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Second Life: Why I Started A Business After 50

by The Huffington Post on January 17, 2012

Huffington Post…

Why do people start businesses? The typical answers — to get rich, to follow a passion, to find work/life balance — are rarely the true reasons. First of all, they’re not sound rationales. Only the lucky few get rich running a business, you need a lot more than passion to make it work, and, in my experience, the search for so-called life/work balance becomes a fool’s errand. How do I know these things? Well, I have spent the better part of my adult years supporting, writing about and advocating for entrepreneurs — most of them, somewhat ironically, as an employee, editing Entrepreneur magazine for over 25 years. For the past four years, I’ve been running my own company, so I speak from experience. I will confess that it never occurred to me to start a business (outside of wishful thinking after editing an article on yet another successful entrepreneur and asking myself, “Why didn’t I think of that?”), until I was well into my 50s. After all, I was relatively happy with my job — or so I thought. This odd combination of contentment and self-delusion is common for the women who were born on the leading edge of the baby boom (I’m 59). When Betty Friedan wrote “The Feminine Mystique” in 1963, giving birth to the feminist revolution, many of us were still in grade school or junior high, relatively unaware of the possibilities that were being opened for us. In fact, a few years later, my high-school guidance counselor presented me with the three careers that were open to me: teacher, nurse or secretary. I, of course, promptly rejected them all, and out of desperation remembered seeing women’s bylines in The New York Times , and declared my intent to be a journalist. By our nature, journalists are not inherently entrepreneurial (or weren’t — there’s been a primordial shift just in the last five years). We are trained to observe and report. So it took me a long time to realize I was in the equivalent of a bad marriage, pretending everything was OK, but knowing it wasn’t. And I had been “married” far too long. The perils of starting a business are well known. Most startups fail within the first five years. Cash flow is an issue, even in the best of economic times. And if you’re single, you realize there’s no safety net, no spouse’s income to rely on while you build your business. Add to that the fact that at 50 or older, there’s simply less time to recoup any losses that may occur, and you wonder why anyone would be crazy enough to embark into the great unknown world of entrepreneurship. And yet, why not? That’s the question I kept asking myself. Why not? And I could never come up with a reason. The truth is, I’m not very introspective. I don’t mull things over very well — I’m more the impulsive type. That’s how I ended up on Thanksgiving day, at the age of 55, in Paris for the first time, staring at the magnificence of the Cathedral at Notre Dame sipping the best hot chocolate ever made, and deciding, “Why not?!” I was in business with several of my former employees four months later. Little did I realize I was part of a surge: The Kauffman Foundation reports that in the past 10 years or so, 55- to 64-year-olds boasted the highest rate of entrepreneurial activity, while 20- to 34-year-olds had the lowest. I won’t lie and tell you owning a business is oh-so-easy. I have never worked this hard in my life. Or slept so little. There were moments (more like months) where I questioned my decision several times a day — and my sanity even more often. There were times I didn’t think we’d make it. I can recount almost every high (meeting new people who’ve become friends, partners, clients and mentors; winning a new contract), and low (clients who go out of business; learning the cost of health care; finding out people you thought were your friends really weren’t). But I don’t regret taking the leap. Do I wish I’d divorced my job earlier? Absolutely. But apparently “50 is the new 30″ — and The Telegraph newspaper in England has dubbed us 50-plus women “quintastics,” so I’m not worried. So why do people start businesses? Everyone has their own motivations. Some have no choice, others are pushed, some meticulously plan, others are spontaneously creative, and some, like me, just decide our time has come. Rieva Lesonsky is the founder and CEO of GrowBiz Media , a Lakewood, Calif.-based provider of information and resources for business owners, and a member of the HuffPost Small Business Board of Directors .

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Second Life: Why I Started A Business After 50

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Huffington Post…

* Euro zone factory sector shrinks for 5th month in Dec * Manufacturing PMI rises slightly from November * Output, orders fall in all euro zone countries, PMIs show By Andy Bruce LONDON, Jan 2 (Reuters) – Euro zone manufacturing activity declined for a fifth consecutive month in December, although at a slightly slower rate than November’s 28-month record low, a survey showed on Monday, suggesting the decline would continue in the early months of 2012. Markit’s Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose slightly in December to 46.9 from November’s 46.4, but marked its fifth month below the 50 mark that divides growth from contraction. It was unchanged from an earlier preliminary reading. Survey compiler Markit said levels of production and new orders fell in all of the euro zone countries covered by the survey for the second month running. “Despite the rate of decline easing slightly in December, production appears to have been collapsing across the single currency area at a quarterly rate of approximately 1.5 percent in the final quarter of 2011,” said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit. “The survey also points to a strong likelihood of further declines in the first quarter of the new year, with producers cutting back headcounts, inventories and purchasing.” The euro zone economy is already stuck in a recession that will last until the second quarter of 2012, Reuters polls of economists suggested last month. They forecast the economy will proably see no growth this year. Business and consumer confidence in the currency bloc has been eroded by a weakening global economy and by euro zone policymakers’ failure to make progress on resolving the euro zone debt crisis. Austerity measures imposed to try and cut high debt levels in the currency bloc risk further undermining euro zone economies this year, analysts say. The new orders component of the December PMI survey also picked up slightly, to 43.5 in December from 42.4 the previous month, but it remained weak and Markit warned of a persistent and worrying divergence in order levels and output. “Worryingly, new orders are falling at a far faster rate than manufacturers have been cutting output, meaning firms have been reliant on orders placed earlier in the year to sustain current production levels,” said Williamson. “This is particularly evident in Germany, and suggests that operating capacity will be slashed in coming months unless demand revives.” The manufacturing jobs market was virtually stagnant in December compared with November. The euro zone unemployment rate edged up to 10.3 percent in October, a figure that encompasses very high levels of joblessness in peripheral countries such as Spain and Greece with relatively firm labour markets in France and Germany. (Editing by Susan Fenton)

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Eurozone Factory Sector Will Likely Cut Back In Early 2012

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18 Months Later: Drilling Deeper Than Ever

December 30, 2011

ALAMINOS CANYON BLOCK 857, GULF OF MEXICO (AP) — Two hundred miles off the coast of Texas, ribbons of pipe are reaching for oil and natural gas deeper below the ocean’s surface than ever before. These pipes, which run nearly two miles deep, are connected to a floating platform that is so remote Shell named it Perdido, which means “lost” in Spanish. What attracted Shell to this location is a geologic formation found throughout the Gulf of Mexico that may contain enough oil to satisfy U.S. demand for two years. While Perdido is isolated, it isn’t alone. Across the Gulf, energy companies are probing dozens of new deepwater fields thanks to high oil prices and technological advances that finally make it possible to tap them. The newfound oil will not do much to lower global oil prices. But together with increased production from onshore U.S. fields and slowing domestic demand for gasoline, it could help reduce U.S. oil imports by more than half over the next decade. Eighteen months ago, such a flurry of activity in the Gulf seemed unlikely. The Obama administration halted drilling and stopped issuing new permits after the explosion of a BP well killed 11 workers and caused the largest oil spill in U.S. history. But the drilling moratorium was eventually lifted and the Obama administration issued the first new drilling permit in March. Now the Gulf is humming again and oil executives describe it as the world’s best place to drill. “In the short term and the medium term, it’s clearly the Gulf of Mexico,” says Matthais Bichsel, a Royal Dutch Shell PLC board member who is in charge of all of the company’s new projects and technology. By early 2012 there will be more rigs in the Gulf designed to drill in its “deep water” — defined as 2,000 feet or deeper — than before the spill. In November, Perdido began pumping oil from a field called Tobago; the well begins 9,627 feet below the surface of the Gulf. No other well on the globe produces oil in deeper water and that’s about as deep as the Gulf gets. For drillers, that means the entire Gulf is now within reach. “We are at the point where … depth is not the primary issue anymore,” says Marvin Odum, the head of Royal Dutch Shell’s drilling unit in the Americas. “I do not worry that there is something in the Gulf that we cannot develop … if we can find it.” From a distance, Perdido looks like an erector set perched on an aluminum can. This can, or “spar,” is a 500-foot-tall steel cylinder that sits mostly underwater, serving as a base for the equipment and living quarters above. It is stuffed with iron ore to lower its center of gravity, keeping the whole operation from bobbing in the water like a cork. The spar is tethered to the sea floor 8,000 feet below with ropes and chains. Oil and natural gas are pumped to Perdido from nearby wells drilled by an onboard rig and from faraway wells drilled by satellite rigs. Water and other impurities are then removed from the oil and gas, which gets sent hundreds of miles through an undersea pipeline to terminals and refineries along the Gulf coast. Perdido, which pumps the equivalent of 60,000 barrels of oil and natural gas a day, will eventually yield 100,000 barrels per day from 35 wells in a 30-mile radius, according to Shell. It will likely produce oil for decades — in all, as much as 360 million barrels of oil and 750 billion cubic feet of natural gas, according to Wood Mackenzie. As global oil demand climbs past 89 million barrels a day and traditional onshore and shallow water fields are depleted, the deep waters of the Gulf and off the coasts of South America, West Africa and Australia are playing an increasingly important role. In 2000, 1.5 million barrels of oil per day were produced from deepwater fields around the globe, or 2 percent of global production. In 2011, that number grew to 5.5 million barrels, or 6 percent of global production. By 2020, deepwater oil will account for 9 percent, according to IHS CERA. The Gulf is attractive for many reasons. Its oil fields are enormous; it straddles the world’s biggest consumer of oil; it’s in a politically stable part of the world; and drillers can easily tap into a vast network of pipelines and refineries. Also, despite industry complaints, the cost of royalties, taxes and regulation in the U.S. are among the lowest in the world. “Everybody wants to be there,” says Mohammad Rahman, the lead Gulf analyst for Wood Mackenzie. By early 2012, there will be 40 deepwater rigs in the Gulf, up from 37 before the BP spill, according to Cinnamon Odell of ODS-Petrodata. BP received its first permit to drill in late October. The Gulf produces an average of 1.5 million barrels of oil per day, according to Wood Mackenzie. That’s 27 percent of U.S. output and 8 percent of U.S. demand. Thanks to more accurate imaging technologies, drillers are able to see under geologic formations that used to confound geologists. In June, ExxonMobil Corp. said it found 700 million barrels of oil — one of the biggest discoveries in the Gulf in last decade. In September, Chevron and BP also announced major finds, thought to be in the hundreds of millions of barrels of oil. Many of the Gulf’s recent discoveries are in a geologic formation known as the Lower Tertiary, formed between 23 million and 65 million years ago. Perdido, which is operated by Shell and owned jointly by Shell, Chevron and BP, is the first to produce oil from this formation. Analysts say it could hold 15 billion barrels of oil. As the BP disaster made clear, drilling in deep water presents difficulties and dangers. Last month a Chevron well in the deep waters off of Brazil ruptured and spilled 2,400 barrels of oil into the Atlantic after Chevron underestimated the pressure of the oil field it was tapping. Perdido only recently reached its monthly production target after a year of operation because of difficulties getting oil and gas from the seabed to the platform. New devices designed to separate oil and gas on the sea floor have not performed as well as Shell hoped. It has taken months of adjustments made by underwater robots and other equipment on the platform to fix the problems. Challenges like this have helped push the average cost of producing oil in the deepwater Gulf to $60 a barrel, according to IHS CERA, near the highest level ever. But with oil close to $100 a barrel, the expense is well worth it. After all 35 wells are drilled for Perdido, its owners will likely have spent $6.2 billion on the project, according to Wood Mackenzie. But along with the risks, the Gulf offers great rewards: Perdido could ultimately generate $39 billion in revenue and $16 billion in profits. Jonathan Fahey can be reached at http://www.facebook.com/Fahey.Jonathan .

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Why People LIKE The Kardashians

December 30, 2011

It’s no secret that not everyone is a Kardashian fan. Between attempts to boycott their shows , Kim Kardashian being named as PETA’s Celebrity Grinch of 2011 , the National League of Junior Cotillions’ “The Most Ill-Mannered Person of 2011″ , and ranking as one of the least desired celebs to have as a neighbor , the public has made it clear about how they feel about the Kardashians. Or have they? Believe it or not, but people like the Kardashians. They’re a family, but more importantly a business — at least to the companies they work with. The viewers that tune in keep them on the air. Shoppers who buy their clothes, perfumes, diet pills and books are sending a clear message to companies that the reality TV family means bringing in the big bucks. Yes, people like the Kardashians. “At their core, the Kardashians are an incredibly bonded, loving, large family who live an incredibly large life,” E! President Suzanne Kolb told The Wrap . “And if you actually look at the history of television, there’s a pretty large number of families with that blend that resonate with viewers … I think there’s something emotionally aspirational around that family dynamic and visually aspirational about the way that family lives.” Kolb added that from every piece of research she’s seen about the reality TV family, she says viewers “aspire to be them or to befriend them.” Aspiration is often the basis for most celebrity fandom. It’s the reason we read about their lives and look at photos of them doing everything from the most mundane errands to walking the red carpets. For the Kardashians — a family that has “no talent” as Barbara Walter brusquely put it — it’s easy to pinpoint what fans find aspirational; their over-the-top lifestyle combined with a plotline that still conveys the all-American values of a tight-knit family. That’s why despite their public missteps, Kolb told The Wrap , that the Kardashians’ fans don’t watch them for their bad behavior. “You watch for sort of over-the-top-situations and really a very soapy family dynamic,” she said. But what about those who don’t like the Kardashian family? What about the 180,049 people who signed an online petition asking the E! Network to boycott their shows? Kolb said the network takes every viewer comment seriously, but they never considered cutting their ties with the Kardashians. And why would they? Those 180,049 people that signed that petition are chump change compared to the 3.2 million viewers who tuned in for the season premier of “Kourtney & Kim Take New York,” or the combined 8.4 million viewers who watched the Kim’s two-part wedding special. The petitioners also don’t compare to Kim’s nearly 12.2 million Twitter followers , or even the two million people who watched her sex tape over her wedding weekend this summer. They are the reason the network has no plans to cancel the Kardashians. It’s been reported that the family made $65 million in 2010 — a figured that family matriarch and manager Kris Jenner wouldn’t confirm — but between the eldest sisters’ three Dash boutique locations, branded signature fragrances, self tanner, the online footwear site ShoeDazzle , multiple clothing lines and more shows in the works, it’s safe to say the family is profiting nicely and the companies they work with are making even more. The Kardashian family may not have “talent” but they know how to make money, and in this economy it’s easy to understand how that appeals to viewers who are dreaming of a better life.

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Two Directors Resign From Board Of Struggling Company

December 27, 2011

Two Eastman Kodak directors resigned from the board last week, the struggling photography company said in a filing with U.S. regulators on Tuesday. Both directors – Adam Clammer and Herald Chen – were representatives of private equity firm KKR & Co on Kodak’s board. Kodak said Clammer and Chen notified the company of their resignations on December 21. Kodak did not give any further details as to why the directors resigned, and a spokesman was not immediately available for comment. Kodak earlier this year drew down on its revolving credit facility and on November 3 told investors that it may need to issue new debt or complete a multibillion-dollar patent sale to survive the next year. Kodak has hired Jones Day, a law firm known for restructuring cases, as well as restructuring firm FTI Consulting, but has denied that it intends to file for bankruptcy. It has been struggling to cope with the collapse of its film business. (Reporting By Michael Erman, Additional reporting by Greg Roumeliotis; Editing by Gary Hill) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Rising Green Movement Launches Counter-Attack Against Shale Oil Boom

December 27, 2011

* Green groups seen slowing development * Success in fighting pipeline energizes efforts * Shale oil and gas industry on defensive By Ayesha Rascoe WASHINGTON, Dec 27 (Reuters) – A resurgent green movement is launching a multi-pronged counter-attack against the shale oil and gas boom in the United States that could slow, though ultimately not stop, development. Building upon their unexpected success in the battle against the Keystone XL pipeline, a renewed onslaught from environmentalists is putting the shale industry on the defensive while adding to costs, limiting expansion and potentially scuttling major projects. “I think it’s the totality of what’s going on all at once, that’s the biggest concern,” said Barclay Nicholson, a lawyer for the Washington-based Fulbright & Jaworski law firm, which has represented companies involved in shale development. With new oversight pending from federal and state authorities and lawsuits, Nicholson said critics of shale development have a plethora of avenues to fight back. Environmentalists, alarmed at what they see as unchecked industrialization of rural areas, say they are working to secure more regulation of the rapidly growing shale industry to protect fragile areas from damaging practices. PIECE MEAL APPROACH After legislation aimed at addressing climate change failed to make it into law last year, green groups have been forced to take a more piece meal approach to energy policy. That strategy worked well against TransCanada’s proposed Canada-to-Texas Keystone XL pipeline, which environmentalists successfully turned into a potent symbol of the threat of carbon-intensive oil sands crude. In November the Obama administration delayed the project, once described as a “no brainer” by Canada’s Prime Minister Stephen Harper, after a wave of protests erupted in Washington and on the campaign trail. The decision was like a shot of adrenalin for the green movement and groups are planning more creative and high profile efforts to fight a range of energy projects. Republicans in Congress maneuvered to keep Keystone alive by including a provision in tax legislation that would force the White House to make decision on the project within 60 days. But green groups have vowed to fight on and the administration has already said it cannot approve the project because of the time needed to study new routes. “For the moment we’re stuck fighting one pipeline, one gas well at a time,” said Bill McKibben, who rose to prominence with his staging of huge protests against Keystone and is now using his influence to attack the fracking bonanza. FRACKING IN THE SPOTLIGHT Oil and gas companies are using advanced drilling techniques to unlock vast stores of shale fuel across the country, which is bringing legions of rigs, trucks and workers to areas unused to such activity. The companies employ the controversial “fracking” drilling process, that involves fracturing rock formations by shooting vast and often secret cocktails of water and chemicals deep underground to free a trove of hydrocarbons. The oil and gas industry argues that the fracking technique has been used safely for years and advances in the practice have set off a revolution that is creating jobs and boosting U.S. energy security. But, environmentalists warn against downplaying their concerns about fracking. “I’m not sure that they really want a Keystone XL fight on their hands, because the public is strong and they’re not going to back down on this issue,” said Deb Nardone, director of the Sierra Club’s natural gas reform campaign, which formally launched this year. Worries about shale output have already prompted the Environmental Protection Agency and the Interior Department to begin crafting new regulations that address issues such as wastewater disposal and disclosure of chemicals. Green Groups have made headway with their appeals in New York, where authorities have imposed a temporary moratorium on shale drilling. Environmentalists also cheered a decision by regulators to delay a vote on lifting a ban on shale drilling in the Delaware River basin that affects the states of New York, Pennsylvania, Delaware and New Jersey. John Sachs, a director at energy investment bank Taylor-DeJongh, said the economic and domestic energy benefits of access to cleaner burning natural gas will ultimately win out, but green groups may be able to make inroads in some areas. “It may slow down some of the development in some states,” Sachs said. He said such delays would not necessarily be negative for development, because it would allow industry and regulators to address some of the public concerns. CHANGING THE MAP American Gas Association president Dave McCurdy recently told reporters that while there were some legitimate concerns about development, the problems were manageable. “None of those are going to halt the production of shale gas in this country,” McCurdy told reporters earlier this month. “It is changing the political and economic map.” Still, the expansion of shale production has spawned dozens of local groups and activists focused on combating development. Scott Ely, a resident of the small town of Dimock, Pennsylvania, very much at the epicenter of the fight over shale production, said he is trying to spread his story. Green groups have rallied in support of Ely and 10 other families in Dimock that say their water was contaminated after Cabot Oil and Gas began drilling in their area. Cabot has denied responsibility. “As far as the oil industry goes, this is a machine you’re probably not going to be able to stop because the world needs its gas,” Ely said in Dimock in December where supporters in a publicity event delivered fresh water to the families. “But because of what we did three years ago, when we started coming out, they’ve already started making changes in the way they operate.” (Reporting By Ayesha Rascoe; Editing by Bob Burgdorfer)

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Phone Activations Were Up 350 Percent On Christmas

December 27, 2011

‪ ‬ By Tricia Duryee, A Gift to Developers: A Quarter of a Billion Apps Downloaded on Christmas via All Things D A record-number of new devices activated on Christmas morning is leading to a tidal wave of new mobile application downloads. Apple’s App Store is on pace to exceed 10 billion downloads this year alone, which is twice the number it recorded over the three previous years combined. The Android Market is also setting records. Over the past seven months, it has achieved more than 7 billion downloads, which more than triples its life-to-date downloads of 3 billion reached in May 2011. At those rates, both operating systems are generating roughly one billion downloads a month, or the equivalent of 33 million a day. The data was reported by Flurry Analytics, which creates tools that thousands of developers use to track usage of their mobile applications. Christmas Day was one of the big catalysts for achieving huge end-of-the-year records. Flurry found that application downloads more than doubled on Christmas compared to the average number of downloads occurring during the first 20 days of December. On Dec. 25, it registered 242 million app downloads, jumping more than 125 percent over an average day. In addition, because of its insight into application usage, Flurry is also able to see the number of new devices activated. Phones and tablets are always a hot Christmas item and this year was no exception. On the average day in December, 1.5 million phones were activated, but on Christmas, 6.8 million were activated, representing a 353 percent spike. Last year, Christmas held the previous single-day record with 2.8 million device activations. A Gift to Developers: A Quarter of a Billion Apps Downloaded on Christmas via All Things D Also on All Things D: EA Star Wars Game Off to Forceful Start in Quest to Catch World of Warcraft Supply Chain Chatter Has Two Apple TVs Targeted for Midyear Launch Jildy, Whose Patents Google Owns and Facebook Licenses, Launches Its First App

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Kent Smetters: Risk Less and Prosper

December 27, 2011

The new investor book, Risk Less and Prosper , by famed Boston University finance professor Zvi Bodie and leading financial advisor Rachelle Taqqu, is a good read for those of you who are skeptical of investing in today’s stock market. But it is a must-read for those of you who actually think that you know what you are doing. Nobel prize winner Robert Merton wrote the book’s forward. Bodie and Taqqu challenge much of the conventional wisdom about investment advice. The biggest myth they explore is that stocks are less risky the longer that you hold them. While very few economists really ever believed this idea, it is widely practiced by financial advisors. That’s unfortunate. In fact, recent research by my colleague Robert Stambaugh at Wharton and Lubos Pastor at Chicago demonstrates that the expected return to stocks is so uncertain that longer-horizon investors should maybe hold fewer stocks. Besides challenging “what” to invest in, Bodie and Taqqu also challenge “how” to think about investing altogether. Most investment advice pitched by financial advisors is terribly naïve, even if supposedly based on “modern portfolio theory.” In essence, most financial advisors construct investments based on a client’s “risk tolerance” that is judged by asking them a series of hypothetical questions. Once created, this same portfolio is then applied across almost every potential goal of the client including, for example, a wedding next year, a house down payment, college, cars, vacations, and even retirement. This simpleton procedure is the basis of calculations by almost all popular software packages being used today by financial advisors. Instead, Bodie and Taqqu argue for a more real goal-based approach. Each goal should be matched with its own appropriate investment. Basic living expenses during retirement should be financed by low-risk investments, for example, Treasury inflation protected securities held in tax deferred retirement accounts. Only less important goals should be financed by taking on more risk. Of course, the Bodie and Taqqu approach would require additional saving and sacrifice today since the expected returns to safe investments are lower than risky equities. But don’t let appearances deceive you: the larger expected return to equities is simply a reward for taking on more risk. Any advisor who tells you otherwise is selling you fool’s gold. As a professor, I like Risk Less and Prosper because it forces academics to think more critically about the variety of different risks and priorities that exist in the real world. As an actual practitioner — I closely advise Veritat Advisors — the book is consistent with how we generally think about risk management. (Disclosure: Zvi Bodie serves on Veritat’s board of advisors.) For you as the reader, this book will give you the confidence to start taking control of your financial life again by avoiding a lot of dumb risks and marketing pitches along the way.

