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May Day Protests Around The World

by AP on May 1, 2011

Huffington Post…

ISTANBUL — Activists flooded a central plaza in Turkey’s largest city Sunday and marked international workers’ day around the world with marches demanding more jobs, better working conditions and higher wages. About 200,000 workers gathered in Istanbul’s Taksim Square in the largest May Day rally there since 1977, when 34 people after shooting triggered a stampede. Turkish unions weren’t allowed back until last year. In South Korea, police said 50,000 rallied in Seoul for better labor protections. They also urged the government to contain rising inflation, a growing concern across much of Asia, where food and oil prices have been spiking and threatening to push millions into poverty. Thousands of workers also marched in Taiwan, Hong Kong and the Philippines to vent their anger over the rising cost of living and growing disparities between the rich and poor. Chinese holidaymakers flocked to Beijing’s Tiananmen Square to watch the daily flag-raising ceremony. In the Philippines, about 3,000 workers demanding higher wages held a protest in a Manila square that included setting alight the effigy of Philippine President Benigno Aquino III grinning in a luxury car. Aquino was criticized this year for buying a secondhand Porsche in a country where a third of people live on a dollar a day. In Taiwan, about 2,000 people rallied in Taipei to protest the widening income gap and to demand their government create better work conditions. About 3,000 people in Hong Kong took part in a Sunday morning protest while another 5,000 were expected at an afternoon rally, local media reports said, citing union organizers. In Spain, where the unemployment has reached a eurozone high of 21.3 percent, several thousand people gathered in the eastern port city of Valencia and protested the government’s failure to create new jobs. In Moscow, up to 5,000 Communists and members of other leftist groups marched through the city carrying a sea of red flags to celebrate their traditional holiday, what in Soviet times was known as the Day of International Solidarity of Workers. Since the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union, the holiday has been known as the Day of Spring and Labor, and organizations from across the political spectrum held their own marches on Sunday. The dominant pro-Kremlin party, United Russia, gathered the largest crowd by pulling in workers from factories and institutes in and around Moscow. Party organizers claimed that 25,000 people took part. The holiday also brought out about 30 members of the Syrian diaspora to protest their government’s use of military force against protesters calling for an end to President Bashar Assad’s rule. Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov, whose party is the only nominally opposition faction in the Kremlin-loyal parliament, called for national solidarity. A handful of gay activists tried to join the Communist march, but organizers and police insisted they roll up their flags to avoid conflict. ____ Associated Press writers Kelvin K. Chan in Hong Kong, Gillian Wong in Beijing, Hyung-jin Kim in Seoul, South Korea, Aaron Favilo in Manila, Philippines, Lynn Berry in Moscow, Russia and Harold Heckle in Madrid, Spain contributed to this report.

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May Day Protests Around The World

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If you have plans to vacation in Britain, Turkey, Morocco, and the Philippines this year, you might just find a tart, cold reminder of home. By the end of 2011, Pinkberry is planning to to be in 17 different international markets, according to Nation’s Restaurant News.

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Starbucks To Help Pinkberry Achieve Global Frozen Yogurt Domination

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Asia wants more Yuan reserves: Philippines CB

April 12, 2011

Asia wants more Yuan reserves: Philippines CB

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The Rise & Fall Of Florida’s Foreclosure King, David J. Stern

February 7, 2011

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — During the housing crash, it was good to be a foreclosure king. David Stern was Florida’s top foreclosure lawyer, and he lived like an oil sheik. He piled up a collection of trophy properties, glided through town in a fleet of six-figure sports cars and, with his bombshell wife, partied on an ocean cruiser the size of a small hotel. When homeowners fell behind on their mortgages, the banks flocked to “foreclosure mills” like Stern’s to push foreclosures through the courts on their behalf. To his megabank clients – Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, GMAC, Citibank and Wells Fargo – Stern was the ultimate Repo Man. At industry gatherings, Stern bragged in his boyish voice of taking mortgages from the “cradle to the grave.” Of the federal government’s disastrous homeowner relief plan, which was supposed to keep people from getting evicted, he quipped: “Fortunately, it’s failing.” The worse things got for homeowners, the better they got for Stern. That is, until last fall, when the nation’s foreclosure machine blew apart and Stern’s gilded world came undone. Within a few months, Stern went from being the subject of a gushing magazine profile to being the subject of a Florida investigation, class-action lawsuits and blogger Schadenfreude that, at last long, the “foreclosure king” was dead. “What Stern represents is an industry that was completely unrestrained, unchecked, unpunished and unsupervised,” says Florida defense attorney Matt Weidner. “This was business gone wild.” The rise and fall of Stern, now 50, provides an inside look at how the foreclosure industry worked in the last decade – and how it fell apart. It also shows how banks, together with their law firms, built a quick-and-dirty foreclosure machine that was designed to take as many houses as fast as possible. Not long ago, the world of back-office bank procedures was of little interest to the public. But revelations last fall about robo-signers powering through hundreds of foreclosure affidavits a day, without verifying a single sentence, changed all that. Today the banking industry’s eviction juggernaut is under intense scrutiny as allegations of systemic foreclosure fraud mount. The 50 state attorneys general are conducting a foreclosure industry probe. So are state and federal regulators. Class-action lawsuits are gathering force, and, with increasing frequency, state judges are tossing out foreclosure suits in favor of homeowners. The developments are prolonging the housing market depression, casting doubt on mortgage ownership and calling into question whether mortgage-backed securities are, in fact, backed by nothing at all. The Florida attorney general’s economic crimes division is investigating three law firms, including Stern’s, over allegations that they created fraudulent legal documents, gouged homeowners with inflated fees, steered business to companies they owned and filed foreclosures without proving the bank actually had a legal interest in the loan. Florida authorities characterize the foreclosure process at these law firms as a “virtual morass” of “fake documents” and depicted Stern’s operations as something akin to the TV show “Lost” – only instead of people that went missing, it was paperwork. Stern’s employees churned out bogus mortgage assignments, faked signatures, falsified notarizations and foreclosed on people without verifying their identities, the amounts they owed or who owned their loans, according to employee testimony. The attorney general is also looking at whether Stern paid kickbacks to big banks. “There’s a David Stern in every state, sometimes more than one,” says Jacksonville Legal Aid attorney April Charney, who has successfully stopped foreclosure for hundreds of Florida families. Stern denied repeated requests for comment. He did not answer inquiries at his office or at his main residence in Fort Lauderdale. Stern’s lawyer, Jeffrey Tew, agreed to an interview in late December at his Miami office, then canceled it the night before without further comment. Stern’s story, starting with his law degree in 1986 from the South Texas College of Law, can be pieced together through thousands of pages of court documents, myriad depositions and scores of interviews. After working at a law firm for mortgage lenders, Stern started his own practice in Fort Lauderdale in 1994. Four years later, he got a massive break: the mortgage giant Fannie Mae, a government-backed agency that provides market stability for mortgage lenders, named Stern to its exclusive attorney network. That meant Fannie directed banks to use Stern’s firm when foreclosing in Florida. Fannie also named Stern Attorney of the Year in 1998 and 1999. Employees from that era remember an office that liked to party together. Stern enjoyed dressing up for his office bashes. One time he sauntered on stage turned out like Michael Jackson. Almost from the beginning, Stern faced trouble. In 1998, he was named in a class-action lawsuit alleging that he padded fees on foreclosed homeowners. Stern settled for $2.2 million. According to legal testimony at the time from a Fannie Mae official, Fannie was warned about troubles at the Stern firm. But Fannie continued referring cases to Stern. Fannie Mae spokeswoman Amy Bonitatibus says, “At all times, Fannie Mae has had a reasonable expectation that our servicers and the law firms adhere to proper procedures and conduct under the law. In instances where we learn that servicers or law firms are not adhering to our requirements or applicable law, we immediately engage and take appropriate action, which may include termination.” Soon after, Stern was sued again, this time for sexual harassment. A former paralegal alleged that Stern created a “sexually-laden” atmosphere in which he routinely “touched and grabbed and subjected to simulated intercourse” his employees. Stern settled that suit in 2000 for an undisclosed amount. By this time, lawyers and homeowner activists were also warning lenders, federal regulators and the Florida Bar about Stern. In 2002, the Florida Supreme Court reprimanded Stern for submitting “potentially misleading” fee affidavits. None of the accusations stalled the firm’s steroidal growth. After the economy crashed in the fall of 2008 and ravaged the housing market, Florida, along with Nevada, Arizona and California, became foreclosure central. Stern’s caseload rose from 15,000 foreclosures in 2006 to 70,400 in 2009. His staff tripled to more than 1,200. To keep up with demand, Stern set up offices in the Philippines. When the U.S. staff responsible for entering bank data in the foreclosure files logged off, the offshore workers logged on. Revenue swelled from $41 million in 2006 to $260 million in 2009, according to an SEC filing. The firm moved into a plush, marble-floored headquarters near Miami that was all glass and fountains. By now Stern was driving a Bugatti and had bought at least $60 million in property, including a 16,000-square-foot island compound that sits behind two security gates. But all the paperwork Stern’s firm was cranking out to make this fortune would soon come back to haunt him. The foreclosure business is a volume game. Banks typically pay law firms like Stern’s about $1,400 for each successful foreclosure. But the banks can pay a lot less if the firm doesn’t successfully foreclose within a certain time frame, usually around six months. With so many foreclosures flooding in, Stern’s firm couldn’t keep up. Stern took shortcuts by hiring the young and cheap. “The girls would come out on the floor not knowing what they were doing,” says Tammie Lou Kapusta, who worked in Stern’s foreclosure department in 2008 and 2009. “Mortgages would get placed in different files. They would get thrown out. There was just no real organization when it came to original documents.” Employee depositions paint a picture of a firm under constant pressure from the banks to move faster. The longer it took to foreclose, the more money the banks stood to lose. Like so many in the industry, Stern had a strategy to cope with all the volume and velocity: robo-signing. One employee testified that Stern’s chief lieutenant, a one-time file clerk named Cheryl Samons who rose to become the firm’s chief operating officer, signed as many as 1,000 foreclosure affidavits a day without reading a single word. The employee said Samons’ hand got so tired that she told three other employees to forge her signature. Samons also signed numerous mortgage assignments with a notary stamp that didn’t even exist at the time of signing. Notary stamps are only valid for four years. The only way Samons could have signed mortgage assignments at the time they were supposedly notarized was if she had been capable of time travel. Stern rewarded Samons with a new BMW SUV every year, paid all her bills and took care of the mortgage payment on her home, according to testimony from two employees. Samons did not respond to request for comment. Billings surged. So did the dysfunction. Kapusta testified that she received 100 phone calls a day from people who never received their foreclosure notices or who wanted loan modifications but couldn’t get through to the banks. If she talked too long on the phone, Kapusta testified, Samons would yell at her. “Everything was about getting the judgment entered because we had to report to the banks,” Kapusta said. Stern battled to keep the chaos inside his firm a secret. In 2008 and 2009, whenever the Fannie Mae auditors were about to touch down in Miami for their routine monitoring, Stern’s employees sometimes toiled through the night, ripping the stickers and client codes off of Fannie files and replacing them with those of a different lender. Then, as an extra precaution, they hauled the disguised files to a remote back room. Stern then gave Fannie officials the white-glove treatment, with catered meals and chauffeuring. The incomplete files stayed hidden until the auditors left town. Fannie Mae’s Bonitatibus says that, “To our knowledge, no one at Fannie Mae has had their expenses paid by the Stern Law firm.” Early 2010 brought Stern’s biggest coup. He spun off a chunk of his business called DJSP that performed mortgage process services like title searches and lien monitoring and took it public. The deal reportedly made Stern $146 million, including $55 million cash. DJSP stock started trading in January at about $10 a share. Within months, battered by rumors of indiscretions at Stern’s firm, it was worth half. On July 20, two investors filed a securities-fraud class action alleging that Stern knowingly misled them by failing to disclose the problems within the business. “DJSP was a scam,” says Bill Warner, a Sarasota private eye who successfully defended himself against a foreclosure suit brought by Stern. At the end of July, Florida attorney Kenneth Trent, who had blocked Stern from foreclosing on a homeowner who was current on his mortgage, filed a federal lawsuit against Stern’s firm under a statute normally reserved for gangsters, the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act–or RICO. Days later, the Florida attorney general launched an investigation against Stern’s firm and three other foreclosure mills. The AG’s arguments were similar to those brought in Trent’s class action. At first, Stern railed against the media, saying he would defend the company and its reputation against the allegations. Then, in September, he dropped out of sight. Equally elusive is Cheryl Samons, who is no longer with the firm. She left no contact information. In October, one by one, the megabanks started to withdraw their cases from Stern’s firm. Fannie fired Stern on Oct. 22. Stern’s staff of 1,200 has dwindled to 200. DJSP’s stock, worth as much as $13 in April, now trades for pennies. The firm’s fall has spawned more chaos in Florida’s circus-like foreclosure courts. A slew of homes Stern foreclosed on that sold for $240,000 each during the credit bubble sold at auction as orphaned cases for $200. Recently, even the most infamous “rocket docket,” in Lee County, where judges were reported to have signed off on a foreclosure every 30 seconds, ground to a virtual standstill as the Stern firm withdrew from case after case. Some of Stern’s remaining lawyers show up court with greasy hair, fleece jackets and food-stained clothing. As for Stern, if federal and state prosecutors file criminal charges, he could end up in prison. Meanwhile, Stern’s payment on his $12 million line of credit with Bank of America is late. So is the rent on his headquarters. He’s now in default.

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Price rises resume in the Philippine housing market

February 2, 2011

The residential real estate market in the Philippines is back on track, with a strong economic recovery, and a wave of optimism.

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David Isenberg: PMSC and Trafficking: Room for Improvement

January 27, 2011

One of the unpleasant aspects of the private military and contracting world concerns the way employees, especially Third World country nationals, are sometimes treated. Note that I wrote “sometimes.” What I am about to write about does not reflect the actions of the majority of contractors but it happens enough to warrant continuing concern. What I am specifically talking about is “trafficking in persons”; something done both by contractors and regular military forces. Over the past decade, Congress passed legislation to address its concern regarding allegations of contractor and U.S. Forces’ involvement in sexual slavery, human trafficking, and debt bondage. Prior to 2000, allegations of sexual slavery, sex with minors, and human trafficking involving U.S. contractors ( as in Dyncorp ) in Bosnia and Herzegovina led to administrative and criminal investigations by U.S. Government agencies. In 2002, a local television news program aired a report alleging that women trafficked from the Philippines, Russia, and Eastern Europe were forced into prostitution in bars in South Korea frequented by U.S. military personnel, which resulted in an investigation and changes to DoD policy. In 2004, official reports chronicled allegations of forced labor and debt bondage against U.S. contractors in Iraq. Needless to say these incidents were contrary to U.S. Government policy regarding official conduct. In 2000, the president signed into law two statutes responding in part to identified contractor and U.S. Forces’ misconduct in Bosnia and Herzegovina: Public Law 106-386 on October 28, and Public Law 106-523, “Military Extraterritorial Jurisdiction Act of 2000,” on November 22. The stated purposes of the first statute are “…to combat trafficking in persons [CTIP], a contemporary manifestation of slavery whose victims are predominantly women and children, to ensure just and effective punishment of traffickers, and to protect their victims.” The second statute established “Federal jurisdiction over offenses committed outside the United States by persons employed by or accompanying the Armed Forces, or by members of the Armed Forces who are released or separated from active duty prior to being identified and prosecuted for the commission of such offenses.” Congress specifically extended this extraterritorial jurisdiction over trafficking in persons (TIP) offenses committed by persons employed by or accompanying the Federal Government outside the United States in Public Law 109-164, “Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act Of 2005,” January 10, 2006. Additional reauthorizations expanded the scope and applicability of the first statute. Public Law 108-193, the “Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act of 2003,” December 19, 2003, gave the Government the added authority to terminate grants, contracts, or cooperative agreements for TIP-related violations. That law says: The President shall ensure that any grant, contract, or cooperative agreement provided or entered into by a Federal department or agency under which funds are to be provided to a private entity, in whole or in part, shall include a condition that authorizes the department or agency to terminate the grant, contract, or cooperative agreement, without penalty, if the grantee or any subgrantee, or the contractor or any subcontractor (i) engages in severe forms of trafficking in persons or has procured a commercial sex act during the period of time that the grant, contract, or cooperative agreement is in effect, or (ii) uses forced labor in the performance of the grant, contract, or cooperative agreement. In 2006, the Civilian Agency Acquisition Council and the Defense Acquisition Council agreed on an interim rule implementing the above stated requirement, adding Federal Acquisition Regulation Subpart 22.17, “Combating Trafficking in Persons.” There are other regulations and laws on the subject but the above should suffice to demonstrate the U.S. government recognizes this is a serious issue. To their credit many, even perhaps most PMSC, do as well. For example, the International Code of Conduct for Private Security Providers , signed last November, has, a section that says: Signatory Companies will not, and will require their Personnel not to, engage in trafficking in persons. Signatory Companies will, and will require their Personnel to, remain vigilant for all instances of trafficking in persons and, where discovered, report such instances to Competent Authorities. For the purposes of this Code, human trafficking is the recruitment, harbouring, transportation, provision, or obtaining of a person for (1) a commercial sex act induced by force, fraud, or coercion, or in which the person induced to perform such an act has not attained 18 years of age; or (2) labour or services, through the use of force, fraud, or coercion for the purpose of subjection to involuntary servitude, debt bondage, or slavery. While the sex aspect gets people attention it is the second part, “labour or services, through the use of force, fraud, or coercion for the purpose of subjection to involuntary servitude, debt bondage, or slavery” which is the more common offense. Try searching online for “TCN (stands for Third Country National] trafficking AND Iraq” and you’ll see what I mean. So with that as background how well are both governmental personnel and contractors doing in policing themselves in this area? They could be doing better, according to a new report from the Department of Defense Inspector General. It found: • While three quarters of the contracts sampled contained a Combating Trafficking in Persons clause, only little more than half had the required Federal Acquisition Regulation clause. • DoD contracting offices lack an effective process for obtaining information pertaining to trafficking in persons violations within the DoD. On the plus side: • DoD and other Federal law enforcement organizations were developing procedures to identify trafficking in persons incidents in criminal investigative databases. • Several organizations demonstrated Combating Trafficking in Persons awareness and quality assurance best practices. The Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR) requires that all Federal solicitations and contracts contain clause 52.222-50, “Combating Trafficking in Persons,” (CTIP) or the clause with Alternate I modification for contracts with performance outside the U.S. The team reviewed 368 DoD service or construction contracts for work in the Republic of Iraq, the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan, the State of Kuwait, the State of Qatar, and the Kingdom of Bahrain awarded in FYs 2009 and 2010. The report found 53 percent of the contracts (195 of 368) contained a proper version of the mandatory FAR CTIP clause, and 26 percent of the contracts (95 of 368) contained an incorrect citation. 21 percent of the contracts (78 of 368) did not contain any form of the FAR clause. Noncompliance with the requirement to include the CTIP clause in contracts has two negative effects. First, contractors remain unaware of the U.S. Government’s “zero tolerance” policy and self-reporting requirements regarding CTIP. Second, contracting offices were potentially unable to apply applicable remedies to correct contractor violations when the CTIP clause was not properly present. The number of contracts without any form of a CTIP clause indicates that additional effort is still necessary to ensure compliance.

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Inflation Rate Rose to 3% in Philippines

December 8, 2010

Inflation Rate Rose to 3% in Philippines

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David Isenberg: October 2010 SIGIR Quarterly Report

November 5, 2010

The latest quarterly report from the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction (SIGIR), released October 30, has not received much attention. That is a pity because SIGIR does fine work and its reports always provide a wealth of detail on contractor activities in Iraq. Let’s consider a few examples of fraud noted in the report. As of early October 2010, SIGIR investigators were working 110 open cases. Recent investigative accomplishments included: • On July 23, Theresa Russell, a former staff sergeant in the U.S. Army, was sentenced in federal court in San Antonio, Texas, to five years probation and ordered to pay $31,000 in restitution and a $100 special assessment. The sentence was the result of a January 27, 2010, guilty plea to a one-count criminal information charging her with money laundering arising from a scheme involving the fraudulent awarding and administration of U.S. government contracts in Iraq. On August 11, Wajdi Birjas, a former DoD contract employee, pled guilty to conspiracy to bribe U.S. Army contracting officials stationed at Camp Arifjan, an, an Army base in Kuwait, and to money-laundering conspiracy involving former Majors Christopher Murray and James Momon, as well as a sergeant first class deployed to Camp Arifjan as a senior procurement non-commissioned officer. • On September 2, Dorothy Ellis, a former senior employee of a U.S. military contractor, pled guilty to conspiracy to pay $360,000 in bribes to U.S. Army contracting officials stationed at Camp Arifjan in Kuwait. According to court documents, Hall obtained the work by bribing certain U.S. Army contracting officers, including Momon and Murray. Ellis admitted that she participated in the bribery scheme by providing Momon and Murray access to secret bank accounts established on their behalf in the Philippines. Under the plea agreement, Ellis agreed to forfeit $360,000 to the government. Sentencing is scheduled for December. • In mid-September, papers were filed in federal court charging a U.S. Army major with one count of bribery. The major, who had served two tours in Iraq and one in Afghanistan, was charged with accepting money and other items of value from two foreign nationals affiliated with companies that sought and received Army contracts. If convicted, the major will have to forfeit all property derived from proceeds traceable to the commission of the offense, including two Rolex watches, real estate, a camper trailer, a Harley Davidson motorcycle, and a Dodge Ram truck. On October 1, Ismael Salinas pled guilty to receiving hundreds of thousands of dollars in illegal kickbacks from subcontractors in Iraq. Salinas overbilled DoD by $847,904, taking at least $424,000 in kickbacks from six companies. Salinas faces up to five years in prison when he is sentenced in December. Of course, not all contractors are crooks. Many make the ultimate sacrifice, albeit unheralded. The Department of Labor (DoL) received reports of 14 additional deaths of contractors working on U.S.-funded reconstruction programs in Iraq this quarter. DoL also received reports of 799 injuries this quarter that resulted in the contractor missing at least four days of work. Since DoL began compiling this data in March 2003, it has received reports of 1,507 contractor deaths in Iraq. Contractor mortality is now roughly equivalent to U.S. military fatalities, according to the report. The number of claims for contractor deaths has generally declined since early 2007, but military fatalities have declined even more. Consequently, the number of military fatalities and contractor deaths is now similar. According to GAO analysis of DoL data, approximately 26% of contractor deaths in FY 2009 and the first half of FY 2010 were due to hostile incidents, mostly resulting from improvised explosive devices. Contractor injuries increased sharply in late 2006 and began rising again in 2009. Note: See the graphic on page 55 for detail. For a month by month breakdown of contractor fatalities see graphic on p. 73.

