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Dean Baker: The Beatification of Senator Simpson

by Dean Baker on May 31, 2011

Huffington Post…

Former Wyoming Senator Alan Simpson has been a holy terror ever since he was appointed by President Obama to co-chair his deficit commission last year. With equal fervor he has attacked both his opponents and the basic facts surrounding the budget in general and Social Security in particular. Ordinarily, either his rudeness or his lack of understanding of the facts on the issues where he is supposed to be an expert would be sufficient to have him exiled from the public limelight. Yet, because his views coincide with the editorial positions at elite news outlets like the Washington Post , his credibility as a spokesperson on the budget and Social Security is never tarnished. The bill of particulars against Senator Simpson is getting quite lengthy at this point. In the rudeness category, Mr. Simpson sent a late-night e-mail to the head of a major national women’s organization implying that she was too dumb to read a simple graph. More recently he directed an obscene gesture towards the AARP. This goes along with numerous insults directed against reporters in interviews and a tirade about Snoopy Snoopy Poop Dog . One can debate how seriously these actions should be viewed. But the contrast with Van Jones, an advisor on environmental issues to President Obama, is striking. Most Washington insider types felt that Jones had to be quickly sent packing after a single off-color remark about Republicans was made public. Senator Simpson has been at least as aggressive in assaulting the facts on the budget in general and especially Social Security. In numerous statements to reporters and his late night e-mails he has suggested that the baby boomers were a surprise that is just now coming to the attention of policymakers. Of course we’ve known about the tens of millions of people born between 1946 and 1964 for quite some time. We had to build schools for them. It was hardly a surprise that these people would at some point turn 62 and become eligible for Social Security benefits. In fact, the actuaries at Social Security have long had a very good idea of when the baby boomers would be reaching retirement and how many would make it. Senator Simpson also seems to think that the increase in life expectancies has caught policymakers by surprise. In fact, Social Security actuaries have long known that life expectancies have been increasing and they projected this trend to continue. They have not been too far from the mark in their projections, being somewhat overly optimistic about the gains for women and too pessimistic about the increase in life expectancy for men. By contrast, Senator Simpson has repeatedly told stories about how when the program was first set up there were 16 workers for every retiree and life expectancy was just 63. Both these points are completely irrelevant to the finances of the program today. The decrease in the ratio of workers to retirees has been going on for many decades (it had dropped to 5 to 1 by 1960) and the program has been restructured accordingly. Furthermore, the statistic on life expectancy cited by Senator Simpson has little to do with the finances of the program. This is a measure of life expectancy at birth. Most of the gains in life expectancy at birth have been due to a drop in the infant mortality rate. This means more people live to be supported in retirement, but it also means more babies survive to have a full working lifetime during which they contribute to the program. More importantly, none of the items that are touted as revelations by Senator Simpson are news to anyone who has been involved in the policy debate over Social Security for the last four decades. The increases in life expectancy and declines in the ratio of workers to retirees that are so alarming to Mr. Simpson have been factored into the projections that show that the program can pay all scheduled benefits through the year 2036 with no changes and nearly 80 percent after that. These projections show that even if Congress never made any changes to the program Social Security will always be able to pay a higher benefit (adjusted for inflation) than what the average retiree is getting today. There is simply no support in the Trustees projections or anyone where else for Simpson’s picture of Social Security that is teetering on the edge of collapse. The question that the public should be asking the pundits and press is how often does Senator Simpson have to be wrong, and how far from the mark does he have to go, before he loses credibility? The elite media might have a strong commitment to politicians who espouse views that it supports, but continuing to treat Senator Simpson as an expert on the budget and Social Security is a case of affirmative action gone wild.

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Dean Baker: The Beatification of Senator Simpson

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At a quarter till midnight last Friday, with a deal to avert a government shutdown barely an hour old, Senator Harry Reid phoned a fellow Democratic senator, Ron Wyden, at home and startled him with some bad news. “You lost free-choice vouchers,” Mr. Wyden recalls Mr. Reid telling him.

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Lobbyists Won Key Concessions In Budget Deal

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Video: Bingaman on Japan Disaster: Political Capital With Al Hunt

March 19, 2011

March 18 (Bloomberg) — Senator Jeff Bingaman, a New Mexico Democrat, speaks with Bloomberg’s Al Hunt about the nuclear emergency in Japan and the outlook for U.S. reactors. Bloomberg’s Indira Lakshmanan and Hans Nichols discuss political turmoil in Libya and the role of the U.S. and United Nations. Sara Eisen talks about the Japanese yen. Margaret Carlson and Kate O’Beirne discuss U.S. budget negotiations in Congress. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Vivek Wadhwa: New Hope For Immigrant Entrepreneurs

March 14, 2011

In my last post about the Startup Visa, I was very critical of the Kerry-Lugar legislation . That’s because it required immigrant entrepreneurs to raise at least $250,000 in financing for their startups, of which $100,000 had to come from American VCs or Super Angels. Few startups raise this kind of seed money — even in Silicon Valley. I couldn’t foresee this bill generating more than a few dozen jobs. Yet our political leaders would have claimed “Mission Accomplished,” and we would have lost a valuable opportunity to stem the brain drain. I was delighted to receive an e-mail, last week, from Garrett Johnson, who works for Senator Richard Lugar (R-Ind.). Garrett said that the Senator had read my articles and asked his staff to consider my comments. After consulting with Bob Litan, of Kauffman Foundation; Brad Feld, of Foundry Group; Eric Ries, of the lean-startup movement; and other champions of the visa, Garrett had revised the legislation. He sent me a draft of the bill that was introduced today. This new legislation is even better than I had hoped for. If it gets through both houses — and doesn’t have bureaucratic constraints — I expect it to unleash a flood of entrepreneurship. The new legislation provides visas to the following groups under certain conditions: Entrepreneurs living outside the U.S. — if a U.S. investor agrees to financially sponsor their entrepreneurial venture with a minimum investment of100,000. Two years later, the startup must have created five new American jobs and either have raised over500,000 in financing or be generating more than500,000 in yearly revenue. Workers on an H-1B visa, or graduates from U.S. universities in science, technology, engineering, mathematics, or computer science — if they have an annual income of at least30,000 or assets of at least60,000 and have had a U.S. investor commit investment of at least20,000 in their venture. Two years later, the startup must have created three new American jobs and either have raised over100,000 in financing or be generating more than100,000 in yearly revenue. Foreign entrepreneurs whose business has generated at least100,000 in sales from the U.S. Two years later, the startup must have created three new American jobs and either have raised over100,000 in financing or be generating more than100,000 in yearly revenue. The investor must be a qualified venture capitalist, a “super angel” (U.S. citizen who has made at least two equity investments of at least $50,000 every year for the previous three years), or a qualified government entity. The really good news is that this enables foreign students and workers who are already in the U.S. to qualify for a visa. The requirements for them are very reasonable — they must show that they have enough in savings not to be a burden to American taxpayers, and get a qualified investor or a government entity such as the Small Business Administration to validate their ideas by making a modest investment. Yes, there is a risk for holders of this visa that, if their venture fails or doesn’t go anywhere, they must start again or leave the U.S. But that’s entrepreneurship — there are no guarantees. This won’t appeal to everyone, and it is not meant to. The Startup Visa is for risk takers. This version of the bill will, I expect, encourage tens of thousands of workers trapped in ” immigration limbo ,” and foreign students who would otherwise return home after graduation, to try their hands at entrepreneurship. Many of these people would not otherwise have considered entrepreneurship; they will now have the incentive to take the risk. Even though the bill doesn’t allow visa holders to work for any company other than their own, I have no doubt that the anti-immigrants will rally against it . They always do, regardless of what is good for the country and of what is good for them. They fear competition and will make claims that these startups will, somehow, take their jobs away. But the fact is that skilled immigrants create jobs; and recipients of the startup visa will not be allowed to stay in the U.S. permanently unless they do. Right now, these job creators have no choice but to take their ideas and savings home with them and become our competitors. This legislation allows them to create the jobs here. A lot of hard work has gone into this bill, over the last two years, by tech notables Brad Feld, Eric Ries, Dave McClure, Manu Kumar, Shervin Pishevar, Fred Wilson, and Paul Kedrosky. This group is launching a campaign to gain the bill political support. It is using social-lobbying tools powered by Votizen to take tweets, Facebook posts, and SMS messages and hand-deliver them to Congress. The Startup Visa website details how you can get involved and help the bill to succeed. Now it is your turn to speak up and help us revitalize the economy. This post originally appeared on TechCrunch .

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Scott Brown Talks With David Koch About 2012 Support

March 7, 2011

Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) has a battle ahead of him to retain his Senate seat in 2012. After taking over the office of the late progressive hero Ted Kennedy in a 2010 Bay State special election, Brown now appears to be attempting to tap into an arsenal of conservative cash by mingling with billionaire donor David Koch — and lobbying him for contributions. In a video captured by ThinkProgress , Brown is seen speaking with oil magnate and Tea Party benefactor David Koch at the recent dedication of MIT’s David H. Koch Integrative Cancer Institute. “Your support during the election, it meant a ton. It made a difference and I can certainly use it again,” Brown can be heard telling Koch. While ThinkProgress points out that Koch pumped large sums of money into the GOP’s campaign arms as well as to Brown’s campaign itself, the senator also owed much of his success to the growth of Tea Party activism in the largely blue state. The Koch’s have since become known for their integral role in bankrolling the Tea Party movement through groups such as Americans for Prosperity . Ironically, however, Brown has since managed to upset much of the conservative constituency that helped propel him to unlikely victory last January. While he’s publicly disavowed any loyalty to the Tea Party mantle, Brown has also cast a number of votes that have caused some of his former conservative backers to promise new efforts to oust him in 2012. WATCH via ThinkProgress :

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John McCain Flunks Made In America 101

March 6, 2011

GOP Sen. John McCain is in need of a tech lesson. In an appearance on ABC’s “This Week,” the senator from Arizona said that iPads and iPhones are “built in the United States of America.” But every techie knows that they are, in fact, built in China.

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Russ Feingold Rallies Protesters In Wisconsin

February 18, 2011

MADISON, WIS. — Russ Feingold may no longer be in elected office, but he can still excite crowds of labor protesters who have rallied at the state’s capitol for days with virtually no appearances by prominent politicians. And he wants other public figures who say they support workers to come out and join him. With momentum and attention building, labor organizers anticipated that Friday’s turnout would be the highest yet. By the time Feingold arrived around 11:00 a.m., thousands of people already swarmed the capitol, with many back from protesting earlier in the week or having even spent the night in the building’s rotunda. The balconies looking down into the rotunda were nearly impassible, and crowds marched around outside readying for the noon rally. Feingold went to the local fire station and brought its firefighters with him to the capitol. When he arrived, protesters cheered and some even broke into chants of “Feingold for Governor.” “I just feel enormous pride in the people of Wisconsin who are coming together — whether union or anti-union — for the rights of workers,” Feingold said in an interview with The Huffington Post. “This state is one of the originators of many of the workers’ rights and protections on child labor, unemployment compensation, and almost all kinds of workers’ rights. The fact that our governor is trying to destroy those rights is something worth fighting against. And I, of course, as a citizen of Wisconsin, somebody who knows the state very well, was proud to just show up and keep my support.” While President Obama has criticized Walker’s proposal, which would strip away the collective bargaining rights of public employees, he has yet to make an appearance. Wisconsin Sen. Herb Kohl, the state’s one remaining Democratic U.S. senator, has put out a cursory statement on the protests but has not taken a visible role. Dawn Schueller, a spokesperson for Kohl, said the senator has received more than 450 phone calls and 1,900 emails regarding the protests and Walker’s proposal. Kohl is traveling to Wisconsin from Washington, D.C. on Friday, although she didn’t yet have details on his schedule for next week. Feingold said he believed any politician who purports to be pro-labor should be out in Madison. “I can’t imagine somebody who has supported labor and has the support of working people in the state wouldn’t want to at least appear at some point,” said Feingold. “It’s a very meaningful and very difficult effort against one of the most mean-spirited things I’ve seen in a long time. I know people are busy, but to me it was gratifying to see everyone working this hard against something that’s really terribly wrong. It’s very inspiring.” This week, Feingold launched Progressives United , a political action committee focused on combating corporate influence in politics . He pointed to the protests as the type of solution Progressives United is all about. “This is the kind of grassroots will overcome the power grab corporate America is now seeking to get,” he said.

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Jeff Connaughton: Where Are the Cops on Wall Street?

February 5, 2011

This post is adapted from a speech delivered Nov. 2, 2010, to more than 300 financial regulators and Wall Street executives during a panel discussion entitled “Financial Crisis and Financial Crimes” at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. I’m going to address briefly four questions, all of which go to the integrity and competitiveness of our capital markets. First, was there fraud at the heart of the financial crisis? Second, has the law enforcement response so far achieved effective levels of deterrence against financial fraud? Third, are federal law enforcement agencies sufficiently capable of detecting fraud and manipulation, particularly in markets that are increasingly complex? And finally, should Wall Street itself care about all this? In short, my answers would be yes, no, no and yes. But I think it would be a mistake to view the financial crisis and government’s response as partisan issues. Indeed, on June 3, in the midst of the Senate debate on the Dodd bill, I picked up my Wall Street Journal and read the following : “The left says Congress is counting too much on the wisdom of discredited regulators. ‘We should follow in the footsteps of our forbears from the 1930s who made the tough decisions and wrote bright-line laws which lasted for over 60 years–until they were repealed,’” said Sen. Ted Kaufman (D., Del.). “The right counters with an attack on big government. Sen. Richard Shelby (R., Ala.) blasts the new consumer-finance regulator as ‘the Democrats’ new bureaucracy’ and ‘a massive expansion of government influence in our daily financial lives.’” I called the columnist and said politely: There’s only one flaw with your thesis: Senator Shelby voted FOR the Brown-Kaufman amendment to limit bank size and leverage! Why are we the “left” and he is the “right”… when on the major issue of “Too Big to Fail” we came out at the same place? To me, it is a conservative view to want to go back to what had worked in the past. Senator Kaufman wanted short bills that draw hard statutory lines, that firmly resolve inherent conflicts of interest, and that give regulators clear guidance. Now, to Question 1: Was there fraud at the heart of the financial crisis? On this question, the left and right clearly came together during the 111th Congress. Co-authored by Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Pat Leahy, Senator Chuck Grassley and Sen Kaufman, the Fraud Enforcement Recovery Act — or FERA, as it is known — received 92 votes on the Senate floor and was signed into law by President Obama in May 2009. FERA authorized an additional $165 million in resources to federal investigators and prosecutors to target fraud connected to the financial crisis. From the beginning we recognized there was a wide spectrum of behavior: from those banks that never even issued sub-prime mortgages, to those who perhaps recklessly but not criminally assumed housing pricings would never fall — to those who had actual knowledge that they were engaged in fraudulent behavior, lined their own pockets, failed to disclose material information and left investors holding the bag. Even if there were only a few bad apples, well-trained law enforcement officials needed additional resources to sort through the mountain of actors, transactions and evidence, and FERA was designed to give it to them. The counter-narrative is that all information about the underlying mortgages was disclosed, even if buried deep in the documents; that the markets themselves were not distinguishing among the quality of the underlying mortgage pools, pricing all mortgage-backed securities on the basis of the evaluations stamped on them by the credit rating agencies; that buyers were not performing due diligence; and therefore any fraud that might have occurred was isolated and played a minor role. There may be some truth to this counter-narrative, at least in part because the disclosures that were made can make it very difficult for prosecutors to prove beyond a reasonable doubt the necessary element of criminal intent. (Parenthetically, if so, what does that tell us about the adequacy of disclosure rules and the ability and efficiency of our most sophisticated market players to understand this information?) But let me focus on the information that we know was NOT disclosed, both in the case of Washington Mutual as uncovered by the staff of the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations and Lehman Brothers as described by the bankruptcy Examiner’s Report. As early as 2005, internal audits by WaMu revealed stunning lapses in underwriting standards. An audit of two large Southern California origination offices had confirmed fraud rates of 58 and 83 percent . The extensive — and perhaps systemic — fraud uncovered by these audits was never disclosed, and yet WaMu officials chose to continue with business as usual. Just last month, two witnesses before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission alleged similar cover-ups. Clayton Holdings, a firm that reviewed loans filed on behalf of investment banks, noticed significant underwriting deficiencies in the loans sold for securitization in 2006 and 2007, yet investment banks continued to package the mortgages and sell the resulting securities to investors, never disclosing Clayton’s findings. Was this material information that WaMu and other banks had a duty to disclose to investors? That is for prosecutors, judges and juries to decide; but it sure looked that way to committee investigators. Another example of likely fraud is described by the Examiner’s Report in the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, which concluded that Lehman executives manipulated the balance sheet by failing to disclose Repo 105 transactions . In fact, the whole purpose of these short-term transactions was to suggest capital reserves were higher by $50 billion than they actually were just before reporting periods. Finally, recent revelations about the foreclosure mess strongly indicate that fraud — and possibly criminal perjury — were system-wide at many of the loan servicers selected by the banks. And just as troubling for the derivatives markets, there may have been fraud or systemic recordkeeping failures (or both) that will cloud title for many securitized mortgages. Question 2: Has the law enforcement response to the financial crisis so far been adequate to deter financial fraud? Twice, Chairman Leahy has asked Senator Kaufman to chair oversight hearings on FERA, in December 2009 and again in September 2010. At those hearings — which featured officials from the Justice Department, FBI and SEC — Senator Kaufman expressed his full support and appreciation for the hundreds of law enforcement personnel who are working tirelessly on this effort, but also voiced his frustration about the lack of prosecutions against executive and boardroom-level officials. Many commentators have asked: Where are the cases? There have been many successful cases brought against mortgage brokers, as well as an impressive list of recent cases against Ponzi schemes and insider trading. But after the Bear Stearns verdict, we have seen no further criminal indictments at major firms for behavior connected with the financial crisis. As for civil suits brought by the SEC, two federal judges have each put the question squarely on the table: Are the SEC settlements achieving the level of deterrence that the facts demand? Are they holding the responsible individuals adequately to account? Or are they in effect just sending a bill to be paid by the current shareholders? As for WaMu officials, why hasn’t the US Attorney in Seattle brought a case? Or the SEC against former Lehman Brothers executives? I really don’t have a clue. The role of Congress stops after asking whether the agencies are coordinating and engaged in a foundational strategic approach and whether there are any systemic obstacles preventing effective law enforcement. The Justice Department and SEC have testified publicly that they are continuing a robust investigative effort and that cases are still in the pipeline. These are no doubt complicated cases that take time to develop. Regardless of the election results, I predict the new Congress will continue to demand accountability and provide law enforcement with all the resources it needs to pursue complex financial fraud. It’s good policy and good politics — for BOTH parties. Question 3: Does federal law enforcement have in place systems that permit it to monitor and uncover ongoing fraud and manipulation? Well, clearly not, as the experience of the last two years demonstrates. First, the FBI cannot do the investigative work alone. Senator Kaufman has repeatedly urged the bank regulatory agencies to play a stronger role in developing criminal referrals, as was ultimately the case in the Savings & Loan crisis. The WaMu hearings revealed that the Office of Thrift Supervision was almost a fraud enabler. This regulatory culture must change, and it is. Between the first oversight hearing in December, 2009 and the second in September, 2010, the number of criminal referrals provided by the bank regulatory agencies has increased from ZERO to a small but significant number, according to the Justice Department. Second is an example Senator Kaufman has focused on extensively in the past 15 months: Technology advances in trading markets have caused law enforcement and regulatory agencies to fall far behind in their ability to monitor and detect manipulation by high-speed, algorithmic traders. In only a few years time, the equity markets have jumped from two exchanges to more than 50 trading venues, becoming so mind-numbingly complex that even professional traders have difficulty telling you with confidence what happens to their orders. As we’ve moved from floor-based to electronic systems, the systems that undergird regulatory surveillance have become ridiculously outmoded. After the May 6 flash crash, it took armies of SEC and CFTC staff more than three months to collect and analyze the trading activity for that single day. What does that say about their ability to monitor that activity in real time on an ongoing basis? This is not a new problem. After Black Thursday in 1987 and another market event in 1989, Congress passed the Market Reform Act in 1990 to expand the SEC’s authority to enhance its ability to recreate unusual trading days and to detect illegal trading activity. In 20 years, the SEC has never used that authority! The Commission proposed a rule in 1991 and then re-proposed it in 1994, but never adopted it. Finally, on April 14, 2010, the Commission proposed a rule that would require tagging of high frequency and other large volume traders. And because of the proliferation of market venues, we have huge gaps in the audit trails collected by the exchanges, and so the Commission after the flash crash also proposed a consolidated audit trail. We’ll see if the Commission finally adopts these rules. In the meanwhile, do we know whether some algorithmic traders — whose servers are co-located at every exchange, who trade in microseconds and whose volumes currently represent 70 percent of the daily trading in the equity markets — are engaged in manipulation? How can we know, one way or the other? The systems still aren’t in place to monitor and police their activity. Neither has the Commission provided any guidelines for what type of electronic trading behavior in the current microsecond environment would equate to manipulation. We’ve heard concerns from the SEC about spoofing or layering (when orders are issued and immediately cancelled for the purpose of feigning interest in buying a stock to manipulate its price), momentum ignition strategies, liquidity detection strategies that enable front-running of mutual fund and pension fund orders, and most recently about quote stuffing (when a trader enters a huge numbers of electronic orders in an effort to slow one market center and capitalize on latency arbitrage opportunities at other market centers). Without guidelines or monitoring, as Senator Kaufman has said repeatedly, it’s like the Wild West. In Australia, in a review of algorithmic trading published February 8, the Australian Securities Exchange called on the Australian Securities and Investments Commission to, “Ensure that… market manipulation provisions… are adequately drafted to capture contemporary forms of trading and provide a more granular definition of market manipulation.” In the UK, noting that some market participants may not be sure that spoofing or layering is illegal, on September 1, 2009, a spokeswoman for the Financial Services Authority said, “This is to clarify that it is.” FINRA, to its credit, recently brought a manipulation case that resulted in fines and individual bans against an electronic trading firm named Trillium, but that was for activity that took place four years ago. Clearly, that’s not enough. Finally, to my last question: Why should all of us care? I think we can all agree that effective law enforcement is vital to preserving the credibility of our capital markets; that our economy cannot succeed in the long-term unless we restore and maintain financial stability; and that investor confidence is critical to the success of the market. But this is not a job for law enforcement alone. Wall Street should recognize that it is in its long-term interests to work cooperatively with government to curb Wall Street excesses. The actions of a few bad apples — if they go undetected and unpunished — can indeed put in peril confidence in the entire system. If not, it won’t be long before a consensus will form among non-financial U.S. companies and millions of American investors: “We’re going to strongly support government efforts to stop any and all reckless behavior before it hurts the economy again.” It’s mindboggling to me that the financial crisis was not horrific enough to bring about wholesale and effective change now. If extensive fraud is uncovered in the foreclosure mess, with much of the action taking place at the state, not federal level, I predict the public’s reaction will not be tame. As for the equity markets, however, Americans vote today in the polling booths, investors will continue to vote with their feet if they believe the markets are rigged against them. Senator Kaufman’s term, and my time as a Senate staffer, has ended, but this is not a fight for one Senator to wage. These are questions that go to the foundations of the rule of law and America’s future economic success. For the common good, I hope you answer them well.

