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Ask Rod: Should We Outsource Our Manufacturing?

by Rod Kurtz on December 21, 2011

Huffington Post…

Moving your company’s manufacturing overseas can be a tempting way to trim your budget. But what about the hidden costs? And attracting customers to your website is only half the battle. How do you convince them to be once they’re there? Executive Editor Rod Kurtz — along with special guest, Billy Leroy of Billy’s Antiques & Props , shares his tips on overseas manufacturing and increasing sales. Got a question about your business? We’re here to help! Just send us an e-mail at  askrod@huffingtonpost.com . Or tweet us at  @HuffPostSmBiz .

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Ask Rod: Should We Outsource Our Manufacturing?

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Huffington Post…

Groupon offers deep discounts on food and drink, but historically, breast milk has not been on the menu. Last week, however, Groupon subscribers in Indianapolis received a $10 pitch for pasteurized donor human milk from the Indiana Mothers’ Milk Bank (IMMB). The fine print explained what was going on: philanthropy. People who purchased the deal weren’t getting cutthroat bargains on breast milk for themselves; instead, the money raised would be used by the milk bank to offset the cost of providing human milk to premature and sick babies in need.

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Donating Breast Milk? There’s A Groupon For That

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BP Accused Of Taking ‘Stranglehold’ On Iraqi Economy

July 31, 2011

BP has been accused of taking a “stranglehold” on the Iraqi economy after the Baghdad government agreed to pay the British firm even when oil is not being produced by the Rumaila field, confidential documents reveal.

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From Battlefield To Workplace: Veterans Struggle To Find Jobs

May 29, 2011

Veterans of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars showed courage and faced challenges every moment in their tours of duty. Sadly, some veterans face an equally tough battle at home. While the country gradually recovers from the economic down turn, many of our veterans are struggling to find meaningful employment.

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Marty Kaplan: Who’s Afraid of a Countdown Clock?

May 13, 2011

Please don’t run a countdown clock on the debt ceiling. For weeks , that’s what Jack Lew, the Obama Administration’s director of the Office of Management and Budget, has been urging the television networks not to do. You know the kind of clock he means. It’s what we saw on the cable news channels in April as the absence of a deal on the federal budget raised the prospect of a government shutdown. To boost ratings, few things beat whipping up a little Perils of Pauline suspense about whether the Washington Monument will be shuttered and Social Security checks will stop. In 18 hours and 42 minutes, it could be cat food for Granny. Stay tuned! Sometimes the clock starts after the event. “This is the 143d day of the Iranian hostage crisis,” the network anchors said, flipping the pages of the nightly humiliation calendar during the last 444 days of the Carter Administration. Keith Olbermann did something similar with the number of days since “Mission Accomplished” was declared in the Iraq war. Does it matter? In the Carter case, it may well have cemented his 1980 loss to Ronald Reagan. (Double-digit inflation and gas rationing also didn’t help.) In the recent wrangling over the budget, the looming deadline mattered, but it’s hard to believe that the deal the negotiators reached was actually affected by the Nielsens stunt. This time, though, it’s different. That’s Jack Lew’s point, which has also been made by Democrats like Obama economic advisor Gene Sperling and House minority whip Steny Hoyer (D.-Md.), and by liberal columnists like E.J. Dionne . The reason they want the networks to abjure debt ceiling countdown clocks is the fear that they will spook the markets. If the full faith and credit of the United States is in doubt, then no one will trust our bonds, interest rates will spike, unemployment will climb, our fragile recovery will be derailed and the world will be plunged into an even deeper recession. I can see why Republicans aren’t clamoring for the media to can the clocks. They insist that they won’t raise the debt ceiling unless Democrats couple that vote with an agreement to cut spending by at least $2 trillion. Cutting tax expenditures, say the Republicans, won’t count as cutting spending; the top six publicly-traded oil companies made a staggering $38 billion in first-quarter profits, but the GOP has taken the $4 billion-per-year federal subsidy to Big Oil off the table, as well as the $1 trillion in Bush tax cuts for the wealthy that President Obama wants to eliminate. It’s in the Republicans’ interest to portray anything less than total capitulation by the Democrats as an invitation to global collapse. If doomsday clocks incite a little pre-midnight foretaste of economic meltdown, all the better: the Democrats will have no choice but to cave. The clocks would have the perverse virtue of transforming a GOP bluff into an actual game of chicken, with the Republicans taking the steering wheel off and throwing it out the window. What puzzles me is why the markets would be spooked by a TV clock. These are the same markets that are universally said to have already discounted any event that you and I find out about. A wheat fungus in Ukraine, a class-action defeat, a movie that bombs, a CEO ouster, a bad quarter: whenever I think I have a bead on the future, the financial chattering class tells me that the institutional investors, private wealth managers and arbitrageurs have been yawning about that news for months. So you’d think that the wizards of Wall Street, the gnomes of Zurich and the other masters of the universe would by now be totally blasé about some ticking widget that Bloomberg, Fox and MSNBC might use to scare up, and scare, an audience. Is it really conceivable that the people who actually pull the strings of the international economy — not the day-traders and duffers who watch cable to find out what’s going on, but the Davos crowd who truly move markets — is it possible that a cornball countdown clock could cause them to panic? I don’t think so. My bet is that Beijing, Brussels and the rest of the financial capitals decided some time ago that John Boehner (R-Oh.) and Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) are neither nuts enough nor politically fearful enough to permit the Tea Party to make them accomplices to an economic apocalypse. Sure, there’s a psychological element to the market, but no cable network’s catastrophe-porn chyron is going to be influential enough to jeopardize any media mogul’s fortune. So why are Democrats playing the clock card? My guess: To spook the media about giving the Tea Party a free ride. If cable coverage of the debt ceiling negotiation is framed as a fight over how much spending should be cut, the Republicans win, no matter where the number comes out. But if the question of whether running a clock is civically reckless gains some traction, then the story becomes whether the Tea Party is taking the American economy hostage. Whether cable stations run a countdown or not, the controversy draws viewers, so the networks win either way. I just wish that were also true for the country. This is my column from The Jewish Journal of Greater Los Angeles . You can read more of my columns here , and e-mail me there if you’d like.

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Deborah Frett: Make Your Mother Proud

May 8, 2011

Each May, we are inundated with advertising from jewelers, florists, and other retailers promising the “perfect” Mother’s Day gift. How did Mother’s Day morph into a shopping spectacle that rivals any other holiday of the year?!? It all seems so inadequate — and absurd — when I consider the many, many sacrifices my own mother had made for me over the years, sacrifices that mothers make for their children on a daily basis without even stopping to think. This week’s headlines turned my thoughts to the tens of thousands of courageous mothers who are members of our nation’s military. These selfless women have made the ultimate sacrifice — not just for their own families, but for all of American’s children — by choosing to serve in America’s Armed Forces. Women now make up 15 percent of the United States military, and they are the fastest-growing segment of the veteran population. According to a 2009 report by the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America, more than 40 percent of women on active duty have children, and more than 30,000 single mothers have been deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan. Try finding the “right” gift in a department store to thank these mothers!! There is no question that these mothers’ military service comes at a cost to their families. According to the California Research Bureau, active duty military mothers report higher rates of emotional problems and mental illness than servicewomen without children. Women in the military divorce at a rate higher than their male counterparts, and are significantly more likely to be single parents. Across all ages and segments, women veterans are more likely to suffer from mental illness, experience homelessness, and to commit suicide than women who choose not to serve in the military. And, not surprisingly, their children also pay a huge price for their mothers’ commitment. The Rand Corporation recently reported that children whose parents have been deployed for over 19 months are more likely to experience academic difficulties and exhibit emotional and behavioral problems in school settings. Despite their willingness to make these sacrifices on behalf of our nation, it is both heartbreaking and frustrating to realize that these women often leave their military service only to face daunting challenges when they re-enter civilian life. They are frequently denied recognition and unable to access the benefits and services they have more than earned — and require to successfully reintegrate. BPW Foundation research pinpoints a critical piece of this puzzle: Too many women veterans fail to self-identify as veterans and miss the opportunity to learn about, much less participate in, the broad range of support services for which they are eligible. And, since many public and private sector tools, services, and programs for veterans are still largely designed with men in mind, women veterans are further “penalized” for their service to our nation. This year, find a truly meaningful way to show Mom how much you appreciate all the sacrifices she made for you. Take a pass on the flowers, jewelry, and myriad other “perfect” Mother’s Day gift ideas. Choose instead to recognize and thank the women veterans in your community. And together join BPW Foundation’s Joining Forces for Women Veterans, and help provide support and resources for women veterans and their families as they return to civilian life. Last month, the White House officially launched Joining Forces , a national initiative to mobilize private and public sectors of our society to help military families and veterans access the opportunities and support they have earned. At the invitation of First Lady Michelle Obama, I attended the April 12th announcement of this initiative. It was an honor to be recognized by the White House for BPW Foundation’s efforts on behalf of women veterans and we are grateful to be able to participate in this important endeavor. A major objective of our Joining Forces program is to enable women veterans to find and utilize the diverse benefits due them, helping them connect with other women veterans through scholarships, a career center, Connect-A-Vet resources, Facebook , and Twitter . We will soon be implementing a mentoring program for military spouses and women veterans, and we invite you to play a role in this project. To read a blueprint for our Joining Forces for Women Veterans campaign, visit the BPW Foundation website . To hear first hand from women veterans, check out our recently posted YouTube video from our Joining Forces for Women Veteran’s Summit . Visit www.womenjoiningforces.org to find out what you can do to support women veterans on this Mother’s Day. Your mother will be proud–just as we are proud of the incredible women who serve our nation in the US military.

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The Million-Dollar Weapon

March 25, 2011

By Sharon Weinberger Center for Public Integrity In the opening days of the assault on Libya, the United States and the United Kingdom launched a barrage of at least 161 Tomahawk cruise missiles to flatten Moammar Gadhafi’s air defenses and pave the way for coalition aircraft. In fiscal terms, at a time when Congress is fighting over every dollar, the cruise missile show of military might was an expenditure of nearly a quarter of a billion dollars. Each missile cost $1.41 million, close to three times the cost listed on the Navy’s website. Raytheon Corp. is the manufacturer of the Tomahawk Block IV, a low-flying missile that travels at 550 miles per hour. During a decade of war in Afghanistan, Iraq, and now Libya, the Pentagon has increasingly relied on the Tomahawk. A year ago, Raytheon boasted of its 2,000th Block IV delivery to the Navy. The 20-foot missile is particularly attractive for the military in current conflicts because it can be launched from submarines and surface ships at a safe distance and can be used to take out air-defense systems that could pose a threat to manned aircraft. William Hartung, director of the Arms and Security Initiative at the New America Foundation and author of the book Prophets of War , said the use of the Tomahawk helps explain, in part, the high cost of the operations in Libya. “The no-fly zones in Iraq averaged about $1 billion or so per year, while the Libyan operation cost $100 million or more on the first day, largely due to the use of cruise missiles,” Hartung said. “I would stop short of calling it a boondoggle, as it does seem to be getting the job done, just at a very high cost,” Hartung told the Center for Public Integrity. Some members of Congress are nervous about yet another war, cost being one of their complaints. “It is hard to imagine that Congress, during the current contentious debate over deficits and budget cutting, would agree to plunge America into still another war,” said Rep. Dennis Kucinich, an Ohio Democrat, in a statement. “Our nation simply cannot afford another war, economically, diplomatically or spiritually.” Tomahawks have high accuracy rate The Tomahawk was first used operationally in the 1991 Gulf War, when 288 cruise missiles were fired at Kuwait and Iraq to destroy Iraqi forces. The Navy claimed the missiles, which were used to target everything from air defense sites to Saddam’s presidential palace, had an 85 percent accuracy rate. The low-flying cruise missile was used again, in 1998, against Serb forces, and over 325 Tomahawks were launched against Iraq that same year in Operation Desert Fox. During the Iraq war in 2003, the number of Tomahawks used more than doubled compared to the first Gulf War, with over 725 of the cruise missiles launched at Iraq, according to Richard Myers , then chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The Tomahawk, which is guided to its target by GPS, has tended to work well for fixed sites, like air defense systems, but perhaps less well for so-called fleeing targets, which depends on precise and up-to-date intelligence. In August 1998, President Bill Clinton ordered U.S. Navy vessels in the Arabian Sea to strike suspected Al Qaeda sites in Sudan and Afghanistan in retaliation for the Africa embassy bombings. “Though most of them hit their intended targets, neither Bin Ladin nor any other terrorist leader was killed,” the 9/11 Commission wrote in its final report. “[Former National Security Advisor Sandy] Berger told us that an after-action review by [CIA] Director [George] Tenet concluded that the strikes had killed 20-30 people in the camps but probably missed Bin Ladin by a few hours.” In some cases, it’s hard to judge the Tomahawk’s record: Amnesty International claims 41 civilians were killed by a U.S. Tomahawk strike against Yemen in 2009, but neither U.S. nor Yemeni officials ever confirmed the attack, which was reportedly directed against Al Qaeda sites. In Libya, the government claimed the recent Tomahawk strikes killed 48 civilians , though those reports have not been confirmed. Missile cost nearly tripled since 1999 From the standpoint of helping set up the no-fly zone, the Tomahawk’s use has been a success, according to U.S. officials. The most current version of the Tomahawk has some noted improvements, most significantly its ability to be reprogrammed in flight via two-way satellite communication. It that sense, the Tomahawk is roughly similar to an unmanned drone aircraft, except that it doesn’t ever come back. It’s not clear, however, how often its ability to be reprogrammed is actually used. “In the real world, you’re just not going to have the sort of precise intelligence that would tell you, after you launch a Tomahawk and it’s halfway there, that now there’s a bus full of widows and orphans” and it needs to be diverted, said John Pike, the director of GlobalSecurity.org. “That just doesn’t happen.” The cost of the Tomahawk has long been an issue. The Navy, according to a public fact sheet on its website, places the price tag of a Block IV missile at $569,000, but that’s in fiscal year 1999 dollars. However, Rob Koon, a spokesman for the Navy, on Wednesday placed the current price tag at $1.41 million. A spokesman for Raytheon, citing current operational use of the Tomahawk, directed all questions about the Tomahawk to the Navy. Whether the increasing use of the Tomahawk will translate to more orders is unclear. The Navy declines to discuss inventory numbers, citing operational security, but in February 2010, Raytheon announced that it had delivered its 2,000th Tomahawk Block IV missile to the Navy. The company’s trademarked motto is “Customer Success is Our Mission.” With $25 billion in revenues and $1.84 billion in profits companywide in 2010, Raytheon is one of the five largest defense contractors and has benefited from the military’s increasing reliance on cruise missiles. Missile sales have also been paralleled by its lobbying effort. Raytheon, now the world’s biggest producer of guided-missiles, spent just shy of $7 million on congressional lobbying in 2010, compared to $2.32 million a decade earlier, according to the Center for Responsive Politics’ OpenSecrets.org. Raytheon has liberally sprinkled campaign contributions across Congress, including more than $2.1 million in 2009-2010. The contributions were balanced between parties, with 53 percent going to Democrats and 46 percent to Republican candidates, according to OpenSecrets. Even in an era of staggering weapons costs, the price tag for a Tomahawk stands out because it’s only used once. So, is the Tomahawk worth well over $1 million a shot? “They are expensive rounds, but they give you the potential to attack heavily defended targets up front,” said Barry Watts, a senior fellow at the Washington, D.C.-based Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. “How do you value not putting a bunch of pilots in harm’s way?”

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Bruce E. Levine: The Myth of U.S. Democracy and the Reality of U.S. Corporatocracy

March 16, 2011

Polls show that on the major issues of our time — the Afghanistan and Iraq wars, Wall Street bailouts and health insurance — the opinion of We the People has been ignored on a national level for quite some time. While the corporate media repeats the myth that the United States of America is a democracy, Americans, especially Wisonsiners and Ohioans, know that this is a joke. On March 3, 2011, a Rasmussen Reports poll declared that “Most Wisconsin voters oppose efforts to weaken collective bargaining rights for union workers.” This of course didn’t stop Wisconsin Governor Walker and the Wisconsin legislature from passing a bill that — to the delight of America’s ruling class — trashed most collective bargaining rights of public employee unions. Similarly in Ohio, legislation to limit collective bargaining rights for public workers is on the verge of being signed into law by Governor Kasich, despite the fact that Public Policy Polling on March 15, 2011 reported that 54 percent of Ohio voters would repeal the law, while 31 percent would keep it. It is a myth that the United States of America was ever a democracy (most of the famous founder elite such as John Adams equated democracy with mob rule and wanted no part of it). The United States of America was actually created as a republic, in which Americans were supposed to have power through representatives who were supposed to actually represent the American people. The truth today, however, is that the United States is neither a democracy nor a republic. Americans are ruled by a corporatocracy: a partnership of “too-big-to-fail” corporations, the extremely wealthy elite, and corporate-collaborator government officials. The reality is that Americans, for quite some time, have opposed the U.S. government’s wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, but We the People have zero impact on policy. On March 10-13, 2011, an ABC News/Washington Post poll asked, “All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Afghanistan has been worth fighting, or not?”; 64 percent said “not worth fighting” and 31 percent said “worth fighting.” A February 11, 2011, CBS poll reported Americans’ response to the question, “Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?”; only 37 percent of Americans said the U.S. “is doing the right thing” and 54 percent said we “should not be involved.” When a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll on December 17-19, 2010, posed the question, “Do you favor or oppose the U.S. war in Afghanistan?” only 35 percent of Americans favored the war while 63 percent opposed it. For several years, the majority of Americans have also opposed the Iraq war, typified by a 2010 CBS poll which reported that 6 out of 10 Americans view the Iraq war as “a mistake.” The opposition by the majority of Americans to current U.S. wars has remained steady for several years. However, if you watched only the corporate media’s coverage of the 2010 election between Democratic and Republican corporate-picked candidates, you might not even know that America was involved in two wars — two wars that are not only opposed by the majority of Americans but which are also bankrupting America. How about the 2008 Wall Street bailout? Even when Americans believed the lie that it was only a $700 billion bailout, they opposed it; but their opinion was irrelevant. In September 2008, despite the corporate media’s attempts to terrify Americans into believing that an economic doomsday would occur without the bailout, Americans still opposed it. A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll in September 2008, asked, “Do you think the government should use taxpayers’ dollars to rescue ailing private financial firms whose collapse could have adverse effects on the economy and market, or is it not the government’s responsibility to bail out private companies with taxpayers’ dollars?”; only 31 percent of Americans said we should “use taxpayers” dollars while 55 percent said it is “not government’s responsibility.” Also in September 2008, both a CBSNews/New York Times poll and a USA Today/Gallup poll showed Americans opposed the bailout. This disapproval of the bailout was before most Americans discovered that the Federal Reserve had loaned far more money to “too-big-to-fail” corporations than Americans had been originally led to believe ( The Wall Street Journal reported on December 1, 2010, “The US central bank on Wednesday disclosed details of some $3.3 trillion in loans made to financial firms, companies and foreign central banks during the crisis.”) What about health insurance? Despite the fact that several 2009 polls showed that Americans actually favored a “single-payer” or “Medicare-for-all” health insurance plan, it was not even on the table in the Democrat-Republican 2009-2010 debate over health insurance reform legislation. And polls during this debate showed that an even larger majority of Americans favored the government providing a “public option” to compete with private health insurance plans, but the public option was quickly pushed off the table in the Democratic-Republican debate. A July 2009 Kaiser Health Tracking poll asked, “Do you favor or oppose having a national health plan in which all Americans would get their insurance through an expanded, universal form of Medicare-for-all?” In this Kaiser poll, 58 percent of Americans favored a Medicare-for-all universal plan, and only 38 percent opposed it — and a whopping 77 percent favored “expanding Medicare to cover people between the ages of 55 and 64 who do not have health insurance.” A February 2009 CBS News/New York Times poll reported that 59 percent of Americans say the government should provide national health insurance. And a December 2009 Reuters poll reported that, “Just under 60 percent of those surveyed said they would like a public option as part of any final healthcare reform legislation.” In the U.S. corporatocracy, as in most modern tyrannies, there are elections, but the reality is that giant corporations and the wealthy elite rule in a way to satisfy their own self-interest. In elections in a corporatocracy, as is the case in elections in all tyrannies, it’s in the interest of the ruling class to maintain the appearance that the people have a say, so more than one candidate is offered up. In the U.S. corporatocracy, it’s in the interest of corporations and the wealthy elite that the winning candidate is beholden to them, so they financially support both Democrats and Republicans. It’s in the interest of corporations and the wealthy elite that there are only two viable parties–this cuts down on bribery costs. And it’s in the interest of these two parties that they are the only parties with a chance of winning. In the U.S. corporatocracy, corporations and the wealthy elite directly and indirectly finance candidates, who are then indebted to them. It’s common for these indebted government officials to appoint to key decision-making roles those friendly to corporations, including executives from these corporations. And it’s routine for high-level government officials to be rewarded with high-paying industry positions when they exit government. It’s common and routine for former government officials to be given high-paying lobbying jobs so as to use their relationships with current government officials to ensure that corporate interests will be taken care of. The integration between giant corporations and the U.S. government has gone beyond revolving doors of employment (exemplified by George W. Bush’s last Treasury secretary, Henry Paulson, who had previously been CEO of Goldman Sachs; and Barack Obama’s first chief economic adviser, Lawrence Summers who in 2008 received $5.2 million from hedge fund D. E. Shaw). Nowadays, the door need not even revolve in the U.S. corporatocracy; for example, when President Obama earlier in 2011 appointed General Electric CEO Jeffrey Immelt as a key economic advisor, Immelt kept his job as CEO of General Electric. The United States is not ruled by a single deranged dictator but by an impersonal corporatocracy. Thus, there is no one tyrant that Americans can first hate and then finally overthrow so as to end senseless wars and economic injustices. Revolutions against Qaddafi-type tyrants require enormous physical courage. In the U.S. corporatocracy, the first step in recovering democracy is the psychological courage to face the humiliation that we Americans have neither a democracy nor a republic but are in fact ruled by a partnership of “too-big-to-fail” corporations, the extremely wealthy elite, and corporate-collaborator government officials. Bruce E. Levine is a clinical psychologist and author of Get Up, Stand Up: Uniting Populists, Energizing the Defeated, and Battling the Corporate Elite (Chelsea Green Publishing, April 2011).

