holiday

Corporate Tax Holiday Would Shift Investment, Jobs Overseas: Report

June 24, 2011

In recent weeks, Congressional support has been forming around the idea of another “repatriation tax holiday,” reports the Wall Street Journal . The would mean corporations doing business overseas would be permitted to pay only 5.25 percent tax on earnings brought back to the United States for a temporary time period, as opposed to 35 percent corporate tax rate on domestic profits. Proponents of the proposal claim a tax holiday will bring much needed capital back to the U.S. economy for investment. But not everyone agrees. Following the conclusion of the last tax holiday, in 2004, corporations actually increased the rate at which they moved investments out of the U.S, according to a study by the Center of Budget and Policy Priorities . The decision to move overseas, the study claims, was at least partly in anticipation of there being another tax holiday. See how the 2004 tax holiday affected relocation of corporate assets overseas here: Rather than using their extra earnings to invest in American jobs, corporations laid off thousands of workers and passed the savings onto their shareholders, states the report. Pfizer, which according to the WSJ is one of the main corporate supporters of the newly proposed tax holiday, repatriated $37 billion in 2004, the report states. Despite the repatriation windfall — the largest of any firm in 2004 — Pfizer cut 10,000 U.S. jobs in 2005. The study also takes aim at the claim that a tax holiday would help give firms extra and needed cash to create jobs in the U.S. “According to the Federal Reserve,” the report states, “U.S. non-financial corporations now have $1.9 trillion in liquid assets, the highest level as a share of total corporate assets since 1959.” In other words, the report is saying there is enough money to invest as is. Potential Congressional supporters want the new legislation to require companies would spend the money the way policy-makers intend them to, rather than legislating on faith. Republican Senators like Orin Hatch (R-UT) wants to make sure companies don’t take advantage of the government, reports WSJ . “I’m not against bringing it back this time, but we’re going to have to get something back for it.” And Senator Charles Schumer (D-NY) who sits on the Senate Finance Committee, stated that he would want to use the new revenue to fund an infrastructure bank , a policy goal of several liberals in Congress, reports Bloomberg . But how much revenue the government would really take in is up for serious debate. According to the non-partisan Joint Committee on Taxation, a tax holiday would significantly increase the deficit, reports the WSJ . A tax-holiday would cost the U.S. $78.7 billion in lost revenue over the decade following its implementation, the committee found. See how a tax-holiday would affect the deficit here:

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Deutsche Fired Top Trader After Complaints Of ‘Substantial’ Anomalies

June 24, 2011

NEW YORK (Matthew Goldstein) – In the fall of 2009, Deutsche Bank quietly fired one of its top derivative traders in London after a colleague in New York complained about finding “substantial trading anomalies” in a multibillion dollar portfolio of high-risk credit default swaps managed by the German-based bank, Reuters has learned. The bank dismissed Alex Bernand after a quick internal investigation prompted by the employee’s complaint led to the discovery of improper trading in one of Bernand’s personal brokerage accounts, according to documents seen by Reuters and interviews with people familiar with the situation. The documents, part of a Sarbanes-Oxley whistleblower action filed against Deutsche in May 2010 by the employee in New York, also reveal that the Securities and Exchange Commission opened an inquiry last year into a related allegation that some of the assets in the derivatives portfolio overseen by Bernand may have been improperly valued in order to hide trading losses. Deutsche bank spokeswoman Renee Calabro declined to comment on Bernand’s dismissal. But she said the allegation that some assets in the bank’s derivatives book had been improperly valued was investigated by the bank and is “wholly unfounded.” The SEC investigation and Bernand’s October 2009 firing, neither of which has been previously reported, come as Deutsche is aggressively winding down the portion of its derivatives trading business that Bernand had overseen. Earlier this month, the bank reported in an investor presentation that its plan to unwind its “high-risk” credit correlation portfolio “is well ahead” of schedule. The bank first announced a plan to begin “de-risking” some of its derivatives trading desks in late 2008. In January, Deutsche settled the whistleblower case by agreeing to pay $900,000 to trader Matthew Simpson and promoting him to managing director shortly before he voluntarily agreed to leave the bank in April. It was the largest Sarbanes-Oxley whistleblower settlement for a complaint filed in 2010. Simpson, who now works for Rochdale Securities in Stamford, Connecticut, did not return a phone call seeking comment. UNFOUNDED ALLEGATION “This complaint, which is over a year old, has been the subject of a thorough investigation, and we believe that any allegations about financial misreporting are wholly unfounded,” said Calabro, who declined to comment on the terms of the settlement with Simpson. “The bank is cooperating with the SEC on its review of the matter.” An SEC spokesman declined to comment. Bernand, who lives in France, also declined to comment. On his LinkedIn profile, Bernand describes himself as an “independent philanthropy professional.” Simpson’s and Bernand’s names were redacted from the whistleblower documents seen by Reuters, but their identities were confirmed by two people familiar with the situation. In its settlement agreement with Simpson, Deutsche also denied “any wrongdoing in connection with the matter.” In light of the settlement, the U.S. Department of Labor in February closed its investigation into Simpson’s claim that he had been retaliated against by some of his superiors for bringing the allegations of improper trading to the attention of the bank’s compliance department. The firing of Bernand, a one-time rising star in the derivatives world, is something of an embarrassment for Deutsche. In 2006, the bank issued a press release to trumpet his hiring from Bank of America as its global head of credit correlation. At BofA, Bernand had pretty much built the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank’s structured credit trading business from scratch. Inside Deutsche, the portfolio that Bernand oversaw from London was called the “exotics book,” because many of the derivatives in the portfolio were tied to complex securities. At its peak, the portfolio was one of the largest on Wall Street with the assets underlying the trades valued in the tens of billions of dollars. ILLUSORY PROFITS The bank’s credit correlation desk specialized in using credit default swaps to make proprietary trades that were aimed at hedging some of the bank’s exposure to potentially risky corporate bonds, leveraged loans, currencies, indexes and commercial paper. Many of the trades put on by correlation traders involve synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), financial instruments that use credit default swaps to get exposure to various bonds and other assets. Some have blamed credit default swaps — a type of derivative that is supposed to provide a level of insurance against an underlying asset going bad — with exacerbating the global financial crisis because they increase the level of risk on balance sheets of the world’s major banks. However, the synthetic CDOs traded by the correlation desk were not like the more popular variant of CDOs which were stuffed with subprime mortgage securities. Janet Tavakoli, a Chicago-based derivatives consultant who has written several books on credit derivatives and structured products, said many bank managements did not fully appreciate the illusory nature of the trading profits being generated from derivatives correlation desks before the financial crisis. She said those profits often disappeared and turned into losses when the underlying assets turned south. “The thing about correlation desks is that it will appear you are making a lot money from trades, but it is all money at risk,” said Tavakoli. “I call this kind of trading an invisible hedge fund.” In an early 2010 regulatory filing, Deutsche attributed some of the rise in the bank’s value-at-risk, or VAR, at the end of 2009 to a “recalibration of parameters in the Group’s credit correlation business.” On Wall Street, VAR is one metric used by a bank to estimate how much money it could conceivably lose in a day if all of its trading bets and hedges went awry. It’s an imperfect measurement, but one followed by most industry analysts. A person familiar with Deutsche said the bank is winding down the credit correlation desk to both reduce its risk profile and better comply with the so-called Volcker Rule’s ban on proprietary trading in the United States. The bank’s internal investigation into Simpson’s allegations was overseen by the big New York law firm Fried Frank. The revelation that the SEC is investigating the valuations used for some of Deutsche’s derivatives portfolio comes at an awkward time. Over the past few months, the bank has taken some high-profile lumps for its role in contributing to the financial mess. A Senate report released in April faulted Deutsche for continuing to churn out collateralized debt obligations and other securities backed by subprime mortgages even as the housing market in the United States was starting to crumble. The report from the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations said Deutsche aggressively marketed CDOs to its client, “despite the negative views of its most senior CDO trader” about the failing health of the housing market. Just last month, federal prosecutors in New York filed a civil suit against Deutsche, claiming its MortgageIT subsidiary repeatedly lied about the quality of the mortgages it was issuing to obtain federal guarantees on those iffy home loans. The government seeks to recoup some $1 billion in losses it incurred from insuring the mortgages. Deutsche contends most of the problem loans were issued before the bank acquired MortgageIT in 2007. Before filing his whistleblower complaint last May, Simpson had built a long track record at Deutsche. Over the dozen years he worked for the bank in New York, he held positions in finance, risk management and then trading. He joined the firm’s correlation trading group in 2008 and was responsible for trading derivatives tied to bonds and currencies. In his whistleblower complaint, Simpson said when he reported his concerns about trading improprieties to Deutsche’s compliance department he “expressed concerns for future retaliations.” Among the acts of retaliation that Simpson alleged were being passed over for a promotion in February 2010 and later “stripped” of all his trading and management responsibilities. Calabro said the bank denies Simpson’s claim of retaliation. (Reported by Matthew Goldstein; Editing by Michael Williams and Claudia Parsons Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Risk Appetite Flows Back Into Markets Following Holiday Trade

May 31, 2011

Risk Appetite Flows Back Into Markets Following Holiday Trade

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Dollar Regains Footing Amid Thin Holiday Trade- Data on Tap

May 30, 2011

Dollar Regains Footing Amid Thin Holiday Trade- Data on Tap

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Arizona’s Only Beachfront Resort to Mark Memorial Day Weekend with Opening of State’s Largest Infinity Pool

May 24, 2011

  LAKE HAVASU CITY, AZ — Nautical Beachfront Resort (top left photo) , Arizona’s only beachfront resort hotel, will open the state’s largest infinity pool, “WET,” Friday May 27, just in time for the Memorial Day Weekend.   In honor of the occasion and to kick off the holiday weekend, members of the city’s VFW Post 9401 have been invited to be the first residents to get WET at 4 p.m. “We like to have fun at Nautical Beachfront Resort, but we’re also mindful that Memorial Day is a meaningful holiday,” said Tim Peters , general manager.   “So, we wanted to honor our local veterans by inviting them to christen our pool.   American soldiers are often the first to respond in times of crisis, this time they can be the first ones in on the fun.” WET, a free-form pool roughly the size of a stadium Jumbotron and filled with 108,000 gallons of water, is part of the first wave of property enhancements planned by the resort’s owners, RW Partners LLC of Phoenix.   A new arrival center, scheduled to open later this summer, is also under way.   Media Contact :   Lauralee Dobbins/Chris Daly, 703-435-6293, Lauralee@Dalygray.com

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Deborah Frett: Make Your Mother Proud

May 8, 2011

Each May, we are inundated with advertising from jewelers, florists, and other retailers promising the “perfect” Mother’s Day gift. How did Mother’s Day morph into a shopping spectacle that rivals any other holiday of the year?!? It all seems so inadequate — and absurd — when I consider the many, many sacrifices my own mother had made for me over the years, sacrifices that mothers make for their children on a daily basis without even stopping to think. This week’s headlines turned my thoughts to the tens of thousands of courageous mothers who are members of our nation’s military. These selfless women have made the ultimate sacrifice — not just for their own families, but for all of American’s children — by choosing to serve in America’s Armed Forces. Women now make up 15 percent of the United States military, and they are the fastest-growing segment of the veteran population. According to a 2009 report by the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America, more than 40 percent of women on active duty have children, and more than 30,000 single mothers have been deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan. Try finding the “right” gift in a department store to thank these mothers!! There is no question that these mothers’ military service comes at a cost to their families. According to the California Research Bureau, active duty military mothers report higher rates of emotional problems and mental illness than servicewomen without children. Women in the military divorce at a rate higher than their male counterparts, and are significantly more likely to be single parents. Across all ages and segments, women veterans are more likely to suffer from mental illness, experience homelessness, and to commit suicide than women who choose not to serve in the military. And, not surprisingly, their children also pay a huge price for their mothers’ commitment. The Rand Corporation recently reported that children whose parents have been deployed for over 19 months are more likely to experience academic difficulties and exhibit emotional and behavioral problems in school settings. Despite their willingness to make these sacrifices on behalf of our nation, it is both heartbreaking and frustrating to realize that these women often leave their military service only to face daunting challenges when they re-enter civilian life. They are frequently denied recognition and unable to access the benefits and services they have more than earned — and require to successfully reintegrate. BPW Foundation research pinpoints a critical piece of this puzzle: Too many women veterans fail to self-identify as veterans and miss the opportunity to learn about, much less participate in, the broad range of support services for which they are eligible. And, since many public and private sector tools, services, and programs for veterans are still largely designed with men in mind, women veterans are further “penalized” for their service to our nation. This year, find a truly meaningful way to show Mom how much you appreciate all the sacrifices she made for you. Take a pass on the flowers, jewelry, and myriad other “perfect” Mother’s Day gift ideas. Choose instead to recognize and thank the women veterans in your community. And together join BPW Foundation’s Joining Forces for Women Veterans, and help provide support and resources for women veterans and their families as they return to civilian life. Last month, the White House officially launched Joining Forces , a national initiative to mobilize private and public sectors of our society to help military families and veterans access the opportunities and support they have earned. At the invitation of First Lady Michelle Obama, I attended the April 12th announcement of this initiative. It was an honor to be recognized by the White House for BPW Foundation’s efforts on behalf of women veterans and we are grateful to be able to participate in this important endeavor. A major objective of our Joining Forces program is to enable women veterans to find and utilize the diverse benefits due them, helping them connect with other women veterans through scholarships, a career center, Connect-A-Vet resources, Facebook , and Twitter . We will soon be implementing a mentoring program for military spouses and women veterans, and we invite you to play a role in this project. To read a blueprint for our Joining Forces for Women Veterans campaign, visit the BPW Foundation website . To hear first hand from women veterans, check out our recently posted YouTube video from our Joining Forces for Women Veteran’s Summit . Visit www.womenjoiningforces.org to find out what you can do to support women veterans on this Mother’s Day. Your mother will be proud–just as we are proud of the incredible women who serve our nation in the US military.

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May Day Protests Around The World

May 1, 2011

ISTANBUL — Activists flooded a central plaza in Turkey’s largest city Sunday and marked international workers’ day around the world with marches demanding more jobs, better working conditions and higher wages. About 200,000 workers gathered in Istanbul’s Taksim Square in the largest May Day rally there since 1977, when 34 people after shooting triggered a stampede. Turkish unions weren’t allowed back until last year. In South Korea, police said 50,000 rallied in Seoul for better labor protections. They also urged the government to contain rising inflation, a growing concern across much of Asia, where food and oil prices have been spiking and threatening to push millions into poverty. Thousands of workers also marched in Taiwan, Hong Kong and the Philippines to vent their anger over the rising cost of living and growing disparities between the rich and poor. Chinese holidaymakers flocked to Beijing’s Tiananmen Square to watch the daily flag-raising ceremony. In the Philippines, about 3,000 workers demanding higher wages held a protest in a Manila square that included setting alight the effigy of Philippine President Benigno Aquino III grinning in a luxury car. Aquino was criticized this year for buying a secondhand Porsche in a country where a third of people live on a dollar a day. In Taiwan, about 2,000 people rallied in Taipei to protest the widening income gap and to demand their government create better work conditions. About 3,000 people in Hong Kong took part in a Sunday morning protest while another 5,000 were expected at an afternoon rally, local media reports said, citing union organizers. In Spain, where the unemployment has reached a eurozone high of 21.3 percent, several thousand people gathered in the eastern port city of Valencia and protested the government’s failure to create new jobs. In Moscow, up to 5,000 Communists and members of other leftist groups marched through the city carrying a sea of red flags to celebrate their traditional holiday, what in Soviet times was known as the Day of International Solidarity of Workers. Since the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union, the holiday has been known as the Day of Spring and Labor, and organizations from across the political spectrum held their own marches on Sunday. The dominant pro-Kremlin party, United Russia, gathered the largest crowd by pulling in workers from factories and institutes in and around Moscow. Party organizers claimed that 25,000 people took part. The holiday also brought out about 30 members of the Syrian diaspora to protest their government’s use of military force against protesters calling for an end to President Bashar Assad’s rule. Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov, whose party is the only nominally opposition faction in the Kremlin-loyal parliament, called for national solidarity. A handful of gay activists tried to join the Communist march, but organizers and police insisted they roll up their flags to avoid conflict. ____ Associated Press writers Kelvin K. Chan in Hong Kong, Gillian Wong in Beijing, Hyung-jin Kim in Seoul, South Korea, Aaron Favilo in Manila, Philippines, Lynn Berry in Moscow, Russia and Harold Heckle in Madrid, Spain contributed to this report.

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A Year Later, Greece Still Struggles

April 23, 2011

ATHENS, Greece — It’s an anniversary few are celebrating. A year ago Saturday, with its faltering economy days away from bankruptcy, Greece ended months of speculation and requested bailout loans. Prime Minister George Papandreou chose the remote island of Kastelorizo, and its tranquil seaside backdrop, to announce the “urgent national need to formally ask our partners to mobilize the support mechanism.” International solidarity, he said in a televised address, would “send a strong signal to markets that the European Union is not to be toyed with, and it will protect our common interests and our common currency.” Twelve months on, there’s little indication that that signal has been received. Greek bonds have been axed to junk status by the three major ratings agencies. And sky-high borrowing costs have roughly doubled, along with the price of insuring debt. Greece would currently have to pay out 15-percent interest on a 10-year bond, compared with the German benchmark of 3.27 percent. At least 160,000 more people have lost their jobs since April 23, 2010, with government austerity accelerating layoffs and business failures. And the national debt is forecast to exceed the emergency level of 150 percent of gross domestic product in 2011. “At the moment we have a very, very difficult situation which requires a rapid response and tough measures,” economic analyst Vangelis Agapitos said. “Of course the markets also realize that there is political fatigue and political cowardice to fully take the tough measures that are necessary.” Despite daily government denials, 47 percent of Greeks now believe the country will have to restructure its debt, while just 24 percent think it won’t be necessary, according to an opinion poll due to be published Sunday. The survey by the Alco research company for the weekly Proto Thema newspaper used data from 1,000 people interviewed April 15-19. No margin of error was quoted but it would normally be around 3 percentage points for a survey of that size. Support for Papandreou’s Socialists has sunk from 34.7 percent to 21.5 percent in the past 15 months, the poll found, though he still maintains a slim lead over rival conservatives. After Papandreou’s call for help from Kastelorizo, a rescue deal was put together in nine days, just ahead of a critical refinancing deadline. Eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund agreed to lend Greece euro110 billion – equivalent to nearly half the country’s annual output – through 2013. In return for the bailout loans, Papandreou’s Socialist government slashed euro14 billion off the budget deficit in 2010 using salary and pension cuts and a raft of unpopular measures aimed at reducing waste in the public sector and protective market rules. His government has promised debt inspectors that it will start generating a primary surplus in 2012, but fiscal targets have begun slipping this year due to the ongoing recession. And the sharp rise in public discontent is in growing contrast to calls by Greece’s central bank and analysts for bolder cost-cutting measures. “The (national) debt is 150 percent of GDP and rising. Had it been half that amount, maybe these (austerity) measures would suffice,” Agapitos said. “The number of measures is unprecedented. So in a way, Greece is proving that the effort is there. However, the expectations are much higher and keep rising, because of the mess that Greece is in.” Papandreou is unlikely to get much respite this Easter, with school and hospital closures planned this year and a massive privatization program prompting a general strike on May 11. Many of his countrymen, however, are looking forward to a break from the national gloom this holiday weekend. “I just can’t watch the news anymore – it’s so depressing,” said window cleaner Stratis Dervendlis, who is planning a series of day-trips in and around Athens on his days off. “The bad news is constant. It’s like reminding someone in hospital that they’re sick all the time. Instead, they should be giving us courage and telling us how we’re going to get better.” ___ AP writer Elena Becatoros contributed.

