comptroller

OCC Head Urges Action On CRE Concentrations

March 27, 2010

John Dugan the comptroller of the currency is calling for a closer examination of commercial real estate lending concentrations with an eye toward an appropriate regulatory response

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OCC Head Urges Action On CRE Concentrations

March 27, 2010

John Dugan the comptroller of the currency is calling for a closer examination of commercial real estate lending concentrations with an eye toward an appropriate regulatory response

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Half of U.S. Home Loan Modifications Default Again

March 25, 2010

By John Gittelsohn March 25 (Bloomberg) — More than half of U.S. borrowers who received loan modifications on delinquent mortgages defaulted again after nine months, according to a federal report. The re-default rate of loans modified in the first quarter of 2009 was 51.5 percent by the end of the year, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision said in a joint report today. The figure, which measures payments at least 30 days late, climbed to 57.9 percent for changes made in the prior 12 months. U.S. homeowners are struggling to make payments as depressed housing prices leave them owing more than their properties are worth. About 24 percent of properties with a mortgage were underwater in the fourth quarter, First American CoreLogic said last month. The median price of a U.S. home was $165,100 in February, down 28 percent from its peak in July 2006, according to the National Association of Realtors. Modifications are “clearly not working well and it’s not a surprise,” said Sam Khater , a senior economist at First American CoreLogic in Tysons Corner, Virginia. “It’s pointless to rewrite these loans because they’re underwater.” The number of homes with mortgage payments at least 60 days late climbed 2.39 million in the fourth quarter, up 13.1 percent from the prior three months and 49.6 percent from the year earlier period, the quarterly Mortgage Metrics report said. Obama Program President Barack Obama ’s administration is pressuring lenders to alter loans to reduce the number of properties lost to foreclosure. About 4.5 million foreclosures filings are expected in 2010, according to RealtyTrac Inc., an Irvine, California-based seller of default data. A government watchdog report released today criticized the government’s main foreclosure prevention effort, the Home Affordable Modification Program, or HAMP, for “spreading out the foreclosure crisis” over several years by failing to help enough troubled borrowers. “The program will not be a long-term success if large amounts of borrowers simply re-default and end up facing foreclosure anyway,” said the report by the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, prepared for a Congressional hearing today. Assistant Treasury Secretary Herb Allison defended the program at the Congressional hearing, saying it has shown signs of stabilizing the housing market. Before HAMP The Mortgage Metrics data are based mostly on modifications made before HAMP, Joe Evers , deputy for large bank supervision at the Comptroller of the Currency, said in a phone interview today. Permanent loan changes under the government program accounted for only 21,000 of the total 594,000 modification plans initiated during the fourth quarter of 2009, making it too soon to evaluate the effectiveness of that plan, Evers said. There were 168,708 delinquent loans permanently modified under HAMP as of the end of February, according to a Treasury Department report March 12. Borrowers were more likely to default when their monthly payments aren’t reduced enough in modifications to make staying in a home affordable, Evers said. “Our data show that when you reduce payments by 20 percent or more you have a tendency for lower re-default rates,” he said from Washington. Bank Modifications The Mortgage Metrics report tracks 34 million mortgages with an outstanding balance of $6 trillion and is based on data from nine national banks and three thrifts. The data represent more than 64 percent of all first-lien mortgages. Modified loans in the portfolio of banks — as opposed to loans owned by investors or government-sponsored enterprises such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — had the best record of avoiding re-default, the Mortgage Metrics report said. The banks are free to design modification plans for individual borrowers, Bruce Krueger, a mortgage banking expert with the Office of the Comptroller, said in a phone interview. The HAMP program requires lenders to follow a path of concessions to modify loans, beginning with interest rate reductions, extended loan terms and principal forebearance. “It’s a very rigid process,” Krueger said of the HAMP program. “If the loan is on the bank’s books itself, the servicer can do whatever the bank might allow.” To contact the reporter on this story: John Gittelsohn in New York at johngitt@bloomberg.net .

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Bank Watch: Regulators Calling for Tougher CRE Lending Guidance

March 24, 2010

U.S. banking regulators continued their drumbeat of warnings this past week concerning commercial real estate loan concentrations. This time it was Comptroller of the Currency John C. Dugan speaking in Orlando before the Independent Community Bankers…

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Texas Beating Other States Out of Recession on Job Growth, Comerica Says

March 22, 2010

By Darrell Preston March 22 (Bloomberg) — Texas , the second-most populous U.S. state, is among the first to emerge from the recession that began in December 2007 as job growth returned sooner, Comerica Inc. said in a report. The Texas economy followed states into the worst economic slump since 1930s, bottomed in September 2009 and began growing, five months before job growth hit bottom for the rest of the country, according to the report today by Dana Johnson , the chief economist at the Dallas-based bank. The turnaround should mean state revenue will return to growth sometime in the next year as more jobs generate new tax income, said Johnson, in an interview. Texas collected $1.6 billion from sales tax, which supplies half of the state’s general fund budget, in February, an 8.8 percent decline from a year earlier, Comptroller Susan Combs said March 10. “Tax revenues will come back,” said Johnson. “It was a difficult recession in Texas, but it was a little less bad than the national recession.” National unemployment bottomed out at 4.4 percent in early 2007, while it stayed between 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent in the state through that year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. National unemployment hit 10.1 percent in October while it remained at a peak of 8.2 percent in Texas. Texas will benefit more than other states from the national rebound in manufacturing and industrial production because of the state’s diversified and sizeable manufacturing base, the report said. Manufacturing accounts for 13 percent of Texas’s gross domestic product, the report said. The report predicted the state’s low unemployment rate would continue to draw employees seeking work. Last year the state’s population of about 24 million people expanded by 2 percent, more than twice the national rate, Comerica said in its report. To contact the reporter on this story: Darrell Preston in Dallas at dpreston@bloomberg.net .

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Bernanke Says Large Bank Bailouts `Unconscionable,’ Must Not Occur Again

March 20, 2010

By Steve Matthews and Phil Mattingly March 20 (Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said government bailouts of large financial firms are “unconscionable” and must be ended as part of a regulatory overhaul following the worst financial crisis since the 1930s. “It is unconscionable that the fate of the world economy should be so closely tied to the fortunes of a relatively small number of giant financial firms,” Bernanke said today in a speech in Orlando, Florida. “If we achieve nothing else in the wake of the crisis, we must ensure that we never again face such a situation.” Congress is considering a resolution mechanism for financial firms that are so large or interconnected to other institutions that their failure could damage the financial system. A plan by Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd , a Connecticut Democrat, would allow the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. to liquidate a large firm after a panel of bankruptcy judges determines the company is insolvent and with approval of the Fed, FDIC and Treasury Department. The Fed chairman has faced criticism from Congress for bailouts that he said were intended to prevent a possible depression. Lawmakers including Dodd have criticized the Fed’s purchase of $29 billion of securities in March 2008 to facilitate the merger of Bear Stearns Cos. with JPMorgan Chase & Co., and loans to keep American International Group Inc. from default. All large financial firms rather than just big banks should be subject to stronger regulation, Bernanke told bankers gathered for the Independent Community Bankers of America convention. Shareholders and creditors should not be protected from losses in any plan, he said. Revamping Approach The Fed is revamping its approach to supervision of large banks, using economists and quantitative analysts to help with horizontal reviews targeting risks across the financial system, Bernanke said. “We at the Federal Reserve have been working with international colleagues to require that the most systemically critical firms increase their holdings of capital and liquidity and improve their risk management,” he said. The Fed chief also endorsed the concept of financial firms having “living wills,” or plans on how to unwind should they become insolvent. Dodd’s proposal includes a provision that requires large, complex companies to periodically submit “funeral plans” for their quick and orderly shutdown in the event of failure. “An idea worth exploring is to require firms to develop and maintain a so-called living will, which will help firms and regulators identify ways to simplify and untangle the firm before a crisis occurs,” he said. No Authority While the FDIC has the power to take over failing deposit- taking firms and wind down assets, no such authority exists for financial firms that aren’t classified as banks, such as AIG or a hedge fund with extensive links throughout the banking system. The Fed chairman also defended the central bank’s structure, including 12 regional banks, as a useful decentralized network to monitor the financial system and economy. He said the oversight of small banks has been critical to the Fed in setting monetary policy. “ A supervisory agency that focused only on the largest banking institutions, without knowledge of community banks, would get a limited and potentially distorted picture,” he said. Fighting Efforts Answering questions after his speech, Bernanke urged community bankers to help keep the central bank informed about changes in finance and the economy. “We greatly value the input and information we get from community banks all across the country,” he said. “In the current crisis, understanding commercial real estate, understanding other problems in credit markets is greatly aided by knowing what’s happening in community banks.” Bernanke and Fed bank presidents are fighting efforts from Congress to shrink the Fed’s role in bank supervision. Dodd proposed that the Fed’s supervisory authority include only bank holding companies with more than $50 billion in assets, while the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency would regulate other banks. A bill passed by the House of Representatives in December left the Fed’s current supervisory authority intact. Supervisory Authority The Fed oversees about 5,000 bank holding companies and more than 800 state member banks. The Board of Governors in Washington delegates supervisory authority to the regional Fed banks which have examiners on staff. Smaller bankers are on the “front line” of coping with aftershocks from the financial crisis, including “high unemployment, lost incomes and wealth, home foreclosures, strained fiscal budgets,” Bernanke said. The central bank chairman didn’t comment directly on the economy or outlook for monetary policy in his remarks. The Fed has kept the federal funds rate target for overnight loans between banks in a range of zero to 0.25 percent since December 2008. Policy makers began using the “extended period” language in March 2009 and have repeated it at each meeting since then. To contact the reporters on this story: Steve Matthews in St. Louis at smatthews@bloomberg.net ; Phil Mattingly in Washington at pmattingly@bloomberg.net

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Bernanke Says Fed Shouldn’t Be Relegated to `Too-Big-to-Fail’ Regulator

March 17, 2010

By Joshua Zumbrun and Craig Torres March 17 (Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the central bank is best qualified to oversee the largest financial institutions and should retain its oversight of smaller banks as well. The Fed’s “wide range of expertise” makes it “uniquely suited to supervise large, complex financial organizations and to address both safety and soundness risks and risks to the stability of the financial system as a whole,” Bernanke said in testimony today to the House Financial Services Committee. Bernanke and regional Fed bank presidents are opposing efforts by Congress to remove much of the central bank’s supervisory role, saying such authority complements monetary policy. Bernanke sent senators an 11-page paper in January arguing that the Fed should retain its powers, while Fed presidents have written lawmakers and made their case in speeches. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd proposed legislation this week that would limit the Fed’s supervisory authority to bank holding companies with more than $50 billion in assets. Under his plan the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency would regulate other banks. A bill passed by the House of Representatives in December left the Fed’s current supervisory authority intact. Dodd’s proposed bill is part of the most sweeping overhaul of financial regulation since the 1930s and is intended to prevent a repeat of the crisis that prompted taxpayer-funded bailouts of firms including Citigroup Inc . and American International Group Inc. The Connecticut Democrat has called the Fed’s performance on supervision “abysmal.” Needed Authority Bernanke, while not directly addressing Dodd’s proposal, said the House legislation would preserve the authority needed by the Fed. The Fed oversees about 5,000 bank holding companies and about 850 state member banks. The Board of Governors in Washington delegates supervisory authority to the 12 regional Fed banks. “The Federal Reserve’s participation in the oversight of banks of all sizes significantly improves its ability to carry out its central banking functions,” Bernanke said. Under Dodd’s proposal, the Fed would supervise about 35 of the biggest financial institutions. A markup for legislators on the banking committee to review and amend Dodd’s draft will be held March 22. ‘Reduced Too Far’ “I’ll be interested in amendments dealing with the Fed’s role,” Senator Judd Gregg , a New Hampshire Republican and member of the Senate Banking Committee, said yesterday in an interview. “I think it has been reduced too far, especially on oversight over bank holding companies,” he said. “They should retain the oversight they have.” Fed bank presidents Eric Rosengren of Boston, Narayana Kocherlakota of Minneapolis, Dennis Lockhart of Atlanta, and Jeffrey Lacker of Richmond have made the case for keeping supervision within the Fed in speeches over the past month. Lacker said the Fed needs to oversee banks that may receive loans through the central bank’s discount window to address short-term liquidity needs. “It makes no sense to diminish the Fed’s robust role in the supervision of a range of banking institutions, from large to small,” Lacker said March 1. Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig , the central bank’s longest-serving policy maker, sent a letter last month to 14 senators saying proposed laws in the Senate wouldn’t improve financial regulation. ‘Striking Irony’ “It is a striking irony to me that the outcome of the public anger directed toward Washington and Wall Street may lead to further empowerment of both Washington and Wall Street in regulating financial institutions,” Hoenig said. Bernanke said the Fed’s role as a supervisor of smaller banks “provides useful information about the economy and financial conditions throughout the nation.” He said the Fed was engaged in an “intensive self- examination” of its regulatory performance. “We have adopted a more explicitly multidisciplinary approach, making use of the Federal Reserve’s broad expertise in economics, financial markets, payment systems, and bank supervision,” Bernanke said. To contact the reporters on this story: Joshua Zumbrun in Washington at jzumbrun@bloomberg.net ;

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`On the Edge’ Banks Facing Writedowns After FDIC Auctions of Seized Loans

March 8, 2010

By James Sterngold March 8 (Bloomberg) — A Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. plan to auction more than $1 billion in assets seized from failed banks next month, including a loan to build a W Hotel in Atlanta, may trigger writedowns that weaken lenders nationwide. Almost half of the loans were originated by Silverton Bank N.A., whose collapse last May was the biggest in Georgia history. Community banks that joined Silverton in providing $80 million for the 237-room hotel and condominium complex, as well as backing for 39 other projects, could be forced to write down their stakes to reflect sale prices . The auctions may have wider repercussions. Of the $50.4 billion in loans seized from failed banks currently held by the FDIC, 63 percent involve participations by other lenders, according to data provided by agency spokesman Greg Hernandez . “These banks can’t believe that the regulator they pay to protect them is going to sell these loans to someone who can flip them and cause them serious losses,” said Robert Reynolds, a lawyer at Reynolds Reynolds & Duncan LLC in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, who represents 25 lenders that took part in financing the W Hotel . “Our banks just cannot believe they’re being treated in a way that ultimately hurts the FDIC’s insurance fund, because some of them are right on the edge.” Bank Failures A total of 140 banks failed last year, and FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said the number may be higher this year. It stands at 26 as of March 6. The agency said on Feb. 23 that 702 banks were on its “problem” list as of Dec. 31, up from 552 at the end of the third quarter. The FDIC’s insurance fund had a deficit of $20.9 billion at the end of the year. “This whole thing is a mess waiting to happen across the country,” said Geoffrey Miller , a professor of securities law at New York University and director of the Center for the Study of Central Banks and Financial Institutions. “Unlike the subprime mortgage problems, which hit mostly bigger financial institutions, the commercial real estate crisis is going to hit mostly smaller and regional banks,” Miller said. “It was common for them to make these loans and buy participations. It’s a systemic problem that the FDIC has to deal with.” That view was echoed by John J. Collins, president of Community Bankers of Washington in Lakewood, Washington. Some banks in his state have expressed concern that they may have to take writedowns as a result of the FDIC sale of seized loans in which they participated, he said. “We have a number of banks teetering on the edge, and we don’t need this problem,” Collins said in an interview. ‘Maximize’ Recovery The FDIC is “required by statute to maximize its recovery on receivership assets,” Hernandez, the agency spokesman, said in an e-mail. “This is achieved through a broad, competitive bid process.” A $416 million package of Silverton assets being auctioned for the FDIC by Deutsche Bank AG includes $254 million of loans for commercial real estate projects such as the W Hotel in which the bank sold participations, according to Deutsche Bank’s announcement of the sale. They range from providing $752,000 in financing for convenience stores in Los Angeles to $46 million for a Le Meridien Hotel in Philadelphia. Bids are due April 12. The FDIC will entertain offers for individual loans or the entire Silverton portfolio, retaining a 60 percent interest to benefit from future profits, Hernandez said. The agency is separately auctioning $610.5 million of overdue loans seized from failed U.S. lenders, including $85.3 million in Silverton assets and $220.2 million issued by New Frontier Bank in Greeley, Colorado. That sale is being handled by New York-based Mission Capital Advisors LLC. The deadline for bids is April 6. W Hotel The loan for construction of the W Hotel in downtown Atlanta was made in April 2008, a month after the collapse of Bear Stearns Cos., according to Reynolds. The developer of the property is Atlanta-based Barry Real Estate Cos. , which owns commercial projects in Atlanta, Dallas, Orlando, Florida and Birmingham, Alabama. The hotel, managed by Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. , opened in January 2009. It offers amenities such as a Bliss Spa and a service for obtaining skybox seats at Atlanta Braves baseball games. Silverton’s Specialty Finance Group LLC, which made the loan, notified the developer that it was in default, according to a letter dated April 16. The hotel is operating at “close to 60 percent” occupancy, said Hal Barry, chairman of Barry Real Estate. The occupancy rate for luxury hotels nationwide in the fourth quarter of last year was 60.6 percent, according to Smith Travel Research Inc. in Hendersonville, Tennessee. There are also 76 condominiums in the complex, of which one has sold, he said. He declined to comment about the status of the loan. Servicing Rights A sale of Silverton’s $23 million share of the financing at half its book value could force participating banks to take more than $30 million in writedowns, Reynolds said. The sale of loans from failed banks in 2009 brought on average 43 percent of their book value, according to an FDIC summary. Non-performing loans, those on which the borrower has defaulted or there is little prospect of repayment, were sold for 26 percent of their book value on average. Reynolds has proposed that the FDIC sell Silverton’s interest in the project separately from its lead role in servicing the loan. That would enable the participating banks to buy the servicing rights and seek a long-term workout, avoiding any immediate writedowns. Selling the servicing rights along with Silverton’s portion of the loan, which give the owner the ability to restructure or foreclose on a loan, could encourage short-term investors, Reynolds said. ‘Decreases’ Value If the loan is sold to a buyer who restructures it at less than book value or forecloses on the property, participating banks would have to write down their stakes, said Russell Mallett, a partner at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP in New York who specializes in bank accounting. Absent a restructuring, banks have flexibility in how they value loans, he said. “This is not a perfect real estate development, but it could work its way out of its problems if they get more funding and we’re patient,” said Ralph Banks, executive vice president of Merchants & Farmers Bank of Greene County in Eutaw, Alabama, which owns less than $1 million of the loan. That view was supported by executives at two other lenders that bought participations who asked not to be identified because their banks’ roles as owners of the W Hotel loan haven’t been disclosed. The FDIC has a policy of not splitting servicing rights from loan ownership because it “decreases the value of those assets,” said Hernandez, the agency spokesman. ‘Deal With Themselves’ Reynolds said the banks he represents may bid for Silverton’s share of the W Hotel loan if they can come up with the capital in order to stave off writedowns. Some of the lenders are already in financial trouble, he said, declining to identify them. One that participated in the loan, Florida Community Bank in Immokalee, Florida, failed on Jan. 29. Silverton, a wholesale bank based in Atlanta with no consumer operations, was owned and overseen by more than 400 community lenders in the region. It was founded in 1986 and provided banking services, including wire-transfer systems, bond trading and credit-card operations, to about 1,400 institutions in 44 states. Reynolds said the banks that owned Silverton, some of which had representatives on its board, never imagined it would fail. “My clients had a long, successful record with Silverton,” Reynolds said. “When they signed their participations, they felt they were signing a deal with themselves because they all owned the bank. We all thought this was a way to diversify risk.” Silverton Failure The bank’s troubles began in early 2007, when it changed from a state to a national charter so it could accelerate its growth, according to a report by the Treasury Department’s Office of Inspector General, which reviews failures of banks regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Silverton’s commercial real estate lending rose to $1.2 billion at the end of 2008 from $681 million at the end of 2006, the report said. The bank had $4.1 billion in assets when it failed last year, and the FDIC said the closing will cost its insurance fund $1.3 billion. “The board and management either chose to ignore or failed to acknowledge the indicators of a declining real estate market,” the inspector general’s report said. Defaults Double Real estate loans at U.S. banks that are at least 90 days overdue or that are expected to default almost doubled in 12 months to 7.1 percent, according to December FDIC data . Non- performing loans for construction and development rose to 16 percent from 8.6 percent. “This is a situation the FDIC is going to face more, since the number of bank failures is going up,” said Gerard Cassidy , an analyst at RBC Capital Markets in Portland, Maine. “The FDIC is not in the business of managing loans, so they do have to sell them. But they also have to look at the bigger picture and take a global approach by liquidating those assets without hurting the banks that bought participations.” To contact the reporter on this story: James Sterngold in New York at jsterngold2@bloomberg.net

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Obama Backs Away from Stand-Alone Consumer Agency Amid Mounting Opposition

February 26, 2010

By Alison Vekshin and Julianna Goldman Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — The Obama administration has backed away from creating a stand-alone Consumer Financial Protection Agency in its overhaul of Wall Street regulations, bowing to mounting pressure from lawmakers and industry. A White House official in a statement yesterday signaled a willingness to accept less than a separate agency. The statement outlined the powers legislation must provide for a consumer authority and dropped references to a separate agency to police banks for lending abuses. “Our top priorities on CFPA are ensuring the bill includes independent appointment, an independent budget and an independent ability to set and enforce clear rules of the road to protect American families,” White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki said yesterday in an e-mail statement. A compromise over the consumer agency, which President Barack Obama proposed in June in his financial overhaul plan, would remove the main sticking point in Senate negotiations on the measure. Financial services industry lobbyists have fought the proposal in meetings with lawmakers, saying they oppose separating bank oversight from consumer protection. The Senate panel may release legislation next week that includes a watered- down version of the plan. The administration indicated it’s open to negotiating alternatives for a stand-alone consumer agency, including creating an independent unit within an existing department. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner also opened the door to accepting something less than a separate consumer agency in a meeting with financial-industry trade groups yesterday. Fed Powers At the same meeting, Geithner said he wanted to preserve the Federal Reserve’s power to oversee banks, Edward Yingling , the president of the Washington-based American Bankers Association who attended the Treasury session, said in a telephone interview. “The industry representatives indicated they would be talking to Congress about that issue” to sway them to support the Fed, Yingling said. The Senate committee is nearing a “consensus” to shift the Federal Reserve’s oversight of smaller banks to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., said Senator Jack Reed , a Rhode Island Democrat. For supervision of large firms, there is a “real substantive question” about the Fed’s role, as well as its position on a council of regulators that would monitor risks to the financial system, Reed said yesterday. As the administration retreats on the consumer agency, it is pledging to send Congress legislative language for the “Volcker Rule,” limiting banks’ proprietary trading and barring their sponsorship of hedge funds and private-equity operations. The industry opposes the restrictions. Volcker Commitment “The administration is as committed to the Volcker Rule as we were the day the president announced because we should not allow banks to use the federal safety net to support risky activities that are unrelated to serving their customers,” Psaki said in the statement. Geithner wants any consumer entity to have enforcement and rule-writing powers, he told leaders of eight financial trade groups, including the Financial Services Roundtable and Private Equity Council, at the Treasury meeting. “He signaled the need to have independent enforcement,” Yingling said. “He said that was something they would not back off on.” Geithner told the group the administration would not support a bill it deemed too weak, Yingling said. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd and Senator Richard Shelby , the committee’s top Republican, broke off weeks of negotiations to craft a regulatory overhaul bill earlier this month when they couldn’t resolve differences over the consumer agency. Dodd supported Obama’s plan, while Shelby and other Republicans opposed a stand-alone agency. The House passed an overhaul bill in December that included the agency. Dodd, Corker Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat, then worked with Senator Bob Corker , a Tennessee Republican and member of the banking panel, to draw up a bipartisan agreement. Republicans, including Shelby, suggest creating a consumer unit in the Treasury or as part of a new national bank regulator. That body, proposed by Obama, would combine the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Office of Thrift Supervision, two bank agencies now in the Treasury Department. Dodd, Corker, and others “are working on” a proposal for an agency “that’s not independent but sets the rules and enforces,” Reed told reporters yesterday after a Senate Banking Committee hearing with Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke in Washington. The administration’s willingness to compromise on a consumer agency is “recognition by the White House that the good ought not to be the enemy of the perfect,” said John Douglas , head of the bank regulatory practice at Davis Polk & Wardwell law firm in New York and a former FDIC general counsel. “If you can get a substantially beefed-up consumer protection function within the agencies, that’s a pretty good result.” To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Capital One to Reimburse Card Customers’ Annual Fees on Closed Accounts

February 19, 2010

By Alexis Leondis Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) — Capital One Financial Corp. , the third-biggest issuer of Visa credit cards, will reimburse customers a total of $775,000 for charging annual credit-card membership fees after borrowers asked to close their accounts, regulators said today. The McLean, Virginia-based company will pay customers who closed their accounts from 2004 to 2006 and were assessed membership fees on accounts with no outstanding balances, as part of an agreement with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, according to a press release from the OCC. “This problem was the result of a systems issue that we fixed in 2006,” said Tatiana Stead , a spokeswoman for Capital One. “At the time, we refunded membership fees for many customers who contacted us directly but, in retrospect, we should have done so for an additional 3,400 customers.” Capital One said it couldn’t provide average fees paid by customers because they varied by product. Capital One is going beyond the legal requirements and refunding membership fees for an additional 15,000 customers who paid their balances within 90 days of requesting their accounts be closed, Stead said. The card issuer reported fourth-quarter net income of $376 million, or 83 cents a share, compared with a loss of $1.45 billion, or $3.74, in the year-earlier period. Capital One’s shares rose 48 cents, or 1.3 percent, to $37.33 at 4:15 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Dow Jones Newswires reported the agreement earlier today. To contact the reporter on this story: Alexis Leondis in New York aleondis@bloomberg.net .

