performance

Huffington Post…

WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama is announcing new steps on Monday to reduce government waste, arguing that inefficiency, fraud and abuse are especially troubling during tough economic times. Obama was to sign an executive order creating the Campaign to Cut Government Waste. According to a draft of the order obtained by The Associated Press, Obama will call for a new oversight board to work with federal agencies to cut back on waste and improve their performance. The order also requires cabinet secretaries to hold regular meetings with Vice President Joe Biden to report progress. Monday’s announcement comes as the White House grapples for ways to both boost sluggish economic growth and quell public anger over the mounting deficit. “As we work to tackle the budget deficit, we need to step up our game,” Obama says in a video message released on Monday. “No amount of waste is acceptable — not when it’s your money; not at a time when so many families are already cutting back.” Biden and other administration officials were to discuss plans to cut back on waste In prepared remarks for Monday’s event, budget director Jacob Lew said wasting taxpayer dollars through inefficiency “is particularly offensive at a time of such fiscal challenges.” One of the campaign’s first steps will be targeting waste and duplication among federal websites. The administration will halt the creation of new websites, as well as shut down or consolidate one-fourth of the 2,000 government websites in the next few months.

Read the original post:
Obama Announces Plans To Cut Government Waste

Find our Weekly Commercial Real Estate, Private Equity and Fund Newsletters at www.WeeklyBrief.net

{ 0 comments }

New RRE Portfolio Listings. Portfolio ID: NVM0511-2501. Asset Class: RRE UPB: $41800 # of Loans : 1. WAC: 0.00% Performance: Performing. Current CRE & RRE Portfolio Listings. Portfolio ID: NJM0511-1301. Asset Class: RRE …

Read More:
Current RRE & CRE Loan Portfolio Listings in the Marketplace …

{ 0 comments }

Dan Solin: A Trading Strategy That Really Works

June 1, 2011

The headline of a recent article in Barron’s caught my attention: “Fire Your Hedge Fund, Hire Your Congressman.” It reports on a study indicating that members of the House of Representatives outperform the average stock market investor by 6.8 percent a year, which is superior to the performance of the best hedge funds. Members of the Senate were even better traders. Their outperformance was an amazing 10.7 percent a year. The study looked at the period from 1985-2001. How did they do it? The authors concluded: “We find strong evidence that Members of the House have some type of non-public information which they use for personal gain.” Congress is not alone in figuring out that insider trading is profitable. Recent news reports include: The conviction of Raj Rajaratnam, co-founder of Galleon Group, for insider trading; Allegations by the SEC that Donald L. Johnson, a former managing director of The NASDAQ Stock Market, engaged in insider trading on confidential information that he allegedly stole while working in a market intelligence unit that communicates with companies in advance of market-moving public announcements. A guilty plea to insider trading by Barai Capital Management LP founder Samir Barai. In a related case, Sonny Nguyen, a former senior financial analyst for Nvidia pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit securities and wire fraud. Senator Charles E. Grassley is examining 20 stock trades by mega hedge fund SAC Capital Advisors. The trades were made around the time of market moving events, like merger announcements. These insiders understand something your broker doesn’t. A combination of the efficient markets theory (EMT) and the wisdom of crowds make stock picking a zero sum game. EMT holds that attempts to “beat the markets” are futile because share prices incorporate all relevant information. Therefore, the current price of every stock is a fair price. There is no mispricing. The “wisdom of crowds” was coined in a book of that name by James Surowiecki. The premise is that the judgment of a diverse crowd is more accurate than one made by any single member of the group. As applied to stocks, it would mean that the pricing set by millions of stock traders looking at all publicly available information about a stock is better than your judgment or the judgment of you and your broker. Industry insiders accept EMT and the wisdom of crowds, but they are a persevering group, devoid of morality or ethics, in their quest for higher returns, more assets and more fees. They have gamed the system by creating inefficiencies in an otherwise efficient market. Trading on inside information achieves this goal. Unlike most investors, these industry pros don’t fight the overwhelming data that has persuaded them they can’t beat the markets. You and your broker and “market beating” advisers can learn a lot from their acumen. Don’t fight market forces. Join them and capture market returns with a globally diversified portfolio of low management fee index funds in an asset allocation suitable for you. Creating market inefficiencies is possible, but those convicted of insider trading (other than members of Congress!) will also be trading their Brioni suits for prison stripes. Is it worth it? The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

Read the full article →

Dan Solin: 401(k) Participants Need an "Arab Spring"