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Yvette Kantrow: Access Davos

February 13, 2011

Filled with self-styled straight shooters who claim to be beholden to no one, the blogosphere has long positioned itself as an antidote to the so-called access journalism racking the mainstream media, most infamously during the run-up to the Iraq War and, more recently, in the run-up to the financial crisis. Because they rely heavily on high-level, establishment sources for their stories, the argument goes, mainstream journos — think Judith Miller — must censor their own reporting or risk losing access to the machers in the corridors of power. The blogosphere, with its emphasis on commentary, analysis and citizen journalism, claims to be unfettered by such restraints. After all, people don’t visit blogs to read worked-over quotes by a CEO or a government official. Against that backdrop, it’s pretty weird to witness the growing army of bloggers who now flock to the World Economic Forum in Davos, the ne plus ultra of access journalism. Bloggy new-media types like Arianna Huffington and Jeff Jarvis have been schlepping to Switzerland for years, and they have more recently been joined by financial bloggers, including Business Insider’s Henry Blodget and Reuters’ Felix Salmon. Then there are the big media outlets including The New York Times , Time Inc. and CNBC, which conduct interviews with bigwig attendees from the mountaintop. Indeed, Davos seems tailor-made for access-obsessed CNBC, which specializes in providing a friendly forum for CEOs and other muckety-mucks to talk directly to viewers. But what of Salmon, Blodget and their ilk? What do they get from a conference where most of the “real” action takes place behind closed doors while reporters lurk in hallways or at parties hoping to nab a few moments with a Big Name attendee? Faced with this reality, bloggers employed a different strategy in Switzerland this year: They went to Davos not to cover it, but to mock it. Blodget, who vowed to give his readers ” The Truth About Davos ,” judged it to be “just like high school.” Salmon declared: “Just about everything in Davos is ridiculous in its own way. It’s like Disneyland.” And Harvard Business Review’s Justin Fox, in his ” Obligatory Pre-Davos Post! ,” admitted that when he was blogging for Time.com “traffic fell off markedly as soon as I started posting from the Swiss Alps… There’s seldom much in the way of news generated at Davos, and most people aren’t itching to hear a soundbite from CEO or government official rushing between meetings.” That message wasn’t lost on Timesman Andrew Ross Sorkin, who in a conference missive outed the high cost of being a Davos Man (as much as $622,000, depending on the size of your entourage). Sorkin’s piece was hailed as a standout by the New Yorker’s John Cassidy, who was not at Davos, while Blodget told readers that everyone at the event was talking about it. That’s nice, but the story seemed a tad hypocritical, given the Times ‘ symbiotic relationship with Davos. Arthur Sulzberger Jr. was at the confab, as were Thomas Friedman and Nicholas Kristof — Davos Men of the highest order — plus Sorkin and other Times scribes who were covering it. How much the cash-strapped New York Times Co. spends to have them there Sorkin’s piece did not say. Perhaps that’s because Sorkin is on his way to becoming a Davos Man himself — Blodget blogged that Sorkin is “a god” around Davos “and quite possibly the first one invited to every party.” And why would a god want to anger his people? But Sorkin’s piece was indicative of the type of snark that the media, particularly the new media, brought with it to Davos this year: sharp-tongued enough to protect itself against charges of being too cozy with the global elite, but soft enough to ensure that its authors will get invited back. Despite all the negative coverage, few journos, including bloggers, seem able to resist the invitation and the proximity to power. Indeed, after spending a few days at the conference, Blodget gave its corporate attendees a big wet kiss, concluding that for executives, the business meetings they conduct at Davos “can end up being vastly more valuable than the price of admission.” OK, fine, but if Davos is nothing more than a big networking event, doesn’t that make all the Big Thoughts a farce? In the blogosphere, only Salmon seems to have stuck to his guns and left the confab as disgusted by it as when he arrived. Moving from snark to satire, he lauded Davos for “deftly leveraging the talk around its chosen theme — ‘shared norms for the new reality’ — into an effective and timely intervention in Egypt.” Well done. But whether that conclusion required a trip to Switzerland is another question.

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Robert Gates: Congress Dumping ‘Crisis On My Doorstep’

January 27, 2011

OTTAWA, Ontario — Defense Secretary Robert Gates is accusing Congress of dumping a “crisis on my doorstep” by holding the Pentagon to last year’s spending levels and creating a potential $23 billion gap that could weaken a wartime military. “That’s how you hollow out a military,” Gates said Thursday. Gates said it looks increasingly likely that Congress will not act on the Pentagon’s 2011 budget request even as lawmakers argue over Gates’ proposal to slow the rate of increase in defense spending next year and freeze it by 2015. Gates was in Canada for North American defense talks. In an interview as he traveled to the Canadian capital, the Pentagon chief said he understands that his proposal for $78 billion in cuts in future spending has run into opposition among lawmakers. The opposition is bipartisan – from Republicans who oppose any reductions and Democrats along with some Republicans backed by the tea party who say Gates isn’t cutting enough. Rhetoric on all sides ignores “the real world that I live in,” Gates said. He warned of emergency cuts if the Pentagon is forced to live within last year’s means when it had planned for more. Congress has not acted on the $549 billion request for the budget year that began on Oct. 1. Congress last fall passed a stop-gap government spending measure that keeps budgets at the previous year’s levels. For the Pentagon, that means a budget of about $526 billion, officials say, not counting war funding. Gates said the separate request for spending on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will fall to about $120 billion for 2012 from about $159 billion this year, reflecting the planned final troop withdrawal from Iraq. Gates said lawmakers appear so eager to fight over the longer-range Pentagon spending proposal that they are ignoring the near-term effects of not passing a new budget for the current year. If the stop-gap approach is not replaced by a new budget, the Pentagon will face a money pinch that “could have an impact on training across the entire force,” and in other areas, Gates said. One example: After years of concern that the fast pace of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan prevented the Army and Marine Corps from doing a full range of training at home, they finally are in position to correct that shortcoming, Gates said. But the training may be unaffordable for the remainder of this year unless Congress replaces the stop-gap budget, known as a continuing resolution, with a new budget by March. “It’s one thing to talk about 2012 and then to express concerns about something that may or may not happen in four or five years,” he said, such as Gates’ proposal to reduce the size of the Army and the Marine Corps starting in 2015. “But I have a crisis on my doorstep. And I want them to deal with the crisis on my doorstep before we start arguing about the levels (of spending) in 2012.” The Pentagon’s proposed spending plan for 2012-16 will be part of the budget President Barack Obama submits to Congress the week of Feb. 14. The debate over defense spending next year and beyond was on full display Wednesday at a House Armed Services Committee hearing, where Republicans posed tough questions about the risks of slashing too deep and shortchanging U.S. forces. Rep. Buck McKeon, R-Calif., the committee’s new chairman, took the lead by declaring, “I will not support any measures that stress our forces and jeopardize the lives of our men and women in uniform.” Steering the 2012 defense budget through congressional criticism that it is either too ambitious or too meek is likely to be one of Gates’ final campaigns before retiring. If he quits this summer, as many believe likely, he will have been one of the longest-serving defense secretaries since the post was created in 1947. He started in December 2006, succeeding Donald H. Rumsfeld, who resigned amid heavy criticism over the Iraq war. In the interview Wednesday, Gates was vague about his retirement plans. “My lips are sealed,” the former CIA chief said when asked when he intends to leave. “I’m going to be around for a number of months,” including during the budget hearings on Capitol Hill in February and March, Gates said. Last year he said he planned to quit sometime in 2011. Gates has fashioned himself into a guardian of the U.S. military’s global pre-eminence, but he also has cautioned that military muscle can be an illusion. “Possessing the ability to annihilate other militaries is no guarantee we can achieve our strategic goals,” he told Army officers in May. In that same vein, he launched his current effort to preserve military strength while accepting that the nation’s grim financial condition means the days of big annual raises for the Pentagon are over. He demanded that the Army, Navy, Air Force and Marine Corps find $100 billion in budget savings over the coming five years, while allowing them to keep most of that savings for other needs. The military services responded with investments in a modernized fleet of Army tanks, more strike and surveillance drone aircraft for the Navy and Air Force, and more missile interceptors for use in an expanded missile defense system in Europe.

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David Isenberg: Put Your Empirically Proven Data Where Your Mouth Is

January 9, 2011

As a military veteran, and someone who is more interested in actual facts than rhetoric, I have long been bugged by two claims made by private military and security contracting advocates, i.e., first, that most security contractors are, by way of past military experience, somehow more “professional” than the average soldier or marine on their first or second hitch, and, second, that most private military contractors are more cost-effective than using their public sector counterparts. Of course, one expects PMC trade associations to say this kind of thing; it is what they get paid for. Their membership would hardly be paying their dues if they said, for example, gee, I don’t know the answer to that question but we should form a group to study it. Still, given how often they make those sorts of claims, one might think they would at least provide some evidence. I mean how difficult is it to create a page on their websites and cite a few, empirically sound, methodologically rigorous, peer reviewed studies to back up their claims? If a military veteran takes work as a private security contractor after their first tour of active duty, not all of which will have been spent in a war or conflict zone, are they really going to be that much more experienced than someone on active duty who, nowadays, likely has had repeated tours of duty in Iraq or Afghanistan? To provide some perspective let’s look at a recently published paper It is Outsourcing, Managing, Supervising, and Regulating Private Military Companies in Contingency Operations and was a 129-page thesis written by Ali Kemal Dogru, a student at the Naval Postgraduate School. He is a First Lieutenant in the Turkish Army and has earned an M.A. in Security Studies (Stabilization and Reconstruction) from the NPS. It’s important to remember that Lt. Dogru is not against the use of PMC. But it is clear he feels that they can be better controlled and regulated. Here are two excerpts relevant to the above points. The first, for those who have actually been in the military, is not new or original, but given how little it is actually mentioned in public bears noting. Both militaries, which are public agencies, and PMCs, which are private corporations, are security providers; however, there are striking differences between them. The first difference is that unlike militaries, private military is not considered to be a profession. Samuel Huntington defines professionalism by means of three primary characteristics: expertise, social responsibility, and corporateness. He conceptualizes the military as a profession, only if its officer corps has internalized all of these characteristics. According to Huntington, what separates an officer from a mercenary is that while for an officer, social responsibility outweighs monetary motivation; for a mercenary, private gain is the primary motivation. When the criteria that Huntington uses to measure professionalism are applied to PMCs, it becomes clear that private security is not a profession for two prominent reasons: first; money, most of the time even if not always, outweighs social responsibility in the private military sector. Second; unlike militaries, PMCs lack of corporateness. PMCs are private entities that have distinct organizational cultures and norms. Expertise, on the other hand, is perhaps the most important reason that principals prefer PMCs, as they provide some services that require considerable proficiency. Nevertheless, though necessary, expertise is not sufficient alone to make private military a profession. The second difference is that militaries are responsible to both the state and the society, whereas PMCs are only responsible to their principals in terms of their contracts. As Martha Minow states, “Military training, unit discipline, the Uniform Code of Military Justice, and international legal standards governing war and armed conflicts ensure accountability for the military but not for private corporations and their employees engaged in military work.” According to Peter Warren Singer: Private employees have distinctly different motivations, responsibilities, and loyalties than those in the public military. No matter their background, while in a private company, employees are directly responsible to the corporation and its executives; they are hired, fired, promoted, demoted, rewarded, and disciplined by the management of their private company, not by government officials or the public. There are many regulations and laws that keep militaries accountable at both national and international levels. However, there is neither overarching international regulatory framework nor effective regulatory mechanisms at the national level that keep PMCs accountable, including the Geneva Conventions. Moreover, even though some countries have written laws and regulations that seek to exert control over PMCs, enforcement still remains a challenge. Despite the patches to existing gaps in regulations, some PMC personnel still fall outside of the national and international regulatory framework. In other words, PMCs in a sense operate in the grey area. Last but not least; while for militaries there is only one legitimate principal (state), for PMCs, there are many options, including: states, international organizations, such as the UN, regional organizations, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), private corporations, and weak governments. Picking and choosing between multiple principles brings about many potential hazards on the part of the governments that employ them, while providing PMCs with considerable flexibilities. Unlike militaries, PMCs have the opportunity to select between these alternatives, and to switch sides, depending on who pays the most. Integrity and probity, which are important components of the military profession, do not make sense in the private military sector. Then there is the cost-effectiveness issue. As Bill Clinton might have said, it all depends on what you mean by cost. It also depends on what your time frame is. I find this passage particularly relevant, and not a little ironic, given that the studies mentioned below has been cited by PMC supporters as proving their claims. In contingency operations, governmental agencies have basically two alternatives: using a military unit, or contracting with a PMC. In this context, in order to properly decide to contract out a particular function, governmental agencies need to know whether it is less expensive to use a PMC rather than a military unit or not. However, there are extraordinary difficulties in making a comparison between a PMC and a military unit. First, pay is just one factor that determines the total costs. If governmental agencies just rely on direct or production costs in their make-or-buy decisions, they may fail to make the right decision, either by overestimating the possible benefits of outsourcing PMCs or by underestimating the actual costs of outsourcing PMCs. Governmental agencies may waste taxpayer’s dollars unless transaction costs are thoroughly analyzed. How, for example, can costs associated with training, healthcare, retirement salaries, and compensations of military personnel be incorporated into calculations and compared? How should training costs for contractors, monitoring, information and contract management costs be taken into account while making comparisons between military units and PMC alternatives? Traditional cost analysis generally ignores these transaction costs. The second complication is that gathering detailed data with respect to PMCs and military personnel is painstaking. For instance, a March 2010 GAO report demonstrates that the Pentagon could not provide the GAO with critical data to make a comparison, since it does not have enough information regarding “the number of military personnel that would be needed to meet the contract requirements or the cost of training personnel to carry out security functions.” The third complication is that even though there are aggregated data with regard to money spent on PMC, it is often difficult to break down this general data into individual contracts. For example, A 2008 CBO report states: “From 2003 through 2007, U.S. agencies awarded $85 billion in contracts for work to be principally performed in the Iraq theater, accounting for almost 20 percent of funding for operations in Iraq.” The Department of Defense’s share in this total is almost 90 percent ($76 billion). According to the CBO figures, total expenditure for private security services was between $6 billion and $10 billion during the 2003-2007 period. The CBO also notes that “between $3 billion and $4 billion of that spending was for obligations made directly by the U.S. government for private security services in Iraq.” Though providing a general picture, these figures are not comparable, since they do not give any idea of how much the agency would spend if it performed the same tasks internally. At this point, it is useful to look at comparable figures to better understand whether PMCs are costeffective. … What then is the cost of contractor personnel in comparison to military soldiers? Is outsourcing really cost-effective? The CBO released a cost comparison analysis of a PMC versus its military alternative in 2008. According to the report, “the costs of a private security contract are comparable with those of a U.S. military unit performing similar functions.” Nevertheless, “during peacetime, the private military contract would not have to be renewed, whereas the military unit would remain in the force structure.” To put it another way, there is no savings during wartime. In this analysis, CBO took three types of costs into consideration while estimating the military unit’s cost: military personnel costs, operating costs, and equipment costs. In the analysis, the military pay rates include “basic pay, subsistence and housing allowances, plus a federal tax advantage because those allowances are not taxed,” however exclude “free health care for military families back home, and deferred benefits, such as pay and health care for those who receive military retirement benefits.” While estimating the costs associated with Blackwater employees, CBO took personnel, monitoring, contract management, equipment, and insurance costs into consideration. Summations on both sides were then compared. Nonetheless, training costs on both sides are not incorporated into these calculations. This is partly because while staff of organizations are usually considered “assets,” money spend on their training is not recognized as “asset specific.” In other words, it is assumed that the investment in training of military personnel has no value to the organization, if these personnel leave the job. However, since human capital of PMC relies on former military personnel, who were already trained by the military in the past; calculations that exclude training costs may misrepresent the actual situation. The chart above shows that there is not much difference between Blackwater and an Army infantry unit in terms of operational costs. However, this comparison does not reflect the real picture, since costs may change depending on the type of function that is outsourced, the length of contract, and the conditions under which the function is performed. Moreover, it is difficult to generalize these findings, as different PMCs would have different performances. On the other hand, there are considerable reasons that make us believe that militaries are less efficient in the long-term than PMCs. Most significantly is that, unlike PMCs, militaries are idle in peacetime. From the government’s perspective, the money, which is spent on weapon, equipment, and manpower in peacetime, is a lost economic output, since most of this capital is idle when not being used. Therefore, rather than maintaining huge forces that must be paid and trained periodically, sometimes outsourcing some tasks to PMCs only when necessary may be cost-effective. For example, in 2005, CBO estimated that over a 20-year period including both peacetime and wartime, outsourcing logistical functions to PMCs would cost around $41 billion, whereas obtaining the same logistical functions from the United States military would cost approximately $78 billion. This estimation clearly shows that it is profitable for the Department of Defense to outsource some logistical functions to PMCs. PMCs also perform other functions, such as security, military training and military advice. In order to figure out which functions PMCs execute more efficiently, performances of PMCs and militaries must be measured and compared on a case-by-case basis. Although it is relatively easier to measure costs associated with logistics, it is more difficult to measure costs related to functions like security, military training and advice. Alternatively, it may sometimes be costly to utilize PMCs, particularly when there is no effective oversight mechanism to keep their activities under control. Paying for duplicate services, fraud, and sustainability problems of the reconstruction projects may yield unintended consequences if PMCs are not properly managed and supervised. In fact, effective monitoring and good contract management are themselves costly, even if there is no fraud.

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David Isenberg: When the Going Gets Tough the Tough Looks For a Taxpayer Bailout

December 5, 2010

It appears that when the going gets tough for some private military contractors, even if it is a result of their own wrongful actions, the tough turn to the taxpayers to bail them out, according to a post on The Pop Tort, which is a project from consumer advocates at the Center for Justice & Democracy . It has long been known that the Pentagon legally covers dozens of military contractors doing dangerous jobs at home, such as making anthrax vaccine or disposing of mustard gas. But the immunity for harm granted KBR, which has brought us such creative innovations as gang rapes and carcinogenic burn pits in its mission to make U.S. troops the best supported in human history, appears to be far broader — and potentially costlier to taxpayers — according to documents released by U.S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer last Wednesday. Thanks to the Oregonian , the largest newspaper of Oregon, a state I once had the pleasure of living in for some years, we know that a Feb. 18, 2010, letter from KBR managers reported that the total cost of soldiers’ claims against the contractor could exceed $150 million. “KBR does not believe that the company is liable for any damages,” KBR’s Michael Morrow wrote to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. But he wrote that KBR continues to incur research and legal fees, and would bill the government for allowable costs not paid by insurance. Remember that a deposition filed last summer in U.S. District Court in Portland revealed that on the eve of the Iraq invasion, a KBR attorney won a secret clause ensuring that U.S. taxpayers, and not KBR, would pay in the event of any death or injury. Oregon Congressman Blumenauer also sought a list of contracts with similar immunity provisions from the Pentagon. On Nov. 24, Undersecretary of Defense Frank Kendall released a list of more than 120 contracts issued by the Army, Air Force, Navy and other defense agencies since 2004. They are posted on Blumenauer’s website . According to PopTort the list of contractors include major airlines American, Continental and United, as well as military contractors Raytheon Missile Systems, General Dynamics, L3, Lockheed Martin, BAE, and Boeing. Other indemnified companies include Mason and Hanger, a company which stores and transports containers of the nerve agent VX, and several firms that maintain facilities to destroy chemical agents. To date, at least one case has resulted in lawsuits or taxpayer fees. In December 2008, Emergent BioDefense Operations Lansing Inc. sought $1.5 million from the Army for 14 lawsuits arising from its manufacture of the anthrax vaccine. The Pentagon deemed many of the claims ineligible and paid $646,000 in two of the lawsuits.

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Charles H. Green: The Best Movie You Haven’t Heard of: Inside Job

November 22, 2010

Here are the ratings (% who liked) from Flixster for some of the movies playing this weekend: 90% The Social Network 88% Inside Job 81% Unstoppable 78% MegaMind 78% Jackass 3-D 77% Red 75% Skyline 65% Due Date 65% Morning Glory 64% The Next Three Days 54% Saw 3D You know The Social Network. But how about the #2 movie, Inside Job ? Ever hear of it? 96% of the critics liked it. Rotten Tomatoes rated it 96% . It’s narrated by Matt Damon. Feeling out of the loop yet? Why haven’t you heard of this movie? More on obscurity later, but here’s the official synopsis: ‘Inside Job’ is the first film to provide a comprehensive analysis of the global financial crisis of 2008, which at a cost over $20 trillion, caused… ‘Inside Job’ is the first film to provide a comprehensive analysis of the global financial crisis of 2008, which at a cost over $20 trillion, caused millions of people to lose their jobs and homes in the worst recession since the Great Depression, and nearly resulted in a global financial collapse. Through exhaustive research and extensive interviews with key financial insiders, politicians, journalists, and academics, the film traces the rise of a rogue industry which has corrupted politics, regulation, and academia. It was made on location in the United States, Iceland, England, France, Singapore, and China. There has been no shortage of books and articles about the meltdown. But most of those have had a reporter’s flavor to them–here’s what happened, then here’s what happened next. I felt that no one had really pulled it together with a narrative theme and the data to back it up. Until this weekend, that is. The theme is now not just clear, but tight. Bad things happened. They were not an accident. They were the results of bad people behaving badly. They knew what they were doing. They did them anyway. And to this day, they refuse to acknowledge responsibility. Think of this movie as what Michael Moore would produce if he had a PhD in economics and a career as a Federal Prosecutor. It’s the project of Charles Ferguson , who in fact does have a PhD in political science from MIT (he has also consulted to the White House and the Department of Defense, was a Senior Fellow at Brookings, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations). You may know Ferguson as the director of No End in Sight , a powerful documentary about the Iraq war. He’s confident enough to interrupt an economist and say , ‘You can’t be serious about that. If you would have looked, you would have found things.’ Or to tell a former Bush administration under-secretary of the Treasury, “Forgive me, but that’s clearly not true.” Here is a review by A.O. Scott , in the New York Times. Boston.com calls it “a masterpiece of investigative nonfiction moviemaking — a scathing, outrageous, depressing, comical, horrifying report on what and who brought on the crisis. Here’s Kenneth Turan’s review in the LA Times. Go see for yourself; see the trailer here . The Role of Ideology in the Meltdown There’s much to say about this documentary; I’ll limit my thoughts to just one–the role of ideas in the meltdown. In this day and age of neuro-explanations and insistence that only measurable behavior is relevant for management, the role of ideas gets pooh-poohed. Big mistake. I’ve written before about the power of strategic doctrine taught in business schools to negatively influence our general business thinking. But after seeing this documentary, I’m newly persuaded. Ideas have huge power: especially when those ideas happen to greatly serve the economic interests of patrons. In the pharmaceutical industry, it’s become well accepted that a researcher or writer who takes money from a drug company is at the very least subject to rules of disclosure. Failure to do so constitutes an immediate presumption of conflict of interest. Yet somehow, we have never held our nation’s leading economists and business school faculty to the same standards. One of the most eye-opening aspects of Inside Job for me was to put this issue front and center. Some of Fergusons’ hardest-hitting interviews are with the elite heads of academic institutions: Frederic Mishkin , a former Fed governor, now at Columbia Business School; his boss Glenn Hubbard , chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under George W. Bush; John Campbell , Harvard’s economics department chairman; and fellow Harvard economist Martin Feldstein . They come off, respectively, as incompetent, blustering, inarticulate, and smug. None of them seem to have noticed a disconnect between their laissez-faire ideas and the disasters engineered by those who quoted them; much less any sense of impropriety at the comfortable financial relationships they shared with those very firms. Somewhere there is a researcher at Harvard Medical School screaming at the injustice of his not being published in NEJM because of some disclosure requirements, while his academic counterparts in business and economics were happily and openly opining on the health of the Icelandic banking system and the liquidity of the US subprime mortgage market, all the while getting very well paid . (Note: b-school profs provide functional consulting services to companies all the time; I don’t see that as an issue. This is vastly different; more another time). Results of the Meltdown Ferguson touches clearly, albeit briefly, on one enduring outcome of this decades-long debacle–the increased gap in the US between the haves and the have-nots. In 1976, the richest 1% of Americans had 9% of the income . Now they have 24%. From 1980 to 2005, 80% of the gain in income went to the top 1% . Guess what industry disproportionately accounts for that gain? But the most significant casualty, I think, is a great old American belief: the belief that you can make it here in the good old USA, land of opportunity, where anyone can be what they want. You don’t have to be limited by the circumstances of your birth, like in all those Old World countries. Sorry: no longer true. By one study , it is harder for someone to get ahead now in the US than it is in Denmark, Australia, Norway, Finland, Canada, Sweden, Germany, Spain, and even France. Only Italy and the UK are more class-bound, and I’ve seen other studies where even the Brits are less sclerotic than we are. That decline in opportunity is another result of greater income disparity. Again, one of the legacies of the financial industry. You may disagree with a lot of what I’ve said here. You may think this movie won’t change your mind; and since it’s extremely hard to change people’s minds, you may be right. But if so, may I suggest you owe it to yourself to see it–if only to write back and point out the flaws in the movie.