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Oil Set to Test Key Resistance, Gold May Turn Choppy in Thin Holiday Trade

April 22, 2011

Oil Set to Test Key Resistance, Gold May Turn Choppy in Thin Holiday Trade

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FOREX: Dollar Extends its Losses but Momentum Dries Up Ahead of Holiday

April 22, 2011

FOREX: Dollar Extends its Losses but Momentum Dries Up Ahead of Holiday

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Steve Mariotti: Remembering Ayn Rand

April 21, 2011

I am the founder of the Network for Teaching Entrepreneurship (NFTE) and I would like to share my personal memories of Ayn Rand and the effect she and her work had on my life, which provide interesting sidelights on the legendary founder of Objectivism. It took me two months to read all 1069 pages of Atlas Shrugged in 1967, as a 14-year-old. Rand’s famous novel was sent to me by my grandfather, Lowell B. Mason, who was Ayn’s friend and advisor. Reading it was what made me want to be an entrepreneur. Featuring an inspirational hero who was independent and could get things done, Atlas Shrugged was the first work of fiction I had ever read that talked positively about entrepreneurs and the wealth they created. It eventually motivated me — as a 9th grader in Flint, Michigan — to move to New York and start a business. So here is my story. I met with Ayn Rand three times, beginning on Memorial Day of 1980, and our correspondence continued through mid-January of 1982, two months before she passed away, on March 6th. Our last meeting was right before her trip to New Orleans, in the fall of 1981, where she spoke at my friend Jim Blanchard’s convention on investments. Jim was the top expert in the world on gold investment, and he got Ayn to be the featured speaker by arranging for a private train car for her trip. My appointment on Memorial Day in 1980 was at 11 in the morning. I was overdressed for the weather, and sweat streamed down my face as I walked around the block at 34th Street and Lexington Avenue, putting off the meeting with my role model. Despite her well-known inaccessibility, Ayn Rand had agreed to meet me, a 26-year-old entrepreneur, through a connection with my grandfather, a famous libertarian lawyer who had worked with Clarence Darrow in the Depression. Now, procrastinating, I could barely breathe. I was exhilarated and terribly nervous. She was a great hero of mine; I had memorized large parts of Atlas Shrugged . However, I would find out that the Ayn Rand I had fantasized about was not the Ayn Rand I was about to meet. I finally went into the lobby of the Tudor-style building at 128 East 34th Street, and rang the bell for apartment 6D. (The name on the directory was O’Connor — Frank O’Connor, her husband, had recently passed away.) “I never agree to meet with anyone,” were her first words. And then: “You’re right on time. That tells me something about you. Your grandfather Lowell has been my close friend since I started writing The Fountainhead. He gave me good advice on some legal issues. His Language of Dissent was brilliant,” she continued, pointing to the copy on a bookshelf. “Otherwise I would never have agreed to see you. I am old and do not have the energy.” She wore a black dress that came to just below her knees, and her hair was pulled back and up. She made a point of standing beneath a topless portrait of herself painted 40 years before, when she was in her thirties. She examined me intently, wearing the same sly smile she had in the portrait. She was beautiful and, standing directly below the picture, she seemed to be saying: “And I am still this sexy?” She was. With her high cheekbones, full bosom and bright green eyes, she looked like an earthly goddess who had stepped out of one of her novels. I called her “Dominique,” and then “Dagney,” and she smiled and touched my arm. She knew I meant it when I told her how beautiful I thought she was, and laughed a loud, Russian laugh.” I was in love. She showed me around the apartment — everything but the bedroom; she said it was too untidy for me to see. She showed me the massive drafting table on which she’d written every page of Atlas Shrugged by hand. She mentioned how she’d outlined various thoughts and ideas from Part Three of Atlas Shrugged : “A is A” — on the table in ink. When I asked where she had outlined parts One and Two, she laughed and said she would tell me later. (She never did.) It was amazing to think that she had laid out the handwritten pages of her masterwork on this very table every night. She showed me some handwritten pages of an unpublished article about the impact of Atlas Shrugged , as well as ten or so pages from a draft of the manuscript of Part One of Atlas Shrugged , “Non-Contradiction.” We talked for about an hour in her apartment — over the noise of a maid, who was cleaning. Then we headed out for lunch. The maid, a soft-spoken African-American woman, said: “Ms. Rand, please do not be long, and absolutely no smoking.” (I didn’t know at the time that she had been diagnosed with lung cancer.) As we walked down Lexington Avenue, I quoted my favorite passages from both her novels, and also from the Objectivist Newsletter. At the corner of 33rd and Lex, I happened to mention King Vidor being the director of King of Kings . It was Cecil B. DeMille. Ayn said: “Now that you’ve gotten one wrong, can you be quiet and let me talk?” Of course I had been rattling on, as we walked from her apartment to the restaurant. I wanted to impress upon her just how significant she had been to me growing up, and that I knew she had met her husband on the set of King of Kings, in 1927. But, because of that one slip, I had to pretty much suppress my urge to talk further and, over the next four hours, let her have the lion’s share of the conversation. The restaurant was closed because of the holiday. As we walked on, looping back around towards her apartment, I remember thinking, “This is going to be a short meeting; we are going to end up back at her front door and that will be it. She won’t invite me up because the maid is cleaning.” Luckily we found a diner a block further on, back on 34th Street, and settled in. Ayn ordered cereal and I got a hamburger. She lit a cigarette and didn’t stop smoking and blowing smoke in my face for the next four hours. She did not eat at all. When it was apparent that I was uncomfortable with her smoking, Ayn shrugged and said, “I can’t do this in front of my housekeeper because it’s bad for my health. Do not be such a complainer.” The time went by in an instant. We talked about philosophy and economics and her work and career, and the love of her life, Frank O’Connor. In our time together I understood how she could have created a worldwide movement against totalitarianism just through force of will. But, sadly, she was also an adherent of atheism, a point of view I so strongly disagreed with that I could not keep silent about it, and the debate was on. In her words, I was a “mystic fool,” but I pushed back with Pascal’s argument that this world is so complex that some higher power must have created it. She was fearless and said exactly what she thought, in short, perfectly formed sentences. She was extremely judgmental, and every remark was dissected and commented upon. But earlier in my life I had faced off with Madelyn Murray O’Hare, the famous American atheist, and I too was fearless, at least on this subject. But she also spoke about her childhood, her father the pharmacist, growing up in and then leaving Russia, and about her sister, who came to live with her in the 1960′s. Throughout the conversation she would laugh often — loudly and joyously. I listened intensely to her every word, sensing that being with this beautiful woman would impact my life forever. As our visit was coming to an end, she said, “You listen and talk well but too much sometimes. You would make a good teacher. I’ve been taking math lessons in arithmetic; can you show me how to do this problem?” It was a simple procedure of dividing fractions and I showed her how to do it, feeling the pleasure of knowing something she did not. (Years later, in one of life’s great coincidences, I was in the same class with her math teacher.) I paid the check, we walked back to her apartment building, and said goodbye. I told her: “You are a great teacher, Ms. Rand.” She walked into her building and that was the end of our first meeting. A few days later, I sent her a book about Hollywood that she was mentioned in, along with a hand-written thank-you note. She didn’t reply, so a few weeks later I sent another gift — Russian candy — meant humorously, with another note. She sent them back. The returned gifts were accompanied by a letter from Ayn’s secretary, saying that Ms Rand had only seen me out of courtesy to my grandfather. I was devastated. This incident cut me deeply. I was so scarred by the rejection that I couldn’t even tell anyone about it for 15 years. Ayn had been so nice to me during those smoke-filled hours, which made the letter from her secretary all the more distressing. (I promised myself never to treat anyone like that, and I never have.) I felt then what others had told me: my idol was nothing more than an egotistical, self-absorbed recluse, and just as flawed as anyone else. Fifteen months later, in September of 1981, we both got another chance. Again my grandfather had intervened, calling Ayn and apologizing on my behalf. To me, he said: “You were too intellectually aggressive.” I was shocked, and didn’t say anything about my virtual silence for those four hours in the restaurant. My grandfather continued: “Because she hurt your feelings last year, she will see you one last time — for fifteen minutes. Don’t mess it up this time. She is a genius and you can learn a great deal from her. Do not talk or take issue with anything at all.” I met her in the lobby of her building in the early fall of 1981. I had been so shaken by her letter and the return of my gifts that I must have looked like a stunned little kid — beyond chagrined. She said, “Don’t be so weak. Weakness sickens me. Do not make me feel pity.” I knew she was quoting from The Fountainhead ; I then quoted the preceding and following sentences. She laughed, and said, “OK, you’re forgiven.” She looked even more beautiful to me this year. Her intelligence shone from a face that was now over 76-years-old. We went back to the restaurant on 33rd and Lexington that had been closed the previous Memorial Day. I gave her a bracelet my mother had given me when I left Flint. She put it on over a green shirt that was covered by an old blue sweater, with an elegant gold brooch pinned to the sweater. Her outfit was completed by a pair of baggy black pants. We sat at her favorite table by the door, exactly on the corner. She knew all the waiters, who were very respectful to her. I excused myself and went to the bathroom. On the way, I asked one of the waiters: “Do you know who that is?” “Of course,” he replied, “she’s a writer, right?” This time Ayn and I talked for at least five hours. She was still grieving over her husband Frank’s death. She smoked continuously, and said: “No one knows how sad I am. And this pain from Frank is killing me.” She blew a cloud of smoke in my face and said, “You should come to my funeral.” I laughed when she added: “And I mean it” — the four words that had guided her life. She told me in detail how she met Frank O’Connor on the set of King of Kings on a bus for the extras. She then did not see him for several months, until running across him by chance at the studio library, where he was reading about art history. She told me with a breaking voice what he was wearing on his tall frame. She had kidded him about his baggy pants and he had laughed at her accent. They both liked the poem “IF,” and she recited it to him from memory. For her, it was love at first sight. She told me many anecdotes about Frank and related how he had had a stroke before he died, which interfered with his ability to talk but not his ability to hear. Then she started to cry. I was shocked — everyone had told me she never cried, except once at the Foundation for Economic Education (FEE), a think tank for the ideas of Henry David Thoreau, when Ludwig von Mises — the legendary free market economist — had yelled at her. Von Mises told her that she was a stupid ignorant Russian peasant woman, and she broke down. When I mentioned this story, she got upset. She said Von Mises, always a gentleman, would never have said such a thing, that he had a deep respect for her. As she tells it, William F. Buckley had made up the story to hurt her. To change the subject, I brought up God and spirituality. We had spent a good deal of time at our first meeting arguing about spirituality — my belief in God and her hatred of the concept. “You will see Frank again in a spiritual sense,” I said, “there is just too much energy for it all to disappear. There are over two billion calculations a second for the body to function. That is so incredible, someone had to create that. And if that is so, then anything is possible.” She nodded, half-sobbing, her face heavy with tears. “I hope so” she said. “I would do anything to see him one more time.” She showed me notes he had written to her after the stroke. They were in large letters in what looked like a third-grader’s printing. “I hope you are right, maybe you are. I think about it all the time. I do not know. I just do not know,” she said. After a long pause, she added: “I will find out soon enough.” “Let me know,” I said, and we both laughed. I pointed out her use of “God” on Phil Donohue (whom she adored). “You did say God bless America,” I teased. She laughed that wonderful laugh again — she was so charismatic. I said: “You should let the public know that, that you have doubts. So many people follow you.” She waved her hand dismissively: “So what. Let them find their own way, I cannot help them.” I told her about my interest in politics and my desire to help maximize people’s personal and professional freedom — particularly for poor children. (I had recently been mugged and was thinking about making a career change to work with the type of children that had humiliated me.) She agreed that that was laudable, “Provided they have a good philosophy of reason and that they are objective and face reality,” she added — in what sounded like a harbinger of the didacticism that would come soon after her death, and scar Objectivism for decades. “You should be a teacher. You have a knack for it,” she said, repeating her comment of fifteen months before. “If you could teach people that are born poor to create value and be capitalists, that would be good. Look at what I was able to do with nothing — I had no money or skills, just a vision of what I could become. I wanted to be a writer and philosopher.” Little did I know how those words would guide me in the very near future. I gave her copies of three papers I had written on economics. One of them has since become famous as the first statistical test of the Austrian Trade Cycle Theory; another was my attempt to bring a unity to the different methodologies of economics, a paper F.A Hayek — a Nobel Prize winner — had loved when I had studied with him in 1977. She promised to read them. In passing, I told her of my activism for gay rights, thinking she would be pleased. She was not pleased, and also made it clear that she hated Murray Rothbard who, along with Charles Koch and I, had just co-wrote the Libertarian Party Platform. “We made him leave our study group,” she said, referring to Rothbard’s excommunication from the Collective, a discussion group of intellectuals that met weekly in her apartment. When we left the restaurant, having let her do almost all the talking, I said nothing — but gave her a hug. We walked back to her building, just as the housekeeper was coming out: “Ms. Rand, I was just coming to find you.” A colleague of hers had come out too, and began yelling at me that I had kept Ayn out too long and that I was boring her. I think perhaps he felt threatened by her being with me. Ayn turned and said, “You made me feel better.” I laughed and replied, “I thought people were not supposed to feel.” She gave me a quick one-finger handshake and said: “One more meeting and that is it — I am tired.” She added: “Do not count on me for any more visits.” I answered: “OK, but you did say we could have coffee; I love being with a beautiful woman. Can I get a picture with you, please?” I handed my camera to the housekeeper, at the same time calming her colleague down. “No, absolutely not, I am too old! If I am alive next year, perhaps,” she said laughing. “If not, come to my funeral.” Over her objections, the housekeeper took a picture (which unfortunately I lost 20 years later). Ayn and I both laughed, and she went inside the building with her companions. This time I waited a month to call her and sent no notes or gifts. When I got her on the phone, she said, “I am too tired now,” and then: “I can see you for a cup of coffee, perhaps, but only for twenty minutes. You wear me out.” I was pleased and promised not to talk at all. I met her at the same restaurant, but she was grumpy, irritable, and tired. We left after twenty minutes. I had absentmindedly left my jacket at the restaurant and her housekeeper called to say that I could come over to the apartment and get it from the doorman, that I could say hello to Ms. Rand for a minute, then leave. My visit got postponed several times. The last time I called, Ayn got on the phone and we spoke for a minute, but she sounded tired. I never picked up the jacket. After her return from the trip to New Orleans, where she had spoken on the topic of Morality and Capitalism, I received a letter from out of the blue: “I had seen you out of respect for your grandfather. You turned out to be a terrible disappointment. The fact that you support the immoral acts of homosexuals shows me you are a second-hander who likes his heroes with clay feet. Do not call me again or contact me in any way. Here is the bracelet — I do not want it. I am burning your papers.” It was like someone had taken a hot knife to my stomach. But the letter so contradicted how our last encounter had played out, that I was unsure if it was even written by Ayn herself. She had made a point to “cc” this letter to several individuals, including Leonard Peikoff. And that was that. This final communication hurt so much that I have never talked about it until now. In my opinion, based on our last conversation, Ayn Rand died a deist or an agnostic, not an atheist. Sadly, her intense dislike of gays and the gay liberation movement led to our falling out, during that last meeting in January of 1982. I felt that she had replicated the world she had grown up in, where the Tsar — then Lenin — would ostracize (or worse) anyone who disagreed with official attitudes. I will forever reject Rand’s philosophy of Objectivism, because it denigrates the importance of spirituality. It also overlooks the limits of a market economy in solving a variety of serious problems caused by the economics of externalities and public goods. I fully appreciate Ayn Rand’s influence in stopping the worldwide rise of totalitarianism, in encouraging the feminist movement, stimulating discussion of the legalization of victimless crimes, and the jump-starting of libertarian politics . And she was uncannily prescient. Inspired by her, I subsequently spent 30 years teaching at-risk youth and, in 1987, I founded NFTE, where I still teach. Sadly, many of the events she wrote about in Atlas Shrugged are coming to pass.

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Best Buy’s Smartphone Sales Offset Weak Demand For Televisions

March 24, 2011

By Dhanya Skariachan NEW YORK – Best Buy Co Inc beat quarterly profit estimates as strength in its mobile business offset weak demand for televisions and entertainment software in the all-important holiday season. But analysts were cautious about the longer term outlook for the company. The top U.S. consumer electronics chain, which recently announced plans to open about 150 Best Buy Mobile small-format stores in the United States, saw a low double-digit comparable store sales increase in mobile phones even as overall comparable-store sales fell in the fourth quarter. The retailer is focusing on selling more mobile phone, broadband and TV connections rather than expensive televisions as post-recession U.S. shoppers keep a tight rein on spending amid rising gas prices and high unemployment levels. Despite the big focus on its profitable mobile business, many raised concerns about Best Buy’s long term prospects citing continuing pressure on its ailing TV business. “It is very difficult for Best Buy to post positive comps when a category that is 20 percent of their sales is comping down double digits,” BB&T Capital Markets analyst Anthony Chukumba said. Net income fell to $651 million, or $1.62 a share in the fourth quarter ended February 26, from $779 million, or $1.82 a share, a year earlier. Excluding items, it earned $1.98 a share, well ahead the analysts’ average estimate of $1.85 a share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. (For a related graphic, click: r.reuters.com/kax68r) Best Buy shares were down 7 cents at $31.78, reversing course after being up 3 percent earlier on Thursday morning on the New York Stock Exchange. “The stock appears to be getting a ‘better than feared’ reaction,” JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers said. “Given the lack of sales visibility and little reason to be optimistic before easy back-half comparisons, the arrival of more competitive tablets, and a labor market rebound, there isn’t much else to hold on to for the next two quarters that can put a significant dent in the secular bear case.” Best Buy has consistently lost bargain-hungry shoppers to online retailer Amazon.com Inc and mass merchants Target Corp and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. “Best Buy should see some near-term relief from the concerns circling the name,” Stifel Nicolaus analyst David Schick said. “The problems re-emerge, though, as the longer-term view is taken.” For fiscal 2012, the company sees earnings of $3.30 to $3.55 a share, excluding previously announced restructuring charges and potential share repurchases. The outlook compared with Horvers’ estimate of $3.44 and consensus of $3.57. On Thursday, GameStop Corp, the world’s largest retailer of video game products, also posted a higher-than-expected quarterly profit. Best Buy’s decision to focus on promoting pricier televisions backfired in the early part of the holiday season. The retailer advertised cheaper TVs later in the season, but its December same-store sales still fell 4 percent. Same-store sales fell 4.6 percent in its fourth quarter, including a 5.5 percent decline at its U.S. stores open at least 14 months. Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter was looking for a 2.2 percent same-store sales decline in the quarter, including a 3 percent decline at its U.S. stores open at least 14 months. (Editing by Dave Zimmerman) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions

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Status Of Banks, Post Offices & Mail On Presidents Day 2011

February 20, 2011

If you’re seeking to do business with your bank on Monday, Feb. 21, 2011, chances are it will be closed due to Presidents Day. Most banks are not open on Presidents Day 2011, just like last year and previous years, as it’s a federal holiday (also known as Washington’s Birthday). The next business day for closed banks will be Tuesday, Feb. 22. However, a select few banks will be open including Wachovia Bank and State Employees’ Credit Union, per ENCToday . Also, if you bank with a small local or community bank, it’s best to check with them to be sure. In addition to most banks being closed, post offices will also be closed as Presidents Day 2011 is a USPS holiday . Mail will not be delivered Monday. Federal government agencies also observe the holiday.

