sheltered people in families in 2010. In comparison, 65.8 percent of people in families in the general population are white, while white family members only occupied 28.6 percent of family shelter beds in 2010. Homelessness is primarily a poverty issue. In 2010, nearly one-quarter (23.3 percent) of black families lived in poverty, three times the rate of white families (7.1 percent). But the issue goes deeper than that. And there is more to it than that. Understanding why blacks are over-represented in homeless shelters requires an examination of the longstanding and inter-related social and structural issues facing the black community. As the report noted, and CNN.com highlighted in its analysis of the report, in 2009, the median wealth of white households was 20 times that of blacks ($113,149 versus $5,677). Financial assets serve as a crucial buffer in times of economic hardship, covering unexpected health expenses and preventing loss of housing when unemployed. Access to additional funds improves living conditions at present and during retirement. Intergenerational wealth transfers can enhance the economic circumstances of younger relatives, for example through investments in children’s education, inheritances, and monetary gifts. Lower educational attainment among blacks, in particular black males, is a barrier to gaining any employment and especially to qualifying for jobs in well-compensated sectors. Black males earn bachelor’s degrees or higher at half the rate of white males (15.6 percent compared to 32 percent). Employment disparities rooted in subtle forms of discrimination persist even with educational advancement. In 2010, blacks with an associate degree experienced a higher unemployment rate than whites with a high school diploma (10.8 percent and 9.5 percent, respectively). Furthermore, a male black employee with a bachelor’s degree or higher was paid one-quarter (25.4 percent) less on average in weekly full-time salary ($1,010) in 2010 compared to a male white worker ($1,354) with the same level of education. And throughout U.S. history, housing discrimination has been ever-present, both in the form of official government policies and societal attitudes. Federal policies that reduced the stock of affordable housing through urban renewal projects displaced a disproportionate number of poor blacks living concentrated in cities to other substandard urban neighborhoods. Residential segregation, which affects black households to a greater extent than other minorities, perpetuates poverty patterns by isolating blacks in areas that lack employment opportunities and services, and experience higher crime and poverty rates. Blacks are also overrepresented in the criminal justice system, which increases the risk of homelessness and developmental delays among affected children. This report raises the question of why family homelessness is a racial issue. This phenomenon is not new, but is rarely discussed. Although government-sanctioned racial discrimination may be a relic of the past, the finding that blacks are overrepresented in shelter when compared to whites demonstrates that blacks continue to face prejudice and substantial access barriers to decent employment, education, health care, and housing not experienced by whites. It takes a community to end homelessness. Family shelters can — and do — function as part of the front-line combating bias and providing opportunities for families who fall through the cracks. However, it will take more than a few service providers to call attention to the elephant in the room. It will take all of us as a nation to voice our intolerance of policies that make it difficult for some to rise out of poverty.

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Susan Dreyfus: America’s Economic Recovery Depends on Job Improvements for the Underemployed

March 13, 2012

Economic indicators continue to signal a U.S. economic recovery, with 243,000 new U.S. jobs added last month alone. The unemployment rate dropped to 8.3 percent — the lowest in three years and state unemployment claims in many states continue to decline. This positive outlook for the U.S. economy is tempered, however, by the growing realization that the rebound in unemployment is masking a disturbing trend — the number of American workers who are underemployed. Currently, an estimated 19 percent of the U.S. workforce is made up of high-skill workers who are involuntarily working part-time or employed in low-wage jobs far below their skill level. In some states, such as California and Florida, that number is higher, with an estimated one in five workers in low-skill, low-income jobs. A new report from the Annie E. Casey Foundation finds that 46 million Americans, many who are employed, still live at or below the poverty line. The number of children living in poverty rose 25 percent from 2000 to 2010. Three-quarters of these children had at least one parent working at a job. With an average salary of $22,000 per year or less for a family of four, they lack the means to pull themselves out of poverty. Leanette Watkins, a single mother of three from Lynchburg, Va., illustrates the challenges working families face. Despite holding an associate’s degree in secretarial science, she was forced to take on a number of low paying jobs to make ends meet — working in a lumber yard, a candle factory and a series of temporary jobs. At each job she met with failure, not through a lack of hard work but through a series of personal crises — she lost a child in a devastating house fire, her mother passed away, and she was caring for a brother who was ill. Exacerbating all this was her lack of transportation. She owned a car but it broke down repeatedly leaving her late for work when she needed reliable employment the most. “I was in a rut that I couldn’t get out of — each time I would take steps to move forward and dig myself out of that ditch but then my car would break down. I ended up owing more money than I was taking in, and I would find myself right back in that hole again.” While there are many programs that offer aid and assistance to the unemployed, there are fewer programs available that focus on the plight of the underemployed. For low-income working families who once made a good living, finding help is not easy and asking for help can be even harder. Many families fall victim to predatory lenders and the resulting bad credit can make it even harder to get ahead. Yet there is help for credit-challenged, hard-working families like Leanette’s. She was introduced to Ways to Work, a national nonprofit loan program that offers access to reliable transportation, financial counseling, and other engagement services to further strengthen families. Ways to Work provides low- to moderate-income families with low-interest loans for the purchase of reliable, used vehicles, thereby helping these families retain and improve upon their current job status, repair their credit history, and become financially self-sufficient. Through the program administered by Presbyterian Homes and Family Services in Lynchburg, Leanette was able to purchase a reliable used car that helped her manage getting to work, getting her children to daycare and school and managing the family shopping and errands. She turned a temporary job at a law firm into a permanent one, doubling her salary in a short period of time. By not spending so much money on car repairs, she was able to save and repair her credit — enough so that she could afford to put a down payment on a home. Her law firm is helping her attend college in the evening so she can earn a paralegal degree. “Ways to Work helped me turn a job into a career,” she notes. “The car was my stepping stone to turning my life around. It’s given me the confidence and self-esteem to feel like a productive member of society again.” Like Leanette, families across the country are finding a hand up, not a hand out, through the Ways to Work program due to its comprehensive approach. Because the program is operated locally by nonprofit multi-service member organizations of the national membership association the Alliance for Children and Families, the agencies are adept at the kind of case management and engagement required to guide and support program participants toward long-term success. The discipline of a nationally replicated program, integrated with community-based human services providers is key to the Ways to Work formula. An independent evaluation of the Ways to Work program from 2007-2010 conducted by ICF International found that clients reported an improvement in employment circumstances, credit history, financial capability and overall quality of life. The study found that through the tested formula of a low-interest loan from Ways to Work and engagement from an Alliance for Children and Families member agency, more than half of those in the program increased their income and 94 percent improved their employment circumstances as a result of the loan. More than one-quarter credited the program for helping them increase their educational attainment. A significant percentage (82 percent) of participants were able to move off of public welfare programs, saving the federal government $18.2 million annually in reduced public assistance and higher tax revenue. Analysts calculate the return on investment for the program at 250 percent, or $2.50 for every $1 invested. That’s why the Walmart Foundation, Kresge Foundation, Annie E. Casey Foundation, and others have joined efforts to expand the capacity of the program to all 50 states, especially those where child poverty is greatest. Simply, this evaluation shows this program is a success. Using partnerships around the country, we must make sure it is accessible to many more motivated families. In fact, we need to significantly add to the current 32,000 families that have accessed more than $63 million in affordable loans. The federal government is also supporting Ways to Work through the Community Development Financial Institutions Fund, a program of the U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Job Access/Reverse Commute program operated by the Federal Transit Authority. True economic growth and recovery will ultimately depend on our nation’s ability to utilize our workforce effectively. That means giving all Americans the capability and the opportunity to work at their full potential. Susan Dreyfus is President and CEO of the Alliance for Children and Families, and is the former Secretary for the Washington State Department of Social and Health.

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Christian Olsen: Big Data Comes to the Communications Industry

March 13, 2012

The business world is very familiar with the value of data. But until recently, amassing and storing this information came at great effort and cost. Much of this data had to be actively assembled and contained in-house in CRMs, sales databases, collected through surveys or through external services. Doing it internally required huge manpower investments, and farming it out created billion-dollar practices around finding, gathering and analyzing data for customers. The cost was worth it because the insights revealed were highly valuable. The emergence of digital communication platforms extends the amount and types of data available. Website traffic, email communication performance, search engine marketing, banner advertising clicks, ad acquisition metrics, and other polls and surveys conducted by organizations give new insight into the activities of current stakeholders. But much of this data is also proprietary and accessible inside the company. If they needed external information or input, companies had to ask it of their target audiences directly or outsource the task. New data gathering techniques and channels, along with expanded data storage and mining capabilities, make parts of the process easier and more effective. But at its core, the process remains very similar to the existing active data collection model. The emergence of social and digital media is more than just a more efficient way to directly communicate with external stakeholders; these platforms allow companies to access the conversations of their target audiences passively. Companies don’t need to ask questions to the outside world or infer possible responses through educated guessing based on past behaviors. All a company needs to do now is listen. The answers to their questions are happening in ongoing conversation threads, reviews, posts, tweets, walls and comments. Not only is this a great new opportunity for insight, this shift also presents new problems to organizations in both analysis and scale. The sheer volume makes the task of just listening overwhelming. Technologies in data storage and management have continuously improved to be better and cheaper, which has allowed many more organizations to efficiently gather, store and manipulate huge amounts of data. Companies like Amazon have even marketed this massive data storage and management capability (Amazon Web Services or AWS) to the public. Built initially to serve Amazon’s internal needs, AWS provides hugely scalable storage and computational services unavailable to smaller companies. Using AWS or a competitor, any size organization can store and process massive amounts of data for relatively low costs. But technology is only part of the solution. We need to greatly increase our analytical savvy and define real goals, successes and metrics beyond “likes” and “follows.” Heavy reliance on the simple (and not very informative) metrics of the early stages of these platforms has understandably led to the current distrust of claims of ROI. Of course, some of this skepticism is deserved because social and digital practitioners in the public relations, policy communications and issues management space have relied too heavily on the novelty of the space and the ignorance of the larger community. But the time for actual quantifiable metrics has arrived, and those that will succeed are the ones that act on this opportunity. Businesses and organizations are starting to demand this level of precision. Metrics driven communication, advocacy and outreach efforts are now becoming the expectation. The value is clear — creating a set of tools and metrics that not only clearly tracks “apples” to “apples” over the course of a campaign, but also clearly defines what the “apple” is has shifted the thinking of the communications industry. More granular result tracking is now possible for both performances against KPIs as well as against time targets. The standardization of data measurements also allows us to more closely and accurately track these indicators over the duration of the effort. Changes in expectations have coincided with improvements in data access, an increase in user participation and a greater level of rigor in social and web analytics. As these capabilities and successes become more widely known, demand for rigorous web data analytics will rise. This will also drive a growth in data availability from the platforms that house it. This shift has already begun. Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) have expanded to make more data available and increases in user activity (and therefore volume of data) have opened a completely new era in direct-access data acquisition. There is no reason to believe that this trend is going to slow any time soon. Now that the data genie is out of the bottle, there will not only be increased demand for access and analysis of this information, but also an increased call for making this sort of data content more available from social and digital venues. More data access will increase the demand for measurable results, which in turn will fuel the demand for more data. More open data APIs and greater transparency will be real differentiators for organizations that possess this kind of information, and internal data mining efforts will be increasingly called upon to produce value. The “nice-to-have” external data analysis projects of the past and present will be baked into business intelligence efforts of the future. Data from social networks like Twitter, LinkedIn and Facebook, and search data from Google, Bing, and Yahoo! are not only going to continue to grow in value and importance to organizations, but will also almost certainly be joined by new venues, networks, platforms and channels. Virtual environments, mobile and location-based platforms, niche social media venues, social aggregation, and all the other items currently on a drawing board all represent potential new sources of information and data, intelligence and metrics. The ” Age of Big Data ” represents an enormous opportunity for the companies, organizations and communicators who recognize it.

