electronics

South Korea’s Growth Accelerates to Faster-Than-Estimated 1.8% on Exports

April 26, 2010

By Eunkyung Seo April 27 (Bloomberg) — South Korea’s economic growth accelerated more than estimated in the three months through March as the global recovery spurred demand for the nation’s electronics products and consumer spending advanced. Gross domestic product increased 1.8 percent in the first quarter from the previous three months, when it rose 0.2 percent, the central bank said in Seoul today. That was more than 1.5 percent median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 12 economists. From a year earlier, GDP gained 7.8 percent. Exports surged this year, driving stocks and the won higher as Hyundai Motor Co. increased sales in the U.S. and China and Samsung Electronics Co. posted a seven-fold increase in profit. The central bank forecasts the economy will expand at the fastest pace since 2006 and Moody’s Investors Service raised the nation’s credit ratings one step to A1 on April 14. “The economy has regained its fast recovery pace and the second quarter will also be good,” said June Park , an economist at Woori Investment & Securities Co. in Seoul. “Upbeat growth may add pressure for an early rate increase, but the central bank will likely stay pat until the second half as domestic demand is not robust enough.” The central bank has held the benchmark interest rate at record-low 2 percent for 14 straight months after slashing it by 3.25 percentage points between October 2008 and February 2009 to cushion the economy from the global economic slump. Monetary Policy Even after the revised economic outlook and ratings upgrade, Bank of Korea Governor Kim Choong Soo has been reluctant to push for a tightening of monetary policy in the face of a government that has publicly opposed increasing borrowing costs. The government says it’s “too early” to implement an exit strategy to policy steps taken during the global financial crisis. It sent a vice finance minister to attend the Bank of Korea’s monthly meeting since January, breaking a practice of more than 10 years of excluding political representatives. President Lee Myung Bak’s administration boosted this year’s budget by 3 percent to 292.8 trillion won ($256 billion) and has said it will accelerate distribution of funds as it seeks to maintain the recovery. Investors betting on the economy strengthening have driven the benchmark Kospi stock index up 4.1 percent this year and the won 4.8 percent higher against the dollar over the same period. Increased Shipments Goods exports rose 3.4 percent in the first quarter compared with the previous three months, when they declined 1.5 percent, today’s report showed. Private consumption increased 0.6 percent from the fourth quarter and government spending jumped 5.7 percent. “The economy is doing better than expected,” Song Jae Hyuk, an economist at SK Securities in Seoul, said before the release. “Exports are strong on the global economic recovery and private consumption is improving on low borrowing costs and better job market conditions.” The government forecasts overseas shipments will rise 13 percent this year to $410 billion. Growth in China, South Korea’s biggest export market, accelerated to the fastest pace in almost three years in the first quarter, with GDP expanding 11.9 percent from a year earlier. Samsung Electronics Co. , Asia’s largest maker of semiconductors, flat screens and mobile phones, reported its first-quarter profit increased sevenfold from a year ago on demand for personal computers and televisions. To contact the reporters on this story: Eunkyung Seo in Seoul at eseo3@bloomberg.net

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Asian Stocks Rise the Most in Five Weeks as Toyota, Canon Drive Up Nikkei

April 25, 2010

By Jonathan Burgos and Masaki Kondo April 26 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks rose, driving up the MSCI Asia Pacific Index by the most in more than five weeks, as Toyota Motor Corp. and Canon Inc. led gains on speculation earnings will increase as the global economy recovers. Toyota , the world’s largest carmaker, jumped 3.2 percent in Tokyo after the Nikkei newspaper said the company had an annual operating profit instead of the loss Toyota forecast. Canon, a camera maker that gets 79 percent of sales outside Japan, climbed 3.2 percent as the dollar strengthened after U.S. sales of new homes gained faster than estimated, boosting optimism in an economic recovery. Samsung Electronics Co. , which gets about 20 percent of sales from America, gained 1 percent in Seoul. “The world’s economy is more resilient than has been thought, and investors are more inclined to put their money in stocks,” said Yoshinori Nagano , a senior strategist at Tokyo- based Daiwa Asset Management Co., which oversees the equivalent of $91 billion. “With the current foreign-exchange level, investors are confident in the corporate earnings outlook.” The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.1 percent to 126.74 as of 10:30 a.m. in Tokyo, with more than nine times as many stocks advancing as declining. The measure was on course for its biggest increase since March 17. The gauge lost 2.3 percent last week after the U.S. filed a lawsuit against Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and China stepped up measures to curb property prices. Stocks in the gauge traded at 16 times estimated earnings on April 23, the lowest level since January 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Nikkei 225 Advances Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average increased 2.2 percent to 11,151.47, the largest gain among equity benchmarks in the Asia Pacific region, and the most for the gauge since March 5. Australia’s markets are closed for a national holiday. Taiwan’s Taiex index and South Korea’s Kospi Index advanced more than 1 percent. South Korea’s economy probably accelerated in the first quarter as rising global demand boosted sales at carmakers and electronics manufacturers, according to a Bloomberg survey of 12 economists. The data release is due at 8 a.m. tomorrow in Seoul. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index were little changed. The gauge climbed 0.7 percent on April 23 in New York to its highest close since September 2008. Sales of new homes soared 27 percent in March, climbing the most in 47 years to a level that surpassed the highest forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Orders for goods meant to last at least three years, excluding cars and aircraft, gained 2.8 percent. “The U.S. economy is solidly improving because of not only government spending, but also the recovery in private demand,” said Tomochika Kitaoka , a senior strategist at Mizuho Securities Co. in Tokyo. Toyota, Canon, Honda Toyota, which gets about 31 percent of sales from North America, advanced 3.2 percent to 3,685 yen. Toyota probably had operating profit of as much as 50 billion yen ($530 million) for the year ended March 31, Nikkei English News reported on April 24, without saying where it got the information. Cost cuts and a weaker yen boosted revenue from overseas, the Nikkei said. The company on Feb. 4 forecast an operating loss of 20 billion yen. Honda Motor Co. , which is Japan’s second-biggest carmaker and gets 44 percent of its sales in North America, climbed 2.8 percent to 3,305 yen. Canon increased 3.2 percent to 4,380 yen. The three companies were the biggest contributors to the MSCI Asia Pacific Index. The yen depreciated to 94.19 today against the dollar from 93.43 at the 3 p.m. close of Tokyo stock trading on April 23, and weakened versus the euro to 125.80 from 123.69. A weaker yen boosts the value of overseas income at Japanese companies when converted into their home currency. In Seoul, Samsung Electronics gained 1 percent to 838,000 won. South Korea’s gross domestic product rose 1.5 percent in the three months through March from the previous quarter, when it advanced 0.2 percent, according to the median of 12 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. To contact the reporters for this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net ; Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net .

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Philip G. Baker: Toyota Still Covering Up

April 24, 2010

This past week we brought our 2009 Toyota Highlander Hybrid to our local Toyota dealer for an unexpected recall. Just a few weeks earlier we were assured that the car was not on the recall list. Now, we were told, our floor mats needed replacing and the accelerator pedal needed modifying. Toyota couldn’t explain the sudden change which, by itself, doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence that it knows what it’s doing. Even though it was impossible for the mats to interfere, Toyota insisted on replacing them, saying it would make our car safer. It seems like the company has taken a page from TSA, trying to make us feel better without addressing the real issues. In an earlier post I noted that it seemed to me that Toyota was covering up and not acting in the best interests of their customers by coming forward with what it knew. But, as I noted, that was a gut instinct, knowing what engineers know, and observing Toyota’s strange behavior. But now there’s irrefutable evidence that Toyota has been covering up. Contradicting earlier testimony about when it learned of the acceleration problem, documents turned over to NHTSA revealed that a group VP Irving Miller wrote to another staff member in January about accelerator pedal defects, saying “The time to hide on this one is over. We need to come clean.” And today Toyota agreed to pay a $16.4 million fine for not notifying NHTSA of pedal problems within the five days of learning of them, even though they were already making repairs for the same problem on cars in Europe. Earlier this month NHTSA announced they will have a group of NASA scientists and engineers conduct its own investigation to determine if the problems of sudden acceleration could be related to the electronics or software, as some experts believe, and as Toyota denies is the cause. That’s a positive step, because NHTSA doesn’t yet have the in-house expertise, and chose not to rely solely on Toyota’s statements. It’s unfortunate that they have to do this, because within Toyota there’s surely a group of engineers that already have those answers. With this problem festering for years, there had to be internal studies, extensive testing and detailed reports; Japanese technology companies and engineers are smart, very thorough and detail-oriented. So another year will go by, more accidents will occur, and more deaths will likely result, all because Toyota is unwilling to disclose everything it knows. This doesn’t surprise those who have dealt with Toyota. An investigation conducted by the Associated Press and appearing in the Los Angeles Times and Japan Times this past week, notes that “Toyota has routinely engaged in questionable, evasive and deceptive legal tactics when sued, frequently claiming it does not have information it is required to turn over and sometimes even ignoring court orders to produce key documents.” But what do mechanics think, those that work on these cars every day? I asked three experienced auto mechanics, including the owner, with a large independent foreign and domestic auto repair facility in Encinitas, CA. The facility has 14 bays and 11 technicians, specializing in the repairs of Japanese, German and American automobiles, and equipped with much of the same equipment that dealers use for their service and diagnosis. They’ve come across one car with unintended acceleration, a 2008 Toyota Rav4, but were unable to get it to reoccur. But all three believe the problems being reported by consumers to be very real. From their experiences, customers are reluctant to bring in their cars to correct a problem unless it’s real. They believe that among the many that have complained about this issue, most have likely experienced it. But they noted that often these problems are elusive to find. In spite of this, the shop’s owner thinks Toyota makes some of the most reliable cars. He owns several as part of his auto rental business, and plans to replace them with Toyotas. He thinks Toyota should modify the software so that applying the brakes will automatically disable the accelerator. That would provide a fail-safe feature that would allow drivers to easily recover if unintended acceleration did occur. This is a feature found on many German cars, including Mercedes, BMW and Audi, but few of the other makes. All three believe there’s a real possibility that there can be a software or electronic glitch that Toyota has either failed to acknowledge or hasn’t discovered. Because it occurs so infrequently, they don’t think it’s likely to be reproduced in the few hours of analyses Toyota has been conducting following some of the recent incidents. The only way it can be reproduced is to take cars that have failed and subject them to hundreds of thousands of miles of testing, including doing it under extreme conditions. For now we’ll just have to wait and watch as the lawsuits and investigations go forward. My bet is the real story behind unintended acceleration has yet to be fully revealed. But in spite of Toyota’s years of efforts to suppress it, the truth will come out.

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Asia Stocks, Currencies Gain on Apple, Elpida Profit; Euro Drops on Greece

April 21, 2010

By Rocky Swift and Shani Raja April 21 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks jumped the most in five weeks and regional currencies rose as better-than-forecast earnings at Apple Inc. and Elpida Memory Inc. bolstered the global outlook for higher demand of goods and services. The euro weakened ahead of talks on conditions for Greece’s aid package. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index surged 1.1 percent, the most since March 26, to 127.37 at 3:25 p.m. in Tokyo. Futures on the U.S. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.3 percent and those for the Euro Stoxx 50 increased 0.5 percent. South Korea’s won climbed versus all major counterparts, and oil rose a second day as European airports reopened after volcanic ash forced closures. U.S. stocks gained for a second day yesterday as about 82 percent of S&P 500 companies that have reported first-quarter results beat the average analyst earnings estimate, according to Bloomberg data. Apple and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. yesterday posted quarterly earnings that almost doubled. Apple soared as much as 8.3 percent in extended trading after the U.S. close. “The earnings that have so far been released have, as a whole, been way ahead of expectations,” said Paul Xiradis , who manages more than $10 billion as chief executive officer of Ausbil Dexia Ltd. in Sydney. “The recovery has really taken hold now and will continue to roll out, despite some of the concerns around sovereign risk.” Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average and South Korea’s Kospi index advanced 1.7 percent. Elpida Memory , Japan’s biggest maker of computer memory, jumped 3.3 percent to 2,076 yen in Tokyo after its first annual profit in three years beat analyst expectations. Chipmakers Gain Japanese chip stocks also gained after Citigroup Inc. raised its rating on the industrial electronics and semiconductors sector to “moderately bullish” from “neutral.” Advantest Corp. , the world’s largest maker of memory-chip testers, gained 3.4 percent to 2,433 yen. Toshiba Corp. rose 3.3 percent to 529 yen. In Seoul, Samsung Electronics Co. , Asia’s biggest maker of chips, flat screens and mobile phones, increased 2.8 percent. Hynix Semiconductor Inc. , the world’s second-largest computer- memory chipmaker, gained 5.6 percent, while LG Display Co. , the world’s second-largest liquid-crystal display maker, advanced 3.4 percent. LG Chem Ltd. , South Korea’s biggest maker of chemicals, advanced 5.3 percent, the most in almost five months, after reporting a 73 percent increase in first-quarter profit. China Stocks Most China shares rose, spurred by higher profit for commodity producers. Huaneng Power International Inc. rose 2.4 percent, leading gains among power suppliers after reporting higher first-quarter profit. “Good first-quarter earnings should provide a boost to stocks and valuations of particularly big-cap stocks are attractive,” said Zhang Qi, an analyst at Haitong Securities Co. in Shanghai. The euro weakened against all 16 of its major counterparts as Greece starts talks today on activating a 45 billion-euro ($60 billion) rescue package and as European regulators consider probes into Goldman Sachs, now fighting allegations of fraud in the U.S. “The Greece issue is not something we’ll see improvement in today or tomorrow,” said Kazuyuki Kato , treasury department manager in Tokyo at Mizuho Trust & Banking Co. “I expect the euro to test lower prices.” Greek officials will negotiate with the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the other nations using the euro on deficit-cutting measures the nation must accept to tap the funds. Greece’s government needs to raise about 10 billion euros before the end of May and its soaring financing costs are lending urgency to the talks. Goldman and U.K. The U.K.’s Financial Services Authority said in a statement yesterday it will begin a formal probe after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filed a lawsuit over Goldman Sachs’s marketing of a collateralized debt obligation. German and French regulators also said they would review whether to take action. Palladium rose as much as 0.5 percent to $554.30 an ounce, near the highest price since March 2008. The metal is used in auto-exhaust catalysts and jewelry. Oil for June delivery gained 0.7 percent to $84.46 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after the American Petroleum Institute said crude inventories declined 741,000 barrels and distillate fuel, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, fell 3.1 million barrels. “The main catalyst for the rise was the sharp draws in the API inventories data across all the categories,” said Ben Westmore , a minerals and energy economist at National Australia Bank Ltd. in Melbourne. European Flights Oil built on gains made yesterday as European airspace began to reopen, restoring some demand for jet fuel, which had dropped by two-thirds in Europe as ash from a volcano in Iceland grounded flights. The cost of protecting Asia-Pacific corporate and sovereign bonds from default declined, according to traders of credit- default swaps. The Markit iTraxx Asia index of 50 investment-grade borrowers outside Japan dropped 3.5 basis points to 92.5 basis points in Sydney, Deutsche Bank AG prices show. The Markit iTraxx Australia index retreated by 2 basis points to 78.5 basis points in Sydney, according to Deutsche Bank. The Markit iTraxx Japan index fell 3.5 basis points to 87.5 in Tokyo, according to Morgan Stanley prices. Credit-default swap indexes are benchmarks for protecting bonds against default and traders use them to speculate on credit quality. An increase suggests deteriorating perceptions of credit quality and a drop shows improvement. The swap contracts pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities if a borrower fails meet its debt agreements. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. To contact the reporters for this story: Rocky Swift in Tokyo at rswift5@bloomberg.net ; Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net .

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KKR, Bain Seek $1.15 Billion IPO for NXP in 2010′s Biggest U.S. Offering

April 17, 2010

By Michael Tsang and Inyoung Hwang April 17 (Bloomberg) — NXP Semiconductors NV, the Dutch chipmaker owned by KKR & Co. and Bain Capital LLC, will seek to raise $1.15 billion in what would be the biggest U.S. initial public offering this year. NXP didn’t disclose the number of shares it intends to sell or at what price in its filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission yesterday. KKR in New York, Boston-based Bain and Apax Partners LLP of London were among the leveraged- buyout funds that acquired Eindhoven, Netherlands-based NXP from Royal Philips Electronics NV in 2006. The chipmaker, which has reported losses for three straight years, plans to use the proceeds to repay debt, the filing showed. The offering will be the largest in the U.S. since October and comes after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose to an 18- month high. Private-equity firms are turning to IPOs to unload some of their $547 billion in investments after dealmaking ground to a halt during the credit crisis and distributions to clients last year decreased to the lowest since at least 2000. “You really need to have the equity markets working given the size of the companies you’re dealing with,” said Jack Ablin , who oversees $55 billion as chief investment officer at Chicago-based Harris Private Bank. “That’s really a testament that there is a receptive audience among buyers out there.” KKR and Bain are also preparing a $3 billion IPO of HCA Inc. , people with knowledge of the matter said this month. The firms led a group that acquired the Nashville, Tennessee-based hospital chain four years ago in a $33 billion buyout. Leveraged Buyouts U.S. IPOs had stumbled at the start of 2010 as the first 14 deals were cut by 22 percent on average, Bloomberg data show. LBO firms took some of the biggest discounts after money returned to investors last year fell to the lowest on record, according to data from London-based Preqin Ltd. Blackstone Group LP in New York, the world’s largest LBO firm, raised less than half of what it sought for Graham Packaging Co. of York, Pennsylvania, in February. Generac Holdings Inc. , the Waukesha, Wisconsin-based maker of generators backed by former bankers at New York-based JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s private-equity unit, cut its IPO by 29 percent. NXP, with 27,000 employees, makes computer chips for customers from Espoo, Finland-based Nokia Oyj to Apple Inc. of Cupertino, California, according to the filing. The company’s revenue dropped 29 percent to $3.84 billion in 2009, while its debt stood at $5.28 billion. Underwriters Credit Suisse Group AG of Zurich and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley in New York were hired to lead the sale. The shares will be listed on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq Stock Market, according to the filing. The offering would be the largest in the U.S. since Jersey City, New Jersey-based Verisk Analytics Inc. raised $2.16 billion in October, and comes after nine of 10 U.S. IPOs since March 15 priced within or above their forecast range. While private-equity backed Metals USA Holdings Corp. raised 14 percent more than it originally sought this month, the Fort Lauderdale, Florida-based steel processor owned by Leon Black’s Apollo Global Management LLC has slid 6.5 percent since its offering. U.S. stocks tumbled the most since February yesterday as fraud accusations by the SEC against Goldman Sachs Group Inc. spurred concern the fallout from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression isn’t over. “If this SEC charge started leaching to other companies, then we may see enough catalyst to change the direction of the market,” said Harris Private Bank’s Ablin. “But access to capital and cost of capital are still good.” To contact the reporters on this story: Michael Tsang in New York at mtsang1@bloomberg.net ; Inyoung Hwang in New York at ihwang7@bloomberg.net .

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Asian Stocks, Currencies Gain as Recovery Accelerates in Biggest Economies

April 14, 2010

By Will McSheehy and Shani Raja April 15 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks rose, sending the regional benchmark index to a 20-month high, emerging market currencies gained and rubber jumped as the recovery accelerates in the U.S., China and Japan, the world’s top three economies. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.5 percent to 129.02 as of 12:08 p.m. in Tokyo, headed for its highest close since Aug. 1, 2008. Rubber in Tokyo climbed 1.7 percent to a 20-month high and oil topped $86 a barrel. The yen fell for a sixth day versus the euro, the longest drop since January. “There was a beautiful set of numbers out of the U.S. overnight,” said Shane Oliver , Sydney-based head of investment strategy at AMP Capital Investors, which oversees $90 billion. “You’ve got good economic data showing consumers are jumping back on board fairly solidly, pointing to further gains.” China’s economic growth accelerated at the fastest pace in almost three years in the first quarter at 11.9 percent, the statistics bureau said in Beijing today, after a U.S. report showed retailer sales climbed by the most in four months in March and the Federal Reserve said most of the country grew last month as consumer spending and manufacturing improved. Concern Japan may slip back into recession has “pretty much gone,” Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said in Tokyo. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbed 0.7 percent. New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index lost 0.2 percent even as a report showed the nation’s manufacturing industry expanded for a seventh month in March. China Stocks China’s Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.4 percent after the growth data exceeded the 11.7 percent estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 24 economists. PetroChina Co ., the nation’s biggest oil company, climbed 1.9 percent to a three-month high. China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., Asia’s biggest oil refiner, increased 1 percent. Taiwan’s Taiex index rose 0.5 percent to a three-month high after Gartner Inc. said global personal-computer shipments rose 27 percent in the first quarter. Compal Electronics Inc ., the world’s largest laptop maker, gained 0.8 percent, the most in two weeks. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the largest contract maker of chips, climbed 0.9 percent, a three-month high. South Korea’s won rose while bond risk declined after Moody’s Investors Service raised the country’s credit rating to A1 from A2 yesterday, its highest ever grading from the risk assessor. Moody’s also upgraded ratings on South Korea’s state- run companies and 10 financial institutions, citing accelerating economic growth. Korean Upgrade The won climbed 0.3 percent to 1,108.7, strengthening to levels reached before the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in 2008, as foreign investors bought local stocks. Hana Financial Group Inc. and Industrial Bank of Korea both climbed more than 3 percent after brokerages including Meritz Securities Co. and Hyundai Securities Co. said the financial industry will benefit from the rating increase. “There’s increased risk appetite because people are more comfortable with the global growth backdrop,” Krishna Hegde , Asia credit strategist at Barclays Capital in Singapore, said in a phone interview. “We saw strong growth numbers out of China today, for example, and people are more confident about the strength of the recovery than they were, say, six months ago.” The cost of credit-default swaps protecting South Korean government bonds fell to 72.8 basis points from a New York close of 74.4 basis points yesterday, according to CMA DataVision. That’s the lowest since May 23, 2008, CMA data show. Bond Spreads The extra yield investors demand to hold state-run Korea Electric Power Corp.’s $500 million in five-year, 5.5 percent notes rather than Treasuries dropped to 140 basis points, the lowest since July 14 when the bonds started trading, according to RBS Financial prices on Bloomberg. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. Yuan forwards gained to the strongest level in a week on speculation Chinese policy makers may allow appreciation to resume soon as economic growth accelerates. Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s chief global economist Jim O’Neill said in an interview in London yesterday China may strengthen the yuan by between 2 percent and 5 percent as early as next week. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said a more flexible currency would help the world’s third-largest economy keep inflation under control. Twelve-month non-deliverable forwards climbed 0.2 percent to 6.6140 per dollar, reflecting bets the currency will strengthen 3.2 percent from the spot rate of 6.8258, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Yen Weakens Japan’s currency weakened against all 16 major counterparts. It fell to 127.57 per euro in Tokyo from 127.29 in New York yesterday, when it reached 127.68, the weakest level since April 5. The dollar was at $1.3648 per euro from $1.3653 yesterday. It reached $1.3692 on April 12, the weakest level since March 18. “With the slew of economic data signaling the expansion of the global economy and with liquidity remaining ample, risk trades will remain in vogue,” said Masahide Tanaka , a senior strategist in Tokyo at Mizuho Trust & Banking Co., a unit of Japan’s second-largest banking group. “This trade will encourage capital flows into riskier assets and away from funding currencies such as the yen.” Rubber for September delivery climbed as much as 5.6 yen to 335.4 yen per kilogram, the highest for the most active contract since July 2008. Nickel for three-month delivery gained 0.4 percent to $26,500 a metric ton, the highest since May 2008. Oil climbed for a second day in New York, trading above $86 a barrel, after a U.S. report showed an unexpected drop in supplies as gasoline demand increased the most in five years. Oil snapped five days of losses yesterday as crude stockpiles dropped 2.2 million barrels last week, the Energy Department said, the first decline in 11 weeks. Supplies were forecast to climb 1.3 million barrels, based on analyst estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Gasoline use rose 1.3 percent in the four weeks ended April 9, the biggest gain since August 2004. To contact the reporters on this story: Will McSheehy in Singapore at wmcsheehy@bloomberg.net Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net

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Stocks, Commodities Gain as Earnings, Economic Data Lift Recovery Optimism

April 14, 2010

By Rita Nazareth and Gavin Serkin April 14 (Bloomberg) — Stocks and metals rallied and oil halted a five-day slide as better-than-estimated corporate earnings and U.S. retail sales fueled confidence in the global economic rebound. The Dollar Index fell to a four-week low. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed for a fifth straight day, rising 0.6 percent at 12:08 p.m. in New York. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index jumped 1.3 percent, led by a rally in Korea after Moody’s Investors Service raised the nation’s credit ratings. Nickel and zinc surged almost 3 percent to lead industrial metals higher in London, while oil climbed above $86 a barrel. Treasury 10-year note yields rose from a three-week low, increasing two basis points to 3.83 percent. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Intel Corp. and CSX Corp. posted earnings that topped analysts’ average estimates, while the government said U.S. retail sales climbed the most in four months in March and the cost of living excluding food and energy was unchanged. Korea reported its biggest drop in unemployment in a decade and economists predicted China will report its fastest economic growth in almost three years tomorrow. “On the corporate front, we got good earnings reports from Intel and JPMorgan,” said Peter Jankovskis , who helps manage about $1.8 billion as co-chief investment officer at Oakbrook Investments in Lisle, Illinois. “We had pretty good retail sales and CPI numbers. They tell us that the economy is growing without a significant threat of inflation. That gives the Fed room to keep its low interest-rate policy.” Fed Outlook Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. expansion will remain moderate as the economy contends with weak construction spending and high unemployment. The central bank will release its Beige Book regional business survey at 2 p.m. The S&P 500 climbed above 1,200 for the first time since September 2008, the month of Lehman Brothers Inc.’s bankruptcy. Intel and JPMorgan rallied at least 3 percent for the top gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Combined first-quarter profit for S&P 500 companies increased 30 percent from a year earlier, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The Dollar Index, which gauges the currency against six major trading partners, dropped 0.5 percent to 80.087 for a fourth day of losses and its lowest level since March 17. The U.S. currency weakened against 14 of 16 major counterparts, losing more than 1 percent versus the Singapore dollar and South Korean won. Emerging Markets The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose to the highest level since July 2008. Korea’s benchmark rose to the highest since June of that year as Shinhan Financial Group Co. , the country’s third-biggest financial company, climbed the most in two months. Russia’s Micex Index jumped 1.8 percent as government officials meet with bondholders today for the country’s first Eurobond sale since 1998. Brazilian stocks fluctuated between gains and losses as a retreat for Banco do Brasil SA offset a rally in oil and metals producers. The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks gained 1 percent as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.7 percent. Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s biggest chipmaker after Intel, gained 2.1 percent in Seoul. Tokyo Electron Ltd. advanced 3.6 percent in Tokyo after the company said orders rose. DBS Group Holdings Ltd., Southeast Asia’s biggest bank, climbed 4.6 percent in Singapore. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 0.7 percent as basic- resources and technology shares rallied. Rio Tinto Group gained 2.1 percent in London. Infineon Technologies AG, Europe’s second-largest chipmaker, climbed 2.8 percent in Frankfurt. STMicroelectronics NV gained 2.9 percent in Paris. Allied Irish Banks Plc surged 7.9 percent in Dublin after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended the shares. Greek Bonds, Stocks Greek bonds fell, with the yield on the nation’s benchmark two-year note rising 54 basis points to 6.64 percent, after Pacific Investment Management Co. and BlackRock Inc. said it’s too early to buy the securities after the European Union brokered the nation’s 45 billion-euro ($61 billion) aid package. The premium investors demand to hold Greek 10-year debt instead of benchmark German bunds widened 23 basis points to 390. It’s still down from 427 basis points on April 8, which was the widest since the euro’s inception in 1999, after European leaders brokered a $61 billion plan to help the nation avoid default. Greece still faces the danger of a “death spiral” because the cost of borrowing in the euro region’s rescue package is too expensive, billionaire investor George Soros said. ‘Question of Solvency’ “While it’s better than what the market is currently willing to offer, it’s still rather high,” Soros said at an event in London late yesterday organized by the Economist magazine. “It is a question of solvency. If you start charging very high rates as the market does in anticipation of solvency then that pushes you into insolvency.” National Bank of Greece SA, the nation’s biggest lender, led Greek stocks lower, slipping 4 percent in Athens as the benchmark ASE Index lost 1.4 percent. Greece and Portugal led an increase in the cost of insuring against default on sovereign debt. The European Union said Portugal may need additional budget measures this year to meet its deficit target, fueling concern the Greek debt crisis may worsen. Swaps on Greece surged 36.5 basis points to 417 and Portugal jumped 18 to 173, according to CMA DataVision. Crude oil futures jumped after the U.S. Energy Department reported an unexpected decline in inventories and gains in equities signaled demand may improve with the economy. Oil for May delivery rose 2.4 percent to $86.08 a barrel in New York. Gold rose as the dollar’s slide enhanced the appeal of the metal as an alternative investment, and signs of a global economic recovery boosted demand for commodities. Gold for June delivery rallied 0.7 percent to $1,161 an ounce. Palladium surged to a two-year high. Aluminum for delivery in three months rose 1.1 percent to $2,462 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange, the highest since September 2008. Nickel advanced 3.2 percent to $26,322 a ton. Zinc, tin and copper also appreciated. To contact the reporter on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net .