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Senator Jeff Merkley: Rethink Obama’s Foreclosure Program

February 2, 2011

It’s time to take another look at HAMP, Senator Jeff Merkley told MSNBC host Dylan Ratigan. Senator Jeff Merkley, D – OR, said he had spoken to several families in his state who thought their loans were being reworked as part of the Home Affordable Modification Program and dutifully made reduced payments, before discovering out they were being foreclosed on anyway. (Video below.) “Fees start to pile up, so the servicer starts to make a lot of money off fees that they don’t make when a family is making their payments,” said Senator Merkley, speaking on the Dylan Ratigan Snow on MSNBC. The lender is under no obligation to do the full modification that would assist a family in the end, said Merkley, and often didn’t. “It does seem like something’s gone terribly awry.” “It’s a mess,” Terry Garwood told the MSNBC host. “And I can’t believe that it’s legal.” Terry, and his wife Bea, made lowered mortgage payments for nine months on a trial basis before being told they did not qualify for the program. “They went into a foreclosure immediately when we signed up for this, which they didm’t clue us in on either.” Bea and Terry Garwood’s story was brought to light by the Huffington Post . Reporter Arthur Delaney told Dylan Ratigan theirs was a common problem. “The federal auditors of the program have said repeatedly that this is something that can actually happen either you’ll waste money trying to go after this trial modification will never happen, or in the worst case scenario, you weren’t even seriously delinquent in the first place, then as a result of making these payments for a long period of time, you’re totally delinquent and you’re losing your house,” he said. Last week, Republicans in the House introduced a bill that would end HAMP. “The Dylan Ratigan Show” is running a weeklong “No Way To Live” series on the financial crisis and its impact on ordinary Americans, in partnership with The Huffington Post . Check back here regularly for new posts in the series. WATCH the vide below: Visit msnbc.com for breaking news , world news , and news about the economy

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Susan Buchanan: Jobs Lost to Deep Drilling Ban Less Than Predicted

February 1, 2011

This article was published in “The Louisiana Weekly” on January 30, 2011 The Gulf Coast remains banged up and broken from BP’s spill but worries that Louisiana workers would be hit hard by the federal drilling ban — which ended in October — haven’t materialized. In an early January report on the moratorium, public-private partnership GNO, Inc. said big job losses that it and others expected haven’t occurred so far. Employment in the coastal, oil patch grew in 2010, according to the Louisiana Workforce Commission last week. If you tank up with gasoline, you probably figured out awhile ago that oil prices are rising. Petroleum companies have no intention of missing that boat, and want staff on hand at production facilities in Louisiana and elsewhere to help them meet demand and capitalize on higher prices. Robin Barnes, executive vice president at GNO, Inc., said “job losses on the Louisiana coast are, at least initially, not as high as we expected last June. Large and small companies have tried to retain employees rather than lay them off, and in some cases have shortened their hours.” GNO, Inc.’s January report was the second in its three-part Economic Impact Series, including an already-released segment on fisheries and a soon-to-be issued, final part on Louisiana’s brand. Barnes said smaller firms on the coast have dipped into their savings to cover payrolls. “Some companies have managed to hold on with money received from BP claims and the Vessels of Opportunity program,” she noted. “Unemployment could rise in the coastal economy this year, however, as businesses deplete their savings.” In September, the U.S. Dept. of Interior revised projected Gulf job losses from the deepwater moratorium to a range of 8,000 to 12,000, from an earlier view of 23,000. Those figures compare with Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal’s forecast last spring that 20,000 jobs would be forfeited to the drilling ban. Last June, GNO, Inc. saw a potential drop of 12,500 to 21,900 full-time-equivalent positions from the deepwater moratorium. The group’s January report said “to date, we have not seen evidence of these projections,” but added that since June, Louisiana has lost over 25,000 jobs statewide. “While this cannot be assumed a direct correlation — unemployment was rising around the country — we are confident that the decrease in drilling permits and the significant slow-down of the oil and gas industry had an impact on this number.” Since the release of GNO, Inc.’s January report, however, Louisiana officials said that the state’s jobs grew in 2010 as a whole and that December’s unemployment rate of 7.2%, not seasonally adjusted, was unchanged from 2009′s end. Seasonally adjusted, the December jobless number was 8%. Last October, GNO, Inc. began releasing a Gulf Permit Index, tracking approved, federal deep and shallow water permits on a biweekly basis. On the shallow end, permits in the last quarter of 2010 averaged 6.3 per month versus 7.1 in the year earlier quarter. Curry Smith, GNO, Inc. communications and research manager, said last week, “only two, new deepwater drilling permits have been approved by BOEMRE since the moratorium ended on Oct. 12. And since then, only 16 new shallow-water permits have been approved, though there was no official ban on shallow drilling.” Deepwater permits were issued for new exploratory wells in November and December, respectively, to BHP Billiton Petroleum. Last week, Senator Mary Landrieu’s office said “five, deepwater platforms operating in the Gulf have left for other parts of the world, costing Louisiana and the Gulf Coast nearly 5,000 jobs.” Most of those rigs moved to the coast of Africa, in some cases temporarily, according to their owners. As a reference point, GNO, Inc. used 33 as the number of deepwater rigs shut in the Gulf by the drilling moratorium, though the actual figure is lower. The group said that each rig directly or indirectly employs between 415 and 732 Louisiana workers, and 33 rigs would employ between 13,695 and 24,156 workers. “While we have not seen evidence of this high level of unemployment, should the lack of permits continue, the number of jobs at risk is significant,” GNO, Inc’s January report said. Separately, Eileen Angelico, New Orleans spokeswoman for the federal Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement, said last week that 21, rather 33 deepwater rigs were shut in the Gulf during the drilling ban. “Of the 33 deepwater rigs that were operating at the time that Interior Secretary Salazar called for the moratorium, 21 rigs eventually suspended operations,” she said. “Twelve rigs were completing operations, which were not covered under the moratorium, such as drilling a relief well; workover operations; and drilling waterflood, gas injections or disposal wells.” For example, Taylor Energy’s Diamond Ocean Saratoga was exempt as it continued to plug and abandon a Mississippi Canyon well, following platform damage from Hurricane Ivan. A notice from the Dept. of Interior late last May explained the types of rig operations that were exempt from the moratorium. Continuing with its reference number of 33 shut rigs, GNO, Inc. said “over the course of seven months from June to December 2010, 33 working, deepwater rigs would have accounted for state and parish income and rig royalties of between $9,868,799 and $16,864,585. We cannot assume that all these taxes were lost as a result of the moratorium, because — as we have discussed — income-tax paying workers have been kept on payroll, and some companies have found other sources of revenue.” Layoffs on rigs since last spring are far less than initially expected. The $100 million Rig Worker Assistance Fund, established with BP funds, was created to compensate rig employees unable to work as a direct result of the moratorium. GNO, Inc. said in January “this fund, housed at the Baton Rouge Area Foundation, has received approximately 624 applications, 343 of which were compensated. We estimate that each deepwater drilling rig relies on approximately 230 direct workers.” Rig employees did not lose their jobs in large numbers, and some workers that were laid off chose not to apply to the fund, GNO, Inc. said. The group said “job losses were mostly suffered by members of the low-income, unskilled labor force. The majority of directly and indirectly impacted businesses chose to retain most of their employees, despite a sharp drop-off in their needs for labor.” GNO, Inc. also said “drilling rigs may be keeping employees on payroll, but are not purchasing the goods and services — known in the industry as ‘rope, soap, and dope’ — that they did previously.” When asked what he thought about earlier projections that the moratorium could result in losses of 20,000 Gulf jobs, Don Briggs, president of the Louisiana Oil and Gas Association, said last week “I think they are probably high.” But, he said, “it’s been a very difficult number to quantify.” Briggs pointed out, for instance, that “companies like Baker Hughes, Halliburton and Schlumberger can move their people anywhere, to places such as the Haynesville,” the big natural gas-from-shale play in Northwest Louisiana. The GNO, Inc. study includes “qualitative” or anecdotal research from discussions with several, small business owners providing goods and services to oil and gas companies affected by the drilling ban. In addition, employees of non-profit groups assisting small businesses on Louisiana’s coast were interviewed. GNO, Inc. found that “the moratorium forced business owners to drastically change their business plans and utilize savings to compensate for significantly decreased revenue. Most small business owners have attempted to retain their employees in anticipation of drilling permits being granted in the near future.” GNO, Inc. expects that if drilling permits don’t increase much by second-quarter 2011, small businesses will be forced to begin major layoffs. Larger companies may choose to keep employees on longer, but not indefinitely. On January 3, BOEMRE told thirteen oil companies that they may be able to resume previously approved exploration and production activities without submitting revised plans. In its January report, GNO, Inc. said that its Gulf Permit Index had shown little increase in permits issued since then. “Thus, we maintain that a de facto, deepwater moratorium remains in place.” The group said that, given recent increases in shallow, permit approvals, however, “the de facto shallow-water moratorium ended.” GNO, Inc. said “the U.S. has experienced accidents in various industries, including mining, air travel, civil engineering, chemical transportation and others, yet none have resulted in the long-term, comprehensive shutdown of an industry.” The group does not weigh in on Louisiana’s clean energy-versus-oil debate. It does say “the safety of workers and the environment must be of paramount importance.” New systems and procedures should be described and implemented, using transparent methods. “This will allow the nation’s offshore oil and natural gas industry to return to work in a way that will preserve thousands of critical jobs,” in a region still recovering from hurricanes. Separately, Dr. Loren Scott, emeritus professor in economics at Louisiana State University, said he’s keeping an eye on job numbers in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the coastal oil patch. In the Houma MSA, covering Lafourche and Terrebonne parishes, unemployment was 5.1%, not seasonally adjusted, in December, down from 5.7% in November and 5.3% in December 2009. Those numbers were all below prevailing national averages. Unemployment also fell in December in the Lafayette, Lake Charles and New Orleans MSAs, including Plaquemines Parish. Joseph Mason, LSU finance professor, said “nobody has a good number on job losses from the moratorium right now because of the nature of the holdups — limited licensing in shallow and deep water. The Administration and BOEMRE are still barely licensing projects — not just placing procedural hurdles, but simply locking out the industry, thereby leaving in place the ongoing, harsh economic effect.” Mason continued, saying “Obama said a few weeks back that permitting would gain speed,” but that hasn’t happened. Meanwhile, President Obama referred to oil as “yesterday’s energy” in his State of the Union speech last week, and said he wants the nation to focus on producing and using cleaner fuels. end

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Chuck Schumer: GOP Risking ‘A Depression’ With Budget Antics

January 30, 2011

WASHINGTON — Senator Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) warned on Sunday that if House Republicans, in an effort to flex their fiscal conservative muscles, held up passage of a budget this coming March, it could send the United States into a deep recession and possibly a depression. The New York Democrat, appearing on CNN’s “State of the Union,” said that the GOP was “playing with fire” by threatening either to not fund the government or not raise the debt ceiling unless they were first placated with deep spending cuts. “On March 4 the government-funding resolution expires and it seems that a lot of Republicans in the House want to risk a shutdown of the government if they don’t absolutely get their way,” said Schumer. “That was a mistake when [former House Speaker] Newt Gingrich tried it in 1995. It would be a bigger mistake now. It is really playing with fire…. you can risk the credit markets really losing some confidence in the United States Treasury and that could create a deeper recession than we had over the last several years or, god forbid, even a depression.” “It is playing with fire to risk the shutting down of the government just as it is playing with fire to risk not paying the debt ceiling,” he added. The raising of the rhetoric and associated stakes surrounding the budget and debt ceiling debate is something Democrats have been doing for weeks. Austan Goolsbee, the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, set the trend when he called the idea of a self-imposed default “insanity.” To a certain extent, the tack has worked, with GOP leadership showing little of the willingness for a political showdown that the younger, predominantly Tea Party members exhibit. “That would be a financial disaster not only for our country but for the worldwide economy,” House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio), said of a U.S. default on its debt, during an appearance on Fox News Sunday. “Remember, the American people on Election Day said, we want to cut spending and we want to create jobs. You can’t create jobs if you default on the federal debt. Listen, there has been a spending spree going on in Washington these last couple of years beyond control and the president is going to ask us to increase the debt limit then he has got to be willing to cut up the credit cards. We have got to work together by listening to the American people and reducing these obligations that we have.” “I don’t think [defaulting] is a question that is even on the table,” he added.

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Akito Yoshikane: Airport Security Workers Prepare For Largest Federal Election in U.S. History

January 27, 2011

Transportation Security Administration (TSA) employees — i.e., the people that pat you down at the airport — are about to make history. When they vote to decide which union will represent them in March, it will be the largest federal labor election in U.S. history. Roughly 48,000 workers are set to vote starting March 9 on whether they will be represented by the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) or the National Treasury Employees Union (NTEU). While details are still emerging on whether the workers will be able to bargain collectively with the TSA, a successful election could help to bolster the country’s total unionization rate, which has now fallen to just 11.9 percent , as David Moberg reported for In These Times this week. Representatives from the TSA and both unions met with the Federal Labor Relations Authority last Friday to discuss terms of the election. AFGE, an AFL-CIO affiliate, has represented some workers since TSA was formed in 2001; it is the largest union in the federal government, with 600,00 workers. NTEU is the bargaining unit for 150,000 members across 31 agencies and departments. The election date is not yet finalized because the technical measures are still being ironed out by the TSA, according to Cathie McQuiston, AFGE membership and organization deputy director. “The agency is holding up finalizing the election terms because it seeks a bargaining unit description that departs from the norm,” said McQuiston . “There is no dispute over the bargaining unit positions, just the language used to describe the unit.” As it stands, TSA workers are permitted to join unions, but not allowed to bargain collectively. The labor organizing comes nearly a decade after TSA was created. Since then, unions have been trying to undo unfriendly measures that were enacted under the guise of national security. When the agency was created in 2001, Congress passed legislation allowing the Under-Secretary of Transportation to decide employment terms. A 2003 memo by that official prohibited workers from engaging in collective bargaining or using representation (i.e unions) to do so “in light of their critical national security responsibilities.” Most of the momentum has happened recently, due in part, as the Washington Post notes, to the rising productivity of the once stagnant Federal Labor Relations Authority. The agency, which oversees labor issues in the federal sector, decided in November that TSA members will be allowed to vote on union representation, paving the way for the elections. Now that employees are permitted to vote on who will be their exclusive representative, the focus has shifted to allow collective bargaining. Both unions have pressed the TSA to grant rights to do so, and are hoping for a decision before balloting begins. As the voting nears, the record-setting election is an anomaly at a time when unionization rates are continuing to fall. In 2009, unionized public sector workers outnumbered private sector employees for the first time, but the membership rate in 2010 for civil servants fell 1.2 percent to 36.2 percent. But the addition of airport security officials will boost more union members in the public sector, which totaled 7.6 million last year. The previous record for the largest federal union election was in 2006 when the NTEU prevailed over the AFGE for the right to represent 24,000 U.S Customs and Border Protection workers. NTEU won by a two-to-one margin, the union says . The unionization efforts have been opposed in the past, most notably by Senator Jim DeMint (R-S.C.). Today, the backlash has been amplified by opposition to public-sector unions. In Tuesday night’s State of the Union address, the invasive and tedious security precautions by the TSA was even the butt of a joke by President Obama. The stress of dealing with angry passengers has reportedly contributed to low morale among its workforce. The union will be expected to improve workplace standards and provide a voice for a workforce belonging to an agency under constant political scrutiny. (This post originally appeared in Working In These Times .)

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Daniel Dicker: Opaque Commodity Trading: You’ll Be Paying for it at the Pump

January 25, 2011

The final dam to stopping $120-a-barrel oil and $4-a-gallon gas is being breached, as financial regulation continues its daily erosion into worthlessness. Yesterday, Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown demanded that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) use the Dodd-Frank tools at their disposal to protect consumers and small business from artificially inflated energy prices. Yet, watching the CFTC attempt to back up Dodd-Frank legislation since it was passed has been like watching salmon flop upstream as the water drains out — it’s slow, arduous and likely to lead nowhere. It is clear now that we will instead be witness to the highest prices for commodities ever, fueled by the biggest influx of profit-driven trading and investment ever, unstaunched even in the slightest by financial regulation legislation. In my upcoming book, Oil’s Endless Bid , due out from John Wiley & Sons in March, I argue that financial influences from investors and traders and the massive growth of derivatives markets have been the single most important factor for oil’s high and unreliable price, far outstripping fundamental arguments of emerging market growth, peak oil or any other supply constraints or a devaluing dollar. Putting controls on at least some of these speculative influences was supposed to be one of the goals of Dodd-Frank, but the actual rule-making to put teeth behind the legislation has been left to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). But, since it began writing proposals for rules in July 2010, the CFTC has literally been buried by the pushback from industry lobbyists, hired-gun lawyers, derivatives broker/dealers and virtually every industrial corporation with a trading desk that depends even marginally on derivatives activity to protect or augment profits. The problem has been the virtual avalanche of opinion that has descended on the commissioners has been almost entirely from the industry side; no one has bothered to speak for the American public — the consumer — and the industry is lobbying for Dodd-Frank and the CFTC’s profit-dissolving proposals to go away. Consequently, there has been no substantive rule writing to date, despite the mandate of the legislation to have rules for energy markets in place by January, a deadline that the CFTC has already indicated it will miss. Two specific areas have already convinced me that the rules will ultimately be toothless, business will proceed as usual and whatever is implemented will do nothing to curb the explosive price rises we’ve seen not only in oil, but in copper, corn, coffee and cotton last year. Proposals on contract position limits, necessary to avoid any single participant from having overwhelming influence on prices, were argued previously in December without resolution. Bart Chilton, the one commissioner committed to strict position-limits in futures markets has given up on a hard limit, proposing a much weaker “point system” to monitor participants, without any authority to force any limits or liquidation of positions. If Chilton has given in on this crucial point, we shouldn’t expect substantial position-limiting rules in futures markets to come from the CFTC. Indeed, the commission has tabled the entire issue until 2012, a year past their mandated deadline. Another issue defining new swaps clearinghouses and who can own them has generated similar industry interest and push back. Creating “aggregately”-owned clearinghouses would help in transparency, fairness of access and help keep the clearing business competitive. Undue influence by a small group of banks in a new Swaps Execution Facility (SEF) threatens independent control of these new trade nexuses and gives far too much of a trading advantage for the bank owners. Republican commission members have agreed with investment bank lawyers and the Futures Industry Association (FIA) that even the proposed 40% ownership limit for any one participant is still too low. A recent Department of Justice opinion advocating third-party ownership of new SEFs has been excoriated by industry spokespersons representing the banks saying: “The DOJ letter’s analysis appears deficient and fails to consider the relevant history and features of the derivatives markets.” The intention of Dodd-Frank legislation to create transparent swaps clearing is being lost: If allowed to majority-own these new SEF’s, banks will enjoy pass-through clearing that will in name only be at all different from the bilateral clearing system that is already in place and has sunk derivative markets in the past. The bottom line is that commodity trading isn’t about to change one iota from the mechanisms that have caused one boom and bust cycle for oil already and is currently causing others in corn, coffee, copper and cotton. A great opportunity to avoid the similar problems in oil and other commodities we saw in 2008 with credit default swaps and mortgage securities is being lost. Get ready for $4 gas and your local Starbucks brew heading north of 5 bucks — all courtesy of the financial lobbyists, hedge fund traders, industry spokesmen and a brow-beaten CFTC.

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Jeffrey Rubin: Will Car Sales Ever Rebound to Meet US Ethanol Targets?

December 28, 2010

Just as the fiscal crisis sweeping through the major oil-consuming nations of the world is cutting funding for green energy, one of the most expensive yet least efficient of green fuels, corn-based ethanol, has been given another year of generous taxpayer support in the US. The promotion of corn-based ethanol has been America’s principal policy response to its growing dependence on ever more costly foreign oil. Fuelled by a federal tax credit of 45 cents per gallon and a crippling 54 cent per gallon tariff against competing Brazilian sugar-based ethanol , American ethanol production has grown exponentially over the course of the last decade to around 12 billion gallons per year in 2010. And it’s targeted to grow to as much as 36 billion gallons by 2022. Food inflation, particularly with respect to corn prices, has moved in step. Thanks in large measure to ethanol demand, US corn prices are up some 40 per cent this year. Food inflation aside, Congress had lots of other good reasons not to extend further subsidies. The net energy content from ethanol, after allowing for all the hydrocarbon inputs (ranging from fertilizers to diesel fuel for the tractors to coal for the processing plants), is marginal at best. And its carbon footprint isn’t materially better than burning fossil fuels, given how much of the latter is embodied in its very production. Despite a last-ditch attempt by Senator Dianne Feinstein and others to end the subsidies, the Senate decided to fork out more pork barrel funds to corn farmers and, by extension, to firms like Monsanto and Archer Daniels Midland for another year. But don’t count on American ethanol production’s ever coming even close to reaching that lofty target of 36 billion gallons per year. If the return of fiscal sanity to Washington doesn’t undercut its life-sustaining subsidies, an aborted recovery in motor vehicle sales will soon put the kibosh on future production growth. Car manufacturers and ethanol producers both hope that an economic recovery will return vehicle sales to their pre-recession levels. Unfortunately, the recovery they are counting on so heavily is a double-edged sword. An economic rebound will very quickly push pump prices beyond most drivers’ reach. They’re already hovering around $3 per gallon, and with triple-digit oil prices around the corner, we’re sure to see prices of $4 per gallon or higher by next spring. The last time we saw those prices, in the summer of 2008, scooters were outselling SUVs by a margin of three to one, and no one was keen to scoop up car-leasing firms and make acquisitions like Toronto-Dominion Bank’s recent $6.3 billion purchase of Chrysler Financial. Four-dollar gas crunched the North American vehicle market back in 2008, and it will likely do the same in 2011. And when it does, American farmers can go back to growing corn for food and, in the process, save taxpayers some $7 billion a year in ill-conceived ethanol subsidies.

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Target Continues To Make Political Donations They Previously Apologized For

December 21, 2010

This past fall, mega-retailer Target caught a heap of bad publicity when it was revealed that they had made campaign donations in support of then-Minnesota gubernatorial hopeful Tom Emmer , whose hostility to the LGBT community began “with opposition to same-sex marriage and runs through to wholesale denial of equal rights and alliances with organizations whose takes on the gay community neatly align with those Ugandan madmen .” Target CEO Greg Steinhafel was forced to make an apology , and promised to begin a “review process for future political donations.” Over at The Awl, Abram Sauer, who covered this story thoroughly during the election season, has made a review of this review process. You’ll never guess what he found out ! According to documents filed with the FEC in October 2010, Target continued donating to a bevy of anti-gay politicians even after Steinhafel apologized and committed to reforming the review process for future political donations. These donations even included some of the same anti-gay politicians the company had already been criticized for supporting. Here’s a taste of the specifics: After Steinhafel’s August 5 letter, Target’s Political Action Committee, helmed by the former right hand of Senator Thune, Matt Zabel, recorded $41,200 in federal election activity. Of that total, $31,200 went to anti-gay rights politicians or PACs supporting those candidates. Supporters of gay equality did get some money. In September, Target PAC gave $1,000 to Chuck Schumer. It also sent a whole $500 to Keith Ellison, the Minnesota Congressman that anti-gay leader Bradley Dean accuses of supporting LGBT rights as a way to bring Sharia law to America. But donations such as $1,000 to Kelly Ayotte (reported on September 22), who resigned her state post in protest of the legalization of gay marriage and same sex adoption, are far more the norm. That same day, there is a record of a donation by Target PAC to Spencer Bachus, who voted to ban same-sex adoption. Michigan’s David Camp, who, in addition to supporting a Constitutional Amendment banning same-sex marriage, voted against protecting gays from job discrimination based on sexual orientation, also reported money. Through October, Target PAC thousands of dollars in donations were recorded to Michael Crapo and Dave Reichert, both supporters of anti-gay Constitutional amendments, and Rob Portman, a supporter of banning gays from adopting. Portman’s position on other gay rights won’t surprise. On October 4, a donation was reported: $2,000 to David Dreier, whose position on gay rights is quite a bit of theatre. Sauer also digs up this magical puff piece by Bill George at the Star Tribune , attesting to Steinhafel’s general wonderfulness as a CEO. Amid the assertion that Steinhafel is “always classy” and the insistence that it “isn’t easy being CEO of a public company,” (I mean, you try living off this pittance in America) there’s glancing mention of that minor dust-up over these anti-gay political donations: Suggestions that Target was somehow “anti-gay” cut deeply. The worst one could say about this incident is that Steinhafel may have been naive. But he admitted his mistake and reaffirmed the company’s long-standing support for gay rights. As he told me, “Target has the most gay-friendly policies in this state.” I don’t think the worst you could say about Steinhafel is that he is naive! More like, “is a liar.” But, as Sauer points out, this Strib handjob was written by a former member of Target’s board and the author of a book titled 7 Lessons for Leading in Crisis that “just happens to count Gregg Steinhafel as one of its profiled ‘leaders.’” So, you know: hard-hitting . GO READ THE WHOLE THING: The Anti-Gay Donations That Target Apologized For? They Never Stopped [The Awl] [Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com -- learn more about our media monitoring project here .]

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Sidney Shapiro: False Choices: Senator Warner’s Plan to Adopt a Regulation, Drop a Regulation

December 14, 2010

A particularly revealing story in The Washington Post this weekend reported on a sordid tale of regulatory failure that may have helped contribute to this spring and summer’s outbreak of outbreak of egg-borne salmonella that sickened more than 1,900 people and led to the largest recall of eggs in U.S. history.

