professor

Huffington Post…

Is the U.S. dollar really doomed? If it were for some headlines, you would certainly think so. Because of the “Made in the U.S.A” financial crisis, growing budget deficits and debt, increasing dissatisfaction with the international monetary system, and the emerging power of countries such as China, many voices are now proclaiming the eventual demise of the dollar. Not so fast, some discerning minds warn. One of them is Barry Eichengreen, Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley, and author of the recently released book, Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System . He came to present his new book to the World Bank this week, sparking a fascinating debate not only about the future of the dollar, but about global politics. “I’m not predicting its demise, but that it [the dollar] will share the stage,” Eichengreen concluded. But to get here, the professor first debunked four prevailing myths: Widespread international use of a currency confers on its issuer geopolitical and strategic leverage. Incumbency is an overwhelming advantage in the competition for reserve currency status. The dollar is now doomed to lose its international currency status. There is room for only one international currency. As Exorbitant Privilege makes clear, it’s a country’s position as a great power that results in the international status of its currency, not the other way around. Regarding the incumbency “myth,” the British pound, for instance, remained the dominant international currency until after World War II, even after the U.S. had overtaken Britain as the leading economy. And what about the “menacing” euro, the emerging Chinese reminbi, and the Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) from the International Monetary Fund? Professor Eichengreen makes clear that despite their growing importance, they cannot yet compete with the currency of the U.S., still the largest economy in the world with the largest and deepest financial markets of any country. But all of the above doesn’t mean that the dollar will remain untouched. In fact, there is room for more than one international currency. “There is no reason that only one country can have financial markets deep and broad enough to make international use of its currency attractive,” writes Eichengreen. For him, the emerging world is one in which several international currencies coexist: dollar, euro, and reminbi. “We are definitely moving into a world with emerging currencies, and multipolar monetary and financial systems,” he explained at the World Bank. Will this be a better international system than what we have now? Only time will tell, but for now many like Professor Eichengreen and I believe such a system will better reflect the reality of our multipolar world, and therefore, make it more stable. This blog was originally posted on the World Bank Institute Growth and Crisis website.

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Otaviano Canuto: Whither the U.S. Dollar

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Marketwire – Management Changes:

EL SEGUNDO, CA–(Marketwire – March 14, 2011) – Vendum Batteries ( OTCBB : VNDB ), a battery technology development company, is delighted to announce the appointment of Professor Prabhakar Bandaru as a non-executive member of the Advisory Board.

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Vendum Batteries Announces Appointment of Prabhakar Bandaru

Scott G. Paris Appointed Vice President of Research at ETS

March 1, 2011

PRINCETON, NJ–(Marketwire – March 1, 2011) – Dr. Scott G. Paris has been appointed Vice President of Research within Educational Testing Service’s Research & Development Division. Paris is currently Professor and Head of the Centre for Research on Pedagogy and Practice at the National Institute of Education, Singapore.

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Nicole Lapin: States of Pain: Bankruptcy Bandage?

December 31, 2010

A state used to feel like a trusty light switch, a utility. You could see when that little knob was flicked — to the rescue during times of state disasters like floods, fires and other emergencies. Until recently we always expected the lights would come on, in the same way we expected our banks to be there for us, too. Then, of course, they failed. Overleveraged and unable to pay their bills either, will the states be the next big economic entity not “too big to fail”? To attempt to answer that question, I recently traveled from Maine to Montana to talk to governors of states in all stages of financial trouble or prosperity for a series called ” States of Pain .” After all, both the fiscally sound and unsound have reasons to fear the unprecedented failure of any state. We have all seen the deficit numbers. $25 billion for California. $15 billion for Illinois. $10 billion for New Jersey. Analyst Meredith Whitney , famous for predicting the downfall of the banks, now predicts that we’ll all start feeling the states’ pain in the spring when federal stimulus money dries up. Some set the D-Day date for states even earlier, possibly even next month. CEO turned Tennessee Governor Phil Bredesen predicted that, in January, some states would have, “A cliff they’ve got to navigate. There’s going to be some dislocation. You’re going to see some problems.” When I interviewed him in Nashville for my “States of Pain” series , he chided his gubernatorial colleagues for relying too heavily on federal stimulus money, saying, “an awful lot of states took that money and treated it as continuing money and not like one-time help.” No one disputes the last batch will dry up. Another batch is up for debate, of course. The federal deficit, however, is unarguably swollen and President Obama has asked the public for good ideas to be sent his way. And, he’s going to need some to calm that swell while dealing with some of the world’s largest economies — the states — and avoid giving the situation a cold shoulder with the subsequent “Ford to City: Drop Dead”-esque headlines of 1975. So, as a member of the public, I am here to suggest, Mr. President, that you deposit your newly found political capital in an unlikely place — a bankruptcy bid. Bankruptcy gets a bad rap, but it could be a less costly alternative to another trillion dollar shot in the states’ budgetary arm. Technically, states cannot go bankrupt now like cities and counties under Chapter 9. But, the federal bankruptcy code, like the constitution itself, is a living, breathing document — able to be amended like it has been 27 times before. Federal Bankruptcy Code likes to play the odds — Chapter 7, Chapter 9, Chapter 11 and Chapter 13 are the biggies. But there’s some room left for the even chapters, particularly Chapter 8. A respected but lesser-known (I predict to be better-known soon) law professor, Professor David Skeel, suggests that a Chapter 8 is theoretically constitutional for Congress to enact. If it is indeed constitutional, then it might just add a much-needed arrow in the quiver of our rapidly-diminishing fiscal and monetary policy toolkit. “Although bankruptcy would be an imperfect solution to out-of-control state deficits, it’s the best option we have, at least if we want to have any chance of avoiding massive federal bailouts of state governments,” Skeel recently wrote in The Weekly Standard . The mere idea of bankruptcy sounds unpalatable to some governors I ran this by, like Mark Parkinson from Kansas. “Declaring bankruptcy is not the answer to the budget crisis facing many states,” he told me, adding that “the crippling public relations message bankruptcy would send to businesses and investors and the ripple effect on local communities is too high a price to pay for any potential upsides.” True, at first glance, it seems nuclear. But, the potential upsides to allowing states to declare bankruptcy are far too compelling to dismiss outright. Namely, it would give bite to the barking we’ve been hearing from the states’ governors, like Parkinson, letting them play hardball with their biggest creditors — bondholders and union contracts. Granted, union contracts can theoretically be restructured outside of bankruptcy, but in no meaningful way. State bonds, in essence, can’t be restructured without bankruptcy. I’m not suggesting that bankruptcy is the only option. It’s not even a good one to see to fruition, but the mere threat might reduce the burden on Congress to push through more stimulus or a state bailout. “Some of the biggest benefits would occur even if no state ever actually filed for bankruptcy,” Skeel tells me. “Creditors might agree to much more meaningful concessions if the alternative is a messy bankruptcy that would require even greater concessions.” But, it’s those greater concessions that make municipal bondholders cry foul. While Bond King Bill Gross, founder of world’s largest bond fund PIMCO, is going deep into California and New York munis, claiming the returns are still the best in the market despite the headline risk, even the discussion of bankruptcy as a bargaining chip has caused some to fear bond market hysteria. “There’s no question the bond markets would be unhappy if a bankruptcy law were passed, but they’re already starting to price in the prospect of a default,” Skeel tells me. “What the bondholders who claim that the enactment of a bankruptcy law would mean Armageddon for the markets really want — just as with the big banks in 2008 — is to be bailed out if the states can’t afford to pay.” Skeel believes “everyone needs to sacrifice if a state is in financial crisis; bondholders shouldn’t simply be given a pass.” Reuters’ blogger Felix Simon suggests , though, that bankruptcy is more of a Band-Aid on a gunshot wood and doesn’t avoid a bailout, it just delays the inevitable. If Chapter 8 bankruptcy was an option, Simon says “prices of municipal bonds would plunge, and most states would find it pretty much impossible to borrow money.” (Although, GM’s expedited pre-packaged bankruptcy and subsequent IPO would challenge that idea.) A disrupted muni market, also, seems negligible compared to the ramifications of the federal government getting in the foxhole with states. But, Simon continues, “As such, facing a massive and immediate liquidity crisis, they would be in more need of a federal bailout than before the bankruptcy legislation was seriously mooted.” Mooted? Perhaps. Necessary to avoid more serious financial meltdown? Perhaps. Necessary to consider before firing up the printing press again? Absolutely. “Given the general political consensus against future bailouts, maybe just maybe, this is something to think about. And better to do the thinking now, rather than when such a tool is actually needed, fast,” opined bankruptcy expert Stephen Lubben for Dealbook. Fast is already here if you take into account what economist Nouriel Roubini recently told me . Dr. Doom already cast his spell on the states, telling me debt is up to 20% of state GDP and unfunded liabilities of state and local pension funds is another 20% of GDP, or $3-5 trillion. The argument that the states’ GDPs are huge relative to their debts is right, of course, until it’s wrong. Panic is inevitable if a big state fails — you’d have a run on the bank, or should I say a run on the state. As such, a panel including former White House officials Robert Rubin, Glenn Hubbard and Josh Bolton met in October to simulate what it would look like if a state went down. They set the scenario in 2013, when the fictional state of New Jefferson — said to be the third largest U.S. state — faces a $1.5 billion bond payment. Its governor and legislators are gridlocked. The mock governor calls on the Fed for an emergency loan to avoid default and another sizable loan to keep the state afloat. Then the chairman of the National Economic Council calls a meeting. This is where the simulation kicked in real-time; the audience watched as the mock Treasury secretary, Fed chairman, chief of staff, chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers decided the fate of New Jefferson and analyzed the systemic risk. It doesn’t need to be Too Big to Fail Déjà vu just yet. “There are ominous parallels between the states’ predicament and the condition of the big banks in 2008 before they were bailed out. The one big difference is that, this time, we can see the problem before it blows up and we have a real opportunity to do something about it before it’s too late,” says Skeel. We know the lights are flickering in 48 of 50 statehouses right now. The question has become, do you light a candle or pray the water won’t shut off, too?

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Bailed Out Banks Teeter Towards Collapse

December 27, 2010

Nearly 100 banks previously rescued by the federal government are again poised to fail, despite billions of dollars of support from the American Treasury. The number of banks on the brink of collapse rose from 86 to 98 during the summer months, according to analysis of federal data from the Wall Street Journal . The banks in question have received $4.2 billion dollars in aid through the Troubled Asset Relief Program ( TARP ). Most of the troubled institutions are relatively small. The latest sign of distress in the financial system suggests the bailout may have simply been a stopgap solution for a sector still contending with the aftershocks of the greatest banking crisis in 80 years. The continued weakness of some banks now threatens to impede a tentative economic recovery, say experts. With many banks still troubled, lending remains tight, depriving businesses of capital to expand and hire. With expansion and hiring rare, the economy remains weak, depriving the banks of healthy customers–in short, a feedback loop of trouble. The Wall Street Journal defined “troubled banks” as those with less than 6 percent of their primary assets both reliable and liquid. Through TARP, the government has purchased hundreds of billions of troubled assets from banks in danger. Though the program was purportedly meant to benefit healthy institutions with a good chance of survival, these latest failures suggest that many banks were in tenuous shape to begin with. Seven TARP recipients have already failed, at a loss of $2.7 billion. But some analysts pointed to the fact that most of the failing institutions are relatively small in dismissing concerns. “If Citibank and Bank of America were going under, that would be a problem,” said Mark Blyth, a political economy professor at Brown and a fellow of the Watson Institute for International Studies . “The bailout was meant to deal with a global systemic crisis. It was not to make sure that some bank in Utah with dodgy commercial real estate would be okay.” Blyth expects some smaller banks to continue to fall, due in large part to the lack of growth in the economy. “People aren’t borrowing,” he said. “The reason they’re not borrowing is because they’re up to their eyeballs in debt.”

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Dov Seidman: Ethical Leadership: An Operating Manual

December 23, 2010

The demand for ethical leadership is growing, yet the supply remains low, as evidenced by the recent credit crisis that sparked the worst global recession since the 1930s. The rising generation of leaders appears equipped merely to navigate rather than to guide. Navigating describes how we naturally react and adapt to an interconnected world while guiding refers to how we forge a sustainable path and build endeavors of sustainable value in an ethically interdependent world. Fortunately, prototypes of ethical leaders exist, thanks in part to professor Elie Wiesel, the Nobel Peace Prize winner whose work through the Elie Wiesel Foundation for Humanity has been churning out models of 21st century leadership for more than 20 years. Before I say more about Wiesel’s organization, I want to talk about ethical leadership. In response to the financial crisis, many leaders are rethinking notions about the source of competitive advantage, which increasingly comes from how we behave rather than what we produce. We are rethinking how we lead, by placing less emphasis on carrots and sticks and more on inspiration, and putting humanity at the center of our organizations. These efforts, if they are to succeed, require ethical leadership, which inspires the behaviors in people necessary to create competitive advantage. Ethical leaders distinguish themselves by doing that which is inconvenient, unpopular, and even temporarily unprofitable in the service of long-term health and value. They view the world as interconnected and develop multidisciplinary solutions to address complex problems that crop up every day. Rather than automatically extending payment terms to a supplier during economic busts, for example, ethical leaders consider the financial stability of the supplier, potential negative impacts to the supplier (as well as to the supplier’s employees and its suppliers-and to the company itself) if payment terms are elongated. Ethical leaders also consider other solutions (e.g., sharing best practices with suppliers) that may require an investment but generate more value over the long term. Ethical leaders extend trust to their workers, creating the conditions necessary to empower employees, suppliers, and even customers to take the risks necessary to create game-changing innovations. The Ritz-Carlton’s leadership team allows each employee to spend up to $2,000 to address customer issues at his or her own discretion (an example I will expand upon in my next column). What’s more, ethical leadership is a renewable human resource and, for this reason, represents one of the most efficient and practical assets an organization can put to use. Essay Competition The hopeful news is that exemplars of ethical leadership exist today. For the past 20 years the Elie Wiesel Foundation has awarded its Prize in Ethics , a competition that rewards college students in the U.S. for viewing human endeavor through an ethical lens. The best of their essays are featured in a new book, “Ethical Compass: Coming of Age in the 21st Century” (Yale University Press). Wiesel created the contest to connect with people at the most formative time of their lives. My company, LRN, is the foundation’s exclusive corporate sponsor of the prize. We joined together because we shared a belief that to solve some of the world’s biggest problems, we need to help young people embrace a new perspective for being “other regarding.” The prize is designed to help future leaders develop the skills needed to become great human beings (or guides) and not just “human doings” (or navigators). And the foundation has “quietly operated as an incubator of talent and innovation that would rival Google, Intel and any other Silicon Valley company,” New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman notes in the book’s foreword. “But unlike the technology icons pumping out next-generation hardware and software, for the past twenty years, Professor Wiesel has been hard at work trying to improve our human operating system by inspiring the next generation of ethical leaders.” Ethical Voices Here is how the future of ethical leadership looks. “One should not ask, ‘Is this the wrong thing to do?’ ” writes 1997 Prize in Ethics winner Mark Reed, “but, ‘Is it the right thing to do?’ ” By asking the first question, people immediately turn to policies and rules, and then venture no further. They adhere to the rule, fudge it, or simply ignore it. The second question carries a challenge with the potential to fuel great innovation. If this is not the right thing to do, what other process, product, idea, relationship, or people might we tap to achieve this same objective? In her effort, 1992 winner Kimlyn Bender examines the metaphorical “masks” we humans use to free ourselves from an innate drive to behave ethically in order to commit immoral acts. “The challenge of ethics today,” she writes, “is to focus not on the masks, but on the individuals behind them and to reawaken within the individual a renewed sensitivity to the moral conscience, bringing every area of life and action under its guidance.” Zohar Atkins, who won in 2009, frames our responsibility as global citizens. “We are responsible both for being who we are and becoming who we ought to be,” Atkins writes. “Our challenge takes many forms: … to philosophize, question, and critique, and to act, answer, and take a stand.” How do we execute our mission? “The answer is love,” Atkins argues. “… for to love is to say: ‘I am not the master of the world. I am incomplete, in need of another.’ ” We are “in need of another” because our decisions and actions affect so many others in our interconnected world. Hence we need future leaders who are “other regarding,” as Wiesel puts it. In his foreword, he asks, “Have we taught [young people] to develop an ethical compass within?” The 2007 winner, Magogodi Makhene, makes this argument in more compelling terms when she writes, “My humanity is inextricably linked to yours and unless I acknowledge your humanity in defining my own, I will never realize the highest summits of human experience.” Makhene was writing about her “tear-gassed childhood” in South Africa during the last throes of apartheid. However, her insights can be applied to the decision-making process nearly every 21st century leader conducts. No country, company, or individual will scale the summits of human endeavor unless we recognize our inextricable and moral interconnectedness to the rest of humanity and start behaving, and leading, in what Elie Wiesel describes as a “society yearning for guidance and eager to hear ethical voices.” * This story appeared in, and was written for, Bloomberg Businessweek .

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Richard (RJ) Eskow: The GOP and the Banks: Cutting the Garlic Budget as the Vampires Attack

December 22, 2010

Van Helsing: “The strength of the vampire is that nobody will believe in him.” America’s debt to Wall Street has soared since 1945 — and although the banks were rescued at the public’s expense, the public’s been left holding the bag for the recent drop in housing prices: Hmm… How many times has the word “vampire” appeared in books during the same period [1]? What does this mean? Does it reflect the public’s subconscious response to predatory banking? Or is it just some guy having nerdy fun with data sets by juxtaposing two trend lines that have nothing to do with one another? We report, you decide. Here’s what we do know: Like their fictional counterparts, America’s banks are revenants, re-animated creatures who were brought back from the dead through the public’s generosity. Now they’re feasting on the rest of us again, while politicians in Washington work to rob us of the few tools we can use to defend ourselves. With some Democratic complicity, Republicans are fulfilling the promise of Rep. Spencer Bachus, who said that “Washington and the regulators are there to serve the banks .” And what they’re serving them is you . The Count: “Listen to them! The creatures of the night. What music they make… ” The rap sheet against America’s banks grows longer and longer. They keep stringing people along with phony foreclosure negotiations, and then foreclose anyway. And we’re hearing more and more stories about bank agents who, as they’re invading and padlocking illegally foreclosed homes, also steal the private property inside them. In

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Richard (RJ) Eskow: The GOP and the Banks: Cutting the Garlic Budget as the Vampires Attack

December 22, 2010

Van Helsing: “The strength of the vampire is that nobody will believe in him.” America’s debt to Wall Street has soared since 1945 — and although the banks were rescued at the public’s expense, the public’s been left holding the bag for the recent drop in housing prices: Hmm… How many times has the word “vampire” appeared in books during the same period [1]? What does this mean? Does it reflect the public’s subconscious response to predatory banking? Or is it just some guy having nerdy fun with data sets by juxtaposing two trend lines that have nothing to do with one another? We report, you decide. Here’s what we do know: Like their fictional counterparts, America’s banks are revenants, re-animated creatures who were brought back from the dead through the public’s generosity. Now they’re feasting on the rest of us again, while politicians in Washington work to rob us of the few tools we can use to defend ourselves. With some Democratic complicity, Republicans are fulfilling the promise of Rep. Spencer Bachus, who said that “Washington and the regulators are there to serve the banks .” And what they’re serving them is you . The Count: “Listen to them! The creatures of the night. What music they make… ” The rap sheet against America’s banks grows longer and longer. They keep stringing people along with phony foreclosure negotiations, and then foreclose anyway. And we’re hearing more and more stories about bank agents who, as they’re invading and padlocking illegally foreclosed homes, also steal the private property inside them. In

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Leslie Lipschitz: Today’s Bounty, Tomorrow’s Promise: Better Policies to Manage Natural Resources

December 15, 2010

Countries rich in natural resources are often looked at with envy: they face few financial constraints and that should speed their development path. But the reality is less rosy. Countries with an abundance of natural resources–typically oil, gas or minerals–have, on average, performed less well than comparable non-resource rich countries. That raises one of the perennial questions in economic policymaking. How to manage the economic and social challenges that stem from resource wealth? Or, to borrow the words of Professor Thorvaldur Gylfason (University of Iceland), how to prevent “nature’s bounty” from “becoming the curse of the common people”? Broadening the policy dialogue While this issue isn’t a new one, it is particularly topical for a number of African economies that have new natural resource discoveries about to come on stream. So, in early November, the IMF Institute, in cooperation with the Bank of Algeria, organized a High Level Seminar on Natural Resources in Algiers , focusing on the challenges that these countries face, and distilling lessons from countries that have managed their natural resources successfully. The seminar brought together senior officials with experts from academia and civil society organizations. One of the advantages of being an international organization with a near-global membership is that the IMF is a unique repository of examples of member countries’ good and bad policy practices and experiences from which other policymakers can learn and benefit. The IMF is thus well placed to bring together policymakers and experts to discuss what has worked and what has not–that is, to learn from one another and from history. Participants from Botswana, Chile, Mexico, and Norway discussed what had worked best in their countries, and some other country representatives were quite frank on what had not worked in their experience. Common themes The benefits from “picking each other’s brains” were immediately evident in Algiers. Representatives from countries with newly discovered natural resource wealth, such as Ghana and Uganda, had the opportunity to ask direct questions and get advice from experts and from other policymakers about how best to manage resource wealth. Several themes emerged. Many acknowledged the difficulties of negotiating contracts with big multinational extraction firms about the sharing of exploration costs and the distribution of profits. Clearly governments want to ensure that a fair share of the profits stay in the country, while companies want to be certain that the initial investment in exploration and discovery will yield a fair return. While countries shared their experiences, they also heard the point of view of a major global petroleum company. Various technical experts also weighed in with suggestions on how contracts could be structured to deal with various contingencies. A second universal question is how the benefits should be shared between current and future generations. This entails a careful balancing act between the urgent need to address current poverty and the longer-term investment strategy–and it often requires substantial political fortitude and robust institutions to ensure that domestic spending does not exceed the level that can be absorbed effectively. While there is clearly no single ideal, universally applicable solution, elements from many of the countries’ strategies might well be useful in other cases. The primary common denominator of success was undoubtedly good governance underpinned by robust and transparent institutions. Underlying these natural resource-specific issues is the need for a stable and predictable macroeconomic environment to enable countries to capitalize on their resource wealth. Here, the views of the IMF were sought on a range of macroeconomic issues–such as designing fiscal policies, monetary and exchange rate policies for cushioning the volatility of resource revenues, and the efficacy of ‘industrial policies’ designed to favor specific sectors (for example, through trade policies or budgetary subsidies). Continuing the dialogue on good policies While the High-Level Seminar in Algiers provided a rich and varied discussion, it would be naive to think that there might be a ‘quick fix’ for an issue that countries have struggled with for many years. But, to the extent that this seminar–the proceedings of which we plan to publish as a book–has stimulated policymakers’ thinking about both the complexities and successful examples of managing natural resource endowments, it will have met our objectives. What is needed is an ongoing consultative dialogue inclusive of the civil society and a collaborative approach. We at the IMF are committed to being part of that conversation. In addition to country level policy discussions, we will continue to engage on two broad fronts: First, by providing technical assistance in areas such as tax and expenditure policies, monetary policies under alternative exchange rate regimes, and the use and management of sovereign wealth funds. Second, by providing training opportunities. For example, following the Algiers Seminar, the IMF Institute launched a new two-week course on “Macroeconomic Management in Resource Rich Countries” (at Stellenbosch University in South Africa). This course aimed at giving a broad overview of all topics and challenges involved in policymaking and strategic planning for countries with resource wealth. Next year the course will be offered again–to different regional audiences at the Joint Vienna Institute in Austria and the Joint Partnership for Africa in Tunisia. From iMFdirect blog

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Inder Sidhu: Profiles in Doing Both: How Cutting-Edge Thinking Keeps Gillette Sharp

December 10, 2010

There’s a movement under way in India that has led to some dancing in the streets . No, I am not talking about some up-and-coming political revolution, but a simple change in consumer behavior instead. It all has to do with a new razor unveiled in October by Gillette. The single-blade razor may look like a throw-back to shavers from another era, but in fact is one of the most significant product launches ever by the company, according to Gillette Chief Technology Officer Bruce Brown. Recently, I had an opportunity to participate in a webinar with Bruce, Emory University Professor Jagdish Sheth and Harvard Business Review contributor and venture capitalist Scott Anthony. Our topic: ” Innovate or Adapt: The Challenge of New Markets .” More than a study of a company’s efforts to grow sales in one emerging economy, Bruce’s story of how the Guard came to be and, moreover, how it could help Gillette in other parts of the world, is a powerful lesson in business strategy. While some only look to the emerging world for new customers or cheap labor, Gillette, Heinz and a growing number of organizations now leverage the creative energies and innovative thinking from there. When Gillette tapped these capabilities, for example, it produced one of the world’s most-effective and yet most-affordable razors. Unveiled in May, the Guard costs less than 35 cents. It provides a clean, close shave for as little as a few pennies each. And thanks to its unique design, it doesn’t nick, scratch or cut men the way that double-edged razors–the most widely used shaving tools in rural India–do. To produce the Guard, Gillette rethought everything it had learned about razors in its 173-year history. Instead of adding more, thinner blades to cartridges as it does to razors sold in the United States, Gillette went back to a single-blade design after spending thousands of hours with Indian men. The company watched them shave, accompanied them as they shopped and discussed with them their personal preferences. What they told Gillette convinced the company to develop the Guard in India, where needs and habits are very different than in America. Consider: In many parts of India, men don’t shave every day. Nor do they have an abundance of water to rinse their razors. Because of these and other considerations, Gillette designed a product that would work with longer hair and require less cleaning. Gillette also reduced by 80 percent the number of parts that go into a razor–a move that helped keep costs down. The net result is Gillette’s first product designed from scratch that features technology and design inputs from customers in the emerging world. It’s a significant milestone for a company that traditionally develops razors, batteries and dental care products in one part of the world and then adapts them to another. And it is just the beginning. Recently, Gillette expanded its research and development center in Beijing, and announced plans to open a new facility in Singapore. Engineers there will collaborate with counterparts in the U.S., Japan and India. The goal? Transfer the best ideas from one part of the world to the other so Gillette can more easily enter new markets and disrupt existing ones. “There are significant synergies between markets that can be tapped,” says Bruce, “and learning from one market can be a foundation as we move to additional markets.” Does this mean you will see some of the thinking that went into the Gillette Guard in a product near you? You might. A low-cost razor for European men who camp in the wild? An affordable, one-time use product for American Emergency Medical Technicians who need to clean wounds quickly? Thanks to doing both–adapting products developed in the established world and innovating new ideas in the emerging one–the possibilities for Gillette are endless. The virtuous, back-and-forth cycle of idea sharing and innovation exchange is helping to make the company one of the sharpest in its industry. When you make razors for a living, that’s a good thing indeed. Inder Sidhu is the Senior Vice President of Strategy & Planning for Worldwide Operations at Cisco , and the author of Doing Both: How Cisco Captures Today’s Profits and Drives Tomorrow’s Growth . Follow Inder on Twitter at @indersidhu .