May 25, 2011

Let me start with the obvious (or what should be obvious, but isn’t): 1. Retirement plans of all stripes should have only index funds or passively managed funds as investment options. There should be no actively managed funds (where the fund manager attempts to beat a designated benchmark). 2. Advisors to these plans should be 3(38) ERISA fiduciaries, which requires them to accept in writing 100 percent of the liability for the selection and monitoring of the investment options in the plan. This requirement eliminates all brokers and insurance companies. They accept “revenue sharing payments” from mutual funds as the cost of admission to the list of plan options. Legally, they cannot be 3(38) fiduciaries. 3. Acceptance of items 1 and 2 above is not going to happen in 99 percent of the retirement plans in this country, to the great detriment of plan participants. The evidence that passive trumps active is so overwhelming you have to marvel at the ability of the securities industry to persuade plan administrators to ignore it. One study looked at the performance of 2,100 actively managed funds over a 31 year period. The highly credentialed authors of this independent study concluded that only 0.6 percent of the fund managers studied had genuine stock picking ability — a number which is statistically indistinguishable from zero. Nobel Laureates William Sharpe, Merton Miller, Daniel Kahneman, Paul Samuelson and Harry Markowitz all reached the same conclusion. So did authors of many financial books, including William Bernstein, Allan Roth, Burton Malkiel, John Bogle, David Swensen, Larry Swedroe, Mark Hebner, Jason Zweig and many others. Malkiel said it best: It’s like giving up a belief in Santa Claus. Even though you know Santa Claus doesn’t exist, you kind of cling to that belief. I’m not saying that this is a scam. They generally believe they can do it. The evidence is, however, that they can’t. The explanation for why plan administrators continue to punish participants by investing in actively managed funds may be found in a 1998 PriceWaterhouseCoopers study, which concluded: …even as better information on indexing becomes available, emotional factors may continue to constrain the growth of indexing. Many institutional fund managers feel driven to beat the market, even while recognizing the arguments in favor of indexing. My personal experience in presenting passively managed options to CFO’s and Human Resource Departments validates this conclusion. They are either unaware of this data or choose to ignore it. The cost to plan participants of their ignorance is substantial. One study found that investing in actively managed funds rather than passively managed ones costs investors $80 billion a year. It’s no wonder many are predicting a “retirement tsunami” as baby boomers confront their diminished 401(k) plan balances and wonder whether they will ever be able to stop working. The “Arab Spring” might be a lesson for 401(k) participants. They need to familiarize themselves with the data and demand a fundamental change in the way their retirement plans are being managed. It’s time to stop the gravy train for mutual funds, brokers and “market beating” advisers and focus on the needs of plan participants. I am not suggesting demonstrations in the street (yet!), but participants need to educate themselves, organize, sign petitions and insist on retirement plans consistent with sound, academically based investment practices. Leaving these decisions up to your plan administrators simply is not working. The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

Read the full article →

Atlantis Computing Expands Executive Team With Key Hires From VMware and Citrix

May 24, 2011

Joel Davis and David Cumberworth Join Atlantis to Lead North America and European Sales Efforts to Address Demand for Its VDI Storage and Performance Optimization Solutions

Read the full article →

Janet Tavakoli: Wall Street’s Advice to the IMF: Control Your Alleged Rapists!

May 22, 2011

We are outraged at your lack of empathy for your victims! We’re not talking about the targets of your sexual advances, of course. We mean us. You’re supposed to be bailing out trading partners, bankers in weak foreign countries bankrupted by bailouts. Remember, you pigs are supposed to be financially raping the citizens of the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain). We’ll get back to that shortly, but first we have to address some housekeeping. Jeopardizing Our Health Condoms aren’t foolproof, and the HIV virus doesn’t care how much you paid for a hooker in Thailand. It has come to our attention that you have allegedly been customers of our New York based suppliers of prostitutes , and we’re furious. We need you to stick to the job. Moreover, if you had just listened to our advice to Joran van der Sloot , you wouldn’t be caught allegedly doing anything in the wrong place at the wrong time. Targets Can Shoot Back As for the handling of your internal matters, it was a nice touch to call newly resigned IMF head and alleged sex offender Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s 2008 affair with a subordinate a “serious breach of judgment” and impose no real consequences. It was a great move to reportedly decline investigations and consequences for other managers involved in suspect activities. It’s well known that a permissive atmosphere enables harassment (and more) and dismays the targets who perceive they will get no support. This is exactly the kind of thing we do all the time, but you have to save all this good stuff for your next high profile job in finance or politics. Until now, your internal targets felt so intimidated you were able to sweep all this under the rug. You can’t count on that anymore with all the new publicity you’ve brought on yourselves. Targets have caught on that they have nothing to lose and at least can gain back the self-esteem you’ve tried to destroy. Targets’ careers are already embattled, so it is in their interest to take action, and they’re not going to apologize for standing up for themselves. Moreover, it’s a snap to see through the flaws in the IMF’s new “policy.” You say that when it comes to intimate relationships, you will investigate if there is evidence of harassment. Obviously, the complainer will have to produce the evidence. But how has letting you handle things worked out so far for targets? Targets will never buy that nonsense now. They’ll tell you to stuff it and act independently. Targets have a right to treat this as a matter of personal safety. When it comes to the topic of their personal safety, you have nothing to add. The IMF Can’t Even Negotiate “Consensual Sex” Even when sexual relations between your bosses and subordinates apparently begin as consensual, the IMF inspires targets to rebel. According to the New York Times : “One woman is said to have slept with her supervisor, who then gave her poor performance reviews to pressure her into continuing with the relationship.” We must point out that if you want someone to continue a sexual relationship, tell them their performance was great. In the battle of the sexes, he declared thermonuclear warfare! Remember Who You’re Supposed to Be Screwing This may sound as if we’ve developed a conscience, but don’t worry, we haven’t. The truth is that we need you do as we say and not as we do for a change. We need you to keep bailing out weak countries like Ireland. Many of Ireland’s bankers fled the country, and the people of Ireland are drowning in their debt. We love the way the IMF forced a loan on the Irish to pay off the government debt that was forced on them to pay off the bankers’ debts. To get the bailout loan, the Irish government had to slash spending, lay off tens of thousands of public workers, lower wages, increase taxes, and cut health care budgets. The bankers got away with financial murder, and the citizens are paying for it, just the way we like it. Instead of letting banks fail or restructuring banks, we need you to do the same thing to Greece and possibly other countries, too. The Greeks are already protesting: “We’re not Ireland!” Your recent scandals may encourage them to get even more insistent and come up with an alternative of their own. We do lots of business with these foreign banks and governments. So stop spending so much energy trying to screw each other and spend it screwing the citizens of countries with governments that need bailouts because they bailed out bankers. Clean up your act, so that we don’t have to clean up ours!

