investment

PHOTO: Jay-Z Hangs Out With Warren Buffett

by Jordan Zakarin on January 19, 2012

Huffington Post…

Here’s a question: who pays the tab when these two hang out? Jay-Z reopened his 40/40 club in New York City on Wednesday , and joining him at the hot event was billionaire investor and philanthropist Warren Buffett. The two are friends, having traded appearances in cartoons and magazine interviews, and clearly were enjoying themselves, joking like the global icons they are. Hard to say what they were talking about; maybe it was the finer points of fatherhood, or perhaps their willingness to pay more in taxes . PHOTO (courtesy Tom Murro):

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PHOTO: Jay-Z Hangs Out With Warren Buffett

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Carl Gibson: "Job Creators" Aren’t Doing Their Job

by Carl Gibson on January 12, 2012

Huffington Post…

If you put long hours and hard work into a job, would you be upset with a boss who paid you with a handful of nickels, especially if hundred-dollar bills spilled out of your boss’ pockets while he dug around for the coins? As taxpayers, Americans expect to get what they pay for — safe infrastructure, prompt emergency response, good schools and a strong social safety net. As shareholders in profitable companies, investors expect to get what they pay for — dividends. And as job seekers in a troubled economy, America’s unemployed are trying to find work wherever they can; but corporate greed is depriving taxpayers, shareholders and job seekers of what they need and deserve. With $2 trillion at home and $1.4 trillion abroad, corporations are sitting on record-high piles of cash. For example, Apple holds $76 billion by itself, more than the U.S. Treasury . Yet, these hoards of cash remain untaxed. A 35 percent tax on corporate America’s cash reserves in the United States alone would generate $700 billion in revenue. That amount would reverse every budget cut in every state , rejuvenating America’s schools and infrastructure by recreating 400,000 public sector jobs lost since the recession. If corporations simply invested their American stash of cash reserves in creating good jobs for America’s unemployed, they could put 3.5 million new people to work in the private sector each year for five years, at an annual salary of $40,000. If corporations just used their cash reserves to pay dividends to their shareholders, investors like the Mississippi Public Employees Retirement System wouldn’t have to cut benefits for their retirees. Corporate executives blame the “uncertainty” of the economy as an excuse to sit on piles of cash, yet the economic boost of 17.5 million jobs created in five years would dramatically lower the unemployment rate and increase GDP, bolstering local economies by creating a surge of new demand for struggling small business owners. Using cash reserves to pay dividends to shareholders would restore confidence in the market and strengthen the investments millions are counting on for their retirement. It is both greedy and irresponsible for American corporations to allow untaxed cash to pile up on their balance sheets while American infrastructure crumbles, public education suffers, the unemployed struggle to survive and shareholders lose their investments. It’s time for America’s “job creators” to do their job.

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Carl Gibson: "Job Creators" Aren’t Doing Their Job

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Papa Johns Receipt Calls Customers OUTRAGEOUS Racial Slur

January 7, 2012

Minhee Cho went to Papa John’s for some fast food goodness. Little did she know, she would get it served with a side of racism. At around 12:30 p.m. today, Papa John’s customer Minhee Cho tweeted a photo of a receipt she received at a Papa John’s restaurant in uptown, New York City. In it, under the customer’s name section, the restaurant employee who rang up the order used the racial slur “lady chinky eyes” to describe her. PHOTO: Cho posted the photo to her Twitter page, where it was quickly retweeted by hundreds of people. By 3 p.m., the photo had been viewed over 25,000 times. When The Huffington Post reached the Papa John’s in question for comment, the assistant manager — who only gave her first name as Marjani — said she was unaware of the incident. “I apologize,” she said in a phone interview. “I’m sure they didn’t mean any harm but some people will take it offensive.” She added that she “had an idea of who it was,” based on the time of the receipt. Marjani went on to say that this was the kind of behavior that would result in disciplinary action, but declined to go into further detail on what she planned to do. Papa John’s has yet to respond to the incident in a statement or its Facebook and Twitter accounts, but with such a PR disaster on their hands, they most likely will soon.

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What Would It Take For Greece To Ditch The Euro

January 3, 2012

ATHENS, Greece — Greece’s government warned Tuesday that the debt-crippled country will have to ditch the euro if it fails to finalize the details of its second, euro130 billion ($169 billion) international bailout and that more austerity measures may need to be implemented. A key component of the package, which was agreed last October, is that Greece has to persuade its private creditors like banks and investment firms to take a steep hit on the value of their holdings of Greek debt. Greece has the highest debt burden relative to the size of its economy in the whole of the 17-nation eurozone and the writedown will help get it down to more manageable, though still high, levels. Spokesman Pantelis Kapsis said that negotiations in the next three or four months with international debt monitors will “determine everything,” including whether Greece escapes a disastrous bankruptcy. Greece is being kept afloat by a first, euro110 billion ($142 billion) international bailout agreed in May 2010, after investors shocked by the country’s huge budget deficit and debt mountain demanded sky-high interest rates to continue buying Greek bonds. An additional rescue package was agreed in October, after it became clear that the first batch of funds would not suffice, but that deal has yet to be finalized. Sorting out the details of the bailout is the main task of the coalition government headed by former central banker Lucas Papademos, whose short mandate is expected to expire in early April. “This famous loan agreement must be signed, otherwise we are outside the markets, out of the euro and things will become much worse,” Kapsis told private Skai TV. In return for its first batch of rescue loans from its European partners and the International Monetary Fund, Greece had to adopt deeply resented austerity measures to contain its budget deficit – set to hit at least 9 percent of GDP for 2011 despite repeated spending cuts and tax hikes. Kapsis said further cutbacks, possibly including new taxes, might be required to address a revenue shortfall, “We will see what the shortfall is and it is very likely that measures will be required,” he said. “I also don’t believe it is easy to impose new taxes, but what does cutting spending mean? To close down the public sector?” “There is no easy solution,” Kapsis said. Getting final approval of the new euro130 billion bailout has been delayed because talks with Greece’s private creditors over a massive bond swap, designed to cut Greece’s debt by some euro100 billion, have dragged. While representatives of banks and insurance funds that hold a lot of Greek debt tentatively agreed in October to cut the face value of their holdings of Greek bonds by 50 percent, they have so far failed to agree on crucial details of the deal. Those include how much interest Greece has to pay for the lower-value bonds and when they have to be repaid – aspects that are key to determining how much of a relief the debt restructuring will actually bring to the cash-strapped country. Athens and the negotiators for the private-sector missed a self-set end-of-year deadline, with talks carrying on over the holidays. The idea is that bondholders will voluntarily agree to forgive Greece some of its debts so that it can get its economy back on track and eventually repay its remaining obligations. A hard default would likely see investors lose much more of their money. The hope is that following the writedown Greece’s debt burden will be able to stabilize around 120 percent of economic output by the end of the decade from around 160 percent at present. All sides are under pressure to reach a deal quickly, since Greece has to repay a euro14.4 billion bond at the end of March. Without new money from the eurozone and the IMF Greece won’t be able to make that payment. A successful restructuring would cut and delay the euro14.4 billion payment. __ Gabriele Steinhauser in Brussels contributed to this story.

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Lisa Earle McLeod: Performance Reviews, Santa, and the Slack Factor

January 3, 2012

They slack off all year, avoiding chores like the plague, whining and complaining every time you ask them to do anything. Then, two weeks before the big guy comes to town, they’re suddenly enthusiastic and eager to please. I’m not talking about kids sucking up for Santa. I’m talking about employees a few weeks before their performance review. The question is: Do you reward someone for sudden improvement just before review time? Believe it or not, there are two good reasons why you might want to reward people who make a big show of hard work right before their review. 1. They’ve proven that they know what good performance looks like. 2. You want to reinforce good behavior, not penalize them for it. It’s natural to be annoyed. People should do the right thing all year long, not just make an 11th hour effort when they think someone’s watching. But one of the main reasons we do performance reviews, or give feedback of any kind, is for improvement. A last minute razzle-dazzle might not qualify them for Employee of the Year, but it should at least be recognized. After all, isn’t this the kind behavior you want to see more of? Human beings are pretty simple creatures. Praise them for something, and you increase the likelihood that they’ll keep doing it. Ignoring their improvement, or getting angry because they didn’t do it earlier, decreases the likelihood that they’ll sustain it. The “Slack Off Until You Think Someone’s Watching” phenomenon isn’t limited to the workplace. It’s the reason our spouse cares more about the house just before their parents visit and the cleaning service scrubs behind the toilet just before the holidays. But be honest, doesn’t your driving improve when you pass a police car? Aren’t you more likely to go on a diet before your class reunion? We’re human. We’re all a bit more motivated when we think someone else is watching. That’s why Weight Watchers has weekly weigh-ins and companies do performance reviews. The secret is to use that external pressure to bring out the best in people. Feedback that emphasizes everything we’re doing wrong rarely inspires us to do better. Contrary to the way many people conduct them, an effective review process isn’t about berating people for past failures; it’s about setting the stage for future success. If they were a great performer all 52 weeks of the year, do the glory dance together and celebrate the fact that you have a fabulous employee. But if they were mediocre most of the year, yet had a sudden burst of energy at the end, give them some credit for trying. Say something like, “I love what you’ve done in the last two weeks. When you did X (specific example), I was so impressed. You’ve really upped your game, let’s talk about how we can keep it there.” You don’t have to give them the top rating. Save that for the people who busted it all year long. But give them at least some reward for improvement. And most importantly, paint a picture of what their future will look like if they perform that way all the time. It would be great if people were self-motivated to do their best all year long. But if someone shows remarkable improvement right before evaluation time, they’ve proven that they know what good looks like. Your job is to reward and reinforce it. Lisa Earle McLeod helps organizations win the hearts and minds of customers and employees. She is the author of three books included the best-seller, The Triangle of Truth: The Surprisingly Simple Secret to Resolving Conflicts Large and Small, A Washington Post Top 5 Book for Leaders. She is an international keynote speaker and consultant who has been seen on The Today show and featured in Forbes, Fortune, CEO Read and The Wall Street Journal. You can reach her at www.LisaEarleMcLeod.com .

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Howie Jacobson: Intent Is More Important Than Technique

January 2, 2012

My Fling with Macrobiotics In 1991 I was flirting with a macrobiotic lifestyle. I was attracted to the strictness of the diet, the sense of fixed rules, and the “magic” of the rituals that promised cures from all known diseases and joyful longevity. I read a bunch of books and cookbooks, but so many of the ingredients were unknown to me (umeboshi paste, burdock root, daikon radish) that I found myself tied in knots. There was just too much to take in, and I found myself repeatedly looking up little things like, “When rinsing brown rice, should I stir the water clockwise or counter-clockwise?” So I invited a friend, Nancy, who happened to be a macrobiotic chef, to come over and give me a lesson in simple macrobiotic fundamentals. Nancy’s Macrobiotic Lesson The first dish we prepared together was steamed brown rice. Nancy started by pouring rice into a pot, then filling it halfway with water and using her hand to rinse and wash the rice. She was silent as she did this, focusing on the water, the rice, and the pot. I interrupted her: “I can never remember which way to stir the rice. Clockwise or counter-clockwise?” She stopped stirring, looked up at me, and smiled. “The thing to remember is that you stir with the intent to clean the rice.” Have the Intent to Clean the Rice I thought about that story this morning, when I received an article about using copywriting “power words.” It was a fine article, featuring 20 words that can help boost website conversion. Words like “you” and “can” and “get” and “love” and “results,” definitely helpful stuff for anyone who wants to improve the performance of their website. But technique, no matter how powerful, isn’t enough, and isn’t fundamental to making sales. I would argue that the more important element of your sales copy is your intent — not your intent to make the sale, but your intent to serve your prospect. If you truly believe that you have a product or service that can help them, and that you would be failing them not to bring it to their consciousness in a vivid and powerful way, then your copy will be effective. At that point, implementing copywriting techniques designed to facilitate trust and connection and desire all make sense. But without the intent, the words fall flat. They become lifeless technique, and your website looks and sounds like thousands of others whose owners have read the same copywriting memos and listened to the same online marketing gurus. Cars and Bridges I once took a storytelling workshop with Amina Shah, then-chair of the London College of Storytellers, and author of several books of folk tales. Most of the participants were struggling to memorize their stories, until Shah explained that memorization isn’t necessary: Do you have to memorize stories that happened to you? Of course not; you just tell them. If you want to be a good storyteller, then every story you tell must have happened, and you must have been there to see it. If you can see it in your mind, you can tell it in an engaging way to others. Don’t worry about the words. The words are just a bridge between your head and your audience. The meaning of the story, that’s the cars traveling across the bridge. The bridge must be sturdy, but without the cars, the essence of the story, nothing gets transferred, and no one is moved. Copywriting So by all means learn to be a skilled bridge builder. Practice writing words, sentences, paragraphs, and articles that cohere, that move, that convert. Spend time on the words, for they are a necessary bridge. But never forget that the words are there just to convey your intent. A heart intent on sustainable and joyful service will always find the right words. The title of this article comes from Mahan Khalsa’s most excellent book on consultative selling, Let’s Get Real or Let’s Not Play .

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Romer, Shiller, Other Economists Offer Their Advice For 2012

January 2, 2012

Believe it or not, times are getting better. Some homebuilding picked up, but no fix emerged for the housing crisis. At least that’s what the dry statistics keep telling us. Industrial production, G.D.P. — the kind of figures that Washington and Wall Street sweat over — suggest that the economy is on the mend.

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Jeffrey Hayzlett: Marketing Predictions for 2012

January 2, 2012

Business leaders and employees know when their old ways of doing business must change or their business will die; they need to step out of their old ways of marketing and start to act like an agent of change. For 2012, here are my predictions of what will change in the marketing world. You can either choose to adapt, or die. 1. Mobile, Mobile, Mobile Throughout 2011, you heard me saying “mobile, mobile, mobile”. In 2012, I predict the mobile wallet will be the next big thing. With more and more online companies like eBay, Amazon, PayPal, using the mobile device as a platform to make instant online purchases, we’re now seeing technology built into smartphones that allows customers to swipe their phones rather than their credit cards at retail outlets. Banks are really taking advantage of this technology and offering their customers a new level of service. This is a space marketers need to not only be aware of, but be involved in. 2. Social – Crowdsourcing vs. Friendsourcing Crowdsourcing is a cool tool for spot surveys, quick answers, and general engagement, but friendsourcing is about trust: reaching out your most valued advisers — the people you really know — and finding out what they think. These people can be your close friends, colleagues, or mentors. However, they can also be your brand ambassadors–the social media friends and followers you’ve built those relationships of trust with over your social media network. 3. On-Line Qualitative Market Research 2012 will be an exciting year for the research industry. It is clear that the shift to on-line qualitative research has begun and likely to accelerate in the coming year. The need for deeper and richer insights to support making better marketing and business decisions is critical. Companies must be prepared to act fast. This category is rapidly growing and the corporate researchers that make the move will be best positioned to be the winners in this new game. It is a business imperative in my opinion. Jeffrey Hayzlett is a Bestselling Author, Maverick Marketer and Sometime Cowboy. Purchase his new book, Running the Gauntlet , here .

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U.S. Remains Top 2012 Property Investment Pick, Survey Finds

January 1, 2012

NEW YORK (Ilaina Jonas) – The United States will remain the top choice of most global commercial real estate investors in 2012, but the country has lost ground to Brazil which ranked No. 2 this year, according to a survey released Sunday. While the United States offers the most stable and secure option in commercial real estate, investors said improvement in rent and occupancy growth and the repeal of a 1980 foreign investment tax would have the strongest impact on their investment decisions, according to the 20th annual survey of Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFIRE) members. For about the past year or so, investors in U.S. commercial real estate have focused on gateway cities such as New York, Washington, Boston, San Francisco and Los Angeles, driving prices up and yields down. Meanwhile commercial property in Brazil, with its bubbling economy and safer investment environment, has become a hot spot for global investors. Sao Paulo, Brazil’s largest city, jumped to the fourth best city for real estate investment dollars in 2012, up from 26th place last year. The United States is still very desirable and was second behind the UK in attracting cross border investment in 2011, according to Real Capital Analytics preliminary figures. “The negative is it doesn’t promise a whole lot of capital appreciation because the prime markets are already fully priced,” AFIRE Chief Executive Officer James Fetgatter said. “By no means will Brazil replace the U.S., at least not in the forseeable future. Brazil is considered now a much safer place to invest and a place where you can get capital appreciation and good yield.” AFIRE’S survey respondents hold more than $874 billion of real estate globally, including $338 billion in the United States. Sixty 60 percent of respondents said they plan to increase their investment in U.S. real estate in 2012, down from a record 72 percent last year, according to the 20th annual survey. Some 42.2 percent said they believed the United States in 2012 would offer the best opportunity for the price of their commercial real estate investments to increase, down from 64.7 percent last year’s survey. The United States lost ground to Brazil, with 18.6 percent saying Brazil’s property market offered the best growth opportunity for their investment dollars. That’s up 14.2 percentage points, moving Brazil up to second place from fourth, and pushing China down to No. 3, according to the AFIRE survey. Seventy percent of respondents picked one of the three countries as their favorite, while the remaining 30 percent had top choices from 13 other countries on five continents. Respondents said they would invest more in U.S. commercial property if the fundamentals of rent and occupancy growth were stronger. Another U.S. barrier respondents cited was the Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act (FIRPTA). The 1980 act, originally designed to protect farm property from foreign ownership, subjects foreign buyers to both their domestic and U.S. taxes when they sell their investment, unless their home country has a taxation treaty with the United States. FIRPTA opponents have argued that the act unfairly penalizes foreign investors of real estate. Such double taxation does not apply if they buy U.S. stocks or bonds. As for the top cities for foreign investment in 2012, New York remained No. 1. London moved up to No. 2 from No. 3, swapping ranks with Washington. Sao Paulo was fourth, and San Francisco moved up to No. 5 from No. 10 last year. Europe’s sovereign debt problems and looming recession pushed most of the countries there – except for a few such as Switzerland and Poland – off the map for real estate investors. Germany lost about half its support among respondents in terms of stability and price appreciation, according to the survey. Emerging markets also seem to be getting more popular among potential investors. Respondents identified 25 countries they would consider for investment, up from 18 last year. Brazil topped the list, with China in second place, as each did last year. Turkey moved up to No. 3 from No. 7 last year. India and Vietnam each dropped down one spot, to No. 3 and No. 4 respectively. Appearing for the first time were Colombia, at No. 10, Hungary at No. 12, and Qatar at No. 17. As for U.S. commercial real estate, respondents said that this year they would most likely invest in apartment buildings, the fourth consecutive year multifamily topped the list. Of all the types of U.S. commercial real estate, the multifamily sector has not only recovered from the post-2007 real estate slump but rents and occupancy are even stronger than before. Warehouse and distribution centers ranked second, up from No. 5 last year. Office properties were third, up a notch from No. 4. Retail properties – shopping centers and malls – slipped to No. 4 from No. 2. Hotels ranked No. 5, down from No. 3 last year. The survey was conducted in the fourth quarter by the James A. Graaskamp Center for Real Estate, Wisconsin School of Business. (Reporting By Ilaina Jonas; Editing by Richard Chang) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Office Cleaners, Building Owners Get To Yes

