possibility

Debt Ceiling Deadline Might Be August 10, Not August 2: Report

by The Huffington Post on July 23, 2011

Huffington Post…

For months, markets have been girding themselves against the possibility that the U.S. will reach the limits of its borrowing ability on August 2 and default on its debts. But researchers at Barclays Capital think the real deadline may not be until a week later. In a note published Friday, the Barclays Interest Rates Research team wrote that “the date on which the Treasury will run out of cash to pay its obligations might not be August 2; it might be around August 10 instead.” Why the change? The note explains that previous projections showed the Treasury running out of money on the morning of Wednesday, August 3. On that day, it was predicted, the Treasury would need to spend $32 billion, including $22 billion in Social Security payments — and it was only projected to have $30 billion at its disposal. That projection was made on July 13. But since then, the researchers say, the Treasury has taken in about $14 billion more than expected, and paid out about $1 billion less than expected. Hence, the deadline date might actually be August 10, a week later than previously believed. The August 2 deadline has never been set in stone. When Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner announced in May that the federal debt limit had been reached, he said that the government could use “extraordinary measures” to extend borrowing authority until August 2 — and that this date could change “based on government receipts and other factors.” And as the Financial Times pointed out earlier this month, researchers at Nomura have already predicted that the Treasury won’t run out of funds until August 9. The August 10 date isn’t set in stone either; it’s just the prediction of one group of researchers. The Barclays team stress that “it is extremely difficult to be sure” how much money the Treasury will take in and pay out between now and August 2. And, they say, just because lawmakers might have until August 10 to devise a deal doesn’t mean they should wait that long. “The sooner policymakers come to a deal, the sooner this source of uncertainty will disappear,” they write. As of Friday evening, negotiations between President Obama and Speaker of the House John Boehner had broken down , with Boehner saying he would confer with Senate leaders directly. The president has called Boehner, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid to the White House for an emergency meeting Saturday morning.

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Debt Ceiling Deadline Might Be August 10, Not August 2: Report

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May 27 (Bloomberg) — Michael O’Sullivan, head of U.K. research and global asset allocation at Credit Suisse Private Banking, talks about the U.S. economy and the possibility of a Greek debt restructuring in Europe. He speaks with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television’s “The Pulse.”

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Video: Credit Suisse’s O’Sullivan Recommends U.S. Equities

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Video: Nabarro Says No Periphery Nations in Europe Will Default

May 27, 2011

May 27 (Bloomberg) — Willem-Mark Nabarro, head of European equities at Exane BNP Paribas, talks about the possibility of a Greek debt default and the outlook for stocks. He speaks from Singapore with Linzie Janis on Bloomberg Television’s “First Look.”

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Video: Federated’s Battelle Doubts Bubble in Technology Stocks

May 20, 2011

May 20 (Bloomberg) — John Battelle, founder and chief executive officer of Federated Media Publishing, talks about the possibility of a bubble in technology stocks. Battelle also discusses LinkedIn Corp.’s initial public offering and the outlook for IPOs in the technology industry. He speaks with Cory Johnson and Jon Erlichman on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: RockMelt CEO Vishria Says Company Is Not for Sale

May 18, 2011

May 17 (Bloomberg) — Eric Vishria, co-founder and chief executive officer of RockMelt Inc., talks about the possibility that the company may be sold. Vishria also discusses RockMelt’s Web browser, growth potential and investors. He speaks with Jon Elrichman on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Daniels on Possible 2012 Bid: Political Capital With Al Hunt

May 7, 2011

May 6 (Bloomberg) — Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels talks with Bloomberg’s Al Hunt about the possibility that he will seek the 2012 Republican nomination. Bloomberg’s Julianna Goldman and Rich Miller report on the killing of al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden by U.S. special forces and today’s report showing American employers in April added more jobs than forecast. Flavia Krause-Jackson discusses bin Laden’s compound in Pakistan and U.S. aid to the country. Commentators Margaret Carlson and Kate O’Beirne talk about President Barack Obama’s decision to raid bin Laden’s compound and not release photos of his corpse. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Corpina Says `Flash Crash’ Can `Definitely Happen Again’

May 6, 2011

May 6 (Bloomberg) — Jonathan Corpina, senior managing partner at Meridian Equity Partners, talks about the possibility of a repeat of the 2010 financial market “flash crash.” One year ago today regulators were unable to arrest a market collapse that erased $862 billion from stock values in less than 20 minutes. Corpina speaks with Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: O’Brien Says 2010-Type `Flash Crash’ Cannot Happen Again

May 6, 2011

May 6 (Bloomberg) — William O’Brien, chief executive officer of Direct Edge Holdings LLC, talks about the possibility of another “flash crash” in financial markets. One year ago today regulators were unable to arrest a market collapse that erased $862 billion from stock values in less than 20 minutes. O’Brien speaks with Mark Crumpton on Bloomberg Television’s “Bottom Line.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Gunaratna Says Revenge Attacks `Likely’ After Bin Laden

May 4, 2011

May 4 (Bloomberg) — Rohan Gunaratna, head of the International Center for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore, talks about the possibility of retaliation by al-Qaeda’s followers in the aftermath of the U.S. raid that killed Osama bin Laden, leader of the terrorist group. Gunaratna speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up.” (Excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Gunaratna Says Revenge Attacks `Likely’ After Bin Laden

May 4, 2011

May 4 (Bloomberg) — Rohan Gunaratna, head of the International Center for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore, talks about the possibility of retaliation by al-Qaeda’s followers in the aftermath of the U.S. raid that killed Osama bin Laden, leader of the terrorist group. Gunaratna speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up.” (Excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Gunaratna Says Revenge Attacks `Likely’ After Bin Laden

