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Huffington Post…

LOS ANGELES — Google is overhauling the way it treats user data, linking information across its array of email, video and social-networking services so that information gathered in one place can be used in another. For example, if you spent the last hour logged into Google to search the Web for skateboards, the next time you log into YouTube, there’s a good chance you’ll get recommendations for videos featuring Tony Hawk. The changes take effect March 1 and remove some of the legal hurdles that Google faced by having more than 70 different privacy policies across various services. But the changes could irk privacy critics for the sheer volume of information collected. Google Inc. hopes to improve the user experience across its different services and give advertisers a better way to find customers.

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Google To Collect Even More User Information

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Huffington Post…

The cost of health care may have gone up for almost all Americans in recent years, but a handful of consumers are getting hit especially hard. Just five percent of Americans accounted for half of the country’s health care costs in 2009 , according to a report from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. Though the findings indicate that a small share of the population is responsible for much of the country’s health care costs, the concentration right at the top is actually going down, the report found — one percent of Americans accounted for 22 percent of health care costs in 2009, down from 28 percent in 2008. Baby boomers — those between the ages of 45 and 64 — and the elderly were overly represented among the top health care spenders, the report found . Women and white Americans were additionally overly represented among the top health care spenders. Children and young adults were disproportionately represented among the bottom half of spenders. Relief from skyrocketing health care costs may be in sight. Overall health care spending as a share of the nation’s economy stabilized in 2010 , after two years of slow growth, according to a government report released earlier this month. Still, if health care spending is only stabilizing because of the sluggish economy, costs may not be slowing for good. Indeed, if current estimates prove correct, the nation’s health care spending is on track to comprise a fifth of the U.S. economy by the end of the decade , according to a July report from Medicare’s Office of the Actuary. Should that prediction prove true, it would be up from the roughly 17 percent of GDP health care spending accounted for last year. This is nothing new; domestic health care spending has been on the rise for years. In 2008, Americans spent more than three times on health care than what they spent just 18 years before , according to a Kaiser report. Health care costs accounted for more than 15 percent of U.S. gross domestic product by that time — one of the highest rates of industrialized nations. The rising cost of paying medical bills has hit Americans especially hard in recent years. The total number of Americans with health insurance fell in 2010 for the first time in decades , CNNMoney reports. All told, the number of Americans without health insurance rose to 49.9 million that year , according to Census Bureau data.

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Handful Of Americans Account For Half Of U.S. Health Care Costs

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Small Business Optimism Continues To Rise

January 10, 2012

Small business optimism is on the rise, according to a survey of 725 small businesses by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) . The NFIB small-business optimism index rose 1.8 points to 93.8 in December, continuing a four month upward trend and indicating the upward momentum may continue into 2012. However, even with the increases, NFIB points out the index’s readings are still in “recession territory.” Several positive factors emerged in the December survey, including a 6 point increase in reports of positive earnings and a 2 point increase of those reporting higher profits. Still, fourth quarter sales did not meet expectations, only gaining 4 points to a net negative 7 percent, which indicated that there are still more businesses with decreasing than increasing sales. In the survey, 23 percent of owners indicated that weak sales was their top business problem. However, future sales expectations are looking up. Nine percent of owners, up 5 points since November, predict higher real sales for their business. Twenty-five percent expect to see improvements in the next three months. “Much of December’s gain resulted from the fact that concerns about business conditions over the next six months have subsided and because many small-business owners have improved their expectations for real sales gains in the coming months,” NFIB chief economist Bill Dunkelberg said in a statement. Capital continues to be less and less of a concern for business owners, according to the NFIB, with only 4 percent citing issues with access to credit. Ninety-three percent of owners said all their credit needs were met or were not interested in borrowing. Only 31 percent of owners reported borrowing on a regular basis, down 3 points in December. Fewer owners are struggling to get loans as well. Dunkelberg cautioned, “The economy appears to be slowly recovering, resolving imbalances in debt, housing and the like. But, it is unlikely that growth will be much better than 2011 even with a solid fourth quarter GDP growth. There is still a lot of work to be done.”

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Where In The World Is It Easiest To Start A Business?

January 10, 2012

International entrepreneurs can quickly get discouraged once they encounter the mess of deregulation, red tape and lack of infrastructure that often comes with developing to middle-class world economies. Certainly, some countries are easier to do business in than others, though the World Bank’s Doing Business 2012 report shows a mounting number of encouraging changes to the business environment in over 170 global economies. Each year, the Doing Business report measures the regulation reforms of 173 global economies based on 10 factors: starting a business, dealing with construction permits, getting electricity, registering property, getting credit, protecting investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts, and resolving insolvency. Between 2010 and 2011, 53 economies made it easier to start a business, 44 streamlined the process of getting credit, 29 made reforms to resolve insolvency, and 18 improved regulations for trading across borders. Notably, 78 percent of the economies in Sub-Saharan Africa made regulatory improvements that would make it easier for local entrepreneurs to start businesses. This year’s top 10 countries provided the greatest ease of doing business. Here’s why they made World Bank’s ranking:

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Chinese Currency Reaches All-Time High

December 26, 2011

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – The yuan closed up against the dollar on Monday after hitting an all-time high in intraday trading, guided by a stronger mid-point by the People’s Bank of China, and looks set for an over-4-percent appreciation for 2011, traders said. The yuan is expected to remain stable or rise slightly in the last week of the year to close 2011 near 6.30 versus the dollar, in line with market expectations. The currency is likely to continue to appreciate next year as China continues to post big trade surpluses despite a slowdown in exports and amid pressure from the United States to let the yuan rise to balance bilateral trade, traders said. But the yuan’s appreciation is likely to slow to around 3 percent in 2012, with much of the rise seen in the second half of next year as China may keep the yuan relatively stable in the first half to assess the impact of the euro zone crisis, they said. “The PBOC has recently set a slew of strong mid-points and pumped dollars into the market via state banks, giving the market a clear signal that the government won’t let the yuan depreciate,” said a trader at a major Chinese bank in Shanghai. “But the central bank appears not in a hurry to let the yuan appreciate amid global economic uncertainties resulting from the euro zone debt crisis. So the yuan is likely to move largely sideways in coming months.” Spot yuan closed at 6.3198 against the dollar, up from Friday’s close of 6.3364, after hitting an all-time high of 6.3160. Its previous peak was 6.3294 hit on December 16. The PBOC set the dollar/yuan mid-point at 6.3167 on Monday, stronger than Friday’s 6.3209 and near the record-high fixing of 6.3165 on November 4. FIGHTING SPECULATORS The yuan has appreciated 4.27 percent so far this year, with most of the gain being recorded in the first 10 months of the year as China tries to rebalance trade and use the currency to help fight high inflation. While the government has recently halted yuan appreciation amid slowing exports, it also seems to be wary of a weaker yuan that may lead to capital outflows. Some overseas investors appear to have been shorting the yuan in recent months amid signs that China’s growth is slowing under the double weight of a global slowdown and the country’s monetary tightening policy in place since October last year. The PBOC, in addition to using strong mid-points to signal government intentions to keep the yuan stable, has also acted to inject dollars into the market via state-owned banks whenever there are signs that the yuan is set to weaken sharply. The yuan has thus been effectively kept in a range of 6.3 to 6.4 against the dollar since early November — a trend traders say they believe to continue well into 2012. In contrast, offshore benchmark one-year non-deliverable forwards (NDFs) have largely been forecasting a yuan depreciation in a year’s time since late September, reversing a general trend of predicting an appreciation since the yuan’s revaluation in July 2005. One-year NDFs fell slightly to 6.3790 on Monday against 6.3810 at the close on Friday, implying that the yuan will depreciate 0.97 percent in 12 months from Modnay’s PBOC mid-point, compared with a 1.01 percent fall implied on Friday. Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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The Top News Stories Of 2011

December 17, 2011

NEW YORK (AP) — The killing of Osama bin Laden during a raid by Navy SEALs on his hideout in Pakistan was the top news story of 2011, followed by Japan’s earthquake/tsunami/meltdown disaster, according to The Associated Press’ annual poll of U.S. editors and news directors. The death of bin Laden, the al-Qaida leader who masterminded the Sept. 11 terror attacks, received 128 first-place votes out of 247 ballots cast for the top 10 stories. The Japan disaster was next, with 60 first-place votes. Placing third were the Arab Spring uprisings that rocked North Africa and the Middle East, while the European Union’s financial turmoil was No. 4. The international flavor of these top stories contrasted with last year’s voting — when the Gulf of Mexico oil spill was the top story, President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul was No. 2, and the U.S. midterm elections were No. 3. Here are 2011′s top 10 stories, in order: —OSAMA BIN LADEN’S DEATH: He’d been the world’s most-wanted terrorist for nearly a decade, ever since a team of his al-Qaida followers carried out the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. In May, the long and often-frustrating manhunt ended with a nighttime assault by a helicopter-borne special operations squad on his compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan. Bin Laden was shot dead by one of the raiders, and within hours his body was buried at sea. —JAPAN’S TRIPLE DISASTER: A 9.0-magnitude earthquake off Japan’s northeast coast in March unleashed a tsunami that devastated scores of communities, leaving nearly 20,000 people dead or missing and wreaking an estimated $218 billion in damage. The tsunami triggered the worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl after waves knocked out the cooling system at a nuclear power plant, causing it to spew radiation that turned up in local produce. About 100,000 people evacuated from the area have not returned to their homes. —ARAB SPRING: It began with demonstrations in Tunisia that rapidly toppled the longtime strongman. Spreading like a wildfire, the Arab Spring protests sparked a revolution in Egypt that ousted Hosni Mubarak, fueled a civil war in Libya that climaxed with Moammar Gadhafi’s death, and fomented a bloody uprising in Syria against the Assad regime. Bahrain and Yemen also experienced major protests and unrest. —EU FISCAL CRISIS: The European Union was wracked by relentless fiscal turmoil. In Greece, austerity measures triggered strikes, protests and riots, while Italy’s economic woes toppled Premier Silvio Berlusconi. France and Germany led urgent efforts to ease the debt crisis; Britain balked at proposed changes. —US ECONOMY: By some measures, the U.S. economy gained strength as the year progressed. Hiring picked up a bit, consumers were spending more, and the unemployment rate finally dipped below 9 percent. But millions of Americans remained buffeted by foreclosures, joblessness and benefit cutbacks, and investors were on edge monitoring the chain of fiscal crises in Europe. —PENN STATE SEX ABUSE SCANDAL: One of America’s most storied college football programs was tarnished in a scandal that prompted the firing of Hall of Fame football coach Joe Paterno. One of his former assistants, Jerry Sandusky, was accused of sexually molesting 10 boys; two senior Penn State officials were charged with perjury; and the longtime president was ousted. Paterno wasn’t charged, but expressed regret he didn’t do more after being told there was a problem. —GADHAFI TOPPLED IN LIBYA: After nearly 42 years of mercurial and often brutal rule, Moammar Gadhafi was toppled by his own people. Anti-government protests escalated into an eight-month rebellion, backed by NATO bombing, that shattered his regime, and Gadhafi finally was tracked down and killed in the fishing village where he was born. —FISCAL SHOWDOWNS IN CONGRESS: Partisan divisions in Congress led to several showdowns on fiscal issues. A fight over the debt ceiling prompted Standard & Poor’s to strip the U.S. of its AAA credit rating. Later, the so-called “supercommittee” failed to agree on a deficit-reduction package of at least $1.2 trillion — potentially triggering automatic spending cuts of that amount starting in 2013. —OCCUPY WALL STREET PROTESTS: It began Sept. 17 with a protest at a New York City park near Wall Street, and within weeks spread to scores of communities across the U.S. and abroad. The movement depicted itself as leaderless and shied away from specific demands, but succeeded in airing its complaint that the richest 1 percent of Americans benefit at the expense of the rest. As winter approached, local police dismantled several of the protest encampments. —GABRIELLE GIFFORDS SHOT: The popular third-term congresswoman from Arizona suffered a severe brain injury when she and 18 other people were shot by a gunman as she met with constituents outside a Tucson supermarket in January. Six people died, and Giffords’ painstaking recovery is still in progress. Among the news events falling just short of the Top 10 were the death of Apple Inc. co-founder Steve Jobs, Hurricane Irene, the devastating series of tornados across Midwest and Southeastern U.S., and the repeal of the “don’t ask, don’t tell” policy that barred gays from serving openly in U.S. military.

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Recession Hurt The One Percent, Yet The Wealth Gap Remains Huge

December 13, 2011

The recession was hard on everyone, even the one percent. Just not enough to put too large a dent in the overall wealth gap. Income for the very highest earners in America, or the “one percent” whom the Occupy Wall Street movement has expended so much energy protesting, dropped noticeably between 2007 and 2009 , when shocks seized the financial industry and the U.S. economy rapidly contracted. By 2009, one percenters were taking home 17 percent of the country’s income, compared with 23 percent just two years before, The New York Times reports. Hard times are relative, though. Even as the one percent saw their income dwindling in 2009, their net worth was still more than 200 times higher than that of the median household , according to the Economic Policy Institute. The earning power of the one percent has been a subject of heated debate since the ascent of Occupy Wall Street , whose participants often cite income inequality as one of the most pressing problems in America. With the national economy struggling to gain momentum, and millions of people hard-pressed just to afford basic household necessities , critics of income inequality have been asking why some in America need to earn so much while others have so little. Despite concerns about the growing wealth gap, the wealthiest Americans were worse off just like everyone else by 2009, after a recession that hit the financial sector hard. The average income of the one percent fell to $957,000 from $1.4 million in 2007. But that’s not to say the wealth gap closed. In fact, a report from the EPI asserts that the gap grew even larger during the Great Recession , likely as a result of skyrocketing unemployment and plunging home values. Households in the one percent had a net worth in 2009 that was 225 times higher than that of the median household — the highest that ratio has ever been. Today, the median household income is just $26,364 , meaning that half of households earn less than that. There are at least 46 million Americans in poverty, possibly more . One person in every five is struggling to put food on the table . Meanwhile, the rich haven’t bounced back entirely — analysts believe that incomes for the top one percent are likely still lower than they were before the recession — but the NYT notes that strong Wall Street performances in 2010 probably helped the one percent recoup some of their 2009 losses. In general, the past 30 years have been a time of historic divergence between the rich and the poor. Wages for the bottom 99 percent have risen only modestly since 1979, but wages for the one percent have almost tripled in the same period, leading to a wealth gap that one economist has described as ” Gilded Age levels of inequality .”

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Chuck E. Cheese Fined For Multiple Child Labor Law Violations

December 13, 2011

Chuck E. Cheese, that famed birthday party venue “where a kid can be a kid,” has allegedly been forcing some children to grow up a bit too fast. The U.S. Department of Labor fined nine San Francisco-area Chuck E. Cheese’s restaurants a total of $28,000 for allowing 16 young workers to operate on-site trash compactors in violation of the law, according to the Los Angeles Times . The eateries also allowed two minors to run a dough-mixing machine illegally. The Fair Labor Standards Act sets the minimum wage for most non-agricultural work at age 14, but it does prohibit youth from working in manufacturing, mining or performing other “hazardous jobs.” But it appears the restaurants have learned their lesson. Officials at CEC Entertainment Inc., the Irving, Texas-based owner of Chuck E. Cheese’s, are now telling teen workers not to operate the equipment and have put stickers on the machines warning minors not to use them, according to the San Francisco Chronicle . Brenda Holloway, a spokeswoman for the company, told the Chronicle that there were some regulations that the CEC hadn’t been aware of previously. “As soon as we were made aware of that, we did correct the deficiencies and paid our fines,” Holloway told the Chronicle . “We’re walking the straight and narrow now.” The Labor Department has collected more than $650,000 in back pay and penalties from 271 south Florida restaurants for labor law violations including breaking child labor provisions, according to a press release. A Connecticut family fought back in 2010 when the Labor Department accused them of violating child labor laws by allowing their children to work in the family pizzeria, according to ABC News. The Chuck E. Cheese news comes as child labor regulations have been thrust back into the national spotlight thanks to Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich. Gingrich, a former House Speaker, has proposed putting poor children to work as janitors in their schools to help them learn a proper “work habit.” This isn’t the first scandal at Chuck E. Cheese this year. A photo surfaced in July of what appeared to be a mascot pointing his middle finger at a camera while next to a child. In 2010, a Chuck E. Cheese manager was accused by female employees of sexist and derogatory comments.