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Richard (RJ) Eskow: The French Connection: That Jailed Banker Raises US Issues

October 6, 2010

Remember 2003, when so many Americans hated France for refusing to participate in the Iraq invasion? The airwaves were filled with insults about “effete” and “cowardly” Frenchmen, the phrase “cheese eating surrender monkeys” was on many a pair of lips, and rich patriots were boycotting Rhône wine in the spirit of national sacrifice. Well, munch on a Freedom Fry and ponder this: Finally, after one stunning revelation of big bank lawlessness after another, a banker is going to jail… in France. That’s a bit of a national embarrassment, n’est-ce pas? Jerome Kerviel was sentenced today to five years in prison (with two years suspended), and was ordered to pay the equivalent in $6.7 billion US in damages. There are a number of questions about Kerviel’s case, including the fact that he never profited personally from his massive trades. That part of Kerviel’s psychology is incomprehensible to the Wall Street mind: He made his bank billions of dollars, and earned less than $200,000 US per year for his efforts. A true American shark would have nothing but contempt for a sucker like that. Guess who got off pretty much scott free in the whole deal? Société Générale, the bank that employed him. If the name sounds familiar, here’s why: SocGen was one of beneficiaries of the US taxpayers’ largesse when, as a counterparty to AIG, the government directed AIG to pay the French bank $11.9 billion. That’s 100 cents on the dollar for the money AIG owed SocGen for credit default swaps and CDS collateral postings. Newspaper reports about Kerviel say that he generated more than 1.4 billion Euros in profits during a single year. And yet there was so little curiosity about his activities that he was still able to bet more that $50 billion Euros, more than the entire market value of the bank that employed him, without getting caught. As an AP story reported , ” an internal report by the bank found managers failed to follow up on 74 different alarms about Kerviel’s activities.” They were shocked — shocked — to find out that gambling was going on in there. In that sense, the judge’s ruling was odd. While the French are to be applauded for their willingness to indict a banker, the court’s ruling bent over backward to exonerate and placate the bank itself. The court ordered Kerviel to pay back the entire amount the bank allegedly lost. While Kerviel will actually never be able to do that, it was the judge’s was of saying that the bank bore absolutely no responsibility for what occurred on its premises. It was also a repudiation of Kerviel’s assertion that other traders were doing the same things he was. Instead of reprimanding the bank for its horrible risk management practices — controls so sloppy that the entire bank could be put at risk by mid-level employee — presiding judge Dominique Pauthe praised the bank’s response to the crime once it had happened. If the bank had left the vault doors open, presumably the judge would have praised it for promptly sounding the alarm after it had been robbed. But then, Société Générale has a way of getting lucky where the authorities are concerned. The US decision to pay the bank the full value of its AIG obligations demonstrates that. Think about it: In the course of a year, an allegedly “rogue” trader wreaked so much havoc that it cost Société Générale $6.7 billion — and the US government honored an obligation for nearly double that amount. Had the US let AIG go down, or refused to honor this obligation, SocGen’s fate might have been very different. Instead it survived this incident pretty much unscathed. The French bank seems to have done well by its association with Goldman Sachs, which brokered a number of its arrangements with AIG. It’s important to remember the role those two firms played in the months preceding the financial collapse. As Bloomberg News reported : Banks that bought swaps as protection against losses on mortgage-linked assets demanded cash collateral as the market value of the securities plunged last year, overwhelming AIG’s ability to pay. “It was precisely that drain of liquidity to Goldman and SocGen that put AIG in a position of illiquidity and ultimately threw them into the government’s arms,” said Charles Calomiris, a finance professor at Columbia Business School in New York. In other words, they had already bled a lot out of AIG before it collapsed, and yet were still able to receive 100 cents on the dollar where others might have been forced to settle for less. As with the Kerviel affair, SocGen’s oversight appears to have been lax when it came to its AIG agreements. David Fiderer properly notes SocGen’s casual indifference to a major investment, deferring that task to Goldman. Not that Goldman didn’t work for its client (and itself): It’s been accused of engaging in serious gamesmanship over its valuation of some of the securities in question. Many Americans who are already outraged over AIG’s counterparty payouts may know that AIG believed it had overpaid Goldman $1.56 billion, or that Goldman had refused to have its valuations reviewed by a panel of independent firms. One of the open questions about l’affaire Kerviel is whether he acted alone. At the very least, there were enormous gaps in SocGen’s internal controls. At worst, the bank looked the other way while one or more of its traders generated huge profits. But the real question are for our country, not France: Where are the US indictments and convictions? We’ve already discussed the curious decision not to prosecute anyone at AIG. But then, the French don’t have our SEC, which has so often chosen to cut sweetheart deals that leave bank shareholders on the hook for the illegal behavior of bank executives, while letting the bankers themselves walk away with their freedom and their bonuses. Senators aren’t the only ones upset about that. Judges are furious with these slap-on-the-wrist SEC agreements. In fact, “sweetheart deal” was the phrase a judge used to describe the SEC’s agreement with Barclay’s Bank. The Barclay’s case was the fourth in a series of cases where banks violated international law only to be let off easy, prompting the judge’s comments. As the New York Times reports: “Judge Sullivan asked why the government had not indicted and prosecuted the foreign banks, rather than agreeing to the settlements. He also asked whether any individuals from Barclays were being held responsible, though no one else has been charged in the case. “One must wonder what the penalty is, said Judge Sullivan … Judge Sullivan’s comments was part of a litany of judges’ complaints along the same lines. These judges understand that criminal prosecution of banks — and bankers — has precisely the deterrent effect we need to protect society. We’ve seen rampant bank criminal behavior go unpunished, from stock fraud to forged mortgage documents to laundering drug money. The French court’s air kiss to SocGen was unacceptable, given that bank’s negligent or complicit role in Kerviel’s action. That means that, at least in one sense, Kerviel’s the fall guy (even if he’s not the hero some of the French seem to think he is). But at least Kerviel’s conviction and sentence might deter future bad bankers. The US bankers who engaged in criminal behavior are walking around free. They’re writing big checks to political candidates, whining that nobody likes them and, of course, drinking nothing but the best French wines. DISCLAIMERS: Two potential conflicts of interest here — I used to work for AIG, and I’m one-quarter French. When I was about 18 I mentioned that second fact to a very pretty young woman on a train to Paris, in my broken French, to which she responded in true Gallic fashion: “How nice for you.” _________________________ Richard (RJ) Eskow, a consultant and writer (and former insurance/finance executive), is a Senior Fellow with the Campaign for America’s Future. This post was produced as part of the Curbing Wall Street project. Richard also blogs at A Night Light . He can be reached at “rjeskow@ourfuture.org.” Website: Eskow and Associates

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David Isenberg: The Good and the Bad in Using PMC in the Iraq Drawdown

October 4, 2010

Two reports issued this past week by the Defense Department’s Inspector General (IG) offers good and bad news regarding private military contractors (PMC). The first report is Accountability and Disposition of Government Furnished Property in Conjunction with the Iraq Drawdown – Logistics Civil Augmentation Program . LOGCAP is, of course, the mother of all logistics contract. Every base constructed, every meal served, ever piece of laundry cleaned, and every drop of fuel delivered is due to LOGCAP. And most of what the U.S. is withdrawing from Iraq is being done through LOGCAP. That process will continue through December 2011. The IG report addressed the accountability and disposition of Logistics Civil Augmentation Program (LOGCAP) Government furnished property (GFP) in Iraq. The IG determined whether DOD had adequate controls over LOGCAP GFP as it draws down forces from Iraq. As of September 30, 2009, there were 572,928 GFP items in the LOGCAP property book in Iraq, valued at about $2.9 billion. The good news is that, “Generally, DOD had adequate accountability over LOGCAP GFP. We estimated that the LOGCAP contractor could account for 443,918 of the 458,408 GFP items (96.8 percent) in our sample frame.” Of course, that is not to say that the contractor – that would be KBR if you did not know – did everything perfectly. The IG report also noted: We also identified systemic issues concerning the management and disposition of GFP items located at the LOGCAP contractor’s Fair, Wear, and Tear yards. This occurred because the Defense Contract Management Agency did not require the contractor to include Fair, Wear, and Tear yard management processes or care and disposition instructions specific to export-controlled GFP (such as ballistic plates and ballistic blankets) in its property control procedures. Still, they did reasonably well. And considering we’re talking about KBR, that is almost enough for atheists to declare their belief in God. But the other report showed there are still problems with using PMC. In the report DOD Needs to Improve Management and Oversight of Operations at the Theater Retrograde-Camp Arifjan, Kuwait the IG conducted an audit in response to a request to focus oversight on U.S.-funded assets to ensure they are properly accounted for and there is a process for assets’ proper transfer, reset, or disposal. As of May 2009, DOD estimated that the drawdown from Iraq would include the withdrawal of approximately 3.4 million pieces of equipment. The Theater Retrograde at Camp Arifjan, Kuwait, is responsible for receiving and processing containers of equipment and ensuring the equipment’s proper disposition. The IG found that DOD officials did not effectively manage Theater Retrograde operations. Specifically, Army and Defense Contract Management Agency (DCMA) officials did not ensure that contractor personnel complied with contract requirements and applicable regulations when processing materiel at the Theater Retrograde. Army and DCMA officials also did not ensure the contractor had sufficient staffing at the Theater Redistribution Center to meet container processing requirements. Now, that sounds like a problem of the regular military and not the PMC and that is true. The background is that in 1999, the U.S. Army Atlanta Contracting Center awarded Combat Support Associates the Combat Support Services Contract-Kuwait, a $503 million cost-plus-award fee contract that encompasses several operations, one of which is the Theater Retrograde. The contract consists of one base year, nine option years, and two 6-month extensions extending contract performance through September 2010. The total contract value through March 2010 was more than $3 billion. Throughout the life of the contract, multiple organizations were responsible for contract management, administration, and oversight. Currently, contract management is assigned to the U.S. Army Contracting Command, Rock Island Contracting Center; contract administration is delegated to the Defense Contract Management Agency (DCMA); and day-to-day contract oversight I delegated by the 1st Theater Sustainment Command to an Army sustainment brigade. The IG found that DOD officials did not effectively manage Theater Retrograde operations for the reutilization and disposition of equipment at Camp Arifjan. Specifically, Army and DCMA officials did not ensure that contractor personnel complied with contract requirements and applicable Federal, DOD, and Army regulations when processing materiel at the Theater Retrograde. For example, contractor personnel did not: comply with security requirements to prohibit foreign nationals from unauthorized access to classified and potentially controlled materiel, store hazardous materiel properly or have the required equipment to safely respond to a hazardous spill, conduct adequate research to identify serviceable nonstandard equipment for reutilization, and assign correct national stock numbers to serviceable materiel. This occurred because Army officials did not develop and implement effective policies and procedures for processing materiel at the Theater Retrograde. In addition, Army and DCMA officials did not resolve all deficiencies identified during contractor performance reviews and did not perform administrative functions in accordance with their appointment letters and the Federal Acquisition Regulation. As a result, DOD remains at an increased risk that a foreign country or adversary could gain a military or economic advantage over the United States, which could impact national security. In addition, officials will continue to be exposed to increased safety risks and serviceable materiel will not be effectively reutilized, but instead may be potentially destroyed or sold without direct monetary benefit to the Government. The IG report also found that “Audit reports and weekly and monthly performance reviews showed that Army and DCMA officials did not hold the contractor accountable for not complying with the contract staffing level and specific performance requirements.” What this indicates is that a PMC is only as good as the federal acquisition workforce supervising it. If they don’t provide proper guidance and oversight problems are inevitable. In other words a chain is only as strong as its weakest link and according to the IG the some DOD officials are looking fairly underwhelming.

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Chamber Of Commerce, Labor Department Partner To Find Gigs For Vets

October 2, 2010

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the Department of Labor announced a joint effort on Friday to assist members of the military transitioning to the civilian workplace, a difficult adjustment made harder by the sagging economy. One in five young veterans of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars – many of whom served in both – are unemployed. The partnership was announced at a press conference at the U.S. Chamber’s headquarters in Washington, across the street from the White House. The project is a massive attempt at networking: State directors from DOL’s Veterans’ Employment and Training Service will connect, using the Chamber’s network, with hundreds of employers and CEOs to pitch them on why and how to hire a veteran. “Yesterday, our employment representatives met with one employer at a time,” assistant secretary for veterans’ employment and training Ray Jefferson told HuffPost Friday. “Today, thanks to the launch of this pilot, we will be able to meet with hundreds of employers at once.” The project will focus on 14 states and build on an ongoing collaboration to encourage the hiring of disabled vets. The DOL is statutorily obligated to assist vets in finding work. Lt. Col. Christian Johnson, a fellow at the U.S. Chamber, is spearheading the vets program for the business organization. “When you think about it, there’s no other labor force, if you will, that comes with the experience that veterans do, whether it’s leadership, communication, working under stress. It doesn’t get any better than that,” he told HuffPost. “A lot of it is just helping educate employers out there.” The alliance is an unusual one: The Chamber has promised to spend tens of millions of dollars in 2010 to defeat Democratic candidates in the midterms and the White House has been harshly critical of the Chamber for working with Republicans to block its agenda in Congress. The two haven’t cooperated in a major way since the stimulus passed in the first weeks of the administration. A Labor Department aide said that the government will work directly with state and local chambers of commerce, which are less politically charged than the national organization. The public sector currently pulls much of the weight when it comes to hiring vets. According to DOL data , nearly 1 in 3 vets with a service-connected disability worked in the public sector; 1 in 5 is employed by the federal government. Deputy Secretary of Labor Seth Harris said that finding work for vets is the least the nation can do. “They put themselves in harm’s way for us. Now it’s our turn to fight for them,” said Harris. “When our young men and women return from serving their country, their country must stand ready to serve them in return. With this program, the Department of Labor and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce are partnering to do just that.”

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David Isenberg: Different Strokes for Different PMC Users

September 29, 2010

A student thesis paper published in March by the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School examines problems that states face when using private military companies (PMCs) and possible solutions for solving those problems. The paper is Regulation of Private Military Companies in Iraq by Nihat Dumlupinar. Dumlupinar’s argument is that the problems and their solutions are not the same for all states. They change mainly because of the capability of state institutions such as the Ministry of Defense, national laws, and public armed forces. For that reason, the problems and solutions are examined from the aspect of two types of states: strong state and weak state. The use of PMC in Iraq represents both. The goal of his thesis is to answer such questions as: Which theory of civil military relations can be a guide for regulating PMCs from the aspects of control, effectiveness and efficiency? What are the main challenges of the U.S. as a strong state and of Iraq as a weak state? Echoing the work of academics such ad Deborah Avant he finds that the solutions for regulation mainly depend on the capabilities of national institutions, which affect the principal-agent relations between states and PMCs. Weak states, such as Iraq, are more vulnerable to the challenges PMCs cause than strong states such as the U.S. Moreover, weak states do not have sufficient capacity to solve the problems in the near future, except by putting limitations on foreign PMCs and operational functions. In contrast, strong states have the capacity for solving these problems. They need political will, however, to do so. Moreover, international regulation is an indispensible element for effective regulation over private military industry due to the industry’s transnational feature. Although his subject has been dealt with before he makes points worth considering. First, in the literature, there is no clear definition of private military companies (PMCs). Even in international legal documents, there are almost no definitions of PMCs. In summer 2009, an international attempt to draft a convention on defining and regulating PMCs was made by a working group in the United Nations Commission on Human Rights. Second, in addition to benefits, the use of PMC in Iraq also had costs for both the U.S. and Iraq. The main challenges for the U.S. are: (1) A decreasing international reputation due to the immunity of PMCs in Iraq. (2) The unclear definition of “Inherently Governmental Functions” and non-transparent nature of private military contracts harm the legitimacy of outsourcing military functions, and in turn, this harms the values of democracy. (3) Wasting of taxpayers’ dollars due to uncompetitive contracting and cost-reimbursement contracts and also due to insufficient oversight on contracts. (4) Negative effects on military functions due to the unreliability of PMCs. As for Iraq, the main challenges are related to the survival of democratic Iraq. These are: (1) PMCs (especially operational functions) impose an important threat to the sovereignty of Iraq. (2) The use of PMCs will be an obstacle in the development progress of Iraqi Security forces (ISF). (3) PMCs may be a good opportunity for ethnic groups to be armed. And this, in turn, may create a security dilemma between the factions. Third, in regard to regulation of PMC he finds that that neither self-regulation nor a complete ban can be a solution for the regulation of PMCs. They are so integrated into the military operations of states (especially strong states), that such states cannot give up using PMCs without experiencing significant difficulties. Dumlupinar’s solution is A registration and licensing system that is supported by national laws can be effective for all types of states. However, specific characteristics of a system must be different according to the types of states (strong or weak). Moreover, national regulations cannot be sufficient without international support because of the transnational nature of the PMI. An international institution under the command of an international organization must be established. The main activity of this institution should be to serve as a guide for all states on regulating and contracting. Moreover, international laws must support the regulation systems by organizing juridical responsibilities of states in cases of unlawful behavior of PMCs and their employees . On the issue of cost effectiveness: Because of high level of uncertainties in the environment that PMCs function, their contracts are often cost-reimbursement contracts. For example, according to a Government Accountability Office (GAO) report, in Iraq, the U.S. government has primarily used cost-reimbursement type contracts in which the government has agreed to reimburse the companies for “all reasonable and allowable costs incurred in performing the work.” Cost-reimbursement contracts include: cost contracts, cost-sharing contracts, cost-plus-incentive-fee contracts, cost-plus-award fee contracts and cost-plus fixed fee contracts. According to Grasso, in 2005, the U.S. government spent $110 billion dollars for cost-plus contracts of which nearly half ($52 billion) were cost-plus-award-fee contracts. In these contracts, the private contractors’ fees increase with contract costs. As stated by Grasso, “Increased costs means increased fees to contractors. There is no incentive for the contractor to limit the government’s costs.”With regard to this point, Schreier and Caparini argue that “the contractor’s profit is a percentage of their costs, thus giving them an incentive to keep those costs high – which is hardly a recipe for efficiency or rigor.” Finally, in his conclusion, Dumlupinar offers a recommendation I’ve not seen before. Speaking on options for the Iraq government: First of all, due to an insufficient state capacity (weak institutions), Iraq must seek to limit the presence of PMCs, especially foreign PMCs, in Iraq. In particular, after the withdrawal of the United States, the first goal of the Iraqi government must be to limit the numbers of foreign PMCs operating in Iraq, because, as stated above, foreign PMCs impose an important threat to Iraq’s sovereignty. There are two options for Iraq to limit the presence of foreign PMCs in Iraq: a complete ban of the functions of foreign PMCs in Iraq; and a fee or taxation system in which the amount can be changed according to the type of functions. The first option is not possible, because as mentioned above, the need for PMCs will be higher after the withdrawal of the U.S. troops, and because the numbers and capacities of local PMCs are insufficient by now. Thus, a fee or taxation system, as opposed to banning them, seems more feasible. Furthermore, a limit on individual non-Iraqi employees is also required in Iraq. Again, a defined fee for each non-Iraqi contractor can be an option for this purpose. A taxation system on foreign PMCs and foreign employees will have two positive results. First, potential clients of PMCs will tend to hire local PMCs because they can be controlled easier than foreign PMCs. Second PMCs, in turn, will tend to hire Iraqi contractors and this tendency will provide employment for Iraqis.

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Joseph Stiglitz And Linda Bilmes: The True Cost Of The Iraq War

September 5, 2010

Writing in these pages in early 2008, we put the total cost to the United States of the Iraq war at $3 trillion. This price tag dwarfed previous estimates, including the Bush administration’s 2003 projections of a $50 billion to $60 billion war. But today, as the United States ends combat in Iraq, it appears that our $3 trillion estimate (which accounted for both government expenses and the war’s broader impact on the U.S. economy) was, if anything, too low.

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Video: Bilmes Says Iraq War Costs Won’t Peak for 30-to-40 Years: Video

August 31, 2010

Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) — Linda Bilmes, a professor at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government, talks about the economic cost of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars to the U.S. Blimes speaks with Scarlet Fu and Peter Cook on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Craig Newmark: Rediscovering the American Dream

August 28, 2010

Throughout the world, people view America as the place to find a better life, still feeling that we are “the shining city on the hill.” People aspire to be part of our vital and large middle class. That was true of my family two generations ago and is still true for much of the world. You work hard, you play by the rules, you move ahead. It works. Sure, in past years politicians and tax policy have been fairly successful transferring wealth from the middle class to a small upper class. That’s the point of tax breaks for the rich. However, I see a lot of vitality in the American middle class. If you want a good look, read the first four parts of Third World America, by Arianna Huffington. It’s not pretty, but we see the results every day in unemployment statistics. A few politicians, over eight years, created an economic Pearl Harbor. After getting your attention, Third World America talks about restoring the American Dream. We have a problem, but we’re not in free-fall. We admit we have a problem, and as Americans, we’re pretty good at getting stuff done. Well, this means that each and every one of us needs to be a kind of new patriot, first facing the problem, then linking up with each other, from the grass roots up. The big danger is that such efforts often get co-opted by the people who created the problem, that’s already happened. America’s response to Pearl Harbor reminds us that Americans can do anything, and we can rise above the current situation and come out ahead. The last part of Third World America talks about that — where when we work together, we really can change things, if we each engage in this new patriotism. The new patriotism means that each of us, if we have the resources, needs to give the other person a break, in a way that connects with others who can help out. Maybe the best example of that are the women and men of the armed forces, which I take personally; if someone’s going overseas to risk a bullet for me, I’ll do what I can to help out. That means supporting the people who support veterans, particularly wounded warriors. It means doing so as part of multiple teams, including Veterans Affairs, the Iraq & Afghanistan Veterans of America, and a bunch of other groups, with more to come. The deal there is traditional American teamwork, where we become part of something bigger than ourselves, where service to others becomes part of our normal expectation of each other. That’s what happened on Pearl Harbor Day. There’re a lot of ways to do this, including the everyday volunteerism of AllForGood.org. Education is a vital part of the American Dream, and I recommend DonorsChoose.org as a small, practical way to help teachers help their kids. Okay, there are lot of such groups, these are just a few of the roughly one hundred I help out. Specifically, I bear witness to the good efforts of others who do the real work. (While I provide other significant assistance, they all tell me what they really need is someone to stand up for them.) Here’s something new: jobs for veterans are desperately needed, and conventional online job boards don’t seem to get it done. Maybe we need a way to mark possible jobs as vet-friendly, and to mark resumes as from recent vets. For sure, we need help from professional recruiters and job placement organizations to translate the way military skills are articulated into private sector terms. Attempts to translate formal job categories, well, I feel that needs a human touch every time. (Yes, that’s a tangent, indulge me.) While I’m at this, here’s the biggest job skill vets have that never gets discussed. Vets, particularly combat vets, are really good at 1) assessing the situation fast, 2) making a decision, and 3) getting stuff done. That’s maybe the most critical skill of all, private or public sector. Hey, maybe that’s what “leadership” is. (Okay, another tangent.) In any case, revitalizing the middle class involves mutual support for each other, we need to stand up for each other. The attitude is that “I got your back” for everyone. I sure don’t know how to do that, but … I feel that social media is key. It’s half baked for now, but I plan to use some social media tool to bear witness for every good effort I work with. The plan is to have those folks do the same, in a spreading grassroots network of networks. You’re going to hear from me. Me, I’ve signed up for twenty years of this, a kind of voyage, to go boldly where no nerd has gone before.