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Marc Stoiber: The Power of Incremental Innovation

March 13, 2012

Humans are suckers for shiny objects. Whether it’s Star Trek or Sharper Image, we love to believe in the promise of future tech. Shiny futuristic innovations are a big part of sustainability. Hydrogen fusion, fuel cells, solar farms… we love them for the promise and possibilities they hold. But 99 percent of sustainability is just plain common sense. Innovations that are so simple, they make us wonder not how we did it, but how we managed to not do it for so long. Sylvain Cuperlier, VP of Worldwide Corporate Responsibility and Sustainability of Dole, brought that point back into focus for me. Cuperlier, who is speaking at GLOBE 2012 this week, told me that a great deal of his company’s progress in sustainability comes down to turning common sense into common practice. For example, teaching fuel-efficient driving techniques to Dole truckers, shortening routes through GPS, monitoring fuel usage, and engaging in more effective fleet repair produced a significant reduction in fuel consumption. Planting cover crops and rotating crops on Dole plantations in Costa Rica, meanwhile, reduced soil erosion by 90 percent. This practice is not only good for the planet, it’s also one of the oldest farming techniques known. Coming To Our Senses Cuperlier agrees that many of the innovations Dole is implementing are of the ‘back to the basics’ variety. But this doesn’t lessen their impact — or, of particular interest to brand fans, their importance to customers. While Dole is primarily a b2b player, programs like its reforestation program in Latin America are heartily supported by supermarkets, who are looking for new ways to win consumer support. This revelation provides an interesting juxtaposition to ‘shiny object’ sustainability. Consumers, as much as they like to see bold futuristic progress, find it easy to support practices they understand and can relate to. New gadgets sell, but so do the tried and true remedies our parents loved. If the progress can be framed in a way that I ‘get’, and the innovation produces results, I’m happy to buy. Common Sense And The Innovation Pipeline Every robust innovation pipeline needs to have fresh inputs at four points. First, there are short term incremental innovations that refresh current products, or give a twist to current practices. Then, to stay relevant in the medium to long term, there are difficult but necessary innovations that demand heavy lifting but keep the company viable. Radical innovations are firmly in the long term, anticipating what consumers might want in the 10 to 20 year future. And to fuel dreams of a better tomorrow, there’s visionary innovation. Each of these innovations play a key role. When it comes to sustainability, however, the more mundane incremental innovations are often given short shrift. Consider the impact that teaching efficient driving has on fuel consumption, but the press given to electric and fuel cell vehicles. Lessons For Innovators 1. Don’t ignore the low hanging innovation fruit. Common sense needs to become common practice — and there are rewards in both efficiencies and brand for incremental innovators. 2. Don’t just look short term. Sylvain Cuperlier and Dole may be creating a wealth of incremental innovation, but they’re also launching visionary innovations like their solar power harvester.

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Valerie Berset-Price: Duty of Care: An Employer’s Moral, Social and Legal Responsibility

March 13, 2012

Not a week goes by without reading about a natural disaster, a coup d’état, a kidnapping, a plane crash, or a terrorist attack. We less often hear about infectious diseases such as malaria or dengue fever, or road and work accidents that take the lives of employees while abroad. All the above, however, take place on a daily basis, affecting someone somewhere (an international assignee, their dependents, or international business travelers) and creating hardship for them and some serious financial repercussions for the organizations that employ them if careful policies, referred to as “The Duty of Care,” have not been established and implemented. Without a doubt, doing business internationally is the smartest way to build a stable business, as it diversifies the stream of revenue by making it come from different markets–thus making the organization less vulnerable to the fluctuations linked to any local economy. This being said, many organizations make the mistake of focusing primarily on the business at hand, thereby forcing their employees to operate on sheer audacity and rely mainly on luck when abroad — thus neglecting to realize there is a direct moral, social and, of course, legal responsibility that links any U.S. employee on international assignment to the company. Indeed, all companies operating internationally must be aware of the home and host country laws that protect employees. Unfortunately, too many C-level executives are not aware that they are ultimately responsible for what happens to their employees abroad. Reading through the case studies compiled by Dr. Lisbeth Claus in her white paper , one realizes very quickly how punitive and long-armed those foreign laws are. Dr. Claus’s work focuses mainly on European countries, as well as some of the strongest economies of the Commonwealth where a strong protection of workers is in place. One of the hypothetical case studies Dr. Claus uses in her presentation really stuck with me. It is one of a U.S. businesswoman who travels to London from San Francisco to attend a meeting. Because her company does not pay for business class or an extra night in a hotel to rest before the meeting, she travels coach and arrives in London the day of the meeting. Upon her arrival at Heathrow, she rents a car and drives to her meeting in Wimbledon. Tired and not used to driving on the left side of the road, she crashes and seriously injures herself. Because the employee is considered “at work” while driving the car, and because it cannot be demonstrated proper care had been taken to ensure she would safely report to her meeting (ability to take a rest or driver awaiting her to take her to her meeting after an intercontinental flight), the company could be negligent in its failure to plan (i.e., appropriate policy and enforcement of these policies). Having had the privilege of seeing Dr. Claus presenting live in front of a group of Global H.R. Directors, it quickly became obvious to me that few of the multinational companies present, whether large and small, showed the proper level of duty of care toward their traveling employees. None could have proven to a foreign state that they had put in place the necessary steps to protect the company from its own legal obligation and foreign labor protection laws. It thus seems important to disclose some of those steps and mention what an employer can easily do to protect the employees and the company at the same time: — Carefully groom your employees to make sure they have the right attitude to succeed in the host country (fit for the job, don’t take unnecessary risks, respectful of people’s culture and religion, curious and willing to learn the language, etc.); — Communicate, educate, and train your employees to increase their awareness of the type of environment in which they will be operating once in the foreign country; make sure they are aware of the protocols, risk and dangers associated with certain behaviors that might be considered offensive in the host country; — Assess employee risk prior to any international travel; — Provide access to adequate and safe air and ground transportation (private driver instead of rental car or cab, business class or extra night in a hotel to properly rest, proper escort for female employees in certain regions, etc.); — Track and monitor your employees; have a system in place wherein you know at all times where your employees are when traveling internationally or operating abroad; — Keep on assessing the possibly changing risks when employees are on the road; — Have a crisis management plan and exit strategy in place in case of rioting, earthquake, tsunami, volcanic eruption, war, coup d’état, etc.; — Provide comprehensive travel and medical insurance to your entire international workforce; — Understand the medical and environmental risks and provide the necessary vaccinations and preventive medications. According to Dr. Claus, “Managers who fail to pay attention to employer’s duty of care responsibilities, especially for their employees crossing borders, are failing in their commercial, fiduciary, legal, moral, and social responsibilities as managers.” Don’t be one of those companies.Take international travel seriously and demonstrate proper care toward your workforce. After all, a business amounts to nothing without the people who drive it.

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Dean Baker: Getting Labor Unions to the Adult Table: Why Labor Organizing Should Be a Civil Right

March 13, 2012

Like many progressives I had hopes that President Obama could push the Employee Free Choice Act (EFCA) through Congress. There was no doubt that it would be difficult to get it through a Senate filibuster, but the support of a few moderate Republicans did not seem impossible. Passage seemed close enough that a bit of horse trading and arm-twisting could pull the bill over the line. In reality, it turned out that it was not close. In spite of the best efforts of the labor movement and its supporters, the bill had nowhere near the votes needed to get through a filibuster. The issue was not just getting the few Republicans that would be needed to end a filibuster; the problem was that many Democrats in the Senate would not go near a bill that would make unionization easier. In an environment of unrelenting employer hostility to unions, there can be little doubt that there needs to be some change in the rules if workers in the private sector are going to have chance of being able to organize successfully. As it stands, it is standard practice for employers to fire workers who are engaged in an organizing drive. While such firing is against the law, the penalties are trivial. When it gets around to hearing the case, which could take years, the National Labor Relations Board can order that a worker wrongly fired be rehired. Workers wrongfully fired are also entitled to the difference between the wages that they would have earned on the job from which they were fired, and the wages they actually earned. This is often little or nothing. Imagine being fired from a job at Walmart that paid little more than the minimum wage. Meanwhile, the firing is great strategy from the employers’ standpoint. The troublemakers are gone. The union is shown to be impotent and the rest of the workforce conceals any possible interest in the union in order to avoid the same fate. It doesn’t help much if the organizers get rehired a year or two later. Imagine that President Obama got to jail his opponent’s campaign workers for the two months prior to the election, but had to release them the month after. That is the roughly the state of union elections in America today. But EFCA got nowhere and it is not likely to get anywhere any time soon. There was very little public understanding of the issues involved. And one of the key demands, that workers could organize through majority sign-up rather than a secret ballot election (a situation that already exists at the discretion of the employer but not the workers), seemed undemocratic to many people who might have otherwise been sympathetic. If labor is to again be able to organize in the private sector, it clearly needs a new path forward. This is where Why Labor Organizing Should be a Civil Right by Richard Kahlenberg and Moshe Marvit ( Century Foundation ) takes off. This book is written from the perspective of two lawyers who recognize the importance of the labor movement to progressive change in the United States over the last 8 decades. The book’s key proposal is that workers who are trying to organize should be given the same sort of legal protection that African Americans or women enjoy against discrimination based on race or gender. This means that workers who are fired would get to sue in real court (not the NLRB) for real damages. As in civil rights cases, they would be entitled to collect attorney’s fees from employers if they won their case. Attorneys’ fees are a huge deal, since it means that workers could afford to get lawyers in cases where it otherwise would probably not pay to hire a lawyer. As part of their suit, workers would also have the opportunity to engage in discovery, forcing employers to turn over documents about hiring union-busting consultants and to reveal discussions that might have led workers to exercise their right to seek union representation. This is the sort of huge rethinking that is needed if labor and progressive politics more generally are going to have a chance to advance in the decades ahead. The current situation of labor is striking because the laws are incredibly tilted against workers in a way that even many progressives do not recognize. If workers violate the law, for example with a wildcat strike or secondary boycott, employees can go to court and get an injunction in hours. Unlike the situation where employers fire organizers, the penalties for the workers in these cases are hardly a wrist slap. Leaders of the action face imprisonment if they defy an injunction. Any assets of the union can be seized, which could include any strike fund, bank accounts, even office equipment. Imagine if Jeffrey Immelt, the CEO of GE, faced jail time every time the company violated a labor law? If it ever was passed into law, Kahlenberg and Marvit’s proposal would likely have substantially more impact on unionization rates than the EFCA, but more importantly the proposal has a greater prospect of gaining the sort of popular support needed for passage. The issues that motivated the EFCA required a knowledge of the specifics of union organizing that few people have. As a result, even people sympathetic to labor often did not support the bill. By contrast, the Kalhlenberg-Marvit proposal is rooted in a rights-based approach that should be more intuitive to the public. The authors are not naïve in thinking that this reframing will cause a bill to magically sail through Congress and land on the president’s desk. Employers will be every bit as forceful in opposing a bill that seeks to give workers this right to sue as they were in opposing ECFA. However, the big difference is that labor and its supporters are far more likely to be able to gain the popular support to overcome this opposition going the civil rights route. This argument also helps to pull the argument away from a sort of loser liberalism story where the government is reaching over to help labor by letting them go to children’s court (the NLRB) because it feels sorry for them. Instead, labor is seeking symmetry in the relationship with management. Employers get to take their grievances to real court; workers should have the same opportunity. While Kahlenberg and Marvit did not invent the proposal that is the centerpiece of the book, they deserve credit for bringing it back to public attention in a forceful manner at a time when labor and the progressive movement more generally are desperately in need of new directions forward. This is a book worth reading and argument worth taking seriously.