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Ellen Brown: Is QE2 the Road to Zimbabwe-style Hyperinflation? Not Likely

December 1, 2010

A month ago, the bond vigilantes were screaming that the Fed’s QE2 would be the first step on the road to Zimbabwe-style hundred trillion dollar notes. Zimbabwe (formerly Rhodesia) is the poster example of what can go wrong when a government pays its bills by printing money. Zimbabwe’s economy collapsed in 2008, when its currency hyperinflated to the point that it was trading with the U.S. dollar at an exchange rate of 10 trillion to 1. On November 29, Cullen Roche wrote in the Pragmatic Capitalist : Back in October the economic buzzwords had become “money printing” and “debt monetization” … [T]he Fed was initiating their policy of QE2 and you’d have been hard pressed to find someone in this country (and around the world for that matter) who wasn’t entirely convinced that the USA was about to send the dollar into some sort of death spiral. QE2 was about to set off a round of inflation that would make Zimbabwe look like a cakewalk. And then something odd happened — the dollar rallied as QE2 set sail and hasn’t looked back since. What really happened in Zimbabwe? And why does QE2 seem to be making the dollar stronger rather than weaker, as the inflationistas predicted? Anatomy of a Hyperinflation Professor Michael Hudson has studied hyperinflation extensively. He maintains that “every hyperinflation in history stems from the foreign exchange markets. It stems from governments trying to throw enough of their currency on the market to pay their foreign debts.” It is in the foreign exchange markets that a national currency becomes vulnerable to manipulation by speculators. The Zimbabwe economic crisis dated back to 2001, when the government defaulted on its loans and the IMF refused to make the usual accommodations, including refinancing and loan forgiveness. Zimbabwe’s credit was ruined and it could not get loans elsewhere, so the government resorted to issuing its own national currency and using the money to buy U.S. dollars on the foreign exchange market. These dollars were then used to pay the IMF and regain the country’s credit rating. According to a statement by the Zimbabwe central bank, the hyperinflation was caused by speculators who charged exorbitant rates for U.S. dollars, causing a drastic devaluation of the Zimbabwe currency. But something darker seems also to have been going on. Timothy Kalyegira , a columnist with the Daily Monitor of Uganda, wrote in a 2007 article: Most observers and the general public believe Zimbabwe’s economic crisis was brought about by Mugabe’s decision to seize white-owned commercial farms in 2000. That might well be true. But how about another, much more sinister element… sabotage? Kalyegira asked how a government “with the same tyrant called Mugabe as president, the same corruption, and same mismanagement, kept inflation down to single digit figures [before 2000], but after 2000, the same leader, government, and fiscal policies suddenly become so hopelessly incompetent that inflation is at the latest reported to be over 500,000 percent?” Canadian commentator Stephen Gowans calls it “warfare by other means .” Devaluing the enemy’s currency has been used as a war tactic historically. It was used by Napoleon against the Russians and by the British against the American colonists. In 1992, financier George Soros showed how it was done when his hedge fund, virtually single-handedly, brought down the British pound. His fund sold short more than $10 billion worth of pounds, forcing the Bank of England to devalue the currency, earning Soros an estimated $1.1 billion and the title “the man who broke the Bank of England.” In 1997, the UK Treasury estimated the cost at 3.4 billion pounds. One wonders, then, if it is just coincidence that the Open Society Initiative for Southern Africa is a Soros-affiliated organization. According to Wikipedia , its director for Zimbabwe also directs the Zimbabwe Congress of Trade Unions, the main force behind the founding of the Movement for Democratic Change, the principal indigenous organization promoting regime change in Zimbabwe. War by Other Means The push for regime change in Zimbabwe was detailed by Stephen Gowans in a March 2007 article posted on Global Research. He wrote: Before 1980 Zimbabwe was a white-supremacist British colony named after the British financier Cecil Rhodes, whose company, the British South Africa Company, stole the land from the indigenous Matabele and Mashona people in the 1890s… Ever since veterans of the guerrilla war against apartheid Rhodesia violently seized white-owned farms in Zimbabwe, the country’s president, Robert Mugabe, has been demonized by politicians, human rights organizations and the media in the West… I’m going to argue that the basis for Mugabe’s demonization is the desire of Western powers to change the economic and land redistribution policies Mugabe’s government has pursued… and that the ultimate aim of regime change is to replace Mugabe with someone who can be counted on to reliably look after Western interests, and particularly British investments, in Zimbabwe. Timothy Kalyegira concurred in this theory, observing: A former undercover operative John Perkins recalled events that are strikingly familiar to what we see in Zimbabwe today: “[In] 1951… Iran rebelled against a British oil company that was exploiting Iranian natural resources and its people… An outraged England sought the help of her…ally, the United States… Washington dispatched CIA agent Kermit Roosevelt… to organize a series of… violent demonstrations, which created the impression that [Iranian Prime Minister] Mossadegh was both unpopular and inept. ( Confessions Of An Economic Hit Man , Ebury Press, 2005, page 18) Clearly, Mugabe’s capital crime was to displace White privilege in Zimbabwe and personally stand up to the White establishment in London and Washington. The U.S. Is Not Zimbabwe Even if Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation was the result of currency manipulation rather than exploitation by corrupt politicians, couldn’t the same thing happen to the U.S. dollar? The answer is, not likely. The U.S. does not owe debts in a foreign currency over which it has no control. It can issue bonds payable in its own currency. Today that currency is issued by the Federal Reserve, which is privately owned by a consortium of banks; but the Fed has been at least semi-captive ever since the 1960s, disgorging its profits to the Treasury. Its website states , “Federal Reserve Banks are not… operated for a profit, and each year they return to the U.S. Treasury all earnings in excess of Federal Reserve operating and other expenses.” The Federal Reserve Act provides that it can be modified or rescinded at any time, so Congress retains ultimate control. Randall Wray , Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri-Kansas City, writes that “involuntary default is, literally, impossible for a sovereign government.” The U.S. does not have to rely on foreign investors even to buy its bonds. If the investors are not interested, the central bank can buy the bonds. That is, in fact, what the Fed’s second round of quantitative easing is all about: issuing $600 billion for the purchase of long-term government bonds. But what if foreign investors decide to dump their dollars, devaluing the U.S. currency? Again, this is not really a problem. As Warren Mosler observes , we’re actually trying to get China to revalue its currency upward, which is the same thing as devaluing the dollar. Cullen Roche remarks: [Y]ou can see the irony here… How many times do you read on the internet that we need a lower dollar to boost the economy? And how many times do you read every day that people are worried China will dump the dollar and cause the U.S. economy to sink into a black hole? These people don’t even understand the contradiction in their writing. When China sells dollars they’re just expressing a reduced demand on their part. If they find a willing holder of those dollars the dollars will be held elsewhere. Big deal. Unlike Zimbabwe, which had to have U.S. dollars to pay its debt to the IMF, the U.S. can easily get the currency it needs without being beholden to anyone. It can print the dollars, or borrow from the Fed which prints them. But wouldn’t that dilute the value of the currency? No, says Cullen Roche , because swapping dollars for bonds does not change the size of the money supply. A dollar bill and a dollar bond are essentially the same thing. One bears interest and is a little less liquid than the other, but both are obligations good for a dollar’s worth of goods or services in the economy. Dean Baker , co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, wrote recently concerning the federal deficit: There is no reason that the Fed can’t just buy this debt (as it is largely doing) and hold it indefinitely. If the Fed holds the debt, there is no interest burden for future taxpayers. The Fed refunds its interest earnings to the Treasury every year. Last year the Fed refunded almost $80 billion in interest to the Treasury, nearly 40 percent of the country’s net interest burden. And the Fed has other tools to ensure that the expansion of the monetary base required to purchase the debt does not lead to inflation. This means that the country really has no near-term or even mid-term deficit problem. The current deficit is a positive. In fact, if it were larger we would have more jobs and growth. Furthermore, there is no reason that the debt being accumulated at present should pose any interest burden on future generations. In this vein, it is worth noting that Japan’s central bank holds debt amounting to almost 100 percent of that country’s GDP . As a result, Japan’s interest burden is considerably smaller than the United States’s, even though Japan’s debt is almost four times as large relative to the size of its economy. [Emphasis added.] Although Japan’s relative debt is almost four times as large as ours and its central bank holds enough to equal nearly 100% of its GDP, investors are not fleeing the yen or driving the economy into hyperinflation. In fact Japan still can’t pull itself out of deflation , despite massive quantitative easing. The country still has willing trading partners and is still the third largest economy in the world, an impressive feat for a small island. If the Fed were to follow the lead of Japan and hold federal debt equal to the country’s gross domestic product, the Fed would be holding $14.75 trillion in federal securities, enough to refinance the entire U.S. federal debt of $13.8 trillion virtually interest-free. The federal debt hasn’t been paid off since the 1830s under President Andrew Jackson. It is just rolled over from year to year. An interest-free debt rolled over indefinitely is the functional equivalent of the government issuing money itself. Andrew Jackson would have said the government should be issuing the money itself, rather than borrowing from banks that issue it. If Congress gave itself the right under the Constitution to issue money, he said , “it was conferred to be exercised by themselves, and not to be transferred to a corporation.” Indeed, that may be why the U.S. dollar has been going UP since QE2 was initiated, while the Euro has been going down . EU governments are doing what the inflation hawks want them to do: cut back on services, privatize their pension money, and otherwise engage in austerity measures to balance their budgets. The effect has been to depress their economies and throw them deeper and deeper into debt, with nowhere to get the extra cash needed to pay the expanding debt and interest burden. The U.S. and Japan are exploring another model: allowing their currencies to expand to meet the needs of their economies. This was, in fact, the original money system of the American colonists. It was revived by Abraham Lincoln to avoid a crippling war debt, after which it was dubbed the “Greenback solution.”

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GOP Lawmakers: Elizabeth Warren’s Job ‘Undermines’ Constitution

November 23, 2010

In the letters Reps. Spencer Bachus and Judy Biggert sent to the Treasury and the Federal Reserve, the GOP lawmakers challenge the legality of Elizabeth Warren’s authority to set up the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Bachus and Biggert have urged the inspectors general at the Treasury and the Fed to investigate how Elizabeth Warren, whom President Obama made special White House adviser in September, has been setting up the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a new agency created under the summer’s financial reform legislation. As she leads the search for the agency’s first director, Warren effectively serves as its interim head . By appointing Warren as special adviser in September, the president “undermined” the Constitution, Bachus and Biggert contend, in two nearly identical letters dated Nov. 22. From the letters: “First, the President’s decision to appoint Professor Elizabeth Warren as a special advisor to the Secretary of the Treasury and as a senior advisor in the White House with lead responsibility for establishing the Bureau, hiring its staff, and setting its agenda — as opposed to nominating the director of the Bureau, as contemplated by the Act — circumvented the advice-and-consent process and undermined one of the key checks and balances in our Constitution. While the Act confers upon the Secretary of the Treasury limited interim authority ‘to perform the functions of the Bureau’ (Section 1066(a)), Professor Warren is now exercising that authority.” The GOP lawmakers say Warren is overstepping her authority. But Warren has responded to this criticism in the past. As she explained on PBS in early October , her current job was specifically created by law. “There are two jobs on the table. And they were always there by statute. One certainly is the director of the agency,” Warren said. “There is a second job that was available. And it’s clear in the statute. Somebody is supposed to get out there and get that agency going. And the truth is, one has a cool title, but the other one gets to work right now.” A spokesperson for the House Financial Services committee, who speaks for Bachus on financial services issues, didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. Zachary Cikanek, press secretary for Biggert, said the agency’s eventual leader should face a full confirmation process. “What we would like to see is for the person with lead responsibility of the Bureau to be somebody nominated by the president and confirmed by the Senate,” Cikanek said. Bachus is a leading contender to replace Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.) as chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. During the 2009-2010 election cycle, his campaign received $132,200 from the securities and investment industry, and $80,800 from commercial banks, according to Open Secrets . His top contributors included Capital One, Credit Suisse, Wells Fargo and Bank of America, which each donated $10,000 to his campaign, Open Secrets says. READ the letter to Treasury below: Thorson BCFP Letter Biggert-Bachus 11-22-10

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Magnolia Solar Corporation Announces Appointment of a World Renowned Expert in Nanotechnology for Energy Harvesting to the Technical Advisory Board

November 18, 2010

WOBURN, MA and ALBANY, NY–(Marketwire – November 18, 2010) – Magnolia Solar Corporation ( OTCBB : MGLT ) (“Magnolia Solar”) announced today that Professor Zhong Lin (Z. L.) Wang, Distinguished Professor and Director, Center for Nanostructure Characterization at Georgia Tech, has joined its Technical Advisory Board (TAB). Professor Wang is a world-renowned expert in nanostructure growth and characterization of semiconductor materials and devices for Energy harvesting technology.

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David Isenberg: Private Military Companies as Quasi-States

November 18, 2010

Our latest entry in law journal articles on private military contractors is “Why Private Mercenary Companies Should Be Legitimized and Allowed to Enter the World Stage.” This was published in the spring 2009 issue of the New England Law Review . The author is Edieth Y. Wu , who is Professor of Law at the Thurgood Marshall School of Law at Texas Southern University. In a mere 16018 words, which is positively svelte by law journal standards, she makes the argument “Like the multinational, PMCs have the potential to impact domestic and international politics and “spread wealth, work, technologies that raise living standards and better” the lives of millions, which gives them an opportunity to participate in the global economy.” That’s a fairly bold assertion. Even PMC trade associations don’t normally make such a claim, as it puts PMCs right up there with Apple, Google, and Microsoft. And not even Eric Prince, back when Blackwater was at the top of the PMC heap, would go that far. Still, once you get past the fact that Professor You is calling PMC a “mercenary” company – you would think a law professor of all people, trained to used word with exactitude, would know better – she has some intriguing things to say regarding PMC regulation. In particular, she calls for the United Nations Security Council, to support a resolution to legitimize properly registered PMCs. She writes, “The U.N. is in the best position and can “bring[] essential assets to bear on any effort to deal with pressing problems” of PMCs. The U.N. has legitimacy because it represents the world and can call on nations to assist in situations that affect humanity as a whole. The U.N. should pass an “Emergency Private Mercenary Company Resolution” (Emergency PMC Resolution) similar to the resolutions that address measures to prevent international terrorism.” She notes there is precedent. After the September 11, 2001 attack on the United States, the U.N.’s response was decisively unprecedented and swift. Resolution 1368 was unanimously adopted by the Security Council within twenty-four hours of the attack. The Resolution called for all States to work to bring the perpetrators to justice, and it called for the “international community to redouble their efforts to prevent and suppress terrorist acts.” The same swiftness and assurance of support should accompany the Emergency PMC Resolution. The Emergency PMC Resolution would legitimize reputable companies that are willing to comply with the Emergency PMC Resolution and the augmented three-tiered process. The Emergency PMC Resolution should be drafted under Chapter VII of the Charter because it addresses threats, breaches, and aggression against the peace of the international community. The Resolution would require all member nations to pass and enforce national legislation making it compulsory for all PMCs to register with the U.N. under their home country’s membership. After the company registers, all of its employees would then be designated as having dual nationality. That is, nationals of their home state and nationals of their company’s state, analogous to the situation in the Merge case. The individual’s dominant nationality would be the nationality of his contracted employer, the PMC, based on the dominant nationality principal. A mercenary would also be subject to the municipal court system of his or her employer’s home country because of the voluntary contacts and participation in said activity. Of course, trying to define “reputable companies” is akin to determining how many angels can fit on the head of a pin. Maybe we can outsource that task to Jesuits, as they have a reputation for arguing over the obscure. But what is really breathtaking is this: First, mercenary companies should not be placed under regulations that control state-run militaries; instead, mercenary companies should be designated through a U.N. Resolution as a “Quasi-State,” a cross between a multinational corporation and a non-governmental organization. Because the designation would flow through the U.N. and its members, the necessity for global harmonization and legitimacy would be unquestioned. The “quasi-state” status would be viewed as global entities who are allowed to operate as a result of a decision by the community of nations. These Quasi-State companies would be given semi-international legal personality so that they would be subject to the International Court of Justice’s jurisdiction as well as the ICC’s, which already has the power to adjudicate individual defendants. Large PMCs are “no longer ordinary players on the international scene, [these] corporations have achieved effective global governance by virtue of their control of economic” and military expertise. Additionally, they have “rights or duties,” in the global community and should be evaluated based on the “extent to which other legal persons resemble states in their ability to bring [and have] international claims” brought against them. Corporations have been branded as “corporate states”; this is not a U.N. or state designation. To date, “states are unwilling, also, to elevate corporations to the status of a nation.” They “may be a party to a contract recognized by international law and possibly become a subject … but this does not invoke legal capacity to act like a nation.” The opportunity to bestow the quasi-state designation allows world leaders to not only place controls over a growing and specialized corporation but also allows them to protect global citizens at the same time. The insecurity concerning PMCs has created an avenue “to re-establish democratic control” n198 and enhance oversight over this growing multinational corporate segment. A clear message would be articulated that corporations “are legally not more significant than a single human being or a non-governmental organization … . False [they] are just nationals like other nationals in international law,” except they would now be subject to stricter scrutiny for acts committed as a result of their business activity, enhanced prosecutorial reach extended to the ICJ, ICC, and national courts. In one way this actually makes sense, sort of. After all Vatican City is a sovereign city-state with an area of approximately 110 acres and a population of just over 800. As the capital of the Catholic Church, it is the headquarters of a global corporation, albeit of the theological variety. By contrast Xe Services, formerly Blackwater, another multinational, has a headquarters of 7,500 acres and its firepower far outstrips that of the Swiss Guard who protects the Vatican. If they go to war someday I know who I’m putting my money on. And if a PMC decided not to play ball with this arrangement? Prof. Yu writes: PMCs that refuse to cooperate would be classified as “Rogue Companies” and could be prosecuted by another state under the principles of preemptory norm (jus cogens) ( http://definitions.uslegal.com/j/jus-cogens), if the home state refused or was unable to prosecute. Similar to the difference between pirates and legitimate privateers, unregistered companies would be treated like pirates – illegals – and would thus suffer strict and swift punishment. Illegal or unregistered companies would be subject to the U.N.’s declaration that they “violate the purposes and principles enshrined in the Charter.” As a result, states would be mandated to “take the necessary steps and to exercise the utmost vigilance against the menace posed by the activities … and to bring to trial those found responsible, or to consider their extradition, if so requested, in accordance with domestic law and applicable bilateral or international treaties.” So, if you are willing to accept the initial premise we could, theoretically, have states issue contracts to PMC to apprehend and bring to justice the perp, oops, I mean the disreputable PMC. It’s rather like the concept of issuing letters of marquee to fight pirates, which, after all, is in Article 1 of the U.S. Constitution. Hmmm, PMC as pirates? I’ll go out on a limb and say PMC probably want to avoid something that could put them in an equivalent status. After all, piracy is considered a breach of jus cogens, an international norm that states must uphold. Pirates are considered by sovereign states to be hostis humani generis (enemies of humanity). Still, I hope PMCs do get quasi-state status, if only so we can see PMC representatives pontificate like all the others at the U.N. General Assembly and the Security Council. Perhaps Eric Prince can come out of retirement and be designated Xe Services’ UN ambassador.

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Dan Dorfman: Gobs of New Jobs, but Gobs of Questions

November 6, 2010

A not-so-funny thing happened on the way to the stock market Friday that mystified many an investor. Maybe you, too. In the face of an early morning positive disclosure of a surprisingly strong October employment report, namely the creation of 151,000 jobs, more than double the general expectation, the market acted like it had been hit by a bulldozer. Stocks should have soared on that kind of news — a credible sign that the jobs market was finally rebounding. Instead, they snored as the Dow, frequently in negative territory, rose a mere 9 points on the day, What alarmed some market watchers was that the jobs news came on the heels of happy tidings for Wall Street earlier in the week that drove up the Dow nearly 220 points on Thursday. So the market was clearly set to run higher on the jobs news. Those earlier stock-boosting tidings: — Strong G.O.P. gains in the mid-term elections, a repudiation of Obama’s policies, which, in turn, flashed a signal that maybe one of the elephant herd now has a legitimate shot at relocating to the White House in 2012. — A $600 billion economic-boosting QE2 (quantative easing) package from the Federal Reserve. So why a disappointing Friday? Aside from Thursday’s big gain which trumped the employment news, add some doubts about the potency of both the jobs report and QE2. Peter Morici, a professor of economics at the University of Maryland, doesn’t mince any words as he raises questions about both. “We’re not over the hump,” he says. “We’re on a plateau. Yes, we’re creating jobs, but not enough to materially improve the economy.” As for QE2, Morici doesn’t give it a passing grade, “It won’t lower interest rates or fire up the depressed housing market,” he says. “Maybe we’ll see a temporary benefit, say a 5% rise in stock prices.” As for economic growth, here again, a bum grade from our professor. He sees mediocre 2.6% GDP growth in the current quarter, and less, 2.4%, for all of 2011. At best, he says, “we’ll slog along at a mediocre pace.” In a commentary to clients Friday, David Rosenberg, the well-regarded chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Scheff & Associates, a leading Canadian wealth management firm, raised a number of questions about the overall vigor of the jobs report, noting it was not universally strong. For example, he notes the Household Survey in the report (which includes agricultural employees and self employed) showed a decline of 330,000 jobs. This survey, he also points out, served up evidence that the problem of excess labor supply has not gone away. Moreover, a barometer that many labor experts regard as the most accurate indicator of the health of the jobs market turned in a poor showing. That is the employment-to-population rate — the share of the population that is working — which fell to 58.3 from 58.5%, a 10-month low. Further, he observes, many industries still reported job declines last month, including manufacturing, commercial and residential construction, transportation, information, financial and government. As for QE2, Rosenberg says we may have well seen the last of QE. Why? Because in 2011, he notes, there will be three new voting Federal Reserve bank presidents who vocally oppose more easing initiatives, Relating his thinking to the market, Rosenberg says it’s difficult to see how equities can rally on the Fed move alone, or on the election results for that matter, seeing as both a G.O.P. victory in the House and QE2 had been widely discounted in recent months. Madeline Schnapp, economics skipper at West Coast liquidity tracker TrimTabs Research, partially owned by Goldman Sachs, also raises some questions about QE2. It may stimulate economic activity short term, she says, but it has negative long-term consequences, notably higher inflation and higher interest rates. She also cites a couple of other economic risks, namely the threat of higher taxes from expiring tax cuts and the end-of-the-month expiration of extended and emergency unemployment benefits affecting 6.2 million current enrollees. Without an extension, she points out, by the time all those enrollees fall off the unemployment insurance bandwagon, it may yank $59-$60 billion out of the unemployed pocketbooks, a potentially big negative on consumption. Given his admitted “shellacking” in the recent elections, President Obama has made it clear he’s open to a negotiating process with the Republicans. Could that open the door to more getting done in Washington? Schnapp has her doubts, noting the problem is you have a new ball game in the House next year with a decidedly left group of Democrats sitting across from a new crop of decidedly right Republicans. “Seems like a recipe of gridlock to me,” she says. I hear similar talk from Hong Kong trader Selwyn Ortz who attributes at least part of Friday’s listless market showing to what he believes is “common sense recognition that it will be gridlock and more gridlock in Washington over the next two years, with little if anything of a concrete nature getting done to create more jobs and invigorate the economy.” That means, Ortz believes, that headway in remedying the two biggest economic headaches — jobs and housing — will likely be disappointing. That’s also the thinking of Mideast trader Caise Hassan, who manages family money and is up 110% this year. A HuffPost reader in Amman, Jordan, Chicago-born Hassan tells me: “I don’t hear any great ideas from the Republicans. Maybe they’ll push big tax breaks for companies and lighten up on their criticism of Bernanke’s money printing. But what’s really needed,” he says, “is something that can benefit poor and middle America and neither party is providing that.” As far as the economic recovery goes, Hassan is somewhat skeptical, noting “I see no catalysts for job growth, no legislative catalysts and not enough being done to stimulate growth and demand.” Further, he sees mediocre economic progress for the U.S. in 2011, observing “every time it takes two steps forward, it seems to take one step back,” His view of Congress’ progress over the next two years: “I don’t think it will achieve anything.” Still, he thinks the stock market is likely is likely to trend higher over the next few months, reflecting good relative strength, solid earnings growth, an overvalued bond market, very low interest rates, the advent of QE2 and strengthening global markets. It’s worth noting that Hassan, in conversations I’ve had with him in recent months, shows he’s a brainy guy when it comes to the investment arena. He has made a number of excellent calls on the direction of the market, as well as on some solid specific investment recommendations. Chief among his current favorites are selected stocks and some commodities, which both recently climbed to a two-year high following the QE2 announcement. On the equities side, Hassan favors Joy Global, Apple, Amazon and Sina Corp., a Chinese internet company. In commodities, he likes cocoa, sugar and rice. He says he would avoid gold and silver for the next few months, believing that both are currently overbought. Interestingly, he’s short oil, currently a strong performing commodity that he notes usually declines at the end of the year. What do you think? E-mail me at Dandordan@aol.com .

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Lanny Davis: Let’s Stick to the Facts on For-Profit Colleges Regulations

October 25, 2010

As I wrote on September 23 in this space, the Department of Education’s (DOE) attempt to put more stringent regulations on for-profit colleges is an example of good intentions gone awry. Rather than expanding college opportunities and fighting fraud, the proposed new “gainful employment” (“GE”) rules would instead limit college access especially for minority students, raise taxpayer costs, and create new obstacles for employers eager to hire qualified workers. The new rules target only for-profit institutions, a relatively small section of higher education. And for reasons not explained by the DOE, it has made no effort at all to hold public and private non-profit colleges to any similar standard for student debt and repayment limitations and job placement outcomes — particularly puzzling since these schools are subsidized by tens of billions of dollars of direct federal and state grants and are the beneficiaries of the largest share of federally-backed student loans. Even so, there remains a problem in the debate on this important issue that is fundamental — and that is respect for the difference between ideology and facts. To put it bluntly and to paraphrase a well-known pundit, those who criticize for-profit schools are “entitled to their own opinions, but not their own facts.” In this spirit, I challenge three important “assertions of fact” by proponents of these regulations, including leaders at the DOE as well as some Democrats in the U.S. Senate, that are false or misleading, or both. First: Repayment Rates — Asserted fact: that the regulations are needed because the “profit” in the for-profit colleges yields lower repayment rates than at non-profit and public colleges. Actual fact: Repayment rates are a result of the demographic and socio-economic status of the students who take out the loans, not the tax status of the colleges they attend. See, e.g., independent study by Mark Kantrowitz, an independent financial aid professional (found here) and Professor Jonathan Guryan, Ph.D, a professor in economics at Northwestern University, whose comments to this effect regarding the proposed gainful employment regulations were submitted to the DOE (found here). Mr. Kantrowitz’s data leads to especially troubling conclusions for those who are concerned about low-income and minority students: that the more minority students are in a college, the more they are likely to fail one or both of the two tests in the GE regulations — debt-to earnings and repayment rates. No wonder so many members of the Democratic Congressional Black Caucus have written letters of concern to DOE Secretary Arne Duncan, as well as many other leaders of minority communities who have expressed the same concerns, such as Rev. Jesse Jackson, and Rev. Al Sharpton, regarding these regulations as currently drafted and support serious changes before final issuance. Isn’t it troubling (at least to fellow liberal Democrats, such as myself) that a progressive Democratic administration seems indifferent or determined to go full steam ahead and ignore a disparate racial and economic effect of these regulations on a core Democratic Party base — minorities and lower income people who comprise most of the for-profit colleges students adversely affected by these proposed regulations? And just before an election day when the president and Democratic Party leaders are seeking a large turnout from that base? Second: Cost to Taxpayers — Asserted facts: Critics assert that regulations are needed because for-profits cost federal tax payers too much money each year. DOE uses the number26.5 billion as the latest total annual “federal aid.” Senator Harkin repeatedly uses the number24 billion. Both are false and misleading. Actual fact: The data proves that public colleges and private not-for-profit colleges cost taxpayers substantially more money per student at four-year colleges than for-profit colleges. (See recent analysis by noted economists Dr. Robert Shapiro and Dr. Nam Pham, available here.) A recent analysis by Charles River Associates concluded that career colleges cost the taxpayers25,000 less per graduate than community colleges or other public two-year institutions. With $20 billion in annual student loans to students attending for-profit colleges, the DOE’s own data calculates that the projected cost of student loan defaults at these for-profit colleges — net of recoveries after defaults – is about one percent to be written off as entirely non-collectible, or less than $200 million – not the $26.5 billion or $24 billion misleadingly cited by the DOE and Senator Harkin, respectively. Third: Inferior Job Placement – Critics assert that for-profit schools have dismal graduation and job placement rates, leaving students with large debts and bleak earnings potential, as compared to private not-for-profits and public colleges. Actual fact – For-profit college graduation rates at two year institutions exceed 55 percent, significantly higher than those at community colleges. Yet no mention was made of that fact during the much-touted White House meeting focusing just on community colleges, which totally omitted any reference to for-profit colleges and the predominantly low-income and minority students they serve. For-profit schools have produced millions of success stories, helping students prepare for and find new jobs, advance their careers and earn higher pay. Graduates find jobs in a wide range of high-demand professions as nurses and health care aides, computer professionals and programmers, chefs and retail managers, solar and wind energy technicians. If Senator Harkin wanted to hold 10 hearings, he could fill the HELP Committee panels with real people telling those real success stories. Instead, not one single career college student was allowed to appear to tell a single success story at a single HELP Committee hearing on this issue. As I wrote in this space several weeks ago, there is a vague and uneasy aroma of elitist double standards going on here. The Harvard or Stanford students majoring in ancient history or anthropology, with difficulty finding jobs in those fields, would be unaffected by these proposed regulations. Yet a minority or low-income student training to be a health care assistant or computer technician or chef would face two new debt and repayment rate tests that could have adverse effect on the institutions under the Department’s rules. Why is there such a distinction? Am I wrong in seeing a double standard here? Why can’t Secretary Duncan fix the rule to eliminate its unintended but clearly discriminatory impacts? And why not apply any final rule to all schools — even, if necessary, by seeking additional congressional authority to do so to ensure evenhandedness? Why not treat the low-income, full-time working parent studying at night at a for-profit college in a two-year program to be a medical assistant the same as a full-time Yale student majoring in philosophy? By relying on problematic facts, the Department of Education has created a problematic policy. Before finalizing any new rules, it should first finalize its facts. The proposed rules need to be fixed to mitigate their effect on low income and minority students and to apply them across the board — to for-profit colleges as well as non-profit and public colleges. Certainly there should be no last minute rush to put into effect by November 1 even a portion of the gainful employment regulations, such as those applicable to new programs, without full review. To do so would be contrary to the spirit if not the letter of the commitment the Secretary made to take into account the more than 90,000 comments made about the gainful employment regulations. It would smack of a rush-to-regulate not becoming and not justified. One thing we should all agree on — it’s time for Secretary Duncan to put the amber light on and be sure, no matter what, to base such far-reaching regulations on the facts, and only the facts. Mr. Davis, a former special counsel to President Clinton in 1996-98, is a Washington D.C. principal at the firm of Lanny J. Davis & Associates and is a public spokesperson and registered paid lobbyist on behalf of the “Coalition for Educational Success,” a group of 72 for-profit colleges in 37 states with more than 200,000 students. He is the author of “Scandal: How ‘Gotcha’ Politics Is Destroying America” (Palgrave MacMillan, 2006).