December 31, 2011

New York office cleaners and building owners reached a tentative four-year labor agreement late Friday, averting a potential New Year’s Day strike. The agreement, which covers more than 22,000 New York City office cleaners represented by the Service Employees International Union Local 32BJ, will give the cleaners a nearly 6 percent wage increase over the life of the contract. Each worker will also receive cash bonuses totally $1,100. The contract, which union members must ratify, maintains employer-paid family health care coverage. “The new contract is not just an important victory for office cleaners and their families, but for our economy and our city,” said Hector Figueroa, secretary-treasurer of SEIU Local 32BJ, in a statement. “In these tough times the workers who keep New York City’s corporate offices and landmark buildings clean and well maintained have stood up for the good middle class jobs our economy and our city needs.” Building owners had sought to create a two-tier wage system under which new hires would never earn as much as current union members. They also wanted to eliminate a system of automatic employee contributions to the union’s political fund. Neither proposal is part of the union’s final agreement with building owners, said Kwame Patterson, a spokesman with SEIU Local 32BJ. Unionized building workers clean and maintain about 1,500 buildings in New York, including landmarks such as Rockefeller Center, the MetLife Building, the Empire State Building, the Chrysler Building, Grand Central Station, the Port Authority and the Time Warner Center, along with educational institutions such as New York University and The New School. New York building cleaners had threatened to establish picket lines in major cities around the country and had collected pledges from unionized cleaners elsewhere and other organized labor not to cross those picket lines. Such tactics would have expanded the effects of a potential strike beyond New York City, left thousands of buildings without needed staff and involved at least 100,000 workers. “We are pleased to have reached a tentative agreement with the union that protects workers’ wages and benefits, and provides crucial cost-savings to building owners, who have been battered in this deep recession,” said Howard Rothschild, president of the Realty Advisory Board on Labor Relations, the group negotiating on behalf of building owners with the union. In the last three months, Local 32BJ has reached new, multi-year contracts for more than 50,000 workers in Connecticut, New Jersey and Virginia. In 2012, SEIU is set to renegotiate contracts for another 155,000 cleaners across the United States. With more than 120,000 members, including 70,000 in New York state, SEIU Local 32BJ is the largest property-service workers union in the country and the largest private-sector union in the state.

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What Ended The Year As One Of The Country’s Best Investments?

December 31, 2011

NEW YORK — Investors clamored for Treasurys in 2011, giving the market its best return since 2008, even after the US government lost its sterling AAA credit rating. The turmoil in global markets only seemed to increase demand for Treasurys, which are still seen as the lowest-risk investments anywhere. Compared to the U.S. stock market, which is ending the year flat, Treasurys soared 9.6 percent for the year, according to a broad market index from Bank of America/Merrill Lynch. That’s the best return since 2008. Investors flocked to the safety of U.S. Treasurys after being alarmed by worries that the euro, Europe’s shared currency, would collapse because of the enormous debt loads of countries like Greece. There are still worries that Greece could default on its debt, which will cause massive losses for large French and German banks that hold Greek bonds. Investors fear that could cause a financial panic to spread around the world. As the euro zone debt crisis intensified during the year, U.S. debt became the safest place to park cash for large investors. “The U.S. downgrade was well overshadowed by concerns over euro zone risk,” said Kim Rupert, managing director of global fixed income analysis at Action Economics. “After huge fluctuations in gold and other commodities, there aren’t any other areas besides Treasurys to put your money and be assured you’ll get it back.” Recent debt auctions by the U.S. government were met with record demand. That demand increased even more after the value of European government bonds fell, crushing the balance sheets of European banks. Those were lining up with other investors to buy U.S. debt to shore up their balance sheets. The intense buying sent the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note down to 1.67 percent in September, the lowest on record. On Friday, the 10-year note fell 15 cents for every $100 traded and closed out the year at 1.88 percent. Rupert said that the demand for U.S. Treasurys will likely remain high until Europe makes progress toward resolving its debt problems. “There’s a real risk that a country defaults in the first half, which will have a domino effect and Treasury yields will hit fresh all-time lows. But once that catharsis is over, expect large-scale selling,” said Rupert. Both Spain and Italy are scheduled to hold debt auctions in the coming weeks, which will be closely monitored. Both countries have had to pay high yields on new debt they’ve sold. Earlier this week, Italy paid 6.98 percent on a 10-year bond auction, dangerously close to the 7 percent threshold at which Greece and Portugal had to seek bailouts from their creditors. The 30-year bond yield finished 2011 at 2.89 percent, after starting the year at 4.5 percent. The yield on the two-year note fell to 0.24 percent from 0.27 percent. The yield on the three-month T-bill was 0.01 percent. Its discount wasn’t available. Trading was quiet on the last trading day of 2011. Markets will be closed Monday in observance of New Year’s Day, which falls on Sunday.

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Rival Camera Company: Too Early To Say If It Will Invest In Olympus

December 26, 2011

TOKYO (Reuters) – Japan’s Fujifilm Holdings is watching developments at scandal-ridden Olympus Corp but it is too early to say if it will invest in the rival endoscope maker, a senior executive told Reuters in an interview on Monday. Fujifilm, a film and camera maker that has been diversifying into medical equipment and pharmaceuticals, as well as Sony Corp and Panasonic Corp were named by a newspaper last week as potential investors in Olympus. The report said Olympus was seeking to replenish its capital base by issuing $1.3 billion in preferred shares. “It’s a great business, that’s for sure,” said Kouichi Tamai, the head of Fujifilm’s medical systems unit, when asked about Olympus’s profitable endoscope division. Olympus commands 70 percent of the flexible endoscope market while the rest is held by Fujifilm and Hoya Corp. But he added: “Until we know what will happen to Olympus as a company, it would all be theoretical, so we don’t know.” Although Olympus, which has admitted to concealing investment losses with questionable M&A deals, just managed to beat a December 14 earnings report deadline and avoid an automatic delisting, it could still be delisted if the Tokyo bourse deems its past false accounting to be sufficiently serious. Tamai also said he had several acquisition targets in mind in the healthcare field, where Fujifilm has snapped up a series of firms in recent years and where it is targeting sales of 370 billion yen in fiscal 2013/2014, a 38 percent climb from the past year ended in March. It is buying out U.S.-based SonoSite Inc for $995 million including debt, a deal which it hopes will make it the world’s largest maker of portable ultrasound equipment in three years. Tamai also said he was not yet sure whether hospitals would switch away from Olympus’ endoscopes following the accounting scandal and how much Fujifilm would benefit if they did. Shares in Fujifilm, which also competes with Olympus in cameras, were up 1.6 percent in early afternoon trade, roughly in line with the Nikkei average. ($1 = 78.1000 Japanese yen) (Reporting by Isabel Reynolds; Editing by Edwina Gibbs) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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WATCH: Cops Pepper Spray Protesters In Front Of Santa

December 23, 2011

So much for the holiday spirit. Police pepper sprayed Occupy Albany protesters in front of a man dressed as Santa Claus on Thursday night. The incident occurred as police dismantled the protester’s camp, the AP reported. After a judge issued a court order allowing the city to remove the camp’s tents, a large group of city workers and police officers entered the camp. As the last tent was being removed, protesters began to fight back , holding on to it and engaging the cops in a tug-of-war. The AP reports that at least 5 protesters were pepper sprayed, 4 were arrested and 1 was taken away by an ambulance. Albany Mayor Jerry Jennings defended the police action and insisted there was “no legal ambush” or “planned force.” Watch police clash with protesters in the video below.

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Sarah Anderson: Mining for Profits

December 16, 2011

The small country of El Salvador has dared to stand up against powerful international gold mining companies. And now they’re dealing with the blowback. One of the companies salivating over El Salvador’s gold is suing the government for their failure to bow down and grant a permit for a proposed mining project. There is strong local resistance to the project because of concerns it could poison a river that is the source of water for more than half the national population. The company, Pacific Rim, is demanding in excess of $77 million in compensation, alleging violations of “investor protections” under the U.S. trade agreement with Central America. If Pacific Rim wins, the government will face a stark choice: fork over a huge chunk of taxpayer dollars to a foreign corporation or put their people’s health at risk. But those fighting the case in El Salvador have an increasing number of influential allies in Washington, where the case is being heard at an international arbitration tribunal housed in the World Bank. On December 15, labor, environmental, faith, and other groups turned out for a rally to demand that the case be dismissed. They delivered a letter to World Bank and tribunal officials signed by more than 240 international organizations, including 14 U.S. labor unions. Particularly notable among them was the United Mineworkers. Although their members’ livelihoods depend on the mining industry, they expressed solidarity for those in El Salvador who are resisting this mining project because of the possible repercussions for public health and democracy. El Salvador is still struggling to transition to representative democracy after years of civil war and there are lingering concerns about political violence. Tim Beaty, Director of Global Strategies for the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, spoke about his union’s long history of solidarity with unions in El Salvador and said they are still seeking justice in the case of a Teamster organizer, Gilberto Soto, who was killed while he was working to make connections between U.S. and Salvadoran port workers in 2004. In the course of the dispute over Pacific Rim’s proposed mining project, four Salvadoran anti-mining activists have been murdered. The Pacific Rim case is just one example of a growing number of “investor-state” lawsuits over natural resources. An Institute for Policy Studies report, Mining for Profits in International Tribunals , finds that 43 of the 137 pending cases before the World Bank tribunal are related to oil, mining, or gas. By contrast, one year ago there were only 32 such cases and 10 years ago there were only 3. Not surprisingly, this increase has coincided with an increase in commodity prices. The price of gold, for example, has quadrupled, from $282 per ounce in January 2000 to $1,900 in September 2011. Corporations are using expensive lawsuits filed under trade rules as one more weapon to get their hands on these valuable resources. A new video produced by the Democracy Center in Bolivia tells the broader story of how corporations are using these new powers to push back against all manner of government actions, including anti-smoking regulations in Uruguay, and the growing resistance in many developing countries. Even if Pacific Rim loses its case against El Salvador, the bigger struggle will continue to rewrite our trade rules so that governments don’t have to face such outrageous cases in the first place.

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Congress Threatens Foundation Of Internet

