treasury

Art Levine: Showdown in DC: Protests Mounting Over Looming Sell-Out on Foreclosure Fraud Deal

March 4, 2011

Led by Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, who has apparently abandoned promises to put bank officials in jail , dozens of state officials from around the country are meeting in Washington next week to finalize a multibillion-dollar settlement with bank executives for allegedly widespread mortgage and foreclosure abuses. But with two million homeowners already evicted and five million more facing foreclosure this year, advocacy and policy groups, including BanksterUSA and the National People’s Action

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FOREX: Yen Slumps as US Treasury Yields Rise with Risk Appetite

March 1, 2011

FOREX: Yen Slumps as US Treasury Yields Rise with Risk Appetite

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Treasury: $30 Billion In Libyan Assets Frozen

February 28, 2011

WASHINGTON — The Treasury Department says that at least $30 billion in Libyan assets have been frozen since President Barack Obama imposed sanctions on Libya last week. David Cohen, Treasury’s acting undersecretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said that the $30 billion represented the largest amount ever frozen by a U.S. sanctions order. He said that there had been no evidence that Moammar Gadhafi or agents working on his behalf had tried to withdraw funds before the sanctions order went into effect. Cohen, speaking to reporters on a conference call Monday, refused to provide any details on how many U.S. financial institutions held the Libyan assets or how the money was divided between Gadhafi and his family and the country’s sovereign wealth fund.

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Pat Choate: The Back Room Politics of Patent Reform

February 28, 2011

President Obama took a political swing through the Western United States in mid-February and was a guest of Intel and several other Big Tech corporations. On February 18, he went to an Intel facility and spoke with the employees about what his Administration is doing about “Winning the Future.” He could not have chosen a more fitting venue. Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore, two brilliant engineers, founded Intel in the summer of 1968. The third employee was Andrew Grove, who served as the corporate manager. Noyce and Moore created innovations in the semiconductor field that led to the creation of an entire industry. Today, that little Silicon Valley start-up has grown into a company that does business in 50 nations and employs almost 80,000 people, half of whom work inside the United States. As President Obama noted, Intel is a dynamic corporate citizen in the communities where it operates, providing education to its workers and assisting in local projects. As a start-up, Intel lacked the capital of competitors such as IBM, Motorola and Japanese manufacturers. What they did possess were unique inventions, patents and the protections provided by the U.S. Constitution – that is, their patent rights and the means to defend them in the federal courts. Amazingly, Intel is among a handful of Big Tech corporations, including IBM and Cisco, which are lobbying the President and Congress to weaken patent laws in a way that will make infringement of the patents owned by others easier and deny to others the same opportunity that they had. These companies use a business model termed “efficient infringement” by which they instruct their engineers to aggressively avoid doing a due diligence test as to whether the technology they are using is patented by others. The goal is to deniability in court whenever they are found to infringe and thus avoid paying the patent owner triple damages as current law provides. The draft legislation that these Big Tech corporations drafted and persuaded the Senate Judiciary Committee to adopt in early February 2011 would make America’s extraordinarily effective patent system more like that of Europe and Japan, which are structurally biased against small companies, entrepreneurs and inventors. Their legislation would grant a patent not to the person who invented the creation but to the first-inventor-to-file the application at the Patent Office. The presumption is that an invention can simultaneously have multiple inventors and the winner is the one who beats the clock and gets the stamp first. In practice, the existing U.S. patent system has no such problem determining who merits the patent. Of the more than 500,000 patent applications filed last year, there were only 47 contested patents as to who was the inventor. Moreover, the Patent Office has a well-oiled process to make that determination. The real goal of this change is to take away what is known as the “grace period” – the one year prior to filing a patent application that inventors can use to reveal their secrets to potential investors and partners without worrying about their disclosures making their creation a “prior art” that is ineligible for a patent. This exists no where else and gives American inventors an advantage in their home country. After stripping away this provision with a globalized patent award standard, the Big Tech companies will then ask that patents granted in China, India, Japan and elsewhere automatically be adopted in the U.S., allowing them to accelerate their movement of R&D offshore. Indeed, this patent bill would do for the outsourcing of R&D jobs what NAFTA did for the outsourcing of manufacturing jobs. The bill would also create a new European-style post-grant challenge process to invalidate a patent. In Europe, competitors use this process to tie up new technology in long, expensive administrative law reviews. In effect, Intel and its corporate allies have climbed the economic ladder and reached success, but now it is trying to kick over the ladder for others. Without question, the U.S. Patent Office is in trouble . A third of its 6,000 examiners must work at home because the Agency lacks enough office space. The computers are so antiquated that many parts must be found on eBay because they are no longer produced. The turnover rate of employees is more than 30 percent annually. The backlog of applications is more than 700,000 and the Agency will receive more than 500,000 new ones this year. To make matters worse, the Agency relies on fees paid by patent owners for its revenues, but over the past decade Congress has diverted more than $800 million of those to the Treasury. If President Obama and the Congress want to create more dynamic companies such as Intel, then they must recognize that Intel’s advice on patents is short-sighted. The patent legislation that Intel, IBM and the other Big Tech corporations support will do nothing to cure the problems faced by the Patent Office. The smartest move that the President and Congress can do now towards “Winning the Future” is to (1) enact legislation that will stop the diversion of patent funds to the Treasury, (2) return to the Patent Office the $810 million that has been taken away, (3) reject the bill that Big Tech supports (S. 23), and (4) have Congress hold hearings on what really needs to be done so that constructive legislation can be introduced in early 2012.

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Tim Geithner’s Gamble

February 26, 2011

LOS ANGELES — In a recent interview, United States Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner laid out his view of the nature of world economic growth and the role of the US financial sector. It is a deeply disturbing vision, one that amounts to a huge, uninformed gamble with the future of the American economy — and that suggests that Geithner remains the senior public official worldwide who is most in thrall to the self-serving ideology of big banks.

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Obama’s Small Business Plan To Come Up Short, White House Concedes

February 15, 2011

NEW YORK — After spending much of last year relentlessly touting the benefits of a proposed $30 billion fund that would jumpstart bank lending to small businesses, the Obama administration forecasts the initiative will fall far short, spending just a little over half of the intended allotment, according to the White House’s spending plan for 2012. The proposal, known as the Small Business Lending Fund, originally would have taken $30 billion from the Troubled Asset Relief Program and diverted it to smaller banks. The move was supposed to stimulate lending by lowering the cost of funds as loan totals rise. The more a bank lends, the cheaper the funds become. The program has faced an uphill climb. Banks are wary of taking government funds for fear of after-the-fact program changes; demand for loans remains tepid; and there’s no guarantee banks would lend the money once they receive it. The White House spending plan for next year reflects those challenges. The administration projects it will allocate just $17.4 billion of the funds, or just 58 percent of its original goal. All of the money will be disbursed by Sept. 30, according to Treasury Department projections released Monday. The proposal was a centerpiece of the administration’s pre-election plans to boost small businesses, which have been among the hardest-hit sectors since the onset of the financial crisis. Unlike large corporations, small businesses don’t have access to the capital markets. They don’t issue debt to investors nor do they raise capital on stock exchanges. Instead, they rely on banks for their funding. Small community lenders and regional banks are their primary source of credit. But bank lending froze as consumer spending fell, business investment slowed and banks faced growing losses on bad loans. Inside the Treasury Department, a small team worked to counter the slowdown. By January of last year, Obama was able to pitch the plan that would help smaller firms get credit and help stabilize small lenders. The plan was to inject taxpayer funds into community banks in hopes they’d lend it to small businesses. It worked like TARP: Banks borrow cash from Treasury, and pay a small fee for the privilege. The program, though, was limited to banks with less than $10 billion in assets. Republican critics derided it as “TARP 2.0,” or a reincarnation of the deeply unpopular bank bailout. In fact, banks in TARP can refinance out of the program and into this new one, escaping the restrictions that accompanied TARP like limits on executive compensation. Administration officials and Democrats in Congress, though, pitched it as much-needed help for small businesses. The administration spent nine months pounding Republicans for their objections to the proposal. Last September, a little over a month to the election, Obama signed it into law. During a speech last March to economists in Washington, Christina D. Romer, the then-chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said the $30 billion fund “will translate into several times that amount of additional lending and could help create hundreds of thousands of new jobs.” Based on administration projections released Monday, it’s unclear whether the fund will achieve its original objectives. The White House declined to comment. Officials insist they have $30 billion to lend. The Treasury Department is in the midst of trying to sign up banks for the fund, but bankers have said they’re reluctant to accept any more taxpayer money. Meanwhile, the government watchdog overseeing the bailout, the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, said earlier this month it would immediately audit the program. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is a business reporter for The Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