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Raymond J. Learsy: Mr. Buffet’s New York Times’ Op-ed. Thank You We Feel Better Now

November 17, 2010

The Financial Crisis is replete with ironies. Today the readers of the New York Times were regaled with Warren Buffet’s Op-ed (“Pretty Good For Government Work”) expressing his admiration and appreciation for the great good work performed by our government (or Mr. Buffett’s more down home sobriquet, our “Uncle Sam”) in rallying to Wall Street’s rescue. Woe to the nation, infers Mr. Buffet had these gallant warriors, the likes of Ben Bernanke, Hank Paulson, Tim Geithner and Sheila Bair not acted ddecisively to bail out the nation. And had they not acted, “300 million Americans were in the domino line as well.” What Mr. Buffett conveniently overlooks is the many millions of Americans who continued in the domino line losing jobs, homes and nest eggs while the likes of his favorite investment bank, Goldman Sachs, in which he had invested billions, were making themselves and Mr. Buffett richer, setting up $23 billion bonus pools. Then to gild the golden Lilly the Wall Street firemen, Bernanke, Geithner, Paulson and Bair pumped billions via A.I.G. who, to quote Mr. Buffett, “A.I.G. was at deaths door.” And yet the Wall Street fire brigade was able to shake this near cadaver for tens of billions directly and indirectly lining the pockets of the favorite apple of Buffett’s investment eye, Goldman Sachs. Buffett goes on to talk about the “rot building up in the housing market”. That there was “mass delusion”. “In truth almost all of the country became possessed by the idea that home prices could never fall significantly.” Really? No mention here of those wonderful ‘Abacus” deals cobbled together by the folks at Goldman and their equivalents elsewhere, packaging what Senator Levin termed during Congressional hearings as “sh*t”. Packages of mortgages and notes destined to fail, foisted on the less sophisticated wrapped in another of Mr. Buffet’s important investments, Moody’s Corporation, conveying its triple A rating and then blessed with the imprimatur of what was once the uncontested blue ribbon of Wall Street certification, the stamp of a once vaunted Goldman Sachs. Altogether very insalubrious and highly questionable business practice, occasioning Mr. Buffett to raise high the banner of ‘caveat emptor’, defending Goldman’s actions far and wide to any microphone or interview that would hear him out, that buyers should have been more careful. Thereby inferring that the debacle of the “Abacus” deals were as much the fault of those who were taken down the garden path, a curious moral judgment for such a vaunted sage (please see “The New York Times’ Timely Whitewash of Goldman Sachs” 06.18.10). Was the bail out necessary? Very likely yes. But only fellow club members would have seen to it that it was done at everyone else’s expense. And if advantages accrued to card holding club members such as fat bonuses and no significant haircuts for equity and bond holders, so much the better. This is America!

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Steve Clemons: Lawrence Summers Needs to Retool his Wall Street Tilt

November 1, 2010

When Senator Jeff Bingaman was working diligently in the mid-1990s to get not only the White House but also Republican and Democratic Senators and House Members to focus on the large scale, structural deficits that were building between the United States on one hand and Japan and China on the other, he tasked his team with smartening up on what leading economists of the day were saying about global imbalances but also about the dynamics of a turbo-charged, stock churning equities market. Not only were policy makers on the whole not paying attention to trade and current account deficits, they were also ignoring the impact of hot, impatient money on the domestic sector. Bingaman, via his staff including yours truly and his then chief of staff Patrick von Bargen, began quoting economists Joseph Stiglitz and Lawrence Summers on their groundbreaking, compelling work on financial equities transaction taxes — minor taxes on major equities churning that could both help promote longer term decisions in the equities markets but which also could generate revenue to fund portable educational benefits for workers and investments in high tech R&D. Stiglitz and Summers both felt that such taxes would not only not hurt markets but could help prevent excesses. I remember getting a phone call from an Assistant Secretary of Treasury on some of Jeff Bingaman’s quotes of then Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Lawrence Summers and was told “Dr. Summers changed his mind on those excise taxes when he joined the Treasury Department.” Lawrence Summers has largely been a Wall Street-tilting force ever since. And today in the Washington Post , Summers is again referenced as now opposing taxes on various financial transactions as a way to possibly generate revenue to work on global climate change challenges. One friend wrote to me and said “once bought by the financial industry, always bought.” The report : A new dispute could flare up at the end of the week, when an international task force charged with showing how rich nations can mobilize $100 billion by 2020 for climate assistance will outline options for generating that money. Lawrence H. Summers, who chairs the White House National Economic Council, has served in the group and questioned some of the proposals, including imposing a new fee on some financial transactions. Perhaps there is more to this story than we are getting — and perhaps the particular framework for taxation in this case is a bad one. But what we aren’t getting to see much of is the Lawrence Summers who recognizes that reforms and change are needed in an economy that over-kowtows to the financial sector. Summers, no matter what some critics say, is a formidable intellectual heavyweight on economics policy — and will continue to be, long after he leaves the White House. However, he needs to retool. Films like Charles Ferguson’s Inside Job and important chronicles of DC-NY financial sector structural corruption with Summers as a lead protagonist like Michael Hirsh’s Capital Offense: How Washington’s Wise Men Turned America’s Future Over to Wall Street are going to define him if he doesn’t begin to recognize what George Soros, Joseph Stiglitz, Nouriel Roubini, and others have long understood — that this country will be ruined by further obsequiousness to “market fundamentalism.” Summers needs to get on the side where he can get back to what he believed ‘before’ he joined the Department of Treasury. — Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note . Clemons can be followed on Twitter @SCClemons

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Lanny Davis: Let’s Stick to the Facts on For-Profit Colleges Regulations

October 25, 2010

As I wrote on September 23 in this space, the Department of Education’s (DOE) attempt to put more stringent regulations on for-profit colleges is an example of good intentions gone awry. Rather than expanding college opportunities and fighting fraud, the proposed new “gainful employment” (“GE”) rules would instead limit college access especially for minority students, raise taxpayer costs, and create new obstacles for employers eager to hire qualified workers. The new rules target only for-profit institutions, a relatively small section of higher education. And for reasons not explained by the DOE, it has made no effort at all to hold public and private non-profit colleges to any similar standard for student debt and repayment limitations and job placement outcomes — particularly puzzling since these schools are subsidized by tens of billions of dollars of direct federal and state grants and are the beneficiaries of the largest share of federally-backed student loans. Even so, there remains a problem in the debate on this important issue that is fundamental — and that is respect for the difference between ideology and facts. To put it bluntly and to paraphrase a well-known pundit, those who criticize for-profit schools are “entitled to their own opinions, but not their own facts.” In this spirit, I challenge three important “assertions of fact” by proponents of these regulations, including leaders at the DOE as well as some Democrats in the U.S. Senate, that are false or misleading, or both. First: Repayment Rates — Asserted fact: that the regulations are needed because the “profit” in the for-profit colleges yields lower repayment rates than at non-profit and public colleges. Actual fact: Repayment rates are a result of the demographic and socio-economic status of the students who take out the loans, not the tax status of the colleges they attend. See, e.g., independent study by Mark Kantrowitz, an independent financial aid professional (found here) and Professor Jonathan Guryan, Ph.D, a professor in economics at Northwestern University, whose comments to this effect regarding the proposed gainful employment regulations were submitted to the DOE (found here). Mr. Kantrowitz’s data leads to especially troubling conclusions for those who are concerned about low-income and minority students: that the more minority students are in a college, the more they are likely to fail one or both of the two tests in the GE regulations — debt-to earnings and repayment rates. No wonder so many members of the Democratic Congressional Black Caucus have written letters of concern to DOE Secretary Arne Duncan, as well as many other leaders of minority communities who have expressed the same concerns, such as Rev. Jesse Jackson, and Rev. Al Sharpton, regarding these regulations as currently drafted and support serious changes before final issuance. Isn’t it troubling (at least to fellow liberal Democrats, such as myself) that a progressive Democratic administration seems indifferent or determined to go full steam ahead and ignore a disparate racial and economic effect of these regulations on a core Democratic Party base — minorities and lower income people who comprise most of the for-profit colleges students adversely affected by these proposed regulations? And just before an election day when the president and Democratic Party leaders are seeking a large turnout from that base? Second: Cost to Taxpayers — Asserted facts: Critics assert that regulations are needed because for-profits cost federal tax payers too much money each year. DOE uses the number26.5 billion as the latest total annual “federal aid.” Senator Harkin repeatedly uses the number24 billion. Both are false and misleading. Actual fact: The data proves that public colleges and private not-for-profit colleges cost taxpayers substantially more money per student at four-year colleges than for-profit colleges. (See recent analysis by noted economists Dr. Robert Shapiro and Dr. Nam Pham, available here.) A recent analysis by Charles River Associates concluded that career colleges cost the taxpayers25,000 less per graduate than community colleges or other public two-year institutions. With $20 billion in annual student loans to students attending for-profit colleges, the DOE’s own data calculates that the projected cost of student loan defaults at these for-profit colleges — net of recoveries after defaults – is about one percent to be written off as entirely non-collectible, or less than $200 million – not the $26.5 billion or $24 billion misleadingly cited by the DOE and Senator Harkin, respectively. Third: Inferior Job Placement – Critics assert that for-profit schools have dismal graduation and job placement rates, leaving students with large debts and bleak earnings potential, as compared to private not-for-profits and public colleges. Actual fact – For-profit college graduation rates at two year institutions exceed 55 percent, significantly higher than those at community colleges. Yet no mention was made of that fact during the much-touted White House meeting focusing just on community colleges, which totally omitted any reference to for-profit colleges and the predominantly low-income and minority students they serve. For-profit schools have produced millions of success stories, helping students prepare for and find new jobs, advance their careers and earn higher pay. Graduates find jobs in a wide range of high-demand professions as nurses and health care aides, computer professionals and programmers, chefs and retail managers, solar and wind energy technicians. If Senator Harkin wanted to hold 10 hearings, he could fill the HELP Committee panels with real people telling those real success stories. Instead, not one single career college student was allowed to appear to tell a single success story at a single HELP Committee hearing on this issue. As I wrote in this space several weeks ago, there is a vague and uneasy aroma of elitist double standards going on here. The Harvard or Stanford students majoring in ancient history or anthropology, with difficulty finding jobs in those fields, would be unaffected by these proposed regulations. Yet a minority or low-income student training to be a health care assistant or computer technician or chef would face two new debt and repayment rate tests that could have adverse effect on the institutions under the Department’s rules. Why is there such a distinction? Am I wrong in seeing a double standard here? Why can’t Secretary Duncan fix the rule to eliminate its unintended but clearly discriminatory impacts? And why not apply any final rule to all schools — even, if necessary, by seeking additional congressional authority to do so to ensure evenhandedness? Why not treat the low-income, full-time working parent studying at night at a for-profit college in a two-year program to be a medical assistant the same as a full-time Yale student majoring in philosophy? By relying on problematic facts, the Department of Education has created a problematic policy. Before finalizing any new rules, it should first finalize its facts. The proposed rules need to be fixed to mitigate their effect on low income and minority students and to apply them across the board — to for-profit colleges as well as non-profit and public colleges. Certainly there should be no last minute rush to put into effect by November 1 even a portion of the gainful employment regulations, such as those applicable to new programs, without full review. To do so would be contrary to the spirit if not the letter of the commitment the Secretary made to take into account the more than 90,000 comments made about the gainful employment regulations. It would smack of a rush-to-regulate not becoming and not justified. One thing we should all agree on — it’s time for Secretary Duncan to put the amber light on and be sure, no matter what, to base such far-reaching regulations on the facts, and only the facts. Mr. Davis, a former special counsel to President Clinton in 1996-98, is a Washington D.C. principal at the firm of Lanny J. Davis & Associates and is a public spokesperson and registered paid lobbyist on behalf of the “Coalition for Educational Success,” a group of 72 for-profit colleges in 37 states with more than 200,000 students. He is the author of “Scandal: How ‘Gotcha’ Politics Is Destroying America” (Palgrave MacMillan, 2006).

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David Isenberg: Be Careful What You Ask For

October 25, 2010

Remember those comparatively long ago, rather naïve, days when former Senator Hillary Clinton was running for President and cosponsored legislation calling for the Secretary of State to ban the use of private contractors like Blackwater from guarding State Department employees? One wonders whether Secretary of State thinks of those days now that she is facing an increasingly serious situation concerning the use of private security contractors in Afghanistan; thanks to President Hamid Karzai who back on August 7 during his visit to the Civil Service Institute in Kabul announced that he would ban both national and international Private Security Companies (PSCs) operating in Afghanistan, which is supposed to start in December. President Karzai argued that PSCs have created a parallel security force which competes with the Afghan Security Forces (ASFs). And PSCs are, at times, a cause of instability in Afghanistan as well. Actually, as I have noted previously, he has a point there. And the Senate Armed Services Committee report reinforces that view. Viewed in the long term U.S. officials praise Mr. Karzai’s plan because diplomats say they perpetuate the country’s entrenched militia culture. Thus, on August 17, President Karzai issued an eight article decree disbanding all PSCs operating in Afghanistan within the next four months. This step was taken as part of the President’s plan to hand over security responsibilities to Afghan security forces by the end of 2014. However, it seems that the four month deadline for closure of PSCs is impractical, to put it mildly, since the necessary procedures for transferring responsibilities from PSCs to the Afghan security forces, in addition to ending contracts between international organizations and PSCs would take more than four months. Many think that at the least the Afghan government should dissolve PSCs gradually instead of speedily. And now that we are moving ever closer to December 17, when the ban is expected to take effect, President’s Karzai’s decree is producing significant consequences. Last Friday American and European officials in Afghanistan warned that contractors handling hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of projects to build roads, schools and networks for electricity and irrigation were planning to sharply limit or halt their work here if the Afghan government moves ahead with plans to enforce the PSC ban, Simply put, without protection, many, if not most reconstruction companies cannot function in Afghanistan because their workers, whether foreigners or Afghans associated with foreigners, are targets for insurgents. This month a Scottish aid worker, Linda Norgrove, was kidnapped by the Taliban and later killed in a botched American rescue attempt. The company she worked with, Development Alternatives Inc., has told the United States Agency for International Development that it will have to cancel 330 projects worth $21 million and not start several million dollars in new projects, according to a spokesman. On October 21 the Washington Post reported that U.S.-funded development firms are beginning to shut down massive reconstruction projects because the Afghan government has refused to rescind the ban. One U.S. official said the ban would affect about $1.5 billion in ongoing reconstruction work. More than 20,000 Afghans will lose jobs in road-building and energy projects alone. So much for winning the hearts and minds of the people! Good luck with implementing your counterinsurgency policy Gen. Petraeus. It may still be possible to work out a deal, at least for the short term. On October 14 the Washington Post reported that the United States and its NATO allies, worried about how the Afghan government’s ban on PSC might affect their operations, have asked President Hamid Karzai to sign a letter allowing such companies to continue protecting the foreign aid community. The United States and its NATO allies, worried about how the Afghan government’s ban on private security companies might affect their operations, have asked President Hamid Karzai to sign a letter allowing such companies to continue protecting the foreign aid community, according to Western officials in Kabul. On October 17 CNN reported that the Afghan government clarified the exceptions to a PSC ban, stating that those firms offering protection to embassies and foreign diplomats will be allowed to continue to operate. Sunday’s announcement clarified that private security firms that have the responsibility of guarding the interior of embassies, escorting foreign diplomats, protecting diplomatic accommodations and protecting international military bases and weapons storage, will be allowed to continue their work. Yesterday the AP reported that Secretary Clinton called President Karzai on Saturday to try to persuade his government to modify its PSC ban. Clinton suggested formulating a joint plan to steadily phase out private security companies without disrupting the work of contractors who employ private guards to protect their workers, projects, and facilities, The call was part of intense negotiations that U.S. and other Western diplomats were conducting with Afghan officials this weekend. Also, Karzai’s spokesman Waheed Omer said earlier this month that the ban would not immediately affect companies dealing with the training of national security forces or guards operating inside buildings to provide protection. Will Karzai blink? Will the U.S. cut him a better deal? Stay tuned.

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Mike Elk: Honeywell Spending More To Keep Workers Locked Out Than Cost of Their Demands

October 22, 2010

The locked-out workers of USW Local 7-699 in Metropolis, Ill., are claiming that their company, defense contractor Honeywell, is spending more money to keep its workers locked out than what it would cost to give the workers what they are demanding. Honeywell wants to cut retiree healthcare and pensions entirely for new hires and increase their healthcare contributions to $8,500 a year (see more about the Honeywell lockout here ). USW spokesman John Smith claims that, according to calculations done by the union, it would cost Honeywell a total of $20 million over the three-year life of the contract for workers to keep their health and retiree benefits at current levels. Union officials say that Honeywell has already spent or lost at least $48.8 million to keep the workers locked out of the facility. This figure includes the costs of contracting at scab labor estimated to be $20 million, an estimated $5 million to house, feed, transport, and provide additional security for the 300 scab labor working inside the plant, and $2.5 million for overtime pay for management working extra hours. This figure does not include legal costs for Honeywell, which has sued the union for their picketing activities. Additionally, the plant has lost at least $22 million in production in the 11 weeks the plant was shut down.

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David Isenberg: The Liability of Using a PMC to do Foreign Police Training

October 8, 2010

Last month the independent publication Intelligence Online reported that Altegrity , the “global security solutions and specialized law enforcement training company” headquartered in Falls Church, Virginia, which as of this past August also owns Kroll Inc. is counting on the extensive contacts of William J. Bratton, formerly Chairman of Altegrity Risk International (ARI) and now Kroll Chairman, who headed the Los Angeles Police Department for seven years, to help it nab some of the lucrative foreign police force training contracts that Dyncorp’s International Police Training Program has monopolized in recent years. Okay, nothing exceptional there. Companies hire people all the time in order to capitalize off their past and present business contacts. And if DynCorp gets some competition in training foreign military or police forces that is a good thing. I’ve written in the past, here and here about some problems DynCorp has had doing that. But the real question is whether the benefits of using any PMC for this job outweigh the costs. To be sure, PMC supporters have a large number of countries to point to where PMC have done exactly that, and in most cases have done so without major problems. Of course, most of those contracts have been far smaller than those contracts in Iraq and Afghanistan which have seen major problems. But some people, who have the credentials to back up their viewpoints, have their doubts. Let’s look at a recent U.S. Army Peacekeeping & Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI) paper. The PKSOI serves as the U.S. Army’s Center of Excellence for Stability and Peace Operations at the Strategic and Operational levels in order to improve military, civilian agency, international, and multinational capabilities and execution. The paper is ” U.S. Military Forces and Police Assistance in Stability Operations: The Least-Worst Option to Fill the U.S. Capacity Gap ” by Colonel (U.S.-Army Ret.) Dennis E Keller. He writes: DoS INL directly contracted with DynCorp International to provide 690 International Police Liaison Offcers (IPLOs) who provide assessment, training, and mentoring functions for Iraqi police in the feld. INL funded DoJ’s ICITAP, which then contracted Military Professional Resources Inc. (MPRI), to provide International Police Trainers (IPTs), who provide assistance to Iraq’s police training academies. INL also funded 143 Border Enforcement Advisors, 123 of whom were provided by an INL contract with DynCorp, and 20 of whom were provided by an ICITAP contract with MPRI. DoJ’s OPDAT [U.S. Department of Justice, Offce of Overseas Prosecutorial Development, Assistance and Training] had provided seven Resident Legal Advisors (RLAs) to Iraq as of February 2008. Six RLAs were deployed to Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs) in Iraqi Provinces, with the seventh RLA in Baghdad. The interagency arrangement provides that CPATT and MNSTC-I set overall requirements for the civilian security development mission, that Multi-National Force–Iraq (MNF-I) exercises operational control over IPLOs and IPTs supplied by INL and ICITAP, and that ICITAP and INL manage and oversee the contracts with service providers such as DynCorp and MPRI. At first glance, it would seem that these interagency arrangements among DoS INL, DoJ ICITAP, DoD, and USAID for civilian police training, along with the international academies supported by DHS, more than replicate USAID’s police training prior to 1974. However, it is important to note that ICITAP and INL’s police training, unlike USAID’s Cold War-era police training, is executed by contract police trainers, usually through the large contractors DynCorp and MPRI in the case of the police training in Iraq and Afghanistan. While using a private sector company to contract police trainers on a short-term basis does enable a rapid increase in the quantity of trainers available, it also has some inherent disadvantages when compared with the use of full-time USG employees to manage and conduct foreign police training. It is notable that in its heyday, USAID’s OPS had 590 permanent employees, which included overseas advisors and trainers as well. As of 2007, to provide support for the much-larger force of contracted police trainers in Iraq and Afghanistan, DoS INL increased its staffng by adding 64 permanent positions in Washington, and increasing its Embassy Baghdad staff to 20 people– to supervise a contracted police trainer force of some 833 police trainers in Iraq alone. However, these low ratios of permanent government employees to temporarily contracted police trainers allow the permanent staff to conduct only the minimal contract oversight and broad policy guidance for law enforcement development. They are not able to develop more-detailed procedures and greater operational oversight of police and law enforcement reform. Simply using a contracting mechanism to conduct police training does not create the kind of institutional capacity in the USG that is required for a consistently effective approach to enabling local police to establish and maintain a safe and secure environment in a recovering state. Contracted police trainers often cannot or will not operate in nonpermissive environments, thus confning their training to the capital city or secure areas while leaving unsecured remoter areas of a country without desperately needed police trainers and mentors, as is often the case in Iraq and Afghanistan today. Moreover, if a particular contracted police trainer/mentor is identifed as having superior ability to impart police skills and values in a foreign environment, there is no mechanism to keep that person on at DoS INL or elsewhere in the USG to help establish institutional knowledge and long-term capacity to manage and conduct foreign police training. P.S. I should note that the September/October issue of Foreign Affairs has a letter to the editor by Senator Edward E. Kaufman (D-Delaware) in which he comments on a previous article by Defense Secretary Robert Gates,who wrote about ways to improve the advising and mentoring capacity of the Defense Department. Sen. Kaufman notes in passing, The U.S. government must also better train foreign police. The State Department’s Bureau of International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs has had success in training civilian law enforcement agencies around the globe, but its model has not worked in Afghanistan. The United States needs a more robust civilian approach to partnering with foreign law enforcement and defense counterparts. Something so critical should not be an afterthoughts or be contracted out to private companies.

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David Isenberg: A Hundred Billion Dollars Up in Smoke

October 7, 2010

It is a pity that last week’s Senate Armed Services committee hearing on ” Department of Defense Efficiencies Initiatives ” did not get more coverage, as there were some startling assertions made. Consider what Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) said. McCaskill, by the way, is more qualified than most members of Congress to talk on the subject of contracting. During her years as a prosecutor she conducted performance audits on state programs. She was named as one of the select senators to sit on the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, formerly known as the Truman Committee. In fact, she was a co-sponsor of a major bill that established a modern day Truman Committee called the Wartime Contracting Commission, charged with investigating wasteful, fraudulent and abusive contracts in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. In addition to working to establish a committee to examine wartime contracting, in 2009 she was named chairman of a new subcommittee that investigates contracting abuses throughout the federal government. The Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee (HSGAC) Subcommittee on Contracting Oversight strives to root out government waste by focusing on contracts and the means by which the federal government provides accountability to those contracts. So when she says the following we should pay attention: Let me move on to another subject: contracting. You know, wartime contracting has been stovepiped, mostly because it can be. And I–and the lack of competition is, frankly, a huge part of the problem. And we’re not talking about, now–I certainly agreed with Senator McCain, that some of the problem is a lack of competition among Defense contractors for the big stuff. But, there really isn’t an excuse for a lot of the services’ contracts. We’re not talking about a lot of capitalization costs, for a lot of these service contracts. But, once again, what you see is a lack of competition, without a good excuse as to why there’s a lack of competition. And that, Secretary Carter, is where I think there is real, real money. And, I just urge you to bring to us, in this effort, how, not only you’re looking at contracting in a macro sense, but how you are drilling down on contracting in wartime as it relates, especially, to logistics and troop support. I–I’m a conservative person when it comes to estimating numbers, because of my auditing background. I think it’s very conservative to say that we’ve had $100 billion go up in smoke in Iraq, from bad contracting, that it’s not as if there weren’t competing people who could have been brought in; it just was easier not to. And so, I urge you to keep us posted on how you’re integrating that kind of contracting into the contracting reforms. Now, even by the slothful standards of the U.S. Department of Defense that is unquestionably real money. If Sen. McCaskill was exaggerating one would think that a DOD witness would not miss a chance to dispute it. So let’s consider what the witness, Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics, Ashton Carter, said in response: You are right, we have–in contingency contracting in Iraq, in the early years, did not have the tradecraft and the controls that were appropriate. We’ve recognized that. And one of the first things Secretary Gates said to me, when he hired me in this job, was that he wanted to make sure we learned the lessons of Iraq and applied them in Afghanistan. And we’re really trying to do that. So, you–I would like to get our contracting system, in Afghanistan, to a point where we don’t need to–we’ll still need to be audited, but where we’ll pass an audit easily. That means having contracting officers in adequate numbers to do the work right. It means having contracting officer representatives there to make sure the work is done on each contract. And so, for–that means reducing the use of cash, and all of these things. Now–and we have been assiduously working down that list–which is, I think, exactly the same list that you are working down–in Afghanistan, and made considerable progress in each of those areas. We’re not where I think we should be, yet. And speaking of not being where we should be consider what Sen. McCaskill said about the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction . I have written, now, three letters to the President about the special inspector general over Afghanistan. And we now have had an independent review of his work, by a team of auditors, a peer review. And they have said that it is woefully lacking. And probably the whipped cream and the cherry on this particular situation is that–here’s somebody who’s supposed to be the eyes and ears looking at contracting in a major way in Afghanistan, and he hires someone on a no-bid contract for $95,000 for 2 months’ work. Now, first of all, how do you decide that somebody’s worth 45 grand a month of public money? How do you decide that’s the one? And there’s no process there. Now, this is the special inspector general over Afghanistan reconstruction, hiring somebody for $95,000, for 2 months’ work. And you wonder why the public thinks we’ve lost our minds. That is not being accountable. And, you know, the person he hired formerly was the DOD IG with a lot of blemishes. I mean, we’re not even talking about somebody that is–doesn’t come with his own baggage. And the special inspector general over Afghanistan should be fired, today. When you have an independent council of auditors saying that the special inspector general in Afghanistan– that their law enforcement authority should be removed from them because they don’t have the right control processes in place, this is a problem.