May 4, 2011

May 4 (Bloomberg) — Rohan Gunaratna, head of the International Center for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore, talks about the possibility of retaliation by al-Qaeda’s followers in the aftermath of the U.S. raid that killed Osama bin Laden, leader of the terrorist group. Gunaratna speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up.” (Excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Gunaratna Says Revenge Attacks `Likely’ After Bin Laden

May 4, 2011

May 4 (Bloomberg) — Rohan Gunaratna, head of the International Center for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore, talks about the possibility of retaliation by al-Qaeda’s followers in the aftermath of the U.S. raid that killed Osama bin Laden, leader of the terrorist group. Gunaratna speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up.” (Excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)

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Buffett: Not Raising Debt Ceiling Would Be An ‘Asinine Act’

May 2, 2011

OMAHA, Nebraska (Ben Berkowitz) – Warren Buffett does not spend his time making stock research recommendations, but he is sure of one thing — America should have a “strong buy” slapped on it. Tens of thousands of Berkshire Hathaway shareholders who descended on Omaha this weekend for the conglomerate’s annual meeting got one unmistakable message from Buffett — no matter how bad the economy, or the deficit, or the political divide, the United States is as good a place to live and work as ever. “I don’t see how anybody can be other than enthused about this country,” Buffett told Berkshire shareholders on Saturday. Buffett, often called the “Oracle of Omaha,” is one of the world’s richest men and leads a conglomerate that owns railroads, insurers and ice cream parlors. The comments echo those Buffett made in February in his annual shareholder letter, but the words still may encourage investors looking sideways at the country, particularly after Standard & Poor’s put the U.S. government’s critical “AAA” credit rating on a negative credit watch. Buffett told Reuters Insider that S&P’s move was premature, given the U.S. government issues debt only in dollars and can simply print more money to pay debt if absolutely needed. “The United States is not going to default on any obligation,” Buffett told Insider in an interview after the annual meeting. “We are not a credit risk, believe me.” Where Buffett’s enthusiasm wanes to any degree, it is mostly in conversation on the dollar, which he said is sure to weaken over time, like most other currencies. Buffett, as usual, said he was shying away from fixed-income investments for Berkshire’s part, even as he keeps some of his personal wealth in Treasuries for safety’s sake. Some worry that safety could be threatened by the debate over the national debt ceiling, an issue that has divided Congress in recent weeks and gotten more tense as the country gets closer to its legal limit on debt issuance. Buffett, asked about the possibility Congress would not raise the ceiling, made one of his most-repeated comments of the whole weekend, saying it would be the legislature’s “most asinine act” in its history. Buffett also affirmed his support for the banking sector, where he has big bets on Wells Fargo and U.S. Bancorp, calling the odds of another banking crisis “very very low.” His partner, Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, was less sanguine about Europe and the effects of the sovereign debt crisis, saying the continent has “a hell of a problem” in comparison. (Reporting by Ben Berkowitz, editing by Maureen Bavdek, Bernard Orr) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Might Sue Sokol

April 27, 2011

NEW YORK – Berkshire Hathaway on Wednesday said David Sokol misled the company in the way he disclosed his financial interest in Lubrizol Corp before pushing Berkshire CEO Warren Buffett to buy it. Berkshire’s board said in a statement its audit committee was still considering the possibility of legal action against Sokol as a result of his behavior and that it would cooperate with any government investigation. When Buffett announced Sokol’s resignation in March, he said he believed Sokol had not done anything unlawful. Sokol was widely seen as Buffett’s heir apparent before the news about his nearly $10 million investment in Lubrizol. “His misleadingly incomplete disclosures to Berkshire Hathaway senior management concerning those purchases violated the duty of candor he owed to the company,” Berkshire said. (Reporting by Ben Berkowitz. Editing by Robert MacMillan) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Initial Jobless Claims Fall Slightly, But Remain Above 400,000

April 21, 2011

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week but held above the key 400,000 level, hinting at some loss of momentum in the labor market recovery. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 403,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday, unwinding some of the prior week’s quarter-end jump. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims slipping to 392,000. The prior week’s figure was revised up to 416,000 from the previously reported 412,000. The four-week moving average of unemployment claims, a better measure of underlying trends, rose 2,250 to 399,000. “It gives the impression that the momentum of labor market improvement is a bit disappointing at this point,” said Sean Incremona, an economist at 4Cast in New York. “We are still looking at a moderate recovery, so near-term we might have to edge lower some employment calls. I think we are still going to see the recovery sustained.” The claims data covered the survey period for April’s nonfarm payrolls report, which will be released in early May. Employers added 216,000 jobs in March, the most in 10 months, and the unemployment rate slipped to a two-year low of 8.8 percent from 8.9 percent. U.S. Treasury debt prices extended gains on the report and the dollar fell to session lows against the yen. Jobless claims below the 400,000 mark are usually associated with steady employment growth. Despite the increase last week, the four-week average has now been below that level for an eighth straight week. A Labor Department official said three states — Pennsylvania, Virginia and Alaska — had been estimated for last week’s data, raising the possibility for large revisions next week. The number of people still receiving benefits under regular state programs after an initial week of aid fell 7,000 to 3.70 million in the week ended April 9, the lowest level since September 2008. Economists had expected so-called continuing claims to slip to 3.67 million from a previously reported 3.68 million. The number of people on emergency unemployment benefits dropped 23,693 to 3.53 million in the week ended April 2, the latest week for which data is available. A total of 8.3 million people were claiming unemployment benefits during that period under all programs. (Reporting by Lucia Mutikani, additional reporting by Chris Reese in New York; Editing by Padraic Cassidy) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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GBPUSD: Double Top Possibility Remains

April 14, 2011

GBPUSD: Double Top Possibility Remains

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‘Super PACs’ Are Using Corporate Money to Support Conservative Politicians [Infographics]

