gold

SAY IT AIN’T SO: SF Institutions Facing Closure In 2012

by Robin Wilkey on January 10, 2012

Huffington Post…

It’s a sad day in downtown San Francisco. According to SFist , Union Square’s favorite (and only remaining) dive bar, Gold Dust Lounge, is facing the axe. Inside Scoop reported that the iconic bar — founded in 1933 and loved for its cheap sticky drinks, ancient decor, live music and rowdy clientele — received an unexpected eviction notice and lease cancellation, even though the business still has three years left on the contract. The cause? The landlord wants to make way for enormous Chicago-based clothing company, The Limited. Since clearly that’s what Union Square is lacking. (SCROLL DOWN FOR PHOTOS) Owner Tasios Bovis (whose family has run the bar since 1965) told Inside Scoop that he plans to appeal the eviction. In the meantime, he’s offering $3.50 margaritas, Irish coffees and glasses of champagne every day (!) until 8:30 p.m. The Bovis family has launched an aggressive campaign to save the bar, which the family wisely pointed out, is older than the Golden Gate Bridge. Check out Gold Dust Lounge’s new Facebook page , Twitter Feed and website to help with the effort. Oh, and get in on those $3.50 cocktails. The Limited may have the final word, but not without a fight from the bar, the community and, according to Gold Dust press agent Lee Housekeeper , the ghost of Herb Cain. It’s been a tough year for business in San Francisco. Check out some other San Francisco icons fighting the good fight in 2012 in our slideshow below:

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SAY IT AIN’T SO: SF Institutions Facing Closure In 2012

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Obama’s Latest Executive Order

by AP on November 9, 2011

Huffington Post…

WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama is coming out against swag. That’s swag, as in the coffee mugs, pens, T-shirts and other public relations articles that federal government agencies purchase with taxpayer money to promote their work. The swag ban is part of an executive order the president will sign on Wednesday to cut waste and make government more efficient. Obama has been using his executive powers on modest proposals to promote job creation, assist homeowners and consumers, or alleviate spending. Besides putting an end to the promotional gear, the new order directs agencies to reduce travel spending, cut back on cellphones and laptops issued to employees, cut down the size of the executive vehicle fleet and post documents online instead of printing them – measures that individually would hardly merit a White House news release. The administration’s goal is to cut spending by 20 percent in areas covered by the executive order. “We’re cutting what we don’t need so that we can invest in what we do need,” Obama said in a statement. The president was expected to make brief remarks on the administrative action Wednesday after signing the executive order in the Oval Office. The White House on Wednesday also plans to announce four finalists in a cost-saving contest among federal government employees. One finalist suggested the creation of a tool “lending library,” another proposed ending the purchase of U.S. code books that are already available online. Among examples cited by the White House of cost-cutting already under way are the Internal Revenue Service’s plan to cut 27 percent of its travel costs by relying more on teleconferences and webinars and the Homeland Security Department’s decision to conduct annual audits to reduce the number of unused cellphones and air cards. At the Commerce Department, the White House said, the agency has reduced the number of fleet drivers to one for all top departmental officials, including for new Secretary John Bryson.

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Obama’s Latest Executive Order

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AngloGold chief sees gold at $2,200/oz by 2012

September 19, 2011

By Ernest Scheyder CRIPPLE CREEK, Colo. (Reuters) – The chief executive of AngloGold Ashanti Ltd said he expects gold prices to hit $2,200 an ounce by next year and hinted the South African miner could boost its dividend. The bullish forecast from CEO Mark Cutifani on Sunday comes as the uneasy economic landscape — including an unstable euro, recently hamstrung Swiss franc and tenuous U.S. debt situation — push investors into the precious metal. “Given that we’ve already seen $1,900 (per ounce) gold, I don’t think it’s unreasonable to expect a price going up to $2,000, even $2,200,” Cutifani told Reuters during a tour of AngloGold’s Cripple Creek & Victor mine in Colorado. “It’s based on what’s happening in the markets, the issues in the U.S. and Europe.” The price of gold has jumped about 40 percent in the past 12 months alone. Spot prices are currently trading around $1,800 an ounce. “We’re making cash at anything above $1,000 an ounce,” Cutifani said. “So we’re pretty well-positioned now.” Cutifani and other mining executives will meet in Colorado Springs, Colorado, this week for the annual Denver Gold Forum, one of the largest gatherings of its kind in the world. Forecasts for the price of gold will be the talk of the town, but many investors also will be peppering CEOs with requests for higher dividend payouts. While Johannesburg-based AngloGold raised its dividend last month to 12 cents per share, its dividend yield is roughly 45 percent of Barrick Gold’s , the world’s largest miner and a major competitor. AngloGold had $839 million in cash at the end of June, funds that could help it lift its quarterly payout. “We’re already talking about the dividend policy with the board,” Cutifani said. “When you’ve got the free cash flow that we’ve been generating lately, with our growth profile, it’s obviously a front and center conversation. “We’ll have some comments at the next quarterly” earnings statement, set for November 9. A higher dividend could help AngloGold combat a percolating thought amongst gold industry investors that it is better to buy gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) rather than stocks in actual miners. Buying ETFs let investors take part in gold’s rise without being held back by strikes, power outages or other situations that can halt production, some have argued. SPDR Gold Trust and ETFS Gold Trust are two large gold ETFs. The SPDR Gold Trust, for instance, jumped 41 percent in value in the past 12 months compared with a 9 percent jump in shares of AngloGold traded in New York. “We think in terms of fundamentals we’ve demonstrated we’ve outperformed the ETFs in terms of cash flow from operations,” Cutifani said. “In time the market will get it, and we’ll get credit for that.” (Reporting by Ernest Scheyder; Editing by Himani Sarkar)

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L. Randall Wray: Krugman Taken to the Modern Money Cleaners

August 15, 2011

Last week Paul Krugman again attempted to take-on Modern Money Theory (MMT), in his piece ” Franc Thoughts on Long Run Issues .” He complained that he is being “harassed” by those who adopt the approach to money that has been labeled MMT. He conceded that on many issues he agrees with MMT conclusions — particularly in rejecting the hysteria about current US federal government budget deficits. I want to be clear that MMTers recognize and appreciate the role that Krugman has played in fighting against the deficit hyperventilators in Washington. However, he claimed he diverges from MMT’s insistence that “deficits are never a problem” and in particular that deficits will not become a problem when the current “liquidity trap” ends. At that point, Krugman fears, rising interest rates will rapidly increase servicing costs of federal debt beyond what our nation is willing and able to afford. He cites his dissertation that examined such a situation in the case of France after WWI. With insufficient tax revenue to pay the interest due, the government simply expanded the monetary base (essentially, “printing money”) that caused the exchange rate to collapse and inflation to soar. Now this is at least the third time that Krugman has claimed that MMTers say “deficits are never a problem.” He never cites anyone when he makes the false claim. And every MMTer I know has directly refuted his accusation; indeed Stephanie Kelton, Jamie Galbraith and I have all published responses on Krugman’s own blog denying that we believe any such thing. All of us have also published elsewhere detailed refutations, including my post at New Deal 2.0 . These responses to Krugman have received wide circulation. His refusal to change his tune says more about him than about the MMT position. I will not go into the substance of Krugman’s argument about France because I know that other MMTers are providing a detailed analysis elsewhere. However, since Krugman wrote a dissertation on the topic, he must be aware that France’s position between the end of WWI and the beginning of the Great Depression bears no resemblance to the case of the US today. Like most countries, France abandoned the gold standard in the war, went back on gold after the war, and then finally abandoned it again in the Great Depression (it was the last major country to do so — those that went off gold earlier in the depression tended to recover more quickly). So France created a lot of monetary instability as it moved among monetary regimes, and as MMTers argue the gold standard does significantly restrain policy space — bringing into question government’s ability to afford its commitments. And it does not help to fight a world war within one’s borders. Hence, Krugman is just plain wrong to compare France’s situation in that period to the current and future case of the US. However, I do want to address Krugman’s feeling that he is being harassed by followers of MMT. Every time he writes about fiscal policy, he is flooded with comments and corrections from MMTers. It is true — take a look. What is truly remarkable about his post is not what he wrote. But rather it is the overwhelmingly negative response to his post. I recognize a few of the names and aliases of those who rose to the defense of MMT — regular commentators on New Economic Perspectives, Naked Capitalism, Great Leap Forward, New Deal 2.0, Huffington Post and other MMT-friendly blogs. However, there were many, many other missives posted by people unknown to me, from all over the country and even around the world. And most of them got it right. This is by way of saying that MMT has become a global phenomenon. To some extent, we know that. Why else would a Nobel-winning economist and featured columnist at the “newspaper of record” feel the necessity of refuting MMT? Five years ago, those of us who developed MMT could count our followers on the fingers of two hands. Now, NEP regularly gets over 3000 visits and page views daily. Many followers have set up their own MMT blogs. All the progressive social media sites feature MMT on an occasional basis. “Bing” MMT and you get over 50 million hits; “Google” it and you get over 28 million (I don’t know why Bing is more MMT friendly). Just a few short years ago, the only one I knew who blogged was Bill Mitchell. He (correctly) saw it as the future. I was highly skeptical. I wrote my first blog on invitation from TPM in 2008, and later joined ND2.0, and HuffPost regularly carried my writing after that. Yet, even after Stephanie Kelton created NEP, I still saw the blogosphere — or, social media — as something of a lark. Many or even most of the early comments were pretty silly, often by obsessed libertarians with almost no understanding of economics. Certainly this was no match for the New York Times as a source of reasoned analysis. But look where we are today. Take a look at the comments to Krugman’s post. I have no doubt at all that there are hundreds of MMT followers around the world who could go toe-to-toe with Krugman in a discussion of sovereign government finance. And win. And Krugman is the best that the NYT has. Social media not only helps to spread the ideas, but it also helps to develop, refine, and frame them. When MMT was confined to academic discussion among a few adherents and critics, it was necessarily limited by the shared background of the participants. We had the same parents, so to speak, in Smith, Marx, and Keynes. We had all heard the same stories designed to frame our views of economics, history, and policy. Exposing MMT to a broader audience, and — importantly — allowing that audience to respond to our writing forced us to think outside the box. Now, the same dynamic goes on in the classroom — or, at least, it should. I always found that when I must teach an idea, the interaction with students helps to sharpen my own thinking. But often that is still a fairly narrow slice of the population — usually younger people, and by self-selection an audience that will more readily accept what the professor professes (students are not randomly assigned to classes, after all). Social media opens the floodgates to, potentially, anyone with access to the web. It subjects ideas to the accumulated knowledge of humankind. Many of those are quite bizarre, of course. But there was a time when MMT, itself, was bizarre. Contrast that with corporate media (whether for-profit or “public”). Over the past year (at least) every time a National “Public” Radio or New York Times reporter introduces the topic of the US government deficit, she begins by noting that “everyone agrees, of course, that the deficit is out of control.” The debate is framed, and then two “competing” sides are introduced, with the only difference separating them concerning how quickly and by how much the deficit must be reduced. There is no chance for an alternative view; no one can instantly object that the reporter’s statement is patently false — as would be demonstrated by the hundreds of commentators who would readily disagree if given the chance. And many of those responding would be able to shred the two “competing” experts in a fair fight. Every time I hear Ken Rogoff featured on the radio (which is distressingly frequent), I know there are literally thousands of people around the world who understand finance much better than he does. (If you ever run into him, ask him if he has yet figured out what a CDS is.) Yet he gets to drone on about topics he knows nothing about — such as sovereign default risk — while facing no challenge. His anointed role is to push the agenda of the corporate media — which shields itself by circling the wagons and preventing access. Oh, sure, they might spend a couple of minutes a week reading a few selected letters. And they will occasionally give some “expert” (including yours truly) a few seconds on the air. But these exceptions pose no real alternative to the official message conveyed by corporate media. Fortunately, there is an alternative. And you are part of it. The Modern Money Cleaners Brigade. Don’t let up on Krugman.

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Stocks Jump On News Of Debt Ceiling Deal

August 1, 2011

SINGAPORE (Kevin Plumberg) – Equities rose while gold and the yen dropped on Monday, with investors cutting safety trades after Washington reached a last minute deal to escape default, though the top U.S. credit rating could still be downgraded. After a tense weekend in which rival plans to lift the U.S. borrowing limit were shot down in Congress, U.S. President Barack Obama said leaders from both parties reached a deal to cut the budget deficit by $1 trillion over 10 years, with additional saving possible. U.S. S&P 500 stock futures bounced 1.4 percent and futures on U.S. Treasuries — which have maintained their haven status despite being at the eye of the debt ceiling impasse — slid . Investors were still on guard though since the plan, which will come to a vote in Congress on Monday, may not necessarily satisfy Standard & Poor’s enough to keep the U.S. triple-A debt rating. “There was concern that if you had this extreme tail event — if the U.S. did default — that positions would have to be cut and financial markets would be thrown into turmoil, so they sold off on that risk,” Steven Englander, head of G10 currency strategy, told Reuters Insider. “Now that the risk is down, the risky assets are rallying but the dollar still doesn’t look that attractive.” Japan’s Nikkei share average rose in line with U.S. futures, up 1.7 percent as investors bought back technology-related shares. The MSCI index of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan was up 0.9 percent after falling for the past two sessions, led by commodity-related shares. The U.S. dollar index , which measures its value against a basket of six other major currencies, was largely unchanged on the day. The euro weighs heavily in the basket, and so the index reflected deep-seated fears about the fiscal unsustainability for both the United States and the euro zone. The dollar shot up against the yen, up 0.7 percent to 78.00 yen , which slid broadly as safe haven trades were closed out. Traders in Asia had been keeping a close eye on the yen, since the dollar dropped below 77 yen to a four-month low of 76.70 yen on Friday, raising fears of yen-selling intervention by Japanese authorities. U.S. Treasury debt futures fell in electronic trading. The 10-year Treasury futures were down 10/32 to 125 12/32, and in the cash market, the benchmark 10-year yield rose five basis points to 2.84 percent . Oil futures also rose. U.S. crude rose $1.29 to $96.99 a barrel, while Brent crude gained $1.18 cents to $117.92. Gold prices tumbled 1 percent to $1,609.89 an ounce, down from a record high of $1,632.30 . Many investors believe focus will shift to the likelihood of a rating downgrade now. “I think it’s an almost foregone conclusion that there is going to be a downgrade at some point.” said Peter Kenny, managing director in institutional sales at Knight Capital Group in Jersey City, New Jersey. Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Conflicting Statements On Euro Zone Deal Unsettle Markets

July 27, 2011

(Paul Taylor) – Contrasting statements by euro zone politicians to domestic audiences have underlined the fragility of last week’s deal to rescue Greece and unsettled financial markets already on edge because of the U.S. debt impasse. Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou told lawmakers from his Pasok socialist party on Wednesday that debt-stricken Athens will effectively receive the first joint eurobonds in the form of loans at close to cost price from the euro zone’s rescue fund. “The decision of our European partners to lend us at 3.5 percent, an interest rate just above the one at which Germany itself is borrowing, is in essence tantamount to introducing a European bond, regardless of the fact that this system has not been completed yet,” he said. His comments may inflame critics of euro zone bailouts in Germany and other northern European countries, who vehemently oppose any mutualization of fiscal risk in the 17-nation single currency area. The remarks may also irk Spain and Italy, indebted economies that are paying high yields on their bonds. Germany, which previously insisted on charging an interest rate premium on “deficit sinners” to deter moral hazard, relented at last week’s summit and accepted that the high borrowing rate was counter-productive for countries mired in recession. But common euro zone bonds remain anathema in Berlin, where fiscal conservatives are warning against the euro zone becoming a “transfer union” in which hard-working German taxpayers’ money would be poured into a bottomless pit. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble sought to assuage critics in the ruling coalition, assuring lawmakers that the summit did not give the euro zone rescue fund “carte blanche” to buy bonds of states in difficulty. “Even in the future, such purchases should only take place under very strict conditions when the European Central Bank deems there are exceptional circumstances on the financial markets and dangers for financial stability,” Schaeuble said in a letter dated July 26 obtained by Reuters on Wednesday. “The government rejects a ‘carte blanche’ for widespread purchases on the secondary market. COMMON DEBT MANAGEMENT? Schaeuble said one summit would not be enough to solve the euro zone’s problems but the agreed measures could prevent Greece’s debt woes from becoming “a crisis that would endanger the euro zone as a whole, and therefore the euro.” His comments pointed to obstacles to intervention by the European Financial Stability Facility, which may limit its ability to prevent contagion to bigger economies such as Spain and Italy. The summit agreed to allow the EFSF to give precautionary credit lines to states at risk of being shut out of credit markets, to lend governments money to recapitalize banks and to buy bonds on the secondary market in exceptional circumstances. In contrast to Schaeuble, Papandreou highlighted the extent to which those moves put the euro zone on the road to joint debt management. “The bond buybacks in the secondary market are something we sought for a long time to be able to intervene against the appetites of markets and speculation,” he told legislators. “This will be done through the EFSF, which means that in an embryonic form, a truly common debt management practice is beginning in the euro zone,” the Greek leader said. Last week’s political deal has yet to be put into legal form and approved by national parliaments in the euro area — a process that will take at least until late September and could spark revolts in Germany, the Netherlands, Finland or Slovakia. In the meantime, the EFSF has no immediate power to intervene in case of a run on Spanish or Italian debt of the kind that began earlier this month, EU officials say. MARKET JITTERS The cost of insuring Italian and Spanish government debt against default rose after Schaeuble’s comments and yields on most euro zone peripheral sovereign bonds were back around the levels before last week’s emergency summit, partly due to growing jitters about the U.S. debt crisis. Shares in leading Italian banks Intesa Sanpaolo and Unicredit fell sharply as the yield premium on Italian government bonds over benchmark German Bunds widened. “The lack of clarity on the new role of the EFSF and the execution risk involved with the EU plan are weighing on the market,” said Gavan Nolan, an analyst at credit default swap data provider Markit. In addition, traders said uncertainty over the U.S. debt ceiling debate nearing an August 2 deadline was fuelling risk aversion that is hurting the euro zone periphery. Negotiations between Democrats and Republicans to raise the U.S. borrowing limit and agree a multi-year deficit reduction plan are deadlocked over the Republicans’ refusal to accept any tax increases. EU officials say the lack of “verbal discipline” among euro zone policymakers, and the need for governments to reassure divergent domestic audiences, has created a permanent cacophony that has aggravated the euro zone crisis. “Last summer, the crisis cooled partly because euro zone politicians went to the beaches and stopped contradicting each other in public every day,” one senior EU official involved in the Greek rescue negotiations said. “That moment can’t come soon enough this year.” (Additional reporting by George Georgiopoulos and Ingrid Melander in Athens, Gernot Heller and Sarah Marsh in Berlin, Kirsten Donovan and Emelia Sithole-Matarise in London; editing by Janet McBride) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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General Electric Boosts Earnings, Beating Expectations

July 22, 2011

BOSTON (Scott Malone) – General Electric Co notched a better-than-expected 21.6 percent rise in earnings, helped by strong demand for jet engines as well as equipment used in oil and natural gas production. The largest U.S. conglomerate said on Friday its second-quarter results were helped by a rebound in sales of railroad locomotives, which offset weakening demand for wind turbines. With overall orders up 24 percent, pushing the company’s backlog to $189 billion, Chief Executive Jeffrey Immelt said he was confident about the rest of the year. “We are optimistic about our growth prospects in the second half and beyond,” Immelt said. The company’s industrial revenues outside the United States were up 23 percent in the quarter, outperforming the overall company, which recorded a 7 percent rise in sales from continuing operations. Investors said the results showed the Fairfield, Connecticut-based company’s focus on emerging markets was paying off. “GE’s strategy of growth in developing nations and energy and infrastructure and healthcare and technology is serving it well,” said Perry Adams, vice president and senior portfolio manager at Huntington Private Financial Group, in Traverse City, Michigan, which holds GE shares. The rise in orders is a key sign that GE will be able to continue its pace of growth, said Nick Heymann, an analyst at William Blair & Co. “That’s the path back to the future,” he said. GE shares were down 5 cents at $19.11 on Friday morning, a day when fellow blue-chip industrial Caterpillar Inc missed profit forecasts, sending its shares sharply lower and weighing on the broader stock market. Over the past year, GE shares have risen 26 percent, ahead of the 23 percent rise in the Dow Jones industrial average. PROFIT TOPS STREET VIEW The world’s largest maker of jet engines and electric turbines said second-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders rose to $3.69 billion, or 35 cents per share, from $3.03 billion, or 28 cents per share, a year earlier. Factoring out one-time items, profit was 34 cents per share. On that basis, analysts had expected 32 cents, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Revenue fell 3.5 percent to $35.63 billion, reflecting the sale of a majority stake in GE’s NBC Universal business to Comcast Corp. Analysts had expected $34.7 billion. Profit fell 19 percent at GE’s energy unit, which incurred large costs to integrate the $11 billion wave of takeovers it made between September and March. Profit margins on renewable energy equipment deteriorated. Demand was split, with sales of equipment used in oil and natural gas production up 39 percent, and electricity-producing gear up just 1 percent. “If oil keeps going up and if Congress and the president do something more on renewables, which they keep talking about but haven’t done, then margins have a long way to expand,” said Jack De Gan, chief investment officer at Harbor Advisory Corp in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. “They’re doing well to keep margins in those businesses as good as they are.” (Additional reporting by Nick Zieminski, Ryan Vlastelica and Roy Strom in New York; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn, John Wallace and Matthew Lewis) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Seventeen Charged With Running Wall Street Prostitution Ring