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David Isenberg: You Have 20 Days to Get Out of Town

July 26, 2010

Last Friday the ever pertinacious Ms. Sparky scooped everyone by reporting that according to a recent memo from Col. Nolan of the U.S. Central Command Contracting Command to ALL CONTRACTORS IN IRAQ, ALL contractors in Iraq have 20 days to repatriate (send home) third country nationals whose countries prohibit travel to Iraq. This includes among others, the Philippines and Nepal. Ms. Sparky notes that this will affect virtually every service KBR provides the U.S. military in Iraq, from Filipinos working as craftspeople and laborers, in the Dining Facilities (DFAC’s), laundries, and driving trucks, and shuttle buses. There are both direct hire Filipinos as well as Filipinos who work for KBR subcontractors such as PPI and Serka who may have been smuggled in. This can not come as a surprise to either the U.S. government or its contractors. Companies like KBR, and all other contractors in Iraq had to know about the Iraq travel restrictions of the Filipinos. The Philippines banned its citizens from working in Iraq in July 2004 after insurgents abducted and threatened to behead Filipino truck driver Angelo dela Cruz. He was released after President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo agreed to withdraw the Philippines’ small military contingent in Iraq. This is not a trivial matter. Companies like Prime Projects International (PPI), a KBR subcontractor, must have more than 3000 Filipinos in the country. At minimum of $900 each for plane tickets the price tag for their departure will be huge. Private military contractors supporters often claim that despite the danger of working in war zones that Third Country Nationals (TCNs) are still better off than staying at home because, even if they make less money in Iraq than Western counterparts it is still more money than they would earn in their home country. But the other side of that is that TCNs are often treated like crap. In May 2005 some 300 Filipinos employed at a US military camp in Iraq went on strike to protest poor working conditions. The workers, under contract with PPI and KBR were based at Camp Cooke in the province of Taji. At least 500 workers from India, Sri Lanka and Nepal joined the strike led by the Filipino workers. According to the July 20 memo: In the past three weeks, eight third country nationals (TCN), several from countries whose current domestic laws prohibit their citizens from working in Iraq, were discovered to have been left behind by their previous employers at various contractor controlled camps (A.K.A. “mancamps”) throughout Iraq. This raises numerous concerns about whether contractors are complying with travel and work restrictions of certain TCN countries, Iraqi immigration requirements, and contract redeployment responsibilities to include their respective sub-contractors in the Iraq Joint Operating Area (IJOA). THIS LETTER SERVES NOTICE THAT ALL CONTRACTORS OPERATING IN IRAQ HAVE 20 DAYS FROM THE DATE OF THIS LETTER TO ENSURE THEIR EMPLOYEES COMPLY WITH U.S. AAND INTERNATIONAL LAW AND UNDERSTAND THEIR REDEPLOYMENT RESPONSIBILITIES UNDER THE TERMS OF THEIR CONTRACT.

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Frida Berrigan: A Way Forward: Reexamining the Pentagon’s Spending Habits

July 14, 2010

Crossposted with Foreign Policy in Focus What is a trillion? It is a big number for sure. The best explanation I have found for this mind-blowing figure is from children’s book author David Schwartz. “One million seconds comes out to be about 11½ days. A billion seconds is 32 years. And a trillion seconds is 32,000 years.” What is a trillion dollars? What can you get for that much money? Rethink Afghanistan — Robert Greenwald’s effort to help us understand the war on terror, its costs, and consequences — has a new Facebook application aimed at breaking down exactly how much we can get for one trillion dollars. It is fun (in a qualified-world wide web-war on terror sort of way), and eye-opening. During one round of the game, we were able to spend $999.5 billion to: Hire every worker in Afghanistan for one year at a total cost of $12 billion;

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David Isenberg: The GAO Transcripts, Part 9: Tracking the Unknown Unknowns

July 8, 2010

This is the ninth installment of the Government Accountability Office interview transcripts that were prepared pursuant to the July 2005 GAO report ” Rebuilding Iraq: Actions Needed To Improve Use of Private Security Providers .” Contrary to header information (Title and Purpose lines) in below transcript the GAO interviewers were actually talking about the role of the PCO (Program and Contracting Office) in managing private security contractors in Iraq. As former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld memorably put it back in a February 12, 2002 press briefing, “There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we now know we don’t know. But there are also unknown unknowns. These are things we do not know we don’t know.” As one reads this transcript one realizes that military officials knew there were lots of things they did not know, such as keeping track of private contractors or having any information on subcontracts. Back then they had, zero, zip, zilch, nada,… on subcontracts. Nearly 6 years later the situation is not a whole lot better. Standard disclaimer: I have put in ( _____ ) to reflect those words of phrases which have been blacked out in the transcript. I have also put in the underlining as it appeared in the original transcript. As in the transcript, I have left out letters from various words, even when it seems obvious what the word is. Prepared by: Kate Walker Index: Type bundle index here Date Prepared: October 27, 2004 DOC Number: Type document number here Reviewed by: Type reviewer name here DOC Library. Type library name here Job Code: 350544 Record of Interview Title Meeting with the CPO Purpose To learn about CPO’s role in managing PSCs in Iraq Contact Method Face-to-face Contact Place Pentagon Contact Date August 27, 2004 Participants _____________________________________________ _____________________________________________ _____________________________________________ Dave Grover, ASM, GAO Tim Wilson, ASM, GAO Carole Coffee, DCM, GAO Kate Walker, DCM, GAO Comments/Remarks: We met with _______________and _______________to discuss the role of PCO in organizing and coordinating contractors in Iraq. _______________ works for the _______________and is located at the Pentagon. _______________ _______________has recently returned from Iraq where he dealt directly with private security contractors. CONTRACTOR TRACKING IN IRAQ According to _______________the PCO does not have any information on subcontracts nor do they have anyone collecting information on subcontracts. _______________ believes that part of the problem is that the PCO does not have enough contracting officers to perform all of the necessary administrative tasks. With regard to communication with private security contractors (PSCs) in Iraq _______________ was only aware of an informal weekly meeting lead by ERMO advisors and hosted by the PCO. The PCO would occasionally bring in Iraqi officials to address the PSCs at these meetings. _______________ said that the only way to collect information on PSC entering Iraq would be to track them as they deployed through Kuwait. In theory, these contractors are supposed to register with the MOI as they enter the country, but in reality they rarely do. The USG only has cognizance of those contractors deploying through Kuwait of Ft. Belvedere. In order to pass through Ft. Belvedere or any official USG deployment center, contractors must have a common access card (CAC). CAC cards are given to civilians, military, and contractors. Thus, if contractors pass through a USG deployment center, they would have to apply for CAC cards and from this information the military could glean a list of contractors in Iraq. This list would not be comprehensive, however. The following part of the write-up covers our discussion was with _______________ _________ TYPES OF SECURITY IN IRAQ Currently, there are four types of security in Iraq: 1. Convoy security–typically preformed by civilian military Page 1 Record of Interview 2. Site security–provided by a number of different sources including: private security contractors (such as _______________ home country nationals (HCNs)/Iraqi people, third country nationals (TCN), and the military 3. Military security–overarching security services 4. Personal security–private security detail (PSD) contracted by private security companies for either contractors, DOS and other government agencies CONTRACTS N IRAQ _______________ aware of several contracts in Iraq. o Currently there are nine primes working for the PCO. The PCO provides these primes with bodyguards, a living area, site and convoy security. The PCO does not, however, provide these primes with life support. o DOS has PSD through a contract with _______________ o PCO has PSD, site, and some convoy security through _______________addition _______________ contracts for personal security while the remaining 20% is split with 10% on the operations center and 10% on site and convoy security. _______________ operations center will only be responsible for collecting intelligence and movement logistics. They will not be responsible for making decisions regarding alternate routes or coordination with the military. Currently, only three people are working in the operations center. o _______________ on the RIO contract has the _______________ providing its security. _______________ living quarters at Basra and from this base camp works at sites within 100 miles in southern Iraq. The _______________ escorts _______________these sites. o _______________ also gave us the most recent list of PSCs that he has from the PCO. STAGING SITES IN IRAQ Currently there are two staging sites for Iraq: Abu Gareb and Umkasar. Two sites will open later in Mosul and Assud. MNFI could not provide security for these sites so PCO now contracts out for security of these sites. MNFI only does military work. Military have too much on their plate. Military have a different definition of security. QRF not good enough. The military doesn’t know how to prioritize. MISCELLANEOUS COMMENTS o The North does not have as much control as the south. o Sector PMOs only give project management support. For example, they help schedule, task orders, manage construction, and handle the logistics and finances of the contract. o While DOD owns the contracts, the Army just oversees them. o _______________ s unaware of any crimes being committed by contractors or any DOS policy letters dealing with contractors. o _______________ reports that transportation into Iraq has proved difficult. They have had a hard time getting people overseas. Page 2 Record of Interview

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David Isenberg: Inherent or Non-Inherent: That is the Question

July 6, 2010

I was out of town when the federal Commission on Wartime Contracting in Iraq and Afghanistan (CWC) held the first part of a two-day hearing on the proper role and oversight of security contractors supporting U.S. operations in Southwest Asia. The first day was devoted to the subject ” Are Private Security Contractors Performing Inherently Governmental Functions? .” Those who follow the industry know that is one of the classic old time questions the industry gets. To put it in pop culture terms it is a golden oldie. As I was not there I am just going to excerpt some portions that seem particularly relevant to me. But before we do that let’s just focus on some facts that came out of the hearing, such as the federal government relying on more than 40,000 private security contractors (PSCs) to support U.S. operations in Southwest Asia. They provide armed security for convoys, diplomatic and other personnel, and military bases and other facilities in Iraq and Afghanistan. During the first quarter of 2010, the Department of Defense had roughly 14,000 PSC personnel working under contract in Iraq. That number is nearly equal to the personnel strength of a World War II American infantry division. The six-witness panel — comprising of two think-tank officials, two academics, an industry-association official, and a consultant specializing in government acquisition issues — examined the current system which governs PSCs and debated the appropriate line when a task must be solely performed by United States military or civilian employees. The witnesses were Dr. Al Burman, president, Jefferson Solutions; Dr. Allison Stanger, professor and director of the Rohatyn Center for International Affairs, Middlebury College; Stan Soloway, president and CEO, Professional Services Council; Danielle Brian, executive director, Project on Government Oversight; Dr. Deborah Avant, professor of political science and international studies, and director of the Center for Research on International and Global Studies, University of California, Irvine; and Dr. John Nagl, president, Center for a New American Security. In the clear as mud, let’s think about what “inherently governmental” is, beginning in their joint opening statement CWC Co-Chairs Christopher Shays and Michael Thibault said: The question here is whether they are performing inherently governmental functions that should not be contracted out in whole or in part, no matter what the demand or workload. The answer to that question involves a mixture of law, policy, and prudence. The Federal Activities Inventory Reform Act of 1998 (the “FAIR Act”) defines an inherently governmental function as one “”so intimately related to the public interest as to require performance by a federal government employee.” The language in the FAIR Act closely parallels the Office of Management and Budget’s Circular A-76, issued in 1966. The OMB definition uses “mandate” rather than “require,” and “personnel” rather than “employee.” The principle laid down in the law and the OMB policy is nonetheless vague and open to subjective judgment. The 110th Congress addressed this problem by requiring OMB to develop a “single consistent definition” of inherently governmental function. The Bureau’s Office of Federal Procurement Policy (OFPP) has taken comments on a policy letter to make that definition, and is expected to publish a final version by October this year. The Office of Federal Procurement Policy draft released in March takes the FAIR Act definition as a starting point. It also proposes asking whether a function involves direct exercise of sovereign power, or whether contractor discretion could commit the government to a course of action. The OFPP also discusses functions that are “closely associated” with or “critical” for the success of governmental functions. The results of this filtering would determine whether a function must be performed by federal personnel, may be performed by contractors only under close government control, or may be routinely performed by contractors. The Commission’s interest in this policy evolution stems from its authorizing legislation. Congress instructed us to include in our final report recommendations for improving “the process for determining which functions are inherently governmental and which functions are appropriate for performance by contractors in a contingency operation (including during combat operations), especially whether providing security in an area of combat operations is inherently governmental.” This is a challenging, three-layer mandate. We are not simply looking at the general process for determining inherently governmental functions, but also at that process as applied to “contingency operations” that may include combat, and then at PSC use in areas of combat operations. Our assignment takes us into fine distinctions. Hiring private guards for a U.S. supply depot may be entirely routine and uncontroversial in a stable, allied country. Is it still prudent during a contingency response to an insurgency, natural disaster, or terrorist attack, when command, control, and assured response are high-value attributes? Is it still prudent if the contingency makes it likely that the guards will be exposed to attack, and may be likely to use force, with all the diplomatic and public-opinion consequences that follow? These questions are not abstract or academic. They involve real people who spill real blood. Whether they should be placed in life-or-death decision roles in foreign combat zones, and under what circumstances, is a serious question. From Allison Stanger: As I have argued elsewhere, it makes good sense for the government to harness the energy, efficiency, and bottom-up creativity of the private sector in as many ways as possible–up to the point where market imperatives begin to undermine the public interest. We have reached such a tipping point in Iraq and Afghanistan. As many witnesses before me have testified, Iraq and Afghanistan are our first two contractors’ wars. Even at the height of the Vietnam War, contractors comprised just 14% of the American presence on the ground in Southeast Asia. Today, contractors outnumber uniformed personnel on the ground in both Iraq and Afghanistan, and in the simplest of terms, armed security contractors enable us to wage two wars simultaneously while avoiding the necessity of a draft. Are armed security contractors currently performing inherently governmental functions in these conflict zones? While there is a general consensus that there are activities so intrinsic to the nature of government that they should not be contracted out, there is little agreement on what those activities are. Both OMB and Congress have repeatedly focused attention on the topic of inherently governmental functions, but to date have refrained from providing specific guidelines as to what particular activities must never be outsourced. Restricting the focus to those contractors able to deploy lethal force makes it easier to render a judgment. A leading advocate of minimal government, Milton Friedman, maintained, “The basic functions of government are to defend the nation against foreign enemies, to prevent coercion of some individuals by others within the country, to provide a means of deciding on our rules, and to adjudicate disputes.” Using Friedman’s minimalist definition, the use of contractors in the realms of security and justice demand the strictest scrutiny. Even under this leanest of definitions, moving security contractors are performing inherently governmental functions, since they are actively involved in defending the nation against foreign enemies. Later on in her statement Stanger gives this summary of the problems she sees with using PSCs. Lest I be misunderstood, I must emphasize that the current use of armed security contractors is wholly well-intentioned, a matter of necessity rather than choice. The State Department and Department of Defense continue to utilize them, despite all the negative press, because an all-volunteer force leaves us severely understaffed for meeting US objectives in Iraq and Afghanistan simultaneously. State and DOD should therefore not be blamed for their reliance on armed contractors; with an all-volunteer force and an under-resourced civilian capability, they are doing the best job with the resources currently available of delivering what Congress and the President have explicitly and implicitly asked them to do. But understanding how we arrived at our present predicament renders our current practices neither desirable nor sustainable. Our short-sighted and growing reliance on armed contractors in Iraq and Afghanistan compromises long term US interests in at least six different ways. First, the practice blurs the line between the legitimate and illegitimate use of force, which is just what our enemies want. Al Qaeda’s operatives have no country and are private actors waging war on the United States. Terrorists may receive funding from states, but they are by definition non-state actors. If the United States can legitimately rely on non-state actors wielding weapons to protect our interests, why can’t Al Qaeda or the Taliban, especially when contractor misdeeds appear to go completely unpunished? Second, our dependence on armed contractors in war zones is wholly at odds with our stated intention to build state capacity in Iraq and Afghanistan, so that the Afghan and Iraqi governments might one day be capable of independently providing security for their own citizens. The argument that security provided by the state is preferable to that provided by a collection of warlords is difficult to maintain when the United States itself lacks the capacity to wage war without reliance on private militias. The Afghan First strategy aims to hire local nationals to provide private security, and it has been wildly successful; at least 90% of private security contractors in Afghanistan today are Afghans. But in empowering these local privateers, we are in turn empowering regional warlords–precisely the opposite of building up Afghanistan’s capacity to secure its own territory without massive infusions of US taxpayer money. Since guns for hire never pledge enduring allegiance to a particular country, our rented allies today may very well become our enemies tomorrow. The local militias whose creation we have encouraged will also be a destabilizing future presence for the security of the AfPak region. Third, the extensive use of privateers overseas has had disastrous consequences for government accountability and transparency. The Commission is well acquainted with the enormous waste, fraud, and abuse that have resulted when US taxpayer money must change hands multiple times in a war zone. Further, local security contractors in Afghanistan are hired through sub-contracts, and information on sub-contracts is currently entirely unavailable to the public. The site on USAspending.gov, President Obama’s “Google for Government,” was supposed to go live over a year ago, but it remains “under construction.” Thus, we are effectively pouring taxpayer money into a black hole in Afghanistan, with no real means of knowing how well that money is likely to be spent or even who is receiving it. Fourth, the United States has no interest in seeing Afghans or Iraqis imitate our practices, let alone other foreign governments. The market for force is currently dominated by US and UK firms who often hire third party or local nationals, or sub-contract to local firms. But if it’s profitable, why shouldn’t other countries want in the game? Medieval Europe featured extensive use of local armies and mercenaries for security, but it was hardly the most desirable set of arrangements for liberty, equality, and prosperity. Medieval Europe on a global scale would not be a world order that served American interests or values. Fifth, our dependence on armed contractors ultimately undercuts troop morale by sending mixed signals to our citizens in uniform, who often perform the same jobs for a fraction of the pay. Government’s embrace of armed contractors in war zones erodes the virtue of fighting for one’s country, undermining the important value of disinterested public service. It also doesn’t help that the burden of sacrifice is currently unfairly distributed and hence undemocratic. How many US households earning in excess of $250,000 a year have a son or daughter in uniform? What does it say about American values, when we actively uphold a system in which a privateer can make double or triple the money selling his labor to the highest bidder? Finally, and perhaps most importantly, our dependence on armed security contractors has fueled an overly ambitious international agenda. Without privateers, we would need a draft to wage war in Iraq and Afghanistan, which would transform the politics of both conflicts. Avoiding a draft might sound like a plus, but surely war should ultimately be a matter of national sacrifice and honor, not profits and consumption. We degrade ourselves and strengthen our enemies by treating lethal force as something to be casually bought and sold. From Stan Soloway: We must also remember that the unprecedented presence of private security personnel in Iraq and Afghanistan was not the result of any political ideology or policy. Rather, it is the direct result of the nature of the missions being performed, the situational environment, and the human capital assets available and needed to execute those missions. The Iraq and Afghanistan missions are unprecedented by any measure. Even today, the U.S. Government is simultaneously executing three missions: (1) active warfare and peacemaking; (2) physical reconstruction; and (3) economic and other development. Historically, those missions have been approached sequentially; in the Iraq theater of operations, the leadership made the decision to move quickly and aggressively with the reconstruction and development missions even before security reached the levels normally achieved prior to launching those latter two missions. Right or wrong, that decision immediately created the largest private security requirement demand we have ever seen. There was, and today still is, no realistic way for the U.S. or coalition forces to provide the necessary levels of force protection for the thousands of projects and tens of thousands of American, Iraqi, and third country personnel performing the reconstruction and development missions. In fact, the Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR) explicitly provides that contractors performing contracts outside the U.S. other than in direct support of the U.S. military are required to provide their own security. Moreover, and equally importantly, particularly in the international development community, there has long been deep concern about the implications of having active duty military provide security during development program execution. As such, around the world, U.S. government-funded development projects and programs–whether under contract, grant or other financial arrangement–provide their own security through contracts with experienced security firms rather than rely on the military. Therefore, while it is easy to assume that the enormous private security presence in the warzone resulted from some intentional policy of ―privatizing war,‖ in truth it resulted directly from the nature and scope of the multiple missions being undertaken. Whether that was the correct decision is for others to decide. But given that decision, it was and remains wholly impractical and impossible for the U.S. troops or coalition forces to meet the security demand. Private Security is NOT Per Se ―Inherently Governmental This leads me to address the principal question of this hearing–are security contractors performing inherently governmental functions? Since the term ―private security encompasses so many different functions, the simple answer is no. There is nothing inherently governmental about providing security, even in a warzone. The question comes down to the nature of the specific work being performed. To my knowledge, no private security personnel have been involved in offensive military operations–which would clearly only be appropriate for performance by U.S. military forces. However, at home and abroad, it is not at all uncommon to have armed security protecting governmental and non-governmental assets. By definition, if a security officer is armed, there is the recognition that he or she may at some point be required to use lethal force to respond to a threat and the FAR rules I mentioned earlier clearly address and provide for this potential. Thus, it would be inappropriate to define all such security work as inherently governmental. From Danielle Brian: As we have examined this question, it has become clear to POGO that the answer is yes, PSCs are performing inherently governmental functions. A number of jobs that are not necessarily inherently governmental in general become so when they are conducted in a combat zone. Any operations that are critical to the success of the U.S. government’s mission in a combat zone must be controlled by government personnel. In addition, in those areas that have not been brought under the rule of law, it is an inherently governmental function to provide security so that the government’s missions can be successful. Why does this matter? The use of private contractors for security in a combat zone poses unique risks. One is the inherent tension between the effective performance of a mission and the financial interests of the contractor. As the Center for a New American Security put it, “The very existence of private contractors inserts a profit motive onto the battlefield; their primary responsibility is not the national interest but rather fulfilling the terms of their contracts.” In fact, making a profit and serving the national interest are sometimes in direct conflict: while cutting costs is good for the bottom line, it can undermine security. We saw evidence of this phenomenon in the ArmorGroup North America contract where, for example, in order to save money the company hired Gurkhas who did not meet language proficiency contract requirements–and therefore could not adequately communicate with the English-speaking guards. Another problem is that the laws in place do not adequately hold accountable all contractors that violate rules and endanger security in combat zones, particularly contractors for the State Department and CIA. Private employers such as security firms cannot ensure a binding chain of command that provides adequate discipline. Last year at the U.S. Naval Academy 2009 McCain Conference, there was a seminar on “Ethics and Military Contractors: Examining the Public-Private Partnership” which looked at the question of whether security in a combat zone is an inherently governmental function. According to the Executive Summary of the conference, “contractors should not be deployed as security guards, sentries, or even prison guards within combat areas. [Armed Private Security Contractors] should be restricted to appropriate support functions and those geographic areas where the rule of law prevails. In irregular warfare…environments, where civilian cooperation is crucial, this restriction is both ethically and strategically necessary.” Even the National Association of Security Companies recently wrote to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), “Perhaps insourcing or much greater contractor scrutiny may be needed for security provided in combat and combat support roles and in situations where combat could evolve….” From Deborah Avant: The most fundamental way in which private security activities may encroach on what is inherently governmental is through the exercise of deadly force – widely presumed to be a fundamental function of governments and specifically mentioned in the 1998 FAIR Act definition, among others. All armed private security personnel could affect the lives of the persons around which they work. Whether or not this effect is likely to be significant depends on at least three risk factors. * First is the threat environment. A more permissive environment where private security contractors are likely to function to deter common criminals, such as when they are guarding an embassy in a settled country, is much less risky than when contractors function in an active insurgency like in Afghanistan. * Second is the particular job. Guarding a warehouse is less risky than convoy security or personal security details. Jobs that require moving from one place to another increase both contact with others and the potential for threat. * Third is the level of command and control over private security contractors. The reason why a government employee is preferable to a private contractor in carrying out tasks intimately related to the public interest is because federal employees, particularly members of the US military, operate under the clear control of the federal government and have well designed systems of accountability. Though control of private contractors is never as great as command and control over US forces, different regulations can yield more or less control. Also important for the level of control are the skills, training and background of the personnel who perform private security jobs. These risk factors also interact. Even static guards may come under attack (and use force) if they are guarding important material or situated in a dangerous area. Protecting a convoy is more likely to require the use of force when it travels through a dangerous stretch of road than when it is traveling through a settled area. Poor command and control and/or guards with little training exacerbate the risk posed by the threat environment and the particular job while stronger command and control and/or better training can, to some extent, mitigate these risks. Risk to US Mission/Policy Private security may also encroach on inherently governmental work if what contractors do or how they do it can undermine the functioning of the military and/or the overall policy or mission of the US government. Some jobs are simply more critical to the core function of the military (i.e., its ability to fight) than others. A convoy carrying fuel, weapons or other important supplies to a military unit in the field is more critical than protection of the contents of a particular warehouse. Reliable protection that accords access to supply in the field is critical because of its relationship to the ability of military units to fight. In a counterinsurgency environment, though, the way private security contractors carry out their jobs is also critical to the success of the overall mission. This is true for supply convoys, but particularly for personal security details that frequently operate in highly populated areas. If they deliver supplies or people safely but in a way that is disrespectful to or abusive of civilians, they may allow the US military or diplomatic team to function but at the same time undermine popular support for the US (or the host government) and thus frustrate the chances for ultimate success. There were countless complaints from both Iraqis and US military personnel about poor behavior on the part of personal security details in Iraq between 2004 and 2007. Military personnel complained specifically about how this behavior undermined the counterinsurgency effort. The Nisour Square incident in 2007 provided a dramatic example of this issue. Finally, there is the relationship between private security companies and other violent forces in the country – including the host government but also militia forces and even insurgents. Relationships between private security companies and forces that are (or become) parallel forces, in competition with government forces, have been a common phenomenon over the course of the post-Cold War era and have often undermined efforts to build effective governance. In Iraq there was much speculation about the relationship between personnel that worked for the Facilities Protection Force and various militias connected with the insurgency in 2004. In Afghanistan, the US has relied much more on indigenous personnel and companies for its security. There are allegations that some of these companies are paying off the Taliban to ensure safe passage for convoys. Using private security contractors in a way that provides a platform for funneling US dollars to those working against US goals poses a significant risk to the overall US mission in Afghanistan. The three risk factors listed above: threat environment, nature of the job, and degree of command and control still affect the degree to which using private security could matter. * Guarding a convoy carrying critical supplies to the field will always be more critical to the military’s ability to function than guarding a warehouse but guarding the same convoy through a pacified area poses less risk than guarding it through a more dangerous area. For example, KBR had a good record of delivering supply in the (relatively) permissive environment in the Balkans. At the beginning of the Iraq War, however, KBR had difficulties fielding the requisite personnel and these difficulties were specifically linked to an unexpectedly high level of danger. * The potential for alienating civilians in a counterinsurgency environment is lower for static guards than for convoy security and personal security details that move around. This is by virtue of the fact that static guards are simply less likely to encounter as many civilians. By this rationale, the risk of alienating civilians is greatest for personal security details that not only move around but also tend to operate in more populated areas. * More command and control can reduce the risk that private security will undermine policy. For instance, the reforms that followed the Nisour Square shootings in 2007 established a greater level of command and control, which reduced the incidence of private security contractor behavior that alienated civilians. It is important to note, however, that while ostensibly under the same US policy, some convoy and personal security details in Afghanistan have not shown the same level of improvement. This may be due to the different background and training of Afghan companies and personnel. In sum, all armed personnel working for the United States abroad potentially encroach upon critical, close to governmental or inherently governmental simply by virtue of their ability to use deadly force. Those performing tasks critical to the mission of the US military or US policy also have the potential to trespass upon governmental roles. Features of particular threat environments, particular jobs, and the level of control over private security contractors can elevate or lower the degree of risk. All of these features should be considered in determining whether a job is critical, close to governmental or inherently governmental. The more of these features that are present, the more likely the job is inherently governmental. Thus, when private security contractors are armed, perform tasks critical to the US mission, work in dangerous environments where the nature of the job increases the chance of interaction with private individuals, and operate under weak command and control, they are most likely to be in violation of the principles enshrined in the inherently governmental edict. And finally John Nagl, who makes a point which has long been near and dear to me, namely, contractor use is a direct reflection of American geopolitical choices. When our nation goes to war, contractors go with it. In both Iraq and Afghanistan today, there are more private contractors than U.S. troops on the ground. This state of affairs is likely to endure. Now, and for the foreseeable future, the United States will be unable to engage in conflicts or reconstruction and stabilization operations of any significant size without private contractors. Changes in business practices, the provision of government services and the character of modern conflict, together with limits on the size of the American military, diplomatic and development corps, are driving the size and scope of expeditionary contracting to unprecedented proportions. Absent a significant reduction in America’s international commitments and perceived global interests, the employment of private contractors in future American conflicts is here to stay. The system within which this contracting takes place, however, has not caught up with the new reality. Billions of taxpayer dollars committed to contracts in Iraq and Afghanistan have been implemented with little oversight. Contracting companies themselves crave clearer guidelines. The roles of contractors remain incompletely integrated into the conduct of American operations. And the legal framework within which contractors work remains cloudy. … There remains little consensus about which functions should be included under the “inherently governmental” rubric. This is perhaps most vividly demonstrated by Congress’ inability to deem a substantial list of activities that fall into this category and by its decision to pass the responsibility for defining the term to the executive branch. It is important to note the implications of deeming a particular activity within or outside those bounds. Should a given function be deemed inherently governmental, it then becomes illegal for the government to ever contract it out – even in extremis. On the other hand, simply deeming a task to be not inherently governmental, and one that agencies could therefore contract out, in no way suggests that it is automatically good policy to do so. For this reason, a better alternative is to focus on a “core competencies” approach. While Congress should deem inherently governmental any acts it can agree should never be outsourced under any circumstances, a core competencies approach would apply to all of those activities that do not fall under that rubric. It would focus on those functions the government should develop, maintain and enforce, rather than trying to enumerate a list of specific activities for which it is impermissible, under law and in any circumstance, to ever contract out. Thus, for example, the government could decide that interrogating enemy prisoners is a core competency that it wishes to maintain. As it ramps up its federal interrogation capacity, it would aim to avoid contracting out this function, but – and only in extremis – it would be permitted under law to hire private contractors to interrogate prisoners should the government workforce prove insufficient to carry out this vital task. By eschewing contracting in specific areas as a matter of policy, the federal government would leave the option legally open to afford itself the flexibility to employ contractors in times of crisis or other extreme circumstances. Moreover, the core competencies approach would give commanders and others in the field the access to surge capacity and swiftness often necessary in an unpredictable contingency environment, while moving the U. S. government away from dependence on certain forms of contractors as a more general principle. It would also hold the promise of cutting through continued debates about what does or does not constitute an “inherently governmental” activity and instead concentrate on what the government should be doing and how it will ensure its competency to do it.