April 11, 2011

WASHINGTON — The 2010 midterm elections were the first of a new era, one in which campaign finance rules no longer limit the amount of money special interests can raise and spend on political advertising. In the wake of the Supreme Court’s dramatic Citizens United ruling in January 2010, much of the initial attention was focused on the possibility that corporations — suddenly freed from key restrictions — would start to spend enormous amounts of money directly from their treasuries on political advertising. But that didn’t happen. Ahead of last November’s election, only three companies spent a total of $54,500 that way, according to the Center for Responsive Politics (CRP). Instead, it turns out the big money is flowing into third-party organizations first. As long as they operate independently of political candidates, Super PACs , a new kind of political action committee legalized last year, can accept unlimited donations — and they did so in the 2010 election cycle, to the tune of a whopping $65 million. Corporate treasury money accounted for about $15.5 million of that; the rest was individual donations, the CRP estimates. Add that amount to the spending by preexisting advocacy groups, and the result was that outside spending on elections was almost as high in the 2010 mid-terms as it was during the 2008 presidential election cycle — and more than four times what it was in the previous mid-term election. Most groups are still obliged to disclose their donors . But the most striking aspect of the 2010 cycle was the growth of the so-called “non-disclosing groups.” These are nonprofit organizations that are allowed to engage in political campaigning, but don’t have to tell the Federal Election Commission who their donors are. These groups used to be barred from explicitly advocating for or against specific candidates. But now they can do pretty much anything, as long as they don’t coordinate with a candidate’s campaign. And spending has shot up. Non-Disclosing Organizations Powered by Tableau The spending of untraceable money has become particularly popular with conservative organizations like the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which spent almost $33 million in the 2010 cycle; the American Action Network; and Karl Rove’s nonprofit organization, Crossroads Grassroots Policy Strategies. Heather Torres, the chief data scientist at AOL, contributed to this report.

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Video: Branson Expects Virgin Atlantic to Find Alliance Partner

April 7, 2011

April 6 (Bloomberg) — Richard Branson, founder of Virgin Group Ltd., talks about the possibility of finding a partner for Virgin Atlantic Airways Ltd. to compete with British Airways. Branson also discusses the Virgin Galactic commercial space-travel venture. He speaks with Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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White House Directs Agencies To Prepare For Government Shutdown

April 5, 2011

(Reuters) – The White House has directed government agencies to prepare for a government shutdown if Republicans and Democrats fail to agree on a budget bill before cash runs out, a spokesman said on Tuesday. President Barack Obama is meeting with congressional leaders at the White House to try to break a stalemate over how to cut $33 billion in this year’s budget before a Friday deadline when government funding runs out. With an agreement still far from reached, the White House Office of Management and Budget said agencies were preparing to close their doors even as leaders from both parties worked to keep that from being necessary. “We are aware of the calendar, and to be prudent and prepare for the chance that Congress may not pass a funding bill in time, on Monday OMB encouraged agency heads to begin sharing their contingency plans with senior managers throughout their organization to ensure that they have their feedback and input,” OMB spokesman Kenneth Baer said. “As the week progresses, we will continue to take necessary steps to prepare for the possibility that Congress is unable to come to agreement and a lapse in government funding ensues.” (Reporting by Jeff Mason; Editing by Doina Chiacu) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Makeover Or Shutdown: What’s The Best Bet For MySpace?

March 30, 2011

MySpace is for sale . But is anyone willing to buy? Rebranded as an entertainment portal from its roots as a social network, MySpace’s major value seems to lie in its position as a landing page for musicians, as well as its still considerable, but rapidly shrinking, user base of over 60 million visitors per month. But what seems evident, even now, is that whatever becomes of MySpace, the site must change dramatically–whether that change involves a makeover, or even shutdown. “At the end of the day, I think MySpace is just going to disappear,” said Jason Morgan, principal at Chess Media Group. “I find it hard to imagine it will be in its present form in the next few years–one way or another it’s going to go away. The question is, how is it going to disappear?” Though some buyers see the site as a Facebook-alternative with the potential to offer access to a new batch of users, MySpace’s days as a premiere social network are long over. Zynga, the social games startup with an expansive reach through Facebook, was recently rumored to be in talks with News Corp. over a potential acquisition–but was said to have quavered at an asking price over $100 million . Zynga’s interest in MySpace might stem from the company’s desire to branch beyond Facebook to find new platforms by which to peddle its wares. But as some experts point out, it’s likely that MySpace users who might be interested in these games are probably already playing them–on Facebook. The real appeal of the site may be its status as a portal for musicians. Bands still use the site to inform fans of news and events and MySpace itself still retains partnerships with a number of record labels. So it makes a certain sense that Vevo, a site offering music videos supported through ads, was also said to be looking at a potential partnership . Once again, though, analysts note that Facebook, a flexible and ever-changing site, could prove to be a capable sponge for whatever music-related needs arise in a post-MySpace void. “People say Facebook isn’t really music related,” said Morgan. “But I tend to not agree, because there are already a lot of interesting apps built that allow musicians to showcase their songs.” With little hope of regaining its former glory, analysts agree that MySpace’s best chance may be to radically reposition and reinvent the site. Though MySpace CEO Mike Jones recently recommitted to his vision of the site as a “premium environment” to host a “content plus conversation platform” for what he calls social entertainment, it’s clear the strategy has thus far proved a failure. “It’s a disaster,” said Lou Kerner, social media analyst with Wedbush Securities. “They have not successfully pivoted into anything resonating deeply with the user base. It’s not a modest iteration that’s going to make MySpace stop cratering.” So what will? Though it may be hard to imagine MySpace as a site given over to social gaming, or a landing page dedicated to well-known pop stars, or even as an app working as a layer on other sites, it’s that kind of unexpected vision that experts think it will take to turn the site around. “I think the smartest thing for them to do is get it in the hands of entrepreneurs as fast as possible,” said Kerner. “It is possible to take the audience that they have and involve them in something new. You just want to introduce something into that ecosystem that will be of interest.” And don’t rule out the possibility that the site may simply have to fold. Speed is crucial: the longer it takes for News Corp. to pass off MySpace, the less valuable the property becomes. In the wake of losing a stunning 10 million users in the past month , MySpace’s big selling point–the pre-existing user base–is only depreciating. “They have more traffic than a lot of other social sites do,” said Morgan. “The problem is that they’re losing the traffic at such an unbelievable rate that it’s kind of scary.” The chance that News Corp could get anything even near the $580 million they spent on MySpace seems between zero and none. But even at sharply reduced prices, many companies may pass up the chance to buy something they perceive as damaged goods. The potential risks of purchasing the property could stave off interest as organizations consider what it might cost to turn MySpace into a successful venture, or to fail to do so. “Whoever buys it would have to have an immediate plan,” said Morgan. “It’s a daunting purchase–it’s like a ship with a lot of holes slowly sinking and they’re saying, ‘Now you have to sail it across the ocean.’”

