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Romney Booed For Waffling On Releasing Tax Returns

by Amanda Terkel on January 20, 2012

Huffington Post…

CNN debate moderator John King put all the GOP presidential candidates on the spot about their tax returns Thursday night, asking whether they will make their filings public. It was an easy question for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who released his returns just as the debate began. Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) said he hadn’t given the issue much thought and didn’t have any intention of doing so. “I’d probably be embarrassed to put my financial statement up against their income,” Paul said, referring to the wealth of the other candidates. “I don’t want to be embarrassed because i don’t have a greater income. Now, I mean, it may come to that. But right now, I have no intention of doing that.” He added that he has no conflicts of interest, doesn’t talk to lobbyists and doesn’t “take that kind of money.” Romney, who has faced the most pressure on this topic, said he will release his tax returns in April, if he’s the nominee, and would “probably” release his returns from other years as well. He quickly tried to change the topic, saying Democrats simply wanted to attack people for “being successful.” “And I have been successful,” he added before hitting President Obama for playing “90 rounds of golf” while Americans are struggling in the tough economy. King pointed out that Republicans are often calling on Romney to release his tax filings. “Why not, should the people of South Carolina, before this election, see last year’s return?” asked King to applause from the audience. “Because I want to make sure that I beat President Obama,” replied Romney. “Every time we release things drip by drip, the Democrats go out with another array of attacks. As has been done in the past, I’ll put these out at one time so we have one discussion of all of this. I obviously pay all full taxes. I’m honest in my dealings with people. People understand that. My taxes are carefully managed. I pay a lot of taxes. I’ve been very successful. When I have our taxes ready for this year, I’ll release them.” Romney recently revealed that his effective tax rate is 15 percent , below the rate paid by many middle-class families . Gingrich did not directly attack Romney, saying, “Look, he’s got to decide. The people of South Carolina have to decide. If there’s anything in there that will help us lose the election, we should know it before the nomination.” Santorum said he does his own taxes. “They’re on my computer and I’m not home,” he said. “And there’s nobody at home right now until I get home. When I get home, you’ll get my taxes.” Finally, Romney refused to commit to the transparency and disclosure of his father, George Romney, who was governor of Michigan. In 1967, the elder Romney released his tax returns for 12 years. “Maybe. I don’t know how many years I’ll release,” responded Mitt Romney when asked if he’d follow in his father’s footsteps. “I’ll take a look at what our documents are.” The audience booed him. “I’m not going to apologize for being successful,” he added. “I’m not suggesting these people are doing that. But I know the Democrats will go after me on that basis. That’s why I want to release these things all at the same time. My dad, as you know, born in Mexico, poor, didn’t get a college degree, became head of a car company. I could have stayed in Detroit like him and gotten pulled up in the car — I went off on my own. I didn’t inherit money from my parents. What I have, I earned. I worked hard. The American way.”

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Romney Booed For Waffling On Releasing Tax Returns

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Oil Spill May Cost $4.3 Billion in Property Values

June 11, 2010

By John Gittelsohn June 11 (Bloomberg) — BP Plc ’s oil spill may drive down the Gulf Coast’s shore-area property values by 10 percent for at least three years, according to CoStar Group Inc. Losses may total $4.3 billion along the 600-mile (966- kilometer) stretch from the Louisiana bayous to Clearwater, Florida, the property-information service estimates. “It’s just another blow to an already depressed real estate market,” Norm Miller, CoStar’s vice president of analytics, said yesterday in a telephone interview from San Diego. “The best thing you can do if you’re in real estate in this area is bide your time, don’t panic and don’t try to sell in this environment.” Falling real-estate values are one consequence of the worst environmental disaster in U.S. history as oil keeps gushing from a BP well once pumped by the Deepwater Horizon rig. An April 20 explosion there killed 11 workers. Oil washing ashore will further harm property values in an area where Moody’s Economy.com estimates prices fell as much as 34 percent from the peak of the U.S. residential real estate market in 2006. The median U.S. home price was $173,100 in April, down 25 percent from July 2006, according to the Chicago-based National Association of Realtors. Florida real estate is among the hardest hit markets, with one in every 184 households in the foreclosure pipeline, according to RealtyTrac Inc ., an Irvine, California-based data company. Only Nevada and Arizona have higher rates, RealtyTrac said yesterday. 25,000 Barrels BP’s well had been spewing 25,000 to 35,000 barrels of oil a day, according to estimates by U.S. government scientists released yesterday. The spill may cost the London-based company $37 billion in cleanup and reimbursements for economic damage to the tourism and fishing industries, according to a June 2 report by Credit Suisse Group AG. The report didn’t include the effect on property values. Costar, based in Bethesda, Maryland, made its forecast for property prices assuming a 10 percent loss based on previous disasters, such as oil spills, hurricanes and the 1979 Three Mile Island nuclear accident in Pennsylvania, Miller said. His estimate relied on recent sales data of property within 200 feet of the Gulf waterfront and spanning 600 miles from Venice, Louisiana, to Clearwater, Florida. The analysis valued the property at about $3 million an acre, or $43 billion for the entire coastline measured, he said. Louisiana Forecast Costar’s loss estimate aligns with a projection for southern Louisiana and Mississippi property values by Arthur Sterbcow , an independent real estate broker and analyst in New Orleans. Sterbcow forecasts values in that area will fall 5 percent to 15 percent in the next 12 months. “It could be 20 percent in some areas,” Sterbcow said in a telephone interview. “Every day I’ve had to revise my numbers negatively.” Sandy Sharpe, a Realtor in Destin, Florida, said buyer concern about the spill’s effect on property values in her area began soon after the April rig explosion. By the end of the month, a customer backed out of a $215,000 contact for a condominium across the street from the beach. “He was paying cash and ready to buy and then started asking: ‘How protected am I if oil comes on the beaches?’” Sharpe, 48, said in an interview today. “He basically was terrified about the oil.” Tourist Losses Hotels and restaurants may have trouble making mortgage payments if tourists avoid the area during the peak summer season, said Don Epley, director of the center for Real Estate at the University of South Alabama in Mobile, Alabama. “The defaults will start happening in early fall,” Epley said. “You can directly attribute those to the oil spill.” Occupancy in Florida Gulf Coast motels increased 7.2 percent from May 1 through May 29 compared with a year earlier, according to Jan Freitag , vice president of global development at STR Global, a travel research company based in Nashville, Tennessee. The increase may be attributed to visitors “frontloading their vacations to be at the beach while there still is a beach,” Freitag said June 9. St. Joe St. Joe Co ., which owns 578,000 acres (234,000 hectares) in northwest Florida, including about 130 miles on the Gulf Coast, has seen its stock fall 35 percent since April 29, when Jindal declared a state of emergency. The company has built protective booms and taken aerial photos and soil samples as evidence in case it files damage claims with BP, Jacksonville, Florida-based St. Joe said in a June 8 statement. The disaster has led to the closing of about 78,300 square miles (203,000 square kilometers), or almost a third, of federal waters in the Gulf of Mexico to fishing, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported June 7. A six-month moratorium on offshore drilling will shut 33 deepwater rigs in the Gulf, costing as many as 20,000 jobs by the end of next year, Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal wrote in a June 2 letter to President Barack Obama . “It would be the knockout punch the Great Recession didn’t deliver,” Jack McCabe , a real estate analyst in Delray Beach, Florida, said of the oil spill. “If oil hits the beaches, there’s no way to quantify the devastation.” Sharpe, the Florida Realtor, said she’s worried about the value of her own home. “I’m two blocks from the beach,” she said. “I have a mortgage. Who is going to buy my house now?” To contact the reporter on this story: John Gittelsohn in New York at johngitt@bloomberg.net .

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BP Now Valued At Less Than Its Assets