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Winter Energy Saving Tips To Cut Costs And Stay Warm

December 27, 2011

With the warmth of spring months away and parts of the U.S. getting battered by winter weather , maintaining your home in the cold is crucial. There are several easy, but important steps you can take to not only make sure your home stays warm, but also to help cut down on heating costs. As an added benefit, making your home heating more efficient will also help to save energy, which is better for everyone in the long run. Be sure to also check out these tips on purchasing energy efficient light bulbs . Don’t forget to take care of yourself too, this winter. Check out these tips for curing dry winter skin naturally . Tips and captions courtesy of the EPA and Edison Electric Institute as marked.

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Dems, Reps Agree On Reducing Jobless Benefits

December 21, 2011

WASHINGTON — Republicans and Democrats have clashed frequently over federal unemployment insurance ever since the unemployed first became eligible for 99 weeks of benefits at the end of 2009. Despite the high-profile disagreements, which have repeatedly led to lapsed benefits for millions of people, Republicans and Democrats broadly agree on what to do next: reduce the duration of benefits and make sure their cost isn’t added to the federal budget deficit. But unless Congress reaches a compromise in the next week or so, federal unemployment benefits will lapse again for nearly 2 million people come January. In December, Republicans proposed reducing the number of weeks available by 40. Democrats are willing to meet them halfway by cutting 20 weeks, albeit in a backdoor fashion: Congress would reauthorize the two federal unemployment programs, but the second would automatically phase out in one state after another over the course of 2012. The phaseout would begin under a bill that passed the Senate on Saturday per a deal between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) and his GOP counterpart, Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.). Democrats in the House of Representatives want the House to pass the Senate bill immediately. Although the Senate legislation would keep the federal programs in place for just two months, the second Extended Benefits program would phase out in 11 states during that time. It’s a “wholly inadequate” outcome, said Rep. Sander Levin (D-Mich.), the top Democrat on the committee overseeing unemployment, because “with very little warning, tens of thousands of long-term unemployed Americans will be cut off unemployment insurance.” Levin did not say, however, that he opposed the bill. The Extended Benefits program, which provides help for up to 20 weeks, kicks in after workers exhaust up to 53 weeks of federal Emergency Unemployment Compensation following 26 weeks of state benefits. The program is restricted to states with high and rising jobless rates. If a state’s jobless rate isn’t significantly higher than its rate three years ago, the program is not triggered. Democrats in both the House and Senate initially proposed reauthorizing Extended Benefits to allow states to extend their “lookback” period to four years ago, which would have meant more states kept the benefits through 2012. Those proposals have been pushed aside. As Republicans have noted, the Obama administration was the first to suggest letting Extended Benefits dwindle in 2012. Cynthia Rogers of Minneapolis received a letter last week telling her that Extended Benefits would end on Jan. 8. Rogers, 55, has been drawing unemployment benefits since September 2010, after she lost her job as a registered nurse due to an injury. She’s currently on the third “tier” of Emergency Unemployment Compensation, which lasts only 47 weeks in Minnesota (the duration of federal unemployment programs varies by state ). Rogers will be eligible for 13 weeks of Extended Benefits starting in January — if Congress renews the program and allows states to change their triggers. Rogers could use the money. “I’d be able to pay my medical premium for another month or two, and my car insurance and my rent,” she said. “But I still need a job.” She said she has already sold her house and is grateful her children are grown. She’s applied for pet store jobs as well as nursing positions. She’s planning to enroll in dog grooming school and launch a new career in Texas as soon as she can. “At age 55, no one wants to hire you,” she said in an email. “So, unless a Christmas miracle happens, I am at the mercy of Congress and the Lord Himself. I place my trust in God, not Congress.” As recently as 2010, Democrats insisted that the cost of federal unemployment compensation not be offset with spending cuts or tax hikes elsewhere in the budget, arguing that deficit spending stimulates the economy. They’ve since abandoned that stance and only disagree with Republicans on how the benefits should be paid for. Another area of agreement: Both parties support making millionaires ineligible for unemployment insurance. If such a policy had been in place in 2009, it would have saved $20 million out of $135.9 billion spent on benefits, according to the National Employment Law Project. The worker advocacy group argued in a recent report that cutting off higher earners could undermine what is supposed to be an entitlement for anyone who loses a job through no fault of his or her own: “[E]xaggerating the extent to which millionaires, a group of potential beneficiaries who garner little or no public sympathy, are drawing UI [unemployment insurance] benefits opens the door to means-testing of unemployment benefits at any level of income by essentially eliminating UI for certain workers at the highest income levels.” Republicans are on their own, however, when it comes to allowing states to drug-test the jobless and require layoff victims who haven’t finished high school to enroll in GED courses as a condition for receiving benefits. Neither Democrats nor Republicans have said they’d be willing to drop extended unemployment compensation altogether, something Congress has never done with a national jobless rate above 7.2 percent. But the latest deal has fallen apart, and most members of the House and Senate have returned to their districts for a Christmas break that ends in late January. As many as 1.8 million long-term jobless will lose assistance over the course of the month. Arthur Delaney is the author of ” A People’s History of the Great Recession ,” HuffPost’s first e-book.

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Cities With The Most Money To Spend On Christmas Gifts

December 21, 2011

Looking for an expensive Christmas gift? Track down family and friends living in the Washington, D.C. metro area. D.C. tops the list of cities with the most money to spend on Christmas gifts, according to an index developed by Richard Florida and the Martin Property Institute, cited by The Atlantic . The top 20 list also includes New York, San Francisco and other large metro areas. The cities in Florida’s list may be where shoppers are spending the most on gifts, but consumers everywhere are likely to spend more on Christmas presents this year. The National Retail Federation upped its holiday sales forecast earlier this week to a 3.8 percent boost or a record-breaking total of $469 billion. In response to the demand, some stores are offering extended hours to give consumers ample time to shop. Toys ‘R Us is staying open for 112 hours straight in the lead up to Christmas, CNNMoney reports and 14 Macy’s stores will stay open from Wednesday to Saturday — or 83 hours straight, — according to the Chicago Tribune . And if Black Friday is any indication, the extended hours may help boost retailers. After stores like Target, Best Buy, Macy’s and Walmart opened earlier on Black Friday — or even on Thanksgiving day — sales on the largest shopping day of the year were up 9.1 percent, according to the NRF . But some weren’t happy with the earlier openings. Workers at Target and Best Buy started petitions aimed at convincing their employers not to open at midnight on Black Friday because it would limit the amount of time they could spend with family on Thanksgiving day. These are the cities with the most money to spend on Christmas shopping, according to Richard Florida and the Martin Property Institute:

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Mortgage Modification Blunders Bedevil U.S. Housing Recovery

December 19, 2011

WASHINGTON (Aruna Viswanatha) – Shirley Burnell, a community activist from Oakland, California, has been trying to get her subprime loan restructured since 2007. She never missed a payment, but the adjustable rate mortgage she got in 2004 shot up to a monthly payment she could no longer afford. First she provided documents without getting any response, then she was denied in April by her servicer, Bank of America, for not providing documents it never actually asked for. As one part of the bank appealed that decision and approved her for a trial modification, another part denied her again – twice – providing two new reasons in part based on inaccurate calculations, according to documents reviewed by Reuters. When asked about Burnell’s case, a bank spokesman said she was unable to qualify under “imminent default provisions,” a third reason that Burnell said she had never been given. At one point, Burnell even received notice the bank would accelerate foreclosure proceedings, despite her perfect payment record and the letter itself saying the bank owed her $281.01. “They gave you a funky loan in the first place, and now they’re refusing to work with people to get it worked out,” Burnell said. “It just keeps you upset all the time.” Bank of America is “committed to keeping customers in their homes whenever the homeowner has the financial wherewithal to make reasonable payments and the desire to keep the home,” a spokesman for the bank said. Three years after the foreclosure crisis began, the process to apply for a loan modification remains a bureaucratic nightmare that is complicating the housing recovery and could dull the impact of any Obama administration initiatives in the works. The administration’s biggest foreclosure-prevention effort, the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), targeted to help 3 million to 4 million homeowners, has reached only about a quarter of that since its 2009 inception. The program pushed mortgage servicers to cut interest, extend terms, or defer parts of a loan in an effort to reduce monthly payments and keep borrowers in their homes. But servicers have dragged their feet on providing wide-scale modifications. They continue to lose documents, use inaccurate numbers to issue denials, or both approve and deny applications at the same time, according to housing advocates. “It delays resolution of the problem of defaulting loans and it is adding uncertainty to the market,” said Susan Wachter, a housing expert at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. Around one in every 12 mortgages in the country is delinquent, and only a fraction of them have received modifications. “Somehow the borrower is unreachable, or the servicer hasn’t found the right way to reach the borrower, but the fact is, we see (modifications) piercing maybe 10 to 25 percent of the potential population,” said Diane Westerback, a managing director of global surveillance analytics at Standard & Poor’s. Banks have stepped up efforts to deal with the foreclosure crisis since 2009. Chase, for example, set up 82 centers around the country specifically to deal with struggling homeowners. Wells Fargo hosts one-day fairs for homeowners to bring in all of their paperwork and potentially get approved for a modification on the spot. Bank of America says it has completed almost 1 million modifications since 2008, and Wells Fargo says it initiated or completed more than two modifications for every one foreclosure of owner-occupied homes in the past two years. But the majority of homeowners, advocates say, still get stuck in byzantine mazes, with no real enforcement mechanism to pursue under HAMP. “If you get a minor traffic ticket, you get a right to an impartial hearing, but if you are applying for federal home saving assistance, the bank is judge, jury, and executioner,” said Joseph Sant, a lawyer at Staten Island Legal Services who helps defend homeowners facing foreclosure. ‘GOING IN CIRCLES’ It took nearly one year for Hakan Tale to convince his servicer, Chase, that it overvalued his house by more than $100,000 in rejecting a modification. Once he was able to convince Chase of that mistake, it rejected him again, dropping his monthly income by almost $4,000 and determining he didn’t make enough money to qualify, even though his actual income had not changed. In November, more than two years after Tale first sought a modification, Chase asked him to submit an entirely new application. “Maybe they don’t want me to be an example for other people,” said Tale, who lives with his wife and three children in Staten Island, New York. “Any excuse they find, they deny it.” “We have worked with the customer and reviewed his application multiple times, and have been involved in multiple mediation meetings,” a Chase spokesman said. Another Staten Island resident, 77-year-old Hamson McPherson, was first denied a modification two years ago by his servicer, Wells Fargo, after it miscalculated his income. The bank then served him with a foreclosure summons and complaint, which in New York can lead to court-supervised settlement conference. But it stalled on moving forward for so long that McPherson triggered the proceedings himself in August 2011 to try to negotiate an alternative to foreclosure. In October, more than two years after he first applied for a modification, the bank told him there was an investor restriction on the loan, which meant it couldn’t modify it. That investor agreement was public, Wells Fargo told him. But after confronting the bank with that agreement, which did not include any such restriction, the bank told him there was a previously undisclosed secret document that included the restriction. “It’s a nightmare,” McPherson said, “when you have these things, you don’t get proper sleep at all.” In an ironic twist, the hold music played when he called Wells Fargo once was a song called, “Going in Circles.” “I listened to it for five minutes and then hung up because I was so upset,” he said. A Wells Fargo spokesman said the bank has “worked for some time to find payment assistance within the investor guidelines of the loan.” “We continue to work with him to find alternatives to foreclosure,” the spokesman said. ‘NOT DOING THEIR JOB’ Even with staff additions — Chase, for example, added some 10,000 employees to deal with defaults, and Bank of America increased its 5,000 employees to 40,000 — individual negotiators can still have hundreds, or even thousands of cases open, according to housing advocates. Employees can be so overwhelmed that applications languish for months. Banks consider financial documents “stale” within two or three months, forcing homeowners to provide updated documents all over again. While housing counselors have seen some improvements in the past few years, many borrowers are still not even able to email applications in; they have to fax them in, thus creating no real paper trail. Carlos Cespedes, an advocate with the Neighborhood of Affordable Housing in Boston, said his files include 25 faxes of the same document, provided over and over to a servicer that said it never received it or lost it. One of his clients traveled to Central America to obtain her deported husband’s signature on a document renouncing his interest in the property, but had to send that same document six times to her servicer who kept losing it. “These are institutions that have taken a huge amount of bailout money. There should be a level of responsibility to communities,” said Josh Zinner, an advocate with the Neighborhood Economic Development Advocacy Project in New York. “HAMP is far from perfect, but the biggest problem is servicers not doing their job.” (Reporting by Aruna Viswanatha; Editing by Xavier Briand) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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GOP Candidate’s Firm Profited While Jobs Disappeared From Key Primary State

December 19, 2011

GAFFNEY, S.C. — More than two decades ago, Mitt Romney’s business venture came to town with a bounty of highly anticipated manufacturing jobs. The new plant, just past the gas station off Interstate 85, needed skilled workers to churn out thousands of photo albums. Four years later, the Holson Burns Group Inc. – the company controlled by Romney’s Bain Capital LLC – closed the factory and laid off about 150 workers. Some jobs were sent north, where months later many of those were also eliminated. Other operations went overseas. But Bain walked away with millions in profits. A review by The Associated Press of financial and regulatory documents in the case of Holson Burnes contrasts with statements Romney has made during his presidential campaign about his success creating jobs in the private sector. It shows how Bain, then headed by Romney, wrung profits out of the company by slashing costs and trimming its work force. By coincidence, the economic fallout from Bain’s decisions struck hardest in South Carolina and New Hampshire, early primary states that will shape the Republican race and Romney’s White House prospects. Romney knows President Barack Obama – not to mention the other Republican hopefuls – will be picking apart his record at Bain. “He’s going to go after me and say, you know, in businesses that you’ve invested in, they didn’t all succeed,” Romney said at last week’s Republican debate. “Some failed. Some laid people off. And he’ll be absolutely right.” Yet Romney said that, overall, his investments produced tens of thousands of jobs. “In the real world, some things don’t make it,” Romney added. Under Romney, Bain Capital earned a reputation for turning around struggling companies and establishing well-known brands such as Domino’s Pizza and the Staples office supply retailer. But the little-known story of Holson Burnes shows the human toll in this town of about 12,000 people touched by Bain’s pursuit of profit. For Bain, the plan was a financial success: Holson Burnes raised $24 million from its initial public offering on the over-the-counter trading market, with Bain executives retaining the majority of the company’s shares. Bain, in the end, reaped more than double the return on its initial investment. But workers were left jobless just as the local economy began to slump. ___ LURING INVESTORS In 1987, Bain Capital pounced on a golden opportunity: It set its sights on Hallmark’s Burnes of Boston, having bought the Holson Co. the year before. Executives organized the companies under the Holson Burnes Group, which by 1992 was one of the nation’s largest makers of photo albums and picture frames. Company executives quickly went to work growing their new venture. They foresaw “significant growth” for their products in the South, a local newspaper reported, so South Carolina officials lured the company to Gaffney with more than $5 million in industrial bonds. Officials in Cherokee County, about 60 miles from Charlotte, N.C., pushed for $200,000 in utility upgrades. Within months, Holson Burnes opened its 114,000-square-foot factory, using land on the outskirts of Gaffney once owned by a farm-supply company. By April 1988, about 100 workers were fastening together photo albums for the growing business. “It was a new, state-of-the-art plant with lots of people,” recalled Robert Weaver, who worked there in the late 1980s and later became a county official. But in time, the red ink grew. Although Holson Burnes’ sales nearly doubled from 1987 to 1991 – to more than $110 million_ it posted consecutive operating losses, reports stated. Executives blamed the recession and a shift in consumer habits. To stem the losses, Holson Burnes closed the plant and sold the property in July 1992 for $2.8 million, county records show. The company paid off its mortgage and transferred a small number of remaining jobs to New Hampshire. Undoubtedly, Bain executives had their eye on the bottom line as they were preparing to close the Gaffney plant. Just six months before, the company touted “improved efficiencies” and “stronger cost controls” in its regulatory filings, just as it reported losses in early 1992. The cost-cutting worked, just as the company prepared its initial public offering. By 1993, Holson Burnes brought in more than $3 million in after-tax profit, a stark turnaround from its $12.4 million loss the year before. ___ JOB CUTS A PATTERN Holson Burnes had brought new jobs to Gaffney amid a downtrodden economy. It was no surprise when county development officials worked quickly to find a surrogate after Bain closed up shop. The local plant manager formed a small spinoff company and rehired about 20 to 30 workers. In the end, Holson Burnes saved millions of dollars. Yet its squeeze on Gaffney was hardly unique. Just as executives closed down operations here and sold its South Carolina factory to the Bic Corp., residents 900 miles away in Claremont, N.H., were preparing for the new jobs. The company said in spring 1992 that the expansion in Claremont “will allow us to focus our attention on our rapidly growing base” of products. But the prospect of new jobs – similar to expectations in Gaffney – was short lived. Within seven months, Holson Burnes began issuing furloughs to half its Claremont employees. Even if things looked up, the company told its workers, it would not rehire most of its clerical or managerial staff. Exact numbers of layoffs were never announced. Some workers estimated that 85 to 100 employees were affected, telling the local Claremont Eagle Times that entire departments had been “decimated.” The cost-cutting continued at Holson Burnes. By 1992, the company manufactured nearly 75 percent of its photo frames overseas, according to documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. One of the company’s clock-making divisions also shipped work overseas from a Rhode Island plant. But the business decisions didn’t come without risk or public scrutiny. Two clockmakers sued Holson Burnes in U.S. District Court in August 1992, claiming executives convinced them to hold off on demanding $1.9 million in IOU payments so that Holson Burnes could pull its Cuckoo Clock Manufacturing Co. out of a financial tailspin. A judge dismissed the case three years later. ___ TENDING A `GOLDEN GOOSE’ Since announcing his candidacy for the White House, Romney has touted his business experience to convince voters that he’s a better alternative to Obama as the country grapples with a weak economy. “This president doesn’t know how the economy works,” Romney said last week. “I believe to create jobs, it helps to have created jobs.” After working as a top official for Bain & Co., Romney founded Bain Capital, where he largely made his personal fortune of $190 million to $250 million. He headed Bain Capital for more than 15 years before leaving to run the Salt Lake Olympic organizing committee. Under Romney, Bain Capital invested millions of dollars into dozens of private-equity ventures. Some produced staggering profitability – one company showed a return rate greater than 1,000 percent – and by the late 1990s Bain targeted tech firms that specialized in software and telecommunications. Romney insists now that he was never about “buying things, taking them apart, closing them down,” as he told “Fox News Sunday.” “My business was associated with trying to make enterprises more successful. Not always was I able to succeed. But in each case, we tried to grow an enterprise, and in doing so, hopefully provide a better future for those associated with that enterprise.” Holson Burnes was one of Romney’s lesser-known investments. In 1986, just as it bought smaller companies to form the Holson Burnes Group, Bain sank roughly $10 million in its new project under Romney’s leadership. By 1992, Holson Burnes’ photography products lined the shelves in major American department stores. Bain eventually earned roughly $22 million from its initial investment – an average rate of return that a Deutsche Bank financial prospectus said surpassed 20 percent. Indeed, it was Bain’s investment in Holson Burnes and other ventures that made Romney undoubtedly wary about leaving the company he founded – it now manages about $66 billion in assets – to organize the 2002 Winter Olympics. “How could I walk away from the golden goose,” Romney wrote in his 2004 book, “especially now that it was laying even more golden eggs?” ___ ___ Contact the Washington investigative team at DCInvestigations(at)ap.org