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Video: Stern Says Additional Fed Quantitative Easing `Unlikely’

March 23, 2011

March 23 (Bloomberg) — Gary Stern, former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, talks about the possibility that the Federal Reserve will enact another round of its quantitative easing program. Stern also discusses the U.S. housing market and inflation. He speaks with Matt Miller and Carol Massar on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Forex.com’s Brooks Expects Further G-7 Yen Intervention

March 22, 2011

March 22 (Bloomberg) — Kathleen Brooks, research director at Forex.com, discusses the possibility of further intervention by the Group of Seven nations to limit gains in the yen. She talks with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Dan Solin: The Only Question That Matters for Investors

March 16, 2011

The financial media is whipped into a frenzy. There is so much uncertainty. Here’s a summary of recent developments: Bill Gross eliminated U.S. government debt from the Pimco’s Total Return Fund. Nouriel Roubini (“Dr. Doom”) predicts $100 billion in municipal bond defaults over five years. Ireland, Greece, Portugal and Spain remain in tenuous financial condition. The devastating earthquake in Japan has broad economic ramifications. Unrest in Libya and in the rest of the Middle East threatens oil prices. What does it all mean for investors? How fortunate we are to have so many “experts” who can make sense of these disturbing developments. Money manager Laszlo Birinyi advises “[]These kinds of strong beginnings lead to long and durable bull markets. Hedge fund manager Barton Biggs agrees. Over at The Wall Street Journal , they’re not so sure. Brett Arends listed ten reasons why investors should be worried. His sources are interesting. He relies on an unnamed “European hedge fund manager” who is “worried about China.” The source is not buying aggressively, and Arends find that significant. It’s quite remarkable what passes for responsible financial journalism at The Wall Street Journal these days. I get asked for my opinion on many of these issues by readers of my books and blogs, advisory clients and prospective clients. Many can’t hide their disappointment when I tell them I have no clue how these events will affect the markets. What’s more, neither does anyone else, including those who are so confident of their predictions and who dispense their advice so freely. What’s more, I don’t care and I don’t believe intelligent investors should either. Here’s why. Many studies confirm the relationship between loss of money and suicide. Ask most men what they fear most and they will tell you it is the loss of their money and homelessness. You would think their investing decisions would seek to minimize this possibility. Instead, they are more often focused on the short term consequences of current events. This makes no sense. The average sixty-year-old will live another twenty years or so. Here’s the only question she (and all other investors) should be asking her financial advisor: Can you financially engineer a portfolio for me, using long term (at least 50 years) data, that will maximize my returns for the amount of risk I will be taking, for the rest of my life, and will minimize the possibility that I will be destitute in my old age? The good news is that it is very easy to accomplish this goal. We have all the tools and data necessary to do so. The analysis can be based on sound academic, peer-reviewed research, used by savvy pension and trust fund administrators and high net worth individuals. Of course, it’s not predictive, but it’s far more reliable than relying on financial astrologers. I have rarely met an investor who had such a plan, or who understood that he could get one. You have a choice. You can listen to the musings of people who believe they can predict the future, or you can plan intelligently for your own future. The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

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Federal Reserve Plans To Hold Steady Despite Volatile International Climate

March 15, 2011

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy on Tuesday, saying the economy was gaining traction while flagging potential inflation risks from costlier energy and food. The widely expected decision comes on a day of steep selling on stock markets around the world as investors assessed the devastating toll of Japan’s earthquake and tsunami, and fretted over the possibility of a broader nuclear crisis. The heightened uncertainty reinforced the case for a steady-as-she-goes policy decision from the Fed, which markedly upgraded its view of the U.S. recovery and labor market. In a unanimous decision, the Fed vowed to continue its $600 billion government bond-buying program as scheduled, and reiterated a pledge to keep interest rates at very low levels for an extended period. “The economic recovery is on a firmer footing, and overall conditions in the labor market appear to be improving gradually,” the central bank said in a statement. That was a much rosier assessment than it gave at the conclusion of its last meeting, in January, when it said that the recovery was still too weak to significantly bring down unemployment. The Fed dedicated an unusually large portion of its statement to inflation concerns surrounding a recent spike in energy and food prices, which it said would most likely prove transitory. “Long-term inflation expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been subdued,” the Fed said, suggesting that it was in no rush to raise interest rates. The statement made no direct mention of Japan. The worst earthquake on record for the world’s third- largest economy could have substantial ripple effects on the global recovery — as evidenced by a sharp pullback in global equity prices, with Japanese stocks down over 10 percent on Tuesday alone. Even before the tragedy, U.S. central bankers faced confusing signals. Despite high unemployment, rising energy costs appear to be nudging up the price expectations of U.S. consumers, the first inklings of an inflationary psychology the Fed would like avoid. Fed officials managed that tension by beefing up their assessment of economic conditions while emphasizing just how far the central bank remains from its targets for both inflation and employment. PROMISE AND PAIN Since the Fed’s last meeting in January, the U.S. economy has continued to show signs of promise. The U.S. unemployment rate has fallen rapidly, down to 8.9 percent in February from 9.8 percent in November. Still, the pace of hiring suggests further progress will be painfully slow for the 8-million-plus Americans who lost their jobs during the economic slump of 2007-2009. At the same time, higher gasoline costs have created fresh concerns for consumers, with a big hit to confidence this month raising concerns about whether a recent spurt in consumer spending can be sustained. The U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter, a respectable performance but a faster pace will likely be needed to make a further appreciable dent in unemployment. Some economists thought growth could approach 4 percent this quarter, but have pared back projections, in part because of an unexpected widening in the U.S. trade deficit. The Fed effectively chopped overnight interest rates down to zero in December 2008 and then turned to buying mortgage and Treasury debt to keep long-term borrowing costs low. In all, it has committed to buying $2.3 trillion in debt. The asset purchases have proven controversial, with domestic critics arguing the Fed is courting future inflation while officials in emerging markets have accused the central bank of trying to boost U.S. exports by devaluing the dollar. With the economy strengthening, officials are also likely to have had a vigorous debate on how best to eventually tighten policy, but analysts will have to wait until Fed speakers take to the podium again to get a fuller flavor of the discussions. Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Video: BNP’s O’Callaghan Discusses Irish Bonds After Election

