rebounding-from

By Stuart Wallace Nov. 20 (Bloomberg) — Commodities will likely attract a record $60 billion this year as investors seek to diversify their assets, Barclays Capital said. Inflows so far this year are almost $55 billion, already more than the previous full-year record of $51 billion set in 2006, the bank said in a report. Total commodity assets under management will probably expand to $230 billion to $240 billion by the end of the year, Barclays said. “Sharp falls in commodity prices earlier in the year created opportunities for long-term exposure, providing an opportunity for investors to act on their interest in commodities as a diversification tool,” analysts including London-based Gayle Berry and Suki Cooper said in the report. The S&P GSCI Index of 24 commodities rose 46 percent this year, rebounding from last year’s 43 percent slump, as governments spent at least $12 trillion to lift their economies from the worst recession since World War II. Copper, lead and sugar doubled and gold reached a record. “A strong end to the year for commodity prices does look likely, especially if the dollar continues to weaken, which should be especially beneficial for gold,” the analysts said. Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, reached a record 1,134 metric tons in June. At the time, it exceeded Switzerland as the world’s sixth-largest gold holding. The Dollar Index , a six-currency gauge, fell 7.3 percent this year, buoying demand for commodities as a hedge against further weakness in the currency and making dollar-denominated commodities cheaper for those holding other monies. To contact the reporter on this story: Stuart Wallace in London at swallace6@bloomberg.net

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Commodities to Attract Record $60 Billion Inflows This Year, Barclays Says

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Aluminum Prices `Particularly Exposed’ as Clunkers Plans End: Chart of Day

September 10, 2009

By Claudia Carpenter Sept. 10 (Bloomberg) — Aluminum prices are “particularly exposed” to a decline because vehicle sales are likely to shrink as government “cash for clunkers” programs end, Standard Chartered Plc said. The CHART OF THE DAY shows aluminum rallied in June and July as a clunkers program drove U.S. sales to their first monthly gain since 2007 in August. The U.S. program ended last month. Germany’s 5 billion-euro ($7.3 billion) clunkers fund, the world’s largest, ran out of money a week ago. Car sales rose for a seventh consecutive month in August from a year earlier, the country’s main auto-industry association, VDA, said. “After a surge in car sales in many major countries, the next few months are likely to be disappointing,” Daniel Smith , a Standard Chartered analyst in London, wrote in a Sept. 7 report. “The U.S., in particular, is likely to fall back sharply in September.” Aluminum has gained 23 percent this year in London, rebounding from two consecutive annual declines. Supply of the metal will outpace demand this year and next, Barclays Capital said Aug. 18. Stockpiles in warehouses monitored by the London Metal Exchange have almost doubled this year, reaching a record 4.63 million tons on Aug. 20. Aluminum for delivery in three months will average $1,550 a metric ton in the fourth quarter, Smith forecast. The median of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg is for an average of $1,639. The metal closed at $1,895 on Sept. 8 and averaged $1,821 so far this quarter. An average North American passenger car uses 319 pounds (145 kilograms) of the metal, according to the Aluminum Association in Arlington, Virginia. (To save a copy of the chart, click here.) To contact the reporter on this story: Claudia Carpenter in London at ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net

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Japanese Stocks Advance After Crude Oil Prices Climb; Kobe Steel Gains

August 19, 2009

By Masaki Kondo and Patrick Rial Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) — Japanese stocks rebounded from their lowest levels this month after U.S. oil inventories unexpectedly declined, sparking a rally in prices of crude. Mitsubishi Corp. , which generates almost half its sales from commodities, added 1.8 percent after oil surged to the highest level in two months. Kobe Steel Ltd. rose 2.9 percent after a newspaper said it will get government subsidies for nuclear-plant production. All Nippon Airways Co. added 3.3 percent after Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. boosted the stock to “outperform.” The Nikkei 225 Stock Average gained 46.55, or 0.5 percent, to 10,250.55 in Tokyo. The broader Topix index rose 4.18, or 0.4 percent, to 947.43. Yesterday, both gauges sank to their lowest levels since July 30. In New York, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.7 percent yesterday, rebounding from a 0.9 percent loss sparked by concern China’s economy may be faltering as the country’s benchmark equity gauge briefly entered a so-called bear market. “Despite what’s happening in China, we’ve yet to see a change to global liquidity flows,” said Mitsushige Akino , who oversees $624 million in assets at Ichiyoshi Investment Management Co. “Gains in the U.S. in the face of China’s ongoing correction are easing investors’ nerves.” U.S. oil stockpiles dropped last week by the most since May 2008, the Energy Department report showed yesterday. Crude oil for September delivery rallied 4.7 percent to $72.42 a barrel in New York, the highest settlement since June 11. To contact the reporter for this story: Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net ; Patrick Rial in Tokyo at prial@bloomberg.net .

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Australian Economy Faces Challenges, Too Early to Curb Stimulus, Swan Says

August 1, 2009

By Candice Zachariahs Aug. 2 (Bloomberg) — The Australian economy has “a long way to go” to full recovery, making it too early for the government to curb stimulus spending, Treasurer Wayne Swan said.

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