July 20, 2011

NEW YORK (Bernd Debusmann Jr.) – Seventeen people were indicted on Wednesday on charges of running a high-end prostitution ring that catered to Wall Street clients who often spent more than $10,000 in a night, authorities said. The ring pulled in more than $7 million over three years, Brooklyn District Attorney Charles Hynes said at a news conference. “The business of high-end prostitution is enormously profitable,” Hynes said. The prostitution service, named High Class NY, was run 24 hours a day out of an office in Brooklyn and charged from $400 to $3,600 an hour for its services, according to the 144-count indictment. It also provided customers with cocaine and other narcotics, the indictment said. Hynes said clients often spent in excess of $10,000 in a single night. They were “all high-end customers coming from the financial markets. People with nothing but money,” he said. Police said the business was extremely sophisticated, running several escort websites and using dummy corporations with misleading names and codes during business-related phone calls. High Class NY even had a law firm draw up employment contracts for its prostitutes, who described themselves as models and fraudulently agreed to refrain from sexual contact with clients, police said. “They were on the high-end of sophistication,” said Vice Detective Joe Panico. Among those indicted were High Class NY owner Mikhail Yampolsky and his wife Bronislava, who allegedly used the proceeds from their business to finance expensive trips to Atlantic City and luxury car purchases, Hynes said. Also indicted were Yampolsky’s son Alexander, step-son Jonathan, 11 managers and supervisors and two investors, Efim Gorelik and Yakov Maystrovich, he said. Each of the investors had put $700,000 into High Class NY and were being paid back with interest, he said. Each of those indicted faces the possibility of 25 years in prison if convicted. Two prostitutes face separate indictments on prostitution and drug charges. (Editing by Ellen Wulfhorst and Tim Gaynor) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Fitch Ratings Will Decide On U.S. Ratings Outlook In August

July 20, 2011

NEW YORK (Walter Brandimarte) – Fitch Ratings said on Wednesday it will decide next month whether the United States deserves to keep a stable outlook on its AAA credit rating as it concludes a review of the country’s economic and fiscal outlook. David Riley, Fitch’s main analyst for the United States, said the decision will take into account a final budget agreement in Washington to reduce the country’s deficit in the medium to long term. “To some extent we are a little bit on hold because we want to see what comes out from the current negotiations,” Riley told Reuters in an interview, welcoming the apparent progress being made by a group of six Democrat and Republican senators to cut the deficit by $3.7 trillion. “As soon as an agreement is reached and has been announced, we will incorporate that into our analysis and we’ll make a comment on the U.S. sovereign rating and its outlook — hopefully by the mid of August.” Fitch is the only of the three big ratings agencies to have a stable outlook on U.S. ratings. Both Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s have put the ratings on review for a possible downgrade to account for a growing risk that the country’s debt ceiling is not raised in time to avoid a default next month. Fitch still believes the likelihood of a debt default is low, said Riley. He added it’s too early to analyze the impact of Washington’s deficit-reduction plans on the country’s ratings, but sounded positive on the plan being worked out by the so-called “Gang of Six” Democrat and Republican senators. “It’s encouraging that it does appear to be progress being made in getting at least an agreement in principle on a substantial debt reduction plan,” Riley said. He stressed, however, that the credibility of the final plan will be as important as the headline savings number. “Most governments can typically come up with a big number and say ‘that’s what we’re going to save’, but the issue is how you’re going to get from A to B.” (Editing by James Dalgleish) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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WATCH: Media Matters Toasts Final Glenn Beck Show With Silly Party

June 28, 2011

Glenn Beck’s tenure at Fox News will come to an end on Thursday, and no organization seems happier about his impending signoff than Media Matters, the progressive news watchdog group that has spent months pressuring advertisers and network executives to pull Beck out of his hourlong 5 p.m. slot. On Monday, Media Matters threw a party to celebrate Beck’s departure, drawing hundreds of activists, journalists and political strategists from the nation’s capital. The Huffington Post’s Zach Carter was there. WATCH:

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A Dirty Gold Rush

June 12, 2011

DELTA 1, Peru — A gold rush that accelerated with the onset of the 2008 global recession is compounding the woes of the Amazon basin, laying waste to Peruvian rain forest and spilling tons of toxic mercury into the air and water. With gold’s price soaring globally as the metal became a hedge against financial uncertainty, the army of small-scale miners in the state of Madre de Dios has swelled to some 40,000. The result: Diesel exhaust sullies the air, trees are toppled to get at the sandy, gold-flecked earth and the scars inflicted on the land are visible on satellite photos. The work is dangerous and produces a fifth of Peru’s overall annual yield of roughly 175 metric tons of gold that make this country the world’s No. 5 producer. The mining also is almost entirely illegal. “Extracting an ounce of gold costs from $400 to $500 and the profit is $1,000 per ounce,” notes Peru’s environment minister, Antonio Brack. In just a decade, gold has more than tripled in value. The situation in the southeastern state of Madre de Dios, which borders Brazil and Bolivia, is mirrored in dozens of the countries where gold is similarly mined, and where the desperately poor often end up working for the most unsavory of opportunists. Government controls are mostly futile. Neighboring Colombia and Ecuador have mounted crackdowns in the past year – Ecuador’s military last month dynamited 67 pieces of heavy equipment – but when authorities depart, the diggers troop back and work resumes. In Madre de Dios, the informal production is unrecorded, untaxed and carried out on public lands where claims are awarded by regional officials, many of them grown rich in the process. As the industry has grown, heavy machinery has moved in bearing Caterpillar, Volvo and other international trademarks into a state the size of Maine or Portugal, whose remotest reaches are believed inhabited by uncontacted Indian tribes. In February the Peruvian navy dynamited 13 dredges which, working in violation of a government ban, were choking the Madre de Dios river with silt, killing plants and destroying habitats. Protesting laborers blockaded Madre de Dios’ only highway, and at least three people were shot and killed by police sent from Lima. “One of the big hydraulic dredges we destroyed could easily harvest a kilogram (worth about $45,000) of gold a day,” said Brack. Rather than try to evict the thousands of protesting informal miners, the government decided to work to “formalize” their operations, which have denuded well over 180 square kilometers (70 square miles ) of jungle in Madre de Dios. “In practice, nothing happened. They moved against a small percentage of dredges that are not necessarily what hurts the environment most,” said Pavel Cartagena, an environmental activist who recently returned to Puerto Maldonado, the state capital, after death threats drove him away for a year. Brack said the crackdown served notice to local politicians profiting from the industry. “We found that nearly all the public officials in Puerto Maldonado were involved,” the minister said. “In 2010, the regional mining director had a mining company. His No. 2 had one. His wife had one. His sister had one (as did) the sister of the No. 2. They were all in it. And you think anyone is going to regulate anything?” The state prides itself on its biodiversity and attracts eco-tourists for its monkeys, macaws and anacondas. Yet its forest is pocked with craters gouged by grime-coated men who tear the earth away with high-pressure water hoses. And that is only the beginning. To capture the gold flecks, mostly the size of a grain of sand, mercury is used because it is the cheapest, easiest method. It then seeps into the air and rivers, an estimated 35 metric tons a year in Madre de Dios alone, slowly poisoning people, plants, animals and fish, scientific studies show. Most of the migrant diggers, who have doubled the state’s population since the early 1990s, arrive nearly penniless. Some are criminals. Some are preteens sold by their parents into servitude, says Feliciano Coila, a lawyer with state child protection services. The goal of the most ambitious newcomers is to gather enough gold to graduate from peon to subcontractor, put together a crew of a dozen or so miners, provide equipment and buy access to a claim. “You need a minimum of 50 grams ($2,200 worth of gold) to be invited into a camp” to work a claim, said Miguel Herrera, a mining organizer. Unskilled new arrivals generally can amass about a gram a day, currently worth more than $40. It is a princely sum for Peruvian highlanders accustomed to $3-a-day wages. Most prospectors live in a string of jungle boomtowns. One of the more established is Delta 1, located on the Puquiri River flood plain. It is reached after a precarious canoe crossing of the Inambiri river, then a wide dirt toll road across a white-sand river basin exhausted by mining and looking hit by a tsunami. Delta 1′s roughly 6,500 residents lack running water, electricity, sewers and police but have ample machine shops, groceries and brothels. An older town, Huepetuhe, is flanked by mountains of gravel mine tailings towering over washes that further disfigure a mining wasteland 1.2 miles wide (2 kilometers) and nearly 20 kilometers (more than 10 miles) long. Huepetuhe, established in the 1980s, just this year got running water but has long had two entire streets of brothels on stilts. They front a brown sea of silt, the accumulated runoff of adjacent mines that is slowly engulfing the red-light district. Other boomtowns, mostly lawless, gunslinging places that do not even have names, have sprouted alongside the Interoceanic Highway that connects Puerto Maldonado, the capital, to the rest of Peru. When finished this year, it will link the Pacific coast with neighboring Brazil, and attract even more fortune hunters. Social worker Oscar Guadelupe, whose organization, Huarayo, runs shelters for child miners and teen prostitutes, counts some 2,000 females working in “prostibars” in the mining corridor, a third of them adolescents. Day and night, the towns are bathed in the eerie glow of blowtorches as welders fix miners’ overworked pumps. Many prospectors say they would be happy to pay taxes and get services. “It’s better to pay the state than to keep suffering abuse and insecurity,” said Leoncio Jordan Paiba, a 39-year-old miner and father of four. He says he gathers 12 grams of gold a day but, in addition to paying for workers, equipment and fuel, he must pay the claim’s titleholder a weekly 20-gram levy and also keep the area’s Amaraukiri Indians happy. “They say this land is theirs. They come pointing guns,” said Jordan. “If you don’t pay them they damage your equipment. They’ve thrown motors into the mud.” As he speaks, three men are hosing a crater’s walls with water when one side collapses, nearly burying them alive. They wait a few seconds and resume work. Such a collapse killed a young digger known only as Martin. His employers dumped his body in Delta 1, so friends cobbled together a plywood casket, painted it black and set it in the town’s dusty central plaza. They lit candles and held a wake, getting drunk on cheap liquor. DREMH, the regional mining agency, has allowed wildcat prospectors to invade buffer zones adjacent to nature preserves and Indian land, and hands out mining permits without first gaining environmental approval. Meanwhile, Madre de Dios state received less than $20,000 last year in revenue-sharing from taxes on mining. A DREMH inspector, Manuel Campo, said he is often denied entry into mining camps, although they are on public land. “The mob arrives and you can’t do a thing,” he said. At one mining camp, Ronny Calcina was on break from one of the 24-hour shifts he shares with three other men. After 18 months of backbreaking work, the 34-year-old native of the poor, neighboring highlands province of Puno said he is ready to go back to the family’s potato fields. He thought he would be earning a lot more, he said. Besides, his wife and 3-year-old son, who live in Delta 1, keep getting sick. All have had malaria. Calcina is worried about being poisoned by mercury, which he is exposed to constantly as it is burned out of the puttylike amalgam it forms when it clings to gold dust. Additional mercury is burned off in open-air storefronts that buy the gold, including a half dozen opposite the main market of Puerto Maldonado. “This is an area where most people shop, eat, work. This is the center of life for most of Puerto Maldonado,” said Luis Fernandez, a Stanford University environmental scientist who studies the mercury contamination. Levels he measured inside the shops were 20 to 40 times above World Health Organization standards, and 10 to 20 times above the maximum outside. “Everyone is being exposed in this area,” said Fernandez. “The people working in the shops are getting dosed with enormous amounts of mercury every day.” The U.N. is among organizations working to educate prospectors about the dangers and get them to switch to cleaner technology. But Peru is South America’s biggest mercury importer and its sale is unregulated. Taming Peru’s illegal mining juggernaut might be possible if gold sales were regulated, but they have been unfettered since 1991, when the government closed what had been the only authorized gold-purchasing bank during a wave of privatizations. Peruvian law requires every buyer of gold to produce certification proving it was mined legally. The law is universally flouted, however, and there is no identification system that would allow it to be tracked. So it is impossible to know whether the gold in a chain or ring bought in New York or Paris was refined with mercury. Organizations such as the U.K.-based Fairtrade Foundation have set standards for certifying suppliers whose gold does minimal environmental damage. Wal-Mart is among several big retailers expressing interest, but production is so far minimal. In February of last year, Peru’s government decreed that all informal mining in Madre de Dios be registered, taxed and regulated. Thousands of prospectors responded by blocking the Panamerican Highway two months later. Some hurled dynamite at police, who responded with bullets, killing six protesters. The decree was suspended, but Peru’s media asked why authorities were not punishing companies that buy gold without certifying its provenance, as required by law. The director of mining in Peru’s Ministry of Energy and Mining, Victor Vargas, said authorities were working on identifying the companies involved. “Various companies have been mentioned. We’re collecting evidentiary documents,” he told the newspaper El Comercio. Asked by The Associated Press more than a year later to name the culprits, Vargas demurred. “Look, when it becomes official, the ministry will do so,” he said. “I can’t talk about what’s still being worked on.” ___ Frank Bajak on Twitter: http://twitter.com/fbajak ___ Associated Press writer Gonzalo Solano in Quito, Ecuador, and Martin Villena in Lima, Peru, contributed to this report.

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State Legalizes Gold, Silver Coins As Currency

May 23, 2011

SALT LAKE CITY — Utah legislators want to see the dollar regain its former glory, back to the days when one could literally bank on it being “as good as gold.” To make that point, they’ve turned it around, and made gold as good as cash. Utah became the first state in the country this month to legalize gold and silver coins as currency. The law also will exempt the sale of the coins from state capital gains taxes. Craig Franco hopes to cash in on it with his Utah Gold and Silver Depository, and he thinks others will soon follow. The idea is simple: Store your gold and silver coins in a vault, and Franco issues a debit-like card to make purchases backed by your holdings. He plans to open for business June 1, likely the first of its kind in the country. “Because we’re dealing with something so forward thinking, I expect a wait-and-see attitude,” Franco said. “Once the depository is executed and transactions can occur, then I think people will move into the marketplace.” The idea was spawned by Republican state Rep. Brad Galvez, who sponsored the bill largely to serve as a protest against Federal Reserve monetary policy. Galvez says Americans are losing faith in the dollar. If you’re mad about government debt, ditch the cash. Spend your gold and silver, he says. His idea isn’t to return to the gold standard, when the dollar was backed by gold instead of government goodwill. Instead, he just wanted to create options for consumers. “We’re too far down the road to go back to the gold standard,” Galvez said. “This will move us toward an alternative currency.” Earlier this month, Minnesota took a step closer to joining Utah in making gold and silver legal tender. A Republican lawmaker there introduced a bill that sets up a special committee to explore the option. North Carolina, Idaho and at least nine other states also have similar bills drafted. At the moment, Franco’s idea would generally be the only practical use of the law in Utah, given the legislation doesn’t require merchants to accept the coins, either at face value – $50 for a 1-ounce gold coin – or market value, currently almost $1,500 per ounce. And no one expects people will be walking around town with pockets full of gold and silver. Matt Zeman, market strategist for Kingsview Financial in Chicago, expects more people will start investing in gold as America’s growing debt and bankruptcies in other countries continue to decrease the value of government-backed money. “You’ve seen gold replacing these currencies as safety instruments,” Zeman said. “If I don’t feel good about the dollar or other currencies, I’m putting my money in precious metals.” Some supporters, including the law’s sponsor, seek to push Congress toward removing the tax burdens that discourage use of the coins, such as a federal capital gains tax. “Making gold and silver coins legal tender sends a strong signal to Congress and the Federal Reserve that their monetary policy is failing,” said Ralph Danker, project director for economics at the Washington, D.C.-based American Principles in Action, which helped shape Utah’s law. “The dollar should be backed by gold and silver, so we have hard money.” The U.S. and many other countries largely abandoned gold-backed money during World War II because they needed to print more cash to pay for the war. Later, during the Great Depression, President Franklin D. Roosevelt took steps that essentially prohibited gold and silver as legal currency to prevent hoarding. In 1971, President Nixon formally abandoned the gold standard. Fifteen years later, the U.S. Mint began producing the gold and silver American Eagle coins, primarily aimed at investment portfolios and allowing people to trade them at market value but with capital gains taxes on profits. Utah is now allowing the coins to be used as legal tender while levying no taxes. Opponents of the law warn such a policy shift nationwide could increase the prospect of inflation and could destabilize international markets by removing the government’s flexibility to quickly adjust currency prices. “We’d be going backward in financial development,” said Carlos Sanchez, director of Commodities Management for The CPM Group in New York. “What backs currency is confidence in a government’s ability to pay debt, its government system and its economy.” Larry Hilton, a Utah attorney who helped draft the law, disagrees and says the gold standard would restore faith in American money at a time when spiraling debt is weakening confidence. “We view this as a dollar-friendly measure,” Hilton said. “It will strengthen the dollar by refocusing policy matters in Washington on what led to the phrase, `the dollar is as good as gold.’” .

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Gold Scams On The Rise

May 18, 2011

NEW YORK — Last year, Brian Gurl spent some time reading about the state of the U.S. economy. He kept hearing about the gargantuan size of the federal debt and the threat of inflation on TV. Gurl is approaching retirement age, so he and his wife needed safe investments. The couple decided on gold. “We approached several companies. But it was American Precious Metals who were the most aggressive,” said Gurl, who invested about $100,000 with the company last Fall. “They just sounded very expert.” In the span of a few months, the couple lost about $60,000, Gurl said. Last week, a Florida U.S. District Court issued a temporary injunction barring American Precious Metals from doing business, freezing its assets and putting the company in the hands of a court-appointed receiver. The case against American Precious Metals marks the third gold-related case brought by the U.S. Commodities Futures Trading Commission since March. The agency has also issued a fraud advisory for investors interested in precious metals. 2011, it seems, is the year of commodities and companies prepared to capitalize on investor anxiety. The soaring prices of all sorts of commodities, uncertainty about the broader economy and the low interest rates banks are paying on savings has drawn both companies and investors to precious metals, said Brad Barber, a professor of finance at the University of California Davis. “It’s always easy to sell an investment — real or fraudulent — when it’s earned really high returns recently,” Barber said. “People tend to think they are getting in on the ground floor, but in fact the elevator may have already gone up and may be on its way down.” Institutional and individual investors hungry to make up losses suffered during the recession, people looking for a safe investment with potentially large returns and those concerned about the economy’s stability have all scrambled to join the gold profit party. Together they have created what many analysts insist is a bubble sure to burst. Gold prices — which reached about $1,495 an ounce on Wednesday — have hit and nearly returned to record highs this year. Yet with public interest in gold remaining high, precious metals scams have begun to proliferate. In March the South Florida Sun-Sentinel reported that in the last three years nearly 50 companies selling precious metals investments have opened in just two Florida counties. This month, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reported that companies targeting Minnesota seniors persuaded gold coin investors to pay for their purchases with reverse mortgages . Last year, Goldline, a company that advertised during the “Glenn Beck Show” — and had the good fortune of Beck suggesting on air that gold was a good investment — also became the subject of two state-level investigations. Beck has described the investigations as government efforts to eliminate opportunities to buy gold. In a pair of companion cases, the CFTC and FTC have accused American Precious Metals of targeting investors — particularly senior citizens — across the country with a combination of high-pressure and illegal sales tactics and misleading and fraudulent claims. “What these telemarketers said in general is … you can’t lose, you’re going to make money,” said Sana Chriss, an FTC attorney working on the case. “Well that just isn’t true. The value of everything can change. At one point it was real estate that was the hot and infallible area and then we had the bust there. Before that it was tech stocks.” At American Precious Metals, the sales pitch usually began with a world event, Chriss said. Peruvian miners were on strike, rendering the world’s silver supply suddenly short of demand. Silver prices would skyrocket tomorrow, went one pitch. The value of the U.S. dollar was sliding. But gold bar and uncirculated coins will always retain their value. In fact, gold prices are flirting with record highs and were certain to keep climbing, said another. American Precious Metals telemarketers rounded out each story with the same high-pressure sales pitch, according to court documents. Only the utterly unwise would pass on the company’s super-safe precious metals investments, the telemarketers claimed. The approach worked well enough to bilk as much as $37 million from investors, according to court documents filed this month in U.S. District Court by the FTC. A hearing that could lead to the permanent closure of American Precious Metals is scheduled for next week. Andrea and Harry Tanner Jr., the husband and wife owner-manager team behind American Precious Metals, did not respond to a request for comment left at their home. The company’s other owner, Sammy Goldman, could not be reached for comment. Both Goldman and Harry Tanner have been the targets of previous regulatory action. Between 1982 and 2006, Goldman was listed as a principal or an executive at companies that were the subject of regulatory action bought by the CFTC and National Futures Association, an industry trade group and self-regulatory body, according to court documents. In 2000, the NFA charged Tanner with making false and deceptive sales solicitations. Tanner agreed to a $5,000 fine and a requirement that he record his conversations with customers over a six month period, according to court documents. In 2006, the trade group expelled Tanner permanently and fined him $100,000. The NFA had found Tanner made misleading and deceptive sales calls to potential investors. Just months after his NFA expulsion, Tanner set up American Precious Metals and hired several sales people who had also been disciplined for deceiving customers about investments, according to court documents. By early January 2010, American Precious Metals had nearly 400 customers who thought they owned gold, silver, platinum and palladium. Gurl can not speak in detail about his interactions with American Precious Metals because he and his wife filed suit against the company in December. He did say they thought their money would be used to buy gold and other precious metals. But the federal agencies that shut down American Precious Metals this month say that the company never purchased any physical quantities of any precious metal, according to court documents. Instead, the company moved investor funds between a series of accounts in the United States and the United Kingdom. American Precious Metals also allegedly converted a large portion of each customer’s investment into a loan. Customers were then charged fees, commissions and interest that totaled about 40 percent of their total investment, according to court documents. Investors were encouraged to keep contributing. If they refused, their accounts were closed. And if an investor asked to take possession of the gold or other metals, he or she was assured the goods were safely stored. Shipping, security and other costs associated with delivery would simply chip away at the customer’s account balance, the company said, according to court documents. “What that really meant is that people invested large sums of money, paid all sorts of fees and interest and got very small amounts back when the accounts were closed,” said Chriss. “One consumer put in maybe $40,000. I think she got back $100 in the end.”

