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WATCH: Bernie Sanders Blasts Wall Street, Government In Wake Of Fed Disclosures

December 2, 2010

Self-avowed socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) blasted the nation’s major financial institutions and the government’s failure to hold them accountable in a Wednesday-night appearance on CNN’s “Parker Spitzer.” In the wake of Wednesday’s mammoth release of documents pertaining to its $3.3-trillion aid program for big banks and other members of the financial community, Sanders said, outrage is growing among those not fortunate enough to head a Wall Street firm. “The average American is sitting home. His or her standard or living is declining. Can’t afford to send their kids to college. May have lost their home,” he told cohost and ex-New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer. And I think what this revelation, this disclosure is about, is a group of enormously powerful people — who today in many instances are making even more money than they did before they were bailed out by the taxpayers — and I think the American people are saying hey, what does the government do for me?” It doesn’t help that the Street isn’t returning the favor, Sanders went on. “What you have right now are the large financial institutions who are doing very very well sitting on huge amounts of cash, and yet small businesses in Vermont and all over this country can’t get affordable loans in order to create jobs,” he said. “You’ve got credit card companies that were substantially helped by the bailout saying, ‘Oh, thank you very much for bailing us out, now we’re going to charge you 25 or 30 percent interest rates.’” Prompted by Spitzer, Sanders said those same financial institutions lobbied against reform of their business practices as soon as legally possible, “to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars, an absolute outrage.” And the Fed, he agreed with Spitzer, is complicit in that process by keeping its deals with them secret. WATCH:

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Nelson Davis: What Small Business Owners Really Want

November 20, 2010

We are in that hazy netherworld that seems to sneak up on us near the end of every year. We wonder where the time went, what the New Year will hold and how we can take our enterprise to what we euphemistically call the next level. This year there is an extra bit of haze in the picture because the mid-term elections have sent a lot of rookies to various legislatures and embracing small business may not be their #1 priority. This is a good time to share some thoughts on what the business sector and small business in particular really want and need. I think that the biggest thing small business owners want from all levels of government is simply respect. With over 60% of all jobs created in the country coming from the small business community, won’t politicians and others simply say “nice job” to the men and women who hustle and risk every day to build and grow various enterprises. It is my contention that small business gets only lip service in the corridors of congress because the heavy hitter lobbyists represent other interests. That respect has to begin at the local level. Last week I received a nice note from Bob Foster, the Mayor of Long Beach California regarding a pilot program they’ve been working on for greater small business development. He and his council want more city contracts to go to small and even very small businesses. He says this will help generate job growth and sales tax revenue, and ensure that their tax dollars are spent locally. Are your local politicians building real bridges to entrepreneurs? If so, please let me know about it and be sure to thank them for it. The next thing the owner of a growing business wants to have is a clear set of rules regarding taxes, and health care costs that will hold steady for at least a few years. The top layer of clouds blotting out the sun for business is that a massive expansion of government has created an equivalent amount of uncertainty for the private sector. Uncertainty means that money goes to the mattress and many expansive thoughts are put away for a while. Big business in America is sitting on about $1.8 trillion in cash, waiting for a sign that the federal government won’t do a snatch & grab on their resources. Carl Schramm, head of the Kauffman Foundation in Kansas City has a clear idea about how the country can build a path to greater economic growth. In a Forbes Magazine interview he said “The single most important contributor to a nation’s economic growth is the number of startups that grow to a billion dollars in revenue within twenty years.” He went on to say that in the U.S. we need to see 75 to 125 of those billion dollar babies every year to feed a post WWII rate of growth. The owners of growing businesses need care, feeding and specific education on how to get where they want to go. From our twenty years of producing television stories of small business owners for Making It! we’ve seen about five (out of 1000) rise to the billion bucks level. They were all headed by hungry and even driven people who probably consume big dreams for breakfast! One of the exciting aspects of this for me is that this superstar level of entrepreneur comes from all known ethnicities and genders! Most business owners simply want to make an independent living that can take care of their families and help the kids through college. Many don’t have the iron constitution, discipline and raw ambition that it takes to go from very small to large, but that isn’t what they want. I know that you can find your own comfort level of enterprise building and it may have three, six or nine zeroes after the first three digits. Business owners don’t want to feel that they are being treated as pawns in some sort of class warfare. President Obama and his administration have acquired a reputation as being anti-business. A lot of the energy of the Tea Party seems to have come from small business owners who feel that Washington simply doesn’t understand them or their place in reviving the American economy. Politicians sometimes inject haves versus have-nots notes that imply business owners have some sort of unfair advantage. Some Wall Street barons may indeed have that advantage, but Main Street America certainly does not. Notice that I didn’t put easier loans or money in general on the wish list. Money has never been cheaper and it seems that loans for going enterprises are available. I believe that what small business owners really want is very much what all humans crave. That would be understanding, appreciation, encouragement and respect. Those ingredients are the food of dreams and no country can be great without entrepreneurs who harbor big dreams.

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Cenk Uygur: Why Can’t We Be the Job Creators?

November 18, 2010

The Republicans always use the excuse that we have to give the rich huge tax cuts because they are the “job creators.” Of course, the reality is that giving tax cuts to the rich is the very worst way of getting more money into the economy. The multiplier effect for tax cuts for the wealthy is the lowest of almost any stimulative program the government can try. Plus, if they are creating jobs, it isn’t here. The money is flowing out of the country and into developing markets at an incredible rate. Between 2002 and 2008, the Bush tax cuts equaled $1.3 trillion. The amount of money leaving the United States in the form of investment in developing countries in that same time period — $1.9 trillion. It can be argued that all of the tax cuts to the rich went out of the country and then some (of course, it’s a little more complicated than that but obviously a huge portion of the extra money went into investment abroad). So, if jobs are being created through tax cuts it’s probably in Shanghai or Mumbai. So, the Republican answer now is to give … more tax cuts to the rich. They want to give $700 billion in tax cuts to the top bracket over the next ten years. I have a revolutionary idea instead. How about instead of giving the money to the rich and hoping that they create jobs, we just create the jobs! Imagine what we could build and how much good we could do for the country if we used that extra $700 billion to actually hire people directly. Imagine how many jobs that could create. It might be worth it if we just hired people to do what would otherwise be volunteer work. It might be worth it if we just built a whole new green energy sector. It might be worth it if we just hired an enormous number of teachers to give our kids the best education in the world. It might be worth it if we hired so many more cops to protect our streets or firemen to protect our neighborhoods. Or doctors to treat our sick. Or people to take care of the elderly or disabled. Or people to take care of our kids while we worked. Or people to build our bridges and our roads. Or just about anything else you can imagine. Imagine. $700 billion set aside just to hire people. To hire Americans. Or we can go with the Republican plan of giving it all to the rich and hoping they create jobs at some point and hoping that those jobs are here in America. You be the judge. Watch The Young Turks Here

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Muslims Targeted In $30M Ponzi Scheme

November 18, 2010

CHICAGO — A taxi driver turned prominent businessman in Chicago’s South Asian community is among three people indicted for defrauding hundreds of Muslim investors out of $30 million, in part by promising that investments complied with Islamic law, federal prosecutors said Wednesday. Salman Ibrahim, 37, who vanished in 2008 after allegedly persuading hundreds of Pakistani and Indian immigrants to contribute their savings and mortgage their homes to finance real estate deals, is believed to be abroad, possibly in his native Pakistan, the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Chicago said. The FBI is trying to locate him. One alleged victim, Fazal Mahmood, said he lost more than $200,000, some of which he intended to use to put his two daughters through college. “I will never trust anyone with my money again,” the 54-year-old told The Associated Press. “I’m a Muslim and he’s a Muslim. I was always taught … a Muslim will never cheat another Muslim.” The other two men indicted were Mohammad Akbar Zahid, 59, who investigators believe also fled the U.S., and Amjed Mahmood, 47, of Des Plains, a Chicago suburb. Mahmood, who isn’t related to Fazal Mahmood, has not been arrested but is expected to be arraigned soon, U.S. Attorney’s Office spokesman Randall Samborn said. A phone message left Wednesday for a Amjed Mahmood in Des Plaines wasn’t returned. Prosecutors allege that Ibrahim, the majority owner of the now-bankrupt Sunrise Equities Inc., along with Zahid and Mahmood, who were part owners, told investors they would not be paid interest, which is prohibited by Islamic law. Instead, they were told they would share profits from real estate projects, according to the indictment. More than 300 investors nationwide fell victim and three banks lost more than $13 million after the alleged Ponzi scheme collapsed in 2008, the indictment alleges. Such schemes use new investors’ money to pay previous investors. Ibrahim and Zahid face bank fraud and other charges, while Amjed Mahmood is charged with conspiracy to commit mail, wire and bank fraud. Each fraud count carries a maximum penalty of 30 years in prison. The indictment also seeks forfeiture of more than $43 million. Before he disappeared, Ibrahim lived in a bustling South Asian enclave on Chicago’s North Side that has a large Muslim population. The neighborhood hugs Devon Avenue, where men often wear knee-length shirts and caps, many women cover their heads and Urdu is spoken as often as English. The indictment accuses Ibrahim of misusing investor money to, among other things, operate an Islamic school to enhance his reputation in the community. During a 2008 meeting, Ibrahim told investors that his Chicago-based Sunrise Equities needed more than $1 million to continue. They knew at the time that Sunrise had expended nearly all investor funds and couldn’t recover more than $40 million owed to investors, according to the indictment. “He said, ‘Trust me, trust me,’” Fazal Mahmood, one of the victims and a Pakistani immigrant, recalled. “And people were willing to help.” But within weeks, Ibrahim disappeared. “A lot of people lost their homes, they went through divorces – some lost their kids,” said Mahmood, a suburban Chicago engineer. “All their dreams have shattered.” Mahmood said he first invested $50,000 after a friend vouched for Ibrahim, and for three years received an 18 percent return. In 2007, Mahmood said Ibrahim persuaded him to borrow $200,000 against his home in return for an unsecured promissory note that was never paid. Those who knew Ibrahim said he put himself through college by driving a taxi. He graduated from Northeastern Illinois University in Chicago with an accounting degree in 1997. Ibrahim was a member of the Shariah Board of America, a group of Islamic clerics in the Chicago area that advises Muslim investors. The board certified Sunrise Equities as conforming to an Islamic law, or Shariah, that prohibits Muslims from earning interest on investments. What irks Mahmood the most is not that Ibrahim could, if he’s never found, evade justice in the U.S. It is that some of the rumors swirling in his old Chicago neighborhood. “Some people say he is living well somewhere, maybe in Dubai or Pakistan,” he said. “It makes me angry that he might be living a good life somewhere.”

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Jane White: Why Are Academics Among the Few Americans Who Can Afford to Retire?

November 16, 2010

As an advocate for 401(k) participants, I’ve found that the only thing more frustrating that the media’s cluelessness about America’s retirement crisis are the academics who not only don’t understand we have one, but who happen to be among the few Americans who can afford to retire. For example, University of Texas economist James Galbraith recently told The Huffington Post’s Dan Froomkin that we should boost employment by lowering Social Security’s normal retirement age so that Boomers can retire and younger people will be able to fill their jobs. But if most Americans only need Social Security payments for their retirement, why the heck would we need pensions? The purpose of Social Security is to replace the wages of the poorest 40% of us who don’t have pensions. Unfortunately for the middle class and upper-middle class, only 10% of the private sector can count on a pension and the 401(k) plan’s measly employer contribution rate of 3% of pay makes it a “pretend pension.” What’s even worse, 50% of the private sector population isn’t covered by a pension or a 401(k) plan. Whether it’s a private sector plan or Social Security or a combination of both, the goal for most of us is to have at least 70% of our paychecks replaced at retirement. So if you’re making $20,000 at age 65 and retire at 66, Social Security will do just fine, coughing up about 67% of your paycheck, or about $14,000 a year. However, if you’re earning $102,000 you would only receive around $28,000, or about 27% of it. As I pointed out in an earlier post, if the median amount that American workers near retirement have saved in their 401(k) accounts is a mere $77,000 and their median salary is $61,000 their savings won’t last them more than a few years. Galbraith isn’t the only academic weighing in on retirement issues who doesn’t seem to know the rules for adequacy. As I pointed out in my book America, Welcome to the Poorhouse , Theresa Ghilarducci of the New School of Research has proposed replacing the 3% 401(k) employer matching contributions with an annual measly government deposit of $600 even though this would shrink the nest eggs of anybody earning $20,000 or more. Another academic, Alicia Munnell of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, says that “in theory workers could accumulate substantial wealth” by contributing 6% of pay and ending up with $380,000, which only works if you’re making $38,000 at age 65, since the formula for adequacy is accumulating 10 times your salary. Ironically, these three academics can retire because their employers contribute at least twice as much to their version of a 401(k) account. For example, Munnell’s employer contributes 8% of pay for those with fewer than 9 years of service and 10% for those with more, Ghilarducci’s contributes 7% for those with fewer than six years and 10% for those with more and Galbraith’s contributes 6% and certain staff can get an additional 7.5% contribution. In fact, most universities have offered generous plans since the 1940s when the increase in college enrollments thanks to the GI bill increased the demand for professors, who in turn demanded better compensation. Do you think that you may be one of the few people who have saved enough to support yourself in retirement? The only website I know that helps you figure this out is run by a retired pension actuary, Ken Steiner. Here’s a link to his website where you can find out whether you’re on track. Go to the “spending calculator” link below the headline “Self-insuring your retirement.” Unfortunately, most employers outside of academia not only don’t contribute enough so that we can retire — not to mention “suspending” contributions to our accounts when times are tough — but aren’t required to tell us that our nest eggs aren’t adequate. With the first wave of Boomers turning 65 next year, we are looking at a retirement nightmare. If you agree and think we need reform, please go to my website and click the link on the upper right hand side of the page: Stop the 401(k) Nightmare. I thank you and our kids thank you.

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Tom Grasty: Thinking "Inside" the Box: How Freeloaders Can Make You a Load of Cash

November 16, 2010

Maybe it’s the low barrier to entry. Maybe it’s a downtrodden economy that’s forced a displaced workforce to become more entrepreneurial. Or maybe, to update the old adage, there really is “gold in them thar clouds.” Whatever it is, more and more people lately seem to be looking to the sky in search of that proverbial pot of gold. As a former entertainment executive turned internet entrepreneur, I, too, have been looking beyond the horizon. And the question I’m asked most often (interestingly, the inquiry often comes before I even tell them what our sites does) is this: “How are you going to make money?” When I tell them the plan isn’t to charge for our service (our service being a collaborative online video editing platform, thank you for asking), the reaction is always the same: “So you’ll be giving it away?” “Actually, yes,” I reply. “For a while, anyway.” What happens next never fails. They smile, arch their eyebrows and nod their heads in a slow, synchronous bob. Not a word is spoken. But I know what they’re thinking: “Well, that’s certainly one heck of a way to run a business.” As it turns out, it actually is. “Free” has long been a mantra for aspiring entrepreneurs and investors willing to cut the cost of their wares to as close to nothing as possible in exchange for traffic that can be converted downstream. And while “free” may fuel a business’ growth in terms of name recognition and word-of-mouth, the concept of “free” often runs out of gas when it comes to actually filling the financial tank. “Free,” it turns out, is a fickle thing. Consumers typically don’t like to pay for something they’ve been getting for nothing. But then again, consumers can surprise you. Just ask Jason Rosenthal. Last March, Rosenthal took the CEO reins of Ning, the popular online service that allows users to create and share their own customizable social networks. Shortly after being promoted, Rosenthal announced he was going to take a hard look at how Ning did business. Thirty days later, Rosenthal fired a fateful shot across the “freemium” model’s bow, “This process has brought real clarity to what’s working and what’s not, and what we need to do to make Ning a big success.” And with that, Ning bid farewell to “free”: If you wanted to keep your Ning account, it was going to cost you. The ability to let consumers design their own social network, and do so for free (the core offering at the center of Ning’s value proposition), had often been cited as a shining example of how to leverage a free, open online platform into massive market share with impressive customer acquisition to boot. The conventional wisdom last March, therefore, was that Rosenthal’s decision to abandon the “freemium” model would cost Ning dearly. But that hasn’t happened. According to Forbes tech writer, Taylor Buley, since freeing themselves of “freemium,” 35,000 of the 300,000 Ning networks have signed up for paid plans. Of course, the flip side of that equation is that 265,000 presumably balked at Rosenthal’s “pay or play” ultimatum. But no matter, Buley maintains, “Ning wooed nearly 12% of its non-paying customers into opening up their wallet — more than double its previous conversion rate. Ning’s paying customer base is three times its previous size.” In hindsight, things turned out quite well for Jason Rosenthal. After five years in the marketplace, the company is on track to turn a profit early next year. But it could have just as easily gone off the tracks. What Rosenthal did was risky. At the time, his decision to discontinue non-paying sites left many in the social media space questioning the move: “What could Rosenthal possibly be thinking abandoning a business model that’s at the core of Ning’s success?” I submit Jason Rosenthal was thinking inside the box. Don’t you arch your eyebrows at me. No, I don’t mean “outside the box” — I mean inside the box. The “shoebox” to be exact. Rosenthal’s ploy to turn a profit for Ning is what I pithily refer to as the “shoebox effect,” and it lays out something like this: Whether we want to admit it or not, we’re suckers for sentimentality. We take photographs, we shoot video, we save every drawing our kids commit to paper. And what do we do with all those photographs, video clips and assorted scribblings? We pack them away in closets, cabinets, cupboards and, yes, shoeboxes. And we forget about them. Then one day, we stumble across that old shoebox. And when we do, we realize those photos, videos and drawings that once seemed a nuisance to keep track of are, in fact, a treasure trove; the shoebox in which they are stored is a treasure chest. So we do what any self-respecting sentimentalist would do. We replace that cheap, corrugated shoebox for a photo album (maybe one with an embossed leather cover and a nice gold trim?) that can give our memories the respect they deserve. In case the point is lost on anyone, allow me to spell it out. Shoeboxes are free. Embossed leather photo albums with gold trim cost money. And there’s a point when you gladly pay the price. Returning to the Ning example for a moment, many maintain that Rosenthal wasn’t thinking inside the box at all when he abandoned Ning’s longstanding business model. To the contrary, they argue, since Ning’s infrastructure makes it virtually impossible for customers to port their content out of Ning and into another platform Rosenthal was actually boxing his customers in. And while I would concede Ning’s remarkably high conversation rate can, to a certain extent, be attributed to the fact Rosenthal turned the proverbial shoebox into something more closely resembling an iron-clad locker, I would suggest something else is at play here that’s contributed to Ning’s remarkable retention rate: the perception of value. There’s no question Ning had their share of users who reveled in the fact they were getting something without having to pay for it. But I suspect after using the Ning platform, a sizeable percentage of those freeloaders saw real value in the service. And because a variety of price points were offered to keep their accounts current, they found one that aligned with their perceived value. Now they’re gladly paying for it. I further suspect this is precisely what Pandora, MailChimp, Flickr, LinkedIn, Evernote and Skype all are banking on. All have successfully been built on the back of the “freeloader.” Ning was just the first company to prove those pesky freeloaders can actually be converted… and make you a boatload of cash in the process. All of which is why I endure all those incredulous eyebrow arches when asked how my new internet endeavor is going to make money. In an age “cloud computing” when we’re all are looking for a ‘locker in the sky’ to store our stuff in, the key isn’t building a better mousetrap — it’s building a better shoebox. I feel confident we have one. Tom Grasty is a novelist, screenwriter and 15-year veteran of the entertainment, advertising and internet industries. He is also a co-founder of Stroome, a collaborative online video editing community that connects friends, family and aspiring content creators.

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Dal LaMagna: Responsible Capitalists at Bishop Loughlin High School

October 22, 2010

Recently I was asked to teach an hour-long class to seniors at my Brooklyn-based high school alma mater, Bishop Loughlin, for career day. I agreed to do it, thinking I might inspire some young people to start and operate their own small business, as I myself had done at their age, and to do it responsibly. I hadn’t been back to Bishop Loughlin in 46 years, and it was eerie to walk through those hallways. Actually, it was comforting to know that a part of my past still exists. Loughlin used to be a tuition-free school for boys who competed to attend from all over the Roman Catholic Diocese of New York. Back then it was a college preparatory high school that drew its Christian perspective from the Lasallian tradition. One hundred percent of us students passed our Regents exams and got into a college. Many of us received Regents scholarships as well. Today the school is no longer the New York Diocese-wide magnet school. Loughlin serves low-income black and Latino students who might be considered “at risk” — 85 percent of the students are African American and 12 percent are Latino. Statistically, half of these kinds of students fail to earn a high school diploma in four years, according to a 2006 study by the Manhattan Institute. Proving the point that it is not the students who are fault for failing in America’s schools, it is their teachers, 100 percent of Loughlin’s students still graduate with a Regent’s diploma and get into college. Despite the dramatically different demographic for the student body, the mission of the school has not changed one bit since the day I attended. The students filed in, sat down, and looked attentive. They were ready to be inspired. I didn’t have a lesson plan, notes, or a power point. I thought I would tell a couple of funny stories, or maybe read from my new book. Instead, I surprised myself and launched into a topic Ben Cohen of Ben and Jerry’s had discussed with students at Gifford Pinchot’s Bainbridge Graduate Institute last week. In the early days, I told them, religion had all the power. Then as time progressed government had the power. Now business has all the power. The point? The institution that has all the power today does not exist to serve the people. Religion and government serve the people. Too often, business exists to exploit the people. As young people considering their careers, I pointed out that there is an option to taking jobs in such companies. Start your own business. I asked the students if any of them were already running a business. At first they looked at me quizzically, probably imagining that a business is a big complicated enterprise. How could high school seniors already be running a business? Then Shane raised his hand and told me he bought sneakers from kids and then sold them for a profit. He’d pay $150 for a pair of sneakers and get $300 for them on eBay! Jessica told us she was charging people to get their hair braided. Another student, Christopher, was tutoring other kids. We came up with a trademark for Shane’s business: Shane’s Sneaks. And I showed them how simple it was to establish the trademark — just stick a small TM at the end: Shane’s Sneaks™. This delighted them. We brainstormed about what skills someone who wants to start a small business should have. One student, Eddy, said, “Be good at manipulation.” It reminded me of the days when I was learning about business, when manipulating and exploiting people were considered part of what you have to do to be successful. This was before those of us practicing responsible capitalism proved otherwise. “Manipulation and exploitation might work in the short run,” I told Eddy, “but it doesn’t create as much success as doing the opposite — empowering people.” I told him how the latter strategy had produced dramatic results in my own business. In fact, I was able to sell Tweezerman for much more money because I had empowered employees, loyal customers and vendors, and Tweezerman had a reputation for giving back to the community. Later while we brainstormed about how you might act toward your customers, employees, vendors, and community if your intention were to be a responsible capitalist, I told the students that I had set things up so my employees owned 20 percent of Tweezerman. Eddy again raised his hand and asked: “Why would you want to give your employees ownership?” I told Eddy I was so grateful my employees showed up for work every day and did things I couldn’t possible do or want to do myself that I felt they deserved to share in the profits and eventually the capital gains made when the company was sold. This wasn’t charity, but rather a strategy to involve every employee in the business the way that I was — as an owner. They became more productive, inventive, and protective of the company. It was usually employees who reported instances of other employees stealing. The hour crept by. I was developing incredible respect for teachers everywhere who do this day in and day out. Fortunately, the students weren’t falling asleep. They seemed to take to the idea of starting their own business and operating it responsibly. At the end, I told them how much money I had made from selling Tweezerman, and someone asked me if I donated to Bishop Loughlin. I laughed to myself, thinking “Wow, these kids are on the ball.” And they loved their school. I told them I had donated to the school but planned to give Loughlin another $1,000. When I heard from Brother Dennis, Loughlin’s president, that the students pay $8,000 per year for the education that costs the school $9,600 per student, and that the Diocese of Brooklyn had just eliminated their funding, I made a $5,000 donation to the school. Obviously, I’m not going to sell $5,000 worth of books to the Loughlin alumni, which got me to career day in the first place — but who cares? The point of my book is to inspire people to start a business and do it responsibly, and to help Americans take back our economy from the greedy minority that are using the large corporations as their personal oil wells. My guess is more than one of those kids I spoke with will start a business. And I got the sense from Eddy that even he will do it responsibly.

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Food Stamp Usage Soars Among Working Families

October 22, 2010

HONOLULU — Lillie Gonzales does whatever it takes to provide for three ravenous sons who live under her roof. She grows her own vegetables at home on Kauai, runs her own small business and like a record 42 million other Americans, she relies on food stamps. Gonzales and her husband consistently qualify for food stamps now that Hawaii and other states are quietly expanding eligibility and offering the benefit to more working, moderate income families. Data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture reviewed by The Associated Press shows that 32 states have adopted rules making it easier to qualify for food stamps since 2007. In all, 38 states have loosened eligibility standards. Hawaii has gone farther than most, allowing a family like Gonzales’ to earn up to $59,328 and still get food stamps. Prior to an Oct. 1 increase, the income eligibility limit for a Hawaii family of five was $38,568 a year. “If I didn’t have food stamps, I would be buying white rice and Spam every day,” said Gonzales, whose Island Angels business makes Hawaiian-style fabric angel ornaments, quilts, aprons and purses. Eligibility for food stamps varies from state to state, with the 11 most generous states allowing families to apply if their gross income is less than double the federal poverty line of $22,050 for a family of four on the U.S. mainland. The threshold is higher in Alaska and Hawaii. With more than 1 in 8 Americans now on food stamps, participation in the program has jumped about 70 percent from 26 million in May 2007, while the nation’s unemployment rate rose from 4.3 percent to 9.2 percent through September of this year. “We’ve seen a huge increase in participation due to the economic downturn,” said Jean Daniel, a spokeswoman for the USDA’s Food and Nutrition Service. “That’s the way this program was designed.” In addition to helping alleviate economic pressures, many states embrace the popularity of food stamps because their cost – $50 billion last year – is paid entirely by the federal government. States are only responsible for paying half of their programs’ administrative costs. Food stamps have been blasted by some Republicans in this midterm election season as just another federal entitlement program, with former House Speaker Newt Gingrich framing the vote as a choice between “the party of food stamps” and Republican policies that create jobs. Participants in the food stamp program, technically called the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, receive a per person average of $133 per month to buy staples including milk, bread and vegetables. Shortly after Hawaii announced it was raising its eligibility limits starting this month, three carloads of 10 seniors drove to the Kauai Independent Food Bank to ask if they qualified. Nine of them did, said Judy Lenthall, executive director for the food bank, which helps people apply for food stamps. “We saw an immediate and overwhelmingly wonderful response,” Lenthall said. “It surprised us how fast it’s spreading.” States that have relaxed food stamp eligibility did so by moving to a system where applicants could qualify based on their income, and their other assets such as real estate, vehicles and savings accounts could be ignored. Basing food stamps on income alone allows the newly unemployed and the elderly to seek government food aid without having to first sell their property or exhaust every dollar they’ve earned, said Sue McGinn, director of the food stamp program in Colorado, which will expand eligibility beginning in March. “They won’t have to wipe out their savings to apply for benefits,” McGinn said. Many of these states also raised income limits, although applicants still have to show they’re essentially living at the poverty line after accounting for allowable deductions, including elder medical expenses and child support. “It helps moderate and low-income people who are struggling,” said Stacy Dean of the Washington-based Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. “They’re doing everything we want: they’re working, paying all their bills, taking care of their kids, and they still don’t have enough money at the end of the month to put food on the table.” Since 2000, the only states that haven’t enacted the lower food stamp eligibility requirements are Alaska, Arkansas, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia and Wyoming. In Hawaii, where everything from milk to gasoline is typically the highest in the nation, the changes are welcomed by Gonzales and others. “As long as my kids have good food, that’s all I care about,” Gonzales said. “It makes a tremendous difference.” ___ Online: Food and Nutrition Service: http://www.fns.usda.gov/snap/

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Fernando Espuelas: Want Economic Growth? Legalize 12 Million People

October 8, 2010

A job-less recovery, ballooning deficits, fraudulent foreclosures, middle class anxiety — let’s face it, we are feeling the mother of all hang-overs from the Great Recession. But there is one major catalyst, an economic engine that we’ve ignored, for igniting robust, sustainable economic growth that will lift all boats: comprehensive immigration reform that brings 12 million undocumented immigrants fully into the economy. Call it the “12 million people stimulus bill” project. As Americans, we need to be strategists that are thinking about the next 100 years of American global leadership.  Comprehensive immigration reform, if the law is intelligently conceived and executed, will be a significant step in increasing our global competitiveness.  Its passage will spark economic growth across broad sectors of the American economy, from manufacturing to retail. Fully integrated into the economy, immigrants will add to both the financial and human capital of the country. New businesses will be created by these immigrants, their kids will be able to plan college educations, money now squirreled away will be invested in productive activities, the tax base will expand. In fact, several studies have projected a more rapid growth in GDP because of the effect of immigration. According to the Center for American Progress report “Raising the Floor for American Workers: The Economic Benefits of Comprehensive Immigration Reform”: “The historical experience of legalization under the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act indicates that comprehensive immigration reform would raise wages, increase consumption, create jobs, and generate additional tax revenue. Even though IRCA was implemented during an economic recession characterized by high unemployment, it still helped raise wages and spurred increases in educational, home, and small-business investments by newly legalized immigrants. Taking the experience of IRCA as a starting point, we estimate that comprehensive immigration reform would yield at least $1.5 trillion in cumulative U.S. gross domestic product over 10 years. This is a compelling economic reason to move away from the current “vicious cycle” where enforcement-only policies perpetuate unauthorized migration and exert downward pressure on already low wages, and toward a “virtuous cycle” of worker empowerment in which legal status and labor rights exert upward pressure on wages.” Objective economic evidence strongly suggest that immigration in not only needed for the long-term economic health of the United States, it is in fact today an important driver of growth in the overall American economic pie. This is growth, moreover, to the benefit of all Americans . Getting this part of our national strategy is critical.  A recent study undertaken for the Federal Reserve showed the net positive effect of immigration for native-born American workers.  As the study states: “…[A] net inflow of immigrants equal to 1% of employment increases income per worker by 0.6% to 0.9%. This implies that total immigration to the United States from 1990 to 2007 was associated with a 6.6% to 9.9% increase in real income per worker. That equals an increase of about $5,100 in the yearly income of the average U.S. worker in constant 2005 dollars. Such a gain equals 20% to 25% of the total real increase in average yearly income per worker registered in the United States between 1990 and 2007.” Sadly, this is an issue that has become violently partisan. The Arizona anti-immigrant law, for example, was passed on a straight party vote. It is a fundamental mistake to filter immigration reform through a partisan lenses. I think a more accurate context through which to view immigration is as a national security issue.  America must look forward to a changing world and be sure that we will have the human resources needed to maintain our economic and military supremacy. Our global competitors are not sitting still — we should not either. As history has shown us, countries that have failed to keep these factors in balance tend to fade as global powers. The Chinese Empire, Spain, France and Britain are just some of the examples of former world powers brought low by bad policy decisions. We should not join them. If this issue is properly and responsibly handled by political leaders — leaders that transcend petty party concerns to become statesmen and stateswomen — it is an opportunity to bring the country together with a smart, strategic reform that is pro-economic growth. Leaders of both parties must rise to the occasion — America needs you to do the right thing. America needs a “12 million people stimulus bill” now.