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Singapore Dollar, Asia Stocks Advance as Recovery Accelerates

April 14, 2010

By Shani Raja April 14 (Bloomberg) — The Singapore dollar strengthened after the nation’s central bank revalued its currency, leading gains in Asia as economic reports showed the region is fueling the global rebound. Technology shares led stocks higher after Intel Corp. ’s sales forecast beat analysts’ estimates. The Monetary Authority of Singapore revalued its currency, sending it 1.2 percent higher against the dollar to S$1.3763 as the government said the economy will expand as much as 9 percent this year. South Korea’s won jumped 1.1 percent versus the dollar. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.7 percent to 128.35 at 4 p.m. in Tokyo. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures rose 0.3 percent and the Stoxx Euro 600 climbed 0.3 percent to 269.53. Accelerating growth in Singapore and the biggest drop in Korean unemployment in a decade underscored Asia’s leadership in the global recovery, with China’s first-quarter economic growth data due for release tomorrow. South Korea’s government bond ratings were upgraded from A2 to A1 at Moody’s. Intel’s forecast increased optimism as the U.S. earnings season starts. “Companies are demonstrating that economic conditions are improving, while the data is still pointing to an ongoing theme of recovery,” said Prasad Patkar , who helps oversee $1.9 billion at Platypus Asset Management Ltd. in Sydney. “You now need to watch the underlying performance of the global economy once all the stimulus has washed through.” DBS Advances Singapore’s Straits Times Index advanced to crack the 3,000 level for the first time since June 2008, gaining as much 1.5 percent. The city-state raised its 2010 economic forecast for the second time this year. The previous prediction was for growth of as much as 6.5 percent. DBS Group Holdings Ltd. , Southeast Asia’s biggest lender, climbed 5 percent. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News estimated China’s economy probably grew 11.7 percent in the first quarter, the fastest pace in almost three years. Property prices in China rose at a record pace in March, the National Bureau of Statistics said today on its Web site. South Korea’s Kospi stock index rose 1.5 percent after the nation’s unemployment rate declined to 3.8 percent in March from 4.4 percent in February. The won appreciated to 1,112.15 per dollar. The rating upgrade for the nation’s debt “has been prompted by Korea’s demonstration of an exceptional level of economic resilience to the global crisis, while containing the government’s budget deficit,” Tom Byrne , a senior vice president at Moody’s, said in a statement. Samsung Gains KB Financial Group Inc. gained 4.5 percent and Shinhan Financial Group Co. added 3.1 percent. Samsung Electronics Co. , the largest computer-memory chipmaker, climbed 2.1 percent after Intel forecast second-quarter revenue at $10.2 billion, plus or minus $400 million. Analysts had estimated $9.72 billion, according to a Bloomberg survey. Intel posted its earnings and forecast after U.S. markets closed and its shares rose as much as 3.6 percent in extended trading. Tokyo Electron Ltd. , the world’s second-largest maker of semiconductor equipment and an Intel supplier, jumped 3.6 percent after the company said orders climbed. Unisem Bhd., Malaysia’s biggest semiconductor packaging and test-services company, advanced 4.7 percent. Malaysia’s ringgit followed the Singapore dollar higher, climbing 0.9 to 3.1958. The Thai baht strengthened 0.3 percent to 32.25, the strongest level since May 2008. “Finally, Singapore’s GDP release represents the start of a series of strong Asian first-quarter numbers which will emphasize that central banks across the region have fallen significantly behind the curve,” said Robert Prior-Wandesforde , an economist at HSBC in Singapore. Metals Climb Copper futures on the London Metal Exchange gained 0.8 percent to $7,960 a metric ton. Aluminum rose 0.7 percent to $2,453 a ton. The yen weakened for a fifth day against the euro, the longest losing streak in three months, as signs the global economy is recovering boosted demand for riskier assets. “Risk appetite is improving, buoyed by solid economic data and corporate profits,” said Norihiro Tsuruta , chief strategist in Tokyo at Shinko Research Institute Ltd. ’’This will encourage a fund allocation shift away from the yen.’’ The Japanese currency fell against 15 of its 16 most-traded counterparts, declining 0.5 percent to 127.51 per euro. Europe’s single currency strengthened to $1.3647 in Tokyo from $1.3614 in New York yesterday. Kiwi Drops New Zealand’s dollar weakened against all major peers as a government report showed retail sales unexpectedly dropped in February, adding to signs the central bank will keep interest rates at a record low. New Zealand’s dollar fell 0.3 percent to 71.165 U.S. cents and 0.2 percent to 66.49 yen. The cost of protecting Japanese corporate bonds from default was on course to fall to its lowest level since June 2008, with the Markit iTraxx Japan index dropping 2 basis points to 85 basis points, according to Deutsche Bank AG and CMA DataVision in New York. Indicators of corporate credit risk also fell in Australia and Asia. Investors use the default-swap indexes to hedge against losses on corporate debt or speculate on creditworthiness, and the swaps typically fall as investor confidence increases. The Markit iTraxx Asia index of 50 investment-grade borrowers outside Japan dropped 1 basis point to 89.5 basis points, while the Markit iTraxx Australia index fell 2 basis points to 77.5 basis points, Deutsche Bank prices show. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. Crude oil snapped five days of declines as a drop in the dollar made commodity investments more attractive. Oil rebounded from earlier lows today to trade at $84.34 a barrel in New York, up 0.4 percent. To contact the reporter on this story: Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net

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Emerging-Market Stocks Climb Most in Two Weeks; Metals Rise on Asia Growth

April 14, 2010

By Gavin Serkin April 14 (Bloomberg) — Emerging-market stocks rose, lifting the benchmark index by the most in two weeks, and metals advanced as economic reports showed Asia is fueling the global economic rebound. The Singapore dollar strengthened the most in a year after the central bank revalued its currency. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index increased 1 percent, led by a 1.5 percent rally in Korea’s Kospi Index after Moody’s Investors Service raised the nation’s credit ratings. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.2 percent. Aluminum reached its highest since September 2008 and nickel the most since May 2008. The Singapore dollar strengthened 1.5 percent against the yen and 1.1 percent versus the U.S. currency. The yen weakened versus all 16 of its most-traded counterparts. Greek bonds fell for a second day. Investors are gaining confidence in the global economic recovery after Singapore said growth is accelerating, Korea reported its biggest drop in unemployment in a decade and economists predicted China will report its fastest increase in gross domestic product in almost three years tomorrow. Intel Corp. ’s sales forecast beat analysts’ estimates, reviving optimism as the U.S. earnings season starts. “Equities are a very good place” to invest, Paul Klug , general manager for Asia Pacific at ING Investment Management, said in a Bloomberg Television interview in Hong Kong. “Investor sentiment remains high. The optimism is driven by strong confidence in domestic economic expansion, principally in China and India, and secondarily by export-driven expansion in Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan.” Emerging Markets The MSCI emerging-markets index climbed to the highest level since July 2008. Korea’s benchmark rose to the highest since June of that year as Shinhan Financial Group Co. , the country’s third-biggest financial company, climbed the most in two months. Russia’s Micex Index jumped 1 percent as government officials meet with bondholders today for the country’s first Eurobond sale since 1998. South Africa’s rand strengthened 0.5 percent against the dollar. Singapore’s dollar climbed as high as S$1.3754, the strongest level since August 2008, after the Monetary Authority of Singapore said it will seek a “modest and gradual appreciation” in the currency and shift to a stronger range for currency fluctuations. The nation’s economy will grow as much as 9 percent in 2010, the Trade Ministry also said today. Greek bonds fell, with the yield on the nation’s benchmark two-year note rising 21 basis points to 6.54 percent, after Pacific Investment Management Co. and BlackRock Inc. said it’s too early to buy the securities after the European Union brokered the nation’s 45 billion-euro ($61 billion) aid package. Shares Move The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks gained 0.4 percent as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.7 percent. Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s biggest chipmaker after Intel, gained 2.1 percent in Seoul. Tokyo Electron Ltd. advanced 3.6 percent in Tokyo after the company said orders rose. DBS Group Holdings Ltd., Southeast Asia’s biggest bank, climbed 4.7 percent in Singapore. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 0.3 percent as basic- resources and technology shares rallied. Rio Tinto Group gained 1.5 percent in London. ASML Holding NV climbed 1.5 percent in Amsterdam as Europe’s largest maker of semiconductor equipment posted net income that beat analysts’ estimates. Allied Irish Banks Plc surged 4.5 percent in Dublin after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended the shares. National Bank of Greece SA, the nation’s biggest lender, led Greek stocks lower, slipping 2.8 percent in Athens. Bernanke Testimony The gain in U.S. futures indicated the S&P 500 may rise for a fifth day. A report from the Commerce Department today may show retail sales climbed in March for a third straight month, a sign the economic recovery is broadening. Purchases increased 1.2 percent, the biggest gain in four months, after a 0.3 percent February increase, according to the median estimate of 79 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is scheduled to testify before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress at 10 a.m. on the economic outlook. Combined profit for S&P 500 companies will increase 30 percent from a year earlier, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. JPMorgan Chase & Co., AMR Corp. and Yum! Brands Inc. are scheduled to post results today. Metals, Oil Aluminum for delivery in three months rose 0.7 percent to $2,452 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange, after earlier reaching $2,462. Nickel advanced 1.7 percent to $25,950 a ton, extending this year’s gain to 40 percent. Zinc, tin and copper also appreciated. Gold added 0.7 percent to $1,159.13 an ounce, rising for the first time in three days. Rhodium , used in autocatalysts and jewelry, advanced 0.9 percent to $2,850 an ounce, the highest since October 2008. Crude oil for May delivery added 0.7 percent to $84.63 a barrel in New York. The cost of insuring against default on Greek sovereign debt rose 7.5 basis points to 387.5, according to CMA DataVision prices for credit-default swaps. The contracts reached a record high level of 443.5 on April 8. For Related News and Information: Developed Markets View: DMMV Emerging Markets View: EMMV Stock Market Map: IMAP World Equity Markets: WEI World Bond Markets: WB Pipeline of Bonds: PREL World Currency Ranker: WCRS Commodity Ranked Returns: CRR Credit-Default Swap Indexes: MKIT World Trends and Reversals: WTR Graphing: GRAPH

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Singapore Dollar Surges, Asian Stocks Climb as Global Growth Accelerates

April 13, 2010

By Shani Raja April 14 (Bloomberg) — The Singapore dollar strengthened the most in 10 months against the U.S. currency and South Korea’s won jumped after government reports showed accelerating economic growth. Technology shares led a rally in Asian stocks after Intel Corp. ’s sales forecast beat analysts’ estimates. The Monetary Authority of Singapore revalued its currency, sending it 0.9 percent higher against the dollar to 1.3798 as the government said the economy will expand as much as 9 percent this year. The won jumped 0.6 percent versus the dollar. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.5 percent to 128.07 at 11:50 a.m. in Tokyo, and futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.2 percent. Intel shares rose as much as 3.6 percent in extended trading after the New York close. Accelerating growth in Singapore and the biggest drop in Korean unemployment in a decade underscored Asia’s leadership in the global recovery. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News estimated China’s economy probably grew 11.7 percent in the first quarter, the fastest pace in almost three years. Intel’s forecast increased optimism as the U.S. earnings season starts. “Companies are demonstrating that economic conditions are improving, while the data is still pointing to an ongoing theme of recovery,” said Prasad Patkar , who helps oversee $1.9 billion at Platypus Asset Management Ltd. in Sydney. “You now need to watch the underlying performance of the global economy once all the stimulus has washed through.” Equities Gain Singapore’s benchmark Straits Times Index advanced to a 22- month high, rising as much 0.9 percent to 2,998.64. The city- state’s $182 billion economy rose an annualized 32.1 percent from the previous three months in the first quarter after shrinking 2.8 percent from October to December. DBS Group Holdings Ltd. , Southeast Asia’s biggest lender, climbed 2.8 percent. South Korea’s Kospi stock index rose 0.9 percent after the nation’s unemployment rate declined by the most in 10 years in March. KB Financial Group Inc. gained 3.6 percent and Shinhan Financial Group Co. added 2.7 percent. Samsung Electronics Co. , the world’s largest computer-memory chipmaker, climbed 1.6 percent after Intel ’s second-quarter sales forecast for revenue of $10.2 billion, plus or minus $400 million. Analysts had estimated $9.72 billion, according to a Bloomberg survey. Copper futures on the London Metal Exchange gained as much as 0.9 percent to $7,968 a metric ton, and traded at $7,944 in Asia. Aluminum rose as much as 0.4 percent to $2,445 a ton. Yen Weakens The yen weakened for a fifth day against the euro, the longest losing streak in three months, as signs the global economy is recovering boosted demand for riskier assets. “Risk appetite is improving, buoyed by solid economic data and corporate profits,” said Norihiro Tsuruta , chief strategist in Tokyo at Shinko Research Institute Ltd. ’’This will encourage a fund allocation shift away from the yen.’’ The Japanese currency fell against 15 of its 16 most-traded counterparts, declining 0.4 percent to 127.31 per euro. Europe’s single currency strengthened to $1.365 in Tokyo from $1.3614 in New York yesterday. New Zealand’s dollar weakened against all major peers as a government report today showed retail sales unexpectedly dropped in February, adding to signs the central bank will keep interest rates at a record low to sustain the economic recovery. New Zealand’s dollar fell 0.3 percent to 71.14 U.S. cents and 0.3 percent to 66.35 yen. Declining Risk The cost of protecting Japanese corporate bonds from default was on course to fall to its lowest level since June 2008, with the Markit iTraxx Japan index dropping 2 basis points to 85 basis points, according to Deutsche Bank AG and CMA DataVision in New York. Indicators of corporate credit risk also fell in Australia and Asia. Investors use the default-swap indexes to hedge against losses on corporate debt or speculate on creditworthiness, and the swaps typically fall as investor confidence increases. The Markit iTraxx Asia index of 50 investment-grade borrowers outside Japan dropped 1 basis point to 89.5 basis points, while the Markit iTraxx Australia index fell 2 basis points to 77.5 basis points, Deutsche Bank prices show. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. Crude oil pared losses and traded near $84 a barrel in New York, snapping five days of declines. The contract for May delivery was at $84.32 a barrel, up 27 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It earlier fell as much as 34 cents. To contact the reporter on this story: Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net

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Asian Stocks Rise as Intel Sales Estimate Bolsters Confidence in Recovery

April 13, 2010

By Kana Nishizawa and Toshiro Hasegawa April 14 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks rose for the third time in four days as a higher-than-estimated sales forecast at Intel Corp. bolstered confidence in the strength of the global economic recovery. Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s biggest chipmaker after Intel, gained 2.1 percent in Seoul. Tokyo Electron Ltd. climbed 3.6 percent in Tokyo after the company said orders for machines that make semiconductors and flat-panel displays rose. Telstra Corp. rose 2.7 percent in Wellington on speculation the company had reached an agreement to sell its fixed-line assets to the Australian government’s national broadband network. “The global economy is steadily recovering,” said Hiroichi Nishi , an equities manager at Nikko Cordial Securities Inc. “Investors will promptly buy shares when markets fall, on the backdrop of a rising trend overall.” The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.6 percent to 128.17 as of 9:22 a.m. in Tokyo after yesterday’s 0.6 percent decline. The gauge has climbed 12 percent from this year’s low on Feb. 8 as improving economic data boosted the outlook for the global economy. Stocks in the index trade at 16.3 times estimated earnings, compared with 14.9 times for the MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 0.6 percent and South Korea’s Kospi jumped 1.2 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.4 percent. New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index climbed 0.4 percent in Wellington even as the statistics office reported an unexpected decline in February retail sales. Intel Sales Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.2 percent. The gauge rose 0.1 percent yesterday to the highest close since September 2008, as Fastenal Co.’s profit topped analysts’ estimates. Intel said second-quarter sales will be about $10.2 billion after the market closed. Analysts in a Bloomberg survey had estimated $9.72 billion on average. Samsung climbed 2.1 percent to 845,000 won, while Tokyo Electron , the world’s second-largest maker of semiconductor equipment, jumped 3.6 percent to 6,590 yen. Tokyo Electron said orders for machines that make semiconductors and flat-panel displays rose last quarter to the highest level in two years. Telstra, Australia’s largest phone company, climbed 2.7 percent to NZ$4.15. The company may have been offered A$9.75 billion ($9.1 billion) by the government’s NBN Co. in exchange for its fixed line assets, the Australian newspaper said, citing market speculation. The company said rumors that it had completed talks to sell the assets were “unfounded” and that negotiations “remain incomplete and confidential.” Telstra shares in Sydney sank 0.6 percent to A$3.17. In Tokyo, Toyota Motor Corp. lost 0.4 percent to 3,690 yen. The world’s largest carmaker has temporarily halted sales of its Lexus GX 460 SUVs, Lexus General Manager Mark Templin said in an e-mailed statement. China Southern Airlines Co. may move in Shanghai and Hong Kong after the nation’s largest carrier said it expects sales and passenger traffic to grow by more than 10 percent this year. To contact the reporters for this story: Kana Nishizawa in Tokyo at knishizawa5@bloomberg.net ; Toshiro Hasegawa in Tokyo at thasegawa6@bloomberg.net .

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IPads in India Fetch $2,250 as Apple Fans Refuse to Be Patient

April 13, 2010

By Kevin Cho and Robert Fenner April 13 (Bloomberg) — Anthony Agius says his decision to pay A$2,500 ($2,300) to travel to New York from Melbourne to buy 20 iPads is something only fellow Apple Inc. fans will fully understand. “Any sane, rational person shouldn’t do it,” said Agius, 25, who edits a Web log about Apple products. “Some of my friends, who I wasn’t able to get an iPad for, are in pain right now.” Agius’s passion and the frustration of his friends are shared by technophiles from Mumbai to Germany. The company will begin sales outside the U.S. later this month, though Apple Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs hasn’t given an exact date. Amit Jain has capitalized on that uncertainty. Jain, who owns an electronics shop in Mumbai, said he sold five 64- gigabyte iPads for 100,000 rupees ($2,250) each as of April 7 after they reached India through the so-called gray market, or unofficial distributors. That’s triple the $699 the touch-screen tablet computer retails for in the U.S. “We have customers who are willing to buy,” said 30 year- old Jain. “So we maintain our margins.” The iPad will be available in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, Switzerland and the U.K. in late April, Apple said March 5. The Cupertino, California-based company sold more than 450,000 iPads in less than a week after its introduction, Apple’s Jobs said April 8. Outside the U.S. Consumers outside the U.S. will account for almost half of iPad customers this year, according to Brian Marshall , an analyst at Broadpoint AmTech Inc. in San Francisco, who predicts a total of 4 million of the touch-screen devices will be sold worldwide by year-end. “The international component for the iPad will be important,” Marshall said in a telephone interview. “This is going to be a wildly successful product.” Listings for iPads on EBay Inc. ’s Web site surged fivefold in the week ended April 3 as early buyers in the U.S. targeted consumers who can’t yet buy the device in their home countries. One purchaser from the U.K. paid $5,500, more than 10 times the $499 asking price for the least-expensive iPad, EBay said. Apple may sell 7.1 million iPads worldwide in 2010 and double sales to 14.4 million next year and 20.1 million in 2012, researcher ISuppli Corp. said this month. The estimates are conservative and factors such as “swift feature enhancements” may help sales exceed its initial projections, ISuppli said. Sales in North America will account for most iPad shipments in 2010, ISuppli said. “While non-U.S. sales will contribute a decent amount when you aggregate all of the other regions, the primary driving force will be U.S. sales,” said Francis Sideco , an analyst at El Segundo, California-based ISuppli. Apple rose 2.5 percent in the five trading days after the U.S. release, compared with a 1.4 percent gain in the S&P 500 index. Willing to Wait Not all Apple fans are willing to pay a premium to have an iPad early. Claire Espinoza, 41, who works in marketing in London, plans to wait. “It’s a very slick-looking device and I’d love to have one,” Espinoza said. Still, “I’ll wait until more people have them and any bugs are worked out.” Apple began selling three of the six iPad versions it plans to offer, with first buyers getting models that connect to the Web via Wi-Fi. IPads that support so-called third-generation mobile-phone networks will go on sale in the U.S. later this month. Hong Kong, Germany Aggole Leung, 35, a graphic designer in Hong Kong and self- professed “big fan” of Apple products, said he ordered one through the www.bundlebox.com Web site, which enables customers overseas to buy products in the U.S., paying about HK$4,000 ($515) including shipping cost. “I think it will be a hit here,” said Marcel Pimentel, 40, a preschool teacher in Germany who has used other Apple products including the iPod Nano. He said he’s not concerned about the iPad’s release date in the country “as long as they provide it.” In Mumbai, Jain, the electronics store owner, is in no hurry to have the iPad widely available in India. “We have the ability to get the product anyway,” said Jain who has a colleague in the U.S. to buy it for him. “The hype will sell.” He said he had 30 customers waiting for the next shipment. To contact the reporters on this story: Kevin Cho in Seoul at kcho2@bloomberg.net ; Robert Fenner in Melbourne rfenner@bloomberg.net

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Bank of Japan May Keep Policy Unchanged as Tankan Shows Economy Improving

April 5, 2010

By Mayumi Otsuma and Minh Bui April 6 (Bloomberg) — The Bank of Japan may raise its economic assessment and keep policy unchanged tomorrow after its Tankan business survey showed the export-driven recovery is gaining momentum. Governor Masaaki Shirakawa and his colleagues will leave the benchmark interest rate at 0.1 percent, according to all 21 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The board may present a more upbeat view of the economy in a statement to be released after the meeting, three people familiar with the matter said. Signs of a sustained recovery even amid deflation may allow Shirakawa to put off any decision to add to liquidity injections until the following policy meeting at the end of the month. Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama’s government will probably intensify pressure on the bank to spur the economy ahead of a July election, said economics professor Akio Makabe . “Even though the BOJ doubled its lending program in March, the government probably sees it as insufficient,” said Makabe of Shinshu University in Matsumoto, central Japan. “The bank has no choice but to keep implementing what it can in bits and pieces and signal its cooperation with the government.” The central bank last month doubled the credit program, which offers commercial lenders three-month loans at 0.1 percent, to 20 trillion yen ($212 billion) after Finance Minister Naoto Kan led calls for it to do more to spur prices. ‘Very Good Job’ “Cooperation between the government and the central bank is going well as we share the same goal and are both making efforts” to combat deflation, Kan said at a news conference in Tokyo today. When asked about Shirakawa’s performance since becoming governor two years ago, Kan said he is “doing a very good job.” Kan also said he respects the bank’s independence. Some 100 legislators of the ruling Democratic Party of Japan last week formed a group to urge the central bank to act on deflation, which can erode corporate earnings and make debts harder to pay off. The bank’s March decision “has inculcated among investors the suspicion that the BOJ is weak to political pressure,” said Naka Matsuzawa , chief investment strategist at Nomura Securities Co. in Tokyo. “The perception may impede the bank’s policy management from now on.” Two board members, Miyako Suda and Tadao Noda , opposed last month’s credit expansion. Ryuzo Miyao , an economics professor at Kobe University, became the eighth member on March 26 and attends his first policy meeting this week. The policy announcement is expected early afternoon tomorrow in Tokyo, and Shirakawa is scheduled to brief the press at 3:30 p.m. Stock-Market Rally The Nikkei 225 Stock Average has gained 12 percent since the end of February on speculation the economy’s revival and a weaker yen will spur corporate earnings. The gauge slipped 0.2 percent to 11,322.49 at 9:34 a.m. in Tokyo. The yen traded at 94.26 per dollar, about 11 percent cheaper than the 14-year high of 84.83 reached last November. The Tankan survey showed large manufacturers became the least pessimistic since September 2008, the month when the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. intensified the world financial crisis. Big firms said they expect profit to grow and reported lower excesses of production capacity and workers . Renesas Electronics Corp. forecast revenue may rise about 10 percent in its first year of operations, thanks to demand from China and chips used in factory equipment, President Yasushi Akao said last week. Avoid Lull “Given robust expansions in China and elsewhere in Asia, the Japanese economy will probably avoid slipping into a lull” even after policy stimulus effects fade, said Ryutaro Kono , chief economist at BNP Paribas in Tokyo. He predicts growth may have accelerated to an annual 5.1 percent pace last quarter from 3.8 percent in the final three months of 2009. The BOJ may stop saying the expansion will “remain moderate” in its monthly evaluation because demand from emerging markets is spurring exports and production , one of the people familiar with the matter said. Shirakawa said last month the economy was recovering slightly better than he had expected. The revival may also prompt BOJ officials to predict price changes will approach zero next fiscal year when they update projections on April 30, the person said. Board members currently forecast a 0.2 percent decline in consumer prices excluding fresh food next fiscal year, following a 0.5 percent drop in the period ending March 2011. Not Big Enough Even so, any upgrade to the price assessment may not be big enough to reverse the bank’s policy stance. The median of the board members see inflation to be stable at 1 percent, a rate Kan wants the central bank to adopt as a formal target. Rising global demand for commodities and the weaker yen have made imported raw materials more expensive, squeezing margins for companies that are struggling to pass on costs to consumers at home. The bank will have two possible occasions to add to policy easing before the July upper-house election, said Yasunari Ueno , chief market economist at Mizuho Securities Co. in Tokyo. The first is at the April 30 meeting, and the second is around June, when the government plans to unveil plans to restore fiscal health, he said. “Japan lives with chronic deflation, on the back of a shrinking population ,” Ueno said. “Mid-term price expectations are stable so far, but the risk remains to the downside.” To contact the reporters on this story: Mayumi Otsuma in Tokyo at motsuma@bloomberg.net ; Minh Bui in Tokyo at mbui@bloomberg.net

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Stocks, Commodities Advance as U.S. Employment Report Boosts Recovery View

April 5, 2010

By Rocky Swift and Matthew Brown April 5 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks, U.S. equity index futures and commodities rose as growth in American jobs boosted investor optimism that demand in the world’s largest economy is recovering. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose to the highest level in more than 19 months, driven by gains in Japan. Markets in Europe, Australia, Hong Kong, China, Taiwan and New Zealand were shut for holidays. Oil advanced, while copper moved to a 20- month high. Malaysia’s ringgit rose to the strongest since July 2008 against the dollar after the government said exports increased for a third-straight month. U.S. payrolls gained last month by the most in three years, a “solid report” indicating “the economy is now creating jobs,” Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in a Bloomberg Television interview. A private report today may show U.S. service industries expanded for a third month. “Overall, we are seeing positive signs about the global economy,” said Hiroaki Muto , a senior economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management Co., which manages $111 billion. “While developing nations are leading global growth, they are waiting for the U.S. to rebound. Recent reports are suggesting that the U.S. labor market and consumer spending are improving.” Standard & Poor’s 500 futures increased 0.3 percent to 1177.3 as of 8:43 a.m. in New York. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose to 126.94, the highest since Aug. 12 2008. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbed 0.5 percent. Apple’s iPad Apple Inc. was little changed in pre-market New York trading after the company probably sold more than twice as many iPads in its debut weekend than some analysts had estimated. Initial sales may have reached 700,000 units, Piper Jaffray & Co.’s Gene Munster said in an interview yesterday. The Minneapolis-based analyst had predicted sales of 200,000 to 300,000, while Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.’s Toni Sacconaghi had projected 300,000 to 400,000. Apple said it sold more than 300,000 iPads on the device’s first day of availability over the weekend. Canon Inc. , which gets 28 percent of its revenue in the Americas, climbed 2.5 percent. Toyota Motor Corp. , which derives 31 percent of its revenue in North America, increased 1.1 percent. Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan said yesterday on ABC’s “This Week” that the chances the U.S. economy will retrench after recovering from the worst recession since the 1930s “have fallen very significantly in the last two months.” ‘Increasing Optimism’ “There is increasing growth optimism now given that the job situation in the U.S. is getting a little more relaxed,” said Roger Groebli , Singapore-based head of financial-market analysis at LG Capital Management, part of the group that oversees $84 billion. “Exporters will benefit from that.” Samsung Electronics Co. rose 1.5 percent after Maeil Business Newspaper said the company will add a new semiconductor chip line. Asia’s biggest chipmaker also rose after the price of the benchmark DDR2 dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, chip rose on April 2, ending a four-day decline, according to Dramexchange Technology Inc. Hynix Semiconductor Inc. , the world’s second-largest computer-memory chipmaker, advanced 3.4 percent. Malaysia’s ringgit climbed to its strongest level since July 2008 after the government said exports increased 18.4 percent in February from a year earlier. “The economic recovery theme is attracting foreigners to ringgit assets,” said Tan Voon Ching , a foreign-exchange trader at OSK Investment Bank Bhd. in Kuala Lumpur. “There’s a lot of confidence in the economic outlook for this year.” Ringgit Gains The ringgit strengthened 0.6 percent to 3.2301 per dollar. The won added 0.3 percent to 1,123.05 per dollar in Seoul, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It reached 1,122.15 on April 2, the strongest level since Jan. 19. Malaysia’s FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index rose 0.4 percent, advancing for a 10th day, the longest winning streak in 16 years. CIMB Group Holdings Bhd. , Malaysia’s second-biggest bank, climbed 1.1 percent to a record. The company said the size of its initial share sale for its dual listing on the Thai exchange has been raised to as much as 50 million shares from 35 million. Indonesia’s benchmark stock index, Asia’s best-performing major market this year, climbed to a record on expectations the central bank will keep interest rates at a record low tomorrow, helping to boost the economy. Jakarta Rally PT Astra International , the nation’s largest auto retailer, surged 4.9 percent. PT Bank Central Asia advanced 5.5 percent, the most in more than two weeks, leading gains among banks. The central bank will keep its key interest rate at 6.5 percent tomorrow after inflation slowed to 3.43 percent in March, according to 16 out of 17 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The Jakarta Composite index jumped 2 percent to 2,887.246, above its previous record close of 2,830.26 on Jan. 9, 2008. The measure has climbed 14 percent this year as the central bank raised its economic growth forecast and Standard & Poor’s upgraded the nation’s sovereign debt ratings. The yen snapped four days of losses against the dollar, on speculation Japanese exporters bought the nation’s currency after it touched a seven-month low. The pound gained versus all major counterparts after polls eased concerns that political turmoil will derail the nation’s economic recovery. Pound Strengthens The pound rallied after a YouGov Plc poll for the Sunday Times showed that the opposition Conservative Party holds a 10 percent lead over Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s Labour party, before elections that are likely to be held next month. The Conservatives have 39 percent of the vote, while Labour had 29 percent and the Liberal Democrats 20 percent, the survey showed, reducing the likelihood that they will fail to win the parliamentary majority that some think is necessary to tackle the U.K.’s budget deficit, the largest in the Group of 20 nations. The pound strengthened 0.4 percent to $1.5264. A survey for the Sunday Express newspaper by Canadian pollsters Angus Reid put the Conservatives at 38 percent, 11 points ahead of Labour’s 27 percent, with the Liberal Democrats at 20 percent. “The polls seem to suggest that the U.K. political situation is gradually heading toward stabilization,” said Toshiya Yamauchi , senior currency analyst in Tokyo at online currency trading company Ueda Harlow Ltd. “Signs of political stabilization, combined by waning expectations for additional quantitative monetary measures amid the plethora of positive data, will support the currency.” Oil Advances Crude oil for May delivery rose as much as 1.2 percent to $85.89 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest since Oct. 9, 2008. It pared gains to trade at $85.62. Oil prices have established a floor of $75 a barrel and there is no need for OPEC to increase production, Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez said April 2. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries pumps about 40 percent of the world’s oil and slashed output in January 2009 to prevent a glut. The group left its production targets unchanged when ministers met in Vienna on March 17. Venezuela, the group’s sixth-largest producer, is seeking a price band between $80 and $100 a barrel, Ramirez told reporters in Caracas on April 2. Copper for May delivery advanced as much as 1.2 percent to $3.6265 a pound in New York, the highest level since Aug. 1, 2008. To contact the reporters for this story: Matthew Brown in London at mbrown42@bloomberg.net ; Rocky Swift in Tokyo at rswift5@bloomberg.net