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Top Government Watchdog Stepping Down

February 14, 2011

WASHINGTON — The government’s top watchdog over the $700 billion financial bailout said Monday that he will step down next month, after leading an office that uncovered millions of dollars in fraud among potential recipients. Neil Barofsky said in a letter to President Barack Obama that he will leave this job as special inspector general for the Troubled Asset Relief Program on March 30. A spokeswoman says Barofsky believes the office met the goals that he laid out for it: deterring fraud, improving transparency and overseeing the government’s management of the bailouts. Barofsky led investigations that resulted in 14 criminal fraud convictions of bankers. The office’s enforcement staff followed leads from a tip line Barofsky set up and from banks’ applications for bailout money. It was the only watchdog overseeing the bailout that had law enforcement authority. His office saved taxpayers $553 million by recognizing fraud at Colonial Bank and halting the Treasury Department’s plan to send the bank money. Colonial collapsed months later. It was the sixth-largest U.S. bank failure. Barofsky criticized both the Obama and Bush administration. He blasted Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and his predecessor, Henry Paulson, in a series of audits of the bailout fund, which was created by Congress in October 2008. The audits examined issues such as Geithner’s role in the rescue of American International Group Inc. and the department’s decision to close of thousands of auto dealers. Barofsky’s audits often prodded Treasury to make its bailout decisions more transparently. The office also grabbed headlines during the crisis by emphasizing the worst-possible outcomes of decisions that it criticized. For example, Barofsky wrote in mid-2009 that the government’s support programs totaled $23.7 trillion. That number represents the maximum size of 50 separate programs related to the crisis and the recession. It was not an estimate of possible losses. White House spokeswoman Amy Brundage said in a statement that Barofksy “provided strong oversight of the TARP program for the past two years.” “We are grateful for Mr. Barofsky’s service,” she said. Barofsky’s spokeswoman said Barofsky’s top deputy, Christy Romero, will become acting special inspector general next month. Romero formerly was an enforcement lawyer with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Barofsky is a former federal prosecutor who was nominated by President George W. Bush in November 2008. He was confirmed unanimously by the Senate the following month.

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Bernanke Responds To GOP Grilling On Inflation

February 9, 2011

WASHINGTON — Members of Congress sharply questioned Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke Wednesday over whether the Fed’s policies are raising the risk of higher inflation in the months ahead. House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, R-Wis., said he is concerned that the Fed won’t be able to detect inflation until “the cow is out of the barn” and inflation is already spreading dangerously through the economy. Bernanke acknowledged that inflation is surging in emerging economies. But he downplayed the risks to the U.S. economy, even as lawmakers expressed concerns about rising gasoline and food prices. Inflation in the United States remains “quite low,” Bernanke said. He blamed higher prices on strong demand from fast-growing countries such as China_ not the Fed’s policies to stimulate the economy, including buying $600 billion worth of Treasury debt. Bernanke’s remarks suggest the Fed will stick with the bond-buying plan through June, as scheduled. The program is aimed at invigorating the economy by lowering rates on loans and boosting prices on stocks. It was Bernanke’s first appearance before the House since Republicans took control last month. He faced tough questions from them, despite being a member of the party. Ryan worries that the Fed’s stimulus policies, including the debt purchases, could trigger inflation or fuel speculative buying of stocks or other assets. “Many of us fear monetary policy is on a difficult track,” Ryan said. Rep. Todd Rokita, R-Ind., seemed skeptical of the Fed’s ability to fend off inflation before it gets out of hand. In the Fed’s history, when did the Fed “get it right?” Rokita asked. Bernanke said former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker brought down double-digit inflation during the 1980s by pushing up interest rates to levels not seen since the Civil War. The Fed chief said he was confident the Fed has the political will to boost interest rates and snuff out inflationary forces before they take hold. Bernanke did acknowledge that rising gas prices are a threat to the economy. Prices have been around $3 a gallon nationally. If they were to go above $4 a gallon, that would “take a significant amount of disposable income away from people,” he said. Still, Bernanke defended the bond-purchase program. He said it is needed to ease high unemployment and credited all the Fed’s stimulus policies with creating or saving 3 million jobs over the past several years. The unemployment rate was 9 percent in January after the fastest two-month decline in 53 years. Bernanke said the drop is encouraging but cautioned that it will take four or five years for hiring to return to normal – around 5 percent or 6 percent. He said the economic recovery won’t be assured until companies step up hiring on a consistent basis. Ryan and Bernanke agreed that Congress and the White House must have a plan to reduce the government’s $1 trillion-plus deficits. Ryan favors budget cuts to get the deficits under control. Bernanke didn’t endorse any specific policies on deficit-cutting. He said lawmakers should hold off on spending cuts or tax increases until the economy is in better shape. Bernanke again warned Republicans that they shouldn’t play political games with the Treasury Department’s request to raise the government borrowing authority. Treasury has asked to raise the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling. House Republicans have vowed to make deep spending cuts a precondition. “We do not want to default on our debts. It would be very destructive,” Bernanke said. At the same time Bernanke was testifying, Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, held a hearing on whether the Fed’s bond-buying program and record-low interest rates can really help create jobs. Paul, an outspoken critic of the central bank, favors abolishing the Fed. Lawmakers at that hearing also expressed concerns that the Fed’s policies will spur inflation. “If the Fed didn’t see this mess coming, will they see the recovery starting in time to turn off the printing presses to stop inflation,” asked Rep. Frank Lucas, R-Okla. “I am not sure their vision in the future will be any better than in the past.” ___ AP Economics Writer Martin Crutsinger contributed to this report.

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U.S Treasury Department: China did not manipulate currency in 2010

February 7, 2011

U.S Treasury Department: China did not manipulate currency in 2010

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Robert Lenzner: JP Morgan May Be Complicit in Madoff Scam

February 4, 2011

JP Morgan could be “complicit”, i.e. aiding and abetting the Madoff Ponzi scheme, by omission — that is not fulfilling its duty as a fiduciary — as well as by commission, according to white collar lawyers I have consulted today. It did not have to be an active partner in the Ponzi Scheme to be found guilty of a civil liability, lawyers say. Rather, the bank’s omission would be ignoring several red flags — troublesome signs of potential fraud — and never investigating their accuracy or meaning. The bank did not fulfill its requirement to investigate Madoff fully and so could be found to be compliant in the scam. Nevertheless, JPM denies being a party to the fraud and tries to defend its role by insisting that Madoff was not a major client of the bank. It apparently received many signs of trouble, but generally ignored or neglected these signs, according to the complaint filed yesterday. The suit alleges that JP Morgan earned approximately $500 million from servicing Madoff. There were numerable red flags, starting in 2002, that the bank never sought to pin down. Once the bank believed that Madoff’s performance figures were not possible in 2002, when the stock market was down 30%, JP Morgan Chase had a duty to cease its banking services and report Madoff to the authorities, some lawyers believe. JP Morgan, which was Madoff’s main banker, never investigated the reasons for hundreds of millions of dollars being transferred from Madoff’s account in New York to one in London — and then back to New York again. At the very least, JP Morgan was lax in not reporting these movements of cash to authorities under the requirements of regulations covering the issue of money laundering, say lawyers. In another instance, there were serious doubts about the due diligence done by a feeder fund to Madoff’s operation. In other words, the nation’s second largest bank, heretofore relatively unscathed, may be forced to settle the $6.4 billion suit brought against it by the bankruptcy trustee for Madoff’s firm, Irving Picard. In fact, it was not until 2008 — several months before Madoff came clean about the scam, that JP Morgan told Britain’s Organized Crime Agency that Madoff’s investment performance appeared to be “too good to be true.” This move came only after a bank employee in London had been threatened with physical injury by an officer of Swiss-based feeder fund Aurelia, who was trying to withdraw money from the Madoff fund in London. That is a shockingly long time for the bank to wait before informing the authorities. Mind you, JP Morgan did not then or any other time inform either the SEC, the Justice Department or the Treasury about its suspicions about Madoff. Not a particularly impressive performance by the House of Morgan. Better clean house of those patsies, Jamie.