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Raconteur Media: Overseas Sales Keep UK Business Afloat

March 13, 2012

As the UK economic outlook remains gloomy, retailers are venturing further afield to develop international markets. But what is the impact of going global on the UK high street? Miya Knights finds out. Where domestic retail sales are stagnating, it is easy to see why UK retailers are looking to foreign shores to boost growth. But what does this trend mean for the future of our local high streets? Technology is playing a central role in driving development forward on both fronts. Luxury firms are perhaps the UK’s most successful retail export, capitalising on the value of their brands to supplement slow domestic sales with growth abroad. In itself, this is nothing new. The cross-fertilisation of retail brands across regional markets has also brought us many now-familiar UK high street names, such as Gap from the United States, H&M from Sweden and Zara from Spain. The difference today is that, while analysts predict virtually flat UK retail sales growth in spite of the usual Christmas boost, many more UK retailers are seeing markedly increased demand in overseas markets which they cannot afford to ignore. Burberry’s latest sales figures, for example, grew by 21 per cent in the last quarter of 2011, largely driven by a £210-million (36 per cent) sales boost in the Asia-Pacific region. In contrast, its sales in Europe were up by 20 per cent to £160 million. Daniel Lucht, research director for retail analyst ResearchFarm, said the lure of internationalisation was due to the impact of “a very austere economic outlook for 2012″. This, in turn, has had the effect of generating a huge move away from debt-financed business growth. “Cash flow is going to be a big issue,” says Mr Lucht. “For both retailers and consumers, it will be about not what they want, but what they can afford.” He adds that the presence of essential infrastructure components, like communication networks and roads, is often a prerequisite for successful expansion, making countries like India challenging for overseas entrants, despite its rapidly expanding middle class. “Most UK fashion and clothing retailers have piled into the Middle East,” says Richard Fitzpatrick, director of Retailmap, a specialist retail analysis and competitor monitoring company. “But that is because of a number of large entrepreneurial firms who build and own their own retail properties.” The presence of two or three very strong joint venture or franchise trading partners, such as Alshaya, Al Futtaim and Al Tayer, who provide the UK retailers with a complete turn-key solution – logistics, warehousing and access to the biggest shopping malls – have helped add the region to the UK’s list of international destinations, alongside Asia. Mr Fitzpatrick adds that high-end luxury brands have done well in the Middle East, Asia and also Russia because a growing proportion of their middle classes and super-rich are conspicuous in their consumption. But he says: “The value and budget segment is also probably one of the best UK exports, with the likes of Primark already starting to take Europe by storm. This is where we also see Tesco, George @ Asda, Sainsbury’s TUI, Matalan and even New Look expanding.” Across 50 UK clothing and footwear retailers, surveyed by Retailmap in 2011, each traded in an average of 11 separate countries and had an average of six outlets per country. Some retailers had a much wider global exposure. Topshop, for example, is in 29 countries, yet even this UK high street fashion stalwart only averages five outlets per country. By comparison, Tesco operates in nine countries but it has an average of 250 stores per country in each of the grocery and own-brand clothing brand markets it operates in. “It is little surprise that in central Europe, Tesco’s F+F clothing brand is one of the market-share leaders,” says Mr Fitzpatrick. “A UK high street chain with 200 or 300 stores is looking for greater economies of scale and efficiencies than any small joint venture or franchise investment can deliver,” he says. “H&M, for example, does 25% of its business in Germany alone.” To put Topshop’s global presence into perspective against the weak domestic market, its owner Sir Philip Green revealed recently that it was looking to close 250 to 260 stores from its 2,500-strong UK estate over the next three years. This will pave the way for ambitions to expand the Topshop brand further overseas. The consequences of such strategies do not bode well for the UK high street. The government’s recent retail review by TV retail guru, Mary Portas, found less than half the UK’s retail spending is now on the high street and that this figure is falling. But the lure of overseas profits need not necessarily sound its death knell. Technology can help span the miles between head office and the flagship store on the other side of the world, or automate finance reporting and administration with country-specific software rules. But it is the explosion in internet shopping, and its relatively lower operating costs and higher margins that have really been fuelling not only international UK retail ambitions, but also domestic ones too. But, in some cases, UK retailers like Next are switching their international expansion plans away from opening lots of new overseas stores to setting up foreign language and international currency online shops. Perhaps, if eCommerce was as mature a decade ago, the cautionary tale of Marks & Spencer’s experience would not have seen it unceremoniously pull out of its first foray into France, where it had operated 18 stores. Undeterred, it re-launched there last October, but with its first international transactional website, which the retailer said was part of its bricks-and-clicks global approach, preceding the opening of a flagship Paris store a few weeks later. Success is, in fact, by no means assured abroad or even at home, in stores or online. Just think of the ill-fated Carphone Warehouse and Best Buy joint venture. The US electronics retailer last year ceased trading through 11 Best Buy UK stores, at the cost of some 1,100 jobs. Significantly, services spanning multiple channels, such as click and collect or reserve in-store and deliver to home, are becoming more popular in the UK where internet trade body, Interactive Media Retail Group (IMRG) recorded a significant rise in the percentage of click-and-collect online sales in the third retail quarter of 2011. Accounting for 10.4 per cent of all UK eCommerce sales in the period, this merging of retail sales channels becomes all the more important in prospective foreign markets that also have a higher proportion of digital natives with multichannel expectations. Adam Stewart, marketing director of Rakuten’s Play.com, predicts: “In the year ahead, cutting-edge mobile devices, worldwide mobile and broadband penetration, and innovative social shopping services will open up global markets, providing huge growth opportunities for merchants large and small, and unparalleled consumer choice.” Play.com, one of the UK’s largest internet retailers, was recently acquired by Rakuten – the “Amazon of Japan” – for £25 million. The question is though, will UK retailers be able to keep up? Take Japan, the world’s most digitally advanced nation, for example. According to IDTechEx research, 47 million Japanese adopted smartphones with tap-and-go payments functionality in three years, making its adoption of mobile payments technology one of the fastest roll outs of electronic products in history. Super-fast broadband speeds and 4G enable in-store ordering direct from a customer’s smartphone, along with localised, targeted promotional offers and the widespread use of Quick Response (QR) codes. The influence of the tech-savvy multichannel consumer and UK retail experience in more advanced multichannel markets is already making its presence felt on our local high streets. Women’s fashion company Oasis is equipping staff with iPads to boost service levels and assisted sales, as well as reduce lost sales from out-of-stocks, for example. Ish Patel, strategic development director at Oasis’ parent Aurora Fashions Group, points out that fast smartphone adoption is paving the way for mobile or mCommerce to help blend traditional physical and emerging online channels. In this way, lessons learnt from going global may also help UK retailers better mind what is at home, despite the fact they may be strategically focused on distant shores. This article orginally appeared in a special report on The Future of Retail, produced by Raconteur Media and published with The Times (UK). Please see www.raconteuronthetimes.co.uk for further articles from this report.

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Robert Kuttner: Steve Jobs and American Jobs

March 12, 2012

The economy added another 227,000 jobs in March, the Labor Department reported Friday. That’s good news, sort of. It means that the recovery is slowly progressing. At this rate, we will be back to pre-recession employment levels sometime around 2018. However, this growth in jobs was not enough for wages to keep place with inflation; nor did the unemployment rate drop, but stayed stuck at 8.3 percent. Why? Because folks who had given up have started entering the labor force again, but the percentage of people in the labor force is still two points lower than it was before the recession began. A new study by the Economic Policy Institute reports that earnings declined over the past decade even for college graduates — so much for the education cure. In short, the recession made a bad problem worse, but the economy on the eve of the recession was nothing to be proud of. Throughout the first decade of the new century, before the recession hit, wages lagged behind living costs for the vast majority of Americans — because those in the top one percent were capturing such a large share of the economy’s total productivity gains. Some of this trend was the result of globalization undercutting the bargaining power of U.S. workers; some of it resulted from weakened trade unions and minimum wage laws lagging behind inflation. Flat or declining wages did not result from declining average productivity. So when we finally climb out of this jobs recession, perhaps we can belatedly confront these deeper trends. I have been writing about the hotel workers union in New York City. Thanks to an extraordinarily effective union, Local 6 of the hotel and restaurant workers union, nearly every large hotel in Manhattan is unionized, and everyone who works in these hotels, from dishwashers to room cleaners to doormen to banquet waiters earns a middle class wage. The union recently signed a seven year contract giving workers a 27 percent wage. Local 6 is an exceptionally effective union, and New York is a unique tourist destination. But since the vast majority of jobs in America will soon be service sector jobs, not vulnerable to global competition, there is no good economic reason why they can’t all be middle class jobs. The challenge is political. We as a society simply need to decide, as President Obama famously told “Joe the Plumber,” that we want to “spread the wealth around” rather than having it concentrate at the very top. All service jobs could pay a living wage. How to do that? Unions, wage regulation, progressive taxation, and government using existing powers over contractors that it seldom exercises. But what about manufacturing? This brings me to the other Jobs of my title, the late Steve Jobs. The New York Times , in a two part series earlier this year on Apple’s Chinese contractor, Foxconn, finally made front page news and added some telling detail to what was already fairly well known. The cool, must-have iPads, iPhones, and iPods to which we are increasingly addicted are manufactured with brutal sweatshop labor in Shenzhen, China, where 230,000 employees are making an average of less than $2 an hour work in a single factory complex. Foxconn’s dormitories now have nets outside to prevent suicides. I recently saw a one-man show, Mike Daisey’s amazing “The Agony and the Ecstasy of Steve Jobs,” in which Daisey , a spellbinding monologue artist, recounts his own conversations with the workers of Foxconn in Shenzhen. Daisey was on to Foxconn long before the Times . If you get a chance to see this show, which runs for one more week at New York’s Public Theatre and which will be on tour in Washington, D.C. and elsewhere later this year, don’t miss it. Two weeks ago, Daisey made the stunning decision to put his script in the public domain, so that other performances could go viral . Daisey wonders out loud: what if everyone who buys these products began upping the pressure on Apple to do right by its workers? I would add: What if Apple made a decision to bring this work home, and to pay decent wages for it, say $20 an hour. Right now, this is literally impossible, because the production facilities to make such products no longer exist in the United States. But the Pentagon has insisted that America hang on to production capacity for certain other sensitive micro-electronics products. And if hostilities escalated between the U.S. and Beijing, you can bet that we would see a crash program to restore more micro-electronics output at home. Apple earns about $600,000 per year per employee. It can well afford to share a little more of that with its workers. The New York Times calculated that it would add only about $65 to the cost of an iPad or iPhone to produce it at home at good wages. And over time, it would tend to cost less, since higher-paid workers lead the company to redouble its investment in automation. Apple can certainly afford this transition. It is now the richest company in the world, sitting on a pile of nearly a hundred billion dollars in cash. If Apple led, it would become bad form for America’s other prestigious companies to manufacture for U.S. markets in foreign sweatshops. Ralph Nader recently published the most improbable of books, a novel titled Only the Super-Rich Can Save Us . Nader, looking at the grotesque economic and political power imbalance in the U.S., imagined that a cabal of billionaires led by Warren Buffet and Ted Turner have an outbreak of conscience and become crusaders for progressive reform. It’s Nader’s way of both laying out a reform agenda and spotlighting where the real power lies. It’s a lovely fantasy, but it’s not going to happen — any more than Apple, out of the goodness of its corporate heart, is about to decide to phase out its high-tech Asian sweatshops in favor of decently compensated production jobs in the United States. But what could perhaps happen is a mass movement of Apple consumers, declaring that it’s not cool to treat the people who build these products like beasts of burden or like expendable non-human parts. Alternatively, as incomes keep falling further behind the cost of living for most Americans, we can comfort ourselves with the thought that we enjoy the coolest of gadgets and that others are even poorer than we are. Robert Kuttner is co-editor of The American Prospect and a senior fellow at Demos. His latest book is A Presidency in Peril .

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These Are The States Where Americans Sleep The Worst

March 11, 2012

Americans in general do not sleep well. But those who sleep the worst live in the South, according to a new study by the Journal of Clinical Sleep Medicine. 24/7 Wall St. looked at the six states with the highest rates of sleep disturbance and identified a number of quality of life indicators that may help residents of some states sleep better than others.

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Brazilian Tourists Now Biggest Spenders In The U.S.