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Report: Countries Face A ‘Great Challenge’ Economically For The Foreseeable Future

December 12, 2011

An OECD report due for release this month will say markets and governments face an uphill struggle to fund themselves next year amid extreme uncertainty over the euro zone and the global economy, the Financial Times said on Monday. The report will say that financial stresses are likely to continue with the unpredictability of markets threatening the stability of many governments that need to refinance debt. “(On occasion), market events seem to reflect situations whereby animal spirits dominate market dynamics, thereby pushing up sovereign borrowing rates with serious consequences for the sustainability of sovereign debt,” Hams Blommestein, head of public debt management at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, is quoted as saying. For the foreseeable future it will be a “great challenge” for a wide range of OECD countries to raise large volumes in the private markets, with so-called rollover risk a big problem for the stability of many governments and economies, the article said. The OECD says, according to the FT, that the gross borrowing needs of OECD governments are expected to reach $10.4 trillion in 2011 and will increase to $10.5 trillion next year – a $1 trillion increase on 2007 and almost twice as much as in 2005. (Reporting by Stephen Mangan; Editing by Nick Macfie) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Revenues Of U.S. States Back To Pre-Recession Levels

December 8, 2011

WASHINGTON (Lisa Lambert) – Total tax revenues of U.S. states returned to pre-recession levels in the 2011 third quarter, a public policy institute reported on Thursday, but revenue growth slowed during the period, a worrisome trend for states concerned that economic clouds are gathering as they begin drafting their budgets for next year. Total tax collections in 48 states rose by 7.3 percent in the July-to-September quarter, the Rockefeller Institute of Government reported. “After seven quarters of growth, overall state tax revenues have recovered to pre-recession figures,” said the institute. “Most states have not yet returned to peak levels, however, because those levels came several months into the Great Recession.” The institute’s study did not include data from Hawaii and New Mexico. States had experienced a slight lag from when the economic recession began in 2007 and when the fall in employment, housing prices and consumption hit their coffers. Their revenues reached record highs at the start of the recession, before plummeting in 2008. In much the same way, states are only now beginning to register the recession’s end, which officially was in June 2009, and are eager for revenues to return to the 2008 peaks. Despite the growth in revenues in the July-to-September quarter, a period that is the first fiscal quarter for most states, the rate failed to match growth in the second quarter. “This is a noticeable slowdown from the 10.8 percent year-over-year growth reported in the second quarter of 2011,” said the institute. The European debt crisis, stock market declines, and other economic troubles on the national level have states worried recent revenue improvements will not last. During the recession, their revenues fell sharply for five straight quarters, many to the lowest levels in more than 20 years. Because all states except Vermont have constitutional mandates to balance their budgets, they responded to falling revenues by hiking taxes and slashing spending, often in emergency sessions. After closing more than $500 billion budget gaps over four years, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures, they have few lifelines left. Numerous states instituted temporary tax hikes that are now expiring, and large infusions of funds from the federal government under the economic stimulus plan that helped bridge gaps ended last year. Among the 48 states in Rockefeller’s study, only Delaware, Iowa and Missouri failed to show gains in tax revenues during the third quarter. Moreover, 11 states reported double-digit growth in total tax collections. Personal income taxes, which provide the bulk of revenues for many states, grew 9.2 percent from the same quarter the year before. Sales taxes were up 3.9 percent, in the fourth consecutive quarter of growth. Illinois, Texas and Alaska had the largest rises in tax collections. In Illinois the gain was mostly fueled by legislated tax increases that took effect in January, and Alaska’s strength throughout the recession has rested on oil and mineral prices. Next month, state legislatures and governors will return to work, and to drafting the budgets for the next fiscal year. A slowdown could complicate their abilities to estimate how much money will be available to spend. A recent report by the National Governors Association and the National Association of State Budget Officers found that already 17 states are expecting budget gaps for next fiscal year totaling $40 billion. (Editing by Leslie Adler) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Janice Harper: Moving From Combat to Compassion in the Workplace

December 8, 2011

As concerns about workplace bullying and mobbing bring to light the damaging toll of interpersonal aggression, there remains a disturbing tenor to many of these discussions that leaves me wondering just how possible it will ever be to minimize workplace aggression. With calls to purge and shun anyone labeled “bully” on the one hand, and tips on how to document and eradicate anyone labeled “difficult employee” on the other, there seems to be more and more room for intolerance, exclusion, and aggression among the workforce. I have written elsewhere about my concerns about the use of the bully label, and about the distinction between one-on-one bullying and collective mobbing . Central to these views is my belief that in order to promote civil workplaces, we must extend compassion to our colleagues and co-workers, even when to do so is discomforting. When a worker is targeted for elimination, whether for poor performance, financial constraints, or because they have been unfairly marked for retaliation, discrimination or harassment, the common response among the workforce is to avoid the worker, spread gossip (often masked as “concern”), and align with management. When this happens, workplace mobbing ensues and the impact on the targeted worker is profound. It is at this stage of the process of eliminating a worker that nearly all workers behave at their very worst. The response of a targeted worker is likely to be one of anguish, anger and depression — the very traits that can then be used against the worker to paint him or her as mentally unstable, threatening or unproductive. Workers in management often align to ensure that regardless of the targeted worker’s past performance or procedural fairness, the termination of the worker is presented as justified. Managers climbing the corporate ladder often find themselves acting in ways they personally abhor, but feel they must carry out in order to demonstrate their loyalty and grit. The workers closest to the target become fearful of their jobs, and in many cases, opportunistic. To distance themselves from the target, they are likely to spread gossip that only undermines the worker’s status and further isolates the worker. Moreover, in the interest of workplace entertainment, gossip inevitably becomes embellished as it spreads, until there is little truth to it — but the subject’s reputation is severely damaged nonetheless. As those who spread the gossip feel discomfort in their behaviors — whether by making “small betrayals,” withdrawing friendship and support, spreading rumors, or not sharing critical information with the targeted worker — they are more likely to act even more adversely toward their vulnerable co-worker, to justify their behaviors as necessary and righteous. In short, workplace conflict brings out the worst in people, and the worse people behave, the worse they will behave. What happens in these cases is that we lose sight of human compassion, and replace it with combative behaviors that further erode our humanity and escalate workplace conflicts. Paradoxically, in many of our efforts to eliminate bad behaviors in the workplace, such as efforts to end bullying, sexual harassment, and discrimination, we become so concerned with upholding our virtues that once someone is accused of any of these bad behaviors, we tend to no longer see the worker as a human, but as a symbol of what we abhor. In other cases, once collective mobbing ensues, the targeted worker is viewed as the source of conflict, rather than the target of it. Even in cases involving poor managers, it is all too easy to view them as unsympathetic symbols of corporate power, rather than humans struggling to survive, and build and sustain relationships. The workplace is a network of strategic and treasured relationships, and during times of conflict, these relationships can be destroyed just as new ones can be forged. Yet the more we draw on a rhetoric of intolerance, labeling, and exclusion to rid the workplace of the kinds of people we do not like, the less humane we make the workplace and the more our professional relationships become void of compassion and sincerity. If there is one thing we could do to make our workplaces more rewarding and enriching, it is not by creating ever more categories of the kinds of people we do not want. It is by nurturing compassion within ourselves, one small act at a time. By refraining from gossip, and demonstrating greater kindness to workers who are targeted, we plant seeds of compassion in our workplaces. By cooperating with our colleagues, even when we disagree or dislike them, rather than avoiding them, we plant seeds of compassion in our workplaces. And by understanding that workers under fire may not always behave ideally, but may well be kind and decent people — and excellent workers — we plant seeds of compassion in our workplaces from which the fertile grounds of human relationships might thrive.

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China Concerned U.S. Ruling Underscores ‘Inclination To Trade Protectionism’

December 4, 2011

SHANGHAI – China said it was “deeply concerned” about a preliminary ruling by a U.S. trade body that trade practices by Chinese solar makers are hurting U.S. producers and said the decision underscored a U.S. “inclination to trade protectionism.” Such protectionism measures would hurt bilateral trade and jeopardize mutual cooperation on new energy issues, the Commerce Ministry said in a statement on its website. The statement came after the U.S. International Trade Commission approved an investigation into charges of unfair Chinese trade practices in the solar energy sector, setting the stage for possible steep U.S. duties and ratcheting up tensions with Beijing on the green trade front. The U.S. commission voted 6-0 that there was a reasonable indication that SolarWorld Industries America and other U.S. producers had been harmed by the imports or could have been. “The ruling was made without sufficient evidence showing U.S. solar panel industry has been harmed and ignored defenses from Chinese firms as well as opposition from the U.S. domestic industries and other stakeholders,” the ministry said. “China is deeply concerned with the decision, which does not tally with facts and highlights the United States’ strong tendency for trade protectionism.” China also hit back by saying that the U.S. should “objectively analyze why some of its solar panel firms lack competitiveness.” The vote allows the Commerce Department to continue an investigation that could lead to both countervailing and anti-dumping duties on solar cells and panels from China. The dispute is one of several to have broken out on the environmental front, as governments seek to reduce dependence on carbon-emitting fossil fuels blamed for global climate change. Chinese solar manufacturers most affected by the petition include Suntech Power Holdings, Yingli Green Energy Holding and Trina Solar. U.S. imports of the solar products from China totaled $1.5 billion in 2010, up from $640 million in 2009. (Reporting by Fayen Wong and Samuel Shen; Editing by Nick Macfie) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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IMF Playing Larger Role In Addressing Europe Debt Crisis

November 20, 2011

WASHINGTON (Lesley Wroughton) – The International Monetary Fund is inserting itself more forcefully into Europe’s efforts to resolve its debt crisis, hoping to stem a contagion that is spreading worldwide and threatening global growth. Uncertainty is turning into frustration and near-panic among policymakers outside Europe as larger European economies such as Italy, Spain and France come under attack by financial markets and bank funding stresses worsen. Until now, Europe has tried to navigate its way out of the two-year crisis on its own and the IMF has worked as a partner in a rescue “Troika” alongside the European Commission and European Central Bank in bailing out debt-stricken Greece. But patience, both among officials outside of Europe and in markets, is running thin with what many view as Europe’s painfully slow decision-making process. Three steps taken this week could strengthen the IMF’s role in handling the crisis. The IMF said on Thursday it would not be joined by EU or ECB officials when it conducts an in-depth review in late November of Italy’s economy and the fiscal and structural reforms needed to fend off the crisis there, a fresh step in the global lender’s approach. By going it alone, the IMF would assert its leadership role and potentially instill greater market confidence. This followed a surprise move on Wednesday when the IMF ousted Antonio Borges, its European director. It replaced him with an influential insider, Reza Moghadam, who has worked behind the scenes to reshape the IMF’s lending tools and strengthen the way it monitors economies. Borges cited personal reasons for his decision to step down immediately. Last month, he misstepped in suggesting publicly that the IMF could buy Spanish or Italian bonds alongside the euro zone’s bailout fund. He had to issue a hasty retraction to say the IMF could only lend to member countries and could not intervene in bond markets. European officials also said on Thursday there have been discussions about the European Central Bank possibly lending to the IMF, which would give the global lender enough money to bail out bigger euro zone countries. Emerging market countries such as China, Russia and Brazil have indicated privately to IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde they stand ready to help Europe, as well as other countries, but only if their funding is done through the IMF. “There is great concern about Europe,” IMF Spokesman David Hawley told a news briefing on Thursday that was dominated by questions on Italy and Greece. “Emerging market countries have expressed readiness to augment the resources of the Fund,” Hawley said. “At this stage we don’t have precise money”. The Federal Reserve, likewise, is extremely worried about Europe and does not see how the U.S. banking system can escape unscathed. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has warned that inadequate European crisis management raises the risk of “cascading default, bank runs and catastrophic risk that must be taken off the table.” European leaders had hoped they would stem the contagion by setting up a bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility. But more than three months later, it has failed to raise the 1 trillion euros it needs, and financial contagion is spreading quickly from the euro zone’s periphery to eastern and central Europe and to other vulnerable emerging countries. If Italy and Spain need rescuing, the 1 trillion euros European leaders are seeking would not be enough. The only lender left with sufficient firepower would be the IMF. Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Carl Gibson: The Corporatocracy Is the 1 Percent

November 2, 2011

In October of 2003 Steve Jobs first learned that he had pancreatic cancer. His doctors and family members urged, even pleaded with him to have surgery, but he opted instead to try alternative and natural remedies. It was a decision he would later regret. America is faced with a similar dilemma. Recently, an article by Llewellyn Rockwell , a former Ron Paul chief of staff, antagonized the federal government elite as the “1 percent” that’s wronged the other 99% of Americans. Rockwell eschews the “impoverishing…taxes, regimentation” of the state while encouraging the Occupy movement to leave the other 1 percent alone — CEOs and bankers — as they are “Some of the smartest, most innovative people in the country.” Rockwell’s writing has a lot of truth to it. The federal government is certainly complicit in the oppression of the 99%. And the people are rightly upset. Congressional approval is now in the single digits , which is the lowest in recorded history for CBS/ New York Times pollsters. The Federal Reserve’s first audit showed trillions in secret bailouts to the same Wall Street banks foreclosing on our homes and laying off thousands , as well as trillions in bailouts to banks outside of the United States. And if that wasn’t enough, it appears that the Fed is letting Bank of America dump $74 trillion in derivatives into taxpayer-insured FDIC accounts. President Obama’s support for Occupy Wall Street seems hollow when such rampant greed and corruption is allowed to continue under the nose of our supposed regulators. But antagonizing the state as the sole culprit for our grievances is disingenuous. The state enables the unrestrained greed of corporate and financial titans to push millions into poverty worldwide . Toothless agencies, staffed with former executives of the companies they’re supposed to be regulating, were complicit in the BP oil disaster by letting the companies write their own rules. Corporations are now breaking apart pieces of the Earth’s mantle to draw natural gas, free to pollute water supplies without fear of government regulation. President Obama’s re-election team just hired a senior adviser who formerly lobbied for TransCanada — the same company pushing the White House to approve their Keystone XL oil pipeline that would pillage the land for oil destined for other countries. Even Sen. Dick Durbin admits that banks ” frankly own the place .” Our government has become a subsidiary of industry. The truth in Rockwell’s piece lies in his description of the corporate 1 percent that he praises as “smart and innovative.” Indeed, these men are smart, but their intelligence should be seen as cold and calculating, not praised. Corporations don’t care about helping America succeed. Corporations as they exist now exist solely for profit, not public good. If the government stands in the way of their profit potential, they can legally purchase new politicians through unlimited, undisclosed campaign donations . If the salaries of their employees or even the planet stand in the way, they’ll eliminate them to appease an economic system that values unsustainable growth over all else. This system of collusion and oppression is why Americans of all colors and backgrounds are occupying. In a recent segment on Democracy Now!, Glenn Greenwald noted that mere legislative demands from Occupiers would be insufficient to address the grievances of the 99 percent taking the world by storm. If Congress is so rife with corruption that they’ll even vote down creating 300,000 jobs for teachers and first responders to protect millionaires from even a .05% tax increase, then the system is beyond saving through conventional means. The real battle must be waged nonviolently in the streets, even in the face of excessive oppression by an emerging police state . The cancer eating America alive right now is a corporatocracy where cozy relationships between the power elite dictate policy for the 99%. Americans must surgically remove the corporate cancer from government through direct action and the voting booth, and cultivate new leaders from within the movement. When the people lead, our leaders will have no choice but to follow.

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iPad-Maker’s $12-Billion Deal Faces Major Hurdles

October 30, 2011

By Luciana Lopez and Stuart Grudgings JUNDIAI, Brazil (Reuters) – The nondescript stretch of asphalt is an unlikely symbol of Brazil’s attempt to lift its economy into a new high-tech era. If officials in the industrial town of Jundiai get their way, it will soon be named Steve Jobs road — in homage to the late Apple Inc co-founder and a nod to the expected windfall that producing iPads and iPhones here will bring. Brazil’s government has loudly proclaimed a deal it says is worth $12 billion for Taiwanese technology giant Foxconn to produce iPads and build a whole new industry based around screens used in an array of consumer electronics from smartphones to televisions. But the infamous “Brazil cost” — shorthand for the bureaucracy and high taxes that plague business in the country — is already overshadowing the deal, complicating negotiations with Foxconn over the broader investment plan. The likely need for large state subsidized loans to lure Foxconn also revives concerns about the state’s heavy hand in Brazil’s economy. The deal’s transformative potential for Brazil is clear — a home-grown technology industry could move the commodities giant up the value-added chain to join the likes of Taiwan and South Korea, reducing its dependence on manufactured imports from Asia. Yet critics say Brazil’s shallow labor pool and poor infrastructure make it ill-prepared to make the leap to high-end work and that it risks being stuck at the low end — assembling components designed and made elsewhere. At first, Foxconn will have to fly in most of the key components such as semiconductors, modems and screens from China, as Brazil attempts to raise its ability to produce more of them locally. “We are selling our market very cheaply, giving tax incentives for a company to come and produce something that is already developed in the world market,” said Joao Maria de Oliveira, a researcher at the government-linked Institute for Applied Economic Research, or IPEA. “It’s not something that adds much value and it won’t leave much here.” The amount of value added to Apple products by Foxconn’s approximately one million workers in China is a mere $10 or so per device, according to a study by researchers at the University of California, Irvine. Brazil has cut taxes and duties on tablet production in a move that should reduce the retail price by about a third and is phasing in production requirements to foster a local components industry. Separately, it is in talks with Foxconn on a package of incentives, including priority customs access, more tax breaks and subsidized loans from state development bank BNDES to secure the bigger investment in high-end screens. It isn’t hard to see what’s in it for Foxconn, Apple and other foreign companies, including Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd that have expressed interest in making tablets here. Apple will gain better access to Brazil’s voracious consumers, who have faced high prices for its products due to hefty import tariffs, and will create a jumping-off point for other rapidly growing Latin American countries. Foxconn, the world’s largest contract electronics company, with around a third of the global market, would gain a vital foothold in Latin America’s largest economy and reduce the risks of having so much Apple production in China. Producing in Brazil would also give Foxconn and Apple preferential access to Brazil’s partners in the Mercosur customs union — Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. But the “Brazil cost” raises doubts over whether Apple will be able to make the iPad cheaply enough for the Brazilian market and use it as a major base to export to the United States and Latin America. Brazil’s consumer market is a huge draw for companies such as Apple, but analysts say the domestic industry will likely take years to move beyond assembly to higher-end production. “It will take at least five, six years to create the entire ecosystem there,” said Satish Lele, vice president, consulting, Asia Pacific at Frost & Sullivan in Singapore. “I don’t think they (Brazil) are ready to support huge growth as far as the electronics sector is concerned.” THE BRAZIL COST The Foxconn factory near “Steve Jobs” road is rumored by Brazilian media to already be producing iPhones and is expected to start churning out iPad tablets by December for sale to Brazil’s growing middle class. The company, whose main listed vehicle is Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd, has already hired more than 1,000 people in Jundiai, a medium-sized city an hour away from Sao Paulo, to work at a new plant. Jundiai is planning to build a technology park and nearby towns are also looking to draw more such investment. “We’re the BRICs of Brazil,” said Carmelo Paoletti Neto, a spokesman for the town, comparing the region to role played the emerging powerhouses Brazil, Russia, India and China on the global stage. But the starting monthly wage for members of the metalworkers’ union in Jundiai is about 1,058 reais ($605) — nearly double the 2,000 yuan ($315) minimum wage Foxconn paid in China as of last October. Those wage pressures are likely to make it hard for the iPad price to fall any time soon to a range that would give it the mass-market appeal it enjoys in the United States. Tablet sales in Brazil will jump to 450,000 this year from 105,000-110,000 last year, according to consulting firm IDC, surging to above 1 million next year. That is significant growth — but the 60 percent of Brazilian households without a computer won’t necessarily rush out to buy tablets, cautioned Jose Martim Juacida, an analyst with the company. “The first computer purchase is usually a desktop or a laptop, because a desktop can be shared,” he said. (Additional reporting by James Pomfret in Hong Kong; Lee Chyen Yee and Clare Jim in Taiwan; editing by Kieran Murray, Martin Howell and Andre Grenon) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions

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Samantha Parent Walravens: What Happened To The Gen Y Work-Life Revolution?

