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Huffington Post…

After getting off to a rocky start at the beginning of President Obama’s term, the stock market has grown steadily. Consider the Dow Jones, which went up 128 points on Wednesday alone. Even if you don’t have a stock portfolio overflowing with GOOG and AAPL, and especially if you’re involved with a nonprofit or charity, here’s another reason to be thankful for the Obama administration’s success in turning the stock markets around: Commonfund, the 40-year-old Connecticut-based financial advisor to educational and nonprofit endowments, has just released two companion studies of 175 foundations, including 135 private/public foundations and 40 community foundations and operating charities, with a combined total of $108.2 billion in assets. The Commonfund studies found that investment returns of the foundations were in the range of 12 percent in FY2010. This is critical, as it’s the interest or returns on investments that is disbursed by most foundations and charities. Commonfund notes that while the 12 percent returns in FY 2010 were well below the 21 percent range posted in the Obama recovery year of FY2009, these two consecutive years of double-digit returns served as a welcome offset to the 26 percent portfolio decline experienced by these organizations in FY2008, during the final year of the Bush administration. In fact, the average investment returns in 2010 were the fourth highest in the nine years that the foundation study has been conducted and the third highest in the seven years of the operating charities study. According to Commonfund’s executive director John Griswold, foundation funds are still tight, but the situation appears to be less than the crisis that has been feared in the non-profit sector: “Two consecutive years of good performance is a great relief for foundations and operating charities participating in the two Studies after the serious erosion in asset values experienced in FY2008. While three-year returns are just about flat, five- and 10-year returns are edging back into the range of 5 percent, which is an encouraging sign although it still falls short of covering these nonprofit organizations’ spending, inflation and costs.” The same is true with regard to the levels of giving: Among operating charities, giving was stronger in FY2010, but far from robust. Among responding institutions, 17 percent reported decreased giving in FY2010, a marked improvement over the 38 percent that reported decreased giving in FY2009. Finally, the study found that levels of giving by foundations are inching up, with the largest foundations, not surprisingly, leading the way, with community foundations, perhaps hedging their bets about the recovery, giving away the least to nonprofits and charities. Given the “pipeline” effect, resulting from the time delay for foundations and charities to pass along the available funds resulting from their investment returns, nonprofits over the past year or two may have been feeling the lingering results of the poor stock market under the final year of the Bush administration, whereas the revenue from the past year or two may just, in many cases, be starting to flow. If so, that is certainly welcome news to nonprofits. At the same time, this all represents another example of the inextricable ties between “too big to fail” Wall Street and the rest of the nation.

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Bill Lichtenstein: Obama’s Wall Street Turnaround Good for Nonprofits

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Huffington Post…

Markets are efficient, or so we’ve been told. I am not here to put a rebuttal to this academic nonsense, but let me give you one of the core reasons why markets are and will remain inefficient: because human beings are efficient. To function in everyday life, our brains are used to simplifying complex problems, through pattern recognition. We become accustomed to drawing straight lines when we see two points, and if we get a third or fourth point that fits the line, our confidence about the longevity (continuity) of the line increases exponentially. We become excited, even certain, about prospects of the company we’ve invested in when its stock has gone up for a long period of time, while we often dismiss stocks that have declined or flat-lined, especially if that happened for a considerable period of time. Imagine an analyst bringing a “fresh” stock idea to a portfolio manager at a large mutual fund. He’d say something among these lines: Cisco is a buy, it has a bulletproof balance sheet with $25 billion of net cash (cash less debt), the stock is cheap — trading at 9 times earnings (excluding net cash), it’s providing double-digit returns on capital and it is a dominant player in the industry, which is poised to grow at a faster rate than the economy, since, thanks to iPads, Androids, Kindles, Hulus, and Netflixes, we’ll all continue to consume digital content. I can just see the portfolio manager’s smile, his laugh and comment that “This stock is a value trap, it has gone nowhere in more than a decade.” I’m glad I’m not that analyst, as I’d have a huge burden to overcome. After all, Cisco has shattered the dotcom dreams of many investors in the years following 1999, when it hit $80 a share and, for a brief moment, was one of the most valuable companies in the world, sporting a modest P/E of 100+. Since then, gravity has caught up with Cisco’s stock (it always does), and it has declined almost 80% from its highs, to $17. Most investors who bought the stock since ’99 either lost or made no money. Draw a straight line through its chart (you have more than a decade’s worth of data points), and you see it’s either going to zero or at least will continue to go nowhere. Now, you add to this performance a few quarters of disappointing Wall Street guidance, and you have an untouchable, un-recommendable stock. However, fundamentals — take any metric: revenues, earnings, cash flows — will tell a very different story: they either tripled or quadrupled since 1999. Through no fault of its own, Cisco’s stock was too expensive in 1999, and it took time for the stock to catch up to its fundamentals. Of course, as usually happens, investors get overexcited on both sides of valuation. The same investors who could not get enough of Cisco at over 100 times a little more than decade ago, don’t want touch it at 9 times earnings with a ten-foot pole. (Here is efficient market for you). The dark shadow of the stock performance hides an attractive investment. Cisco is not a spring chicken anymore, it has over $40 billion in sales. It will likely see some margin compression as parts of its business mature. Its revenue and earnings will grow at a slower rate than they did over the last decade. But at its current price Cisco doesn’t have to do anything heroic to justify its valuation, it just needs to show that it has a pulse. It is very difficult to get a unique insight into Cisco’s business or that of any large-cap stock; after all, they are followed by a small army of analysts (Cisco is followed by some 40 analysts). Some sell-side analysts undoubtedly know what John Chambers’ (Cisco’s CEO) favorite cereal is, and can recite the model number of every Cisco router by heart. Most of us cannot compete with that, nor do we need to. First of all, you need to have a time horizon longer than Wall Street’s. Wall Street is very short-term-oriented, and mutual fund managers are judged and compensated on their monthly and quarterly performance. Sell-side analysts are there to serve their buy-side masters, and thus expend their energy analyzing the next quarter, not the next five years. Therefore a time horizon longer than Wall Street is significant competitive advantage in itself. Cisco’s earnings three, five years from now are likely to be significantly higher than they are today. It is also important to understand that even a much-followed stock like Cisco will suffer from inefficiency (which as a value investor I welcome), due to investors confusing the lousy stock with the company’s fundamental performance. That is how you find high-quality companies at bargain-basement prices. Understanding what happened in the past is important, not because it is the precursor to the future, but because it helps to build the analytical bridge, through our own analysis, from today into the future. Be inefficient – don’t draw straight lines. Vitaliy N. Katsenelson, CFA, is Chief Investment Officer at Investment Management Associates in Denver, Colo. He is the author of The Little Book of Sideways Markets (Wiley, December 2010). To receive Vitaliy’s future articles by email, click here or read his articles here . See also: ■Microsoft Just Pulled Another “Microsoft” with its Purchase of Skype » ■I am back! » Copyright Vitaliy N. Katsenelson 2011. This article may be republished only in its entirety and without modifications.

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Vitaliy N. Katsenelson: The Boulevard of Broken Charts

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CNBC Anchor Mark Haines Dies

May 25, 2011

NEW YORK — Mark Haines, co-anchor of CNBC’s morning “Squawk on the Street” show, died unexpectedly on Tuesday evening, the network said. He was 65. The network said he died in his home. It did not specify the cause of death. Haines worked at CNBC for 22 years after working as a news anchor at TV stations in Philadelphia, New York and Providence, R.I. He was the founding anchor of CNBC’s “Squawk Box” morning show. In 2005, he started co-anchoring “Squawk On The Street,” a 9 a.m. to 11 a.m. show, with Erin Burnett, while “Squawk Box” was pushed to an earlier slot. Burnett recently left CNBC to host a general news show on CNN. CNBC President Mark Hoffman said Haines was “always the unflappable pro.” “He was an authentic voice in business media,” said Eric Jackson, who runs the hedge fund Ironfire Capital. “He resonated with so many people because he would speak out, and with opinion. Too often the media lets the corporate PR army and highly trained CEOs get their points across without question. He wouldn’t let that happen.” WATCH: Barry Ritholtz, head of the research firm Fusion IQ and frequent guest on CNBC, said Haines was “a no-nonsense straight shooter. He knew what questions to ask and how to ask them.” Ritholtz said that the biggest complaint about CNBC in the 1990s was that its anchors cheered on the stock-market bubble. He said the exception was Haines, who was always skeptical. “He was trained as an attorney,” Ritholtz said. “He brought that keen lawyer’s eye to everything he did. It wasn’t something often seen in the financial media.” Haines had a law degree from the University of Pennsylvania and was a member of the New Jersey State Bar Association, CNBC said. Haines is also remembered for calling a bottom to the stock market decline on March 10, 2009, his first call of the recession. The Dow Jones Industrial Average never closed below its level of March 9. Haines is survived by his wife, Cindy, his son, Matt, and daughter, Meredith. CNBC said funeral arrangements have yet to be made.

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Dennis Whittle: Treating Employees as People

May 23, 2011

Over the period 1998-2008, the stock of the companies voted “best to work for” appreciated nearly seven times as much as the stock of the average company. The most admired companies on Fortune Magazine’s list had double the market returns of their competitors over a seven year period. Only 13 percent of unhappy employees recommend their company’s products, vs. 78 percent of happy employees. Those are just some of the findings reported in Dave Ulrich and Wendy Ulrich’s book The Why of Work .

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Video: Louis Navellier Says `It’s Time to Pick the Winners’

May 20, 2011

May 20 (Bloomberg) — Louis Navellier, chief investment officer at Navellier & Associates Inc., talks about his investment strategy and some of his stock picks. He speaks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Soros Dumps His Entire Stake Of Gold

May 17, 2011

NEW YORK/BOSTON (By Frank Tang and Aaron Pressman) – Billionaire financier George Soros, who called gold “the ultimate bubble,” dumped almost his entire $800 million stake in bullion in the first quarter, well before a commodities slump blamed partly on reports he was liquidating his holdings. Famed gold bull John Paulson held his ground, but Soros was joined in the retreat by several other big names, including Eric Mindich and Paul Touradji, according to 13-F filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission that provide the best insight into where hedge funds are placing their bets. Soros, who has been bullish on gold in the past several years, cut his holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD.P: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) to just $6.9 million by the end of first quarter, compared with $655 million in December, becoming the most high-profile investors to turn his back on one of the market’s best-performing assets. He also liquidated a 5 million share stake in the iShares Gold Trust (IAU.P: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), the filings showed. His total holdings in gold-backed ETFs was $774 million as of December. Gold rose for a tenth consecutive quarter in the three months to March, hitting record highs above $1,400 an ounce, buoyed by political turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa and lingering worries about indebted European countries. The gains accelerated in April, but peaked at the start of this month, reaching a record $1,575 an ounce on May 2. Prices have since fallen more than 5 percent amid the biggest commodities slump since late 2008, a move partly triggered by a Wall Street Journal report that Soros’ $28 billion fund was selling precious metals — and felling fears other big funds were also seeing a peak. Eric Mindich, who runs the Eton Park Capital Management, nearly halved his stake in the SPDR gold trust to $326 million for the first quarter, a filing showed on Monday. Mindich’s fund also owned $839 million worth of call options by the end of first quarter, compared with $1.1 billion worth of put options at the end of the fourth quarter. Touradji Capital Management, one of the world’s largest commodities-oriented hedge funds run by Paul Touradji sold 173,000 shares in the SPDR Gold Trust during the quarter. Those shares would be worth about $25 million at current prices. But John Paulson, who notched the industry’s biggest ever payout last year, kept his 31.5 million share or $4.4 billion stake in the SPDR fund, remaining the biggest shareholder of the world’s largest gold-backed exchange traded fund for the quarter, according to regulatory filings. DEFLATION THREAT RECEDES The sales make sense given that Soros said he had bought gold because he was worried about deflation, said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Pittsburgh. “It’s pretty hard to make the case for deflation right now so if that was a reason you were buying gold, you should take this signal from Soros,” he said. Inflation is now the greater concern, Luschini said. So most investors should still keep about 3 percent to 5 percent of their assets in gold to protect against inflation and possible further problems in the world financial system. Soros also slashed stakes in gold and silver mining companies during the first quarter. The firm owned 1.4 million shares of Kinross Gold (K.TO: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) at the end of the quarter, down from 4 million shares three months earlier. Holdings in Novagold Resources (NG.TO: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) dropped to 3.5 million shares from 12.9 million. Gold ended the first quarter little changed, as the spot gold prices were only $10 higher to end at $1,430 an ounce on March 31, and the SPDR Gold Trust was up 1.3 percent. In the second quarter, gold hit a record high $1,575.79 an ounce on May 2 fueled by the outlook of low U.S. interest rates. So far in the second quarter, SPDR Gold Trust’s bullion holdings gained only about 1 percent to 1,229 tonnes as of Friday, well below its record high at 1,320.436 tonnes set on June 29 last year. Institutional investment managers are required to file form 13-F with the SEC within 45 days after the end of each quarter. (Reporting by Frank Tang, editing by Andre Grenon) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Video: Brown Says Goldman Has `Big Bullseye On Its Back’

