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British Pound US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

June 2, 2010

British Pound US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

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Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

June 2, 2010

Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

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Australian Dollar / US Dollar Monthly Exchange Rate Forecast

June 2, 2010

Australian Dollar / US Dollar Monthly Exchange Rate Forecast

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Australian Dollar / US Dollar Monthly Exchange Rate Forecast

June 2, 2010

Australian Dollar / US Dollar Monthly Exchange Rate Forecast

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New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

June 2, 2010

New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

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New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

June 2, 2010

New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

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BP Spill Threatens Alabama, Mississippi Coasts as Hurricane Season Begins

June 1, 2010

By John Duce June 1 (Bloomberg) — Oil from the biggest spill in U.S. history could spread this week to threaten the coasts of Mississippi and Alabama, according a weather forecast that comes as the Atlantic hurricane season officially starts. Winds from the southwest are predicted this week, pushing the oil from BP Plc’s broken well in the Gulf of Mexico to a wider area of the U.S. coast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in a statement on its Website. “Results indicate that oil may move north to threaten the barrier islands off Mississippi and Alabama later in the forecast period,” the agency known as NOAA said. BP abandoned an attempt to plug the well spewing millions of gallons of oil and said it will now try to contain the spill by fitting a pipe over the leak later this week to bring the oil to a drillship on the surface. Ships seeking to funnel oil from the leak a mile under the Gulf may need to head to port in the event of a hurricane. Fifteen to 20 named storms may develop in the season threatening both the Gulf of Mexico and the U.S. East Coast, according to Greg Holland, director of the Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division of the National Center for Atmospheric Research. The 2010 hurricane season in the Atlantic has an 85 percent chance of being above normal, with a 70 percent probability of 14 to 23 named storms, NOAA said on May 27. The season, which begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30, has a 70 percent chance of eight to 14 hurricanes, with three to seven of them major, according to the agency. To contact the reporter on this story: John Duce in Hong Kong at Jduce1@bloomberg.net

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Video: Kotecha Says Euro at `Fair Value’ Against U.S. Dollar: Video

May 31, 2010

June 1 (Bloomberg) — Mitul Kotecha, head of global currency strategy at Credit Agricole CIB, talks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat about his forecast for the euro. Kotecha, speaking from Hong Kong, also discusses a proposal that central banks set up a permanent arrangement for foreign-currency swaps to help address the type of funding shortages that emerged during the global financial crisis, and the outlook for the won and yuan. (Source: Bloomberg)

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CBOE Holdings Seeks to Raise Up to $339 Million in IPO of Options Exchange

May 27, 2010

By Nick Baker May 27 (Bloomberg) — CBOE Holdings Inc., owner of the Chicago Board Options Exchange, said it plans to sell shares in its initial public offering for between $27 and $29 each. The offering is for 11.7 million shares, meaning CBOE’s deal would raise up to $339 million given the forecast price range.

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Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.24.10

May 22, 2010

Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.24.10

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Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.17.10

May 15, 2010

Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.17.10

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Video: SJS’s Kowalczyk Favors, Yen, Dollar, 10-Year Treasuries

May 14, 2010

May 14 (Bloomberg) — Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist at SJS Markets Ltd., talks about his investment strategy to match his forecast of a “double-dip” recession in G-3 economies later this year. He speaks with Bloomberg’s Mark Barton in London.

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Express Cuts IPO, Roadrunner Sells at Low End in Private-Equity Discounts