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Panasonic Rejects Idea of Using Google’s Android on TVs Because of Expense

March 31, 2010

By Cliff Edwards March 31 (Bloomberg) — Panasonic Corp. , the fourth-largest television maker, decided against using Google Inc. ’s Android operating system to handle Internet features in its TVs because the approach would be too costly, a Panasonic executive said. The company held talks with Google about using the software, which has been offered to electronics manufacturers as a way to bring Web applications to TVs. While Android is free, the technology would have required pricey computer chips from Google’s partner Intel Corp. , said Robert Perry , senior vice president of Panasonic Consumer Electronics Co., its U.S. unit. Android would “require processing power that adds too much to the cost of the set,” Perry said in an interview after a presentation of the company’s 3-D technology in San Francisco. Panasonic, Samsung Electronics Co., Sony Corp. and other makers of high-definition televisions are adding Internet connections to home-entertainment products this year, with each company taking a different approach. The goal is to let consumers use Web services such as Netflix, YouTube and weather sites without leaving the couch. Mary Ninow, a spokeswoman for Santa Clara, California-based Intel, declined to comment. Mountain View, California-based Google said in an e-mail it had no comment. Panasonic, based in Osaka, Japan, develops its own Web software and delivers content from its servers — rather than allowing users to pull up anything they want. The Google -Intel partnership, meanwhile, would let users connect to almost any Web site, just like a personal computer. Sony also is part of that coalition, known as Google TV, according to people involved in the discussions. The decision by Panasonic not to use Android follows a similar move by Samsung. That company said this month that it wasn’t interested in Google TV because its current focus is on its own applications platform for TVs and Blu-ray players. Panasonic ranked behind Samsung, LG Electronics Inc. and Sony in worldwide revenue from TVs in the fourth quarter, according to DisplaySearch , part of Port Washington, New York- based NPD Group. To contact the reporter on this story: Cliff Edwards in San Francisco at cedwards28@bloomberg.net

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KKR Seeks to Raise $1 Billion in IPO of NXP to Cut Dutch Chipmaker’s Debt

March 26, 2010

By Cristina Alesci and Zachary R. Mider March 26 (Bloomberg) — NXP BV, the Dutch semiconductor maker bought by KKR & Co. four years ago, plans to raise at least $1 billion in an initial public offering to reduce debt, two people with knowledge of the matter said. NXP hired Morgan Stanley, Barclays Plc, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to handle the sale, according to the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private. KKR, Silver Lake and AlpInvest Partners NV bought an 80.1 percent stake in the firm from Royal Philips Electronics NV in 2006, in a deal that valued the entire company at 8.3 billion euros ($10.6 billion), including debt. In December, KKR said its NXP investment was worth 30 cents on the dollar. Kristi Huller, a KKR spokeswoman in New York, said she couldn’t comment. Spokespeople for the five banks also declined to comment. NXP, with 29,000 employees, makes computer chips for customers such as Nokia Oyj , Continental AG, and Robert Bosch GmbH, according to its Web site. The Eindhoven, Netherlands- based firm’s revenue dropped to $3.7 billion in 2009 from $5.4 billion the previous year. To contact the reporter on this story: Cristina Alesci in New York at calesci2@bloomberg.net ; Zachary R. Mider in New York at zmider1@bloomberg.net

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Stocks in U.S. Trim Gains, Treasuries Rise on Concern Over Korean Tensions

March 26, 2010

By Michael P. Regan and Elizabeth Stanton March 26 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks trimmed gains and Treasuries rose as concern that tensions between North and South Korea were escalating triggered a flight from risky assets. Gold futures rallied 1 percent, the most in a week. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose less than 0.1 percent to 1,166.59 at 4:19 p.m. in New York after gaining as much as 0.7 percent earlier. The iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund , a U.S. exchange traded fund tracking stocks in that nation, erased a 1.4 percent gain and slid 0.6 percent as a South Korean naval vessel sank near the border of North Korea. Trading of puts, which give investors the right to sell the fund, surged to a record. Futures on South Korea’s Kospi 200 Index expiring in June lost 0.6 percent. “This is really all about that variable we call the geopolitical; it’s about Korea,” said Peter Kenny , a managing director in institutional sales at Knight Equity Markets LP in Jersey City, New Jersey. “It’s taken some of the euphoria out of the market.” The earlier rally in U.S. equities came as analyst upgrades and takeover speculation boosted financial and retail companies and concern eased over a possible Greece default. RadioShack Corp. jumped 8.5 percent on a New York Post report that the electronics chain is considering a sale of the company. Apple Inc., Progressive Corp., Urban Outfitters Inc. and SLM Corp. advanced after analysts either raised price targets or lifted their ratings on the shares. The Dollar Index, which tracks the currency against six major trading partners, slipped 0.6 percent to 81.602. Korea Concern The iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund fell 0.6 percent to $48.74 in New York. Trading of put options that give the right to sell the ETF surged to a record of more than 55,000 contracts. The most-active contracts were April $45 puts, which jumped 40 percent to 35 cents. The South Korean naval vessel sank off Baengnyeong island in the Yellow Sea, near the border with North Korea, an official in the office of President Lee Myung Bak said. The cause was unclear, he said. About 50 crew members were still being searched for, with 58 rescued, said the official, who declined to be identified in accord with government policy. President Lee convened a meeting of security officials to discuss the incident, said the official, giving no further details. Greece Aid The early rally in stocks also came as European leaders backed a proposal late yesterday for a mix of International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans for Greece, while saying the nation probably won’t need help to cut the region’s biggest budget deficit. The U.S. economy grew at a 5.6 percent annual rate last quarter, the government said, and the Reuters/University of Michigan final consumer sentiment gauge for March topped forecasts as the pace of job cuts slowed. “The transition from an economy that’s been driven by monetary and fiscal stimulus back to more of a traditional, consumer and business-driven growth may provide some opportunities,” said Greg Woodard , portfolio strategist at Manning & Napier in Fairport, New York, which manages $28 billion. “But it’s probably to provide some more volatility as we move through 2010.” Treasuries rose for the first time in four days, sending yields down, as lower-than-average demand at this week’s record- tying $118 billion note auctions pushed yields to levels that encourage buying. The two-year yield dropped 4 basis points, or 0.04 percentage point, to 1.05 percent. Yields on 10-year notes decreased 3 basis points to 3.86 percent after rising yesterday to 3.92 percent, the highest level since June 11. Treasury Demand Demand waned at this week’s auctions of two-, five- and seven-year notes as signs of improvement in the economy boosted appetite for higher-yielding assets. At the seven-year sale yesterday, investors bid for 2.61 times the amount of debt on offer, the least in 10 months. President Barack Obama has increased U.S. marketable debt to a record $7.4 trillion as he borrows to sustain the U.S, economic expansion. Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the recent rise in Treasury yields represents a “canary in the mine” that may signal further gains in interest rates. Higher yields reflect investor concerns over “this huge overhang of federal debt which we have never seen before,” Greenspan said in an interview today on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital With Al Hunt .” “I’m very much concerned about the fiscal situation,” said Greenspan. An increase in long-term interest rates “will make the housing recovery very difficult to implement and put a dampening on capital investment as well.” Euro Gains The euro strengthened 1 percent to $1.3410 against the dollar and the Athens Stock Exchange’s ASE Index climbed 4.1 percent, the most since Feb. 9. The yield on the two-year Greek note tumbled 20 basis points to 4.46 percent. “Investors see the agreement as a backstop, and it is helping sentiment towards the euro,” said Simon Derrick , chief currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp. in London, of the Greek accord reached in Brussels. “However, this is a rather uninspired recovery and it’s difficult to say that this is an unequivocal vote of confidence.” The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks increased 0.2 percent. European stocks fell, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index losing 0.5 percent to trim a fourth straight weekly gain, on concern mounting government debt may derail the economic recovery even after the European Union agreed a Greek aid plan. ‘No Choice’ for Europe Unipol Gruppo Finanziario SpA sank 7.7 percent in Milan, the most in a year, after Italy’s third-largest insurer announced a share sale and posted a full-year loss. Veolia Environnement SA, the world’s largest water company, slipped 1.1 percent in Paris after JPMorgan Chase & Co. advised selling the stock. “Europe has no choice but to solve the Greece situation,” said Bruce McCain , chief investment strategist at Cleveland- based Key Private Bank, which manages $25 billion. “If you have confidence solving the debt crisis, the euro will rise against the dollar. However, the buyers of stocks over there will be discouraged to buy because of the weakness of their economies.” The MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased 1 percent, its biggest advance in more than a week. The Kospi closed 0.6 percent higher before the South Korean ship sank. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose to the highest level since October 2008 and the Shanghai Composite Index rallied 1.3 percent. Emerging Markets China helped lead the MSCI Emerging Markets Index 0.4 percent higher, its first gain in three days. Brazil’s Bovespa index climbed 0.4 percent. Russia’s Micex Index increased 0.6 percent after the central bank cut its main refinancing rate for the 12th time in less than a year, lowering it a quarter point to 8.25 percent. Nickel for delivery in three months rose 3.4 percent to $23,600 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange to lead industrial metals higher. Copper, lead and tin also advanced. Gold for June delivery added 1 percent to $1,105.40 an ounce on speculation demand will increase amid escalating debt concerns and the Korea incident. Crude oil fell for a third day, retreating 0.7 percent to $80 a barrel in New York after climbing as much as 1.2 percent earlier. To contact the reporters on this story: Michael P. Regan in New York at mregan12@bloomberg.net ; Elizabeth Stanton in New York at estanton@bloomberg.net .

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Treasuries, Euro, Stocks, Commodities Fall on Debt Concerns

March 24, 2010

By Rita Nazareth and Stuart Wallace March 24 (Bloomberg) — Treasuries, the euro, stocks and commodities slid as a downgrade of Portugal’s debt and weaker- than-forecast demand in a U.S. bond auction added to concern governments will struggle to fund swelling deficits. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.85 percent, the highest since Jan. 8. The euro weakened against 12 of its 16 most-traded peers at 2:15 p.m. in New York and fell to a 10-month low against the dollar. The MSCI World Index of stocks in 23 developed nations slid 0.8 percent and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.5 percent, retreating from an 18-month high. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of commodities dropped to a five-week low as oil slid 1.5 percent, copper lost 1.4 percent and lead tumbled 4 percent. A record-tying $42 billion sale of five-year debt drew a higher-than-forecast yield and lowest demand since July from a group of investors that includes foreign central banks. France and Germany are nearing agreement on International Monetary Fund involvement in any aid package for Greece, according to a finance ministry official in Berlin, spurring concern the European Union won’t rescue the nation itself. The Portugal downgrade heightened concern that more European nations will struggle to fund swelling deficits. Greece “is going to default at some point,” and Europe’s failure to answer that challenge will hurt the common currency, UBS Investment Bank’s London-based deputy head of global economics, Paul Donovan , said in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. “If Europe can’t solve a small problem like this, how on earth is it going to solve the larger problem, which is the euro doesn’t work,” he said. Economic Data Overshadowed The S&P 500 fell for the first time in three days after closing at the highest level since September 2008 yesterday. Concern over Portugal and Greece overshadowed a third straight monthly increase in orders for durable goods, a sign the manufacturing rebound will keep propelling the U.S. recovery. European reports showed that the region’s services and manufacturing grew at the fastest pace since August 2007 and German business confidence increased. The euro declined as much as 1.3 percent to $1.3324, the lowest level since May 2009. The Swiss franc erased gains after earlier trading near a record high versus the euro on speculation the nation’s central bank is becoming less resistant to currency gains. The dollar strengthened against 15 of 16 major counterparts, led by a 1.9 percent gain against the Japanese yen. Copper fell for a second day in New York and lead posted a fifth retreat on the London Metal Exchange as the stronger dollar increased costs for investors holding other currencies. Gold dropped 1.4 percent to $1,89.65 an ounce. Crude oil slid 1.5 percent to $80.68 a barrel after a government report showed a bigger-than-forecast increase in U.S. supplies. Treasuries Drop The five-year securities sold by the U.S. today yielded 2.605 percent, compared with an average estimate of 2.556 percent in a Bloomberg News survey of 8 of the Federal Reserve’s 18 primary dealers. The five-year note yield rose as much as 18 basis points, or 0.18 percentage point, the biggest intraday increase since Aug. 3. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index closed little changed. While most European stock gauges declined, Greece’s ASE Index rose 0.8 percent. Portugal’s PSI-20 Index slumped 1 percent, the most in a month. Commerzbank AG climbed 2.8 percent in Frankfurt after Chief Financial Officer Eric Strutz said in an interview that Germany’s second-largest bank expects to post a pretax profit in the first quarter. Five stocks advanced for every four that dropped in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index , which fell 0.2 percent. Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s largest memory-chip maker, gained 1.2 percent in Seoul after chip prices jumped. Nintendo Co. surged 8.7 percent in Osaka after saying it will sell a 3-D version of its DS handheld player. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was little changed. Brazil’s Bovespa stock index fluctuated between gains and losses as Petroleo Brasileiro SA rallied, offsetting a drop in banks on concern the global recovery will be slowed by nations struggling with deficits. To contact the reporters on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net ; Stuart Wallace in London at swallace6@bloomberg.net .

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Treasuries, Euro, Stocks Decline on Concern Over Burdensome Sovereign Debt

March 24, 2010

By Rita Nazareth and Stuart Wallace March 24 (Bloomberg) — Treasuries, the euro, stocks and commodities slid as a downgrade of Portugal’s debt and weaker- than-forecast demand in a U.S. bond auction added to concern governments will struggle to fund swelling deficits. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.85 percent, the highest since Jan. 8. The euro weakened against 12 of its 16 most-traded peers at 2:15 p.m. in New York and fell to a 10-month low against the dollar. The MSCI World Index of stocks in 23 developed nations slid 0.8 percent and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.5 percent, retreating from an 18-month high. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of commodities dropped to a five-week low as oil slid 1.5 percent, copper lost 1.4 percent and lead tumbled 4 percent. A record-tying $42 billion sale of five-year debt drew a higher-than-forecast yield and lowest demand since July from a group of investors that includes foreign central banks. France and Germany are nearing agreement on International Monetary Fund involvement in any aid package for Greece, according to a finance ministry official in Berlin, spurring concern the European Union won’t rescue the nation itself. The Portugal downgrade heightened concern that more European nations will struggle to fund swelling deficits. Greece “is going to default at some point,” and Europe’s failure to answer that challenge will hurt the common currency, UBS Investment Bank’s London-based deputy head of global economics, Paul Donovan , said in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. “If Europe can’t solve a small problem like this, how on earth is it going to solve the larger problem, which is the euro doesn’t work,” he said. Economic Data Overshadowed The S&P 500 fell for the first time in three days after closing at the highest level since September 2008 yesterday. Concern over Portugal and Greece overshadowed a third straight monthly increase in orders for durable goods, a sign the manufacturing rebound will keep propelling the U.S. recovery. European reports showed that the region’s services and manufacturing grew at the fastest pace since August 2007 and German business confidence increased. The euro declined as much as 1.3 percent to $1.3324, the lowest level since May 2009. The Swiss franc erased gains after earlier trading near a record high versus the euro on speculation the nation’s central bank is becoming less resistant to currency gains. The dollar strengthened against 15 of 16 major counterparts, led by a 1.9 percent gain against the Japanese yen. Copper fell for a second day in New York and lead posted a fifth retreat on the London Metal Exchange as the stronger dollar increased costs for investors holding other currencies. Gold dropped 1.4 percent to $1,89.65 an ounce. Crude oil slid 1.5 percent to $80.68 a barrel after a government report showed a bigger-than-forecast increase in U.S. supplies. Treasuries Drop The five-year securities sold by the U.S. today yielded 2.605 percent, compared with an average estimate of 2.556 percent in a Bloomberg News survey of 8 of the Federal Reserve’s 18 primary dealers. The five-year note yield rose as much as 18 basis points, or 0.18 percentage point, the biggest intraday increase since Aug. 3. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index closed little changed. While most European stock gauges declined, Greece’s ASE Index rose 0.8 percent. Portugal’s PSI-20 Index slumped 1 percent, the most in a month. Commerzbank AG climbed 2.8 percent in Frankfurt after Chief Financial Officer Eric Strutz said in an interview that Germany’s second-largest bank expects to post a pretax profit in the first quarter. Five stocks advanced for every four that dropped in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index , which fell 0.2 percent. Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s largest memory-chip maker, gained 1.2 percent in Seoul after chip prices jumped. Nintendo Co. surged 8.7 percent in Osaka after saying it will sell a 3-D version of its DS handheld player. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was little changed. Brazil’s Bovespa stock index fluctuated between gains and losses as Petroleo Brasileiro SA rallied, offsetting a drop in banks on concern the global recovery will be slowed by nations struggling with deficits. To contact the reporters on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net ; Stuart Wallace in London at swallace6@bloomberg.net .

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Euro, Stocks, Commodities Fall on Greece, Portugal Debt Concern

March 24, 2010

By Stuart Wallace March 24 (Bloomberg) — The euro slid to a 10-month low against the dollar, while stocks, commodities and Treasuries also retreated, as concern grew that Greece may default and Portugal’s debt was downgraded by Fitch Ratings. The euro weakened against 15 of its 16 most-traded peers at 11:57 a.m. in New York. The MSCI World Index of stocks in 23 developed nations slid 0.9 percent and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.4 percent, retreating from an 18-month high. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of commodities fell to a five-week low as oil slid 1.6 percent, copper dropped 0.9 percent and lead tumbled 3.5 percent. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 8 basis points to a one-month high of 3.77 percent. France and Germany are nearing agreement on International Monetary Fund involvement in any aid package for Greece, according to a finance ministry official in Berlin, spurring concern the European Union can’t rescue the nation itself. The Portugal downgrade heightened concern that more European nations will struggle to fund swelling deficits. Greece “is going to default at some point,” and Europe’s failure to answer that challenge will hurt the common currency, UBS Investment Bank’s London-based deputy head of global economics, Paul Donovan , said in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. “If Europe can’t solve a small problem like this, how on earth is it going to solve the larger problem, which is the euro doesn’t work,” he said. Economic Data Overshadowed The S&P 500 fell for the first time in three days after closing at the highest level since September 2008 yesterday. Concern over Portugal and Greece overshadowed a third straight monthly increase in orders for durable goods, a sign the manufacturing rebound will keep propelling the U.S. recovery. European reports showed that the region’s services and manufacturing grew at the fastest pace since August 2007 and German business confidence increased. The euro declined as much as 1.3 percent to $1.3329, the lowest level since May 2009. The Swiss franc erased gains after earlier trading near a record high versus the euro on speculation the nation’s central bank is becoming less resistant to currency gains. The dollar strengthened against 15 of 16 major counterparts, led by a 1.6 percent gain against the Japanese yen. Copper fell for a second day and lead posted a fifth retreat on the London Metal Exchange as the stronger dollar increased costs for investors holding other currencies. Gold dropped 1.3 percent to $1,090.60 an ounce. Crude oil slid 1.6 percent to $80.58 a barrel after a government report showed a bigger-than-forecast increase in U.S. supplies. Treasuries Drop Treasuries fell before a record-tying $42 billion auction of five-year notes. The five-year note’s yield rose to a two- month high of 2.5 percent after yesterday’s auction of two-year debt drew the lowest demand since December. The 10-year U.S. swap spread was negative for a second day. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index slipped 0.1 percent. While most European stock gauges declined, Greece’s ASE Index rose 0.8 percent. Portugal’s PSI-20 Index slumped 1.3 percent, the most in a month. Commerzbank AG climbed 2.7 percent in Frankfurt after Chief Financial Officer Eric Strutz said in an interview that Germany’s second-largest bank expects to post a pretax profit in the first quarter. Five stocks advanced for every four that dropped in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index , which fell 0.2 percent. Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s largest memory-chip maker, gained 1.2 percent in Seoul after chip prices jumped. Nintendo Co. surged 8.7 percent in Osaka after saying it will sell a 3-D version of its DS handheld player. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was little changed. Brazil’s Bovespa stock index fluctuated between gains and losses as Petroleo Brasileiro SA rallied, offsetting a drop in banks on concern the global recovery will be slowed by nations struggling with deficits. To contact the reporter on this story: Stuart Wallace in London at swallace6@bloomberg.net

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Euro Weakens on Greece Debt Concern, Portugal Downgrade; Commodities Drop

March 24, 2010

By Stuart Wallace March 24 (Bloomberg) — The euro fell to a 10-month low against the dollar after government officials said the European Union may need International Monetary Fund help to bail out Greece and Portugal’s debt was downgraded by Fitch Ratings. Crude oil and industrial metals declined. The euro weakened against all but one of its 16 most-traded peers at 11:01 a.m. in London. Oil slid 1.5 percent, copper dropped 1.1 percent and lead tumbled 2.7 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index declined 0.4 percent and futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.5 percent. France and Germany are nearing agreement on IMF involvement in any aid package for Greece, burdened by the EU’s biggest deficit, according to a finance ministry official in Berlin. The Portugal downgrade overshadowed government and industry reports that showed European services and manufacturing grew at the fastest pace since August 2007 and German business confidence increased. Greece “is going to default at some point,” and Europe’s failure to answer that challenge will hurt the common currency, UBS Investment Bank’s London-based deputy head of global economics, Paul Donovan , said in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. “If Europe can’t solve a small problem like this, how on earth is it going to solve the larger problem, which is the euro doesn’t work,” he said. Swiss Franc The euro declined as much as 1.1 percent to $1.3345, the lowest level since May 2009. The Swiss franc earlier traded near a record high versus the euro on speculation the nation’s central bank is becoming less resistant to currency gains. Copper fell for a second day and lead posted a fifth retreat on the London Metal Exchange as the stronger dollar increased costs for investors holding other currencies. Gold dropped 0.8 percent to $1,096.50 an ounce. Raw sugar declined 1.1 percent to 16.39 cents a pound in New York trading, taking its four-day slump to 14 percent. Crude oil slid to $80.66 a barrel after a 7.5 million-barrel increase in U.S. inventories reported yesterday by the American Petroleum Institute. While most European stock gauges declined, Greece’s ASE Index rose 0.3 percent. Portugal’s PSI-20 Index slumped 2.1 percent, the most in seven weeks. Commerzbank AG climbed 1.5 percent in Frankfurt after Chief Financial Officer Eric Strutz said in an interview that Germany’s second-largest bank expects to post a pretax profit in the first quarter. Asian Stocks Five stocks advanced for every four that dropped in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index , which fell 0.2 percent. Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s largest memory-chip maker, gained 1.2 percent in Seoul after chip prices jumped. Nintendo Co. surged 8.7 percent in Osaka after saying it will sell a 3-D version of its DS handheld player. The decline in U.S. futures indicated the S&P 500 may retreat from an 18-month high. Orders for long-lasting goods probably climbed in February for a third month, advancing 0.6 percent following a 2.6 percent January increase, economists said before a Commerce Department report due at 8:30 a.m. in Washington. A separate report at 10 a.m. may show sales of new homes rose from a record low. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was little changed. The Budapest Stock Exchange Index gained 0.4 percent. U.K. gilts were little changed, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year note within 2 basis points of a six-week low, on speculation the government will announce a reduction in bond sales in its budget statement today. Treasuries were also little changed, with the five-year note yield at 2.43 percent, before the U.S. government auctions $42 billion of the securities today. To contact the reporter on this story: Stuart Wallace in London at swallace6@bloomberg.net

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Samsung’s Lee Returns as Chairman After Presidential Pardon on Tax Evasion

March 23, 2010

By Bomi Lim March 24 (Bloomberg) — Lee Kun Hee, South Korea’s richest tycoon, returned as chairman of Samsung Electronics Co. less than three months after he received a presidential pardon for tax evasion. Lee accepted a request from heads of Samsung Group affiliates to return to management, said James Chung , a Seoul- based Samsung Electronics spokesman. The son of Samsung Group’s founder fills the void left atop the world’s second-largest chipmaker almost two years ago, when criminal charges of tax evasion and breach of duty led him to resign. Lee was pardoned in December by President Lee Myung Bak to help the nation’s bid to host the 2018 Winter Olympic Games. Samsung rose 1.1 percent to 818,000 won as of 10:28 a.m. in Seoul trading. To contact the reporter on this story: Bomi Lim in Seoul at blim30@bloomberg.net

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Stocks Climb, Sending Dow Average to 17-Month High, on Inflation Outlook

March 17, 2010

By Rita Nazareth and David Merritt March 17 (Bloomberg) — Stocks rose, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a 17-month high, and commodities rallied as a drop in U.S. producer prices underscored the Federal Reserve’s assessment that inflation is not a threat to low interest rates. The yen and the dollar weakened. The Dow average increased 52.15 points, or 0.5 percent, to 10,738.13 at 2:55 p.m. in New York. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and the Stoxx Europe 600 Index also climbed to their highest levels since autumn of 2008. Copper and crude oil increased for a second day. The dollar fell against 13 of its 16 most-traded counterparts and the yen dropped against 12. A benchmark indicator of corporate credit risk in the U.S. fell to the lowest in two months, led by American International Group Inc. as the insurer sought to improve liquidity. The Fed yesterday signaled the U.S. recovery isn’t strong enough to stoke inflation or justify higher borrowing costs, an assessment reinforced today by a bigger-than-estimated 0.6 percent decrease in producer prices. The Bank of Japan doubled a lending program aimed at stoking credit growth to $222 billion, while investor confidence was boosted in Europe as earnings from UniCredit SpA and Inditex SA exceeded predictions. “The news on U.S. inflation is positive as it adds up to the Fed yesterday reiterating that it’s going to keep rates low for an extended period of time,” said James Dunigan , chief investment officer at PNC Wealth Management in Philadelphia, which oversees $104 billion. “The recovery is in place and by all evidence looks to be sustainable and at the end of the rainbow, that all filters down to corporate profits.” 17-Month Highs The S&P 500 climbed for a third straight day and extended its rally from a 12-year low last March to 73 percent. The benchmark index for U.S. equities traded at the highest intraday level since Sept. 29, 2008, when the U.S. House of Representatives rejected an early version of the $700 billion financial rescue package. The index plunged 8.8 percent that day, its biggest slide since the market crash of 1987. The Dow advanced for a seventh day, its longest streak since August. Financials and energy producers led the rally, with JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Exxon Mobil Corp. climbing 1.5 percent. The Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index, a credit-default swaps benchmark that investors use to hedge against losses on corporate debt, declined 0.5 basis point to 82.5 basis points as of 8:14 a.m. in New York, according to broker Phoenix Partners Group. That matches a two-month low reached on March 8. The index typically falls as confidence in debt markets improves. UniCredit, Inditex The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks rose 0.9 percent. Rio Tinto Group, the world’s third-largest mining company, led basic-resource producers higher, gaining 1.8 percent in London. UniCredit, Italy’s biggest bank, surged 6.3 percent. In Asian trading, LG Electronics Inc., the world’s third-largest mobile-phone maker, gained 2.9 percent in Seoul. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 1.6 percent to a two-month high. Indonesia’s Jakarta Composite Index surged 3.3 percent, the most since July, and South Korea’s Kospi Index climbed 2.1 percent, erasing this year’s losses. Qatar’s DSM 20 Index advanced 3.8 percent to the highest in more than four months after the government said domestic banks will be allowed to trade shares. Brazil’s benchmark Bovespa index underperformed most major markets, increasing 0.1 percent to add to yesterday’s 1.3 percent rally. OSX Brasil SA, the oil-services and shipbuilding company controlled by billionaire Eike Batista , cut the size of the biggest planned initial public offering in emerging markets this year by as much as 67 percent, deepening the slump in Brazilian share sales. Commodities Rally Copper for delivery in three months surged 1.9 percent to $7,544 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange and zinc rallied 2.1 percent to lead gains in industrial metals. Crude oil advanced 1.4 percent to $82.82 a barrel in New York trading, extending yesterday’s 2.4 percent jump. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its 12-month outlook for returns from commodities to 17.6 percent and said the biggest gains probably will be in crude, copper, corn and platinum. The Dollar Index, which gauges the currency against six major trading partners, slipped 0.2 percent to 79.61, the lowest level on a closing basis since Feb. 3. The yen dropped most against higher-yielding currencies, depreciating 0.8 percent against the South African rand and 0.2 percent versus the South Korean won. Canada’s dollar rose as much as 0.7 percent to trade near parity against its U.S. counterpart, the strongest level in almost two years. The pound strengthened as much as 0.9 percent to $1.5382 after U.K. jobless claims unexpectedly fell in February at the fastest pace since 1997 and minutes of the Bank of England’s March 4 meeting showed policy makers voted unanimously to maintain interest rates at a record low and keep bond purchases on hold. Yield Curve Narrows The difference between 2- and 10-year Treasury yields narrowed to the least in almost two weeks after today’s U.S. producer prices report. The yield curve narrowed as much as 0.02 percentage points to 2.72 basis points, the lowest level since March 5. Two-year note yields rose one basis point to 0.92 percent. Yields on 10-year notes traded at 3.65 percent. Greek bonds rose after Standard & Poor’s said yesterday it isn’t reviewing the nation’s BBB+ rating for a downgrade as the government pushes ahead with efforts to narrow its budget deficit, the biggest in Europe. The yield on the two-year note dropped 7 basis points to 4.47 percent. The cost of insuring against losses on European corporate bonds using credit-default swaps fell, with the Markit iTraxx Crossover Index of 50 mostly high-yield borrowers declining 10 basis points to 409, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The drop signals an improvement in investor perceptions of credit quality and sent the index close to the lowest level since Jan. 18. To contact the reporters on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net ; David Merritt in London on dmerritt1@bloomberg.net .