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David Isenberg: KBR Gives Uncle Sam the One Finger Salute

July 3, 2010

Le’s take a brief look at the world of rent a generals. Specifically, Lt. Gen. Sanchez. (USA-Ret.). Gen. Sanchez had a distinguished Army career and honorably served his country. He was the highest-ranking Hispanic in the United States Army when he retired on November 1, 2006. Those who can remember past yesterday will recall that he served as the V Corps commander of coalition forces in Iraq from June 2003 to June 2004. While his time as commander was not without controversies ( hostile relations with Paul Bremer, torture scandal at Abu Ghraib, development of the Iraq insurgency) I assume he did the best he could. For most retired officers that would have been enough. But evidently not for Gen. Sanchez. Evidently he felt the need to continue the fight; only now against U.S. civilians and injured veterans. In February it was reported that the U.S. Army wass trying to stop him from continuing to be an expert for KBR in a lawsuit against it over civilian truck driver deaths and injuries. Sanchez is being paid $650 an hour and has reviewed documents and written a report that support’s KBR’s contention it should not be held legally responsible for the deaths of six civilian truck drivers and the injuries of others in a 2004 ambush in Iraq. The suing drivers and family members contend that KBR should have stopped the convoys when it was warned that attacks would increase on April 9, 2004, the first anniversary of the day allies in the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq reached Baghdad. KBR argues that the military approved sending the convoys out and several laws protect KBR from responsibility in a wartime situation. The Army contracts with KBR to provide transportation, food services and other logistical support. In his report for KBR on the 2004 ambush, Sanchez writes that KBR leadership was getting “emotional, hyperbolic, CNN-filtered, open source information, not intelligence” that was warning that the convoys could be ambushed. Sanchez says no battlefield leader could have known the convoy would be attacked. KBR leadership did stop convoys the day after six civilians were killed and 14 injured in the truck convoy ambush. But KBR is also fighting law suits regarding the burn pits it operated in Iraq as I have written about here and here . To see KBR’s last update to the allegations click here . KBR apparently thinks Gen. Sanchez has useful advice to offer here, even though I don’t recall the general having expertise in chemistry or toxicology. Nevertheless KBR, to emulate Paddy” Chayefsky’s famed movie Network, is mad as hell and is not going to take it anymore. The evidence is contained in Exhibit 40, filed back on Feb. 23. I have put the most pertinet parts in boldface. It is important to remember that KBR is in this position now because of the conduct of the United States. First, as the Army’s own AR 15-6 Report clearly admits, but for the Army’s failures in its own processes and procedures on April 9, 2004, the attack, injuries, and deaths associated with the Fisher case would never even have occurred. Second, but for the United States’ refusal to support KBR’s effort in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals to uphold the District Court’s 2006 total dismissal of the lawsuits passed on the Political Question Doctrine, there is every reason to believe the Fifth Circuit would have sustained the dismissal. Instead, KBR (and indeed the United States itself in any future Political Question Doctrine dispute) is saddled with a very troublesome Fifth Circuit standard.’ Accordingly, KBR must be able to present the live trial expert testimony of Lieutenant General Sanchez, and to do so in precisely the form and content in which his report was submitted to the Court. This need was exacerbated by Judge Miller’s blatant disregard of the four military declarations submitted in his denial of KBR’s Political Question Doctrine motion, making the General’s live trial testimony possibly the only evidence that will sway Judge Miller. Further, his testimony, including his statement reiterating the AR 15-6 Report’s admission of Army fault, will provide precisely the type of evidence needed to prove on appeal that these cases should have been dismissed on the basis of the Political Question Doctrine – that is, among other things, the failure to do so caused Army officers to present public criticism of each other at trial! As we made clear in our original December 4, 2009 request, as a result of his senior military leadership position in Iraq during the relevant time period, Lieutenant General Sanchez has unique relevant expertise that is not available from any other source. As reflected in his report, the General will testify from that expertise about the circumstances in Iraq in April 2004, the Army’s prosecution of the war, KBR’s logistics support mission, and the actual events up to and on April 8 and 9, 2004 upon which these lawsuits are based. This expert testimony is crucial to KBR’s ability to defend itself on key issues such as state of mind, causation, and various affirmative defenses. Lastly, as you know, throughout the five years of these lawsuits, KBR has carefully refrained from pointing its finger at the United States as the culpable entity. One result of KBR’s restraint in this regard has been that plaintiffs in these cases have gained a huge advantage in the public airing of these lawsuits. Plaintiffs have co-opted the Houston media and other press into presenting only the damning evidence plaintiffs allege prove that KBR intended to injure and kill its own employees for profit. As trial looms, KBR can no longer sit silent, and instead intends to aggressively make its case to the public, hopefully to prevent the entire jury pool from being ‘ We also urge the United States to support KBR in the litigation of these defenses in any appeal that KBR files in these cases. prejudiced against the company. Towards this end, KBR intends to release Lieutenant General Sanchez’s expert report and deposition testimony to the press as part of this campaign. KBR greatly appreciates the support the Army has provided the company in these (and other) lawsuits. But given the untenable posture of the cases and enormous exposure faced by KBR, we cannot overstate the need for the Army to approve this request for reconsideration, We trust that you will give this matter your full, serious, and immediate attention. For those who remember Mario Puzo, KBR seems to be channeling the GodFather, and is making a Army thinly veiled offer it can’t refuse. It will be interesting to see who blinks.

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David Isenberg: From Little ACODs Mighty Scandals Grow

July 1, 2010

Last week the Washington Independent ran an interesting article regarding a new military task force in Afghanistan which will attempt to “get a handle on one of the thorniest aspects of the way the U.S. military fights its wars: its relationship with the small army of contractors it hires for support.” The article says Task Force 2010 will focus on the intersection of contractor money and political power in southern Afghanistan, and giving senior military officers a greater amount of visibility into murky networks of subcontractors using taxpayer dollars than they currently have. Given the recent reports and congressional hearings on subjects like the corruption in trucking contracts in Afghanistan, this is certainly a useful activity. Task Force 2010 is led by Rear Adm. Kathleen Dussault, a longtime Navy logistics officer who served as senior contracting overseer when Petraeus commanded the U.S. war in Iraq. TF 2010 established an Armed Contractor Oversight Division to help advise Gen. Stanley McChrystal, and now presumably Gen. David Petraeus who replaced him, on how to deal with the companies. This is all well and good. Certainly, it will be good for U.S. contracting folks to have visibility on the sub-contractors that they currently do not have. But there is a bit more to Rear Adm. Dussault and ACOD. There was actually an ACOD established in Iraq before there was one in Afghanistan. According to a U.S. military officer who worked in the Iraq ACOD Dussault “never liked that ACOD didn’t belong to her or reported to her.” Also, TF 2010 didn’t establish ACOD, CentCom established ACOD. The officer also thinks that the Afghanistan ACOD still has some issues to thrash out. He notes, “It seems to be all over the place with what this task force is going to look at. Is it just PSCs or all contractors? ” The officer wrote in an email to me that: The whole thing about the Afghanistan ACOD is a bit strange especially the comment that the Task Force (TF) 2010 established it and what’s more interesting is Admiral Dussault is involved. Iraq ACOD started talking to CentCom during the summer of 2008 about an Afghanistan ACOD. We had a video conference and sent CentCom our FRAGO (Fragmentary Order). I believe that by the Fall of 08 an officer had been identified as the ACOD OIC (Officer in Charge). Fast forward to late Jan/early Feb 2009, ACOD had a meeting with Admiral Dussault. At the end of the meeting the Admiral informed us that she had just returned from Afghanistan and that they had approved the request for proposal to man and run the Afghanistan ACOD. Surprised, I said really and what model was used? Well, of course the Iraq model. My response was that I wished somebody had asked because I was not happy with our model and that the division needed to be much larger. Oh well. Later that winter, the ACOD contract had been awarded to AEGIS. This about sent me into orbit. I sent emails to both CentCom and the DoD about how could a Private Security Company be awarded a contract that gives them an oversight role over, well, themselves? The quick answer was that Aegis did not currently have any PSC contracts in Afghanistan. We now know that that changed just liked it did in Iraq. I understand that because of the GAO (perhaps another watch-dog), the contract has been cancelled. My questions would be, are they still working pending another contract award or did they just stand down ACOD? Perhaps a reorganized ACOD from the dust of Aegis is what the TF is claiming to have established.

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David Isenberg: The GAO Transcripts, Part 5: Could the Military Trust the PSCs?

June 30, 2010

This is the fifth installment of the Government Accountability Office interview transcripts that were prepared pursuant to the July 2005 GAO report ” Rebuilding Iraq: Actions Needed To Improve Use of Private Security Providers .” Two points in particular are worth consideration. First private military and security contractor advocates frequently claim, that contractors stay on the job, regardless of how dangerous it is. And if they do quit, advocates say it is so rare as to be insignificant, as this 2009 interview with Doug Brooks, head of the PMC trade group IPOA, illustrates. IA-Forum: One of the concerns that I think about, for example, in running the supply line, is if the going gets too tough, what’s to stop the company from just quitting? Mr Brooks: [You are referring to the book] Betraying Our Troops? It’s about KBR and [it] talks about four or five incidents where KBR convoys refused to go because the risk was too high. …That’s over four years; it doesn’t happen that often. It does happen; I think it’s important that combatant commanders keep that in mind, that contractors can essentially quit or not do things that are too risky, that’s true. The flip side to that is that happens in the military as well. In the military, convoys on at least two occasions [in the current Iraq war] refused orders–which means you can be shot–refused orders because the risk was too high. …If in five years you have three or four times where individual convoys haven’t been made–that’s’ really nothing. But as the below transcript shows this was enough of a concern that the Joint Chiefs of Staff tasked the U.S. Central Command for additional information on the subject. Second, it was recognized early on by the military itself that the guidance it provided contractors was insufficient. Nearly six years this is about as surprising as saying the sun rises in the east but back then it was still a controversial assumption. On this point contractor advocates are right when they say that government did not have its act together when doing contracting on the battlefield. Of course, considering that even at this point there was a quite large body of field manuals, directives, rules and regulations for doing just that it says something rather disturbing about how useful they were when rubber met reality. Standard disclaimer: I have put in ( _____ ) to reflect those words of phrases which have been blacked out in the transcript. I have also put in the underlining as it appeared in the original transcript. As in the transcript, I have left out letters from various words, even when it seems obvious what the word is. GAO Interview Written By: Kate Walker Date Created: November 15, 2004 Job Code: 350544 Title: Interview with CENTCOM Purpose : To discuss CENTCOM policies addressing PSCs in CENTCOM’s AOR Date: November 9, 2004 Type: Face-to-face Location: CENTCOM, MacDill Air Base, Tampa, Florida Participants: __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________ Steve Sternlieb, Assistant Director, GAO/DCM, (202) 512-2501, sternliebss@gao.gov Carole Coffey, Analyst-in-Charge, GAO/DCM, (202) 512-5876, coffeyc@gao.gov Kate Walker, Analyst, GAO, (202) 512-6193, walkerk@gao.gov We met with ____________ discuss policies and memorandums addressing private security contractors (PSCs) in CENTCOM’s AOR. WARNING ORDER ON CONTRACTOR SECURITY In June 2004, there was significant concern that a US contractor aiding the military in Iraq might withdraw its services due to security situation in Iraq. In response, the Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) sent out a request for information from CENTCOM. CENTCOM then issued a warning order (WARNORD) to Multinational Force-Iraq MNFI) . This WARNORD requested that the MNFI commanders provide an estimated list of contractors in Iraq, the potential risk to the reconstruction should contractors withdraw their services, and courses of actions to improve contractor security in Iraq . In July MNFI responded with a short document detailing their action plans for addressing the contractor concern. The JCS found this document to be insufficient and requested more information . CENTCOM then issued another WARNORD in August with a September due date. MNFI responded with a draft 46-page document on 20 September 2004. CENTCOM currently has Version 10 of the document. The MNFI response has not been finalized and is still sitting on the Commanding General’s desk. CENTCOM has currently halted work on the WARNORD and review of the MNFI document because because it is linked to the release of the Interagency Memorandum. The current MNFI response indicated that more information is needed about contractors in Iraq. INTERAGENCY MEMORANDUM In addition to the WARNORD, the Department of Defense (DOD) and the Department of State (DOS) is writing the Interagency Memorandum. The Interagency Memorandum directs organization-wide coordination and eliminates the need for the information collected in the WARNORD. The Memorandum is “not a new idea” and breaks down the stovepipes that many feel have been thwarting contractor coordination. The Memorandum was created in response to contractor concern about security and the need for a consistent set of rules for PSCs. The Memorandum also lays out the anticipated responsibilities of the military to contractors and other USG agencies. We asked ____________ there was a comprehensive list of guiding documents for contractors in accordance with 1.4 from the Interagency Memorandum. ____________ does not believe that a comprehensive list exists. He stated that a number of different documents currently address the military’s responsibility to contractors in Iraq, but a document that provides a comprehensive overview of the military’s relationship to PSCs does not exist. ____________ ggests that we speak with Staff Judge Advocate (SJA) for a robust list of such documents. The Interagency Memorandum has been held in suspense for a number of reasons. Currently, the priorities of the US military, the embassy, and the Interim Iraqi Government (IIG) are not aligned. Contractors including PSCs are not the main priority in Iraq right now. There is also some debate over whether the Iraqi Military Force (IMF) can participate in the memorandum. ____________believes that the Interagency Memorandum’s vision for a common operating picture would be in the best interest of the contractors; it would decrease costs and overhead and would increase security. The success of the Interagency Memorandum and the creation of a common operating picture are dependent upon the success of the Project and Contracting Office Operations Center (PCOC). The PCOC is vital for communication and coordination of contractors in Iraq; it is the only communication and coordination source for contractors in Iraq. ____________ as been working with a Joint staff counterpart, ____________ on the Interagency Memorandum. CURRENT CONTRACTOR SITUATION IN IRAQ Insurgency has continued to grow in Iraq since the spring of 2004. ____________ noted that the number of contractors in Iraq has increased greatly since the government transition and the number of contracts in Iraq is still growing. Currently, CENTCOM does not know the number of contractors in Iraq contractors are constantly in flux . CENTCOM does not have visibility to the subcontractor level. ____________ is unaware of anything below DOD regulations that instructs contractors about protocols for conduct, movement, and coordination with the military. ____________ believes that the main governing document for contractors in Iraq is the contract itself. ____________ asserted that the need for the DOD Directive (DODD), DOD Instruction (DODI) and the Interagency Memorandum are all examples of the lack of guidance provided to contractors in Iraq. These documents were created because contractors need more direction than that provided in their contracts. LEGAL ISSUES ____________ believes that the only way to legally require contractors to register would be to include it in their contracts and require contracting agencies to report this information. All current contracts for work in CENTCOM’s AOR would have to be rewritten to reflect this new policy. ____________ suggested that we speak with the SJA to learn more about the legal issues facing contractors in Iraq. MILITARY RESPONSIBILITIES ____________ believes that the only policy that outlines the military’s responsibility for contractors and US agencies in Iraq is the National Security Council (NSC) Operation Plan (OPLAN) . Annex K of the OPLAN outlines CENTCOM’s and DOS’s security responsibilities. The NSC OPLAN is a handshake security agreement between the DOS and the DOD that provides security guidelines inside and outside the Green Zone. The OPLAN delineates the pecking order for receiving aid. Under CENTCOM’s current commander’s mission for Iraq, it is a military mission to provide a “secure and stable environment.” This outlined mission in iraq does not, however, indictate that the military is to provide security for contractors and civil government agencies. ____________ said that as available the military does support but the spectrum of contractor support is wide. For example, at one end of the spectrum, there are those contractors that are working for USAID and the Army Corps of Engineers that do not have a direct connection to the US military and currently provide their own security. At the other end of the spectrum, there are those contractors providing logistics support for the military at base sites and are provided with security by the military. Somewhere in between these two extremes are the contractors inside Iraq that are supporting USG agencies who have little contact with the military and are not receiving security from the military. ____________ believes that the Interagency Memorandum seeks to formalize some of these relationships and provide a safety net for those contractors that are not directly working with the military. CONTRACTOR DATABASE Currently, there is no one organization that is maintaining a database of contractors working in Iraq. ____________ indicates that there has been some conflict over resources and who would manage the database. MOVEMENT CONTROL . Movement control is currently part of the PCOC fusion cell. According to ____________ this fusion cell is up and running. If contractors are capable of radio communication, they can call the PCOC and radio in their movement schedule. The Interagency Memorandum would further define the responsibility of the PCOC fusion cell. QUICK REACTION FORCE If contractors should need assistance, the military will send a quick reaction force (QRF) from whichever military unit can respond first. The military will send QRF aid if it has the assets available. It is the commander’s responsibility to decide whether he/she has enough personnel to respond. Operating procedures hold that contractors under attack should first contact the PCOC. The PCOC would then relay contractor needs through NMOC and the highlighted responsibility would be to the nearest military installment and could include IMF, MNFI, other PSC, or US military aid. INFORMATION SHARING ____________ indicated that the PCOC has been responsible for information sharing with contractors since the turnover in July. It is the prime contractor’s responsibility for ensuring that sub-contractors remain informed. COMMAND AND CONTROL ____________ does not believe that the military has direct legal authority over PSCs. For example, while the military can suggest that contractors not enter Fallujah, contractors are still legally allowed to enter the area at their own risk. ____________ believes that the only definite line of authority is that of the contractor over the subcontractor. The contracting officer is the closest link to the military for contractors. SUGGESTIONS FOR IMPROVEMENT • ____________ believes that communication between the military and private security contractors can be improved by standardizing communication methods and knowledge of communication links. It is vital that contractors have common radios and linkage with the PCOC.. ____________ holds that while much of the foundation for communication is in place, communication does not exist to the level necessary. • Standardization of contract language would help to alleviate some of the confusion over military responsibility and chain of command issues. ____________ believes that the Interagency Memorandum will address some of these issues.

