the-government

HuffPost TV: Arianna And George Will Disagree On Why Banks Aren’t Lending (VIDEO)

September 12, 2010

Arianna appeared on ABC’s “This Week” Sunday as part of a roundtable with George Will, Kate Zernike, and Jonathan Karl. During the discussion, Arianna and Will sparred over bank lending and Wall Street reform. “Somebody I was talking to over the week — people in business, venture capital — were asking ‘Why doesn’t the government do more to force banks to lend, to do more to make it easier for people to actually go out there and show some kind of consumer activity,’” host Christiane Amanpour said. “Well maybe if the government did less, period, people would me more inclined to lend money,” Will replied. “The banks aren’t hoarding the money because they in a pout. They’re not hoarding the money because their mad at somebody. They’re hoarding money because they can’t find lenders who think they can borrow it and make money.” “No, that’s not true,” Arianna responded. “The banks are getting almost zero-percent interest rate loans from the Fed and they are spending it to make a lot of profit in derivatives trading and all the things that got us into this trouble in the first place. And this administration and this Congress still has not passed an end to Too Big To Fail, still has not reinstated Glass-Steagall. So even though people may not be able to give you all these details, they know that the system has not been fixed, that financial reform is full of loopholes, and that the system is not fair, basically, for them as they’re seeing their lives falling apart.” WATCH:

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Tom Doctoroff: Is China Serious About Major Economic Reform? Probably Not

September 6, 2010

Of late, many propaganda pieces in the Chinese press have appeared extolling the importance of innovation, value-creation and a fundamental rebalancing of China’s manufacturing-led economy to a consumer-driven one. On the ground, a big question remains whether the government truly believes its growth model has reached its peak. Infrastructure Investment. The key strategy continues to be urbanization which entails: a) massive infrastructure investment inland, b) upgrading non productive rural workers into higher-productivity manufacturing workers. The structure of the governments’ gargantuan 2008 stimulus package is consistent with this framework. Factories are being built on hinterland farmlands, as are transportation networks to ship raw and semi-finished goods between lower-tier cities and the coast. The Party likely believes China can, as a whole, maintain is low-cost labor pool for at least the next decade, hence its reasonably calm reaction to recent labor unrest at Foxconn in Guangdong province. As a result, mobilization of resources and scalification of markets remain core growth planks and this is inconsistent with any leap up value chains. That said, China model is appropriate for making an incremental crawl up the value ladder. And, here, China has been successful in industry after industry, ranging from green technology to autos. But no industry has had anything close to a paradigm shift in terms of setting global standards of innovation. A Consumer Economy? In terms of stimulating consumer demand, there has been precious little the government has done that would relieve epic savings anxiety of both the middle class and the urban mass market. This would involve, most critically, fundamental restructuring of health care. Le Keqiang, Hu Jintao’s heir apparent, is charged with leading the task force to address this need. But most observers are skeptical insurance pools are deep enough or inclusive enough to fund significant health care reform. So the effort is proceeding, and will proceed, in a piecemeal fashion. However, as a percentage of total economic activity, the consumer sector will increase, largely driven by industrialization of and growth in lower-tier markets. (This is the major story of the past couple years. Auto sales, for example, are exploding outside of Tier I cities. The same goes for luxury products.) Corporate Governance Hurdles. To generate more innovation in state-own enterprises, a key issue is corporate governance, or lack thereof. In China, shareholder rights are extremely weak and there is rarely (never?) an empowered board charged with ensuring that management maximize long-term shareholder value. Goals of maintaining Party control and responding to the market are in opposition. CEOs are judged in implementing the party line and competition is, at best, “managed,” orchestrated from above, within the corridors of Party power. Service Sector Stagnation. The service sector, and modernization of it, also remains a huge challenge. It is currently designed to respond to, again in a mobilized manner, the needs to the masses. (Ten years ago, who would have anticipated such growth of the retail arms of the Big Four banks?) But the emerging middle class, whose needs are more sophisticated and require a greater degree of personalization, have been ignored. Again, key service industries (health care, financial services, real estate, etc.) remain “strategic” industries — vital to the Party’s macro- management of the country — so significant reform is nowhere in sight. (The biggest star in retail banking innovation is China Merchant’s Bank, not one of the big boys.) Brittle Company Structures. Corporate structure is also a huge barrier for innovation. Large SOEs are burdened by: a) byzantine hierarchies that preclude a bottom-up flow of new ideas, b) imperial CEOs who issue ambiguous instructions to generate anxiety and construct rival power factions to ensure competition is horizontal, not vertical, c) minimal investment in R&D, and d) dominance of (short-term) sales relative to marketing (a balance of short-term sales and long-term equity generation) functions. I am not aware of any large local company that has made huge strides in instituting an empowered marketing function. However, our experience with COFCO, China’s largest food conglomerate, suggests it is at least trying nobly to impose a “framework” for innovation and brand development. Haier and large local appliance manufacturers remain stuck in the past. The local brands that have made the most progress moving beyond scale/huge market capitalization and towards value creation (Anta, Lining, dairy companies such as Meng Niu and Yili, fashion) are, relatively speaking, independent of the state. These are the companies fueling JWT’s growth amongst local clients. However, smaller private enterprises are increasingly starved for capital. Key question: when will banks begin lending based on objective assessment of return? Many doubt that day will arrive anytime soon. By the way, Chinese companies are, rightly, focused on the China market. They are pragmatic. Few brands really want to “take over the world.” Recent cases like Geely’s takeover of Volvo is vanity project, a misguided attempt to grab a part of the booming luxury car segment. Lenovo could only go global via a takeover of IMB’s international PC operations and results have been decidedly mixed. “International” Chinese brands will only succeed, for the foreseeable future, in emerging economies where the basic price-value equation of Mainland goods remains a genuine competitive advantage. Political Reform: Taboo. Underlying all of this is slow progress on the political reform front. Can the government instill significant intra-party checks and balances to institutionalize more efficient governance? (This is what party apparatchiks mean by “democracy.”) So far, this type of reform remains taboo, except in lofty think tank debates. Is the government wrong to go slow? Probably not. Despite having become the world’s second largest economy, China is still a poor country on a purchase power parity (PPP) basis. Vast expanses of the country require strong central government to continue the Middle Kingdom’s Great Urbanization Project. That said, even “Friends of China” are right to encourage the Party to begin the process of institutional-based reform, because the day when it becomes a necessity, rather than a theoretical “good,” will arrive sooner or later, perhaps unexpectedly.

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Summer Jobs Hit Record Low In Summer 2010

September 4, 2010

Only 47.6% of people ages 16 to 24 had jobs in August, the lowest level since the government began keeping track in 1948, the Labor Department said Friday

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Video: Cohen Says India’s `Solid Growth’ Can Endure Rate Rises

August 30, 2010

Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) — David Cohen, an economist at Action Economics in Singapore, talks about India’s economy after the government reported gross domestic product rose 8.8 percent in the three months through June from a year earlier. He speaks with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Electronic Control Security, Inc. Announces Appointment of Dana Palm as Director of Business Development

August 30, 2010

CLIFTON, NJ–(Marketwire – August 30, 2010) –  Electronic Control Security, Inc. ( OTCBB : EKCS ) (ECSI), a leading provider of electronic security system technologies to the government and private sectors, announced the appointment of Dana J. Palm as Director of Business Development. Mr. Palm will also be responsible for developing new business in both the government and private sectors in the eastern U.S. coastal states from Washington, DC to Florida.