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Slump on Europe Debt Woes, Gap Forecast

May 20, 2011

May 20 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Cali Carlin reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks slumped, capping the longest weekly losing streak since August for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, amid concern Greece will default on its debt and as Gap Inc.’s profit forecast missed estimates. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Delphi’s Black Recommends Advanced Energy, Ares Capital

May 17, 2011

May 17 (Bloomberg) — Scott Black, president of Delphi Management Inc., talks about his investment strategy. Black also discusses the performance of U.S. stocks, the U.S. economy and federal budget deficit. He speaks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Kantar Health Names Simon Li General Manager, China

May 17, 2011

NEW YORK, NY–(Marketwire – May 16, 2011) – Kantar Health , a leading healthcare-focused global consultancy and marketing insights company, has named Simon Li as General Manager, China. Based in Shanghai, Mr. Li will direct Kantar Health’s growth strategy in the Chinese market, partnering with pharmaceutical and biotech companies to optimize their performance in this critical high-growth region.

Read the full article →

Video: Stifel’s Morganlander Likes Gap, Health Care, Technology

May 13, 2011

May 13 (Bloomberg) — Chad Morganlander, a portfolio manager at Stifel Nicolaus & Co., talks about the performance of the financial markets and some of his stock picks including Gap Inc., WellPoint Inc., Humana Inc., International Business Machines Corp. and Hewlett-Packard Co. Morganlander speaks with Matt Miller, Julie Hyman, Susan O’Halloran and Sheila Dharmarajan on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Cassidy Says Concern Over Bank Rules Weighing on Stocks

May 13, 2011

May 13 (Bloomberg) — Gerard Cassidy, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, talks about the performance of the banking industry and its impact on the broader stock market. Cassidy speaks with Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Donna Flagg: Asking for a Raise: How, When and Why

May 11, 2011

Next to firing an employee and having to inform a coworker of various personal hygiene offenses, asking for a raise is up there as one of the worst, most dreaded workplace conversations of all time. Approaching the boss, asking for more money, trying to explain why you think you deserve it and expressing your inherent value in a convincing manner without embarrassing yourself can seem both an impossible and terrifying task, and rightfully so. But, it’s not — not if you can reframe it in your mind first and your mouth second, as a simple question warranting a simple answer. Nothing more. Nothing less. Here’s how to get started: First, load your guns. By this I mean equip yourself with knowledge that will enable you to have an informed discussion and present a persuasive argument. A) Research salaries on jobs comparable to yours in a like industry and region. It is vital that you know the prevailing rate of pay on jobs sharing similar circumstances with yours. There are sites like payscale.com and salary.com where you can search and compare. Also, if you happen to know any headhunters, they can give you a very good idea of salary ranges. Or alternatively, you can peruse sites such as monster.com and careerbuilder.com to see what jobs like yours are currently offering new-hires in the marketplace. B) Be crystal clear about your performance and what concrete contributions you have made to the organization, and better yet, any impact you’ve had on the bottom line of the business itself. The more quantifiable they are, the stronger your position is. The point being that if you are well paid (in comparative terms) and contributing little to the organization, you will have a much harder time selling the idea of a raise than if you are having a positive impact on the business and not being compensated competitively, and therefore, fairly. You want to weigh those two factors against one another so that you can craft an argument around them, because they are the two key variables your boss will be thinking about most. Second, imagine that you are posing it as a question of feasibility rather than a request for more money. Simply ask if it would be possible to make an adjustment to your salary, or an increase to your compensation. Either one will do. Or, even to say, “Is it possible to place my current rate of pay under consideration…” is to ask a perfectly reasonable and non-threatening question. The only thing is, you have to be prepared for the answer, which could be “no.” But even if it is, you need to hear it, and find out why. That is, if you are serious about creating the results you want. There may be milestones you need to meet, behaviors you need to change or relationships you need to improve. But better to find out than to remain in the dark, stuck where you are, and unable to do anything about it. On the other hand, you may discover that in the process of talking about your pay and performance, you learn that it is not a conversation about an increase at all. Rather, you may learn that you are at the top of your salary range and doing just fine, in which case the more appropriate conversation is one about promotion or additional challenges and opportunities that could shape your entire future instead. Now, with all that said, there are also some things you want to avoid at all costs. Most importantly, don’t read into what you hear and allow yourself to turn it into something that it’s not. A ‘no,’ is NOT a personal rejection. It is simply a piece of information that should lead you to the next question which is, “If not now, then when and what do I need to do to get there?” Don’t force the answer if your boss says he or she can’t give you one on the spot. Salaries are line items on a budget and it can take some finagling to make money available. Also, realize that your boss is evaluated heavily and compensated on his or her ability to financially manage the resources put in his or her charge. Often, it’s not a simple matter of merely bumping you up a few percentage points. Sometimes, there really is no wiggle room and it can’t be done. Regardless of which way it goes however, be sure to ask permission to set up another time to meet again in the future to revisit the topic. Next, don’t use personal measures, such as you need a new car or home, can’t save enough to put your kids through school or are having trouble paying your bills. Needing, wanting, deserving and earning more money are all different things. But the only thing you should be discussing in this context is earning more. Remember, this is a business conversation, so keep it focused on the business, your role in it and nothing else. And finally, a word of caution. Be careful switching gears and trying to swap out monetary compensation for additional perks. It’s popular advice, but it can backfire. You must be really clear about what you need before you go in. There is a difference between being underpaid and needing to make more money. Just realize, that if you initially ask for a raise, but then renegotiate its value in things such as vacation, benefits, tuition reimbursement, etc…, you run the risk of having it thrown back in your lap, because if you ask for an increase again later, your boss may tell you that your “total comp” now exceeds the limits on a job compatible with yours. Find Donna on: Krysalis Facebook Twitter YouTube