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Swaps Sleuths Are the Fix for Too Tangled to Fail: David Reilly

February 18, 2010

Commentary by David Reilly Feb. 19 (Bloomberg) — For all the hand-wringing over too- big-to-fail banks, there is at least one simple solution: shrink them. A more vexing question is how to deal with links between firms, and markets, that can pose even bigger threats. While “too big” can be defined by, say, assets, or deposits, it is hard, if not impossible, to spot connections that will spawn financial havoc. The government didn’t expect Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. ’s collapse to cause a run on money market funds, and no one foresaw that American International Group Inc. could endanger the likes of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. or Societe Generale due to credit default swaps. That is why legislation introduced in the Senate earlier this month to create an agency to map ties among firms while also assessing threats is a good first step toward dealing with too-tangled-to-fail banks. The plan becomes even more important given a possible agreement between senators and the Obama administration to create a council of regulators to oversee the financial system, as the New York Times reported Wednesday. That council — likely to include regulators such as the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Treasury Department — will need unbiased, wide-ranging data and analysis that goes well beyond what regulators have today. This is why legislation to create a data-gathering agency — introduced by Rhode Island Democratic Senator Jack Reed — would prove vital in making any new regulatory set-up work. Who Gets Hit Although regulators now get all sorts of data from financial firms, it’s not in a form that can be easily shared. Nor does it, in most cases, dig down to the level of individual loans and transactions. Data also isn’t standardized. So regulators can’t quickly pull together information from across Wall Street to, say, assess who would get hit if a particular company, financial product or market blew up. Firms’ interconnectedness, and our lack of knowledge about it, was repeatedly raised as a deep-seated danger during a Senate Banking Committee hearing earlier this month. “It isn’t the balance sheet of the bank that’s a problem,” testified former Citigroup Inc. Chief Executive John Reed . “It’s the interconnectedness of one financial institution with virtually all other financial institutions.” After all, hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management, which blew up in 1998, required a bailout overseen by the Fed not because of its size, but because its trades linked it to almost every firm on Wall Street. The huge growth in financial derivatives, especially credit-default swaps and interest-rate swaps, has only made this issue more acute. Mapping the Universe Reed’s bill wouldn’t look to end connections among firms. It would instead try to map them by giving the new agency the power to require standardization of transaction data, which financial firms would then have to turn over to the new agency. This would help the firms and regulators get a better picture of who may lose if someone goes under. Then the plan is that the new agency would analyze the across-the-Street data it collects to map markets and identify potential hot spots. The proposal is the brainchild of a group of academics, economists and regulators who formed a volunteer committee to push what they dubbed the National Institute of Finance. Ideally, such an agency would gather quants, numbers geeks, data hounds and just plain old, outside-the-box thinkers who, instead of creating the kind of financial models that lead to bubbles, would spot disaster before it strikes. Weather Forecasts Two of the main backers of such an institute — John Liechty , an associate professor of business at Penn State University, and Allan Mendelowitz , a former director of the Federal Housing Finance Board — have compared it to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration , which houses agencies such as the National Weather Service. “Our financial markets are at least as important and as complicated as the weather,” Liechty testified last week before a Senate Banking subcommittee hearing on such an agency. “If that’s the case why don’t we have the equivalent of NOAA for the financial markets?” Any new agency will only work, though, if it is independent. That is why it needs to be housed outside existing regulators such as the Fed, which have their own biases and often-times parochial views. ‘Speak the Truth’ As Liechty testified, “You need to have somebody who has the ability to speak the truth in the middle of a crisis or in the buildup to a crisis.” Independence is one potential short-coming of Reed’s bill, though. While it calls for the agency’s director to serve a 15- year term, it also creates a board that includes the Treasury Secretary and heads of regulatory agencies. That opens the door to political interference. There will also be complaints about costs. Yet by mandating standardized data terms, such an agency may help banks and other financial firms cut back-office and information-technology costs. Of course, even if the new agency works perfectly, there’s no guarantee it would prevent future crises. For starters, regulators have to be willing to act on warnings. It’s also dangerous to put much faith in the ability of complex financial models to predict risk. Plus, secretive regulators, like the Fed, will likely push to keep much of the information this new agency would generate under wraps. That would be a mistake. If investors, along with regulators, have a better grip on the connections between firms they will be better able to price risks, or steer clear of them altogether. That is the real goal. Because ultimately we can’t eliminate linkages among firms that form the basis of markets. We can, though, try to manage them. To do that, we first need someone to independently measure them. Otherwise, any new council of regulators will be flying blind. ( David Reilly is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: David Reilly at dreilly14@bloomberg.net

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Man Up, Obama, or Make Way for President Palin: David Reilly

February 12, 2010

Commentary by David Reilly Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama is starting to look like the second coming of Jimmy Carter . If he’s going to avoid that fate, the president had better take radical action — and fast. That means doing more than offering belated talk about jobs , or waging ineffectual on-again, off-again bank warfare. What, after all, is the point of bashing Wall Street only to then blow bonus kisses to JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. head Lloyd Blankfein ? Obama needs to ditch his professorial, community-organizer mien and start cracking some heads. Unless, that is, he is intent on paving the way for a Palin presidency in 2013. Supporters are crying out for Obama to pull out of his tailspin. In an article in Politico, Douglas Wilder , the nation’s first African-American governor and an early Obama supporter, urged the president to get his act together. “The need is becoming more obvious by the day,” Wilder wrote. “Getting elected and getting things done for the people are two different jobs.” Obama’s lack of resolve even makes comparisons to Carter seem charitable. Financial blogger Eric Salzman argued that we haven’t seen such a lack of leadership “in the White House since our 15th president, James Buchanan , stood by and let the country dissolve into Civil War while trying to appease everyone.” What’s to be done? Here are three ways for Obama to man up, chart a new course and avert the kind of debacle that tarnished his party in the eyes of a generation of voters. Learn From Clinton — Bring congressional Democrats to heel with a Sister Souljah moment. Such an action is named for former President Bill Clinton’s putdown of hate speech by a rapper — and, by extension, the far-left wing of the Democratic Party. Clinton’s move was designed to appeal to centrist voters. For his Sister Souljah moment, Obama needs to pick a particularly egregious action by his erstwhile allies on Capitol Hill and then use a veto, or the threat of one, to show congressional Democrats he is in charge, not them. Sadly, Obama has already passed on two perfect opportunities. The first came with last year’s pork-stuffed economic stimulus bill. Obama should have threatened a veto unless Congress focused the legislation on unemployment, not pet congressional projects. Don’t Be Afraid The second opportunity involved the health-care bill initially approved by Senate Democrats. Obama should have made it clear to Majority Leader Harry Reid that he wasn’t about to countenance $100 million bribes to get the likes of Democratic Nebraska Senator Ben Nelson on board. — Don’t be afraid of the big, bad banks. Obama can get financial reform if he wants it. He just has to realize that he’s, well, the president. And presidents don’t haggle with banks that are alive only thanks to $8.2 trillion in government lending, spending and support. Nor do they let armies of bank lobbyists tie them down on Capitol Hill. And they certainly don’t countenance bank chiefs who fail to show for White House meetings. Trying that with Nixon would have meant quick inclusion on the “enemies list”; George W. Bush’s folks would have issued an immediate invitation to go hunting with Vice President Dick Cheney . Obama, on the other hand, talks tough, then worries about upsetting Wall Street. That’s insane. Wall Street respects only one thing — strength. If it smells weakness, the Street will try to leave the other guy with nothing but his socks and a smile. Offer a Reminder So don’t ask, tell. Remind the banks, none too subtly, that Obama can make their lives miserable. The government, after all, controls bank regulation. Maybe, for instance, capital requirements at too-big-to-fail institutions like Goldman or JPMorgan should shoot up to 25 percent. Perhaps the amount of borrowed money financial behemoths can use needs to be capped at five times equity. And since banks are so opposed to a Consumer Financial Protection Agency, Obama will have to find a new job for Elizabeth Warren , the driving force behind that proposal. Heading up the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency , which regulates all the big, national banks, might be a perfect fit for her. Or the banks can quickly agree to take some lumps and get on board with financial reform. That’s the kind of deal-making Wall Street responds to. Use the Broom — Clean house. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has to go. So too does White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers . And while he’s at it, the president should jettison Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel . All are too stuck in the pre-crisis, let’s-not-risk- curbing-financial-innovation mentality that helped get us into this mess. They also tie Obama directly to the crisis, negating claims that it was someone else’s doing. Geithner was head of the New York Fed and a lead singer in the bailout choir. Summers, back during the Clinton administration, helped knock down the separation of commercial and investment banking while making sure derivatives markets wouldn’t be regulated. And Emanuel was a director of mortgage giant Freddie Mac , now a ward of the state. Not to mention that Geithner, with plenty on Capitol Hill calling for his scalp, no longer is a credible salesman for the administration’s policies. Emanuel, meanwhile, is so driven by the goal of striking a deal, any deal, that he ends up letting Congress call the shots. In their place, Obama needs people who understand but aren’t beholden to Wall Street. And he needs folks who are willing to stand up to Congress. Obama needs to get tough. If he doesn’t, voters will. ( David Reilly is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: David Reilly at dreilly14@bloomberg.net

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Kirk Wins Illinois Republican Primary, Chance to Challenge for Obama Seat

February 2, 2010

By John McCormick Feb. 2 (Bloomberg) — Mark Kirk , a five-term congressman, won the Republican U.S. Senate primary in Illinois and the chance this fall to embarrass Democrats by taking President Barack Obama’s former seat. Kirk was leading the closest of five rivals by about a three-to-one margin with about 65 percent of the state’s precincts reporting, according to the Associated Press. A moderate on social issues, Kirk, 50, is seeking to replace Senator Roland Burris , a Democrat who decided against running for the seat following his controversial appointment by former Governor Rod Blagojevich in December 2008. Federal prosecutors have charged Blagojevich with trying to sell the Senate seat to the highest bidder, among other charges. Illinois held the first primary of a midterm congressional election year that will prove critical to Obama’s political standing and agenda. On the Democratic side, Illinois Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias had a narrow lead over Chicago Inspector General David Hoffman for the party’s Senate nomination according to the AP vote tally with almost 65 percent the precincts reporting. Gubernatorial Nomination In the battle for the Democratic nomination for governor, incumbent Patrick Quinn , who replaced Blagojevich, had a narrow lead over state Comptroller Dan Hynes , according to the AP. Five of the Republican candidates for governor were closely bunched, with Andy McKenna , 53, a businessman and former state Republican chairman, slightly ahead of Kirk Dillard, 54, a state senator, in the AP tally. The winner of this fall’s contest to be the state’s top executive will earn the right to deal with some of the nation’s worst fiscal problems. The state’s two-year budget deficit is at least $10 billion and unemployment is 10.8 percent, above the national average of 10 percent. Only California has a worse bond rating among U.S. states. Hynes, 41, and Quinn, 61, who was previously lieutenant governor, took their debate during the closing days of the campaign to the state’s large black community. The charges and counter-charges involved Quinn’s dismissal from a city job about a quarter century ago by Chicago’s first black mayor, Harold Washington , and whether Hynes ignored criminal activity in a historically black cemetery where Emmett Till , the civil rights- era murder victim, is buried. Massachusetts Boost The Illinois balloting follows a Jan. 19 special election in Massachusetts where Republican Scott Brown invigorated his party by winning the U.S. Senate seat formerly held by the late Democrat Edward Kennedy . A Democratic loss of the Senate seat once held by Obama would embarrass the party. Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele said Jan. 29 during his party’s winter meeting in Hawaii that the Senate seat in Illinois will be a top Republican target. “We began 2010 in the backyard of President Barack Obama, where he was born,” he said in Honolulu. “We will end the year, 2010, in Illinois taking his Senate seat.” The seat is one of five now held by Democrats that is rated as a “tossup” by the non-partisan Cook Political Report , based in Washington. Robert Gibbs , the White House press secretary, told reporters on Feb. 1 that the president and first lady Michelle Obama both voted by absentee ballot in Illinois. He didn’t reveal their candidate preferences. Broadway Bank Giannoulias, 33, was forced to answer questions during the final weeks of the campaign about his role at Broadway Bank in Chicago and his handling of the Bright Start college savings program. A presidential friend and basketball buddy, Giannoulias is a former senior loan officer and vice president at the bank his family opened in 1979. Hoffman, 42, sought to make the family bank a liability, and regulators provided fresh ammunition for those charges last week. Broadway agreed to boost reserves for bad loans and halt paying dividends without regulatory approval, according to an order from state and federal agencies signed Jan. 26. The bank’s board of directors also must establish “well defined and reasonable risk limits” and hire an outside party to assess qualifications of senior executive officers. The $1.2 billion community bank has been part of public profile of Giannoulias since he won election in 2006 because it made loans to a bookmaker as well as convicted Illinois influence peddler Antoin “Tony” Rezko . Delinquent Loans The bank suffers from a commercial real estate delinquency rate of 21.7 percent, compared with a U.S. average of 8.3 percent, according to an analysis compiled for Bloomberg News by Foresight Analytics , an Oakland, California-based research firm. Giannoulias, who helped Obama tap Chicago’s Greek-American community for campaign contributions during his U.S. Senate and presidential bids, has said he now owns 3.6 percent of the bank and shouldn’t be held accountable for financial challenges it faces because of bad real estate loans. To contact the reporter on this story: John McCormick in Chicago at jmccormick16@bloomberg.net .

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Obama Foreclosure Plan Falling Far Short Of Targets

January 15, 2010

The Obama administration disclosed on Friday that it has made little progress in helping struggling homeowners attain long-term relief under its signature foreclosure-prevention effort, reaching only 18 percent of the target announced just six weeks ago. On Nov. 30, the administration kicked off a “Mortgage Modification Conversion Drive” to help distressed borrowers in the trial phase of its program convert to permanent mortgage modifications. “Roughly 375,000 of the borrowers who have begun trial modifications since the start of the program are scheduled to convert to permanent modifications by the end of the year,” read the Treasury Department’s press release that day . At the time 31,382 borrowers had received permanently lower payments. The final tally for the year, announced on Friday was 66,465, with another 46,056 awaiting signatures by borrowers. And even that only came after Treasury sent employees to various mortgage servicers in an effort to understand why more homeowners weren’t being helped, and to get servicers to redouble their efforts. They were dubbed “SWAT teams.” “These are tiny numbers. Tiny, tiny numbers,” said Diane E. Thompson, a lawyer with the National Consumer Law Center. “Treasury has really pulled out all the guns and we’re really up to only 66,000 modifications? “They’re not even halfway where they need to go,” Thompson continued. “Look, Treasury did a lot of work to get these numbers up, and they’re still really small.” The figure was one of many disappointing numbers released Friday, cumulatively casting further doubt on the effectiveness of a mortgage modification program designed to stabilize the housing market by reducing borrowers’ monthly payments, keeping them from losing their homes. The new data raises questions as to whether enough homeowners are being helped at all. Treasury officials emphasized the positive, noting that more than 900,000 homeowners have entered temporary trial plans under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) and that Treasury’s efforts have “yielded measurable success,” said Phyllis Caldwell, chief of Treasury’s Homeownership Preservation Office. But only 12-16 percent of eligible homeowners have transitioned into a permanent modification. “The conversion rate is terrible. It starts to look as if the servicers are deliberately sabotaging HAMP, despite the billions they could be earning if they did this right,” Alan M. White , a professor at Valparaiso University School of Law and an expert on housing issues, wrote in an e-mail. The program pays mortgage companies and investors for successfully modifying home mortgages and reducing monthly payments. Less than 10 percent of those with permanent modifications have received a reduction in mortgage principal. Independent housing analysts and mortgage experts have called for the program to more aggressively write down mortgage principal, arguing that it remains the best way to reduce foreclosures while getting investors in mortgage-backed securities the most money possible on their investment. Mortgage servicers have largely balked, and the administration hasn’t pushed for it. Meanwhile, estimates are that between one-quarter and one-third of all homeowners with a mortgage owe more on the mortgage than the house is worth. Academic and Federal Reserve research shows that principal cuts result in more sustainable modifications; so does federal data maintained by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. HAMP is the main thrust of the administration’s $75 billion effort to keep homeowners out of foreclosure. Distressed borrowers enroll in trial plans, and after paying the new mortgage payment for three months are eligible for permanent relief. Borrowers need to provide documentation proving income and hardship, which has caused hiccups because homeowners aren’t fully completing the required documentation, servicers and the administration argue. Homeowners and housing advocates pin the blame on the servicers. Among the other numbers released Friday: The 66,465 homeowners who have transitioned from trial plans into permanent modifications have received a median reduction of about $516 in their monthly payments. About 75% of borrowers in trial plans are current on their payments, said Assistant Treasury Secretary Michael S. Barr. The 854,000 homeowners in trial and permanent modification plans have collectively saved more than $1.5 billion thus far on their mortgage payments. But that actually only works out to an average savings of about $1,800 per borrower. And by comparison, as of last week more than $373 billion in taxpayer money has gone to banks, AIG, and the domestic auto industry via TARP, according to Treasury data. In announcing the program last March the administration said it could help as many as four million troubled homeowners . In addition, with unemployment at 10 percent, the government watchdog created to keep tabs on the bailout has questioned HAMP’s effectiveness at dealing with jobless homeowners. To be eligible for the program borrowers need minimum levels of income. Without income, they’re not eligible. Wall Street analysts already are writing off the administration’s effort to stem what is predicted to be a rising tide of foreclosures. About three million foreclosures are expected this year following last year’s 2.8 million . Analysts expect the government to adopt new programs altogether, especially with Congressional elections less than 10 months away. “HAMP is running into issues of too few permanent modifications, and re-default performance is expected to be poor,” Barclays Capital said in a December research note to clients. “At the same time, the number of homes in foreclosure and deep delinquency continues to balloon. “This leads us to believe that what we have seen is only the first wave of government programs to tackle foreclosures. The next year or two will likely see many changes and additions to these programs as the government tries to keep foreclosures under tight control in the face of adverse performance and elevated unemployment, especially as elections approach.” Meanwhile, Treasury officials said Friday the plan was “on target to reach the goals laid out by President Obama last February.”