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Mike Green: Innovation Crisis in Black America Pt. 4: 20th vs 21st century ideology

October 5, 2010

When unemployment in Black America topped 16 percent and Black teen unemployment skyrocketed to an outrageous 45 percent this summer, the voices of outrage were muffled in the pockets of a few media that cared to cover the crisis. The majority of media wrung their collective hands over 9 and 10 percent unemployment challenges in White America, with overall teen unemployment hovering at 23 percent. Dirty Secret “A dirty little secret is that many jobs are not going to come back,” says Johnathan Holifield, founder of Trim Tab System, LLC, a personal development and organizational leadership methodology, which applies innovation concepts and tools to generate exponential impact. “Under the old model, recovery meant increased productivity, which meant increased hiring, Holifield said. “That is no longer the case. Because of the ingenious uses and applications and adoptions of new technology throughout our economy, we will continue to experience productivity growth but we will not have the level of job replacement and hiring that our recoveries in the past have been accustomed to.” Dear President Obama … Dr. Boyce Watkins, founder of Your Black World , underscores Holifield’s point. He wrote a public letter to President Barack Obama that stated in part: “In addition to massive unemployment, wealth inequality in America remains a persistent problem, causing African Americans to bear the brunt of this economic crisis in ways that are unimaginable to other Americans. Our homes are facing foreclosure more often and we are less able to rely on a source of background wealth to help us get through the toughest times. “Yet, while we are the least prepared for the recession, we are being hit with a downturn that is twice as forceful as that being experienced by the rest of America. In fact, even after the recession is over, our unemployment rate will probably be as high or higher than the rate that white Americans are agonizing over right now. The United Nations has investigated this issue as a human rights violation, because it appears that we live in a nation that accepts a black underclass as a default way of life. “To this point, your administration has remained disturbingly silent on the issue of black unemployment. The silence is deafening, but the economic hardship is loud and clear. I am concerned that many of your key economic advisers are unable or unwilling to process and empathize with the depths of black economic misery in America.” Never-Ending Recession Dr. Watkins called on President Obama to institute political efforts and policy measures that would help create urban jobs through congressional legislation and generate more government contracts with African American companies. At theLoop21.org , Dr. Watkins made a compelling case that suggests even when the economy recovers, the burden of unemployment for Black America will still be in double digits while the nation celebrates a long-awaited return to prosperity. He states: “Our country spent 400 years firmly placing black folks at the bottom of the social totem poll, only allowing us to recently participate as laborers in the American economic system. “The conclusion is that even during good economic times, it is acceptable in the eyes of the Obama Administration for black unemployment to be worse than it is for whites during a recession. The recession will never end for us.” I Have A Nightmare! In an effort to address the dire situation facing Black America, The Nation magazine took a look back at Dr. Martin Luther King’s words when he spoke on the issue of joblessness five years after his famous rallying cry, “I have a Dream.” The Nation writes: “In King’s vision of the campaign, thousands of Americans who had been abandoned by the economy would create a tent city on the National Mall, demand action from Congress, and engage in nonviolent civil disobedience until their voices were heard. King argued in one of his last sermons, ‘If a man doesn’t have a job or an income, he has neither life nor liberty nor the possibility for the pursuit of happiness. He merely exists.’ “Four decades later, as our country struggles with disappearing jobs and growing desperation, much of the critique of the U.S. economy offered in the Poor People’s Campaign is newly resonant. “In a November 1956 sermon, King presented an imaginary letter from the apostle Paul to American Christians, which stated, ‘Oh America, how often have you taken necessities from the masses to give luxuries to the classes… God never intended for one group of people to live in superfluous inordinate wealth, while others live in abject deadening poverty.’ “Unfortunately, since then, inequality has only grown.” 42 Years of Economic Stagnation Both Dr. King and Dr. Watkins note the same problem of unemployment and economic disparity persists for Black America. It is a stark reality that one leader spoke obvious truth in the mid-20th century while another continues the same truthful refrain today in the 21st. There is one other similarity. Dr. King called for a government solution. Dr. Watkins is calling for the same. Yet, the 535 members of Congress are no more moved to resolving the crisis today than the congressional members were in 1968 … and every year in between. MLK and Jeremiah Wright: On The Same Page Dr. Michael Eric Dyson, the author of a new book , ” April 4, 1968: Dr. Martin Luther King’s Death and How It Changed America ,” provided a unique look at how Dr. King’s message evolved beyond 1963 until his assassination in 1968, when he was preparing to give an upcoming sermon entitled, ” Why America May Go To Hell .” Voices like Dr. Watkins, Dr. Dyson and others today are necessary. And the pressure upon congress must continue to be applied from quarters outside of the infamous K Street, where a lobbyist cabal routinely spends hundreds of millions of dollars each year on behalf of their clients to ensure congressional members hear and prioritize their problems. Economic Katrina History strongly advises that government will drag its feet until another Black generation has passed on lint-filled pockets to destitute grandchildren. Even a Black president cannot move 535 leaders sitting on their hands and ignoring the plight of Americans hit hardest by the economic crisis. For example, the National Association of Small Business Investment Companies sent its representative, Carolyn Galiette, to testify before Congress on Oct. 14, 2009. She spoke of the work the SBIC was doing to bridge the funding gap for women and minority businesses, but also warned of the seriousness of the problem that threatened to push investment companies, such as hers, out of the effort: “Our partnership with the SBA has enabled our portfolio companies to create approximately 4,500 jobs and to increase revenues in these companies by over 50% on average. Moreover, we have accomplished all of this while making 50% of our investments in companies owned and managed by women and minorities and businesses located in or employing residents of low and moderate income communities. “We have provided capital where larger, more established financing sources would not, some of which are the very lenders and investors who recently received TARP financing. Despite the success of the SBIC program and of Ironwood Capital, if the program is not reformed we and many other funds that are bona fide experts in growing domestic small businesses will be forced to leave the program. “… despite the efficiency of the SBIC credit facility, the program is dramatically underused. Fiscal year 2009 used only about 20% of the SBA’s $3 billion in capacity, denying domestic small businesses over $2 billion in SBA leverage and $1 billion in private growth capital. “Today more than ever, the patient capital, market experience, and governance guidance that SBICs provide fill a capital chasm that threatens the ability of small businesses to emerge from the current recession. Congressional action is needed from you to realize improvements that are critical to providing capital to small business.” Galiette’s plea highlighted the slothful, lazy and ambivalent processes employed by Congress. Government may support an outside solution, but government will not initiate nor embody a solution to the unemployment crisis in America; that’s the job of innovative entrepreneurs and investors. DIYS: Do It Yourself Innovative Solutions Innocentive is one such effort by innovative leaders who decided to take on the challenge of job creation by investing in deserving entrepreneurs. Innocentive claims it “harnesses collective brain power around the world to solve problems that really matter.” Innocentive brings together “seekers” (those with problems) with “solvers” (those with the means to address problems). So, how’s it going for this 9-year-old organization? Here are some quick facts from the Innocentive website : Total Solvers: 200,000+ from 200 countries Total Challenges Posted: 1044 Project Rooms Opened to Date: 294,865 Total Solution Submissions: 19,346 Total Awards Given: 685 Total Award Dollars Posted:24.2 million Range of awards:5,000 to1 million based on the complexity of the problem Total Dollars Awarded:5.3 million Average Success Rate: 50% Developing Innovative Infrastructure in Black America Where is the Innocentive of Black America? If a single organization can bring together more than 200,000 collaborators to invest in economic solutions through the efforts of innovative entrepreneurs, what could be Black America achieve by bringing together business, education and policy leaders, teachers and community organizations, entrepreneurs and investors? What amount of productivity could Black America contribute to the Age of Innovation if a concerted effort was made to focus on creating an innovation infrastructure through which students were taught and motivated, entrepreneurs were mentored and supported, and investors were attracted by the development of high-growth companies? Organizations like the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor ( GEM ) produce data that show conclusively innovative high-growth entrepreneurial ventures are the driving forces behind significant job creation. Call for Innovative Entrepreneurs The well-respected Conference Board offers data in its report, ” Entrepreneurs, Inventors and the Growth of the Economy ,” which underscores the need for innovative entrepreneurship. The Conference Board report, written by William J. Baumol of New York University and Princeton University in January 2008, points out there is a difference between an entrepreneur who opens a local store, barber shop or community restaurant, and a visionary risk-taker who develops a high-growth innovation that improves upon an existing idea or introduces new technology and captures a share of the market: “Generally, entrepreneurs have been defined as individuals who create a new firm or some other economic organization or who launch some economic activity that they will carry out at least initially. A replicative entrepreneur is someone who organizes an enterprise of a variety that has been launched many times before, and of which many other examples are currently extant–e.g., a new retail shoe shop or another limousine service. Replicative entrepreneurship has proven its effectiveness as a way out of poverty, as dramatically illustrated by the immigrant peddlers who often ended up sending their children to college. “The innovative entrepreneur, as the name implies, does something that has not been done before. She may market a new product, or may sell licenses to other firms to make use of intellectual property in her possession, the specifications of new products, or new production processes. But she may innovate in other ways as well, for example, recognizing new uses for an old product or a new market for that item, or a novel and more efficient way to organize the firm. “Indeed, I will note presently that the options available to the innovative entrepreneur are much broader than that. This is important because it is the innovative entrepreneurs who are the key to economic growth, since it is they, rather than the replicative entrepreneurs, who ensure that invention is put to effective use. Without innovative entrepreneurs, the innovations that promise rapid economic growth have been left to languish. But such an outcome can be prevented only if the prevailing economic forces provide the incentives for the innovative entrepreneurs to carry out the necessary activities.” These innovative entrepreneurs are largely missing in Black America. With failing educational systems, under-represented numbers in the science, technology, engineering and math ( STEM ) fields, severely under-represented numbers in high-growth entrepreneurship and SEC-qualified investors, the crisis of innovation in Black America threatens to undermine progress and productivity well into the 21st century. Steps Toward Producing Black Innovators But there are efforts being made to address the problem: Today, the Network for Teaching Entrepreneurship ( NTFE ) is concluding its $10,000 high school entrepreneurship contest , which included an elevator pitch contest and business plan contest. The contest, sponsored by Oppenheimer Funds and Southwest Airlines, will hold a celebration for its finalists tonight (October 5, 2010) and they will ring the opening bell at the stock market tomorrow. On the professional level, Unity, Journalists of Color association is a strategic alliance of four journalists associations representing the spectrum of Black, Hispanic, Asian and Native American journalists. Unity coordinated a new program funded by the Ford Foundation for journalists of color who want to become entrepreneurs called New U. Sixteen participants attended two-day “boot camps” to learn entrepreneurial skills and pitch their ideas to a group of mentors and industry experts. Unity is currently hosting a 30-second pitch contest online for its journalists-turned-entrepreneurs who participated in the New U entrepreneurship mentoring program. As one of the New U mentors, I was thrilled to participate in a developing infrastructure for journalists to help transition their professional talents and networking skills and into the world of entrepreneurship. “This is a ‘solutions-based’ project,” said Doug Mitchell, program co-director. “There is much to know and there are many people we’ve discovered who are eager to help from all corners to close the gap between who gets funded and who does not.” Change the Equation is an education effort focused on channeling students into the STEM fields of learning: science, technology, engineering and math. Johnathan Holifield, Founder Trim Tab System, Inc. I interviewed Johnathan Holifield to get his perspective on the pathway from 20th century processes to 21st century innovation. Holifield offers a visionary pathway that leads Black America from the dark portrait of the 20th century painted by Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. and highlighted by Dr. Boyce Watkins into a new frontier of 21st century opportunity. Prior to establishing the Trim Tab System, Holifield served as: President/CEO of the Urban League of Greater Cleveland President of the Buffalo Olmsted Parks Conservancy Executive Vice President of Council for World-Class Communities in Benton Harbor, Michigan Vice President of New Economy Enterprise for the Cincinnati USA Chamber of Commerce Founding Executive Director of CincyTech Additionally, Holifield practiced civil litigation with the Manley, Burke & Lipton firm and the Hamilton County, Ohio Prosecuting Attorney’s Office and was a member of the National Football League’s Cincinnati Bengals. Q: What is the key to helping Black Americans become more productive in the arenas of innovative entrepreneurship? A: Imagination is the mother of innovation. I remember I was over someone’s house and the mother told the kids, “Go outside and play.” And the kids said, “Play what?” Have we become so reliant on being entertained, structured play, that we no longer have the kind of imagination that ultimately feeds innovation? The imagination equation is: education, which includes but is not exclusive to academic training, plus unstructured play. Q: What is the core challenge for Black America to achieve progress and attract investments? A: We don’t talk about innovation as a life skill. We’re not nearly well-represented in the science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) disciplines that feed a lot of the explosive growth companies either through the production or application of new technology. Increase the demand for angel investment groups. That’s the core challenge. Q: CB Insights issued a report this summer that revealed Black American entrepreneurs received just 1% of angel and VC funding through the first half of 2010, while Asian American entrepreneurs received 12% and Whites 87%. A: It’s interesting to me that the report identified Asian entrepreneurs at a 12 percent level of receiving VC funding during that period, which I have no doubt is disproportionately high compared to their numbers in the population. What’s also disproportionately high among Asian students is high achievement in math, science, engineering; the STEM programs. And if you extrapolate that out to what gets funded, its high and explosive growth companies in the innovation economy. Most of those companies are using, or producing, technology that’s grounded in science, mathematics and engineering. That’s what it looks like. And I think our challenge, in order to increase the numbers of African American, Black entrepreneurs, high-growth or explosive growth entrepreneurs, we have to increase the numbers of African Americans who are immersed in the STEM disciplines. Q: What’s the answer to the lack of funding information and access? A: For the funding model, these entrepreneurs will need access to leadership and management talent, ultimately to attract the kind of growth capital they need, plus clusters of what I call “peer networks” and a robust infrastructure around them of service providers and institutional support. That’s how states like Ohio, for example, are growing the innovation economy. We (African Americans) have very little interaction with those networks from my experience. And in our community of support services to help African Americans achieve a level of equitable contribution to the national economy, none of these things are present. Q: Business plans are a big part of attracting funding, either from institutional investors like angels and venture capitalists or nonprofit resources and potential clients. What’s your recommendation on writing a business plan? A: Business plans should be focused on cash flow and growth. Not growth for the sake of growth and not mindless growth but growth consistent with the business plan along with outstanding management talent focused on explosive growth. Q: Education leaders in Black America are concerned about the low levels of Blacks in the STEM fields, which produce the highest number of explosive growth companies. To add to the challenge, there are growing numbers of universities that have separate entrepreneurship centers, like Harvard, Stanford, UC Berkeley and others that recognize the need to nurture the entrepreneurial energy that propels innovation. Where is Black America in this fast-paced push for productivity? A: In the education field, particularly higher education, it has been a continuing struggle to evolve the American higher education model. It is exceedingly difficult for universities that are largely not-entrepreneurial to build, not just an entrepreneurial center, but exude a culture of entrepreneurship throughout the university, throughout the faculty, staff and student body. It’s one thing to have an isolated entrepreneurship center within a university and another thing to have an entrepreneurial university that in many cases manifests breakthrough ideas through the entrepreneurship center ultimately for commercialization in the marketplace. I think there’s still a disconnect between the old model institution and the 21st century needs of all of our national assets. * * * Johnathan Holifield is inviting a collaboration of leaders to join him and Dr. Chad Womack of tbed21.org in developing an innovation infrastructure for Black America. To join the growing number of collaborators, contact Johnathan Holifield via email: johnathan@trimtabsystem.com. (Ask about the Trim Tab) Read the entire four-part series: Pt 1: Innovation Crisis in Black America Pt 2: Where are Black Entrepreneurs and Angels? Pt 3: The Challenges of Tech Entrepreneurship

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Peter H. Gleick: Marketing Bottled Water to Kids Under the Guise of a Health Program

September 20, 2010

A new brand of bottled water, aimed specifically at children, is being aggressively marketed in schools from Alaska to New York, through an advertising campaign masquerading as a “health” program. Health is always a great marketing tool. The brand (“Wat-ahh!”), with colorful bottles, kid-focused advertisements, and a pseudo health message (“Healthy Hydration in the Nation”) is being pushed by a company that, ironically, also markets energy drinks with a sex message (“Playboy Energy” drinks). Sex, of course, is another great marketing tool. The company, Full Motion Beverage, claims that their goal is to get kids off of sugary drinks (though, of course, the company sells plenty of those as well) as part of “the fight against childhood obesity.” That’s a great goal. But of course, drinking far, far cheaper (and equally clean) tap water would serve the same purpose, albeit without generating huge profits for the company. And national statistics show that we’re NOT drinking less soda and sugar — we’re drinking less tap water and MORE bottled water and soda. When you visit the company’s “healthy hydration” website, you get a kid-focused “quiz” about the importance of drinking water, the problems with drinking sugary sodas, and the dangers of dehydration, with a conclusion that schools should start a “healthy hydration program” designed by this bottled water company, with the company’s URL and images of their bottled water. “Getting into schools is a huge achievement for our brand,” says Rose Cameron the company’s founder and CEO. “We are therefore excited to be invited into these schools to conduct our Healthy Hydration education program and look forward to meeting the kids!” No doubt, and selling the company’s products. Moreover, the company makes several “versions” of their bottled water, with additives. One of these in particular, Wat-aah “Energy,” contains “oxygen for increased metabolic function and energy.” As I’ve described in detail in my book ” Bottled and Sold: The Story Behind Our Obsession with Bottled Water ,” water products with added “oxygen” are scams. Scientific studies have shown that extra oxygen added to bottled water doesn’t stay there; it comes out of solution when you open the bottle and it provides no demonstrable benefit. But more importantly, we don’t absorb oxygen through our stomachs. We get it through our lungs. Drinking bottled water with extra oxygen will, at best, produce an expensive burp. This kind of corporate advertising to children and schools under the guise of a health program should not be permitted. If companies want to promote health in schools, they should support education programs that do not include pushing particular products. If schools want to adopt an “Anti-Obesity” campaign, they would do better to look to Michelle Obama’s ” Let’s Move ” effort. If schools want to show advertisements about obesity and how to reduce it, they should look to the Ad Council’s Childhood Obesity Prevention effort sponsored by the US Department of Health and Human Services and other organizations that aren’t trying to sell children commercial products. Peter Gleick Pacific Institute

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Mark Miller: How to Cut Expenses in Retirement

September 13, 2010

How much will you need to live on in retirement? You’ll often hear the big financial services companies offer this rule of thumb: Plan to replace 80 percent of your working income in retirement. Ellen Wagner tossed the rule of thumb out the window when she retired in 2008. Instead, she developed a plan to live well on less than half of what she had been making. Executing that plan helped allow Wagner, who’s been widowed since 2008, to retire at age 58. Wagner’s story underscores an important point about retirement planning: Income and assets are just one set of values in the retirement security equation; on the other side sit lifestyle and spending. There’s a growing focus on this side of the equation, thanks to writers like Chris Farrell, a journalist and author of The New Frugality (Bloomsbury Press, 2009) and retirement educator Steve Vernon, who blogs about retirement spending and expenses frequently at CBS Moneywatch. Farrell makes the case for a new frugality based on values that are good for pocketbooks and for the environment at the same time. The core of his argument is that a conservative approach to consumerism leads to green decision-making, such as downsizing your home, using energy-efficient appliances, recycling and using public transportation instead of cars. And from a pocketbook perspective, Farrell’s frugality doesn’t mean pinching pennies; instead, it means spending on quality — buying the best you can afford but no more than you need. Vernon has pointed out other creative ways to slash spending. “[Live] like you did in your college years. Take in a roommate or two. Maybe beg your kids to move back in with you in order to share expenses,” he says. “Grow your own food. Entertain yourself and your friends by renting DVDs and sharing a $5-dollar bottle of wine from your local discount retailer. Many of my contemporaries have fond memories of their college years, partly due to the shared bond of figuring out how to enjoy life on a shoestring. Is it time to go back to the future?” Ellen Wagner thinks so. After a first career as a professional violinist in the New Orleans Symphony, she later completed a Ph.D. in philosophy and taught at the University of North Florida in Jacksonville until 2008, when she decided to make a major change in her life. “My husband was killed in an accident in 2004. I decided to sell our house in Jacksonville, and move back to Boulder, where I’d met my husband when I was in grad school. Selling the house in Jacksonville in which we’d lived was hard but really made all the difference in my retirement.” Here are the key areas where Wager cut spending: Downsized real estate: Wagner sold a 2,000-square-foot house in Jacksonville and bought–for cash–a condo half that size in Boulder. “Jacksonville is actually a much less expensive place to live than Boulder, but my condo costs so much less to maintain that my life here is cheaper,” she says. “I dropped the mortgage payment, alarm company, lawn care, termite spray, bug spray, and pesticide/herbicide spray fees plus costs of fixing the roof, maintaining the irrigation system, paying for water for the lawn and shrubs, and higher utilities costs. “My homeowners’ assessment in the condo is less than I used to pay monthly to have the lawn mowed! And my southwestern exposure provides passive solar heating all winter, when my furnace does not generally get a lot of use. Downsizing drastically in what I own has reduced stuff and clutter to just the right amount. This was the largest cutback in living costs.” Simplicity at home: Wagner stopped worrying about having all the latest and greatest in her home. “I stopped wanting to have newer, upgraded appliances, devices, etc. In the Jacksonville house, I had nice 42-inch cabinets and put in new countertops with an integrated sink and a designer faucet. These were good investments, as the upgrades helped me sell the house before the market had tanked completely. Here in Boulder, I have a 1985 kitchen, complete with Formica countertops and laminate cabinets with the oak strips on the bottom.” Simplicity in diet. “I stopped eating out very often and also doing much shopping. Instead, I cook at home, which I absolutely love to do, and entertain friends here with excellent food and reasonable wines. Also, I use our great public library for books I want to read, as well as the place to donate books I no longer want.” Less driving. “Now that I’m retired and living in a walk-able city with great public transportation I am putting half the miles on my car each year, which saves gas and wear-and-tear. And car insurance is cheaper now since I drive less.” Along with extending her retirement income, Wagner feels good about the new lifestyle values in her retirement equation. “The general result is that now I can honor my ethical principles,” she comments. “I use less, buy fewer new things, and tread more lightly on the planet in general. Ultimately, my life feels very luxurious because getting rid of the meaningless extra stuff has enabled me to choose what matters most to me and what I most enjoy from day to day.”

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Peter Dreier: What Kind of Capitalism?