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Dems Find Silver Lining In GOP Opposition To Payroll Tax Deal

December 19, 2011

WASHINGTON — Many Democrats think House Republicans have given them an early political Christmas present by opposing the Senate deal to extend the middle-class payroll tax cut for two months . “Without a doubt, this is a gift,” a senior Democratic aide told HuffPost, predicting that if the House GOP kills the compromise, Democrats will hammer them relentlessly through the holidays and beyond for hurting the middle class. “If Republicans block this vote,” the aide said, “we are going to spend a month back in every member’s state talking about how we reached an overwhelming compromise to extend unemployment benefits and a middle-class tax cut, but that it was blocked by House Republicans, whose only concern all year has been keeping millionaires and billionaires from paying a penny more in taxes.” The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is so certain that GOP opposition to the deal is a political loser that it is already campaigning on that opposition, launching a website and a round of robocalls targeting 20 Republicans in swing districts. “If House Republicans block this bipartisan compromise it will be a middle class mugging of $1,000 from 160 million middle income Americans,” said DCCC Chairman Steve Israel in a statement. Democrats feel they are on especially strong ground because most of the GOP senators voted for the two-month extension of the 2 percent payroll tax break for salaries up to $110,000. Republicans in the Senate backed it because they’ve asked for all the measures in the deal, including language about the controversial Keystone XL pipeline that they insisted on. Republicans and Democrats in the Senate settled on a two-month deal because they could not agree on how to pay for a longer-term package that would cost about $200 billion. They figured that at least taxes wouldn’t immediately rise for middle-class workers, and lawmakers would have gained more time to deal with their disagreements over funding. But House Republicans have rebelled. They’re threatening to vote down the deal on Monday evening, arguing that it should have done more and run longer — a full year. “After 39 Republicans in the Senate voted for this compromise, House Republicans have the chance tonight to stop this $1,000 middle income tax hike from happening on January 1,” said Rep. Israel (D-N.Y.). “If they fail, their extreme partisanship will have cost Americans money.” For some of the robocalls, the DCCC employed opinionated Democratic strategist James Carville, including for a spot rolling out in the district of Rep. Bob Gibbs (R-Ohio). “Something remarkable happened this weekend — Democrats and Republicans in the Senate worked together to stop a $1,000 payroll tax hike on 160 million middle class families,” Carville says. “Sounds too good to be true? It is, if Representative Bob Gibbs doesn’t do the right thing and support it.” Also singled out are GOP Reps. Elton Gallegly (Calif.), Jerry Lewis (Calif.), Mike Coffman (Colo.), Bill Young (Fla.), Tom Rooney (Fla.), Kevin Yoder (Kan.), Tim Walberg (Mich.), Renee Ellmers (N.C.), Jon Runyan (N.J.), Michael Grimm (N.Y.), Mike Kelly (Pa.), Pat Meehan (Pa.), Mike Fitzpatrick (Pa.), Tim Murphy (Pa.), Kristi Noem (S.D.), Stephen Fincher (Tenn.), Joe Barton (Texas), Jaime Herrera Beutler (Wash.) and David McKinley (W.Va.). One senior Democratic aide, who would have preferred to have the issue resolved, nevertheless couldn’t believe Democrats’ political good fortune. “This is a great message in small markets throughout the country, where a $1,000 a year means something and where everyone knows someone who’ll be dropped off the unemployment rolls,” the aide said. “House Republicans are letting their egos cloud their judgment on this one.” Still, the DCCC’s counterpart, the National Republican Congressional Committee, tried to spin the argument its way, sending out a statement entitled, “Vacation, All House Dems Ever Wanted.” “House Democrat Leader Nancy Pelosi is leading her fellow Democrats to oppose any effort to prevent a tax increase on middle class families for one full year,” the NRCC argued, although voting down the Senate’s two-month deal actually raises the chance that taxes will go up Jan. 1 if the sides cannot agree. “It seems that while America’s families suffer in record poverty, all House Democrats want to do is take the easy way out and vote for a Senate-passed bill that raises taxes on middle class families in two months, just so they can go on vacation,” the NRCC argued.

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iPad-Maker’s $12-Billion Deal Faces Major Hurdles

October 30, 2011

By Luciana Lopez and Stuart Grudgings JUNDIAI, Brazil (Reuters) – The nondescript stretch of asphalt is an unlikely symbol of Brazil’s attempt to lift its economy into a new high-tech era. If officials in the industrial town of Jundiai get their way, it will soon be named Steve Jobs road — in homage to the late Apple Inc co-founder and a nod to the expected windfall that producing iPads and iPhones here will bring. Brazil’s government has loudly proclaimed a deal it says is worth $12 billion for Taiwanese technology giant Foxconn to produce iPads and build a whole new industry based around screens used in an array of consumer electronics from smartphones to televisions. But the infamous “Brazil cost” — shorthand for the bureaucracy and high taxes that plague business in the country — is already overshadowing the deal, complicating negotiations with Foxconn over the broader investment plan. The likely need for large state subsidized loans to lure Foxconn also revives concerns about the state’s heavy hand in Brazil’s economy. The deal’s transformative potential for Brazil is clear — a home-grown technology industry could move the commodities giant up the value-added chain to join the likes of Taiwan and South Korea, reducing its dependence on manufactured imports from Asia. Yet critics say Brazil’s shallow labor pool and poor infrastructure make it ill-prepared to make the leap to high-end work and that it risks being stuck at the low end — assembling components designed and made elsewhere. At first, Foxconn will have to fly in most of the key components such as semiconductors, modems and screens from China, as Brazil attempts to raise its ability to produce more of them locally. “We are selling our market very cheaply, giving tax incentives for a company to come and produce something that is already developed in the world market,” said Joao Maria de Oliveira, a researcher at the government-linked Institute for Applied Economic Research, or IPEA. “It’s not something that adds much value and it won’t leave much here.” The amount of value added to Apple products by Foxconn’s approximately one million workers in China is a mere $10 or so per device, according to a study by researchers at the University of California, Irvine. Brazil has cut taxes and duties on tablet production in a move that should reduce the retail price by about a third and is phasing in production requirements to foster a local components industry. Separately, it is in talks with Foxconn on a package of incentives, including priority customs access, more tax breaks and subsidized loans from state development bank BNDES to secure the bigger investment in high-end screens. It isn’t hard to see what’s in it for Foxconn, Apple and other foreign companies, including Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd that have expressed interest in making tablets here. Apple will gain better access to Brazil’s voracious consumers, who have faced high prices for its products due to hefty import tariffs, and will create a jumping-off point for other rapidly growing Latin American countries. Foxconn, the world’s largest contract electronics company, with around a third of the global market, would gain a vital foothold in Latin America’s largest economy and reduce the risks of having so much Apple production in China. Producing in Brazil would also give Foxconn and Apple preferential access to Brazil’s partners in the Mercosur customs union — Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. But the “Brazil cost” raises doubts over whether Apple will be able to make the iPad cheaply enough for the Brazilian market and use it as a major base to export to the United States and Latin America. Brazil’s consumer market is a huge draw for companies such as Apple, but analysts say the domestic industry will likely take years to move beyond assembly to higher-end production. “It will take at least five, six years to create the entire ecosystem there,” said Satish Lele, vice president, consulting, Asia Pacific at Frost & Sullivan in Singapore. “I don’t think they (Brazil) are ready to support huge growth as far as the electronics sector is concerned.” THE BRAZIL COST The Foxconn factory near “Steve Jobs” road is rumored by Brazilian media to already be producing iPhones and is expected to start churning out iPad tablets by December for sale to Brazil’s growing middle class. The company, whose main listed vehicle is Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd, has already hired more than 1,000 people in Jundiai, a medium-sized city an hour away from Sao Paulo, to work at a new plant. Jundiai is planning to build a technology park and nearby towns are also looking to draw more such investment. “We’re the BRICs of Brazil,” said Carmelo Paoletti Neto, a spokesman for the town, comparing the region to role played the emerging powerhouses Brazil, Russia, India and China on the global stage. But the starting monthly wage for members of the metalworkers’ union in Jundiai is about 1,058 reais ($605) — nearly double the 2,000 yuan ($315) minimum wage Foxconn paid in China as of last October. Those wage pressures are likely to make it hard for the iPad price to fall any time soon to a range that would give it the mass-market appeal it enjoys in the United States. Tablet sales in Brazil will jump to 450,000 this year from 105,000-110,000 last year, according to consulting firm IDC, surging to above 1 million next year. That is significant growth — but the 60 percent of Brazilian households without a computer won’t necessarily rush out to buy tablets, cautioned Jose Martim Juacida, an analyst with the company. “The first computer purchase is usually a desktop or a laptop, because a desktop can be shared,” he said. (Additional reporting by James Pomfret in Hong Kong; Lee Chyen Yee and Clare Jim in Taiwan; editing by Kieran Murray, Martin Howell and Andre Grenon) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions

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U.S. Birth Rate Continues To Decline, A Sign Of Down Economy

October 15, 2011

The birth rate continued to drop last year in the United States, according to new data from the Pew Research Center, and experts are linking it to a down economy. The birth rate began declining in 2008, following a year of record high births in 2007, according to the Pew report. In 2007, there were 4,316,233 births and 69.6 babies born for every 1,000 childbearing-age woman; in 2010, there were just 4,007,000 births, and 64.7 births per 1,000 women. “It’s almost certainly due to a lack of confidence in the economy ,” demographer Carl Haub, of the Population Reference Bureau, told CNN. Kids are expensive because of the money it takes to feed, clothe and care for them, he told CNN. However, Haub said it’s not that kids aren’t desirable to us anymore; rather we are waiting until we can afford them. The Pew report also shows that states with the highest levels of unemployment had the biggest decreases in birth rate. And the state with the lowest unemployment rate — North Dakota — was the single state that actually had an increase in birth rate (though by just 0.7 percent), Politico reported. For the full Pew report, click here .

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Slovakia’s Government Falls After Losing Confidence Vote

October 11, 2011

BRATISLAVA, Oct 11 (Reuters) – Slovakia’s government lost a confidence vote called on a plan to bolster the euro zone’s EFSF rescue fund, but the package was expected to go through in a later re-vote because the outgoing prime minister planned to ask for help from the opposition. The result had been anticipated after a junior party in the coalition said it would abstain. All of the 16 other euro zone countries have already ratified the plan to give more powers to the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF). Slovakia’s main opposition party, the leftist Smer, has said it would be willing to discuss supporting the EFSF deal after the government has fallen. Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Scott Walker Recall Effort Kicks Off Next Month

October 11, 2011

MADISON, Wis. — An effort to recall Republican Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker over his contentious union rights law will begin Nov. 15, Democrats announced Monday, meaning an election could be held as early as next spring. Wisconsin Democratic Party Chairman Mike Tate said on the party’s website that recall petitions will be circulated starting Nov. 15, giving supporters of the effort until Jan. 13 to collect 540,208 signatures. Walker has become a national hero to many Republicans and conservatives and is a hot ticket on the fundraising and speaking circuit. But he is the top target for unions and Democrats as he became the face of the anti-union movement this year with his proposal that took away nearly all collective bargaining rights from most public workers. “It has become clearer than ever that the people of Wisconsin – the traditions and institutions of our great state – cannot endure any more of Scott Walker’s abuses. To preserve Wisconsin, we must begin the recall of Walker as soon as possible,” Tate said in a statement on the website. Two Republican state senators who voted for the law lost recall elections this summer, while four other Republicans and three Democrats survived recalls. The nine elections attracted $44 million in spending from national unions, conservative groups and others. Under Wisconsin law, a recall can’t be started until a year after the officeholder was inaugurated. Walker was inaugurated on Jan. 3, which made Nov. 4 the soonest the recall effort could begin. A group called United Wisconsin is leading the Walker recall effort and has collected pledges from more than 200,000 people to sign recall petitions. The group’s founder, Mike Brown of Appleton, did not immediately respond to an email requesting comment Monday night. The Republican Party of Wisconsin said it welcomed the recall effort. “Wisconsin school districts and local municipalities have saved millions of taxpayer dollars thanks to the Governor’s reforms, and we welcome and encourage a comparison between the positive results we’re seeing around the state and the failed policies of the past favored by those seeking a recall,” Stephan Thompson, the state GOP’s executive director, said in a statement. Tate’s statement accused Walker of being “dishonest with the people of Wisconsin” when he ran for governor. “Soon after he took office, he proposed a radical change to state law by trying to take away state workers’ rights to collective bargaining which he never mentioned once during the campaign,” Tate said. “We cannot sit back and allow Scott Walker to continue to dismantle our education system, run our government as an auxiliary of corporate special interests, put our clean air and water at risk, and ignore an unemployment crisis that his policies exacerbated.” There have only been two successful gubernatorial recall elections in U.S. history. The first was in 1921 in North Dakota and the other was when California Gov. Gray Davis was removed from office in 2003. In Wisconsin, once recall backers file the required paperwork to start collecting signatures, they have 60 days to return the 540,208 required to trigger the election. If the effort starts on Nov. 15, the deadline for supporters to turn in petitions would be Jan. 13. Once signatures are submitted to the Government Accountability Board, it has 31 days to review them. It will likely seek an extension to review the large number or signatures, similar to one it received for the recalls targeting state senators. Legal fights could also delay any election. If the board certifies the signatures, the recall election must be held six Tuesdays from that date. If more than two candidates run, that election would be the primary. A general election would be four weeks after that. “It is not possible to say with any certainty when the election would be, especially to say it could be in conjunction with any existing election,” said Reid Magney, spokesman for the Government Accountability Board. “There are many aspects of the process that would make it difficult to do that because of the unpredictability of the timelines.” No Democrat has announced plans to run against Walker. People mentioned as potential candidates include U.S. Rep. Ron Kind of La Crosse, former U.S. Rep. Dave Obey of Wausau, Assembly Minority Leader Peter Barca of Kenosha, state Sen. Jon Erpenbach of Waunakee, and former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk. Tate did not say whether the recall would target both Walker and Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch. The Government Accountability Board, which oversees elections, has requested an opinion from the attorney general’s office on how a recall against the governor would affect the lieutenant governor. Candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run on the same ticket in Wisconsin. Wisconsin has four previously scheduled elections next year: the spring primary on Feb. 21, the spring election and presidential primary on April 3, the fall primary on Sept. 11 and the fall general election on Nov. 6.

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Donating Breast Milk? There’s A Groupon For That

October 11, 2011

Groupon offers deep discounts on food and drink, but historically, breast milk has not been on the menu. Last week, however, Groupon subscribers in Indianapolis received a $10 pitch for pasteurized donor human milk from the Indiana Mothers’ Milk Bank (IMMB). The fine print explained what was going on: philanthropy. People who purchased the deal weren’t getting cutthroat bargains on breast milk for themselves; instead, the money raised would be used by the milk bank to offset the cost of providing human milk to premature and sick babies in need.

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Hundreds Sign Up For Yom Kippur Service At Occupy Wall Street

October 8, 2011

NEW YORK — It’s rare that Mae Singerman, a self-described secular Jew who grew up in a Reform family, observes Yom Kippur by praying, fasting or attending synagogue. But at sundown on Friday, the 27-year-old from Brooklyn planned to join hundreds of other Jews at the Occupy Wall Street demonstration for Kol Nidre, the opening service of Yom Kippur that starts the holiest time on the Jewish calendar. “For me, it’s about bringing my Jewish identity and my politics together,” said Singerman, who has participated in several anti-capitalism protests in recent years and visited the demonstration at Zuccotti Park for the first time last week. “Having a Jewish service or ceremony brings more Jews who wouldn’t necessarily come. I know people coming tonight who are pretty skeptical about Occupy Wall Street but are willing to give it a try because of the Yom Kippur service .” Organized mostly via Facebook over the last week, the Kol Nidre service starts at 7 p.m. across from the downtown park where demonstrations have occurred since mid-September. Almost 500 people have RSVP’d on Facebook, although at least a few dozen of them are out-of-towners who are just showing their support. The service, led by rabbis and students from several Jewish traditions, has been endorsed by Jewish organizations such as Jews for Racial and Economic Justice and the Shalom Center. The Rabbinical Assembly for Conservative Judaism has donated 100 prayer books for the service, and organizers say that the Battery Park Synagogue and Chabad of Wall Street have welcomed holy-day observers who spend the night at the protest camp to come pray at Saturday services. Similar Kol Nidre services have also been planned in Boston, Philadelphia and Washington, D.C. Daniel Sieradski , one of the service’s organizers who has been participating in the Occupy Wall Street demonstration, said he was inspired to arrange for the Yom Kippur service by a part of the haftarah from the Hebrew Bible, which is typically read the first morning of Yom Kippur. “You can fast for a day, you cover yourself in ashes, you can wear a sack cloth, but who cares if you are not out there feeding the hungry, housing the homeless, breaking the bonds of oppression?” said Sieradski, paraphrasing Isaiah 58:5. “I am less concerned about halacha, Jewish law, and traditional observance than I am about the prophetic character of recognizing the divine in my fellow human being,” said Sieradski, who also plans to observe the Jewish holiday of Sukkot at the demonstration. While Sieradski said he does not plan to sleep over at the encampment Friday night, Nom, a 23-year-old Talmud student, said she plans to spend the night there with a group of friends to start her Yom Kippur observance. She will walk two hours to her upper Manhattan home on Saturday morning to attend synagogue. “Part of Yom Kippur is that you are supposed to review the past year to see what you can improve about yourself and your community. I am seeing right now that I live in a country where homes are being foreclosed, where people are losing jobs and people are suffering,” said Nom, who did not wish to give her last name. “We’re hoping the people up top can do some sort of teshuva. It literally means ‘return,’ but the whole point is that one specifically in the 10 days between Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur will admit their wrongdoings and ask for forgiveness,” she said. “We are putting ourselves out there. and so should Wall Street. They should have the opportunity to review their actions and change.”

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Celebrities Help Occupy Wall Street

October 2, 2011

The Occupy Wall Street movement is a populist sit-in demonstration against what protestors charge are the corrupt practices of the financial industry, and the bought government complicity, that are helping drive the majority of the nation’s citizens into ruin.A collective that amplifies its voice with a passed-around Peoples’ Microphone, they have gained more attention over the past few weeks, culminating Saturday with a mass arrest of protestors on the Brooklyn Bridge. While the movement claims representation over the “other” 99% of the nation — those not making millions of dollars a year — they have received support from a number of left-leaning actors and entertainers, who, despite their high incomes, believe that government policy is skewed toward big business and the wealthy. Mark Ruffalo showed up over the weekend and tweeted non-stop his support, while last week, Roseanne Barr gave a speech that called for a combination of capitalism and socialism and a system based not on “bloated talk radio hosts” and “that goddamn Aynn Rand book.” Here’s a look at some of the celebs who have lent their voice — or at least investigated — the case. PHOTOS/VIDEOS:

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David Wild: "Takin’ It to the Streets": A Playlist for "Occupy Wall Street"

October 2, 2011

Despite some rumors flying through the Twitter-verse last week, Radiohead didn’t actually play “Occupy Wall Street.” That’s a shame because there are a few folks on Wall Street for whom “Creep” really ought to be their theme song. Instead, here’s a playlist for those gathered in downtown New York trying to make a big stand out in the streets. Please add your own songs for “Occupy Wall Street” below or at www.twitter.com/Wildaboutmusic . TAKIN’ IT TO THE STREETS – The Doobie Brothers DARK END OF THE STREET – The Flying Burrito Brothers WILD IN THE STREETS – Garland Jeffreys FOR THE LOVE OF MONEY – The O’Jays CREEP – Radiohead IN THE STREET – Big Star MONEYGRABBER – Fitz & The Tantrums TAKIN’ CARE OF BUSINESS – BTO IT’S MONEY THAT I LOVE – Randy Newman GOT MONEY – Lil’ Wayne featuring T-Pain WALL STREET SHUFFLE – 10cc MONEY’S TOO TIGHT TO MENTION – The Valentine Brothers NO SLEEP TILL BROOKLYN – Beastie Boys WORST THAT COULD HAPPEN – Johnny Maestro & The Brooklyn Bridge OUT IN THE STREET – Bruce Springsteen OUT IN THE STREETS – The Shangri-Las STREET FIGHTING MAN – The Rolling Stones YOUNG MAN BLUES – The Who YOU NEVER GIVE ME YOUR MONEY – The Beatles TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN – Steve Miller Band STEET LIFE – Roxy Music STREET WALKIN’ – Dan Auerbach ONE WAY STREET – Gordian Knot MONEY FOR NOTHING – Dire Straits FREE MONEY – Patti Smith STREET OF DREAMS – Guns N’ Roses STREET LIGHTS – Kanye West OPPORTUNITIES (LET’S MAKE LOTS OF MONEY) – Pet Shop Boys WALL STREET VILLAGE DAY – Four Seasons STREET LIFE – Neil Diamond WHERE THE STREETS HAVE NO NAMES – U2 THE STREET ONLY KNEW YOUR NAME – Van Morrison

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High Income Inequality Helped Early Societies Spread, Study Finds

October 2, 2011

As political rhetoric surrounding “class warfare” heats up, a new study indicates that class stratification may help a society spread. The unequal access to resources that comes with class stratification ultimately pushed societies to migrat e, displacing more egalitarian cultures, according to a study from Stanford University. The study’s findings would indicate the U.S. itself has some expanding left to do; the total net worth of the bottom 60 percent of U.S. households is less than that of Forbes 400 richest Americans . “The fact that unequal societies today vastly outnumber egalitarian societies may not be due to the replacement of the ethic of equality by a more selfish ethic, as originally thought by many researchers,” said Deborah Rogers, the lead author of the study. “Instead, it appears that the stratified societies simply spread and took over, crowding out the egalitarian populations.” But even if stratification helped societies spread during the early era of civilization as the study suggests, rising income inequality could now be hindering economic growth , according to an International Monetary Fund study released earlier this month. If income inequality decreased by 10 percent, the duration of an expected period of economic growth would grow by 50 percent, according to the paper. Americans may support a narrowing in the gap between classes, according to a recent poll by Daily Kos. The poll found that nearly three-quarters of Americans favor taxing households making more than $1 million at higher rate than middle class households. But when President Barack Obama proposed a rule along those lines earlier this month, he was met with accusations that he was stoking “class warfare.” And as the top 1 percent of America’s earners control 40 percent of the wealth , according to Vanity Fair , the ranks of the American poor swelled to its highest level since the Census Bureau started keeping track in the 1950s. A society’s poor absorbs resource instability allowing the ruling class and the overall social structure to stay “in tact,” according to the study. The stability allowed them to spread and outmaneuver more egalitarian societies, the study found. “This is not just an academic exercise,” Rogers said. “Inequalities in socioeconomic status are increasing sharply around the world. Understanding the causes and consequences of inequality and how to reduce it is one of the central challenges of our time.”