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Leo Hindery, Jr.: Finally, a Tax Compromise That Makes Sense: DeFazio/Kaptur

October 5, 2010

I recently wrote about our perverse individual income tax regulations which, since 1980, have been manipulated literally out of control, to the particular benefit of the wealthiest Americans so that, purportedly, they can ‘trickle down’ their wealth to the poorest, which of course they almost never do. And then I wrote about the tax policy of the Republicans in Congress today, and of the Tea Party candidates, that even with unprecedented individual income inequality would further gut and in some aspects even abandon completely our nation’s fundamental principle of progressive taxation. Sometimes this manipulation takes the form of taxing ordinary income as capital gains. Sometimes, it’s offshore accounts and deferrals that unfairly keep taxes unpaid. Currently, most perverse of all, it’s trying to permanently preserve the Bush tax cuts for the richest American taxpayers, which according to the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center would cost the federal government an almost unbelievable $680 billion in revenue over the next 10 years. President Obama and the Democrats in Congress want to preserve the Bush tax cuts that benefit the middle class and lower income earners, while letting those provisions that benefit only people with very high incomes expire on schedule at the end of this year. The Republicans disagree. And thus things sit, even though, unfathomably, under the Republicans’ plan, nearly all of the benefit of the extension they’re seeking would go to the richest 1% of Americans, people with incomes of more than $500,000 a year. The majority of even this amount would go to the richest one-tenth of one percent, the least wealthy of whom have annual incomes of more than $2 million and the average of whom makes more than $7 million a year. Republican House Minority Leader John Boehner and his compatriots would have us believe that they are the only ones standing in the way of the complete ruin of American small business and the American family farm. According to Boehner, Republicans will do everything they can to protect these businesses and farms even if it means Republicans have to — have to! — push for continued tax cuts that overwhelmingly benefit the extremely wealthy. Politically and rhetorically, the Republicans are accomplishing a great sleight of hand by focusing on the small number of small businesses and farms that would be affected, skewing a debate that should be about efficient government spending and tax fairness. Democrats — as we often do — have allowed Republicans to get away with this tactic for too long, and until this past week, I had pretty much given up hope for any thoughtful ‘compromise’, particularly a compromise which would materially help jumpstart our jobless economic recovery. Well, thank God for Representatives Peter DeFazio (D-OR) and Marcy Kaptur (D-OH), who just put forward a proposal in the House that I believe no responsible Member of Congress — whether in the House or the Senate, whether Democrat, Republican or Tea Partier — should find objectionable. This proposal, this ‘compromise’, would extend the 2001 tax cuts for all small businesses that might be subject to the top two tax brackets if these businesses can merely certify that they are manufacturing in the U.S., only hiring American citizens, and generally buying domestic content goods and materials. Very simply, each small business would seek certification by meeting the common sense standards that its headquarters and manufacturing are in the United States, its manufacturing uses at least 75% domestic content, it verifies its workers using “E-Verify” and does not use temporary visas, and it has not outsourced its labor or manufacturing overseas. Representatives DeFazio and Kaptur note that companies which would realize this lower tax rate range from software companies to bicycle manufacturers to poultry producers to call centers — and frankly every small business in between. The DeFazio/Kaptur compromise would drive down the cost of extending the Bush tax cuts while more effectively promoting job creation than could ever result from extending the tax cuts for the top two individual tax brackets. This effort to reward small businesses that are operating in the best interests of our nation is not only right for them — it’s right for all American workers and the American economy. Of course companies don’t have to meet these standards, they just wouldn’t benefit from the tax cut extension. As Defazio and Kaptur have sensitively noted, if Congress is going to extend the upper tax brackets to anyone, it should be to small businesses that create American jobs and generally use American goods and materials. Importantly, the consequent loss of tax revenue to the Treasury associated with this proposal would be far outweighed by the long-term benefit to the overall economy from the positive ripple effects of directly stimulating these small businesses. The several “Make it in America” bills which the Democrats have already advanced in the House would, if they ever get through the Senate, be of exceptional benefit to our struggling economy. But DeFazio/Kaptur would, on its own, generate very positive outcomes. (Over time, the ‘answer’ to the Bush tax cuts issue – and to all individual and small business taxation issues – is a tax system with more brackets and thus more stratification, so that the super-rich pay higher rates, instead of a tax system that has a family or small business that earns $250,000 a year paying at the same tax rate as a family or business earning tens of millions of dollars.) Let me close by offering the hope that the wisdom of Reps. DeFazio and Kaptur, and of their like-minded colleagues, can overcome the ongoing nonsensical opposition in Congress to thoughtful tax reform and job creation initiatives — opposition of the sort that we are seeing in the Senate right now related to two bills also with very sound concepts. The first of these bills would give companies — all companies — a break on the employer share of the Social Security payroll tax for creating new jobs in the United States. The other bill, introduced by Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL), would provide tax breaks to U.S. companies that bring jobs home from abroad, and would end certain tax credits, deductions and deferrals for U.S. companies that move jobs overseas. In the first bill, in order to get such tax relief, a company would simply have to certify that a new U.S. worker is replacing an employee who’d been working overseas. In the second bill, in a very simple way we would, as Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has said, be “taking away the incentives corporations now have to send our jobs overseas, and giving them powerful new incentives to keep American jobs in America.” Yet Republicans say, with no supporting evidence whatsoever, that these measures “wouldn’t do anything to create jobs on U.S. shores.” Even more unbelievably, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus, a Democrat for Heaven’s sake, says that these two bills would “put the United States at a competitive disadvantage.” (Of course, Senator Baucus, this is the same United States that today already has the largest trade deficit in the history of the world and real unemployment of 20%.) No surprise, but disappointing nonetheless, on the very same day that the senior Senator from Montana was effectively dissing unemployed American workers in those states which don’t have the luxury of only 4% unemployment (as Montana does), the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable of CEOs sent letters to all Senators urging them to vote against both Senate bills, while urging them to extend the expiring Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthiest of American taxpayers. Here’s hoping, Congressman DeFazio and Congresswoman Kaptur, that your proposed ‘tax compromise’ becomes a model for everyone in Congress, starting with John Boehner and Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, and that even the Democrats’ own Senator Max Baucus sees its wisdom and the wisdom behind the entire Make it in America legislative agenda. It wouldn’t hurt to also see the White House get beyond its own rhetoric and proactively address – head-on – the challenge of job creation in the America, starting with an enthusiastic embrace of DeFazio/Kaptur and its related job creating legislation. Leo Hindery, Jr. is Chairman of the US Economy/Smart Globalization Initiative at the New America Foundation and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Currently an investor in media companies, he is the former CEO of Tele-Communications, Inc. (TCI), Liberty Media and their successor AT&T Broadband. He also serves on the Board of the Huffington Post Investigative Fund.

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Herbert M. Allison: The Untold Story of TARP

October 3, 2010

TARP has become a dirty word in our nation’s political discourse. Few terms elicit such anger from voters and politicians. In many ways, that’s understandable. No one wanted to bail out Wall Street. No one wanted to use taxpayer dollars to rescue an industry that helped cause the worst economic crisis in a generation. It was unfair. It was appalling. But it was necessary. We had no other choice. Two years ago, we stood at the brink of an economic catastrophe. Ordinary American families were questioning whether their money was safe in banks. A growing financial panic threatened to sink our nation into an economic downturn that rivaled the Great Depression. A bi-partisan majority in Congress responded by enacting the Troubled Asset Relief Program. The debate over this issue was heated. On October 3, 2008, when TARP became law, one member of Congress even went so far as to say, “I don’t think it is too much of a stretch to say this may be the day America died.” Two years later, with TARP officially set to expire today, it’s an appropriate time to look back and evaluate that program’s effectiveness. And now that the fog of an intense financial panic has lifted, it’s clear that the critics and cynics were wrong. TARP has proven remarkably successful at stabilizing the economy and laying the foundation for future growth. Today, our economy is healing. Because of the enormity of the challenges we faced, unemployment is still unacceptably high and growth has not yet reached an acceptable pace. But we’re on the path to recovery. Businesses have added jobs for eight straight months. Private investment and confidence in banks have returned. The cost of borrowing for businesses, municipalities and individuals has declined dramatically. The TARP investments that the Bush and Obama administrations made in GM and Chrysler, as well as the hard decisions that those companies made to adapt and compete, turned those automakers around and saved at least one million jobs. Since GM and Chrysler emerged from bankruptcy, the auto industry has added 76,300 jobs – the strongest growth in 10 years – and for the first time since 2004, all of the big three American auto companies are operating profitably. In fact, independent experts have estimated that overall, without the federal government’s response to the financial crisis, including TARP, there would be nearly 8.5 million fewer jobs today and the unemployment rate would exceed 15 percent. The question, then, is why does TARP remain unpopular, despite its success? I believe, in great part, it’s because a number of myths about the program stubbornly persist. Many people think that TARP cost $700 billion. But Treasury is now confident that the lifetime cost to taxpayers will be less than $50 billion. Repayments have continued to exceed expectations. Three-fourths of the TARP funds provided to banks have already been returned. And the exit strategy AIG announced last week puts taxpayers in a considerably stronger position to recoup our investment in that company. Many people think that TARP funds only went to Wall Street. But more than 450 small and community banks participated in TARP, which helped them deliver credit to local small businesses and families. Additionally, more than 3.3 million struggling homeowners have had an opportunity to stay in their homes or find more affordable alternatives because of foreclosure prevention programs either financed by TARP or created as a result of TARP in the private sector. Many people think that TARP created a precedent for future bailouts. But President Obama and Treasury Secretary Geithner worked tirelessly with Congress to enact the Dodd-Frank Act, which will ensure that the American people are never again put on the hook for the reckless acts of a few financial firms. That law gives the government new tools to shut down and dismember failing institutions rather than bail them out with taxpayer dollars. Unfortunately, the untold story of TARP’s success has been lost in the heated rhetoric of today’s politics. TARP was enacted in an all-too-rare moment of bipartisan cooperation in Washington – with support from both sides of the aisle, including from Republican leaders Representative John Boehner and Senator Mitch McConnell. The Bush Administration began the implementation of TARP and the Obama Administration is finishing the job. Now, many of those who supported TARP have decided that, politically, they need to be against it. But removed from the pressures of a November election, these individuals should be proud of the hard choices they made to help save our economy from a devastating collapse. And perhaps someday they’ll say what is now, for them, the unspeakable: TARP was a success. Herb Allison served as Assistant Secretary for Financial Stability from 2009 until September 30, 2010 at the US Department of the Treasury, where he oversaw the TARP program.

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Job-Creation Idea No. 4: Put Those Young People To Work

September 24, 2010

(Part of Huffington Post’s America Needs Jobs series; see the introduction .) There are two age groups that have been particularly devastated by the deep and ongoing unemployment crisis in America: Young people who can’t get their first job, and old people who fear they’ve had their last. The older workers who’ve been laid off present society with a real pickle. It’s very hard for them to find jobs that fit their skills and experience — and they face plenty of age discrimination to boot. There are no easy answers for them — though we’ll explore the problem further in the coming days. By contrast, there is a relatively simple solution for the vastly larger number of young people who can’t find jobs in the first place: Put them to work doing something. Anything. You don’t even have to pay them that much. There are nearly 4 million people ages 16 to 24 who are not in school and are looking for work but can’t find it. That’s an unemployment rate of 18.1 percent. And that doesn’t even count the 1.5 million or so more (another 6 or 7 percent) who have given up the job hunt entirely. “Young people have been getting killed in the labor market,” says Heidi Shierholz, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute. According to the latest monthly job numbers, while 16- to 24-year olds make up only 13.6 percent of the labor force, they account for 25.6 percent of the total unemployed. “The numbers are quite stunning about how much of the brunt of the recession is borne by young workers,” said Harry Holzer, an economist at Georgetown University. And what makes it even worse is that they aren’t able to bounce back once the immediate crisis is over. “Recently, there’s been a lot of evidence about how they get scarred when they try to enter the labor market in the middle of a bad recession,” he said. “They’re going to be badly hurt by this. If they do connect to the market, it’s likely they’ll get a worse job than they otherwise would have gotten. And it may be impossible for them to ever make up for the loss. Their whole profile has been shifted down. “Anything we can do for them that gives them some combination of paid work experience and skill enhancements is really best for them,” Holzer told The Huffington Post. The ideal solution is a program where they get a credential, or some job-training, and to that end Holzer supports government funding to subsidize apprenticeships and on-the-job training. But any kind of public service employment, “even if there isn’t a huge component of skill building” is still better than nothing for young people who don’t have any other options. Late last year, the Center for American Progress issued a report calling for a new commitment to national service , particularly aimed at poverty services — sort of a kill-two-birds-with-one-stone” approach. “[N]ational service is as much about unlocking potential as it is about meeting needs,” the report said. “It is not just a strategy to create short-term jobs, but rather a proven pathway to create long-term employment opportunities for youth who might otherwise remain jobless or employed in dead-end, low-skill jobs.” CAP’s bottom line: “[F]or less than $1.5 billion, Congress could engage close to 150,000 individuals in national service for a one-year term of service at a cost of less than $14,000 per member.” Specifically, the report recommended increased investment in AmeriCorps , VISTA , and youth groups like YouthBuild : YouthBuild is an example of a youth corps model that focuses on secondary education. YouthBuild members rebuild their lives while rebuilding low-income housing. Participants are 16 to 24 years of age and face multiple challenges…. AmeriCorps engages recent college graduates and veterans in public service while also providing substantial funds for youth corps and other program models. All AmeriCorps members receive Segal AmeriCorps Education Awards when they complete their terms of service. These awards can be used to pay back loans or pay for college or graduate school….. VISTA participants — about half of whom have some college experience or a college degree — build the capacity of non-profit agencies while receiving a poverty-level living allowance, health and childcare benefits, and Segal AmeriCorps Education Awards. VISTAs help nonprofits raise funds, develop new programs, build community partnerships, and recruit and manage volunteers. In short, they could greatly increase nonprofit organizations’ capacity to serve low-income people affected by the economic downturn as well as the long-term poor. Former CEO Leo Hindery recently made this proposal in his Huffington Post blog: For the 3 to 5 million unemployed out-of-school youth, a group that burgeons in size every summer when another 6.4 million young people graduate from high school and college, a broad-based Municipal Youth Initiative that draws from our previous successful experiences with VISTA and CETA. Yale economist Robert J. Shiller is calling for a New Deal-style approach that doesn’t just create jobs, but inspires the public: Consider one of the most applauded of Roosevelt’s programs, the Civilian Conservation Corps, from 1933 to 1942. The program was open to young men, initially those 18 to 25, a group that was quite vulnerable economically. The C.C.C. emphasized labor-intensive projects like planting trees. The public appreciated the tree planting because the projects addressed big problems that had been ignored. Major dust storms in and around Oklahoma raged from 1930 to 1936, denuding whole regions of agricultural land. The storms were vivid evidence of an externality that environmentalists had warned about for years, to little avail. Unregulated farming and lumbering had allowed pervasive soil erosion. Aside from the environmental benefits, the C.C.C. encouraged a sense of camaraderie, taught young men new skills and gave its workers a sense of participation in something historic. Congress has recently set plans for tripling the size of AmeriCorps, the modern counterpart of the C.C.C., which now takes both sexes and has no age cap. At its peak, the C.C.C. employed 500,000 young men. Under current plans, AmeriCorps would top out at 250,000 people in 2017, even though the nation now is two and a half times larger. We ought to be bolder. It was the passage of the late Senator Ted Kennedy’s national service bill last April that paved the way for the tripling of Americorps — but that’s actually by 2017. Part of former union leader Andy Stern ‘s overall jobs plan is “Full Employment for Our Children: AmeriCorps and the Kennedy National Service bill ‘On Steroids’.” Till von Wachter , an economics professor at Columbia University, made another important point in his testimony before the Joint Economic Committee in May, namely that young people will need to be flexible — and mobile — to take full advantage of job opportunities as the economy improves. To help with that, he recommends funding career counseling and job training now, “to provide new skills appropriate for a changed labor market situation” in the future. For instance: Subsidies could be given for programs involving on-the-job training, which provide work experience and direct contact with employers; subsidies could be given for enrollment in Community College courses; or vouchers could be provided that allow workers to choose ways to up-grade skills on the private markets. Across the country, the American Dream seems increasingly out of reach. But nowhere is it in greater danger than among today’s unemployed young people, who threaten to become a lost generation. For these young people, especially those at the bottom of the economic ladder, a year-long job in public service could make the difference between a life of employment and a life of unemployment. At $14,000 a pop, doesn’t that sounds pretty cheap? ************************* COMING MONDAY IN THE AMERICA NEEDS JOBS SERIES: Green Is Good (Want to learn more about the series? Read the overview . Got an idea you think we may have overlooked? Email froomkin@huffingtonpost.com . ) ************************* Dan Froomkin is senior Washington correspondent for the Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail , bookmark his page ; subscribe to RSS feed , follow him on Twitter , friend him on Facebook , and/or become a fan and get e-mail alerts when he writes.

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Peter Diamandis: Congratulations to the Winners of the $10 Million Progressive Insurance Automotive X PRIZE

September 16, 2010

For those who have followed the Progressive Insurance Automotive X PRIZE , today has been a long time coming.  Our vision from the start was to reinvent the paradigm for cars the public can drive. We wanted to ensure that these cars were fast, affordable, safe and achieved more than 100 MPGe (miles per gallon equivalent) — a new way to directly compare the efficiency of gasoline to electric and other alternative fueled vehicles.  This adventure began in early 2006, when we first developed the concept for this Incentive Prize.  It was officially announced in March 2008, with Progressive Insurance as the competition’s title sponsor.  More than 130 vehicles from around the world registered to participate.  This past summer, we tested the finalist at Michigan International Speedway, all competing for a $10 million purse and one shared goal: to develop viable and super, fuel-efficient vehicles that meet or exceed 100 MPGe. We spent this morning in the nation’s capital at The Historical Society of Washington, D.C. to announce the three winning vehicles among others that will impact our future driving experience.  Joining us on stage were Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi; the President’s Science Advisor, Dr. John Holdren; Senator Mark R. Warner; Representative Edward Markey; Deputy Secretary of Energy , Daniel Poneman; and of course, Progressive Insurance CEO Glenn Renwick.  While our event backdrop was all about history, we came together to celebrate the future and the innovations of companies that have advanced their own automotive technologies because of their role in this competition. We awarded $5 million to the competition’s Mainstream Class (seats four) category winner and $2.5 million each to the two Alternative Class (seats two) winners, one with tandem seating and one with traditional side-by-side seating. Edison2 LLC , based in Charlottesville, Va., won the $5 million mainstream class with its Very Light Car.  This forward-looking, truly aerodynamic vehicle weighs less than 750 pounds and boasts a drag coefficient that is half of what is considered the best today.  In the competition, the Very Light Car achieved just more than 100 MPGe and passed all safety and emissions criteria- made even more remarkable with the knowledge that the car runs on E85 ethanol. Li-ion Motors , based in Mooresville, N.C., won the $2.5 million alternative side-by-side class with its Wave II vehicle.  This battery electric urban car was built on a lightweight aluminum chassis and includes a highly efficient battery package and aerodynamic features that enabled it to achieve 187 MPGe in on-track testing. X-Tracer , based in Uster, Switzerland, won the $2.5 million alternative tandem class with its E-Tracer 7009 vehicle.  The E-Tracer features two stabilizer wheels that automatically drop at low speeds or during sharp turns.  It includes room for two in-line passengers and weekend baggage, and held the record high for efficiency in the competition, coming in at 197 MPGe. While some may consider the competition over, for the winning teams the journey has just begun. Indeed, they will immediately begin leveraging their winning status, prize money and connections made over the course of the competition to catapult their vehicle into the consumer market.  It will not be easy, but I know these teams can, and will, make it happen.  Just like Burt Rutan and Paul Allen were able to take their winning vehicle, SpaceShipOne, from the Ansari X PRIZE and move it forward into commercialization through a $250 million commitment from Sir Richard Branson to create Virgin Galactic, so too, do we wish these winning teams great success in their next steps towards commercialization. We’ve seen a shift in the market since we first launched this competition, and a greater awareness by the American people to think more seriously about the actions we take, and how they affect our environment.  We have also seen a rise in acceptance of the MPGe model used in our competition, a new benchmark in measuring fuel economy. MPGe has the advantage of public familiarity. That is why our partner, Consumer Reports, has joined us in championing MPGe as a robust, transparent and fuel neutral standard that consumers can use to make apples-to-apples comparisons of such next-generation vehicles to the cars they drive today. Edison2, X-Tracer and Li-ion Motors will have the greatest impact.  Their vehicles are set to revolutionize fuel efficiency, as well as the auto industry, because the beauty of this X PRIZE is not just the cars – it is also the technology. Working together, the X PRIZE Foundation and Progressive Insurance have strived to change the paradigm of “mainstream” vehicles by providing a global platform focused on engine efficiency, increased vehicle power, acceleration, safety and increased fuel economy. The innovative technologies brought forth in this competition were astounding and further proved the purpose behind prize competitions — to make the impossible possible. We were not looking for incremental changes or long-term strategies.  The competition’s structure demanded breakthrough thinking that would literally disrupt the industry and produce an accelerated wave to push it ahead in leaps and bounds.  To quote Bob Marley, “it takes a revolution to make a solution.” Congratulations to the winners of the Progressive Insurance Automotive X PRIZE and to all the participating teams.  Even those teams who achieved 80 or 90 MPGe will also make a huge impact in the marketplace.  Personally, I’m looking forward to driving these vehicles in the near future and hope you will as well!