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Cenk Uygur: Why Washington Is More Right-Wing Than the Rest of the Country

June 28, 2010

We recently had John Avlon on the program and he is a devout “centrist.” That used to mean that you were somewhere on the political spectrum between the left and the right. It now means that you set up false equivalencies between the left and the right and call everything even no matter what. I’m an actual centrist. I used to be a liberal Republican from the North East. Of course, no such thing exists anymore. I’m against affirmative action. I’m a deficit hawk (except I believe we should balance the budget by not just cutting “entitlements” but also by cutting the Pentagon and raising taxes). I was for the Persian Gulf War but against the Iraq War. I am against Bush or Obama violating civil liberties or abusing executive authority. So, in the country I’m right in the middle of the political spectrum. There is hardly a national poll that doesn’t agree with my political position. Hence, I am now considered a raging liberal in Washington. Apparently, I am so far left now that Obama is significantly to the right of me. How does that make sense? It doesn’t, in any place outside of DC. But what’s maddening is that no one acknowledges two things: 1. How far to the right of the country Washington is. 2. How far the political spectrum has moved to the right. Why is Washington more right-wing than the rest of the nation? Because that’s where power and the establishment reside. Power is by nature conservative — it wants to protect its current privileged position. That’s not nefarious, it’s natural. But not acknowledging that is silly. The establishment loves the status quo, because that’s what got them their current position. Why would they want to change that? And how can anyone consider themselves a political analyst and not see how far to the right we have moved as a country? Eisenhower warned us of the military industrial complex. If he had said that now, people would say he’s weak on national security and doesn’t support the troops. And he was a Republican. Truman ran on single payer healthcare — Obama wouldn’t even consider that. Nixon started the Environmental Protection Agency. Reagan sold arms to terrorists, negotiated with the evil empire, raised taxes eleven times , ran from Lebanon. Are you absolutely sure that Obama is to the left of Reagan? Watch this debate with John Avlon, the author of Wingnuts, How the Lunatic Fringe is Hijacking America , and see if you really think there is such a thing as the hard left in this country and whether they are anywhere near as extreme as the hard right: One other thing that we touched on in this conversation was the idea of corporatism . Being against corporatists doesn’t mean you’re anti-business. There is this absurd myth that liberals are anti-business. What does that mean? Liberals don’t want there to be any more businesses? Does anyone really believe that? Liberals, centrists and conservatives have no problem with business as long as they are not taking our taxpayer money! Do conservatives want trillions of taxpayer money going to Wall Street banks? My understanding was that they hated the bailouts. Do conservatives want taxpayers rather than BP to pay for the clean up of the oil spill in the Gulf? Well, I hope not. Maybe some of the conservative leaders who take money from oil companies want that to happen — but that’s the whole point. The politicians aren’t working for us anymore, liberals or conservatives. They are not driven by ideology. They’re driven by whoever pays them, which is the lobbyists. Seventy percent of campaign contributions come from corporations. Now who do you think the politicians are going to work for? Being against corporate control of our democracy shouldn’t be a liberal position. It should be a universal position. It’s not that multi-national corporations are evil, it’s just that they’re amoral. They are unconcerned with American taxpayers or citizens; they are concerned only with profits. That is what they have to be by law. It’s absurd to argue otherwise. Yet, the conventional wisdom in DC is that people who are worried about corporatist influence on American politics are far left crazies. They’re not crazy, they’re awake. And they’re not even liberals, they’re every American who is sick of their politicians being bought by the highest bidder. That’s all of us, except the “centrists” in DC. Watch The Young Turks Here

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Colin Powell Says Stepped Up UN Sanctions Won’t End Iran’s Nuclear Program

May 30, 2010

By Mike Dorning May 30 (Bloomberg) — Former Secretary of State Colin Powell said that proposed stricter United Nations sanctions won’t bring an end to Iran’s nuclear program. “I don’t see that this causes sufficient pain,” Powell said on ABC’s “This Week” program. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on May 18 that the permanent members of the UN Security Council — Russia, China, the U.S., U.K. and France — and Germany have drafted a sanctions resolution designed to pressure Iran into stopping its pursuit of enriched uranium, a material that can be used for a bomb. “The Iranians have been around for thousands of years, trading and selling and getting around various constraints and what not,” Powell said. “They’re very clever. And they know what sanctions might be coming. And I’m sure that they have done their own planning and have their own counter-sanction strategy.” Powell’s comments echoed those of a top Iranian dissident, Mohsen Kadivar, a senior cleric and a visiting professor at Duke University’s department of religion, who predicted last week that “they will not manage to isolate Iran with sanctions.” Kadivar was a student of the late Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri, a top cleric and dissident whose death in December reignited anti-government demonstrations. Legitimacy of Sanctions Iran says its nuclear program is aimed at generating electricity for a growing population. It also complains of a double standard on international nuclear agreements, saying Israel hasn’t been prevented from developing atomic weapons, and has called the proposed new sanctions “illegitimate.” Iran is already under three sets of UN sanctions for defying the council’s demands to suspend the enrichment of uranium. The proposed economic sanctions would bolster an arms embargo, restrict financial transactions and enhance authority to stop and seize Iranian cargo. Iran has experience in evading sanctions, and found ways to get hold of arms during the war against Iraq in the 1980s when it was under similar restrictions, Kadivar said. It will use oil revenue to counter the new measures, boosting inflation and hurting the Iranian public, he said. Powell was secretary of state to Republican President George W. Bush during the run-up to the Iraq War and the first years of the conflict and considered running for president as a Republican candidate in 1996. In the 2008 election, he crossed party lines to endorse Democrat Barack Obama for president. He was the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff during the first Gulf War against Iraq in the early 1990s. Iraq Withdrawal Powell also said on ABC that recent violence in Iraq should not dissuade the White House from proceeding with plans to reduce the U.S. troop presence in the country. “I think the president is correct to keep it on track and continue with the draw-down,” Powell said. “We cannot maintain this level of deployment forever. It not only is a burden on our troops, it is enormously expensive in a time of budget deficits and national debt.” Powell said the Iraqi government and military “is ready” to function with fewer U.S. troops. “If they continue to show the effectiveness that their army has shown recently, they should be able to contain this and hold it as we continue our withdrawal,” Powell said. Powell said the success of efforts to bring stability to Afghanistan will depend heavily on establishing an effective national army, reducing corruption and building public confidence in the government. “We can do just so much,” Powell said. “It ultimately is going to be in the hands of the Afghans.” To contact the reporter on this story: Mike Dorning in Washington at mdorning@bloomberg.net

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Iraqi Coalition, Kurd or Arab Presidency Debated as Election Tally Looms

March 9, 2010

By Caroline Alexander and Daniel Williams March 9 (Bloomberg) — Political maneuvering was under way in Iraq before initial results from the parliamentary election are announced, with early indications that no party would win a majority and tough coalition bargaining lies ahead. Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi told a televised news conference in Baghdad that the next president of the country must be an Arab. “This country is Arab and an Arab should be on top,” he said. The current president is Kurdish politician Jalal Talabani , who has already declared his intention to stay on in the job. The president is elected by parliament. The main competitors are Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s State of Law alliance and the Iraqiya party of a former premier, Ayad Allawi . Coalition-building is essential to a U.S. plan to withdraw its troops as Iraq establishes a stable government. American officials insist the pullout will go ahead. Iraq’s Independent High Electoral Commission said it will announce preliminary results later today as districts that have tallied at least 30 percent of their votes report to Baghdad. Final results may not be certified until the end of the month. Turnout was 62.4 percent, the panel said. Al-Maliki’s and Allawi’s lists of candidates may each get less than a third of the 325 seats at stake, according to reports from Iraqi media. Allawi’s list is “neck and neck” with al-Maliki’s bloc, Allawi’s official spokeswoman, Maysoon al-Damluji, said today in a phone interview from Baghdad. “We are doing pretty well.” Al-Damluji said that Allawi’s group had success with voters in Baghdad and the western provinces. She declined to provide details until results are released. Al-Damluji is a lawmaker in the current parliament and a member of Allawi’s alliance. Sectarian, Ethnic Initial signs are that the election is breaking along sectarian and ethnic bounds. Al-Maliki’s alliance is leading in nine predominately Shiite Muslim provinces in the south, Sumaria Television reported. Abbas al-Bayati, an official from al- Maliki’s coalition, told the Associated Press the group also did well in the mixed city of Baghdad. Allawi’s Iraqiya, which campaigned for a non-sectarian Iraq, was winning in four mainly Sunni Muslim provinces in the center and north, Sumaria and the Iraq News Agency reported. Al- Hashemi is a Sunni from the Iraqiya party. Kurdish parties were sweeping the Kurds’ autonomous zone in the far northeast. Other Kurdish, Shiite and Sunni parties were running behind, the Iraqi broadcaster and news agency said. Oil Revenue Top government jobs, including the head of the influential Oil Ministry, will be at stake. The ruling coalition that emerges from the election will have to resolve disputes over sharing oil revenue among regions and whether to include the oil-rich city of Kirkuk in the Kurdish autonomous region in the north, as well as cope with violence between Shiites and Sunnis. Iraq’s 115 billion-barrel oil reserves place it third behind Saudi Arabia and Iran. The country pumped about 2.4 million barrels a day last month, according to Bloomberg estimates. Once official results are announced, Talabani will have 15 days to convene a new parliament. The first session elects a speaker and two deputy speakers. Next, a new president is elected with a two-thirds majority. The new president has 15 days to task the leader of the largest bloc with forming a government. U.S. Troops Violence may escalate if the majority Shiites and the minority Sunni Muslims and Kurds aren’t all included in a coalition, said Ahmed Ali, an analyst at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy . That would thwart U.S. ambitions to leave a stable Iraq as it withdraws its troops. U.S. troop strength will shrink from 96,000 to 50,000 by Sept. 1. All U.S. forces gone from Iraq by the end of 2011, under a schedule set last year by President Barack Obama . Parties will probably spend months haggling over the makeup of a coalition government, said Wael Abdel Latif of the National Iraqi Alliance, a major Shiite Muslim bloc. “The formation of the government may face big problems if the results are close and there is no clear winner,” Latif said in an interview yesterday in Baghdad. Preliminary results showed “a very close race,” he said. It could take more than six months to form a government, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy said in a March 3 report. The parliamentary vote was the second since Saddam Hussein’s overthrow by U.S. forces in 2003. More than 6,200 candidates competed for seats in the legislature, the Council of Representatives. To contact the reporters on this story: Caroline Alexander in London at calexander1@bloomberg.net ; Daniel Williams in Cairo at dwilliams41@bloomberg.net .

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Iraqis Face Months of Coalition Wrangling as Bombings Fail to Deter Voters

March 8, 2010

By Caroline Alexander and Daniel Williams March 8 (Bloomberg) — Vote-counting is under way in Iraq, where citizens defied bombs and mortar shells to get to the polls in yesterday’s national parliamentary election. They probably will face months of haggling by fractious leaders over the formation of a coalition government. Initial figures on turnout in the election, which was contested by 86 political blocs, are expected today. Sixty percent of voters may have taken part, and there were no complaints of major irregularities, said Amal Bairaqdar, a member of the Independent High Electoral Commission, in an interview. The 2005 turnout was more than 76 percent, the panel said. A final vote count may take until the end of the month. At least 36 people were killed yesterday in attacks, most in Baghdad, according to the Associated Press. Iraqi affiliates of al-Qaeda, the global terrorist network, had vowed to attack voters on their way to the polls. Violence may escalate if the vote doesn’t produce a coalition that includes the country’s main ethnic and religious groups, the majority Shiite Muslims and the minority Sunni Muslims and the Kurds. That would thwart U.S. ambitions to leave a stable Iraq as it withdraws its troops. Preliminary election results may be released in two or three days, Faraj al-Haidari, head of the electoral commission, said today in a televised interview from Baghdad. Oil Revenue The ruling coalition that emerges will have to resolve disputes over the sharing of oil revenue among regions, the borders of the Kurdish autonomous region in the north and whether it encompasses oil-rich city of Kirkuk, and the volatile relations between Shiites and Sunnis. Iraq’s 115 billion-barrel oil reserves place it third behind Saudi Arabia and Iran. The country pumped 2.3 million barrels a day last month, according to Bloomberg estimates. The violence in Iraq is “episodic, lethal, but ultimately incapable of derailing the political process,” said Reidar Visser , an Iraq analyst at the Olso-based Norwegian Institute for International Affairs . “The more fundamental question relates to the quality of the political process” and Iraq’s transformation to democracy which “remains highly tentative.” In Baghdad, voters had to endure grenade, mortar and bomb attacks. At least 19 people were killed when explosions struck two buildings in the northeastern part of the capital, AP said. The cities of Fallujah, Baquba and Samarra were also struck by mortars or bombs, many of them near polling stations, Agence France-Presse reported. Voters Undeterred “Despite the bombs that I heard on my way and the fact that I was stopped and searched three times, I insisted on voting,” Ali Salim, a 32-year-old teacher in Baghdad and a Shiite Muslim, said at a voting station. “I even put on my best suit and tie.” President Barack Obama called the election “an important milestone” and congratulated the Iraqis yesterday for not succumbing to intimidation. “I have great respect for the millions of Iraqis who refused to be deterred by acts of violence, and who exercised their right to vote,” he said in a statement issued by the White House. “There is no better rebuke to the violent extremists who seek to derail Iraq’s progress,” U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said in a statement. “We salute the determination of the Iraqi people to reaffirm their commitment to democracy and to chart their own future free of fear and intimidation.” Security Forces Defense Secretary Robert Gates said the top U.S. commander in Iraq, General Ray Odierno , had reported that “the Iraq Security Forces have performed superbly, and the turnout is as high, if not higher, than earlier expectations. So all in all a good day for the Iraqis and for all of us,” Gates told reporters traveling on his military plane. Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki predicted last week that no one party would win a majority. A Shiite Muslim alliance that brought him to power in 2005 has disintegrated and his State of Law coalition was in a contest for Shiite votes with former Shiite allies now in the National Iraqi Alliance. Al-Maliki’s alliance was leading in nine of the country’s 18 provinces, AFP reported, citing unofficial estimates by local electoral officials. It said the key results for the Baghdad region weren’t yet available. Iraq’s Kurds, who backed al-Maliki after the last election, have since feuded with him over sharing oil revenue and control of Kirkuk. The main Kurdish parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, formed an alliance that was challenged by a new party called Change. Sunni Muslims Sunni Muslims, who boycotted the 2005 election, were wooed by an array of Islamic parties, while former Prime Minister Ayad Allawi is leading the Iraqiya party, which advocates non- sectarian politics. “The fun and games will start after the votes are counted, and the parties have to form a coalition,” Qubad Talabani, the representative of Iraq’s Kurdish autonomous zone in Washington, said in a telephone interview before the election. “It will take time.” The vote was the second since Saddam Hussein ’s overthrow by U.S. forces in 2003. More than 6,200 candidates were competing for seats in the 325-member legislature. In the coming days, the focus will be on the vote count. “The great number of Iraqis who risked their safety to take part in these elections are watching,” Allawi said after the polls closed. Six Months Results may not be formally certified until the end of March. It could then take up to six months, or longer, before a government emerges, according to a March 3 report by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy . “The inevitable delays before the next Iraqi government forms will cause understandable anxiety within the Obama administration as it contemplates the appropriate speed for U.S. withdrawal,” the institute said. The U.S. is pulling its troops out of Iraq and has handed most security duties to Iraqi forces. Under a schedule set last year by Obama, U.S. troop strength will shrink from 96,000 to 50,000 by Sept. 1. All American forces are due to be withdrawn by the end of 2011. Over the past few months, violence has been periodic in Iraq, with deadly, sometimes multiple attacks separated by days of relative calm. American officials insist the pullout will go ahead and Iraqi officials say they are taking over. The withdrawal is “strongly on track,” White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs told reporters in Washington on March 4. To contact the reporters on this story: Daniel Williams in Cairo at dwilliams41@bloomberg.net ; Caroline Alexander in London at calexander1@bloomberg.net .

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Iraqis Face Months of Coalition Wrangling After Defying Bombings to Vote

March 7, 2010

By Caroline Alexander and Daniel Williams March 8 (Bloomberg) — Iraqis defied bombs and mortars to get to the polls in yesterday’s national election. Now they will likely have to face months of haggling by fractious leaders over the formation of a coalition government. Vote-counting was under way last night and initial results of the election, which was contested by 86 political groupings, are expected today. At least 36 people were killed in attacks, most in Baghdad, according to the Associated Press. Iraqi affiliates of al-Qaeda, the global terror network, had vowed to attack voters on their way to the polls, which closed at 5 p.m. While the strikes failed to derail the elections, violence could grow if the vote doesn’t produce a coalition that includes Iraq’s main ethnic and religious groups, the majority Shiite Muslim and minority Sunni Muslim and Kurds. This would threaten U.S. ambitions to leave a stable Iraq as it withdraws its troops. The level of violence is “episodic, lethal, but ultimately incapable of derailing the political process,” said Reidar Visser , an Iraq analyst at the Olso-based Norwegian Institute for International Affairs . “The more fundamental question relates to the quality of the political process” and Iraq’s transformation to democracy which “remains highly tentative.” In Baghdad, voters had to endure grenade, mortar and bomb attacks. At least 19 people were killed when explosions struck two buildings in the northeastern part of the capital, the Associated Press reported. The cities of Fallujah, Baquba and Samarra were also struck by mortars or bombs, many of them near polling stations, Agence France-Presse reported. Undeterred “Despite the bombs that I heard on my way and the fact that I was stopped and searched three times, I insisted on voting,” Ali Salim, a 32-year-old public school teacher in Baghdad and a Shiite Muslim, said at a voting station. “I even put on my best suit and tie.” President Barack Obama called the election “an important milestone” and congratulated the Iraqis yesterday for not succumbing to intimidation. “I have great respect for the millions of Iraqis who refused to be deterred by acts of violence, and who exercised their right to vote,” he said in a statement issued by the White House. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said the top U.S. commander in Iraq, General Ray Odierno , had reported that “the Iraq Security Forces have performed superbly, and the turnout is as high if not higher than earlier expectations. So all in all a good day for the Iraqis and for all of us,” Gates told reporters traveling on his military plane. Oil Revenue Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki predicted last week that no one party would win a majority. A Shiite Muslim alliance that brought him to power in 2005 has disintegrated and his State of Law coalition was in a contest for Shiite votes with former Shiite allies now in the National Iraqi Alliance. Iraq’s Kurds, who enjoy semi-autonomy in the north and backed al-Maliki after the last election, have since feuded with him over sharing oil revenue and control of Kirkuk, an oil-rich northern city. The main Kurdish parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, formed an alliance that was challenged by a new party called Change. Sunni Muslims, who boycotted the 2005 election, were wooed by an array of Islamic parties, while former Prime Minister Ayad Allawi is leading the Iraqiya party, which advocates non- sectarian politics. “The fun and games will start after the votes are counted, and the parties have to form a coalition,” Qubad Talabani, the representative of Iraq’s Kurdish autonomous zone in Washington, said in a telephone interview before the election. “It will take time.” U.S. Anxiety The vote was the second since Saddam Hussein ’s overthrow by U.S. forces in 2003. More than 6,200 candidates were competing for seats in the 325-member legislature. In the coming days, the focus will be on the vote count. “The great number of Iraqis who risked their safety to take part in these elections are watching,” Allawi said after the polls closed. Results may not be formally certified until the end of March. It could then take up to six months, or longer, before a government emerges, according to a March 3 report by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy . “The inevitable delays before the next Iraqi government forms will cause understandable anxiety within the Obama Administration as it contemplates the appropriate speed for U.S. withdrawal,” the report said. The election comes at a time when the U.S. is pulling its troops out of Iraq and has handed most security duties to Iraqi forces. Under a schedule set last year by Obama, U.S. troop strength will shrink from 96,000 to 50,000 by September 1. All American forces will have left by the end of 2011. Over the past few months, violence has been periodic in Iraq, with deadly, sometimes multiple attacks separated by days of relative calm. American officials insist the pull-out will go ahead and Iraqi officials say they are taking over. The withdrawal is “strongly on track,” White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs told reporters in Washington on March 4. To contact the reporters on this story: Daniel Williams in Cairo at dwilliams41@bloomberg.net . Caroline Alexander in London at calexander1@bloomberg.net

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Morphine for Combat Injured Halved Rate of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder

January 13, 2010

By Alexandra Thomas Jan. 13 (Bloomberg) — Giving morphine to troops injured in fighting in Iraq lowered their risk of post-traumatic stress disorder by half, a study found. The study, published today in the New England Journal of Medicine , identified 696 U.S. Navy and Marine Corps personnel who suffered a major combat injury from 2004 to 2006. Seventy- six percent of those who didn’t develop the disorder had received morphine, compared with about 60 percent of those who hadn’t, the researchers found. As many as one in five veterans of the Iraq war have experienced post-traumatic stress disorder, or PTSD, after a serious injury during combat, according to the U.S. Veterans Affairs Department . A reliable way to prevent PTSD would significantly change military emergency medicine, said the researchers from the Naval Health Research Center in San Diego. “Such findings suggest a potential for prophylactic use of rapid pain reduction among injured, traumatic persons in both military and civilian acute care settings,” wrote Matthew Friedman from Dartmouth Medical School in Hanover, New Hampshire, in an editorial accompanying the study. Friedman likened the morphine treatment to “a morning-after pill.” PTSD is an anxiety disorder that some people get after living through a dangerous or painful event, according to the National Institutes of Health, a U.S. agency. Gunshots, Grenades The military personnel in the study included those injured by improvised explosive devices, gunshots, mortars and grenades. The results showed 147 of the 243 with PTSD had received morphine compared with 346 of 453 without PTSD who had gotten morphine. The stress disorder develops after the brain encodes memories during a traumatic event, researchers said in the study. The results suggested morphine and related opiates, may reduce or prevent the disorder by blocking this process when given soon, usually within one hour, after injury. If people who suffer only minor injuries don’t need morphine for physical pain, the drug could protect them from later developing PTSD, according to the editorial. Even if it’s unlikely morphine will be given to everyone undergoing a trauma, drugs like propranolol and clonidine may have the same effect. To contact the reporter on this story: Alexandra Thomas in Washington at athomas48@bloomberg.net .