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BAE may cut 3,000 jobs as Typhoon orders slow: media

September 25, 2011

LONDON (Reuters) – British defense giant BAE Systems is set to announce up to 3,000 job losses as it struggles to secure orders for the Eurofighter Typhoon in the wake of cuts to defense budgets by partner nations, British media reported on Sunday. The Sunday Telegraph and Sky News said up to 3,000 workers could lose their jobs, all of them in Britain, as BAE prepares for a slowdown in orders to core markets — including the joint Eurofighter project. The Sunday Telegraph said the job losses could come as early as next week at the firm’s military aircraft division at two plants in northern England. BAE has a 33 percent stake in the Eurofighter, alongside EADS and Finmeccanica and has received orders for some 550 planes from the four partner nations involved — the UK, Germany, Italy and Spain. A spokeswoman for BAE said the company would not be drawn on possible job cut figures, which she said were speculative. “As a company we haven’t officially announced anything yet and our approach to this is, as and when we do, we would inform our staff first,” she said. But in a statement the company, which is Britain’s biggest manufacturer, said it had informed staff it is “reviewing our operations across various businesses” to make sure it was best placed to secure future business. BAE added: “In order to bridge the gap between current demand and future anticipated export contracts the production rate on the current Typhoon program for the partner nations will be slowed.” The firm said it was actively pursuing Typhoon contracts in India, Japan, Oman and Malaysia and that exports of the fighter aircraft “remained a priority” for the business. The timing of the possible layoffs in the defense industry will come as an embarrassment to the Conservative-led coalition government which is seeking to rebalance the economy away from service industries and toward manufacturing. BAE has already slashed 15,000 jobs globally in the past two years. Ian King, BAE’s chief executive, warned in February that more job cuts could be needed. (Reporting by Stefano Ambrogi; Editing by Sugita Katyal)

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Michael Thornton: 11 Reasons Why the Unemployment Crisis Is Even Worse Than You Think

September 19, 2011

President Obama recently addressed the nation during a joint session of Congress and the main theme of that address was the need to create jobs, lots of jobs, millions of jobs. The Great Recession has cost US workers millions of jobs and those jobs have not come back as quickly as they disappeared and in many cases those jobs will never return. According to the Economic Policy Institute , “In total, there are 6.9 million fewer jobs today than there were in December 2007.” That is only a small part of the jobs-hole story, a story that is often ignored, overlooked and oversimplified by mass media. The media has failed to present the unemployment problem, with all its associated economically devastating consequences, in the manner it deserves. It’s possible that unemployment facts and figures don’t translate well for advertisers, or they are too cumbersome to present in a two-minute segment. Whatever the reason, the mass media seem to avoid unemployment details as they would avoid describing and filming fresh road kill during a dinnertime newscast. While some excellent blogs clearly explain unemployment data, such as Mish’s Economic Trend Analysis , Calculated Risk and Economic Populist , mass media sites are absent. The unemployment rate remained at 9.1 percent for August. Unemployment to the mass media generally centers on that single point within the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) monthly employment report. There is passing mention of discouraged workers and the underemployed, but the true scale of the jobs crisis is given scant attention considering the magnitude of the problem. What follows are 11 unemployment details that mass media underreports or ignores completely. This list will not be recalled fondly as a top-10 list of best quarterbacks or favorite vacation retreats would, but it’s where the REAL unemployment crisis is exposed. 1. The jobs deficit : That is the total number of jobs lost PLUS jobs that should have been created since the recession began in December 2007; as mentioned above, there are 6.9 million fewer jobs today than at the start of the Great Recession, but that tells only half the tale of the jobs deficit. There is also the matter of creating jobs to keep up with the increase in workforce population. Those new workers include high school and college graduates, and immigrants. The number of jobs that need to be created each month to accommodate new entrants into the workforce ranges from 120,000 – 150,000. Adding together the jobs lost since the recession and the new jobs needed for population growth, the total jobs deficit is estimated to be 11.3 million. A few tax breaks, some targeted workforce retraining and some regulatory relief for businesses are not going to be the forces behind the creation of more than 11 million jobs. A massive effort is required to fill that gaping jobs hole. 2. Filling the jobs deficit: According to EPI : “To fill that gap in three years — by mid-2014 — while still keeping up with the growth in the working-age population — would require adding around 400,000 jobs every single month. To fill the gap in five years — by mid-2016 — would mean adding 280,000 jobs each month. By comparison, over the last three months, the economy added just 35,000 jobs, on average.” It’s striking that the economy has created only 105,000 jobs during the past three months. When considering only the new entrants to the workforce, such as recent college graduates, that three-month span produced a shortage of 270,000 or more jobs. 3. The Birth/Death Model : This is not births and deaths of people, but of businesses. The BLS estimates how many jobs were created or lost by business formations or closings. In August, the BLS estimated that 87,000 jobs were created by new businesses. This is an often discussed employment barometer at many economy centered blogs, but mass media pays it meager attention. Why is that so? It’s a complicated model that can make the head spin of even the most astute employment expert. But there appears to be agreement that the model has a tendency to misread the economic cycle, as Calculated Risk points out, “A few years ago several people — myself included — pointed out that the birth/death model would miss turning points in employment. I thought the model would overstate the number of jobs added as the economy slid into recession (and understate the number of jobs lost monthly during a recession). Sure enough that is what the annual benchmark revision showed during the employment recession.” To illustrate just how wide this model can be off the jobs mark, Bloomberg shows that 824,000 jobs “disappeared” after a birth/death model adjustment in February 2010. That adjustment is important because if it was known that job creation was weaker by 824,000 jobs during 2009, additional job creation efforts could have been considered. At present job creation is stagnant and we won’t know what role the birth/death model has on today’s job numbers until 2012. But if history is any guide, job creation may again be overstated. 4. JOLTS (Job Openings Labor Turnover Survey) : This monthly BLS report gives an indication of the number of available jobs. On the occasion that it is mentioned by the media , it offers only a sliver of the issue, such as the number of unemployed per job opening, which stands currently at 4.3. From the BLS , “The number of job openings in July was 3.2 million, little changed from June. Although the number of job openings remained below the 4.4 million openings when the recession began in December 2007, the level in July was 1.1 million openings higher than in July 2009 (the most recent trough). ” What is missing from that JOLTS report? Plenty. First, the 4.3 unemployed per job opening is limited to the 14 million U3 unemployed (the 9.1 percent). But those aren’t the only unemployed wanting a full-time job. There are the 2.6 million marginally attached workers, 8.8 million underemployed (those who want full-time work, but are working part-time). I’m not going to include the 3.9 million non-unemployed unemployed (explained later). When those 11.4 million workers are included with the 14 million U3 unemployed, there are 25.4 million workers and 3.2 million jobs, or 8 unemployed or underemployed workers per job opening. The second issue with JOLTS is that it doesn’t distinguish whether the available jobs are full-time or part-time. According to a BLS representative “Part-time jobs are included in our job openings counts; however, we do not distinguish between full and part-time positions. We only ask if the position exists, not which type of position it is.” It’s important to know how many job openings are part-time, since part-time jobs usually pay less and offer fewer, if any, benefits. Extrapolating from the BLS ” Employed persons by class of worker and part-time status ” data, there are 139,627,000 employed workers, of which 27,034,000 are part-timers. More than 19 percent of all workers work part-time. If nearly 20 percent of all available job openings are part-time, there are only 2.56 million full-time jobs for 25.4 million unemployed and underemployed who want full-time work, or 10 workers for each available full-time position; more than double the 4.3 workers per job opening touted by most media outlets. 5. The participation rate : Is, according to the BLS, “The labor force as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population.” Or, more simply, the percentage of the working-age population that is working or is actively looking for a job. The participation rate rose 0.1 percent in August to 64 percent, which is slightly above the 27-year low recorded in July of 63.9 percent. If more jobs were available would there be more participation? More than likely that would be the case. The mass media very seldom mentions this point, but the participation rate shows the potential number of people waiting on the sidelines for the job market to improve before they jump back in. A couple of striking graphs of the historical participation rate can be seen at ZeroHedge and BLS. 6. Marginally attached workers : From the BLS, “These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey.” I know, it’s not an easily digested description, but it’s a population of unemployed that want to work, but for various reasons have not looked for work recently. Currently 2.6 million workers are considered marginally attached. If they are included in the unemployment rate, that rate increases from 9.1 percent to 10.6 percent. 7. The underemployed : Who are the underemployed? “The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers). These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job,” states the BLS. The August employment report indicated that underemployment increased from July by 400,000 to 8.8 million. Part-time jobs range in hours from one to 34, any job of more than 34 hours is considered full-time work. That might not be the case in the real world where a full-time job is considered 40 hours, but that is the case according to the BLS. While some believe that part-time jobs eventually translate into full-time jobs, that hasn’t been the case during this recession, as the linked graph from Calculated Risk illustrates . From 2000 to 2008, the number of underemployed ranged between 3 and 4 million. There are currently 4 million more unemployed than at the start of the recession. Businesses would need to see a dramatic uptick in business to place 4 million more part-timers into full-time slots. The “real” unemployment rate increases to 16.2 percent when the underemployed and marginally attached workers are considered. 8. The not-unemployed unemployed : Yes, there is a point at which the BLS stops considering an unemployed person unemployed. That point is reached when an unemployed person has not looked for a job in the previous 12 months. When asked, the BLS replied, “The 3.9 million individuals not in the labor force that you are referring to responded that they wanted a job, but had not looked for a job in the last 12 months. They are not considered unemployed because they had not actively searched for work in the four weeks preceding the survey.” I recall no mention of these 3.9 million from any mass media outlet. This 3.9 million are the most discouraged of discouraged workers, but if the jobs market was improving, these millions would start to become part of the unemployed once more. If these 3.9 million were added to the “real” unemployment rate (U6) the rate would increase from 16.2 percent to 19 percent. Nearly one in five American workers is either unemployed or underemployed. Why isn’t that disturbing fact in the media spotlight every day? 9. The long-term unemployed : These 6.0 million are the jobless who have been looking for work for 6 months or more (this does not include the not-unemployed unemployed). Long-term unemployment receives occasional mass media recognition, but it scratches only the surface. There are subsets of the long-term unemployed that show the depth of the problem more clearly. The 6.0 million long-term unemployed represent 43.1 percent of all unemployed. Of that 6 million, 4.458 million have been jobless for 52 or more weeks and within that group 2.040 million, a record high, have been unemployed for 99 weeks or more (not to be confused with the “99ers” explained below). Even more startling than those numbers is the lack of response by lawmakers. 10. 99ers : These long-term unemployed have exhausted all unemployment benefits (not all unemployed collect unemployment benefits). The name “99ers” comes from the fact that some collected benefits for up to 99 weeks. It’s a misnomer in the sense that only about 25 states are eligible for the 99 week maximum; many unemployed exhausted benefits in as little as 60 weeks. Official statistics are not kept for this unemployed population. When Mish Shedlock of Global Economics Trend Analysis was asked about the 99ers population, he contacted Tim Wallace. Wallace has been digging into long-term unemployment data to try and weed out the number of unemployed who have exhausted all unemployment benefits. His most recent efforts show that, “we can safely assume that 3,058,152 people have exhausted all benefits — they are no longer covered on either sets of (unemployment) rolls.” But it doesn’t end there, using some additional Department of Labor data Wallace pries out another 2.0 million 99ers, for a combined 5.1 million. Other 99ers estimates range from 1.5 to 5.0 million, but as the linked graph at Here come the ’99ers at Calculated Risk illustrates; the number of unemployed that are exhausting unemployment benefits is rapidly increasing. While there may be disagreement about the total population of 99ers, Wallace concludes, “There is absolutely NO EXCUSE for this to not be a readily accessible piece of data daily. After all, Walmart can tell you how many strawberry Pop Tarts they sold yesterday.” There is also no excuse for the mass media ignoring this vast unemployed population and not taking agencies to task for not reporting accurate 99ers data. Millions of additional unemployed will become 99ers immediately unless extended unemployment benefits are renewed in December. A worker laid off today will be eligible for only 26 weeks of state benefits unless an extension is approved by a much divided Congress. How can an economy function when so many are out of work and have exhausted unemployment benefits? (To view Wallace’s report, go to, How Many Unemployed Have Exhausted All Benefits? ) 11. How many unemployed collect unemployment benefits? It may seem reasonable to assume that all 14 million unemployed collect unemployment insurance benefits, but that is not the case. In September 7.17 million unemployed collected benefits, which is only 51 percent of all unemployed (U3, the 9.1 percent). Surprisingly, on average just one third of all unemployed are eligible for unemployment benefits at the state level (2011 data). As an example, temporary staff, self-employed and recent high school and college graduates may be out of work, but not eligible for benefits. Eligibility rates range from 57 percent in AK and PA to TX at 21 percent. Each state can set its own guidelines regarding eligibility requirements. When someone tells you they are unemployed, it’s more than likely they are not collecting unemployment benefits. Many pundits and some GOP lawmakers excoriate all unemployed for being lazy and enjoying life on the dole. Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC)recently said, “People are gaming the system and refusing to take jobs because they get unemployment benefits and food stamps.” That naïve and cruel assessment disparages all unemployed, but it’s particularly insulting to the majority of unemployed who aren’t eligible to collect or have exhausted unemployment benefits. If Sen. DeMint and his ilk want to see where the system is being gamed, he may want to look at Wall Street instead of Main Street. What message can be taken from this list of realistic and discomforting unemployment figures? The bottom line is that unemployment is much worse than the 9.1 percent unemployment figure pushed by the media and many lawmakers; in fact it’s considerably worse. Mass media’s inability to communicate the depth of the jobs crisis is one reason the response to it has been primarily weak and ineffectual. If the media mutes the crisis, lawmakers and corporations will continue to act slowly and impotently, forcing millions of American families to suffer needlessly. Unemployment and jobs creation are national emergencies demanding focused attention with a wide-ranging and rapid response. This American jobs disaster will not vanish if neglected, but what will vanish are the hopes, dreams and financial well-being of millions of hard-working Americans. This was first published at AlterNet.org .

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Lisa Earle McLeod: Writing Shortcuts That Make You More Successful and Better Loved

September 8, 2011

When was the last time someone sent you a love letter? Or any kind of personal note? If you’re like most of us, the majority of your correspondence is electronic. Hastily written jumbles of thoughts that flood your inbox like a plague of locusts. Once they fall below the line of your computer window, they’re forgotten. But a few stand out. The heartfelt words of praise from your boss. An angry flame mail from a co-worker, an ALL CAPS, poorly spelled, reply-all missive they can never take back. The actual letter — printed, signed and mailed with a stamp — that your best customer sent your CEO telling her how great you are. These words burn an impression in our brain. We repeat them over and over again in our mind, and often save them. In era of Tweets and texts, good writing still matters. In fact, it matters more than ever, because people often form an impression of you based solely on your written words. How many times have you seen a relationship turn based on a single correspondence? A poor opening email can prevent you from starting a relationship and a misread email can destroy months, or even years, of previous goodwill. People draw conclusions about you from your writing. Well-written words can make you more successful in your profession and deepen your personal relationships. Poorly written words can make you look foolish, uncaring, sloppy and even mean. The challenge is that writing well can be time consuming, so sometimes we don’t bother to write at all. I’ve written three books and I write a 575 word column every single week. But my husband knows that if I’m complaining about something, nothing shuts me up faster than saying, “Write a letter.” The mental energy it takes to compose an actual letter seems so insurmountable, I give up. Or at least I used to. Now I have a big fat cheat sheet right on my desk — How to Write It: A Complete Guide to Everything You’ll Ever Write by Sandra E. Lamb. It has everything from apology letters to business plans along with word, phrase and sentence lists and organizing templates. Want to request more credit or send a collection letter? The book has several samples. Want to raise money from potential donors? Lamb provides lists of persuasive action-oriented language. Not sure what to say in a condolence note? The death in the family letter is more touching than anything I’ve ever received, and the letter to a friend who was downsized is the perfect combination of empathy and inspiration. Note to husbands, if you want to make your woman swoon, see Chapter 15: Love Letter. Choose one of the “evocative words” on page 103, add an “expressive sentence” from page 104, put them in a card or email, and you’re a stamp or click away from real romance. Lamb, who spent over a decade compiling the current edition says, “I even use it myself. If I’m going to write a complaint or a resume, if I look at the chapter, I’ll see words and phrases that save me all kinds of time.” (See www.SandraLamb.com for a video on how to repair a friendship with a letter). Good writing can make you a better lover or parent, and it enhances your reputation at work. Why wouldn’t you want to get better at it? Business strategist Lisa Earle McLeod specializes in sales force and leadership development. A sought after speaker, she is author of The Triangle of Truth, a Washington Post Top 5 Business Book. Visit her Blog — How Smart People Can Get Better At Everything Web site — www.TriangleofTruth.com Copyright 2011 Lisa Earle McLeod. All rights reserved.

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Perry To Feds: You Owe Texas Big Time

August 27, 2011

By APRIL CASTRO, ASSOCIATED PRESS (AP) AUSTIN, Texas — Texas Gov. Rick Perry has asked the U.S. Department of Homeland Security for nearly $350 million to cover the costs he says Texas has incurred incarcerating undocumented immigrants in state prisons and county jails. In a letter to Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, Perry reiterated a claim he’s often leveled against the federal government: that it’s not doing enough to secure the border with Mexico and as a result, has allowed undocumented immigrants to enter the U.S. and use taxpayer-funded resources, including the prison system. The letter was dated Aug. 10, three days before the Republican governor formally announced he is running for president. Reached after-hours Friday by phone, DHS spokesman Matthew Chandler said he wasn’t in position to comment and said he could not confirm that the DHS had even received the letter. Perry has been criticized by some fellow conservatives as being too lenient on undocumented immigration issues. Unlike fellow GOP presidential hopeful Rep. Michele Bachmann, Perry does not think the U.S. should build a wall spanning the entire Mexican border. Perry also has supported discounted tuition rates for the children of undocumented immigrants at Texas universities, and he has said Arizona’s tough-on-immigration law wouldn’t be right for Texas. As governor, Perry was one of the first to talk about immigration by breaking out the issue of border security, a move that has won him support from conservative Hispanics. But he angered Hispanic leaders in June by endorsing legislation that would have prohibited cities from adopting “sanctuary” rules for handling suspected immigrants. In his two-page letter to Napolitano, Perry described the formula used to come up with his $349.2 million bill, including $94.4 million to cover costs incurred by county jails. “During tough economic times, when communities are making difficult decisions about their own budgets, Texas counties are being asked to cover more than $94.4 million in direct costs related to housing undocumented immigrants while the state has been left to cover more than $254.8 million in such costs.” He included a memo from Comptroller Susan Combs in which she supports his calculations but warns that the estimates are conservative. “The longstanding failure of the federal government to secure our border with Mexico continues to burden local communities and resources in Texas,” Perry wrote. “Because there are not enough troops on the ground, undocumented immigrants are able to penetrate the Texas border every day and use taxpayer-funded resources.” Perry is not the first governor to try to bill the federal government for the costs of incarcerating undocumented immigrants. Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer, a Republican, sued the DHS in February seeking compensation for incarceration costs, among other things. And Napolitano herself, who preceded Brewer as Arizona governor, regularly sent the Justice Department invoices seeking such reimbursement before she became Homeland Security secretary.