June 9, 2010

GRAND ISLE, La. (AP) — The financial toll of the oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico escalated Wednesday as BP’s stock plummeted to a 14-year low and fishermen, businesses and property owners who have filed damage claims with the company angrily complained of delays, excessive paperwork and skimpy payments that have put them on the verge of going under. The oil company captured an ever larger-share of the crude gushing from the bottom of the sea and began bringing in more heavy equipment to help in the effort, including a production ship and a tanker from the North Sea that will allow the system to process larger quantities of oil and better withstand tropical storms. The containment efforts played out as investors deserted BP amid fears that the company might be forced to suspend dividends, end up in bankruptcy and find itself overwhelmed by the cleanup costs, penalties, damage claims and lawsuits generated by the biggest oil spill in U.S. history. Shrimpers, oystermen, seafood businesses, out-of-work drilling crews and the tourism industry all are lining up to get paid back the billions of dollars washed away by the disaster, and tempers have flared as locals direct outrage at BP over what they see as a tangle of red tape. “Every day we call the adjuster eight or 10 times. There’s no answer, no answering machine,” said Regina Shipp, who has filed $33,000 in claims for lost business at her restaurant in Alabama. “If BP doesn’t pay us within two months, we’ll be out of business. We’ve got two kids.” An Alabama property owner who has lost vast sums of rental income angrily confronted a BP executive at a town meeting. The owner of a Mississippi seafood restaurant said she is desperately waiting for a check to come through because fewer customers come by for shrimp po-boys and oyster sandwiches. Some locals see dark parallels to what happened after Hurricane Katrina, when they had to wait years to get reimbursed for losses. “It really feels like we are getting a double whammy here. When does it end?” said Mark Glago, a New Orleans lawyer who is representing a fishing boat captain in a claim against BP. BP spokesman Mark Proegler disputed any notion that the claims process is slow or that the company is dragging its feet. Proegler said BP has cut the time to process claims and issue a check from 45 days to as little as 48 hours, provided the necessary documentation has been supplied. BP officials acknowledged that while no claims have been denied, thousands and thousands of claims had not been paid by late last week because the company required more documentation. At the bottom of the sea, the containment cap on the ruptured well is capturing 630,000 gallons a day and pumping it to a ship at the surface, and the amount could nearly double by next week to roughly 1.17 million gallons, said Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen, who is overseeing the crisis for the government. A second drilling vessel that will arrive within days is expected to greatly boost capacity. BP also plans to bring in the tanker from the North Sea on Monday to help transport oil and an incinerator to burn off some of the crude. The tanker is currently used to shuttle oil from North Sea rigs to the shores of Scotland, and its deployment in the Gulf has been part of the broader plan to expand the amount of crude brought to the surface once a new and improved cap-and-collection system is installed over the leaking well. The government has estimated 600,000 to 1.2 million gallons are leaking per day, but a scientist on a task force studying the flow said the actual rate may be between 798,000 gallons and 1.8 million. Crews working at the site toiled under oppressive conditions as the heat index soared to 110 degrees and toxic vapors emanated from the depths. Fireboats were on hand to pour water on the surface to ease the fumes. Allen also confronted BP over the complaints about the claims process, warning the company in a letter: “We need complete, ongoing transparency into BP’s claims process including detailed information on how claims are being evaluated, how payment amounts are being calculated and how quickly claims are being processed.” The admiral this week created a team including officials from the Federal Emergency Management Agency to help with the damage claims. It will send workers into Gulf communities to provide information about the process. He also planned to discuss the complaints with BP officials Wednesday. Under federal law, BP is required to pay for a range of damage, including property losses and lost earnings. Residents and businesses can call a telephone line to report losses, file a claim online and seek help at one of 25 claims offices around the Gulf. Deckhands and other fishermen generally need to show a photo ID and documentation such as a pay stub showing how much money they typically earn. To jump-start the process, BP was initially offering an immediate $2,500 to deckhands and $5,000 to fishing boat owners. Workers can receive additional compensation once their paperwork and larger claims are approved. BP said it has paid 18,000 claims so far and has hired 600 adjusters and operators to handle the cases. The oil giant said it expects to spend $84 million through June alone to compensate people for lost wages and profits. That number could grow as new claims are received. When it is all over, BP could be looking at total liabilities in the billions, perhaps tens of billions, according to analysts. BP stock dropped $5.45, or 16 percent, Wednesday – easily its worst day since the April 20 rig explosion that set off the spill. In the seven weeks since then, the company has lost half its market value. The latest slide came after Interior Secretary Ken Salazar promised a Senate energy panel to ask BP to compensate energy companies for losses if they have to lay off workers or suffer economically because of the Obama administration’s six-month moratorium on deepwater drilling. Calculating what is owed to victims of the spill has proved challenging. David Walter owns an Alabama company that makes artificial reefs that anglers buy and drop in the Gulf to attract fish, but state regulators stopped issuing permits for the reefs on May 4 because of the oil spill – effectively killing off $350,000 in expected business. When Walter called a claims adjuster working for BP, he was told to provide four years of invoices for May, June and July along with tax returns for those years. Walter said he sent the forms by overnight mail, but the adjuster assigned to his case changed offices and could not be found. The documents were lost. After making more inquiries, Walter said, he was instructed to gather the same documents and this time go to a claims office. There, an adjuster told Walter he would be eligible for only a $5,000 payment since his tax returns showed a technical business loss when depreciation was factored in. “I said that’s not fair because if you say that, then I have to go out of business and I lose everything,” Walter said. He is now working with an accounting firm to calculate his losses. Not everyone had complaints about the claims process. Bart Harrison of Clay, Ala., filed his first claim on Wednesday morning for lost rental income on his coastal property and expected to have a check for $1,010 within a few hours. The only documentation required was tax returns and rental histories for his units, which were both easy to provide. “The guy I talked to was knowledgeable and respectful. It seemed like he really wanted to write a check and please me since it was my first time in,” Harrison said.

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Gulf Residents, Businesses: BP Holding Up Damages Claims

June 9, 2010

GRAND ISLE, La. (AP) � The financial toll of the oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico escalated Wednesday as BP’s stock plummeted to a 14-year low and fishermen, businesses and property owners who have filed damage claims with the company angrily complained of delays, excessive paperwork and skimpy payments that have put them on the verge of going under. The oil company captured an ever larger-share of the crude gushing from the bottom of the sea and began bringing in more heavy equipment to help in the effort, including a production ship and a tanker from the North Sea that will allow the system to process larger quantities of oil and better withstand tropical storms. The containment efforts played out as investors deserted BP amid fears that the company might be forced to suspend dividends, end up in bankruptcy and find itself overwhelmed by the cleanup costs, penalties, damage claims and lawsuits generated by the biggest oil spill in U.S. history. Shrimpers, oystermen, seafood businesses, out-of-work drilling crews and the tourism industry all are lining up to get paid back the billions of dollars washed away by the disaster, and tempers have flared as locals direct outrage at BP over what they see as a tangle of red tape. “Every day we call the adjuster eight or 10 times. There’s no answer, no answering machine,” said Regina Shipp, who has filed $33,000 in claims for lost business at her restaurant in Alabama. “If BP doesn’t pay us within two months, we’ll be out of business. We’ve got two kids.” An Alabama property owner who has lost vast sums of rental income angrily confronted a BP executive at a town meeting. The owner of a Mississippi seafood restaurant said she is desperately waiting for a check to come through because fewer customers come by for shrimp po-boys and oyster sandwiches. Some locals see dark parallels to what happened after Hurricane Katrina, when they had to wait years to get reimbursed for losses. “It really feels like we are getting a double whammy here. When does it end?” said Mark Glago, a New Orleans lawyer who is representing a fishing boat captain in a claim against BP. BP spokesman Mark Proegler disputed any notion that the claims process is slow or that the company is dragging its feet. Proegler said BP has cut the time to process claims and issue a check from 45 days to as little as 48 hours, provided the necessary documentation has been supplied. BP officials acknowledged that while no claims have been denied, thousands and thousands of claims had not been paid by late last week because the company required more documentation. At the bottom of the sea, the containment cap on the ruptured well is capturing 630,000 gallons a day and pumping it to a ship at the surface, and the amount could nearly double by next week to roughly 1.17 million gallons, said Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen, who is overseeing the crisis for the government. A second drilling vessel that will arrive within days is expected to greatly boost capacity. BP also plans to bring in the tanker from the North Sea on Monday to help transport oil and an incinerator to burn off some of the crude. The tanker is currently used to shuttle oil from North Sea rigs to the shores of Scotland, and its deployment in the Gulf has been part of the broader plan to expand the amount of crude brought to the surface once a new and improved cap-and-collection system is installed over the leaking well. The government has estimated 600,000 to 1.2 million gallons are leaking per day, but a scientist on a task force studying the flow said the actual rate may be between 798,000 gallons and 1.8 million. Crews working at the site toiled under oppressive conditions as the heat index soared to 110 degrees and toxic vapors emanated from the depths. Fireboats were on hand to pour water on the surface to ease the fumes. Allen also confronted BP over the complaints about the claims process, warning the company in a letter: “We need complete, ongoing transparency into BP’s claims process including detailed information on how claims are being evaluated, how payment amounts are being calculated and how quickly claims are being processed.” The admiral this week created a team including officials from the Federal Emergency Management Agency to help with the damage claims. It will send workers into Gulf communities to provide information about the process. He also planned to discuss the complaints with BP officials Wednesday. Under federal law, BP is required to pay for a range of damage, including property losses and lost earnings. Residents and businesses can call a telephone line to report losses, file a claim online and seek help at one of 25 claims offices around the Gulf. Deckhands and other fishermen generally need to show a photo ID and documentation such as a pay stub showing how much money they typically earn. To jump-start the process, BP was initially offering an immediate $2,500 to deckhands and $5,000 to fishing boat owners. Workers can receive additional compensation once their paperwork and larger claims are approved. BP said it has paid 18,000 claims so far and has hired 600 adjusters and operators to handle the cases. The oil giant said it expects to spend $84 million through June alone to compensate people for lost wages and profits. That number could grow as new claims are received. When it is all over, BP could be looking at total liabilities in the billions, perhaps tens of billions, according to analysts. BP stock dropped $5.45, or 16 percent, Wednesday � easily its worst day since the April 20 rig explosion that set off the spill. In the seven weeks since then, the company has lost half its market value. The latest slide came after Interior Secretary Ken Salazar promised a Senate energy panel to ask BP to compensate energy companies for losses if they have to lay off workers or suffer economically because of the Obama administration’s six-month moratorium on deepwater drilling. Calculating what is owed to victims of the spill has proved challenging. David Walter owns an Alabama company that makes artificial reefs that anglers buy and drop in the Gulf to attract fish, but state regulators stopped issuing permits for the reefs on May 4 because of the oil spill � effectively killing off $350,000 in expected business. When Walter called a claims adjuster working for BP, he was told to provide four years of invoices for May, June and July along with tax returns for those years. Walter said he sent the forms by overnight mail, but the adjuster assigned to his case changed offices and could not be found. The documents were lost. After making more inquiries, Walter said, he was instructed to gather the same documents and this time go to a claims office. There, an adjuster told Walter he would be eligible for only a $5,000 payment since his tax returns showed a technical business loss when depreciation was factored in. “I said that’s not fair because if you say that, then I have to go out of business and I lose everything,” Walter said. He is now working with an accounting firm to calculate his losses. Not everyone had complaints about the claims process. Bart Harrison of Clay, Ala., filed his first claim on Wednesday morning for lost rental income on his coastal property and expected to have a check for $1,010 within a few hours. The only documentation required was tax returns and rental histories for his units, which were both easy to provide. “The guy I talked to was knowledgeable and respectful. It seemed like he really wanted to write a check and please me since it was my first time in,” Harrison said.