December 14, 2011

Ryan Grim contributed reporting WASHINGTON — A month ago, Google lobbyist Katherine Oyama absorbed one of the more unusual congressional tongue-lashings in years when she appeared before a hearing of the House Judiciary Committee. Rep. Tom Marino (R-Pa.) joked that Oyama had walked into a “lion’s den.” After praising representatives of drug giant Pfizer and the Motion Picture Association of America for their aggressive efforts to combat online piracy of American products, a bipartisan cadre of committee members spent much of the hearing berating Google, and Oyama personally, as corrupt, compromised and selfish. “One of the companies represented here today has sought to obstruct the Committee’s consideration of bipartisan legislation,” House Judiciary Committee Chairman Lamar Smith (R-Texas) said. “In my experience there’s usually only one thing at stake when we have long lines outside a hearing as we do today, and when giant companies, like the ones opposing this bill, and their supporters start throwing around rhetoric like, ‘This bill will kill the Internet,’” said Rep. Mel Watt (D-N.C.), glowering at Oyama. “That one thing is usually money.” It’s not unheard-of for corporate representatives to pay public penance on Capitol Hill, but Google had seemed an unlikely target: Unlike recent corporate target MF Global and congressional villain Goldman Sachs, Google’s shaming wasn’t preceded by massive public outcry. So what raised the committee’s ire? An extremely technical, low-profile bill that isn’t being covered by cable news, but has nearly 1,000 registered lobbying officially working on it: the Stop Online Piracy Act, or SOPA — a bill with the power to fundamentally reshape the laws governing the Internet. SOPA would imbue the federal government with broad powers to shut down whole web domains on the basis that it believes them to be associated with piracy — without a trial or even a traditional hearing. It would provide Hollywood with powerful new legal tools to stifle transactions with websites whose existence worries the movie industry. The bill’s supporters, which also include major record labels, trial lawyers and pharmaceutical giants, call SOPA a robust effort to curb piracy of American goods online. Opponents, however, have castigated it as an unparalleled attack on free speech online. Civil liberties advocates say SOPA would give the U.S. government the same censorship tools used in China. Those in the technology sector warn that the bill creates enormous new barriers to entry for web startups, threatening innovation and job creation. Farther afield, librarians say that under the letter of the proposed anti-piracy law, they could be jailed for simply doing their jobs. But with buy-in from powerful members of Congress on both sides of the aisle, SOPA’s backers had hoped for few roadblocks en route to Thursday’s committee vote and, from there, the House floor. The bill’s future is in greater doubt, however, given unexpectedly strong opposition from both grassroots organizers and corporate players with a vested interest in maintaining the Internet’s status quo. In fact, SOPA and its companion Senate bill, Protect IP, have splintered the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the nation’s preeminent business lobby. In October, Internet portal Yahoo publicly withdrew from the Chamber — an extremely rare move for a big U.S. business. Google lobbyists tell HuffPost they “wouldn’t be surprised” if the leading search giant soon followed Yahoo out the door. The opposition has succeeded in slowing legislative momentum. Sources in Congress and on K Street now say that Senate is unlikely to vote on its measure by the end of the year. And the bill’s prospects become much slimmer in 2012, an election year in which members will spend much more time away from the Hill. Yet in the meantime, other legislation has been left sitting idle, including bills to maintain current Medicare reimbursement rates for doctors, renew the payroll tax cut for the middle class and maintain the flow of unemployment benefits. So how has a bill this arcane occupied so much congressional attention? Grassroots lobbying has been a factor, but the SOPA war in Congress has mostly been waged between different corporate elements, each with deep pockets. While bipartisanship has been hard to come by in Washington this year on high-profile issues, it’s been easy to find on SOPA and the other corporate disputes that have taken much of the legislature’s time this year — banks vs. retailers , Silicon Valley vs. Big Pharma . But unlike previous corporate spats on Capitol Hill, voters would quickly see the impact of the year’s final congressional action if the government uses it to give their favorite websites the ax. * * * * * Movie studios, cable companies and major record labels have been railing against copied songs and films for decades. In the ’20s, record labels required musicians to sign contracts promising never to appear on a new medium called “radio.” Nearly a century later, the Recording Industry Association of America sued a 12-year old girl for downloading children’s TV theme songs on her parents’ computer. And for the past decade, they’ve hammered Capitol Hill with the same demand: Stop online piracy. “Hollywood and the recording industry have a one-item agenda. You can’t say to them, ‘If you go softer on this, I’ll give you that,’ because there’s no ‘that’ for them,” says Gigi Sohn, president and Co-Founder of Public Knowledge, the leading nonprofit on Internet freedom issues, and a staunch opponent of SOPA. The top target has been the Judiciary Committee, a powerful circle of lawmakers that is responsible not only for intellectual property rules, but judicial appointments, bankruptcy law and scores of issues involving constitutional rights. In recent decades, the line between Hollywood and the Judiciary Committee has blurred. In the early 1990s, then Rep. Sonny Bono (R-Calif.), of Sonny & Cher, drafted a bill for the Judiciary Committee that extended the length of copyright protection by an additional 20 years. Bono’s Southern California district was very close to Disneyland, and the copyrights on Disney’s oldest Mickey Mouse cartoons were nearing their expiration. Bono’s efforts ensured that Mickey’s first appearance in “Steamboat Willie” would not enter the public domain until 2023. Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Pat Leahy (D-Vt.) is Hollywood’s current favorite son in Washington. His top two career campaign contributors are Time Warner and Disney, according to data compiled by Center for Responsive Politics ; Time Warner has even given him cameo appearances in Batman movies , an experience Leahy talks of proudly. Another committee member, Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.), who has repeatedly called net neutrality ” the most important free speech issue of our time ,” is a co-sponsor of the new anti-piracy legislation. An aide to Franken says that the issue is personal: “He is … a copyright holder and he has worked with creatives and copyright holders.” Franken has written several best-selling books, and was a longtime star of NBC’s Saturday Night Live. On the Republican side, former Judiciary Committee aides Allison Halataei and Lauren Pastarnack recently signed on as lobbyists for the entertainment industry, as Politico has reported . According to an analysis by the Sunlight Foundation, a nonpartisan government transparency nonprofit, a full 16 former House Judiciary Committee staffers are now lobbying on intellectual property issues, with all but a handful pushing to enact SOPA. In May Leahy introduced Protect IP, declaring that it “will protect the investment American companies make in developing brands and creating content and will protect the jobs associated with those investments.” The bill would give the Department of Justice the power to bring down foreign websites “dedicated to infringement” without going through the hassle of a trial — or even a traditional hearing. All DOJ has to do is convince a judge to approve the department’s view that a site is in fact “primarily dedicated to infringement”; the law doesn’t require the judge hear any defense from the website’s operator. Currently the government can only shut down domestic websites, and only if it plans to go to trial; taking down a website can only occur if a judge is shown probable cause that the site was used in the commission of a crime. The new bill doesn’t require criminal activity for a takedown — only that the DOJ believes the site be “primarily dedicated to infringement.” Even with its existing powers, the government has improperly shuttered legitimate websites. In late 2010, Immigration and Customs Enforcement brought down dozens of websites with names like “boxedtvseries.com” and “dvdscollection.com.” Most of those sites quickly moved their operations to identical sites with different domain names. But in the same sting, ICE also knocked out a handful of quite popular music blogs that artists frequently leaked songs to as a promotional tool . On December 8, 2011, after more than a year, one of those websites, dajaz1.com, went back up. ICE, which declined to comment for this article, decided not to prosecute. Under Leahy’s bill, the government would have no obligation to ever even pretend to be proceeding toward a trial in order to keep a site suppressed indefinitely. “Can the government be trusted to get this stuff right?” Asks Andrew Bridges, a lawyer with Fenwick & West who represented dajaz1.com throughout the proceeding. “I think the obvious answer is no. There’s a reason why we have trials.” Leahy’s bill would also empower corporations to demand that payment processors, advertisers and search engines stop doing business with sites the companies believe to be dedicated to infringement. A Hollywood studio could claim a website is “dedicated to infringement,” tell Google to stop registering the website in its search results. If Google protested, the company could haul Google into court. This new set of corporate liabilities — known as a “private right of action” — prompted resistance from Wall Street. Both JPMorgan Chase, which operates a major global payment processing business, and the Financial Services Roundtable, a lobbying group representing the nation’s biggest banks, had been lobbying Congress against the bill, arguing that it was unfair to hold banks accountable for the sins of others. Banks and payment processors didn’t want to have Hollywood telling them who to do business with. * * * * * In 2010, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton blasted China’s Internet censorship as an ” information curtain .” But the way Protect IP tries to cut off foreign pirates’ access to resources within the U.S. mimics many of the Chinese government’s methods. Even former Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.), now chairman of the Motion Picture Association of America, invoked China’s methods when challenging Google’s claim that it couldn’t block access to specific websites on its search engine. “When the Chinese told Google that they had to block sites or they couldn’t do [business] in their country, they managed to figure out how to block sites,” he told Variety . The government’s ability to shut down sites would involve federal tampering with the domestic Domain Name System — a basic Internet building block that links numerical addresses where Internet data is stored to alphabetical URL addresses that people actually type into web browsers. The Chinese government censors the Internet for its citizens by engaging in DNS blocking, restricting access to certain domains. Tech experts warn that giving the U.S. government such powers could hinder the functionality of many web applications, severing the connection between domain URLs and numerical data addresses that many programs rely on. It would also hamper efforts to introduce a new security system known as DNSSEC, which national security programmers have been developing for years. “The Act would allow the government to break the Internet addressing system,” wrote 108 law professors in a July letter to Congress . “The Internet’s Domain Name System (“DNS”) is a foundational building block upon which the Internet has been built and on which its continued functioning critically depends. The Act will have potentially catastrophic consequences for the stability and security of the DNS.” Leahy’s bill has whipped Internet advocacy groups into a frenzy. Dozens of nonprofits, including the Electronic Frontier Foundation and The Center for Democracy and Technology, issued strong statements condemning the bill. Fifty venture capitalists sent a letter to the Hill warning lawmakers that Leahy’s bill could cripple tech startups with absurd legal fees prompted by Hollywood. “Either they don’t understand the basic fundamentals of the Internet,” says Fred Wilson, referring to the broad congressional support for SOPA, “or they’re just doing this to get the MPAA and the [Recording Industry Association of America] off their backs.” Wilson is managing partner with Union Square Ventures , the New York-based venture capital firm that seeded Twitter, among others. By the fall, things would get much worse for tech companies. Amid intense lobbying pressure, the House would expand Leahy’s bill, giving the U.S. Attorney General the power to shut down domestic websites without any intent to proceed to trial. Once that news became konwn, a slew of U.S. web companies, including Twitter, eBay and HuffPost parent company AOL, significantly ramped up lobbying efforts against the legislation. But during the spring and early summer, the response from tech companies to Leahy’s bill, though negative, was relatively muted. Most tech giants simply did not believe that such an extreme bill would ever really pass, according to lobbyists who worked against the legislation and staffers for Senators who oppose it. Leahy had introduced a previous Hollywood anti-piracy bill, known as COICA, in September 2010; that attempt had floundered for six months before he rewrote it as Protect IP. Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) responded to pressure from online activists by quickly putting a hold on Protect IP, preventing it from coming up for a vote indefinitely. Tech-friendly lawmaker Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-Va.) was tasked with drawing up the House version, which Silicon Valley was assured would be far narrower in scope than Leahy’s effort. But over the summer, Hollywood ginned up support anywhere it could. “Hollywood is really putting the screws to just about everybody they do business with. Netflix, the Writers Guild — they’re all coming to me and saying, ‘Can’t you say something good about this?’ ” says Public Knowledge’s Sohn. Several unions associated with the entertainment industry endorsed the bill, including the Teamsters, a decidedly non-celebrity trucking union that works with Hollywood loading and transporting films and supplies. And since courts would ultimately have to decide what constitutes a site “dedicated to infringement,” Leahy’s bill would create a whole new realm of legal disputes, offering trial lawyers their own slice of the Internet. The result was a perfect agglomeration of traditional Democratic Party constituencies, and Leahy quickly round up 21 Democrats as co-sponsors — including some of the most progressive and Internet-friendly members of either chamber. Top members of the Democratic leadership, including Sens. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) and Dick Durbin (D-Ill.), signed on alongside progressive stalwarts, like Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) and Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), to the chagrin of Internet freedom groups who had once counted all of them as allies. All 22 Democratic co-sponsors of Protect IP previously voted to protect net neutrality, a policy that prevents corporate telecommunications giants from dictating the accessibility and functionality of individual websites. NBC Universal is one of multiple television behemoths lobbying in support of the bill, as is News Corp., the parent company for both Fox Pictures and Fox News. In the past six months, Fox News, Fox Business, MSNBC and CNBC have remained silent on Protect IP and SOPA, the house equivalent, according to a HuffPost review of cable TV records. Both Fox and NBC declined to comment for this article. News Corp. Chief Rupert Murdoch has personally lobbied Congress on Protect IP, meeting with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) among others. AOL Inc., HuffPost’s parent company, is lobbying against the bill; CEO Tim Armstrong has personally met with President Obama. * * * * * While Washington has demonstrated little enthusiasm for taking substantive action on the jobs crisis, lawmakers always try to portray to whatever else they’re working on as jobs-oriented. Obama heavily touted a Bush-negotiated free trade pact with Korea as a job-creator, though the government’s own numbers on Korea imply a “negligible” impact on American jobs. Even in inter-corporate fights, jobs remain the focus of every legislative pitch a lobbyist makes, and piracy provides a natural hook: stopping foreign websites from pirating U.S. goods would create American jobs! The Motion Picture Association of America — a lobbying group for the dominant Hollywood studios — is pushing that line harder than anyone else in the fight. But amid epic unemployment, few voters are interested in prioritizing the complaints of silver-screen celebrities over the American middle class. So former Sen. Dodd, now the chairman of the MPAA, has embarked on an ambitious lobbying and PR campaign emphasizing the many less glamorous jobs involved in the film industry. During the last Congress Dodd moved more large and complex legislation through Congress than any Senator in modern memory, taking a lead role in the Wall Street overhaul and credit card reform, among other bills. If anybody can lead SOPA through this Congress, it’s Dodd. “Behind Hollywood’s red-carpet image lays a blue-collar reality. Most of those 2.2 million jobs are held by middle income families and small-business owners, men and women whose names will never appear on a theater marquee, but whose efforts are critical,” Dodd said in a Nov. 16 speech before the Hollywood Chamber of Commerce, the organization responsible for the “Hollywood Walk of Fame” honoring film and music celebrities . Dodd’s 2.2 million jobs figure, however, exaggerates Hollywood’s contribution to the American economy. According to supplemental data provided to HuffPost by MPAA , only 272,000 people work for movie studios and television companies. The lobby group claims that an additional 430,000 people work in related “distribution” jobs dependent on Hollywood, legal web streamers like Netflix, the few remaining video store clerks and cashiers checking out DVD purchases. Just how many of these “downstream” positions are really dependent on Hollywood is the subject of dispute among economists, and how many are hurt by kids downloading movies for free is even less clear. But the vast majority of the jobs Dodd & Co. claim are threatened by online piracy are only peripherally related to the entertainment business. MPAA takes credit for nearly 1.6 million jobs at florists, catering companies, hardware stores and other industries that work with major movie studios, assuming that these jobs could not ultimately be out of a job without Hollywood help. “This is a joke,” says economist Dean Baker, co-Director of the progressive-leaning Center for Economic and Policy Research. “This bill will have very little impact on jobs directly. And of course the money that people don’t pay to the MPAA, they spend somewhere else. So this is about the distribution of jobs, not the number.” In July, MPAA launched Creative America , a site that purports to demonstrate the ravages of piracy on ordinary folks in the entertainment industry. The group is now engaged in an aggressive and expensive advertising campaign to promote Protect IP and SOPA as job-protecting legislation, claiming that pirates are “stealing … hundreds of thousands of American jobs.” WATCH the MPAA ad: Dozens of other industries have lined up to support the bill, chanting the less-piracy-equals-more-jobs mantra. But like many talking points circulating around Capitol Hill, the sound bite hinges on a link between higher corporate profits and more jobs. For many of the firms in favor of the bill, that link is tenuous at best. “If you’re Nike, and you make tennis shoes and there’s a company in some other country that can manufacture those for 10 cents on the dollar and sell them as if they were real Nikes, you have a big problem,” says Christine Jones, General Counsel for Go Daddy, one of just two major tech companies to support the bill. Jones was a bundler for the 2008 presidential bid by Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), raising as much as $100,000 for him. McCain, a Protect IP co-sponsor, denies any contact between himself and either Go Daddy or Jones. But a large portion of Nike’s labor force works overseas (often working in abusive labor conditions that the company has long vowed to end). Most of the firms lobbying on the legislation will not even publicly disclose the number of employees who actually work in the United States (Tiffany & Co., a supporter of the bill that does disclose, has 44 percent of their employees overseas ). But supporters of anti-piracy legislation continue to tout the jobs line. In a statement provided to HuffPost, Franken says the bill “an important jobs issue,” insisting that, “The online sale of copyrighted content and counterfeit goods hurts American workers and businesses, and it ultimately means lost jobs.” Protect IP’s support from liberals like Franken and traditional Democratic donors has not been lost among the conservative base. As the Tea Party Patriots proclaimed in an early autumn Facebook post : “Have your own website? Maybe the government will shut it down tomorrow…without any notice to you. Republicans are going to introduce this in the House, Democrats in the Senate. WHAT??? Big Labor, Hollywood, U.S. Chamber of Commerce all in this together…against you.” During the years-long debate over net neutrality, Republicans repeatedly claimed that net neutrality rules amount to a “government takeover” of the Internet, insisting that the government doesn’t need to and shouldn’t “regulate the Internet.” “Here’s what they wanna do: take the private Internet and put it all under government control,” Tea Party favorite Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.) said in a web video uploaded to her own YouTube account in April . “Think about it. What’s going to happen to the next Facebook innovator if they have to go apply with the government to get approval to develop a new application?” And yet elected Republicans of all stripes, including Blackburn, whose district includes Nashville, are lining up to hail Protect IP and SOPA — accounting for 17 of 39 Senate co-sponsors and seven of nine House co-sponsors. Tea Party favorite Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), whose state houses Universal Studios and Disney World, is a co-sponsor on the Senate side, while Reps. Mary Bono Mack (R-Calif.), Elton Gallegy (R-Calif.) and Dennis Ross (R-Fla.), who have heavy Hollywood presence in their districts, have signed on as co-sponsors in the House. “This … is a huge giveaway to the trial lawyers, but the Republicans are all over this,” says a frustrated Pedro Ribeiro, spokesman for Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-Calif.), a lawmaker whose district is home to several Silicon Valley stalwarts and was one of the first members of Congress to speak out against the piracy bill. * * * * * With major corporate constituencies organizing on behalf of the bill, Silicon Valley stalwarts couldn’t count on the U.S. Chamber of Commerce to air their complaints. In addition to Hollywood and Nike, pharmaceutical giants were making a big push. Americans pay higher prescription drug prices than the citizens of any other nation , a product of strict intellectual property rules for prescription drugs. So many among the elderly and the uninsured import the same drugs at lower prices from Canada to avoid the sticker shock, a strategy advocated by both Consumer Reports and AARP . Though buying prescription drugs from Canada is technically illegal, the Food and Drug Administration has informally tolerated the purchases for year, provided the medicine is approved by prescription and is only for personal use. Several states have even adopted official Canadian drug importation regimes over the last decade, including Kansas under then-Gov. Kathleen Sebelieus, who now heads Obama’s Department of Health and Human Services chief. Over one million Americans order drugs from pharmacies certified by the Canadian International Pharmacy Association, , a credentialing organization recommended by AARP for seniors to help ensure that a pharmacy in Canada is safe. But major pharmaceutical companies hate this practice, which drains on their revenues, and the companies have deployed an aggressive campaign to associate legitimate Canadian drugs with the very real problem of Internet-purchased counterfeit medicines. (There are websites peddling bogus drugs who do their best to masquerade as legitimate Canadian pharmacies.) “The major threat to patients in the U.S., however, is the Internet and the many professional-looking websites that promise safe, FDA-approved, branded medicines from countries such as Canada or the U.K.,” Pfizer Chief Security Officer John Clark said at the Nov. 16 House hearing. SOPA includes a host of provisions designed to crack down on counterfeit medicine that are written broadly enough to encumber the importation of safe medicine from legitimate Canadian pharmacies. Provisions that bar the importation of “mislabeled” drugs would block a great deal of unsafe pills from making their way to the U.S., but they would also block all Canadian prescription drugs, because Canada’s drug warnings don’t exactly match FDA warnings. So while SOPA cosponsor Rep. Steve Chabot (R-Ohio) has few ties to unions or Hollywood, his second-biggest career campaign donor is Proctor & Gamble, a major drug company. The number two donor for Rep. Lee Terry (R-Neb.), another co-sponsor, is USA Drug, a southern drug store chain. Pharmaceutical giant Abbott Laboratories is the top 2012 donor for Protect IP co-sponsor Sen. Mike Enzi (R-Wy.), and 3 of the top 10 career donors for fellow co-sponsor Sen. Lindsay Graham (R-S.C.) are pharmaceutical companies. With both Hollywood and the pharmaceutical industry backing the bill, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce threw it’s full support behind the legislation, lobbying Congress directly. It also peddled its case to the public, starting up cuddly shell organizations to mask its own involvement. The Chamber set up The Coalition Against Counterfeiting and Piracy, which in turn established FightOnlineTheft.com. And FightOnlineTheft.com produced tear-jerker videos about the horrors of counterfeit medicine. WATCH FightOnlineTheft.com’s ad: “Somebody could end up sick,” reads a narrator, whose friend died after taking medicine purchased from Canada online. “Somebody could end up dead. It could be a child next time. It could be your friend, it could be anybody. And they just don’t care. They are just after the money. And it has to be stopped.” * * * * * By October, Smith, the House Judiciary Committee Chairman, who declined to comment for this article, stripped tech-friendly Rep. Goodlatte of responsibility for the House version of Protect IP, sparking panic among tech firms. Smith delivered for Hollywood, expanding Leahy’s bill to give governments and corporations the power to bring down foreign and domestic websites alike, and broadening the definition of a condemnable site to anything that “infringes or facilitates infringement.” Courts will ultimately decide the meaning of that term, but if you believe SOPA-supporter Monster Cable, which keeps an extensive list of “blacklisted dealers” that sell “fake” Monster products , some of the biggest names in both the Internet and American retail could be targeted: eBay, Craigslist, Costco, Facebook, Sears and Twitpic. If SOPA passed, Monster, which makes high-priced versions of guitar cables and home electronic connectors, could demand that web hosting services take down not merely individual web pages selling allegedly bogus Monster cables at Sears.com, they could demand that the entire Sears website be taken down. “The new law is touted as providing additional remedies for foreign sites, but it really strongly targets domestic players as well,” says Bridges, the attorney for dajaz1.com, the site raided by ICE in 2010. And the prospect of the government sacking entire websites because some user-generated content allegedly violates copyright laws creates tremendous free speech problems, civil liberties advocates say. “Our primary concerns are with the fact that non-infringing content is going to be taken down in the process of taking down infringing content,” says Michael MacLeod-Ball, First Amendment counsel for the American Civil Liberties Union. “The way the bill is set up, if a site has infringing content on it … their default reaction is going to be to take down the whole site.” While a judge has to review the Attorney General’s request to take down a site, nobody from the site being targeted must be given a chance to defend themselves before the judge grants the AG’s request. The AG doesn’t ask a judge for a search warrant under SOPA, it requests to take down an entire website without a trial — or even a hearing. Under current law, any U.S. website posting infringing content has to take the song or movie down at the request of whatever company owns the copyright. But under SOPA, companies could go directly to web hosting companies and require them to take down the entire website — not just individual songs and videos. As a result, SOPA creates a new opening for corporate command of the Internet. Under SOPA, web hosting companies that take down legitimate websites at the behest of copyright holders would be granted blanket immunity from any liability for losses caused to those legitimate sites. “Nobody’s responsible,” says UVA’s Sprigman. “A website is taken down, there are robust First Amendment standards that should prevent it from being taken down, and it gets taken down anyway. Well whose responsible? No one.” That model could also pave the way for a new business model among hosting companies. Instead of waiting for Hollywood to ask that a site be shutdown, hosting companies could agree to monitor web traffic for them for a fee and preemptively take down infringing sites without having to be asked, Internet activists warn. “It would be a very tragic thing if in the name of protecting artists, we saw the most important platform of our time become the province of just a few companies deciding what is and isn’t legitimate expression,” says Casey Rae-Hunter, deputy director of the Future of Music Coalition, an advocacy group for independent musicians that staunchly opposes Protect IP and SOPA, emphasizing that what is good for corporate record labels often doesn’t translate into positive outcomes actual musicians. Big companies targeted by Hollywood may be able to win copyright disputes in court. But for small startups, the implications are more dire. At worst, the bill would force productive startups to shut down in their nascent stages. At best, companies would have to hire additional legal staff to protect against the threat of a SOPA lawsuit. Hollywood and the recording industry will “sue startups,” says Patrick Ruffini, a Republican strategist and founder of Engage LLC, which is running PR against SOPA, “and if you get a $6 million or $7 million lawsuit slapped at you, it’s very hard as a startup.” Twitter, for instance, could be required to remove any link on its platform to infringing content or face DNS annihilation, Internet activists have warned. SOPA’s supporters insist they aren’t after Twitter or other prominent tech firms. But they also oppose narrowing the legislation to remove connotations for sites like Twitter. “It’s already hard enough to build a legitimate new business as it is, and this would make it much worse,” says Dennis Yang, vice president of Infochimps , a company that provides specialty data-set search services. “What’s really scary is we won’t know which productive new businesses won’t get off the ground, because MPAA used this bill to kill them before anybody heard about them.” While DNS blocking may well lead to the delisting of legitimate sites, web experts say it would be extremely unlikely to actually hamper piracy efforts that involve even moderate levels of sophistication. When the domain “illegalfreemovies.com” is taken down, site operators can take all of their information to “newillegalfreemovies.com.” And tech developers are developing workarounds for domain seizures. A third-party developer has already introduced a program for Mozilla Firefox, the popular open-sourced web browser that allows its users to program their own add-on features, that forwards users from a domain that has been taken down to its newly-registered name . The House bill also includes a host of provisions to expand the scope of what constitutes criminal copyright infringement at home, and would even make make it a felony to stream copyrighted videos online. The tactics are so extreme that American libraries are urging Congress to reject the bill on the grounds that librarians could be jailed for making good-faith judgments that their activities were within the law. Libraries have always provided copyrighted material to the public for free. But in recent years, major lawsuits have been filed against libraries for streaming educational videos in university classes, allowing college students to access chapters of books electronically, and compiling a database of “orphan” books that are no longer in commercial circulation. All of these activities have generally been protected by “fair use” — a legal doctrine that allows for free distribution of copyrighted information under a variety of circumstances, especially for educational use. But “fair use” standards have changed over time, from lawsuit to lawsuit. And with movie studios and publishing houses challenging the meaning of fair use under digital methods of distribution, a librarian who copies a DVD to the library’s database and streams it in the library could find herself charged with a felony under SOPA. “It’s just freaky for libraries to find themselves in this kind of situation, because we’re nonprofit, small-potatoes actors,” Brandon Butler, Director of Public Policy Initiatives for the Association of Research Libraries, tells HuffPost. * * * * * In October, the Chamber continued to support Protect IP as indications mounted that the House version would not moderate the Senate bill, but instead launch a still more-aggressive assault on the Internet’s infrastructure. By mid-month, Yahoo! had had enough — it left the Chamber outright. No corporation had publicly left the Chamber since 2009, when Apple departed after the lobby shop officially opposed climate change legislation, siding with oil companies while peddling science-denialist talking points. Google could leave the Chamber any day now, but unlike Yahoo!, Google is deeply involved in the Chamber’s effort to allow American companies to bring money stashed offshore back to the U.S. at a greatly reduced or nonexistent tax rate. A tax holiday could save Google significant change: The company saves about $1 billion a year by pushing its profits to Ireland and the Netherlands, Bloomberg reported, but it only avoids paying U.S. taxes on that money so long as it never brings the money back to the states. Leaving the Chamber would mean bearing the full brunt of the PR blow for its lobbying, as Google would no longer be able to shield its activity behind Chamber coalitions. Since Leahy proposed similar legislation in late 2010, Google has been the most high-profile corporate opponent of the anti-piracy legislation. The company’s business model depends on an open Internet, and some of its top properties, particularly YouTube, have long been targets for Hollywood and TV moguls. Having a corporate ally is a clear boost for libraries, free speech advocates and open-Internet nonprofits, who don’t have the lobbying might Google has. But of all the corporate sponsors to have in Washington right now, Google is probably the least helpful. The Internal Revenue Service is investigating the company’s tax maneuvering; the Department of Justice is reviewing its acquisition of Motorola Mobility; the Federal Trade Commission and a Senate panel are investigating whether its search tactics constitute an illegal monopoly. But nothing has been more damaging on SOPA than Google’s run-in with online pharmacies. In August, Google paid $500 million to settle charges from the U.S. Department of Justice that it accepted ads from pharmacies that shipped drugs to American consumers in violation of American law. Many of these were violations that the government frequently tolerates, but by blatantly and repeatedly allowing ads from pharmacies that sell prescription drugs without a prescription, DOJ decided to take action. “Google’s been great on this, but their reputation has been systematically trashed in Washington by their opponents,” says Aaron Swartz, co-founder of Reddit, whose group Demand Progress was an early Protect IP opponent, and which now boasts of organizing over 600,000 people to oppose it. Roughly a week after the House bill dropped at the end of October, nine tech giants — including Google, Facebook, Twitter, eBay, and HuffPost’s parent company, AOL Inc. — sent a letter to lawmakers urging them to reject the bill. But on Capitol Hill, Google’s name was the one that mattered. Things got especially ugly during the House hearing featuring Google’s Oyama, a week after the letter was sent. Of the nine tech companies, only Google was invited to appear before the Judiciary Committee — against five SOPA supporters. Lawmakers didn’t hide their hostility. “Google just settled a federal criminal investigation into the company’s active promotion of rogue websites that pushed illegal prescription and counterfeit drugs on American consumers,” Smith said at the hearing. “Given Google’s record, their objection to authorizing a court to order a search engine to not steer consumers to foreign rogue sites is more easily understood.” On the Senate side, Google doesn’t even have the backing of one of its own Senator, Democrat Dianne Feinstein. When HuffPost asked Feinstein, a Protect IP co-sponsor, if it was difficult for her to navigate the bill with Silicon Valley and Hollywood on opposite sides, she responded: “I don’t believe that they are. I thought we had reconciled the issues. The bill’s been passed out of committee.” The response seems incredible given the outcry from Silicon Valley, and Google in particular, but the complexity of the legislation has left many lawmakers vulnerable to K Street spin. Tech companies had also lost Wall Street as a key ally; by this fall, the baggage of earlier lobbying campaigns weighed heavily on the banks. During the first six months of 2011, banks worked Congress hard on debit card swipe fees, pressuring just about every member of the Senate to buck loyal campaign contributors in the American retail industry . The banks ultimately lost in Congress, but not before winning over several reluctant lawmakers. Persuasion came with a high price: Banks take a reputation hit every time they’re in the news lobbying. So for the time being, Wall Street is shying away from obvious feuds with other companies. “Nobody likes this private right of action,” says Peter Freeman, a lobbyist with the Financial Services Roundtable. “But we’re focused on other things right now.” * * * * * Never underestimate the ability of venture capitalists, who invest in new, job-creating companies, to charm Congress. This fall, when it became clear that the House bill would cause havoc for tech companies, a handful of tech-friendly VCs, including Twitter-investor Union Square, sent a letter to Congress and flew to Washington to meet with lawmakers. Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.), chair of the powerful House Oversight and Government Reform Committee and an aggressive partisan whose top career campaign contributors include SOPA supporters AT&T and Microsoft, was particularly attentive to the substance of the issues involved, according to VC representatives who met with his office. In December, Issa, a business owner himself, joined a small bipartisan group of lawmakers in proposing an alternative to the Leahy/Smith legislation. Issa jumped in with Sen. Wyden, who chairs the Senate subcommittee on international trade, and Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.), a former venture capitalist who helped seed telecom company Nextel and a host of Internet companies. “I got a company, Rosetta Stone, who gets pirated on a regular basis — you’ve gotta have accountability around that,” says Warner, referring to the language-learning software company with offices in Arlington and Harrisonburg, Va. “But … I think the approach Senator Wyden has been working will strike a better balance.” The alternative legislation would drop all of SOPA’s efforts against domestic websites, and would not allow the DOJ to engage in DNS blocking. It would also kick arbitration of any foreign infringement claims to the U.S. International Trade Commission, which already handles issues of foreign piracy as a policy issue. After a formal public hearing, ITC would be empowered to regulate rogue infringing websites as unfair imports — permitting ITC to cutoff any U.S. payment processors or advertisers from doing business with such sites, denying them access to American money and financial infrastructure. It’s not clear how much support the Wyden-Issa bill can secure: The Chamber declined to comment on it. But those backing the alternative don’t have to actually pass their version to stall SOPA. “There really is a worthwhile strategy in delay,” says Tim Karr, campaign director for Free Press, a media reform nonprofit. And the potential of SOPA passing in January has already sparked a new round of corporate interest in the legislation, forcing companies on both sides of the issue to throw money at any lawmaker who signals ambivalence on the issue. Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.), a Protect IP co-sponsor, has suggested he’s willing to jump ship. “I’ve been trying to gauge the concerns,” Lieberman tells HuffPost. The White House is intensely divided over SOPA and Protect IP, according to administration sources, and hasn’t issued any statement on them — suggesting the President won’t be pushing piracy legislation as hard as he did for free-trade and the patent-reform legislation. And opponents of Protect IP and SOPA have the dysfunctionality of Congress at their backs. Next year is an election year, and congressional leadership will not want to force an issue that divides campaign donors anywhere near November. It’s a strategy that has worked before. In 2006, Congress pressed for legislation to give telecom giants the capacity to dictate traffic volumes to individual websites. Billions of dollars a year in corporate profits were at stake, and the bill had bipartisan support. But the legislation died, quietly, over several years. “By pushing it off and pushing it off, we eventually killed it,” says Adam Green, co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, a long-time net neutrality defender. This year’s legislative tussles over corporate profits have been only tangentially related to the ordinary lives of American citizens — they’ve essentially been about hidden fees. The price of the patent fight and debit swipe fees are reflected in more expensive consumer goods, but citizens don’t see how much of that price tag results from a corporate dispute over intellectual property or merchant card charges. But everyone uses the Internet. While many of SOPA’s consequences would be hidden from public view in out-of-court negotiations, some effects will be felt directly. The intensely personal nature of Internet use has elevated this particular intra-corporate squabble to something the broader public is beginning to pay attention to. “Congress is on the verge of wrecking the greatest engine of innovation and greatest platform for democracy ever known to human kind,” says David Segal, Executive Director of Demand Progress. “And for what? For the sake of propping up an ossified industry that refuses to change with the times, but happens to make a lot of campaign contributions.”