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Diamond Castle’s Schloss Said in Talks to Join New York City Pension Funds

January 6, 2010

By Cristina Alesci Jan. 7 (Bloomberg) — Lawrence Schloss , the chairman of Diamond Castle Holdings LLC, is in talks to take a job advising New York City’s $96.4 billion pension funds and leave the buyout firm he founded in 2004, according to two people familiar with the matter. In his new role, Schloss would work with the five boards that make investment decisions for funds covering civil service employees, teachers, firefighters, police officers and school administrators, said the people, who declined to be identified because the information hasn’t been disclosed. John Liu , a Democrat, was sworn into the Office of the New York City Comptroller this month, replacing William Thompson , who held the post since 2002. Liu, 42, vowed to avoid “aggressive esoteric financial instruments,” cut waste from the city’s budget and examine millions in no-bid contracts. Schloss didn’t return calls seeking comment. Sharon Lee, a spokeswoman for Liu, declined to comment. The city had about 42 percent of its retirement fund assets in U.S. stocks, 30 percent in bonds, and 8 percent in private equity and real estate as of Sept. 30, according to its Web site. Schloss will help manage a retirement system whose organizational structure is different from other public pension funds. Unlike the California Public Employees’ Retirement System or the New York State’s Common Fund, the city comptroller’s Bureau of Asset Management serves as investment adviser to five boards, each with its own investment philosophies. The boards are comprised of elected and appointed officials and union representatives. Schloss’s move was reported earlier by peHub, a private- equity web site. To contact the reporter on this story: Cristina Alesci in New York at Calesci2@bloomberg.net ;

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Housing Animal Spirits to Be Banished by Foreclosures

January 4, 2010

By Kathleen M. Howley and Mike Dorning Jan. 4 (Bloomberg) — Homeowners with the best credit are the next big risk for the U.S. housing market. An increase in mortgage defaults among prime borrowers in 2009 is likely to accelerate this year, slowing the real estate recovery even as Americans become more optimistic about the economy, said Robert Shiller and Karl Case , the economists who created the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. “There will be continuing foreclosures , and not just subprime, it will be prime mortgages,” Shiller, a professor at Yale University, said in an interview. “This is creating a huge shadow inventory of homes that are still owned, but they’re going to be on the market in the next year or so.” The number of prime mortgages overdue by at least 60 days more than doubled in the third quarter from a year earlier to 838,000, according to a Dec. 21 report from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision. Unemployed homeowners struggling to pay their bills will default on their home loans and increase foreclosures, Shiller and Wellesley College’s Case said. Employers have cut more than 7.2 million jobs in the last two years, the biggest employment loss since the Great Depression. Measured annually, the U.S. jobless rate probably will average 10 percent in 2010, according to the median estimates of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. That would be the highest rate in government records dating to 1948, after rising to a 26-year high of 9.3 percent last year. Prime Foreclosures “Unemployment is not respecting income boundaries,” said Case in an interview. “It’s affecting rich people, poor people and middle-income people and they all have mortgages.” The U.S. may begin to see some signs of a housing recovery this year, he said. The foreclosure inventory of prime adjustable-rate loans rose to 10 percent in the third quarter, more than doubling from a year earlier, while prime fixed-rate loans more than doubled to 1.95 percent, said Jay Brinkmann , chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association in Washington. The surge in prime ARM foreclosures is coming at a time when rates are resetting lower, reducing monthly payments, he said. “If you have a prime adjustable-rate mortgage resetting in 2010, you probably are going to see your rate go down,” Brinkmann said. “Still, prime ARMs are defaulting at a higher rate because these borrowers were the risk-takers who chose the initially lower payments so they could stretch to get into a house.” Recovery Signs While an increase in prime foreclosures will slow the housing recovery that began in September, it won’t be enough to knock it entirely off track, Case said. Home resales in November rose to the highest level in almost three years, the third consecutive monthly gain, and the supply of new homes for sale is at the lowest level in almost four decades. “That’s taking some of the pressure off,” Case said. “Hopefully in 2010 we’ll see some recovery.” Foreclosures are declining for the type of subprime mortgages that sparked the global financial meltdown in 2008. New foreclosure starts among subprime ARMs fell to 4.92 percent in the third quarter from 6.47 percent a year earlier after the bulk of loans were either modified by lenders or the properties repossessed and sold, according to the MBA. “What makes the rising default rates on prime loans so insidious is these are not folks who took out some crazy new type of mortgage,” said Brad Hunter , chief economist at MetroStudy real estate research in West Palm Beach, Florida. “These are people who probably took out what would ordinarily be a responsible mortgage.” Obama’s Challenges The increase in unemployment and the lackluster housing market have been at the center of the worst economic contraction since the 1930s and remain a challenge for President Barack Obama as he enters his second year in office. While property resales have started to rise nationally, foreclosures and price declines continue, even after the government spent $230 billion in fiscal 2009 to support homeownership, according to a tally by the Congressional Budget Office in Washington. Loan servicers offered lower monthly payments for 680,000 delinquent borrowers, 274,000 under the federal Home Affordable Modification Program and 406,000 under other plans, according to a Dec. 21 report by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision. Borrowers defaulted again on 61 percent of loans modified more than 12 months earlier, the report said. The economy probably will expand 3.5 percent in 2010 as it recovers from a 2.5 percent contraction in 2009, according to Dean Maki , the chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital in New York. Maki, the most-accurate forecaster in a Bloomberg News survey, estimates the unemployment rate will average 9.6 percent in 2010. Where are the Jobs? An improvement in the jobless rate may do little to help the nation’s weakest housing markets, Brinkmann said. The rate fell to 10 percent from a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in October, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said in a Dec. 4 report. “Even if the jobs start coming back, where are they coming back? If it’s in Texas or Oklahoma, it’s not helping people in California or Rhode Island,” Brinkmann said in an interview. Michigan had the highest U.S. unemployment rate in November, at 14.7 percent, followed by Rhode Island at 12.7 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. California, Nevada and South Carolina tied for third place, with a 12.3 percent jobless rate. Sales of previously owned homes rose 7.4 percent to a 6.54 million annual rate in November as buyers rushed to meet the original Nov. 30 deadline for a tax credit of up to $8,000 for first-time buyers, the National Association of Realtors said in a Dec. 22 report. Two months ago, Congress extended the credit to April and expanded it to include some move-up buyers. Confidence Needed Confidence is the key ingredient to a sustainable economic recovery, Shiller and Nobel Laureate George A. Akerlof said in their 2009 book “Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism.” The book expands on a John Maynard Keynes macroeconomic theory by the same name that says emotion, rather than logic, drives consumer decisions that lead to economic change. “I do see some signs of animal spirits, but it’s a mixture,” Shiller said last week of the housing market. In some areas of the U.S., such as California , home prices are going up at an “amazing” pace, he said. At the same time, “It would be entirely plausible that we would have a weak housing market for many years.” U.S. consumer confidence improved in December for a second month as Americans became more optimistic about the economy, according to a Dec. 29 report by the Conference Board in New York. The index rose to 52.9 in December, in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Federal Tax Credit In the same month, the group’s measure of home-purchase plans dropped to a 27-year low , despite federal efforts to stimulate housing demand with the tax credit and a $1.25 trillion Federal Reserve program to lower home-loan rates by purchasing mortgage bonds. The index measuring intentions of buying a home in the next six months fell to 1.9 percent from 2.1 percent in the prior month. “At the moment a lot of potential buyers are deciding to wait and see,” said MBA’s Brinkmann. “If they do have a job, they may have seen 20 percent of their company laid off and they’re wondering if they’re next.” To contact the reporters on this story: Kathleen M. Howley in Boston at kmhowley@bloomberg.net ; Mike Dorning in Washington at mdorning@bloomberg.net .

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Housing Animal Spirits Set to Be Banished as U.S. Prime Foreclosures Mount

January 4, 2010

By Kathleen M. Howley and Mike Dorning Jan. 4 (Bloomberg) — Homeowners with the best credit are the next big risk for the U.S. housing market. An increase in mortgage defaults among prime borrowers in 2009 is likely to accelerate this year, slowing the real estate recovery even as Americans become more optimistic about the economy, said Robert Shiller and Karl Case , the economists who created the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. “There will be continuing foreclosures , and not just subprime, it will be prime mortgages,” Shiller, a professor at Yale University, said in an interview. “This is creating a huge shadow inventory of homes that are still owned, but they’re going to be on the market in the next year or so.” The number of prime mortgages overdue by at least 60 days more than doubled in the third quarter from a year earlier to 838,000, according to a Dec. 21 report from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision. Unemployed homeowners struggling to pay their bills will default on their home loans and increase foreclosures, Shiller and Wellesley College’s Case said. Employers have cut more than 7.2 million jobs in the last two years, the biggest employment loss since the Great Depression. Measured annually, the U.S. jobless rate probably will average 10 percent in 2010, according to the median estimates of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. That would be the highest rate in government records dating to 1948, after rising to a 26-year high of 9.3 percent last year. Prime Foreclosures “Unemployment is not respecting income boundaries,” said Case in an interview. “It’s affecting rich people, poor people and middle-income people and they all have mortgages.” The U.S. may begin to see some signs of a housing recovery this year, he said. The foreclosure inventory of prime adjustable-rate loans rose to 10 percent in the third quarter, more than doubling from a year earlier, while prime fixed-rate loans more than doubled to 1.95 percent, said Jay Brinkmann , chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association in Washington. The surge in prime ARM foreclosures is coming at a time when rates are resetting lower, reducing monthly payments, he said. “If you have a prime adjustable-rate mortgage resetting in 2010, you probably are going to see your rate go down,” Brinkmann said. “Still, prime ARMs are defaulting at a higher rate because these borrowers were the risk-takers who chose the initially lower payments so they could stretch to get into a house.” Recovery Signs While an increase in prime foreclosures will slow the housing recovery that began in September, it won’t be enough to knock it entirely off track, Case said. Home resales in November rose to the highest level in almost three years, the third consecutive monthly gain, and the supply of new homes for sale is at the lowest level in almost four decades. “That’s taking some of the pressure off,” Case said. “Hopefully in 2010 we’ll see some recovery.” Foreclosures are declining for the type of subprime mortgages that sparked the global financial meltdown in 2008. New foreclosure starts among subprime ARMs fell to 4.92 percent in the third quarter from 6.47 percent a year earlier after the bulk of loans were either modified by lenders or the properties repossessed and sold, according to the MBA. “What makes the rising default rates on prime loans so insidious is these are not folks who took out some crazy new type of mortgage,” said Brad Hunter , chief economist at MetroStudy real estate research in West Palm Beach, Florida. “These are people who probably took out what would ordinarily be a responsible mortgage.” Obama’s Challenges The increase in unemployment and the lackluster housing market have been at the center of the worst economic contraction since the 1930s and remain a challenge for President Barack Obama as he enters his second year in office. While property resales have started to rise nationally, foreclosures and price declines continue, even after the government spent $230 billion in fiscal 2009 to support homeownership, according to a tally by the Congressional Budget Office in Washington. Loan servicers offered lower monthly payments for 680,000 delinquent borrowers, 274,000 under the federal Home Affordable Modification Program and 406,000 under other plans, according to a Dec. 21 report by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision. Borrowers defaulted again on 61 percent of loans modified more than 12 months earlier, the report said. The economy probably will expand 3.5 percent in 2010 as it recovers from a 2.5 percent contraction in 2009, according to Dean Maki , the chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital in New York. Maki, the most-accurate forecaster in a Bloomberg News survey, estimates the unemployment rate will average 9.6 percent in 2010. Where are the Jobs? An improvement in the jobless rate may do little to help the nation’s weakest housing markets, Brinkmann said. The rate fell to 10 percent from a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in October, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said in a Dec. 4 report. “Even if the jobs start coming back, where are they coming back? If it’s in Texas or Oklahoma, it’s not helping people in California or Rhode Island,” Brinkmann said in an interview. Michigan had the highest U.S. unemployment rate in November, at 14.7 percent, followed by Rhode Island at 12.7 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. California, Nevada and South Carolina tied for third place, with a 12.3 percent jobless rate. Sales of previously owned homes rose 7.4 percent to a 6.54 million annual rate in November as buyers rushed to meet the original Nov. 30 deadline for a tax credit of up to $8,000 for first-time buyers, the National Association of Realtors said in a Dec. 22 report. Two months ago, Congress extended the credit to April and expanded it to include some move-up buyers. Confidence Needed Confidence is the key ingredient to a sustainable economic recovery, Shiller and Nobel Laureate George A. Akerlof said in their 2009 book “Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism.” The book expands on a John Maynard Keynes macroeconomic theory by the same name that says emotion, rather than logic, drives consumer decisions that lead to economic change. “I do see some signs of animal spirits, but it’s a mixture,” Shiller said last week of the housing market. In some areas of the U.S., such as California , home prices are going up at an “amazing” pace, he said. At the same time, “It would be entirely plausible that we would have a weak housing market for many years.” U.S. consumer confidence improved in December for a second month as Americans became more optimistic about the economy, according to a Dec. 29 report by the Conference Board in New York. The index rose to 52.9 in December, in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Federal Tax Credit In the same month, the group’s measure of home-purchase plans dropped to a 27-year low , despite federal efforts to stimulate housing demand with the tax credit and a $1.25 trillion Federal Reserve program to lower home-loan rates by purchasing mortgage bonds. The index measuring intentions of buying a home in the next six months fell to 1.9 percent from 2.1 percent in the prior month. “At the moment a lot of potential buyers are deciding to wait and see,” said MBA’s Brinkmann. “If they do have a job, they may have seen 20 percent of their company laid off and they’re wondering if they’re next.” To contact the reporters on this story: Kathleen M. Howley in Boston at kmhowley@bloomberg.net ; Mike Dorning in Washington at mdorning@bloomberg.net .

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Bankers Get $4 Trillion Gift From Barney Frank: David Reilly

December 30, 2009

Commentary by David Reilly Dec. 30 (Bloomberg) — To close out 2009, I decided to do something I bet no member of Congress has done — actually read from cover to cover one of the pieces of sweeping legislation bouncing around Capitol Hill. Hunkering down by the fire, I snuggled up with H.R. 4173 , the financial-reform legislation passed earlier this month by the House of Representatives. The Senate has yet to pass its own reform plan. The baby of Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank , the House bill is meant to address everything from too-big-to-fail banks to asleep-at-the-switch credit-ratings companies to the protection of consumers from greedy lenders. I quickly discovered why members of Congress rarely read legislation like this. At 1,279 pages, the “Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act” is a real slog. And yes, I plowed through all those pages. (Memo to Chairman Frank: “ystem” at line 14, page 258 is missing the first “s”.) The reading was especially painful since this reform sausage is stuffed with more gristle than meat. At least, that is, if you are a taxpayer hoping the bailout train is coming to a halt. If you’re a banker, the bill is tastier. While banks opposed the legislation, they should cheer for its passage by the full Congress in the New Year: There are huge giveaways insuring the government will again rescue banks and Wall Street if the need arises. Nuggets Gleaned Here are some of the nuggets I gleaned from days spent reading Frank’s handiwork: — For all its heft, the bill doesn’t once mention the words “too-big-to-fail,” the main issue confronting the financial system. Admitting you have a problem, as any 12- stepper knows, is the crucial first step toward recovery. — Instead, it supports the biggest banks. It authorizes Federal Reserve banks to provide as much as $4 trillion in emergency funding the next time Wall Street crashes. So much for “no-more-bailouts” talk. That is more than twice what the Fed pumped into markets this time around. The size of the fund makes the bribes in the Senate’s health-care bill look minuscule. — Oh, hold on, the Federal Reserve and Treasury Secretary can’t authorize these funds unless “there is at least a 99 percent likelihood that all funds and interest will be paid back.” Too bad the same models used to foresee the housing meltdown probably will be used to predict this likelihood as well. More Bailouts — The bill also allows the government, in a crisis, to back financial firms’ debts. Bondholders can sleep easy — there are more bailouts to come. — The legislation does create a council of regulators to spot risks to the financial system and big financial firms. Unfortunately this group is made up of folks who missed the problems that led to the current crisis. — Don’t worry, this time regulators will have better tools. Six months after being created, the council will report to Congress on “whether setting up an electronic database” would be a help. Maybe they’ll even get to use that Internet thingy. — This group, among its many powers, can restrict the ability of a financial firm to trade for its own account. Perhaps this section should be entitled, “Yes, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. , we’re looking at you.” Managing Bonuses — The bill also allows regulators to “prohibit any incentive-based payment arrangement.” In other words, banker bonuses are still in play. Maybe Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. shouldn’t have rushed to pay back Troubled Asset Relief Program funds. — The bill kills the Office of Thrift Supervision , a toothless watchdog. Well, kill may be too strong a word. That agency and its employees will be folded into the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency . Further proof that government never really disappears. — Since Congress isn’t cutting jobs, why not add a few more. The bill calls for more than a dozen agencies to create a position called “Director of Minority and Women Inclusion.” People in these new posts will be presidential appointees. I thought too-big-to-fail banks were the pressing issue. Turns out it’s diversity, and patronage. — Not that the House is entirely sure of what the issues are, at least judging by the two dozen or so studies the bill authorizes. About a quarter of them relate to credit-rating companies, an area in which the legislation falls short of meaningful change. Sadly, these studies don’t tackle tough questions like whether we should just do away with ratings altogether. Here’s a tip: Do the studies, then write the legislation. Consumer Protection — The bill isn’t all bad, though. It creates a new Consumer Financial Protection Agency, the brainchild of Elizabeth Warren , currently head of a panel overseeing TARP. And the first director gets the cool job of designing a seal for the new agency. My suggestion: Warren riding a fiery chariot while hurling lightning bolts at Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke . — Best of all, the bill contains a provision that, in the event of another government request for emergency aid to prop up the financial system, debate in Congress be limited to just 10 hours. Anything that can get Congress to shut up can’t be all bad. Even better would be if legislators actually tackle the real issues stemming from the financial crisis, end bailouts and, for the sake of my eyes, write far, far shorter bills. ( David Reilly is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: David Reilly at dreilly14@bloomberg.net

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Bank’s Failure Shows Lapses By Regulators

December 14, 2009

Even by the distorted standards of the national housing bubble, north central Florida was a hot market. Between 2004 and 2006 new houses and property markers spread across cow pastures and horse farms, their values soaring so fast that bankers and builders could hardly believe their good timing, or keep up with the workload. California investment groups would swoop in, order 40 or 60 homes at a pop, then flip them for a quick profit. “It was the Sunbelt’s time. It was stupid,” said Ocala builder Michael J. Kaufman of those heady days. “But was I supposed to say no? We live in a capital gain country.” Ocala National Bank, like many lenders at the time, had trouble saying no, too. With high demand in its community and a steady flow of easy financing from Wall Street, the small, locally owned bank embarked on a lending binge for real estate and construction. By 2006, its outstanding loans so outweighed its core capital that Ocala National became in effect one of the most risk-prone banks in America. GRAPHIC » For two years, government overseers knew of Ocala National Bank’s problems. By late 2008, they finally acted. But it was too late. Related: Ocala’s Loans Far Exceed Capital When the bank finally collapsed last year it cost the federal government’s deposit insurance fund $100 million. That is a tiny fraction of the fallout from big bank failures and bailouts. But the story of Ocala National carries lessons far beyond its size, illustrating how government regulators condoned the speculative behavior of hundreds of smaller banks that helped drive the economy toward a cliff. As many as 3,000 of the nation’s 8,100 financial institutions are said to be in troubled health, and some analysts expect as many as 250 to fail in the next nine months. Records and interviews show that federal bank regulators were well aware of Ocala National’s risky lending practices – sometimes meeting with the board where the details were discussed — but failed to act for two years as evidence piled up. The regulators did not use the enforcement tools they had employed years earlier when the bank’s owner and his two sons had been sanctioned for similar behavior. As the bank sputtered towards doom, regulators also failed to examine flows of millions of dollars from Ocala National to its holding company and to a company owned by the bank owner’s son and five of Ocala’s nine board members, according to a report by the Treasury Department’s inspector general’s office. The inspector general’s office has found that regulators acted too passively and slowly in many of the 31 recent bank failures it is reviewing. “We really don’t think the issue is so much an insufficient awareness of bank problems on the part of examiners as much as it is the regulators not taking sufficient and timely action,” Richard K. Delmar, speaking for the inspector general, told The Huffington Post Investigative Fund. The inspector general’s reviews repeatedly found lapses at Ocala National’s federal overseer – the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. In five of its six post-mortems of failed banks that had been regulated by the office, the inspector general found “a pattern where OCC examiners spotted the problems early but did not take forceful action until it was too late,” Delmar said. Among the proposals to remake the government’s financial oversight structure is one by Senate Banking Chairman Christopher Dodd (D-Conn.), which would merge the regulatory functions of the four agencies that supervise banks — OCC, the Office of Thrift Supervision, the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. The working theory is that consolidation would simplify the system and eliminate agency-shopping by banks that are seeking the most lenient overseer. The Treasury investigation, however, raises questions about whether consolidation alone would change entrenched attitudes. An unnamed top OCC official who supervised the Ocala National inspection team told the inspector general’s auditors that “he believed there was nothing OCC examiners should have done differently.” OCC examiners and a supervisor responsible for the bank declined the Investigative Fund’s requests for an interview. In their formal response to the Treasury, OCC officials acknowledged shortcomings in their oversight of Ocala National. The former owner and executives of Ocala National did not respond to requests to comment for this article. They have said publicly that they did nothing wrong and did not benefit from the flow of money in the bank’s final year to other companies in which they have stakes. The bank only failed, they have said, because of the overall financial crisis. ‘Uncontrolled Growth’ Ocala, population 53,000, is about 90 miles north of Tampa and the business and social hub of Marion County, a prosperous area of five times as many people. The community bank was owned and operated by a well-known family whose patriarch was Don Kay Jr., now 71. One of his sons — Kyle A. Kay, the bank’s vice president — presided over the city council for eight years, where he acquired a reputation for trying to cut taxes and expand retail development. The bank had been known for its conservative lending practices. But in the late 1990s that began to change. In 1997 and 1998, OCC examiners brought enforcement actions against the bank for what the inspector general’s report described as “uncontrolled loan growth, ineffective management and poor credit administration practices.” In a consent agreement, regulators compelled Ocala to appoint “a capable senior lending officer,” end “any deficiencies in bank management,” stop any lending without analyzing credit information and documenting the value of collateral, and to “obtain current and satisfactory credit information on all loans lacking such information,” among other requirements. The regulator also assessed fines of $5,000 for Don Kay and $2,500 for each of his two sons for “improper insider transactions,” federal bank records show. Then came the real estate bonanza. In 2004, the owner handed the reins to his son, Rance Kay, now 39. Under the new chief executive, the bank “aggressively” ramped up its construction and real estate loans, the Treasury inspector general’s review found. Construction loans soared in two years by some 400 percent, to $191 million. According to the review, between 2005 and 2007 the bank sometimes failed to fully assess the financial condition of borrowers and sometimes failed to get property appraisals. It made loans that were too large given the value of the property involved. Some construction loans equaled the prices builders expected to get when homes eventually sold. The bank grew at such a clip that by June 2006 money flying out the door for construction and land development loans outweighed capital by 694 percent – a concentration in lending unmatched at any other U.S. bank that year. As fast as the bank could process the loans, investment banks and other middlemen would scoop them up, bundle them as bonds, and sell them to investors. Those were the kind of troubled investments that soured when loans went bad and helped precipitate the financial crisis. “We never thought the secondary market would stop – that that valve would shut off,” said John Plunkett, a member of the bank’s board of directors. Plunkett’s family business — Triple Crown Homes, one of Ocala’s largest builders – was part of the boom. In 2005 it received an Ocala National loan to build on 125 lots just north of the city in a new development called Citra Highlands. “In my first board meeting, I thought, ‘You guys are doing great. This is better than building houses,’” Plunkett said. “And there’s no warranty.” ‘Pretty Hunky-Dory’ Where were the bank examiners? They were in the room, but unlike in the 1990s they did not push Ocala National to change its ways. They made recommendations and issued reports to the bank from their examinations – but left it to the bank to decide whether to do anything. And they gave the bank high grades on a report card of its practices and financial health. Records show that OCC examiners came to inspect Ocala National five times between 2004 and 2007. At times, the federal regulators gathered with the board of directors to discuss the bank’s fiscal health and technology. “When they met with us,” recalled Plunkett, “it was all pretty hunky dory.” As early as 2005, the bank’s overseers realized that all but 7 percent of the bank’s loan portfolio was tied up in construction and land development loans. According to the inspector general’s review, the examiners were worried that a downturn in real estate could significantly affect the bank and they recommended that the bank’s board limit its concentration on such loans. Instead, the bank increased lending, deepening its dependence on the real estate bubble that would eventually burst. By the fall of 2006, Ocala was obviously taking risks beyond overseers’ comfort levels. The OCC placed it on a “watch” list of potentially troubled banks. But the list is internal, kept within the bureaucracy. Meanwhile, from 2005 to the end of 2007 the OCC continued to assign the bank a grade of “2″ — the second-highest possible grade — on an agency report card. The grade, known as a “CAMELS” rating, gauges a bank’s overall health based on such factors as adequacy of capital, quality of assets and sensitivity to market risk on a scale of 1 (best) to 5 (worst). Banks with ratings of 1 or 2 are considered to present few, if any, supervisory concerns. By law, ratings are not disclosed to the public – for fear that low ratings could trigger a run on a bank. Along with top marks, the OCC merely offered recommendations to Ocala National’s executives – commentary routinely included in inspection reports known formally as “matters requiring attention.” Then, in 2007, examiners picked up more signs of trouble: Commercial loan officers lacked experience. The bank failed to identify $6 million in problem commercial real estate loans, creating an inaccurate picture of its condition. There was a net operating loss of $2.3 million. “OCC examiners repeatedly communicated to bank management concerns about rapid loan growth, high concentration in construction and land development loans, and poor credit underwriting and administration,” the inspector general’s report said. “Despite these concerns, however, OCC did not take strong action to force the bank to correct the problems. . . A more forceful approach should have been used sooner given the bank’s circumstances,” the review said. The OCC’s own enforcement policy requires examiners to deal with identified troubles promptly before they worsen or adversely affect a bank’s performance and viability. Among tools at their disposal, besides report cards, are the kind of formal enforcement actions that the regulators imposed on Ocala National in 1997 and 1998. Besides assessing civil money penalties and working out consent agreements, as the OCC did then, regulators can issue directives or seek court orders that would require prompt corrective action. Another bank action during 2007 caught the attention of the inspector general’s auditors. While incurring an operating loss, the bank paid dividends of $3.9 million to the bank’s holding company, whose majority shareholders included the bank’s owner and his family, and repurchased nonperforming loans held by a company owned by the bank owner’s son and five of the nine members of the bank’s board. “OCC should have more aggressively examined both of these matters,” the inspector general’s report stated. Support for the assertion that examiners should have expanded their inquiry appears in the OCC Comptroller’s Handbook – the formal document providing guidance to bank examiners. “When activities…in a bank, bank subsidiary or other related organization warrant additional attention, examiners should perform appropriate expanded examination procedures,” the handbook states. Death Spiral By the time the examiners took some action, in late 2007, it was too late. Amid soaring losses, the OCC worsened the Ocala bank’s report card – to the second-lowest rating, a “4″ – and in 2008 took more forceful and decisive steps, imposing requirements to lessen risk and raise capital. But the problems were too large and severe, and the market staggered downward. The bank was in a financial death spiral. It finally collapsed in January 2009, its bad assets covered by federal deposit insurance and its new owners lessening their acquisition costs by lowering interest rates on customers’ deposits. Loss to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.: $99.6 million. Each time banks are seized, the FDIC acquires whatever assets and liabilities are left and tries to find a purchaser. Customer deposits are secured by a fund that is supported by fees from member banks. With more than 130 bank failures so far this year, the fund has bled into the red, and federal officials now are scrambling to find ways to shore it up. Matthew Anderson, a partner at Oakland-based banking research firm Foresight Analytics, estimates that 3,000 financial institutions are at risk and 250 could fail in the next nine months. Today the Ocala region is among those struggling through the financial crisis. Empty homes, fallow lots and foreclosures dot the landscape. Of Plunkett’s 125-home subdivision, only 25 actually were built. The rest of Citra Highlands exists only on plat maps. A spokesman for the current Comptroller of the Currency – John C. Dugan, a 2005 Bush administration appointee retained by President Obama – said Dugan, too, would decline comment beyond an Aug. 25 formal letter responding to the inspector general’s post-mortem of Ocala. In that letter, Dugan wrote that he agreed “there were shortcomings in our execution of the supervisory process,” and that managers in conference calls would urge examiners to be more thorough and “assertive in identifying and following through on identified weaknesses in a timely manner.” Dugan also addressed the Treasury report’s concerns about the dividends and payments made by Ocala National, promising that the regulator would “reinforce to our examining staff that it is prudent to expand examination procedures for dividends and related organizations when warranted, particularly when payments may benefit bank management or board members.” In an October interview with the Ocala Star-Banner, Kyle Kay, 43, the bank’s former vice president and a city councilman, said that the family didn’t benefit from the payment of dividends to the bank’s holding company, ONB Financial Services Inc. He said the money was used by shareholders to pay corporate taxes and to cover the debt service on loans taken by the holding company to support the bank. His brother and chief executive, Rance Kay, told the newspaper that circumstances beyond his control led to the bank’s failure. “The market turned on us,” he said. Do you have information about this story? Send us a tip or submit a correction . Follow the Huffington Post Investigative Fund on Twitter or fan us on Facebook .