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Rise on Higher-Than-Estimated Earnings, M&A

May 11, 2011

May 10 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose for a third day as higher-than-estimated profit forecasts and Microsoft Corp.’s purchase of Skype Technologies SA bolstered optimism that earnings and takeovers will keep fueling the rally. Bloomberg’s Matt Miller also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

House Armed Services Commitee Could Fund Alternate Engine

May 4, 2011

By Colin Clark Editor, AOL Defense WASHINGTON — The Obama administration may think it has killed the second engine program for the world’s most expensive military weapons program ever, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter. Maybe, maybe not. The House Armed Services Committee — led by one of Congress’ staunchest supporters of the second engine program, Buck McKeon (R-Calif.) — looks set to pass language that would require the Pentagon to open the program to competing manufacturers . That could mean funding General Electric’s F136 engine program. But the language in HASC’s spending outline is conditional. It would stop the Pentagon from spending money on thrust and other performance improvements to the Pratt & Whitney engine — the F135 — unless it also opened the program to competitors. It looks as though the F135 engine may require improvements costing as much as $1 billion. That means the House Armed Services tactical air and land forces subcommittee language would force the Obama administration to once again fund the F136. House aides made clear the frustration representatives felt at the administration’s decision to scrap the F136. The issue for Rep. McKeon, one aide said, is “accountability.” Without a second engine program, Pratt would be free to spend money without the pressure of a competitor forcing it to build an engine with more thrust. Pratt reacted quickly to the spending proposal. “This just seems like a way to punish the whole F-35 program because the F136 extra engine was terminated,” Stephanie Duvall, Pratt spokeswoman, said in an email. GE is pushing hard to ensure it gets a shot at Pentagon spending on aircraft engines. The HASC seapower and projection subcommittee proposed changes that would force the Pentagon to designate engines for the planned long-range bomber as a major subprogram — one that must be competitive. That would effectively guarantee both GE and Pratt shots at the program. No total cost estimates for the bomber are available. Other defense spending projects could see tighter regulation under the proposed budget. The tactical air and land forces subcommittee placed strict limits on Pentagon spending for the Army’s $30 billion Ground Combat Vehicle, due to be designed and built within seven years. Before Congress would release all funding for the program, the defense secretary would have to come up with “a quantitative comparison” for an upgraded Bradley Fighting Vehicle. “The committee understands that the Army wants the GCV to carry three additional soldiers, but the committee believes that should not be the primary attribute that drives the decision on continuing the project on its current path,” the revision reads. Finally, the HASC seapower subcommittee told the Pentagon it still does not believe the Navy or Marines know what they want to do about replacing the Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle (EFV), an amphibious armored vehicle designed to get troops from ships to shore with speed and safety. Defense Secretary Robert Gates canceled the EFV, arguing it was too expensive and had taken far too long to develop. But the Marines say they are committed to building another one, this one called the Amphibious Combat Vehicle. The proposed bill says it will limit funding for the replacement, which is expected to cost as much as $7 billion. In the bill’s revision notes, seapower subcommittee members said the Marines and Navy did not do “proper analysis” before cancelling the EFV. Launching in Spring 2011, AOL Defense will provide news, insight and tools about the defense sector. Follow Colin on Twitter at @colinclarkaol. Follow AOL Defense at @aoldefense.

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Company Shares Decline

May 2, 2011

May 2 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. Stocks retreated, pulling the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index down from the highest level since June 2008, as a slump in commodity producers overshadowed optimism spurred by the death of Osama bin Laden. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Company Shares Decline

May 2, 2011

May 2 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. Stocks retreated, pulling the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index down from the highest level since June 2008, as a slump in commodity producers overshadowed optimism spurred by the death of Osama bin Laden. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Ryder’s Swienton Says Leasing Rates Are Set to Rise

May 2, 2011

May 2 (Bloomberg) — Greg Swienton, chief executive officer of Ryder System Inc., talks about the performance of the largest U.S. truck-leasing company and the outlook for leasing rates. Swienton speaks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

FOREX TREND MONITOR: Dollar Anchored to Stock Market Performance

April 26, 2011

FOREX TREND MONITOR: Dollar Anchored to Stock Market Performance

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Gain as Apple, Morgan Stanley Beat Estimates:

April 21, 2011

April 21 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Cali Carlin reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index near its bull-market high, as stronger-than-estimated earnings at companies from Apple Inc. to Morgan Stanley bolstered optimism about the economy. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Kos Cites `Struggling’ First-Quarter U.S. Bank Revenues

April 19, 2011

April 19 (Bloomberg) — Dino Kos, managing director at Hamiltonian Associates, talks about the performance of U.S. banks in the first quarter, business strategies of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co., and yesterday’s decision by Standard & Poor’s to lower its outlook for the U.S. credit rating. Kos talks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Gain on Earnings, Gold Touches $1,500

April 19, 2011

April 19 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Cali Carlin reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. Stocks rebounded from the biggest drop in a month after companies from Johnson & Johnson to Burberry Group Plc. reported results that beat analyst estimates. Gold futures touched $1,500 an ounce for the first time as the dollar weakened. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Slump as S&P Cuts U.S. Long-Term Credit Outlook

April 18, 2011

April 18 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Cali Carlin reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks slumped, sending benchmark indexes to their biggest declines in a month, after Standard & Poor’s Ratings Service cut the nation’s long-term credit outlook to negative. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Sands Says Constellation `Can Now Be Acquisitive Again’

April 15, 2011

April 15 (Bloomberg) — Robert Sands, chief executive officer of Constellation Brands Inc., talks about the performance of and outlook for the world’s largest wine company. Sands, speaking with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack,” also discusses the wine market in China. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Advance as House Approves Bill to Avert Shutdown

April 14, 2011

April 14 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, erasing an early slump, as the House approved a spending bill that will avert a government shutdown and Supervalu Inc. led a rally in consumer-staples shares after earnings topped analysts’ estimates. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Guest Commentary: Was That A Dress Rehearsal? What Will the Real Performance Be Like?