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Ron Gitter: Lending a Hand to Lenders: How to Speed Up the Closing Process

May 6, 2011

At a co-op closing this week, where I represented the sellers by power of attorney, I sat across from the buyer’s counsel, who dutifully ground through the loan documents with his client, a first-time home buyer. As I checked my Blackberry to pass the time, I listened to the attorney describe in mind-numbing detail, page after page of the bank’s documents, pausing to get his client’s signature after each explanation was completed. All around the closing table, folks who have watched this drill on hundreds of occasions, do what’s always done at every closing… wait. Rethinking the Loan Process At that closing, the bank’s attorney stated the “golden rule” of lending: “He who brings the gold, makes the rules.” The crowd chuckled. That being said, the process by which a bank completes the loan documentation at the closing is about as up to date as applying a wax seal. Each bank has a slightly different set of documents, based upon whether or not the loan will be sold immediately after closing to Fannie, Freddie or to an investor. Basically, the documents are similar: a note, a security agreement or mortgage (depending upon whether it is a co-op or condo), a HUD Settlement Statement, and numerous other documents which are either required by law (as revised by recent Federal legislation and rule making) or by the bank’s own lending policies. With all due respect to those charged with the responsibility of attending to the bank’s closing details, the process consumes an excessive amount of time. There is no reason why a majority of the loan documents, with the exception of the note and security documents, can’t be signed at application or upon issuance of the loan commitment. Why Signing Before Closing is a Better Idea Although efforts are being made to educate and to protect the consumer from nefarious lenders and their minions, a closing, with its time limitations, is not exactly the best place to start explaining the implications of the loan documents. Most purchasers are in a daze at the big finale and really don’t comprehend the significance of each piece of paper which is briefly described to them before execution. Your typical future homeowner is thinking about the ton of money he or she is about to spend, or the costly renovations, or the move-in date, or whether it’s the right decision in the first place. You get the picture. Understanding the “name affidavit” or some other boilerplate document is not at the top of the list. It would clearly be in the consumer’s best interest to have that pile of documents in advance of the closing, so there would be a real opportunity to understand exactly what is being signed. In addition to speeding up the closing geometrically, the consumer would be better protected from signing a document he or she truly doesn’t understand — unfortunately, an occurrence at each and every closing. When I posed this suggestion at the closing table, after a few half-hearted attempts at telling me why it wouldn’t work, the bank attorney finally said, “Are you trying to take away my job?’ Well, actually, just trying to make it significantly easier. Business as Usual A closing represents the culmination of the efforts of a number of people: the attorneys, the brokers, the bank and its counsel, the managing agent, and of course, the seller and purchaser. Those involved in the process understand that a certain amount of time will be required to get to the finish line: that being the delivery of checks in exchange for ownership of the property. In the digitized world we live in today, however, a closing takes way too long and needs to be modernized. Lenders are not the only time-wasting culprits, but expediting the review and execution of loan documents would be a great place to start. On to the Next One The real estate economy thrives on closings. When handled the right way by all concerned, it represents the best efforts of the professionals, good feelings on both sides and the ultimate “win win” scenario. But there’s room for significant improvement in the time it takes to get to the handshakes.

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Libya Ceasefire, Yen Stabilization Help Stock Market Rally On Friday

March 19, 2011

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Global stocks rose on Friday as traders took on riskier investments following a Libya ceasefire that reduced tension in the region, and after several central banks intervened to stabilize the yen. Trading capped a week of extreme volatility marked by Wall Street’s gauge of anxiety, the VIX, which on Thursday soared to its highest level since July. Stock market volumes surged on down days and fell on up days. Although Wall Street finished Friday’s session higher, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended the week in the red. The benchmark S&P 500 lost 1.9 percent, its biggest weekly decline since November. World shares as measured by the MSCI .MIWD00000PUS advanced 0.6 percent. That gain helped the index erase some of its 5.6 percent drop over the past six trading days and brought the index near even for 2011. Oil fell from earlier highs after Libya declared a ceasefire in the country to protect civilians and comply with a United Nations resolution passed overnight. It had surged after the U.N. Security Council endorsed a no-fly zone for Libya, and authorized “all necessary measures” to protect civilians against Gaddafi’s forces. “That (Mideast unrest) quieting down and Japan quieting down will lead to buying,” said Stephen Massocca, managing director at Wedbush Morgan in San Francisco. Brent crude had jumped above $117 a barrel on worries of escalating unrest in oil-rich countries after the U.N. action to contain Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi. Brent for May delivery dropped to around $114 after the ceasefire was declared; the contract settled at $113.93 a barrel, down 97 cents. U.S. crude fell 35 cents to end at $101.07 a barrel. The dollar climbed 2.6 percent to 80.86 yen, retreating from a session high of around 82 yen, following the G7 announcement to intervene to stop the currency’s sharp rise in recent days. The show of solidarity by the G7 major developed economies to support Japan through its biggest crisis since World War Two comes a day after the yen soared to a record 76.25 per dollar in chaotic trading. It is the first coordinated currency intervention by the G7 in a decade. The G7 “is just helping sentiment, and stocks sensitive to risk will push on. But optimism is going to be guarded as there are no firm resolutions surrounding the Japanese nuclear crisis and the Middle East, and anything can happen on the weekend,” said Giles Watts, head of equities at City Index in London. WALL ST BUOYED BY NIKKEI AND BANKS On Wall Street, stocks held gains but pulled back from session highs due to caution before a long weekend in Japan, where markets will be closed on Monday for a holiday. Japan’s Nikkei share index .N225 climbed 2.7 percent, recouping some of the week’s losses as Japan reeled from the aftermath of an earthquake, tsunami and nuclear power plant crisis. The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 83.93 points, or 0.71 percent, to end at 11,858.52. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index .SPX added 5.49 points, or 0.43 percent, to 1,279.21. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC rose 7.62 points, or 0.29 percent, to close at 2,643.67 — well off its session high of 2,665.56. The Dow industrials climbed as high as 11,927.09 and swung nearly 150 points from that peak to the session low, reflecting the market’s volatility that could be tied in part to quadruple witching. Friday marked the end of the two-day quadruple witching period. Quadruple witching is the expiration and settlement of March stock-index futures, single-stock futures, equity options and stock-index options. Financial stocks rose after the Federal Reserve notified some of the largest U.S. banks that they passed a second round of stress tests. The central bank said it would let some of those banks use some of their massive capital cushions to buy back shares, repay the government and boost dividends. JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) are among those planning dividend boosts. JPMorgan’s stock gained 2.6 percent to $45.74, while Wells Fargo shares added 1.5 percent to $31.83. “There’s a lot of bad things going on in the world right now and if (the Fed) can show the big American banks are doing pretty well, that is a good thing to show,” said Frank Bonaventure, a partner at Ober Kaler in Baltimore and former counsel for the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Industrial shares also rose on bets they could benefit in Japan’s rebuilding effort. General Electric Co (GE.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) rose 0.2 percent to $19.25, while Caterpillar (CAT.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) advanced 1.9 percent to $105.06. Before the start of U.S. trading, European equities pared earlier gains after China’s central bank raised lenders’ required reserve ratios. The FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 rose 0.2 percent to close at 1,088.82. YEN AND BONDS DROP, GOLD GAINS The euro rose 3.4 percent to 114.50 yen, after climbing to a session high of 115.56 yen earlier. Some traders noted the scale of intervention was so far a tame effort to stem the yen’s surge. The euro rose to a four-month high against the dollar of about $1.4184 after the euro/yen intervention. Some market observers said even massive official selling might not restrain the yen for long, pointing to Japan’s last intervention in September 2010 when it sold a huge 2.1 trillion yen, or around $25 billion worth, but only managed to push the dollar up to 85.77 yen from 82.85 yen. “It would need to be concerted and aggressive … and even then I’m skeptical,” said Richard Wiltshire, a currency trader at ETX Capital in London. A New York Federal Reserve spokesman said the U.S. central bank had joined the G7 in intervening to weaken the yen. Demand for the safety of government debt waned. The price of the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note dipped 3/32, nudging its yield up 0.01 percentage point to 3.27 percent. Gold rose $16.09 to $1,418.40 an ounce, but was off a record high of around $1,444 reached last week. (Additional reporting by Anirban Nag, Joanne Frearson and Chris Reese, Richard Leong, Edward Krudy, Chuck Mikolajczak, Steven C. Johnson, Emily Flitter and Emelia Sithole-Matarise; Writing by Al Yoon; Editing by Jan Paschal) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Steve Blank: The New Internet Bubble And The New Rules For Startup Success

March 18, 2011

We’re now in the second Internet bubble. The signals are loud and clear : seed and late stage valuations are getting frothy and wacky, and hiring talent in Silicon Valley is the toughest it has been since the dot.com bubble. The rules for making money are different in a bubble than in normal times. What are they, how do they differ and what can a startup do to take advantage of them? First, to understand where we’re going, it’s important to know where we’ve been. Below is a quick history of the four waves of startup investing (Click here for slides). The Golden Age (1970 – 1995) VC’s worked with entrepreneurs to build profitable and scalable businesses, with increasing revenue and consistent profitability — quarter after quarter for at least five quarters. They taught you about customers, markets and profits. The reward for doing so was a liquidity event via an Initial Public Offering. Startups needed millions of dollars of funding just to get their first product out the door to customers. Software companies had to buy specialized computers and license expensive software. A hardware startup had to equip a factory to manufacture the product. Startups built every possible feature the founding team envisioned (using “Waterfall development,”) into a monolithic “release” of the product taking months or years to build a first product release. The Business Plan (Concept- Alpha-Beta – FCS ) became the playbook for startups. There was no repeatable methodology, startups and their VC’s still operated like startups were simply a smaller version of a large company. The world of building profitable startups ended in 1995. The Dot.Com Bubble (August, 1995 – March, 2000) With Netscape’s IPO , there was suddenly a public market for companies with limited revenue and no profit. Underwriters realized that as long as the public was happy snapping up shares, they could make huge profits from the inflated valuations. Thus began the 5-year dot-com bubble. For VC’s and entrepreneurs the gold rush to liquidity was on. The old rules of sustainable revenue and consistent profitability went out the window. VC’s engineered financial transactions, working with entrepreneurs to brand, hype and take public unprofitable companies with grand promises for the future. The goals were “first-mover advantage,” “grab market share” and “get big fast.” Like all bubbles, this was a game of musical chairs, where the last one standing looked dumb and everyone else got absurdly rich. Startups still required millions of dollars of funding. But the bubble mantra of get “big fast” and “first-mover advantage” demanded tens of millions more to create a “brand.” The goal was to get your firm public as soon as possible using whatever it took because the sooner you got your billion-dollar market cap, the sooner the VC firm could sell their shares and distribute their profits. Just like the previous 25 years, startups still built every possible feature the founding team envisioned into a monolithic “release” of the product using “Waterfall development.” But in the bubble, startups got creative and shortened the time needed to get a product to the customer by releasing “beta’s” (buggy products still needing testing) and having the customers act as their Quality Assurance group. The IPO offering document became the playbook for startups. With the bubble mantra of “get big fast,” the repeatable methodology became “brand, hype, flip or IPO.” Back to Basics: The Lean Startup (2000-2010) After the dot.com bubble collapsed, venture investors spent the next three years doing triage, sorting through the rubble to find companies that weren’t bleeding cash and could actually be turned into businesses. Tech IPOs were a receding memory, and mergers and acquisitions became the only path to liquidity for startups. VC’s went back to basics, to focus on building companies while their founders worked on building customers. Over time, open source software fueled the rise of the next wave of web startups and the embrace of Agile Engineering meant that startups no longer needed millions of dollars to buy specialized computers and license expensive software — they could start a company on their credit cards. Customer Development , Agile Engineering and the Lean Methodology enforced a process of incremental and iterative development. Startups could now get a first version of a product out to customers in weeks/months rather than months/years. Startups began to recognize that they weren’t merely a smaller version of a large company. Rather, they understood that a startup is a temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model. This meant that startups needed their own tools, techniques and methodologies distinct from those used in large companies. The concepts of Minimum Viable Product and the Pivot entered the lexicon along with Customer Discovery and Validation. The New Bubble: 2011-2014 Signs of a new bubble have been appearing over the last year — seed and late stage valuations are rapidly inflating, hiring talent in Silicon Valley is the toughest since the last bubble and investors are starting to openly wonder how this one will end. Breathtaking Scale The bubble is being driven by market forces on a scale never seen in the history of commerce. For the first time, startups can today think about a Total Available Market in the billions of users (smart phones, tablets, PC’s, etc.) and aim for hundreds of millions of customers. And those customers may be using their devices/apps continuously. The revenue, profits and speed of scale of the winning companies can be breathtaking. The New Exits Rules for building a company in 2011 are different than they were in 2008 or 1998. Startup exits in the next three years will include IPO’s as well as acquisitions. And unlike the last bubble, this bubble’s first wave of IPO’s will be companies showing “real” revenue, profits and customers in massive numbers. (Think Facebook, Zynga, Twitter, LinkedIn, Groupon, etc.) But like all bubbles, these initial IPO’s will attract companies with less stellar financials, the quality IPO pipeline will diminish rapidly, and the bubble will pop. At the same time, acquisition opportunities will expand as large existing companies, unable to keep up with the pace of innovation in these emerging Internet markets, “innovate” by buying startups. Finally, new forms of liquidity are emerging such as private-market stock exchanges for buying and selling illiquid assets (i.e. SecondMarket , SharesPost , etc.) 3 Rules in the New Bubble Today’s startups have all the tools needed for a short development cycle and rapid customer adoption: Agile and Customer Development plus Business Model Design . The Four Steps to the Epiphany , Business Model Generation and the Lean Startup movement have become the playbook for startups. The payoff: in this bubble, a startup can actively “engineer for an acquisition.” Here’s how: 1. Order of Battle Each market has a finite number of acquirers, and a finite number of deal makers, each looking to fill specific product/market holes. So determining who specifically to target and talk to is not an incalculable problem. For a specific startup, this list is probably a few hundred names. 2. Wide Adoption First, Revenue Later Startups that win in the bubble will be those that get wide adoption (using freemium, viral growth, low costs, etc.) and massive distribution (i.e. Facebook, Android/Apple App store.) They will focus on getting massive user bases first, and let the revenue follow later. 3. Visibility During the the Lean Startup era, the advice was clear: focus on building the company and avoid hype. Now that advice has changed. Like every bubble, this is a game of musical chairs. While you still need to focus on customers for your product, you and your company now need to be everywhere and look larger than life. Show and talk at conferences, be on lots of blogs, use social networks and build a brand. In the new bubble, PR may be your new best friend, so invest in it. Lessons Learned We’re in a new wave of startup investing – it’s the beginning of another bubble Rules for liquidity for startups and investors are different in bubbles Pay attention to what those rules are and how to play by them Unlike the last bubble, this one is not about selling “vision” or concepts You have to deliver. That requires building a company using Agile Engineering and Customer Development Startups that master speed, tempo and pivot cycle time will win

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Robert Lenzner: Oil Prices Above $100 Threaten Recovery, Stock Market

March 4, 2011

Higher oil prices trumped the lower unemployment figures today. Violence in Libya trumps signs of economic recovery; 8.9% unemployment and a 3.1% gain in factory orders. The Economist cover today says it all; “Just as the world Economy was recovering,” came the “2011 oil shock.” After all, the Middle East and north Africa produce more than 1/3rd of the world’s oil. Mull that factoid thoroughly over the weekend. Another run-up to $103 for West Texas crude and $116 for Brent oil — the unpleasant ramifications of Middle East unrest — are a much more powerful dynamic than the reduction of unemployment in the US below 9% for the first time in 2 years. This is called the unexpected ramifications of geopolitics as a monkey wrench into the quantitative easing policy of the Bernanke Fed. Welcome to global risk! Revolution can indeed disrupt oil supply, shake confidence in a recovery, and drive investors to panic and sell. Investors in the stock market are the new refugees, unseen, but heard. Higher oil means lower stocks, as Wall Street deals with the expectation of the economy’s renewed momentum slowing down. A slowing down economy means a slowing down earnings projection and profit taking after the sensational run-up since last summer. At $100 a barrel, the cost of oil will raise the costs of transportation and production of many goods, cutting down some measure of already modest projections of economic growth. “We do not see $100 oil derailing the US expansion. However, if sustained $100 oil could shave some 0.3% to 0.5% from GDP, implying 2.7% growth in 2011 instead of 3.0%,” says Marshall Front, founder of Front Barnett LLC, a Chicago investment counseling firm. “It would take gasoline prices above $4.00 a gallon for a protracted period to threaten the expansion.” The ultimate scare scenario, brought to us by perpetual bear Nouriel Roubini, is the provocative prediction that $150 oil (higher than July, 2008) will take 2% out of GDP. Nasty; better pray for the Saudi monarchy to stay firmly in control, and Iran, Kuwait, UAE are able to maintain their usual production for export. Gold and silver still acted strongly today. Silver, incredibly, rose over $35 an ounce, and is up 25% since we first recommended it last fall. But traders like Dennis Gartman, a technician with a big following (CNBC’s guru) and GLD, the huge ETF, have been sellers in February. (GLD had outflow over $700 million in February — after being down $2 billion in January. We reported that turning point phenomenon.) As GLD goes, so might gold in the short run. Now comes Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, asserting his investment attraction to the much maligned dollar. You will recall the rule of thumb that 70% of the time, when the dollar is strong, gold is weak. Fink, founder and CEO of BlackRock, the largest investment management firm in the world, with $3.5 trillion in assets, is predicting a 4% coupon for 10 year Treasuries, and as a result a strong dollar. He is a major buyer of dollars, and if correct a rising dollar will be a depressant for gold prices. “Inflation in the long run will not a be a problem,” Fink said on TV this week. “I’m a very big buyer of the dollar.” Not good for the gold bulls, John Paulson and George Soros — and their flock of followers. You heard it here first.

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Ian Fletcher: The Biggest Bubble of All Has Yet to Pop

February 18, 2011

Americans presumably realize by now that living in a bubble economy, while exhilarating as long as the champagne lasts, is not a good move. Therefore it is worth understanding why the biggest bubble of all may be yet to pop. I refer to America’s trade imbalance with the rest of the world. As I explained in a previous post , our trade deficit with the rest of the world means that we must a) borrow money and b) sell existing assets in order to cover the yawning gap between our imports and our exports. And while a rich nation can indeed borrow a huge amount of money and has a lot of assets to sell off, this doesn’t mean Santa has installed an ATM on every street corner. Which is what a lot of people seem to think. Now it used to be that American liberals were the ones traditionally accused of “money-grows-on-trees” thinking. But I’ve noticed something: when it’s convenient to them (i.e., not a matter of cutting social programs they don’t like), American conservatives are now even worse. Let’s take as a case-in-point this recent assertion by Don Boudreaux of the libertarian Cato Institute: Second and most importantly, Mr. Fletcher doesn’t understand what a trade deficit is. An increase in the U.S. trade deficit does not necessarily mean that Americans are borrowing more or are selling off assets. The volume of productive capital assets is not fixed. Foreigners who invest dollars in creating and expanding businesses in America increase America’s capital stock without either putting Americans further in debt or decreasing Americans’ ownership of assets. Given that America is the world’s leading destination for foreign direct investment, it hardly seems plausible that the U.S. trade deficit is evidence of American impoverishment or of inadequate production. Now the key phrase here is, “The volume of productive capital assets is not fixed.” The idea appears to be that because we can always make more assets, there’s nothing wrong with selling them off to foreigners. Sounds logical enough. The problem, though, is that even if you can bake more cookies, selling off the cookies you already have results in your ending up with fewer than you would otherwise have. Maybe you don’t end up with nothing, but your still have fewer cookies than if you hadn’t sold any. The meaning of this analogy is that even if America can increase its stock of capital assets over time (as we obviously can), selling off some of those assets to foreigners still means we own fewer assets. Our net worth is still lower. We are poorer, by basic accounting. We own less. Debt works the same way. Even if America’s capacity to service debt goes up over time (as it does with a growing GDP), assuming debts to foreigners still means that we owe more than we otherwise would. Again, our net worth is lower. Our debit column went up. Now let’s look at the next tenet of bubblethink expressed above, the idea that “foreigners who invest dollars in creating and expanding businesses in America increase America’s capital stock without either putting Americans further in debt or decreasing Americans’ ownership of assets.” There are two problems with this idea. First is that most foreign investment into the United States simply doesn’t fall into this category. For example, of the $260.4 billion invested in 2008, 93 percent went to buying up existing companies, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. (Thomas Anderson, “Foreign Direct Investment in the United States,” BEA, June 2009, p. 55.) Worse, a huge chunk of foreign investment in the U.S. just goes for Treasury securities, which get recycled, by way of deficit spending, into consumption , not even investment in existing assets. Second, it’s a baseline trick. It is indeed true that if we take our low savings rate as a given and ask whether we would be better off with foreign-financed investment or no investment at all, then foreign-financed investment is better. But our savings rate isn’t a given, it’s a choice , which means that the real choice is between foreign- and domestically-financed investment. Once one frames the problem this way, domestically-financed investment is obviously better because then Americans, rather than foreigners, will own the investments and receive the returns they generate. Developing nations face this problem all the time (and more honestly than we do right now): While it’s certainly nice to have foreigners come and invest in your country, because this creates jobs et cetera, what’s even better is if you have the capacity to invest for yourself. Being able to develop your own country with your own investments, rather than depending upon others, is part of what distinguishes the serious players from the also-rans. The last time America was importing huge amounts of capital was in the 19th century, when we were still a developing nation dependent upon European bankers to pay for building our railroads and the like; as we matured into a major industrial power in our own right, the tide reversed and we exported capital back to Europe to rebuild it, for example, after two world wars. In the 19th century, we borrowed to invest in projects that made us more productive, improved our capital stock, thus we could (and did) pay back the borrowing. Borrowing to consume is quite the opposite. Today, we are selling off our capital stock and damaging our future productivity. The free trade crowd also assumes that the economics of trade takes place in a vacuum. This is where the golden rule applies: He who has the gold makes the rules and controls the key decisions. There are important economic and political consequences. If Washington is under the influence of Wall Street and so-called “American” multinationals, what will our policies look like, what freedom of action will we have as a nation? How does one possess national security when the economic sinews thereof belong to someone else? At some point, all this will come out in the wash. Don’t say I didn’t warn you.

