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(MENAFN) India’s inflation marked the lowest pace in two years in December, giving room for the central bank to keep interest rates on hold for a second month, Bloomberg reported. The benchmark …

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India’s inflation eases to 7.47% in December

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The Depressing State of Housing

by on May 31, 2011

Five years ago, practically anyone could get a mortgage and no one believed real estate prices would ever stop rising. Now, hardly anyone can get a mortgage and no one knows when home prices will stop falling. It’s gotten so bad that for many young couples a key element of the American dream — buying a home of their own — has been put on hold in favor of renting. It just makes more financial sense right now. “Not too long ago rent used to be a four letter word,” said Mike Larsen, a real estate analyst with Weiss Research.

Fewer Americans Falling Behind On Their Credit Cards

May 24, 2011

NEW YORK — Late payments on credit cards fell to their lowest level in 15 years during the first three months of 2011, TransUnion said Tuesday. Nationwide, the rate of payments 90 days or more past due on bank-issued cards dropped to 0.74 percent in the first quarter, down from 1.11 percent a year ago. The delinquency rate is the lowest level since the third quarter of 1996, TransUnion said. It peaked in the first quarter of 2009 at 1.32 percent. Improved card payment habits come despite stubbornly high unemployment, noted Ezra Becker, vice president of research and consulting in TransUnion’s financial services business unit. Becker said research shows that cards play such an important role in money management during periods of unemployment that users are making an effort to prioritize their payments. One of the main reasons for the gains is that card users continue to pay down their credit card balances. The average credit card debt per borrower dropped to $4,679 for the quarter, down 9 percent from $5,165 a year ago. TransUnion said balances haven’t been this low since the third quarter of 2000. There are other factors contributing to the shift. One is that consumers are more aware of the dangers and costs of carrying large balances. Even though the widespread fear of sudden unemployment has lessened, the shock of the recession led many to take a new approach to using credit. In addition, Moody’s estimates banks wrote off about $74.5 billion in uncollectible credit card debt in the last few years. That fact, combined with strict regulations on card policies that took effect last year, has made them more cautious about who gets cards, and how large credit limits are. “It’s not wide open floodgates,” Becker said, even though banks are starting to issue more cards. TransUnion also noted that the recovery is not uniform across the country. There are 18 states that have delinquency rates higher than the national average, including Nevada, which leads the nation with a 1.16 delinquency rate. Nevada was among the hardest-hit states in the housing foreclosure crisis, and has an unemployment rate of 12.5 percent, well ahead of the 9 percent national rate. The forecast is for delinquency rates to edge down for the rest of the year, ending 2011 at around 0.7 percent. While there is some data showing an increase in credit card use, TransUnion does not expect balances to increase.

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GM’s U.S. Sales Rise Despite Production Concerns

May 3, 2011

DETROIT (Bernie Woodall and Ben Klayman) – General Motors Co’s U.S. sales rose 26 percent in April, a sign that the automaker has not been greatly affected by supply disruptions from Japan after the March 11 earthquake. Auto sales are an early indicator each month of U.S. consumer demand, and GM, as the biggest U.S. seller of autos and the first to report April sales on Tuesday, indicated that industry sales will be strong. A Thomson Reuters poll of 40 economists and analysts had predicted a gain of 16 percent over last year. GM said that its retail sales were up 25 percent, driven by higher sales for its fuel-efficient Chevrolet compact cars and compact crossovers: the Cruze, Equinox and Terrain. The Cruze, the compact car that GM introduced last year, is now the second-biggest selling vehicle in the automaker’s lineup, behind only its Silverado pickup truck. Cruze sales so far this year are about triple the sales of the car it replaced, the compact Cobalt. “Consumers are continuing to rethink their vehicle choice,” said Don Johnson, GM vice president for U.S. sales. Ford Motor Co sales analyst George Pipas said this week that Ford is also showing a major shift in consumer taste toward smaller and more fuel-efficient cars as gasoline prices rise. U.S. retail gasoline prices rose 8 cents in the past week to $3.96 per gallon and are now $1.07 higher than a year ago, according to government figures released on Monday. Pipas said the he believes that high gasoline prices are convincing many consumers to “pull the trigger” on a new vehicle purchase. “I believe there is a call to action,” Pipas said of consumer purchases this spring. “Summer is the driving season, and I’m going to pull the trigger,” he said of consumers. Sales for the other automakers in the U.S. market will be issued later on Tuesday. On Monday in Japan, new-vehicle sales in April halved, sinking to the lowest monthly tally on record, as Japanese automakers felt the full brunt of the March earthquake. Also on Monday, French car sales fell 1.2 percent, reflecting the end of a scrappage scheme. In Italy, they fell to the lowest level in 15 years. Last month, Ford outsold GM for only the second time in 13 years. Ford and other automakers will report U.S. sales later on Tuesday. The world’s top automaker by sales, Toyota Motor Corp, is expected to show weaker sales than its U.S. counterparts, due to production and inventory problems, analysts said. GM shares were up 2.4 percent at $32.94 on the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday morning. (Additional reporting by Deepa Seetharaman, editing by Matthew Lewis) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Dollar falls to the lowest level in 15 months against the euro

April 14, 2011

Dollar falls to the lowest level in 15 months against the euro

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Nonperforming CRE loans weighed heavily on March bank failures …

April 6, 2011

But within those failed institutions, commercial real estate loans represent 55% of the nonperforming mortgages, analytics firm Trepp said Wednesday. The pace of bank failures is slowing, moving to the lowest level on …

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New Home Sales Plunge To Record Low In February