September 4, 2010

This Labor Day , America seems to be holding its breath, trying to decide what kind of society it wants to be. Many Americans are wondering whether the country has lost its ability — or our political will — to sustain a middle class society that works for everyone. The current recession has deepened the anxiety and pain, but in many ways it has simply exacerbated trends that were underway for over a decade. These include widening economic disparities, a proliferation of low-wage and part-time jobs, and deteriorating social conditions. A growing number of Americans doubt that their children will be better off than they are. Faced with an even graver situation in the Depression, President Franklin Roosevelt worked with Congress to give the federal government the tools it needed to revitalize the economy, put Americans back to work, and make business act responsibly. At the time, critics called him a socialist. But in retrospect, it is clear that what FDR did was to rescue capitalism. We hear echoes of that same debate today. No matter what President Obama proposes — health care reform, a stimulus plan of large-scale public works, extending unemployment benefits, protecting consumers from credit card abuse, increasing financial aid for college students, raising fuel standards on cars, and more — Glenn Beck, Rush Limbaugh, and the right-wing mainstream of the Republican Party call it “socialism.” But in reality, the choice is not between “socialism” and “capitalism.” It is between what form of capitalism makes the most sense for a healthy society. One version of capitalism is characterized by free market fundamentalism, where consumers, workers, and families are on their own, and businesses do whatever they want, with little or no role for government. Let’s call this “no rules” capitalism. The other version of capitalism is one where society sets the rules and standards of commerce, regarding matters like protecting consumers, employees and the environment from irresponsible business practices, such as excessive pollution, risky oil drilling, predatory and reckless bank lending, unsafe workplaces, food, medicine, cars, and airplanes, minimum wages, and discrimination by race and gender. Let’s call this “responsible” capitalism. Without clear government ground rules, capitalism becomes anarchy and cronyism. Every segment of industry, as well as consumers, becomes so short-sighted and greedy that they don’t see the possible train wreck coming around the corner. That’s what happened to the financial services and housing industry — the builders, banks, mortgage companies, brokers, investors, credit-rating agencies, and others — when they got the deregulation that they fought so hard for. Consider the current epidemic of foreclosures, which precipitated the nation’s mortgage meltdown and led the country into today’s economic hard times. Banks, mortgage brokers, rating agencies, and homebuilders all acted badly. But here’s the problem with our troubled financial system in a nutshell: Americans don’t have enough money to pay their mortgages. Fix that — that is, help most American families achieve a middle class income — and you’re pretty far along toward solving the other serious problems troubling our society. In many ways , America today resembles the conditions in the late 1800s that was called the Gilded Age. It was an era of rampant, unregulated capitalism. It was a period of merger mania, increasing concentrations of wealth among the privileged few, and growing political influence by corporate power brokers called the Robber Barons. During the Gilded Age, new technologies made possible new industries, which generated great riches for the fortunate few, but at the expense of workers, consumers, and the environment. The gap between the rich and other Americans widened dramatically. In the U.S., the wealthiest one percent of Americans own almost 40 percent of all corporate stock, half of all Americans own no stock at all, and a handful of large corporations dominate most sectors of the economy. America today has the biggest concentration of income and wealth since 1928. Last year, average CEO pay for the largest 500 corporations was $9.25 million — 319 times that of the average worker, compared with 42 times in 1980 and 107 times in 1990. At the pinnacle of America’s economic pyramid, the nation’s 400 billionaires had a combined net worth in 2008 of approximately $1.6 trillion, more than the combined net worth of the 56 million American families at the bottom half of wealth distribution. Americans are understandably angry that Wall Street executives and other corporate honchos have made out like bandits, benefiting from taxpayer bail-outs with huge salaries and bonuses, while most families are treading water. Few dispute that widening income and wealth inequality translates into huge disparities in political influence, giving business and the rich too much power to shape public policy, often at odds with public opinion, and often to the detriment of the majority of Americans. A Pew poll last year found that 77% of Americans say that “there is too much power concentrated in the hands of a few big companies.” A clear majority — 62% — says businesses make too much profit, while fewer than four-in-ten (37%) say businesses “generally strike a fair balance between profits and the public interest.” The obvious question confronting America is what role, if any, government should play in setting standards and rules for those corporations and their stockholders, taming their abuses; stimulating the economy to boost and sustain private economic growth; and providing or helping people afford education (both K-12 and college), health care, child care, and retirement savings. If this debate sounds like Republicans vs. Democrats, it’s not that simple. Almost all Republicans in Congress subscribe to the free market fundamentalist view of “no rules” capitalism. And most Democrats in Congress, like Obama, favor “responsible” capitalism. But there are enough Democrats who aren’t sure which brand of capitalism they prefer to make it difficult for Obama to advance his agenda. We saw that in the debate over health care (many Democrats in Congress opposed a single payer system and a handful opposed a public option), Wall Street reform, climate change, and even the extensions of jobless benefits. This may have more to do with campaign contributions than beliefs, but it is a division with serious political consequences. Obama prevailed in each case, but not without making compromises that some of his key supporters found frustrating. The public, however, is not as divided over these matters as the politicians. Even some Tea Party activists scream “Get your government’s hands off my Medicare.” In fact, according to polls, the majority of those who sympathize with the Tea Party want the federal government to help create jobs, rein in Wall Street and even do something about excessive executive bonuses. Yes, they want “responsible” capitalism, too. Most Americans are frustrated with the government but not angry with it, according to polls. While a majority lack confidence in government’s ability to get things done, they also recognize that effective government is needed to help address serious problems, like creating jobs, protecting consumers, limiting pollution, fostering affordable health care, developing new energy sources, making college education affordable, improving public schools, and even reducing poverty. A Pew survey last year found that 63% of Americans think that it is government’s responsibility to “take care of people who can’t take care of themselves”. They want, according to pollsters Guy Molyneux and Ruy Teixeira, “better, not smaller” government. The measures taken by the Obama administration so far to address the economic crisis — the government’s fiscal stimulus, bailouts of financial companies, and the Fed’s lower interest rates — prevented a depression, slowed a decline in gross domestic product, and saved about 8.5 million jobs, according to a recent study by economists Alan Blinder and Mark Zandi. But the economy is still in serious trouble, foreclosures continue to mount, and Americans aren’t confident when — or if — the situation will get better. Rightly or wrongly, most Americans believe that these efforts have helped Wall Street more than Main Street. According to a Pew survey, they think that government policies have helped large banks, large corporations and the wealthy, but provided little or no help for the poor, the middle class or small businesses. Although it was the Republicans who stymied bold action on these issues, the voters are likely to take out their frustrations on the Democrats this November. We are surely at a crossroads. Like the choices facing America during the Great Depression, we need to rescue capitalism again. But what kind of capitalism? The new (October 2010) issue of The American Prospect helps answer that question. It provides a roadmap for “responsible capitalism.” Articles by Robert Kuttner, Harold Meyerson, David Moberg, David Bensman and Molly Greenberg, Ann O’Leary, Stephen Franklin, Rebecca Ruiz, Jan Breidenbach, and myself document dozens of policies — many of which the President can do without new legislation — to create new jobs, stabilize the middle class, lift families out of poverty, and revitalize the economy toward shared prosperity. To advance an agenda of responsible capitalism, progressives need to redefine what we mean by a “healthy” economy and business climate as one in which prosperity is widely shared by working people, that lifts the working poor into the middle class, and provides economic opportunity and security. As the articles in The American Prospect demonstrate, government has ample powers to change these conditions for the better. Back in the days of Lyndon Johnson’s War on Poverty, Republican critics liked to say that the best anti-poverty program is a job. The federal government has the capacity — and responsibility — to promote full employment, where everyone who wants to work has a job. But the kinds of job — the pay, benefits, security, and prospects for advancement — are as important as the job itself. American workers today face declining job security and dwindling earnings as companies downsize, move overseas, and shift more jobs to part-time workers. Last year, a survey by the Economic Policy Institute found that 44 percent of American families had experienced either the job loss of one or more members, a reduction in hours, or a cut in pay over the previous year. For the vast majority of workers, the costs of basic necessities are rising faster than incomes. Meanwhile, despite improvements in productivity, the earnings of most workers have been stagnant, while the cost of health care, housing, and other necessities has risen. The basics of the American Dream — the ability to buy a home, pay for college tuition and health insurance, take a yearly vacation, and save for retirement — have become increasingly slippery. Last year, 61 percent of Americans said they always or usually live paycheck to paycheck, up from 49 percent in 2008 and 43 percent in 2007. Even 30% of those who earned over $100,000 said they lived in that precarious situation. For many Americans — including the over 40 million Americans living below the official poverty line — the dream has become a nightmare. In July, roughly one out of 10 Americans — nearly 15 million people — was out of work. Add people who’d given up looking for work — and not counted as jobless — and the figure is considerably higher. Almost half (46 percent) of the jobless had been out of work for at least six months. This is the highest rate of long-term unemployment since the government began keeping such records in 1948. About a quarter of the unemployed had been jobless for more than a year. There were nearly five workers actively searching for work for every job available. Economic security means more than having a job. It means not getting wiped out by a medical illness, rising college tuition, a workplace injury, or a layoff. Yale political scientist Jacob Hacker has calculated that one in five American households — the highest level in the past 25 years — is financially insecure. They’ve lost at least one-quarter of their income within a year due to a job loss and/or large out-of-pocket medical expenses and don’t have enough savings to replace those losses. Joblessness and economic insecurity lead to personal and economic disaster. People often lose their health insurance, lose their homes through eviction and foreclosure, suffer depression, and fall into poverty. And high unemployment weakens the bargaining power and reduces the wages of those who do have jobs. For most people , losing their job, their life savings, their pension, a portion of their earnings, or their home is traumatic, even when it’s through no fault of their own. Our individualistic culture leads people to blame themselves and to think of themselves as failures. Every day, week, and month that the current recession continues, and even deepens, more people die, get seriously injured physically, and suffer emotional hardships that can scar them for life. Dr. Harvey Brenner is a longtime student of the correlations between economic fluctuations and mental and physical health. According to Brenner, who is a sociologist and public-health expert at Johns Hopkins University and the University of North Texas Health Science Center, for every 1 percent rise in the unemployment rate (about 1.5 million more people out of work), society can anticipate 47,000 more deaths , including 26,000 from fatal heart attacks, 1,200 from suicide, 831 from murders, and 635 related to alcohol consumption. Long-term joblessness increases the toll. And public policy can mitigate the casualty rate. Last year, for example, the nation’s murder rate declined slightly. Criminologist Shawn Bushway of the State University of New York, Albany, attributes part of that decline to increased government aid. He told the Christian Science Monitor in May that “the extension of unemployment benefits probably held off crime.” Nonetheless, a national ABC/ Washington Post poll last December found that 64 percent of Americans said they were concerned about being unable to maintain their current standard of living. And 57 percent of Americans said they’re under personal stress as a result of the country’s economic crisis. More than one in four — 28 percent — said they feel “serious” stress. Among people in the highest income bracket, 48 percent reported stress from the economy and 24 percent reported “serious” stress. Among low-income people, stress soared to 67 percent, with serious stress affecting four in 10. The National Institute of Justice reported in a 2004 study that violence against women increases as male unemployment rises. When a woman’s male partner is employed, the average rate of violence is 4.7 percent. But the average rises to 7.5 percent when the male partner experiences one bout of unemployment and to 12.3 percent when he suffers two or more periods of joblessness. The National Suicide Prevention Lifeline, which operates 24-hour crisis help lines around the country, reported a significant increase in suicide calls during the first part of this year. “The increase in suicide attempts and suicides during recessions is one of the most predictable correlations we have,” according to Brenner . “It’s not only in response to unemployment. It’s also about the loss of income and wealth.” Moreover, much like post-traumatic stress disorder in wartime, for some people the symptoms become chronic, lasting even after they find work again. Psychological depression, troubled marriages, and loss of self-confidence don’t just go away when the economic recession ends. Economic hardship leaves behind a trail of wounded people who never fully recover. So the goal should be: more good jobs . A good job means one that pays enough to allow a family to buy or rent a decent home, put food on the table and clothes on their backs, afford health insurance and child care, send the kids to college, take a yearly vacation, and retire with dignity. A good job means that two parents don’t have to juggle three jobs to stay afloat, and that they still have time to spend with their kids. Decent wages are necessary for social stability and for the purchasing power that the economy needs to trigger and sustain a strong recovery. The explosion of low-wage jobs is not the result of workers having inadequate education or skills. Over the past two decades, both education levels and skills have improved, while incomes have stagnated. This troubling trend is due, for the most part, to the declining bargaining power of America’s employees. Enforcement of labor laws and setting standards for government contractors could change that equation, both directly and indirectly. More workers would earn good wages — and more would have the effective right to join unions. Consider the case of two newly hired security guards with the same level of education who work in downtown Los Angeles for Securitas, the nation’s largest security company, with $8.7 billion in revenues last year. Both Jose and Bill work in two of LA’s large office buildings. Jose’s starting pay is $11.50 an hour with paid health insurance as well as two sick days, five paid holidays, five vacation days (increasing to 10 days after five years), three paid bereavement days, and a uniform maintenance allowance of $2 a day. Bill starts at $8 an hour (the state minimum wage) and gets no health insurance or any other benefits. What accounts for the difference? Jose is a member of the Service Employees International Union, which has a collective-bargaining agreement with Securitas, while Bill is on his own, with no union contract. Multiply this example millions of times, across different job categories and industries, and you get a sense that, contrary to business propaganda, unions are actually good for the economy. Los Angeles provides a good illustration of how unions strengthen worker purchasing power and the economy. According to a December 2007 study by the Economic Roundtable, union workers in LA County earn 27 percent more than nonunion workers performing the same jobs. The higher wages for the LA union workers — who number about 800,000 or 15 percent of the workforce — add $7.2 billion a year in earnings. And there is a multiplier effect. As these workers purchased housing, food, clothing, child care, and other items, their consumption power created an additional 307,200 jobs, or 64,800 more than would have been produced without the higher union wages. The union wages also yield about $7 billion in taxes to various levels of government. If unionization rates were higher, these positive ripple effects would increase across the economy. According to the Economic Policy Institute, union workers earn 14.1 percent more in wages than nonunion workers in the same occupations and with the same level of experience and education. The “union premium” is considerably higher when total compensation is included, because unionized workers are much more likely to get health insurance and pension benefits. Unions not only raise wages; they also reduce workplace inequalities based on race. The union wage premium is especially high for black employees (18.3 percent), Hispanic employees (21.9 percent), and Asian employees (17.4 percent). (The union wage premium is 12.4 percent for white employees.) In other words, unions help to close racial wage gaps by making it tougher for employers to discriminate. Likewise, unions reduce workplace inequalities based on gender. The union wage premium is 14.5 percent for black women, 18.7 percent for Hispanic women, 12.6 percent for Asian women, and 9.1 percent for white women. Unions also reduce overall wage inequalities, because they raise wages more at the bottom and middle than at the top. If unions are good for workers and good for the economy , why are so few employees union members? Some business leaders argue that American employees are simply anti-union, a consequence of our culture’s strong individualistic ethic and opposition to unions as uninvited “third parties” between employers and their employees. Anti-union attitudes, business groups claim, account for the decline in union membership, which peaked at 35 percent in the 1950s and is now 12.3 percent. But this story leaves out four decades of corporate union-bashing that has increased the risk that workers take when they seek union representation. In general, polls reveal that American workers have positive attitudes toward unions, and these positive views are increasing as anxiety about job security, wages, and pensions grows. A majority of American employees say they would join a union if they could. But they won’t vote for a union, much less participate openly in a union-organizing drive, if they fear they will lose their job or be otherwise punished or harassed at work for doing so. And there’s the rub. Americans have far fewer rights at work than employees in other democratic societies. Current federal laws are an impediment to union organizing rather than a protector of workers’ rights. The rules are stacked against workers, making it extremely difficult for even the most talented organizers to win union elections. Under current National Labor Relations Board regulations, any employer with a clever attorney can stall union elections, giving management time to scare the living daylights out of potential recruits. According to Cornell University’s Kate Bronfenbrenner, it is standard practice for corporations to subject workers to threats, interrogation, harassment, surveillance, and retaliation for union activity during organizing campaigns. One-third of all employers illegally fire at least one employee. Some workers get reinstated, but it often takes years and exhaustive court battles. Penalties for these violations are so minimal that most employers treat them as a minor cost of doing business. Employees who initially signed union cards are often long gone or too afraid to vote by the time the NLRB conducts an election. Large employers spend hundreds of millions of dollars a year to hire anti-union consultants in order to intimidate workers from participating in or showing support for union campaigns. Employers can require workers to attend meetings on work time, during which company managers give anti-union speeches, show anti-union films, and distribute anti-union literature. Unions have no equivalent rights of access to employees. To reach them, organizers must distribute leaflets outside offices, hospitals, and factory gates (an activity unions have not found cost-effective), visit workers’ homes, or hold secret meetings. Even with passage of the Employee Free Choice Act, employees would still need to mount campaigns to persuade other workers to join a union and then win a decent contract. But EFCA would provide greater balance between employees and employers in the workplace. This would make it more likely that union organizing campaigns would succeed, that workers would have better-paying jobs, that the ripple effects of union pay would improve the overall economy, and that the political influence of the labor movement would help the nation enact more progressive policies to make America a more humane society. Good jobs are the foundation of “responsible” capitalism. Even before EFCA is enacted, there is plenty that the executive branch of government could do to promote good jobs and the right of workers to bargain collectively. That, in turn, would increase the ranks of those battling for other policies to help working Americans. What are our friends in the White House waiting for? A different version of this article appears in the October issue of The American Prospect .

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Roberto G. Quercia: For Whom the Bell Tolls: Making the Best Choice for Borrowers in a Bad Situation

August 27, 2010

This week, the housing news has been dismal: record low sales, talk of a double dip in values, and growing foreclosures. Meanwhile, the help that many homeowners hoped would come from government programs has not materialized. Instead, ever changing and complicated programs without teeth seem designed to prop up the industry rather than truly assist homeowners. Not surprisingly, many borrowers are coming to the realization that their options are limited. While some savvy borrowers are defaulting for purely ‘strategic’ motivations (meaning they have reasonable means to continue to pay but choose not to), for many others, the decision is not so clear cut, especially when they face an extended period of owing more than their home is worth with little economic relief in sight. Despite efforts by industry and elected officials to discourage it, more and more borrowers may choose to exercise their option to default. Why? First of all, defaulting on a mortgage is completely legal. There is an implicit option in all mortgage contracts that allows borrowers to give the house back to lenders in exchange for extinguishing the mortgage obligation. The value of this option is a function of the outstanding debt, the value of the home and the costs associated with default. Lenders price this option when they originate the loan expecting that a small number of borrowers will default. Unfortunately, bad lending decisions leading to and combined with steep drops in house values have made this option rational for many more borrowers. Instead of owning up to their mistake, financial companies and government programs have promoted loan modifications so that borrowers can continue to make payments, even if such action may cause more harm than good to many of them in the long run. It is not difficult to see why default is the best option for many borrowers. According to the National Association of Realtors, a single-family house typically sold for around $220,000 between 2005 and 2007. Even assuming a very conservative 20% down payment and the ability to refinance at the favorable 5.0% interest rate currently going for conventional, conforming, fixed-rate mortgages, mortgage payments would still come to $945 a month, or 36% higher than the current median asking rent reported by the U.S. Census Bureau. That is, borrowers who continue to make mortgage payments spend about $3,000 more a year than if they chose to rent instead. Analysts at J.P. Morgan Securities estimate that if house prices remain flat, 13 million borrowers currently have an incentive to walk away from their mortgage. Even if housing prices appreciate by 3% for the next five years, the number would still be 6.5 million borrowers. Meaning that, for several years, millions of homeowners will pay thousands of dollars a year above the cost of housing just to meet their obligation to the bank. All together, this amounts to nearly $100 billion of wealth flowing away from communities to line the pockets of Wall Street. Most rental properties are owned by individuals or partnerships. The Property Owners and Managers Survey found that a quarter of landlords live on the rental premises. Rent payment to them is cash that supports local businesses. Even the mortgage payments made by those landlords typically go to local banks, where they can be recycled into the community. By contrast, residential mortgages are more likely to be held by large financial companies and investors all over the world. Everyone debates the causes of the crisis. Was it irresponsible borrowers? Deceitful lenders? Greedy financiers? Lenient regulators? Regardless, the financial burden seems to have fallen heavily on borrowers and taxpayers. From day one, Wall Street has made money from these mortgages. The loans were highly profitable during the boom years; then, when they started to default in large numbers, Congress authorized $700 billion under the Temporary Asset Relief Program to purchase the loans, supposedly at market value. But the Congressional Oversight Panel found Treasury paid $254 billion for assets actually worth just $176 billion, a 44% mark-up. Imagine how many underwater homeowners could be put right with that kind of deal. What has Wall Street done with this heads-I-win-tails-you-lose arrangement? Paid itself handsomely. In 2009, at the depth of the crisis when one in six Americans were out of work, domestic financial industries raked in $242 billion in profits and Wall Street paid $145 billion in bonuses, all benefits and other compensation. The result is an exacerbation of wealth and income inequality. Nearly 34% of new worth is currently held by the top one percent. Moreover, the explosion of sub-prime lending was an expansion of credit particularly to low-income households, although it was certainly not limited to them. While most subprime loans went to whites and higher-income borrowers, the housing bust has disproportionately affected those least able to weather the storm. In 14 of the 16 metro areas that the S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index breaks out homes by value, the lower tier of homes experienced greater price appreciation than the higher tier between 2002 and 2006; and in 15 of those metro areas, the lower tier experienced greater price declines between 2006 and 2010. For example, the peak-to-trough decline in house price in Los Angeles was 30% for higher-valued homes but 56% for lower-valued ones. Given that low-income borrowers are more likely to own lower-valued homes and are also more likely to have higher loan-to-value ratios to begin with, these borrowers who already paying the higher interest rates associated with subprime loans are also more likely to be underwater. By some estimates, home equity accounts for 60-80 percent of household wealth among low-income borrowers and/or minority households. In the presence of negative equity and the fact that sustainable appreciation occurs very gradually, these households are likely to feel the aftermath of the crisis especially hard for years to come. Continuing mortgage payments on a loan that has no relationship to the value of the underlying house is likely to deplete even more the precious financial resources of low income/low wealth borrowers. Unfortunately, this depletion of resources exacerbates an already unfortunate trend. For decades, policy has encouraged consumer spending when most of the gains in economic growth went to those with the highest income among us. According to Robert Reich, America’s median wage, adjusted for inflation, has barely changed for decades and between 2000 and 2007 it actually dropped. For most Americans, the only way to consume and keep up with ever higher prices was to acquire debt, mostly by using the homes as ATMs, i.e., taking large amounts of equity out of the property through often lender-promoted refinance or junior lien borrowing. From a policy perspective, such promotion of consumption was not a savings or asset-building-friendly policy. Neither are federally supported policies leading to modifications of mortgage loans that increase the loan balances when there is little hope of financial gains in any foreseeable future. Longer term, this policy-induced neglect of asset building is likely to worsen the so-called “retirement crisis” at a time when policy makers are trying to figure out what to do about it. Policy makers fear the collapse of the Social Security system when an unprecedented number of baby boomers retire and they encourage Americans to rely on household savings, invested over time, and home equity. Promoting additional mortgage payments when they make no financial sense works against such efforts. Isn’t the left hand aware of what the right hand is doing? We know from our work that the vast majority of mortgage borrowers take their responsibilities seriously, even if underwater. This is especially true of modest-wealth households that will go to extreme sacrifices to continue to make mortgage payments. They will exhaust their savings, max out their credit cards, try to get a second or third job, and tap or deplete children’s college and their own retirement funds. For example, we know that in 2009, 18% of Americans 45 years or older, including 22% of Hispanics and 26% of African Americans, withdrew funds prematurely from their retirement accounts, already depleted by the financial crisis, to continue making mortgage payments. Unfortunately, we also know that there is a high probability that despite these sacrifices, borrowers are likely to lose their home anyway, and almost certainly experience long-term financial ruin. Isn’t there a better way to solve the problem? Until 1993, judges were allowed to “cram down” mortgage debt on primary residences as part of Chapter 13 bankruptcy. The mortgage amount could be reduced to the value of the property with the remaining amount treated as unsecured debt. The concept of allowing bankruptcy judges to modify the mortgage debt owed on primary residences as they can on other debt, including properties owned for investment (or speculative) purposes, had been considered by Congress and the Obama administration, but was ultimately rejected due to industry complaints. The Mortgage Bankers Association and others claimed that the uncertainty of the legal process would result in greater lending costs and restricted access to credit. But a recent report by the Cleveland Federal Reserve found a similar process introduced in the wake of the 1980s farm crisis had only a minor effect on the cost and availability of credit to farmers. In fact, the threat of legal proceedings prompted lenders to seek private modification settlements. Such a stick might induce more loan modifications with principal reductions than the carrot of HAMP has been able to accomplish. The latest Office of the Comptroller/Office of Thrift Supervision Mortgage Metrics report reveals that just 0.1% — that is, one tenth of one percent — of HAMP loan modifications and 1.9% of all modifications in the first quarter of 2010 involved principal reduction. Without principal reduction, what options are left for underwater borrowers? Unfortunately, the widely touted solution of improving a borrower’s financial literacy is likely to be considered counterproductive by some. That is because many underwater borrowers who become better informed about financial issues will soon realize their best choice is to exercise the default option already written in their mortgage contracts. Concern about such a realization is probably what is prompting industry and public officials to play the “morality” card. They say that these borrowers have not only a financial obligation but also a moral obligation to repay their mortgage instead of walking away. John Courson, chief executive of the Mortgage Bankers Association, asks “What about the message they will send to their family and their kids and their friends?” I would ask what kind of message borrowers send their children when their own retirement savings and savings for their children’s futures are poured down the drain to support a financial crisis that has already added billions, perhaps trillions, of dollars to the tab of the next generation to pay for the excesses of the private mortgage market? With no realistic prospects of gain, many underwater borrowers who continue making payments are really only transferring wealth — theirs and their children’s — to Wall Street. Now, that is immoral and comes at a terribly high social cost. In the absence of any real solution to fundamentally address this problem, any policy initiative that continues to put the well being of Wall Street and the lending industry ahead of the ability of many Americans and their children to build wealth should fail in the long run. That failure is a price none of us should be willing to pay.

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Jeff Madrick: Weak Financial Regulation Is Further Defanged

August 26, 2010

I sure hope somebody is going to notice the fine piece on the front page of Thursday’s New York Times about how easy it is to get around the Volcker rule. Remember how the Obama team that came up with its reregulation proposals seemed to push Paul Volcker aside? The former Federal Reserve chairman was supposed to be running a committee on the subject for the president, but even he let it be known no one was talking to him much. Volcker was concerned that commercial banks were using insured depositor money to make risky investments and to drive huge bonuses — and the Fed and the FDIC would be left picking up the pieces. The system should not be bearing that much risk, he wisely figured. And to be fair, he had long felt this way. After an earlier front page Times piece by Lou Uchitelle on Volcker’s concerns , Obama suddenly embraced a limitation on such trading — the Volcker rule. There were many Volcker photo ops. There would now be a ceiling on what trading could be done for the banks’ proprietary accounts — its own assets. The Dodd-Frank bill embraced the idea. Problem solved. No way, of course. The trouble is, banks have been trading for their own accounts to one degree or other for decades while making markets for their customers. In the late 1970s and early 1980s in particular, they first discovered they could generate big profits if they bought extra securities (or derivatives) at propitious times under the guise of keeping inventory to facilitate trades of their investors and corporate clients. They could also hedge their positions by selling. In truth, it wasn’t even a disguise. They gambled money, but like all market makers, they had an insider’s edge. And they made fortunes. Some of the investment bankers, in particular, loved the traders who took the big risks. Of course, occasionally, they lost big — and some of the losers made headlines. But mostly they made out like bandits. Over time, the lucrative practice was moved to the “proprietary” desks. That’s where Howie Hubler lost nine billion dollars in a mammoth mortgage transaction for Morgan Stanley, as reported by Michael Lewis in The Big Short . I was never clear why the press didn’t make more of that after Lewis divulged the unpublicized catastrophe. No one ever lost that much money on a trading desk before. Once not long ago, if you lost $200 million it was a scandal. Now Nelson Schwartz and Erich Dash have put their finger on what seemed to be hidden from view. The banks do a lot of this all the time, and they are doing it big-time again, the reporters found out. As they quote one consultant, “You can use client activity as a cover for basically anything you are doing.” And the fact is that they do, and have done so for a long time. As the Times reporters write, “For all the talk of shutting down trading desks and reassigning employees to prepare for the Volcker Rule, proprietary-style trading will probably survive, if under a different name.” So much for the Volcker rule. And the great man himself (that is, Volcker) never came to grips with this immense hole in the regulations, either. High risk on Wall Street will go on. Meantime, Sheila Bair found it necessary to argue in this week’s Financial Times that stronger capital requirements will make the financial system better — that is, help allocate capital where it is actually needed and useful. She apparently feels she has to defend higher capital requirements against influential complaints coming from the powerful financial community that they will undermine lending and raise interest rates. Yes, and regulations to limit oil spills will raise gas prices, higher wages will undermine corporate profitability and capital investment, and product safety standards will limit the number of toys parents can buy for their kids. Industry goes on and on. As if, suggests Bair, the earlier inadequate capital requirements resulted in no financial or social cost. Consider the credit crisis and the recessionary aftermath. The financial reregulation package was never strong enough, but the battle to make work even what was passed, will go on. Nothing is quite so irksome as the financial community talking about how little TARP cost taxpayers as banks paid back their bailouts. First, TARP should probably have made money, like Warren Buffett will on the money he lent Wall Street. But second, the big cost is severe and ongoing recession resulting in hundreds of billions of dollars of lower federal tax revenues for years, unemployment rates near ten percent, and weak capital spending. Let’s keep straight how much financial excess has and will continue to cost America. Cross-posted from New Deal 2.0 . Sign up for weekly ND20 highlights, mind-blowing stats, event alerts, and reading/film/music recs.