April 14, 2011

Guest Commentary: Was That A Dress Rehearsal? What Will the Real Performance Be Like?

Read the full article →

Mark Roozen Joins STACK Media as Senior Content Manager

April 11, 2011

NEW YORK, NY–(Marketwire – April 11, 2011) – Mark Roozen, an experienced strength and conditioning specialist, owner and founder of Performance Edge Training Systems (Colorado Springs), and former Director of Certification and member of the Board of Directors of the National Strength and Conditioning Association (NSCA), has joined STACK Media, the nation’s leading producer and distributor of sports training, performance, and lifestyle content for active sports participants. As STACK’s Senior Content Manager, Roozen will be responsible for developing editorial strategies and content concepts to serve the needs of athletes, coaches and others concerned with safe and effective athletic training.

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Drop, Oil Rally Drives Down Transportation Shares

April 8, 2011

April 8 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, preventing the third straight weekly gain for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as oil’s rally to a 30-month high drove down transportation shares and investors speculated the federal government may shut for the first time since 1996. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Norwest Venture’s Chang Expects `Gamification’ of Life

April 8, 2011

April 7 (Bloomberg) — Tim Chang, a partner at Norwest Venture Partners, discusses the gaming industry and the performance of GameStop Corp. He talks with Emily Chang and Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Fall, S&P 500 Trims Best 1Q Since 1998

March 31, 2011

March 31 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, trimming the biggest first-quarter rally for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since 1998, as a Federal Reserve official said interest rates may need to rise and concern about Europe’s debt crisis grew. Bloomberg’s Julie Hyman also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Groenewegen Says Gold Rises on Inflation Anticipation

March 31, 2011

March 31 (Bloomberg) — Gijsbert Groenewegen, founder of Silver Arrow Capital Management, talks about the performance of the U.S. stock market and outlook for gold and silver prices. Groenewegen speaks with Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Rise as S&P 500 Extends Best 1Q Gain Since 1998

March 30, 2011

March 30 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, extending the biggest first-quarter rally in 13 years for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as a report showing companies added more workers in March bolstered optimism about the economy. Bloomberg’s Julie Hyman also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Advance Despite Home Price Decline, Consumer Data

March 29, 2011

March 29 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks advanced, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a three-week high, despite decline in consumer confidence and lower residential real estate prices. Bloomberg’s Julie Hyman also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Jim Schuchart: 4 Steps To Pricing Like A Pro