March 23, 2011

WASHINGTON — Sales of new homes plunged in February to the slowest pace on records dating back nearly half a century, a dismal sign for an already-weak housing market. New-home sales fell 16.9 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 250,000 homes, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. It’s the third straight monthly decline and far below the 700,000-a-year pace that economists view as healthy. New-home sales now account for just 5 percent of total home sales so far this year. They typically represent closer to 15 percent in healthier housing markets. There were just 186,000 new homes available for sale in February, the lowest inventory in more than four decades. The median price of a new home dropped nearly 14 percent to $202,100, the lowest since December 2003. The median is now 30 percent higher than the median price of resold homes – twice the typical markup. In response, homebuilders are cutting their selling prices and building more inexpensive homes, pushing down sales prices. They are struggling to compete with a wave of foreclosures, which has lowered the price of previously occupied homes. High unemployment, tight credit and uncertainty over prices have also kept many potential buyers from making purchases. “Falling housing prices of existing homes are robbing demand for new houses and until that changes, the housing market will be in trouble,” said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an analyst at BNP Paribas. Last year was the fifth straight year of declines for new-home sales after they reached record highs during the housing boom. Economists say it could take years before sales return to a healthy pace. Poor sales of new homes mean fewer jobs in the construction industry, which normally powers economic recoveries. Each new home creates an average of three jobs for a year and $90,000 in taxes, according to the National Association of Home Builders. Many builders are waiting for new-home sales to pick up and for the glut of foreclosures to be reduced. But with 3 million foreclosures forecast this year nationwide, a turnaround isn’t expected for at least three years. “We fully expect further price declines in order to help clear inventory from the market although this problem is more acute in the existing home market than the new home market,” said Dan Greenhaus, chief economic strategist for Miller Tabak + Co. Homebuilders have taken notice. Residential construction has all but halted. Builders broke ground last month on the fewest homes in nearly two years. And building permits, a gauge of future construction, sank to their lowest in more than 50 years. By contrast, sales of previously occupied homes have fallen by a more modest 3 percent in the past year. Prices have dropped more than 5 percent. In February, the median price for a resale was $156,100, according to the National Association of Realtors. New-home sales fell to record lows last month in almost every region of the country. Sales dropped 57.1 percent in the Northeast, 27.5 percent in the Midwest, 14.7 percent in the West and 6.3 percent in the South. Those are record lows in each region except the West, which recorded its lowest sales pace in October. Harsh winter weather that dumped record amounts of snowfall over much of the Northeast and Midwest, along with rare snowstorms in Texas, had an impact on February sales. Given the pace of new-home sales, it would take nearly 9 months to clear them off the market. Economists say a six-month supply of homes is healthy.

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Buying A New Home Makes Less Sense After Foreclosure Crisis

March 23, 2011

WASHINGTON — A new home, the dream of many would-be buyers, makes less and less financial sense in many places. A wave of foreclosures has driven down the cost of previously occupied homes and made them even more of a comparative bargain. By contrast, new homes have become more expensive. The median price of a new home in the United States is now 48 percent higher than that of a home being resold, more than three times the gap in a healthy housing market. Such a disparity can be a drag on the economy. New homes represent a small fraction of sales, but they cause economic ripples, bringing business to construction and other industries. Sluggish new-home sales deprive the economy of strength. “A lot of people are saying, ‘If I can get a great deal on a home already on the market, why go through the headaches of getting a new home?’” says Mark Vitner, a senior economist with Wells Fargo. “There’s a relatively small group of people who have the credit, have the down payment and are secure in their jobs that can go out and buy new.” The gap is widening because prices of previously occupied homes are falling fast, pulled down by waves of foreclosures and short sales. A short sale occurs when a lender lets a homeowner sell for less than is owed on the mortgage. New homes aren’t directly affected by such sales. The median price of a new home – the price at which half the homes sell for more and half sell for less – has risen almost 6 percent in the past year to $230,600, even though last year was the worst for sales in nearly a half-century. Slowed by those higher prices, new-home sales have plummeted over the past year to the lowest level since records began being kept in 1963. The government provides fresh data on new-home sales Wednesday. By contrast, sales of previously occupied homes have fallen almost 3 percent in the past year. Prices have dropped more than 5 percent. In February, the median price for a resale was $156,100, according to the National Association of Realtors. That adds up to a price difference of $74,500, or 48 percent, the highest markup in at least a decade. In healthier markets, a new home typically runs about 15 percent more, according to government data. Home prices and sales still vary sharply among metro areas. Cities with more foreclosures tend to have more resale homes that have languished on the market and are priced at a bargain. That makes new homes in those areas comparatively expensive. In Atlanta, for instance, where foreclosures accounted for one in every 23 homes sold last year, the median price of a previously occupied single-family home was $109,900, about 12 percent lower than a year ago, according to the Georgia data firm Smart Numbers. The median price of a new home was more than twice that. “That’s as much of a difference as we’ve ever seen,” said Steve Palm, president of Smart Numbers. “New homes can’t compete, and that means jobs.” An average of three jobs and $90,000 in taxes are created for each home built, according to the National Association of Home Builders. In some areas, older homes were more expensive before the housing market bust. That was especially true in urban neighborhoods with little or no room left to build on. But now, buyers get their pick even in some of the trendiest places. That’s what Robert Rost is finding in central Phoenix. Rost doesn’t want to commute far to his job. He’s been looking for a home for about five months but can’t find new properties in the neighborhoods where he wants to live. “I don’t want to commute 45 minutes to an hour a day one-way,” the 38-year-old computer engineer says. Homebuilders have taken notice. Residential construction has all but come to a halt. Builders broke ground last month on the fewest homes in nearly two years. And building permits, a gauge of future construction, sank to their lowest in more than 50 years. Many builders are waiting for new-home sales to pick up and for the glut of foreclosures and other distressed properties to be reduced. But with 3 million foreclosures forecast this year nationwide, a turnaround isn’t expected for at least three years. Don Eyler, who has owned E and R Construction in Terre Haute, Ind., for three decades, blames the banks. He says people are still interested in having a custom-built home but can’t finance the purchase. Tighter credit has made it harder to get larger loans. Eyler typically built eight homes a year before the housing boom and bust. Now, he’s averaging just about five. And he’s making less profit on each. “We hope we can stay in business until it gets better, but the turning point is this year,” Eyler says. “If it doesn’t change, we’ll have to do something different.” Contributing to higher new-home prices is the rising cost of building materials. Fewer new homes sold means fewer jobs added to an economy struggling with 8.9 percent unemployment. About 2.2 million overall construction jobs have disappeared since the housing boom went bust. That’s nearly a third of the people the industry employed in January 2007. Workers in residential construction have fared even worse than other construction employees. Homebuilders cut nearly 1.3 million jobs in that time, or 39 percent of total payrolls. Besides generating jobs in construction and other fields, new-home purchases tend to help the economy because buyers are more likely to buy new furniture, appliances and other amenities. There’s also the psychological factor. In good times, most homes rise in value. But new homes historically have risen faster – by an additional 1.5 percent a year, according to Realtors and census data. When homes appreciate in value, people feel they have more money. So they spend more. “When you have more net worth, especially in your home, you feel richer,” says Chris G. Christopher Jr., senior principal economist at IHS Global Insight. ___ AP Business Writers Christopher S. Rugaber in Washington and Alex Veiga in Los Angeles contributed to this report.