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Hints Europe’s Crisis May Already Be Taking Toll On Corporate America

December 10, 2011

NEW YORK (Caroline Valetkevitch) – On top of euro zone debt troubles, Wall Street now has to worry about sagging sales from Europe as a recession in the region seems more likely. Warnings from companies such as chemical maker DuPont (DD.N) and chip maker Texas Instruments (TXN.N) suggest the crisis may already be taking its toll on corporate America. While holiday shopping has started on an upbeat note, the corporate warnings could sour the cheer for some investors. “We are now beginning to see the collateral damage of the events in Europe with the earnings guidance cuts,” wrote Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak & Co. in New York. Fourth – and first-quarter earnings growth estimates for Standard & Poor’s 500 companies have come down sharply since July, underscoring worries about the outlook for companies. Earnings are now expected to increase 10.1 percent for the fourth quarter, down from a growth estimate of 15 percent at the start of October and from an estimate of 17.6 percent in July, according to Thomson Reuters data. The data also showed that negative preannouncements by companies are outpacing positive ones by the biggest ratio since the second quarter of 2001. Late Thursday, Texas Instruments cut its revenue outlook for the current quarter, citing lower demand, while DuPont on Friday lowered its full-year profit forecast. Overseas, German specialty chemicals group Wacker Chemie (WCHG.DE) also cut its outlook, with the industry worried about slower global growth. Among others in technology, Lattice Semiconductor Corp (LSCC.O) cut its fourth-quarter revenue outlook on Friday. Stocks mostly brushed off the bearish news on earnings, focusing instead on Europe after nearly all European Union leaders agreed to build a closer fiscal union to battle the sovereign debt crisis. But the market for months has struggled with the news from Europe, which featured the lack of resolution to the debt crisis, causing high uncertainty for investors. “Today was a positive move forward. Unfortunately European austerity will impact global corporate earnings going into the next year,” said Chad Morganlander, portfolio manager at Stifel, Nicolaus & Co in Florham Park, New Jersey. “European policymakers’ inability to placate investor fears has business decision-makers hesitant to give positive light to the coming months,” he said. Stocks ended with gains for a second straight week, and the profit warnings came on the heels of what has been considered a fairly robust third-quarter reporting period. For the week, the Dow rose 1.4 percent, the S&P gained 0.9 percent and the Nasdaq was up 0.8 percent. Earnings increased 17.9 percent for the third quarter, according to Thomson Reuters data, up from a forecast for 13.1 percent growth in early October. Prospects for profit and revenue growth have been among the chief reasons why a good number of analysts remain optimistic about stocks heading into 2012. Kenneth Fisher, a billionaire investor and author whose money management firm oversees $40 billion in assets, said 2012 “will be a very nice year” for the United States. “Revenue growth, as a function of the economy, is pretty damn gangbusters,” he said at the Reuters 2012 Investment Outlook Summit this week. FORECASTS HIT Still, the aggregate change in consensus earnings estimates has been coming down even over the past month, according to Thomson Reuters StarMine data. All but two S&P 500 sectors — healthcare and consumer staples — show negative earnings revisions to estimates over the past 30 days, the data showed. Materials and financials are among sectors showing the biggest drops in estimates. For the fourth quarter, earnings for the materials sector are now expected to have decreased 1.4 percent from a year ago, while in October earnings were expected to have risen 25.6 percent. Financials, seen as the sector most sensitive to euro zone problems, also have taken a hit. Sector earnings are expected to have increased 18.3 percent for the fourth quarter, down from an October 3 forecast for growth of 26.6 percent. S&P 500 revenue is expected to have increased 6.6 percent in the fourth quarter compared with revenue growth of 11.1 percent in the third quarter, Thomson Reuters data showed. “A lot of companies are talking about Europe,” and its effect going forward, said Greg Harrison, Thomson Reuters earnings research analyst. Also, lackluster trading volumes are going to affect financials here in the United States, he said. Companies seemed more optimistic heading into 2011. Consumer confidence was higher, and the crisis in Europe seemed more contained. Among companies with disappointing outlooks a year ago were Xilinx (XLNX.O) and Jo-Ann Stores, which forecast a weak 2011 profit on Dec 1, 2010 but was bought by a private equity firm in January. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch; Additional reporting by Ernest Scheyder and Nicola Leske; Editing by Kenneth Barry) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Paula Goldman: Don’t Be Redundant

November 30, 2011

This is not an invitation to a picnic. So warns the preface of Antony Bugg-Levine and Jed Emerson’s book Impact Investing: Transforming How We Make Money While Making A Difference . If you haven’t heard of impact investing — the practice of investing money for both financial return and social good — it’s worth tuning into the buzz. MBA students around the country are enrolling in courses on the topic with the hopes of finding a job in the industry after graduating. JP Morgan has predicted that the market for impact investments could grow to up to a trillion dollars in the next decade. Impressively, for all this hype, Bugg-Levine and Emerson do not shy away from the hard questions. It’s fun to think we can snap our fingers and find profitable companies that also transform the lives of the disadvantaged. But many challenges remain unresolved. Possibly the most important question: why do we actually need impact investors? What can impact investors do that philanthropists, the government, and the commercial sector cannot? The world of international development is the perfect cauldron in which to test these questions. Decades ago, the developing world was full of dedicated idealists who started non-profits to help the poor. They built latrines and schools. They distributed bed nets. And they often found ready funding for their efforts. Today, as government dollars have dried up, there’s been a decided shift towards market-based strategies as an additional way to finance social change projects. As a complement to making grants to non-profits, a key trend is to invest in for-profit companies that can give poor villagers access to needed services — while still earning revenue to stay afloat. But where is this really necessary? When I chatted with Bugg-Levine, he pointed me to a recent New York Times article noting that even the most traditional Wall Street investors are rushing “to the ends of the earth” trying to find opportunities in the riskiest developing markets. Do we really need do-gooder investors running around in such places if the markets they’re investing in would grow with or without them? The short answer? Yes. But it’s often a tricky calculus to determine exactly when and where their money can be put to best use. In the book, Bugg-Levine and Emerson point to the example of International Finance Corporation (IFC). For decades, the IFC had had tended to concentrate its investments in the middle-income countries rather than the poorer ones — despite its mandate to help the most disadvantaged. It’s certainly easier to find investment opportunities in places where good infrastructure already exists, but these are not always the places where such funds are most needed. As one step towards resolving this quandary, the IFC recently recalibrated their distribution of investments. They shifted a small portion of their funds away from richer markets such as Eastern Europe and to higher-risk markets in places like Bangladesh, Sierra Leone, and the Central African Republic. The authors also examine a related controversy that came up in the field of microfinance. No doubt you’ve heard the inspirational stories of women who use a loan to start a corner store — and then use the profits to send their daughters to school. In the beginning, the microfinance industry was primarily capitalized by organizations that kept the social mission of microfinance front and center. The idea that poor people could repay loans was seen as laughable by most mainstream investors. But in the 1990s, as the industry matured and the business case was proven, Wall Street took notice. Lots of large banks began knocking down the doors to start getting a piece of the action. In 2007, the non-profit organization MicroRate issued a controversial paper arguing that it was time for some of the early socially motivated investors to move out of the way; their presence was now not only superfluous, but actually preventing commercial capital from funding the industry. Why would this matter? It’s great for a few million people to have access to microloans — but when there are billions of people living under two dollars a day, you need all the scale you can get in the microfinance industry. It’s likely impossible to serve that many people without access to the sums of money that can only be found in the commercial sector. Refreshingly, Bugg-Levine and Emerson steer clear of dogmatic responses to these debates. Instead, they offer us a simple call to action: don’t be redundant. Arguably the highest value add of impact investors is to catalyze new markets to serve the disadvantaged. Medical technology for the poor who don’t live within driving distance to a hospital and often die from diseases that have easy cures. Financial services for people who don’t make enough money to be deemed worthwhile by bigger banks, and are often forced to take payday loans at exorbitant rates. Some impact investors will get involved in very early days, providing risk capital before commercial markets are convinced of the viability of a new product or idea. Some of these investments will fail, but some will succeed spectacularly; the learning from both will make an enormous contribution to the growth of the sector. Others will choose to invest later, when proof points are more plentiful and more commercial capital is flowing. Here, impact investors can make a difference by ensuring that the markets continue to focus on underserved segments, or that these industries can keep growing to serve new geographies. But they also must be careful to ensure that any investments made on concessional terms don’t prevent mainstream investors from placing their own money towards these same goals. In short, impact investors need to get very clear on issues of staging and sequencing in their investment strategies. And there’s a tremendous amount at stake in taking this task seriously. There’s not enough philanthropic or government money in the world to solve the problems we need solved. If impact investors do their job well, they can tap into new forms of capital we can use to help solve the world’s burning issues. If they do their job poorly, they risk simply redistributing philanthropic funds from one bucket to another — or worse, using them to support outcomes that the commercial sector would achieve with or without them. Thankfully, there are industry leaders like Bugg-Levine and Emerson who will not let their colleagues be contented by simple catchphrases about “doing good while doing well” or “marrying profit and purpose.” Impact investors can indeed change the world. But much of the difference between their success and their failure will be about asking the right questions.