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Eric Schurenberg: Social Security Turns 75, Starts Cadging from the Kids

August 24, 2010

On Saturday, Social Security turned 75 years old. AARP chapters around the country held corny birthday parties, but they didn’t invite Stephen Goss, Social Security’s chief actuary. That might have spoiled the fun. Just a few days before, Goss and his team produced an annual trustees report acknowledging that, for the first time since 1983, the program has begun to run at a deficit-and, except for a few years in the near future, it would continue to run deeper and deeper in the red through its 150 th anniversary and beyond. That’s a heck of a depressing birthday present; it’s also a pretty grim milestone if you one day were hoping to get a decent return on a lifetime of Social Security taxes. I imagine you have some questions. What’s all this mean? Social Security used to draw more in taxes than it paid in benefits, which helped shrink the federal deficit. Now there’s a shortfall in Social Security’s cash flow, which means the system will make the deficit worse. To paraphrase the actuaries’ specific forecast: Unless taxes rise or benefits fall, the system will operate at a deficit this year and next, return to a surplus through 2014, then sink back below the surface in 2015 and never come up. Doesn’t the Social Security trust fund cover that? No, silly. All those years of surplus in Social Security were recorded in a book entry dubbed the “trust fund,” but the non-marketable special Treasury bonds that make up the fund don’t represent any assets that can be cashed in to pay benefits. What the trust fund does is give the system authority to tap the Treasury to pay for benefits, but it doesn’t help the Treasury come up with the money. The fact is, to cover benefits, you and I and Secretary Geithner and his successors have to pony up the old fashioned way-by borrowing, raising taxes, or cutting benefits elsewhere in the federal budget. Wait a minute. That’s no different from what we’d have had to do if there was no trust fund. Bingo. If you’d rather hear it from the horse’s mouth, Allan Sloane notes that this passage appeared in the 2009 Trustees’ report (though it was curiously missing from the 2010 edition): Neither the redemption of trust fund bonds, nor interest paid on those bonds, provides any new net income to the Treasury, which must finance [bond] redemptions and interest payments through some combination of increased taxation, reductions in other government spending, or additional borrowing from the public. Are current beneficiaries going to lose out? Really rich ones might pay more income taxes on their benefits, as well as they will on their income. But no politician is suicidal enough to touch current retirees’ benefits. Are workers going to lose out? Something will have to give to keep the system solvent, and it will inevitably be given by those of us still in the workforce. The Administration has been floating the idea of gradually raising the age at which you become entitled to full benefits. A plurality of today’s workers will retire at 62, as those before them did, but they would get a lot less than under current law. However, that’s not what taxpayers want: The most popular proposed fix for Social Security is to apply payroll taxes to every dollar that high earners earn. (Right now they’re taxed-and receive benefits based on-income only up to $106,800.) Tax rich people? Easy. And that will solve the problem? If you tax the rich enough and cut benefits enough, you can make the system self-supporting on paper. But remember, “self-supporting” in Social Security accounting means drawing on the trust fund. “Drawing on the trust fund” is just code for more borrowing, taxes or benefit cuts elsewhere in the economy. By 2037, Social Security will soak up 10 percent of all income tax receipts-on top of what the system collects in Social Security taxes. I thought Social Security was the easy entitlement to fix . It is, in the sense that you can easily see what needs to be done to make the numbers add up–as opposed to Medicare, about which no one has a clue what to do. But the fact is, we don’t fix Social Security by making the numbers add up. Social Security is a political construction, not a P&L statement, and its survival in anything like its current form depends on its seeming fair and logical to voters. Today, politicians trip over themselves promising to protect Social Security benefits. But as the boomers qualify for Social Security and Medicare and the oldest fifth of the nation start to suck up more and more of the wealth produced by their kids and grandchildren, that might change. Robert Ball, former chief actuary of Social Security, predicted that one day a President would be elected promising to cut Social Security. Hard to imagine now, but if it happened, economic historians would trace that President’s campaign back to 2010, the year that Social Security stopped paying for itself. More on CBS MoneyWatch: Shouldn’t we just privatize Social Security? Social Security and the Federal Debt: Why You Should Worry

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America Fights Foreclosure: Lifelines For People Fighting To Keep Their Homes

August 21, 2010

The great American Dream of owning a home has never looked so impossible to achieve: roughly 1.65 million homes are in the foreclosure pipeline, housing prices are at an all-time low , and nearly 7% of mortgage holders are more than 60 days late on their payments. Despite the dreary picture, there are an ever-increasing number of lifelines for people trying to avoid foreclosure: One of the biggest national hotlines for free home counseling is 888-995-HOPE , run by the Congress-funded Home Preservation Foundation. To date, the HOPE hotline has counseled four million homeowners since 2008, and helped 70% avoid foreclosure within a year. HOPE is the number to call before you seek a loan modification or expensive legal representation: a counselor will listen to your housing and financial concerns and, if necessary, facilitate a three-way conversation with a third party for additional help. With 550 employees stationed in 8 centers around the country, Diane Zyats, VP of Communications at the Homeownership Preservation Foundation, says there is rarely a backlog of homeowners waiting to receive advice. This, Zyats stresses, is key to preventing a distressed homeowner from falling for one of the many foreclosure scams out there. The HOPE website also offers this helpful list of warning signs of a scam. Foremost? “No one should charge,” she says. “There are so many sources for not charging that there is no reason to charge.” Click here to see more. NeighborWorks America is another Congressionally-funded program that provides financial and technical support to community-based foreclosure prevention efforts, such as the National Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling Program (NFMC), which boasts a 60% success rate . It also manages this exhaustive database of certified, HUD-approved foreclosure counselors by state. At a local level, many communities are showing an incredible display of humanity and compassion for their neighbors facing foreclosure. For example, the non-profit Brooklyn Volunteer Lawyers Project is a coalition of 80 Brooklyn-based lawyers serving low-income Brooklynites on a pro bono basis. Although volunteers receive credited continuing legal education (CLE) training, taking on a case can take up a huge chunk of time. For example, foreclosure cases take anywhere from three months to years and usually require multiple court appearances and ongoing counsel. But Jamie Lathrop , director of foreclosure intervention, sees it as a simple matter of civic duty, “Why help? These people are our neighbors. They keep our neighborhoods clean, watch our kids on the street, return our mail to us. They let us know when someones scratched our car,” he says. “It’s part of being in a community.” Currently the BVLP handles over 160 active foreclosure cases, and has successfully prevented 45 from final foreclosure through mediation. Brooklyn is one of an increasing number of areas around the country where mediation has become mandatory before a home can be foreclosed on. Although victims don’t need legal representation at these settlements, it can provide an immense amount of reassurance. Over in Philadelphia, the Residential Mortgage Foreclosure Diversion Program is often touted as the first successful city-sponsored foreclosure prevention plan. Under the compassionate eye of Judge Annette Rizzo, recipient of the 2009 Louis J. Goffman Award, this two-year-old program makes it mandatory for borrower and lender to meet face-to-face, and discuss every possible option before the home can be foreclosed on. These options include forbearance, settlement, stay of sale, loan modification or reinstatement, and as a last resort, a “graceful” exit. Each homeowner is also assigned a housing counselor to accompany them to court and guide them through the process, and it’s effective: the program has delayed foreclosures in 75-80% of the cases that have made it to mediation. Thanks to the program’s success, it has become a model for many other city-sponsored programs, such as in Boston, Pittsburgh, Miami, Cook County, Prince George’s County, Louisville, and the state of New Jersey. At best, even the combination of all these programs will make a mere dent in America’s astronomical foreclosure levels. But like with any overwhelming problem, every little bit helps. Have you avoided foreclosure recently? Are there other groups we should have added? Let us know in the comments section below!

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Donald Bren, Billionaire Real Estate Tycoon, SUED By His Illegitimate Kids (VIDEO)

August 20, 2010

LOS ANGELES — Billionaire real estate mogul Donald Bren testified Thursday in the child support case brought by his two adult children, saying he was shocked when his then-lover told him decades ago that she was pregnant with their first child. Bren, one of the nation’s richest men, has an estimated net worth of $12 billion and has spent a lifetime protecting his privacy. Twenty-two-year-old Christie Bren and 18-year-old David Bren have sued him for $400,000 a month in child support retroactive to the time they were born. That comes to about $100 million. WATCH: The 78-year-old Irvine Co. chairman told a courtroom that he suggested to Jennifer McKay Gold that they create a legal agreement to provide for child care. He said they never talked about marriage or having a family. Four contracts were created involving child support entered into by Gold each time she became pregnant and after the children were born. The accords, beginning in 1988, rose from $3,500 a month to $18,000 a month between 1992 and 2002. Bren recounted that he and Gold dated in the mid-1980s but she never slept over at his home and the two would see each less frequently as the years passed. Bren said he was surprised that Gold became pregnant twice because he was under the impression she was using birth control. “I felt I was betrayed in that she promised me she would be protected and she wasn’t,” he said while under questioning by his lawyer, John Quinn. Bren said he saw both children after they were born a handful of times and sent them toys. He also said he paid for their college expenses. “I felt an education at the university level, at the graduate level is perhaps the best gift a parent can give a child,” he said. Gold gave an entirely different account of the pair’s 13-year relationship, saying she and Bren loved one another and saw each other regularly. She portrayed Bren as a jilted lover when she said she broke off the courtship in 1997 because she wanted a full-time partner. “He was not very happy about that,” Gold told jurors. “He said I would pay for that. He said he would punish me.” On cross-examination, however, Gold testified Bren never withheld child support payments from her after the split. She also confirmed that she received about $3 million in child support from Bren between 1988 and 2002. The payments were her only source of income for a majority of that time, she said. While her children had many amenities growing up, Gold attempted to tell jurors why she filed the lawsuit against Bren in 2003 on behalf of her kids. “I would have liked my children to have more in the lifestyle as their father,” said Gold, adding that Bren wasn’t keeping his promise to be involved in the kids’ lives. Earlier, the children’s attorney Hillel Chodos pointed out to Bren that none of the legal agreements limited the amount of support payments the billionaire could make. Bren noted that Gold could have sought to increase the child support through a court order. “She always had the right to appeal to the court,” he said. But Gold said Bren didn’t want her to seek additional child support because of the undue attention he would receive. “He wanted to preserve his privacy,” she said. “He was adamant about that.” Chodos portrayed Bren during his opening statement Wednesday as a high-living executive who has two California homes, a New York apartment, a Sun Valley ranch, two yachts and five private jets. Gold said Bren told her he spent $3 million to $5 million a month on personal expenses. Bren, wearing a black blazer, gray pants and a powder blue shirt, remained composed during his testimony and rarely elaborated on his answers. He could be recalled to testify on Monday.

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Brett King: The Shrinking Value of Bank Branches…

August 19, 2010

I don’t know about you, but my time is one of my most valuable assets these days. I work long hours, I travel a lot, when I’m home I am struggling to find quality time (and quantity) with my kids, and I am increasingly trying to eek out a few minutes each day for myself. So anything that adds an additional demand on my time, better be worth it. So when a bank asks me to come down to the branch, or even presumes that I want to visit the branch – the question really is Why would I visit a branch? Read this personal finance ‘forum’ comment from a customer in respect to the branch. This sort of thing is increasingly common these days, and is representative of many customers these days: I’m a full time worker and rarely have the time to get out of the office during the day to eat, let alone do my banking. Last week I finally got my act together and booked an appointment to see my local in branch advisor for an account review – more in their interest than mine I would have thought. Anyway, when I arrived the queues back from the counter seemed endless, not enough staff behind the desk; nothing seemed to be moving AT ALL – and, tear my hair out time – the advisor turned out to be off sick that day!!! Why did no one bother to call me to let me know? No one seemed able to give me an answer. The experience has left me wondering why I bother having a local branch at all. It also made me realise that I’m actually pretty happy doing all my banking online or on the phone. So can someone tell me, WHAT is the need for a ‘local’ bank branch these days exactly? They seem a complete waste of space if you ask me… sezzie33 – MoneySavingExpert.com Forums Deloitte’s Centre for Banking Solutions attempted to answer why customers were less interested in the branch experience in this way… For decades, most people visited the branch for credit approval, to conduct transactions, learn about products and services, and for customer service. However, most credit approval processes moved out of branch networks over a decade ago. Today, many of the core transactions that were once conducted in branches are shifting to electronic forms or are being captured elsewhere. Adapting to a changing environment Evolving Models of Retail Banking Distribution, 2009 So with seemingly a real psychological challenge to why I would invest the time to visit my branch, and with a shift of core transaction types outside of the branch – what is the value of the branch today? The value exchange concept At the heart of marketing and customer theory is a concept of an exchange of value that occurs between two parties, this is compared with the intrinsic value that lies at the heart of a product, service, relationship, etc. In fact, believe it or not Karl Marx was one of the first to recognize this concept in his 1859 Contribution to the critique of Political Economy . It is the exchangeability of ‘value’ that contributes to economic interactions in society. But value has they annoying habit of changing over time. Take two examples of modern businesses whose value exchange has shifted. Pay Phones versus Mobile Phones I was in New York City for the BANK 2.0 launch a couple of weeks ago and I when I was walking the streets I saw something that I can’t recall seeing for, well years actually – a New Yorker using a public phone. Yes…a public phone. They still exist in small numbers in various locations – but the numbers are dwindling. Pay Phones are going the way of the Dodo – are branches next? The reason that Pay Phones are simply not popular anymore is that it is just far too convenient to carry around your mobile phone. Let’s face it. If you meet someone today that doesn’t own a mobile in the western world, it is somewhat anachronistic. So if you are a telephone company, how would you defend the ‘value’ of using a Pay Phone in today’s modern society? It’s tough… there certainly is no value proposition that is unique. In times past you’d say it was about convenience, but with mobile phones you could hardly defend the convenience of Pay Phones. Thus, Pay Phones are already virtually extinct. Blockbuster versus NetFlix If you are a Blockbuster Franchisee right now, you must have a pretty pessimistic view of the world. Blockbuster sprang into existence in the mid-80s to compete with the small mum and pop video stores which were around back then. Today Blockbuster operates about 6,500 video stores, serving more than 87 million customers in the United States, and 25 other countries. The thing is, that today with digital distribution through vehicles like iTunes, Hulu, Amazon, Playstation, Wii, etc and with NetFlix’s approach to both digital distribution and DVD-in-the-post, Blockbuster is in severe trouble. Blockbuster has already closed 1,300 stores last year, and has announced another 545 stores will close this year . However, this is just the start – in the near term physical stores for Blockbuster just don’t make sense. In terms of value – physical brick-and-mortar stores are no longer the mode we’ll get our content. We’re using cable with video-on-demand, and we’re downloading. There is a decreasing legacy business built around physical DVDs and Blue-Ray, but it is just a matter of time before this disappears entirely. In other words, when there is a modality shift like there has been around delivery of movie content – the value of the store in the process evaporates. The value has shifted in respect to branch Metro bank’s recent foray into the UK market has been hailed as the first new High Street bank in 100 years. The bad news is that like Pay Phones and Blockbuster, banks are really struggling to define the ‘value’ in the branch as modality in banking changes. The concept of queuing for even five (5) minutes these days is a negative (David Meister wrote on The Psychology of Waiting Lines also) – the longer the waiting time, the more serious the impact to customer service perceptions. If you don’t believe me – just check out a simple Twitter Search on what people are saying about queuing at banks ( Twitter Search “bank queue” ). In 2006, the European Banking Federation reported that a wait of more than 5 minutes was likely to jeopardize the entire relationship. McKinsey, in a whitepaper of 2007, still believed it was possible to increase value in-branch, by managing the customer experience as a whole. Conclusions… The reality today is that it’s increasingly hard for customers to understand why they should exchange their time for a lengthy, time-costly visit to the branch, when the value returned is poor. Having the ability to cash a cheque, apply for a loan or pay a bill is not a sufficient reason to give up my time at a branch, especially if I have to ‘wait’ in a queue. The reality is, that I can do those same things outside of the branch, which results in a much more efficient value exchange. So if you are in retail distribution for banking today – think about what value you offer. If it is anything I can do from my mobile phone, through the internet, on an ATM or a deposit machine – this has NO value in the branch. What does have value? A human interaction that can’t be replaced through digital channels – a deep advisory, sales engagement, with highly qualified staff (read not tellers ) What are you going to give me for my time? If you think I’m talking trash and the branch has some intrinsic value on its own, you probably are voting for mobile phones to disappear in favor of good old pay phones too…

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Robert Reich: Mitt Romney’s Wet-Noodle Economics

August 18, 2010

Mitt Romney is smart enough not to join Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin in using the proposed mosque at Ground Zero to launch a presidential bid. While Gingrich is busy comparing Muslims to Nazis (“Nazis don’t have the right to put up a sign next to the holocaust museum in Washington”), and Palin is calling on New Yorkers to “refudiate” the plan (she subsequently corrected her word choice), Romney is offering an economic plan. That’s a wise choice. Mitt knows Americans don’t care about mosques in Manhattan. They care about money in their own mitts. Romney is intent on selling himself to America as the businessman who can turn the country around (sad to say, unemployment is likely to remain high all the way through November, 2012). Unlike Palin and Gingrich, Romney did, after all, run a business (yes, it was a firm that bought and sold companies and laid off lots of people along the way but, hey, that’s business). So we should take Romney’s economics seriously. In today’s (Wednesday’s) Boston Globe op-ed Romney attacks Obama’s economic policies for being ineffective and calls for what he calls a “growth and jobs” agenda. Here are the main points: Match U.S. corporate taxes with those of other developed economies, Preserve the Bush tax cuts for everyone, “especially small business,” Allow businesses to write off capital investments made in 2010 and 2011 rather than over time, Eliminate taxes on investment dividends, Eliminate taxes on capital gains and interest for households earning less than250,000 a year, and Balance the federal budget. Apart from the impossibility of simultaneously cutting taxes and balancing the budget without taking a meat cleaver to Social Security, Medicare, and defense spending (Romney delicately sidesteps this conundrum by urging we “reshape government programs” and “restructure entitlements”), his policies raise a more fundamental problem. Call it the wet-noodle problem. For Romney, the key to America’s recovery is to cut taxes on businesses and on people who invest in them. These steps, he says, are the “conditions that enable businesses of all sizes to grow and thrive.” In other words, if business get more capital at less cost, they’ll create jobs. But anyone looking closely at the American economy today would see this is nonsense. American corporations have an unprecedented $1.8 trillion of cash. The Fed, meanwhile, has slashed interest rates to essentially zero — a record low — and is still holding over $2 trillion in securities that it said last week it will keep from shrinking. And a Federal Reserve survey released earlier this week showed that banks have been making it easier for businesses of all sizes to get loans. Credit standards for small firms have been loosened for the first time since late 2006. In other words, businesses have all the capital they need. They’re sitting on it or can borrow it more cheaply than ever. But they aren’t using it to create jobs. Why not? Because there’s not enough demand for their products or services. Consumers aren’t buying. Retail sales continue to slide. Wal-Mart, Home Depot, and Target report disappointing sales for July. Same with popular back-to-school retailers like Aeropostale, American Eagle Outfitters, and TJX. Housing sales are down. Appliances are down. (Cars sales are up a bit but that’s mainly because they fell to record lows in 2008 and 2009, and by now some people who have held back need another.) Romney’s supply-side economics won’t create jobs. It’s pushing on a wet noodle. Businesses create jobs only if consumers are pulling the noodle from the other end. These days, businesses are raising profits by cutting costs (mostly by laying off even more workers), shifting operations abroad wherever they can find consumers (China, Brazil, India), and buying up their own shares of stock. Romney’s tax breaks will only hasten all this. If Mitt Romney really wanted to increase American jobs and not just corporate profits he’d understand why consumers aren’t buying, and focus his proposals there. The first reason they’re not buying is they’re still carrying a huge debt load. Mortgage debt is still engulfing millions of families. Americans also owe some $826.5 billion in revolving credit, mostly on credit cards (credit card debt was $975.7 billion in September 2008, so they still have a long way to go). On top of that, outstanding student loans (both federal and private) total some $829.7 billion. So instead of boosting corporate profits, let Americans reorganize their mortgage debt in personal bankruptcy, protect them from credit card companies that charge gargantuan interest on credit card debt, and give their kids more direct aid for college. The second reason consumers aren’t buying is their nest eggs have shrunk down to the size of peas. Homes are still worth 20 to 40 percent less than in 2007, and 401(k)s are down 20 percent. Baby boomers now have to save for retirement big time. So instead of a giving corporations a tax break on their incomes, and giving investors tax breaks on dividends and capital-gains, cut the payroll tax for ordinary Americans. 80 percent of Americans pay more in payroll taxes than in income taxes, and it’s a regressive tax. Eliminate payroll taxes on the first $20K of income and make up the difference by raising the cap on income subject to payroll taxes (now about $106,000). The third reason consumers aren’t buying is they’ve lost their jobs or are scared of losing them, or can only find part-time jobs that pay less. And because most families rely on two wage earners, the chance that at least one of them has lost or is in danger of losing a paycheck is double. That means families have no choice but to economize. So instead of giving tax breaks to companies for buying more machines to replace their workers, make big profitable companies pay severance to any worker they lay off, equal to a month’s salary times the number of years worked. And require that any corporations receiving government contracts and subsidies (including defense contractors) use the money to create jobs in the United States. Mitt Romney is the most credible of all the likely Republican presidential candidates. He’s right to focus on the economy, and he’s to be commended for coming up with specifics. But his specifics are loony. Romney’s wet-noodle economics won’t create American jobs. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org .

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Obama’s Beach Will Be Clean, But Oil Lies Beneath Sand Nearby

August 12, 2010

The Florida Panhandle beach where the Obamas are going to spend the weekend to boost tourism in the region is indeed pristine and oil-free. Panama City Beach, where the White House has announced the first family will be staying Saturday and Sunday, was spared the worst of the BP oil spill, sullied only by sporadic tar balls that were easily cleaned up. Starting just 80 miles to the west, from Pensacola Beach and on to Alabama, the beaches were hit a lot worse. And a University of South Florida scientist told HuffPost those beaches, thanks to a “superficial” cleanup job by BP, remain contaminated. In some cases, the beaches look clean at first glance – certainly as compared to when they were covered in brown oil – but they “weren’t cleaned up very well,” said Ping Wang, an associate professor of geology at USF whose research teams have been monitoring the shoreline. “There are small tar balls everywhere on the back beach, and there’s buried oil that wasn’t cleaned up,” Wang said. According to Wang’s report , at least as much oil as was cleaned up remains buried under the surface. “The buried oil contamination has been observed up to 6 inches thick extending over a wide zone of beach,” the report says. “Buried oil is much more difficult to clean because it is not directly visible and buried to various depths. In addition, buried oil will have a much longer lasting effect because it will not be weathered by the sunlight as easily as the surface oil.” Wang said the Obamas shouldn’t just stay where they’re based. “I think they should inspect a beach that’s contaminated more than Panama City Beach,” he said. “If they look carefully, if they dig a hole on the beach, they’ll find what’s left over from a superficial cleanup.” And that includes the kids. “If they dig a hole, they’ll find oil,” Wang said. “I’ll be happy to go help them.” “Every minute you see a BP advertisement saying they’re committed to cleaning up the coast. Well, that’s not cleanup,” Wang said. “They need to do a lot more.”

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Vitaliy N. Katsenelson: Capitalism — A True Love Story

August 10, 2010

In the 1980s, in Soviet Russia, a few times a year my class walked to a movie theater where we were shown a documentary. Attendance was mandatory. The documentaries were different but the themes were the same: to the accompaniment of patriotic music, we learned about the righteousness of socialism, the greatness of Mother Russia, and the intelligence and foresight of our great leaders. To demonstrate how good we had it, we were shown images of “decaying” American capitalism. Of course, capitalism did not get the benefit of patriotic music as we were shown the poverty-stricken homeless, the KKK burning crosses and lynching blacks, and Russia-hating capitalists being poisoned by hamburgers (of course, later I learned this part about hamburgers was not a complete lie). Last year Americans voluntarily spent a few million dollars to see a documentary by Michael Moore: Capitalism: A Love Story . But don’t kid yourself, this piece of work is not a documentary, it lacks objectivity and has no intention of seeking the truth, and it is anti-American and anti-capitalist propaganda. Mr. Moore is a talented propagandist; in Soviet Russia this documentary would have gotten him a medal and elevated him into a state hero. A successful propaganda initiative has to have three elements: (1) to influence attitudes, instead of providing information, (2) to selectively present facts (i.e., lying by omission) to achieve a certain synthesis, and (3) to get an emotional rather than a rational response. There is little information in this movie. Moore spends the bulk of the film going through our country’s trash and presenting it as the main course. For instance, a corrupt judge sentences innocent teenagers to spend months at a privately owned (i.e., for-profit, nongovernmental) youth-correction facility, while the judge is getting kickbacks from the facility owners. Moore interviews these poor teenagers, and we feel bad for them, as we should. We feel angry. Moore directs this anger towards capitalism (i.e., private enterprise): it is rotten and corrupt. Of course, the fact that corruption and bribery are the rare exception in the US, not the rule (as in Russia), is never mentioned. Really, if you want to make a successful propaganda movie, you must evoke emotion and rightly or wrongly direct it at your subject of hate — in Moore’s case, capitalism. Moore shows families being evicted from their houses, in which some of them have lived for twenty years, and some of them have kids. Again, we feel bad for these people, we feel their pain, and we want to help. We are angry. That’s what Moore wants. But should we be angry at the bank that has given these people a loan? Or perhaps we should accept the fact that some people will make bad financial decisions, and they’ll pay a price. It is the easiest thing to blame a bank, or capitalism — they are not very popular today. But let’s do the impossible, let’s humanize a bank. Let’s say you and I and a few friends put our life savings together and start a bank. We take deposits and make loans. Should we “forgive” a loan on a house to a person who overextended, made bad financial choices, or found himself facing hardship and unable to earn his way out of it? If we do enough of this “forgiving” we’ll go bankrupt, our kids won’t go to college, and we’ll need to ask someone else to “forgive” us for the loans on our houses, credit cards, etc. I am not even mentioning our depositors losing their money (and the FDIC — the taxpayer — bailing them out) and our employees losing their jobs. So the heartless bank — you and I and a few friends — have to make a choice between sacrificing the well-being of our families for the sake of strangers. What would you do? See, this point is too rational and lacks the sensationalism of good propaganda; and thus Mr. Moore, who I am sure thought of it, omitted it. Moore attacks BofA for not resorting to charity and not extending a loan to a factory in Michigan, even after BofA received TARP money. The same logic I just went through applies to the huge, unpopular BofA. Should BofA have thrown away money in a loan to the factory, knowing that the factory would not be able to repay it? Is this not what got us into the present problem in the first place? Banks and Wall Street in general played a role in today’s crisis, but they were just one of many responsible players. Consumers in pursuit of keeping up with the Joneses overextended themselves (with the exception of cases of outright fraud, no one was forced to buy a bigger house). Rating agencies were getting paid by the customers they were rating. The Federal Reserve kept rates at very low levels for too long, politicians pressured lending at any cost, regulators were not regulating – and the list goes on. Vilifying banks as the only culprit is intellectually dishonest and a very myopic way to look at this complex problem, and Mr. Moore does just that! Moore brought a brigade of priests to proclaim: “Capitalism is evil, immoral”; “Jesus doesn’t like the rich”; “the rich will have a hard time getting into heaven.” Two employees from a factory, talking on camera, made a really important point about capitalism. They said something along the lines of, “Maybe we should start a cooperative or something, but no, we cannot; we don’t have the money, we are not capitalists.” Ayn Rand said it well in Atlas Shrugged: “But you say that money is made by the strong at the expense of the weak? What strength do you mean? It is not the strength of guns or muscles. Wealth is the product of man’s capacity to think. Then is money made by the man who invents a motor at the expense of those who did not invent it? Is money made by the intelligent at the expense of the fools? By the able at the expense of the incompetent? By the ambitious at the expense of the lazy?” Moore neglects to admit that capitalism has brought people out of poverty and socialism sunk them there. He blames rising health-care costs on HMOs, though HMOs are just a pass-through vehicle between payers and service providers. He accuses capitalism as a system that “allows getting away with paying so little.” He offers no alternative to our “broken” capitalism system other than let’s have “democracy.” This is laughable, as democracy is not a market system, it is a political system. What he wants is a command-based economy – the Soviet Russia that failed so miserably. He wants Mr. Mouch from Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shrugged, a mediocre bureaucrat who failed at everything in his life, to be put in charge of Mr. Moore’s version of a “democratic” economy (still not sure what that means). Mr. Mouch decided how much everyone produced, at what prices goods were sold, and what “fair” wages everyone got paid. In the end, despite sacrifice after sacrifice, Mr. Mouch’s economy collapses. Mr. Mouch’s visible “fair” hand fails to accomplish what the invisible “impartial” hand of the free market accomplishes so effortlessly. Mr. Moore’s propaganda flick ends with pictures of the aftermath of hurricane Katrina. The images are powerful, full of emotion, and again in his final misdirection, Moore manages to blame it on capitalism. Vitaliy N. Katsenelson, CFA, is a portfolio manager/director of research at Investment Management Associates in Denver, Colo. He is the author of “Active Value Investing: Making Money in Range-Bound Markets” (Wiley 2007). To receive Vitaliy’s future articles by email, click here .