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GDP Estimate: Commerce Department To Revise Economic Growth Projections

August 27, 2010

WASHINGTON — The government is about to confirm what many people have felt for some time: The economy barely has a pulse. The Commerce Department on Friday will revise its estimate for economic growth in the April-to-June period and Wall Street economists forecast it will be cut almost in half, to a 1.4 percent annual rate from 2.4 percent. That’s a sharp slowdown from the first quarter, when the economy grew at a 3.7 percent annual rate, and economists say it’s a taste of the weakness to come. The current quarter isn’t expected to be much better, with many economists forecasting growth of only 1.7 percent. Such slow growth won’t feel much like an economic recovery and won’t lead to much hiring. The unemployment rate, now at 9.5 percent, could even rise by the end of the year. “The economy is going to limp along for the next few months,” said Gus Faucher, an economist at Moody’s Analytics. There’s even a one in three chance it could slip back into recession, he said. Many temporary factors that boosted the economy earlier this year are fading. Companies built up their inventories after cutting them sharply in the recession to match slower sales. The increase provided a boost to manufacturers, but now many companies’ stockpiles are in line with sales and don’t need to grow as much. In addition, the impact of the government’s $862 billion fiscal stimulus program is lessening. That leaves the private sector to pick up the slack. But businesses are cutting back on their spending on machines, computers and software, according to a government report earlier this week. And the housing sector is slumping again after a popular home buyer’s tax credit expired in April. “What we’re seeing is that the hand-off to the private sector is not looking as robust as we had previously hoped,” said Ben Herzon, an economist at Macroeconomic Advisors. Many analysts say the uncertainty surrounding the economy is holding back consumers from spending and companies from investing and hiring. Consumers can’t be sure their jobs are safe, with unemployment so high. Business executives don’t know if sales and profits will grow enough to justify adding jobs. And potential changes to tax laws at the end of this year and other policy reforms also make it hard to plan ahead, economists say. “People have been overwhelmed by uncertainty,” said Ethan Harris, an economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. A big reason the government will mark down its estimate of last quarter’s gross domestic product is that imports surged much more in June than expected. GDP is the broadest measure of the economy’s output and covers everything from auto production to haircuts. Imports rose by 3 percent to just over $200 billion in June, while exports fell to $150.5 billion, pushing the trade gap to almost $50 billion, the biggest in nearly two years. Friday’s report may show that the higher imports knocked as much as 3 percentage points off second quarter growth, economists at Goldman Sachs estimate. But trade isn’t likely to be as big a drag in the current quarter. With businesses slowing their spending on inventories and capital equipment, imports are likely to slow. Housing, which added to the economy’s growth in the second quarter, is now likely dragging it down. The homebuyer’s tax credit boosted home sales in the spring, raising real estate brokers’ commissions. But home sales fell sharply in July, and new home construction also declined. That will weigh on economic growth this quarter, but its impact won’t be as bad as earlier in the recession. That’s because housing has shrunk so sharply. It made up more than 6 percent of the economy at the height of the boom in 2005, but now accounts for only 2.5 percent. High unemployment is making it harder for people to make their mortgage payments and stay in their homes. About 9.9 percent of homeowners had missed at least one mortgage payment as of June 30, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Thursday. That number, adjusted for seasonal factors, was close to a record high of more than 10 percent at the end of April. Friday’s report is the second of three estimates the government issues for each quarter’s GDP.

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Video: Deutsche Bank’s Moec Sees Cut in French Growth Forecast

August 20, 2010

Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) — Gilles Moec, an economist at Deutsche Bank AG, talks about the outlook for the French economy and the government’s austerity measures. He speaks with Maryam Nemazee on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.”

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Video: Bill Gross Discusses Financing of U.S. Housing Market: Video

August 17, 2010

Aug. 17 (Bloomberg) — Bill Gross, manager of the world’s biggest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Carol Massar about the role of the government and private lenders in the nation’s mortgage-finance system. Gross said earlier that the U.S. should consider “full nationalization” of housing finance as the Obama administration plots the revival of a market that was at the center of the 2008 credit crisis. (This is an excerpt of the full interview. Source: Bloomberg)

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Fannie, Freddie Reform: The Government Needs To Continue Propping Up The Mortgage Market, Say Banking Execs

August 17, 2010

WASHINGTON (AP, ALAN ZIBEL ) — The Obama administration invited banking executives Tuesday to offer advice on changing the government’s role in the mortgage market. Their response: stay big. While the executives disagreed on the exact level of support needed, the group overwhelmingly advocated the government should maintain a large role propping up the nearly $11 trillion market. Bill Gross, managing director of bond giant Pimco, said the economic recovery required more government stimulus, particularly in the housing market. He suggested the administration push for the automatic refinancing of millions homes backed by mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Fannie Mac. Refinancing those homes at the lowest mortgage rates in decades would give Americans more money each month. That would boost consumer spending by $50 billion to $60 billion and lift housing prices by as much as 10 percent, he said. Without such stimulus in the next six months, Gross said, the economy will move at a “snails pace.” Treasury officials have said they have no plans to enact such a plan, which has been the subject of intense rumors on Wall Street in recent weeks. Tuesday’s conference at the Treasury Department is the administration’s first of many steps toward restructuring the troubled industry. So far, rescuing Fannie and Freddie has cost the government more than $148 billion. That number is expected to grow. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner pledged “fundamental change” to the structure of Fannie and Freddie. The mortgage giants profited tremendously during good times but burdened taxpayers with losses when the housing market went bust. He said the two companies weren’t the only cause of the financial crisis, but made it worse. Fannie and Freddie buy mortgages and package them into securities with a guarantee against default. They have ensured that millions of Americans can get home loans — even after the housing market collapsed. The two companies, the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration together backed about 90 percent of loans made in the first half of the year, according to trade publication Inside Mortgage Finance. Geithner did not offer a specific exit strategy for Fannie and Freddie. He agreed that the government could remain involved in the mortgage system by guaranteeing investors in mortgage-backed securities get paid, even when borrowers default. There is a “strong case to be made” for such an arrangement, Geithner said.’ But Geithner suggested that Fannie and Freddie’s replacements could pay the government to insure the loans. That money could be tapped if the housing market collapses and would ensure taxpayers do not get hit with losses in the future. “It is our responsibility to make sure that we create a system that is not vulnerable to these same failures happening again,” Geithner said. Republicans are expected to pick up seats in Congress in November and the Obama administration will need support from both parties to enact changes next year. The Obama administration’s management of Fannie and Freddie has been under fire for months from Republicans on Capitol Hill. In December, the Treasury Department eliminated a $400 billion cap on how much money it would give the mortgage giants to keep them from failing. Rep. Spencer Bachus, the top Republican on the House Financial Services Committee, accused the Obama administration of excluding critics of the government’s role in the mortgage system from Tuesday’s conference. In a letter to Geithner, Bachus said Treasury appears to be “laying the groundwork for a predetermined policy outcome that looks uncomfortably similar to the failed status quo.” But the industry executives and experts at the conference seemed to agree that the government should maintain a role in the mortgage market, even if Fannie and Freddie disappear someday. Where they disagreed was on the level of government involvement and whether it should be reduced gradually. Gross advocated the biggest government role. He said Fannie and Freddie’s function should be consolidated into one government agency that would issue mortgage-backed securities. Without such a solid guarantee, mortgage rates would soar, he warned. Gross said he is skeptical of having those securities issued by the private sector, saying that doing so would favor “Wall Street as opposed to Main Street.”

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Fannie, Freddie Reform: Treasury Department Holds All-Star Conference To Discuss Ailing Lenders

August 17, 2010

WASHINGTON — Talk of shrinking the government’s involvement in the mortgage market is growing. Just don’t expect action any time soon. A conference Tuesday at the Treasury Department is the first of many steps toward restructuring the nearly $11 trillion mortgage market. So far, rescuing mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has cost the government more than $148 billion. That number is expected to grow. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will address the conference but is not expected to offer an exit strategy Tuesday. The administration has said it won’t offer its plan until next year. Officials are pledging dramatic changes to the structure of Fannie and Freddie, which profited tremendously during good times but burdened taxpayers with losses when the housing market went bust. “We will not support a return to the system where private gains are subsidized by taxpayer losses,” Geithner said in remarks prepared for the conference. With Republicans likely to pick up seats in Congress in November, however, the Obama administration will need support from both political parties for the changes it proposes. Reflecting this reality, Geithner will say Tuesday that “the failures that produced the system we have today were bipartisan. The solution must be as well.” Executives and mortgage experts are prepared to tell Obama officials that that the government must stay in the business of backing U.S. mortgages even if Fannie and Freddie disappear someday. “At the end of the day, the government will still have a very large role to play,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and a panelist at the event. Others include mortgage executives from Bank of America Corp. and Wells Fargo & Co, plus Bill Gross, managing director of bond giant Pimco and Lewis Ranieri, one of the creators of mortgage bonds. The Obama administration’s management of Fannie and Freddie has been under fire for months from Republicans on Capitol Hill. In December, the Treasury Department eliminated a $400 billion cap on how much money it would give the mortgage giants to keep them from failing. Sen. John McCain, R.-Ariz., has called that a “taxpayer-backed slush fund” and called for the support to be wound down. Many in the mortgage industry say that’s not realistic. “There has to be a game plan,” said Paul Leonard, vice president of government affairs at the Housing Policy Council, a mortgage industry group. “You can’t just pull the plug on them.” Fannie and Freddie buy mortgages and package them into securities with a guarantee against default. They have ensured that millions of Americans can get home loans – even after the housing market collapsed. The two mortgage giants, the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration together backed about 90 percent of loans made in the first half of the year, according to trade publication Inside Mortgage Finance. At some point the government will have to scale back the level of support it provided the housing and mortgage markets during the recession and financial crisis. “The government’s footprint in the housing market needs to be smaller than it is today,” Shaun Donovan, President Barack Obama’s housing secretary, said in prepared remarks. Most of the plans being circulated to reshape the mortgage market call for the government to guarantee that investors who buy mortgage-backed securities receive their money even if borrowers default. Under this system, Fannie and Freddie could either be returned to private ownership or phased out completely. Fannie and Freddie, or their replacements, would pay the government to insure the loans. That money could be tapped if the housing market collapses. “A government guarantee is both a desirable and necessary component of the country’s housing finance system,” wrote John Gibbons, a Wells Fargo & Co. executive vice president, in a letter last month to the Treasury Department.