February 28, 2011

Feb. 28 (Bloomberg) — Eoin O’Callaghan, an economist at BNP Paribas SA, discusses the possibility that losses will be imposed on Irish bondholders after the bailout of the country’s banking system. O’Callaghan talks with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move.”

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Video: Tiscareno Says Libyan Crisis May Benefit Gas Market

February 28, 2011

Feb. 28 (Bloomberg) — Christine Tiscareno, an analyst at Standard & Poor’s in London, discusses the possibility that disruption to Libyan oil supply may benefit gas producers. She speaks with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move.”

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Technical Setups Point to Possibility for a Siginificatn Dollar Reversal

February 5, 2011

Technical Setups Point to Possibility for a Siginificatn Dollar Reversal

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Tim Pawlenty: GOP Should Vote Against Raising Debt Ceiling

January 16, 2011

WASHINGTON — Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty urged congressional Republicans on Sunday to not vote to raise the debt ceiling when the matter is considered in the spring. But in a sign of how knotted the debate has become, the likely presidential candidate suggested that lawmakers pass additional legislation to prevent the government from defaulting — the exact purpose of raising the debt ceiling in the first place. “They should not raise the debt ceiling,” Pawlenty said. “I believe they should pass legislation that would allow them to sequence the spending as revenues come in to make sure they don’t default. And then have a debate about what other spending could be reduced.” “That’s right,” he added, when asked again if Republicans should vote against raising the debt ceiling. “And to avoid the default I would take it one step further: send the president a piece of legislation that authorizes the federal government to sequence the paying of its bills so that we don’t default on the debt obligations, and then we have a debate about how we reduce the other spending.” It’s not entirely clear how Pawlenty’s plan would work. The government spends more than it takes in, meaning that if it were simply “spending as revenues come in,” it wouldn’t be able to meet its obligations, including those on the debt. An email seeking clarification wasn’t immediately returned. But, it should be noted, this isn’t the first time that Pawlenty has tried to find a bit of middle ground in a debate that doesn’t have much. In an interview with the National Review last week, the former governor seemed to begrudgingly support the idea of raising the debt ceiling provided that it came after all spending cut options were exhausted first. NRO: Should congressional Republicans raise the debt ceiling? Pawlenty: I’m not for more debt, and if there’s any way to avoid that, they should not raise the ceiling. We have to get spending under control, but we also have to make sure they don’t wound the economy in the process. You’ve got a bunch of people holding our debt and the signal that it sends if you can’t actually back it up. … I think it’s fine to say that we’re not going to raise the debt ceiling, but you had better make sure you can live on that amount of money. If they can, they should. I think they should exhaust the possibility of cuts before raising the debt ceiling again.

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Last Minute Luck: Lottery Win Saves Man’s Home From Foreclosure

January 14, 2011

PAWLEYS ISLAND, S.C. (AP) — A Pawleys Island man says winning $200,000 in the South Carolina Education Lottery has saved his home. John Davis says he went to a hearing on Monday about the possibility of losing his home to foreclosure. Tuesday he let the computer pick his numbers for the Palmetto Cash 5 drawing at a gasoline station in Surfside Beach, adding a dollar to increase his winnings in case he got a winning ticket. Wednesday, Davis discovered he had won. The single father of two girls says he’s had a tough year, financially. Davis says he had just $6 in his bank account when he won. He works at a car dealership and says he plays the lottery almost every day. Davis says he plans to pay off most of his debt and will take a cruise with his daughters when the weather warms up.

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EUR/CHF Long Position Established @1.2550; Major Inverse H&S Possibility

January 11, 2011

EUR/CHF Long Position Established @1.2550; Major Inverse H&S Possibility

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Stocks Are Surging Since Announcement Of Fed’s Plan