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U.S. Housing Market Data Disappoints; Housing Starts to Lowest Since April 2009

March 16, 2011

U.S. Housing Market Data Disappoints; Housing Starts to Lowest Since April 2009

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Video: Gross Says Inflation Matters More Than Bernanke Suggests

March 4, 2011

March 4 (Bloomberg) — Bill Gross, manager of the world’s largest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co., talks about U.S. inflation and labor market outlook. U.S. employers added 192,000 workers in February, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 8.9 percent, the lowest level since April 2009, Labor Department figures showed. Gross speaks with Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt on Bloomberg Radio’s “Surveillance.” (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Payrolls Rose 192,000; Jobless Rate at 8.9% in February

March 4, 2011

March 4 (Bloomberg) — U.S. employers added 192,000 workers in February, amid an improving economy and more seasonable weather, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 8.9 percent, the lowest level since April 2009. The gain in payrolls followed a 63,000 increase in January and compared with the 196,000 median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. Bloomberg’s Lizzie O’Leary reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Payrolls Rose 192,000; Jobless Rate at 8.9% in February

March 4, 2011

March 4 (Bloomberg) — U.S. employers added 192,000 workers in February, amid an improving economy and more seasonable weather, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 8.9 percent, the lowest level since April 2009. The gain in payrolls followed a 63,000 increase in January and compared with the 196,000 median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. Bloomberg’s Lizzie O’Leary reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Japanese Yen and the greenback at the lowest level this week

February 18, 2011

Japanese Yen and the greenback at the lowest level this week

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Video: David Semmens `Encouraged’ by Rise in Manufacturing Jobs

February 5, 2011

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — David Semmens, economist at Standard Chartered Bank, and Jeanne Branthover, manager director at Boyden Global Executive Search Ltd., talk about today’s jobs report. The U.S. jobless rate unexpectedly fell in January to the lowest level in 21 months, while payroll growth was depressed by winter storms. They speak with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Herrmann Sees `Decent Gains’ in U.S. Jobs by Second Half

February 4, 2011

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — John Herrmann, senior fixed-income strategist at State Street Global Markets, talks about today’s U.S. employment report and the outlook for the labor market. The U.S. jobless rate unexpectedly fell in January to the lowest level in 21 months, while payroll growth was depressed by winter storms. Herrmann speaks with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Clarida Says U.S. Growth Will Slow to 2% in Second Half

February 4, 2011

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — Richard Clarida, global strategic advisor at Pacific Investment Management Co., and Tom Porcelli, a senior economist at RBC Capital Markets Corp., talk about the outlook for U.S. economy. Clarida and Porcelli also discuss the U.S. labor market. The jobless rate unexpectedly fell in January to the lowest level in 21 months, while payroll growth was depressed by winter storms. Clarida and Porcelli speak with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Baily Calls U.S. January Jobs Report `Bit Disappointing’

February 4, 2011

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — Martin Baily, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, discusses the U.S. January jobs report and the outlook for the economy. The U.S. jobless rate unexpectedly fell in January to 9 percent, the lowest level since April 2009, while payrolls rose by 36,000 workers, less than forecast, the Labor Department said today in Washington. Baily speaks from Washington with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Brown Says Job Growth May Be `Above Trend’ This Spring

February 4, 2011

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc., and Ralph Schlosstein, chief executive officer of Evercore Partners Inc., discuss the U.S. January employment report released today. The jobless rate unexpectedly fell in January to 9 percent, the lowest level since April 2009, while payrolls rose by 36,000 workers, less than forecast, the Labor Department said in Washington. Brown and Schlosstein talk with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” Bloomberg’s Michael McKee and Jon Erlichman also speak. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: U.S. Jobless Rate Falls to 9%; Payrolls Rise 36,000: Video

February 4, 2011

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. jobless rate unexpectedly fell in January to 9 percent, the lowest level since April 2009, while payrolls rose by 36,000 workers, less than forecast, the Labor Department said today in Washington. Lizzie O’Leary reports on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Construction Spending in the U.S. Falls to Lowest Level in a Decade

February 1, 2011

Construction Spending in the U.S. Falls to Lowest Level in a Decade

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FX Headlines: U.K. Jobless Claims Falls to the Lowest Level in 21 Months

January 19, 2011

FX Headlines: U.K. Jobless Claims Falls to the Lowest Level in 21 Months

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Analyst: Credit Card Problems As Low As We’ve Ever Seen In December