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Robert Reich: Restore the Basic Bargain

November 29, 2011

For most of the last century, the basic bargain at the heart of the American economy was that employers paid their workers enough to buy what American employers were selling. That basic bargain created a virtuous cycle of higher living standards, more jobs, and better wages. Back in 1914, Henry Ford announced he was paying workers on his Model T assembly line $5 a day — three times what the typical factory employee earned at the time. The Wall Street Journal termed his action “an economic crime.” But Ford knew it was a cunning business move. The higher wage turned Ford’s auto workers into customers who could afford to buy Model T’s. In two years Ford’s profits more than doubled. That was then. Now, Ford Motor Company is paying its new hires half what it paid new employees a few years ago. The basic bargain is over — not only at Ford but all over the American economy. New data from the Commerce Department shows employee pay is now down to the smallest share of the economy since the government began collecting wage and salary data in 1929. Meanwhile, corporate profits now constitute the largest share of the economy since 1929. 1929, by the way, was the year of the Great Crash that ushered in the Great Depression. In the years leading up to the Great Crash, most employers forgot Henry Ford’s example. The wages of most American workers remained stagnant. The gains of economic growth went mainly into corporate profits and into the pockets of the very rich. American families maintained their standard of living by going deeper into debt. In 1929 the debt bubble popped. Sound familiar? It should. The same thing happened in the years leading up to the crash of 2008. The latest data on corporate profits and wages show we haven’t learned the essential lesson of the two big economic crashes of the last 75 years: When the economy becomes too lopsided — disproportionately benefiting corporate owners and top executives rather than average workers — it tips over. In other words, we’re in trouble because the basic bargain has been broken. Yet incredibly, some politicians think the best way to restart the nation’s job engine is to make corporations even more profitable and the rich even richer — reducing corporate taxes; cutting back on regulations protecting public health, worker safety, the environment, and small investors; and slashing taxes on the very rich. These same politicians think average workers should have even less money in their pockets. They don’t want to extend the payroll tax cut or unemployment benefits. And they want to make it harder for workers to form unions. These politicians have reality upside down. Corporations don’t need more money. They have so much money right now they don’t even know what to do with all of it. They’re even buying back their own shares of stock. This is a bonanza for CEOs whose pay is tied to stock prices and it increases the wealth of other shareholders. But it doesn’t create a single new job and it doesn’t raise the wages of a single employee. Nor do the wealthiest Americans need more money. The top 1 percent is already taking in more than 20 percent of total income — the highest since the 1920s. American businesses, including small-business owners, have no incentive to create new jobs because consumers (whose spending accounts for about 70 percent of the American economy) aren’t spending enough. Consumers’ after-tax incomes dropped in the second and third quarters of the year, the first back-to-back drops since 2009. The recent small pickup in consumer spending has come out of their savings. Obviously this can’t continue, and corporations know it. Consumer savings are already at their lowest level in four years. Get it? Corporate profits are up right now largely because pay is down and companies aren’t hiring. But this is a losing game even for corporations over the long term. Without enough American consumers, their profitable days are numbered. After all, there’s a limit to how much profit they can get out of cutting American payrolls or even selling abroad. European consumers are in no mood to buy. And most Asian economies, including China, are slowing. We’re in a vicious cycle. The only way out of it is to put more money into the pockets of average Americans. That means extending the payroll tax cut. And extending unemployment benefits. Don’t stop there. Create a WPA to get the long-term unemployed back to work. And a Civilian Conservation Corp to create jobs for young people. Hire teachers for classrooms now overcrowded, and pay them enough to attract people who are talented as well as dedicated. Rebuild our pot-holed highways. Create a world-class infrastructure. Pay for this by hiking taxes on millionaires. A basic bargain was once at the heart of the American economy. It recognized that average workers are also consumers and that their paychecks keep the economy going. We can’t have a healthy economy until that bargain is restored. Robert Reich is the author of Aftershock: The Next Economy and America’s Future , now in bookstores. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org .

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Robert Kuttner: Europe on the Brink

November 28, 2011

Europe is now on the very edge of an economic abyss. And Germany is finding that it cannot survive as a smug island of fiscally conservative prosperity while the rest of Europe goes down the tubes. It is anybody’s guess whether Europe’s leaders will shift course in time. If they fail, it won’t be pretty. The fact that Germany’s fate is now more closely linked to that of its neighbors actually offers a ray of hope. Until last week, Germany had been the safe haven. As speculators pulled money out of other countries, in a bondholders’ equivalent of a run on the bank, German government debt was oversubscribed, causing interest rates on German bunds (government bonds) to fall below 2 percent. The spread between German rates and the rates that “weaker” countries had to pay to sell their bonds was treated as a precise barometer of market confidence in a given nation’s debt. For the Germans, this was a huge windfall. My friend Sony Kapoor, who directs the progressive think tank Re-Define in Brussels, calculated that Germany’s cheaper borrowing costs due to the panicky bond-market flight from nations like Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal and Ireland saved the Germans some $26.7 billion in interests costs between 2009 and 2011, and another $20 billion in low-interest bonds already locked in for the future. (It is no accident that the word Schadenfreude — translated as joy at another’s misfortune — is a uniquely German coinage.) But then on Thursday, as Americans were taking a day off for Thanksgiving, the unthinkable happened. Germany had trouble selling its bonds. The bond market, in its panic, was fleeing even the safest haven. Europe is now approaching a Lehman Brothers moment, where nobody trusts anybody else’s promise to repay a debt. Not to be joyful at another’s misfortune — the crisis will keep cycling back to haunt the United States — but the fact that contagion has now reached German shores is more than poetic justice. The European Central Bank, with its concern for fiscal discipline and price stability über alles , operates with a deeply Teutonic soul. It is the tribal successor to the German Bundesbank, the most risk-averse and inflation-phobic of all central banks. This view, however, is no virtue when the greater peril is general panic and deep deflation. In 1873, the British financial journalist Walter Bagehot pointed out that the Bank of England kept the banking system functioning by serving as a lender of last resort in times of crisis. This is what the European Central Bank refuses to do. Or, to be more precise, the ECB, despite its qualms, is now shoveling money at commercial banks but will not support national bond markets. That tells you something about who really runs the show — bankers. This double standard also reflects German policy preferences. Better to teach a lesson to nations in fiscal distress, even if the consequence is to drag down the entire European economy. But now that turkey of a policy has come home to roost. Whatever its other failings, and they are legion, our own Federal Reserve under Ben Bernanke has not been shy about buying the securities of both shaky banks and the U.S. Treasury. Had the Fed failed to do so, our economy would be even further under water. Bernanke’s failing has been in the regulatory side. He is still far too trusting of markets. The European Summit of Oct. 26, with its offer of partial debt relief for Greece and a new pot of borrowed funds for beleaguered European banks, might as well have happened in the 19th century. The crisis has now moved to a whole other phase, where the remedies that looked adequate even a month ago (and were not) are not impressing panicky money markets. Many mainstream critics argue that the European Central Bank should stop dithering and support sovereign bond markets. Others go further and call for a common European fiscal policy and common European sovereign bonds. Still others contend that the Euro was doomed from the start; putting Greece and Italy in the same currency with Germany and the Netherlands was never a good idea, because this denies countries with weak economies of temporary crises the option of devaluing. All of these criticisms have some merit, yet all miss the deeper point. Once we get through the management of the immediate panic — which is not yet assured — we need to treat the deeper disease. This crisis occurred because bankers and shadow bankers (such as the hedge funds that are betting against Europe’s bonds) have too much power . Bankers had too much power when they invented the highly leveraged toxic securities that caused the collapse, and now they have too much power over the fate of entire nations as political leaders seek to clean up the mess that the bankers made. The ability of governments to finance their debts should not be dependent on the caprices of private speculators. Does that sound crazy? It was national policy in the U.S. in the 1940s, when the Federal Reserve pegged the rate on government bonds, and it was international policy in the 1950s and 1960s during the Bretton Woods era — a period of high growth and broadening prosperity. There is no shortage of technical ways out of this crisis. But the political precondition to all of them is to dethrone the rule of the bankers. Robert Kuttner is co-editor of The American Prospect and a senior fellow at Demos. His latest book is A Presidency in Peril .

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UBS faces dual attack in parliament after trading loss

September 19, 2011

By Emma Thomasson and Edward Taylor ZURICH (Reuters) – The Swiss parliament piled pressure on the nation’s biggest banks on Monday in the wake of UBS AG’s $2.3 billion loss from rogue trading, as a center-left party pushed for a ban on risky investment banking and a plan to raise capital requirements passed the lower house. Social Democrat lawmaker Susanne Leutenegger Oberholzer narrowly failed to get enough support for her proposal to reopen debate on tough new capital measures for UBS and Credit Suisse so that a ban on investment banking could be added. The plan to force the banks to hold more capital than under global rules so that they can be shielded from future crises was passed, and the Social Democrats have the option of bringing a separate piece of legislation on the proposed ban. “What the latest debacle of UBS in London shows is that regulation must go further as fast as possible. Investment banking must be banned for systemically-important banks and proprietary trading must be massively limited,” the party said in a statement. UBS has kicked off an internal investigation into the catastrophic failure of its risk systems that led to the equity trading loss, which was discovered last week. UBS said its board of directors had set up a committee chaired by independent director David Sidwell, former chief financial officer at Morgan Stanley, to conduct a probe into the trades and the bank’s control systems. “External expectations are that the investigation should take weeks and not months,” a UBS insider told Reuters. “The internal investigation will be coordinating with the regulators on their probe.” London trader Kweku Adoboli was charged on Friday with fraud and false accounting dating back to 2008. CAPITAL HIT UBS said on Sunday it remains one of the world’s best capitalized banks, even though the $2.3 billion loss had set it back in its efforts to build up its capital to meet new regulatory requirements. In Britain, where similar reforms to separate risky investment banking from commercial banking are in the works, Business Secretary Vince Cable said the UBS scandal illustrated the need for change. “If there were any doubts about the need for radical reform, the UBS rogue trader has dispelled them,” Cable told delegates at his Liberal Democrat party’s conference. The Swiss parliament rejected the bid to reopen the debate so that an investment banking ban could be discussed by 55 to 42 with six abstentions. The loss is a heavy blow to the reputation of Switzerland’s biggest bank, which had just started to recover after its near collapse during the financial crisis and a damaging U.S. investigation into its aiding wealthy Americans to dodge taxes. Chief Executive Oswald Gruebel, brought out of retirement in 2009 to turn the bank around, said the alleged fraud would have consequences for strategy and possibly also for himself. The UBS source said there was no indication that others were involved in the affair, and the global synthetic equities team in which Adoboli worked was still operating, but added that members of the team would have to stop trading while answering questions as part of the investigation. UBS shares closed down 1.9 percent at 10.07 francs, but still outperformed a 3.4 percent slide on the European banking stocks index, as traders noted the stock had already fallen sharply after last week’s news. ANGRY BANKERS UBS is now widely expected by analysts to speed up an overhaul of its investment bank that had been planned for announcement on November 17, though big shareholders have signaled they could wait until that date while the bank completes its internal investigation, according to the inside source. An investment manager whose company holds shares in UBS said he had detected anger within UBS’s private banking operations at the turn of events. “I talked to several senior private bankers, and one told me how he spent last week with compliance arguing about a 1,500-franc accounting difference … And then some junior investment banking trader loses 2 billion. “It creates serious ill will among their clients. So internally there will be some momentum to resize IB.” Along with Gruebel, Carsten Kengeter, head of the investment banking unit, may be in the firing line. “We estimate that the investment banking chief Carsten Kengeter … will be sacrificed after this scandal,” said analyst Dirk Becker at broker Kepler.

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Montag puts his mark on Bank of America

September 9, 2011

By Lauren Tara LaCapra NEW YORK (Reuters) – Tom Montag made an unusually savvy career move when he joined Merrill Lynch in May 2008, shortly before the investment bank came to the brink of failure. Had he stayed at Goldman Sachs Group Inc, where he co-headed its global securities business, his career might have advanced, but it could have only taken so many steps forward given how little turnover the most powerful investment bank has experienced in its upper ranks. By casting his lot with Merrill Lynch, Montag instead ended up heading half of Bank of America — the profitable half. The Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank took over Merrill Lynch in 2009 after a deal forged at the peak of the financial crisis. On Tuesday, Bank of America Chief Executive Brian Moynihan elevated 54-year-old Montag to head the bank’s entire corporate and institutional banking operation, as co-chief operating officer. Some on Wall Street view Montag’s promotion as a prelude to his leading the entire company one day. Montag shares his new title with David Darnell, who oversees retail businesses like wealth management and branch banking. Between the two co-COOs, Montag may have gotten the better deal. He is now in charge of businesses that contributed about 43 percent of the bank’s overall revenue but were far more profitable than the segments Darnell oversees. While BofA has lost $16.6 billion since June 2010, its trading, investment banking and commercial banking businesses have earned $9.8 billion. Those who know Montag from his 22 years at Goldman and his shorter stint at the combined BofA-Merrill describe him as a natural leader with a sharp wit, a keen understanding of the markets and plenty of people skills. “People love to work for him and love to work with him,” said Jon Corzine, MF Global’s chief executive and a former head of Goldman who worked with Montag in the 1980s and 1990s. “He’s a big, friendly guy at a human level. He’s tough as nails as a business person.” Should Moynihan step aside as CEO of Bank of America, Montag could be a prime candidate to step in, multiple analysts and investors have said. “Moving him to this job is a strong vote of confidence in Montag,” said Anton Schutz, president of Mendon Capital, which owns Bank of America shares. Former Goldman colleagues say that Montag can come off as intimidating at first: He is built like a football player, with a square jaw and a husky, 6-foot, two-inch tall frame that has slimmed down considerably since he started at Goldman. He has a quick wit and can be brutally direct, but he was also well-liked and highly respected on the trading floor. “He was a good guy: Tough, very smart, and with excellent commercial instincts,” said Peter Bouyoucos, who worked with Montag from 1986 to 1994 when he sold interest-rate products to financial institutions. “I always felt he was one of the smarter of my colleagues at Goldman.” CRISIS OF CONFIDENCE Bank of America needs all the smart people it can get. Its shares have dropped nearly 50 percent this year, and the bank is groaning under the weight of mortgage losses and ligation . The company needs to generate some $50 billion of capital in the coming years to meet new global requirements. Management has said it can easily overcome that hurdle by selling assets and generating earnings, but some analysts and investors are skeptical. As CEO Moynihan wrestles with the mortgage mess and other problems, one thing he will not likely have to worry about is the institutional side of the business, people familiar with the bank said. “Tom is a powerful guy,” said one person who declined to be named to avoid hurting his relationship with either executive. “I think Brian needs him. He needs a guy who’s forceful, who can manage and lead, who’s got strong leadership skills, and I think Tom has demonstrated that.” Corzine said he’s seen Montag at airports for overnight flights to Europe or Asia three times in the last 15 months. “It speaks of a guy who is putting in the effort to get to the results,” Corzine said. TRADER AT HEART Montag has no professional experience in Bank of America’s bread-and-butter consumer banking business. He is a trader at heart, who spent significant portions of his career in the derivatives market. He headed Goldman’s interest-rate swaps desk in the 1990s, built out its trading business in Japan in the 2000s and came back to New York to oversee its global securities business just as the market for exotic derivatives was peaking. Outside of Wall Street, Montag is probably best known for a profane email regarding a collateralized debt obligation Goldman used to reduce its exposure to subprime mortgages as the home loan market started tanking. The email — in which Montag refers to a CDO Goldman sold its clients as “one shitty deal” — was made infamous by Senator Carl Levin during a tense congressional hearing in April 2010. But a closer look at the email chains released by Levin shows Montag paying close attention to Goldman’s trading book during a time of market crisis, questioning positions, offering blunt critiques to traders whose work he felt was inadequate, and liaising with top executives, including Lloyd Blankfein, who were worried about the company’s subprime exposure. In February 2007, he asked Dan Sparks, then head of Goldman’s mortgage division, “cdo squared — how big and how dangerous(?)” Montag has been paid well for his talent. John Thain, the Merrill Lynch chief executive who wooed Montag to his bank in 2008, made up for the unvested stock Montag was leaving behind by granting him Merrill shares that were then worth $50 million, according to a regulatory filing. Even though the stock is worth much less now, its vesting has pushed Montag’s overall pay package above Moynihan’s the past two years. Regulatory filings indicate Montag took home $29.9 million and $14.3 million in 2009 and 2010, respectively. He also received a $50,000 bump in his base salary for 2011, to $850,000, while Moynihan’s remained the same at $950,000. Montag lives with his wife and three children at a townhouse he bought in 2008 on Manhattan’s Upper East Side neighborhood. The property was listed at $38 million, according to the New York Observer. (Additional reporting by Joe Rauch in Charlotte, North Carolina, and Dan Wilchins in New York; Editing by Steve Orlofsky)

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Analysis: Europe to prescribe more merger medicine to banks