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Robert Lenzner: The Next Bubble May Be Bonds, Stocks, Commodities, China

February 16, 2011

The prime example of a bubble that really hurt was the parabolic ascent of the NASDAQ Composite Index from a rational level of 2200 in early 1999 to the ridiculously irrational 5000 15 months later. That was vertical mania by investors out of their mind. By the end of 2002 the value of these mostly technology issues had collapsed in panic selling that was more extreme than the buying. That was a bubble worth trillions popping. So, too, was the mania in housing, where all reasonable expectations were obliterated by leverage upon leverage in mortgage-backed securities and derivative contracts. This bubble was a systematic and dangerous departure from economic fundamentals into the chaos of evaporating home prices.. We are still suffering four years later from that extinguishment of household wealth — a massive damaging loss for ordinary Americans quite soon after the Nasdaq stock market bubble. Get the idea? Bubbles are serious when they are massive. The rule for spotting bubbles before they destroy you, says Harvard economist Ken Rogoff, is to “look for large rapid surges in leverage and asset prices, surges that can suddenly implode if confidence fades.” By this measure, then, the deterioration in Treasury bond prices, in tax-free muni bond prices and fright from the anxiety about some European sovereign bonds, like Greece and Portugal, are more signs of a rationally-proceeding bear market than a panicky bubble. At least so far. Orderly retreats are not bubbles by my standard. Same with gold, where speculation in futures contracts have been substantially reduced (lots of leverage in futures contracts) while bullion prices are trading in a fairly boring range, since confidence in the gold bubble has eased. If gold were a bubble, it wouldn’t matter what the dollar was doing. Investors would just be blown away with the urge to buy gold. Long-term gold investors believe this mania will be triggered by a sudden aversion to dollars, a plunge in their value — and a corresponding spike to unrealistic levels for gold. They will all be trying to get out at the same time. Good luck. Commodities are a better candidate for a bubble, as we had one in the summer of 2008 when oil popped at $147 and fell unmercifully, taking with it some food and metals prices. Since then oil has rebounded by 21 percent, food by 35 percent, copper by 108 percent, gold by 73 percent and silver a pretty bubbly 222 percent. It was, of course, George Soros who called gold the ” ultimate bubble ” when it was selling for about $1,000 an ounce. Since then, we have had plenty of volatility in commodity prices and a generally accepted opinion that the demand from emerging market nations would push prices ever higher. What could pop the bubble would be China’s failure to restrain inflation and its subsequent hard landing. The China bubble clan is watching to see if the People’s Bank of China fails to prevent the bubble, in the same manner as the Federal Reserve failed to restrain the housing bubble in the US by its too massive monetary easing and low interest rates. Ignoring asset bubbles “is a very painful way to show your disdain for macro concepts and a blind devotion to your central skill for stock picking,” says Jeremy Grantham, founder of GMO, the highly reputed Boston investment manager. Grantham “unabashedly” worships bubbles, reckoning it is absolutely mandatory to identify “hugely mispriced major sectors or asset classes among equities.” He suggests that short-term interest rates should remain low for 8 more months, until say August or September, in his Quarterly Letter of January 2011. The signal for an equity bubble would be the S&P 500 index rising to 1500 and rising short term interest rates. “I still don’t understand how the U.S. could have massive numbers of unused labor and industrial capacity yet still have peak profit margins. This has never happened before.” The real quandry, my friends is: When does an overpriced market become a bubble? After all the investors shifting out of Treasuries into common stocks finally rebalance their portfolios, only to get killed again?

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Hedge Fund Manager Reportedly Brought In $5 Billion Last Year

January 28, 2011

BOSTON (By Svea Herbst-Bayliss) – Billionaire hedge fund manager John Paulson, whose bet against the overheated housing market made him one of the world’s wealthiest people, became a lot richer last year. By earning an estimated $5 billion in 2010 thanks to bets the economy would recover, the 55-year old investor likely set a new record for the $1.9 trillion hedge fund industry’s biggest-ever annual payday. He beat his own record, which he set in 2007 with a $4 billion haul made off the subprime bet. The Wall Street Journal first reported Paulson’s payout in its Friday edition, and investors familiar with Paulson’s portfolios said the number is likely correct given the manager’s asset size and his recent profitable bets on Citigroup and gold. For Paulson, the payday comes after he reversed deep losses in his funds halfway through the year, and it may put to rest lingering talk that his investing prowess was limited to a lucky bet during the subprime era, investors said. “He did it on the short side and on the long side,” said Brad Alford, founder of Alpha Capital Management, which invests with hedge funds. “He proved that he can really do it all.” Other prominent managers like Appaloosa Management’s David Tepper and Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio likely also earned 10-figure paychecks, the Journal reported. EYEBROWS RAISED But Paulson and other managers’ eye-popping earnings are sure to raise new questions about how managers are paid in an industry known for charging hefty fees that often guarantee generous payouts even if returns were merely average. Last year, the average hedge fund gained 10.5 percent, lagging the Standard & Poor’s 500 index by 15 percent and falling short of their own 19 percent return in 2009, data from Hedge Fund Research show. But managers will collect 2 percent management fees and about a 20 percent cut of their gains. By definition, this raises the payouts for managers at the industry’s biggest firms. In Paulson’s case, the fact that his 17-year old firm Paulson & Co oversees about $35 billion fattened up his payout. To be fair, Paulson also invests his entire fortune in his funds and since his gold fund gained 35 percent, his investment gains added billions to his payout. For other managers, including ones who lost money, however, the industry’ payouts may seem less fair, investors and analysts said. “People are fine with hedge fund fee structures as long as they are making great returns,” said Stewart Massey, who invests with hedge funds at Massey, Quick & Co. “But where they get antsy is where managers have middling returns and the managers are still making a lot of money.” As hedge funds look for new investors, experts say that investors’ demands on pay will hold more sway. A push from some investors to set a so-called hurdle rate, or minimum accepted rate of return, for manager pay, or to reward them only if they exceed certain benchmarks may gain traction. ROAD TO BIG PAYDAYS The big paydays at hedge funds are likely to confirm that hedge funds can be modern-day gold mines on Wall Street and spark even more movement from the world of banking and mutual fund management into this asset class. “Many of these big hedge fund managers are now earning more than professional athletes,” said Kenneth Murray, president of Mercury Partners, which recruits staff for hedge funds. “And they can do this for the rest of their lives, unlike sports stars who have to find another job after the age of 35…. 100 percent, hedge funds are the places where everyone wants to be.” But he and other recruiters agreed that the hedge fund industry’s biggest payouts really will be limited to its biggest stars, noting that working at a hedge fund is no longer a sure way to easy riches. As the industry matures, these people said that it is becoming harder for newcomers to break in and that portfolio managers need to bring long records of top performance before getting a job. Also with investors becoming pickier, it is harder to raise a lot of money. “If you’ve been in the game and successful, you may be set for life, but for everyone else it is becoming tougher,” Murray said. (Editing by Robert MacMillan) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Dan Dorfman: Big Gold Pop Apt to Follow Gold Drop

January 20, 2011

Even Superman has his bad days. We saw that last Sunday when the New England Patriots, widely viewed as the Superman of football, were beaten by the underdog New York Jets. We saw it again in recent months when gold, the investment arena’s Superman, switched from the man of steel to a powder puff after racking up 10 straight years of gains (30% last year) during which it shot up more than six fold from $228 an ounce in 2001 to a recent all-time high in early December of $1,432.50. But since then, the yellow metal, which is looking quite toppy,has backtracked to around $1,350. This decline, though hardly awesome, has led to a series of warnings, such as “the gold bubble is about to burst” and “a collapse in gold is imminent.” One of the country’s dogged trackers of precious metals, a skilled market timer who warned of the recent gold selloff, is online investment adviser, Mark Leibovit, editor of the VR Gold Letter in Sedona, AZ. His latest thoughts: More gold weakness could be in the works into March which might knock down the price 10% to 25% from its recent high (which raises the prospects of a possible drop to as low as roughly $1,070). But after the gold drop, he sees a likely gold pop. The metal, as Leibovit sees it, has to overcome the lack of strong upside volume and the recent resistance to re-establish its short-term uptrend. As a result, he’s sitting on the sidelines insofar as his trading position is concerned. “We always run the risk of a shakeout and where and when it ends is anybody’s guess,” he says. Famed global commodities investor Jim Rogers is also hoisting warning flags, noting that gold is overdue for a rest and is likely headed lower over the short run. Shortly after gold crossed $1,000 an ounce in September of 2009, Leibovit made what I thought was an off-the-wall forecast: “Gold will never again trade below $1,000 an ounce in our lifetime!” he told me. Since the fluctuating metal is on a constant see-saw, how, I wondered, could he be so cocksure about the stability of such a volatile investment? Also in the back of my mind was what George Soros once told me over breakfast many years ago — namely, “owning gold is like playing poker” and who about a year ago described the metal as “the ultimate asset bubble.” Nonetheless, Leibovit is sticking to his guns about his bold forecast. “The wind is at gold’s back,” he says. “We’re in a big 20-year up cycle that has another 10 years to go.” He also views the recent drop in gold as a gift — an opportunity to buy the metal cheaper. Although he holds out the possibility of a near-term drop in gold to around $1,070, he thinks a more realistic low during this period is between $1,250 and $1,300. By year-end, he figures the metal will be trading at a new high of around $1,600, on the way a few years out to between $2,000 and $3,000. He’s also a bull on silver, which he sees rising from its current price of $28.75 to $36 by the end of 2011. Adding to gold’s allure at this juncture, Leibovit points out, are a bevy of worries and demand factors… Chief among them: — Continued quesions about the longevity of the euro. — A near-certain resumption of a sizable decline in the dollar, which Leibovit argues is “terminal over the long term,” in large measure reflecting $80 trillion of funded and unfunded debt that will never be repaid. — The inevitability of higher inflation stemming from 24/7 money printing around the globe and ballooning commodity prices. — Increasing global demand for gold, notably from China and India. — America’s loss of worldwide leadership as the baton is being passed to China, which is in the process of strengthening its military. A cold war between the U.S. and China is inevitable, Leibovit believes. His favorite gold investment is the Central Fund of Canada, which holds gold and silver bullion. He also likes Agnico Gold mines Ltd., Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF and Northern Dynasty. Leibovit’s bottom line on the metal: Don’t let the bubble talk or the recent weakness scare you away. It’s still the best financial bullet vest around because the fundamentals remain so positive that gold in the long run still looks penthouse bound. In brief, gold, looking ahead, still looks golden. What do you think? E-mail me at Dandordan@aol.com.

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Video: Tanzanian Gold Diggers Pay Tragic Dividend Hunting Ore

December 23, 2010

Dec. 23 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Cam Simpson reports on his visit to northern Tanzania where he spoke to villagers searching among waste rock for tiny flecks of gold in a community where where almost half the people live on less than 33 cents a day. Security guards and federal police allegedly have shot and killed people scavenging the gold-laced rocks, according to interviews with 28 people, including victims’ relatives, witnesses, local officials and human-rights workers.

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Video: Tanzanian Gold Diggers Pay Tragic Dividend Hunting Ore

December 23, 2010

Dec. 23 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Cam Simpson reports on his visit to northern Tanzania where he spoke to villagers searching among waste rock for tiny flecks of gold in a community where where almost half the people live on less than 33 cents a day. Security guards and federal police allegedly have shot and killed people scavenging the gold-laced rocks, according to interviews with 28 people, including victims’ relatives, witnesses, local officials and human-rights workers.

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Robert Lenzner: New Global Currency Is Gold Sell Signal

November 11, 2010

QE2 will be followed by QE3 until we see “the end of the U.S. dollar standard,” a leading gold enthusiast and emerging markets expert, declared yesterday. No one can predict the timing, but the signal to sell all your gold will be an emergency economic meeting to create a new global currency, says Asia-based investment analyst Christopher Wood, who has been recommending gold as an investment since 2002. Wood is on record as predicting that gold will sell over $3,000 an ounce some day. His portfolio allocation for U.S. pension funds includes 25% gold bullion and 15% gold mining shares. Another signal that gold is in danger of big price slippage is when Ben Bernanke raises interest rates by 1/4 of 1%, but he sees no reasonable chance that would happen anytime in the near future- and certainly not unless there is inflationary growth in the U.S. economy. “The biggest beneficiary of QE2 will be the Asian emerging markets,” says Christopher Wood, emerging markets analyst at CLSA. “Investors must be overweight these Asian markets,” because that’s where Bernanke’s buying of Treasuries will end up. Or investors can buy U.S. multinationals with major operations in the emerging markets.” Wood says the stock market in China sells at the same market multiple as the U.S., and he believes Chinese banks and insurance stocks are especially cheap right now and due for a move. His biggest weighting is in India. Wood’s Asian portfolio of 25 stocks has gained 671% in value since late 2002, compared to the MSCI index, which has risen 217%. Wood’s portfolio picks have turned in an annual return rate of 28.9%. Wood told a small group of journalists he did not believe that QE2 would work and that it will lead on to QE3, just as QE1 led to QE2. Because of expected weakness in the dollar, Wood recommended buying strong Asian currencies like the Singapore dollar, his favorite. He flatly predicted the Singapore dollar would rise in relationship to the dollar. One way to play Singapore is to own high dividend yielding stocks there, or to get a slice via the iShares MSCI Singapore ETF that trades under “EWS.” He believes the economy will continue to be soft because of the foreclosure troubles facing the housing industry. Housing can’t recover until there is a clearing of all the homes in trouble, and this possibility is being held up by all the legal snafus and litigation. He also predicted that Portugal “would blow up” and believes the French banking industry faces an enormous problem in the $495 billion of loans they have outstanding with Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain.

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Robert Lenzner: QE2 Dangerous for American Wage Earners

November 9, 2010

QE2 has already damaged the ordinary lives of the middle class and the poor by driving up the price of basic foodstuffs required in the average American’s diet. Sugar is up 5.7%; wheat, 5.8%; oil, up 8%; soybeans, up 5% — all inside of the first week of QE2. This instant run-up in commodities makes the underlying producer price inflation rate soar at a 20% rate — far far greater than the CPI, by which we reckon our rate of inflation is running at a measly 1-2% rate. How ordinary American families will survive putting food on the table and driving to work and back is going to even more difficult to achieve than it is now, when so many Americans are out of work and losing their homes. The contrast between accelerating commodity prices and a decelerating economy is troubling. A policy that makes fortunes for commodity traders, for hedge fund operators, for the gold and silver crowd while squeezing 90% of the nation is a terrible price to pay for replacing deflation with inflation. The unintended consequences of QE2 will be more dastardly on more people than Ben Bernanke ever figured on. If the PPI stays at 20% or goes even higher, won’t it act as a brake on economic growth? After all, it is like a tax on income, and as such is not a symptom of growth. The higher the price of gold, silver, copper, oil and agricultural foodstuffs — the higher the tax on consumption must be.

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Robert Teitelman: Bernanke, QE2 and a matter of politics

November 4, 2010

The commentary on the Federal Reserve’s second round of quantitative easing — QE2 to the headline writers, which always makes me think it’s time for a cruise — has been heavy, pro, lukewarm and con, though the stock market likes it. Bernanke himself has entered the fray with a column in Thursday’s Washington Post defending the purchase of $600 billion in Treasuries, which critics, like James Grant, blast as simply “printing money.” The argument — deflation versus inflation — is endlessly educational, but I have little (amend that: nothing) to add. What is interesting, however, is the question that began to emerge around the time the Fed stepped in to try to save Bear Stearns Cos.: the central bank and politicization. Indeed, it’s a topic worth pondering two days after a bitterly fought, often bizarre political battle. What do we even mean by the term “politicization,” particularly when it’s applied to a linchpin institution of the economy like the Fed? It’s a big, hairy subject. To some, the Fed has been “politicized” since the day it opened its doors in 1914. The very existence of a central bank was an intrusion into the free market, which explains in part why we kept forming central banks then shutting them down in the 19th century. A second level of politicization occurs when you consider the Fed’s mission. In the days before the Great Depression, when a more decentralized Fed’s center of power was still Benjamin Strong, the head of the New York Fed, the bank had a limited mission that involved providing liquidity in times of panic and — its mission of all missions, like today’s Bundesbank — retaining a strong currency and thus low inflation. It was the era of the gold standard, a mechanism designed to do just that. This, of course, represented a political choice, argued many from the Silverite West, the working classes, the indebted and Progressives. Hard money restricted liquidity and favored the rich and Wall Street, which in turn defended it as both prudential and the natural order of things. When the Great Depression hit, there was unanimity of opinion at Hoover’s Treasury (under Andrew Mellon) and the Fed (Strong died in 1928, leaving no single uber-chairman like Bernanke; the system in the Hoover years of the Depression was led by a banker, Roy Young) that the economic woes resulted from excess — and the Fed tightened the screws. The result: bank failures, massive unemployment and deflation. By the time Franklin Roosevelt was elected, the Fed had lost all credibility and, by the standards that had existed, was politicized by the New Deal to expand its core mission to restart the economy. FDR even ended use of the gold standard. That “mission creep,” in the words of Grant, was made explicit after World War II with the inclusion of full employment into its brief. The fact is, by bureaucratic standards, economic failure nearly always exposes central banks to political interference. This is the third level of politicization: loss of autonomy to its political masters. The Fed only began to regain its autonomy from the White House with the ’50s post-war boom. The Fed officially broke with Truman in 1951 by announcing it would no longer support pegged interest rates, over two decades after the Crash of ’29. And as Grant pointed out the other day, the Fed accepted 12 months of deflation in the mid-’50s without panicking. As a general rule, as the Fed saw its mission expand, the dangers of politicization — that is, a loss of autonomy — increased. The Fed could through monetary manipulation help or hurt the party in power, particularly around election time. Many insist the Fed’s Arthur Burns came under pressure from Richard Nixon to reduce interest rates in 1972 to help his re-election campaign. Nixon, in turn, believed William McChesney Martin’s Fed insured his defeat to John Kennedy in 1960 by raising rates. And Paul Volcker famously undermined Jimmy Carter’s chances for re-election against Ronald Reagan by jacking up rates to kill inflation. (Was that politics or sensible, even heroic, policy? Well, it was policy that had a big political effect.) Today, the conspiracy minded believe that Alan Greenspan left rates low after the dot-com bust so long, thus helping to inflate the mortgage bubble, to help out George W. Bush. Whether that’s true or not will probably never be known; that’s certainly not what Greenspan, who rejects the connection between monetary easing and the real estate bubble, will ever admit. Greenspan had clearly picked up the political clout during his long tenure to insure enormous autonomy (although he also seemed to worry about losing it). And Greenspan wasn’t about to fight the need to create jobs. Indeed, since Volcker managed to quell the inflationary beast, job creation has assumed top billing. Jobs, of course, as we’ve just discovered in the midterms, are an intensely political subject; and “job creation” is a necessary mantra for both parties. In that sense, Bernanke’s Fed is irremediably politicized, though not overtly partisan. But again there’s “politicized” and there’s “politicized.” The severity of the financial crisis, much of which was blamed on Fed action and inaction, plus the intimate coordination of Fed and Treasury during the crisis, opened the door to calls to rein in the central bank and stirred up libertarians in the Tea Party like Rand Paul that would like to see the Fed disappear. The Fed’s enhanced role in systemic regulation, undercut only by the Financial Stability Oversight Board and the consumer agency, paradoxically offers another threat to its autonomy: A higher profile creates a bigger target. Bernanke did battle against a number of attempts to audit its operations (an initiative of Rand pere Ron Paul) and to reduce its powers, particularly in terms of regulation. To do so he engaged in what normally would be viewed as politics: engaging in town halls to explain what the Fed does, and, as he did today, writing newspaper columns. It’s an odd sight: To battle politicization, he must act like a retail politician. Bernanke is clearly acutely sensitive to his political problem. And that very sensitivity may explain his willingness to engage in QE2, particularly since the administration does not appear to have access to fiscal tools — tax cuts, spending — to stimulate effectively. QE is such a technical ploy that it’s unlikely to become a matter of back-fence conversations. And Bernanke did wait until the day after the election to announce the program. All this is very tricky, however. To avoid further raids on his autonomy, Bernanke has to attempt a scheme that plays with the fire of inflation and that he long avoided. And to eschew overt politics he must engage in politics. There’s no escape. The only nonpolitical Fed is the dead one. Robert Teitelman is editor in chief of The Deal.