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U.S. Will Hit Debt Limit In April/May, Treasury Says

February 2, 2011

WASHINGTON (By David Lawder) – The United States will hit a $14.3 trillion statutory limit on its debt slightly later than previously estimated, the Treasury said on Wednesday as it unveiled a still-hefty debt auction schedule. Treasury officials said the limit would now be hit between April 5 and May 31, versus a previous estimate of end-March to mid-May. The later time frame reflected an upward revision to estimates of tax receipts and a downward revision to projected borrowing from the Social Security and Medicare trust funds. The officials said they were proceeding with borrowing plans under the assumption Congress will raise the limit without a protracted battle, an assumption financial markets share. How much it should be raised is a question for Congress, they said. “We do not have a have particular figure that we have put to Congress. That is their prerogative to offer that,” Mary Miller, Treasury assistant secretary for financial markets, told a news conference. If Congress does not raise the limit in a timely way, the government could be forced to scale back operations. A failure to lift the limit could raise the specter of a first-ever U.S. debt default and push up interest rates sharply. Financial markets have not yet shown any nervousness over the debt limit, which has typically been raised after political grumbling. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday as higher oil prices fueled inflation concerns, but the 10-year note remained below 3.5 percent resistance level. Still, there will be political skirmishes along the way. A number of Republican lawmakers have raised opposition to increasing the limit without significant concessions on spending cuts from the Obama administration. A contentious debate is expected after the White House unveils its proposed fiscal 2012 budget later this month. “Given the history of debt limit fights, brinkmanship will rule the day, and nothing of significance will happen in February,” said Pierpont Securities analyst Stephen Stanley adding that a resolution could drag out “to the bitter end.” Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad said the delay in hitting the debt limit buys more time for Congress to reach consensus on a plan to control long-term deficits — a complex and difficult task. “The increase in the debt limit, the amount of it, is much less important to me than having a plan that over time brings down this debt,” Conrad, a Democrat from North Dakota, told reporters. “That to me is the key.” EMERGENCY ACTION The Treasury can take special measures such as dipping into government pension funds, to delay hitting the limit by up to another eight weeks, potentially pushing the day of reckoning into July. It plans to provide a new estimate on the timing at the start of every month. It already has begun to draw down a $200 billion Federal Reserve supplementary financing account, and Miller said the next step would be to halt issuance of debt to state and local governments, which has totaled $36.4 billion since October. Treasury’s Miller said the government had no plans to selectively cut or delay payments to employees or contractors . That “would in a sense be defaulting on our obligations, so it’s not a path that we want to go down,” she said. She added that accelerating sales of assets held by the government, such as shares in bailed-out companies or mortgage-backed securities, was also not an option that Treasury wanted to consider. On Monday, the Treasury slashed its borrowing estimate for the current quarter by $194 billion due to the drawdown of the Fed account. But overall, it said spending needs are increasing due to the recently enacted package of extended tax cuts and unemployment benefits. The Congressional Budget Office last week estimated a record $1.48 trillion for fiscal 2011, up from $1.29 trillion last year. The Treasury said it intends to meet this funding increase through a rise in short-term bill auction sizes, while keeping longer-term note and bond auctions steady at current levels. As expected, the Treasury announced a $72 billion refunding of its maturing 3-year, 10-year and 30-year debt, unchanged from the last refunding in April. The auctions will raise about $50.2 billion in new cash. The Treasury also disclosed that it had discussed with big bond dealers the possibility of an “ultra-long” bond with a maturity of 40, 50, or 100 years, as one of several options to broaden the investor base for Treasury debt. Miller said no decisions on this front were imminent. (Additional reporting by Rachelle Younglai; Editing by Andrea Ricci and Andrew Hay) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Eric Schurenberg: Can We Please Stop Talking About the Social Security Trust Fund?

January 31, 2011

Nothing get clicks from seniors like a scary story about Social Security, and the Associate Press supplied a real granny-grabber last week: ” Social Security on Pace to be Drained by 2037 .” Hyper-ventilating off on a new report from the Congressional Budget Office , the headline managed to seize a topic of key interest and entirely miss the point. To understand what’s wrong with such a headline, you need to grasp one fact: Social Security is, ultimately, just another pay as you go government transfer program. That is, we tax Peter to pay Paul. The Treasury raises money with taxes and debt and distributes some of it to seniors, survivors, and disabled people according to formulas embedded in the Social Security law. Your benefits are safe as long as voters agree that transferring that much money to seniors is better than transferring it elsewhere, or letting taxpayers keep it. Simple. What makes it seem complicated is that Uncle Sam’s accountants treat Social Security like a closed ecosystem. Unlike other government programs, it has its own tax — this year a 10.4% slice of your wages (4.2% from you and 6.2% from your employer) officially called the FICA tax-and every year the Social Security trustees estimate how long the system’s inflows from FICA and other revenues will cover its outflows. But where the system really turns murky is with the trillion-dollar Social Security trust fund , an accounting phantom that has launched a thousand half-cocked headlines like AP’s. Social Security experts like Eugene Steuerle of the Urban Institute regard it as a trillion-dollar distraction. “I try to avoid the trust fund debate,” he writes in an email. “Social Security is mainly a pay-as-you-go system.” There is a massive trust fund — and this is one case where your definition of “is” really matters — only because FICA has pulled in much more than Social Security needed for the past 27 years. The government treated the FICA surplus the same way it treats all tax revenue: It spent it on aircraft carriers, interest on the debt, haircuts for Congressmen, and all the other purposes of government. The surplus, along with imputed interest, is recorded on the government’s ledgers. That ledger entry is the trust fund. What does the trust fund do? The Social Security Administration itself describes it as ” budget authority .” That is, until the fund runs out, the program can order the Treasury to come up with the money to pay benefits, even if FICA taxes don’t cover benefits (and they don’t, starting this year), without asking Congress for more money. What the trust fund doesn’t do is change how the Treasury pays for benefits: Trust fund or no trust fund, we still have to tax Peter to pay benefits to Paul. If Peter’s FICA taxes don’t cover Paul’s benefits, the shortfall has be made up out of Peter’s other taxes, or by borrowing. All that matters is how much we want to support seniors, not whether government accountants say the trust fund is a $2.6 trillion or 50 cents. In the kind of Social Security post you should pay attention to, “The Truth about Social Security Cuts” CBS MoneyWatch writer Carla Fried argues persuasively that voters (including most Tea Party members) support Social Security so strongly that benefits are in zero danger in the short run. Certainly, no politician has enough of a career death wish to propose stiffing anyone now retired or even within 10 years of retirement. The question anyone younger than 50 needs to ask is, how long will that popularity last? At some point, as the population ages and seniors absorb an ever larger share of spending — not just in Social Security, but also in Medicare and Medicaid — voters may simply choke on elderly entitlements. (Remember at that point we may simultaneously be choking on interest payments on the debt.) Ironically, the best way to protect benefits for younger workers today is to embrace gradual changes in the program starting today — thus avoiding more draconian cuts in a crisis a decade or more hence. In the meantime, forget about when the Social Security trust fund will be “drained.” Indeed, forget about the trust fund altogether. It’s irrelevant. As with all the fiscal challenges we face, Social Security’s biggest risk is failure of political will. There’s no trust fund for that.