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Barbie, American Girl Drive Mattel’s Holiday Win

February 2, 2011

DETROIT (By Ben Klayman) – Mattel Inc, the No. 1 toy company, staked its claim as the winner of the holiday shopping season as strong demand for its core Barbie and American Girl brands helped quarterly earnings beat expectations. The company also said rising costs of oil and Chinese labor would entail price increases in 2011, but analysts questioned whether consumers will accept them in a sluggish economy. “They did better than their competitors, and the signals coming out of the retailers weren’t entirely positive about the holiday season,” said Ted Moore, portfolio manager with Fifth Third Asset Management, which owns Mattel shares. “They picked up market share, not dramatically, but a solid quarter all the way around.” Mattel’s better-than-expected results and rising inventories come just weeks after smaller rivals Hasbro Inc and LeapFrog Enterprises Inc said sales had slowed late in the biggest selling season of the year. BMO Capital Markets analyst Gerrick Johnson said Mattel had gained share and was looking strong to continue its momentum. “Yeah, fourth quarter’s good; they bucked the trend of weakness,” said Johnson, who has an “outperform” rating on the shares. “These guys made their numbers and are set up really nicely for 2011.” Johnson cited strong new product launches like Monster High and Sing-A-Ma-Jig and a good performance by Barbie. The new products all sold out in the fourth quarter, and were measured in tens of millions of dollars in 2010, but will grow to hundreds of millions of dollars this year. “We gained market share in virtually every one of the (industry) segments — dolls, vehicles, action figures, games, infant and preschool,” Chief Executive Officer Robert Eckert told analysts on a conference call. Mattel’s fourth-quarter net profit was $325.2 million, or 89 cents a share, compared with $328.4 million, or 89 cents a share, a year earlier. That was 3 cents more than analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S had expected. A lower-than-expected tax rate added 3 cents to 5 cents a share to earnings, analysts said. The company, which announced the departure of the president of Mattel Brands, Neil Friedman, last month, said Barbie and American Girl sales rose 8 percent. Fisher-Price sales remained flat, while Hot Wheels was up 1 percent. Overall net sales at Mattel, which counts billionaire investor Carl Icahn among its investors, rose 9 percent to $2.12 billion, above the $2.09 billion analysts had expected. Sales included a reduction of 2 percentage points due to currency exchange rates. Gross sales were up 11 percent in the United States and 6 percent internationally. The company said inventory levels rose to meet growing demand and to improve customer service levels, compared with significant liquidation of inventories in 2009 due to economic uncertainty. Eckert said inventory levels at the company and within the industry are back to where they were two years ago. UBS analyst Robert Carroll said the inventories were up 30 percent, but Mattel’s comments on demand would alleviate some investor concerns exiting the holidays. Gross margin fell 1.82 percentage points to 51.6 percent due to higher input costs and royalty payments, but that was still above the 50.3 percent Carroll had expected. Eckert pointed to a 28 percent increase in the cost of oil and a 20 percent rise in Chinese labor costs, and said prices will be raised to offset that. Officials also cited rising resin and freight costs, and the stronger Chinese currency as pressures. “My sense, it’s most likely high single digits in terms of price increases, essentially across the whole line this year,” Eckert said, adding that the increases would occur in the second quarter. However, Fifth Third’s Moore said Mattel’s aggressive plan to raise prices bears watching as rivals’ high inventories may force them to cut prices, pressuring the company. Shares of El Segundo, California-based Mattel rose 1.7 percent to $24.56 on Nasdaq. (Reporting by Ben Klayman in Detroit, additional reporting by Dhanya Skariachan in New York and NR Sethuraman in Bangalore; Editing by Unnikrishnan Nair, Dave Zimmerman, Lisa Von Ahn) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Max Fraad Wolff: Squeezed

January 24, 2011

As the holiday season slips into memory the public sector squeeze is on. We are into the shorter, colder days of winter. The American public sector is struggling through a long, cold season. Yes, the economy has made up some of the ground lost in 2008 and 2009. Yes, the recession has been declared officially over. The stock market has rallied and corporate profits have rebounded. State, local and federal government finances remain mired in pain. Cuts in services and employment are occurring and proposed across the country. Last year, total state and local employment declined by more than 400,000 jobs. An unusual number of Americans are dependent on state and local services and employees. Many millions are in poverty, seeking food assistance and qualified for emergency state and local aid. Government jobs are essential supports in many area economies. These jobs employ many victims of past labor market discrimination, offer a way up and out. State and local services are one of the few lines of defense that remain in our thoroughly tattered social safety net. The discussion of public sector workers lately focuses on the cost. This is vital and should be open to discussion. However, we tend to forget all that we rely on these millions to do. We have also developed a dangerous inclination to discuss state and local workers as an undifferentiated mass with new specific attributes or history. This is a serious mistake as so much is now at stake and so many services and contracts are on the line. Our 20 million state and local workers provide many vital services. These folks provide education, fire, police, clerical, court/legal and social services. Major coming battles are to be fought over which state and local jobs to cut. Who will be fired? What pensions/benefits will be cut? How many services will be cut? Who will go without? This will likely reach a fever pitch as the federal debt ceiling is reached in March/April and the state and local fiscal year ends in June. Sometimes pictures are worth 1,000 words. This also goes for graphs. Below is a sketch of state and local workers. Few of the recent discussion really ask how many state and local workers there are. What do these people do? What are the pay levels? Who are these people? Conversation is usually dominated by ideologically and politically inflected diatribe. How many state and local workers are out there? Figure 1. State and Local Employment Bureau of Labor Statistics CES Figure 1 makes clear that there are about 20 million state and local workers in America. There were 14.3 million local workers at the start of 2011 and 5.2 million state employees. There has been a steady rise in state and local employment over the last half century. Growth has not been particularly rapid over the last decade. Figure 2 speaks to relatively flat employment levels at the state and local levels in the new millennium. Growth in state and local employment has occurred as population has increased and past social movements have won expanded benefits. The very high cost of medical care and social problems associated with crime, drugs, lack of affordable housing have added to costs. Public education — at all levels — has also grown as a cost to state and local governments. Our massive networks of jails, parole officers, probation officers and prisons have grown rapidly. The relative strength of state and local employee unions in some areas has also contributed to employment growth. Most American communities rely on a host of state and local services as well as employments and incomes that flow directly and indirectly from state employment. In some communities these jobs and services produce and support much of the local middle class. Figure 2. BLS Data State and Local Government Employment 2000-2010 (Thousands) In 2009, the latest available data, the average state employee earned $23.67 per hour, $49,240 per year. The average local government employee earned $21.68 per hour or $45,090 per year. These averages hide large differences in pay by location, age and job type. The national average earning per hour for all employed Americans in December of 2009 was $22.38, $44,760 for a 2,000 hour year. State and local government employees earned about the national average per hour in 2009 and 2010. State and local workers, particularly in the six states with the highest levels of unionization, received better benefits than the average private sector worker in a similar job. Public sector workers are more likely to receive benefits than those in the private sector. Benefits have been negotiated up by these workers as an alternative to higher wages in many localities and cases. The value of benefit packages adjusts with the costs of health care, prescription drugs and returns on pension investments. Benefits in public sector work continue to be in line with historical middle class benefit levels. However, there has been significant erosion in benefits for many private sector workers since the 1980s. Thus, public sector workers often have more generous benefit packages than their private sector counterparts. What services do state and local workers provide? The jobs most commonly performed by state and local employees include education/teaching, law enforcement/public safety, fire protection, transportation, social, legal/court and medical services, clerical services. Figure 3 below lists the most common jobs and salaries for state and local employees according to the BLS Career Guide to Industries, 2010-2011 Edition. State and local government employee earnings were close to the national averages in most occupations. The annual earnings of most state and local workers track and move fairly closely with average earnings in the private sector. There are some exceptions and these usually have resulted from particular local political struggles and circumstances. Figure 3. Most Common State and Local Government Occupations and Mean Hourly Compensation Demographic Features and Context State and local workers are heavily unionized. Cuts in employment, wages and benefits at all levels of government will dramatically decrease the proportion of union employment in the US. As this goes to press 12.3% of Americans are represented by unions, 14.7 million people. This number declined by 612,000 across 2010. The rate of unionization has been falling since 1983, when these numbers began being tracked by the BLS. 2010 marked a new low with 11.9% of workers represented by unions, down from 20% in 1983. 36% of public sector workers were unionized in 2010 and 6.9% of private sector workers were in a union. More than half of all unionized workers are in the public sector. In 2010 7.6 million public sector workers were unionized and 7.1 million private sector workers were unionized. Six states: New York, California, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Jersey contain more than half of all union members. Rates of union membership are lowest in the Southeastern US where many states have less than 5% of their labor force in unions. Given the dramatic overrepresentation of unions in the state and local public sector, any major shift in employment in this sector will immediately and profoundly shift the role and size of unions in America. Figure 4. BLS Data % of Workers Unionized by Employer Type State and local employees have several demographic attributes that are not seen universally in the working public. African Americans have higher rates of government and union employment because of their concentration in regions and occupations covered by state and local unions. African Americans have a higher rate of state and local employment and a higher rate of unionized employment than the population average. Equal Opportunity Employment Committee data from 2007 suggests that 18% of full time state employees are black. At the city level, the same EEOC data suggest that 19% of full time employees are black. Major shifts in employment at the state and local level are likely to disproportionally impact communities of color- particularly African American communities. There is a unique history behind high levels of African American employment in many states and locales. This history emerged out of civil rights struggles and past patterns of severe employment discrimination against African Americans in hiring. Ethnic demographics of state and local employees display this pattern among historically abused ethnicities and women. Veterans are significantly overrepresented in public sector employment, including at the state and local level. In 2009, nearly 13% of all employed veterans worked for state and local government. Public sector employees tend to stay at jobs longer and tend to be older than private sector workers. Public sector workers are statistically more likely to be older, to be veterans, to be from communities of color and to be concentrated in urban areas of the Mid-Atlantic, West Coast or upper Midwest. These groups will be uniquely hurt by significant cuts in employment, pay, benefits to the public sector. I know some of the above information is dry. However, it is essential to have a realistic conversation about who, what and where we are cutting. Needless to say, lower income and special needs populations are likely to suffer most acutely from reductions in state and local services. Restrictions and reductions on hiring and compensation will further erode the middle class and are likely to increase inequalities of wealth and income.

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Europe Ahead: UK retail sales probably declined during the holiday season

January 21, 2011

Europe Ahead: UK retail sales probably declined during the holiday season

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Jim Worth: Hiding America’s Real Economy

January 21, 2011

America’s economy seems to be recovering, but is that the ‘real’ story? Some fourth quarter economic indicators — retail sales, manufacturing, stock market, corporate profits — portend a rising economy significant enough to avoid another slide to the bottom. The optimism on Wall Street is palpable as the stock market continues to rise, or melt up as they now say, a result of the positive indicators over recent months. And the heightened exuberance the consumers showed this holiday season was also a positive sign. Manufacturing has been rising for the last several months, which is seen as paramount to an improving economy. The stock market is on its way back to its peak, due, in part, to record corporate profits. The market is considered a forward looking indicator, and the private sector seems poised to stand on its own and no longer require the extreme measures it needed from the federal government. So what could possibly go wrong and who would even whisper that things weren’t getting better? Though the number of people questioning the recovery is declinin,g there are still some that do not accept the premise that all of America’s economic problems are behind us and the recovery is completely sustainable. Realists, unlike the over-optimistic beneficiaries of a rising market, look at all aspects of the economy and not just the positive headlines. Despite the promising numbers coming out of the government and corporations, repeated by CNBC and numerous analysts, there are negatives that could have a significant impact on the economy. And a few of them are large enough to warrant examination. A realistic view of the economy would include the problems in the housing market and high unemployment, either of which could derail the recovering economy. It would also include the increasing deficit and the recent extension of the tax cuts and the unrealistic change in the estate tax — all negatively impacting a healthy recovery. Another undiscussed element is government stimulus — in many forms. The government is still the biggest contributor to the recovery through a multitude of stimulative and protective programs, some that are conveniently hidden from public scrutiny. Aside from the stimulus package of nearly $900 billion, the Federal Reserve has shored up the economy with possibly $3 trillion or more — stimulation and rescue of the financial institutions and corporations — assistance unavailable to the general public and masking the extreme risks in the economy. These veiled economic programs will have a negative affect on the economy if they fail. The failure of any one of them could not only stall, but reverse the recovery. The Fed is holding over $1.3 trillion in toxic assets of the big banks; assets that were supposed to be rescued with TARP. The Toxic Asset Relief Program was used for another purpose — bailing out the banks — so The Fed covertly bought the assets, most likely above their market value. They also loan to banks at zero percent and the banks buy U.S. debt with a two or three percent return; debt that they had a part in creating. Banks are hiding potential losses on foreclosed homes by not having to mark them to market. Robo-signing repercussions could be incredibly high. The housing market had over a million foreclosures in 2010, and 2011 could be even worse. Corporations are holding toxic assets off-balance-sheet, listed as footnotes in reports. States and municipalities are under fiscal stress and threat of default. The FDIC is a partner in hundreds-of-billions in loss-share agreements for seized banks and their tenuous assets. Treasury has guarantees in place with banks and corporations which may exceed a trillion dollars. They also own billions of dollars in stock in banks, corporations and financial entities. The Fed balance sheet could be a more serious problem than is being discussed, and the lack of transparency is problematic. These hidden programs have benefitted corporations and Wall Street, but, only marginally helped Main Street which continues to struggle, bouncing along the bottom destined to remain there until the next crisis; a crisis that will surely wipe Main Street out. At some point the shadowy structures of The Fed and Treasury may be forced into the light and it could be ugly. As long as secrecy exists throughout the financial world the U.S. and global economies are at extreme risk. This risk is bad for markets. The world, on such dubious ground, cannot afford the huge loss the markets’ will sustain. Transparency is a must –the world deserves the truth. But, maybe, the world can’t handle the truth.

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Controversial Outsourcing In Construction Of Boeing’s Much-Hyped Dreamliner