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Caroline Simard: The High-Tech Industry Must Adapt to the Reality of Dual-Career Couples

August 9, 2010

Last week, an interesting piece was published in the New York Times about the price women pay in career advancement for being mothers. Indeed, the economic price to pay for being a working mother has been well documented by research. Stanford professors Shelley Correll and Paula England , among others, have shown that mothers are more likely to be perceived as less competent and less committed to their jobs when compared to women without children, and therefore are less likely to be hired or promoted. The pay gap is larger between mothers and women who are not mothers than between men and women in general. In the Anita Borg Institute research conducted in collaboration with the Clayman Institute at Stanford University , we indeed heard from technical women that work-family conflict leads to barriers to career advancement from a biased perception that mothers are not willing to travel, relocate, or take a position with greater possibility. The bias and stereotyping experienced by women in the workplace is real, and working mothers are facing significant challenges that have been well researched. However, it is time we shift the public discussion to focus on working parents in general. A key problem in high-tech, and in corporate America in general, is that companies have not yet caught up to the reality of dual-career couples. Our research shows that 82% of technical women are partnered with someone who works full time, compared to 37% of men. This shows that a majority of men in high-tech are still overwhelmingly relying on a stay-at-home spouse, even though nationally, only 19% of couples are still following the traditional model of working male and stay-at-home female (there is a dearth of data on same-sex couples). One woman we interviewed summed up this discrepancy by saying “I’ve noticed lately how there really is a difference between the stuff that’s going on with me and the guys. They’re talking about how their wife is taking care of kids and I’m talking about finding child care” . However, those men in dual-career couples, while a minority, face many of the same challenges in combining work and family responsibilities as women do. The high-tech culture now assumes 24/7 availability with the management of global teams and ubiquitous access, combined with increased expectations of doing more with less. One woman engineer we interviewed said that “logged in” meant “successful”: “In the engineering community, they expect that you’re turning emails overnight and you’re logging in on the weekends. If a project is delayed because you didn’t answer an email over the weekend that will probably get escalated to your boss – it’s an overriding mentality that still exists.” Tying advancement to constant availability, whether face-to-face or virtual, is unsustainable, because it is predicated on the assumption that an employee has a stay-at-home spouse or a support system that outsources family responsibilities. Men also pay a price for this expectation of constant availability, especially if they are in a dual-career couple. The 2008 National Study of the Changing Workforce of the Families and Work Institute found that young men entering the workforce are expecting to be in dual-career couples and are also more likely to experience work-family conflict than previous generations of men. Men are increasingly sharing parenting responsibilities and are looking for companies with flexible practices. Meanwhile, until things change, they are experiencing challenges. In the course of my research, I have had numerous conversations with men in high-tech about this – how if they leave at 5pm to pick up the kids at the end of the day (just as the pizza delivery arrives for those who will stay at work all evening) they are told they are not “team players”; if they take a paternity leave they are viewed as somehow less committed to their career and fear the impact on their advancement (I heard of one case where a father returning from paternity leave was asked by sneering colleagues if he was “still breastfeeding”). I hear from others that their boss with a stay-at-home spouse is unsupportive when they have to miss a meeting to take care of a sick child. I would love to see more men speak up about the issues facing working parents in the high-tech industry, and more research on fathers in dual-career couples. Only when this stops being solely framed as a woman’s issue will we see workplaces where family is no longer framed as an inconvenience and a barrier to advancement.

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The Safest Cars For Teens And Elderly (VIDEO)

August 4, 2010

Consumer Reports September issue details the safest cars for the two most accident-prone demographics: teens and elderly. In an interview with CBS News, David Champion, senior director of Consumer Reports Auto Test Division, chose the Mazda 3 and Honda Accord for teens. The senior list includes the Suburu Forrester, Hyundai Azera and Honda Accord. In choosing the safest cars for teens, Champion said the best technology to look out for was electronics stability control , which applies a break to the wheels if the car starts to careen sideways. “It’s the best safety feature since seat belts,” he said. He also paid attention to horsepower (“you don’t want to give them too much”), solid airbags and good crash-test results. Champion also advised parents not to fall into the trap of giving their kids the “old car,” which usually don’t contain all the latest safety features such as electronics stability control. In choosing cars for seniors, key factors included ease of entering the car, good visibility, roomy driving positions and low waistlines. For a full report, check out the September issue of Consumer Reports on sale at newsstands. WATCH CBS’ interview with CR ‘s Champion here:

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Charles H. Green: CNBC Panel on Improving Business Confidence Doesn’t

July 27, 2010

(co-authored with Rich Sternhell) On July 22, the Gallup organization released their 2010 poll on US Confidence in Institutions. As Gallup headlined it, Congress scored an all time low (for all 16 institutions ranked, not just for Congress). Barely beating Congress for lowest confidence ratings were, in order, HMOs (15th out of 16), Big Business (14th), organized labor (13th), and television news (12th). The Presidency, which also shows declines, still ranks 7th out of 16. So it was fitting that CNBC (that would be in the 12th out of 16 group) put together a three part special panel discussion on “Restoring Trust in Business” (that would be in the 14th out of 16 group). The panelists included Gordon Bethune , Bill George and Myrtle Potter (representing the 14th out of 16 group), and Christie Todd Whitman (there wasn’t a category for ex-State Governors and Bush cabinet secretaries, but I’d hazard a wild guess she generally fit in). Interestingly, there was consensus on the panel about how to restore trust in business. Answer: It’s the government’s fault. How Good Shows Go Bad Given our blogpost of yesterday about the hazards of relying on those-who-summarize (including me), here are links directly to the show so you can make up your own mind. The show–originally advertised (we recall) as “Restoring Trust in Business,” ended up after broadcast on CNBC’s website in three different sequences: ” Leadership in Government, ” ” Leadership in Corporate America ,” and ” Leadership and Trust .” As CNBC’s John Harwood points out at the outset, the declining trends are long-term–since the 1970s, and particularly since 1994–and they apply across nearly all institutions. (See Gallup’s historical data, here.) The four leaders invited have some fine credentials. Bethune was a revered CEO in the airline industry, where it’s very hard to be revered by anyone. George was a successful CEO, and writes on leadership. Potter was a COO at Genentech, and Whitman ran the State of NJ and the EPA. Good choices to opine about how business can regain confidence. Give CNBC credit. Not only did they tee it up right, but nearly half the questions they asked more or less rhymed with, “how has business lost confidence?” or “how can business and the markets regain confidence,” or “what must be done for Americans to regain confidence in business?” We would expect that the first thing we’d hear from any one of these leaders on the subject of restoring confidence in their institutions would be a straightforward acknowledgment of what was lost, and a statement of responsibility for having lost it. Is that not unreasonable to expect of distinguished leaders? And indeed, every leader did get off at least one direct acknowledgment that business might have to improve itself–but having done the curtsey toward the question, the bulk of their comments were reserved for tax policy, government regulatory foibles, and flawed federal government policy. Instead, here’s what we got (we’re paraphrasing: go ahead, check our interpretation here .) Q. If you look at the data Hartman reviewed before for us, the congressional approval rating is low. Yet contrast that with the issues that got accomplished this year; various reforms–what is it that isn’t connecting here? Whitman: You’ve seen a move in government away from policy to politics; everything’s partisan now. (She then proceeds to attack Nancy Pelosi). Q. What do you think needs to be done to restore trust in business? Potter: Business needs to take responsibility for stewardship and its own governance. We can think of examples where that didn’t happen. We also have to think carefully about how we’re paying so we can drive innovation. Innovation used to drive the world from the US, but not now. Q. I’m interested in your view, Mr. George; you say the crisis wasn’t caused by subprime or derivatives. Wasn’t it caused by flawed leadership putting its own interests before its clients or its people? George: No question about that; we saw flawed leadership in Enron and all the companies that blew up back in 2003, we saw it on Wall Street. Most of those leaders and their companies have gone away. But it is about leadership in government. We need to emphasize policy not bickering; we need a jobs policy. I’d like to see the President step up to a rebuild America program. Q. In terms of business’s relationships to government, why doesn’t it seem to be working? Potter : Well everyone’s feeling the crunch, but what stands out is jobs. Jobs are so critical to America feeling more confident about the country, and yet this chasm has to be closed between government and business. Q. What is your best advice to the administration on what can be done to restore trust and confidence in business and in Wall Street? Whitman : Clearly we need a rigorous regulatory policy, but we need to stop this gotcha attitude of blame-throwing in congress. The BP disaster turned into a criminal investigations instead of focusing on how to fix things. Clearly there was a problem on the regulatory side as well. We need to show respect for each other. Bethune: You have to demonstrate some performance, not talk. No one in our government ever ran a business. The administration shouldn’t have focused on health care or regulatory reform, but on jobs…business doesn’t like uncertainty. Q. Most people don’t expect as good a world for their kids as they had. Whitman: The main thing is we’ve got to do is get deficit spending under control. Q. One reason people don’t have trust in business is that, at the height of the crisis, big financial companies took big bonuses and were bailed out: what’s your take on that, Mr. George? George: Goldman didn’t pay any bonuses last year. Trust is the fuel that enables society to run….but we need policies from government that create incentives. Goldman, JPMorganChase and are rethinking compensation to have pay for performance….investing in America….lower capital gains tax. But that won’t solve this jobs crisis. We’ve got to get back to investing in America. Q. What is your one piece of advice that would reassure people that the future is going to be better for them? Bethune: Tax policy; articulate it, make it pro growth, pro business, put cash to work, make the future clear in order to get confidence. You be the judge, but let us suggest a simple headline. When the institution that ranks 14th out of 16 shows up to talk about restoring confidence in their institution–given a decades-long decline–we ought to expect something more than a short-term political bashing of the 7th- and 16th-ranked institutions, a la the Sunday morning political interview shows. Business, heal thyself. This post co-authored with Rich Sternhell. Sternhell retired from Towers Watson as a Managing Principal after a career of more than 30 years and is now an independent consultant.

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Laurence J. Kotlikoff: Repay and Apply for a Higher Social Security Check Before It’s Too Late

July 21, 2010

Using Social Security’s 521 form (http://www.socialsecurity.gov/online/ssa-521.pdf), millions of elderly who opted to take Social Security prior to age 70 can raise their sustainable living standards by repaying all the benefits they’ve received in the past and reapplying for higher benefits. The required repayment is gross of the Medicare Part B premiums paid in the past.* Bummer. On the other hand, no interest is charged on the repayment. And, get this, the repayment is tax deductible. For people close to 70 who took their benefits early (e.g., at age 62), this can be a very big deal. But if you are in this boat, you best move quickly. Social Security is considering closing down this option. Changes could come either through regulation or legislation. But it’s certainly on the Social Security Administration’s agenda to eliminate this provision, which the agency considers a loophole. How much would you gain from this strategy? My company’s download programs, available at www.esplanner.com, can calculate your potential living standard gains.** Here’s an example: John, age 68, lives with his wife Sue, age 62, in Connecticut. John worked in retail after college. His first job paid $30,000 a year. When he retired at 62, he was making $168,000. Sue stayed home and raised the kids. The couple saved diligently and has $300,000 in regular assets and $600,000 in retirement accounts. John is now receiving Social Security benefits of $21,489, which he started collecting at 62. Sue is receiving a Social Security spousal benefit of $9,815. After paying taxes and paying their Medicare Part B premiums, their spending power, according to ESPlanner, is $63,505. This is what the couple can spend each year until John reaches age 100 (his maximum age of life) over and above covering their taxes and Medicare Part B premiums. After John reaches his maximum age of life (if he’s so lucky), Sue’s discretionary spending drops to $39,691 which provides the same living standard assuming, as we do, that two can live as cheaply as 1.6. If John repays $117,354 and takes the tax deduction, he’ll be able to receive a 73 percent higher benefit of $37,111 for thirty years, if he lives to 100. This raises the couple’s sustainable spending from $63,505 to $72,908, or by 13.5 percent! Earth to the elderly in this general boat: This is a 13.5 percent hike in living standard for every year for the rest of their lives! To achieve the same increase in sustainable spending the couple otherwise would need an extra $240,000 in regular (non-retirement account/taxable) assets! If John not only repays and reapplies at 70, but Sue also waits until age 66 — her full retirement age — to collect her spousal benefit, her benefit rises to $13,939 (in today’s dollars), and the couple’s spending power rises from $72,908 to $74,667! Compared to where they started, this is the same as finding not $240,000, but $310,000 on the sidewalk! But what about the kids? If John drops dead two minutes after writing the $117,354 check, the money is gone. Neither Sue nor their children will get it. On the other hand, if John dies before his maximum age of life (assumed to equal 100), he takes away a mouth to feed. And, as ESPlanner’s survivor reports show, in this case, Sue will have a higher living standard than had John not died. She’ll also receive 100 percent of John’s now higher benefit. (Even if John dies before he reaches age 70 and starts collecting retirement benefits, Social Security will give Sue his full retirement benefit adjusted for the delayed retirement credit up to John’s date of death.) So repaying and reapplying pays off in terms of much larger survivor benefits for Sue even in the two-minutes later death scenario. For example, if John dies at any time after age 70, Sue will begin receiving $37,111 per year for the rest of her life. Had John not repaid and reapplied, Sue would receive only $21,489 per year until she died. In short, Sue is well taken care of. So what about the children? Well after securing a higher living standard for themselves, John and Sue are free to give their children immediately whatever they feel is appropriate in direct gifts. In this manner, John and Sue not only reduce the prospects that their children will need to help them out financially. They also provide their children with more certainty about what they will receive. So repaying and reapplying can be a win-win situation for everyone. There is a general point here that applies apart from the issue of Social Security, namely that our kids are not insurance companies and using them as insurance companies should be avoided if at all possible. Warning note: Many elderly have visited their local Social Security offices or called them and been told there is no option to repay or to reapply. Or they’ve been told they can’t do this after age 70. This is incorrect. This option is available at all ages, until it is revoked. There is, however, no reason to wait until after age 70 to reapply, since the maximum benefits are earned at age 70. If the local office gets this wrong, have them call Social Security’s Office of the Actuary, which will set them straight. Social Security has 2,728 rules in its Handbook and thousands of rules in its Program Operating Manual System that explain the 2,728 rules. The system is so complex that three offices can easily give you three answers to the same question. * This means what you need to repay is more than what you actually received in checks from Social Security in the past. The reason is that the Medicare Part B premium was deducted from those checks. ** In using ESPlanner to determine the living standard gain, you first just run yourself through the program assuming you don’t elect to repay and reapply, next you run yourself again assuming you do so elect, and then you compare the two living standards. When you run the program assuming repayment, enter the repayment (Social Security will tell you the amount) as a tax deductible special expenditure and tell the program when you’ll start collecting again. This tells the program to internally calculate your higher benefit. Also, you’ll need to enter your earnings history, which is available from www.ssa.gov.

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Charles Gasparino: Lloyd Blankfein’s Days Are Numbered as Chairman of Goldman Sachs

July 16, 2010

It’s a testament to the odd world in which we live that when a Wall Street firm pays a $550 million fine by conceding negligence in how it dealt with clients, its stock surges, adding billions of dollars in market value for the firm’s shareholders. But that’s what’s happening to Goldman Sachs, as it reached its long awaited settlement with the Securities and Exchange Commission over how it sold a basket of mortgage related debt to investors in 2007. Back when the SEC brought the case, the conventional wisdom on Wall Street and the financial media was that Goldman didn’t have to settle — the case was weak and Goldman is, after all, Goldman. As I wrote on these page back then, Goldman would have to settle because: (a) the SEC dug up some real questionable activity; and (b) no Wall Street firm, not even one with the ties to government that Goldman possesses can go to war with its primary regulator. Now that Goldman has indeed settled, the news is being spun, again mostly by the financial media, that the deal with the SEC was a victory for Goldman’s CEO Lloyd Blankfein, who survived the investigation largely unscathed, paying a measly $550 million to the government (equivalent to a few days trading gains at Goldman) and without having to give up any power, such as relinquishing his role as chairman of the board, as senior executives both inside Goldman and at competing firms believed would be part of any settlement. Well, if history is any guide, Blankfein may not go tomorrow, or even next month, but sometime in 2011, Blankfein will at the very least no longer be chairman of Goldman, and may also be forced out of the firm altogether. If you don’t believe me ask former Citigroup CEO Sandy Weill. Like Blankfein, Weill (at least on paper) was a good CEO from an operational standpoint. Following the creation of Citigroup in 1998, shares of the big bank soared. The bank was what’s known as a Wall Street darling for its strong earnings and a surging stock price, and Weill was regarded as the King of Wall Street, having engineered the largest financial deal ever when he merged his company, the Travelers Group brokerage, insurance and investment banking empire, with commercial banking powerhouse Citicorp. At the height of his power, Weill suddenly popped up on the radar screen of New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer. Before Spitzer got involved with hookers and became a TV host, he was the sheriff of Wall Street, looking to right wrongs from the last great scandal, the internet bubble where firms sold worthless dotcom and tech stocks to unsuspecting investors. Emails he uncovered showed that Weill at least did something stupid, if not fraudulent: He pressured an analyst, Jack Grubman, to inflate his stock rating on telecom giant AT&T, which was an investment banking client (Weill also sat on AT&T’s board, while AT&T CEO Michael Armstrong sat on Citi’s board) Grubman wrote in an email that as a favor for upgrading the stock, Weill got his kids in an exclusive pre-school. The scandal, was described by the Wall Street Journal , as a “kid pro quo.” Weill continued to deny wrongdoing and was never charged. Citigroup, however, was charged with fraud and ended up paying a $400 fine to settle the matter, but Weill appeared to have retained his control of the bank. The initial reaction in the press and among his peers in the financial business was that Weill had won, by having the bank pay a relatively small fine, and his status as CEO and the King of Wall Street secure. Not quite. A few months later, Citigroup announced that Weill was stepping down as CEO, handing that job to Chuck Prince, who basically negotiated the settlement package. Citigroup maintained that the two moves were unrelated. But people in Spitzer’s office told me they really weren’t: While negotiating the settlement, Citigroup’s board made it clear to investigators that Weill’s days were numbered at the top of the firm that he founded. Spitzer was merely affording Weill a graceful exit in an effort to end the case. Full disclosure: I have no knowledge that Goldman’s board has tacitly agreed to pull a Weill on Blankfein and has plans for him to step aside, but the circumstances involving the two men are so remarkably similar. While Blankfein wasn’t directly involved in the questionable trade that landed Goldman in trouble, he is responsible for remaking Goldman into predatory trading culture that has caught the attention of regulators, Congressional committees (recall Sen. Carl Levin badgering Goldman traders for selling “shitty” investments to their clients) and hurt Goldman’s once stellar reputation, as Weill’s actions hurt Citigroup’s. Some would say that’s where the comparisons end; Citigroup deals with the general public that buys stocks through its brokerage unit (Smith Barney) and makes deposits in its branch banking offices. Goldman deals with large sophisticated investors who couldn’t care less how Darwinian the company behaves. That used to be true, but no more. Goldman’s image has been battered, not as bad as say a company like BP, but not far behind. And image does count these days given the scrutiny and oversight placed on Wall Street and the banks following the financial collapse-induced bailouts. Now that financial reform has been passed, Goldman will have to cut back on some of that aggressive trading that powered its earnings and was Blankfein’s forte. That means it will have to devote more and more resources to developing its client business and relationships, convincing blue chip companies that it is the right firm to handle delicate negotiations involving mergers, acquisitions, and other corporate financing assignments. More and more, these clients do care about image (ask yourself why has so many top companies embraced the useless but politically correct “green agenda”). In fact some have already jettisoned Goldman as scrutiny of the firm grew over the past year. Who is the right guy to change Goldman’s image to fit the new paradigm it faces? It’s not Lloyd Blankfein and that’s why he won’t survive.

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Charles Gasparino: Lloyd Blankfein’s Days Are Numbered as Chairman of Goldman Sachs

July 16, 2010

It’s a testament to the odd world in which we live that when a Wall Street firm pays a $550 million fine by conceding negligence in how it dealt with clients, its stock surges, adding billions of dollars in market value for the firm’s shareholders. But that’s what’s happening to Goldman Sachs, as it reached its long awaited settlement with the Securities and Exchange Commission over how it sold a basket of mortgage related debt to investors in 2007. Back when the SEC brought the case, the conventional wisdom on Wall Street and the financial media was that Goldman didn’t have to settle — the case was weak and Goldman is, after all, Goldman. As I wrote on these page back then, Goldman would have to settle because: (a) the SEC dug up some real questionable activity; and (b) no Wall Street firm, not even one with the ties to government that Goldman possesses can go to war with its primary regulator. Now that Goldman has indeed settled, the news is being spun, again mostly by the financial media, that the deal with the SEC was a victory for Goldman’s CEO Lloyd Blankfein, who survived the investigation largely unscathed, paying a measly $550 million to the government (equivalent to a few days trading gains at Goldman) and without having to give up any power, such as relinquishing his role as chairman of the board, as senior executives both inside Goldman and at competing firms believed would be part of any settlement. Well, if history is any guide, Blankfein may not go tomorrow, or even next month, but sometime in 2011, Blankfein will at the very least no longer be chairman of Goldman, and may also be forced out of the firm altogether. If you don’t believe me ask former Citigroup CEO Sandy Weill. Like Blankfein, Weill (at least on paper) was a good CEO from an operational standpoint. Following the creation of Citigroup in 1998, shares of the big bank soared. The bank was what’s known as a Wall Street darling for its strong earnings and a surging stock price, and Weill was regarded as the King of Wall Street, having engineered the largest financial deal ever when he merged his company, the Travelers Group brokerage, insurance and investment banking empire, with commercial banking powerhouse Citicorp. At the height of his power, Weill suddenly popped up on the radar screen of New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer. Before Spitzer got involved with hookers and became a TV host, he was the sheriff of Wall Street, looking to right wrongs from the last great scandal, the internet bubble where firms sold worthless dotcom and tech stocks to unsuspecting investors. Emails he uncovered showed that Weill at least did something stupid, if not fraudulent: He pressured an analyst, Jack Grubman, to inflate his stock rating on telecom giant AT&T, which was an investment banking client (Weill also sat on AT&T’s board, while AT&T CEO Michael Armstrong sat on Citi’s board) Grubman wrote in an email that as a favor for upgrading the stock, Weill got his kids in an exclusive pre-school. The scandal, was described by the Wall Street Journal , as a “kid pro quo.” Weill continued to deny wrongdoing and was never charged. Citigroup, however, was charged with fraud and ended up paying a $400 fine to settle the matter, but Weill appeared to have retained his control of the bank. The initial reaction in the press and among his peers in the financial business was that Weill had won, by having the bank pay a relatively small fine, and his status as CEO and the King of Wall Street secure. Not quite. A few months later, Citigroup announced that Weill was stepping down as CEO, handing that job to Chuck Prince, who basically negotiated the settlement package. Citigroup maintained that the two moves were unrelated. But people in Spitzer’s office told me they really weren’t: While negotiating the settlement, Citigroup’s board made it clear to investigators that Weill’s days were numbered at the top of the firm that he founded. Spitzer was merely affording Weill a graceful exit in an effort to end the case. Full disclosure: I have no knowledge that Goldman’s board has tacitly agreed to pull a Weill on Blankfein and has plans for him to step aside, but the circumstances involving the two men are so remarkably similar. While Blankfein wasn’t directly involved in the questionable trade that landed Goldman in trouble, he is responsible for remaking Goldman into predatory trading culture that has caught the attention of regulators, Congressional committees (recall Sen. Carl Levin badgering Goldman traders for selling “shitty” investments to their clients) and hurt Goldman’s once stellar reputation, as Weill’s actions hurt Citigroup’s. Some would say that’s where the comparisons end; Citigroup deals with the general public that buys stocks through its brokerage unit (Smith Barney) and makes deposits in its branch banking offices. Goldman deals with large sophisticated investors who couldn’t care less how Darwinian the company behaves. That used to be true, but no more. Goldman’s image has been battered, not as bad as say a company like BP, but not far behind. And image does count these days given the scrutiny and oversight placed on Wall Street and the banks following the financial collapse-induced bailouts. Now that financial reform has been passed, Goldman will have to cut back on some of that aggressive trading that powered its earnings and was Blankfein’s forte. That means it will have to devote more and more resources to developing its client business and relationships, convincing blue chip companies that it is the right firm to handle delicate negotiations involving mergers, acquisitions, and other corporate financing assignments. More and more, these clients do care about image (ask yourself why has so many top companies embraced the useless but politically correct “green agenda”). In fact some have already jettisoned Goldman as scrutiny of the firm grew over the past year. Who is the right guy to change Goldman’s image to fit the new paradigm it faces? It’s not Lloyd Blankfein and that’s why he won’t survive.

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Eric Simpson: Looking for Work

July 16, 2010

I lost my job in January of 2009, when economic collapse began to leak jobs nearly as badly as the well in the Gulf has been leaking oil. According to current Republican wisdom, the closing of that door gave me a wonderful opportunity to live off the government on a very fixed and limited income while catching up on soap operas, planning and taking month-long vacations, and lounging around in my underwear while consuming illicit drugs. Of course, I did all of the above, while simultaneously supporting three children, paying necessary bills (electric, gas, phone, 3D plasma TV), and subsidizing the cost of the nanny while my wife and I dined and danced away expensive weekly nights out on the town, whichever town happened to suit our fancy. Paris? New York? Berlin? Now that my unemployment extension is no longer being funded, how will I charter the private jet? What recourse do I have to help pay for ballet lessons for my six month old or to finance a new objet de art for my private collection? It looks like, along with possibly 35 million Americans this year, I’ll have to start looking for work. Ugh. Okay, you got me. I’m kidding, of course. There is no nanny, no jet, no plasma TV, no illicit drugs, no vacations. The Republicans are not right — unemployment benefits have never been an incentive to prevent me from looking for work. The amount of unemployment I received since my benefits began until the day it unexpectedly stopped was barely enough to cover the cost of food for my family of five, and maybe a luxury or two like diapers or unscented diaper wipes. If I hadn’t had a little money saved, coupled with very fortunate financial help from extended family, I would never have met costs for other basic necessities such as a modest rent and utilities. The weekly stipend has been a buffer, an excruciatingly necessary one, which our family has used while pursuing more permanent streams of revenue. When I was still receiving unemployment, there was never a time when I would have turned down a regular paycheck and permanent job in preference for an unemployment stipend due to end in the near future. On the unfortunate side, however, not only has that buffer been rescinded, and the bill to fund or extend benefits been blocked by Republicans who apparently want a poor economy in November, but support from my extended family reduced as well, since they also lost their jobs. So I am now in the same position as millions of Americans who do not have a rich aunt, a benevolent dad, or a well-to-do brother into whom they might lean during difficult times. Everyone, excluding the exorbitantly rich and apparently Republicans in Congress, is suffering. We are, as they say, all in this together — and the this to which the cliche refers is a downward spiral that ends in personal destitution, a despair more harmful to my kids now than any future deficit due solely to paying benefits might be to their kids in the future. So to stave away poverty and shake off lingering bouts of depression, I am still looking for work, filling out the online forms, hitting the pavement — both virtual and literal. I take to heart Kentucky Senate candidate Rand Paul’s advice to accept a reduction in pay, take a job below my capacity and ability, and in hard times not to insist upon the dream job that is rightfully mine. In fact, I took his advice before he ever gave it. As a writer, my dream job is to be Stephen King, and has been since I was a child, but since he is still occupying that space, and my own ventures into marketing my own fiction, poetry and non-fiction haven’t been met with either acclaim or multimillion dollar contracts, I have been taking the less lucrative jobs my entire adult life. The position I lost in early 2009 was not the job of a lifetime — it was, like many others I have had to help make ends meet, providing administrative and clerical support in an office environment. I don’t think my situation is unique. This was the latest in a collage of working jobs to make money, a parade of personal sacrifices that never quite equals the expectations of a career. So, my apologies, Rand Paul, but I have already, like millions of working Americans, been accepting the reduced wage, doing something for money rather than personal passion, something beneath my abilities and potential, in order to support myself and my family. Hasn’t everybody, excluding the exorbitantly rich and Republicans in Congress, at some time or another, or even in some cases always, done the same? Doesn’t Paul know that millions have already taken his advice, which is why even “reduced-wage” jobs are themselves sparse? As of this writing, like millions of Americans, I am penniless. I can empathize with those who are not sure how last month’s bills, or next month’s mortgage, is going to be paid, and like many, I’m living on big faith and small hope. I think that being on unemployment for two years is a ridiculous amount of time. It’s a long time! But it’s a necessary buffer, and for me the eighteen months I benefited from it provided a real help as I sought work in hard times. Those hard times haven’t let up yet for unemployed Americans. Now is not the time to abandon us. Eric Simpson is a freelance writer and poet, and an associate editor of the international publication In Communion: The Journal of the Orthodox Peace Fellowship. His books include a collection of short stories titled, Destination , and a book of poetry, Word Lumber .