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Analysis: The billion dollar fine that may never hit Slim

August 19, 2011

By Cyntia Barrera Diaz MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Mexican tycoon Carlos Slim’s America Movil seems set to dodge a record billion-dollar fine for alleged anti-competitive behavior — at least for now. One of Mexico’s biggest antitrust cases is bogged down in court appeals, infighting and legal machinations which threaten to reduce the massive sanction to a mere twinkle in the regulator’s eye. Competition watchdog Cofeco was due to decide by the end of September whether to ratify the fine, but the body has been mired in disagreement and observers say the case is unlikely to be finalized. “The way I see it is that this will take a very long time to resolve,” said Mariano Calderon, a partner with law firm Santamarina y Steta who specializes in constitutional, fiscal and administrative litigation. “I think it will take at least a year, or maybe even two, to solve the core of the problem.” A reprieve on the fine would be good news for Slim at a time when his telecommunications empire in Mexico is under heavy scrutiny from regulators and market turmoil has knocked about $21 billion, or 13 percent, off the market value of his public companies since the start of the year. Competitors have also become more vocal about what they see as Slim’s misuse of his stranglehold on the telecom infrastructure, following his purchase of the country’s former phone monopoly two decades ago. Cable, Internet and phone rival Megacable has intervened with gusto in the convoluted workings around the billion-dollar fine, trying to tip the balance toward Cofeco ratifying the sanction. The regulatory knot is not easy to untangle. Cofeco slapped America Movil’s Telcel with the fine in April after determining the company charged higher prices to wireless and wireline competitors to connect to its network. The decision to sanction Telcel split the five-member Cofeco board. Two commissioners voted against it, another one disqualified himself from voting due to a conflict of interest, leaving just one commissioner backing a fine. Eduardo Perez Motta, president of Cofeco, used his casting vote, which counts for two, to push the decision toward a sanction. Flushed with success, Perez Motta talked profusely about the agency’s crackdown in local media, prompting Telcel to complain of unfair treatment and move against him. Telcel filed a motion to bar Perez Motta from a second vote where regulators must decide whether to ratify the fine. Perez Motta tried to bring himself back to the fight but was thwarted by a local judge. “EVERYTHING IS HALTED” In a further twist, competitor Megacable won an appeal challenging the exclusion of Perez Motta from the vote, meaning the case cannot proceed unless his status is solved first. “In summary: everything is halted,” said Actinver analyst Martin Lara. An additional hurdle is brewing for regulators and the government: the commissioner who disqualified himself from the first vote, Jose Navarro, leaves his post in mid-September. That means Cofeco’s board could potentially have just three active members at the expected time of the vote. Under that scenario, the decision on the Telcel fine could be in the hands of the two commissioners who voted against the fine originally and the one who voted for it; assuming none of them changes their position, Slim would get off. But Navarro’s successor is a wild card. He or she has to be appointed by President Felipe Calderon. His government is moving into election mode ahead of a federal poll in July 2012, which opinion polls show it is likely to lose to the main opposition party. Some watchers think Mexican regulators took too long to address competition issues in the telecom market, allowing tensions between players to snowball. “The fine comes five years after the original claims (from competitors against Telcel that led to the sanction) were filed,” said Ramiro Tovar, a telecom consultant. The fine “doesn’t solve a thing … this is about regulation.” (Additional reporting by Tomas Sarmiento; Editing by Phil Berlowitz) (cyntia.barrera@thomsonreuters.com, Mexico City newsroom 5255 52827161)

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Moisés Naím: Malthus, Marx, and Markets

July 7, 2011

I’ve just got back from China. Like most other regular visitors, I am amazed at the lightning speed of the changes in that country. My last visit was not that long ago and yet this time I noticed further enormous changes. This is what happens when a giant economy grows by 10 percent every year. I visited China for the first time in 1978, when its economic reforms were just being introduced. Cars were rare and the streets were packed with swarms of cyclists, all dressed in a uniform of either navy or olive green. Today those same streets are lined with skyscrapers with the world’s boldest architecture, crammed with cars, and people are dressed in every color and style imaginable. On my first trip, China’s economy was only 40 percent of that of the Soviet Union. Today it is four times larger. While it remains to be seen how sustainable China’s economic boom ultimately is, some of its consequences will endure. The most fundamental change is that millions of Chinese have escaped poverty, thus joining a middle class that while much poorer than in Europe or the United States, has for the first time the means to consume more food, medicine, electricity, cell phones, or toys. While an economic crisis or a slowdown will shrink it, it will not wipe it out completely. This is not a China-only phenomenon: the expansion of the middle-class in fast-growing poor countries is a global trend . India, Turkey, Vietnam, and Brazil are just a few in a long list of nations that now have a middle class larger than ever before. But will the ascent of the new middle class come with unbearable environmental and social pressures? There are three ways to answer this question. The first was offered by Thomas Malthus. In 1798 he argued that if the population grows faster than food production, inevitably famine, disease, and wars will “rebalance” the situation. A 1972 book titled The Limits to Growth predicted that oil would be exhausted by 1992 and a major Malthusian catastrophe would occur around 2000. Obviously, Malthus and his followers underestimate the impact of new technologies. The green revolution in agriculture, for example, meant that grain production in poor countries doubled in just 20 years. In general, more food per capita is produced today than ever before and more technologies enable the exploitation of natural resources that until recently were inaccessible. The second answer is that the problem is not about production but distribution. A minority consumes far too much and the majority of the world consumes too little. For example, the United States, with only 4.6 percent of the world’s population, consumes 25 percent of the yearly global energy output. Each German uses nearly nine times more energy than every Indian, and 30 times more than a Bangladeshi. From this perspective, Marx was right: consumption should be more equitably distributed and the state has to intervene to ensure that this happens. The third is a market-based response: prices and incentives will solve the problem. If there are shortages, prices go up and consumption is thus forced to go down as less people can afford the same quantities as they did when prices were lower. Moreover, higher prices create incentives to both be more efficient and to invent technologies that enable more production at a lower cost. If the price of oil continues to rise, wind, sun, and sea can compete with hydrocarbons for the generation of energy . If cotton prices go up, more farmers will be stimulated to plant more cotton. This, in fact is already taking place and in many areas we have witnessed almost miraculous growth of supply. And new technologies are creating more efficient and environmentally friendly manufacturing processes. The problem, however, is that market adjustments are brutal and are a threat to the poorest consumers for whom any decrease in consumption (forced by higher prices) means going hungry. Neither does it solve the problem of global market failures: the oceans are deteriorating at an unprecedented rate due to overfishing and their indiscriminate and largely unregulated exploitation. And we know what is happening with the CO2 emissions warming up the planet. Markets alone will not solve these problems. Neither Malthus nor Marx nor the market give us adequate answers to the difficult questions posed by the explosive growth of countries like China, the expansion of the middle-class in many of them, and the resulting increase in global consumption. Technological responses stimulated by the market may be too late to avoid serious social and environmental damage. Excessive state intervention to correct inequalities can end up fatally distorting markets and stifling the innovations we badly need. And, without state intervention, market failures may make the planet unlivable. Rigid ideological attachments will not help us find the solutions. We must draw on all the ideas, invent new ones, and give free rein to pragmatism and experimentation. In the past, humans managed to find solutions to unprecedented problems. There is no reason to assume that we will not be able do it again. Moisés Naím is a senior associate in the International Economics Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He tweets at @moisesnaim.

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Booming Business: America’s Fireworks Retailers Talk Explosive Sales

July 4, 2011

This story was reported in collaboration with our partners at Patch.com. When it comes to the American economy, there may not much to celebrate on this Fourth of July. Not unless you sell fireworks. For the past few weeks, the nation’s fireworks peddlers have been hawking their Ghost Ryders and Bone Breakers from parking lots and roadsides around the country — and according to an informal survey, they’ve been doing a brisk business. America’s passion for fireworks appears to be as strong as ever, and no one is more invested in that passion than the people who work in those stands, sometimes without leaving the premises for days at a time. “The money is pretty good, but you’re really working for it,” said Bill St. Ours, who says he stayed at his tent outside St. Petersberg, Fla., for a stretch of 27 days this year . Because he and his partners work off of commission, they sleep inside the tent to make sure nothing gets stolen. St. Ours says it’s a lot of work, but he adds that he loves the product and always has. “As a kid, I lit ‘em off,” he recalls. So did Jaymie Walton . Since 1983, her mom has worked as a manager at Phantom Fireworks , one of the largest fireworks companies in the country. Based in Youngstown, Ohio, Phantom has 1,200 stands around the country. Walton’s mother works at a New Hampshire store, and now Walton does too. When she was growing up, Walton said, she had no interest in embarking on a more conventional career path. “I didn’t want to get into a job that I was going to hold on to because I had waited 18 years to work at the fireworks store,” said Walton, who is now 23. “I have a lot of friends and cousins, too, that wanted to work there our whole life.” She also said she was looking forward to tonight’s festivities. “My uncle comes in and spends so much money and gets an awesome show together,” she said. There are certain perks that come with working a fireworks store, especially today. “We get 60 percent off on the Fourth. So me and all my friends and family that work there put our money together and load up.” Fabio Madeiros, 41, works at Black Dragon Fireworks, a collection of tent-stores based in Fairfield County, Conn. A former banker (he says he’ll “never do that kind of job again”), he travels to China every year to tour the factories that supply his products. While, to make ends meet the rest of the year, he works in construction, his passion is in the tents. Asked to describe his ideal fireworks display, he said would do a “mortar wreck” with “rings in the air and smiley faces.” “I’d do everything in one display,” he added. “Twelve tubes.” Not that he doesn’t also exercise moderation and caution when necessary. “We have two kinds of fire extinguishers,” he said. And even if one of the fireworks were to go off in the tent, he added, “there’s a delay built into the fireworks and I would have time to get everything out of the way.” Madeiros said the season really only lasts four or five days — days filled with “selling, selling, selling.” “People come here from everywhere,” he said. “New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts. But most of our money comes from Connecticut. It’s one of the richest states, and people come in and drop $1,000 or $2,000 on the table.” Madeiros said he got into the business through a friend who owned a stand, but St. Ours got his job through a friend who worked at a carnival. That moment came in the wake of tragedy. In a span of three months in 2002, he lost five family members — including two of his children — to muscular dystrophy. He was living in Rhode Island at the time, and he decided to come down to Florida to start a new life. Fireworks felt familiar to him. “I had lit off fireworks as a kid and pretty much everything is self-explanatory on the packages, like, ‘lay on ground, light fuse and get away,’” he said. “But there are people who don’t know absolutely anything about it and I have to explain everything to them,” he added, “like if it goes in the air or if it’s color.” Some displays, he said, are considered “safe and sane.” They don’t exactly fly off the shelves. “I sell mostly the mortars that everyone watches blow up in the air with the boom,” he said. He says he sees a lot of families with young kids pass through his tent, and that’s his one of his favorite parts of the job . “I buried two children and I like to make these kids happy because of that,” he said. “We’re all kids at heart, and everyone likes to play with fire.”

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Jan Brewer Calls Arizona Legislature Into Special Session To Deal With Unemployment Benefits

June 9, 2011

Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer (R) has called a special session of the state’s legislature so lawmakers can prevent thousands of Arizonans from missing out on federally-funded unemployment insurance. “Extending benefits for the unemployed is the right thing to do both for our local economy and for Arizona families,” said Brewer in a Wednesday statement. “For our economy, these federal dollars represent an immediate cash infusion of nearly $3.5 million a week as recipients spend on necessities like food, rent and clothing. For as many as 45,000 Arizonans in need, these federal dollars may mean the difference between making the rent and living on the streets.” About 15,000 people in Arizona currently receive checks from the federal government’s Extended Benefits program, which kicks in for jobseekers who use up 26 weeks of state benefits and 53 weeks of benefits from another federal program called Emergency Unemployment Compensation. The Extended Benefits program only triggers in states that have seen unemployment rates rise for at least two years. The jobless rate in Arizona is 9.3 percent, down from 10.1 percent this time last year. In December, Congress knew that many states with stubbornly high unemployment had not seen their rates rise in the past two years. So when federal lawmakers reauthorized the unemployment programs through 2011, they said states could change their laws to remain eligible for Extended Benefits if the local unemployment rate was higher than it was three years ago, instead of just two. Nearly 30 states have made the change. Assistant Minority Leader Steve Farley (D) told HuffPost Brewer’s bill, which reauthorizes the benefits and also tightens work-search requirements, could see a vote in the state House of Representatives on Friday and in the state Senate on Monday, despite grumblings from Republicans . “I think they’re closing in on getting the votes,” Farley said. “Why the heck would you not allow us to draw down federal money to come into our state to help people who are in need right now?” Worker advocates and lawmakers have known for months that Arizona would lose Extended Benefits in June . In fact, before the Arizona State Legislature adjourned for the year in April, Democrats in the lower chamber tried to move legislation to keep the checks flowing, as they pointed out in a Wednesday evening statement . “Unfortunately, a special session wasn’t necessary to make this fix,” House Minority Leader Chad Campbell said. “We notified Gov. Brewer and Republicans about this back in April and urged them to make the one-word fix while we were on the House floor in the middle of the night.” At the time, state Rep. Anna Tovar (D) lamented that Republicans devoted some the waning hours of the session to naming the Colt Action Army Revolver the official state firearm . “Another day, another waste of taxpayers’ time and money at the state capitol,” Tovar said in an April statement. “My family owns guns, and I’m embarrassed that state government chose to spend hours on a state gun — even brought it back on reconsideration after it was defeated — instead of changing one word in statute to ensure 20,000 Arizonans’ jobless aid isn’t cut off during tough times. This is absolutely ridiculous and offensive, and it’s even more humiliating that the weapon they chose isn’t even manufactured in Arizona.” * * * * * HuffPost readers: Receiving Extended Benefits in Arizona? Worried about your benefits? Tell us about it — email arthur@huffingtonpost.com . Please include your phone number if you’re willing to do an interview.

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Scaling 150-Feet For Wind Power

June 2, 2011

Chris Bley, the son of an engineer and a school psychologist, remembers what his life was like right after he graduated from college — he sat at his desk, stared out the window and waited for the weekend to come around. “I worked for a computer company,” Chris said. “We manufactured barcode readers.” Having grown up and attended school in California, Chris was always an avid mountain climber and environmentalist. Even while working a desk job, climbing remained an important part of his life. But during one climbing trip at Joshua Tree National Park in southeastern California, he met two East German best friends who had actually figured out a way to make their living climbing on ropes. “They scaled churches and other buildings, and made their money this way,” he said. These guys were also part of a “rope access” team who’d wrapped a German Parliament building, the Reichstag, in fabric, as part of an art project. Chris was intrigued, and in the early 2000s he visited Germany himself to see how it was done. He trained extensively with his friends, learning the ropes (sorry) and seeing them in action, before heading back home to California, where he came up with the idea of scaling wind turbines. “I remembered seeing them all start to pop up around me, and in Palm Springs. And I thought, this could be the perfect opportunity.” So he started attending wind power conferences and shows across the West Coast, getting his name out there, shaking hands, and meeting people. He learned as much as he could about the industry, and eventually companies began to take notice. Chris called his company, ” Rope Partner .” “Rope access can save these companies lots of money on cranes and lifts,” Chris said. “It saves them a lot in energy costs.” Today, Chris and the other team members, many of whom he “recruits” from a local California rock-climbing gym, scale heights of up to 150 feet in order to clean, inspect, or repair wind turbines. Some jobs are as far away as Canada and Mexico, and his climbers live all across the country. It’s kind of the ideal job, Chris says. His freelancers are able to work on a certain project for a few months and then let loose to climb recreationally on their own time. What started as a one-man operation has quickly expanded to a team of over fifty, and he has plans to expand to “offshore” turbines, where the wind is much more consistent. Have there been accidents? “Sure, a few pinched fingers, things like that, but nothing too bad,” Chris said. “We take all that very seriously.” Chris insists that once he clung to his plan and made it his primary goal, he was able to fully realize the future success of his business. “I was very confident with this idea,” he said. “I knew it was something that would last. And help the environment. Both of those things were very important to me.”

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Silver Peak Carries Global Expansion Into Mexico

June 1, 2011

Vicente Amozurrutia Appointed General Manager of Mexico for Silver Peak

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Lynn Parramore: Conversation with Jeff Madrick, Author of Age of Greed (Part One)

May 31, 2011

Cross-posted from New Deal 2.0 . Roosevelt Institute Senior Fellow Jeff Madrick recently sat down with ND20 Editor Lynn Parramore to discuss his latest book, Age of Greed: The Triumph of Finance and the Decline of America, 1970 to the Present , which hits stands today. If you’re in the New York City area and want to learn more, catch Jeff at Cooper Union on Thursday, June 2nd. Click here for more information on the event. Lynn Parramore : You called your book Age of Greed , tracing the antecedents and activities of a four-decade period starting in the 1970s. Why did you choose greed as the central theme? Why not “Age of Risk” or “Age of Delusion”, for example? Jeff Madrick : I think greed always exists. It rises and falls with the times. But when it’s unchecked by government, which has been happening since the 1970s, it festers on itself. It becomes outsized and it badly distorts the economy. That is to say, self-interest rises to a level of greed that overwhelms the economic invisible hand. When self-interest turns into greed, people start using the power of business to undermine the way markets should work. What happened in this era was that people worked in their self-interest. They didn’t just take more risk. They were not deluded. Many of them took more risks than they should and merely did it because they made a buck. So greed really drove this decade: money and self-interest in the extreme drove very bad decision-making on Wall Street, which in turn, it’s important to emphasize, deeply harmed the American economy. LP : Walter Wriston, a name perhaps unknown to many Americans, gives the title to not one but two chapters of your book? Why is this figure pivotal? JM : My writing career began in the 1970s, so he was a big name to me. I interviewed him several times. Walter Wriston was the pioneer in the effort to deregulate financial markets. He was a talented, very bright man who ran a very powerful bank and had enormous access to the Republicans who took over in 1969 through Richard Nixon’s victory. And he is the one who began unraveling the regulations — the way controlled commercial banks, which took FDIC-insured savings deposits, could invest their money. In fact, as people read the book, they’ll see that he was a free-market ideologue. He really hated the New Deal. His father, a prominent conservative historian who ultimately was president of Brown University, hated the New Deal. Wriston inherited that from him in my view. But he also used it for his company’s own gain. In the 1970s, Wriston really began to whittle down the famous ” Regulation Q “, which controlled the interest rate that could pay savers to attract money. And therefore the banks could get more aggressive about where they lent the money. He also developed an enormous international business. What was remarkable about Wriston — to the detriment of the American economy to a degree but especially to the third world — was that he took the petrodollars of the Arab nations. The Arab nations got a lot of dollars when they tripled, quadrupled and again doubled the price of oil. All of that was paid in dollars to them. They had to do something with those dollars. Wriston leaped in to recycle them by making loans to the third world –especially by developing nations. Especially in South America. Government could just as easily have been handled by the I.M.F., the World Bank, or some ad hoc group of governments to oversee the use of that money, and even to make it equity money, not loan money — investments and productive business. Instead it was lent to countries, and, to some degree, companies that had exported commodities. Wriston heralded how well his loan officers could manage that money and the loans almost all turned bad in the 1980s — so bad that the banks chose to stop lending to countries in trouble, particularly Mexico in 1982. The Fed and the I.M.F. had to rescue, in effect, the American banks. LP : Wriston started his career -and remained for some time — a rather unassuming man who lived in a middle class housing project. But by the end of his career he was living among celebrities and driving fancy sports cars. Does that trajectory reflect a key change in American banking and financial culture? JM : A good friend of mine told me back in the ’70s that financiers never became wildly rich in American history. Take J.P. Morgan, the greatest financier in American history. When he died, Andrew Carnegie said, “I didn’t know he had so little money.” In the 1970s that began to change. Financiers became enormously wealthy. Wriston was the leading edge of that, but he wasn’t the man to make by any means the most money. He wanted to make a bank into a growth company, like Xerox or IBM or Johnson & Johnson, which were the great growth companies. Or later, Microsoft, Apple. But should banks have been growth companies? In the meantime, he began to travel in a very powerful world and he began to live the good life. I think it was the beginning of that kind of thing, but others took it to excesses that made him look like a piker. LP : That brings me to Ivan Boesky. He’s the first character in the book who really seems to capture the very essence of greed. He’s a bandit with no pretense that he’s working on behalf of anyone else. Was he the beginning of this era’s greed in its purest form? JM : Ivan had no illusions about what he was doing. Now, I don’t know if that’s as un-admirable as it sounds. Because many of the other guys created a pretense to allow them to seek their self-interest–and, in my view, become excessive, even corrupt. Ivan knew he was corrupt. He intended to be corrupt. Where he was stupid is that he really didn’t even try to seriously cover his tracks. LP : Was he an outlier? Did this type of behavior become something others wanted to emulate? JM : He was the leading edge of the culture. Few people were quite as crude as Boesky. They disguised it. They didn’t brag about it that much. But they were very aggressive in their own way and Ivan occasionally talked about that famous line from Adam Smith that greed is healthy. He thought he was emulating Smith. By greed he meant self-interest. But he wasn’t really concerned about those bigger things. He had certain psychological issues, some of which I trace in my book. He needed constant social affirmation. He needed it. In my view, he couldn’t walk into a room anonymously. It just was too much for his shallow and very weak ego. He needed that money and would do anything for it. He was a mobster. He was addicted to money and he would commit financial crimes to get it with no qualms. LP : You outline how the hatred of government intrusion drove many of the early proponents of the free market model. This seems a great irony, given that financiers who hate government need its cooperation — its guarantees, its bailouts — in order to get and stay rich. How do you explain this contradiction? JM : Self-interest means that you will do anything, even utilize government, to make your money and to retain your place in society. There are many examples of people who think that the rules apply to others but not themselves. Wriston was a classic example of this. It wasn’t only the bad bank loans. In 1970 when Penn Central went bankrupt, his bank made the most commercial paper loans to Penn Central. He was scared to death everything was going to fall apart. He called the Fed – I don’t know if he spoke to the Chairman, Arthur Burns, but the Fed opened its window like it did in 2007. This happened many times with Wriston. He talked this game of free competition, but when he needed to be bailed out, he got bailed out. So it’s an extreme hypocrisy — not an unusual characteristic of egotistical, ambitious men and women. There are double standards. LP : Many argue today that government has been captured, or even restructured through the influence of the financial and banking industries. Is this true? If so, how can trust in government – trust in its ability to intervene in crises — be restored? JM : There is no explanation for the deregulation and lack of oversight on the part of Washington except that they were snookered, beholden, or saw where their bread was buttered because of the rise of Wall Street and how much money you could make. Something we have to be cautious about: we’re snookered by a simplistic ideology. The people who adopt ideologies and idealism do so often because it favors themselves and their own pocketbooks. The history of this period is a history of the abdication of government authority. Part of it was the result of this rising ideology in the ’70s. Part of it was because Americans became convinced that big government and some kinds of regulations are problems. A lot of it had to do eventually with the sheer power of business to attract and influence these decision makers. LP : Could government have done anything to stop greed? JM : Greed would have remained checked had government been doing what it should be doing. And that’s a tragedy of the age. One point we have to make clear is that the nation did not start wasting its money and losing its precious resources in 2007, 2008 and 2009. The financial community has been ill-serving the nation since the 1970s. I talked about the bad loans Wriston made. There were also all kinds of bad real estate loans made in that period. In the ’80s the banks and other financial institutions financed the corporate takeovers – that was billions and billions of dollars. The S&L’s made all kinds of bad loans because they were deregulated. In the early ’90s banks and securities firms began using derivatives to make tricky loans to companies like Proctor&Gamble and Orange County. In 1994, when the Fed raised interest rates, those financial structures fell apart and Wall Street almost with it. In the late 1990s, Wall Street financed all kinds of high-tech fantasies. There was bad accounting. Outright lies by financial analysts on Wall Street. You could not keep your job and make your fame on Wall Street unless you lied. Accounting fraud and unaccepted accounting practices were rife throughout American in the late 1990s. LP : So greed is the central problem, but deceit is the handmaiden? JM : When you sell a product — Electrolux vacuum cleaners, Avon hand lotions – it would be naïve to think that there isn’t some kind of exaggeration. But Wall Street became imbued with deceit at very high levels of transactions. The cost to the economy – the misallocation of resources – was huge. In the 1970s there were the bad loans in Central America. In the 1980s, the outrageous investments made by S&Ls with federally insured money. In the 1980s again – huge hostile takeovers financed with tax-deductible dollars that were not ameliorated by government. In the 1990s, the high-technology fantasies — Enron and WorldCom, telecom companies rife with accounting frauds. This amounted to hundreds of billions of dollars of bad investment. Even trillions of dollars. And then, of course, the 2000s – there were the subprime mortgages and other bad mortgages. Trillions, literally. LP : What have these losses meant to America’s economy? JM : This is all a misallocation of resources in America. When Alan Greenspan said his great mea culpa –”I have this model of the economy and it worked for forty years and then it didn’t work” – that is nonsense. It did not work. There was constant misallocation of losses. He would argue, well, we need those losses in order to have the good. But look what happened to the economy during this period. We had twenty-two or twenty-three years of low-productivity growth. When productivity did start to rise, typical workers benefited from it only for a few short years in the late 1990s. Wages over this period of the Age of Greed have stagnated. They’re actually down for men. They’re up for women but only moderately over time, and women still make significantly less than men do with the same qualifications on average. What kind of economy is that? We haven’t invested in transportation, education, health care advances, energy. The list goes on and on. And who knows how much manufacturing innovation we failed to invest in because of what happened on Wall Street. **Stay tuned tomorrow for Part Two of this interview and find out what we need to do to change course.