March 29, 2011

“Nowadays people know the price of everything and the value of nothing.” -Oscar Wilde Too often startups take a dangerous route to setting price by just looking at how much a product or service costs to provide and how much competitors are charging, and then setting the price in between. The ambitious may even include a “willingness to pay” survey to justify the numbers ( but we now know better than that .) While costs and the competitive alternatives are certainly relevant inputs to pricing decisions, these companies are missing a critical component of pricing that causes them to leak profits. The reality is, if you’re having trouble understanding and estimating your economic value, more than likely you’re facing the bigger problem of not understanding how your product positively affects your customers financially . Follow these four steps to quantifying customer value and you’ll be on the path to pricing like the pros. Step One: Identify the Alternative Better pricing is achieved by understanding how much more or less economic value you drive relative to the other options that are available. Accordingly, the first step to understanding your value is to identify, from the customer’s point of view, the competition (the Next Best Competitive Alternative, also known as the NBCA). Let’s say we are in the software business, and one potential customer is currently using IBM’s solution which costs $250 per month, while another customer is doing “nothing” (or managing in house, depending on how you look at it). In the first case, we’ll need to look for ways we can provide differentiated value above and beyond IBM’s $250 solution in order to capture a premium. In the second example, our story needs to illustrate how we are better than doing nothing and illustrate the value we provide above current practices in order to get customers to sign up. There are two important lessons here. First, the competition is your friend! We will build upon the NBCA’s offer and identify ways we deliver more value. It is much easier to find small additional value above the IBM offer than it is to find a ton of value from the ground up, as is the case when the NBCA is “do nothing.” This is a major challenge for startups in a new space. Try to overcome it by looking for realistic but favorable NBCAs for your product. For example, instead of “do nothing,” are they really managing internally? What does that cost them in salary? Second, as we see in this example, different customers have different NBCAs, so your value story will change from customer to customer. You may be 5 percent better than IBM but 50 percent better than in-house, which leads to different levels of differentiated value. Identifying your competition may seem like a no-brainer, but it has big implications for segmentation, offer design, customer targeting, and sales proposition (all topics for another day). So put some thought into this and pick an NBCA that is relevant to a current sale and will be useful down the road. Step Two: Quantify Your Superiority This is where it gets fun. We are ready to really dig into how your product is better than what is happening today (the NBCA). Back to the software example: our product helps our customers’ systems work 5 percent faster than if they use the IBM solution. But what does faster mean? Why do companies want faster? In 2008 at eBay, faster systems meant more revenue per listing. The site was loading too slowly and eBay was losing out on buyer bids in the final seconds of an auction. A faster system captured more last second bids in time, creating higher sell prices, happier sellers, and a higher fee for eBay. In a call center, faster systems might lower call time and reduce telecomm and labor costs. The same feature can drive different amounts, and different types, of value for different customers. Let’s dig into the eBay example. How do we put a number to this value? The simpler the math, the better. You will want to show your customers how you came up with the number, so it’s best to avoid partial differential equations and other forms of analytical confusion. Start with some reasonably conservative assumptions and basic customer knowledge. Let’s say a system that is 5 percent faster than the IBM offer means there is a 1 percent better chance an additional bid is placed on any given auction item (compared to the performance with IBM’s solution), and the average bid increment is $1.00. eBay gets a 5 percent commission on sales, and handles 10 million auctions per month. These assumptions let us roughly quantify the performance above and beyond IBM, the NBCA. There is always more than one way to quantify this value, so consider how your customer will think about it, what data you have, and what data you can easily provide potential customers with. Feature: System runs 5% faster than IBM Probability of additional bid: 1% (source: performance tests, assumption) Average incremental bid: $1.00 (source: customer research) eBay commission (%): 5% (source: customer website) eBay auctions per month: 10,000,000 (source: customer research) Value delivered: $5,000 per month (source: calculated) Based on this math, we believe we add $5,000/month of positive differential value (what is above and beyond what IBM offers for $250/month). This demonstrates that we are impacting such a massively important value driver to eBay that even a slight performance advantage over IBM allows us to justify a significant price premium. At this point, don’t worry too much about perfecting the numbers, just be conservative. Roughly right is better than precisely wrong. As you move forward, customer conversations, annual reports, pilot programs, and field tests will help refine the inputs. The important thing is to understand how we are driving value, and roughly how much it is worth. Step Three: Acknowledge Your Deficiencies Your story must be fair and believable to gain any traction with the customer, and a key step is to acknowledge that the NBCA does have some economic advantages. If a customer thinks we didn’t look at the entire picture, they may think we’re cooking the books in our favor and not providing a real view of the world. I have never seen a situation where there is no negative differential value, so be careful skipping this step. If the NBCA has superior performance on a different feature, you can replicate math like we used above. Another very common negative differentiator is the switching cost from the current solution, often in the form of installation time or employee training. Let’s look at how we may quantify the installation cost in our example: Feature: Installation & Training Cost (Negative) IT Man hours to install and train: 120 (source: assumption) Fully loaded IT staff cost per hour: $50 (source: market research) Amortization period (months): 36 (source: assumption) Negative Differential Value: $166 per month (source: calculated) Just like in our calculations on positive differential value, we want to use numbers that make a conservative case. The value here is very small compared to the positives, so use numbers your customer will believe. Step Four: Put it Together and Capture Your Value In most cases, you’ll have multiple positive and negative drivers to consider, but for now we’re keeping it simple. We have our NBCA identified as the $250/month IBM solution. We have determined that we provide an additional $5,000/month in positive value, but have a negative differentiation of $166/month. So now what? Our net differentiated value (positive value minus negative value, in this case $5,000 – $166) is $4,834/month. Since we are more valuable than the IBM offer, their price of $250/month becomes a hard floor for our pricing. Anything below this number can be very dangerous. Our ceiling is that differentiation plus the price of the NBCA, or $5,084 ($5,000 -$166 + $250). Above this price you are asking your customer to make an economically irrational decision. So here we have created our pricing band – from $250 to $5,084 per month. Decisions on how to share that value creation band with your customers (e.g. where to set your price) depend on your company’s strategy, the industry dynamics, and degree of innovation. In mature and highly competitive markets where innovation happens on the fringes, I typically see companies capture 10 percent of that differential value. In this case, that would mean 10 percent of $4,834 (net differentiation) on top of the NBCA price, or roughly $733/month ($250 + $483). More aggressive companies who focus on profit or operate in younger markets often captured roughly 30 percent of the net differential value. In some cases, such as highly innovative products where psychological drivers are in play or unquantifiable pain points exist, nearly 100 percent of that value can be captured. With this analysis in hand, your company can make informed commercial strategy decisions. Value-based pricing is not just about coming up with a price. It can help expose the core value of your business and provide a deeper understanding of how you are affecting your customer base, and how that effect varies from customer to customer. It will change the way you think about your competition, marketing and sales and product development. At a minimum, you can maybe prove Oscar Wilde wrong and understand the value of at least one thing – your own product. This post originally appeared on the MIT Entrepreneurship Review .

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Fall on Marriott’s Revenue, Japan Concern

March 28, 2011

March 28 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, erasing the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s gain in the final 20 minutes of trading, as Marriott International Inc. led consumer shares lower and concern grew that Japan is failing to contain hazardous materials at its damaged nuclear plant. Bloomberg’s Julie Hyman also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Advance on Oracle Forecast, Economic Expansion

March 25, 2011

March 25 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks advanced, giving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index its biggest weekly rally since February, after Oracle Corp.’s profit forecast beat analyst estimates and the rate of economic growth was revised higher. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Moffett Says Stock Market `Desensitized’ by World Events

March 24, 2011

March 24 (Bloomberg) — James Moffett, a fund manager at Scout Investment Advisors, talks about the performance of the U.S. stock market and his investment strategy for global stocks. Moffett speaks with Pimm Fox and Julie Hyman on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Rally on Higher-Than-Estimated Corporate Profits

March 24, 2011

March 24 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for a second day, after corporate profit topped analysts’ estimates and a government report showed a decline in jobless claims. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: De Vaulx Says He’s Adding to Japan Stock, Gold Holdings

March 23, 2011

March 23 (Bloomberg) — Charles De Vaulx, portfolio manager at International Value Advisers LLC, and Mark Travis, chief executive officer at Intrepid Capital Corp., talk about investment strategy. De Vaulx and Travis also discuss the performance of U.S. stocks. They speak with Pimm Fox and Julie Hyman on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Advance as Metal Prices Rise; Portugal Bonds Drop

