By Tom Randall, Meg Tirrell and Michelle Fay Cortez Jan. 14 (Bloomberg) — Survivors of the earthquake in Haiti that may have killed as many as 100,000 people face deadly outbreaks of diarrhea, measles and malaria after its already fragile clean water and health-care systems were destroyed. Even before the bodies of the dead have been removed from the rubble, health officials say it’s critical in the next few days that massive containers of water be set up throughout the capital of Port-au-Prince, temporary treatment centers established and tons of antibiotics and basic medical supplies delivered. Haiti has long suffered from the highest rates of malnutrition and lack of access to basic health services in the Western Hemisphere, according to the World Health Organization . The crisis has left no health infrastructure for aid workers to build upon, and disease outbreaks may be worse than in the aftermaths of comparable natural disasters, said Thomas Kirsch, director of operations at Johns Hopkins School of Medicine’s department of emergency medicine in Baltimore. “This is such a delicate situation,” said Margaret Aguirre, a spokeswoman for the emergency response team of International Medical Corp., a non-profit based in Santa Monica, California, in a telephone interview from Port-au-Prince. “We need to bring in medical supplies ourselves. So much of the infrastructure is lost in terms of buildings and personnel. A lot of the people who normally do relief work are missing themselves.” Doctors have set up operations outside the main hospital, because the building isn’t stable, according to Aguirre. The epicenter of the 7.0 magnitude earthquake was close to the city. “There have been many, many aftershocks,” she said. Flourishing Diseases Diarrheal diseases, including cholera and e. coli, cause severe dehydration and strip the body of needed nutrients. Diarrhea will flourish as survivors struggle to find clean water and safe food, Kirsch said. Children are most susceptible to severe infections. Measles outbreaks, which sometimes follow natural disasters, may flash through neighborhoods of tightly packed courtyards where thousands of homeless residents are gathering. Measles spreads rapidly and kills 15 percent of infected children in regions with malnutrition, Thomas Frieden , director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said in an interview in December. “The health system has been eliminated, water and sanitation entirely knocked out,” Kirsch said in an interview today. “The chance of them recovering even to the low level that they were before is almost zero.” No Basic Care Half of the children in Haiti are unvaccinated and just 40 percent of the population had access to basic health care before the crisis, according to the Geneva-based WHO. After a natural disaster of this magnitude, the delivery of needed supplies is usually managed by the military, Kirsch said. In Haiti, the armed forces were dismantled in 1995. The UN typically coordinates aid from international agencies. Those efforts were complicated after the UN headquarters at the Christopher Hotel collapsed in the quake. UN Assistant Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Alain LeRoy said 14 workers in Haiti were confirmed dead, and 150 civilian and military personnel are unaccounted for. Other UN offices have also been damaged, and 10 people are missing from a compound that houses these groups. ‘Poorly Governed’ “Haiti is considered one of the most poorly governed countries in the world,” said Egbert Sondorp, a senior lecturer in public health and humanitarian aid at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. “It’s a fragile state which wasn’t very well able to provide social and health services to its population even before the earthquake.” The initial period of medical crisis, when rescuers look for people buried beneath the rubble and care for those with the most severe injuries from the earthquake, will last just a few days, Sondorp said in a telephone interview. The bigger challenge, and one that could take decades to resolve, is rebuilding the infrastructure needed to provide food, clean water and health care to citizens nationwide, he said. “It’s quite essential, as soon as you can, to come up with a proper rehabilitation plan,” he said. “You need to get people together to pool resources and do common planning that will make the conditions better.” Drugmaker Donations Drug companies are donating needed medicines and medical supplies. New York-based Pfizer Inc., the world’s biggest drugmaker, is giving medicines including the antibiotic Zithromax to fight bacteria and Diflucan for fungal infections, said Pfizer spokeswoman Tyrene Frederick-Mack in a telephone interview. GlaxoSmithKline Plc, based in London, sent antibiotics on one of the first airlifts to Haiti after the earthquake, said spokeswoman Claire Brough in a telephone interview. The drugs included Bactroban cream and ointment, Augmentin for respiratory tract infections, Zovirax for herpes virus, Ceftin and Zinacef for bacterial infections and Zantac for heartburn and stomach ulcers, she said. The company plans to extend donations once the local infrastructure is repaired, she said. Abbott Laboratories, based