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Forex Correlations Show Japanese Yen Closely Linked to US Treasury Yields

January 25, 2011

Forex Correlations Show Japanese Yen Closely Linked to US Treasury Yields

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AIG’s CEO To Stay On Despite Cancer

January 24, 2011

BOSTON — American International Group Inc. said Monday that CEO and President Robert Benmosche is healthy enough to remain in his leadership post as he continues undergoing treatment for cancer. Monday’s announcement came three months after the New York insurance company said Benmosche had been diagnosed with cancer and was undergoing aggressive chemotherapy. The company has not specified what kind of cancer Benmosche has. The 66-year-old said in a news release Monday that doctors have given him “an encouraging prognosis,” and that he feels “good.” Since he has responded well to treatment, Benmosche said his doctors “believe I can continue to apply the same commitment and energy to AIG over the next 12 to 18 months.” Benmosche said it’s likely he’ll return to his retirement in 2012. He initially retired in 2006 after leading insurance company MetLife Inc., but was recruited to lead New York-based AIG in August 2009. He replaced Edward Liddy, a former Allstate Corp. CEO who was appointed to lead AIG in September 2008 in connection with the company’s federal bailout. Benmosche has led AIG’s efforts to repay the $182 billion bailout, which pulled the company from the brink of bankruptcy. Earlier this month, that rescue came closer to an end as AIG paid its $21 billion outstanding balance to the New York branch of the Federal Reserve. AIG also converted preferred stock owned by the Treasury Department into more than 1.6 billion shares of common stock that can be sold on the open market. The government will wind down its largest and most complex rescue from the financial crisis by selling stock over the next two years. AIG first announced its repayment plan in September. Since then, the company has worked to raise cash to pay back the government by selling parts of itself around the world. AIG gave an update on Benmosche’s health after the market closed Monday. Its shares fell $1.05, or 2.4 percent, to close at $41.95. The stock added 29 cents to $42.24 in after-hours trading. AIG also said on Monday that its board has agreed that its contingency plan to potentially replace Benmosche remains unchanged. On Oct. 27, two days after announcing Benmosche’s illness, AIG said that if he became unwilling or unable to continue, current Chairman Robert Miller would step in as interim CEO until a permanent replacement for Benmosche is found.

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Video: Coronado Says Rate Increase by Fed Is Still `A Ways Off’: Video

January 21, 2011

Jan. 21 (Bloomberg) — Julia Coronado, chief economist for North America at BNP Paribas, and Michael Cloherty, head of U.S. interest-rate strategy for fixed income and currencies at RBC Capital Markets, talk about the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy. Coronado and Cloherty also discuss the U.S. budget deficit, economy and Treasury market. They talk with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Should Foreclosed Borrowers Be Able To Rent Their Old Homes?

January 20, 2011

This post has been updated On Wednesday, the New York Times published an op-ed by the former mayor of Greenport, N.Y., David E. Kapell, with a powerful suggestion for helping struggling homeowners and fixing the mortgage crisis. But according to officials at Treasury and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, the idea won’t be in the works any time soon, if ever. The program proposed by Kapell, also referred to as the “Right to Rent” suggests instead of booting homeowners facing foreclosure out onto the street, they should be allowed to stay in their houses — as renters. The program, proposed by economist Dean Baker, poses the question: If structured bankruptcy was possible for the American automobile industry and those big banks, why not American homeowners? Kapell lays out how it would work: The borrower would lose ownership of his home, but be allowed to remain as a tenant paying fair rent for a reasonable period after foreclosure, with the requirement that he cooperate in the foreclosure. He’d pay fair market rents as published by the federal government, ensuring a clear, national standard. If the borrower couldn’t afford to pay market rent, existing federal rent-subsidy programs could be extended to help tide him over. He concludes with a plea to the administration: “Congress has done a good job of saving big business with structured bankruptcy plans. Now it must to use the same tool to save American homeowners.” At the moment, though, it’s unclear whether or not a “right-to-rent” plan has enough support in Washington. “While we continue to review this concept, we have found several challenges that we believe would limit this type of assistance from making any significant impact in the market,” David Stevens, Federal Housing Administration Commissioner, wrote in an email. “Although we are not currently pursuing this option, the Obama Administration continues to work toward reforming the housing finance system and the mortgage servicing system in a way that puts consumers first and helps keep more Americans in their homes.” The Obama administration’s signature anti-foreclosure effort — HAMP — has been roundly regarded as a failure. As the Huffington Post reported last October: “Far from helping at-risk homeowners, the Home Affordable Modification Program has actually made some homeowners worse off, according to the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program — also known as the Wall Street bailout. The Treasury Department set aside $50 billion from TARP, plus another $25 billion from taxpayer-owned Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, to give mortgage servicers thousand-dollar incentives to reduce monthly mortgage payments by modifying eligible homeowners’ loans. But more people have been bounced from the program than have been helped by it.” “Treasury supports alternatives that provide a graceful exit for homeowers who have experienced a hardship and cannot continue to support their mortgage,” U.S. Treasury Department spokeswoman Andrea Risotto wrote in an email, citing programs such as “the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) Program which provides options for homeowners looking for a short sale or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure.” Risotto wouldn’t say what she thought of the “right-to-rent” program in particular, noting only that while the Treasury supports helping struggling homeowners, “we need to stop short of saying we would support this in particular given that we don’t have enough information one way or the other.” A senior administration official listed several key obstacles to right-to-rent: concerns about the landlord role that banks would be required to play, difficult accounting implications, and the payment gap between the mortgage payments and rent imposed through the settlement process. In short, it’s unclear who would take the losses in such a program. The official also mentioned the potential moral hazard involved where borrowers might chose to get out of debt because they know they would be able to stay in their homes. But as Kapell wrote, this last excuse is tired: “Any effort to help homeowners by forgiving some of their loans is said to create a moral hazard, rendering it politically toxic. But without help, homeowners continue to struggle, foreclosures continue to mount and the housing industry continues to drag down the economy.” Correction: a previous version of this post mistated Risotto’s words. She was referring to HASA, the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program which provides options for homeowners looking for a short sale or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, instead of HAMP, the Home Affordable Modification Program which is set up to help eligible home owners with loan modifications on their home mortgage debt

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Simon Johnson: Regulators’ ‘Tunnel Vision’ Allowing Big Banks To Get Bigger

January 20, 2011

As required by the Dodd-Frank financial regulation legislation (in section 123), Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, as chairman of the Financial Stability Oversight Council, has released an assessment on the costs and benefits of potentially limiting the size of banks and other financial institutions.