May 13, 2010

By Inyoung Hwang and Lee Spears May 13 (Bloomberg) — Express Inc. cut the price for its initial public offering, while Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc. sold shares at the low end of its range as investors extracted concessions from private-equity backed IPOs. Express, the specialty-apparel retailer controlled by Golden Gate Capital, raised $272 million selling 16 million shares at $17 each yesterday, according to a statement. The Columbus, Ohio-based company had offered the stock for as much as $20. Roadrunner , the transportation and logistics company owned by Thayer/Hidden Creek, sold $148 million at $14 each. The IPOs were the second and third in the U.S. since companies from Ryerson Holding Corp. in Chicago to Santa Ana, California-based Smile Brands Group Inc. postponed sales on May 6 as the Dow Jones Industrial Average posted its biggest intraday drop since 1987. Niska Gas Storage Partners LLC slid 6.8 percent yesterday after the company raised $359 million. “The market still has a skittish risk appetite as a result of the fallout from last week’s events,” said Frederic Dickson , the Lake Oswego, Oregon-based chief market strategist at D.A. Davidson & Co., which oversees about $25 billion. “It’s been a very difficult market for pricing.” Express slipped 0.5 percent to $16.91 at 9:48 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange trading. Roadrunner was unchanged at $14. Volatility Surges At least 13 companies around the world have postponed or withdrawn IPOs in May as equities fell the most since 2008 last week. Waves of computerized trading exacerbated a selloff sparked by Europe’s debt crisis, pushing a gauge of U.S. stock volatility to the biggest increase in its two-decade history. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index then rebounded by the most in a year on May 10 and has rallied 5.3 percent this week. That helped encourage nine companies to push ahead with initial offerings, making it the busiest week for U.S. deals this year. Five of the initial sales are backed by leveraged-buyout companies. LBO firms have been forced to take some of the biggest discounts among 2010’s IPOs after distributions to clients last year decreased to the lowest since at least 2000, data from London-based Preqin Ltd. showed. Blackstone Group LP in New York, the world’s largest private-equity firm, raised less than half of what it sought for York, Pennsylvania-based Graham Packaging Co. in February. Golden Gate Capital, the San Francisco-based LBO firm that oversees $9 billion, owned a 67 percent stake in Express before the IPO. Bank of America Corp. of Charlotte, North Carolina, and New York-based Goldman Sachs Group Inc. managed the deal for Columbus, Ohio-based Express. ‘Number One Key’ At the original midpoint price, the operator of 573 U.S. outlets was valued at 22.39 times its 2009 per-share net income. That’s more than twice as much as the median ratio for 30 publicly traded U.S. competitors, Bloomberg data show. “You have to be very careful about participating in any IPO where private equity is the seller,” said Steven M. Rogé , a Bohemia, New York-based manager at R.W. Rogé & Co., which oversees $200 million. “Valuation is the number one key.” Roadrunner sold 10.6 million shares at $14 each after the Cudahy, Wisconsin-based company offered the stock at $14 to $16, according to a statement and a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Thayer/Hidden Creek, the Washington-based private-equity firm that invests in industrial companies, will own 52 percent of Roadrunner after the IPO, the filing showed. Robert W. Baird & Co. of Milwaukee arranged the offering. Niska, Carlyle Niska, the Houston-based natural-gas storage operator controlled by Carlyle Group and Riverstone Holdings LLC, retreated in its first day of trading after pricing 17.5 million units at $20.50, within the forecast range of $20 to $22. Carlyle, the Washington-based buyout firm that oversees more than $88.6 billion, and Riverstone, the New York-based company that manages $17 billion and specializes in energy and power investments, owned more than 95 percent of the holding company that controlled Niska before the IPO. Noranda Aluminum Holding Corp. , which was scheduled to price shares yesterday, slashed the size of its IPO by as much as 70 percent in an SEC filing today. The Franklin, Tennessee- based maker of rolled coils owned by Leon Black’s Apollo Global Management LLC will now seek to sell 10 million shares at $8 to $9 each, after offering 16.67 million at $14 to $16. Metals USA The original deal would have exceeded Apollo’s $240 million initial offering of Metals USA Holdings Corp., the largest IPO of one of the private-equity firm’s portfolio companies since the credit crisis. Fort Lauderdale, Florida-based Metals USA , which priced its shares above the forecast range, has slumped 25 percent since its IPO. Bank of America was hired to lead Noranda’s sale. TeleNav Inc., the Sunnyvale, California-based provider of navigation and search services for mobile devices, cut the price range for its IPO to $9 to $10 a share from $11 to $13, according to an SEC filing today. JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York and Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank AG are managing the sale. To contact the reporters on this story: Inyoung Hwang in New York at ihwang7@bloomberg.net ; Lee Spears in New York at lspears3@bloomberg.net .

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Video: Schlossberg Says Euro May Fall to $1.20 in Long Term: Video

May 9, 2010

May 10 (Bloomberg) — Boris Schlossberg, director of research at online currency trader GFT Forex, talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about his forecast for the euro, and prospects of a bailout of Greece. European Union finance ministers moved toward agreement on an unprecedented loan package worth a least $645 billion to prevent Greece’s fiscal woes from triggering a broader sovereign-debt crisis and shattering confidence in the euro. Schlossberg, speaking from New York, also discusses the outlook for the U.S. dollar and the yen. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.10.10

May 8, 2010

Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.10.10

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Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.03.10

May 1, 2010

Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 05.03.10

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Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 04.26.10

April 24, 2010

Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 04.26.10

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Video: Sebastien Galy Says BNP Paribas `Very Bearish’ on Euro: Video