September 6, 2011

By Douwe Miedema LONDON (Reuters) – Europe’s banks are facing more government-prescribed mergers and further measures to strengthen capital, as the region’s inability to end its debt crisis makes investors wary of shoveling more money into lenders. Politicians may also quietly be urging banks to carve out toxic assets into separate units — known as bad banks — and present the healthy remainder to money managers, investment bankers working in the sector said. “It won’t happen in a prescriptive way. But in a factual way it is happening. It is not like they put a gun to your head. But we’re part of the system, so yes, you pick up the phone,” said one senior investment banker. A European Union official told Reuters on Tuesday that finance ministry officials will discuss how governments can inject capital into struggling banks. The discussion follows a meeting on Monday among euro zone officials that examined progress in involving private investors in Greece’s second international bail-out. There are growing concerns further market turmoil will follow if not enough bondholders participate. European bank shares have lost value at pace this year, as the euro zone struggles to escape the threat of sovereign default, sending risk premia soaring and hurting the value of banks’ massive bond holdings. With no swift solution in sight for the 17-country bloc’s debt crisis, investors are unwilling to bet their money on banks and plug a capital hole left behind by tighter regulation and years of anemic income. “Tell me one reason why a rational investor should put money in a bank rather than a pharma company,” said another investment banker, who advises financial institutions. “Politicians can run around as much as they want telling investors to recapitalize the sector, but unless they get their house in order the only last resort for the banking sector will be the tax payer,” the banker said. European bank shares are trading at levels first reached in 1993. They have lost more than 40 percent from a February peak, and are at their lowest since a 2009 trough hit in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Some of Europe’s weaker banks now rely on European Central Bank funding, having been locked out of money markets as their rivals hesitate to lend them short-term unsecured money because of concerns over their ability to repay. DEALS NUDGE Tying up with a stronger rival allows weaker banks to raise market share, making them more attractive for investors because of better access to depositor funding, and lessening the risk that any government would let them go under. The recent merger between Greece’s Alpha Bank and EFG Eurobank — backed by a Qatari capital injection — suggested that governments may now be promoting such deals, which had virtually ground to a halt in the crisis. “I have to assume (the Qataris) have spent time with politicians doing due diligence on the political and macroeconomic context,” the second banker said. “This is not just putting money in a bank, this is putting money in Greece. And therefore I have to believe they are comfortable with that,” the banker added. EFG Eurobank was one of only eight banks to flunk Europe’s “stress tests” — an annual health check — and other banks that failed the test, or just scraped through, could face a similar fate, and be taken over. Greece should also consider separating banks’ non-performing loans from good assets into a bad bank, if its financial sector is not able to attract outside investors, a consultant with experience of bad banks said. “What is likely to happen … is a repeat of the Irish model. It’s a process that should happen hand in hand with the stress tests, and which could help attract investment,” said the consultant, who now advises banks. Ireland’s state-run bad bank, the National Asset Management Agency, is one of the world’s largest property groups after bailing out banks of assets they were stuck with. Germany and the UK have set up bad banks on a smaller scale. Such measures stop short of the 200 billion euros ($284 billion) mandatory recapitalization that International Monetary Fund head Christine Lagarde said Europe’s banks needed last month, higher than official estimates. Banks scorned the idea, with Deutsche Bank chief executive Josef Ackermann saying on Monday the idea would “threaten to send the signal that politics has lost faith in the ability of existing measures to succeed. (Additional reporting by Sarah White and Kylie MacLellan; editing by Sophie Walker)

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Ex-Beazer Finance Chief to Repay Home Builder

August 31, 2011

From WSJ.com… The former finance chief of Beazer Homes USA agreed to a settlement with the SEC requiring him to reimburse Beazer over $1.4 million he received during a period when the company allegedly committed accounting fraud. Read the article: Ex-Beazer Finance Chief to Repay Home Builder Find our Weekly Commercial Real Estate, Private Equity and Fund Newsletters at www.WeeklyBrief.net

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Beantown Scores Trifecta of Deals

August 30, 2011

From WSJ.com… A land swap at Harvard University, Boston’s Mandarin Oriental hotel and Renaissance Boston Waterfront Hotel are in the news. Follow this link: Beantown Scores Trifecta of Deals Find our Weekly Commercial Real Estate, Private Equity and Fund Newsletters at www.WeeklyBrief.net

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Jonathan Lewis: 8 Virtuous Investment Options

August 30, 2011

Hidden deep inside the layered mystery of how markets work and the marketplace allocates resources, capitalism innovates to generate jobs making faster computers and deadly cigarettes. Innovation brings us the electric car and bigger bombs. It brings us progress and it brings us poverty. “We are on the verge of a global [social] capital convergence, a coming together of parts into what promises to be a new, more powerful Whole,” prophesies Jed Emerson , a leading scholar, thinker and social impact cheerleader. “[Let's not miss] the opportunity to catapult our work from the level of our individual collective to that of a new, shared capital commons.” “Our philosophy is that to solve the world’s toughest problems we need exponentially more resources than can be provided through just traditional philanthropy,” says Ron D. Cordes in a Forbes.com interview this week. “Impact investing offers an opportunity to tap a giant new capital source to create sustainable, scalable solutions…” Cordes is the founder of Impact Assets, president of the Cordes Foundation and co-chairman of Genworth Financial Wealth Management. A less contemporary bit of social impact investing wisdom comes from the ancient Greeks: “First secure an independent income, then practice virtue.” If you are halfway there and ready now to practice a bit of virtue, 2011 Opportunity Collaboration Delegates working to “solve poverty” and create virtue with your capital are: Calvert Foundation : an industry-leading nonprofit investing in a diversified mix of domestic and international organizations, including affordable housing, microfinance, small business development, charter schools, daycare centers and rehabilitation clinics. Eleos Foundation : a foundation making early-stage, very high-impact grants and investments in market-based solutions in the sectors of health and education in geographical areas of extreme poverty. ImpactAssets : a nonprofit financial services company aggregating and investing assets to solve the world’s toughest problems by catalyzing investment capital for maximum environmental, social and financial impact. MicroCredit Enterprises : a nonprofit microfinance funder who utilizes the financial capital and good credit of high-net-worth individuals, foundations, companies and other institutions to guarantee microloans around the world. Mission Markets : a comprehensive marketplace created for buyers, sellers and other stakeholders within the impact sector who gain access to a secure online network, where they can discover information, assess opportunities, attract capital and transact across the social and environmental markets spectrum. Root Capital : a nonprofit social investment fund for grassroots businesses in rural areas of developing countries which provides capital, delivers financial training and strengthens market connections for small and growing businesses that build sustainable livelihoods and transform rural communities in poor, environmentally vulnerable places. Sarona Asset Management : an impact-investment asset manager whose latest fund, the Sarona Frontier Markets Fund, is a private equity fund-of-funds, investing in small- to mid-market companies with strong growth potential. ShoreBank International : advisor to financial institutions throughout the world to promote asset building resulting in improved living conditions, greater economic growth rates globally and improved political stability.

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Decline in Asian currencies

August 27, 2011

(MENAFN) Lam Chee Mun, the fund manager in Kuala Lumpur at TA Investment Management Bhd said that Asian currencies especially the Indian rupee and the Thai baht are declining adding more trouble for …

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Gemma Godfrey: Europe: Lacking a Long-Term Solution

August 14, 2011

Over the last few days we have seen a tremendous amount of volatility in the markets, epitomizing the lack of clarity with which many investors have struggled. The contagion continues to spread as we hear rumors of a possible downgrade of French government debt although it is far more likely to occur for Italy first. Fundamentally, there is a lack of a long-term solution and the knee-jerk reaction by some EU countries to ban short selling not only misses the point, it may negatively impact the very stocks it is trying to protect. So as we see movement to safe havens , we also see room for opportunistic buying — as long as you invest with those with strong balance sheets unlikely to be hit in future earnings downgrades and have a long enough time horizon to withstand the volatility. Italy and France to be downgraded? The Contagion Continues to Spread The markets are already betting for the ratings agencies to downgrade France’s debt with credit default swap spreads widening to double their level at the beginning of July. A rising expense to insure against default implies the market believes it to be more likely. However, Italy is the more likely downgrade candidate in the short-term. The reasons given behind Portugal’s downgrade a few months back apply equally to Italy — an unsustainable debt burden (Italy has the third largest in the word at €1.8tn ) and a low likelihood of being able to repay these obligations (as it dips back into recession ). The European Financial Stability Fund is losing its credibility since even its increase to €440bn is not enough to cover future potential bailouts and would need to amount to at least €2tn . The crux of the problem, as I’ve iterated before, is that you can’t solve the problem of debt with debt and austerity does not foster growth. Instead debt burdens are increasing at a faster rate than GDP growth in many western economies so the situation is only getting worse. Outlook for banks: Headwinds for banks remain European banks remain highly correlated to the future of the periphery. German banks, for example, have exposure to the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain) amounting to more than 18% of German GDP. Commerzbank revealed that a €760m write-down for Greek debt holdings wiped out their entire Q2 earnings. That’s before we look at France who have an even higher exposure and here in the UK, our banks have nearly £100bn exposed to struggling economies. Furthermore, these banks need to refinance maturing debt (at a rate of €5.4tn over the next 24 months) at higher rates and with demand shrinking . Will the ban on short-selling help? No, it misses the point The markets are concerned with government fiscal credibility not its regulatory might. Instead, the ban could increase volatility and negatively impact the very stocks it is trying to protect. ‘Shorting’ was acknowledged by the Committee of European Securities Regulators as beneficial for “price discovery, liquidity and risk management” just last year, so we may well see higher volatility than we would have without. Secondly, it limits fund ability to bet on financials going up. Hedge funds use shorts to remove market risk, buying shares in one bank and borrowing and selling shares in another. If they are forced to close these ‘borrowed’ positions, they will have to sell the other bank shares they have bought outright, causing further selling pressure and price falls. Most interesting was the timing of the implementation, just before an announcement was made that the Greek economy shrank by 7% in Q2 — fueling fears the ban was needed since there’s more bad news to come . How to trade these markets: Movement to safe haven offering opportunities So how can you invest in these markets? A possible support to the stock markets is the ‘ search for yield ‘. Sitting on cash can’t be satisfying for long, with rates as low as they are, and the dividend yield on the Eurostoxx is now double the 10 year German ‘ bund ‘ yield. This means that even if markets go sideways, the return generated from holding European stocks could be more attractive than either if the other options. In addition, valuations are looking reasonable, at a near 8x forward earnings. Therefore we may see flows returning to the markets. However, be warned, we are starting to see earnings downgrades and volatility may remain. Therefore invest in companies with strong balance sheets and maintain a medium to longer-term time horizon.

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Public Pension Funds Lose Value Amid Stock Market Volatility

August 12, 2011

ALBANY, N.Y. — Wall Street’s volatility has hit state pension funds just as they were beginning to recover from the recession, turning what was merely a troubled forecast into a potentially stormy future for taxpayers who are on the hook for billions in unfunded liabilities for government retirees. As for the millions of government clerks, engineers, janitors, teachers and firefighters in the retirement systems, they are protected by law or, as in New York, by the state constitution, to be backed up by tax dollars if necessary. Their benefits remain safe for life in guaranteed “defined benefit” pension plans that are disappearing in the private sector, where most employees are left to fend for themselves with 401(k) plans that they mostly or entirely fund themselves. California’s main public-employee pension fund, the nation’s largest, has lost at least $18 billion off its stock portfolio since July 1, about 7.5 percent of its $237.5 billion total asset value on June 30. Florida’s pension fund has lost about $9 billion since June 30, a decline of 7 percent for a fund valued at $119.4 billion on Thursday, while the Virginia Retirement System shrank from $54.5 billion on June 30 to about $51 billion by week’s end, a decline of 6.4 percent, said its director, Robert P. Schultze. New York’s state comptroller will not say how much the state pension fund has lost during the latest Wall Street roller coaster, but the fund was 5 percent below its pre-recession value before the recent losses and remained nearly $8 billion below its pre-recession value. And Kentucky, which has more than $20 billion in unfunded pension liabilities, has seen the value of its public pension fund decline $1.7 billion – or 15 percent – since July 1, falling to a total value of $9.7 billion. Nationwide, states have a combined $689.5 billion in unfunded pension liabilities and $418 billion in government retiree health care obligations, according to data collected earlier this year by The Associated Press. Those benefits are protected by state law or, as in New York, by the constitution. Pension fund managers say there is no risk current government retirees will miss a monthly check and that they are remaining calm and taking the long view in their investments. Some say the market plunge is even providing a great opportunity to buy stocks at fire-sale prices. Kentucky Retirement Systems Chief Investor T.J. Carlson said his fund has not made significant changes to its investments in response to the market turmoil. “We haven’t changed our long-term strategy in any way,” he said. Critics of the defined benefit plans, which guarantee pensions for life to public employees and are rarely found any longer in the private sector, say the recent stock market plunge underscores the need for fundamental changes. The amount state and local governments are being forced to funnel into pension payments is rising as retirees live longer and elected officials have awarded more generous pension benefits in recent years, taking taxpayer money away from core public services. At the same, pension funds promise returns on investments – 7 percent to 8 percent or more a year – that many critics say are unrealistic in the future. E.J. McMahon, a senior fellow at the conservative Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, said the asset levels of virtually all public pension funds are below 2007 levels despite the recovery of the market in 2009 and 2010. “They still think there is a ‘long-term norm,’” he said of fund managers. “The events of the last two months are a reminder of how wrong that might be.” As recently as last month, California’s two public pension funds reported investment gains of more than 20 percent for the fiscal year ended June 30, largely driven by rising stock values. The increase came as both funds – one for teachers, the other for state and local government workers – were clawing their way back from losses in 2008 and 2009 that cost them up to one-third of their asset value. The recent losses are stoking fears again that taxpayers will have to bail them out at the expense of other programs that already have been subject to deep budget cuts. The state already faces an estimated $75 billion in unfunded public pension liabilities. “The stock market volatility just shows that the public budget should not be subject to the Dow Jones Industrial Average,” said Dan Pellissier, president of California Pension Reform, a group that is preparing a ballot initiative to limit the amounts governments can spend for future pensions. Pellissier himself will qualify for a $5,000-a-month state pension when he turns 55 in five years after working in state government for two decades. Despite his own government pension, Pellissier said public employees should bear the investment risk for retirement benefits just as private-sector employees do through 401(k) plans. New York state Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli said public pension funds work well. New York has reduced pension benefits in the past year for newly hired workers and lowered its performance outlook to 7.5 percent, while most states remain at 8 percent. “This is a fund that has worked and been able to pay out benefits for 90 years,” he said. Managers also note the “funding ratio,” which is the percentage of the fund needed to pay out all its obligations, is more than 80 percent in many states, which pension managers say is positive. As an example of pension funds adapting to meet changing conditions, the $51 billion Pennsylvania Public School Employees’ Retirement System increased its cash allocation to 8 percent after the 2008 market crash so it could pay benefits without having to sell assets. It has lost as much as 3 percent in value since July 1. After a strong showing last year in a rebounding market, many state pension fund managers are confident they will ride out the latest gut-churning gyrations on Wall Street. While Virginia’s fund has an unfunded liability of $17.6 billion, it diversified after the stock market losses in 2008 and 2009, allowing it to better weather stock market swings. New Jersey’s pension portfolio is more diverse than ever and includes real estate, hedge funds and private equity investments. “It’s a hedge against the kind of market conditions we’ve seen over the past two weeks,” state Treasury spokesman Andy Pratt said. “We have significant protection against the ups and downs of the stock market we’re seeing now.” He said returns for the last fiscal year were between 17.5 percent and 18.5 percent, the best year since 1998. In Massachusetts, investments are being diversified and loopholes to accrue pension benefits are being closed. The state also added 15 years to its deadline for fully funding the retirement system, pushing it to 2040. Julie Graham-Price, spokeswoman for Ohio’s Public Employees Retirement System, said the fund’s bond holdings gained this week even as stock values sunk, evidence of a balanced portfolio. “We have no idea yet what July and August will look like except to say it’s not good when the market is volatile and has dropped like it has,” said David Urbanek, spokesman for the Illinois Teachers Retirement System. “It’s a cyclical thing. We will ride it out, just as we have overcome numerous other downturns over the last 72 years.” Even with the steady-as-she-goes response from pension fund managers, critics of the system say taxpayers should be nervous about their future liabilities to government retirees, said Jim Waters, vice president of the Bluegrass Institute, a nonpartisan group that has pressed for a defined contribution system for government employees in Kentucky. “Without pension reform, Kentucky could be headed for bankruptcy and the inability to provide necessary services for its neediest citizens,” he said. “Kentucky’s been in a hole for a while now, but continues to dig … There’s no way we can rely solely on the stock market or even individual contributions alone to close the liability gap.” ___ Associated Press writers Roger D. Alford in Frankfort, Ky.; Angela Delli Santi in Trenton, N.J.; Bill Kaczor in Tallahassee, Fla.; Johanna Kaiser in Boston; Bob Lewis in Richmond, Va.; Mark Scolforo in Harrisburg, Pa.; Julie Carr Smyth in Columbus, Ohio; Adam Weintraub in Sacramento, Calif.; and Christopher Wills in Springfield, Ill., contributed to this report.

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Andy Lopata: Did you Build your Network by Design or Default?

August 1, 2011

When you built your network, how did you decide to whom you should connect and why? That may seem like a strange question to many. After all, how many of us set out deliberately to develop a specific network? For most people they evolve naturally, don’t they? I attended an excellent inaugural meeting of the Like Minds Business Book Club at The Hospital Club in London recently. The speaker was Scott Belsky, author of Making Ideas Happen. During his talk Scott referred to the community as a key ingredient in an effective creative process that sees ideas turned into reality. One of the challenges facing many creative people, he said, is disorganised networks. “Creatives are lazy”, said Scott. “They go with the networks around them.” Is that just a flaw in creative people, or is it something we all do? Indeed, is it really a flaw? The timing of Scott’s comment could not have been more pertinent. On the way to the event I had been reading an article in the latest edition of Harvard Business Review. In the article, A Smarter Way to Network,by Rob Cross and Robert Thomas, the authors argue that the most successful executives have a diverse but select network, rather than having broad or high level networks. Cross and Thomas point to the value of networks that are made up of a cross-section of contacts who each challenge and/or support the executives in different ways. Some will come from within their own company or industry, others from other fields entirely. They point to six areas in which a network should offer support. These are: 1 – Offer new information or expertise 2 – Mentors and influencers 3 – Feedback and challenging – pushing you to be better 4 – Friendship and personal support 5 – Provide a sense of value or worth 6 – Promote work/life balance. If we are building our networks by chance (or default) rather than by design, how can we be sure that we are achieving the right balance of each area of support? Cross and Thomas believe that an effective network contains a small set of core contacts. They state that effective core networks typically range in size from 12 to 18 people. Many of us would call this our ‘inner circle’ but would have built that inner circle based on the depth of relationships rather than by design based on our needs. How well does your inner circle reflect the 6 needs outlined by Cross and Thomas above? During the presentation, one attendee asked Scott Belsky whether, during a career transition, she should seek support from her existing network or look to make new contacts. Cross and Thomas’s article would suggest to me that she should look first to her existing network for where she can draw on the support outlined above, before then expanding her connections to fill in the gaps. In fact, the Harvard Business Review article goes on to suggest the four steps to building a better network. 1 – Analyse – look at your existing network and ask yourself what you get out of interacting with them 2 – De-layer – make some hard decisions to back away from redundant and energy-sapping relationships 3 – Diversify – build your network out with the right kind of people 4 – Capitalise – Make sure you’re using your contacts as effectively as you can. This approach may seem cold and impersonal to many. In fact, when I tweeted the question “If you wanted to build your network, how would you decide to whom you should connect?”, some of the responses focused on finding people you could help, rather than vice versa. It is healthy to take an outward-facing networking approach and seek to help others first. But when looking to your own business or career goals, surely it is imperative that you take a step back and ask whether the network you have built is designed to help you reach them as quickly and effortlessly as possible? Not one of the responses to my tweet mentioned building a network based on achieving goals. Maybe it’s not just creatives. Maybe we all “go with the networks around us”. What do you think? Should we just let networks evolve or should we be more focused on designing the network that best fits our needs? If you do feel that we should design a powerful network, do you agree with the six areas of support recommended by Cross and Thomas, or how would you decide to whom you should connect and why?