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BP Oil Spill Compensation Fund Winding Down

May 29, 2011

(Reuters) – The fund BP (BP.L) set up to deal with compensation claims after 2010′s Gulf of Mexico oil spill is starting to wind down after paying out around $4 billion of the $20 billion set aside by the oil firm, the Sunday Telegraph reported. The newspaper said Ken Feinberg, the lawyer in charge of the fund, had processed more than 80 percent of the claims submitted by those who suffered economically following the Deepwater Horizon accident, and so far used just over $4 billion. “I don’t envision a flood of new claims,” the paper quotes Feinberg as saying. Eight regional offices had been closed, it added. The oil major established the fund last June for victims such as fishermen and property owners. In an interview with Reuters in April, Feinberg said the fund was “working as intended,” though some local officials and advocacy groups alleged that the money was being distributed slowly and unfairly. BP (BP.N) has estimated that the total cost of capping the well, cleaning up the damage from America’s largest-ever offshore oil spill and compensating those affected will be more than $41 billion, including fines. (Reporting by Rosalba O’Brien; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Google, Tres Amigas Aim To Fix America’s Electrical Grid With Novel Technologies

May 27, 2011

Anaheim, Calif. — During the American wind industry’s annual convention this week, two of the boldest proposals for the future of renewable industry didn’t involve bigger or better turbines. They’re instead focusing on the comparatively unsexy issue of America’s creaking electricity grid. The Internet giant Google and an upstart New Mexico-based company called Tres Amigas want to transform the way power gets from wind farms and solar power arrays to your house. Both plans rely heavily on unproven technologies: Google and other investors plan to build a 350-mile long undersea cable off the Atlantic coast , while Tres Amigas wants to create a 22-square mile superconductor “Superstation” to synchronize the nation’s three major electrical grids. As the U.S. becomes more and more energy-hungry, the country needs more generating capacity. And with most Americans resistant to new projects anywhere near cities and suburbs, new plants need to be placed far away from population centers to win approval. Google’s backbone could open up hundreds of miles of ocean territory for offshore wind farms, and the Tres Amigas project would open up wind and solar projects in remote parts of New Mexico and Texas. Both of these projects are taking place within a larger push to improve the American antiquated electrical grid, said Peter Fox-Penner, a principal at The Brattle Group, a consulting firm that worked on the Google-supported project’s application to federal regulators. “All segments of the industry are building more transmission now,” Fox-Penner told HuffPost. “Primarily to integrate renewable into the grid, abut also for reliability and other reasons.” Google’s support for the Atlantic Wind Connection — a 37.5 percent stake — could be a good public relations move for a company that relies on energy-sucking data centers to run its core business. According to an estimate in Harper’s , just one data center “can be expected to demand about 103 megawatts of electricity — enough to power 82,000 homes, or a city the size of Tacoma, Washington.” Environmental organization Greenpeace has dinged the company for not relying enough on renewables (while acknowledging that it performed far better than some tech companies, like Apple). So far Google has invested a total of $400 million in clean energy projects. Google says it is pursuing the projects both because they make good business sense and because they make the company more environmentally responsible. The Atlantic Wind Connection project is still at an early stage, and no one knows if Google and its co-investors can pull it off. One of the project’s lead developers has said the scheme is “about as risky as you can get.” The engineering challenges of laying all the cables and connecting them to both wind farms and the grid on land are daunting — and Google isn’t even proposing to build any wind farms itself. Offshore wind is still a young segment of the industry, and no project at this scale has yet been completed: Google’s plan would create development opportunities for up to 6,000 megawatts of power when all of Europe, the world leader in offshore wind, only has about half that many megawatts online. The project got good news last week when the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approved a 12.59 percent profit rate, but other federal and state regulators still need to weigh in. And while Google says the project, which is 22 miles off the coast, is far enough off-shore to ensure that any offshore wind farms that sprout up along the electricity backbone aren’t a visual nuisance, the long saga of the Cape Wind project shows just how tenacious seashore dwellers can be about their ocean views. Watch Google’s Rick Needham, the company’s green business operations director, explain the Atlantic Wind Connection and Google’s green energy plans. Building a wind farm on land is less technically challenging than building one far offshore, but it still has to connect into the grid somehow. America’s grid is so balkanized that when the wind is blowing hard in Texas and electricity is cheap there, California utilities can’t buy the cheap power and pass the savings along to customers. While grid difficulties are not unique to renewable energy, the sector has the most to gain from improvements because wind and solar depend on the weather and thus need to be able to send their extra energy across large distances as flexibly as possible to balance out supply fluctuations, experts say. Tres Amigas is trying to connect the western, eastern and Texas power grids — an idea the federal government proposed but failed to execute in the 1950s — with a $1 billion plus project that could ultimately send 30 gigawatts zooming across the country. Because the three grids don’t quite operate on the same frequency, Tres Amigas would use novel technology to synchronize the electricity: superconducting high-voltage direct current cables and new computer programs. Power would first need to be converted from AC to DC, then whipped around the superstation on the superconducting cables and finally be converted back to AC to be shipped off to another grid. The company that makes the high-tech cables, American Superconductor, is an important investor in the project, but it has recently weathered fire for management problems . The market for this plan, though, remains untested. Texas in particular seems reluctant to open up its grid — and its wind farms — over fears of utility bill increases. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, moreover, cautioned Tres Amigas last March over the lack of detail in its applications. The man behind Tres Amigas, however, is optimistic — CEO Phil Harris plans to break ground this year on the first part of the project, which will transmit a few gigawatts between the three grids. The final superstation plans to be able to transfer around 30 gigawatts. See Tres Amigas founder and CEO Phil Harris talk about the project. Even if these splashy projects never get off the ground, the push towards renewable — now mandated by many state laws — means the U.S. will likely need many more transmission lines in the future. “There’s the highest activity probably in the history of the country right now,” said Fox-Penner.

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Simon Johnson: The Case For A Non-European IMF Leader

May 24, 2011

The debate over choosing the next managing director of the International Monetary Fund is ostensibly about whether its succession process is transparent and merit-based. But this is code for a more important issue -– whether the time has come for Western Europe to give up control of the IMF. There is a valid economic case that the next chief should come not from Europe, as tradition dictates, but from one of the emerging markets. India, South Africa, China, Mexico and Brazil all have strong candidates.

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Leo Hindery, Jr.: Note to Boeing’s Jim McNerney: All We Are Saying Is Give the Truth — and Your Union — a Chance

May 24, 2011

Back in 1969, John Lennon famously wrote, ” All we are saying is give peace a chance .” Well, here in May 2011, while labor peace is not always at hand, maybe we can at least give labor truth a chance. Unfortunately, telling the truth seems to be increasingly difficult for the CEOs of our multinational corporations when talking about “Making It In America” and saving and creating American jobs. And Exhibit A right now is Jim McNerney, who is the Chairman, President and CEO of the Boeing Company. The reason I am picking on Mr. McNerney is that he is defending Boeing’s decision to retaliate against its union workforce in Everett, Washington, by moving thousands of jobs to a non-union location in South Carolina, with statements that are among the most misleading and disingenuous by a major American CEO ever. And I’ve been around long enough to have heard a lot of statements by a lot of big company CEOs. Compounding my dismay with Mr. McNerney is that he also happens to currently hold a very senior economic advisory position in the Obama administration as head of the President’s “Export Council.” He holds this position of crucial influence despite the fact that for years he’s been exporting thousands of his American manufacturing jobs to Mexico and China. The facts of this dispute are pretty simple. As reported by Hal Weitzman and Jeremy Lemer in the Financial Times , ” nineteen [Republican] Senators are threatening to block President Barack Obama’s two appointments to the National Labor Relations Board…after the organisation filed a complaint last month against Boeing that seeks to force the manufacturer to transfer 787 production from the non-union factory in South Carolina to its unionised facilities in the Seattle region .” The NLRB believes that Boeing selected South Carolina — a right-to-work state — purely in retaliation for a strike in 2008 at the Everett facility. To attack the NLRB’s conclusion, Mr. McNerney, in a preferentially placed op-ed in the Wall Street Journal , said the following (the underscoring is mine): ” We viewed Everett as an attractive option and engaged voluntarily in talks with union officials to see if we could make the business case work. Among the considerations we sought were a long-term ‘no-strike clause’. “Despite months of effort…union leaders couldn’t meet expectations on our key issues. “We hold no animus toward union members, and we have never sought to threaten or punish them for exercising their rights, as the NLRB claims. About 40% of our 155,000 U.S. employees are represented by unions – a ratio unchanged since 2003 .” Now, for the truth: The most important right any union has is the right to strike. Without this right, what real opportunity does it have to ensure fair and balanced treatment for workers? Thus it is at once irresponsible for McNerney to make this unreasonable demand and disingenuous for him to then say that union leaders couldn’t meet his ” expectations on key issues .” As Christopher Corson, General Counsel of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, wrote on May 9, “In every state in our nation, the law provides important protections for individual workers when they act together to improve their work lives for themselves and their families…If retaliation were permitted, there would be no protection.” McNerney says that ” Boeing never sought to threaten or punish [workers] for exercising their rights.” Yet the NLRB based its finding on the very specific comment by Boeing executives that ” avoiding strikes was a central reason for the decision .” Yes, ” 40% of Boeing’s [overall] U.S. employees ” today may be ” represented by unions “, and yes, this ratio may be “unchanged since 2003.” However, in the late ’60s when I was in college in Seattle and working nights as a Sheetmetal Workers journeyman, the number of Machinists and other union members working for Boeing in the greater Seattle-Everett area was around 22,000, and by the year 2000 it was around 50,000. Now just a decade later, with McNerney as CEO for the last five years, the number of union members at Boeing in the Pacific Northwest has shrunk to around 35,000, with at least 20,000 of these jobs having moved to China. In just 15 years or so, using an initiative benignly called “systems integration mode of production” which entails providing foreign suppliers and overseas subsidiaries with massive amounts of business knowledge, management practices, training and other intangible exports, Boeing has gone from producing nearly 100% of its commercial aircraft and parts in America to today producing only a small fraction of that work here. The workhorse 727 airframe, launched in 1963, had just a 2% foreign content; the 777 airframe, launched in 1995, has about 30% foreign content; the new 787 Dreamliner, officially launching this year, will have nearly 70% of its manufacturing content coming from foreign sources, with workers in Everett accounting for only about 4% of each aircraft’s value. This massive transfer by Boeing, and by almost every other American corporation committed to offshoring, of intellectual property that took decades to develop with internal investment and support from government-funded research laboratories will, with its massive ripple effects throughout our economy, ultimately be an even bigger ‘drain’ on America than even the direct offshoring of millions of American jobs over the last 15 years. Jim McNerney’s very public and cynical efforts, however, are just another egregious example of the broad opportunism that many American multinational corporation CEOs have embraced in their continuing efforts to offshore American jobs, cut the wages and benefits of the American workers whose jobs are not being shipped overseas, and, whenever they can, BUST UNIONS. As reported by David Wessel ( Wall Street Journal , 4-19-11), ” U.S. multinational corporations, the big brand-name companies that employ a fifth of all American workers, have been hiring abroad while cutting back at home, sharpening the debate over globalization’s effect on the U.S. economy. ” According to the Commerce Department, these companies cut their work forces in the U.S. by 2.9 million during the last decade while increasing employment overseas by 2.4 million, which is a big shift from the ’90s when they added 4.4 million jobs in the U.S. and 2.7 million abroad. In just the year 2009, they cut 1.2 million, or 5.3%, of their workers in the U.S. but only 100,000, or 1.5%, of their workers abroad. Three highlights: Between 2005 and 2010, General Electric, the nation’s largest industrial conglomerate and #6 on the Fortune 500 list, cut 28,000 workers in the U.S. but only 1,000 workers overseas. This notwithstanding that GE’s Chairman and CEO, Jeffrey Immelt, now heads President Obama’s “Council on Jobs and Competitiveness”, which is supposed to help create jobs in the United States and not ship them overseas. Cisco Systems Inc., the Fortune #62 company that makes networking gear, has also been creating jobs much more rapidly overseas. Over the past five years, it has added 21,350 employees overseas, but only 10,900 in the U.S. At the beginning of the last decade, 26% of Cisco’s work force was overseas; today, around 46% is. Oracle, the Fortune #96 company that makes business hardware and software, added twice as many workers overseas over the past five years as in the U.S. At the beginning of the last decade, it, like Cisco, had many more workers at home than abroad; today, however, around 63% of its employees are located overseas. McNerney and his fellow CEOs tout many global ‘differentials’ as the reasons why they’ve been economically ‘downgrading’ some jobs (with moves to South Carolina and other right-to-work states) and offshoring others (to China and elsewhere). Wessel further wrote that American multinationals repeatedly say in justification that it is the ” combination of the U.S. tax code, the declining state of U.S. infrastructure, the quality of the country’s education system, and barriers to the immigration of skilled workers [that is] making the U.S. less attractive to multinationals. ” Yet it is these very multinationals which every day support and maintain these differentials by: Fighting to preserve the corporate tax practices that favor overseas earnings and employees (read ” The Tax Man Cometh – Just Not For Everybody “); Resisting efforts to couple government infrastructure investments with ‘Made in America’ requirements that are no more demanding than every other member of the G-20 has for its own infrastructure investing; Fighting the adoption of our own Manufacturing & Industrial Policy, which we need in order to compete with the mercantilist practices of our major trading partners, often by blaming the relatively poor state of American public school education, which, while of grave concern, has absolutely no correlation; and Manipulating our immigration practices so that these companies can continue to hire employees from India, Taiwan and China at the expense of qualified American job seekers. At the end of the day, as I noted earlier, what’s really going on here is a massive, nation-wide attempt to bust unions in order to further enrich our nation’s multinational corporations. Yet this is happening at precisely the point in time when the United States needs millions more, not millions fewer, union jobs in order to stabilize our middle class. For our country to be ascendant again, American workers everywhere — at Boeing and hundreds of other major corporations — must be treated as the highly skilled, enormously productive and wealth-producing ‘assets’ they are. We need more union-made quality goods to sell abroad and many more union paychecks producing fair incomes here at home if we are to grow ourselves out of the dismal ongoing jobless recovery we are experiencing. Expanding union membership will be one of the surest signposts on the road back to a vibrant, consuming middle class, more income equality, and fairness in employment. And when we have all of this again, along with fairer trade practices, our nation will prosper as it did for the half century before unfair globalization and union-busting practices began to run amok twenty or so years ago. In all of our manufacturing industries — not just in aircraft manufacturing — we must ensure that American workers compete on level-playing fields. Right now, however, our workers are forced to compete against foreign workers, many of whom work for American multinational corporations, who are the indirect beneficiaries of illegal subsidies, massive currency manipulation and shameful environmental practices that swamp any measure of true country ‘comparative advantage’. All the while here at home, with very limited mobility in general but especially in this distressed economy, workers must confront the enormous power that multinational corporations’ almost unlimited geographic, capital and technology mobility gives them. The members of America’s unions are skilled, resilient and tenacious. They did not win the 40-hour work week, benefits and safer working conditions in one fell swoop. These integral pathways and others to the middle class lifestyle — a lifestyle that is now being challenged in so many of our cities and towns — were hammered out over years of negotiations with very powerful corporations. And sometimes these women and men had to strike to ensure fair dealing. But in exchange for their skills, hard work and productivity, these unionized workers produce real wealth that’s been shared for generations across our entire economy and society. I can’t envision a day when unions don’t represent the best path to fair and balanced dealing between companies and workers, for without union voices workers have little or no say in their future. And no worker anywhere should have to work without organizing protections, which is why Jim McNerney’s and Boeing’s demand that Boeing workers now agree to ” a long-term no-strike clause ” is so obviously unfair. Leo Hindery, Jr. is Chairman of the US Economy/Smart Globalization Initiative at the New America Foundation and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Currently an investor in media companies, he is the former CEO of Tele-Communications, Inc. (TCI), Liberty Media and their successor AT&T Broadband. He also serves on the Board of the Huffington Post Investigative Fund.