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Air Philippines plans massive expansion

September 30, 2010

Air Philippines plans massive expansion

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Video: Indonesia’s Natalegawa Discusses South China Sea Dispute: Video

September 21, 2010

Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) — Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty Natalegawa talks about territorial disputes in the South China Sea. China signaled for the U.S. to stay out of disputes over the sea, three days before President Barack Obama is due to meet with regional leaders concerned over China’s territorial claims in the oil-and gas-rich waters. Portions of the South China Sea are claimed by Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei and Indonesia. China claims almost the entire sea. Separately, China and Japan are locked in a diplomatic dispute centering on conflicting territorial claims in the East China Sea. (Source: Bloomberg)

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David Isenberg: You Have 20 Days to Get Out of Town

July 26, 2010

Last Friday the ever pertinacious Ms. Sparky scooped everyone by reporting that according to a recent memo from Col. Nolan of the U.S. Central Command Contracting Command to ALL CONTRACTORS IN IRAQ, ALL contractors in Iraq have 20 days to repatriate (send home) third country nationals whose countries prohibit travel to Iraq. This includes among others, the Philippines and Nepal. Ms. Sparky notes that this will affect virtually every service KBR provides the U.S. military in Iraq, from Filipinos working as craftspeople and laborers, in the Dining Facilities (DFAC’s), laundries, and driving trucks, and shuttle buses. There are both direct hire Filipinos as well as Filipinos who work for KBR subcontractors such as PPI and Serka who may have been smuggled in. This can not come as a surprise to either the U.S. government or its contractors. Companies like KBR, and all other contractors in Iraq had to know about the Iraq travel restrictions of the Filipinos. The Philippines banned its citizens from working in Iraq in July 2004 after insurgents abducted and threatened to behead Filipino truck driver Angelo dela Cruz. He was released after President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo agreed to withdraw the Philippines’ small military contingent in Iraq. This is not a trivial matter. Companies like Prime Projects International (PPI), a KBR subcontractor, must have more than 3000 Filipinos in the country. At minimum of $900 each for plane tickets the price tag for their departure will be huge. Private military contractors supporters often claim that despite the danger of working in war zones that Third Country Nationals (TCNs) are still better off than staying at home because, even if they make less money in Iraq than Western counterparts it is still more money than they would earn in their home country. But the other side of that is that TCNs are often treated like crap. In May 2005 some 300 Filipinos employed at a US military camp in Iraq went on strike to protest poor working conditions. The workers, under contract with PPI and KBR were based at Camp Cooke in the province of Taji. At least 500 workers from India, Sri Lanka and Nepal joined the strike led by the Filipino workers. According to the July 20 memo: In the past three weeks, eight third country nationals (TCN), several from countries whose current domestic laws prohibit their citizens from working in Iraq, were discovered to have been left behind by their previous employers at various contractor controlled camps (A.K.A. “mancamps”) throughout Iraq. This raises numerous concerns about whether contractors are complying with travel and work restrictions of certain TCN countries, Iraqi immigration requirements, and contract redeployment responsibilities to include their respective sub-contractors in the Iraq Joint Operating Area (IJOA). THIS LETTER SERVES NOTICE THAT ALL CONTRACTORS OPERATING IN IRAQ HAVE 20 DAYS FROM THE DATE OF THIS LETTER TO ENSURE THEIR EMPLOYEES COMPLY WITH U.S. AAND INTERNATIONAL LAW AND UNDERSTAND THEIR REDEPLOYMENT RESPONSIBILITIES UNDER THE TERMS OF THEIR CONTRACT.

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Marc Gunther: Modern-day slavery: Alive and Well

June 27, 2010

Modern-day slavery is not just about sex workers or poor people in faraway places. Some farmworkers in the U.S., for all practical purposes, work as slaves. Laborers with few or no rights, working under inhumane conditions, typically far home, have produced such products as blueberries, organic milk, personal computers or cell phones and garments imported from India, a new report says. Consider: An estimated 12 to 27 million people are victims of slavery, and other forms of forced labor around the world. In the United States alone, 10,000 or more people are being forced to work at any given time. The report, called Help Wanted: Hiring, Human Trafficking and Modern-Day Slavery in the Global Economy (PDF for download, here ), was published by Verite, a non-profit based in Amherst, Mass., that monitors and reports on labor rights abuses around the world. (It was funded by Humanity United , a nonprofit focused on peace and human rights started and chaired by Pam Omidyar.) Over the years, Verite has helped identify and clean up the supply chains of such global brands as Timberland, Gap, Levi Strauss, Apple, Disney and HP. I met with Verite’s executive director, Dan Viederman, last week in Washington to talk about the report, and what can be done to deal with slavery. Dan, who is 46, explained to me that Verite has begun a initiative called Well Made to help companies, governments, investors and advocates deal with modern-day slavery. Companies, for examples, are given sets of questions to put to their suppliers. Shareholders are advised to bring pressure on companies they own. Here it must be said that today’s slaves are not the equivalent of those in 19th century America; in theory, at least, they have legal rights, at least in theory. In fact, many of the stories in the report come from workers who managed to escape dire conditions, on their own or with help. But these modern-day slaves, who can be found in such places as Taiwan, the Persian Gulf, India, Malaysia and, yes, here in the U.S. of A., do have some experiences in in common with the American slaves who picked cotton in the antebellum South: They typically work far from where they grew up, they were trafficked from their homes to their workplaces by labor brokers (slave ships in the old days), and they don’t have the freedom or organize or look for work elsewhere. This makes it relatively easy to uncover forced labor. “The presence of foreign migrant workers is a significant indicator of exploitative labor conditions,” Dan told me. Many employers like to bring in workers from abroad. “You get a cheaper and more compliant workforce if you bring in people who don’t understand their legal rights and can’t turn to social support systems,” he said. Because the migrant workers frequently pay recruitment and transportation fees to get jobs in faroff places, they can find themselves in what’s called “debt bondage.” They are bound to their new employer, sometimes because they need the money to pay debt, other times because they have traveled on a work visa that ties the migrant to a single employer. Some labor brokers endeavor to act responsibly–the global company Manpower Inc . is an industry leader–but many are unscrupulous. “It’s by an large and unregulated industry,” Dan said. The Verite report, which is extensive, looks at four sectors and locales: the migration of adults from India to the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) States of the Middle East for work in construction, infrastructure and the service sector; the migration of children and juveniles from the Indian interior to domestic apparel production hubs; the migration of adults from Guatemala, Mexico and Thailand to work in U.S. agriculture; and the migration of adults from the Philippines, Indonesia and Nepal to the Information Technology sector in Malaysia and Taiwan. Verite’s Well Made website puts a human face on the problem. Here’s an example of a worker who was trafficked from Guatemala to Georgia to Connecticut: Fortunately, some governments and companies are paying attention. The U.S. State Department this month published its own report finding that more than 12 million people worldwide are victims of “trafficking in persons” — trapped in forced labor, bonded labor or prostitution. If you read deep into Apple’s corporate responsibility report, you find this dense but revealing passage: Some of our suppliers work with third-party labor agencies to source workers from other countries. These agencies, in turn, may work through multiple subagencies: in the hiring country, the workers’ home country, and, in some cases, all the way back in the worker’s home village. By the time the worker has paid all fees across these agencies, the total cost may equal many months’ wages and exceed legal limits–and many workers need to incur significant debt to pay these fees. Apple’s Code has always strictly prohibited all forms of involuntary labor . As such, we classify recruitment fee overcharges as a core violation of voluntary labor rights, and we require each supplier to reimburse overpaid fees. As a result of our audits and corrective actions, foreign workers have been reimbursed more than $2.2 million in recruitment fee overcharges over the past two years. To Apple’s credit, it has not only required its suppliers to reimburse workers but issued a “standard for Prevention of Involuntary Labor, which limits recruitment fees to the equivalent of one month’s net wages.” But Dan tells me: “Only a handful of companies are now paying attention to the problems of migrant workers.” Sad to say, modern-day slavery can be very profitable. Labor brokers make a good living. The employers get a docile workforce and essentially outsource the job of recruiting and hiring people. Workers also can benefit, to a degree. Today’s New York Times has an excellent story about the impact of global migration which says, among other things, that Migrants sent home $317 billion last year — three times the world’s total foreign aid. In at least seven countries, remittances account for more than a quarter of the gross domestic product. Of course, if the workers had the freedom to move from one employer to another, or to organize themselves, they could obtain or negotiate higher wages and send even more money home. The bottom line is that lots of the things we consume and enjoy at low prices exact a high cost on others who are out of sight and out of mind. Disclosure : My wife Karen Schneider recently joined the board of Verite, but since I’ve written about the organization’s work before (see this from 2006 and this from 2008), I see no reason to stop now. Photo credit: Sandy Huffaker/Getty Images

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Asia’s Currencies Have Strongest Week in Five Months as Inflows Increase

June 19, 2010

By Lilian Karunungan and Yumi Teso June 19 (Bloomberg) — Asian currencies strengthened this week, led by South Korea’s won and the Philippine peso, as signs the global economic recovery will withstand Europe’s debt crisis boosted demand for riskier assets. The Bloomberg-JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index of shares had their biggest gains in at least five months and the won jumped the most in a year. The Conference Board this week said its leading indicator of China’s economy rose by the most in 14 months and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast the fastest growth for South Korea since 2002. Thailand yesterday reported its best export growth in almost two years. “There has been optimism that the impact of Europe’s problems on the Asian economy may be limited, supporting the purchase of regional currencies,” said Minori Uchida , a senior analyst in Tokyo at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd., a unit of Japan’s biggest bank. “Gains in stocks are also a supporting factor.” The won appreciated 3.6 percent to 1,202.65 per dollar, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The peso climbed 1.6 percent to 45.905 and the Indian rupee was 1.4 percent stronger at 46.1787. The Bloomberg-JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index, which tracks the region’s 10 most-traded currencies excluding the yen, gained 1.0 percent and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index of shares rose 3.3 percent. Stocks in South Korea and Taiwan attracted about $1.9 billion from abroad, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Stock Inflows Equity funds investing in Asia excluding Japan took in money for the first time in six weeks, drawing the most since April, according to EPFR Global, which tracks firms overseeing $13 trillion of global assets. Emerging-market stock funds attracted $2.5 billion, the second-highest tally this year. Korean Finance Minister Yoon Jeung Hyun said yesterday growth will likely exceed 5 percent this year and a government report showed spending at the three biggest department stores climbed for a 15th month in May. Gross domestic product will increase 5.8 percent this year as exports surge and domestic demand strengthens, the OECD said this week. “The won has been doing pretty well because of the economic fundamentals,” said Yun Suk Cho , a currency dealer at Korea Exchange Bank in Seoul. “There is a big possibility that we will break 1,200 against the dollar next week as the markets stabilize.” Exports, Jobs Thailand’s exports jumped 42 percent from a year earlier in May, the most since July 2008, Commerce Minister Porntiva Nakasai said yesterday. The Philippines on June 15 raised its economic growth target for this year to as much as 6 percent, from a previous goal of 3.6 percent. Taiwan will next week report an eighth straight gain in export orders and the lowest jobless rate since 2008, according to the median estimates of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Taiwan’s dollar completed its biggest weekly gain in nine months as an improving economy and the prospect of a trade deal with China spurred inflows. Gross domestic product rose at the fastest pace in more than 30 years in the last quarter and China’s government said June 13 a basic agreement has been reached with the island on goods, services and industries chosen for initial tariff cuts in the planned trade pact. “Funds are flowing back as investors seek riskier assets,” said Tigr Cheng, a strategist at Polaris Securities Co. in Taipei. “People have been upbeat about the economy.” The island’s currency climbed 0.8 percent this week to NT$32.190 against the greenback, according to Taipei Forex Inc. Elsewhere, the Malaysian ringgit gained 0.8 percent to 3.2500, the Singapore dollar strengthened 1.2 percent to S$1.3864 and the Indonesian rupiah appreciated 1.2 percent to 9,096. The Thai baht rose 0.2 percent to 32.40. To contact the reporter on this story: Lilian Karunungan in Singapore at at lkarunungan@bloomberg.net ; Yumi Teso in Bangkok at yteso1@bloomberg.net .

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Genting `Aggressively’ Seeks U.S. Casino Stakes With $1.7 Billion of Cash

June 14, 2010

By Beth Jinks June 14 (Bloomberg) — Genting Malaysia Bhd. , the casino owner that parlayed a single hilltop site near Kuala Lumpur into gambling resorts in Singapore, the Philippines and the U.K., is now looking for investments in the U.S. “Genting Malaysia is aggressively searching for opportunities to invest in the U.S. casino gaming market,” Justin Leong , head of strategic investments and corporate affairs at group parent Genting Bhd. , said in an interview in New York. “Our strategy is building a U.S. presence.” Armed with $1.7 billion in cash and debt free, Genting Malaysia is seeking acquisitions , new markets and potentially a strategic partnership in the U.S., Leong said. The Kuala Lumpur- based company, which said this month it may bid to develop a slots casino at Aqueduct Racetrack in New York City, first invested in the U.S. sector last year, buying MGM Mirage bonds. “It’s unlikely to be a single asset,” Leong said. “If we were to acquire something, it’s more likely to be a portfolio of assets or a substantial stake in a company.” Genting Malaysia is also looking at developments and new gambling jurisdictions opening in the U.S., Leong said. The company bought MGM Mirage ’s secured bonds in May 2009 when the Las Vegas Strip’s biggest casino owner raised cash to avoid a potential bankruptcy. Genting Malaysia has invested in every capital issue by Las Vegas-based MGM since, Leong said. “Genting Malaysia’s first foray into the U.S. casino market was investing in MGM, and that strategic relationship continues,” said Leong, 32. The bid for Aqueduct “is another step.” Kerkorian’s Stake The investments include $100 million of bonds secured by MGM’s Bellagio and Mirage properties in Las Vegas, 9 percent notes tied to MGM Grand and MGM Mirage’s recently issued convertible senior notes. Kirk Kerkorian , who founded MGM Mirage and is its biggest shareholder, said in October that his Tracinda Corp. is exploring “strategic alternatives” for its 37 percent stake. The investor, 93, said in regulatory filings that MGM Mirage is undervalued and he is open to proposals. Leong wouldn’t elaborate on Genting’s interest or say whether there have been talks with Kerkorian, whose stake in MGM Mirage is valued at $1.9 billion. The shares rose 14 cents to $11.60 on June 11 in New York Stock Exchange composite trading and have gained 27 percent this year. Winnie Lerner , an outside spokeswoman for Tracinda, and Alan Feldman , a spokesman for MGM Mirage, declined to comment. MGM Mirage and partner Pansy Ho hold one of the six casino licenses in Macau, the southern Chinese city that is the world’s largest gambling hub. Ho is the daughter of Macau casino billionaire Stanley Ho . ‘Faster, Sooner’ Revenue from the Malaysian casino, a gambling monopoly held for almost four decades, helped build the Genting Bhd. empire that includes hotels, Star Cruises and Norwegian Cruise Lines, power generators and palm oil plantations. In February, a Genting affiliate opened Singapore’s first casino, a $4.7 billion resort with a Universal Studios theme park , adding to the group’s Resorts World casinos in Malaysia’s highlands and the Philippines capital of Manila. Genting also is the biggest casino owner in the U.K., operating under the Circus, Maxims and Mint brands. There is competition for deals in Las Vegas as the city recovers from its worst economic slump on record. Hedge fund billionaire John Paulson is acquiring a 9.9 percent stake in Harrah’s Entertainment Inc. In May, his New York-based Paulson & Co. said it owned 9.1 percent of MGM Mirage and 4.6 percent of Boyd Gaming Corp. Genting Malaysia has held investment talks with large U.S. casino companies since December 2008, Leong said, declining to specify them. “I wish I had worked faster and done something sooner,” Leong said. Leong, a nephew of Genting Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Lim Kok Thay and grandson of founder Lim Goh Tong , joined the family company in September 2004 after about four years at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Aqueduct Auction Genting is one of six potential bidders vying to renovate Aqueduct Racetrack and operate a slot machine-style “racino” with 4,500 video-lottery terminals in Queens. The latest round of proposals, which require a minimum $300 million up front, are due June 29. The family’s closely held Kien Huat Realty previously invested in three U.S. casino ventures, and last month partnered with the Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe to finance a proposed casino resort in Massachusetts. In the early 1990s, Kien Huat financed the Foxwoods Resort & Casino in Connecticut, whose tribal owners defaulted on about $2.5 billion of debt last year, and the Seneca Niagara Casino in New York. In August, Kien Huat paid $55 million for 50 percent of Empire Resorts Inc. , owner of the Monticello Casino & Raceway in Monticello, New York, helping Empire to restructure some debt. To contact the reporter on this story: Beth Jinks in New York at bjinks1@bloomberg.net

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Bank of Korea’s Tilt Toward Rate Increase May Be Thwarted by Government

June 8, 2010

By William Sim and Michael Munoz June 9 (Bloomberg) — The Bank of Korea may keep the benchmark interest rate at a record low for a 16th month after its signal that higher borrowing costs may be coming was snubbed by government warnings about the impact of Europe’s crisis. Governor Kim Choong Soo will leave the seven-day repurchase rate at a record-low 2 percent tomorrow, according to all 12 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. While the meeting will be the first without a government representative attending the vote, Finance Minister Yoon Jeung Hyun made clear his expectation for the outcome last week, saying the bank should wait for second- quarter economic data before any move. “This suggests that political pressures are still a constraint in Bank of Korea decision-making,” said Kevin Grice , an economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London. Governor Kim “has been signaling to markets that inflation is set to rise and that gross domestic product growth should stay at trend pace, which suggest that rates need to move to more ‘normal’ levels.” Asia’s central banks are weighing the need to avert overheating by raising rates from world-recession levels against the potential impact of Europe’s debt crisis on the global recovery. South Korea has so far sided with China and Indonesia in standing pat, while Malaysia and India are projected to keep boosting borrowing costs after already moving in recent months. New Zealand’s central bank will probably raise its benchmark rate tomorrow to 2.75 percent from a record-low 2.5 percent, the first increase in almost three years, according to 13 of 15 economists in a Bloomberg survey. Two expect no change. August Move Grice said the Bank of Korea is likely to hold the rate tomorrow to gauge the impact on the global recovery of spending cuts by European nations struggling to reduce budget deficits. He expects borrowing costs to be boosted in August and the rate increased to 3 percent by the end of the year. South Korea’s expansion is being driven by exports, which surged 41.9 percent last month. Samsung Electronics Co. , Asia’s biggest maker of semiconductors, flat screens and mobile phones, posted a seven-fold jump in profit in the first quarter as rising demand drove up prices. Hyundai Motor Co. , South Korea’s largest automaker, reported a record profit in the same period by boosting sales in the U.S. and China. South Korea’s $929 billion economy grew 2.1 percent in the first quarter from the previous three months, compared with an April estimate of 1.8 percent, the central bank said last week. North Korea Tension The won, which plunged to a 10-month low on May 25 on escalating tensions with North Korea, tumbled 8.4 percent in May, its worst performance since February 2009, as Europe’s fiscal woes prompted investors to sell riskier assets and buy dollars. The benchmark Kospi stock index dropped 5.8 percent. A North Korean diplomat said last week that war on the Korean peninsula could begin “at any moment” over South Korean accusations that the government in Pyongyang ordered the March sinking of a warship that killed 46 sailors. Also last week, President Lee Myung Bak ’s party suffered a defeat in provincial elections, with the opposition Democratic Party winning seven of 16 races. Lee’s party, which held 11 of the 16 mayoral and gubernatorial posts, secured six. The government is likely to focus more on supporting the middle class after the loss, Kwon Goohoon , an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Seoul, said after the result. “Inflation and jobs growth are likely to get renewed focus while the currency’s competitiveness could get relatively less priority on concerns about its inflationary implications.” Inflation Accelerates Consumer prices rose 2.7 percent in May, quickening from a 2.6 percent gain a month earlier, as the cost of food and oil increased. That’s within the central bank’s target range of between 2 percent and 4 percent. Central banks in Australia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand last week kept borrowing costs unchanged amid concern Europe’s sovereign-risk woes could damage the global recovery. The Bank of Korea’s monetary board signaled May 12 that rates may move, saying it will “maintain the accommodative policy,” while dropping a reference to keeping that stance “for the time being.” A month earlier, one board member called for a pre-emptive increase in borrowing costs and two wanted to signal the policy may change, according to minutes of the April meeting. The central bank “should wait and check the second-quarter economic data before deciding on the next rate move,” Finance Minister Yoon said in an interview with the Maeil Business newspaper published last week. The data could be disappointing because of Europe’s debt crisis, cold weather and a poor jobs market, he said. To contact the reporters on this story: William Sim in Seoul at wsim2@bloomberg.net ; Michael J. Munoz in Hong Kong at mjmunoz@bloomberg.net