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Jim Lichtman: The Emperor’s New Clothes, Vers. 2.0

October 18, 2010

Once upon a time, in a country wide and beautiful, there was a very audacious and flamboyant financier who liked to wear very nice clothes. (Here he is in his gold tie and pinstripe finery.) One day, this very daring man saw a need in the housing market, and lo, with a skill for salesmanship and the help of the best money lenders he could find, he concocted a scheme by which many, many, MANY people were able to purchase a home for the unheard of price of… nothing down . At the time, the scheme came with the catchy industry title, “affordability products.” With the help of many, many, MANY others, they called this brilliant scheme… “subprime lending.” Well the people of the wide and beautiful country thought this was wonderful. “Now we can have the home of our dreams without worry,” shouted Jane and Joe Doe. And lo, the man with the scheme was able to buy more and better finery. He was even able to afford his own in-home spray-tan salon which he availed himself of, frequently. Such was the genius of this very bold man that citizens far and wide in this country would come and avail themselves of the scheme until lo, the man’s company became “a mortgage lending behemoth with $11.4 billion in revenue at its peak in 2006,” according to The New York Times (Oct. 16). Over an eight year period, this very extraordinary man became an Emperor in this new land of mortgage lending, and befitting his position, was richly rewarded to the tune of “$521.5 million, according to Equilar , a compensation research firm.” One day, however, the stylishly tailored Emperor was called to Congress to answer some very serious questions about how and why this scheme came about and the great burden it now placed on ALL the people in the country wide and beautiful. (Here he is testifying before Congress in his red silk tie and suit.) Finally, in 2009, a great and powerful overseer called The Securities and Exchange Commission sued the Emperor and his colleagues, accusing them of “hiding growing risks from investors.” (This, despite the fact, that the SEC chose not to look more closely until the scheme was well underway and many, many, MANY people were affected by the bad loans.) And what did the great and powerful SEC have in its possession as evidence of this risk hiding? A series of e-mails written by the Emperor himself showed that even he did not have much faith in the scheme. “In all my years in the business, I have never seen a more toxic product.” And, “[I have] personally observed a serious lack of compliance within our origination system as it relates to documentation in the quality of loans originated.” Well, with evidence like that, what could the Emperor do? And so it happened that four days before the Emperor and his colleagues were to appear before a jury in a federal court, the Emperor with the help of many, many, MANY attorneys settled fraud charges for $67.5 million. It was determined that the Emperor “would pay $22.5 million in penalties and $45 million in ‘disgorgement,’” of stocks returned to the company’s shareholders, according to The Wall Street Journal (Oct. 16). However, in agreeing to the settlement, the Emperor “and his colleagues neither admitted nor denied the government’s charges,” so we can only conclude that the Emperor offered the money as a one-time donation to promote the good work of the great and powerful overseer. And what of the people who had subprime loans and the citizens of the country wide and beautiful who continue to carry the burden brought about by the scheme? Well, they got screwed. And the Emperor? Well, he can never, ever, EVER serve on a public company again. BUT he does get to keep all his real nice clothes as well as a lifetime of security. Jim Lichtman writes and speaks on ethics. His commentaries can be found at EthicsStupid.com .

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Sihayo Gold Limited (ASX:SIH) Defined Further Gold Mineralsation Adjacent To The Main Resource

October 14, 2010

Sihayo Gold Limited (ASX:SIH) Defined Further Gold Mineralsation Adjacent To The Main Resource

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9 Companies Cashing In On Our Doomsday Fears (PHOTOS)

October 5, 2010

These days the apocalypse is a profitable business. There’s no shortage of companies marketing to our worst fears — whether they be a nuclear doomsday, a massive food shortage or even a return to the gold standard. In fact, as Zero Hedge noted today, Costco now sells a product called THRIVE, which includes full-year’s supply of canned food, or 5,011 servings, if you’re counting. For the bargain shopper planing for the end of the world, we’ve compiled some of the more prominent products and companies that are catering to your apocalyptic needs. Check them out below: (Ron Wilson contributed to this piece.)

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In The Pipeline: CoStar Development and Construction News for Sept. 26-Oct. 2

September 28, 2010

In this week’s edition of Pipeline, the San Francisco Port Commission is seeking developers to revitalize Pier 70, a property that has been in near-continuous industrial service since the Gold Rush; apartment developer Wood Partners acquires land in…

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The 13 Worst Recessions, Depressions, and Panics In American History: 24/7 Wall Street

September 10, 2010

Most of the early US recessions — those in the late 1700s and early in the 19th Century — were based on speculation in land or commodities such as cotton. Land speculation was due in large part to assumptions about which areas of the country would be the most productive for products that ranged from crops to timber. These assumptions, in turn, were based on the location of land relative to transportation, whether by water, road or rail. Other land speculation was based more simply on where a commodity or metal could be found. Gold was discovered in California in 1848, initiating the California Gold Rush. The land which held the gold was extremely valuable for a time. That did not last — not even for a decade.

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Tom Pappalardo: Gold & Silver Trading Biggest Scam in History Financial Armageddon Could Result

September 6, 2010

For those with a good memory this is the promised follow up to my piece on the manipulation of the silver market and its very scary ramifications. Before we get into the possible end of civilization as we know it details, a recap is in order. Andrew Maguire of London blew the whistle on JP Morgan Chase’s very likely profound manipulation of the silver market to the CFTC. As financial government watchdog agencies are wont to do these days, they did their best to sweep it all under the carpet. How the SEC handled Bernie Madoff’s ponzi scheme is a prime example of this. This matter is not a ponzi scheme but it is a the largest scam ever going into the trillions of dollars territory. But back to Maguire who was quite determined to clean up the business of commodities trading. He goes public with powerful compelling evidence of JP Morgan Chase’s manipulation of the silver market. This happens on a Kingsworld radio show. The next day someone tries to kill him by ramming a car into Maguire’s car. Maguire and his wife who was also in the car are hurt pretty bad but survive. After this in their infinite wisdom the commodities watchdog the CFTC decides to have a meeting with most of the key players in commodities trading but exclude Maguire from attending. At this meeting a secret is revealed that could easily tear apart the fabric of our barely functional financial system. The secret is that for every 100 ounces of gold and for every 100 ounces of silver traded on paper there is only one actual ounce of gold and one actual once of silver to back up these trades. Given that yearly there is trillions of gold and silver traded on paper this is the literally biggest scam in the history of scams. Now the guy who let this cat out of the bag didn’t think it was a big deal using the logic that as long as the buyer was paid the value of his purchase at the time he wants to sell it doesn’t matter if his purchase was backed up by an actual commodity. This cavalier attitude does seem to reflect the mind set of people working in our financial system that everything is smoke and mirrors except the money being exchanged. It is quite possible and even probable that someone with enough financial resources and the will to do it could turn our financial system upside down and make an enormous profit from it. This person would have to have no loyalty to western currency and the financial well being of western countries. So let’s assume a very wealthy Asian wants to take a shot at getting into Bill Gates’s wealth status. From what I gather the game plan would be a simple one. That is buy enormous amounts of what I like to call the paper version of silver and gold and buy even more actual silver and gold. Then start a run on Comex by demanding to replace your paper with actual gold and silver. The next part is for me admittedly a bit fuzzy so my play by play of this could be off a bit but I believe the general idea fits the situation. Given that commodities’ trading is a relatively small community, if the player of this scenario has purchased enough of these metals and starts demanding their paper be replaced with the real thing, their demands should cut fairly deep into Comex reserves and then the rumor mill will kick in big time. It shouldn’t take long for the word to get out that there is more paper of gold and silver out than actual gold and silver exists to back it up. Once this gets on the street it should not take long for the Comex reserves to get wiped out. Then financial chaos is right around the corner. However as chaos swirls around them those that possess actual silver and gold will see their investment shoot up perhaps skyrocket in value. I believe a conservative estimate would be to rise anywhere from 2 to 4 times in value. However given the volatility of anything financial these days I fully expect it to zoom to 5 to 10 times in value. That’s the good news if you are sitting on actual gold and silver but the bad news is really really really bad because the basis for all valuation including the stock market, the dollar the euro etc. etc. is gold and silver. Remove silver and gold from the valuation process and as one financial analyst recently told me the stock market probably drops to 25 percent of its value the dollar probably loses 30 percent of its value and so on. These figures are guesswork and possibly conservative but what is not a guess is that the value of stocks, the dollar, the euro and more will lose big chunks of their value enough to throw our fragile financial system into chaos. The value of silver and gold are bedrocks for building the valuation of currencies the stock market and other financial entities. Remove a bedrock and the house comes tumbling down or at least a good part of it probably most of it. Financial Armageddon anyone, sure we have already looked that bullet in the eye and dodged it. However, many financial wizards have predicted it could still occur and none as far as I know took into account the wipeout of the silver and gold reserves. However back to the gutsy whistleblower Maguire, he was scheduled to be interviewed back when all this broke out by all the big news outlets. However, quite suddenly all of these major media sources cancelled these interviews. So unless someone you know who is into the silver market brought this to your attention, it likely went completely under your radar. Presumably, the government the wolves of Wall Street and every other financial player who has a lot to lose are working hard to keep this on the way down low for as long as possible. I can’t really blame them for this given the impending catastrophe revealing this secret will release. However the trigger for all this going public is likely the DOJ and SEC’s investigation of JP Morgan Chase’s manipulation of the silver market. Once this investigation comes to a close there has to be some consequences which the media can’t completely ignore and then the stink storm hits the fan for most of us and for those that own silver or gold their personal value jumps up quite a bit. Between silver and gold, silver gives the much stronger appearance of giving an investor a more viable short term reward. Since the DOJ and SEC started investigating JP Morgan Chase’s very likely manipulation of silver, you no longer see silver pushed down hard after it has rallied up. In fact an interesting phenomenon has taken place recently regarding silver. Silver and gold used to be joined at the hip in that both would go up and down together as a matter of course. However, silver has continued to go up regardless of when gold goes down. Even more remarkably, silver has recently continued to go up even if the stock market goes down. This shocking behavior of silver only strengthens the case that JP Morgan was manipulating the silver market. That the silver market has such staying power is not really surprising given the big picture of high deficits, a weak dollar, a weak euro. Silver stands out as a relatively safe investment perhaps the safest investment anyone with a some extra money can make. Right now its just under $20 an ounce which is a whole lot more affordable for the average person than gold at around $1250 per ounce. Obviously, if any of you readers have some money and you can afford to sit on for 6 to 18 maybe 24 months, it is my opinion that buying actual silver or gold especially silver is one hot investment. I suggest this time frame because I suspect within ½ to 2 years the investigation of JP Morgan Chase’s obvious manipulation of the silver market will be concluded and made public. The government will no doubt drag this out as long as they can which is why I foresee this possibly lasting a good 2 years. It’s also possible that within that time frame, some enterprising filthy rich person is willing to blow up the silver and gold market to make to make themselves super rich. I wouldn’t just take my word on any of this. If this subject grabs your interest I strongly recommend you listen to an interview between Andrew Maguire and Adrian Douglass of GATA. GATA is the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee and was organized in January 1999 to advocate and undertake litigation against illegal collusion to control the price and supply of gold and related financial securities. When you hear these two speak about the inevitability of the biggest fraud in the history of man being exposed you cant help but feel that its just a matter of time before what I like to call the big bang hits our financial system. One of the questions Douglass asks Maguire is why it was allowed to happen that we now only have 1 ounce of gold and 1 ounce of silver to back a 100 ounces of each that is being sold on paper. As I recall Maguire thinks it happened because at a low point it was a quicker way to juice the financial markets and eventually it all just got way out of control. I see a parallel in the steroids era of baseball and sports in general. After the baseball strike put the sport in a dark period, the lords of baseball looked the other way while some players juiced themselves up so they could hit more home runs in one season than had ever been hit before. This created a major buzz for baseball and quickly took them out of this dark period. However when the stink hit the fan baseball would be forever tarnished and would never be the same. Apparently the fools that run our government and our financial world also looked the other way and took the short term upside gambling against the long term loss. The question begs to be asked if and when this big bang hits given all the other bullshit that the protectors of all financial have allowed to be fostered upon the general populace, will said general populace ever again trust the members of the Fed Reserve, big banks the Secretary of Treasury etc etc ad nauseam ever again. There sure isn’t much left to trust so this new catastrophe ought to really wipe out any vestige of trust the peons of Main street still have for any and all of the big financial players. I doubt if this will lead to people stuffing cash into their mattresses but it will probably lead to the creation of more state run banks like the one that now exists in Montana. To any of you who read my first piece on the silver market please accept my apology for not keeping my promise of following up right away with a second piece. If you care for an explanation, at first I delayed because the BP oil spill seemed like more than enough of a major downer for everyone to handle and I didn’t want to pile on. Then I got distracted and lazy. Now after a two week vacation I feel renewed enough to finally keep my promise. Hope it was worth the wait. Lastly a note of caution given that I am recommending you readers to spend your hard earned cash on an investment, for those thinking of jumping into buying silver or gold or any investment, when contemplating making any purchase especially big ones, there are two lines not to cross. Crossing these lines is a leap from risk taking to gambling and I strongly recommend you don’t gamble with your money. In my considered opinion an action becomes a gamble when you risk something you can’t afford to lose like betting your rent money. The other line not to cross is taking unnecessary risks. I am not suggesting you should live like you are in a straight jacket but with money it’s usually best to be cautious. Taking lots of unnecessary risks can become as addictive as betting on the ponies or sports. The reason for this is both give you an adrenaline rush. The more someone takes unnecessary risks the more likely they will get burned. With that in mind please be conscious, be cautious be smart and pick your battles or risks wisely.

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PR Bait: The Most Expensive Restaurant Dish Gimmicks

July 26, 2010

It’s a simple formula: your so-so restaurant needs a pick-me-up, and your PR people think some media mentions will do the trick. You take a standard dish offering — an omelette, a bagel, a martini, a burger — and add some combination of: black truffles, foie gras, gold leaf, caviar, a diamond, etc. Add some zeros to the price, blast out a press release for the new menu item, and your fledging establish is mentioned in papers and TV news broadcasts across the country and maybe the world, and online mentions abound. It doesn’t ever need to be ordered, of course. The point is you’re SO FUN AND WILD and you can EAT THE GOLD! And there are truffles! It’s classy . So, in the half-baked hope of never again reading of a truffle’d/foie gras’d/diamond’d enter common dish here , here are 10 of the most ridiculously transparent PR bait restaurant dish gimmicks of the last few years.

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Glenn Beck’s Sponsor Goldline Under Investigation By Los Angeles D.A. For Fraud (VIDEO)

July 20, 2010

Goldline, more popularly known for its high-profile endorsements from Fox News’ Glenn Beck and former presidential candidate Mike Huckabee, is under investigation by the Los Angeles County District Attorney’s office and was the subject of Monday night’s “Nightline” on ABC . Authorities in Los Angeles began the investigation after receiving over 100 complaints from consumers who claimed to have lost thousands of dollars after investing with Goldline and Superior Gold Group, a company based out of Santa Monica, California. Adam Radinsky, Santa Monica City Deputy Attorney, whose office is partnering with investigators in L.A., spoke with “Nightline” about the types of complaints that consumers were making: There are two main types of complaints we’re seeing. One is that customers say that they were lied to and misled in entering into their purchases of gold coins. And the other group is saying that they received something different from what they had ordered. The problem is allegedly with the antique gold coins that Goldline sells as a part of their investing scheme. Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-N.Y.), who is hoping to conduct a congressional investigation into the gold company, also spoke with “Nightline”: Once they get people on the phone, they basically steer them into these so-called collectible coins, and that’s where the rip-off becomes really profound. The companies spokespeople declined to speak with “Nightline” but issued a statement to ABC citing the transparency of their prices and that customers know and understand the risks involved before they invest. WATCH:

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David Isenberg: The GAO Transcripts, Part 11: Back in The Iraqi PMC Gold Rush Days

July 10, 2010

This is the eleventh installment of the Government Accountability Office interview transcripts that were prepared pursuant to the July 2005 GAO report ” Rebuilding Iraq: Actions Needed To Improve Use of Private Security Providers .” This transcript is noteworthy for its reference to the letter from the old Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) to Congressman Ike Skelton (D-MO). Back in 2004 in response to his request for a count of private military contractors in Iraq the CPA did compile a report listing 60 PMCs with an aggregate total of 20,000 personnel. That number included U.S. citizens, third-country nationals and Iraqis. But even back then the CPA list was obviously incomplete, missing, for example, CACI and Titan personnel, both implicated in the Abu Ghraib prison torture scandal. Remember that these were the gold rush days for PMCS. As the transcript says, “Many companies get into Iraq whichever way they can and then register later.” As the transcript makes clear it is no wonder that the CPA was so ill-prepared to answer questions on PMCS . Until _______________ assumed his position in Iraq, _______________ stated that there wasn’t anyone dealing with PSC issues or tracking their presence in Iraq. No regulations existed which required PSC to meet with him or coordinate with the CPA. Essentially, _______________ as at the mercy of the PSCs and could only meet with those companies that volunteered to meet with him. Standard disclaimer: I have put in ( _____ ) to reflect those words of phrases which have been blacked out in the transcript. I have also put in the underlining as it appeared in the original transcript. As in the transcript, I have left out letters from various words, even when it seems obvious what the word is. Prepared by: Kate Walker Index: Type bundle index here Date Prepared: August 17, 2004 DOC Number: Type document number here Reviewed bye Type, reviewer name here DOC Library: Type library name here Job Code: 350544 Record of Interview Title Regulation of PSC in Iraq Purpose To learn more about CPA regulation of PSC Contact Method Face to face Contact Place Pentagon Contact Date August 10, 2004 Participants _______________ _______________ Steve Sternlieb, Director, DCM, GAO Carole Coffey, AIC, DCM, GAO Kate Walker, Analyst, GAO Comments/Remarks: _______________ et with us to discuss their knowledge of CPA provisions for private security contractors (PSCs), orks for the _______________ PCO), formerly known as the Project Management Office (1 MO). The PCO is a Department of the Army that serves as an operations intelligence center for military based in Iraq. The PCO is responsible for executing the $1.4B Iraqi reconstruction fund. Prior to working for the PCC _______________ was in the intelligence community for a number of years and later moved into the private sector working in international corporate finance accounting or the past fourteen months, he has been working on Iraq issues. He is currently the _______________ PCO. _______________wrote the _______________ He worked with _______________CPA employee that attempted to address PSC issues in Iraq, on this letter. _______________ no longer on the CPA staff or working for the PCO. She explained that she was not a contracting officer; rather she was a _______________ ocusing specifically on timelines. _______________ orked fo: _______________ fore coming to the CPA. When she left the CPA, she went to work for the Army. Tracking PSCs in Iraq _______________ stated that the list of companies providing private security in Iraq in the response letter from the CPA to Congressman Skelton was a guess because there is no database that holds PSC information in Iraq. The companies listed where drawn from _______________ experience with contractors in Iraq. _______________ thinks that the State Department (DOS) might have some records, but believes their information to be very limited. In addition, he finds the embassy headcounts of PSC personnel to be inefficient because many PSC personnel only in the country for a short time fail to report their presence. _______________believes that Army counts on PSCs are inaccurate. Many companies get into Iraq whichever way they can and then register later. _______________ holds that it would be difficult to report on the number of PSC in Iraq because no one source holds the entire universe of contractors in the CENTCOM AOR. In addition, of the data that could be collected, we still wouldn’t know what kind of error existed in the data and could not separate security contractors from other contractors. Page 1 Record of Interview Until _______________ assumed his position in Iraq, _______________ stated that there wasn’t anyone dealing with PSC issues or tracking their presence in Iraq. No regulations existed which required PSC to meet with him or coordinate with the CPA. Essentially, _______________ as at the mercy of the PSCs and could only meet with those companies that volunteered to meet with him. By default, _______________ became the hub of information for PSC. From _______________ erspective, PSCs were not a part of CJTF7′s purview; PSCs were shut out. _______________was the first to implement registration for PSCs and their weapons; he issued weapons cards in accordance with CPA Order 3. Under ism, command, PSCs also had to register with the PMO or sector PMO (he PMO is now the PCO per _______________ PSC did not have to register information on home country nationals (HCN). To help bridge the information gap that PSC faced, _______________ ranged an informal weekly social event at the Palace for PSCs to gather and share any intelligence they had gathered. _______________ also utilized email newsletters to update and inform participating PSCs of any intelligence he received from either other PSCs or his contacts in the military. Any intelligence that he received was not attributed to its contributor. Since _______________ taken on the onus of information sharing for PSC _______________ indicated that some PSCs garnered information informally through their contacts in the military. Official contacts in the military for PSCs, however, were few, and far between. In addition to _______________ previous and ______________________________ current efforts, _______________ is running a fusion center for PSCs. The PCO also recently awarded a contract to _______________ create and implement a defense communication system for sharing operational and intelligence information between the military and PSCs. _______________ eports that, as it stands now, the military does not know what is happening on the ground with regard to the movement of PSCs. Memorandum 17 Memorandum 17 was created by _______________ a member of the MOI staff in order to address the lack of licensing or registration required for private security contractors. Memorandum 17 also addressed concerns that insurgents might use PSCs as a cover that would allow them to commit subversive acts. _______________ esigned Memorandum 17 to include a number of hurdles that he believed legitimate PSCs could overcome easily. Under Memorandum 17, PSC are required to 1) submit information to sector PMOs, 2) obtain a business license from the MOT and 3) get an operating license from the MOI. Memorandum 17 also increases the training requirement for PSC personnel. _______________ eports that these standards will be tougher for mid- and lower-tier companies to obtain. Upper-tier companies should have no problems meeting these requirements. The point of these hurdles was not to overly burden PSCs, but rather to keep out illegitimate PSC. While Mr. _______________ cknowledges that Memorandum 17′s requirements are slightly burdensome, he does not think that they are overly stringent. Rather, he believes the regulations reflect the typical type of hurdles that companies face in 3rd world countries, given his background in international business. Memorandum 17 was also created to better address the fact that Iraq is becoming an individual nation and serves as a baseline for Iraq. Memorandum 17 also gives PSC personnel immunity while they are on duty in Iraq. If they are off-duty and commit a crime, however, they will be held liable to Iraqi law. In conjunction with Memorandum 17, a guidebook for PSC has been put together, but has not yet been released. _______________ sure that MOMVIOT is at the point to address Memorandum 17 now, but said that _______________ uld know better. _______________inks that they probably do not have the capability. Page 2 Record of Interview Communication In the past, communication has been a definite problem for PSCs. _______________ eports that a more robust system for dedicating frequencies is now in place, making it easier for PSC to get their own frequency band. _______________ eported that PSCs have contact information for military officials and that the military is accessible via telephone and cellular modes. _______________ d not, however, know how often and under what circumstances PSCs call and request military aid. What the Military Provides _______________ found that the military helped PSCs to the extent to which they could afford. He also believes that the military would be more inclined to help higher profile contracts. The general sentiment among military officials is that most contractors have their own security or subcontracted for security, so military aid was not necessary. _______________ssumes that military approaches to PSCs are partially personality driven. Convoy security and aid from the military are few and far between. _______________ said that more experienced PSCs will sometimes put convoys together with other PSC. _______________ lso reported that PSCs that met with him were coming up with their own escape plans because DOS was wrapped up in itself. He suggested that we talk to people on the ground in Iraq to get a clearer picture of how the military operates with PSCs. CPA Usage of PSC The CPA used contract security extensively at its 8-10 compounds around Iraq. As the CPA facility is going away, the organization no longer needs PSC contracts. All but four former contractors with the CPA have lost their jobs; DOS overtook the contracts of those that are still employed. Incident Reporting When PSCs come under attack, they can file situation reports (sitreps) on the SIPRnet. These reports typically cover rocket attacks, mortar rounds, convoy attacks, etc. These sitreps are not comprehensive, however, as _______________ elieves there to be a large degree of underreporting. _______________ ontract There are a lot of concerns among PSCs about the leadership of the _______________ and their background. _______________ recalls tha _______________ a strong proposal. (Analyst note: We requested a copy of the contract from _______________ _______________ uggested that we contact: o _______________ works with contractors accompanying the force. o _______________MOI employee that wrote Memorandum 17. o _______________ DOS contact that deals with PSCs in Iraq, etc. Page 3 Record of Interview