March 11, 2012

RIO DE JANEIRO (AP) — The overstuffed bags filling Fernando Mello’s luggage cart wobbled precariously as the gym owner made his way home one morning through Rio’s international airport. Navigating the terminal, Mello was part of a horde of other Brazilian travelers returning with loot found in the strip malls and discount outlets of southern Florida. Mello’s girlfriend’s freshly purchased Michael Kors handbag in gold lame sat atop four bulging suitcases like a shining crown — a testament to the newfound consumer power of Brazilian travelers, who now spend more per capita than any other visitors to the U.S. In fact, Brazilians are spending so much that flights with Brazil’s top airline TAM originating in the U.S. have had to carry more fuel to accommodate the dramatically overweight baggage. “We left with nothing, just a piece of hand luggage,” said the 30-year-old Mello. “We go to the U.S. once a year, stay in great hotels, have a fantastic holiday and shop till we drop and it’s still cheaper than shopping in Brazil. It’s a no-brainer.” According to the latest statistics, Brazilians spent $5.9 billion in the U.S. in 2010 in a tsunami of cash that’s shifting American immigration practices and boosting economies in hard-hit parts of the U.S. that remain in the doldrums. President Barack Obama recently ordered the State Department to speed up the visa application process for tourists coming from Brazil, China and other nations with newly flush consumers. After suffering decades of hyperinflation, Brazil has ridden high commodity prices along with some of the world’s biggest offshore oil discoveries to expand its economy, lift millions out of poverty and multiply the ranks of the country’s deep-pocketed elite. The buying binge also shows off the muscle of the country’s mushrooming middle class, which has expanded by 40 million people since 2003. That’s been bolstered by the growing use of credit cards, bank loans and other forms of consumer credit. But it’s not just the easy money that has transformed Brazilians into world-class shoppers. Stiff tariffs on all imports push the prices of foreign-made goods into the stratosphere at home. And though domestic products are not known for their quality, their prices have risen in recent years as demand is higher than production, making it cheaper to buy nearly everything in the U.S., from clothes to toys and kitchen gear and even soaps and shampoos. As a result, Brazilians spend more in the U.S. than visitors from any other nation — around $5,400 per person in 2010, with experts estimating the number growing last year. Japanese tourists followed, spending $4,300 each. Unniverson Liborio, a 60-year-old chef based in New York, disembarked at Rio’s airport with bags stuffed with hot buys for his grandchildren — baby onesies, a pink plastic Barbie mansion and 700 disposable diapers. “I got this all for maybe $300, total,” said the Brazilian-born Liborio, who has lived in the U.S. for decades. “Here I couldn’t have bought even half the diapers for the same price, and forget about everything else.” Price discrepancies are particularly pronounced when it comes to luxury goods. With the number of millionaire households here forecast to more than triple by 2020, Brazil is widely regarded as the new El Dorado of luxury, and top-tier labels such as Italy’s Prada and Bottega Veneta are scrambling to get a foothold. Because of the staggering import taxes, however, the high-end handbags, shoes, garments and electronics can end up retailing for several times more here than in Europe or the U.S. The iPhone 4S with 16 gigabytes of memory costs $1,515 without a contract on Apple’s Brazilian website. The same phone retails without a contract for $649 on Apple’s U.S. website. And so it is that hordes of Brazilians swarm Miami’s Apple Store while the Girls from Ipanema snap up designer purses on New York’s Fifth Avenue. Brazilian shoppers are easy to spot — they’re the ones at malls with huge suitcases on rollers, spending from store to store until their baggage won’t hold any more. Aristoteles Guimaraes, a 36-year-old from Sao Paulo, was busy recently at Miami’s Sawgrass Mill mall while on a special four-day shopping mission with a budget of $4,000. “I came exclusively to buy things for my baby,” said Guimaraes, whose wife is seven months pregnant and remained back home. “I came to buy everything. Things here cost on average one-third of what they would in Brazil.” His big find: an Italian baby stroller that would have run him $1,300 in Sao Paulo but was $350 in the U.S. Guimaraes had visited before, with his first trip in 2005, and said he was treated better this time at his hotel and at the shops. It should come as no surprise: Still struggling merchants have rejoiced at the business. “They spend a lot,” said Giovana Ennen, a saleswoman at a luggage store in Miami. “I’ve sold 16 suitcases to a family of six people.” Ennen added that she sees some Brazilian clients every six weeks or so and that they leave each time with bags full of merchandise. Brazilians’ heavy spending has in part helped pave the way for a geopolitical shift in relations between the Latin American giant and the U.S. During a recent visit to Disney World, a perennial favorite among Brazilians, Obama unveiled measures aimed at making it faster and easier to obtain tourist visas for citizens of developing countries such as China and Brazil with “rapidly growing economies, large populations and emerging middle classes.” “More and more of their people can now afford to visit America who couldn’t come before,” Obama said. He said the State Department has been instructed to process 40 percent more visa applications for Brazilian and Chinese nationals this year. That expected increase comes on top of the already skyrocketing numbers of U.S. visas granted to Brazilians in recent years, which more than doubled over the past decade to 546,866 in 2010. Official figures for 2011 have not yet been released, but the U.S. Embassy in Brasilia estimates at least 1 million visas were granted last year. The U.S. consulate in Sao Paulo last year received more visa applications than any other in the world — around 3,000 a day, according to the U.S. Embassy. Business at the three other U.S. consulates in Brazil has been so brisk that Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman has said staff there are working double shifts and plans are being examined to send reinforcements. Liborio, the New York-based chef, said he’s amazed how the tables have turned since the days people flocked to Brazil for cheap clothing and other buys. “I used to do my shopping here in Brazil, where you could buy four pairs of jeans for the price of one in the U.S.,” he said amid a group of sated shoppers at the airport. “Now I come here with tons of luggage and leave with nothing.” ___ Associated Press writer Jenny Barchfield reported this story in Rio de Janeiro and Gisela Salomon reported in Miami. AP writers Marco Sibaja in Brasilia and Stan Lehman in Sao Paulo contributed to this report.

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Which European Country Just Doubled Down On Austerity Measures?

March 11, 2012

BRUSSELS, March 11 (Reuters) – Belgium’s government agreed early on Sunday to extend austerity measures by 1.82 billion euros ($2.39 billion) to keep its 2012 budget deficit within EU limits. After a full week of talks, ministers from the six-party coalition also decided to freeze a further 650 million euros of spending in case a weak economy meant further savings were required, the government said in a statement on Sunday. It added that it would provide further details at a news conference planned on Sunday morning. “Despite a very difficult context, the spending power of the public is preserved and the competitiveness of companies guaranteed,” the government statement said. The new savings add to the 11.3 billion euro package of measures agreed upon when the government took power at the end of the year. Those measures included raising the effective retirement age from a current average of 59 years and hiking tax on company cars. Belgium has pledged to bring its public sector deficit down to 2.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) this year from 3.8 percent in 2011. It risks an EU fine if its deficit does not fall to at least 3 percent. The Federal Plan Bureau, whose estimates are typically used to draft budgets, has forecast Belgium’s economy, the sixth largest in the euro zone, will grow by just 0.1 percent this year from 1.9 percent in 2011. Belgium’s central bank has forecast a contraction of 0.1 percent in 2012. ($1 = 0.7622 euros) (Reporting by Philip Blenkinsop; Editing by Alison Williams)

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Major CEO’s Pay Takes Huge Plunge

March 10, 2012

— General Electric Co. Chairman and CEO Jeffrey Immelt’s compensation fell 24 percent in 2011 after it spiked in 2010. GE, which makes products ranging from jet engines to light bulbs, as well as financing projects around the globe, gave Immelt a pay package valued at nearly $11.4 million, according to an analysis of regulatory documents filed Friday. That is down from roughly $15.1 million in 2010, when his pay nearly tripled. General Electric gave the 56-year old CEO a $3.3 million salary and $4 million bonus in 2011, unchanged from the prior year. Immelt was granted stock awards valued at nearly $3.6 million. He was given none in 2010. He received no option awards in 2011 after being granted $7.4 million in 2010. The company bowed to shareholder pressure last year and put new performance conditions in place on his 2010 stock options. The total compensation package calculation includes $123.176 in above-market earnings from interest on his pension fund. General Electric also gave him use of the company aircraft, car allowance and other perks valued at $447,191, up from $389,809 in the prior year. The company had a tumultuous year in 2011, given the global economic troubles, but increased total net income 22 percent to $14.15 billion, or $1.23 per share for the 2011 fiscal year, compared with $11.64 billion, or $1.06 per share, in 2010. General Electric praised Immelt’s leadership, saying the company is now a smaller, more focused specialty finance company and that senior management’s actions have put the company into a position of financial strength. In addition to his work at the head of the massive company, Immelt has received attention recently for his work as head of President Barack Obama’s Council on Jobs and Competitiveness, where he is consulting with the president on how to stimulate job growth for the U.S. The Associated Press formula calculates an executive’s total compensation during the last fiscal year by adding salary, bonuses, perks, above-market interest the company pays on deferred compensation and the estimated value of stock and stock options awarded during the year. The AP formula does not count changes in the present value of pension benefits. That makes the AP total slightly different in most cases from the total reported by companies to the Securities and Exchange Commission. The value that a company assigned to an executive’s stock and option awards for 2010 was the present value of what the company expected the awards to be worth to the executive over time. Companies use one of several formulas to calculate that value. However, the number is just an estimate, and what an executive ultimately receives will depend on the performance of the company’s stock in the years after the awards are granted. Most stock compensation programs require an executive to wait a specified amount of time to receive shares or exercise options. Shares of Fairfield, Conn.-based GE edged up 1 cent to close at $19.04 on Friday.

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Private Prison Company Sues Florida Town For Thwarting Immigrant Jail

March 10, 2012

The nation’s largest private prison corporation sued a South Florida town this week, arguing that city officials are trying to “disrupt and derail” plans to build one of nation’s largest immigrant-detention centers northwest of Miami. Corrections Corporation of America’s federal lawsuit claims that city officials in Pembroke Pines, Fla., are interfering with the company’s “advantageous business relationship” with federal immigration authorities. Corrections Corp. reached a tentative deal with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement last summer to build a 1,500-bed detention facility in Southwest Ranches, a quiet suburban enclave near the Everglades. But residents and immigrant-rights groups have waged a battle against the company and elected officials who support construction of the jail. Money is on the line for both Corrections Corp. and the town of Southwest Ranches, which has an agreement to receive up to 4 percent of the compensation from the company’s potential deal with the federal government. Over the past decade, the federal government has embarked on an unprecedented campaign to round up and detain undocumented immigrants, leading to a major development of detention centers. Between 2005 and 2010, the amount of money appropriated for immigrant detention and removal more than doubled, from $1.2 billion to more than $2.5 billion. Private contractors like Corrections Corp. and GEO Group have benefited: Nearly half of all immigrants detained by the federal government were housed in private facilities, according to an analysis of data by advocacy group Detention Watch Network . Though the politics have been fierce in Southwest Ranches, the lawsuit hinges on a technical matter: how to get water and sewer services to the site of the proposed detention center. While the site is in the town of Southwest Ranches, Corrections Corp. was relying on an agreement with nearby Pembroke Pines to provide the hookup to water systems. After public opposition swelled in both communities over the past year, commissioners in Pembroke Pines began looking at ways to pull out of the agreement to provide services for the jail site. The City Commission nixed the deal earlier this week, which led Corrections Corp. to file lawsuit in federal court seeking damages and a reversal of the city’s decision. “It is not legal for a municipality to selectively provide … services … based on political considerations,” wrote Steve Owen, a spokesman for Corrections Corp., in an e-mail response. Residents near the site of the proposed detention center have been vocal opponents of the deal, which has brought unprecedented tension to the wealthy corner of South Florida known for expansive ranch homes and residents who ride horses. Homeowners in both towns have been flooded with robocalls from both Corrections Corp. and activists seeking to sway public opinion on the detention center. “They’re suing my city with the federal tax dollars they’ve gotten from my pocket,” said Ryann Greenberg, who lives less than a half mile from the proposed site and has organized hundreds of residents in opposition. “They’re trying to bully their way into this contract.” The city attorney for Pembroke Pines, Sam Goren, wrote in an e-mail that the city is reviewing the lawsuit and will be meeting with outside counsel to “prepare appropriate strategies in the future defense.” Although Immigration and Customs Enforcement reached a tentative deal with Corrections Corp. last summer on the Southwest Ranches site, a spokesman for the agency said there is “no set timeline” for a final decision.