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Israel to Deport Gaza Humanitarian Aid Activists After Taking Over Ship

June 6, 2010

By Calev Ben-David and Jonathan Ferziger June 6 (Bloomberg) — Israel will expel today all 19 passengers and crew from an aid ship intercepted this weekend while trying to breach the country’s blockade of the Gaza Strip, days after a similar attempt to reach the coastal area left nine activists dead. “They should all be gone by tonight,” said Sabine Haddad, an Interior Ministry spokeswoman. The deportees include five people from Ireland, one from Britain and six from the Philippines who will be put on flights, Haddad said. Six Malaysians and one Cuban are being sent to Jordan, she said. The peaceful seizure yesterday capped a week of heightened tensions after the deaths of nine Turks during the boarding of a Gaza-bound aid ship in international waters on May 31. The European Union, Russia and Turkey have called on Israel to end its blockade of Gaza. Israel says the restrictions are needed to ensure weapons don’t enter the Hamas-controlled coastal enclave. “We’re open to any suggestions,” Michael Oren , the Israeli ambassador to the U.S., said in an interview with Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt ,” airing this weekend. “We, too, are not happy with the status quo.” Turkey said the United Nations plans to set up a five- person commission to investigate the deaths of the Turks. Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan discussed the commission yesterday in a telephone conversation with UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon , Turkey’s Anatolia state news agency reported. The commission will have members from Turkey and Israel as well as others appointed by the UN and will be headed by former New Zealand Prime Minister Geoffrey Palmer according to Anatolia, which didn’t say how it got the information. Easing Restrictions The Israeli government is now considering easing restrictions on the flow of aid into Gaza, Israel’s Channel Two television reported. The Free Gaza movement, which organized the flotilla in the May 31 confrontation and the MV Rachel Corrie — named after an American activist killed by an Israeli bulldozer while protesting home demolitions in the Gaza Strip in 2003 — rejected Israel’s proposal that it off-load its cargo at Ashdod port for transport to Gaza after security checks. The group is planning another flotilla in two months. “We are getting a huge amount of donations, about 2,000 euros a day,” said spokeswoman Audrey Bomse. “We will have no problem getting ships.” Cement, Paper, Wheelchairs The MV Rachel Corrie’s passengers included Mairead Corrigan Maguire, an Irish Nobel Peace laureate, Denis Halliday , former United Nations assistant secretary general from Ireland, and Mohd Nizar bin Zakaria, a member of the Malaysian Parliament. Its cargo included cement, tons of paper and wheelchairs, Eliza Ernshire, a spokeswoman for the Free Gaza Movement said. U.K. Foreign Secretary William Hague welcomed the fact that the interception “was resolved peacefully.” Britain wants a “full, credible, impartial and independent investigation” of the events involving the flotilla that includes international participation, he said in an e-mailed statement. Top Israeli ministers met June 3 to review the blockade policy and explore ways of changing its implementation after last week’s deadly naval raid, an Israeli official said, speaking on condition of anonymity because he wasn’t authorized to speak to the press on the matter. One possibility is the use of international monitors at Ashdod, Channel Two news said without citing anyone. Numerous Warnings Israel says it attempted to prevent clashes with the aid flotilla last week by issuing numerous warnings beforehand to change course for Ashdod and unload there. Israel has said that in the confrontation its soldiers were attacked with knives and clubs after boarding the Mavi Marmara, one of the six vessels in the flotilla, and seven were wounded, including by gunfire after volunteers aboard the ship managed to grab Israeli firearms. Activists have said they threw the firearms into the sea. There was no violence on the other five ships. A Turkish autopsy found that several of those killed were shot multiple times and from the back at close range, the U.K.’s Guardian newspaper reported yesterday, citing Yalcin Buyuk, vice chairman of the council of forensic medicine. Criticism within Israel of the flotilla operation has focused largely on the execution of the raid and not the blockade. Israeli Opinion A survey of Israeli Jews published in the Maariv daily on June 2 showed 94.8 percent agreeing that it was necessary to stop the boats, with 62.7 percent saying it should have been handled in a different manner. Only 8.1 percent thought Netanyahu should resign. The newspaper didn’t say how many people were surveyed or give a margin of error. Israel has faced global criticism over the raid and calls for an international investigation. The U.S. has declined to specifically criticize Israeli actions. It backed a United Nations Security Council resolution on June 1 that condemned the violence that led to the deaths of the aid activists, and called for an impartial inquiry. Turkey, which along with South Africa withdrew its ambassador from Israel over the incident, says an Israeli investigation wouldn’t meet that criteria. Blockade Since 2007 Israel has been blockading Gaza since Hamas ousted forces loyal to President Mahmoud Abbas ’s Fatah group and seized full control in 2007 after winning Palestinian parliamentary elections the previous year. Hamas is considered a terrorist organization by Israel, the U.S. and the European Union. Israel launched an operation in the Gaza Strip in December 2008 that it said was meant to stop the firing of rockets into its territory. More than 1,000 Palestinians and 13 Israelis were killed in the conflict. Since the end of the three-week operation, some 330 rockets have been fired from Gaza into Israel, killing one foreign worker last March, the Israeli army said. Israel says its blockade of Gaza is legal because it is in “a state of armed conflict” with Hamas. Some countries, such as Turkey, dispute the legality of the blockade. Hamas’s charter calls for the destruction of the Jewish state. Hamas leaders say they will renounce violence when Israel withdraws from territory occupied in 1967 and allows Palestinians to return to areas in Israel from which they fled in 1948. Palestinians say the restrictions on food imports and construction materials have created a humanitarian crisis. Israel says it restricts imports because building materials and even some foods can be used to build rockets, bunkers or bombs. To contact the reporters on this story: Calev Ben-David in Jerusalem at Cbendavid@bloomberg.net ; Jonathan Ferziger in Tel Aviv at jferziger@bloomberg.net ;

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Indonesia, Philippines Leave Rates at Record Lows as Asia Watches Europe

June 3, 2010

By Aloysius Unditu and Karl Lester M. Yap June 4 (Bloomberg) — Indonesia and the Philippines kept interest rates at record lows, judging inflation isn’t yet a threat as Asia weighs the risk from Europe’s debt turmoil. Bank Indonesia left its policy rate unchanged yesterday at 6.5 percent, the lowest level since its introduction in July 2005. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas left the rate it pays lenders for overnight deposits at 4 percent, the lowest level since central bank data started in 1990. The nations joined Australia and Thailand in keeping borrowing costs unchanged this week, as spending cuts by European nations battling to reduce budget deficits raised concerns the global recovery will falter. The Philippine central bank cut its inflation forecast for this year and next, and Bank Indonesia kept its estimate at 4 percent to 6 percent. “They are watching the developments in the Euro zone,” said David Cohen , an economist at Action Economics in Singapore. “People are nervous about the turmoil that may spillover to the global economy,” and policy makers are “being patient” as inflation remains “relatively contained,” he said. Fitch Ratings lowered Spain’s rating to AA+ from AAA on May 28, capping off a month where the escalation of Europe’s debt crisis forced the European Union and the International Monetary Fund to offer as much as 750 billion euros ($919 billion) to countries in danger of financial instability. The Indonesian rupiah has fallen 1.8 percent and the Philippine peso 3.9 percent in the past month as most Asian currencies slid on concern a disruption in the world’s rebound from last year’s slump will force regional central banks to delay raising interest rates. Prudent Move “In the face of uncertain global economic prospects and with recovery at different stages and speeds in various parts of the world, together with the flexibility provided by the inflation outlook, the board views as prudent the move to keep policy settings unchanged,” Bangko Sentral Governor Amando Tetangco said yesterday. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained its benchmark rate at 4.5 percent this week, after six increases in the previous seven meetings. Thailand’s central bank kept its one-day bond repurchase rate at 1.25 percent, the lowest level since July 2004, after the country’s deadliest political violence in almost two decades. Indonesia’s inflation averaged 3.8 percent in the first five months of 2010, easing from 7.6 percent in the previous two years, giving the central bank room to delay tightening. The Philippine central bank lowered its 2010 inflation forecast to 4.7 percent from 5.1 percent, and cut next year’s estimate to 3.6 percent from 3.7 percent. Limited Pressure “With upward pressure on commodity and food prices appearing limited in the near term and the inflation outlook not currently a concern, we expect future Bangko Sentral tightening to be gradual and spaced-out, and not likely to start until the end of the third quarter,” said Matt Hildebrandt , an economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Singapore. Still, consumer prices in Indonesia, Southeast Asia’s largest economy, rose 4.16 percent in May, and Philippine inflation held at 4.4 percent in April, the quickest pace since December. India, Malaysia and Australia started raising borrowing costs earlier this year to rein in inflation and prevent asset bubbles. The Philippines and China may be the next to tighten monetary policy in Asia, assuming the European situation improves, Cohen said. Bank Indonesia may start raising interest rates by September, and Thailand may move in the “next couple of months” if its political unrest settles down, he said. First to Tighten “Asian central banks will be the first ones to start tightening,” he said. “Our expectation is that global recovery will continue, paced by the Asian region.” Bank Indonesia has left its benchmark interest rate at 6.5 percent since August and urged lenders to expand credit as President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono focuses on boosting growth after winning a second term last July. That’s helped lift earnings at companies including PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia and PT Bank Mandiri. Indonesia’s $514 billion economy expanded 5.7 percent last quarter, the fastest pace in more than a year. Philippine economic growth accelerated to the fastest pace in almost three years in the first quarter, with gross domestic product rising 7.3 percent from a year earlier. Senator Benigno Aquino , who won a May 10 Philippine presidential election based on unofficial tallies, has pledged to create jobs and lure investments to boost incomes and spur growth. Philippine policy makers will have to increase interest rates “sooner or later” and “all the policy tools are always on the table,” Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo said yesterday. Still, it’s “too early to talk” about a rate increase, and “difficult to say” which policy tool the central bank will use in reducing monetary stimulus, he said. To contact the reporter on this story: Aloysius Unditu in Jakarta at aunditu@bloomberg.net ; Karl Lester M. Yap in Manila at kyap5@bloomberg.net

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Prudential’s Failed AIA Bid May Cost Company $660 Million, Thiam His Job

June 2, 2010

By Kevin Crowley and Jon Menon June 2 (Bloomberg) — Prudential Plc said the collapse of its $35.5 billion takeover of American International Group Inc.’s main Asian unit will cost it about 450 million pounds ($660 million). The failure may also cost Chief Executive Officer Tidjane Thiam his job. The costs, about a third of 2009 operating profit, include 153 million pounds in break fees and 81 million pounds in underwriting charges and currency hedges, Prudential said in a statement today. The insurer also said it’s in talks to end the deal after failing to win a $5.1 billion cut in the price. Thiam sought to lower the purchase price after shareholders including BlackRock Inc. said the transaction was too costly. The takeover is the biggest to collapse since miner BHP Billiton Ltd. abandoned its $66 billion acquisition of Rio Tinto Group in November 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. “What a mess,” said Ben Collett , head of equities at broker Louis Capital Markets in Hong Kong. “This will make it very hard for Thiam to continue. Even if they claw back some costs for the deal, it’s still a massive waste, and is anyone in the mood for that in Europe?” Prudential, which was due to pay AIG in dollars after raising the cash in pounds, may have made a “significant gain” on a 500 million-pound currency hedge, according to Barrie Cornes , a London-based analyst at Panmure Gordon & Co. with a “buy” rating on the stock. The insurer fell 2.7 percent to 560 pence as of 9:15 a.m. in London today. The stock rose 2.2 percent to HK$64.90 at the 4 p.m. close of trading in Hong Kong. Offer Cancelled Prudential will also cancel a $21 billion rights offer it had planned to fund the offer. The share sale would have been the biggest by a British company. At least 20 companies worldwide postponed or withdrew initial offerings in May as the European debt crisis sent the MSCI World Index of developed- nation stocks down 9.9 percent. “We agreed with shareholders that a renegotiation of the terms was necessary given market movements, but it has not proved possible to reach agreement,” Thiam said in the statement today. AIG Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche , 66, may return to an earlier plan of a public offering in Asia to divest AIA, which operates in markets spanning China to Australia and has more than $60 billion in assets. “Without a doubt, the size of AIA magnifies the execution risk of closing a deal,” said Angelo Graci , managing director at Chapdelaine Credit Partners, a New York-based bond broker. “At this point it’s difficult to see another single buyer come in with a competitive price.” AIA IPO AIG announced it would divest AIA in October 2008 and last year said it would seek a public listing on an Asian stock exchange. AIG, which was rescued by the U.S. in 2008, could return to its earlier plan of holding a stock offering, the Treasury Department said May 26. “It’s not surprising given that Prudential’s shareholders initially thought AIA had more high-growth China exposure than it did,” said Winston Barnes , head of sales and trading for Asian markets at WJB Capital Group Inc. in San Francisco. “I would expect if Pru doesn’t come back again, AIA would IPO in Hong Kong.” Thiam, who took over as CEO in October, “will probably have to review his position,” said Paul Mumford , who helps manage 417 million pounds including Prudential shares at Cavendish Asset Management Ltd. in London. Mumford opposed the deal when it was announced in March. The original takeover offer included about $25 billion in cash and the rest in securities linked to Prudential shares. Prudential’s planned revision to $30.4 billion included $23 billion in cash, the insurer said yesterday. Break Up? The combined company would have created the largest life insurer in Hong Kong, as well as in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. Prudential’s shareholders may now favor breaking up the business, according to Rupert Armitage , head of U.K. equities at Shore Capital Group Ltd. “It leaves them very vulnerable to a break up,” he said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “The chairman and the CEO, having staked their reputations on it, it puts them in an almost untenable position.” Prudential’s bid was hurt by a series of mistakes in dealing with regulators and shareholders. Ivory Coast-born Thiam, 47, was criticized by shareholders in March for agreeing to join the board of Paris-based bank Societe Generale SA , a decision he reversed a day later. Prudential was also forced to delay the start of the planned rights offer in May after the U.K. regulator asked the firm to hold more capital in reserve. Opposition to Deal Neptune Investment Management Ltd., a London-based investor, said on May 26 it had 20 percent of shareholders to back its opposition to the transaction. Thiam, who needed 75 percent of shareholders to back the offer, made a failed attempt to resurrect the deal by asking AIG to reduce the price two days later. The takeover was to be the world’s biggest this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The collapse of the deal deprives Prudential’s advisers of as much as 850 million pounds in fees. Prudential is being advised by Credit Suisse Group AG, JPMorgan Cazenove, Lazard LLC and Nomura Holdings Inc. AIG is being advised by Blackstone Group LP, Citigroup Inc., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley. To contact the reporter on this story: Jon Menon in London at jmenon1@bloomberg.net ; Kevin Crowley in London at kcrowley1@bloomberg.net

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Feds: Nicholas Smirnow, Global Ponzi Scheme Head, Warned Clients To Avoid Obvious Ponzi Schemes

May 31, 2010

EAST ST. LOUIS, Ill. — A Canadian national who the U.S. government says swindled $70 million from 40,000 investors on six continents carried out the same kind of Ponzi scheme the one-time bank robber mocked on his website, federal investigators allege. Nicholas Smirnow warned clients of his online business, “Pathway to Prosperity,” to stay away from high-yield investment programs that often boast of unrealistic returns for little or no risk. Yet a federal criminal complaint alleges that he promised “outlandish” return rates – investigators say anywhere from 546 percent to 17,000 percent – with no explanation of his methodology or his identity. Smirnow, 53, also hid an extensive criminal past that included convictions for burglary and drug trafficking in Canada, according to the documents. “He warned: ‘the bigger the return on offer, the louder the warning bells should sound,’” the complaint, dated Friday and obtained Monday by The Associated Press, alleged. “Investors, however, did not heed the ‘warning bells’ of Smirnow’s ridiculous claims of unrealistic rates of return and instead invested by the thousands.” Smirnow, who prosecutors believe lives in the Philippines though his whereabouts Monday were unclear, was charged with conspiracy and securities, mail and wire fraud. Some of the charges carry up to 20 years in prison and $250,000 in fines. Interpol, the Paris-based international police intelligence-sharing association, declined to disclose Monday whether it was involved and deferred questions to Filipino authorities. The case is being handled by the U.S. Attorney for southern Illinois in part because the assigned prosecutor has expertise in such investment cases. Smirnow’s alleged swindle also claimed victims in half of the 38 counties making up that jurisdiction’s turf. Smirnow lured investors despite keeping his identity hidden, suggesting through his online enterprise – also known as “P-2-P” and “P-2-P Network” – that other securities pitchmen did not share his “strong moral foundation,” according to the complaint. He said keeping his identity masked protected his safety and ensured his program’s success. His website created “the false appearance that he was a sophisticated and legitimate international financier,” the court documents said. His aliases included Nicoloy Smirnow, Alexander Judizcev, Nicholas Kachura and Jeff Prozorowiczm. Smirnow never let on that he was a lookout during a Canadian bank robbery in 2000 and was sentenced to four years in prison, according to the complaint and newspaper accounts. At the time, he was a construction worker contracted to do sewer work, the Sarnia Observer in Ontario has reported. Smirnow also has convictions, some dating to 1979, of burglary, drug trafficking and possessing stolen property in Canada, the complaint said. He told an employee that he was involved in a double homicide in Ontario and had organized crime ties there, according to an affidavit written by Jacob Gholson, a U.S. Postal Inspection Service inspector who investigated Smirnow’s alleged scheme leading to Friday’s charges. The affidavit was filed with the federal complaint. Using investors’ funds, Smirnow at one point bought a $315,000 house in Ontario, Gholson wrote. Prosecutors believe Smirnow concocted the scheme in 2007, initially running it out of his rental home Baysville, Ontario. By the time it unraveled last year, it had attracted victims from every U.S. state except Maine and Vermont, the U.S. government says. Smirnow’s investors were offered their choice of seven-, 15-, 30- and 60-day plans with varying rates of return, offering the average person investment opportunities generally only available to the very rich, prosecutors said. Some of Smirnow’s earliest clients made substantial returns, but most investors lost everything, authorities said. The complaint concluded: “Pathway to Prosperity was a massive Ponzi scheme.”

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Subbarao Risks `Falling Behind’ on Rates After India’s Growth Accelerates

May 31, 2010

By Unni Krishnan and Kartik Goyal June 1 (Bloomberg) — India’s central bank needs to be less wary of the fallout of Europe’s debt crisis and raise interest rates to curb inflation stoked by growth, economists said. Asia’s biggest economy after Japan and China expanded 8.6 percent last quarter from 6.5 percent in the previous three months, India’s statistics office said in New Delhi yesterday. The acceleration in growth came even as consumer spending slowed, a drag that may lift in coming months, according to HSBC Group Plc economist Frederic Neumann. The Reserve Bank of India said last month it will be “cautious” in tightening the monetary policy even as the country’s consumer-price inflation rate is the highest among Group of 20 nations. India’s stance, in the face of risks to growth posed by Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis, may be echoed across the Asia Pacific this week as central banks from Australia to the Philippines set interest rates. “If India’s central bank pays too much attention to Europe and waits for clarity, then it risks falling behind the curve,” said Ramya Suryanarayanan, an economist at DBS Bank Ltd. in Singapore. “It is important that interest rates are normalized.” She expects a quarter-percentage point increase in rates by the end of June. The Mumbai-based Reserve Bank has raised interest rates twice since mid-March by a quarter-percentage point each time. Consumer Prices The bank’s benchmark reverse-repurchase rate is 3.75 percent while the consumer-price inflation rate for industrial workers touched about 13 percent in April. Prices paid by farm workers are close to 15 percent, hurting the purchasing power of the 650 million people who live in India’s countryside. In contrast, consumer prices are running at 2.9 percent in Australia, 3.9 percent in Indonesia and 4.4 percent in the Philippines. The Reserve Bank of Australia may leave the overnight cash rate target at 4.5 percent today, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Bank Indonesia will probably maintain its benchmark rate on June 4 and borrowing costs in Philippines may be kept unchanged on June 3, separate surveys showed. “The euro jitters may have left policy makers across the world in a more accommodative mood, but in India tightening is now needed to avoid a hard landing later on,” HSBC’s Neumann said. “They should add some urgency to the tightening cycle.” Benchmark 10-year Indian government bond yields rose 17 basis points last week, the biggest increase in more than a month, as traders increased bets Governor Duvvuri Subbarao will boost rates. The yield closed at 7.56 percent yesterday. The rupee lost 4.3 percent against the U.S. dollar last month and the Sensitive Index declined 3.5 percent in the period. Consumption As growth accelerated last quarter, consumption by individuals and companies increased 2.6 percent, the weakest pace in eight years, data from the statistics office showed. “This, presumably, reflects in part soaring food prices, which eroded real disposable incomes and made shoppers generally more cautious,” the Hong Kong-based Neumann said. “With agriculture prices now easing, we expect consumption to get a real kick over the coming quarter, helped, too, by rising incomes as a tightening labor market spurs wage growth.” Rains in this year’s June-September monsoon season will be “normal,” the weather office forecast in April, boosting prospects for agriculture and rural incomes. Salaries are increasing in urban areas as well with companies including Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., India’s biggest exporter of software services, boosting employees’ pay. Tata Consultancy said in April it plans to spend about $200 million on wage increases this year. The central bank acknowledges that consumer demand is strengthening, making inflation a “visible” concern, Subir Gokarn , who is in charge of monetary policy at the Reserve Bank, said in an interview in Warsaw on May 26. Still, he said the “pace and magnitude” of monetary policy actions will be conditioned by global developments. To contact the reporters on this story: Kartik Goyal in New Delhi at kgoyal@bloomberg.net Unni Krishnan in New Delhi at ukrishnan2@bloomberg.net .