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Dem Polls Make Case For Middle Class Tax Cuts, Dems Unconvinced

September 15, 2010

Democrats in the Senate are considering allowing a vote on extending all of the Bush tax cuts in an effort to win Republican support to extend only the middle-class rates, leadership aides said on Wednesday. Multiple polling memos are circulating on the Hill in an effort to persuade skeptical Democrats facing close races that extending the cuts for the middle class, while allowing rates to rise on the wealthy, is a political winner. Democrats are concerned that by holding merely a vote on extending tax cuts for those making $250,000 or less, conservative Democrats and Republicans would say they opposed the extension because it would raise taxes during rough economic times. But by allowing a vote on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell’s (R-Ky.) plan to extend all the tax cuts, moderate Republicans and Democrats would be given cover. They could tell constituents they voted to extend all of the tax cuts, but the effort failed. The only choice left was to extend the middle-class tax cuts or let them all expire. Two leadership aides HuffPost spoke to thought the plan had a less than 50 percent chance of winning Republicans over. It’s a difficult issue for Democrats and those who are running close races have urged the party not to take up the vote before the election. The fear is that Republicans will find a small-businessman — it only takes one — and sit him before a camera, fretting that tax hikes will make it harder for him to hire people. Even Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, running a tight race in Nevada, avoided saying at his press briefing Tuesday that he supports allowing the tax cuts for the wealthy to expire, answering in a round-about way. “Do you support President Obama’s tax plan personally, and would you vote for increasing taxes on families making over $250,000 a year?” Reid was asked. “We’re going to have a procedure during this period of time,” Reid said. “I’ve worked with Senator McConnell to come up with something reasonable that we can move forward on these tax issues. And I’m happy to do that. We have — it appears, at this stage, we have two issues. One is taking care of the middle class and the other is taking care of the millionaires. It’s pretty easy to understand where I am on that.” The reporter followed up to ask what specifically he supported. “I support the $250,000. I’ve said so many times,” he said. By allowing a vote on all of the tax cuts, Democrats hope to cut through the reluctance to raise taxes on the wealthy. Democratic consultants argue that Republicans who vote against extending the tax cuts could be successfully accused of “holding the middle class hostage” — a condemnation introduced Friday by President Obama at his press briefing. “The president strikes a strongly responsive chord with the public when he says that securing the middle-class tax cuts should not be held hostage to partisan wrangling about what to do with earners in the top income rate,” writes pollster Geoff Garin in a memo obtained by HuffPost that is circulating among Democrats on the Hill. “A decision by Republicans to block action on the middle-class tax cuts as a tactic to get their way on the tax cuts for those at the very top would be a untenable position for the GOP, especially given that voters already view it as a party that cares more about the wealthy than it does about the needs and struggles of the middle class.” Democrats are still divided over how to move forward and no consensus emerged after a party-wide meeting of senators over lunch Tuesday, though there was strong support for voting on extending the middle-class tax cuts before the election in November, aides said. A minority wanted a vote on extending the tax cuts for everyone making a million or less and others want no vote at all until after the election. “Everybody’s got a different pollster that’s telling them different things,” said one top Democratic aide. McConnell spokesman Don Stewart noted that the only tax-cut bill introduced so far is McConnell’s. Democrats, he said, are reluctant to put their name on any bill that raises taxes on anyone. “There is a growing number of Dems who just don’t want to deal with this,” Stewart said, citing Joe Manchin’s recent opposition to the president’s plan. Manchin is among several incumbents and challengers facing election in November to support extending all the tax cuts. On Tuesday night, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) made the case for moving forward with a vote on extending the middle-class cuts and allowing those for the wealthy to expire, backed up by polling presented by GQR’s Stan Greenberg. But on Wednesday morning, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said he was “prepared to discuss alternatives so we can move forward,” referring to extending all of the tax cuts. A second polling memo, circulating on the Hill in conjunction with the White House push, cites internal polling to make the case that extending the middle-class tax cuts is the right move politically. “The president’s recent proposal to extend tax cuts for the middle class, while letting the Bush tax cuts expire for the wealthy, is a smart political move for a number of reasons: 1) it enjoys rising public support; 2) it protects against the loss of swing independents; 3) it allows Democrats to drive a contrast with the GOP; and 4) it allows Democrats to address voters’ overlapping economic concerns,” offers the memo, which was obtained by HuffPost and written by John Anzalone and Mark Keida of Anzalone Liszt Research. “Recent internal polling conducted by GQR shows independents favoring the Democratic position on taxes by a 53% to 38% margin. Recent battleground polling conducted by Anzalone Liszt Research shows 40% to 50% of voters siding with the president’s position, compared to about one-third for the GOP position,” offers the memo, arguing that “the president’s plan helps protect against the exodus of swing independents to the Republican Party this cycle.” The Anzalone researchers find solid support for the plan to extend the middle-class tax cuts: “A majority (56%) opposes extending tax cuts for the top 2% of Americans (36% support this) according to a recent CBS poll. This includes a plurality of Republicans (48% to 46%) who believe we should let tax cuts expire for the rich. When asked specifically about the plan to extend tax cuts for the middle class, pluralities support the president’s plan. The most recent USA Today/Gallup poll from late August finds 44% support the president’s plan, compared to 37% who want to extend all taxes and 15% who want to let all taxes expire. This compares to older polls showing a deficit.” Garin cites polling showing that when the tax cuts are described in terms of priorities — extending the tax cuts versus investing in jobs or reducing the deficit — support for letting them expire at 60 percent and above among all voters, and higher among independents and Democrats. (Even 55% of Republicans support letting tax cuts for the wealthy expire in order to invest the money in incentives for business hiring.) When the tax cuts are not viewed through the prism of competing priorities, however, extending them becomes more popular. Fifty-three percent of all voters supported extending all the Bush tax cuts for two years, when asked the question in isolation. “Whatever disagreements there might be about the top income rate, Americans want the middle-class tax cuts made permanent. President Obama’s argument that we should get that job done now is politically and substantively compelling, and it gives Democrats a chance to play offense rather than defense. As John Boehner apparently has recognized, holding the middle-class tax cuts hostage to tax cuts for those at the top is a position the Republicans simply cannot sustain for long,” writes Garin. If everything collapses and nothing gets done, leadership aides in both parties think 2011 may see a debate on comprehensive tax reform, as the deficit commission recommendations, estate tax expiration, Bush tax cuts, alternative minimum tax and a variety of corporate tax and investment credits will all need to be dealt with. (Unless Congress rams it all through during the lame-duck session.) White House talking points, which were passed on to HuffPost, echo the strategy of painting Republicans, and McConnell in particular, as favoring the wealthy at the expense of the deficit. Talking Points: Republicans Aren¹t Serious About the Deficit · Today¹s Washington Post provides further evidence that the Republican Party, after turning a record surplus under President Clinton into record deficits, still cannot be trusted to come up with a serious solution to control spending and reduce the nation¹s deficit. Instead, the only thing they’re willing to offer are the same failed economic policies that created the mess we’re in. · Outlining Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell¹s tax plan, the paper finds that his call to permanently extend the Bush tax cuts for America¹s millionaires and billionaires would nearly double the projected deficit by adding $4 trillion to it over the next decade. And they’re pretending that they would pay for it through a projected spending freeze, that fails to mention what they would freeze or cut, and that would only save $300 billion over that same period of time. · Senator McConnell’s apparent solution to our economic challenges is to go back to the same economic policies that created the mess that has weakened the economy and left middle class families hurting: tax cuts for millionaires and billionaires who aren’t asking for one. But during these challenging economic times, we simply can’t afford to borrow another $700 billion over the next decade to give an average tax cut of $100,000 to Americans making over $1 million per year. · Looking at a plan similar to Senator McConnell’s, the nonpartisan CBO found that it would force the American people to borrow an additional $3.9 trillion over the next decade, while increasing payments on the national debt by $950 billion. Those numbers have a projected deficit impact that’s four times greater than health care reform and the stimulus package combined ­ two proposals the Republican Party fought strongly against because of the supposed long-term damage they would cause to the deficit. · Unfortunately, this lack of seriousness shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone. If the Republican Party has been clear about anything over the past 19 months, it’s that they’re far more interested in political games and standing up for big special interests than offering serious solutions to our nation’s problems. · Despite all of their bluster about deficits and out of control spending, it’s clear that the Republican Party hasn’t changed and still has no viable plan to fix either problem. Senator McConnell’s tax plan would only increase our nation’s deficit and do absolutely nothing to grow our economy, put people back to work and strengthen America¹s middle class. Instead, it would take us back to the same exact failed economic policies that created the mess we¹re in: cut taxes for millionaires and billionaires; cut rules for the special interests and big corporations and cut the middle class loose to fend for itself. · Are these really the people we want to put in charge of our economy?

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Small-Business Aid Bill Advances In Senate, Dems Praise Voinovich

September 14, 2010

A bill to help support lending to small businesses advanced in the Senate on Tuesday, clearing a critical Republican hurdle. The vote was 61-37. The legislation would establish a $30 billion lending fund and provide $12 billion in tax cuts for small businesses. Senate Democrats estimate the legislation would create 500,000 small business jobs. Democrats succeeded in securing the support of Sen. George Voinovich (R-Ohio), and his stated reasons for backing the measure says a lot about the state of the U.S. Senate: “We don’t have time for messaging,” Voinovich told the Washington Post . “We don’t have time anymore. This country is really hurting.” Democrats, for their part, were quick to lavish him with praise. “I just wanted to say publicly, I so admire [Voinovich] for saying he was going to do this,” Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) told reporters Tuesday before the vote. “If this all happens today I just want to say to Senator Voinovich, ‘Thank you for putting your country first, ahead of politics, and for putting small businesses and workers of our country first’.” Under the new legislation small business can write off 50 percent of the cost for new equipment and as much as $500,000 in capital investments. Tuesday’s vote ends legislative debate on the measure, which is expected to proceed to a final vote by the end of the week.

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Unions for the Jobless: Unemployed People Find Solidarity Online

September 14, 2010

When Charlene Troyer of Chicago, Illinois, was laid off from her job as an environmental manager for a garbage collection company in November 2009, she felt like there weren’t many people she could turn to for moral support. Her parents had never been unemployed and all four of her grandparents had kept their jobs through the Great Depression. “This was a whole new territory for them,” she told HuffPost. “One set of grandparents were self-employed farmers, and the other side worked for the postal service, so they never saw any job loss. They thought people who were unemployed had issues because of something they had done. They had no concept of a bad economy.” After several months of missing mortgage payments, trying to support three children on a $450-a-week unemployment check and watching her credit become ruined beyond repair, she says she decided to look for support groups online. “The depression just gets so bad,” she told HuffPost. “You look at the stack of bills and decide what the heck you’re gonna pay and how the heck you’re gonna afford food. My self confidence and dignity have been compromised.  I have failed my obligations to support my family and provide for them. It helps to talk to people who are going through the same thing.” Troyer says she found a Facebook organization called “Extend Unemployment Benefits” , where jobless people from across the country gather to offer support and advice to each other, discuss the latest in unemployment news, and rally together to petition Congress to extend unemployment benefits. One active group member, Brian Yeagle, uses the site regularly to motivate other unemployed people to vote and call their senators. “I have been on the phone for the last 3 hours straight calling Senator’s offices, pushing the message Tier 5 to Survive!!” Yeagle wrote on the page Monday. “Please continue to call, email, and fax today and everyday, this is the only way we are gonna make this work…. Please don’t give up now!!” Other members use the site as a venue to creatively express their frustrations. “How am I to stand up and enjoy the pride of being a father who cannot provide?” Lance Sievert wrote on the group discussion board. “My head has fallen, my eyes are cast downward. Where is the man that not so long ago could hold his head high, whose blue eyes were framed in an uplifted brow and who walked with a spring and urgency? He was not real? He was only so as is given by the contentness (sic) and security of being employed.” A number of support groups for the unemployed have sprung up online since 2008, reflecting a strong need for solidarity and commiseration among the jobless during this excruciatingly drawn-out period of high U.S. unemployment. On Unemployed-Friends.com , administrators post information about pending legislation for benefits and job creation, employment networking, job opportunities and schooling grants. On JoblessJoe.com , a more discussion based online community, people can share their personal unemployment stories, ask for feedback on their resumés and find money-saving tips from others in a tight financial situation. For some users, like Troyer, the sense of community in these online support groups is so strong that they are staying active on the sites long after they become re-employed. Troyer, who finally found a job in July making about $17,000 less than she was making in her previous job, said she continues to offer support and advice to people on the “Extend Unemployment Benefits” Facebook page because it gives her a sense of purpose, even though her own financial situation has improved. “When people have interviews, I cheer them on and give them advice as far as how to answer questions. It helps me to respond to other people because I can see they’re in worse shape than I am,” she said. “Helping them helps me.”

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Bailed-Out Banks Finance ‘Legalized Loan Shark’ Payday Lenders, Says New Report

September 14, 2010

Big banks that received TARP bailout money are funding payday lenders — companies Senator Dick Durbin (D – Ill.) termed ” bottom feeders ” — and which charge high interest rates and fees for short-term loans, according to a report released Tuesday. The banks, which include Wells Fargo, Bank of America and JP Morgan, currently provide roughly $1.5 billion in credit lines to publicly-held payday loan companies and between $2.5 to $3 billion to the larger payday loan industry, says the report, which was issued jointly by community group network National People’s Action and non-partisan watchdog Public Accountability Initiative. The payday lenders, including Advance America, Cash America and ACE Cash Express, which allow customers to borrow against future paychecks, and which, according to the report, charge an average interest rate of 455 percent on top of fees of $15-18 per $100 loaned, often depend on the big banks’ financing for their business. “The very same banks that helped tank the economy and then needed hundreds of billions of dollars in taxpayer-funded bailouts are now aiding the bottom-feeders of the financial industry, as they seek–the payday lenders–to strip even more wealth away from everyday Americans,” NPA executive director George Goehl, who also called payday lending “legalized loan sharking,” said in a telephone press conference. “If Al Capone was alive today you might even get a better loan from him.” (Goehl is also a HuffPost blogger) The report, called “The Predators’ Creditors,” which features a picture of three sharks on the cover, says that some banks abstain from business with payday lenders because of what Advance America itself calls “reputational risks.” The report also notes, though, that some of these payday lenders have ties to Wall Street. For example, the board of Advance America includes former executives from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse. PAI co-director Kevin Connor, who co-authored the report, said in the press conference that big banks are attracted to the payday loan industry because “Americans were losing their jobs and homes in record numbers but they still had their family treasure to borrow against” Connor also noted that the big banks themselves pay close to zero interest when they borrow from the Fed, a stark contrast to the high interest rates paid by consumers. NPA and PAI are calling for an end to these credit lines from banks. Goehl said a protest campaign will launch today in Ohio and continue in Iowa, Kansas, Missouri and Illinois through next week, culminating in a meeting of the organizers in Chicago. “This report is really the beginning, not the end,” he said.

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David Isenberg: Earth to Pentagon: Follow the Freaking Money!

September 12, 2010

It’s time to take another look at the wonderful, wacky world of government regulation of military contractors. By now it should be a no brainer that the marketplace for private military and security contractors (PMSC), as well as regular, conventional military industrial contractors only works as well as there is an adequate, experienced, knowledgeable, government acquisition work force capable of doing proper auditing. And since so much of PMSC work — billions and billions of dollars as Carl Sagan would have said, if he were still alive– is done under a Pentagon contract it is only reasonable to ask how well the Pentagon does auditing. The short answer is not very well, according to a report released Sep. 7 by Sen. Charles Grassley (R-Iowa), a long time DOD IG watchdog. The report, OVERSIGHT REVIEW OF AUDIT REPORTING BY THE DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE, OFFICE OF INSPECTOR GENERAL was initiated after Senator Grassley received a series of anonymous letters alleging mismanagement, low productivity, and misconduct within the Department of Defense (DOD) Inspector General’s (OIG) Audit Office. Actually, “not very well” is being kind to the IG. Here is how the report’s introduction puts it: Early-on in the review, the staff identified one all-important, central element that is adversely affecting every facet of the OIG audit program — the DOD’s broken accounting system. This dysfunctional system is driving the audit freight train. The success or failure of an audit turns on the quality of financial data available for audit by competent examiners. Unfortunately, the quality of the financial data presented to OIG auditors by DOD during the period reviewed by the staff should probably be rated as poor to non-existent. Having lost control of the money at the transaction level, DOD’s broken accounting system is incapable of generating accurate financial records. The consequences are predictable. Most of the time, OIG auditors report: “no audit trail” found. The OIG Audit Office has allowed the “no audit trail” scenario to hinder and, in some cases, to obstruct the completion of credible audits. The situation is so bad that OIG senior managers readily admit that existing audit teams are no longer able to conduct full-scope, end-to-end contract audits. Auditors no longer verify payments at the primary source – the Defense Finance and Accounting Service (DFAS). . “It’s impossible …. We can’t do it,” they say. If the OIG Audit Office is not checking payments and matching them with contracts and deliveries, it will never find much fraud and waste. OIG Audit needs to be on the “money trail” 24/7. That is where most fraud occurs. To get contract audit oversight back on track, OIG Audit needs to re-tool and create much larger audit teams – consisting of 25, 50, or 100 auditors — to tackle DOD’s most egregious contract problems. Today’s small teams, consisting of 5 or 10 auditors, are slow to publish reports and are simply not up to the demanding “audit trail reconstruction” task encountered on most jobs. Instead of searching for fraud on the “money trail,” OIG auditors have strayed far from the core mission. Now, they frequently review DOD policies and procedures, which yields zero benefits to the taxpayers. They deserve the title: “DOD Policy Police.” Discovering that the DOD IG no longer does genuine contract audits was a startling revelation but one that helps to explain why 765 OIG auditors could not document any measurable fraud in FY 2009. Continuing the status quo is unacceptable. It is nothing short of astonishing to read that a DOD auditor “needs to be on the “money trail” 24/7.” As Homer Simpson would say, Duh! Or as legendary bank robber Willy Sutton said in his autobiography “Go where the money is…and go there often.” Now, admittedly much of what the DOD IG does is to audit weapons contracts, which is not what most PMSC contractors do. But it also looks at professional services contracts, which does include PMSC. For example: In FY 2009, ACM [DOD IG's Acquisition and Contract Management Directorate] produced one report that probed the depths of potential fraud and almost qualifies as a credible IG Act core mission contract audit. It may be one of ACM’s best pieces of work in FY 2009, but like all the others, it was incomplete and inconclusive. It failed to close the loop and nail down all the pertinent facts. This audit is entitled “U.S. Air Forces Central War Reserve Material Contract” [report no. D-2009-108]. ACM personnel examined a cost-plus-award-fee contract awarded to DynCorp. The total contract value was $621 million and was in effect from April 2000 to September 2008. The contractor was responsible for managing pre-positioned war reserve materials (WRM) at storage sites in Southwest Asia. The most troublesome findings were buried deep in the body of the report. These are as follows: • The contract arrangement with DynCorp was prohibited by 10USC2306[a]; • Once Operation Enduring Freedom caused a major surge in WRM requirements far beyond the scope of the existing contract, that contract should have been terminated in FY 2002-03 and recompeted; • Missing documentation resulted in either no audit trail or one so complex that accountability was questionable; The lack of internal controls created an environment with “high risk” for fraud; • DynCorp was authorized to submit vouchers directly to DFAS under the Direct Billing program; DCAA was required to test and sample those transactions periodically but failed to do so; • $161.1 million was obligated without a written, binding agreement in violation of 31USC1501 ACM auditors appear to have made a good faith attempt to match payments and deliveries with contract requirements. Unfortunately, the procedure used was flawed. The auditors needed payment data, but the contracting officer (CO) did not keep copies of DynCorp’ “interim public vouchers” that were submitted for payment. So instead of going to the primary payment source – the Defense Finance and Accounting Service Centers — to verify payment data, the audit team opted for a shortcut. The auditors chose to rely on the data provided by DynCorp, the target of the audit. How did ACM know that the information provided by DynCorp was accurate and complete? How could such a procedure meet accepted government auditing standards? The report appears to imply that the vouchers, for the most part, could not be matched with the contract modification documents because the language in those documents did not specify what goods and services had to be delivered. If a payment/contract match-up was not feasible, this could be a violation of 31 USC § 1501. That law requires that a financial obligation be supported by a written, binding agreement (contractual document) that specifies what goods and services are to be delivered. Without that kind of specificity, a contract would be the equivalent of a blank check. The report stated: the “government did not know what it was paying for … The government may have paid for services DynCorp did not perform. … It may have overpaid for services.” In other words, the government did not know what it had ordered, what was delivered, or what it was actually buying or paying for. The report cited an email from the contracting officer (CO) to DynCorp that seems to say that the valve on the big DOD money spigot was wide open. In this email, the CO told the contractor: “Go ahead and send me a ‘draft P00034′ bid schedule and I will get it [the modification] done. One question, I hope you can move money in CLIN 0302 to cover as we don’t need to get any more FY 02 money. We have so far secured additional $29M for FY 03 so don’t worry about money at this point, keep spending [emphasis added], just have to put in right place.” The CO never questioned any of the contractor’s costs or cost overruns. All of this taken together appears to suggest that DynCorp may have received $161.1 million in unauthorized and/or improper or even fraudulent payments. But the report’s findings are inconclusive. The OIG recommended that DCAA go back and examine this DynCorp contract. However, bucking this audit back to DCAA made no sense whatsoever. To begin with, the report gave DCAA very poor grades for failing to watchdog DynCorp on this contract from the get-go. The DOD IG should finish the audit that it started. The OIG Audit Office should be responsible for conducting comprehensive, end-to-end audits of the 2000-2008 WRM contract as well as the new WRM contract awarded to DynCorp in June 2008, after the original 2000-08 contract was put under the audit microscope. To the extent possible, this work should attempt to determine the potential magnitude of unauthorized and/or potentially fraudulent payments to DynCorp. DOD should be asked to recover all unauthorized payments as well as proceeds from the sale of government property that have not been credited to the WRM contract. That was not the only example of problems auditing a PMC. Report No. D-2009-078 examined medical care provided to the over 225,000 contractors working in Southwest Asia. The audit revealed the health care contracts between the DOD and contractors were often vague and subject to interpretation. Thus, it was difficult to determine what medical health care could be given to injured or ill contractors. A second, more alarming finding was that the Military Treatment Facilities (MTF) in Southwest Asia did not bill and collect payments from contractors who received care at these DOD facilities. Additionally, each military component had different billing and collection processes. It was found that MTFs may have provided millions of dollars of free medical care to contractors. In short, the report indicates the DOD was losing millions of dollars in reimbursable costs. This audit should have examined a sample of cases and quantified the dollar value of those losses with precision. The DOD components concurred with the OIGs recommendations to establish a uniform billing program. A working group was created to address this issue. U.S. Central Command indicated it would need additional personnel in theatre to perform the billing functions. Again, this report probed a high-risk area that Congress and taxpayers expect the OIG to examine. DOD personnel and contractors have been in Southwest Asia since 2003. It is inexcusable that after six years of this war, in which DOD is heavily dependent on contractor support, the U.S. Central Command still does not have a procedure to deal with this billing and reimbursement issue.

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Dean Baker: Senator Simpson: He’s Not Just Offensive, He’s Ignorant

August 25, 2010

Former Wyoming Senator Alan Simpson, the co-chairman of President Obama’s deficit commission, has sparked calls for his resignation after sending an offensive and sexist note to Ashley Carson, the executive director of the Older Women’s League. While such calls are reasonable — Simpson’s comments were certainly more offensive than remarks that led to the resignation of other people from the Obama administration — the Senator’s determined ignorance about the basic facts on Social Security is an even more important reason for him to leave his position. I was also a recipient of one of Simpson’s tirades. As was the case with the note he sent to Carson, Simpson attached a presentation prepared for the commission by Social Security’s chief actuary. Simpson implied that this presentation had some especially eye-opening information that would lead Carson and myself to give up our wrong-headed views on Social Security. While I opened the presentation with great expectations, I quickly discovered there was nothing in the presentation that would not already be known to anyone familiar with the annual Social Security trustees’ report. The presentation showed a program that is currently in solid financial shape, but somewhere in the next three decades will face a shortfall due to an upward redistribution of wage income, increasing life expectancy, and slow growth in the size of the workforce. The projected shortfall is not larger than what the program has faced at prior points in its history, most notably in 1982 when the Greenspan Commission was established to restore the program’s solvency. It was disturbing to see that Simpson seemed surprised by what should have been old hat to anyone familiar with the policy debate on Social Security. After all, he had been a leading participant in these debates in his years in the Senate. Simpson’s public remarks also seem to show very little knowledge of the financial situation of the elderly or near elderly. He has repeatedly made references to retirees driving up to their gated communities in their Lexuses. While this description may apply to Simpson’s friends, it applies to very few other retirees, the vast majority of whom rely on Social Security for the bulk of their income. Cutting the benefits of the small group of genuinely affluent elderly would make almost no difference in the finances of the program. Furthermore, the baby-boom generation that is nearing retirement has seen most of its savings destroyed by the collapse of the housing bubble that both wiped out their housing equity and took a big chunk of the limited money they were able to put aside in their 401(k)s. Simpson shows no understanding of this fact as he prepares to cut benefits for near retirees. He also doesn’t seem to have a clue as to the type of work that most older people are doing. While it is possible for senators to continue in their jobs late in life, nearly half of older workers have jobs that are either physically demanding or require they work in difficult conditions . Simpson seems totally clueless on this point when he considers proposals to raise the retirement age. The key facts on Social Security are not hard to understand. The shortfall is relatively minor and distant. Most retirees have little income other than their Social Security, and most workers would find it quite difficult to stay at their jobs in their late 60s or even 70. We might have hoped that Senator Simpson understood these facts at the time when he was appointed to the commission, but we should at least expect that he would learn them on the job. His determined ignorance in the face of the facts is the most important reason why he is not qualified to serve on President Obama’s commission. Someone who is co-chairman of such an important group should be able to critically evaluate information, not just insult and demean his critics.