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Financial-Rules Revamp Passed by House to Avert Future Wall Street Crisis

December 11, 2009

By Alison Vekshin Dec. 11 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. House tightened rules for derivatives and created powers to break apart large, healthy financial firms that threaten the economy in legislation passed today over objections from Wall Street and Republicans. Lawmakers voted 223-202 to create a Consumer Financial Protection Agency, strengthen oversight of hedge funds and create a $150 billion industry fund the government would use to take apart failed systemically risky firms. The House failed to add language letting bankruptcy judges reset mortgage terms, or “cram-down.” The focus now shifts to the Senate, where lawmakers lack a schedule for action on a bill. “We are sending a clear message to Wall Street: The party is over,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said at a news conference after the vote. The measure is central to lawmakers’ effort to end government rescues of firms deemed too big to fail, which led to last year’s bailouts of New York-based American International Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. The banking industry, Republican lawmakers and the nation’s biggest business lobby fought to scale back the legislation. The Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act adopts priorities President Barack Obama outlined in June for strengthening financial rules. The bill lets regulators unwind failed systemically important firms, sets up a council to monitor for systemic risk and creates a industry-backed fund for dissolving large failed firms. The bill ends a ban that shielded the Federal Reserve from audits of its monetary policy decisions. ‘Step Closer’ “Passage of this bill moves us an important step closer to meeting the president’s objectives for reform,” Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said today. “Comprehensive reform must establish clear rules of the road with strong enforcement for our nation’s financial institutions and markets.” Lawmakers considered more than two dozen amendments during more than five hours of debate today. The House rejected 241-188 an amendment that would add a provision, opposed by the financial industry, letting bankruptcy judges extend repayment periods, reduce interest rates and cut the principal on mortgages to avoid foreclosure. Lawmakers rejected 223-208 an amendment by Representative Walt Minnick to create a council of regulators to oversee financial consumer protections in place of the proposed standalone agency. The banking industry opposes the agency. “You don’t achieve better regulation by splitting the responsibility between two regulators, in many cases thousands of miles apart, each with half of the responsibility,” Minnick, an Idaho Democrat, said today. ‘12-Headed’ Body House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank , the bill’s sponsor, said a council would be “a monstrous” agency, “a 12-headed” body. “One of the responsibilities of the consumer agency will be to issue rules to prevent the kind of abusive mortgages that had such a contributing role in our crisis,” Frank said. The financial-services industry has targeted the proposed Consumer Financial Protection Agency for defeat. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce this week endorsed the council idea. “This new regulator would not be responsible for considering institutional safety and soundness along with consumer protection,” Edward Yingling , president of the American Bankers Association, a Washington-based trade group, said today. The bill has “key negative provisions,” he said. ‘Tired Of Bailouts’ Lawmakers rejected a Republican substitute proposal that would create a new chapter of the bankruptcy code to dissolve large failed systemically important non-bank financial firms. “The American people are tired of bailouts,” Representative Randy Neugebauer , a Texas Republican, said today. “The American people have enough sense to make their own decisions.” The legislation rewrites rules overseeing the little- regulated $605 trillion over-the-counter derivatives market, blamed for contributing to last year’s failures of AIG and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. The measure requires the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to curb excessive speculation by restricting trading volumes on oil and currency futures. It requires broker-dealers including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and “major swaps participants” like Fannie Mae to use regulated clearinghouses to process standard derivatives contracts that are normally accepted for clearing and deemed mandatory by regulators. End Users Some derivatives transactions would be forced onto so- called swap execution facilities. Hedge funds, airlines and corporate end-users that don’t pose a risk to the financial system won exclusions from the bill’s clearing, trading and collateral requirements. End users are mainly corporations that rely on derivatives to manage their so-called operational risks, such as protecting against swings in interest rates or fuel prices. Delta Air Lines Inc., agriculture company Cargill Inc. and farm equipment maker Deere & Co. successfully lobbied against some amendments that would have scaled back exclusions. “These important risk management tools help keep manufacturers’ operations going, invest in new technologies, build new plants and retain and expand workforces,” Dorothy Coleman , vice president of tax and economic policy at the National Association of Manufacturers, said in a statement. The New Democrat Coalition of 68 pro-business lawmakers persuaded House leaders to limit states from overriding federal consumer-protection rules for national banks. Financial companies support pre-emption, to avoid a patchwork of state laws, while consumer groups and state attorneys general want tougher rules on banks. Federal Discretion The House yesterday approved language by Representative Melissa Bean , an Illinois Democrat and member of the group. The provision gives federal regulators more discretion to override states than initially proposed. In the Senate, Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd last month released a draft that departed from Obama’s proposal. His plan called for a single bank regulator, stripping the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. of bank oversight powers and eliminating the Treasury Department’s Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision. Republicans rejected the plan as making permanent taxpayer- funded bailouts and objected to Dodd’s proposed Consumer Financial Protection Agency. In response, Dodd asked lawmakers to form four groups with two lawmakers from each party to devise a compromise measure. Senators are negotiating provisions of the legislation, including executive pay, derivatives, corporate governance, systemic risk and resolution authority. No bill has yet been introduced. To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Treasury Touts Long-Available Derivatives Report As A Part Of Its ‘New’ Open Government Plan

December 9, 2009

This morning, the folks at the U.S. Treasury Department put out a press release announcing their “Open Government Plan,” which they are touting as a “New Information Sharing Effort” that “Promotes [a] Culture of Transparency, Collaboration, Participation.” The release reads, in part: As part of a commitment to increase transparency in government and maintain accountability of taxpayer dollars, the U.S. Department of the Treasury today announced an open government effort that will increase public access to data and information. Under this initiative, Treasury has compiled and will now make available new data on tax returns, more user friendly information on transactions under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), and a new report on bank trading and derivatives. It’s new! And it’s now! Except, of course, for the component of this “Open Government Plan” that’s actually been available for over a decade that the Treasury is now attempting to pass off as something they’ve just introduced. Quarterly Report on Bank Trading and Derivatives . This new report, made available by the Office of the Comptroller of Currency, provides information on the federal government’s supervision of banks as well as the investment activities of financial institutions. Yeah, see, that “new report” has actually been available since 1995. You can look it up ! The Huffington Post’s own business reporter Shahien Nasiripour tells me, “I’ve written many , many articles on derivatives, and I’ve been using this report for a long time.” The release cites two additional “new” innovations: new data from the Internal Revenue Service on taxpayer ” migration patterns ” and a new “format” for transactions being made under the Troubled Asset Relief Program . One used to be available for a fee; the other in a slightly less useful PDF format, so that’s all well and good — but as examples of “new” frontiers in government transparency, it’s pretty weak tea. So it’s really no wonder that the Treasury would pad these scant offerings out with a report that financial reporters have been using very effectively, for years. [Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com -- learn more about our media monitoring project here .]

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Banks Once in Denial Do Money Losing Short Sales as Home Defaults Surge

December 4, 2009

By John Gittelsohn and Margaret Collins Dec. 4 (Bloomberg) — Drew Schlosser tried for two years to sell his three-bedroom Punta Gorda, Florida, waterfront condominium for less than he owed on its two mortgages. The deal only went through last month when Wells Fargo & Co . agreed to take a $165,000 loss on the loans. Even after he had an offer of $155,000 for the property, it took five months for the San Francisco-based lender to approve the purchase, a so-called short sale, in which the bank accepts less than the balance owed on a property. Schlosser said earlier offers had fallen through as bidders lost faith the bank would take less than the $320,000 in two mortgages. “It was just kind of a mess,” said Schlosser, 31, a market research company director living in Estero, Florida. “You really have to get buyers who are patient.” Banks are beginning to go along with short sales in increasing numbers, three years into a U.S. housing slump that pushed the economy into a recession and cut resale values by 30 percent from the peak in July 2006. Short sales tripled to 40,000 in the first six months of 2009 from the same period a year earlier. Yet for each short sale, there were 25 foreclosures started or completed in the first half of this year, according to data from the Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. “It’s really finally dawning on banks that they’re better off with a short sale,” said Richard Green , director of the Lusk Center for Real Estate at the University of Southern California in Los Angeles. “I think banks were in denial.” Obama Pressure Wells Fargo, Bank of America Corp . and JPMorgan Chase & Co. this year have hired and trained more staff, developed software systems for expediting short sales, and increased marketing of short sales to delinquent borrowers. Banks are increasing such sales under pressure from the Obama administration and lawmakers who criticized them for favoring foreclosures and delaying short sales, Green said. Lenders and loan servicers also stand to receive up to $2,000 in incentives to close short sales under a Treasury Department plan unveiled Nov. 30. “Judging by how slowly the modification plan is up and running, it doesn’t lend confidence this is going to jump start things,” Mark Zandi , chief economist with Moody’s Economy.com, said in a phone interview. “They’re saying the right things, but nothing so far suggests it’s going to work in a measurable way.” The increase in banks agreeing to take losses on mortgages is helping some home buyers and real estate brokers. ‘Lucky Deal’ Pat Meislik, 63, started looking for a house in San Diego in March and said she felt locked out of the California market until short sales in her price range became available. “There were times when I had looked at homes before and could only afford a condo,” said Meislik, an accountant and financial analyst. Meislik closed on a three-bedroom “fixer upper” for $280,000 in May. “By the time it ended I felt lucky.” Lender Countrywide Financial Corp., now part of Bank of America, lost about $150,000 on the $406,000 loan to the previous owner, said Meislik’s realtor Deborah Reed. Wells Fargo settled the second $47,252 mortgage on the home for less than 10 cents on the dollar, she said. “The tide is turning,” said Reed, who works at Coldwell Banker in San Diego, where the price of a single family home has dropped 38 percent since the peak, according to the S&P Case- Shiller Home Price Indices . “All of a sudden the banks are being more cooperative.” More Short Sales Reed said she completed four short sales in the past four months and the banks agreed to as much as $400,000 in losses. Lenders have been reluctant to do such sales because they didn’t have procedures for employees to approve a financial loss for the company, said Alan White , assistant professor at Valparaiso University School of Law in Valparaiso, Indiana. “A short sale requires somebody to stick their neck out and make a decision,” said White, an expert in consumer law and bankruptcy. “There are not good structures in place to incentivize losses.” Bankers also have been slow to sign off on short sales because homeowner associations, mortgage insurers and second- lien holders may not agree to the terms of the deal, said Michael Frantantoni, vice president of single family research at the Mortgage Bankers Association . Loan Modifications The first choice for lenders has been to try to keep borrowers in their homes, offering loan modifications as an alternative to foreclosure, Frantantoni said. More than half of the modifications of delinquent mortgages re-defaulted within a year, according to a Sept. 30 report by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. “The single biggest problem was the lack of a vehicle or mechanism at most banks to handle short sales,” said Walter Molony , a National Association of Realtors spokesman. “You could say they were shortsighted in dealing with the problem.” Pressure is building to approve short sales as the number of delinquent mortgages has grown to 3.2 million and an estimated 7 million foreclosures loom in the next two to three years, according to Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac Inc., which compiles and sells U.S. mortgage delinquency data. New Treasury Department guidelines for foreclosure alternatives scheduled to take effect in April 2010 will require lenders to consider borrowers for a short sale on their primary residence 30 days after missing two consecutive payments on a modified loan or after the borrower requests a short sale. Treasury Plan The Treasury Department would pay up to $1,500 for a homeowner to relocate, $1,000 to loan servicing companies that accept a sale and a maximum of $1,000 to help settle a second mortgage or subordinate lien. A lender must agree to release the borrower from all liability for repayment for the mortgage, under the Treasury plan. In July, Wells Fargo began mailing notices to delinquent borrowers advising them that short sales might be an option to avoid foreclosure . “When we determine that a loan is not affordable for the customer — either because a modification was denied or failed – - we obtain the value of the property, run it through our loan decision tool and then send a letter to the customer advising them of our short sale program, including the short sale price we are willing to take on the property,” Debora Blume , a spokeswoman for Wells Fargo Home Mortgage said in an e-mail. ‘Pick a Pay Loans’ Wells Fargo is focusing on delinquent borrowers in Florida and California homeowners with “Pick-a-Pay” loans originated by Wachovia Corp. , Blume said. Wells Fargo acquired Wachovia in December 2008 and owns the “Pick-a-Pay” loans outright, said J.K. Huey, the bank’s senior vice president overseeing short sales and bank-owned properties. That allows the company to approve a short sale without consulting investors or parties that can hold up transactions. “Pick-a-Pay” mortgages have among the highest rates of negative equity, because borrowers could select their monthly payments, often paying less than the interest, with the difference added to the principal. That formula means that total loan debt was increasing at a time property values were falling. Wells Fargo held $87.8 billion of such loans as of Sept. 30, 74 percent of which have the potential for the home’s value to fall below the amount owed, Howard Atkins, the company’s chief financial officer said on an Oct. 21 earnings call . As of Sept. 30, Wells Fargo had modified 43,500, or 22 percent, of the distressed loans to reduce borrowers’ payments, Atkins said. Reaching Out JPMorgan doubled the number of staff trained to handle short sales after adding 5,000 people since Jan. 1 to deal with distressed mortgages, said Thomas Kelly , a spokesman for the New York-based bank’s home lending division. Chase services 10.3 million mortgages worth $1.4 trillion, according to Kelly. Of its portfolio, Chase reported 422,000 loans more than 60 days delinquent, about one third of which were in loan modification programs, according to a Nov. 10 Treasury Department report on the Obama administration’s Making Home Affordable Program. “We’re reaching out to people who are struggling with the Obama loan modifications or our own,” Kelly said. “Approaching customers is a very recent phenomenon.” Bank of America, the nation’s largest loan servicer, had one of the lowest loan modification rates, with 14 percent of problem loans in trial workout plans as of Oct. 31, according to the Obama Administration. The Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank started a “cooperative short sales” program in October and may close its first short sale through the program this month, said Dave Sunlin, senior vice president for foreclosure and real estate management. Pay-Option Mortgages Many are borrowers with pay-option adjustable-rate mortgages issued by Countrywide Financial Corp., Sunlin said. BofA bought Countrywide, once the nation’s largest mortgage originator, for $4 billion in stock in 2008. Short sales benefit a neighborhood because they clear out stagnant properties that may have an adverse effect on values, said Sean Shallis, a senior real estate strategist with Weichert Realtors in Hoboken, New Jersey. Shallis has one home with bank approval for a short sale and three others waiting approval on the same street in Jersey City with views of the Manhattan skyline. “In every case we had multiple offers from people who had plenty of money to put down,” Shallis said. “Americans are out there still buying homes and trying to move it along.” Cutting Losses Short sales also help the bank, because foreclosed properties lose more value when they are vacant or a homeowner vandalizes a house on the way out, Sunlin said. “We typically expect a 10 to 15 percent decrease of loss severity with a short sale,” Sunlin said. Losses on prime loans going through the foreclosure process averaged 49 percent versus 34 percent for a short sale as of Oct. 1, according to a Nov. 10 report by Laurie S. Goodman , senior managing director of Amherst Securities Group LP. For subprime loans, losses averaged 73 percent for a foreclosure compared with 59 percent for a short sale, Amherst reported. “The loss severity of short sales is lower but it’s not low,” Goodman said. For a borrower’s credit history, a short sale is typically reported as “settled” and considered as severe as a foreclosure, said Maxine Sweet , vice president of public education for Experian PLC , the world’s largest credit-reporting company. The impact of a short sale on a credit score is similar to that of a foreclosure. It may drop a credit score of 780 to 620, according to Minneapolis-based FICO Corp . Hardship Letter For sellers like Drew Schlosser, who bought 10 properties in Florida as investments during the housing bubble, getting a short sale was a relief even if the process was difficult. Schlosser said he had to provide Wells Fargo a hardship letter, demonstrating that his financial situation merited a short sale. He also had to provide pay stubs, bank account information and past tax returns. To avoid fraud, the bank also required evidence that the transaction was an arms-length sale and not to one of his relatives, he said. “They don’t agree to do it because you’re upside down,” Schlosser said. “If they think you can pay for it they’re not going to let you out of it.” To contact the reporters on this story: John Gittelsohn in New York at johngitt@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Collins in New York at mcollins45@bloomberg.net .