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Stocks, Commodities Rise on Fed’s Pledge for Low Rates; Yen, Dollar Weaken

March 17, 2010

By David Merritt March 17 (Bloomberg) — Stocks rose, driving the Stoxx Europe 600 Index to a 17-month high, and commodities rallied after the Federal Reserve pledged to keep interest rates at a record low and earnings in Europe beat analysts’ estimates. The yen and the dollar weakened. The Stoxx 600 advanced 1 percent at 9:02 a.m. in New York, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.6 percent. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.3 percent. Copper and crude oil increased for a second day. The yen fell against all 16 most-traded counterparts and the dollar declined against 13. The Fed yesterday signaled the U.S. recovery isn’t strong enough to stoke inflation or justify higher borrowing costs, repeating its intention to hold the benchmark rate for an “extended period,” while the Bank of Japan doubled a lending program aimed at stoking credit growth to $222 billion. In Europe, investor confidence was boosted as earnings from UniCredit SpA and Inditex SA exceeded predictions. “Steps like these are helping grease the wheels of the recovery,” said Chris Hall , who helps manage about $3.3 billion at Argo Investments in Adelaide, Australia. “It’s clear the Fed is going to keep rates very accommodative to stimulate the growth recovery. Japan’s way is to try and make credit easier to get.” The gain in U.S. futures indicated the S&P 500 may extend a 17-month high as a report showing a bigger-than-estimated drop in wholesale prices underscored the Fed’s assessment that inflation remains subdued. Producer prices in the U.S. fell 0.6 percent in February, the Labor Department said, compared with a 0.2 percent decrease estimated on average by economists in a Bloomberg survey. UniCredit, Inditex The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks rose 0.5 percent. Rio Tinto Group, the world’s third-largest mining company, led basic-resource producers higher, gaining 2.2 percent in London. UniCredit, Italy’s biggest bank, surged 5.9 percent in Milan. Inditex SA, the world’s largest clothing retailer, jumped 4.8 percent in Madrid. In Asian trading, LG Electronics Inc., the world’s third-largest mobile-phone maker, gained 2.9 percent in Seoul. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 1.5 percent to a two-month high. Indonesia’s Jakarta Composite Index surged 3.3 percent, the most since July, and South Korea’s Kospi Index climbed 2.1 percent, erasing this year’s losses. Qatar’s DSM 20 Index advanced 3.8 percent to the highest in more than four months after the government said domestic banks will be allowed to trade shares. Commodities Rally Copper for delivery in three months surged 1.4 percent to $7,507 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange, leading gains in industrial metals. Crude oil advanced 0.9 percent to $82.42 a barrel in New York trading, extending yesterday’s 2.4 percent jump. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its 12-month outlook for returns from commodities to 17.6 percent and said the biggest gains probably will be in crude, copper, corn and platinum. The yen dropped most against higher-yielding currencies, depreciating 1.5 percent against the South African rand and 0.7 percent versus the South Korean won. Canada’s dollar rose as much as 0.3 percent compared with its U.S. counterpart, to trade at the strongest level in almost two years. The pound strengthened as much as 0.9 percent against the dollar after U.K. jobless claims unexpectedly fell in February at the fastest pace since 1997 and minutes of the Bank of England’s March 4 meeting showed policy makers voted unanimously to maintain interest rates at a record low and keep bond purchases on hold. Greek Bonds Rise Greek bonds rose after Standard & Poor’s said yesterday it isn’t reviewing the nation’s BBB+ rating for a downgrade as the government pushes ahead with efforts to narrow its budget deficit, the biggest in Europe. The yield on the two-year note dropped 11 basis points to 4.43 percent. The cost of insuring against losses on European corporate bonds using credit-default swaps fell, with the Markit iTraxx Crossover Index of 50 mostly high-yield borrowers declining 10 basis points to 409, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The drop signals an improvement in investor perceptions of credit quality and sent the index close to the lowest level since Jan. 18. To contact the reporter on this story: David Merritt in London on dmerritt1@bloomberg.net .

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Stocks Rally, Commodities Soar on Fed’s Rate Pledge, Bank of Japan Lending

March 17, 2010

By David Merritt March 17 (Bloomberg) — Stocks rose, driving the Stoxx Europe 600 Index to a 17-month high, and commodities rallied after the Federal Reserve pledged to keep interest rates at a record low and earnings in Europe beat analysts’ estimates. The yen and the dollar weakened. The Stoxx 600 advanced 0.8 percent at 10:04 a.m. in London, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.5 percent. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.3 percent. Copper and crude oil increased for a second day. The yen fell against all 16 most-traded counterparts and the dollar declined against 14. The Fed yesterday signaled the U.S. recovery isn’t strong enough to stoke inflation or justify higher borrowing costs, repeating its intention to hold the benchmark rate for an “extended period,” while the Bank of Japan doubled a lending program aimed at stoking credit growth. In Europe, investor confidence was boosted as earnings from UniCredit SpA and Inditex SA exceeded predictions. “Steps like these are helping grease the wheels of the recovery,” said Chris Hall , who helps manage about $3.3 billion at Argo Investments in Adelaide, Australia. “It’s clear the Fed is going to keep rates very accommodative to stimulate the growth recovery. Japan’s way is to try and make credit easier to get.” UniCredit, Inditex The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks rose 0.5 percent. Rio Tinto Group, the world’s third-largest mining company, led basic-resource producers higher, gaining 1.1 percent in London. UniCredit, Italy’s biggest bank, surged 4.4 percent in Milan. Inditex SA, the world’s largest clothing retailer, jumped 3 percent in Madrid. In Asia, LG Electronics Inc., the world’s third-largest mobile-phone maker, gained 2.9 percent in Seoul. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 1.4 percent to a two-month high. Indonesia’s Jakarta Composite Index surged 2.9 percent, the most since July 30, and South Korea’s Kospi index climbed 2.1 percent, erasing this year’s losses. Qatar’s DSM 20 Index advanced 3.8 percent to the highest in more than four months after the government said domestic banks will be allowed to trade shares. The gain in U.S. futures indicated the S&P 500 may extend a 17-month high, before a report forecast to show wholesale prices fell in February. The Labor Department’s report is due at 8:30 a.m. in Washington. The benchmark gauge for U.S. stocks rallied yesterday after the Fed said the labor market is stabilizing, business spending has risen and inflation remains subdued. Commodities Rally Copper for delivery in three months added 1.4 percent to $7,511 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange, leading gains in industrial metals. Crude oil advanced 0.9 percent to $82.44 a barrel in New York trading, extending yesterday’s 2.4 percent jump. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its 12-month outlook for returns from commodities to 17.6 percent and said the biggest gains probably will be in crude, copper, corn and platinum. The yen dropped most against higher-yielding currencies, depreciating 0.9 percent against the South African rand and 0.8 percent versus the South Korean won. Canada’s dollar rose as much as 0.2 percent compared with its U.S. counterpart, to trade at the strongest level in almost two years. The pound strengthened as much as 0.5 percent against the dollar after U.K. jobless claims unexpectedly fell in February at the fastest pace since 1997 and minutes of the Bank of England’s March 4 meeting showed policy makers voted unanimously to maintain interest rates at a record low and keep bond purchases on hold. Greek Bonds Rise Greek bonds rose after Standard & Poor’s said yesterday it isn’t reviewing the nation’s BBB+ rating for a downgrade as the government pushes ahead with efforts to narrow its budget deficit, the biggest in Europe. The yield on the two-year note dropped as much as 20 basis points to 4.52 percent. The cost of insuring against losses on European corporate bonds using credit-default swaps fell, with the Markit iTraxx Crossover Index of 50 mostly high-yield borrowers declining 10 basis points to 409, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The drop signals an improvement in investor perceptions of credit quality and sent the index close to the lowest level since Jan. 18. To contact the reporter on this story: David Merritt in London on dmerritt1@bloomberg.net .

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Bank of Korea’s Lee, Under Pressure at Final Meeting, May Keep Rate at 2%

March 9, 2010

By Saeromi Shin and Cesilia Han March 10 (Bloomberg) — Bank of Korea Governor Lee Seong Tae will probably keep interest rates unchanged at his final meeting as he faces “intense” political pressure to spur investment and cut unemployment. Lee will hold the seven-day repurchase rate at a record-low 2 percent when his board meets at 9 a.m. tomorrow in Seoul, 13 of 14 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News say. One expects a quarter-point increase. Finance Minister Yoon Jeung Hyun said this week now “is not the right time” to boost borrowing costs. The government wants Lee, whose term expires March 31, to hold down rates as the economy shows mixed signs: growth slowed in the fourth quarter and unemployment soared in January, while exports have risen for four months and manufacturers’ confidence is at a seven-year high. To reinforce its stance, the government has sent a vice finance minister to the past two policy meetings. “Political pressures remain intense,” said Kevin Grice , an economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London. “While there is an outside chance that rates will move up, it is most likely” they will remain on hold, he said. Governor Lee’s successor and replacements for two other Monetary Policy Committee members “will probably be sympathetic to the government view” and the first rate increase is unlikely before the third quarter, Grice said. President Lee Myung Bak is considering five candidates to head the Bank of Korea, DongA Ilbo newspaper reported last month, citing unidentified central bank and government officials. Possible Successors These include Euh Yoon Dae , head of a presidential council set up to promote South Korea internationally; ex-Finance Minister Kang Man Soo ; Kim Jong Chang , head of the Financial Supervisory Service; Park Cheul , a former deputy governor of the central bank; and Kim Choong Soo, envoy to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, according to the newspaper. The failure to announce Governor Lee’s replacement three weeks before his term expires hasn’t spooked the markets. The benchmark Kospi stock index has risen more than 5 percent in the past month and the won gained 2.6 percent over the same period. Finance Minister Yoon told reporters on March 8 that “it is the government’s firm belief that it is not the right time for rate hikes” as business investment is weak and prices are at manageable levels. Lee Sung Kwon , an economist at Shinhan Investment Corp. in Seoul, said policy makers may also hold off on a rate increase tomorrow as “concerns over tightening measures in China remain.” China Tightening China, South Korea’s biggest export market, in February ordered banks to set aside more deposits as reserves for the second time in a month to avert asset bubbles. In the fourth quarter, Chinese gross domestic product increased 10.7 percent from a year earlier, the fastest pace since 2007. In contrast, South Korea’s economy expanded 0.2 percent in the fourth quarter and unemployment surged to a 10-year high of 4.8 percent in January. President Lee has put unemployment at the top of the political agenda, vowing to cut the average jobless rate to about 3 percent this year. The government boosted this year’s budget by 3 percent to 292.8 trillion won ($258 billion) and will accelerate distribution of funds as it seeks to maintain the recovery. The central bank said the slowdown in growth in the fourth quarter was a temporary adjustment. In November, it widened the annual inflation target range to between 2 percent and 4 percent. Consumer prices increased 2.7 percent in February. Exports Surge Asia’s fourth-largest economy is showing signs of strengthening. Exports climbed 31 percent in February from a year earlier, the fourth monthly increase. Samsung Electronics Co. , the world’s second-largest mobile-phone maker, said its handset shipments may expand about a fifth this year, helped by demand for smartphones. Manufacturers’ confidence for March rose to the highest level since the fourth quarter of 2002, when the Bank of Korea published its confidence survey on a quarterly basis. The central bank’s failure to raise rates last year confounded analysts, who forecast it to be one of the first in Asia to move after the economy expanded 3.2 percent in the third quarter, the fastest pace in seven years. Since then, Australia, China, India and Vietnam have tightened monetary policy as Asia leads the recovery from the global recession. Tim Condon , head of Asia research at ING Groep NV in Singapore, says Governor Lee may use his last meeting to boost borrowing costs. “South Korea’s economy has staged a vigorous, self- sustaining recovery and the Bank of Korea can begin to normalize its policy rate,” said Condon, who forecasts a quarter-point increase tomorrow and expects the rate to rise to 3.25 percent by year’s end. “Rising property prices could become an issue if record-low financing conditions persist for too long.” To contact the reporters on this story: Saeromi Shin in Seoul at sshin15@bloomberg.net ; Cesilia Han in Seoul at chan4@bloomberg.net

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Toyota’s Recalls May `Not Totally’ Solve Acceleration Issues, Lentz Says

February 23, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane and Alan Ohnsman Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Toyota Motor Corp .’s U.S. sales chief told a congressional committee that there are probably causes of unintended acceleration not yet resolved by recalls of 8 million vehicles worldwide. The recalls under way to reshape accelerator pedals and replace floor mats will “not totally” mitigate sudden acceleration in Toyota vehicles, linked to 34 deaths, Jim Lentz , president of Toyota’s U.S. sales unit in Torrance, California, told a House Energy and Commerce panel today in Washington. “We need to continue to be vigilant and continue to investigate all of the complaints from consumers that we have done a relatively poor job of doing in the past,” Lentz said. Under questioning from Representative Bart Stupak , a Michigan Democrat, Lentz agreed that the company may not know the cause of unintended acceleration in as many as 70 percent of reported incidents. Toyota is fixing or reshaping gas pedals that it says may become stuck or snagged by floor mats while saying it has found no evidence linking electronics to the defects. Testing hasn’t shown electronic flaws, Lentz said in his testimony. Toyota “all but ignored pleas from consumers” to examine complaints of sudden unintended acceleration, Stupak said. “They misled the American public by saying that they and other independent sources had thoroughly examined the electronics system,” Stupak, the subcommittee’s chairman, said today at the first congressional hearing looking at Toyota’s recalls and their handling by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration . “Toyota and NHTSA have a lot of explaining to do to the American people, to consumers and dealers.” Growth Over Development Toyota President Akio Toyoda is linking the flaws to expansion that made the company the world’s largest automaker. “We pursued growth over the speed at which we were able to develop our people and our organization, and we should sincerely be mindful of that,” Toyoda said in remarks prepared for his scheduled appearance tomorrow before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee . “I regret that this has resulted in the safety issues described in the recalls.” Toyota’s American depositary receipts, each equal to two ordinary shares, fell $1.38, or 1.9 percent, to $71.55 at 4:02 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading . Easy to Crack David Gilbert, an automotive-technology professor at Southern Illinois University in Carbondale, said in testimony that he was able to isolate weaknesses in Toyota’s electronic throttles that aren’t found in units from other automakers. “None were quite as easy as the Toyota system to crack,” Gilbert said. Asked why Toyota wasn’t able to figure this out, Gilbert said “Maybe they didn’t ask the right questions.” Gilbert is being paid for his work by Safety Research & Strategies Inc., a safety advocacy group in Rehoboth, Massachusetts that gathers data from NHTSA and other sources for plaintiff’s attorneys. Gilbert said during his questioning that he contacted the group because the reports about Toyota’s electronic system “piqued my curiosity.” Sean Kane , president of Safety Research, said he’s paid Gilbert $1,800, and reimburses him at a rate of $150 an hour. Consumer Testimony Lawmakers heard from Rhonda Smith of Sevierville, Tennessee, about a 2006 incident. She said the Lexus ES350 she was driving accelerated to about 100 miles per hour (161 kilometers per hour), “with the engine still revving up and down,” for about six miles. She was able to turn the engine off after the car slowed down, avoiding a crash and injury. “Shame on you Toyota for being so greedy,” Smith said. “And shame on you NHTSA for not doing your job. I hope that Toyota and NHTSA will be held accountable for their poor decisions that have cost some people their lives.” “Listening to Mrs. Smith, I feel embarrassed,” Lentz said. “I was embarrassed to hear the story.” Toyota will install advanced brake override systems in all new models beginning in 2011, Lentz told the committee. The company will also retrofit seven current models with the software fix, he said. In November, company said cars recalled for floor mat problem would get brake override software. In January at the Detroit Auto show, the company’s North American chief executive officer said they were expanding that program to all vehicles worldwide. A Toyota internal document sent to the House oversight panel and dated July 6, 2009, said the company saved $100 million through a “negotiated” vehicle recall. The document, obtained Feb. 21, showed the company outlining accomplishments described as “Wins for Toyota,” including the savings. ‘Too Cozy’ The presentation on savings, in a bullet-point format, said of an inquiry into sudden acceleration: “Negotiated ‘equipment’ recall on Camry/ES re: SA, saved $100M+, w/no defect found.” NHTSA may be “too cozy” with the auto industry, Stupak said. The agency also may have focused too much on mechanical causes in response to reports of sudden unintended acceleration rather than on potential electronic causes, he said. “There is no evidence that Toyota or the government agency, NHTSA, took a serious look at the possibility that electronic defects could be causing the problem,” said Representative Henry Waxman , a California Democrat who is chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee . “Addressing this problem will require legislation,” Waxman said. “Carmakers have entered the electronic era, but NHTSA seems stuck in a mechanical mindset.” Avoiding Delays U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood , whose department oversees NHTSA, said in testimony prepared for today’s hearing that regulators pushed Toyota at “every step” to act on reports of unintended acceleration. “By engaging Toyota directly, and persuading the company to take action, the agency avoided a lengthy investigation that would have delayed fixes,” LaHood said. Toyota, based in Toyota City, Japan, said in a regulatory filing this week that it received subpoenas from a federal grand jury in the Southern District of New York on Feb. 8 and the Los Angeles office of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Feb. 19 for documents related to potential product defects. To contact the reporters on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net ; Alan Ohnsman in Los Angeles at aohnsman@bloomberg.net

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Samsung to Challenge Apple’s IPad With Tablet Computer, Mobile Chief Says

February 15, 2010

By Simon Thiel and Kevin Cho Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) — Samsung Electronics Co. , the world’s second-largest mobile-phone maker, plans to offer a tablet computer to ride the wave of demand it expects for Apple Inc. ’s iPad. “We will respond,” J.K. Shin, president of Samsung’s mobile-communication division, said in an interview last night in Barcelona, Spain. Apple’s tablet computer “will create a new market and new demand,” adding that it’s “too early” to give more details on Samsung’s plans. The South Korean company provides the processor that powers Apple’s iPad, according to market research firm ISuppli Corp., putting Samsung in a position of being both a components supplier and a competitor for the Cupertino, California-based company. The iPad, a touch-screen tablet computer, will go on sale by March, Apple Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs said at the Jan. 27 debut of the device. “This is normal, we have to compete in the market,” Shin said. “At the same time, they are our customer and we are the supplier of components to them.” Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates that Apple will sell 6 million iPads this year. By contrast, the market for mobile phones will reach 1 billion units and PC sales will be about 300 million. Still, the iPad is a high-profile attempt to crack a market that other companies have set their sights on, according to ISuppli analyst Jagdish Rebello . Samsung’s tablet computer plans also show how the Suwon, South Korea-based company aims to offer more higher-end mobile devices. The company said on Feb. 14 that it will start offering a 1-gigahertz processor handset, called the “Wave,” as it aims to bolster its smartphone business. The Wave The Wave is “key” for Samsung’s plans to expand the company’s smartphone business, Shin said, adding that “this is the biggest challenge we’re facing this year.” The Wave and other new products will help to increase average selling prices, Shin said. The “Wave” handset is the first one running Samsung’s own Bada operating system. Bada will become a “tough” competitor for operating systems from other companies including Google Inc. and Microsoft Corp, Shin said. Samsung will continue to offer phones with operating systems from other companies “for the time being,” Shin said, adding that the market for operating systems will consolidate in the future. Samsung earlier this year predicted its handset shipments may grow 19 percent to more than 270 million units in 2010, helped by demand for smartphones. The company, which shipped 227 million mobile phones last year, also aims to triple shipments of smartphones this year from 6 million in 2009. Market Share Samsung said Jan. 29 it plans to increase its handset market share this year and achieve a profit margin of at least 10 percent from phones. Smartphones and touch-screen phones will lead growth in developed markets such as North America and Europe, while demand for regular handsets in emerging markets will also recover, Samsung said at the time. Worldwide sales of smartphones grew 30 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier to 53 million units, Boston- based researcher Strategy Analytics said earlier this year. Nokia Oyj , Research in Motion Ltd. , and Apple remained in the top three positions for smartphones, the research company said. To contact the reporter on this story: Simon Thiel in Barcelona at sthiel1@bloomberg.net and Kevin Cho in Seoul at kcho2@bloomberg.net

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Whirlpool Loses U.S. Trade Panel Ruling on Barring LG Refrigerator Imports

February 12, 2010

By William McQuillen and Susan Decker Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) — Whirlpool Corp. , the world’s largest appliance maker, lost its bid to try to ban imported refrigerators made by LG Electronics Inc. from the U.S. market. The U.S. International Trade Commission in Washington today said LG didn’t violate a Whirlpool patent related to the storage of ice in appliances. The commission said in a notice on its Web site that the refrigerators don’t infringe the patent and some elements of the patent are invalid. The reasons for the decision weren’t explained further in the notice. “We disagree with the ITC’s decision,” said Jill Saletta, a spokeswoman for Whirlpool. “We look forward to receiving the details and will be evaluating our options for next steps.” The two companies have been fighting for almost two years over the U.S. market for the appliances. LG, currently the third-biggest appliance maker behind Whirlpool and Electrolux AB, aims to become the world’s biggest maker of refrigerators and washing machines by 2012. LG reported 9.5 trillion Korean won ($7.4 billion) in home appliance sales last year. The ITC judge had twice said LG refrigerators don’t violate Whirlpool’s patent rights related to an ice-storage system that takes up less space in the freezer. The first time, Judge Theodore Essex was ordered to reconsider his findings and in October he again said there was no violation. LG , based in Seoul, agreed to modify the design of the ice maker in some of its refrigerators to resolve part of the ITC dispute. Whirlpool Sales Benton Harbor, Michigan-based Whirlpool, maker of KitchenAid refrigerators and Maytag washing machines, on Feb. 2 reported $17.1 billion in 2009 sales and said fourth-quarter sales in North American rose 4 percent. Lawsuits between Whirlpool and LG are pending in New Jersey and Delaware. In October, LG claimed Whirlpool’s namesake brand as well as Maytag, Amana, KitchenAid and Jenn-Air refrigerators infringed a patent for a certain type of icemaker. Whirlpool wants a court ruling to clear its name, saying the patent is either invalid or not infringed. John Taylor, a U.S.-based spokesman for LG, didn’t immediately return messages seeking comment. The case is In the Matter of Refrigerators and Components Thereof, 337-632, U.S. International Trade Commission (Washington). To contact the reporters on this story: William McQuillen in Washington at bmcquillen@bloomberg.net ; Susan Decker in Washington at sdecker1@bloomberg.net .

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Regulators Hired by Toyota Helped Halt Probes

February 12, 2010

Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) — Former regulators hired by Toyota Motor Corp. helped end at least four U.S. investigations of unintended acceleration by company vehicles in the last decade, warding off possible recalls, court and government records show. Christopher Tinto , vice president of regulatory affairs in Toyota’s Washington office, and Christopher Santucci, who works for Tinto, helped persuade the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration to end probes including those of 2002-2003 Toyota Camrys and Solaras, court documents show. Both men joined Toyota directly from NHTSA, Tinto in 1994 and Santucci in 2003. While all automakers have employees who handle NHTSA issues, Toyota may be alone among the major companies in employing former agency staffers to do so. Spokesmen for General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. , Chrysler Group LLC and Honda Motor Co. all say their companies have no ex-NHTSA people who deal with the agency on defects. Possible links between Toyota and NHTSA may fuel mounting criticism of their handling of defects in Toyota and Lexus models tied to 19 deaths between 2004 and 2009. Three congressional committees have scheduled hearings on the recalls. “Toyota bamboozled NHTSA or NHTSA was bamboozled by itself,” said Joan Claybrook , an auto safety advocate and former NHTSA administrator in the Jimmy Carter administration. “I think there is going to be a lot of heat on NHTSA over this.” ‘Discussed Scope’ In one example of the Toyota aides’ role, Santucci testified in a Michigan lawsuit that the company and NHTSA discussed limiting an examination of unintended acceleration complaints to incidents lasting less than a second. “We discussed the scope” of the investigation, Santucci testified. “NHTSA’s concerns about the scope ultimately led to a decision by the agency to reduce that scope. You say it worked out well for Toyota, I think it worked out well for both the agency and Toyota.” In an e-mailed response to questions about possible influence of former NHTSA employees on agency Toyota decisions, Transportation Department spokeswoman Olivia Alair said NHTSA “currently has three open investigations involving Toyota and is monitoring two major safety recalls involving Toyota vehicles. NHTSA’s record reflects that safety is its singular priority.” Toyota City, Japan-based Toyota on Jan. 21 recalled 2.3 million U.S. cars and trucks with a potentially defective accelerator pedals. That followed Toyota’s decision in November to recall 4.48 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada because floor mats might trap gas pedals while they were depressed. Since that recall, Toyota’s shares have dropped 17 percent, wiping out $27.9 billion in market capitalization. The stock rose 2.4 percent to 3,470 yen as of 12:45 p.m. in Tokyo today. Electronics Probe Combined worldwide recalls for pedals, floor mats and a software fix to adjust brakes on the Prius and other hybrid models rose to more than 8 million vehicles as of Feb. 8. “A recall is bad for any automaker because they have to admit there’s a defect in their vehicle and the repairs can be expensive,” said Rebecca Lindland , a forecaster at IHS Global Insight Inc. in Lexington, Massachusetts. In Toyota’s case, “the company has built itself on pillars of safety, quality and reliability,” she said. “A defect in their product is appalling to them, sort of unthinkable.” All four of the probes the Toyota aides helped end were into complaints that the unintended acceleration was caused by flaws in the vehicles’ electronic throttle systems. Toyota has denied that the system is a problem. U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said on Feb. 3 that NHTSA is reviewing the electronics. Toyota spokeswoman Martha Voss declined to make Santucci and Tinto available for comment. ‘Highest Standards’ “Anything Mr. Tinto and Mr. Santucci did was in the interest of full disclosure, transparency and openness with regulators and safety experts,” Voss said in an e-mailed statement. “Their actions have been consistent with our efforts to maintain the highest professional and ethical standards in all of our legal and regulatory practices. Their paramount concern was for the safety of every single owner of one of our vehicles.” The NHTSA decisions on Toyota weren’t necessarily biased just because former agency people were involved, said Sidney Shapiro, a law professor at Wake Forest University in Winston- Salem, North Carolina. “I’m not sure regulators set out to say ‘I’m going to give a special deal to my old friends in the auto industry,’” he said. “But what happens is it just sort of deteriorates because these are the only people you talk to.” Opposite Sides There are no waiting-period requirements for moves to a company from its regulator for lower-level positions like those of Tinto and Santucci, said Allan Kam, former NHTSA senior enforcement attorney, who retired in 2000 after 25 years and said he was a “mentor” to Tinto at the agency. Santucci came to NHTSA after Kam’s retirement. “They’re not supposed to deal with the agency about a matter they dealt with at the agency,” he said. Neither former NHTSA employee testified to any such conflicts when asked by attorneys. Tinto, 46, came to Toyota after about four years at NHTSA. He hired Santucci from NHTSA in 2003, after the two met on opposite sides of the table in defect investigation cases, Santucci said in a deposition in the Michigan lawsuit. Santucci, 39, works on most of the automaker’s recall petitions, he said in the deposition. In last year’s floor-mat recall, Santucci said he helped write Toyota’s explanation of the remedy and had phone calls and meetings with NHTSA to describe the automaker’s plans. Cases Closed NHTSA opened eight investigations of unintended acceleration of Toyota vehicles from 2003 to 2010, according to Safety Research & Strategies Inc. , a Rehoboth, Massachusetts, group that gathers data from NHTSA and other sources for plaintiff’s attorneys and consumers. Three of the probes resulted in recalls for floor mats. Five were closed, meaning NHTSA found no evidence of a defect. In four of the five cases that were closed, Tinto and Santucci worked with NHTSA on Toyota’s responses to the consumer complaints the agency was investigating, agency documents show. The first closed case where NHTSA records show the involvement of Tinto and Santucci dealt with unanticipated acceleration by 2002 and 2003 Toyota Camrys and Solaras. The case, opened in March 2004, was the one Santucci testified about when he discussed limiting the scope of the probe. He did so in a deposition for a lawsuit filed on behalf of a Michigan woman who was killed in an April 2008 accident. ‘Blew Past’ Intersection In that lawsuit, the family of Guadalupe Alberto, 76, says she died when her 2005 Toyota Camry sped out of control and crashed into a tree. The lawsuit blames a defect in the electronic throttle control, said attorney Edgar Heiskell, who represents the Alberto family. “She blew past an intersection, witnesses saw her with both hands on the wheel,” Heiskell said. “She appeared to be standing on the brake while steering.” On March 3, 2004, the agency told Toyota it was opening a preliminary investigation to determine “if the throttle control system could be the cause of vehicle surge or unwanted acceleration.” Santucci and Tinto worked with Santucci’s former NHTSA co- workers, Scott Yon and Jeffrey Quandt, on the investigation, Santucci testified in his deposition. Yon and Quandt weren’t available for comment, Alair of the Transportation Department said. ‘Certainly, We Talked’ Twenty days after the probe began, NHTSA investigator Yon determined that the agency wouldn’t investigate “longer duration incidents involving uncontrollable acceleration where brake pedal application allegedly had no effect,” according to a document provided in the Michigan lawsuit. “But that was after talking with you and Mr. Tinto, correct?” Heiskell asked during the deposition. “Certainly, we talked to them in that time period,” Santucci said. NHSTA opted to limit the investigation to unintended acceleration events that lasted less than a second and those where the brake could be used to control the vehicle, or about 11 incidents with 5 crashes. In Toyota’s initial response, Tinto identified 114 similar cases, according to NHTSA documents. The case was closed July 22, 2004, agency records show. The agency decided to limit the cases to eliminate instances where a driver may have used the wrong pedal, the Transportation Department’s Alair said. No Social Relationship Santucci didn’t work on unintended acceleration cases involving Toyota while at NHTSA and doesn’t have a social relationship with former co-workers, he said in his deposition. The second NHTSA-Toyota case settled with the automaker’s input was a 2005 investigation requested by the owner of a 2002 Toyota Camry who reported two instances of unintended acceleration, one involving a crash. The owner cited eight other complaints from other Toyota drivers about similar episodes, without identifying the vehicle make and model. Toyota said dealer representatives investigated 59 of 100 vehicles whose owners complained. “In each of these vehicles, no evidence of a system or component failure was found and the vehicles were operating as designed,” Tinto wrote in a Nov. 15 letter to NHSTA. He also cited the findings that ended the Camry investigation in 2004. Water Corrosion NHTSA ended its probe of the 2002 Camry in January 2006, citing lack of evidence of a problem and the agency’s need to allocate “limited resources” to other investigations. Tinto also weighed in on a broader August 2006 complaint about the Camry, this time covering model years 2002 to 2006. In that case, Tinto wrote that Toyota had found no abnormality in the throttle actuator, or controller, which the petitioner blamed. In the defect investigation notice, NHSTA noted 3,546 cases where Toyota had replaced throttle actuators under warranty terms. The automaker did find evidence that returned actuators had corroded due to water intrusion caused by circumstances “such as driving through a flooded road, in the heavy rain or a hurricane” and a drain hose was modified to prevent future water intrusion, Tinto wrote in a Dec. 20, 2006, letter to the agency. NHTSA decided not to pursue the investigation, telling the owner “after reviewing the concerns raised by the petitioner and other information, NHTSA has concluded that further expenditure of the agency’s investigative issues raised by the petition in not warranted.” Tacoma Pickups In the fourth case, in 2008, Tinto told NHTSA the automaker couldn’t find enough evidence to support allegations of unintended acceleration in 2006-2007 Toyota Tacoma pickup trucks. The owner reported two incidents of unintended acceleration in his 2006 Tacoma and pointed to 32 similar complaints in the NHTSA database. Toyota itself received complaints of 478 incidents involving 431 Tacomas, for model years 2004 to 2008, that allegedly increased engine speed when the accelerator pedal wasn’t pushed, according to an April 25, 2008, memo by Tinto. Of those incidents, 49 resulted in a crash and 9 had injuries, he said. After a review, Tinto said he disagreed that the complaints to NHSTA “in and of themselves justify opening an investigation” and said media attention to driver complaints contributed to the allegations. “In Toyota’s view, neither the consumer complaints nor the field study indicate the existence of any defect in the subject vehicles, much less a safety-related defect,” he wrote. Request Denied NHTSA closed the investigation on Aug. 27, 2008, after an eight-month review, saying that “we have been unable to determine a cause related to throttle control or any underlying cause that gave rise to the complaint.” Tinto also may have helped thwart an attempt by the owner of a 2007 Lexus ES350 to reopen a NHTSA investigation that resulted in a 55,000-unit recall for floor mat problems. The owner, Jeffrey Pepski of Plymouth, Minnesota, said he experienced an unintended acceleration incident in February 2009 and wanted the agency to probe other possible causes, such as the electronic throttle. Tinto’s response to NHTSA last May said the incident was Pepski’s fault because his floor mat wasn’t secured and that there was no need for a new investigation because the “limited number of such incidents does not suggest the existence of a safety-related defect in these vehicles.” Seeking Toyoda U.S. Transportation Department, NHTSA and Toyota officials have been asked to appear on Feb. 24 before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee and Feb. 25 before the House Energy and Commerce Committee to talk about the recalls. The Senate Commerce Committee plans a hearing March 2. “At the heart of the matter is determining whether Toyota acted as quickly as possible to notify regulators there was a problem and whether or not government acted as quickly and diligently as possible to investigate and act,” Representative Darrell Issa , a California Republican and ranking member of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, said in a statement this week. Issa called on Toyota President Akio Toyoda to appear before the Senate panel. “I would fully support the issuance of a subpoena” if Toyoda doesn’t cooperate, Issa said in a statement yesterday. For Related News and Information: Legal news about Toyota: 7203 JT TCNI LAW Automaker earnings stories: TNI ERN AUT Toyota financial analysis: 7203 JT FA AUTO U.S. auto-industry fundamentals: IFS3