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Schools Trying To Expel Junk Food

July 15, 2010

SAN FRANCISCO — It’s not hard to figure out that stocking school vending machines with sugary sodas and salty, fatty snacks is a bad idea. Replacing those culinary culprits with something more nutritious is tougher. But a growing number of school districts around the country are trying anyway. “I can’t say enough for what it does for the kids to have the junk out of the machines,” says Patricia Gray, who as former principal of San Francisco’s Balboa High School oversaw a switch to healthier snacks. “It was not an easy task,” says Gray, now an assistant superintendent with the district, “it was a re-education process.” Efforts to get empty calories out of students’ hands are being made in almost every state, according to the Centers for Disease Control. A 2008 School Health Profiles Survey found that fewer secondary schools were selling less nutritious snacks compared with two years before. Among the findings: Across 34 states, the median percent of secondary schools that ditched non-nutritious snacks increased from 46 percent in 2006 to 64 percent in 2008. Still, the report found more progress needs to be made. How big a deal is what kids eat at school? According to the Institute of Medicine and the National Center for Health Statistics, the average young person gets more than 10 percent of his or her calories from saturated fat, takes in less than two-thirds the recommended intake of calcium and more than double the recommended amount of sodium. And for boys and girls ages 9 to 13, 21 percent get more than one-fourth of their energy intake from added sugars. Food in the lunch and breakfast programs must meet nutritional standards to qualify for federal reimbursement, but food sold in other school venues, including vending machines, aren’t subject to those requirements. Some states have passed their own laws regulating vending machines, including California, which forbids some non-nutritious snacks. In San Francisco, the school board has a stricter policy, passing a wellness policy implemented in the 2003-04 year that banned sodas (this is now part of the state standard, too) and nixed snacks like baked potato chips. “It may be less bad for you, but that doesn’t mean that it’s good for you,” says Dana Woldow, a leader in the push for better snacks and co-chair of the district’s Student Nutrition and Physical Activity Committee. Things aren’t perfect now, but they’re “a million times better,” than the past when sodas, candy and fried chips were the rule, Woldow said. Starting this fall, one machine is being piloted in a San Francisco high school that will offer full, reimbursable, meals – fruit, vegetable, milk, sandwich. The “smart” machine will tally up when a student has selected enough items to qualify as reimbursable. Drinks allowed in San Francisco school vending machines include water, juice, milk and juice/water blends with no added sweeteners, caffeine or herbal supplements. Snacks include yogurt bars, tuna salad and crackers, fruit bars and sunflower seeds. Healthier snack machines are showing up all over. Jolly Backer, CEO of San Diego-based Fresh Healthy Vending, says the company has machines in 1,700 locations, including schools, across the United States. Offerings include items such as yogurts and fresh fruit. “All the top-selling drinks and snacks that you’d find in a Whole Foods Market you’ll find in our machines,” says Backer. Some, like food activist Marion Nestle, say the idea of healthier vending machines is flawed. “It depends how you define healthy,” she said. “If you define healthy as slightly better for you than junk food, they’re doing a really good job.” She advocates taking out vending machines and focusing on improving school lunch options. But Woldow notes that the school day is long with extracurricular activities that can go on for hours after the cafeteria closes, which means students might dash out to corner stores for high-fat, high-sugar snacks. “Isn’t it better to offer them healthy choices which are also convenient?” she says. For those working to boost the nutrient value of vending machines, one issue is that machines are often under independent contract, perhaps to the PE department or the English department, making it hard to centralize control. Bringing about change requires a comprehensive approach, says Gray. In addition to working on vending machine content she stopped the sale of candy for fundraisers, a very unpopular decision for a while, and curtailed bringing in junk food from home. “If you don’t have a principal that’s totally committed to (healthier snacks), it won’t work.” And be patient, she says. Passing out fresh fruit started out as a novelty and turned into a treat. “They will eat it if it’s available and you don’t have the bad stuff. Kids get hungry. They’re going to eat one way or the other.” ___ Online: San Francisco Schools: http://www.sfusdfood.org CDC: http://www.cdc.gov/healthyyouth/nutrition/index.htm http://www.freshvending.com

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Gary S. Rich: Some Fatherly Advice

July 13, 2010

My oldest daughter is nineteen, she has a year of college under her belt and against all my better instincts I’ve arranged for her to spend the summer in a corporate internship with one of my clients. She’s a reasonable kid with average grades, average friends and an average set of strengths and weaknesses. I don’t believe her performance in life yet reflects her intellect or her ability, but what father does? So as I sit here, a week before she begins work, I’ve been trying to construct a bit of advice for her; before she heads off and potentially embarrasses me beyond recovery. I’m somewhat uniquely qualified to dispense career advice since I’ve spent my career first as a corporate human resources officer, then as CEO of a mid-size company and then as an executive coach. Of course my last twenty-five years of labor will buy me very little sway with her and anything I tell her will have to be distilled down to the size of a text message. I’m not alone. If they’re lucky, thousands of parents are sending their kids off to work this summer for their first time. We’re sure that in time they’ll figure it all out. I wish I could save my kid a few decades of the process. That’s called hope prevailing over experience. So here’s the fatherly advice I gave my daughter My fatherly advice: 1. Be there. Which means don’t get to work on time. Get to work thirty minutes early. (“OMG. Are you kidding me?”) No. And while you’re at it, stay thirty minutes later than most of the people working there or until your boss leaves, whichever is later. And if your work is finished, ask for more. I’m not going to tell you why because it’s too early in this list for me to see you roll your eyes and want to poke them out. 2. Attitude. Your boss will never talk to you about your attitude. Lawyers and HR people put a stop to that long ago. But when you’re not around, people will definitely be discussing your attitude. So make sure it’s a good one. Smile a lot; even when it suddenly occurs to you that you totally should be the next American Idol and not be forced to do regular work. Act happy even when you’re not. Be positive and ready to accomplish anything. Never, ever, complain about anything. Offer to help other people out anytime you can. Positive energy is something we old people like to be around. So have a lot of it. Energy vampires are a drag and we want to drive a stake through their hearts. 3. It’s not about you. I know, temporarily suspend your disbelief. None of it is about you. It’s about a company where people need to figure out how to get the company to earn an acceptable profit. It’s about customers and shareholders and a myriad of other things, none of which include you. Figure out how the company makes money and what’s important to the people running the company. Learn who they compete with and how, understand the strategy and goals that have been set. Know what your department does to help achieve those goals and figure out what the work you are doing does to fit in with all that. So learn about all of those things and what everyone there does and forget about “you” until “you” leave for the day. Then it can be all about you again. 4. Politics. Never talk about anyone else unless it’s to say something positive and supportive. Never say anything for that matter that you wouldn’t want to see printed on the front page of the NY times the next day. Forget about secrets, they don’t exist. Be sure you are as respectful to the cleaning people as you are to the president. 5. Quality. Focus on doing very high quality work. You are not the only smart person there. Some of those really old people (over 30) working side by side with you are just as smart as you are and were once doing your job. They sadly never got a letter like this from their father. Do work that you are proud of. Be organized and clear and for heaven’s sake check your spelling. Every morning figure out what you are going to accomplish that day and every evening ask yourself if you more than earned your pay that day. 6. Your boss is your boss. Not your friend. Not your mother or father. They do not love you and might not really even care about you. Despite that outrage, your job is to help your boss get their job accomplished. So you better know what they’re trying to get done. Make sure you understand what they ask you to do and if you aren’t clear, ask questions. If you have any ideas on how to improve things tell your boss, then listen to what they say. Make sure your boss knows they can count on you. And don’t worry about getting credit for your work. Your boss will know what you do or don’t do. 7. Work is for work. Do not use that computer for anything personal. Right, not even Facebook. And turn your cell phone off before you walk in the door and I mean off, not vibrate. In case you’re wondering what that thing on the desk is, it’s an old-fashioned desk phone. Do not make personal calls on that one either, if you ever figure out how it works. Oh, and I know I don’t have to say this but leave the iPod home. I know the music helps you concentrate on your work but I don’t care. Don’t even think about what other people are getting paid. It’s not your business. Don’t eat at your desk and don’t go outside for cigarette breaks, it takes company time, makes you look stupid and kills you fast. 8. Decorum. Dress nicely, look well-groomed, and only fill two of the eight holes I have somehow allowed you to put in your ears over the years. Make sure no one at work ever sees the piercing in your navel much less the ones I don’t know about. Only use words as they are defined in a dictionary. Don’t say “sick” if you mean great, don’t say “word” if you mean yes, never use any profanity and if you slip up do not say “my bad”. Girls, showing your bra straps is not business casual and guys…pull up your pants. This is not a dating service, or a nightclub. Keep your eyes on the road. 9. Don’t be defensive and don’t make excuses. Nothing makes you look more like a baby. When someone corrects you, thank him or her. They really are making you better and it’s hard to find gifts like that in life. While we are on the subject. Don’t wait around to be told you’re doing well; I know it’s nice to be acknowledged but in the end you’ll figure out that your own approval is really the thing that matters most. 10. Try to have fun. Make yourself proud. I know you will. Gary Rich is the President of Rich Leadership, an executive development firm and Cofounder of The Leadership Room, a leadership development program.

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Laurence J. Kotlikoff: Making Divorce a Win-Win Proposition

July 11, 2010

I’ve always been dismayed by the incredibly nasty fights people have about money when they get divorced. Clearly, there are all kinds of factors that are involved — hurt feelings, betrayal, custody of the kids, and the list goes on. But the loss of trust — the sense that your partner is no longer a part of you, but has become a third party — must be playing a major part in the suspicion that instantly arises about who is getting and giving what financially. Fueling the divorce fires is the enormous complexity associated with our financial lives. The tax and social security systems have made understanding our finances impossible without highly sophisticated software. So two X spouses can easily reach opposite conclusions about whether a proposed settlement is fair just because they can’t sort out all the complexities. Economics to the Rescue! If you are in the midst of a bloody divorce or know someone who is or are just interested in the issue, take a look at my recent forbes.com column posted at http://www.forbes.com/2010/07/07/divorce-settlement-alimony-child-support-personal-finance-kotlikoff.html This column shows that with ESPlanner (Economic Security Planner) software my company developed, we can now boil down all the complex financial factors associated with divorce settlements into two numbers — his and her living standards. The software’s dirt cheap compared to the stakes involved, but there’s a free version that can get one a long way to a fair divorce settlement at www.esplanner.com/basic. What’s “fair” in divorce is up for debate. Providing each spouse the same living standard is one reference point, particularly for marriages that have lasted a long time. But the great thing about using ESPlanner to sort out one’s divorce settlement is that it shows both X’s that divorce can be a win-win situation at Uncle Sam’s expense. Should the high-earning spouse make alimony payments or just hand over more taxable assets? Should she/he keep the house with its mortgage deductions or rent? Who should receive or retain Roth vs. Non-Roth IRAs? There are so many things to argue over in divorce. Why argue over financial conjectures that may be false, when you can sort out the financial truth so quickly? Life is unfair. So is divorce. But divorce can be a lot simpler and fairer if you let economics show you the financial truth and help you make the best out of a bad situation.

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Matt Wilson: America the Beautiful: Built by Entrepreneurs

July 9, 2010

The United States of America has been based on entrepreneurial ideas and actions and it is in times like these that Americans will show their true colors. Our country has resolved to come out of our financial crisis stronger than ever, but it won’t be by way of refinancing; it will be by the might of entrepreneurs. Listen in to the American dream courtesy of Under30CEO, the resource for young entrepreneurs … On July 4, 1776, some of the greatest entrepreneurs the world has ever seen took action, forever altering the history of the world. The founding fathers of the United States of America signed the Declaration of Independence, beginning a start up of an entire nation. Like entrepreneurs today, they too faced difficulties, although a bit different and more life-threatening, such as a military super power sending their army to muscle them out. Although they weren’t starting a business, they were taking huge risks to create a better life for themselves and their loved ones, a characteristic of the American ideal, an ideal that is probably best represented in the form of entrepreneurialism. America has always been a land of opportunity, where the motto of “pulling yourself up by your bootstraps” is widely used and believed in. Starting your own business has always been an option, and has been encouraged throughout life. Lemonade stands are a childhood memory that many cherish, the kids in class who had their own business of selling candy at lunch were always admired, and now today, even in a time of recession and despair, people are tapping into American ideals and starting their own businesses in record numbers. It’s being reported that between 500,000 to 1 million new businesses were started last year, a stunning fact that seemingly stands in defiance to the economic times. People are becoming disillusioned with the idea of becoming lifers to a corporation, realizing that the dream promised to the last generation is now dead and gone. Instead, young dreamers are following their hearts and becoming their own source of financial security, becoming truly independent. Young entrepreneurs are finding problems that need solutions, fixing them, and showing the world that there are options other than becoming a subservient slave to the corporate machine. A prime example is Daniel Newman, jumping at the opportunity to fix the ” death grip ” problem for the Apple iPhone 4 by making his own product and selling it at a third of the price that Apple is charging. People are now opening franchises, restaurants, clothing stores, and other businesses, with the hopes that not only can they help their community, but to help themselves in the process. They invest in buildings, point of sale systems, products and employees, taking risks that many would not, all for the hopes of a better life and leading the American dream. Many believe that in order to succeed you need to be initially wealthy, that social mobility isn’t a possibility. It’s true that having that privilege will help, but having prime location office buildings, cutting edge pos systems, and all the starting capital you’ll need can’t replace the drive and will that someone with a dream has. Independence Day just passed, and it feels great to know, that after centuries of wear and tear the ideals this nation was built on are just as strong as ever. This article originally appeared at Under30CEO.com by Andrew Sale phone systems writer at Resource Nation .

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Matt Fellowes: The Color of the Mortgage Crisis

June 25, 2010

As the lessons of the mortgage crisis are studied by historians in the coming years, a significant and widely overlooked consequence that will no doubt emerge is how it’s set back the economic mobility of minorities in this country by at least 20 years. The statistics are astonishing. A recent study found that 20 percent of Latino homeowners and 11 percent of African-American homeowners have either already lost their homes or are at high risk of doing so. Add it all up, and Latinos and African Americans are expected to lose an estimated $273 billion in wealth because of foreclosures. Visit majority-minority cities such as Atlanta, Baltimore, Cleveland, Detroit, and Memphis and you’ll see these statistics come to life. For starters, you won’t find many people in these places. Yesterday, for instance, I was at a conference here in Washington listening to the Tax Collector of Cuyahoga County, Ohio. He’s forecasted that the 2010 Census will reveal Cleveland to be facing the largest population decline (by percentage) of any urban area in the survey’s 220-year history. More than 40,000 properties in the city are vacant right now, and about half will need to be demolished because no one can afford to maintain them. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program data show similar trends in dozens of majority-minority cities across the country. To be sure, the impact of the mortgage crisis is devastating all around. Overall, Federal Reserve data indicate that Americans lost 15 percent of their wealth between the peak of the housing boom and mid-2009. Put another way, U.S. households have about as much wealth relative to their income as they did in the 1990s. The culprit? More than 2.5 million foreclosures have been completed since 2007, and another 10 to 13 million are expected over the next four years. Similarly, about 25 percent of all mortgage borrowers are underwater right now, owing more on their mortgages than their homes are actually worth. Take a drive around your neighborhood and consider these facts; one out of every home with a mortgage that you pass is likely to have a family in financial crisis living in it. The effects on minorities are disproportionate, however. And the roots of those effects go back much farther than the mortgage crisis. The segregated housing once sponsored by the federal government is partly to blame. As the late Jack Kemp passionately argued while he was Secretary of HUD in the first Bush administration, the government’s public housing projects created racially segregated neighborhoods, which depressed home values, job opportunities, the quality of schools, and basic public infrastructure. Over time that neighborhood profile bred a perfect target for unscrupulous lenders. A study by the Urban Institute and HUD found, for instance, that Latinos were provided with less information from mortgage brokers about available financial products, loan terms, and underlying home values. The real tragedy that all these data point to is the fact that millions of upwardly mobile minorities, after having fought against the historical tides of discrimination and unequal opportunity, are now back where they started. In fact, many are worse off because their credit has been ruined and with it the hopes they had for their kids to continue climbing up the economic ladder. These effects will last at least a generation, possibly longer. It’s hard to know how to start addressing such a broad, complicated problem. Many of the available policy tools are simply not up to scale. And, to be frank, policymakers aren’t quite sure what to do about that. Every big idea out of Washington is fiscally, financially, and/or politically unrealistic (a Marshall Plan for cities is one example that comes to mind). In the meantime, we’re trying to do our small part. On Tuesday, we visited Norfolk, VA, one of the communities still reeling from the effects of the crisis, and distributed over 2,000 free memberships to our financial guidance service to needy families. One woman, who had recently lost her job because of back problems, broke down crying at the prospect of being able to afford the pain medication she had been needing for the past two months, and being able to look for other work as a result. The average HelloWallet member, before joining, unnecessarily loses about $600 a year because of his or her difficulty using financial products. Ours was a small effort but its effects were immediate and, having spent years listening to policymakers in DC grapple with this problem, I think there’s something to be said for that. It’s clear, however, that there is plenty left to do to prevent future crises. At HelloWallet , we believe that a new, independent resource that helps U.S. households better evaluate the housing options and the mortgage terms available to them is one big solution. But there are lots of other interesting efforts underway. The Treasury Department, for instance, is looking at ways to use behavioral economics to improve the mortgage product choices of prospective homeowners. The Federal Reserve has moved to change the incentive structure for brokers, so they no longer have incentives to sell borrowers mortgages that cost more than they need to. And a number of major players in the mortgage market are experimenting with new ideas to improve the sustainability of the loans they originate. What do you think should be done?

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Manisha Thakor : Seven Savings Myths: Busted!

June 22, 2010

Americans have started doing it again with a vengeance. Saving, that is. The US savings rate touched 5% in the 2nd quarter of 2009 and has been hovering steadily over 3% since then. While that’s still a far cry from the double-digit savings rates we saw in decades past, it is a big improvement from the negative rates of personal savings we had at the start of this millennium. However, there are many savings myths still floating around out there. Here are 7 Savings Myths – Busted! 1. I can only save a little bit, so it’s not worth it . Would you tell your child in the morning, “Mommy only has time for one hug – so I’m not to give you any?” Be loving with your money too. Every little bit really does count. According to Coinstar, Americans have $10 billion of loose change rolling around. Small bits really do add up. I met one couple that saved $7,000 in 6 months by depositing change and all bar-tending tips into a big, previously unused flower vase in their bedroom. 2. I’ll START saving money when I make more money . I hear this all the time – but it doesn’t happen. I’ve met people who can save on incomes of $30k and who can NOT save on incomes of $300k. Once you are making a living wage it comes down to a mindset. It depends on how you value happiness today versus security tomorrow. 3. If I earned more money it would be EASIER to save . Not always true. Lifestyle creep has an insidious tendency to kick in as you make more money. You wear a fancier suit and then you feel like you need fancier shoes, and then a fancier a car, and then a house…. 4. I want to be a good parent, so I need to give to my kids now so they can have a better life . First, the money you save early on is the most valuable. But worse, you are teaching kids to be dependent. Boomerang kids are a huge issue. 75% of 18-24 year olds right now are getting some form of economic help from their parents and for 40% are getting $10,000 or more a year! 5. I can always get a loan if things go wrong . Wrong. Lenders want to lend you money when you don’t need it. Why? Because they are sure you can pay them back. The worst possible time to be approaching a lender is when you are in dire straights. 6. Saving is all about deprivation . Nope, saving is all about spending. It’s just spending that you’ll do in the future. You are not saving up all that money to sleep on it – it’s to spend during tough times, for enjoyment, and/or when you are retired. Read Your Money Or Your Life for more on this. 7. Saving means cutting out all the small fun stuff . Well start with the big stuff. Your home, car, kids, education, and health care will likely eat up 50% of your income . Look for savings there first. What about you? Are you saving more or less than last year… and why/how?

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Andrew Reinbach: Welcome to the United States of Dystopia

June 16, 2010

Modern medicine is killing America. Not the way you think. Thanks to modern medicine, more infants live to be adults. And more adults live longer lives — into their 90s — with fewer serious health problems. Diseases and conditions that used to be fatal are rarities now. And there’s every reason to believe this blessing will only continue. For one thing, Western civilization is built on the idea that life, itself, is a good. Nobody’s throwing that overboard. And there’s the rub. The longer people live, the more money they spend, and is spent on them. Forgetting for the nonce about Social Security, spending that extra money means that pension and health care plans need to make more and more to cover those expenses — for longer and longer. But since both employees and their employers can only contribute so much today, that means those plans have to demand the companies they invest in do better and better, quarter by quarter; one down quarter and the investor is off to a company that may do better for a few quarters. And since it all runs down hill, that means more and more pressure on expenses; lower expenses meaning better profits. Business expenses, though — raw materials, real estate costs, utilities — tend to be inflexible, because in the corporate world, you’re talking tough negotiations between relative equals. So where do you cut? Employment, of course. That’s not an equal negotiation. And luckily for employers, modern technology means the worker bees can be expected to work harder and harder, producing more with less. And they’d better smile when they’re doing that, because there’s a line behind them who want their job. So technology means that a company needs fewer and fewer employees, with shrinking prospects of pay raises, to produce the same amount of product. Another place to cut? Employment benefits — health care, especially. The recent health care bill will never change this, because health care costs will always be higher for older people than younger ones, older people being sicker people, just in the nature of things. And meanwhile, more kids are finishing school and looking for work every day, competing for fewer and fewer career jobs, and willing to do more and more of what it takes to get them–including offering perfect credentials and a willingness to work for nothing, just to get in the door. All paid for by the parents. Interns, they call them. This is why the world in which an average American willing to work can expect steady, stable employment, paying a good income, is becoming a thing of the past. Employers have to do better and better or else; and as I said, it all rolls downhill. Meanwhile, technology is eliminating entire industries, not to mention careers in them, that used to be considered part of the landscape — consider what’s happened to journalism and journalism jobs, for instance. So the old idea of getting your degree, getting on the escalator at the bottom, and getting off at the top, is gone with the wind. Today, however good they think they are, your typical American can expect to have three careers in their working life. That’s usually spun as a great adventure, a chance to kick out the jambs, explore new aspects of yourself, and, generally, continue to grow. The problem is that when you start a new career, you start at the bottom again. And since you’re likely to do that two or three times, you never have a chance to make a good living, or build any equity — you’re running as fast as you can just to stay in place. Meanwhile, if you’re any kind of parent, you need to give your kids at least a fighting chance to have a career in which they can make enough money to live what’s become an increasingly expensive, “normal” life. This can start as early as three, with a good pre-school program, and wind its hideously expensive way through graduate school. Then, three-to-five years of an internship, living in New York, or Chicago, or Washington, making virtually no money, and needing an allowance until they’re 30 or so. After that, if they’re lucky, they’ll get hired. If they’re not hired, they have to start over–though the fact they didn’t make the first cut won’t do them any favors. But sooner or later — hopefully — they can begin making a living, and start paying off the enormous debts they’ve taken on as the price of admission to a life that, as recently as the 1980s, was considered the birthright of every American. We’re not even discussing the debts their parents built up along the way. They’ve got their own problems, the truth of American life today being that if you’re not able to retire by 55, you’d better hope you’re not laid off, or your company isn’t merged, moved, driven into Chapter 11 or sold to a private equity group. If this happens, it’s just tough. You may never get back inside, because the above considerations of technology, productivity, competition for jobs, the social aspects of the workplace, and employment costs are going to kick in. It’s nothing personal. But your salad days are over. In other words, in the world we’re building today, your typical American lucky enough to have a professional career will only have about 25 or 30 years to put together enough to live on until they’re as old as 90. The rest are just out of luck, buddy. None of this is any news to anybody who works for a living. But almost nobody thinks about — or really wants to know — where this is taking us as a nation. Because forgetting the question of what to do with millions of perfectly able people forced out of what they’d considered secure careers and dumped into an unwelcoming jobs market, you’ve got to ask yourself; if those hideous expenses are what it takes just to give your kid a shot at a professional career so they can afford an increasingly expensive “normal ” life, whose kids are going to get those professional careers? Rich kids, that’s who. And without picking on kids who were born into rich families through no fault of their own, going forward, all this boils down to an America with fewer and fewer career jobs parceled out to more and more people with better and better backgrounds, while more and more people have to make do with less and less. It leads, in fact, to an America with a handful of people living what we now consider a “normal” life in gated communities with armed guards, and millions of people cast out of the corporate world and left to shift for themselves; a sort of sci-fi dystopia right out of RoboCop . Politically, this is firewood stacked under the whole idea of America — a place where you’re judged by what you can do, and not who your grandparents were. And the worst part? This has nothing to do with left/right politics — it’s about modern medicine and arithmetic. So far, I haven’t heard many people talking about this, although there are a few, crying in the wilderness. But it’s certainly a conversation worth having, and certainly, we need to find ourselves a solution that allows most Americans to live like, well, Americans . This will have to be a conversation that avoids comfortable bromides about the can-do American spirit, the greatness of the American People, or sneering at people “who won’t take jobs they think are beneath them”. We have to acknowledge the problem, find common ground, focus on practical solutions — and make them happen. If we don’t, it will all go up in flames, eventually. That’s what happens when you’ve got a few people with everything, and millions with nothing to lose. So the question is: Do you love America?

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Matt Fellowes: Capitalism for All?