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Soren Petersen: What Is Good Design?

July 28, 2011

Why must a car body have these curving lines? Such questions plagued me while I was busily transitioning from a Danish mechanical engineer to an American transportation designer. While this was not a particularly easy transition, it greatly expanded my outlook concerning design. I learned that sensual curves can be controlled to evoke emotions and meaning, fueling creativity and enriching life beyond mundane functionality. Designers fabricate design philosophies that express beliefs and then visualize these beliefs into objects to which people can relate and experience. When enough people identify with and vote by means of purchasing power on a design philosophy, a design trend is created and a strong trend becomes the prevailing taste. When asking designers to evaluate products that had either received design awards or failed to receive one, it was discovered that only half of their judgments agreed with the nomination. The designer’s evaluation of a product’s quality was shown to be quite random without an explicitly agreed upon criteria. When the same study was carried out using specific criteria, the designers now agreed on design performance 95 percent of the time versus 50 percent of the time. The criteria used were the same used by the judges in the Industrial Design Excellence Award (IDEA), which is organized by the Industrial Design Association of America. This award is the most prestigious design award in the United States and represents the design profession’s commonly agreed upon gold standard for “good design”. If designers can tell good design from bad design can the average consumer do so as well? The answer is yes! People vote with their money and studies show that they overwhelmingly give their hard earned cash to award winning products. Also, it is noteworthy that good design does not just create trends, the corporations whose products consistently win IDEA Awards reward their stockholders with 4 percent more return on their investment than the firms who ignore design in their products. In short, the business leaders and their shareholders who pay attention to the creative economy are handsomely rewarded.

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S&P Puts U.S. Credit Ratings On Negative Watch

July 15, 2011

(Reuters) – Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has warned there is a one-in-two chance it could cut the United States’ prized triple-A rating if a deal on raising the government’s debt ceiling is not agreed soon. Putting the U.S. on negative watch, S&P warned that it could cut the rating this month if talks between the White House and Republicans remain stalemated. Any cut would be by one or more notches, it added. “Today’s CreditWatch placement signals our view that, owing to the dynamics of the political debate on the debt ceiling, there is at least a one-in-two likelihood that we could lower the long-term rating on the U.S. within the next 90 days,” the agency said in a statement on Thursday. The deadline to raise the ceiling is on August 2. “We have also placed our short-term rating on the U.S. on CreditWatch negative, reflecting our view that the current situation presents such significant uncertainty to the U.S.’ creditworthiness.” The agency also warned that even if there was a deal done on raising the ceiling, it might still cut the rating if it was not convinced that the deal would stabilize the country’s medium-term debt dynamics. “If an agreement is reached, but we do not believe that it likely will stabilize the U.S.’ debt dynamics, we, again all other things unchanged, would expect to lower the long-term ‘AAA’ rating, affirm the ‘A-1+’ short-term rating, and assign a negative outlook on the long-term rating,” said S&P. (Reporting by Wayne Cole; Editing by Balazs Koranyi) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Subprime Lending Is Back, Thanks To Private Firms

July 12, 2011

Subprime borrowers have been largely unwelcome in the lending market since the financial crisis, but it’s becoming easier for them to get a home loan. A number of private investment firms are lending to home buyers whose credit scores do not meet the standards of banks, accordng to the Wall Street Journal . The firms are also more willing to accept alternative forms of documentation as proof of income. The WSJ report comes only a day after a paper published by Kevin Lansing, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, who argues that runaway subprime lending was one of several “red flags” policymakers might have heeded in advance of the financial crisis. Buyers with questionable credit, and the financial institutions that issued them mortgages, have received a lion’s share of blame for the financial crisis, which was presaged by widespread defaults on subprime mortgages and a collapse in mortgage-backed securities. According to the WSJ , the firms draw a distinction between what they’re doing now and what took place during the run-up to the subprime crisis. They’re requiring higher down payments than banks would, and seem to believe they’re lending to borrowers who pose less risk than those who defaulted in large numbers a few years ago. In catering to borrowers with imperfect credit, the firms’ behavior is reminiscent of that of Ally Financial, which has been deliberately courting used car buyers with subprime loans despite concerns about risk. Last week, the WSJ reported that the federal government will likely stop backing mortgage loans above a certain size in October, meaning that come fall, there may be more homeowners seeking “jumbo loans” — in most cases, a loan above $417,000 — from private firms. Currently the government guarantees loans up to $729,750, but in October that figure is expected to come down to $625,500 in major markets like New York and Los Angeles, and as low as $271,050 elsewhere. The WSJ reports that there are at least two firms making jumbo loans to borrowers with questionable credit. One of them is New Penn Financial, a subsidiary of the mortgage company Shellpoint Partners. In a recent item about Shellpoint and one of its founders, the financier Lewis Ranieri, the WSJ noted that one of the company’s goals is to to make mortgages accessible to borrowers whom banks would turn away. “Former traditional prime borrowers with good credit scores who could comfortably make mortgage payments are being precluded from home ownership due to banks’ rigid criteria,” Ranieri then told the WSJ .

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Daniel Dicker: Oil Foolishness — Is THIS the Market We Want?

July 8, 2011

The last two days of the oil trade have proven one thing — just how ridiculously and financially manipulated the oil price, and the price you and I pay at the gas pump, continue to be. Yesterday, with absolutely nothing going on from a supply or demand standpoint, with nothing happening geopolitically in the MidEast or in North Africa, with no OPEC meeting to knot our fingers over, with no oil company earnings or IEA predictions or SPR releases to consider — with NONE of that on the radar on a 92 degree day in New York City and most hedge fund managers at the beach or their Hamptons estate during this short week, Brent crude oil rallied more than FOUR dollars. HUH? What the heck was that about? Well, two things did happen — one, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs both reiterated their bullish conviction calls on oil for the second half of 2011, placing targets more than 15 dollars higher than are currently traded and the stock market did stage a nearly 100 point rally in the Dow Industrials. That’s it — oil was off to the races as money from investors and traders took the Investment banks’ advice and bought oil, while other self-generated algorithmic trade systems that dominate our commodity markets added to the buying frenzy by ticking prices up based on the stock rally. On CNBC, I called this a “bull trap” — just wait for a day when the stock market is down, I said, and oil will retreat almost as quickly as it progressed. You didn’t have to wait long. Today, on the back of a dismal jobs number increase of only 16,000, the stock market opened down more than a 100 points. And oil’s price? Again, with no peace breaking out in Libya, no new billion barrel oil find, no marginal supply increase or massively dropping demand figures emerging from China or elsewhere, West Texas Crude on the New York Mercantile Exchange is down almost three dollars. Here’s the point: These big swinging prices MEAN something to people — to the prices they pay to heat their homes, to run their businesses and to fill up their cars. We have placed virtual control of the pricing of this vital resource in the hands of the micro traders and black boxes of the hedge fund world. Investors and traders have become the overwhelming influence and the arbiters of what we pay for energy. Is this the market we want?

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JPMorgan Pays $228 Million To Settle Bid-Rigging Charges

July 7, 2011

(AP) WASHINGTON — A JPMorgan unit is paying $228 million to settle civil fraud charges that it rigged dozens of bidding competitions to win business from cities and counties. The Securities and Exchange Commission says J.P. Morgan Securities LLC made secret deals with companies handling the bidding process that allowed them to peek at competitors’ offers. Banks help municipalities invest the money so they can earn interest before paying for projects. JPMorgan Chase & Co. agreed to cooperate with the Justice Department’s investigation into the issue. Bank of America and UBS have agreed to similar settlements. The settlement with JPMorgan covers charges brought by the SEC, the Internal Revenue Service, bank regulators and 25 state attorneys general. JPMorgan blames the wrongdoing on former employees and a division that has closed.

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Lydia Fisher: Is the "Glass Ceiling" Expanding, the Waiting Room Getting Bigger?

July 5, 2011

I received an email the other day (we’ll get to it shortly). It crystallized why writing, blogging, spotlighting and commenting, together as a community for humanity matters. Stay with me. I entered the workforce in 1980 at a trailblazing time for women. Yet, I found the corporate workplace easier to work in, to navigate, back then. My mentor taught me the business well, had my future and best interests at heart. I knew that if I worked hard, put in the requisite “rookie” time, had the tenacity to last, there would be an opportunity to advance, to be rewarded. Back then, the investment banks were small and entrepreneurial (before the age of conglomeration), some still private (where risk-taking was under control). So too, back then, individual entrepreneurship and independent thinking, within the field I was in, were encouraged. Over decades, I observed the corporate workplace change — some good, some not so good. Work hours and work load expanded. For example, used to be that corporate treasury departments were exactly that, departments — rather than a handful of people. Many young today find themselves working in environments without a sense of what’s next for them as individuals — moving around in the hopes for advancement. Frequent job change used to be dubbed as “job hopping” and frowned upon. Nowadays, many wait for signs of an improving economy just to make a switch. Not all are or desire to be “dot-comers,” or “Wall Streeters.” Work spills over into family or leisure time. Boundaries are less defined. No doubt, our devices give us mobility, flexibility. Yet, how do we rein in the ever present work connectedness? Children, for example, know when we’re distracted, but are they then distracted because we’re distracted? Yet, family and leisure time forms the basis of culture, so eloquently delineated in a book I read in college of like name — Josef Pieper’s Leisure, the Basis of Culture. At that young age, I wondered why my favorite philosophy professor wanted us to read and remember this book. Now I understand it’s meaning. The drive for profit is not the issue. It’s the drive for profit, at “any” cost, that has me worried. What about you? I read an article last week about those over 50, seeking internships to be noticed, for a job. For some, it’s on the heels of multi-decade long careers. Difficult. No doubt, painful. Like starting all over again, only this time you’re in your mid-fifties waiting, perhaps, at the back of the line. Feels like a waiting room. Many feel throttled. In some instances, education, wisdom and experience may no longer matter, or perhaps, are no longer valued. This comes on the heels of an article last year about college students seeking unpaid internships, striving to get a chance in a tough economy. Are we at an inflection point where the traditional “glass ceiling” is expanding across the spectrum of society, where education and hard work may not be the sole answer to getting ahead anymore? Look around the waiting room — millions unemployed (officially 9.1%), underemployed, or losing hope in their quest for a job. Are we cost-cutting our own now that the corporate quest for how and where to produce products more cheaply is in full swing, or is becoming more competitive? Yet, this. “Median pay for top executives” in 2010 jumped 23% over the previous year to $10.8 million. Corporate balance sheets swell with cash. The magnitude of the economic crisis resonates. Will many ever see prosperity, given the current construct of our existing economy? Will uncertain economic conditions impede the natural flow of life — setting up a household, having a family…? I am moved by the discourse and insightful comments on recent blogs — the desire by many for expression, the desire to be heard. The following hit me deeply to remind us that we are: …one family, one consciousness, one planet, one heart… I took note, when a note showed up in my email from a young aspiring professional. It came with a photo of a majestic view from the summit after a mountain climb. What I found touching, is the manner in which he reached out that I might spotlight “effort and reward” in an upcoming blog. Read on. …that connection between our effort and our reward; something I feel that we have lost. You scurry over loose rock, a precipitous plummet on either side, bereft of adequate oxygen to fill your lungs, a tug in your chest from your pounding heart, yet you persist and make the slow, steady climb to have tangible evidence of your labor: To look across the vastness of creation, and see the beauty — a witness only offered through the dedication of the climb. We have a society that expects everyone to climb, but at the final moment so many are denied the moment of satisfaction… Imagine the possibilities…

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Bank Of America CEO Subpoenaed By New York Attorney General

July 2, 2011

NEW YORK — New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman is not backing off a civil fraud probe into whether Bank of America deliberately misled shareholders about the massive losses on Merrill Lynch’s books before its 2008 purchase of the investment bank. The NY AG, who took over from Andrew Cuomo this year, has subpoenaed Bank of America Corp. CEO Brian Moynihan and other executives of the Charlotte, N.C.-based bank seeking new depositions, The Wall Street Journal reported online late Friday, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter. A spokeswoman for the New York AG’s office declined to comment. A Bank of America spokesman was not immediately able to be reached for comment. The bank has said that the charges are unfounded.

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World Bank Will Provide $1 Billion For Insurance In Mideast Investment

June 27, 2011

WASHINGTON – The World Bank’s political risk guarantee agency said on Monday it would mobilize about $1 billion for insurance coverage for countries in the Middle East and North Africa to encourage foreign direct investment. The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, or MIGA, said its underwriters were in Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and Tunisia for discussions with the private sector, regional agencies and state-owned enterprises. “Restoring investors’ confidence is critical to the medium- to long-term economic and social development of the Middle East and North Africa,” said Izumi Kobayashi, MIGA’s executive vice president. Countries across the region are trying to attract more foreign investment to help create jobs following mass protests earlier this year that toppled rulers in Egypt and Tunisia and sparked unrest across the region. Foreign investors use political risk insurance to cover themselves against loss of assets through political unrest, violence, expropriation, nationalization and other government actions. (Reporting by Lesley Wroughton; Editing by Leslie Adler) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Buck Goldstein: Low Risk and High Return — Investing in our Best

June 27, 2011

Last spring I taught a seminar on innovation to 24 first-year honors students who could objectively be described as among the brightest teenagers in the world. Halfway through the semester I caught myself flashing back to my former life as a CEO and as a venture capitalist. I spent my entire career attempting to attract and invest in great talent, and I never successfully assembled a group as gifted as the students in that seminar. When I was fortunate enough to find even a few such individuals in my previous life, my response was always the same: invest in them. In the context of my company, that meant providing them training, mentoring and diverse experiences. As a venture capitalist, it meant deploying millions of dollars and expending an unlimited amount of time and energy to help an entrepreneur and his or her team succeed. Investing in the members of my first-year seminar would result in a healthy return, no matter what the metrics. The more interesting question is what form should that investment take and from where should it come? The answer lies neither in the halls of Congress nor in a think tank in Washington, D.C. or New York, but back in the seminar room with my students. Have a look at them and read a short biography for each by clicking this link . The first thing that strikes me about the students is their diversity. Even though they go to a state-supported, public university, over half of the students, or their parents, were born in a foreign country. They don’t mention it in their short biographies, but many of these students are recipients of merit scholarships and were the subject of intense recruiting battles. Although they are interested in innovation and entrepreneurship — the focus of the seminar — only a few plan to major in business. Instead most will study in the liberal arts. These students hope to make a difference in the world, and most are drawn to challenges such as global warming, gender inequality and extreme poverty. In my old life in the private sector, we would create a multi-year development plan for each of these students with an eye toward returns far in excess of our investment. If the university, or even the country, were to do the same, what would a plan look like? Based on the students’ biographies and my experiences with them, I’ll suggest four such plans. Cliff plans to go to medical school and is also interested in innovation. In college, a liberal arts education will help him explore alternatives and teach him to think critically and solve problems. He also needs some experience with applied scientific research — the kind that seeks to bridge the gap between the academic lab and the commercial marketplace. Spending one summer working in academic science and another working for a biotechnology company seeking to bring cutting-edge research to market would prepare him to make the most of his medical education. The synergy of those two experiences would encourage him to leverage his interest in innovation into a high-impact career focused on solving big problems and fostering new enterprises that create jobs. Courtney is a scientist and an innovator. In high school she was on the robotics team, but since arriving at UNC she has become interested in environmental issues. She also has a strong aptitude for math, which is a virtual prerequisite for serious science. To achieve her potential, she will need a global perspective which could be achieved by spending time in a lab abroad, as well as some time on the ground in the developing world. Such a combination would hone her quantitative skills, expand her horizons and fan her passion, preparing her to make a real difference in the world. Chenxi , known as”Chex,” left her landlocked town in China at age 11 to further her education. At 15 she journeyed to Singapore for high school, and after a year of university studies is deeply committed to social science research on global health issues. This summer she is doing research in India and China through grants she secured almost entirely on her own. Chex is remarkably industrious and self-sufficient having lived on her own from an early age. She will corral the resources to do big things. But what happens to Chex when she graduates? Perhaps she can extend her stay through graduate study, but gaining permanent residency is no easy task, even for someone with Chex’s tenacity. After recruiting and training this remarkable talent, we bear the risk of losing her to a competitor (China) just when she can make the greatest contribution. The plan for Chex centers on only one issue: keeping her in the United States. Arjun wants to start a business. This is no surprise because he has been an entrepreneur most of his life, undertaking everything from start-ups to day trading. In college it will be important for him to combine his academic work with real-world experience, meet and work with some entrepreneurs and have the chance to actually start something, even if it fails. Keeping the price of failure low and allowing Arjun to learn the lessons that only failure can teach is an important part of the process of preparing him to enter the fray once he graduates. What will be important for Arjun, when the time comes, is tapping financial and intellectual capital to start his enterprise. Policy incentives for new enterprise creation such as lower or no capital gains tax for investors in such enterprises and technical support for start-ups characterize the kind of climate that supports Arjun’s aspirations. Similar plans can be devised for the other seminar students as well. In some cases all that would be required is two to four sessions a year with a trained coach to help chart their path. For others, small research grants or summer stipends would also be necessary to allow for internships or practical research experience. If the grants further a commercial enterprise, they could be structured as loans. On average, this additional support would average no more than $10,000 over the student’s four-year career. Assuming 400 students per year would qualify, it would take around $1.25 million annually to fund such a program on one campus (including the overhead to support it). Scaling the idea to 100 campuses (or the equivalent) would require a national commitment of $125 million a year in investment. The return on that investment in terms of job creation, research accomplished, patents granted and companies created would result in the kind of returns that make a venture capitalist happy. Other steps must also be taken to ensure an outsized return on investment in students like mine. For those who are not U.S. citizens, we must find a way to keep them here once they earn their degrees. This involves immigration reform as well as creating a business and intellectual climate that welcomes their talents. University research must offer the opportunity to work on what students perceive as big problems where their efforts will truly make a difference. In the world we live in, they can go elsewhere if they think the impact will be greater. Thoughtfully improving the environment for start-ups of all kinds in both the commercial and social sector is also critical. One of this country’s strongest competencies is innovation and the best and brightest from all over the world want to be part of what they perceive as “start-up nation.” I don’t know of an opportunity around that is better than investing in my 24 students. The good news is there are hundreds more like them in colleges and universities throughout the United States. If we treat them like our most successful corporations would and create a development plan for each of them, the result is an investor’s dream — low risk and high return. Buck Goldstein is the University Entrepreneur in Residence at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and the co-author, along with Chancellor Holden Thorp, of Engines of Innovation–The Entrepreneurial University in the Twenty-First Century .