May 13, 2011

May 13 (Bloomberg) — Thomas Brown, chief executive officer at Second Curve Capital LLC and a Bloomberg Television contributing editor, discusses Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s stock performance and outlook. The bank closed at its lowest level in more than eight months yesterday after Rochdale Securities LLC analyst Richard Bove told investors to sell the stock on fears the Department of Justice is being pressured to bring a criminal lawsuit against the firm. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Taxpayers Take Hit On Lower-Priced AIG Stock Sale

May 11, 2011

NEW YORK: American International Group and the U.S. Treasury will sell nearly $9 billion in AIG stock, they said on Wednesday, a huge offering but less than half of what had been contemplated earlier this year. AIG shares fell more than 2 percent in premarket trading on the news, continuing the sharp slide that has knocked more than a third off the company’s value in the last four months. At the premarket price, AIG is less than 30 cents a share from the government’s break-even point. To be sure, when AIG was rescued in September 2008, few expected it would even exist today. The company received $182 billion in bailouts and managed to restructure while preserving two core businesses. But the prospective offering of 100 million shares by the company and 200 million shares by the Treasury has been pressured by the slide in AIG’s stock. A mix of heavy interest from short-sellers betting the shares would fall further, dilution fears for those with long positions and operational questions linked to legacy charges at two AIG units weighed on the shares, driving them from the mid-$40s range to the upper $20s. AIG said last Friday it needed to raise $3 billion in the offering, which would imply a price of around $30 a share. But one investor said Wednesday the offering was more likely to price at a discount to where the shares are now, a view shared by most sources familiar with the process. If the stock priced at a 5 percent discount to Tuesday’s close, as has been suggested is possible, the offering would be worth $8.44 billion. When Wall Street banks offered their services to manage the stock sale in January, there was talk of an offering of more than $20 billion. The U.S. Treasury also has the option to sell an extra 45 million shares to cover any over-allotments, which would raise the value of the sale to more than $10 billion. Assuming the Treasury sells only the 200 million shares, the government’s stake in AIG would fall to 77 percent from the current 92 percent. (Reporting by Ben Berkowitz; Editing by Derek Caney, Maureen Bavdek, Dave Zimmerman) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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GM Makes Big Investment In U.S. Plants

May 10, 2011

(Bernie Woodall) – General Motors Co said on Tuesday it will invest about $2 billion in 17 U.S. plants, including a facility here that makes transmissions for small cars, as the automaker shifts from recovery mode to investing in future products. GM said the plans will create or preserve more than 4,000 jobs as it retools the plants in eight states. The company employs 202,000 people globally, including 77,000 in the United States. “We are doing this because we are confident about demand for our vehicles and the economy,” GM Chief Executive Daniel Akerson said in a statement. Investors and analysts have speculated on GM’s plans for its growing pile of cash as the company’s liquidity has reached $36.5 billion. It earned $3.2 billion in the first quarter after posting net income of $4.7 billion for all of last year, its first full-year profit since 2004. GM did not disclose the timeline for the investments or in what other facilities it will invest other than to say more announcements will be made “over the next few months.” Executives previously signaled GM’s focus on building cars would only grow, as shown by last week’s announcement to invest $131 million revamping a Kentucky factory for a new version of the iconic Chevrolet Corvette sports car. The Kentucky announcement is part of the $2 billion plan. Another key issue as GM adds jobs is how many will be in the so-called second-tier wages that are about half those of veteran union-represented employees. The lower wage will figure prominently as major U.S. automakers face labor talks with the United Auto Workers this summer. GM filed for bankruptcy in 2009 after the U.S. housing downturn and a spike in gasoline prices the year before that caused consumers to turn away from its high-profit but fuel-hungry trucks. The U.S. automaker emerged from bankruptcy 40 days later thanks to a $52 billion taxpayer-funded bailout and sold shares in an initial public offering last November. Since exiting bankruptcy, GM said it has invested $3.4 billion in its U.S. plants, creating or retaining more than 9,000 jobs. The investment is not a surprise and by delaying the details of the specific plants affected GM maximizes the attention it will receive as it works to assure taxpayers the bailout was money well-spent, said Mirko Mikelic, senior portfolio manager with Fifth Third Asset Management. “They probably underinvested in some of these plants for the last few years,” said Mikelic, whose firm has held GM bonds and preferred securities in the past and still follows the stock. “They were keeping a handle on their cash. For years, in terms of R&D, they’ve been behind particularly Toyota.” The U.S. government still owns 32 percent of GM’s common shares and many investors see that as an overhang on the stock. Last month, sources said the Treasury could sell a significant portion of its GM shares by fall. GM shares were up 0.4 percent at $31.51 on Tuesday afternoon, compared with their IPO price last November of $33. (Additional reporting by Ben Klayman in Detroit, editing by Matthew Lewis) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Champagne And Easy Money: The Web’s Young Stars Confront Another Bubble

May 10, 2011

Peter Thiel looked on in awe. The billionaire early investor in Facebook and co-founder of PayPal, Thiel had spent countless hours in close quarters with young entrepreneurs. But he’d never traveled through the Caribbean on a 14-story cruise ship with 1,000 of them. For three days in April just off the coast of Miami, the ship served as the venue for this year’s Summit Series , an invite-only business conference that draws some of the world’s most successful Internet startup founders. The yacht, the flowing champagne and the brand-name speakers were all part of Summit’s three-year-old business model: convene an elite group of young entrepreneurs, add investors, philanthropists, alcohol and a few celebrities and see what happens. This year’s gathering was the largest Summit yet — perhaps a sign of the times. For an elite class of tech entrepreneurs, including many who danced and drank on the cruise, there is no recession, no unemployment crisis. But, as waves of cash flow into Internet startups, there is talk of a sequel to the late ’90s dot-com bubble . “Markets are defined by greed and fear. We are in the greed mode right now,” declared Fred Wilson, a top New York City venture capitalist, in a blog post late last month. “This is a time to raise money and sock it away for a rainy day.” Startups are heeding Wilson’s advice. Thus far, 2011 has been the venture capital industry’s best annual fundraising start since 2001, as deep-pocketed backers aimed funds at hot late-stage technology companies, such as Facebook, Twitter and Zynga. Facebook’s value rose 58 percent during the first quarter to $65 billion, according to research firm Nyppex, while Zynga’s climbed 80 percent to $8 billion. As U.S. venture capitalists raised $7 billion during the first quarter of 2011, Internet firms snatched up $2.3 billion in funds, according to research firm CB insights. Those totals were up 76 percent and 46 percent, respectively, from the first quarter of 2010. Across the globe, more than $5 billion flowed into young web companies in the first four months of 2011, Reuters reported . The result has been something of a mad dash to raise startup funds — any funds. At the Summit Series, attendees could hardly throw a business card without hitting the founder of an Internet company that had raised millions in recent months. Take Travis Kalanick, a Summit-goer who founded Uber , an on-demand car service that uses mobile apps. In February, less than eight months after its launch, Uber rounded up nearly $12 million from investors at a $60 million valuation. Kalanick said Uber has more than 10 investors with a long line of suitors eager to snap up shares. Aaron Batalion, co-founder of the daily deals site LivingSocial , also had something to toast at this year’s Summit. Four days before the conference, and less than four months after landing a $175 million investment, Living Social raised $400 million at a whopping $3 billion dollar valuation. The cash rolling in at many young Internet companies has been a welcome, if frothy, development: In 2009, venture capital investments fell to a 12-year low , according to a report by National Venture Capital Association and PricewaterhouseCoopers. “During the downturn, good companies just couldn’t get funding,” said John Frankel, a partner at ff Venture Capital. “But the pendulum has quickly swung back.” In 2010, venture capital investments rose for the first time in three years, to $21.8 billion. Frankel and other investors say that in recent months they’ve seen valuations for early-stage web startups jump to two or three times the level of the previous three years. “You’ve got a whole group of investors who missed out on Groupon and Facebook and really don’t want to miss out on the next big deal,” Ben Lerer, founder of the online men’s lifestyle network Thrillist and a partner at Lerer Ventures, told an audience at Bloomberg’s Empowered Entrepreneur conference in April. “There’s a lot of money out there,” Lerer added. (Lerer is the son of Ken Lerer, a cofounder of The Huffington Post.) Wall Street, too, has raced to get in on the flood of attention on Internet startups. Rather than waiting for high-flying tech companies like Facebook, Zynga or Twitter to go public, banks are piling into the private secondary markets in an attempt to cash in. (Aboard the Summit Series’ 14-story yacht) In January, Goldman Sachs invested $450 million in Facebook in a deal that valued the social network at $50 billion. Last week, Reuters reported that a group of Facebook shareholders is trying to offload $1 billion worth of shares on the private secondary market. The sale would value the social-networking giant at more than $70 billion. In February, JPMorgan Chase raised $1.22 billion for its Digital Growth Fund to invest exclusively in later-stage tech companies. The bank quickly purchased a 10 percent stake in Twitter, valuing the company at $4.5 billion. Companies that are selling stock through secondary markets are getting the economic benefits of going public without increasing disclosure, said Jim Anderson, the head of Silicon Valley Bank’s software, Internet and e-commerce division. “Valuations are just indicators,” Anderson added. For many web companies, he warned, “there’s real uncertainty about the revenue model.” The red-hot market for private company shares has drawn the attention of the Securities and Exchange Commission and led critics to call it a “shadow market” where investors are being kept in the dark about the companies they are buying into. Even as employees or VCs use secondary markets like SecondMarket or SharesPost to sell their stock, the companies themselves are not required by law to disclose detailed financial information. Historically, employees and early investors at successful tech startups were left holding valuable stock they couldn’t unload until an IPO or an acquisition. But secondary markets, their proponents say, free up capital by allowing employees and early investors at private tech companies to unload their stock before a public offering. At least some of this new cash is circulating back into the startup world. Armed with the expertise, money and interest, tech entrepreneurs-turned-investors are assisting and financing the current generation of startup founders. Some do it because investing in startups is more appealing than leaving cash in the bank or putting it in the stock market; some do it simply to stay plugged into the startup world. “You now have a wave of entrepreneurs who have founded companies, sold their stock, and are using the money to either start another company or reinvest in other startups,” said Frankel, the venture capitalist. THE SUMMIT COLLECTIVE “The Roots are about to take center stage for their final performance of the Summit Series,” blared a voice over the ship’s intercom. Moments later, crowds poured out onto the pool deck as a neon laser-light show pulsated across the boat’s stern. Three days of hyperactive networking mixed with champagne, extreme ocean sports and TED-style speeches by industry titans like Richard Branson and Google executive Jared Cohen had worn attendees down. But the celebration continued on through the night. Not until 6 a.m., when boat security ordered the crowds to disperse, did attendees finally return to their rooms. Summit’s final morning wasn’t the only time the ship’s security intervened in the festivities. Earlier in the trip, two tipsy attendees were detained and subsequently fined after jumping off the boat into the ocean. (The jump, a premeditated dare, did not result in any injuries.) For many, Summit felt more like a spring break getaway with friends than a business conference. Weeks before the jaunt, participants connected with friends and colleagues online using Summit’s private social network, dubbed “The Collective.” On the ship, they sported lanyards that carried their name and company and were provided with small plastic “e-toys” to swap virtual business cards. Yet many didn’t need identification. Attendees already knew fellow “Summiteers” from previous conferences or through business dealings. Summit’s collective is a microcosm for the startup world: a group of young, smart, mostly white males hailing from the East or West Coast who are intimately connected to the investment community either through exclusive social networks, late nights spent boozing at invite-only gatherings — or because they are active investors themselves. “I don’t remember seeing so many 27-year-old angel investors running around,” said one Summit attendee, who also noted that many attendees blurred the line between startup founders and startup investors. Though data on individual investors, also known as “angel investors,” is scarce, it is widely believed that the total number of angels and amount of angel investments has grown substantially in the past five years. (A panel at this year’s Summit Series) Part of the reason is individuals now have access to a wide array of resources that didn’t exist five years ago to learn the trade and to access deals, such as AngelList, an online networking service that matches entrepreneurs with investors. “The result is better and more reliable investors which is a huge benefit to entrepreneurs,” said James Geshwiler, founding chairman of CommonAngels, a Boston-based network of investors. And for the “in crowd” of entrepreneurs at Summit, there’s no shortage of opportunities. “It’s very different than it was a few years ago,” said Robby Walker, co-founder of Greplin, an Internet search tool that lets users search across their Facebook, LinkedIn and other personal Web services. “A few years ago, when you raised a Series A, investors did due diligence and lawyers got in involved. Now you do a convertible note over lunch.” Greplin raised $4 million during its first round of financing, or Series A, in February and now boasts a distinguished group of angels including Bret Taylor, the former CTO of Facebook; Paul Buchheit, co-founder of FriendFreed; and Christina Brodbeck, a design lead at YouTube. As cash piles up and today’s top entrepreneurs become pickier about whom they take money from, a new class system for investors is emerging. “We’re not just looking for money, we’re looking for someone to offer advice, networks and relationships,” said one tech entrepreneur at the Summit Series who spoke on the condition of anonymity. But, to some, stories of soaring valuations and seamless funding rounds are reminiscent of the late 1990s, when cash flooded the markets and set off a dot-com craze. That bubble burst in 2000, littering the tech field with failed companies and heavy losses. Yet many analysts say there are notable differences between the late-’90s boom and today’s Internet investment environment. For one, venture capital firms are investing considerably less capital than they were during the boom. Ben Horowitz, co-founder and general partner at venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, crunched the numbers and found that venture capital firms had invested $200 billion between 1998 and 2000. More dollars were invested in that single 3-year period than in total over the prior 18 years. Between 2008 and 2010, venture capital firms invested $90 billion, which is less than half the 1998-2000 level. “I remember 1999,” said email service ccLoop founder Michael Wolfe, who was previously the vice president of engineering at Kana , a web-based communications firm that went public in 1999 at a multibillion-dollar valuation. “Today’s valuations may be 20, 30 or 50 percent too high, but they’re nothing compared to the valuations we saw during the late-’90s bubble.” Those valuations, according to Wolfe, were around 10 times what they should have been. Horwitz and Wolfe are part of a growing chorus of analysts who view the current surge as more of a boom than a bubble. “I’m bullish on the fundamental’s of today’s Web startups,” said Wolfe. Internet businesses, he points out, can be built with substantially less capital than in the ’90s because technology costs have dropped precipitously, enabling entrepreneurs to develop products and bring them to market quicker and with fewer resources. During the late-’90s boom, investors placed bets on capital-intensive Internet companies that burned through cash quickly and took years to turn a profit. Some analysts also claim that today’s tech investors are a different, more discerning breed. “In the ’90s grandmas were investing in startups,” said Walker, Greplin’s founder. “Today it is trained professionals and people with intimate knowledge of the space backing these companies.” Valuations for most late-’90s dot-com rockets generally didn’t soar until after companies went public, after which money from the masses piled in. This exposed ordinary investors — the day-traders and giddy optimists -– to risk as they rushed to the public markets to buy up tech stocks, some technology investors say. Today, valuations for the hottest technology companies are soaring well before initial public offerings. These companies are waiting longer to go public, which keeps average investors from buying shares — U.S. securities law prohibits investments by individual investors who have less than $1 million in assets (or below $200,000 in annual income). “It’s not your cab driver buying shares in today’s tech startups. It’s fairly smart, sophisticated individuals. These private markets are restricted to people who are generally not foolish with their money,” said John Frankel. But this doesn’t mean there’s not a bubble. Supposedly sophisticated investors can be just as susceptible to frenzies as the general public. After all, paid professionals fueled the most recent housing bubble. But if there is a tech bubble today, presumably the average Joe won’t be directly affected when it bursts, some analysts believe. Bubble detractors also say that high valuations for today’s hottest Internet companies are not inflated because the market opportunity for digital media has become so large. Today, about one in three people are online, or roughly two billion global users, according to data from Internet World Stats , compared to 1999, when less than five percent of the global population used the Internet. Flush with cash and in the crosscurrents of several seemingly game-changing trends , the startup world is confident that tomorrow’s billion-dollar businesses are being built today. Thiel, in his keynote on the second day of the summit, offered some advice to an audience filled with entrepreneurs and investors. “One of the most important things Facebook did was never sell the company,” he said. That is the mantra echoing through the startup world right now: Don’t sell and stay private so you can maintain control of your company’s vision. If Summit’s attendees and the investors that floated in their wake are any indication, the world of soaring valuations, million-dollar funding rounds and lofty entrepreneurial hopes will, for now, remain invite-only. Disclosure: The reporter’s brother was involved in the creation of the Summit Series. He has not played a role in its organization since 2009.

