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Former Federal Trade Commissioner Brings Significant Experience to Mission of Bridging the Gap Between Cloud Technology and the Law

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Pamela Jones Harbour Joins Cloud Security Alliance as Co-Chair of Legal Working Group

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BRUSSELS (AP) — The EU’s top economic affairs official says a restructuring of Greece’s massive debt is not on the table. Monetary and Economic Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said Monday that a debt restructuring for the struggling country “is not part of our strategy and will not be.” Rehn said proponents of restructuring — cutting the total amount of money Greece owes or giving it more time to repay — appear to be unaware of the risks to overall financial stability such a move would entail. European officials have warned that a restructuring of Greece’s debt could lead to panic on financial markets similar to the turbulence following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 and drag down banks and other struggling eurozone countries.

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EU: Greece Debt Restructuring ‘Not Part Of Our Strategy’

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IRS: Tax Refunds Could Be Delayed Due To Government Shutdown

March 31, 2011

Internal Revenue Service Commissioner Douglas Shulman said the Obama administration has not decided whether the IRS would process tax returns and issue refunds if Congress cannot agree to a plan to avert a halt of government spending authority on April 8. “We’ve never had a government shutdown in the middle of the filing season before,” Shulman said in testimony before a House Ways and Means subcommittee today in Washington. “The closer we get to April 15, the more consideration and factors are at play.”

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Blue Shield Cancels Proposed Rate Hike In California

March 16, 2011

SAN FRANCISCO — Blue Shield of California said Wednesday it was withdrawing its plan to increase health insurance rates for individual policyholders in what would have been the third such rate hike since October. The three hikes combined would have raised rates by as much as 87 percent for some of its 200,000 policyholders, according to the California Department of Insurance. Blue Shield decided to nix the planned May 1 increase to help keep coverage affordable, chief executive Bruce Bodaken said in a statement. Blue Shield has said rising health care costs forced the previous rate hikes. The San Francisco-based nonprofit said it lost $27 million on individual policies last year and expects more such losses this year. Members will be spared $35 million to $40 million in added premiums because of the cancelled increase, the insurer said. “By agreeing not to raise rates this year, we are helping to make coverage more affordable for our members during tough economic times,” Bodaken said. “It’s a financial risk for us, but a risk that’s worth taking.” The insurer said individual policyholders would not see any more rate hikes for the rest of the year. In a conference call with reporters, California Insurance Commissioner Dave Jones said the Blue Shield decision highlighted the need to give the commissioner the power to reject health insurance rate increases. Under state law, a regulator cannot reject premium increases for health insurance. But Blue Shield last month pushed back its planned March 1 implementation of the rate hike at the request of Jones, who had said he planned to review the increases for compliance with federal and state laws. Three other insurers – Aetna, Anthem Blue Cross and PacifiCare – had already agreed to a similar delay. “My hope is the other insurers will note what Blue Shield has done and act accordingly,” Jones said Wednesday. Consumer advocates harshly critical of Blue Shield’s increases celebrated the cancellation of the plan. “We won’t stop until our goal of giving an elected insurance commissioner the power to reject premium increases is the law,” Consumer Watchdog president Jamie Court wrote in an e-mail. A bill sponsored by Democratic Assemblyman Mike Feuer of Los Angeles that would give that power to the commissioner is currently before the Legislature. Similar bills have failed in recent years.

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Brian Frederick: It’s Time to Include Fans in NFL Labor Talks

February 17, 2011

Fans deserve to be present at NFL negotiations. Tuesday night, the Sports Fans Coalition sent a letter to the NFL and the NFL Players Association requesting that representatives from the fans be present during future negotiations until an agreement is reached. Allowing representatives of the fans to be present in the room is the least the NFL and NFLPA can do. In the letter to NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell and NFLPA Executive Director DeMaurice Smith, we write: We are not asking for a seat at the negotiating table — although we believe fans deserve one — but merely to be present in the room so that we may inform fans across the country about the state of ongoing negotiations and ensure that progress is being made towards an agreement that ensures a central consideration of fans. As fans and taxpayers, we have invested over $6.5 billion around the country on NFL stadiums, in addition to the billions we have spent on tickets and NFL merchandise. We have transformed our urban centers with the promise that new stadiums would serve as an economic boon to the surrounding community. A work stoppage would be devastating to many cities, including local workers and businesses. The NFL and other professional sports leagues also enjoy an exemption from federal antitrust statutes with respect to negotiating broadcast rights, which has enabled the owners and players to make significant revenues. If the NFL and NFLPA cannot come to an agreement and a devastating work stoppage is the result, the public has a right to know why. We realize that our request is likely to be greeted with skepticism by the NFL and NFLPA and some fans. But why? Why should the negotiations be behind closed doors if fans have such a massive stake in the future of the NFL as well? If the league and the players want to play in stadiums that are completely privately financed on private property, they are free to do so. They can lockout and strike and blackout all the games they want. Sports are different from other businesses, though. Not only do they ask for heavy public subsidies, they unite our communities in a way that Coca-Cola, Ford Mustangs and American Idol never could. These are our Packers or our Lakers or our Red Sox. We feel invested in the teams. And oftentimes, that’s because we literally are invested in them. So it’s time that all those who have invested — with our hearts and our tax dollars — have someone representing them in the negotiating room. Hell, it’s gotta work better than the status quo. If you agree, please let the NFL and NFLPA know and head over to Save Next Season to show your support for the fans. Brian Frederick is the Executive Director of Sports Fans Coalition . He holds a Ph.D. in Communication and lives in Washington, D.C. Email him at brian@sportsfans.org.

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Video: Vincent Says NFL Lockout Would Cause `Serious’ Damage

February 4, 2011

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — Former Major League Baseball Commissioner Fay Vincent says a National Football League labor lockout will cause “serious but not devastating” damage. Vincent speaks with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Reding Says Europeans Seek Personal Data Security: Video

December 10, 2010

Dec. 9 (Bloomberg) — Viviane Reding, European Union Principal Vice President and Commissioner for Justice, Fundamental Rights and Citizenship, discusses data security and gender equality. Reding talks with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Europe Debt Fears Escalate

November 30, 2010

MADRID — Investors sold off government bonds from Spain, Portugal and Italy on Tuesday amid worries that Europe’s debt crisis has not been contained by Ireland’s bailout but is instead mounting pressure on other weak economies. The yields on Spain’s 10-year bonds jumped as high as 5.7 percent, a euro-era record difference of 3.05 percentage points against the benchmark German 10-year bond. That compared with 2.67 points on Monday and below 2.00 points just a week ago. The spread on Italy’s 10-year bond reached 210 points, also the highest since the launch of the euro, before easing back somewhat. Portugal, whose yields soared last week, likewise saw its spread edge higher. Spain and Portugal, deemed the next weakest links in the eurozone economy, have continually denied they will need outside help but investors have become increasingly skeptical that the series of bailouts will stop. At the heart of the problem is that the austerity measures these countries need to take to reduce their deficits threaten to backfire by weakening economic growth and hurting state revenues. That is what’s happening in Greece, which has been able to drastically cut its spending but is struggling to raise tax income as economic and corporate activity wilts. “It is clear that the market is aware of the tightrope that ‘peripheral’ governments are walking,” said Neil Mellor, currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon. While rescuing Portugal would be about as costly as Greece or Ireland, who each represent less than 2 percent of the eurozone economy, a Spanish bailout would test the limits of Europe’s finances. It accounts for over a tenth of the eurozone economy, and Italy is even larger. Portugal’s central bank warned in a report Tuesday that the financial system is facing “serious challenges,” as foreign concerns about public, private and corporate debt have made it harder for Portuguese banks to raise money on international markets. Continuing to request financing from the European Central Bank is “unsustainable,” the report warned, saying banks should adopt a commercial policy of encouraging saving to ensure their liquidity. Traders worry that instability in Portugal could easily cross the border into Spain. Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero has vigorously defended the nation’s economy and finances. He blames the bond market problems on speculators looking to make money on Spain in the short term and said they would be proven wrong. But former Spanish premier Felipe Gonzalez, who chairs an EU Reflection Group that analyzes the bloc’s future, felt the European Central bank could help. “If the European Central Bank were to do even a third of what the Federal Reserve does – having almost double the number of citizens and gross production 10 or 15 percent more than the United States – with a third of the effort in buying public debt, this speculation would end,” said Gonzalez on Tuesday. He warned that if Europe did not get ahead of the markets, the cases of Ireland and Greece would be repeated and in the end the entire 27-nation group would be contaminated. Zapatero claims the structural reforms under way, which include loosening hiring and firing restrictions in the job market, freezing pensions and liberalizing the energy sector, will eventually boost the country’s competitiveness, among the worst in the eurozone. He maintains Spain’s plans to reduce its deficit are being fulfilled scrupulously and noted that the country’s total debt was still 20 percentage points below the European average. At the end of 2009 it amounted to euro560 billion ($740 billion), roughly 60 percent of GDP. Still, the country is struggling to emerge from a near two-year recession and has a eurozone high unemployment rate of near 20 percent. It is also battling to slash its swollen deficit from 11.2 percent of gross domestic product in 2009 to within the EU limit of 3 percent by 2013. European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs Olli Rehn said Monday it was doubtful that Spain, Portugal and Ireland would meet their deficit targets and said more austerity measures might be needed. Portugal’s government has repeatedly insisted that its austerity program of tax hikes and pay and welfare cuts next year will be enough to restore its fiscal health. However, that line was used by the Greek and Irish governments as well before they finally accepted bailout packages. Investors fear a likely economic downturn because of the belt-tightening will make it harder for the Portuguese to meet their debt obligations. Jean-Claude Juncker, the head of the Eurogroup, which represents the 16 euro nations, was quoted as saying Tuesday that other countries in the bloc were not leaning on Portugal to accept a rescue. “There is no pressure. It’s up to the Portuguese government to decide whether it wants help,” Juncker told Portuguese reporters during a visit to Tripoli, Libya, according to the national news agency Lusa. Madrid’s main stock index, which has had more than a week of negative trading and saw a sharp drop on Monday, was up marginally at 0.04 percent at midday Tuesday, while Portugal’s main index was 0.4 percent lower. ___ Barry Hatton in Lisbon and Colleen Barry in Milan contributed to this report.

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Video: Grant Says Ireland `Going Bankrupt,’ EU Rescue a `Sham’

November 8, 2010

Nov. 8 (Bloomberg) — Mark Grant, managing director at Southwest Securities Inc., and John Brynjolfsson, chief investment officer at Armored Wolf LLC, talk about Ireland’s sovereign debt crisis. European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said today he endorses the Irish government’s plan to cut spending and raise taxes by as much as 6 billion euros ($8.4 billion) in 2011. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Mike Stark: Confidence Game Kills a Zombie Lie (Well, Sorta…)

October 28, 2010

Wall Street’s last decade is full of assorted criminals and villains that will never be held to account. It’s simply not plausible that so many well-meaning, law-abiding people made so many innocent mistakes that, purely by coincidence, just happened to fatten their bonus pools. Of course, apologists remain. Over and over again, the propagandists responsible for propping up the hollow façade that remains of Wall Street tell us that “nobody saw this coming.” It doesn’t matter that that lie has been deconstructed and exposed over and over and over again. The zombie lie lives on, because Wall Street needs it to. Which is why I’m not the least bit confident that Christine Richard’s Confidence Game (Wiley, 2008) will change things very much, notwithstanding its compelling narrative, meticulous reporting and unassailable documentation. Did I mention its compelling narrative? Because this book hooks you right from the start. Confidence Game tells the story of a bright hedge fund manager that saw his spot, went all in, faced down the best sharks on Wall Street and emerged with a billion-dollar payout. Typically, this would be the story of a villain, right? Not in this case. Bill Ackman looked at the emperor and saw that he was naked back in 2002. He loudly proclaimed as much. And all the emperor’s horses, and all the emperor’s men on Wall Street ran interference. For the next six years. Before all was said and done, Ackman was investigated by Eliot Spitzer, the New York State Insurance Commissioner’s Office and the SEC. Ackman stood firm in the face of the onslaught, and for his travails, walked away with $1.1 billion dollars. How did it happen? Well, a whole book was written on the subject, but in a nutshell, Ackman realized that a pillar of the bond-insurance racket (it was a racket), MBIA, had shuffled some paperwork to conceal their potential liability. They had severely underpriced their insurance contracts and could only sustain themselves so long as the economy continued to grow. Ackman’s evidence was ironclad, and he was generous in terms of sharing his information. After all, he had a reason to be — he had bet against MBIA and fully expected their share price to fall when the information he uncovered penetrated the market. That’s where things began to go wrong. The market didn’t want to accept the information Ackman was providing. Instead, they were downright hostile to it. Market participants (investment banks that built the bond deals MBIA insured) knew that if MBIA suffered, they’d suffer as well. That’s the abstract argument. In the real world, these bankers saw that if Ackman got any traction, their bonus pools would dry up overnight as their industry crashed. So they ignored Ackmen. For six years. For six years the deals continued, getting bigger and bigger. Ackman looked on with unruffled confidence. He kept whaling away at the borg, until one day, the system fell apart. And Ackman was left standing on a pile of money. If Wall Street or its regulators had listened to Ackman when he first chirped, the canary in the coal mine may have prevented what may go down in history as the world’s most devastating financial crisis. Ackman would have earned less than 1% of what he ultimately gained, but mainstreet would almost definitely be better off today. Of course, the shame of all of this is that none of it has changed Wall Street. The bankers got their bonuses, even after being bailed out. They learned that trickery, lies, deceit, intentionally feigned ignorance and any other unethical behavior required to protect their bonus pools is what pays in the end. Bill Ackmans and Bethany McLeans will come and go, but the titans of finance will always be with us. (disclaimer: I sometimes get free books. If I read them and like them, I sometimes review them. Because I like getting free books. Confidence Game was one of the books that I got for free, enjoyed reading and decided was worth reviewing, because I think you should read it, too.)

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‘Too Big To Fail’ Plan Delayed Until 2011

October 20, 2010

(SEOUL/BRUSSELS By Rachel Armstrong and John O’Donnell) – Steps to avoid “too big to fail” banks from destabilising markets and the world economy will take longer to agree and a common global approach is beyond reach, regulators and central bankers said on Wednesday. Leaders of the Group of 20 economies (G20) meet in Seoul next month and were hoping to agree a fleshed out package for avoiding another Lehman-style bank failure that nearly brought the world’s financial system to its knees. The aim was to ensure that when another big bank with operations in many countries gets into trouble, a framework is in place that allows it to fail without global disruption or the need for taxpayer money. The Financial Stability Board is tasked by the G20 to draw up the package of “too big to fail” measures and signalled on Wednesday that next month’s summit will be another milestone rather than the end game for this issue. The FSB will not now present detailed plans on how big banks can be made less risky but instead will make broad recommendations and timelines, its chairman Mario Draghi said. Draghi ruled out a common G20 approach to so-called systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs), saying on Wednesday: “Parts will differ from country to country.” The FSB is drawing up a menu of options that includes bail-in bonds, contingent capital, capital surcharges and resolution mechanisms but each item is being hotly debated. France and Germany oppose mandatory capital add-ons. Some regulators doubt bail-in bonds and contingent capital — debt that converts into bank capital in times of trouble — would work or if investors have the appetite for them. “How can you price these instruments in the market if you don’t know how the law treats unsecured creditors to start with?” Draghi told reporters. The Basel Committee of global banking supervisors and central bankers met in Seoul on Tuesday and said its work on detailing capital surcharges, bail-in bonds and contingent capital would not be completed until the middle of next year. And there are doubts that effective resolution mechanisms can be created for big cross-border banks which dominate the sector. “Many changes in national laws would be required because without basic changes in basic laws about insolvency … it makes it very difficult to have a global resolution regime for these cross boarder institutions,” European Central Bank Vice President Vitor Constancio told reporters. “An attempt is being made of course … but because the system is very demanding I don’t know if it is really possible,” Constancio said. POLLUTER PAYS The European Union’s executive European Commission published policy ideas for a crisis management framework ahead of legislation next year. They included resolution mechanisms, tougher supervision and making creditors take a hit. EU Internal Market Commissioner Michel Barnier said he wanted to instill a “culture of prevention”. “I call this the most pressing and important reform we are involved in. Our work is in parallel to international ongoing efforts and work,” Barnier told a news conference. The “polluter” and not the public should pay for future bank rescues, Barnier said. “The shareholders and creditors will be on the front line and not the taxpayers,” Barnier said. He is already seeking consensus among EU states to set up national resolution funds from levies on banks. Britain, which has spent billions of pounds shoring up its banking sector in the crisis said it would push ahead with its permanent levy plan and publish draft legislation on Thursday. “Our aim is to extract the maximum sustainable tax revenues from financial services,” British Finance Minister George Osborne told the UK parliament. (Additional reporting by Marc Jones in Frankfurt; Writing by Huw Jones, editing by Mike Peacock) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Dave Johnson: Canton, Ohio Town Hall: We Can Make It, Build It, Grow It Here

October 20, 2010

The Canton, Ohio “Keep It Made In America” Town Hall meeting was at the Kent State University Stark Campus this evening. Lieutenant Governor and Senate candidate Lee Fisher spoke. His opponent, Rob Portman, (U. S. Trade Representative under George W. Bush) was also invited to speak to this meeting discussing how to recover the 2.4 million manufacturing jobs that were lost to China in the Bush years, but had other commitments and was unable to attend. The crowd was welcomed by Stark County Commissioner Steven Meeks, who let us know that “Stark State College is creating curriculum that addresses needs of unemployed, and is growing 30% every year. Just announced a $2.1 million grant plus $8 million from Stark State, creating a Wind Energy Research and Development Center to test wind turbines.” This partnership will train employees but will also bring wind energy business to the area. After Scott Paul of the Alliance for American Manufacturing introduced the organization and explained the town hall, Congressman John Boccieri, OH-16 spoke, saying, “We can make it, build it, grow it here.” Later, “I thought the Chamber of commerce was supposed to protect jobs in the US not in Beijing. I fail to see how they believe that this is good policy for our country.” Next up was Senate candidate, Lt. Gov Lee Fisher. (Summarized from notes): “Do we go back to the same people who gave tax breaks to large companies to send our jobs out of the country? To treaties that allowed these countries to dump cheap, unsafe unhealthy products, endanger our health and our economic health, put people out of work and companies out of business and industries vanished? People think it’s OK the steel workers are upset, the auto workers are upset. It isn’t. The key is to build alliances that go beyond steel, let’s talk about technology. The guy who founded Intel, Andy Grove, wrote recently that he no longer believes that free trade is the right way to go. In 1975 when first personal computer was invented, 125,000 people employed in the US. Today 125,000 are employed. This is the same but in Asia 1.5 million are employed in this business. This is not just steel, glass auto, textiles, electronics, this is about solar panels, advanced batteries, wind turbines. We need to wake up the rest of America, you already get it that’s why you’re here, but the key to our victory is waking up the rest of American before it’s too late. ” Interestingly, Fisher is running against Rob Portman, U. S. Trade Representative under George W. Bush. Portman was also invited to speak to this town hall discussing how to start recovering the 2.4 million manufacturing jobs that were lost to China in the Bush years but had other commitments and was unable to attend. The Panel Canton’s town hall panel of local experts was Scott Paul of AAM moderating, with, * Dave McCall District 1 Director for the United Steelworkers * Athony Denoi, Plant Manager ATI Alegheny Ludlum (Stainless steel, other specialty steels) * Max Blachman – Office of Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown From notes: Blachman – Sen Brown elected 92 to Congress, fighting for American manufacturing and workers ever since. Ran for Senate said let’s make Ohio the Silicon Valley of manufacturing. Sen Brown had an op-ed in yesterday’s NY Times . (Note – a good read , it starts out, “TEN years ago this fall the Senate sold out American manufacturing.”) Steps to take – enforce trade laws, China created tremendous and unfair imbalance McCall – We need a manufacturing policy. Level playing field. China currency. VAT – every country has a VAT except us. A company that makes something in India pays 20% tax, but when you ship the government gives the tax back, so companies in other countries get as much as a 20% break and China gets that break on top of currency manipulation and other schemes so that’s now 60%. … Just try to get 1 pound of steel into China, you can’t. You can’t sell there, they are exporting their unemployment to us. … Why has this been going on for a decade, decade and a half? Because a whole lot of people have very short term thinking, don’t care, want to make their dollars now, want to get out. … It’s time to give some protections to our American companies. They need to be profitable, so it is fair and balanced for companies and steelworkers as well. DeNoi – We are in business because of specialty steel that goes into special places like nuke reactors, transformers. To make good steel you need: Good equipment good people know how to make it. China doesn’t have #3, intellectual property, if we lose that China can make it. Silicon Steel, best grade, now China says they can do. It’s part of their energy strategy, for China to make their own. Titanium, we know how to make and others do not. Give us a level playing field we can compete globally. I keep on hearing industrial policy, it is a strategy , they are looking 5 10 20 years down the line. Has to be more than policy, has to be a serious strategy for long term/ McCall – on IP rights, I remember a guy testified before the China commission some years ago, who produced roof tiles for all KFC places in US. KFC got a contact from Chinese government to build 100 KFC stores in China. This guy, family business, invested in new technology, 40 employees. Business was good. KFC got this contract, the first load of shingles he sent got locked up on the dock and the government wouldn’t release it to be built on those restaurants until he gave them the formula and processes, KFC said we got to have these shingles, so he had to give up property rights. Now a company in China produces all those shingles , he is out of business. Q from audience: “How do we get consumers to understand and support Buy American?” McCall – Look what happens when we fight back. Cooper Tire built a plant in China, China said for 5 years you must export. So they have a price advantage, dump the tires here. So we filed a trade case and won , they put on a tariff, now they are dumping in Europe but not in US, so in Ohio now Cooper plant hires, 100 new jobs . Q: “What is the government and manufacturers going to do to help put people 55 and older forced into retirement, back to work?” Blachman – Sen Brown SECTOR act, labor grants to communities, allow labor an business and Community College or other anchor institution to come together with workforce investment board to fashion a curriculum to train for available jobs in new industries, fuel cells, advanced batteries, like what is happening at Stark Research Center on this campus. One-stop services often do not provide those specific skills needed to succeed in these industries. This passed the House, Senate filibustered DeNoi – challenge is to get a good educated workforce out there, we try to hire, give them tests, it is hard to get the skill set needed to work in steel. They have to have computer skills, math skills, problem-solving skills, we are having a difficult time finding it so we hire mature workers in this area because of that. Paul – if you see a factory on TV it’s an action setting, abandoned factory, rusted chains coming from the ceiling, fire coming out of the floor and a dead bodies is thrown from the second floor, that’s what people see when they see factories. Now is clean, highly technological, exciting, and you have an opportunity Q: “What three things if you could talk to the President.” DeNoi: 1) Level playing field 2) Long term strategy 3) Buy American Silverware, it is not made here anymore. Gas grills. So this was the last Town Hall I will be attending. There are more on the schedule and they are GREAT, and you learn a lot. Take a look at the schedule and see if you can make it to one . And I am sure there will be another round coming. I will be thinking for a while and then writing a wrap-up post that take a bigger-picture look at what I learned this last week. So check back. This post originally appeared at Campaign for America’s Future (CAF) at their Blog for OurFuture as part of the Making It In America project. I am a Fellow with CAF. Sign up here for the CAF daily summary .