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Key Senator Urges Obama To Push Foreclosure Relief

January 20, 2011

WASHINGTON — Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.) is urging President Barack Obama to pledge a new round of foreclosure relief during his State of the Union address next week. In a letter to the president obtained by The Huffington Post, Merkley said the administration’s current anti-foreclosure programs have proven woefully inadequate, and pushed for a more thorough program to keep families in their homes. “A record one million families lost their home to foreclosure last year,” Merkley wrote. “Next week, Mr. President, you will have the attention of the nation. I urge you to use this opportunity to renew efforts to tackle the national foreclosure crisis.” Merkley’s call for presidential leadership on foreclosures comes as infighting among federal regulators appears to have stalled out key reforms to the bank divisions that work with troubled borrowers and process foreclosures. The FDIC has been pushing to impose new requirements on the operations of those divisions, which are known as mortgage servicers. The agency has been engaged in heated negotiations with other regulators at the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). According to a source familiar with the negotiations, the Fed had initially opposed the plan, but agreed to support the rules after a few weeks of negotiations. The OCC, however, which is currently responsible for regulating the largest mortgage servicers — Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Citigroup — has resisted those rules. The OCC has never publicly sanctioned a mortgage servicer, despite widespread court findings of servicer fraud in the foreclosure process. The Treasury Department, which had supported the new rules, had expected an agreement between agencies by Friday, Jan. 14, according to a spokesman. That anticipated agreement has not yet come to fruition. But Treasury itself is engaged in a delicate dance on foreclosure policy — defending the foreclosure prevention program criticized by Merkley, even as it urges sweeping reform of the bank divisions that participate in that program. “The goal of the [Home Affordable Modification Program] was to prevent three to four million foreclosures,” Merkley wrote, “but to date, fewer than 600,000 homowners have been approved.” Merkley is a persistent advocate for financial reform, and co-authored a key provision of last year’s Wall Street overhaul legislation known as the Volcker Rule, which bars banks from speculating with taxpayer money. At a Wednesday meeting of the Mortgage Bankers Association, Cindy Gertz, Treasury’s Director of Operations for HAMP, praised the servicers involved in the Treasury plan, noting that they had ramped up staffing in order to deal with the foreclosure flood. Treasury spokeswoman Andrea Risotto told HuffPost that Gertz’s praise for servicers was restricted to HAMP, and not to any other servicer activities. But servicer abuses within HAMP have been widely documented, with borrowers frequently making good on loan modification arrangements only to be foreclosed on. Risotto noted that Treasury has a “compliance agent” that inspects servicers once a month to make sure banks are implementing the program correctly. Nevertheless, servicer employees have admitted to fraudulently robo-signing hundreds of foreclosure documents a day as a matter of ordinary procedure. Treasury has never sanctioned a servicer for violating HAMP rules, and maintains that it has no authority to do so, because the program is voluntary for banks. But as Treasury defends servicers with one hand, it is also demanding fundamental reform of the servicer industry with the other. On Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner called for an overhaul of the way servicers are paid, arguing that the status quo is a “broken” system. Regulatory agencies are debating whether to include standards for servicer conduct in new “skin-in-the-game” regulations for the mortgage bond market. The Wall Street overhaul legislation contains a provision requiring banks to retain at least five percent of the default risk whenever they sell mortgages off to investors. But there’s a key exception to the rule: for standardized, top-quality loans, banks will not have to retain any of the risk. The FDIC hopes that by including mortgage servicing rules in the definition of a standardized, top-quality mortgage, they can create a new gold standard for mortgage lending that is immune from current abuses. But these new regulations would only reform the way that servicers operate with regard to new mortgages. They will not help the millions of borrowers already trapped in unaffordable loans, nor will they provide a way to manage the widening gyre of fraud allegations and other improprieties that pose massive potential losses at the nation’s too-big-to-fail banks. In a speech Wednesday, FDIC Chair Sheila Bair warned, “Chaos in mortgage servicing and foreclosure is introducing a dangerous new uncertainty into this fragile market.” Bair suggested creating a foreclosure disaster fund akin to the BP oil spill fund that would compensate wronged homeowners and investors, while capping liabilities for big banks. Merkley wants to find a solution that deals with homeowners already facing foreclosure (and bank fraud). He’s pushing for a six-point program to overhaul the current foreclosure system, including new standards for servicer conduct and new legal mechanisms to provide debt relief to deserving families. Central to the program is a reform of the bankruptcy code, dubbed by Merkley as “lifeline bankruptcy reform.” Mortgages are currently excluded from the bankruptcy process, so even if borrowers declare bankruptcy — a process that is difficult to qualify for and comes with serious financial penalties — they cannot get debt relief on their mortgage. By making mortgages subject to renegotiation in bankruptcy under the supervision of a judge, Merkley hopes to establish a process that would allow borrowers to remain in their homes without simply granting a get-out-of-debt free card to everyone whose home value has declined since the collapse of the housing bubble. “This makes much more sense than paying for modifications,” economist Dean Baker, co-Director of the Center for Economic Policy and Research, told HuffPost. Under HAMP, the Treasury pays servicers $1,000 to implement each loan modification, plus an additional $1,000 for every year that borrowers keep paying on the modified loan. A similar program for farm loans was adopted during the mid-1980s and helped thousands of family farms avoid foreclosure, and a recent IMF report suggested bankruptcy reform as an effective solution to the U.S. mortgage mess. The same report found that the high rate of foreclosure may be responsible for between 1 percent and 1.25 percent of the U.S. unemployment rate, currently at 9.4 percent. Mortgage bankruptcy reform was endorsed by then-Sen. Barack Obama during his presidential campaign, but died in the Senate in Spring 2009 amid weak backing from President Obama. Senate Republicans, who pushed for bankruptcy to be the appropriate way to deal with faltering megabanks, did not believe that consumers should receive the same treatment. Several bank-friendly Democrats also opposed the bankruptcy overhaul, prompting Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) to fume that banks “frankly own the place,” referring to Congress. Merkley also calls for an end to the “dual-track” system, in which mortgage servicers begin the foreclosure process even as they negotiate loan modifications with troubled borrowers. The system allows banks to foreclose as quickly as possible if the modification falls through, but also leads to many unnecessary foreclosures as banks improperly continue with foreclosures on successful modifications. Merkley would also require servicers to establish a single individual to contact borrowers, preventing paperwork mix-ups and other bank confusion which lead to improper foreclosures, and establish an independent party to review whether banks have followed the rules on foreclosures. OCC policy already bans the dual-track system unless the process is required by mortgage bond agreements, but the OCC is yet to enforce that ban with any sanction against banks that violate it. The potential impact of other elements in Merkley’s plan is less clear. He would implement a “short-refinance” plan, which would allow homeowners who owe more on their loan than their house is worth to refinance into a new loan at the current value of their home. Government agencies would then pay the existing bank to expunge the remaining debt levels. But Baker was skeptical that such a program would be workable. With home prices down dramatically nationwide from their bubble-level peaks, even outright housing speculators will be sure to seek relief, triggering a government payout to the very banks who caused the problem by lending recklessly in the midst of a bubble. “There is not going to be any plausible means test that you can put in place that will prevent almost anyone in this situation from taking advantage of the opportunity,” Baker said. Merkley would also provide a $5,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers in an effort to boost home sales. But Baker said such an arrangement is unlikely to be an efficient mechanism to lift the struggling housing market.

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Hedge Fund Software Innovator HazelTree Fund Services Hires New CEO, Announces Funding

January 19, 2011

NEW YORK, NY–(Marketwire – January 19, 2011) – HazelTree Fund Services, Inc. announced the hiring of Stephen Casner as the company’s Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Casner joined the firm in 2010 and oversees all corporate functions with particular emphasis on the sales and implementation of the company’s next generation Treasury Management system www.hazeltree.com for hedge funds. 

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Chris Birk: Special Consumer Protection Agency to Safeguard U.S. Service Members

January 14, 2011

The fight against the financial exploitation of America’s service members got a huge boost last week with the unveiling of a new consumer protection arm for military families. The Office of Servicemember Affairs aims to increase financial education for military members and better monitor and respond to problems and complaints. Part of the recently created Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, this new military-focused agency will be headed by Holly Petraeus, wife of Gen. David Petraeus, current commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan. While it’s still taking shape, this new advocacy and awareness entity could significantly curb the unscrupulous lending practices and financial chicanery that impact scores of military families nationwide. Studies have shown military members are more likely to be financially overburdened than civilians. That leaves them vulnerable to sales pitches and advances from companies and individuals bent on taking advantage. “Those who serve in the military should be able to focus on their jobs and their families without having to worry about getting trapped by abusive financial practices,” Elizabeth Warren, special advisor to the Treasury secretary for the CFPB, wrote last week on The White House blog . “America’s national security depends on that basic premise.” Recent online surveys found that nearly 25 percent of enlisted personnel or junior NCOs had used payday loans, auto title loans or other high-cost borrowing practices in the last five years. More than half of respondents reported only making the minimum payment on credit cards, and nearly a third said they had made a late payment in the previous year. About 15 percent of those surveyed had both a mortgage and a credit card balance of at least $10,000. These issues are far from merely financial concerns. Money problems at home can weigh heavily on military members serving abroad and even affect mission readiness. Army Secretary John McHugh wrote about this in May in response to unscrupulous auto lenders targeting military members. Defense Department surveys consistently rank finances among the leading causes of stress for most military families. “Soldiers who are distracted by financial issues at home are not fully focused on fighting the enemy,” McHugh’s letter read in part. Service members sacrifice a great deal to keep America safe. They and their families should no longer have to battle craven financial predators at home.