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Stephen Lambert: The Flaw: Examining the Roots of Economic Malaise

October 24, 2010

The dramatic increase in income inequality over the last ten years is not news to readers of this site, but the extent to which it actually caused the financial crisis is still not widely appreciated. As Ray Brescia pointed out this month in all the debates over the Dodd-Frank financial reforms, few in Congress raised questions about the impact of growing inequality on the very crisis that brought about the need for reform. As a producer of documentaries and television programs there are different ways in which one can tell the story of what’s happening to the economy. At Studio Lambert we produce two mainstream shows that probably only exist because they reflect the economic zeitgeist — Undercover Boss on CBS and The Fairy Jobmother which launches this week on Lifetime. Arianna Huffington was kind enough to say that Undercover Boss sheds light each week on the chasm between America’s haves and have-nots. She thought it put flesh and blood on statistics like the fact that thirty years ago top executives at S&P 500 companies made an average of 30 times what their workers did and now they make 300 times as much. But to understand the real significance of this inequality one needs a more analytical approach than a reality show can offer. We’ve just finished producing a feature documentary called The Flaw that attempts to explain the underlying causes of the crisis in more depth than any documentary to date. The film premieres in the UK next month, but after a preview screening a couple of weeks ago at London’s Royal Society of Arts, Matthew Taylor, Tony Blair’s former head of the policy and now head of the RSA, wrote , “it is a terrific film, intelligent and persuasive, but also entertaining, witty and at times moving. Most fascinating to me was its core thesis; that the biggest driver of the crisis was wage and asset inequality.” So what is the film’s argument? The title refers to Alan Greenspan’s admission in his testimony before Congress that he had discovered “a flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works so to speak.” A humbled Greenspan admitted that it had been a mistake to put so much faith in the self-correcting power of free markets and that he had failed to anticipate the self-destructive nature of wanton mortgage lending and the housing and credit bubble it generated. Greenspan had taken the view that the central bank shouldn’t question increasing asset prices, it should only take action when they started to fall. He cut interest rates and tried to boost activity whenever there was the slightest drop. And, of course, boosting economic activity is just a euphemism for trying to encourage consumers and businesses to borrow even more. The film highlights the fact that the only other time in the last century when top earners had such a high share of total income was just before the Great Crash. The share of total American income going to the top 1% peaked in 1929 at about 22%. After the Crash and the start of World War II it fell steadily so that by the 1970s the top 1% were receiving only 9% of national income. But then it started to rise again; in the last ten years it has shot up like a 4th of July rocket to about the same level as in 1929. This increase can largely be explained by the credit bubble that Greenspan presided over. Economic activity, profit growth and credit creation are all intimately linked. As George Cooper, author of The Origin of Financial Crises: Central banks, Credit Bubbles and the Efficient Market Fallacy , explains in the film, “if the banks are more willing to lend it becomes easier for companies and households to spend, because they can borrow money. As credit rises, corporate profits rise which means pay and dividends rise. Well who tends to own the shares in the corporations and the shares in the banks? Generally it’s the wealthier people that own the capital stock of an economy. So if profitability is being boosted then there’s a natural tendency to polarize wealth distribution within the economy as well. It’s a symptom of a credit cycle.” This new inequality can also be seen in the way that the bottom 90% lost out. In the three decades after the WW2 they were getting roughly 65% of national income, but since the 1980s it’s fallen to 50% as the double whammies of the rise of globalization and de-industrialization hit the American workforce. What is often not appreciated is how this upward income redistribution in itself tends to ignite asset bubbles. As you go up the income distribution scale, what people spend their money on changes: there is a relative decrease in expenditure on consumer goods and an increase on housing and financial assets. “The income redistribution created a bidding for houses,” explains Cornell University’s Professor Robert Frank. “People at the top buy mansions. People in the middle don’t seem offended by that in America. They want to see pictures of the mansions. But when the people at the top build bigger, their bigger houses shift the frame of reference for people who are near them in the income distribution; people who have a lot of money, but not quite at the top. So you get a cascade one stage at a time that drifts down through the income distribution.” Robert Schiller of the Case-Schiller Housing Index fame shows how house prices, when adjusted for inflation, remained flat for a century between 1890 and 1990 and then there was a huge bubble in the US starting in 2000. “On the one hand you have home buyers who are struggling to make ends meet,” argues Harvard economic historian Louis Hyman, “looking for the only way they know how to make money in our economy. They can’t make money through their labor, so but maybe they can make it through buying a house and seeing the value of that house increase. So people look to mortgages, these easy-to-get mortgages as a way to finally get their share of the American Dream. And, on the other hand, the income inequality produced a ready supply of capital at the top to be invested in these kinds of mortgages. So while the top was not willing to pay the bottom higher wages, they were willing to lend them money.” The compelling, but flawed, logic of mortgage securitization finance is explained by some of its first-hand practitioners. And Josh Zinner and Sarah Ludwig of NEDAP , one of the many campaigning groups promoting financial justice for the low income communities, point out that the majority of the loans that were generated and then sold to Wall Street to be securitized were refinance loans. They weren’t adding to home ownership. 77% of the sub-prime loans made were refinancing loans made to people who had built up equity in their homes. “If you look at the deed records for low income neighborhoods,” says Zinner, “you’ll see so many homes where people were refinanced over and over and over, sometimes several times in one year until their equity is gone and they lose the house.” “The reason why the money gets allocated into consumer and mortgage debt,” says Hyman, “is because it actually pays as a better return than investing it in businesses, than investing it in factories or things that make things. And it’s this simple banal calculation that’s behind all of this, it’s not some greedy Wall Street banker. Wall Street bankers and all capitalists are always greedy, that’s the basis of our entire system. It’s that the opportunities for investment are different than they used to be.” This fall in the share in the bottom 90% represents a transfer upwards of roughly one and a half trillion dollars each year to the top 1%, calculates Professor Robert Wade of the London School of Economics. “This enormous upwards redistribution of American income took place in a stable democracy with governments that were promoting this upwards redistribution being re-elected time and time again. It’s a very interesting question of how was the American elite able to get away with it. You have roughly one and a half trillion going up and a roughly one trillion a year, coming down in the form of house equity refinancing. If the American population had been receiving something like the same income share as in the 1950s and 60s then they would have been able to increase their consumption in a sustainable way out of rising income. But that’s not what happened.” Instead, we masked a lack of income growth by the fact that people supported their living standards with more debt. We all know what happened when the bubble burst. The film ends with Nobel-prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz’s pithy summary. “What we are doing in effect is transferring money from people who would spend it to people who don’t need all that money and don’t spend it; hundreds of people getting more than a million dollars a year, even when their company makes a loss. When you have growing inequality, typically your level of consumption goes down. In the United States we said to those whose income was not going anywhere don’t worry continue to spend as if your income was going up. But the only way you do that is through debt and that particular model has been broken.” The Flaw premieres on 4 November at the Sheffield International Documentary Festival. It will be launched in United States early next year.

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David Isenberg: The Road to Effective PMC Regulation is Pitted With Good Intentions

October 17, 2010

Here is another law journal article that argues that PMC play a useful role in maintaining international security. Specifically, the article, with the refreshingly direct and to the point title, “Men With Guns” by Assistant Professor of Political Science John Riley and Michael Gambone, Professor of History, Kutztown University, that appeared in the spring 2010 issue of the Wisconsin International Law Journal argues that: By outlawing mercenaries, the international community has inadvertently made effective regulation of PMCs all but impossible. More effective regulation would be possible if PMCs were formally legalized and a simple regulatory regime that charged the contracting actor with the responsibility of holding the PMC compliant with international humanitarian law (“IHL”) was created. As they see it the root cause of the business and human rights predicament today lies in the governance gaps created by globalization – between the scope and impact of economic forces and actors, and the capacity of societies to manage their adverse consequences. These governance gaps provide the permissive environment for wrongful acts by companies of all kinds without adequate sanctioning or reparation. How to narrow and ultimately bridge the gaps in relation to human rights is our fundamental challenge. A governance gap (i.e. absence of national or international accountability) has emerged whereby PMCs are increasingly violating international humanitarian law (“IHL”) and are rarely being held accountable. The reason is twofold. First, the confluence of an ideological shift favoring the privatization of the military and the rapid rise of global markets has led to the proliferation of PMCs. Second, international law has failed to keep pace with these changing market forces. Consequently, regulation of PMCs falls to either a set of anachronistic international laws, incongruent national law enforcement, or to the firms themselves, and all three approaches are proving inadequate. The result is predictable; the rare prosecution of an alleged illegal PMC activity receives high levels of news coverage whereas the day-to-day PMC activity lacks transparent and effective oversight. Riley and Gambone believe in the realist view of international relations, meaning states are the dominant power players in the system and that while globalism and its practices may be challenging national sovereignty, they do so within a well-established context of global power politics. Thus they believe that bringing PMCs into compliance with international humanitarian standards is broadly consistent with states’ interests and that international law ought to be reformed to facilitate the regulatory process. Despite all the hue and cry about PMC regulation and recent years there is no distinct body of international law governing the use of PMCs. Instead there is a set of international conventions prohibiting mercenarism. But as everyone should understand PMCs are not covered by the definitions of “mercenaries” in these conventions in either form or function. Therefore, attempts to use these conventions as a basis of international regulation are counterproductive. More to the point, by continuing to outlaw mercenarism, the international community is inadvertently creating a series of legal loopholes that make effective regulation of PMCs all but impossible. The authors argue: More efficacious regulation would be possible if PMCs were formally legalized and a simple regulatory regime that charged the contracting actor with the responsibility of holding the PMC compliant to IHL was adopted in its stead. By doing so, the international community would define baseline expectations of what constitutes acceptable behavior. States would then be free to rely on PMCs within reasonable limits and would retain the flexibility to define the manner in which they would hold PMCs accountable either via municipal law or a future convention. Such an approach would be preferable to the status quo and a reasonable first step to the creation of a long term and sustainable regulatory regime. The principles underlying the alternative regulatory regime the authors propose are: a) A legal combatant is one who is either a member of a country’s armed forces, an agent of a government, or is a contracted agent of a government or a licensed nongovernmental organization. Consequently, the conventions, or their relevant sections, that outlaw mercenary activity will be abrogated. (b) Participants in combat are afforded equal legal status. The laws that govern armed conflict apply to all participants. (c) The contracting country or nongovernmental actor is obligated to verify that contracted employees are in compliance with IHL, report violations, and sanction violators. The authors think the advantages of these principles are: The first principle defines accountability as a function of the relationship between the contracting actor and PMC; the contract is the means of establishing liability. At first glance it might appear that requiring a PMC to do no more than sign a contract before participating in a conflict is setting a low legal standard, but as Laura Dickinson observes, the contract is the “vehicle of military privatization and as such they could carry what we might call the norms and values of public international law into the “private’ sector.” This overlap between the two spheres is worth noting and its re-emphasis is necessary. Much of what has obscured the lines defining the public and private spheres may be said to be due to state and international practice over the last two decades. The first principle also addresses the post-colonial zeitgeist that permeates the conventions and led their authors to create a false dichotomy between public and private sector combatants with no provisions to regulate NGO employment of PMCs. By delivering an array of services that ranges from providing emergency humanitarian aid to education, NGOs frequently play critical roles before, during, and after conflicts; increasingly, they are turning to PMCs to provide logistics, transportation, or security. Although these NGOs are typically biased towards employing PMCs that abide by IHL, nongovernmental actors are an elastic group of actors that range from international governmental actors (e.g. the United Nations) to multinational corporations that might look to secure economic interests before or during a conflict. Consequently, there is a need to create a set of laws to govern the NGO-PMC relationship. One potential answer is to license or certify NGOs. Should all NGOs be able to hire PMCs? Or should only international governmental organizations (“IGOs”) or NGOs working under a government or IGO contract be able to employ PMCs? There are merits to both approaches, and the licensing procedures could take several forms, but to be effective a regulatory regime must also hold the contracting agent accountable for their use of PMCs. The second principle suggests that employment status (e.g. public versus private employees), motivations (e.g. patriotism or profit seeking), nationality (e.g. national or foreign fighter), and duty (e.g. force projection or training) have no bearing on the legality of the combatant. Rather, public law governing the standards of entering and fighting a war applies to all combatants. Consequently, the intractable problem of ascertaining where PMCs fit into the existing law is put aside in favor of a more succinct approach. It would no longer matter if a PMC is using force for defensive or offensive reasons, or if the company was providing services at the tooth or the tail of the operation; by participating in the theater with ongoing combat operations, PMCs are afforded the same protections and are subject to the same rules as any other combatant. By folding PMCs into the framework governing all other legal combatants, the inviolable distinction between civilian and combatant is preserved. The third principle speaks to the obligations a government or NGO assumes by employing a PMC. In the simplest terms, the contracting party is responsible for monitoring its contractors’ actions, must publicly disclose any discovered violations of IHL, and must sanction violators. For international nongovernmental actors employing PMCs, this would likely amount to terminating contracts, and reporting the violation to the employee’s country of citizenship and to a designated international governmental organization. More fundamentally, the principle clarifies the level of state responsibility. States are free to draw upon private military forces as long as they hold the PMC to the same standards as their public military. Consequently, questions of which agency of the State is employing the PMC or if the PMC is directly involved in combat operations become moot. Accountability is established. In sum, under the alternative regime proposed here, a private military force would be operating legally if it were employed by a licensed nongovernmental organization or state, complied with the standards of IHL, and the contracting party monitored the PMC, reported any violations, and enacted sanctions upon the PMC when appropriate. The authors conclude: Perhaps most importantly, the framework proposed here advances a method of regulating PMCs that is consistent with the manner in which states desire to utilize them. That is, it seeks to update international law so that it better reflects states’ positions, rather than attempt to subjugate state activity under international law. Operations in the Balkans, Afghanistan, and Iraq suggest that PMCs have become an integral component of the modern battlefield. Any effort to hold PMCs to the standards of IHL will only be successful if countries view these efforts as being consistent with their own larger geo-strategic interests. The conventions banning mercenaries reflect the interests of the international community during the decolonization and Cold War period, and fail to reflect the ongoing efforts to rely on private sector security. The consequence is that international mercenary law has been largely ineffective in preventing the proliferation of private military forces and simultaneously inhibits reasonable efforts to regulate their activity. A solution begins with the recognition that PMCs are not mercenaries but are combatants (“men with guns”). As such, they should be regulated like any other combatant, and states and non-government organizations should be able to legally employ PMCs if they are willing to monitor the contracted PMCs and hold them accountable for their actions. Under such a regime IHL would be advanced.

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Dr. Anton Chuvakin & Rebecca Herold Join eGestalt Technical Advisory Board

October 12, 2010

SANTA CLARA, CA–(Marketwire – October 12, 2010) –  eGestalt Technologies Inc. ( www.eGestalt.com ) a cloud computing provider of IT security and GRC (governance, risk management and compliance) solutions for small to mid-size enterprises, announced that Dr. Anton Chuvakin and Professor Rebecca Herold has joined the company’s Technical Advisory Board.

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William Aulet: 10 Steps To Improve Entrepreneurship Education

October 8, 2010

This is the first part of a four-part series from the MIT Entrepreneurship Center on how to improve entrepreneurship education. Entrepreneurs and educators agree on two fundamental points. The first is so obvious that it hardly bears repeating but let’s restate it anyway: entrepreneurship is very, very important. Entrepreneurs are the critical driver of job creation and economic prosperity. The second is equally important and often left unsaid: academic institutions can and should play a more central role in improving the quality and quantity of entrepreneurs. While many conversations we have on this topic start by someone asking whether entrepreneurship can be taught, they typically end with an impassioned discussion on how to improve entrepreneurship education in the United States and around the world. Why not learn lessons from successful and failed entrepreneurs and the many entrepreneurial “experiments” they have undertaken? To ignore this wealth of knowledge and expertise, to insist that entrepreneurship is an art learned only through experience is to ignore the potential to develop systematic lessons, to ignore the power of analysis and to fail to apply tools of social science to a critical part of our economy. We at MIT have engaged in this process of systematizing the lessons from entrepreneurs around the world especially from those engaged in the sorts of science and technology-based entrepreneurship that can lead to high growth and job creation in sectors as diverse as biotechnology and clean energy. Recently we were asked to think more deeply about what could be done to improve Entrepreneurship Education based not just on our research and our teaching experience at MIT, but from what we experienced through our involvement and dialogue with dozens of other institutions providing education experiences for students with entrepreneurial aspirations — whether they hope to start companies on graduation, later in their careers or from inside large corporations. A group of us at MIT deeply associated with entrepreneurship education, after considerable discussion, have drawn on lessons we have learned at MIT and elsewhere to identify a list of ten suggestions for organizing education and programs in this area at university campuses. While at first, it seems simple, upon further reflection the list of ten points we agreed upon was anything but; it is a mix of the obvious and (we think) the not so obvious. We believe these ten steps, many of them requiring educators to look well beyond the walls of their current classroom, have the potential to build an educational experience that produces many more successful high impact entrepreneurs. At a minimum, by laying out our approach we hope to engage in a meaningful dialogue on what should be done in this area in order to meet the needs of our increasingly sophisticated customers, students at institutions of higher education, and to meet the needs of our economy. 1. Make the Case Why Entrepreneurship is Important: High performance organizations aspire to make the world a better place rather than simply to perform a task. Centers of Entrepreneurship Education must do the same. Entrepreneurship is not just another course in the catalogue; it is something that will have a high and positive impact on the world we live in. Job creation, economic prosperity and improvement of social welfare are critical goals and entrepreneurship is a catalyst on the path to their accomplishment. Educators must make the case for the importance of entrepreneurship to cities, regions, nations and continents. There are plenty of enough reports and evidence to support the case — it does not have to be a statement of hope, it can be a statement of fact. The Kauffman Foundation has a great deal of data to support the case. Universities around the nation have spun out companies from their labs and created new industries and new jobs — Google, Akami, Biogen, A123 to name a few. At MIT, we conducted our own study released authored by Professor Edward Roberts and PhD Student Charles Eesley. It showed that MIT Alumni are entrepreneurs who create 200-400 new companies each year. Just to put this into perspective, the report calculated that the companies started by MIT Alumni who are still alive and whose companies still exist, number over 25,000. Their combined yearly revenues total almost $2 trillion which, if it were a stand alone economy, would put it just behind Brazil and neck and neck with Russia. Entrepreneurship, new venture creation and venture growth is what we need to ensure future prosperity. It is also one important way that we translate the valuable research we do here at institutions of higher learning through our investments in science and engineering to the real world. This message needs to be clearly communicated to all. Action: Educators need to gather their facts and make the very compelling case of why entrepreneurship is real, real important. The educator must then work to educate other stakeholders outside the classroom (i.e., proselytize) to achieve the steps below. 2. Tone at the Top: For an organization to succeed, especially when it seeks to change, it needs support from the top of the organization. It is no different at institutions of higher learning. Probably the most important person who must believe in the compelling case you develop in Step One above, is the President of your college or university. Without their support, your impact will be limited. Therefore, you must have a plan to win their support and gather the necessary resources to build the Entrepreneurial Education platform you need. The university president does not have to be an entrepreneur. MIT President Hockfield, for example, is not an entrepreneur, but she understands the importance of entrepreneurship as an element of the broader educational experience. The leader of the institution does not have to be actively involved but the tone setting that this person does is critical. If university leadership is ambivalent, this can be crippling. In most universities (MIT included), some faculty are openly hostile to entrepreneurship. These faculty regard it as a corruption of the pure mission of their institution of higher learning — something unteachable or a set of stories that don’t match the rigorous traditional discipline-based courses. Resolution of this issue — building an evidence-based case for the role of entrepreneurship in the economy and for the rigorous lessons we have about entrepreneurship — is key. This is an activity that requires faculty and practitioners to work together, and can be a complex undertaking. But no bottom-up curriculum effort will overcome indifference at the top. Action: Educators need to educate the leaders of their institution about the benefits of entrepreneurial education based on real evidence and jointly develop a plan for its role on campus. Outside resources (e.g., alumni, other institutions, Kauffman Foundations) should be used if helpful to help make this case. Real and visible support (e.g., quote for brochures and website, regular briefings, support for cross-campus programs, and attendance at events or programs) is essential for achieving a meaningful impact. Steps three through six to follow next week.

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David Isenberg: Putting the Lawyers in Lawyers, Guns and Money

September 28, 2010

Doubtlessly, Warren Zevon and writer of the legendary song, Lawyers, Guns and Money, would appreciate this, if he were still alive. By now you may have noted that I like writing about law journal articles on private military and security contractors. Perhaps it is just because reading them put me to sleep quicker than taking Sominex. Nevertheless once you get past the deadly eye glazing prose, at least to those of who aren’t lawyers, they do have interesting things to say. The latest to attract my attention is Military Lawyers, Private Contractors, and the Problem of International Law Compliance by Laura A. Dickinson , published earlier this year in the New York University Journal of International Law and Politics. Dickinson is Professor of Law, Sandra Day O’Connor College of Law at Arizona State University and author of the forthcoming book, ” Outsourcing War and Peace: Preserving Public Values in a World of Privatized Foreign Affairs . She accepts that private contractors are likely to become a permanent part of the military landscape. Her concern is how can we make it more likely that contractors will respect core human rights norms? She writes it will not be sufficient merely to focus on the degree to which these contractors are formally governed by international and domestic law. In her view, “the problem is much less about the formal legal framework and much more about the subtle ways in which norm compliance actually operates on the ground. After all, legal rules are often followed not because of the formal existence of a norm, but because of more inchoate processes involving how much the legal norm is internalized by relevant actors.” Specifically she seeks to understand how international legal norms are currently inculcated within the uniformed military, and then see whether those institutional structures are less present (or indeed are undermined entirely) in the private military context. To do so she summarizes conclusions drawn from a series of interviews she conducted with U.S. military lawyers in the Judge Advocate General (JAG) Corps. She says these lawyers, embedded with troops in combat and consulting daily with commanders, have, to a large degree, internalized the core values inscribed in international law–respect for human rights and the imposition of limits on the use of force–and seek to operationalize those values. In her view their stories strongly indicate that the presence of lawyers on the battlefield can help produce military decisions that are more likely to comply with international legal norms. Dickinson believes that: Differences in organizational structure and institutional culture (and not just differences in the applicable legal regime) may be principal reasons that the rise of private military firms threatens core rule of law values. In particular, the use of contractors may jeopardize certain aspects of military culture, both because the intermingling of contractors and uniformed troops on the battlefield may weaken public values within the military, and because contractors operating outside the military chain of command may themselves develop a different organizational culture and set of values that come to predominate in conflict and post-conflict situations as contractors assume ever-greater responsibilities. Thus, if we are to address how to maintain public law values in an era of privatization, we must take seriously the question of organizational structure and culture, its importance, and the ways it might be shaped. Organizational theory have long recognized that group norms and internal organizational structures can further (or hinder) an organization’s goals, as well as the goals of individuals within organizations. The central question is how best to ensure that compliance agents within an organization–such as lawyers– can most effectively bring about compliance with central rules and values of the firm as well as various public norms. Theory suggests such agents will tend to be most effective under the right conditions: (1) the accountability agents must be integrated with other, operational employees; (2) the agents must have a strong understanding of, and sense of commitment to, the rules and values being enforced; (3) they must be operating within an independent hierarchy; and (4) they must be able to confer benefits or impose penalties on employees based on compliance. Uniformed military lawyers–the career judge advocates–are essentially the compliance unit within the military. These lawyers work to ensure that commanders and troops obey the rules of engagement, which are the rules that operationalize the law of armed conflict in a particular war or occupation. Dickinson spends several pages describing in exacting detail how JAGs do this so I will spare you the details. But, and I’m sure you see this coming, in contrast, her interviews reveal that contractors largely fall outside this organizational accountability framework. While they may receive some training in the rules regarding the use of force, that training does not typically include updated advice on the battlefield about how the rules apply in specific scenarios likely to arise on that battlefield. Contractors also do not receive ongoing situational advice from military lawyers or even from private lawyers employed by the firm itself. Indeed, although the contract firms do employ lawyers, these lawyers do not typically spend time on the battlefield and do not have the same independent chain of command that is available to uniformed military lawyers. Finally, the accountability system that has applied to troops has not, at least until recently, been extended to contractors. Thus, the interviews suggest that many crucial, though subtle, mechanisms of compliance with public values are significantly weakened in the privatization process. I should take a moment here to note that many PMC advocates often argue that the discipline and accountability that former military personnel experienced on active duty somehow carries over automatically when they work as private security contractors. It’s as if a Good PSC Fairy waves her wand and these qualities are transferred over by some sort of magical osmosis. Of course, only those who have never served on active military duty could say this with a straight face. Anyone who has ever been in the military understands that due to the stakes the military invests enormous resources into processes like chain of command, command responsibility, and individual accountability. In terms of its scope and breadth the private sector simply has no equivalent. To understand why this is a real problem, consider the following excerpts from the JAG interviews: Judge advocates described a somewhat uneasy relationship between contractors and troops, and in particular, between security contractors and troops. Although they respected the willingness of these contractors to put themselves in danger, the judge advocates interviewed perceive security contractors to be more willing to shoot than troops and therefore worry about the impact of these contractors on the overall missions in Iraq and Afghanistan. … Judge advocates also reported that the attitude of the contractors seemed to have a negative impact on the troops, in part because the contractors did not need to follow the same military discipline. As one judge advocate observed, “Blackwater gave the impression, ‘We’re going to do what we want and we don’t have to follow the rules. We’re not in America.’” Such an attitude: was bad for us because the soldiers saw it. I would talk to company commanders, with 6-9 years military experience, supervising young soldiers putting boots on ground, on the receiving end of insurgents. They could see the Blackwater guy drinking, on steroids, not following rules. It fostered discipline problems. … A number of judge advocates reported that individuals who had left the military because of discipline problems but were later hired by private firms to work as contractors. As one judge advocate observed, “There were plenty of stories that a guy working as a contractor got court-martialed when he was a platoon member, and now he’s back making $100 grand [per year],” as compared to uniformed military specialists who only earn $20,000. As another judge advocate noted, “I used to hear that some of the contractor guys, security contractors and others, had been kicked out of uniform, not for serious disciplinary issues, but rather because they got administratively separated. Now they were making $80,000 riding desk at [the Coalition Provisional Authority].” Yet another judge advocate reported, “There are stories that circulate among the JAGs that a soldier who’s been kicked out of the army with a bad conduct discharge can turn around and earn twice as much working for a contractor. “While, as the judge advocates acknowledge, these stories may be apocryphal, they reflect the unease that the judge advocates feel about the ability of contractors to flout military rules without suffering employment consequences. … Finally, the judge advocates generally reported that the training of the private security contractors was not as extensive as for troops. As one judge advocate recounted, “We were told they received training in their own rules on the use of force. We were told that they received certification from their super visors, and there was a form.” But, as this judge advocate observed, “There was no looking behind the forms.” Under federal law, contractor employees must be certified as having no prior convictions for domestic violence, but judge advocates report that the certification process was “completely ineffective” because “while violence against women is a serious offense,” it is not the best indicator of whether someone will use a weapon properly in Iraq. And as for whether third-country nationals had a criminal record or had even been convicted of war crimes, “no one was looking behind the veil on this.” Of course, at this point PMC advocates would argue that new laws passed in recent years, mainly modifications to the Military Extraterritorial Jurisdiction Act and the Uniform Code of Military Justice, helps solve these problems. Uh right; here is what Dickinson says in regard to that: First, it appears that few of the security contractor firms have accountability agents or ombudspersons who are charged with monitoring abuses and who are actually integrated in the field with operational employees, as the judge advocates are. While the firms typically rely on their general counsel for legal advice, the lawyers in these offices appear to remain primarily at headquarters rather than deploying in the field. … Second, the employees of these companies seem to lack a strong sense of even what the applicable laws and norms are, let alone have any great commitment to them. For example, in congressional testimony, Blackwater CEO Erik Prince appeared to have at best a murky understanding of the precise legal rules and regulations that governed his employees’ use of force and available accountability mechanisms for the misuse of that force. Thus, he asserted that his employees were subject to punishment in military courts under the Uniform Code of Military Justice, even though the military had not yet implemented recently enacted legislation extending military jurisdiction to contractors, and even though UCMJ jurisdiction over State Department–as opposed to Defense Department–contractors had still not been clearly established. … Third, contract employees seem to receive insufficient training in applicable laws and rules, particularly those that govern the use of force. While such contracts often now require training, government reports and other investigations have suggested in numerous instances that this training has not been adequate. … Fourth, the fact that many companies use foreign labor complicates training and accountability efforts, as well as the broader effort to instill public law values. So what is to be done? While there have been a few baby steps taken, such as giving JAGs the authority to investigate and prosecute cases of contractor misconduct or allowing security contractors to receive training from judge advocates Dickinson aims bigger: A more ambitious approach would be to try to recreate the full panoply of organizational features for contractors that the military created post-Vietnam for its own personnel. Such features could be mandated either through terms in the contracts with private firms or through direct regulation. And though it is debatable how best to implement these institutional features outside the uniformed military context, it is clear that this is an area that should be considered seriously in any effort to reform the contracting process. Rather than seeking more commingling of government accountability agents with contractor employees, another possible reform approach would seek to encourage or compel contractors themselves to institute processes that would help establish the organizational or professional culture necessary to protect public values. Thus, through governmental regulation or independent industry efforts, contract firms might create internal organizational structures to enhance compliance with the public law norms and values this article has discussed. Such efforts would involve firms adopting the kinds of reforms that the military adopted post-Vietnam with regard to its judge advocates. These efforts include requiring contractors to establish compliance units or hire ombudspeople who would accompany operational employees in theater, advise commanders, report through an independent chain of command, and have authority to confer benefits and impose punishments. In short, the idea would be to create within firms themselves a cadre of lawyers who would be analogous to the judge advocates within the military.