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Phil Trupp: Did SEC Hide Botched Stanford Probe? I.G. Says Timing Is "Suspicious"

September 28, 2010

In the style of “Mad” magazine, it’s the season of con vs. con at the Securities and Exchange Commission — only no one’s laughing. Word on the inside is that the Commission covered up — or at least ignored — an investigation of billionaire R. Allen Stanford, who is awaiting trial in a Texas jail on 21 criminal charges that his Antiguan bank allegedly sold questionable certificates of deposit with “improbably high” interest rates and was running a Ponzi scheme at the same time. “They didn’t call him ‘Agile Allen’ for nothing,” according to a source familiar with the case. The SEC apparently wasn’t nearly so agile. A report by SEC Inspector General H. David Kotz claims the SEC was aware Stanford was running a $7 billion Ponzi scheme as far back as 1997, but waited until late 2005 to step in. The Commission filed civil charges in the case in February 2009. Kotz noted that the Commission filed civil fraud charges against Goldman Sachs last April, on the same day it released his report critical of the Stanford investigation. The timing of the Goldman filing is “suspicious,” said Kotz, who went on to suggest that the Goldman charges diverted attention from the report of the botched Stanford probe. The inspector general said the timing of the two actions in April “strains credulity.” Kotz made his suspicions public at a September 22 congressional hearing on the Stanford investigation before Senate Banking Committee. Republican sources in Washington claimed the SEC made Goldman the poster boy for greed as a cover for the Stanford investigative foul up. These sources also suspect Goldman was sued to help boost support for the new regulatory reforms governing Wall Street’s occasionally bad behavior. Though SEC denies the Goldman announcement was a cover-up of the Stanford probe, Kotz wondered out loud if in fact the timing might have been politically motivated. Republican speculation aside, Mr. Kotz told the committee that top officials at the SEC’s Fort Worth office were “being judged on the numbers of cases they brought, so-called ‘stats’,” the obvious and easy cases. “Complex cases were disfavored,” Mr. Kotz explained, because they were not “slam dunks.” Mr. Allen’s case is a rat’s nest of allegations including, but hardly limited to, the purchase of a Caribbean island. In other words, it didn’t add up as a “stat” or “quick hit” case. Robert Khuzami, director of SEC’s Enforcement Division, and Carlo di Florio, director of the Office of Compliance Inspections and Examinations, said they are moving to implement the reforms demanded by Mr. Kotz. Mr. Khuzami said he was alerting what he called “rank and file” SEC inspectors that quick hits do not drive enforcement. He said the divisions are now coordinating their efforts and stepping up the pace. So what does it take to make the SEC do the right thing? Among the suggestions by Mr. Khuzami and Mr. di Florio is to expand training programs and modernize the management structure. In addition, they added, it’s time to place “seasoned investigative attorneys back on the front lines and improve examiners’ risk management techniques.” No one on the Senate panel bothered to ask where these “seasoned attorneys” have been hiding. The Kotz report landed on SEC Commissioner Mary Schapiro’s desk in March. The Senate hearing gave the lawmakers a chance to vent their dissatisfaction with the Commission, but it’s anyone’s guess if substance will come out of the Senate probe. Last year, for example, the House Financial Services Committee held hearings on the $336 billion auction rate securities scandal, but no legislation or regulations followed. When Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) was asked about this failure, he replied, “The (’08) meltdown got in the way.” It now remains to be seen if the Senate Committee can find a clear path to financial reform of the SEC’s enforcement process. The hearing produced notable contradictions. Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala), the committee’s ranking republican, said the Bernard Madoff $65 billion Ponzi scheme had caught the SEC flatfooted though at least one part of the Commission had been aware of the Stanford case for years. Sen. Shelby was obviously unaware that there had been warnings about Madoff as far back as the late 1990s. “I believe this should mark the beginning of our review of this troublesome episode,” Sen. Shelby said, referring to Mr. Stanford. “We need to know exactly why evidence of this fraud was not more thoroughly pursued.” He added that Mr. Khuzami had brought to light “a colossal failure of the SEC.” Observers wondered why Sen. Shelby was so outraged. “Is he living on another planet?” asked one source. “Is this the first time it crossed his mind that the SEC is maybe a little slow off the mark?” Another open question: Why was no one fired because of the incompetent handling of the Stanford affair? It seemed a rhetorical question, given that no one was fired in the wake of the Madoff scandal, which was a much larger fraud. Lawmakers also expressed concern that the head of the Fort Worth division later offered to defend Mr. Stanford before the Senate committee. “It takes time for a culture to change,” Mr. Kotz said. “It takes time to trickle down the line.” In the meantime, the investing public will just have to wait on trickle-down ethics to kick in before trust is restored. ###

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Phil Trupp: The SEC: An Underground Agency

September 22, 2010

It has been nearly three years, and still the biggest scandal in modern Wall Street history continues–the $336 billion auction rate securities (ARS) fraud is still wrecking lives. I was at the center of the investor group that managed through pressure, both political and personal, to redeem $200 billion–but not until the ARS market crash had closed hospitals, ruined lives, trashed charities, and destroyed municipal services. The damage has yet to be undone, and $136 billion remains under challenge. How many jobs would those billions buy? How many lives would it change? How will redemption of these deceptively sold securities, pawned off as “cash, better than Treasury bonds, and completely liquid” contribute to consumer and investor truth/confidence? ARS was a great deal, the brokers said–until it wasn’t! Why is the Securities and Exchange Commission still protecting the banksters and broker holdouts? The Commission refuses to answer. It is now operating as a kind of underground agency; it has received from Congress an exemption from the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), claiming it needs to protect the “proprietary concerns” of the very financial industry it examines and “prosecutes.” Why can’t we get a statement from SEC head Mary Schapiro on the ARS scandal? The same SEC failed to act under former Commissioner Chris Cox, and we now see the same duck and cover tactics. The coverup continues. Ms. Schapiro’s former stewardship of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) the industry’s trade association, is also under fire. Ms. Schapiro sold $650 million in ARS in late 2007 out of Finra’s own portfolio without a word to the public. What did she and FINRA know, a nd when did they know it? That sale coincides with the same dumping of ARS holdings by banker-broker CEOs–in complete silence right up to the time of the Feb. 2008 ARS market crash. Ms. Schapiro walked away from F INRA with a golden parachute estimated between $3-$10 million, but she has yet to admit this to anyone. The fact is that FINRA and the SEC played along with the rest of the financial industry in the ARS scandal to produce a silently scripted theft of enough money to run 20 percent of the entire federal government. These facts need to be exposed and acted upon. If enforcement breaks down on a scandal of this size and magnitude, what can we expect of the much lauded new financial regulations and the Basel accords?

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Rep. Alan Grayson: Verizon-Google: There’s a Hard Rain Coming

August 19, 2010

“[Barry] Diller asserted that the Google-Verizon proposal “doesn’t preserve ‘net neutrality,’ full stop, or anything like it.” Asked if other media executives were staying quiet because they stand to gain from a less open Internet, he said simply, “Yes.”" New York Times, August 12, 2010 The Verizon-Google Net Neutrality Proposal begins by stating that “Google and Verizon have been working together to find ways to preserve the open Internet.” Well, that’s nice. Imagine what they would have come up with if they had been trying to kill off the open Internet. Actually, you don’t have to imagine it. Because that’s what this is. An effort to kill off the open Internet. Much of the coverage of the Verizon-Google Proposal has focused on only one of the proposal’s many problems: the fact that the proposal allows wireless broadband carriers — like, say, Verizon, for instance — to discriminate in handling Internet traffic in any manner they choose. They can charge content providers, they can block content providers, and they can slow down content providers, just as they please. That sure doesn’t sound “neutral.” We’ve already seen examples of political censorship over mobile networks. In 2007, Verizon refused to run a pro-choice text message from advocacy group NARAL, due to its supposedly ‘unsavory’ nature. Yes, this happened; yes, this kind of censorship would be continue to be legal under the Google-Verizon deal; and yes, Google, this is evil. But the Verizon-Google Proposal allows almost as much latitude to other internet carriers, like cable and DSL carriers. Under the heading “Network Management,” all carriers can “engage in reasonable network management,” which “includes any technically sound practice” (which means what?). And it specifically includes the power to “prioritize general classes or types of Internet traffic, based on latency.” The term “latency” means delays in downloading, from carrying video files and such. So if you want video, and YouTube won’t pay Verizon to provide it, then Verizon can “prioritize” other traffic. And then your two-minute video will take two hours to see. And let’s say you want to start a new website that offers video — good luck getting through to Verizon’s customer service department, to have Verizon place it in the right ‘tier’ of Verizon’s internet service. In my experience, customer service requests have extraordinarily high “latency.” Furthermore, under the heading “Non-Discrimination Requirement” (that sounds promising!), wireline carriers cannot engage in “undue discrimination.” ” Undue discrimination! ” What, exactly, is “due” discrimination? And even then, the presumption of non-discrimination “could be rebutted.” And if a carrier somehow manages to run afoul of these absurdly loose standards, the FCC doesn’t even have the power to act, unless someone actually finds out about the discrimination, complains about it, and can prove it. And even then, the Verizon-Google Proposal limits the penalty to $2 million. Do you happen to know what Verizon’s revenue is every 10 minutes ? It’s . . . $2 million. That’s right. The maximum fine is equal to what Verizon takes in every 10 minutes. Do we laugh? Or do we cry? This would give Verizon — and every other large internet carrier — the equivalent of a cheap “put” option on every company with an internet-based product or service. For a mere $2 million, Verizon could secretly block (or just mess with) the internet content of a billion-dollar company, destroying its market value overnight. And, perhaps, sending those customers to Verizon’s rival product or service. Now, I really would like to believe that the FCC can deliver on guaranteeing net neutrality. But remember, this ‘proposal’ came after months of secret, closed-door meetings with the FCC, spurred by Chairman Julius Genachowski, that sought an industry- brokered deal along the lines of the Verizon-Google Proposal. And when the proposal was issued, net neutrality’s longtime ally, Commissioner Michael Copps, responded as follows: “Some will claim this announcement moves the discussion forward. That’s one of its many problems.” When I see our most stalwart friend on the commission coming out against a deal shepherded by the Chairman, it doesn’t inspire confidence that the FCC can hold the line against telecom and cable companies, when those companies have something else in mind. Google’s market capitalization is $150 billion. Verizon’s is $85 billion. They don’t care about our wellbeing. Never have, never will. Even if one of them tells us it won’t “be evil.” It’s time for the FCC to step up. It’s time for Congress to step up. It’s time for all of us to step up. We need for the law to protect the internet: No discrimination in pricing or in service. No self-regulation by corporate titans. And no blessing of corrupt deals at the FCC. And we need all citizens to engage, to be vigilant. Remember, no one in Big Business has an interest in keeping this medium open to all of us. The only interest that wants to keep the internet open and free, for you and me, is you and me. So if you care about a free and open internet, uncensored by Big Business, then look toward the horizon. A storm is brewing. There’s a hard rain coming.

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Not Even Gulf Fishermen Buy The Government’s ‘Smell Test’ Policy On Oil-Exposed Seafood

August 2, 2010

ON THE GULF OF MEXICO — Even the people who make their living off the seafood-rich waters of Louisiana’s St. Bernard Parish have a hard time swallowing the government’s assurances that fish harvested in the shallow, muddy waters just offshore must be safe to eat because they don’t smell too bad. Fresh splotches of chocolate-colored crude, probably globules broken apart by toxic chemical dispersants sprayed by BP with government approval, still wash up almost daily on protective boom and in marshes in reopened fishing grounds east of the Mississippi River. When shrimp season opens in a couple of weeks and Rusty Graybill drags his nets across the mucky bottom, he worries that he’ll also collect traces of oil and dispersants – and that even if his catch doesn’t smell, buyers and consumers will turn up their noses. “If I put fish in a barrel of water and poured oil and Dove detergent over that, and mixed it up, would you eat that fish?” asked Graybill, a 28-year-old commercial oyster, blue crab and shrimp angler who grew up fishing the marshes of St. Bernard. “I wouldn’t feed it to you or my family. I’m afraid someone’s going to get sick.” Louisiana wildlife regulators on Friday reopened state-controlled waters east of the Mississippi to harvesting of shrimp and “fin fish” such as redfish, mullet and trout. Smell tests on dozens of specimens from the area revealed barely traceable amounts of toxins, the federal Food and Drug Administration said. Experts say smell tests may sound silly but are a proven technique that saves time and money. The state has been testing fish tissue for oil since May but has not found it in amounts considered unsafe. Oil has compounds that have been linked to cancer, but experts say they break down in the body and are excreted, so there’s little chance of getting cancer from tainted seafood even if people ate it years. Smell tests are the only way to check fish for chemical dispersants, though FDA spokeswoman Meghan Scott said federal scientists are developing a tissue test. It’s not clear when it will be ready. The dispersants can kill incubating sea life, experts say, though its long-term effects are unknown. In humans, long-term exposure can cause central nervous system problems or damage blood, kidneys or livers, according to the Centers For Disease Control and Prevention. But the Environmental Protection Agency says the dispersants used in the Gulf have low toxicity in humans, meaning the public health risk is low. Congressional investigators said over the weekend that the Coast Guard routinely approved BP requests to use thousands of gallons of dispersant a day despite a federal directive to cut its use. BP chief operating officer Doug Suttles took reporters on a boat tour of beaches and marshes on Sunday and said “they wouldn’t open these waters … if it wasn’t safe to eat the fish.” He said he would eat Gulf seafood and “would serve it to my family.” Like most fishermen in St. Bernard, the bulk of Graybill’s income comes from oysters, blue crab and shrimp. The first two are still off limits, and the shrimp season doesn’t start for two weeks. Graybill had been earning money from BP under the “Vessels of Opportunity” program allowing idled fishing vessels to help with cleanup work, but that program was scaled back Thursday. Signs that anglers weren’t jumping back into the waters abounded Saturday, especially at the annual Blessing of the Boats in Shell Beach, Hopedale and Delacroix, where the Rev. John Arnone of St. Bernard Catholic Church blessed far fewer than usual. As Graybill maneuvered his light blue shrimp trawler Saturday near Comfort Island, which borders the open fishing grounds in Chandeleur Sound, fresh globs of oil glistened in the midday sun, staining the orange and yellow boom protecting the island. A dozen or so brown pelicans lazed on the oily boom. Just the perception that he’ll be pulling in oily shrimp, let alone that it might really happen, can greatly reduce the price he can get, he said. “They capped the well, they stopped the oil, so now they’re trying to hurry up and get us back working to where they can say everything’s fine when it’s not,” he said. “It’s not fine.” Giving the OK to reopen one closed fishery does not mean it couldn’t be closed again if more oil shows up, FDA Commissioner Dr. Margaret Hamburg said Friday. “At the moment this is good news,” she said after the reopening announcement. “But we have to remain vigilant.” Across the street from where Graybill usually delivers his catch, Dawn Nunez’s family has for 30 years operated a wholesale business that sells shrimp to restaurants and seafood processors. She worries no one will want to the local catch. It’s absurd that the government is reopening the fishery when so many doubts linger, she said. “It’s nothing but a PR move,” she said. “It’s going to take years to know what damage they’ve done. It’s just killed us all.” And relying only on a smell tests stinks, said Ryan Lambert, 52, a charter fishing captain who sometimes takes his clients out in the waters that just reopened. Fishing shouldn’t resume, he said, until more data exist and better dispersant testing is devised. “I have no confidence in their testing methods,” Lambert said. “But BP has just wanted to push, push, push to get us back fishing. You can’t hurry it and then find something bad later,” he said. “You can only cry wolf so many times before (customers) decide they aren’t coming back.” ___ Associated Press Writer Harry R. Weber contributed to this report.

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Sen. Ted Kaufman: Captive Regulators Contributed to Oil and Financial Disasters

July 27, 2010

The story of regulatory failure surrounding the Deepwater Horizon oil spill is, by now, all too well known. The Minerals Management Service (MMS), the now-defunct agency that had been charged with assuring that drilling off America’s coast was safe, environmentally responsible, and a reliable revenue source for the taxpayer, became the single most recognizable example of regulatory capture in the U.S. Regulatory capture is when a regulator agency permits its judgments to be clouded by the narrow economic interests of the industry that it regulates. It is the opposite of how regulators should work, which is to safeguard the greater and broader interests of the public health, safety and prosperity against often complex, powerful and narrowly-minded industry. Regulatory capture can happen for a number of reasons. First, regulatory capture can happen where the revolving door constantly shuttles individuals from the private sector to the regulator and vice versa. Regulators may be compromised by the implicit promise of lucrative employment, should they only look out for the industry during their watch. It is this indicator of regulatory capture at MMS that the Washington Post described in such shocking detail in last week’s front page story. Seventy-Five percent of oil lobbyists formerly held jobs in the federal government. Randall Luthi, who directed MMS from 2007 to 2009, is now president of the National Ocean Industries Association, the trade association for producers, contractors, engineers and supply companies who explore and drill for oil and natural gas in offshore waters. According to the Department of the Interior Inspector General’s report, one examiner conducted safety checks at four rigs owned by one company, while at the same time negotiating a job for himself with that same company. It also works in both directions. According to an MMS District Manager, almost all MMS inspectors had previously worked for oil companies on the same platforms they were inspecting. As Ken Salazar testified last week before the House, he is aware of the problems caused by the revolving door and is taking steps to address it. Michael Bromwich, who directs the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, the successor to MMS, has also pledged to beef-up “cooling-off periods,” which restrict the ability of former oil regulators to seamlessly flow directly from government into a high paying industry job. Poor funding, morale, or training for regulators also can play a role in regulatory capture. This, too, may have played a part in the ineffectiveness of MMS. During the prior administration, the workforce at MMS shrank by approximately 8%, even as offshore minerals exploration leases and acres leased increased by 10% over that same time period. A third factor that may lead to regulatory capture is if a regulator is responsible for just one industry, such as MMS was responsible only for regulating the exploration activities of oil companies. Industry groups with a laser-like focus can lobby single-industry regulators, whereas the public’s interest is likely to be much more diffuse. In addition, problems of the revolving door may be amplified for a single-industry regulator, because the regulators have relatively few options for seeking private sector employment. Mr. Bromwich has also been quick to recognize the problems caused by having such a small and captive pool of inspectors. As he works to make the job of oil rig inspector more attractive, Congress should support these efforts as an effective way to counter regulatory capture. Vague statutory lines drawn by Congress, as well as loose oversight, are a fourth contributor to regulatory capture because they give captive regulators plenty of room to stretch and contort the law without necessarily breaking the law or even having to explain their actions. Finally, complex industries with large masses of proprietary data are also able to control the flow of information to regulators — information that will form the basis of regulation and enforcement, thereby virtually precluding effective regulation. While I have heard colleagues and commentators argue that Secretary Salazar did not do enough, fast enough, to reverse the problem of regulatory capture in time to prevent the BP disaster, these myopic criticisms ignore the deep and lasting damage done to many of our regulators by the previous administration. During this time, a deregulatory mindset captured our regulatory agencies. We became enamored of the view that self-regulation was adequate. That “rational” self-interest would motivate counterparties to undertake stronger and better forms of due diligence than any regulator could perform, and that market fundamentalism would lead to the best outcomes for the most people. When the regulators themselves feel that the best regulation is no regulation at all, when a laissez faire mindset causes the regulators themselves to be deeply distrustful of curbs on any industry practice, then regulatory capture is all but ensured. And during those eight years, Congress’ failure to conduct vigorous oversight was particularly damaging as well. This deregulatory mindset, more than any other factor, explains why we have suffered so many examples of failed regulation in recent years — especially in our financial sector and in the oil and mineral industries. As we’ve learned over the last two years, when regulators fail, it is the American people who pay the price. When President Obama was inaugurated, therefore, he inherited executive agencies that had been weakened by eight years of atrophy and neglect. The Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) is an example of how regulatory neglect and the deregulatory mindset allowed the financial sector to lead us into economic and financial crisis. During the Bush administration, over 20% of the full-time-equivalent positions at OTS were eliminated This decrease in funding for OTS personnel, while striking, fails to reveal the scope of the rot at that agency. For that, one needs to examine how those regulators acted, as Senator Levin did during the in-depth Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations hearings that he chaired. As established at those hearings, Washington Mutual (WaMu) comprised as much as 25% of the assets under OTS regulation. Moreover, WaMu contributed between 12 and 15% of OTS’ operating revenue through the fees that it paid. Even though WaMu was the most significant and largest institution under its regulation, regulators allowed shoddy and even fraudulent lending to occur under their nose without taking remedial corrective action or any significant enforcement measures. OTS sat idly by as up to 90% of home equity loans underwritten at Washington Mutual (WaMu) were comprised of “stated income” or so-called “liar’s loans.” Still worse, OTS was captured to such a great degree that it lobbied other regulators to weaken nontraditional mortgage regulation. As if to give further evidence of its capture, OTS even went so far as to thwart an investigation into WaMu by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, a secondary regulator, that could have put a stop to some of WaMu’s unsustainable business practices before they did so much damage. OTS and WaMu are just the beginning of the story, however. The problem of capture spread beyond the thrifts to those responsible for regulating Wall Street, where many of the top cops during this time were either former industry insiders or committed to deregulation and self-regulation. As the MIT economist Simon Johnson has termed it, a “financial oligarchy” had arisen that moved seamlessly between the private and public sectors, leaving an indelible mark on the financial regulatory landscape in a way that tends to enrich those very oligarchs and their friends. The negotiation of the 2004 Basel II Capital Accord was emblematic of this cozy relationship. As part of these discussions, the Fed was a principal architect of a regulatory framework that would allow banks to determine capital requirements based on the judgment of ratings agencies and their own internal models. By outsourcing their regulatory responsibilities to the banks that they were supposed to regulate, the Fed and other bank supervisors made an implicit admission that the size and complexity of megabanks had exceeded their comprehension. Although the Basel II Accord was not fully implemented, it effectively was applied to large investment banks. While the SEC nominally regulated these firms, the Commission had no track record to speak of with respect to ensuring the safety and soundness of financial institutions. The Commission allowed these investment banks to leverage a small base of capital over 40 times into asset holdings that, in some cases, exceeded $1 trillion. When the bottom fell out of the market, the funding engine powering the investment bank business model seized up. Lehman Brothers was forced into bankruptcy and the other major investment banks faced an existential crisis. At the end of the day, American taxpayers were left holding the bill for the costs to stabilize the financial system. Basel II’s treatment of capital adequacy standards is just one telling example of regulatory capture. Federal regulators also failed to strengthen consumer protection regulations in the lead-up to the crisis, despite the explosion of the subprime market and warnings from many quarters on the frequent incidence of predatory lending practices. Hence, just like leverage ratios, regulators allowed underwriting standards to erode precipitously without strengthening mortgage origination regulations. Wall Street regulation is compromised by another problem — the utter dependence of regulators on the regulated for information. This closed loop depends on the unrealistic assumption that industry will provide regulators with an accurate data stream, even when it is to their direct detriment. Too often, however, industry comes up short. And without access to meaningful data, objective analyses cannot be developed by academics, consumer advocates or the media. A good example is high frequency trading, which has grown rapidly over the last few years free from regulatory scrutiny. Pending finalization of the April 14 “large trader” rule, the SEC hasn’t been collecting meaningful data about high frequency trading, including information on the identities of individual traders. Even when implemented, the data will remain between the SEC, the trading firm, and the firm’s broker-dealer, thereby eliminating the ability of any objective party to check the Commission’s work to make sure it is doing its job of ensuring market credibility. The recent SEC roundtable discussion on market structure issues is case in point. Roundtables are designed to publicly air a diversity of views pertaining to potential regulation. This panel, however, as I said in a speech on May 27, promised to be so completely one-sided and “in favor of the entrenched money that has caused the very problems we seek to address that the panel itself stands as a symbolic failure of the regulators and regulatory system.” Though the SEC agreed to make some modifications to the panel, concerns remained. As Commissioner Luis Aguilar noted in his opening statement: “I am disappointed that our Roundtable is not constituted to showcase the full breadth of relevant voices… And I am concerned that, as a result, today’s discussions will not bring to light how conflicts of interest, and particular business models, may influence the various views we’ll hear today.” To rely on those who have benefited from the status quo to point out the very regulatory imperfections that have allowed them to prosper is to doom the regulatory process from its inception. As we emerge from this period of regulatory abdication and begin to rediscover the vital role that regulation must play in ensuring fair competition and a level playing field, it will take strong leadership and determination — in the face of constant industry resistance — to retake the initiative in our regulatory agencies for the good of the public. Some commentators have looked at this record of regulatory failure and argued that all regulation is inherently prey to capture. Regulatory capture is a fact of life, they say, and we should therefore endeavor to have as little regulation as possible. This position ignores the common sense solutions to regulatory capture, however. Open publication of regulatory data, for example, could allow academic scrutiny and mitigate the problem of the closed loop. Strict ethics rules can mandate cooling off periods so that regulators do not take proprietary information to their new employers. Congress can draw clear lines that empower regulators to act for the public interest and minimize vague mandates that can be exploited by shrewd companies. Vigorous congressional oversight can also hold regulators accountable before their agencies are too far gone to the problem of capture. Agency employees should be paid fairly and treated with respect so that they are not tempted to compromise their judgment in hopes of earning a lucrative industry job. This country has a long a proud history of successful federal regulation. In large part, the safety of our food, roads, airspace, and workplaces are due to successful federal regulation. And our continued prosperity depends on continuing to regulate, strongly and intelligently, for the public good. The final Wall Street reform bill is a case in point. It invests enormous responsibilities and discretion into the hands of the regulators. Its ultimate success or failure will depend on the actions and follow-through of these regulators for years to come. Congress has a vital role in overseeing the enormous regulatory process that will now take place. This will include ensuring that the regulators have adequate resources and staff, that regulations reflect wide and objective input and that the failed experiments of deregulation and self-regulation are put to an end. Industry and Big Business have already begun their counterattack. Daily, we hear that the economic recovery is being slowed by “uncertainty” about future regulations. This argument might have been plausible a few years ago. I might have stopped to listen to it. But after massive financial failures and oil spills, it rings empty to me. I am certainly not a fan of overregulation. But the complaint that we are starting down the path of overregulation is plainly overstated, to say the least — especially after industry malfeasance and regulatory complicity cost so many Americans their jobs, their homes, and their way of life. Unfortunately, some in big business will always complain about having to follow rules. But without effective rules, and rules that are effectively enforced, we are all certain to bear once again the cost inflicted upon us by the next industry-caused disaster. Never again can we allow our environment and our economy to be entrusted to agencies that serve no purpose other than to provide a false sense of security. Lip service does not work. Our leadership, the Congress and our regulatory agencies must walk the walk of enforcement while keeping regulatory capture to a minimum. Our government exists to do no less.