January 18, 2011

NEW YORK — Fewer credit card accounts slipped into default in December than in any other month of 2010, and signs point to further improvement ahead. All six of the biggest card issuers Tuesday posted their lowest rates for charge-offs, or accounts written off as uncollectible. Citibank, which has had some of the highest charge-off rates over the past two years, posted the biggest decline. It wrote off 8.34 percent of its card balances in December, down from 9.4 percent in November and well below the high of 11.55 percent posted in March. Discover, Chase and Capital One also reported substantial declines. While the rates of balances companies wrote off declined consistently throughout the year, they remain high by historical standards. “There are some good improvements,” said Mike Dean, a managing director with Fitch Ratings. Fitch’s charge-off index, which tracks the industry, remains near record levels, he said. “We’ve seen some better numbers there, but nothing to say, ‘Wow!’” Dean said he expects charge-off rates to continue improving, but noted that the defaults are “highly correlated” to the unemployment rate. With the jobless rate is forecast to remain high throughout the year, it is difficult to predict when charge-offs will return to normal levels, said Jeff Hibbs, an analyst with Moody’s Investors Service. Industry wide, the charge-off rate peaked in the second quarter of last year at 10.37 percent of balances, according to the latest data from the Federal Reserve. In the two years prior to the recession, it averaged 3.82 percent, Fed records show. Credit card debt has been dropping the last two years, reflecting a combination of factors, including individuals paying down balances and credit card companies cutting the amount of available credit and writing off what they can’t collect. The elimination of many card users who could not pay their bills from the pool of borrowers through charge-offs is one reason for the lower charge-off rates. Hibbs said that the customers who have been able to keep paying their bills despite the downturn and the spike in unemployment have proven they are trustworthy borrowers. “Those left have exhibited a great deal of resilience to this stress,” Hibbs said. “They withstood the depths of the last three years.” Card companies have tightened lending standards, so people who lost access to credit during the recession have not been able to get new cards. Fed data shows that in November, total revolving debt held by U.S. consumers – which is mostly credit cards – fell to $796.5 billion. That’s about 18.5 percent below the record high reached in the third quarter of 2008, and the lowest point since September 2004. Credit reporting agency TransUnion has estimated as many as 8 million former credit card users no longer have cards, either by choice or because their banks cut their credit lines. Reflecting the strong positions that remaining credit card borrowers are in, December rates for payments late by 30 days or more also reached annual lows for all six top card issuers. That figure, also known as the delinquency rate, is considered a precursor for future defaults. “The numbers this month are as low as we have ever seen them,” Hibbs said. “That’s a strong indicator that charge-offs will continue to move steadily lower.” All issuers are participating in the industry-wide improvement, he added, noting that the first part of the year is typically the best for credit card payments, because consumers frequently use tax returns to catch up on overdue bills.

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Video: Morgan Stanley Beats JPMorgan to Be Top in Equity Sales

December 23, 2010

Dec. 23 (Bloomberg) — Morgan Stanley ended JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s two-year run as the top banker for stock sales after charging the lowest fees and winning deals from the U.S., China and Brazil to arrange offerings by state-owned companies. Erik Schatzker reports on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Deming Says `Good Time’ to Add Risk Protection Strategy: Video

December 10, 2010

Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) — Dan Deming, managing director at Stutland Equities LLC, talks about volatility in U.S. stock market and investment strategy. The benchmark index for U.S. equity options fell to the lowest since April as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose for a third day and traded in a narrower-than-average range. Deming talks with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Deming Says `Good Time’ to Add Risk Protection Strategy: Video

December 10, 2010

Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) — Dan Deming, managing director at Stutland Equities LLC, talks about volatility in U.S. stock market and investment strategy. The benchmark index for U.S. equity options fell to the lowest since April as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose for a third day and traded in a narrower-than-average range. Deming talks with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Deming Says `Good Time’ to Add Risk Protection Strategy: Video

December 10, 2010

Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) — Dan Deming, managing director at Stutland Equities LLC, talks about volatility in U.S. stock market and investment strategy. The benchmark index for U.S. equity options fell to the lowest since April as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose for a third day and traded in a narrower-than-average range. Deming talks with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Andrew J. Pease Promoted to President and Chief Executive Officer of QuickLogic Corporation

November 18, 2010

SUNNYVALE, CA–(Marketwire – November 18, 2010) – The Board of Directors of QuickLogic Corporation ( NASDAQ : QUIK ), the lowest power Customer Specific Standard Products ( CSSP s) leader, announced today that as part of its ongoing succession planning process, Andrew J. Pease will be promoted to the position of President and Chief Executive Officer of QuickLogic, effective January 3, 2011. At that time, E. Thomas Hart will assume the new role of Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors.

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Economists Upbeat As US Jobless Claims Lower Trade Gap Narrows

November 11, 2010

First time unemployment claims in the US fell to their lowest level in four months in the week ending Nov 6 as the trade gap narrowed in September boosting hopes among economists that the economic recovery is strengthening according to Bloomberg

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Video: StanChart’s Harr Says Yen to `Grind Lower’ on Fed Policy: Video

October 18, 2010

Oct. 18 (Source: Bloomberg) — Thomas Harr, head of foreign-exchange strategy at Standard Chartered Plc in Singapore, talks about the outlook for the Japanese yen and dollar. The dollar traded near the lowest level in more than 15 years against the yen amid lingering speculation further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve will debase the U.S. currency. Harr also discusses Asian currencies. He speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “Up Front.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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The dollar at the lowest levels versus majors during the Asian session 

October 14, 2010

The dollar at the lowest levels versus majors during the Asian session

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Video: Most U.S. Stocks Rise on Bets Fed Will Protect Recovery: Video