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Ellen Brown: Basel III — Tightening the Noose on Credit

September 17, 2010

The stock market shot up on September 13, after new banking regulations were announced called Basel III. Wall Street breathed a sigh of relief. The megabanks, propped up by generous taxpayer bailouts, would have no trouble meeting the new capital requirements, which were lower than expected and would not be fully implemented until 2019. Only the local commercial banks, the ones already struggling to meet capital requirements, would be seriously challenged by the new rules. Unfortunately, these are the banks that make most of the loans to local businesses, which do most of the hiring and producing in the real economy. The Basel III capital requirements were ostensibly designed to prevent a repeat of the 2008 banking collapse, but the new rules fail to address its real cause. Why Basel III Misses the Mark Two years after the 2008 bailout, the economy continues to struggle with a lack of credit, the hallmark of recessions and depressions. Credit (or debt) is issued by banks and is the source of virtually all money today. When credit is not available, there is insufficient money to buy goods or pay salaries, so workers get laid off and businesses shut down, in a vicious spiral of debt and depression. We are still trapped in that spiral today, despite massive “quantitative easing” (essentially money-printing) by the Federal Reserve. The money supply has continued to shrink in 2010 at an alarming rate. In an article in the Financial Times titled “US Money Supply Plunges at 1930s Pace as Obama Eyes Fresh Stimulus,” Ambrose Evans-Pritchard quoted Professor Tim Congdon from International Monetary Research, who warned: The plunge in M3 [the largest measure of the money supply] has no precedent since the Great Depression. The dominant reason for this is that regulators across the world are pressing banks to raise capital asset ratios and to shrink their risk assets. This is why the US is not recovering properly. In a working paper called “Unconventional Monetary Policies: An Appraisal”, the Bank for International Settlements concurred with Professor Congdon. The authors said, ” The main exogenous [external] constraint on the expansion of credit is minimum capital requirements .” (“Capital” means a bank’s own assets minus its liabilities, as distinguished from its “reserves,” which apply to deposits and can be borrowed from the Federal Reserve or from other banks.) The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is “the central bankers’ central bank” in Basel, Switzerland; and its Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) is responsible for setting capital standards globally. The BIS acknowledges that pressure on banks to meet heightened capital requirements is stagnating economic activity by stagnating credit. Yet in its new banking regulations called Basel III, the BCBS is raising capital requirements. Under the new rules, the mandatory reserve known as Tier 1 capital will be raised from 4 percent to 4.5 percent by 2013 and will reach 6 percent in 2019. Banks will also be required to keep an emergency reserve of 2.5 percent. Why Is the BCBS Raising Capital Requirements When Existing Requirements Are Already Squeezing Credit? Concerns about the credit-tightening effects of Basel III were reported in a September 13 Huffington Post article by Greg Keller and Frank Jordans, who wrote: Bankers and analysts said new global rules could mean less money available to lend to businesses and consumers… European savings banks warned that the new capital requirements could affect their lending by unfairly penalizing small, part-publicly owned institutions. We see the danger that German banks’ ability to give credit could be significantly curtailed,’ said Karl-Heinz Boos, head of the Association of German Public Sector Banks. Insisting that French banks were ‘among those with the greatest capacity to adapt to the new rules,’ the country’s banking federation nevertheless said they were ‘a strong constraint that will inevitably weigh on the financing of the economy, especially the volume and cost of credit.’ Juan Jose Toribio, former executive director at the IMF and now dean of IESE Business School in Madrid, said the rules could hamper the fragile recovery. “‘These are regulations and burdens on bank results that only make sense in times of monetary and credit expansion,” he said. For smaller commercial banks and public sector banks (government-owned banks popular in Europe), the credit-constraining effects of Basel III are a serious problem. But larger banks, said Keller and Jordans, “were quick to praise the agreement and insisted they would meet the required reserves in time.” The larger banks were not worried, because ” The largest U.S. banks are already in compliance with the higher capital standards demanded by Basel III, meaning their customers won’t be directly affected .” Their customers, of course, are mainly large corporations. “Small businesses that rely on borrowing from community banks,” on the other hand, “may be more affected… They will try to make up for the higher capital requirements by lending at higher rates and stiffer terms.” If the big banks that brought you the current credit crisis can already meet the new requirements, what exactly does Basel III achieve, beyond shaking down their smaller competitors? As David Daven remarked in a September 13 article called “Biggest Banks Already Qualify Under Basel III Reforms”: “Indeed, on the day Lehman Brothers collapsed, they would have been in compliance with the Basel III standards.” Punishing Your Local Bank for Wall Street’s Misdeeds What precipitated the credit crisis and bank bailout of 2008 was not that the existing Basel II capital requirements were too low. It was that banks found a way around the rules by purchasing unregulated “insurance contracts” known as credit default swaps (CDS). The Basel II rules based capital requirements on how risky a bank’s loan book was, and banks could make their books look less risky by buying CDS. This “insurance,” however, proved to be a fraud when AIG, the major seller of CDS, went bankrupt on September 15, 2008. The bailout of the Wall Street banks caught in this derivative scheme followed. The smaller local banks neither triggered the crisis nor got the bailout money. Yet it is they that will be affected by the new rules, and that effect could cripple local lending. Raising the capital requirements of the smaller banks seems so counterproductive that suspicious observers might wonder if something else is going on. Professor Carroll Quigley, an insider groomed by the international bankers, wrote in Tragedy and Hope in 1966 of the pivotal role played by the BIS in the grand scheme of his mentors: [T]he powers of financial capitalism had another far-reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole. This system was to be controlled in a feudalist fashion by the central banks of the world acting in concert, by secret agreements arrived at in frequent private meetings and conferences. The apex of the system was to be the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland, a private bank owned and controlled by the world’s central banks which were themselves private corporations . The BIS has now become the apex of the system as Dr. Quigley foresaw, dictating rules that strengthen an international banking empire at the expense of smaller rivals and economies generally. The big global bankers are one step closer to global dominance, steered by the invisible hand of their captains at the BIS. In a game that has been played by bankers for centuries, tightening credit in the ebbs of the “business cycle” creates waves of bankruptcies and foreclosures, allowing property to be snatched up at fire sale prices by financiers who not only saw the wave coming but actually precipitated it.

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Ellen Brown: Basel III — Tightening the Noose on Credit

September 17, 2010

The stock market shot up on September 13, after new banking regulations were announced called Basel III. Wall Street breathed a sigh of relief. The megabanks, propped up by generous taxpayer bailouts, would have no trouble meeting the new capital requirements, which were lower than expected and would not be fully implemented until 2019. Only the local commercial banks, the ones already struggling to meet capital requirements, would be seriously challenged by the new rules. Unfortunately, these are the banks that make most of the loans to local businesses, which do most of the hiring and producing in the real economy. The Basel III capital requirements were ostensibly designed to prevent a repeat of the 2008 banking collapse, but the new rules fail to address its real cause. Why Basel III Misses the Mark Two years after the 2008 bailout, the economy continues to struggle with a lack of credit, the hallmark of recessions and depressions. Credit (or debt) is issued by banks and is the source of virtually all money today. When credit is not available, there is insufficient money to buy goods or pay salaries, so workers get laid off and businesses shut down, in a vicious spiral of debt and depression. We are still trapped in that spiral today, despite massive “quantitative easing” (essentially money-printing) by the Federal Reserve. The money supply has continued to shrink in 2010 at an alarming rate. In an article in the Financial Times titled “US Money Supply Plunges at 1930s Pace as Obama Eyes Fresh Stimulus,” Ambrose Evans-Pritchard quoted Professor Tim Congdon from International Monetary Research, who warned: The plunge in M3 [the largest measure of the money supply] has no precedent since the Great Depression. The dominant reason for this is that regulators across the world are pressing banks to raise capital asset ratios and to shrink their risk assets. This is why the US is not recovering properly. In a working paper called “Unconventional Monetary Policies: An Appraisal”, the Bank for International Settlements concurred with Professor Congdon. The authors said, ” The main exogenous [external] constraint on the expansion of credit is minimum capital requirements .” (“Capital” means a bank’s own assets minus its liabilities, as distinguished from its “reserves,” which apply to deposits and can be borrowed from the Federal Reserve or from other banks.) The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is “the central bankers’ central bank” in Basel, Switzerland; and its Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) is responsible for setting capital standards globally. The BIS acknowledges that pressure on banks to meet heightened capital requirements is stagnating economic activity by stagnating credit. Yet in its new banking regulations called Basel III, the BCBS is raising capital requirements. Under the new rules, the mandatory reserve known as Tier 1 capital will be raised from 4 percent to 4.5 percent by 2013 and will reach 6 percent in 2019. Banks will also be required to keep an emergency reserve of 2.5 percent. Why Is the BCBS Raising Capital Requirements When Existing Requirements Are Already Squeezing Credit? Concerns about the credit-tightening effects of Basel III were reported in a September 13 Huffington Post article by Greg Keller and Frank Jordans, who wrote: Bankers and analysts said new global rules could mean less money available to lend to businesses and consumers… European savings banks warned that the new capital requirements could affect their lending by unfairly penalizing small, part-publicly owned institutions. We see the danger that German banks’ ability to give credit could be significantly curtailed,’ said Karl-Heinz Boos, head of the Association of German Public Sector Banks. Insisting that French banks were ‘among those with the greatest capacity to adapt to the new rules,’ the country’s banking federation nevertheless said they were ‘a strong constraint that will inevitably weigh on the financing of the economy, especially the volume and cost of credit.’ Juan Jose Toribio, former executive director at the IMF and now dean of IESE Business School in Madrid, said the rules could hamper the fragile recovery. “‘These are regulations and burdens on bank results that only make sense in times of monetary and credit expansion,” he said. For smaller commercial banks and public sector banks (government-owned banks popular in Europe), the credit-constraining effects of Basel III are a serious problem. But larger banks, said Keller and Jordans, “were quick to praise the agreement and insisted they would meet the required reserves in time.” The larger banks were not worried, because ” The largest U.S. banks are already in compliance with the higher capital standards demanded by Basel III, meaning their customers won’t be directly affected .” Their customers, of course, are mainly large corporations. “Small businesses that rely on borrowing from community banks,” on the other hand, “may be more affected… They will try to make up for the higher capital requirements by lending at higher rates and stiffer terms.” If the big banks that brought you the current credit crisis can already meet the new requirements, what exactly does Basel III achieve, beyond shaking down their smaller competitors? As David Daven remarked in a September 13 article called “Biggest Banks Already Qualify Under Basel III Reforms”: “Indeed, on the day Lehman Brothers collapsed, they would have been in compliance with the Basel III standards.” Punishing Your Local Bank for Wall Street’s Misdeeds What precipitated the credit crisis and bank bailout of 2008 was not that the existing Basel II capital requirements were too low. It was that banks found a way around the rules by purchasing unregulated “insurance contracts” known as credit default swaps (CDS). The Basel II rules based capital requirements on how risky a bank’s loan book was, and banks could make their books look less risky by buying CDS. This “insurance,” however, proved to be a fraud when AIG, the major seller of CDS, went bankrupt on September 15, 2008. The bailout of the Wall Street banks caught in this derivative scheme followed. The smaller local banks neither triggered the crisis nor got the bailout money. Yet it is they that will be affected by the new rules, and that effect could cripple local lending. Raising the capital requirements of the smaller banks seems so counterproductive that suspicious observers might wonder if something else is going on. Professor Carroll Quigley, an insider groomed by the international bankers, wrote in Tragedy and Hope in 1966 of the pivotal role played by the BIS in the grand scheme of his mentors: [T]he powers of financial capitalism had another far-reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole. This system was to be controlled in a feudalist fashion by the central banks of the world acting in concert, by secret agreements arrived at in frequent private meetings and conferences. The apex of the system was to be the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland, a private bank owned and controlled by the world’s central banks which were themselves private corporations . The BIS has now become the apex of the system as Dr. Quigley foresaw, dictating rules that strengthen an international banking empire at the expense of smaller rivals and economies generally. The big global bankers are one step closer to global dominance, steered by the invisible hand of their captains at the BIS. In a game that has been played by bankers for centuries, tightening credit in the ebbs of the “business cycle” creates waves of bankruptcies and foreclosures, allowing property to be snatched up at fire sale prices by financiers who not only saw the wave coming but actually precipitated it.

Read the full article →

Simon Johnson: Elizabeth Warren: The Right Appointment at the Right Time

September 16, 2010

The case for appointing Elizabeth Warren to set up the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) was, at the end of the day, overwhelming. She had the original idea, she helped build political support and her own credentials have been only strengthened by her work as head of the Congressional Oversight Panel for TARP. On Friday, the president will reportedly appoint Professor Warren as an assistant to the president and special adviser to the Treasury Secretary, with the task of setting up and initially running the CFPB. Some of Ms. Warren’s supporters think this move is something of a half-measure — they would have preferred a conventional nomination, with all the fanfare of a classic confirmation battle in the Senate. There is something to be said for that, but the interim appointment route is by far the best way forward for three reasons. First, this form of appointment puts Elizabeth Warren to work right away — on the issues of consumer protection that are first order both for ordinary families and for the macroeconomy. You really cannot build a sustainable economic recovery on the back of exploitative or abusive behavior by the financial sector. These issues are urgent and need resolution as soon as possible. Second, the president finally has an adviser who understands the financial sector and who has healthy skepticism about its intentions and actions. As we documented at length in 13 Bankers, too many top policy people — both in this administration and all its recent predecessors — have been overly inclined to accommodate the interests of finance, particularly the big banks. In this regard, putting Ms. Warren directly into the White House with the highest possible level of access is exactly the right thing to do — much better, for example, than making her purely a Treasury appointment. Third, this step does not avoid a debate in the Senate — it merely postpones it to a more advantageous moment. Presuming that Ms. Warren is nominated for a five-year term as head of the CFPB, she would go before the Senate Banking Committee with a real track record of achievement as interim head. The debate would not be about what the agency could do, but rather what it has already done — and what it is set up to do next. These are exactly the right terms on which to bring out into the open all those who think that the financial sector only ever behaves well — or that enforcing sensible rules on lenders would somehow bring the economy to its knees. Barney Frank has the right overall assessment, telling the New York Times : “I congratulate the administration on its creativity. There’s no possibility she would take something like this unless she was fully empowered to do the job.” Cross-posted at The Baseline Scenario.

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David Isenberg: Are IPOA, BAPSC and PSCAI Complicit or Just Irrelevant?

August 26, 2010

Today we consider the work of Surabhi Ranganathan. She is a PhD Candidate, Cambridge University, a graduate of the New York University Law School and a consultant to the law school’s Institute for International Law and Justice . Earlier this year she published a paper in the Georgetown Journal of International Law title ” Between Complicity and Irrelevance? Industry Associations and the Challenge of Regulating Private Security Contractors .” Unlike numerous other law journal articles this is not another rehash of national or international laws . As she writes in her summary, “In this paper, I examine the reasons for and against giving serious consideration to the regulatory function of industry associations and engage in a critical evaluation of their claims to legitimacy, accountability and effectiveness as regulatory bodies.” It is important to note that she is not against private military and security contracting trade associations. Indeed, she thanks “Doug Brooks [founder of IPOA] for responding to many queries about industry associations.” In fact, she thinks they do have a useful role to play. In her introduction she writes: In discussing regulation of the private military and security industry, scholars and policy advocates do not ignore the role of industry associations, but they do sideline them. The focus is on regulation by states, or by an international office created by treaty, or a combination of the two. Such “formal” regulation is undeniably important. However, a preference for it is not irrational only insofar as it can be assumed that states and international offices are willing and able to effectively regulate PMSCs. This is often not the case. On several occasions states have shown themselves unwilling or unable (or both) to regulate PMSCs. An international office that can do so is far from being realized. On the other hand, several industry associations have come into being in the last few years, each with at least a partial mandate for regulation of PMSCs. It is surprising then that their regulatory potential has received little serious consideration. To date there does not exist a single analytical account of their activities. Little effort has been made to grapple with issues relating to the legitimacy of their regulatory claims, and the effectiveness and accountability of their regulatory activities. This paper aims to fill that gap. … To clarify, I do not argue that industry associations should replace formal regulation. Recognizing the importance of national and international regulation, and of plural regulatory initiatives, my paper supports three conclusions. First, industry associations are important contributors to better regulation of PMSCs. Second, even so, their claims to legitimacy, accountability and effectiveness are mixed, and differ for each association. Third, some weaknesses in such claims have to do with external factors, such as lack of state backing and negative public perception. However, there are other factors that associations themselves should address to bolster their regulatory claims. Now, some people are, to say the least, dubious about trade associations; suspicious of their advocacy of allowing greater industry self-regulation or avoiding further government regulation. I have been so myself, on various occasions, when their rhetoric does not match their actions. Given how well that has worked in other industry sectors (BP and the Minerals Management Service in the Gulf of Mexico anyone?) such suspicions are understandable. On the other hand the trade association, notably the International Peace Operations Association (IPOA), since renamed the Association of the Stability Operations Industry; the British Association of Private Security Companies (BAPSC); and even the Private Security Company Association of Iraq (PSCAI) have done some useful things, such as informing legislators what actually goes on in the PMSC world so useful policy can be made. And to their credit no trade association has ever said that they should replace national laws or regulations Still, there is good reason why state regulation of PSC should always come first. Ranganathan writes: In general, academic scholars and policy advocates prefer formal regulation of PMSCs for two reasons: PMSCs offer essential services that are traditionally expected of a state, and, often, their operations bring them into close proximity with vulnerable populations. This is especially true of conflict and post-conflict situations — the focus of this paper — where PMSCs are contracted to perform a range of functions, including guarding persons and property, providing logistical and operational support to the military, catering to requirements for food and living quarters during operations and post-conflict reconstruction; advising and training the military, and developing strategies for military operations, interrogation, and administration of prisons. Certainly, fears of human rights violations are well founded, as are concerns relating to compromises between state interests, military welfare and international stability, as a consequence of outsourcing to PMSCs. She then notes biases that may influence people’s preference for formal regulation such as a preference for “status quo,” “seriously flawed memories” “susceptibility to “informational cascades,” “availability heuristic.” and “extremeness aversion.” But she goes on to say the preference for formal regulation is not solely a product of our biases. There are two good reasons that support such preference. First, in theory, states (and international bodies) do have greater capacity to regulate PMSCs. Industry associations cannot impose criminal law sanctions upon wrongdoers. Their most stringent penalty is expulsion of a company from membership. In most cases, a state possesses greater power to investigate complaints relating to actions of PMSCs in the field. Moreover, a state is able to ban as well as otherwise regulate a PMSC in all cases where there is a territorial nexus or affiliation of nationality (of the company, or its employees), or where the state has concluded a contract with that PMSC. The jurisdiction of an international office may not even be limited by affiliations of territory or nationality. In contrast, companies may put themselves out of the reach of an industry association by simply withdrawing from membership. Second, there are valid grounds for skepticism relating to the legitimacy of the regulatory role that industry associations play. Not only are industry associations often private bodies; they are also in essence trade groups with close affinities to their member companies and dependence upon member companies for funds and for manning various administrative committees. These are reasonable bases for doubt about the depth of the regulatory commitment of industry associations and their independence from the particular interests of their member companies. Industry associations are rarely afforded express recognition or backing by states, and this undermines their efficacy. It is, undeniably, a challenge for industry associations to construct a plausible account of the legitimacy of their regulatory commitment. Ranganathan, however, does not dismiss the regulatory contribution of industry associations as unimportant. She considers them among the few extant regulatory agents and takes seriously their claims of being more plausible and effective regulators for the industry. After detailing their various contributions she finds “industry associations do seek to promote high standards of conduct among PMSCs through cooperation with formal regulatory initiatives. However, like coercive mechanisms, cooperative mechanisms also lack full implementation.” Perhaps that is because such associations have conflicting goals, which are essentially to be both advocate for and regulator of their memberships. She writes: The three industry associations are not just private bodies, they are also trade-associations with close links to their members and indeed are dependent upon members for the performance of their regulatory functions. Moreover, along with better standards of service, they aim to enhance contract opportunities for their members. These factors provide grounds for several concerns, among them: the possibility of spurious creation, or “capture,” of an association by the specific interests of some of its members; the difficulty of ensuring continued adherence of PMSCs to industry associations; and the lack of accountability to third parties affected by the activities of the industry associations. … The creation of an industry association could be an exercise on the part of its members to provide only the facade of regulatory constraints. A driving force for this exercise could be the members’ quest to differentiate themselves from business rivals. This is a pertinent concern given that two of the associations (BAPSC and PSCAI) were founded by their members. Another concern, however legitimate the creation of an association, is its potential for capture by the specific interests of one or few of its members at the cost of other members, non-member companies, or relevant third parties, such as populations in their areas of operation. In the case of the three industry associations, capture is made possible by the active participation of members in regulatory functions. For instance, Professor Michael Waller claims that the complaint against Blackwater was made to IPOA by competitors of the company, possibly to discredit it in a bid to seize its Iraq contract. Its competitors could also have participated in review of its conduct in what would clearly have been an abuse of regulatory process. Both the above situations are pernicious, for they indicate improper functioning of the concerned industry-association, even as the observers are lulled into false confidence about the regulated nature of the industry. In such cases we can hardly accept as legitimate any claim of the regulatory commitment of such an association. We thus need to examine what assurance we have that an industry association will act to accomplish the (regulatory) goals it prates. Ranganathan notes that, “Good faith consent by PMSCs to the regulatory authority of an association does not guarantee that the association can bind members effectively if provisions allow members to opt out without any prejudice to their interests, if penalties for violation are insufficient, or if the enforcement process is too weak to make a material impact. Like bona fide consent, effectiveness speaks to legitimacy of the association as well as to the popular support it is likely to enjoy.” She also examines the associations’ claims to legitimacy, accountability, and effectiveness. Although since PSCAI provides very little information she ends up primarily comparing IPOA and BAPSC. She finds that “IPOA clearly makes the strongest claim to order-based legitimacy” but that doesn’t mean there isn’t room for a lot of improvement. The following is specific to IPOA. I include it not to pick on it but since Ranganathan finds it has the strongest claims it is worth noting what she sees as its weaknesses. The contrasting structures of BAPSC and IPOA should not demand the conclusion that the latter performs its regulatory role better than the former. However, to the extent that both associations claim to regulate PMSCs, it may be said that IPOA displays greater structural commitment to do so. Even so, certain structural elements of IPOA do give rise to concern. These include the fact that a large chunk of IPOA’s budget comes from the dues paid by its member companies and that seats on several of the task-specific committees, including the membership and standards committees, may be had on a volunteer basis. The first fact could imply the need for greater scrutiny of structural and procedural safeguards that insulate IPOA from the interests of particular members, but it is the second which is really structurally flawed in the sense that it creates greater potential for “capture” of institutional processes by particular members. Determining committee positions by soliciting volunteers not only allows members to sit in judgment over other members, but to do so solely on the basis of their will instead of a more neutral process like rotation or random selection. Moreover, there are no institutional checks to prevent a member from volunteering for seats on several committees and for years in succession. Thus, EOD Technology, Inc. (“EODT”) has had representatives sitting concurrently on the Executive Committee, the Standards Committee and the Membership and Finance Committee in 2007 and 2008. In contrast, the membership criteria released by BAPSC indicate that at least the membership committee is elected by the BAPSC General Assembly. IPOA also espouses “transparency” as vital to its legitimacy. However, its own procedures are only transparent to a limited extent. On the one hand, its website, journal, annual reports, and papers by its staff provide a vast amount of information about organs, personnel, and member companies, and also the mechanisms employed to promote quality of service among member companies. Some commentators also note with approval that the IPOA takes on interns as evidence of the openness of its operations. On the other hand, this information changes rapidly — previously available documents become unavailable quickly. In addition, there are aspects of the association’s work that are not transparent. For instance, the association does not explain its membership decisions. It does not even provide a public record of the companies that had applied for membership and were refused. Possibly, this is motivated by prudential considerations, such as not deterring potential members from applying or current applicants from reapplying. The revelation that a company was refused membership could ironically also impair the image of the rest of the industry, because normally a refusal of membership would suggest that the applicant company was unwilling or unable to provide assurance of its compliance with the IPOA Code of Conduct. For an already prejudiced and non-discerning audience, this fact could smirch their perception of all PMSCs as unlikely to conform to the standards prescribed. It is understandable that IPOA is reluctant to contribute towards this adverse view of the industry. Even so, the lack of a public record raises doubts about the veracity of IPOA’s procedures. Given IPOA’s financial dependence on annual contributions from existing members, and its policy of allowing members to volunteer for a position on the membership committee, it is a matter of real concern that members may be able to hijack the selection process for new members. A membership decision in favor of an applicant may be influenced by an existing member’s interest in, or potential partnerships with, the applicant. Since the review process is not stringent in practice, a decision for refusal of membership may have been induced by members competing for business with the applicant. A controversial example is the repeated denial of membership to Aegis, information of which has leaked on to the Internet. Aegis is a founding member of BAPSC and PSCAI, though admittedly its reputation is far from spotless. Trophy videos of its personnel shooting at civilians are freely available on the Internet. Its chief executive is Tim Spicer, former manager of the notorious Sandline, Inc., which was involved in the “Arms to Africa” affair. However, it is not known whether either factor was relevant to IPOA’s decision. Aegis’s claims that it was “invited” to apply for membership each time it was refused have further obscured the facts. Similar criticisms can be made with respect to IPOA’s Enforcement Mechanism. At present, IPOA does not provide any information about complaints made to it. This is so despite the provision in the IPOA Code that in ordinary circumstances, submissions by complainants shall be deemed public. The IPOA also does not provide any public explanation for decisions of the Standards Committee or of the ad-hoc task forces. Indeed, the only occasion upon which the public may even [*362] be aware that a decision has been made is when a company has been expelled from membership, but there is no instance of this at present. Again, IPOA’s policies may be guided by the same concerns, mentioned earlier, that confidentiality is important to encourage PMSC participation in IPOA, and that making complaints against particular companies will harm the public image of the whole industry. News sources suggest that Blackwater withdrew from IPOA membership because it was afraid of damaging information leaks during the IPOA review of its conduct. However, for stakeholders affected by the actions of a PMSC, or for a state, or even for other member companies, the secrecy surrounding IPOA proceedings may detract from its espousal of due process. IPOA’s aim for its membership to be taken as certification of a PMSC’s high standards of service and belief that repudiation of membership will be a “commercial kiss of death” for the company is incongruous with the lack of transparency in its procedures, especially as there are no avenues for external review. Moreover, this aim is at odds with concerns that publicizing the action taken against one company will affect the reputation of all. While IPOA cannot on its own overcome audience prejudices, it can do more to assure the audience of the reliability of its decisions. Perhaps as a starting point, to compensate for lack of complete transparency, IPOA should introduce neutral oversight of its decision-making processes. Ranganathan believes that despite their flaws, the trade associations have an important role to play. She concludes: An exploration of the regulatory claims of the principal industry associations in the PMSC industry reveals a fairly sincere effort on the part of at least two of the associations to construct credible accounts of their legitimacy and accountability. Of course, there remain concerns about their structures and processes, responsiveness to third parties and their relationship (and fragmentation of authority) with each other. Critical questions also arise as to their actual capacity to regulate PMSCs. Although it is inaccurate to suggest that industry associations are irrelevant for this purpose, it is true that the absence of state backing limits the role that associations can play. Even so, their (actual and potential) role is both significant and distinct from the role played by states. Apart from prescribing codes of conduct, industry associations actually educate member companies about the standard of conduct expected from them, and, through a variety of mechanisms, persuade them to strive towards better performance standards. Moreover, they engage with individual companies at a micro level to identify and resolve problematic issues and assist governments at a broader level to understand PMSC operations and formulate policy. Their ability to “bind” members would improve tremendously if states were to view membership to these associations as a precondition for hiring PMSCs, or for permitting other consumers to hire PMSCs.