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Joe Minarik: The Trust Fund and the Baby Boom

July 23, 2010

Recently, I suggested a legislative deal in which repair of Social Security’s finances would motivate Congress to enact economic stimulus. Surprisingly to me, given the fragile state of the economy, there was little reaction to the need for stimulus — and part of what reaction there was, was skeptical. Most of the reaction was negative toward repairing Social Security. The number of arguments raised would fill a book, and many will be worth discussing later. But one kept recurring: The Social Security trust fund was built up by the 1983 law to finance the retirement of the baby-boom generation. That trust fund can be redeemed to pay benefits through 2037. There is a lot of misunderstanding of both Social Security’s history and economics here. Let’s review both. Was the Social Security trust fund beefed up to pay for the retirement of the baby boom? Well, no. Here are the words of Robert J. Myers, who was the Executive Director of the National Commission on Social Security Reform (the “Greenspan Commission”): This false premise is that in 1983, the financing provisions were developed to build up a mammoth fund to take care of the baby boomers. This is not so at all. Rather, the major effort in 1983 was to solve the short-run problem by using pessimistic assumptions for the financing provisions. Then to solve the long-range problem, on the average — and I emphasize on the average — you might ask why didn’t Congress and the National Commission do a more thorough job in 1983? Well, the situation was that the ship was about to hit the iceberg. At that time, you worried about dodging the iceberg not how to redecorate the dining salon, namely, long-range funding procedure. I would challenge anybody to find anything in the Report of the National Commission on Social Security Reform that said the intention of developing the financing of the program was to build up a mammoth fund to take care of the baby boomers. Nor will you find any of this in any of the Congressional discussions, the debates, the Committee reports. All the fabric has been made up subsequently. [Language inaccuracies are in the official transcript ). In terms of the ship-and-iceberg metaphor, the Social Security Amendments of 1983 were enacted on April 20, and the previous year’s estimate was that Social Security could not write benefit checks in July. So given the uncertainties and delays inherent in the legislative process, it is no surprise that the Commission and the Congress were rushed. So the Greenspan Commission did not intend to build up a large trust fund that could be used to finance the retirement of the baby boom, nor did it design its proposals to do that. Still, could they work to achieve that result? Well, again, the answer is no — unfortunately. As noted perhaps too briefly in my original post, the problem with the federal budget is that we need to borrow far too much money for the health and safety of our economy. Anything that increases the amount of money that we need to borrow makes that problem worse. This year, and again in 2016 and thereafter, Social Security will need to redeem its Treasury securities to pay benefits. The Treasury has no cash because of the massive budget deficit, and so to raise the cash for Social Security, it must borrow. This means more total borrowing, which threatens the economy. (This problem obviously would not apply if we had a surplus, or only a small deficit.) Does Social Security have the legal right to that cash? Absolutely. But will it have adverse consequences for the economy? Sadly, that too. That is why, once they had the chance to digest the unexpected trust-fund implications of the 1983 law, economists quickly concluded that the trust fund accumulation could not be drawn down in large amounts to maintain the program after its revenues started falling short of the program’s benefits – which they are doing right now. For part of the time when I was working in the executive branch, the head of my office was a very bright non-economist who was charged for a time to work on Social Security. Like most normal people (that is, non-economists), he believed that Social Security could draw down its trust fund in any large amount. When I told him why economists had concluded to the contrary, he at first did not believe me. The next day, he came to me and told me that having thought more about it, I was clearly right. Not long thereafter, he had a private meeting with one of the lead members of the Greenspan Commission. I suggested to my boss that he ask the commissioner what he thought about this question now, and what the Commission had thought at the time. This member of the Greenspan Commission also had subsequently concluded that Social Security could not make an unlimited draw on the trust fund. As to what the Commission thought at the time? “You know, we never thought about it.” (So it turns out that Robert J. Myers was right about that.) There were many more questions and arguments. Can we exempt current and near-term retirees from any change and still make Social Security’s financing sound? (Yes.) Can we protect low-wage workers? (Yes.) Can we raise the ceiling on the payroll tax to finance Social Security? (Yes, but it won’t be enough.) Should we cut defense to reduce the deficit? (We will have to cut everything .) More on all of those questions later. But can we, or should we, run the Social Security trust fund into the ground? Unfortunately, no.

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David Gray: What LeBron James’ Decision Means for the Midwest

July 19, 2010

A child of the Midwest grows up in Middle America, thrives, receives disproportionate attention and investment from the community, realizes his or her potential and then moves away to a “sunnier” state in his or her prime. That is what we saw as LeBron James chose to move to South Beach to play for the Miami Heat rather than staying in Cleveland and play for the Cavaliers. The same day, the nation’s top high school football player, Seantrel Henderson, chose to leave Minnesota and to move to Miami. This situation is not limited to superstar athletes. Over the past generation, there was been an exodus of young people from the Midwest, particularly Ohio. A 2006 study by the Dayton Daily News found that Ohio has lost more young people during the last 10 years than any other state except Pennsylvania. According to a June 2009 study by the Thomas B. Fordham Institute, “88 percent of native Ohio students say they are proud of Ohio, but 51 percent plan to leave after graduation,” and “89 percent say good jobs will be very important in deciding where to live after graduation, but just 11 percent say Ohio has excellent prospects.” This was before the Great Recession of 2008 when manufacturing jobs, critical to the Midwest, were decimated. Unemployment rates don’t mean everything. Ohio is not the only state to have an unemployment rate above the national average — so do sunshine states such as Florida, California and Nevada. However, much of their unemployment is likely cyclical, a reaction to build ups and bubbles, while the Midwest’s issue is more structural. Ohio will likely lose two congressional seats in the upcoming census-driven apportionment, while many of the sunshine states continue to gain population. Growing up in Ohio, I lived across the street on one side from a women who would run the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services for part of the Bush Administration and on the other side across the street was the young man who would grow up to be the current Commissioner of the IRS, both in Washington, D.C. Last year, I hosted an event to discuss the book “Hollowing Out the Middle: Rural Brain Drain and What it Means for America” by sociologists Patrick J. Carr and Maria J. Kefalas. The book argues that communities throughout the Midwest need not only to invest in jobs and programs that keep their young people in town, but need to invest more in those likely to stay. They argue that there is a temptation for communities, particularly small ones, to invest a disproportionate amount of resources in the most gifted students, the “I knew her when” students. Those students are often the least likely to stay or return to the community. Instead, communities should invest more in those young people most likely to stay. Joel Kotkin has argued that there is a national imbalance anyway with too many people concentrated on the coasts, and that it would be good for America to create infrastructure, jobs and others incentives for people to move to the Midwest. This would disperse costs, talents, environmental impacts, prices and opportunities. Perhaps the most popular television show last year was Glee, a show about an Ohio based high school singing group. During the season finale, Olivia Newton-John is co-judging a competition with the school’s “celebrity” cheerleading coach. They argue and Newton-John makes the devastating point that “when this is over we fly back to (sunny) L.A. while you are stuck here in Ohio.” To watch LeBron James’ announcement, one could see from the pain in his face how the difficult decision to leave Cleveland was. Yet that first weekend he hosted a major party in his new city of Miami rather than saying goodbye. LeBron will always be “of Ohio” and his success, like that of many others, is a credit to his home state and region. But it would sure be nice it that success stayed at home.

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Bill Singer: Modern-Day Regulation: The Big Broom After the Circus Parade Passes

July 2, 2010

I watched with disgust the ravages of Hurricane Katrina. A city and region were devastated first by a storm and then victimized by a lack of preparation and response. Those in charge of the emergency response seemed little more than political hacks and friends of friends in high places. Clearly, the Gulf Coast region would learn some lessons. Now, amidst the BP oil leak — a calamity of epic proportion — the most charitable characterization of the so-called emergency response is that it is a deer caught in the headlights. You would think that there were some contingency plans on some shelf for this event. You know, maybe someone contemplated that another hurricane could topple an oil rig? Instead, in many ways, we are seeing a redux of the failed response to Katrina. In a time of crisis , those who should have drawn up earlier contingency plans are only now first setting up shop. You just get that sinking feeling in the pit of your stomach that everything is ad hoc . Of course, what has been thought out and thought through is how to best spin the bad news. Oh, no doubt about it — private enterprise and government always seem to have that knack for self-preservation. If I see one more self-serving television ad from BP, if I see one more politician in socks and shoes walking on the beach with his shirtsleeves rolled up, I’m going to throw my television remote through my screen. Don’t these idiots get it? Disasters are not wonderful opportunities for a photo-op! Having set in motion the causes of this ecological disaster, BP wants me to thank them for giving folks shovels to clean the beaches? Having failed to timely respond to the leak with an effective containment plan, government officials want me to applaud their televised hearings? I am not a fan of the time-wastin’ speechifyin’, masturbatory roundtablin’, and high-fallutin’ blue-ribbon panels that enervate our government. Sadly, we are saddled with legislators and regulators who belatedly cobble together ineffective solutions for yesterday’s problems, or opt for abject inaction that paves the way for tomorrow’s crises. In the end, we get neither an ounce of prevention nor a pound of cure. E Pluribus Unum has been replaced with Too Little, Too Late . Among the worst examples of institutionalized procrastination is the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). More often than not, my commentaries about the SEC are filled with pointed barbs — sharpened from frustration with the federal regulator’s inability to do its job. Consider my May 2010 blog: LOST: One Securities and Exchange Commission Regulatory Priority . We live in a world of limited resources and we are creatures with a limited time on this planet. We cannot do all things within in our limited lifespans — hence we need to have a sense of both history and a concern for the future. Professional regulators must always be aware of that ticking clock. Among the most difficult challenges facing them is knowing their priorities and allocating the most effective use of their dollars and staff towards preventing fraud and promulgating prophylactic rules. In this day and age, no one should be nominated to the SEC or any regulatory organization if that man or woman doesn’t have their priorities in mind and in order — and each candidate should be vetted on that point. Similarly, for the SEC to announce that it’s unsure of its priorities and needs to form some committee to figure out what’s important and what should be first, smacks of a gross lack of leadership and vision. Sadly, the legacy of the SEC is that too many Madoff-like schemes have flourished while the various commissioners seemed distracted by choosing china patterns. A harsh condemnation, but one that I believe is deserved. Effective leadership sets goals and makes choices. Too often, the SEC delves into the world of metaphysics and foolishly diverts its resources from meaningful prevention and enforcement towards efforts that seem solely calculated to pander to the public. A recent example of such silliness was the sideshow concerning global warming . Not only would the SEC not acknowledge that there was or wasn’t global warming (or climate change, if you prefer), but it wasted countless hours of staff time preparing a report and voting on new regulations. While the SEC’s attention was diverted to posturing over global warming, the “Flash Crash” overwhelmed Wall Street and, as usual, the federal regulator didn’t know what had happened and had no effective contingency plans with which to respond. The result was that Wall Street’s cop was forced to bring out the broom after the circus parade passed us by. The one saving grace of that incident was that the SEC actually moved quickly to institute single-stock circuit breaks, for which I complimented the regulator . On June 30, 2010, during an open meeting of the SEC, Commissioner Luis A. Aguilar gave a speech titled: ” Preventing Investor Harm Should be SEC Priority Number One .” It was with some surprise that I read Commissioner Aguilar’s comments because he offered a superb description of what constitutes effective regulation. Now, if only the astute commissioner could transform his vision into action, and drag his colleagues into the 21st Century! I commend his words to you: Regulatory oversight functions best when we have a regulatory regime that prevents misconduct in the first instance — long before investors can be harmed. If the conduct is not affirmatively prevented, investors are harmed. It’s true that once investors are harmed and lose faith in the integrity of our institutions — irreversible damage has taken place. Enforcement actions are rarely, if ever, able to make investors whole, sufficiently punish all the fraudsters, and prevent a loss of investor trust in these financial institutions and the securities industry as a whole. The best course of action is to prevent the significant harm in the first place. Prophylactic rules, consistent and effective inspections, and strong enforcement must work together to protect investors. Read Commissioner Aguilar’s Entire Speech at: http://sec.gov/news/speech/2010/spch063010laa.htm

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Zach Carter: The Lying Liars at Goldman Sachs

July 1, 2010

Today, Goldman Sachs sent its second-highest-ranking officer to Washington, D.C. to tell the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission that his company is staffed and managed by complete idiots. In an effort to evade investigation, Goldman Sachs Chief Financial Officer David Viniar claimed that his company really just doesn’t know how to do basic bookkeeping. It was a silly and transparent lie, but if it were true, every investor the world over would be pulling its money from Goldman as fast as possible. At this point, Goldman Sachs execs have made clear that are very good at making themselves look like jerks. Viniar’s comments at yesterday’s hearing follow a series of, let’s say, unflattering public appearances over the past few months involving fraud investigations, “shitty deals” and “God’s work.” But Viniar still had some real whoppers ready for the FCIC: “We don’t have a derivatives business.” Viniar actually said that , and he said it to FCIC Commissioner Brooksley Born, one of the world’s most seasoned experts on derivatives. Her response, somewhat incredulous, was to point out that Goldman has well over $40 trillion worth of derivatives housed at its commercial bank. That’s a lot of money for a business that doesn’t exist. Viniar backed off a bit, saying that, sure Goldman does do derivatives operations, but they don’t separate those businesses from other activities. This fact, according to Viniar, makes it impossible to say anything substantive about Goldman’s derivatives deals at all. Derivatives, of course, have gotten Goldman Sachs into an awful lot of trouble. The SEC’s fraud suit against the company is based on a horrific derivatives deal the company set up, and investigators are looking into other transactions the company established that their own employees described as “shitty.” They entered into several billions of dollars worth of derivatives bets with AIG that would have bankrupted Goldman had AIG gone down. In 2008, Goldman used derivatives to quite literally make a killing by jacking up the price of food around the world, causing mass starvation, along with tidy speculative profits for Goldman. That same year, Goldman was also heavily involved in pushing the price of oil through the roof with, you guessed it, derivatives. So it’s no surprise that Goldman wants to evade answers from the FCIC on the subject. These businesses are enormously profitable for the company and help the company make money by doing things that are morally repulsive (setting their own clients up to fail, starving people, etc.). But while nobody at the hearing took Viniar’s evasive tactics seriously, the claims he made about Goldman certainly make the firm look bad. Viniar claimed that Goldman operates with basically no internal accounting or transaction oversight, under a bookkeeping system more akin to Bernie Madoff than a prestigious Wall Street investment bank. Viniar insisted that it is absolutely technically impossible for Goldman to provide the FCIC with any information regarding Goldman’s derivatives revenues, profits or losses, because the company just doesn’t organize its finances that way. And what’s more, it has no way of tracking or adding up the revenues from individual derivatives contracts. “Are you telling me you have no system at your company that tracks revenues under contracts?” FCIC Chair Phil Angelides demanded. To the astonishment of everyone in the room, Viniar insisted that the answer to this question was yes. If Goldman Sachs is truly not technologically capable of simply adding up the values of its derivatives contracts, every investor in the world should run screaming from the firm. Fundamentally, Viniar is claiming that Goldman Sachs cannot do basic bookkeeping. Other banks have provided the FCIC with exactly this kind of information, and for Goldman to be incapable of doing so would be evidence of mass incompetence across the entire firm. Nobody believed Viniar. But you really have to wonder why Goldman would go to such absurd lengths to conceal such basic information about its derivatives operations from the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, when they know it makes them come across like shadowy villains. Which, of course, they are.

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Zach Carter: The Lying Liars at Goldman Sachs

July 1, 2010

Today, Goldman Sachs sent its second-highest-ranking officer to Washington, D.C. to tell the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission that his company is staffed and managed by complete idiots. In an effort to evade investigation, Goldman Sachs Chief Financial Officer David Viniar claimed that his company really just doesn’t know how to do basic bookkeeping. It was a silly and transparent lie, but if it were true, every investor the world over would be pulling its money from Goldman as fast as possible. At this point, Goldman Sachs execs have made clear that are very good at making themselves look like jerks. Viniar’s comments at yesterday’s hearing follow a series of, let’s say, unflattering public appearances over the past few months involving fraud investigations, “shitty deals” and “God’s work.” But Viniar still had some real whoppers ready for the FCIC: “We don’t have a derivatives business.” Viniar actually said that , and he said it to FCIC Commissioner Brooksley Born, one of the world’s most seasoned experts on derivatives. Her response, somewhat incredulous, was to point out that Goldman has well over $40 trillion worth of derivatives housed at its commercial bank. That’s a lot of money for a business that doesn’t exist. Viniar backed off a bit, saying that, sure Goldman does do derivatives operations, but they don’t separate those businesses from other activities. This fact, according to Viniar, makes it impossible to say anything substantive about Goldman’s derivatives deals at all. Derivatives, of course, have gotten Goldman Sachs into an awful lot of trouble. The SEC’s fraud suit against the company is based on a horrific derivatives deal the company set up, and investigators are looking into other transactions the company established that their own employees described as “shitty.” They entered into several billions of dollars worth of derivatives bets with AIG that would have bankrupted Goldman had AIG gone down. In 2008, Goldman used derivatives to quite literally make a killing by jacking up the price of food around the world, causing mass starvation, along with tidy speculative profits for Goldman. That same year, Goldman was also heavily involved in pushing the price of oil through the roof with, you guessed it, derivatives. So it’s no surprise that Goldman wants to evade answers from the FCIC on the subject. These businesses are enormously profitable for the company and help the company make money by doing things that are morally repulsive (setting their own clients up to fail, starving people, etc.). But while nobody at the hearing took Viniar’s evasive tactics seriously, the claims he made about Goldman certainly make the firm look bad. Viniar claimed that Goldman operates with basically no internal accounting or transaction oversight, under a bookkeeping system more akin to Bernie Madoff than a prestigious Wall Street investment bank. Viniar insisted that it is absolutely technically impossible for Goldman to provide the FCIC with any information regarding Goldman’s derivatives revenues, profits or losses, because the company just doesn’t organize its finances that way. And what’s more, it has no way of tracking or adding up the revenues from individual derivatives contracts. “Are you telling me you have no system at your company that tracks revenues under contracts?” FCIC Chair Phil Angelides demanded. To the astonishment of everyone in the room, Viniar insisted that the answer to this question was yes. If Goldman Sachs is truly not technologically capable of simply adding up the values of its derivatives contracts, every investor in the world should run screaming from the firm. Fundamentally, Viniar is claiming that Goldman Sachs cannot do basic bookkeeping. Other banks have provided the FCIC with exactly this kind of information, and for Goldman to be incapable of doing so would be evidence of mass incompetence across the entire firm. Nobody believed Viniar. But you really have to wonder why Goldman would go to such absurd lengths to conceal such basic information about its derivatives operations from the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, when they know it makes them come across like shadowy villains. Which, of course, they are.