March 26, 2010

March 26 (Bloomberg) — Sebastien Galy, senior currency strategist at BNP Paribas, talks with Bloomberg’s Margaret Brennan about his forecast for the euro. The euro rose from a 10-month low against the dollar a day after European leaders endorsed a Franco-German proposal to assist Greece through a mix of International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Sebastien Galy Says BNP Paribas `Very Bearish’ on Euro: Video

March 26, 2010

March 26 (Bloomberg) — Sebastien Galy, senior currency strategist at BNP Paribas, talks with Bloomberg’s Margaret Brennan about his forecast for the euro. The euro rose from a 10-month low against the dollar a day after European leaders endorsed a Franco-German proposal to assist Greece through a mix of International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans. (Source: Bloomberg)

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MaxLinear Exceeds IPO Price Forecast as Calix Helps U.S. Offerings Recover

March 24, 2010

By Michael Tsang and Craig Trudell March 24 (Bloomberg) — MaxLinear Inc. , a designer of semiconductors, boosted its initial public offering 28 percent as two U.S. companies raised more money in IPOs than originally sought and one sold shares at the high end of its price range. The maker of chips that let people watch television on their mobile devices raised $90.2 million yesterday selling 6.44 million shares at $14 each, Bloomberg data show. Carlsbad, California-based MaxLinear had offered 5.43 million shares at $11 to $13. First Interstate BancSystem Inc. sold $145 million of shares in the first IPO by a U.S. bank since the credit crisis began in 2007, 4.2 percent more than its original terms. Calix Inc., which sells connection equipment to telephone companies, priced its IPO at $13, the high end of its range. The three IPOs come after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose to an 18-month high and Financial Engines Inc., the investment adviser co-founded by Nobel laureate William Sharpe , last week became the first U.S. company this year to sell shares above the price range set by underwriters. The prior 14 transactions were cut by 25 percent on average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. “That we’re able to even attempt to pull off three companies in a day certainly is a strong signal that the IPO market is regaining its footing,” said Lawrence Creatura , Rochester, New York-based manager at Federated Investors Inc., which oversees $390 billion. For companies to sell shares without discounting “would be considered a victory,” he said. The three offerings made it the busiest day for IPOs since York, Pennsylvania-based Graham Packaging Co., QuinStreet Inc. of Foster City, California, and Generac Holdings Inc. in Waukesha, Wisconsin, sold shares on Feb. 10. One IPO Only one company went public in the four weeks after that. In the past two weeks, three of the four IPOs have priced within or above their forecast range as the S&P 500 extended its rebound from its 2010 low on Feb. 8 to 11 percent. Last week, Palo Alto, California-based Financial Engines had the biggest first-day gain for a U.S. IPO in almost six months after pricing its $127 million offering above the forecast range. The IPOs yesterday showed buyers are willing to pay premiums for shares after the S&P 500 reached the highest level since September 2008. “It’s a good signal,” said Brian Barish , president of Denver-based Cambiar Investors, which oversees $5.5 billion. “There’s a big difference between needing to raise capital because you’re in a tight spot and going public because it’s a good opportunity and you can do so at a good price.” Largest Increase The 28 percent boost in MaxLinear’s deal size from the maximum amount it had sought is the largest increase for a U.S. IPO this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. MaxLinear, which originally planned to raise as much as $70.7 million, posted a profit in 2009 for the first time in at least five years as sales increased 64 percent, its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission showed. At its original midpoint price of $12, the offering would have given MaxLinear a market value of $353 million. That’s 46 times earnings of $7.67 million over a full year, based on income in the most recent quarter, according to its filing and data compiled by Bloomberg. The three biggest publicly listed companies that MaxLinear cites as its main competitors in its SEC filing, Broadcom Corp. of Irvine, California, Analog Devices Inc. in Norwood, Massachusetts, and Sunnyvale, California-based Maxim Integrated Products Inc. , trade at 15.2 times to 21.6 times estimated earnings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Morgan Stanley of New York and Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank AG led MaxLinear’s sale. Bank Deal First Interstate of Billings, Montana, sold 10 million shares at $14.50, after offering 8.7 million shares at $14 to $16, its filing showed. The IPO is the first for a U.S. bank since Houston-based Encore Bancshares Inc.’s initial sale in July 2007, less than a month before the start of the credit crisis that led to almost $1.8 trillion in losses and writedowns at the world’s biggest financial firms, according to Bloomberg data. “A year ago, it would have been laughable for a bank to try and raise money in the public market,” said Federated’s Creatura. First Interstate’s IPO “indicates that there is a new dawn in the banking industry.” The bank estimated the value of shareholders’ equity, excluding assets that can’t be sold in liquidation, would have amounted to $11.23 per share, based on an IPO at midpoint price of $15, its filing showed. That meant the lender asked buyers to pay $1.34 for each dollar of tangible net assets , 30 percent more than the median ratio of 1.03 times for 312 U.S. commercial banks, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Calix Premium The lender with 72 branches in Montana, Wyoming and South Dakota will use the net proceeds to repay debt and may use the rest to help fund potential acquisitions. First Interstate hired Barclays Plc of London as its lead manager. Calix raised $82.3 million selling 6.33 million shares at $13 each. That’s 36 percent more than the “fair value” of $9.54 a share used by the company’s board of directors when it granted stock options on Feb. 16. Petaluma, California-based Calix became profitable last quarter, posting net income to common stockholders of $2.14 million as revenue rose 25 percent. Calix lost money since it was founded in August 1999. Its products help determine the amount and speed of voice, data and Internet services that customers are able to use. New York-based Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley arranged the initial offering for Calix. “Investors no longer think the sky is falling,” said Len Blum , managing partner at Westwood Capital, a New York-based investment-banking firm. “When we have stable or bullish markets, that’s when IPOs get done.” To contact the reporters on this story: Michael Tsang in New York at mtsang1@bloomberg.net ; Craig Trudell in New York at ctrudell1@bloomberg.net