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AIG Shares Fall Low Enough To Threaten Government Loss

May 9, 2011

Shares in bailed-out insurer American International Group (AIG.N) fell to their lowest levels in nearly eight months on Monday, potentially moving them into loss-making territory for the U.S. Treasury. The Treasury holds 92.11 percent of AIG and has a break-even point of about $28.72 per share on the stock. AIG shares fell 3.7 percent to $29.57 in morning trade. Assuming the government were to sell the stock at a 3 percent discount to its closing price — as researchers say the Treasury did with its shares in Citigroup (C.N) — it would lose money on the sale. In mid-January, the government stood to make a profit of more than $27 billion on its AIG stock, but the shares have lost more than a third of their value since. Last Thursday, AIG reported a loss of more than $1 billion from continuing operations for the first quarter. The Treasury and the company are expected to sell billions of dollars in stock this month, as the company demonstrates an ability to raise capital and the government embarks on reducing its stake. AIG has said it expects the government to have sold off its whole position by mid-2012. (Reporting by Ben Berkowitz, editing by Gerald E. McCormick) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Video: Grasso Says NYSE Merger Should Offer Pac Rim Exposure

May 6, 2011

May 6 (Bloomberg) — Richard Grasso, former chairman and chief executive officer of the New York Stock Exchange, talks about the battle for NYSE Euronext between Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. and IntercontinentalExchange Inc. and Deutsche Boerse AG. Grasso, speaking with Betty Liu and Dominic Chu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop,” also discusses measures taken to prevent another “flash crash” in the stock market. Ralph Schlosstein, chief executive officer of Evercore Partners Inc., also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Howard Buffett Calls Sokol’s Actions `Disappointing’

May 2, 2011

May 2 (Bloomberg) — Howard Buffett, who may help select his father Warren’s successor at Berkshire Hathaway Inc., spoke with Bloomberg Television’s Betty Liu yesterday about former MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co. Chairman David Sokol and the outlook for Berkshire’s leadership. Sokol bought about $10 million of Lubrizol Corp. shares in January while representing Berkshire in discussions about buying the engine-lubricant maker. He resigned in March amid revelations about the stock dealings. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Warren Buffett’s Mistake: How The Saint Of Capitalism Damaged His Reputation

May 1, 2011

Yesterday morning, thousands of shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway, one of the world’s most well-regarded companies, flocked to a convention hall in Omaha, Nebraska, for a meeting with their venerated leader, Warren Buffett. Over the course of his long and extremely lucrative career, Buffett has built a reputation for himself as a paragon of integrity and virtue, and the annual meeting of his company’s shareholders has come to resemble a sort of beatification ceremony, if you can imagine a religion in which the same person is beatified year after year. Buffett has called the gathering the “Woodstock of Capitalism,” nicely evoking both the massiveness of the crowd and the blissed-out vibe that pervades it. The vibe going into this year’s convention, however, was different. The trouble began about five months ago, when David Sokol, a top lieutenant in Berkshire Hathaway, persuaded Buffett to take over a chemical-products manufacturer called Lubrizol. Buffett later said that he had initially been cool on the idea, and it’s hard not to wonder if something Sokol told him bothered him on some level, even an unconscious one. At some point in their conversation, Sokol had mentioned that he owned personal stock in Lubrizol (his lawyer says that Buffett was in fact informed of this not once but twice), yet he didn’t say how much he owned or how he’d come to own it. As it turned out, Sokol had come to own the stock only a few weeks before, after learning about Lubrizol through a group of investment bankers who suggested that Berkshire look into buying the company. And as it also turned out, he’d come to own a lot of it — ten million dollars worth, to be exact. In other words, Sokol bought the shares knowing there was a chance he could convince Buffett to take over the company, which would almost certainly make the stocks’ value shoot up. Shoot up, it did. Buffett bought Lubrizol for 9 billion dollars, and Sokol’s 10 million dollars became 13 million. Was this insider trading? Perhaps. The legalities are murky. But as any first-year business student could have told you, it reflected poor ethical judgment on Sokol’s part. Sokol resigned when the full story came out, and is now under investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Buffet’s vaunted reputation, meanwhile, took a blow. On Tuesday, an audit committee convened by Berkshire Hathaway released a report that sharply rebuked Sokol for violating the company’s “highest standards of business ethics,” while absolving Buffett and further distancing him from his former presumed successor. According to the report, Sokol first learned of Lubrizol last fall through investment bankers at Citigroup, who’d specifically come to him with the names of companies they thought might interest Buffett. On December 13, a Monday, Sokol asked Citi to introduce him to Lubrizol’s CEO, James Hambrick, and the next day, he made his first purchase of Lubrizol stock, 2,300 shares. That Friday, a Citi representative told Sokol that Hambrick had agreed to convey the news of Bershire’s possible interest to the Lubrizol board, and on Tuesday, Sokol unloaded his stock. But two weeks later, over the course of three days, he bought 96,060 shares for a total of $10 million. On January 14, Hambrick and Sokol agreed to meet, and either that day or the next Sokol made his pitch to Buffett. The report says Buffett was “initially unimpressed,” but asked how Sokol had learned of the company. Sokol “mentioned” that he owned Lubrizol stock but did not say how much he’d bought, or when he’d bought, or anything about his conversations with Citi or Lubrizol that might have caused concern. In fact, the report maintains that Buffett didn’t learn of Citi’s involvement until after Berkshire and Lubrizol announced the signing of the merger agreement in March, when “a Citi representative with whom Berkshire Hathaway did business congratulated Mr. Buffett” and mentioned that Citi investors had played a part. In response to the report, a lawyer for Sokol said Sokol had been “studying Lubrizol for personal investment since the summer of 2010,” and that when he bought the stock, he “had no reason to anticipate that Mr. Buffett would have any interest whatsoever in Lubrizol.” Despite the audit committee’s apparent confidence in Buffett’s blamelessness, Buffett still faces criticism over a letter that he wrote to the media last month, in which he announced Sokol’s resignation while playing down any suggestion that the younger man had done anything wrong. “Neither Dave nor I feel his Lubrizol purchases were in any way unlawful,” he wrote. This seemed surprising coming from a businessman who has constantly exhorted his employees not just to stay within the law but to do what’s ethically right, who famously said , “Lose money for the firm and I will be understanding, lose even a shred of reputation and I will be ruthless.” After his letter came out, questions swirled: What had happened to the valiant hero who’d made that famous vow? Had Buffett grown soft? http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/04/04/buffetts-ruthlessness-is-oddly-absent/ Had he lost the will or the nerve required to be ruthless? At the meeting yesterday, Buffett was harder on Sokol, and on himself. He called the situation “inexplicable and inexcusable” and said, “”I obviously made a big mistake by not saying, ‘Well when did you buy it?” http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/30/us-berkshire-idUSTRE73T06920110430 So why didn’t he? The most obvious and plausible explanation is the one that casts Buffett in the kindest light. Buffett built his company on the principle that the managers under him should be allowed to operate with as much freedom as possible. Had Berkshire Hathaway been an ordinary company, Sokol might have had to report his stock purchases to a legal department, but no one has ever accused Berkshire Hathaway of being a ordinary company. Only 21 people, including Buffett himself, work at the company’s headquarters, which occupy a single floor of an office building in Omaha. Berkshire is often described as “decentralized,” which is another way of saying that it’s centered around Buffett’s trust in his managers. “Trust has gotten Berkshire very far,” said Jeff Matthews, a Berkshire Hathaway shareholder and the author of “Secrets in Plain Sight: Business & Investing Secrets of Warren Buffett.” “It’s worked,” he said. “People do what they’re good at, they do what they love to do. They don’t work for the money, they work for the joy of it. They don’t have some home office MBA telling them how to run a business.” Buffett trusted Sokol. In his 11-year tenure at Berkshire Hathaway, Sokol had proven highly adept at earning Buffett money, and Buffett, in turn, had endowed Sokol with a great amount of responsibility. Most recently, he’d put him in charge of NetJets, a Berkshire subsidiary that offered rentals and fractional ownerships of luxury jets and specialized in causing Buffett distress; it lost $711 million before taxes in 2009. Sokol ordered a gut renovation of NetJets , reducing its debt from 1.9 billion to 1.3 billion, slashing about $100 million in costs, furloughing hundreds of pilots, and sweeping senior management out the door. This turned out to be the right move. Within a year, NetJets was posting profits again, as Buffett triumphantly reported in a letter to shareholders, lauding the “ breadth and importance of Dave Sokol’s achievements ” just a week before the impropriety of Sokol’s Lubrizol purchase came to light. By giving free reign to Sokol, who many considered to be his top choice for a successor, Buffett opened the way for a breach like this to happen. In other words, the very quality that has arguably made Buffett one of the most admired business leaders in history, never mind the third-richest man in the world, is the same quality that exposed his company to abuse. Which is not to say that Buffett himself is perfect. Far from it. He’s been linked to questionable dealings before, notably in 2004, when General Re, an insurance concern that Buffett had owned since 1998, came under investigation for conducting fraudulent business with American International Group in 2000. Then, as now, Buffett was criticized for granting an executive too much leeway to operate; in that case, the role of Sokol was played by Ronald Ferguson, then the CEO of General Re. In 2008, a jury convicted Ferguson and three other former General Re executives, along with one former AIG executive, on corporate fraud and conspiracy charges, and Ferguson was sentenced to three years in prison. So Buffett’s management style is a gamble, and it’s possible that if he were to adopt a more cautious approach he wouldn’t be nearly as successful as he is. Of course, that still doesn’t answer the question of why he defended Sokol even after the full story of his purchases was disclosed. In the Buffett biography “The Snowball,” Alice Schroeder quotes Buffett telling a group of business school students, “Basically, when you get to my age, you’ll really measure your success in life by how many of the people you want to have love you do love you. I know people who have a lot of money, and they get testimonial dinners and they get hospitals wings named after them. But the truth is that nobody in the world loves them.” If it’s true that Buffett initially held back from censuring Sokol out of some fear of losing respect or admiration or even love, how ironic that this misstep should cost him so much of those very things. At yesterday’s meeting in Omaha, Buffett took steps to restore them. He discussed the possibility of two acquisitions that would be about the size of the Lubrizol deal, http://www.cnbc.com/id/42839336 and said that he was considering someone new to step into his shoes. “I would lay a lot of money,” he said, “on him being straight as an arrow.”