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Regulators Hired by Toyota Helped Halt Probes, Documents Show

February 11, 2010

Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) — Former regulators hired by Toyota Motor Corp. helped end at least four U.S. investigations of unintended acceleration by company vehicles in the last decade, warding off possible recalls, court and government records show. Christopher Tinto, vice president of regulatory affairs in Toyota’s Washington office, and Christopher Santucci, who works for Tinto, helped persuade the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration to end probes including those of 2002-2003 Toyota Camrys and Solaras, court documents show. Both men joined Toyota directly from NHTSA, Tinto in 1994 and Santucci in 2003. While all automakers have employees who handle NHTSA issues, Toyota may be alone among the major companies in employing former agency staffers to do so. Spokesmen for General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. , Chrysler Group LLC and Honda Motor Co. all say their companies have no ex-NHTSA people who deal with the agency on defects. Possible links between Toyota and NHTSA may fuel mounting criticism of their handling of defects in Toyota and Lexus models tied to 19 deaths between 2004 and 2009. Three congressional committees have scheduled hearings on the recalls. “Toyota bamboozled NHTSA or NHTSA was bamboozled by itself,” said Joan Claybrook , an auto safety advocate and former NHTSA administrator in the Jimmy Carter administration. “I think there is going to be a lot of heat on NHTSA over this.” ‘Discussed Scope’ In one example of the Toyota aides’ role, Santucci testified in a Michigan lawsuit that the company and NHTSA discussed limiting an examination of unintended acceleration complaints to incidents lasting less than a second. “We discussed the scope” of the investigation, Santucci testified. “NHTSA’s concerns about the scope ultimately led to a decision by the agency to reduce that scope. You say it worked out well for Toyota, I think it worked out well for both the agency and Toyota.” In an e-mailed response to questions about possible influence of former NHTSA employees on agency Toyota decisions, Transportation Department spokeswoman Olivia Alair said NHTSA “currently has three open investigations involving Toyota and is monitoring two major safety recalls involving Toyota vehicles. NHTSA’s record reflects that safety is its singular priority.” Toyota City, Japan-based Toyota on Jan. 21 recalled 2.3 million U.S. cars and trucks with a potentially defective accelerator pedals. That followed Toyota’s decision in November to recall 4.48 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada because floor mats might trap gas pedals while they were depressed. Electronics Probe Combined worldwide recalls for pedals, floor mats and a software fix to adjust brakes on the Prius and other hybrid models rose to more than 8 million vehicles as of Feb. 8. “A recall is bad for any automaker because they have to admit there’s a defect in their vehicle and the repairs can be expensive,” said Rebecca Lindland , a forecaster at IHS Global Insight Inc. in Lexington, Massachusetts. In Toyota’s case, “the company has built itself on pillars of safety, quality and reliability,” she said. “A defect in their product is appalling to them, sort of unthinkable.” All four of the probes the Toyota aides helped end were into complaints that the unintended acceleration was caused by flaws in the vehicles’ electronic throttle systems. Toyota has denied that the system is a problem. U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said on Feb. 3 that NHTSA is reviewing the electronics. Toyota spokeswoman Martha Voss declined to make Santucci and Tinto available for comment. ‘Highest Standards’ “Anything Mr. Tinto and Mr. Santucci did was in the interest of full disclosure, transparency and openness with regulators and safety experts,” Voss said in an e-mailed statement. “Their actions have been consistent with our efforts to maintain the highest professional and ethical standards in all of our legal and regulatory practices. Their paramount concern was for the safety of every single owner of one of our vehicles.” The NHTSA decisions on Toyota weren’t necessarily biased just because former agency people were involved, said Sidney Shapiro, a law professor at Wake Forest University in Winston- Salem, North Carolina. “I’m not sure regulators set out to say ‘I’m going to give a special deal to my old friends in the auto industry,’” he said. “But what happens is it just sort of deteriorates because these are the only people you talk to.” Opposite Sides There are no waiting-period requirements for moves to a company from its regulator for lower-level positions like those of Tinto and Santucci, said Allan Kam, former NHTSA senior enforcement attorney, who retired in 2000 after 25 years and said he was a “mentor” to Tinto at the agency. Santucci came to NHTSA after Kam’s retirement. “They’re not supposed to deal with the agency about a matter they dealt with at the agency,” he said. Neither former NHTSA employee testified to any such conflicts when asked by attorneys. Tinto, 46, came to Toyota after about four years at NHTSA. He hired Santucci from NHTSA in 2003, after the two met on opposite sides of the table in defect investigation cases, Santucci said in a deposition in the Michigan lawsuit. Santucci, 39, works on most of the automaker’s recall petitions, he said in the deposition. In last year’s floor-mat recall, Santucci said he helped write Toyota’s explanation of the remedy and had phone calls and meetings with NHTSA to describe the automaker’s plans. Cases Closed NHTSA opened eight investigations of unintended acceleration of Toyota vehicles from 2003 to 2010, according to Safety Research & Strategies Inc. , a Rehoboth, Massachusetts, group that gathers data from NHTSA and other sources for plaintiff’s attorneys and consumers. Three of the probes resulted in recalls for floor mats. Five were closed, meaning NHTSA found no evidence of a defect. In four of the five cases that were closed, Tinto and Santucci worked with NHTSA on Toyota’s responses to the consumer complaints the agency was investigating, agency documents show. The first closed case where NHTSA records show the involvement of Tinto and Santucci dealt with unanticipated acceleration by 2002 and 2003 Toyota Camrys and Solaras. The case, opened in March 2004, was the one Santucci testified about when he discussed limiting the scope of the probe. He did so in a deposition for a lawsuit filed on behalf of a Michigan woman who was killed in an April 2008 accident. ‘Blew Past’ Intersection In that lawsuit, the family of Guadalupe Alberto, 76, says she died when her 2005 Toyota Camry sped out of control and crashed into a tree. The lawsuit blames a defect in the electronic throttle control, said attorney Edgar Heiskell, who represents the Alberto family. “She blew past an intersection, witnesses saw her with both hands on the wheel,” Heiskell said. “She appeared to be standing on the brake while steering.” On March 3, 2004, the agency told Toyota it was opening a preliminary investigation to determine “if the throttle control system could be the cause of vehicle surge or unwanted acceleration.” Santucci and Tinto worked with Santucci’s former NHTSA co- workers, Scott Yon and Jeffrey Quandt, on the investigation, Santucci testified in his deposition. Yon and Quandt weren’t available for comment, Alair of the Transportation Department said. ‘Certainly, We Talked’ Twenty days after the probe began, NHTSA investigator Yon determined that the agency wouldn’t investigate “longer duration incidents involving uncontrollable acceleration where brake pedal application allegedly had no effect,” according to a document provided in the Michigan lawsuit. “But that was after talking with you and Mr. Tinto, correct?” Heiskell asked during the deposition. “Certainly, we talked to them in that time period,” Santucci said. NHSTA opted to limit the investigation to unintended acceleration events that lasted less than a second and those where the brake could be used to control the vehicle, or about 11 incidents with 5 crashes. In Toyota’s initial response, Tinto identified 114 similar cases, according to NHTSA documents. The case was closed July 22, 2004, agency records show. The agency decided to limit the cases to eliminate instances where a driver may have used the wrong pedal, the Transportation Department’s Alair said. No Social Relationship Santucci didn’t work on unintended acceleration cases involving Toyota while at NHTSA and doesn’t have a social relationship with former co-workers, he said in his deposition. The second NHTSA-Toyota case settled with the automaker’s input was a 2005 investigation requested by the owner of a 2002 Toyota Camry who reported two instances of unintended acceleration, one involving a crash. The owner cited eight other complaints from other Toyota drivers about similar episodes, without identifying the vehicle make and model. Toyota said dealer representatives investigated 59 of 100 vehicles whose owners complained. “In each of these vehicles, no evidence of a system or component failure was found and the vehicles were operating as designed,” Tinto wrote in a Nov. 15 letter to NHSTA. He also cited the findings that ended the Camry investigation in 2004. Water Corrosion NHTSA ended its probe of the 2002 Camry in January 2006, citing lack of evidence of a problem and the agency’s need to allocate “limited resources” to other investigations. Tinto also weighed in on a broader August 2006 complaint about the Camry, this time covering model years 2002 to 2006. In that case, Tinto wrote that Toyota had found no abnormality in the throttle actuator, or controller, which the petitioner blamed. In the defect investigation notice, NHSTA noted 3,546 cases where Toyota had replaced throttle actuators under warranty terms. The automaker did find evidence that returned actuators had corroded due to water intrusion caused by circumstances “such as driving through a flooded road, in the heavy rain or a hurricane” and a drain hose was modified to prevent future water intrusion, Tinto wrote in a Dec. 20, 2006, letter to the agency. NHTSA decided not to pursue the investigation, telling the owner “after reviewing the concerns raised by the petitioner and other information, NHTSA has concluded that further expenditure of the agency’s investigative issues raised by the petition in not warranted.” Tacoma Pickups In the fourth case, in 2008, Tinto told NHTSA the automaker couldn’t find enough evidence to support allegations of unintended acceleration in 2006-2007 Toyota Tacoma pickup trucks. The owner reported two incidents of unintended acceleration in his 2006 Tacoma and pointed to 32 similar complaints in the NHTSA database. Toyota itself received complaints of 478 incidents involving 431 Tacomas, for model years 2004 to 2008, that allegedly increased engine speed when the accelerator pedal wasn’t pushed, according to an April 25, 2008, memo by Tinto. Of those incidents, 49 resulted in a crash and 9 had injuries, he said. After a review, Tinto said he disagreed that the complaints to NHSTA “in and of themselves justify opening an investigation” and said media attention to driver complaints contributed to the allegations. “In Toyota’s view, neither the consumer complaints nor the field study indicate the existence of any defect in the subject vehicles, much less a safety-related defect,” he wrote. Request Denied NHTSA closed the investigation on Aug. 27, 2008, after an eight-month review, saying that “we have been unable to determine a cause related to throttle control or any underlying cause that gave rise to the complaint.” Tinto also may have helped thwart an attempt by the owner of a 2007 Lexus ES350 to reopen a NHTSA investigation that resulted in a 55,000-unit recall for floor mat problems. The owner, Jeffrey Pepski of Plymouth, Minnesota, said he experienced an unintended acceleration incident in February 2009 and wanted the agency to probe other possible causes, such as the electronic throttle. Tinto’s response to NHTSA last May said the incident was Pepski’s fault because his floor mat wasn’t secured and that there was no need for a new investigation because the “limited number of such incidents does not suggest the existence of a safety-related defect in these vehicles.” Seeking Toyoda U.S. Transportation Department, NHTSA and Toyota officials have been asked to appear on Feb. 24 before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee and Feb. 25 before the House Energy and Commerce Committee to talk about the recalls. The Senate Commerce Committee plans a hearing March 2. “At the heart of the matter is determining whether Toyota acted as quickly as possible to notify regulators there was a problem and whether or not government acted as quickly and diligently as possible to investigate and act,” Representative Darrell Issa , a California Republican and ranking member of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, said in a statement this week. Issa called on Toyota President Akio Toyoda to appear before the Senate panel. “I would fully support the issuance of a subpoena” if Toyoda doesn’t cooperate, Issa said in a statement yesterday. For Related News and Information: Legal news about Toyota: 7203 JT TCNI LAW Automaker earnings stories: TNI ERN AUT Toyota financial analysis: 7203 JT FA AUTO U.S. auto-industry fundamentals: IFS3

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India Says It Can’t Be Lax in Fighting Inflation as It Aims to Cool Prices

February 7, 2010

By Jacob Greber Feb. 8 (Bloomberg) — India can’t afford to be lax about fighting inflation as the nation seeks to slow price gains to 5 percent or less, central bank Deputy Governor K.C. Chakrabarty said yesterday. “You cannot afford to be in any way lax in monitoring inflation and controlling it,” Chakrabarty said in an interview in Sydney. “We would not like to have more than 4 or 5 percent inflation. That’s the challenge.” Central Bank Governor Duvvuri Subbarao raised the amount lenders are required to set aside as reserves last month to prevent excess money in the banking system from fanning price gains. India’s wholesale-food inflation rate rose to 17.56 percent in the week to Jan. 23, moving closer to an 11-year high and fueling speculation that Subbarao may raise interest rates. India’s “inflation is edging up, and that’s why you see we have already exited from the monetary stimulus, almost exited,” Chakrabarty said. “We hope that this will anchor inflation” expectations. Consumer-price inflation in India is the highest among Asia-Pacific countries, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Prices paid by industrial workers rose 14.97 percent in December from a year earlier, the most in 11 years, while consumer-price inflation for farm workers in the country accelerated to 17.21 percent. The benchmark wholesale-price inflation rate was 7.31 percent in December, the highest in 13 months. Monsoon Rains Food costs are rising as the June-to-September monsoon rains, the main source of irrigation in Asia’s third-largest economy, were the weakest since 1972, hurting agriculture. The Reserve Bank of India hopes to cool inflation to 4 percent or 5 percent in 2011 or 2012, Chakrabarty said. Price gains won’t come to that level “so soon,” the deputy governor said, without saying if he was referring to consumer or wholesale prices. The central bank on Jan. 29 increased the so-called cash reserve ratio by 0.75 percentage points to 5.75 percent, a move it estimates will drain about 360 billion rupees ($7.7 billion) from the banking system. Subbarao left the benchmark reverse repurchase rate unchanged at 3.25 percent. “Our main policy instruments are all currently at levels that are more consistent with a crisis situation than with a fast-recovering economy,” Subbarao said at the time. “It’s therefore necessary to carry forward the process” of exiting them, he said, signaling the central bank may boost policy rates as growth strengthens. Growth Forecast The central bank raised its economic growth forecast to 7.5 percent in the fiscal year through March 2010, from an earlier estimate of 6 percent, and increased its inflation forecast to 8.5 percent from 6.5 percent. The Reserve Bank will give a forecast for the following year in April, Chakrabarty said. The government injected fiscal and monetary stimulus of more than 12 percent of gross domestic product between September 2008 and April last year, helping the South Asian nation’s economy grow 7.9 percent in the three months ended Sept. 30, the fastest pace in 18 months. Industrial production climbed 11.7 percent in November, the fastest pace in two years, as stimulus measures stoked demand for cars made by Maruti Suzuki India Ltd., the plasma screens of the Indian unit of LG Electronics Inc., and Hero Honda Motors Ltd. motorcycles. Global stocks plunged last week while bond default risks soared after Greece’s biggest union approved the second mass strike this month and tax collectors began a 48-hour walkout, showing that Prime Minister George Papandreou ’s parliamentary majority may not be enough to implement his plan to cut the European Union’s largest deficit. “Any time anywhere sovereign crisis is happening, we need to be cautious,” Chakrabarty said. “But we hope that we don’t have much exposure to these small countries until it affects the other economies. I think if it is controlled at the Greece level, I don’t think” it will spread. India’s financial markets “are more or less stable,” he added. “With higher growth it has to have the stability.” To contact the reporter on this story: Jacob Greber in Sydney at jgreber@bloomberg.net

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Toyota Pedal Recall May Spur U.S. to Require New Brake Systems

February 5, 2010

By Jeff Green and Margaret Cronin Fisk Feb. 5 (Bloomberg) — Toyota Motor Corp. ’s U.S. recall of 5.6 million vehicles for possible unintended acceleration may spur regulators to require braking technology that prevents such sudden bursts of speed in all future vehicles. So-called brake override systems, which disengage the engine when the brake and throttle are both depressed, are now on many newer autos that use computers instead of cables to control acceleration. Toyota said last month it is adding the equipment on most models, in response to a Sept. 29 recall. “There’s no question,” said Joan Claybrook , a safety advocate and former director of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration . “We are going to see a brake override system requirement in response to this.” New regulations would build on the government’s history of expanding its safety rules in response to accidents that expose dangerous vehicle defects. Upgrades such as improved fuel tanks, new gearshift designs and air-bag warnings all flowed from federal mandates to automakers since the 1970s. “The most likely outcome of this will be a regulatory catharsis,” said Brian Johnson , a Barclays Plc analyst based in Chicago. “There will probably be some sort of fail-safe system against unintended acceleration.” Cost Estimate Requiring automakers to upgrade braking software may cost $25 to $50 on each vehicle, Johnson said. That expense would rise to a range of $50 to $150 should regulators compel installation of new technology, he said. A NHTSA spokeswoman, Karen Aldana , didn’t respond to a phone call or e-mail seeking comment. Brake override systems work in tandem with the electronic throttle control technology that was unveiled in the late 1980s and is becoming an industry standard as automakers rush to meet safety rules taking effect in 2012. Electronic throttle controls use computer signals, not the mechanical action of cables attached to the accelerator pedal, to adjust a car’s speed. In a conventional auto, releasing the pedal eases the cable pressure, closing the throttle. In vehicles with an electronic control, a brake override unit would cut power to the wheels if the throttle is stuck open. General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co. now have brake override units on some models, while Honda Motor Co. said it doesn’t have the technology. Chrysler Group LLC said it has override controls on all autos with electronic throttle systems. Toyota’s Response Toyota said Jan. 11 it would install the technology to cover most of its lineup after a 2009 recall. Hyundai Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. said they have brake override systems, as do luxury brands such as Daimler AG ’s Mercedes-Benz, which put the units on autos with electronic throttle control. “It would make sense to require a brake override,” said Michael Omotoso , a powertrain analyst at J.D. Power & Associates in Troy, Michigan. “I would be pretty surprised if it didn’t happen soon.” Toyota’s most-recent recall began Jan. 21, covering about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada to fix pedals that may cause the throttle to stick in an open position. The Toyota City, Japan-based automaker halted sales of eight models and shut five North American factories while it rolls out a repair. That followed a separate recall of 5.35 million Toyotas after floor mats in some models interfered with the accelerator pedal and kept the throttle propped open. Pending Lawsuits The world’s largest automaker faces at least 29 lawsuits seeking class action status in the U.S. and Canada, with 17 alleging defects in electronic throttle control systems. At least 10 lawsuits have been filed in the U.S. claiming deaths and injuries caused by sudden acceleration. U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said this week the government is investigating whether some sudden speedups can be traced to electronic throttle control systems. Toyota said it has found no unintended-acceleration cases from the technology. “I’m not sure if there are electronic gremlins in these cars that are making them malfunction,” Bill Visnic , a senior editor for auto researcher Edmunds.com in Weirton, West Virginia. “It’s not impossible, but it’s improbable. But, either way, the brake system would prevent it.” After introducing electronic throttle control, Toyota also had a cable on the accelerator pedal as a backup from 1998 to 2002, when it determined the mechanical link was no longer needed, said Brian Lyons , a company spokesman. Override System Had Toyota added a backup system such as a brake override unit to cut power to the wheels, it could have kept most cars from losing control in any unintended acceleration, said attorney Robert Hilliard , who filed a suit on Jan. 29 seeking class action status in Corpus Christi, Texas. He likened the approach to a sky diver wearing an emergency parachute. “Let’s say your first chute doesn’t open,” Hilliard said. “The safety chute doesn’t stop the problem, it just prevents the consequences.” Antony Anderson , a U.K.-based electrical engineering consultant who has testified as an expert witness for plaintiffs in lawsuits, said any federal rule for brake override systems should ensure that the units aren’t run by the computer controlling the electronic throttle system. A case of sudden acceleration may be caused by electronic interference, so brakes guided by the same computer might not work, Anderson said. “If the electronics have malfunctioned, the software is in disarray,” he said. “It won’t accept an additional command.” Regulatory Legacy Regulatory changes spurred a number of the features now taken for granted in modern autos, said John Wolkonowicz , an analyst at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. Stronger fuel tanks, for example, emerged from the 1978 recall of about 1.5 million Ford Pintos on concern that rear-end collisions could spill gasoline and ignite fires, Wolkonowicz said. So-called shift locks, which require drivers to place a foot on the brake before putting a car with automatic transmission in gear, came in response to sudden-acceleration cases involving Volkswagen AG ’s Audi, Wolkonowicz said. Recalls of Audi 5000 sedans from the 1978 through 1986 model years began in 1982 after more than 1,000 complaints. While NHTSA closed its Audi investigation in 1989, the class action in that case is still pending in Cook County, Illinois. More-recent automotive innovations include monitors to alert motorists to low tire pressure, Wolkonowicz said. Those devices became required after 271 deaths attributed to rollovers of Ford Explorer sport-utility vehicles, which spurred recalls of Firestone tires in 2000 and 2001. Worn, underinflated tires were cited for many of the Explorer crashes. What Next? Claybrook, the NHTSA chief during the Pinto recall, said Toyota’s case may prompt the U.S. to consider criminal penalties for companies that don’t react quickly to safety flaws and boost fines for some infractions to $100 million or more from a cap of $16.4 million. Another likely quick fix is a warning label telling drivers how to stop a vehicle that accelerates unintentionally, said Omotoso, the J.D. Power analyst. Similar advisories were placed in cars after air bags were blamed for deaths of front-seat passengers, he said. “More and more of the direct control of the car is being taken away from the driver, and there is this growing sense of helplessness in the face of technology that’s supposed to help us,” Omotoso said. “You just have to hope it all works.” To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan, at jgreen16@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Cronin Fisk in Southfield, Michigan, at mcfisk@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota Pedal Recall May Force New Braking System Requirements for All Cars

February 5, 2010

By Jeff Green and Margaret Cronin Fisk Feb. 5 (Bloomberg) — Toyota Motor Corp. ’s U.S. recall of 5.6 million vehicles for possible unintended acceleration may spur regulators to require braking technology that prevents such sudden bursts of speed in all future vehicles. So-called brake override systems, which disengage the engine when the brake and throttle are both depressed, are now on many newer autos that use computers instead of cables to control acceleration. Toyota said last month it is adding the equipment on most models, in response to a Sept. 29 recall. “There’s no question,” said Joan Claybrook , a safety advocate and former director of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration . “We are going to see a brake override system requirement in response to this.” New regulations would build on the government’s history of expanding its safety rules in response to accidents that expose dangerous vehicle defects. Upgrades such as improved fuel tanks, new gearshift designs and air-bag warnings all flowed from federal mandates to automakers since the 1970s. “The most likely outcome of this will be a regulatory catharsis,” said Brian Johnson , a Barclays Plc analyst based in Chicago. “There will probably be some sort of fail-safe system against unintended acceleration.” Cost Estimate Requiring automakers to upgrade braking software may cost $25 to $50 on each vehicle, Johnson said. That expense would rise to a range of $50 to $150 should regulators compel installation of new technology, he said. A NHTSA spokeswoman, Karen Aldana , didn’t respond to a phone call or e-mail seeking comment. Brake override systems work in tandem with the electronic throttle control technology that was unveiled in the late 1980s and is becoming an industry standard as automakers rush to meet safety rules taking effect in 2012. Electronic throttle controls use computer signals, not the mechanical action of cables attached to the accelerator pedal, to adjust a car’s speed. In a conventional auto, releasing the pedal eases the cable pressure, closing the throttle. In vehicles with an electronic control, a brake override unit would cut power to the wheels if the throttle is stuck open. General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co. now have brake override units on some models, while Honda Motor Co. said it doesn’t have the technology. Chrysler Group LLC said it has override controls on all autos with electronic throttle systems. Toyota’s Response Toyota said Jan. 11 it would install the technology to cover most of its lineup after a 2009 recall. Hyundai Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. said they have brake override systems, as do luxury brands such as Daimler AG ’s Mercedes-Benz, which put the units on autos with electronic throttle control. “It would make sense to require a brake override,” said Michael Omotoso , a powertrain analyst at J.D. Power & Associates in Troy, Michigan. “I would be pretty surprised if it didn’t happen soon.” Toyota’s most-recent recall began Jan. 21, covering about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada to fix pedals that may cause the throttle to stick in an open position. The Toyota City, Japan-based automaker halted sales of eight models and shut five North American factories while it rolls out a repair. That followed a separate recall of 5.35 million Toyotas after floor mats in some models interfered with the accelerator pedal and kept the throttle propped open. Pending Lawsuits The world’s largest automaker faces at least 29 lawsuits seeking class action status in the U.S. and Canada, with 17 alleging defects in electronic throttle control systems. At least 10 lawsuits have been filed in the U.S. claiming deaths and injuries caused by sudden acceleration. U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said this week the government is investigating whether some sudden speedups can be traced to electronic throttle control systems. Toyota said it has found no unintended-acceleration cases from the technology. “I’m not sure if there are electronic gremlins in these cars that are making them malfunction,” Bill Visnic , a senior editor for auto researcher Edmunds.com in Weirton, West Virginia. “It’s not impossible, but it’s improbable. But, either way, the brake system would prevent it.” After introducing electronic throttle control, Toyota also had a cable on the accelerator pedal as a backup from 1998 to 2002, when it determined the mechanical link was no longer needed, said Brian Lyons , a company spokesman. Override System Had Toyota added a backup system such as a brake override unit to cut power to the wheels, it could have kept most cars from losing control in any unintended acceleration, said attorney Robert Hilliard , who filed a suit on Jan. 29 seeking class action status in Corpus Christi, Texas. He likened the approach to a sky diver wearing an emergency parachute. “Let’s say your first chute doesn’t open,” Hilliard said. “The safety chute doesn’t stop the problem, it just prevents the consequences.” Antony Anderson , a U.K.-based electrical engineering consultant who has testified as an expert witness for plaintiffs in lawsuits, said any federal rule for brake override systems should ensure that the units aren’t run by the computer controlling the electronic throttle system. A case of sudden acceleration may be caused by electronic interference, so brakes guided by the same computer might not work, Anderson said. “If the electronics have malfunctioned, the software is in disarray,” he said. “It won’t accept an additional command.” Regulatory Legacy Regulatory changes spurred a number of the features now taken for granted in modern autos, said John Wolkonowicz , an analyst at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. Stronger fuel tanks, for example, emerged from the 1978 recall of about 1.5 million Ford Pintos on concern that rear-end collisions could spill gasoline and ignite fires, Wolkonowicz said. So-called shift locks, which require drivers to place a foot on the brake before putting a car with automatic transmission in gear, came in response to sudden-acceleration cases involving Volkswagen AG ’s Audi, Wolkonowicz said. Recalls of Audi 5000 sedans from the 1978 through 1986 model years began in 1982 after more than 1,000 complaints. While NHTSA closed its Audi investigation in 1989, the class action in that case is still pending in Cook County, Illinois. More-recent automotive innovations include monitors to alert motorists to low tire pressure, Wolkonowicz said. Those devices became required after 271 deaths attributed to rollovers of Ford Explorer sport-utility vehicles, which spurred recalls of Firestone tires in 2000 and 2001. Worn, underinflated tires were cited for many of the Explorer crashes. What Next? Claybrook, the NHTSA chief during the Pinto recall, said Toyota’s case may prompt the U.S. to consider criminal penalties for companies that don’t react quickly to safety flaws and boost fines for some infractions to $100 million or more from a cap of $16.4 million. Another likely quick fix is a warning label telling drivers how to stop a vehicle that accelerates unintentionally, said Omotoso, the J.D. Power analyst. Similar advisories were placed in cars after air bags were blamed for deaths of front-seat passengers, he said. “More and more of the direct control of the car is being taken away from the driver, and there is this growing sense of helplessness in the face of technology that’s supposed to help us,” Omotoso said. “You just have to hope it all works.” To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan, at jgreen16@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Cronin Fisk in Southfield, Michigan, at mcfisk@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota Pedal Recall May Spur U.S. Regulators to Require New Brake Systems