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Spain, Portugal Must Specify Steps for `Ambitious’ Budget Targets, EU Says

June 15, 2010

By Meera Louis June 15 (Bloomberg) — The European Union told Spain and Portugal their governments must spell out the budget-cutting measures they plan to implement to reach their “ambitious” deficit targets for next year. “The targets are appropriately ambitious and imply substantial fiscal consolidation,” the EU said in a report released today in Brussels. “Spain and Portugal are expected to specify measures in their 2011 budgets amounting to 1.75 percent and 1.5 percent of GDP, respectively, in order to attain the new targets.” European governments are struggling to cut their budget gaps and prevent the Greek debt crisis from spreading to other countries such as Spain and Portugal. EU officials last month agreed on an unprecedented 750 billion-euro ($922 billion) rescue package for distressed nations after a separate 110 billion-euro lifeline for Greece failed to contain the turmoil and shore up the euro. Spain is trying to cut the EU’s third-largest deficit in half over two years while at the same time restructuring the savings-bank industry, implementing wage cuts and freezing pensions. The government’s borrowing costs rose at an auction of 12- and 18-month bills in Madrid today amid investor concern the fiscal crisis may be spreading. Austerity Measures Governments across Europe are implementing austerity measures as the debt crisis undermines investor confidence and clouds the economic outlook. German investor sentiment plunged in June on concern the turmoil will undermine exports and crimp growth in the region’s biggest economy. Spain has pledged to cut its deficit to 9.3 percent of gross domestic product this year and 6 percent in 2011. Portugal said it would reduce its budget shortfall to 7.3 percent of GDP in 2010 and 4.6 percent in 2011. The two countries “need to substantiate” their deficit- cutting plans to meet the revised deficit targets for next year, EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told a press conference today in Strasbourg, France. “It is essential to substantiate these new measures.” Spanish Finance Minister Elena Salgado said on June 8 that her government will take “any measures necessary” to meet next year’s deficit target. Portugal’s Finance Ministry said in a statement today that the 2011 budget “will adopt all the necessary measures” to meet its deficit goal. Debt Ratio In today’s report, the EU told both countries that the new deficit targets “will not be enough to reverse the increasing trend in the debt ratio by next year.” Citing the “urgency of reversing debt developments,” the EU said additional budget cuts by the two governments should “be focused on expenditure cuts.” The yield premium investors demand to buy 10-year Spanish bonds over comparable German debt rose to a euro-era high of 215.6 basis points on June 8 on speculation Spain may follow Greece in needing an EU bailout to finance its debt. The spread between 10-year Portuguese securities and bunds widened 19 basis points today to 278 basis points, the most in a week, according to Bloomberg generic data. Under the EU’s Stability and Growth Pact, countries with deficits above the 3 percent limit face fines of as much as 0.5 percent of GDP unless they get the budgets back into compliance. To date, no country has been fined for flouting the rules of the pact. To contact the reporter on this story: Meera Louis in Brussels at mlouis1@bloomberg.net

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Spain, Portugal Must Specify Steps for `Ambitious’ Budget Targets, EU Says

June 15, 2010

By Meera Louis June 15 (Bloomberg) — The European Union told Spain and Portugal their governments must spell out the budget-cutting measures they plan to implement to reach their “ambitious” deficit targets for next year. “The targets are appropriately ambitious and imply substantial fiscal consolidation,” the EU said in a report released today in Brussels. “Spain and Portugal are expected to specify measures in their 2011 budgets amounting to 1.75 percent and 1.5 percent of GDP, respectively, in order to attain the new targets.” European governments are struggling to cut their budget gaps and prevent the Greek debt crisis from spreading to other countries such as Spain and Portugal. EU officials last month agreed on an unprecedented 750 billion-euro ($922 billion) rescue package for distressed nations after a separate 110 billion-euro lifeline for Greece failed to contain the turmoil and shore up the euro. Spain is trying to cut the EU’s third-largest deficit in half over two years while at the same time restructuring the savings-bank industry, implementing wage cuts and freezing pensions. The government’s borrowing costs rose at an auction of 12- and 18-month bills in Madrid today amid investor concern the fiscal crisis may be spreading. Austerity Measures Governments across Europe are implementing austerity measures as the debt crisis undermines investor confidence and clouds the economic outlook. German investor sentiment plunged in June on concern the turmoil will undermine exports and crimp growth in the region’s biggest economy. Spain has pledged to cut its deficit to 9.3 percent of gross domestic product this year and 6 percent in 2011. Portugal said it would reduce its budget shortfall to 7.3 percent of GDP in 2010 and 4.6 percent in 2011. The two countries “need to substantiate” their deficit- cutting plans to meet the revised deficit targets for next year, EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told a press conference today in Strasbourg, France. “It is essential to substantiate these new measures.” Spanish Finance Minister Elena Salgado said on June 8 that her government will take “any measures necessary” to meet next year’s deficit target. Portugal’s Finance Ministry said in a statement today that the 2011 budget “will adopt all the necessary measures” to meet its deficit goal. Debt Ratio In today’s report, the EU told both countries that the new deficit targets “will not be enough to reverse the increasing trend in the debt ratio by next year.” Citing the “urgency of reversing debt developments,” the EU said additional budget cuts by the two governments should “be focused on expenditure cuts.” The yield premium investors demand to buy 10-year Spanish bonds over comparable German debt rose to a euro-era high of 215.6 basis points on June 8 on speculation Spain may follow Greece in needing an EU bailout to finance its debt. The spread between 10-year Portuguese securities and bunds widened 19 basis points today to 278 basis points, the most in a week, according to Bloomberg generic data. Under the EU’s Stability and Growth Pact, countries with deficits above the 3 percent limit face fines of as much as 0.5 percent of GDP unless they get the budgets back into compliance. To date, no country has been fined for flouting the rules of the pact. To contact the reporter on this story: Meera Louis in Brussels at mlouis1@bloomberg.net

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Kyrgyz Violence Funded by Former President’s Supporters, Uzbek Leader Says

June 15, 2010

By Chris Kirkham June 15 (Bloomberg) — An Uzbek community leader in Kyrgyzstan accused the ousted former president’s family of fomenting violence that left more than 100 people dead and forced as many as 80,000 from their homes. “This was a planned action against Uzbeks,” said Dzhalaldin Salakhitdinov, president of the Uzbek cultural center in Osh, by telephone. “We supported the interim government but the old officials who used to enjoy life and who lost power didn’t want any stability. They wanted the interim government to lose its authority so they created provocation against Uzbeks.” The death toll from four days of rioting in the Jalalabad and Osh regions is at least 170, news agencies said, with more than 1,700 injured. The violence erupted on June 10 when supporters of former President Kurmanbek Bakiyev clashed with groups loyal to the interim government. The Uzbeks welcomed Bakiyev’s overthrow in April, blaming him for impeding the minority’s business growth and ignoring its political leaders, while many Kyrgyz in the south supported Bakiyev, who comes from the region. ‘Carefully Planned’ The clashes were aimed at disrupting a June 27 referendum on a new constitution and were funded by people close to Bakiyev, according to the government’s first deputy head, Almazbek Atambayev , Interfax reported. “It was a carefully planned operation conducted by the enemies of the interim government,” Atambayev said today. “Its goal was to overthrow the new authorities of Kyrgyzstan and to thwart the referendum. The information available to our special services confirms that all of these measures were funded by the Bakiyev family, particularly Bakiyev’s youngest son Maxim.” The United Nations and the European Union urged Kyrgyzstan not to allow the unrest to derail the referendum and October parliamentary elections. UN representative Miroslav Jenca said in the capital Bishkek today that the referendum and elections must go ahead. “The referendum and the elections must be held at the announced times,” Jenca said. Germany’s ambassador to Kyrgyzstan, Holger Green, said the EU shared that position. Influence Struggle The U.S. and Russia have been jostling for influence in Kyrgyzstan, where both countries have air bases. Russia agreed in April to give the provisional government $50 million. Edil Baisalov, the government’s chief of staff, said at the time that the U.S. planned to give emergency aid. The U.S. relies on the Manas air base outside the capital Bishkek to support operations in Afghanistan after Uzbekistan evicted the American military in 2005. The International Monetary Fund on May 25 warned Kyrgyzstan’s projected 4.6 percent economic expansion this year may be damped by political upheaval. The fund predicted 8 percent growth for Uzbekistan, the world’s third-biggest shipper of cotton, at the time. Landlocked Kyrgyzstan depends on remittances from migrant workers in Russia for about 40 percent of national income, and also relies on rent paid by the U.S. and Russia for their bases. Kyrgyzstan’s average monthly wage was $132 in January, according to the country’s National Statistical Committee. About a third of the population lives below the poverty level, making the country eligible for aid from the International Development Association, the World Bank’s support arm for the poorest economies. ‘Calming’ Salakhitdinov in Osh said the violence had abated this morning. “There are no clashes at the moment,” he said. “The situation is calming down a bit. But the government still cannot control it. There is no Kyrgyz house in Osh which was burnt. All Uzbek property, enterprises, restaurants, businesses were looted and burnt. More than 200 Uzbeks were killed.” Maxim Bakiyev was detained in Britain yesterday by the U.K. Border Agency after he landed at Farnborough airport in Hampshire on a rented private plane, Kyrgyzstan’s national security chief Keneshbek Duishebayev told Channel One broadcaster, according to Interfax. His father, who has taken refuge in Belarus, has denied accusations that he is involved in the unrest. More than 60,000 people have crossed into Uzbekistan, according to Cholponbek Turusbekov, deputy chief of the Kyrgyz border guards service. ‘Houses, Cattle’ “People were fleeing and they were leaving behind their houses, cattle, vegetable gardens,” he said by telephone today. “There are already some facts of people coming back to check on their property. In the last 24 hours, we see a change in the situation, it’s becoming better and there are some signs of stabilization and recovery. The border is closed, but if people try to cross it, the guards do not shoot them.” Salakhitdinov said a further 30,000-40,000 people are still waiting to flee. “We don’t have enough food and water in Osh,” he said. There are some areas where we cannot deliver any aid because of violence. We are getting very little humanitarian aid from abroad and Russia so far.” The UN High Commission for Refugees is preparing to deploy an emergency team and aid to help Uzbekistan cope with the influx, the commission said in a statement yesterday. The commission yesterday praised the Uzbek authorities for cooperating with the UN. António Guterres , UN High Commissioner for Refugees said it agreed to support Uzbek efforts to “assist tens of thousands, mostly women and children.” Officials of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, which comprises central Asian former Soviet republics, met Russian President Dmitry Medvedev yesterday, according to the president’s website. The group said it would support Kyrgyzstan’s government with equipment, including helicopters, to help transport troops to the strife-affected region. The president didn’t exclude sending Russian soldiers in future. More than 80 human rights groups have demanded Russia send peace-keeping troops to end the bloodshed, Interfax said. To contact the reporter on this story: Anastasia Ustinova in St. Petersburg at austinova@bloomberg.net .

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European Finance Ministers Seal Rescue-Fund Package to Rein in Debt Crisis

June 7, 2010

By Jonathan Stearns and Meera Louis June 7 (Bloomberg) — European finance ministers put the finishing touches on a rescue fund being backed by 440 billion euros ($526 billion) in national guarantees, seeking to halt the spread of Greece’s debt crisis. The European Financial Stability Facility would sell bonds backed by the guarantees and use the money it raises to make loans to euro-area nations in need, the finance ministers decided today in Luxembourg. The new mechanism would sell debt for lending only after an aid request is made by a country. The ministers aim for ratings companies to assign a AAA rating to the facility, whose bonds would be eligible for European Central Bank refinancing operations. The entity will be based in Luxembourg. “We’ve sent a clear signal of stability,” Austrian Finance Minister Josef Proell told reporters at the Luxembourg meeting. “We’ve opened the rescue umbrella and I’m convinced it’s working.” The fund, being created for three years, is the main part of a 750 billion-euro aid package that European Union finance ministers hammered out a month ago to combat a sovereign debt crisis. Another 60 billion euros will come from the European Commission — the EU’s executive arm — and 250 billion euros from the International Monetary Fund. Prodded by the U.S. and Asia to stabilize markets, European governments approved the unprecedented financial backstop on May 9-10 in a bid to end speculation that the euro area might break apart because of a debt crisis that started in Greece. A 110 billion-euro loan package for Greece unveiled on May 2 after the country was cut off from markets failed to stem a surge in Portuguese and Spanish borrowing costs. Euro-Area Fund Governments abandoned the aid model for Greece, based on national loans, when crafting the euro-area fund, which is simpler because it avoids the need for domestic action on disbursement. Delays by Germany in approving its share of the rescue for Greece led to speculation that the Greek package might falter. All euro-area countries plan to be shareholders of the European Financial Stability Facility, or EFSF. The holding of each country will correspond to its share of the ECB’s capital. “National legal procedures to participate in the facility are well on track,” the euro area said in a statement on the fund’s operations. To ensure the highest credit rating for debt sold by the facility, the finance ministers approved a 120 percent guarantee of each country’s pro rata share for each bond issue, according to the statement. Cash Reserve In addition, the ministers authorized the creation, when any loans are made, of a “cash reserve to provide an additional cushion or cash buffer for the operation of the EFSF,” according to the statement. EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said last week he hopes the “sheer size” of the euro-area rescue fund, along with the extra 60 billion euros in possible support from the commission, “will help to stabilize markets” and make aid unnecessary. “No euro has been yet consumed and I hope that no euro will have to be consumed,” Rehn told a June 2 conference in Brussels. Any loans from the rescue fund would impose the kinds of budget-austerity conditions on recipients that Greece faces as part of a program for receiving quarterly aid disbursements under the May 2 accord, Rehn said. “In case any country would have to resort to this European financial stabilization mechanism, it would work in the same principles as we are now working with Greece,” Rehn said. To contact the reporters on this story: Jonathan Stearns in Luxembourg at jstearns2@bloomberg.net ; Meera Louis in Luxembourg at mlouis1@bloomberg.net .

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Hungary Rejects Greek Comparison in Reversal After Financial Markets Scare

June 6, 2010

By Zoltan Simon June 7 (Bloomberg) — Hungary’s government reversed course over the weekend, saying there was no danger of default after it spent two days telling the world the nation was at risk of a Greece-like crisis. Analysts from the European Union to Moody’s Investors Service say the current message is correct. That may not be enough to ease investor concern until Prime Minister Viktor Orban takes concrete steps to achieve the budget deficit target set by the EU and International Monetary Fund. “It’s a pretty big change from one day to the next,” Gyorgy Barcza , an economist at KBC Groep NV in Budapest, said in a June 5 interview. “It’s positive, but local assets may not recover quickly because the new government now has a credibility deficit and that takes time to overcome.” Hungary’s domestic politics roiled global markets last week as officials in Orban’s week-old government compared the country to Greece while claiming the previous administration lied about public finances. The comments were flashed around the world by the news media, feeding concerns Europe’s sovereign debt crisis was spreading, triggering a 4.8 percent two-day drop in the forint and pushing the euro to its lowest level in four years. Mihaly Varga , Orban’s chief of staff and a former finance minister, sought to ease those concerns during a June 5 news conference. Hungary’s deficit target of 3.8 percent of gross domestic product, approved by the EU and IMF, is “attainable” with changes in spending and revenue plans, said Varga, who a week earlier estimated the shortfall may exceed 7 percent. Orban began three days of emergency cabinet meetings to develop plans for meeting budget target after Varga’s statement. Greek Comparison ‘Unfortunate’ “Any comparison with countries that have much higher credit default swap ratings than Hungary is unfortunate,” Varga told reporters in Budapest. “The comments that have been made about this issue are exaggerated, and if they come from colleagues that’s unfortunate.” Credit default swaps, a measure of the cost to insure against default, on Hungarian debt jumped 58 percent in two days to 410.3 basis points on June 4. The rise on the second day was the most since October 2008, when Hungary received a 20 billion- euro IMF-led bailout to ensure it could pay creditors. On June 2, credit default swaps on five-year Hungarian dollar debt cost 259.3 basis points, compared with 738.4 for Greece, according to CMA DataVision prices. That reflected investor confidence in former Prime Minister Gordon Bajnai’s austerity programs, which reduced the budget deficit to 4 percent of GDP last year from 9.3 percent in 2006. ‘Serious Progress’ Hungary’s deficit will widen to 4.1 percent of GDP this year, compared with an average of 7.2 percent in the EU and 9.3 percent in Greece, according to European Commission estimates. Government debt will increase to 79 percent of economic output, compared with an EU average of 80 percent and 125 percent in Greece, the forecasts show. IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said he was “surprised” by the Orban government’s comments last week. EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said Hungary has made “serious progress” and suggestions of a possible default were “misleading.” Both spoke June 5 after a gathering of finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of 20 nations in Busan, South Korea. “Hungary isn’t the next Greece,” said Kristin Lindow , a senior vice president at Moody’s Investors Service, in a June 4 phone interview from London. “Hungary has a good track record of doing what it needs to do when in trouble.” Budget ‘Miscalculated’ While Varga concurred, he said a fact-finding committee appointed by Orban found that the previous government’s budget figures were “miscalculated by orders of magnitude.” He didn’t detail the scope of spending and revenue changes needed to maintain the budget target. “Hungary’s situation is consolidated, and the planned budget deficit is attainable, but we need to enact measures for the latter,” said Varga, who headed the panel. Orban, who spent eight years in opposition, swept to power in April elections after promising tax cuts and faster economic growth following the worst recession in 18 years. The economy contracted 6.3 percent last year. Fidesz’s landslide victory gave Orban a two-thirds majority in parliament. Peter Szijjarto , Orban’s spokesman, said June 4 that the party was committed to tax cuts and would reduce the deficit by spurring economic growth and job creation. He also said concern about a default “was not exaggerated.” Election Pledges The comments may have been calculated to draw a reaction from the EU and international investors to make it easier for Orban to backtrack on some of his election pledges, said Jay Bryson , a global economist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC in Charlotte, North Carolina. “If you’re trying to cut your deficit, tax cuts in the near term are probably not the way to go,” Bryson said. “Maybe the populace is not really willing to undertake the steps that need to be done.” Orban sought permission from the IMF and the EU to raise the deficit target. European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso rebuffed him on June 3. Hungary remains in a “delicate situation” two years after its bailout and can’t afford to end fiscal consolidation, Barroso said at a joint press conference in Brussels. Markets will “immediately punish” a country that seeks to widen its deficit at a time when EU members from Greece to Germany are cutting spending. “The critical issue here is that anything happening in Hungary, or any country as small as it, can trigger a drastic reaction from the financial markets,” said Domenico Lombardi , president of The Oxford Institute for Economic Policy. “Markets are looking at any sign of weakness as confirmation of their lack of confidence in the institutional strength of Europe.” To contact the reporter on this story: Zoltan Simon in Budapest at zsimon@bloomberg.net .

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EU-Backed Rating Company Faces an `Uphill Struggle’ to Convince Investors

June 3, 2010

By Gabi Thesing and Matthew Brown June 4 (Bloomberg) — A European Union-sponsored credit rating company may struggle to convince investors that it’s independent enough to assess government finances and signal any future sovereign debt crisis, said money managers and analysts. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said June 2 the “oligopoly” of Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings should be broken. Officials including European Central Bank Governing Council member Christian Noyer say the ratings companies aggravated the crisis, make risk assessments that aren’t timely and are too influenced by markets. A government-established credit assessor may find it hard to persuade bond-buyers it isn’t shielding euro-region nations such as Spain and Portugal from scrutiny as countries struggle to cut their budget deficits, said investors including Toby Nangle at Baring Investment Services Ltd. Governments have already extended a 750 billion-euro ($913 billion) lifeline for Europe’s most indebted nations. “A government-owned ratings agency that was rating sovereigns would have an uphill struggle in building credibility in the market,” said Nangle, who helps oversee $46 billion in assets in London. Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker , who heads the group of euro-area finance ministers, on June 1 called for the creation of a European ratings company overseen by the ECB. European Commission President Jose Barroso is considering a similar proposal. EU officials haven’t said how the company would be funded or where it would be based. Greece’s Fate The calls for an alternative to the existing trio of ratings companies comes as Spain and Portugal try to avoid the fate of Greece, which was downgraded to junk by S&P on April 27, four days after the country asked for an EU-led bailout. Spanish stocks and bonds fell on May 31 after Fitch cut its rating on the country’s debt. Euro-region policy makers want to protect members with the largest budget deficits after contagion from the Greek debt crisis threatened to undermine the euro. There was “absolutely no change” in information available for months before downgrades of countries including Spain and Portugal, showing the decisions could have been made earlier, Noyer said June 1 in Seoul. Untimely ratings actions are an “enormous problem,” he said. The next day, Noyer told Germany’s Handelsblatt newspaper that credit insurers such as Paris-based Euler-Hermes and Puteaux could become European rating companies. “We welcome any and all competition,” Martin Winn , a spokesman for S&P in London, said in a telephone interview. “Ultimately it will be up to investors and the market to determine which ratings are credible and useful.” Moody’s View Moody’s supports competition between ratings companies based on the quality of their research, and the market benefits from a diversity of opinions, spokesman Daniel Piels said in an e-mailed statement. A Fitch spokesman declined to comment. “The problem is not setting up a European rating agency,” said Laurent Bilke , a former ECB economist who now works for Nomura International Plc in London. “The problem is that it would not be followed by the investment community, particularly if they issued rating for sovereigns. For that you need strict independence from both fiscal and monetary authorities.” Some euro-area central banks including Germany’s Bundesbank issue ratings on company bonds to use as collateral for the ECB. President Jean-Claude Trichet said May 6 that the ECB has “no position” on a European rating company, though “the more you have competition, perhaps the better.” ECB Rules While policy makers have criticized markets’ dependence on ratings, ECB rules magnified their importance during the crisis. Under the terms of its money market operations, only bonds above a certain threshold are accepted as collateral. A series of Greek downgrades by two of the three main rating companies then threatened to make the country’s bonds ineligible at the ECB, which would have shaken the foundations of Greece’s entire financial system. Goldman Sachs Chief European Economist Erik Nielsen last year described the influence indirectly given to rating agencies by ECB rules as “bizarre and ultimately untenable.” Ratings companies already face greater EU scrutiny. The European Commission on June 2 called for a single supervisor with powers to investigate, issue fines and revoke licenses. That’s “only the first step,” Financial Services Commissioner Michel Barnier said. “We are looking at this market in more detail.” “It is easy to think the European rating agency was going to be set up to ensure more favorable ratings, which would lead to a lack of credibility for the euro zone,” Commerzbank AG analysts Ulrich Leuchtmann and Lutz Karpowitz said in a June 2 note to investors. Crisis Response Officials are under pressure to toughen their response to the crisis as it threatens to derail the recovery from the worst recession since World War II. The euro has dropped 20 percent against the dollar since November. On June 2, banks deposited a record 320 billion euros overnight with the ECB, more than in the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. bankruptcy. With Portugal’s deficit at 7.3 percent of gross domestic product even after austerity measures, investors remain unconvinced that an EU-backed rating agency will solve the region’s public-finance quandary. “It’s too easy to blame” ratings companies, said Christoph Kind , head of asset allocation at Frankfurt Trust in Frankfurt, which manages $17 billion. “There is a saying: ‘you can’t blame the mirror for your ugly face.’ The ratings agencies are a kind of mirror of what’s happening. They just collect the facts.” To contact the reporters on this story: Gabi Thesing in London at gthesing@bloombeg.net ; Matthew Brown in London at mbrown42@bloomberg.net

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Credit-Rating Agencies May Face Single EU Regulator in Wake of Debt Crisis

June 2, 2010

By Erik Larson June 2 (Bloomberg) — The European Union today called for a single supervisor of credit-rating companies as politicians in the 27-nation bloc demanded a new regional agency to increase competition in the wake of the sovereign debt crisis. The European Commission proposed giving the power to investigate, issue fines and revoke licenses to a new EU authority. The Brussels-based commission also proposed reining in risk-taking behavior at financial companies to prevent a repeat of the credit crunch. “The changes to rules on credit rating agencies will mean better supervision and increased transparency in this crucial sector,” EU Financial Services Commissioner Michel Barnier said today in a statement. “But they are only a first step. We are looking at this market in more detail.” Scrutiny of the industry intensified after Standard & Poor’s cut Greece’s rating to junk status on April 27, adding urgency to European plans to bail out the debt-plagued nation. Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker , who heads the group of euro-area finance ministers, yesterday called for the creation of a European ratings company overseen by the European Central Bank. Commission President Jose Barroso and Barnier said the agency is examining a similar proposal. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble today said he welcomed a French proposal to create European competitors to U.S.-based credit-rating companies, saying in Berlin that their “oligopoly” in the market should be broken. ‘Market Confidence’ “The new EU regulations will play an important part, alongside the measures S&P has taken independently, in building market confidence and integrity and transparency of ratings,” Martin Winn , a spokesman for Standard & Poor’s in London, said in a statement. Jessica Sibado, a spokeswoman for Moody’s Investors Service, didn’t immediately return a call or e-mail seeking comment. Julian Dennison , a spokesman at Fitch Ratings, didn’t immediately return a call for comment. The commission today said it’s also inviting outside comments until Sept. 1 on possible measures and may propose formal laws “to tackle the failures of corporate governance in financial institutions” early next year. Regulators have blamed poor procedures for risk-taking behavior that contributed to the global credit crunch and bank bailouts costing billions of euros. Risk-Taking Compensation structures also led to excessive risk-taking and short-term thinking, the agency said. Rules on pay for directors at companies listed on stock exchanges are under consideration in today’s governance paper, it said. Boards of directors failed to exercise effective control over senior managers or to properly challenge guidelines submitted to them for approval, the commission said. The regulator has already proposed restrictions on pay at banks and hedge funds. Similar restrictions on staff at mutual funds and insurance companies are under preparation, the commission said. “The changes should improve the situation” with credit ratings, Karel Lannoo , chief executive officer of the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels said in an interview today. “The credit-rating agencies are already aware of these kinds of concerns, so they know something is coming.” To contact the reporter on this story: Erik Larson in London at elarson4@bloomberg.net .