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Video: Tassapon Says AirAsia Considering Thai IPO in 2011: Video

May 30, 2010

May 31 (Bloomberg) — Thai AirAsia Chief Executive Officer Tassapon Bijleveld talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about the outlook for an initial public offering of its unit in Thailand. Speaking from Bangkok, Tassapon also discusses the airline’s ticket promotions and the impact of political unrest in Thailand on the tourism industry. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Gulf Oil Spill Jobs: Cleanup Efforts Create Mini Job Boom

May 26, 2010

NEW ORLEANS — Much as he hates to say it, Mark Leonard knows it’s true: The oil spill that is fouling the Gulf of Mexico may save his family’s business. Leonard, 34, is operations manager for Coastal Tank Cleaning, a company called in to help set booms to prevent oil from the Deepwater Horizon leak from getting into Lake Pontchartrain. The Morgan City-based company sent 10 workers and equipment to a staging area at Fort Pike, on the eastern tip of New Orleans. “We don’t want this to happen,” he said. “We didn’t want this to be our saving grace to keep the company going. But this is something that I think is helping a lot of companies that were down, and possibly wondering `When is it finally going to pick up?’ `When can we start working again and staffing again and paying our bills?’” The spill, now a month old, could end up killing the livelihoods of thousands of fishermen, restaurant workers, charter boat captains and tourism employees. But for now, it’s triggering a mini-boom in other jobs across the five-state region. In coastal Louisiana, it’s reminiscent of the job boom that followed Hurricane Katrina as thousands were put to work cleaning up debris, gutting house and rebuilding public buildings and entire neighborhoods. In St. Bernard Parish, a suburban New Orleans community where fishermen are working for BP in a fight to save their fishing grounds, the hurricane, which struck Aug. 29, 2005, damaged virtually every building and sank much of the fishing fleet. Five years later, the area’s economy is among the healthiest of major metro areas, according to The Associated Press Economic Stress Index, which assigns counties a score of 1 to 100 based on unemployment, foreclosure and bankruptcy data. Some analysts believe the economic resilience powered by tens of billions in federal rebuilding aid is unsustainable. Once the money is spent, they say, the tourism-based economy and lower-wage jobs that dominated before Katrina are likely to re-emerge. BP has spent more than $750 million so far in oil spill response initiatives. Spokesman John Curry said the company has hired more than 20,000 people as part of the response to the April 20 accident and its aftermath. Some are contractors and subcontractors, some are laborers hired to set boom. Many have taken up residence at staging areas along the coast in Florida, Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana. In the fishing village of Cocodrie, about 80 miles southwest of New Orleans, the staging area sprouted up in a vacant lot at pier 56, next to Coco Marina. “BP has basically moved in and taken the place of the recreational customers,” said Michael Glover, whose family runs the 23-room Coco Marina. “We’re feeding them three meals a day and they’ve rented all my rooms. My kitchen staff, my waitstaff, the housekeepers are all doing well, working a little more than usual. We’re busy non-stop, every day.” Unskilled labor is getting a boost, too. In Pensacola, Fla., 4,000 people in Escambia and Santa Rosa counties showed up at recruiting events to apply for 500 potential clean-up jobs. The Workforce Escarosa Career Center hosted the recruiting for a Texas company looking for people with environmental or haz-mat certification. Only about 400 of the applicants actually had those – of more than 4,000 who applied at four events over a week’s time, said Brittany Bailey, a spokeswoman for the center. “We were surprised by the number of people who came,” Bailey said. “These were dirty jobs. One requirement was you had to be able to lift 40 pounds. These were not desk jobs. It shows how desperate people really are at this point. We’ve never had lines wrapped around the building.” In fishing-reliant Gulf communities like Bayou La Batre, Ala., captains barred from fishing are signing contracts to pull the barriers across bays and shorelines, or to maintain the booms. “It has helped to a point, but there’s a limited number of people who have been able to get these jobs,” said oyster harvester Avery Bates, vice president of the Organized Seafood Association of Alabama. The skippers must get Coast Guard safety certifications before signing contracts to do the work, Bates said, and many must also be trained to handle hazardous materials. The demand for work is so great that boat workers quickly filled up a class held at a small church. “We thought 300 would show up, and then 600 showed up. People couldn’t even get in the building, and they had to reschedule another session,” said Bates. “A few hundred have gotten work (but) we are still a long way from getting there.” In Cocodrie, the gravel-and-oyster shell parking lot on the Terrebonne Bay waterfront has a steady stream of trucks bringing in boom, contractors with skimmer boats and newly-hired hands who make trips out to barrier islands. Still, everyone involved seems to know that whatever good flows from the oil spill in the short term, the long-term price will be heavy. “If they can’t stop it, this could be the end of my business,” said Glover. “There’s already a public perception that Louisiana’s covered in oil. And nobody comes to Cocodrie if they can’t fish. If they can’t fish, I don’t rent rooms, I don’t sell meals, I don’t have charters.” ___ Associated Press writers Jennifer Kay in Florida and Jay Reeves in Alabama contributed to this story.

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Thai Economy Grew Most Since 1995 in First Quarter Before Unrest Erupted

May 23, 2010

By Suttinee Yuvejwattana May 24 (Bloomberg) — Thailand’s economy expanded the most since 1995 last quarter, before the nation’s worst political violence in 18 years undermined the country’s recovery. Gross domestic product rose 12 percent in the three months ended March 31 from a year earlier, beating the 9 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of nine economists. The economy grew a revised 5.9 percent in the fourth quarter of last year, the government said in Bangkok today. Asian economies have benefited from an export rebound that’s helped lift growth from Singapore to Taiwan, an acceleration that may be slowed should Europe’s debt crisis hamper the global recovery. Thailand may be among the most vulnerable because its domestic demand is endangered by the protests and rioting that killed more than 80 people. “It’s very unfortunate for Thailand,” Lim Su Sian , an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Plc in Singapore, said before today’s report. “The second quarter will be a write-off. Exports will likely continue to hum along, remaining largely unscathed by domestic developments, but investment would have contracted, putting a quick end to the surge in the first quarter.” The economy will be “less rosy” from the second quarter onwards, Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said last week. Bangkok Riots Rioting erupted across Bangkok on May 19 after Thai security forces backed by armored vehicles cleared an anti- government protest camp and forced its leaders to surrender. More than 30 buildings were set alight, including the Stock Exchange of Thailand’s building, the nation’s biggest shopping complex, owned by Central Pattana Pcl , and at least eight branches of Bangkok Bank Pcl , the country’s biggest lender. The impact of the political unrest on the Thai economy has been “critical, especially on confidence,” Ampon Kittiampon , secretary-general at the National Economic and Social Development Board, the government’s economic advisory body, said at a briefing in Bangkok today. GDP may have expanded by between 6 percent and 7 percent this year had it not been for the violence, Ampon said. “But from the protests and unrest that have happened, we have to maintain the 2010 GDP forecast at 3.5 percent to 4.5 percent,” he said. “We still have a chance to grow more than this if we stay focused on fixing the problems.” ‘Negative Growth’ The economy grew 3.8 percent in the first quarter from the previous three months, the government said today. That compared with the 1.7 percent median forecast of six economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. “If the unrest can’t be settled, we may see negative growth in the third quarter” from the previous three months, Ampon said. “And we will be in very deep negative growth in the fourth quarter.” The baht has dropped 0.6 percent in the past month and overseas investors dumped Thai shares on May 19 for an 11th day, the longest stretch of net sales since November 2008. The stock market was closed on May 20 and May 21. Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva ’s government has already seen consumer confidence drop to a nine-month low, leaving economic growth reliant on exports. The central bank forecasts that Southeast Asia’s largest economy after Indonesia may grow as much as 5.8 percent this year on overseas demand. Thailand’s economic fundamentals remain “promising” if the government can quickly deal with the political unrest, bourse president Patareeya Benjapolchai said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on May 21. “Investors will come back.” ‘Strong Fundamentals’ The first-quarter GDP figures show the economy’s “strong fundamentals,” Abhisit told reporters in Bangkok today. “The government will have to assess the impact from protests in May or June to see which sector has been affected, especially the tourism sector,” he said. “The government needs to restore confidence quickly.” Japan, Singapore and Taiwan last week reported growth in their economies accelerated last quarter as companies from Nissan Motor Co. to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co . increase exports and domestic spending strengthens. Still, Asian stocks fell May 21 as European leaders struggled to contain the region’s debt crisis, raising the risk of a slowdown in exports. Fiscal woes may push Europe into a “double-dip” recession while growth in advanced nations will be “anemic,” New York University professor Nouriel Roubini said this month. The European Union and the International Monetary Fund have offered as much as 750 billion euros ($940 billion) to countries in danger of financial instability. Interest Rates The Bank of Thailand last month kept the benchmark one-day bond repurchase rate unchanged at 1.25 percent, the lowest level since July 2004, saying it “views the heightened political risk as a key factor affecting confidence, tourism, private consumption and investment.” Thailand’s central bank will next meet to decide on the key rate on June 2. “The central bank is unlikely to raise the rate at its meeting next week,” said Somprawin Manprasert , an economist at Tisco Securities Ltd. in Bangkok. “The risk for political uncertainties remains high. They may want to wait to see the consequence of the political chaos to the economy first before making a decision. Once they decide to raise the rate, they can’t take it back.” Manufacturing jumped 22.8 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, compared with a 9.9 percent gain in the previous three months, according to today’s report. To contact the reporters on this story: Suttinee Yuvejwattana in Bangkok at Suttinee1@bloomberg.net ; Michael J. Munoz in Hong Kong at mjmunoz@bloomberg.net