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Robert Kuttner: Zillions for Wall Street, Zippo for Barack’s Old Neighborhood

August 22, 2010

“The best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionately intensity.” — W.B. Yeats On Friday, the government moved to seize and temporarily shutter one of the truly heroic banking institutions of this dismal era for American finance — ShoreBank of Chicago. More precisely, ShoreBank of Barack Obama’s old neighborhood . Over the years, since its founding in 1973, ShoreBank had enabled thousands of moderate income residents to become homeowners, and thousands of small businesses to get credit, without ever playing the subprime game or making a single predatory loan. It was a model bank that earned a modest profit by delivering on a social mission. In the end, ShoreBank succumbed to the aftermath of a financial crisis made on Wall Street. Yet while the Treasury Department found hundreds of billions of dollars to rescue giant Wall Street institutions, it refused to come up with the $75 million for which ShoreBank qualified under the TARP program. A number of stories that I’ve reported about the wrongheaded priorities of the Obama administration leave me bewildered and exasperated. This one leaves me really angry. The bank will continue under new ownership and a new name, the Urban Partnership Bank, to be run by some recently hired ShoreBank executives, and which has pledged to keep the bank open and continue its basic philosophy. But owners of ShoreBank stock, which include many socially responsible investors, will have the value of their shares wiped out and the directors dismissed. And it remains to be seen whether some of ShoreBank’s social commitment will be compromised. Today, there is a whole category of bank known as a community development financial institution. This category did not exist until it was invented in 1973 by ShoreBank, then known as the South Shore National Bank. But ShoreBank did not set out to create a banking category, only to help a distressed community. Its idealistic president, Ron Grzywinski, now emeritus, had seen the effects of racial redlining first hand as a banker and community activist, and resolved to create a bank that could help the depressed South Shore neighborhood of Chicago regenerate by providing normal banking services to creditworthy borrowers. I first met Ron in 1975, when I was staffing hearings on redlining for my boss, Senator William Proxmire, then the new chairman of the Senate Banking Committee. When community groups helped us draft legislation requiring banks to disclose by zip code where they had loans, a bill that Congress passed as the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, we had the entire banking industry lobbying against the bill. The sole banker we could find to testify in favor was Ron Grzywinski. Over the years, Ron and his colleagues built a model institution, and helped to transform South Shore and other depressed communities. In 1994, the Clinton administration, impressed by the achievement, enacted legislation to help create other community development banks. ShoreBank was the alternative to the predators that worked low income neighborhoods–the subprime sharpies, offering deals that were too good to be true, preying on the dreams of working people. Fast forward to 2009. ShoreBank is caught up in a crisis not of its own making. Loans that were perfectly well collateralized when they were made are now under water because housing values have dropped. Borrowers who had bankable credit ratings are now behind on their payments because they are out of work. ShoreBank booked a loss of $36.9 million in the first half of this year. In 2009, the Treasury Department, having dumped hundreds of billions through the TARP program to rescue Wall Street–$45 billion to insolvent Citigroup alone– grudgingly created a very modest refinancing and recapitalization program to help distressed community development banks. But almost immediately, Herb Allison, the assistant treasury secretary in charge of TARP, set standards so high that hardly any can qualify. Even so, ShoreBank managed to exceed the standards set by its prime regulator, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. It raise some $150 million in new private capital, ironically much of it from the very institutions rescued by TARP, including Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo. Goldman’s CEO, Lloyd Blankfein, eager to show that he’s a white hat, personally worked the phone to raise money for ShoreBank. The money raised more than met the capital target that the FDIC had set as a condition for ShoreBank to get $75 million in TARP money (when Citi got TARP money, private investors were fleeing.) In the meantime, ShoreBank has had an exemplary record of modifying loans so that borrowers could avoid foreclosure. But in the end, the Treasury refused to put up its share of the money, requiring ShoreBank to be seized, closed, and reopened under new ownership? Why did the Treasury Department, which found almost unlimited sums for insolvent mega-banks on Wall Street, not cough up a relative pittance for ShoreBank, which was a going concern that had gotten a seal of approval from its primary regulator, the FDIC? There are a few explanations. One is that people like Tim Geithner and Herb Allison have their eyes focused on the big picture and don’t have much time or money for small fry like ShoreBank. A second is that after all of bad publicity for the first round of TARP credits to Wall Street, they have belatedly tightened their standards when it comes to community banks. But the saddest explanation is that the Treasury is bending over backwards not to help an exemplary community bank in Barack Obama’s old neighborhood, lest somebody accuse the administration of favoritism. And in fact, for weeks Republican congressman have been using Shorebank as a whipping boy. Fox News has been full of broadsides against ShoreBank . But the sacrifice of ShoreBank has done nothing to quiet the rightwing propaganda. Since the investors in the successor bank include some of the very same Wall Street banks that got aid from TARP, the rightwing storyline continues that Obama’s buddies on Wall Street are doing the administration a favor, and that this is a sweetheart deal. None of the explanations for the decision to let ShoreBank fail reflects credit on the administration. If the Treasury had one standard for the Wall Street and another for the south side of Chicago, shame on them. And if the administration failed to extend aid to a model institution serving the victims of the subprime mess in Obama’s old neighborhood for fear of Fox News, shame on the president. Appeasing the right does nothing except whet their appetite. When will the best–not the worst–display conviction, passion and intensity on behalf of a decent America? Robert Kuttner’s new book is “A Presidency in Peril.” He is co-editor of The American Prospect and a Senior Fellow at Demos.

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Alaska Stimulus Hypocrisy: State Slams Government Spending While Reaping Federal Funds

August 19, 2010

Alaskans tend to live with their contradictions in these recessionary times. No place benefits more from federal largess than this state, where the Republican governor decries “intrusive” federal policies, officials sue to overturn the health care legislation and Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, voted against the stimulus bill.

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Chris Dodd, Top Democrat, Fights Against Elizabeth Warren

August 12, 2010

This story was updated at 4:23 p.m., 5:15 p.m. and 6:30 p.m. ET. Despite the outpouring of support for bailout watchdog Elizabeth Warren’s candidacy to lead a new consumer protection agency, one prominent Democrat continues to publicly stand in her way: Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd. The Connecticut Democrat, who has lambasted lenders for taking advantage of cash-strapped borrowers and bank regulators for their poor record in protecting consumers, led the effort to get the recently-enacted financial reform law through Congress. The agency it calls for — a unit specifically charged with protecting borrowers from predatory lenders — survived attacks by the financial services industry and Republicans. It’s now hailed as one of the Obama administration’s top achievements. But now that the fight has shifted from the creation of the agency to who’s going to lead it, Dodd’s role seems to have reversed, say some financial reform advocates — rather than fighting for the toughest possible advocate to fight for consumers and families, he’s openly doubting the wisdom of that selection. And it’s not clear whether the two have even had a meeting in the last year. Elizabeth Warren, a Harvard Law professor with an expertise in bankruptcy and consumer finances, came up with the idea for the agency in a 2007 article. Courted by Congressional Democrats and the White House, she’s served as the public face of the campaign to get the idea enacted into law. And since the fall of 2008 she’s led the Congressional Oversight Panel, a watchdog agency keeping tabs on the government’s massive bailout of the financial and auto industries. More than 60 members of the House and a dozen-plus senators have urged President Barack Obama to nominate Warren for the consumer post, including House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank. So have the country’s largest unions, consumer advocacy groups, law school professors, and a handful of Republicans. Other than Dodd, not a single Democrat in national politics has publicly objected to her nomination. Dodd has said that there are questions about whether the Senate would confirm her. Warren would have to garner 60 votes to end a filibuster before the Senate could give her nomination an up-or-down vote. He’s also raised questions about her management experience, pressing that whomever is chosen to lead the new agency will need certain skills to navigate the tough bureaucratic battles sure to ensue when the consumer regulator tries to restrict a certain type of loan, for example. Supporters have knocked back those criticisms. The White House says she’s “very confirmable” — Warren was spotted leaving the White House Thursday afternoon — and Ann Brown, a former chairwoman of the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission, dismissed the management critique, arguing in an op-ed that successful agency heads routinely lack experience running large bureaucracies. Industry-friendly candidates are never questioned on this point, Brown said. Intellect matters, she argued — not bureaucratic experience. After her Thursday meeting at the White House, an Obama spokesman reiterated that Obama believes Warren is a “champion for middle class families and consumers.” No decision is imminent, the spokesman added. But Dodd persists. In interviews with Bloomberg News, Dow Jones, TPMDC and others, Dodd reiterates that she’s qualified, but that there are questions about whether the Senate would confirm her. Some involved in the legislative effort to get the bill through Congress point to Warren’s aggressive advocacy on behalf of the new agency as a sore point between the two. For months, Dodd tried to garner bipartisan support for the bill, trying to win the support of Sen. Richard Shelby, an Alabaman and the top Republican on the banking committee, and Sen. Bob Corker, a Tennessee Republican on the committee. But every time word leaked that Dodd was potentially softening his position for a tough new consumer agency, Warren publicly pushed back. In December, members of Dodd’s staff met with consumer groups and told them to prepare backup plans in case an independent consumer agency didn’t emerge from the process. What was the least they’d support, the consumer advocates were asked. Frantic e-mails and conference calls ensued as advocates worried that the agency — a centerpiece of the legislation — was in doubt. In January, after the Wall Street Journal reported that Dodd was looking to scrap the idea of an independent agency, Warren penned a letter to supporters urging them to fight. “The next few weeks will determine whether our hard work will make a difference for families or whether families will lose once again,” she wrote. In March, after news reports indicated that Dodd was looking to place the new agency inside the Federal Reserve — its ultimate location — consumer advocates worried that the new regulator’s independence would be in question. In an interview with the Huffington Post , Warren again made the fight one between banks and families, arguing that her “first choice is a strong consumer agency. My second choice is no agency at all and plenty of blood and teeth left on the floor.” A Dodd spokesman noted that the Connecticut Democrat was trying to pass the toughest legislation that would survive a Republican filibuster. Dodd also thinks very highly of Warren, the aide said, and met with her several times throughout the legislative process. Other sources disputed the characterization. “It’s not a well-kept secret that they don’t have a close relationship or confer with each other,” one consumer advocate said. “Whenever Dodd locked himself in negotiations with the Republicans over the independence of the consumer agency, she led the charge in public to keep it intact and to preserve the president’s agenda. I’m sure that ruffled some feathers.” As HuffPost reported in March , the two haven’t met to discuss the financial reform effort or the new agency since July 2009. The Dodd spokesman couldn’t provide the specific date of their last meeting and volunteered that Dodd never turned down a meeting request from Warren. A spokesman for Warren declined to comment. Consumer advocates praise Dodd for his recent effort to get the consumer agency through the Senate. But that effort could be undermined if a tough new regulator isn’t picked to lead the agency, they note. Senate aides say that Dodd’s public position on Warren’s confirmability mirrors that of the Treasury Department. A top Treasury official, Michael Barr, is among three candidates the White House has identified as potential picks. HuffPost reported last month that Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has expressed opposition to a Warren nomination. Treasury officials had told at least one senator’s office that Warren wasn’t confirmable in an effort to sway the senator’s views, according to two Senate aides. A senior administration official said that doesn’t represent Treasury’s views. Dodd’s recent advocacy against Warren isn’t the first time he’s found himself in reformers’ crosshairs. Dodd isn’t up for reelection. Other than post-Senate employers, he doesn’t have to worry about waging another public campaign and fighting for dollars and votes. Since his last Senate election in 2004, Dodd has raised about $28.3 million, according to an analysis of federal campaign records by the nonpartisan, Washington-based Center for Responsive Politics. About $13 million of that, or 46 percent, has come from the financial services and real estate industries. That’s nearly four times as much as any other individual sector has given to Dodd. As the chairman of the banking committee and a senator from a state that houses Wall Streeters and big insurance companies, Dodd has long been associated with the financial services industry. During his time on the committee, it rarely exercised the kind of tough congressional oversight that federal agencies fear. Beginning in 2007 under Dodd’s chairmanship, the committee began to hold hearings on abusive lending and the mounting subprime crisis. By then, it was too late. Which is what made his advocacy for the consumer unit so unique, those involved in the fight say. But his switch from consumer advocate to Warren foe now disappoints them, they add. Frank told HuffPost that if the questions surrounding Warren’s confirmability are real, then Obama should simply give Warren a recess appointment while Senators are out of town. The effort to get Warren nominated even compelled Dr. Phil McGraw, a television personality better known as Dr. Phil, to write an op-ed on his blog advocating her nomination. Dodd got the consumer agency through the Senate despite the many public and private pronouncements that it was near death. Whether the same thing is happening with a possible Warren nomination is a question few can answer. At 4:23 p.m. ET the story was corrected to reflect that Dodd and Warren last held a meeting in July 2009, not July 2008. It was a typo. We regret the error. At 5:15 p.m. ET the story was updated to reflect that Warren was spotted Thursday leaving the White House. And at 6:30 p.m. ET the story was updated with a White House statement. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is the business reporter for the Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

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Richard Zombeck: Massachusetts Passes Cornerstone Homeowner and Tenant Protection Bill

August 12, 2010

Massachusetts is once again leading the pack in protecting consumers by passing legislation to protect families from getting thrown out of their homes. ” An Act to Stabilize Neighborhoods ” has been two years in the making and was sponsored by Senator Susan C. Tucker, an Andover, MA Democrat. She filed the bill two years ago after hearing about evictions of tenants in her district who were ravaged by foreclosures. The bill was unanimously approved (with some minor amendments) by the Senate in April and by the House last week. On Saturday, Governor Deval Patrick signed the bill in Brockton, MA – a city that’s seen 2,500 foreclosures since the economic downturn. The State Banking Commission will be responsible for fine tuning much of how the bill is implemented, which in many states could mean the end of the homeowner. Massachusetts however has proven to be fairly diligent when it comes to protecting the consumer. Here are some of the major elements of the bill: The law encourages banks and homeowners to work out a loan. Banks that do not negotiate to modify the loan in good faith will have to wait five months to foreclose as opposed to the previous 90 day waiting period. Tenants who rent homes that become subject to a foreclosure will be protected against no-fault evictions. Encourages redevelopment of foreclosed properties by providing a local option to exclude nonprofits from property taxes during the term that the nonprofit rehabilitates the home and converts it into affordable housing. Criminalizes mortgage fraud. Requires mortgage counseling for low income seniors in order to receive a reverse mortgage. The provision does not take effect until August, 2012 to ensure that there is sufficient counseling capacity. Loan modifications have been the source of endless hardship and frustration for homeowners. Recent articles have made it painfully clear that HAMP has been used by banks and servicers as a means to suck money out of already cashed strapped homeowners with no real hope of help. NPR recently ran a story about Fannie Mae using HAMP to their own advantage, ” and according to Caroline Herron, a longtime Fannie Mae executive who left the agency before returning as a consultant on the HAMP project, Fannie Mae ran HAMP to benefit its own bottom line, not to help troubled borrowers ,” the story reads. In July a Bank of America analyst went so far as to say that HAMP had an “implicit goal” of making liquidations orderly, according to a recent Huffington Post article . In other words, HAMP was nothing more than a tool to allow banks to stall foreclosure while still making money as not to flood the market with inventory. Somehow, according to the analyst who wrote the report, the purpose of HAMP (or Making Home Affordable ) was to help banks better foreclose on families. Since it would appear that the objective is, in most cases, to foreclose, this bill will hopefully give homeowners, at the very least, ample time to get a lay of the land while negotiating to keep their home. Banks and mortgage servicers in Massachusetts aren’t too happy about the new bill. Their complaint of course is that the bill could slow down their ability to throw people out of their homes and sell the property. Mark Rodgers, Citi Mortgage’s spokesman told The Boston Globe, “We have a responsibility to recover the property either for ourselves or the investor-owner of the mortgage, so it can be marketed and sold promptly.” This is slightly contradictory to a comment Rodgers made on a blog post claiming that Citi has helped 990,000 homeowners since 2007. Kevin Cuff, executive director of the Massachusetts Mortgage Bankers Association, told the Boston Globe that they were shocked at how quickly the bill was passed this week – a bill that was two years in the making. He also said lenders fear the law will drag out the foreclosure process for months. “This is a very difficult bill for the industry,” Cuff said. And if that wasn’t enough he added, “This bill is all geared for the consumer protection side.” The bill is a good starting point. Its strength is in the protection for renters who end up, as far as lenders are concerned, as collateral damage and an inconvenience in foreclosures. Tenants can no longer be arbitrarily evicted without cause, as was common practice for many foreclosing financial institutions. As for homeowners struggling with mortgages, in order to foreclose in less than 150 days, the lender is required to file an affidavit stating that they met with the homeowner over the phone or in person, the time and place of that communication, parties participating, relief offered to the borrower, a summary of the creditor’s net present value analysis, and certification that any modification or option offered complies with current federal or state law or policy. “Our goal is to get borrowers and lenders to the table to save those loans that can be saved,” Senator Tucker told the Boston Globe in April. The loan modification offer would have to comply with accepted federal or state modification standards, including participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program. The more common and preferred by servicers in-house modifications are not considered acceptable. This is crucial, because when servicers create their own modification programs they write their own rules and don’t have to bother with the pesky guidelines. In the case of my mod for example, Ocwen Financial Corp. increased the original principal by $15,000 (basically starting from scratch with a generous tip), they charged off $12,000 to the IRS (I have yet to be told why), and the paperwork and accounting practices are so convoluted that it would take a team of legal experts and CPAs to decipher it. Mediation is conspicuously missing from the bill and would help alleviate some of the anxiety that homeowners feel when being railroaded by a bank. On the other hand if the mediators are trained by the banks and mortgage brokers, homeowners will get shafted. Of course mediation costs money and bills are harder to pass when they have a price tag. The bill also criminalizes mortgage fraud, punishable by fines and imprisonment. The number of violations that turned up on my mortgage and paperwork alone could more than cover the cost of a few mediation sessions, so maybe that’s something to work towards. The bill was two years in the making and involved an impressive list of groups and organizations that banded together to get it passed — they are listed at the end of this post. This bill and its overwhelming acceptance by the legislature will hopefully serve as an inspiration and model to other states as a way to help homeowners who are trying to stay afloat. Sean Caron, a lawyer with Citizens Housing and Planning Association said, “What’s been most impressive to me through this entire process is that this was the result of a lot of different grass roots and advocacy groups working together. And that it is possible to make a change that will help people.” The banks have shown the amount of clout they have with Congress and have been allowed to run amok with the lives and finances of families for too long. In this case at least, the people and organizations of Massachusetts have put some rules in place that may not level the playing field, but it will make it harder to bulldoze. To read stories from homeowners or to submit your own go to www.shamethebanks.org The Organizations that made the passing of this bill possible are: Citizens Housing and Planning Association, Massachusetts Alliance Against Predatory Lending, City Life/Vida Urbana, Massachusetts Association of Community Development Corporations, Planning Office of the Archdiocese of Boston, Chelsea Collaborative, Brockton Interfaith Community, Merrimack Valley Project, Neighborhood of Affordable Housing (NOAH–E. Boston), Greater Boston Legal Services, Harvard Legal Aid Bureau, Massachusetts Law Reform Institute, Greater Four Corners Action Coalition, Boston Community Capital, Unitarian Universalist Church of Bedford, Boston Tenant Coalition, Boston ABCD,Emerging Leaders Program at UMass-Boston, UMass-Boston Center for Social Policy, Metropolitan Boston Housing Partnership, Massachusetts Catholic Conference, Chelsea Neighborhood Developers, Lawrence Community Works, Oak Hill CDC, Central Massachusetts Housing Alliance, HAPHousing, WATCH CDC in Waltham, Unitarian Universalist Social Action Network, JALSA, Massachusetts Communities Action Network, Lawyers Committee for Civil Rights, ARISE for Social Justice/Springfield, Lawrence Community Works, Community Labor United, NE Conference of the NAACP, Mass. Jobs With Justice, Coalition for Social Justice, National Lawyers Guild, Charles Hamilton Institute for Race and Justice, Green Rainbow Party, Chinese Progressive Association, Arlington Community, Mass. Advocates for Children, Boston NAACP, New England United 4 Justice, H.O.M.E, VLP, Union of Minority Neighborhoods, Mass. Coalition for the Homeless, National Consumer Law Center, United Auto Workers.

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Robert Reich: America’s Biggest Jobs Program — the U.S. Military

August 11, 2010

America’s biggest — and only major — jobs program is the U.S. military. Over 1,400,000 Americans are now on active duty; another 833,000 are in the reserves, many full time. Another 1,600,000 Americans work in companies that supply the military with everything from weapons to utensils. (I’m not even including all the foreign contractors employing non-US citizens.) If we didn’t have this giant military jobs program, the U.S. unemployment rate would be over 11.5 percent today instead of 9.5 percent. And without our military jobs program personal incomes would be dropping faster. The Commerce Department reported Monday the only major metro areas where both net earnings and personal incomes rose last year were San Antonio, Texas, Virginia Beach, Virginia, and Washington, D.C. — because all three have high concentrations of military and federal jobs. This isn’t an argument for more military spending. Just the opposite. Having a giant undercover military jobs program is an insane way to keep Americans employed. It creates jobs we don’t need but we keep anyway because there’s no honest alternative. We don’t have an overt jobs program based on what’s really needed. For example, when Defense Secretary Robert Gates announced Monday his plan to cut spending on military contractors by more than a quarter over three years, congressional leaders balked. Military contractors are major sources of jobs back in members’ states and districts. California’s Howard P. “Buck” McKeon, the top Republican on the House Armed Services Committee, demanded that the move “not weaken the nation’s defense.” That’s congress-speak for “over my dead body.” Gates simultaneously announced closing the Joint Force Command in Norfolk, Virginia, that employees 6,324 people and relies on 3,300 private contractors. This prompted Virginia Democratic Senator Jim Webb, a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, to warn that the closure “would be a step backward.” Translated: “No chance in hell.” Gates can’t even end useless weapons programs. That’s because they’re covert jobs programs that employ thousands. He wants to stop production of the C-17 cargo jet he says is no longer needed. But it keeps 4,000 people working at Boeing’s Long Beach assembly plant and 30,000 others at Boeing suppliers strategically located in 40 states. So despite Gates’s protests the Senate has approved ten new orders. That’s still not enough to keep all those C-17 workers employed, so the Pentagon and Boeing have been hunting for foreign purchasers. The Indian Air Force is now negotiating to buy ten, and talks are underway with several other nations, including Oman and Saudi Arabia. Ever wonder why military equipment is one of America’s biggest exports? It’s our giant military jobs program in action. Gates has also been trying to stop production of a duplicate engine for the F-25 joint Strike Fighter jet. He says it isn’t needed and doesn’t justify the $2.9 billion slated merely to develop it. But the unnecessary duplicate engine would bring thousands of jobs to Indiana and Ohio. Cunningly, its potential manufacturers Rolls-Royce and General Electric created a media blitz (mostly aimed at Washington, D.C. where lawmakers wold see it) featuring an engine worker wearing a “Support Our Troops” T-shirt and arguing the duplicate engine will create 4,000 American jobs. Presto. Despite a veto threat from the White House, a House panel has just approved funding the duplicate. By the way, Gates isn’t trying to cut the overall Pentagon budget. He just wants to trim certain programs to make room for more military spending with a higher priority. The Pentagon’s budget — and its giant undercover jobs program — keeps expanding. The President has asked Congress to hike total defense spending next year 2.2 percent, to $708 billion. That’s 6.1 percent higher than peak defense spending during the Bush administration. This sum doesn’t even include Homeland Security, Veterans Affairs, nuclear weapons management, and intelligence. Add these, and next year’s national security budget totals about $950 billion. That’s a major chunk of the entire federal budget. But most deficit hawks don’t dare cut it. National security is sacrosanct. Yet what’s really sacrosanct is the giant jobs program that’s justified by national security. National security is a cover for job security. This is nuts. Wouldn’t it be better to have a jobs program that created things we really need — like light-rail trains, better school facilities, public parks, water and sewer systems, and non-carbon energy sources — than things we don’t, like obsolete weapons systems? Historically some of America’s biggest jobs programs that were critical to the nation’s future have been justified by national defense, although they’ve borne almost no relation to it. The National Defense Education Act of the late 1950s trained a generation of math and science teachers. The National Defense Highway Act created millions of construction jobs turning the nation’s two-lane highways into four- and six-lane Interstates. Maybe this is the way to convince Republicans and blue-dog Democrats to spend more federal dollars putting Americans back, and working on things we genuinely need: Call it the National Defense Full Employment Act. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org .

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Former Illinois State Senate President Emil Jones Jr. Joins Zimek Technologies Advisory Board

August 6, 2010

TAMPA, FL–(Marketwire – August 6, 2010) – Zimek Technologies ( www.zimek.com ), the industry leader in infection control and biohazard remediation technology, today announced The Honorable Emil Jones Jr. has joined the company’s prestigious Advisory Board. From 2003-2009, Jones served as President of the Illinois State Senate, a position that culminated more than three decades of service in the Illinois legislature. Jones has been a mentor and friend to many politicians over the years including former Illinois State Senator Barack Obama with whom Jones served. Jones is currently a Senior Counselor at Mercury Public Affairs, leading the firm’s operations based in Chicago, Ill.