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European Economy Needs MAJOR Reforms, Warns EU Leader

May 25, 2010

BRUSSELS — Europe’s economy will stagnate unless governments make major reforms to boost growth – just as they rein in spending to curb soaring debt levels, the European Union’s economy chief warned Tuesday. Low growth prospects and rocketing debt in many of the EU’s 27 nations have alarmed financial markets in recent months, causing stocks to slide and the euro to fall sharply in value to a four-year low against the U.S. dollar. EU Economy Commissioner Olli Rehn called for government action to speed up economic output, saying his forecasts show that growth will not top 1.5 percent and the jobless rate will stay close to current highs without reforms over the next five years. “The big risk is that once the recovery gets more robust, we sit idly in self-complacency and forget the structural reforms. That would lead us to a sluggish recovery – or even a lost decade,” he said in a speech at the Brussels Economic Forum organized by the EU’s executive commission. He said EU forecasts showed that “ambitious structural reforms” could help the economy grow by over 2 percent over the next ten years, creating more than 10 million jobs and taking unemployment down to 3 percent by 2020. The reforms needed vary for each European country, he said, repeating a call for them to open up national markets and drop barriers that prevent foreign companies or individuals from doing business across the bloc. Countries such as Italy and Greece have repeatedly ignored EU calls to liberalize markets. Even more business-friendly places like Germany have resisted EU moves to allow foreign services companies – anything from Polish plumbers to French telecoms companies – to crack their home markets and pile on the competition for native companies. Rehn also called for workers’ representatives to get behind labor market reforms – such as making it easier to hire and fire staff – that they fear would damage their rights. He said states need “the political skill and stamina to build a societal consensus on the necessary reforms.” Trade unions in Spain and Greece have protested loudly against government moves to hike retirement ages, which reduces state pensions spending. French President Nicolas Sarkozy is also likely to face fierce union opposition to his plans to reform pensions. Italy is expected to become the latest European government to announce big budget cuts later Tuesday, shaving an estimated euro24 billion from state spending in an effort to reduce its debt – currently the largest in the EU. Other eurozone countries – Spain, Portugal and Ireland – are sharply curbing budget spending to try and get mounting debt under control amid loss of market confidence in the euro currency and the ability of eurozone states to pay their bills. Britain, which does not use the euro, also announced some 6 billion pounds ($8.7 billion) in budget cuts on Monday. Denmark is likewise making cuts.

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EBay’s Whitman Hurt in California Governor’s Race by Goldman, Immigration

May 24, 2010

By Michael B. Marois and William Selway May 25 (Bloomberg) — Meg Whitman , the former EBay Inc. executive who’s seeking the Republican nomination to succeed Arnold Schwarzenegger as California’s governor, has seen her lead in polls evaporate over her ties to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and her stand on illegal immigration. Whitman, 53, has spent $68 million of her own money in the race only to have her support among likely Republican voters plunge 23 points since March in her race with state Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner , according to a poll by the Public Policy Institute of California released May 19. Poizner, who was paid $1 billion by Qualcomm Inc. for his cell-phone technology company in 2000, has plowed $24 million of his own into the Republican race. “He’s been hitting her pretty hard on two issues in particular, Goldman Sachs and illegal immigration,” said Dan Schnur , a former Republican strategist who heads the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics at the University of Southern California in Los Angeles. “In different ways, both have hurt her greatly with the party’s base. You’d still have to consider her the favorite for the nomination, but it’s no longer a foregone conclusion.” The race narrowed as Poizner stepped up attacks, accusing Whitman of profiting from pornography, supporting Barack Obama ’s immigration amnesty and failing to vote in past elections. Democrats Join At the same time, Democrats poured money into the race, highlighting Whitman’s position as a former director of Goldman Sachs, the world’s most profitable investment bank, and capitalizing on public anger over Wall Street’s role in a recession that sent the state unemployment rate to 12.6 percent. “You’ve basically got the campaign of Steve Poizner and the Democratic Central Committee doing everything they can to prevent Meg Whitman from becoming the nominee,” said Allan Hoffenblum , a former Republican consultant who publishes books on California political races. Democrats “don’t want Meg Whitman to be the nominee,” Hoffenblum said. “They think they can beat Steve Poizner.” From March through May, Whitman’s lead over Poizner slid from 50 percentage points to 9, according to polls of 2,003 adult residents by the nonprofit, nonpartisan Public Policy Institute, based in San Francisco. Whitman, EBay’s former chief executive officer, held a 38 percent to 29 percent advantage over Poizner in a survey taken from May 9 to May 16. That’s down from 61 percent to 11 percent in March. One-third of likely voters remain undecided, the institute found. Whitman’s early lead was a sign of her ability to use her cash to develop name recognition with voters, said Barbara O’Connor, the director of the Institute for the Study of Politics and Media at California State University, Sacramento. Now, she said, Poizner’s “back from the dead.” Advertising Blitz With just two weeks before the election, Poizner and Whitman have intensified advertising aimed at bolstering their conservative credentials. Poizner, 53, who’s made illegal immigration a central issue, seized on Whitman’s statement that she opposes a new law in Arizona that requires local police to determine the immigration status of anyone suspected of being in the country without proper documentation. Poizner also accused Whitman of making money from pornography because she ran EBay at a time when the online auction site developed a porn and sex-paraphernalia business. “That’s Meg Whitman: From Goldman Sachs deals to porn, it’s all about the money,” says a voice in one of Poizner’s television ads . “Meg Whitman — bad judgment, wrong values.” Insurance Commissioner Whitman, a first-time candidate, says Poizner failed to roll back the size of government during his time as state insurance commissioner. She also said he flip-flopped on support of California’s landmark global-warming law that business groups say will push companies and jobs out of the state. Poizner voiced support for the law in 2006, though he now says he supports a ballot measure to suspend it. “We’ve aggressively defined him as a liberal and using his own record against him,” Rob Stutzman , a Whitman adviser. “We’ve been very focused in defining Meg as the fiscal conservative.” Whitman wasn’t available for an interview yesterday, said her press secretary, Sarah Pompei. The Poizner campaign is seeking to capture anti- establishment sentiment to topple Whitman, whose supporters include former Governor Pete Wilson and ex-Vice President Dick Cheney , said Jarrod Agen , a spokesman. ‘Striking Distance’ “We’re in striking distance now,” Agen said. “The last two weeks will really decide this thing.” Agen said Poizer wasn’t available for an interview yesterday. The contest contrasts with the Democratic primary, in which Attorney General Jerry Brown , 72, is running for the governor’s nomination without serious opposition. That’s left Brown, who was governor from 1975 to 1983, unscathed as he heads toward the general election in a state where Democrats overshadow Republicans, 45 percent to 31 percent. As of mid-March, Brown had $14 million on hand for the general election, records show. California’s election battle follows the worst fiscal crisis since the Great Depression, which led Schwarzenegger and lawmakers to raise taxes and slash spending on schools and health care. Schwarzenegger, a Republican, can’t run again because of term limits. Legislators are now struggling to erase a $19 billion budget deficit through June 2011, a gap that threatens to drain California of its cash and has left it with the lowest credit rating among U.S. states. Concern Among Republicans There’s concern in Republican circles — and delight among Democrats — that the primary election may alienate Latino voters and leave either victor tarnished, said Hoffenblum, the former Republican consultant. That could pave the way for Brown’s victory, he said. “For a Republican to win statewide in California it’s always an upset — this is a Democratic seat,” he said. “For a Republican to win, they have to have a superior candidate, a superior campaign, and it has to be adequately financed. You don’t get elected statewide in California by bashing immigrants, illegal or otherwise.” To contact the reporters on this story: Michael Marois in Sacramento, California, at mmarois@bloomberg.net ; William Selway in San Francisco at wselway@bloomberg.net

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EBay’s Whitman Hurt in California Governor’s Race by Goldman, Immigration

May 24, 2010

By Michael B. Marois and William Selway May 25 (Bloomberg) — Meg Whitman , the former EBay Inc. executive who’s seeking the Republican nomination to succeed Arnold Schwarzenegger as California’s governor, has seen her lead in polls evaporate over her ties to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and her stand on illegal immigration. Whitman, 53, has spent $68 million of her own money in the race only to have her support among likely Republican voters plunge 23 points since March in her race with state Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner , according to a poll by the Public Policy Institute of California released May 19. Poizner, who was paid $1 billion by Qualcomm Inc. for his cell-phone technology company in 2000, has plowed $24 million of his own into the Republican race. “He’s been hitting her pretty hard on two issues in particular, Goldman Sachs and illegal immigration,” said Dan Schnur , a former Republican strategist who heads the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics at the University of Southern California in Los Angeles. “In different ways, both have hurt her greatly with the party’s base. You’d still have to consider her the favorite for the nomination, but it’s no longer a foregone conclusion.” The race narrowed as Poizner stepped up attacks, accusing Whitman of profiting from pornography, supporting Barack Obama ’s immigration amnesty and failing to vote in past elections. Democrats Join At the same time, Democrats poured money into the race, highlighting Whitman’s position as a former director of Goldman Sachs, the world’s most profitable investment bank, and capitalizing on public anger over Wall Street’s role in a recession that sent the state unemployment rate to 12.6 percent. “You’ve basically got the campaign of Steve Poizner and the Democratic Central Committee doing everything they can to prevent Meg Whitman from becoming the nominee,” said Allan Hoffenblum , a former Republican consultant who publishes books on California political races. Democrats “don’t want Meg Whitman to be the nominee,” Hoffenblum said. “They think they can beat Steve Poizner.” From March through May, Whitman’s lead over Poizner slid from 50 percentage points to 9, according to polls of 2,003 adult residents by the nonprofit, nonpartisan Public Policy Institute, based in San Francisco. Whitman, EBay’s former chief executive officer, held a 38 percent to 29 percent advantage over Poizner in a survey taken from May 9 to May 16. That’s down from 61 percent to 11 percent in March. One-third of likely voters remain undecided, the institute found. Whitman’s early lead was a sign of her ability to use her cash to develop name recognition with voters, said Barbara O’Connor, the director of the Institute for the Study of Politics and Media at California State University, Sacramento. Now, she said, Poizner’s “back from the dead.” Advertising Blitz With just two weeks before the election, Poizner and Whitman have intensified advertising aimed at bolstering their conservative credentials. Poizner, 53, who’s made illegal immigration a central issue, seized on Whitman’s statement that she opposes a new law in Arizona that requires local police to determine the immigration status of anyone suspected of being in the country without proper documentation. Poizner also accused Whitman of making money from pornography because she ran EBay at a time when the online auction site developed a porn and sex-paraphernalia business. “That’s Meg Whitman: From Goldman Sachs deals to porn, it’s all about the money,” says a voice in one of Poizner’s television ads . “Meg Whitman — bad judgment, wrong values.” Insurance Commissioner Whitman, a first-time candidate, says Poizner failed to roll back the size of government during his time as state insurance commissioner. She also said he flip-flopped on support of California’s landmark global-warming law that business groups say will push companies and jobs out of the state. Poizner voiced support for the law in 2006, though he now says he supports a ballot measure to suspend it. “We’ve aggressively defined him as a liberal and using his own record against him,” Rob Stutzman , a Whitman adviser. “We’ve been very focused in defining Meg as the fiscal conservative.” Whitman wasn’t available for an interview yesterday, said her press secretary, Sarah Pompei. The Poizner campaign is seeking to capture anti- establishment sentiment to topple Whitman, whose supporters include former Governor Pete Wilson and ex-Vice President Dick Cheney , said Jarrod Agen , a spokesman. ‘Striking Distance’ “We’re in striking distance now,” Agen said. “The last two weeks will really decide this thing.” Agen said Poizer wasn’t available for an interview yesterday. The contest contrasts with the Democratic primary, in which Attorney General Jerry Brown , 72, is running for the governor’s nomination without serious opposition. That’s left Brown, who was governor from 1975 to 1983, unscathed as he heads toward the general election in a state where Democrats overshadow Republicans, 45 percent to 31 percent. As of mid-March, Brown had $14 million on hand for the general election, records show. California’s election battle follows the worst fiscal crisis since the Great Depression, which led Schwarzenegger and lawmakers to raise taxes and slash spending on schools and health care. Schwarzenegger, a Republican, can’t run again because of term limits. Legislators are now struggling to erase a $19 billion budget deficit through June 2011, a gap that threatens to drain California of its cash and has left it with the lowest credit rating among U.S. states. Concern Among Republicans There’s concern in Republican circles — and delight among Democrats — that the primary election may alienate Latino voters and leave either victor tarnished, said Hoffenblum, the former Republican consultant. That could pave the way for Brown’s victory, he said. “For a Republican to win statewide in California it’s always an upset — this is a Democratic seat,” he said. “For a Republican to win, they have to have a superior candidate, a superior campaign, and it has to be adequately financed. You don’t get elected statewide in California by bashing immigrants, illegal or otherwise.” To contact the reporters on this story: Michael Marois in Sacramento, California, at mmarois@bloomberg.net ; William Selway in San Francisco at wselway@bloomberg.net

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European Manufacturing, Services Growth Slowed More Than Forecast in May

May 21, 2010

By Simone Meier May 21 (Bloomberg) — Growth in Europe’s services and manufacturing industries slowed more than economists forecast in May, suggesting the euro-region economy may struggle to gather strength as a fiscal crisis hurts confidence. A composite index based on a survey of euro-area purchasing managers in both industries fell to 56.2 from 57.3 in April, London-based Markit Economics said in an initial estimate today. Economists forecast a drop to 57.2, the median of 15 estimates in a Bloomberg survey showed. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. European companies may be forced to rely on a weaker euro to bolster exports after Greece’s fiscal crisis hurt consumer confidence and forced policy makers to pledge a rescue package worth almost $1 trillion. German business confidence unexpectedly fell this month, the Ifo institute said today. Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Chief Executive Officer Norbert Reithofer said on May 18 that the “crisis is not over yet.” “This will likely add to fears that the recent negative tone in the financial markets is starting to feed back on the economic recovery,” said Eoin O’Callaghan , an economist at BNP Paribas in London. “As the most cyclical industry which has recovered at the fastest pace, it is perhaps inevitable that it is manufacturing that is experiencing the most pronounced interruption to its rise this month.” Manufacturing A gauge of euro-area manufacturing declined to 55.9 from 57.6 in the previous month, Markit said in today’s report. That’s the first decline since February 2009. An index of services , which account for about 60 percent of the region’s gross domestic product, rose to 56 in May from 55.6. The euro was little changed against the dollar after the data, trading at $1.2580 at 3:09 p.m. in London, up 0.7 percent on the day. Greece received the first installment of a European Union aid package on May 18 after cutting its budget deficit by 42 percent in the year’s first four months. The package foresees the budget gap falling to 8.1 percent of GDP this year from 13.6 percent in 2009. Spain and Portugal this month announced additional spending cuts to push down their deficits. “I certainly foresee a double-dip recession” for Spain, Greece and Portugal while “Germany and France are kind of on the knife edge,” Jay Bryson , a senior global economist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television from London. “We might eventually get through this crisis, but we’re looking at a lot of pain.” Greek Crisis In Germany, Europe’s largest economy, the Munich-based Ifo institute said its business climate index, based on a survey of 7,000 executives, fell to 101.5 this month from 101.6 in April. Economists had forecast an increase to 101.9, the median of 37 forecasts in a Bloomberg survey showed. The euro has lost 13 percent against the dollar this year amid concern the Greek crisis will spread to other nations as governments struggle to push down deficits. That’s making exports more competitive abroad just as the global economy gathers strength, led by Asian economies including China. ThyssenKrupp AG , Germany’s largest steelmaker, said on May 12 that it expects sales to “stabilize” in the current fiscal year after returning to profit in the second quarter. Beiersdorf AG , the German maker of adhesives and Nivea skin creams, earlier this month raised its profit-margin forecast for this year after first-quarter net income rose 21 percent. So far, a recovery remains too fragile for companies to start adding workers. The European Commission said on May 5 that it expects euro-region unemployment to average 10.3 percent this year, up from 9.4 percent in 2009. GDP may rise 0.9 percent after declining 4.1 percent last year, it said. The euro-region recovery is “still rather modest and fragile,” EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said on May 19. The goal is “sustainable growth and job creation in Europe by ensuring that the threats to financial stability will not kill the economic recovery.” To contact the reporters on this story: Simone Meier in Dublin at smeier@bloombert.net .