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Subbarao Risks `Falling Behind’ on Rates After India’s Growth Accelerates

May 31, 2010

By Unni Krishnan and Kartik Goyal June 1 (Bloomberg) — India’s central bank needs to be less wary of the fallout of Europe’s debt crisis and raise interest rates to curb inflation stoked by growth, economists said. Asia’s biggest economy after Japan and China expanded 8.6 percent last quarter from 6.5 percent in the previous three months, India’s statistics office said in New Delhi yesterday. The acceleration in growth came even as consumer spending slowed, a drag that may lift in coming months, according to HSBC Group Plc economist Frederic Neumann. The Reserve Bank of India said last month it will be “cautious” in tightening the monetary policy even as the country’s consumer-price inflation rate is the highest among Group of 20 nations. India’s stance, in the face of risks to growth posed by Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis, may be echoed across the Asia Pacific this week as central banks from Australia to the Philippines set interest rates. “If India’s central bank pays too much attention to Europe and waits for clarity, then it risks falling behind the curve,” said Ramya Suryanarayanan, an economist at DBS Bank Ltd. in Singapore. “It is important that interest rates are normalized.” She expects a quarter-percentage point increase in rates by the end of June. The Mumbai-based Reserve Bank has raised interest rates twice since mid-March by a quarter-percentage point each time. Consumer Prices The bank’s benchmark reverse-repurchase rate is 3.75 percent while the consumer-price inflation rate for industrial workers touched about 13 percent in April. Prices paid by farm workers are close to 15 percent, hurting the purchasing power of the 650 million people who live in India’s countryside. In contrast, consumer prices are running at 2.9 percent in Australia, 3.9 percent in Indonesia and 4.4 percent in the Philippines. The Reserve Bank of Australia may leave the overnight cash rate target at 4.5 percent today, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Bank Indonesia will probably maintain its benchmark rate on June 4 and borrowing costs in Philippines may be kept unchanged on June 3, separate surveys showed. “The euro jitters may have left policy makers across the world in a more accommodative mood, but in India tightening is now needed to avoid a hard landing later on,” HSBC’s Neumann said. “They should add some urgency to the tightening cycle.” Benchmark 10-year Indian government bond yields rose 17 basis points last week, the biggest increase in more than a month, as traders increased bets Governor Duvvuri Subbarao will boost rates. The yield closed at 7.56 percent yesterday. The rupee lost 4.3 percent against the U.S. dollar last month and the Sensitive Index declined 3.5 percent in the period. Consumption As growth accelerated last quarter, consumption by individuals and companies increased 2.6 percent, the weakest pace in eight years, data from the statistics office showed. “This, presumably, reflects in part soaring food prices, which eroded real disposable incomes and made shoppers generally more cautious,” the Hong Kong-based Neumann said. “With agriculture prices now easing, we expect consumption to get a real kick over the coming quarter, helped, too, by rising incomes as a tightening labor market spurs wage growth.” Rains in this year’s June-September monsoon season will be “normal,” the weather office forecast in April, boosting prospects for agriculture and rural incomes. Salaries are increasing in urban areas as well with companies including Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., India’s biggest exporter of software services, boosting employees’ pay. Tata Consultancy said in April it plans to spend about $200 million on wage increases this year. The central bank acknowledges that consumer demand is strengthening, making inflation a “visible” concern, Subir Gokarn , who is in charge of monetary policy at the Reserve Bank, said in an interview in Warsaw on May 26. Still, he said the “pace and magnitude” of monetary policy actions will be conditioned by global developments. To contact the reporters on this story: Kartik Goyal in New Delhi at kgoyal@bloomberg.net Unni Krishnan in New Delhi at ukrishnan2@bloomberg.net .

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Australia May Leave Key Rate at 4.5% as Steepest Increases in G-20 `Bite’

May 30, 2010

By Jacob Greber and Daniel Petrie May 31 (Bloomberg) — Australia’s central bank may keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged this week after the most aggressive round of increases in the Group of 20 restrained retail sales and slashed mortgage lending by a quarter. The central bank will leave the overnight cash rate target at 4.5 percent at 2:30 p.m. in Sydney tomorrow, according to all 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. A separate report this week may show economic growth slowed to 0.6 percent last quarter from 0.9 percent in the previous three months, analysts predict. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision may be echoed across Asia this week as central banks from Indonesia to Thailand and the Philippines are forecast to hold off on rate increases as they gauge fallout on the global economy from Europe’s debt crisis. Investors boosted bets this month that Governor Glenn Stevens will keep Australia’s policy rate unchanged until 2011. “Uncertainty has increased regarding the global economic outlook,” said Shane Oliver , senior economist in Sydney at AMP Capital Investors, which manages $90 billion in assets. “The rate hikes to date are starting to bite.” Stevens increased rates six times since early October from a half-century low of 3 percent, citing surging Asian demand for Australian commodities and a jobs boom that has pushed down unemployment to around half that of the U.S. and Europe. European Rescue The interest-rate moves helped stoke a 27 percent gain in Australia’s dollar in the 12 months through April 30, making it the second-best performer among the world’s 16 most-traded currencies. The currency has since pared around half of those gains as European Union policy makers scrambled this month to prevent a potential Greek debt default. Thailand’s central bank will probably maintain its benchmark rate at 1.25 percent on June 2 and Bank Indonesia may keep borrowing costs at 6.5 percent on June 4, according to separate Bloomberg surveys. The key rate in the Philippines is forecast to be held at 4 percent on June 3. Australia’s economy, which skirted last year’s global recession and surged in the final three months of 2009, shows signs of slowing as higher borrowing costs and the end of government stimulus weigh on domestic demand. First-quarter GDP figures will be published at 11:30 a.m. in Sydney on June 2. “It’s now clear that the Reserve Bank should have left rates on hold in May and arguably in April,” said Craig James , a senior economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. “And it’s not just the volatility on global markets. The one common element across businesses is the reluctance to spend.” ‘Rapid Deterioration’ Virgin Blue Holdings Ltd., Australia’s No. 2 carrier, cut its profit forecast last week on a “rapid deterioration” in leisure travel and rising industrywide capacity. Reports to be released ahead of tomorrow’s rate decision will show retail sales increased 0.3 percent in April, matching the weakest growth rate in a year, and building approvals fell for the third month in four, analysts forecast. Those figures will be published at 11:30 a.m. in Sydney. The nation’s property market, which surged 20 percent in the year to March 31, is also showing signs of weakening. Home- loan approvals dropped 25 percent in the six months through March to the lowest level in nine years. “The slowdown in the housing market over the past month is a real concern,” said David Airey, president of the Real Estate Institute of Australia. “Since early April, we’ve seen the market change from buoyant to slow and depressed.” Consumer Behavior Australia’s monetary policy is now “well placed” and interest-rate increases so far are “beginning to affect behavior” of consumers, central bank officials said in the minutes of their last meeting on May 4. Investor bets that Stevens will resume boosting rates in coming months because of faster inflation have all but evaporated this month. Traders are betting there is no chance of a quarter-point rate increase at central bank monthly meetings until December, according to Bloomberg calculations based on interbank futures on the Sydney Futures Exchange. There is also a 14 percent chance of a rate cut tomorrow, the futures showed at 11:42 a.m. on May 28. Keeping rates on hold in coming months may assist Prime Minister Kevin Rudd ’s campaign to win an election that is likely to be called this year. “With rates now broadly neutral and risk aversion so elevated, we see little reason for tightening” soon, said Tim Toohey , chief economist at Goldman Sachs JBWere Ltd. in Melbourne. Still, the “risk of meaningful financial spillovers from European sovereign concerns to the domestic economy is limited,” he said, adding that the bank may resume tightening monetary policy as early as August. To contact the reporters for this story: Jacob Greber in Sydney at jgreber@bloomberg.net ; Daniel Petrie in Sydney at dpetrie5@bloomberg.net

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Prudential Discussing Price Cut for AIG Asia Unit After Slump Soured Deal

May 28, 2010

By Kevin Crowley May 28 (Bloomberg) — Prudential Plc , the U.K. insurer seeking to buy American International Group Inc. ’s Asian unit in a $35.5 billion acquisition, said it’s talking with AIG about changing the terms of the deal. Discussions between the companies “may or may not lead to a change in the terms of the combination,” Prudential said today in a statement. Chief Executive Officer Tidjane Thiam, 47, was in New York yesterday to make his case to executives that the price for AIA should be cut, a person with knowledge of the situation said. Thiam is facing criticism from major investors as he asks for $21 billion, the biggest rights offer for an acquisition on record. Prudential’s market value is 13.8 billion pounds ($20 billion). The deal has already been delayed by the U.K. regulator over concerns about the insurer’s capital reserves and the biggest decline in equity markets since the financial crisis has dampened investors’ enthusiasm for the takeover. “It’s probably the least ideal market to raise capital,” said James Buckley , a London-based fund manager at Baring Asset Management Ltd. who helps oversee $44 billion, including Prudential stock. “The market is not completely closed for small rights offers, but for major deals like Prudential, it’s inevitably tough.” Investors owning as much as 20 percent of Prudential stock plan to vote against the takeover at the annual general meeting on June 7, Neptune Investment Management Ltd. , a London-based shareholder, said this week. Thiam needs 75 percent of investors to support the rights offer for the deal to succeed. BlackRock, Fidelity BlackRock Inc. and Fidelity Investments are among major Prudential shareholders that have voiced concern the deal is too expensive, said the person, who declined to be identified because the discussions are private. Some shareholders are demanding a reduction to as low as $30 billion, a price AIG’s board is unlikely to approve, the person said. “We have a signed agreement with Prudential, and we expect them to use their best efforts to live up to it,” Mark Herr , a spokesman for New York-based AIG, said late yesterday. Speculation the deal would collapse was “unfounded,” Prudential spokesman Ed Brewster said earlier this week. “The acquisition of AIA by Prudential represents a compelling combination that can deliver very attractive long-term returns to our shareholders,” he said. Public Offering Option The U.S. Treasury Department, which helped fund the $182.3 billion bailout of AIG, hasn’t asked the company to find a compromise on the AIA deal, spokesman Andrew Williams said in an e-mail. He commented after the Daily Telegraph reported that the Treasury encouraged the insurer to negotiate to preserve the takeover of AIA. AIG, which is selling assets to repay the U.S. bailout, had been planning a public offering of AIA until announcing the Prudential deal in March. AIG could return to the public- offering option if Prudential shareholders reject the deal, Jim Millstein , the Treasury’s chief restructuring officer, said this week in Washington. “It would certainly be a mistake to not be willing to renegotiate,” said Angelo Graci , managing director at Chapdelaine Credit Partners in New York. “There are meaningful risks to going back and pursuing an IPO; it would take longer, and the valuation would have a significant amount of uncertainty.” AIG is being advised by Blackstone Group LP, Citigroup Inc., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Prudential is being advised by Credit Suisse Group AG, JPMorgan Cazenove, Lazard LLC and Nomura Holdings Inc., the data show. Funding Plans Prudential plans to fund the AIA purchase through the $21 billion rights offer, including fees to banks, $10.5 billion of new shares and other securities and by selling debt. The offer is the biggest in U.K. corporate history. Capital Research & Management Co., Prudential’s biggest shareholder, would have to pay about 1.89 billion pounds to take up its rights in full, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The next three biggest holders, Blackrock, Legal & General Group Plc and Norges Bank, would pay a total of about 1.96 billion pounds for their full allocation of shares. Not all Prudential’s directors plan to take up their rights in full, Chairman Harvey McGrath said this week. Michael McLintock , CEO of Prudential’s fund-management unit, would have to pay about 3.4 million pounds to fully back the transaction. “In uncertain times investors aren’t as willing to take as much risk, and it makes it harder to raise funds for expansion,” said Peter Braendle , who helps oversee about $51 billion at Swisscanto Asset Management AG in Zurich and hasn’t decided whether he’ll back the rights offer. “Investors prefer to have a bit more cash.” Market Concern Prudential, which yesterday posted its steepest increase since August, was down 0.8 percent at 543 pence as of 9:43 a.m. in London trading. The insurer’s share price was 602.5 pence on Feb. 26, the last trading day before the deal was announced. Prudential shares were suspended in Hong Kong earlier today before the company’s statement. The combined Prudential-AIA would be the largest life insurer in Hong Kong, as well as in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. Paying $35.5 billion for AIA will create an entity worth $60 billion by 2013, Thiam said this month. “The deal raises the question why the company is trying to pursue it if a substantial number of shareholders are opposing it,” said Tom Kirchmaier , a fellow at the London School of Economics. “For me the concerns in the debt market just mirror those in the equity market, and the market might just kill a deal which it considers a bad deal.” To contact the reporter on this story: Kevin Crowley in London at kcrowley1@bloomberg.net

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Prudential Discussing Price Cut for AIG Asia Unit After Slump Soured Deal

May 28, 2010

By Kevin Crowley May 28 (Bloomberg) — Prudential Plc , the U.K. insurer seeking to buy American International Group Inc. ’s Asian unit in a $35.5 billion acquisition, said it’s talking with AIG about changing the terms of the deal. Discussions between the companies “may or may not lead to a change in the terms of the combination,” Prudential said today in a statement. Chief Executive Officer Tidjane Thiam, 47, was in New York yesterday to make his case to executives that the price for AIA should be cut, a person with knowledge of the situation said. Thiam is facing criticism from major investors as he asks for $21 billion, the biggest rights offer for an acquisition on record. Prudential’s market value is 13.8 billion pounds ($20 billion). The deal has already been delayed by the U.K. regulator over concerns about the insurer’s capital reserves and the biggest decline in equity markets since the financial crisis has dampened investors’ enthusiasm for the takeover. “It’s probably the least ideal market to raise capital,” said James Buckley , a London-based fund manager at Baring Asset Management Ltd. who helps oversee $44 billion, including Prudential stock. “The market is not completely closed for small rights offers, but for major deals like Prudential, it’s inevitably tough.” Investors owning as much as 20 percent of Prudential stock plan to vote against the takeover at the annual general meeting on June 7, Neptune Investment Management Ltd. , a London-based shareholder, said this week. Thiam needs 75 percent of investors to support the rights offer for the deal to succeed. BlackRock, Fidelity BlackRock Inc. and Fidelity Investments are among major Prudential shareholders that have voiced concern the deal is too expensive, said the person, who declined to be identified because the discussions are private. Some shareholders are demanding a reduction to as low as $30 billion, a price AIG’s board is unlikely to approve, the person said. “We have a signed agreement with Prudential, and we expect them to use their best efforts to live up to it,” Mark Herr , a spokesman for New York-based AIG, said late yesterday. Speculation the deal would collapse was “unfounded,” Prudential spokesman Ed Brewster said earlier this week. “The acquisition of AIA by Prudential represents a compelling combination that can deliver very attractive long-term returns to our shareholders,” he said. Public Offering Option The U.S. Treasury Department, which helped fund the $182.3 billion bailout of AIG, hasn’t asked the company to find a compromise on the AIA deal, spokesman Andrew Williams said in an e-mail. He commented after the Daily Telegraph reported that the Treasury encouraged the insurer to negotiate to preserve the takeover of AIA. AIG, which is selling assets to repay the U.S. bailout, had been planning a public offering of AIA until announcing the Prudential deal in March. AIG could return to the public- offering option if Prudential shareholders reject the deal, Jim Millstein , the Treasury’s chief restructuring officer, said this week in Washington. “It would certainly be a mistake to not be willing to renegotiate,” said Angelo Graci , managing director at Chapdelaine Credit Partners in New York. “There are meaningful risks to going back and pursuing an IPO; it would take longer, and the valuation would have a significant amount of uncertainty.” AIG is being advised by Blackstone Group LP, Citigroup Inc., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Prudential is being advised by Credit Suisse Group AG, JPMorgan Cazenove, Lazard LLC and Nomura Holdings Inc., the data show. Funding Plans Prudential plans to fund the AIA purchase through the $21 billion rights offer, including fees to banks, $10.5 billion of new shares and other securities and by selling debt. The offer is the biggest in U.K. corporate history. Capital Research & Management Co., Prudential’s biggest shareholder, would have to pay about 1.89 billion pounds to take up its rights in full, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The next three biggest holders, Blackrock, Legal & General Group Plc and Norges Bank, would pay a total of about 1.96 billion pounds for their full allocation of shares. Not all Prudential’s directors plan to take up their rights in full, Chairman Harvey McGrath said this week. Michael McLintock , CEO of Prudential’s fund-management unit, would have to pay about 3.4 million pounds to fully back the transaction. “In uncertain times investors aren’t as willing to take as much risk, and it makes it harder to raise funds for expansion,” said Peter Braendle , who helps oversee about $51 billion at Swisscanto Asset Management AG in Zurich and hasn’t decided whether he’ll back the rights offer. “Investors prefer to have a bit more cash.” Market Concern Prudential, which yesterday posted its steepest increase since August, was down 0.8 percent at 543 pence as of 9:43 a.m. in London trading. The insurer’s share price was 602.5 pence on Feb. 26, the last trading day before the deal was announced. Prudential shares were suspended in Hong Kong earlier today before the company’s statement. The combined Prudential-AIA would be the largest life insurer in Hong Kong, as well as in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. Paying $35.5 billion for AIA will create an entity worth $60 billion by 2013, Thiam said this month. “The deal raises the question why the company is trying to pursue it if a substantial number of shareholders are opposing it,” said Tom Kirchmaier , a fellow at the London School of Economics. “For me the concerns in the debt market just mirror those in the equity market, and the market might just kill a deal which it considers a bad deal.” To contact the reporter on this story: Kevin Crowley in London at kcrowley1@bloomberg.net

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Prudential’s $35.5 Billion AIA Bid Sours as Investors Swap Risk for Cash