October 28, 2011

The work-life conflict of my generation — Generation X, or those born between 1965 and 1980 — has been defined by the unrealistic expectations that women, primarily, have placed on themselves to “have it all”: career, marriage, kids, house in the suburbs, etc. Somewhere along the way, “having it all” morphed into “doing it all,” a far cry from the liberation our feminist foremothers fought so hard for. But what of the next generation? I’ve been counting on Generation Y, or the Millenials, as they are called — those born between 1978 and 1995 — to usher in a new workplace model where employees don’t have to be tied to their desks 9 to 5 or slowly climb the corporate ladder of success. After all, these youngins are the iGeneration: tech-savvy, mobile and socially networked. They can complete important work assignments from Starbucks, the playground, hey, even from a hot bubble bath! If anyone can figure out how to gracefully blend work and home life, it’s the Millennials, right? Wrong. According to a new study from British consultancy JBA involving almost 25,000 people across 19 countries, much of the perceived wisdom about Gen Y’s attitude and approach to work, and work-life balance, needs to be radically rethought. While we frequently hear that Gen Yers are beating the drum for new working practices — demanding the freedom to work remotely, make use of the latest “must-have” technologies and communicate with colleagues via social networks rather than face-to-face — the study found that the reality is very different. In fact, younger staff expressed 15 to 20 percent less desire than their older colleagues to choose their time and place of work — they actively seek out every opportunity to be in the office in the closest proximity to their boss. It also found a direct correlation between age and appetite for flexible working. Among older staff, seven out of 10 wanted more choice about their work patterns. But just four out of 10 of their younger colleagues are keen to detach themselves from the office environment. According to Allison Ells, a 28-year-old regional sales manager from New York City, the tough economy may have something to do with her peers’ reluctance to ask for flexible work arrangements. “Many companies today still do not provide the flexibility and support needed to manage both a career and a family,” says Ells, who is engaged and plans to have kids in the next few years. “In this way, it feels that the work-life issues faced by Gen X have not yet been resolved for my generation (Gen Y). Especially in the current economy, where having a job is not to be taken for granted.” What’s more, younger staff placed more emphasis on working longer hours in the office and putting work before family than their older colleagues. Sarah Meager, a 26-year old law student from Boston, looks at her mother’s experience as a cautionary tale. “My mom quit her job as an attorney after having three children,” explains Meager. “She was never able to go back to her legal career at the same level. I don’t plan to stop working for any period of time when I have kids because I know it will put me at a huge disadvantage career-wise.” Disheartening words from a generation that I had hoped would change the discourse of the work-life debate. Another myth busted by the report is that Gen Yers are forever demanding new technologies and access to social networks. If anything, they are reticent to ask for such tools for fear that they might be accused of slacking off on the job. “Listen, these kids are hard workers. They are starting their careers in tough economic times. They have high expectations of where their jobs will lead, but they aren’t afraid to put in some hard labor in the early years,” says Jake Riley, a recruiter for tech jobs in the Silicon Valley. The key message from the survey, according to author John Blackwell, is that for all the talk of technological and social revolutions, some things stay the same. So just like their mothers, Gen Y women may still be stuck between a rock and a hard place for the time being. Yes, they are savvier about what they can realistically expect from the business world, but many still envision a conflict between their dream of having kids and reaching the top of their professions. The question is, what is the world going to do to help them achieve their goals? Samantha Parent Walravens is a freelance journalist and mother of four. She is the author of TORN: True Stories of Kids, Career and the Conflict of Modern Motherhood , which was chosen by The New York Times as its first pick for the Motherlode Book Club.

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If EU Bans Ratings Agencies From Evaluating Bailout Countries, Who Will Investors Turn To For Terrible Advice?

October 20, 2011

The Wall Street Journal reports today that the EU is “leaning toward proposing a ban on the issuing of sovereign credit ratings for countries in bailout talks.” The EU’s internal market commissioner, Michel Barnier, says that he thinks “it’s legitimate to have a special treatment when a country is in negotiation or is covered by an international solidarity program with the IMF,” and, indeed, new IMF chief Christine Lagarde has signaled that she believes it’s appropriate for the EU to “prevent ratings for bailout countries.” As the EU has been “tightening rules on rating agencies progressively since the financial crisis,” according to the Journal , with a new set of proposals on the matter scheduled to be made in early November, odds are decent that this will emerge as the consensus view. However, there are dissenting opinions, and, as Reuters’ Ryan McCarthy points out, they are “hilarious” : “If ratings are banned, it will make it difficult for investors to assess the risk when a country returns to the bond market.” That’s from economist Marchel Alexandrovich, and if you want to know why he should consider taking that act on the road, let’s flash back to this piece from Shahien Nasiripour from September of 2009 — one year after the global financial crisis: Analysts at the three biggest credit rating agencies who gave positive, investment-grade ratings to AIG and Lehman Brothers up until their collapse have not been fired or disciplined, the heads of the agencies admitted at a Congressional hearing today. Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch Ratings all maintained at least A ratings on AIG and Lehman Brothers up until mid-September of last year . Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy Sept. 15; the federal government provided AIG with its first of four multibillion-dollar bailouts the next day. At the hearing today, the exchange between [Representative Jackie] Speier and the agency chiefs was particularly contentious. “You had rated AIG and Lehman Brothers as AAA, AA minutes before they were collapsing. After they did fail, did you take any action against those analysts who had rated them?” Speier asked. “Did you fire them? Did you suspend them? Did you take any actions against those who had put that kind of a remarkable grade on products that were junk?” McDaniel answered first. “No, we did not fire any of the analysts involved in either AIG or Lehman,” he replied. “LOL,” is what I believe the Internet would tend to say to all of this. The Wall Street Journal reports, “There was no immediate comment from Fitch, S&P or Moody’s.” Yeah, I wouldn’t think so! [Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com -- learn more about our media monitoring project here .]

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U.S. Birth Rate Continues To Decline, A Sign Of Down Economy

October 15, 2011

The birth rate continued to drop last year in the United States, according to new data from the Pew Research Center, and experts are linking it to a down economy. The birth rate began declining in 2008, following a year of record high births in 2007, according to the Pew report. In 2007, there were 4,316,233 births and 69.6 babies born for every 1,000 childbearing-age woman; in 2010, there were just 4,007,000 births, and 64.7 births per 1,000 women. “It’s almost certainly due to a lack of confidence in the economy ,” demographer Carl Haub, of the Population Reference Bureau, told CNN. Kids are expensive because of the money it takes to feed, clothe and care for them, he told CNN. However, Haub said it’s not that kids aren’t desirable to us anymore; rather we are waiting until we can afford them. The Pew report also shows that states with the highest levels of unemployment had the biggest decreases in birth rate. And the state with the lowest unemployment rate — North Dakota — was the single state that actually had an increase in birth rate (though by just 0.7 percent), Politico reported. For the full Pew report, click here .

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Government Shutdown Looms As House Rejects Short-Term Budget Bill

September 21, 2011

WASHINGTON — The House on Wednesday failed to pass a continuing resolution to keep the federal government funded past next week, a major defeat for Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio), who was banking on having the votes to pass a package that tied emergency disaster aid to spending cuts. The bill went down in a vote of 195 to 230. Forty-eight Republicans sided with nearly all Democrats in opposing the resolution aimed at keeping the government funded past Sept. 30, when current funding runs out, and through Nov. 18. Two factions of Republicans had major problems with the bill as they headed into the vote: Conservative lawmakers wanted more spending cuts, and GOP lawmakers affected by recent disasters were uneasy with the bill’s provision that tied $1.5 billion in emergency disaster aid to cuts to a fuel-efficiency loan program.

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Ian Fletcher: Is Romney for Real on Trade?

September 9, 2011

Some good news for once! Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s stand on trade issues, if he truly means what he says and goes the full distance with his published proposals, offers America the best shot at a real and sustained economic recovery that any major officeholder or candidate has yet offered. His proposals aren’t perfect, they aren’t consistent, and I have no interest in endorsing the entirety of his economic philosophy, let alone his candidacy. But they are still an order of magnitude more serious about fixing America’s catastrophic trade mess than what has been proposed elsewhere. Like it or not, he’s way ahead of Obama on this stuff. Let’s calibrate this by looking at some key excerpts from his campaign website publication entitled “Believe in America: Mitt Romney’s Plan for Jobs and Economic Health.” [My comments in brackets.] AN ORDER TO SANCTION CHINA FOR UNFAIR TRADE PRACTICES “Direct the Department of the Treasury to list China as a currency manipulator in its biannual report and directs the Department of Commerce to assess countervailing duties on Chinese imports if China does not quickly move to float its currency.” [This is big. Currency manipulation is a huge part of China's surplus with the U.S. And to actually mention duties ?! That's been unthinkable up to now. Obama certainly hasn't touched it.] “Of course, opening markets must be a two-way street. For America truly to benefit in global commerce, we need to ensure there is access for our entrepreneurs to sell their high-quality products and services. This means that agreements must protect intellectual property from those who would violate the rules of free enterprise. Too often, trade agreements do not adequately address these concerns. Even when they do, actual enforcement lags.” [Aha! He's figured out that trade agreements on paper don't amount to anything. They have to be enforced, with real sanctions. This is radical.] “President Obama has also singularly failed in handling commercial relations with China. He came into office with high hopes that displays of American goodwill toward Beijing would lead to better relations across all fronts. Predictably, the goodwill has not been reciprocated; China is driven by its own interests, not by appeals to its sentimentality. Having tried and failed with “engagement,” the Obama administration now behaves as if the United States has no leverage in dealing with a country that routinely steals our designs, patents, brands, know-how, and technology…” [Yup. Time to stop playing by Sermon on the Mount rules with a dictatorship.] “Chinese companies have simply reverse-engineered American products, with no regard for the patents and other protections of intellectual property rights that are crucial to our own economic well-being. The Chinese government facilitates this behavior by forcing American companies to share proprietary technology as a condition of their doing business in China. A recent study by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce reports that international technology companies consider these practice to be “a blueprint for technology theft on a scale that the world has never seen before.” [Yup again.] “China’s unfair trade practices extend to the country’s manipulation of its currency to reduce the price of its products relative to those of competing nations such as ours. While the extent and impact of the manipulation is widely debated, the practice provides an invisible subsidy to Chinese goods sold internationally and an invisible tariff on other nations attempting to sell in China. Despite making gestures to the contrary, China’s government often excludes foreign goods from consideration for its government purchases. And it uses a variety of unfair practices–for instance, inventing regulations and standards that only Chinese companies can meet, and artificially lowering costs for Chinese companies– to tilt the playing field in its favor. Instead of responding forcefully, the Obama administration has acted like a supplicant. Having borrowed hundreds of billions of dollars from Beijing to pay for its agenda, it has placed America in a weak position at the very moment when we need to stand tall.” [Ditto.] CREATE REAGAN ECONOMIC ZONE [Unfortunate nomenclature, obviously aimed at Republican primary voters, but the principle here is sound: you can't have free trade with everybody, only those who genuinely accept fair rules of the game.] “But we can hardly rest there, for there is an opportunity to pursue a game-changing multilateral agreement among like-minded nations genuinely committed to the principles of open markets. As president, Mitt Romney will pursue the formation of a “Reagan Economic Zone.” This zone would codify the principles of free trade at the international level and place the issues now hindering trade in services and intellectual property, crucial to American prosperity and that of other developed nations, at the center of the discussion.” “Such a partnership would be extraordinarily attractive to most developed nations, and to those developing nations that have embraced free enterprise and open markets. With membership open to any nation willing to abide by the rules, two primary U.S. objectives would be fulfilled. First, as the most open and innovative economies came together, the dynamism of the resulting economic zone would serve as a powerful magnet, drawing in an expanding circle of countries willing to abide by the rules in exchange for greater access to one another’s markets. At the same time, it would also serve as a mechanism for confronting nations that violated trade rules while free-riding on the international system. Creating a large open market, and excluding countries that failed to respect the rule of law, would prevent cheaters from prospering and provide a major incentive for them to reform.” [Yup.] “We also must resolutely counter efforts by unscrupulous exporters in China and elsewhere to evade the remedial measures we already impose in response to their unfair trade practices. Chinese exporters, for instance, sometimes ship their products to third-party countries and fraudulently declare the products as originating there to avoid remedies that have been imposed on unfairly traded goods. Such practices need to be brought to a swift end. As president, Mitt Romney will allocate the necessary resources to investigating the actual point of origin for suspect products arriving on our shores and impose harsher penalties on those who would circumvent our laws. The return on the increased investment in enforcement would be immediate and substantial.” [Yup.] “American corporations should not be left in a position in which they are afraid to pursue their interests to the full extent of the law. The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) in a Romney administration will be tasked with pursuing all significant claims of unfair trade practices. It will also take a far more active role in encouraging private firms that have been victimized to raise claims both in U.S. courts and at the WTO. If the USTR can be their advocate in and out of court, American companies and the country as a whole will be in a stronger position.” [Yup.] IMPOSE TARGETED TARIFFS OR ECONOMIC SANCTIONS [The "t" word! Gosh! Haven't heard that from anyone but fringe candidates like Trump.] “Mitt Romney believes we need to consider the use of targeted unilateral and multilateral sanctions. For instance, if the United States identifies a Chinese firm or industry that is relying on unfair practices or misappropriated American technology for its competitive advantage, we should be in a position to impose punitive measures in response. If China makes it a priority to strong-arm Western corporations in industries with particularly valuable technologies, we should join with our allies to ensure that it does not obtain the technology transfers it seeks.” DESIGNATE CHINA A CURRENCY MANIPULATOR AND IMPOSE COUNTERVAILING DUTIES “Current U.S. law requires that the Department of the Treasury release a biannual review in which it identifies any countries that are manipulating their currency to gain an unfair advantage. The Department of Commerce also has the power to find that Chinese currency policy constitutes an unfair subsidy to Chinese exporters, and to assess countervailing duties on Chinese products. The Obama administration has declined to take either action, effectively accepting China’s problematic practices. That acceptance has to end. If China fails to move quickly to bring its currency to fair value, the Department of the Treasury in a Romney administration will designate China a currency manipulator and the Department of Commerce will impose countervailing duties.” [This last sentence, if taken seriously, would amount to the biggest action in defense of America's trade interests since Nixon imposed a 10% tariff in 1971.] “The United States does not have to accept forever the practices that have led to a huge and seemingly perpetual trade deficit with China. We have opened our economy to China, and China must be persuaded to extend the same privilege to us. China’s export-driven economy desperately needs access to our markets and innovations, and we have the leverage to demand that it competes on fair terms in return and provides similar access to its market for U.S. exporters. A Romney administration will work with Congress and our international partners to alter China’s behavior. The Reagan Economic Zone will be a key instrument in that effort, offering China an attractive reward for better behavior as an alternative to aggressive responses to continued intransigence.” “The time has to come to lay out a series of steps that China must take to become a responsible member of the global economy. And the time has also come to lay out the consequences that would accompany its failure to make rapid progress toward that end. Despite what the Obama administration appears to believe, the United States is working from a position of strength. Mitt Romney understands that fundamental point and all that follows from it. He will seek to right our trade relationship with China and strengthen our commercial ties with the rest of the world. Nothing less than economic recovery is at stake.” [Yes, Gov. Romney, this is correct. We're never truly going to recover without fixing trade. You seem to be the only candidate who understands that.] This above is all a very serious package, if it’s not (“Hope and Change” anyone?) bluff and fluff designed to be thrown away once in office. It might well be that, of course, as Mitt Romney is as corporate a candidate as they come, and the Fortune 500′s opinion on standing up for the American economy (don’t) is no secret. But equally, Romney may be well aware that big business is driving America over a cliff right now, and that somebody is going to have to save American capitalism from itself. This is well-precedented in American history: it is roughly what both Presidents Roosevelt did, in different ways. If Romney truly understands the underlying economics of our present trade mess, he knows that the present order is unsustainable. And he–and his backers–probably calculate that they’d rather have a Republican clean it up than a Democrat. Romney, whose background is that of a serious businessman, not just a front man for business interests like Bush II or Obama, may well understand. (Unlike either of them, he actually knows enough to disagree with his own advisers on this stuff.) Romney is clearly signalling to the business class that he’s not a maniac on these issues. That’s why he continues to support the pending trade agreements with Panama, Colombia, and South Korea. These are bad. But if we passed them and seriously implemented the policies Romney talks about above, we’d be infinitely better off than we are now. Are you for real, Mitt? Give us a sign.

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As Obama Prepares Jobs Speech, Low-Earning Americans Gloomy About Economy

September 8, 2011

With the economy slowing to a near-standstill this year, and the prospect of a turnaround appearing increasingly unlikely, Americans’ spirits — particularly among the country’s lowest earners — seem to be sinking to greater depths all the time. Recent polls show that confidence and happiness are falling, likely as a result of the enervated economy, which has barely grown this year and added no new jobs in the past month. The downturn in public opinion has occurred at about the same time that talk in Washington has increasingly focused on economic growth and job creation, suggesting that many Americans aren’t persuaded their leaders in the public sector have answers. A weekly consumer-sentiment survey from Bloomberg, published Thursday, found that confidence was at its second-lowest point for the year in the week ending September 4. It was especially down amongst Americans who earn less than $15,000 a year — that group reported feeling less confident than at any time since the mid-1990s. Separately, a Gallup poll published Thursday showed that Americans’ overall contentedness — as measured by responses to a survey that asked whether participants felt like they were “thriving,” “struggling” or “suffering” — fell in August to the lowest level since July 2009 , the tail end of the Great Recession. Gallup noted that anxiety brought on by the weak economy may be affecting Americans’ sense of satisfaction with their lives. In particular, an annual poll in August found that a near-record number of people were worried about losing their jobs . In response to the softening economy — which grew at an annualized rate of just 1 percent in the spring , well below what economists say is needed for a robust recovery — President Obama is expected to announce a jobs-creation plan during a special address to a joint session of Congress Thursday evening. The plan, said to be worth at least $300 billion , may include provisions for infrastructure spending, unemployment benefits and payroll tax cut extensions. Meanwhile, Republican presidential candidates Mitt Romney and Jon Huntsman have each publicized jobs-and-growth plans of their own. Huntsman’s plan includes a detailed road map for energy reform , while Romney’s calls for lower taxes, fewer regulations and measures to curtail the powers of labor unions . Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, for his part, said that the Fed will “do all it can to help restore high rates of growth and employment” in remarks to the Economic Club of Minnesota on Thursday, though he did not elaborate on what the Fed might do. Still, despite the pledges of proactivity from government officials, Americans appear to recognize the magnitude of the challenges facing the economy. Most analysts predict that the economy will continue to crawl along at a weak rate of growth for at least another several months, which may bode ill for Obama’s re-election prospects.