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Avalon Rare Metals (NYSE:AVL) Rings the Closing Bell at the New York Stock Exchange

April 28, 2011

Avalon Rare Metals (NYSE:AVL) Rings the Closing Bell at the New York Stock Exchange

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When Fed’s Stimulus Ends, What Next?

April 26, 2011

NEW YORK — When Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke holds his first-ever press conference on Wednesday, he will have some explaining to do. Two months from the scheduled end of the Fed’s stimulus program, the economic recovery remains weak. Since the Fed’s asset-purchase strategy began last fall, corporate America has gotten a boost, as borrowing has become cheaper and the stock market has rallied. But the broader economy still struggles. Home prices hit a new low in February, and unemployment, though improved, remains high. Most recently, rising oil prices have wounded consumer confidence, stoking fears that the nation could slip back into recession. The $600 billion asset-purchase program, dubbed “quantitative easing” or “QE2,” is intended to spur the recovery. Since November, the New York branch of the central bank has been buying new U.S. government debt from private firms, bidding up the price of Treasury securities and causing yields to fall. Those falling yields, in turn, have pushed down interest rates across the economy, making borrowing cheap and, in theory, stimulating business activity. Once this quantitative easing program ends, the economy will be missing a major source of support . Interest rates could rise if demand for U.S. debt slackens, or they might fall further if investors pile into Treasuries for shelter. In either case, the economy will face a test as it attempts to stand on its own two feet. “The Fed is trying to walk this very difficult, fine line,” said John Silvia, chief economist at Wells Fargo. While the Fed isn’t likely to initiate a third quantitative easing program, there will be some on the Fed committee who will say, “Wait a minute. We can’t really pull this back until we see more sustainable growth, or some kind of direction of where inflation is going,” Silvia said. The economic recovery has been uneven, and the Fed’s stimulus seems to have given a disproportionate boost to the corporate sector. “The Fed took away the downside uncertainty,” said John Richards, head of North American strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland. “It signaled to the market loud and clear that it was willing to do almost anything it had to do to have the U.S. not go into a deflationary situation.” But some economists fear that with the end of quantitative easing, the market will fall to where it otherwise would have been without the Fed’s help. It’s this possibility, among others, that Bernanke will likely be asked to explain Wednesday. Investors will hang on his every word. * * * * * * Just a few months ago, it seemed the recovery was picking up steam. Holiday sales were stronger than expected. In February, as the unemployment rate dipped below 9 percent, consumer confidence reached a three-year high. But then, conflict in the Middle East helped push oil prices to their highest level since 2008, when months of record-high prices dragged the economy into recession. A devastating earthquake and tsunami struck Japan in March, crippling that country’s exports and sparking global fears of nuclear contamination. That month, consumer sentiment fell to its lowest level since November 2009. In April, the International Monetary Fund cut its forecast for annual U.S. economic growth by the same degree as it cut its forecast for Japan. Brent crude oil, an industry benchmark, is now trading above $124 a barrel, perilously close to its 2008 high of $145. Some economists fear a scenario in which weak growth combines with steadily increasing prices, driven upward by oil. “Prices do pass through to things like airfares and distribution costs,” said Kevin Logan, chief economist of HSBC. “Instead of seeing a downward pressure on other prices — so that everybody cuts their margins, or looks to whatever productivity gains they can squeeze out of the processes to keep their prices down — instead, you just get slightly higher increases all along the line. That’s a risk.” Still, the stock market has surged despite these drags. Since Bernanke first hinted in an August speech that the Fed might launch a new round of asset purchases, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has climbed 24 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has gained more than 26 percent. With the Fed buying massive amounts of U.S. debt, interest rates have fallen, and investors, in search of yield, have been pushed into riskier assets, such as equities and corporate bonds, propelling the stock market to highs last seen in the heady days of 2006. That’s created a situation in which the value of these assets is partially determined by government intervention. Since quantitative easing began last fall, the Fed’s purchases of U.S. debt have amounted to more than 80 percent of the Treasury’s debt issuance, according to Fed and Treasury data. Those purchases have effectively crowded out private investors, pushing them into equities, which, in turn, have rallied. The Fed’s balance sheet has grown 17 percent since the program began, to nearly $2.7 trillion, according to Fed data. The central bank’s holdings of Treasury securities have increased by more than two-thirds in that time. The program is scheduled to wrap up by the end of June. When that happens, stocks could experience a jolt. “The thing that you get here with the end of QE2 is an equity market that is probably overdue for a correction,” said Richards, of RBS. “The end of QE2 could maybe trigger it.” Economists disagree on how the end of quantitative easing will affect interest rates. Some take the view of Pimco co-chief investment officer Bill Gross, who wrote in a note last month that the Fed’s exit from the Treasury market will create a sudden dearth of demand, causing bond prices to fall and interest rates to rise. That problem could be compounded if Japan, the foreign country with the second-largest holding of U.S. debt, shows weaker demand for Treasuries as it spends its money on domestic rebuilding, noted Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist of the Economic Outlook Group. Higher Treasury yields would push up rates across the economy, making it more expensive for prospective homeowners to get mortgages, for students to take out loans and for small business owners to get lines of credit. It could constitute yet another strain on the economy. But other economists expect interest rates to fall once the Fed’s program ends, as the economic outlook remains uncertain. Investors will seek the safety of Treasury bonds and thereby push yields downward, said Logan, the HSBC chief economist. Long-term interest rates fell after the Fed’s first round of quantitative easing ended early last year. But while these effects are unknown, the timeline likely won’t be. The Fed’s main policy-making body is meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is expected to announce the official end date for quantitative easing, giving investors time to prepare. “The vast majority of people in the market expect QE2 to end in June, on schedule,” said Andrew Tilton, an economist at Goldman Sachs. “If everyone’s expecting that, it would be odd for there to be a sudden disruption in the market as soon as that actually happens.” With the unemployment rate high and core inflation low, economists and investors expect the Fed to keep the main interest rate near zero for at least several months after the asset-purchase program ends, in an effort to keep money flowing through the economy. New York Fed President William Dudley said in a speech this month that the economic recovery is “still tenuous,” and still short of the central bank’s goals. Traders in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are betting the Fed won’t raise the main interest rate until sometime between December and January. Further, some economists say the Fed will maintain the size of its Treasury holdings even after quantitative easing ends, by reinvesting maturing debt. That might help wean the economy from the Fed’s stimulus, Bloomberg News reported last week. But there’s yet another risk: that Bernanke will spook investors when he speaks to reporters on Wednesday. “One of the great challenges he’s going to have is being very, very careful to use the right adjective or right adverb,” said Silvia, the Wells Fargo chief economist. “What is ‘sustainable growth’? I’m not sure what that means. What is ‘accelerating inflation’ as opposed to ‘modest inflation’?” A misplaced word could move markets.

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FOREX TREND MONITOR: Dollar Anchored to Stock Market Performance

April 26, 2011

FOREX TREND MONITOR: Dollar Anchored to Stock Market Performance

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Mutual Fund Teaches Grad Students Real World Investing

April 22, 2011

NEW ORLEANS — With all of the ups and downs of the stock markets over the past decade, the average investor might wonder who’s watching over his mutual funds. In the case of the Burkenroad Fund, it’s a group of students at Tulane University’s Freeman School of Business who spend hours combing through the financial reports of companies that a lot of retail investors haven’t heard of and analysts don’t follow – and eventually find many of the stocks the fund buys. The results over a decade of student involvement aren’t anything to sneeze at. According to Burkenroad’s prospectus, the no-load version of the fund, which started Dec. 31, 2001, had returned 11.9 percent since inception through March 31, 2011. The fund, managed by Biloxi, Miss.-based banker Hancock Holding Co., has current assets of about $70 million. The fund licenses its name from the university, but is managed independently from the school. The Russell 2000 index, a benchmark barometer of small- and mid-cap companies, returned an overall 7.5 percent over the same time. In the recessionary year of 2008, when many 401(k) plans lost much of their value, the Burkenroad fund suffered a loss of just under 25 percent compared to 33.8 percent for the Russell 2000 index. But both rebounded the following year. And for the three years ending March 31, the Burkenroad fund returned 10.72 percent compared to 8.6 percent for the Russell 2000 index. Peter Ricchiuti, who teaches the stock analysis course, said he picks most of the companies, and students come up with others. He said the Burkenroad fund’s reliance on student reports is unique, although other business schools put their students to the task of researching investments for university endowments. About 200 students over the current school year have been evaluating 40 companies across the South. Considering the region, it’s not surprising that 15 of the companies have some sort of involvement in the petroleum industry. The others include regional banks, as well as insurance, consumer goods, chicken- and egg- processing and retail companies. All of their final analyses – known as Burkenroad Reports – are available to the public. “At the Freeman school, we do our due diligence and take a more long-term look at investing,” said Anthony Elia, a 25-year-old graduate student in finance from Pasadena, Calif. The companies are generally in the $100 million to $1.5 billion market cap range and located in Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, or Florida. The group looks for profitable companies – and those that don’t have many financial analysts following them. “One of the things is that we can clearly understand what they do,” Ricchiuti said. “No wild high-tech companies. Just meat-and-potato companies.” Elia first reported on oilfield services company Key Energy Inc. and now heads a team of students studying Carbo Ceramics Inc., an oilfield services company, and consumer services specialist Rollins Inc. Alexandra Thurber, a graduate student from Bethesda, Md., first reported on oilfield service company Willbros Group Inc. and now is team leader of a group analyzing egg producer Cal-Maine Foods Inc. and Pool Corp., which provides swimming pool products. She’s not sure yet whether she’ll be doing the same task for a living. “My background is in math and this is an extension of that,” Thurber, 25, said. “The dynamic nature of the markets is interesting. I think I will wind up working in a financial career, but not necessarily investing.” In keeping with standard investment house rules, the students are forbidden from investing personally in companies they have researched. They can buy the Burkenroad Fund. These students, from their perspective in life, have grown up around a lot of cynicism concerning investing – the dot-com bust, the scandals of Enron and Tyco International and, last but not least, the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the ensuing retirement savings wipeout of the 2008 financial collapse. “There’s always been some cynicism,” said Arnaba Dasqupta, a 29-year-old graduate student with a previous job at a New York hedge firm and who is now hoping for a banking career. “It doesn’t have to come from a corporate scandal. It can be management being too optimistic. It’s not lying, but it’s misleading to investors.” What would the student stock-pickers tell a potential investor? “I suggest you find a company whose products and values you like and stick with it,” said Tray McCurdy, a 24-year-old graduate student in finance from Baltimore. Elia is against momentum investing – or “jumping on the bandwagon.” “Invest in companies you know and understand,” said Dori Brown, a 21-year-old undergraduate student from Houston. “Don’t focus on one aspect of a company,” Thurber said. “Look at the entire picture and not just one thing that excites you.” Arnab said that if an investor is not confident of his knowledge, he should seek an adviser who can be trusted. “Do your own homework,” he said. “Investing is a system with a lot of people with a lot of different opinions. The markets owe you nothing.”