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Thai Economy Grew Most Since 1995 in First Quarter Before Unrest Erupted

May 23, 2010

By Suttinee Yuvejwattana May 24 (Bloomberg) — Thailand’s economy expanded the most since 1995 last quarter, before the nation’s worst political violence in 18 years undermined the country’s recovery. Gross domestic product rose 12 percent in the three months ended March 31 from a year earlier, beating the 9 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of nine economists. The economy grew a revised 5.9 percent in the fourth quarter of last year, the government said in Bangkok today. Asian economies have benefited from an export rebound that’s helped lift growth from Singapore to Taiwan, an acceleration that may be slowed should Europe’s debt crisis hamper the global recovery. Thailand may be among the most vulnerable because its domestic demand is endangered by the protests and rioting that killed more than 80 people. “It’s very unfortunate for Thailand,” Lim Su Sian , an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Plc in Singapore, said before today’s report. “The second quarter will be a write-off. Exports will likely continue to hum along, remaining largely unscathed by domestic developments, but investment would have contracted, putting a quick end to the surge in the first quarter.” The economy will be “less rosy” from the second quarter onwards, Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said last week. Bangkok Riots Rioting erupted across Bangkok on May 19 after Thai security forces backed by armored vehicles cleared an anti- government protest camp and forced its leaders to surrender. More than 30 buildings were set alight, including the Stock Exchange of Thailand’s building, the nation’s biggest shopping complex, owned by Central Pattana Pcl , and at least eight branches of Bangkok Bank Pcl , the country’s biggest lender. The impact of the political unrest on the Thai economy has been “critical, especially on confidence,” Ampon Kittiampon , secretary-general at the National Economic and Social Development Board, the government’s economic advisory body, said at a briefing in Bangkok today. GDP may have expanded by between 6 percent and 7 percent this year had it not been for the violence, Ampon said. “But from the protests and unrest that have happened, we have to maintain the 2010 GDP forecast at 3.5 percent to 4.5 percent,” he said. “We still have a chance to grow more than this if we stay focused on fixing the problems.” ‘Negative Growth’ The economy grew 3.8 percent in the first quarter from the previous three months, the government said today. That compared with the 1.7 percent median forecast of six economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. “If the unrest can’t be settled, we may see negative growth in the third quarter” from the previous three months, Ampon said. “And we will be in very deep negative growth in the fourth quarter.” The baht has dropped 0.6 percent in the past month and overseas investors dumped Thai shares on May 19 for an 11th day, the longest stretch of net sales since November 2008. The stock market was closed on May 20 and May 21. Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva ’s government has already seen consumer confidence drop to a nine-month low, leaving economic growth reliant on exports. The central bank forecasts that Southeast Asia’s largest economy after Indonesia may grow as much as 5.8 percent this year on overseas demand. Thailand’s economic fundamentals remain “promising” if the government can quickly deal with the political unrest, bourse president Patareeya Benjapolchai said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on May 21. “Investors will come back.” ‘Strong Fundamentals’ The first-quarter GDP figures show the economy’s “strong fundamentals,” Abhisit told reporters in Bangkok today. “The government will have to assess the impact from protests in May or June to see which sector has been affected, especially the tourism sector,” he said. “The government needs to restore confidence quickly.” Japan, Singapore and Taiwan last week reported growth in their economies accelerated last quarter as companies from Nissan Motor Co. to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co . increase exports and domestic spending strengthens. Still, Asian stocks fell May 21 as European leaders struggled to contain the region’s debt crisis, raising the risk of a slowdown in exports. Fiscal woes may push Europe into a “double-dip” recession while growth in advanced nations will be “anemic,” New York University professor Nouriel Roubini said this month. The European Union and the International Monetary Fund have offered as much as 750 billion euros ($940 billion) to countries in danger of financial instability. Interest Rates The Bank of Thailand last month kept the benchmark one-day bond repurchase rate unchanged at 1.25 percent, the lowest level since July 2004, saying it “views the heightened political risk as a key factor affecting confidence, tourism, private consumption and investment.” Thailand’s central bank will next meet to decide on the key rate on June 2. “The central bank is unlikely to raise the rate at its meeting next week,” said Somprawin Manprasert , an economist at Tisco Securities Ltd. in Bangkok. “The risk for political uncertainties remains high. They may want to wait to see the consequence of the political chaos to the economy first before making a decision. Once they decide to raise the rate, they can’t take it back.” Manufacturing jumped 22.8 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, compared with a 9.9 percent gain in the previous three months, according to today’s report. To contact the reporters on this story: Suttinee Yuvejwattana in Bangkok at Suttinee1@bloomberg.net ; Michael J. Munoz in Hong Kong at mjmunoz@bloomberg.net

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Islamic Bond Sales Rising at Fastest Pace in Three Years on State Support

May 19, 2010

By Soraya Permatasari May 19 (Bloomberg) — Islamic bond sales are growing at the fastest pace since 2007 as yields on securities complying with the religion’s ban on interest fall more than those on emerging- market debt even as Europe’s debt crisis worsens. Offerings of sukuk climbed 24 percent to $4.6 billion so far in 2010, the most since a 50 percent increase in the same period three years ago, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The spread between the average yield for the debt and the three- month London interbank offered rate narrowed 301 basis points, or 3.01 percentage points, to 437 basis points in the past year, according to HSBC/NASDAQ Dubai US Dollar Sukuk Index . A similar measure for emerging-market debt shrank 133 basis points. Malaysia and Qatar Islamic Bank SAQ announced plans today to sell sukuk, while Indonesia’s finance ministry said last week it was pushing ahead with a scaled-down offering. Sales are growing after Nakheel PJSC, the Dubai World property unit seeking to restructure $10.5 billion of debt, repaid a $980 million Islamic bond this month and received money from the Dubai Financial Support Fund. Government support and debt restructuring “help build confidence in the market,” Badlisyah Abdul Ghani , head of Islamic banking at Kuala Lumpur-based CIMB Group Holdings Bhd, the top sukuk underwriter in 2009, said in an interview yesterday. “Sovereigns are coming out with issues, knowing for a fact that there are investors out there hungry for quality assets. This is the time to come in.” Focus on Ethics Policy makers meeting at the World Islamic Economic Forum in Kuala Lumpur this week plan to spur growth in an Islamic financial-service industry, whose assets totaled $1 trillion last year, WIEF Chairman Musa Hitam said in a May 14 interview. About 2,000 delegates, from Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak to Senegal President Abdoulaye Wade, are attending the two-day meeting that ends tomorrow. Islamic finance centers around the world must boost linkages and establish forms of standardization for the industry, Najib said at the forum today. The global debt crisis has increased international demand for standardized alternative investments that “practice ethics,” Musa said in a statement on May 16. Sukuk are asset- based securities that pay a profit rate linked to the issuers’ income, a measure intended to ensure borrowers can pay their debts. The spread between the average developing-nation yield and Libor narrowed to 597 basis points from 730 basis points a year ago, based on the EMBI+ index from JPMorgan Chase & Co. That is 160 basis points more than the average spread for sukuk debt. Malaysia, Qatar Sukuk Islamic bond sales may increase 24 percent to $25 billion this year, CIMB Group’s Badlisyah said in February. They rose 43 percent last year to $20.2 billion from $14.1 billion in 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Malaysia may sell more than $600 million of five-year dollar sukuk, Barclays Capital, one of the three arrangers, said today as the prime minister launched the marketing. Qatar Islamic Bank SAQ , the Gulf state’s biggest Shariah-compliant lender, plans to sell as much as $750 million of bonds in its first Islamic debt offering, the company’s chief executive also said today. Indonesia’s finance ministry said last week it plans a benchmark-sized issue, typically $500 million. Greece will tap emergency loans from the euro region today to repay 8.5 billion euros ($10.5 billion) of 10-year bonds, debt that threatened the euro-region’s first default. Greece’s benchmark two-year notes yield 8.48 percent, more than 15 times the comparable German security. ‘Emotional Hangover’ Investors are differentiating more carefully and favoring “financially strong” issuers because of the global debt crisis, said Rafael Martinez Dalmau , director of emerging markets and Islamic investments in Singapore at BNP Paribas Investment Partners, a unit of France’s largest bank. “We’re going to feel the emotional hangover on the markets for some time,” he said. Malaysia’s Senai-Desaru Expressway Bhd., a toll-road operator, said in April it plans to restructure 1.46 billion ringgit ($457 million) of Shariah-compliant bonds to avoid triggering the country’s biggest Islamic-debt default in more than two years. Islamic bond defaults in Malaysia totaled 176 million ringgit in the first four months of this year, 65 percent of the total in 2009. “Even sovereign debt right now will have to pay more in the debt market because of the prevailing scenes surrounding sovereign debt in Europe and the United Arab Emirates,” Ali Khan , head of cash-equity trading at Dubai-based Arqaam Capital Ltd., said in a telephone interview yesterday. ‘Safe Side’ Saudi Electricity Co., the country’s state-controlled power producer, raised 7 billion riyals ($1.9 billion) from sukuk sales last week. Cagamas Bhd., the Malaysian buyer of home loans, and Abu Dhabi’s Tourism Development & Investment Co., said this month they will sell sukuk this year. “Investors want to be on the safe side because of the uncertainty in Europe,” said Yazit Yusuff, head of the Islamic banking division at OSK Investment, a unit of Malaysia’s biggest stockbroker by trading value in Kuala Lumpur. “Investors are looking at high-profile names. Planned sales by Malaysia and Indonesia this year will be good for the market.” To contact the reporter on this story: Soraya Permatasari in Kuala Lumpur at soraya@bloomberg.net

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Moroccan Rains Give Stocks Lift Over BRICs After Missing Last Year’s Rally