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Energy Secretary Suggests U.S. Support For Keystone XL Pipeline

September 1, 2011

WASHINGTON — Canada’s status as a close U.S. ally should boost a plan to pipe oil from western Canada to the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu said in comments that signaled support for the massive $7 billion pipeline. “It’s certainly true that having Canada as a supplier for our oil is much more comforting than to have other countries supply our oil,” Chu said in a TV interview this week that will be aired later this month. Technology used to extract oil from tar sands such as those in Alberta, Canada are improving dramatically, Chu said, making such projects less risky to the environment. The proposed Keystone XL pipeline “is not perfect, but it’s a trade-off,” Chu said. U.S. officials will have to weigh the benefit of a reliable supply of oil from a friendly country against environmental concerns raised by a possible spill, he said. Chu’s comments are the latest sign that the Obama administration appears likely to back the 1,700-mile pipeline, which would carry crude oil extracted from tar sands in Alberta, Canada, and bring it to refineries in Texas. The pipeline would travel through Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma. The State Department said in a report last week that the project is unlikely to cause significant environmental problems during construction or operation. Calgary-based TransCanada, which would operate the pipeline, says it would be built to strict environmental standards, including 57 conditions above those required by law. The company and project supporters on both sides of the border say it would create tens of thousands of jobs and significantly reduce U.S. dependence on Middle Eastern oil. Despite those reassurances, the project has become a flashpoint for environmental groups, who say the pipeline would bring “dirty oil” that requires huge amounts of energy to extract and could cause an ecological disaster in case of a spill. Opponents have urged President Barack Obama to block the project as a sign he is serious about reducing greenhouse gas emissions blamed for global warming. Environmental activists, including actress Daryl Hannah and NASA scientist James Hansen, have been arrested in ongoing protests outside the White House the past two weeks. Chu’s interview with the “energyNOW!” TV show is set to air in mid-September on Bloomberg Television.

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Boomer Retirement May Weigh Down Stock Market For Next Two Decades

August 22, 2011

By Michael S. Derby of the Wall Street Journal The next quarter century or so could be a tough one for the stock market, researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco warn. In a paper released by the institution Monday, two of its staffers said the retirement of the Baby Boom generation stands to strip away from equities a key source of support. The ongoing wave of retirees won’t crater the market, but they may well be “a factor holding down equity valuations over the next two decades,” writes Zheng Liu and Mark Spiegel write. As they see it, what the Baby Boomers have given to the market is something like what they will be taking away. Allowing for the “theoretical ambiguities,” the economists noted “U.S. equity values have been closely related to demographic trends in the past half century” across several key metrics. “In the context of the impending retirement of baby boomers over the next two decades, this correlation portends poorly for equity values,” Liu and Spiegel write. (Read more: Uniforms Inspire Attendance, Not Achievement) As much as it is a problem for the market over the long haul, as retirees sell stocks to try to maintain their lifestyles, the “well known” nature of the troubles is also a problem for markets now. Indeed, if current investors now start pricing in the coming Baby Boomer headwind, they may “depress” stock prices. “These demographic shifts may present headwinds today for the stock market’s recovery from the financial crisis,” the paper said. Liu and Siegel allow that considerable uncertainty surrounds their work. Other important influences on the outlook for stocks are the performance of the bond market, as well as the appetites of foreign buyers. They cited China as one potential wild card, saying that nation and other emerging economies “may relax capital controls, which would allow their nationals to invest in U.S. equity markets.” That could counter some of the drag generated by U.S. retirees. Read more: What Do Markets Expect From Bernanke at Jackson Hole? There are, of course, even more risks that surround the stock market beyond what the paper flags. Equity prices have undergone considerable volatility of late after enjoying a sharp Federal-Reserve-engineered rally starting nearly a year ago. Equity investors are confronting a protracted period of economic weakness, and a central bank that appears to have few good options to restart growth. Should weakness prove longer-lasting than some expect, that itself may influence Baby Boomers’ retirement plans, and thus change the outlook for the market. The the entire post here.

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Seniors Faces Foreclosure After Making Mortgage Payment Too Early

August 22, 2011

A senior couple in Pasco County, Florida is facing the prospect of foreclosure. But the reason doesn’t have to do with missed mortgage payments. This time, it’s reportedly because they paid too early one month, and used the wrong routing number the next . Only three months after Sharon Bullington, 70, negotiated a mortgage modification under the Obama administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), Bank of America informed her and her husband that they had been ejected from the trial plan for improper payments, St. Petersburg Times reports. (h/t The Daily What.) The problem was that Sharon has made her January payment in December, instead of the required “month in which it [was] due.” She then allegedly incorrectly wrote her routing number on her February payment, leading the bank to cancel the modification. The Bullington’s explanations and pleas for help have reportedly been to no avail. The episode is only the latest in a series of oddball foreclosure stories that have included a homeowner being asked to pay $0.00 in order to avoid foreclosure and JPMorgan repurchasing a soldier’s home on the same day he returned from a tour of duty in Iraq . But in many ways, the Bullington’s story goes against the typical narrative of a post-recession American homeowner’s struggle. Instead of paying too early, most of those threatened with foreclosure are struggling to make payments on time. Indeed, the number of mortgages which are overdue by a month rose to the highest level in a year in the second quarter of this year , according to Bloomberg . Consequently, the jobs crisis is largely being blamed for the percentage of home loans overdue by 30 days, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association in Washington. Also a rarity is the Bullington’s ability to successfully negotiate a mortgage modification in the first place. Despite the continued existence of the Obama administration’s anti-foreclosure initiative HAMP, the number of preliminary mortgage modifications approved in June was the lowest since April 2009, at 15,000, according to government data reported by The Huffington Post . Read the entire story here

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WATCH: How The Panama Trade Deal Could Undercut Efforts To Repeal Bush Tax Cuts

August 9, 2011

WASHINGTON — During a Monday press conference addressing Standard & Poor’s downgrade of U.S. debt, President Barack Obama reaffirmed his commitment to raising taxes on the wealthy. But as he pushes to get the rich to pay more into federal coffers, Obama is also urging Congress to approve a trade agreement that would cement a key tax avoidance tactic deployed by some of the richest Americans. “What we need to do now is combine those spending cuts with two additional steps: tax reform that will ask those who can afford it to pay their fair share and modest adjustments to health care programs like Medicare,” Obama said during the address, referring to steps the U.S. should take in addition the cuts agreed to to raise the federal debt ceiling. Just two days before, during his Saturday radio address, Obama urged Congress approve three trade deals, including one with Panama that would make it easy for Americans to stash assets in the Central American country, a notorious tax haven for the wealthy and American corporations. “It’s time Congress finally passed a set of trade deals that would help displaced workers looking for new jobs,” Obama said, “and that would allow our businesses to sell more products in countries in Asia and South America — products stamped with three words: Made in America.” But Panama’s entire annual economic output is around $26.7 billion a year, according to The World Bank — only about two-tenths of one percent of the U.S. economy — making the effect on jobs minuscule at best. Some economists expect other agreements with South Korea and Colombia to create net job losses in the U.S., as corporations ship American jobs overseas to take advantage of cheaper labor. It may not have a large economy, but Panama does have some of the most stringent bank secrecy laws in the world, making it extremely easy and inexpensive for U.S. citizens to set up offshore corporations and bank accounts. Establishing the corporation and bank account costs less than $2,000, and any money that Americans stash in these entities is not taxed. Bank secrecy laws and extremely lax corporate registration standards make it very difficult for the Internal Revenue Service to track transactions transferring funds to these Panamanian destinations from the United States. Small surprise, then, that Panama is home to nearly 400,000 offshore corporations, more than any other nation except Hong Kong. “A tax haven . . . has one of three characteristics: It has no income tax or a very low-rate income tax; it has bank secrecy laws; and it has a history of noncooperation with other countries on exchanging information about tax matters,” said Rebecca Wilkins, senior counsel with Citizens for Tax Justice, a nonpartisan nonprofit dedicated to improving U.S. tax policy. “Panama has all three of those. … They’re probably the worst.” The trade agreement with Panama would effectively bar the U.S. from cracking down on this activity. The U.S. would not be allowed to treat Panamanian financial services transactions differently from transactions in nations that are not tax havens. It would also be unable to pursue some standard anti-money laundering techniques in Panama. And combating tax haven abuse in Panama would be a violation of the trade agreement, exposing the U.S. to fines from international authorities. “It directly undermines Obama’s putative domestic agenda of job creation, cracking down on tax havens and collecting revenue from tax-dodging corporations,” said Lori Wallach, Director of Public Citizen’s Global Trade Watch. “The [free trade agreement] would forbid future use of existing policy tools to combat financial crime.” The deal with Panama was first negotiated by President George W. Bush in 2007, but in April, Obama met with Panama President Ricardo Martinelli to announce the signing of a new information sharing agreement as part of the broader deal to help facilitate tax enforcement. “Thanks to the leadership of President Martinelli, there have been a range of significant reforms in banking and taxation in Panama,” Obama said. “And we are confident now that a free trade agreement would be good for our country, would create jobs here in the United States.” But the tax enforcement agreement amounts to little more than a gesture, relying on a decades out-of-date framework that is not very effective at recovering lost tax revenue. Thanks to the TIEA, American tax officials can now obtain tax information on U.S. citizens stashing money in Panama. That’s great — if they already know which citizens are using Panama-based schemes to dodge U.S. taxes. But, of course, the IRS doesn’t actually know who is doing this — if it did, it wouldn’t need to gather bank account information in the first place. “The Tax [information] Exchange Agreement that we’ve executed with Panama is really weak,” said Wilkins. “There’s just a lot of reasons why it’s not going to be very effective.” The U.S. has negotiated much more helpful TIEAs with other countries in the past. The IRS, for instance, is automatically notified whenever U.S. taxpayers deposit money in a Canadian bank, making it effectively impossible for a U.S. citizen to hide money in Canada. Raising taxes on wealthy Americans, of course, will have little effect if those same citizens can simply hide funds from the IRS in Panama. While the IRS is starved for information on U.S. individuals hiding money in Panama, it has the opposite problem among U.S. corporations. In 2008, the Government Accountability Office issued a report noting that 17 of the 100 largest American companies were operating a total of 42 subsidiaries in Panama, suggesting that these subsidiaries could be used to help firms skimp on their U.S. tax bills. But while the IRS knows that firms are operating in Panama, it doesn’t have the resources to investigate or prove that the offshore activities of U.S. companies are devoid of economic substance other than tax-dodging. While 17 of the 100 largest corporations were operating Panamanian subsidiaries, a total of 83 were operating sub-companies in nations the GAO labeled as tax havens, with some corporations using dozens of different subsidiaries. According to the Bureau of National Affairs’ Daily Tax Report, IRS official Samuel Maruca told an audience at a National Association for Business Economics conference that his agency didn’t have enough funding to chase cases of “transfer pricing” abuse — a technique in which U.S. corporations sell their own goods to foreign subsidiaries at bizarre prices in order to reduce their tax bills. “To put it bluntly, we can’t afford to pursue every case — even cases that may have considerable merit,” the official said. “We have to be strategic about where we are willing to invest our resources.” The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable, two lobbying groups pushing hard to approve the Panama deal, declined to comment for this article.

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Bank Of America Stock Drops 20 Percent Following $10 Billion Lawsuit

August 9, 2011

Bank of America stocks tumbled 20 percent on Monday as investors reacted in part to a $10 billion lawsuit that the insurance corporation American International Group brought against the company. The dramatic single-day drop was reminiscent of market plunges during the financial crisis of 2008, and stood out even amongst a market-wide spate of sell-offs that left the Dow Jones industrial average more than 600 points down on the day. BofA closed at $6.51 on Monday, a 20.32 percent drop from the opening bell, after a day of rapid stock declines that saw the Dow shed 634 points. The Dow closed at 10,809 after dipping below 11,000 for the first time since November 2010, making Monday the sixth-worst trading day in Dow history . Elsewhere in the market, the S&P 500 Index fell by 6.66 percent and the NASDAQ Composite closed at 6.9 percent down. On Monday, AIG announced that it was suing Bank of America for more than $10 billion, alleging that BofA, and its acquisitions Merrill Lynch and Countrywide Financial, participated in “massive fraud” when they sold mortgage-backed securities to AIG between 2005 and 2007. AIG says that more than 40 percent of the mortgages were presented as being more secure than they actually were. A spokesman for Bank of America has countered that AIG “is the very definition of an informed, seasoned investor” and should be held responsible for any purchases it made. The slide in BofA stocks, the worst since April 2009, was reflected in declines among other major lenders. Citigroup was down 16 percent at the end of the day, Morgan Stanley closed down 14 percent, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo were each down 9 percent and Goldman Sachs fell 6 percent. AIG’s own stock fell 10 percent to $22.58. Bank of America, the country’s largest banks by assets, has seen the value of its stock decline by 54 percent since the start of 2011. Last month, BofA reported losses of $8.8 billion in the second quarter , its worst quarterly earnings report ever. On Wednesday, BofA CEO Brian Moynihan will answer shareholder questions during a 90-minute conference call. A press release from Fairholme Capital Management , a major shareholder with BofA, says that “skeptics are invited to participate.” Monday’s market plunge is seen as a response to Standard & Poor’s historic downgrade of the United States’ credit rating last Friday, as well as concerns that Italy and Spain could slip into default as part of the worsening European debt crisis. Investors have also seen a series of disappointing economic reports in recent days, raising fears that the U.S. economy may be headed for a double-dip recession.

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Workers Put Verizon On Hold: Portray Strike As Defense Of Middle Class Jobs

August 7, 2011

NEW YORK — Outside Verizon corporate headquarters in downtown Manhattan, a group of more than 40 union employees gathered wearing red shirts and placards proclaiming “CWA on Strike For Middle Class Jobs.” Over 45,000 Verizon workers — 35,000 represented by the union Communications Workers of America, 10,000 by the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers — went on strike early Sunday morning when contract negotiations between the unions and Verizon broke down. The workers are striking, they say, because the company wouldn’t budge on the nearly 100 concessions headquarters has asked employees to make on a set of broad-ranging issues. At the top of the list: wide spread wage cuts, increased employee contributions to health care plans and pensions — which the company has proposed to freeze for current employees and eliminate for new hires. The contract expired Saturday at midnight and covered the heavily unionized East Coast wireline devision of the company, including FiOS, Verizon’s television and Internet service. Verizon’s wireless devision is not, and never has been, unionized. Those gathered cast their fight as larger than just one union fighting management for a bigger piece of the corporate profits. More broadly, the workers manning the picket line on Sunday afternoon perceived their struggle as being against a national effort to role back union power and increase the gap between executive compensation and rank and file earnings — a gap that has widened in the last thirty years as union power has waned. The workers outside headquarters found a rallying cry in the attack on collective bargaining rights last winter in Wisconsin. In front of headquarters, an employee on a bullhorn shouted: “We ain’t going back on our knees! This isn’t Wisconsin, this isn’t Ohio. The line stops here.” The crowd erupted in cheers. “It’s mind-boggling: These are things we won in the past,” said Greg Albi, a Verizon field technician with the company for thirty years. Albi has been outside Verizon headquarters since 7:00 a.m. Sunday morning. “They want to take fifty years of our contract and just throw it away like it never existed,” adds Al Russo, a Verizon employee for 11 years and a chief steward at CWA local 1101. Russo has been out since 10 p.m. Saturday night. He is losing his voice and looks exhausted but he insists he isn’t tired. He says his son, age 8, just texted him “keep it up Daddy.” While talks are officially on hold at the moment, both sides say that they are ready to continue negotiating — but with caveats. “We are willing to negotiate and we are ready and waiting for the unions to sit down and continue these discussions,” says Richard Young, a company spokesman. “That said, we expect the union to come with an open mind.” The crowd marched in a loop in front of the building shouting traditional labor slogans: “What’s disgusting? Union Busting!” “Who has the power? You have the Power,” and “No contact: no work.” At frequent intervals, a Verizon employee or two would walk in or out of the building — staring straight ahead — and shouts of “scab!” and booing would erupt from the crowd. “What are we going to do?” Albi asks. “We live in a progressive world. Things should get better, not worse.” Like many workers interviewed on the picket line, Albi sees the strike in a context larger than his own benefits, but he has personal concerns too. He worries that if the union gives in, he won’t be able to help his two children finish college. “It’s hard enough,” he said. “I already have loans for them — if I get stuck for money they will get stuck with the debt. The next generation will get screwed, too.” This is the fourth strike Albi has participated in, but, he says, “This is the first time they’ve asked for so many givebacks. They’re trying to break the union. And we’re here to say ‘no.’” The union is accusing the company of making extreme demands which will dramatically erode the middle class life union employees have fought for over the past half-century. Verizon, meanwhile, claims that the concessions are necessary for their wireline devision to stay competitive. While the company has earned around $3 billion in the first six months of this year, according to a company spokesman, they say that the wireless devision is the real profit earner and that the wireline business has been declining for the past decade. “The cost structure of this business was set in place many decades ago at a time when Verizon was the dominant phone provider,” says Young. He denies that they are trying to break the union: “This has nothing to do with breaking the union. It has everything to do with coming to the realization that we’re operating with cost restraints that are out of touch with today’s marketplace.” Union employees say they are outraged that the company is asking for major concessions while they are profitable. Former Verizon Chief Executive Officer Ivan Seidenberg (who stepped down on Aug. 1, 2011) is ranked 10th on the Forbes list of Executive Pay in 2011. At stake, say labor experts, are the future of the union in the industry, and the ability of workers in the field to earn a solid living wage. Union employees earn on average between approximately $60,000 and $80,000 a year. “I think it’s really a question of [whether] union standards are going to be higher than nonunion standards in the industry,” says Jeffrey H. Keefe, an associate professor at Rutgers Univeristy School of Management and Labor Relations. “It’s a question of: will they continue to have bargaining power, going forward?” The strike, he says, is a “declaration that this going to be a very tough-fought battle.”

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Lydia Fisher: Wow, What a Week!