May 27, 2010

By Kevin Crowley May 28 (Bloomberg) — Prudential Plc Chief Executive Officer Tidjane Thiam was handed the chance to make a $35.5 billion bid for insurer AIA Group Ltd. after his firm’s share price almost tripled. The biggest decline in equity markets since the financial crisis may derail his plans. Falling investor confidence sparked by Europe’s sovereign debt crisis hampered corporate fundraisings in the past two months as Thiam, 47, asks investors for $21 billion, the biggest rights offer for an acquisition on record. Thiam was in New York yesterday to make his case in person to American International Group Inc. executives that the price for AIA should be cut, said a person with knowledge of the situation. “It’s probably the least ideal market to raise capital,” said James Buckley , a London-based fund manager at Baring Asset Management Ltd. , who helps oversee $44 billion, including Prudential stock. “The market is not completely closed for small rights offers, but for major deals like Prudential, it’s inevitably tough.” Thiam said when he announced the offer in March that Prudential had “earned the right” to buy AIA after the stock jumped 191 percent to 602.5 pence in 12 months. The MSCI World Index plunged about 11 percent in the last six weeks, fueling shareholder criticism that Prudential is overpaying for AIA. BlackRock Inc. and Fidelity Investments are among major Prudential shareholders that have voiced concern the deal is too expensive, said the person, who declined to be identified because the discussions are private. Some shareholders are demanding a reduction to as low as $30 billion, a price AIG’s board is unlikely to approve, the person said. ‘Live Up to It’ “We have a signed agreement with Prudential, and we expect them to use their best efforts to live up to it,” said Mark Herr , a spokesman for New York-based AIG, in a statement late yesterday. Speculation the deal would collapse was “unfounded,” said Prudential spokesman Ed Brewster . “The acquisition of AIA by Prudential represents a compelling combination that can deliver very attractive long- term returns to our shareholders,” Brewster said. Investors owning as much as 20 percent of Prudential stock plan to vote down the takeover at the U.K. insurer’s annual general meeting on June 7, Neptune Investment Management Ltd. , a London-based shareholder, said this week. Thiam needs 75 percent of investors to support the rights offer for the deal to succeed. The Public Offering Option The U.S. Treasury Department, which helped fund the $182.3 billion bailout of AIG, has not asked the company to find a compromise on the AIA deal, spokesman Andrew Williams said in an e-mail. He commented after the Daily Telegraph reported that Treasury had encouraged the insurer to negotiate to preserve the takeover of AIA. AIG, which is selling assets to repay a U.S. bailout, had been planning a public offering of AIA until announcing the Prudential deal in March. AIG could return to the public- offering option if Prudential shareholders reject the deal, Jim Millstein , the Treasury’s chief restructuring officer, said this week in Washington. “It would certainly be a mistake to not be willing to renegotiate,” said Angelo Graci , managing director at Chapdelaine Credit Partners in New York. “There are meaningful risks to going back and pursuing an IPO; it would take longer, and the valuation would have a significant amount of uncertainty.” Largest Shareholders Prudential plans to fund the AIA purchase through a $21 billion rights offer, including fees to banks, $10.5 billion of new shares and other securities and by selling debt. The offer is the biggest in U.K. corporate history. Prudential has a market value of about 13.9 billion pounds. Capital Research & Management Co., Prudential’s biggest shareholder, would have to pay about 1.89 billion pounds ($2.75 billion) to take up its rights in full, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The next three biggest holders, Blackrock, Legal & General Group Plc and Norges Bank, would pay about 1.96 billion pounds among them if they decide to buy their full allocation of shares. Not all Prudential’s directors plan to take up their rights in full, Chairman Harvey McGrath said this week. Michael McLintock , CEO of Prudential’s fund management unit, would have to pay about 3.4 million pounds to fully back the transaction. “In uncertain times investors aren’t as willing to take as much risk, and it makes it harder to raise funds for expansion,” said Peter Braendle , who helps oversee about $51 billion at Swisscanto Asset Management AG in Zurich, and hasn’t decided whether he’ll back the rights offer. “Investors prefer to have a bit more cash.” Fundraisings Postponed At least 19 companies have postponed or withdrawn $5 billion in U.S. debt sales since April 13, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Investment banking fees from acquisition advice, share and bond sales in western Europe dropped 17 percent in the first four months of 2010 compared with the previous year, New York-based research firm Freeman & Co. said. Standard Chartered Plc , the London-based bank that makes most of its profit in Asia, received bids yesterday for about 11 percent of the shares available in an initial public offering in India with one day to go. “It’s not easy to get people to part with their money when they aren’t sure about the prospects for equity markets and are more focused on preserving their wealth,” said Mike Lenhoff , chief strategist at Brewin Dolphin Holdings Plc in London, which has 22 billion pounds under management. “It’s an extremely difficult background that presents major obstacles to people trying to sort out some corporate strategies.” Shares Gain Prudential gained 6.83 percent to 547.5 pence in London trading yesterday, the steepest increase since August, as investors speculated the takeover will fail. The insurer’s share price was 602.5 pence on Feb. 26, the last trading day before the deal was announced. Prudential shares were suspended from trading in Hong Kong today pending a statement of “price sensitive information,” according to a release to the city’s stock exchange. The combined Prudential-AIA would be the largest life insurer in Hong Kong, as well as in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. Paying $35.5 billion for AIA will create an entity worth $60 billion by 2013, Thiam said this month. “The deal raises the question why the company is trying to pursue it if a substantial number of shareholders are opposing it,” said Tom Kirchmaier , a fellow at the London School of Economics. “For me the concerns in the debt market just mirror those in the equity market, and the market might just kill a deal which it considers a bad deal.” To contact the reporter on this story: Kevin Crowley in London at kcrowley1@bloomberg.net

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Prudential Investor Neptune Says 20% May Vote Against Takeover of AIG Unit

May 27, 2010

By Kevin Crowley May 27 (Bloomberg) — Prudential Plc shares jumped as investors owning as much as 20 percent of the U.K. insurer plan to vote against the $35.5 billion takeover of American International Group Inc.’s main Asian unit, according to Neptune Investment Management Ltd. Institutional investors with more than 15 percent of Prudential’s stock and private shareholders owning 4.87 percent plan to oppose the purchase of AIA Group Ltd. at Prudential’s annual general meeting on June 7, Robin Geffen , Neptune’s chief investment officer, said yesterday, declining to identify the shareholders. Prudential rose as much as 7.9 percent in London trading. “We very clearly believe this could be a potentially disastrous acquisition and that the existing business is undervalued,” London-based Geffen said in a telephone interview. Prudential spokesman Ed Brewster said Geffen’s remarks were “speculative.” Prudential Chief Executive Officer Tidjane Thiam needs 75 percent of shareholders to back a $21 billion rights offer to fund the purchase. Geffen earlier this month set up a website to encourage fellow shareholders to vote down the acquisition. Neptune , which manages 5 billion pounds ($7.2 billion) in assets, owns 0.2 percent of Prudential. Shares Rise Prudential climbed 36.5 pence, or 7.1 percent, to 549 pence at 10:06 a.m. in London trading, the most since August, as investors bet the deal will fail. The stock closed at 602.5 pence on Feb. 26, the last day’s trading before the deal was announced. Investors with nearly 5 percent of Prudential’s stock, mainly private individuals, have joined Geffen’s group against the takeover, he said. AIG is shedding assets including AIA to repay the government’s $182.3 billion bailout. Geffen expects institutional shareholders owning at least 15 percent of Prudential to vote against the purchase because of conversations he’s had “directly or indirectly,” he said. “We are having active conversations, grounded in hard numbers and data, with our investors internationally,” Brewster said. “It is for our shareholders to make up their minds, and we welcome the opportunity to engage with our shareholders at any time. We believe the acquisition of AIA by Prudential represents a compelling combination that can deliver very attractive long-term returns to our shareholders.” ‘Great Deal’ The Treasury Department’s chief restructuring officer, Jim Millstein , said AIA was already preparing an initial public offering before the Prudential deal and can go that route if shareholders reject the deal. In an interview yesterday in Washington, he called the purchase a “great deal,” and said in most cases transactions supported by boards and management are approved by shareholders. Thiam, Chairman Harvey McGrath and Finance Director Nic Nicandrou have been meeting investors over the past week in London, Edinburgh and Hong Kong as they seek to build support for the biggest rights offer in U.K. corporate history. They say the $35.5 billion paid for AIA will be worth $60 billion by 2013. “They’re paying a very full price,” Geffen said. “The bulk of the market positions are in mature markets that are not growing very fast. The deal is dilutive in terms of a large number of shares being given to AIG.” No Vote Recommended Neptune was founded by Geffen in 2002 as an asset manager focusing on selling growth funds to private investors. Geffen was cited in newspapers including the Financial Times and the Guardian opposing the 2006 sale of retailer House of Fraser Plc to Baugur Group Hf, the failed Icelandic investor. RiskMetrics Group Inc. in New York, which advises 70 of the world’s 100 biggest investment managers, is recommending clients vote against the acquisition, which is scheduled to be completed in the third quarter of this year. “A full price, integration risk and ambitious targets to barely meet what we believe is a reasonable cost of capital do not make a compelling combination,” RiskMetrics said in a May 25 report. The combined Prudential-AIA would be the largest life insurer in Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. The insurer will likely have to sell stakes in India and China, the world’s two most populous countries, because of regulatory requirements, Thiam, 47, said this month. Capital Group Cos., BlackRock Inc., Legal & General Group Plc and Norges Bank, four of Prudential’s biggest investors, declined to comment. To contact the reporter on this story: Kevin Crowley in London at kcrowley1@bloomberg.net

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Philippine Growth May Have Quickened, Reducing Need for Low Interest Rates

May 25, 2010

By Karl Lester M. Yap and Michael Munoz May 26 (Bloomberg) — The Philippine economy probably expanded at the fastest pace in more than a year last quarter as remittances boosted consumer spending and exports surged, reducing the need for record-low interest rates. Gross domestic product increased 4.4 percent in the three months through March from a year earlier, according to the median forecast of 15 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The economy expanded 1.8 percent in the fourth quarter. The government will release the report at 10 a.m. tomorrow in Manila. The Southeast Asian nation has lagged behind Malaysia, Australia and India in raising interest rates this year even as the global recovery lifts demand for goods including Philippine- made Texas Instruments Inc. semiconductors. Senator Benigno Aquino , who led vote tallies for the May presidential election, has pledged to create jobs and lure investments to boost incomes. “The central bank will likely keep rates unchanged at its next meeting but it will need to raise rates soon if the growth momentum continues,” said Jonathan Ravelas , chief market strategist at Banco de Oro Unibank Inc. in Manila. Aquino will need to boost infrastructure and social services “to sustain the economic recovery,” Ravelas said. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s next meeting on June 3 will be a “balancing act” as policy makers try to curb inflation without stifling economic growth, Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo said May 12. The Philippines has pared a lending program for banks this year while keeping the benchmark rate at 4 percent. Philippine inflation held at 4.4 percent in April, the fastest pace since December, as oil and food prices rose amid the global economic recovery. Still, stocks fell around the world yesterday on concern Spain’s ailing banks signal a widening European debt crisis that may hurt the rebound from last year’s slump. Malaysia’s Move “It will be a very tight balancing act to decide on whether we should already adjust the policy rate or recalibrate the reserve requirement,” Guinigundo said. “We may even choose not to touch both if we think the global and domestic economic recovery remains fragile and if the inflation outlook continues to be favorable.” Malaysia’s central bank raised interest rates in May for the second time this year after the economy expanded 10.1 percent in the first quarter, the most in a decade. Indonesia’s GDP grew at the fastest pace in more than a year last quarter, rising 5.7 percent from a year earlier. The Philippine peso last month climbed to its strongest level since August 2008, reaching 44.158 per dollar, as Asia’s recovery attracts funds to the region’s assets. The benchmark stock index is up 33 percent in the past year. Jollibee Foods Corp ., which outsells McDonald’s Corp. in the Philippines, reported an increase in profit in the first quarter as remittances sent home by Filipinos overseas supported local spending, boosting sales of chicken meals and French fries. Its shares have climbed 7.3 percent this year. Remittances from the more than 8 million Filipinos living in countries including the U.S. and Singapore rose 7 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier to $4.3 billion. Money sent home from abroad accounts for about a 10th of the economy and helps fund purchases of mobile phones and cars in a nation where one in every four people live on less than $1.25 a day. Exports , which account for about a third of the Southeast Asian nation’s $167 billion economy, climbed at the fastest pace in at least 29 years in March, rising 43.7 percent from a year earlier. To contact the reporter on this story: Karl Lester M. Yap in Manila at kyap5@bloomberg.net

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`Black Boxes’ Retrieved After Libya Crash Kills 103; Boy Is Only Survivor

May 12, 2010

By Alaa Shahine and Franz Wild May 13 (Bloomberg) — An Airbus SAS jet’s “black box” voice and data recorders were recovered from the wreckage of the Afriqiyah Airways flight that crashed on landing in Tripoli, Libya, killing all but one of the 104 people on board. Rescue workers recovered 96 bodies after yesterday’s accident along with the flight recorders, Libya’s official JANA news agency said, citing Transportation Minister Mohamed Zeidan. The 93 passengers included 62 Dutch tourists, of whom one, a child, survived, according to Markus van Tol, a spokesman for the ANWB Royal Dutch Tourist Association. The twin-engine A330 plane “crash-landed in the final approach” after the flight from Johannesburg, airline spokeswoman Elizabeth McQuiggan said in a telephone interview, adding that it’s not clear what caused the accident. The wide-body plane, powered by engines from General Electric Co. , first flew on Aug. 12 last year and was delivered new to Afriqiyah Airways on Sept. 8, according to U.K. aviation consultants Ascend Worldwide Ltd. The crash is the second in 12 months involving an A330, and Airbus said it will provide “full technical assistance” to air-accident investigators. Zeidan said there is no evidence that terrorism caused the accident, according to JANA. Passengers on the flight came from Britain, Finland, France, Germany, the Philippines and Zimbabwe, as well as Libya, South Africa and the Netherlands, he was reported as saying. Crash Site Metal parts from the plane, which crashed at about 6 a.m. local time, were strewn on the ground at the site of the impact, television footage showed, while rescue workers could be seen wearing masks and searching for survivors in the wreckage. The service, Afriqiyah Flight 771, was also carrying 11 crew members, the Tripoli-based airline said on its website . Afriqiyah, which was founded in 2001 and serves cities in Africa, Asia and Europe, had an 11-strong Airbus fleet before the crash, including two more A330s, Ascend safety director Paul Hayes said by e-mail. Of the 93 passengers on the flight, 11 had planned to end their journey in Tripoli, with the rest travelling to onward destinations, a spokeswoman for Johannesburg airport said at a press conference broadcast on Dutch television. Some 42 people were due to catch a connection to Dusseldorf in Germany, with 32 bound for Brussels, seven for London and one for Paris, she said. Dutch Victims Dutch holiday company Kras.nl, part of TUI Travel Plc, had clients on the plane, according to its website. Another tour operator from the Netherlands, Stip Reizen, said 38 of its customers were en route to Dusseldorf, the ANP news agency reported, citing a spokeswoman from the company, and the ANWB’s von Tol said some Brussels-bound passengers were also Dutch. “This is truly tragic and touches us all,” Dutch Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende said on national television, adding that there is “uncertainty” about passenger logs and the exact number of people from his country on the flight. The child who survived is a boy who shouted “Holland, Holland,” while being treated for fractures at a hospital in Tripoli, leading to the conclusion regarding his nationality, Dutch Foreign Affairs minister Maxime Verhagen said. Forensic experts have been sent to the crash scene in order to aid identification of bodies, the minister said at a press conference in The Hague. The British Foreign Office confirmed on its website that one U.K. national was on the plane. Afriqiyah’s route network includes London Gatwick airport. An Airbus A330 operated by Air France crashed into the Atlantic Ocean on June 1 while en route from Rio de Janeiro to Paris, killing all 228 people on board. While more than 1,000 pieces of debris and 50 bodies have been found, no definitive reason has been presented for the accident, with early studies suggesting the plane flew into poor weather with speed sensors that weren’t properly functioning. The black boxes from the aircraft have yet to be recovered. Prior to the Air France incident the A330 had never had a fatal crash in commercial flight, though a development model came down after takeoff during testing, according Hayes, who says there are 650 of the jetliners in operation worldwide. To contact the reporters on this story: Franz Wild in Johannesburg at fwild@bloomberg.net ; Alaa Shahine in Cairo at asalha@bloomberg.net

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Aquino Heads for Victory in Philippine Presidential Ballot, Leads Estrada

May 10, 2010

By Francisco Alcuaz Jr. and Joel Guinto May 11 (Bloomberg) — Philippine Senator Benigno Aquino , whose mother helped oust former dictator Ferdinand Marcos , was headed for victory in the country’s presidential elections, according to early tallies of the votes. Aquino, 50, had 8.96 million votes, or 41 percent of the ballots tallied in 57 percent of precincts as of 11:11 p.m. local time last night, the Commission on Elections said in Manila. More than 50 million Filipinos were registered for yesterday’s election. Former President Joseph Estrada had 26 percent, and Senator Manuel Villar had 14 percent. The winner gets to lead a country that snares less than a quarter of the foreign investment going to its neighbors, holding back economic growth and forcing more than a million Filipinos abroad every year to look for work. Decades of graft since Marcos took power in 1965 saw the Philippines slump from being Asia’s fourth-biggest economy to the 13th out of 17 tracked by Bloomberg. “It’s going to be quite a daunting task,” said Vishnu Varathan , an economist at Forecast Ltd. in Singapore. “He needs to tighten the fiscal purse strings at a time the recovery is not coming through at the hoped for pace. He needs to broaden the tax base and take away tax breaks.” The Asian Development Bank forecasts growth of 3.8 percent this year, slower than that of Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Unemployment is 7.3 percent, second to Indonesia’s 7.9 percent. Aquino, 50, who campaigned on the slogan “If there’s no corruption, there’s no poverty,” had no plans to stand for election until the death of his mother Corazon Aquino in August. His father, Benigno, was jailed by Marcos and assassinated in 1983 on his return from the United States, where he had heart surgery after falling sick in prison. No Experience Besides being his parents’ son, Villar and other critics have said Aquino is unqualified for the challenge facing him, having accomplished little in 12 years as a legislator. Aquino said none of his bills has passed because he picked unpopular causes and refused to compromise. Aquino supporters maintain vice presidential candidate Senator Manuel Roxas would help make up for any deficit in experience. Roxas, a two-time trade secretary, was the Liberal Party’s presidential candidate until he gave way to Aquino. Roxas knows the “twists and turns of legislation,” former Finance Secretary Ramon del Rosario wrote in an opinion article last week. Aquino last week said he’d share “50 percent or 80 percent of the job” with Roxas. Roxas was trailing Jejomar Binay, the mayor of Makati business district, by 37 percent to 40 percent. Economic Team Aquino may still be able to count on Cesar Purisima , a finance secretary under outgoing President Gloria Arroyo . He quit and called on Arroyo to step down in 2005 amid allegations she rigged her election the year before. Purisima helped spearhead an increase in value-added tax that narrowed the budget deficit , which averaged 200 billion pesos ($4.4 billion) from 2002 to 2004, to 12 billion pesos in 2007. Last year the deficit was a record 298.5 billion pesos. Finance Secretary Gary Teves said Arroyo and Congress gave away the 2005 VAT increase with tax breaks. The Department of Finance says it may take six years — a presidential term — to balance the budget and proposes another VAT raise to get there. Higher taxes and a narrower deficit may help the Philippines reduce local and overseas borrowing. The government plans record borrowing of 718.5 billion pesos this year, a third of it from abroad. Foreign Investment Funds are also needed for the roads, ports and airports needed to compete for foreign investment. The Philippines received $1.5 billion in foreign direct investment in 2008, against $7.3 billion for Malaysia, $9.8 billion for Thailand, and $7.9 billion for Indonesia, Association of Southeast Asian Nation statistics show. A reputation for corruption hasn’t helped attract investment. The Philippines was ranked 139th out of 180 by Berlin-based watchdog Transparency International. Arroyo has faced three impeachment attempts over allegations of graft, human rights violations and vote-rigging. She ousted Estrada, 73, a former movie star, who was later convicted on corruption charges and jailed for life. Arroyo pardoned him. Aquino has vowed to prosecute Arroyo when she loses presidential immunity. Villar, 60, was ousted as Senate president after a fellow member alleged he used his influence to divert a highway to his property. He has denied any impropriety and the Senate hasn’t voted on the motion laid by 12 of the 23 senators, including Aquino. As a result of underinvestment, one in four Filipinos live on less than $1.25 a day, according to the World Bank . In 2008, 1.2 million left to work abroad, many of them taking lower-level jobs abroad for higher pay. “The poor state of political governance is affecting economic development,” said Paul Joseph Garcia , chief investment officer at ING Investment Management Ltd. in Manila “The labor force remains highly skilled. Unfortunately, we’re exporting people.” To contact the reporter on this story: Francisco Alcuaz Jr . in Manila at falcuaz@bloomberg.net

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Inflation Fears May Slow Malaysia Government Subsidy Cuts, Economists Say

May 9, 2010

By Barry Porter May 10 (Bloomberg) — Malaysia may cut subsidies slowly to prevent triggering record inflation as it prepares to revamp a system that’s hampered efforts to reduce the budget deficit, Standard Chartered Plc and Citigroup Inc. said. A taskforce is exploring ways to revamp the government’s entire portfolio of subsidies that keep the cost of essential items from flour to highway tolls low for consumers. An attempt to reduce the amount the state pays to cap fuel prices caused inflation to surge to a 26-year high in 2008 as gasoline became more expensive. The government will learn from past experience and ensure its subsidy cuts will be a “very tempered, gradual process,” Alvin Liew , an economist at Standard Chartered in Singapore, said May 7. “They still have time on their hands. It’s not a Greek situation where they need a bailout, not yet anyway.” Malaysia spends about 73 billion ringgit ($22 billion) a year on subsidies, Prime Minister Najib Razak said on April 6, calling the amount “not sustainable.” The government, which has said it is considering a global bond sale, aims to narrow its budget deficit to 5.6 percent of gross domestic product this year from a 22-year high of 7 percent in 2009. Concerns the European debt crisis will spread sparked a global stock rout last week even as Greece’s parliament approved austerity measures demanded by the European Union and International Monetary Fund as a condition of its 110 billion euro ($139 billion) bailout. Bond Sales In Asia, nations from Vietnam to the Philippines sold sovereign debt earlier this year as the region leads a global economic recovery. Malaysia may sell 10-year dollar denominated bonds in June, according to a finance ministry official with knowledge of the plan. Faster growth will help the government cut its budget shortfall as revenue rises, state news agency Bernama cited Deputy Finance Minister Awang Adek Hussin as saying last week. Malaysia pays suppliers to keep many consumer goods below their true market values. The decades-old system, aimed at helping the poor, has also benefited the rich and encouraged smuggling to neighboring countries where prices are higher. Sugar supplies ran short last year as profiteers took the sweetener across the border into Thailand, where it fetched double the price. The government taskforce led by Idris Jala , a former Malaysian Airline System Bhd. managing director, is seeking feedback on how to revamp subsidies so that only the poor get help. Jala is now a minister in Najib’s office. Greater Impact Malaysia’s consumer price index, which has averaged 2.8 percent over the past four years, jumped to 8.5 percent in July and August of 2008 after the government raised retail fuel prices by as much as 63 percent in a bid to trim its subsidy bill as global crude oil prices soared. “If just raising fuel prices affected inflation so much, can you imagine the impact this time?” Suhaimi Ilias , an economist at Maybank Investment Bank Bhd., said in a telephone interview. “I think the impact would be even greater. There must be an increase in income so people can cope.” The government will tread cautiously and stagger its subsidy reforms, said Kit Wei Zheng , an economist at Citigroup in Singapore. Bank Negara Malaysia, which was among the first central banks in Asia to raise interest rates this year, may not need to respond aggressively to any inflationary pressure as a result of the revamp, he said. “Their policy reaction is front-loaded, so they may not need to react so much” to inflation, Kit said in a telephone interview. Rate Decision The central bank next meets to discuss monetary policy this week, and will announce its decision on May 13. It increased its overnight policy rate to 2.25 percent from a record-low 2 percent in March after Southeast Asia’s third-largest economy emerged from a recession in the last quarter of 2009. The inflation rate rose to 1.3 percent in March. Food prices climbed 1.7 percent after the government scrapped its subsidy on white bread and raised its cap on sugar prices in January. The central bank raised the country’s 2010 growth forecast on March 24, predicting GDP will expand 4.5 percent to 5.5 percent. While faster growth should boost tax collection as company profits climb, the government has postponed a plan to introduce a goods and services levy. It also delayed a revamp of the fuel subsidy system from May to later this year. “I’m worried for the government,” said Standard Chartered’s Liew. “Having such a huge amount of subsidies takes such a toll on its fiscal position and will not be sustainable in the long run.” To contact the reporter on this story: Barry Porter in Kuala Lumpur at bporter10@bloomberg.net .