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Mike Konczal: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission: A User’s Guide

January 12, 2010

This week begins the long-awaited first hearings of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC). This is a bi-partisan 10-member commission created by Congress to investigate the causes of the financial collapse. It is mandated to create a special report by December 15th, 2010, and will be holding hearings year round. The Commission is expected to have their webpage — fcic.gov — go live today. I’ll be blogging the FCIC live from the hearings through Thursday right here. First, an overview. The FCIC is modeled in part on the Iraq Study group, and in part on the New Deal’s Pecora Investigation. Pecora, in the testimony he found, uncovered a variety of abuses that mobilized the public to pass the banking regulation that provided the financial sector for the postwar boom in the real economy: Glass-Steagall, the Securities Act, and the Securities Exchange Act. Several members of the FCIC are hoping to have policy recommendations available for Congress in their final report. As for the committee itself, there are a lot of hopeful signs. Brooksley Born, who was pushed out of her job in the late 1990s by Larry Summers, Robert Rubin and Alan Greenspan for trying to bring Credit Default Swaps (CDS contracts) under the regulatory umbrella, a story well told in the Frontline documentary “The Warning” is on the commission. Keith Hennessey, who in addition to being a blogger was Director of the National Economic Council for President Bush in 2008 (may want to use subpoena power to learn more about what was being hidden from him by Paulson, Geithner and Bernanke during the crisis), is also on the committee. Phil Angelides has secured the ability to grant whistleblower status to witnesses, a move that may get some surprise testimony. What will the commission bring? Wednesday There are five panels over the two days, three on Wednesday and two on Thursday. The first panel, “Financial Institution Representatives,” has the CEO/Chairman of each of the major four banks: Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sach, James Dimon of JPMorgan Chase, John Mack of Morgan Stanley, and Brian Moynihan of Bank of America. If there are going to be headline grabbing revelations at this commission, it will be from this panel. There are any number of questions to ask these four CEOs, and it is just a matter of having enough time to get through the most important ones. The next panel, “Financial Market Participants,” will have members of the investment community: Michael Mayo, a director of Calyon Securities, Kyle Bass of Hayman Advisors, and Peter Solomon of Petere J. Solomon Company. The presumption is that they’ll give an investor perspective on what was going on in the financial markets over the past decade, and their interactions with both the collateralized markets and the largest banks. The last panel of Wednesday will be “Financial Crisis on the Economy,” which will give a much needed perspective on the crisis from the point of the real economy and regular people. There will be C.R. Cloutier, a past chairman of the Independent Community Bankers Assocation, who will likely talk about pressures community banks felt from larger banks their unregulated subprime lending arms. There will be Dr. Rosen of Berkeley and Dr. Zandi of Moody’s Economy.com to talk about the impact on the real economy and the real estate market. And in a heartening sign, Julia Gordon of the Center for Responsible Lending, who will certainly give perspectives from the point of view of individuals who have been run over by the past decade. Thursday The two panels on Thursday will interview government officials, at the federal level for the fourth panel and at the state level for the last one. The questioning of Attorney General Eric Holder will be interesting to see how much the committee wants to push him. State Attorney Generals, including Lisa Madigan of Illinois and John Suthers of Colorado will be testifying. Who I think will be most interesting to hear from on Thursday is Sheila Bair, Chairman of the FDIC and a hero of financial reform. After a long year of surviving Treasury Secretary Geithner’s efforts to remove her from her office, and preventing the grossest subsidies from taxpayers to banks hidden in the Geithner “PPIP” Plan from going through, she’ll probably have a lot of interesting things to say. This post originally appeared on New Deal 2.0

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U.S. Senate Clears Way for Debate on $636 Billion Defense Spending Bill

December 18, 2009

By Brian Faler Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) — A $636 billion U.S. Defense Department spending bill cleared a procedural hurdle early today in the Senate, which plans a final vote tomorrow to send the measure to President Barack Obama . Senators agreed 63-33, with 60 votes needed, to limit debate on the bill, which includes $128 billion for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. The House passed it 395-34 on Dec. 16. Majority Leader Harry Reid scheduled the post-midnight vote after the defense measure became caught up in Republican efforts to stall a vote on a health-care overhaul in the coming days. The Senate won’t be able to vote on final passage of the defense plan until about 7 a.m. tomorrow if Republicans insist on using all 30 hours of allotted debate time. At that point the Senate would return to the health-care measure, which Democrats want to pass by Christmas. The defense bill is the last of 12 annual spending bills awaiting approval. The measure includes stopgap provisions to ensure that unemployment benefits aren’t cut off over the holidays, as well as short-term extensions of Medicare reimbursement rates and provisions of the USA Patriot Act. To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Faler at bfaler@bloomberg.net

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Reid’s Christmas Deadline for Health Bill Threatened by Republican Tactics

December 17, 2009

By Kristin Jensen and Laura Litvan Dec. 17 (Bloomberg) — Senate Democrats, trying to round up 60 votes for health-care legislation, face new challenges to their goal of passing a bill by Christmas as they confront both Republican stalling tactics and other pressing business. The Senate took up a $636 billion defense-spending measure that includes $128 billion for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. That and Republican delays — such as insisting that each amendment be read word for word — mean work may not resume on health care until the weekend. And the votes needed for passage aren’t yet assured, said Illinois Senator Dick Durbin . “Members have expressed concern, indecision,” said Durbin, the No. 2 Senate Democrat, adding that talks with the chief party holdout, Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska, continue. “We won’t move forward without knowing we have” the 60 votes that will be needed for passage, he said. Durbin expressed confidence that Democrats would pass the health bill by Christmas, a goal set by Majority Leader Harry Reid . On the Senate floor, he urged Republicans to work with Democrats for quick approval of the military bill, already passed by the House, so lawmakers could return to health care. The 10-year, $848 billion Senate health plan is designed to cover 31 million uninsured Americans and curb medical expenses . Like a measure passed Nov. 7 by the U.S. House, it would require Americans to get health coverage, offering expanded aid for the poor and creating online insurance- purchasing exchanges to help the uninsured buy policies. Read Aloud Partisan clashes over the legislation broke out on the floor yesterday. Oklahoma Republican Tom Coburn demanded that a Senate clerk read aloud every word of a 767-page amendment by Senator Bernie Sanders , a Vermont independent, that would have opened up government insurance to all Americans. After almost three hours of reading, and as Durbin convened a news conference to complain about the Republican tactic, Sanders withdrew the amendment. Coburn’s attempt to object was overruled, and Sanders proceeded to give a fiery speech in favor of a single-payer, fully government-run insurance system. Later, Reid and other Democrats took to the Senate floor, to show their support as Sanders demanded that the full Senate vote immediately to table a pending Republican amendment by Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas that was designed to delay tax increases in the measure. Her proposal was defeated, 56-41, and signaled the potential for other Republican proposals to be shunted aside. McConnell Protests Republicans, who say the bill might crowd out private insurers, raise taxes and widen the federal budget deficit , left little doubt of their intentions to try to stop it. Republican Leader Mitch McConnell took the floor to defend his party’s right to force a reading of amendments. He protested allowing Sanders to withdraw his amendment, saying “the plain language of Senate precedent” requires that all 100 senators agree before a lawmaker can withdraw a measure. The Kentucky Republican said public opinion is moving in the opponents’ favor. “The American people are saying, ‘Please don’t pass this bill,’” McConnell said at a news conference. He said the public is aware of the potential risks of higher insurance premiums and cuts to Medicare spending, which would finance half the legislation. Public Opinion McConnell pointed to a Washington Post-ABC News poll that found the public’s disapproval of President Barack Obama’s handling of health care is at a new high of 53 percent. The Dec. 10-13 poll was based on a survey of 1,003 adults and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. If the Senate passes its bill, the measure would have to be reconciled with a version approved by the House on Nov. 7. Senator Joe Lieberman , a Connecticut Independent whose support is crucial because Republicans are united in opposition to the measure, said he’s ready to back it after Democrats signaled they’re poised to drop a proposed new government-run insurance program, as well as a plan to expand the Medicare program for the elderly to people as young as 55. Nelson, who last week tried unsuccessfully to amend the bill to include tough restrictions on abortion funding, said he’s examining proposed abortion language that would apply to insurance policies purchased in the proposed online exchange. Waiting for Feedback Asked if the language would work, Nelson said, “I don’t know at this point in time. Constituency groups haven’t responded back.” Sanders said he’s still not behind the measure because the public option was dropped. Still, a pivotal Senate Democrat who has expressed reservations in recent weeks — Mary Landrieu of Louisiana — said yesterday she will vote with Democrats “barring any significant changes” to the legislation. The bill is “in the best shape it could be,” Landrieu told reporters. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi signaled that her caucus may be ready to accept legislation that doesn’t contain the public option. “It depends on what else is in the bill,” Pelosi told reporters yesterday. “We will see what they have on the table.” To contact the reporters on this story: Laura Litvan in Washington at llitvan@bloomberg.net ; Kristin Jensen in Washington at kjensen@bloomberg.net

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Reid’s Christmas Deadline for Health Bill Threatened by Republican Tactics

December 17, 2009

By Kristin Jensen and Laura Litvan Dec. 17 (Bloomberg) — Senate Democrats, trying to round up 60 votes for health-care legislation, face new challenges to their goal of passing a bill by Christmas as they confront both Republican stalling tactics and other pressing business. The Senate took up a $636 billion defense-spending measure that includes $128 billion for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. That and Republican delays — such as insisting that each amendment be read word for word — mean work may not resume on health care until the weekend. And the votes needed for passage aren’t yet assured, said Illinois Senator Dick Durbin . “Members have expressed concern, indecision,” said Durbin, the No. 2 Senate Democrat, adding that talks with the chief party holdout, Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska, continue. “We won’t move forward without knowing we have” the 60 votes that will be needed for passage, he said. Durbin expressed confidence that Democrats would pass the health bill by Christmas, a goal set by Majority Leader Harry Reid . On the Senate floor, he urged Republicans to work with Democrats for quick approval of the military bill, already passed by the House, so lawmakers could return to health care. The 10-year, $848 billion Senate health plan is designed to cover 31 million uninsured Americans and curb medical expenses . Like a measure passed Nov. 7 by the U.S. House, it would require Americans to get health coverage, offering expanded aid for the poor and creating online insurance- purchasing exchanges to help the uninsured buy policies. Read Aloud Partisan clashes over the legislation broke out on the floor yesterday. Oklahoma Republican Tom Coburn demanded that a Senate clerk read aloud every word of a 767-page amendment by Senator Bernie Sanders , a Vermont independent, that would have opened up government insurance to all Americans. After almost three hours of reading, and as Durbin convened a news conference to complain about the Republican tactic, Sanders withdrew the amendment. Coburn’s attempt to object was overruled, and Sanders proceeded to give a fiery speech in favor of a single-payer, fully government-run insurance system. Later, Reid and other Democrats took to the Senate floor, to show their support as Sanders demanded that the full Senate vote immediately to table a pending Republican amendment by Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas that was designed to delay tax increases in the measure. Her proposal was defeated, 56-41, and signaled the potential for other Republican proposals to be shunted aside. McConnell Protests Republicans, who say the bill might crowd out private insurers, raise taxes and widen the federal budget deficit , left little doubt of their intentions to try to stop it. Republican Leader Mitch McConnell took the floor to defend his party’s right to force a reading of amendments. He protested allowing Sanders to withdraw his amendment, saying “the plain language of Senate precedent” requires that all 100 senators agree before a lawmaker can withdraw a measure. The Kentucky Republican said public opinion is moving in the opponents’ favor. “The American people are saying, ‘Please don’t pass this bill,’” McConnell said at a news conference. He said the public is aware of the potential risks of higher insurance premiums and cuts to Medicare spending, which would finance half the legislation. Public Opinion McConnell pointed to a Washington Post-ABC News poll that found the public’s disapproval of President Barack Obama’s handling of health care is at a new high of 53 percent. The Dec. 10-13 poll was based on a survey of 1,003 adults and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. If the Senate passes its bill, the measure would have to be reconciled with a version approved by the House on Nov. 7. Senator Joe Lieberman , a Connecticut Independent whose support is crucial because Republicans are united in opposition to the measure, said he’s ready to back it after Democrats signaled they’re poised to drop a proposed new government-run insurance program, as well as a plan to expand the Medicare program for the elderly to people as young as 55. Nelson, who last week tried unsuccessfully to amend the bill to include tough restrictions on abortion funding, said he’s examining proposed abortion language that would apply to insurance policies purchased in the proposed online exchange. Waiting for Feedback Asked if the language would work, Nelson said, “I don’t know at this point in time. Constituency groups haven’t responded back.” Sanders said he’s still not behind the measure because the public option was dropped. Still, a pivotal Senate Democrat who has expressed reservations in recent weeks — Mary Landrieu of Louisiana — said yesterday she will vote with Democrats “barring any significant changes” to the legislation. The bill is “in the best shape it could be,” Landrieu told reporters. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi signaled that her caucus may be ready to accept legislation that doesn’t contain the public option. “It depends on what else is in the bill,” Pelosi told reporters yesterday. “We will see what they have on the table.” To contact the reporters on this story: Laura Litvan in Washington at llitvan@bloomberg.net ; Kristin Jensen in Washington at kjensen@bloomberg.net

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Raids on Taliban to Accelerate With Troop Surge, Mirroring Iraq War Tactic

December 10, 2009

By Tony Capaccio Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. will accelerate commando raids against hardcore Taliban and al-Qaeda fighters as it adds forces in Afghanistan, according to top commanders. The same tactics that proved successful during the Iraq surge of 2007 will be used, including targeting senior and mid- level insurgents outside population areas protected by U.S. troops, they said. The current U.S. and NATO commander in Afghanistan, General Stanley McChrystal , directed those efforts. U.S. intelligence agencies and elite special-forces units in Iraq worked in “fusion cells” that consolidated and analyzed real-time information from informants, satellites and eavesdropping on top al-Qaeda operatives. The strategy enabled quick, focused strikes. “We did it in Iraq and we think it’s a very important component of the counterinsurgency strategy” in Afghanistan, Admiral Michael Mullen , chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters today. “Every effort will be made to focus on key leaders of the insurgency, key leaders in the terrorist world and every effort will be made to capture or kill them,” he said. More special forces will be a small but “significant” part of the 30,000 extra U.S. troops the U.S. is adding to the 68,000 now in Afghanistan, Mullen said. ‘Kill or Capture’ General David Petraeus , who commands U.S. forces in the Middle East and Central Asia, told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee yesterday that the U.S. will increase “our counterterrorist component of the overall strategy.” “You’ve got to kill or capture those bad guys that are not reconcilable and we are intending to do that,” he said. “And we will have additional” forces “to do that.” McChrystal, in an interview yesterday, said the most effective approach to attacking al-Qaeda is not to strike solely at the leaders – “decapitation” strikes such as the U.S. endorsed after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. “What I have come to believe is you take the middle of the network – experienced professionals – you attack them, you capture, you kill and you turn as many of them as you can and you cause the network to collapse on itself,” he said on PBS’s Charlie Rose , broadcast on Bloomberg television. “That’s what I saw happen in Iraq and that’s one of the things we are working in Afghanistan,” McChrystal said. Expertise in Special Forces McChrystal’s background is in overseeing special forces, including counter-terrorism units such as the Army’s Delta Force. From September 2003 through August 2008, he led the Defense Department’s Joint Special Operations Command, which manages units in Iraq and Afghanistan. He orchestrated the manhunts that led to the capture of Saddam Hussein in December 2003 and the air strike in June 2006 that killed Abu Musab al-Zarqawi , the leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq. Mullen, speaking in February at a conference in Washington on special operations, praised McChrystal’s work in Iraq. He cited the integration of commando and conventional forces and McChrystal’s use of intelligence to launch quick attacks on suspected terrorists. “It was the merger of intelligence and operations as we have never seen it done before,” Mullen said. “We should capture” those lessons “in every possible way and the devastation that it caused for the enemy. We need to keep that, we need to hang on to that and apply that to Afghanistan.” To contact the reporter on this story: Tony Capaccio in Washington at acapaccio@bloomberg.net .

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Don McNay: Postage and Other Economic Outrages Against Soldiers

December 7, 2009

Letters, never a letter I get no letters in the mail I’ve been forgotten, yes, forgotten Now I’m a soldier, a lonely soldier Away from home through no wish of my own -Bobby Vinton I recently found that families of military people pay regular postage and shipping costs when they mail packages to soldiers in a war zone. America ships soldiers off to Afghanistan and Iraq for free. If you come back in a body bag, they ship that back for free, too. However, we make families who send soldiers socks, food and underwear pay shipping costs. In a world where we spend billions to bail out Wall Street bankers and run trillion dollar government deficits, our government makes the families of soldiers pony up for postage. That’s not right. If America is going to send our troops to fight dangerous wars, we need to make sure that the troop’s support systems are “too big to fail.” Instead, war has been hell on the home front, too. Since the beginning of the Iraq war, the families of soldiers have been fighting an economic battle. Few military people come from wealth. As Michael Moore made clear in his movie, Fahrenheit 9/11, members of Congress aren’t interested in sending their children to fight in Iraq and Afghanistan. Working class families allow the rest of us to avoid being subjected to a draft. Yet, those families can’t send a box of cookies to a soldier without paying shipping and postage. Since the beginning of the search for “weapons of mass destructions” in Iraq, it seems like our government has declared an economic war on the soldiers and families fighting the war. We sent troops into battle without proper body armor. The scandal at Walter Reed hospital showed how horribly injured veterans have been treated. We’ve sent the same people back to Iraq, over and over and over again. And we won’t let their families skip shipping costs when they send a box of popcorn. The war in Iraq has gone on longer than World War II. And with an economic crisis and unemployment going full tilt, the military gets overlooked in the media cycle. Americans are more likely to know the “body count” of Tiger Wood’s mistresses than how many soldiers died fighting overseas. When the Iraq war started, Congress and the Pentagon allowed military families to be subjected to every kind of financial scheme imaginable. Military families were getting slammed by payday lenders, cash cashing companies and a host of peddlers, hawking products that were designed “exclusively” for the military market. The “exclusive” products created high commissions for the person who sold them but never did as well as comparable products offered to the general public. Diana Henriques, of the New York Times, did a series of articles about how soldiers were being targeted by unsavory peddlers to buy financial products they didn’t need and couldn’t afford. She mentioned in passing that soldiers were being sold “contractual mutual funds” by companies like the Fidelity Group, where Peter Lynch is vice chairman. I wrote a long series of columns about the contractual mutual fund rip-off. I’ve been familiar with contractual mutual funds since studying for my securities license in the early 1980′s. They were great for the person selling them and lousy for the person buying them. I thought companies quit selling them long ago. It turns out that Fidelity had a special product which it marketed almost exclusively to military people. It literally took an act of Congress to stop Fidelity from peddling those funds to soldiers. Congress also limited payday lenders to a maximum of 36% interest for transactions with military people and their families. In several previous columns, I offered to have Peter Lynch, and his Hollywood chums, such as Lily Tomlin, shipped to Iraq to replace soldiers who bought Fidelity contractual funds. Turns out, if a military family had shipped Peter and Lily, they would have been required to pay shipping and postage costs. If we are sending soldiers off to war, we ought to allow them to receive an unlimited number of free packages from their immediate families. Because of an odd quirk in the law, soldiers in war zones can send letters home for free. But if someone wants to send them a package, they pay full freight. Currently, there are three bills before Congress to fix this problem, HB404, HR2126 and HR707. All three are buried in the Armed Services Committee, going nowhere. We need to make one of those bills into law. I hope people send many holiday presents to our soldiers. They have a job I would never want, in a place I never want to visit. That gets us through this year. A more long lasting present is to call, write or email your Congressman. Tell them to let the families of soldiers send packages and letters to the soldiers at no charge. Ask for their support for at least one of the bills buried in the Armed Services Committee. You can help make it more like Christmas for our soldiers every day, instead of just once a year. Don McNay, CLU, ChFC, MSFS, CSSC is one of the world’s leading authorities in helping people deal with “Big Money” issues. McNay is an award winning, syndicated financial columnist and Huffington Post Contributor. You can read more about Don at www.donmcnay.com McNay founded McNay Settlement Group, a structured settlement and financial consulting firm, in 1983 and Kentucky Guardianship Administrators LLC in 2000. You can read more about both at www.mcnay.com McNay has Master’s Degrees from Vanderbilt and the American College and is in the Eastern Kentucky University Hall of Distinguished Alumni. McNay has written two books. Most recent is Son of a Son of a Gambler: Winners, Losers and What to Do When You Win The Lottery McNay is a lifetime member of the Million Dollar Round Table and has four professional designations in the financial services field.