January 20, 2011

EVERETT, Washington (By Kyle Peterson) – On a blustery and drizzly December afternoon in the Pacific Northwest, about 20 airplanes sat engineless and inert near the runway at a Boeing manufacturing plant. Huge, yellow blocks hung from the wings of some planes to substitute for the weight of absent engines. Every few minutes, the heavy clouds parted to give a glimpse of blue skies over Everett, Washington, just north of Seattle. Then new clouds rolled in. The parked planes are 787-8 Dreamliners, the world’s first commercial aircraft with a body and wings made largely of lightweight carbon-composite materials instead of aluminum. Someday these sleek, fuel-efficient machines — already painted in the liveries of their airline customers — may change the face of air travel and plane-making. But not today. The program that produced these unfinished 787s is nearly three years behind schedule and, by some estimates, at least several billion dollars over budget. Dreamliner flight tests were halted in November after an electrical fire aboard a test plane. The tests resumed in December, and the company later announced yet another delay for the delivery schedule. The new ETA is sometime this summer. About 45 miles away in south Seattle, members of Boeing’s work force gathered at a union hall for a monthly lodge meeting, a holiday party and a chance to lament the seismic shift in plane-making strategy they say the Dreamliner represents. The 787 is not merely a historic feat of engineering. The program also marks Boeing’s departure from its own time-honored manufacturing practices. Instead of drawing primarily from its traditional pool of aircraft engineers, mechanics and laborers that runs generations deep in the Puget Sound region around Seattle, Boeing leads an international team of suppliers and engineers from the United States, Japan, Italy, Australia, France and elsewhere, who make components that Boeing workers in the United States put together. “Do you see the stupidity in that?” said James Williams, an imposing 43-year-old who has been employed by Boeing for 15 years, mostly working in factory safety. Williams, whose father worked at Boeing for more than three decades, is just one of many in the company who blame the repeated Dreamliner delays on a splintered engineering strategy and a complex supply chain of about 50 partners. Boeing itself has acknowledged that the system needs tweaking, and the company promises to bring more of the design work back in-house for the upcoming 787-9 model. But Boeing defends its reliance on outside partners, saying their work and investments made the Dreamliner possible. “It is true that supplier involvement in the development and design of the 787 is significant,” the company said in an emailed response to Reuters questions. “Suppliers helped us develop and understand technologies and options for the airplane as we went through the early phases of concept development. Suppliers have also provided more of their own development, design and manufacturing funding.” Whatever the advantages, Boeing’s outsourcing is emblematic of corporate practices that have sent large chunks of U.S. industry overseas and to other states, battered communities and vaulted the U.S. jobless rate to nearly 10 percent, economists say. Yet the biggest victim may be the culture that underpins the aerospace behemoth. Here in Boeing country, where children follow parents into the aviation business, outsourcing is plain heresy. “It was like the family,” said Williams, whose wife, Sarah, and three children joined him for the holiday party. “Can you outsource Mom? Can you outsource Dad?” SHRINKING WORKFORCES Boeing is the world’s second-largest commercial plane-maker after its European rival Airbus. Founded in 1916 in Seattle by William Boeing, the company earned $68.3 billion in revenue in 2009, split between its defense and commercial airplanes divisions. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce says the aerospace industry achieved $215 billion in sales in 2009 and provided more than 644,000 jobs. According to data compiled by consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Boeing is the 24th largest U.S. employer, including private companies and government. It is the fourth-largest employer in the U.S. manufacturing sector, excluding wholesalers, distributors and construction companies. All told, Boeing and its subsidiaries employ 160,000 people in the United States and abroad, including 73,000 people in Washington. But while the company remains a pillar of the local economy and is hiring right now in Washington, Boeing is not the engine of job growth it once was. At the time of the September 11, 2001 attacks on New York and Washington D.C., Boeing’s total workforce was about 199,000. Its defense and commercial units shed 20,000 jobs between January 2002 and January 2003 after the 9/11 attacks sparked a steep decline in air travel and aircraft orders. Myriad other U.S. manufacturers also cut jobs during that economic downturn, and many of those never regained their former staffing levels. “What you’ve seen is a continual decline in manufacturing employment that didn’t just start 20 years ago,” said Stephen Bronars, senior economist at Welch Consulting. “And it’s accentuated during downturns, where you see the steepest decline in manufacturing employment when there’s a recession.” At its numerical peak, in 1978, the U.S. manufacturing sector accounted for more than one out of every four U.S. jobs, according to government data. Back in the 1950s, manufacturing made up an even higher share — more than a third — of total employment. “A lot of Western Europe was still reeling after World War Two, and so we didn’t have the same kind of competition when it came to manufacturing in the ’50s,” Bronars said. Since the 1970s, employment in manufacturing has fallen more than 30 percent in the United States, compared with about 60 percent in Britain, and about 20 percent in Japan. Then came the 2008/2009 global economic downturn, which wiped out nearly 8 million U.S. jobs. About 2 million of those were in manufacturing. Economists believe that many of these positions are gone for good, forcing blue-collar workers to search for employment elsewhere — often at lower wages. In several ways, Boeing’s replacement of in-house labor with outside partners is typical of this trend. Although some of its outsourcing is to other U.S. companies and some of its job reductions came from spinning off businesses, the net effect has been punishing for Boeing’s Washington workforce. From Boeing’s perspective, change was inevitable. Its role as a truly international company — with 80 percent of its commercial airplane backlog for international customers — demands a diverse and global operation to blunt the shocks to the U.S. job market from the highly cyclical aerospace business. “Clearly, Boeing is a global company with a global customer base, and our U.S. employees benefit from that,” the company said in an email response to questions by a Reuters reporter. “U.S. jobs are created by selling airplanes around the world.” NOT SO SIMPLE That is true as far as it goes, but building airplanes is far more complicated than other frequently outsourced jobs like, say, textile manufacturing. Plane-making is best done by a group of engineers and builders working in close proximity without the distractions of language barriers, cultural differences and bureaucracy, said Tom McCarty, president of the Society of Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace (SPEEA) local representing Boeing engineers in the Puget Sound region. “Now with the 787, management felt they knew how to outsource the design jobs. Turns out they didn’t,” he said. “We’re talking about how do you design and manufacture a plane like the 787?” McCarty said. “It’s a very unique skill set. And schools don’t turn out people who know how to do that. And there is a culture that has developed the composite knowledge of all those skills. We know how to build all these planes.” To be sure, language barriers and borders have not prevented Airbus from overtaking Boeing as the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer in the past decade. Driven by history and political necessity, the 40-year-old plane-maker was forced from the outset to create a system in which planes are built from large sections made in four countries — Britain, France, Germany and Spain — and then assembled in France or Germany. Airbus has also begun assembling smaller A320 150-seat planes in China for the local market. The difference with the 787 and its future Airbus rival, the A350, is that both manufacturers are being forced to ship an increasing quantity of work for these planes beyond their traditional borders to share the risk and costs of giant technological changes aimed at making planes lighter to save fuel. Still, Airbus has been more conservative on outsourcing. It contracts 52 percent of the airframe to outside suppliers. Boeing says it purchased 65 percent of the 787 airframe, which is comparable to the 777. Because the A350 will not be available before 2013 — a result of previous dithering over product strategy, according to its critics — the EADS subsidiary can also afford to sit back and learn from Boeing’s perceived mistakes on the 787. McCarty said that by relying so heavily on foreign partners for their engineering, Boeing devalues the so-called tribal knowledge that facilitates practical application of complicated, academic engineering concepts that eventually produce a new plane. Acquired on the job and over time, tribal knowledge is a key ingredient in the development of a new plane, some experts say. It is the shared method of performing countless daily tasks efficiently and in coordination with colleagues. In short, tribal knowledge is the grease that cuts friction throughout the design and assembly process. “One of the things you don’t want to outsource is your core competencies,” said Karen Kurek, national leader of the manufacturing practice at RSM McGladrey, a tax and consulting firm. “It’s the thing that gives your organization your value added.” McCarty says the loss of tribal knowledge could have far-reaching consequences for American engineering. “As we outsource part of this work, we’re removing opportunities for learning this trade, for learning these skills,” he said. “As we reduce these opportunities to learn how to do these jobs, the Boeing Company becomes less capable to do the job.” THE PIVOTAL MOMENT Many aviation experts say Boeing began to put a lower premium on in-house labor after its 1997 merger with rival McDonnell Douglas. That was the same year Boeing posted its first full-year loss as Airbus stole market share. Boeing’s $16.3 billion purchase of McDonnell Douglas triggered the integration of management at the two companies with Boeing Chief Executive Phil Condit, a former aerodynamics engineer, retaining the top job. McDonnell Douglas CEO Harry Stonecipher, formerly of General Motors, GE and Sundstrand, became president of the merged aerospace giant. After a brief retirement, Stonecipher later returned to Boeing as CEO. In September 1998, Alan Mulally, who started his career as a Boeing engineer, was made head of the Boeing Commercial Airplanes (BCA) division. Some critics view the merger as the point at which BCA began to favor a corporate culture that prized near-term profits over long-term engineering dominance. “Back in the early 2000s there was effectively a battle for Boeing’s soul,” said Richard Aboulafia, vice president at aviation consultancy Teal Group. He and others also single out Stonecipher as the face of Boeing’s shifting priorities. “He was symptomatic of the McDonnell Douglas philosophy,” Aboulafia said. Around this time, Boeing moved its corporate headquarters to Chicago after 85 years in Seattle. Labor unions complain the departure drove a wedge between executives and Seattle-area rank-and-file. But the global corporation cited a need to be near Wall Street, Washington D.C. and big customers. BCA headquarters remained in Seattle, its attention fixed on the next big project. “There were the legacy commercial guys who once a decade invested very heavily in the company’s future by creating a new jet. And then there were the newcomers,” Aboulafia said. “Effectively, it was dominated by a lot of the McDonnell Douglas people who were a little more concerned with shareholder relations and perhaps even their own wealth,” he added. “And they absolutely did not want to make a big investment.” Boeing’s previous initiative, the 777, had recently entered service, and it was time for Boeing to get to work on its next new model. Responding to airline demands for greater fuel efficiency, Boeing began developing the design that in 2003 would be dubbed Dreamliner. The carbon-composite structure would be lighter than aluminum planes of comparable size and would consume 20 percent less fuel. The concept was incredibly popular among cash-strapped airlines that were still reeling from a drop in travel demand after 9/11. But when it came time to build the 787, Boeing turned away from its stable of engineers and mechanics to embrace a complex web of suppliers. For the first time in its history, Boeing would outsource the wing design and manufacturing. “That, I think the smart people there knew, was an incredibly risky way of doing it, but it was the only way they could move forward,” Aboulafia said. “It was kind of a Faustian bargain, I think, that Alan Mulally made. He did what he had to do to launch the program given the tremendous adversity he was facing.” For its part, Boeing maintains that it never abandoned its standards for design and engineering. “Boeing leads the design effort, oversees the processes and tools, and holds both ourselves and our partners to the highest standards of performance on safety and quality,” the company said. “It is important for Boeing to retain critical skills for engineering and building structures such as wings and composite structures,” Boeing said. The company had planned to make a first test flight of the Dreamliner around late August 2007 and first delivery in May 2008. But that target began to slip in 2007 when Boeing postponed the first test flight due to a shortage of bolts and flight control software. More delays followed as production problems mounted. In 2008, the company blamed another delay on a 58-day strike by Boeing assembly workers over contract terms. The next year, Boeing bought portions of business units of two of its suppliers to help regain control of its Dreamliner production. It paid $580 million for the South Carolina operations of Vought Aircraft Industries, the company that worked on the 787 aft fuselage section. Boeing later purchased Alenia North America’s half of Global Aeronautica LLC, the South Carolina fuselage subassembly facility for the 787. Boeing did not disclose financial terms of that deal. “By taking Alenia out of the ownership equation, this tidies up the situation in Charleston,” Boeing said in a statement at the time. The Dreamliner finally made its first flight on December 15, 2009. But less than a year later the company postponed delivery again — this time to early 2011 — because of a delay in the availability of a Rolls-Royce engine needed for the final phases of flight testing. In October 2010, Boeing said it would tell suppliers to halt deliveries of sections for its 787 Dreamliner for two weeks because of delays at Alenia, a unit of Italian defense and aerospace company Finmeccanica SpA. Alenia makes the horizontal stabilizer for the tail of the 787. On November 9, the Dreamliner schedule endured a new hiccup when a fire on a 787 test flight forced an emergency landing in Laredo, Texas. Boeing halted the test flight program to determine the cause of the fire, which it later attributed to foreign debris in an electrical equipment cabinet. The company resumed 787 flight tests in late December, saying it had installed an interim version of updated power distribution system software and conducted a rigorous set of reviews. The electrical system and a power panel for the 787 are built by the Hamilton Sundstrand unit of United Technologies Corp, a major Boeing supplier responsible for several key components of the 787′s electrical systems. On November 30, Jim Albaugh, who took over as BCA chief in 2009, confirmed to Reuters that Boeing would delay delivery to its 787 launch customer All Nippon Airways. Then, earlier this week, Boeing announced that it had moved first delivery to the third quarter of 2011 from the first quarter. That at least had the effect of assuaging Wall Street concerns about an even longer delay. CONTRITION AND DAMAGE CONTROL Nowadays, Boeing is quick to acknowledge the rocky road the Dreamliner has traveled so far. In a speech to the Wings Club of New York on November 11 — just two days after the electrical fire that grounded the 787 test fleet — Boeing CEO Jim McNerney appeared chastened. “In retrospect, our 787 game plan may have been overly ambitious, incorporating too many firsts all at once — in the application of new technologies, in revolutionary design-and-build processes, and in increased global sourcing of engineering and manufacturing content,” he said. But he also reiterated the company’s faith in the Dreamliner. “While we clearly stumbled on the execution, we remain steadfastly confident in the innovative achievements of the airplane and the benefits it will bring to our customers,” he said Boeing executives declined to be interviewed for this story, but the company replied to written questions submitted by Reuters. “The sourcing decisions made on the 787 are a natural evolution of the work done at Boeing Commercial over the years,” the company said. “We’ve said in the past that for the most part, we are satisfied with the general direction. However, there are a few things we would change, and you’ve seen us make changes on the 787 over the years.” HARD WORK AND HEARTBREAK Back in Seattle, workers take little comfort in the words of their leader McNerney, the onetime head of GE Aircraft Engines. McNerney came to Boeing in 2005 after a tenure as CEO at 3M Co, a conglomerate that produces tens of thousands of diverse products like Scotch tape, medical masks and optical film used to brighten flat screen TVs and computers. A group of Boeing employees, mostly stewards in the International Association of Machinists (IAM) union, sat down with Reuters in December to describe their own experiences on BCA projects, including the 787. Daniel Swank, 47, an aircraft maintenance technician on the 787 program, who had previously worked on the 777, said “I can say it’s night and day as far as processes and flow.” Swank and his colleagues refer to pre-Dreamliner Boeing as “legacy.” In those days, he had easier access to the program engineers who worked in the same building and could quickly address problems as they arose. “They started vendoring out years ago, but pretty much legacy is different from 787, because on 787 everything has been vendored out,” Swank said. He recalled a time on the 787 program when he ran out of a particular washer to fit with a screw on the plane. He said he had to fill out paper work to order a single washer and waited one day to receive it from the outside supplier. “That shows you how ridiculous it’s gotten,” he said. “Everyone knows that vendoring has killed this program. You have contractor agreements that have slowed the whole process down.” That assessment is shared by Jason Redrup, 48, who has been with Boeing for 15 years and currently works for the IAM. Prior to that post, he was a structures mechanic on the 767 where he put the airplane body sections together. He said Boeing’s plan to fly the Dreamliner parts to Seattle for easy assembly has not worked out. “On the 87, the idea was Boeing was not going to own any of that. That all this stuff was going to come in kits — all the parts, all the fasteners, everything you needed to do this one particular job,” Redrup said. “It’s a very elaborate supply chain, so even their suppliers don’t necessarily control where parts are being made,” he said. “So it’s a very complicated web of work now that’s not so easy to fix when there’s a problem.” Then there is Clark Fromong, 49, who has been at Boeing for 23 years. He makes duct work and tubing. His parents worked at Boeing as do both of his brothers. He said outsourcing since the 1997 merger — and especially since the Dreamliner — has made life at Boeing and in the Puget Sound region stressful and gloomy. Workers who earned a living in plane-making now must look elsewhere and often leave the state. “We keep offloading our work overseas, and it’s cutting our work in half,” Fromong said. “So we all think our jobs are going away. The attitude is everyone is always nervous. Always on needles. Stressed out.” Aircraft workers near Seattle suffered another blow in 2009 when, after a long battle to keep 787 assembly in Everett, Boeing selected South Carolina as the site of its second 787 final assembly plant. The company aims to ramp up 787 production to 10 planes per month in 2013. The plant in South Carolina is expected to create thousands of new jobs in that state and is likely to be less disruptive to Boeing than its Everett counterpart, where four major IAM strikes in the last two decades have cost Boeing about 200 days in lost production. The machinists in South Carolina, a right-to-work state, voted against IAM representation. Tom Wroblewski, district president of the IAM unit representing Boeing workers in the Puget Sound region, said downsizing and outsourcing have taken a toll on IAM membership, which is down to about 25,000 today from 42,000 in 1990. He illustrates his point with a graphic depicting work performed by IAM members on six models of Boeing commercial planes. Parts of the plane that are made by IAM workers are colored red. The graphic for the single-aisle 737 is mostly red, compared with the 787, which features only a little red, mainly on the vertical fin. IAM members and local government leaders mounted a campaign before work began on the 787 to entice Boeing to make the plane in Washington. The union was later surprised to find out how little work the locals would actually get. “No sooner did the helium go out of the winning balloons than we find out that their commitment was to assembling the airplane and that was it,” he said. But three years of delays speaks for itself, he said. The vast global partnership was meant to share risk and cut costs. The opposite is happening, he said. “I’m done saying ‘I told you so’ on the 87,” Wroblewski said. “When they announced they were going global, we told them at that point: ‘You go global, you put all of your eggs in the suppliers out there. You’re going to lose control of your airplane. And when you lose control of your airplane, there’s nothing you can do. So what’s happened? They’ve lost control of it.” WHAT WENT RIGHT One key Boeing supplier and a long-time partner to the company, U.S.-based aircraft components supplier Rockwell Collins, disagrees with the negative assessments by labor leaders. “There’s obviously a lot that gets press these days,” said Jeffrey Standerski, vice president and general manager of Rockwell Collins’ air transport systems. “But I’ll tell you what: It’s really phenomenal when you think about the success that the Boeing systems are having in the flight test program.” Rockwell Collins makes cockpit electronics for the Dreamliner. The company has a contract with Boeing valued at $3.5 billion over the life of the Dreamliner program. Standerski describes a cohesive design and manufacturing process that involves constant communication between Boeing, Rockwell Collins, Honeywell International, GE and Hamilton Sundstrand, who also work on airplane systems. He said Boeing contacted suppliers in the earliest stages of the 787 program and set up identical labs for engineers at the various companies. “Things have gotten more obviously complex on airplanes because of the increased functionality that is on airplanes,” Standerski said. Integrated architecture eventually will become the norm in plane-making, Standerski said, noting comparable construction practices on the Airbus A350. “It’s going to continue to force companies to innovate,” he said. “It’s going to continue to force companies to make the investments in research and development to make sure that we’re working on the technology for those next-generation airplanes.” HOW WILL THIS PLANE BE JUDGED? By now, Boeing has about 850 orders for the Dreamliner on its books from airlines and aircraft leasing companies all over the world. It’s a record number of orders for a plane still in development. Aviation experts remain thrilled by the plane’s reported fuel-efficiency as well the promise of a smooth, quiet, comfortable ride for passengers. Their delight was on full display in July when hordes of plane spotters gathered on the perimeter of the Farnborough Airshow in England to watch the Dreamliner land after its first overseas flight. Aviation buffs inside and outside of Boeing frequently call the 787 a “game-changer.” “It’s still a plane with a very broad and eager market,” said Teal Group’s Aboulafia. “It’s going to take them a long time to make money with this. But eventually — assuming it works out — they’re going to sell thousands.” Meanwhile, the more than 50 customers for the plane have mostly withheld public criticism of Boeing, despite the havoc that delivery delays play with their long-term fleet planning. Analysts believe Boeing has probably already paid out hundreds of millions of dollars in penalty payments for late delivery. Boeing has not said what it has spent on the Dreamliner program so far. But experts believe the plane is at least several billion dollars over budget. In the end, the Dreamliner will be judged on its safety, reliability and ability to deliver on its many promises, said Ray Goforth, executive director of the SPEEA union in Seattle. “The real test on the 787 is going to come in its first year in service,” he said. The reliability rate of the Dreamliner will have to be near 100 percent to appease cost-conscious airlines that cannot afford to have a plane frequently out of service for repairs. “If it turns out that this thing is a dog because more and more of these problems are still cropping up, you are going to have to fix them quick and keep that level of confidence in the plane, or those orders will just evaporate,” Goforth said. At the same time, the Dreamliner and Boeing will also be judged on their impact on U.S. labor and American engineering. The Dreamliner will be delivered sooner or later. And someday the same planes now parked in Everett may be the first of thousands of 787s to take their place in the skies among other Boeing icons like the jumbo 747 and the shorter-range workhorse 737. But Boeing employees in the Puget Sound region are increasingly bitter about a corporate culture they say erodes the skills of American workers and makes their company less attractive to young people entering the job market. They hope Boeing leaders will soon see things their way. Judging by its statements — including the emailed comments to Reuters — the company and its critics may not be so far apart on the issue of outsourcing. “We made too many changes at the same time — new technology, new design tools and a change in the supply chain — and thus outran our ability to manage it effectively for a period of time,” the company said. “In short, we have learned, and we are applying our learning.” (Reporting by Kyle Peterson and Tim Hepher; Editing by Jim Impoco and Claudia Parsons) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Mark Engler: The Rich Can Already Call It a Year

January 7, 2011

Well, 2011, it’s been nice. But I think we’ve worked enough already. In any case, we’ve already made enough money. Time to call it a year. This is a ridiculous idea, right? Yet, as the Canadian Financial Post reported at the beginning of the week, “Top CEOs will have earned average workers’ full annual pay by 2:30 p.m. today.” The “today” in question was Monday, January 3, the first business day of the year. Here’s their explanation: Canada’s best-paid chief executives earned 155 times the average income earner during the darkest days of the recession, the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives said in a report Monday. Declaring that those 100 chief executives were “recession proof,” the think tank said they earned an average of $6.6 million in 2009 compared with $42,988 for the average Canadian. That means by 2:30 p.m. Monday, the first working day of the year, those CEOs will have earned the full year’s wage of the average Canadian, said Hugh Mackenzie, the author’s study and research associate for the centre. I’m not sure how the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives , when producing this brilliant bit of PR, crunched the numbers to come up with the exact time of 2:30 p.m. on January 3. However, their general point stands. And, in fact, the situation is even worse in the United States. Here, as the AFL-CIO has tracked , the average compensation for a Fortune 500 CEO is $9.25 million per year. Even if we grant that these businesspeople are workaholics putting in seventy-hour workweeks and taking no vacation, that comes to $2,541 for every hour they labor. Calling it quits after the first week of January, these American CEOs would each be able to take home an annual income of over $177,000. Whether the world would be worse off if they did check out for the rest of the year is a debatable point. As CNN Money has noted , not all of the companies run by the top-twenty-earning CEOs were even profitable. For example, in 2009 Johnson & Johnson experienced its first annual sales decline in seventy-six years, yet its CEO, William Weldon, was nevertheless paid $22.8 million , in large part for making “difficult personnel decisions.” (Translation: firing as many as 8,000 workers.) Of course, even these Fortune 500 CEOs are not making money very quickly by the standards of the financial sector. The New York Times reported that the top twenty-five hedge fund managers made $25.3 billion between them in 2009, with George Soros personally raking in $3.3 billion. That’s $8.2 million per day. It goes without saying that, while the incomes of the rich may be “recession proof,” that is not the case for the wages of the rest of us. But a lot of people don’t realize that this is not just a result of the recession of the past couple years. Over the last several decades, as earnings at the very top have skyrocketed, incomes for those outside of the top 20 percent have been basically stagnant, with productivity gains not translating into wage increases . And we are working ever more hours just to stay afloat. I have written a couple times before about Take Back Your Time Day , which takes place on October 24 each year. The notion behind this holiday is that if working hours in the United States were on par with those in Germany, the Netherlands, or Norway, then, come October 24, we’d be able to take the rest of the year off. If you don’t want to use those other countries as points of comparison, that date could be adjusted. Economist Juliet Schor explains that “the average worker [in the U.S. was] putting in 204 more hours in 2006 than in 1973.” That’s a full five weeks of extra work per year. If Americans just worked the same amount they did in the early 1970s, we’d be able to finish up our working year on about November 25. This would mean turning the entire month of December into a glorious annual sabbatical. Or we could spread the free time out over the entire year. (Three Fridays off per month, anyone?) The result: a far more reasonable balance between work, family, and leisure — a standard of life that used to be widely enjoyed in this country. Certainly, that’s not as sweet as being able to take your hard-earned week’s pay of $177,000 and clocking out from now until 2012. But it’s something the rest of us can dream of — and demand. Cross-posted from the “Arguing the World” blog at Dissent magazine.

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Marc Middleton: Growing Bolder: What Was Under Your Tree?

January 3, 2011

What was on your holiday wish list?” If you’re over 50, advertising and marketing executives think it’s the same things that have been on the list of 50-plus consumers for the past five decades — not much and not very exciting. Amazingly, most “experts” still subscribe to the outdated and outright ridiculous belief that all 50-plus consumers are poor, overly frugal, highly technophobic and averse to switching brands. As a result, they spend all of their efforts trying to attract 18-year-olds with little money and attention spans roughly equivalent to the squirrels in my back yard. The notion that 50-plus consumers are extremely brand-loyal and therefore not worth targeting with marketing dollars defies common sense. The truth is, we are less brand-loyal than ever because we’re smarter than ever. We know how to research. We’ve learned that the shiniest object isn’t necessarily the best object. We don’t purchase to impress. We purchase to get high value and utility and because we have many new interests, we have many new needs. Most of the brands I buy didn’t even exist 10 years ago. My Christmas wish list this year included: a Garmin Forerunner 410 GPS watch, an Amazon Kindle, an Apple iPad, a Roland electronic drum set, a Flip camera, a Finis Swimp3 waterproof MP3 player and Joby Gorillamobile for iPhone. I’m pretty sure I wasn’t marketed to by any of these companies. Sandy Scott, 70, on his $3000 bike How dismissive are television advertisers and marketers when it comes to the 50-plus demographic? Enough that Nielsen ratings come to a screeching and premature halt at age 54. And because Neilsen doesn’t track ratings over age 54, your local television station doesn’t care what you think. Literally. When the station does market research, the first question they ask is, “How old are you?” If the answer is over 54, they discontinue the interview. That made sense two decades ago. Today, it’s so laughable that it could be an SNL skit. NBC Universal recently called a press conference to report that its new research reveals that the 55-to-64 demographic is as vibrant as younger demographics in ad spending. They even went so far as to say “54-65 is the new 18-34.” Kudos to NBCU, but it’s not like they just discovered the new world. There is nothing in their aha! moment, their marketing epiphany, that hasn’t been said a hundred times, very clearly, by the likes of Ken Dychtwald , Mary Furlong , Chuck Nyren, Matt Thornhill , Dick Stroud, Brent Green and a dozen others. In some cases, major corporations and media networks hired and paid the above to tell them exactly that. And then they pretty much ignored what they learned. Of course, I’m not implying that everyone over 50 has money or leads a vibrant, active lifestyle. Fifty-plus is not only the largest demographic; it’s also the most diverse — in every imaginable way. It contains poverty and wealth; obesity, morbidity and extreme vitality. But here’s the simple, obvious and undeniable equation. From the whole, subtract the group with poor health and finances. What’s left is a very large and growing number of men and women who will continue to be the greatest consumers of all time for another 30 or 40 years. Mark my words — in 30 years, it will be commonplace for 90-year-olds to spend large sums of money traveling, skiing, dining out and buying the latest and greatest gadgets. The money spent by 90-year-olds will determine the success of many businesses. Change is coming in a way that will be too big to ignore. The proof is on the holiday wish lists of today’s 50-plus consumers. Smart companies are not waiting to react. They have already positioned themselves by beginning to actively court the 50-plus consumer in a thoughtful and respectful way. The others will learn that disliking a brand lasts longer than liking one. Banana George Blair barefoot waterskiing at 92

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Ebooks Now Outsell Paper Books On Web Bookstore

December 30, 2010

NEW YORK (AP) — Bookseller Barnes & Noble Inc. on Thursday said its line of Nook e-reading devices are the biggest-selling items in its history, and added it sold nearly 1 million e-books on Christmas Day. The New York company said its Nookcolor e-reader, which launched eight weeks before Christmas, was its top-selling gift of the holiday season. Barnes & Noble also said it now sells more digital books than physical books on its Web site. Nearly 1 million e-books were purchased on Christmas Day alone, the company said, with popular titles including James Patterson’s “Cross Fire” and Stieg Larsson’s “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo. Electronic book readers are a nascent but growing electronic category, and companies have so far been reticent to say exactly how many are selling. On Monday, Amazon.com, which sells the Kindle electronic book reader, said its third-generation Kindle was the bestselling product in its history, besting the seventh book in the Harry Potter series, “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows.” Forrester Research expects U.S. e-book sales to total $2.8 billion in 2015, up from nearly $1 billion in 2010. The research firm projects the number of e-readers and tablets in the U.S. will soar from more than 15 million in 2010 to nearly 60 million in 2015. Barnes & Noble shares fell 4 cents in light trading to $14.27. Amazon.com shares fell 22 cents to $183.15.