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Hunger Feeds Philippine Rebellions as Candidates Play Food Card for Votes

May 7, 2010

By Luzi Ann Javier May 7 (Bloomberg) — Ricardo Istacion said he had the best meal of his life on April 19, feasting on fish, chicken and pork at a party thrown by Philippine presidential candidate Joseph Estrada to celebrate his 73rd birthday. “Most days, we just have rice porridge,” said Istacion, a 54-year-old widower and father of two who collects recyclable waste at the garbage mountain in the Payatas district of Manila. Estrada “really loves Payatas, and for that I will vote for him.” While filling empty bellies helps win votes, politicians have failed to keep them full once in power. Whoever wins in the May 10 election will inherit hunger and unemployment that is fueling communist and Muslim insurgencies, perpetuating the Philippines’ status as a perennial economic underachiever. “If things are really deteriorating then it’s a risk that investors will move on to more attractive destinations,” said Tim Condon , Singapore-based chief Asia economist at ING Groep NV. “Patience isn’t unlimited.” The Jakarta Composite Index has risen more than 160 percent in the past five years, while the Philippine benchmark gained less than 70 percent. Moody’s Investors Service rates Indonesia, which was bailed out by the International Monetary Fund in 1998, one level higher at Ba2 than the Philippines. Corruption, mismanagement and a threefold jump in the population have eaten away at an economy that was Southeast Asia’s biggest in the 1960s. It has now been outstripped by Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore. Corruption Index Corruption means money for roads and other infrastructure goes missing. An average of 20 percent to 30 percent of every contract is lost to graft or inefficiency, the World Bank said in a 2008 study . The Philippines slipped in last year’s Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index to 139th place from 131st in 2007. Indonesia rose to 111th from 143rd, according to the Berlin-based watchdog’s website. Estrada, who was convicted of corruption in 2007 and later freed by a presidential pardon, was vying for second place with Senator Manuel Villar , 60, in a poll published today by BusinessWorld newspaper. Estrada had 20 percent and Villar 19 percent, while Benigno Aquino , son of a former president, led with 42 percent, according to the survey of 2,400 adults. It was conducted May 2 to May 3 and had a margin of error of 2 percentage points. Feeding Itself One of the biggest challenges facing the winner is the nation’s inability to feed itself. The Philippines has gone from being an occasional net exporter of rice before 1988 to become the world’s biggest importer as yields stagnated, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture data. Indonesia is now self- sufficient in rice, after importing 5.77 million tons in 1998. Philippine farmers are forecast to produce on average 3.6 tons of rice a hectare, compared with 5 tons per hectare in Indonesia, the USDA website shows. The government of outgoing President Gloria Arroyo , 63, says it spent almost all of the 12 billion pesos ($268 million) it budgeted to fix irrigation systems and boost harvests. Jimmy Tadeo, Manila-based head of a 20,000-strong farmers’ group, said he had seen no evidence of this work on recent tours of rice- growing regions. ‘Romancing the Data’ “The government is romancing the data,” Tadeo said. “If they had actually spent all that 12 billion pesos in irrigation, we would be self-sufficient in rice.” The country’s lowest rice yields are in the southern island of Mindanao, where U.S. Special Forces are helping fight Muslim and communist insurgencies. Mindanao is home to the al-Qaeda- linked Abu Sayyaf and the communist New People’s Army, both branded terror organizations by the U.S. The 2.9 tons a hectare eked out by the island’s farmers helps explain per capita income of less than $1 a day. The Philippine regions most vulnerable to armed conflict were those with the lowest incomes and poorest education, the United Nations said in a 2005 report . Failure to deliver more rapid economic growth means the country’s new president will face a growing wave of unemployment. The working-age population is forecast to jump 52 percent between 2005 and 2030, according to Jesus Felipe , principal economist at the Asian Development Bank in Manila. Jobless Rate While the official jobless rate rose to 7.3 percent in January from 7.1 percent in October, the National Statistics Office estimated that only 64.5 percent of the people of working age are actually employed. That puts even the government’s subsidized rice beyond the means of many, increasing the value of a free meal from a politician. The number of Filipino households who had nothing to eat at least one day in a quarter rose to a record 24 percent, according to a survey released Jan. 12 by Social Weather Stations , a Manila-based researcher. Demand for rice from government stockpiles jumps in the run-up to elections, data from the National Food Authority show. In the five months to May 1998, when Estrada won the presidency, rice releases from state supplies jumped almost five-fold. The 207,125 tons of rice released in March this year were the highest for that month since at least 1991. “When you have a situation where people really have nothing, they become easy prey to these kinds of tactics,” said Rey Trillana , a fellow at the Center for Civic Education and Democracy in Manila. To contact the reporter on this story: Luzi Ann Javier in Singapore at ljavier@bloomberg.net

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Inflation in Philippines settled at the highest since four months

May 5, 2010

Inflation in Philippines settled at the highest since four months

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Asian Stocks, Copper Drop on China Loan Curbs, Australia Tax; Euro Weakens

May 2, 2010

By James Regan May 3 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks fell toward a one-month low, led by mining companies, and copper declined after China ordered banks to set aside more funds as reserves and Australia boosted taxes on commodities producers. The euro weakened as investors turned their focus to Portugal and Spain after European leaders agreed on a $146 billion rescue plan for Greece. The MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index slid 0.9 percent as of 10:30 a.m. in Hong Kong, with raw-materials and financials accounting for about half of the loss. BHP Billiton Ltd. dropped the most since February and copper touched a seven- week low. The euro fell 0.5 percent to $1.3224 and futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.1 percent.      “All governments will eventually have to be bailed out in the Western world; they are overly indebted,” Marc Faber , publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, said in a Bloomberg Television interview in Hong Kong. “They’ll all default or they’ll all print money but the outcome won’t be pretty, that I assure you.” Greece’s bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund requires austerity measures that will curb economic growth and doesn’t address the stressed finances of euro-zone countries including Italy, Spain and Portugal. Investors are growing more skittish about the outlook for earnings after China raised bank reserve ratios for the third time this year and Australia announced a 40 percent tax on the profits of resource companies. The MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index declined to 423.97, near last month’s low of 423.47, and a measure of raw- materials producers dropped 1.9 percent. Benchmark stock gauges fell across regional markets that were open for trading, led by a 1.2 percent slide in Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index . Markets are closed today in Japan, China, Thailand and the Philippines. Higher Taxes BHP , the world’s biggest mining company, slumped 2.5 percent to A$39.72 and Rio Tinto Ltd. , the third-largest, tumbled 3.3 percent to A$69.69. Australia’s new tax will start from 2012 and raise A$12 billion ($11.1 billion) in its first two years. BHP estimates the tax rate on its Australian earnings will increase to 57 percent in 2013 from 43 percent now. “The mining tax is disappointing because the goal posts are being moved out by a greedy government, which is never good for future investment,” said Prasad Patkar , who helps oversee about $1.9 billion at Platypus Asset Management in Sydney. Lending Restrictions Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the world’s largest lender by market value, sank 1.6 percent to HK$5.68 and China Construction Bank Corp. fell 1.4 percent to HK$6.33. The reserve requirement for the nation’s biggest banks will increase by 50 basis points to 17 percent effective May 10, the People’s Bank of China said yesterday. Asia’s emerging-market currencies weakened and copper declined on concern monetary tightening will damp spending in the world’s third-largest economy. China, including Hong Kong, is the No. 1 export destination for Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia and the world’s largest copper user. The won slid 0.7 percent to 1,116.40 per dollar and copper for July delivery dropped as much as 1.5 percent to $3.3050 per pound. The euro fell versus 14 of its 16 major counterparts before European leaders meet on May 7 to discuss the timeline of parliamentary approval for loans to Greece and as Germany plans to debate the plan on the same day. Greece’s three-year financial lifeline requires the nation to cut its budget deficit below the European Union’s limit of 3 percent of gross domestic product by the end of 2014, a year later than originally planned. The shortfall was 13.6 percent last year, the region’s second-biggest, after Ireland. “It’s not necessarily good news for the euro in that it’s transferring risk from the periphery to the core,” said Greg Gibbs , a currency strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, in Sydney. “If the euro can’t gain upward momentum in the early days of this week, it’s really doomed.” To contact the reporter for this story: James Regan in Hong Kong Jregan19@bloomberg.net ;

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Glencore Said to Consider Xstrata Merger to Create Mining Rival to BHP

May 2, 2010

By Brett Foley and Jacqueline Simmons May 2 (Bloomberg) — Glencore International AG, the world’s largest commodity trader, is studying a merger with Xstrata Plc, to create a mining company with operations on six continents, according to two people familiar with the matter. Glencore, which already owns 34 percent of Xstrata, is also considering an initial public offering, said the people who declined to be identified because the talks are confidential and no decision has been reached. No agreement is imminent, the people said. Marc Ocskay , a spokesman for Glencore, and Xstrata spokeswoman Claire Divver both declined to comment. For Zug, Switzerland-based Xstrata , a company with a market value of 31.9 billion pounds ($49 billion), a transaction would create a mining and trading group rivaling BHP Billiton Ltd. with operations from Peru to Kazakhstan. A deal would allow Glencore access to capital to fund its activities and ease liquidity constraints, while providing some of the group’s partners with the ability to exit their stakes in the company. Glencore, a closely held partnership which trades metals and oil and controls mines and smelters, in December sold as much as $2.2 billion of bonds to investors including BlackRock Inc. and Government of Singapore Investment Corp. The bonds are convertible upon an IPO or “other pre-determined qualifying events” and the trader is facing pressure on how it will deliver equity to investors, one of the people said. The terms of the bonds give Glencore a pre-conversion equity value of $35 billion. Reverse Takeover? Advisers are working on a two-stage proposal in which Glencore would merge with Xstrata in a “reverse takeover” and then reduce its stake in the enlarged group to below 40 percent, the Sunday Telegraph said earlier today, without saying where it got the information. Xstrata management would retain control of the combined company, the newspaper said. Xstrata, led by Chief Executive Officer Mick Davis, is the largest producer of coal burned by power stations and fourth- largest producer of copper and nickel. Davis has expanded the group through more than $35 billion of acquisitions since it sold shares in an initial public offering in London in 2002. Glencore, led by Chief Executive Officer Ivan Glasenberg , battled liquidity concerns in the second half of 2008 as commodity prices slid amid the global financial crisis. Glencore’s credit rating was cut by Standard & Poor’s to BBB-, the lowest investment grade, in December that year. Senior staff agreed to defer their first termination payment in the event of their departure until at least 2012, Glencore told bondholders in March 2009, in an attempt to strengthen its finances. Melbourne-based BHP, the world’s largest mining company, has a market value of A$210.7 billion ($194 billion) and it had sales in the year to June 30, 2009 of $50.2 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Glencore’s sales in 2009 were $106.4 billion, the company said March 10. Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. are working with Glencore, while Xstrata is advised by Deutsche Bank AG and JPMorgan Cazenove Ltd. As well as trading commodities, Glencore owns 8.7 percent of Moscow-based United Co. Rusal, the world’s largest aluminum producer, controls zinc mines in Peru and Kazakhstan, coal mines in South Africa, and smelts copper in the Philippines. To contact the reporters on this story: Brett Foley in London at bfoley8@bloomberg.net ; Jacqueline Simmons in Paris at jackiem@bloomberg.net

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Icelandic Volcano Eruption Falls Short of Weather-Changing Pinatubo Blast

April 19, 2010

By Stuart Biggs and Jeremy van Loon April 19 (Bloomberg) — The volcanic ash spewing from Iceland that’s disrupting air travel across Europe is hundreds of times less than erupted from Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines, which altered the world’s climate in 1991. The impact of Iceland’s Eyjafjallajökull volcano is likely to be “virtually non-existent” on global climate because the eruption is too small and gases are not penetrating the upper atmosphere, said Blair Trewin , a senior climatologist with the Australia’s National Climate Centre in Melbourne. “In its current form, we wouldn’t expect the eruption to have any significant global climate effects,” Trewin said today in a telephone interview. “In terms of how much material was being put up into the atmosphere, Pinatubo was several hundred times larger than this has been so far.” Major volcanic eruptions can lower the earth’s temperature for as long as three years by throwing sulfuric gases into the atmosphere that absorb the sun’s radiation, according to NASA . Mount Pinatubo disgorged about 20 million tons of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, causing global temperatures to drop by about 1 degree Fahrenheit (0.6 degrees Celsius) until 1993, according to the U.S. Geological Survey . The ice-covered Icelandic volcano erupted for the second time in four weeks on April 14, spewing ash across Europe’s airspace and causing cancellation of as many as 63,000 flights. The Pinatubo eruption, which killed as many as 800 people and left 100,000 homeless, had a greater impact on the environment because it lies close to the equator, Trewin said. Air flows in the upper atmosphere from the equator to the poles, meaning Pinatubo’s gases spread over the whole globe, he said. That wouldn’t be the case with Iceland because of its northern latitude, he said. ‘Much Smaller’ Iceland’s volcanic eruption is “much smaller” than Pinatubo, Michael Zemp, a glaciologist with the World Glacier Monitoring Service at the University of Zurich, said today in a telephone interview. Information from collegues in Iceland indicates “it’s a short-term thing” that is unlikely to have as profound effect as Pinatubo. Eyjafjallajökull is throwing gas, dust and other debris about 12,000 feet (3,650 meters) to 15,000 feet into the air, below the 30,000-feet threshold where ash could reduce temperatures, Elwynn Taylor, an agricultural meteorologist at Iowa State University in Ames, said in an interview last week. “Volcanic material will only have a longer term impact on the climate of it gets into the upper atmosphere above rain clouds, otherwise it just gets rained out in a few days,” Trewin said today. Around the world, 18 volcanoes are currently active including three in Russia’s Kamchatka peninsula, one in Hawaii and one in Alaska, according to the Smithsonian Institution’s Global Volcanism Program . This year, 39 volcanoes have erupted, including Yasur on the island of Vanuatu, the institute’s Web site said. To contact the reporters on this story: Stuart Biggs in Tokyo at sbiggs3@bloomberg.net Jeremy van Loon in Berlin at jvanloon@bloomberg.net

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Icelandic Volcano Eruption Falls Short of Weather-Changing Pinatubo Blast

April 19, 2010

By Stuart Biggs and Jeremy van Loon April 19 (Bloomberg) — The volcanic ash spewing from Iceland that’s disrupting air travel across Europe is hundreds of times less than erupted from Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines, which altered the world’s climate in 1991. The impact of Iceland’s Eyjafjallajökull volcano is likely to be “virtually non-existent” on global climate because the eruption is too small and gases are not penetrating the upper atmosphere, said Blair Trewin , a senior climatologist with the Australia’s National Climate Centre in Melbourne. “In its current form, we wouldn’t expect the eruption to have any significant global climate effects,” Trewin said today in a telephone interview. “In terms of how much material was being put up into the atmosphere, Pinatubo was several hundred times larger than this has been so far.” Major volcanic eruptions can lower the earth’s temperature for as long as three years by throwing sulfuric gases into the atmosphere that absorb the sun’s radiation, according to NASA . Mount Pinatubo disgorged about 20 million tons of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, causing global temperatures to drop by about 1 degree Fahrenheit (0.6 degrees Celsius) until 1993, according to the U.S. Geological Survey . The ice-covered Icelandic volcano erupted for the second time in four weeks on April 14, spewing ash across Europe’s airspace and causing cancellation of as many as 63,000 flights. The Pinatubo eruption, which killed as many as 800 people and left 100,000 homeless, had a greater impact on the environment because it lies close to the equator, Trewin said. Air flows in the upper atmosphere from the equator to the poles, meaning Pinatubo’s gases spread over the whole globe, he said. That wouldn’t be the case with Iceland because of its northern latitude, he said. ‘Much Smaller’ Iceland’s volcanic eruption is “much smaller” than Pinatubo, Michael Zemp, a glaciologist with the World Glacier Monitoring Service at the University of Zurich, said today in a telephone interview. Information from collegues in Iceland indicates “it’s a short-term thing” that is unlikely to have as profound effect as Pinatubo. Eyjafjallajökull is throwing gas, dust and other debris about 12,000 feet (3,650 meters) to 15,000 feet into the air, below the 30,000-feet threshold where ash could reduce temperatures, Elwynn Taylor, an agricultural meteorologist at Iowa State University in Ames, said in an interview last week. “Volcanic material will only have a longer term impact on the climate of it gets into the upper atmosphere above rain clouds, otherwise it just gets rained out in a few days,” Trewin said today. Around the world, 18 volcanoes are currently active including three in Russia’s Kamchatka peninsula, one in Hawaii and one in Alaska, according to the Smithsonian Institution’s Global Volcanism Program . This year, 39 volcanoes have erupted, including Yasur on the island of Vanuatu, the institute’s Web site said. To contact the reporters on this story: Stuart Biggs in Tokyo at sbiggs3@bloomberg.net Jeremy van Loon in Berlin at jvanloon@bloomberg.net

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National Australia’s $12.2 Billion Axa Asia Bid Is Blocked; AMP Is Cleared

April 19, 2010

By Angus Whitley April 19 (Bloomberg) — National Australia Bank Ltd.’s A$13.3 billion ($12.2 billion) bid for asset manager Axa Asia Pacific Holdings Ltd. was blocked by regulators, prompting rival suitor AMP Ltd. to signal a fresh offer. The Australian Competition & Consumer Commission opposed the bid from the nation’s biggest business lender and cleared AMP’s offer, the watchdog said in a statement. AMP, Australia’s second-largest asset manager, said it “continues to believe it can put forward a proposal that is financially disciplined and will create value for its shareholders.” While the verdict scuttled National Australia Bank Chief Executive Officer Cameron Clyne ’s plan to create the country’s biggest pension fund manager, shareholders may benefit: The lender’s stock has underperformed those of rivals since the deal was announced in December. “It didn’t look particularly accretive and NAB has underperformed on the back of it,” said Brian Johnson , an analyst at CLSA Asia Pacific Markets in Sydney with an “underperform” rating on the stock. “The equity market will treat it with some relief.” National Australia Bank shares have added 0.5 percent since the offer was announced, compared with double-digit gains for the other five members of the S&P/ASX 200 Banks Index . National Australia Bank lost 1 percent today in Sydney trading, AMP slipped 0.9 percent and Axa Asia fell 0.5 percent. The regulator’s statement came after the market closed. Risk Rises The cost to buy protection against an AMP default climbed 3 basis points to 74 basis points after the ACCC’s decision was released, according to credit-default swap prices from Nomura Holdings Inc. That’s the biggest jump in almost a month, closing prices from CMA DataVision in New York show. Credit-default swaps on National Australia were little changed, according to Nomura. Credit-default swap prices rise when perceptions of credit quality deteriorate, and vice versa. National Australia Bank said it will review the ACCC decision in detail before making any further comment. Axa Asia Pacific said it is evaluating the decision, and noted that National Australia Bank can enter into further discussions with the ACCC about the proposal. “Under the terms of the executed transaction agreements, if NAB is not able to reach a satisfactory conclusion with the ACCC within six weeks, each of AXA APH, AXA SA or NAB can terminate the agreements between them in relation to the Proposal,” Axa Asia Pacific said in a statement. Delay for Axa For French insurer Axa SA , which owns 54 percent of Axa Asia Pacific, the regulator’s decision may delay its plans to take full control of its units in a region where wealth is growing at the world’s quickest rate. Both National Australia Bank and AMP planned to keep the Australian and New Zealand units of Axa Asia Pacific and sell the eight remaining Asian businesses to Axa SA. Emmanuel Touzeau , a Paris-based spokesman at Axa, didn’t immediately return calls and an e-mail seeking comment. The regulator said it “found that a merger between NAB and Axa would result in a substantial lessening of competition in the market for retail investment platforms for investors with complex investment needs,” the regulator said in its statement. A merger with AMP wouldn’t have the same effect, it said. “We have always believed that a combined AMP-AXA AP group would provide an even stronger, non-bank competitor in financial services that Australian consumers deserve,” AMP CEO Craig Dunn said in the statement. Axa Asia Pacific handles Axa’s life-insurance and wealth- management businesses in the region. It has units in Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, India, Malaysia, Australia and New Zealand. The company employs more than 2,300 people in Australia and New Zealand, and about 1,900 in Asia. To contact the reporter on this story: Angus Whitley in Sydney at awhitley1@bloomberg.net

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Prudential Has `Overwhelming’ Support for AIA Deal, Asia CEO Stowe Says