February 17, 2010

By Tal Barak Harif Feb. 17 (Bloomberg) — Morocco’s stocks are laggards no more as the strongest rains in three decades help boost agricultural output in the only emerging-market nation where equities fell in 2009. Morocco’s Madex Index has climbed 5.9 percent this year, beating benchmark measures in Brazil, Russia, India and China as rains lift farm production. The gauge trades at a 19 percent discount to stocks in the BRIC nations, according to price-to- earnings data compiled by Bloomberg, and may outperform this year as stronger wheat harvests boost Morocco’s economy, London- based Silk Invest said. “We strongly believe in Morocco,” said Zin Bekkali , Silk’s chief executive officer, who manages $75 million in the Middle East and Africa and has invested in those markets for a decade. “Heavy rains have undoubtedly brought back some confidence in the performance of the economy in 2010.” The outlook for farming, which employs almost half the nation’s workforce, is improving as concern that China will tighten lending and European nations will struggle to pay their debts drags down BRIC stocks. Morocco’s rainfall exceeded evaporation and absorption by the most in 30 years in the month through mid-October, according to the nation’s meteorology agency. Investors are returning to Morocco after the Madex fell 6.6 percent last year, missing the rally that bolstered the BRICs. Brazil’s Bovespa index soared 83 percent, Russia’s Micex more than doubled, India’s Sensex jumped 81 percent and China’s Shanghai Composite Index surged 80 percent in 2009 as the world economy rebounded from its first recession since World War II. ‘Relatively Cheap’ The Madex’s decline last year dragged its price-to-earnings ratio based on reported profit to 17.4 in December, the lowest since at least October 2006, according to Bloomberg data. The measure trades for 19.4 times earnings, less than the 24 average for the BRICs, 20.9 times for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index of 22 developing nations, including Morocco, and 19.9 times for MSCI’s gauge of smaller, frontier markets. “Moroccan shares are relatively very cheap, which makes them more attractive,” Bekkali said in a telephone interview. Agriculture accounts for 15 percent of the country’s gross domestic product and is the main source of jobs for the nation’s 32 million people, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Wheat is Morocco’s biggest crop. Harvest Increases The nation’s soft-wheat harvest more than doubled in the first seven months of the current crop year, climbing to 2.4 million metric tons from June 1 to Dec. 31, the crops office said in a report posted on its Web site last month. That’s 71 percent above the five-year average, according to the report. Morocco’s economy probably grew 5 percent last year after expanding 5.6 percent in 2008, according to the Rabat, Morocco- based Statistics Bureau. While that would exceed the 2.1 percent expansion last year in developing countries, growth may slow to 4.1 percent in 2010, the statistics bureau said, less than the 6 percent estimated for developing nations, according to the International Monetary Fund in Washington. Rising agricultural production, increasing consumer spending and a stable government make Morocco, a constitutional monarchy headed by King Mohammed VI, “an extremely attractive trade,” said Johan De Bruijn , who helps oversee $13 billion in emerging market equities at Arlington, Virginia-based Emerging Markets Management. Relative Value Companies including Maroc Telecom , the Rabat-based phone and internet company controlled by Vivendi SA, and Douja Promotion Groupe Addoha SA , the nation’s biggest publicly-traded real-estate firm based in Casablanca, are most likely to benefit from the agriculture boost as local consumption increases, Bekkali said. For some investors, Morocco isn’t cheap enough. When the Madex is valued on analysts’ 2010 earnings estimates, it trades at 16.5 times projected profit, more than the average 14.5 times for the BRICs, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Moroccan stocks are more expensive than other markets in the region, including Egypt, that offer faster economic growth, said Nathalie Wallace at Boston-based Batterymarch Financial Management Inc. Egypt’s EGX 30 Index trades for 11.9 times analysts’ earnings estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Egypt’s government has said the economy may expand more than 5 percent in the fiscal year through June 2010. ‘Faster Growth’ “We don’t invest in Morocco because companies are too expensive,” said Wallace, who helps manage $6.5 billion in emerging markets. “In terms of valuations we prefer faster growth in the region of Africa and Middle East.” Morocco’s economy is also benefitting from tourism and foreign investment. Tourists visiting the nation rose 7 percent in the first 11 months of 2009 to 7.7 million, the tourism department said in December. Morocco may have attracted 8.7 million visitors last year and aims to increase that to 10 million this year, according to the department. Morocco expects foreign direct investment to climb to $5 billion in 2010 after dropping to $3 billion in 2008, and $2.27 billion in the first nine months of 2009, Nizar Baraka, Minister Delegate to the Prime Minister in Charge of General and Economic Affairs, said on Nov. 23. Foreign companies are moving to establish a foothold in Morocco. BNP Paribas , France’s largest bank, said last month that it’s starting a wealth management unit and TomTom NV , the world’s biggest maker of car navigation devices, said last week that it plans to start selling products in Morocco, citing the country’s “great potential.” “Morocco is a country with real opportunities,” De Bruijn said. To contact the reporter on this story: Tal Barak Harif in New York at tbarak@bloomberg.net .

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Greeks Taking Bribes Thwart Papandreou’s Efforts to Resolve Debt Crisis

January 28, 2010

By Vernon Silver Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — When Aris Kefalogiannis started his olive oil company in Athens more than a decade ago, he says, bureaucrats in crowded offices demanded bribes to approve long lists of permits. After a year of dodging shakedowns, Kefalogiannis moved the legal seat of his company, Gaea Products SA, to the small city of Agrinion. Government outposts there had fewer functionaries looking for payoffs, he says. “Bribery is a result of the bureaucracy,” says Kefalogiannis, 49, the company’s chief executive officer. “People get fed up and will pay anything not to waste more time. It leads to slower growth and less investment in Greece.” Greece’s attempt to dig itself out of its worst financial crisis in about 16 years and avoid a bailout is hampered by rampant bribery and tax evasion, says Costas Bakouris , chairman of the Greek chapter of Transparency International, Bloomberg Markets magazine reported in its March issue. Greece, along with Bulgaria and Romania, is among the most-corrupt countries in the 27-member European Union and comparable to cocaine-infested Colombia, says the research group. “Greece’s economic problems are exacerbated by corruption, which makes countries less competitive,” says Bakouris, 73, who was managing director of the organizing committee of the Athens 2004 Olympic Games and European chairman of the former Ralston Purina Co. Cracking Down on Crime Prime Minister George Papandreou , whose socialist government took power in October, pledged to crack down on financial crimes that have helped bury the nation in about 300 billion euros ($430 billion) of debt. In December, three rating firms cut the creditworthiness of the country’s debt to the lowest grade among the 16 euro-zone nations. As investors fled, the spread between Greek 10-year bonds and German bunds, Europe’s benchmark government securities, widened to as much as 356 basis points on Jan. 27, the most in more than 11 years. (A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.) On Jan. 25, Greece showed it had the ability to raise funds when it sold 8 billion euros of five-year notes in its first bond issue since being downgraded. Greece offered a yield that was 0.3 percentage point more than on its existing debt with similar maturities. Papandreou, 57, the leader of the Panhellenic Socialist Movement, or Pasok, has assured investors that the country won’t need a bailout. He has promised to slash the deficit by 2013 to less than 3 percent of GDP — the EU limit — from 12.7 percent in 2009. To back up that pledge, the government in January proposed boosting the tax on tobacco products to 70 percent and the levy on alcohol by 20 percent; it also plans to freeze hiring and cut state employee bonuses by 10 percent. ‘Great Opportunity’ Facing pressure from unions, which plan to strike on Feb. 10, Papandreou stopped short of eliminating government positions: They constitute about 14 percent of all jobs in an economy that had 9.8 percent unemployment in October. Bond investors encouraged by the government’s response to the crisis say Greek debt is now a bargain. “It’s a great opportunity,” says Claus Meyer-Cording , who helps manage about $15 billion in bonds as head of euro-zone debt at DWS Investment GmbH in Frankfurt. “European politicians wouldn’t let countries like Greece go down that really try to solve their own problems.” Papandreou belongs to one of Greece’s most prominent political families — and one that hasn’t escaped the taint of corruption. Papandreou’s grandfather George was premier three times in the 1940s and 1960s, and his father, Andreas, held the post twice in the 1980s and 1990s. Parliament indicted Andreas and other ministers on bribery and embezzlement charges in 1989. He was acquitted three years later. Doctorates in Cabinet The newly elected Papandreou isn’t the first Greek leader to pledge to fight corruption. His predecessor, Kostas Karamanlis , took office in 2004 and aimed to curtail abuses partly by reducing government employment. Karamanlis didn’t succeed in shrinking the bureaucracy. Last year, Papandreou ran against Karamanlis on a platform including more pay for civil servants and won a national election by the widest margin in almost 30 years. To clean up the pay-to-play economy, the new premier is relying on Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou , 48, who has a Ph.D. from the London School of Economics, and Louka Katseli, 57, the minister of economy, shipping and competitiveness. She is a former Yale University economics professor with a doctorate from Princeton University in New Jersey. Targeting Tax Cheats A month after the government took power, Papaconstantinou targeted doctors in Athens’ hillside Kolonaki neighborhood, where boutiques sell expensive Manolo Blahnik shoes and French cheese. So many Greek companies and employees cheat on their taxes that a third of all economic activity delivers no revenue to the government, the Finance Ministry says. The ministry examined the tax records of 150 doctors offices and found that more than half had declared income of less than 30,000 euros. That figure is a fraction of what a full-time physician in Kolonaki makes, Transparency International’s Bakouris says. Some Greeks say tax evasion is rooted in the Ottoman Empire’s control of the country for centuries until the 1820s. “We very much lack a tax conscience,” says Ilias Plaskovitis, the Finance Ministry’s general secretary. “Some trace it back to the Ottoman Empire, when tax evasion was resistance to foreign powers.” Papaconstantinou promised in November that his ministry would conduct full audits of the doctors in Kolonaki and other professionals across the country. Bribes The government will also expand a requirement that citizens who take tax deductions for expenses produce receipts. Today, Greeks routinely pay cash for a wide range of services, from plumbing to medical visits, without demanding a receipt, allowing the providers to forgo declaring the income to tax authorities. The government projected in January that its crackdown will generate 1.2 billion euros in additional income this year. In December at an EU summit, Papandreou outlined plans to fight bribery, which he said is so pervasive that Greeks consider the crime to be normal behavior. “Investments can’t come to Greece, our economy won’t stand on its own feet, if we don’t attack corruption mercilessly,” Papandreou said at the summit. Greek citizens made 900 million euros in payoffs nationwide in 2008, according to Transparency International. Its 2009 survey of 6,000 Greek citizens found that 300 euros was the going rate for a bribe to pass an automobile emission inspection. The cost to jump to the top of a waiting list for an operation in a state hospital was about 2,500 euros. Gifts for the Minister The prime minister, who attributes corruption partly to a secretive political system, vowed to make officials post their expenditures on the Internet. He said he also plans to start an economic police squad to nab crooked civil servants and tax evaders. The national police say they brought criminal charges in 15 bribery cases against public workers and cops in 2008. In Greece, Christmas is also an opportunity to give gifts to officials. On Dec. 23, two days before the holiday, an employee of the Chinese Embassy stopped by the Athens office of Culture and Tourism Minister Pavlos Yeroulanos to drop off three bags of presents. Moments later, a courier deposited a wicker basket filled with wine bottles. A ministry spokeswoman says Greece has no official rules about gifts for officials. “I send back all the gifts except the books and the alcohol,” says Yeroulanos, 43, who has an MBA from Massachusetts Institute of Technology. “Corruption and bureaucracy are strangling new efforts. Unless we deal with these phenomena, we will never manage to allow Greek talent to flourish.” Parthenon Marbles The government says graft in Greece goes back centuries and touches the nation’s most-enduring temple of antiquity: the Parthenon in Athens. In the early 1800s, a British ambassador, the Earl of Elgin, paid Ottoman officials in Athens to help him spirit away marble friezes that decorated the perimeter of the Parthenon, Greek officials say. The British Museum holds about half of the surviving marbles and has refused to return them, saying they were obtained lawfully. Lord Elgin’s payments were presents given according to the customs of the times, the museum says. The June opening in Athens of the Acropolis Museum, which the government built specifically to house the carvings, hasn’t convinced the British to send them back to Greece. Yeroulanos, standing among marble statues at the museum, points to the walls where the carved panels would be displayed. “It’s a cultural deficit,” he says. Developing Tourism Yeroulanos, with his hair combed back and sporting a stubbly beard, presides over the largest part of the Greek economy: Tourism comprises about 18 percent of GDP. He says the luring of travelers beyond the summer months, when most visitors to Greece flock to its islands such as Mykonos, known for all- night beach parties, is the country’s best hope for economic recovery. He wants to attract investors to build year-round theme parks and resorts infused with Greek culture. One proposal: an Olympics park near the site of the original games that took place at least as long ago as the eighth century B.C. “Developing tourism should be a priority for Greece,” bond manager Meyer-Cording says. Costa Navarino, Greece’s biggest tourist development, illustrates how a bureaucracy can slow down a project in the EU’s 12th-largest economy. Mycenaean Architecture In the early 1980s, shipping magnate Vassilis Constantakopoulos started buying land in an olive-growing region south of Athens to build the resort. He set up a company in 1997 to develop Costa Navarino and, at a cost of more than 500 million euros, is building golf courses, villas inspired by vaulted Mycenaean architecture and hotels with private swimming pools for guests in the most-expensive suites. Costa Navarino plans to open in May, 13 years after the project began. Greece’s debt debacle has given Papandreou an opening to battle a crooked bureaucracy. Investors are waiting to see whether the prime minister will have any more success than his forebears in cleaning up the corruption that has dogged the economy for centuries. To contact the reporter on this story: Vernon Silver in Rome at vtsilver@bloomberg.net