March 23, 2011

March 23 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, erasing yesterday’s drop, as higher metal prices lifted commodity shares, while oil gained as allied forces struck Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi’s troops. Bonds of Europe’s most-indebted nations sank amid concern Portugal will need a bailout. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Dan Solin: The Misguided Search for the "Winning" Mutual Fund

March 23, 2011

Those people over at Standard & Poors spoil all the fun. Their periodic research reports on the performance of mutual funds routinely show the majority of actively managed mutual funds underperform the benchmark indexes the fund managers are so handsomely paid to beat. As if that indignity was not enough, twice a year they publish the “S&P Persistence Scorecard.” It answers the question every active fund manager fears: Does past performance matter? We all know that “past performance is not an indicator of future performance”, but the financial media and the securities industry work seamlessly to convince us this is not true. Here’s what I mean: CNBC has “fund screener” on its web page. . It lets you find funds that have a history of stellar performance. Forbes touts its mutual fund screener that “…will help you find the right pick from our database of more than 2,600 funds that qualify for a Forbes Rating based on their track record in bull and bear markets.” TD Ameritrade lets you select certain criteria , including past performance, and screen for funds that meet your requirements. All of the major brokerage firms offer similar screens. John Hancock recently launched a massive advertising campaign in which it featured the fact that many of its mutual funds are rated four and five stars by Morningstar. Presumably, the message is that its past performance is an important factor for investors to consider when shopping for mutual funds. The latest S&P Persistence Scorecard presents irrefutable data indicating that this focus on past performance to predict future performance is simply nonsense. Let’s assume you used one of the fund screeners and identified each one of the 542 domestic stock funds that was in the top twenty-five percent of performers for the first year of the five year period measured by the Persistence Scorecard, commencing in September 2006. You decided to invest in all of them, confident that the majority would repeat their fine performance. After all, fund management is a skill, and these managers clearly had the secret to successful investing, right? According to the Persistence Scorecard, your fund selections were a total bust. Not a single one of these top performing funds maintained its top quarter ranking in each of the remaining four years. This is not surprising for those familiar with the data. When a fund outperforms, Wall Street tells you the fund manager has skill. In fact, it is just luck. Skill persists. Luck doesn’t. If a fund family had investment skill, all of its funds would outperform the market. It would not be advertising just the few winners. As investors, you need to screen out mutual fund screens and ignore past performance. Investing based on these factors is harmful to your financial wealth. The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Fall on Europe Debt Concerns, Higher Oil

March 22, 2011

March 22 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lower for the first time in four days, as oil rose amid unrest in Libya and concern grew that Europe won’t find an immediate solution to its debt crisis. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Rally Amid M&A Deals as Japan Atomic Crisis Eases

March 21, 2011

March 21 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rallied, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for a third day, as concern eased that Japan will suffer a nuclear meltdown and after AT&T Inc. agreed to buy T-Mobile USA for $39 billion. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Gain as Energy and Industrial Shares Rally

March 11, 2011

March 11 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks advanced, trimming the weekly loss in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as gains in fuel, metal and industrial companies helped the market overcome a global slump following Japan’s worst earthquake on record. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Avinash Kaushik: A New Way For Small Businesses To Track Mobile Ads

March 11, 2011

Over the past two years, mobile search queries have increased by 500 percent. And yet we’re slow to catch up to this trend. It’s estimated that nearly 80 percent of all websites are not yet mobile-enabled. Building a mobile website requires a significant time and money investment, two resources not readily available to small business owners. So in the meantime, we recommend enabling the click to call extension on your AdWords ads. With this feature, you can display your business’ phone number and allow potential customers to call you directly from their mobile devices. I think this feature is especially fascinating because of the exciting measurement possibilities (and accountability) for these interactions via standard reports within AdWords and Analytics. To do so, all you have to do is ensure that you’ve enabled the call metrics option in your click to call ads. You can then analyze the performance of your mobile campaigns within your AdWords account. I’ve detailed several reports you can run to analyze your click to call campaigns below. Just by enabling call metrics, you can get useful information on the performance of your click-to-call ads. The best place to start is the campaigns tab of your AdWords account. By running a Click Type report , you can immediately access information to understand if the click-to-call ads are performing well for you. Click-to-call campaigns allow your customers to click on a link to visit your website, or click on the link to place a phone call to you. For both these actions, you’ll be able to see CPC (cost per click) and CTR (click-through rate) with no extra work at your end. Now you are ready to drill down even further and begin to optimize the campaign with a Keyword Report . This report allows you to see impressions, clicks/phone calls, and average CPC for your click-to-call campaigns. If certain keywords have good performance, you can experiment with variations/expansions of the well-performing terms. You can also look at how certain keywords perform on mobile versus other channel. Maybe some keywords perform better on mobile. Additionally you can also measure the mobile part of these mobile campaigns by enabling the Dimensions tab . Once you’ve done so, you’ll be able to track placed calls, missed calls, received calls, call duration, and average call duration. We are used to analyzing clicks and bounces and conversions. Now we get to analyze something we never could easily (phone call data), and we can use metrics like call duration and received calls etc. You’ll quickly be able to see which mobile campaigns result in more calls made, which have high call duration (leading to higher conversions), and which campaign deliver value. Using that as context, you can place preliminary judgment on how well or badly your mobile campaigns are doing. Mobile presents a unique opportunity to reach the right person with the right message at the right time (the ultimate holy grail in marketing through any channel). After all, what other ad medium is there in the world where you can literally “own the entire shelf” instantly. It is straightforward to experiment with mobile ads, and it is easy to bring accountability to your ads with the reports and metrics outlined above. It is the ultimate expression of data-driven marketing.