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Storms Delay $1B In Retail Spending

December 29, 2010

ATLANTA — The blizzard that swept through the Northeast on Sunday and Monday delayed $1 billion in retail spending, according to research firm ShopperTrak, but won’t derail a holiday shopping season expected to be the best since 2007. The effect won’t be as bad as last year’s pre-Christmas snowstorm that similarly paralyzed parts of the East Coast. That cost retailers an estimated $2 billion, according to weather research firm Planalytics. About $10 billion in retail sales usually occurs Dec. 26-27, ShopperTrak says. Bad weather likely delayed about 10 percent of that. The storm’s effects weren’t enough to change ShopperTrak’s estimate for a 4 percent gain over last year in revenue for the Nov. 1-Dec. 31 holiday season. Retailers will still see much of the spending when shoppers return to stores as streets are cleared and transportation restored. This year’s storm cost retailers 11.2 percent of their foot traffic Sunday and 13.9 percent Monday, ShopperTrak estimates. The fact that the day after Christmas fell on a Sunday this year might have hurt sales a bit even where it didn’t snow, ShopperTrak founder Bill Martin said, because of local laws that limit or ban Sunday hours in some places. Dec. 26 will rank 10th-busiest day of the holiday shopping season, the firm estimates. Last year, it was second-busiest behind Black Friday. Black Friday was again the busiest shopping day this year, with $10.69 billion in sales. Coming in second was Dec. 23, as last-minute shoppers picked up $7.86 billion in gifts and other items and gave retailers a strong finish. Strong sales the week ending Dec. 31, which accounts for about 15 percent of total holiday spending, could make this year the best holiday season ever. Earlier this week, MasterCard Advisors SpendingPulse, another research firm, said consumer spending excluding autos rose 5.5 percent to $584.3 billion from Nov. 5 through Dec. 24, compared with the same period a year ago. SpendingPulse tracks all forms of spending, including cash. The total beat the 2007 record of $566.3 billion for the period, though adjusted for inflation, it is slightly below the record.

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As Home Prices Drop, Economy Has ‘Serious Reasons To Worry’

December 29, 2010

Home prices have dropped across America more than expected, in a slide that has led some experts to predict that housing is headed for a double-dip. Yet. despite a glut of homes lingering in foreclosure proceedings, analysts say, that a recovery in the housing market will, in large part, depend on an overall economic recovery. Data released this week from the Standard & Poors/Case-Shiller index across 20 major U.S. cities fell 1.3% in October from September, the third straight national decline. Six cities — Atlanta, Miami, Seattle, Tampa, Charlotte, North Carolina, and Portland, Oregon — have hit new lows since the housing market began to struggle in 2006 and 2007. Atlanta showed the steepest decline, with prices falling 2.9 percent from the prior month. “If home prices continue on this pace down, I think the economy has serious reasons to worry,” Yale economist Robert J. Shiller — and co-creator of the Case-Shiller Index — told the Wall Street Journal in a recent interview. (SCROLL DOWN FOR VIDEO.) Bad news in the housing market could ripple through to consumer spending, which has recently shown heartening gains this holiday season. Consumer spending makes up about 70 percent of the economy. “Our concern on the double-dip is the consumer and the fate of the consumer,” said Allen Sinai, chief economist at Decision Economics, Inc. “I think the lack of stable prices is a negative consumer fundamental for spending.” With unemployment mired at 9.8 percent, the housing market is hinged upon the job market. “The economy has to recover for the housing market to recover, not the other way around,” said Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS Global Insight. Homes remain a major part of many Americans’ wealth — households held $6.4 trillion of home equity at the end of the third quarter, according to a Federal Reserve report. “It’s unfortunate because a lot of families have all their wealth in their house, all their savings,” said Sinai. “Household spending in general is hurt. There’s a restraint on consumer spending.” The latest data has led some to predict that home prices are headed for a double-dip. “The double-dip is almost here There is no good news in October’s report,” David M. Blitzer, the Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P said in a press release . “Home prices across the country continue to fall. The trends we have seen over the past few months have not changed.” A broad housing market decline, many experts say, could continue through 2011. “We expect house prices to decline again slightly in 2011. We’re projecting ultimately they’ll bottom in the third quarter of next year” said Alex Miron, an associate economist at Moody’s Analytics. “We’re expecting peak-to-trough decline of more than 30 percent.” But not everyone believes that a housing double-dip is inevitable. The 2010 numbers look particularly grim because of the expiration of the first-time home buyer credit in April, according to Stuart Hoffman, chief economist at PNC. “I think the bottom line is, the drop in the past couple of months is comparing [numbers] to a year ago, exaggerated by the supposed expiration of house credit, and the actual expiration,” said Hoffman. The drop in home prices was accompanied by an increase in the number of foreclosures in the third quarter. Newly initiated foreclosures went up to 382,000 in the third quarter, at 31.2 percent spike from the second quarter, according to a report by the Office of of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision . As a mass of foreclosed homes hits the market, home prices are likely to languish. “Until the market works through those [homes], the house prices are going to be flat [or] down,” said Miron. He pointed to the growing number of homes that are owned by a lender, but have gone through the default process and have failed to sell at auction. “These are the homes that are most likely to be sold at bargain basement prices,” he said. “There are almost 1 million, and the number has been rising for the past three years.” WATCH Robert Shiller’s interview with the WSJ below:

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Video: Johnson Says Storm Won’t Have Big Impact on Retail Sales

December 28, 2010

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) — Craig Johnson, president of Customer Growth Partners LLC, discusses U.S. retail sales during the holiday season. Johnson speaks with Carol Massar on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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EURUSD Is Preferred Scalping Target in Thin Holiday Trading

December 28, 2010

EURUSD Is Preferred Scalping Target in Thin Holiday Trading

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Foreclosure Paperwork Scandal: Where Things Stand

December 27, 2010

Some struggling homeowners are currently getting a temporary reprieve from foreclosure sales and evictions during the holiday season, but that doesn’t mean all foreclosure cases have stopped moving through the courts — and it doesn’t mean we’re done covering the developments in the foreclosure scandal either. Here’s where things stand:

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The 14th Banker: Year-End Perspective on Corruption

December 27, 2010

Perhaps it is time to explain the tone of my holiday greeting, in which I expressed optimism. Happy Holidays to all. It has been an eventful year. This is the season of hope and, despite all the matters that we have criticized over this past year, I am full of hope. There are well-meaning people all around us. Those that are not well-meaning, are generally uninformed, misinformed, or unskillful in their thinking. All of these things can change. We are in an evolutionary process. At times it will seem like we are stepping back. Yet we are moving forward. While I have been enjoying the presence of friends and family and relaxing in the spirit and ambiance of the season, the media and blogosphere have continued to do heavy lifting.  We will get to that in a minute.  But first, my reason for optimism. Given the religious nature of Christmas itself, it is entirely appropriate to look to our spiritual traditions to consider the circumstances of our present day. The trend that encourages me has been a theme of all major spiritual traditions, which emphasize the ideas of “light” and “truth” as essentially redemptive. They are redemptive in our present day lives in two ways. The first is that the realization of truth is essentially healing inwardly (spiritual world). The second is that the truth moves us to action and provides impetus to heal ourselves and others outwardly (material world). And these two are synergistic. Inward strength enables outward action. (As an aside, I would invite readers to share along these lines from their spiritual traditions or personal reflections) So while I have rested, others have reported. The steady exposure of corruption in our system, the light that shines unwavering on the regimes of corruption, will have its effect. There is developing a common understanding that the system we have today is broken and that we must find the means to make it constructive.  Here are some of the worthy stories of the last 10 days. First off, on the theme of corruption, it would be silly to assume that the corruption we see in the financial system is anything other than a reflection of the corruption of power more generally. Here are two examples. In this first, it is reported that the revolving door between government and industry is as active in the realm of the military as in the financial realm. The Boston Globe highlights that the normal path for retiring senior military officers, whose pensions are already generous, is to go to work in influential and non-transparent ways for defense contractors. The Globe analyzed the career paths of 750 of the highest ranking generals and admirals who retired during the last two decades and found that, for most, moving into what many in Washington call the “rent-a-general” business is all but irresistible. From 2004 through 2008, 80 percent of retiring three- and four-star officers went to work as consultants or defense executives, according to the Globe analysis. The article goes on to illustrate how these retiring officers have inside tracks into the Pentagon and wield influence without disclosure of their financial conflicts of interests. This does remind me of one aspect of the banking business, which is that “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” is much more than a policy regarding gays in the military. It is the practice of people who know that there are ethical issues or conflicts of interest and consciously choose to do nothing about them because of mutual benefit. A second example of corruption generally is in relation to academia and industry.   This is a video interview so I can’t quote it here, but the gist is that economists that opine on regulatory matters, have undisclosed financial conflicts of interest with the companies that would be affected by regulation. Another outstanding piece from recent days is this written interview with Bill Black , from Parker and Spitzer. It is succinct and readable. The emergence of Black as a very articulate and visible critic of the culture of fraud is significant. One feature of our system of media is that for messages to get out, they have to be repeated over and over. Many academics do their research, publish a paper, perhaps write a book, and then their voice fades. Black is showing an endurance that provides hope that he can move the needle of perception. What is different about Black’s approach is that he is very clear and specific in his charges. He does not generalize. He is very specific about how certain frauds work. This will make general denials less effective. There was also a meaningful judicial ruling against Wells Fargo . Hat tip Naked Capitalism . What makes this ruling interesting is that although it set aside a minor part of the jury award, a $1.6 million issue, to be subject to a new trial, is that it was punitive as a result of the judge’s determination that the fraud was systematic. It is unusual to award the payment of the plaintiff’s attorney’s fees, or to order disgorgement of fees paid for services (the other component of the additional $15 million plus is interest on the $29.9 million). The basis for awarding attorneys’ fees? The bank is such a menace to society that having counsel root it out is a public service. From the  Minneapolis Star Tribune (hat tip reader Ted L): The judge said that the nonprofits’ lawyers, led by Minneapolis litigator Mike Ciresi, provided a “public benefit” by bringing the bank’s wrongdoing to light. Thus, Monahan said, the bank must pay the plaintiffs’ attorneys fees and costs, which Ciresi’s firm estimated at more than $15 million… Terry Fruth, a Minneapolis attorney who has been watching the case closely on behalf of his clients, said Monahan’s post-trial order could help other investors prove similar claims against the bank. “The judge didn’t just find that Wells Fargo acted with disregard to the rights and interests of the particular plaintiffs,” Fruth said of Monahan. “He said the way it ran the program was with disregard to the rights of the customers. … He has made a finding that is going to bind Wells Fargo in other cases.” The judge made very astute observations about how business works these days. Executives create the environment in which unethical business practices can flourish, but want to keep a level of plausible deniability. That is a pretense. Finally for today, this article about how the FinReg was effectively diluted. The source is a Barron’s article but Yves Smith provides the commentary. Here’s a quote to whet your appetite. But since there has been a singular lack of appetite to do adequate forensics into what caused the crisis, since it might prove to be embarrassing to people still in powerful positions, regulators can follow the inertial course of listening to the palaver that the financial services industry puts forward to allow it to continue looting. So back to my original premise, all this bad news is reason for hope, in that it shines light in dark, hidden places. This light will shape the common understanding, and the common understanding will shape future choices. However, it will be up to us to make those choices. If there is any unifying theme to these articles, it is that those in positions of power are not the ones that will support change in the system. Rather change in the system can only come through action on the part of the vast majority of citizens who do not have a stake in the status quo.

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After Christmas Sales 2010: Retailers Roll Out Deals As Snow Threatens East

December 26, 2010

ATLANTA — An East Coast snowstorm put a damper on after-Christmas shopping on Sunday. But shoppers across the rest of the country scoured clearance racks and spent gift cards during the afterglow of the best holiday season for retailers since 2007. Washington, D.C., was expecting 5 to 8 inches of snow Sunday. Blizzard warnings were issued in New York and parts of New England. Predictions called for 11 to 16 inches of snow in New York City. “The forecast will tend to keep them at home, it’s not the best day for shopping,” said Scott A. Bernhardt, chief operating officer at weather research firm Planalytics. Because the storm is after Christmas, the loss will be less significant than last year’s snowstorm the Saturday before Christmas that buried much of the same area. That one cost retailers about $2 billion. This time, there’s no Dec. 25 deadline. “People will just wait a day to do exchanges and use their gift cards. It’s no big deal,” said Greg Maloney, CEO of the retail practice of Jones Lang LaSalle, which manages malls throughout the country. He expects December revenue to grow 7 percent to 10 percent from last year. Revenue rose 10 to 15 percent the week before Christmas, he said. Strong sales this week would build on the highest-spending holiday season since 2007, which was a record year. Dec. 26-Jan. 1 makes up less than 10 percent of the Nov 1-Dec. 31 season but accounts for more than 15 percent of holiday spending, research firm ShopperTrak says. The day after Christmas was the second-highest revenue day for retailers last year with $7.9 billion spent, according to ShopperTrak. Shoppers were out before the snow at Roosevelt Field Mall on New York’s Long Island, Wall Street Strategies analyst Brian Sozzi said. “Traffic is pretty solid as people are getting returns done before the storm,” he said. Some stores were light on inventory. The Gap was missing many sizes of sweaters and items from the Gap Body pajama and underwear collection were sold out. Inventory at Guess and Macy’s looked picked over, he said. Lorraine McGrath, 54, wanted to pick up pajamas for her husband at J.C. Penney in New York on Sunday morning. She was one of the first people in the store but couldn’t find big-and-tall pajamas to fit her husband. At Best Buy at Atlantic Center mall in Brooklyn, Marie Brown, visiting from Florida, was disappointed to find a laptop computer advertised at $200 off long gone. “We should have come earlier, because what we wanted was totally sold out,” she said. She bought another laptop at $60 off. “We still saved money.” Across the country, stores expanded their hours and in some cases brought in fresh merchandise. Marshal Cohen, chief industry analyst at market research firm NPD Group, said strong after-Christmas sales would be icing on the holiday cake for retailers. “They came into December having made money,” he said. “If December is prosperous, that will lead them to feel confident in 2011, and that’s really what this last week is all about.” ___ AP Writer Emily Fredrix and Sara Frazier in New York, Ray Henry in Atlanta and Barbara Rodriguez in Miami contributed to this report.

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Art Levine: No Home for Xmas: Can Labor — or Anyone — Stop the Foreclosure Mess?

December 24, 2010

As Americans head home for the holidays or look forward to a Christmas meal with friends and family nearby, it’s worth remembering that over two million people have had their homes repossessed in the last few years — and another 6.5 million are in foreclosure or will face it soon. Thousands of current and pending foreclosures may have been carried out due to forged documents, bank negligence or lack of court authority to do so. And as NPR reported recently, people like Jennifer Ryan-Voltaire may be spending their last Christmas in the home that Wells Fargo now owns after it allegedly lost her tax paperwork needed to stay in a loan modification program. As NPR noted: “We’re trying to make it as fun for the kids as possible without them knowing or having to worry about what we’re going through,” says Voltaire, an office manager at a medical practice. She hasn’t told her three kids that they don’t own their house anymore.

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Rabbi Shmuley Boteach: Will Banks and JP Morgan Chase Be More Ethical in the Coming Year?

December 24, 2010

Tis’ the season to be jolly. Er.. if you’re a Wall Street banker, that is, where billions in end-of-year bonuses are about to rain down like manna from heaven. Wall Street is the one place in America where the economic downturn has not reached. Over the holiday period flashy Ferraris will be fired up and driven off showroom floors. The Hamptons will emerge from a deep winter thaw, warmed by the fires of credit cards working at such a feverish pace that plastic will be hard-pressed not to melt. Oh yes, happy days are here again. If only the prophet Amos were alive to see it, he might have proclaimed, “Let champagne flow like a river; Don Perignon like a mighty spring.” King David would likewise have cheered, “Yay, though I walk through the valley of the shadow of unemployment, I shall fear no recession, for my government bailouts are with me… My cash runneth over.” OK, ok. So I sound a little bit envious. I confess. But only a little. I do not begrudge the success of my Wall Street brothers. Not because I have mastered jealousy but because I make a living counseling people whose lives are in crisis. And I’ve discovered that the only thing that buys happiness on this earth is a life lived as a blessing to others. Excessive consumption is naught by a manifestation of the black hole at our center and the human need to fill it with an endless supply of adult toys (OK, calm down. I mean, of course, the more respectable, if somewhat infantile, adult toys of the car, yacht, and plane variety). Not that there aren’t many Wall Street bankers who fill their lives with virtue rather than Hermes. Many of my former Oxford students run hedge funds and work on the street. The majority of them make money to give it away to the needy around the world and support their families in dignity. They reject conspicuous consumption, live faith-based lives, and are communally engaged. But they might just be the exception that proves the rule. There can be little doubt that the success of the banking industry is critical to the success of the overall American economy. But that success dare not be made off the backs of hard-working Americans. Let them Wall Street traders be paid a king’s ransom. Let them eat cake. But when government bailouts are chiefly responsible for their astronomical profits, then they better make darn sure that the spigot is not suddenly turned off for desperate homeowners who need modifications to stay in their homes. I used to have a much higher opinion of Wall Street and indeed, as I wrote above, many of my closest friends are bankers. But a series of unfortunate incidents soured me, nearly all of them with JP Morgan Chase and its subdivision Bear Stearns. I have earlier written of Bear Stearns’ losing about forty percent of my retirement savings and then trying to triple charge me with fees when another trader moved the money into mutual funds. Wow. You’d think that after everything my wife and I had been through they would at least not try and gouge me. I shared how an old and influential friend at the bank then told me that any attempt to recover the paltry $3900 I had requested, amid losses of tens of thousands, due to consequences of the triple-charging on the part of the young trader, would be labeled extortion. Bigger wow! If you complain they threaten you? Nobody likes to be threatened or bullied so I had no choice but to sue Bear Stearns. I have tried to settle the suit. Bear is offering a pittance. Still I indicated a willingness to accept the small sum to simply put the matter behind me. This was never about money but about a regular person showing Wall Street that they can’t simply push us around. But the draconian confidentiality terms Bear is demanding is making even a small settlement difficult. As a writer, broadcaster, and columnist, I talk about the state of the economy and the state of our banks as an important barometer of the overall health of our nation’s values. And it seems to me that rather than large institutions like Bear Stearns try to gag people from being critical, especially when it is the only remedy available to us given our weakness in taking on multi-billion dollar institutions, it is better to correct their inner culture to act fairly and ethically in the first place. The New York Times Magazine recently ran a cover story that seemed like a puff piece on JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon entitled, “America’s Least-Hated Banker.” (That’s what passes for a compliment for bankers today.) I would like to believe that he’s a good guy. Perhaps he is the genius they say he is (though I was startled to see writer Roger Lowenstein disclose halfway through the piece that “my mother is friendly with Dimon’s parents.” I kind of wondered why he was selected him to write the profile.) But to prove it, Dimon must demonstrate that he is changing the culture at Bear Stearns and JP Morgan Chase and that he gets that while it’s nice to make bucket loads of money and afford the luxuries of life, it’s even more important to uphold the highest ethical standards while doing so. Rabbi Shmuley Boteach is founder of This World: The Values Network, an organization dedicated to promoting universal Jewish values in the culture. The international best-selling author of 24 books, his most recent work is “Renewal: A Guide to the Values-Filled Life.” Follow him on Twitter @RabbiShmuley.

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Fantastic Friday: Will Christmas Eve Shoppers Set Spending Record?