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Google’s Eric Schmidt Took Home A Paltry Paycheck In 2010

April 21, 2011

SAN FRANCISCO — Billionaire Eric Schmidt feels more comfortable taking a million dollar paycheck as Google Inc.’s former CEO than he did when he was running the Internet’s most powerful company. After voluntarily limiting his annual salary to $1 during most of his 10-year reign as Google’s CEO, Schmidt is getting a $1.25 million raise in his new job as executive chairman. The bigger paycheck kicked in April 4 when Schmidt was replaced as CEO by Google co-founder Larry Page. The revised compensation package, filed with federal regulators Tuesday, will pay Schmidt an annual bonus of up to $6 million. The raise and bonus plan supplement a stock package valued at $100 million that the board awarded Schmidt shortly after the late January announcement about Google’s planned change in command. The stock will vest during the next four years, a sign that Google wants Schmidt to stick around. In in his final year as CEO, Schmidt’s 2010 compensation package totaled $313,219. All but $1,786 of that amount covered Schmidt’s personal security bill and the cost flying his friends and family in jets chartered by the company, according to additional documents filed Wednesday. Schmidt, 55, ranks among the world’s wealthiest people with an estimated net worth of $7 billion that he accumulated mostly from the stock he bought and received after becoming Google’s CEO in 2001. When Schmidt joined Google, the company had less than $90 million in annual revenue. In Schmidt’s last year as CEO, Google’s annual revenue surpassed $29 billion. Google’s board has offered to pay Schmidt more money each year since 2005 only to be rebuffed. Schmidt accepted this time when a Google board committee consisting of Intel Corp. CEO Paul Otellini and venture capitalist John Doerr decided he deserved a raise in his new role focusing on acquisitions and government relations. The board also wanted to reward Schmidt for his past accomplishments as CEO, according to a Google spokesman. Page and Google co-founder Sergey Brin, who each have fortunes of $20 billion, also have insisted on maintaining the salaries at $1 and have refused other compensation besides a $1,000 holiday bonus that Google has handed out to all employees most years. Schmidt’s holiday bonus last year included an extra $785 to cover the taxes. Now that he is CEO, Page is still being paid $1. So is Brin while he works on long-term projects for the company, which is based in Mountain View, Calif. By accepting paltry paychecks, Schmidt, Page and Brin signaled to shareholders that they believed the company’s strategy and hard work would produce a higher stock price. Because they are among the largest shareholders, their wealth increases as the stock price rises. Google shares closed Wednesday at $525.73, up $4.20. Although Google’s stock is about 30 percent below its peak price reached in late 2007, the shares still have increased by more than sixfold since the company went public in 2004. The stock had been during the past week on investor concerns about Google’s expenses rising more rapidly than its revenue growth. The higher costs, in part, reflect a hiring binge that has added 5,700 employees to Google’s payroll in the past year and a 10 percent raise given to all workers in January. In calculating an executive’s total compensation, the Associated Press counts salary, bonuses, perks and stock and options awarded to the executive during the year. The value used for an executive’s stock and option awards is the present value of what the company expected the awards to be worth to the executive over time. Companies use one of several formulas to calculate that value. However, the number is just an estimate, and what an executive ultimately receives will depend on the performance of the company’s stock in the years after the awards are granted. Most stock compensation programs require an executive to wait a specified amount of time to receive shares or exercise options.

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FOREX: Earnings Calendar in Focus as Currencies Track Stock Markets

April 19, 2011

FOREX: Earnings Calendar in Focus as Currencies Track Stock Markets

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FOREX TREND MONITOR: Stock Markets to Guide Most Major Currencies

April 18, 2011

FOREX TREND MONITOR: Stock Markets to Guide Most Major Currencies

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Dal LaMagna: Google Drops $48. I’m Pissed.

April 16, 2011

Let’s start with the fact that I own 5,000 shares of Google. Google makes 18% more money on 27% more sales the first quarter of 2011 than the first quarter of 2010 — and Wall Street takes the value of the stock down $48 ! What happened to me is somewhat annoying because finally, I stopped trading the stock market. Instead, I’m running my own business and investing in businesses creating well-paying jobs. The money I put in the market is for holding stocks in companies I want to support — not trade. Had I been trading and paying attention, I would not have missed that Google was announcing its earnings yesterday. I might have sold my position. Then, at the end of today I could have bought it back $48 lower — trading. As I’ve said I’m not trading, I’m a good patriotic American helping to create jobs for the almost 15 million Americans still unemployed. Then I have to watch my Google stock drops $250,000 in one day. That’s annoying. The main reason I am pissed is that Wall Street motivates job destruction rather than job creation. If Larry Page (co-founder and new CEO of Google) were the typical Fortune Five Hundred CEO, he would be laying off employees; his Board of Directors would be giving him a big bonus; Wall Street would be running up the value of Google’s stock. Larry Page is hiring people — over 6,000 people — yet Wall Street runs down Google’s stock 8%.

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Video: Weild Urges Easing of Rules on Trading of Private Shares

April 14, 2011

April 14 (Bloomberg) — David Weild, senior advisor at Grant Thornton LLP, talks about U.S. regulations on trading of shares in closely held firms such as Facebook Inc. Weild, speaking with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock,” also discusses the market for initial public offerings. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Raymond Griffith: How To Balance the Budget in One Easy Step

April 14, 2011

OK. I am going to start out by admitting that I am not an economist. Like most people, I hadn’t heard about derivatives, securities or exotic financial dealings until the market crash. With the recession and the emphasis on cutting budgets, taxes are a sore point. Budgets are difficult for everyone. We are living in tight economic times. Banks are tight with their lending — for most people. Interest rates not controlled by law are pretty high. Though money isn’t moving fast in some sector of the economy, money is flowing where the rich know it to be the most productive. These days that seems to be in oil speculation, in derivatives, the stock market and other speculative interests. The market crash was just a blip. The party is on again. The speculation markets are hot. Factories and sales are not. Employment is down, and while businesses keep lobbying for tax breaks to make them willing to employ more people, the fact is that unless sales go up, they won’t employ anyone else. Consumption goes before hiring. This turns the Republican model on its head. Trickle-down economics has become trickle-on economics as the middle and lower classes seem to be getting the wastes from the upper class. As the lower and middle classes get poorer and the rich get richer, adding tax burdens to the lower and middle classes makes no sense. They can’t pay it. So we need to go to where the money is. The Bush tax cuts did not go to hiring, they went to the speculative markets causing the oil bubble (among others). The success in the oil market has speculators bidding on wheat, corn and other products they don’t intend to actually buy, but control and sell for large profits. If we can’t stop the speculation, we can at least tax it. I propose a 1% financial sales tax. You buy stocks worth $10000, you pay up front 1% of that, $100. You sell the stock for $12000, the buyer pays up front $120 to do it. As with a sales tax, the FST is buyer-oriented. Buy a house for $100000 and you owe an FST of $1000. All derivatives would have to be declared. All securities would have to be declared. The purchaser of insurance would have to pay a 1% FST. If the premium for life insurance is $60 per month, add 60 cents for the FST. No FST would apply to depositing money into a bank account or withdrawing money from a bank account. But if you use an ATM that charges you $2.50 to access your money, an extra 3 cents charge would apply. For most people whose lives aren’t caught up in currency trading, playing the markets, etc. the tax would bother us very little. The rising price of food affects us a lot more. But the FST would make those who play with their money in the market instead of making their money work in increasing production of goods at home and hiring people pay just a little bit more for their fun. They borrow the money short-term anyway. 10% down leverages a large contract. A 1% sales tax on the total leveraged would not be a great burden to such players who easily make lots of money on their leveraged deals. There are trillions of dollars worth of transactions in American markets, most of them untaxed. A 1% tax would not drive away investors out of the US. US laws are relatively lax compared to many other markets, and while you can bet that Wall Street would scream and howl, they can easily afford this. America needs the revenue. We need to go where the money is.

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Video: Pacific Ethanol’s Jones Says U.S. Should Diversify Fuels

April 12, 2011

April 12 (Bloomberg) — Bill Jones, chairman of Pacific Ethanol Inc., talks about the ethanol market and U.S. demand for alternative fuels. He speaks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Charles Gasparino: Duncan Niederauer Calling the Shots for NYSE Is Bad News for Shareholders

April 12, 2011

Duncan Niederauer, the CEO of the New York Stock Exchange, doesn’t like the people at the Nasdaq and Intercontinental Exchange much these days. He calls them “interlopers,” who are trying to mess up a good thing for NYSE shareholders and its employees with a rival bid designed to do nothing more than obliterate his grand plan to remake the exchange into a global power house by merging it with the Frankfurt-based Deutsche Börse. All of which sounds good until you realize the track record of the guy making those statements, who probably should have resigned or at the very least recused himself from deciding on the NYSE’s next move so a less conflicted and maybe more competent executive can make what might be the biggest decision in the NYSE 219-year history. First a little background on Niederauer : He’s one of a long line of Goldman executives who have been running the stock exchange since then CEO Hank Paulson (later the treasury secretary who failed to see the financial crisis until it was too late) led the effort to oust long-time CEO Dick Grasso in 2003. Paulson & Co., said they were doing the Wall Street equivalent of God’s work (sound familiar?). Grasso received a compensation package of around $140 million, and the public outcry over his oversized salary was endangering the exchange’s status as the world’s premier stock market. At least that was Paulson’s spin; the reality was much different. Goldman had been prodding the exchange to ditch the way it matched buyers and sellers of stocks through human floor traders for years and move to an automated, computerized marketplace. Indeed, once Grasso was out, the firm brazenly engineered the sale of its own electronic stock exchange to the NYSE in one of the most conflicted deals I have ever seen in all my years covering Wall Street. During this time Niederauer emerged as one of the loudest though not necessarily the most articulate advocates of computers over floor traders, which makes his concern about the loss of jobs if the Nasdaq bid is successful even more suspect. Niederauer is infamous for saying that he didn’t want “five guys named Vinny” trading stocks at the NYSE as a way to profess his love of electronic trading, even if it offended every Italian-American trader on Wall Street. That dopey — some would say xenophobic statement — didn’t appear to slow down Niederauer’s career trajectory. Under Grasso’s replacement, fellow Goldman alumn John Thain, Niederauer became the NYSE’s president. In late 2007 when Thain went on to run Merrill Lynch leading the firm while it crashed and burned during the 2008 financial collapse, Niederauer got his shot at running the Big Board, where he promptly apologized for the Vinny remark, and continued the NYSE’s move into computerized market making of stocks. Under Niederauer, the NYSE didn’t implode ala Merrill, but its performance has been nothing to brag about. During the Niederauer years, floor traders continued their exodus, but that doesn’t mean the exchange has become a more efficient marketplace. Indeed there has been at least one “flash crash” under his watch , where prices of NYSE listed stocks declined precipitously because of technical glitches. Meanwhile, NYSE shares, trading under the symbol NYX, have nose-dived more than 50% since he took over. Some of that collapse, of course, can be attributed to the slow down in trading following the 2008 financial crisis. But even as the overall markets have mounted a recover, the NYSE hasn’t. By any measure, the fabled “Big Board,” once the very symbol of global finance, isn’t so big anymore. The NYSE is no longer the primary to match the buyers and sellers of stocks, as it had been for most of its long history. Indeed, many of the firms that once flocked to have their shares “listed” and traded on the NYSE’s “Big Board,” are choosing other venues. The NYSE’s weakened competitive position left the Big Board no other choice but to find in Wall Street parlance “a strategic partner,” which in plain English means it needed to sell itself. Of course, that’s not something Niederauer would admit to; he loves to describe his tie up with Deutsche Börse a “merger.” But the numbers tell a different story: For every share of NYSE stock, his shareholders are getting .47 shares in the new company, while Deutsche Börse shareholders are getting a one-for-one exchange. All of which wouldn’t be so bad until you get into the nitty gritty of the NYSE-DB deal. Niederauer remains as CEO of the newly combined company, which when you crunch the numbers, values the NYSE at $35 a share, $3 less than the consensus of where analysts say the stock is worth. Why would you sell a brand like the NYSE for less than what analysts say its worth? Niederauer would tell you its for the good of the franchise — he has hooked up with a partner that wants to preserve the NYSE franchise while building a bigger brand that will benefit shareholders in the long run. Others might say he’s doing it save his job and remain as CEO at the expense of shareholders. The people who make the latter point include Nasdaq chief Bob Griefeld who has recently teamed up the Jeffrey Sprecher at the Intercontinental Exchange to make a rival bid for the NYSE valued at around $42 a share — a 20 percent premium to the Deutsche Börse bid. They make a compelling argument. It took Niederauer and his board just about a week to summarily reject the Nasdaq/ICE bid. They did so without even having the Greifeld and Spechler make their case in front of the board, or at least hear from top shareholders about what offer might be better. Instead, Niederauer simply brushed aside a a higher offer on the grounds that a combined Nasdaq-NYSE poses massive antitrust issues by merging two US stock markets (funny, Niederauer came to this conclusion even before regulators have had their say) and that the new company wouldn’t be able to “deliver the synergies that the other proposal suggests without a substantial amount of job loss,” according to an interview he gave to the Fox Business Network . By the way, since when is it the job of a CEO to figure job loss into an equation that supposed to focus myopically on what is best for his shareholders? I’m sure there are legitimate reasons to be wary of the Nasdaq/ICE bid. They would be breaking off chunks of the NYSE, with the Nasdaq taking the stock listing business, and the ICE taking the derivatives business. If the Nasdaq bid is successful, the new company would be more leveraged, thus Greifeld would have to slash expenses to make the numbers work, something he’s good at, but its still a risk for buy-and-hold shareholders. The problem is you can’t really trust Niederauer to be making the final call because he has too much to lose, and so do shareholders if they listen to him.