February 4, 2010

By Jeff Green and Margaret Cronin Fisk Feb. 5 (Bloomberg) — Toyota Motor Corp. ’s U.S. recall of 5.6 million vehicles for possible unintended acceleration may spur regulators to require braking technology that prevents such sudden bursts of speed in all future vehicles. So-called brake override systems, which disengage the engine when the brake and throttle are both depressed, are now on many newer autos that use computers instead of cables to control acceleration. Toyota said last month it is adding the equipment on most models, in response to a Sept. 29 recall. “There’s no question,” said Joan Claybrook , a safety advocate and former director of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration . “We are going to see a brake override system requirement in response to this.” New regulations would build on the government’s history of expanding its safety rules in response to accidents that expose dangerous vehicle defects. Upgrades such as improved fuel tanks, new gearshift designs and air-bag warnings all flowed from federal mandates to automakers since the 1970s. “The most likely outcome of this will be a regulatory catharsis,” said Brian Johnson , a Barclays Plc analyst based in Chicago. “There will probably be some sort of fail-safe system against unintended acceleration.” Cost Estimate Requiring automakers to upgrade braking software may cost $25 to $50 on each vehicle, Johnson said. That expense would rise to a range of $50 to $150 should regulators compel installation of new technology, he said. A NHTSA spokeswoman, Karen Aldana , didn’t respond to a phone call or e-mail seeking comment. Brake override systems work in tandem with the electronic throttle control technology that was unveiled in the late 1980s and is becoming an industry standard as automakers rush to meet safety rules taking effect in 2012. Electronic throttle controls use computer signals, not the mechanical action of cables attached to the accelerator pedal, to adjust a car’s speed. In a conventional auto, releasing the pedal eases the cable pressure, closing the throttle. In vehicles with an electronic control, a brake override unit would cut power to the wheels if the throttle is stuck open. General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co. now have brake override units on some models, while Honda Motor Co. said it doesn’t have the technology. Chrysler Group LLC said it has override controls on all autos with electronic throttle systems. Toyota’s Response Toyota said Jan. 11 it would install the technology to cover most of its lineup after a 2009 recall. Hyundai Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co. said they have brake override systems, as do luxury brands such as Daimler AG ’s Mercedes-Benz, which put the units on autos with electronic throttle control. “It would make sense to require a brake override,” said Michael Omotoso , a powertrain analyst at J.D. Power & Associates in Troy, Michigan. “I would be pretty surprised if it didn’t happen soon.” Toyota’s most-recent recall began Jan. 21, covering about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada to fix pedals that may cause the throttle to stick in an open position. The Toyota City, Japan-based automaker halted sales of eight models and shut five North American factories while it rolls out a repair. That followed a separate recall of 5.35 million Toyotas after floor mats in some models interfered with the accelerator pedal and kept the throttle propped open. Pending Lawsuits The world’s largest automaker faces at least 29 lawsuits seeking class action status in the U.S. and Canada, with 17 alleging defects in electronic throttle control systems. At least 10 lawsuits have been filed in the U.S. claiming deaths and injuries caused by sudden acceleration. U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said this week the government is investigating whether some sudden speedups can be traced to electronic throttle control systems. Toyota said it has found no unintended-acceleration cases from the technology. “I’m not sure if there are electronic gremlins in these cars that are making them malfunction,” Bill Visnic , a senior editor for auto researcher Edmunds.com in Weirton, West Virginia. “It’s not impossible, but it’s improbable. But, either way, the brake system would prevent it.” After introducing electronic throttle control, Toyota also had a cable on the accelerator pedal as a backup from 1998 to 2002, when it determined the mechanical link was no longer needed, said Brian Lyons , a company spokesman. Override System Had Toyota added a backup system such as a brake override unit to cut power to the wheels, it could have kept most cars from losing control in any unintended acceleration, said attorney Robert Hilliard , who filed a suit on Jan. 29 seeking class action status in Corpus Christi, Texas. He likened the approach to a sky diver wearing an emergency parachute. “Let’s say your first chute doesn’t open,” Hilliard said. “The safety chute doesn’t stop the problem, it just prevents the consequences.” Antony Anderson , a U.K.-based electrical engineering consultant who has testified as an expert witness for plaintiffs in lawsuits, said any federal rule for brake override systems should ensure that the units aren’t run by the computer controlling the electronic throttle system. A case of sudden acceleration may be caused by electronic interference, so brakes guided by the same computer might not work, Anderson said. “If the electronics have malfunctioned, the software is in disarray,” he said. “It won’t accept an additional command.” Regulatory Legacy Regulatory changes spurred a number of the features now taken for granted in modern autos, said John Wolkonowicz , an analyst at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. Stronger fuel tanks, for example, emerged from the 1978 recall of about 1.5 million Ford Pintos on concern that rear-end collisions could spill gasoline and ignite fires, Wolkonowicz said. So-called shift locks, which require drivers to place a foot on the brake before putting a car with automatic transmission in gear, came in response to sudden-acceleration cases involving Volkswagen AG ’s Audi, Wolkonowicz said. Recalls of Audi 5000 sedans from the 1978 through 1986 model years began in 1982 after more than 1,000 complaints. While NHTSA closed its Audi investigation in 1989, the class action in that case is still pending in Cook County, Illinois. More-recent automotive innovations include monitors to alert motorists to low tire pressure, Wolkonowicz said. Those devices became required after 271 deaths attributed to rollovers of Ford Explorer sport-utility vehicles, which spurred recalls of Firestone tires in 2000 and 2001. Worn, underinflated tires were cited for many of the Explorer crashes. What Next? Claybrook, the NHTSA chief during the Pinto recall, said Toyota’s case may prompt the U.S. to consider criminal penalties for companies that don’t react quickly to safety flaws and boost fines for some infractions to $100 million or more from a cap of $16.4 million. Another likely quick fix is a warning label telling drivers how to stop a vehicle that accelerates unintentionally, said Omotoso, the J.D. Power analyst. Similar advisories were placed in cars after air bags were blamed for deaths of front-seat passengers, he said. “More and more of the direct control of the car is being taken away from the driver, and there is this growing sense of helplessness in the face of technology that’s supposed to help us,” Omotoso said. “You just have to hope it all works.” To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan, at jgreen16@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Cronin Fisk in Southfield, Michigan, at mcfisk@bloomberg.net .

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Sony May Raise Full-Year Earnings Forecast After Holiday Shoppers Return

February 3, 2010

By Mariko Yasu and Maki Shiraki Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — Sony Corp. may raise its full-year earnings forecast today after reducing costs and consumer demand for televisions and game consoles started to recover during the holiday shopping season. The maker of Bravia televisions and Cyber-shot cameras will probably report a net loss of 55 billion yen ($605 million) in the year ending March 31, according to the median of nine analyst estimates this year compiled by Bloomberg. That’s 42 percent less than Sony’s Oct. 30 projection for a 95 billion yen shortfall. “There’s a strong likelihood the company will raise its earnings forecasts based on robust business in the third quarter,” Yuji Fujimori , a Tokyo-based analyst at Barclays Capital, said yesterday by telephone. “Year-end sales were good” and Sony also improved its efforts to cut costs and reduce inventory, he said. Tokyo-based Sony, forecasting its first back-to-back annual losses since its listing in 1958, attracted holiday shoppers after cutting the price of its flagship game console, PlayStation 3, by 25 percent in August. Chief Executive Officer Howard Stringer has drawn closer to his target of cutting 330 billion yen in costs by eliminating 20,000 jobs . The full-year operating loss, or sales minus the cost of goods sold and administrative expenses, may be 37 billion yen, according the median of 10 analyst estimates since early January compiled by Bloomberg. That’s 38 percent smaller than Sony’s 60 billion yen projection. The Japanese company is set to announce third-quarter results at 3 p.m. in Tokyo today. Record U.S. Sales In December, Sony and Nintendo Co. led the U.S. video-game market to monthly record sales of $5.53 billion, researcher NPD Group Inc. said last month. The two companies lowered prices of their flagship players, helping fuel demand in what was the best holiday season yet for the consoles. Sony fell 1 percent to 3,115 yen as of 9:13 a.m. in Tokyo yesterday, while Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average added 0.2 percent. The stock , which gained 39 percent in 2009, has risen 17 percent this year. “Sales in the October-December quarter seem better than Sony’s conservative assumptions,” said Nobuo Kurahashi , an analyst at Mizuho Financial Group Inc. in Tokyo. “Both Sony’s estimates for operating profit and net profit could be raised.” Sony gained the most in almost two months in Tokyo trading on Jan. 28 after the Nikkei newspaper reported the company may have returned to operating profit in the quarter ended Dec. 31. Sony may report a group operating income of about 100 billion yen after its game business posted a quarterly profit, Nikkei said, without saying how it got the information. Second Forecast Revision The company in October reduced its 12-month net loss forecast by 21 percent and cut its projection for operating loss for the year by 45 percent to 60 billion yen. The company at the time maintained its prediction for a 5.6 percent decline in annual sales to 7.3 trillion yen. The analysts’ estimate is for revenue of 7.16 trillion yen. Samusung Electronics Co. , the world’s largest TV maker, last week reported net income of 3.05 trillion won ($2.7 billion) for the three months ended Dec. 31, swinging from a loss of 22 billion won a year earlier, as demand for TVs rose. Improving consumer confidence is spurring sales of liquid- crystal-display TVs . Global shipments of LCD TVs will rise 22 percent to 171 million units in 2010, Austin, Texas-based research firm DisplaySearch said Dec. 29. Sharp Corp., Japan’s largest maker of LCD panels, turned to profit in the third quarter helped by lower expenses including labor costs. Net income was 9.1 billion yen in the three months ended Dec. 31, compared with a loss of 65.8 billion yen a year earlier, the Osaka-based company said yesterday. To contact the reporter on this story: Mariko Yasu in Tokyo at myasu@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota Slumps to 10-Month Low on U.S. Recall Pressure, Prius Complaints

February 3, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood stepped up pressure on Toyota Motor Corp. to fix defects that have caused the recall of millions of vehicles because they may suddenly accelerate, causing drivers to lose control. LaHood told reporters in Washington he planned to call Toyota President Akio Toyoda “and explain to him that this is serious business.” LaHood also told a House panel that drivers should stop driving the recalled vehicles, a comment he later called a misstatement. The remarks underscore a growing crisis at Toyota that has caused it to lose $29.5 billion in market value since the current recalls began and has tarnished its reputation for quality. The U.S. also said today that it’s looking into Toyota’s Prius hybrid cars following an order to the company by Japan’s government to investigate potential brake defects. “Up until the last couple days we had all expected the consumer hit wouldn’t be as serious as the media hit they were taking,” said Wes Brown , an analyst with market research firm Iceology in Los Angeles. “Now things may start to shift that image hit to the consumer side that had been steadfastly loyal. They are really starting to run the risk of escalating things tremendously.” LaHood had told a congressional panel today that owners of recalled cars should “stop driving it and take it to a Toyota dealer.” “What I said in there was obviously a misstatement,” LaHood told reporters later. “If you own one of these cars, take it to the dealer. If you are in doubt, take it to the dealer and have them fix it.” Shares Decline Toyota said this week it would fix the defect by having dealers install shims in accelerators. LaHood said the government is investigating to see whether an electronic throttle system is the cause, as at least seven lawsuits allege. Toyota’s American depositary receipts , each representing two ordinary shares, fell $4.69, or 6 percent, to $73.49 at 4 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. That was the lowest closing price for the ADRs since April. LaHood told reporters in Washington he will phone Toyoda “in the next couple days” to be certain regulators agency have “pushed them over the line” so that Toyota is doing all it can to resolve defects. Separately, the Toyota City, Japan-based carmaker has been ordered by Japan’s government to investigate brake-related problems with the latest version of its Prius hybrid car, the nation’s transportation ministry said today. The ministry said it has received 14 complaints related to Prius brakes. It has also asked other carmakers to look into similar reports. Such requests are “routine,” said Masaya Ota , an official in the ministry’s recall division. U.S. Inquiry The U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration “has received a number of complaints” about a possible Prius brake defect and is looking the matter, the agency said today in an e-mailed statement. Toyota began shipping steel plates to U.S. dealers on Feb. 1 as a fix for sticky gas pedals that have caused the carmaker to recall about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. “We know what the problem is,” Jim Lentz , Toyota’s president of U.S. sales, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on Feb. 1. “We have the fix.” The U.S. recall for pedals that stick applies to model years 2009-2010 RAV4, 2010 Highlander and 2008-2010 Sequoia sport-utility vehicles, 2009-2010 Corolla and 2005-2010 Avalon sedans, some 2007-2010 Camry sedans, 2009-2010 Matrix hatchbacks, and 2007-2010 Tundra pickups, according to Toyota. Floor Mats Toyota also has recalled and plans to fix about 5.6 million Toyota- and Lexus-brand cars and trucks in the U.S. and Canada because of floor mats that might trap gas pedals and cause vehicles to speed out of control. Some Toyota brand vehicles are affected by both types of recalls. The investigation of the Prius in Japan could undermine sales in Toyota’s home market , where it hasn’t recalled any vehicles due to the sudden-acceleration issue. The model was Japan’s best-selling vehicle in 2009. “The Prius is Toyota’s flagship model, its key to the future,” said Ashvin Chotai , managing director of London-based Intelligence Automotive Asia Ltd., a consulting company. “If that model gets tainted, that would suggest Toyota’s crisis has moved on to the next level.” In the U.S., the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, part of the Transportation Department, is examining the electronics of automakers including Toyota in response to complaints, LaHood told reporters today. Among the questions is whether electromagnetic interference from power lines could affect the computerized systems that help run today’s vehicles, he said. Feet to the Fire “We will continue our investigations into all aspects of these vehicles, including the electronics,” LaHood said. “We’re going to hold Toyota’s feet to the fire.” Toyota has said it ruled out electronics as a cause of sudden acceleration in its cars and trucks. At least 15 lawsuits seeking class action status have been filed against Toyota on the acceleration issue, and seven of them claim an electronic throttle system called ETCS-i is at fault instead of the pedals. In cars with the ETCS-i system, the engine’s throttle is controlled by electronic signals, which are sent from a sensor that detects how far the gas pedal is depressed. The signals are transmitted to a computer module that controls how much the throttle opens. Lawyers claiming an electronic defect contend that floor mats or stuck pedals don’t explain the sudden-acceleration incidents that triggered their lawsuits. ‘Sitting Dead Still’ In a Texas lawsuit filed on Jan. 29, plaintiff Alfred Pena said his 2008 Toyota Avalon unexpectedly accelerated at a stop sign on Jan. 14, causing a collision. He wasn’t injured, said Robert Hilliard , an attorney representing Pena. Pena’s wife, Sylvia, had a previous episode of unintended acceleration that didn’t result in an accident, Hilliard said. Sylvia Pena “was sitting dead still,” and the car accelerated as she released the brake before she touched the gas pedal, Hilliard, of Corpus Christi, Texas, said in an interview. “My belief is that fixed Toyotas with new pedals will still inadvertently accelerate,” Hilliard said. NHTSA tested throttle electronics last year in response to a petition from a 2007 Lexus ES 350 owner who had experienced sudden acceleration of his vehicle. The agency denied the petition in October after subjecting the same model of car to “multiple electrical signals” and “magnetic fields.” ‘Exhaustive Testing’ Toyota said at the time that the October decision marked the fifth in which the agency had rejected similar requests to investigate company vehicles for defects including electronics related to unintended acceleration. “In terms of electronics of the vehicle, we’ve done exhaustive testing and we’ve found no issues with the electronics,” Toyota’s Lentz said on a conference call with reporters Feb. 1. Toyota, as required by law, stopped selling eight vehicles recalled in the U.S. last week. The company said it will begin fixing accelerator pedals, which were supplied by Elkhart, Indiana-based CTS Corp. , this week, with some dealerships preparing to do repairs around the clock. The Transportation Department and its auto safety agency have been called to testify at two congressional hearings on the handling of the Toyota recalls. House Hearings A House Oversight and Government Reform Committee panel will hold a hearing on the recalls on Feb. 10, followed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Feb. 25. Representative Edolphus Towns , a New York Democrat and chairman of the oversight and reform panel, asked Toyota North America President Yoshimi Inaba in a letter today to explain whether “it is safe to drive the Toyota models that have been recalled.” Representative John Dingell , a Michigan Democrat who serves on the House Energy and Commerce Committee , today questioned whether Toyota has found the cause of sudden acceleration in its vehicles. “I am in no way certain that Toyota’s explanation for the cause of incidents of sudden acceleration in its vehicles satisfies me,” Dingell said in a statement. To contact the reporters on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Cronin Fisk in Southfield, Michigan, at mcfisk@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota Slumps to 10-Month Low on U.S. Recall Pressure, Prius Complaints

February 3, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood stepped up pressure on Toyota Motor Corp. to fix defects that have caused the recall of millions of vehicles because they may suddenly accelerate, causing drivers to lose control. LaHood told reporters in Washington he planned to call Toyota President Akio Toyoda “and explain to him that this is serious business.” LaHood also told a House panel that drivers should stop driving the recalled vehicles, a comment he later called a misstatement. The remarks underscore a growing crisis at Toyota that has caused it to lose $29.5 billion in market value since the current recalls began and has tarnished its reputation for quality. The U.S. also said today that it’s looking into Toyota’s Prius hybrid cars following an order to the company by Japan’s government to investigate potential brake defects. “Up until the last couple days we had all expected the consumer hit wouldn’t be as serious as the media hit they were taking,” said Wes Brown , an analyst with market research firm Iceology in Los Angeles. “Now things may start to shift that image hit to the consumer side that had been steadfastly loyal. They are really starting to run the risk of escalating things tremendously.” LaHood had told a congressional panel today that owners of recalled cars should “stop driving it and take it to a Toyota dealer.” “What I said in there was obviously a misstatement,” LaHood told reporters later. “If you own one of these cars, take it to the dealer. If you are in doubt, take it to the dealer and have them fix it.” Shares Decline Toyota said this week it would fix the defect by having dealers install shims in accelerators. LaHood said the government is investigating to see whether an electronic throttle system is the cause, as at least seven lawsuits allege. Toyota’s American depositary receipts , each representing two ordinary shares, fell $4.69, or 6 percent, to $73.49 at 4 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. That was the lowest closing price for the ADRs since April. LaHood told reporters in Washington he will phone Toyoda “in the next couple days” to be certain regulators agency have “pushed them over the line” so that Toyota is doing all it can to resolve defects. Separately, the Toyota City, Japan-based carmaker has been ordered by Japan’s government to investigate brake-related problems with the latest version of its Prius hybrid car, the nation’s transportation ministry said today. The ministry said it has received 14 complaints related to Prius brakes. It has also asked other carmakers to look into similar reports. Such requests are “routine,” said Masaya Ota , an official in the ministry’s recall division. U.S. Inquiry The U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration “has received a number of complaints” about a possible Prius brake defect and is looking the matter, the agency said today in an e-mailed statement. Toyota began shipping steel plates to U.S. dealers on Feb. 1 as a fix for sticky gas pedals that have caused the carmaker to recall about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. “We know what the problem is,” Jim Lentz , Toyota’s president of U.S. sales, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on Feb. 1. “We have the fix.” The U.S. recall for pedals that stick applies to model years 2009-2010 RAV4, 2010 Highlander and 2008-2010 Sequoia sport-utility vehicles, 2009-2010 Corolla and 2005-2010 Avalon sedans, some 2007-2010 Camry sedans, 2009-2010 Matrix hatchbacks, and 2007-2010 Tundra pickups, according to Toyota. Floor Mats Toyota also has recalled and plans to fix about 5.6 million Toyota- and Lexus-brand cars and trucks in the U.S. and Canada because of floor mats that might trap gas pedals and cause vehicles to speed out of control. Some Toyota brand vehicles are affected by both types of recalls. The investigation of the Prius in Japan could undermine sales in Toyota’s home market , where it hasn’t recalled any vehicles due to the sudden-acceleration issue. The model was Japan’s best-selling vehicle in 2009. “The Prius is Toyota’s flagship model, its key to the future,” said Ashvin Chotai , managing director of London-based Intelligence Automotive Asia Ltd., a consulting company. “If that model gets tainted, that would suggest Toyota’s crisis has moved on to the next level.” In the U.S., the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, part of the Transportation Department, is examining the electronics of automakers including Toyota in response to complaints, LaHood told reporters today. Among the questions is whether electromagnetic interference from power lines could affect the computerized systems that help run today’s vehicles, he said. Feet to the Fire “We will continue our investigations into all aspects of these vehicles, including the electronics,” LaHood said. “We’re going to hold Toyota’s feet to the fire.” Toyota has said it ruled out electronics as a cause of sudden acceleration in its cars and trucks. At least 15 lawsuits seeking class action status have been filed against Toyota on the acceleration issue, and seven of them claim an electronic throttle system called ETCS-i is at fault instead of the pedals. In cars with the ETCS-i system, the engine’s throttle is controlled by electronic signals, which are sent from a sensor that detects how far the gas pedal is depressed. The signals are transmitted to a computer module that controls how much the throttle opens. Lawyers claiming an electronic defect contend that floor mats or stuck pedals don’t explain the sudden-acceleration incidents that triggered their lawsuits. ‘Sitting Dead Still’ In a Texas lawsuit filed on Jan. 29, plaintiff Alfred Pena said his 2008 Toyota Avalon unexpectedly accelerated at a stop sign on Jan. 14, causing a collision. He wasn’t injured, said Robert Hilliard , an attorney representing Pena. Pena’s wife, Sylvia, had a previous episode of unintended acceleration that didn’t result in an accident, Hilliard said. Sylvia Pena “was sitting dead still,” and the car accelerated as she released the brake before she touched the gas pedal, Hilliard, of Corpus Christi, Texas, said in an interview. “My belief is that fixed Toyotas with new pedals will still inadvertently accelerate,” Hilliard said. NHTSA tested throttle electronics last year in response to a petition from a 2007 Lexus ES 350 owner who had experienced sudden acceleration of his vehicle. The agency denied the petition in October after subjecting the same model of car to “multiple electrical signals” and “magnetic fields.” ‘Exhaustive Testing’ Toyota said at the time that the October decision marked the fifth in which the agency had rejected similar requests to investigate company vehicles for defects including electronics related to unintended acceleration. “In terms of electronics of the vehicle, we’ve done exhaustive testing and we’ve found no issues with the electronics,” Toyota’s Lentz said on a conference call with reporters Feb. 1. Toyota, as required by law, stopped selling eight vehicles recalled in the U.S. last week. The company said it will begin fixing accelerator pedals, which were supplied by Elkhart, Indiana-based CTS Corp. , this week, with some dealerships preparing to do repairs around the clock. The Transportation Department and its auto safety agency have been called to testify at two congressional hearings on the handling of the Toyota recalls. House Hearings A House Oversight and Government Reform Committee panel will hold a hearing on the recalls on Feb. 10, followed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Feb. 25. Representative Edolphus Towns , a New York Democrat and chairman of the oversight and reform panel, asked Toyota North America President Yoshimi Inaba in a letter today to explain whether “it is safe to drive the Toyota models that have been recalled.” Representative John Dingell , a Michigan Democrat who serves on the House Energy and Commerce Committee , today questioned whether Toyota has found the cause of sudden acceleration in its vehicles. “I am in no way certain that Toyota’s explanation for the cause of incidents of sudden acceleration in its vehicles satisfies me,” Dingell said in a statement. To contact the reporters on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Cronin Fisk in Southfield, Michigan, at mcfisk@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota Electronics Said to Be a Focus of U.S. Probe

February 3, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane and Margaret Cronin Fisk Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — Electronic throttle systems are under review by U.S. safety officials as a possible cause of sudden acceleration in Toyota Motor Corp. vehicles, as alleged in at least seven lawsuits . The agency is also examining the electronics of other automakers in response to complaints, Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said today. Among the questions is whether electromagnetic interference from power lines could affect the computerized systems that help run today’s vehicles, LaHood told reporters in Washington. Toyota has said it ruled out electronics as a cause of sudden acceleration that has resulted in recalls of millions of its cars and trucks. The company’s credibility would be further damaged if it is proved wrong, said Rebecca Lindland , an analyst at IHS Global Insight. “Consumers would view that very negatively,” Lindland, based in Lexington, Massachusetts, said in a phone interview yesterday. “That group of diehard Toyota loyalists is being chipped away at as each new recall comes out.” The government is also considering civil penalties against Toyota, the world’s largest automaker, for its handling of the recalls, according to an official at the Transportation Department, who asked not to be identified while a review of Toyota’s actions continues. Shares Decline LaHood said today he will phone Toyota President Akio Toyoda to be certain his agency “pushed them over the line” so that Toyota is doing all it can to resolve defects. Separately, the Toyota City, Japan-based carmaker has been ordered by Japan’s government to investigate brake-related problems with the latest version of its Prius hybrid car, the nation’s transportation ministry said today. The ministry said it has received 14 complaints related to Prius brakes. It has also asked other carmakers to look into similar reports. Such requests are “routine,” said Masaya Ota , an official in the ministry’s recall division. Toyota’s American depositary receipts, each representing two ordinary shares, fell $3.06, or 3.9 percent, to $75.12 at 10:01 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The ADRs are down about 18 percent in the past two weeks. Toyota began shipping steel plates to U.S. dealers on Feb. 1 as a fix for sticky gas pedals that have caused the carmaker to recall about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. “We know what the problem is,” Jim Lentz , Toyota’s president of U.S. sales, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on Feb. 1. “We have the fix.” Recalled Models The U.S. recall for pedals that stick applies to model years 2009-2010 RAV4, 2010 Highlander and 2008-2010 Sequoia sport-utility vehicles, 2009-2010 Corolla and 2005-2010 Avalon sedans, some 2007-2010 Camry sedans, 2009-2010 Matrix hatchbacks, and 2007-2010 Tundra pickups, according to Toyota. Toyota also has recalled and plans to fix about 5.6 million Toyota- and Lexus-brand cars and trucks in the U.S. and Canada because of floor mats that might trap gas pedals and cause vehicles to speed out of control. Some Toyota brand vehicles are affected by both types of recalls. The investigation of the Prius in Japan could undermine sales in Toyota’s home market , where it hasn’t recalled any vehicles due to the sudden-acceleration issue. The model was Japan’s best-selling vehicle in 2009. “The Prius is Toyota’s flagship model, its key to the future,” said Ashvin Chotai , managing director of London-based Intelligence Automotive Asia Ltd., a consulting company. “If that model gets tainted, that would suggest Toyota’s crisis has moved on to the next level.” Lawsuit Allegations In the U.S., the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, part of the Transportation Department, hadn’t found evidence as of Feb. 1 that anything other than sticky or trapped accelerators caused unintended acceleration, the Transportation Department official said. Mike Michels , Toyota’s U.S. vice president for corporate communications based in Torrance, California, said in an e- mailed statement yesterday that he had “no information” on a continuing investigation by NHTSA of the automaker’s electronic throttle control system. At least 15 lawsuits seeking class action status have been filed against Toyota on the acceleration issue, and seven of them claim an electronic throttle system called ETCS-i is at fault instead of the pedals. In cars with the ETCS-i system, the engine’s throttle is controlled by electronic signals, which are sent from a sensor that detects how far the gas pedal is depressed. The signals are transmitted to a computer module that controls how much the throttle opens. Lawyers claiming an electronic defect contend that floor mats or stuck pedals don’t explain the sudden-acceleration incidents that triggered their lawsuits. ‘Sitting Dead Still’ Edgar Heiskell , an attorney from Charleston, West Virginia, who represents the family of a Michigan woman who died when her 2005 Toyota Camry hit a tree at almost 80 miles an hour (129 kilometers per hour), said her car didn’t have a floor mat. She stood on the brake, attempting to stop the car after it accelerated from a speed of 25 miles per hour, he said. The suit was filed in November. Heiskell also has filed a West Virginia suit against Toyota seeking class-action status. In a Texas lawsuit filed on Jan. 29, plaintiff Alfred Pena said his 2008 Toyota Avalon unexpectedly accelerated at a stop sign on Jan. 14, causing a collision. He wasn’t injured, said Robert Hilliard , an attorney representing Pena. Pena’s wife, Sylvia, had a previous episode of unintended acceleration that didn’t result in an accident, Hilliard said. Sylvia Pena “was sitting dead still,” and the car accelerated as she released the brake before she touched the gas pedal, Hilliard, of Corpus Christi, Texas, said in an interview. “My belief is that fixed Toyotas with new pedals will still inadvertently accelerate,” Hilliard said. NHTSA tested throttle electronics last year in response to a petition from a 2007 Lexus ES 350 owner who had experienced sudden acceleration of his vehicle. The agency denied the petition in October after subjecting the same model of car to “multiple electrical signals” and “magnetic fields.” ‘Exhaustive Testing’ Toyota said at the time that the October decision marked the fifth in which the agency had rejected similar requests to investigate company vehicles for defects including electronics related to unintended acceleration. “In terms of electronics of the vehicle, we’ve done exhaustive testing and we’ve found no issues with the electronics,” Toyota’s Lentz said on a conference call with reporters Feb. 1. Toyota, as required by law, stopped selling eight vehicles recalled in the U.S. last week. The company said it will begin fixing accelerator pedals, which were supplied by Elkhart, Indiana-based CTS Corp. , this week, with some dealerships preparing to do repairs around the clock. The Transportation Department and its auto safety agency have been called to testify at two congressional hearings on the handling of the Toyota recalls. “While Toyota is taking responsible action now, it unfortunately took an enormous effort to get to this point,” LaHood said yesterday in an e-mailed statement. The department is “continuing to review possible defects.” House Hearings A House Oversight and Government Reform Committee panel will hold a hearing on the recalls on Feb. 10, followed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Feb. 25. Representative Bart Stupak , a Michigan Democrat who serves on both committees scheduled to question Toyota, said in a letter to Lentz that his public statements on Feb. 1 were “different than the representations” Toyota officials made to the Energy and Commerce Committee’s staff last week. Asked whether Toyota “could be certain that floor mat entrapment and sticking accelerator pedals fully explained” the causes of unintended acceleration, company officials said the “causes of unintended acceleration are ‘very, very hard’ to identify,” Stupak said in a letter today to Lentz. Toyota executives at the meeting also said sticking pedals are “unlikely to be responsible” for reports of drivers losing control as cars accelerated past 60 miles per hour, Stupak said in the letter. He asked Lentz to “clarify” the differing accounts. To contact the reporters on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Cronin Fisk in Southfield, Michigan, at mcfisk@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota Pressured by U.S. to Fix Recalled Vehicles; LaHood Retracts Remark