October 11, 2010

Oct. 11 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Courtney Donohoe reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. Most U.S. stocks climbed, as trading volume sank to the lowest level of the year, amid growing speculation that the Federal Reserve will pump more cash into the economy to protect the recovery. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Andrew Sum: The Distribution of the Burden of Rising Labor Market Problems

October 8, 2010

The Great Recession of 2008-2009 and its persistence in labor markets through 2000 has generated a massive increase in joblessness and rising unemployment. Job losses were very unevenly distributed across gender, age, educational attainment, and occupational groups, as well as across family income groups. Males, younger workers (under 30), blue collar workers and clerical workers, those without college degrees, and Black men experienced sharply above average job losses. Low to middle income workers also bore a highly disproportionate share of the economic burden. The labor market outcomes of the recent recession stand in sharp contrast to those of the 2001 recession which some analysts claimed to have resulted in a “democratization” of unemployment with better educated and professional/managerial workers absorbing a higher than normal share of the job losses. There are a variety of labor market problems experienced by the nation’s current workers that go well beyond the official unemployment statistics as bad as they are. For example, unemployment problems reflecting an inability of the employed to obtain desired full-time employment (35 or more hours of work per week) have reached historical proportions in the labor market recession with nine million of the employed encountering such a problem on average during 2010. There are both large losses in weekly hours of work and weekly earnings from such underemployment. High levels of joblessness and lengthening durations of unemployment also have discouraged a growing number of workers (especially the young, less educated, and lower income) from actively looking for work and have influenced some of the unemployed to withdraw from active labor force participation. During the first eight months of this year, there were between 5.5 and 6.0 million persons who wanted a job but were not actively looking. If we add these unemployed, underemployed, and hidden unemployed workers together, we end up with 30 million individuals. Who are these underutilized workers? Do they come evenly from all income classes in America or are they heavily concentrated in certain income groups? To answer this key question, we divided American workers into seven household income categories, ranging from those with annual incomes below $20,000 at the bottom to those with annual income over $150,000 at the top. For workers in each of the above seven income groups, we estimated the percent of those in the labor force who were unemployed, and the ratio of the number of hidden unemployed to the labor force. For each of the above three labor market problems, the relative size of the problem fell steadily and steeply as their household incomes increased. The official unemployment rates of workers were at a depression era rate of 26% for the lowest income groups to 9% for those with incomes between $40 and $60 thousand, to a low of between 3 and 4 percent for those in the highest income category. The official unemployment rate of the lowest income group was six times as high as that of the highest income groups. Similar patterns prevailed among the underemployed and the hidden unemployed. Among employed workers from the lowest income group, 18 of every 100 were underemployed versus only 4 to 5 percent of workers in household with incomes being $60 and $75 thousand and only 2 percent of the employed with family income above $150,000. Underemployment problems were 9 times as high among low income workers as among those from the highest income group. A relative gap of six to one prevailed among the hidden unemployed. The economic losses during the Great Recession in U.S. labor markets have been disproportionately concentrated among the nation’s low and middle income workers. The incidence of each labor market problem between 2007 and 2010 also worsened most among these same income groups. Unlike the prior recession of 2001, the labor market losses were extremely regressive, creating much more economic pain in the lower half of the income distribution than at the top. A future labor market recovery must target more direct assistance to re-employing those workers in the bottom half of the income distribution from young (under 25) to middle aged to older workers. Andrew Sum is the Director of the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University and Ishwar Khatiwada, a Senior Research Analyst at the Center.

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Video: Citi’s Elmer Sees Continued Downward Pressure on Dollar: Video

October 7, 2010

Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) — Todd Elmer, head of G-10 currency strategy at Citigroup Inc., talks about the outlook for global currencies. The dollar traded near a 15-year low against the yen amid growing expectations the Federal Reserve will expand credit easing steps to sustain the U.S. recovery. The euro was close to an eight-month high against the greenback as yields on benchmark U.S. debt dropped to the lowest level since January 2009. Elmer also discusses China’s currency policy and Bank of Japan monetary policy. He speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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ConsumerBacked ABS Sales May Plunge To 15Year Low

October 5, 2010

Sales of assetbacked securities linked to creditcard payments and automobile loans are on track to end the year at their lowest level in 15 years reports Bloomberg

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Video: O’Neill Says Case for Yen Intervention Is `Quite Strong’: Video

October 5, 2010

Oct. 5 (Bloomberg) — Jim O’Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, talks about the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy and yen outlook. The Bank of Japan cut the overnight call rate target to a range of 0 percent to 0.1 percent, the lowest level since 2006, from 0.1 percent. O’Neill, speaking with Erik Schatzker and Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack,” also discusses the prospects for global quantitative easing and currency markets. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Mortgage Rates Low: Level Matches Lowest In Decades

September 30, 2010

WASHINGTON — Rates on 30-year mortgages matched the lowest level in decades and rates on 15-year loans dropped to their lowest point in nearly 20 years. Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday the average rate for 30-year fixed loans fell to 4.32 percent, the lowest on records dating back to 1971. That’s down from 4.37 percent the previous week and equal to the average rate reached four weeks ago. The average rate on 15-year fixed loans fell to 3.75 percent, the lowest on records dating back to 1991. Rates have been at or near the lowest levels in decades since spring as investors poured money into the safety of Treasury bonds, lowering their yield. Mortgage rates tend to track those yields. In recent weeks, Treasury yields have dipped as bond traders bet that the Federal Reserve will soon boost its Treasury purchases in the hope of giving the economy a lift. That has pushed down rates. Still, historically low rates have done little to boost the struggling housing market, which had its worst summer in more than a decade. Fall sales are not expected to be much better. High unemployment and weak job growth have kept people from buying homes. And many of the hardest-hit markets are bracing for a big wave of homes sold at foreclosure or short sales. A short sale is when a lender lets a homeowner sell for less than the mortgage is worth. To calculate average mortgage rates, Freddie Mac collects rates from lenders around the country on Monday through Wednesday of each week. Rates often fluctuate significantly, even within a given day. Rates on five-year adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.52 percent, down from 3.54 percent a week earlier. Rates on one-year adjustable-rate mortgages rose to an average of 3.48 percent from 3.46 percent. The rates do not include add-on fees known as points. One point is equal to 1 percent of the total loan amount. The nationwide fee for loans in Freddie Mac’s survey averaged 0.8 a point for 30-year mortgages. It averaged 0.7 of a point for 15-year and 1-year mortgages and 0.6 of a point for 5-year mortgages.