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U.S. Banks Relying On Rainy Day Funds, Not Revenue To Turn Profits

April 9, 2011

CHARLOTTE, North Carolina (Joe Rauch) – Investors looking for loan growth and surging revenues at the biggest U.S. banks, including Citigroup Inc (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) are likely to be disappointed by first-quarter earnings. Banks have been generating most of their profits in recent quarters from dipping into money they previously set aside to cover bad loans. Those reserve reductions make sense if credit losses are stabilizing, which seems to be the case. But banks cannot reduce their loan loss reserves forever and at this point profit growth must come from making more money from loans and generating more fees, analysts said. Boosting interest income from loans is tough when the interest rates at which banks lend are so low and loan demand is still tepid. Fee income, meanwhile, is being threatened by future regulatory changes. “The revenue line will be key, that’s what most investors will be focusing on,” said Jason Ware, senior equities analyst at Albion Financial Group. The Salt Lake City-based wealth manager oversees $650 million in client assets. “The question everyone has is ‘Where does the top line go from here?’” he said. Some banks will be particularly hard hit by weak trading in the quarter, as the stock market sagged on Middle Eastern political upheaval, a Japanese earthquake and tsunami sent the yen to record highs and markets were broadly unpredictable. But what many analysts are focusing on now is loan growth and data show the results may not be great. Bank loans outstanding declined 0.9 percent in January and 6.8 percent in February, according to a report from the Federal Reserve. Commercial and industrial loans were on the rise, which many analysts see as a positive sign, but meanwhile a broad array of consumer loans — mortgages, credit cards — are posting declines, so total bank credit outstanding are shrinking. The first quarter, analysts said, is typically the weakest of the year for banks. But the analysts with the best track records foresee a quarter that was tougher than usual for many banks, according to Thomson Reuters Starmine Smart Estimates. These “smart analysts” believe other analysts are far too optimistic about some banks, and only a little too pessimistic about the others. The analysts that have historically been the most accurate believe that results for Citigroup, Morgan Stanley (MS.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) will fall short of analysts’ average estimates, according to Starmine Smart Estimates. Starmine’s analyst estimates, for example, indicates Morgan Stanley may miss estimates by as much as 22 percent. The Starmine “smart analysts” are projecting that Bank of America Corp (BAC.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) will beat broader estimates by a fairly small margin. BofA is projected with the largest earnings beat at 7.7 percent above the average estimate, Starmine estimates. NEW NORMAL For even the largest U.S. banks, interest income from loans is a key driver of earnings growth, but the total number of outstanding loans continues to stagnate, even as banks appear to have solved many of the credit issues that have dogged them for the last three years. The fees that banks get from processing debit cards will likely be limited by provisions of the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill, which will pressure fee income for banks in the future. Marty Mosby, bank analyst with Guggenheim Securities, said he is expecting banks will show a 10 percent decline in total charge-offs of bad loans, with some showing charge-offs shrinking by as much as 50 percent. While that will be a boost to earnings as banks continue to release reserves protecting against loan losses, Mosby said he does not expect loan growth for the next few quarters. “This will be a different model than what we’re used to seeing, based more on profitability, consolidation and efficiency, rather than outright organic growth,” Mosby said. In the fourth quarter of 2010, loans at U.S. banks totaled $7.38 trillion, the lowest level since the fourth quarter of 2009 and off from the peak of $8 trillion in the second quarter of 2008, FDIC data show. Long term, investors may need to adjust their expectations for the industry’s earning ability. Mosby said banks that were once able to produce a 20 percent return on shareholder equity may not be able to top 15 percent. Bank’s return on equity could dip to as low or 10 or 12 percent, he added. Halle Benett, a banker in charge of financial institutions merger advisory at UBS for the Americas, said: “I do think you’ve got to come to a decision as to what is generally accepted profitability for banking institutions and I’m not sure the cycle we came out of was the long-term norm.” (Reporting by Joe Rauch; Additional reporting by Clare Baldwin and Lauren LaCapra in New York; Editing by Gary Hill) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Mongolian Prime Minister And London Stock Exchange Group (LON:LSE) CEO Seal Partnership To Develop Mongolian Stock Exchange

April 7, 2011

Mongolian Prime Minister And London Stock Exchange Group (LON:LSE) CEO Seal Partnership To Develop Mongolian Stock Exchange

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Video: Nasdaq OMX, ICE Offer to Buy NYSE for $11.3 Billion

April 1, 2011

April 1 (Bloomberg) — Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. and IntercontinentalExchange Inc. offered to buy NYSE Euronext for about $11.3 billion as the companies teamed up in an attempt to snatch the New York Stock Exchange from Deutsche Boerse AG. The companies offered $42.50 in cash and stock for each NYSE Euronext share, according to a statement released today. Bloomberg’s Erik Schatzker and Scarlet Fu report. (Source: Bloomberg)

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AT&T CEO: T-Mobile Deal Won’t Raise Cellphone Bills

March 30, 2011

By Kenneth Li NEW YORK (Reuters) – AT&T Inc (T.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) Chief Executive Randall Stephenson disputed the commonly held belief that consumer bills would rise if there were fewer competitors in the U.S. wireless market. AT&T’s defense comes as it girds for a tough regulatory review of its $39 billion deal to snap up Deutsche Telekom AG’s (DTEGn.DE: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) T-Mobile USA, the No. 4 U.S. mobile operator known for its lower prices. The deal would create a new industry leader. The combined company and Verizon Wireless, the current largest U.S. provider, would hold nearly 80 percent of the market. Stephenson, who spoke to a New York event sponsored by the Council on Foreign Relations on Wednesday, referred to a government report that showed prices on average fell 50 percent over the last decade despite five wireless mergers over the period. Concerns over surrendering too much control to few players prompted New York Attorney General to conduct a thorough review of the deal. Asked in an interview with Reuters global editor-at-large Chrystia Freeland about the need for price restrictions as a condition to garner regulatory approval, Stephenson said, “I’m not sure of the relevance of it. The U.S. market “is the most highly competitive in the world.” Stephenson said AT&T consumers once paid around $1.90 per megabyte of wireless data and now pay around 16 cents. The benefits of the merger would be nearly immediate, he said. In New York, where users of the Apple (AAPL.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) iPhone have complained about dropped calls and slow wireless data speeds in certain areas, capacity would rise by 30 percent. AT&T expects the acquisition to raise its infrastructure spending by $8 billion over a seven year period. Among other benefits of the deal, Stephenson said AT&T also planned to work with Deutsche Telekom on lowering roaming charge costs, which cellphone users are required to pay when using their phones outside of the subscriber’s market. Shares of AT&T traded up 73 cents, or 2.4 percent, to $30.78 on the New York Stock Exchange. (Reporting by Kenneth Li, editing by Dave Zimmerman) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Dal LaMagna: Take Care of Your Employees and They Will Take Care of You

March 30, 2011

As chronicled in my book Raising Eyebrows, A Failed Entrepreneur Finally Gets It Right , from the beginning of Tweezerman , the company that became my big success, I was empowering my employees. My story included me being exploited by powerful men whose orbit I had fallen into. Rather than copying their behavior, I promised myself that I would do the opposite when I had employees. I’d empower rather than exploit them. Many employers underpay and/or overwork their employees and feel proud of how they can help increase the profits for themselves and other shareholders. I saw this as short-term gains at the expense of long-term rewards. I also saw my employees as more important than even the product I was selling. Initially my big delivery to employees at Tweezerman was health and job security. As soon as we had three employees, the number then required to get company health insurance, we got it. I instituted a policy where the last thing we did was fire someone. And no one person, including me, could fire a person without another employee of the company agreeing. You had to be drunk or drugged on the job, not show up, or get caught stealing to get fired. As we grew and more jobs were created, if you couldn’t make it in your job we’d find another job for you to try. We had one woman whom we cycled through five jobs before discovering she was great at handling returns. Once in a while we rued this policy of not getting rid of incompetent employees quickly and directly, but generally the sense of job security for everyone was worth the occasional deadwood. One way companies exploit their employees is to pay them a salary and set an expectation that you have to work more than 40 hours a week to advance. With Tweezerman during the initial years I paid people by the hour. If you worked 45 hours you got paid for 45 hours. Eventually as we got big and top-level employees with bigger compensation arrived we did paid them salaries. However the laborers stayed on the hourly rate to ensure they were fairly compensated for the work they were doing. “Take care of your employees and they will take care of you” was one of my mantras. Caring about and for your employees is a necessary foundation for empowering them. Many employees have stressful home lives. It makes an enormous difference to their productivity if work is actually a haven away from their problems at home. What really has to happen for employees to be empowered is they need to be involved, given responsibility, and pushed to grow in their job. My sister Teri who worked with me for years used to say, “Dal sees in people what they themselves don’t see.” In other words I would throw people into a job that they might not feel qualified for. Usually I was right and they thrived and did a great job. When we hired people during the interview I’d find out what would be their dream job. If a job opened up that fit closer to their dream job I would offer it to them. We established a steering committee of the all the department heads and met twice a month. The committee was always comprised of an odd number of people so we were always able to make decisions. I considered them my partners and made that their reality. 5% of our profits were distributed to all employees, excluding me, in January after each year. We had a formula that was considered fair. The theory was what you earned working for the company is a fair measure of your worth to it. Each employee got a percentage of the total profits pool that was equal to what percentage their earnings were of all employee earnings. From day one I designed the capital structure of Tweezerman to reserve 20 percent of the stock to be owned by my employees. Half of that went to the top managers and the other half (10 percent of the stock) went into an ESOP (Employee Stock Ownership Plan) that involved all the other employees. As partial owners of the company I thought it critical that they understand how the numbers worked. I conducted company-wide meetings where I’d explain the profit and loss statement and our budgeting process. We also ran Quaker style meetings where everyone sat in a circle facing each other and anyone could take the floor and make a comment, deliver a complaint or compliment, or ask a question. I was very grateful my employees showed up for work every day and did things I didn’t want to do. The way Tweezerman grew to a much bigger size than I was ever interested in being responsible for was because I delegated every operational job to someone else — including President of the company. Probably a little sooner than she herself thought feasible I made one of my first employees, Lisa Bowen, President of Tweezerman. Because I had empowered my employees from the outset, twenty-five years later I owned a company that was dramatically bigger than I ever desired or dreamed. I sold it for much more money than I ever thought possible. My employees shared millions of dollars in capital gains and kept their jobs when I sold the company to the Zwilling J.A. Henckels AG in 2004. I continue to stay in touch with many of my employees and have close relationships with many of them to this day. For even more stories, like how we didn’t lay anyone off after 9/11 and how that turned out, and more details about best practices of employee empowerment read my book Raising Eyebrows .