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Video: Churchouse Likes Singapore, Shanghai Property Markets: Video

August 16, 2010

Aug. 17 (Bloomberg) — Peter Churchouse, chairman of Hong Kong-based property investment firm Portwood Capital, talks about property markets in Asia. Hong Kong’s government Aug. 13 tightened mortgage lending rules and said it will increase land supply to help cool home prices, which have soared about 45 percent since the beginning of 2009. Separately, the government will auction two residential sites on Sept. 29, it said in a statement on its website yesterday. Churchouse speaks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Webman Says U.S. Faces Slow Growth for `Some Time’: Video

August 11, 2010

Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) — Jerry Webman, chief economist at OppenheimerFunds Inc., talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about the outlook for the U.S. economy. A swelling trade gap, less stockpiling and weaker construction indicate the U.S. economy slowed even more in the second quarter than the government estimated last month, economists said. Webman also discusses OppenheimerFunds’ investment strategy and China’s economy. He speaks from New York with Bloomberg’s Susan Li. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: U.K. Budget Cuts Loom Over Building Projects, Consumers

August 11, 2010

Aug. 11 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Elliott Gotkine reports on the outlook for the U.K. economy and the risks to growth in the construction industry as the government takes steps to cut the deficit. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: BBVA’s Schwartz, Academic Lam Discuss China Property: Video

August 9, 2010

Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) — Stephen Schwartz, chief economist for Asia at Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA, and Willy Lam Wo-Lap, adjunct professor of history at the Chinese University in Hong Kong, talk with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat about the outlook for China’s economy and property market. China’s property prices climbed at the slowest pace in six months in July as the government clamped down on speculation to prevent asset bubbles and keep housing affordable. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Citic’s Hu Says China Property Prices Have `Stabilized’: Video

August 9, 2010

Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) — Hu Yifan, chief global economist at Citic Securities Co. in Hong Kong, talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about the outlook for China’s property market. China’s property prices climbed at the slowest pace in six months in July as the government clamped down on speculation to prevent asset bubbles and keep housing affordable. Hu, speaking in Hong Kong, also discusses China’s purchase of Japanese government bonds, the outlook for the nation’s economy and central bank monetary policy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Nomura’s Darby Says China A-Shares May Be Poised to Rise: Video

August 1, 2010

Aug. 2 (Bloomberg) — Sean Darby, chief Asian equity strategist at Nomura Holdings Inc. in Hong Kong, speaks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat about China’s stock market and economy. China’s manufacturing grew at the slowest pace in 17 months in July as the government clamped down on property speculation and investment in energy-intensive and polluting factories. Darby also discusses China’s currency policy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Nomura’s Darby Says China A-Shares May Be Poised to Rise: Video

August 1, 2010

Aug. 2 (Bloomberg) — Sean Darby, chief Asian equity strategist at Nomura Holdings Inc. in Hong Kong, speaks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat about China’s stock market and economy. China’s manufacturing grew at the slowest pace in 17 months in July as the government clamped down on property speculation and investment in energy-intensive and polluting factories. Darby also discusses China’s currency policy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Justice Department Sues Oracle For FRAUD Over Software Contracts

July 29, 2010

NEW YORK — The U.S. Justice Department said Thursday it is joining a fraud lawsuit against Oracle Corp. related to software contracts worth hundreds of millions of dollars. The agency said Oracle failed to offer government customers the same discounts on its software that it offered commercial customers, as it was required to do. As a result, the lawsuit alleges, Oracle overcharged the government on a contract that ran from 1998 to 2006. Paul Frascella, Oracle’s senior director of contract services, filed the original lawsuit in May 2007 under the False Claims Act, which allows whistleblowers to sue on the government’s behalf and share in any damages recovered. Oracle did not immediately return messages for comment. “We take seriously allegations that a government contractor has dealt dishonestly with the United States,” Assistant Attorney General Tony West said in a statement. “When contractors misrepresent their business practices to the government, taxpayers suffer.”

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Jacob Lew, OMB Nominee, Got $900K Citigroup Bonus After Bailout

July 29, 2010

President Obama’s choice to be the government’s chief budget officer received a bonus of more than $900,000 from Citigroup Inc. last year — after the Wall Street firm for which he worked received a massive taxpayer bailout.

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Video: Pan Says India Interest Rate Increases Will Be Gradual: Video

July 26, 2010

July 27 (Bloomberg) — Indranil Pan, chief economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd., talks with Bloomberg’s Mark Barton about the outlook for Reserve Bank of India monetary policy. India needs tighter monetary policy to cool inflation, the central bank said, signaling the possibility of an interest-rate increase today. Pan, speaking from Mumbai, also discusses the government’s decision to allow state-run refiners to raise gasoline and diesel costs in a bid to cut its subsidies bill. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Jobless Rate Falls In 39 States In June As Thousands Give Up Looking For Work

July 20, 2010

WASHINGTON — The unemployment rate fell in most states in June, mostly because many people gave up on their work searches and were no longer counted. The Labor Department says the jobless rate declined in 39 states and Washington, D.C. last month. That’s a slight improvement from May, when 37 states saw their rates decline. Only 21 states saw net job gains in June, the government said. That compared to 41 the previous month and it was the fewest for the year. The decline reflects the layoff of thousands of temporary census workers, who inflated total payrolls in May and then reduced them in June. Still, it’s also a sign that businesses aren’t hiring many new workers. Nationwide, private employers added a net gain of only 83,000 jobs last month.

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Unemployment Extension Standoff To Continue For At Least Another Week

July 12, 2010

Senate Democrats will remain one vote short of the 60 needed to reauthorize unemployment benefits for the long-term jobless at least until the end of the week, as West Virginia Gov. Joe Manchin says he wants to wait until the state legislature has cleared up the law on how to fill the Senate seat left behind by the late Robert Byrd (D-W.Va.). Manchin previously said that he could name a replacement as soon as the beginning of the week, but on Monday his office told HuffPost he’d make his announcement by Sunday at the latest and Friday at the earliest. “He intends to make the appointment by week’s end,” a spokesman said. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) has repeatedly said that Senate Democrats need Byrd’s replacement to break the filibuster by Republicans and Nebraska Democrat Ben Nelson, whose approval — had he decided to give it — would have ended the endless debate that has already cut off unemployment checks to some 2.1 million people. By the time Byrd’s replacement is sworn in, more than 2.5 million people who’ve been out of work for longer than six months will have missed checks they would have received had Congress reauthorized the stimulus programs it allowed to lapse at the end of May. President Obama’s 2009 stimulus bill and subsequent legislation gave the unemployed up to 99 weeks of benefits in some states. With the federally-funded extended benefits lapsed, in most states the unemployed are eligible for only 26 weeks of state-funded benefits. The congressional holdup owes to the Republican Party’s and Ben Nelson’s insistence that the $33 billion cost of extending the benefits not be classified as “emergency spending” and added to the deficit — even though the cost of extended unemployment benefits has, throughout the 20th century, always been classified as emergency spending during times of recession. Some Democrats view the new-found deficit concern as an effort to crater the economy and make the November midterm elections difficult for Democrats; others also see it as an effort to fundamentally undermine unemployment insurance. That’s the view espoused by Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.), who on Monday told HuffPost he sees unemployment benefits as a “necessary evil.” Kyl and other Republicans have signaled they will not insist that revenue lost to tax cuts for the wealthy be offset by spending costs elsewhere. It’s a matter of reducing the size of the government: “The money does not belong to the government,” Kyl said. “And yet that’s what this kind of a rigid pay-go rule would assume, that the money belongs to the government and, therefore, if you’re going to deny the government some of that revenue through a tax cut, you have to make the government whole because the government can never lose any money. That would mean that you could never reduce the size of government.”

