By Cotten Timberlake and Lauren Coleman-Lochner Nov. 17 (Bloomberg) — Saks Inc. , the U.S. luxury retail chain, and Target Corp. , the second-largest discount chain, said they remain cautious about demand after reporting third-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ estimates. New York-based Saks reported today an unexpected profit of 1 cent a share in the period ended Oct. 31, its first in more than a year, after reducing inventories and expenses to counter a sales decline. Target said average transaction sizes shrank in November and fourth-quarter comparable-store sales may fall after third-quarter earnings rose more than analysts projected. “Generally, retailers are beating profit estimates on cost cuts,” David Abella , a portfolio manager with Rochdale Investment Management LLC in New York, said in a telephone interview today. “The sales outlook is still tough for the fourth quarter, but there is at least some hope that they are slowly improving.” Abella helps manage $2.5 billion in assets, including Target and TJX Cos. shares. The rate of sales declines is abating at Saks and Dillard’s Inc. , the Little Rock, Arkansas-based department-store chain, after the highest unemployment rate in 26 years and falling home values crimped consumer spending. Target, based in Minneapolis, said today it remains cautious about the current quarter and expects a “highly promotional” holiday season. November sales “provide additional justification for being cautious in this uncertain environment,” Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Gregg Steinhafel said on a conference call. TJX Earnings TJX , the owner of the T.J. Maxx and Marshalls clothing- store chains, said today that third-quarter profit rose on higher sales and increases in customer traffic. It raised its fourth-quarter earnings forecast to as much as 71 cents a share, matching the average analysts’ estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Saks rose 26 cents, or 4.1 percent, to $6.67 at 4 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The shares have gained 52 percent this year. Target fell $1.52, or 3 percent, to $48.77. TJX dropped 61 cents to $38.91, while Dillard’s jumped 8.9 percent to $14.51. Saks’ third-quarter income of $1.93 million compared with a loss of $43.7 million, or 32 cents, a year earlier. Analysts predicted a loss of 11 cents a share, the average of nine estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The retailer cut inventories by 21 percent during the third quarter and reduced selling, general and administrative expenses by 10 percent to $162.6 million. Charles Grom , an analyst with JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York, estimated those expenses at $172.1 million. He rates the shares “neutral.” Saks ‘Cautious’ Saks’ sales at stores open at least a year dropped 10 percent. The retailer reduced its forecast for those sales to a decline in the “high-single digits” in percentage terms for the second half, from a drop of “mid-to-high single digits.” Saks said in a statement it is “cautious about the environment” for next year. “The current economic and retail environment remain uncertain,” Saks Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Stephen Sadove said on a conference call with investors and analysts. “It’s a fragile period for everyone in this industry.” At Target, third-quarter net income advanced to $436 million, or 58 cents a share, from $369 million, or 49 cents, a year earlier. Analysts anticipated earnings of 50 cents a share, the average of estimates in a Bloomberg survey. Sales at stores open at least a year declined 1.6 percent, in line with figures Target provided on Nov. 5. TJX, Dillard’s At Framingham, Massachusetts-based TJX, net income climbed 47 percent to $347.8 million, or 81 cents a share, from $235.8 million, or 54 cents, a year earlier. Sales rose 10 percent to $5.24 billion. Analysts predicted profit of 78 cents and sales of $5.18 billion, the average of estimates in a Bloomberg survey. Dillard’s swung to a profit of $8 million in the period from a loss of $56 million a year earlier, according to a statement today. Excluding a tax benefit, it was a loss of 3 cents a share, beating analysts’ average projection for a 51- cent loss. Dillard’s trimmed inventory and reduced expenses in the quarter, expanding its gross margin by 420 basis points. Total revenue declined 9.9 percent to $1.36 billion, in line with analysts’ estimates. To contact the reporter on this story: Cotten Timberlake in Washington at ctimberlake@bloomberg.net