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Hollywood Bid to Expand Oscars May Help `Precious’ Instead of `Star Trek’

December 7, 2009

By Michael White Dec. 7 (Bloomberg) — Hollywood’s expansion of the Academy Awards best-picture nominations to 10 has opened the door wider for independents, creating even more competition for big-budget films that have been squeezed out in recent years. The awards buzz picks up on Dec. 15 when the Hollywood Foreign Press Association announces its Golden Globe nominations, followed by the Screen Actors Guild on Dec. 17. Critic favorites like “Precious,” about an abused inner-city teen, and the Iraq war thriller “The Hurt Locker” dominate early predictions for the Feb. 2 Oscar finalists. Box-office hits including Viacom Inc. ’s “Star Trek” are lower on lists. “It’s the best thing that’s ever happened for independent film at the Oscars,” said Tom Bernard , co-president of Sony Pictures Classics, distributor of “An Education,” a small- budget film cited as an Oscar contender. It had taken in $6.27 million in ticket sales as of Dec. 6, according to Box Office Mojo , a film industry researcher. The Oscars, produced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences and televised by Walt Disney Co. ’s ABC since 1976, give studios an extra chance to shower attention on nominated films. Movies that win, such as Fox’s “Slumdog Millionaire,” get a marketing push and possibly an extended run in theaters. The academy expanded the best-picture category from five in June so popular films might get more nominations and the telecast would draw more viewers and ads. The 2009 TV audience rose 13 percent as the late Heath Ledger won a supporting-actor award for the Joker in “The Dark Knight.” The film, with $1 billion in global ticket sales, wasn’t a best-picture nominee. ‘Broaden the Audience’ Bill Condon and Larry Mark , producers of last year’s Oscars show, recommended the change after the last telecast, said Tom Sherak, president of the Beverly Hills, California-based academy. “We all looked at each other and said, ‘Wow,’” Sherak said in an interview. “They said it would be good for the show, that it might broaden the audience.” Independent films may still garner the lion’s share of best-picture nods, stealing attention from box-office leaders that could attract more viewers. “It could backfire,” said David Ansen , a Newsweek film critic and artistic director of the Los Angeles Film Festival. “How many of those big popular movies are contenders? Not many.” At the Los Angeles Times’ The Envelope , “Up in the Air,” from Viacom’s Paramount, “Hurt Locker,” distributed by Summit Entertainment, and “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” lead Oscar predictions. ‘Dark Knight’ Disney’s “Up,” with $293 million in U.S. and Canadian receipts, is the only movie among the site’s 10 leading contenders that is also Top 10 in ticket sales this year. “Star Trek” is in a seven-way tie for 16th at The Envelope. James Cameron’s “Avatar,” which opens Dec. 18, is No. 11. “Precious” has taken in $36.3 million domestically for Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. , run from Santa Monica, California. “Hurt Locker” has made $12.7 million, according to Box Office Mojo. “Up in the Air” earned $1.19 million in limited release its first weekend and is set to expand. The Oscars drew their biggest audience in 1998, attracting 55.2 million viewers when Cameron’s “Titanic,” the all-time box-office leader, won best picture, according to ratings data from Nielsen Co. Sherak said he didn’t know how close “The Dark Knight” came to getting a nomination. The film and critically praised comedy “Tropic Thunder” deserved consideration, he said. ‘Broad, Popular Movies’ “Those were broad, popular movies that had great reviews,” Sherak said. Smaller-budget films have won best picture in four of the past five years, according to the academy Web site . “Slumdog Millionaire,” the $15 million movie from New York-based News Corp. ’s Fox Searchlight, played in limited release for six weeks in 2008 and went on to collect $377.4 million worldwide, according to Box Office Mojo , based in Sherman Oaks, California. “Up,” Burbank, California-based Disney’s animated tale of an elderly man who realizes his dream of world travel, is in the hunt, said Christine Birch , head of marketing at DreamWorks Studios, co-founded by Steven Spielberg . The movie has taken in $507 million worldwide, according to Box Office Mojo. “Star Trek,” from New York-based Viacom Inc. ’s Paramount Pictures, and the Time Warner Inc. comedy “The Hangover,” which collected $459.4 million in ticket sales, may have a chance, Birch said. Cameron’s ‘Avatar’ “Up in the Air” and News Corp.’s “Avatar,” a 3-D science-fiction film, are possibilities, said James D. Stern , chief executive officer of Endgame Entertainment, a Beverly Hills, California-based independent production company. Disney rose 51 cents to $30.84 on Dec. 4 in New York Stock Exchange composite trading . New York-based Time Warner climbed 31 cents to $31.42, and Viacom gained 20 cents to $29.71. Tokyo- based Sony Corp. ’s U.S. shares added 54 cents to $28.52, while News Corp. advanced 33 cents to $12.03 on the Nasdaq Stock Market. Stern was an executive producer of “An Education,” which has taken in $6.55 million worldwide. He also directed “Every Little Step,” on the academy’s list of 15 documentaries being considered. “Up in the Air,” a George Clooney comedy, blurs the line between independent and studio films, Bernard said. The movie, a co-production of Paramount and director Jason Reitman’s Right of Way Films, was made for about $30 million, according to the Internet Movie Database , a Web site on the film industry. ‘From the Shadows’ Stern’s “An Education” was tied for seventh in The Envelope’s survey of critics asked to pick the most likely nominees. That gives the producer a reason to cheer the expansion. “You could argue that it’s good for my film,” Stern said. “If you were going to be one of the five and you knew it, you would rather not have 10.” To contact the reporter on this story: Michael White in Los Angeles at mwhite8@bloomberg.net .

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Dean Baker: The Job Loss from Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the Job Loss from Defense Spending

November 9, 2009

There is a major national ad campaign, funded by the oil industry and other usual suspects, to convince the public that measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and slow global warming will result in massive job loss. This ad campaign warns of slower growth and the loss of hundreds of thousands of jobs, possibly even millions of jobs, if some variation of the current proposals being debated by Congress get passed into law. In fact, standard economic models do show that measures designed to reduce GHG by raising energy prices will lead to some cost in terms of slower economic growth. And slower economic growth implies fewer jobs, although the impact will almost certainly be less than indicated in these scare stories. However, the oil industry’s scare stories about job loss never put it in any context. In these models, any government measure that interferes with market outcomes almost by definition reduces efficiency, leading to less economic growth and fewer jobs. Efforts to slow global warming fall in this category, but so does almost everything else, and many items in the everything else category have a much larger impact. For example, defense spending means that the government is pulling away resources from the uses determined by the market and instead using them to buy weapons and supplies and to pay for soldiers and other military personnel. In standard economic models, defense spending is a direct drain on the economy, reducing efficiency, slowing growth and costing jobs. A few years ago, the Center for Economic and Policy Research commissioned Global Insight, one of the leading economic modeling firms, to project the impact of a sustained increase in defense spending equal to 1.0 percentage point of GDP. This was roughly equal to the cost of the Iraq war. Global Insight’s model projected that after 20 years the economy would be about 0.6 percentage points smaller as a result of the additional defense spending. Slower growth would imply a loss of almost 700,000 jobs compared to a situation in which defense spending had not been increased. Construction and manufacturing were especially big job losers in the projections, losing 210,000 and 90,000 jobs, respectively. The scenario we asked Global Insight to model turned out to have vastly underestimated the increase in defense spending associated with current policy. In the most recent quarter, defense spending was equal to 5.6 percent of GDP. By comparison, before the 9/11 attacks, the Congressional Budget Office projected that defense spending in 2009 would be equal to just 2.4 percent of GDP. Our post-9/11 build-up was equal to 3.2 percentage points of GDP compared to the pre-attack baseline. This means that the Global Insight projections of job loss are far too low. The impact of higher spending will not be directly proportionate in these economic models. In fact, it should be somewhat more than proportionate, but if we just multiple the Global Insight projections by three, we would get that the long-term impact of our increased defense spending will be a reduction in GDP of 1.8 percentage points. This would correspond to roughly $250 billion in the current economy, or about $800 in lost output for every person in the country. The projected job loss from this increase in defense spending would be close to two million. In other words, the standard economic models that project job loss from efforts to stem global warming also project that the increase in defense spending since 2000 will cost the economy close to two million jobs in the long run. For some reason, no one has chosen to highlight the job loss associated with higher defense spending. In fact, the job loss attributable to defense spending has probably never been mentioned in a single news story in the New York Times , Washington Post , National Public Radio, or any other major media outlet. It is difficult to find a good explanation for this omission. If we want to have a serious discussion of the economic impact of efforts to reduce GHG then the economic impact must be put in context. We know that the oil industry is interested in preserving its profits, not informing voters. However, if the media discuss projections of job loss from efforts to contain global warming without putting them in any context, then the public would be right to question their motives as well.

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EU Lisbon Treaty Signed by Poland, Raising Pressure on Last Holdout Czechs

October 10, 2009

By Katya Andrusz and Marta Waldoch Oct. 10 (Bloomberg) — Polish President Lech Kaczynski signed the European Union’s new governing treaty, leaving the Czech Republic as the lone holdout against the revamp of the EU’s rulebook. Poland became the 26th EU country to ratify the treaty, which would streamline decision-making and create a permanent presidency with the goal of increasing Europe’s influence in world affairs. Czech President Vaclav Klaus has refused to sign. “The treaty is awaiting its final ratification because it still doesn’t have the signature of President Klaus,” said Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt who holds the EU’s rotating presidency. “Europe is waiting for the treaty to be ratified. It doesn’t need any more delays.” Poland’s ratification opened the endgame in an eight-year effort to overhaul the EU and heated up the behind-the-scenes campaign for president. Opposition mounted last week to former U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair , the highest-profile candidate for the post. The Polish signature increases pressure on Klaus to give up his opposition to the treaty, which requires ratification by all the EU governments. While the Czech parliament has endorsed the treaty, Klaus has so far refused to sign even though he is required to by Czech law. His allies in the Senate bought time Sept. 29 by filing a supreme court case to block the treaty. Top Jobs The Czech court may rule in time for EU leaders to start discussing top-level appointments at an Oct. 29-30 summit in Brussels, Sweden’s Reinfeldt said last week. Klaus, a self-described EU dissident, opened a new front yesterday, saying ratification is out of the question until the Czech government obtains an exemption from a bill of rights attached to the treaty. Poland and Britain won exemptions when the treaty was negotiated in 2007. The Czech Republic needs a similar opt-out to prevent a flood of property claims from the 3.5 million ethnic Germans who were expelled after World War II, Klaus said. “While the vast majority of Poles support the EU and the Lisbon Treaty, we mustn’t ignore those who have doubts,” Kaczynski said at the signing ceremony in Warsaw. “Europeans need to feel that we have significance in the world, that the great civilization we’ve established isn’t in decline.” ‘Treason’ Among the doubters were about 30 people demonstrating outside the presidential palace during the treaty’s signing. “This is treason, it’s completely undemocratic,” said Protestor Zygmunt Zurawski. “I don’t have much hope that the Czech president will be able to stop the treaty coming into effect. Either they’ll poison him or force him to sign.” Klaus stepped up his one-man fight against the treaty a week after voters in Ireland backed the new policymaking system for the bloc of 500 million people. Irish voters approved the treaty in a referendum, reversing a no vote last year. The presidency is the keystone of the Lisbon Treaty, the latest overhaul of constitutional rules dating back to the founding of the EU in 1957. The bloc’s president will serve a 2 1/2-year term with the possibility of being re-elected once. Much of the office’s power has yet to be defined. Blair, 56 is the highest-profile candidate for the job. Opponents say the U.K. leader from 1997 to 2007 doesn’t belong in the job because the U.K. has remained an EU outsider, refusing to give up the pound for the euro and opting out of agreements like the passport-free travel zone. Luxembourg, the second-smallest EU state, is seeking to rally opposition to Blair, stressing his backing of the Iraq war and the 2005 attempt to cut the EU’s development aid budget for eastern Europe. Blunting Blair Blair “has more often divided than united,” Luxembourg Foreign Minister Jean Asselborn told the Sueddeutsche Zeitung in an interview published Oct. 8. Other presidential contenders tipped in the European press include Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker , Dutch Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende and former Austrian Chancellor Wolfgang Schuessel . Finnish Prime Minister Matti Vanhanen said his predecessor, Paavo Lipponen , or Blair would be good candidates. The Lisbon Treaty will open the way to further EU enlargement, Poland’s Kaczynski said. The bloc cannot say no to Georgian and Ukrainian aspirations to join, he said. “Today the EU has 27 members, and I’m convinced that we haven’t finished yet — Croatia will definitely join us shortly, but it mustn’t be the last country to do so,” he said. “There’s also Ukraine, Georgia, and in the future there’ll be others, too. The EU can’t say no to them.” To contact the reporters on this story: Katya Andrusz in Warsaw at kandrusz@bloomberg.net ; Marta Waldoch in Warsaw on mwaldoch@bloomberg.net

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Les Leopold: Obama’s Missed Moment

September 10, 2009

Add it all up, and the plan I’m proposing will cost around $900 billion over ten years — less than we have spent on the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, and less than the tax cuts for the wealthiest few.” President Barak Obama, September 9, 2009 At that moment President Obama had us in his hands. The lousy war. The giveaways to the rich. That was were we had squandered our nation’s wealth. He had the golden opportunity to solve two problems at once: paying for universal health care, and not looking like a Wall Street lackey. All he had to do was to address, and then focus, the anger felt all over America about the incredible rip-off that is called Wall Street. Here’s what he might have added to his case: “My fellow Americans, it is time for those who nearly gambled our economy into the abyss to pay us back for our bailouts and for the harm they have caused us all. Everyone knows that Wall Street spends far too much time and money gambling and speculating. Everyone knows that our economic crash was caused by their fantasy finance casinos. Everyone knows we had to pump in trillions of dollars in cash, loans and asset guarantees to get credit flowing again. And everyone knows our financial wizards are overpaid by any standard. Now is the time to end this irresponsible activity. Now is the time to set our nation on a far sounder course. “To slow down speculative activity and to help finance health care, I propose a small fee on each and every financial transaction — like the buying and selling of derivatives, the speculation on oil markets, the betting on currencies. A fee of just one tenth of one percent will generate more than $500 billion over ten years. And 99.9 percent of it will be paid by those “too big to fail” banks, investment companies and hedge funds that still engage in rapid-fire trading around the clock. The time has come for this idea, first put forth by the late James Tobin, the Nobel laureate economist. “In addition, we need to do something about our obscene distribution of wealth. If you look over the 2007 tax summaries, you’ll see that the top 400,000 returns reported as much taxable income as the bottom 65 million! That’s the worst distribution of income since the great crash of 1929. That is the money that fuels the Wall Street casino, and we need to redirect it right now to where it is most needed. A 10 percent surcharge on just those with adjustable gross incomes of over $1 million will generate another $400 million over 10 years. “Not only will universal health care be fully funded, but we will have stabilized our economy by reducing the size of the speculative casino on Wall Street, and we will have put downward pressure on its outrageous salary structure. “Yes, Wall Street and the wealthy will certainly object. They might even use their cash to undermine such legislation. But the American people are smarter than that. They will tell their legislators to do the people’s business and not Wall Street’s. The will demand justice. They know the difference between the pampering of multi-millionaire financial speculators, and what it is like for the millions who have lost their jobs because the casino crashed. “I say to all of you who are upset with our economic woes, who are angry about the bailouts, and who can’t stomach the outrageous financial salaries — I say to you that these tax proposals are just, fair and economically sound. If you join with me, we can have good health care and a stronger economy for generations to come. Yes We Can!” Les Leopold is the author of The Looting of America: How Wall Street’s Game of Fantasy Finance destroyed our Jobs, Pensions and Prosperity, and What We Can Do About It , Chelsea Green Publishing, June 2009.

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Les Leopold: Obama’s Missed Moment

September 10, 2009

Add it all up, and the plan I’m proposing will cost around $900 billion over ten years — less than we have spent on the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, and less than the tax cuts for the wealthiest few.” President Barak Obama, September 9, 2009 At that moment President Obama had us in his hands. The lousy war. The giveaways to the rich. That was were we had squandered our nation’s wealth. He had the golden opportunity to solve two problems at once: paying for universal health care, and not looking like a Wall Street lackey. All he had to do was to address, and then focus, the anger felt all over America about the incredible rip-off that is called Wall Street. Here’s what he might have added to his case: “My fellow Americans, it is time for those who nearly gambled our economy into the abyss to pay us back for our bailouts and for the harm they have caused us all. Everyone knows that Wall Street spends far too much time and money gambling and speculating. Everyone knows that our economic crash was caused by their fantasy finance casinos. Everyone knows we had to pump in trillions of dollars in cash, loans and asset guarantees to get credit flowing again. And everyone knows our financial wizards are overpaid by any standard. Now is the time to end this irresponsible activity. Now is the time to set our nation on a far sounder course. “To slow down speculative activity and to help finance health care, I propose a small fee on each and every financial transaction — like the buying and selling of derivatives, the speculation on oil markets, the betting on currencies. A fee of just one tenth of one percent will generate more than $500 billion over ten years. And 99.9 percent of it will be paid by those “too big to fail” banks, investment companies and hedge funds that still engage in rapid-fire trading around the clock. The time has come for this idea, first put forth by the late James Tobin, the Nobel laureate economist. “In addition, we need to do something about our obscene distribution of wealth. If you look over the 2007 tax summaries, you’ll see that the top 400,000 returns reported as much taxable income as the bottom 65 million! That’s the worst distribution of income since the great crash of 1929. That is the money that fuels the Wall Street casino, and we need to redirect it right now to where it is most needed. A 10 percent surcharge on just those with adjustable gross incomes of over $1 million will generate another $400 million over 10 years. “Not only will universal health care be fully funded, but we will have stabilized our economy by reducing the size of the speculative casino on Wall Street, and we will have put downward pressure on its outrageous salary structure. “Yes, Wall Street and the wealthy will certainly object. They might even use their cash to undermine such legislation. But the American people are smarter than that. They will tell their legislators to do the people’s business and not Wall Street’s. The will demand justice. They know the difference between the pampering of multi-millionaire financial speculators, and what it is like for the millions who have lost their jobs because the casino crashed. “I say to all of you who are upset with our economic woes, who are angry about the bailouts, and who can’t stomach the outrageous financial salaries — I say to you that these tax proposals are just, fair and economically sound. If you join with me, we can have good health care and a stronger economy for generations to come. Yes We Can!” Les Leopold is the author of The Looting of America: How Wall Street’s Game of Fantasy Finance destroyed our Jobs, Pensions and Prosperity, and What We Can Do About It , Chelsea Green Publishing, June 2009.

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Dollar Rallies as U.S. Employers Cut Fewer Jobs Than Economists Estimated

August 8, 2009

By Ye Xie and Oliver Biggadike Aug. 8 (Bloomberg) — The dollar advanced to a seven-week high against the yen and gained versus the euro for the first week in almost a month as U.S. employers eliminated fewer jobs last month than economists forecast. The yen dropped against all of its major counterparts this week and fell to the lowest level against the euro since June as the Labor Department’s payroll report encouraged Japanese investors to buy higher-yielding assets overseas. Treasury 10- year yields posted their biggest weekly increase since 2003, making U.S. assets more attractive to international investors. “The recovery is setting in relatively quickly,” said Ulrich Leuchtmann , head of currency strategy at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “It’s positive for the dollar in the long term because when the economy recovers it’ll be clear that the U.S. is coming out of the crisis better.” The dollar climbed 3.1 percent to 97.57 yen, from 94.68 on July 31. It touched 97.79 yesterday, the highest level since June 16. The U.S. currency appreciated 0.5 percent to $1.4183 per euro, the first weekly advance since the five-day period ended July 10. The euro appreciated 2.5 percent to 138.41 yen, from 134.99 a week earlier. It reached 138.72 yesterday, the highest level since June 5. The gains in the dollar yesterday marked a return to the view that good U.S. economic news should benefit the currency as traders speculated that the Federal Reserve will boost borrowing costs sooner rather than later. Dollar Index The Dollar Index , an ICE gauge of the greenback against the currencies of six major trading partners including the euro, yen and pound, increased 0.8 this week to 78.975. It dropped 2.9 percent this year as signs of global economic recovery reduced demand for a haven in the world’s main reserve currency. “This is monumental,” said Stephen Gallo , head of market analysis at Schneider Foreign Exchange in London. “This would mark a sea change in how speculators trade economic data and the overall view of the U.S.” Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade indicated a 64 percent chance that the Fed will increase the target lending rate from its range of zero to 0.25 percent by its January meeting, compared with 52 percent odds a month ago. Policy makers will probably keep the fed funds target unchanged when they meet on Aug. 12, according to the median forecast of 37 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The pound dropped 0.2 percent to $1.6684 this week as the Bank of England increased its asset-purchase plan by 50 billion pounds ($84 billion) on concern the recession is deeper than previously anticipated. Sterling reached $1.7043 on Aug 5, the highest level since Oct. 21. Yen Versus Real The yen declined 5.5 percent this week to 53.52 versus the Brazilian real and weakened 5 percent to 7.54 versus the Mexican peso on speculation investors will buy assets sensitive to global growth. Japan’s 0.1 percent target lending rate compares with 8.75 percent in Brazil and 4.5 percent in Mexico. “What you’ve started to see is further buying of emerging- market currencies and high-yielding currencies,” said MacNeil Curry, a technical analyst at Barclays Capital in New York. “What they’re buying these currencies against is no longer the dollar. They’re looking for other funding currencies to put this trade on. So you’ve got the yen coming under rather significant pressure.” U.S. government debt dropped on the employment data. The 10-year yield increased 0.37 percentage point to 3.85 percent on the week, the biggest gain since the five days ended March 21, 2003, when traders speculated the Iraq War’s end was imminent. Payroll Report Employers eliminated 247,000 jobs in July after a revised decrease of 443,000 in the previous month, the Labor Department reported yesterday in Washington. The median forecast of 82 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a reduction of 325,000. The unemployment rate decreased to 9.4 percent. “There’s a sense that the market is now starting to look at fundamentals again,” said Montreal-based Yves Gauthier , a portfolio manager at Fjord Capital Inc., with $800 million under management. “There’s a potential that the market is thinking the Fed will raise rates earlier than initially thought. We think it’s premature.” The yen tumbled 2 percent versus the dollar yesterday as the yield advantage of 10-year Treasury notes over comparable- maturity Japanese securities increased to 2.42 percentage points, the widest level since Nov. 3. The dollar may resume its decline as U.S. investors continue to “put money somewhere else in the world” until year-end, said Ronald Plasser , a portfolio manager who oversees 100 million euros ($142 million) at Bankhaus Schelhammer & Schattera AG in Vienna. “My opinion on euro-dollar is that the first movement is toward $1.50 at the end of the year and later on it should go back, maybe next year to $1.30, because of this good U.S. data and decline of risk aversion,” said Plasser. To contact the reporters on this story: Ye Xie in New York at yxie6@bloomberg.net ; Oliver Biggadike in New York at obiggadike@bloomberg.net

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U.S. `Cash-for-Clunkers’ Program Suspended After Going Through $1 Billion

July 31, 2009

By Angela Greiling Keane and Roger Runningen July 31 (Bloomberg) — The Obama administration is seeking ways to keep the $1 billion “cash for clunkers” program running after a burst of demand exhausted much of the money. The program to encourage new car sales is still in operation, and the Obama administration will meet today with congressional leaders “to find and develop ways to continue to fund” the auto discounts, White House press secretary Robert Gibbs told reporters today. “If you were planning on going to buy a car this weekend, using this program, this program continues to run,” Gibbs said. “If you meet the requirements of the program, the certificates will be honored.” Senator Debbie Stabenow , a Michigan Democrat, and other lawmakers called for an infusion of taxpayer money to subsidize more new-vehicle purchases in the effort to revive dealerships and automakers while getting older, less fuel-efficient vehicles off the road.

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Michigan Lawmakers Seeking $2 Billion to Keep `Cash for Clunkers’ Running

July 31, 2009

By Angela Greiling Keane July 31 (Bloomberg) — Lawmakers from Michigan are pressing to add $2 billion to continue the “cash for clunkers” program after a burst of demand exhausted most of the initial $1 billion. The program to encourage new car sales is still in operation, White House press secretary Robert Gibbs told reporters today. Members of Congress had said late yesterday that the clunkers offer was being suspended.

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