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David Isenberg: Are IPOA, BAPSC and PSCAI Complicit or Just Irrelevant?

August 26, 2010

Today we consider the work of Surabhi Ranganathan. She is a PhD Candidate, Cambridge University, a graduate of the New York University Law School and a consultant to the law school’s Institute for International Law and Justice . Earlier this year she published a paper in the Georgetown Journal of International Law title ” Between Complicity and Irrelevance? Industry Associations and the Challenge of Regulating Private Security Contractors .” Unlike numerous other law journal articles this is not another rehash of national or international laws . As she writes in her summary, “In this paper, I examine the reasons for and against giving serious consideration to the regulatory function of industry associations and engage in a critical evaluation of their claims to legitimacy, accountability and effectiveness as regulatory bodies.” It is important to note that she is not against private military and security contracting trade associations. Indeed, she thanks “Doug Brooks [founder of IPOA] for responding to many queries about industry associations.” In fact, she thinks they do have a useful role to play. In her introduction she writes: In discussing regulation of the private military and security industry, scholars and policy advocates do not ignore the role of industry associations, but they do sideline them. The focus is on regulation by states, or by an international office created by treaty, or a combination of the two. Such “formal” regulation is undeniably important. However, a preference for it is not irrational only insofar as it can be assumed that states and international offices are willing and able to effectively regulate PMSCs. This is often not the case. On several occasions states have shown themselves unwilling or unable (or both) to regulate PMSCs. An international office that can do so is far from being realized. On the other hand, several industry associations have come into being in the last few years, each with at least a partial mandate for regulation of PMSCs. It is surprising then that their regulatory potential has received little serious consideration. To date there does not exist a single analytical account of their activities. Little effort has been made to grapple with issues relating to the legitimacy of their regulatory claims, and the effectiveness and accountability of their regulatory activities. This paper aims to fill that gap. … To clarify, I do not argue that industry associations should replace formal regulation. Recognizing the importance of national and international regulation, and of plural regulatory initiatives, my paper supports three conclusions. First, industry associations are important contributors to better regulation of PMSCs. Second, even so, their claims to legitimacy, accountability and effectiveness are mixed, and differ for each association. Third, some weaknesses in such claims have to do with external factors, such as lack of state backing and negative public perception. However, there are other factors that associations themselves should address to bolster their regulatory claims. Now, some people are, to say the least, dubious about trade associations; suspicious of their advocacy of allowing greater industry self-regulation or avoiding further government regulation. I have been so myself, on various occasions, when their rhetoric does not match their actions. Given how well that has worked in other industry sectors (BP and the Minerals Management Service in the Gulf of Mexico anyone?) such suspicions are understandable. On the other hand the trade association, notably the International Peace Operations Association (IPOA), since renamed the Association of the Stability Operations Industry; the British Association of Private Security Companies (BAPSC); and even the Private Security Company Association of Iraq (PSCAI) have done some useful things, such as informing legislators what actually goes on in the PMSC world so useful policy can be made. And to their credit no trade association has ever said that they should replace national laws or regulations Still, there is good reason why state regulation of PSC should always come first. Ranganathan writes: In general, academic scholars and policy advocates prefer formal regulation of PMSCs for two reasons: PMSCs offer essential services that are traditionally expected of a state, and, often, their operations bring them into close proximity with vulnerable populations. This is especially true of conflict and post-conflict situations — the focus of this paper — where PMSCs are contracted to perform a range of functions, including guarding persons and property, providing logistical and operational support to the military, catering to requirements for food and living quarters during operations and post-conflict reconstruction; advising and training the military, and developing strategies for military operations, interrogation, and administration of prisons. Certainly, fears of human rights violations are well founded, as are concerns relating to compromises between state interests, military welfare and international stability, as a consequence of outsourcing to PMSCs. She then notes biases that may influence people’s preference for formal regulation such as a preference for “status quo,” “seriously flawed memories” “susceptibility to “informational cascades,” “availability heuristic.” and “extremeness aversion.” But she goes on to say the preference for formal regulation is not solely a product of our biases. There are two good reasons that support such preference. First, in theory, states (and international bodies) do have greater capacity to regulate PMSCs. Industry associations cannot impose criminal law sanctions upon wrongdoers. Their most stringent penalty is expulsion of a company from membership. In most cases, a state possesses greater power to investigate complaints relating to actions of PMSCs in the field. Moreover, a state is able to ban as well as otherwise regulate a PMSC in all cases where there is a territorial nexus or affiliation of nationality (of the company, or its employees), or where the state has concluded a contract with that PMSC. The jurisdiction of an international office may not even be limited by affiliations of territory or nationality. In contrast, companies may put themselves out of the reach of an industry association by simply withdrawing from membership. Second, there are valid grounds for skepticism relating to the legitimacy of the regulatory role that industry associations play. Not only are industry associations often private bodies; they are also in essence trade groups with close affinities to their member companies and dependence upon member companies for funds and for manning various administrative committees. These are reasonable bases for doubt about the depth of the regulatory commitment of industry associations and their independence from the particular interests of their member companies. Industry associations are rarely afforded express recognition or backing by states, and this undermines their efficacy. It is, undeniably, a challenge for industry associations to construct a plausible account of the legitimacy of their regulatory commitment. Ranganathan, however, does not dismiss the regulatory contribution of industry associations as unimportant. She considers them among the few extant regulatory agents and takes seriously their claims of being more plausible and effective regulators for the industry. After detailing their various contributions she finds “industry associations do seek to promote high standards of conduct among PMSCs through cooperation with formal regulatory initiatives. However, like coercive mechanisms, cooperative mechanisms also lack full implementation.” Perhaps that is because such associations have conflicting goals, which are essentially to be both advocate for and regulator of their memberships. She writes: The three industry associations are not just private bodies, they are also trade-associations with close links to their members and indeed are dependent upon members for the performance of their regulatory functions. Moreover, along with better standards of service, they aim to enhance contract opportunities for their members. These factors provide grounds for several concerns, among them: the possibility of spurious creation, or “capture,” of an association by the specific interests of some of its members; the difficulty of ensuring continued adherence of PMSCs to industry associations; and the lack of accountability to third parties affected by the activities of the industry associations. … The creation of an industry association could be an exercise on the part of its members to provide only the facade of regulatory constraints. A driving force for this exercise could be the members’ quest to differentiate themselves from business rivals. This is a pertinent concern given that two of the associations (BAPSC and PSCAI) were founded by their members. Another concern, however legitimate the creation of an association, is its potential for capture by the specific interests of one or few of its members at the cost of other members, non-member companies, or relevant third parties, such as populations in their areas of operation. In the case of the three industry associations, capture is made possible by the active participation of members in regulatory functions. For instance, Professor Michael Waller claims that the complaint against Blackwater was made to IPOA by competitors of the company, possibly to discredit it in a bid to seize its Iraq contract. Its competitors could also have participated in review of its conduct in what would clearly have been an abuse of regulatory process. Both the above situations are pernicious, for they indicate improper functioning of the concerned industry-association, even as the observers are lulled into false confidence about the regulated nature of the industry. In such cases we can hardly accept as legitimate any claim of the regulatory commitment of such an association. We thus need to examine what assurance we have that an industry association will act to accomplish the (regulatory) goals it prates. Ranganathan notes that, “Good faith consent by PMSCs to the regulatory authority of an association does not guarantee that the association can bind members effectively if provisions allow members to opt out without any prejudice to their interests, if penalties for violation are insufficient, or if the enforcement process is too weak to make a material impact. Like bona fide consent, effectiveness speaks to legitimacy of the association as well as to the popular support it is likely to enjoy.” She also examines the associations’ claims to legitimacy, accountability, and effectiveness. Although since PSCAI provides very little information she ends up primarily comparing IPOA and BAPSC. She finds that “IPOA clearly makes the strongest claim to order-based legitimacy” but that doesn’t mean there isn’t room for a lot of improvement. The following is specific to IPOA. I include it not to pick on it but since Ranganathan finds it has the strongest claims it is worth noting what she sees as its weaknesses. The contrasting structures of BAPSC and IPOA should not demand the conclusion that the latter performs its regulatory role better than the former. However, to the extent that both associations claim to regulate PMSCs, it may be said that IPOA displays greater structural commitment to do so. Even so, certain structural elements of IPOA do give rise to concern. These include the fact that a large chunk of IPOA’s budget comes from the dues paid by its member companies and that seats on several of the task-specific committees, including the membership and standards committees, may be had on a volunteer basis. The first fact could imply the need for greater scrutiny of structural and procedural safeguards that insulate IPOA from the interests of particular members, but it is the second which is really structurally flawed in the sense that it creates greater potential for “capture” of institutional processes by particular members. Determining committee positions by soliciting volunteers not only allows members to sit in judgment over other members, but to do so solely on the basis of their will instead of a more neutral process like rotation or random selection. Moreover, there are no institutional checks to prevent a member from volunteering for seats on several committees and for years in succession. Thus, EOD Technology, Inc. (“EODT”) has had representatives sitting concurrently on the Executive Committee, the Standards Committee and the Membership and Finance Committee in 2007 and 2008. In contrast, the membership criteria released by BAPSC indicate that at least the membership committee is elected by the BAPSC General Assembly. IPOA also espouses “transparency” as vital to its legitimacy. However, its own procedures are only transparent to a limited extent. On the one hand, its website, journal, annual reports, and papers by its staff provide a vast amount of information about organs, personnel, and member companies, and also the mechanisms employed to promote quality of service among member companies. Some commentators also note with approval that the IPOA takes on interns as evidence of the openness of its operations. On the other hand, this information changes rapidly — previously available documents become unavailable quickly. In addition, there are aspects of the association’s work that are not transparent. For instance, the association does not explain its membership decisions. It does not even provide a public record of the companies that had applied for membership and were refused. Possibly, this is motivated by prudential considerations, such as not deterring potential members from applying or current applicants from reapplying. The revelation that a company was refused membership could ironically also impair the image of the rest of the industry, because normally a refusal of membership would suggest that the applicant company was unwilling or unable to provide assurance of its compliance with the IPOA Code of Conduct. For an already prejudiced and non-discerning audience, this fact could smirch their perception of all PMSCs as unlikely to conform to the standards prescribed. It is understandable that IPOA is reluctant to contribute towards this adverse view of the industry. Even so, the lack of a public record raises doubts about the veracity of IPOA’s procedures. Given IPOA’s financial dependence on annual contributions from existing members, and its policy of allowing members to volunteer for a position on the membership committee, it is a matter of real concern that members may be able to hijack the selection process for new members. A membership decision in favor of an applicant may be influenced by an existing member’s interest in, or potential partnerships with, the applicant. Since the review process is not stringent in practice, a decision for refusal of membership may have been induced by members competing for business with the applicant. A controversial example is the repeated denial of membership to Aegis, information of which has leaked on to the Internet. Aegis is a founding member of BAPSC and PSCAI, though admittedly its reputation is far from spotless. Trophy videos of its personnel shooting at civilians are freely available on the Internet. Its chief executive is Tim Spicer, former manager of the notorious Sandline, Inc., which was involved in the “Arms to Africa” affair. However, it is not known whether either factor was relevant to IPOA’s decision. Aegis’s claims that it was “invited” to apply for membership each time it was refused have further obscured the facts. Similar criticisms can be made with respect to IPOA’s Enforcement Mechanism. At present, IPOA does not provide any information about complaints made to it. This is so despite the provision in the IPOA Code that in ordinary circumstances, submissions by complainants shall be deemed public. The IPOA also does not provide any public explanation for decisions of the Standards Committee or of the ad-hoc task forces. Indeed, the only occasion upon which the public may even [*362] be aware that a decision has been made is when a company has been expelled from membership, but there is no instance of this at present. Again, IPOA’s policies may be guided by the same concerns, mentioned earlier, that confidentiality is important to encourage PMSC participation in IPOA, and that making complaints against particular companies will harm the public image of the whole industry. News sources suggest that Blackwater withdrew from IPOA membership because it was afraid of damaging information leaks during the IPOA review of its conduct. However, for stakeholders affected by the actions of a PMSC, or for a state, or even for other member companies, the secrecy surrounding IPOA proceedings may detract from its espousal of due process. IPOA’s aim for its membership to be taken as certification of a PMSC’s high standards of service and belief that repudiation of membership will be a “commercial kiss of death” for the company is incongruous with the lack of transparency in its procedures, especially as there are no avenues for external review. Moreover, this aim is at odds with concerns that publicizing the action taken against one company will affect the reputation of all. While IPOA cannot on its own overcome audience prejudices, it can do more to assure the audience of the reliability of its decisions. Perhaps as a starting point, to compensate for lack of complete transparency, IPOA should introduce neutral oversight of its decision-making processes. Ranganathan believes that despite their flaws, the trade associations have an important role to play. She concludes: An exploration of the regulatory claims of the principal industry associations in the PMSC industry reveals a fairly sincere effort on the part of at least two of the associations to construct credible accounts of their legitimacy and accountability. Of course, there remain concerns about their structures and processes, responsiveness to third parties and their relationship (and fragmentation of authority) with each other. Critical questions also arise as to their actual capacity to regulate PMSCs. Although it is inaccurate to suggest that industry associations are irrelevant for this purpose, it is true that the absence of state backing limits the role that associations can play. Even so, their (actual and potential) role is both significant and distinct from the role played by states. Apart from prescribing codes of conduct, industry associations actually educate member companies about the standard of conduct expected from them, and, through a variety of mechanisms, persuade them to strive towards better performance standards. Moreover, they engage with individual companies at a micro level to identify and resolve problematic issues and assist governments at a broader level to understand PMSC operations and formulate policy. Their ability to “bind” members would improve tremendously if states were to view membership to these associations as a precondition for hiring PMSCs, or for permitting other consumers to hire PMSCs.

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Art Levine: Beyond Messaging: Obama’s Path to Jump Starting the Economy Without Congress

August 26, 2010

The rising jobless claims and skidding home sales make the Democrats’ selling job this November even tougher . But, cowed by deficit hawks, neither the Obama administration or Congress has shown an appetite for passing the sort of large-scale job creation packages that could make a difference in the ongoing jobless crisis . As the Washington Post observed this week, “A rapidly weakening economy threatens to undermine President Obama’s assertion that he has set the nation on a path to prosperity and, with barely two months until congressional midterm elections, Democrats find themselves with few options for reviving the faltering recovery. ” But the American Prospect and the progressive policy center Demos released a special report this week, to be featured in the magazine’s next issue, that could offer some short-term and long-term help by using the power of government agencies and contracts. These under-used strategies could be put into effect without needing to thread the needle of centrist Democrats and obstructionist Republicans in the Senate. As Robert Kuttner points out in the lead essay to this report, “The Case for Presidential Action,” that also features In These Times writer David Moberg, “The U.S. government spends half a trillion dollars a year to buy goods and services from the private sector. Federal procurement, directly or indirectly, influences about one job in four in the entire economy. And most most large national companies do business with the government,” including service and manufacturing companies that pay their workers relatively low wages, thwart unions and deny benefits. During a conference call this week on the report (hat tip to Campus Progress), experts pointed out: It seems Congress has given the administration the power to place conditions on those contracts–and the courts have backed them up. Ann O’Leary, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress (CAP) senior fellow, notes that “This authority has been used by many presidents for many years.” If these aggressive enforcement and standards-raising actions were combined with effective messaging to scare the hell out of progressives and centrists over the prospect of a GOP and John Boehner take-over, it could conceivably make a difference — although time is running out before November. In his article, “Sweatshop Army: Why does the Pentagon use low-road companies to feed and clothe out troops?,” David Moberg points to the Wornick Company of Cleveland that pays its mostly immigrant work force less than $10 an hour, making it impossible for them to afford the company’s minimum health care plan. “Unfortunately,” Moberg says, “all too often the work on military contracts is ill-paid and abusive, just as it as at Wornick, and not an expression of government’s stated social policy, such as the 1935 Wagner Act’s commitment to encourage collective bargaining.” But more than just raising those contract workers could make a difference. As Demos summarized the authors and their key reform points: Harold Meyerson on the misclassification of regular workers as temporary or contract employees, and the potential impact of a high-profile and systematic enforcement effort targeted at the large companies that employee them. David Moberg on Pentagon contractors that are notorious low-wage employers, and why there is a national security case for government to set and enforce labor standards in defense contracting. This piece looks specifically at the principal contractors producing MREs and military uniforms. David Bensman, Professor of Labor Studies and Employment Relationships at Rutgers University, on federal reclassification of transportation workers and reforming US ports by modernizing safety systems and requiring trucker certification. Steve Franklin on how the Department of Agriculture, which spends upwards of800 million on produce for the school lunch program, can extend bargaining rights to farm workers and sponsor a bill of rights that includes access to sanitary facilities, clean water, and decent housing. Jan Breidenbach on making sure that government-sponsored green housing jobs, which includes the installation of solar panels and retrofitting homes, are high-wage jobs. And others on paying childcare workers a decent wage, insisting on high- quality manufacturing jobs, and the broad social and economic benefits of a high-wage workforce . As a St. Petersburg Times columnist observes: What can be done to undo the damage without legislative action, since Republicans will oppose anything proworker? Kuttner suggests that the most consequential immediate action Obama could take is to start using government’s buying power to reward good labor practices. It must be big-time, governmentwide, and high-profile. One in every four jobs in the economy is influenced by federal procurement, whether it’s foodstuffs for the military or Medicaid payments to nursing homes. Jobs in these industries could be transformed tomorrow if contracts were awarded only to employers who paid living wages, provided benefits, respected labor laws and didn’t interfere with unionizing. As Congress fights over tax breaks for millionaires, the administration could be changing the economic prospects of millions of low-skilled workers. Boosting pay and working conditions for, say, nursing home workers under new Medicaid rules could provide real hope to working poor parents. Yet in the political battles in the run up to the November, the upset victories of some Tea Party candidates in the GOP primaries are adding to the fears of some in the Democratic Party that a mobilized conservative base could trump Democratic arguments that the economy would be worse under the GOP. As Politico reports: Top Democrats are growing markedly more pessimistic about holding the House, privately conceding that the summertime economic and political recovery they were banking on will not likely materialize by Election Day. In conversations with more than two dozen party insiders, most of whom requested anonymity to speak candidly about the state of play, Democrats in and out of Washington say they are increasingly alarmed about the economic and polling data they have seen in recent weeks. They no longer believe the jobs and housing markets will recover — or that anything resembling the White House’s promise of a “recovery summer” is under way. They are even more concerned by indications that House Democrats once considered safe — such as Rep. Betty Sutton, who occupies an Ohio seat that President Barack Obama won with 57 percent of the vote in 2008 — are in real trouble. In two close races, endangered Democrats are even running ads touting how they oppose their leadership. “Democrats kept thinking: ‘We’re going to get better. We’re going to get well before the election,’” said one of Washington’s best-connected Democrats. “But as of this week, you now have people saying that Republicans are going to win the House. And now it’s starting to look like the Senate is going to be a lot closer than people thought.” But some progressives and Democrats are hoping that a more effective message — focusing on part on the consequences of Rep. John Boehner becoming Speaker of the House — might help mobilize voters to resist the upsurge in conservative-driven anger and keep enough Democrats in office. As Washington Post blogger Greg Sargent notes: There’s a reason the White House and Dems are throwing everything they have at John Boehner’s speech attacking Obama’s economic policies: Dems and White House advisers know they must not allow Boehner and the GOP to achieve a clean relaunch of their party and their ideas heading into the midterms. The big underlying fight right now is over whether Republicans will succeed in rebranding themselves, achieving separation from Bush and the party that ran Congress before the Dem takeover, or whether Dems will successfully convince the electorate that a vote for the GOP is a vote for the party that brought our economy to the edge of doom. So the White House is circulating a new set of talking points instructing Dems on the Hill and outside allies to reiterate these ideas: In a speech in Cleveland [this week], House Minority Leader John Boehner laid out Congressional Republicans’ economic dream. Their prescription for the future = the same policies that led to the worst recession since the Great Depression. They want more tax breaks for the rich, less oversight of Wall Street, and a tougher burden for middle-class families… Representative Boehner is ignoring his party’s own record, and he’s hoping that American families will, too. In the eight years before the Obama Administration took office, the Republican Leadership took the record surplus and turned it into a record $1.3 trillion deficit. Their irresponsible policies helped to create the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, resulting in 22 months straight of job losses across America. Faced with these grim economic numbers, what can Democrats do now to save Congress? A progress writer at Daily Kos, writing under the name Meteor Blades, has some sound suggestions worth considering: To effectively put the Republicans on the defensive, the administration needs more than a message of the-economy-would-be-a-whole-lot-worse if-these-guys-had-been-in-power, even though that assessment is absolutely true. To this end, combined with a thorough thrashing of the GOP for its devil-take-the-hindmost policies, shortly after Labor Day, the administration should present basic elements of a new economic program for the next two years. It should be a program emphasizing our acute emergency, of course. But it should also lay the foundation for resolving some of the chronic problems that helped generate the emergency. That means, as so many critics have said, new approaches to trade, industrial policy, off-shoring, wage stagnation and arbitrage, and regulation. It should also look even deeper, how to deal with people’s needs for economic security in a world in which automation and other productivity-enhancing changes make the old job paradigm obsolete. No way, obviously, can reforms in all those areas be achieved in a mere two years, but a start can be made, a direction laid out. Such an economic program ought also to boast one big project, not just a flashy eye-catcher, but something practical, job-generating and an investment in the future. Replacing all our coal plants with clean-energy sources over a decade would be one possible choice with multiple benefits. But there are others. In the immediate future, these two messages could reinvigorate voters whose enthusiasm for keeping the Party of No out of office has waned during the past few months. Together, they would provide inspiring talking points to activists in the phone-bank and door-to-door trenches for their use in persuading Americans that staying at home, or choosing Republican candidates, will worsen the economic situation. But a far-sighted economic program must ultimately be about something far more important than merely winning an election. Yet given the cautionary tone and policies of the administration so far, even in the face of a continuing economic crisis and looming political disaster, it’s not at all clear such aggressive steps will be taken. UPDATE : There’s mounting evidence, according to the Congressional Budget Office, that President Obama’s stimulus package has had a positive impact on saving and creating millions of jobs. But it’s also transforming the economy, as a new Time magazine article highlights (hat tip to the Daily Beast )—but that reality hasn’t been translated into effective political salesmanship yet. ******************** This article originally appeared in the Working In These Times blog.