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Video: Floehr Says Changed Weather Forecasts Are Less Accurate: Video

March 12, 2010

March 12 (Bloomberg) — Eric Floehr, founder of ForecastWatch.com, talks with Bloomberg’s Lori Rothman about the accuracy of weather forecasts. Floehr also discusses ForecastWatch.com’s business strategy and the impact of weather forecasting on business and economies. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Australian Power And Gas (ASX:APK) Reports 1H Revenue Of A$60 Million And Maiden Profit; Confirms Full-Year Forecast

February 28, 2010

Australian Power And Gas (ASX:APK) Reports 1H Revenue Of A$60 Million And Maiden Profit; Confirms Full-Year Forecast

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British economy forecast to grow 1.2% this year

January 22, 2010

British economy forecast to grow 1.2% this year

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Our 2010 Portland Real Estate Forecast « Portland Commercial Real …

January 7, 2010

Our 2010 Portland Real Estate Forecast « Portland Commercial Real … by on January 7, 2010. As the year progressed, investors started to get a handle on revised underwriting standards, sellers with distressed assets began to understand …

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Video: Fujii Doubts Yen Would Fall to 100 Per Dollar in 2010: Video

January 3, 2010

Jan. 4 (Bloomberg) — Tomoko Fujii, a senior director and currency strategist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, talks with Bloomberg’s Haslinda Amin and Patricia Lui about her forecast for the U.S. dollar and yen. Fujii, speaking from Tokyo, also discusses the outlook for Asian central banks’ monetary policies and the euro. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Mine Life’s Wendt Says Gold May Rise to $1,500 in 2010: Video

January 3, 2010

Jan. 4 (Bloomberg) — Gavin Wendt, a senior resource analyst at Mine Life Pty Ltd., talks with Bloomberg’s Haslinda Amin about his forecast for the price of gold. Wendt, speaking from Sydney, also discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy, the dollar and his investment strategy for commodities. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Economists peer into county’s new year: Schniepp (Ventura County Star)

January 2, 2010

Mark Schniepp, director of the California Economic Forecast in Goleta:The U.S. economy is in the fifth or sixth month of economic recovery. To date, it’s a jobless recovery and unemployment remains high, but this is normal during the first six months of a recovery.The Ventura County economy is showing few signs of a general economic recovery, and deteriorating conditions in commercial real …

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Video: Hoey Says U.S. GDP Growth May Reach 4% in 2010: Video

December 22, 2009

Dec. 22 (Bloomberg) — Richard Hoey, chief economist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp., talks with Bloomberg’s Lori Rothman about the forecast for U.S. gross domestic product growth. Hoey also discusses small business recovery and the global economy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Asian Stocks Rise, Extending U.S. Rally; Asahi Glass, James Hardie Advance