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Ambac Regulator Wins Dunkin Brands, Sonic Support on Plan to Pay CDO Banks

May 21, 2010

By Jody Shenn May 21 (Bloomberg) — Ambac Financial Group Inc. ’s regulator won support from Dunkin Brands Inc., Sonic Corp. and Hertz Corp. as he seeks to overcome objections from some of the insurer’s clients to his plan to rehabilitate the second-largest bond guarantor. Executives of donut retailer Dunkin Brands, drive-in restaurateur Sonic and car-rental firm Hertz, all of which issued Ambac-insured bonds, filed affidavits in support of Wisconsin Insurance Commissioner Sean Dilweg ’s motion in state court yesterday opposing the legal bids by two groups of bondholders. Opponents of his plan said it would favor banks who bought default protection on one type of mortgage security. “Aside from being factually wrong” in their allegations about the plan, Dilweg’s challengers should be turned aside because the commissioner “has broad discretion to decide how to best to protect policyholders and the public from the grave risks posed by Ambac’s deteriorating condition,” the department’s lawyers at Foley & Lardner LLP said in the filing . Two months ago Dilweg forced New York-based Ambac’s insurance unit to split in two after its capital was depleted by projected losses on collateralized debt obligations tied to subprime mortgages , halting payments on $35 billion of other mortgage bond policies and additional contracts. At the same time, Ambac reached a tentative agreement to pay $2.6 billion in cash and $2 billion of surplus notes to banks holding $16.5 billion of insurance on CDOs that was left in its main account. Surplus notes can be paid if the company has enough capital at some later point in time. ‘Substantial Collateral Damage’ “A rehabilitation of Ambac in its entirety could have substantial collateral damage in several facets of Ambac’s business,” Roger A. Peterson, a director in Wisconsin’s office of the commissioner of insurance, said in the filing. That could include requirements for borrowers such as Dunkin Brands to make accelerated payments on certain debt if Ambac were seized completely, he said. Dunkin Brands Chief Financial Officer Kate Lavelle said in an affidavit that a failure of Ambac would result in a “very substantial restriction of operational cash available to” the donut company because of agreements related to a $1.5 billion “whole business securitization.” The filing by the insurance department of Wisconsin, where Ambac’s insurance unit is based, also included affidavits by Sonic CFO Stephen C. Vaughn and Hertz Corp. Treasurer R. Scott Massengill . Opposed to Plan Policyholders seeking to block Dilweg’s plan include owners of residential mortgage-backed securities such as hedge fund firms Aurelius Capital Management and Fir Tree Partners and holders of Las Vegas Monorail Co. municipal debt such as mutual fund manager Eaton Vance Corp. The RMBS holders would receive 25 cents on the dollar in cash for their claims and the rest in surplus notes under his plan. Their argument that they would get less than CDO holders isn’t accurate because the CDO settlement offers between 35.8 percent and 54.4 percent of projected claims, while mortgage- bond claims would be paid in their entirety, as they arise, when considering the surplus notes they would also receive, the department said, citing an analysis by BlackRock Inc. CDOs package pools of assets such as mortgage bonds or high-yield company loans into new securities with varying risks. Banks Negotiating The mortgage-bond holders are also incorrect to say that, after a full collapse of Ambac, banks’ CDO claims should be subordinate because the protection was written as credit-default swaps and not as insurance, the department said. The 14 banks negotiating a settlement with Ambac over CDOs are: Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA, Banco Santander SA , Barclays Plc, BNP Paribas, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Citigroup Inc. , Commerzbank AG, Credit Agricole SA, Deutsche Bank AG, Natixis, Rabobank Nederland, Royal Bank of Scotland Plc, Societe Generale and UBS AG, according to the filing. The insurance regulator also said that, without its plan being put into effect, the priority of policyholders’ claims would be “hotly contested in litigation,” which would hamper a “thus-far successful effort to de-risk a large number of Ambac’s outstanding insurance exposures to the benefit of all policy holders.” Credit-default swap contracts written by bond insurers typically call for them to make immediate payments based on the market value of the underlying debt if they are seized, as opposed to making payouts over time. Swaps on structured-finance securities offer payments if the debt isn’t repaid on schedule, in return for regular insurance-like premiums. Under the law, the policyholders seeking to block the CDO settlement should be required to put up a $9.3 billion bond to offer protection against potential damages that might result if their cases were to continue, the department said. To contact the reporter on this story: Jody Shenn in New York at jshenn@bloomberg.net

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Gunfire Erupts as Troops With Helicopters Mobilize at Bangkok Protest Site

May 18, 2010

By Daniel Ten Kate and Supunnabul Suwannakij May 19 (Bloomberg) — Thai political violence that has killed 39 people in gun battles over the past week appeared to calm as authorities and protesters sought talks and few deaths or injures were reported. “There should be good news” as negotiations take place, police spokesman Prawut Thavornsiri said by phone yesterday. “Tensions may ease or protests will probably end.” Protesters are willing to accept an offer by the Senate to mediate a solution, leader Nattawut Saikuar said. The government wants to avoid further loss of life and may reopen talks on an early election, chief negotiator Korbsak Sabhavasu said in an interview. Willingness to compromise on both sides may hasten an end to a two-month standoff over a new election that has led to Thailand’s worst political violence in 18 years. Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva is seeking to contain violence, which threatens to undermine growth in the $260 billion economy. Stumbling blocks remained as each side called on the other to make the first move. The government said talks couldn’t begin until protesters disperse, prompting them to counter that a retreat is impossible with soldiers lining the streets. “We can’t pull back before the military,” organizer Jatuporn Prompan said from the main stage yesterday. “We are not ready to walk out and be killed.” Government spokesman Panitan Wattanayagorn said authorities are working to limit any casualties. The death toll since May 13 rose by two people from early yesterday. ‘Blocking, Squeezing’ “What we are doing is blocking, squeezing, setting up checkpoints and trying to reduce any activities that may affect national security,” he said in televised remarks. “If there will be any losses, they will be the least amount possible.” Thailand’s benchmark SET Index rose 0.9 percent yesterday after falling 2 percent in the previous session. The baht climbed 0.2 percent from a seven-week low. Abhisit withdrew an offer to hold a Nov. 14 election when protesters failed to disperse by a May 12 deadline. A fresh poll may be put back on the table if protesters stop confronting troops setting up checkpoints, Korbsak said. The demonstrators, who say Abhisit’s rule has no legitimacy, have struggled to contain armed members battling soldiers around the main site, making cease-fire talks difficult, Chaturon Chaisang , a former Cabinet member aligned with the protesters, said by phone yesterday. ‘Either Way’ “It could go either way” between a peaceful settlement and forced dispersal, he said. “Time is running out.” Korbsak said ex-leader Thaksin Shinawatra has blocked deals over the past week by insisting his corruption conviction be overturned, a charge he denies. The protests began two weeks after a court seized 46.4 billion baht ($1.5 billion) from Thaksin’s family. Protest leader Nattawut had initially agreed to call fighters back to the main base, only to renege on the agreement, Korbsak said. The United Nations called on both sides to find a peaceful solution to the situation and prevent further casualties. “I urged leaders to set aside pride and politics for the sake of the people of Thailand,” UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay said in a statement late yesterday. “I appeal to the protesters to step back from the brink, and the security forces to exercise maximum restraint.” The government yesterday extended its deadline for thousands of mostly poor, rural protesters to leave their fortified camp after many stayed. About 5,000 people, including many women, remained at the main site, police spokesman Prawut said yesterday. Mounting Wounded Thai police will arrest anti-government protesters who attempt to erect stages in other parts of Bangkok as the demonstrators aim to spread protests throughout the capital, Amnuay Nimanoo, the city’s deputy police commander, said yesterday. The number of people wounded in clashes during the past four days climbed to 256, according to a statement on the website of Bangkok’s Emergency Medical Service. The two-month street campaign for a new election has claimed 67 lives in total. Pro-Thaksin parties have won the past four elections on a platform of improved health care and cheap loans. Abhisit took power in a December 2008 parliamentary vote after a court disbanded the ruling party for election fraud. His Democrat party hasn’t won the most seats in a nationwide vote since 1992. To contact the reporter on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net

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European Stocks Climb; British Land, Anglo American Lead Gains

May 18, 2010

By Adam Haigh May 18 (Bloomberg) — European stocks gained for the first time in three days as concern eased that measures to control the region’s debt crisis will curb economic growth. British Land Co., the U.K.’s second-largest real estate investment trust, surged 4.3 percent after reporting its first annual profit in two years. Anglo American Plc and Rio Tinto Group led a rally among raw-material producers. Man Group Plc soared the most in 11 months after Numis Securities upgraded the world’s biggest hedge-fund firm. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 1.3 percent to 251.3. The gauge has fallen 7.7 percent from this year’s peak on April 15 as credit-ratings downgrades of Greece, Portugal and Spain added to concern that European governments will struggle to fund their deficits. “The worst hopefully lies behind us,” said Franz Wenzel , strategist at AXA Investment Managers in Paris, which oversees about $628 billion. “We think valuations were appealing and are even more appealing today. We are not too confident to go overweight equities but we also know that a controlled depreciation of the euro is a boon to European equities.” The Stoxx 600 is valued at less than 16 times its companies’ reported earnings, near the lowest level in 14 months, according to Bloomberg data. The European Union said it transferred 14.5 billion euros ($18 billion) to Greece, allowing the nation to repay 8.5 billion euros of bonds due tomorrow. The payment is the first installment of a 750 billion-euro assistance package aiming at stopping the weakest euro nations from defaulting. Austerity Drive European finance ministers said Greece’s debt crisis won’t unleash a continent-wide austerity drive with the potential to tip the economy back into a recession and further undercut the euro. Only high-deficit countries including Spain and Portugal will be ordered to make additional deficit cuts, while budget policies will remain untouched in better-off nations such as Germany and Finland. “Not everyone will accelerate consolidation in a very uniform way,” European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told reporters today in Brussels after a meeting of ministers from the 16 euro countries. “That would lead to a very restrictive fiscal stance for the euro area as a whole, which would risk depressing economic growth.” National benchmark indexes gained in 15 of the 18 western European markets. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 advanced 0.9 percent and France’s CAC 40 rallied 2.1 percent. Germany’s DAX rose 1.5 percent. Investor Confidence German investor confidence fell in May after Europe’s debt crisis stoked concern about the euro’s future, rattling financial markets. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research’s index of investor and analyst expectations declined to 45.8 from 53 in April. The number of investors who have an “underweight” stance on European stocks almost doubled from last month, according to a BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research survey of people who together manage about $530 billion. British Land gained 4.3 percent to 452 pence, leading a measure of real estate shares to the biggest gain among 19 industry groups in the Stoxx 600. Net income for the year ended March 31 was 1.14 billion pounds ($1.7 billion) compared with a loss of 3.88 billion pounds a year earlier. Of Stoxx 600 companies that have reported earnings since April 12, about 64 percent have beaten analysts’ estimates for net income, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. In the U.S., more than 80 percent of companies in the S&P 500 have topped projections. Mining Companies Anglo America advanced 2.5 percent to 2,659 pence. Rio Tinto, the world’s third-largest mining company, gained 2.7 percent to 3,198 pence. Copper rose in New York and London, rebounding from the biggest two-day slump since December 2008. Man Group, which yesterday agreed to buy GLG Partners Inc. for $1.6 billion, climbed 9.1 percent to 220.3, rebounding from a 8.9 percent drop. The shares surged the most since June last year as Numis raised its recommendation for the hedge-fund firm to “buy” from “add.” European Aeronautic, Defence & Space Co. , the parent of planemaker Airbus SAS, increased 6.2 percent to 16.98 euros, the most since September. Competitor Boeing Co. said it will boost production on its 737 jet, the world’s most widely flown aircraft, to 34 a month and is studying further increases to meet customer demand. Delhaize, Nordex Delhaize Group SA climbed 3.4 percent to 66.13 euros after BofA Merrill Lynch upgraded the owner of the Food Lion supermarket chain to “buy” from “neutral.” Nordex SE jumped 7.8 percent to 7.50 euros, the biggest gain since October, as the maker of wind turbines was raised to “overweight” from “neutral” at HSBC Holdings Plc. Regus Plc plunged 17 percent to 94 pence after the world’s largest operator of serviced offices said the U.K. remains its most difficult region and early signs of improvement seen in the first quarter have “lost some momentum.” Yell Group Plc, publisher of the U.K.’s yellow pages directory, tumbled 22 percent to 36.76 pence after saying that Chief Executive Officer John Condron and Chief Financial Officer John Davis are leaving. The company also reported a drop in full-year sales. To contact the reporter on this story: Adam Haigh in London at ahaigh1@bloomberg.net

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EU Ministers Vow to Avoid Continent-Wide Austerity

May 18, 2010

By James G. Neuger and Lorenzo Totaro May 18 (Bloomberg) — European finance ministers vowed to avoid a continent-wide austerity drive in the wake of Greece’s debt crisis that would risk thrusting the economy back into a recession and further undercut the euro. Only high-deficit countries including Greece, Spain and Portugal will be ordered to make additional deficit cuts, while budget policies will remain untouched in better-off nations such as Germany and Finland. “Countries with no or little fiscal space will need to frontload or accelerate measures, while others that have more fiscal space should maintain their less-restrictive fiscal stances for the sake of growth in Europe as a whole,” European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told reporters in Brussels after a two-day meeting of European finance ministers. Concern that a Europe-wide spree of spending cuts would stifle the economic recovery contributed to the euro’s 3.4 percent drop against the dollar in the week since euro leaders offered an unprecedented 750 billion-euro ($926 billion) rescue package for debt-burdened governments. Finance chiefs meet again on May 21 to work out details of the essential part of the emergency lending mechanism, a 440 billion-euro fund backed by national guarantees that would buy distressed countries’ bonds. The ministers also gave preliminary approval to a draft law to tighten hedge-fund regulations that has drawn objections from the U.K. and the U.S. Global Recovery The euro fell today to the lowest against the dollar since April 2006, dropping as much as 0.7 percent to $1.2315. It later rebounded, trading at $1.2354 at 5:10 p.m. in London. The euro-area economy expanded 0.2 percent in the first quarter, faster than the 0.1 percent forecast by economists, as a global recovery boosted exports, offsetting consumers’ reluctance to increase spending. The International Monetary Fund said last month that the region’s economy may expand only 1 percent this year, even as the Washington-based fund raised its global growth forecast for this year to 4.2 percent from 3.9 percent, citing a faster expansion in emerging economies including China. Finance chiefs said there is no reason for global investors to desert the euro, touting the European Central Bank’s record in keeping inflation close to its 2 percent ceiling during the currency’s first 11 years. ‘Bad Thing’ “Bigger currency fluctuations are always a bad thing,” Luxembourg Finance Minister Luc Frieden said. “What is important for me is the confidence markets have to have in the euro. We proved through a series of political moves that we support the euro, that the euro has a future and won’t be dropped.” Spain unveiled on May 14 the biggest budget cuts in at least 30 years to bring down a deficit estimated by the EU at 9.8 percent of gross domestic product this year, more than triple the bloc’s 3 percent limit. Portugal followed a day later, pledging to slash wages and raise taxes to pare its projected 8.5 percent shortfall. Spain’s growth in 2011 “will be a few decimal points less” than the government’s current 1.8 percent forecast, though the economy will escape recession, Economy Minister Elena Salgado said. She stuck to estimates of a 0.3 percent contraction in 2010. ‘Necessary Steps’ Rehn hailed the “important, difficult but necessary steps” being taken in Spain and Portugal and said the finance ministers will pass judgment on them on June 7. He said the EU will evaluate the budget programs of all 27 governments in the bloc before the meeting next month. “We will take a look at all member states before June, both in terms of fiscal consolidation and growth prospects,” Rehn said in an interview in Brussels. “That will be the essence of the discussion in June.” Italian officials said on May 16 that the government may make an extraordinary reduction in a deficit projected by the EU to hit 5.3 percent of GDP this year. France, heading for an 8 percent deficit, is slated to submit its latest spending and tax plans to the EU this week. In a first discussion of improvements to Europe’s economic management, the ministers concluded that proposals for better coordination of national budgets, speedier penalties for violators and stricter monitoring of high-debt countries “go in the right direction,” said Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean- Claude Juncker , who chaired last night’s meeting of the euro- area ministers. 11-Year Lifespan Under the euro’s German-inspired Stability and Growth Pact, countries with deficits above the 3 percent limit face fines as high as 0.5 percent of GDP unless they get the budget back into compliance. No country has been fined during the euro’s 11-year lifespan. Germany and France teamed in 2005 to dilute the rules after overstepping the limits for three years in a row. Proposals by the European Commission would extend the threat of sanctions to cover countries that fail to push their budgets toward balance during “good economic times,” even if the deficit is below the threshold. Rehn also called for cutting off EU development-aid funds from the euro region’s poorest countries more quickly to penalize any deficit overruns. Currently six euro countries — Cyprus, Greece, Malta, Portugal, Slovakia and Slovenia — are eligible for the “cohesion” fund, available to countries with GDP per capita less than 90 percent of the EU average. Rehn said he got “by and large encouraging feedback,” while predicting some “shadow boxing” by governments over suspicions that the central EU authorities plan to intrude on national budget-setting. To contact the reporters on this story: James G. Neuger in Brussels at jneuger@bloomberg.net ; Lorenzo Totaro in Brussels at rbuergin1@bloomberg.net @bloomberg.net.

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European Stocks Climb; British Land, Electrolux Shares Advance

May 18, 2010

By Adam Haigh May 18 (Bloomberg) — European stocks gained for the first time in three days as concern eased that measures to control the region’s debt crisis will curb economic growth. British Land Co., the U.K.’s second-largest real estate investment trust, rallied 4.5 percent after reporting its first annual profit in two years. Electrolux AB rose to the highest level on record as a report showed shipments of major home appliances in the U.S. soared in April. Anglo American Plc and Rio Tinto Group led a rally among raw-material producers. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 1.7 percent to 252.3 at 2:43 p.m. in London. The gauge has fallen 7.2 percent from this year’s peak on April 15 as credit-ratings downgrades of Greece, Portugal and Spain added to concern that European governments will struggle to fund their deficits. “The worst hopefully lies behind us,” said Franz Wenzel , strategist at AXA Investment Managers in Paris, which oversees about $628 billion. “We think valuations were appealing and are even more appealing today. We are not too confident to go overweight equities but we also know that a controlled depreciation of the euro is a boon to European equities.” The Stoxx 600 is valued at less than 16 times its companies’ reported earnings, near the lowest level in 14 months, according to Bloomberg data. First Installment The European Union said it transferred 14.5 billion euros ($18 billion) to Greece, allowing the nation to repay 8.5 billion euros of bonds due tomorrow. The payment is the first installment of a 750 billion-euro assistance package aiming at stopping the weakest euro nations from defaulting. European finance ministers said Greece’s debt crisis won’t unleash a continent-wide austerity drive with the potential to tip the economy back into a recession and further undercut the euro. Only high-deficit countries including Spain and Portugal will be ordered to make additional deficit cuts, while budget policies will remain untouched in better-off nations such as Germany and Finland. “Not everyone will accelerate consolidation in a very uniform way,” European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told reporters today in Brussels after a meeting of ministers from the 16 euro countries. “That would lead to a very restrictive fiscal stance for the euro area as a whole, which would risk depressing economic growth.” German investor confidence fell in May after Europe’s debt crisis stoked concern about the euro’s future, rattling financial markets. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research’s index of investor and analyst expectations declined to 45.8 from 53 in April. Merrill Survey The number of investors who have an “underweight” stance on European stocks almost doubled from last month, according to a BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research survey of people who together manage about $530 billion. British Land gained 4.5 percent to 452.7 pence. Net income for the year ended March 31 was 1.14 billion pounds ($1.7 billion) compared with a loss of 3.88 billion pounds a year earlier. Of Stoxx 600 companies that have reported earnings since April 12, about 64 percent have beaten analysts’ estimates for net income, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. In the U.S., more than 80 percent of companies in the S&P 500 have topped projections. Electrolux Gains Electrolux, the world’s second-biggest appliance maker, rose 1.6 percent to 194.9 kronor, heading for the highest close since at least 1989. Shipments of major home appliances in the U.S. rose 12.1 percent in April compared with a year ago, boosted by deliveries of refrigerators and dryers, the Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers said late yesterday. Indesit SpA, Italy’s largest home-appliance maker, climbed 5 percent to 9.31 euros. Anglo America advanced 2.8 percent to 2,667 pence. Rio Tinto, the world’s third largest mining company, gained 2.7 percent to 3,199.5 pence. Copper rose in New York and London, rebounding from the biggest two-day slump since December 2008. Banks were the biggest gainers among all 19 industry groups in the Stoxx 600, rising 2.8 percent. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe’s largest bank, climbed 1.7 percent to 660.4 pence. Societe Generale SA advanced 5.5 percent to 37.41 euros. Delhaize Group SA climbed 2.5 percent to 65.53 euros after BofA Merrill Lynch upgraded the owner of the Food Lion supermarket chain to “buy” from “neutral.” Nordex SE jumped 9.2 percent to 7.60 euros, the biggest intraday gain since October, as the maker of wind turbines was raised to “overweight” from “neutral” at HSBC Holdings Plc. Regus Plc plunged 16 percent to 94.5 pence after the world’s largest operator of serviced offices said the U.K. remains its most difficult region and early signs of improvement seen in the first quarter have “lost some momentum.” Yell Group Plc, publisher of the U.K.’s yellow pages directory, tumbled 21 percent to 37.37 pence after saying that Chief Executive Officer John Condron and Chief Financial Officer John Davis are leaving. The company also reported a drop in full-year sales. To contact the reporter on this story: Adam Haigh in London at ahaigh1@bloomberg.net

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EU Vows to Avoid Continent-Wide Austerity, Keep Recovery Alive

May 18, 2010

By James G. Neuger and Rainer Buergin May 18 (Bloomberg) — European finance ministers vowed to avoid a continent-wide austerity drive in the wake of Greece’s debt crisis that would risk thrusting the economy back into a recession and further undercut the euro. Only high-deficit countries including Greece, Spain and Portugal will be ordered to make additional deficit cuts, while budget policies will remain untouched in better-off nations such as Germany and Finland. “Countries with no or little fiscal space will need to frontload or accelerate measures, while others that have more fiscal space should maintain their less-restrictive fiscal stances for the sake of growth in Europe as a whole,” European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told reporters in Brussels after a two-day meeting of European finance ministers. Concern that a Europe-wide spree of spending cuts would stifle the economic recovery contributed to the euro’s 3.4 percent drop against the dollar in the week since euro leaders offered an unprecedented 750 billion-euro ($925 billion) rescue package for debt-burdened governments. Finance chiefs meet again on May 21 to work out details of the essential part of the emergency lending mechanism, a 440 billion-euro fund backed by national guarantees that would buy distressed countries’ bonds. The ministers also gave preliminary approval to a draft law to tighten hedge-fund regulations that has drawn objections from the U.K. and the U.S. Lowest Level The euro fell today to its lowest level against the dollar since April 2006, dropping as much as 0.7 percent to $1.2315. It later rebounded, trading at $1.2422 as of 2:45 p.m. in London. The euro-area economy expanded 0.2 percent in the first quarter, faster than the 0.1 percent forecast by economists, as a global recovery boosted exports, offsetting consumers’ reluctance to increase spending. The International Monetary Fund said last month that the region’s economy may expand only 1 percent this year, even as the Washington-based IMF raised its global growth forecast for this year to 4.2 percent from 3.9 percent, citing a faster expansion in emerging economies including China. Finance chiefs said there is no reason for global investors to desert the euro, touting the European Central Bank’s record in keeping inflation close to its 2 percent ceiling during the currency’s first 11 years. ‘Bad Thing’ “Bigger currency fluctuations are always a bad thing,” Luxembourg Finance Minister Luc Frieden said. “What is important for me is the confidence markets have to have in the euro. We proved through a series of political moves that we support the euro, that the euro has a future and won’t be dropped.” Spain unveiled on May 14 the biggest budget cuts in at least 30 years to bring down a deficit estimated by the EU at 9.8 percent of gross domestic product this year, more than triple the bloc’s 3 percent limit. Portugal followed a day later, pledging to slash wages and raise taxes to pare its projected 8.5 percent shortfall. Spain’s growth in 2011 “will be a few decimal points less” than the government’s current 1.8 percent forecast, though the economy will escape recession, Economy Minister Elena Salgado said. She stuck to estimates of a 0.3 percent contraction in 2010. Rehn hailed the “important, difficult but necessary steps” being taken in Spain and Portugal and said the finance ministers will pass judgment on them on June 7. Financial Backstop Italian officials said on May 16 that the government may make an extraordinary reduction in a deficit projected by the EU to hit 5.3 percent of GDP this year. France, heading for an 8 percent deficit, is slated to submit its latest spending and tax plans to the EU this week. In a first discussion of improvements to Europe’s economic management, the ministers concluded that proposals for better coordination of national budgets, speedier penalties for violators and stricter monitoring of high-debt countries “go in the right direction,” said Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean- Claude Juncker , who chaired last night’s meeting of the euro- area ministers. Under the euro’s German-inspired Stability and Growth Pact, countries with deficits above the 3 percent limit face fines as high as 0.5 percent of GDP unless they get the budget back into compliance. No country has been fined during the euro’s 11-year lifespan. Germany and France teamed in 2005 to dilute the rules after overstepping the limits for three years in a row. Sanctions Proposals by the European Commission would extend the threat of sanctions to cover countries that fail to push their budgets toward balance during “good economic times,” even if the deficit is below the threshold. Rehn also called for cutting off EU development-aid funds from the euro region’s poorest countries more quickly to penalize any deficit overruns. Currently six euro countries — Cyprus, Greece, Malta, Portugal, Slovakia and Slovenia — are eligible for the “cohesion” fund, available to countries with GDP per capita less than 90 percent of the EU average. Rehn said he got “by and large encouraging feedback,” while predicting some “shadow boxing” by governments over suspicions that the central EU authorities plan to intrude on national budget-setting. To contact the reporters on this story: James G. Neuger in Brussels at jneuger@bloomberg.net ; Rainer Buergin in Brussels at rbuergin1@bloomberg.net @bloomberg.net.