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Unemployment Extension Standoff To Continue For At Least Another Week

July 12, 2010

Senate Democrats will remain one vote short of the 60 needed to reauthorize unemployment benefits for the long-term jobless at least until the end of the week, as West Virginia Gov. Joe Manchin says he wants to wait until the state legislature has cleared up the law on how to fill the Senate seat left behind by the late Robert Byrd (D-W.Va.). Manchin previously said that he could name a replacement as soon as the beginning of the week, but on Monday his office told HuffPost he’d make his announcement by Sunday at the latest and Friday at the earliest. “He intends to make the appointment by week’s end,” a spokesman said. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) has repeatedly said that Senate Democrats need Byrd’s replacement to break the filibuster by Republicans and Nebraska Democrat Ben Nelson, whose approval — had he decided to give it — would have ended the endless debate that has already cut off unemployment checks to some 2.1 million people. By the time Byrd’s replacement is sworn in, more than 2.5 million people who’ve been out of work for longer than six months will have missed checks they would have received had Congress reauthorized the stimulus programs it allowed to lapse at the end of May. President Obama’s 2009 stimulus bill and subsequent legislation gave the unemployed up to 99 weeks of benefits in some states. With the federally-funded extended benefits lapsed, in most states the unemployed are eligible for only 26 weeks of state-funded benefits. The congressional holdup owes to the Republican Party’s and Ben Nelson’s insistence that the $33 billion cost of extending the benefits not be classified as “emergency spending” and added to the deficit — even though the cost of extended unemployment benefits has, throughout the 20th century, always been classified as emergency spending during times of recession. Some Democrats view the new-found deficit concern as an effort to crater the economy and make the November midterm elections difficult for Democrats; others also see it as an effort to fundamentally undermine unemployment insurance. That’s the view espoused by Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.), who on Monday told HuffPost he sees unemployment benefits as a “necessary evil.” Kyl and other Republicans have signaled they will not insist that revenue lost to tax cuts for the wealthy be offset by spending costs elsewhere. It’s a matter of reducing the size of the government: “The money does not belong to the government,” Kyl said. “And yet that’s what this kind of a rigid pay-go rule would assume, that the money belongs to the government and, therefore, if you’re going to deny the government some of that revenue through a tax cut, you have to make the government whole because the government can never lose any money. That would mean that you could never reduce the size of government.”

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Video: Mizuho’s Shen Sees China’s Exports Slowing After July: Video

July 11, 2010

July 12 (Bloomberg) — Shen Jianguang, Greater China chief economist at Mizuho Securities Asia Ltd., talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about the outlook for China’s economy and exports. China’s overseas sales jumped 43.9 percent in June from a year earlier to $137.4 billion and the trade surplus more than doubled to $20 billion, the highest level in eight months, the government said July 10. Shen, speaking in Hong Kong, also discusses China’s real estate market and central bank monetary policy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Leung Says China Gas Targeting Industrial Customers: Video

July 8, 2010

July 9 (Bloomberg) — China Gas Holdings Ltd. Chief Financial Officer Eric Leung talks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat about the company’s business strategy. China Gas, the energy supplier to homes and business on the mainland, plans to almost double sales of natural gas in the next two years as the government encourages the use of the fuel. China Gas’s net income in the year ended March rose more than sevenfold to HK$875.6 million ($112.4 million) on higher sales. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Brady Blames Washington for `Holding Back’ U.S. Economy: Video

July 2, 2010

July 2 (Bloomberg) — U.S. Representative Kevin Brady, a Texas Republican, discusses the outlook for employment and the potential implications of an offshore oil drilling moratorium for his home state. Payrolls declined by 125,000 last month as the government cut 225,000 temporary workers conducting the 2010 census, Labor Department figures showed. Employment at companies rose 83,000. The jobless rate fell to 9.5 percent from 9.7 percent. Brady talks with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Lebas Says U.S. Faces Higher Long-Term Jobless Rate: Video

July 2, 2010

July 2 (Bloomberg) — Guy Lebas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, discusses the June U.S. employment report released today and outlook for the economy. Payrolls declined by 125,000 last month as the government cut 225,000 temporary workers conducting the 2010 census, Labor Department figures showed. Employment at companies rose 83,000. The jobless rate fell to 9.5 percent from 9.7 percent. Lebas talks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Ude Says DHL’s Wages in China `Competitive’: Video (Correct)

July 2, 2010

(Corrects guest’s name and DHL unit in report originally published July 1) July 1 (Bloomberg) — Hermann Ude, chief executive officer of Deutsche Post AG’s DHL Global Forwarding and Freight unit, talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about the company’s business in China. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao highlighted the government’s concerns that labor disputes over wages may spur social unrest when he called on companies last week to create “harmonious employment relations” by gradually raising incomes and ordered officials to handle “new issues” with skill. Ude, speaking from Shanghai, also discusses the outlook for the freight services industry and DHL’s growth strategy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Fed Bought Junk Bonds In Maiden Lane Wall Street Rescue, But Didn’t Tell Congress

July 1, 2010

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and then-New York Fed President Timothy Geithner told senators on April 3, 2008, that the tens of billions of dollars in “assets” the government agreed to purchase in the rescue of Bear Stearns Cos. were “investment-grade.” They didn’t share everything the Fed knew about the money.

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Bernanke, Fed Made Used Taxpayer Money To Buy Junk Bonds Without Congress Knowing

July 1, 2010

July 1 (Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and then-New York Fed President Timothy Geithner told senators on April 3, 2008, that the tens of billions of dollars in “assets” the government agreed to purchase in the rescue of Bear Stearns Cos. were “investment-grade.” They didn’t share everything the Fed knew about the money. The so-called assets included collateralized debt obligations and mortgage-backed bonds with names like HG-Coll Ltd. 2007-1A that were so distressed, more than $40 million already had been reduced to less than investment-grade by the time the central bankers testified. The government also became the owner of $16 billion of credit-default swaps, and taxpayers wound up guaranteeing high-yield, high-risk junk bonds.

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Lloyd Chapman: Analysis of Latest Obama Administration Small Business Contracting Data Released

June 28, 2010

The American Small Business League (ASBL) has released the first analysis of the government’s fiscal year (FY) 2009 small business contracting data. http://www.asbl.com/documents/ASBL_2009_dataanalysis.pdf The ASBL conducted a review of the top 100 recipients of federal small business contracts for FY 2009. Within its sample, the ASBL identified 61 large firms, which received 64.5 percent of the total dollars the government claimed to have awarded to small businesses. The ASBL also identified a series of Fortune 500 corporations and other large firms in the government’s 2009 contracting data. Recipients of small business contracts included: Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, L-3 Communications, British Aerospace (BAE), Northrop Grumman, General Electric, Booz Allen Hamilton, Thales Communications, General Dynamics, and Dell Computer. In addition to large corporations in the government’s 2009 small business contracting numbers, the ASBL also uncovered gross discrepancies in the volume of contracts awarded to some companies. In a sampling of the data, the ASBL uncovered several examples in which the volume of contracts awarded to legitimate small businesses was dramatically inflated. This appears to be an intentional attempt by the government to misrepresent the actual volume of contracts awarded to small businesses. Another technique the ASBL has uncovered is the exclusion of billions of dollars in large prime contracts from the government’s small business calculations, which further inflates the percentage of federal contracts the government claims to have awarded to legitimate small businesses. The ASBL recommends the Obama Administration take the following steps to increase the volume of federal contracts awarded to small businesses: • Issue an executive order to stop the government from reporting awards to publicly traded companies as small business awards. • Abolish the Comprehensive Subcontracting Plan Test Program, which currently allows prime contractors to avoid any reporting or penalties for non-compliance of small business subcontracting goals. • Implement the 5 percent set-aside goal for women-owned firms for all industries. FY 2009 marks the tenth consecutive year that the government has diverted federal small business contracts to corporate giants. The SBA has gone from telling us that the diversion of federal small business contracts was a ‘myth’ to telling us that it’s the result of ‘simple human error.’ It is time for President Obama to honor his campaign promise, when he said, ‘It is time to end the diversion of federal small business contracts to corporate giants.’ ( http://www.barackobama.com/2008/02/26/the_american_small_business_le.php )

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Gulf Oil Spill: BP’s Secret Army Of Oil Disaster Contractors

June 18, 2010

The true story of the BP disaster is how private contractors, not the government, are handling the response. Of the 25,000 people responding to the greatest environmental catastrophe in the history of the nation, 21,000 are under contract to the foreign oil giant BP. This private army includes workers shipped in from California making $10 an hour to clean the beaches, ex-military public relations experts, and submarine robotics companies. There are no contractors working directly for the government. The Center for American Progress — like many other outside observers — recommends that the government take over operational control from BP, to resolve conflicts of interest between the foreign corporation’s shareholders and public health and safety.