December 17, 2010

Is the Fed’s latest gamble working? The stock market’s 17% rise since Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke announced his plans for a second round of quantitative easing in late August has sparked further speculation that the economy may be on its way to recovery. Bernanke’s push to reinvigorate the economy through a massive, $600 billion series of government debt purchases has been met with mixed responses. Though the move (dubbed QE2, for quantitative easing) is meant to boost employment and lower interest rates, others fear the possibility that it will instead fuel inflation. As its doubled its pre-crisis balance sheet to more than $2.3 trillion , the Fed’s low interest rates and debt-buying programs have done much to enrich corporate coffers. But the program’s effect on the larger economy is less clear. Still, the stock market has surged. This week, the S&P rose to its highest level since September 2008, hitting 1,242.87, which has prompted optimism in some analysts. “The market has positive momentum and it really has been a momentum story since late August,” said Katie Stockton, the chief market technician at MKM Partners , an institutional equity research, sales and trading firm. Stockton noted that her estimate for the S&P’s next high was 1315, if momentum continued. However, the rise in interest rates since QE2 was unveiled has others less convinced. It’s not clear, for one, whether or not the stock market’s rise is due to merely to sentiment — or an economy that’s actually on the mend. “It provides some support to growth,” said Dean Baker, the co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research , of quantitative easing. “The recent runup has been slightly more positive news.” But Baker did not take the recent stock market climb to be a major positive indicator for the economy. “There’s always a fair degree of indeterminacy of where the market should be,” he said. “The market is relatively low level in the scheme of things.” Holiday spending, however, is up, a sign that consumers may be ready to spend again. A spokesperson for the National Retail Federation predicted that there will be a 3.3% growth in retail sector this November and December. Further, a survey of leading economic indicators by the Conference Board , a private industry group, rose by 1.1 percent, its highest rate in eight months. “The U.S. economy is showing some sparks of life in late 2010,” said Ken Goldstein, an economist at The Conference Board. Yet despite positive trends in the stock market and spending, unemployment numbers remain high. The nationwide unemployment rate rose to 9.8 percent from 9.6 percent in November, according to the Department of Labor .

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Stocks Are Surging Since Announcement Of Fed’s Plan

December 17, 2010

Is the Fed’s latest gamble working? The stock market’s 17% rise since Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke announced his plans for a second round of quantitative easing in late August has sparked further speculation that the economy may be on its way to recovery. Bernanke’s push to reinvigorate the economy through a massive, $600 billion series of government debt purchases has been met with mixed responses. Though the move (dubbed QE2, for quantitative easing) is meant to boost employment and lower interest rates, others fear the possibility that it will instead fuel inflation. As its doubled its pre-crisis balance sheet to more than $2.3 trillion , the Fed’s low interest rates and debt-buying programs have done much to enrich corporate coffers. But the program’s effect on the larger economy is less clear. Still, the stock market has surged. This week, the S&P rose to its highest level since September 2008, hitting 1,242.87, which has prompted optimism in some analysts. “The market has positive momentum and it really has been a momentum story since late August,” said Katie Stockton, the chief market technician at MKM Partners , an institutional equity research, sales and trading firm. Stockton noted that her estimate for the S&P’s next high was 1315, if momentum continued. However, the rise in interest rates since QE2 was unveiled has others less convinced. It’s not clear, for one, whether or not the stock market’s rise is due to merely to sentiment — or an economy that’s actually on the mend. “It provides some support to growth,” said Dean Baker, the co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research , of quantitative easing. “The recent runup has been slightly more positive news.” But Baker did not take the recent stock market climb to be a major positive indicator for the economy. “There’s always a fair degree of indeterminacy of where the market should be,” he said. “The market is relatively low level in the scheme of things.” Holiday spending, however, is up, a sign that consumers may be ready to spend again. A spokesperson for the National Retail Federation predicted that there will be a 3.3% growth in retail sector this November and December. Further, a survey of leading economic indicators by the Conference Board , a private industry group, rose by 1.1 percent, its highest rate in eight months. “The U.S. economy is showing some sparks of life in late 2010,” said Ken Goldstein, an economist at The Conference Board. Yet despite positive trends in the stock market and spending, unemployment numbers remain high. The nationwide unemployment rate rose to 9.8 percent from 9.6 percent in November, according to the Department of Labor .

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Video: Estonia’s Ligi Says Ireland Needs Budget ‘Consolidation’

November 17, 2010

Nov. 17 (Bloomberg) — Estonian Finance Minister Jurgen Ligi talks about the Irish economy and the possibility of Estonia joining the euro. He speaks from Brussels with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown”.

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Robert F. Brands: Innovation Requires Risktaking

November 16, 2010

“If you’ve never failed… you’ve never lived” is a popular video on YouTube describing the failures of people like Thomas Edison, once called “too stupid to learn” by his teacher and Walt Disney, who was fired from a newspaper for “lacking imagination.” Not every idea succeeds, and indeed, some of America’s most triumphant inventors, artists and entrepreneurs have most likely failed at some point in their lives. But without risk and the possibility of failure, there can be no Innovation and no success. That is precisely one of “Robert’s Rules of Innovation” imperatives: No Risk, No Innovation. The success rate when it comes to innovation is very slim. In fact, just 1 in 100 new product entries succeed in the grocery business, according to a study by allbusiness.com. For every innovative product that comes out of the NPD process, there are plenty of ideas that don’t work out — deemed as failures. What’s important is that companies have a tolerance for failure and encourage risk taking. Fear of failure can kill innovation. Never punish for failed ideas. Instead, learn from them how to improve in the future. Establish a level of trust so your team won’t be afraid to think outside the box. To build a successful culture of Innovation, encourage everyone on your New Product Development team to take risks! ” Robert’s Rules of Innovation ” gives five simple steps for encouraging initiative and Innovation. Here are some tips: 1. Profiles in Risk: Clearly communicate the risk profile you are asking your people to adopt and state why it is important to the organization’s success. 2. Failure Management : Never allow an unsuccessful risk to hamper a team member’s opportunities and advancement. 3. Key Learnings Process : Establish a formalized, non-accusatory process for harvesting key learnings from unsuccessful risks. Distribute these lessons learned.