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Antonia Juhasz: Chevron’s Shareholders Should Say No to Offshore Drilling

May 20, 2011

Next week, Chevron — California’s largest corporation and the nation’s third largest — holds its annual shareholder meeting in San Ramon. The gathering will be met by protesters, including those who will travel from Angola, Nigeria, Canada, Alaska, and the U.S. Gulf Coast to demonstrate against Chevron’s deep-sea operations and to deliver a new report to the company: The True Cost of Chevron: An Alternative Annual Report . At the meeting, Chevron will ask shareholder permission to pursue an aggressive expansion into ever-deeper offshore operations. Chevron’s role in the aftermath of BP Deepwater Horizon disaster, and investigations finding systemic problems within the entire offshore industry, should give both its shareholders and the broader public great concern about the safety of this expansion. Chevron is well aware of the dangers. As the company writes, “Navigating uncertain weather conditions, freezing water and crushing pressure, deepwater drilling is one of the most technologically challenging ways of finding and extracting oil.” On April 20, 2010, the Deepwater Horizon drilling rig exploded 50 miles off the coast of Louisiana, killing 11 men and igniting what would become the largest unintentional oil spill in world history. A massive underwater blowout at BP’s Macondo well 18,500 feet below the ocean surface was the immediate cause. Within weeks of the blowout, a horrifying fact was revealed. Not a single major oil company, including Chevron, knew what to do in response, nor did government regulators. All knew that a blowout was likely, but none had developed the technology, much less the equipment, with which to address it. Blowouts have been on the rise in the Gulf of Mexico. From 2005 to 2010, 28 blowouts occurred in the Gulf of Mexico, four of which took place in the 18th months preceding the blowout of the Macondo well. From 1999 to 2004, there were 20 blowouts, and from 1993 to 1998 there were just 11. Moreover, deaths, fires, and serious injury in the Gulf of Mexico are common. For example, a Chevron offshore worker has been killed on the job in four out of the last five years (2006, 2008, 2009, 2010) in the Gulf of Mexico. In 2009 alone (the most recent year data is available), Chevron reported 15 incidents of fire and nine employee injuries at its Gulf of Mexico offshore operations. In just the five years before the Deepwater Horizon exploded, federal investigators documented nearly 200 safety and environmental violations in accidents on platforms and rigs in the Gulf. While BP lead the others with at least 47 accidents or blowouts, Chevron was a very close second at 46, and Shell had 22. Instead of preparing for a deepwater blowout, however, in the words of the President’s National Oil Spill Commission , every major oil company “learned on the fly” for 87 long days. They tried to apply shallow water technology applicable to wells at 400 feet below the ocean surface or less, to a well 5,000 feet below. While they learned, 210 million gallons of oil were released into the Gulf. Once the oil was released, we learned that no company, including Chevron, had invested any significant dollars into cleanup research or preparedness, although all were required to do so under the 1990 Oil Pollution Act. Ships to contain the oil were not ready, nor were adequate boom or skimmers to protect the shore. And while all of their applications to drill deepwater wells state their preparedness for even much larger oil spills than that at the Macondo, the companies were not prepared. Instead, they applied the same failed technology that had recovered just 14 percent of the oil spilled in the Exxon Valdez disaster over 20 years earlier to the Macondo well gusher. The failures that led to the explosion, moreover, were in no way limited to just BP. While BP was the leasee of the Deepwater Horizon, Transocean was the owner and operator. All the major oil companies use Transocean’s services, including Chevron. However, since 2008, 73 percent of incidents that triggered federal investigations into safety and other problems on deepwater drilling rigs in the Gulf have been on rigs operated by Transocean. Chevron, the largest leaseholder in the Gulf of Mexico, is pushing the limits in these operations. It’s latest project, Moccasin , is situated 216 miles offshore Louisiana, at a water depth of 6,750 feet — over 150 miles farther out from shore than the Macondo and 1,750 feet further below the ocean surface. Initial drilling began in March 2010 by Transocean’s Discoverer Inspiration drill ship. Professor Robert Bea, head of the Deepwater Horizon Study Group at the University of California, told me of the group’s final findings (not yet released): “We have come to a unwavering conclusion. This is an industry problem. It is not just BP. BP just got to the finish line first. They know this is an endemic systemic problem.” If we do not want Chevron to follow, Chevron’s shareholders must demand the same protections provided here in California — a moratorium on offshore drilling — be provided nationally and, if possible, internationally as well. Antonia Juhasz is the co-editor of The True Cost of Chevron: An Alternative Annual Report , to be released May 24, 2011. She is author of Black Tide: the Devastating Impact of the Gulf Oil Spill (Wiley 2011) and Director of the Energy Program at Global Exchange, a San Francisco-based human rights organization.

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Sen. Ron Wyden: Fact-Checking the Oil Companies’ Defense of Taxpayer Subsidies

May 19, 2011

Just one week ago the American people heard executives from the top five oil companies stand-up and explain why — despite record profits — they need the federal government to give them a break on their taxes. We’re talking about the billions of dollars in tax incentives and assistance that oil companies get for drilling in the United States. These incentives were put in place long ago when the oil industry was just getting started. Today, these major oil companies are among the largest corporations in the entire world. That hasn’t been the case for awhile. In fact, in 2005, representatives of the country’s major oil companies told me that they no longer needed tax incentives to keep drilling in the U.S. because oil was selling for $55 a barrel and that price gave them more than enough financial incentive to keep drilling. Well, if the oil companies thought that $55 a barrel oil was enough to keep them drilling in 2005, it would seem safe to assume that with oil hovering around $100 a barrel today, they would no longer be asking for their tax incentives to keep drilling. That wasn’t the case at last week’s hearing. So what’s changed since 2005? Why are some of the largest and most profitable companies in the world still telling Congress that they still need government assistance? Let’s break it down. Claim #1: Oil is getting harder and harder to find. The truth about oil supplies: If anything, U.S. oil supplies and prices are less tied to the global market now, and new oil supplies are easier to find, than they were in 2005. The location and technology for getting oil and gas, especially from on-shore shale formations, have not only dramatically increased U.S. oil and gas reserves, but the technology is now so well established that U.S. oil and gas production is rising rapidly as a result. According to a recent analysis by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, oil production from the Barnett shale formation in Texas — literally in the backyards of the headquarters of these same companies — has tripled since 2005. In fact, total U.S. oil production has increased over 10% since hitting its low point in 2008 and EIA projects that because of increased production in oil shale and in the Gulf of Mexico and other sources that it will continue to grow. On top of that, the CEO of ExxonMobil said on CNBC in March 2011, “I am not aware of anyone who is having difficulty securing supplies of oil…there is no shortage of supply in the market.” Claim #2: Oil companies face global competition. The truth about global competition: U.S. oil prices are also less tied to global markets and competition now than they were in 2005, because of increased U.S. production and increased Canadian tar sands production flooding into the U.S. market. This should be of no surprise to the five major oil companies who testified last week, because every single one of them has made major investments in Canadian tar sands projects. Claim #3: The loss of tax breaks will drive up the price at the pump. The truth about the price at the pump: Recalling that hearing in 2005, I also asked the CEOs about ending these tax breaks on their companies and several of them said it wouldn’t affect them or would only minimally affect them. ExxonMobil CEO Lee Raymond said “As for my company, it doesn’t make any difference.” Chevron CEO James O’Reilly said ending these tax breaks would have “minimal impact on our company.” And, BP’s US CEO Ross Pillari agreed, saying “it’s a minimal impact on us.” So if taking away the tax breaks won’t have much of an impact on the oil companies, why would it have much of an impact on price? The American people should not be held hostage to the false claims that without the billions in taxpayer subsidies they currently receive, these companies will produce less oil and that will raise the price at the pump. It’s time for the oil companies to own up to what they said in 2005: they did not need taxpayer subsidies then, and they do not need subsidies now.

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CoStar Q&A: Savills Execs Discuss U.S. Expansion, Foreign Investment Opportunities

May 19, 2011

With interest in U.S. real estate continuing to heat up worldwide, Savills LLC has expanded its North American platform beyond New York and Mexico, opening offices in Washington, D.C and Newport Beach, CA, as the London-based firm attempts to expand its role in serving both domestic and foreign investors seeking U.S properties in top-tier markets. But that’s just one of a number of expansion moves by New York-based real estate services provider…

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Lowe’s Profit Falls On Cold Rain, Chilly Weather

May 16, 2011

NEW YORK — Lowe’s Cos. profit fell 6 percent in the first quarter, as the bad weather that plagued much of the country kept customers away from their gardens and other outdoor projects. The Mooresville, N.C., chain’s quarterly performance missed Wall Street expectations and the nation’s No. 2 home improvement retailer lowered its full-year outlook. Lowe’s results come a day before the country’s biggest home improvement retailer, Home Depot Inc., reports its quarterly figures. Both companies depend on the spring selling season to give them a boost, as shoppers typically head out in droves to buy seasonal items such as flowers, patio furniture and barbecue grills. But cold and rainy weather across the northern half of the country and tornadoes in the Southeast have been a drag on the season so far, Lowe’s said Monday. “It’s difficult to overcome Mother Nature when it comes to weather-related conditions,” Chairman and CEO Robert Niblock said during an interview with the Associated Press. While home owners dealing with flooding and tornado damage will be looking to make repairs, Niblock said any business related to that will be spread out over the long term. Weather is not the only concern. Lowe’s said customers remain wary about spending due to ongoing worries about the housing market and rising gas prices. On Monday, the National Association of Home Builders reported that U.S. homebuilders are concerned the housing market won’t recover this year, with some feeling it may be getting worse. Economists expect home prices will continue to struggle this year before a modest recovery begins. Lowe’s reported a 3.4 percent decline in traffic during the quarter, with average receipt nearly flat. For the three months ended April 29, Lowe’s net income dropped to $461 million, or 34 cents per share. A year earlier it earned $489 million, or 34 cents per share, a year earlier. Revenue dipped 2 percent to $12.19 billion, as sales of outdoor items fell. Revenue at stores open at least a year slipped 3.3 percent. The latter metric is a key indicator of a retailer’s health because it excludes results from stores opened or closed during the year. Analysts polled by FactSet expected higher earnings of 36 cents per share on revenue of $12.54 billion. Lowe’s first-quarter earnings came in at the low end of its projected guidance of 34 cents to 38 cents per share. Its stock declined 92 cents, or 3.6 percent, to $24.84. Lowe’s cautioned in February that consumers were still holding back on big projects. The chain was also up against a difficult comparison with last year, when shoppers took advantage of federal cash-for-appliances rebates, Niblock said. For the full year, Lowe’s now expects earnings of $1.56 to $1.64 per share and a revenue increase of about 4 percent, implying revenue of about $50.79 billion. The retailer previously forecast earnings of $1.60 to $1.72 per share on a 5 percent revenue increase. Analysts predict full-year earnings of $1.70 per share on revenue of $50.9 billion. Lowe’s anticipates second-quarter earnings of 65 cents to 69 cents per share, with revenue up about 4 percent, implying revenue of about $14.93 billion. Wall Street expects earnings of 68 cents per share on revenue of $14.82 billion. The retailer anticipates the second half of the year being stronger than the first, as it will no longer face comparisons that include government stimulus programs. Lowe’s ran 1,751 stores in the U.S., Canada and Mexico as of April 29.

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Tina Wells: The Coming of the Global Mobile

May 7, 2011

Millennials have grown up in this world of instanity, where information, photos, and prices (when they’re shopping) are just one click away. They are also just a security checkpoint and a passport stamp away from almost anywhere in the world, where they can witness firsthand how cultures all over the globe listen (and create) their music and tuck their jeans into their sneakers. How are today’s marketers supposed to keep up with that? How do you keep product available for online distribution when you’re not sure what the next big thing will be — when a hot new item could explode overnight? How do you know how much product to keep in local retail stores when more and more Millennials are shopping online? These supply and demand issues are just the logistical tip of the iceberg in a mountain of marketing issues for making your brand appeal to today’s Global Mobiles. There are things that every product or service can do to make itself more appealing on a global level. First, you have to create a brand with global values. For example, we know that Warholism (the idea that anyone can be famous) is a major trend in the United States, but is it also taking hold abroad? Is reality TV as big in other countries as it currently is here? These are questions you have to ask. What are examples of global values? Things like love, happiness, style, and convenience all play on a global landscape. Second, you must have a recognizable logo. Think about the companies that consistently make it onto Interbrand’s list of the top 10 global brands: Coca-Cola, IBM, Google, Microsoft, and McDonald’s, to name a few. All have recognizable symbols. Think about what your logo signifies to people all over the world. While product names are another element, this area is less restricted since it’s the brand identity that matters most. I love the oft-cited marketing case study of the Chevy Nova, which supposedly sold poorly in Spanish-speaking countries because “no va” literally translates to “no go”. The truth, however, is that the Nova actually performed quite well in some Spanish-speaking countries, such as Argentina, Mexico, and Venezuela. While it’s great marketing fodder, it’s simply not a true story. The truth is that more attention needs to be paid to overall branding approaches, since (as I’ve said several times before) brands that focus on creating loyal groups of consumers and on providing product value can pretty much get through any crisis, complete with customer forgiveness. Third, you should not even think about creating a global brand if your customers cannot instantly connect with you. This connection should happen through a company web site and social networking sites like Facebook, Twitter, Foursquare, Clikthrough, and whatever other online experience is hot at that time. If you want to be global, you must be instant; there is no getting around this. However, an important distinction is that being instant doesn’t mean that you can’t be exclusive. Just look at a brand like Louis Vuitton. It’s extremely exclusive; it’s even been known to allow only a few people into its stores at a time! The company sells its products at select retail locations, and it produces only limited quantities. Yet the brand is everywhere — Twitter, Facebook, and, of course, the company web site. Louis Vuitton spokespeople are athletes, models, activists — people from every walk of life. This company understands the art of the global connection. The fourth point for global brands to keep in mind is that traditional retail locations may not offer you the best solution. Pop-up stores are becoming increasingly popular these days, which might be an effect of the recession, since many malls and shops have tons of empty, available spaces. However, these stores aren’t limited just to malls. Magazines are taking advantage of the trend as well, and publications like Teen Vogue and Self are providing brands with opportunities to interact with their consumers in new and exciting ways. Trade shows and live events also allow consumers to interact with the items that they love. Remember, it’s about the connection, not just the visit to a traditional store. Finally, you have to look for trends globally, not just what’s happening in New York or California. The key to successful brands like Coca-Cola and hip retailer Urban Outfitters is that they are able to track trends globally while applying that information locally. A brand like Abercrombie & Fitch, for example, which is losing some of its U.S. popularity, has found a loyal fan base abroad, where the all American look plays well. Similarly, this country has imported many of its favorite reality shows from abroad; American Idol , Dancing with the Stars , and Big Brother were all launched in England before they were hits in the United States. We even see some universal, cross- cultural values in these shows. Whether you’re American or British, you still love dancing, singing, and family. These have global appeal. Now that we know what matters, it’s important to explore how this new breed of Millennials — or global mobiles, as I like to call them — will buy and consume products. It’s equally important to know which brands are on their radar. That is a topic for a future post!

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The Return Of ‘Made In The USA’

May 5, 2011

NEW YORK (Nick Zieminski) – The “Made in the USA” label may be poised for a comeback, a new study argues. The next few years will bring a wave of reinvestment by U.S. multinational manufacturers in their home base, as rising wages and a strong yuan currency make China a less attractive production center, the paper by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) predicts. The study, published on Thursday, says U.S. reinvestment will accelerate as the United States becomes one of the cheapest locations for manufacturing in the developed world. If it came to fruition, such reinvestment could speed up a delicate economic recovery that has yet to gain much traction. There is evidence the trend has already started: * Caterpillar Inc has repatriated manufacturing of construction excavators, boosting investment in facilities in Texas, Arkansas and Illinois. * NCR Corp brought back production of automatic teller machines to Georgia, creating 870 jobs. * Toymaker Wham-O moved production of Frisbees and Hula-Hoops from China and Mexico to the United States. More such announcements are likely over the next year or two, BCG says, citing conversations with clients. “If you work the math out using today’s numbers. you’d still say it’s a good idea to go to China,” said Hal Sirkin, a senior BCG partner and lead author of the study. “(But) around 2015, you get to a point of indifference between producing in the U.S. and producing in China.” Wages in China are still a fraction of what U.S. workers earn. Direct pay and benefits for production workers in the United States are about $22 per hour, versus only about $2 in China, roughly 9 percent of the U.S. cost. But that difference is expected to narrow, with the Chinese worker earning about 17 percent as much as his or her U.S. counterpart four years from now. Factoring in higher U.S. productivity rates, the weaker U.S. dollar and other factors, such as shipping costs, that difference could narrow further. “MADE IN THE USA” The study predicts China will remain a major global player — just less of an exporter to the United States. China will still export to Europe, whose workers are less able to move for jobs than U.S. workers are. U.S. wage advantages could eventually reach the point that European automakers will export U.S.-made cars to Europe, the study said. The appeal of a shorter supply chain and fewer headaches from issues like intellectual property will also help encourage jobs and production to come back to the United States, BCG said. Policy could also nudge manufacturers to make the move. High unemployment is driving state incentives to attract factories, while unions are becoming more flexible. Still, the study’s thesis is based on assumptions that may not play out. One is that supply and demand of labor in China are increasingly moving out of balance. Another is that demand from a growing Chinese middle class will raise costs, as factories shift to producing for domestic consumption and workers demand more pay to pay for goods that were out of reach before. Also, the yuan’s rally could reverse. Since China first loosened restrictions on trading the yuan, its value has steadily strengthened from more than 8 yuan to the U.S. dollar in 2005 to fewer than 6.5 per dollar now. The expected U.S. reinvestment, meanwhile, will affect some industries more than others. Shoes or clothing are work-intensive and do not require highly skilled labor. But higher-value goods made in lower volumes, such as home appliances and construction equipment, are more likely to bear the “Made in the USA” label in coming years — especially if they are large and expensive to ship. General Electric Co’s example supports the study’s contentions. GE’s appliance unit is in the middle of a four-year, $600 million plan to build up its manufacturing presence in Louisville, Kentucky, adding some 830 new jobs. “The default has been to say: ‘Let’s put the next plant in China,’” Sirkin said. “We’re saying: ‘Sit back and think through your options.’” BCG is a management consulting firm that advises large manufacturers on issues ranging from strategy to operations. (Additional reporting by Scott Malone in Boston, editing by Gerald E. McCormick) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Official: Fed Prepared To Fight Inflation, Just Not Yet

May 5, 2011

LAS CRUCES, New Mexico (Pedro Nicolaci da Costa) – Inflation remains well under control, despite the spike in oil prices, but the Federal Reserve stands ready to raise interest rates if price pressures appear to be getting out of hand, top Fed officials said on Wednesday. John Williams, in his first speech as president of the San Francisco Fed, argued that the recent spike in commodity costs will likely be transitory. “The economy today faces many pitfalls, but I don’t believe that runaway inflation is one of them,” Williams said, adding that he would not prejudge a possible need for additional bond purchases in the future. In response to evidence of economic weakness last summer, the U.S. central bank in November announced it would buy some $600 billion in Treasury bonds in an effort to keep long-term borrowing costs low and support the recovery. In some of the first public speeches by Fed officials since a policy meeting April 26-27 at which the central bank said it would complete those purchases on schedule by the end of June, policy makers who spoke on Wednesday explained why they are in no rush to pull back ultra-loose monetary policy soon. Eric Rosengren, the dovish president of the Boston Fed, who is a voter this year on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee, struck much the same note as Williams, saying a return to 1970s-style inflation was not likely. He said tame wage growth and high unemployment are helping cushion some of the inflationary impact of higher food and energy costs, by keeping consumer inflation expectations under control. A rise in inflation expectations can be self-fulfilling if it leads workers to demand higher wages. But with high unemployment, workers have little power to demand higher wages because they can easily be replaced. JOB MARKET HEALING SLOWLY Another U.S. central bank official, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, saw steady but modest job growth of about 200,000 jobs per month through the rest of this year after a slow spell. “It may take three years before the size of the nation’s work force reaches prerecessionary levels,” he said in a speech in Atlanta. The U.S. Labor Department will report figures for April nonfarm payrolls on Friday. Economists expect that 186,000 jobs were added in April, according to a Reuters poll. Rosengren said increases in overall U.S. inflation due to supply shocks since the mid-1980s have generally been temporary, a pattern that should play out again. “We should expect the impact on inflation to be transitory — and that total inflation will converge back to core inflation, which remains well below 2 percent,” he said. The U.S. consumer price index jumped 2.7 percent in the year to March. But so-called core CPI, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs and is a gauge of underlying price trends, climbed just 1.2 percent. The Fed’s informal target is 2 percent. Not all Fed officials are equally sanguine about inflation. Richard Fisher, the Dallas Fed’s hawkish president and also an FOMC voter this year, cited worries about rising prices. “The headline (inflation) numbers have gotten a little stout,” he told reporters after a speech. “We have to carefully monitor” how inflation expectations evolve. Still, he stopped well short of calling for near-term interest rate hikes. And Lockhart, of the Atlanta Fed, said no tightening of monetary policy is imminent. “It’s a bit premature now to anticipate it’s going to happen right away,” he said. The sequence and pace of steps that the Fed takes when it is time to reverse its easy money policy will depend on economic conditions at the time, Lockhart added. READY TO FIGHT INFLATION If inflation does begin to act up, officials said the Fed has both the tools and the will to attack price threats by bringing up interest rates quickly. “I am committed to responding decisively, and as forcefully as necessary,” the Boston Fed’s Rosengren said, “to ensure that long-term inflation expectations remain stable and that food and energy prices are not passing through to other prices.” In response to the worst recession in generations, the Fed slashed official borrowing costs to effectively zero and implemented an array of unorthodox lending facilities to heal frozen credit markets. Many of those measures have been shuttered as market conditions improved, but the controversial buying of assets to keep down long-term rates has continued. “Should it prove necessary to counter inflationary pressures, I will be among the first to advocate the unwinding of some of the stimulus we have provided,” Fisher said. Fisher cited a rebound in manufacturing and capital goods orders as not only a positive short-term indicator of economic momentum but also potentially a sign that the U.S. economy was finally moving away from an overreliance on consumer spending. “They are harbingers of needed rebalancing,” he said. (Additional reporting by Ros Krasny in Boston, Ann Saphir in Los Angeles, and Joe Rauch in Atlanta; additional writing by Mark Felsenthal; Editing by Leslie Adler) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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‘America Wants To Work’: Organizing The Unemployed

April 26, 2011

The community organizing affiliate of the AFL-CIO is coordinating with state labor groups to hold monthly meetings of the unemployed in five U.S. cities, in hopes of connecting the jobless with helpful resources and involving them in local politics. Hundreds of jobless Working America members (and non-members) have attended meetings in Portland, Ore.; Albuquerque, N.M.; Denver, Colo.; Pittsburgh, Pa. and Minneapolis, Minn., officials said. The meetings, which began in February, are part of a campaign called “America Wants to Work,” aimed at helping struggling workers at a time when public officials are more focused on slashing spending on social programs and taking away collective bargaining rights. “We just want to help folks,” Chelsey Evans, state director of Working America in New Mexico, told HuffPost. “We’ve had several meetings and we’re coming together to provide services and support to anyone in the community who is unemployed. We’re finding that a lot of people really struggle to navigate through this extremely complex system, whether it’s unemployment, rental assistance, utility assistance, job counseling.” Evans said that of Working America’s 98,000 members in New Mexico, some 11,000 are unemployed. Working America is launching the New Mexico Wants to Work campaign in collaboration with the New Mexico Federation of Labor, the United Way of Central New Mexico, and the Central New Mexico Central Labor Council. Susan See, laid off early in 2009 from her job doing advertising and administrative work for a local newspaper in Albuquerque, said the New Mexico Wants to Work monthly meetings have been a big help. She’s doing some freelance photography while her search for full-time work grinds on, seemingly endlessly. “It helps a lot just to have a support network, just to know that I’m not alone,” said See, 41. “It starts to feel after a while, ‘What am I doing wrong? Is it my age, is it because I’ve been out of work so long?’ And then you start hearing that from other people, that they’re having the same issues.” Bob Tackett, executive secretary-treasurer of the Northwest Oregon Labor Council, said about 70 people showed up at the first Oregon Wants to Work meeting in February, and that turnout’s diminished slightly at subsequent meetings, which Tackett said has been disappointing. At the second gathering of the jobless, Tackett said, “I got one of the managers from the unemployment office to be there and answer some of their questions. I thought boy, this is good stuff.” Working America member Teresa Berlin of Portland said she’s been at every meeting. “It’s kind of like a support system as a well as a political activist thing,” she said. Berlin, 37, said she lost her job as a server at a restaurant in 2007. She’s been scraping by with part-time work as a cab driver, unemployment insurance, and rental income since then. “I rent out all the rooms in my house to pay the mortgage,” she said. “I have five roommates.” Berlin said she’s networked with other unemployed folks, some of whom seem to be struggling more than she is. “There’s a lot of people that are really depressed, that feel isolated,” she said. “One woman had been putting out resumes for a year and hadn’t got one single interview. I’m really blessed compared to a lot of people.” The America Wants to Work campaign is reminiscent of Working America’s effort last year to mobilize its unemployed members ahead of the midterm elections in November. Among the group’s 3 million members, half a million are jobless, according to a spokeswoman.