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Gulf Oil Spill: BP’s Secret Army Of Oil Disaster Contractors

June 18, 2010

The true story of the BP disaster is how private contractors, not the government, are handling the response. Of the 25,000 people responding to the greatest environmental catastrophe in the history of the nation, 21,000 are under contract to the foreign oil giant BP. This private army includes workers shipped in from California making $10 an hour to clean the beaches, ex-military public relations experts, and submarine robotics companies. There are no contractors working directly for the government. The Center for American Progress — like many other outside observers — recommends that the government take over operational control from BP, to resolve conflicts of interest between the foreign corporation’s shareholders and public health and safety.

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Gulf Oil Spill: BP’s Secret Army Of Oil Disaster Contractors

June 18, 2010

The true story of the BP disaster is how private contractors, not the government, are handling the response. Of the 25,000 people responding to the greatest environmental catastrophe in the history of the nation, 21,000 are under contract to the foreign oil giant BP. This private army includes workers shipped in from California making $10 an hour to clean the beaches, ex-military public relations experts, and submarine robotics companies. There are no contractors working directly for the government. The Center for American Progress — like many other outside observers — recommends that the government take over operational control from BP, to resolve conflicts of interest between the foreign corporation’s shareholders and public health and safety.

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Argentina May Lift Capital Controls After Debt Swap, Exchange Chief Says

June 15, 2010

By Eliana Raszewski and Drew Benson June 15 (Bloomberg) — Argentina will likely move to lift capital controls following the conclusion of the country’s $18.3 billion debt swap, the head of the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange said. Adelmo Gabbi said in an interview in Buenos Aires that both the government and opposition leaders will support his effort to have the Economy Ministry lift restrictions in a bid to attract greater investments. To contact the reporter on this story: Eliana Raszewski in Buenos Aires at eraszewski@bloomberg.net

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Gulf Oil Spill: Marshall Islands, Not U.S., Had Main Responsibility For Safety Inspections

June 14, 2010

The Deepwater Horizon oil rig that exploded in the Gulf of Mexico was built in South Korea. It was operated by a Swiss company under contract to a British oil firm. Primary responsibility for safety and other inspections rested not with the U.S. government but with the Republic of the Marshall Islands — a tiny, impoverished nation in the Pacific Ocean. And the Marshall Islands, a maze of tiny atolls, many smaller than the ill-fated oil rig, outsourced many of its responsibilities to private companies. Now, as the government tries to figure out what went wrong in the worst environmental catastrophe in U.S. history, this international patchwork of divided authority and sometimes conflicting priorities is emerging as a crucial underlying factor in the explosion of the rig.

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Gulf Oil Spill: Marshall Islands, Not U.S., Had Main Responsibility For Safety Inspections

June 14, 2010

The Deepwater Horizon oil rig that exploded in the Gulf of Mexico was built in South Korea. It was operated by a Swiss company under contract to a British oil firm. Primary responsibility for safety and other inspections rested not with the U.S. government but with the Republic of the Marshall Islands — a tiny, impoverished nation in the Pacific Ocean. And the Marshall Islands, a maze of tiny atolls, many smaller than the ill-fated oil rig, outsourced many of its responsibilities to private companies. Now, as the government tries to figure out what went wrong in the worst environmental catastrophe in U.S. history, this international patchwork of divided authority and sometimes conflicting priorities is emerging as a crucial underlying factor in the explosion of the rig.

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Government Workers Earn $12 MORE Per Hour Than Their Private Counterparts

June 11, 2010

Government jobs may not sound lucrative, but state and local government employees make $12 more per hour than private workers, according to a recent report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Comparing total compensation – wages plus benefits – the average private sector worker makes $27.73 per hour, compared to $39.81 for the average government worker. Unsurprisingly, the bulk of the government worker’s compensation comes from benefits like paid leave, insurance and retirement. Governments pay an average of $3.16 per hour for its employees’ retirement and savings plans, compared to 96 cents for private workers. Meanwhile the government spends $4.52 an hour for its employees’ health insurance, compared to a measly $2.08 for private workers. The thin silver lining for private industry peons is that you can actually touch (and spend) a greater chunk of your total compensation than public servants. After all, 70.6% of a private worker’s compensation is in the form of wages and salaries, compared to only 65.9% for government employees. For more information on government job openings, check out USAJobs .

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Video: Patterson Says Firms Missing `Opportunities’ in Pakistan: Video

June 11, 2010

June 11 (Bloomberg) — Anne Patterson, the U.S. ambassador to Pakistan, talks about the government’s efforts to increase U.S. investment in Pakistan. Patterson also discusses Pakistan’s policies against extremism and U.S. aid strategy in Pakistan. She speaks on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness With Margaret Brennan.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Patterson Says Firms Missing `Opportunities’ in Pakistan: Video

June 11, 2010

June 11 (Bloomberg) — Anne Patterson, the U.S. ambassador to Pakistan, talks about the government’s efforts to increase U.S. investment in Pakistan. Patterson also discusses Pakistan’s policies against extremism and U.S. aid strategy in Pakistan. She speaks on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness With Margaret Brennan.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Chris Matthews: A Dead-Serious Thought on BP

June 10, 2010

What is all this talk about the possibility of BP declaring bankruptcy? What would that do to the “legitimate” claims against it? I have had this concern from the beginning that the interests of BP and those of the president are decidedly different. BP has a responsibility to its stockholders. Already beaten down by the drop in stock value, will the stockholders now demand that BP seek the protection of bankruptcy? Will the giant oil company resort to this measure as a way of meeting its fiduciary responsibility? That’s a great question. Can the government of the United States do anything about it? That’s another one. Whatever the president can do to protect the interests of BP’s American victims should be number one on his agenda. Visit msnbc.com for breaking news , world news , and news about the economy

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Najib to Cut Subsidies, Costs in Five-Year Plan to Boost Malaysia Economy

June 9, 2010

By Barry Porter June 10 (Bloomberg) — Malaysia aims to almost halve its budget deficit in the next five years as the government cuts subsidies, widens the tax base and reduces expenses under a plan to make the economy more competitive. “We can no longer rely on past strategies and approaches that had previously driven our economic growth,” Prime Minister Najib Razak said in today’s 10th Malaysia Plan report. “Failure to transform the economy puts the nation at risk of relative decline, as many developing nations are fast catching up.” The country plans to cut the budget shortfall to 2.8 percent of gross domestic product in 2015 from a revised estimate of 5.3 percent this year, according to the five-year plan unveiled by Najib in Kuala Lumpur today. It earlier projected a 5.6 percent deficit for 2010. The reduction will come even as the federal government plans 230 billion ringgit ($69 billion) of development spending for 2011-15. Narrowing the budget gap would help Malaysia, which sold debt overseas in May for the first time in eight years, avert the confidence crisis that has engulfed Europe as nations from Greece to Portugal struggle to contain deficits. As the economy rebounds from last year’s recession, Najib has announced plans to trim state subsidies for consumers and roll back policies favoring the country’s biggest ethnic group. “If you keep your deficit fairly high for a long period of time, it’s not sustainable, you run into the kind of problems that you see in Europe,” Alvin Liew , a Singapore-based economist at Standard Chartered Plc, said before the plan was released. “There may be a possibility of bankruptcy within nine years if you maintain the current spending plan.” Ballooning Deficit The nation’s deficit ballooned to a 22-year high of 7 percent of GDP last year as the government unveiled 67 billion ringgit of stimulus measures under two packages in 2008 and 2009 to help resuscitate growth during the global slump. That’s bigger than the Philippines’ 3.9 percent and compares with 13.6 percent for Greece, 11.2 percent for Spain and 9.4 percent for Portugal. Malaysia last month sold a $1.25 billion global Islamic bond, which was assigned ratings of A- by Standard & Poor’s and A3 from Moody’s Investors Service, their fourth-lowest investment grades. The country’s debt rating is the highest in Southeast Asia after Singapore. Southeast Asia’s third-largest economy expanded 10.1 percent last quarter, the most in a decade, allowing Malaysia to join the Group of 20 in shifting focus to deficit reduction. In a statement released after their talks ended June 5, G-20 officials replaced an endorsement of budget stimulus with a pledge to pursue “credible, growth-friendly measures to deliver fiscal sustainability.” Growth Rate Malaysia needs to achieve average annual growth of 6 percent during the next five years if it is to meet its target of becoming a high-income nation by 2020, today’s report showed. The economy grew an average 5.8 percent from 1991 to 2010. Growth momentum has slowed over the last decade due to “lackluster” private investment, which has fallen to an average of about 10 percent of GDP from close to 25 percent in the 1990s, the government said in the report. To spur growth, the government will promote higher value and knowledge-intensive industries, focusing on skills development, venture-capital funding and innovation, and providing incentives for research and development, Najib said in the report. Brain Drain The plans include a Talent Corporation to help reverse a brain drain, a 20 billion-ringgit Facilitation Fund to spur investment on a public-private risk-sharing basis, a review of Malaysia’s bankruptcy law to give entrepreneurs a second chance and ensure more efficient processing of insolvency, and a new Competition Law. There will also be competitive bidding for future toll- roads and power plants, the government said, and a shift from building and operating public services toward buying them from the private sector. Najib reiterated a pledge to make state assistance for the ethnic-Malay majority and other indigenous people more merit- based, and to sell stakes in more state-owned companies. Help for the so-called bumiputeras, which means sons of the land, “will need to be market-friendly, merit-based, transparent and needs-based,” according to the five-year plan. Affirmative Action Under a New Economic Model for Malaysia outlined in March, Najib had said the country will revise its affirmative action policies to target the nation’s poorest across all ethnic groups, moving away from 39-year-old race-based measures that the government now says may impede growth. Implementing the changes won’t be easy. Already, Najib has had to delay a revamp of the country’s fuel subsidy system, which keeps gasoline and diesel prices below market rates for all Malaysian consumers. His government is also still mulling how to introduce a goods and services tax, scheduled for after 2011 according to Second Finance Minister Ahmad Husni Hanadzlah . Malaysia spends about 73 billion ringgit a year on subsidies on essential items ranging from fuel to flour, Najib said in April, calling the amount “not sustainable.” This represents a fiscal burden to the government equivalent to 4.7 percent of GDP, or about 12,900 ringgit per household each year, according to today’s report. Subsidies and price controls will be “gradually” rationalized to reflect market prices, according to today’s report. Najib forecasts a 49 percent increase in state revenue over the next five years, to 183.1 billion ringgit in 2015. That would help cap the budget deficit even as the government boosts development spending by 23 percent to 142.4 billion ringgit in 2015, with investments in roads, ports and railways, including a new mass transit system for Kuala Lumpur. Malaysia aims to lift gross national income by 47 percent to 38,845 ringgit per capita during the period, the report showed. To contact the reporter responsible for this story: Barry Porter in Kuala Lumpur at bporter10@bloomberg.net