April 18, 2010

By Bei Hu and Kevin Crowley April 19 (Bloomberg) — Prudential Plc has “overwhelming” investor support for a $20 billion rights offering to finance the acquisition of American International Group Inc. ’s Asian life unit, the largest purchase in its 162-year history. “The investor feedback has been extremely positive,” said Barry Stowe , Hong Kong-based chief executive of Prudential Corporation Asia in an interview. “There’s a prospectus to be issued and a lot of conversations to be had. But I can tell you the support from shareholders has been overwhelming.” Prudential Chief Executive Officer Tidjane Thiam needs 75 percent of investors to support the rights offer to fund the $35.5 billion purchase of AIA Group Ltd. and will this month publish a prospectus which will include AIA’s accounts for the last three years. The insurer, currently traded in London, is planning a dual primary listing in Hong Kong giving Asian investors greater access to Prudential’s stock. Capital Research & Management Co., Prudential’s biggest investor, increased its holding in the insurer to 12.4 percent from 11.8 percent earlier this month, according to a regulatory filing. Legal & General Group Plc, the firm’s third-largest shareholder, last month reduced its stake to almost 4 percent from 4.5 percent. “We’re backing the rights issue as we want to stay in Prudential,” said Colin Mclean , who manages 650 million pounds ($1.01 billion) at SVM Asset Management in Edinburgh including Prudential shares. “A lot of investors think this deal is going to happen anyway, especially if Pru can get sovereign wealth funds in Asia to support it.” Mclean said he “remains skeptical” of the deal. “It’s an inexperience management team. They’re all new to their roles and paying a very high price.” 1+1=3 Among those showing support for the plan are Prudential’s largest shareholders as well as existing and potential investors in Asia, Stowe, 52, said an interview in Hong Kong on April 16. A wide variety of Asian investors, including sovereign wealth funds, have shown interest in buying into the company, whose Hong Kong stock exchange listing is expected before the rights issue, he added, declining to give more details. Spokesmen for Capital Research, BlackRock Inc., Legal & General and Norges Bank, Prudential’s biggest four investors, declined to comment. Investors have accepted the strategic rationale of the acquisition that would combine Prudential’s faster growing Asia business with AIA’s longer history and larger size, Stowe said. “Very rarely has been an opportunity in the marketplace to create a transaction where one plus one equals three.” Forty percent of global life-insurance premium growth will be in Asia in the next five years, consulting firm McKinsey & Co. estimated in a study. AIA Network AIA has 320,000 agents and about 23,500 employees in 15 Asian markets with 23 million customers, according to a March 1 statement. Prudential has life insurance and asset management operations in 13 Asian markets, where 410,000 agents and distribution partners serve more than 15 million customers, said a corporate brochure. The acquisition would raise Asia’s contribution to Prudential’s new business profit to 60 percent from 47 percent, Thiam told reporters on March 1. It would make Prudential a leader in Asian markets including Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. The combined business would continue to seek Asia growth faster than the market average, Stowe said, without giving a number. Prudential’s profit from new business in Asia expanded 12 percent last year to 713 million pounds. AIA’s profit from new business slumped 41 percent to $570 million in 2009. Regulators “People that look at AIA in the context of their 2009 results probably get a misleading view of the organization,” Stowe said. “While all of us had to deal with the impact of the financial crisis, you have to remember AIG, and therefore AIA, was at the center of the financial crisis. They were uniquely impacted by it.” AIG agreed to sell the Asian life insurance unit with 20 million customers as part of asset sales to help it repay a $182.3 billion U.S. government bailout. The sale of AIA is the biggest AIG divestiture since the bailout in 2008. The U.K. insurer won’t make a decision on whether to sell part of its China operations until discussions with the China Insurance Regulatory Commission and Prudential’s Chinese partner Citic Group have ended, said Stowe. “There’s no market that’s more strategically important for the future than China,” Stowe said. “We’ve discussed with the regulator a number of different mechanisms that you could use in order to combine the operating businesses.” Foreign Insurers China’s regulator doesn’t allow foreign insurers to hold two life licenses in the country at the same time. AIG, founded in Shanghai in 1919, is the only foreign insurer allowed to run 100 percent owned life insurance operations in China. Other foreign players, including Prudential, are restricted to owning no more than half of their local life ventures with Chinese partners. Foreign-invested insurers accounted for a combined 5 percent of China’s total life insurance premiums last year, according to CIRC data . AIA’s local business, the largest foreign player, had a less than 1 percent market share, twice that of Citic Prudential Life Insurance Co . Regulators in Hong Kong, Taiwan, China and Singapore may also restrict AIG’s subsidiaries from paying dividends, the New York-based insurer said in its annual report in February. Thiam and Stowe went on a three-day whirlwind tour of Asia immediately following the deal’s announcement on March 1 to persuade regulators to back the acquisition before meeting investors, Stowe said. “The reaction from all the regulators has been extremely positive, extremely supportive,” Stowe said, adding the discussions were making progress with regulators taking pragmatic views. Prudential appointed Rob Devey to manage the integration of AIA on April 14. To contact the reporter on this story: Bei Hu in Hong Kong at bhu5@bloomberg.net ; Kevin Crowley in London at kcrowley1@bloomberg.net

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Steven Hill: Happy Tax Day: Are Americans getting our money’s worth?

April 15, 2010

Most Americans seem to regard April 15 — the day income tax returns are due to the Internal Revenue Service — as a recurring tragedy on the order of a Biblical plague. Particularly this year, with US government deficits soaring, everyone from the Teabaggers to Glenn Beck and Senate Republicans are reviving a scary Friday the 13th scenario from the 1990s about a return to Big Government. Recently Rudy Giuliani even stated that President Obama was moving us towards — gasp — European socialism. Europe frequently plays the punching bag role during these moments because there is a perception that the poor Europeans are overtaxed serfs. But a closer look reveals that this is a myth that prevents Americans from understanding the vast shortcomings of our own system. A few years ago, an American acquaintance of mine who lives in Sweden told me that, quite by chance, he and his Swedish wife were in New York City and ended up sharing a limousine to the theater district with a southern U.S. Senator and his wife. This senator, a conservative, anti-tax Democrat, asked my acquaintance about Sweden and swaggeringly commented about “all those taxes the Swedes pay.” To which this American replied, “The problem with Americans and their taxes is that we get nothing for them.” He then went on to tell the senator about the comprehensive level of services and benefits that Swedes receive. “If Americans knew what Swedes receive for their taxes, we would probably riot,” he told the senator. The rest of the ride to the theater district was unsurprisingly quiet. The fact is, in return for their taxes, Europeans are receiving a generous support system for families and individuals for which Americans must pay exorbitantly, out-of-pocket, if we are to receive it at all. That includes quality health care for every single person, the average cost of which is about half of what Americans pay, even as various studies show that Europeans achieve better health results. But that’s not all. In return for their taxes, Europeans also are receiving affordable child care, a decent retirement pension, free or inexpensive university education, job retraining, paid sick leave, paid parental leave, ample vacations, affordable housing, senior care, efficient mass transportation and more. In order to receive the same level of benefits as Europeans, most Americans fork out a ton of money in out-of-pocket payments, in addition to our taxes. For example, while 47 million Americans don’t have any health insurance at all, many who do are paying escalating premiums and deductibles. Indeed, Anthem Blue Cross announced that its premiums will increase by up to 40%. But Europeans receive health care in return for a modest amount deducted from their paychecks. Friends have told me they are saving nearly a hundred thousand dollars for their children’s college education, and most young Americans graduate with tens of thousands of dollars of debt. But European children attend for free or nearly so (depending on the country). Child care in the U.S. costs over $12,000 annually for a family with two children, but in Europe it cost about one-sixth that amount, and the quality is far superior. Millions of Americans are stuffing as much as possible into their IRAs and 401(k)s because Social Security provides only about half the retirement income needed. But the more generous European retirement system provides about 75-85 percent (depending on the country) of retirement income. Either way, you pay. Americans’ private spending on old-age care is nearly three times higher per capita than in Europe because Americans must self-finance a significant share of their own senior care. Sixty million American workers have no paid sick leave, millions more have no paid parental leave following a birth, and so must self-finance their own time off. But Europeans receive all this in exchange for their taxes. Income taxes in Europe are certainly high for some people, but the highest rates are paid only by those in the highest income brackets. Many middle class and low income Europeans don’t necessarily pay an income tax rate any higher than what many Americans pay. And Americans also tend to pay more in local and state taxes, as well as in property taxes. Americans also pay hidden taxes, such as $300 billion annually in federal tax breaks to businesses that provide health benefits to their employees. When you sum up the total balance sheet, it turns out that Americans pay out just as much as Europeans — but we receive a lot less for our money. Unfortunately these sorts of complexities are not calculated into simplistic analyses like Forbes’ annual Tax Misery Index, a “study” which shows European nations as the most tax miserable and the low-tax United States as happy as a clam — right down there on the list next to Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines. But Forbes only adds up income tax, social security, sales tax or VAT and a few other minor fees. A thorough analysis would need to create a ledger in which all the supports and services Europeans receive are listed on one side and the amount of taxes and any out-of-pocket expenses they pay are listed on the other; and then do a similar analysis for Americans, listing what Americans pay in taxes as well as out-of-pocket expenses for those same services. That kind of analysis is much more illuminating. In this economically competitive age, increasingly these kinds of supports and services are necessary to ensure healthy, happy and productive families and workers. Europeans have them but most Americans do not, unless you pay a ton out of pocket. Or unless you are a member of Congress, who of course provide European-level support for themselves and their families. That’s something to keep in mind on April 15. Happy Tax Day. Steven Hill is the author of the recently published Europe’s Promise: Why the European Way is the Best Hope in an Insecure Age and director of the Political Reform Program for the New America Foundation.

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Obama Nuclear Summit to Focus on Materials Smuggled for Weapons Production

April 9, 2010

By Roger Runningen and Viola Gienger April 9 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama is preparing to host a two-day summit of leaders from more than 40 nations with a goal of cracking down on the threat of nuclear material falling into the hands of terrorists. The gathering next week in Washington will focus on separated plutonium and highly enriched uranium that could be smuggled or sold on the black market to groups such as al-Qaeda, administration officials said today in a conference call with reporters. “Those are the two materials that could be used for nuclear explosives,” said Gary Samore , senior director for non- proliferation at the National Security Council . “If we’re able to lock those down and deny them to non-state actors, then we have essentially solved the risk of nuclear terrorism.” The summit follows Obama’s signing yesterday in Prague of a landmark treaty with Russia to reduce each nation’s nuclear arsenal by about one-third. The accord was signed days after the president announced a shift in U.S. policy to focus more on the threat from extremist groups and nations such as Iran and North Korea rather than confrontation with nuclear powers such as Russia. Al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups “are pursuing the material to build nuclear weapons, and we know that they have the intent to use one,” Ben Rhodes , deputy national security adviser, said on the call. He spoke from Air Force One as Obama returned from Prague. Four-Year Goal The summit will be an opportunity for nations “to commit to specific steps to pursue the goal of securing all vulnerable nuclear materials around the world within four years,” Obama said April 6. The president is highlighting an issue that few of the many heads of state he’s invited can disagree on, unlike next month’s planned United Nations conference on the 1970 Treaty on the Non- Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Samore and Rhodes said the summit won’t get into the nonproliferation treaty or other potentially divisive issues. It will focus strictly on securing raw materials and on the risk of nuclear terrorism, Samore said. “We believe that this in particular is an area where there is a very broad and deep international consensus,” Rhodes said. For Obama, the agenda also includes the currency dispute between the U.S. and China, with a planned bilateral meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao on April 12. In addition, Obama is seeking China’s help in halting Iran’s nuclear weapons development. Face-to-Face Obama planned face-to-face meetings with leaders of Germany, India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Jordan, Malaysia, Armenia, South Africa and Kazakhstan. Some parts of the schedule were still being prepared, Samore said. Nuclear terrorism is the most immediate and extreme threat to global security, Obama said in Prague in April 2009. Even so, not all countries believe it, said Gregory Schulte , who was the U.S. ambassador to the UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna from 2005 to 2009. “Many Middle Eastern countries don’t see the threat,” Schulte said April 6 in a lecture at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, naming such countries as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Yemen. They regard it as “an American obsession” and “the stuff of Hollywood movies.” The nations represented at the summit include Algeria, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, the Czech Republic, Egypt, Finland, France and Georgia. Also, Germany, India, Indonesia, Israel, Italy, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Pakistan, the Philippines, Poland, the Republic of Korea, Russia and Saudi Arabia. Other countries attending are Singapore, Switzerland, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Thailand, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, Ukraine and Vietnam. The UN, its nuclear watchdog agency and the European Union will also be represented. To contact the reporters on this story: Roger Runningen in Washington at rrunningen@bloomberg.net ; Viola Gienger in Washington at vgienger@bloomberg.net

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Thai `Perfect Storm’ May Drive Investors to Bonds From Stocks

April 9, 2010

By Katrina Nicholas April 9 (Bloomberg) — A “perfect storm” is gathering in Thailand, as once surging stocks threaten to drop, boosting record corporate bond sales that are withstanding the political turmoil, according to Standard Chartered Plc. There have been 48 company debt sales in Thailand this year, more than double the same period last year and the most since Bloomberg began compiling data in 1999. Borrowers including Thai developer Sansiri Pcl and restaurant chain owner Central Plaza Hotel Pcl are tapping the market for the first time in almost 12 months as real estate tax breaks spur new developments and consumer spending increases. “There’s a perfect storm brewing right now with a stock market that’s been rising and people just waiting for a correction,” said Ratch Sodsatit, head of Standard Chartered’s Thai capital markets unit in Bangkok. Investors seeking to avoid volatility will “shift their focus” to bonds, which offer higher returns than cash, he said. Thailand’s stock market fell the most in almost six months yesterday after the government declared a state of emergency in Bangkok on April 7 because of political protests by the United Front for Democracy Against Dictatorship. The SET Index slid 3.5 percent to close at 783.93, erasing gains that have made it Asia’s best-performing benchmark since round-the-clock political rallies began on March 12. Sodsatit said he expects the index to fall back to 650 from 800 levels. Economic Growth Thai property and consumer companies have more than doubled bond sales to $796 million this year, according to Bloomberg data, capitalizing on an economy that is growing faster than expected, even with the protests. The Finance Ministry raised its economic growth forecast for 2010 to as much as 5 percent on March 29 after the $261 billion economy contracted 2.3 percent in 2009. The government agreed to extend tax incentives on home purchases for two months on March 23, boosting the business plans of companies such as luxury condominium specialist Sansiri, which said it will start 26 residential projects this year, up from an initial 20. Bangkok-based Sansiri , the country’s second-biggest housing developer by revenue, doubled its bonds outstanding when it sold 1 billion baht ($30.9 million) of 3.5-year notes in February. Domestic investors, jaded by bank deposit rates as low as 0.5 percent, are the most active buyers of corporate debt in Thailand and aren’t fazed by the political situation, Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. debt syndicate director Winston Herrera said. Numb to Turmoil “This political turmoil has been ongoing for a while and people are numb to it,” Herrera said in a phone interview from Hong Kong. “Compared to some of the political situations which have occurred in Indonesia and the Philippines, this looks pretty tame.” Central Plaza Hotel Pcl, whose portfolio includes Bangkok’s Central Grand Plaza Hotel and local rights to restaurant chains Baskin-Robbins and Kentucky Fried Chicken, expects revenue to grow 15 percent this year as the economy recovers, Senior Vice President Ronnachit Mahattanapreut said last month. It tapped the debt capital markets for the first time since July in February, selling 1 billion baht of 3.5-year bonds whose yield over similar-maturity Thai government debt has narrowed 3 basis points from a high of 64 basis points. Best Performers Thai dollar bonds are Southeast Asia’s best performers this year, returning 8.35 percent compared with nearest rival Vietnam at 4.98 percent, according to HSBC Holdings Plc indexes. The extra spread over Treasuries investors demand to own Thai bonds has fallen to the lowest since November 2007, JPMorgan Chase & Co. data show. “The spread rally has been significant and today we’re seeing spreads the lowest they’ve been in some time,” Sodsatit said. “We’ll see a period of consolidation at these levels.” PTT Pcl , Thailand’s biggest energy company and one of the country’s most prolific bond issuers, sold 6.6 billion baht of bonds this year in two tranches of 2.6 billion baht and 4 billion baht, Bloomberg data show. The yield on both fell to their lowest ever yesterday as the notes’ price rose to 100.494 cents on the dollar and 100.337 cents on the dollar respectively. To contact the reporter on this story: Katrina Nicholas in Singapore on knicholas2@bloomberg.net

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Vietnam Lures Intel, Samsung as Asean Group Woos Companies Away From China

April 7, 2010

By Daniel Ten Kate April 7 (Bloomberg) — Vietnam hosts Southeast Asian leaders this week as chair of their 10-nation bloc, shining a spotlight on the political and economic stability that prompted Intel Corp. and Toyota Motor Corp. to increase investments. The communist nation drew 13.5 percent of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations’ foreign direct investment pool in 2008, up from 4.4 percent two years earlier, according to the 10-member group. And its allure may be rising, judging from a December survey by the American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai. Vietnam is a preferred destination for businesses looking to relocate from China, Asia’s biggest investment recipient, the report said. “A lot of companies from a strategic standpoint are looking at how to set up a production facility within Asean,” said James Lockett, a Hanoi-based lawyer with Baker & McKenzie LLP and a board member of the American Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam. “In a lot of product areas, Vietnam looks very, very attractive for people who are doing that.” Vietnam’s economy expanded 5.2 percent last year, the most in Asean, which has signed free-trade accords with China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand. The deals give companies access to those countries and the Asean member states of Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. Asean is home to about 600 million people and its populations are among Asia’s youngest. Asean leaders meeting April 8-9 in Hanoi will issue a statement on climate change and define a “road map” to form an economic community modeled on the European Union by 2015. In March, Asean trade ministers said they would travel to the U.S. to promote the group as an economic hub. Obama Visit The region’s growing economic importance was underscored when President Barack Obama became the first U.S. leader to meet formally with the bloc in November. Santa Clara, California-based Intel, the world’s biggest chipmaker, is scheduled to open a $1 billion testing facility in Ho Chi Minh City this year that will employ about 4,000 people. Intel chose Vietnam because of its proximity to customers, reliable power and water supply and skilled workers, said Nick Jacobs , Intel’s regional spokesman. “Vietnam is a country which is very committed to education, and that gives us confidence we will continue to attract the talent we need for long-term success,” he said. Toyota produced 28,000 vehicles in Vietnam last year, up from 18,000 in 2007, spokesman Paul Nolasco said. The Toyota City, Japan-based company had 1,300 employees in Vietnam, more than double the number in 2005, he said. ‘Potential Growth’ “Toyota recognizes not only the potential growth of that market but the potential role the Vietnamese economy can make in broader Southeast Asia,” Nolasco said. Toyota produced more than 6 million vehicles globally in 2009. Suwon, South Korea-based Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s second-biggest maker of mobile phones, opened a $1 billion factory in Vietnam six months ago. Redmond, Washington- based Microsoft Corp. outsources digital animation and modeling for its computer games to Vietnam. While Vietnam’s one-party state and its jailing of more than a dozen democracy activists since October have drawn criticism from groups like Human Rights Watch, some regard it as a model of stability. They contrast it with Thailand, where demonstrators have shut airports and blocked streets in sometimes violent political protests. ‘Political Stability’ “There is a measure of political stability” in Vietnam, Rodolfo Severino , Asean’s former secretary-general, said by phone from Singapore. “If I were an investor I would bet my money on it.” The number of foreign companies in China with plans to relocate plants inland or outside the country because of rising costs doubled last year, according to a survey of 202 foreign manufacturers by the American chamber. The poll found 8 percent of respondents reported plans to relocate or expand outside of China compared with 28 percent considering moves to lower-cost areas in southwest or central China. In the short term, Vietnam’s inflation rate, among the world’s highest, caused the country to fall last year in the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Report . Consumer prices rose 9.46 percent in March, the biggest gain in a year. Fitch Ratings placed Vietnam’s debt rating on a negative watch last month. Vietnam “has been making positive structural changes to increase its investment attractiveness,” Prakriti Sofat, a Singapore-based economist for Barclays Capital, wrote in a report last month. Rising Yuan Banks such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. predict China will allow its currency to appreciate amid pressure from U.S. lawmakers, reducing its attractiveness to exporters. The yuan will rise to 6.66 per dollar by the end of September, New York- based Goldman said in an April 1 research note. While some CEOs in China have called for a stronger yuan, its rise would trim profit margins of exporters and push textile and furniture makers into bankruptcy, Zhang Wei , vice chairman of the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade based in Beijing, said March 18. Vietnam’s dong has fallen 7 percent against the dollar in the past year. To contact the reporters on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net

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Philippine Inflation Accelerates to 3-Month High as Oil, Food Prices Climb