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Haiti Seeks Help for `Colossal’ Reconstruction After Quake Kills 150,000

January 25, 2010

By Alexandre Deslongchamps and Peter S. Green Jan. 26 (Bloomberg) — Haitian Prime Minister Jean-Max Bellerive told an aid conference in Montreal that his country needs help for a “colossal” reconstruction from the earthquake that devastated the capital city two weeks ago. “Haiti will need massive support in the medium- and long- term from its partners in the international community,” Bellerive said yesterday. “The challenge will require that we do more, that we do better and certainly that we do differently.” Bellerive said the country doesn’t yet know how much aid is needed. Pamela Cox, the World Bank’s vice president for Latin America and the Caribbean, said rebuilding will cost “billions of dollars” over the next five years. Donors have given $783 million to Haiti and pledged another $1.13 billion, according to United Nations figures released yesterday. Haiti was already the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere before the temblor, which killed more than 150,000 people and destroyed a third of the buildings in the capital, Port-au-Prince. Relief groups and foreign military forces are trying to reach the estimated 3 million of Haiti’s 9 million people affected by the quake. The country’s infrastructure, including the water system, has collapsed and the government can’t deliver services. 10-Year Commitment Countries at the meeting yesterday, including Canada, France, Brazil and the U.S., committed to helping Haiti for at least the next 10 years. They also agreed to meet again in March in New York. Haiti will ask for $3 billion for reconstruction, the New York Times reported yesterday, citing Tourism Minister Patrick Delatour. President Rene Preval has put Delatour in charge of assessing damage from the quake, the report said. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said the U.S. and other countries were examining how Haiti can lower its debt burden. Haiti owes $1.2 billion, according to figures provided by the International Monetary Fund, about 19 percent of its gross domestic product. The Inter-American Development Bank is the largest creditor, with $417.5 million outstanding. Venezuela is the second largest debtor with $295.2 million outstanding and the IMF is owed $165.6 million. Debts Cancelled The Paris Club of creditors agreed to cancel $214 million, all its members’ claims on Haiti, in July, 2009 and last week called on other creditors to do the same. Italy on Jan. 19 said it would cancel debt of 40.4 million euros ($57.2 million). Haiti intends to take control of the reconstruction, Bellerive said, even though most government offices and computer systems were destroyed in the quake. Relief plans must aim to “put the country back on the path to development,” he said in a speech yesterday. “Going back to the status quo ante is not an option.” Reconstruction will have to include moving some people out of shantytowns that have overrun the capital, and fostering economic development outside Port-au-Prince, he said. The earthquake made clear that the country was too concentrated in the capital. “In 30 seconds, Haiti lost 60 percent of its GDP,” Bellerive said. “All the resources were centralized around the Presidential Palace. We will have to decentralize.” Economic Relocation “It’s very important that economic activity be moved to some extent to the rural areas,” said Caroline Atkinson , director of external relations at the Washington-based IMF. Paying Haitians to help remove rubble will help inject needed cash into the economy, she said. UN and World Bank officials said aid efforts should also help ensure Haitian farmers can plant spring crops in March. “The main organizations desperately need funding to sustain their operations beyond the first weeks,” said John Holmes , the UN Undersecretary General for Humanitarian Affairs. “Some critical areas remain very badly funded, including early recovery and its vital cash-for-work component as well as agriculture.” Getting food into the country is a “nightmare,” Josette Sheeran , executive director of the World Food Program told reporters at the UN in New York. The U.S. has taken control of aid deliveries through Haiti’s sole international airport, and the UN has taken responsibility for the country’s security. 150,000 Buried More than 150,000 bodies have been buried, the New York Times reported Jan. 23, citing Marie-Laurence Jocelynn Lassegue, Haiti’s culture and communications minister. The UN said it had no confirmed death toll. Companies from Abbott Laboratories to Yum Brands , non- profits including the Albanian Red Cross and the Verizon Foundation, and states from Tunisia to Thailand have pledged or given more than $1.9 billion to aid Haiti, according to a 39- page list of donations published by the UN yesterday. The U.S. is the biggest state donor, contributing $184 million so far, about 38 percent of the aid pledged so far. Canada is second with $40 million, and France is third with $31 million. A poll released yesterday by KRC Research, a Washington- based non-partisan opinion research firm, found that 45% of American families have donated money to the Haitian relief effort, with nearly four-in-10 donating online, including via text messaging, the company said in a statement. To contact the reporters on this story: Alexandre Deslongchamps in Ottawa at adeslongcham@bloomberg.net ; Peter S. Green in New York at psgreen@bloomberg.net

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Haiti Seeks Help for `Colossal’ Reconstruction After Quake Kills 150,000