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Top Housing CEOs Will No Longer Be Riding High

March 9, 2012

In response to public anger and pressure from U.S. lawmakers, the government regulator overseeing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is limiting pay for the mortgage giants’ new chief executives once appointed. Pay for other top executives at the mortgage giants, however, is not budging much, putting the new CEOs in the potentially awkward position of making less than some of their subordinates. The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which controls Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, announced on Friday that when its current chief executives step down, replacements will receive $500,000 per year with no bonuses. Though the number might seem eye-popping to most, it is comparatively low for the financial services industry and marks a 91 percent pay cut from the current chief executives’ maximum pay. The heads of both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have said they plan to resign this year. Michael Williams, chief executive of Fannie Mae, received $5.259 million in total pay last year , and Charles Haldeman, chief executive of Freddie Mac, earned $3.799 million, according to the FHFA. For 2012, nearly all other senior executives at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are receiving a 10 percent pay cut in maximum pay, according to the FHFA — which means that the CEOs will make less than some executives. For example, Ross Kari, the chief financial officer of Freddie Mac, will receive a maximum of $3.15 million for his work in 2012, and Susan McFarland, chief financial officer of Fannie Mae, will receive a maximum of $2.88 million. Other senior executives’ maximum pay for 2012 exceeds $1.7 million. In response to public outrage, Congress has been pushing the mortgage giants to eliminate bonuses. The House Financial Services Committee approved legislation in November that would have ended bonuses for senior executives altogether at the companies. A bipartisan group of senators have also said they want to ban bonuses at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have cost taxpayers about $169 billion since their government takeover in 2008. The FHFA argues that lowering pay comes with the risk of attracting lower-tier talent, which could end up costing taxpayers more money. Edward DeMarco, acting director of the FHFA, said in a statement on Friday that “a sudden and sharp change in pay from these levels would certainly risk a substantial exodus of talent, the best leaving first in many instances.” DeMarco earns $239,555 per year , according to a Freedom of Information Act request from WikiOrgCharts. Michael Cosgrove, a spokesman for Freddie Mac, said in a statement that Freddie Mac shares the FHFA’s concern that its “executive compensation framework must enable us to attract and retain highly qualified professionals.” He noted that Freddie Mac’s executive compensation is “significantly below the 25th percentile of market-based peers.” Fannie Mae muted its concerns on Friday in an amended SEC filing and in a statement that the new executive pay program is “consistent with good stewardship of taxpayer resources and will enable the company to attract and retain qualified executives.” But in an earlier filing for 2011 , Fannie Mae wrote that steep executive pay cuts would endanger Fannie Mae’s ability to conduct business effectively. “A sudden and sharp decline in compensation would likely cause significant and swift employee turnover, restrict recruitment of qualified replacements and decrease engagement of remaining employees,” Fannie Mae wrote. “An improving economy is likely to put additional pressures on turnover, as attractive opportunities become available to our employees.”

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Dan Coats: Hurry Up, DOE, And Approve Those Loans

March 9, 2012

An Indiana senator who last fall became one of the most vocal critics of the government’s automaker advanced tech loan program — calling it a process of picking winners and losers among private companies — had earlier lobbied the Energy Department to hurry up and approve the loan requests of companies based in his state. Letters obtained by The Huffington Post show Sen. Dan Coats (R-Ind.) had pushed the Energy Department to speed up its loan approval process, given the fact that many companies were complaining the process was taking too long. In June, Coats wrote a letter urging the Energy Department to speed up its decision making process and start doling out some of the funds. “I believe the agency is capable of much better performance,” Coats wrote to Department of Energy Secretary Steven Chu. “DOE has received many dozen qualified applicants, including several strong applicants from my home state of Indiana … I encourage DOE to improve its process and start approving qualified loans.” In August, Coats helped lobby for Bright Automotive, which was planning to renovate a former Humvee plant in northern Indiana to make hybrid delivery vans. On Aug. 2, Coats forwarded to Jonathan Silver, then head of the Energy Department’s loan program, two emails, which came from Bright employees asking Coats to help with the company’s loan application. But that same day, Aug. 2, Coats also criticized the Energy Department’s automaker tech loan program, after learning Russian steelmaker Severstal had scored an initial approval for a $730 million loan for its manufacture of lighter-weight, high-strength steel in Michigan. In November, Coats and Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) questioned the Severstal decision and demanded that the U.S. inspector general investigate. Coats criticized the Department of Energy’s process of giving loans to private companies. “This is another example of why the government should not be in the business of picking winners and losers,” he said. Ultimately, the Energy Department decided in January to not finalize the Severstal loan and Coats said the decision was a boon for Indiana steelmakers. Companies in his home state manufacture the type of steel Severstal wanted to make in Michigan. Coats’ spokeswoman did not return calls for comment. The Energy Department’s Advanced Technology Vehicle Manufacturing program was initiated during the administration of President George W. Bush in the fall of 2007 and expanded under the Obama administration. The $8 billion allocated has gone to just five companies: Ford, Nissan, Fisker Automotive, Tesla and natural-gas van maker the Vehicle Production Group. Executives from companies that have withdrew their loan applications have complained that the decision-making process took way too long, with waits of 30 to 36 months. Chrysler, which backed out of the application process last month, said the Energy Department kept changing the structure of the loan. In the past two weeks, two companies have announced they failed to get the Energy Department loans that they had been hoping for. Both had operations in Indiana. After failing to get a loan, Bright Automotive last week announced it was closing its doors. William Santana Li, CEO of Carbon Motors, which is building a plant in Indiana, said loan applicants are caught up in a political mess. Republicans are trying to bash President Barack Obama’s administration over the cases of Severstal and Solyndra, and the Energy Department is too skittish to hand out any more money out of fear it will become more election-year fodder, he said. (Solar panel maker Solyndra filed for bankruptcy two years after receiving an Energy Department loan through another program.) Carbon Motors’ application for a Energy department loan was rejected earlier this week. “It is clear that this was a political decision in a highly charged election-year environment,” Santana Li said.

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New York Not The Most Unequal County In America

March 9, 2012

In the United States, even even the inequality is unequal. Yes, the level of income inequality among American households rose 18 percent between 1967 and 2010, according to a new report from the U.S. Census Bureau . But that growth has had a larger effect in certain areas, the report finds. Counties in the South, for example, have seen see especially high rates of disparity among income earners, while wages in the Midwest are more equitable. It’s often whether a county has a city inside it that make the difference, as cities often host both the very rich and very poor. To take an obvious example, New York county, which includes Manhattan, is the county with the third highest level of income inequality. The larger effects of income inequality remain a matter of debate. Occupy Wall Street thrust the issue into the limelight last autumn, but that hasn’t been enough to change the minds of those who argue U.S. income inequality has been overstated . Indeed, a recent report based on data from the Labor Department argued income inequality “is no greater today than in it was in the 1980s.” What do you think? See below to find out if you live in one of the top ten counties with the worst income inequality, according to the U.S. Census Bureau :

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Ann Lee: U.S-China: Headed for Trade War?

March 9, 2012

Reuters has reported that a bill about to be signed by Obama will allow existing tariffs on imported goods from China to stay in place after they were threatened by a court ruling. At a time when there seems to be little bipartisan support for anything, it is surprising that this piece of legislation enjoys popularity from both sides of the aisle. Certainly, there is a broad perception in the U.S. that China does not play by the rules, that the U.S. engages in free market capitalism while China engages in mercantilism. Unfortunately, like all disagreements, the truth is not black and white, but shades of gray. While there may be incidences of violations by the Chinese, the issue is complicated by the fact that there are just as many grievances levied against the U.S. by not just China, but by many other countries charging U.S. with hypocrisy when it comes to global trade practices. Global Trade Watch and other international organizations document these long lists of U.S. violations so I won’t belabor them in this post, but it is safe to say that cases have been made that the U.S. is as much a transgressor. And regarding the belief that the U.S. engages in free markets is problematic. The U.S. regularly grants Indefinite Quantity Contracts (IQCs) which basically amount to indefinite wire transfers of federal money to private entities that win these lifetime government contracts. Such practices sound pretty similar to China’s relationship with state-owned enterprises even if these American entities are technically private. Thus, hostile rhetoric accompanied by hostile actions by Washington will not be met with much sympathy by foreign ears while leaving U.S. competitiveness and job creation unaddressed. However, this trade bill is misguided and dangerous on even other levels because it actually aggravates U.S. economic problems. Rather than protect American jobs, punitive duties will make products more expensive to American consumers and companies while at the same time make American employers and employees less competitive in the global economy because they are shielded from competition in the U.S. but not in foreign countries. But because companies must compete globally to survive in this day and age, this inability to compete abroad will translate into lost American jobs anyway. This punitive trade bill to punish the Chinese will just backfire if these American companies cannot bring their costs down and be as nimble as the Chinese when competing in other markets. Worse, it could kick start a trade war in which everyone in the global economy will lose by creating spillover effects. For instance, competitive American companies may face reciprocal duties slapped on them from foreign countries, causing a downward spiral similar to the conditions that led to World War II. A more productive bill will be one in which America invests in industries that still have a chance at winning. Germany, for example, uses feed-in tariffs to support the development and use of green technologies. If America invested more in high tech and biotech R&D, where it has more advantages, and provided easier access to capital for small and medium-sized companies, then America will be more actively and directly creating jobs without creating ill will with its trading partners. America already subsidizes agriculture, banks, autos, and other large industries that have benefited tremendously as witnessed by their record profits. The problem is that those who benefited have largely been the ones with heavy lobbying power and who also failed to distribute their profits more evenly to their employees. Let’s get Congress to write bills that look forward, not backward.

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Georges Ugeux: Greece Out of Default Emergency Room, But Far From Being Cured

March 9, 2012

I spent a nerve-racking night a block away from the European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt until the news came at 6 am that 85% of the 177 billion euros ($233 billion) was voluntarily presented by private investors for conversion in the largest sovereign debt restructuring in history. The non-transparency of the process had left everyone guessing on what that ratio would be. News from Greece indicated that the Greek trade unions were trying to derail the participation of Government-managed funds to the conversion. One thing was clear: below 66%, the operation would have been a failure; it is indeed the threshold of the ability of Greece to utilize the Common Action Clauses (CAC) to force other bondholders to convert. With 85%, it should avoid using them, although I would not be surprised if Greece had committed to do so as a condition imposed by the International Institute of Finance negotiating steering group on behalf of the private sector. Media speculated on a number ranging between 66 and 95%. At 85%, the operation is undoubtedly a success. The shock treatment of the emergency room of the European Union and the IMF worked. Slowly, Greece will emerge from coma and realize that 100 billion euros of its 350 billion is gone; thanks to the private sector, a 130 billion euro public bailout is now in place. As after any medical emergency and a huge blood injection, the body reacts slowly. This is not a triumph: it is one of the worst sovereign debt restructuring in history . It laid bare the lack of governance of the Eurozone and the risks it carries for the Euro and the Eurozone. The satisfaction of this indispensable achievement and step should not hide the fact that it would have been at least three times more costly than needed. The Eurozone needs a serious reform and structures that are less dependent on political infighting. The Heads of State and Government of the Eurozone, and primary Frau Merkel and Monsieur Sarkozy, were not able to take swift and decisive actions and assume their leadership responsibility as the two countries who represent together 47% of the Eurozone. That lasted over two years. It is in May 2010 that one of the twenty European summits on the Eurozone crisis decided to create a 400 billion euro European Financial Stability Fund to rescue Greece. So far, it lent less than 20 billion euros, and nothing to Greece. It is abnormal that the private sector is the only one to accept to take a loss on its exposure of Greece while the public sector, which is at the origin of the crisis, lends without risk. This is a reverse moral hazard of some sort that will have implications on sovereign borrowings for the next decades. For two years, it is Europe who failed. The “participation” of the private sector ended up with no participants from the public sector. There is a lesson there and sovereign debt investors learned it the hard way. Will Greece adjust its public sector to the realities of its financial resources? Will these resources be increased by an effective taxation system? Will the Greek Army be seriously scaled down now that Turkey is part of NATO? Will civil servants be paid at a rate comparable to other European nations? Those questions are crucial. When a patient gets out of the emergency room and emerges from coma, he or she needs to take medication to heal and eventually cure from its disease. After a transplant, a patient needs to take medication for life, even if the medicine is painful. There is no alternative. Do Greek authorities and its public opinion understand that, unless they play by the rules and restore their fiscal discipline, there will soon be another default… and no bailout? Nothing is less sure. This is not a few bad years; it is a different way to manage a country. There will be no return to the past bad habits of the past. This will be the ultimate test of the success of today’s gigantic bailout.