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U.S. Stock Futures Maintain Advance on Housing Starts, Producer Price Data

May 18, 2010

By Daniela Silberstein May 18 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stock-index futures rose, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may extend yesterday’s late rebound, as concern eased that the measures aimed at reducing fiscal deficits in Europe will hamper growth. Home Depot gained 1 percent in early New York trading after raising its annual profit forecast. Citigroup Inc. rose 2.1 percent. Alcoa Inc., the largest U.S. aluminum producer, and Exxon Mobil Corp. rose with higher metal and oil prices. Fidelity National Information Services Inc. tumbled 6.5 percent after takeover talks with private-equity firms fell apart, according to people familiar with the situation. Futures on the S&P 500 expiring in June gained 0.5 percent to 1,140 at 7:40 a.m. in New York. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbed 0.4 percent to 10,642 and Nasdaq-100 Index futures added 0.5 percent to 1,923.5. “There is hope that the waves from Europe will become smaller,” said Rudolf Buxtorf , who helps manage about $500 million at RBS Coutts Bank in Zurich. “At some point we have to assume that the worst is over and that there are still good opportunities in the market. U.S. economic numbers should also be supportive for the market.” The Dow erased a 184-point drop in the final hour of trading yesterday as the euro’s rebound from a four-year low bolstered optimism that the shared European currency will weather the region’s debt crisis. European finance ministers said today that Greece’s debt crisis won’t unleash a continent- wide austerity drive with the potential to tip the economy back into a recession. ‘Very Uniform Way’ “Not everyone will accelerate consolidation in a very uniform way,” European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told reporters in Brussels after a meeting of ministers from the 16 euro countries. “That would lead to a very restrictive fiscal stance for the euro area as a whole, which would risk depressing economic growth.” The S&P 500 has lost 6.6 percent from its high for the year on April 23 as credit-ratings downgrades of Greece, Portugal and Spain added to concern that European governments will struggle to fund budget deficits. Builders probably broke ground in April on the most U.S. homes since 2008 as buyers took advantage of a tax credit before its expiration, economists said before Commerce Department figures due at 8:30 a.m. in Washington. Housing starts rose 3.8 percent to a 650,000 annual rate last month, according to the median forecast of 76 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The report may also show building permits, a sign of future construction, grew at a 680,000 annual rate, matching the pace in March that was the highest since October 2008, according to the survey median. A separate report may show producer prices rose 0.1 percent in April. Home Depot Home Depot climbed 1 percent to $35.95 in pre-market trading in New York. The largest U.S. home-improvement retailer raised its annual profit forecast after first-quarter profit exceeded analysts’ estimates on demand for seasonal merchandise Excluding some items, earnings were 45 cents a share. Analysts projected 40 cents, the average of 24 estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Home Depot raised its forecast for full-year profit to $1.88 a share from $1.79. Analysts estimate $1.87 on average. Citigroup, the bank 27 percent owned by the U.S. government, rose 2.1 percent to $3.94 in early New York trading. Copper Rebounds Alcoa gained 0.7 percent to $12.17. Copper rose in London, rebounding from the biggest two-day slump since December 2008, on a weaker dollar and on reduced concern that austerity measures may threaten Europe’s economic recovery. Aluminum, lead, zinc and nickel also climbed. Exxon , the biggest U.S. energy company, advanced 0.5 percent to $63.60 in New York. Crude oil rose after dipping below $70 a barrel to a five-month low in New York yesterday, on forecasts that demand is picking up in the U.S. Fidelity National fell 7.7 percent to $26.65 in New York, after a 7.5 percent drop in extended trading yesterday. Blackstone Group LP, Thomas H. Lee Partners LP and TPG Capital dropped a plan to bid for Fidelity National as the Jacksonville, Florida-based company sought a higher price than the firms were offering, scuttling what would have been the biggest leveraged buyout in almost three years. Blackstone dropped 2 percent to $11.84 in Germany. To contact the reporters on this story: Daniela Silberstein in Zurich at dsilberstei2@bloomberg.net .

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Thailand Clashes Subside With Protesters, Authorities Seeking Negotiations

May 18, 2010

By Daniel Ten Kate and Supunnabul Suwannakij May 18 (Bloomberg) — Thai political violence that has killed 38 people in gun battles over the past week subsided today as authorities and protesters sought talks. “There should be good news” as negotiations take place, police spokesman Prawut Thavornsiri said by phone. “Tensions may ease or protests will probably end.” Protest leader Nattawut Saikuar said today his group is willing to accept an offer by the Senate to mediate a solution. The government wants to avoid further loss of life and may reopen talks on an early election, chief negotiator Korbsak Sabhavasu said in an interview. Willingness to compromise on both sides may hasten an end to a two-month standoff over a new election that has led to Thailand’s worst political violence in 18 years. Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva is seeking to contain violence, which threatens to undermine growth in the $260 billion economy. Thailand’s benchmark SET Index rose 0.9 percent at 3:44 p.m. local time after falling 2 percent yesterday. The baht climbed 0.4 percent from a seven-week low. “We don’t want innocent people to get killed,” Korbsak said. “We are working hard for a political solution.” Abhisit withdrew an offer to hold a Nov. 14 election when protesters failed to disperse by a May 12 deadline. A fresh poll may be put back on the table if protesters stop confronting troops setting up checkpoints, Korbsak said. ‘Willing to Renegotiate’ “We are willing to renegotiate the election,” Korbsak, a former deputy prime minister, said today. “We are not holding onto power, we want to do the best for the country.” The demonstrators, who say Abhisit’s rule has no legitimacy, have struggled to contain armed members battling soldiers around the main site, making cease-fire talks difficult, Chaturon Chaisang , a former Cabinet member aligned with the protesters, said by phone yesterday. “It could go either way” between a peaceful settlement and forced dispersal, he said. “Time is running out.” Korbsak blamed ex-leader Thaksin Shinawatra for the failure to negotiate a settlement over the past two weeks, a charge he denies. Protest leader Nattawut had initially agreed to call fighters back to the main base, only to renege on the agreement, Korbsak said. ‘Stop Firing’ “We want the government to stop firing now,” so we can hold talks, Nattawut said today from the main stage at the central Bangkok protest site. “No prime minister will ever win by killing people.” Nattawut, a former government spokesman in two pro-Thaksin administrations, said troops are preventing supporters from rejoining the main group, making it harder for Red Shirt leaders to keep the peace. Army spokesman Sansern Kaewkamnerd said Nattawut is a “major terrorist” for saying he could control fighters on the outskirts of the city. The military “won’t back off,” he said. The United Nations called on both sides to find a peaceful solution to the situation and prevent further casualties. “I urged leaders to set aside pride and politics for the sake of the people of Thailand,” UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay said in a statement late yesterday. “I appeal to the protesters to step back from the brink, and the security forces to exercise maximum restraint.” Deadline Extended The government yesterday extended its deadline for thousands of mostly poor, rural protesters to leave their fortified camp after many stayed. About 5,000 people, including many women, remained at the main site, police spokesman Prawut said today. The number of people wounded in clashes during the past four days climbed to 256, according to a statement on the website of Bangkok’s Emergency Medical Service. The two-month street campaign for a new election has claimed 67 lives in total. Pro-Thaksin parties have won the past four elections on a platform of improved health care and cheap loans. Abhisit took power in a December 2008 parliamentary vote after a court disbanded the ruling party for election fraud. His Democrat party hasn’t won the most seats in a nationwide vote since 1992. “The crisis in Thailand is not an issue that will be resolved in the short term,” said Ernest Bower , an analyst with the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. “Thais are redefining themselves and their country, and the journey has started out to be a bloody one.” To contact the reporter on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net

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European Austerity Drive Shifts Gear as EU Message Sparks `Social Tension’

May 12, 2010

By Emma Ross-Thomas May 13 (Bloomberg) — Spain and Portugal may be getting the message as they try to stop their economies getting infected by the Greek crisis. Two days after other European governments told them to fix their budgets in return for a $1 trillion backstop, Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero yesterday announced the biggest round of budget reductions in 30 years. In Portugal, Finance Minister Fernando Teixeira dos Santos says he’s prepared for “social tension” after announcing additional cuts. Policy makers are running the risk of union opposition as they force through austerity measures to convince investors they won’t join Greece in asking for an international bailout. While some economists said the European Union lifeline could take pressure off deficit-laden nations to act, it was enough to prompt Zapatero to announce a 5 percent cut in public wages. “The fiscal announcements serve to suggest that the momentum now is indeed towards fiscal cuts,” said Erik Nielsen , chief European economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in London. “What we have in the euro zone policy space right now is ‘moral suasion,’ not “moral hazard.’” The yield on Spain’s two-year government bond dropped 12 basis points to 1.861 percent yesterday after rising to a euro- era high of 3.143 percent last week. Turning Point Zapatero’s cuts were welcomed by Spain’s two largest banks, Banco Santander SA and Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA , even as they provoked the largest union, Comisiones Obreras, to say it plans a “massive” response to the “unjust” measures. The planned deficit reduction, to 6 percent of gross domestic product in 2011 from 11.2 percent last year, would be the largest two-year cut since at least 1980. “This is a turning point,” said Fernando Fernandez, a professor at the IE business school in Madrid and a former International Monetary Fund economist. “The prime minister has had a fright and come down to earth at last to understand the reality and what’s at stake here.” Zapatero’s plan, which marks a policy U-turn for the Socialist premier, came as the European Commission outlined new proposals for governments to “decisively” toughen budget rules and impose swifter penalties on nations that break them. The 27 EU members should reinforce fiscal surveillance, improve compliance with the bloc’s budget rules and focus more on cutting public debt, the Brussels-based commission said yesterday. Governments are required to keep their deficit below 3 percent of GDP. Right Direction? Those repeatedly breaching the rules should face “more expeditious treatment,” it said. EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said the Spanish cuts “seem to go in the right direction,” as the nation renewed a pledge to meet the deficit limit in 2013. The steps include a 6 billion-euro ($7.6 billion) reduction in public investment, a pension freeze and the end of a 2,500-euro subsidy for new parents. Speaking after a Portuguese bond auction drew more bidders than previous offerings, dos Santos said that further steps to cut spending and raise revenue are planned. The country sold 1 billion euros of 10-year bonds yesterday, priced to yield 4.52 percent. That’s 181 basis points below the May 7 high. Spain and Portugal are bracing for opposition from unions one week after Greek demonstrators torched buildings in Athens, leading to three deaths. New Relationship The approach marks a change for Zapatero, who told workers in 2005 he slept with his union card by his bed and who has tended to consult workers’ representatives before announcing policy shifts. Spain ’s last general strike was in 2002, when the People’s Party was in power. The move “marks a change in relations” between workers and the administration and protests will follow, said Candido Mendez, secretary general of UGT, the country’s second-biggest union. In Ireland, 70 protesters tried to storm the country’s parliament yesterday after they broke away from a march against the government’s plans to bail out the country’s banks. Still, demonstrations have failed to budge government policy in Greece, and Spain has managed to reorder its finances in the past. “Spain has a very good track record of implementing austerity measures,” said Jose Garcia-Zarate, a fixed-income strategist at 4Cast Ltd. in London. “I don’t think the Spanish government suffers from the same degree of lack of credibility as Greece.” Teixeira dos Santos, who cut Portugal’s deficit in half in the two years after taking office in 2005, says union opposition wouldn’t be an obstacle to his country’s budget plans. “We have to take measures to cut expenditure and increase revenue” said Teixeira dos Santos. “We’ll face the social tension.” — With assistance from Simon Kennedy in Paris and Jim Silver in Lisbon. Editors: John Fraher , Eddie Buckle To contact the reporter on this story: Emma Ross-Thomas in Madrid at erossthomas@bloomberg.net

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Times Square Car Bomber Left Trail of Clues From House Keys to Phone Calls

May 5, 2010

By Patricia Hurtado May 5 (Bloomberg) — U.S. authorities looking for the person who tried to blow up a car in New York’s Times Square with firecrackers, propane, gasoline and fertilizer had a valuable ally: the suspect himself. Faisal Shahzad , who was arrested May 3 and charged with attempting to detonate a weapon of mass destruction in one of the busiest intersections in the U.S., left behind a trail of clues including the keys to his Connecticut home and a second vehicle as well as records of mobile-phone calls to a Pennsylvania fireworks shop and from associates in Pakistan. Shahzad may have been “purposefully hapless” so that his possible accomplices could see how the New York police responded to terrorist threats, said Michael Wildes , a former federal prosecutor in Brooklyn, New York. “The materials were rudimentary and the effort was captured on 87 different cameras,” said Wildes, an immigration attorney who represents defectors who cooperate with prosecutors in terrorism cases. “Anybody who has the tenacity to put together a bomb like this doesn’t make these kinds of mistakes. “Or, this may be the dumbest terrorist in the world,” Wildes said. Agents from the Department of Homeland Security arrested Shahzad at New York’s John F. Kennedy International Airport May 3 as he attempted to fly to Dubai, said U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder . Shahzad admitted his role in the plot, Holder said yesterday at a press conference in Washington. Training in Pakistan A U.S. citizen of Pakistani origins, Shahzad was charged with five counts, including attempting to use a weapon of mass destruction and receiving “bomb-making training” in the Waziristan region of Pakistan, after driving a bomb-laden Nissan Pathfinder into Times Square. His plot dated as far back as December, prosecutors said. Shahzad faces as long as life in prison if convicted of the mass destruction weapon charge or acts of terrorism transcending national boundaries, Manhattan U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara said in a statement. After receiving four calls from Pakistan on April 24, Shahzad called the seller of the Pathfinder twice and then bought the vehicle using 13 $100 bills, federal officials said in the criminal complaint. The next day, Shahzad called a store in rural Pennsylvania that sells M-88 firecrackers, authorities said. House, Car Keys Shahzad left his house key along with the key to his Isuzu Rodeo in the Pathfinder that he failed to blow up in Times Square, prosecutors said. The police used that house key to enter his residence and discovered fireworks and fertilizer in a garage. Shahzad left the Isuzu in the parking lot of the Bridgeport, Connecticut, supermarket where he arranged to buy the Pathfinder. Dubai-based Emirates Airlines said U.S. authorities removed three passengers from the May 3 flight from New York to Dubai. After the airliner left the gate and was recalled, Shahzad was arrested, according to a person familiar with the investigation. The other two people were later released, the person said. Shahzad was put on the federal no-fly list early on the afternoon of May 3, said a law-enforcement official who requested anonymity. Within an hour, federal authorities electronically sent out an advisory about his addition to the list. Airlines have to individually update their computer systems with the additions, and Emirates hadn’t done so, the official said. Customs and Border Protection officials discovered the suspect was on the plane after scanning a passenger manifest that airlines are required to submit about 30 minutes before takeoff, the official said. Onboard Arrest Emirates’ flight EK202 landed in Dubai seven hours late, at 2.45 a.m. An American passenger who declined to be identified said he saw three or four police officers enter the aircraft in New York and detain the three men, who were sitting in economy class. The men looked calm as they were taken away, he said. Shahzad got a bachelor’s degree in computer applications and information systems from the University of Bridgeport in 2000 and earned an MBA in 2005, said Michael Spitzer, the school’s provost, in an e-mailed statement. Shahzad worked for three years at Affinion Group Holdings Inc., a company controlled by Leon Black ’s private-equity firm, Apollo Management LP. Affinion, a provider of marketing and customer-loyalty plans, employed Shahzad as a financial analyst in its accounting department from 2006 until 2009, the company said. ‘Dumb Mistakes’ “Not all terrorists are created equally,” said Anthony Barkow , a former Assistant Manhattan U.S. Attorney who handled terrorism cases. “Although some plots are highly sophisticated, others are not. Just like common criminals, aspiring terrorists often get caught because of dumb mistakes.” Barkow cited the 1993 World Trade Center truck bombing as an example of terrorist ineptitude. After the attack, one of the plotters returned to the car-rental company to recover the deposit on the vehicle that held the explosives. “But none of this is to suggest what the law enforcement officials did here was anything other than extraordinary — they identified the perpetrator of this plot at the speed of a television show,” said Barkow, now the director of a center on criminal prosecutions at New York University Law School. “What is often dismissed as the speed of Hollywood fantasy here was reality.” New York Police Department Commissioner Ray Kelly at a news conference yesterday credited investigators for their fast work. “By my calculation, from the time Faisal Shahzad drove into and across Broadway and parked that vehicle, to when he was apprehended last evening at JFK Airport, it was 53 hours and 20 minutes,” Kelly said. “Now, we know that Jack Bauer can do it in 24” hours, Kelly said, referring to Fox Television’s “24” starring Kiefer Sutherland as the anti-terrorism agent Bauer. “But in the real world, 53 is a pretty good number.” The case is U.S. v. Shahzad, 10-00928, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan). To contact the reporter on this story: Patricia Hurtado in New York at pathurtado@bloomberg.net

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American Citizen From Pakistan Faces Charges Over Times Square Bomb Plot

May 4, 2010

By Henry Goldman and Mark Tannenbaum May 4 (Bloomberg) — A U.S. citizen of Pakistani origins is due in a New York court today to face charges over the attempted car bombing in Times Square on May 1. Faisal Shahzad will appear in Manhattan federal court on “formal charges,” the U.S. attorney’s office for the southern district of New York said in an e-mailed statement, without being more specific. Agents from the Department of Homeland Security arrested Shahzad at New York’s John F. Kennedy International Airport last night as he was attempting to board a flight to Dubai, U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder said at an early morning news conference in Washington. The announcement came less than three days after a botched bombing attempt that led police to evacuate parts of Times Square. “This investigation is ongoing, as are our attempts to gather useful intelligence, and we continue to pursue a number of leads,” Holder said. “But it’s clear that the intent behind this terrorist act was to kill Americans.” Shahzad had recently returned from a five-month trip to Pakistan, where he had a wife, the Associated Press reported citing unidentified law enforcement officials. Pakistan’s Dawn television reported today that the suspect had family links in the port city of Karachi, and visited it last year. Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano , in an interview on NBC TV, said it’s “premature to rule in or out” links to international terrorism. Investigators have no evidence that Pakistani Taliban sympathizers were responsible for the attempt, although a group describing itself as such took credit for it, Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly said. Passengers Removed Dubai-based Emirates Airlines said in an e-mailed statement today that U.S. authorities removed three passengers from a New York to Dubai flight last night and carried out “full security procedures” including the screening of the plane, passengers and baggage. Agents from the Federal Bureau of Investigation and New York City police detectives arrested Shahzad for “allegedly driving a car bomb into Times Square on the evening of May 1,” the Department of Justice said in a statement today. The 1993 Nissan Pathfinder was sold for cash about three weeks ago at a Connecticut shopping mall in a sale arranged through the Craigslist website, CNN reported, citing an unidentified person in law enforcement with knowledge of the investigation. Investigators interviewed the former owner of the bomb- carrying sport-utility vehicle, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg said. The person was tracked through the car’s vehicle identification number, which was stripped from the dashboard, Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly said. The number is also typically stamped on parts such as the engine block. ‘Intended to Terrorize’ The attempted bombing “was intended to terrorize,” Robert Gibbs , the White House press secretary, said yesterday. Gibbs said today that President Barack Obama was notified about Shahzad’s arrest at around midnight. The intended detonator, Kelly said, was a can filled with consumer-grade fireworks. The car also held two containers of gasoline and three propane tanks, wired with two clocks, the commissioner said. A man described as about 40 years old was seen on a neighborhood surveillance camera as he hurried through Shubert Alley , a pedestrian walkway between West 44th and West 45th Streets, steps from where the explosive-laden car was parked on May 1, he said. The man can be seen on the video removing a dark shirt, revealing a red T-shirt underneath, Kelly said. He placed the outer shirt in a bag and walked from the scene “in a furtive manner,” the commissioner said. Safe as Ever Police also collected images of the vehicle as it traveled along West 45th Street before being left at a curb near several Broadway theaters, the mayor said. “This city is as safe as it’s ever been,” Bloomberg said. “Is it perfectly safe? No, but we always will have events, we’ve had 11 or so in the last eight years, and every time we have responded appropriately. We keep changing our procedures, we keep studying what happens overseas, and we so far have done the right thing.” The police presence has been increased in the Times Square area. Bloomberg urged tourists and New Yorkers to continue visiting the area and “enjoy a Broadway show.” The mayor is founder and majority owner of Bloomberg News parent Bloomberg LP. To contact the reporters on this story: Henry Goldman in New York City Hall at hgoldman@bloomberg.net ; Mark Tannenbaum at mtannen@bloomberg.net .

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American Citizen From Pakistan Faces Charges Over Times Square Bomb Plot

May 4, 2010

By Henry Goldman and Mark Tannenbaum May 4 (Bloomberg) — A U.S. citizen of Pakistani origins is due in a New York court today to face charges over the attempted car bombing in Times Square on May 1. Faisal Shahzad will appear in Manhattan federal court on “formal charges,” the U.S. attorney’s office for the southern district of New York said in an e-mailed statement, without being more specific. Agents from the Department of Homeland Security arrested Shahzad at New York’s John F. Kennedy International Airport last night as he was attempting to board a flight to Dubai, U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder said at an early morning news conference in Washington. The announcement came less than three days after a botched bombing attempt that led police to evacuate parts of Times Square. “This investigation is ongoing, as are our attempts to gather useful intelligence, and we continue to pursue a number of leads,” Holder said. “But it’s clear that the intent behind this terrorist act was to kill Americans.” Shahzad had recently returned from a five-month trip to Pakistan, where he had a wife, the Associated Press reported citing unidentified law enforcement officials. Pakistan’s Dawn television reported today that the suspect had family links in the port city of Karachi, and visited it last year. Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano , in an interview on NBC TV, said it’s “premature to rule in or out” links to international terrorism. Investigators have no evidence that Pakistani Taliban sympathizers were responsible for the attempt, although a group describing itself as such took credit for it, Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly said. Passengers Removed Dubai-based Emirates Airlines said in an e-mailed statement today that U.S. authorities removed three passengers from a New York to Dubai flight last night and carried out “full security procedures” including the screening of the plane, passengers and baggage. Agents from the Federal Bureau of Investigation and New York City police detectives arrested Shahzad for “allegedly driving a car bomb into Times Square on the evening of May 1,” the Department of Justice said in a statement today. The 1993 Nissan Pathfinder was sold for cash about three weeks ago at a Connecticut shopping mall in a sale arranged through the Craigslist website, CNN reported, citing an unidentified person in law enforcement with knowledge of the investigation. Investigators interviewed the former owner of the bomb- carrying sport-utility vehicle, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg said. The person was tracked through the car’s vehicle identification number, which was stripped from the dashboard, Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly said. The number is also typically stamped on parts such as the engine block. ‘Intended to Terrorize’ The attempted bombing “was intended to terrorize,” Robert Gibbs , the White House press secretary, said yesterday. Gibbs said today that President Barack Obama was notified about Shahzad’s arrest at around midnight. The intended detonator, Kelly said, was a can filled with consumer-grade fireworks. The car also held two containers of gasoline and three propane tanks, wired with two clocks, the commissioner said. A man described as about 40 years old was seen on a neighborhood surveillance camera as he hurried through Shubert Alley , a pedestrian walkway between West 44th and West 45th Streets, steps from where the explosive-laden car was parked on May 1, he said. The man can be seen on the video removing a dark shirt, revealing a red T-shirt underneath, Kelly said. He placed the outer shirt in a bag and walked from the scene “in a furtive manner,” the commissioner said. Safe as Ever Police also collected images of the vehicle as it traveled along West 45th Street before being left at a curb near several Broadway theaters, the mayor said. “This city is as safe as it’s ever been,” Bloomberg said. “Is it perfectly safe? No, but we always will have events, we’ve had 11 or so in the last eight years, and every time we have responded appropriately. We keep changing our procedures, we keep studying what happens overseas, and we so far have done the right thing.” The police presence has been increased in the Times Square area. Bloomberg urged tourists and New Yorkers to continue visiting the area and “enjoy a Broadway show.” The mayor is founder and majority owner of Bloomberg News parent Bloomberg LP. To contact the reporters on this story: Henry Goldman in New York City Hall at hgoldman@bloomberg.net ; Mark Tannenbaum at mtannen@bloomberg.net .