December 24, 2010

NEW YORK — It’s Black Friday, The Sequel. Stores are rolling out deals and expect to be swimming in shoppers on Christmas Eve as stragglers take advantage of a day off work. For retailers, the last-minute rush caps the best year since 2007, and possibly ever. With Christmas falling on a Saturday this year, Friday is a holiday for most U.S. workers. That lets shoppers hit the stores first thing in the morning. “I’m calling it Fantastic Friday, because I really do think it’s going to be one of the busiest days of the year,” said Marshal Cohen, chief fashion industry analyst with researcher NPD Group. A strong Christmas Eve would round out a surprisingly successful holiday season for retailers. The National Retail Federation predicts that holiday spending will reach $451.5 billion this year, up 3.3 percent over last year. That would be the biggest year-over-year increase since 2006, and the largest total since spending hit a record $452.8 billion in 2007. A strong finish could even give 2010 the crown. While both are heavy shopping days, Christmas Eve draws a different breed of buyer than Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving and the unofficial start to the holiday shopping season. “Those who get up and brave the cold on Black Friday are usually looking for hot items, not only to buy gifts but to score something for themselves,” said Kathy Grannis, a spokeswoman for the National Retail Federation. “They’re planners, and they map out what they want to buy.” Shoppers who come out on Christmas Eve, on the other hand, were either waiting for the biggest discounts or they didn’t have the money to spend earlier, she said. Or they just tend to dilly-dally. While many Black Friday shoppers relish the hunt, last-minute buyers are harried and focused on getting things done. And true to stereotype, they are mostly men, said Dan Jasper, spokesman for Mall of America in Bloomington, Minn. Accordingly, stores push men’s and women’s sweaters in their circulars, while shoes and children’s apparel take a back seat. Jewelry also tends to be a top last-minute gift item, though that category has been strong throughout the season. E-commerce has driven much of the holiday’s spending growth. For the season to-date, $28.36 billion has been spent online, a 12 increase over last year, according to research firm comScore. Online shoppers spent $900 million last weekend alone. Many people who postponed their shopping this year blame busy schedules. The number of hours U.S. workers are putting in at the office each week has been on the upswing since the official end of the recession in June 2009, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That leaves less time for shopping during the week. Vivian Lowe, 34, works for an ad agency in Atlanta and didn’t start her shopping until Wednesday. “It just caught up with me this year,” she said. She spent Thursday at the Lenox Square Mall in Atlanta and plans to hit Target on Christmas Eve because she sees it as a one-stop shop. Procrastinators like Lowe shouldn’t hit too many snags. Store inventories are not as depleted as last year, when merchants scared about having too many leftovers saw some empty shelves near the end of the season. But shoppers are not seeing the 75-percent-off-everything fire sales that characterized the 2008 holiday. Still, many stores are offering discounts this week. Express’s store at the Manhattan Mall in midtown had a huge yellow sign in its storefront window promoting an “end of the season 50 percent sale” on selected items. Macy’s is offering 30 percent off some bags and jewelry, while the Gap is applying that markdown to everything in the store. At CVS, there are buy-two-get-one free deals on bath-and-body gift sets and discounts on a 7-inch LCD TV and DVD player combo. Ron and Lisa Johnson of Indianapolis came to Circle Center Mall Thursday morning just to buy boots for their 20-year-old daughter, Kaitlyn Shirar. Nearly four hours later, they sat on a bench with a pile of bags from Nine West, H&M and Forever 21. “We haven’t found anything that wasn’t on sale,” Lisa said. Retailers say shoppers have mostly stuck to a big lesson taught by the recession: using cash, not credit. Toward the end of the season, they pulled out the plastic a little more often, but that’s normal. Overall, analysts consider the increased spending a sign more consumers have paid down debt and have cash to spend. Besides sales, retailers are finding other ways to accommodate procrastinators. Many stores, including Best Buy Co., let shoppers order online and then pick up the merchandise at the store. Best Buy’s deadline to order on its website is 3 p.m. Christmas Eve, and most stores close at 6 p.m. Amy Adoniz, the store manager at Best Buy’s store in Union Square in Manhattan, said that as of midday Thursday, 16 people were in line to pick up items ordered on its website. 7-Eleven convenience stores, always handy in a pinch, will be open all day on Christmas and are expanding their gift-worthy offerings by stocking a broader selection of wines, hand-held games and stuffed animals. Toys R Us plans to keep its doors open until 10 p.m. Friday, but is taking a different tack from the discounters, raising prices on some popular toys to take advantage of shoppers’ desperation. It bumped up the prices of the Leapster Explorer hand-held learning device by $20 and the Nerf Stampede Blaster by $5, said Gerrick Johnson, a toy analyst at BMO Capital Markets. “Retailers are realizing that rather than give these toys away, they can actually make a profit on them,” Johnson said. If all else fails, shoppers will fall back on gift cards. Spending on the plastic vouchers is expected to reach nearly $25 billion this holiday season, 5 percent more than last year, according to the National Retail Federation. Michelle Jose, marketing manager for White Marsh Mall in White Marsh, Md., says that more than half of the mall’s gift card sales for the entire year are made in the last three days before Christmas and she expects “strong sales to finish up the holiday.” Ian McCarty, 26, who lives in Atlanta and works for Emory Healthcare, was finding good deals at Lenox Square Mall on Thursday, but had trouble finding the right sizes. He picked up a gift card at Gap and was on his way to Talbot’s to pick another one up for his mother. “It’s the easiest thing to do,” he said. ____ AP Retail Write Mae Anderson in Atlanta and AP Business Writer Tom Murphy in Indianapolis contributed to this story.

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Consumer Spending Back Normal? Not So Fast

December 23, 2010

NEW YORK (Reuters) – As U.S. retailers get ready to box up their Christmas decorations after a better-than-expected holiday season, many shoppers plan to join them by putting their wallets back in storage. Consumers hit stores in droves this year and are feeling better about their prospects. But they still confront bleak job prospects and still are trying to pay down their hefty debt loads. That sets the stage for a “spending diet” come January, which could weigh on U.S. economic growth, since consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of the U.S. economy. If gasoline prices — back above $3 a gallon this week even before crude oil hit two-year year highs — continue to rise in 2011, the spending squeeze could be even steeper. “At this point I refuse to put anything on credit. If I don’t have the money, I don’t buy it,” said Jeff McErlain, a Brooklyn, New York, musician shopping at upscale department store Saks on Manhattan’s Fifth Avenue on Wednesday. He plans to remain thrifty in the coming months, a sentiment echoed by other U.S. consumers. “I have to contain myself, because I am not working as much,” said Abdiel Munoz, a New York-based freelance photographer. The strong start to the holiday season in late November reflected pent-up demand after two weak Christmas seasons, plus attractive deals designed to lure shoppers. It did not signal a return to frenzied spending, analysts and shoppers said. “They put off purchases and they want to spend a little bit more,” said Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi. But shoppers are not returning to the “high spending, high borrowing” seen during the boom, he said. The result is likely to be pronounced lulls between the two major shopping seasons — back-to-school in late summer and the five weeks leading up to Christmas. Consumer confidence certainly is improving. The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for December reached its highest level in six months, and personal income edged upward in October and November, supporting the fifth straight monthly gain in U.S. consumer spending, according to data released on Thursday. But an unemployment rate at 9.8 percent and roughly 15 million Americans out of work, not to mention millions more working part-time who would prefer a full-time job, bodes ill for a robust recovery in spending. Households, moreover, remain focused on deleveraging, which further constrains the outlook. Consumers for 24 months in a row have been paying down mortgage and other debt, which reached record levels before the 2007-2008 recession. By the end of September, they had paid off $922 billion in debt since the third quarter of 2008, but they still have $11.6 trillion outstanding, according to the New York Federal Reserve. This was money that previously had supported consumer-driven growth. PENNEY’S VS WAL-MART Top U.S. retailers this month reported that November sales at stores in business for at least one year rose by 6 percent from the same month a year ago, far above the 3.6 percent forecast. The robust sales have lifted consumer stocks this year. The S&P Retail Index hit a 3 1-2 year high in early December and has rallied 24.7 percent in 2010, almost twice the pace of overall gains in the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index. Wall Street analysts are expecting December comparable sales to be a little more muted, up 3.6 percent led by discounters and department stores, according to Thomson Reuters. J.C. Penney Co Inc is one of the retailers aggressively courting consumers. It has kept up a steady pace of promotions and ramped up mobile applications that help shoppers download coupons remotely. It has even run out of items such as its popular St. John’s Bay cashmere-blend women’s pea coats at some stores. “Price is still very important, but at the same time we’re seeing them look for more exciting gifts,” said Liz Sweney, Penney’s co-chief merchant. Penney’s strategy has proven effective. A survey done last week by America’s Research Group and UBS found Penney saw a big rise in visits from shoppers, while Wal-Mart Stores Inc faltered. The National Retail Federation recently raised its outlook for holiday sales by 1 percentage point to a gain of 3.3 percent from a year ago. But that would still leave retail sales at $451.4 billion during November and December, not quite back to the $452.8 billion level in 2007, before the financial market meltdown. “When jobs come back, that’s when spending comes back,” said FBR Capital Markets analyst Liz Dunn. BARGAIN HUNTING HERE TO STAY The season’s fast start was propelled by deals and heavy promotions that experts say will remain a fixture in 2011. “The consumer has been trained to expect that a great deal is coming, so there’s no need to buy today,” said David Bassuk, who leads AlixPartners’ global retail practice. Many investors are betting on both the high and low end of the retail spectrum this year, seeing that the American consumer is feeling a little more confident but still needs a bargain. Luxury companies such as Coach Inc and Tiffany & Co which never slashed prices will have an easier time in 2011, analysts said. Off-price retailers TJX Cos Inc and Ross Stores and their competitors will also continue to do well. “Shoppers still want brand names, they just want them at a low price,” said Nomura Securities analyst Paul Lejuez. U.S. savings as a percentage of disposable income continues well above 5 percent, compared with the sub-2 percent savings rate in 2005, when Americans were tapping home equity loans to go shop. That rate is in line with levels in the 1990s before the credit explosion. U.S. families have paid down a lot of their household debt. J.P. Morgan analyst Michael Feroli said in a note to clients on Friday, but warned that that “will continue for many years.” Sherriae Saunders, a homemaker shopping at a Penney store in New York, said paying down debt is an “absolute priority” in 2011. (Reporting by Phil Wahba and Dhanya Skariachan; additional reporting by Jon Lentz, editing by Matthew Lewis)

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Holiday Shoppers Sprint To End; Retail Revenue Up

December 23, 2010

NEW YORK — Holiday shoppers are racing to the end of the season at a more feverish pace this year, with retail revenue up 5.5 percent during the last weekend before Christmas. The figure, released by ShopperTrak on Wednesday, is a drastic improvement from the same weekend last year, when revenue dropped 6.2 percent because a big East Coast snowstorm closed malls and kept shoppers at home. This year’s improvement is especially encouraging for retailers, for whom a big weekend all but sealed a shopping season of healthy revenue gains. ShopperTrak reported shoppers spent $18.83 billion Dec. 17-19. That includes $7.58 billion spent on what retailers call “Super Saturday” – the Saturday before Christmas. The number of shoppers rose 3 percent over the weekend before Christmas last year. ShopperTrak expects retail spending to rise 4 percent for the holiday season. It fell 0.4 percent during the 2009 season. Anything over 4 percent is considered a healthy gain. The final days leading up to Christmas are important for retailers. Some do a third of their annual business during the season. The final countdown to Christmas is especially important. ShopperTrak estimates that the 10 days before Christmas usually make up 31 percent to 34 percent of holiday-season retail revenue. Consumers appeared to be in the mood to hit just one location for their shopping needs, with Thomson Reuters reporting that traffic at malls was higher on Super Saturday than a year ago. But ShopperTrak anticipates this Thursday will likely edge out Super Saturday to become the second-biggest sales day this season behind Black Friday, as last-minute shoppers scramble to pick up gifts. Black Friday sales were $10.69 billion, according to ShopperTrak. The Walking Co. store at Circle Centre Mall in downtown Indianapolis has seen a steady flow of customers. “We’re at least breaking even with where we were last year, if not better,” manager Robert Stapleton said. Recent data from MasterCard Advisors’ SpendingPulse, which tracks spending across all transactions including cash, shows Americans were spending more on clothing, luxury goods and even furniture during the period from Oct. 31 through Saturday. Online spending has also been strong. As of Friday, shoppers have spent $27.46 billion online since Nov. 1, up 12 percent from a year ago, according to research firm comScore Inc. Improved spending is also a sign that the economy may be regaining its footing. The Commerce Department reported earlier this month that November retail sales rose 0.8 percent, marking the fifth straight monthly gain. Department stores led the way with a 2.8 percent gain, the biggest for this category since a 3 percent increase in November 2008. Retailers are expected to have a strong December, with Thomson Reuters predicting that revenue at stores open at least a year will be up 3.6 percent on average for the month. Discount stores like Target Corp. and BJ’s Wholesale Club Inc. are expected to do well, along with teen clothing retailers like Abercrombie & Fitch Co. and Zumiez Inc. This figure is a key gauge of a retailer’s health because it measures results at existing stores instead of newly opened ones. ___ AP Business Writer Tom Murphy contributed to this story from Indianapolis.

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Corporate parties, gift-giving on the rise this holiday season

December 22, 2010

Corporate parties, gift-giving on the rise this holiday season

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Senate Kills Foreclosure Aid

December 21, 2010

WASHINGTON — Despite mounting evidence of big banks committing serious fraud in the foreclosure process, the U.S. Senate eliminated $35 million in legal aid to homeowners trying to keep their homes. The fund was wiped out in order to meet government spending caps advocated by Sens. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.) and Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), but will likely end up costing taxpayers much more in the long run, as wrongful foreclosures burn through the balance sheets of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The slashing of the foreclosure-assistance fund is just one casualty of Washington’s increasing bipartisan push to cut spending across the board. The $35 million fund was created by the Wall Street reform bill signed into law by President Barack Obama in July, but the Senate never took the additional necessary step of appropriating the money. Even if it had been appropriated, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) last week gave up on passing a budget for next year in the face of Republican opposition to earmarks . Although the dollar amount is tiny in comparison with other federal housing programs, legal aid funding is a critical to the foreclosure relief effort. Without hiring a good lawyer, it is extremely difficult for borrowers to successfully defend their homes against banks — even when banks are committing clear-cut violations. Recent reports suggest severe, nationwide problems with the mortgage system. A survey of 96 attorneys found that banks started foreclosure proceedings on 2,500 borrowers who were negotiating a loan modification. The survey was conducted by the National Association of Consumer Advocates and the National Consumer Law Center. According to a Dec. 13 report by the Congressional Oversight Panel, Obama’s main foreclosure prevention initiative, the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), will reach less than one-fourth of the borrowers it was intended to. And for the lucky few that do get help, the process can require years of legal wrangling. Over 29,000 borrowers have been stuck in trial modifications awaiting permanent relief for at least one year, according to the COP. Under program rules, the trial period is supposed to last for 3 months. Millions of other homeowners have been improperly denied loan modifications, charged illegal fees, and even improperly evicted. But for the $35 million legal aid fund to ever do borrowers any good, Congress had to actually set aside money for the program. And the Senate Appropriations Committee never did. As rhetoric about allegedly out-of-control government spending heated up this year, both Obama and members of Congress began touting plans to freeze discretionary spending. Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.) and Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) even authored a bill that would have implemented a three-year freeze on spending levels. While the bill never passed, it made new initiatives like the foreclosure relief fund very difficult to get through the appropriations committee, according to Senate aides familiar with the battle. The committee decided to follow the Sessions-McCaskill limit despite the fact that it didn’t have the force of law. McCaskill, who does not serve on the Appropriations Committee, insisted that she was not to blame in an interview with The Huffington Post. “I’m not an appropriator, so I don’t participate in the process of prioritizing. So I can’t speak to the priorities that they decided were most important. Clearly, going to Sessions-McCaskill levels of spending, that was a modest cut in what had been submitted by the president. It’s still an increase over last year. So I’m trying to figure out why they had to cut a program if in fact this budget reflects an increase over last year’s spending, which it does, a little short of two percent,” said McCaskill. Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, regretted the Senate failure. “We had a big fight in our committee and we won it to, to reauthorize $35 million and we’re hoping it gets appropriated,” he told HuffPost late last week. “I think McCaskill is wrong on these things. I understand she’s got some worries about her district, but she plays an unconstructive role in this,” said Frank. “These kind of restrictions on domestic spending with unlimited spending for the war — and you always have to talk about both — is a great mistake. And the liberal community’s got to focus more on Afghanistan, Iraq, NATO. NATO is a great drain on our treasury and serves no strategic purpose.” Frank said the overall deficit hysteria has tilted the debate. “The president plays into it with his freeze on domestic spending,” he said. “And particularly when you say we’re going to stick with where we are, how do you accommodate new things?” Critics say that targeting legal aid simply makes no sense in the context of the overall federal budget. “This is such a trivial sum — it’s what we spend on the military in about 20 minutes,” according to economist Dean Baker, co-Director of the Center for Economic Policy and Research. What’s more, by allowing borrowers to fight improper foreclosures, legal aid funding would almost certainly help ease taxpayer losses from fraudulent home seizures implemented by major banks. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Administration and the Department of Veterans Affairs all provide federal guarantees for mortgages. When those mortgages sour, government agencies are usually better off working out a mortgage modification with a borrower than foreclosing. But government agencies do not connect with borrowers — instead, they rely on private sector banks to interact and negotiate on their behalf. Since the banks make money from charging fees and conducting foreclosures, critics allege that banks are improperly pushing borrowers into trouble — at taxpayers’ expense. Legal aid funding to help borrowers could help limit those losses. “We don’t know how many foreclosures this will end up preventing, but given that we are willing to spend over $100 billion a year in tax subsidies to support people owning a home, it certainly seems reasonable to spend $35 million a year — less than 0.04 percent of this amount — to give them the chance to stay in their home,” Baker said. Frank said that the fiscal argument is counterproductive and that legal help should be given to homeowners in foreclosure as a matter of social justice. “Let’s not make that argument. We don’t know and you don’t know,” he said. “I’m for the money because I think it’s a matter of social justice. Let’s not try to [make] up that we think it’s going to save money in the long run, which we don’t know. And that’s not why we’re doing it.” Regardless, banks clearly come out winners in the plan. Fewer borrowers fighting foreclosures results in more bank revenue from foreclosure fees, and lower expenses for the banks. “The mortgage servicing industry is broken and that the effects of that broken system are being felt by America’s homeowners,” Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) told HuffPost. “If not for the tireless efforts of foreclosure attorneys, many families would have mistakenly lost their homes and the fraudulent and corrupt practices of the mortgage servicing industry may have never come to light.” The author of the legal aid provision, Rep. Mel Watt (D-N.C.) expressed frustration over the impasse in an interview with HuffPost, accusing the funds’ detractors of using budgetary gimmicks as an excuse to cut a program they didn’t support. “These funds are as important now as they were when we were trying to get them into the bill in the first place,” Watt said. “There were some people who didn’t want this fund all along. We had to work to get it in there, so it’s not surprising that they would try to come up with excuses to take it out.” Banks are likely to benefit from the death of the legal aid package, as borrowers find themselves financially unable to challenge improper fees and foreclosures. But the fund’s defeat is doubly unfortunate for struggling homeowners thanks to last week’s defeat of a separate legal aid bill in the House. The U.S. Treasury Department had refused to allow funds for the Wall Street bailout to be spent on legal aid for borrowers, citing a lack of legal authority. That decision came under fire from COP panelist Damon Silvers during a Dec. 16 hearing. “When hedge funds get money under [the bailout], I believe they get to pay for lawyers, and it puzzles me that a vast amount of TARP money has been expended on legal counsel for the benefit, obviously, of the government. It seems as though lawyers are understood to be a necessary and essential component of all the transactions that HAMP and TARP undertake, except when homeowners need the lawyers.” But Treasury had insisted that because the Wall Street overhaul included a $35 million legal aid fund, a separate fund was not necessary . Last week, House lawmakers from foreclosure-battered states attempted to push legislation that would explicitly authorize Treasury to extend legal aid funds to borrowers, but the bill failed to garner the two-thirds majority needed for passage under fast-track rules. So troubled homeowners will not be receiving any help from Congress this holiday season. And with soon-to-be-House-Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) opposed to legal aid programs, they are unlikely to get any further assistance next year.

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Imad Mouline: M-Commerce Has Arrived — Which Retailers Will Win?