August 6, 2011

After the failure of rating agencies to rate securities properly as to risk preceding the subprime meltdown (bundled securities rated AAA with near worthless underlying loans), don’t know what to make of S&P’s downgrade of U.S. debt from AAA to AA+ Friday evening. Is it a beginning? Read on. : The downgrade reflects our view that the effectiveness, stability, and predictability of American policymaking and political institutions have weakened at a time of ongoing fiscal and economic challenge,” the company said in a statement. It appears that the American public did some of their own analysis, underscored this week by the headline, “Disapproval Rate for Congress at Record 82 Percent After Debt Talks.” The AA+ rating, by definition, still implies good credit-worthiness. Moody’s and Fitch still hold U.S. debt as AAA. Regardless, with a new 16 trillion “credit card” limit, fiscal challenges remain. Here’s why. Simply put, the bigger the debt, the bigger the interest rate risk exposure to service the debt. The U.S. debt downgrade potentially has higher borrowing cost implications for consumers, businesses and the U.S. government, which impacts economic growth. It remains to be seen how the markets will adjust to the S&P downgrade, whether a shift upwards in rates in the Treasury yield curve occurs — whether our creditors will demand higher rates. For now, matters “across the pond” in the eurozone appear worse. European money markets seized up this week, with Italy and Spain in sharp focus. The ECB announced intentions to buy back debt of Italy and Spain. This, after the European Union has already bailed out Greece, Ireland and Portugal. Seems to me sovereign debt default issues will be with us for some time, based on the absolute levels of debt relative to GDPs within developed nations and the question of how to now grow the economies going forward to sustain the debt and meet obligations. Some astute investors note that there are two ways to default on debt — an actual default or through devaluation of the currency. It’s no secret to any of us, that the dollar has suffered devaluation in the last decade. Just this last Thursday, the Swiss Franc hit another high against the dollar (another marker for the week). If we keep raising the debt ceiling (to avoid actual default), then we’re monetizing debt (financing government spending) to meet our obligations. Unless, of course, we can grow the economy to keep up with the pace of deficit spending. But, here’s the deal. This week’s debt ceiling increase (which may turn out to be yet another temporary fix) came in at 2.1-2.4 trillion to a jaw-dropping 16 trillion . We’ve raised U.S. debt ceilings before. What makes this one uncomfortable is that it puts the U.S. that much closer to the 100 percent threshold of debt to GDP, and that’s a drag on the economy. Historically, this ” shaves about one percentage point off GDP, which was just 1.3 percent for the second quarter and 0.4 percents for the first quarter. ” With the weight of big debt, the “heavy lifting” to grow the economy, to create jobs, becomes all the more arduous. As if back-to-back days of U.S. stock market declines weren’t enough this week ( culminating in a 500 point Dow plunge on Thursday), the jobs picture remains murky. This week, the unemployment rate showed a slight improvement to 9.1 percent from 9.2 percent. But, if one looks beyond to the increase — in the discouraged no longer searching — the unemployment picture looks dismal. What’s this all saying? We can’t expect quick fixes to problems formed over decades. Tempting as they may be, within an age of instantaneity. I keep coming back to structural changes needed. Note that the financial crisis (and the most recent explosion in debt it created) came on the heels of already multi-decade long trends that chiseled away at jobs — conglomeration, globalization and technological automation. Running an economy, in part, on financial bubbles, particularly in the last decade, masked the underlying reality of the job market. Yes, we need growth and jobs. How do we do this within the economy we’ve created over decades? Where on the horizon is the sustainable revenue bedrock, the growth that will move us forward? Amidst the brouhaha , the numbers, let’s not forget the very human. Is there a point at which debt and debt service crowds out life and living? Or, is life about growing and working to achieve happiness, fulfillment and harmony as a society?

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Auto Union Wants Bigger Cut Of Detroit Success

July 25, 2011

AUBURN HILLS, Mich. (AP) — To help American carmakers stay in business, autoworkers grudgingly gave up pay raises and some benefits four years ago. Now that General Motors, Ford and Chrysler are making money again, workers want compensation for their sacrifice. Just how much they get is the central question hanging over contract talks that start this week between Detroit and one of the nation’s largest and most powerful unions. The negotiations, the first since Chrysler and GM took government aid and emerged from bankruptcy, will set wages and benefits for 111,000 members of the United Auto Workers, including those at Ford, which avoided bankruptcy by taking out massive private loans. The UAW’s four-year contracts with the Detroit Three expire on Sept. 14. There’s more at stake than pay. After the industry’s brush with financial ruin in 2008 and 2009, both sides know how quickly Detroit’s sales and profitability could vanish. Sales are on pace to reach nearly 13 million cars and trucks this year, better than the 10 million in 2009, but still below the 17 million peak in 2005. Americans are worried about buying cars when wages and the job market are weak. The workers and Detroit companies can’t leave themselves vulnerable to rivals. “Management’s not the enemy at this point,” says Jim Graham, a longtime local union president in Lordstown, Ohio, where workers make the Chevrolet Cruze car. “The enemy is the competition.” Even so, the talks won’t be easy. Chrysler, which is run by Italian automaker Fiat, wants to hold the line on wages and benefits, while GM and Ford want to cut labor costs even more. There’s friction inside the union, too. Many workers are eager to get a share of company profits and restore pay raises and some benefits given up during the financial crisis. “You want to get something back,” says Hans Smith, a worker at GM’s pickup plant in Flint, Mich., who knows they won’t get back all the concessions. That could create problems for the UAW’s new leader, Bob King, who preaches cooperation over confrontation. King wants to “make sure our members get their fair share of the upside” but also keep the companies competitive. Wall Street is watching, too. Stock prices at Ford and GM and a potential Chrysler public offering could be hurt if companies end up with higher costs. The talks started Monday at Chrysler’s Auburn Hills, Mich., headquarters with a series of friendly handshakes. Both sides wore matching maroon jackets to signal unity. Here are the key issues in the talks: — Reward for Risk: Workers want a bigger cut of the profits now that Detroit’s automakers are making money again. They got profit-sharing checks in January, but they’ll want bigger ones this year to offset the risk that they could nothing if the economy slows more and auto sales tank. They also resent the size of executive pay packages, particularly at Ford, where workers fume that Ford CEO Alan Mulally got $26.5 million for 2010. Some assembly-line workers are already mad about giving up guaranteed raises. They could resist profit-sharing. “Most workers say `No, that’s not good enough,’” says Gary Walkowicz, a Ford worker who ran unsuccessfully against King last year. “It’s like pie in the sky as opposed to real increases in wages to help us keep up with increasing prices.” The UAW’s ultimate weapon, a strike, is banned at GM and Chrysler under terms of the government bailout. The union could still strike at Ford. — Matching Rivals’ Costs: Even with big reductions in labor costs since 2007, GM and Ford still pay more in wages and benefits than Toyota, Honda and Hyundai, which don’t have unionized workers. Ford’s cost is the highest in Detroit at around $58 per hour, while Toyota’s is $55, according to the Center for Automotive Research. GM and Ford will try to cut costs further in talks this summer, while Chrysler, which has the lowest costs in Detroit, doesn’t want an increase. Still, factory wages and benefits cost the Detroit Three around $20 less an hour per worker than they did four years ago. In the last contract talks, companies got the union to form trust funds to manage the cost of their retirees’ health care. That took a huge cost off Detroit’s books once the companies gave money to the trusts. The union also agreed to lower wages for newly-hired workers, about half the $29 per hour that longtime union workers make. King says Detroit’s costs will fall as more new workers are hired. He says that the union won’t make any more financial concessions, but will look at other ways to cut costs, including health care changes, as long as members aren’t hurt. Al Iacobelli, Chrysler’s chief negotiator, says the company won’t go back to the old formula of pay raises. — Keeping U.S. Jobs: The UAW is eager to boost its ranks with more new hires. Its membership has fallen to 376,612, about a quarter of the 1.5 million it had at its peak in 1979. The companies, though, are reluctant to hire with auto sales and the economy still sputtering. King concedes that reopening plants would have to be justified by increased sales. In past years the spirit of cooperation at the start of talks quickly has turned to nastiness as both sides staked out their positions. But UAW Vice President General Holiefield says this year will be different. “We’ve come through hell and look where we’re at today,” he says. “I don’t see anything as an obstacle.”

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Debt Ceiling Talks Collapse

July 22, 2011

President Barack Obama said Friday night that House Speaker John Boehner was “walking away” from negotiations to raise the nation’s debt ceiling and avert financial catastrophe. Still, Obama said he was expecting congressional leaders from both parties at the White House Saturday morning. In a dramatic appearance in the White House briefing room Obama said it was up to the Republican leaders to explain to him how they intend to avoid the default that is threatened after Aug. 2. “I expect them to have an answer in terms of how they intend to get this thing done in the course of the next week. The American people expect action,” Obama said. Boehner, in a letter circulated to the House Republican rank and file, said he had withdrawn from the talks with Obama because “in the end, we couldn’t connect. He said he would turn instead to negotiations with leaders of the Senate, which is controlled by majority Democrats. The disconnect in the talks with the White House, Boehner said, was “not because of different personalities, but because of different visions for our country. The talks had veered uncertainly for weeks, generating reports as late as Thursday that the two sides were possibly closing in on an agreement to cut $3 trillion in spending and add as much as $1 trillion in possible revenue while increasing the government’s borrowing authority of $2.4 trillion. Check back here for the latest developments. What happens if the U.S. defaults? See the slideshow below.

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Governors Reflect Partisan Divide In Contentious Debate

July 16, 2011

SALT LAKE CITY — Governors nationwide are nervously watching the debt-ceiling debate in Washington, fearing that a partisan impasse could rattle financial markets and slow the economic recoveries they desperately want for their states. Yet many of them are sticking to the same partisan loyalties and talking points that are making it so difficult for President Barack Obama and Republican lawmakers to find a way to avoid a borrowing cutoff, which could force the government to default on some of its bills. In fact, some of the harshest rhetoric was heard this weekend in Salt Lake City, where the National Governors Association is holding its annual meeting. At stake is “the full faith and credit of the United States of America, and we have Republican members of Congress that say `Faith and credit, baloney. We don’t care about that,’” said Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer, a Democrat. He called those lawmakers “the same yahoos who didn’t pay for two wars,” a reference to the Afghanistan and Iraq invasions, which President George W. Bush launched while cutting taxes. Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, said Republicans should be a moderating voice in the debt talks. He criticized House Majority Leader Eric Cantor and “the dinosaur wing of the Republican Party” for adamantly opposing tax increases on the wealthy, which Obama and demands as part of a deficit-reduction package. Republican governors defend their party’s lawmakers. Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad laughed at the notion that “dinosaurs” are heading the GOP effort in Washington. “The dinosaurs are the ones that spent all the money,” he said “This is the new energy.” “I don’t think Eric Cantor and Paul Ryan are out of touch,” Branstad said. “I think they might be a little more bold than most politicians have historically been. But maybe the times call for that.” Ryan, a Wisconsin Republican, chairs the House Budget Committee and authored a major spending plan passed this year by the House. Despite the rhetoric, governors in both parties agreed that failing to problem could gravely injure state economies. Noting that dozens of Chinese political and business officials are attending the governors’ meeting here, Schweitzer said potential investors from Asia and Europe might steer away from Montana and other states if they feel the U.S. government is in fiscal disarray. “The amount of havoc that would be created in the financial markets would make Greece and Portugal and Ireland and Italy look miniscule,” said Connecticut Gov. Dan Malloy, also a Democrat. Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin said the impasse in Washington created uncertainty, which employers hate when deciding whether to expand their businesses. But he said he was not surprised because Washington decisions are usually made based on what will win the next election. “What states are better at doing is courage,” Walker said. “It’s having the courage to make decisions that some might view as more about the next generation than about the next election.” But neither Walker nor other governors here found any fault with specific stands taken by their party in the debt showdown. Branstad strongly defended Cantor’s opposition to new taxes, even if they were to hit only wealthy people. “This anti-wealth rhetoric actually hurts the economy,” Branstad said, “because it makes these people afraid to invest for fear that whatever they make is going to get confiscated.” “Those are the people you want to invest in great jobs,” he said. Branstad, who notes that he has never lost an election in his long career, said Republicans credit much of their 2010 campaign success to a fiercely anti-tax stand. He said voters sent a message last fall: “The last time the Republicans had control of the Congress, they lost their way on spending. And you’d better not do that again.” Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, who strongly considered a presidential bid this year, echoed those remarks, even as he left the door slightly ajar for a possible compromise. “I think a tax increase would be terrible,” said Barbour, who once chaired the national Republican Party. But Republicans might have to grimace and accept a compromise, he said, if they can win deep spending cuts and cost-saving changes to Medicare and Social Security. “At the end of the day,” Barbour said, “you have to look at the whole package.” The governors here differ widely on how that package should be shaped. But to a person, they say they desperately want an end to the debt brinkmanship in Washington. ___ Associated Press writer Josh Loftin contributed to this report.

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Americans Deeply Pessimistic About Economy

July 14, 2011

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Americans are deeply pessimistic about the future as economic concerns rise and White House talks on raising the U.S. debt limit sputter, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Wednesday. The number of Americans who believe the country is on the wrong track rose to 63 percent this month, up from 60 percent in June, with stubbornly high unemployment and prolonged gridlock in Washington dashing hopes of a swift economic recovery. But voters do not appear to be holding President Barack Obama responsible for the problems so far. Obama’s approval rating held relatively steady at 49 percent, down 1 percentage point from June. His approval rating among independents — a group Obama needs to win re-election — fell to 39 percent from 44 percent. Obama’s standing could deteriorate quickly if the economy does not begin to generate jobs and if Washington cannot show it is capable of solving problems, Ipsos pollster Julie Clark said. “If those things don’t happen, Obama will be in for a real challenge in getting re-elected next year,” Clark said. Obama and Republicans have hit an impasse in negotiations to raise America’s borrowing limit before the government runs out of money to pay all of its bills on August 2. That could force the government to try to prioritize its payments. Asked what bills the government should stop paying if the debt limit is not raised, 36 percent listed international creditors like banks and 12 percent listed government departments like agriculture and education. The sputtering economy and high unemployment are certain to dominate the race for the White House in 2012, and the Republican candidates for the nomination to challenge Obama repeatedly have criticized his economic leadership. Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Warren Mosler: A Modern Monetary Theory Approach to Solving Greek Solvency

July 12, 2011

The following is an outline that I proposed for a new Greek government bond issue to provide all required medium term euro funding for Greece on very attractive terms. It is now making the rounds in Europe as an alternative to the French Plan that is currently under serious consideration The new bond issue includes an addition to the default provisions that eliminates the risk of loss to investors. The language added to the default provisions states that while in default, and only in the case of default, these transferable securities can be used directly, by the bearer on demand, at face value plus accrued interest, for payment of any debts, including taxes, owed to the Greek government. By eliminating the risk of loss, Greece will be able to independently fund all required financial obligations in the market place for the foreseeable future. The immediate benefits are both reduced interest costs that substantially contribute to deficit reduction, and the elimination of the need for the funding assistance from the European Union and the IMF. Introduction — Restoring National Sovereignty: Current institutional arrangements have resulted in Greece being faced with escalating interest costs when it attempts to fund itself in the market place, to the point where timely funding is not currently available without external assistance. This requirement for external assistance to avoid default has further resulted in a loss of sovereignty, with the EU and IMF offering funding only on their approval of deficit reduction plans by the Greek government that meet specific requirements. Compliance with these demands from the EU and IMF not only include tax increases, spending cuts, and privatizations, but also include aggressive time lines for achieving their deficit reduction goals. It is also understood by all parties that the immediate near term consequences of these imposed austerity measures will include further slowing of the economy, and rising unemployment. Greece will restore national sovereignty, and regain control of the process of full compliance with the general EU requirements for all member nations, only when it restores its financial independence. Financial independence will allow Greece to again be master of its own destiny, on an equal basis with the other EU members. And the lower interest rate that result(s) from this proposed bond issue will itself be a substantial down payment on the required deficit reduction, easing the requirements for tax increases, spending cuts, and privatizations. While this proposal restores Greek national sovereignty, and eases funding burdens, we recognize that it is only the first step in restoring the Greek economy. Even with funding independence and low interest rates the Greek government still faces a monumental task in bringing Greece into full compliance with EU requirements and restoring economic output and employment. However, it should also be recognized that financial independence and low-cost funding are the critical first steps to long-term success. The Bond Issue — No Risk of Financial Loss : Market based funding at the lowest possible interest rates requires investors who understand there is no ultimate risk of financial loss, and that the promise to pay principal and interest by the issuer is credible. To be credible, a borrower must have the means to meet all contractual euro obligations on a timely basis. For Greece this has meant investors must have the confidence that Greece can generate sufficient revenues through taxing and borrowing to repay its debts. The credit worthiness of any loan begins with the default provisions. While there may be unconditional promises to pay, investors nonetheless value what their rights are in the event the borrower does not pay. Corporate debt often includes rights to specific collateral, priorities in specific revenues, and other credit enhancing support. The new proposed Greek bond issue, with its provision that in the event of default the bonds can be used at face value, plus interest, for the payment of taxes by the bearer on demand, gives the bond holder absolute assurance that full maturity value in euro can always be achieved. And with this absolute assurance that these new securities are necessarily ‘money good’ the ability to refinance is established, which dramatically reduces the risk of the default provisions actually being triggered. And, again, should there be a default event, the investor will still get full value for his investment as the entire euro value of the defaulted securities can be used at any time for the payment of Greek taxes. So while this discussion concerns the case of default, the removal of the risk of loss means there will always be demand for them at near risk-free market interest rates, and that the default discussion is, for all practical purposes, hypothetical. These new Greek government bonds will be of particular interest to banks, which, again, encourages bank ownership, which makes default that much more remote a possibility. This is because, in the case of default, a bank holding any of these defaulted securities will be able to use them for payment of taxes on behalf of bank clients (using that bank for payment of their taxes). Under these circumstances, a bank depositor client making payment of euro would, in effect, simultaneously buy the defaulted securities from the bank and use them to pay the Greek government taxes due. Again, the fact that the bank would be fully paid for, its defaulted securities in the process of depositors paying their taxes means there will be no default in the first place, as these favorable consequences mean there will be continuous demand for new securities of this type at competitive market interest rates, to facilitate all Greek refinancing requirements. The new ‘money good’ Greek bonds will be attractive to all global investors, both private and public. This will include international banks, insurance companies, pension funds, and other private investors, as well as sovereign wealth funds and foreign central banks which are accumulating euro reserves. Fiscal Responsibility: As a member in good standing of the European Union, Greece, like all the member nations, is required to be in full compliance of all EU requirements. Therefore, while this proposal will restore national sovereignty, financial independence, and lower interest rates for Greece, austerity measures will continue to be required to bring Greece into EU compliance. However, Greece will gain substantial flexibility with regard to timing and other specific detail, and will be able to work to achieve its goals in an organized, orderly manner, without the continued pressures of default risk and without the specific terms and conditions currently being demanded by the EU and the IMF. Nor will the ECB be required to buy Greek bonds in the market place, obviating those demands as well.