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August New Home Sales Were The Second-Worst Month On Record

September 24, 2010

WASHINGTON — New homes sold at the second-slowest pace on record in August, signaling that the housing market will remain a drag on the economy. Last month’s new home sales were unchanged from a month earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual sales pace of 288,000, the Commerce Department said Friday. Sales were down by 29 percent from the same month a year earlier. Normally the building industry powers economic recoveries. Each new home built creates, on average, the equivalent of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in taxes, according to the National Association of Home Builders. But housing has been at the center of this downturn and it shows no signs of recovering quickly. The only time new home sales were slower was in May, when the sales pace was 282,000. That’s the worst pace on records dating back to 1963. July’s results had been the worst on record, but were adjusted upward. “This is a pitiful performance but it should not come as a surprise to see sales so weak,” Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics. “We don’t expect to see any meaningful pickup in sales until next year.” High unemployment, tight credit and uncertainty about home prices have kept people from buying new and previously occupied homes. Government tax credits boosted the market earlier in the year, but those expired in April. Sales of previously occupied homes rose 7.6 percent in August from July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.13 million, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. That was the second-worst month for that category in more than a decade. July was the worst month in 15 years. The median sales price for a new home in August was $204,700. That was down 1.2 percent from a year earlier and the lowest since December 2003. Gains in Western and Northeastern states canceled out losses in the Midwest and South. Sales grew by more than 54 percent in the West and by 17 percent in the Northeast. They fell 26 percent in the Midwest and 11 percent in the South. Builders are competing with millions of foreclosures and other distressed properties that show no signs of abating. They are unlikely to ramp up construction until those are cleared away and demand for new homes picks up. The number of unsold new homes on the market fell to 206,000, the lowest since August 1968. At the current sales pace, it would take about 8.6 months to exhaust that supply. The industry is suffering the repercussions of a massive building boom, in which many homes were sold to speculators. They then resold the homes, often to borrowers who took out risky loans and then defaulted. Those unsustainable boom times aren’t coming back. Economists at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch predict that spending on building and remodeling homes will decline in the July-September quarter and actually subtract 0.7 percentage points from overall economic activity. Home construction is up 25 percent from the bottom in April 2009, it is still 74 percent below the peak in January 2006. (This version CORRECTS headlines and first paragraph to show pace is second slowest on record, not monthly sales.)

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Grant Cardone: The 10 Traits of Failure

September 18, 2010

Lets face it, not everyone is cut out for success, just like not everyone is cut out to be a teacher, policeman, parent or CEO. After 25 years of working with businesses, entrepreneurs, sales people and CEOs, I have discovered that there are traits that make people prone to failure. 1) Hate being told no. I have yet to meet anyone that actually likes being told not, but if you tend to have a highly emotional response to be being told no and it sticks with you for days, success will be out of reach. In fact, planet earth will be unpleasant for you because you will be told ‘no’ by lots of people in many ways and many times. It is the meaning that you place on the ‘no’ that really is effecting you. Your ability to not be negatively impacted and then to turn a ‘no’ into ‘yes’ will be critical to creating success. 2) Unwilling to ask for a decision. Most people believe they can delegate this to others trying to avoid rejection and failure. Then they try to hire others to handle this for them because they haven’t developed the discipline of asking for a decision. If you are unwilling to ask for a decision you will only get the leftovers. 3) Believe everything. If you are one of those people that believe everything someone says to you is true, and that what people say is what they will do, your success is at risk. People will say many things to you that are almost meaningless; we aren’t loaning money, we are on a budget, we aren’t buying, we are going to wait until, I have to talk to my wife, and on and on. If you are not able to selectively listen, sorry, you won’t make it. 4) Easily sold on another’s stories . If you happen to be one of those personality types that is gullible and unable to maintain and communicate your conviction, you will fail. You are stuck in some kind of reverse boomerang universe where you intend to convince another of your ideas and end up buying their story instead. 5) Unable to get personal. If you hate asking questions and feel like asking questions is getting ‘too personal’ or ‘prying’ into someone’s business, you will not make it. “What is your income”, “who is the decision maker”,”why can’t you do this”, are questions you will have to learn to asked. 6) Unwilling to reach out of your comfort zone. If you are unwilling to reach out to people that are better connected than you, success will always be out of reach. While the people you know will be important, it is probably the people you have not yet connected with that can most help you. This will require you to get out of your comfort zone and mix it up with people you don’t yet know. 7) Believe lowest price wins. If you believe the lowest price is the reason people buy things, you will always find yourself suffering with cash flow and should become a clerk at WalMart or a waiter in a restaurant. 99.9% of all products on this planet can be replaced by cheaper alternatives. Most of the things that are purchased are not necessary to have, so if a person wanted the lowest price, the thing to do would be to not buy it at all. Price is actually a myth and not the reason people buy anything. I wrote an entire book on this one concept. 8) Believe persistence and pressure is a bad thing. If you are one of those people that was convinced as a child by your parents, teachers, and environment that getting your way is a bad thing, then you should just throw away the success idea. A diamond is only coal until the right amount of pressure is applied for the right amount of time. People normally do not make decisions without someone insisting on it. If you despise pressure or persistence you will find it taking forever to get your business working. 9) Believe selling is a negative thing . Even one small dose of this type of thinking will kill your chances of making it. Your success depends on this one ability probably more than any other single thing. Nothing happens without selling. If you think selling is wrong, unethical or something that someone else needs to do, you will be crushed, especially in this economy. Great success always has at its core leadership that is passionate and committed to selling. 10) Believe the economy is the problem. The economy is problematic, it is not the problem! Success is created over time so during any run at success you will experience all types of economies. The person that makes the economy the variable will become a victim to economic conditions at some point. Successful people can create success in any economy and know how to use all types of economies to flourish in. Success is not for everyone, just those who are willing to do what it takes to get it. Most people just want it and are not willing to train and prepare for it. If you are one of those people that thinks they are going to create success just because you have a good idea and are unwilling to train, invest and prepare for it, I assure you that you will flounder. Everyone has an idea most people are not willing to develop their skills to the point that they can make that idea a reality! On the way to success you will be plagued with competitive threats, industry changes, challenging economies and will find yourself at risk. The average worker reads less than one book a year and then wonders why they don’t make it! To ensure you are successful avoid the traits of failure and make a dedicated commitment to learning everything you can about selling. Selling isn’t a job, but a requirement for creating the success you want. Sales training , sales motivation , daily sales meeting and the development of new sales skills will assist you in your success more than anything else. Grant Cardone is a NY Times Best Selling Author and Sales Training Expert.