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Art Levine: Beyond Messaging: Obama’s Path to Jump Starting the Economy Without Congress

August 26, 2010

The rising jobless claims and skidding home sales make the Democrats’ selling job this November even tougher . But, cowed by deficit hawks, neither the Obama administration or Congress has shown an appetite for passing the sort of large-scale job creation packages that could make a difference in the ongoing jobless crisis . As the Washington Post observed this week, “A rapidly weakening economy threatens to undermine President Obama’s assertion that he has set the nation on a path to prosperity and, with barely two months until congressional midterm elections, Democrats find themselves with few options for reviving the faltering recovery. ” But the American Prospect and the progressive policy center Demos released a special report this week, to be featured in the magazine’s next issue, that could offer some short-term and long-term help by using the power of government agencies and contracts. These under-used strategies could be put into effect without needing to thread the needle of centrist Democrats and obstructionist Republicans in the Senate. As Robert Kuttner points out in the lead essay to this report, “The Case for Presidential Action,” that also features In These Times writer David Moberg, “The U.S. government spends half a trillion dollars a year to buy goods and services from the private sector. Federal procurement, directly or indirectly, influences about one job in four in the entire economy. And most most large national companies do business with the government,” including service and manufacturing companies that pay their workers relatively low wages, thwart unions and deny benefits. During a conference call this week on the report (hat tip to Campus Progress), experts pointed out: It seems Congress has given the administration the power to place conditions on those contracts–and the courts have backed them up. Ann O’Leary, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress (CAP) senior fellow, notes that “This authority has been used by many presidents for many years.” If these aggressive enforcement and standards-raising actions were combined with effective messaging to scare the hell out of progressives and centrists over the prospect of a GOP and John Boehner take-over, it could conceivably make a difference — although time is running out before November. In his article, “Sweatshop Army: Why does the Pentagon use low-road companies to feed and clothe out troops?,” David Moberg points to the Wornick Company of Cleveland that pays its mostly immigrant work force less than $10 an hour, making it impossible for them to afford the company’s minimum health care plan. “Unfortunately,” Moberg says, “all too often the work on military contracts is ill-paid and abusive, just as it as at Wornick, and not an expression of government’s stated social policy, such as the 1935 Wagner Act’s commitment to encourage collective bargaining.” But more than just raising those contract workers could make a difference. As Demos summarized the authors and their key reform points: Harold Meyerson on the misclassification of regular workers as temporary or contract employees, and the potential impact of a high-profile and systematic enforcement effort targeted at the large companies that employee them. David Moberg on Pentagon contractors that are notorious low-wage employers, and why there is a national security case for government to set and enforce labor standards in defense contracting. This piece looks specifically at the principal contractors producing MREs and military uniforms. David Bensman, Professor of Labor Studies and Employment Relationships at Rutgers University, on federal reclassification of transportation workers and reforming US ports by modernizing safety systems and requiring trucker certification. Steve Franklin on how the Department of Agriculture, which spends upwards of800 million on produce for the school lunch program, can extend bargaining rights to farm workers and sponsor a bill of rights that includes access to sanitary facilities, clean water, and decent housing. Jan Breidenbach on making sure that government-sponsored green housing jobs, which includes the installation of solar panels and retrofitting homes, are high-wage jobs. And others on paying childcare workers a decent wage, insisting on high- quality manufacturing jobs, and the broad social and economic benefits of a high-wage workforce . As a St. Petersburg Times columnist observes: What can be done to undo the damage without legislative action, since Republicans will oppose anything proworker? Kuttner suggests that the most consequential immediate action Obama could take is to start using government’s buying power to reward good labor practices. It must be big-time, governmentwide, and high-profile. One in every four jobs in the economy is influenced by federal procurement, whether it’s foodstuffs for the military or Medicaid payments to nursing homes. Jobs in these industries could be transformed tomorrow if contracts were awarded only to employers who paid living wages, provided benefits, respected labor laws and didn’t interfere with unionizing. As Congress fights over tax breaks for millionaires, the administration could be changing the economic prospects of millions of low-skilled workers. Boosting pay and working conditions for, say, nursing home workers under new Medicaid rules could provide real hope to working poor parents. Yet in the political battles in the run up to the November, the upset victories of some Tea Party candidates in the GOP primaries are adding to the fears of some in the Democratic Party that a mobilized conservative base could trump Democratic arguments that the economy would be worse under the GOP. As Politico reports: Top Democrats are growing markedly more pessimistic about holding the House, privately conceding that the summertime economic and political recovery they were banking on will not likely materialize by Election Day. In conversations with more than two dozen party insiders, most of whom requested anonymity to speak candidly about the state of play, Democrats in and out of Washington say they are increasingly alarmed about the economic and polling data they have seen in recent weeks. They no longer believe the jobs and housing markets will recover — or that anything resembling the White House’s promise of a “recovery summer” is under way. They are even more concerned by indications that House Democrats once considered safe — such as Rep. Betty Sutton, who occupies an Ohio seat that President Barack Obama won with 57 percent of the vote in 2008 — are in real trouble. In two close races, endangered Democrats are even running ads touting how they oppose their leadership. “Democrats kept thinking: ‘We’re going to get better. We’re going to get well before the election,’” said one of Washington’s best-connected Democrats. “But as of this week, you now have people saying that Republicans are going to win the House. And now it’s starting to look like the Senate is going to be a lot closer than people thought.” But some progressives and Democrats are hoping that a more effective message — focusing on part on the consequences of Rep. John Boehner becoming Speaker of the House — might help mobilize voters to resist the upsurge in conservative-driven anger and keep enough Democrats in office. As Washington Post blogger Greg Sargent notes: There’s a reason the White House and Dems are throwing everything they have at John Boehner’s speech attacking Obama’s economic policies: Dems and White House advisers know they must not allow Boehner and the GOP to achieve a clean relaunch of their party and their ideas heading into the midterms. The big underlying fight right now is over whether Republicans will succeed in rebranding themselves, achieving separation from Bush and the party that ran Congress before the Dem takeover, or whether Dems will successfully convince the electorate that a vote for the GOP is a vote for the party that brought our economy to the edge of doom. So the White House is circulating a new set of talking points instructing Dems on the Hill and outside allies to reiterate these ideas: In a speech in Cleveland [this week], House Minority Leader John Boehner laid out Congressional Republicans’ economic dream. Their prescription for the future = the same policies that led to the worst recession since the Great Depression. They want more tax breaks for the rich, less oversight of Wall Street, and a tougher burden for middle-class families… Representative Boehner is ignoring his party’s own record, and he’s hoping that American families will, too. In the eight years before the Obama Administration took office, the Republican Leadership took the record surplus and turned it into a record $1.3 trillion deficit. Their irresponsible policies helped to create the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, resulting in 22 months straight of job losses across America. Faced with these grim economic numbers, what can Democrats do now to save Congress? A progress writer at Daily Kos, writing under the name Meteor Blades, has some sound suggestions worth considering: To effectively put the Republicans on the defensive, the administration needs more than a message of the-economy-would-be-a-whole-lot-worse if-these-guys-had-been-in-power, even though that assessment is absolutely true. To this end, combined with a thorough thrashing of the GOP for its devil-take-the-hindmost policies, shortly after Labor Day, the administration should present basic elements of a new economic program for the next two years. It should be a program emphasizing our acute emergency, of course. But it should also lay the foundation for resolving some of the chronic problems that helped generate the emergency. That means, as so many critics have said, new approaches to trade, industrial policy, off-shoring, wage stagnation and arbitrage, and regulation. It should also look even deeper, how to deal with people’s needs for economic security in a world in which automation and other productivity-enhancing changes make the old job paradigm obsolete. No way, obviously, can reforms in all those areas be achieved in a mere two years, but a start can be made, a direction laid out. Such an economic program ought also to boast one big project, not just a flashy eye-catcher, but something practical, job-generating and an investment in the future. Replacing all our coal plants with clean-energy sources over a decade would be one possible choice with multiple benefits. But there are others. In the immediate future, these two messages could reinvigorate voters whose enthusiasm for keeping the Party of No out of office has waned during the past few months. Together, they would provide inspiring talking points to activists in the phone-bank and door-to-door trenches for their use in persuading Americans that staying at home, or choosing Republican candidates, will worsen the economic situation. But a far-sighted economic program must ultimately be about something far more important than merely winning an election. Yet given the cautionary tone and policies of the administration so far, even in the face of a continuing economic crisis and looming political disaster, it’s not at all clear such aggressive steps will be taken. UPDATE : There’s mounting evidence, according to the Congressional Budget Office, that President Obama’s stimulus package has had a positive impact on saving and creating millions of jobs. But it’s also transforming the economy, as a new Time magazine article highlights (hat tip to the Daily Beast )—but that reality hasn’t been translated into effective political salesmanship yet. ******************** This article originally appeared in the Working In These Times blog.

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Don Tapscott: We Need World-Wide Corporate Reporting Standards

August 11, 2010

It was many years ago that I first heard the optimistic adage, “you do well by doing good.” Back then, advocates of so-called Corporate Social Responsibility were trying to make a business case for good corporate behavior. Few were persuaded. The main reason for lack of success in winning support for the “being good,” is that the adage was not true. Many companies did well by being bad. Creative accounting, unfair labor practices, corporate secrecy, monopolistic behaviors, externalizing costs, and shady environmental behaviors could help beef up the bottom line. Not to mention that corporate executives themselves could “do well” by paying astronomical bonuses, even while their companies were struggling. But the collapse of the financial systems and the global economic crisis of 2009 were a wakeup call to the world. It’s become clear that business can’t succeed in a world that is failing. And the world has never faced greater challenges: Over-consumption of limited natural resources, the threat of global warming, and the need to provide clean water, food and a better standard of living for a growing global population. Decisions taken in tackling these issues need to be based on clear and comprehensive information, something which seems self-evident but there was no world-wide agreement on just what that information should look like. A coalition of representatives from around the world from major corporations, the Big Four auditors: PwC, Deloitte, Ernst & Young and KPMG, securities agencies, regulatory bodies, non-governmental organizations and standard-setting sectors have studied the issue. The group’s recommendation is the formulation of the International Integrated Reporting Committee (IIRC). Currently, publicly listed companies must file an annual report. These reports follow either the U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (U.S. GAAP) or the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Increasingly companies are also voluntarily producing corporate social responsibility or sustainability reports. But the relevance and quality of the information is all over the map. Some companies issue a two-paragraph statement while others produce weighty tomes. There is no global standard for measuring and reporting on environmental, social and governance performance. “To make our economy sustainable we have to relearn everything we have learnt from the past. That means making more from less and ensuring that governance, strategy and sustainability are inseparable” said Professor Mervyn King, Chairman of the Global Reporting Initiative. “Integrated Reporting builds on the practice of financial reporting, and environmental, social and governance — or ESG — reporting, and equips companies to strategically manage their operations, brand and reputation to stakeholders and be better prepared to manage any risk that may compromise the long-term sustainability of the business.” The IIRC wants a globally accepted framework that brings together financial, environmental, social and governance information in a clear, consistent and comparable format. The objectives for the framework are to: a) support the information needs of long-term investors, by showing the broader and longer-term consequences of decision-making; b) reflect the interconnections between environmental, social, governance and financial factors in decisions that affect long-term performance and condition, making clear the link between sustainability and economic value; c) provide the necessary framework for environmental and social factors to be taken into account systematically in reporting and decision-making; d) rebalance performance metrics away from an undue emphasis on short-term financial performance; and e) bring reporting closer to the information used by management to run the business on a day-to-day basis. In my mind, the creation of the IIRC is another manifestation of an old force with new power that is rising in business, one that has far-reaching implications for most everyone. Nascent for half a century, this force has quietly gained momentum through the last decade and is now triggering profound changes across the corporate world. Evidence suggests firms that embrace this force and harness its power will thrive. Those who ignore or oppose it will suffer. The force is transparency. Globalization, instant communications, organized civil society — and now a crisis in trust, have changed the rules of the game. Firms are being held to complex and changing sets of standards — from unrelenting webs of “stakeholders” who pass judgment on corporate behavior — to regulations, new and old, that govern and often complicate everyday activities. In an ultra-transparent world of instant communications, every step and misstep is subject to scrutiny. And every company with a brand or reputation to protect is vulnerable. Customers can evaluate the worth of products and services at levels not possible before. Employees share formerly secret information about corporate strategy, management and challenges. To collaborate effectively, companies and their business partners have no choice but to share intimate knowledge with one another. Powerful institutional investors today own or manage most wealth, and they are developing x-ray vision. Finally, in a world of instant communications, whistleblowers, inquisitive media, and Googling, citizens and communities routinely put firms under the microscope. I’ve produced a few “studies in bad timing” in my life. One stellar example was a book I co-authored with the brilliant business strategist David Ticoll — The Naked Corporation: How the Age of Transparency Will Revolutionize Business . As people researching how technology changes things, we became interested in how the Internet would change the use and communication of information. We defined transparency as “access to pertinent information by stakeholders.” By “pertinent,” we meant information that can help if you have it and hurt if you don’t. It’s been almost a decade since the book hit the streets. We argued that the corporation is becoming naked, and as a result will have no choice but to rethink values and behaviors — for the better. Our tag line was “you’re going to be naked, so you’d better be buff!” Reviewers either loved the book or hated it. Sales were modest. My deepest regret, in hindsight, was that clearly the book was not read and heeded by the leaders of our financial services industries. Lacking “fitness” they brought down the industry and with it the global economy. To paraphrase Victor Hugo, there is nothing so powerful as an idea whose time has come — again. To build trusting relationships and succeed in a transparent economy, growing numbers of firms in all parts of the globe are being forced to behave more responsibly than ever. Disgraced banks represent the old model — a dying breed. I say good riddance. Business integrity is on the rise, not just for legal or purely ethical reasons but because it makes economic sense. Companies need to do good — act with integrity — not just to secure a healthy business environment, but for their own sustainability and competitive advantage. Firms with ethical values, openness, and candor have discovered that they can be more competitive and profitable. Further, today’s winners increasingly undress for success. Our research suggests that open corporations perform better. Transparency is a new form of power, which pays off when harnessed. Rather than to be feared, transparency is becoming central to business success. Rather than be stripped unwillingly, smart firms are choosing to be open. Over time, what we call open enterprises — firms that operate with candor, integrity, and engagement — are most likely to survive and thrive. And any bank executives who think they can return to the old ways are mistaken. In the new business environment firms will do well by doing good.

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Elisabeth Rhyne: Microfinance: Keeping the Mission When Non-Profits Become For-Profits

August 9, 2010

Most people with a lively interest in microfinance know that the majority of microloans dispensed throughout the world today come from for-profit microfinance institutions, rather than donation-dependent non-governmental organizations (NGOs). What may be less recognized is how these for-profit MFIs were born. Many of the world’s largest and most successful microfinance organizations — including India’s SKS Microfinance, which just raised some $358 million in a closely-watched IPO — started life as nonprofit NGOs. Riding on early success in attracting clients, they decided to undergo dramatic transformations: they found investors, obtained regulatory approval, and spun off licensed, for-profit financial institutions, leaving the original NGO behind. This process has now happened dozens of times around the world. The pioneer transformer, BancoSol of Bolivia in 1992, demonstrated that the path from non-profit to for-profit is fraught with difficulties. It often takes years to complete, especially when it involves getting regulators to grant a financial institution license. A leader like Vikram Akula, SKS’s founder, needs a compelling reason to take his organization through that ordeal. For Akula, as for many others, that compelling reason was capital for growth. As Akula told Forbes India in September 2009, the transformation was all about SKS’s mission to reach millions of families who lack access to financial services: Grameen Bank reaches 7 million clients and that’s amazing. On the other hand, it took Professor Yunus [Grameen Bank's founder] 35 years to do that… Can you imagine how many generations it will take to reach 150 million poor households in India if we took that approach? We have to scale more rapidly, and only commercial capital will meet our huge funding requirements. And indeed, funded by three rounds of venture capital prior to its IPO, SKS grew from a modest nonprofit with 2000 borrowers in 2001 to a “Starbucks of microfinance” with 4.7 million borrowers in 2009. With the IPO, it is poised to continue growing. The mission-critical reasons for transformation have to be very compelling because when money is at stake, personal interests tend to complicate the process. The hard challenge is to align the personal interests of the founders, investors and other stakeholders with the long run mission to assist low income clients. The SKS IPO, for example, has generated controversy in part because trustees of two charitable microfinance organizations that financed SKS at the outset disagree over how to spend the tens of millions of dollars those groups earned in the IPO. Another nonprofit supporter, Seattle-based Unitus, last month abruptly laid off its staff and announced it would refocus its efforts in fields other than microfinance — a move that has raised a lot of eyebrows . And Mr. Akula, with a significant personal stake in SKS, is also a target, as observers examine whether his decisions place the mission in front of his own interests. For-profit with a purpose: ingredients of successful transformations The challenge is to transform while keeping the organization committed to its social mission. In practice, this entails balancing the interests, egos, abilities, goals, and responsibilities of the various stakeholders to create an organization that delivers high quality services and remains focused on its target clientele. At the Center for Financial Inclusion at ACCION, our ” Aligning Interests ” study examines several successful and not-so-successful MFI transformations in detail and sketches out practices that improve the chances for continuity of mission. One good practice is to keep the original team of sponsoring organizations in place. Often, the founding NGO retains a large ownership stake and seats on the board. So do multilateral organizations or development banks that have invested capital and expertise in the past. It is also critical to create a strong and mission-focused management team, blending original NGO management with new managers who supplement the existing skill set. It helps to talk openly about stakeholders’ diverse personal interests, including those of NGO managers, board directors, and staff. Managers may be motivated by many factors, from financial security, to prestige, to commitment to poverty alleviation. As perhaps different from purely private mergers and acquisitions, the participants in a microfinance transformation generally recognize that financial rewards are not the only relevant factor. In fact, the non-profit origins of these organizations make financial rewards for managers a particularly ticklish subject. In a number of cases, employees’ personal interests are addressed through opportunities for equity participation based on future performance (with care taken not to draw upon the original non-profit corpus). The case for an NGO “Prenup” Today, almost 20 years since BancoSol made the industry’s first successful transformation, any start-up NGO should consider whether transformation might be a part of its future. If so, its founding agreements should anticipate the possibility as much as possible — the NGO equivalent of a prenuptial agreement. Provisions such as the granting of sweat equity, which may be ethically questionable if granted in retrospect, become more acceptable precisely because all parties to the institution explicitly agreed to them from the start. These issues may be easier to agree on at the beginning, when the NGO’s business has not yet developed a large commercial value. Re-imagining the for-profit company Many people committed to social justice may have a built-in assumption that nonprofits are inherently more virtuous than for-profit companies. Most people also recognize, however, that for-profit businesses have been the primary engines of wealth creation in the modern world. It is for that reason that many social entrepreneurs are now seeking to create double bottom-line entities that maintain a dual focus on profits and a social mission. The microfinance industry has been at the forefront of such experimentation. While some missteps are inevitable, we are learning as we go. Each new case, SKS Microfinance included, provides valuable lessons and helps complete an increasingly useful transformation toolkit.

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Elizabeth Warren Backed By Coalition Of Academics To Head New Consumer Agency

August 3, 2010

A coalition of professors across the country has emailed President Barack Obama in support of Elizabeth Warren as head of the nascent Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection. The 141 professors, representing disciplines from law, economics, management, sociology, and political science, sent the email this morning praising Warren’s “scholarly expertise” and effective management. The list includes Warren’s former employers at Harvard University, University of Texas, University of Houston and University of Michigan, as well as her alma mater, Rutgers Law School. As pressure mounts for the White House to choose the first leader of the consumer oversight panel, the academics join a growing chorus of Congressmen and reformers pushing Warren. In addition, 26 prominent economists and experts sent a similar letter to Obama , urging him to name Warren. As reported by HuffPost , Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has expressed his opposition to her nomination though he’s praised her in public. This morning, he told “Good Morning America” that he thought she would be “a very effective, very capable leader” — but stopped short of endorsing her. Opposed to her nomination are some prominent Democrats, including the bill’s author Chris Dodd, leading Senate Banking Committee Republicans Richard Shelby and Bob Corker and financial industry trade groups. In their email, Warren’s academic colleagues write: “Professor Warren’s integrity and genuine concern for the plight of ordinary American families are sorely needed in Washington. We believe that Elizabeth Warren is the ideal choice to head the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection.” READ the letter: Dear Mr. President, We are professors of many disciplines, including law, economics, management, sociology, and political science, who specialize in subjects relevant to the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection (the “Bureau”) established by the Dodd-Frank Act. We write to urge you to appoint Elizabeth Warren as the Bureau’s first Director. Professor Warren is an eminent legal scholar and a nationally renowned expert on consumer finance. She has authored over one hundred and twenty scholarly articles and books. These include a best-selling personal finance book for middle class families and teaching materials that help educate thousands of law students every year. This scholarly expertise, along with her work as Chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel for TARP, has given Professor Warren a broad, and perhaps unique, perspective on how effective consumer protection is essential for the safety and soundness of the financial system and the health of the American economy. She is an effective manager with clear vision and the ability to coordinate complex projects, as demonstrated by her groundbreaking scholarly studies, her work as reporter for the National Bankruptcy Review Commission, and her leadership of the Congressional Oversight Panel. In both her scholarship and her public service, Professor Warren draws her conclusions from careful analysis of data. She listens carefully to alternate hypotheses and she is responsive to criticism. She speaks plainly and honestly. She owes no allegiance to the financial services industry or other special interest groups. Professor Warren’s integrity and genuine concern for the plight of ordinary American families are sorely needed in Washington. We believe that Elizabeth Warren is the ideal choice to head the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection.

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Dean Baker: Economists Tell the Masses: "It Could Have Been Worse"

August 2, 2010

It is amazing that angry mobs have not risen up and chased all the economists out of the country. While the greed of the Wall Street gang provided the fuel for the bubble, the economists played an essential role as enablers. This was most directly true for economists in policymaking positions, like Alan Greenspan at the Fed. It was Greenspan’s job to stop the housing bubble. A competent and honest Fed chair would have recognized the bubble by 2002 and taken whatever steps were necessary to rein it in. And we should be 100 percent clear, in spite of all the song and dance about how the financial reform bill will prevent another bailout, the Fed absolutely had all the tools needed to stop this disaster. They just lacked either the competence or the integrity, or both. But the economists in policymaking positions are just the beginning. There are thousands of macroeconomists across the country, in government, academia and private industry who track the economy as a full-time job. It is actually a well-paid job, with many drawing six-figure salaries and big name types getting close to $1 million a year. Given the high pay for this profession, it was reasonable to expect that they would be able to see something like the $8 trillion housing bubble that eventually wrecked the economy when it collapsed. But you can count on your fingers the number of economists who raised warnings about the housing bubble. The rest either did not see it, or didn’t think it worth mentioning. Remarkably, no economists seem to have lost their jobs for this failing. Unlike dishwashers and custodians, economists are not held accountable for the quality of their work. Now, the economists are back telling us that we should be thankful that Congress and the Fed enacted the TARP and the other programs that saved Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and the rest from bankruptcy. A new study by Princeton University Professor Alan Blinder and Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, examined the impact of the TARP and the related Fed and FDIC bailout programs. The study found that without the bailout, GDP would have declined by another 6.5 percent and the economy would have lost another 8.5 million jobs. In other words, things might be bad now, but if we didn’t shovel trillions in loans and loan guarantees to Goldman Sachs and the rest of the Wall Street gang, they would be even worse. Before we start thanking Goldman for taking our money, it is worth taking a closer look at the study. The big story here is the counterfactual. What does the study assume the Fed and Treasury would have done if we had not passed the TARP and the Fed had not come through with its vast array of emergency loan and loan guarantee programs? The answer is that the study assumes that they would have done nothing. In other words, the question asked by the study is “what would the world look like if the federal government had done absolutely nothing to counter the economic and financial downturn resulting from collapse of the housing bubble?” This counterfactual seems more than a bit unrealistic. Suppose we had let the market work its magic and put Goldman, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley into bankruptcy. Suppose that once these firms were in receivership and their bank units were in the hands of the FDIC, the Fed flooded the system with liquidity. How would this situation compare with the situation where trillions of taxpayer dollars were put at the discretion of Goldman and the rest through TARP and the Fed’s special facilities? The Blinder-Zandi study tells us absolutely nothing about this scenario. In other words, Blinder and Zandi have constructed an absurdly unrealistic counterfactual and told us that the TARP was much better than this absurd scenario. This is like saying that people who don’t eat chicken will starve to death. Under the counterfactual that people who don’t chicken don’t eat anything else either, they certainly will starve to death. But that is not a serious analysis of the benefits of eating chicken, and Blinder and Zandi have not given us a serious analysis of the benefits of the TARP. This “it could have been worse” line should be flushed down the toilet. The reality is that greed and incompetence created an entirely unnecessary disaster. Tens of millions of people are still suffering from its consequences. And the Wall Street boys and the economists who are responsible for the disaster are all doing just fine. People should be really angry about this and a silly study that might be used to tell them otherwise should just make them angrier.

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Katherine V.W. Stone: Banks, Babies and Biases

July 29, 2010

Twenty years ago, banks had a reputation for being very conservative. Then came the high flying world of casino banking, with its high roller, risk-embracing culture. Beneath it all, though, the core of the banking industry mentality is deeply conservative — not the good kind of conservative that makes sure that loans are collateralized and deposits are protected. Rather, it is a conservative mentality produced by an out-of-date understanding of the world in which the loans — particulary mortgage loans — operate. And that misunderstanding will continue to spell trouble for all of us. Here is one telling case in point. In their new efforts to be cautious, banks and other mortgage-lenders are reportedly refusing to give loans to pregnant women. (Tara Siegal Bernard, Need a Mortgage? Don’t Get Pregnant , New York Times, July 20, 2010) The refusals are based on the lenders’ fear that pregnant women may decide not to return to work, or may not have a job to return to, after childbirth. What this policy reveals is not that the banks are sexist or family-hostile — which they are — but that they are about seriously of touch with the reality of the labor market. When was the last time any applicant for a thirty year mortgage had the same job, and income, for thirty years? Fixed-rate, self-amortizing mortgages were designed for a workplace in which workers stayed with their employers for their entire careers. These types of mortgages arose in the 1930 and 1940s, a time when employers wanted workers to stay with them a long time so they could develop loyalty, learn in-house skills and progress gradually up an orderly job ladder until retirement. Long-term mortgages assume that borrowers have reliable and long-term employment relationships. For much of the 20th century, this was true, much of the time. America’s great post-war middle class was comprised of blue-collar workers who enjoyed long-term, stable jobs and predictable promotion paths that extended from hiring to retiring. Auto companies, insurance companies, the steel industry, and other industries dominated by large firms offered their workers de facto job security, orderly promotion opportunities, a rising wage trajectory, dependable benefits and a reliable pension upon retirement. Such jobs were by no means universal — they eluded most African Americans, women, and rural Americans — but they formed the template upon which 20th-century social policy was built. Over the past two decades, the reality of long-term stable employment has vanished for all but a lucky few. Employers have created new types of employment arrangements that do not rely on a stable and loyal workforce, but which provide them flexibility instead. Sometimes this means using temporary workers or independent contractors to perform tasks previously performed by regular employees. But more frequently it means altering employees expectations and repudiating the culture of permanency that employers used to foster. Employers want to be able to bring in new employees with new skills at any level, eliminate those with obsolete skills, and reassign incumbent employees across departmental and functional lines. These changes are not all nefarious — they have unleashed creativity and enabled many to escape the deadening drone of dull, repetitive work. However, the change in the nature of employment has undermined many crucial elements of our social safety net, including our housing policy. The problem now is that few people have the kind of long-term job security that our housing policies take for granted. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the median length of time a worker spends with a particular employer has decreased in every age group since 1980, except for women ages 35-44, who saw a slight increase. Today, more and more people have an episodic experience in the labor market, moving from employer to employer, with periods of employment often followed by periods of unemployment and transition. When unemployment strikes, mortgage payments that once had been manageable become impossible. So banks that refuse loans to pregnant women for fear that childbirth will disrupt the employment relationship are worrying about the wrong problem. Almost no one has safe, reliable employment these days. All workers are at risk of termination and seeing their jobs outsourced to temporary workers, independent contractors, or simply to new blood. The answer is not to single out one group whose employment relationship is precarious — nearly everyone’s is. Instead, banks and other lending institutions need to rethink their lending practices to meet the new reality of people’s work life cycles. For example, they should redesign mortgages to have flexible resets that permit mortgage holidays or interest rate dips during spells of unemployment. Some commercial loans currently have this feature for businesses that are in temporary difficulties. Because the nature of employment has changed profoundly, it is time to revisit the structure of housing finance. Katherine V.W. Stone is the Arjay and Frances Miller Professor of Law at UCLA School of Law. She specializes in labor and employment law, and her book, From Widgets to Digits: Employment Regulation for the Changing Workplace was awarded the Michael Harrington Award for linking scholarship to current issues of social policy.

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N. E. Marsden: Phantom Assets: Undermining Corporate Elections and Shareholder Rights

July 21, 2010

Every once in awhile, a journalistic ray of light exposes how far our financial system has veered from anything resembling objective reality. New York Times blogger Steven Davidoff, AKA “the Deal Professor,” recently demonstrated how a hedge fund which does not own any “real” interest in a firm can sway a corporate election, negating core principles of ownership and shareholder rights. See Landry’s and the Value of a Shareholder Vote , New York Times , June 28, 2010. As Davidoff notes, the complex drama surrounding Tilman J. Fertitta’s bid to acquire Landry’s Restaurants (Rainforest Cafe, Chart House, the Golden Nugget, etc.) raises broad questions about overvoting in corporate elections and the growing influence of blocks of “phantom” shares: What is a shareholder vote worth? Should courts discount shareholder votes by hedge funds when their shareholder activism is perceived to be in the short-term or otherwise in direct conflict with the corporation? Beyond hedge funds, how should courts treat shareholder votes by derivative counterparties with no economic interest in a transaction? The backstory on this critical issue can be found in Rolling Stone ‘s 2009 expose, Wall Street’s Naked Swindle by Matt Taibbi. If you missed it, check it out. Taibbi provides a rare glimpse of the phantom economy — a black hole where traders traffic in dark matter — stocks, bonds, real estate and even U.S. Treasuries that don’t exist . Phantom assets don’t show up in the brick and mortar world of three dimensions, and you can scarcely track them electronically. Yet these “counterfeit assets” exert a tremendous pull on the economy and on the net worth of investors. Taibbi explains: Thanks to a loophole, brokers could legally counterfeit stock, promising the same shares to five different hedge funds… The fact that short sellers do not have to deliver their shares makes it possible for two people at once to think they own a stock… In this scenario, both Schmucks will appear to have full voting rights… Susan Trimbath, a whistleblower formerly with the Depository Trust Company, sniffed out the problem more than a decade before Bear Stearns and Lehman fell. She realized that anyone could influence a corporate election simply by borrowing great masses of shares shortly before an important merger or board election. And according to Taibbi, she saw even darker implications: Just as the lack of hard rules forcing short-sellers to deliver shares makes it possible for unscrupulous traders to manipulate a corporate vote, it could also enable them to manipulate the price of a stock by selling large quantities of shares they didn’t possess. Regulators ignored Trimbath’s cry of alarm, even while rampant trading of counterfeit assets stripped legitimate shareholders of their rights, and in some cases, their net worth. In 2005 a group called the Securities Transfer Association analyzed 341 shareholder votes taken that year — and found evidence of over-voting in every single one . Experts in the field complain that the system makes corporate election fraud a comically simple thing to achieve… The use of phantom assets to usurp corporate governance and sabotage share prices not only creates havoc in the market, but it also undermines capitalism’s cornerstone value — the rights associated with ownership. Surely economic reform will fail miserably unless it restores authority to legitimate shareholders — investors who actually own shares in a company.