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Chicago’s Gas Prices Highest In U.S.

April 25, 2011

Some Chicagoans are heading to the suburbs to fill up their tanks, as gas prices continue to climb in the city limits. According to the latest Lundberg Survey of fuel prices, Chicago has the highest gas prices in the country. While the average price of gas reportedly rose by 12 cents in the past two weeks, Chicago is well above the national average–paying about $4.27 per gallon. Many Chicagoans are paying more than that, however. Chicagogasprices.com reports that a Northwest Side BP station is charging $4.69 per regular gallon, and prices remain in the $4.30-$4.50 range throughout much of the city. “That’s why I’m only putting 10-bucks in here and then going up to the suburbs in Lake County and put the rest, that’s my plan right now,” Chicagoan Mark Jacobsen told Fox Chicago . Prices in the suburbs range from $4.07 per gallon at the Costco station in Melrose Park to the $4.20 range in some southwest suburbs, according to Chicagogasprices.com. President Obama discussed the issue of high gas prices in his weekly address, and told donors in Los Angeles that prices at the pump have quite an impact on his polling numbers. “These gas prices are killing you right now,” Obama said at Facebook headquarters in Palo Alto , acknowledging that many Americans can’t afford new fuel-efficient cars and must drive older models.. For some, he said, the cost of a fill-up has all but erased the benefit of the payroll tax holiday that he and congressional Republicans agreed on last December. Illinois Sen. Mark Kirk pitched some ideas for alleviating pain at the pump in Illinois last week. He said exploring natural gas supplies, speeding up the offshore drilling permit process in the Gulf of Mexico and easing federal regulation would bring down prices quickly. “If the market saw Congress moving in this bipartisan direction, it would see larger supplies in the future and that would directly affect the futures market. The price of gasoline right now is artificially high because the markets see a constriction of supply,” Kirk said, according to WBEZ . The Associated Press reports that the latest Lundberg Survey puts the average price for a gallon of regular gas at $3.88, as of April 22. The national average for a gallon of mid-grade is $4.02, and $4.13 a gallon for premium.

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Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse: One Year Later: Making Big Oil Pay For Its Mess

April 20, 2011

One year ago today, an explosion ripped through the Deepwater Horizon oil platform in the Gulf of Mexico — devastating countless lives and an entire ecosystem. Today, big oil companies involved in the disaster are exploiting legal loopholes in an effort to get off the hook for the worst environmental disaster in U.S. history. I’ve introduced legislation to make these companies pay for their mess. But to get it passed, we have to make sure it’s part of the national conversation today, during the intense media coverage we’re sure to see on the Gulf oil spill anniversary. That’s why I’m asking Huffington Post readers to co-sponsor my legislation TODAY — while the nation and the press reflect on the Gulf oil spill anniversary. We know that the companies who owned and constructed the sunken Deepwater Horizon rig, including Transocean and Halliburton, cut corners. They bear responsibility for last year’s tragedy. But they argue that current law doesn’t obligate anyone but BP to compensate victims — and sadly, the Supreme Court has severely limited any financial penalties they must pay. The Oil Spill Victims Redress Act I’ve introduced in the Senate will ensure that all companies implicated in an oil spill — not just the company operating the well — are on the hook to compensate victims and their families. And my Maritime Liability Fairness Act will reverse the Supreme Court’s decision on the Exxon Valdez spill, which severely limits BP’s liability. In fact, the Supreme Court decision slashed Exxon’s punitive damages by 90%…making it cost-effective to play fast and loose with safety. Sign on as a Citizen Co-Sponsor of my two-part legislation TODAY , and make sure Big Oil does not get away with the worst environmental disaster in American history. In the big picture, this isn’t just about getting justice for the people these oil companies harmed in 2010. This is about our energy future. This is about our economy. We’ll never move beyond oil until we stop rewarding oil companies with ridiculous taxpayer subsidies, and start making them pay for the harm they cause our families and our planet. We’ll never move beyond outrageous gas prices. And as I saw in Rhode Island, during not one but two oil spills, we let oil companies jeopardize the livelihoods of thousands of Americans who depend on the ocean for their income. So today, as we mark the one-year anniversary of the Deepwater Horizon rig disaster, let’s take a stand — and fix the law to finally hold Big Oil accountable. Thanks for signing on as a Citizen Co-Sponsor of my legislation.

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The Center for Public Integrity: Oil Companies May Have Avoided Paying Billions To Government

April 15, 2011

The Huffington Post is a sponsor of the Center for Public Integrity iWatch News by Aaron Mehta Even as leaders grapple with the nation’s fiscal troubles and urge expanded drilling for natural resources, their failure to remedy decades-old systemic shortcomings at the Interior Department may have allowed billions of dollars in royalties from oil and natural gas companies to slip away, increasing the burden on taxpayers. By law, energy companies must pay one-sixth to one-eighth of the value of oil and gas obtained on public lands and in federal waters off the nation’s coasts. In practice, government auditors and Interior’s inspector general believe the industry is paying less than it legally should. Exactly how much less is anybody’s guess, but it is believed to be at least hundreds of millions — and possibly tens of billions of dollars. So flawed and complicated are Interior Department operations and records that even auditors from the Government Accountability Office, the watchdog arm of Congress, have been unable to figure out exactly how much has been lost to taxpayers. “This is something that is a struggle for us,” Franklin Rusco, the director of the GAO’s team of natural resources and environment investigators, told iWatch News . This much is clear, added Rusco: “Interior can’t provide reasonable assurance that it is collecting all the royalties that it should.” The government’s failures are all the more striking against the backdrop of heightened attention and political showdowns over government spending and taxes. “It’s outrageous that even during a fiscal crisis, Interior fails to pursue taxpayers’ fair share of royalties,” said Mandy Smithberger, an investigator for the Project on Government Oversight , a Washington-based government watchdog group that has examined other issues involving the royalty system. Despite at least three decades of demands for improvement from Congress and the GAO, the Interior Department repeatedly has failed to heed basic recommendations for fixing the complicated and ill-funded process, which largely relies on companies to volunteer pricing information on which royalty payments are based, according to recent audits and the testimony of Interior Department officials reviewed by iWatch News . Those reports and interviews show that the federal government is hampered by staffing and technology inadequate to track and confirm what the companies disclose, as well as antiquated royalty collection laws and poor communication within the federal bureaucracy. One Interior Department agency, for instance, lacks any way of keeping up to date on the activity of wells and the amount of energy produced in the Gulf of Mexico, where the government grants companies the lucrative privilege of exploring and drilling. Lack of such real-time data is critical because royalties are based in part on current oil and gas prices. Without information on industry revenue, the Interior Department has no way of knowing whether oil and gas companies are paying their fair share. It also can’t tell which producers may be underpaying the most, and thus warrant scrutiny. And only half of the money paid to the government during each of the past three years has been audited by the department for accuracy. The Obama administration acknowledges some of the failures but says it is working on remedies. Interior spokeswoman Kendra Barkoff said that an “aggressive” reorganization of Interior precipitated by the BP oil spill one year ago already has increased oversight of the gas and oil industry in the past nine months. That includes oversight of royalty collections by the Office of Natural Resources Revenue. Even so, the government insists significant underpayments are eventually detected due to a “sophisticated accounting and detection system,” Barkoff said in a written response to questions from iWatch News. “The department does not believe that material amounts of royalties are ultimately uncollected.” The oil and gas industry, while acknowledging weaknesses in the royalty collection system, says that it is paying its fair share. The American Petroleum Institute, the leading trade association for the oil and gas industry, says in a statement on its website that it is “committed to working with all parties to improve any perceived inadequacies in the system.” Industry groups did not respond to multiple iWatch News requests for comment. Royalty payments from companies that drill on public lands and waters account for the federal government’s second-largest source of income; only taxes generate more revenue for Uncle Sam. In 2009, the energy industry paid an estimated $9 billion in royalties on sales of oil and gas obtained from federal lands and waters. If taxpayers are missing just 3 percent of royalties — a conservative estimate from sources contacted by iWatch News — the missing amount would be into the hundreds of millions of dollars annually. “These are publically owned resources and we should be getting a fair value for them,” said Autumn Hanna, who analyzes environmental spending for Taxpayers for Common Sense, an independent policy group in Washington. “These are things the federal government owns that we have a right to — and that corporations are making billions of dollars off of.” Oil companies treated ‘like royalty’ Politicians in both parties acknowledged concerns about the royalty program’s shortcomings in statements to iWatch. “It is important that the government collect what is fairly owed and that the necessary systems are in place to collect these funds as stipulated by the contractual terms in all federal oil and gas leases,” said Thad Cochran of Mississippi, a Republican member of a Senate appropriations subcommittee overseeing the Interior Department. Cochran is among a number of Republicans and Democrats seeking to expand drilling on the nation’s public lands and along its coastlines. Cochran said he is urging colleagues to “embrace policies to maximize royalties paid to the U.S. Treasury, not only by ensuring that royalties due under existing leases are paid in full but also by increasing all domestic energy production consistent with environmental laws.” Massachusetts Democrat Ed Markey, a member of House energy and natural resources committees, argues for a royalty crackdown on oil and gas companies — especially when the nation faces a budget deficit. “We need to reclaim the tens of billions of dollars in royalties from oil companies drilling for free on public land,” he said, “and use those funds to reduce the deficit.” Added Markey: “Our government should be extracting all the royalties rightfully owed to the American people, not expressing fealty to the oil companies and treating them like they are royalty.” Some lay blame for the persistent shortcomings in royalty collections on the influence of the energy industry. In 2010 alone, the oil and gas industry reported spending more than $146 million to lobby the federal government. During the 2009-2010 election cycle, it donated close to $28 million to federal campaigns, data compiled by the Center for Responsive Politics show. While the money has gone mostly to Republicans, cash has also flowed to the Democratic party of President Barack Obama, whose administration backs a limited expansion of drilling in the Gulf of Mexico. Dave Alberswerth , a former senior advisor at the Interior Department during the Clinton administration, said the industry has a key role in maintaining a broken system. He calls the influence of the oil and gas industry “enormous.” “They have so much influence it’s just scandalous,” said Alberswerth, now a policy advisor at the Wilderness Society, an environmental advocacy organization. “It’s impossible to dislodge them.” Both Albersworth and the GAO’s Rusco cite a lack of staffing as a major issue with the royalties system. “Part of the reality is that [Interior] simply does not have enough people going around to do enforcement and inspections” said Albersworth, whose organization supports a proposal in the department’s fiscal 2012 budget request that would impose a small fee on oil and gas companies to pay for more inspectors. A history of problems Interior Department Inspector General Mary Kendall warned in an April 2010 report to Congress that the government has “failed to carry out effective oversight and management to ensure all royalty income is collected.” And in February 2011, the GAO identified the troubles as serious enough to put it on the watchdog’s bi-annual “High Risk” report; it warned that the department’s royalty collection shortcomings placed it among programs at a “high risk for waste, fraud, abuse mismanagement or in need of broad reform.” Like many breakdowns in government, this one has been brewing for years. In January 1982, a federal commission investigating alleged royalties fraud and theft of oil from public lands criticized the government for not “fulfilling a public trust.” The study, ” Fiscal Accountability of the Nation’s Energy Resources ” — commonly known as the Linowes report for its economist-chairman, David F. Linowes — began pointedly: “Management of royalties for the Nation’s energy resources has been a failure for more than 20 years.” The report went on to cite “disarray” in recordkeeping and “serious inadequacies” in how the government managed the royalty program. “The Nation can no longer afford mismanagement of royalties for its energy resources,” it warned. “The stakes are too high.” Even then it was unclear how much was being lost. The 1982 report estimated “about one hundred million to several hundred million dollars a year,” but acknowledged that was only a guess. “The exact amount of money the Federal government, the States and the [Indian tribes] lose each year is unknown.” More recently, the government decided to shut down a program that allowed oil and gas companies to make “in-kind” royalty payments. Companies had been allowed to pay in oil or gas, which the government could resell or stash away in the federal Strategic Petroleum Reserve. But in 2008 the Interior Department’s inspector general documented a “culture of ethical failure” that described how government staff running the in-kind program socialized with oil and gas industry employees, routinely accepting gifts from them and even engaging in drug use and sexual relations with them. A spokesman for the in-kind program told iWatch News that Interior Department employees are still tying up loose ends, such as unresolved royalty imbalances. Vietnam, New Guinea have better collection systems A series of GAO reports over the past decade detail the Interior Department’s struggles with royalty collection, including one in 2008 where the GAO reported that a study of 104 royalty collection systems globally found that the U.S. federal royalty program brought in less revenue than all but 11. Among countries with more effective systems: Papua New Guinea, Vietnam and Norway. The problems have their roots in the process itself. Each company is responsible for keeping track of the amount produced each month from federal lands or waters, then reporting that production to Interior, along with a total for how much the company owes in royalties. The assessment is based on the total value of that month’s production, including the price — a number that fluctuates daily, making it hard to lock down a figure. Interior auditors check the information but only a fraction of reports are subjected to a rigorous audit in which the company’s production and revenue reports are compared against information from other sources. There is no blanket oversight of production facilities, and surprise inspections are rare. While testifying on the department’s fiscal 2012 budget request before a House appropriations subcommittee on March 17, officials from Interior acknowledged GAO’s concerns. The department’s requested budget addresses them by calling for, among other items, more staff and technology, said Greg Gould, director of the natural resources revenue office. The planned enhancements — additional “production meter” inspectors and a feasibility study on the use of automated production metering systems — could go a long way in detecting underpayments, the GAO’s Rusco told iWatch News. At the appropriations hearing, Gould was repeatedly asked how much the government is losing in royalty revenues. He never answered the question. But he did acknowledge that the government has identified at least some of the money it was owed. “Over the last 5 years our audit and compliance program has detected and collected more than half a billion dollars in companies’ initial underpayments” Gould testified. He also indicated that when it comes to collecting oil revenues, a little addition to the federal budget can go a long way. For every dollar spent on audits, he said, four came back to the government.

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Experts Fear Another Oil Disaster

April 14, 2011

NEW ORLEANS — With everything Big Oil and the government have learned in the year since the Gulf of Mexico disaster, could it happen again? Absolutely, according to an Associated Press examination of the industry and interviews with experts on the perils of deep-sea drilling. The government has given the OK for oil exploration in treacherously deep waters to resume, saying it is confident such drilling can be done safely. The industry has given similar assurances. But there are still serious questions in some quarters about whether the lessons of the BP oil spill have been applied. The industry “is ill-prepared at the least,” said Charles Perrow, a Yale University professor specializing in accidents involving high-risk technologies. “I have seen no evidence that they have marshaled containment efforts that are sufficient to deal with another major spill. I don’t think they have found ways to change the corporate culture sufficiently to prevent future accidents.” He added: “There are so many opportunities for things to go wrong that major spills are unavoidable.” The worst offshore oil spill in U.S. history began with an explosion April 20, 2010, that killed 11 workers aboard the Deepwater Horizon rig. More than 200 million gallons of crude spewed from the well a mile beneath the sea. Since then, new drilling rules have been imposed, a high-tech system for capping a blown-out well and containing the oil has been built, and regulators have taken steps to ramp up oversight of the industry. But deep-sea drilling remains highly risky. The effectiveness of the much-touted containment system is being questioned because it hasn’t been tested on the sea floor. A design flaw in the blowout preventers widely used across the industry has been identified but not corrected. And regulators are allowing companies to obtain drilling permits before approving their updated oil-spill response plans. After a monthslong moratorium, the Obama administration resumed issuing drilling permits earlier this year amid great pressure from the industry and lawmakers seeking to protect communities and workers whose livelihoods depend on drilling. A petroleum industry group is creating a center for offshore safety in Houston to address management practices and improve industry communication. And the agency that oversees offshore drilling now bars inspectors from regulating a company that employs a family member or friend. Also, inspectors who join the agency from the oil industry cannot perform inspections of their former employers for two years. BP says it is poised to become a much safer company. It ousted several key figures during the disaster – including CEO Tony Hayward – and created a powerful unit to police company safety. BP spokesman Daren Beaudo said that because of advances made during the crisis, “the capability exists to respond to a deep-water well blowout.” Similarly, Chevron spokesman Russell A. Johnson said his company is “confident of our ability to prevent an incident similar” to the Gulf oil spill. Whether any of that translates into better protection remains to be seen. “I’m not an oddsmaker, but I would say in the next five years we should have at least one major blowout,” Perrow said. “Even if everybody tries very hard, there is going to be an accident caused by cost-cutting and pressure on workers. These are moneymaking machines and they make money by pushing things to the limit.” After the Deepwater Horizon explosion, oil producers including BP were criticized for errors in their federally required oil-spill response plans, such as severely underestimating the time it takes oil to reach shore. Several of the biggest oil producers told the AP they have updated their response plans but are still waiting for them to be approved. The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement said it is operating under a 2002 federal regulation that allows two years to approve such plans. In the meantime, companies are allowed to proceed with their drilling applications and obtain permits as long as they certify in writing that they can handle a spill, said agency spokeswoman Eileen Angelico. The agency “is taking the oil companies’ word for it that they can handle a spill,” said David Pettit, a senior attorney for the National Resources Defense Council, one of the nation’s leading environmental groups. “This is the same kind of deference to claimed oil company expertise that led directly to the BP Deepwater Horizon disaster.” Regulators, however, point out that operators have to provide significant supplemental data before permits are approved. To bolster their case for safer drilling, the companies can point to a new system developed by industry titans including Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell and ConocoPhillips to contain oil spills. The system includes a cap and a series of undersea devices – including cables, a riser and a piece of equipment that would pump dispersant. Lines would be hooked up to vessels on the surface. Oil companies say the system is capable of quickly containing a blowout 8,000 feet under water and capturing as much as 60,000 barrels of oil per day. By comparison, at the height of the Gulf spill in mid-June, BP’s well was spewing some 57,000 barrels a day at a depth of 5,000 feet. Michael Bromwich, director of the U.S. agency that regulates offshore drilling, recently acknowledged that the system was not tested in a dynamic situation – meaning in the ocean or during blowout conditions. He said such testing would be ideal, but he was still confident the system would work. Martin W. Massey, CEO of the Marine Well Containment Co., the consortium of companies that built the system, told the AP that components of the system were tested on land in Houston in a controlled environment, with government officials monitoring and approving it. He suggested that ocean testing was not necessary. “We’re quite confident,” he said. “We’re ready to respond. The system is ready to go.” The consortium has said an expanded network capable of plugging a well at more than 10,000 feet below the surface and collecting 100,000 barrels of oil per day won’t be ready until early 2012. Another piece of equipment that has come under new scrutiny is the blowout preventer. In a report last month, a firm hired by the government to test the 300-ton device made by Houston-based Cameron and used with BP’s ill-fated well said the device failed to pinch the well shut in part because of a design flaw that prevented it from cutting through a drill pipe that had been knocked off center. Cameron is one of the biggest manufacturers of blowout preventers, so the finding has raised concerns that the devices may have to be overhauled across the board. No design changes have been announced since the finding, and a Cameron vice president defended the integrity of the blowout preventers at a federal hearing this month. If oil reaches the surface and threatens land, response companies today would still rely on the same equipment and technology that failed to quickly protect land during the BP spill. Floating booms, for example, would still be put in place around sensitive marshes and beaches. Bromwich said recently that some oil and gas companies continue to tell him they believe the Deepwater Horizon was an aberration belonging to one party – BP – and it could not happen to them. “In my judgment, this is as disappointing as it is shortsighted,” Bromwich said. “Our view is this was a broad problem.” ___ Mohr reported from Jackson, Miss. Associated Press writers Michael Kunzelman in New Orleans and Dina Cappiello in Washington contributed to this report.

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