January 25, 2010

By Alexandre Deslongchamps and Peter S. Green Jan. 26 (Bloomberg) — Haitian Prime Minister Jean-Max Bellerive told an aid conference in Montreal that his country needs help for a “colossal” reconstruction from the earthquake that devastated the capital city two weeks ago. “Haiti will need massive support in the medium- and long- term from its partners in the international community,” Bellerive said yesterday. “The challenge will require that we do more, that we do better and certainly that we do differently.” Bellerive said the country doesn’t yet know how much aid is needed. Pamela Cox, the World Bank’s vice president for Latin America and the Caribbean, said rebuilding will cost “billions of dollars” over the next five years. Donors have given $783 million to Haiti and pledged another $1.13 billion, according to United Nations figures released yesterday. Haiti was already the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere before the temblor, which killed more than 150,000 people and destroyed a third of the buildings in the capital, Port-au-Prince. Relief groups and foreign military forces are trying to reach the estimated 3 million of Haiti’s 9 million people affected by the quake. The country’s infrastructure, including the water system, has collapsed and the government can’t deliver services. 10-Year Commitment Countries at the meeting yesterday, including Canada, France, Brazil and the U.S., committed to helping Haiti for at least the next 10 years. They also agreed to meet again in March in New York. Haiti will ask for $3 billion for reconstruction, the New York Times reported yesterday, citing Tourism Minister Patrick Delatour. President Rene Preval has put Delatour in charge of assessing damage from the quake, the report said. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said the U.S. and other countries were examining how Haiti can lower its debt burden. Haiti owes $1.2 billion, according to figures provided by the International Monetary Fund, about 19 percent of its gross domestic product. The Inter-American Development Bank is the largest creditor, with $417.5 million outstanding. Venezuela is the second largest debtor with $295.2 million outstanding and the IMF is owed $165.6 million. Debts Cancelled The Paris Club of creditors agreed to cancel $214 million, all its members’ claims on Haiti, in July, 2009 and last week called on other creditors to do the same. Italy on Jan. 19 said it would cancel debt of 40.4 million euros ($57.2 million). Haiti intends to take control of the reconstruction, Bellerive said, even though most government offices and computer systems were destroyed in the quake. Relief plans must aim to “put the country back on the path to development,” he said in a speech yesterday. “Going back to the status quo ante is not an option.” Reconstruction will have to include moving some people out of shantytowns that have overrun the capital, and fostering economic development outside Port-au-Prince, he said. The earthquake made clear that the country was too concentrated in the capital. “In 30 seconds, Haiti lost 60 percent of its GDP,” Bellerive said. “All the resources were centralized around the Presidential Palace. We will have to decentralize.” Economic Relocation “It’s very important that economic activity be moved to some extent to the rural areas,” said Caroline Atkinson , director of external relations at the Washington-based IMF. Paying Haitians to help remove rubble will help inject needed cash into the economy, she said. UN and World Bank officials said aid efforts should also help ensure Haitian farmers can plant spring crops in March. “The main organizations desperately need funding to sustain their operations beyond the first weeks,” said John Holmes , the UN Undersecretary General for Humanitarian Affairs. “Some critical areas remain very badly funded, including early recovery and its vital cash-for-work component as well as agriculture.” Getting food into the country is a “nightmare,” Josette Sheeran , executive director of the World Food Program told reporters at the UN in New York. The U.S. has taken control of aid deliveries through Haiti’s sole international airport, and the UN has taken responsibility for the country’s security. 150,000 Buried More than 150,000 bodies have been buried, the New York Times reported Jan. 23, citing Marie-Laurence Jocelynn Lassegue, Haiti’s culture and communications minister. The UN said it had no confirmed death toll. Companies from Abbott Laboratories to Yum Brands , non- profits including the Albanian Red Cross and the Verizon Foundation, and states from Tunisia to Thailand have pledged or given more than $1.9 billion to aid Haiti, according to a 39- page list of donations published by the UN yesterday. The U.S. is the biggest state donor, contributing $184 million so far, about 38 percent of the aid pledged so far. Canada is second with $40 million, and France is third with $31 million. A poll released yesterday by KRC Research, a Washington- based non-partisan opinion research firm, found that 45% of American families have donated money to the Haitian relief effort, with nearly four-in-10 donating online, including via text messaging, the company said in a statement. To contact the reporters on this story: Alexandre Deslongchamps in Ottawa at adeslongcham@bloomberg.net ; Peter S. Green in New York at psgreen@bloomberg.net

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Singapore’s GDP Shrinks for First Time in Three Quarters on Manufacturing

January 3, 2010

By Shamim Adam Jan. 4 (Bloomberg) — Singapore’s economy shrank for the first time in three quarters as weaker manufacturing output interrupted the island’s recovery from its deepest recession since independence in 1965. Gross domestic product contracted an annualized 6.8 percent from the previous three months last quarter after climbing a revised 14.9 percent from July to September, the trade ministry said in a statement today. That was worse than the median estimate for a 2.1 percent decline in a Bloomberg News survey of eight economists. The economy shrank 2.1 percent in 2009. The island’s outlook is closely linked to global conditions and a “sluggish recovery” in demand for exports by companies such as Stats Chippac Ltd . will moderate growth prospects, the government said in November. The opening of two casino-resorts in the coming months will help support the economy this year, according to Nomura Holdings Inc. “We see the GDP decline as temporary and the economy will pick up this year as the services industry gets a boost from the opening of the casinos and tourism-related sectors,” said Tetsuji Sano , a Singapore-based economist at Nomura Holdings. “The prospects for the rest of Asia are very good, too, as the global economy improves.” Singapore’s $182 billion economy grew 3.5 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, compared with the median estimate for a 3.8 percent gain in a Bloomberg News survey of nine economists. Stocks Fall The benchmark stock index fell 0.2 percent to 2,892.17 as of 9:29 a.m. local time. The Singapore dollar was little changed at S$1.4045 versus the U.S. currency. Singapore is seeking ways to ensure its economy grows in a more sustained manner after three recessions in the past decade. The island’s dependence on electronics and pharmaceutical exports has made it vulnerable to fluctuations in global demand and business cycles, pushing it into a deeper slowdown than many neighbors last year. “In Asia, countries that are more reliant on export demand may be subjected to more swings than those that are led by domestic demand,” Alvin Liew , an economist at Standard Chartered Plc in Singapore, said before the report. “The prospects for 2010 will be better and we can expect a few more growth drivers for Singapore including financial services and the tourism industry.” Volatile Year The economy is improving after a “volatile” year that saw it shrink for the first time since 2001, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said Dec. 31. Singapore employers are increasing payrolls and job openings as the economy improves, according to a Ministry of Manpower report last month. Job vacancies rose a seasonally adjusted 46 percent in the third quarter from the previous three months, according to the latest data. Singapore Press Holdings Ltd ., the city’s biggest newspaper publisher, said Dec. 1 that it will restore 50 percent of the pay cuts introduced in April and give special one-off payments to its workers. Asia has led the world’s recovery from its economic slump, and central banks from Australia to Vietnam have started to increase interest rates or indicate a readiness to exit monetary stimulus. Still, the region’s rebound could falter as the effect of stimulus measures fade, the Asian Development Bank’s Office for Regional Economic Integration said Dec. 15. Hong Kong Chief Executive Donald Tsang said Dec. 29 an economic “double dip” is possible in the middle of this year. Monetary Policy Australia and Vietnam raised interest rates last quarter to contain inflation. The Monetary Authority of Singapore said in October it will maintain a zero appreciation stance in its currency policy, refraining from further monetary easing after opting for a de-facto devaluation of the exchange rate in April to counter collapsing exports. The government, which lowered corporate taxes and tapped its reserves last year to fund record spending, said last week it will extend by a year measures to help companies get financing, after deciding in October to prolong a wage-subsidy program. “The government will likely be limited in its fiscal stimulus measures, instead focusing on pro-business and investment policies,” Philip McNicholas , an economist at IDEAglobal in Singapore, said before the report. The central bank may have “greater tolerance for a stronger Singapore dollar” amid rising food and energy commodity prices, he said. Manufacturing Wanes Manufacturing, which accounts for about a quarter of the economy, rose 1 percent from a year earlier last quarter, after gaining a revised 7.9 percent in the three months through September. It fell 38.4 percent from the previous quarter. “This decline was mainly due to a contraction in the output of the biomedical manufacturing and transport engineering clusters,” the trade ministry said. The island’s services industry grew 3.7 percent last quarter from a year earlier, after falling 2.2 percent in the previous three months. The construction industry gained 11.2 percent, compared with a 12.8 percent increase in the third quarter. Genting Singapore Plc unit Resorts World Sentosa plans to open its $4.5 billion project in early 2010, and Las Vegas Sands Corp. says it may open the Marina Bay Sands in April. The economy will grow 3 percent to 5 percent in 2010, Lee said Dec. 31, reiterating a previous forecast. The figures today were computed from data for October and November. Revised numbers are due to be released next month. To contact the reporter on this story: Shamim Adam in Singapore at sadam2@bloomberg.net

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Cyprus: Tourism revenue plunges 16.7%

December 23, 2009

Cyprus: Tourism revenue plunges 16.7%

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Qatar Bonds Gain After Largest Emerging-Market Debt Sale Is Oversubscribed