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Michael Likosky: Top 5 to Watch in 2011: Infrastructure Leaders

December 31, 2010

1. Bellwether Members of Congress – Barbara Boxer (D-CA) Dave Camp (R-MI) Rosa DeLauro (D-CT) John Kerry (D-MA) John Mica (R-FL) 2. Bellwether Governors – Jerry Brown (D-CA) Andrew Cuomo (D-NY) Nathan Deal (R-GA) John Hickenlooper (D-CO) Rick Perry (R-TX) Rick Scott (R-FL) 3. Bellwether Mayors and Mayoral Candidate – Michael Bloomberg (I-NYC) Rahm Emanuel (D-Chicago-Candidate) Antonio Villaraigosa (D-Los Angeles) 4. Bellwether Federal Institutions National Infrastructure Bank (proposed) Department of Commerce Department of Energy Department of Homeland Security Department of Transportation Department of the Treasury Environmental Protection Agency 5. Bellwether Leaders: Sung and Unsung President Barack Obama Governor Ed Rendell (D-PA) Representative Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-CA)

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Robert Gibbs: Larry Summers Replacement Could Come Mid-January

December 26, 2010

WASHINGTON — Don’t look for any big changes in President Barack Obama’s Cabinet as the new year gets under way. The president’s press secretary, Robert Gibbs, tells CNN’s “State of the Union” that he doesn’t expect any major shuffling to take place in the Cabinet. Gibbs says that there’s much work yet to be done at the Treasury Department to implement financial reform and at the Health and Human Services Department to implement health care reform. He calls the president’s team “very talented.” Obama’s top economic adviser, Lawrence Summers, had been expected to depart the administration last fall. Gibbs says he thinks Obama will name Summers’ replacement a week or two after the new Congress convenes. CNN’s interview with Gibbs aired Sunday.

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Hedge Funds May Skirt Direct Fed Security

December 20, 2010

WASHINGTON (By Rachelle Younglai and Dave Clarke) – The Federal Reserve does not believe any one hedge fund can topple the financial system and therefore the private pools of capital may escape direct supervision by the central bank, an industry source familiar with the Fed’s position said. The newly created Financial Stability Oversight Council, which includes the Treasury secretary and 14 U.S. supervisors, including the Fed, are in the early stages of determining which non-bank firms pose a threat to the financial system. Firms labeled as “systemically important” will be subject to rigorous oversight by the Fed but will also have access to the central bank’s emergency lending facilities. The indication that hedge funds might escape this designation is sure to send a huge sigh of relief through the $1.7 trillion industry, which has long avoided the tighter controls imposed on mutual funds, for example. In exchange for looser regulations, hedge fund firms promise to allow only wealthy and sophisticated investors like pension funds and endowments into their portfolios. The Fed’s view will carry considerable weight among the Financial Stability Oversight Council, which was created by the Dodd-Frank legislation to monitor risks to the financial system in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 credit crisis. The source said the Fed does not think any one hedge fund can be “systemically important” but believes that information about the funds’ positions could give the council insight into potential risks. The source requested anonymity while discussing talks held with the Fed. The Fed did not immediately return a call seeking comment. INDUSTRY SAYS NO Already a number of financial industry firms, ranging from insurers to mutual funds, are trying to convince regulators they are do not pose a threat. Mutual funds tend to manage much more money than hedge funds. The world’s biggest mutual fund, Pimco Total Return Fund, managed by Bill Gross, oversees $250 billion. By comparison, John Paulson’s hedge fund firm Paulson & Co, ranked among the world’s largest hedge funds, oversees about $30 billion. The Managed Funds Association, which lobbies for the hedge fund industry, argues that individual funds do not pose a systemic risk. It told regulators that the industry made risk management changes after the 1998 collapse of Long-Term Capital Management roiled financial markets and prompted a bailout by other industry players at the urging of the Clinton administration. “The resulting changes may be one of the reasons that hedge funds were not the focus of the recent global financial crisis,” the group said in a November 5 letter to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, who chairs the Financial Stability Oversight Council. The council, which also includes the heads of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, is seeking input on what criteria to use to decide which non-bank firms and clearinghouses should be considered “systemically important.” It is unclear when they will start designating firms. NEW RULES FOR HEDGE FUNDS ANYWAY Even if hedge funds are not labeled “systemically important,” they will still face increased supervision and forced to be more transparent because of the Dodd-Frank legislation and recent SEC actions. “They have been able to exploit inefficiencies in the marketplace, by mining information that is not readily known to others,” said Daniel Crowley, a partner at law firm K&L Gates, who represents financial services firms including hedge funds. “Their job will become harder when they have to register. Their trading strategies will become public,” he said. The SEC now has the power to regulate the trillion-dollar industry. Many of the world’s largest hedge funds have already registered with the SEC, agreeing to divulge certain details about how they run their businesses and how much money they oversee. The funds’ activities have also been curtailed with the SEC’s recently adopted short sale rule, which restricts short selling in a company’s stock if the stock falls more than 10 percent. Hedge funds, unlike mutual funds, have long relied on short selling, or betting that a stock price will fall, to make money even in down markets. Under Dodd-Frank, hedge funds, banks and others that deal in the estimated $600 trillion over-the-counter derivatives market will be forced to set aside extra funds to trade the financial instruments. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s plan to limit speculation in energy and metals will also impact certain funds’ activities. (Additional reporting by Svea Herbst-Bayliss in Boston; Editing by Leslie Adler) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Gold – FOREX Correlations Stay Firm as Treasury Yields Surge

December 17, 2010

Gold – FOREX Correlations Stay Firm as Treasury Yields Surge

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U.S. Dollar Slips Lower with Treasury Yields

December 16, 2010

U.S. Dollar Slips Lower with Treasury Yields

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Video: Greenlaw Advises Avoiding Longer-Term Treasuries in 2011

December 15, 2010

Dec. 15 (Bloomberg) — David Greenlaw, chief U.S. fixed-income economist at Morgan Stanley, discusses the Treasury market, economy and inflation risk. He talks with Lisa Murphy on Bloomberg Television’s “Fast Forward.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Michael Pento: Wall Street Gives Uncle Sam Too Much Credit