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Systemic-Risk Bill Approved by House Panel, Advancing Financial Overhaul

December 2, 2009

By Alison Vekshin Dec. 2 (Bloomberg) — A House panel approved legislation strengthening U.S. authority to police large, complex firms that pose risks to the economy, advancing the Obama administration’s effort to overhaul financial rules. The House Financial Services Committee voted 31-27 today for a bill creating a council of regulators to monitor systemic risk, shifting costs of a failure to the financial industry and giving regulators the power to break up healthy firms. The full House will debate and vote on the measure next week. The measure will “make it much less likely that there will be failures of institutions that have become so big and so indebted to so many people that the failure affects not only themselves but the whole economy,” the committee chairman, Barney Frank , told reporters after the vote. The legislation gives the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. the authority to dismantle systemically risky firms and merges two regulators, the Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. President Barack Obama has proposed overhauling rules for Wall Street to prevent a repeat of last year’s financial market collapse, leading to more than $1 trillion in taxpayer-funded bailouts. European Union finance ministers today overcame differences between the U.K. and France to reach a compromise on overhauling financial supervision with new rules for the 27-nation bloc. The ministers in Brussels agreed on a European Systemic Risk Board of central bankers and national regulators to ensure EU market laws are implemented the same in every country and to strengthen supervision. Three European Supervisory Authorities would oversee banking, securities and insurance and pensions under the commission plan. Dismantling Firms The U.S. legislation approved today was amended by Representative Paul Kanjorski , a Pennsylvania Democrat, to let regulators dismantle healthy, well-capitalized financial firms whose size would threaten the economy. The measure removes a three-decade ban on congressional audits of Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions, an amendment offered by Representative Ron Paul , a Republican from Texas who has called for the abolition of the central bank. “At this point my guess is it will not be changed,” Frank said about prospects for amending the Paul language on the House floor. Another amendment creates a fund to cover the government’s costs for unwinding a failed firm. The measure puts the FDIC in charge of the fund, to be supported by fees from companies with more than $50 billion in assets that would generate as much as $150 billion. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd introduced similar legislation last month. Caucus Protest The vote on the systemic-risk bill was postponed from November because members of the Congressional Black Caucus on the committee pledged to withhold their votes in a bid to win economic concessions from the Obama administration. Caucus members were absent from today’s vote. The committee today also approved by voice vote legislation to create a national insurance regulator, the last piece of Frank’s overhaul package. Insurers are regulated by states. “A federal insurance office will provide national policy makers with access to the information and resources needed to respond to crises, mitigate systemic risk and help ensure a well-functioning financial system,” said Kanjorski, sponsor of the legislation. Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat, said the full House would begin debating the regulatory legislation on Dec. 9 and vote by Dec. 11. To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Fed, Treasury Examiners Faulted in Watchdog Reports on U.S. Bank Failures

November 27, 2009

By Alison Vekshin Nov. 27 (Bloomberg) — Treasury Department and Federal Reserve examiners should have done more to halt risky lending at U.S. banks that failed amid real-estate losses, reports by agency watchdogs show. Ten of the 12 bank-collapse reviews released by the Fed and Treasury inspectors general this year fault oversight weaknesses including failure to limit excessive concentration in commercial real-estate loans. Examiners from the Fed, and Treasury’s Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Office of Thrift Supervision also failed to issue enforcement orders and hold banks accountable for recommended changes, according to reports posted to agency Web sites. “We found that regulators conducted regular and timely examinations and identified operational problems, but were slow to take enforcement action to correct the problems,” according to a statement from the Treasury’s Office of Inspector General. Regulators have closed 124 banks this year, the most since 1992, amid loan losses stemming from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The failures have pushed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s insurance fund, used to pay customers for deposits of up to $250,000 when a bank fails, into an $8.2 billion deficit as of Sept. 30. Inspectors general at the Fed and Treasury are required to release autopsies for some failed banks to explain collapses and assess the effectiveness of oversight. The Treasury inspector general released five reports for the OTS and four for the OCC this year. The Fed’s watchdog released three reports this year. The FDIC’s inspector general released 26 reports in the same period, citing similar concerns. ‘Opportunity to Improve’ “We agree with the IG that in several cases we should have acted more quickly, and we have taken steps to ensure more appropriate responses,” OCC spokesman Robert Garsson said. “The OTS views the results of each material loss review as an opportunity to improve our supervision and regulation of savings associations and their holding companies,” said William Ruberry , a spokesman for the thrift regulator. Fed spokeswoman Barbara Hagenbaugh referred to central bank Chairman Ben Bernanke ’s Oct. 23 speech . “We are taking steps to strengthen oversight and enforcement, particularly at the firm-wide level, and we are augmenting our traditional microprudential, or firm-specific, methods of oversight with a more macroprudential, or systemwide, approach that should help us better anticipate and mitigate broader threats to financial stability,” Bernanke said. To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Senator Says Loophole In Derivatives Regulation Undermines Reform

November 20, 2009

The effort to impose new restrictions on the financial system falls short of true reform if there’s a gigantic loophole for foreign exchange derivatives, Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) said Thursday. “Most people who write about the ‘comprehensive reform’ — they’re missing the point, which is, you’ve got to have derivatives regulation,” she said in an interview with the Huffington Post. And indeed, bills being considered in Congress would bring transparency and accountability to the complex and opaque derivatives contracts that nearly brought down the financial markets last year — by forcing them to be traded through clearing houses or on exchanges. But the bills, based on a proposal put forth by the Obama administration, would exempt foreign exchange derivatives from disclosure requirements. That loophole is now facing opposition in both houses of Congress. As Cantwell explains it: “The whole foreign issue is a scapegoat. The real issue is that if you have a loophole that people can drive their tractor through, drive their volume through, you create a dark market.” This one loophole could be widely exploited, Cantwell argued, and “You can’t have exemptions that are 50-80 percent of the market or it won’t be reform.” Foreign exchange derivatives — private contracts to buy or sell currencies in the future -currently make up about eight percent of the largely opaque derivatives market. U.S. firms with extensive operations overseas like Nike and Apple use them as insurance against currency fluctuations. Virtually the entire market is traded in the shadows by the biggest banks. Wall Street wants to keep it that way. Banks made more than $18 billion off foreign exchange derivatives in 2007 and 2008, according to a report by national bank regulator the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency . By comparison, these same banks lost about $13.7 billion during the same period from all other types of derivatives trades. Supporters of the exemption argue that the system is working fine, and that any attempts to regulate it will simply drive the market overseas into much more opaque places, beyond the reach of meaningful regulation. Cantwell’s response to that concern: “The international community is waiting for the United States to stand up and have transparent markets before they themselves have transparent markets. Se we ought to be the beacon for how it’s done, not sit around and blame foreign countries that might have dark markets.” The two leaders responsible for shepherding derivatives reform legislation through the chamber — Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank (D-Mass.) and Agriculture Committee Chairman Collin Peterson (D-Minn.) — have committed to closing the foreign exchange loophole, the Huffington Post reported earlier this week . In the Senate, the bill introduced by Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd (D-Conn.) includes the loophole. However, since the Senate Agriculture Committee also has jurisdiction over how derivatives will be regulated (American farmers have been using derivatives for more than 100 years) it’s unclear what will ultimately emerge from the Senate. “This is a long battle,” Cantwell said. “It’s like a porous border. We’ve got to make sure we really are closing those loopholes.”

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Fed, FDIC Bank Oversight Role May Be Removed Under Senator Dodd’s Proposal

November 10, 2009

By Alison Vekshin Nov. 10 (Bloomberg) — Senator Christopher Dodd will propose creating a single U.S. regulator that would strip the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. of bank- supervision authority, said a person familiar with the matter. Dodd, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee , would eliminate the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision and fold the Treasury Department units into the new bank regulator, according to the person, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the plan isn’t public. The Connecticut Democrat is scheduled to release a draft of his financial-regulation overhaul plan today in Washington. “It makes sense to have one regulator that deals with supervision,” Gilbert Schwartz , a former Fed attorney and a partner at Washington law firm Schwartz & Ballen LLP , said in an interview. “You’ll see a real battle by the Fed and the FDIC to retain their supervisory authority.” Dodd has criticized the U.S. system of four bank regulators, saying the structure encourages charter shopping and a “race to the bottom” by regulators to win over bank and thrift clients. His proposal goes further than proposals by President Barack Obama and House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank to merge the OTS and OCC. FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair told Dodd’s committee in August that merging the four agencies is “no panacea” and Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo has testified that the central bank should retain its authority over U.S. banks. The Fed and FDIC regulate state-chartered banks. The Fed also regulates bank- holding companies. ‘Consistent, Coherent’ “The idea of streamlining federal banking regulation has genuine merit,” said John Dearie , executive vice president for policy at the Financial Services Forum, a Washington-based trade group representing 18 of the largest U.S. financial firms, including Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp. “Fewer federal agencies will mean more consistent, coherent and effective supervision.” Dodd will also propose creating a Consumer Financial Protection Agency, a council of regulators to monitor large firms for disruptive effects on the industry and the economy, and giving the FDIC power to unwind failed firms whose collapse in bankruptcy could shake the economy, the person said. Dodd plans to propose having firms repay the government for the cost of unwinding a large failed company instead of having the industry prepay into a fund that would serve that purpose. Bair and Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat, support having companies prepay into a fund. Obama’s Plan Dodd’s proposal for derivatives oversight may resemble Obama’s plan for reining in the $592 trillion over-the-counter derivatives market, the person said. Obama proposed imposing higher margin and capital requirements on the market, requiring certain contracts to be processed through clearinghouses and mandating more disclosure requirements on derivatives dealers like JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Staff members are still working on the proposal and the details may change, the person said. Dodd, who is seeking re-election next year, will unveil his proposal after failing to reach a compromise with Senator Richard Shelby , the banking committee’s top Republican whose support would ease passage of the legislation in the Senate. Shelby of Alabama opposes setting up a standalone Consumer Financial Protection Agency. Watching Wall Street Dodd’s measure aims to enact the plan Obama released in June for strengthening U.S. oversight of Wall Street to prevent a repeat of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. He said on Nov. 4 his committee will meet in the coming weeks to consider changes to his proposal and vote on it before sending it to the full Senate. The House Financial Services Committee already approved legislation that would set up a consumer agency, tighten rules for derivatives and require federal oversight of hedge funds. Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat, has said he expects the full House to vote on his regulatory package this year. The regulatory-overhaul legislation must be passed by the House and Senate and signed by the president to become law. To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Banks Hire Derivatives Expert To Fight Financial Reform

November 6, 2009

Several major banks are fending off legislation meant to regulate the lucrative derivatives market by hiring a high-powered financial lobbyist. The Hill reports that Edward Rosen, a partner at the Cleary Gottlieb firm, has played a key role in derivatives legislation as Congress hones in on regulating the multi-billion-dollar market. Cleary Gottlieb reported close to $1 million this year lobbying for work on the derivatives market, and according to third-quarter lobbying disclosure reports, Rosen has worked in recent months for financial behemoths like HSBC Securities, Wells Fargo, Deustche Bank, Citigroup and Bank of America Securities. A little more on Rosen from Cleary Gottlieb’s Web site: Mr. Rosen has served as counsel to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, the Securities Industry Association, the Futures Industry Association, the International Swaps and Derivatives Association and The Bond Market Association. From The Hill : “This guy is considered the bee’s knees of knowing the inside-out of derivatives,” said a financial-services lobbyist. Rosen wrote a two-volume book on derivatives legislation and has spent years working on derivatives law and lobbying. A spokeswoman for Cleary Gottlieb declined to comment. The House could vote on derivatives legislation, which would give new powers to the Securities and Exchange Commission to regulate the market, as soon as the first week of December. The Huffington Post reported last month that trading in the unregulated $600 trillion market was partially to blame for spurring last year’s financial meltdown. More than 1,100 banks now trade in derivatives and four banks control the market: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citibank, according to bank regulator the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The Hill reports that commercial banks in the US reported a record $9.2 billion in revenue on derivatives in the first quarter of the year and $5.8 billion in the second quarter, which are the most recent figures available on the market.

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Regulators Delay Bursting of Commercial Real Estate Bubble Delay

November 5, 2009

Despite an alarming increase in the number of troubled commercial real estate loans gumming up bank balance sheets, the Federal Reserve, FDIC, and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency issued new guidelines Friday easing the burden …

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Michael Bloomberg Wins Third Term as NYC Mayor, Beats Comptroller Thompson

November 4, 2009

By Henry Goldman Nov. 4 (Bloomberg) — New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg won re-election yesterday in a tighter race than public opinion polls had projected, becoming the first three-term chief executive of the largest U.S. city by population since 1989. Bloomberg, running on the Republican and Independence Party lines, beat Democratic city Comptroller William Thompson , 51 percent to 46 percent, with all of the city’s 6,110 election districts counted, according to unofficial results tabulated by the Associated Press. Polls in the campaign’s final week found Bloomberg ahead by at least 10 percentage points. Bloomberg’s victory gave him another four years to begin balancing a city budget with a projected $5 billion deficit in the fiscal year beginning July 1, while making good on promises to improve schools and municipal services. New York’s unemployment rate rose to 10.3 percent in September from 6 percent a year earlier. “While we can’t fix the national recession, we can and we will get our city through these tough times and we’ll come out stronger than ever,” Bloomberg said. “We’re going to show we can keep outperforming the rest of the country.” Thompson conceded shortly after 11 p.m., thanking his campaign staff and volunteers and offering Bloomberg his congratulations. “Your support, your enthusiasm and desire for change is what carried me to this point,” he told the crowd. “This campaign was about standing strong, standing tall, and never backing down in the face of a formidable challenge.” Prior Polls Bloomberg’s 4.6 point victory margin was inconsistent with public opinion polls released in the closing week of the campaign. His lead was 12 percentage points in a Nov. 2 Quinnipiac University survey and 15 points in an Oct. 30 Marist College poll. “The polls didn’t measure intensity,” said Kenneth Sherrill , a political science professor at Hunter College in Manhattan. “Bloomberg’s problem was that the people who liked him didn’t feel as strongly as the people who were unhappy. In low turn-out elections, the people who feel most intensely dominate.” In New Jersey, Republican Chris Christie denied incumbent Jon Corzine a second term as governor, 49 percent to 45 percent, in a contest that polls released Nov. 2 showed as a statistical tie. Republican Robert McDonnell won the Virginia governor’s race, defeating R. Creigh Deeds , 59 percent to 41 percent. Incumbent Timothy Kaine was barred by term-limit law from seeking re-election. About 1.1 million voters turned out for the New York City election, 200,000 less than in 2005 when Bloomberg won his second term, beating former Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer by 250,000 votes, 57 percent to 38 percent. Power of Incumbency “A spread between the two of less than 5 points is not typical for an incumbent election,” said Joseph Mercurio , a political consultant who has worked for Democrats and Republicans. “It indicates that Bloomberg really did have to spend all that money.” Aside from the advantages of incumbency, Bloomberg, 67, benefited from a treasury that totaled more than $85 million 10 days before election, breaking a national record for a personally financed campaign. Bloomberg spent his tens of millions of dollars campaigning as a political independent and assailing Thompson, 56, by characterizing his past service as a Board of Education president as a failure, as well as his acceptance of campaign contributions from managers of pension funds that Thompson supervised, as “politics as usual.” Term Limits The mayor, whose wealth Forbes magazine estimated last month at $17.5 billion, is founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, parent of Bloomberg News. He gained the ability to run for re-election last year after persuading the City Council to change the law and remove a restriction that limited officials to two, four-year terms. Bloomberg vowed to continue to reduce crime after eight years in which it fell 35 percent, improve the city’s environment by planting 1 million trees, build affordable housing and pursue an ambitious public health agenda that during his first two terms included bans on smoking in the workplace and use of trans fats in processed food. The tight vote might prove problematic for Bloomberg in governing the city during the next four years, Sherrill said. Several council members that supported Bloomberg’s effort to abolish term limits lost bids for re-election in the September primary election, he noted. Mayoral Opposition Newly elected Public Advocate Bill de Blasio and city Comptroller John Liu , the first Asian to win citywide office, both Democrats who opposed Bloomberg on term limits, have mayoral ambitions, Sherrill said. “The lesson is that there’s peril in supporting the mayor and less risk in challenging him, so the close vote will embolden people to be independent of the mayor and question his agenda,” Sherrill said. At the Sheraton New York hotel in Manhattan campaign workers enjoyed miniature hamburgers and watched five television monitors displaying reports declaring the race closer than expected. Democratic U.S. Representative Andrew Weiner, who decided against running against Bloomberg in May, said Thompson benefited from voter resentment of tax increases and the mayor’s overturning of term limits. “Thompson has a better sense of the notion of helping to lift up the middle class,” Weiner said. Newspaper Endorsements Bloomberg received endorsements from each of the city’s four major daily newspapers — the New York Times, the Daily News, the New York Post and the Staten Island Advance — and from dozens of neighborhood and ethnic newspapers. Former Mayor Ed Koch , a Democrat who has a radio show on Bloomberg Radio, supported him, as did several Democratic city council members. Thompson won backing from about 30 labor organizations including the city’s largest municipal labor union, District Council 37 of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, which represents 125,000 city workers and 50,000 retirees; the Uniform Firefighters Association, and the Transportation Workers Union. The United Federation of Teachers remained neutral. Bloomberg’s re-election makes him the fourth three-term mayor for the city in the past 100 years. Ed Koch was mayor from 1978 to 1989; Fiorello LaGuardia served from 1934 to 1945 and Robert Wagner Jr., from 1954 to 1965. To contact the reporter on this story: Henry Goldman in New York City Hall at hgoldman@bloomberg.net .

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Norman I. Silber: News Flash: Lenders Prefer Fragmented Regulation of the Consumer Financial Marketplace

November 2, 2009

Now that the House Financial Services Committee has passed the Consumer Financial Protection Agency, the American Bankers Association has stepped up its efforts to weaken the legislation or defeat it entirely. The Chamber of Commerce has also embarked on a multi-million dollar campaign with an “inside-the-beltway push” and a “grassroots mobilization” nationwide. And Congressional Republicans have joined in, complaining that the “sweeping authority” exercised by the dreaded CFPA will “impede innovation and kill jobs.” It can’t surprise anyone that those who lend money to consumers do not care to be regulated by an agency focused solely on consumer protection. Nor does it shock us to learn that political opponents of the current administration want to protect their constituencies. And it is, of course, predictable that existing regulators at the Federal Reserve, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Office of Thrift Supervision, the FTC and other agencies are not eager to concede authority to a new agency. For that matter it does not come as news that most legitimate consumer advocacy organizations favor a proposal fashioned to elevate the priority that would be given to consumer protection. But it is rather remarkable that Congress has also heard from a different set of experts about this legislation. More than eighty law professors who teach and write on consumer and banking law issues have urged Congress to create the CFPA . Why have these professors — who have no economic stake in the outcome of this struggle — weighed in? Many of us are saddened by the lending debacle which has ravaged our country’s economy and believe things could have been different. Regulators appear to have placed a higher value on protecting the interests of those who sell financial products than on protecting the interests of consumers in transparent, safe, and fair financial products. Our regulatory structure has contributed to that problem. At present, the mission of protecting consumers on financial matters is divided among many agencies all of which have other responsibilities. Candidates with strong backgrounds on the consumer side hardly ever or in some cases, never, occupy the top posts at the Federal Reserve, the Comptroller of Currency, or the Office of Thrift Supervision. As a result, consumer protection efforts have too often gotten lost. For example, the Federal Reserve Board waited fourteen years to use the power Congress gave it in 1994 to prohibit unfair and deceptive practices in mortgage lending. Had the Fed acted more swiftly, the economic crisis might have been far less severe. But at an agency whose primary mission is the critical subject of macroeconomics, consumer protection has been seen as a backwater. The dangerous conditions in the lending marketplace have been aggravated by the ways federal regulators have prevented states from providing protection. For example, state efforts to regulate troublesome credit card practices have been blocked (through the law of preemption) by federal efforts. Similarly, when states began enacting anti-predatory lending statutes in 1999, federal regulators mobilized to bar application of those laws to federal lenders. The CFPA proposal would enable states to take a greater role in protecting their citizens, and also experiment with different solutions to relatively new problems, like those created by predatory lending. The CFPA would also have the power to help consumers understand their financial obligations. Disclosures go only so far in helping consumers understand overly complex terms–terms that even law professors may struggle with. Disclosures may simply be inadequate in helping consumers deal with some unfair terms, or with products which may be suitable for one group but not the borrowers to whom they are marketed. For example, so-called “exploding ARMs”–mortgages with initial low monthly payments that may leap to far higher payments later–may be fine for those who reasonably expect a substantial rise in income by the time the payments increase, like medical residents, but are recipes for default for those whose incomes are more stable. Perhaps those of us who have studied and taught consumer protection law are as much to blame as the banks and regulators for the mishaps of the recent past: we were too quiet while they made the mistakes that led to the economic crisis. We law professors have learned from our mistakes. We hope Congress has, too. Norman I. Silber teaches consumer law at Hofstra University Law School. Jeff Sovern teaches consumer law at St. John’s University Law School.

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Confusion Over "Too Big To Fail" Bill, Legislation Will Be Changed

October 29, 2009

Democrats and Republicans ripped into Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner during a Congressional hearing Thursday , as Geithner defended an administration plan to address “too big to fail” financial firms. Legislators argued that the plan institutionalized “too big to fail” by requiring perpetual government assistance — bailouts — for failed firms deemed to be systemically important; that the plan’s fund — to be used in the event of a firm’s failure — should be prepaid by these firms, as opposed to being paid after the fact by the survivors; and that the proposal specified that a list of designated firms would be kept secret, which was neither realistic nor helpful. Federal bank regulators echoed that last point. FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said it’s not “realistic to try to keep this confidential.” Comptroller of the Currency John Dugan added that “it’s going to be hard not to disclose…who they are.” “Through some combination of mandatory disclosures to shareholders and financial analysts [figuring it out]…it is likely most, if not all, would eventually be known to the public,” said Federal Reserve Governor Daniel Tarullo. “We should be realistic here about what will or will not be known.” A quick scan of the bill’s language , though, shows that this isn’t necessarily the case . But at the very least the language contributed to — if not caused — the confusion . On page 12 of the bill, which was released Tuesday, the new body created to watch over systemically important firms “is authorized to issue formal recommendations, publicly or privately, that a Federal financial regulatory agency adopt heightened prudential standards for firms it regulates to mitigate systemic risk.” In short, the proposed council can publicly declare that regulators should apply tougher standards to these firms, thereby outing them as “too big to fail.” But later, on page 17, the bill specifies that the new council and the Federal Reserve “may not publicly release a list of companies identified” as systemically important. “There was this confusion today,” House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank (D-Mass.) said in an interview with the Huffington Post. “It does look complicated.” To that end, Frank said he’s changing the bill, calling for the council to publicly recommend which firms will need tougher oversight by regulators. The effect will be that the public will know who is “too big to fail.” Not that most wouldn’t be able to figure it out, though. “If we polled the markets to find out which 20 institutions they believe are too big to fail, I am confident that there would be near-perfect agreement and that the list would very largely overlap that of the regulators,” writes Douglas Elliott, a former investment banker and currently a fellow in economic studies at the Brookings Institution, a think tank.