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Recovery Derailed: June Jobs Report Stokes Fears Of Return To Recession

July 8, 2011

This story was reported in collaboration with our partners at Patch.com Two years after the official end of the Great Recession, much of the country has yet to feel a sense of meaningful recovery. Friday’s unexpectedly grim government report on the state of the American job market deepened fears that genuine economic revival could yet be a long way off. Economists had anticipated the report would show about 120,000 private sector jobs added to the economy in June — barely enough to keep pace with population growth. Instead, the gain was a paltry 18,000 net jobs, as the unemployment rate climbed from 9.1 percent to 9.2 percent. The report was so uniformly discouraging that it dislodged optimism that recent expansion in manufacturing and a modest rise in housing prices might presage the return of vigorous economic growth. Instead, negative sentiments that have hovered over the economy for more than three years intensified. “The signs of growth that we did have are deteriorating,” said Heidi Shierholz, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute in Washington. “We are backsliding. The chances are that we go into another recession or we muddle along at technical growth, but actually making no improvements as far as Main Street goes. The chance of one of those things happening is extremely high.” Across much of the United States, ordinary people expressed similarly gloomy thoughts — the Labor Department report merely provided official affirmation to the reality that jobs are scarce. “I’ve had nightmares about my family living on the street,” said Said Nasser , a 40-year-old father of five in Dearborn, Mich., who has been without work since early 2009, when he lost his job as a recruiter for a temporary employment firm that folded. “It feels bad not to be working, because it’s hard on my family, and I feel like it’s been really stressful for them, too. My wife has also looked for work and she hasn’t been able to find anything either. I’m praying every day that something comes up.” In Doswell, Va., about an hour’s drive north of Richmond, N. David Cooper, 56, has been losing hope he will ever regain his former middle class life. He has been out of work for more than a year. He expressed dismay that job creation seems to be a low priority among the political set. “I feel washed out from the statistics, in terms of not being heard,” he said, “in terms of the energy that it has taken for me to keep trying to find work. I don’t feel like I’m even on the radar screen in Washington.” Only two years ago, Cooper spent part of his day helping other people find their way: He served as the executive director of a faith-based non-profit agency that delivered job training and housing programs, a position that paid more than $60,000 a year. Even after he lost his job in late 2009, in the midst of the recession, Cooper felt confident that he would quickly find another. He holds multiple degrees — a Master’s in divinity and social work, and a graduate certificate in non-profit management. He had access to a large network of colleagues. In nearly three decades of working life, he had been laid off only once, in 1997, and had quickly found his way back to the ranks of the employed. But even after submitting 273 job applications, by his count, and despite embracing networking as a full-time vocation, Cooper remains unemployed. He and his wife have cut back on all luxury expenses. They never go out to eat, he says, and he worries that they may soon need to rely on food stamps. He is contemplating swallowing his pride and shelving his dream of doing work he finds meaningful to apply for a position at a nearby restaurant. “We’re at the point now where my unemployment benefits are going to expire,” he said. “I just don’t see any other options.” Friday’s jobs report underscored Cooper’s feeling that few fresh employment options appear on the way. Employers have apparently become so accustomed to running companies with lean payrolls, that the practice has become entrenched in American business — particularly amid data showing that consumers remain saturated with debt and unwilling to spend. “Today, companies are producing more goods and services than ever before,” said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at The Economic Outlook Group, a forecasting and research firm. “The economy is able to do that with 7 million fewer workers. If we can do so much with so much less, where is the incentive to hire?” Given that many employers have fresh memories of having to lay people off, some are reluctant to hire anew, for fear they would again have to cut people loose if the economy failed to improve. “They’re being cautious about their hiring,” said Claire Louder, president and chief executive of the West Anne Arundel County Chamber of Commerce in Odenton, Md., a suburb perched between Washington, D.C., and Baltimore. She added that many companies now feel the need to sit on larger amounts of cash because credit lines and loans are hard to secure, sidelining money that might have been used to hire workers. That spells little relief for the 6.3 million Americans who have officially been out of work for six months or longer, and for whom gloomy outlooks are becoming the new normal. The average duration of unemployment reached 39.9 weeks in June, a new record. At the same time, growing numbers of would-be employees have been giving up, joining the ranks of so-called discouraged workers. In Long Branch, N.J., Rob Attanasio has been looking for a job in Web design to replace the job he lost more than a year ago. “I send out 50 to 60 resumes a week,” he said. “Nobody ever gets back to you.” Companies are “putting jobs out there,” he added, “but they are not hiring.” Even those who remain employed have been absorbing the troubling economic realities and wondering how long they can hang on to their paychecks. A new survey from Glassdoor.com — an online career and workplace community — finds that employees are now as pessimistic about their prospects of gaining raises and as worried about losing their jobs as they were during 2008 and 2009, the worst years of the recession. “The American employee has been shaken up pretty badly in the last couple of the years,” said Rusty Rueff, a Glassdoor career and workplace expert. “What we’re seeing here is a sort of settling into the reality of where things are — maybe not holding out as much hope as they once held out that there’s going to be a big recovery, and all of it is going to come back. Instead, people are looking around and saying, ‘Maybe this is going to be what it’s going to be.’” In recent weeks, some economists have expressed tempered hopes that things were getting better. Manufacturing picked up in June for the first time in four months, and fresh data showed a glimmer of hope for the housing market, with home prices in major cities rising for the first time in eight months. New claims for unemployment benefits declined, gas prices fell, and auto makers cranked up production. But other forces have continued to be a drag on the economy. A massive pipeline of foreclosed homes awaits processing, meaning lots of additional distressed inventory eventually landing on the housing market. Fears of a Greek debt default persist, along with concerns that a slowdown in Chinese growth could ripple across the globe. These factors increase economists’ concerns that weak employment could be a trend with staying power. If businesses aren’t hiring and employees are worried, that weighs on the overall economy: Consumer spending makes up some 70 percent of American economic activity, but amid tighter credit conditions, people need wages to spend money. Friday’s jobs report did not to assuage concerns that a long period of stagnation could be at hand. “I have had more emotional and psychological ups and downs than I want to count,” said Fran Hopkins, a resident of Cedar Grove, N.J., who has been out of work for a year and a half (and who writes a blog for the Maplewood Patch ). “Your hope soars when you snag a job interview; then it’s dashed when there’s no job offer. Repeat this over and over again and you start to feel like it’s better not to get your hopes up.” Queens, N.Y., residents Marie Kadin and MaryAnn Minore were both laid off from a DHL distribution center in April, and now struggle to compete against younger workers in the job market. “It’s very hard when you’re over 60,” Kadin said. “Nobody wants us. We’ve just been leaving resumes, that’s it. You get no reply.” “It’s like you’re an outcast,” Minore added. RELATED: Read our full report on Americans who drop out of the labor force.

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Top White House Adviser: ‘This Is Not A Double Dip’

July 8, 2011

The U.S. economy is not facing a double-dip recession, but weak job growth is “a call to arms” for policymakers to take steps to reinvigorate the private sector, a top White House adviser said on Friday. “This is not a double dip,” Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Austan Goolsbee told Reuters Insider after the government report showed the economy created only 18,000 jobs in June. “This is a reflection and reiteration that the growth rate slowed at the beginning of this year.” “This should be a call to action,” he added. “We need to take bipartisan action to help the private sector stand up and start growing, hiring and investing,” Goolsbee said. He cited steps from passing free trade agreements to securing a deal on long-term deficit reduction. (Reporting by Tim Ahmann; Editing by Padraic Cassidy) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Bloomberg Businessweek (Accidentally?) Makes It Clear That Warren Critics Are Primarily Animated By Sexism

July 7, 2011

I’m going to generously assume that the weird, critical, slam-book-style bubbles that dot the cover of the July 11-17 issue of Bloomberg Businessweek , touting an Elizabeth Warren cover story, are simply an interpretaive way of sending up Warren’s myopic critics, and not the magazine itself commenting on a woman whose most fervent desire is for ordinary Americans to have intelligible loan and credit-card agreements. All the same, seeing Warren’s picture dotted with epithets like “smug” and “entitled” and “know-it-all” causes a tiny secretion of bile to churn in my bowels. Ask a woman what the barb “know-it-all” means to her, and I’m guessing you’ll hear back something like, “It means I kept using my brain even after no one wanted to fuck me anymore” — to bastardize a line from Tina Fey . Beyond that, the only thing I’d point out is that within that coterie of “acceptable Beltway economic opinion-havers,” there is smugness and entitlement in abundance . If the raw power of the smugness contained in a single Robert Rubin smirk were unleashed, it would collapse our entire galaxy. In fact, many of the snipe-goops drizzled on Warren’s cover would make a lot more sense on this one: You know that the photographer didn’t ask those three, “Give me your best smug poses.” They just did what came naturally! Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com — learn more about our media monitoring project here .

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Men Account For Most Job Growth During Recovery, While Women Suffer

July 7, 2011

The recession, famously, hit men hard. It was dubbed the ” mancession ,” with male-dominated industries, like construction and manufacturing, among those shedding the most jobs. The gap in the unemployment rate between men and women grew to a 60-year high . Between December 2007 and June 2009, the official duration of the recession, 6.4 million jobs disappeared, and 74 percent of them were held by men. Now, though, it’s women who are losing out on the recovery. An extensive study from Pew Research, released Wednesday, shows that in the past two years, men have added 768,000 jobs, while women have lost 218,000. In 15 out of 16 economic sectors, men have done better than women in the recovery. Since June 2009, there have been five sectors — including finance, manufacturing, and the federal government — where men gained jobs and women lost them. In five others — among them education and health services, and leisure and hospitality — men gained jobs at a faster rate than women. And in another five sectors, including construction, information, and local government, women lost jobs at a faster rate than men. There was just one sector, state government, where women gained jobs while men lost them. The findings of the Pew report may not come as a complete surprise to some. In January of this year, the economist Heather Boushey noted at Slate that men had far outpaced women in terms of 2010 job growth. “In total throughout 2010,” Boushey wrote , “men gained slightly more than a million jobs, while women gained a paltry 149,000.” The Pew study observes that recoveries don’t usually happen like this. In five periods of recovery since 1970, women either gained jobs faster than men or incurred fewer job losses. The report adds that the current recovery “is the first since 1970 in which women have lost jobs even as men have gained them,” but that “it is not entirely clear why.” Since 2009, men have gained ground in a number of industries. For example, The Washington Post points out that men account for 39 percent of new jobs in health care and education since 2009, even though they’d only held about 23 percent of jobs in those sectors before the recovery. Overall, according the the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate is currently 9.5 percent for men and 8.5 percent for women, similar to pre-recession rates, according to the Post . The national unemployment rate is 9.1 percent .

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China Considers Allowing U.S. Regulators To Probe Mainland Firms

July 6, 2011

NEW YORK (Clare Baldwin and Nanette Byrnes) – U.S. regulators, reeling from a series of scandals over U.S.-listed Chinese companies, will head to Beijing to discuss launching audit inspections while regulators in Canada announced a probe of foreign issuers. U.S. audit watchdog PCAOB and the SEC confirmed they would send a delegation to talk to authorities in Beijing about the oversight of China-based auditors. Neither said when the meetings would take place, but Bloomberg News reported from Beijing they would take place on July 11 and 12. Meanwhile, the Ontario Securities Commission on Tuesday said it would review companies listed on Canadian exchanges with significant business operations in emerging markets. It said it would focus on the roles played by auditors and underwriters and would take enforcement actions as needed. Concern about Chinese companies has risen in the United States and Canada where stocks have been de-listed, trading has stopped, share prices have collapsed, auditors have resigned and regulatory probes have been launched. The U.S. delegation is expected to include representatives from the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) and the Securities and Exchange Commission, including representation from the SEC’s Office of the Chief Accountant, PCAOB board member Lewis Ferguson said late last month. Talks will focus on the audit oversight process with the expectation a system will be established for inspecting Chinese audit firms handling U.S. listings by the end of the year, a PCAOB spokeswoman confirmed by email at the same time. Colleen Brennan, the PCAOB’s top spokeswoman, said on Tuesday by email that progress had been made following a meeting of the PCAOB and the China Securities Regulatory Commission during the recent U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue. “Both sides have agreed to accelerate efforts, including undertaking a process for negotiations and engaging in technical assistance activities, to reach a bilateral agreement governing cross-border audit oversight,” she said. NOT ONLY CHINA The PCAOB is considering requiring U.S. auditors who rely on the work of affiliated firms to disclose the names of those firms and whether they are open for inspection by the PCAOB, Ferguson said at a Practicing Law Institute event in New York last month. Companies looking to list on U.S. exchanges are required to have their books audited by a firm registered with the PCAOB and inspected by it on a regular basis. But some companies have been using China-based auditors and China does not currently allow the PCAOB to inspect the work of those firms. According to the PCAOB, 28 Hong Kong and China-based firms which are not inspected by the board audited financial statements filed with the SEC by 230 U.S. public companies in 2009 and 2010. China is not the only country that forbids PCAOB inspections, but its ban has attracted extra scrutiny amid widespread allegations of accounting fraud, especially from a vociferous group of short sellers who have been publishing reports to back up their allegations of shenanigans. The accusations began with smaller companies that went public in the United States by merging with already-listed U.S. shell companies, but have grown to include companies such as Longtop Financial Technologies Ltd that became public through an IPO, and larger companies like Sino-Forest Corp, whose meltdown garnered significant criticism for Canadian regulators. There is no existing agreement between U.S. and Chinese regulators but Ferguson said he was hopeful they would reach one. The ultimate goal of the discussions was inspection access in China, he said, adding that this trip would be a “confidence-building exercise.” In other countries, the PCAOB has pursued joint inspections with local regulators. Recently the board gained the right to inspect auditors based in Britain and Switzerland. (Reporting by Clare Baldwin, Dena Aubin and Nanette Byrnes, additional reporting by Euan Rocha; Editing by Howard Goller, Matthew Lewis and Tim Dobbyn) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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UK Vulnerable To Greece Debt Crisis

July 6, 2011

As financial markets brace for the possibility of a Greek debt default, economic officials here are sketching out doomsday scenarios in a grim acknowledgment that even the world’s strongest economies are vulnerable. With Greece shelling out record interest rates, and with some frustrated investors pushing for a default , economists fear that the collateral damage from a credit event could reach these shores. By virtue of our connections to institutions throughout Europe and our reliance on credit, British banks bear heavy indirect exposure to Greece, setting them up for significant losses if the currently perilous Greek debt situation were to evolve into a full-blown crisis, the UK central bank said in a news conference late last month. No one, in other words, is immune. “It’s this issue of interconnectedness in the financial system that policymakers are so worried about,” said Richard Barwell, a London-based economist at Royal Bank of Scotland. “It’s difficult for anyone to be convinced their balance sheet is secure unless they know that the people they’ve lent to, and the people that they’ve lent to, all their sheets are secure, too.” “At the end of the day,” he added, “that’s how you can get those cascades of defaults.” After European finance ministers approved the latest installment of Greece’s bailout package Saturday, concerns remained about the troubled nation’s ability to repay its mounting debt, which is projected to total 160 percent of the country’s economic output this year. For many investors and economists, the question isn’t whether Greece will default, but when. The emergency aid extended to Greece is widely seen as a time-buying measure, and not a long-term solution. Greece likely cannot service its debt on its own, with its 10-year paper yielding nearly 16.5 percent, and its two-year debt throwing off more than 26 percent, according to Bloomberg data. But efforts to hammer out a longer-term fix have been stymied. French President Nicolas Sarkozy outlined a plan last week for banks to stretch their short-term Greek debt into long-term bonds, offering Greece some interest-rate relief. But such a plan would impose losses on creditors and would constitute a default, the ratings agency Standard & Poor’s said Monday. If a default were to spark a broader crisis, weaknesses among Greece’s immediate creditors could quickly spread. “If UK banks are exposed to banks in France which are themselves exposed to a bank in Germany, which is then exposed to Greece, that’s another indirect exposure,” said Mervyn King , governor of the Bank of England, during the news conference. “There’s an infinite regress here.” The direct exposure of UK banks to Greece was relatively small at the end of 2010, at about £12 billion at the time, according to the latest figures from the Bank for International Settlements . But indirect exposure potentially dwarfs that figure. If significant damage were to spread other countries’ private sectors, UK banks could face severe strains, suggests a June report from the Bank of England. The banking sector’s claims on the non-bank private sectors of Spain and Ireland combined constitute about half of those banks’ so-called Tier 1 capital, the money banks set aside to cushion against losses, according to the report. As for UK banks’ claims on France and Germany, those together represent about 130 percent of Tier 1 capital, the report says. “You just don’t know all the interbank connections,” said John Whittaker, an economist at Lancaster University Management School. “It’s like when Lehman went down. Nobody knew who was indebted by how much to who else.” The years after the financial crisis have seen a host of weak European banks become even weaker. Now, the credit ratings on Europe’s 100 largest banks span the widest range in 30 years, according to S&P, the Bank of England said. Calculating the total magnitude of the UK’s exposure to a broader meltdown is impossible, King said. Moreover, any crisis would likely be worsened by a broader loss of confidence, affecting a range of institutions, he added. Creditors would flee and markets would likely freeze, heaping pain on beleaguered governments. “There’s a risk that if something went wrong, you may get a drying of liquidity more generally,” said Simon Hayes, chief economist at Barclays Capital. Or put another way, creditors might decide they “simply don’t understand the complexity of the interconnectiveness of these exposures, and just won’t take the risk of lending,” King said at the June 24 news conference. Such a panic would likely affect the world’s strongest economies. If the crisis spreads here, it would likely also touch the United States, said Barwell, the RBS economist. “The price of a whole range of risk assets would fall,” he said. “There are these huge channels that certainly come into play, which won’t get captured by the simple numbers.”