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Eric Alterman: Think Again: Labor and the ‘Civil Right’ to Organize

March 8, 2012

In an in-depth and deeply depressing study of the state of American unions written for the German Social Democratic foundation Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, author Harold Meyerson writes , “After decades during which their numerical strength has slowly but steadily declined, U.S. trade unions are now facing an unprecedented assault from a radicalized Republican right. Legislation is advancing to strip collective-bargaining rights or membership from unions.” He adds, “In the America where WalMart was the largest employer, the nonunion retailer pays its employees so little that they are compelled to shop at WalMart. The evisceration of the American middle class — the decently paid part of its working class in particular — has finally become an agreed-to fact among America’s chattering classes.” There are, of course, many reasons for the declining strength of labor unions, but one that is often overlooked is the rewriting of labor law over the past few decades. Writing in In These Times , journalist Josh Eidelson questions why political groups have every right to boycott advertisers and funders who support causes of which they disapprove but labor unions don’t have that same right to act against supporters of the employers who seek to break their strike. The outlawing — in the 1947 Taft-Hartley amendments to the National Labor Relations Act — of the so-called secondary boycott by unions against suppliers and other affiliated companies tied to an initial strike target not only robbed the labor union of an effective weapon against recalcitrant employers but also of a powerful means of building lines of solidarity across industries that would strengthen them for the next round of bargaining. These laws actually prevent unions from exercising the same free speech rights that almost everyone else in America enjoys. University of Texas School of Law professor Jack Getman, in his book Restoring the Power of Unions , says the Supreme Court specifically allows right-wing lunatics to hold signs reading “God Hates Fags” and “Thank God for Dead Soldiers” at the funerals of American soldiers but will not allow workers to hold signs that tell the truth about a certain company’s labor practices if the company can be defined as the target of a secondary boycott. Given laws like these — to say nothing of the untold riches the right has spent stacking the courts with antilabor judges and demonizing anyone in public life who sticks up for unions — it is no wonder that organized labor finds itself on the ropes in almost every respect these days. From its fall from roughly one-in-three workers in private industry in the 1950s to less than 8 percent of private workers today, labor has not only found itself buffeted by global economic winds and relentless political attack but also been forced to fight back in legal handcuffs, arms tied behind its metaphorical back. It is a good time, therefore, for scholars Richard D. Kahlenberg and Moshe Z. Marvit to ask whether Americans have, or ought to have, a “civil right to organize.” In a New York Times op-ed, they note , “From the 1940s to the 1970s, organized labor helped build a middle-class democracy in the United States. The postwar period was as successful as it was because of unions, which helped enact progressive social legislation from the Civil Rights Act to Medicare.” The authors first summarize the typical conservative arguments for the decline of unions: their alleged outdatedness in the currently global economy — something that is belied by unions’ strength in other nations such as Germany whose economies frequently outperform our own — coupled with minimal protections against certain abuses that have been written into law. Then the authors identify “the greatest impediment to unions” as “weak and anachronistic labor laws”: It’s time to add the right to organize a labor union, without employer discrimination, to Title VII of the Civil Rights Act, because that right is as fundamental as freedom from discrimination in employment and education. This would enshrine what the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. observed in 1961 at an A.F.L.-C.I.O. convention: “The two most dynamic and cohesive liberal forces in the country are the labor movement and the Negro freedom movement. Together, we can be architects of democracy. The authors then make a constitutional argument in favor of their reading of this right. Building on Dr. King’s equation of the denial of equal rights on the basis of color to those on the basis of organizing, they propose using the Civil Rights Act of 1964 to make: … disciplining or firing an employee “on the basis of seeking union membership” illegal just as it now is on the basis of race, color, sex, religion and national origin. It would expand the fundamental right of association encapsulated in the First Amendment and apply it to the private workplace just as the rights of equality articulated in the 14th Amendment have been so applied. To continue reading, please go here .

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Cities That Pay Women The Least

March 8, 2012

From 24/7 Wall St.: March is Women’s History Month, and March 8th is International Women’s Day. First observed in the U.S. on February 28, 1909, the day has come to symbolize women’s struggles for equal rights. While it’s been nearly a century since women across the country won the right to vote and the right to work alongside men, equal pay continues to remain a distant goal. Read the Worst-Paying Cities for Women Since the Equal Pay Act of 1963, the salaries women earn compared to those of men has improved, albeit slowly. In 1963, women who worked full-time, year-round earned 58.9 percent of what men did in similar jobs with similar hours. Today, women make 77.4 percent of a man’s salary, according to the most recent figures from the U.S. Census Bureau. Although pay inequality remains a problem across the country, the difference is not the same everywhere. In Los Angeles, the disparity is not nearly as bad, and women make nearly 90 percent of what men do. In Baton Rouge, the figure is closer to 63 percent. Based on an analysis of U.S. Census Bureau’s compensation data, 24/7 Wall St. calculated women’s compensation compared to that of men’s and identified the cities where the wage gap is the worst. Unequal salary for women happens in rich and poor cities alike. In the Bridgeport, CT and San Jose, CA metropolitan areas, household median incomes are among the highest in the country. Despite this, women earn less than 74 percent of what men earn in these areas, putting both cities among the 15 worst out of the 100 largest metropolitan areas. In other metropolitan areas, including Chattanooga, TN and Augusta-Richmond County, GA, the median income is well-below the national average. Women who work there also earn far less than men. An analysis by 24/7 Wall St. reveals that what these areas do have in common is a concentration of industries notorious for their large pay gap between men an women. Last year, in a separate analysis, 24/7 Wall St. identified the industries that have the greatest pay disparity between the sexes. According to this research, in some industries, women make as little as two-thirds of what men do, despite performing the same job. Sectors such as manufacturing of durable and nondurable goods and health care are among the worst at paying women the same as men. Other industries that pay women the worst include finance and utilities. To identify the cities that pay women the least, 24/7 Wall St. compared the median incomes for the past 12 months of both men and women who worked full-time, year-round in the country’s 100 largest metropolitan statistical areas, based on data collected by the U.S. Census Bureau. Information on the most unequal industries was calculated using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Department of Labor, the Census Bureau, as well as Catalyst, the leading nonprofit organization for expanding women in business, and The Institute for Women’s Policy Research. These are the worst-paying cities for women, according to 24/7 Wall St. :

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Energy Giant Announces Ambitious Oil Discovery Plan

March 8, 2012

NEW YORK — Exxon said Thursday that it will spend about $150 billion over the next five years to find more oil and natural gas to satisfy for the world’s growing energy appetite. Exxon, the world’s largest publicly traded energy company, expects global energy demand to increase 30 percent by 2040, compared with 2010 levels. As demand grows, Tillerson said Exxon will plow more money into a global search for new resources. Including investments in its refining and chemicals business, Exxon’s capital budget for 2012 through 2016 will total $185 billion, up 29 percent from the prior five-year period. “Unprecedented levels of investment are needed to meet the scale of the energy challenge,” CEO Rex Tillerson told analysts at the New York Stock Exchange. Major oil companies are struggling to tap new sources of oil fast enough in an environment where big finds are rarer and costlier to exploit. Potential fields lie deep under the seabed, or in shale rock formations that require expensive technology to crack open. When companies can’t find oil fast enough, they’re stuck with aging fields where production is on the decline. International production agreements also reduce how much they can sell as prices rise. Exxon Mobil Corp., Chevron Corp., BP and Royal Dutch Shell all produced less crude last year than in the prior year. Tillerson said Exxon’s production could fall by another 3 percent this year, when compared with 2011. He also reduced the company’s long-term expectation for average annual production growth to 2-3 percent, from a previous forecast of 4-5 percent. Exxon has steadily increased its access to oil and gas fields during the past several years through exploration and acquisition. But its focus recently has been on developing more natural gas, which the company believes will replace coal as the second-most popular fuel in 2025. Natural gas has made up more than half of Exxon’s proven reserves since 2009, and in 2010 it spent $30 billion to acquire XTO Energy and become the largest natural gas producer in the U.S. Its natural gas bet so far hasn’t paid off. Prices have plummeted this year following a production boom in North America and weak winter heating demand. Natural gas futures hit a 10-year low of $2.302 per 1,000 cubic feet on Wednesday. Competitors such as Chesapeake Energy Corp. and ConocoPhillips have cut back on natural gas production this year in an effort to reduce a national surplus. Exxon says it won’t reduce gas production, though it will focus its future projects toward bringing more oil to market. The company said that production of crude and other liquid hydrocarbons will increase by 2 to 3 percent per year through 2016, outpacing increases in natural gas production. Altogether, Exxon said 21 oil and gas productions will begin production by 2014, and it expects to add more than 1 million barrels per day of oil and gas by 2016. High oil prices have supported Exxon’s financial performance. Exxon’s net income rose almost 35 percent in 2011. Exxon shares fell 90 cents in morning trading Thursday, to $84.93.

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Steve Blank: Stanford 2012 Lean LaunchPad Presentations — Part 1 of 2

March 8, 2012

Yesterday, the first half of the Stanford Engineering Lean LaunchPad Class gave their final presentations. Here are the first five. It Feels Like 20 Years Ago Today It’s hard to believe it’s only been a year since we taught the first 10 teams in the Stanford Lean LaunchPad class . To share what we learned, we blogged each of those class sessions , (all the slides can be found here .) Since then we’ve taught an additional 50 Lean LaunchPad teams: 21 teams for the National Science Foundation (NSF) Innovation Corps , 11 teams for a joint Berkeley/Columbia MBA class, another nine for a Berkeley MBA/Engineering class, and now nine more teams in this Stanford Engineering Lean LaunchPad Class . Later this month, the next 25 National Science Foundation Innovation Corps teams will show up — but this time with reinforcements. The NSF has selected the best entrepreneurship teaching teams from two major universities and they will be joining the class. The goal is for them is to observe this class, then host and teach the next round of 50 NSF Innovation Corps scientist/engineer teams in July. The process will repeat itself, quarter by quarter — new students, new University entrepreneurship teaching teams. We’ll teach over 175 NSF Innovation Corps teams in the Lean LaunchPad course in 2012. While at the same time spreading the Lean LaunchPad entrepreneurship curriculum to campuses across the United States. The 2012 Stanford Lean LaunchPad Presentations The class is intensely and deliberately experiential to develop the mindset, reflexes, agility and resilience an entrepreneur needs to search for certainty in a chaotic world. Students were going to get a hands-on experience in how to start a new company. The premise of the class is that startups, are not about executing a plan where the product, customers, channel are known. Startups are in fact only temporary organizations, organized to search — not execute — for a scalable and repeatable business model. Yet this isn’t an incubator. We are trying to teach students a methodology that combines customer development, agile development, business models and pivots . (The slides and syllabus here describe the details of the class.) Our goal is to teach them the art, science and strategy of entrepreneurship that will forever change how they view early stage ventures. And do it in 8 weeks. Team EngineKites A kite-boarding startup? Only in California! This team spoke face-to-face with over 50 end users, three manufacturers, 25 potential partners, 22 domain experts and surveyed an additional 115 customers. And they got to the beach a lot. Don’t miss their video of the product below. View the slide presentation here . To see the video, click here . Team Sync Team Sync spoke face-to-face with 74 customers, 10 experts and surveyed another 103 customers. See the slide presentation here . The Sync customer discovery narrative blog is here . Team Nudge/Dynamo This team won the award for the most pivots in the class. They had face-to-face interviews with 252 customers + 10 partner interviews + 76 surveyed. Loved the “evolution” slide. See the slides here . The Nudge/Dyanmo customer discovery narrative blog is here . Team GameSpeed These guys hold the record for the number of customers touched 4,000! 147 face-to-face or phone interviews. To see the presentation, click here . The GameSpeed customer discovery narrative blog is here . Team ColorWheels This team was trying to solve a hard problem — getting girls engaged in science and engineering. They spoke to 294 people: 69 parents, 110 kids, six high school girls, 32 experts, six manufacturers, and surveyed an additional 68 parents. See the slides here . The ColorWheels customer discovery narrative blog is here . We Got Smarter Too One of the great things about the class is that the curriculum is evolving as fast as the teams are learning. As a teaching team we’ve learned a ton of how to best select teams , so we now insist that they come in as preformed teams. We hold mixers a month or two in advance to help facilitate the process. It has made a dramatic difference in team efficiency and cohesion. We have the students formally apply for the class by filling out a business model canvas . And at the first class they introduce themselves and their teams by presenting the canvas. This moved the learning up by one entire class session since we can now hit the ground running. Given how important the students work in customer discovery outside the building was, we made each team keep an online journal on each step of their progress . Since the teaching team read each of their narrative before class and office hours, it made their in-class presentations short and efficient. We realized that students needed help turning all that they were learning from customers into a coherent and crisp presentation. So we offered a special evening workshop on how to present a story-arc and narrative. We’ve been experimenting in other ways — trying to figure out how to “bubble-up” some of the customer discovery data onto the canvas with red/yellow/green dots you see on some of the business model canvas slides. We suggested that teams talk about their hypothesis tests, draw diagrams of product flows through the channel and let us know who the customer segment is with a “customer archetype” slide. We’re about to move our class text to The Startup Owner’s Manual and put together a draft of a standard Lean LaunchPad teaching guide . Finally, we’ve been paring the lectures back to the absolute minimum to impart the information necessary for the teams to move forward, but leaving more time for us to provide feedback and critique of their weekly presentations. We’re actively considering running an experiment of making the lectures an on-line homework requirement (with on-line quizzes to make sure they view the material.) None of this would be possible without the two VC’s who volunteer their time to teach this Stanford class with me: Jon Feiber of Mohr Davidow Ventures and Ann Miura-ko of Floodgate . And we had the help of Lisa Forssell , director of technical artists from Pixar , who taught the “how to present class” and Thomas Haymore our indefatigable teaching assistant and our team of mentors. And hats off to Kathy Eisenhardt and Tom Byers of the Stanford Technology Ventures Program who gave us the freedom to invent and teach the class. — The rest of the teams present next week. We’ll post their slides in part 2. Steve Blank’s blog: www.steveblank.com