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Financial Overhaul to Curb Systemic Risk Met With Congressional Opposition

October 29, 2009

By Alison Vekshin Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama’s proposal to police companies for systemic risk and shift the cost for failure to the financial industry faced opposition as lawmakers said the plan would keep the burden on taxpayers in a crisis. “The bill we’re considering today will simply institutionalize too-big-to-fail” and lead to “perpetual taxpayer bailouts,” Representative Jeb Hensarling , a Texas Republican, said at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on a draft bill negotiated with the Treasury Department. Representative Barney Frank , the committee’s chairman, this week unveiled legislation to create a council including the Federal Reserve to monitor firms for risks to the economy. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. would get power to take apart systemically risky firms rather than let them fail in bankruptcy. A similar Senate bill hasn’t been proposed. Frank’s legislation is aimed at preventing companies from becoming so large that government must block a failure that could shake markets. Lawmakers have said a lack of a mechanism for shutting large firms in an orderly way led to ad hoc programs, such as the $700 billion taxpayer bailout used by lenders including Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp. Lawmakers today took issue with key provisions, including a plan to have U.S. financial companies with more than $10 billion in assets repay costs to unwind a firm after it fails. They also opposed having regulators maintain a confidential list of systemically risky institutions. ‘Ugly Head’ “Most of us don’t die and then buy a life insurance policy,” said Representative Luis Gutierrez , an Illinois Democrat. “The fund should be set up just in case their reckless behavior, their risky behavior, raises its ugly head again.” Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner , in testimony, said establishing a fund before a firm collapses “would create expectations that the government would step in to protect shareholders and creditors from losses.” Frank’s legislation gives the resolution authority to the FDIC, expanding the agency’s existing power to disassemble commercial banks and thrifts. FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair , breaking with the Obama administration, said firms should be required to prepay into a fund that Congress sets up to cover the costs of future failures, rather than be assessed after a collapse. “All large firms, not just the survivors, would pay risk- based assessments into the fund,” Bair testified. “This approach would also avoid assessing firms in a crisis.” Representative Randy Neugebauer , a Texas Republican, and other party members said the resolution authority isn’t necessary and he supported liquidating companies in bankruptcy. Bankruptcy Role “In all but the rarest cases, bankruptcy will remain the dominant tool for handling financial failure,” Geithner said, citing the demise of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September 2008. “As the collapse of Lehman Brothers demonstrates, the bankruptcy code is not an effective tool for resolving the failure of complicated global financial institutions in times of severe stress.” Federal Reserve Governor Daniel Tarullo , Comptroller of the Currency John Dugan and Office of Thrift Supervision Acting Director John Bowman generally supported the compromise measure. The legislation is part of the Obama administration’s plan to overhaul U.S. rules governing Wall Street to prevent a repeat of last year’s financial market collapse, leading to more than $1 trillion in U.S. bailout programs. To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Arianna Huffington: Barack Obama Is Doing My Job; Why America Needs Him to Do His

October 26, 2009

When it comes to dealing with Wall Street, President Obama seems to have traded in his position as our economy’s commander-in-chief for a different role: pundit-in-chief. He and his top advisors are suddenly very big on urging, advocating, recommending, strongly suggesting, and cajoling. During his weekly radio address , which focused on the need to get America’s banks lending to small businesses again (wasn’t that the reason we bailed out the banks in the first place?), the president declared that “it’s time for those banks to fulfill their responsibility to help ensure a wider recovery, a more secure system, and more broadly shared prosperity.” But “it’s time for” is the kind of thing we pundits say: “It’s time for the banks to do this and that… It’s time for Congress to do this and that… It’s time for the president to do this and that.” Then the president laid out his plan of action: “We’re going to take every appropriate step to encourage them to meet those responsibilities.” Encourage them? How about make them? Columnists and bloggers encourage. Presidents execute. It’s in the job description. Hence: the executive branch. But when it involves America’s banks, the White House all-too-frequently sounds as if it’s just an innocent, helpless bystander — and we get declarations like the one David Axelrod delivered on This Week : “We have limited sway other than moral suasion with some of these [banks].” Is moral suasion really all we can do? And take this attempt by Robert Gibbs to show that the administration realizes that talk isn’t enough — while failing to realize that just realizing that talk isn’t enough is, in fact, also not enough. “This is not hope,” he said at a daily briefing. “This is more.” He continued: “I think the president… has extremely strong views on this topic, on the topic of lending. And I think we hope that the actions of the bank will be demonstrated.” So I guess sometimes it’s actually not more than hope. And as for Gibbs’ comment that the president has “strong views”: again, I have strong views. The president has the power to turn strong views into transformative policies. And even when the president does move from hopes and views to actions, the actions he chooses are less than muscular. Take the aforementioned central question of how to get banks lending to small businesses again. During his radio address , the president lamented the fact that “too many small business owners are still struggling to get the credit they need. These are the very taxpayers who stood by America’s banks in a crisis — and now it’s time for our banks to stand by creditworthy small businesses, and make the loans they need to open their doors, grow their operations, and create new jobs.” So what does President Obama intend to do about it? He’s going to (wait for it)… convene a conference. “I’ve asked Tim Geithner and Karen Mills,” the president announced last week, “to convene a conference in the coming weeks that will bring together regulators, congressional leaders, lenders and small businesses to determine what additional steps we can take to get credit flowing to small businesses that want to expand and create more jobs.” Convene a conference? You hear that small business owners? Your problems are about to be solved, because the most powerful person on the planet is going to “convene a conference,” which means selecting the conferees, picking the location, handing out press releases, writing reports and then, my favorite part, ignoring the reports and patting each other on the back for a job — or conference — well done. I’m sure executives up and down Wall Street are shaking in their loafers. Of course, we all know that in Washington-speak “I’m going to convene a conference” is somewhere up there with “I’m going to establish a blue ribbon commission” in terms of kicking an issue down the road. Because if this were really a high-priority for the administration, it could, you know, actually do something about it. Right now. The executive branch has plenty of weapons at its disposal to force banks still dependent on billions of dollars in taxpayer funds and guarantees to change behavior (yes, including Goldman Sachs, which still has $21 billion in FDIC guarantees). For starters, the president controls who runs the Fed. Instead of just giving Ben Bernanke the green light for a second term, he could have made it contingent on forcing Bernanke to open up the Fed to full transparency. In fact, there is a proposal for an audit of the Fed in the House now. It is, not surprisingly, being fought by the Fed. And the White House is silent on the subject. The president also has the power to make other key appointments, including the head of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (who supervises the nation’s commercial banks); the head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation; the head of the Office of Thrift Supervision (the primary regulator of savings and loans); the head of the Securities and Exchange Commission; and the head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (which oversees derivatives). He also controls who runs the Treasury Department — which, believe it or not, is not legally mandated to be overseen and staffed by former Goldman Sachs executives and their friends. And there is nothing in the Constitution that says the Treasury Secretary has to be in near-constant contact with the heads of Goldman, Citigroup, and JP Morgan, often taking their calls late at night. And then there is the president’s power to regulate. There are currently a number of proposals making their way through Congress to reform our financial regulatory system. And they all have something in common. Loopholes and exemptions. And lots of ‘em. For example, in an editorial on Sunday, the New York Times said that two bills looking to regulate derivatives, which have passed out of committee, are “weak and unlikely to prevent another fiasco” and “carve out far too many exceptions,” while another derivative-focused bill “denies regulators powers they need to fully police the market.” Meanwhile, the fundamental structural problems that led to the collapse are still not being addressed. A sense of urgency and crisis was exploited when it was useful in persuading taxpayers of the need to bail out the banks. But now that the banks are no longer in crisis — and it’s just the rest of the country that is in trouble — the sense of urgency has faded. Because nothing says lack of urgency like “convene a conference.” Elizabeth Warren sums it up ominously: “All the things we were talking about that were serious, serious problems for the financial institutions seem to me are still serious, serious problems.” And Neel Kashkari, the former overseer of the TARP program under Bush, knows a lack of change when he sees it. “I think that the way that a Democratic administration talks about certain issues is probably a little different than the way a Republican administration does, and that’s appropriate,” he said. “But the substance of the actions, I think, are very consistent, and that’s been important.” Important for Wall Street. And tragic for the rest of us — both in terms of what hasn’t been accomplished, and in terms of how much more misery it will lead to down the road. Misery that is avoidable — if only Barack Obama would stop acting like a pundit, egging on change from the sideline, and start acting like the president, dictating the game from the middle of the field.

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New Mexico Investment Chief Quits After State Drawn Into Pay-to-Play Probe

October 22, 2009

By William Selway Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) — New Mexico’s chief investment officer resigned after the state was drawn into a nationwide investigation of the fees paid to politically connected agents by those seeking to win investment-management work. Gary Bland , who serves on the board overseeing endowment funds for the fifth-biggest U.S. state by area, quit yesterday, according to a letter submitted to New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson . Bland was appointed by Richardson, a Democrat who unsuccessfully sought his party’s 2008 presidential nomination. “Clearly I am saddened and disappointed to render my resignation as state investment officer,” Bland wrote. New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo , the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department are investigating “pay to play” practices in which money managers and their placement agents use ties to public officials to help them gain access to $2 trillion in U.S. public pension systems. Bland’s resignation follows the Oct. 6 guilty plea to fraud by Saul Meyer , founder of Dallas-based pension consultant Aldus Equity. Meyer pleaded guilty in court to fraud charges and admitted he paid $300,000 to Hank Morris , a onetime adviser to former New York state Comptroller Alan Hevesi , to secure money from that state’s pension fund. Aldus’s ties to New Mexico also have drawn scrutiny. The firm worked as a private equity adviser to the state before being fired by its investment council and Educational Retirement Board earlier this year. The retirement board said in June that it was subpoenaed by the Justice Department, which sought information about the role Aldus played in investments with the fund. Federal Subpoena The state investment council, which oversees the state’s $11 billion endowment funds, also said it received a federal subpoena. Meyer admitted that on numerous occasions, contrary to his fiduciary duty to New Mexico’s State Investment Council and Educational Retirement Board, he ensured that Aldus recommended proposed investments pushed on him by politically connected people in New Mexico, knowing they stood to benefit financially or politically, Attorney General Andrew Cuomo said on Oct. 6. Cuomo declined to name the individuals. In his resignation letter, Bland said the investment council’s “much criticized” private equity portfolio had a 12 percent compound rate of return for five years. Richardson accepted Bland’s resignation and thanked him for his service, according to a statement from his office. To contact the reporter on this story: William Selway in San Francisco at wselway@bloomberg.net .

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Goldman Sachs Is Too Big to Tell It Straight: Jonathan Weil

October 22, 2009

Commentary by Jonathan Weil Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) — Repeat after me: Goldman Sachs is not too big to fail. Goldman Sachs is not too big to fail. Goldman Sachs is not too big to fail. Are you laughing yet? This might be funny, except that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. wants us to believe it’s true. Let’s begin with the obvious: Of course Goldman is too big to fail, and of course the government would intervene to prevent Goldman from collapsing if it ever came to that. It’s probably the most important investment bank in the world. There’s a decent chance it could take down the world’s financial system if it ever blew up. It’s the very embodiment of what’s known in government parlance as a “ systemically significant” financial institution. Only two U.S. bank-holding companies, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp., held greater amounts of derivatives than Goldman as of June 30, according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Citigroup Inc., which would be dead already if it hadn’t been too big, was No. 5 on that list. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac also used to say they didn’t have any federal guarantee. Not many people believed them either. It was against this backdrop that Goldman’s chief financial officer, David Viniar , got on a conference call with reporters last week and said Goldman enjoys no government guarantee. Not even an implicit one, he said. How to Justify Viniar’s remarks came after a reporter for the Daily Mail of London, Simon Duke , posed a perfectly reasonable question: “It seems fairly clear that, post-Lehman, that the U.S. Treasury’s not going to let any bulge-bracket firms go under,” Duke began, according to an audio recording of the call. “How can you justify these levels of pay, when you effectively enjoy an implicit guarantee from the U.S. taxpayer?” The pay Duke was referring to was the $16.7 billion that Goldman has accrued for employee-compensation expenses so far this year. Viniar responded by attacking his question’s premise. “We’ve heard many people say that, but we certainly don’t operate the company that way,” Viniar said. “We operate as an independent financial institution that stands on our own two feet.” He didn’t stop there. “If we felt that we had an implicit guarantee, we would not be holding nearly $170 billion of cash on our balance sheet. We would not have reduced our balance sheet by $400 billion.” (Actually, the “cash” figure he cited also included certain securities that Goldman considers to be highly liquid.) What Crisis? After Duke pressed him further, Viniar turned emphatic. “I don’t believe any of our bondholders think that we have a guarantee, and we don’t think we have a guarantee,” he said. It’s as if last year’s bailouts of everything from the money-market industry to American International Group Inc. never even happened. Sure, it’s of some comfort that Goldman is down to a measly $882 billion of assets , or 13.5 times equity. And it’s nice to hear Viniar say Goldman is operating as if it had no federal safety net. To say Goldman doesn’t have one, though, is crazy talk. Consider what former Federal Reserve Board Chairman Paul Volcker said in a July interview published last month by the Minneapolis Fed’s in-house magazine, the Region . “Think of the situation with Goldman Sachs,” said Volcker, one of President Barack Obama’s economic advisers. “They’ve had government assistance. They were presumably deemed too big to fail. And at the same time, they have an enormous trading book. They’ve made a lot of money. There’s nothing wrong with making money, but I don’t want them to make money by taking those risks with the support of the taxpayer.” Leading the Polls Likewise, here’s what Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke told the House Financial Services Committee in July, when asked to estimate how many systemically significant, too-big-to-fail companies there might be. “A very rough guess would be about 25,” he said. While Bernanke didn’t name names, leaving Goldman off that list would make as much sense as a Top 25 college football poll that didn’t include Tim Tebow’s undefeated Florida Gators. Last spring, Goldman was one of the 19 major banks the Fed picked to undergo its so-called stress tests . Under that program, the government expressly committed to provide additional capital to any bank on the list that needed it and couldn’t raise enough from other investors. That capital would have been convertible into common-equity shares, meaning the government in effect was setting a floor for the banks’ stock prices. Impossible to Imagine True, Goldman passed the test, and in June it returned the $10 billion it received last year under the Treasury Department’s Troubled Asset Relief Program. Yet the point remains: Goldman had a federal safety net. It’s just about impossible to imagine the government wouldn’t provide another lifeline if needed. Goldman’s bosses obviously are concerned about the criticism they’ve received over the bank’s massive profits and bonus pool this year. Many Americans believe Goldman would have died were it not for last year’s taxpayer bailouts of the banking industry. And a lot of them feel like Goldman owes the country a debt — of gratitude, if nothing else. As long as Goldman keeps feeling the need to explain itself, the least it could do is ease up on the hubris. Goldman Sachs doesn’t have an implicit government guarantee? Give me a break. ( Jonathan Weil is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: Jonathan Weil in New York at jweil6@bloomberg.net

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Economy Is Making `Modest’ Gains Across U.S., Fed’s Beige Book Survey Says

October 21, 2009

By Steve Matthews Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) — The Federal Reserve said its district banks saw “stabilization or modest improvements” in many areas of the economy, led by housing and manufacturing, while all 12 regions reported a weak or declining commercial real estate market. Fed banks observed “little or no” price pressures, the central bank said today in its Beige Book business survey, published two weeks before officials meet to set monetary policy. Demand for bank loans was “weak or declining,” and many districts reported a “further erosion of credit quality.” The central bank survey indicates that the economy, while gaining momentum, has yet to overcome weaknesses in banking and employment. Unemployment rose last month in 23 U.S. states, wholesale prices unexpectedly fell and builders broke ground on fewer homes than forecast, giving central bankers more reason to hold the main interest rate at a record low to stoke a recovery. “The Beige Book was more pessimistic than what I expected,” said John Silvia , chief economist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC in Charlotte, North Carolina. “Economic improvements are modest at best with significant downside in terms of banking and bank loans. The Beige Book says the Fed is nowhere near ready to raise rates for any reason.” Today’s report cited continued “weak or mixed” labor markets. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predict the jobless rate will reach 10 percent by the end of the year. “Reports of gains in economic activity generally outnumber declines, but virtually every reference to improvement was qualified as either small or scattered,” the Fed said today. Stocks Erase Gains Stocks erased early gains after analyst Dick Bove downgraded Wells Fargo & Co., the largest U.S. home lender this year. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.9 percent to 1,081.4 at 4:07 p.m. in New York after earlier climbing above its highest close of the year. Treasuries fell, with 10-year notes snapping three days of gains. The 10-year note yield rose four basis points, or 0.04 percentage points, to 3.39 percent at 4:21 p.m. in New York. The jobless rate hit records in Nevada, Rhode Island and Florida, the Labor Department said today in Washington. The Fed report reflects information collected through Oct. 13 and summarized by staffers at the Richmond Fed . The Federal Open Market Committee next meets in Washington Nov. 3-4. At their prior meeting last month, officials said the economy had “picked up,” while maintaining their pledge to keep the target interest rate exceptionally low for an “extended period.” ‘Tough Slog’ Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher said today he sees the start of an “inventory correction” in the U.S. economy. Fisher, in an interview with the Toronto-based BNN television network, said “bad numbers are getting less worse,” though growth next year will be a “tough slog” and “significantly below potential.” Economic growth will average 2.8 percent in the second half of this year, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists this month. The world’s largest economy shrank at a 0.7 percent annual rate from April through June, the best performance in more than a year, according to government figures. Defaults on commercial real estate loans totaled $110 billion, or 6 percent of all such loans, in the second quarter. That’s about 11 times the level in the fourth quarter of 2006. Defaults may rise to $170 billion by the fourth quarter of 2010, according to Foresight Analytics LLC, a real-estate market consulting firm. No Jobs, No Demand “Demand drivers for all asset classes of commercial real estate stink right now,” said Allen Greer, managing member of Greer Advisors LLC in Los Angeles and a former Bank of America Corp. official. “With no jobs, you have no demand. I don’t see businesses spending. I see no end in sight for the lack of job growth.” Greer said it may take “three to five years” to work out problems in commercial real estate. Declining real-estate values caused by rising vacancies, falling rental rates and weak sales are contributing to losses, Comptroller of the Currency John Dugan , the regulator of national banks, told Congress on Oct. 14. “This will be an agonizingly slow recovery” because of high levels of debt, Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig said this month. “I do agree with most of those economists who say we are beginning a recovery,” though “right now it doesn’t feel like one to many people.” The number of states with at least 10 percent unemployment held at 14 last month. The jobless rate nationally reached a 26-year high of 9.8 percent in September, the Labor Department reported earlier this month. The Fed lowered its main interest rate almost to zero in December while switching to asset purchases and credit programs as its main policy tools. Investors expect the central bank to begin raising rates next year, according to trading in futures contracts. To contact the reporter on this story: Steve Matthews in Atlanta at smatthews@bloomberg.net ;

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JPMorgan Credit-Card Defaults May Signal Extension of Industrywide Losses

October 14, 2009

By Peter Eichenbaum Oct. 14 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. , the biggest U.S. credit-card lender, said the unit’s third-quarter write- offs rose and the company forecast more next year, signaling that the industry’s record losses may have longer to run. Card write-offs, excluding loans acquired from Washington Mutual Inc., rose to 9.41 percent on an annualized basis, from 8.97 percent in the previous quarter, JPMorgan said in its quarterly earnings statement today. That means September defaults probably increased, said Michael Taiano , an analyst at Sandler O’Neill & Partners LP. A similar rise at other card issuers would push the industry’s U.S. losses beyond the record 11.49 percent set in August, as measured by Moody’s Investors Service. The nation’s six biggest card issuers, including Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. , are scheduled to release monthly data tomorrow. The companies have blamed the recession and rising joblessness . “With unemployment ticking higher, you’d expect these losses to get worse before they get better,” said Joseph Mason , a Louisiana State University banking professor and former economist at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. “We’re definitely not out of the woods yet.” JPMorgan’s credit-card division posted a $700 million quarterly loss, its fourth straight, and the deficit may widen to $1 billion in the first period of next year, Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said today on a conference call with analysts. The card unit’s losses for 12 months total $2.29 billion. The entire company earned $3.59 billion during the third quarter, the most since the subprime mortgage market collapsed in 2007. Credit-card defaults typically track the U.S. jobless rate, which climbed to 9.8 percent in September, the highest since 1983. Card losses may peak at 12 percent to 13 percent in mid- 2010, Moody’s has said. ‘Big 6’ Bank of America, the second-biggest credit-card lender after JPMorgan, said write-offs rose to 14.54 percent in August, the highest of the “Big 6” issuers that typically report default data on the 15th of each month. Soured loans at New York-based Citigroup, the third-biggest, climbed to 12.14 percent last month. Credit-card losses for U.S. issuers could total $82.4 billion, almost a quarter of all loans, if write-offs reach 18 percent to 20 percent, the Federal Reserve said May 7 after stress tests on 19 lenders, including Charlotte, North Carolina- based Bank of America. American Express Co., the only card issuer among the six to report a decline in both defaults and delinquencies for August, is scheduled to post write-off data tomorrow, along with McLean, Virginia-based Capital One Financial Corp. and Discover Financial Services, based in Riverwoods, Illinois. To contact the reporter on this story: Peter Eichenbaum in New York at peichenbaum@bloomberg.net

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Writedowns on Mortgage-Collection Servicing Make Even JPMorgan Vulnerable