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New US Jobless Claims Lower As Housing Market Teeters

September 17, 2010

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the first time fell for the second week in a row reach to the lowest weekly level in two months during the week ending Sep 11 easing fears of a stalling economic recovery according to Reuters

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Unemployment rate in Hong Kong retreats to the lowest in 20-months

September 17, 2010

Unemployment rate in Hong Kong retreats to the lowest in 20-months

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Video: Kelly Services’ Camden Sees Temporary Hiring Increasing: Video

September 16, 2010

Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) — Carl Camden, chief executive officer at Kelly Services Inc., talks with Bloomberg’s Mark Crumpton about the U.S. labor market and hiring of temporary workers. The number of Americans seeking unemployment benefits unexpectedly declined by 3,000 to 450,000 in the week ended Sept. 11, the lowest level in two months, the Labor Department said today in Washington. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Jobless Claims Unexpectedly Fall, Producer Prices Rise: Video

September 16, 2010

Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) — Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week by 3,000 to 450,000, the lowest level in two months. The producer price index increased 0.4 percent, the most in five months and twice the gain in July, Labor Department figures showed today. Bloomberg’s Betty Liu and Michael McKee report. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: HFR’s Heinz Says Fund of Funds Closures Decreasing: Video

September 14, 2010

Sept. 15 (Bloomberg) — Ken Heinz, president of Hedge Fund Research Inc., talks about the hedge fund industry. Funds of hedge funds closures globally dropped to the lowest level since the first quarter of 2008 in the three months to June, according to HFR. Heinz talks in Hong Kong with Phillip Yin on Bloomberg Television. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: RICS’s Leaf Sees `Modest Growth’ in U.K. House Prices

September 14, 2010

Sept. 14 (Bloomberg) — Jeremy Leaf, a housing spokesman for the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, talks about the outlook for U.K. house prices. RICS’s housing-market gauge fell more than economists expected in August to the lowest since May 2009 as an increase in supply of homes for sale pushed down prices. He speaks on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown” with Mark Barton.

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Video: Behravesh Says Double-Dip Recession Concerns Diminishing: Video

September 9, 2010

Sept. 9 (Bloomberg) — Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS Global Insight, talks with Bloomberg’s Melissa Long and Dominic Chu about today’s U.S. economic reports and the prospects for the economy. Initial jobless claims dropped by 27,000 to 451,000 in the week ended Sept. 4, the lowest level in almost two months, Labor Department figures showed. The trade deficit shrank 14 percent in July, the most since February 2009, to $42.8 billion, the Commerce Department said. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Summer Jobs Hit Record Low In Summer 2010

September 4, 2010

Only 47.6% of people ages 16 to 24 had jobs in August, the lowest level since the government began keeping track in 1948, the Labor Department said Friday

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Jim Worth: The Taxing Debate Over Taxes