Read the full article →

Dan Solin: Investors Continue to Buy Underperforming Funds

March 9, 2011

I have a cushy job for you. You will be the fund manager of a mutual fund. Its benchmark index is the S&P 500. All you have to do is beat that index and you will be handsomely rewarded. How difficult can this be? There are only 500 stocks in the index. They are among the biggest and best known in the country. Apple, Bank of America, Colgate-Palmolive, DuPont. You get the drift. It’s easy to research these companies. The amount of publicly available information is staggering. They are followed by the best and brightest analysts on Wall Street. These companies have regular conferences where they will update you on their performance and prospects. Just pick the outperformers from this limited group and overweight your mutual fund with them. You are not competing with a human. The guidelines for maintaining the index are published on its web site . You can easily replicate the index. All you have to do is beat it and you will be a hero to millions of investors. Money will flow into your mutual fund. Your personal compensation will go through the roof. How does “stock guru” sound to you? Standard & Poors issues regular reports where it compares the returns of actively managed fund managers to their benchmarked indexes. Its most recent report is for the year-end 2010. The report is corrected for survivorship bias, which means it takes into account those funds that are no longer in business. Typically, funds go out of business due to poor performance. Most studies ignore those funds, which distorts the results. In the past three years, seventeen percent of domestic equity funds merged or liquidated. For 2010, almost two-thirds of large-cap, actively managed funds, that used the S&P 500 as its benchmark, were outperformed by the index. This is fairly consistent with prior years. In almost every other category, a majority of actively managed funds underperformed their benchmark. When the assets of the funds measured are considered, the record for actively managers is better, with a majority outperforming their benchmark index. The results are worse for bond funds. The majority of active managers failed to beat their benchmarks. For investors, this report validates the view that chasing returns by trying to find outperforming actively managed funds is a fool’s errand. The harsh reality is that most actively managed funds will underperform their designated index. Basing your selection on funds that outperformed in the past is ill-advised. There is no data indicating that past performance is indicative of future performance. To the contrary, there are many studies indicating that outperformance can be attributed to luck and not skill. Luck does not persist. Don’t expect to find the Standard & Poors survey, or the peer reviewed studies debunking the myth of fund manager skill, in the office of your local broker. Their interest is in keeping the dream of superior performance alive, through the use of costly actively managed funds. It’s all part of the grand plan to transfer your wealth to their pockets. The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Decline, Crude Oil Advances to 29-Month High

March 4, 2011

March 4 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks declined, erasing almost half of the biggest daily gain in three months, amid investor concern that the surge in crude oil price to a 29-month high will curtail the expansion in the world’s biggest economy. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Video: U.S. Stocks Decline, Crude Oil Advances to 29-Month High

March 4, 2011

March 4 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks declined, erasing almost half of the biggest daily gain in three months, amid investor concern that the surge in crude oil price to a 29-month high will curtail the expansion in the world’s biggest economy. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →

Dan Solin: The Coming Oil Crisis and Your Investments

March 2, 2011

Talk of unrest in the Middle East fills the airways. These are remarkable times. The rise of oppressed people standing up against their dictatorial regimes is a remarkable historical event. The excitement of the financial media and the securities industry is palpable. Will the rising prices in oil end our “tenuous” economic recovery and plunge us into another recession? Robert Prechter certainly thinks so. Mr. Prechter is a “veteran market strategist.” He was interviewed for a recent article in the New York Times . I find it odd that reputable papers continue to publish the views of market forecasters. The article noted that, six months earlier, Mr. Prechter predicted a market crash “…of monumental proportions.” Undeterred by the inaccuracy of that prediction (the rise in the S&P 500 index “surprised” him), Mr. Prechter opined that a monumental disaster is looming. He sees no place to hide. Stocks, bonds and commodities are all doomed. Now add to the mix the rise in oil prices and the looming possibility of a disruption in the flow of oil. What’s an investor to do? Turning to “experts” seems rational. Actively managed mutual fund managers have their finger on the pulse and the resources to implement their strategies. Why not rely on them to sort this out? They don’t seem to be very good at it. From 2005 through 2009, thirty percent of U.S. stock funds went out of business. That’s almost one-third of actively managed funds. A primary reason for non-survival was their poor investment results. The ones that survived had pretty dismal performance records. About two-thirds of those that used the S&P 500 index as their benchmark, failed to beat it. Funds investing in emerging markets, where you would think investment skill would shine, had a worse record. A whopping eighty-six percent failed to beat their benchmark index. I know what you are thinking. Why not find the “winners” and invest with them? Only 1% of the 2231 stock mutual funds outperformed their benchmark every year from 2005-2009. There is no assurance those funds can repeat their performance in ensuing years. Bond funds fared even worse. Over the decade ending December 31, 2009, between 83% and 100% of actively managed bond funds failed to beat their designated bond index. I am not suggesting that Mr. Prechter is right or wrong. The talking heads on CNBC may also get it right from time to time. I am merely noting that real “experts”, who are paid millions of dollars to “beat the market”, have a very dismal track record. Putting your faith in them, or in anyone who believes they can predict the direction of the stock markets, is not an intelligent way to invest. Here’s my prediction: Those who seek to capture market returns will outperform those who try to “beat the markets” by 200% or more over the next decade. The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

Read the full article →

Video: Stocks Advance as Consumer Confidence Exceeds Forecasts

February 25, 2011

Feb. 25 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, preventing the biggest weekly drop in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since August, as confidence among American consumers beat forecasts and climbed to the highest level in three years. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Read the full article →