October 12, 2009

By Michael J. Moore Oct. 12 (Bloomberg) — The four biggest U.S. banks by assets may have to take writedowns on $55 billion of mortgage- collection contracts after marking them up by $11 billion in the second quarter, casting a shadow over earnings. Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. wrote up the value of the contracts, known as mortgage-servicing rights or MSRs, by 26 percent in the quarter as mortgage rates climbed by about 0.35 percentage point. Net gains on the contracts added more than $1 billion to Wells Fargo’s record earnings in the quarter and $1 billion to JPMorgan’s first-quarter profit. Mortgage rates fell about 0.26 percentage point in the third quarter, according to Freddie Mac, and servicing costs are rising, meaning the four banks, which handle collections on more than $5.9 trillion of U.S. mortgages, may face writedowns. “We’re very bearish on MSR valuations,” said Paul Miller , a banking analyst at FBR Capital Markets in Arlington, Virginia. “They are overvalued. There are higher costs associated with the servicing, and we’re very concerned about it.” The four banks control 56 percent of the market for the contracts, according to Inside Mortgage Finance , a Bethesda, Maryland-based newsletter that has covered the industry since 1984. Servicers collect payments from borrowers and pass them on to mortgage lenders or investors, less fees. They also keep records, manage escrow accounts and contact delinquent debtors. ‘Accounting Game’ The value of the rights depends largely on the expected life of the mortgage, which ends when a borrower pays off the loan, refinances or defaults. When rates drop and more borrowers refinance, MSR values decline. Banks typically hedge those movements using interest-rate swaps and other derivatives. Under U.S. accounting rules in place since 1995, banks are supposed to report the value of their mortgage-servicing rights on a fair-market basis, or roughly what they would fetch in a sale. A bank must record a loss whenever it sells MSRs for a price below where they’re marked on the books . Because there’s no active trading in the contracts, there are no reliable prices to gauge whether banks are valuing the rights accurately, analysts said. “It’s an accounting game,” said Richard Bove , an analyst at Rochdale Securities Inc. in Lutz, Florida. “The deeper you get into the subject, the more items you find that are impossible to determine, and therefore it becomes a give up. Whatever they want to show, they show.” Hedging MSRs JPMorgan reports its third-quarter earnings on Oct. 14. Seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect the bank to post a profit of $2 billion, down 27 percent from the second quarter. Citigroup, which reports the next day, is estimated by eight analysts to post a loss of $2.5 billion after recording a $4.3 billion profit in the second quarter when it sold a controlling stake in its Smith Barney brokerage. Bank of America’s earnings are expected to drop 95 percent from the second quarter to about $165 million when the lender announces results on Oct. 16, according to the mean estimate of 10 analysts. Eight analysts estimate Wells Fargo will post net income of $2.1 billion on Oct. 21, down 34 percent from its record earnings the previous quarter. Whether the banks will take losses as a result of any MSR writedowns in the third and fourth quarters depends on the level of their hedging. Bank of America, which lowered the value of its rights last year by $6.7 billion, still added $2 billion to its earnings as hedges outperformed the declines. JPMorgan’s hedges earned $1.5 billion more than the $6.8 billion it took in writedowns on its collection contracts in 2008. ‘Inherently Unpredictable’ Bank of America holds the largest amount of MSRs, with $18.5 billion as of June 30. JPMorgan had $14.6 billion, while Wells Fargo owned $15.7 billion and Citigroup $6.8 billion. The four banks don’t own most of the mortgages they service. Wells Fargo handles $270 billion of its own residential mortgages and $1.39 trillion of loans for others, according to company filings. Bank of America services $2.11 trillion of mortgages, $1.70 trillion of them for investors. Citigroup services $770 billion, including $579 billion of loans it doesn’t own. JPMorgan , which handles $1.4 trillion of mortgages, said it services $1.1 trillion of loans for other investors. Spokesmen for the four banks declined to comment about how the rights are valued. The companies say in regulatory filings that the assets are volatile and marking them requires making assumptions about future conditions. “The valuation of MSRs can be highly subjective and involve complex judgments by management about matters that are inherently unpredictable,” San Francisco-based Wells Fargo said in its second-quarter regulatory filing . Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Wells Fargo wrote up the value of its MSRs by $2.3 billion in the quarter, the result, it said, of model inputs and assumptions. The hedges it used to offset the movement of the servicing rights fell $1.3 billion, resulting in a net gain of $1 billion to its $3.2 billion second-quarter profit. New York-based JPMorgan, which wrote up its MSRs by $3.83 billion in the quarter, reported a $3.75 billion loss on its hedges, leaving it with an $81 million profit . Bank of America based in Charlotte, North Carolina, gained $3.5 billion on the increase in value of its collection contracts. The bank didn’t disclose the performance of its hedges. Citigroup, which marked up the value of its rights by $1.3 billion, also didn’t disclose its hedges. “Nobody wants to point out that the emperor has no clothes,” said FBR’s Miller. “They all took massive hedging losses over the last quarter, mainly coming out of May, when rates shot up 150 basis points, and mysteriously MSRs were written up to match those losses.” A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. No Market Banks say there is no liquid market for the securities, as the volatility of the rights has pushed some smaller firms out of the market and record delinquencies have led others to shun mortgage assets. The banks list the rights as Level 3 assets, an accounting term for securities whose value is unclear, and they rely on internal models to determine their value. “About 75 percent of residential MSR assets are owned by 10 firms, so when you’ve got that supply-demand dynamic that changes, there’s not going to be a whole lot of trading,” said Daniel Thomas, a managing director in asset sales at Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp. in New York. “When the market is dry like it is as far as trading volume, these guys have a lot of latitude for a Level 3 input valuation.” Servicing rights provide a steady stream of income. The four banks collected about $4.1 billion from fees in the second quarter. Much of that revenue, about $3.2 billion, was already accounted for in the valuations of the rights. Servicing Costs Servicers face higher costs as delinquencies rose almost 80 percent in the last year and large banks move to implement President Barack Obama ’s mortgage-modification program. Home loans 60 days or more past due climbed to 5.3 percent of loans through June 30, up from 4.8 percent on March 31 and 3 percent a year earlier, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision said in a Sept. 30 report. Contacting and working with borrowers who fall behind on their mortgages is time consuming and costly. Loan-servicing employees can handle as few as one-tenth the number of delinquent loans as performing loans, said Steven Horne , the former director of servicing-risk strategy at Fannie Mae who now heads Wingspan Portfolio Advisors LLC , a specialist in distressed-loan collections in Carrollton, Texas. First Tennessee Bank National Association, a subsidiary of First Horizon National Corp., saw its servicing costs rise to about $80 a year per loan from $60 a loan a year earlier as delinquencies and defaults rose, said David Miller, head of investor relations at the bank. Unable to Refinance While higher servicing costs and falling mortgage rates lower the value of the rights, the weak economy can push them higher. Borrowers who owe more than their home is worth or who have lost their jobs are often unable to refinance, tempering the impact of lower rates on prepayments. Banks’ hedges also often benefit from lower rates. In the U.S., 26 percent of borrowers owe more than their home is worth, said Karen Weaver , global head of securitization research for Deutsche Bank Securities in New York. In parts of California, Florida and Nevada, it’s as high as 75 percent. The U.S. economy has lost about 6.9 million jobs since the recession started in December 2007. Average Life Difficulties in refinancing mortgages during the worst recession since World War II are reflected in banks’ expectations of the life of the servicing rights. The assumed weighted average life of a servicing right tied to a fixed-rate mortgage jumped to 5.11 years as of June 30, Bank of America said in a regulatory filing. That’s up from 3.26 years at the end of 2008, following a 0.28 percentage point rise in mortgage rates. The assumed weighted average life had fallen from 5.38 years on Sept. 30, 2008, after mortgage rates dropped 0.95 percentage point in the fourth quarter. A change in prepayment rates that would cause a 0.48 year drop in the weighted-average life of the portfolio would result in an estimated $1.43 billion decline in the value of its servicing rights, the bank said. “Either because people are underwater, which means it’s unlikely they are going to jump out of that mortgage, or they just aren’t moving around as much, those mortgages are going to last a lot longer, and that would help the valuations,” said Ray Pfeiffer , chairman of the accounting department at Texas Christian University’s Neeley School of Business. Volatility The volatility of the rights and the cost of hedging them have led First Tennessee Bank to cut more than half of its MSR holdings, which included contracts to service about $100 billion of mortgages at its peak in 2008. “The underlying cash flow of the servicing business is pretty good, the fees relative to the servicing costs are actually fairly attractive,” Miller said. “It’s a very difficult asset to hedge, and that’s one of the things that makes that business, in our mind, less attractive.” To contact the reporter on this story: Michael J. Moore in New York at mmoore55@bloomberg.net .

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Bank Failures Rise to 98 as Three Close in Minnesota, Michigan, Colorado

October 3, 2009

By Dakin Campbell Oct. 3 (Bloomberg) — Banks in Minnesota, Michigan and Colorado were shut by regulators, bringing this year’s toll of U.S. failures to 98 amid the worst financial crisis in more than seven decades. Jennings State Bank of Spring Grove, Minnesota, and Warren Bank of Warren, Michigan, were closed by state regulators and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. was named receiver, the agency said yesterday in statements on its Web site . Southern Colorado National Bank of Pueblo was closed by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the FDIC said. “Deposits will continue to be insured by the FDIC,” the agency said. “There is no need for customers to change their banking relationship to retain their deposit insurance coverage.” Regulators this year have closed the most banks since the savings-and-loan crisis of the early 1990s as lenders struggle with mounting losses on real-estate loans. U.S. job losses accelerated last month as the unemployment rate climbed to the highest level since 1983. U.S. payrolls dropped by 263,000 in September, exceeding the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey, the Labor Department said yesterday. The jobless rate rose to 9.8 percent from 9.7 percent in August, while working hours matched a record low. The FDIC deposit-insurance fund has been depleted by 120 bank failures in the past two years. The agency proposed asking banks to prepay three years of premiums to raise $45 billion. Yesterday’s failures cost the fund $293.3 million. Huntington Huntington Bancshares Inc. , a Columbus, Ohio-based bank- holding company, agreed to acquire the deposits of Warren Bank. The FDIC said Warren Bank had deposits of $501 million and assets of $538 million. Huntington will buy $83 million of the assets, the FDIC said. Huntington Chief Executive Officer Stephen Steinour said the acquisition helps the bank gain business in southeast Michigan. “This transaction affords the opportunity to immediately deepen our presence and better positions us to take advantage of the pockets of growth opportunities that exist,” Steinour said in a statement. Huntington fell 2 cents to $4.45 yesterday at the close of regular Nasdaq Stock Market trading. The stock has dropped 42 percent this year. Central Bank of Stillwater, Minnesota, agreed to assume the $52.4 million in deposits at Jennings State Bank, the FDIC said. Central Bank purchased all of Jennings’ $56.3 million in assets, with the FDIC entering into a loss-share agreement on about $37.7 million. Legacy Bank of Wiley, Colorado, will pay a 1 percent premium for Southern Colorado’s $31.9 million in deposits, the FDIC said. Legacy Bank will buy $39.5 million in assets, with the FDIC sharing losses on $25.5 million. To contact the reporter on this story: Dakin Campbell in San Francisco at dcampbell27@bloomberg.net

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Senate’s Warner Urges Goldman Sachs to Watch `Optics’ on Executives’ Pay

October 2, 2009

By Alison Vekshin Oct. 2 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. must be cautious about handing out record bonuses while the banking industry is still under distress or risk spurring an outcry from Congress, U.S. Senator Mark Warner said. “I do hope that Goldman Sachs will be a little more sensitive to the optics of their actions,” Warner, a member of the Senate Banking Committee , said today in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt ,” to be broadcast today. “They ought to be sensitive to the fact that the whole industry is still under a great deal of scrutiny,” said Warner, a Virginia Democrat. “You can end up seeing a reaction on the Hill if there’s not some of that sensitivity.” Goldman Sachs, the biggest U.S. securities firm before converting to a bank holding company in September 2008, set aside $11.4 billion to pay compensation in the first six months of this year after reporting record earnings. Goldman Sachs spokesman Lucas Van Praag didn’t immediately return messages seeking comment. Warner said the banking committee will finish drafting legislation based on President Barack Obama’s proposal to overhaul U.S. financial regulations this month and will meet in November to consider amendments. The legislation can be finished next month, he said. “If we did not learn the lessons of the worst financial meltdown in all our lifetimes and try to put new rules of the road in place, I think it would be a disaster,” Warner said. Council of Regulators Warner said he supports creating a council of regulators to monitor systemic risk that would include the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department, adding that there is a sense on the committee that setting up a council is the “right way” to go. The banking panel will consider creating a single bank regulator by merging the oversight powers of the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision, Warner said. The committee plans to take into account the concerns of community bankers, who say merging the four bank regulators would make them “a stepchild” to larger banks, Warner said. Warner said the government shouldn’t have a say in who replaces Kenneth Lewis as chief executive officer of Bank of America Corp. “I actually think that the board ought to be making that decision,” Warner said. “The government micromanaging these companies — that is a very dangerous place to be.” ‘Arbitrary Cap’ Warner dismissed discussion about setting limits on Wall Street compensation, saying it’s “really hard to set an arbitrary cap.” “The private sector will always find a way around that,” he said. “If too much risk was taken and we end up seeing the institution go down, some notion of a clawback makes a lot of sense.” While Goldman Sachs has repaid the funds it owed the government under the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program, the financial sector is “still not out of the woods,” Warner said. Warner said the Senate will pass a health-care bill this year with 60 votes, adding that he hoped to see Republican support for the legislation. Republicans haven’t supported the legislation even after Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee agreed to such compromises as excluding a government-run insurance program from its legislation, Warner said. Warner said Virginia voters’ concern about what is happening in Washington is causing Creigh Deeds , the Democratic party’s gubernatorial candidate in Virginia, to fall behind. “He’s got a month to close this race,” Warner said. “We can turn out the more moderate voters if we can make this a choice not about what is going on in Washington, but about the record of the last eight years in Virginia.” To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Goldman Sachs Should Have More Sensitivity About Bonus Impact, Warner Says

October 2, 2009

By Alison Vekshin Oct. 2 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. must be cautious about handing out record bonuses while the banking industry is still under distress or risk spurring an outcry from Congress, U.S. Senator Mark Warner said. “I do hope that Goldman Sachs will be a little more sensitive to the optics of their actions,” Warner, a member of the Senate Banking Committee , said today in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt ,” to be broadcast today. “They ought to be sensitive to the fact that the whole industry is still under a great deal of scrutiny,” said Warner, a Virginia Democrat. “You can end up seeing a reaction on the Hill if there’s not some of that sensitivity.” Goldman Sachs, the biggest U.S. securities firm before converting to a bank holding company in September 2008, set aside $11.4 billion to pay compensation in the first six months of this year after reporting record earnings. Goldman Sachs spokesman Lucas Van Praag didn’t immediately return messages seeking comment. Warner said the banking committee will finish drafting legislation based on President Barack Obama’s proposal to overhaul U.S. financial regulations this month and will meet in November to consider amendments. The legislation can be finished next month, he said. “If we did not learn the lessons of the worst financial meltdown in all our lifetimes and try to put new rules of the road in place, I think it would be a disaster,” Warner said. Council of Regulators Warner said he supports creating a council of regulators to monitor systemic risk that would include the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department, adding that there is a sense on the committee that setting up a council is the “right way” to go. The banking panel will consider creating a single bank regulator by merging the oversight powers of the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision, Warner said. The committee plans to take into account the concerns of community bankers, who say merging the four bank regulators would make them “a stepchild” to larger banks, Warner said. Warner said the government shouldn’t have a say in who replaces Kenneth Lewis as chief executive officer of Bank of America Corp. “I actually think that the board ought to be making that decision,” Warner said. “The government micromanaging these companies — that is a very dangerous place to be.” ‘Arbitrary Cap’ Warner dismissed discussion about setting limits on Wall Street compensation, saying it’s “really hard to set an arbitrary cap.” “The private sector will always find a way around that,” he said. “If too much risk was taken and we end up seeing the institution go down, some notion of a clawback makes a lot of sense.” While Goldman Sachs has repaid the funds it owed the government under the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program, the financial sector is “still not out of the woods,” Warner said. Warner said the Senate will pass a health-care bill this year with 60 votes, adding that he hoped to see Republican support for the legislation. Republicans haven’t supported the legislation even after Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee agreed to such compromises as excluding a government-run insurance program from its legislation, Warner said. Warner said Virginia voters’ concern about what is happening in Washington is causing Creigh Deeds , the Democratic party’s gubernatorial candidate in Virginia, to fall behind. “He’s got a month to close this race,” Warner said. “We can turn out the more moderate voters if we can make this a choice not about what is going on in Washington, but about the record of the last eight years in Virginia.” To contact the reporter on this story: Alison Vekshin in Washington at avekshin@bloomberg.net .

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Loan Modifications: Half Of All Who Get Help End Up Falling Behind

September 30, 2009

WASHINGTON – Lenders are ramping up efforts to avoid home foreclosures, but a report by bank regulators says more than half of borrowers who get help fall behind again. More than 50 percent of homeowners with loans modified in the first half of last year had missed at least two months of payments a year later, the federal Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision said Wednesday. But the results were better among those who saw their payments drop substantially. About one in three borrowers whose monthly payments were reduced by 20 percent or more had fallen behind again within a year. That compares with more than 60 percent for borrowers whose loan payments were left unchanged or increased. The report by highlights a significant challenge for the Obama administration’s plan to tackle the foreclosure crisis, backed by $50 billion in money from the financial industry bailout fund. The administration’s effort got off to a slow start, but has picked up speed in recent months. As of last month, about 360,000 borrowers, or 12 percent of those eligible, have signed up for three-month trial modifications. They are supposed to be extended for five years if the homeowners make their payments on time. There is currently no data on redefaults within the plan. Traditionally, most lenders have offered payment plans that allowed borrowers to catch up on missed payments. But those modifications often do not involve an interest rate reduction and result in a higher monthly payment. All that does is set the borrower up for failure, said Kristi Cahoon, an attorney and housing counselor with Legal Services of Northern Virginia. “A lot of them aren’t true modifications,” she said. By contrast, under the Obama plan, she believes the loans will be sustainable for the homeowners she counsels. Borrowers’ interest rates, for example, can go as low as 2 percent for five years under the Obama plan. Bank regulators say they have pressed lenders to shift their focus to modifications that reduced borrowers’ payments. They made up nearly 80 percent of new modifications in the April-June quarter, up from about half in the first three months of the year. The report covers 34 million loans, representing more than 60 percent of primary home mortgages. Consistent with other reports, it showed borrowers are continuing to fall behind as job losses mount. More than 11 percent of borrowers covered by the report had missed at least one payment as of June 30, up from 10 percent in April. It also highlighted mounting problems with an especially troubling category of loans — “pick-a-payment” or option ARM loans, which allowed borrowers to defer some of their interest payments and add them to the principal. At the end of June, 10 percent of these loans were in foreclosure, more than triple the rate for all mortgages in the survey. The lenders included in the report offered help to about 440,000 borrowers in the April-June period, they started foreclosure on about 370,000 homes, unchanged from the January-March period. Get HuffPost Business On Facebook and Twitter !

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Derivatives: Bailed-Out Banks Still Making Billions Off Risky Bets

September 28, 2009

Derivatives is one of the dirty words of the financial crisis. Though these often-risky bets were blamed by many for helping fuel the credit crunch and the downfall of Lehman Brothers and AIG, it seems that Wall Street has yet to learn its lesson. U.S. commercial banks earned $5.2 billion trading derivatives in the second quarter of 2009, a 225 percent increase from the same period last year, according to the Treasury Department. More than 1,100 banks now trade in derivatives, a 14 percent increase from last year. Four banks control the market: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citibank account for 94 percent of the total derivatives reported to be held by U.S. commercial banks, according to national bank regulator the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The credit risk posed by derivatives in the banking system now stands at $555 billion, a 37 percent increase from 2008. “By any standard these [credit] exposures remain very high,” Kathryn E. Dick, the OCC’s deputy comptroller for credit and market risk, said in a statement . The complex financial instruments, which take the form of futures, forwards, options and swaps, derive their value from an underlying investment or commodity such as currency rates, oil futures and interest rates. They are designed to reduce the risk of loss for one party from the underlying asset. Trading in an unregulated $600 trillion market, they were partly blamed for igniting the financial crisis a year ago. The New York Times reported earlier this month: Derivatives drove the boom before 2008 by encouraging banks to make loans without adequate reserves. They also worsened the panic last fall because they inherently tie institutions together. Investors worried that the collapse of one bank would lead to big losses at others. The Obama administration has included oversight of derivatives as part of its overhaul of financial regulations. Wall Street is fighting back as it seems to have returned to its much-criticized practices . Last Thursday former Fed chairman Paul Volcker, who now heads the White House Economic Recovery Advisory Board, warned lawmakers about the danger lurking behind derivatives. Testifying on Capitol Hill, Volcker discussed how “opaque trading in complex derivatives [have] become so large relative to underlying assets” and how “more and more complex financial instruments limit the transparency of markets,” he said. “As a general matter, I would exclude from commercial banking institutions, which are potential beneficiaries of official (i.e., taxpayer) financial support, certain risky activities entirely suitable for our capital markets,” he added. But the OCC argues that derivatives trading is not inherently risky, explaining that banks are trading these instruments every minute of every day with institutions more creditworthy than a typical borrower. “The system has always worked on derivatives,” said Kevin M. Mukri , an OCC spokesman. “You have higher-quality counterparties — higher quality than in any other line of business.” Furthermore, “the purpose of derivative trading to to mitigate risk — not increase risk,” he said. “Without derivatives it would be a very hectic marketplace.” Yet some well-respected investment banks seem to be exposed to significant risk, judging by their credit exposure from derivatives contracts. Goldman Sachs, formerly a pure investment bank, is now a bank-holding company regulated by the Federal Reserve. It owns Goldman Sachs Bank, an FDIC-insured depository. The bank has about $20 billion in total risk-based capital — in short, the money it has to cover creditors in case they go belly-up. But the bank has about $186 billion in total credit exposure from its derivatives contracts. Much of that $186 billion could be backed up by collateral — banks with at least $100 billion in assets held a combination of cash, bonds and securities against 63 percent of their total net credit exposure as of June 30. But the OCC doesn’t break that down by institution, and Goldman Sachs doesn’t disclose it either. Nonetheless, the bank’s exposure to derivatives losses is about nine times the amount of capital it has set aside. “It’s extraordinary for a commercial bank,” says Dean Baker , co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research , a Washington D.C.-based think tank. “And it really gets down to the central point with Glass-Steagall — what’s the separation here between government-insured deposits and speculative investment banking activity? You’d be very hard pressed to find out with Goldman right now.” Glass-Steagall, a Depression-era banking law that prohibited commercial banks from engaging in the investment business, was essentially repealed in 1999. Some economists have pointed to the repeal as the central cause behind the financial crisis. “Given Goldman Sachs’s history as a securities firm, as opposed to being… a traditional commercial bank, you would expect that our derivatives exposure is higher than our exposure to other assets,” says company spokesman Samuel Robinson. “It’s much higher [because] we don’t have a lot of these other assets.” Goldman Sachs announced that it would become a bank holding company last September, less than a week after Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy. Coming under the Federal Reserve’s protective umbrella gave the firm “access to permanent liquidity and funding,” Lloyd C. Blankfein, chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs, said at the time. Baker says that now that the firm is a bank holding company, the bank’s exposure to losses from derivatives contracts (compared to available capital) poses particular problems. Now, “the public is on the hook for that. If they run into trouble they could go to the Fed and borrow at the discount window [and] they have access to the FDIC’s special lending [program],” he explains. Goldman Sachs has issued about $25 billion in FDIC-backed debt as of June, according to regulatory filings . “You’re having the protections for what’s supposed to be relatively boring commercial banking applied to risky investment banking. It’s a real serious problem,” Baker says. Robinson says that the firm’s exposure to potential losses from its derivatives deals, as defined by the OCC, is misleading. “It includes a regulatory-defined measure … which in aggregate does not represent the firm’s … risk exposure,” he says. For example, it doesn’t factor in hedges against potential losses or collateral put up by counterparties. “You can have an exposure that’s fully hedged, but the hedging benefit does not appear anywhere in the [OCC's] analysis,” Robinson says. Last October Goldman received a $10 billion taxpayer bailout, which it repaid in June. The federal government earned $1.4 billion on its investment. JPMorgan Chase has about three times the amount of their capital exposed in derivatives deals; Citibank about double. For comparison’s sake, if all commercial and industrial loans held by U.S. banks went bust the banking system has just enough capital set aside to cover those losses. Not all banks are so heavily invested in derivatives. PNC’s exposure (relative to capital) is at 28 percent, and U.S. Bank, the country’s sixth-largest by deposits, comes in at seven percent. “It’s tough to think of the world without derivatives,” Mukri said “And it’s not a pleasant world either.” Get HuffPost Business On Facebook and Twitter !