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Richard Barrington: Look Before You Leap: There Are Dangers Outside the Stock Market Too

June 30, 2010

“Stop the market–I want to get off.” No one could blame you if you felt that way. From the beginning of April through mid-June, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had 15 days in which it lost over 100 points each. It was scant comfort that there were also 11 days during that span in which the Dow gained over 100 points. That’s simply served to underscore the erratic behavior of the stock market in recent weeks, and kept investors focused more on risk than reward . When risk is on people’s minds, they start to look for safer harbors: calm places where they can put money until the stock market settles down. However, it is important to examine each alternative from a risk management standpoint–otherwise, you may not find the safety you’re looking for. Alternatives to the Stock Market Here are some examples of the pros and cons of popular alternatives to stocks: Gold and other commodities. When markets are ailing, gold is often sold as something as of a wonder drug. However, the gold bubble looks hauntingly like the dot-com bubble, the real estate bubble and the oil bubble that preceded it. Even some commentators who are bullish on gold describe it as a bubble that will get bigger before it pops, but playing chicken with the financial markets is no way to find a safe harbor. Commodities have their place, especially as an inflation hedge under current circumstances. But don’t overload on any one commodity, because commodities can be every bit as volatile as stocks. With everyone’s favorite commodity having already tripled in price over the past decade, don’t fall for fool’s gold . Bonds. Since bonds and stocks often (but by no means always) move in different directions, bonds are a popular safe haven when the stock market gets scary. Even so, pay particular attention to who is issuing the bond. Corporate bonds may expose you to the same economic risks as stocks. Municipal bonds are a minefield of budget difficulties. Concentrate on general obligation bonds of fiscally sound municipalities with growing tax bases. US Treasury bonds are the safest call, but with short-term yields under 20 basis points (0.20%), they don’t offer you much beyond safety. Longer-term Treasuries have higher yields, but their prices can fluctuate more, so there is no guarantee you’ll be able to sell them at a good price when you are ready to go back into stocks. Savings, money market accounts, and other deposit vehicles. As long as you stay within FDIC limits (currently $250,000 per depositor per institution, and it looks like that number might become permanent), deposit accounts offer true safety, and bank rates are a little bit higher than short-term Treasury rates. Still, even plain-vanilla deposit accounts require smart shopping. Even though long-term CD rates are likely to be the highest bank rates you see, in this situation you shouldn’t lock your money into a long-term CD unless the penalty for early withdrawal is negligible. Otherwise, you might not be able to get at your money when you are ready to get back into the stock market. As a general rule, money market rates tend to run higher than savings account rates , and they reward you especially well for opening a jumbo account ($100,000 or more). No matter which account type you choose, be sure to shop around–bank rates vary greatly from one institution to another and are subject to frequent changes. Going with the first savings account you see could very well mean you’re leaving free money on the table. Beyond the individual advantages and disadvantages of the above alternatives, keep in mind that making wholesale moves in and out of the market is also inherently risky. Market timing doesn’t work, but sensible, value-based asset allocation can be an effective investment approach. Try to make your moves in and out of the market incrementally, selling more when prices are up and buying more when prices are down. And, when you do pull money out of the market, make sure you are moving towards safety and liquidity rather than more risk. The original post can be found at MoneyRates.com: Look Before You Leap: There Are Dangers Outside of the Stock Market Too

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Paul Jay: Canadian Gold Company Sues El Salvador for $100 Million

June 20, 2010

Canadian mining company, Pacific Rim, is in court suing the government of El Salvador for 100 million dollars. It claims that by not awarding the company an exploitation permit for its proposed gold mine, the tiny country is in breach of the Central American Free Trade Agreement (known as CAFTA). Canada is not a signatory to the trade agreement, so the Vancouver-based company is filing the suit through it’s US subsidiary, Pac Rim Cayman, which it moved from the Cayman Islands to Nevada in December 2007. In the slim coverage that has come out around the case, few have attempted to answer the question as to how the case got this far? How did the dispute travel from the hills of Northern El Salvador to the halls of Washington, DC? One year ago today, teacher Marcelo Rivera disappeared. His body was found two weeks later at the bottom of a well, miles away from his home in the town of San Isidro. His body was found with clear signs of torture, such as missing fingernails. San Isidro is also home to Pacific Rim’s flagship property, El Dorado, which the company has been fighting to open for years. Rivera was a key leader in the grassroots anti-mining movement that has stood in the way of that mine. Why did so many of the people of San Isidro oppose the Canadian mine? Ask Marcelo Rivera’s brother Miguel, who was in Washington, DC last month for the start of the CAFTA hearing at the World Bank. He’s not allowed to participate in the trial, nor even sit in on it, despite knowing the case better than any of the DC-based lawyers in the room. While in DC Miguel goes from meeting, to interview, to press conference, being asked to provide details on the various ways he and his community feel they have been affected by the proposed mine. He tells of radio journalists receiving death threats, a priest attacked while driving his car, mayors admitting they accepted money from the company. The stories are endless. Miguel describes the gold mining process including the use of cyanide, release of heavy metals like arsenic and mercury, loss of water access – El Salvador is already tied with Haiti for the least access to potable water in the hemisphere. He tells of how he and his brother decided to oppose the project after a trip to a gold mine in neighboring Honduras. He talks of the horrific skin defects he saw on the babies in Honduras’ Siria Valley. Why isn’t San Isidro’s mine open today? How did a community of poor farmers create a movement with enough support that it pressured the government of El Salvador to refuse to permit Pacific Rim’s mining operation? Miguel speaks of Wilfred Lainez. A hip-hop artist known as MC Lethal, Lainez is legally blind from untreated glaucoma. He has captured the energy of San Isidro’s youth with his rhymes about the dangers of mining and other social issues in the community. Miguel chuckles as he tells of the time Pacific Rim sponsored a soccer tournament in the community. Marcelo, Miguel, and others put in a team wearing jerseys that said “No to Mining” on the back. Much to the company’s chagrin, the team won the tournament, thereby ruining the company’s planned photo-op with the winners. He talks proudly of the mural painted by local youths at one of San Isidro’s highway entrances. It depicts a bulldozer with a Canadian flag looking over a post-mining apocalypse of dead trees and dry rivers. On the other side is a farmer leaving town with his emaciated cow and a businessman counting his gold bricks. The farmer is presumably headed to the overcrowded city, or to work in the United States or Canada. It must be noted that Pacific Rim has never been directly linked to the murder of Marcelo Rivera, or the two other anti-Pacific Rim activists who were killed in 2009. Pacific Rim has stated they had no involvement of any kind in the murders. Ramiro Rivera (no relation), declared in an interview with The Real News in May of 2008 that he expected to be killed for his opposition to mining, and that he was already receiving death threats. He survived 8 shots in the back in August 2009. In December he was shot dead while under police protection. Ramiro told us in 2008 that the violence was a result of the money Pacific Rim pumped into communities. He accused the company of hiring his friends and family as promoters, and buying-off mayors and police. The other activist murdered was Dora Sorto Recinos, she was 8-months pregnant at the time she was shot dead. She was killed one year and a half after her husband Santos lost two fingers in a machete attack at the hands of a neighbour who had been hired to promote Pacific Rim. But Ramiro and Dora were more than victims they were active participants. Before their murders, they helped organize three road blockades that successfully stopped company drilling equipment from entering their region. With meager resources, El Salvador’s anti-mining activists pressured not one, but two Salvadoran presidents to refuse Pacific Rim’s permits. Now they find themselves continuing their battle in Washington, fighting a “free trade” agreement that allows an international corporation to punish their country for taking a stand in defense of its people. Will Pacific Rim be successful in using the World Bank trial to punish El Salvador, collecting 100 million dollars? The public health system in El Salvador runs just over 350 million dollars annually, by far the largest single item in the budget. Will the Canadian government hide behind the myth of Canada the righteous global citizen, or will it take on the actuality of the global abuses of the Canadian mining industry? Sixty percent of the world’s mining companies are registered in Canada, yet there is not a single Canadian law regulating their activities abroad. This blog was written together with my colleague at TRNN, Jesse Freeston. You can watch Jesse’s report on the Pacific Rim controversy here .

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Paul Jay: Canadian Gold Company Sues El Salvador for $100 Million

June 20, 2010

Canadian mining company, Pacific Rim, is in court suing the government of El Salvador for 100 million dollars. It claims that by not awarding the company an exploitation permit for its proposed gold mine, the tiny country is in breach of the Central American Free Trade Agreement (known as CAFTA). Canada is not a signatory to the trade agreement, so the Vancouver-based company is filing the suit through it’s US subsidiary, Pac Rim Cayman, which it moved from the Cayman Islands to Nevada in December 2007. In the slim coverage that has come out around the case, few have attempted to answer the question as to how the case got this far? How did the dispute travel from the hills of Northern El Salvador to the halls of Washington, DC? One year ago today, teacher Marcelo Rivera disappeared. His body was found two weeks later at the bottom of a well, miles away from his home in the town of San Isidro. His body was found with clear signs of torture, such as missing fingernails. San Isidro is also home to Pacific Rim’s flagship property, El Dorado, which the company has been fighting to open for years. Rivera was a key leader in the grassroots anti-mining movement that has stood in the way of that mine. Why did so many of the people of San Isidro oppose the Canadian mine? Ask Marcelo Rivera’s brother Miguel, who was in Washington, DC last month for the start of the CAFTA hearing at the World Bank. He’s not allowed to participate in the trial, nor even sit in on it, despite knowing the case better than any of the DC-based lawyers in the room. While in DC Miguel goes from meeting, to interview, to press conference, being asked to provide details on the various ways he and his community feel they have been affected by the proposed mine. He tells of radio journalists receiving death threats, a priest attacked while driving his car, mayors admitting they accepted money from the company. The stories are endless. Miguel describes the gold mining process including the use of cyanide, release of heavy metals like arsenic and mercury, loss of water access – El Salvador is already tied with Haiti for the least access to potable water in the hemisphere. He tells of how he and his brother decided to oppose the project after a trip to a gold mine in neighboring Honduras. He talks of the horrific skin defects he saw on the babies in Honduras’ Siria Valley. Why isn’t San Isidro’s mine open today? How did a community of poor farmers create a movement with enough support that it pressured the government of El Salvador to refuse to permit Pacific Rim’s mining operation? Miguel speaks of Wilfred Lainez. A hip-hop artist known as MC Lethal, Lainez is legally blind from untreated glaucoma. He has captured the energy of San Isidro’s youth with his rhymes about the dangers of mining and other social issues in the community. Miguel chuckles as he tells of the time Pacific Rim sponsored a soccer tournament in the community. Marcelo, Miguel, and others put in a team wearing jerseys that said “No to Mining” on the back. Much to the company’s chagrin, the team won the tournament, thereby ruining the company’s planned photo-op with the winners. He talks proudly of the mural painted by local youths at one of San Isidro’s highway entrances. It depicts a bulldozer with a Canadian flag looking over a post-mining apocalypse of dead trees and dry rivers. On the other side is a farmer leaving town with his emaciated cow and a businessman counting his gold bricks. The farmer is presumably headed to the overcrowded city, or to work in the United States or Canada. It must be noted that Pacific Rim has never been directly linked to the murder of Marcelo Rivera, or the two other anti-Pacific Rim activists who were killed in 2009. Pacific Rim has stated they had no involvement of any kind in the murders. Ramiro Rivera (no relation), declared in an interview with The Real News in May of 2008 that he expected to be killed for his opposition to mining, and that he was already receiving death threats. He survived 8 shots in the back in August 2009. In December he was shot dead while under police protection. Ramiro told us in 2008 that the violence was a result of the money Pacific Rim pumped into communities. He accused the company of hiring his friends and family as promoters, and buying-off mayors and police. The other activist murdered was Dora Sorto Recinos, she was 8-months pregnant at the time she was shot dead. She was killed one year and a half after her husband Santos lost two fingers in a machete attack at the hands of a neighbour who had been hired to promote Pacific Rim. But Ramiro and Dora were more than victims they were active participants. Before their murders, they helped organize three road blockades that successfully stopped company drilling equipment from entering their region. With meager resources, El Salvador’s anti-mining activists pressured not one, but two Salvadoran presidents to refuse Pacific Rim’s permits. Now they find themselves continuing their battle in Washington, fighting a “free trade” agreement that allows an international corporation to punish their country for taking a stand in defense of its people. Will Pacific Rim be successful in using the World Bank trial to punish El Salvador, collecting 100 million dollars? The public health system in El Salvador runs just over 350 million dollars annually, by far the largest single item in the budget. Will the Canadian government hide behind the myth of Canada the righteous global citizen, or will it take on the actuality of the global abuses of the Canadian mining industry? Sixty percent of the world’s mining companies are registered in Canada, yet there is not a single Canadian law regulating their activities abroad. This blog was written together with my colleague at TRNN, Jesse Freeston. You can watch Jesse’s report on the Pacific Rim controversy here .

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Gold Sales to Europe Jump on Greek Sovereign-Debt Crisis, Perth Mint Says

June 3, 2010

By Jason Scott June 4 (Bloomberg) — Gold sales to Europe from the Perth Mint surged in May as the Greek sovereign-debt crisis triggered a flight to haven investments, draining stockpiles at the producer of 6 percent of the world’s bullion. Buyers from the continent accounted for 69 percent of gold- coin purchases last month compared with 51 percent a year ago, said Ron Currie, sales and marketing director. Individual German investors also bought silver, seeking to protect their wealth with “poor man’s gold,” Currie said from Western Australia. Greece’s fiscal crisis roiled financial markets worldwide, driving the euro lower. Gold reached a record in May as sovereign-debt risks escalated. The mint is working at full capacity with 20 percent more staff than a year ago, Currie said. “As soon as it was announced the European Commission was bailing out Greece, the German population decided they’d better hedge their euros by buying precious metals,” Currie said in an interview yesterday. “We had stock before this blip in the market, then it all went.” Spot gold traded at $1,207.80 an ounce at 7:44 a.m. in Singapore today compared with last month’s record of $1,249.40 and $1,096.95 at the end of last year. The precious metal has gained for nine straight years. Silver, which peaked this year at $19.8275 an ounce on May 13, traded today at $17.9925. ‘Safety of Gold’ “Anyone throughout Europe who understands how the euro is being debased is seeking the safety of gold,” said James Turk , founder of GoldMoney.com, an online gold-buying and storage service that has passed $1 billion of customer assets. The metal may advance further next week, a Bloomberg survey showed. “The gold market in Europe, and particularly in Germany, has just taken off,” Currie said from the 111-year-old mint, which was founded on the back of a gold rush in the state that accounts for 62 percent of the nation’s mineral production. “People in Germany are buying silver, which leads me to believe it’s the moms and pops stocking up on ‘poor man’s gold’,” said Currie. “They could be storing it in their homes or burying it in their gardens.” The mint , controlled by the Western Australian government, has 300 staff and doubled capacity in the past 18 months, Currie said, declining to give a total output figure for coins and bars, or the value of the bullion stored on behalf of buyers. Investors can opt to buy and store gold at the mint, or buy coins to hold themselves. ‘Greeks Changed Everything’ “We came off the highs of the global crisis, we were rolling along at a steady pace for a while and the Greeks changed everything,” said Currie. Standard & Poor’s cut Greece’s rating to junk status on April 27. The rush for bullion in May at the Perth Mint was matched overseas. The U.S. Mint sold 190,000 ounces of American Eagle gold coins last month, the most since December. CME Group Inc. , the world’s largest futures market, said gold-futures trading rose to a record in May. Gold trading on the Comex unit was 4.82 million contracts, exceeding the 4.57 million record set in January, the Chicago-based CME said June 2. “Sales have come off the highs of the global financial crisis, but they haven’t fallen anywhere near to where they were before the crisis,” Currie said. In the 12 months to June 30, sales of the mint’s 1-ounce Kangaroo and other gold coins may fall by about 16 percent to about 350,000 ounces from the year before, Currie said. Silver will match that drop even as sales of that metal spiked in the past two months, he said. ‘Volatile Market’ “It’s a volatile market and you can’t pick what’s going to happen from day to day,” Currie said. “The Indian market isn’t what it was, jewelry sales are down, but the ETFS are up and the overall gold price is still high. Our assumption is that volatility will continue.” Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, rose to a record 1,268.23 tons on June 2. India’s gold imports may reach a 12-month low of 15 tons to 17 tons in May as rising prices slowed imports, the Business Standard reported yesterday, citing Suresh Hundia, president of the Bombay Bullion Association. Western Australia produces 6 percent of the world’s gold, valued at A$5 billion in the year to June 30, 2009, according to state government figures. The mint processes all the gold mined in Australia as well as imports of scrap from overseas, Currie said. To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Scott in Perth at jscott14@bloomberg.net

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Dan Dorfman: Hey, This Bullet-Proof Vest Doesn’t Work

May 24, 2010

Hey, what’s up with gold, supposedly the bullet-proof investment when things look like they’re going to hell (like now)? Somehow, the script got screwed up. Instead of roaring, gold is crawling, and not only that, it’s going backwards to boot. After tripling since 2001 and steadily ballooning in recent years to an all-time high a couple of weeks ago of $1,250.40 an ounce — about a 50% jump from its 2007 close of $833 and nearly a 15% gain from last year’s wrapup of $1,098.60 — the yellow metal is starting to tarnish. Last week alone, it dropped $54.40 or 4.4%. Granted, nothing goes up forever, but the sudden retreat by the investment darling of the flight-to- safety crowd into the $1,100s — coupled with growing predictions of more erosion ahead — seems totally out of line, given a slew of gold-buying catalysts. These include: –Europe’s worsening sovereign debt crisis. –A growing number of forecasts that Greece will default. –Swelling currency concerns, led by the collapsing Euro. –French President Sarkozy’s threat to pull France out of the Euro. –Burgeoning money printing world-wide, a sure harbinger of future inflation. –Fears that the European debt crisis will lead to a faltering global recovery, maybe even a recession. –Our exploding debt and deficit. –A warning by former Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill that the U.S. could go the way of Greece, that “if we don’t change course, we could become a basket case ourself.” –Increasing worries about bonds, including long-term U.S. Treasuries. –An increasingly erratic U.S. stock market, characterized by growing daily triple-digit losses in the Dow Industrials and the recent nasty one-day decline in the Dow of nearly 1,000 points. Actually, given world-wide financial turmoil and no indication of any let-up in sight, some gold traders think the metal should already be commanding a price tag of around $2,000. But even some bulls see additional weakness, with the metal, currently around $1,192, seen falling over the near term to $1,120 and perhaps even retesting $1,000. One concern, as a number of gold experts see it, is a worrisome contrary indicator, namely there are way too many bulls. “It’s a crowded trade on the upside,” says Larry Edelson, who monitors precious metals trends for Weiss Research in Jupiter, Fla. and notes that sentiment readings show 98% of investors are bullish on gold. “Near term, it’s putting in a little top, says Edelson, who thinks the metal could drop to the $1,130-$1,150 range. One reason, he believes, that gold is being negatively impacted short term is stepped-up overseas demand for the U.S. dollar for safety purposes, although Edelson views such buying as tantamount “to jumping from the frying pan into the fire.” Although concerned about the near term outlook for gold, the analyst takes a far more positive view beyond that, arguing that it’s surely headed higher. Pointing in particular to the collapsing Euro and growing financial distress in the U.S., Edelson sees gold subsequently rising to $1,500 this year and on to $2,300 in 2011. As another positive for the metal, he notes that gold, before its recent spell of weakness, has been climbing even in the face of a rising greenback. “That’s proof positive of a crisis in the fiat currency system,” says Edelson. Taking a longer term view, he thinks gold should be part of every investor’s portfolio. His favorite is the physical gold itself, which can be purchased from such well known outfits as Monex; Manfra, Tordello and Brookes, a New York bullion dealer, and Kitco.com., an online dealer. As for individual stocks, he goes for the biggies, notably Barrick Gold., Goldcorp., and Newmont Mining. A fella who has made some excellent up and down calls on the direction of gold prices — in fact, he accurately predicted the recent weakness — is Mark Leibovit, editor of the VR Gold Letter in Sedona, Ariz. He drew my attention to several recent negative technical signs that suggest gold could continue its recent drop to around $1,060 an ounce, which would be equivalent to an overall retreat of say 15%. which Leibovit contends would represent a buying opportunity. One of those signs was what he calls a reversal pattern, which occurred when gold rose to higher highs during one recent trading session and then reversed to lower lows the following day. Another red flag was the failure of a couple of gold indexes — the Gold Bugs Index and the Philadelphia Gold Index — to accompany and confirm the metal’s recent rise to record highs. Leibovit cited the possibility of a strengthening Euro, which could hurt gold, maybe even lead to a retesting of the $1,000 price tag, but he thought a more likely course was the fear that the European debt crisis might expand, leading instead to a higher gold price. In any event, he thinks the wind is at gold’s back and views $2,000 or $3,000 as only a matter of time. A HuffPost reader in Brisbane, Australia, Cornel Campeanu, a chartist at Techpro.au.Com, e-mailed me with an entirely different scenario. Based on his work, he believes we are a short time away from a meltdown of biblical proportions in mining stocks, with such names as BH Billiton and Rio Tinto leading the charge. As for gold, he sees a potential drop of hundreds of dollars an ounce, preceded by a possible near term drop to $1,120. Campeanu, it should be duly noted, is spouting contrarian views. Most market pros I talk to overwhelmingly feel that long term, the outlook for gold remains golden. What do you think? E-mail me at Dandordan@aol.com