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Rep. Jackie Speier: Enough Is Enough — Put Elizabeth Warren in Charge

July 20, 2010

The last time I was this angry I was sitting in front of the TV in my bathrobe and slippers, watching the confirmation hearing for Clarence Thomas and listening to Senators interrogating Anita Hill as if she were a criminal. I vividly remember kicking a slipper off and throwing it at the TV. Why am I angry today? Now the powerful and the pundits have their eye on making sure the respected visionary Elizabeth Warren is kept in her place. Enough is enough! Three years ago Professor Warren was clear in issuing warnings about the financial risks associated with sub-prime and no-doc mortgages and the shell games that were being masked as risk-free investments. She told us what would happen and it did. Isn’t this insight worth something? Professor Warren didn’t limit herself to warnings, she laid out the foundation of what, with Congressional approval, is now the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Isn’t this kind of creative thinking worth something? The Wall Street bankers who got the benefits of a massive government bailout weren’t able to kill the CFPB and they certainly don’t like Warren. Some say she’s ruffled feathers. The good old boy network of investors is uncomfortable around her. Is this because she is a woman in a male-dominated “sport,” or is it that she’s an advocate for middle-class families who sees nothing amusing about winning and losing with people’s life savings? Elizabeth Warren’s detractors view her as a risky regulatory investment. She might do too much. They are essentially arguing that she needs Wall Street grooming, more time in the clubrooms, at least those that allow women. Frankly it is time to slam the door on the profiteers. Let them ramble on while we finally get some sane regulatory protections working for the men and women by calling on the President to put Elizabeth Warren in charge.

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SEIU, Labor Directly Lobby Geithner On Elizabeth Warren’s Behalf

July 20, 2010

The labor community is going to lend its considerable political clout to the effort to get Elizabeth Warren confirmed as the first head of the newly-created Consumer Protection Agency, going directly to the White House official who may stand in her way. On Tuesday, SEIU President Mary Kay Henry will “raise the point that Elizabeth Warren would be an excellent head of the newly created Consumer Protection Agency” in private talks with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, according to a senior source with the union. The tete-a-tete adds an element of intrigue into the debate over who should head the new but important agency and could set up a now-familiar scenario in which the labor community finds itself butting heads with the White House’s economic team. Geithner has privately expressed skepticism with Warren’s candidacy for the post — despite the fact that she is considered the godmother of the very idea that consumers need a watchdog agency on their behalf. The Treasury Secretary is wary about the message that Warren’s appointment would send to the financial community and would prefer to appoint Michael Barr, a senior Treasury Department official who was instrumental in crafting financial regulatory reform. In public, the White House has insisted that it is open up to all candidacies, including Warren’s. But Geithner’s private musings have spurred an intense pushback. In addition to Kay Henry’s visit to Treasury, another major union, the AFL-CIO, has directly lobbied the White House on Warren’s behalf, according to a source with the union federation. Meanwhile, the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, a liberal activist group, has colleted roughly 140,000 signatures in a petition drive urging the White House to nominate Warren for the new post. Warren, it should be noted, could assume the post by executive appointment under the newly passed regulatory reform law. This would allow her to avoid a bitter confirmation fight in which she would need the support of 60 Senators in order to make it through the Senate. UPDATE : AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka released the following statement on Tuesday morning on regulatory reform and Warren’s candidacy: The AFL-CIO applauds the passage of the Wall Street Accountability Act and looks forward to the creation of the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau – which has the potential to be a powerful and independent voice for consumers. In our view, there is only one candidate who is uniquely qualified and equipped to head this new agency. Harvard Law School Professor Elizabeth Warren originated the idea of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and has proven as Chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel to be a strong and fearless advocate for the American public. We therefore strongly urge President Obama to appoint Professor Warren as Director of the new consumer protection bureau. Professor Warren’s appointment would make clear that under President Obama’s leadership, there truly will be accountability for Wall Street and fair treatment for the American public in the financial marketplace. FURTHER UPDATE : The SEIU has now put up a blog post on its website touting Warren for the post. Warren has spent her entire career fighting for the interests of working families and supporting policies to help rebuild our middle class. In fact, Warren even came up with the concept of a new consumer watchdog. As head of the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, she’ll work each and every day to stand up to Wall Street and demand commonsense financial products that will protect us from the next economic meltdown.

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Elizabeth Warren Could Head CFPB Without Senate Confirmation

July 19, 2010

Elizabeth Warren could lead the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau without ever having to face a Senate confirmation hearing. The Harvard Law professor and bailout watchdog, beloved by the left and reviled by big banks, is one of three candidates the White House identified Friday as potential picks to lead the new consumer agency. Created as part of the financial reform bill President Barack Obama is expected to sign into law on Wednesday, the agency is supposed to protect borrowers from predatory lenders and centralize the federal government’s role when it comes to extending credit to consumers. Warren conceived of the agency in 2007 and since last year has served as the public face of the campaign to enact it into law. But some have speculated Warren may face an uphill battle to become its inaugural chief. Lenders fear her — particularly given her strong advocacy on behalf of the debt-strapped middle class — and are furiously fighting her potential nomination as she’s viewed as the most consumer-friendly of the candidates. Their friends in the Senate may take up their cause. Proponents and critics agree that the first director will have a lasting impact on the agency, from the hiring of staff to the general attitude it takes towards consumer protection. Some are expected to prepare a Supreme Court-style campaign when Obama names his nominee. During a radio interview Monday, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd said there’s a “serious question” over whether she, as Obama’s nominee, could be confirmed by the Senate. “We are confident she is confirmable,” White House spokeswoman Jennifer Psaki said. The administration, though, could bypass the Senate entirely — without engendering the ill-will that would result from a recess appointment. According to the bill’s language, the Treasury Secretary has sole authority to build the new agency before it’s ultimately transferred to the Federal Reserve. That includes anointing a person to head the effort on his behalf, and under his authority. The interim head would serve until the President’s nominee is confirmed by the Senate. That person could be Elizabeth Warren. And the legislation doesn’t appear to contain a deadline for a Presidential nomination, experts say, which means Warren could start the agency from scratch, put her people in, begin cracking down on predatory and abusive lenders, and initiate a culture that would put consumers’ interests above those of the nation’s most powerful financial institutions. In short, she could set a tone the agency will follow for the next several years without the administration needing to fight a potentially drawn-out confirmation battle that could stall Obama’s pro-consumer agenda. “The statute gives the Treasury Secretary the obligation to get it done, but doesn’t tell him how to get it done,” Gail Hillebrand, a senior attorney at Consumers Union and manager of the group’s financial services campaign, said about the Secretary’s role in creating the new agency. Picking an interim head is one of the authorities Congress granted him in the legislation. Whomever Geithner hires would be serving that role on his behalf, and would ultimately be his responsibility. So Geithner could, presumably, hire Warren on a contract basis to perform that role, Hillebrand said. Michael Barr, the Treasury’s assistant secretary for financial institutions, and Eugene Kimmelman, a top Justice Department official who worked for various consumer groups prior to government service, are the other candidates for the position, White House officials said Friday. Geithner is said to prefer Barr, a key lieutenant and a noted consumer advocate, for the role. Geithner opposes Warren’s nomination, according to a source familiar with Geithner’s views, though the Treasury Secretary, through Barr and a department spokesman, said Friday that Warren is “well qualified” for the position. Though Hillebrand said she couldn’t immediately pinpoint a deadline in the legislation mandating a Presidential nominee, she added that there must be some kind of deadline that she wasn’t aware of. It wasn’t immediately clear, though. Geithner’s pick would be able to begin protecting taxpayers and consumers “immediately,” Hillebrand said. And the pick could serve for months, if not longer. That’s what the legislation was probably designed to accomplish, the consumer advocate noted. Whenever a new federal agency is created it makes sense to pick someone in the interim “to get things going. Clearly, that would be authorized here,” she said. “Consumers have waiting a long time,” Hillebrand said. “The sooner we can get it off the ground the better.” Americans for Financial Reform, a coalition of more than 250 groups organized to fight for strong financial reform, endorsed Warren on Monday to head the new agency. Rep. Carolyn Maloney, a New York Democrat, and Senator Tom Harkin, a Democrat from Iowa, are both asking colleagues to sign letters urging Obama to nominate Warren for the post. Sen. Bernie Sanders, an independent from Vermont aligned with Senate Democrats, wrote Obama on Monday asking him to nominate Warren. “No one in our nation could do a better job,” Sanders wrote. Heather Booth, AFR’s director, said proponents of reform should fight for “the strongest, most qualified” candidate to head the consumer agency. AFR endorsed Warren. “If there are people representing the interests of the biggest financial institutions, they can vote against” the candidate, Booth said. “This is the time to vote whether you’re for Main Street or for Wall Street.” Hillebrand added that regardless of when Obama picks the nominee there’s going to be an “ideological fight.” So rather than face that fight now — and potentially stall an agenda — one consumer advocate suggested there’s nothing stopping the administration from installing the candidate most likely to fight back against the big banks on behalf of consumers. On Friday, White House senior adviser David Axelrod told reporters that regardless of whether Warren is picked to officially head the agency, “one thing I know for certain is however we move forward she’s going to be a strong voice in helping shape this and make it the most effective voice for consumers that it possibly can be.” Geithner picking her as the interim choice could be what Axelrod was referring to. Warren declined to comment for this article. It is unclear whether she’d be interested in serving in such an arrangement. A Treasury spokesman said the department is first looking forward to Obama’s signing of the bill on Wednesday. READ Sanders’s letter below: Dear Mr. President: At a time when doubts about Wall Street and its practices are very deep, at a time when many Americans believe that we have not acted as aggressively and rapidly as we might have acted in limiting Wall Street recklessness and greed, it is in my belief imperative that we move to reassure American consumers that the federal government is looking after their interests. A good first step has been the creation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which is part of the Wall Street Reform legislation you will sign this week. But the establishment of the Commission is not enough. We need a strong Director, one who will help convince the many millions of Americans who currently do not trust government that we are serious in standing up to Wall Street and providing the consumer protection they need. This will not be a job for the faint-hearted. I would strongly hope that you will appoint Elizabeth Warren to head up the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. She, as you know, was the first to broach the idea of such a commission in an article published in Democracy: A Journal of Ideas in 2007. She has a strong – and very widespread – reputation for looking out for the American people and for American taxpayers. Incredibly, in just the last few weeks tens of thousands of Americans have signed an on-line petition requesting her appointment – a very unusual occurrence for a somewhat obscure job. They know, as I do, that Professor Warren has a proven track-record as a smart and tough consumer advocate. As head of the TARP Oversight Committee she is seen, across the breadth of America, as a champion of open, honest and responsive government. No one in our nation could do a better job as the first Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. I have no doubt that some in the Senate will oppose her confirmation. Good! It will allow for a serious debate as to the role that government should play in protecting the American people against the outrageous behavior we have seen on Wall Street. In my view, those of us supporting Professor Warren, along with massive public support, will win that debate and the confirmation. Sincerely, Bernard Sanders United States Senator

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Daniel Isenberg: Should You Be An Entrepreneur? Take This Test

July 19, 2010

Cross-posted from Harvard Business Review Some of your friends are doing it. People who do it are in the front pages and web almost every day. Even President Obama is talking about it . So should you do it? Should you join the millions of people every year who take the plunge and start their first ventures? I’ve learned in my own years as an entrepreneur — and now an entrepreneurship professor — that there is a gut level “fit” for people who are potential entrepreneurs. There are strong internal drivers that compel people to create their own business. I’ve developed a 2-minute Isenberg Entrepreneur Test, below, to help you find out. Just answer yes or no. Be honest with yourself — remember from my last post : the worst lies are the ones we tell ourselves. 1. I don’t like being told what to do by people who are less capable than I am. 2. I like challenging myself. 3. I like to win. 4. I like being my own boss. 5. I always look for new and better ways to do things. 6. I like to question conventional wisdom. 7. I like to get people together in order to get things done. 8. People get excited by my ideas. 9. I am rarely satisfied or complacent. 10. I can’t sit still. 11. I can usually work my way out of a difficult situation. 12. I would rather fail at my own thing than succeed at someone else’s. 13. Whenever there is a problem, I am ready to jump right in. 14. I think old dogs can learn — even invent — new tricks. 15. Members of my family run their own businesses. 16. I have friends who run their own businesses. 17. I worked after school and during vacations when I was growing up. 18. I get an adrenaline rush from selling things. 19. I am exhilarated by achieving results. 20. I could have written a better test than Isenberg (and here is what I would change ….) If you answered “yes” on 17 or more of these questions, look at your paycheck (if you are lucky enough to still get one). If the company that issued the check isn’t owned by you, it is time for some soul searching: Do you have debts to pay? Kids in college? Alimony? Want to take it easy? Maybe better to wait. Do you have a little extra cash in the bank and several credit cards? Do you have a spouse, partner, friends, or kids who will cheer you on? If so, start thinking about what kind of business you want to set up. It doesn’t matter what age you are: research by the Kauffman Foundation shows that more and more over-50s are setting up their own businesses. Talk to people who have made the plunge, learn how to plan and deliver a product or service, think about that small business you might buy, talk to people with whom you would like to work, and talk to customers. “I like to take risks” is not on the list. People don’t choose to be entrepreneurs by opting for a riskier lifestyle. What they do, instead, is reframe the salary vs. entrepreneur choice as between two different sets of risk: the things they don’t like about having a steady job — such as the risk of boredom, working for a bad boss, lack of autonomy, lack of control over your fate, and getting laid off — and the things they fear about being an entrepreneur — possible failure, financial uncertainty, shame or embarrassment, and lost investment. In the end, people who are meant to be entrepreneurs believe that their own abilities (e.g. leadership, resourcefulness, pluck, hard work) or assets (e.g. money, intellectual property, information, access to customers) significantly mitigate the risks of entrepreneurship. Risk is ultimately a personal assessment: what is risky for me is not risky for you. “I want to get rich” is not on the list either. All else being equal (and all else is rarely equal in the real world), on the average, people who set up their own businesses don’t make more money, although a few do succeed in grabbing the brass ring. But the “psychic benefits” — the challenge, autonomy, recognition, excitement, and creativity — make it all worthwhile. Daniel Isenberg is the Professor of Management Practice at Babson College, Founder and Executive Director of the Babson Entrepreneurship Ecosystem Project , and author of the Harvard Business Review article, ” How to Start an Entrepreneurial Revolution ” (June 2010).

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Gary Liberson: A Tale of Two Worlds

July 14, 2010

Today’s Wall Street Journal has my kind of headline: “Fed Sees Slower Growth – Officials Debate How to Respond if Recovery Falters; Softer 2nd Half Is Seen.” I like the use of the word “sees.” If you roll it around a little, it almost sounds like seer (i.e., a person with the supposed power to foretell events or a person’s destiny, a prophet). You might think of “sees” as in sage wisdom based on experience and insight. I prefer to think of “FedSees” (I’ve written the term in its more formal compound Germanic form) as a guess or hunch based on talking to like-minded individuals. Often newspapers or commentators talk about “Inside the Beltway.” The concept is that the Federal Government and Congress are rather insular, only paying attention to thinking within Interstate 495, the highway system that encircles most of the Washington, DC metropolitan area. I think this is a bit narrow. I would add Wall Street to inside-the-Beltway. Now before you start thinking this is a Wall Street bashing article, it is not; sorry. It is, however, about two economic worlds: Global and Main Street. The two worlds intersect at times, but are often light years apart. More importantly, Wall Street and Inside the Beltway belong to the Global Economics world, not to Main Street, the universe that represents the vast majority of the US population. It is true that we all benefit in some way when Wall Street does well. It is also true that individual benefit is not immediately evident to most people nor easily explained to the general public. When Bernanke came running to Paulson and Congress to plead for a bailout, he was doing so because the global economic world was imploding and taking Main Street with it. However, the bailout was used solely for the global economic world. If that hyper world interacted in some tangential way with Main Street, then the bailout would perhaps help the entire country. We are now 18 months past Professor Bernanke’s epiphany and like the old commercial: “Where’s the beef?” The above graph compares annual housing completions and annualized unemployment since 1968. Construction has always been the basic US-centric component that put people to work. Almost every time construction completions are at a low (i.e., preceded by a steep decline and followed by a steep increase), unemployment goes up. The fact is that housing completions are at a 50-year low and our unemployment is at a 50-year high. When the FedSees slower growth, I think it’s not worth the headline. It’s similar to writing: Active trumps passive. Seeing is not doing. I am sure the Fed will do the worst thing possible, cut interest rates. We do not have an interest rate problem. We have a bank problem. Anyone involved in selling or buying a home knows that banks are establishing criteria so stringent that no matter how much money is available, demand is suppressed. The true constraint is the banks. The Fed and the Treasury are Global Economics folks. The President’s policy advisors are Global Economics geniuses. Come November, “Where’s the Beef” should be the rallying cry of any candidate running against an incumbent. Tip O’Neal said: “All politics are local.” Nothing is more local than construction. November is one of those times the global world meets Main Street.

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David Isenberg: Out of Sight Should Not Mean Out of Mind

July 13, 2010

Last month Michael H. LeRoy, Professor in the School of Labor and Employment Relations and the College of Law at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, published a new study: ” The New War Labor Paradigm: Civilians Who Work Like Soldiers and Soldiers Who Work Like Civilians– How to Compensate for Death And Injuries? ” He examined the legal remedies that are available for soldiers and their civilian counterparts who are injured or killed in war zones. He identified tort claims and workers’ compensation claims filed by both civilian employees and military personnel against private military firms and examined the outcomes of such litigation. While he found it promising that courts have been willing to reject the immunity defenses asserted by private military firms, something I have written about previously , and allow trials, he still believes policymakers need to build a system that better compensates and addresses the claims of the civilian employees and uniformed military personnel. To the extent most people think of these issues, if they think of them at all, people assume these issues are dealt with by the Defense Base Act, which is essentially workers compensation mandated by federal law for all contractors whose employees work overseas. But, in truth the reality is more complex. According to LeRoy: Co-mingling military service and civilian labor raises new questions about legal remedies for Americans who are killed or injured serving their country. Consider the Halliburton truck drivers who delivered supplies to U.S. troops in Iraq. Six were killed after their convoy was ambushed in 2004. The day before, a similar convoy was attacked, killing a co-worker. The drivers contemplated a work stoppage until conditions were safer. Bowing to work orders, they met their fate (Flood, 2009). Survivors believed that job ads misrepresented the safety of work in Iraq. A judge rejected Halliburton’s defense that it has immunity from suits as a government contractor. Thus, the survivors’ legal claims are proceeding to trial. Consider a reciprocal case, where soldiers served on a non-combat mission under a civilian contractor. As they worked at an Iraqi water treatment plant, they developed bloody noses– a sign of poisoning from the sodium dichromate in pipes (Searcey, 2010). Fearing long term effects from this deadly toxin, the soldiers sued KBR. An Indiana court will decide whether their claims are dismissed under the Feres doctrine– a legal principle that bars tort recovery for injuries that arise during military service. Death- and injury-benefit cases do more than raise technical legal questions. When courts award or deny monetary relief in these war labor cases, they decide whether civilians and soldiers perform “work” or “service.” The distinction has profound consequences for compensating war losses. LeRoy draws a distinction between private military firms and other military contractors. The labor relations practices of PMF firms differ from other defense contractors. Boeing and Lockheed-Martin have union-represented employees. But firms such as Halliburton strongly resist unions (Halliburton Co., 1963; Halliburton Co., 1968; Freightmaster, Div. of Halliburton, 1970; Halliburton Services, 1977). They also avoid judicial accountability by requiring workers to arbitrate disputes (in re Halliburton, 2002). Certainly, other companies use union-suppression and litigation-avoidance strategies. But PMF firms differ by leveraging their close ties to government insiders (e.g., an Army Corps of Engineers officer lost her job after she objected to a large, no-bid contract to Halliburton [Eckholm, 2004; Witte, 2005]). In short, private military firms use a war labor model that insulates them from external accountability. They do not deal with unions or courts, and they use political influence to avoid public accountability. Prof. LeRoy suggests the following as possible public policy options. ● Option 1: Preserve the Status Quo. The present method for resolving death and injury claims does not necessarily need to change. Most civilians and service members are able to try cases in civil law courts. This means that judges are open-minded in responding to the new war labor paradigm. In other words, courts are not dismissing complaints simply because incidents occurred: (a) outside the U.S., (b) in active combat zones, and (c) in conjunction with military command. These three points are remarkable given that courts usually dismiss liability suits against contractors by applying immunity doctrines. In sum, courts are grappling with the new war labor paradigm but have ponderous methods to rule on claims. ● Option 2: Create a Federal Worker’s Compensation Policy for Civilians Who Work as Private Military Forces. Worker’s compensation is an insurance system to replace lost wages, reimburse medical expenses, and provide a death benefit for workplace injuries. Called the grand compromise, it provides injured workers a timely remedy but also insulates employers from liability for damages, including costly punitive awards. The strict liability feature of worker’s compensation would avoid the complex issues of causation that arise in war zone cases. The complexity is due to the joint control between military commanders and civilian managers. A strict liability system would simply compensate injuries and deaths that arose in the course of employment. Fault would be irrelevant. This would reduce the need for court adjudication. The fact that PMFs are employed by private firms strengthens the case for worker’s compensation. Ordinarily, all employers must provide for this benefit as a matter of law. ● Option 3: Encourage Extra-Territorial Application of Current State Worker’s Compensation Laws. … Worker’s compensation laws that reach beyond the state’s borders would avoid messy tort litigation while paying appropriate benefits to private military forces employees. ● Option 4: Improve the Compensation System for Soldiers Who Are Killed or Injured While Serving with Private Contractors: In 2008, a federal program paid about $4.7 billion every month to the survivors of Americans who died as a result of a service- connected disability (U.S. GAO, Military and Veterans’ Benefits (2009(b)). In the Veterans’ Benefits Improvement Act of 2008, Congress asked the GAO to compare these benefits to those for survivors of federal civilian workers. The report found military benefits were far less than those paid to civilians under federal worker’s compensation. This result suggests that a supplemental benefit should be considered for soldiers who die or are injured while working with a contractor. The theory behind this idea is that a service member’s labor is co-mingled with the contractor’s workforce. Thus, the soldier’s labor contributes value to the contractor’s service. In other words, when the integration of military and civilian labor creates commercial value, contractors might contribute to a fund that supplements these service member benefits. If funding were tied to experience ratings, contractors would be encouraged to adopt safer practices. Prof. LeRoy’s study illustrates the not infrequent examples of PMC worker and soldier vulnerability to PMC misdeeds, whether intentional or unwitting. In the old days workers had a solution for that. It was called a union. I can already hear PMC CEO’s screaming that unions are clearly inapplicable. But are they? Here is what Prof. LeRoy writes: My study presents a picture of worker vulnerability. It also sheds light on employers who neglect worker safety. Recall that convoy drivers thought about striking after their co-worker was killed the day before in a similar assignment. Two women were sexually assaulted at work– and then were locked up, interrogated, and harassed by their employer. These are settings where union voice is relevant. Unions already represent employees who work for defense contractors. Is Halliburton so different from Boeing? Prof. LeRoy’s bottom line is this: Overall, the integrated work performed by these civilians and soldiers exemplifies the aphorism “out of sight, out of mind.” My research suggests that these employees and soldiers deserve better treatment. The fact that they are fighting a war in a distant corner of the world is no reason to shortchange them. When private companies seek to profit by directing this employment and service, the veil of government immunity should be removed– or at least curtailed. The present system imposes disproportionate costs on severely injured workers and soldiers, and their survivors. The lack of accountability for negligence, recklessness, intentional injury, and severe discrimination is at odds with military principles of discipline and order. In sum, the deaths and injuries that are at the heart of this study expose the shortcomings of the private military force strategy. As such, they also offer valuable lessons for improving this integrated war labor model.

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Anthony Tjan: Medical Entrepreneurship: A New Movement to Accelerate Cures

July 12, 2010

There is a new social entrepreneurial movement afoot, which seeks to find cures to some of the world’s most challenging diseases. Medical entrepreneurship is, in my view, the very best hope we have for accelerating the pace of finding medical cures. A good example and arguably the pioneer of this movement is Michael Milken’s Prostate Cancer Foundation. Milken has taken on a decidedly entrepreneurial approach to providing capital and human resources to accelerate the pace of research into cures for cancer, particularly that of the prostate. From 1999 to 2006 we have seen a 25% drop in the death rate for prostrate cancer. There is little doubt that Milken’s leadership has been one of the greatest catalysts in this improvement. Another leader in the movement is Henry McCance, who co-founded the not-for-profit Cure Alzheimer’s Fund, which I first wrote about last year. The Cure Alzheimer’s Fund is another example of a cure accelerator, an organization using a venture approach towards medical research. Out of full disclosure, I recently joined the Cure Alzheimer’s Fund’s advisory board. And while I care deeply about diseases such as Alzheimer’s, I am mostly fascinated and hopeful that a more maverick VC-like business model applied to the search for medical cures will be a better approach to solving some of the big medical challenges we have. The medical research model as we know it today is broken. Why? Three words: insufficient, inefficient, and ineffective. This is both the big problem and the big opportunity for medical entrepreneurship. Today’s model is insufficient because typically 1% or less of the amount spent each year on diseases goes towards cure research, with the balance going to caring for people with the disease. Alzheimer’s, for example, costs our country hundreds of millions of dollars each year, yet we spend just one cent out of every $4.00 available towards a cure. That is an astonishing 400x delta. The story is similar for diabetes and cystic fibrosis. While care is obviously critical, we need more dollars to go to finding the cure — or the country is at great risk of a healthcare-induced bankruptcy. Henry McCance and Professor Bill Sahlman of Harvard Business School recently gave an excellent overview of this at Venture Summit East and I draw on many elements of their talk in this blog post. The current research model is highly inefficient because researchers spend too much time writing grants. By our estimates at the Cure Alzheimer’s Fund, the very best researchers in the field spend up to 30% of their time writing grants, and should they win the grant they may have to wait months or even a year to get the funding. As well-intended and needed are organizations such as NIH (National Institute of Health), there is an embedded trade-off between the robustness of review and the approval of grants to new and innovative projects. Imagine any venture capitalist going to Netscape or Yahoo to validate funding to Google or expecting an entrepreneur to spend a third of his time writing a business plan and then waiting a year for funding. This is the frustration that many of the best researchers in our country feel. Finally, the medical research model is ineffective because it is, by design, risk averse with regard to the projects it pursues. Grant proposals that win funding are usually those that seek out small, incremental discoveries — it is the very nature and policy of the grant making bodies to look for ideas that slowly build on existing knowledge. Breakout ideas are not able to happen under an incrementalist research model. Even worse, as we’ve heard anecdotally from some researchers, some people write grants for questions whose answers are already known. Pioneers of the medical entrepreneurship movement are taking bigger risks on researchers, asking them to focus their energies on the initiatives that have the largest potential impact as opposed to those that would get traditional grant funding. They are also doing so faster. Milken’s Prostate Cancer Foundation, for example, makes awards based on applications that are limited to five pages and has a 90-day turn-around time. FasterCures has become a think tank and resource-sharing center for this new approach. Focus on the big ideas that can lead to the big goal of curing a disease, eliminate bureaucracy, and give smart people more capital, faster, and you have a formula for change. What proof exists that the change is positive? Thousands of lives have been saved by the advances in prostate cancer understanding by medical innovators in that field. The Cure Alzheimer’s Fund was recognized last year by Time Magazine for one of the top ten medical breakthroughs of the year for work that identified over 100 genes associated with the disease. A number of other dynamic organizations, including the Harvard Stem Cell Initiative and the Myelin Foundation are making significant contributions to cures. Across multiple diseases, researchers have been conditioned to make progress with bond-like returns. While some of this is necessary, it cannot be sufficient. As in any portfolio, we cannot maximize returns if we hold all our eggs in one big conservative basket. We need to invest more behind higher risk initiatives that can yield equity-like returns, and hopefully real cures. This article first appeared on Harvard Business Publishing on July 7, 2010.