August 31, 2010

American’s perception of taxes is both perplexing and disturbing . Americans have difficulty grasping the effect taxes have on their lives. There are many reasons for their confusion. Taxes have become a political football with each side vehemently arguing their position in hopes of being reelected. The Bush Tax Cuts are set to expire at the end of this year and a decision must be made by Congress whether to extend them or let them sunset. If Congress does nothing taxes will return to the levels of 2002; the lowest being 15% and the highest moving back to 38.6, a 3.6% increase. It’s understandable, given the complexity of the current tax code and the political posturing that clouds the discourse of such a sensitive personal subject, that the average person doesn’t quite know which is best for them and the economy. What is the truth about taxes? Which are good and which are bad? This is the question we should be asking. Taxes are a very personal thing and, to put it quite frankly, everyone hates them; especially those taxes that touch them personally. There’s a widespread misconception about taxes — who they effect, their purpose, which ones will help and which will hurt the country, and their relationship to the economy. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Economy.com addressed the issue in his New York Times Op-Ed, ” The Tax Cut We Can Afford ,” and presented a reasoned approach to the current tax dilemma. There is a fear by some, including Mr. Zandi, that increasing the marginal tax rate on the top two income brackets will dramatically slow the economy and possibly send us into the dreaded douple dip. But that fear may be unjustified if a double dip is imminent. Despite the possibility of a double dip, allowing those that caused this recession to slide another year is unacceptable. Phasing, as suggested by Mr. Zandi, is a great concept, one I’ve advocated for nearly 40 years. Phasing in taxes is a good idea, but it must begin immediately. Mr. Zandi would prefer to wait until 2012, but delaying the increase may also be destructive to an already sputtering economy and escalating deficit. The marginal tax rate on upper-income Americans is too low and has been for far too long. We have been at some of the lowest rates in our lifetime, and the Bush tax cuts have done little to stimulate the economy. They have only served to redistribute the wealth upward. Warren Buffet acknowledged the insanity of low upper tax rates on the wealthy when he declared something to the affect: “My chauffeur pays a higher tax rate than I do!” His reference to the ‘ effective tax rate ,’ the actual amount of tax that is paid after deductions, is much lower than the ‘ marginal tax rate .’ The average upper income family pays an ‘average rate’ of 18 to 20% after figuring their adjusted gross income. Raising the tax rate by 2% in 2011 would increase the actual taxes these individuals pay by about half a percent. Some feel raising the top two rates would slow consumer spending. Moody’s Chief Economist estimates that the group accounts for nearly a fourth of consumer spending. The question he, and other tax-extension advocates should be asking is — why? The answer should be obvious. Thirty years of redistribution of wealth has killed the middle-class — usurped their buying power — while elevating the elite to 1920′s excesses. Though they represent one quarter of consumer spending much of what the elite buy does little to help the economy of the other 98%; the ‘ real ‘ economy. The arguments on taxes are fraught with myths and lies. They distort the real issue confronting us: declining tax receipts and a rapidly rising deficit. Even the Tea Party, through their naivete, have muddied the ‘ real ‘ discussion we should be having over taxes. Republicans, still enamored by Ronald Reagan, conjure up the myth that his tax cuts created a thriving, robust economy. That’s a lie! And it’s repeated by all Republicans. Top Marginal Tax Rates during Reagan’s two terms were higher than the current rate for seven of his eight years in office. Even more devastating was his tripling of the national debt from $900 billion to nearly $2.67 trillion; an increase of 189%. His two band-aid terms forced George H.W. Bush to raise taxes during his administration to make up for Reagan’s economic insufficiencies. Bush raised the TMR to 31% from 28% and was vilified, losing reelection to Bill Clinton as a result. Clinton immediately raised it to 39.6% where it remained for 8 years and allowed President Clinton to leave George W. Bush a surplus which he promptly spent, then pushed the economy into untenable deficits. His tax cuts dramatically reduced the tax receipts collected each year which drove the national debt to $10.7 trillion; nearly doubling the $5.6 trillion when he came into office. It is easy to understand the confusion if talking points are all most voters get. This is evidenced by the deception of the estate tax. Frank Luntz’s suggestion to the Republicans to call it a ‘ death tax ‘ is unAmerican and should be an indictable offense. The Estate Tax has absolutely no affect on 97.5% of the people in this country, yet individuals making $100,000 a year are screaming about getting rid of the death tax. Sheep following a stupid idea. The confusion over the Capital Gains Tax and how it will hurt small business, delay someone from starting a business, or from hiring a needed employee is a diversion. So what is the right thing to do about taxes? As Mr. Zandi says, phase in the increases on the top two tax brackets. Start immediately: 35% Bracket — 2% in 2011, 1.5% in 2012, and 1% in 2013; 33% Bracket — 1.5% in 2011, 1% in 2012, and .5% in 2013. That would bring the rates to 2000 levels by 2013 and cause less pain. But we should consider something unique, something bold ! Let’s also lower the lowest three tax rates over the next three years. Current Tax Rate should be reduced to new lower levels by 2013: 10% Bracket : 9% in 2011, 8.5% in 2012, and 8.5% in 2013 15% Bracket : 14% in 2011, 13% in 2012, and 12.5% in 2013 25% Bracket : 23.5% in 2011, 22% in 2012, and 21% in 2013 This would put money in the hands of people that will spend all of it on necessities and other products that will stimulate the economy from the bottom up. Eight years of tax cuts have done nothing to help this dying economy. We’ve tried it at the top and it doesn’t work. It’s time to try it at the bottom and see if it works better. This has been a horrific recession and it is not yet over. We may have to feel more pain and level the playing field if we have any hope of recovering from this morass. Not only do people need to research taxes, but they must insist that their Congressional representatives fully explain their position rather than merely repeat talking points. The Internet has all the necessary tools to research taxes. If you want to be an American, get off your lazy asses and do some. With even a little research, the vote regarding the Estate Tax should be 95% to keep and raise it, and 5% to eliminate it. We need more than talking points to understand taxes. We need honest discussion. Our survival and the survival of this country depends on it!

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Video: Hartman Sees U.S. Stock `Buying Opportunities This Fall’: Video

August 24, 2010

Aug. 25 (Bloomberg) — Kirk Hartman, chief investment officer at Wells Capital Management, speaks about his strategy for investing in U.S. stocks. U.S. and Japanese stocks fell, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to the lowest in 17 months and the yen surged to the highest versus the dollar since 1995 as a record plunge in home sales stoked concern the economy may relapse into a recession. Hartman speaks from San Francisco with Bloomberg’s Susan Li. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Rosen Says U.S. Housing Market Looks `Abysmal’: Video

August 24, 2010

Aug. 24 (Bloomberg) — Jeffrey Rosen, an economist at Briefing.com, talks with Bloomberg’s Melissa Long about the U.S. housing market. Sales of existing homes dropped a record 27 percent in July to a 3.83 million annual pace, the lowest in a decade of record keeping and worse than the most pessimistic forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, according to figures released today by the National Association of Realtors. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: U.S. Stocks Decline; S&P 500 and Dow at Lowest in Month: Video

August 19, 2010

Aug. 19 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Courtney Donohoe reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks retreated, with benchmark indexes closing at the lowest in a month, as jobless claims increased to the highest level since November and an index of Philadelphia-area manufacturing fell. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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