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Video: Meyers Says GM IPO Pricing of $26-$29 Is `Reasonable’

November 15, 2010

Nov. 15 (Bloomberg) — Gerald Meyers, a professor at the University of Michigan Business School and former chief executive officer of American Motors Corp., discusses the outlook for General Motors Co.’s initial public offering and the possibility of China’s SAIC Motor Corp. buying up to a 1 percent stake in the company. Meyers speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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David M. Abromowitz: Lemons Into Lemonade? Turning Flawed Foreclosures Into Mediated Modifications

November 7, 2010

Is anyone surprised? A mortgage finance industry built on sloppy paperwork, which reaped record profits processing consumers as if they were so many sheep to be fleeced, is caught churning out foreclosures built on sloppy paperwork, so homeowners can be dispossessed on the cheap. It is tempting to wish upon lenders all the retribution that our legal system can rain down. The Attorneys General of all 50 states, hardly a monolithic group politically, are so incensed that they have joined together and launched a full bore coordinated investigation into whether vast numbers of foreclosures were prosecuted based on false certifications and other violations of law. The US Attorney General is gearing up for a similar investigation into the possibility of rampant fraud or other criminal violations Private consumer watchdogs have long been raising similar allegations in defending borrowers facing foreclosure. We stand on the verge of massive litigation that could dwarf the tobacco cases and other national consumer protection efforts. Yet we still have a weak economy to think about, and widespread turmoil in the housing market doesn’t help. Millions of home owners may have had their legal rights violated, but tens of millions of Americans are also anxious about their home values; nearly 30 percent of homeowners with mortgages are drowning “underwater”. Even more worry about their ability to pay their mortgages, Lawsuits that drag on for years may some day bring justice for some borrowers. But in the meantime, how do other borrowers hang on? And what is the impact on the rest of us if home prices plummet again, as a cloud of uncertainty keeps the home buying market perpetually overcast? The best result from litigation therefore may be mediation. As the 50-state Attorney General task force faces off against a range of lenders and loan servicers, both sides should keep the ultimate goal in mind. Is the goal of the AGs to prove that wrongdoing was done? Or is it to get each home owner a fair hearing for his or her individual situation, one that offers a chance to work out a modification or other alternative to foreclosure? Do the lenders want to simply keep insisting they have done nothing wrong that really matters in the hopes of simply adding to the tidal wave of foreclosures? Or do they want to clear the air, restore the public’s confidence in them, and move forward to alternatives to foreclosure? Promisingly, reports so far indicate that the coalition of the AGs is focused more on modifications than reparations: “Instead of paying a huge fine, maybe have the servicers adequately fund a serious modification process,” lead Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller suggested. Hopefully recent election results won’t diminish their resolve or their unity. The AGs should insist on a remedy that has proven a valuable antidote against unnecessary foreclosures: mandatory mediation. As reports by the Center for American Progress and others have shown, states and cities “with fully implemented [mandatory mediation] programs such as Connecticut, Philadelphia, and Nevada report settlement rates nearing 75 percent, with the majority of homeowners remaining in their homes.” Unlike robo-signing and other practices that blindly push through foreclosures and ignore alternatives, mediation programs give the borrower a chance to sit face to face with a lender and a neutral third party and analyze the individual facts of each case. Borrower evidence of ability to pay a modified amount, which seems repeatedly to get lost in the foreclosure shuffle, suddenly cannot be ignored. And perhaps not surprisingly, even when foreclosure is the fair result, cases resolve faster once borrowers have had a chance to be heard in person. Mandatory mediation clears the system, something we desperately need. It does so in a way that feels fairer than what is currently transpiring. But if it’s so sensible, why would this alternative to the current crisis need to be mandated? Voluntary loan modification programs have fallen far short for years now. While many factors contributed to the logjam, it is clear that the incentives and the very structure of the home mortgage finance system tilt the table towards foreclosure as the route most mortgage servicers will follow. Most servicers work for investors who own pools of mortgages. The complicated agreements governing how servicers handle their work compensate foreclosure more than mediation. It takes more time, knowledge and staffing for a servicer to process modifications than it does to call up lawyers and start a foreclosure. And while foreclosure may yield less money for investors in the long run when all the costs are factored in, many of the foreclosure costs come “off the top” from the foreclosure sale, and are not borne by the servicer making the decisions. In short, the mortgage pooling system that was set up to encourage private money to flow into mortgages and make them cheaper for consumers is now a virtual doomsday machine for the economy. Unfortunately, Congressional forces believing in an unfettered financial system, even when it operates out of control to the detriment of all of us, have blocked attempts at bankruptcy reform and other proposals that could have stopped millions of foreclosures. The Attorneys General, however, wield a different club, one based on current law and requiring no action at the federal level. And in today’s Washington climate, that just may be the advantage needed to unlock the national foreclosure mess. David M. Abromowitz is a Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress, www.americanprogress.org, and has written extensively on the foreclosue crisis.

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Video: Adgate Says Comcast-Turner May Be Next Cable Battle

October 29, 2010

Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — Brad Adgate, director of research at Horizon Media, a media buying company, discusses the dispute between Cablevision Systems Corp. and News Corp. over programming fees that has blacked out Fox television service for 3 million Cablevision customers in the New York area, and the possibility of a similiar dispute between Comcast Corp. and Time Warner Inc.’s Turner Broadcasting unit. Adgate speaks with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Herrmann Expects $100 Billion of Fed Quantitative Easing

October 29, 2010

Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — Thomas Herrmann, an economist at Credit Suisse Group AG, talks about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the possibility of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve. He speaks from Zurich with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Video: Herrmann Expects $100 Billion of Fed Quantitative Easing: Video

October 29, 2010

Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — Thomas Herrmann, an economist at Credit Suisse, talks about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the possibility of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve. He speaks from Zurich with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Video: Marangi Doubts FCC to Act in News Corp.-Cablevision Spat

October 27, 2010

Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Chris Marangi, an analyst at Gabelli & Co., talks about the possibility that the U.S. Federal Communications Commission will intervene in the dispute between News Corp. and Cablevision Systems Corp. over program fees. Marangi talks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Nordvig Says Japan Will Likely Intervene at 80 Yen: Video