April 5, 2010

By Karl Lester M. Yap and Max Estayo April 6 (Bloomberg) — Philippine inflation accelerated to a three-month high in March as oil and food costs rose, supporting the central bank’s decision to unwind stimulus measures. Consumer prices increased 4.4 percent from a year earlier, after a 4.2 percent gain in February, the National Statistics Office said in Manila today. That compares with the median forecast for a 4.5 percent increase in a Bloomberg News survey of 12 economists. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas pared back a lending program for banks last month and said it will consider doing more to reduce cash in the economy, even as it kept interest rates at a record low. The Philippines imports almost all its oil and the price of the commodity has risen more than 60 percent in the past 12 months. “Rising inflation affirms both the market’s and the view of the monetary authority that a meaningful policy tightening will probably happen in the second half,” Emilio Neri , an economist at Bank of the Philippine Islands in Manila, said before the report was released. The central bank left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4 percent for a sixth straight meeting on March 11, the lowest level since central bank data started in 1990. Policy makers will consider doing more to reduce cash in the economy, Governor Amando Tetangco said last month. The Philippines’ $167 billion economy expanded 1.8 percent in the final quarter of 2009 from a year earlier, accelerating from a decade-low 0.4 percent in the previous three months. Economic Planning Secretary Augusto Santos said March 22 the economy probably expanded 2 percent to 3 percent last quarter. Food, beverage and tobacco costs rose 3.1 percent last month from a year earlier. Fuel, electricity and water prices climbed 14.6 percent. To contact the reporters for this story: Karl Lester M. Yap in Manila at kyap5@bloomberg.net ; Max Estayo in Manila at mestayo@bloomberg.net

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Mike Bonifer: Goodbye, Consumer

April 5, 2010

This is an important distinction for brands to make: Say goodbye to consumers. Create customers instead. Here’s why: Consumption is so last century. Consumer-oriented brands’ only meaningful metric is how much merch they move, and consumers tie their status to how much of a scarce resource they consume. The model is unsustainable. It is a zero sum game. If we keep playing it, we are like arsonists watching our own homes burn. The creation and honoring of customs and customers, on the other hand, is an engine that can drive the sustainable economy. This is a generative process. It is designed to conserve and be productive in the world by making more efficient use of increasingly scarce resources. Consumers consume. Customers customize. That’s it in a nutshell. Here are some of the implications: Consumption is a hot dog eating contest . It is a drinking binge . It contributes to obesity, both mental and physical. Consumer-oriented brands represent an ever-larger drain on the planet’s resources. They introduce a lot of useless crap onto the world by manufacturing illusory needs. They associate levels of consumption with status. The biggest of this. The most of that. The shiniest. The latest and greatest. These brands buy the audience’s attention. Most significantly, they use numbers to define the relationship between the brand and the audience. I, Consumer, am a number of numbers. A demographic. A psychographic. I push one for this and two for that. This is my number of average waking hours per day. A percentage of those waking hours belongs to you, a brand. During the percentage that belongs to you, I consume a percentage of the yearly sales of your brand’s product in my geographic region, Region SL405. You spend a number to hold my attention. If that number stays below a certain acquisition price relative to the yearly value of the percentage of my day that I devote to you, you will keep spending it. If it gets too high, you will let my attention drift elsewhere. A computer program will tell you what to and then cover your tracks so that you’ll be blameless. No one will be able to lay a wiener on you. Customer-focused brands serve a purpose that cannot be defined as numbers (even as numerical values for what they contribute and receive as a result of their participation, must be assigned and evaluated continuously). They see more value in earning attention than in paying for it. They create customs , and participate in customs that already exist . Brands with customers understand that consumption of their products or services represents part of, but not the entirety of, their value proposition. A widely accepted custom, picnicking, for example, has unlimited numbers of narrative elements, only one of which is a ritual glorification of gluttony broadcast on ESPN. There’s a restaurant called Wurskuche in Los Angeles that serves a wiener made of rattlesnake. You only have to eat one of these to be some kind of hero to your tribe. Customer-focused brands have many more options for marketing and communicating their value proposition than Consumer-focused ones do. I, Customer, am an individual. One of a kind. All my friends are one of a kind. I got my thing, you know, just like you got yours, just like everybody’s got their own. I am basically awake 24 hours a day, because I got plates in the air, you know. My homies in Bulgaria are coding some tracks we’re going to run off a honeypot server for which we are getting paid by a new label in Atlanta call Tso-Tso that does B-Boy tracks for mall shows and competitions all over the Southern U.S., Australia and the Philippines. Shit is off the hook. We get a dollar per download, and already this month we’ve made five thousand dollars. First thing in the morning, I am catching a plane to Fort Myers to work with some friends down there who have a band and play clubs at night, and weatherize houses during the day for twenty bucks an hour. I’m producing their next three tracks and they are paying me by getting me a job weatherizing houses for the summer. One weekend we’re going to take out one guy’s girlfriend’s family’s boat and party and shoot video for one of the tracks. Any brand that’s down for this scene is welcome to roll with me. In a sustainable economy, how we roll is going to be much more important than how much we roll. It used to be about the size your boat. Now it’s about boating like only you (and your friends with the band in Fort Myers) know how.

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Asian Stocks Rise as U.S. Data Fuel Growth Optimism; Dai-Ichi Life Gains

April 2, 2010

By Kana Nishizawa and Shani Raja April 3 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks rose this week, driving the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to its highest level 11 weeks as economic reports spurred confidence in the global recovery, boosting commodity prices. Datong Coal Industry Co., China’s third-largest coal producer, jumped 14 percent in Shanghai as an index of the country’s manufacturing industry rose in March. Lihir Gold Ltd. soared 31 percent in Sydney after rejecting a bid from Australia’s largest gold producer. Dai-ichi Life Insurance Co., which completed the world’s largest initial public offering in two years, rose 1.6 percent on its first full day of trading in Tokyo. Hyundai Motor Co. jumped 10 percent in Seoul, as South Korean government’s exports report beat economist estimates. “Growth is starting to look more and more entrenched,” said Nader Naeimi , an investment strategist in Sydney at AMP Capital Investors, which oversees about $90 billion globally. “Investors are now looking for the recovery to turn into an outright expansion.” The MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 1.7 percent this week as economic reports from the U.S. and Asia showed signs of global recovery, and as and commodity prices rose. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 2.6 percent this week to its highest close since October 2008, as the yen continued to weaken from the previous week, boosting the earnings outlook for companies dependent on overseas demand. Hang Seng Gains Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 2.3 percent this week, and China’s Shanghai Composite Index advanced 3.2 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index climbed 0.2 percent, while South Korea’s Kospi index rose 1.5 percent. Markets in Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, Singapore, India, the Philippines and Indonesia were closed on April 2 for holidays. China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 55.1 from 52 in February, according to Li & Fung Group, a Hong Kong-based company that releases data for the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing. The figure was in line with the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 13 economists. Readings above 50 indicate expansion. In the U.S., Commerce Department in Washington said consumer spending climbed 0.3 percent in February, following a 0.4 percent advance in January. A separate report showed fewer Americans filed claims for jobless benefits last week, bringing the average over the past month to the lowest level since 2008, according to data from the Labor Department. “The economy is in a good shape and growth is still gaining momentum,” said Dai Ming , a fund manager at Shanghai Kingsun Investment Management & Consulting Co. “We are definitely in a growth cycle.” Crude oil Datong Coal Industry jumped 14 percent to 39.32 yuan this week in Shanghai. Jiangxi Copper Co., China’s biggest producer of the metal, climbed 7.5 percent to 17.80 yuan. China Construction Bank Corp. gained 2 to 5.69 yuan after reporting higher profits. Crude oil for May delivery advanced 6.1 percent this week in New York on signs that global economic growth is accelerating. The London Metals Index, a measure of six metals including copper and zinc, gained 5.4 percent for the week. “If recovery is self-sustaining then the commodities will stay well bid,” said Prasad Patkar , who helps oversee about $1.8 billion at Platypus Asset Management in Sydney. “ Base metals are holding strong, even the weaker of base metals like nickel and zinc are doing extremely well. There is an undercurrent of strength there.” Lihir, the second-largest gold mining company on the Australian stock exchange, surged 31 percent this week to A$4.04. The company said an A$9.2 billion ($8.4 billion) cash and stock takeover from Newcrest Mining Ltd. was inadequate. Newcrest rose 2.6 percent to A$33.78. Dai-ichi Life Mitsubishi Corp. , Japan’s largest commodities trader, rose 4.9 percent to 2,477 yen this week in Tokyo. Kobe Steel Ltd. jumped 5.7 percent to 205 yen in Tokyo after narrowing its full- year loss forecast. Dai-ichi Life, Japan’s second-largest life insurer, rose 1.6 percent to 162,500 the day after its initial price was set on April 1. Toshiba Corp., which gets 17 percent of its sales from North America, rose 3.5 percent to 504 yen. South Korea’s government said on April 1 that overseas shipments advanced 35.1 percent in March from a year earlier, more than the 31.7 percent economists in a Bloomberg News survey estimated. Hyundai Motor, which gets 13 percent of its sales from North America, jumped 10 percent to 128,000 won in Seoul this week as its overseas sales increased. Samsung Electronics Co. , which generates more than 80 percent of its revenue outside South Korea, rose 4.5 percent to 857,000 won. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 3.9 percent last quarter, compared with 2.7 percent for the MSCI World Index, as economic data improved. The Asian gauge’s increase was its fourth-straight quarterly advance, lifting the average price of companies to 1.66 times corporate net worth, the highest level since September. To contact the reporters for this story: Kana Nishizawa in Tokyo at knishizawa5@bloomberg.net ; Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net .

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Asian Stocks, Currencies Advance on Japan, U.S. Growth; Bond Risk Declines

April 1, 2010

By Masaki Kondo and Sandy Hendry April 2 (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks climbed to an 11-week high, emerging-market currencies rallied and bond risk fell on optimism economic growth will recover in Japan and the U.S., the world’s two largest economies. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 0.4 percent to 126.70 as of 11:54 a.m. in Tokyo, headed for its highest close since Jan. 15. Hyundai Motor Co. , South Korea’s largest automaker, climbed 4.6 percent to a record after sales gained in the U.S. and China. The Malaysian ringgit and the Taiwan dollar both strengthened 0.2 percent and rubber prices increased. Evidence of an export-led recovery may prompt the Bank of Japan to raise its assessment of the world’s second-largest economy next week, three people familiar with the matter said. A report later today will show the U.S. added the most jobs in three years, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. “The global macroeconomic recovery is behind the current uptrend in equities,” said Tomomi Yamashita , a Tokyo-based fund manager at Shinkin Asset Management Co., which oversees the equivalent of $3.8 billion. “That trend is unlikely to change though the market is getting overheated.” Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 0.4 percent, taking its climb this week to 2.7 percent. South Korea’s Kospi index gained 0.3 percent, heading for its highest close in 21 months. Markets in Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, Singapore, India, the Philippines and Indonesia are closed today for holidays. Futures on the S&P 500 index declined 0.2 percent. Car Sales Toyota Motor Corp. advanced 1.2 percent to 3,765 yen and was the leading mover on the MSCI Asia Pacific Index, after reporting a 41 percent increase in U.S. sales in March. Japanese and South Korean automakers boosted combined sales 29 percent to 522,775, according to Autodata Corp. Their market share rose to 49 percent from 47.1 percent a year earlier, the Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey-based research firm said. Malaysia’s FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index increased 0.3 percent, advancing for a ninth day. EON Capital Bhd. , a Malaysian banking group, rose 1.6 percent to the highest in more than two years after Hong Leong Bank Bhd. said it raised its takeover offer. The ringgit strengthened to 3.2485 per dollar, reaching the highest level in 20 months, before a government report that may show exports rose 25 percent in February from a year earlier, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey. South Korea’s won rose 0.1 percent to 1,124.8 after a government report yesterday showed exports rose 35.1 percent in March. The Taiwan dollar climbed to NT$31.73. “With good data in the U.S., investors’ appetite for riskier assets may increase,” said Akira Banno , a treasury adviser at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Bhd. in Kuala Lumpur. Default Risk The Markit iTraxx Japan Series 13 index decreased 8.5 basis points to 98.5 basis points, according to Morgan Stanley. Credit-default swap indexes are benchmarks for protecting bonds against default and traders use them to speculate on credit quality. The decline drop suggests improving perceptions of creditworthiness. The dollar traded near a seven-month high against the yen. The U.S. currency was at 93.78 yen from 93.82 yen in New York yesterday, when it touched 94.04 yen, the highest since Aug. 28. It traded at $1.3572 per euro from $1.3589. Government data yesterday showed the average number of jobless claims in the past month fell to the lowest level since 2008. Today’s Labor Department payrolls report will show employers added 184,000 jobs in March, the most in three years, according to the median estimate in a survey of economists. Japan’s bonds declined, paring a weekly gain. The Bank of Japan’s board may stop saying the expansion will “remain moderate” in coming months at the April 6-7 meeting because demand from emerging markets is spurring exports, according to one of the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity. The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond rose one basis point to 1.365 percent. Rubber climbed as much as 1.6 percent to a 19-month high of 318.3 yen a kilogram ($3,394 a metric ton) after car sales growth in the U.S. and Japan prompted speculation tire demand will increase. To contact the reporters for this story: Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net .

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SCE Asia starts its Playstation(R) business in Philippines

March 29, 2010

SCE Asia starts its Playstation(R) business in Philippines

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Otto Energy Limited (ASX:OEL) Commences A 2D Seismic Program In SC 69, Philippines

March 24, 2010

Otto Energy Limited (ASX:OEL) Commences A 2D Seismic Program In SC 69, Philippines

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Philippines May Keep Key Rate at Record-Low in First Half to Spur Recovery

March 22, 2010

By Clarissa Batino and Karl Lester M. Yap March 23 (Bloomberg) — The Philippine central bank is unlikely to raise its main interest rate in the first half of 2010 to avoid endangering an economic rebound that’s just starting, Governor Amando Tetangco said. “We don’t want to stymie the recovery,” Tetangco, 57, said in an interview in his office in Manila yesterday. “I don’t see large, chunky movements in interest rates this year. Inflation remains manageable and within target.” Tetangco’s approach contrasts with central banks in India and Malaysia that have raised borrowing costs this year as economic expansion quickens and inflation returns. Philippine growth of 1.8 percent last quarter was less than Malaysia’s 4.5 percent, while India’s gross domestic product may rise 7.2 percent in the year to March 31, according to the government. The central bank “remains cautious on growth and would want momentum to build further,” said Prakriti Sofat , a Singapore-based economist for Barclays Capital. Any increase in the benchmark interest rate may happen only in the third quarter, she said. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas pared back a lending program for banks this month, while keeping the benchmark interest rate at a record-low 4 percent. The central bank on March 11 cut its 2010 inflation forecast to an average of 4.64 percent from 4.7 percent while raising next year’s projection to 3.45 percent from 3.27 percent. Consumer-price gains in the Philippines eased for a second month in February to 4.2 percent. Inflation Forecast Bangko Sentral expects inflation to average 4.43 percent this year, lower than its March 11 estimate, Tetangco said yesterday. Consumer price increases will probably peak at 5.13 percent in June, he said. “A rate increase in the first semester is unlikely, except if the risks suddenly increase due to unforeseen events,” Tetangco said. “We don’t see any strong evidence that interest rates should be raised anytime soon.” He considers the El Nino dry weather pattern, higher energy prices and a delayed exit of stimulus measures by advanced economies as factors that may pose “upside risks” to inflation . “The risk is really food prices because of the El Nino,” Ramon Lim , treasurer at Philippine National Bank in Manila, said before the interview. “There is no imminent threat to inflation,” and a strengthening peso will lessen the pressure on prices, he said. Withdrawing Stimulus The peso on March 19 touched 45.522 per dollar, its strongest level since January 12, according to inter-dealer broker Tullett Prebon Plc. The central bank this month reduced the budget for its rediscounting facility, which provides loans to banks, after raising the interest rate on the lending program in February. The rediscounting window allows lenders to borrow using loans as collateral. “We can afford to remain accommodative,” the governor said yesterday. The central bank will continue to unwind some of the liquidity measures implemented during the global crisis, and another cut in its rediscounting budget “is easier to do,” while higher interest rates for the facility is being studied, he said. The Reserve Bank of India last week increased the benchmark reverse repurchase rate to 3.5 percent from a record-low 3.25 percent, saying containing inflation has become “imperative.” Australia and Malaysia raised borrowing costs this month as inflation returns to Asia amid the global economic recovery. Eight of nine economists in a Bloomberg News survey this month predict Bangko Sentral will keep the benchmark rate at 4 percent in the second quarter. Reserve Requirement The central bank may not need to increase the amount of cash banks are required set aside as reserves “if the inflation outlook continues to be favorable,” Tetangco said. “Several years ago, we already planned to reduce the reserve requirement. We can continue to pursue that objective, to gradually reduce it.” The government forecasts the economy will expand 2.6 percent to 3.6 percent in 2010 after growing 0.9 percent last year. President Gloria Arroyo , whose term ends this June, has increased outlays on airports, bridges and state programs to a record 1.54 trillion pesos ($34 billion) this year to bolster growth. Ayala Land Inc ., the nation’s biggest property developer, said this month it expects to sell more than 9,000 homes this year, a record for the company, helped by low borrowing costs and money sent home by Filipinos working abroad. Bangko Sentral is sticking to its forecast of a 6 percent growth in overseas remittances “for now,” Tetangco said. “I wouldn’t be surprised if based on a review later on, there may be a need to adjust it upward,” he said. Money sent home by Filipinos overseas rose 8.5 percent in January. To contact the reporter on this story: Clarissa Batino in Manila at cbatino@bloomberg.net ; Karl Lester M. Yap in Manila at kyap5@bloomberg.net

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San Miguel Plans $1 Billion in Asset Sales to Finance Expansion, Ang Says

March 16, 2010

By Ian Sayson and Cecilia Yap March 17 (Bloomberg) — San Miguel Corp. plans to raise $1 billion selling stakes in its food, packaging and liquor businesses to fund the Philippines’ biggest food and drinks maker’s growth and acquisitions. The proceeds will be used to accelerate a $2 billion expansion into infrastructure, energy, telecommunications and mining, President Ramon Ang , 56, said in an interview at the company’s headquarters today. “We are interested in anything that will add value. This company will fly.” The asset sales would increase the amount Ang and Chairman Eduardo Cojuangco have raised since 2007 to $6 billion as they move into industries with triple the return of San Miguel’s traditional businesses. The Manila-based company , which has made San Miguel Beer for more than a century, has offers for its hotdog maker, packaging unit and gin distillery, Ang said. “It’s a good corporate strategy because food and beverages have reached a level where growth is wanting,” Marvin Fausto , chief investment officer at Banco de Oro Unibank Inc., which manages $9.60 billion, said in a phone interview from Manila. “The opportunities are out there, so management has to move fast and grab what they can.” San Miguel’s A shares, restricted to local investors, were unchanged at 74 pesos in Manila trading and have gained 8 percent this year, beating the 1 percent advance by the benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange Index. Its B shares , which foreigners can buy, have climbed 7.3 percent this year. Pure Foods, Ginebra The company has $2 billion that it can spend on expansion and acquisitions within a year, said Ang. San Miguel had 153 billion pesos ($3.35 billion) in cash as of September. San Miguel will announce “soon” the acquisition of gold, copper, nickel, iron and lead assets for its venture into mining, said Ang, who was named president in March 2002. “These are capital-intensive ventures,” said Rico Gomez , who helps manage $1 billion at Manila-based Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. “San Miguel isn’t moving too fast because it’s been preparing for this since it accepted the maturity of the domestic beer business a long, long time ago.” San Miguel , which controls 95 percent of the Philippine beer market, has received offers for 49 percent each of canned-meat and hotdog maker San Miguel Pure Foods Co. and its packaging business, Ang said. The company plans to sell its Ginebra San Miguel Inc. gin maker to its San Miguel Brewery Inc. unit, he said. The brewery is “not available” for sale, he said. Kirin Holdings Co. , which owns 48 percent of San Miguel Brewery , said this month it was interested in acquiring a majority if its parent was willing to sell. Ongpin, Zobel San Miguel is accelerating its expansion as Top Frontier Investment Holdings Inc., owned by the foodmaker itself and two of its directors, has won control of the voting rights to 86 percent of its shares. Top Frontier, whose shareholders include San Miguel directors Roberto Ongpin and Inigo Zobel , has started a 75-peso-a-share tender for the rest of the foodmaker. San Miguel said in January the consolidation of ownership will help management drive through the expansion plan. Top Frontier will sell down its stake within a year as part of an agreement reached with San Miguel to broaden the company’s ownership, Ang said. “San Miguel will not be controlled by a few shareholders,” he said. San Miguel , which has acquired 2,000 megawatts of generating capacity in the past year, plans to build 3,000 megawatts of capacity in three to five years and may also buy power distributors, Ang said. The company will also bid for state-owned power plants and has expressed interest in buying the government’s 10 percent stake in Malampaya, the nation’s offshore gas field, he said. Road and Rail Ang said the company’s planned infrastructure projects include a tollway and railway that will run from the north to south end of Luzon, the nation’s biggest island, a commuter train in Manila and expansion of an airport serving Boracay Island, which attracts 600,000 visitors a year. The company will bring in a partner this year for its Philippine mobile-phone venture, he said. “Within a year we will probably be done with our diversification strategy,” Ang said. “It has to be that fast. The share price doesn’t reflect the true value of San Miguel .” Cojuangco retook control of San Miguel in 1998, ending a 12-year absence that followed the ouster of his political ally, Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos , in 1986. San Miguel , which opened its brewery in 1890, eight years before the Philippines declared independence from Spain, has raised $2.44 billion from the sale of beer assets in the past year. The disposal helped drive a 173 percent increase in San Miguel’s nine-month profit to 57 billion pesos. “ San Miguel is encashing its food and beverage businesses to move into higher growth ventures,” Banco de Oro’s Fausto said. “It’s dipping its hands into all kinds of businesses they can get into and where they have some level of competence.” To contact the reporter on this story: Clarissa Batino in Manila at cbatino@bloomberg.net

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