June 16, 2010

For all the failures of bankers and policy-makers to tame the unbridled innovations of capitalism in recent years, many of us have also lost our own way financially — and it’s costing us hugely. American consumers are needlessly losing hundreds of billions of dollars in unnecessary banking and checking fees, inflated interest rates, and missed opportunities. Reclaiming those dollars and putting them to work for workers is one of the most powerful, and widely overlooked, opportunities we have to restart economic mobility in the U.S. For a half-century we’ve benefited from the democratization of the financial services industry — and all of the new ways of saving, spending, borrowing, and investing that it created. Up until just 60 years ago, most American’s either kept their money under a mattress or just had a checking or savings account at their local bank. Capitalism was simple, in other words. But, during the second half of the 20th century, financial services were broadly expanded for all. In the 1950s, for instance, credit cards didn’t exist, 14 percent of us had access to the stock market, and 59 percent had a checking account. Today, by contrast, there are 640 million credit cards in circulation — nearly three for every adult — and we owe nearly $1 trillion. Similarly, over 60 percent of us are directly invested in the stock market and over 90 percent have a checking account. Democratization of products brought with it new hopes for millions of American’s to own homes for the first time, send their kids to previously unaffordable colleges, and buy shiny new things on credit that they had always wanted, but could not previously afford. But it also sowed the destruction of economic mobility at the very same time it promised to improve our lives. That’s because while we were getting access to ever-more products, we weren’t getting actionable knowledge about how to use them the way the nation’s wealthiest do. Fewer than one in five households have access to the financial guidance needed to use these new products effectively — a statistic that has remained essentially unchanged since the 1950s. What’s happened then over the past 60 years is somewhat akin to lending someone a car without first giving them a driving lesson. They’ll get down the road and feel the wind in their hair, but eventually most people will get into an accident. And, that’s exactly what’s happened in this country. The worst accident, of course, was the mortgage crisis over the last two years, where over 5 million mostly middle income households have lost homes that they likely never would have bought in the first place if they had been able to talk to an independent financial advisor that they could trust, almost taking down the entire U.S. economy. But the mortgage crisis is only the tip of a massive iceberg that’s cracked the hull of most Americans’ finances. The statistics are jaw-dropping. Last year, for instance, while Congress was busy debating financial reforms, U.S. consumers spent about $38 billion in overdraft fees. But the more shocking figure is that in a recent survey, 70 percent of people were found to be overdrawing from banks where they have savings accounts in addition to checking accounts. In a matter of minutes, they could have linked their accounts and avoided most of those fees. The lack of knowledge about checking accounts is stunning, given their widespread use. But it doesn’t stop there. One to two thirds of fixed-rate-mortgage borrowers pay more than a full point above the going rate and may qualify for a better rate, according to their risk profiles. Getting a more appropriate, lower rate would save these homeowners an estimated $60 billion a year. Over 20 percent of Americans keep more than two months of their income in checking accounts and have no other investments, causing them to miss out on billions of dollars in interest every year. Most investors are undiversified and lose money as a result. And so on. The bottom line is that few people, regardless of income or educational level, know how to use financial products effectively — because there’s no one to help us figure them out. That burns consumers, badly. We lose hundreds of billions of dollars every year in unnecessary fees, inflated interest rates, and missed opportunities. This stifles economic mobility and breeds personal financial crises, such as bankruptcies and foreclosures, that collectively damage the national economy. It also erodes our middle class over time, because without understanding how to use financial products effectively, workers cannot convert their wages into economic mobility. So, what do we do about this? As a financial policy wonk trained in economics, I’d love to boast that I’ve devised the magic blend of new laws that the country’s been waiting for. But as an expert, I’ve learned that consumer finance policy is a lot like whackamole — after years of wrangling, one outrageous fee is banned while a dozen blossom in its place. Just like most of us, policymakers are not money experts either. Our $13 trillion debt is evidence of that. Even more importantly, it can take years for Washington to pass legislation; banks, on the other hand, can add new fees and products in a matter of weeks. Policy is always, by default, behind the innovation curve. I also wish I could say that we can educate ourselves out of this problem, as we’ve successfully done with so many other critical problems facing this country. But that would be like saying we can improve the health of people in this country by requiring everyone to be a doctor. Today, effectively managing one’s money is a full-time task that requires access to advanced math skills and information. And with nearly half of U.S. adults reading at or below an eighth-grade level and almost all of us juggling more work than we can handle, this would be a fools errand. The answer is instead that we need to put capitalism back to work for us by democratizing independent financial guidance, inserting a new, nimble intermediary between consumers and financial institutions, just like we have mechanics between us and our cars; and doctors between us and medicine. Imagine, for instance, if you had someone proactively looking at your money, guarding against unnecessary fees, warning you of bad deals, and stewarding you to use your hard work to climb up the economic ladder? The wealthy have had access to those services from private bankers since the beginning of time. It’s high time that the rest of America also share in the benefits of that expertise. That’s what we’re trying to provide at the organization I now run, HelloWallet. But, I’m sure there are dozens of other ways we can work together to take back capitalism. And, to help spark that dialogue, I’m starting this blog to shed light on the difficulties we all have using financial products — and to suggest meaningful solutions that you can put in place now. No matter what Washington or the banks do. Ultimately, my goal is to help put capitalism back to work for ALL Americans.

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Richard Zombeck: Nina Easton, Fortune Magazine Blogger, Panders to Rich Friends and Readers

May 28, 2010

Last week, Nina Easton, Fortune Magazine’s Washington Bureau Chief, described an apparent traumatic event on her blog : “Last Sunday, on a peaceful, sun-crisp afternoon, our toddler finally napping upstairs, my front yard exploded with 500 screaming, placard-waving strangers on a mission to intimidate my neighbor, Greg Baer.” The protest was organized by Chicago-based grassroots organization National People’s Action , in coordination with the SEIU who bused more than 700 workers from 20 states to Easton’s neighborhood — one of Washington’s wealthiest neighborhoods. The event kicked off several days of protests targeting K Street for lobbyists’ role in financial reform. The protesters, representing millions of people in this country who have either lost, are in the process of losing, or will inevitably lose their home as a result of the continued refusal by banks to work with homeowners, were there to picket in front of Gregory Baer’s house . Baer is deputy general counsel for Bank of America, the bank with the worst record of loan modifications according to treasury reports . Easton, who worked as a lead editor during her eight years at the Boston Globe goes on to say: Now this event would accurately be called a “protest”; if it were taking place at, say, a bank or the U.S. Capitol. But when hundreds of loud and angry strangers are descending on your family, your children, and your home, a more apt description of this assemblage would be ‘mob.’ Contrary to how Easton portrays it, this is not an isolated event. Similar protests have been organized since the modification programs were introduced last year. Groups like Neighborhood Assistance Corp. of America (NACA) held protests in front of banker’s homes as early as February of last year . When a person of Easton’s apparent stature writes something, even in a blog post, one would expect a certain level of research and professionalism.  According to her Wikipedia entry , Easton was a reporter with the LA Times and worked as lead editor during her eight years at The Boston Globe , yet her blog does little more than sensationalize the event and minimize the reasons behind the protest. Easton quotes Steven Lerner, SEIU’s point person on Wall Street reform as being, “more comfortable sticking to his talking points: ‘Millions of people are losing their homes, and they have gone to the banks, which are turning a deaf ear.’” Millions of people losing their homes is far from a talking point and Easton dismisses the comment as irrelevant. One Easton sympathizer, Tary McMillian, writes in her comment to the blog, “I hope the children of these protesters never have to endure the fear they put this boy through. I can’t even rap (sic) my mind around the fact that people would act like this and treat anothers (sic) family like this.” Lerner’s remark refers to millions of families losing their homes, uprooting their kids from schools, neighborhoods, and friends they’ve had for years. Not to mention the devastating financial blow it takes on a family and the stress it can add to an already hopeless situation. A bit more to endure than the inconvenience Easton and her toddler suffered by being woken up from their nap on a peaceful, sun-crisp afternoon, as she put it. Easton doesn’t stop with protesters when it comes to her condescension and disdain. She uses her platform to put down HuffPost reporter Arthur Delaney, who she refers to as a “blogger.” “There were no reporters from organizations like the Washington Post, no local camera crews who might have aired criticism of this private-home invasion… Instead, a friendly Huffington Post blogger showed up, narrowcasting coverage to the union’s leftist base,” Easton writes, pandering to her readers in the same way as she accuses the HuffPost reporter of doing. The irony of her statement is that Delaney, along with Shahien Nasiripour also of HuffPost, are among the few reporters covering this issue with accuracy and objectivity. Many homeowners on shamethebanks.org are thankful to both of these reporters and the continued coverage of this topic. Maybe the four years at Fortune Magazine, rubbing elbows with and covering the lives of the top one percent have resulted in Easton’s myopic view. Or maybe her marriage to Russell Schriefer has affected her in some way.  Schriefer’s  PR firm, SSG, claims the Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable as clients. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan is a member of the Business Roundtable, according to SEIU’s own post . Easton also downplays the role of the banks in all of this. She writes, “Waving signs denouncing bank ‘greed,’ hordes of invaders poured out of 14 school buses,” childishly putting “greed” in quotes as if referring to unicorns, hobbits, or some other imaginary entity. Astoundingly she manages to insinuate that we, at the bottom, are fabricating an imaginary syndrome targeting her audience, neighbors, and subject matter of her magazine. It exists. Leo Hindery Jr. described the industry in his recent post as a: profit-driven, greedy, selfish institution that, with its unbridled compensation practices and current light-touch regulatory regime is, I truly believe, behind almost every major societal and economic ill that has befallen the United States since 1980. I’d suggest to Nina Easton that she attempt a return to her journalistic roots and have a look at what’s going on outside of her posh neighborhood and insulated circle. Maybe draw from her Berkley education and Boston Globe experience to venture into some of the homes and meet some of families that are affected by the decisions some of her “friends” are making. At the very least, read some of the stories from homeowners at shamethebanks.org and get a sense for why people are protesting against the very people she writes about, associates with, and panders to.

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Lego Aims to Double U.S. Market Share With `Prince of Persia’ Brick Sets

May 25, 2010

By Christian Wienberg May 25 (Bloomberg) — Lego A/S , Europe’s biggest toymaker, wants to double its U.S. market share in the next five years with board games and building bricks based on Walt Disney Co.’s “Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time” and “Toy Story 3” movies. “The American consumer has returned,” Chief Executive Officer Joergen Vig Knudstorp said in an interview at Lego’s Billund, Denmark-based headquarters. “The U.S. market will be increasingly important for us, it’s the priority.” Knudstorp introduced board games in the U.S. this month, while he predicts the European toy market will shrink this year amid the sovereign debt crisis. Two months ago, he expected both markets to be “virtually flat.” Closely held Lego generates a third of its sales in the U.S., its biggest market, and will increase that to about 40 percent by 2015, he projected. Lego, which signed its first Disney license in the 1950s, will boost its U.S. market share to 7 percent or 8 percent by 2015 from the 4 percent it has at the moment, the CEO said. The company won’t be able to duplicate the 15 percent share it has in some parts of northern Europe, as it has difficulties gaining a foothold in the U.S. south and rural areas, Knudstorp said. U.S. consumer confidence rose this month for the tenth time since the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index hit a 28-year low in November 2008. Retail sales increased 0.4 percent in April, the seventh consecutive monthly advance in the U.S., where Lego sells products including $599 “Star Wars” Death Star kits and $3.99 Santa Claus figurines on Amazon.com. Darth Vader Statue “We’re concerned with the macroeconomic development in Europe,” said the executive, 41, who has a three-foot Lego statue of Darth Vader in his office. “Southern Europe had actually been growing quite nicely for the toy industry and I think we’ll see a stop to that with the financial crisis that’s evolving.” The euro last week dropped to a four-year low against the dollar as Europe’s sovereign debt crisis prompted investors to sell the region’s currency and bonds. Denmark has tied its currency, the krone, to the euro. The currency’s decline “will have a very positive impact on European toy manufacturers” that sell in the U.S., said Knudstorp, a father of four who builds Lego models with his kids. All of Lego’s multicolored blocks are produced in Europe and Mexico. Lego’s annual profit will get a boost of as much as 200 million kroner ($33 million) from the drop as revenue generated in the U.S. will be worth more in kroner, if currencies stay at current levels, he said. The company generates U.S. cash flow of some $400 million annually. Five Billion Hours Lego, which estimates children spend five billion hours every year playing with its multicolored bricks, sells about 160 million boxes of Lego annually. Lego’s most direct competitor in the building-block market, Montreal-based Mega Brands Inc., filed for bankruptcy protection in the U.S. in February, citing fluctuating raw material prices, negative publicity after product recalls and declining sales for toymakers. Knudstorp, a former consultant at McKinsey & Co., took over as Lego CEO at the end of 2004 when the toymaker was about to record a second consecutive annual loss for the first time. In the period from 2005 to 2009, Lego has reported a net profit every year and sales advanced 66 percent to 11.7 billion kroner over the period. Profit was 2.2 billion kroner in 2009. Lego, which started selling board games in Germany and the U.K. last year, introduced them this month to the U.S. market, where they will take on products by Mattel Inc. and Hasbro Inc., the world’s two largest toymakers. ‘Dipping Our Toes’ “We’re dipping our toes into a huge market here,” said Knudstorp, who estimates the retail market value of board games is as much as $10 billion. “We can add some innovation to this toy category.” The Danish company’s board games consist of more than 200 Lego building pieces and a suggested set-up. Players are then invited to reconstruct the board to their own taste and make their own rules as they progress in playing. Lego was founded in 1932 and sells its products in more than 130 markets. The company is owned by Kjeld Kirk Kristiansen , a grandson of its founder. He is the world’s 258th- richest man, worth about $3.5 billion, according to Forbes.com . To contact the reporter on this story: Christian Wienberg in Copenhagen at cwienberg@bloomberg.net

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Arianna Huffington: Financial Reform: A Win for Wall Street, A Cold Shoulder for Main Street

May 24, 2010

It’s mission accomplished for financial reform. Unfortunately, it’s more of a Bush 43 “mission accomplished” than an Apollo 13 “mission accomplished.” That’s because the financial reform bill passed by the Senate last week, like Bush’s ship deck ceremony, is more notable for what it has left to still be done. The Restoring American Financial Stability Act of 2010 will do no such thing. First, it doesn’t do enough to rein in Wall Street. It doesn’t end “too big to fail” banks, doesn’t create a Glass-Steagall style firewall between commercial and investment banking, keeps taxpayers on the hook for future bailouts, and leaves open dangerous loopholes in the regulation of derivatives. And we can expect more loopholes to be inserted as the bill heads to conference committee. In D.C., crafting a bill without them would be like baking bread without yeast. Though you can’t see them, they’re what makes a Washington bill rise. There’s a reason a longtime investment banker, speaking to the New York Times , said of his colleagues’ reaction to the new bill, “If you talk to anyone privately, there’s a sigh of relief.” Don’t expect a similar reaction on Main Street. Despite its name, this bill will not be restoring financial stability to the tens of millions of hardworking Americans whose lives have been turned upside down by the economic crisis. On nearly every front in the real economy — from jobs to consumer spending to foreclosures — we’ve made virtually no progress at all. While Washington and the media have been consumed with the titanic debate over this reform bill, talk of the actual suffering by actual people in the actual economy is virtually a taboo subject, at least judging by how rarely it makes the front pages or leads the TV news. But the data points are all around us. In a speech last week, Sandra Pianalto, president of the Cleveland Fed, surveyed the landscape and did not see a lot of financial stability, partly because of the huge loss of skills that is being suffered by the long-term unemployed. “Research… tells us that workers lose valuable skills during long spells of unemployment, and that some jobs simply don’t return,” she said. “Multiply this effect millions of times over, and it has the potential to dampen overall economic productivity for years.” Her conclusion: “Many people are now just aiming for ‘financial security’ as their American dream.” In other words, the core idea of the American Dream — work hard and advance up the ladder — has been gutted. Now the American Dream is to try to not fall, or do all you can to slow your rate of decline. And forget about having enough in the bank to give your kids a leg up on doing better than you’ve done. It’s hard enough just to keep a job until you retire — if that’s even going to be an option. At a D.C. jobs fair for older workers this month, more than 3,000 job seekers showed up for the event, entitled “Promoting Yourself at 50+.” Not surprising, given that the average jobless stint for those unemployed who are 55 and over was around 43 weeks, as of last month. (Quick note to struggling politicians out there: want a huge crowd at your campaign rally? Call it a “jobs fair,” and you’ll have lines of people around the corner.) Their children and grandchildren who are just graduating from college aren’t faring any better. According to Business Week , the 1.6 million about to hit the job market with their expensive degrees will be confronting a youth unemployment rate of almost 20 percent — the highest rate since the Labor Department started tracking youth unemployment in 1948. And, as Laura Bassett reported on HuffPost, many workers who have managed to hold onto their jobs are increasingly doing so only by accepting less pay and taking on a higher share of their health care costs. “My company didn’t eliminate my job, they just eliminated my salary,” wrote marketing director Mike Cheaure in an email. “I was back at work as a freelancer the next day working at 1/4 the pay and no benefits.” The experience has made him very familiar with the new reality. “For us, the American Dream is gone,” he said. “Now it’s just getting by.” Adding insult to injury, a growing number of working mothers are having to give up their jobs and rely on welfare because states are cutting back on child care services that allowed them to keep working. And kids across the country are scrambling to find something to do this summer as a number of states make deep cuts to summer school programs. And what about that recent surge in consumer spending that spawned talk of “green shoots” and “recovery?” Turns out, there was a surge in spending — but almost exclusively by the rich. As the LA Times ‘ Don Lee put it , the “little-noticed reality” behind the “encouraging numbers” was that “much of the new spending has come not from America’s broad middle class but from a small slice of affluent people at the top.” In fact, according to the Labor Department, the richest 20 percent of American households accounted for 40 percent of all spending. As the Washington Post reported last week, “lavish fringe benefits” are back at the top end of corporate America, including “country club dues, chauffeured drivers, personal financial planning services, home security systems and parking.” Of the 29 biggest public companies that took taxpayer money, around one in three decided to funnel some of it to its chief executive. As the Post ‘s Tomoeh Murakami Tse dryly put it: “Those raises contrast with the belt-tightening that many Americans have experienced during the recession.” Nell Minow, co-founder of the Corporate Library, put it more directly : “Marie Antoinette could fit into this crowd without missing a beat.” The latest news in consumer lending is similarly dismal — especially among the banks that got the most help from taxpayers. According to the Treasury Department, from February to March, the largest banks cut lending by $9 billion — yet more evidence of the schism between the two economies. Of course, the two economies aren’t entirely separate — the Wall Street economy is happy to accept massive transfusions of cash from the fading middle class. This isn’t to say that there were no provisions that would help Main Street considered as part the Restoring American Financial Stability Act of 2010. There were plenty — it’s just that almost all of them were either voted down or taken out and never even put up for a vote. Even something as simple and sensible as putting a cap on credit card interest rates. Sheldon Whitehouse’s amendment to do just that was voted down 60 to 35. So much for “financial stability.” Though I suppose it depends on whose financial stability you care about — the banks’ or the taxpayers’. Or how about payday lending — the largely unregulated advances on a paycheck that can carry rates in the triple digits? In Missouri, for example, rates can top 600 percent. Yes, you read that right. Not exactly a recipe for “financial stability.” North Carolina’s Kay Hagan offered an amendment that would have clamped down on the $40 billion industry. It was killed without a vote because of Republican objections. Objections that were, no doubt, the end product of the mother of all lobbying campaigns by every sector of the financial industry. Of course, the line between Senator, staffer and lobbyist is pretty blurry these days. A joint report released by SEIU, the Campaign for America’s Future, and the Public Accountability Initiative found that the finance industry has 70 former members of Congress and 940 former federal employees on its lobbying payroll. This includes 33 chiefs of staff, 54 staffers of the House Financial Services Committee and Senate Banking Committee (or of a current member of those committees), and 28 legislative directors. Five of Senate Banking Committee chair Chris Dodd’s former staffers are now working as banking lobbyists, as are eight former staffers for Banking Committee powerhouses Richard Shelby and Chuck Schumer. And the revolving door spins both ways. As Arthur Delaney reported on HuffPost, 18 percent of current House Financial Services committee staffers used to work on K Street. All told, the financial industry has spent nearly $600 million on lobbying since the collapse of Bear Stearns in March of 2008 — almost a million dollars a day. A lot of money, sure, but if what you care about is the financial stability of the banks, it was money well spent. Take, for instance, the Merkley-Levin amendment that would have forced big banks to get rid of their speculative proprietary trading activities, a version of the Volcker rule. And you can take it, because the Senate won’t be using it — the amendment never even made it to a vote. This wasn’t because it wouldn’t have passed. On the contrary, since debate began on this issue, anger from those mired in the real economy has reached enough lawmakers that the amendment had a real shot. Which is why, as Simon Johnson put it , “the big banks were forced into overdrive to stop it.” Another reform completely left out of the bill was any reform of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This despite the fact that in just the last quarter Freddie — one half of what the New York Times ‘ Gretchen Morgenson calls “the elephant in the bailout” — reported a loss of $6.7 billion. Serious delinquencies on Freddie’s single-family conventional loan portfolio are at 4.13 percent , up from 2.41 percent for the same period last year. And the number of foreclosed units Freddie controls stands at nearly 54,000, up from 29,145 at the end of March 2009. “I don’t understand why people are not talking about it,” says Dean Baker, of the Center for Economic and Policy Research. “It seems to me the most fundamental question is, have they on an ongoing basis been paying too much for loans even since they went into conservatorship?” And why would they do that? It’s part of what Morgenson calls a “backdoor bailout of the banks.” In other words, an under-the-radar way to continue shoveling money from struggling taxpayers over to the richest Americans. We’ve been told time and time again over the last two years that right after Washington deals with what’s on its plate, “jobs is next.” Well, it’s been “next” for quite some time now, but it never seems to come to the floor. And now that a financial reform bill has passed, the talk on the Hill is that climate control or immigration will be tackled next. Or that members will just go off for the summer and campaign, flush with all the donations many of them just pocketed from the banks in this latest effort. I often have a nightmare — a common sort — in which I’m stuck in a forest and I can’t find my way out. I have a friend whose version is that her feet are stuck to the ground and she can’t move. Not a bad description of our leaders’ approach to the massive suffering that’s going on across America. A recent study by Duha Tore Altindag and Naci H. Mocan for the National Bureau of Economic Research found that the effects of unemployment can have troubling implications for a political system. The authors studied data from 130,000 people in 69 countries. Their conclusion: “We find that personal joblessness experience translates into negative opinions about the effectiveness of democracy.” No shock there. But it should frighten anyone genuinely concerned about our stability, financial and otherwise.

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Robert Reich: Closing Tax Loopholes for Billionaires

May 23, 2010

Who could be opposed to closing a tax loophole that allows hedge-fund and private equity managers to treat their earnings as capital gains — and pay a rate of only 15 percent rather than the 35 percent applied to ordinary income? Answer: Some of the nation’s most prominent and wealthiest private asset managers, such as Paul Allen and Henry Kravis, who, along with hordes of lobbyists, are determined to keep the loophole wide open. The House has already tried three times to close it only to have the Senate cave in because of campaign donations from these and other financiers who benefit from it. But the measure will be brought up again in the next few weeks, and this time the result could be different. Few senators want to be overtly seen as favoring Wall Street. And tax revenues are needed to help pay for extensions of popular tax cuts, such as the college tax credit that reduces college costs for tens of thousands of poor and middle class families. Closing this particular loophole would net some $20 billion. It’s not as if these investment fund managers are worth a $20 billion subsidy. Nonetheless they argue that if they have to pay at the normal rate they’ll be discouraged from investing in innovative companies and start-ups. But if such investments are worthwhile they shouldn’t need to be subsidized. Besides, in the years leading up to the crash of 2008, hedge-fund and private equity fund managers weren’t exactly models of public service. Many speculated in ways that destabilized the whole financial system. Nor are these fund managers especially deserving, as compared to poor and middle-class families that need a tax break to send their kids to college. Nor are they particularly needy. Last year, the 25 most successful hedge-fund managers earned a billion dollars each. One of them earned 4 billion dollars. (Paul Allen’s personal yacht holds two luxury submarines and a helicopter. Henry Kravis is one of the wealthiest people in the world.) Several of these private investment fund managers, by the way, have taken a lead in the national drive to cut the federal budget deficit. The senior chairman and co-founder of the Blackstone Group, one of the largest private equity funds, is Peter G. Peterson, who never tires of telling the nation it faces economic ruin if deficits aren’t brought under control. Curiously, I have not heard Peterson advocate closing this tax loophole as one way to further the cause of fiscal responsibility. Closing tax loopholes for billionaires may seem like a no-brainer, especially at a time when the nation is cutting back spending on the middle class — slashing budgets that fund child care, public schools, and public universities. Tens of thousands of teachers are getting pink slips. But you can expect a huge fight. There is also a moral issue here. Call me old fashioned but I just think it’s wrong that a single hedge fund manager earns a billion dollars, when a billion dollars would pay the salaries of about 20,000 teachers. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org .

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Jennifer Openshaw: "Flexibility" is New Key to Success in New Economy

May 17, 2010

Want to get ahead? Or, rather, help your kids get ahead? It’s no longer “excel at one thing,” as Google exec Sean Harvey told a group of students at a SuperFutures “Discover Your Future” seminar over the weekend. But, rather, it’s about “doing multiple things well.” It’s exactly the conversation I had had with my husband just a couple weeks back: What does it take to succeed? Twenty years from now, when my daughter is just entering the work force, what will it be like? More importantly, what tools will she need to survive and thrive? It’s daunting when you think about the global environment, the automation of jobs, and the continual push to increase productivity. It’s the new economy in which we live. Harvey, who joined me along with radio exec Dick Ferguson, underscored his point with his own story. Used Computers “Zero” Harvey said he “used computers a grand total of zero times in high school” but says he now runs “a scary amount.” It wasn’t until his wife nudged him to do something more lucrative that he left writing travel books and moved onto writing tech manuals for ad giant DoubleClick. The firm was later bought by Google. Harvey now runs display ad businesses for the software giant. Harvey said that while he got to Google in a “not-so-obvious way,” he attributes his success to the fact that he got started early working hard at something that he was passionate about, and never stopped learning. “That got me very far in the job world, ridiculously far.” “This is an exciting time in the world,” he added. “As long as you’re excited, the work won’t be painful and opportunities will open up along the way. My career is about money, but it’s also about having fun and doing things I never thought I could do before.” Key #2: Flexibility The second key, Harvey said, is flexibility. In the “old days,” he pointed out, “it used to be one job, one skill.” “Today, companies aren’t hiring for a specific position but rather people who are smart and flexible. The way you demonstrate that is by showing you can do multiple things well.” I couldn’t have said it better. Harvey said community involvement is just one example where young people can show their flexibility and curiosity. That means start a project, be a leader, take on a task — anything (check out SuperFutures Global Leader Program helping teens turn passions into impact) “Today, it’s more about: ‘Am I the kind of person who’s flexible and can do different things?’ It’s different from the world our parents were in.” A one-time musician, Harvey said that some might not see that experience as valuable. “Being a musician shouldn’t have had any benefit to my job, but it has. People find it interesting and it impresses people — and that helps me in my job today.” Key #3 — High-end Skills Finally, Harvey pointed out that the winners in the U.S. will be those with “high-end, valuable skills.” For young people, that means thinking about what skills are missing but needed. He said computer programming is “so desperately needed in the US that if you learn how to code and learn a computer language, it will virtually be impossible not to be working.” “We are importing thousands of software engineers because our schools are not training enough of them,” he added. “It’s a key toward permanent high paid employment.” This is all so different from our parents and even our grandparents’ economy in that jobs aren’t as secure. Harvey said being in the software business is about as secure as it gets, but “you should assume it’s never secure.” Isn’t that the one big lesson from this recession? And that’s precisely why it’s all about flexibility in today’s economy. SuperFutures will hold another Discover Your Future seminar and will be adding new online programs available nationwide. To learn more, visit www.superfutures.org or get notified here. Through classes and coaching, SuperFutures help teens turn their passions into impact and, in the process, teaches them real-world skills needed to succeed in college, career and life. SuperFutures’ Jennifer Openshaw started the organization after talking to teens about the fears and stress related to transitioning to the working world and parents’ own stories of changing careers later in life because they failed to have a “SuperCoach” early on.