in Abbott Park, Illinois, is donating $1 million in grants and pharmaceutical and nutritional products. Eli Lilly & Co., based in Indianapolis, is contributing $250,000, matching employee donations, and plans to donate medicines, the company said in the statement. Death Toll Estimates The earthquake may already have killed 45,000 to 50,000 people, Victor Jackson, an assistant national coordinator with Haiti’s Red Cross, told Reuters. Haitian Prime Minister Jean-Max Bellerive said yesterday in an interview with CNN that “well over” 100,000 may have died, basing his estimate on reports of the number of buildings that collapsed with people inside. The Red Cross estimates as many as 3 million people may be affected by the earthquake. Haiti has a total population of 9.6 million, with about 2 million located in Port-au-Prince. The Western Hemisphere’s poorest country, Haiti has a per capita income of about $560, with 54 percent of Haitians living on less than $1 a day and 78 percent on less than $2 daily, according to the World Bank. Traumatic Injuries “Immediately we’re dealing with a very significant amount of physical trauma-related injuries which are going to be responsible for virtually all of the prompt fatalities,” said Irwin Redlener , director of the National Center for Disaster Preparedness at Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health. The chance of survival plummets for someone buried under rubble after 48 to 72 hours, he said in an interview today. When those with more serious injuries are being treated, people with broken bones and other more moderate ones can get infections while they wait. “The fact that the system is overloaded spells trouble even for people with moderate injuries,” Redlener said. After the initial period, “the rubble itself creates hazards. We start seeing lots of cuts, bruises, falls,” he said. Chronic illnesses, such as diabetes or asthma, that were previously under control may become exacerbated with lack of medical care or the inability for people to obtain medicines, Redlener said. Some will develop stress-related disorders from emotional trauma. “The emotional burden of this is going to be overwhelming,” he said. Doctors Without Borders The aid group Doctors Without Borders has had more than a thousand patients in its four tented medical facilities in Port- au-Prince, according to a statement. Many people have come in with fractures, head injuries and other major trauma, and food, water and shelter materials are running low, the group said. “Basic provisions were always problematic for people in Port-au-Prince but the position is far worse now,” said Vincent Hoedt, an emergency coordinator for the group, in the e-mailed statement. “There’s a concern for people who are already weakened by injuries. There are also shortages of things like gasoline, which affects the working of all kinds of vital equipment.” Port-au-Prince had 21 public health facilities, including four hospitals, before the earthquake, according to Greg Elder, deputy operations manager for Doctors Without Borders in Haiti. Half of the city’s inhabitants lived in slums, Elder said in an e-mailed update from the organization. “It’s a really catastrophic event where absolutely no one knows really what the scope of this is in terms of casualties and fatalities,” Elder said. Flights Depart Doctors Without Borders has almost 800 staff members in Port-au-Prince and plans to send an additional 70 people to help in the next few days, including several surgical teams, Elder said. A flight will leave today with equipment to establish a 100-bed inflatable tent hospital with two operating rooms, and two surgical teams are leaving today from Miami, he said. Lester Hartman, a Westwood, Massachusetts, pediatrician and Harvard Medical School faculty member, said he expects to see greater demand for services at Mt. Carroll Clinic, which he helped establish in 2003 in the town of Juampas, about 40 miles outside Port-au-Prince. While the clinic, where Hartman is medical director, itself was unscathed by the earthquake, survivors will soon begin arriving in hill towns such as Juampas in search of food and medical services, he said. Food Supplies “There’s going to be a secondary wave of people migrating from Port-au-Prince to the towns,” he said yesterday in an interview in Boston. “They’ll come up to live with relatives and they won’t have housing or food. So people who don’t have enough food to begin with will have to split their food.” Food supplies may remain scarce because most deliveries come to the country via Port-au-Prince, Hartman said. He’s also looking for ways of bringing extra doses of antibiotics. Hartman said he may fly into the Dominican Republic capital city of Santo Domingo and drive eight hours to Juampas to avoid the chaos of Port-au-Prince. Workers in the clinic, which typically serves about 300 people each week, often see temporary migration from Port-au- Prince to hill towns during riots, Hartman said. The displacing effects of the earthquake on may last much longer, he said. “Think of it a little bit like Katrina,” he said. “People are going to need help for years.” To contact the reporter on this story: Tom Randall in New York at trandall6@bloomberg.net