February 3, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — Owners of recalled Toyota Motor Corp. vehicles should stop driving them until the company fixes a defect that is causing sudden acceleration, U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said. “Stop driving it and take it to a Toyota dealer,” LaHood said today at a House Appropriations panel hearing in Washington. The comment deepens the crisis faced by the world’s largest automaker, which has lost 19 percent in market value since the recalls began and seen its reputation for quality damaged. Toyota said this week it would fix the defect by having dealers install shims in accelerators. A Transportation Department official said yesterday the government is investigating to see whether an electronic throttle system is the cause, as at least seven lawsuits allege. “Up until the last couple days that we had all expected the consumer hit wouldn’t be as serious as the media hit they were taking,” said Wes Brown , an analyst with market research firm Iceology in Los Angeles. “Now things may start to shift that image hit to the consumer side that had been steadfastly loyal. They are really starting to run the risk of escalating things tremendously.” Toyota spokesman Brian Lyons declined to comment immediately on LaHood’s statement. Shares Decline Toyota’s American depositary receipts, each representing two ordinary shares, fell $5.50, or 7 percent, to $72.68 at 11:16 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The ADRs tumbled to a 10-month intraday low, touching $71.90. Before his testimony, LaHood told reporters in Washington he will phone Toyota President Akio Toyoda to be certain his agency “pushed them over the line” so that Toyota is doing all it can to resolve defects. Separately, the Toyota City, Japan-based carmaker has been ordered by Japan’s government to investigate brake-related problems with the latest version of its Prius hybrid car, the nation’s transportation ministry said today. The ministry said it has received 14 complaints related to Prius brakes. It has also asked other carmakers to look into similar reports. Such requests are “routine,” said Masaya Ota , an official in the ministry’s recall division. Toyota began shipping steel plates to U.S. dealers on Feb. 1 as a fix for sticky gas pedals that have caused the carmaker to recall about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. “We know what the problem is,” Jim Lentz , Toyota’s president of U.S. sales, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on Feb. 1. “We have the fix.” Recalled Models The U.S. recall for pedals that stick applies to model years 2009-2010 RAV4, 2010 Highlander and 2008-2010 Sequoia sport-utility vehicles, 2009-2010 Corolla and 2005-2010 Avalon sedans, some 2007-2010 Camry sedans, 2009-2010 Matrix hatchbacks, and 2007-2010 Tundra pickups, according to Toyota. Toyota also has recalled and plans to fix about 5.6 million Toyota- and Lexus-brand cars and trucks in the U.S. and Canada because of floor mats that might trap gas pedals and cause vehicles to speed out of control. Some Toyota brand vehicles are affected by both types of recalls. The investigation of the Prius in Japan could undermine sales in Toyota’s home market , where it hasn’t recalled any vehicles due to the sudden-acceleration issue. The model was Japan’s best-selling vehicle in 2009. “The Prius is Toyota’s flagship model, it’s key to the future,” said Ashvin Chotai , managing director of London-based Intelligence Automotive Asia Ltd., a consulting company. “If that model gets tainted, that would suggest Toyota’s crisis has moved on to the next level.” Lawsuit Allegations In the U.S., the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, part of the Transportation Department, hadn’t found evidence as of Feb. 1 that anything other than sticky or trapped accelerators caused unintended acceleration, the Transportation Department official said. At least 15 lawsuits seeking class action status have been filed against Toyota on the acceleration issue, and seven of them claim an electronic throttle system called ETCS-i is at fault instead of the pedals. In cars with the ETCS-i system, the engine’s throttle is controlled by electronic signals, which are sent from a sensor that detects how far the gas pedal is depressed. The signals are transmitted to a computer module that controls how much the throttle opens. Lawyers claiming an electronic defect contend that floor mats or stuck pedals don’t explain the sudden-acceleration incidents that triggered their lawsuits. ‘Sitting Dead Still’ Edgar Heiskell , an attorney from Charleston, West Virginia, who represents the family of a Michigan woman who died when her 2005 Toyota Camry hit a tree at almost 80 miles an hour (129 kilometers per hour), said her car didn’t have a floor mat. She stood on the brake, attempting to stop the car after it accelerated from a speed of 25 miles per hour, he said. The suit was filed in November. Heiskell also has filed a West Virginia suit against Toyota seeking class-action status. In a Texas lawsuit filed on Jan. 29, plaintiff Alfred Pena said his 2008 Toyota Avalon unexpectedly accelerated at a stop sign on Jan. 14, causing a collision. He wasn’t injured, said Robert Hilliard , an attorney representing Pena. Pena’s wife, Sylvia, had a previous episode of unintended acceleration that didn’t result in an accident, Hilliard said. Sylvia Pena “was sitting dead still,” and the car accelerated as she released the brake before she touched the gas pedal, Hilliard, of Corpus Christi, Texas, said in an interview. “My belief is that fixed Toyotas with new pedals will still inadvertently accelerate,” Hilliard said. NHTSA tested throttle electronics last year in response to a petition from a 2007 Lexus ES 350 owner who had experienced sudden acceleration of his vehicle. The agency denied the petition in October after subjecting the same model of car to “multiple electrical signals” and “magnetic fields.” ‘Exhaustive Testing’ Toyota said at the time that the October decision marked the fifth in which the agency had rejected similar requests to investigate company vehicles for defects including electronics related to unintended acceleration. “In terms of electronics of the vehicle, we’ve done exhaustive testing and we’ve found no issues with the electronics,” Toyota’s Lentz said on a conference call with reporters Feb. 1. Toyota, as required by law, stopped selling eight vehicles recalled in the U.S. last week. The company said it will begin fixing accelerator pedals, which were supplied by Elkhart, Indiana-based CTS Corp. , this week, with some dealerships preparing to do repairs around the clock. The Transportation Department and its auto safety agency have been called to testify at two congressional hearings on the handling of the Toyota recalls. “While Toyota is taking responsible action now, it unfortunately took an enormous effort to get to this point,” LaHood said yesterday in an e-mailed statement. The department is “continuing to review possible defects.” House Hearings A House Oversight and Government Reform Committee panel will hold a hearing on the recalls on Feb. 10, followed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Feb. 25. Representative Bart Stupak , a Michigan Democrat who serves on both committees scheduled to question Toyota, said in a letter to Lentz that his public statements on Feb. 1 were “different than the representations” Toyota officials made to the Energy and Commerce Committee’s staff last week. Asked whether Toyota “could be certain that floor mat entrapment and sticking accelerator pedals fully explained” the causes of unintended acceleration, company officials said the “causes of unintended acceleration are ‘very, very hard’ to identify,” Stupak said in a letter today to Lentz. Toyota executives at the meeting also said sticking pedals are “unlikely to be responsible” for reports of drivers losing control as cars accelerated past 60 miles per hour, Stupak said in the letter. He asked Lentz to “clarify” the differing accounts. To contact the reporters on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net ; Margaret Cronin Fisk in Southfield, Michigan, at mcfisk@bloomberg.net .

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Toyota’s Electronics Said to Be Probed as Cause of Unintended Acceleration

February 3, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane and Margaret Cronin Fisk Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — Electronic throttle systems are under review by U.S. safety officials as a possible cause of sudden acceleration in Toyota Motor Corp. vehicles, as alleged in at least seven lawsuits. The government is also considering civil penalties against Toyota, the world’s largest automaker, for its handling of recalls affecting millions of its cars and trucks, according to an official of the Transportation Department, who asked not to be identified while a review of Toyota’s actions continues. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration is trying to determine if electromagnetic interference may be causing the throttle system to malfunction, said the official of the Transportation Department, which oversees NHTSA. Toyota said it has ruled out electronics as a cause. The company’s credibility would be further damaged if it is proved wrong, said Rebecca Lindland , an analyst at IHS Global Insight. “Consumers would view that very negatively,” Lindland, based in Lexington, Massachusetts, said in a phone interview yesterday. “That group of diehard Toyota loyalists is being chipped away at as each new recall comes out.” Toyota began shipping steel shims to dealers on Feb. 1 as a fix for sticky gas pedals that have caused the Toyota City, Japan-based automaker to recall about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. “We know what the problem is,” Jim Lentz , Toyota’s president of U.S. sales, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on Feb. 1. “We have the fix.” Recalled Models The U.S. recall for pedals that stick applies to model years 2009-2010 RAV4, 2010 Highlander and 2008-2010 Sequoia sport-utility vehicles; 2009-2010 Corolla and 2005-2010 Avalon sedans; some 2007-2010 Camry sedans; 2009-2010 Matrix hatchbacks; and 2007-2010 Tundra pickups, according to Toyota. Toyota also has recalled and plans to fix about 5.6 million Toyota and Lexus brand cars and trucks in the U.S. and Canada because of floor mats that might trap gas pedals and cause vehicles to speed out of control. Some vehicles are affected by both types of recalls. The safety agency as of Feb. 1 hadn’t found evidence that anything other than sticky or trapped accelerators caused the unintended acceleration, the Transportation Department official said. Mike Michels , Toyota’s U.S. vice president for corporate communications based in Torrance, California, said in an e- mailed statement yesterday that he had “no information” on a continuing investigation by NHTSA of the automaker’s electronic throttle control system. Civil Penalties NHTSA can impose civil penalties of up to $16.4 million per recall, the Transportation Department official said. The largest civil penalty NHTSA has issued that wasn’t related to emissions violations was $1 million paid by General Motors Corp. to settle charges it failed to conduct a timely recall to correct a windshield-wiper defect, the official said. The defect was in 581,344 Trailblazers, Bravadas, Envoys and Isuzu Ascenders for the 2002 and 2003 model years. Toyota’s American depositary receipts fell $1.76, or 2.2 percent, to $78.18 yesterday in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The ADRs, each representing two ordinary shares, have fallen 7.1 percent since Jan. 1. At least 15 lawsuits seeking class action status have been filed against Toyota on the acceleration issue, and seven of them claim an electronic throttle system called ETCS-i is at fault instead of the pedals. Electronic Signals In cars with the ETCS-i system, the engine’s throttle is controlled by electronic signals, which are sent from a sensor that detects how far the gas pedal is depressed. The signals are transmitted to a computer module that controls how much the throttle opens. Lawyers claiming an electronic defect contend that floor mats or stuck pedals don’t explain the sudden-acceleration incidents that triggered their lawsuits. Edgar Heiskell, an attorney from Charleston, West Virginia, who represents the family of a Michigan woman who died when her 2005 Toyota Camry hit a tree at almost 80 miles an hour, said her car didn’t have a floor mat. She stood on the brake, attempting to stop the car after it accelerated from a speed of 25 miles per hour (40 kilometers per hour), he said. The suit was filed in November. Heiskell also has filed a West Virginia suit against Toyota seeking class-action status. In a Texas lawsuit filed on Jan. 29, plaintiff Alfred Pena said his 2008 Toyota Avalon unexpectedly accelerated at a stop sign on Jan. 14, causing a collision. He wasn’t injured, said Robert Hilliard , an attorney representing Pena. Pena’s wife, Sylvia, had a previous episode of unintended acceleration that didn’t result in an accident, Hilliard said. ‘Sitting Dead Still’ Sylvia Pena “was sitting dead still,” and the car accelerated as she released the brake before she touched the gas pedal, Hilliard of Corpus Christi, Texas, said in an interview. “My belief is that fixed Toyotas with new pedals will still inadvertently accelerate,” Hilliard said. Petition Denied NHTSA tested throttle electronics last year in response to a petition from a 2007 Lexus ES 350 owner who had experienced sudden acceleration of his vehicle. The agency denied the petition in October after subjecting the same model of car to “multiple electrical signals” and “magnetic fields.” Toyota said at the time that the October decision marked the fifth in which the agency had rejected similar requests to investigate company vehicles for defects including electronics related to unintended acceleration. “In terms of electronics of the vehicle, we’ve done exhaustive testing and we’ve found no issues with the electronics,” Toyota’s Lentz said on a conference call with reporters Feb. 1. Toyota, as required by law, stopped selling eight vehicles recalled in the U.S. last week. The company said it will begin fixing accelerator pedals, which were supplied by Elkhart, Indiana-based CTS Corp. , this week, with some dealerships preparing to do repairs around the clock. The Transportation Department and its auto safety agency have been called to testify at two congressional hearings on the handling of the Toyota recalls. ‘Enormous Effort’ “While Toyota is taking responsible action now, it unfortunately took an enormous effort to get to this point,” Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said yesterday in an e- mailed statement. The department is “continuing to review possible defects.” A House Oversight and Government Reform Committee panel will hold a hearing on the recalls on Feb. 10, followed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Feb. 25. Representative Bart Stupak , a Michigan Democrat who serves on both committees scheduled to question Toyota, said in a letter to Lentz that his public statements on Feb. 1 were “different than the representations” Toyota officials made to the Energy and Commerce Committee’s staff last week. Asked whether Toyota “could be certain that floor mat entrapment and sticking accelerator pedals fully explained” the causes of unintended acceleration, company officials said the “causes of unintended acceleration are ‘very, very hard to identify,” Stupak said in a letter today to Lentz. Toyota executives at the meeting also said sticking pedals are “unlikely to be responsible” for reports of drivers losing control as cars accelerated past 60 miles per hour, Stupak said in the letter. He asked Lentz to “clarify” the differing accounts. To contact the reporter on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net

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Toyota’s Electronics Said to Be Probed as Cause of Unintended Acceleration

February 3, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane and Margaret Cronin Fisk Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — Electronic throttle systems are under review by U.S. safety officials as a possible cause of sudden acceleration in Toyota Motor Corp. vehicles, as alleged in at least seven lawsuits. The government is also considering civil penalties against Toyota, the world’s largest automaker, for its handling of recalls affecting millions of its cars and trucks, according to an official of the Transportation Department, who asked not to be identified while a review of Toyota’s actions continues. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration is trying to determine if electromagnetic interference may be causing the throttle system to malfunction, said the official of the Transportation Department, which oversees NHTSA. Toyota said it has ruled out electronics as a cause. The company’s credibility would be further damaged if it is proved wrong, said Rebecca Lindland , an analyst at IHS Global Insight. “Consumers would view that very negatively,” Lindland, based in Lexington, Massachusetts, said in a phone interview yesterday. “That group of diehard Toyota loyalists is being chipped away at as each new recall comes out.” Toyota began shipping steel shims to dealers on Feb. 1 as a fix for sticky gas pedals that have caused the Toyota City, Japan-based automaker to recall about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. “We know what the problem is,” Jim Lentz , Toyota’s president of U.S. sales, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on Feb. 1. “We have the fix.” Recalled Models The U.S. recall for pedals that stick applies to model years 2009-2010 RAV4, 2010 Highlander and 2008-2010 Sequoia sport-utility vehicles; 2009-2010 Corolla and 2005-2010 Avalon sedans; some 2007-2010 Camry sedans; 2009-2010 Matrix hatchbacks; and 2007-2010 Tundra pickups, according to Toyota. Toyota also has recalled and plans to fix about 5.6 million Toyota and Lexus brand cars and trucks in the U.S. and Canada because of floor mats that might trap gas pedals and cause vehicles to speed out of control. Some vehicles are affected by both types of recalls. The safety agency as of Feb. 1 hadn’t found evidence that anything other than sticky or trapped accelerators caused the unintended acceleration, the Transportation Department official said. Mike Michels , Toyota’s U.S. vice president for corporate communications based in Torrance, California, said in an e- mailed statement yesterday that he had “no information” on a continuing investigation by NHTSA of the automaker’s electronic throttle control system. Civil Penalties NHTSA can impose civil penalties of up to $16.4 million per recall, the Transportation Department official said. The largest civil penalty NHTSA has issued that wasn’t related to emissions violations was $1 million paid by General Motors Corp. to settle charges it failed to conduct a timely recall to correct a windshield-wiper defect, the official said. The defect was in 581,344 Trailblazers, Bravadas, Envoys and Isuzu Ascenders for the 2002 and 2003 model years. Toyota’s American depositary receipts fell $1.76, or 2.2 percent, to $78.18 yesterday in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The ADRs, each representing two ordinary shares, have fallen 7.1 percent since Jan. 1. At least 15 lawsuits seeking class action status have been filed against Toyota on the acceleration issue, and seven of them claim an electronic throttle system called ETCS-i is at fault instead of the pedals. Electronic Signals In cars with the ETCS-i system, the engine’s throttle is controlled by electronic signals, which are sent from a sensor that detects how far the gas pedal is depressed. The signals are transmitted to a computer module that controls how much the throttle opens. Lawyers claiming an electronic defect contend that floor mats or stuck pedals don’t explain the sudden-acceleration incidents that triggered their lawsuits. Edgar Heiskell, an attorney from Charleston, West Virginia, who represents the family of a Michigan woman who died when her 2005 Toyota Camry hit a tree at almost 80 miles an hour, said her car didn’t have a floor mat. She stood on the brake, attempting to stop the car after it accelerated from a speed of 25 miles per hour (40 kilometers per hour), he said. The suit was filed in November. Heiskell also has filed a West Virginia suit against Toyota seeking class-action status. In a Texas lawsuit filed on Jan. 29, plaintiff Alfred Pena said his 2008 Toyota Avalon unexpectedly accelerated at a stop sign on Jan. 14, causing a collision. He wasn’t injured, said Robert Hilliard , an attorney representing Pena. Pena’s wife, Sylvia, had a previous episode of unintended acceleration that didn’t result in an accident, Hilliard said. ‘Sitting Dead Still’ Sylvia Pena “was sitting dead still,” and the car accelerated as she released the brake before she touched the gas pedal, Hilliard of Corpus Christi, Texas, said in an interview. “My belief is that fixed Toyotas with new pedals will still inadvertently accelerate,” Hilliard said. Petition Denied NHTSA tested throttle electronics last year in response to a petition from a 2007 Lexus ES 350 owner who had experienced sudden acceleration of his vehicle. The agency denied the petition in October after subjecting the same model of car to “multiple electrical signals” and “magnetic fields.” Toyota said at the time that the October decision marked the fifth in which the agency had rejected similar requests to investigate company vehicles for defects including electronics related to unintended acceleration. “In terms of electronics of the vehicle, we’ve done exhaustive testing and we’ve found no issues with the electronics,” Toyota’s Lentz said on a conference call with reporters Feb. 1. Toyota, as required by law, stopped selling eight vehicles recalled in the U.S. last week. The company said it will begin fixing accelerator pedals, which were supplied by Elkhart, Indiana-based CTS Corp. , this week, with some dealerships preparing to do repairs around the clock. The Transportation Department and its auto safety agency have been called to testify at two congressional hearings on the handling of the Toyota recalls. ‘Enormous Effort’ “While Toyota is taking responsible action now, it unfortunately took an enormous effort to get to this point,” Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said yesterday in an e- mailed statement. The department is “continuing to review possible defects.” A House Oversight and Government Reform Committee panel will hold a hearing on the recalls on Feb. 10, followed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Feb. 25. Representative Bart Stupak , a Michigan Democrat who serves on both committees scheduled to question Toyota, said in a letter to Lentz that his public statements on Feb. 1 were “different than the representations” Toyota officials made to the Energy and Commerce Committee’s staff last week. Asked whether Toyota “could be certain that floor mat entrapment and sticking accelerator pedals fully explained” the causes of unintended acceleration, company officials said the “causes of unintended acceleration are ‘very, very hard to identify,” Stupak said in a letter today to Lentz. Toyota executives at the meeting also said sticking pedals are “unlikely to be responsible” for reports of drivers losing control as cars accelerated past 60 miles per hour, Stupak said in the letter. He asked Lentz to “clarify” the differing accounts. To contact the reporter on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net

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U.S. Is Said to Probe Toyota’s Electronics as Cause of Sudden Acceleration

February 2, 2010

By Angela Greiling Keane and Margaret Cronin Fisk Feb. 2 (Bloomberg) — U.S. safety officials are investigating whether electronic throttle systems may have caused sudden acceleration in Toyota Motor Corp. vehicles, as alleged in at least seven lawsuits. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration is trying to determine if electromagnetic interference may be causing the throttle system to malfunction, said an official of the Transportation Department, which oversees NHTSA. The official asked not to be identified because the review isn’t complete. Toyota said it has ruled out electronics as a cause and yesterday began shipping steel shims to dealers as a fix for sticky gas pedals that have caused the world’s largest automaker to recall about 2.57 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. “We know what the problem is,” Jim Lentz , Toyota’s president of U.S. sales, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television yesterday. “We have the fix.” The U.S. recall for pedals that stick applies to model years 2009-2010 RAV4, 2010 Highlander and 2008-2010 Sequoia sport-utility vehicles; 2009-2010 Corolla and 2005-2010 Avalon sedans; some 2007-2010 Camry sedans; 2009-2010 Matrix hatchbacks; and 2007-2010 Tundra pickups, according to Toyota. Toyota also has recalled and plans to fix about 5.6 million Toyota and Lexus brand cars and trucks in the U.S. and Canada because of floor mats that might trap gas pedals and cause vehicles to speed out of control. Some Toyota brand vehicles are affected by both types of recalls. The safety agency as of yesterday hadn’t found evidence that anything other than sticky or trapped accelerators caused the unintended acceleration, the Transportation Department official said. Throttle System Mike Michels , Toyota’s U.S. vice president for corporate communications based in Torrance, California, said in an e- mailed statement today that he had “no information” on a continuing investigation by NHTSA of the automaker’s electronic throttle control system. Toyota’s American depositary receipts fell $2.74, or 3.4 percent, to $77.20 at 2:44 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The drop was the most in intraday trading since Jan. 28. The ADRs, each representing two ordinary shares, have fallen 8.2 percent since Jan. 1. At least 15 lawsuits seeking class action status have been filed against Toyota on the acceleration issue, and seven of them claim an electronic throttle system called ETCS-i is at fault instead of the pedals. In cars with the ETCS-i system, the engine’s throttle is controlled by electronic signals, which are sent from a sensor that detects how far the gas pedal is depressed. The signals are transmitted to a computer module that controls how much the throttle opens. Lawyers claiming an electronic defect contend that floor mats or stuck pedals don’t explain the sudden-acceleration incidents that triggered their lawsuits. Hitting a Tree Edgar Heiskell, an attorney from Charleston, West Virginia, who represents the family of a Michigan woman who died when her 2005 Toyota Camry hit a tree at almost 80 miles an hour, said her car didn’t have a floor mat. She stood on the brake, attempting to stop the car after it accelerated from a speed of 25 miles per hour (40 kilometers), he said. The suit was filed in November. Heiskell also has filed a West Virginia suit against Toyota seeking class-action status. In a Texas lawsuit filed on Jan. 29, plaintiff Alfred Pena said his 2008 Toyota Avalon unexpectedly accelerated at a stop sign on Jan. 14, causing a collision. He wasn’t injured, said Robert Hilliard , an attorney representing Pena. Pena’s wife, Sylvia, had a previous episode of unintended acceleration that didn’t result in an accident, Hilliard said. Wozniak’s Prius “The fact pattern doesn’t fit the idea of the pedal getting stuck,” Hilliard of Corpus Christi, Texas, said in an interview. Sylvia Pena “was sitting dead still,” and the car accelerated as she released the brake before she touched the gas pedal, Hilliard said. “My belief is that fixed Toyotas with new pedals will still inadvertently accelerate,” Hilliard said. Apple Inc. co-founder Steve Wozniak said in an interview today his 2010 Prius unexpectedly accelerates to speeds of up to 97 miles per hour while in cruise control. He said he has been complaining to NHTSA and Toyota for two months. “The reason that my case is important and urgent is that it is electronic,” Wozniak, 59, said from San Jose, California. “I can cause it totally under cruise control without a foot touching the accelerator pedal,” Wozniak said. Wozniak’s Prius isn’t among the recalled cars. NHTSA last year tested throttle electronics in response to a petition from a 2007 Lexus ES 350 owner who had experienced sudden acceleration of his vehicle. The agency denied the petition in October after subjecting the same model of car to “multiple electrical signals” and “magnetic fields.” ‘Exhaustive Testing’ Toyota said at the time that the October decision marked the fifth in which the agency had rejected similar requests to investigate company vehicles for defects including electronics related to unintended acceleration. “In terms of electronics of the vehicle, we’ve done exhaustive testing and we’ve found no issues with the electronics,” Toyota’s Lentz said on a conference call with reporters yesterday. Toyota, as required by law, stopped selling eight vehicles recalled in the U.S. last week. The company said yesterday it will begin fixing accelerator pedals, which were supplied by Elkhart, Indiana-based CTS Corp. , this week, with some dealerships preparing to do repairs around the clock. ‘Enormous Effort’ The Transportation Department and its auto safety agency have been called to testify at two congressional hearings on the handling of the Toyota recalls. “While Toyota is taking responsible action now, it unfortunately took an enormous effort to get to this point,” Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said today in an e-mailed statement. The department is “continuing to review possible defects.” A House Oversight and Government Reform Committee panel will hold a hearing on the recalls on Feb. 10, followed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Feb. 25. To contact the reporter on this story: Angela Greiling Keane in Washington at agreilingkea@bloomberg.net

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Dubai Helping Iran Evade Sanctions as Smugglers Fail to Bow to U.S. Laws