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Bernanke Warns Congress Not To Cut Spending, Cautions About ‘Fragile’ Recovery

June 9, 2010

While the conventional wisdom in Washington appears to focus largely on the need to lower the federal government’s budget deficit, rather than on reducing the nation’s nearly 10 percent unemployment rate, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sent a subtle message Wednesday to lawmakers: now’s not the time. “Right now I don’t think is the time — this very moment is not the time — to radically reduce our spending or raise our taxes because the economy is still in recovery mode and needs that support,” Bernanke testified before the House Budget Committee. Bernanke referred to the nascent economic recovery as “still pretty fragile” and cautioned that the economy “may need more assistance.” Though the nation’s output is growing, jobs are still scarce; nearly eight million jobs have been lost as a result of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Since January the private sector has created about 480,000 jobs, Labor Department data show. At that rate, the economy won’t return to its pre-recession employment level of about 115.6 million jobs until 2017. The lack of jobs accompanying the ascent out of the “Great Recession” has led economists and commentators such as regional Federal Reserve Bank presidents to term this a “jobless recovery.” Others, while not making that claim outright, worry that’s what the recovery will end up being unless current stimulative measures — such as the Fed’s policy of a near-zero main interest rate — continue. The Fed is “doing its part,” Bernanke said of the central bank’s “supportive monetary policy.” The main interest rate stood at 0.20 percent in May, Fed data show. The nation’s central banker added that government’s fiscal policy, like the nearly $800 billion stimulus bill passed last year, “is helping” and that it’s “needed.” Congressional Republicans have focused on reducing the federal government’s budget deficit rather than on taxpayer-financed job creation efforts; Democrats have begun to follow. Bernanke, however, pushed back against House Republicans’ claims that the stimulus, pushed by the Obama administration, didn’t bolster the economy. He said it “did increase growth” and “add to job creation.” But the economy’s slow recovery has been a “disappointment,” Bernanke said. He added that there wouldn’t be a “V-shaped recovery,” a term to describe a rapid economic expansion following a downturn. Despite the slow recovery and potential need for additional stimulus, though, Bernanke warned Congress to develop a credible plan to deal with the government’s budget deficits. Obama’s 2011 budget forecasts a $1.6 trillion hole, or about 10.6 percent of the nation’s total output, a post-World War II high. Bernanke said ongoing deficits of that size aren’t sustainable, and called on Congress to create a plan in the “medium term” to bring deficits to a more manageable level. Economists say deficits of about 3 percent of total GDP are sustainable. The plan, he said, needs to have the confidence of the markets. If it has that, “I think we’ll be okay,” Bernanke said. But if investors in U.S. debt don’t find the plan “plausible,” the nation faces a risk of a “potential loss of confidence” by investors. A loss of confidence could entail investors demanding higher rates of return in order to buy Treasuries, which would drive up the government’s borrowing costs. Funds for government programs would instead be diverted to bondholders. Investors are demanding about 3.3 percent interest from the U.S. government in order to buy 10-year Treasury bonds, a level near historic lows. Ten years ago, investors demanded double that rate. But it’s important to note that Bernanke didn’t say Congress needs to cut spending now; he simply said Congress needs to begin developing a plan in the “medium term” to bring down the government’s budget deficit. In response to a question about whether Congress should focus on job creation (which would entail more spending) or reducing the deficit, Bernanke said it needs to do both. Congress needs to “show” that it’s “serious” about the deficit, he said. Meanwhile, the muscular jobs bill that progressive groups, unions, and labor economists clamor for has yet to materialize. The private sector created 20,000 jobs last month. Nearly 15 million unemployed workers continue to look for work.

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More Than 100,000 People Rally in Hong Kong to Mark Tiananmen Protests

June 4, 2010

By Debra Mao, Frederik Balfour and John Duce June 5 (Bloomberg) — More than 100,000 people gathered in Hong Kong last night for a candle-lit vigil to mark the 21st anniversary of the Chinese government’s crackdown on pro- democracy student demonstrators in Tiananmen Square. An estimated 150,000 attended the vigil, the only commemoration of the event on Chinese soil, according to Richard Tsoi, one of the organizers. A police spokeswoman, who declined be identified per department policy, said authorities estimated the crowd at 113,000. Twenty-one years ago, about 1 million people took to the streets. The crowd last night “shows the depth of feeling about the issue of Tiananmen in Hong Kong,” said Tsoi, who is also vice chairman of the Hong Kong Alliance in Support of Patriotic Democratic Movements of China. “It’s also a signal to the government in Hong Kong that people care about the issue of greater democracy.” People laid flowers at a replica of the Goddess of Democracy statue that was erected in protests in Beijing in 1989. Wreaths were on display at the city’s Victoria Park to commemorate the dead. In the crackdown, Chinese troops fired on demonstrators who had been massing in the square for weeks. The U.S. Embassy in Beijing estimated a death toll exceeding 1,000, and in Hong Kong, which was due to return to China in 1997, one-sixth of the population marched in protest. Student Leader “Hong Kong has inherited the spirit of the 1989 generation,” Wang Dan , a Chinese democracy activist and student leader during the standoff against Chinese troops two decades ago, wrote in an e-mail from California. “Many Chinese people from the mainland have been going to Hong Kong to breathe the air of freedom.” “I’m here because we must never forget what happened at Tiananmen Square,” Peter Ho, 72, a retired computer engineer and Hong Kong resident, said at the vigil. “This is a way of keeping alive the memory of those who died and teaching our children and grandchildren what happened.” An 18-year-old student, Willis Ho, expressed a similar view, adding that “the government has never apologized for what happened.” Red Umbrellas In Beijing , June 4 began quietly with half-a-dozen white police vans parked east of Tiananmen Square. A man flew a kite, tourists snapped photographs and tour groups queued outside the Mao Zedong Mausoleum . In the afternoon, 50 to 60 young men and women in red T- shirts identifying them as “security volunteers” sat in groups, holding red umbrellas. The city regularly uses community volunteers for security, mobilizing 300,000 last year for the Oct.1 National Day celebrations, according to state media. In the evening, people gathered in the square to watch the ritual lowering of the flag. In Tokyo, Wuer Kaixi, a leader of the 1989 demonstrations, was arrested yesterday on suspicion of trespassing on the Chinese embassy, Kyodo News reported, citing police. A spokeswoman at the Metropolitan Police Department couldn’t confirm the report. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Jiang Yu responded June 3 to a question about the anniversary by saying: “Judging from the past few decades of experience, the development path China has chosen is suitable for China’s national conditions and the development of the Chinese people.” Civilian Deaths In a 1989 report to the government, Beijing’s mayor said about 200 civilians died in the crackdown. In Hong Kong, in what vigil organizers say was a heavy- handed tactic by the authorities, police on May 29 removed the replica of the Goddess of Democracy statue from outside a shopping center in Causeway Bay, the government said . “Many times in the past we have placed this kind of statue outside Times Square and never received any response from the government or police,” said Tsoi. Last year’s vigil, marking the 20th anniversary of the crackdown, also drew about 150,000 people, according to organizers. To contact the reporter on this story: Debra Mao in Hong Kong at dmao5@bloomberg.net ; Frederik Balfour in Hong Kong at fbalfour@bloomberg.net John Duce in Hong Kong at jduce1@bloomberg.net