December 20, 2010

We will look back at 2010 as the year M-commerce arrived. This holiday season, more than half of consumers say they will do some form of shopping on their smartphone or mobile device. But our holiday Retail User Experience Index showed many shoppers are only “tolerating” website performance (load time, availability) on mobile devices. This confirms our consumer survey findings that 58 percent of shoppers expect mobile websites to load as fast or faster than their desktop counterparts. These are the same consumers who also desire a rich web experience with video, graphics and compelling applications. M-Commerce: Context is Key Many are quick to blame the carriers for poor mobile performance, but our data shows that’s too simple an excuse: the differences between the best mobile website performers and the laggards are pretty wide, even on the same wireless network. So how does an online retailer address the challenges of mobile devices? The answer is context — specifically how and under what circumstances does your mobile audience interact with your website? Are they bag-totting business travelers who require one-thumb transactions while catching a flight? Is it a shopper at the mall, using her phone for price comparisons or barcode scans? Or a subway rider dealing with spotty connections? And what time of day do they shop and from which geographies? This context was not as important when online retailing was done only on a laptop or desktop computer. Evolution of Mobile Commerce To explore this challenge, let’s look at the evolution of retailing on mobile devices. It starts with a desktop-optimized website and the hope that this core destination, in its full glory, will also perform well on a mobile device. Yes, there are still a few of those left. Step Two is the realization that the smaller screen size requires a distinct layout, so retailers build a mobile-optimized site, which is typically a stripped-down version of their main site, one that recognizes the device and hopefully shifts you to the m-dot version. This is progress, but it still views the device as a limited channel. Because we now live in a world of apps, at some point a retailer moves on to Step Three of the evolution: a simple app. These are usually just a thin native wrapper which reuses existing browser functions. Nothing fancy, but at least it’s an app. Step Four is where many retailers are today, as they capitalize on the full capabilities of the mobile device and build apps with native functions and APIs that use the camera, location services (GPS) and other talents of the hardware itself. The goal is to provide a customized device-specific interface. Then there’s Step Five, where a company decides it must have it all. It revisits Step Three, adding mobile-specific functionality to the website. So it’s no longer about the limitations of mobile or making the site just “fit” the format. Here retailers make certain the browser fully embraces the capabilities of the device, while at the same time offering several dedicated apps, customized for each mobile OS currently available. So how much does any one retailer need? That’s usually based on what the category leaders and top performers are doing. But more often, the competition is the creator of the app or website providing the most useful, interesting and flawless web experience. Even if they’re not in the retail category, these are the companies driving today’s user expectations. Ultimately this brings us back to context: how and under what conditions does your audience use their device and which devices are the most important to them? That will drive a retailer’s buildout priorities. But as we’ve seen, this is a complex issue. Best-in-Breed Mindset Five years ago retailers did not need to consider mobile devices. Today they have to deal with multiple mobile platforms, a variety of mobile browsers, dedicated apps for each OS, and also address the moving target of mobile carrier performance. If a retailer sees these challenges as limitations, it will risk falling behind. Viewing the mobile sea change as a series of opportunities is the predominant mindset we’ve seen in best-in-breed retailers. These leaders also adopt best practices which include benchmarking the competition’s transaction times, so you have a reference point, and also creating an effortless transaction flow. In other words, does it take two steps to complete a transaction or six? Measuring response times from the end-user perspective is also vital, as much can go wrong between your data center and your customer’s iPhone. So take a “first mile to last mile” monitoring approach for the best results. This is particularly important with mobile, where the best sites and apps are architected to seem impervious to the shortcomings of mobile carriers. The game is on for mobile device shopping. And unlike the desktop web, the winners have yet to be crowned. The customers are ready to play, and the days of tolerating poor performance “because it’s mobile” are fading fast. Those who embrace the mobile opportunity, offer the most usable features, and provide the fastest, most consistent performance will emerge as the leaders in their category.

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Lita Smith-Mines: There’s No Place Like Numb

December 20, 2010

He was a business owner who’d weathered economic downturns before. When things were bad he fretted and worried, but he always believed that an upturn was around the corner. In 2010, he begged, borrowed, and stretched to make payroll each week. Scrounging together extra money for the lavish bonuses of years past was inconceivable, but what surprised him was his reaction to the realization. “I wasn’t upset. I didn’t sweat. I was numb. Just numb,” he said. For decades, she ran a highly successful business, lavishing gifts upon customers, vendors, and employees throughout the holiday season. It was difficult to do in 2009, but she decided to be generous despite a faltering bottom line. “Last year I maxxed out some credit cards to make the holidays jolly.” This year, her income diminished further, so the presents petered out. “I knew I was lucky to still be in business, so I gave holiday gifts maybe 10 seconds of thought before discarding the whole idea. And I realized that I didn’t even care. I just felt dead inside.” I understood precisely about feeling zilch. I had just reacted to the demise of two real estate deals in one day with nothing but utter indifference. The first transaction crashed and burned after two different lenders denied the buyers a mortgage, and the second one conked out after the appraisal came in $17,000 lower than the contract price. In 2010, the real estate market semi-emerged from a two-plus year wasteland of disinterest, fueled by a few bold buyers and some exceedingly flexible sellers. I was elated as deals came across my desk, but that elation evolved into anger each time a deal disintegrated. Week in and week out, transactions would give up the ghost somewhere between offer and acceptance, or end up kicking the bucket after contract but before closing. Banks get the bulk of the blame, but there’s enough to go around for those who begin deals they don’t have the funds or the capacity to complete. As my law office filled with the chalk outlines of deceased deals, my emotions plummeted. My feelings had fallen to absolute zero by the time the last two passed away. I should have been incensed at the circumstances that prevented more deals from closing, depriving my bank account of fees it so sorely craved. But I wasn’t mad, sad, troubled, or dismayed; nowadays, a deathly dullness has settled over my business consciousness. I am desensitized to any further downturn, just like the anesthetized business owner walking into his warehouse to drop the bonus-free bomb, and the proprietor who dully deflected her assistant’s questions about seasonal largesse with a terse “There’s nothing for anyone this year.” As business owners, we all are trying to hang on for dear life. But how do you keep a grip when your fingers have grown numb?

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USD Graphic Rewind: Trade Likely to Taper Off as Holiday Nears

December 20, 2010

USD Graphic Rewind: Trade Likely to Taper Off as Holiday Nears

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Mary Bottari: Trapped in Bank of America Hell

December 15, 2010

Are you one of the lucky ones? Have a good job, live in a nice neighborhood, enjoy your cozy home? Think foreclosure only impacts the reckless or the unemployed? Think again. George Mahoney worked and saved and built his cozy colonial-style home in Lynnfield, Massachusetts in 1981. There, he and his wife raised three lovely daughters. For many years, the Mahoneys paid down their relatively small mortgage with their local bank — a division of Bank of America (BofA). In 2007, they took out a second mortgage to help a daughter start a small business. Two wage earners, a great credit record — the loan was a breeze. That was when the trouble began. About a year after getting the second mortgage, BofA started notifying George that his payments were late. Soon they jacked his credit card interest rates from seven percent to twenty-eight percent. Next, they ruined his credit record. His Sears card dropped from a $10,000 limit to a $500 dollar limit. Then one day in the fall of 2009, BofA initiated foreclosure on the house he had built and owned for 28 years. The only problem? The Mahoneys had never missed a single payment on either their first or second mortgage. Initially, George thought the problem would be easy to fix. He went down to his local branch to get help, but the local employees were rebuffed by corporate headquarters. So he started getting a receipt for each mortgage payment and faxing it to BofA headquarters. He also started the first of thousands of calls. Usually, BofA staff would readily concede that he was right. But even if they initiated a “fix” it never lasted more than 90 days, when the saga would start over again. In the last few years, he has received foreclosure notices twice – most recently in October 2010. “Banks shouldn’t be allowed to ruin people’s lives this way. My stress level for the past year and a half has been a 10 and my wife is a wreck,” George explained. His wife Marianne confirms the toll the trial has taken on the family. “The whole thing is a nightmare. The stress we live under is unbearable and it’s embarrassing too. No one can help us, no one can do anything and it’s ruined our credit. I have always been proud to have perfect credit,” she adds, the strain evident in her voice. After receiving a foreclosure notice in October, hiring a lawyer to send urgent letters to BofA and even after repeated talks with top-level staff in the office of BofA President and CEO, Brian Moynihan, the Mahoneys are still in jeopardy. Bank of America Fraudclosure Central? Recently released data from the Federal Reserve shows that BofA received almost one trillion dollars ( $931 billion ) in taxpayer assistance during the financial crisis. The Fed has also been investigating snowballing allegations of fraud in the foreclosure process, allegations that include false notarizations, false affidavits, accounting fraud, abusive fees, false practice of the law and more. Fed Board Governor Daniel Tarullo told Congress that the problems identified “raise significant reputation and legal risk for the major mortgage servicers… requiring immediate remedial action.” But will it come in time to aid the Mahoneys? The Mahoney’s experience indicts what endemic accounting problems at BofA. Payments are misapplied constantly and the default position is abusive foreclosure. The bank reports some 1.3 million customers behind on their payments, but can regulators trust any data coming out of BofA? How many of these people are trapped in the same hell as the Mahoneys? In a lengthy interview with the New York Times this weekend, Brian Moynihan reviews his first year as BofA chief. “I feel proud of what we have done,” he said. “You never want to have a customer feel that something isn’t right.” But given BofA’s track record, Moynihan’s cheerful “there is not a better job in the world!” tenor strikes a surreal note. Help May Be on the Way On Tuesday, Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, leader of the 50-state task force on mortgage fraud, met with more than 100 people from 15 states. In the crowd were representatives from community, faith, and labor organizations, foreclosure victims and struggling homeowners from across the country. Led by the feisty folks at PICO National Network, National People’s Action and Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement, the participants presented Miller with hundreds of case files documenting foreclosure fraud, abuse and plain malfeasance. The group burst into a spontaneous round of applause when Miller said in no uncertain terms: “we will put people in jail.” Miller also said he supports a settlement with the big banks that requires significant principle reductions, loan modifications, and compensation for victims — key demands of the community groups. As the holiday’s approach, too many Americans will be losing their homes because of hard times. An untold number will be losing their home due to the fraudulent behavior and stark indifference of the nation’s largest bailout-out banks. Let’s hope the Mahoneys are not among them.

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George Goehl: Crashing the Economy Shouldn’t Pay

December 15, 2010

Imagine your foreclosure problems began the month after you paid off your mortgage. That despite multiple calls and visits to branches of JP Morgan Chase, you couldn’t get the bank to acknowledge they had already received all the money you owed them. You called the bank month after month, multiple times a week, but fees and late charges began to accrue. A year later, Chase threatens foreclosure proceedings, wanting more money, even though you paid your mortgage off in full. Hard to imagine? Sadly, this is the stark reality for Florence Pilgrim, an eighty-one year old grandmother and cancer survivor who is fighting to keep her home despite having repaid her mortgage. Today, Ms. Pilgrim will be among those p rotesting the next round of big bank bonuses outside the New York Stock Exchange. She and others will deliver a clear message that “Bank Crime Shouldn’t Pay.” The demonstration is being led by Community Voices Heard , Good Old Lower East Side, Northwest Bronx Community and Clergy Coalition, and VOCAL New York . This holiday season will be a thin one for tens of millions of American families. Homeowners like Ms. Pilgrim will be battling with banks to save their homes, millions of workers will be without a job, and essential public services will be cut exactly when we need them most. Meanwhile the same big banks that sent the economy to its knees are on track for another year of record bonuses. Those demonstrating on Wall Street today aren’t the only ones that think this is the wrong time for big bonuses. A recent poll commissioned by Bloomberg show more than 70% of Americans think bonuses should be banned and one in six favor a 50% tax on bonuses over $400,000. The same bank CEOs who created the foreclosure crisis, crashed our economy, and needed hundreds of billions in taxpayer bailouts, have done absolutely nothing to fix the problem they created. And with another round of pending bonuses, they are once again testing the patience of the American public. Whether it be fixing their writing down principal on millions of mortgages or contributing portions of their excessive bonuses to a fund to rebuild America, it’s clear they will not do the right thing until we make them. Now is the time to tax the big banks. They should be taxed on their bonuses and they should be taxed every time they initiate foreclose proceedings. In states all across the country we face a revenue crisis because the big banks have not been contributing their share. As a result, each of us is picking up their tab. If they are able to hand out hundreds of millions in executive bonuses, then they can more than afford to do their part to fix what they broke. It’s only fair. If you agree that we’ve been far to patient with the Bank of Americas and JP Morgan Chases of the world, then you should join Ms. Pilgrim today as she and others take the fight directly to those who started it. You should join the growing chorus that is calling for the nation’s big banks to do their part by reducing principal on millions of mortgages and paying their fair share of taxes to rebuild our nation. For more information about how to get involved, or to follow the action tomorrow on Wall Street, click here .

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Mike Lux: Away From the Headlines

December 14, 2010

A lot of important stuff is cooking here at the end of the year. The headline battles about the tax cut deal and the deficit commission are very big deals, with short and long term implications both policy-wise and politically. You have probably seen enough writing about these headline grabbers (including from me) to keep you awake — or put you to sleep — well through the holiday season. But what is going on behind the curtain, away from the headlines, in the fight over banking policy and foreclosure fraud is just as important, and in some ways even more so. The budget deal expires in two years, some of the provisions (including the best one, unemployment extension) even sooner. The deficit commission report was a big moment in an important debate, but between partisan warfare, unpopular policy proposals, and short attention spans, most of what’s in there isn’t likely to be acted any time soon. But what happens in terms of the foreclosure fraud issue and the fight over banking regulations over the next year will determine whether we have a chance at escaping a Japanese style lost decade. I believe it will have more to do with whether the economy starts to revive than whatever mostly inefficient stimulus this tax cut provides, and I think it will have a bigger impact on whether Obama is re-elected than the tax cut deal or any other big issue coming up any time soon. What crashed our economy was the speculative, out of control concentration of market power on Wall Street. That is what caused the housing bubble and subsequent housing price collapse, and until the massive underlying damage to our entire economy caused by that collapse begin to get healed, this economy will not get a whole lot better. With 25% of mortgages underwater, and more mortgages and household financial situations than that threatened by a weakened and unstable housing market, working and middle class consumers are not going to be going on any spending sprees any time soon. The stimulus in the Obama-McConnell-Boehner tax cut deal, in spite of being bigger than the last stimulus, won’t stimulate much except the excitement of inside the beltway pundits. The millionaires getting an extra $80,000 plus will buy a few more expensive meals and bottles of wine in expensive restaurants and maybe splurge on some new luxury items, but mostly they will save that money, investing it in safe bond deals while they wait for the economy to recover — because as corporations have shown the last two years, you can be awash in cash but still not invest it in making new products if you don’t think there is anyone out there buying. Middle class folks will tend to spend any extra dollars they have more on lowering their debt and adding to their savings, because with their biggest financial asset — their home — worth nearly as much as they thought it would be a few years, they know they have to shore up their financial position. The only folks actually spending more as a result of this deal are the unemployed and poor, simply because they have no choice — they will be using the money to buy groceries and pay utilities and rent. There is one other problem with this stimulus, and this is one the macroeconomists aren’t getting: the vast majority of this money is going to preserve the status quo. It is stimulus in the sense that it is a lot of government money, unpaid for by any other budget cuts or long term tax hikes, but in terms of how real people will feel it, it is the status quo. People currently getting unemployment comp and various tax credits — EITC, etc — will still be getting them. People’s tax rates will stay the same, because this is simply an extension of the tax cuts that have been in existence now for 10 years. To the vast majority of Americans — still hard pressed, still squeezed by higher costs in necessities, still with a lower value home, still worried about their or their family members’ jobs- there will be no boost in their take home pay or earnings potential, no new jobs actually being directly created like in the last stimulus bill. I am sure that many folks are happy to hear their taxes won’t be going up, but they will have no extra money to buy no new things and no extra confidence that the economy will suddenly get better. Which brings me back to banking and housing policy. This kind of ineffective weak tea stimulus is the only kind Republicans will be giving Obama in the next two years. But there are ways to significantly boost the economy right now that, between the Obama administration and the state Attorneys General negotiations with the big banks, can actually be done: write tight regulations around the financial reform bill, especially when it comes to issues like the swipe fees that directly pit the Wall St. bankers against main street business; have the DOJ prosecute bankers for using their market power to distort and harm the economy; and especially right now, force the bankers to write down mortgages. If the banks wrote down the mortgages of 5,000,000 underwater homeowners to the level the house was now worth in the market, so that they could stay in their homes and stabilize their financial condition, two very important things would happen economically. The first is that the housing market would finally begin to stabilize and recover- neighborhoods would no longer be riddled with abandoned homes and unkempt properties. The second is that all those homeowners, their debt reduced and their long term finances stabilized, might actually start spending money again: the multiplier effect would be big. Wall St will go into high pitched whining mode, but according to numbers one economist showed me, the profits that doing this would cost the banks would only amount to half the bonus money they paid out the last couple of years. The banks will scream bloody murder, but they will be just fine if we force them to write down these mortgages. This is also actually the right thing, the moral thing, to do. The big banks on Wall Street destroyed this economy, and made out like bandits in the process. It should now be up to them to have to sacrifice to make things right again. But — with all other possibilities of big boosts to the economy walled off by Congress — this is also the only policy option the administration and the state AGs have to help get us through the bad times from this damaged economy. Here’s the other thing this does: it changes the political dynamics completely. It would show more clearly than any other thing the President could do that the Obama administration is on the side of hard-pressed middle class homeowners. And because the bankers will be squealing to high heaven, and their Republican friends on the hill taking up their cause, it will be obvious who is on what side. Pushing the banks hard to write down these mortgages is the best thing the administration could possibly do economically, morally, and politically. The administration as a whole, which includes a lot of different components, does not yet see this. I think Elizabeth Warren gets this, and from what I am told some of the lawyers at DOJ get it and are chomping at the bit to exert legal pressure on the banks. Some of the political staffers I talk with are starting to see this dynamic as well. However, Treasury certainly doesn’t seem inclined in this direction, and certain agencies especially the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency are completely in the tank for the bankers. One state AG told me that the “OCC has the attitude that the banks are perfect”, and are resisting the AG’s investigations and negotiations in every way they can. I don’t know what will happen with the administration. I am hopeful that it will sink in soon that the economy isn’t going to get better very quickly, and that the political team will realize that taking on the big banks on behalf of hard pressed homeowners is a political winner. But no matter what the administration does, I do hold some hope for the state AGs as they negotiate with the banks. They are led by Tom Miller, an old friend of mine from Iowa and one of the most honest and pro-consumer politicians I know. Tom is meeting today with community activists from around the country , and I know that his heart is with them. Whatever the Obama administration is doing, I have hopes the AGs can put enough pressure on the banks to move this in the right direction. If we can finally start getting to the heart of the problem — the bankers and irresponsible system they created — we can finally start rebuilding this economy. That will be a fight, a big one because no politician likes taking on these banks. But that kind of fight might actually start moving our politics in a better direction as well. Cross-posted at my home blog, OpenLeft , where you can find all of my writing on Wall Street, the economic crisis, and U.S. politics in general.

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Ernan Roman: Are You Going for the "Quickie Sale" or the Relationship?