November 5, 2009

By Jonathan Burgos Nov. 6 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks rose, extending a surge in the U.S., after unemployment claims and worker productivity beat estimates and companies from Asahi Glass Co. to Toyota Motor Corp. boosted forecasts for this year. Asahi Glass, Asia’s largest glassmaker, climbed 5.5 percent in Tokyo, and Toyota, the world’s biggest carmaker, added as much as 1.7 percent after they narrowed their forecast annual losses. James Hardie Industries NV , the top seller of home siding in the U.S., advanced 2.1 percent in Sydney. Pioneer Corp. surged 8 percent after the maker of car-navigation systems said it needs less funds than previously expected as earnings improve. “Investors are likely to buy into exporter shares with the improvements in the U.S. economic data,” said Juichi Wako , a senior strategist at Tokyo-based Nomura Holdings Inc. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.50 percent to 115.26 as of 9:50 a.m. in Tokyo, trimming its loss this week to 1 percent. The gauge has slumped 4.8 percent from a 13-month high on Oct. 20 amid concerns the withdrawal of stimulus measures will cause the global recovery to falter. The index is still up 64 percent from a five-year low on March 9. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average advanced 1 percent to 9,814.95. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index climbed 1.5 percent in Sydney. New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index added 0.5 percent in Wellington. To contact the reporter for this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net .

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FedEx Gains After Package-Shipping Company Says Profit Beat Its Forecast

September 11, 2009

By Mary Schlangenstein Sept. 11 (Bloomberg) — FedEx Corp. shares rose the most in eight weeks in New York trading after the second-largest U.S. package-shipping company said its first-quarter profit was higher than it had forecast. Earnings for the quarter ended Aug. 31 will be 58 cents a share, the Memphis, Tennessee-based company said today in posting preliminary results. FedEx had forecast 30 cents to 45 cents, and the average of 15 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg was for 45 cents. FedEx’s announcement suggests shipping demand is starting to pick up, particularly for higher-priced international service, as businesses add to inventory and consumers buy goods such as clothing and electronics. FedEx and United Parcel Service Inc. are considered proxies for the U.S. economy because they handle almost 80 percent of the nation’s package shipments. The earnings topped the forecast “thanks to better-than- expected FedEx International Priority volume, strict cost controls and solid execution of our strategy,” Chief Financial Officer Alan Graf said in a statement. FedEx rose $4.43, or 6.1 percent, to $77.09 at 9:58 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading , after increasing as much as 6.4 percent. It was the biggest intraday gain since July 16 and pushed the shares to their highest since Oct 7. The first-quarter profit is a 53 percent decline from a year earlier, FedEx said. The company will report final results for the period on Sept. 17. Second-quarter earnings will fall to 65 cents to 95 cents a share from $1.58 a year earlier, when the company benefited from rapidly declining fuel prices and a lag in the reduction of fuel surcharges that had been in place, FedEx said. The average of 15 analyst estimates was 71 cents. To contact the reporter on this story: Mary Schlangenstein in Dallas at maryc.s@bloomberg.net

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U.S. July Payroll Forecasts Boosted at Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Securities

August 6, 2009

By Shobhana Chandra Aug. 6 (Bloomberg) — Joseph LaVorgna , chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., changed his forecast for the July U.S. payrolls report to a loss of 150,000 jobs from a previous estimate of a 325,000 decline. LaVorgna, who made the revision in a note to clients released late yesterday, kept his projection for the unemployment rate at 9.6 percent. The Labor Department’s payrolls report, due on Aug. 7, may show employers cut 328,000 workers last month and the jobless rate rose to 9.6 percent, according to the median estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. “Nonfarm employment appears to be poised for a significant improvement sometime in the relatively near future — possibly soon enough to show up in the July employment report,” LaVorgna said. Unexpectedly strong payrolls figures in the next few months are more of a possibility given that “the economy is likely in the early stages of recovering.” The worst recession since Word War II is set to end this year, economists predict, as slumps in housing and manufacturing are showing signs of abating. The recovery is likely to be muted as job losses and falling household wealth restrict consumer spending. The number of Americans filing claims for jobless benefits last week fell more than economists predicted, a sign some employers have stopped paring staff as the recession eases. Applications dropped by 38,000 to 550,000 in the week ended Aug. 1, a Labor Department report showed today in Washington, marking the fifth consecutive week of fewer than 600,000 claims. The total number of people collecting unemployment insurance rose by 69,000 to 6.31 million in the week ended July 25, the report also showed. To contact the report on this story: Shobhana Chandra in Washington at schandra1@bloomberg.net

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Video: International Perspective – UK Economy Shrinks

July 24, 2009

UK Economy Shrinks Twice as Much as Forecast – Analysis and Discussion with Nick Kounis of Fortis Bank (Bloomberg News)

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