January 26, 2010

By Kambiz Foroohar Jan. 26 (Bloomberg) — On a sweltering mid-October evening, horns blare as pickup trucks at Dubai Creek wharf jockey to deliver cargo bound for Iran. Televisions, cartons of toothpaste, car parts, refrigerators and DVD players stretch for about a mile on the dock along the murky waterway that snakes to the Persian Gulf. “We’ll take anything as long as you pay us,” says Ali, a 24-year-old Iranian deck hand in an oil-stained T-shirt, as he pulls down a blue tarpaulin covering air conditioners, tires and tea bags headed for the port of Bandar Abbas , 100 miles (160 kilometers) across the Gulf. “We’ve taken American stuff — printers, computers, everything.” Years before the world turned its attention to Dubai’s financial crisis, the second largest of the seven states in the United Arab Emirates was amassing clout — and money — as Iran’s back door to the West, Bloomberg Markets magazine reported in its March issue. Iran’s biggest non-oil trading partner provides a stream of household items — from diapers and mobile phones to laptops and washing machines — as well as illicit items such as aircraft parts and computer chips that the U.S. says have nuclear and military uses. The U.S. forbids American companies from sending anything to Iran, with limited exceptions, such as medical supplies, and has pressed other nations to stop doing business with the country. The Justice Department has prosecuted foreign companies that sell American goods with military uses to Iran. ‘Offshore Business Center’ The U.A.E. was the biggest importer of U.S. products in the Middle East and North Africa, the Government Accountability Office said in December 2007. It ships out as much as 80 percent of the material — and as much as a quarter of that heads to Iran, says Jean-Francois Seznec , a professor at Georgetown University’s Center for Contemporary Arab Studies in Washington. From 2005 to 2009, trade between Dubai and Iran tripled to $12 billion, according to the Dubai Chamber of Commerce. Iran’s main exports to Dubai are nuts, carpets and petrochemicals. “Dubai is Iran’s offshore business center,” says Afshin Molavi , a fellow at the Washington-based New America Foundation , which analyzes public policy. “Dubai plays a huge role in Iran’s economy.” Dubai’s porous borders enable Iran to snub the West. The Islamic Republic has disregarded United Nations Security Council demands that it cease work on its nuclear program, which the U.S. and its allies suspect is geared to giving Iran nuclear weapons. The U.S. State Department charges that Iran’s regime backs terrorist groups, including the Taliban in Afghanistan and Hamas in the Palestinian territories. Close Economic Ties Imports from Dubai are helping to grease the economy at a time when the Iranian government is struggling to keep a lid on a growing demand for democracy. Iran’s footprints are everywhere in Dubai. About 8,000 Iranian businesses, and at least 1,200 trading companies, operate in the emirate, according to the Iranian Business Council , a Dubai-based group that promotes economic ties. The sprawling Iranian Club offers outdoor sports facilities, a stadium, a hotel, a theater and a restaurant with some of the best Persian food in town. Dubai doesn’t enforce the wearing of Islamic hijab for women. Inside the club, women wear the covering clothing and headgear to conform to rules in Iran. Clocks for Tehran and Dubai, a half hour apart, hang next to pictures of Iran’s former and current supreme leaders, ayatollahs Ruhollah Khomeini and Ali Khamenei . ‘Absolute Sieve’ “You can get anything you want, and you can ship anything you want to Iran,” says Morteza Masoumzadeh, an IBC director and owner of a shipping company that transports goods between Iran and Dubai. “Every company in Iran is either here or has representatives here.” Lisa Prager , a partner in the Washington office of law firm Wilson, Sonsini, Goodrich & Rosati and a former deputy assistant secretary at the Department of Commerce , agrees. “Dubai is an absolute sieve,” says Prager, who has investigated smuggling in the emirate. Sultan Bin Nasser al-Suwaidi , governor of the U.A.E.’s central bank, and Saeed Abdullah Al-Hamiz , head of banking supervision, didn’t return e-mails or phone calls seeking comment. Hamad Buamim , director general of the Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry, declined interview requests. Yousef Al Otaiba, the U.A.E.’s ambassador to the U.S., declined to comment through a spokesman. ‘Aggressive Measures’ In an e-mail, the U.A.E. Embassy in Washington said, “The U.A.E. fully supports and enforces United Nations Security Council resolutions barring shipment of sensitive materials and technologies to Iran and is taking aggressive measures to enforce export-control laws that prevent the transshipment of illicit materials.” In 2007, Dubai imposed export-control laws designed to combat smuggling of military goods to Iran. The U.S. imposed economic sanctions on Iran in 1979 after followers of the late Ayatollah Khomeini held 52 Americans captive in the U.S. Embassy in Tehran. In its latest annual report on terrorism, published in April 2009, the State Department said Iran remained the world’s most-active state sponsor of terrorism. The department charged that Iran has funneled money and weapons to groups that have planted roadside bombs in Iraq. Since the summer, millions of Iranians have taken to the streets to protest the validity of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s June 12 re-election. At least 50 have been killed and thousands detained. “The Iranian people have sought nothing more than to exercise their universal rights ,” U.S. President Barack Obama said on Dec. 28. “They have been met with the iron fist of brutality.” Profitable Trade Iran has frustrated Obama, the U.S. and the United Nations by pressing ahead with its nuclear enrichment program, in which uranium is converted into fuel that can be used for power plants as well as weapons. Obama has warned that Iran would face consequences if it failed to show its efforts were peaceful and transparent. Iran, which says its nuclear program is peaceful, spurned a deal offered by China, France, Germany, Russia, the U.K. and the U.S. to reduce its nuclear stockpile. Iran says countries see the value in maintaining their ties with the Islamic Republic, despite U.S. and UN sanctions. “Many countries have been under pressure, but they’ve made decisions according to their interests,” Shamseddin Hosseini , Iran’s economy and finance minister, said during an International Monetary Fund meeting in Istanbul in October. “The fact is that having a trade relationship with Iran is very profitable.” Abu Dhabi’s Role Abu Dhabi, the most powerful of the emirates by virtue of about $45 billion in oil exports in 2009, may flex its muscles to try to break up the Iran-Dubai connection, says Nader Habibi , an economics professor at Brandeis University in Waltham, Massachusetts . Abu Dhabi, which has always been suspicious of Iran’s political and nuclear ambitions, enjoys considerable leverage. In 2009, the emirate, which is about 16 times the size of Dubai, stepped in with a $20 billion bailout. The money included $10 billion for Dubai World, the state- run holding company that spent billions to carve out of the desert a financial hub and tourist destination. In a nod to the growing influence of Abu Dhabi leader Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Dubai renamed its 200-story Burj Dubai skyscraper the Burj Khalifa in January. The three Persian Gulf neighbors exist in an uneasy triad. Abu Dhabi follows a conservative Sunni religious doctrine that’s at odds with Iran’s Shia Islam. Political Tensions The government of Sheikh Khalifa, who’s also president of the U.A.E., disputes Tehran’s claim to three islands near key shipping lanes in the Gulf. Dubai tries to maintain a middle ground. It has cozied up to Abu Dhabi to ride out its debt crisis. Yet, with what the IBC says are 400,000 Iranians living within its borders — the largest concentration of the emigres outside Greater Los Angeles — Dubai can’t ignore its giant neighbor to the north. Thousands of Iranians travel to Dubai annually for a break from the Islamic Republic’s ban on alcohol and laws that require women to cover their hair and the shape of their bodies. Abu Dhabi, despite the bailout, is leery of Dubai’s freewheeling ways. “A likely price for Abu Dhabi’s help will be a greater centralization of the U.A.E. and less independence for Dubai,” says Eckart Woertz , economics program manager at the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center , which analyzes Middle Eastern policy. ‘Firmer Grip’ Abu Dhabi may push for U.A.E.-wide control of air and sea shipping, he says. Today, each emirate creates and administers many of its own laws, much as U.S. states do. “Abu Dhabi could end up with a firmer grip on implementation of sanctions policies against Iran, which would benefit the U.S.,” Woertz says. The U.S. has struggled for decades to make sanctions against Iran work. It has brought more than 20 cases against companies that it believes broke U.S. rules on exporting military or sensitive nuclear-processing material to the Islamic Republic. Kesh Air International in Novato, California; Limmt Economic & Trade Co. in Dalian, China; and Aviation Services International BV in the Netherlands have all used Dubai as a shipment destination for goods going into Iran, according to court documents. In April 2009, a Manhattan grand jury indicted Limmt on charges it had covertly used New York banks to finance large quantities of restricted materials for Iran. In May, Hassan Keshari , a naturalized U.S. citizen who owns Kesh Air, was sentenced to 17 months in federal prison after pleading guilty to conspiracy to export military aircraft parts to Iran. Banking Ties In September, Robert Kraaipoel, the director of Aviation Services, and his son, Robert Neils Kraaipoel, pleaded guilty to federal charges related to a conspiracy to illegally export aircraft parts to Iran. Both are citizens of the Netherlands. The U.S. has also tried to cut Iran’s access to the American banking system. The U.K.’s Lloyds TSB Bank Plc paid a $350 million fine to the Justice Department and the Manhattan District Attorney’s office in January 2009. According to the department, employees in Dubai and the U.K. had stripped identification tags from money transfers, allowing Iran, Libya and Sudan to send funds through the U.S. financial system. In December, Credit Suisse Group AG agreed to pay $536 million for violating U.S. sanctions and funneling millions of dollars secretly to Iran and other countries. Front Companies Some of the companies the U.S. is targeting set up shop in plain view of Dubai’s bustling docks. Less than 200 meters (650 feet) from Dubai Creek wharf, the grimy, five-story Bani Yas Center office complex served as headquarters for Iranian front companies, according to Alexander Acosta , a former U.S. attorney for the southern district of Florida and now dean of the Florida International University College of Law in Miami. On the ground floor, clothing stores with signs in English and Russian sell off-brand shirts, ties and shoes. In the lobby, the names of 30 trading and transport companies are written in white plastic letters on a black board. A single office here housed four Iranian firms that ordered microchips, computer parts and global-positioning-system devices from U.S. providers, according to court documents. The companies, with names such as Majidco Micro Electronics and Mayrow General Trading, had the electronics shipped to Dubai. From there, it was easy to forward the gear to Iran aboard an Iran Air flight, according to court documents. The Justice Department alleges in an indictment unsealed in September 2008 in Miami that the microchips found their way into roadside bombs in Iraq that were used against U.S. troops . Silent Partners While traces of the four firms had vanished during a visit to the center in October, hundreds of such front companies operate in Dubai, Wilson Sonsini’s Prager says. “We’ve figured it out and we made some cases, but it’s still a sieve,” she says. Iranians also gain a foothold in Dubai by setting up a business with a local resident acting as a silent partner. A U.A.E.-based company can better access lines of credit and import goods than one based in Iran. It’s a simple matter from there to ship the goods across the Gulf, IBC’s Masoumzadeh says. Residents can benefit from such deals. Under Dubai law, businesses must have an Emirati sponsor who takes a 51 percent stake. In return for acting as a silent partner, locals can earn a steady income, ranging from a few thousand dollars to more than $100,000 a year, the New America Foundation’s Molavi says. Deep Roots For more than a century, Persian-speaking Iranians have lived and worked in Dubai, which today has about 1.7 million people. The first Iranian merchants to settle arrived about 150 years ago. Another group emigrated in the 1930s to flee the modernizing edicts of Reza Shah , whose son, Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi , was overthrown in 1979. Others moved to avoid the religious extremism of the Islamic Republic that followed his rule. On this steamy October evening, people are enjoying kebabs marinated in yogurt and stews with pomegranate and walnuts at Iranian restaurants called Abshar and Ostadi. On Fridays, some Iranians attend the Shiite mosque with its green-and-blue glazed-tile facade, which is steps away from the Iranian Consulate. Amities Etemadi, an Iranian architect, came to Dubai in 1999 after graduating from the Islamic Azad University of Tehran. She visits Iran once a year for family reasons but considers Dubai her home, she says, sipping a Diet Coke at an outdoor cafe. In her short-sleeved T-shirt with her hair uncovered, she would be breaking rules in Iran that would earn her a jail sentence or a public lashing. ‘Don’t Take You Seriously’ “It’s difficult to work in construction projects in Iran because they don’t take you seriously as a woman,” she says. It was a different story in the 1960s and 1970s. While the shah encouraged Iranians to be cosmopolitan and Western, Dubai was no more than a village on the edge of the Arabian Desert. Its main industry was exporting pearls. As late as 1960, Dubai had no electricity, no roads, no bridges, no running water and no telephones, according to Jim Krane , author of “City of Gold: Dubai and the Dream of Capitalism” (St. Martin’s Press, 2009). Yet Dubai always had an underbelly that lured hustlers and smugglers, Krane says. Its waterfront offered easy access to the Gulf and to countries in the Mideast, Asia and Africa, and its laissez-faire attitude attracted people with subversive ambitions, he says. “Smuggling became an art form,” Krane says. Links to 9/11 Pakistani scientist A.Q. Khan organized a smuggling operation of nuclear material in Dubai, says David Albright , president of the Institute for Science and International Security in Washington. Khan, who developed Pakistan’s nuclear program, confessed in 2004 to shipping nuclear technology to Iran and Libya. Al-Qaeda used the emirate’s banking system to transfer funds, according to the 9/11 Commission report , which investigated the attacks on New York and Washington. About half of the $250,000 spent on the Sept. 11 attacks was wired to al- Qaeda terrorists in the U.S. from Dubai banks, the commission found. The U.S. government says getting Dubai to cooperate is crucial to its effort to rein in Iran. Treasury Undersecretary Stuart Levey, the U.S. point man on financial sanctions against the Islamic Republic, has shuttled to Dubai more than a dozen times. “I’m aware that Dubai has deep historical ties to Iran,” says Levey, seated in his fourth-floor office in Washington. “They want to be part of the global trading and be a financial center. They see the potential reputational risk that these ties with Iran pose.” Treasury Blacklist The Treasury Department has designated 119 Iranian companies, banks and officials as supporters of Iran’s nuclear or terrorist activities. It has placed them on a list that bans them from having any dealing with U.S. companies and that allows the U.S. to seize their assets. In 2006, the department announced sanctions against Bank Saderat , one of Iran’s biggest lenders, for transferring funds to Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shia paramilitary group. The Treasury listed Bank Melli , Iran’s biggest bank, the following year for funding Iran’s nuclear program. The State Department took aim at the U.A.E. in 2007. It threatened to designate the emirates as a “destination of diversion concern,” a label applied to countries that send sensitive nuclear technology to Iran. The classification would have meant that U.S. customs officials would start giving more scrutiny to exports to the U.A.E. Dubai agreed to enact its own stringent laws, which among other things, ban the export or re- export of strategic goods like military hardware without a special license. Dubai Gets Tough Since then, Dubai customs agents have shut down at least 30 local companies, according to the U.S. Commerce Department. Last August, U.A.E. customs investigators intercepted and seized a North Korean ship carrying weapons to Iran. Levey has repeatedly warned banks in Dubai against dealing with Iran. In November 2008, the Treasury further tightened restrictions by revoking a special financial arrangement referred to as a “U-turn license.” This measure in effect prevents U.S. banks from making dollar transfers to Iranian banks or other financial institutions even if the transfers are on behalf of European or Asian companies. “Levey is trying to paralyze Iran, but Dubai is Iran’s biggest trading partner and it won’t be easy,” says Abbas Bolurfrushan , a former president of the IBC who runs an insurance company specializing in shipping. “Iran has experience in getting around sanctions.” Clean Companies From his 19th-floor office in the Radisson Hotel, Bolurfrushan can see Dubai Creek and the dhows brimming with appliances, food and clothing. He left Iran in 1982 after the government nationalized the insurance industry. He set up his own company in Dubai. He says Emirati customs officials are becoming stricter with businesses they think belong to Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, the branch of Iran’s military that controls its borders. “The majority of Iranian companies here are clean and have nothing to do with smuggling weapons or material for the nuclear program,” Bolurfrushan says. “Dubai’s security forces have put Iranians under the microscope.” Esfandiar Rashidzadeh says he has felt Dubai’s tighter regulations. In 2004, Rashidzadeh, the former vice governor of Iran’s central bank, set up an affiliate of Iran’s Bank Melli in Dubai. He wanted to attract foreign investors to a fund called First Persia Equity Fund that invested in Iran’s stock market . Americans can’t invest in the fund. In March 2009, the Treasury added Rashidzadeh to its blacklist. ‘Better Intel’ Trouble is, Rashidzadeh says, he’d left the Bank Melli affiliate 18 months before the Treasury’s move. “They need better intel,” he quips, saying the worst consequence of the American action was missing a relative’s wedding in the U.S. Rashidzadeh says U.S. sanctions are unlikely to sway Iran’s policies — but they may make it more expensive to conduct business there. “Their pressure will not change regime behavior but add to the cost of doing business,” he says. “We’ve survived sanctions before.” Stephen Austen , a former managing director of the same investment fund, counters that sanctions are hurting. Austen, who had worked at Lloyds Bank Plc and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. , was one of the fund’s managers in the Cayman Islands and later in Dubai. ‘Sanctions Are Biting’ Austen says U.S. efforts against Iran are frightening potential investors the nation needs to fix its aging oil fields and improve its natural gas production. A lack of machinery and spare parts is hurting Iran’s car industry, he says. Iran is also having trouble getting financing, Austen says. “The U.S. has successfully barricaded Iran from the international capital markets,” he says. “The Iranian government does not want to admit that the sanctions are biting, but they are biting very hard.” That assessment is good news for Levey, who’s unlikely to ease his scrutiny of Iran — or his prodding of Dubai. “Abu Dhabi is going to apply pressure on Dubai to limit its dealings with Iran,” Brandeis University’s Habibi predicts. “Abu Dhabi is no friend of Iran.” With Abu Dhabi in the mix, the U.S. may have finally found a regional ally in its struggle to persuade Dubai to firmly shut Iran’s back door to the West. For Related News and Information: To contact the reporter on this story: Kambiz Foroohar in New York at kforoohar@bloomberg.net

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South Korea Growth Probably Slowed in Fourth Quarter as Re-Stocking Eased

January 24, 2010

By Seyoon Kim and Cesilia Han Jan. 25 (Bloomberg) — South Korea’s economic expansion probably moderated in the fourth quarter as companies eased off rebuilding their inventories, a slowdown that may prove temporary on rising exports and increased government spending. Gross domestic product increased 0.5 percent in October to December after climbing 3.2 percent the previous quarter, the median of 13 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey shows. From a year before, GDP gained 6.6 percent, the survey indicates. The released is scheduled for 8 a.m. in Seoul tomorrow. South Korea’s expansion will outpace all but China and India among the world’s 15 largest economies over the next two years, according to the International Monetary Fund. Hynix Semiconductor Inc., the world’s second-largest computer-memory chipmaker, this month reported its biggest quarterly profit in three years as demand for personal computers drove up prices. “The recovery remains on track,” said Kwon Young Sun, an economist at Nomura International Ltd. in Hong Kong. It’s “only natural” that fourth-quarter growth slowed after the re- stocking surge in previous months, he said. The benchmark Kospi stock index climbed 50 percent last year and the won gained 8.9 percent against the dollar over the same period as investors bet the economy would be one of the leaders of the global recovery. South Korea’s GDP increased at the fastest pace in seven years in the third quarter. Spending, Exports President Lee Myung Bak ’s administration willl boost spending this year by 3 percent to 292.8 trillion won ($256 billion) and will accelerate its distribution as it seeks to maintain the momentum of the recovery. The government forecast exports will rise 13 percent this year to $410 billion. Growth in China, South Korea’s biggest export market, accelerated to the fastest pace since 2007 in the fourth quarter, rising 10.7 percent from a year before. Companies such as Samsung Electronics Co. returned to profit in the fourth quarter from a loss a year earlier as prices increased and demand rose. LG Display Co. , the No. 2 maker of liquid-crystal displays, reported profit and sales that beat estimates. Combined sales at the nation’s three major department stores gained at the fastest pace in 16 months in December and manufacturers’ confidence rose. The government also said it will provide an allowance and tax incentives for unemployed people hired by smaller firms, as it seeks to avoid a jobless recovery. Political Pressure South Korea’s central bank cut the benchmark interest rate by 3.25 percentage points between October 2008 and February 2009 to a record-low 2 percent and the government has pressed Governor Lee Seong Tae and his board to keep the rate down. The government this month sent a vice finance minister to attend the Bank of Korea’s monthly meeting, breaking a practice of more than 10 years of excluding political representatives. The central bank may wait until there are signs of growth accelerating in coming months before raising rates later this year, economists including Lee Sang Jae said. “The economy will show signs of a modest recovery in coming months and inflation remains tame,” said Lee of Hyundai Securities Co. in Seoul. “It’s hard for the central bank to find a justifiable reason to raise interest rates when the government is clearly opposed to the idea.” Governor Lee, whose term ends March 31, said last month that the central bank shouldn’t wait too long before gradually raising borrowing costs, provided the recovery maintains momentum. He said the bank will adjust its monetary policy “at an appropriate pace,” while taking into consideration the economy and financial conditions. To contact the reporters on this story: Seyoon Kim in Seoul at skim7@bloomberg.net ; Cesilia Han in Seoul at chan4@bloomberg.net

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Samsung to Pay Rambus $900 Million to End Computer Memory-Chip Litigation

January 19, 2010

By Susan Decker and Ian King Jan. 19 (Bloomberg) — Samsung Electronics Co. agreed to pay $900 million to end all legal claims with Rambus Inc. and reach a new licensing deal over computer-memory technology. Samsung will invest $200 million in Rambus stock, make an additional payment of $200 million, and then pay $25 million a quarter for the next five years, the companies said in a joint statement. The agreement ends litigation that began in 2005 after efforts to renew an expired license failed. Samsung, based in Suwon, South Korea, is the world’s largest maker of computer memory chips. The agreement may prompt other chipmakers to end their disputes with Rambus and begin paying royalties, said Jeff Schreiner , an analyst at San Diego-based Capstone Investments. “Any agreement with Samsung is a good agreement because it’s going to force other companies to sign,” Schreiner said in a telephone interview. “We are looking at this as a very positive development.” The companies will focus on graphics and mobile memory and review a possible collaboration on server and high-speed NAND flash memories, the companies said in the statement. Rambus, based in Los Altos, California, has been embroiled in patent litigation for a decade with companies that refused to license its patents. To contact the reporters on this story: Susan Decker in Washington at sdecker1@bloomberg.net ; Ian King in San Francisco at ianking@bloomberg.net .

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Global Economic Confidence Index Rises on Signs of Sustained 2010 Recovery

January 13, 2010

By Shamim Adam Jan. 14 (Bloomberg) — Confidence in the world economy rose as an acceleration in manufacturing and service industries signaled a sustained recovery from last year’s recession, according to a Bloomberg survey of users on six continents. The Bloomberg Professional Global Confidence Index gained to 66.6 this month from 58.9 in December, reaching the highest level since the series began two years ago. The index exceeded 50 for a sixth month, which means there were more optimists than pessimists. “The world economy is on the mend and growth is firmly in the plus column this year,” said Chris Rupkey , chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York and a regular survey participant. “As we turn the corner on a new year, the heavy job losses and stock-market lows fall further by the wayside. It may be a slow recovery but it appears to be sustainable and this is likely to give the markets the backbone they need to continue normalizing.” A stimulus-driven rebound in global demand is boosting orders and encouraging companies such as Samsung Electronics Co . to raise capital spending and output. The recovery was aided by policy makers from the U.S. to Europe keeping interest rates at record lows to spur growth after the worst postwar recession. The survey of 5,437 Bloomberg users was conducted between Jan. 4 and Jan. 8. Since the previous survey, revised figures show the U.S. added jobs in November for the first time in almost two years, while manufacturing in the world’s largest economy expanded last month at the fastest pace in more than three years. U.S. Confidence A measure of U.S. participants’ confidence in the economy rose to 54.4 this month from 47.7 in December, exceeding 50 for the first time. The unemployment rate stayed at 10 percent last month even as companies unexpectedly cut jobs. Federal Reserve policy makers say the labor and housing markets are stabilizing, and declared financial markets healthy enough to remove most emergency aid. “The recent data point to a clear improvement in the economic situation and a continuation of the recovery,” said Thomas Herrmann , a global economist at Credit Suisse Group AG in Zurich who participated in the survey. “Recent payroll data in the U.S. have been a slight disappointment but they are just a blip in an upward trend.” The confidence gauge for Western Europe climbed to 55.5 from 50.9 last month, holding above 50 for a second consecutive month. Europe’s manufacturing and services industries expanded for a fifth month in December and the European Central Bank last month said it will exit some unconventional measures adopted to spur growth as the recovery progresses. IMF Forecast The International Monetary Fund will probably raise its estimate for 2010 world growth this month from a 3.1 percent forecast in October, John Lipsky , the organization’s first deputy managing director, said Jan. 6. Asian economies are also strengthening amid rising industrial output and stronger domestic consumption. Asia’s index rose to 79.8 from 76.2 while the confidence gauge for Japan advanced to 44.1 from 29.5. China this week unexpectedly raised the proportion of deposits that banks must set aside as reserves starting Jan. 18 to cool the world’s fastest-growing major economy as a credit boom threatens to stoke inflation and create asset bubbles. Inflation Pressures “As we start the new year, things certainly look better than they did a year ago,” said Ken Wattret , chief euro-region economist at BNP Paribas SA in London, and a survey participant. “It’s now time to differentiate between different economic areas. With regard to some emerging markets, especially China and parts of Asia, the debate is overheating and inflation pressures.” Chinese manufacturing expanded by the most in five years in December, while India’s production also grew at a faster pace, according to HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics’ purchasing managers’ indices for the two countries. Most Bloomberg users were more optimistic on the outlook for their equity markets in the next six months. The MSCI World Index has surged 74 percent from last year’s low in March, adding more than $25.6 trillion to the global equity rally. The indexes showing expectations for stocks in Japan and the U.S. gained the most, according to the survey. Respondents became more bullish on the U.S. dollar, expecting it to strengthen in the next six months against the world’s most actively traded currencies. The trade-weighted Dollar Index has gained about 1 percent in the past month. The dollar confidence index rose to 53.1 from 52 in December. Users in Japan turned pessimistic on the chances that the yen will strengthen against the dollar, with the index sliding for a fourth month to 35.5 from 50.6. Respondents in most Western European nations expected the euro to weaken against its U.S. counterpart. Survey participants in the U.S. and Europe are more confident short-term interest rates will rise in the next six months, the survey showed. To contact the reporters on this story: Shamim Adam in Singapore at sadam2@bloomberg.net

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Stocks Analysts Hated Beat the Ones They Loved: John Dorfman

January 11, 2010

Commentary by John Dorfman Jan. 11 (Bloomberg) — As 2010 gets under way, the stock that Wall Street’s security analysts love most is CMS Energy Corp. It garners 14 “buy” recommendations, with no dissenting votes. One might think that this stock can’t miss. History suggests otherwise. Accenture Plc , which recently saw its Tiger Woods -centered advertising campaign turn to dust overnight, was analysts’ favorite stock in 2002. Sixteen analysts urged investors to buy the stock; not one said to hold or sell. How did Accenture do? Shares fell 33 percent that year. That result was not a fluke. For 11 of the past 12 years, I have studied the performance of analysts’ four favorite stocks, and the fate of the four they most scorned. My analysis covers 1998 through 2009, except for 2008, when I was temporarily retired as a columnist. Their favorites, on average, were flat during those years while the four stocks they hated most gained about 6 percent annually. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had an average gain of about 9 percent. Last year was particularly good for the despised stocks. Led by Sears Holdings Corp., they rose 47 percent compared with 23 percent for the analysts’ favorites. Pariahs Triumph How could the Wall Street experts have known that the raging recession and bear market, still in full force in January 2009, would give way to a stock-market recovery, and then an economic recovery? They couldn’t. And that is just the point. Analysts are not all-knowing. For the most part, they are intelligent, well informed and highly paid. But like most human beings, they extrapolate the recent past as a guide to what comes next. Of course, the stocks with the highest number of “sell” ratings don’t always beat the ones with the most “buy” ratings. In fact, they managed to do that only half the time in the 11 years, with one year (1998) a tie. All figures in my study are total returns including dividends. Most years the study included any stock covered by four analysts or more. In 2007 it was restricted to stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Let’s see which stocks currently have the highest — and lowest — ratings. CMS Energy , the analysts’ top favorite, is an electric and gas utility with headquarters in Jackson, Michigan. At 13 times earnings, it is fairly priced, in my opinion. The dividend yield, at 3.2 percent, is skimpy for a utility. In Favor 5N Plus Inc. , which has the unanimous approval of a dozen analysts, is based in Saint-Laurent, Canada. The company sells extremely pure metals and alloys to the electronics industry. It earned a healthy return on stockholders’ equity of 21 percent in fiscal 2009, and sells for 14 times earnings. I like 5N, but I’m slightly puzzled by analysts’ extreme enthusiasm, since they predict that fiscal 2010 earnings will be down about 22 percent. Reinsurance Group of America Inc. , whose headquarters are in Chesterfield, Missouri, is rated “buy” by 10 brokerage- house experts, again with no dissent. The stock appears cheap at nine times earnings. However, profitability in 2008 was skimpy, with a 6 percent return on equity. Fuel Systems Solutions Inc. , based in Santa Ana, California, also has 10 “buys.” It designs systems to help internal combustion engines run on clean fuels such as natural gas or propane. Shares are zig-zagging around $50, up from about $10 at the end of 2002. Perhaps it will prove a durable growth stock, but at 27 times earnings it is too expensive for a value investor like me. The Despised This year, I don’t much like the despised stocks either. General Motors, alias Motors Liquidation Co ., which was second on the most-hated list last year, heads the list this year. All four experts covering the stock say “sell.” Although GM last week boldly predicted a profit for 2010, I doubt the stock will do much this year. Its book value (corporate net worth per share) is negative $149 a share. Gabriel Resources Ltd. is a mining company based in Toronto that wants to mine gold in Romania. It has had no revenue in recent years. Four analysts say “sell,” one says “hold.” Rochester, New York-based Eastman Kodak Co . has been trying to reinvent itself as a digital photography company. Things are not going well: Revenue fell to $9.4 billion in 2008 from more than $19 billion in 1991. Four analysts say “sell,” two say “hold.” I have higher hopes for Post Properties Inc. of Atlanta, which develops upscale apartment communities in the Southeast and Southwest. I think Post may show some pep this year. Yet 11 of the 14 experts covering the stock say “sell” while three say “hold.” They estimate that it lost money in 2009, and expect it to post another loss in 2010. Disclosure note: I have no long or short positions in the stocks discussed in this week’s column, personally or for clients. ( John Dorfman , chairman of Thunderstorm Capital in Boston, is a columnist for Bloomberg News. The opinions expressed are his own. His firm or clients may own or trade securities discussed in this column.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: John Dorfman at jdorfman@thunderstormcapital.com .

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Technology Spending to Rise This Year, Luczo Says

January 8, 2010

By Joseph Galante and Connie Guglielmo Jan. 8 (Bloomberg) — Technology spending will rise this year because of pent-up demand from businesses for new equipment and consumer appetite for notebook computers, Seagate Technology Chief Executive Officer Steve Luczo said. “2010 is going to be a growing year for tech globally,” Luczo, head of the world’s largest maker of hard-disk drives, said in an interview yesterday at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. “We think 2010 is going to be a good year all the way through.” Luczo, 52, who retook the CEO job at Seagate a year ago amid a global recession, said that while customers’ confidence level is not yet at the level of “everything OK,” it’s higher than it was at the start of 2009. Beginning in November, customers found they had a clear enough picture of the market to predict demand several months ahead, something they weren’t able to do in the first half of the year. “People had no visibility — I mean no visibility,” Luczo said. “The big change has been that we’re almost back to the type of visibility that we would normally have, which in our business is somewhere between three and six months.” The market for hard drives in 2009 was better than expected in part because storage remains a “fundamental” technology no matter the economic conditions, Luczo said. Seagate anticipated that total industry demand would be about 450 million units in 2009. Instead, it turned out to be about 570 million units, he said. Demand already has picked up in China, Brazil, Europe and Asia, with some business spending returning in the U.S., Luczo said. Corporate customers, who held off buying equipment during the recession, will likely update their desktop, storage and server computers, he said. Consumers continue to seek out notebooks and low-cost models called netbooks, he said. Seagate, based in the Cayman Islands and run from Scotts Valley, California, fell 24 cents to $17.80 at 9:34 a.m. New York time on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The shares more than quadrupled last year. The company will report fiscal second-quarter earnings on Jan. 20. To contact the reporters on this story: Joseph Galante in San Francisco at jgalante3@bloomberg.net ; Connie Guglielmo in San Francisco at cguglielmo1@bloomberg.net .

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Send Us Your Questions For Ford CEO Alan Mulally!

January 8, 2010

Send us your questions for Ford CEO Alan Mulally! What’s the future of the American car industry? Will manufacturing jobs return to Detroit? Can American car companies out-innovate their foreign rivals? Will the government need to repeat its wildly popular “Cash For Clunkers” program to get auto sales moving again? When will the auto industry make a wholesale commitment to alternative vehicles? We’ll be selecting the best HuffPost reader questions and asking them to Ford’s CEO directly. Leave your questions in the comments section! Ford, the only U.S. automaker to avoid taking government funds during the financial crisis, has been on a roll lately (we apologize for the bad pun). At the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, Ford CEO Alan Mulally is promoting the company’s new Sync technology, which brings Internet connectivity to new vehicles. Among other things, the new features will include iPhone-like apps for your dashboard . And in bold fashion, Mulally predicted that Ford will turn a strong profit in 2010, which will likely be fueled in part by its explosive growth in China, where sales soared 44 percent in 2009. In the past year, Ford’s stock has been on fire and has been one of the top performing stocks in the S&P 500 . Helped by smart — and timely — borrowing in 2006 , Ford has been able to stay afloat while its Detroit competitors have largely floundered. Mulally, who took the helm at Ford in 2006, has been adamant that his company won’t continue to make the mistakes that have long plagued American car companies. In the comments section below, suggest your questions for Ford CEO Allan Mulally. We’ll choose the best four to ask him on Monday.

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