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Raymond J. Learsy: Finally President Obama Utters That Freighted Oil Drenched Word "SPECULATION"

March 8, 2012

At a press conference on March 6th when ‘lo and behold’ while ruminating on the sky high price of gasoline and the price of its core and price determinant raw material, crude oil. President Obama uttered that freighted word “speculation” as in: “So we’re going to look at a whole range of measures — including, by the way, making sure that my Attorney General is paying attention to potential speculation in the oil markets. I’ve asked him to reconstitute a task force that’s examining that” This surprising aside while sermonizing us with the usual exculpatory rhetoric emanating from the White House that “…what I’ve said about gas prices is that there is no silver bullet …” to high, ever higher gasoline prices other than better mileage standards for new cars reaching 55 miles per gallon by 2025 and and ‘we’re going develop clean energy technologies that allow us to continue to use less oil.’ All well and good, but it is the aside referring to “speculation” that holds the most immediate promise. But then again vesting Attorney General Holder with that responsibility is perhaps not much better than letting the speculation appeasing Commodity Futures Trading Commission check into the matter. Back in April 2011 Attorney General Holder was given the mandate to form the “The Oil and Gas Price Fraud Working Group”. To date no report, no findings, no indictments and as far as the public can tell, no follow up. If only President Obama would hoist the banner of that stalwart purveyor of bullets from our folk history and go after the oil boys and their speculator co-conspirators the way they went after the bad guys in ‘his’ day, “faster than a speeding bullet…. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KAROcbv4gco”

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Lynn Forester de Rothschild: Women at the Very Top

March 8, 2012

As I join my colleagues to celebrate International Women’s Day at this year’s WIE Symposium in London, I laud the advancement of women over the past few decades, but know that we have much to do in order to achieve gender equality in our societies in the UK and the US. Over the past four decades, society has broadly accepted and integrated women in the workplace. But, this has not yet reached the highest political offices, the boardrooms and the CEO offices of the corporate world. Women are still largely absent from leadership positions and are too often perceived to be incompatible with positions of power and leadership. This absence of women in positions of power is a painful reminder that gender equality is still an aspiration, not a reality. When I was in law school in the US in the late 1970s, I could not imagine a female US President or Secretary of the Treasury, or even a CEO of a large company like Goldman Sachs or General Motors. Although I was fortunate enough to have a supportive family where my aspirations were treated no differently from those of my brothers, I subliminally believed that women were barred from making it to the very top. With no examples, my sights were limited. Since then, great women like Hillary Clinton, Angela Merkel, Christine Lagarde, Margaret Thatcher, Meg Whitman; CEO of HP, Marjorie Scardino; CEO of Pearsons, Angela Ahrendts; CEO of Burberry and Virginia Rometty; CEO of IBM, have crashed through the glass ceiling. They lead the way for all other devoted and qualified women. The younger generation of women is clearly getting the education required for the top ranks of career success. Over half of college graduates in the US are women, and more than 70% of valedictorians in the US education system are women. Women now account for over half the US labour force and are the majority in management, and professional occupations. In the UK, women account for over 56% of all college graduates and just under half of the workforce (46%). Women are poised for the top jobs in business, government and civil society. Despite all of this, women remain rare in top political positions in the US and the UK and in corporate board rooms and as chief executives. Sadly, neither the US nor the UK has a female head of state or head of government, and only 22% of members of parliament in the UK and 18% of members of Congress in the US are women. There are only five women CEOs in Britain’s top 100 companies. The ratio is even less in the US, where 18, or less than half one percent, of the top 500 companies are led by women. Women represent less than 15% of board seats in the UK’s top companies, and the US is not much better. I do not believe that the reasons for the disparity between women and men in power are due to a lack of capability or temperament of women. Rather, the potential of women is being lost because of the failure of our society to understand and tap the potential of woman at the highest levels. What can be done? Legislation alone will not solve this problem. Public declarations or quotas to increase the representation of women can only go so far – Lord Davies’ Women on Boards report is case in point. The FTSE 100 are on track to the government’s goal of having a minimum of 25% female board representation by 2017 – two years after his recommended deadline. The FTSE 250 fare even worse, and will miss the target by more than four years. Rather, each and every one of us, individually and collectively, must alter the way we see the role of women in leadership positions. The business community – both men and women – needs to encourage and support more women in positions of leadership. We need to change the collective mindset of our society about what is appropriate for women, so more women feel that they will not just be a part of the work force but also part of the top leadership posts. Women leaders should be celebrated as the norm, not as aberrations. If we can see it – if women who aspire for success can tangibly see the light at the top of the corporate or political ladder – then they can certainly be it. That is the key to winning the battle of gender inequality at the top of our society. Today’s WIE Symposium gets to the heart of this issue by celebrating successful women and reminding us that it is normal for women to want and expect to reach the top. The best way to celebrate today is to reaffirm for all women that the level of their success is based solely on their competence, hard work, and determination and never their gender. Most importantly, today is a day to inspire the next generation of women to pursue their dreams and flourish in their success. Lynn Forester de Rothschild is CEO of EL Rothschild, LLC. You can follow her on Facebook , Twitter , and at Ldereport.com .

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Judith Samuelson: Look to Business Operations, Not Philanthropy, for Social Impact

March 7, 2012

The Committee to Encourage Corporate Philanthropy just celebrated International Corporate Philanthropy Day to inspire global business to grow its philanthropic investments. While I share the desire to encourage good works by business, philanthropy is not the strongest starting point. Philanthropy by corporations, individuals and foundations does a tremendous amount of good. Many important social movements — from the Civil Rights movement to the advent of micro-enterprise — have gained traction because of long term support from philanthropists, and at its best, philanthropy can seed innovation and take the kind of risks that lead to important investments. However, to borrow from Al Gore, there is an “inconvenient truth” about philanthropy: If the impact of business on society is measured in oceans, corporate philanthropy would barely fill a bucket of water. Let’s talk Henry Ford. Ford’s legacy is not just the endowment created in his name — it’s the automobile . Think Bill Gates, Sam Walton or Warren Buffett. The impacts and consequences of their business genius are felt — for good and for ill — every day, in every corner of the world and in every sector of the economy. What might be possible if we were to unleash this business genius on problems of consequence? Where do we start? I suggest three important challenges to both educators and business leaders alike. First, there is a need to re-elevate our public narrative about the purpose of business , to embrace the interdependence of business and society. Second we need to cultivate business leaders to realize this vision — to extend time horizons and consider the moral as well as financial consequences of business investment. Third, we need to identify and support the innovators and change agents that reside deep inside business to work on problems that matter. The capacity represented by Henry Ford’s descendent, Bill Ford and his peers — to work on the big problems, like how to create useful goods for consumers in an era of resource limits — is far greater than all of the nonprofits and philanthropists working on climate change and pollution and green design combined. What is so powerful about the business model? It’s the power of innovation when constrained by the supply and demand of markets. That’s what makes private sector approaches to large scale problems so compelling. If you create a useful product or service with measurable social or environmental benefits within the constraints of a fair profit , then the ability to attract capital and grow is almost limitless. Consider an example of what is possible when leadership, values and business heft are aligned. Procter & Gamble, in collaboration with the CDC, has spent 15 years developing solutions to the lack of safe drinking water, driving the cost down to as little as one cent per liter in the process. Branded as “PUR” packets , this product addresses a problem felt by over 900 million people worldwide that is a leading cause of illness and death. The product could help almost a billion people . Who else thinks in terms of markets as large as one billion people, besides the governments of India and China? But it starts with business purpose. With public trust in business so low, it is a good time to take a fresh look at the role and capacity of the business sector. What is the purpose of business and to whom is it accountable? Last week, the Aspen Institute hosted 25 scholars at NYU’s Stern School of Business to revisit the connections between purpose, accountability and strategy. It’s a start. When companies deliver core services traditionally reserved for government — like safe water — they are fully engaged in human endeavors that might otherwise be called philanthropy or social enterprise. This is complex ground. Oftentimes, there are stops and starts. Partnerships with government and nonprofits, which CECP also promotes, can be critically important. Sometimes, unreasonable expectations of financial return get in the way, or the externalities can seem to swamp the benefits. But when global corporations get it right, they do not require subsidy to expand at a pace that has global impact. It’s called doing business.

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Joshua Shulman: Deadbeat Dads and Child Support Woes

March 7, 2012

Can’t believe I’m about to come down in favor of deadbeat dads, but here we go. “Devon” (not his real name, since I’m making this story up) cut and run, leaving his ex-wife with a son. She went to court, Devon didn’t show up, and she got a court order that Devon should pay $775 per month in child support until their son turned 18. Devon sent money once in a while when he had some, but he didn’t have much education, or motivation, and drank too much. By the time his son turned 18, Devon owed $38,000 in back child support, much of it interest. The state of New York meanwhile paid welfare to Devon’s ex-wife and son. Since Devon’s son is over 18 now, Devon doesn’t owe his son money anymore. But now he owes the $38,000 (with interest continuing to accrue) to New York, to pay the state back for the welfare it paid to his son. Devon, meanwhile, got hit by a truck and suffered debilitating back injuries, so now he really can’t work, and his only income is federal government checks of $750 per month. The law says that the state of New York can garnish 65 percent of federal benefits, which leaves $262.20 per month for Devon. Every month he gets a check from the U.S. Treasury for $262.20. He goes to a check-cashing place, pays them $15, and winds up with $247.20. Pretty bleak. But it’s about to get worse, because the Treasury has decided it’s going to save $0.90 per check by refusing to send paper checks, and doing only electronic deposits. And while states can only garnish 65 percent of federal benefits, they can garnish 100 percent of a bank account. So Devon’s never going to see any of his federal benefits. It’s difficult to have too much sympathy for Devon. Our thoughts can naturally go to “he shouldn’t have abandoned his son.” And “he’s leaching off the system, now he’ll just be leaching a little less. Good!” But here’s the catch — do we really want collection efforts to be so thorough that they force poor people onto the streets? The rule will just be one more detail tending to make it literally impossible for poor people to support themselves. According to the Associated Press, among those who owe $30,000 or more in child support, 75 percent have reported income of $10,000 per year or less. So we’ve got a system that’s pretending to give them federal benefits, but really 65 percent of those benefits have been going elsewhere, and it’s about to become 100 percent. Statute of Limitations, anyone? Nope. Not for child support.

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Richard Brodsky: The Great Unraveling: Yonkers, Stockton and Municipal Bankruptcy

March 7, 2012

Yesterday, the new Mayor of Yonkers, Mike Spano, created a Commission of Inquiry to get to the truth of the City’s financial crisis. Yonkers is a city of 200,000 on the Hudson just north of New York City. It’s got a budget of about $1 billion and a budget gap in the upcoming year that looks like it can’t be bridged. The mayor asked me to serve on the Commission. At the heart of the crisis is a political disconnect of a kind we see all over the country. People demand, and need, municipal services such as police, fire, sanitation and education. They can not, or will not, pay for them. There are reasons aplenty. Like many urban centers the Yonkers manufacturing base disappeared, the middle-class moved out and the people simply can’t afford the property and sales tax burden that ensued. Anti-tax fervor hit and elected officials refused to raise recurring revenues. Gimmicks, one-shots, borrowing for operating expenses, asset sales and assorted maneuvers “kicked the can down the road” for a couple of years, in Spano’s words. The City has now run out of gimmicks. The State and the Feds, also broke, have turned their backs on Yonkers. The right-wing attempt to “starve the beast” as a way to diminish the Federal Government hasn’t worked in Washington, but the municipal beast has been starved into a coma, and the things that we take for granted as we walk the streets of our cities, towns and villages are withering. Blame is attached to public employees, with allegations of excessive salaries and pensions everywhere. Rarely, such as in Stockton, California , elected officials go beyond attacking public employees and threaten banks and lenders with having to share the pain. Appointed Control Boards are created and municipal bankruptcy becomes a real option as we’ve just seen in Alabama. It’s as though we stand on the shore and watch a tsunami gather and shrug and hope we’ll get through it. Only one presidential candidate, Ron Paul, has been seriously talking about it. That needs to change, and if the list of endangered cities gets larger this will force itself onto the national stage. But for now the great national battle about the size of government and the level of taxation will be played out in the streets of small cities across America, with school kids, garbage pick-up, fire-protection and safe streets the competing with each other for inadequate resources. It’s an ugly way to solve a problem. I’ve agreed to serve on the Mayor’s Commission of Inquiry, and I’ll know more as we delve into the specifics of the Yonkers situation. But it’s starting to unravel, everywhere.