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Oil Prices, Japan Holding U.S. Auto Sales Back

March 29, 2011

By Ben Klayman DETROIT (Reuters) – U.S. auto sales in March are expected to rise about 12 percent from last year’s depressed levels, but high gasoline prices and production problems caused by the Japanese earthquake could slow a recovery, analysts and investors said. Auto sales represent one of the first snapshots every month of U.S. consumer demand, and while an increase from last year is expected, lower incentives will likely mean a decline from February. However, that does not scare investors who like the industry’s recovery story. “Gas prices and disruptions with the Japanese earthquake are relevant, we pay attention to them, but it doesn’t change the medium- or longer-term backdrop of there being some compelling fundamentals for new-car sales,” said Walter Stackow, a senior research analyst with Manning & Napier. Stackow, whose firm owns shares in BMW (BMWG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Suzuki (7269.T: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and several dealers, cited the average age of cars topping 10 years, sales trailing the rate at which people scrap older vehicles, the rising cost of used cars and the improving financing market as reasons for longer-term optimism. Automakers are set to report March auto sales on Friday. March is traditionally a stronger sales month than February, but lower incentive spending by General Motors Co (GM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Toyota Motor Corp (7203.T: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and others likely resulted in a lower growth rate than February’s stronger-than-expected 27 percent gain, analysts said. For the sixth consecutive month, sales on an annualized basis are expected to top 12 million vehicles in March. The average forecast of 34 economists surveyed by Reuters was 13.2 million vehicles on that basis, up from 11.78 million last year, but off slightly from 13.4 million in February. J.D. Power and Associates expects a 9 percent increase in March sales, while TrueCar.com and Edmunds.com estimate gains of 12 percent and 16 percent, respectively. PAIN AT THE PUMP Despite the expected sales increase, rising oil prices and the resulting pain at the pump could push consumers away from more lucrative light trucks, analysts said. J.P. Morgan analyst Himanshu Patel estimated in a research note that each $1 increase in the U.S. retail price of gas results in a 5 percentage-point shift toward lower-margin cars for the industry. Light truck sales, which include pickup trucks and sport utility vehicles, make up a little more than half of U.S. auto sales and account for a disproportionate share of profits at the U.S. automakers because of their higher prices. Gas prices rose more than 3 cents to $3.60 a gallon over the last week, the Energy Department said. The average price of regular gas is 80 cents higher than a year ago as conflict in Libya and rising tensions in the Middle East have sent the cost of crude oil to above $100 a barrel. “I don’t think at these levels it’s going to affect car sales,” said Gary Bradshaw, a portfolio manager with Hodges Capital Management, which owns Ford shares. “The auto recovery is still intact,” he added. “I still think we’ll see 13 (million) to 13-1/2 million cars sold in this country this year, but if oil (hits) $125 a barrel then all bets may be off.” Another focus is the aftermath of the Japanese earthquake and subsequent tsunami earlier this month that caused many supplier plants there to close or cope with power outages. GM, Ford, Toyota, Honda, Nissan and other automakers have all idled plants or scheduled downtime at facilities because of the parts shortages. Even a shortage of a specialty pigment that gives cars a glittering shine prompted Chrysler Group LLC (FIA.MI: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Ford Motor Co (F.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) to temporarily restrict orders on vehicles in certain shades of black, red and other colors. The parts shortages may cut global vehicle output 30 percent within six weeks in a worst-case scenario, research firm IHS Automotive said. Most analysts do not see the shortages affecting March sales much, but if it continues, April or May sales could be hurt because there will be fewer cars on dealer lots to sell. Deals for consumers are already drying up as TrueCar estimated the industry’s average incentive spending per vehicle in March would drop 6 percent from February to $2,432, driven by declines of 17 percent and 11 percent at GM and Toyota, respectively. Edmunds sees a 9.5 percent drop. (Reporting by Ben Klayman in Detroit; Editing by Maureen Bavdek) Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions

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Robert Teitelman: More on Private vs. Public

March 28, 2011

Felix Salmon has been continuing his discussion of companies avoiding public listings to stay private. I posted on this when he first wrote about the trend in The New York Times last month, and he has since picked up a variety of fellow kibitzers, including here and here ; some of his commenters also have a few interesting things to say. The issue has now broadened into related issues, notably the decline in initial public offerings, particularly of startups, something Treasury’s Timothy Geithner publicly started worrying about recently . Although it’s very clear that a fall-off in IPOs does translate into more startups remaining private or getting gobbled up by strategic buyers, I’m not convinced that, despite the kerfuffle over Facebook remaining private, the underlying issues are the same. A big part of the IPO problem seems to stem from a reduced appetite by U.S. venture capital investors for traditional tech startups after the dot-com bust, a shift toward mezzanine investments in more established companies and a move to place VC money overseas, particularly in Asia. That may speak more to a) the long recovery of venture investing from the dot-com bubble; b) better opportunities overseas; or c) a maturity in large tech markets, of the sort Tyler Cowan wrote about in ” The Great Stagnation .” The decline of IPOs is worrisome, but not for the reasons Salmon talks about: that the great mass of investing Americans will lack investment opportunities, particularly compared with plutocrats tapping hedge funds and buyout shops. It’s a concern because a lack of IPOs will result in a shift toward a larger, more concentrated, less nimble corporate economy. Salmon brings a variety of assumptions to the table. First, there are historical assumptions about a sort of glorious age when most Americans had defined-benefit plans and played in bountiful stock markets. “In America,” Salmon writes, “for pretty much all of the 20th Century, and in the rest of the world today, public markets have shown themselves to be a very good thing when it comes to value creation.” There’s a lot there that’s arguable. Salmon particularly seems to be reading back into history the bull market in stocks that began building after World War II (and that relatively few Americans took advantage of until the ’80s), then continued along, with a few interruptions (some considerable, like the ’70s) until the 21st century, which so far has been generally lousy. Lots of Americans reaped stock market value in the ’20s, lost it in the ’30s, then had to wait until the ’50s to begin to catch up. Through the ’50s and ’60s, most shareholding was individual, but it came from a very narrow slice of upper crust society — and it was mediated by brokers who took, by current standards, huge fixed commissions. Institutions, including pension funds, only began to buy stocks in the late ’50s. The “value creation” of stocks might have existed, based on the rise of the market, but relatively few Americans got rich off it and, relative to today, there were a lot fewer public stocks to play. As for the rest of the world, well, Salmon sees a different world than I do. Most of the world’s population has probably never heard of a listed stock. There are relatively few economies that have broad and sophisticated equity cultures that are open to the great mass of people. Even Europe has only developed one in the past few decades, and given its social welfare system, participation in share ownership remains relatively small. For decades the Japanese invested regularly in postal savings accounts, not a stock market that was viewed, with good reason, as dangerously volatile and perhaps crooked. Are ordinary Russians investing in the stock market? Are the great mass of Chinese? Are Indonesians and Indians? Many of these countries have the same relationship to the stock market that America had when it was emerging: It’s a kind of game for those with large amounts of disposable income. The rest of the population mostly lacks the savings, the skills and the risk profile to participate. Now it may be true that the Chinese would all like to invest regularly in the stock market because they are optimistic about the future. (A broad ownership society, in which millions own stock, does generate political repercussions that might make authoritarian governments wary: a sense of ownership, to be sure, but an increasing need to be sensitive to the personal financial needs of a mass rentier class.) But that doesn’t mean investing in equities is a widespread practice. Salmon intones the venerable mantra that stocks over the long term will outpace bonds. That is certainly true; we’ve all consulted our Ibbotson. But as everyone also painfully knows by now, particularly if you’re approaching retirement, value creation is relative to the time frame of the individual. Stocks may be swell over the long term, but they’re risky over the short term. Every 30 years or so, we seem to submerge into decade-long torpor — or worse. And stock markets, particularly when they fall, easily get charged with being a rigged game. Often, that’s actually true, particularly in markets around the world with thin floats and spotty regulation. As we know, even mature systems suffer from regulatory woes. This leads to a second and related assumption, which is that the underlying problem of this swing toward private ownership is inequality: The rich folks get the good stuff, leaving the rest of us the dregs. This seems to me, at best, overstated, at worst, wrong. The overstated part stems from the numbers Salmon seems to believe are hiding out in the private sphere and are thus inaccessible to ordinary investors. It’s true. There is a large and vigorous private equity industry out there. But it’s also true that most of what occurs in private equity happens not among the biggest public companies — that was a phenomenon of 2005 to 2007, now over — but in the middle market. A healthy percentage of LBOs in the middle market are buyouts of already private companies. Some of these companies will eventually be acquired by large public companies, a traditional exit. Some will be sold off to other buyout shops. Others will be taken public. Indeed, the IPO market would really be moribund if not for the large numbers of PE-owned companies re-entering the public markets, including giants like HCA. One way or the other, most of these take-privates will end up as at least part of a public equity. Again, I think there’s confusion here between the dearth of tech IPOs and the growth of private equity. Their dynamics are different. A startup that gets no funding will probably never go public. A company that’s LBO’d is taken out of the public ranks, but eventually will return, acquired by either a strategic buyer, undoubtedly public, or by public investors. Arguing that private equity is removing good opportunities out of the public markets is like decrying M&A for reducing the number of companies. The real problem here is not M&A or PE; it’s the deficient creation and financing of new companies. It is true that the allure of a public listing isn’t what it used to be. You can blame Sarbanes-Oxley, although I think that’s exaggerated; and eliminating it to grease the skids may have little effect. I would argue two other considerations come into play, particularly in a situation where there’s plenty of equity capital to go around (raising the possibility that both inequality and the private economy are somehow linked to increasing affluence). They’re related. First, it’s corporate governance, particularly the difficulty of aligning shareholder and managerial interests and the ineffectiveness of shareholder monitoring. In short, the promise of shareholder democracy has not been fulfilled, creating, if anything, dysfunction and distraction. Second, it’s compensation. Managers can make more in private situations in which shareholders are compact and aligned. Pay is almost never an issue on the private side. To link all this to inequality also raises difficult questions. The roots of inequality are complex and much debated. The rise of private equity, not to say hedge funds and big finance, may well have contributed to that inequality. But blaming inequality on too many companies staying private — and thus offering opportunities only for plutocrats — is like saying the financial crisis was caused by too much compensation. The fact is there are a dozen explanations, from rapid technological change to the passing of the industrial age to an inequitable tax structure to technological maturity that may explain deepening inequality. Conversely, to tackle inequality by focusing strictly on preserving public markets to some optimal, perhaps mythical level is useless. Again, in the golden age of American equality — the ’50s — there was little involvement, active or passive (meaning through pension funds), in the stock market for the great mass of Americans. Finance was much smaller, and while opportunities in the market were “public,” they were strictly limited by income. Perhaps this is what Salmon anticipates by supporting a market transaction tax, to reduce turnover and encourage longer-term investment. The trouble here is that a smaller finance, a simpler finance, would generate less liquidity and less opportunity for everyone – and whether that would produce a more equitable society is possible, if not certain. The kind of tech creation that Salmon favors might well be diminished; innovation, which perches on the riskier end of the spectrum, might well be among the first to go. It’s unfortunately easier to create equality by leveling down than by leveling up.

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Video: Wordell Says RidgeWorth Likes Ashland, Ingersoll-Rand

March 17, 2011

March 17 (Bloomberg) — Don Wordell, a fund manager at RidgeWorth Capital Management Inc., talks about the outlook for the stock market and the RidgeWorth MidCap Value Equity Fund’s holdings of Ashland Inc., Ingersoll-Rand Plc and MB Financial. Wordell, speaking with Lisa Murphy on Bloomberg Television’s “Fast Forward,” also discusses the impact of the crisis in Japan on financial markets. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Michael Russnow: Citigroup Continues its Dance With Reverse Splits: The Question Is Why?

March 14, 2011

Citigroup just sent me its annual statement and ballot to vote on suggestions from its Board of Directors, which, among other things, extends its flirtation with a reverse split that began two years ago. For those unaware, a reverse split is the opposite of a split, which is when stock prices get too high and the price might be split in half with each stockholder getting a doubling of shares. When this happens it’s a sign the company is doing well, but because the share price might be too high for a lot of action, halving the price makes it more affordable and shareholders get a chance at continued upward movement with more stock. With a reverse split, a company is in trouble and stockholders lose their shares proportionately to effect a rise in the cost of the stock. So, if you had 1,000 shares of AIG when it split 1:20 in 2009, you wound up with fifty shares, but the price went from $1.15 to $23. Here’s the rub. Everyone knows the new price is artificial and they’re not fooling anyone. It’s a sign of desperation, which in AIG’s case was calculated to prevent the stock from tumbling below a dollar and getting delisted from the New York Stock Exchange. Citi itself was in that ballpark two years ago for a short period. However, the stock moved up remarkably since then and hasn’t sold below three dollars in quite awhile. It’s been over four dollars mostly and occasionally has gone over five. So, since it’s in no danger of delisting, why even talk about giving the company a bad mark? The Directors’ statement insists they merely want to “extend their right” to do a reverse split in seven possible combinations: 1:2, 1:5, 1:10, 1:15,1:20, 1:25 and 1:30, but may well not as they haven’t since they received shareholder authorization to do so in 2009. They explain the upside is that by decreasing the number of shares it would reduce fees on the NYSE. They also warn that in the unlikely development the reverse split vote fails they will still have the right to do so for two months under the approval attained in last year’s shareholder vote. And of course they remind us the inflated share prices might not stay anywhere near the new level, and that’s what worries me. When AIG did its split, it was $23 for a day or so, and went down to $18 and in short order sold at $9, or the equivalent of 45 cents before the reverse split happened. This was due to short trading, when people bet against a stock’s value and borrow “x” number of shares that they sell at the higher price, hoping it falls markedly so they can buy it low and return the shares they borrowed at a profit. That’s what happened with AIG, and what makes the geniuses at Citi think it won’t happen with their stock? Another reason Citi says reverse splitting might be good is because many institutions forbid purchasing stock below $5, and a higher price would stimulate buying and presumably cause the stock price to move upward. Except Citi is already a favorite of hedge funds and usually trades in large volumes. But even more significant is that Citi’s relative stagnant movement has been matched by most of the other financial institutions, which sell at prices significantly higher than $5. Bank of America, which hovers between $10 and $18, goes up and down at the same level as Citi. So does Wells Fargo, trading between the high twenties and low thirties. Also, Goldman Sachs, back and forth between $140 and $180. Mostly, when they go up Citi goes up and when they go down Citi drops, so why would the Board believe its price fluctuation percentages would be better if it sold at a higher price? More likely there’d be an immediate stigma against Citi, with a drastically lower price effected after a reverse split as AIG suffered. And even if it eventually came back, as AIG did after a year or so, rising to $62 a few months ago, you have to realize that in pre-reverse split figures (1:20) it really only “recovered” to a price of a little more than $3 after having tumbled to 38 cents from a pre-reverse split high of $70 a few years ago. And where is AIG today? It sold for $37.35 on Friday ($1.87 in pre-reverse split numbers), partially due to issuing warrants in early January that lowered its price over $8 in one day to cover the company’s granting shareholders .53 of a warrant per number of shares owned. Each warrant had an opening value of approximately fifteen dollars and permitted holders to buy a share for $45 over a ten year period. Just before warrants were issued AIG was $54, but it quickly fell below $45. For the moment the warrants aren’t such a great deal vis-à-vis the share price plummeting to the mid-thirty range, and while the quote may eventually go up I’m glad I got out at $52.75, a profit of 126%. So, I don’t know why Citi, with no danger of delisting and with its price ups and downs approximating the percentages of other major banks which sell well above five dollars, wants to mess with its public image and risk luring the short-players to wreak havoc on the stock’s price? Why not be patient and do a good job and instill confidence in the company, moving past five dollars and upward the old fashioned way by just earning it? That’s what I’d suggest, and I don’t pretend I’m any sort of expert, but I can read and I see what the other financial stocks are doing, and what “success” AIG had with its reverse-split. Leave it alone, Citi, please. Michael Russnow’s website is ramproductionsinternational.com