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Sony Sags, GE Sees Opening in Pakistan Energy Crisis

June 4, 2010

By James Rupert June 4 (Bloomberg) — In the glare of energy-saving light bulbs, Pakistani men jammed sidewalks in one of the country’s biggest electronics markets last week, ogling televisions and home theater systems. Until 8 p.m., that is, when the commercial center of Lahore, a city of more than 6 million people, plunged into a blackout at the order of a government battling Pakistan’s deepest-ever power deficit. Within minutes, the crowd drifted into the darkness and shops were shuttered. Power cuts of eight to 16 hours a day have closed factories and irrigation systems and ended a decade of sales growth for appliance makers such as Tokyo-based Sony Corp., said Abid Hussain, a Sony distributor in Punjab province. “When you can’t get electricity in your home, why are you going to buy appliances?” he asked. Pakistan can generate little more than half the level of 20,000 megawatts of electricity that its 170 million people demand in peak summer hours. In April, the government started closing offices on the Saturday workday, ordered wedding celebrations shortened to three hours and shut off half of all street lights. The shortage has created opportunities for companies including General Electric Co. , which agreed with the government in February to explore investments to help Pakistan meet demand that may soar to 54,000 megawatts by 2020. Trimmed Growth Still, the energy crisis may have trimmed economic growth by at least 1.5 percentage points in each of the past two years, said Zafar Mueen Nasir, research chief at the Pakistan Institute of Development Economics in Islamabad. As temperatures reached a record 47 degrees Celsius (113 Fahrenheit) last week, Lahore’s retailers normally would have stayed open until 10 p.m. for customers who prefer the cooler evenings. “No one will come shopping until after 6 p.m.,” said Sheikh Jaffer, owner of a store lined with flat-screen televisions. Early closure means “business is a big flop.” Sony has no sales office in Pakistan and hasn’t measured the blackouts’ effect, said spokesman George Boyd in Tokyo. While electricity demand grew by 61 percent to 2008 from 2002, the army-led government of General Pervez Musharraf added only one power plant. Power Curbs It met only a quarter of the added need, said Muhammad Khalid, a director general at the Pakistan Electric Power Company , a state-owned utility in Lahore. The April curbs on electricity use have lowered the power capacity shortfall to about 3,500 megawatts from 5,000 megawatts, he said. Power plants commissioned in the 1960s and 1970s have deteriorated for lack of maintenance and spare parts, while transmission grids lose a third of their electricity to aged equipment and theft, said a fact sheet from the U.S. Agency for International Development. The agency is to spend $146 million over five years, in part to upgrade those systems. Inefficiencies, unpaid consumer bills and price controls on power have led state-owned utilities to stop payments to private generating companies and fuel suppliers, which have cut service. Protests over the blackouts have turned violent, with rioters burning tires, attacking government buildings and stoning police. Public Anger Public anger has been driven partly by an increase in government-set electricity rates by 18 percent from July 2009 through March. The International Monetary Fund has directed Pakistan to raise fees by 6 percent more to end subsidies that cost 66 billion rupees ($773 million) in the current fiscal year. The IMF is pushing Pakistan to reduce a government budget deficit that may reach 5.6 percent of gross domestic product in the fiscal year ending June 30. The government may announce the rate increase sought by the fund in its budget announcement set for tomorrow, said Karachi-based analysts JS Global and Topline Securities, Ltd . The government said last month it would release funds to provinces and state-owned utilities to clear 116 billion rupees ($1.38 billion) of indebtedness. In September, it made similar payments by issuing 85 billion rupees in bonds. Pakistan’s $168-billion economy has been battered by last year’s global recession and a war with Taliban insurgents that has cost the country $35 billion since 2001. Growth may be 4.1 percent this year, says the Finance Ministry, compared with an average annual expansion of 7.2 percent from 2004 to 2007. Gas Shortage While many companies power factories with generators that burn natural gas, that fuel, too, is now running short, said Umer Mansha , chief executive officer of Nishat Mills, Ltd. , Pakistan’s biggest textile exporter. “We produce 90 percent of the power we use, and the cost of that has increased” as the government has diverted private companies’ gas supplies one day each week to power utilities, Mansha said in a May 19 interview in his office outside Lahore. The textile industry, which produces two-thirds of the country’s exports, has laid off 20 to 30 percent of its workforce, or as many as 1.5 million people, Anis ul-Haque, spokesman for the Karachi-based All-Pakistan Textile Mills Association, said by phone. Farmers’ irrigation pumps face daily cutoffs, threatening production of wheat and cotton. “The energy crisis is increasing poverty” that sees 22 percent of Pakistanis earning less than $16 per month, said Nasir, the economist. At Jaffer’s darkened electronics shop in Lahore, he and other merchants berated the government for failing to end the shutoffs by December. “Now the blackouts are worse,” said Faisal Ahmed, a sales distributor, “and now they only say they are working on it.” To contact the reporter on this story: James Rupert in New Delhi at jrupert3@bloomberg.net

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Ed Markey Demands BP Produce Oil Plume Research, Data

May 31, 2010

WASHINGTON — A congressman is questioning BP CEO Tony Hayward’s claim that the oil company has not found evidence of underwater oil plumes. Scientists have reported plumes as long as 22 miles. Rep. Edward Markey, D-Mass., said BP in this instance means “Blind to Plumes.” He sent a letter to Hayward Monday asking for documents to back up his claims. Markey, chairman of a House Energy and Commerce Committee environmental panel, said it is vital that the government and researchers have unfettered access to all relevant data or analysis concerning underwater plumes. He also called on BP to offer “complete transparency” on its video feeds from the company’s underwater operations, calling any delay or other obstacle unacceptable.

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David Isenberg: Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