December 13, 2010

The Myth: During the holiday season, the goal of retail, online, and mail-order marketers should be to process as many sales as possible. This will help recoup some of the lost revenue due to the poor economy. The Reality: Marketers are losing millions of dollars by going for the “quickie sale.” It’s hard to get a customer at any time of year, so when they are coming to you, driven by the holiday purchasing wave, you have the opportunity to accomplish much more than just robotically swiping their credit cards and moving on to the next transaction. This month, millions of customers will be purchasing from an on-line, mail-order or brick-and-mortar marketer. The majority of those customers will not be engaged in any way by the sellers, who are stuck in a manufacturing model, trying to process “holiday” transactions as quickly as possible. These blunders represent literally millions of dollars in lost opportunities to establish relationships with customers who could make multiple purchases in the future. In a previous blog, Discounting as Addiction , we discussed the dangers of relying on discounting as the mainstay for driving customer purchases. The end result of this addiction is that the only compelling reason to visit the company’s store or web site is for another discount “high.” This addiction by the consumer is perpetuated by the seller’s addiction to discounting, and so the cycle deepens. Relationships based on value identified by the customer , on the other hand, carry significant long-term potential for both seller and buyer… but you can’t find out what your customer considers valuable if all you are interested in is a “quickie” transaction. Try This: Ask each customer if you can ask a few brief questions to help provide them with ongoing value as defined by their individual needs/interests . The types of questions you should ask are intuitive. For instance: Would they like to receive information, useful tips, or promotions regarding the product(s) they just bought? Are there other products in the store/catalog/or web site about which they would like to receive information? Any other friend or family member they would like to send this information to? And last… as a result of offering value, you have earned the right to request their email address. Think about it. What better time to prove your value and build a powerful database than at the point of purchase? Most customers are happy to spend the extra few seconds identifying how you can better serve them in the future. And those that don’t want to spend time can choose not to. Ernan Roman is President of the marketing consultancy, Ernan Roman Direct Marketing. Recognized as the industry pioneer who created three transformational methodologies: Integrated Direct Marketing, Opt-In Marketing, and Voice of Customer Relationship Research. Clients include Microsoft, NBC Universal, Disney, Hewlett-Packard and IBM. Ernan was named to “B to B’s Who’s Who” as one of the “100 most influential people” in Business Marketing by Crain’s B to B Magazine. His latest book on marketing best practices was published in October, 2010, and is titled: Voice of the Customer Marketing: A Proven 5-Step Process to Create Customers Who Care, Spend, and Stay . Ernan is also the co-author of “Opt-In Marketing: Increase Sales Exponentially with Consensual Marketing” and author of “Integrated Direct Marketing: The Cutting Edge Strategy for Synchronizing Advertising, Direct Mail, Telemarketing and Field Sales.” www.erdm.com ernan@erdm.com

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Video: Joshi Says Hewlett-Packard Offers Web-Connected Printers

December 10, 2010

Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) — Vyomesh Joshi, head of Hewlett-Packard Co.’s imaging and printing group, talks about the outlook for product sales this holiday season and the company’s business performance. Joshi speaks with Lisa Murphy on Bloomberg Television’s “Fast Forward.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Robert Pagliarini: 10 Tips to Save Big Money This Christmas

December 8, 2010

Want to learn how to save money on gifts this Christmas and not feel like a Scrooge? According to this year’s National Retail Federation holiday survey, the average American will spend close to $700 this season on gifts, cards, decorations, and the like. This is one time when you want to be below average — way below. In fact, if you are in debt, just say no to gift buying this holiday. There is absolutely NO reason for you to go further into debt buying gifts for others. There are 13.6 million Americans who are still trying to pay off holiday debt from last year. Don’t join them by digging yourself into a deeper hole. If you are going to buy gifts this year, the key to avoiding a holiday season that drains your bank account is to start planning early. Here are the top 10 money saving tips for steering clear of holiday debt and starting the new year in better financial shape: Plan it. Before you shop online or enter the chaos of the shopping mall, take ten minutes at home to create a spending plan that lists who you need to buy for and how much you will spend. Use discounted gift cards. How would you like100 worth of gifts for80? You can purchase discounted gift cards for hundreds of online/offline retailers including the Apple Store, Radio Shack, Sears, Home Depot, and others. Discounts are usually 5%-30% off the face value of the card. Check out GiftCardRescue.com and GiftCards.com . Use social media. Before you start shopping, start following your favorite retailers on Twitter and Facebook. Many companies offer discounts exclusively to their Twitter followers and Facebook friends. A quick search of their recent posts may reveal money-saving discount codes. Barter via online chat. When you’re shopping online, look for a “chat” or “live help” button. Tell the customer service rep you’d like to shop with them but you want a 15% discount. Ask them to check with their manager or you will abandon your shopping cart and click over to their competitor. This won’t work all of the time, but when it does it will save you money. Find discount codes. I never buy anything online without trying to find a discount code first. I’ve literally saved hundreds of dollars and it doesn’t take more than a minute. Simply go to RetailMeNot.com , SecretPrices.com , and FreeShipping.org to pull up all of the available discounts for your store. Use the discount code during the checkout process to get free shipping or to save 20% or more. Get cash back. If you’re going to spend hundreds of dollars this year on gifts, you might as well try to get a few bucks back. I’ve used ebates.com (affiliate link — all proceeds will go to charity) for some time and have received several rebate checks. Bring on the envelopes, chuck the credit cards. Leave your credit cards and debit cards at home. Allocate an amount of money for each gift, and put that money in separate envelopes marked with the recipients’ names. Give group gifts. When exchanging presents within large groups of people, even “token” gifts can really add up. Try a “white elephant” exchange, a secret Santa strategy, or going in with co-workers on a gift for your boss. Make a promise that you won’t buy anything for yourself. When you’re shopping for gifts, it’s easy to be tempted to buy for yourself. Make this season about others, not you — and remember that the items you want will likely be less expensive during the after-season sales. Avoid the “10% off, buy more” phenomenon. Stores often offer great deals when you sign up for their credit cards, but beware the high rate of interest these cards charge and ask yourself if you’ll really be saving money in the long run. And don’t spend more than you intended just because you’re now getting a discount on your purchase. If you follow these money saving tips, I guarantee you will put more green — and less red — into holiday shopping this year.

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David Gorodyansky: Even Savvy Shoppers Can Get Scammed — Tips for the Holiday Shopping Season

December 7, 2010

Last week marked the official beginning to the holiday shopping season. More people will be buying their stocking-stuffers online than ever before this year. comScore predicts online spending this holiday season will grow by at least 9%, two times last year’s pace, and the National Retail Federation (NRF) is expecting 2010 holiday retail sales to rise by 2.3% this year to $447.1 billion, compared with a rise of only 0.4% last year. In fact, the NRF reported that 33.6% of Thanksgiving weekend sales (Thursday-Sunday) were online, the highest percentage ever. Yet as the number of Internet shoppers rises, so do the threats to both personal security and privacy. We are voluntarily putting more of our personal information out there than ever before through social channels like Facebook and Twitter and the associated purchasing mechanisms which have latched on to these communities — but are we being smart about our online activity? Not really. The average consumer remains negligent to the fact that their information is not automatically protected when online. Security breaches come in all shapes and forms, from sidejacking — where someone on your Wi-Fi network literally hijacks into your internet session to steal your info — to lesser known tactics of fake e-coupons that allow hackers to gain access to your credit card information. The recent release of Firesheep shed light on the fact that, despite some protection, we all still need to take measures to protect our personal information online. What many people don’t realize is that while your credit card numbers might be made public when shopping online, so can your behavior — which can be even more frightening. What’s even more alarming is that these privacy violations don’t just come from rogue hackers. Rather, big companies are in the practice of violating individuals’ online privacy everyday by monitoring and storing what you buy. Recently in the news there has been a resurrection of noise around Deep Packet Inspection (DPI), intrusive technologies for profiling and targeting Internet users with ads which goes beyond monitoring just Web browsing and literally tracks an individual’s behavior online. Creepy isn’t it? Even some of our favorite websites are getting into the game, such as Facebook passing your data to third party sites and Google’s Wi-Fi data collection. The point is, the general need to raise awareness around online privacy is all around us. Rest assured that not all hope is lost as there are a number of simple ways that you as a consumer can take your privacy and security into your own hands. Here are some simple tips and tricks that make it possible for anyone — tech savvy or not — to stay safe and private when hunting for the big deals and surfing the Web this holiday season: 1. Antivirus: Invest in antivirus software like McAfee, Symantec or Webroot, which helps to blocks viruses, spyware, spam and lesser known threats to consumers like trojans, worms and rootkits, encrypting critical passwords and making your PC invisible to hackers. 2. Download and be done: While antivirus technology is critical, it remains the case that only 40% of people are actually protected by their antivirus. To help ensure that you are completely secure and protected online, combine this with a tool like as Hotspot Shield, a completely free download (Virtual Private Network — VPN) which keeps you secured and blocked from outside eyes. 3. Stamp of Approval: Look for accredited seals of approval from third party entities. And wherever you enter your credit card or other personal information, make sure that there is an “s” after http in the Web address. This means that it is encrypted. 4. Lock and key: Make sure there is a tiny closed padlock in the address bar, or on the lower right corner of the window. This lets you know that the site is secure. 5. Too Legit? This one can be a bit tougher, but take a minute to look for signs that the business is legitimate. Goes without saying that the Amazons and Targets of the world are legit, but for smaller shops, double check that it’s a credible business by calling the main number or doing a quick online search for other user reviews. Online shopping provides an easy option for savvy shoppers, but make sure you’re smart about how you buy. Follow these tips and protect your identity, information and right to online privacy this holiday season.

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Unemployment Benefits Expire For 2 Million

December 2, 2010

Shawn Slonsky’s children know by now not to give him Christmas lists filled with the latest gizmos. The 44-year-old union electrician is one of nearly 2 million Americans whose extended unemployment benefits will run out this month, making the holiday season less about celebration than survival. “We’ll put up decorations, but we just don’t have the money for a Christmas tree,” Slonsky said. Benefits that had been extended up to 99 weeks started running out Wednesday. Unless Congress approves a longer extension, the Labor Department estimates about 2 million people will be cut off by Christmas. Support groups for the so-called 99ers have sprung up online, offering chances to vent along with tips on resumes and job interviews. Advocacy groups such as the National Employment Law Project have turned their plight into a rallying cry for Congress to extend jobless benefits. Things used to be different for Slonsky, who lives in Massillon, Ohio. Before work dried up, he earned about $100,000 a year. He and his wife lived in a three-bedroom house where deer meandered through the backyard. Then they lost their jobs. Their house went into foreclosure and they had to move in with his 73-year-old father. Now, Slonsky is dreading the holidays as his 99 weeks run out. “It’s hard to be in a jovial mood all the time when you’ve got this storm cloud hanging over your head,” he said. The average weekly unemployment benefit in the U.S. is $302.90, though it varies widely depending on how states calculate the payment. Because of supplemental state programs and other factors, it’s hard to know for sure who will lose their benefits at any given time. Congressional opponents of extending the benefits beyond this month say fiscal responsibility should come first. Republicans in the House and Senate, along with a handful of conservative Democrats, say they’re open to extending benefits, but not if it means adding to the $13.8 trillion national debt. Republicans maintain they are willing to instead use unspent money from Obama stimulus programs to foot the bill: a $12.5 billion tab for three months. Democrats argue that the extended benefits should be paid for with deficit spending because it injects money into the economy. The GOP didn’t pay any political price for stalling efforts earlier this year to extend jobless benefits that provide critical help to the unemployed – including a seven-week stretch over the summer when jobless benefits were a piece of a failed Democratic tax and jobs bill. But bad publicity because the benefits end over the holidays has long been forecast. Democrats hope that a final deal on extending Bush-era income tax cuts to the wealthy and middle class will include an agreement from Republicans to another extension of deficit-financed emergency unemployment benefits. U.S. Rep. Mike Pence, R-Ind., the No. 3 Republican in the House, said extended benefits must be paid for now, rather than later, if they’re going to win support from fiscal conservatives. “The fact that we have to keep extending unemployment benefits shows that the economic policies of this administration have failed,” said Pence spokeswoman Courtney Kolb. Labor Secretary Hilda Solis told The Associated Press on Wednesday that declining to extend the benefits would be a mistake for Congress. “This is a bad way to start off the new, incoming season of new politicians that said that they wanted to make government work for people in a better way,” she said. Even if Congress does lengthen benefits, cash assistance is at best a stopgap measure, said Carol Hardison, executive director of Crisis Assistance Ministry in Charlotte, N.C., which has seen 20,000 new clients since the Great Recession started in December 2007. “We’re going to have to have a new conversation with the people who are still suffering, about the potentially drastic changes they’re going to have to make to stay out of the homeless shelter,” she said. Forget Christmas presents. What the 99ers want most of all is what remains elusive in the worst economy in generations: a job. “I am not searching for a job, I am begging for one,” said Felicia Robbins, 30, as she prepared to move out of a homeless shelter in Pensacola, Fla., where she and her five children have been living. She is using the last of her cash, about $500, to move into a small, unfurnished rental home. Robbins lost her job as a juvenile justice worker in 2009 and her last $235 unemployment check will arrive Dec. 13. Her 10-year-old car isn’t running, and she walks each day to the local unemployment office to look for work. Jeanne Reinman, 61, of Greenville, S.C., still has her house, but even that comes with a downside. After losing her computer design job a year and a half ago, Reinman scraped by with her savings and a weekly $351 unemployment check. When her nest egg vanished in July, she started using her unemployment to pay off her mortgage and stopped paying her credit card bills. She recently informed a creditor she couldn’t make payments on a loan because her benefits were ending. “I’m more concerned about trying to hang onto my house than paying you,” she told the creditor. Ninety-nine weeks may seem like a long time to find a job. But even as the economy grows, jobs that vanished in the Great Recession have not returned. The private sector added about 159,000 jobs in October – half as many as needed to reduce the unemployment rate of 9.6 percent, which the Federal Reserve expects will hover around 9 percent for all of next year. For people like JoAnn Sampson, decisions made by Congress can seem very distant. The former cart driver at U.S. Airways in Charlotte and her husband are both facing the end of unemployment benefits, and she can’t get so much as an entry-level job. “When you try to apply for retail or fast food, they say ‘You’re overqualified,’ they say ‘We don’t pay that much money,’ they say, ‘You don’t want this job,’” she said. Sampson counts her blessings: At least her two children, a teenager and a college student, are too old to expect much from Christmas this year. Wayne Pittman has been telling his family not expect much for Christmas either. The 46-year-old carpenter, along with his wife and 9-year-old son, have stopped going to movies and restaurants and buying new clothes. With his $297 weekly checks gone, holiday gifts are definitely out. “It’s not in our budget,” Pittman said. “I have a little boy, and that’s kind of hard to explain to him. To try to let him know, certain things he’s not going to be getting.” ___ This report includes contributions from Associated Press writers Meg Kinnard, in Columbia, S.C.; Ray Henry, in Atlanta; Melissa Nelson, in Pensacola, Fla.; Lucas L. Johnson II in Nashville, Tenn.; Mark Hamrick in Washington; and Jeannie Nuss in Columbus, Ohio.

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Janice Bryant Howroyd: Holiday Job Shopping Can Be A Smart Strategy

December 1, 2010

Traditionally, the end of year is the busiest shopping season of all. If you’ve been out of work all year, the looming holidays can be a depressing prospect. Common job seeker belief is that this is the slow hire period and the smart strategy is to put off looking until the New Year. Hark! Hear the bells! This is not the time to give up. This is the time to let your abilities, enthusiasm and availability shine for you! While others are slowing down their job search for the holidays, this is the exact time to spruce up your resume and make some calls. The employers you want to reach are probably in the best position to consider hiring you because many companies complete their fiscal year by budgeting for the next. This most often includes allowing for any new hiring that will occur. So, as your job search competitors are going into holiday mode, grab the attention and good cheer of hiring managers and turn your shopping spree into a shiny new job! During this slow period, employer’s schedules are more open than usual, and I can’t stress how important networking is. This is the perfect time to do it. Right now, ask your employed friends to invite you to their company holiday parties and make that time work for your job search. Talk to the other employees about the company and learn if there are job openings or future planned hiring. The components of Luck are: Learning, Using, Communicating and Kindling! Kindle your holiday fire by finding the right opportunity. You have to put yourself in a position for luck to find you. One solid tip this time of year is: Make a list and check it twice! Create a list of every interview you’ve had this past year and send holiday cards to each of them. Don’t worry about finding fancy expensive cards; that’s not the point. It’s about reminding them that you are still out there and getting back on their radar. They will appreciate the thought, even if they don’t have a job for you at the moment. You will be at the top of their list in the New Year as they search their files for candidates. You may even choose to send a smart, personalized and attractive holiday greeting that you create electronically! Show your skills off! Persistence beats resistance, every time! So, continue to screen the classifieds and web-postings. Use your social media outlets to let people know you are looking for work. Finding the right job is definitely a gift you give to yourself. Making sure there are gifts for your loved ones and friends during this holiday season is also possible. TEMPORARY WORK IS OUT THERE!!! Sign up with Apple One via our website (www.appleone.com) or come into your local AppleOne office (or any temp agency), and be surprised by who you might help, while helping yourself. As you’re playing holiday elf to a company, remember to mention that this is a seasonal job and you are seeking fulltime employment. Keep in mind: Once you get the interview, be cheerful. Don’t bring the weight of the year with you. We have all felt the turbulence of the past few years, but attitude is a powerful thing and can change lives. It can change yours! God Bless you.

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Surge in Growth at Apple Prompts 100-Acre Cupertino Acquisition

December 1, 2010

With iPads, iPhones, laptops and other products flying off the shelves this holiday season, fast-growing Apple Inc. has closed on the purchase of Hewlett Packard’s nearly 100-acre campus site in Cupertino, CA. The transaction effectively doubles the size…

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Samuel H. Williamson: What Kind of Compromise?

November 29, 2010

It appears that President Obama is willing to accept a compromise in the Senate to extend the tax cut to all but the top two percent of income earners. Some compromises are better than others. Senator Mark Warner suggests, “other short-term incentives that promote additional hiring, such as a temporary reduction in the payroll taxes paid by employers who hire new workers I am for this kind of tax credit IF it is designed correctly. Last March we got a “job-creation bill” that, as far as I can tell, has had hardly any impact on employment. This does not surprise — it was poorly designed. The bill attempted to get jobs only for those who had been unemployed for more than 60 days instead of trying to increase employment altogether. We need a credit that rewards employers who increase their employment regardless where the new workers come from. We need a credit that is easy to administer. And what is most needed is a credit that helps reduce the cost of low wageworkers. A Payroll Tax Holiday is a bad idea . Many people have mentioned a payroll tax “holiday” as one proposal. This would mean that employers and employees would not have to pay their FICA tax. This is a bad idea for two reasons. First, while it would be great to remove this regressive tax from all employees, how would it be reinstated after a year? Since this is the worker’s contribution to Social Security and Medicare, such a “holiday” would create a fear among many of them, as well as current retirees, that this is the first step to abolishing these programs. Also, without these contributions, Social Security and Medicare will be “broke” much sooner. Second, while suspending the contributions of employers would reduce their labor costs, it would have little impact on hiring, because the payroll tax cost of new employees is a small percent of the total wage bill. A one-year FUTA (Federal Unemployment Tax Act ) Holiday with a marginal refund would be better. At the federal level employers pay 6.2% of the first $7,000 of income paid to each worker. Individual states may require additional payments and it also varies by the layoff history of the employer. I propose that all employers be exempt of all federal or state unemployment taxes for one year regardless of their layoff history. In addition, for every dollar that an employer’s FUTA base increases, they would receive a dollar tax credit. An employer with 10 workers (earning over $7,000) would have a FUTA base of $70,000 and would have a “tax cut” of $4,340 or more. If the business hires 10 more workers, it would receive a $4,340 tax credit as well. This way, all employers would get some help, but those who hire more workers would get a reward. The federal government would reimburse states their costs of this holiday from the increase tax revenue from high-income earners.

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Andrew Tucker Avorn: The AT&T Settlement: A Reason to be Thankful This Holiday Season

November 26, 2010

AT&T Mobility customers who use a smartphone to connect to the internet got notice of an early holiday gift this year — a class action settlement to compensate them for illegal taxes that the company has collected since 2005. After looking at the settlement website and one of my wireless bills, I realized that this lawsuit provides a good reason to be thankful America’s class action system in this season of consumer largesse. The settlement is for a lawsuit that was filed on behalf of customers for AT&T Mobility’s violation of The Internet Tax Freedom Act, passed by Congress in 1998. The Law prohibits states from taxing access to the Internet. In spite of the law, AT&T Mobility has been collecting state sales taxes on iPhone and Blackberry data access packages, and keeping a fee for collecting those taxes. A monthly bill provides evidence of AT&T’s overcharge. Suppose I have an iPhone and pay $25 per month for voice and text service and $30 for data. Because Internet taxes are illegal, my state can only tax me on my voice and text plan, which is $25. I live in Massachusetts, which has a 6.25% sales tax, so my telecommunications tax should be $1.87. But it’s not. On my bill, next to “Massachusetts Telecom Tax,” it says $3.52, which means that AT&T is assessing the tax based on $55.00. I lose $1.65 per month so that AT&T Mobility can help Massachusetts illegally tax my access to the Internet. The bigger the tax that AT&T Mobility collects, the bigger the fee they get to keep. This practice demonstrates why class actions are so vital for holding companies accountable to their customers. Your state government has no interest in helping you, because they are benefiting from your tax revenues even though they are illegal under state and federal law. Congress can’t help you because it doesn’t enforce the laws it passes, and it has already spoken on the issue legislatively. Because a legislative battle would pit big telecom and state governments against unorganized, unfunded consumers, consumers would lose on Capitol Hill. Since the amount of money per person is only a few dollars per month, no individual has a strong enough interest in hiring a lawyer to his/her own lawsuit. But multiply those few dollars per month times several years for each subscriber, and multiply that by AT&T Mobility’s 92.8 million customers, and we are talking about a gigantic sum of money that the company has stolen from the public. Because of the class action system, the enterprising consumers who figured out this scheme can combine forces with every subscriber who has lost money by hiring a few lawyers to stop AT&T Mobility from collecting the illegal tax, disgorge its ill-gotten gains and compensate consumers. Instead of charging by the hour, the attorneys who represent the class will get a percentage of the total settlement. Consumers pay nothing if they get nothing, but lawyers take a massive risk by investing their time and resources if they lose. The parties have negotiated a settlement, and a federal court will determine its fairness in March. The usual arguments against class actions will surely surface: the lawyers have made a windfall, and the customers got comparatively little. But without our admittedly flawed system of civil justice, who else will prevent companies from ripping off their customers with impunity? Probably no one. AT&T Mobility will take a costly hit, and the next time that they, or any other company, considers charging an illegal tax in order to profit at the expense of its customers, it will have to decide whether or not it’s worth facing the consequences of America’s class action system. To collect your compensation, you do not have to do anything. Judging by the flurry of text messages that the court has sent to class members, someone will notify you when your claim is ready. So this holiday season, as you prepare to give and receive, to own and enjoy the fruits of American capitalism, you may rest easy, knowing that there is a class action lawyer out there who might be the only force between you and the company who is trying to rip you off.

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