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U.S. Citizen of Pakistani Origin Arrested in Times Square Bomb Plot Probe

May 4, 2010

By Henry Goldman and Mark Tannenbaum May 4 (Bloomberg) — U.S. law enforcement authorities said they arrested a naturalized American citizen from Pakistan in connection with the attempted car bombing in Times Square this past weekend. Agents from the Department of Homeland Security arrested Faisal Shahzad at New York’s John F. Kennedy International Airport as he was attempting to board a flight to Dubai, U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder said at an early morning news conference in Washington. The announcement came less than three days after a botched bombing attempt that led police to evacuate parts of Times Square. “This investigation is ongoing, as are our attempts to gather useful intelligence, and we continue to pursue a number of leads,” Holder said. “But it’s clear that the intent behind this terrorist act was to kill Americans.” Agents from the Federal Bureau of Investigation and New York City police detectives arrested Shahzad for “allegedly driving a car bomb into Times Square on the evening of May 1,” the Department of Justice said in a statement early today. The 1993 Nissan Pathfinder was sold for cash about three weeks ago at a Connecticut shopping mall in a sale arranged through the Craigslist website, CNN reported, citing an unidentified person in law enforcement with knowledge of the investigation. Vehicle ID Investigators interviewed the former owner of the bomb- carrying sport-utility vehicle, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg said. The person was tracked through the car’s vehicle identification number, which was stripped from the dashboard, Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly said. The number is also typically stamped on parts such as the engine block. The attempted bombing “was intended to terrorize, and I would say that whomever did that would be categorized as a terrorist,” Robert Gibbs , the White House press secretary said yesterday. The intended detonator, Kelly said, was a can filled with consumer-grade fireworks. The car also held two containers of gasoline and three propane tanks, wired with two clocks, the commissioner said. A man described as about 40 years old was seen on a neighborhood surveillance camera as he hurried through Shubert Alley , a pedestrian walkway between West 44th and West 45th Streets, steps from where the explosive-laden car was parked May 1, he said. ‘Furtive Manner’ The man can be seen on the video removing a dark shirt, revealing a red T-shirt underneath, Kelly said. He placed the outer shirt in a bag and walked from the scene “in a furtive manner,” the commissioner said. Police also collected images of the vehicle as it traveled along West 45th Street before being left at a curb near several Broadway theaters, the mayor said. Investigators have “no evidence” that a group of Pakistani Taliban sympathizers were responsible for the attempt, although a self-described group took credit for it, Kelly said. He noted authorities have ruled out the group’s involvement in other attempted and successful attacks around the world after receiving similar messages in the past. Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano , in an interview on NBC TV, said it’s “premature to rule in or out” that the bombing attempt is linked to international terrorism. “This city is as safe as it’s ever been,” Bloomberg said. “Is it perfectly safe? No, but we always will have events, we’ve had 11 or so in the last eight years, and every time we have responded appropriately. We keep changing our procedures, we keep studying what happens overseas, and we so far have done the right thing. And you can never guarantee 100 percent.” The police presence has been increased in the Times Square area. Bloomberg urged tourists and New Yorkers to continue visiting the area and “enjoy a Broadway show.” The mayor is founder and majority owner of Bloomberg News parent Bloomberg LP. To contact the reporters on this story: Henry Goldman in New York City Hall at hgoldman@bloomberg.net ; Mark Tannenbaum at mtannen@bloomberg.net .

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New York Police Query SUV Owner on Times Square Bomb, Mayor Bloomberg Says

May 3, 2010

By Henry Goldman and Allison Bennett May 3 (Bloomberg) — New York City police interviewed the owner of a bomb-carrying sport-utility vehicle discovered in Times Square, Mayor Michael Bloomberg said. He pledged to add scores of video cameras to bolster security in the most populous U.S. city. The 1993 Nissan Pathfinder’s owner was tracked through the car’s vehicle identification number, which was stripped from the dashboard, Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly said. The number is typically stamped on other parts of a car or truck, such as the engine block. “We have no information whatsoever, no sense that they are involved,” Bloomberg said of the SUV’s owner. “We’re talking with everybody. We’ll continue to do that.” The attempted bombing “was intended to terrorize, and I would say that whomever did that would be categorized as a terrorist,” White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said. U.S. officials still don’t know who was responsible, he said. Several people in a plot with international links may have coordinated the incident, the Washington Post said, citing unidentified officials in President Barack Obama ’s administration. Bloomberg had “no immediate comment” on the report, said Jason Post , a spokesman for the mayor. The city will spend $110 million to add video cameras in Midtown Manhattan between 30th and 60th Streets, from the Hudson River to the East River, to expand a security network centered on Wall Street downtown, Bloomberg said today. ‘Whatever Is Necessary’ “I commit to you we will spend whatever is necessary in either federal or, if need be, city funds, to complete this project and to protect New York,” Bloomberg, 68, told reporters at a press conference in the Bronx. U.S. Senator Charles Schumer will seek federal funding for a system using security cameras and license-plate readers to record and track “every vehicle moving between 34th and 59th Streets,” the New York Democrat said in a press release. A man described as about 40 years old was seen on a neighborhood surveillance camera as he hurried through Shubert Alley , a pedestrian walkway between 44th and 45th Streets, steps from where the explosive-laden car was parked May 1, Kelly said. Red T-Shirt The man can be seen on the video removing a dark shirt, revealing a red T-shirt underneath, Kelly said. He placed the outer shirt in a bag and walked from the scene “in a furtive manner,” the commissioner said. Police also collected images of the SUV as it traveled along 45th Street at Times Square before being left at a curb near several Broadway theaters, the mayor said. While the police department has 82 cameras in the Times Square area, there are many more, he said. “There are hundreds of cameras, mostly in private buildings,” Bloomberg said. “This is a function that government should provide and to the extent that the private sector has information that would augment that, that is great, and we certainly take that into account.” The 1,949-room Marriott Marquis , across the street from where the car was parked, said it was cooperating with authorities. “We did provide the authorities access to all video content as needed,” said Kathleen Duffy, a spokeswoman for Marriott International Inc.’s hotels in New York City. The Marriott Marquis evacuated 800 to 1,000 people to ballrooms for about seven hours during the bomb scare, she said. ‘My Home Town’ It’s too early to call the case a “terrorist incident” or to say “who might ultimately be responsible and who’s involved,” Attorney General Eric Holder told reporters in Arlington, Virginia, today, according to a Justice Department transcript. There are “a number of leads” in addition to surveillance video, he said. “New York remains a target,” Holder said. “There’s a determination by those terrorists to try to inflict damage on my home town.” Transit officials and some Times Square building owners said they had already upgraded security in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attack on the World Trade Center. “NYC Transit has remained at the highest state of alert since 9/11, reminding employees to report any suspicious activity,” said Paul Fleuranges , a spokesman for New York City Transit, which operates the subways and buses. Heightened Awareness He cited an April 30 incident in which track workers spotted someone in a tunnel near Bowling Green in lower Manhattan and turned the individual in to police as “an example of that heightened state of awareness.” In response to the bombing attempt, the Transportation Security Administration began conducting operations at East Coast airports to find explosives in vehicles, a Department of Homeland Security official said. Authorities also were doing more random screenings as passengers went through security checkpoints and at departure gates, said the official, who requested anonymity. “The past five weeks, there’s been a noticeable increase in military and police,” said Scott Froseth, 30, a business consultant, in Manhattan’s Penn Station. He travels from Hartford, Connecticut, to Brooklyn every Monday. “Guys in fatigues with their hands on their guns. It’s the same as usual today.” New York City “should increase video surveillance,” said cabdriver Nana Sarfo, 41, a Bronx resident and Ghana native. Interviewed along Eighth Avenue in midtown Manhattan, Sarfo said he hadn’t seen police searching cars today. Tourist Video Police travelled to Pennsylvania, where a tourist reported that he may have unintentionally photographed the person while taking snapshots of Times Square, Kelly said. Investigators have “no evidence” that a group of Pakistani Taliban sympathizers were responsible for the attempt, although a self-described group took credit for it, Kelly said. He noted authorities have ruled out the group’s involvement in other attempted and successful attacks around the world after receiving similar messages in the past. “Cops aren’t going to make me feel any safer because we’re not addressing the source of the problem: what motivates these people,” said Pepe Palikis, 55, a cattle trader for Australian Agriculture Co. who travels from New York to Philadelphia via Penn Station three times a week. “Right now I’m more concerned with the U.S. dollar going down.” Improvised Explosive Investigators have examined bags of a granular material found in a gun box in the car, which they believe might be fertilizer, Kelly said. Timothy McVeigh used about 5,000 pounds of ammonium nitrate fertilizer ingredient in the improvised explosive device in the 1995 truck bombing of a federal building in Oklahoma City. The intended detonator of the Times Square bomb, Kelly said, was a 16-ounce can filled with consumer-grade fireworks. The car also held two five-gallon containers of gasoline and three propane tanks, wired with two clocks, the commissioner said. Obama , speaking in Louisiana where he had gone to inspect damage from the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, praised the city’s police and fire departments, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and the street vendor who alerted police to the smoking car. ‘Every Step Necessary’ “My national security team has been taking every step necessary to ensure that our state and local partners have the full support and cooperation of the federal government,” Obama said. “We’re going to do what is necessary to protect the American people to determine who’s behind this potentially deadly act and to see that justice is done.” U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano , in an interview on NBC’s “Today” show, said it’s “premature to rule in or out” that the bombing attempt is linked to international terrorism. Plans to host foreign ministers in New York at a United Nations conference on nuclear non-proliferation won’t be disrupted, said U.S. State Department spokesman Philip Crowley . The gathering, which will draw participants from Europe, the Middle East and Asia, starts May 4. Businesses Respond Among businesses stepping up security was Bank of America Corp. , whose 54-story tower is about two blocks from where the vehicle was parked. “Our corporate security team has increased uniform presence at One Bryant Park,” spokesman T.J. Crawford said in an e-mail. The building “was built with 9/11 in mind,” said its owner, Douglas Durst , co-president of The Durst Organization, in a phone interview. Completed in 2008, the structure “has extra-wide staircases, it has pressurized stairs to keep smoke out, and it’s surrounded by bollards,” or protective traffic guards, he said. Durst, whose properties also include the Conde Nast building at 4 Times Square, said his company had installed security cameras and refitted buildings with blast-resistant glass and traffic buffers to protect against car bombs. “This city is as safe as it’s ever been,” Bloomberg said. “Is it perfectly safe? No, but we always will have events, we’ve had 11 or so in the last eight years, and every time we have responded appropriately. We keep changing our procedures, we keep studying what happens overseas, and we so far have done the right thing. And you can never guarantee 100 percent.” Police presence has been increased in the Times Square area today. Bloomberg urged tourists and New Yorkers to continue visiting the area and “enjoy a Broadway show.” The mayor is founder and majority owner of Bloomberg News parent Bloomberg LP. To contact the reporters on this story: Henry Goldman in New York City Hall at hgoldman@bloomberg.net ; Allison Bennett in New York at abennett23@bloomberg.net .

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Greece Gets $146 Billion Rescue in EU, IMF Package

May 3, 2010

By Gabi Thesing and Flavia Krause-Jackson May 3 (Bloomberg) — Euro-region ministers agreed to a 110 billion-euro ($146 billion) rescue package for Greece to prevent a default and stop the worst crisis in the currency’s 11-year history from spreading through the rest of the bloc. The first payment will be made before Greece’s next bond redemption on May 19, said Jean-Claude Juncker after chairing a meeting of euro-region finance ministers in Brussels yesterday. The 16-nation bloc will pay 80 billion euros at a rate of around 5 percent and the International Monetary Fund contributes the rest. Greece agreed to budget measures worth 13 percent of gross domestic product. “It’s an ambitious program, it’s austere but it’s absolutely necessary,” Juncker told reporters. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet , speaking at the same press conference, said Greece’s plan will “help to restore confidence and safeguard financial stability in the euro area.” Policy makers agreed to the unprecedented bailout after investors’ concerns about a potential Greek default sparked a rout in Portuguese and Spanish bonds last week and sent stock markets tumbling. At stake is the future of the euro 11 years after its creators left control of fiscal policy in national capitals. Collateral Rules The ECB, which was part of the bailout talks, said today it would accept all Greek government debt as collateral when lending to banks, indefinitely suspending minimum credit-rating thresholds. Further cuts in its credit rating could have left Greek bonds barred from ECB lending after Standard & Poor’s downgraded its debt to junk status on April 27. The extra yield that investors demand to hold Greek debt over German bunds narrowed 30 basis points to 564 basis points today, after surging to 826 basis points on April 28, the highest since before the start of the euro in 1999. The Portuguese spread narrowed 4 basis points to 209 after jumping to the most since at least 1997 last week and the premium on Spain was little changed at 101 basis points. The euro snapped three days of gains and declined to $1.322 from $1.3294 on April 30. The single currency has lost 10 percent in the past six months on concern the Greek crisis would spread and fell to a 12-month low of $1.3115 on April 28, EU Summit European Union leaders will meet on May 7 to discuss the pace of parliamentary approval of the Greek loans. Germany plans to debate the plan on the same day. “The EU can afford to bail-out Greece and even Portugal, but it cannot afford bailing out Spain,” said Andrew Bosomworth , Munich-based head of portfolio management at Pacific Investment Management Co., which oversees the world’s largest mutual fund from Newport Beach, California. “Therefore a lot is resting on getting Greece right.” Germany will provide 28 percent of the euro region’s overall contribution. In return for rescue funds, Greece agreed to measures that the ADEDY civil servants union called “savage.” Greece will cut wages and freeze pensions for three years as well as increase the main sales tax to 23 percent from 21 percent. Progress will be monitored quarterly, the Greek government said. “It is not an easy day,” said Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou in Brussels. “It’s not going to be easy for Greek citizens. But it’s absolutely clear that the Greek government is prepared to do what it needs to do.” Three-Year Lifeline The financial lifeline lasts three years and forces Greece to cut its budget deficit below the European Union’s limit of 3 percent of gross domestic product by the end of 2014, a year later than originally planned. The shortfall was 13.6 percent last year, the second-biggest in the region after Ireland. Greece now expects its economy to shrink 4 percent this year and 2.6 percent before returning to growth in 2012. The package will also set up a “financial stabilization” fund to help banks with potential bad loans stemming from the austerity measures. Ten billion of the total rescue package will be earmarked for the fund, said EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn . Policy makers are trying to ringfence the Greek crisis after yields surged across the euro region’s periphery on concern Spain, Portugal and Ireland will also struggle to cut their deficits. S&P followed its decision to cut Greece’s credit rating to junk on April 27 with downgrades on Portugal and Spain. ‘Special Case’ Rehn indicated that the Greek bailout plan can’t be seen as a blueprint for other euro nations as Greece is a “special case” because of the way previous governments fudged its deficit statistics. At 11.2 percent of GDP, Spain’s budget deficit was the third-highest in the euro region last year and Portugal’s was the fourth-biggest at 9.4 percent. Asked about contagion risks, Austrian Finance Minister Josef Proell said yesterday’s agreement “will send a clear signal to the markets that Europe is able” to handle the crisis and “minimize the risk” of it spreading. The Greek bailout marks an end to nearly three months of debate among EU leaders on whether and how to rescue a euro region nation teetering on the brink of default. German Chancellor Angela Merkel has been reluctant to put taxpayers’ funds at risk as her government faces a regional election in North Rhine-Westphalia on May 9. Popular Opposition Fifty-six percent of Germans oppose giving Greece aid, calling such support “wrong,” Bild am Sonntag reported, citing an Emnid survey. Germany hopes to secure parliament’s approval for the plan by May 7. Merkel yesterday said she was right to demand IMF involvement in the fund over the objections of her European peers. “Three months ago it would have been unthinkable that Greece would accept such tough conditions,” she said in Bonn. Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou is likely to face his own difficulties. The austerity plan has sparked opposition in Athens, with the federation of civil servants calling a 48- hour strike starting May 4. “They won’t manage to enforce these measures,” said Pavlos Nikolaou , 39, who runs a mini-market in Athens. ‘I don’t think this will be the end of measures, they’ll have to announce more next year. Cutting salaries is also not what’s going to solve Greece’s problems.” “Implementation will now be investors’ foremost concern in the coming months, and Greece will have to work hard to rebuild its reputation and regain market confidence,” said Annunziata. “It will be an uphill struggle.” To contact the reporters on this story: Flavia Krause-Jackson at fjackson@bloomberg.net Gabi Thesing in London at gthesing@bloomberg.net ;

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Greece Gets $146 Billion Rescue on EU, IMF Austerity Package

May 2, 2010

By Gabi Thesing and Flavia Krause-Jackson May 3 (Bloomberg) — Euro-region ministers agreed to a 110 billion-euro ($146 billion) rescue package for Greece to prevent a default and stop the worst crisis in the currency’s 11-year history from spreading through the rest of the bloc. The first payment will be made before Greece’s next bond redemption on May 19, said Jean-Claude Juncker after chairing a meeting of euro-region finance ministers in Brussels yesterday. The 16-nation bloc will pay 80 billion euros at a rate of around 5 percent and the International Monetary Fund contributes the rest. Greece agreed to budget measures worth 13 percent of gross domestic product. “It’s an ambitious program, it’s austere but it’s absolutely necessary,” Juncker told reporters. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet , speaking at the same press conference, said Greece’s plan will “help to restore confidence and safeguard financial stability in the euro area.” Policy makers agreed to the unprecedented bailout after investors’ concerns about a potential Greek default sparked a rout in Portuguese and Spanish bonds last week and sent stock markets tumbling. At stake is the future of the euro 11 years after its creators left control of fiscal policy in national capitals. Interest Rate The extra yield that investors demand to hold Greek debt over German bunds surged to 826 basis points on April 28 after Standard & Poor’s cut its rating to junk. It eased to 594 points on April 30 as signs of an agreement emerged. The Portuguese spread jumped to the most since at least 1997 last week and the premium on Spain climbed to the highest since March 2009. The euro, which fell to a 12-month low of $1.3115 on April 28, strengthened to $1.3294 two days later. European Union leaders will meet on May 7 to discuss the pace of parliamentary approval of the Greek loans. Germany plans to debate the plan on the same day. “The EU can afford to bail-out Greece and even Portugal, but it cannot afford bailing out Spain,” said Andrew Bosomworth , Munich-based head of portfolio management at Pacific Investment Management Co., which oversees the world’s largest mutual fund from Newport Beach, California. “Therefore a lot is resting on getting Greece right.” Germany will provide 28 percent of the euro region’s overall contribution. ‘Not an Easy Day’ In return for rescue funds, Greece agreed to measures that the ADEDY civil servants union called “savage.” Greece will cut wages and freeze pensions for three years as well as increase the main sales tax to 23 percent from 21 percent. Progress will be monitored quarterly, the Greek government said. “It is not an easy day,” said Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou in Brussels. “It’s not going to be easy for Greek citizens. But it’s absolutely clear that the Greek government is prepared to do what it needs to do.” The financial lifeline lasts three years and forces Greece to cut its budget deficit below the European Union’s limit of 3 percent of gross domestic product by the end of 2014, a year later than originally planned. The shortfall was 13.6 percent last year, the second-biggest in the region after Ireland. Greece now expects its economy to shrink 4 percent this year and 2.6 percent before returning to growth in 2012. The package will also set up a “financial stabilization” fund to help banks with potential bad loans stemming from the austerity measures. Ten billion of the total rescue package will be earmarked for the fund, said EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn . Ringfence Policy makers are trying to ringfence the Greek crisis after yields surged across the euro region’s periphery on concern Spain, Portugal and Ireland will also struggle to cut their deficits. S&P followed its decision to cut Greece’s credit rating to junk on April 27 with downgrades on Portugal and Spain. Rehn indicated that the Greek bailout plan can’t be seen as a blueprint for other euro nations as Greece is a “special case” because of the way previous governments fudged its deficit statistics. At 11.2 percent of GDP, Spain’s budget deficit was the third-highest in the euro region last year and Portugal’s was the fourth-biggest at 9.4 percent. Asked about contagion risks, Austrian Finance Minister Josef Proell said yesterday’s agreement “will send a clear signal to the markets that Europe is able” to handle the crisis and “minimize the risk” of it spreading. Debate The Greek bailout marks an end to nearly three months of debate among EU leaders on whether and how to rescue a euro region nation teetering on the brink of default. German Chancellor Angela Merkel has been reluctant to put taxpayers’ funds at risk as her government faces a regional election in North Rhine-Westphalia on May 9. Fifty-six percent of Germans oppose giving Greece aid, calling such support “wrong,” Bild am Sonntag reported, citing an Emnid survey. Germany hopes to secure parliament’s approval for the plan by May 7. Merkel yesterday said she was right to demand IMF involvement in the fund over the objections of her European peers. “Three months ago it would have been unthinkable that Greece would accept such tough conditions,” she said in Bonn. Austerity Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou is likely to face his own difficulties. The austerity plan has sparked opposition in Athens, with the federation of civil servants calling a 48- hour strike starting May 4. “They won’t manage to enforce these measures,” said Pavlos Nikolaou , 39, who runs a mini-market in Athens. ‘I don’t think this will be the end of measures, they’ll have to announce more next year. Cutting salaries is also not what’s going to solve Greece’s problems.” “Implementation will now be investors’ foremost concern in the coming months, and Greece will have to work hard to rebuild its reputation and regain market confidence,” said Annunziata. “It will be an uphill struggle.” To contact the reporters on this story: Flavia Krause-Jackson at fjackson@bloomberg.net Gabi Thesing in London at gthesing@bloomberg.net ;

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