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Thailand Extends Deadline for Protesters to Leave Fortified Bangkok Camp

May 17, 2010

By Daniel Ten Kate and Supunnabul Suwannakij May 17 (Bloomberg) — Thailand’s government extended its deadline for protesters to leave their fortified camp in the center of Bangkok, easing fears of an imminent crackdown amid street battles that have killed at least 36 people in four days. “Some protesters received distorted information,” government spokesman Panitan Wattanayagorn said on the Thai PBS television network. “We need to communicate with them clearly. It will take time.” The government’s main focus is to convince women and children to leave the site, Panitan said. Armed demonstrators must stop clashing with troops before peace talks could begin, he said earlier. Protest leaders, whose demand for United Nations mediation was rejected by the government, said troops must withdraw to ease tensions. Thailand’s deadliest political clashes in two decades threaten to spread beyond the capital to poorer, rural regions where many of the demonstrators live. Failure to contain violence that has exposed a widening social rift may deter the foreign investment and tourism needed to underpin the country’s $260 billion economy. “Hopefully it doesn’t progress beyond the confined areas,” Richard Han , chief executive officer of Hana Microelectronics Pcl, Thailand’s biggest semiconductor packager, said by phone. “Yes, if I was a new investor, then I would clearly take this issue into account.” Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva , whose rule the protesters say lacks legitimacy, set a 3 p.m. deadline for women, children and unarmed demonstrators to evacuate the main camp. As the ultimatum passed, state-run television repeated the order, without saying what action might be taken against those who chose not to leave. SET Index Falls “We have a sincere determination to negotiate to end losses and bring the country back to peace soonest,” protest leader Nattawut Saikuar said from the main stage. The group has received “good signs” that the U.S. and United Nations “are ready to ease tensions,” he said. Thailand’s benchmark SET Index fell 2 percent , the baht dropped to a seven-week low and bond risk gained the most in more than a year. Overseas investors sold 4.22 billion baht ($130 million) more of Thai stocks than they bought today, the ninth day of net selling, according to the data on the Stock Exchange of Thailand’s website. Security forces are seeking to cut off supplies of water and food to the site to force an end to two months of rallies that have claimed 65 lives in total. Election Offer Participants, who wear red shirts to show their anti- government stance, failed to disperse even after Abhisit offered to cut his term short, prompting him to order stronger military action. Jatuporn said only King Bhumibol Adulyadej’s intervention could end the crisis. “Relying on the mercy of the King is the only hope,” he said. King Bhumibol, 82, has been hospitalized since September and hasn’t commented on the deadly skirmishes. The monarch has served as head of state for more than six decades through nine coups, including one in 2006 that ousted ex-leader Thaksin Shinawatra , whom many protesters support. Chaturon Chaisang , a former Thaksin Cabinet member who often appears on the Red Shirt stage, said peace talks have already started, with both sides anxious to reduce casualties. “They have started to talk about a political solution and how to get a cease fire,” Chaturon said in a phone interview today, adding that those efforts are made more complicated because Red Shirt leaders have little control over protesters around the edge of the camp where most clashes have occurred. Renegade Soldier Dies Major-General Khattiya Sawisdipol, an active-duty soldier supporting protesters who was shot in the head on May 13, died today in a Bangkok hospital, Vajira hospital director Chaiwan Charoenchoketawee said. The number of people wounded in clashes during the past four days climbed to 256, according to a statement on the website of Bangkok’s Emergency Medical Service. Fighting spread across the capital yesterday as protest leaders called for supporters to gather outside the main conflict zone. The violence prompted the government to extend a state of emergency to more parts of the poor northeast region where many demonstrators live, putting about a third of the country under the statute. “Stop firing. Pull back troops. Then negotiations can take place and there should be a credible mediator,” Weng Tojirakarn , another protest leader said today from the main stage. Abhisit said on May 15 that forces “cannot retreat” against an armed protest movement whose leaders were “willing to sacrifice the lives of innocent people to achieve their goals.” Women, Children Pond Chamnan, a 35-year-old farmer from the northeast, sat with her husband and three children — aged 8, 12 and 14 –under a tent near the main stage yesterday afternoon. She feared government reprisals if she left the site. “We want to go back as soldiers shoot at anyone and I fear that my kids won’t be safe,” she said as her son played with panda figurines that lay next to a quiver of fireworks. “I’m afraid the government may hurt us. I prefer the demonstration leaders to arrange transportation for us.” In a statement yesterday, Thaksin said “pictures that I have seen go beyond any nightmare. I have no choice but to state resolutely the need for all sides to step back from this terrible abyss to begin a new, genuine and sincere dialogue.” To contact the reporter on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net

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Thai Death Toll Reaches 35 as Women, Children Told to Leave Protest Zone

May 16, 2010

By Daniel Ten Kate and Supunnabul Suwannakij May 17 (Bloomberg) — Thai authorities set a mid-afternoon deadline for women, children and unarmed demonstrators to leave their Bangkok site as the group battled to prevent soldiers from sealing off the area, turning downtown areas into a war zone. Loud explosions and gunfire rocked the perimeter of the main protest site for a fifth day. At least 35 people have been killed and 244 wounded since Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva last week ordered the army to surround a business district that has been a makeshift camp for several thousand demonstrators. Thailand’s deadliest political clashes in two decades threaten to spread beyond the capital to poorer, rural areas where many of the protesters live. Failure to contain the violence might deter foreign investment and tourism to the nation’s beach resorts, undermining the $260 billion economy. “Hopefully it doesn’t progress beyond the confined areas,” Richard Han , chief executive officer of Hana Microelectronics Pcl, Thailand’s biggest semiconductor packager, said by phone. “Yes, if I was a new investor, then I would clearly take this issue into account.” Thai security forces are seeking to deprive protesters of food and water to end two months of rallies that have claimed at least 60 lives. Abhisit’s opponents failed to disperse after he offered to cut his term short, prompting stronger military action. UN Involvement Abhisit has refused to countenance a protest demand that he allow the United Nations to assist in peace talks. “There is no reason for protesters to urge the government to stop the operation,” government spokesman Panitan Wattanayagorn said yesterday. “Authorities do not threaten anyone nor use arms against innocent people as we’ve been accused.” The cost of credit-default swaps insuring Thai government debt from default jumped 20 basis points to 175 basis points as of 9:15 a.m. in Singapore, according to Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc prices. Fighting spread around the capital as protest leaders called for supporters to gather in other parts of Bangkok and outlying provinces. The escalation prompted the government to extend a state of emergency to more parts of the poor northeast region where many demonstrators live, putting about a third of the country under a state of emergency. “There will be more people joining and they will set up their own stages in five different points around Bangkok,” Arisaman Pongruangrong, one of two dozen protest leaders, said in an interview from behind the main stage. “We will stay here no matter what the government announces. This is our base.” Black Smoke Thick black smoke rose from several locations around the city as weekend gun battles raged day and night. About 100 people took shelter in the basement of the luxury Dusit Thani hotel when it came under fire, Agence France-Presse reported, citing a photographer staying at the hotel. If the army moves to disperse protesters, they will break into luxury malls and high-rise buildings housing the offices of companies such as Philip Morris International Inc. , Arisaman said. “If we have no choice, we need to break the doors in to save lives,” he said. Security forces withdrew plans for a curfew in parts of the city and asked civil society groups to assist anyone who wants to leave the protest site until 3 p.m. today. Abhisit said on May 15 that forces “cannot retreat” against an armed protest movement whose leaders were “willing to sacrifice the lives of innocent people to achieve their goals.” Women, Children at Risk Pond Chamnan, a 35-year-old farmer from the northeast, sat with her husband and three children — aged 8, 12 and 14 — under a tent near the main stage. She feared government reprisals if she left the site. “We want to go back as soldiers shoot at anyone and I fear that my kids won’t be safe,” she said as her son played with panda figurines that lay next to a quiver of fireworks. “I’m afraid the government may hurt us. I prefer the demonstration leaders to arrange transportation for us.” Other women vowed to stay on no matter what. Bangkok food vendor Juer Saengrattana said the group’s leaders routinely announced that people are free to leave. “If I have to die, I’ll die,” said Juer, 63, wearing an amulet with a picture of King Bhumibol Adulyadej ’s mother. “I won’t leave. Only the king can end this chaos.” King Bhumibol King Bhumibol, 82, has been hospitalized since September and hasn’t commented on the deadly skirmishes. The monarch has served as head of state for more than six decades through nine coups, including one in 2006 that ousted ex-leader Thaksin Shinawatra and triggered the current clashes. The latest protests began two weeks after a court seized 46.4 billion baht ($1.5 billion) from Thaksin’s family. Officials banned financial transactions of 106 companies and individuals linked to Thaksin yesterday in a bid to cut off funds for the demonstration. “The pictures that I have seen go beyond any nightmare,” Thaksin said in a statement yesterday. “I have no choice but to state resolutely the need for all sides to step back from this terrible abyss to begin a new, genuine and sincere dialogue.” Government offices will be closed today. Banks will remain open around the city and the stock exchange will end trading an hour early. All of Bangkok’s 435 schools will close. Stock Gains Thailand’s SET Index has risen 4.7 percent this year, compared with a 0.4 percent decline for the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index , as investors speculated the violence will have little long-term effect on the country’s economy. The death toll from clashes over the past three days rose to 35, according to a statement on the website of Bangkok’s Emergency Medical Service. That figure excludes a protester who died at the start of the latest military action. Abhisit withdrew an offer to hold a Nov. 14 election when protesters failed to disperse by a May 12 deadline. The group attached new conditions to his offer, including criminal charges against Deputy Prime Minister Suthep Thaugsuban . To contact the reporter on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net

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Thailand Tells Women, Children to Leave Protest Site With Dead Toll at 35

May 16, 2010

By Daniel Ten Kate and Supunnabul Suwannakij May 17 (Bloomberg) — Thai authorities set a deadline for women, children and other unarmed protesters to leave their Bangkok site as the group battled to prevent soldiers from sealing off the area, turning downtown Bangkok into a war zone. Loud explosions and gunfire rocked the outskirts of the main demonstration zone for a fifth day. At least 30 people have been killed and more than 215 wounded since Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva ordered the army to surround a business district as large as New York’s Central Park on May 13. “There is no reason for protesters to urge the government to stop the operation,” government spokesman Panitan Wattanayagorn told reporters yesterday. “Authorities do not threaten anyone nor use arms against innocent people as we’ve been accused.” Thai security forces are seeking to deprive protesters of food and water to end two months of rallies that have spurred the country’s worst political violence in 18 years, claiming at least 59 lives. Abhisit’s opponents failed to disperse after he offered to cut his term short, prompting the military action. Fighting spread around the capital as protest leaders called for supporters to gather in other parts of Bangkok and provincial areas. The escalation prompted the government to extend a state of emergency to more parts of the poor northeast region where many demonstrators live, putting about a third of the country in a state of emergency. Gun Battles “There will be more people joining and they will set up their own stages in five different points around Bangkok,” Arisaman Pongruangrong, one of two dozen protest leaders, said in an interview from behind the main stage. “We will stay here no matter what the government announces. This is our base.” Thick black smoke rose from several locations around the city as gun battles raged day and night. About 100 people took shelter in the basement of the luxury Dusit Thani hotel when it came under fire, Agence France-Presse reported, citing a photographer staying at the hotel. If the army moves to disperse protesters, they will break into luxury malls and high-rise buildings housing the offices of companies such as Philip Morris International Inc. , Arisaman said. “If we have no choice, we need to break the doors in to save lives,” he said. Security forces withdrew plans for a curfew in parts of the city and asked civil society groups to assist anyone who wants to leave the protest site until 3 p.m. today. Abhisit said on May 15 that forces “cannot retreat” against an armed protest movement and its leaders were “willing to sacrifice the lives of innocent people to achieve their goals.” Women, Children at Risk Pond Chamnan, a 35-year-old farmer from the northeast, sat with her husband and three children — aged 8, 12 and 14 — under a tent near the main stage. She feared government reprisals if she left the site. “We want to go back as soldiers shoot at anyone and I fear that my kids won’t be safe,” she said as her son played with panda figurines that lay next to a quiver of fireworks. “I’m afraid the government may hurt us. I prefer the demonstration leaders to arrange transportation for us.” Other women vowed to stay on no matter what. Bangkok food vendor Juer Saengrattana said the group’s leaders routinely announced that people are free to leave. “If I have to die, I’ll die,” said Juer, 63, wearing an amulet with a picture of King Bhumibol Adulyadej’s mother. “I won’t leave. Only the king can end this chaos.” King Bhumibol, 82, has been hospitalized since September and hasn’t commented on the deadly skirmishes. The monarch has served as head of state for more than six decades through nine coups, including one in 2006 that ousted ex-leader Thaksin Shinawatra and triggered the current clashes. Thaksin Calls for Cease Fire The latest protests began two weeks after a court seized 46.4 billion baht ($1.5 billion) from Thaksin’s family. Officials banned financial transactions of 106 companies and individuals linked to Thaksin yesterday in a bid to dry up funds for the demonstration. “The pictures that I have seen go beyond any nightmare,” Thaksin said in a statement yesterday. “I have no choice but to state resolutely the need for all sides to step back from this terrible abyss to begin a new, genuine and sincere dialogue.” The government rejected protester pleas for talks brokered by the United Nations. “We can deal with this situation ourselves,” Panitan said. Government offices will be closed through tomorrow. Banks will remain open around the city and the stock exchange will end trading an hour earlier than normal. All of Bangkok’s 435 schools will close. Death Toll Rises Thailand’s SET Index has risen 4.7 percent this year, compared with a 0.4 percent decline for the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index , as investors speculated the violence will have little long-term effect on the country’s economy. Thai stocks are the third-cheapest in Asia after South Korea and Pakistan, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The death toll from clashes over the past three days rose to 29, according to a statement on the website of Bangkok’s Emergency Medical Service. One other protester died on May 12. Abhisit withdrew an offer to hold a Nov. 14 election when protesters failed to disperse by a May 12 deadline. The group attached new conditions to his offer, including criminal charges against Deputy Prime Minister Suthep Thaugsuban . To contact the reporter on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net

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Boomer Parents Optimistic About Kids’ Prospects, Despite Continued Financial Dependence

April 22, 2010

Baby Boomer parents may have succumbed to a bout of cognitive dissonance. According to a new Charles Schwab survey , they overwhelmingly expect their young adult children to be at least as financially successful as they are, but don’t see them becoming financially independent in the near future. About 85 percent of all Boomer parents, with at least one child between the ages of 23 and 28, expect their kids to be at least as financially successful as they are. Yet, 41 percent of all Boomer parents subsidize their adult children in some fashion, and 35 percent don’t expect their children to achieve financial autonomy before the age of 30. “There’s a disconnect between reality and parents’ perceptions,” Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, Senior VP of Schwab Community Services, told HuffPost. “Kids are kids longer these days.” Unlike today’s Millennials, 86 percent of all Boomer parents said they were entirely independent by the age of 25. And nearly 4 of every 10 Boomer parents admit their adult children are more dependent on them than they were on their own parents. College debt (32 percent) and unemployment (31 percent) were the most widely cited factors underlying the trend. This prolonged period of financial gestation may take its toll on Boomer parents, 85 percent of whom are concerned about their financial security. 29 percent say they may never be able to retire and 22 percent fear they may outlive their retirement money. Fortunately, only 6 percent of all Boomer parents support both an ageing parent and a young adult child, mitigating what’s often called the “sandwich” phenomenon. The Charles Schwab “2010 Families and Money Survey”, released Wednesday, was conducted with 1,000 adults with at least one child between the ages of 23 and 28 and at least one living parent.

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Raj Patel: Down on the Clown

April 9, 2010

It was a seminal moment. For the first time, breaking all convention, Ronald turned to the TV cameras and addressed himself to his viewers directly. It had never been done before, and it set off a revolution the consequences of which we still struggle to fight. When Ronald Reagan ended his presidential debate with Jimmy Carter in 1979 with “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”, his media savvy changed mass politics forever. But long before that, another Ronald messed with mass communications no less indelibly, paving the way for today’s politicians and pundits. Appropriately, the first Ronald was a clown. In 1963, sixteen years before Reagan’s fateful piece to camera, Ronald McDonald broke every rule in advertising when he turned to the lens and stunned children by speaking to them directly, saying: “Here I am kids. Hey, isn’t watching TV fun? Especially when you got delicious McDonald’s hamburgers. I know we’re going to be friends too cause I like to do everything boys and girls like to do. Especially when it comes to eating those delicious McDonald’s hamburgers.” It’s easy both to wince at how crass this sounds, and to overlook its audacity. With entire TV channels premised on direct marketing to children, it seems impossible that there might have been a time where kids were considered anything other than shorter, louder, more pestering versions of adult consumers. But it wasn’t always thus. It took a canny cabal of admen to tap the pockets of a newly affluent generation of youngsters. They wanted to redefine the frontiers of what advertising in television age could be. And they succeeded. Today, the McDonald’s corporation boasts that their frontman is more recognizable than Santa Claus. He’s the champion of a $32 billion brand. With a wink and a smile, Ronald has charged into neighbourhoods around and inside schools, targeting children with a range of unhealthy food, plumbing every depth to keep his parent company’s arches golden and bright in the minds of impressionable young eaters. McDonald’s and other fast food corporations shelter behind the fact that their advertising is ‘free speech,’ as protected by the First Amendment and that, in any case, the corporations clearly declare their commercial intentions. So, for instance, when children go to Ronald.com to play McD-themed games they’ll see in small white letters on a pale background at the top right the words “Hey kids.This is advertising!” This isn’t terribly helpful. Although children may know that something is advertising, they are unlikely to understand what, exactly that means. Michele Simon, a lawyer and author of Appetite for Profit , tells it straight: “McDonald’s knows that vulnerable children are the perfect advertising audience, since they don’t even know they’re being marketed to.” She suspects that for the group brave enough, and with deep enough pockets, there’s a huge and successful lawsuit to be brought against McDonald’s (and against all advertising against children) for deceptive practices. She’s backed up by the medical profession: the American Academy of Pediatrics says that “advertising directed toward children is inherently deceptive and exploits children under eight years of age.” In other words, the very idea of advertising to children is a fraud. Children are simply unable to generate and entertain rational opinions about goods and services, which cuts away the argument that advertising is just a more entertaining version of truth-telling. When it comes to children, advertising is far closer to brainwashing. Parents are being hoodwinked too. One of the reasons that kids are permitted by pestered parents to enter a McDonald’s is the possibility that they might choose a healthy meal when they’re there. As Wendi Gosliner, a Researcher at the Center for Weight and Health at UC Berkeley observes, “not one of the 24 Happy Meal combinations offered contains the foods and nutrients children need to meet the Dietary Guidelines. Now, they’re promoting processed fresh apples dipped in caramel sauce and sweetened milk as ‘healthy’ choices. Well, these meals and these choices are hurting our children’s health.” There’s a bigger picture story here too. Ronald isn’t just a clown. He’s not just a pioneer in the marketing of food to children: he’s also an architect. Without him, the food system we have today would look very different. Here and around the world, the way food is grown, subsidized, processed and eaten has been fashioned by the needs of the McDonald’s corporation. More sales for the clown mean bigger returns for Cargill and Tyson’s factory farms, Archer Daniels Midland’s high fructose corn syrup processing plants, and Monsanto’s pesticide production facilities. And it’s our tax dollars that go into everything from the cheap commodities that they depend on, to the small business loans and tax credits that allow fast food franchises to breed in and around our schools. For these subsidies, and for the lax regulations around health and advertising to children, the fast food industry has spent millions in lobbying fees, and aggressively courted political favour. Ronald McDonald may have a big smile, but his shoes are steel-tipped. Ultimately, McDonald’s cheap food is cheat food. Ronald is more of a Hamburgler, dipping into our pockets with our children’s fingers, and leaving us with bills for long afterward. We pay for it all in the end. The cost of diabetes in the US alone is $700 for every man, woman and child. For people of colour, diet related disease is incredibly important – one in two children of colour born in 2000 will develop diabetes. There are alternatives, of course. The sustainable agriculture that thrives in farmers markets and cooperatives don’t get the billions in subsidies that industrial agriculture does. Yet from the moment they are exposed to TV, our children are subject to the manipulations of Ronald and his friends. Corporations spend $17 billion a year turning children into consumers. Globally, for every dollar spent promoting food that’s good for you, $500 is spent promoting junk. For a parent wanting their kids to eat well, those are tough odds. Especially for those parents on restricted income. Times are changing, though. Despite the millions that McDonald’s spends in advertising, and despite most people having a favourable impression of Ronald as a consequence, a new survey shows that most parents who have kids under 18 want Ronald to go. The Corporate Accountability International , an organisation which I advise, has released a terrific report entitled Clowning with Kid’s Health : The Case for Ronald McDonald’s Retirement (PDF), in which the survey data on Ronald is presented, and some tight legal and epidemiological arguments against him are made. This isn’t some curmudgeonly attack on fun. For those who want to watch clowns, there’ll always be circuses and cable news. And it’s certainly the case that there are bigger questions here. Why is it that junk food is cheaper than healthy food? Why is there persistent poverty driving people into the arms of the junk food industry. Why isn’t there real choice in the US diet? But as a matter of public health, as a way to give parents the chance to get their children eating well, as a way of making it possible to have fun with food without spending scarce cash on unhealthy food, the clown’s gotta go. There is a precedent: Joe Camel , once more widely recognized than Mickey Mouse, is now a symbol of shame for the cigarette industry. Sure, cigarettes are themselves bad, but worse was the conscious attempt by the industry behind them to hook kids on a lifetime of ill health. We’re at a similar moment in the transformation of our food system. There’s lots to do to transform how we eat, but along the way we all need to recognize that parents need the space to be able to feed their kids well, to give the next generation the freedom to choose to eat healthily, and to build a more sustainable food system. As part of that, and I’m talking to you here, it’s time to retire Ronald .

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Jim Randel: Understanding the Economic Crisis in 800 Words

March 31, 2010

If you want to understand the economic crisis, there are several hundred 250-page books for you to read. If, on the other hand, you want a one-page explanation, this is it. Beginning in the 1990′s, the U.S. became infatuated with homes as investments. The government encouraged home ownership. Private entities — Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — were pushed to provide liquidity to the residential mortgage market. In return, the government provided an implicit backing (now $400 billion explicit) for Fannie and Freddie’s borrowings. All the smart journalists and financial writers advised Americans to drop everything they were doing and buy a house. Really smart people — let alone ordinary Joe’s — began to believe that housing prices were like flubber — working against gravity. A commodity that had basically bounced along at a point or two over inflation for 50 years began to appreciate at 10% per year or more. With +/- 90% financing, the result was a doubling of equity every year. With Americans wanting more and bigger houses, banks and non-banks found ways to lend them money. Lender creativity in making loans to people who could never afford them was exceeded only by lender greed. Loan officers and mortgage brokers were incented to just move money out the door. Lenders had little reason to worry about loan repayment. Loans were sold to investment bankers. The lenders made a profit on these sales and had no ongoing risk of repayment. Then the lender went back to doing what it did well… making more ridiculous loans. Unfortunately, many banks got caught holding mortgage loans or securities before they could be foisted on others (think Citibank). The investment bankers bundled these loans into mortgage securities (a financial instrument divided into risk levels) and sold them off into the investment community, making money in the process of course. However, these sales would not have been possible without the compliance of the ratings agencies who blessed these toxic packages with AAA ratings, and oh yes, collected their fees from the investment banks selling the mortgage securities. All the while, the government slept well believing that housing prices never fall and as long as prices rise, people can refinance if they get into trouble. As a result, no one in Washington bothered to investigate the kind of loans people were receiving or, the awful processes by which these loans were being underwritten and marketed. The proverbial poopy hit the fan when housing prices started to flatten and refinancings became increasingly difficult. Even crazy lenders could not loan more than houses were worth and when prices flattened, there was no new equity to lend against. As a result, people actually had to pay (instead of repay) their mortgages. And the trouble began. As people started to default on their mortgages (2nd half of 2006), mortgage securities dropped in value and the entire system of credit default swaps was engaged. What’s a credit default swap? It’s insurance against a default. Some smart people not only bought these swaps to insure against their investment in mortgage securities, they also bought them naked. The investors were clothed, it’s just that the swaps were purchased without any corresponding investment in a mortgage security. In other words, the swaps were nothing more than a high-stakes gamble that the U.S. housing market would go bust. And who in the world was selling these credit default swaps? Can you spell A.I.G.? I hope so because you own about $200 billion worth of it. And by 2007 – 2008 the whole system starts to fail. Like the body shutting down after a long night of too much alcohol. Banks and investment banks realize they are holding lots of toxic (worthless?) debt instruments, and so they hang on to their capital for dear life. They stop trusting each other and the U.S. economy starts to freeze up. Finally, an alarm clock goes off in Washington. It decides to help Bear Stearns survive but not Lehman Brothers. It decides to borrow $700 billion from U.S. children and their children (our kids and grandkids) to help the banking world survive. I for one felt it was only right to ask my granddaughter about this, and she confirmed that she wanted to help out Goldman Sachs. In short, the economic crisis was caused by DNA – the genetic code of human beings prodding them toward pleasure (easy money) and away from pain (clear-headed analysis, fiscal discipline, patience). Let’s never expect human beings to act any differently. Let’s just tell this tale to our kids and grandkids so that they will be better able to see the train coming at them the next time around. Jim Randel is the founder of The Skinny On™ book series. www.theskinnyon.com.

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Nick Jefferson: Video Killed The Boardroom Star?

March 25, 2010

Fresh from watching yet another CEO stumble his way through a piece to camera on his company’s website, I do wonder whether some corporations are giving sufficient thought to the YouTube generation. Video is everywhere; it’s inescapable. We’re all watching so much more of it than we used to: on our laptops, our iPhones, my kids even watch DVDs in the car — spoiled little brats. So on one level it’s very positive to see corporations embracing the moving image on their sites. Get it right and suddenly this year’s results are brought to life in an entirely different way; employees who might never have met anyone from senior management are suddenly mesmerized by their charisma, and even bad news can be conveyed with nuanced body language and tone of voice that by definition the written word can never match. But getting it wrong is all too easy. A stilted, ‘I-am-reading-this-because-my-comms-director-has-told-me-to’ performance is actively counter-productive. And those businesses who are not prepared to invest either in video-savvy CEOs or Chairmen, or provide media-training to their non-savvy counterparts, might as well as not bother with video. Like it or not, we now live in a media age. Those who are not polished in front of the camera stick out like a sore thumb. And their embarrassing appearances say a lot about the businesses they represent. As with anything in life, if you’re going to do it, do it well. Be excellent. Otherwise, leave well alone. Because if a picture paints a thousand words, a video must speak a million.

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Wells Fargo Card Executive Stung by Fraud Finds Solution With Visa’s Help

March 23, 2010

By Peter Eichenbaum March 23 (Bloomberg) — Wells Fargo & Co. executive Kevin Rhein learned about credit-card fraud firsthand while walking on a treadmill at home in Minneapolis: An alert on his Blackberry showed his card was used to buy a $1,500 laptop in Las Vegas. The warning, sent last year during a test of a service developed by Visa Inc. , thwarted subsequent theft attempts and convinced Rhein that he had found a “slick” new weapon to combat payment-card fraud, which cost banks, merchants and U.S. consumers more than $22.4 billion last year. Wells Fargo announced today that Rapid Alerts are available free for all cardholders. “If I didn’t have that alert, they would have continued on their merry way charging until something got triggered in our fraud warnings,” said Rhein, group executive vice president of card services and consumer lending. “What we picked up here was the value of more immediate information to perhaps shut down fraud that much faster.” Wells Fargo’s product launch, the first commercial rollout of Visa’s platform, will allow cardholders to request alerts sent by e-mail or text message. American Express Co. and MasterCard Inc. offer similar alerts that help control identity fraud, a broader crime category that includes misuse of payment cards, according to James Van Dyke, president and founder of Javelin Strategy & Research, based in Pleasanton, California. The total cost of payment-card fraud from established accounts remained “relatively flat” at $22.4 billion last year, compared with $22 billion in 2008, Van Dyke said. That figure excludes frauds in which thieves set up new accounts. While the number of victims climbed to 2.8 percent of all U.S. adults, from 2.5 percent, the average out-of-pocket cost per person fell 40 percent to $329, he said. Rapid Alerts Wells Fargo’s Rapid Alerts include the amount, time and date of a transaction, the merchant’s name and location, and currency conversion data, Visa and Wells Fargo, both based in San Francisco, said in a statement. Data security is critical for networks including Visa, which processed $2.79 trillion in payments volume last year, deriving almost half of its revenue from service fees charged to merchant banks and card issuers. “Fraudsters and thieves are getting smarter,” Visa Chief Executive Officer Joseph Saunders told investors and analysts at a March 11 conference. “Now more than ever we need to stay one step ahead of the criminals.” Hand-held “skimmers” make it easy to steal customer data embedded in the magnetic stripe on the back of a credit card, said Brian Murphy, assistant special agent in charge of the U.S. Secret Service’s criminal investigative division. Shopping Crews The unit opened 1,263 access-device fraud investigations in the year ended Sept. 30, a 26 percent increase compared with the previous 12-month period, according to William Noonan, assistant to the special agent in charge. The agency also logged 2,099 arrests in fiscal 2009, a 14 percent rise. Some criminals sell the information, while others use it to make counterfeit cards that are given to members of shopping crews who travel across the country buying “high-end” goods that are later fenced, sometimes over the Internet, Murphy said. In Rhein’s case, the laptop purchase came after smaller transactions that didn’t trigger an alert. That’s because Rhein, whose spouse and children are authorized users on his account, had customized the alerts tool to notify him of card-present purchases exceeding $1,000. “I just didn’t want to have my phone going off every time my wife or one of the kids used the credit card,” Rhein said in an interview. “Anybody getting this service might want to start it at a very low level and see if the interruption aspect of it is worth it.” To contact the reporter on this story: Peter Eichenbaum in New York at peichenbaum@bloomberg.net .

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