December 15, 2010

Despite the fact that the S&P is up over 80% in the last 21 months, US financial firms are currently tripping over each other in their zeal to raise their S&P 500 and GDP targets for 2011. JPMorgan’s chief US equities strategist, Thomas Lee, came out on December 3rd with a target of 1425 on the S&P for 2011, which would be a 15 percent gain. Barclays Capital last Thursday released a 1420 estimate. Not to be outdone, Goldman Sachs also recently released its forecast, and it sees a more-than-20 percent increase next year, to 1450. Meanwhile, PIMCO’s idea of a “new normal” has translated into a 2011 GDP forecast raised from 2-2.5% to 3-3.5% due to “massive” government stimulus. In the midst of this collective ‘hurrah,’ very little attention is being paid to what is going on over in the bond market. With my due condolences to Fed Chairman Bernanke, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note has increased from 2.33% on October 8th to 3.29% today. And, if there is any notice at all given to that recent run-up in yields, it is merely explained away as a sign of robust growth returning to the economy. In reality, growth doesn’t cause an increase in interest rates; it is either lack of savings or inflation that is responsible. To refute the ‘robust growth’ reasoning, turn your attention to the fact that the spike in yields just happened to coincide with the news that the unemployment rate jumped to 9.8% in November. A slightly broader explanation for the surge in borrowing costs might be the failure of the Bowles-Simpson deficit commission to implement any cost cutting measures. Or, perhaps it was the intimation from Bernanke himself that QE III may already be under construction in his infamous interview on 60 Minutes. Or, maybe it is the fact that the $150.4 billion November budget deficit was the highest total for that month… ever, and was the 26th straight month of red ink! I often wonder to myself, where in the midst of all this good news do I summon a bearish attitude? I think it’s pretty clear that ‘robust growth’ is going the way of ‘green shoots’ and knickers – right into the dustbin of history. So, what will the increase in interest rates – ignored by all of Wall Street – actually mean for the economy in 2011? For starters, the National Home Price Index already fell 2% in the third quarter of 2010. On a national basis, home prices are 1.5% lower year-over-year, and 15 out of the 20 cities measured were down over the last 12 months. On a month-over-month basis, 18 cities posted a price decline in September, compared to 15 MoM drops in August, and just 8 cities experiencing price reductions in the July report. Therefore, home prices, which were already headed lower before this recent spike in mortgage rates, are set to take another tumble downward. According to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of conforming mortgages, the average rate on the 30-year fixed is at its highest level in six months. 30-year rates averaged 4.61% for the week ending Dec. 9, up from 4.46% last week. It’s the fourth week in a row that the mortgage rate has increased. The ramifications for the real estate market and bank lending are clear. Lower home prices will send more mortgages under water and force many more homes into foreclosure. Higher borrowing costs will lower the demand for borrowing and place more strain on the capital of lending institutions. On top of that, household debt as a percentage of GDP still stands at a lofty 91%. It should be clear that with near double-digit unemployment, the last thing consumers can now tolerate is a significant increase in debt-service payments. The rising cost of money is even worse news for the federal government and its chronically ballooning debt problem. According to the Federal Reserve’s Flow of Funds Report, total non-financial debt reached an all-time high of $35.8 trillion in the third quarter of 2010. In fact, household debt, business debt, and government debt increased at a 4.2% annual rate last quarter. To put that record level of nominal debt into perspective: in 1980, the total non-financial debt-to-GDP ratio was 144%. In the height of the credit boom, at the end of 2007, that figure was 226%. Today, the figure stands at a mind-blowing 243%! So you can forget about all that deleveraging talk. The US is in fact still leveraging up, both in nominal terms and as a percentage of GDP. I think the rising cost of money will become the story of 2011. Its effect on consumers, the real estate market, and government borrowing costs will be profound. Apparently, most major brokerage firms have no fear of soaring interest rates causing our economy to implode. However, it’s clear to me that the bond market has already started to crack due to inflation and massive oversupply from the Treasury. Prudent investors should think twice before overlooking what could be the initial holes in the biggest bubble in world history – the full faith and credit of the United States. Michael Pento is the Senior Economist for Euro Pacific Capital

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FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: Fed Expectations Stall Despite Surging Treasury Yields

December 15, 2010

FOREX CENTRAL BANK WATCH: Fed Expectations Stall Despite Surging Treasury Yields

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FOREX: Surging US Treasury Yields and Falling S&P Bolster US Dollar Outlook

December 15, 2010

FOREX: Surging US Treasury Yields and Falling S&P Bolster US Dollar Outlook

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Tax-Cut Plan Eases Pressure On Bernanke And Fed

December 13, 2010

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve last month absorbed a wave of criticism for announcing it will buy $600 billion in Treasury bonds to try to revitalize the economy. It won’t help, critics said. So when Fed officials meet Tuesday, they’re likely to feel a weight has been lifted: The White House and key Republicans have agreed on a tax-cut deal that’s expected to do just what critics said the Fed’s bond purchases wouldn’t: Boost spending, spur hiring and speed economic growth. Economists say they think the Fed will still carry out its full $600 billion bond-buying plan by the end of June as scheduled. Unemployment is 9.8 percent, and the economy needs all the help it can get. But the tax-cut plan does make the Fed less likely to buy even more than $600 billion in bonds – something Chairman Ben Bernanke said it might do if the economy needed further help. No policy changes are expected at the Fed’s meeting. “The tax-cut plan reduces pressure on the Fed to have to buy more government securities,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. “I think they are committed to $600 billion because they aren’t certain how things will turn out. It’s always possible the economy could rev up rapidly. But I think the odds are low the Fed will do less.” Zandi and other economists think the tax cuts will help stimulate growth over the next two years. And consequently, the Fed might have to raise record-low interest rates sooner than had been expected. That’s because stronger growth increases the risk of high inflation, which the Fed fights by raising rates to cool the economy. The tax-cut plan will also swell the government’s annual budget deficits, which are already running well over $1 trillion. Zandi and others now think the Fed will start raising rates in late 2012, compared with early 2013 without the tax-cut plan. The Fed announced its Treasury-purchase plan at its last meeting, Nov. 3. At the time, Congress seemed unlikely to do much on its own to strengthen the economy. Bernanke felt Congress’ reluctance to approve new stimulative spending obliged the Fed to do what it could to further drive down interest rates. But early this month, the White House and Republicans forged a broad tax-cut deal that seems likely to pass despite resistance from many Democrats. Among other things, the plan would extend 2001 and 2003 income-tax cuts for two years; renew long-term unemployment aid for 13 more months; reduce workers’ Social Security taxes in 2011; and let companies increase their tax write-offs for capital investments next year. The tax-cut package does raise the risk of higher interest rates resulting from a stronger economy. And critics say the Fed’s bond purchases will contribute to inflation pressures because it will be flooding the financial system with dollars – essentially, printing more money. Investors have already bid up the yield on the 10-year Treasury note in anticipation of higher inflation and higher rates. From a low of around 2.4 percent in early October, the yield on the 10-year Treasury has surged nearly a full percentage point to about 3.3 percent. Lowering rates on mortgages and other loans, to make it cheaper to borrow, was a key goal of the Fed’s bond-buying program. Instead, higher Treasury yields in recent weeks have raised mortgage rates, which tend to track long-term Treasury yields. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage has reached 4.61 percent. That’s up sharply from 4.17 percent a month ago, the lowest rate in the 40 years that records have been kept. Yet in defense of the Fed, some economists say rates would be even higher now if not for the Fed’s program to buy more Treasurys. And even the current slightly higher rates remain near historic lows. Most economists say the benefits of the tax-cut plan will outweigh the costs of slightly higher interest rates. That’s why economists are raising their estimates for economic growth. Zandi, for instance, has raised his forecast for economic growth next year from 2.7 percent to 4 percent. It also helps explain why stock prices have been rising. The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index is at a new high for the year and is now trading at roughly the same price it did the week before Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy protection in September 2008. Higher stock prices are helping households rebuild the wealth they lost to the recession. That, in turn, is spurring higher spending, especially by wealthier Americans. At the same time, critics who worry about inflation and the nation’s trillion-dollar budget deficits point to the tax-cut plan’s estimated $855 billion cost over two years. Lawmakers have yet to agree on any long-term deficit-reduction plan. Worries about runaway deficits and debt could inflame inflation fears. Bond investors would demand ever higher returns to lend their money. A sharp run-up in interest rates would slow the economy. The current roughly 3.3 percent yield on the 10-year Treasury is still low enough to support strong growth, economists say. But the higher it goes, the bigger the drag on growth as higher rates ripple through the economy. “Once it exceeds the 5 percent threshold, the recovery is in danger of stalling,” said Bernard Baumohl, chief economist at the Economic Outlook Group. “Higher borrowing costs will cool business and consumer spending.” Baumohl said he worries the Fed’s bond-buying program may prove counter-productive if “bond investors increasingly worry that additional monetary stimulus, in conjunction with the latest stimulative tax deal, will cause inflation expectations to flare up.” At their meeting Tuesday, Bernanke and his colleagues will likely discuss the effect of the tax-cut deal on the Fed’s efforts to stimulate the economy. But with scant likelihood of any Fed policy changes, attention has turned instead to the tax-cut plan emerging in Congress – its benefits and its risks. And no one is looking anymore at the Fed to rescue the economy alone.