October 25, 2010

Oct. 25 (Bloomberg) — Jens Nordvig, a managing director at Nomura Holdings Inc., and Adam Sieminski, chief energy economist at Deutsche Bank AG, talk about the possibility that Japan will sell the yen to stem its rally and the outlook for oil prices. Nordvig and Sieminski speak with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Tyson Says Quantitative Easing ‘Only Policy Option Left’

October 7, 2010

Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) — Philip Tyson, head of strategy at MF Global UK Ltd., talks about monetary policy decisions by the Bank of England including the possibility of quantitative easing. He speaks with Maryam Nemazee on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Video: IMF’s Blanchard Discusses Global Economy, Currency Wars: Video

October 7, 2010

Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) — Olivier Blanchard, the International Monetary Fund’s chief economist, talks about the outlook for the global economy and the possibility of currency wars between major countries. High unemployment, public debt and fragile banking systems pose risks to global prosperity, the IMF said, urging policy makers to take bolder steps to assure a sustained recovery. Blanchard speaks from Washington with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up.” (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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College Savings Remains Family Priority: Study

October 5, 2010

DES MOINES, Iowa — Parents remain determined to save money for college even in the tough economy, but they’re not always choosing the methods that give them the best bang for their buck. The nation’s leading college lender Sallie Mae released Tuesday its second annual study of college students and parents conducted by Gallup Inc. It shows 60 percent of parents have saved money for their child’s college education, about the same as a year ago. However, it is surprising that nearly a quarter of all college savings has been set aside in retirement accounts including 401(k)s or individual retirement accounts, said Sarah Ducich, senior vice president for public policy at Sallie Mae. The typical family saving for college has amassed an average of $28,102 and is projected to have saved $48,367 by the time their child reaches age 18. The problem with relying on retirement accounts is that when money is withdrawn before age 59 1/2, the accountholder must pay taxes on the funds as well as a 10 percent penalty. As an alternative, some families are choosing to take out a loan against a 401(k) account. This is also problematic because it removes a portion of the retirement fund, reducing the potential for growth. Also there’s the possibility that the loan will need to be repaid quickly if the accountholder changes jobs. Whether an outright withdrawal or a loan, either way, parents are shortchanging their retirement savings potential, Ducich said. An additional disadvantage to using the 401(k) for college savings is that the money withdrawn this year counts as income for the parents. This means that when the family applies for financial aid the next year, that amount will be included in income, reducing potential aid. Of course not all savings is held in retirement accounts. About 21 percent of money set aside for college is in investments and 14 percent sits in general savings accounts, which return very little interest. About 12 percent is held in dedicated college savings 529 accounts. A few responses in the 2010 study show signs that economic pressures have affected how families are setting their savings goals. About 72 percent of parents say they expect to pay half or more of their child’s education costs, but that is down from 79 percent a year ago. Also, fewer parents intend to pay most of the cost with 27 percent saying that this year, compared with 33 percent in 2009. That’s one more indicator that the recession has forced people to make decisions about their money, said Bill Diggins, a senior consultant at Gallup Inc., who helped conduct this year’s survey. Economic confidence has dropped over the last couple of years and discretionary spending has gone down and continues to fall. Savings rates however, have increased. Diggins said Gallup research indicates about two-thirds of those who are saving more say it’s a permanent change. “We’re finding people will pay for and sacrifice for things they value,” Diggins said. “It’s clear from these studies that they continue to place a high priority on college for their kids.” The study illustrates that point with 21 percent of parents saying college savings is their most important savings goal, up from 14 percent in 2009. Saving for retirement fell to 22 percent as the most important savings priority from 27 percent. About 38 percent of families said they are saving the same this year as last year and 34 percent said they are saving less. About 28 percent boosted their savings. The study also shows that families understand the need to start early. The average age when parents began a college account is about 3 years old. It’s important now to educate parents on the most efficient ways to save, Ducich said. The dedication to help children obtain a college education is there, it’s now a matter of helping families put that savings to work balancing earning potential with safe investments that help them reach their goals.

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Video: Greece Awaits China Investment as Wen Starts Europe Tour

October 4, 2010

Oct. 4 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Nicole Itano reports from Athens on Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao’s state visit to Greece and the possibility of investment by China.

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Video: Prasad Says Elections May Push Congress to Act on China: Video

September 23, 2010

Sept. 23 (Bloomberg) — Eswar Prasad, a professor at Cornell University and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, discusses the possibility of U.S. trade sanctions against China to push the country to raise the value of its currency. Prasad speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Ernst & Young’s Diron Says French Reforms ‘Unavoidable’

September 23, 2010

Sept. 23 (Bloomberg) — Marie Diron, an economic adviser to Ernst & Young, talks about the outlook for the French economy including the possibility of pension reforms and austerity measures. She speaks with Andrea Catherwood on Bloomberg Television’s “The Pulse.”

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Video: Achutan Calls End to Risk of U.S. Double Dip Premature: Video

September 20, 2010

Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) — Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute in New York, talks about the outlook for the U.S. economy. The worst U.S. recession since the Great Depression ended in June 2009, the National Bureau of Economic Research said yesterday, as a slowdown in economic growth raises the possibility of another slump. Achuthan talks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Prasad Sees `Threat’ of U.S. Trade Sanctions on China: Video

September 16, 2010

Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) — Eswar Prasad, a professor at Cornell University and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, discusses the possibility of U.S. trade sanctions against China. Prasad talks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Silva Says Barclays May Quit U.K. Rather Than Split Bank

September 8, 2010

Sept. 8 (Bloomberg) — Ralph Silva of Silva Research Network talks about the possibility of U.K. regulators forcing lenders to separate investment banking and retail operations. He speaks with Maryam Nemazee on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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