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Jared Bernstein: There They Go Again: Two Senators Continue False and Misleading Attacks on Recovery Act

August 3, 2010

This morning two senators — John McCain and Tom Coburn — released their third report critiquing 100 Recovery Act projects. And just like the last two, this one was an inaccurate and misleading attack on programs that are putting Americans to work across the nation. I’ll present some details in a moment, but it’s very unfortunate that, once again, instead of trying to help create the conditions for stronger growth, to help build on the momentum of the Recovery Act, McCain and Coburn spend their valuable time cooking up phony critiques and, with their Republican colleagues, blocking votes of even bipartisan measures to help small businesses. Let’s start with the bigger picture. Just last week two prominent, independent economists released a rigorous study on how actions by the government (and the Federal Reserve), including the Recovery Act, helped to end the Great Recession. One of the authors — Mark Zandi — was one of McCain’s top advisers during his presidential bid. He and Alan Blinder (a former vice-chairman of the Federal Reserve) found that the Recovery Act has created or saved about 2.7 million jobs so far, and shaved about a point and a half off of the unemployment rate. These jobs are the result of over 70,000 projects in action around the country, of grants to states supporting jobs of teachers, police, and firefighters, of tax cuts for working households, loans to small businesses, and investments in innovative new industries producing advanced batteries, clean energy, and much more. They’ve helped reverse a situation where last year, we were losing millions of private sector jobs; in the first half of this year, we’ve added 593,000 private sector jobs. Now, we’re always glad to take a second look at projects when concerns are raised. In fact, there’s never been a stimulus program of this magnitude with anywhere near the amount of oversight that’s been brought to bear on the Recovery Act. And when we find a problem, we fix it. We’ve shut down hundreds of projects that weren’t delivering the goods. But the inaccuracy of McCain/Coburn in this regard renders this report just as unreliable as the last two. We followed up the projects in those reports, and found half of their claims to be flat-out false or misleading. Many of the others criticized worthwhile, job-creating projects. Check out this link and you’ll see that news outlets like CNN have debunked their claims in the past, often by simply going to the folks who were working on the project and learning about it: In the current report, our review so far finds that five of the 100 projects are not even Recovery Act projects. And others are just blatantly wrong on the facts. Take for example an award that McCain and Coburn describe as “funding a WNBA Practice Facility,” when in fact the award is building a tribal government center that will create education and health facilities while also creating hundreds of jobs. Moreover, the tribe has agreed to disallow any commercial use of the facility. One of their top critiques in the new report is a clean energy program in California that’s put about 50 people to work so far, expects to create 1,500 construction jobs, and then 500 permanent green jobs after that. Gov. Schwarzenegger praised the program, as did the Chamber of Commerce. What would McCain and Coburn say to these workers? That they shouldn’t have this opportunity? That they should go back to the jobless roles? That building a clean energy future is the wrong way to go? What ideas does Senator Coburn have to offer to the 35,000 people working in Oklahoma who wouldn’t be there without the Recovery Act? What about the 64,000 Arizonans at work because of the Act? Instead of answers, we’re left with a partisan attack contradicted by one of the author’s own former advisers. But that’s not all. We’re also left with a choice. The President has shown he is willing to work with anyone who will join us to figure out new ways to create more jobs. The Vice-President spends each week making sure we’re squeezing job out of every Recovery Act dollar. Meanwhile, Republicans are blocking an up or down vote on a package of bipartisan proposals that would cut taxes for small businesses and allow them access to capital through community banks. It’s incredible, when you think about it: last week as they were working to turn out this hit-job of a report, these same two senators were voting against helping small businesses expand and create jobs. Yes, we must carefully evaluate our progress, but we must do so without partisan thumbs on the scale. In that regard, the report these two senators are touting today is not a road map forward. To the contrary, it is one back to the failed policies that got us into this mess. We’ve tried that route. We cannot afford to go back there again. This post originally appeared at the White House Blog .

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Wendell Potter: Health Insurers Leaning on State Insurance Commissioners to "Reform" Reform

July 27, 2010

The nation’s biggest insurers — not happy with provisions of the four-month-old health care reform law that would force many of them to spend more of the money they collect in premiums for their policyholders’ medical care — are pressuring regulators to disregard what members of Congress intended when they wrote the law, so that they can keep raking in huge profits for their Wall Street owners. If they are successful, many policyholders will soon be shelling out even more than they do today to enrich insurance company shareholders and CEOs. Billions of dollars are at stake, which is why the insurers and their symbiotic allies are pulling out all the stops to gut a key part of the law that would require them to spend at least 80 cents of every premium dollar they take in for medical care. Wall Street financial analysts are pretty confident the insurers will ultimately have their way with the commissioners and, in so doing, stiff consumers. They have good reason to feel confident: As the Center for Public Integrity reported this week, (and the increasingly irresponsible mainstream media ignored), five of the nation’s biggest for-profit insurers — Aetna, CIGNA, Humana, United and WellPoint — are considering using $20 million of their policyholders’ premiums to set up a new group to influence how government agencies regulate them, as well as to help replace Democrats who voted for reform with more industry-friendly candidates. Insurers’ Real Goal: Bigger Profits, Higher Stock Prices The reform law requires that numerous new rules be written to regulate the way health insurers do business, a responsibility that Congress passed on to various federal agencies and the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC). Among other things, the law mandates that beginning next year, health insurers must spend at least 80% of what they collect in premiums from small businesses — and also from individuals who can’t get coverage through their employers — on medical care. The minimum for health policies sold to large businesses is 85%. Insurers that don’t comply with the law will have to refund to policyholders and their dependents the difference between the minimums and their actual spending on health care. As the Center for Public Integrity noted in its report, insurers are especially upset about that provision of the law because it likely will have an adverse affect on their profits if Congressional intent is carried out: The high financial stakes mean insurers have been pushing hard with state regulators to allow for broader definitions of what constitutes patient welfare expenditures. This issue is ‘probably the most important one right now,’ explains a source. The stakes are indeed high. One Wall Street analyst recently calculated that if the new law had been in effect in 2009, the largest for-profit health insurance companies would have been required to refund almost $2 billion to their customers for that year alone. But analyst Carl McDonald of Oppenheimer and Co. didn’t appear to be too worried that insurers will ever have to issue many refund checks to their policyholders. He even predicted that the stock prices of for-profit insurers — which now dominate the industry — will shoot up as soon as the NAIC bends to their demands. “Managed care stocks are valued as if the law will be implemented as written,” McDonald wrote in a May 21 report for investors. When “reform gets reformed,” he added, managed care stocks should get a big boost. You read that right: “When reform gets reformed.” It’s just a matter of “when,” in McDonald’s opinion, not “if.” Insurers consider the amount of money they pay in claims to doctors, hospitals and pharmacies to be a loss, which is why they refer to the percentage of premium dollars they spend on care, compared to what they collect in premiums, as the “medical loss ratio,” or MLR for short. As recently as 1993, the average MLR was 95%. Fifteen years later, after the insurance industry had come to be dominated by a cartel of large for-profit insurers, the average MLR had dropped to around 80%, largely due to pressure from Wall Street investors and analysts. At many insurers, the MLR frequently dips into the 70s or lower — often much lower. Wall Street loves it when that happens. Prior to enactment of health care reform last March, about the only people who knew anything about the MLR, much less paid any attention to it, were insurance company executives, shareholders and analysts. The MLR is of particular interest to them because the less money an insurer pays out in claims, the more is available for profits and to pay executives and to cover insurers’ overhead. That overhead includes premium dollars spent on efforts to attract healthy policyholders and to exclude or dump sick ones. Insurance Company Lobbyists Launch Into Overdrive Members of Congress wanted to be sure insurers spent considerably more on medical care than on outrageous CEO compensation and overhead. But under the category of “no good deed goes unpunished,” they included language in the reform law that will allow insurers to reclassify some of their overhead expenses as medical expenses, so long as the money is used to “improve quality.” The problem is that the new law doesn’t explain what that means. Congress gave the NAIC the responsibility of deciding which expenses will qualify for reclassification. That’s why the insurers have been conducting a PR and lobbying campaign to influence the commissioners that is every bit as intense, sophisticated, multipronged and deceptive as the one it conducted to influence members of Congress. Unlimited Funds Being Spent to Weaken Health Care Reform To be able to meet the minimum MLRs without breaking a sweat, insurers, as you might expect, are trying to persuade the commissioners to let them reclassify just about all of their administrative costs as medical expenses. And they are not just lobbying the commissioners. They are also trying to get friendly governors and members of Congress to lean on the commissioners. One large insurer, using a tactic the industry often uses, provided one friendly freshman Democratic senator with a set of talking points that they encouraged him to use in drafting a letter to the NAIC leadership supporting the industry’s wish list. The insurer also asked him to persuade several of his colleagues to co-sign the letter. As Senator Jay Rockefeller (D.-West Virginia), chair of the Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee, wrote in a letter of his own last week to his state’s insurance commissioner, Jane L. Cline, the current NAIC president: It is clear that health insurance companies are sparing no expense to weaken the new law and the protections it promises to America’s consumers… Health insurance companies and their allies have been furiously lobbying the NAIC to write the medical loss ratio definitions in a way that will allow them to continue doing business as they did before the passage of health care reform. The resources health insurance companies are throwing into their effort to weaken the medical loss ratio law appears almost limitless. Rockefeller is right. The resources they are spending are, for all practical purposes, limitless: the pot of money they use for such things is replenished every month when policyholders send in their premiums. As Rockefeller pointed out, the administrative expenses insurers are claiming really and truly are quality improvement expenses include money they spend to: — Process and pay claims; — Create and maintain their provider networks; — Update their information technology systems to code medical conditions and process claims payments; — Protect them against fraud and other threats to the integrity of their payments systems; and — Conduct “utilization review” of paid claims to detect payments the insurers deem inappropriate and retroactively deny them. At least one insurer has been so confident that the NAIC would do whatever the industry demanded that it began reclassifying expenses before the ink from President Obama’s signature was even dry. WellPoint told analysts and investors in the spring–before the commissioners had even held their first meeting on the subject — that it already had begun reclassifying $500 million worth of administrative expenses, an action that had the effect of immediately and automatically increasing its MLR by nearly two percentage points. Falling Back on Fear-Mongering As it did during the debate on reform, the insurance industry is resorting to fear-mongering to get its way. Insurers and their allies have been trying to scare the commissioners into thinking that insurers will stop devoting resources to some worthwhile activities like disease management programs and health plan accreditation if they can’t reclassify them as medical expenses. One of the industry’s symbiotic allies, the National Committee for Quality Assurance, which accredits health plans, has joined the insurers in making multiple pleas to the commissioners to permit the reclassification of accreditation expenses. Of course they have: The NCQA charges insurers a boatload of money (money that comes from policyholders, of course) to accredit their health plans. In 2008, the NCQA’s revenues topped $30 million. More than $700,000 of that went to pay the organization’s president, Margaret O’Kane, that year. (If you ever wondered why the U.S. has the most expensive health care system in the world, just listen in to one of the NAIC’s MLR conference calls. Every special interest that owes its existence to our uniquely American profit-oriented system joins the calls every week trying to persuade the commissioners to write the regulations in such a way that its revenue stream and profit margins will not be negatively impacted.) The reality is that the fear-mongering is, as usual, not based on any factual evidence. Insurers will not stop developing and offering disease management programs if their costs are not reclassified. That’s because good disease management programs that actually do benefit individual health plan enrollees with chronic conditions such as asthma, diabetes and heart disease also typically reduce insurers’ expenses. As a former insurance company insider, I know that insurers will not offer a disease management program in the first place unless executives have been persuaded that it will either generate additional revenue or reduce costs — or do both. The NAIC undoubtedly will allow insurers to reclassify expenses associated with disease management programs that have been proven to actually improve the health of enrollees. Most of the 28 consumer representatives to the NAIC, of whom I am one, believe that that would be an appropriate reclassification. In the spirit of compromise, we also are not pushing back against the reclassification of some information technology expenses and part of insurers’ spending on so-called “nurse hotlines” as long as insurers can prove that the money spent in those areas improves the health of their individual health plan enrollees. Insurers Hoodwinking Vendors We consumer representatives strongly oppose the reclassification of most of the other expenses insurers’ are lobbying for, including expenses related to accreditation, because they are by their very nature administrative in nature. This is not to say that accreditation, for example, is not a worthwhile expense. It is or employers wouldn’t demand that insurers obtain accreditation as a condition of doing business with them. That will continue regardless of how accreditation expenses are classified. The NCQA and other industry allies, including vendors that develop and implement disease management programs for them (yes, insurers outsource much of that work) should realize that they are being hoodwinked by insurers in this fight. The truth is that, despite what insurers are saying, it is more likely that expenses related to disease management programs and accreditation and other worthy administrative activities will be reduced or eliminated in the future if they are reclassified. Here’s why and here’s what will happen: Reclassification of these expenses will temporarily boost insurers’ MLRs by a few percentage points, as shareholders know and expect. But over the course of time, shareholders will demand that insurers reduce their MLRs to just barely meet the new law’s minimums. I know this will happen because I spent 10 years handling financial communications for one of the country’s largest insurers. There was relentless pressure on company executives to find ways to reduce the MLR (read: spending on medical care). If they failed to do so, many shareholders would head for the exits. I once saw the stock price of a large competitor lose 20% of its value in a single day when the company reported as part of its quarterly earnings that its MLR had gone up a little more than 1% compared to a previous quarter. Big Insurers Spend Policyholder Money on Big Lobbying It is worth noting, by the way, that the insurers that have been the most vocal on this issue are the five biggest for-profit insurers, the same ones that reportedly are about to divert $20 million of policyholders’ money to pay for a massive new PR, lobbying and political action campaign. With the exception of a few Blue Cross plans not yet owned by WellPoint, the nonprofits have been largely silent. That’s because they don’t have to answer directly to Wall Street. At least not yet. What this means is that the pressure from investors on for-profit insurers to reduce their medical spending after the new MLR regulations go into effect next January 1 will be just as intense as it is today, if not more so. Insurance commissioners and the industry’s unwitting allies need to understand that any administrative expenses that are reclassified as medical costs will be an easy target for cutting by insurance company bean counters in the future. And the more overhead that is reclassified as medical spending, the more capacity is freed up on the administrative expense side of the MLR equation for executive compensation and profits. Both will soar if insurers have their way with the commissioners. So far, the commissioners who have been spending the most time on the MLR issues have rejected many of the items on the insurers’ wish list, but insurers know that every commissioner, including those who haven’t spent a minute on the MLR conference calls, will have a vote before the NAIC’s recommendations go to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services later this summer for final adoption. So please contact your state insurance commissioner and tell him or her to give top priority to the interests of consumers, not insurers and their allies. This is too important not to get involved. Commissioners will be doing a great disservice to their constituents if they fall for insurers’ disingenuous arguments. If they do, the real winners in this fight will be insurance company executives and their Wall Street masters. If they win this, that cartel of profit-driven corporations will be more firmly in control of our health care system than ever before.

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Robert Kuttner: Women on the Verge

July 25, 2010

The campaign to get Elizabeth Warren appointed to head the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau got me thinking — why is it that so many of the heroic leaders who have pushed the Obama administration to be more steadfastly progressive on financial issues just happen to be female? That honor roll would begin with Warren; it would include Sheila Bair, who heads the FDIC; House Speaker Nancy Pelosi; Senator Maria Cantwell of Washington State; former commodities regulator Brooksley Born; and Heather Booth who spearheaded Americans for Financial Reform. Inside the administration, the member of the senior economics team who has pushed hardest for a more expansive approach to economic recovery is the chair of President Obama’s Economic Council, Christina Romer. What these people have in common is that they are not members of the financial old boys’ club, in both senses. They are neither one of the boys, nor did they come out of the Wall Street milieu. And two of the three Republican senators who broke ranks to provide the sixty votes to pass financial reform, Senators Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins of Maine, are also women. The third, Senator Scott Brown, who must run for re-election in liberal Massachusetts in 2012, in less fluky circumstances than the special election of January 2010, is not so much a profile in courage as an expedient politician. It’s not that all the good guys are female — Rich Trumka and Damon Silvers of the AFL-CIO have played a heroic role, too; as has Paul Volcker; as well as other leading Senate progressives such as Dick Durban, Jeff Merkley, and Ted Kaufman. But Warren and the other female members of the Administration’s loyal opposition have displayed real bravery. Warren surely knew that when she was asking hard questions of Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, she was reducing the chances that she would be welcomed into the administration. But she never pulled her punches. Sheila Bair, when she was resisting Geithner’s plans to bail out and prop up banks without drastically reforming them at the same time, made herself the odd woman out. Read any of the several books on the financial crisis that rely on insider background interviews, and you will read the same putdowns of Bair emanating from the Geithner camp. Yet Bair has remained steadfast. Gender, of course, is no guarantee of progressive politics, clear thinking, or political bravery. One of the odd things of our era is that two generations after radical feminists began battering down barriers to full participation, some of the most visible beneficiaries are rightwing women, many of them truly whacked out in their views. The fact that Sarah Palin can thank Gloria Steinem is small comfort. For instance, the prize for the most disingenuous commentary on the Shirley Sherrod affair has to go to that female pioneer, Peggy Noonan, former speechwriter for Ronald Reagan. Writing in Saturday’s Wall Street Journal, and spinning the Sherrod affair to suggest symmetrical blame, Noonan began, “She was smeared by rightwing media, condemned by the NAACP, and canned by the Obama Administration. It wasn’t pretty, what was done this week to Shirley Sherrod.” But in the entire piece, which took up nearly half of the Journal’s op-ed page, you never learn what actually happened. The details of the doctored video and the Fox pile-on are left out, suggesting that the entire establishment just happened to gang up on poor Sherrod, while good old Noonan, a paladin of the respectable right, is seeking lessons of redemption. Shamelessness evidently knows no bounds of gender. Sherrod, by contrast, was a picture of dignity and bravery, as she has been throughout her career. It would be comforting believe that greater gender equality, per se, will produce a more constructive substantive politics. Linda Tarr-Whelan has written an important book titled Women Lead the Way . Her research demonstrates that when women hit a tipping point of about 30 percent in leadership roles in organizations of all kinds, the dynamic changes and there is more receptivity to fresh thinking. But we are a long way from that magic number in the House or the Senate, nor in large corporations, nor among President Obama’s top financial officials. (Still, it is to Obama’s credit that his first two selections for the Supreme Court have been women, as have two of his three recent appointees to the powerful Federal Reserve Board.) The Atlantic recently ran one of its patented cover pieces that combine serious exploration of a complex topic with pop-culture hyperbole. This one , titled “The End of Men,” speculated that something about post-industrial society at last will overthrow male dominance (“What if the economics of the new era are better suited to women?”), and that the displacement of males is already well advanced. But this breathless proclamation of writer Hanna Rosin may be a bit premature. Wall Street, after all, is the ultimate post-industrial redoubt — they don’t make anything, they just manipulate paper — and it doesn’t get much more male. The typical trading floor is pure frat-house. And the crowd making financial policy in Washington are only a shade more in touch with their inner-woman. Elizabeth Warren would be a serious offset to the usual financial Animal House . Alas, that’s why her nomination remains something of a long shot. Robert Kuttner’s new book is A Presidency in Peril. He is co-editor of The American Prospect and a senior fellow at Demos.

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Kent Conrad, Senate Budget Chairman, Wants To Extend Bush Tax Cuts Without Paying For Them

July 21, 2010

WASHINGTON (Reuters) — A fiscally conservative Democrat who chairs the U.S. Senate’s budget committee on Wednesday said he supports extending all of the tax cuts that expire this year, including for the wealthy. “The general rule of thumb would be you’d not want to do tax changes, tax increases … until the recovery is on more solid ground,” Senator Kent Conrad said in an interview with reporters outside the Senate chambers, adding he did not believe the recovery has come yet. Conrad’s comments are sympathetic with Republican arguments against raising taxes amid a fledgling economic recovery. They frame a debate gaining steam over whether stimulus to bolster the economy’s recovery, or deficit reduction, should be the top policy priority.

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Joseph E. Gagnon: Time for a Monetary Boost

July 21, 2010

In his testimony to the Congress this week, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke left the door open to further monetary stimulus but made it clear that such action is not imminent. This reluctance to act may seem puzzling given the widespread view that the economic recovery is too weak. In response to a Senator’s question, Chairman Bernanke gave a hint as to the reasoning behind the Fed’s reluctance, saying that “no one can say that the Federal Reserve did not act aggressively” to prevent an economic depression last year. Indeed, the Fed did act aggressively both in lowering its traditional policy interest rate and in a number of unprecedented and unconventional measures. It is only natural to be cautious when operating outside familiar territory, and the Fed has spent most of the past 12 months waiting to see how the economy would respond to its policies. Now the verdict is in: the Fed’s policies were successful as far as they went. They turned an incipient depression into a modest recovery, but they did not go quite far enough to obtain a truly robust and satisfactory recovery. The Federal Reserve’s own forecast shows that it will take at least three or four years for employment to return to its long-run sustainable level. This extended period of high unemployment represents a massive waste of productive labor and untold personal suffering of unemployed workers. The Fed should be aiming to get us back on track within two years. And the urgency of Fed action is all the more important because Congress has refused to provide more stimulus. In addition, it is now apparent that deflation is a more serious risk for the US economy than inflation. The latest data show overall declines in consumer and producer prices. Even after excluding the volatile food and energy components, core inflation has trended well below the 2-percent level that central banks view as optimal for economic growth and that the Fed has adopted as its goal. Clearly, the case for monetary stimulus is strong. But what form should it take? With financial markets now in healthier shape, the Fed does not need to invoke the “unusual and exigent circumstances” clause to lend directly to the private nonbanking sector. Rather, it should return to its traditional roles of lending to the banking system and buying Treasury securities. Three actions, in particular, would be helpful at this time. First, the Fed should lower the interest rate it pays on bank reserves to zero. This is a small step, as the current rate is only 0.25 percent, but there is no reason to pay banks more than the rate paid by the closest substitute, short-term Treasury bills. Three-month Treasury bills currently yield 0.15 percent, and that rate, too, should be brought down to zero. Second, the Fed should bring down the rates on longer-term Treasury securities by targeting the interest rate on 3-year Treasury notes at 0.25 percent and aggressively purchasing such securities whenever their yield exceeds the target. That is a 65-basis point reduction from the current rate of 0.90 percent. This step would also push down longer-term yields and reduce a wide range of private borrowing rates, encouraging business investment, supporting the housing market, and boosting exports through a weaker dollar. Moreover, pushing down yields on short- to medium-term Treasury securities is precisely the strategy for fighting deflation recommended by Ben Bernanke in 2002 . Finally, the Fed could bolster the stimulative effects of these actions by establishing a full-allotment lending facility to enable banks to borrow (with high-quality collateral) at terms of up to 24 months at a fixed interest rate of 0.25 percent. These measures are all within the Federal Reserve’s established powers. They pose essentially no risk to the Fed’s balance sheet. They would reduce unemployment roughly as much as a 2-year $600 billion fiscal package and yet they would actually reduce the federal budget deficit. And they can be reversed quickly should the balance of risks shift from deflation to inflation. Given the unsatisfactory outlook for unemployment and inflation and the lack of action by Congress, that is the right medicine for the US economy now.

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Why Is The White House Afraid Of The Elizabeth Warren Fight?