May 31, 2010

As the Latin expression puts it, Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? This is a phrase from the Roman poet Juvenal, which is literally translated as “Who will guard the guards themselves?” It is also sometimes rendered as “Who watches the watchmen This question comes to mind in regard to a report put out by the Government Accountability Office in April. The report, ” Contingency Contracting: Improvements Needed in Management of Contractors Supporting Contract and Grant Administration in Iraq and Afghanistan ” found that DOD, State, and USAID’s use of contractors to help administer contracts and grants was substantial, although the agencies did not know the full extent of their use of such contractors. Now it is quite important to note that this is not a report about how well a private contractor fulfills a contract. This report examines the government use of contractors to supervise and provide oversight over other contractors. This means using contractors to administer contracts and grants, including on-site monitoring of other contractors’ activities, supporting contracting or program offices on contract-related matters, and awarding or administering grants. These are not just routine bureaucratic functions. Contract and grant administration functions represent the government’s primary mechanism for assessing whether it is getting the expected products or services from contractors or whether grantees are performing in accordance with grant programs. Legally, there is nothing wrong with this. And there are perfectly legitimate and beneficial reasons where the government might want to do this. These include government personnel shortages, special skills/lack of expertise among government personnel, flexibility/surge capacity, frequent rotations of government personnel, and cultural familiarity to name a few. But using contractors to watch over other contractors can also be risky. GAO found: Using contractors to support these functions can provide benefits, such as flexibility to meet immediate needs, but it can also introduce risks the government needs to consider and manage. For example, contractors performing certain contract or grant administration functions may closely support the performance of inherently governmental functions, which increases the risk that government decisions will be inappropriately influenced by, rather than independent from, contractor actions. Functions considered to be inherently governmental include determining agency policy or federal program budget request priorities; directing and controlling federal employees; and awarding, administering, or terminating federal contracts. Similarly, the Federal Acquisition Regulations, section 7.503(d), provides examples of functions that while not inherently governmental, may approach the category. These functions closely support the performance of inherently governmental functions and generally include professional and management support activities, such as those that involve or relate to supporting budget preparation, evaluation of another contractor’s performance, acquisition planning, or technical evaluation of contract proposals. When contractors perform these functions, there is a risk of inappropriately influencing the government’s control over and accountability for decisions that may be based, in part, on contractor work. In addition, reliance on contractor support to meet agency missions can increase the risk of conflicts of interest among companies and individuals, particularly for cases in which contractors closely support inherently governmental functions. GAO found that “individual offices’ decisions to use contractors are generally not informed by more strategic, agencywide workforce plans or guidance on the extent to which contractors should be used to support contract or grant administration functions. Agencies’ current strategic human capital plans and guidance generally do not address the extent to which it is appropriate to use contractors, either in general or more specifically to perform contract or grant administration functions. Some DOD, State, and USAID officials noted that they would prefer to use government employees to perform some of the functions currently being performed by contractors. Our work indicated, however, that agencies intend to continue to rely on contractors to perform these functions in Iraq or Afghanistan on a longer-term basis.” The cost is not cheap. GAO found that the agencies had obligated nearly $1 billion through March 2009 on 223 contracts and task orders active during fiscal year 2008 or the first half of fiscal year 2009 that included the performance of administration functions for contracts and grants in Iraq and Afghanistan. The specific amount spent to help administer contracts or grants in Iraq and Afghanistan is uncertain because some contracts or task orders included multiple functions or performance in various locations and contract obligation data were not detailed enough to allow GAO to isolate the amount obligated for other functions or locations. The GAO also found that DOD, State, and USAID use both nonpersonal and personal services contractors to perform contract or grant administration functions. Nonpersonal services contracts are distinguished from personal services contracts in part by the nature of the government’s relationship with the contractor. Under a nonpersonal services contract, the personnel rendering the services are not subject either by the contract’s terms or by the manner of its administration to the relatively continuous supervision and control of government personnel. On the other hand, personal services contracts are characterized by an employer-employee relationship created between the government and the contractor. Personal services contracts involve close and continual supervision and control of contractor personnel by government employees rather than general oversight of contractor operations. In general, personal services contractors perform services that are comparable in scope and nature to those of civil service employees and often appear, in effect, to be government employees. While State and USAID regulations state that personal services contractors generally cannot supervise government employees, serve as contracting officers, or otherwise obligate government funds. DOD regulations do not specifically address whether personal services contractors can supervise government employees or otherwise obligate government funds. Some contracts deal with issues that are quite sensitive, such as providing security. For example, the State Department obligated just over $200,000 as of March 2009 for a personal services contractor to serve as a deputy program manager at the Bureau of Diplomatic Security to provide management oversight and evaluate the performance of an aviation support contractor in Iraq performing under a task order with obligations of approximately $144 million as of March 2009. The statement of work for the personal services contract stated that the deputy program manager exercised wide latitude for independent action, initiating projects and executing approved new programs under general supervision of the division chief. And State obligated just over $20 million as of March 2009 toward a nonpersonal services contract to provide program and acquisition support to the Bureau of Diplomatic Security’s Office of Overseas Protective Operations, including for State’s Worldwide Personal Protective Services II contracts. As of March 2009, the department had obligated approximately $1.2 billion toward task orders under these contracts with performance in Iraq or Afghanistan. Contract administration activities performed by the support contractor included reviewing invoices and evaluating contractor price proposals. Under a nonpersonal services contract to support the Joint Contracting Command- Iraq/Afghanistan (JCC-I/A), contractor personnel made up about 15 percent of JCC-I/A’s contracting workforce in Iraq as of December 2008. DOD officials noted that contractors were needed to maintain continuity within the office given that the relatively short deployments of DOD personnel could otherwise result in loss of institutional knowledge. There is also the risk of conflict of interest. GAO cited one case study as an illustration. One case study illustrated the challenges of identifying potential organizational conflicts of interest prior to award and the potential effect if one is identified after award. In this case, JCC-I/A awarded a $1 million contract to support the Armed Contractor Oversight Directorate in Afghanistan. The contractor, which itself was a private security contractor, was assigned a number of responsibilities related to oversight of private security contractors, including monitoring private security contractor activity, documenting and analyzing security incidents, and assisting the government in conducting incident inspections. The contract files we reviewed did not include documentation that the contracting officer assessed the potential for a conflict of interest, though as previously noted, a written analysis would not be necessary unless the contracting officer decided that there was a significant potential conflict of interest. In addition, no clauses were included in the solicitation or contract that precluded the contractor from bidding on other contracts. After the support contract had been awarded and performance had begun, the support contractor competed for and won a separate contract to provide armed guard services in Afghanistan. Subsequent to the award of the second contract, however, a JCC-I/A attorney became aware of the two contracts and, according to JCC-I/A officials, alerted a JCC-I/A contracting official. JCC-I/A counsel concluded that the contractor’s objectivity in supporting the Armed Contractor Oversight Directorate could potentially be impaired by its performance of armed guard services. Ultimately, JCC-I/A counsel determined that no mitigation plan would adequately mitigate this conflict. Therefore, JCC-I/A terminated the ongoing Armed Contractor Oversight Directorate support contract for the convenience of the government and awarded another support contract to a different contractor. GAO found that DOD, State, and USAID took actions to mitigate conflict of interest and oversight risks associated with contractors helping to administer other contracts or grants, but did not always fully address these risks. For example, agencies generally complied with requirements related to organizational conflicts of interest, but USAID did not include a contract clause required by agency policy to address potential conflicts of interest in three cases. Also, some State officials were uncertain as to whether federal ethics laws regarding personal conflicts of interest applied to certain types of contractors. In almost all cases, the agencies had designated personnel to provide contract oversight. DOD, State, and USAID contracting officials generally did not, however, ensure enhanced oversight as required for situations in which contractors provided services closely supporting inherently governmental functions despite the potential for loss of government control and accountability for mission-related policy and program decisions. GAO concluded that, “Until DOD, State, and USAID fully consider in their workforce planning efforts the extent to which contractors should perform contract and grant administration functions, the agencies will not be positioned to consider the potential implications of relying on contractors to perform these functions, such as a loss of institutional capacity to perform mission-critical functions or greater costs.”

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Saxon Mortgage, Subsidiary Of Morgan Stanley, Has Biggest Loan Mod Logjam

May 28, 2010

Last week, the government released data [1] showing that there’s a big problem at Saxon Mortgage, a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley. Of all the mortgage companies participating in the administration’s mortgage modification program, Saxon has the largest proportion of homeowners caught in modification limbo

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Honda Strike: The End Of Cheap Chinese Labor?

May 28, 2010

A strike at an auto-parts factory owned by Honda in southern China has unexpectedly become a cause célèbre in the nation’s struggle with income inequality, with Chinese media reporting extensively on the workers’ demands and calling on the government to do more to increase wages nationwide.

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Justice Department: Expect ‘Vigorous’ Scrutiny Of Health Insurance Mergers

May 24, 2010

WASHINGTON — In a blunt warning to the health insurance industry, the Obama administration said Monday it won’t hesitate to block mergers that threaten to stifle competition. Justice Department antitrust chief Christine Varney told a lawyers’ conference that vigorous enforcement of anti-monopoly laws is vital to the success of the new health care law, particularly in trying to control rising premiums. The antitrust division “is committed to vigorously, but responsibly, scrutinizing mergers in the health care industry that appear to present a competitive concern,” Varney told a joint meeting of the American Bar Association and the American Health Lawyers Association. “If we determine that our initial concerns were well-founded, we will not hesitate to block the merger or to require the settlement concessions necessary to protect consumers,” she added. Varney also put hospitals on notice that the government will investigate mergers “likely to reduce competition.” Big insurers are steadily getting bigger, and in many states one or two large carriers dominate the market. Groups representing doctors and consumers have protested the trend, blaming industry consolidation for rising costs. Insurers counter that larger companies save money by being more efficient administrators, and they fault doctors and hospitals for driving up medical costs be performing too many tests and procedures. New competitive insurance markets are a cornerstone of President Barack Obama’s health care law. They’ll open for business in 2014 to serve consumers who buying their policies directly, as well as small businesses. Varney said the goals of health care overhaul “cannot be achieved” if insurer mergers reduce competition, or if big companies use their market clout to keep out upstarts. She gave a preview of the Justice Department’s strategy through a case study of a recent merger proposal that failed after the government opposed it. In March, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan and Physicians Health Plan of Mid-Michigan dropped their plan to consolidate in Lansing. Blue Cross had nearly 70 percent of the market, while leading competitor Physicians controlled about 20 percent. “Our investigation found that it was competition between the two companies that had led them to offer lower prices, better service, and more innovative products … even though Blue Cross-Michigan already enjoyed a substantial market share,” she said. “The acquisition also would have given Blue Cross-Michigan the ability to control physician reimbursement rates in a manner that could harmed the quality of health care.”

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