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Mark Olmsted: It’s not the Debt, It’s the Distribution

June 30, 2010

(No, I’m not an economist. But I figure I can’t really do much worse than they’ve done) So let me get this right. There used to be a savings crisis. Americans didn’t save enough –unlike those industrious Chinese. In fact, the Chinese were so thrifty compared to us that we ended up in hock to them up to our keesters. But wait a second, where did all the money the Chinese saved come from? It turns out, from us, from our inexhaustible purchases of their exports. Much of that was paid for with illusory housing bubble wealth — but that didn’t stop the Visa from going through at the Best Buy for that flat screen TV. Money that didn’t just go to the Chinese. The TV had to be unloaded in port, and trucked to the store. Then there were the salaries of the store clerk, the manager, and the company execs, not to mention the fees of the advertising agencies who came up with the commercials to sell the TV on the TV, and so on. Now, we’re told, saving is part of the problem. When we save too much, we don’t spend enough. And everybody knows, consumer spending is the engine to full employment. Not that this means we should incur more consumer debt. Debt bad. Spending good. No spending, no jobs. No jobs, no recovery. That leaves the government to do the spending, and by extension, to incur the debt. But since debt is so “bad,” Obama could barely get a wholly inadequate stimulus package through Congress. It was just enough to produce an anemic recovery, while plenty enough to add a lot to the deficit. The big evil deficit. So we’re spending a trillion plus more a year than we’re collecting in taxes, borrowing prodigious amounts to do so. Where is all that borrowed money coming from? Banks. In other words, us. Our deposits. Our tax-funded bailouts. (It also comes from the Chinese, but that’s money we give them too.) So to whom, finally, do we really owe all that money? Ourselves. Banks, incidentally, love the national debt. They never want the principal repaid, because they can live on just the interest forever. And live very well, thank you very much. So what would happen if all the interest that has been paid on the national debt was declared applied to the principal? (I can’t find that calculation anywhere, but I’m pretty damn sure the national debt would no longer be the subject of giant digital clocks in the trillions.) It seems hard to believe I’m the first person to think of this, but I don’t know why it can’t get some serious discussion even if I am. As far as I can tell, the only people who’d lose out are the bankers. Don’t be intimidated by the economists and the deficits hawks. The problem is not debt — not when you owe it to yourself, as depositor and taxpayer and employer of Chinese workers. The problem is distribution. Google “income inequality,” and read for a while. Not one article — even from the right — claims that there hasn’t been a huge increase in the wealth of the top quintile over the past decade, concentrated in the richest one percent. According to Professor Emanuel Saenz at Berkeley, (cited by Professor Richard Wolff in this graph) our income inequality is exactly where it was in 1932. The problem is not that Grandma gets her medical care for free. The problem is not the lack of consumer spending, or even the deficit. The problem is that a few people have a lot more than they need, so a lot of people (including the government, i.e. all of us) have a lot less than they need. It’s not rocket science, it’s simple math. At the very least, we should return to the level of taxation under Clinton–a level that produced surpluses. If Clinton is too liberal for the Republicans, we might propose going back to the way things were under Eisenhower. I was born in 1958, and my Dad not only supported 4 kids and a wife selling encyclopedias, but bought the house I was born in on that salary. There were plenty of rich people in 1958 too — they just had a proportionate sense of wealth. Three houses–not thirteen. First class travel — not private jets. An understanding that a 91% maximum tax bracket was God’s way of saying you had too much money, and that paying it was indeed, one of the most patriotic things an American could do.

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Andrew Winston: Nike’s Open (Green) Innovation

June 29, 2010

One of the hottest concepts in strategy and management today is the idea of ” open innovation .” Gone are the highly secluded R&D departments funded by a single company, carefully guarding secrets from the outside and even from other divisions. In its place, in theory, are hubs of collaboration capturing ideas from customers, academia, or some guys in a garage somewhere. Given the simultaneous growth of the sustainability movement, it’s no surprise that companies are starting to combine the concepts and try to create open green innovation. The general idea of this new collaborative approach to innovation has been kicking around since the 2003 publication of Open Innovation by professor Henry Chesbrough at UC Berkeley (see a recent article he wrote with some key examples here ). But it’s been gaining real currency in recent years as (a) large companies such as Procter & Gamble and IBM have embraced the concept, (b) the platforms for accessing many brains through social media have evolved, and (c) companies have looked for low-cost innovation pathways during tight times. The green shade of open innovation has appeared more recently. Earlier this year, Nike, Best Buy, Yahoo!, and a few others launched the GreenXChange , an organization dedicated to sharing patents and ideas that can help companies reduce their environmental impacts. The core non-corporate partner is Creative Commons , the godfather of modern idea sharing and an organization “dedicated to making it easier for people to share and build upon the work of others.” I met some of the key players in the GreenXChange consortium — and saw Professor Chesbrough speak — at the recent Sustainable Brands Conference . Nike managers described how this fascinating agreement to share patents works in practice. Earlier in the 2000s, Nike had developed a “green rubber” that lowered production costs and slashed toxic emissions by 96 percent. The company offered up this technology and the Canadian outdoor equipment company, Mountain Equipment Co-op, licensed it (for what I sense is a nominal fee) to apply to its products. Members of the GreenXChange contribute patents for new methods of production that reduce energy, water, toxicity, and so on. Each company can learn from and build on what has come before. As the Nike managers put it, companies have latent ideas and technologies sitting on shelves, not being used. Why not let others in? Is open innovation a great thing for sustainability? A couple of major points in its favor: First, it certainly represents heretical innovation of the innovation process itself, and I’m big proponent of asking heretical questions. Second, the energy, toxicity, waste, and water challenges the world faces are so great and pressing, we don’t have time to wait for every organization to discover cleaner ways of operating on its own — we need to share information and speed up adoption of new methods and technologies. We need cooperation across traditional boundaries and open innovation to solve the biggest problems, and that means companies sharing much more than they’re used to. But I’ll admit to having one major reservation about this innovation strategy. One of the core arguments for going green is that it creates competitive advantage, a logic that makes sustainability palatable to many corporate leaders. A skeptical executive would be completely right to ask, “Won’t sharing our ideas level the playing field and give away the keys to the candy store?” Imagine getting your patent attorney on board. Well, Nike execs brought theirs to the conference and he talked about his personal journey to seeing the value — to society and to Nike — in exchanging patents. I asked the manager leading the GreenXChange project my core question about giving up competitive advantage. Her logic was interesting. When the company discovers something like green rubber, “people” (meaning, I think, their employees and other key stakeholders) expect the company to do the right thing and spread the word — and so Nike does just that. But there are certain kinds of innovations the company wouldn’t share. The ideal shoe, this manager imagines, would likely be made from one material (which would greatly reduce its material use and lifecycle footprint and make recycling very easy). If Nike could accomplish this feat, the new geometry and design would be all Nike’s, and thus a source of real advantage. In the end, I come down firmly on the side of supporting open green innovation, especially given the scale and nature of the challenges we face. But for each company, the supporting logic for open green innovation will need to be balanced by a good understanding of where and when to share ideas, and which ideas are unique to the company’s core competencies — such as design and branding, in Nike’s case. Those latter ideas will drive profit and advantage. For now, it seems that Nike has this delicate balancing act down. This post first appeared at Harvard Business Review Online

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Electric Helmet Slows Brain Tumors Without Chemotherapy’s Side Effects

June 5, 2010

June 5 (Bloomberg) — Doctors treating brain cancer have a limited toolkit. They can cut tumors out with a knife, burn them with radiation or try to poison them with drugs. NovoCure Ltd., a closely held Israeli company, has added a fourth option for hard-to-treat tumors. It’s an array of electrodes resembling a tight-fitting helmet that bathes the cancer in a faint electric field, scrambling the inner workings of the rampaging cells and preventing them from multiplying. The helmet, powered by a 6-pound battery pack, is designed to zap deadly glioblastomas, the malignancy that killed U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy in August 2009. In a study reported today, it helped patients with recurrent tumors live 7.8 months, compared with a median 6.1 months for patients given the best available chemotherapies or Roche AG’s Avastin. The technology is so different from other treatments, it was difficult to convince patients and doctors to try it, said Philip Gutin , primary investigator for the study. “This new data actually shows that it’s effective,” said Gutin, the chair of neurosurgery at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York. “People will ask for this now.” The electric fields resonate at a frequency designed to do no harm to healthy brain tissue. In the test, the only side effect was mild scalp irritation, Gutin said. “If it continues to look as good as it does, it will be used in lots of different treatments. There’s no downside to it.” The study, reported at the American Society of Clinical Oncology in Chicago, followed 237 very sick patients whose cancers had returned after prior treatment and whose tumors, on average, were 4 centimeters (1.57 inches) in diameter. Topping Chemotherapy The study was designed to show that patients using the helmet fared significantly better than those taking chemotherapy and Avastin. On this basis, it was a failure. That’s because more than 50 patients either died or dropped out before they completed the first round of treatment, said Eilon Kirson, head of NovoCure’s research and development. When those patients are excluded from both arms of the analysis, the helmet performed better than other treatments, Kirson said. Under either analysis, the trial found the helmet to be at least as good as other approaches, but without the vomiting, fatigue and infections associated with chemotherapy. While shooting electricity through the brain conjures images of Mary Shelley’s “ Frankenstein ,” or the involuntary electroshock therapy in Ken Kesey ’s “ One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest ,” Kirson emphasized that NovoCure’s technology is new. The helmet is the first cancer therapy to use alternating polarities in electric fields as a way to disrupt the cell division process known as mitosis. “Bad Name” “Electricity has gotten a bad name in medicine in the last century or two,” Kirson said in a telephone interview. “People hear ‘electric fields’ and of course they are skeptical. In order to cross that barrier into biology and medicine, we had to start at the end. The end is glioblastoma.” NovoCure, based in Haifa, was started by Yoram Palti, a professor of electrophysiology and biophysics at Technion-Israel Institute of Technology. Early funding came from Bill Doyle , founder of investment firm WFD Ventures and now chairman of NovoCure. Pfizer Inc. and Johnson & Johnson are also investors, according to a NovoCure statement. Early prototypes were cumbersome for patients, weighing about 15 pounds, Kirson said. The current battery pack looks like a white laptop computer that slips into a shoulder bag, and the company plans to shrink the device further. Patients wore NovoCure’s helmet for about 20 hours a day, shaving their heads twice weekly before reapplying the electrode patches. The patients were able to conduct most of their usual routine with the machine and took occasional breaks for athletic or social events. “A Nice Shower” “We have a patient who plays tennis,” Kirson said. “Whenever she replaces her electrodes, she goes and plays tennis for a couple of hours, she has a nice shower, she goes into the sauna, and when she gets out she’ll put it back on and keep going.” Now NovoCure is testing the helmet simultaneously with chemotherapy in early cases of glioblastoma with hope that a combination will enhance the effectiveness of both treatments. NovoCure is using today’s trial to apply for U.S. marketing approval, and the company seeks to begin U.S. sales next year, Kirson said. The helmet is already approved for use in Europe, though health plans there won’t currently pay the $10,000 to $15,000 a month it costs to wear it. NovoCure is testing similar devices for other types of hard-to-treat cancer. The results of a test in 42 lung cancer patients will likely be released at the European Society of Medical Oncology meeting in September, Kirson said. “I must admit that when I first saw this I thought it was complete and utter trash — I’m being that honest about it,” Kirson said. “It’s such a novel technology, you have to show that you are the real thing. The real reason I went into this was because I had worked with Professor Palti, and I believed in him. I thought he was a brilliant man, and I still do.” For Related News and Information: Health stories from the U.S.: TNI US HEA BN Top stories about science: TNI SCIENCE WWTOP Stories by this author: BIO TOM RANDALL Top health stories: HTOP

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Jonathan Lewis: The Microfinance Vig

June 4, 2010

People of conscience, the media and social investors are discovering, finally, that poverty-reducing microfinance (small business loans for the self-employed) and profit-maximizing microfinance are not the same thing. At this month’s first national conference on domestic microfinance, organized by the well-regarded Opportunity Fund , a featured panel challenged industry leaders “What Is the Fair Price for Good Credit?” With the average worldwide microloan interest rate for poor people hovering around 37%, the typical response is sticker shock. The implied allegation is that overseas microfinance institutions (basically, mini-banks or credit unions) backed by Western investors are realizing big profits by charging unconscionably high interest rates on microloans. The most common defense of microloan interest rates is that administrative costs to handle thousands of smaller loans are necessarily high. As the logic goes, it is cheaper to make a single large business loan in Lima, Peru, than a large number of tiny business loans in the Peruvian Andes. But this argument, which with conviction I have made many times myself, entirely misses the pro-poor point. When I hire any other service, say, a plumber, do I care that back office expenses might be cheaper if the plumber did NOT take my business and, instead, only fixed larger, lower-overhead piping problems? The most fundamentalist defense of high interest rates is that they will stimulate investment, growth, competition, and, ultimately, better rates for consumers. “As competition and scale increase, charging the destitute of today high interest rates…may give the destitute of tomorrow lower interest rates.” (quoting myself, Stanford Social Innovation Review , “Microloan Sharks,” Summer, 2008). Writes Professor Ananya Roy in Poverty Capital , “This is the peculiar logic of subprime credit markets: that they are simultaneously instruments of financial inclusion and instances of exploitative, even predatory, lending. Such also is the logic of microfinance, for it allows the poor access to credit but on terms that are significantly different from those enjoyed by ‘prime’ consumers.” Moreover, an exceptionally radical, virtually unchallenged, policy idea pushes high interest rates. “…there is now widespread agreement…MFIs ought to pursue financial sustainability by being…efficient…and by charging interest rates and fees high enough to cover the costs of their lending….” (“Are Microcredit Interest Rates Excessive?”, CGAP Brief, February, 2009). This is not standard doctrine for other public goods. Most anti-poverty programs — from health clinics to environmental clean-up, from water projects to schools – need long-term external subsidies while micro-business development requires the poor to bootstrap themselves into profitability. Well-respected microfinance leaders are understandably pushing hard to “achieve scale” or, in simple English, reach more poor people. The argument for mobilizing large sums of private sector microfinance capital is one of pragmatic desperation and, indeed, not much different from why the poor use payday lenders. To wit, government funds, foundations and donors are often parsimonious, cumbersome, inaccessible and unreliable while private markets stand at the ready on every neighborhood corner. On April 12, 2010, a New Yorker cartoon depicted a customer discussing a pending loan with his banker. The customer pleads, “Could you stop referring to the interest rate as ‘the vig’?” As every fan of The Sopranos knows, the vig is the interest on a shark’s loan. If the microfinance model truly requires high interest rates, is it an anti-poverty tool for the impoverished or a pro-profit tool for investors? Are some microfinance programs loan sharking? What is a fair price for good credit?

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Rob Stone M.D.: WellPoint CEO Angela Braly: "Scrappy" and Looking More Like Sarah Palin Every Day

May 18, 2010

I first watched Angela Braly perform at the WellPoint Inc. annual shareholders meeting in Indianapolis in May, 2008. I went to the meeting as a stockholder exercising my rights, and I stood and read a litany of bad news the media had reported on the company in the preceding year, which I contrasted to the rosy report the CEO had just made. I finished by asking Ms. Braly to comment. Without batting the proverbial mascara’d eye, she thanked me for my question and began a three minute reply where she nodded and smiled like a robotic Barbie doll, panning back and forth across the room, and when she was done, nothing had been said. There was nothing “scrappy” about it. It was pure smooth. Now The Sunday NY Times (” A Scrappy Insurer Wrestles With Reform “) calls her “scrappy” as she takes on Barak Obama, state insurance regulators, and an increasingly angry public. “We are being targeted and villainized,” she whined last week. Not so smooth any longer. WellPoint announced huge premium increases last February at a point when many feared Congress might not pass anything. “They threw gasoline on the dying embers of health reform,” said Robert Laszewski, an industry analyst, in The Times. He went on to say “WellPoint is the most incredibly tone-deaf insurance company in an industry full of deaf executives.” Angela squirmed under bipartisan questioning from the House Energy and Commerce Committee, as they pushed her on her pay and the company’s record profits at the same time millions are being priced out of the insurance market, no longer maintaining that imperturbable Barbie appearance. Last week Professor Douglas Branson of the University of Pittsburg took aim at Angela on the HuffPost, ” How Various Corporate CEOs Aim for Celebrity Status ,” “At Wellpoint Angela Braly now seems to be the sitting female CEO most focused on achievement of celebrity status, at least among the current crop of 15 women CEOs. “Braly’s latest grab at headlines was in response to President Obama’s radio broadcast on Saturday, May 8. He stated that his administration recently asked a health insurer (unnamed) to cease systematically dropping coverage of women policy holders who had been diagnosed with breast cancer. Rather than remain quiet, Braly stepped into the fray, concluding that the President had singled out Wellpoint and that Obama’s generic observation “grossly misrepresented the facts.” The address neither referred to nor raised any innuendo about Wellpoint. Braly then gilded the lily”: “To be absolutely clear — Despite your claim [what claim?] Wellpoint does not single out women for breast cancer for rescission. Period.”
 Branson goes on to describe how she has sought the limelight, with her photo and bio in full page Wall Street Journal ads for events at which she was appearing. He concludes [with perhaps, a whiff of sexism]: “Keep your ego in check is one of the first lessons any corporate CEO but especially women should learn. Be a plowhorse rather than a showhorse. Angela Braly seems intent on becoming the center of attention, unmindful of a fitting role for herself as a CEO.” But what can you say when Forbes named her #4 on its list of The 100 Most Powerful Women in 2008 and Fortune ratified her status again at #4 on their list of The 50 Most Powerful Women in 2009? She thought she could turn for some solace to The Wall Street Journal. Joseph Rago came to her defense February 7th in a feature on her ” A Wasted Opportunity -WellPoint’s CEO on ObamaCare’s mistakes and how to pick up the political pieces .” “Angela Braly is in good spirits considering that her company seems to have narrowly avoided being converted into a public utility, if not destroyed outright. One gets the sense that she’s always in good spirits. After years of sustained political assault, the power of positive thinking probably helps.” Of course, this piece was from those heady days right on the heels of Scott Brown’s Senate victory, and Rago went on to gloat, “Merely days before this interview in WellPoint’s lower Manhattan offices at the edge of Ground Zero, Massachusetts voters effectively sent ObamaCare to its own death panel.” Rago missed that call, and lately the WSJ hasn’t cut her as much slack either. In WellPoint to Beef Up Rate Reviews on May 5, the Journal reports on a memo she sent to the company’s 40,000 employees about the debacle around WellPoint having made major math errors in its California 2010 rate hike calculations. Her CFO Wayne DeVeydt admitted, “It’s very disappointing and very embarrassing.” It is embarrassing to have to face publicity like this. But that’s why she is reminding me more and more of Sarah Palin these days, another “scrappy” woman who just isn’t discouraged by relentless bad press, at least at the hands of “the liberal media.” I can’t help but ask, “Angela, how’s that $13 million salary workin’ for you now?” Dr. Stone and associates will be meeting with Ms. Braly at the WellPoint/Anthem annual meeting again this year, on Tuesday, May 18. See: ” WellPoint/Anthem Shareholders Revolt !”

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Physics Professor Katz Is Fired From Oil-Spill Advisory Team Over Writings

May 18, 2010

By Katarzyna Klimasinska and Jessica Resnick-Ault May 18 (Bloomberg) — Jonathan I. Katz , a physics professor at Washington University in St. Louis., said he was fired from the team of scientists chosen by U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu to help BP Plc control the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. “Some of Professor Katz’s controversial writings have become a distraction from the critical work of addressing the oil spill,” Stephanie Mueller , a spokeswoman for the Energy Department, said in an e-mail today. “Professor Katz will no longer be involved in the department’s efforts.” Chu brought Katz to Houston last week along with four other experts, Richard L. Garwin , a physicist and IBM Fellow Emeritus, George Cooper , a civil-engineering professor at the University of California at Berkeley, Alexander Slocum , a professor of mechanical engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge, and Tom Hunter , president of Sandia Corp., which manages research for the Energy Department’s National Nuclear Security Administration. While Katz’s early work focused on astrophysics, he now consults on a variety of physics puzzles, he said. Katz wrote articles on his personal website , including, “What Is Political Correctness,” “In Defense of Homophobia” and “Why Terrorism Is Important.” “I don’t self-censor myself,” Katz, 59, said in a phone interview today. “There’s no doubt there are things on my webpage that’ve been there for many years that are fairly controversial.” He was fired from the panel this morning, he said. He declined to specify which articles triggered the dismissal. To contact the reporters on this story: Katarzyna Klimasinska in Houston at kklimasinska@bloomberg.net ; Jessica Resnick-Ault in New York at jresnickault@bloomberg.net

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Douglas M. Branson: How Various Corporate CEOs Aim for Celebrity Status

May 12, 2010

In California, Meg Whitman, ex-CEO of eBay, achieved celebrity status by seeking the Republican nomination for governor. Carleton Fiorina began her quest for celebrity status the day she arrived as new CEO on Hewlett-Packard, in 1999, long before she decided to seek the nomination for U.S. Senator. In her first year alone, Fiorina appeared on over 40 magazine covers. She tried to become the symbol of the company, appearing in advertisements featuring a mock-up of the garage Bill Hewlett and David Packard had used years ago. She promoted “The Carly Buzz Machine” and “All Carly, All of the Time.) At Wellpoint, our nation’s largest health insurer (Indianapolis, Indiana), CEO Angela Braly now seems to be the sitting female CEO most focused on achievement of celebrity status, at least among the current crop of 15 women CEOs (really the only crop, as essentially there were no women CEOs before the late 1990s). Braly’s latest grab at headlines was in response to President Obama’s radio broadcast on Saturday, May 8. He stated that his administration recently asked a health insurer (unnamed) to cease systematically dropping coverage of women policy holders who had been diagnosed with breast cancer. Rather than remain quiet, Braly stepped into the fray, concluding that the President had singled out Wellpoint and that Obama’s generic observation “grossly misrepresented the facts.” The address neither referred to nor raised any innuendo about Wellpoint. Braly then gilded the lily”: “To be absolutely clear — Despite your claim [what claim?] Wellpoint does not single out women for breast cancer for rescission. Period.” Many CEOs stay completely in the background. Those with a bolder agenda will act as the corporate spokesperson for positive news. They will leave to public relations or other spokespersons the announcement of negative or unfavorable news. The truly driven will shove all others out of the way, speaking for the corporation in any instance, good or bad. Braly seems to have come to exemplify the latter. In fact, several times her photograph and biography have appeared in full page Wall Street Journal advertisements for various New York fora at which she is to appear, holding forth on the state of the economy or the future of mergers, and so on. It was not always so. Braly was a health care attorney in St. Louis and a behind-the-scenes operator. She helped engineer the conversion of Blue Cross Missouri into a for-profit-entity, overcoming the Missouri Attorney General’s objections. To the surprise of many, Wellpoint named Braly CEO in February, 2007, choosing her over two male candidates for the position. Braly’s appointment was controversial, as her predecessor CEO (Larry Glasscock) had been a deal maker, who put Wellpoint together by a series of acquisitions. Braly was described as “not confrontational” and “a relative unknown,” but as “smart and smooth, very, very effective at dealing with people and in dealing with people.” No longer. In addition to her picking an unnecessary fight with the President, Braly has become embroiled in the Wellpoint attempt to raise insurance premiums by as much as 39% for Californians, a rate schedule that later had to be withdrawn because of Wellpoint’s mistakes in the calculations. There are other telltale signs of an unchecked CEO ego. CEOs who seek or proclaim celebrity status often mold a board of directors that will represent few obstacles, peopling it with personal friends, celebrities, and politicians. Two recent examples are Michael Eisner at Walt Disney Company and James Robinson at American Express. Braly and Wellpoint are a third example. On the Wellpoint board of directors are Sarah Bayh, spouse of Indiana Senator Evan Bayh and at one time a champion trophy director, serving on 8 public companies’ boards. Another Wellpoint director is Jackie Ward, another perennial woman trophy director (on more than 4 boards). Among the politicians Senator Donald Riegle sits on the Wellpoint Board. Keep your ego in check is one of the first lessons any corporate CEO but especially women should learn. Be a plowhorse rather than a showhorse. Angela Braly seems intent on becoming the center of attention, unmindful of a fitting role for herself as a CEO. Professor Douglas Branson is the Condon Falknor Professor of Law at the University of Washington and the W. Edward Sell Chair in Law at the University of Pittsburgh. He is the author of The Last Male Bastion — Gender and the CEO Suite at America’s Public Companies (Routledge 2010).

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Rogoff Says Greece Won’t Be Last IMF Rescue as Ireland, Spain `Vulnerable’

April 26, 2010

By Simon Kennedy April 26 (Bloomberg) — Greece is unlikely to be the last euro nation to need an International Monetary Fund bailout, with Ireland, Spain and Portugal “conspicuously vulnerable,” said Harvard Professor Kenneth Rogoff . “It’s more likely than not that we’ll need an IMF program in at least one more country in the euro area over the next two to three years,” Rogoff, a former IMF chief economist who has co-authored studies of financial and sovereign debt crises, said in a telephone interview. “The budget cuts needed in Europe in many countries are profound.” Portuguese , Spanish and Irish bond yields jumped last week as investors questioned their ability to reduce budget deficits and avoid Greece’s fate. Greece on April 23 triggered a 45 billion-euro ($60 billion) rescue package from the IMF and the euro region after its soaring deficit sent borrowing costs surging and sparked concern about a default. At 14.3 percent of gross domestic product, Ireland had the euro region’s largest deficit last year. Greece’s was 13.6 percent, Spain’s was 11.2 percent and Portugal’s 9.4 percent. The likelihood is “better than 50-50” that others in the 16-nation euro area will end up requiring help from the Washington-based lender, said Rogoff, 56. He expects the IMF will eventually dispatch more loans to Greece than the as-much- as 15 billion euro it’s currently offering. High Stakes “The stakes are very high for Europe as it wants to avoid contagion,” said Rogoff, who in 2008 predicted the failure of some large U.S. banks prior to the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Any Spanish bailout would dwarf that for Greece as its economy is four times bigger. Although Spanish debt as a share of GDP is 53.2 percent compared with Greece’s 115.1 percent, it’s still worth 560 billion euros, more than double Greece’s burden. Ireland has debt of 105 billion euros, or 64 percent of GDP, and Portugal has 126 billion euros, equivalent to 76.8 percent of GDP. Investors are expressing their concern by charging countries with large deficits increasingly more to borrow for 10 years than they do Germany, the euro-area’s largest economy and issuer of its benchmark debt. The gap between German and Greek bonds widened 76 basis points to 635 basis points as of 10:41 a.m. in London today. That’s the highest since at least March 1998, when Bloomberg began compiling the generic prices. Portugal was charged 213 basis points more to borrow than Germany, and Spain was 99 points. The spread for Ireland widened to 182 points, the most since the country’s 2010 budget was published on Dec. 9. ‘Political Will’ “I wouldn’t say they have to have an IMF program, but it’s possible,” said Rogoff of Spain, Portugal and Ireland. “It’s hard to say, as so much depends on political will and the numbers.” He spoke before Greek officials led by Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou spent the weekend negotiating with IMF and European officials in Washington. Investors betting against Greece now will “lose their shirts,” Papaconstantinou said yesterday. IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said the talks will be completed in time to meet the nation’s needs. Greece has 8.5 billion euros of bonds maturing on May 19. Contagion Risk Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty , also in Washington for the spring meetings of the IMF and World Bank, said Group of 20 nations, including some in Europe, are worried the aid plan is “not enough” and want to ensure any rescue is a “one-time event.” “The IMF has the capacity to lend more and we’ll eventually see the IMF give more,” Rogoff said. IMF and European officials played down the risk that euro- area nations other than Greece will require outside aid. Strauss-Kahn said April 22 he doesn’t “see a need these days to focus on any other countries but Greece.” European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny said in an April 24 interview that Spain and Portugal’s “numbers” are “not to be compared with those of Greece.” French counterpart Christian Noyer dismissed such speculation as “sport in the markets.” ‘Bogeyman’ Rogoff said the “basic game plan” of European policy makers is to hope their economic recoveries strengthen enough to enable governments to cut their debt. The IMF last week predicted the euro-area economy will expand 1 percent this year compared with 3.1 percent growth in the U.S. “Recovery will mitigate the debt problems,” Rogoff said. “It’s very hard for Europe to get a sustained recovery.” Governments call in the IMF when they need a “bogeyman” to act as a focus for voters’ anger when budget cuts are unavoidable, Rogoff said. Greek unions and opposition parties have already slammed Prime Minister George Papandreou ’s appeal to the lender because it will likely result in tougher austerity measures. Strauss-Kahn said April 24 that Greeks ‘shouldn’t fear the IMF” and that “we are there to try and help them.” “A lot of countries have to consolidate their budgets and some may have to turn to the IMF for someone to blame,” Rogoff said. To contact the reporter on this story: Simon Kennedy in Washington at skennedy4@bloomberg.net

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