July 20, 2010

So I’m reading today’s Congress Daily dispatch from National Journal, about the back-and-forth lobbying over who should head the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and I get to this line, way down, about Elizabeth Warren : “Industry privately grumbles that Warren would be their least favorite candidate to head the agency.” You also learn that Senators Judd Gregg (R-N.H.) and Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) basically oppose Warren taking the post. Senator Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) thinks she’d have a hard time being confirmed in the Senate. So, basically, here’s the out-front opposition to Warren: the entire financial industry, Republican lawmakers and the worst deliberative body in the history of Western civilization. That, to me, seems like the best of all possible enemy-collections. If I had my choice as to whom I’d get into a protracted street fight with, circa post-crash 2010, I’d count myself very lucky. But the Obama administration — and this is going to be really shocking news — don’t really have the stomach for a street fight, unless it’s the sort of fight where you bloody your opponent on the very day it becomes no longer possible to lose . As things sit, the White House is hesitating, looking for all the world like it is going to veer away from tapping Warren for the sort of job she was born to do. In so doing, Obama is picking some weak allies over some great enemies. One of those nominal allies is Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner. I’m sure that Geithner recognizes how depressing it is when every time someone on Wall Street commits a wealth-dissolving cock-up, their first resort is to ask the federal government to put billions of taxpayer dollars on a forklift and meet them at the loading dock. But Geithner doesn’t much want to change the way that particular world works. And he essentially hopes that he can just pass the buck here, saying through a spokesman: “Secretary Geithner believes that Elizabeth Warren is exceptionally well-qualified to lead the new bureau, and, ultimately, that’s a decision the president will have to make.” of course, I’m guessing that the choice he’s hoping Obama will make — by which I mean, telling him to make — is to appoint Michael S. Barr to the CFPB. Barr would be an exciting choice to head up the agency! I mean, you remember how exciting it was when the derivatives market collapsed and nearly destroyed the entire economy, right? Well, Barr wanted no part of reforming derivatives, no sir ! So, he’d be an ideal choice to head up this agency charged with protecting consumers, I’d imagine. Also working against Warren’s nomination are the people who have chosen to support her. As Sam Stein reported earlier today, labor organizations are furtively trying to lobby support for Warren . But, if you cast your mind back just a month or so ago, you might recall that the White House and Big Labor had a falling out over that time labor backed Bill Halter in a primary against incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.). The White House got so steamed at their effort to supplant Lincoln after she spent a year and a half trying to water down or block the very agenda that the White House ran on! And so, cowardly anonymous bleats were farted in labor’s direction . So there are a lot of reasons why the White House isn’t exactly itching to get into a protracted battle over appointing Warren, a person who would actually protect consumers, to the CFPB. But the biggest reason they don’t want the fight is because they are totally effing stupid . In lieu of making the sort of passionate case on the merits that is likely to fall on deaf ears, let me instead do what everyone in Washington prefers to do — marshall the forces of election year cynicism! You say that Warren’s appointment is likely to be very contentious? And draw a lot of opposition? Well I am interested in hearing the other side of that argument! How is that going to do? Will it be, “We are worried that Elizabeth Warren has philosophical opposition to the Wall Street practices that led to the largest economic meltdown in the last half-century?” Or is it going to be more like: “If Elizabeth Warren gets her way, some consumers may end up getting protected?” If it were up to me, this wouldn’t be a fight I’d be looking to actively avoid. I’d be looking for a way to drag it out for the next three months. (Unless I missed the part where Americans have suddenly rekindled their love for big banking institutions!) When I think about the sorts of political fights that (I assume!) the White House wants to have, I think about that crazy time Representative Joe Barton (R-Tex.) apologized to BP for how terrible the oil giant was being treated, being held responsible for the tremendous disaster it caused and everything! That was what the tennis pros refer to as an “unforced error,” and the White House dined out on that for a solid fortnight . What might happen if the White House went looking to pick a fight with opponents, daring them to defend the indefensible? The answer is, of course, they might fare better in the coming elections. Then again, they might actually have to follow through and appoint Warren to the consumer protection agency, thus stealing the White House’s most “bipartisan achievement”: blanket opposition to changing the financial industry in any meaningful way, or preventing a future financial crisis through reform. That’s the problem with arguments that seem like “no brainers.” They actually don’t work when you ask people without brains to make them! [Would you like to follow me on Twitter ? Because why not? Also, please send tips to tv@huffingtonpost.com -- learn more about our media monitoring project here .]

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Kristie Arslan: Senate Wakes Up and Pays Attention to Small Business

July 13, 2010

On the eve of expiration for a number of key small business tax deductions and with the Small Business Administration running out of funding for small business loans, the U.S. Senate finally wakes up and begins to pay attention to small business. The same sector of the business community they have been touting will pull us out of this economic downturn. With the guidance and leadership of Senator Mary Landrieu, the current chair of the Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship, Senate leadership has finally introduced legislation that includes help for our nation’s smallest businesses. The Small Business Jobs Act of 2010 (H.R. 5297) includes a one-year business tax deduction for health insurance costs for the self-employed, an increase in the start-up business expense deduction, expansion of Section 179 expensing limits, increases in SBA loan limits, and a new Small Business Lending Fund to help increase access to capital. To make things even better, Senator Barbara Boxer, has introduced an amendment to the Small Business Jobs Act to create a standard home office deduction option. This would allow millions of qualifying home-based business owners to forgo complicated paperwork and calculations to take a simple, standard deduction which will save them both time and money. Can it be that policymakers are realizing that the self-employed — which number 23 million, represent 78 percent of all small businesses, and contribute close to $1 trillion to the U.S. economy — are the economic backbone of our country?! Whatever the impetus behind the Small Business Jobs Act, we’re happy lawmakers are starting to pay attention to the self-employed. For more information, please visit: Senate Committee on Finance newsroom NASE in Action

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Kristie Arslan: Senate Wakes Up and Pays Attention to Small Business

July 13, 2010

On the eve of expiration for a number of key small business tax deductions and with the Small Business Administration running out of funding for small business loans, the U.S. Senate finally wakes up and begins to pay attention to small business. The same sector of the business community they have been touting will pull us out of this economic downturn. With the guidance and leadership of Senator Mary Landrieu, the current chair of the Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship, Senate leadership has finally introduced legislation that includes help for our nation’s smallest businesses. The Small Business Jobs Act of 2010 (H.R. 5297) includes a one-year business tax deduction for health insurance costs for the self-employed, an increase in the start-up business expense deduction, expansion of Section 179 expensing limits, increases in SBA loan limits, and a new Small Business Lending Fund to help increase access to capital. To make things even better, Senator Barbara Boxer, has introduced an amendment to the Small Business Jobs Act to create a standard home office deduction option. This would allow millions of qualifying home-based business owners to forgo complicated paperwork and calculations to take a simple, standard deduction which will save them both time and money. Can it be that policymakers are realizing that the self-employed — which number 23 million, represent 78 percent of all small businesses, and contribute close to $1 trillion to the U.S. economy — are the economic backbone of our country?! Whatever the impetus behind the Small Business Jobs Act, we’re happy lawmakers are starting to pay attention to the self-employed. For more information, please visit: Senate Committee on Finance newsroom NASE in Action

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Douglas J. Elliott: Financial Reform: Now It’s Up to the Regulators

July 12, 2010

The simpler half of financial reform will be completed shortly with the passage of the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill. Hard as it may be to conceive, the complexity embedded in its over 2,000 pages of text is likely to be exceeded by the complications involved in the regulatory implementation of financial reform. This isn’t just a technical question of working through the multiple thousands of pages of rule-writing, the creation of operating procedures, and the writing of supervisory guidelines. Critical choices will be made — regulatory decisions are likely to be as important as the law itself in determining the success or failure of the effort to bring needed stability to our financial system. What will be the key decisions for regulators to make? Consumer protection. Dodd-Frank establishes a new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). Regulators will decide almost everything about how this works. Congress laid out a broad mandate, a set of criteria to be considered when balancing decisions, and a few limitations. The rest will be up to the regulators. These initial structural and substantive decisions will matter considerably, since precedents, once established, create very substantial political and bureaucratic inertia. Derivatives. Congress directed the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to take a number of crucial steps to reduce the risk of the derivatives markets and to make them more transparent. In particular, they are to ensure that standardized derivatives are traded on exchanges and cleared through central clearinghouses and that appropriate collateral and capital requirements are set for those derivatives that continue to be traded over the counter (OTC). Banking regulators will also be heavily involved, since the major derivatives dealers are all affiliated with commercial banks at this point. Regulators will determine the rules for when a derivative is standardized enough that it must be traded on an exchange. Indeed they may even be called on to make decisions on specific derivatives at times, especially until the rules are clear to everyone. They will also set the rules determining the collateral that derivatives counterparties must put up on over the counter (OTC) trades, as well as the capital required by banks and their affiliates. These choices will significantly affect the cost and attractiveness of derivatives, which matters a great deal given the importance of these instruments in our financial system. Beyond that, the law will make derivatives clearinghouses far more critical than they have been. In practice, these will be institutions that are “Too Big to Fail”, increasing the priority of careful regulation, since the taxpayer could be on the hook in an emergency. There may also be significant decisions to be made about how to implement the provisions backed by Senator Lincoln that force certain types of derivatives transactions out of commercial banks and into their affiliates, if they are still to be done within the banking group. Securitization and rating agencies. Congress mandated a number of changes to securitizations and to how the rating agencies that are central to that market must operate. A considerable number of decisions are left up to the regulators. For example, the SEC is mandated to study whether there is a better approach than Senator Franken’s provision that has the federal government determine who the first rating agency is for any new securitization. (Others could be hired as well, but this would guarantee that a rating would be available from at least one agency not chosen by the issuer or their investment bank.) There will also be questions about how to implement the “skin in the game” requirement that issuers of many securitizations keep 5% of the risk. The Volcker Rule. Congress ordered the banks, after a transition period, to shed their “proprietary” activities. However, there is no satisfactory definition of what this means. Nor are there clear definitions of the several exemptions to the proprietary trading rules, such as the maintenance of securities inventories to facilitate customer transactions. The regulators will be faced with the need to find a way to operationalize the limitations they are required to impose. If they err on the side of toughness, it may limit legitimate bank activities and increase customer costs, whereas if they err in the other direction it could effectively gut what Congress intended. Oversight of the financial system as a whole. There is broad agreement that one of the failings of the prior regulatory system was that no one was clearly responsible for monitoring the system as a whole, such as watching out for developing bubbles in the housing market or elsewhere. Congress therefore established the Financial Stability Oversight Council, which is to delegate much of its efforts to the Fed. This council is new, as is the Fed’s role in working as its agent. As with the CFPB, this means that regulators will be making critical decisions about how it will all work, as they build the structure. “Too Big to Fail”. The media, public, and politicians have devoted a great deal of attention to the question of how to deal with systemically important financial institutions, ones where the government might be forced to intervene if they ran into trouble in a future financial crisis. In the end, virtually all of this will be left to regulatory discretion. The Financial Stability Oversight Council can determine that any financial institution is systemically important. Under those circumstances, the council acquires a great deal of discretionary authority to force divestiture of certain activities, the raising of additional capital, or other steps, as the regulators deem necessary. Further, it is likely that additional burdens will be placed on the big banks and other systemically important institutions, such as the imposition of higher capital requirements than those existing for smaller banks. It is already clear that any additional taxes or insurance premiums on banks will be tilted to make the larger institutions pay higher percentages. Why will regulatory decisions matter? Congress often specifically ordered the regulators to decide how to handle an important issue. There are at least 40 instances in the legislation where Congress required the regulators to conduct a formal study and then choose how to address a specific issue. New legislative mandates will require a large number of critical implementation decisions. There are a number of new aspects of regulation that are created under Dodd-Frank which will require regulators to make key policy decisions that will set precedents for many years to come. The need for global harmonization of financial reform adds complexity and increases the importance of regulatory choices. The most critical examples of this come in the areas of minimum capital and liquidity requirements. The legislation encourages the regulators to raise these requirements significantly, but leaves up to them how high the requirements should go and how the tests should be calculated. There is already an international coordinating process for these two crucial areas, known as Basel III, run by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. The final international agreement will have a major effect on the financial sector and, potentially, on the economy as a whole. The Institute of International Finance (IIF), an industry group, has preliminarily calculated that the economies of the US and Europe could be 3% smaller after five years than they would be without the Basel III rules. My own analyses suggest this figure is quite considerably overstated, but there clearly will be a significant impact which will almost certainly take the form of a trade-off of reduced economic growth in most years in exchange for the mitigation of damage to the economy during financial crises. Many policy decisions must be made by experts in order to have a chance of being effective, given the complexity of the financial sector. Congress is sometimes accused of micro-management, but the complexity of the financial sector and the vast scope of the reforms would have defeated any effort by Congress to make all the important decisions. Why is global coordination critical? Global coordination of public policy in any complex area is difficult, time-consuming, and requires the U.S. to compromise on some of our preferred approaches. Why then should the U.S. regulators put a major effort into global coordination of financial reform? There are at least four reasons why we should often compromise in order to ensure global standards that meet acceptable minimums: Regulatory arbitrage can create a dangerous race to lower standards. If one jurisdiction chooses to set rules that are too lenient, there would be a strong tendency for finance business to move there. Sound regulation is in almost everyone’s long-term interest because of the damage to the financial industry and the economy that is caused by financial crises. However, business can be substantially cheaper to do during the non-crisis years if regulation is lax. The competitiveness of U.S. financial institutions is affected by international rules. The financial sector is a major part of the U.S. economy. Financial activities constitute over a tenth of GDP, our financial institutions employ millions of people, and the leading global position of many of these institutions makes them a significant exporter in an American economy that could use more exports. If international rules are laxer than American ones, then our institutions are likely to lose business. Financial crises have a habit of spreading around the world. Financial crises do not respect international borders. This is partly due to direct financial ties between institutions in different countries, partly due to international capital flows set off by crises, and partly due to changes in sentiment that can spread around the world, including the onset of outright panic. It is in our interest to encourage other nations to avoid lax regulation that could trigger such crises. Economic pain in other countries affects us as well. A foreign recession would hurt us through trade flows and currency movements. Major financial crises generally create or exacerbate recessions, as we saw very clearly two years ago. Conclusions Regulators here and around the world will be critical to the success of financial reform. It behooves us to pay careful attention and to encourage decisions that appropriately balance increased safety with the regulatory burden imposed by new rules. Equally importantly, global harmonization will matter a great deal and should be encouraged, difficult and frustrating though the process can often be. The greatest opportunities in this area stem from the expertise and dedication of financial regulators. The greatest dangers come from the complexity of financial markets, which means mistakes are easy to make, and from the lack of attention paid by the media, the public, and even Congress to the regulatory processes. Bureaucratic self-interest, ignorance of financial concepts, and excessively close ties to vested interests have more room to do damage when external attention is absent.

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Mutual Fund To No Longer Invest In ‘Too Big To Fail’ Banks

July 8, 2010

A top-ranked mutual fund will no longer invest in “Too Big To Fail” banks, announcing Thursday it would extend a prohibition already in place against tobacco firms and pornography distributors to banks like Citigroup and Goldman Sachs Group. In its release Appleseed Fund , a self-described socially-responsible fund that was created in 2006, said that too big to fail (TBTF) banks are also “too big to own.” The TBTF firms are now treated by the fund like those that “derive substantial revenues from the tobacco, alcohol, pornography, gambling, or weapons industries,” according to the fund’s filings. It is the first mutual fund to explicitly state that it will not invest in TBTF banks, the $140 million fund said in its announcement. “The cost of bailing out Wall Street since 2008 is over $3 trillion, or more than $20,000 per taxpayer, and that cost is increasing daily,” Adam Strauss, one of the fund’s co-portfolio managers, said in a statement. “The financial burden of that bailout will be felt for a generation and will be paid by children, some not yet born. Instead of an industry structure where the largest banks are serving the economy by lending capital, U.S. policies and regulations favor the largest banks, which have proven themselves incapable of fiscal rectitude. “Given the failure of regulators to prevent the previous credit crisis and the subsequent failure of legislators to break up the massive and very much interconnected banks that helped to create the crisis, it is incumbent on depositors and investors to vote with their wallets. Until the financial system is truly restructured, the Appleseed Fund will avoid investments in Too-Big-To-Fail banks, choosing instead to invest in regional banks, community banks, and credit unions which lend money to families and businesses that operate in the productive sectors of our economy,” he added. Though the fund does not own any shares in any of the five banks it identifies as too big to fail, its official policy will go into effect on Jul 1. The fund invests in undervalued stocks for the long-term, making it a “value fund” that employs a similar investment strategy as famed investor Warren Buffett. According to Morningstar, a widely-watched mutual fund data provider, the fund is the top performing midcap value fund over the past three years, generating a 3.5 percent annualized return for its investors. The second-ranked fund generated a 0.4 percent return. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index returned a negative 9.8 percent over the same period. “The banking system’s current industry incentives are misaligned since employees keep a disproportionate amount of the profits while taxpayers subsidize the losses; this unhealthy imbalance is unsustainable and encourages excessive financial speculation,” Strauss said. “In the financial reform bill which recently passed the House of Representatives [and will likely soon pass the Senate], Congress failed to break up or limit the size and scope of the largest banks that have destabilized the financial system and destroyed so much value over the past five years. We were disappointed lawmakers did not stand up to the banking lobby in order to avoid future bailouts. Without meaningful reform, we fear the next crisis will be larger and more devastating than the last,” he added. Strauss said his fund has deemed five banks Too Big To Fail because they each hold derivatives contracts totaling at least $10 trillion in notional value. JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley, which dominate the derivatives market, are the only U.S. banks that fit this criteria. The next closest bank, Wells Fargo, holds $3.7 trillion. Those five banks join the likes of Altria Group (parent company of Philip Morris USA), Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (the world’s largest beer brewer and maker of Budweiser), and Lockheed Martin (one of the world’s biggest weapons manufacturers) on the list of firms the fund refuses to invest in. Strauss said the fund hasn’t invested in TBTF banks since the end of 2007. It had owned shares of Citigroup, which comprised about four percent of the fund’s portfolio. Citi, in fact, was one of the fund’s top holdings. But after news reports about the bank’s structured investment vehicles began to surface, Strauss and his team dumped their shares. Known as SIVs, the off-balance-sheet entities enabled banks to offload hundreds of billions of dollars in loans and securities, freeing up the banks to loan out even more money. Citi’s were particularly toxic, forcing the bank to bring them onto the firm’s balance sheet and absorb tens of billions in losses. The full extent of Citi’s SIVs had not been previously disclosed until the fall of 2007. “When that happened, we basically stopped everything in our office and spent a week looking at Citigroup, trying to understand what was going on and really how much exposure they had,” Strauss said. They eventually dumped their Citi position at around $45 a share. It closed Thursday at $3.97. “When we sold Citigroup we determined that it wasn’t just Citigroup but it was a lot of banks that were involved with these SIVs and in the whole securitization market that were going to have capital problems and were going to have to raise capital,” Strauss said. “We’ve stayed out since then.” However, it was the recent bonus binge at TBTF banks that solidified the fund’s thinking. “What’s been remarkable to us has been the compensation that’s been paid out over this last year, even while if you marked their assets to market most of these banks would be insolvent,” Strauss said. “For these banks to be as unhealthy as they are, for them to be paying out the kind of compensation that they’re paying, seems to us to be irresponsible. And, at the same time, there are risks they’re taking with their balance sheet, and if those risks go wrong the American public is on the hook for them.” He continued: “In retrospect, it seems clear that much of went on during the whole housing-bubble, credit-bubble era was that regulators were captured by the banks. It seems to us now that Congress is captured by the banks, which is why the bill being discussed right now doesn’t include any concept of breaking up the banks or reducing them down to size. “As a fund, we don’t think [Too Big To Fail banks are] responsible, we don’t think we’re going to make a lot of money on them,” Strauss added. “We’d rather invest in other kinds of banks.” The Appleseed Fund is managed by Pekin Singer Strauss, a 20-year-old Chicago-based investment firm. The fund’s investors have received an annualized return of 5.7 percent since inception. Echoing the view held by many former federal regulators, current regional Federal Reserve Bank presidents, top economists and leading market participants, Strauss said that Congress had a chance to enact meaningful reform when it came to ending Too Big To Fail, but failed. That’s another reason why the fund enacted its recent policy. “It seems to us that true meaningful reform is not going to occur,” said Strauss. “The reason that we’re out is that we don’t feel comfortable that the reforms that are being implemented are going to protect depositors or investors or taxpayers. And so we just want to stay as far away as possible for investment reasons.” He added that the dearth of criminal prosecutions that should have arisen from what some have said was a fraud-induced bubble also convinced him that policymakers weren’t serious about tackling too big to fail. “Think about during the last bear market all of the people who were indicted or went to jail related to fraud,” Strauss said. “You had Enron, you had WorldCom — we went after those executives. “Where are the criminal prosecutions in this particular scenario? Where are the true reforms to make sure this doesn’t occur again? We just don’t see it. We appreciate that there’s going to be a lot more regulation in place, but we don’t feel confident that the regulators are going to avoid being captured by the Too Big To Fail banks this time any more than they were last time.” Strauss added that the fund’s thinking on the pending financial reform bill, now called Dodd-Frank after its leading Democratic sponsors, Senator Christopher Dodd of Connecticut and Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts, is consistent with Sen. Russ Feingold’s views . In a June 30 statement the Wisconsin progressive said the bill “caves to Wall Street interests [and] it doesn’t meet the test of preventing another financial crisis.” He opposes the bill. “As long as there are banks that are too big to fail then the banking system hasn’t been reformed enough,” Strauss said. Told that the Obama administration has repeatedly said that the Dodd-Frank bill ends too big to fail, Strauss replied: “Honestly, we’re skeptical of a lot of the things we hear.” ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is the business reporter for the Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; and/or become a fan and get e-mail alerts when he writes.

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Mary Bottari: Wall St. Reform Bill Yields Big Win for Little Countries

July 8, 2010

You know that Wall Street reform bill pending in the Senate? Some last minute insertions add up to a surprisingly big win for the developing world. Oil Companies Required to Detail the Dough Paid to Foreign Governments First, kudos to Senators Dick Lugar (R-Indiana) and Ben Cardin (D-Maryland) for inserting strong provisions that require extractive companies (oil, natural gas, etc.) to detail in their annual Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings the payments they make to foreign governments. One would think that oil-rich and mineral-rich countries would be, well, rich. Big international firms move in to extract these resources and pay royalties, fees, taxes, bonuses and other monies to national governments. Unfortunately, too frequently this money is put to work lining the pockets of dictators and warlords, rather than building schools or health clinics. Lugar’s bill, which was supported by The ONE Campaign , forces U.S. companies to issue an annual report on the type and total amount of these payments as well as governments in receipt of payments. A coordinated international effort is afoot to get the governments to do the same, so that discrepancies can be spotted. For instance, an initial reporting effort in Nigeria indicates over $800 million of unresolved differences between what companies said that they paid and what the government said it received. Exxon Mobile and Shell are only two of the big U.S. firms operating in Nigeria, where catastrophic oil spills are endemic . Once U.S. firms are required to detail their payments to foreign officials, the citizens of these countries will know how much their governments are receiving and from whom, giving them a fighting chance to hold their government accountable for investing those funds in critical needs such as food, health and education. High-Tech Firms Required to Report on Conflict Minerals Three cheers for Senators Sam Brownback (R-Kansas) and Russ Feingold (D-Wisconsin) for making progress regarding the war in the Congo and the problem of conflict minerals. Eastern Congo is the site of an on-going and horrific war that has claimed 5 million lives. Many U.S. consumers will be surprised to learn that their pretty, shiny toys including iPhone, iPad, iPod and Mac, laptops and digital cameras are linked to this conflict by the tin, tantalum, tungsten found inside these products. The Congolese militia owns and controls many of the mines that source these materials, and too many U.S. firms are not being rigorous in ensuring that their supply chain does not include the mines that fuel the conflict. As New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof wrote in a column entitled Death by Gadget: “They want you to look at a gadget and think sleek, not blood.” For over a year, the Enough project , the rocking anti-genocide organization, has tried to raise awareness of the issue and has hounded the firms — including Apple, Dell, HP, Nintendo and Research In Motion (Makers of Blackberry) — with some effective netroots campaigning. Campaigners are thrilled the measure was included in the financial reform bill and are anxious to see the bill passed. The Brownback-Feingold measure would force firms to report on where they get their mineral inputs, and submit to an independent audit. Campaigners expect that public pressure will force them to clean up their supply chain and make sure they are getting their tantalum from Australia rather than from the Congo. The measure also requires the U.S. State Department to develop a map of mines owned by the militia and develop a detailed plan to address the problem. Wall Street Forced to Spin Off Food Commodity Speculation Harper’s Magazine has an incredible story in its July edition exposing how Wall Street speculators bumped up food commodity prices 80% between 2005-2008. Once the housing market began to go south, they needed to engage in other speculative investments to keep those big bonuses rolling in. According to Harper’s: “The global speculative frenzy sparked riots in more that thirty countries and drove the number of the world’s food insecure to more than a billion. The ranks of the hungry had increased by 250 million in a single year, the most abysmal increase in all of human history.” Thanks to Senators Blanche Lincoln (D-Arkansas), Senator Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), the Wall Street reform bill brings these speculative bubbles out of the shadows and into the light of day. Large Wall Street firms engaged in speculative food and energy derivatives trading will be forced to spin off their derivatives desks into a separately capitalized affiliate, making speculation in these markets much more costly. In addition, all trades will be cleared by regulators and exchange traded where pricing and positions will be transparent. Capital requirements and margin requirements will apply, putting real money behind the bets. Position limits will apply, making it more difficult for a few players to dominate the market. “If used seriously, these are extremely effective policy tools for inhibiting and bursting speculative bubbles,” says economist Robert Pollin, who has written about the harms caused by commodity speculation for developed and developing nations. These small provisions aid in global efforts to bring transparency and accountability to international firms that travel around the world and quietly engage in destructive business practices that they don’t want their customers or shareholder to know about. By cracking down on these shameful business practices, the Wall Street reform bill take a big step in the right direction. The bill is one vote short in the Senate, let Congress know you support the reform effort .

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