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Dan Mirvish: The Hathaway Effect: How Anne Gives Warren Buffet a Rise

March 2, 2011

Whatever you may think of how Anne Hathaway and her co-host James Franco did as hosts of the newer, younger, hipper Oscars, one thing appears to be certain: When Anne Hathaway makes headlines, the stock for Warren Buffet’s Berkshire-Hathaway goes up. Think of Berkshire-Hathaway shares ( BRK.A ) as a really expensive version of the IMDb’s StarMeter (which actually is designed to go up and down as actors make the news). But a bedrock member of the New York Stock Exchange? The evidence would indicate as much. On the Friday before the Oscars, Berkshire shares rose a whopping 2.02%. And on the Monday just after the Academy Awards, they rose again, this time 2.94%. But it’s not just an Oscar bounce, or something Warren Buffet may have said in the newspaper, or even necessarily something the company itself is doing (i.e. rumors afoot to buy Costco ). Just look back at some other landmark dates in Anne Hathaway’s still young career: Oct. 3, 2008 – Rachel Getting Married opens: BRK.A up .44% Jan. 5, 2009 – Bride Wars opens: BRK.A up 2.61% Feb. 8, 2010 – Valentine’s Day opens: BRK.A up 1.01% March 5, 2010 – Alice in Wonderland opens: BRK.A up .74% Nov. 24, 2010 – Love and Other Drugs opens: BRK.A up 1.62% Nov. 29, 2010 – Anne announced as co-host of the Oscars: BRK.A up .25% My guess is that all those automated, robotic trading programming are picking up the same chatter on the internet about “Hathaway” as the IMDb’s StarMeter, and they’re applying it to the stock market. Of course, this isn’t necessarily bad news for the investor. After all, can you imagine what might have happened to Berkshire stock if Warren Buffet had appeared nude in Love and Other Drugs rather than Anne Hathway? Perhaps it’s best if we don’t think about it.

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Video: McCullough Says Obama Should Call For Energy Summit

February 26, 2011

Feb. 25 (Bloomberg) — Glenn McCullough, former head of the Tennessee Valley Authority, talks about the outlook for alternative energy. McCullough, talking with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock,” says President Barack Obama should call for a “Camp David-like energy summit.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Goldman Sachs Former Chief Whitehead Says NYSE Deal ‘An Insult’

February 14, 2011

John C. Whitehead isn’t celebrating the 219-year-old New York Stock Exchange’s plan to be acquired by Germany’s 18-year-old Deutsche Boerse AG.

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Felix Salmon: Wall Street’s Dead End

February 14, 2011

THE stock market has been big news in recent days. Last week’s report that Deutsche Börse, a giant German exchange, intends to buy the New York Stock Exchange, creating a company worth some $24 billion, arrived shortly after the Dow broke the 12,000-point barrier for the first time since before the financial crisis.

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London Stock Exchange (LON:LSE) Cash Markets Go Live on New Trading System

February 14, 2011

London Stock Exchange (LON:LSE) Cash Markets Go Live on New Trading System

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London Stock Exchange to buy Canada’s exchange

February 10, 2011

London Stock Exchange to buy Canada’s exchange

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Video: Haverty Says Verizon Stock Buyback `Really Big Deal’

February 3, 2011

Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — Lawrence Haverty, portfolio manager at Gamco Investors Inc., discusses the stock buyback by Verizon Communications Inc. and the outlook for the company’s sales of Apple Inc.’s iPhone. Verizon said its board approved the repurchase of as many as 100 million shares of the company’s common stock. Haverty, speaking with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness,” also talks about the prospects for Apple. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Wirtz Says Fifth Third Likes Industrial Cyclical Stocks

February 3, 2011

Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) — Keith Wirtz, chief investment officer at Fifth Third Asset Management Inc., discusses the outlook for the stock market and investment strategy. Wirtz talks with Betty Liu, Jon Erlichman and Sheila Dharmarajan on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Jonathan Tasini: Wall Street Pay ‘Vaults to Record Altitude’

February 2, 2011

Sometimes, I wonder whether we all live in a grand farce. But, actually, it’s a real-life story about a robbery of the people that continues every day — and today is no different. The robbers grow richer. From the Wall Street Journal , a story headlined: “On Street, Pay Vaults to Record Altitude”: When it comes to paychecks, Wall Street’s law of gravity is back in full force: What goes down must come back up. In 2010, total compensation and benefits at publicly traded Wall Street banks and securities firms hit a record of $135 billion, according to an analysis by The Wall Street Journal. The total is up 5.7% from $128 billion in combined compensation and benefits by the same companies in 2009 . The increase was fueled by a revenue rebound as the financial crisis recedes in the rearview mirror … “Things are shifting back to where they were before,” said J. Robert Brown, a law professor at the University of Denver who studies compensation and corporate-governance issues.[emphasis added] And: Bank of America Chief Executive Brian Moynihan got a 67% bump in his total compensation for 2010, the company said Monday. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. tripled the salary of Chairman and CEO Lloyd C. Blankfein and increased his stock-based bonus 40% to $12.6 million. In some respects, this is reaffirming news — reaffirming in that, for those of us who have argued that nothing much has changed, this is concrete evidence. Let me make three points here. First, the notion that the “financial crisis” has receded is a perspective that millions of Americans do not share, and do not live. Those people are still coping with joblessness and homelessness and bankruptcy precisely because of the crisis caused by many of the people who are now being rewarded. Rather than jailing a lot of these folks, or at least firing them, the financial “community” rewards them. Second, the escalating pay serves notice that we are back to business as usual. The next bubble is just over the horizon. Third, and maybe most important, any “reforms,” particularly those in the Dodd-Frank bill, are honestly toothless for this reason: we have not truly made an effort to SHRINK the size of Wall Street and its influence on our economy. Remember, in the “good days” of Wall Street, when the Street said “cut your labor costs”, CEOs, always attentive to the level of their share price (which effected the stock options CEOs held), would go ahead and slash thousands of jobs — not because it necessarily helped the company’s overall performance but because the stock price might improve because well, Wall Street would be happy. Much of the financial sector’s money was tied up in leveraged buy-outs and corporate takeovers — this is precisely the kind of behavior, along with foolish so-called “free trade” deals and union busting, that has undercut the middle-class and set us on a course of a declining standard of living. None of that mindset has changed as we embark on that mission to “win the future.” That is the more dangerous message from the pay hikes: NOTHING HAS CHANGED . Seems to me that the next Tahrir Square should be around the Wall Street bull on lower Broadway in Manhattan.

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Egyptian Stock, Egyptian Pound and the Impact on Forex

January 31, 2011

Egyptian Stock, Egyptian Pound and the Impact on Forex

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Halliburton Profit Soars On Jump In Oil Revenue

January 24, 2011

NEW YORK/SAN FRANCISCO (By Matt Daily and Braden Reddall) – Oilfield service company Halliburton Co. posted higher-than-expected profits, boosted by oil projects in North America, and forecast steady growth elsewhere, but said pricing competition could be tough. Shares of the world’s second-largest oilfield services company, which have long traded at a discount to those of larger rival Schlumberger Ltd (SLB.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), outperformed the sector on Monday in response to the more than doubling of fourth-quarter profit. The rise in oil prices to near $90 a barrel during the period spurred a bout of spending on new wells, overshadowing a decline in natural gas projects, as prices for that fuel remained weak. An 80 percent jump in Halliburton’s North American revenue in the fourth quarter was driven by robust onshore activity, though offshore activity in the Gulf of Mexico remained slack. Graphic on earnings/rig count: r.reuters.com/kym67r On Friday, Schlumberger posted higher-than-expected profits and said it expected client spending to grow. Shares of Halliburton were up 0.5 percent at $39.37 on the New York Stock Exchange in early afternoon trading, off an earlier high of $40.31. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange’s Oil Service index was down 0.2 percent. Halliburton shares are up 25 percent in the last 12 months, but remain a bargain compared with those of peers, analysts said. “It’s still the cheapest of the large-cap diversified (oilfield service) companies,” said RBC Capital Markets analyst Kurt Hallead. Halliburton was trading at a 20 percent discount to rivals based on 2012 earnings forecasts, according to UBS analyst Angie Sedita, who has a price target of $48 on the shares. BEAT THE MARKET Halliburton’s fourth-quarter net profit rose to $605 million, or 66 cents per share, from $243 million or 27 cents per share, a year earlier. Excluding a 2 cent-per-share charge related to former subsidiary KBR Inc’s (KBR.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) settlement with Nigeria, earnings per share were 68 cents, topping the 63 cents that analysts had forecast on average, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Revenue jumped 40 percent to $5.16 billion, while analysts had expected $4.88 billion. Houston-based Halliburton is looking abroad for growth in the year ahead, but margins are likely to remain under pressure as its rivals are chasing growth in the very same markets. “We do see activity increases happening throughout 2011,” Chief Executive Dave Lesar told analysts on a conference call. “The big wild card is just how tough the pricing environment continues to be.” The company said it recently won a 15-well package in Iraq, on top of three deals announced there last year, and it will double its employee headcount in the country to 1,200 in 2011. Lesar sees steady demand in North America this year, helped by the 3,200 uncompleted wells in the region — a number higher than he had expected, and that he sees rising this quarter. Gulf of Mexico activity is moribund as companies struggle to obtain drilling permits in the wake of BP Plc’s (BP.L: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) oil spill last April after a blowout that killed 11 workers — for which Halliburton, a BP contractor, could face legal liability. Halliburton is maintaining its staffing in the Gulf even though activity looks likely to stay subdued in the first half of 2011, and possibly for the rest of the year, Lesar said. Halliburton will expand deepwater operations in the Eastern Hemisphere, but did not specify how much it would spend. Competitors Baker Hughes Inc (BHI.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Weatherford International Ltd (WFT.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) WFT.S report results on Tuesday. (Reporting by Matt Daily in New York and Braden Reddall in San Francisco; Editing by Gerald E. McCormick and Matthew Lewis) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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London Stock Exchange Group (LON:LSE) Signs Strategic Partnership With Mongolian Stock Exchange

January 18, 2011

London Stock Exchange Group (LON:LSE) Signs Strategic Partnership With Mongolian Stock Exchange

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Did 50 Cent Break The Law By Tweeting About A Penny Stock?

January 12, 2011

Over the weekend, the popular rapper 50 Cent urged his 3.8 million Twitter followers to buy [1] the stock of a microscopic company in Florida. The penny stock jumped 290 percent on Monday. The rapper, who owns 7.5 million shares and warrants for 22.5 million more in the company, had a paper profit that was briefly worth almost $5.2 million on paper.

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ISM Manufacturing Shows Expansion, as Stock Markets Open the Year in Strong Fashion

January 3, 2011

ISM Manufacturing Shows Expansion, as Stock Markets Open the Year in Strong Fashion

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