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Netroots Panel Demands Action From Obama On Foreclosures

June 18, 2011

MINNEAPOLIS — Neither Congress nor the Obama administration have shown much initiative to fix the nation’s deepening foreclosure problem of late, but the issue remains a dominant subject of activist attention and a major source of middle class anxiety. That’s the takeaway from a packed Friday panel on bank regulation and foreclosures at the annual Netroots Nation conference, an annual meeting of internet-savvy progressives. “It is a continuation of the insane Wall Street behavior of the 2000s,” said financial blogger Mike Konczal , comparing the recent practice of pushing through foreclosures with shoddy documentation to the frenzy to push out subprime mortgages at the height of the housing bubble. There were one million foreclosures in 2010. That pace has slowed somewhat in 2011, as banks are challenged in court, often on the validity of the paperwork deployed to evict borrowers. When an audience member asked the panel whether greed or incompetence was behind the myriad ongoing abuses in the financial system, Rep. Brad Miller (D-N.C.) answered, “Yes.” Multiple panelists highlighted the disconnect between the political attention given to public worker pay and the budget deficit, and the fallout from the financial crisis, which blew a giant hole in federal finances. “People seem to have forgotten, two and a half years ago, we had some unpleasantness,” Miller told the audience, which responded with laughter. “I don’t know any teachers in Wisconsin who were taking out derivatives or gambling with credit default swaps,” said Wisconsin-based activist Mary Bottari . “I don’t know any snow plow drivers who know what a CDO squared is.” The panel lambasted congressional Republicans for working to undo many of the reforms required by last year’s Wall Street overhaul legislation, but also reserved pointed criticism for President Barack Obama for not stepping in to protect troubled homeowners from fraud. “There is this schizophrenia on the right, where they’re complaining about community groups bullying Lehman Brothers,” Konczal said, before adding: “A lot of people are talking about what President Obama can and cannot do right now. There are things we can do right now with the government that require no 60th senator. There are things that can be done that would radically increase the quality of life for people who are suffering.” Among those steps, Konczal said after the panel, include a serious investigation of the foreclosure fraud mess, which he said regulators have yet to undertake. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could aggressively lower the interest rates on underwater mortgages, Konczal said. But he said he would rather see the Obama administration use the authority it received under the Wall Street bailout legislation to adopt a widespread principal reduction program to keep people in their homes. Obama’s current foreclosure relief effort, the Home Affordable Modification Program, is widely viewed as a failure. The plan is administered by the very banks currently embroiled in legal trouble for improperly processing foreclosures and loan modifications. Even for homeowners who receive help under HAMP, the vast majority only see their monthly payments lowered and not their overall debt burden, often leaving them owing much more on their mortgage than their home is worth. “The biggest single policy failure of the Obama administration has been foreclosures,” Miller said. “This is an area where the market simply is not working.” During a question and answer session, several members of the audience asked why there had been no criminal prosecutions of major financial miscreants involved in the Wall Street crash. Miller said that while he does not support “mob” justice where financiers are arbitrarily punished for the meltdown, he does believe there is a significant amount of potentially criminal conduct that is not being investigated by the executive branch. Where people broke the law, Miller said, they should be held accountable. “There is specific conduct that appears to violate the criminal laws,” Miller said.

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Commercial Real Estate Analysis Your Way 1.0 for iPhone

June 17, 2011

Tap Tonio today releases Commercial Real Estate Analysis Your Way 1.0 for iPhone, iPod touch and iPad users. The application is a comprehensive tool for investment property hunting, allowing investors to quickly assess potential real estate investment property without sacrificing the detailed financial calculations and metrics that help drive decisions. Commercial Real Estate Analysis Your Way …

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SFOs planning to Increase AI allocations, says report – HedgeWeek

June 17, 2011

SFOs planning to Increase AI allocations, says report HedgeWeek Nearly 90 per cent of single family offices (SFO) are planning to place additional money in hedge funds this year, according to a new report published by The Rothstein Kass Family Office Group, a division of global professional services firm Rothstein … SFOs To Raise Hedge Fund, PE Exposure As Mean Assets Rise – Rothstein Kass Report Wealth Briefing (subscription) all 2 news articles »

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Kotak Wealth & IIFL face fee rebate charge – mydigitalfc.com

June 15, 2011

Kotak Wealth & IIFL face fee rebate charge mydigitalfc.com “As part of our family office , we charge clients a fixed rupee fee or a percentage fee based on the client AUM for providing investment advice,” the spokesperson said. A Kotak Mahindra Bank spokesperson said: ” Family office business is based on … and more »

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Libyan Assets: ‘Who Knows How Many Billions?’

June 11, 2011

BENGHAZI, Libya — Fancy hotels that dominate the skylines of several African capitals, farms, banks, gas stations, telephone companies and an international airline – the financial tentacles of Moammar Gadhafi’s regime are far-reaching and little known across the continent. They include the first pan-African communications satellite and the continent’s only pan-African radio station. And while a few countries say they have frozen those assets, in line with U.N. sanctions, many suspect that hundreds of millions of dollars are under the radar and could simply vanish in the disarray surrounding the Libyan revolution. “We have billions and billions, who knows how many billions?” the deputy governor of the rebel-held Central Bank in Benghazi, Abdalgader Albagrmi, told The Associated Press. With Libya at war, and despite the international sanctions, the West African nation of Niger announced last month that it had signed an agreement for LAP Green Network to pay $66 million for a 51 percent share in a 10-year license for the state telecommunications and mobile companies. LAP is an acronym for the Libyan African Investment Portfolio which is among companies hit by U.N. sanctions. Just one complex of luxury, high-rise apartment buildings in Cairo swallowed billions of Libyan assets, according to Mahmoud Badi, who used to manage financial and administrative monitoring of the governing General People’s Committee, including foreign investments. “One can estimate the total foreign investments exceed $150 billion or $170 billion, if it’s not even more than that,” said Badi. He emphasized that he was responsible for auditing government expenditure and investments only from 1994 to 1997, but said he has closely followed the ballooning investments by keeping contact with those who followed him in the job. Badi said the many companies created to handle investments, and their name changes, make tracing them more difficult. He reeled off a dizzyingly long list: Libyan Investment Co., Libyan African Investment Co., Libyan Investment Corp., Libyan Oil Investment Co. In the banking sector he said there is the Libyan Investment Bank, the Libyan African Bank, the Arab Bank Corp., Arab Foreign Bank, British-Arab Commercial Bank, Arab Bank for Investment and Foreign Trade, in partnership with the Algerian and Emirates governments, and Sahara Bank jointly owned with the French PARIBAS. “In addition, and this is not a secret, there are a lot of (bank) accounts and under a lot of names of responsible persons. It’s very easy, with the Internet, to move money from account to account, one name to another. Some are in secret accounts in banks that are not willing to show these investments if they are not forced to,” Badi said, adding this may make it impossible to recover some funds. He said he was certain the money frozen by the United States and European nations – in excess of $60 billion – is “in safe hands.” But for the rest – he threw up his hands to display his skepticism. At least three African countries have acted swiftly to take control of assets jointly owned with Libya. Rwanda, Zambia and Uganda took control of their countries biggest telecommunications companies. Rwanda said the Libyans long had failed to meet contractual commitments. Zambia said it was freezing Libyan shares until the civil war is resolved. Libyan companies in Uganda valued at $375 million, including pharmaceutical and cookie factories, employ more than 3,000 people. Some said they were panicking about their future despite government’s assurances that the companies are doing well. Hundreds of hotel workers have been laid off in Gambia since that West African nation froze Libyan assets in two hotels. “Closed until further notice,” says a sign outside the country’s only amusement park at the LAICO Hotel and Dream Park. A travel agent who answered the London telephone number advertised on the Web site of Afriqiyah Airways said the airline no longer is operating. Gadhafi started Afriqiyah boasting it would ease travel on the continent, from which it sometimes is faster to fly to Europe to reach another part of Africa. Also hanging in limbo is the future of the only continentwide radio station, Africa No. 1, which has been broadcasting from Libreville, Gabon, since the 1970s and reaches some 20 million listeners in a score of countries via satellite and shortwave. Its satellite provider cut its signal last month saying it was owed some 300,000 euros. Libya owns 52 percent of the station. Libya’s civil war also casts a cloud over a project to build an oil pipeline from Uganda to Kenya, in which Libya owns 51 percent and the Ugandan and Kenyan governments share 49 percent. “The Libyans are in Kenya in a big way,” said opposition legislator Gitobu Imanyara, whose country is dotted with LibyaOil gas stations. He said questions in parliament about whether the government is freezing Libyan assets have received no clear answers. In South Africa, the government says it still is compiling a list of Libyan assets, which include shares in the prestigious Michelangelo Hotel in Sandton. Legacy Group chairman Bart Dorrestein said they have frozen Libyan dividend payments from the Michelangelo but refused to say what they were worth. “It’s not an oil well. It’s a hotel,” he complained. The giant-size portrait of Gadhafi has been removed from the resplendent lobby of the five-star l’Amitie (friendship) Hotel where heads of state are put up in Bamako, Mali. But otherwise business continues as usual there and at numerous other Libyan government assets including gas stations, oil exploration, the controversial lease of 250,000 acres of prime agricultural land on the Niger delta, and numerous Madrases Moslem schools and mosques. One huge Libyan-funded mosque was built, intentionally it seems, right next door to the U.S. Embassy in Bamako. Mali’s Foreign Ministry said there are no plans to freeze the Libyan assets. “There are no doubt some cash accounts here too,” the ministry said in a statement. “It is possible that the Libyan government could attempt to sell properties that it owns here. This would be difficult to trace.” In Central African Republic, Gadhafi sent troops to support a government confronting coup attempts and an insurgency in 2001. In return, Libya won a 99-year agreement to explore all its mineral deposits, including diamonds and gold. Those exploration rights ran roughshod over agreements previously made with France, the nation that was at the forefront of imposing a U.N.-regulated no-fly zone over Libya. It’s unclear how Libya pursued its agreement in that country. Badi said most investments appear to be sound, moneymaking ventures. Not in that category is RASCOM, Africa’s communications satellite conceived to end the continent’s dependence on expensive European-owned satellites and to bring affordable Internet and telephone services to remote areas. Gadhafi put up $300 million and two African development banks $200 million for the project. RASCOM now offers broadband services and plans on transmitting radio and television broadcasts in addition to Internet services for long-distance medical and educational needs. In a sign of how little is known of other investments, the rebel Central Bank’s Albagrmi said they found out about Libyan investments in three luxury hotels in Cairo and Sharm-el-Sheikh resort from Egyptian “friends of the revolution.” He said the rebel administration would be contacting the Egyptian government to try to ensure no money from the hotels reaches the pockets of Gadhafi and his clique. — Associated Press writers Donna Bryson in Johannesburg, Martin Vogl in Bamako, Mali, Tom Odula in Nairobi, Kenya, Godfrey Olukya in Kampala, Uganda and Abdoulie John in Banjul, Gambia, contributed to this report.

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Marty Zwilling: Limit an Investor Pitch to 10 Pages and 10 Minutes

June 10, 2011

As a member of the local Angel group selection committee, I’ve seen a lot of startup presentations to investors, and I’ve never seen one that was too short — maybe short on content, but not short on pages! A perfect round number is 10 slides, with the right content, that can be covered in 10 minutes. Even if you have an hour booked, the advice is the same. I’ve published these points before, but based on interest, it’s time for an update. Remember the goal is an overview presentation that will pique investor interest enough to ask for the business plan and a follow-on meeting, not close the deal on the spot. If you can’t get the message across in 10 minutes, more time and more charts won’t help. Every startup needs both a business plan and an investor presentation, completed before you formally approach any investors. The approach I recommend is to build the investor presentation first, by iterating on the bullets with your team, and then fleshing out the points into a full-blown text-based business plan document. Here are the 10 slides you need: Problem and market need. Give the “elevator pitch” for your startup. Explain in analogies your mother could understand, and quantify the “cost-of-pain” in dollars or time. Fuzzy terms like “not user-oriented” or “too expensive” are not helpful. Solution product & technology. Here is how and why it works, including a customer-centric quantification of the benefits. Make sure to communicate the relevance of your product/services to market needs. Describe your technology patents and “secret sauce.” Opportunity sizing. Define the characteristics of the overall industry, market forces, market dynamics, and customer landscape. Investors like $1B markets with double-digit growth rates. You need data from industry experts like Forrester or Gartner for credibility. Business model. Explain how you will make money and who pays you (real customer). In this section, you need to be passionate about recurring revenue, profit margin, and volume growth. Implicit in this is the go-to-market strategy. Competition and sustainable advantage. List and position your competition, or alternatives available to the customer. Highlight your sustainable competitive advantages, and barriers to entry. Marketing, sales, and partners. Describe marketing strategy, sales plan, licensing, and partnership plans. Here is also a good place for a rollout timeline with key milestones. Make sure your marketing budget matches the scope of your plan. Executive team. Qualifications and roles of the top three executives and top three on your Board of Advisors. They need domain knowledge and startup experience. Highlight their level of involvement, and quantify their skin in the game. Financial projections. Project both revenues and expense totals for next five years, and past three years. What is the current valuation of the company? Show breakeven point, burn rate, and growth assumptions. Funding requirements and use of funds. What is the level of capital funding sought during this stage? What equity is the company willing to give in return for the investment? Show a breakdown of the intended uses of these funds. Exit strategy. What is the timeframe of return on investment? What is the planned exit strategy (IPO, merger, sale, including likely candidates)? What is the timeframe for the exit? What is the rate of return expected for the investor? Hand out copies of the slides before the presentation for note taking, with proper cover sheet, with brochures, product samples, or other marketing material you may have. Offer to do a demo later, but don’t try to squeeze it in the presentation. My last recommendation is practice, practice, practice. The CEO should give the pitch, and prepare by playing “presidential debates” — asking your team to be the opponents, and check you on timing. Investors hate long rambling presentations. Show some energy and enthusiasm, and remember if you lose their attention, you have lost the deal. Have fun!

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Healthcare Real Estate Outlook Is Healthy

June 10, 2011

Capital availability and increasing demand are converging to create a positive outlook for healthcare real estate, according to Jones Lan read more

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Energy Efficiency Is Central to New Multifamily Financing Program

June 7, 2011

Green Refinance Plus, a new joint initiative from the Federal Housing Administration and Fannie Mae, gives affordable multifamily housing owners the opportunity to refinance and use additional loan read more

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Foreclosure Fraud Price Tag Four Times Higher Than Banks’ Initial Proposal

June 7, 2011

WASHINGTON — The nation’s largest mortgage companies are operating on the assumption that they will have to pay as much as $20 billion to resolve claims of widespread foreclosure abuse, an amount four times what they had originally proposed, the top federal official overseeing the discussions told state officials Monday, according to people who participated in the conversation. Associate U.S. Attorney General Tom Perrelli told a bipartisan group of state attorneys general during a conference call that he believes the banks have accepted the realization that a wide-ranging settlement to the months-long probes will cost them much more than the $5 billion offer they floated last month, according to officials with direct knowledge of the call. Perrelli said he’s basing his belief on his recent conversations with representatives of the five targeted firms: Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial. Three unresolved issues remain, these people said. State and federal officials have not agreed on the scope of banks’ release from liability that would accompany such a deal; negotiators continue to hammer out how much of the money pot will be split between restructuring borrowers’ mortgages and bank fines, and officials are not yet near an agreement on how the coalition of state and federal government agencies will monitor and enforce bank behavior in the wake of a settlement agreement. The settlement talks are the result of state and federal investigations launched last autumn after widespread reports that the five largest mortgage handlers illegally seized the homes of an unknown number of homeowners and improperly accelerated foreclosure proceedings by failing to amass required paperwork, in some cases allegedly lying about it to local judges. Over the past couple months, government officials have been in discussions with the banks to resolve claims of past abuses and set new standards to govern bank dealings with distressed homeowners. The banks seek a quick resolution, according to sources who have participated in settlement talks, as falling home prices, a continuing high rate of delinquent borrowers, stagnant home sales, rising unemployment and slower economic growth batters bank stocks. Shares of Bank of America, the largest mortgage servicer, hit a two-year low Monday. Citigroup fell more than four percent. The 24-company KBW Bank Index has fallen nearly 11 percent over the past three months. Top officials in the Obama administration, like Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, have said they want a quick settlement, too. Bank regulator Sheila Bair, the chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, told a Senate panel last month that a settlement must be reached due to “significant” damages the banks face from “flawed mortgage banking processes [that] have potentially infected millions of foreclosures.” The industry could be reeling for years, Bair warned. Many of the states, though, aren’t in such a hurry. New York’s top law enforcer, Eric Schneiderman, wants to conduct a complete investigation into all facets of mortgage banking, from fraudulent lending to defective securitization practices to faulty foreclosure documents and illegal home seizures. Delaware recently sent Mortgage Electronic Registration Systems Inc., which runs an electronic registry of mortgages, a subpoena demanding answers to 75 questions. Other states are combing through court filings and pulling out files infected by so-called “robo-signing” and potentially-fraudulent claims made by banks, while some are probing the role played by a unit of Lender Processing Services, a firm used by the biggest mortgage companies in foreclosure proceedings. Those angling for either a more thorough investigation or a more punishing set of penalties also have the results of a set of confidential federal audits in their back pocket. The reports accuse Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial of defrauding taxpayers in their handling of foreclosures on homes purchased with government-backed loans, The Huffington Post first reported last month . The five separate investigations, conducted by the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s inspector general, conclude that the firms violated the False Claims Act, a Civil War-era law crafted as a weapon against firms that swindle the government. The federal watchdog office referred its findings to the Department of Justice, which is deciding whether to file charges. The False Claims Act allows the government to recover damages worth three times the actual harm. Jessica Smith, a spokeswoman for the Justice Department, declined to comment. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is a senior business reporter for The Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 917-267-2335.

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