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U.S. Recovery’s 2-Year Anniversary Arrives With Little To Celebrate

July 1, 2011

WASHINGTON (AP) — This is one anniversary few feel like celebrating. Two years after economists say the Great Recession ended, the recovery has been the weakest and most lopsided of any since the 1930s. After previous recessions, people in all income groups tended to benefit. This time, ordinary Americans are struggling with job insecurity, too much debt and pay raises that haven’t kept up with prices at the grocery store and gas station. The economy’s meager gains are going mostly to the wealthiest. Workers’ wages and benefits make up 57.5 percent of the economy, an all-time low. Until the mid-2000s, that figure had been remarkably stable — about 64 percent through boom and bust alike. Executive pay is included in this figure, but rank-and-file workers are far more dependent on regular wages and benefits. A big chunk of the economy’s gains has gone to investors in the form of higher corporate profits. “The spoils have really gone to capital, to the shareholders,” says David Rosenberg, chief economist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates in Toronto. Corporate profits are up by almost half since the recession ended in June 2009. In the first two years after the recessions of 1991 and 2001, profits rose 11 percent and 28 percent, respectively. And an Associated Press analysis found that the typical CEO of a major company earned $9 million last year, up a fourth from 2009. Driven by higher profits, the Dow Jones industrial average has staged a breathtaking 90 percent rally since bottoming at 6,547 on March 9, 2009. Those stock market gains go disproportionately to the wealthiest 10 percent of Americans, who own more than 80 percent of outstanding stock, according to an analysis by Edward Wolff, an economist at Bard College. But if the Great Recession is long gone from Wall Street and corporate boardrooms, it lingers on Main Street: — Unemployment has never been so high — 9.1 percent — this long after any recession since World War II. At the same point after the previous three recessions, unemployment averaged just 6.8 percent. — The average worker’s hourly wages, after accounting for inflation, were 1.6 percent lower in May than a year earlier. Rising gasoline and food prices have devoured any pay raises for most Americans. — The jobs that are being created pay less than the ones that vanished in the recession. Higher-paying jobs in the private sector, the ones that pay roughly $19 to $31 an hour, made up 40 percent of the jobs lost from January 2008 to February 2010 but only 27 percent of the jobs created since then. Kathleen Terry is one of those who had to settle for less. Before the recession, she spent 16 years working as a mortgage processor in Southern California, earning as much as $6,500 in a good month, a pace of about $78,000 a year. But her employer was buried in the housing crash. She found herself out of work for two and a half years. As her savings dwindled, the single mother had to move into a motel with her three daughters. They got by on welfare and help from their church and friends. Terry started taking a 90-minute bus ride to job training courses. Eventually, she found work as a secretary in the Riverside County, Calif., employment office. She likes the job, but earns just $27,000 a year. “It’s a humbling experience,” she says. Hard times have made Americans more dependent than ever on social programs, which accounted for a record 18 percent of personal income in the last three months of 2010 before coming down a bit this year. Almost 45 million Americans are on food stamps, another record. Ordinary Americans are suffering because of the way the economy ran into trouble and how companies responded when the Great Recession hit. Soaring housing prices in the mid-2000s made millions of Americans feel wealthier than they were. They borrowed against the inflated equity in their homes or traded up to bigger, more expensive houses. Their debts as a percentage of their annual after-tax income rose to a record 135 percent in 2007. Then housing prices started tumbling, helping cause a financial crisis in the fall of 2008. A recession that had begun in December 2007 turned into the deepest downturn since the Great Depression. Economists Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard University and Carmen Reinhart of the Peterson Institute for International Economics analyzed eight centuries of financial disasters around the world for their 2009 book “This Time Is Different.” They found that severe financial crises create deep recessions and stunt the recoveries that follow. This recovery “is absolutely following the script,” Rogoff says. Federal Reserve numbers crunched by Haver Analytics suggest that Americans have a long way to go before their finances will be strong enough to support robust spending: Despite cutting what they owe the past three years, the average household’s debts equal 119 percent of annual after-tax income. At the same point after the 1981-82 recession, debts were at 66 percent; after the 1990-91 recession, 85 percent; and after the 2001 recession, 114 percent. Because the labor market remains so weak, most workers can’t demand bigger raises or look for better jobs. “In an economic cycle that is turning up, a labor market that is healthy and vibrant, you’d see a large number of people quitting their jobs,” says Gluskin Sheff economist Rosenberg. “They quit because the grass is greener somewhere else.” Instead, workers are toughing it out, thankful they have jobs at all. Just 1.7 million workers have quit their job each month this year, down from 2.8 million a month in 2007. The toll of all this shows in consumer confidence, a measure of how good people feel about the economy. According to the Conference Board’s index, it’s at 58.5. Healthy is more like 90. By this point after the past three recessions, it was an average of 87. How gloomy are Americans? A USA Today/Gallup poll eight weeks ago found that 55 percent think the recession continues, even if the experts say it’s been over for two years. That includes the 29 percent who go even further — they say it feels more like a depression.

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JPMorgan: Tax Holiday Would Pack ‘Bigger Punch’ Than Fed Policies

June 30, 2011

JPMorgan would really, really like a tax repatriation holiday. The company released a report this Monday in which it asserted that a repatriation holiday — a one-off occasion where companies could bring overseas earnings into the U.S. at dramatically reduced taxation rates — could carry “a bigger punch than QE.” QE refers to quantitative easing , the Federal Reserve’s long-running program of asset purchases intended to stimulate the economy. The latest round of quantitative easing, known as QE2, came to an end on Thursday. During QE2, the Fed spent eight months buying up $600 billion in long-term Treasury securities. The strategy has received mixed reviews , especially as it comes to an end. According to Thomas Lee, chief U.S. equity strategist at JPMorgan and author of Monday’s report, a tax repatriation holiday would do a comparable amount of good for markets and the economy in general. Lee’s report estimated that companies could have as much as $1.4 trillion parked overseas, and that they might bring between $500 billion and $1 trillion into the U.S. if Congress passes a proposal allowing business to repatriate cash at a 5.25 percent tax rate, rather than the standard 35 percent. “In our view, this carries greater positive implications for equities compared to QE,” Lee writes. “In other words, from a market’s perspective, this likely represents a substantial catalyst.” However, Lee’s findings stand in marked contrast to another report issued by JPMorgan in May. That release, compiled by JPMorgan researchers, concluded that even if a tax holiday is passed, most of the money would likely be reinvested overseas. In other words, it “would not result in a flood of repatriation,” according to CNBC . JPMorgan is far from the only major corporation to call for a repatriation holiday recently. In mid-June, advocates at a corporate conference in Washington, D.C. referred to the proposed repatriation holiday as “ the next stimulus .” JPMorgan recently agreed to a $153.6 million settlement with the Securities and Exchange Commission regarding allegations that it misled investors about a mortgage securities transaction.

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Men Charged With Transporting Prostitutes To Vermont Farms

June 30, 2011

BRATTLEBORO, Vt – Federal prosecutors have charged two men with transporting several Hispanic women from New York to Vermont to have sex with farm workers. Alejandro Enrique Young-Hernandez, 53, of Hyde Park, Vermont, appeared Wednesday in U.S. District Court in Burlington on a conspiracy charge of intent to have the women, most in their early to mid-twenties, engage in prostitution at various farms, Assistant U.S. Attorney Heather Ross said on Thursday. According to the criminal complaint, Young-Hernandez, also known as Alex Young, met a Mexican man in October named Jose Tomas Flores-Rocha, also 53, who prosecutors said was in the country unlawfully. Prosecutors alleged that the men began working together to arrange so-called “tricks” for Vermont farm workers at $60 per sexual act, with Flores-Rocha bringing the handful of women from New York for that purpose. Flores-Rocha was arrested near a farm in Vermont on March 16 while traveling with a female illegal alien from Mexico who was working as a prostitute. Prosecutors said he also had a ledger with clients’ and prostitutes’ names, farm addresses, and dates and times of services rendered. Flores-Rocha pleaded guilty on June 14 to transporting the Mexican woman for prostitution and as part of a plea, admitted to having driven more than five women to Vermont for that purpose. He agreed to serve 18 months in jail, with his sentencing set for October 18. U.S. Magistrate Judge John Conroy set Young-Hernandez next court appearance for July 18. If convicted, Young-Hernandez faces up to 10 years imprisonment and a fine of up to $250,000. (Reporting by Zach Howard; Editing by Chris Michaud and Greg McCune) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Underemployed College Graduates Less Likely To Be Happy

June 29, 2011

With unemployment at 9.1 percent , and the broader underemployment rate at 15.8 percent , a Gallup poll released Wednesday suggests that higher-educated Americans are taking it hardest. The poll found that Americans who had earned a college or postgraduate degree, and who were unemployed or working fewer hours than they’d like, were less likely to report satisfaction with their lives than people in similar employment situations who hadn’t finished college. Gallup used a metric called the Cantril Self-Anchoring Striving Scale , which asks respondents to rate their current level of contentedness from one to ten, and to predict what level they’d be at in five years. Based on their answers, survey respondents are separated into categories of “thriving,” “struggling,” and “suffering.” Wednesday’s poll found that only 50 percent of underemployed Americans with a college degree fell into the “thriving” category, compared with 67 percent of college graduates who were employed to their satisfaction — in other words, people who had full-time jobs, or who had part-time jobs but weren’t looking for full-time work. Gallup notes this is a 17-point difference. Among underemployed Americans with postgraduate degrees, 54 percent could be classed as “thriving.” For employed Americans with postgraduate degrees, the number climbed to 71 percent — another 17-point difference. By contrast, 41 percent of underemployed Americans with a high school degree or less, and 51 percent of employed Americans at the same education level, could be considered “thriving.” That’s only a 10-point difference, leading Gallup’s Elizabeth Mendes to conclude: The findings suggest that there is something about having achieved a higher level of education and about being mid- to late-career age that allows underemployment to have a more significant effect on on one’s life. The poll dovetails with other Gallup findings about the relationship between mental health and unemployment or underemployment. Earlier this month, a Gallup survey found that underemployed Americans were 15 percent less likely to be “thriving” than those who were employed. A March 2010 Gallup poll found a 19-point difference for the same question among the two groups . But, in fact, there’s a body of research that suggests that those with college degrees are just naturally more prone to dissatisfaction, not less. In February 2010, Richard Florida at the University of Toronto found a fairly strong correlation between happiness and higher education in some metropolitan areas. The Cantril scale shows up often in Gallup polls, including a widely publicized survey of the world’s happiest countries , which appeared in April. It’s based on the work of Hadley Cantril, a researcher who set forth the idea for the scale in his 1965 book The Pattern of Human Concerns . In 2003, an article in the journal Health and Quality of Life Outcomes suggested the Cantril scale had been developed with “extensive attention to diversity and individual perspective.”

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New Plan To Cut Medicare Gets Cold Reception, But Could Survive

June 28, 2011

WASHINGTON — A new plan unveiled by Sens. Joe Lieberman and Tom Coburn to slash costs in Medicare is getting a cold reception on Capitol Hill. The new effort aimed at bridging the partisan divide over debt reduction aims to cut more than $640 billion from Medicare over the next 10 years, largely by raising deductibles and other costs for beneficiaries. It would require wealthier Americans to pay the full cost of their Medicare premiums, raise the eligibility age to from 65 to 67, create a minimum out-of-pocket deductible of $550 and raise premiums, among other changes. In return for paying more and giving up benefits, seniors would get a cap on out-of-pocket expenses at $7,500 to ensure bankruptcy was less of a threat. Democrats dismissed the ideas out of hand. “It is unfair to ask seniors to get less in benefits and wait longer to get onto Medicare — all while Republicans back tax breaks for Big Oil and corporations that ship American jobs overseas,” said House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) “Just like the Republican plan to end Medicare, this proposal is unacceptable, especially for struggling middle-class Americans.” Republicans did not exactly flock to the idea either. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell merely said the work by the Connecticut independent Lieberman and Oklahoma Republican Coburn underscores “the necessity of doing something serious about entitlement reform.” “We can put our heads in the sand and ignore that, and keep on kicking the can down the road, or we can come together as Sen. Coburn and Sen. Lieberman have with their particular proposal and try to do something about it,” McConnell added. Although the plan met such a chilly reception, reports out of the White House Tuesday suggested President Obama is hunting for a fresh option to trim Medicare costs — a key part of the debt talks — and thinking a lot larger than Democrats have been willing talk about so far. If Republicans agree to revenue hikes President Obama wants, the Lieberman-Coburn plan could offer a bipartisan refuge. But there are political realities that would make it a hard proposition for either side to embrace. For one, Democrats likely would have to give up their relentless hammering of the Republican plans to cut Medicare — which the Democrat-aligned Protect Your Care signled Tuesday it was not about to do. “A plan that slashes Medicare for vulnerable seniors is a plan that slashes Medicare for vulnerable seniors no matter what co-sponsors you put on it,” said Protect Your Care spokesman Eddie Vale. “This so called ‘plan’ is just as dangerous for seniors as the Republican budget that ends Medicare.” For Republicans, accepting the plan would also be difficult because a huge portion of the savings depend on maintaining the health reform law that they have vowed to repeal. “It’s miraculous in a way, because this legislation gets a Republican to embrace ACA [the Affordable Care Act],” one health care lobbyist told The Huffington Post. If the heath reform were repealed, the Lieberman-Coburn measure requires keeping the eligibility age at 65 — costing $124 billion. The ideas are also not likely to go over well with older Americans, who would have to pay 35 percent of the cost of the premiums, instead of 25 percent. Plus, the plan aims to discourage people from going to doctors by raising deductibles. While the plan would also raise money by making wealthier Americans pay 100 percent of their premium costs — and by denying some payments to hospitals — the vast majority of savings come from the pockets of beneficiaries. The bill contains few of the popular cost-saving ideas that many advocates for reform have embraced, such as improving efficiency, allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices and using generics. AARP, the influential lobby for older Americans, estimated that 95 percent of the savings come from seniors. And while the group liked capping the maximum out-of-pocket expenses, and an effort to stabilize payments to doctors, they opposed it overall. “We believe the right way to strengthen Medicare is to improve the quality and lower the cost of care throughout the health care system,” said AARP’s Nancy LeaMond. “Simply shifting the bill to seniors does nothing to improve health care quality or combat the real problem of rising costs.”

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Nearly Half of Americans Exempt From Federal Income Tax

June 28, 2011

Nearly half of American tax filers will pay no federal income taxes this year, according to data released by the Tax Policy Center . Some 76 million tax filers, or 46.4 percent of the total, will be exempt from federal income tax in 2011. But with the help of the government, a similar percentage of filers — many of them among the bottom 40 percent of earners — have legally avoided paying federal income tax for the past several years. More than half the filers exempt from federal income tax in 2011 are in the lowest income quintile, meaning they make less than 80 percent of the country. As Bruce Bartlett at The New York Times notes, those in the bottom quintile have incomes of less than $16,812 . There are 40.7 million nonpayers in this group — about 93.3 percent of the quintile, and 53.6 percent of all nonpayers overall. Nonpayers are well represented in the second-lowest quintile, as well: That group includes 22.2 million filers who won’t pay federal income taxes this year. This is 60.3 percent of the quintile and 29.2 percent of the total number of nonpayers. The phenomenon of low-earning Americans escaping the federal income tax burden isn’t a new one. In 2002, The Wall Street Journal coined the term “lucky duckies” to describe people who were exempt from income tax because they didn’t make enough money. That phrase, unfortunately for the WSJ , attracted no end of ridicule, from the NYT , The New Republic , and elsewhere. “Had the editors ever met a person of little means?” wondered Farhad Majoo at Salon . “Did they realize that being poor, while perhaps an attractive tax shelter, tended to come with such hard-to-bear downsides as not knowing where your next meal will come from?” In most cases, tax filers who don’t pay federal income tax are still on the hook for other taxes. They can still be responsible for payroll taxes, withheld from their paychecks, and for excise taxes on gasoline, tobacco, alcohol, and other goods. And they may have to pay income tax at the state or local level. Many filers exempt from federal income tax are the beneficiaries of programs aimed at helping the working poor. At the NYT , Bruce Bartlett points out that between 2000 and 2008, during the presidency of George W. Bush, the percentage of filers who paid no federal income tax rose from 25.2 percent to 36.3 percent. During this time, Bartlett says, Republicans added a significant child credit to the tax code, resulting in a rise in nonpayers. In fact, the number of filers paying no federal income tax has hovered between 40 and 50 percent for the past several years. In 2010, 45 percent of households paid no federal income tax , according to the Tax Policy Center. In 2009, it was about 47 percent . In 2008, 49 percent were exempt from federal income tax. All in all, according to the Tax Policy Center, there will be 76 million nonpaying “tax units” in 2011. The Center defines a tax unit as “an individual, or a married couple who file a tax return jointly, along with all dependents of that individual or married couple.” And not all of those tax units represent the working class. Nine million nonpayers, or 12.8 percent of the total, are in the middle income quintile. Another 1.9 million — 2.6 percent of the total — are in the second-highest quintile, and some 443,000, or 0.6 percent of the total, are in the top quintile. The Tax Policy Center breaks down that last number a bit further : There are 78,000 non-paying units in the top 95th to 99th income percentile, 24,000 in the top 1 percentile, and 3,000 in the top tenth of a percentile. This group has a nickname, too: they’re the HINTs, for high income, no taxes . These might be people who get their income from tax-exempt bonds or overseas sources , as CNN reported last year. Or they might be people who have incurred losses from partnerships or S Corporations. Or people who have run up “extraordinary” medical or dental bills. As The Fiscal Times noted in December, these are other ways to realize one’s HINT status . And as The Fiscal Times notes, they’re all “perfectly legal.”