November 18, 2009

By Laura Cochrane and Haris Anwar Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) — Qatar’s bonds rose after the largest-ever sale of debt by an emerging-market government received $28 billion of orders, four times the amount issued. Qatar’s $3.5 billion of five-year bonds, half the total $7 billion sale, advanced to 100.2 cents on the dollar from an issue price of 99.87 cents, according to ING Bank NV data on Bloomberg at 5:05 p.m. in Doha. The emirate’s $1 billion of 30- year bonds rose 3 percent to 102.8 cents, according to prices provided by DZ Bank AG. “This is the largest debt deal from an emerging-market sovereign to date,” said Fabianna Del Canto , syndicate manager at Barclays Capital, a lead arranger for the sale, in London. “Qatar has firmly established itself as the premier borrower in the region.” Qatar, the world’s biggest exporter of liquefied natural gas, will use the bond proceeds to provide “contingency funding” for state-owned companies, pay for infrastructure projects, and invest in the international oil and gas industry, according to the bond sale prospectus obtained by Bloomberg News. The Persian Gulf emirate is spending billions of dollars diversifying its economy with acquisitions of stakes in London- based lender Barclays Plc and German carmaker Volkswagen AG. ‘Strong Appetite’ Middle East borrowers will sell as much as $18 billion of international bonds in 2010, Luis Costa , an emerging markets debt strategist at Commerzbank AG in London wrote on Nov. 11. Commercial Bank of Qatar, the country’s second-biggest bank by assets, sold $1.6 billion of bonds on Nov. 10. Dubai last month raised $1.93 billion through the biggest Islamic bond sale from the Gulf region this year, while Tourism Development & Investment Co., a state-owned developer of hotels in Abu Dhabi, raised $1 billion from a five-year Islamic bond issue. “There remains very strong appetite for the region,” said Neil Slee , director of debt syndicate for Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa at Credit Suisse Group AG, which was one of the lead arrangers for the deal. “It’s a reflection of market confidence in the Qatari credit story” that it was able to close the largest-ever transaction from an emerging market issuer, he said. Qatar’s five-year bonds traded at a yield of 3.81 percent, compared with Dubai’s dollar-denominated Islamic bond with a similar maturity at 6.24 percent. Dubai Dubai, which suffered the worst in the Middle East from the global financial crisis, is struggling to refinance its debt after its government related companies earlier borrowed more than $80 billion to transform its economy into a tourist and financial services hub. Qatar is rated Aa2 by Moody’s Investors Service and AA- by Standard & Poor’s. Dubai is not rated. In addition to the five-year and thirty-year bonds Qatar issued $2.5 billion of 10-year bonds to yield 1.95 percentage points more than Treasuries. Qatar’s sale topped the $5 billion that Venezuela issued in October, according to ING Groep NV. Qatar’s benchmark DSM 20 Index was the third best performer in the world today, surging 2 percent at the close in Doha. The measure has gained 3.5 percent this year, compared with a jump of 74 percent in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index . Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services assigned an AA- rating to Qatar’s bond issue. “The ratings on Qatar are supported primarily by the country’s solid fiscal and external balance sheets, its prosperous economy and strong growth prospects, and its prudent long-term policies,” S&P’s credit analyst Véronique Paillat-Chayriguès wrote in a note today. Qatar Economy Qatar’s economy is expected to grow 9 percent this year and 16 percent next year, ruler Sheikh Hamad Bin Khalifa Al-Thani said on Nov. 3, according to state-run Qatar News Agency. The country is the holder of the world’s third-largest natural gas reserves and a member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries with 720,000 barrels a day of oil output. Qatar’s 2019 bonds are “cheap relative to ratings,” which is why he holds them, said Peter Eerdmans , head of emerging- market debt at Investec Asset Mangement Ltd. in London. The emirate’s 10-year paper is trading around 185 basis points above Treasuries and the “fair value” for sovereigns with rating in the AA- area is 100 basis point, Eerdmans, who overseas $950 million in assets, said in an interview. The low risk and the better prospects of cash flow generation are “alluring” investors to the Middle East credit where oil and gas producers are benefiting from a surge in crude oil prices, Commerzbank’s Costa said earlier this month. Oil last traded at $79.55 a barrel, up 78 percent this year. Barclays managed Qatar’s sale with Credit Suisse, Qatar National Bank SAQ, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co., according to the prospectus. To contact the reporters on this story: Haris Anwar in Dubai at hanwar2@bloomberg.net Laura Cochrane in London at lcochrane3@bloomberg.net

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Weak Dollar Is `Welcome Change’ for McDonald’s, PPG Fourth-Quarter Profit

October 29, 2009

By Thomas Black Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — McDonald’s Corp. , United Technologies Corp. and PPG Industries Inc. are among the companies whose earnings may get a boost in the fourth quarter from a weak dollar because of foreign operations and exports. U.S. firms are benefiting when they convert revenue from Europe with the euro touching $1.50 this month and having climbed 16 percent from a year ago as of yesterday. United Technologies , the maker of Pratt & Whitney jet engines, adds $10 million in annual operating income for every penny the euro gains against the dollar, Chief Financial Officer Gregory Hayes said in an Oct. 20 conference call. “A cheaper dollar is unquestionably positive for U.S. corporate earnings,” Bankim Chadha , the New York-based chief U.S. equity strategist for Deutsche Bank AG. “The share of earnings coming from the rest of the world for the S&P 500 has been increasing steadily since the 1960s.” Companies faced what PPG CEO Charles Bunch called a currency “headwind” through the third quarter because the dollar, while declining, was still reducing earnings compared with a year earlier. The tables have now turned, Bunch said on an Oct. 15. conference call. In addition to getting a boost from currency translations, U.S. exporters such as Peoria, Illinois-based Caterpillar Inc. are helped by the weaker dollar because their goods become cheaper for consumers in Europe and most of Asia, said Alexander Blanton , an analyst with Ingalls & Snyder LLC in New York. ‘Competitive Pricing’ Caterpillar, the world’s largest maker of bulldozers and excavators, made 61 percent of its sales outside of North America last year, according to its 2008 annual report. “They benefit in terms of competitive pricing,” Blanton said. “When the dollar is weak people find it easier to buy their equipment versus the competition.” Analysts predict the euro will trade at $1.50 at the end of the fourth quarter as well as at the end of the first quarter of 2010, according to the median of 49 estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The average was $1.32 in the fourth quarter last year and $1.31 in the first quarter this year. PPG, the world’s second-biggest paint maker, made 55 percent of its 2008 revenue outside of the U.S. last year, up from 34 percent in 2002, according to company filings . Currency swings cut Pittsburgh-based PPG’s third-quarter earnings by $11 million from a year ago, or 4 cents a share, Bunch said. “Using today’s rates, currency would turn into a tailwind in the fourth quarter,” said Bunch. ‘Welcome Change’ The Dollar Index , used by InterContinental Exchange Inc. to measure the U.S. currency against the euro, pound, yen, Swedish krona, Canadian dollar and Swiss franc, has lost 6 percent this year. It rose 6 percent in 2008 as investors bought dollar assets such as Treasuries as a haven from the financial crisis. The weaker dollar is a “welcome change” after currency changes trimmed profit by 22 cents a share in the first nine months, Peter Bensen , chief financial officer of Oak Brook, Illinois-based McDonald’s, said on an Oct. 22 conference call. McDonald’s, which gets almost two-thirds of revenue from outside the U.S., said currency translation will add about 6 cents a share to fourth-quarter earnings. “The weaker dollar should certainly help them,” said Jack Russo , an analyst with Edward Jones & Co. in St. Louis, who recommends holding McDonald’s stock. “The reversal would be a nice cushion for them, especially since the fast-food environment is likely to be tough again next year.” Currency Tailwind Philip Morris International Inc. , the world’s largest publicly traded tobacco company whose brands include Marlboro, expects “a more favorable currency environment” this quarter, said Chief Financial Officer Hermann Waldemer . The New York-based company makes all of its sales outside the U.S. The currency impact, along with stronger sales, enabled it to raise its full-year earnings forecast to $3.20 to $3.25 a share, from an earlier projection of as much as $3.20. At current exchange rates, it will be a “tailwind” next year, Waldemer said in an Oct. 22 conference call. Foreign exchange, combined with a recovery in markets outside the U.S., will also help White Plains, New York-based Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide Inc. , the owner of luxury brands including the St. Regis and W hotels, according to Vasant Prabhu , its chief financial officer. Currency changes will add 200 basis points to revenue per available room in dollars this quarter and into 2010, he said on an Oct. 22 conference call. Corporations won’t be the only ones to get a break from the weakening dollar. Tourism is getting some relief as well as foreign shoppers with stronger currencies travel to cities such as New York to seek bargains. New York Tourism “The weak dollar is an additional factor to why people are coming to New York City at this time, but it’s just one of the factors,” said George Fertitta , head of the city’s marketing and tourism organization. So far, the currency weakness hasn’t attracted as many bargain-seekers as in 2007, when the city took out advertisements in the U.K. that said “Shop While the Dollar Drops,” according to Fertitta. “If we see that sustained dip in the value of the dollar, we’ll be doing that as well,” he said in a telephone interview. The number of foreign visitors , excluding those from Canada and Mexico, rose to 25.3 million last year from 23.9 million a year earlier, according to the Washington-based U.S. Travel Association. McDonald’s fell 38 cents to $58.64 yesterday in New York Stock Exchange composite trading and has declined 5.7 percent this year. Caterpillar, up 22 percent this year, dropped $2.26 to $54.43, and Philip Morris , up 13 percent this year, rose 5 cents to $48.96. PPG fell $1.75 to $57.25 and has gained 35 percent this year. United Technologies, based in Hartford, Connecticut, up 17 percent this year, fell $1.48 to $62.61. U.S. Retailers The impact of a weaker dollar on U.S. retailers may be mitigated because they have long-term purchase contracts in dollars for the merchandise they import, said Colin McGranahan , a retail analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. in New York. “A weak dollar is modestly favorable in the near term because of the overseas operations,” he said. “The longer term repercussions are mixed because of sourcing product.” Energy and commodity companies benefit from the weakening dollar as oil, natural gas, copper and other commodity prices rise, said Chadha of Deutsche Bank. Crude oil in New York reached a one-year high of $81.37 on Oct. 21. Copper rose to a 13-month high on the same day. Any benefit can turn negative if the currency drops to the point of driving up U.S. gasoline prices, crimping spending and stalling a consumer recovery, Chadha said. Higher energy and commodity costs can also offset the gains on currency changes, said Hayes of United Technologies, which got more than 60 percent of its 2008 revenue outside the U.S. “The dollar weakness, although it’s good on the translation side, it doesn’t necessarily help on the cost input side,” Hayes said. “So I would just be cautious about taking all of this good news from currency to the bank for next year.” To contact the reporters on this story: Thomas Black in Monterrey at tblack@bloomberg.net ;

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Frost & Sullivan: Growing Healthcare Tourism in Malaysia

August 26, 2009

Frost & Sullivan: Growing Healthcare Tourism in Malaysia

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