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Nathan Lewis: How to Buy Real Gold

April 12, 2010

If you’ve been following any of the hair-raising stories about the gold bullion market, you are probably thinking about how to own real gold, instead of “paper gold.” There are a few simple rules when it comes to owning gold: 1) Gold is metal. If you can’t hold a block of metal in your hand within 24 hours, you don’t own gold. 2) Everyone’s a damn crook. If you observe those two rules, you’ll do fine. First, how to buy real gold? The following suggestions will pertain for individual holdings of $1000 up to about $10 million. If you want institutional size, you should find better advice than a column on the Huffington Post . The usual caveats apply. This is not a recommendation to buy gold. This is a suggestion on how to buy gold. For a while, it was possible to take delivery on Comex futures contracts. These days, I’d say don’t press your luck. Go to a reputable gold dealer. I would suggest the Tulving Company at tulving.com or Blanchard and Company at blanchardonline.com. These dealers have been around for years, and do big business with tight margins. All gold is the same. You want to pay as little for it as possible. You should be very aware of the “premium” you are paying to “spot.” “Spot” is the price for very large accounts, trading in 400oz. institutional bars. (Ideally – reality can be a bit different.) In small sizes, from a dealer, you have to pay a little more. The dealer has to pay for his business, and that comes from buying low and selling high – the “spread.” Tulving is selling new kilobars (about 33 troy oz.) direct from the smelter for $8.95/oz. over spot. Since gold is about $1150 today , that is about a 0.78% premium. Plus, it includes free shipping. If you ask, either Tulving or Blanchard might have some larger 100oz. and 400oz. bars available. Tulving says they shipped $285 million dollars of precious metals in 2009, and $5.3 million on February 4, 2010 alone. So, they won’t flinch at your $1 million or $2 million order. For a 1 oz. Krugerrand, the premium is $29.95/coin. There are two additional costs here – one is for the dealer, and one is for the minting of the coin. It comes out to a 2.60% premium. That’s not bad. If you’re paying more than this, you’re paying too much. Dealers like Tulving and Blanchard have insurance that covers delivery to and from the dealer. So, if they send something to you, it is insured under their policy until it arrives at your door. I’ve sent 100oz. gold bars via Fedex. Insured, of course. Get it in writing if you’re nervous. Now you hold some gold in your hand. Where to store it? From time immemorial, people have stored gold at their residences. People are still unearthing gold hoards from Roman-era manors. Wealthy French stored gold at their estates during World War II. Bury it, or hide it somehow. Don’t tell anyone about it of course. If you don’t like that solution, the only other solution I would suggest (not counting overseas options) is to use an independent depository. I suggest First State Depository , in Wilmington, Delaware. There might be a comparable solution on the West Coast. Do not use any depository affiliated with a bank or the Comex. This means Scotia Moccatta, HSBC, Brinks, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, UBS etc. etc. Don’t ask your dealer to “hold it for you.” I wouldn’t use bank safe deposit boxes. Apparently, during the S&L crisis in the early 1990s when many Texas banks failed, the contents of bank safe deposit boxes were confiscated. Was that “legal”? Who knows. Who cares. It happened. With a “real” depository like First State, you can make an appointment to visit (“audit”) your gold on 24 hours’ notice. Go there and hold it in your hand. Check the serial numbers and specific weights if you like. See Rule #1. You should be able to hold your gold in your hand within 24 hours. The “dubious” depositories, such as the Comex depositories, do not allow you to visit your gold. They used to provide information on serial numbers and specific weights, on paper warehouse certificates. However, they have phased out the warehouse certificates as well. Besides, the service stinks. You can wait weeks to get delivery of your gold, compared to hours from a real depository. How many more red flags do you need? (See Rule #1 and Rule #2.) The storage fees charged by a “real” depository are the same as those of a “dubious” depository, and also the fees on ETFs. It doesn’t cost any more. It’s just a lot better. Want to hear some horror stories? Listen to this interview with someone who personally visited the Scotia Moccatta depository. If you listen to something like this and don’t take delivery on your gold and silver, you are a moron. The iShares Comex Gold Trust, an ETF with the ticker IAU, claims to be holding 1.4 million ounces of gold apparently in this Toronto vault. However, the eyewitness account only saw 89,000 ounces! If you like, you can have a dealer like Blanchard send your gold directly to a depository like First State. Of course, the depository is also insured. So, the entire chain of delivery and storage is fully insured. Since I’m extra-paranoid, I have also had my bullion examined for tungsten counterfeits. You might want to politely inform your dealer that you plan to examine all incoming bullion for fakes. They are less likely to send you anything “suspicious” that way. Analyst Rob Kirby has released a detailed account of the tungsten counterfeit scam, including names and places. For the visually inclined, here’s a report on German television showing a 500g tungsten fake identified by Heraeus, one of the world’s premier gold smelters. Fortunately, avoiding counterfeit scams is now pretty easy, with the help of a company called Bullion Analysis Inc. (bullionanalysis.com) In the old days, up to about nine months ago, if you wanted to assay your gold, you had to either drill it for samples or send the whole bar out to a lab or smelter. Ugh. Bullion Analysis has a new, non-invasive technique that will detect even the recent high-quality tungsten phonies that have been floating about. Bullion Analysis Inc. is located in Virginia, just a short drive from First State in Delaware. You can make an appointment for them to travel with their equipment to First State, rather than sending the bullion to Virginia. They can do all the analysis on-site. For those of you with hundreds or thousands of 400oz. institutional bars, I would put those Bullion Analysis technicians on a plane pronto. If you own shares of stock, you have to sell on the stock exchange. However, you can sell gold bullion to anyone. For example, if you have some gold at First State, you might be able to ask around at investment advisers and wealth managers to see if anyone would like to buy your gold, without it leaving the depository. Then you could sell it for the highest possible price, and not have to ship it. Otherwise, you can sell to a large dealer like Tulving or Blanchard, for close to the spot price. Don’t use any advertised “cash for gold” outfits, which normally offer horrible prices. Lots of people sell 1 oz. coins on eBay. If this sounds like too much hassle and expense for you, I’d look into “hybrid” systems like Bullionvault (bullionvault.com) and Goldmoney (goldmoney.com). They are much less likely to be crooks – in my opinion – than any bank-affiliated organization. (See Rule #2.) In any case, stay away from all “paper gold” schemes like ETFs, futures, pooled accounts, and anything offered by a bank or London Bullion Market Association member. This is all a lot easier than it sounds – as long as you don’t try to trade it too much. It’s a lot safer than any brokerage account. That has always been one of the main attractions of gold bullion: ultimate safety.

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Leighton Woodhouse: WellPoint Still Doesn’t Get It

April 3, 2010

If you want to understand why Americans are so outraged by obscene executive compensation levels in a time of severe economic malaise, consider not just the 51% bump awarded to WellPoint CEO Angela Braly for her performance at a time when the insurance behemoth prepared to raise rates on policyholders in California by as much as 39%. Consider, as well, the pro forma excuses offered by her company flacks. According to the Los Angeles Times , Braly’s total compensation shot up from $8.7 million to $13.1 million last year. At least three other executives there did just as well, with raises of up to 75 percent. Meanwhile, 800,000 individual policyholders in California are learning of this good news for WellPoint executives a month before their own insurance rates are set to spike by double digits – an unprecedented rate increase initiated on Angela Braly’s watch. WellPoint, of course, is merely doing what it must to pursue the gold standard of excellence in its service to shareholders and customers, according to company spokesman Jon Mills: WellPoint wants to attract and retain top talent. In order to be the best, to be innovative, to continue delivering the best service, we do have to retain the best quality.” He added: “We are in no way trying to inflate the salaries and compensation figures but trying to maintain a high level of talent at the organization. It’s all just a big misunderstanding, see. The problem is that all of us amateur, casual observers, with our pious concerns about “fairness” and “right and wrong,” just don’t understand the entirely rational and ultimately equitable dynamics of the free market system for labor compensation. Companies have to find and keep talented leaders, and if it takes $6.2 million in restricted stock, a $1.1 million salary increase, a $1.5 million performance bonus, $4 million in stock options and $292,036 in “other expenses” (including over $150,000 in “security-related improvements” to protect Angela Braly from us, the angry, overcharged, underinsured hordes) to retain a CEO who had the wisdom to force hundreds of thousands of Californians off the company’s rolls or into bankruptcy-threatening situations in order to buoy WellPoint stock prices (which rose by close to 40% last year), then that’s just how the free market works, which is nobody’s fault, really, when you think about it. Except the reality is, there is no misunderstanding. Ordinary Americans understand exactly how the free market works. In fact, it’s precisely this understanding that infuriates everyone from your longtime local union activist to your freshly-minted Tea Party revolutionary. It’s the Jon Millses of the world that don’t get it. Their explanations illuminate nothing, except insofar as they confirm exactly what everyone suspects: that there are in fact two economic realities in America today – one that Angela Braly occupies along with Wall Street CEOs, corporate lobbyists and corrupt politicians, and the other that the rest of us experience. In the former, forcing hundreds of thousands of everyday people to spend thousands more on their premiums to pay for the mess you’ve made of the health care system, then pointing to the increased revenue as proof of your leadership and profit-making abilities, is called “taking responsibility” and is rewarded with a $4.4 million raise. It’s market meritocracy at work. In the latter, it really doesn’t matter how hard you work or how great of a job you do — if the executives at the helm steer your company over rocky shoals, you stand a good chance of losing your wage increases, your benefits, or your job altogether. If you’re not “top talent,” you simply don’t need to be “attracted and retained.” The world doesn’t work that way for you. Or to take another example, if the executives at your insurance carrier decide they didn’t make enough money last fiscal quarter, you better cough up thousands of dollars more this year or lose your coverage. Never mind that you had exactly nothing to do with WellPoint’s problems with rising medical costs, or its shareholder’s demands for 40% increases in their stock values. It really doesn’t matter who you are or what you’ve done or what you haven’t done; you don’t control your destiny, the “market” does. That’s just basic economics. We don’t need a WellPoint spokesman to explain that; everyone knows it already. With the economy in turmoil, we’re all getting our noses rubbed in it every single day. What’s incredible is that even after witnessing the public’s reactions to the taxpayer-financed AIG bonuses, the auto company CEOs flying on private jets to DC to beg Congress for bailouts, and Goldman Sachs’ record profits a year after benefiting from $62 billion in publicly-financed AIG pass-throughs, corporate executives like Braly and their PR handlers still can’t comprehend the outrage. But then, that points to something else we already know: that from a mansion on a hill, the riot below can sound like a distant and dull roar, or like nothing at all.

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Facts Trounce Vapors in Health-Care Olympics: Margaret Carlson

February 26, 2010

Commentary by Margaret Carlson Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — It “could be pure theater,” Vice President Joe Biden said the day before the health-care summit at the White House debuted. Thanks, Joe, for repeating a Republican talking point like a lovable but irascible child who tells the neighbors precisely what mommy and daddy warned him not to say to anyone. At the opening of the bipartisan confab yesterday, President Barack Obama respectfully disagreed, saying he was looking for ways to proceed together and not engage in “political theater.” It was the Washington version of the Olympics, a performance with a difficulty of 10, a ticking clock and a chance of salvaging the bronze in a race in which the gold was lost in the opening trials long before. The president started strong. Basic courtesy demanded that Republicans rise when he entered. Around the room he went looking magnanimous, a word here and there, a man-hug to Senator (and doctor) Tom Coburn of Oklahoma, one of the Republicans he’s bonded with. As hard as Republicans worked to reduce the home-court advantage, they couldn’t. Obama’s the president and they’re not. He called them Eric, John and Mitch. They called him Mr. President. House Republican Leader John Boehner of Ohio tried to level things by dictating the shape of the table as if the forum were the 1973 Paris Peace Accords, the Democrats the Viet Cong and whoever sat at the head of it were in charge. Shape of Table Exactly what shape would the table have to be to make people think Boehner was president? Republicans complained about being in Blair House instead of the White House, about the room being too small, about Obama’s new proposal being too short, the old bill too long (Virginia Representative Eric Cantor stacked it in front of him to make that point). Then there was the rank injustice that, counting the president’s opening statement, Democrats got more talking time. All this grumbling before any real differences were discussed. There was a repeated exchange over whether premiums would rise or fall under Obama’s plan. Using facts, Obama said they wouldn’t rise. Using vapors, Republicans insisted they would. They wouldn’t answer the question of whether this meant they were rejecting the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office analysis they cite when it buttresses their position. Lexus or Honda The CBO reported that premiums would stay about the same, or slightly decrease. To say some people might upgrade their policy and pay more is to confuse a consumer durable with insurance. I might buy a Lexus instead of a Honda if I get a better job, or the cost of a Lexus came down, but that doesn’t mean someone raised my auto costs. When Obama turned the floor over to Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, he wisely turned the microphone over to the more congenial Senator Lamar Alexander of Tennessee. When he ran for president, the placid Alexander’s trademark was an exclamation point after his name to connote the excitement he lacked. Since becoming chairman of the chamber’s Republican Conference, Alexander has taken on a much sharper edge. Renounce, he told Democrats, any idea “of jamming” a health- care bill “through in a partisan way.” By that, he means the use of reconciliation, a process allowing legislation to pass with 51 votes rather than a supermajority of 60, which Republicans have demanded for almost every bill since Obama was elected. Reconciliation Reversal Republicans have used reconciliation more than 20 times in recent years, including to push through legislation such as President George W. Bush’s tax cuts. Now they say it’s tantamount to fascism. Alexander also warned the president to lower his expectations. “If you are waiting for Mitch McConnell to roll in a wheelbarrow in here with a 2,700-page Republican comprehensive bill, it’s not going to happen,” he said. This goes to the Republican demand that the president start over on health care with a blank page, perhaps to decrease the disadvantage of having nearly a blank one themselves. Starting over is code for quitting. Fixing the massive dysfunction in an industry that accounts for 17 percent of the U.S. economy requires specificity and legislative language. A several- thousand-page bill isn’t a bad thing. Only once did the president show frustration. Citing a variety of “special deals” and “special interests” that he said were catered to in the Democrats’ health-care legislation, Senator John McCain of Arizona, Obama’s opponent in the 2008 presidential election, said, “What we got is a process that you and I both said we would change in Washington.” ‘Election Is Over’ Obama might have been hungry (it was close to lunchtime). Maybe there came a limit to his professorial tolerance. The president dropped his polite pose. “We are not campaigning anymore,” he said. “The election is over.” McCain shot back with his trademark nervous laugh, “I am reminded of that every day.” There was no “you lie” moment yesterday, but plenty of rudeness. As the meeting ground on, the president was stuck listening to speakers who treated facts as malleable. If they think premiums will go up, they will. If they deny an essential fact of insurance as Democratic whimsy — that the bigger the pool, the wider the risk is spread, the lower premiums will go – — it must be so. Not that nothing was accomplished. The viewing audience learned that Republicans must say no to Obama because they want to say yes to the insurance giants, to let them merrily roll along without meaningful federal regulation, you know, like Wall Street has for the past ten years. What could possibly go wrong with that? ( Margaret Carlson , author of “Anyone Can Grow Up: How George Bush and I Made It to the White House” and former White House correspondent for Time magazine, is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.) Click on “Send Comment” in the sidebar display to send a letter to the editor. To contact the writer of this column: Margaret Carlson in Washington at mcarlson3@bloomberg.net

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South Korean Wins Figure Skating, American Gets Nordic Gold

February 26, 2010

By Erik Matuszewski Feb. 26 (Bloomberg) — Kim Yu-na set a world record in winning South Korea’s first Olympic figure skating title, capping a day on which Bill Demong took the first American gold medal in Nordic combined to keep the U.S. atop the medal standings. Germany and Canada also won Olympic titles yesterday at the Vancouver Games to remain tied with the U.S. with eight gold medals each. The U.S. has 32 total medals to lead all nations. Viktoria Rebensburg became the first German in 54 years to win the women’s giant slalom, and the Canadians won the women’s Olympic hockey title for the third straight time by beating the U.S. 2-0 in the final. “It’s so special,” Canada forward Hayley Wickenheiser said of winning the gold medal. “I don’t know if it’s sunk in yet. You grow up in Canada, you know the expectations.” The U.S. overall medal total is six more than Germany’s 26. Norway has 19, followed by Canada with 17. Kim, 19, gave South Korea its sixth gold medal of the Games by winning the figure skating title at the Pacific Coliseum in Vancouver with a record score of 228.56 points. “I can’t believe this day has finally come for me,” Kim said in a televised interview. Kim’s Record Night Kim, the reigning world champion, broke the record of 210.03 points she set last year during a competition in Paris. Japan’s Mao Asada took the silver medal and Canada’s Joannie Rochette received the bronze. Rochette’s mother died of a heart attack in Vancouver four days before last night’s free skate program. American Mirai Nagasu, 16, finished fourth with a score of 190.15. Japan’s Miki Ando , 22, was fifth, followed by Rachel Flatt , 17, of the U.S. Demong won the Nordic combined event, which includes ski jumping off the larger of two hills and a 10-kilometer cross-country ski race, by finishing four seconds ahead of silver medalist Johnny Spillane of the U.S. Austria’s Bernhard Gruber took the bronze after he was unable to keep up with the Americans in the final 500 meters. Spillane had been the first American to win any medal in Nordic combined when he took a silver medal in the normal hill competition 11 days ago. The U.S. also won a silver medal in the team 20-kilometer relay on Feb. 23. ‘New Heights’ “Our team has reached new heights,” Demong, 29, said during a news conference in Whistler, British Columbia. “Maybe Johnny will be the only one in the room to believe me, but I don’t think either one of us cared who got first or second.” Alexei Grishin won the freestyle skiing men’s aerials for Belarus’s first gold medal in a Winter Games. After Canada’s women defended their Olympic hockey title, the Canadian men’s team will seek a spot in the gold medal game with a semifinal matchup today against Slovakia. The U.S. faces Finland in the other semifinal. The men’s ice hockey championship is the last medal event on the final day of the Olympics, Feb. 28. Canadian Curlers The Canadian women’s curling team plays for gold today against Sweden, while Canada’s men remained undefeated yesterday to set up a gold-medal match with Norway tomorrow. Sweden’s Anja Paerson aims to defend her Olympic slalom title from Turin today in the final women’s Alpine skiing event of the Games. Paerson has won two bronze medals in Vancouver, giving her six career Olympic medals. Maria Riesch of Germany and Marlies Schild of Austria also are considered top contenders. Lindsey Vonn of the U.S. will pursue her third medal of the Games with a fractured bone in her finger, suffered during a crash in the giant slalom. Three gold medals will be awarded today in short track speedskating. Defending Olympic champion Apolo Ohno of the U.S. competes in the men’s 500-meter race in pursuit of his eighth career Olympic medal. There are also finals in the women’s 1,000 meters and the men’s 5,000-meter relay. Biathlon’s final medals are contested in the men’s 30- kilometer relay, while snowboarders seek gold in the women’s parallel giant slalom. To contact the reporter on this story: Erik Matuszewski in Vancouver, at matuszewski@bloomberg.net

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Canada Faces Russia in Olympic Hockey Quarterfinals