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Democrats Slam GOP As ‘Clueless’ On Debt

June 28, 2011

WASHINGTON — Republicans are clueless about the economic devastation they are courting with brinksmanship over raising the nation’s debt limit, Democrats charged Tuesday. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) leveled the charge in his floor speech Tuesday morning, and his office followed with a press release pointing to a list of influential business leaders and economists who warn that the U.S. government’s failure to pay its bills would spark a new financial catastrophe. “Failure to avert this crisis would have dire consequences,” Reid said. “It would result in the most serious financial crisis this country has ever faced. Millions of Americans could lose their jobs. Social Security checks could stop. So could paychecks to our troops.” Reid argued that the GOP was willing to risk those financial hardships in order to protect subsidies for the oil industry and tax breaks for corporate jets. Soon after he fired that broadside, Reid’s policy shop pointed to a Tuesday morning discussion between MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough and two top Republicans — presidential contender Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota, and Republican Party Chairman Reince Preibus. Pawlenty and Preibus had said they did not know what to expect from a default: Scarborough : What’s the impact if it’s not raised? Pawlenty : Well, we don’t know that. Scarborough : Well, I don’t know what’s going to happen to me if I jump off a cliff. But I think I’ll go splat. Preibus had a similar view: Scarborough : What do you believe, though? Do you believe that if we don’t raise the debt ceiling the economy will just keep chugging along normally or do you believe it will cause a financial crisis? Preibus : You know, I don’t know, because we’ve never been there before, Joe. Reid’s team noted that numerous economists, business leaders and Republican leaders have warned of disaster if the nation’s spending cap — now set at $14.3 trillion — is not raised by early August. Under a release titled “REPUBLICAN LEADERS CLUELESS ON THE CONSEQUENCES OF DEFAULT” Democratic Policy and Communications Center spokesman Brian Fallon named several of those who have been warning of the consequences of default. “While [Pawlenty and Preibus] may be at a loss to explain the consequences of a failure to raise the debt limit, many business leaders and fellow Republicans know the dire consequences of a failure to raise the debt limit,” the release said. Among those singled out were Warren Buffett, who said not raising the limit would be ” asinine ;” Republican elder statesmen James Baker , who backed the hike, and JP Morgan Chase boss Jamie Dimon, who echoed Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner in saying a default would be ” catastrophic .” Despite the Democrats’ criticism of Republicans, Don Stewart, a spokesman for Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) was unimpressed with Reid’s own plan to reduce the deficit, citing a list of tax cuts Reid had mentioned and arguing that Democrats want to hike taxes a lot more. “The point is, Sens. Reid and [New York's Chuck] Schumer complained this morning that Sen. McConnell doesn’t support the Democrat plan to raise hundreds of billions in new tax hikes on job creators in the middle of an employment crisis,” Stewart said. “They’re correct: Sen. McConnell does not support hundreds of billions in new tax hikes on job creators. He agrees with what the President said last year — tax hikes in a down economy will make matters worse and slow job growth.” Stewart was referring to Obama’s decision to extend the Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthy for two years. He also argued the money saved by ending the breaks for oil companies would not be nearly enough to eliminate the deficit, and suggested Democrats should offer their full list of tax hikes or revenue raisers. Fallon said the Obama administration has offered McConnell and Republican leaders hundreds of billions of dollars worth of choices to raise revenue, and all were turned down.

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World Bank Will Provide $1 Billion For Insurance In Mideast Investment

June 27, 2011

WASHINGTON – The World Bank’s political risk guarantee agency said on Monday it would mobilize about $1 billion for insurance coverage for countries in the Middle East and North Africa to encourage foreign direct investment. The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, or MIGA, said its underwriters were in Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and Tunisia for discussions with the private sector, regional agencies and state-owned enterprises. “Restoring investors’ confidence is critical to the medium- to long-term economic and social development of the Middle East and North Africa,” said Izumi Kobayashi, MIGA’s executive vice president. Countries across the region are trying to attract more foreign investment to help create jobs following mass protests earlier this year that toppled rulers in Egypt and Tunisia and sparked unrest across the region. Foreign investors use political risk insurance to cover themselves against loss of assets through political unrest, violence, expropriation, nationalization and other government actions. (Reporting by Lesley Wroughton; Editing by Leslie Adler) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Fred Wilson: Startup Visa Movement Gains Ground

June 16, 2011

Yesterday, Mike Bloomberg went to Washington and spoke at the Council on Foreign Relations on the topic of immigration reform. The text of the entire speech is here . I just read the whole thing and I’m encouraged and excited that the chorus for intelligent immigration reform has gotten louder. This quote was my favorite: we must stop telling foreign entrepreneurs to build their companies in other countries We have seen so many great entrepreneurs struggle with visa issues over the years that we were founding members of the startup visa movement . In his speech, Mike Bloomberg specifically called for passage of a startup visa provision: A foreign entrepreneur with backing from American investors should be given a temporary visa to start a company in America. If after two or three years, the business has successfully yielded new American jobs, the entrepreneur should be allowed to continue to run his or her business and receive permanent legal status. We are a nation of entrepreneurs because we are a nation of immigrants and in the 21st century, the global economy will revolve more than ever around entrepreneurs. Yes! But he didn’t stop there. The Mayor of our fine city also proposed the following reforms: – A green card stapled to a diploma: We are investing millions of dollars to educate these students at our leading universities, and then giving the economic dividends back to our competitors – for free. The two parties should be able to agree on a policy that allows any university graduate, with an advanced degree in an essential field, to obtain a green card — and a chance to help us grow our economy. We must allow these students to stay here and be part of our future or we will watch our future disappear with them. – More H1B visas: right now, the cap on H1-B visas and green cards is much too low, and caps on green cards are set by country. So Iceland gets the same number of visas as India. That may be fair to each country, but it’s not fair to American businesses. We should end these arbitrary limits and end the cap on the high-skill H1-B visas. Let the market decide. It’s basic free-market economics — and both parties ought to be able to get behind it. – immigration reform for agriculture and tourism: we must ensure that major industries, such as agriculture and tourism, that rely on those workers just starting up the economic ladder have access to foreign workers when they cannot fill the jobs with American workers. These employers want a legal work force, but our current system makes that extremely difficult. Farmers have to go through multiple levels of approvals to do basic hiring, and in Georgia, where they have cracked down on illegal farm-workers, farm owners are experiencing severe labor shortages. That’s driving up their costs and leaving crops un-harvested. At a time when food prices are rising, this is the last thing American consumers — and farmers — need. Do yourself a favor and read the entire speech . It’s not long. Mike lays out a sensible and intelligent way to reform immigration laws without getting into the contentious issues that have held back immigration reform for many years. And if you agree with the Mayor, do everyone a favor and call your elected officials in Washington and tell them you are also for intelligent immigration reform (as opposed to comprehensive immigration reform). I’ve done that and it has helped. Getting your voice into the chorus on intelligent immigration reform would be helpful too.

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Two Areas Dominate Debate Over Financial Reform’s Implementation

June 12, 2011

WASHINGTON (Kevin Drawbaugh) – Global inconsistencies and industry resistance are clouding the outlook for world financial regulation reform in two key areas — swaps oversight and bank capital, both set for debate this week. More than two years since the devastating 2008 banking crisis, regulators from Washington and London to Brussels and Singapore are tightening the screws on high finance, with large Wall Street firms already moving to comply with new laws. Yet regulators’ efforts are moving on different schedules and along sometimes diverging tracks, with much at stake for global giants such as JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, HSBC Holdings and Goldman Sachs. The lack of an international regulatory framework is a big issue. It allows banks to play nations off against each other by threatening to move their business elsewhere, while underscoring basic logistical challenges. How, for example, can national agencies police banks that are transnational? Such questions are not new, but on few fronts are they more problematic at the moment than in policing the $600 trillion off-exchange swaps markets, and in forcing banks to hold more capital on their books to better handle future crises. Both initiatives threaten existing business models and profits in the financial industry, which is working hard to protect itself behind a time-tested veil of talking points about unintended consequences and saving jobs. In the United States, that means pushing back — largely at the implementation level now that 2010′s Dodd-Frank reforms are the law of the land — against scores of new swaps rules. In Europe, the swaps crackdown is also being contested, as is an effort that is being coordinated in Switzerland to raise the capital standards of the world’s largest banks. Against this backdrop, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission will meet on Tuesday to focus on swaps rules. “LEGAL UNCERTAINTY” “There is some legal uncertainty surrounding July 16 and derivatives contracts,” including swaps, said Brian Gardner, policy analyst at financial group Keefe Bruyette & Woods. New swaps rules mandated by Dodd-Frank are supposed to take effect on July 16, but many still have not been finalized and probably will not be completed in time. Will pre-Dodd-Frank rules end on July 16? What should swaps markets do? Answers to these questions have already been provided by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. “The CFTC is acutely aware of the issue and may signal on Tuesday how it intends to address the problem,” Gardner said. CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler will testify on swaps before a U.S. Senate panel on Wednesday, with European Union ambassadors meeting the same day to explore a political deal on swaps. Concerns were spreading last week among policymakers of transatlantic divergence and delay on swaps oversight. Failing to rein in swaps could expose the world economy to a replay of 2008, when credit default swaps played a central role in crises at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and AIG. “At the end of the day, I don’t know how much this stuff matters because there are so many ways to go out and take a lot of risk with derivatives,” said Simon Johnson, business professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and author of “13 Bankers,” a recent book about the crisis. The broad issue of international regulatory reform will be discussed on Thursday by a U.S. House of Representatives panel, with the heads of major regulatory agencies testifying, among them Federal Deposit Insurance Corp Chairman Sheila Bair. Bair’s agency is scheduled to meet on Tuesday to finalize new Dodd-Frank rules limiting bank holding companies from holding less capital than their federally insured bank units. Plenty of discussion, but few decisions, are expected next week on another topic — restricting commodity market speculation. A European Commission conference on this is set to begin on Tuesday in Brussels. (By Kevin Drawbaugh, editing by Matthew Lewis) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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A Dirty Gold Rush

June 12, 2011

DELTA 1, Peru — A gold rush that accelerated with the onset of the 2008 global recession is compounding the woes of the Amazon basin, laying waste to Peruvian rain forest and spilling tons of toxic mercury into the air and water. With gold’s price soaring globally as the metal became a hedge against financial uncertainty, the army of small-scale miners in the state of Madre de Dios has swelled to some 40,000. The result: Diesel exhaust sullies the air, trees are toppled to get at the sandy, gold-flecked earth and the scars inflicted on the land are visible on satellite photos. The work is dangerous and produces a fifth of Peru’s overall annual yield of roughly 175 metric tons of gold that make this country the world’s No. 5 producer. The mining also is almost entirely illegal. “Extracting an ounce of gold costs from $400 to $500 and the profit is $1,000 per ounce,” notes Peru’s environment minister, Antonio Brack. In just a decade, gold has more than tripled in value. The situation in the southeastern state of Madre de Dios, which borders Brazil and Bolivia, is mirrored in dozens of the countries where gold is similarly mined, and where the desperately poor often end up working for the most unsavory of opportunists. Government controls are mostly futile. Neighboring Colombia and Ecuador have mounted crackdowns in the past year – Ecuador’s military last month dynamited 67 pieces of heavy equipment – but when authorities depart, the diggers troop back and work resumes. In Madre de Dios, the informal production is unrecorded, untaxed and carried out on public lands where claims are awarded by regional officials, many of them grown rich in the process. As the industry has grown, heavy machinery has moved in bearing Caterpillar, Volvo and other international trademarks into a state the size of Maine or Portugal, whose remotest reaches are believed inhabited by uncontacted Indian tribes. In February the Peruvian navy dynamited 13 dredges which, working in violation of a government ban, were choking the Madre de Dios river with silt, killing plants and destroying habitats. Protesting laborers blockaded Madre de Dios’ only highway, and at least three people were shot and killed by police sent from Lima. “One of the big hydraulic dredges we destroyed could easily harvest a kilogram (worth about $45,000) of gold a day,” said Brack. Rather than try to evict the thousands of protesting informal miners, the government decided to work to “formalize” their operations, which have denuded well over 180 square kilometers (70 square miles ) of jungle in Madre de Dios. “In practice, nothing happened. They moved against a small percentage of dredges that are not necessarily what hurts the environment most,” said Pavel Cartagena, an environmental activist who recently returned to Puerto Maldonado, the state capital, after death threats drove him away for a year. Brack said the crackdown served notice to local politicians profiting from the industry. “We found that nearly all the public officials in Puerto Maldonado were involved,” the minister said. “In 2010, the regional mining director had a mining company. His No. 2 had one. His wife had one. His sister had one (as did) the sister of the No. 2. They were all in it. And you think anyone is going to regulate anything?” The state prides itself on its biodiversity and attracts eco-tourists for its monkeys, macaws and anacondas. Yet its forest is pocked with craters gouged by grime-coated men who tear the earth away with high-pressure water hoses. And that is only the beginning. To capture the gold flecks, mostly the size of a grain of sand, mercury is used because it is the cheapest, easiest method. It then seeps into the air and rivers, an estimated 35 metric tons a year in Madre de Dios alone, slowly poisoning people, plants, animals and fish, scientific studies show. Most of the migrant diggers, who have doubled the state’s population since the early 1990s, arrive nearly penniless. Some are criminals. Some are preteens sold by their parents into servitude, says Feliciano Coila, a lawyer with state child protection services. The goal of the most ambitious newcomers is to gather enough gold to graduate from peon to subcontractor, put together a crew of a dozen or so miners, provide equipment and buy access to a claim. “You need a minimum of 50 grams ($2,200 worth of gold) to be invited into a camp” to work a claim, said Miguel Herrera, a mining organizer. Unskilled new arrivals generally can amass about a gram a day, currently worth more than $40. It is a princely sum for Peruvian highlanders accustomed to $3-a-day wages. Most prospectors live in a string of jungle boomtowns. One of the more established is Delta 1, located on the Puquiri River flood plain. It is reached after a precarious canoe crossing of the Inambiri river, then a wide dirt toll road across a white-sand river basin exhausted by mining and looking hit by a tsunami. Delta 1′s roughly 6,500 residents lack running water, electricity, sewers and police but have ample machine shops, groceries and brothels. An older town, Huepetuhe, is flanked by mountains of gravel mine tailings towering over washes that further disfigure a mining wasteland 1.2 miles wide (2 kilometers) and nearly 20 kilometers (more than 10 miles) long. Huepetuhe, established in the 1980s, just this year got running water but has long had two entire streets of brothels on stilts. They front a brown sea of silt, the accumulated runoff of adjacent mines that is slowly engulfing the red-light district. Other boomtowns, mostly lawless, gunslinging places that do not even have names, have sprouted alongside the Interoceanic Highway that connects Puerto Maldonado, the capital, to the rest of Peru. When finished this year, it will link the Pacific coast with neighboring Brazil, and attract even more fortune hunters. Social worker Oscar Guadelupe, whose organization, Huarayo, runs shelters for child miners and teen prostitutes, counts some 2,000 females working in “prostibars” in the mining corridor, a third of them adolescents. Day and night, the towns are bathed in the eerie glow of blowtorches as welders fix miners’ overworked pumps. Many prospectors say they would be happy to pay taxes and get services. “It’s better to pay the state than to keep suffering abuse and insecurity,” said Leoncio Jordan Paiba, a 39-year-old miner and father of four. He says he gathers 12 grams of gold a day but, in addition to paying for workers, equipment and fuel, he must pay the claim’s titleholder a weekly 20-gram levy and also keep the area’s Amaraukiri Indians happy. “They say this land is theirs. They come pointing guns,” said Jordan. “If you don’t pay them they damage your equipment. They’ve thrown motors into the mud.” As he speaks, three men are hosing a crater’s walls with water when one side collapses, nearly burying them alive. They wait a few seconds and resume work. Such a collapse killed a young digger known only as Martin. His employers dumped his body in Delta 1, so friends cobbled together a plywood casket, painted it black and set it in the town’s dusty central plaza. They lit candles and held a wake, getting drunk on cheap liquor. DREMH, the regional mining agency, has allowed wildcat prospectors to invade buffer zones adjacent to nature preserves and Indian land, and hands out mining permits without first gaining environmental approval. Meanwhile, Madre de Dios state received less than $20,000 last year in revenue-sharing from taxes on mining. A DREMH inspector, Manuel Campo, said he is often denied entry into mining camps, although they are on public land. “The mob arrives and you can’t do a thing,” he said. At one mining camp, Ronny Calcina was on break from one of the 24-hour shifts he shares with three other men. After 18 months of backbreaking work, the 34-year-old native of the poor, neighboring highlands province of Puno said he is ready to go back to the family’s potato fields. He thought he would be earning a lot more, he said. Besides, his wife and 3-year-old son, who live in Delta 1, keep getting sick. All have had malaria. Calcina is worried about being poisoned by mercury, which he is exposed to constantly as it is burned out of the puttylike amalgam it forms when it clings to gold dust. Additional mercury is burned off in open-air storefronts that buy the gold, including a half dozen opposite the main market of Puerto Maldonado. “This is an area where most people shop, eat, work. This is the center of life for most of Puerto Maldonado,” said Luis Fernandez, a Stanford University environmental scientist who studies the mercury contamination. Levels he measured inside the shops were 20 to 40 times above World Health Organization standards, and 10 to 20 times above the maximum outside. “Everyone is being exposed in this area,” said Fernandez. “The people working in the shops are getting dosed with enormous amounts of mercury every day.” The U.N. is among organizations working to educate prospectors about the dangers and get them to switch to cleaner technology. But Peru is South America’s biggest mercury importer and its sale is unregulated. Taming Peru’s illegal mining juggernaut might be possible if gold sales were regulated, but they have been unfettered since 1991, when the government closed what had been the only authorized gold-purchasing bank during a wave of privatizations. Peruvian law requires every buyer of gold to produce certification proving it was mined legally. The law is universally flouted, however, and there is no identification system that would allow it to be tracked. So it is impossible to know whether the gold in a chain or ring bought in New York or Paris was refined with mercury. Organizations such as the U.K.-based Fairtrade Foundation have set standards for certifying suppliers whose gold does minimal environmental damage. Wal-Mart is among several big retailers expressing interest, but production is so far minimal. In February of last year, Peru’s government decreed that all informal mining in Madre de Dios be registered, taxed and regulated. Thousands of prospectors responded by blocking the Panamerican Highway two months later. Some hurled dynamite at police, who responded with bullets, killing six protesters. The decree was suspended, but Peru’s media asked why authorities were not punishing companies that buy gold without certifying its provenance, as required by law. The director of mining in Peru’s Ministry of Energy and Mining, Victor Vargas, said authorities were working on identifying the companies involved. “Various companies have been mentioned. We’re collecting evidentiary documents,” he told the newspaper El Comercio. Asked by The Associated Press more than a year later to name the culprits, Vargas demurred. “Look, when it becomes official, the ministry will do so,” he said. “I can’t talk about what’s still being worked on.” ___ Frank Bajak on Twitter: http://twitter.com/fbajak ___ Associated Press writer Gonzalo Solano in Quito, Ecuador, and Martin Villena in Lima, Peru, contributed to this report.

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