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Derivatives: Bailed-Out Banks Still Making Billions Off Risky Bets

September 28, 2009

Derivatives is one of the dirty words of the financial crisis. Though these often-risky bets were blamed by many for helping fuel the credit crunch and the downfall of Lehman Brothers and AIG, it seems that Wall Street has yet to learn its lesson. U.S. commercial banks earned $5.2 billion trading derivatives in the second quarter of 2009, a 225 percent increase from the same period last year, according to the Treasury Department. More than 1,100 banks now trade in derivatives, a 14 percent increase from last year. Four banks control the market: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citibank account for 94 percent of the total derivatives reported to be held by U.S. commercial banks, according to national bank regulator the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The credit risk posed by derivatives in the banking system now stands at $555 billion, a 37 percent increase from 2008. “By any standard these [credit] exposures remain very high,” Kathryn E. Dick, the OCC’s deputy comptroller for credit and market risk, said in a statement . The complex financial instruments, which take the form of futures, forwards, options and swaps, derive their value from an underlying investment or commodity such as currency rates, oil futures and interest rates. They are designed to reduce the risk of loss for one party from the underlying asset. Trading in an unregulated $600 trillion market, they were partly blamed for igniting the financial crisis a year ago. The New York Times reported earlier this month: Derivatives drove the boom before 2008 by encouraging banks to make loans without adequate reserves. They also worsened the panic last fall because they inherently tie institutions together. Investors worried that the collapse of one bank would lead to big losses at others. The Obama administration has included oversight of derivatives as part of its overhaul of financial regulations. Wall Street is fighting back as it seems to have returned to its much-criticized practices . Last Thursday former Fed chairman Paul Volcker, who now heads the White House Economic Recovery Advisory Board, warned lawmakers about the danger lurking behind derivatives. Testifying on Capitol Hill, Volcker discussed how “opaque trading in complex derivatives [have] become so large relative to underlying assets” and how “more and more complex financial instruments limit the transparency of markets,” he said. “As a general matter, I would exclude from commercial banking institutions, which are potential beneficiaries of official (i.e., taxpayer) financial support, certain risky activities entirely suitable for our capital markets,” he added. But the OCC argues that derivatives trading is not inherently risky, explaining that banks are trading these instruments every minute of every day with institutions more creditworthy than a typical borrower. “The system has always worked on derivatives,” said Kevin M. Mukri , an OCC spokesman. “You have higher-quality counterparties — higher quality than in any other line of business.” Furthermore, “the purpose of derivative trading to to mitigate risk — not increase risk,” he said. “Without derivatives it would be a very hectic marketplace.” Yet some well-respected investment banks seem to be exposed to significant risk, judging by their credit exposure from derivatives contracts. Goldman Sachs, formerly a pure investment bank, is now a bank-holding company regulated by the Federal Reserve. It owns Goldman Sachs Bank, an FDIC-insured depository. The bank has about $20 billion in total risk-based capital — in short, the money it has to cover creditors in case they go belly-up. But the bank has about $186 billion in total credit exposure from its derivatives contracts. Much of that $186 billion could be backed up by collateral — banks with at least $100 billion in assets held a combination of cash, bonds and securities against 63 percent of their total net credit exposure as of June 30. But the OCC doesn’t break that down by institution, and Goldman Sachs doesn’t disclose it either. Nonetheless, the bank’s exposure to derivatives losses is about nine times the amount of capital it has set aside. “It’s extraordinary for a commercial bank,” says Dean Baker , co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research , a Washington D.C.-based think tank. “And it really gets down to the central point with Glass-Steagall — what’s the separation here between government-insured deposits and speculative investment banking activity? You’d be very hard pressed to find out with Goldman right now.” Glass-Steagall, a Depression-era banking law that prohibited commercial banks from engaging in the investment business, was essentially repealed in 1999. Some economists have pointed to the repeal as the central cause behind the financial crisis. “Given Goldman Sachs’s history as a securities firm, as opposed to being… a traditional commercial bank, you would expect that our derivatives exposure is higher than our exposure to other assets,” says company spokesman Samuel Robinson. “It’s much higher [because] we don’t have a lot of these other assets.” Goldman Sachs announced that it would become a bank holding company last September, less than a week after Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy. Coming under the Federal Reserve’s protective umbrella gave the firm “access to permanent liquidity and funding,” Lloyd C. Blankfein, chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs, said at the time. Baker says that now that the firm is a bank holding company, the bank’s exposure to losses from derivatives contracts (compared to available capital) poses particular problems. Now, “the public is on the hook for that. If they run into trouble they could go to the Fed and borrow at the discount window [and] they have access to the FDIC’s special lending [program],” he explains. Goldman Sachs has issued about $25 billion in FDIC-backed debt as of June, according to regulatory filings . “You’re having the protections for what’s supposed to be relatively boring commercial banking applied to risky investment banking. It’s a real serious problem,” Baker says. Robinson says that the firm’s exposure to potential losses from its derivatives deals, as defined by the OCC, is misleading. “It includes a regulatory-defined measure … which in aggregate does not represent the firm’s … risk exposure,” he says. For example, it doesn’t factor in hedges against potential losses or collateral put up by counterparties. “You can have an exposure that’s fully hedged, but the hedging benefit does not appear anywhere in the [OCC's] analysis,” Robinson says. Last October Goldman received a $10 billion taxpayer bailout, which it repaid in June. The federal government earned $1.4 billion on its investment. JPMorgan Chase has about three times the amount of their capital exposed in derivatives deals; Citibank about double. For comparison’s sake, if all commercial and industrial loans held by U.S. banks went bust the banking system has just enough capital set aside to cover those losses. Not all banks are so heavily invested in derivatives. PNC’s exposure (relative to capital) is at 28 percent, and U.S. Bank, the country’s sixth-largest by deposits, comes in at seven percent. “It’s tough to think of the world without derivatives,” Mukri said “And it’s not a pleasant world either.” Get HuffPost Business On Facebook and Twitter !

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Bernanke Effort to Accelerate Growth May Be Undermined by Loan Contraction

September 22, 2009

By Scott Lanman Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s efforts to stoke a U.S. economic recovery may be undermined by the central bank’s other goal of restoring the banking system to health. The Federal Open Market Committee, at the conclusion tomorrow of a two-day meeting, will probably maintain its assessment that “tight” bank credit is impeding growth. Lending contracted for five straight weeks through Sept. 9, a drop that in part reflects Fed orders to banks to raise more capital and toughen lending standards, analysts say. A failure to restore the flow of bank credit carries the risk that the economic recovery will be slower than the Fed anticipates, or even that the U.S. lapses into another recession, economists say. That would make it more likely the Fed will keep its main interest rate close to zero for a longer period. “They would be absolutely delighted if banks went out and raised a lot more private capital and then began to lend more,” said former Fed Governor Lyle Gramley , now senior economic adviser with New York-based Soleil Securities Corp. “Until that happens, the Fed has to continue to try to encourage economic growth through easy money.” The FOMC, composed of Bernanke, Fed governors and regional Fed-bank presidents, is expected to release a statement at about 2:15 p.m. New York time. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News unanimously forecast the Fed will leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged. The central bank may also decide to extend the end date of its $1.45 trillion program to buy housing debt, now set to expire at the end of the year, and to gradually reduce the size of the purchases. Lending Contracts Banks have become more careful about lending. A Fed report released last week shows banks had $6.85 trillion of loans and leases outstanding to businesses and households as of Sept. 9, down for a fifth straight week and below the record $7.32 trillion in October 2008. Real estate loans, the biggest portion, stood at $3.79 trillion, up $7.5 billion from the prior week while down from a peak of $3.9 trillion. The Fed’s second-quarter survey of senior loan officers, released Aug. 17, showed U.S. banks tightened standards on all types of loans and said they expect to maintain strict criteria on lending until at least the second half of 2010. “While it is important for economic recovery that lenders provide credit to worthy households and businesses, they also must maintain enough capital to withstand losses — even if economic conditions turn out to be worse than anticipated,” San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen said in a Sept. 14 speech. ‘Far From Healthy’ “The financial system is still far from healthy and tight credit is likely to put a damper on growth for some time to come,” Yellen continued. Fed-led stress tests of the 19 biggest U.S. banks earlier this year were designed to ensure that the firms had enough capital to withstand a more severe economic downturn. The tests found that the banks need to raise $75 billion to withstand potential losses. Separately, regional and some smaller U.S. banks may need $12 billion to $14 billion in additional capital to cope with troubled loans still on their books, the Congressional Oversight Panel said in August. Banks have a Nov. 9 deadline from the Fed to raise the amount of capital determined by the stress tests. Bernanke said in June that the 10 firms that required capital had raised or announced actions to generate $48 billion of new common equity. The firms included Bank of America Corp ., Wells Fargo & Co. and GMAC LLC. Mortgage Rules The Fed has taken other steps to make sure banks avoid riskier loans. In July 2008, it tightened mortgage rules by requiring lenders to determine a borrower’s ability to repay and barring other practices that led to the collapse of the housing market. Minimum regulatory-capital requirements may change as officials in the U.S. and abroad craft new financial rules. Consumers are less credit-worthy as the job market deteriorates and after a record loss of wealth from plunging share prices and real estate values. Rising unemployment will slow the pace of the recovery, Bernanke said on Sept. 15. “Even though from a technical perspective the recession is very likely over at this point, it’s still going to feel like a very weak economy for some time,” Bernanke said in response to a question after a speech in Washington. Fed officials in June predicted that GDP will expand 2.1 percent to 3.3 percent next year after shrinking 1.5 percent to 1 percent this year, according to the central tendency of their forecasts. Banks have plenty of reasons to hold back on lending, analysts say. Behind on Payments Americans fell behind on their mortgage payments at a record pace in the second quarter, with delinquencies rising to 9.24 percent, according to an August report by the Mortgage Bankers Association. “Consumers aren’t necessarily that creditworthy a proposition right now,” said John Ryding , chief economist and founder of RDQ Economics LLC in New York. Falling values of commercial real estate are also a problem for banks, with an “uncertain degree of losses” to come, said Ryding, a former Fed researcher. “Banks are all trying to ratchet back their credit exposure,” said Eric Hovde , chief executive officer of Hovde Capital Advisors LLC, who manages about $1 billion with a concentration in financial and real-estate related companies and is chairman of Sunwest Bank in Tustin, California. Bigger Down Payments For instance, JPMorgan Chase & Co. now requires mortgage borrowers to make bigger down payments than before the crisis, and it has stopped allowing so-called stated-income loans that don’t require documentation of earnings, said Tom Kelly , a spokesman. Neal Soss , chief economist at Credit Suisse in New York, predicts the lending lull will end within a few months after businesses finish depleting inventories and financial firms better determine how much in capital governments will require them to have. “Bank lending is going to pick up all by itself as banks go looking for ways to add more juice to their earnings profile,” said Soss, who used to work as an aide to former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker . Soss said he forecasts 3.5 percent economic growth in 2010, on the high end of analyst projections. The 24-company KBW Bank Index rallied 69 percent from March 31 through yesterday as concern faded that lenders might not survive the economic slump. ‘Creditworthy’ Borrowers Even as banks hold back, Fed policy makers have been trying to encourage borrowing to stoke an economic recovery. The Fed and other U.S. regulators told banks in November to maintain lending to “creditworthy” borrowers while warning against paying dividends that would cut funds available for loans. In March, the Fed started an emergency program, the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility, to restart the loan- securitization markets that help form the so-called “shadow banking” system. That has helped generate investor demand for debt tied to auto and credit-card loans, unfreezing part of the credit markets. “The question for the Fed, which is a very difficult question, is: what is the appropriate level of bank lending?” said Joseph Mason , a Louisiana State University banking professor and former economist at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. “It’s not bubble lending, it’s some subset of that. That is where the art of central banking lies.” To contact the reporter on this story: Scott Lanman in Washington at slanman@bloomberg.net .

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Bank of America to Pay for Merrill Guarantees as SEC to Sue Over Bonuses

September 22, 2009

By Margaret Popper and David Mildenberg Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) — Bank of America Corp., the biggest U.S. bank, said it will pay the government $425 million to cancel an unused guarantee of Merrill Lynch & Co.’s assets and cut reliance on federal support after two bailouts. The payment would end a dispute over what the bank owes the U.S. for a promise to help absorb losses on $118 billion of holdings, mostly at Merrill Lynch. The federal guarantee helped seal Bank of America’s takeover of the New York-based brokerage after fourth-quarter losses spiraled past $15 billion. While the accord was announced in January, an agreement was never signed and the bank resisted paying. Chief Executive Officer Kenneth D. Lewis has said he wants to shrink the U.S. role in company affairs. Paying the fee is part of a plan to reduce “reliance on government support and return to normal market funding,” the company said yesterday in a statement. The Treasury Department, Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. will get the money. “The bank is a wounded duck and everybody wants a piece of them,” said Robert Serino , a partner at Buckley Sandler LLP in Washington and a former director of the Comptroller of the Currency’s enforcement and compliance division. “In the past, Ken Lewis was a pretty strong character but now he’s been beaten down like everybody else.” Even as the payment was announced, the Securities and Exchange Commission pledged to “vigorously pursue” a case against the bank for not disclosing $3.6 billion in bonuses to Merrill before the acquisition was completed. U.S. Judge Jed Rakoff last week rejected a $33 million settlement, accusing both the bank and SEC of trying to avoid a public trial. Congressional Pressure Bank of America also faces pressure from Representative Edolphus Towns , a New York Democrat and chairman of the House Oversight Committee, who scolded the bank yesterday for missing a deadline to turn over documents sought by his panel. Chief Marketing Officer Anne Finucane plans to meet with Towns to discuss how to provide information “without violating attorney- client privilege,” bank spokesman Scott Silvestri said. Lewis “is holding up very well,” spokesman Robert Stickler said. “He doesn’t dwell on things that he can’t control and he remains convinced that the deal will be a good one for shareholders over time.” The Merrill asset guarantees prompted regulators to press for compensation from the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank. The government said Bank of America benefited from the accord’s implied U.S. backing for three to four months as investors were speculating the company might fail or be nationalized. ‘Encouraging Sign’ The agreement reflects “an encouraging sign of increased stability in the financial system,” Treasury spokesman Andrew Williams said. The bank said in July it expected a settlement of the dispute within 30 days. “This is another terrible deal for taxpayers negotiated by the U.S. Treasury,” said Linus Wilson , a University of Louisiana professor who has studied government bailout programs. The bank is paying less than 10 percent of a potential $4.3 billion cost, including warrants associated with $4 billion in preferred shares cited in the term sheet and never issued. “The insurance company does not refund most of your premium just because you did not wreck your car in the last six months,” Wilson said. Bank of America hasn’t received permission to repay the extra $20 billion of U.S. rescue funds that came with the Merrill deal, Chief Financial Officer Joe Price said last week. The bank received a total of $45 billion from the Troubled Asset Relief Program and expects to repay the money in installments, pending approval by regulators, Price said. New Board Member The bank added its sixth new board member this year, tapping DuPont Co. Chairman Charles “Chad” Holliday Jr . Bank of America will have 15 members on its board, down from 18, with all positions now filled. Holliday “will get the board to gel in the proper way,” said Ram Charan , an author, management consultant and former Harvard Business School professor who said he has known the DuPont executive for 25 years. “The board will do what is necessary to get the most out of a franchise that is the envy of the rest of the banking industry.” During Holliday’s 11 years as DuPont CEO, the shares of the third-biggest U.S. chemical maker declined 55 percent. Bank of America shares have dropped by more than a third since Lewis took over as CEO in April 2001. Holliday didn’t respond to a request for a comment through DuPont spokeswoman Lori Captain. To contact the reporters on this story: Margaret Popper in New York at mpopper1@bloomberg.net ; David Mildenberg in Charlotte at dmildenberg@bloomberg.net .

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KKR Turns Vulture Investor as Distressed Debt Takeovers Cheaper Than LBOs

September 3, 2009

By Richard Bravo and Elizabeth Hester Sept. 3 (Bloomberg) — The world’s biggest private-equity firms, shut out of the market for leveraged buyouts as banks curtail lending, are turning to bankruptcy courts to make acquisitions. KKR & Co. , the New York takeover firm co-founded by Henry Kravis , is part of a group converting loans made to Lear Corp. into a controlling stake in the bankrupt car-seat maker. Late yesterday, Hayes Lemmerz International Inc. said it reached an agreement with the lenders who financed its bankruptcy, giving them an equity stake in the maker of wheels for cars. This year, 162 companies merged or were bought out of bankruptcy, a 60 percent jump from the same period in 2008 and almost triple the amount in 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Private-equity firms in the U.S. are finding new ways to invest the $600 billion of capital raised mainly before credit markets froze in 2007. With corporate defaults forecast to reach a record as soon as March, they are making loans to the neediest borrowers and muscling in on turf traditionally dominated by so- called vulture investors. “It’s not a tactic that private-equity firms have historically employed, but it seems to be an idea whose time has come,” said Steven Smith, global head of leveraged finance and restructuring at UBS AG in New York. “This is clearly one of the new and most distinctive features of the current wave of restructurings.” More Opportunities In an LBO, private-equity firms usually put up about one- third of the purchase price and borrow the rest. Lending for those takeovers is down 91 percent from 2007 levels, Bloomberg data show, so buyers are instead making prepetition loans, which is financing before a bankruptcy, and debtor-in-possession loans, or those made in conjunction with a filing. Besides Lear and Hayes Lemmerz, firms are exchanging loans for stakes in Reader’s Digest Association Inc. through the bankruptcy courts, and a unit of Apollo Management LP is in a syndicate doing the same with Lyondell Chemical Co. Moody’s Investors Service said while it’s too early to say if the amount of prepetition debt being converted into equity through reorganizations will exceed the record high of about $52 billion in 2003, it’s “expecting a continuation of the trend.” While the so-called loan-to-own strategy isn’t new, opportunities are rising. Worldwide, 211 companies with bonds and loans missed interest payments in 2009, up from 55 in the same period of 2008. Standard & Poor’s forecasts the U.S. default rate will rise to 14.3 percent in March, from 9.37 percent in July, even as the economy emerges from the worst recession since the 1930s. Fewer Loans The amount of leveraged loans needed by buyout firms has shrunk to $67.7 billion this year from $311.2 billion in 2008 and $962.9 billion in 2007, Bloomberg data show. Leveraged loans are rated below investment grade, or less than Baa3 at Moody’s and BBB- by S&P. The amount of private-equity deals this year totals $43 billion, compared with $569 billion in the same period of 2007. KKR and the other lenders to Lear will get as much as a 26 percent stake, $500 million in preferred shares convertible into an additional 26 stake and a new $600 million term loan in return for their $1.6 billion of debt , according to a reorganization plan filed with the court last month. Lear, based in Southfield, Michigan, is no stranger to private equity. A predecessor was acquired by New York investment firm Forstmann Little & Co. in 1986. Forstmann, which sold off some units before taking the company public in 1994, was one of the biggest rivals of KKR forerunner Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. ‘Enormous’ Returns “There are certain circumstances where we think it makes sense to provide DIP financing that converts to a substantial portion up to 100 percent of the equity post the restructuring process,” said William Sonneborn , head of New York-based KKR’s asset management division. “Lenders end up owning control of the company, and providing a means for a substantial portion of the existing loan-holders to get paid off at par.” Investors in loan-to-own deals may earn an 18 percent annual return on the financing, plus get equity, compared with the potential for 12 percent returns and no equity on DIPs, according to Smith at Zurich-based UBS. “I’m seeing more of these deals now than at anytime in the past,” said Jonathan Landers , head of the bankruptcy practice at New York-based Milberg LLP and co-author of three books on bankruptcy and creditors’ rights. “People are much less risk- averse and the potential returns are enormous. The vulture investors have gotten their courage back.” Vulture investors historically bought distressed bonds and exchanged them for controlling stakes in troubled companies. ‘Hugely Advantageous’ Lyondell filed for Chapter 11 on Jan. 6 and received a record $8 billion DIP loan. Members of the senior lending group included Apollo’s LeverageSource SARL unit, which is the largest owner of the Houston-based company’s secured debt , KKR, and Los Angeles-based Ares Management LLC, according to court documents. Steven Anreder , an Apollo spokesman, declined to comment. “Having available capital for these types of deals is hugely advantageous,” said Jason New , the head of distressed investing at GSO Capital Partners LP, a unit of New York-based private-equity firm Blackstone Group LP. “I don’t think the banks will be active in the DIP market anytime soon. New financing is difficult to find.” Banks, the traditional providers of bankruptcy loans, are unwilling or unable to provide the credit because their capital is constrained, creating opportunities for the funds, New said. The world’s largest financial institutions have taken $1.6 trillion in writedowns and losses since the start of 2007, Bloomberg data show. Tighter Standards The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency said in July that its survey of 59 banks holding $3.6 trillion of loans on Dec. 31 found that 86 percent of lenders toughened lending standards, up from 52 percent in 2008. DIP financings fell to about 23 percent of companies defaulting this year as of July, the lowest since at least 2003, according to Jeffrey Rosenberg , a strategist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch in New York. Private-equity firms in the U.S. have $609 billion of available capital, compared to $281 billion in December 2004, the lowest amount in the past six years, according to London- based researcher Preqin Ltd. With banks pulling back, the loans are becoming costlier even as credit markets open up. Companies raised at least $904 billion in the U.S. corporate bond market this year, a record pace, according to Bloomberg data. Costlier Loans The interest payable on DIP loans this year has averaged 7.25 percentage points more than the three-month London interbank offered rate for dollars, up from 5.3 percentage points in 2008. In previous years, the margin has never exceeded 4 percentage points more than Libor , according to Rosenberg. Three-month Libor was set at 0.33 percent yesterday, down from 1.425 percent at the end of last year. Eaton Vance Corp., a mutual fund company in Boston, said in May that it was raising $1 billion to invest in bankruptcy loans. Sankaty Advisors, also in Boston, announced last month it was raising a $400 million DIP fund. The downside to the loan-to-own strategy is that it may put private equity firms in competition with lenders seeking the interest payments on DIP loans, not longer-term equity investments. “We would be suspect if there was extensive involvement from hedge funds or private equity firms looking to acquire control of a company through the DIP,” said Neal Neilinger , vice chairman of Stamford, Connecticut-based Aladdin Capital Holdings LLC, which has started a fund for DIP financing. “We expect our DIPs to have a tenure of between 6 to 18 months. We are not looking to hold the equity of the company.” Lawsuit Threat Lawsuits are another obstacle. Litigation has plagued Lyondell’s reorganization. In one suit, a committee of unsecured creditors is suing lenders over alleged fraud in the 2007 buyout that saddled the company with $22 billion in debt. That isn’t the case in Lear’s reorganization. U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Allan Gropper , in approving a bonus payment last week to Lear’s executives, noted how quickly the case was proceeding. According to the company, holders of 68 percent of Lear ’s secured debt support the restructuring plan. “We wanted the opportunity to participate in the recovery in the automobile supplier market,” KKR’s Sonneborn said. “The DIP lenders will also own some of the company post restructuring, which in theory, after our DIP and exit financing loans are paid off at maturity, we can hold for a long period of time.” Ownership Transfer A majority of Reader’s Digest’s lenders agreed to a Chapter 11 reorganization that would swap what it called a “substantial portion” of $1.6 billion in senior secured debt for equity and transfer ownership of the Pleasantville, New York-based media company to the group. The lenders are led by JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York and include Eaton Vance and Ares Management, said Kathy Fieweger, a spokeswoman for Reader’s Digest. Hayes Lemmerz , the world’s largest maker of automotive wheels, filed for bankruptcy protection in May. Its workout plan called for the lenders who financed the reorganization to get 84.5 percent of the equity. The Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware approved the reorganization yesterday, the company said in a statement. In a May 12 filing with the bankruptcy court, lawyers for the Northville, Michigan-based company wrote that a debt-for- equity conversion was a last resort for distressed companies trying to navigate Chapter 11. The loan-to-own structure “has emerged as one of the few viable mechanisms for lenders to allow major U.S. businesses, particularly those in the depressed automotive sector, to survive the current world-wide crisis,” the lawyers said in the filing. To contact the reporters on this story: Richard Bravo in New York at rbravo5@bloomberg.net ; Elizabeth Hester in New York at ehester@bloomberg.net .

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Zions California Unit Buys Vineyard Deposits as Four Lenders are Shuttered

July 19, 2009

By Ari Levy and Margaret Chadbourn July 18 (Bloomberg) — Zions Bancorporation’s California Bank & Trust unit acquired the deposits of Vineyard Bank , one of four lenders seized yesterday by regulators. The failures will cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. a total of $1.09 billion

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