February 24, 2010

By Michael Buteau and Erik Matuszewski Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Canada faces Russia in Winter Olympics hockey competition today in a match-up of two of the world’s top teams after Canada beat Germany 8-2 last night. Jarome Iginla scored twice yesterday to lead Canada. Joe Thornton , Shea Weber , Sidney Crosby , Mike Richards , Scott Niedermayer and Rick Nash each added a goal for the host country. Eric Staal had three assists. Today’s quarterfinal game will pit Crosby, who captained the National Hockey League’s Pittsburgh Penguins to the 2009 Stanley Cup title, against Russia’s Alex Ovechkin , the NHL’s most valuable player the past two seasons. Crosby and Ovechkin are tied for the NHL lead with 42 goals each this season. “That’s a big rivalry, we all know it,” Crosby told reporters after the win over Germany. “It’s something that everyone’s been talking about even before the Olympics. I expect it to be a pretty incredible atmosphere.” In the win over Germany, the red-and-white clad home crowd of 17,723 filled the arena with chants of “we want Russia,” during the final minutes of the third period. Canada was forced to play Germany after losing to the U.S. in its final preliminary round game on Feb. 21, the first win by the U.S. over Canada at an Olympics in 50 years. Roberto Luongo , who replaced Martin Brodeur in goal for Canada, turned aside 21 German shots to earn his second win of the tournament. The U.S. will face Switzerland, which knocked off Belarus 3-2 in a shootout yesterday, in another quarterfinal game today. Slovakia plays Sweden after beating Norway 4-3, while the Czech Republic advanced to meet Finland with a 3-2 win over Latvia. Mancuso’s Quest Julia Mancuso will seek to return the U.S. to the Alpine skiing podium today in the women’s giant slalom. Bode Miller was disqualified for missing a gate on the first run of yesterday’s men’s giant slalom. It was the first time in seven Alpine events at the Vancouver Games that the U.S. had failed to medal. Mancuso, defending Olympic gold medalist in the giant slalom, won silver in the women’s downhill and Super-G events. Among her challengers will be Tanja Poutainen of Finland, the 2006 Olympic silver medalist in the giant slalom and a two-time World Cup giant slalom champion. Lindsey Vonn of the U.S., who won gold in the downhill and bronze in the Super-G during the Vancouver Games, never has finished in the top three of a World Cup giant slalom. Other Medals Other medals will be awarded today in women’s bobsled, women’s 3,000-meter short track speedskating relay, women’s 5,000-meter speedskating and women’s freestyle skiing aerials. Yesterday, Seung-Hoon Lee of South Korea won the men’s 10,000-meter speedskating gold medal when Sven Kramer of the Netherlands was disqualified for failing to change lanes. Carlo Janka won the men’s giant slalom, giving Switzerland its sixth gold medal of the Games. In the speedskating race, Lee finished in 12 minutes, 58:55 seconds, followed by Ivan Skobrev of Russia and Bob de Jong of the Netherlands at the Richmond Oval in British Columbia. Kramer was disqualified after finishing in 12:54.92, eclipsing the Winter Games record Lee had set earlier in the final. Judges ruled the Dutch athlete failed to make a proper change of lanes with eight laps remaining in Olympic speedskating’s longest race. Kramer Pushes Coach Kramer, 23, threw his sunglasses to the ice and pushed Dutch coach Gerard Kemkers after learning of the disqualification. Kramer, who won the 5,000-meter race on Feb. 13, blamed Kemkers for the mistake. “I wanted to go on the outer lane,” Kramer told reporters through a translator after the race. “Then, just before the cone, Gerard shouted ‘inner lane.’ I thought he’s probably right and went to the inner lane. I should have gone with my own thoughts. This really sucks.” Janka, 23, finished his two slalom runs in a combined time of 2 minutes, 37.83 seconds at Whistler Creekside in British Columbia. Norway picked up the silver and bronze medals with Kjetil Jansrud and Aksel Lund Svindal . Miller was more than a second behind Janka’s split times when he missed a gate, pulled to the side of the course and didn’t finish the run. Miller won a gold medal in the super- combined two days ago, and also has claimed silver and bronze medals at these Games. Switzerland’s six gold medals are tied with Canada and Norway for third behind the U.S. and Germany, which have seven apiece. Austrians Shut Out Austria, which has an Olympic-record 103 Alpine skiing medals, missed out this time. Marcel Hirscher finished fourth, followed by teammates Romed Baumann and Benjamin Raich . Giant slalom is similar to the slalom, with fewer, wider and smoother turns. The times for the two runs are combined, with the fastest total time determining the winner. Austria won the four-man Nordic combined relay yesterday after Mario Stecher pulled away from U.S. skier Bill Demong with about 500 meters to go. The U.S. took silver, its first Nordic combined medal, while Germany won bronze. Nordic combined includes ski jumping and cross-country skiing. Medals also were awarded yesterday in the women’s 4×6- kilometer biathlon relay and women’s ski cross. Russia took the gold in the biathlon event. France won the silver medal, followed by Germany. Vancouver native Ashleigh McIvor, 26, won gold in ski cross, giving host Canada its 11th medal. Hedda Berntsen of Norway won the silver, while Marion Josserand of France was third. Ski cross, in which groups of skiers race down a narrow mountain run at the same time, made its debut at these Games. Germany now has 23 medals, three behind the U.S., which leads the Vancouver Winter Games. Norway is third with 17 medals. The U.S.’s medal count tops its total at the 2006 Winter Olympics in Turin, Italy. To contact the reporters on this story: Michael Buteau in Vancouver, at mbuteau@bloomberg.net ; Erik Matuszewski in Vancouver, at matuszewski@bloomberg.net

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Germany Wins Three Olympic Medals to Pull Within Three of U.S.

February 22, 2010

By Erik Matuszewski and Michael Buteau Feb. 22 (Bloomberg) — Germany won three medals today at the Winter Olympics to pull within three of the U.S. atop the standings in Vancouver. The German women’s cross-country ski team took gold in the team sprint event, while the men’s team took silver in the same competition. Germany’s Tim Tschanke, 20, became the youngest cross-country skier to win an Olympic medal. Earlier in the day, Germany’s men’s ski jumping team won silver in the team event. Germany has 21 total medals, including seven golds, on the 11th day of the competition. The U.S. leads with 24. In women’s cross-country skiing, Claudia Nystad, 32, outraced Sweden’s Anna Haag, 23, to the finish line to give her and Evi Sachenbacher-Stehle a final time of 18 minutes, 3.7 seconds, .06 seconds ahead of Haag and Charlotte Kalla. Russia won the bronze. Nystad and Sachenbacher-Stehle tied a German record for most Olympic medals in cross-country skiing. On the men’s side, Norway won the gold as Petter Northug sprinted past Axel Teichmann of Germany in the final portion of the race. Russia took the bronze. “It feels great,” Northug said. “It’s like a dream for me to be an Olympic champion.” In men’s ski jumping, Austria’s Gregor Schlierenzauer , 20, capped the victory with a final jump of 146.5 meters as the country defended its title from the 2006 Turin Games with 1,107.9 points, the highest total in Olympic team history. Norway took bronze. Austrian Medals With the victory, Austria’s Thomas Morgenstern won his third Olympic gold medal, adding to two he received in 2006. “It is unbelievable to be a three-time Olympic champion,” Morgenstern told reporters. “I will need some time to realize that.” The gold medal moves Austria into a tie with Canada for fifth place with nine medals. Norway is third with 14, followed by Russia at 10. The ice dance competition is the last medal to be awarded today at about 9 p.m. from the Pacific Coliseum in Vancouver. Yesterday, U.S. skier Bode Miller began the day by winning his first Olympic gold medal. The U.S. men’s ice hockey team finished it off by ending a 50-year winless drought against Canada. The hockey match was the most-watched sporting event in Canada’s history, with 10.6 million average viewers, or about a third of the population, broadcaster CTV said in an e-mailed statement. To contact the reporter on this story: Erik Matuszewski in Whistler, British Columbia, at matuszewski@bloomberg.net , and Michael Buteau in Vancouver, at mbuteau@bloomberg.net .

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Linda Tarr-Whelan: As Economy Trails, Women Can Propel U.S. to the Leaderboard

February 22, 2010

The Olympics aren’t the only races for the gold. There is an important global competitiveness challenge one you probably haven’t heard about and the U.S. hasn’t even entered the starting blocks. The race is to create balanced leadership for better outcomes. Across Europe, led by far-sighted women, countries and companies race to tap the talents of women and men as decision-makers. Seen as smart business and good politics, the call for at least 30% women at power tables is a mainstream issue. I’m just back from London on a book tour for Women Lead the Way: Your Guide to Stepping Up to Leadership and met with women leaders in Parliament, corporations and civil society. The progress in Europe blew me away. Here’s a thumbnail sketch of what is happening. In the UK, both the Labour and Conservative parties are purposefully short-listing women in key races in the run up to the likely May election. The pending Equality Bill led by Deputy Prime Minister Harriet Harman calls for flexible work policies and closing the pay gap (about the same size as ours , at 17% ). In the private sector, Peninah Thomson leads the Cross-Company Mentoring Programme of the FTSE 100 , which gets CEO’s to act as mentors to senior women so they are better positioned for board appointments. The Economist continued a four year drum beat on the topic, “Women’s economic empowerment is arguably the biggest social change of our times.” Across the English Channel, Norway’s legislation to require 40% women on the boards of publicly-held companies–first proposed by a male Conservative Parliamentarian–has been a major success . French President Nicolas Sarkozy, also a Conservative, has proposed similar legislation to require action paralleling the laws in the Netherlands and Spain. Michel Ferrary in the Financial Times provides a clue from his research , “Feminization of management seems to protect against financial crisis.” French firms with 75% or more male management have fared the worst, particularly in the financial sector. Here in the US, however, there has been precious little action to bring more balance to government and the private sector. McKinsey reports that three-quarters of the Fortune 1500 have no women on their boards of directors, and solid research by Catalyst shows that it will take 73 years to reach parity. While we have the highest proportion of women in Congress in our history at 17%, that leaves us trailing 74 countries . A solid societal challenge lies in front of us. We can’t waste any more time thinking this is a marginal women’s issue. Goldman Sachs research shows that the GDP would rise 9% if women’s employment and wages were equal to men. As the majority of college and graduate school graduates, the overwhelming purchasers of consumer products and the driving force of job creation as entrepreneurs, women are the most underutilized natural resource we have to jumpstart economic growth. Our public policies and private sector practices are stuck in the past. The last major national effort to improve flexibility to balance family and work was signed into law in 1993. Unpaid FMLA doesn’t meet the international norm of paid maternity/paternity leave, and child care is lacking in availability and quality. Complacency has never won a race. We can and must achieve the 30% Solution — a minimum of 30% women at leading power tables by 2020. That’s the tipping point where women’s ideas, experiences and ways of doing business can be heard and heeded. Meeting the challenge won’t be easy, but 100 years after women’s suffrage is time enough. We need more women as partners to in make the major decisions affecting companies and the country. Our competitors are leading the field. It’s time we started training for the gold. Linda Tarr-Whelan is a Distinguished Senior Fellow at Demos , where she leads the Women’s Leadership Initiative . She is the author of Women Lead the Way: Your Guide to Stepping Up to Leadership and Changing the World .

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Bode Miller of U.S. Wins His First Olympic Gold Medal

February 21, 2010

By Erik Matuszewski and Michael Buteau Feb. 21 (Bloomberg) — Bode Miller of the U.S., who considered retiring last year, claimed his first Olympic gold medal in the men’s super-combined Alpine skiing event at the Vancouver Winter Games. Miller, 32, finished in a time of 2 minutes, 44.92 seconds to beat Ivica Kostelic of Croatia and Silvan Zurbriggen of Switzerland. Miller was seventh after the downhill portion of the event before recording the third-fastest time in the slalom runs to fulfill his goal of becoming an Olympic champion. “I had to just get fully fired up to take maximum risk,” Miller told reporters. “When I crossed the line, I did my normal thing where I stood for a second. For my first Olympic gold, it’s perfect.” The most successful Alpine skier in U.S. history with 32 World Cup victories, Miller won two silver medals at the 2002 Salt Lake City Games. He then failed to medal in any of his five races at the 2006 Turin Games and took a hiatus from the sport while considering retirement last year. Miller decided to return to the U.S. ski team and won a silver medal and a bronze in his first two races of the Vancouver Games before today’s gold. His five Olympic medals are the most by a U.S. Alpine skier. “It feels great to have the freedom to ski the way I want without worrying about results,” Miller said in an interview broadcast on Canada’s CTV. “In Turin, I didn’t want to be there.” Eighth U.S. Alpine Medal Miller’s gold was the eighth medal in Alpine events for the U.S., which tops the Winter Games standings with 23 overall. The previous high for Alpine medals in a Winter Olympics for the U.S. was five at the 1984 Games in Sarajevo. The U.S. now has seven gold medals in Vancouver, two better than Germany, Norway and Switzerland, and three ahead of host Canada. Germany is second in the total medal standings with 16, followed by Norway with 12. Magdalena Neuner claimed her second gold medal of the Games for Germany in the women’s biathlon 12.5-kilometer mass sprint at Whistler Olympic Park. Russia’s Olga Zaitseva took the silver and Germany’s Simone Hauswald received the bronze. Russia’s Evgeny Ustyugov , 24, won the men’s 15-kilometer biathlon, the second gold medal of the Games for Russia. Martin Fourcade of France was second, while Pavol Hurajt took the bronze for Slovakia. Michael Schmid of Switzerland won the gold medal in the men’s ski cross, an event making its Olympic debt in Vancouver. Austria’s Andreas Matt was the silver medalist, with Norway’s Audun Groenvold taking bronze. Two More Medals Medals also will be awarded in women’s 1,500-meter speedskating and men’s two-man bobsleigh. The start time for the bobsleigh event was pushed back 2 1/2 hours to 4 p.m. due to warm weather at the track on Blackcomb Mountain. Canada will play the U.S. today in men’s preliminary round hockey, as the Americans look to end a 50-year drought against the Canadians in Olympic competition. The matchup, scheduled for 4:40 p.m. local time, precedes a game between Sweden, the defending Olympic champions, and Finland. Russia beat the Czech Republic 4-2 in an earlier game. Canada and the U.S. have faced each other 15 times in Olympic competition, with Canada winning 10 and tying three. The last U.S. victory came in 1960 in Squaw Valley, California. U.S. forward Chris Drury said his squad is relishing the chance to upset the Canadians on home ice. “Clearly no one is picking us to win,” Drury, who plays for the National Hockey League’s New York Rangers, said yesterday. “No one’s betting a nickel on us. U.S. hockey has come so far. Now, it doesn’t take a miracle for us to win.” To contact the reporters on this story: Erik Matuszewski in Whistler, British Columbia, at matuszewski@bloomberg.net Michael Buteau in Vancouver, at mbutea@bloomberg.net , and

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U.S. Seeks to End 50-Year Olympic Hockey Drought Against Canada

February 21, 2010

By Michael Buteau and Erik Matuszewski Feb. 21 (Bloomberg) — It’s been 50 years since the U.S. last beat Canada in men’s Olympic hockey competition. The Americans will look to end that drought today in one of three preliminary-round games at the Vancouver Winter Olympics. The U.S.-Canada matchup, scheduled for 4:40 p.m. local time, follows a meeting between Russia and the Czech Republic and precedes a game between Sweden, the defending Olympic champions, and Finland. Canada and the U.S. have faced each other 15 times in Olympic competition, with Canada winning 10 and tying three. The last U.S. victory came in 1960 in Squaw Valley, California. U.S. forward Chris Drury said his squad is relishing the chance to upset the Canadians on home ice. “Clearly no one is picking us to win,” Drury told reporters yesterday. “No one’s betting a nickel on us. U.S. hockey has come so far. Now, it doesn’t take a miracle for us to win.” With no guarantee that the U.S. would face Canada again in the medal round, Drury, who plays for the National Hockey League’s New York Rangers, said he’s making sure his younger teammates relish the opportunity. “Playing in Canada, against Canada at the Olympics, doesn’t happen too often in our lifetime,” he said. “You blink and it’s over. You have to look around and just realize how lucky we are to be doing this.” Easy Event Canada, coming off a 3-2 shootout win over Switzerland, defeated the U.S. for the gold medal in the 2002 Games in Salt Lake City. Canada defeated Norway 8-0 in its opening game in Vancouver, while the U.S beat Switzerland 3-1 and Norway 6-1. Six medal events will be contested today, including the men’s super-combined Alpine race, where Bode Miller of the U.S. will be seeking his third medal of the Games following a bronze in the downhill and silver in the Super-G. The super-combined, a combination of a downhill and a slalom run, was rescheduled from Feb. 16 due to heavy snow in Whistler, British Columbia. “Not to be arrogant but the super-combined is a pretty easy event for me,” Miller told reporters. “If I ski anywhere near my potential in either of those events, it’s rare that I would be off the podium.” Bobsleigh Delay Medals also will be awarded in men’s and women’s biathlon; women’s 1,500-meter speedskating; men’s two-man bobsleigh and men’s ski cross. The start time for the bobsleigh event was pushed back 2 ½ hours to 4 p.m. due to warm weather at the track on Blackcomb Mountain. Ski cross, which features skiers racing against each other at the same time over a course made up of turns and jumps, is making its Olympic debut. Yesterday, Jung-Su Lee of South Korea won the men’s 1,000- meter short-track speedskating event with countryman Ho-Suk Lee taking silver. Jung-Su Lee also won the 1,500-meter event on Feb. 13. Apolo Ohno of the U.S. won bronze to pass speedskater Bonnie Blair as the most decorated U.S. Winter Olympian. Ohno has seven medals, including a silver in the 1,500 meters in Vancouver. “It means a lot to me,” Ohno, 27, told reporters after yesterday’s race. “I never came to these Games thinking about breaking any records. It feels amazing. I’m all smiles.” Dutch Speed Mark Tuitert of the Netherlands won the men’s 1,500-meter speedskating race to deny Shani Davis of the U.S. a second gold medal. Tuitert, 29, won the 1,500-meter race in a time of 1:45.57 as Davis, the world record-holder in the event, matched his silver-medal finish at the 2006 Turin Games. Davis had won the 1,000-meter race three days ago and now has four Olympic medals in his career. Andrea Fischbacher claimed Austria’s first Alpine skiing gold medal of this year’s Games with her victory in the Super-G at Creekside in Whistler. Tina Maze of Slovenia took the silver medal and Lindsey Vonn of the U.S. received the bronze. The U.S. has 23 medals to top the Winter Games standings, seven of those coming in Alpine events. The previous high for Alpine medals in a Winter Olympics for the U.S. was five at the 1984 Games in Sarajevo. Germany is second with 14 medals, including four golds. Norway has 11 medals, including five gold, and host Canada has eight medals, half of which are gold. To contact the reporters on this story: Michael Buteau in Vancouver, at mbutea@bloomberg.net , and Erik Matuszewski in Whistler, British Columbia, at matuszewski@bloomberg.net

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White, Vonn, Davis Win Olympic Gold in Record-Tying U.S. Haul

February 18, 2010

By Erik Matuszewski and Michael Buteau Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) — Shaun White , Lindsey Vonn and Shani Davis won gold medals to lead a record-tying haul that put the U.S. team back atop the standings at the Vancouver Winter Olympics. White, 23, defended his snowboarding halfpipe title from Turin in 2006 by recording the two best scores of yesterday’s competition at Cypress Mountain outside Vancouver. “It’s history, man,” White said at a news conference. Vonn, the World Cup downhill skiing champion the past two seasons and winner of all but one of six races in the event this campaign, became the first American woman to win Olympic skiing’s ultimate speed race, finishing in 1 minute, 44.19 seconds at the course in Whistler, British Columbia. The U.S. claimed six medals yesterday, including a second straight gold from Davis in men’s 1,000-meter speedskating. Only once before had the U.S. won three gold medals in the same day during a Winter Olympics, eight years ago in Salt Lake City. “It’s amazing, simply amazing,” Davis said during a news conference. “I’m happy to be a part of that honor.” Through five days of competition, the U.S. has 14 medals, four better than Germany and twice that of France. The five gold medals for the American team are also the most in Vancouver, two more than Germany, Switzerland and South Korea. Gold Medals Two gold medals were awarded yesterday in cross-country skiing sprint events, with Marit Bjoergen of Norway winning the women’s competition and Nikita Kriukov of Russia taking the men’s title. It was the first gold medal of these Games for each country. World-record holder Meng Wang , 24, of China took the gold medal in the women’s 500-meter short-track speedskating event, while Austria’s Andreas and Wolfgang Linger won gold in the men’s luge doubles. White scored well enough on his first run to wrap up the gold medal before his final trip down the halfpipe at Cypress Mountain. For good measure, he ended the competition by setting an Olympic record with 48.4 points and landing his latest trick, called a Double McTwist 1260. “I don’t think I’ve been this nervous at a competition before,” White told reporters afterwards. “It’s the Olympics and there’s so much (pressure) on me to do well. I’m glad I had the goods to deliver.” Peetu Piiroinen of Finland took the silver medal and said afterwards, “I think it’s impossible to beat Shaun White.” Scott Lago picked up another medal for the U.S. with a bronze. Vonn’s Downhill Win Vonn started the day with her win in the downhill, where she finished more than a second faster than every competitor except U.S. teammate Julia Mancuso , who took the silver. “I dreamed about what this would feel like but it is much better in real life,” the 25-year-old Vonn told reporters. “I got what I came here for — a gold medal.” Vonn, who skied through the pain of a deep shin bruise, is scheduled to race again today in the women’s super-combined. The event features one downhill run and one slalom run. Hannah Teter and Gretchen Bleiler will seek to add more medals today for the U.S. in the women’s snowboard halfpipe. Teter won the Olympic gold medal four years ago and Bleiler took the silver. Gold medals also will be awarded today in biathlon, with the women’s 15-kilometer individual and men’s 20-kilometer individual, and in women’s 1,000-meter speedskating. The men’s figure skating title will be decided with the free skate program. Defending Olympic champion Evgeni Plushenko of Russia leads after the short program, followed by Evan Lysacek of the U.S. and Daisuke Takahaski of Japan. “I thought that with each Olympics it would be easier to compete, but in fact it is different,” said Plushenko, who also won a silver in 2002. “I get more nervous.” To contact the reporters on this story: Erik Matuszewski in Vancouver, at matuszewski@bloomberg.net and Michael Buteau in Vancouver at mbuteau@bloomberg.net

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