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Gary Rich: The Clone Game

March 7, 2012

I often ask some of the executives I work with to address a seemingly simple construct. They are asked, “If you had a clone performing your current job exactly as you perform it today, what would you work on?” The answers are both illuminating and instructional. The new list typically includes the activities the executive should be engaged in and is almost always of greater impact than the clone’s list. The take away? Yes, it’s impractical to clone yourself unless you’re a sheep. But look to the people around you, your team or third parties. Can you delegate or assign the “clone’s work” to them? If the answer is “yes” then why not get started? If the answer is “no” it’s probably time to consider what needs to be done to warrant a “yes”.

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Obama Fights Gas Prices By ‘Reconstituting’ Oil Speculation Task Force

March 6, 2012

WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama announced Tuesday that he has asked Attorney General Eric Holder to “reconstitute” a task force examining oil and gas speculation. But the task force, which Obama initially proposed last April when a big spike in gas prices sparked public outrage, has met only four or five times, mostly around the time it was created, and has not reported to the public on its activities, McClatchy News Service reported . Critics say the group has fallen short of its mission thus far. Precisely what Obama has asked the group to focus on at this time remains somewhat unclear. Justice Department spokeswoman Adora Andy explained in an email to The Huffington Post, “At the President’s direction, the Attorney General -– through the Oil and Gas Price Fraud Working Group –- is aggressively focused on identifying civil or criminal violations in the oil and gasoline markets, and ensuring that American consumers are not harmed by unlawful conduct, which remains an important priority. With the recent increase of gasoline prices, the working group is monitoring the situation and if we find any evidence of criminal behavior or other misconduct we will respond immediately.” The topic of gas prices came up at Obama’s press conference on Tuesday after a Fox News reporter asked if the president was on purpose driving up gas prices to wean Americans off fossil fuels. “Just from a political perspective, do you think the president of the United States going into reelection wants gas prices to go up higher?” he asked, with a laugh. “Is there anybody here who thinks that makes a lot of sense?” Obama said there is “no silver bullet” to lowering high gas prices. Rather, he said, he endorsed an “all of the above strategy,” that includes increased domestic production, energy conservation and the development of renewable energy. His plans also involve “making sure that my attorney general is paying attention to potential speculation in the oil markets,” Obama said. To that end, he said, “I’ve asked him to reconstitute a task force that’s examining that.” Last April, Obama announced that he had asked Holder to put together “a team whose job it is to root out any cases of fraud or manipulation in the oil markets that might affect gas prices, and that includes the role of traders and speculators.” When Holder announced the body’s formation , it was not a task force but a working group and not investigative in nature. Rather than being made up of prosecutors, the Oil and Gas Price Fraud Working Group — a subgroup of the Financial Fraud Enforcement Task Force — included representatives from various administrative agencies. Its charge was to “monitor oil and gas markets for potential violations of criminal or civil laws.” At the time Holder promised, “if illegal conduct is responsible for increasing gas prices, state and federal authorities should take swift action.” Tyson Slocum, director of the energy program for consumer group Public Citizen, said the Obama administration “isn’t reconstituting this task force because this task force wasn’t even meeting in the first place.” “He’s probably reminding Holder to remind people that they’re on the task force and that perhaps the task force should think about meeting at some point,” Slocum said. “It kind of shows that this is a bit of a farce.” Slocum also noted that several agencies theoretically represented on the task force already have unilateral authority to investigate speculation. “It’s our opinion that none of them are doing it.” The fact that speculation contributes to high gas prices is hardly a radical idea. No less an authority than Exxon Mobil’s chairman, Rex Tillerson , has acknowledged that Wall Street trading has at times been responsible for driving up prices by $30 to $40 a barrel. Forbes recently estimated that speculation in oil futures on commodities exchanges has driven up the price of a barrel of oil by $23.39, which translates into a $.56 a gallon surcharge. Last August, Vermont independent Sen. Bernie Sanders leaked confidential data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to the Wall Street Journal that exposed how much Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and other Wall Street speculators dominated the crude oil futures market during the April gas price increase. “The president, in my view, has got to be a lot more aggressive on this,” Sanders told HuffPost on Tuesday. Sanders noted that the Dodd-Frank Act, signed into law in July 2010, gave the Commodity Futures Trading Commission until January 2011 to set rules curbing speculation in the energy and other markets. “They haven’t done it,” Sanders said. “We’re in March 2012 now, and nothing has happened, and this is ridiculous.” Sanders on Monday sent a letter cosigned by 70 members of Congress demanding that Gary Gensler, the chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, immediately adopt tougher rules. On Tuesday, Sanders waved off Obama’s talk of a task force, saying, “It might be quicker and faster to get on the phone to Chairman Gensler.”

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Coworkers Going To Court Over Huge Lottery Jackpot

March 6, 2012

ELIZABETH, N.J. — Five New Jersey construction workers are suing a former colleague who claims he was the sole winner of a $38.5 million Mega Millions lottery jackpot. The workers say they and Americo Lopes were members of a weekly lottery pool. They say each person would contribute $2 and Lopes would buy the tickets. Lopes says he played the lottery by himself and as a member of the pool. He claims the winning ticket in the November 2009 drawing was one he bought for himself. Lopes chose the lump-sum payment option and received $24 million. The five plaintiffs are seeking an even split of that money, meaning they and Lopes would get $4 million each. The trial in the civil lawsuit began Tuesday in Union County.

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Black Families Intensely More Likely To Be Homeless, Study Says

March 6, 2012

America’s homeless crisis also a crisis of color. Black families were seven times more likely than white families to stay in homeless shelters in 2010, according to a recent report from the Institute for Children, Poverty and Homelessness, a non-profit research organization. As CNN points out, black families accounted for just 12.3 percent of the U.S. population that year, but represented 38.8 percent of the population in homeless shelters . Meanwhile, white families made up 63.7 percent of the country, but only filled 28.6 percent of the shelters. At the national level, the problem of homelessness is likely to get worse for all. That’s because more people are living doubled-up with friends and family than a few years ago, a condition that often precedes a period of homelessness, according to a recent report from the National Alliance to End Homelessness. Additionally, the Homelessness Prevention and Rapid Re-Housing program, a federal initiative created in 2009 to help keep people off the streets, has only a few months left to run. But the ICPH’s findings highlight an uncomfortable truth: In the recession and disappointing post-recession period of the past several years, nearly all groups have suffered, just not equally. Even before the economy stumbled, white households in America had a considerably higher average wealth level than black and Hispanic households. But once the downturn hit , that wealth gap exploded. Median wealth for white households fell just 16 percent between 2005 and 2009. For blacks, the drop-off was 53 percent. For Hispanics, it was 66 percent. The foreclosure crisis also hit minorities particularly hard. Lenders have been accused of steering blacks and Hispanics into expensive subprime loans during the housing boom. As a result, many neighborhoods of color have been especially ravaged by default and vacancy in the housing crash’s aftermath. Today, the unemployment rate for blacks is 15.8 percent, more than twice that of whites . Over a quarter of black people in America live in poverty, a rate three times higher than that experienced by whites. And the life expectancy gap between blacks and whites has grown larger — a change that some analysts have attributed to the punishing economy.

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Houston Financier Convicted Of $7 Billion Investor Fraud

March 6, 2012

HOUSTON — Texas tycoon R. Allen Stanford, whose financial empire once spanned the Americas, was convicted Tuesday on all but one of the 14 counts he faced for allegedly bilking investors out of more than $7 billion in massive Ponzi scheme he operated for 20 years. Jurors reached their verdicts against Stanford during their fourth day of deliberation, finding him guilty on all charges except a single count of wire fraud. Stanford, who was once considered one of the wealthiest people in the U.S., looked down when the verdict was read. His mother and daughters, who were in the federal courtroom in Houston, hugged one another, and one of the daughters started crying. “We are disappointed in the outcome. We expect to appeal,” Ali Fazel, one of Stanford’s attorneys, said after the hearing. He said the judge’s gag order on attorneys from both sides prevented him from commenting further, and prosecutors declined to comment after the hearing. Prosecutors called Stanford a con artist who lined his pockets with investors’ money to fund a string of failed businesses, pay for a lavish lifestyle that included yachts and private jets, and bribe regulators to help him hide his scheme. Stanford’s attorneys told jurors the financier was a visionary entrepreneur who made money for investors and conducted legitimate business deals. Stanford, 61, who’s been jailed since his indictment in 2009, will remain incarcerated until he is sentenced. He faces up to 20 years for the most serious charges against him, but the once high-flying businessman could spend longer than that behind bars if U.S. District Judge David Hittner orders the sentences to be served consecutively instead of concurrently. With Stanford’s conviction, a shorter, civil trial will be held with the same jury on prosecutors’ efforts to seize funds from more than 30 bank accounts held by the financier or his companies around the world, including in Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Canada. The civil trial could take as little as a day. Stanford was once considered one of the wealthiest people in the U.S. with an estimated net worth of more than $2 billion. But he had court-appointed attorneys after his assets were seized. During the more than six-week trial, prosecutors methodically presented evidence, including testimony from ex-employees as well as emails and financial statements, they said showed Stanford orchestrated a 20-year scheme that bilked billions from investors through the sale of certificates of deposit, or CDs, from his bank on the Caribbean island nation of Antigua. They said Stanford, whose financial empire was headquartered in Houston, lied to depositors from more than 100 countries by telling them their funds were being safely invested in stocks, bonds and other securities instead of being funneled into his businesses and personal accounts. The prosecution’s star witness – James M. Davis, the former chief financial officer for Stanford’s various companies – told jurors he and Stanford worked together to falsify bank records, annual reports and other documents in order to conceal the fraud. Stanford had wanted to testify and jurors were told he would do so, but his attorneys apparently convinced him not to take the witness stand. Stanford’s attorneys told jurors the financier was trying to consolidate his businesses to pay back investors when authorities seized his companies. Stanford’s attorneys highlighted his work to build up Antigua’s economy as well as his philanthropic efforts on the island. Stanford, the largest private employer on the island nation, was widely known as “Sir Allen” after being knighted by Antigua’s government. The financier’s attorneys accused Davis of being behind the fraud and of lying so he could get a reduced sentence. Davis pleaded guilty to three fraud and conspiracy charges in 2009 as part of a deal he made with prosecutors. Three other indicted former executives of Stanford’s companies are to be tried in September. A former Antiguan financial regulator accused of accepting bribes from Stanford was also indicted and he awaits extradition to the U.S. The financier’s trial was delayed after he was declared incompetent in January 2011 due to an anti-anxiety drug addiction he developed in jail and he underwent treatment. He was also evaluated for any long-term effects from being injured in a September 2009 jail fight. Stanford was declared fit for trial in December. Stanford and the former executives are also fighting a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit filed in Dallas that makes similar allegations. ___ Follow Juan A. Lozano at http://www.twitter.com/juanlozano70

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It’s Halftime In America, So Who’s Winning?

March 6, 2012

The American economy’s been in bad shape for a long time. Normally after a recession you get a quick bounce-back recovery—real long-term economic growth is hard, but putting a bunch of unemployed workers back to work is, relatively speaking, easy. But instead of a catch-up recovery we spent 2010 and most of 2011 suffering from sluggish growth. Even before suffering though the deepest recession in postwar history, we had just ambled through the weakest period of growth on record. In retrospect, the boom economy of the late 1990s seemed less like the dawning of a New Economy and more like a brief bubble-driven vacation from decades of despair.

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