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Euro Slips against Greenback on Higher Treasury Yields/Eurozone Worries

December 13, 2010

Euro Slips against Greenback on Higher Treasury Yields/Eurozone Worries

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Tim Geithner Hospitalized

December 10, 2010

Tim Geithner will undergo minor surgery to have a kidney stone removed, according to various reporters. The Treasury secretary was hospitalized on Friday. Geithner experienced severe pain Thursday evening, Treasury spokesman Steve Adamske said. According to reports , the secretary was admitted to George Washington University hospital Friday morning, where he awaits treatment for a kidney stone. Geithner will have a “minor surgical procedure” to remove the kidney stone Friday afternoon, Adamske said, adding that Geithner should be ready to return to work on Monday. Still, he’s had to cancel plans to appear on Sunday talk shows, the WSJ notes. With lawmakers struggling to hammer out a tax cut plan during the lame duck session, Geithner has been busy, serving a key role in negotiations. With all levels of tax cuts set to expire by the end of the year, the pressure is on for Congress to pass some sort of plan in the coming weeks.

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Crude Oil Ekes Out a Gain, Gold Rebounds as Treasury Yields Fall Slightly

December 10, 2010

Crude Oil Ekes Out a Gain, Gold Rebounds as Treasury Yields Fall Slightly

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U.S. Dollar Continues to Be Boosted Higher Treasury Yields

December 8, 2010

U.S. Dollar Continues to Be Boosted Higher Treasury Yields

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Michael Pento: Bernanke: 60 Minutes, 2 Big Lies

December 7, 2010

This past Sunday on the CBS program “60 Minutes”, Americans received a massive dose of mendacity from our Fed Chairman. Mr. Bernanke’s shaky delivery, and even shakier logic may cause faith in America’s economic leadership to evaporate faster than the value of our dollar. In particular, Bernanke delivered two massive distortions: Lie #1 – The Fed isn’t printing money. Bernanke stated: “The amount of currency in circulation is not changing…the money supply is not changing in any significant way. What we’re doing is lowering interest rates by buying Treasury securities.” Given that it is the Treasury Department’s Bureau of Engraving and Printing, not the Fed, that actually prints paper money, his statement is technically correct while substantively false. However, Bernanke is buying bank assets with Fed credit. With such an arrangement, printing becomes unnecessary. According to gentle Ben, credit created to buy something should not be considered money and has no affect on asset prices? But if that’s true, why is he concentrating his buying in the middle of the Treasury yield curve. His stated purpose is to boost bond prices and lower yields in order to stimulate borrowing and aggregate demand. So pushing up bond prices is an act of inflation. Bernanke similarly contradicts himself by saying that he isn’t creating inflation, while at the same time claiming that his easing campaign is designed to boost asset prices to combat the phantom of deflation. And by the way, the Fed is causing money supply to increase significantly. The compounded annual growth rate of M2 is over 7% in the last quarter. Apparently in the eyes of the Chairman, a 7% annualized increase in the broad money supply isn’t considered significant. Lie #2- Bernanke is “100 % confident” that, when necessary, the Fed can control inflation and reverse its accommodative monetary policy. He stated, “We’ve been very, very clear that we will not allow inflation to rise above 2 percent. We could raise interest rates in 15 minutes if we have to. So, there really is no problem with raising rates, tightening monetary policy, slowing the economy, reducing inflation, at the appropriate time.” He failed to mention that the Fed doesn’t have the will to drain money from the system, without which all tools are useless. The Fed has consistently demonstrated its unwillingness to take the appropriate actions when necessary. In claiming he is 100% confident in his ability to control inflation, Mr. Bernanke ignores the record that during his tenure he has misdiagnosed the economy. In June of 2006, Bernanke culminated his inflation fighting efforts by raising the Fed Funds target rate to 5.25%, after CPI inflation reached 4.2%. But that interest rate was enough to help burst the housing bubble and to spark an international credit crisis. Bernanke was completely unaware that the Fed actions had created an economy that had become completely addicted to artificially-produced low interest rates and inflation. Shortly after the collapse of the real estate market and the ensuing truncated deflationary-depression, Bernanke took interest rates to near zero percent. But if the Fed was ever really serious about unwinding excessive leverage, the time had clearly arrived. Instead, the U.S. economy has become more addicted to free money than at any other time in our history. Commodity prices are soaring once again and the real estate market, banking sector, and the overall economy cling precariously on the arm of government induced bailouts and low interest rates. Even worse, our government has massively increased its level of debt, which now stands at just below $14 trillion. Once the rate of inflation eclipses the Fed’s 2% target rate, which appears likely, how then will the Fed raise rates to contain it? Could the economy then withstand an increase in the cost of home ownership? Most importantly, when will Mr. Bernanke find it politically tenable to dramatically increase debt service payments for the Federal government? In truth, there is never a convenient time to have a severe recession or a depression. Unfortunately, reality can be extremely inconvenient. Bernanke was accurate in saying that the economy is not expanding at a sustainable pace. Of course, his prescription was the same as it always is; print more money in the misguided belief that inflation will lead to growth. As such, he indicated that it’s possible that the Fed may actually expand bond purchases beyond the $600 billion announced last month. (Remember that the $600 billion comes after the $1.7 trillion that has already been printed, which failed to produce anything much beyond a weaker dollar). Therefore, the country can look forward to yet more inflation, continued anemic GDP growth, a poorer citizenry, and a vastly lower standard of living. On the bright side, the next segment on 60 Minutes outlined some of the new social networking capabilities being created by Mark Zuckerberg and Facebook. In other words, although our economic misery will likely increase, it should become much easier to share the bad news with friends. Michael Pento is the Senior Economist for Euro Pacific Capital

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U.S. Announces $12 Billion Profit On Citigroup

December 7, 2010

The government said late Monday it had reached a deal to sell its remaining holdings of Citigroup common stock and would end up turning a profit of $12 billion on its bailout of the giant bank. The Treasury Department said that a final offering of about 2.4 billion shares of Citigroup Inc. common stock had been priced at $4.35 per share.

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Fed Governor: Too Big To Fail Is Worse Than Ever

December 2, 2010

THE world has experienced a severe financial crisis and economic recession. The Treasury and the Federal Reserve took actions that saved businesses and jobs and may very well have saved the economy itself from ruin. Still, the public seems ungrateful, expressing anger at these institutions that saved the day. Why? Americans are angry in part because they sense that the government was as much a cause of the crisis as its cure. They realize that more must be done to address a threat that remains increasingly a part of our economy: financial institutions that are “too big to fail.”

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Obama Administration Will Spend Just $12 Billion Of The $50 Billion Promised To Help Homeowners Avoid Foreclosure, CBO Says

November 30, 2010

The Obama administration will spend less than a quarter of the $50 billion it promised to help homeowners facing foreclosure, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said in a report Monday. The CBO projection raises fresh questions about the success of the administration’s foreclosure-prevention efforts and its commitment to helping homeowners, even as unemployment hovers near 10 percent. Corporations and large banks appear to be in full-fledged recovery — last quarter, corporate profits reached an all-time high of $1.66 trillion on an annual basis — but households and small businesses seem to have been left out. Washington policymakers talk constantly about helping “Main Street” recover from the steepest downturn since the Great Depression. Spending less than a quarter of the money promised to help residents of “Main Street” keep their homes may not seem in line with that goal. President Barack Obama and his top aides, including Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, have made numerous pledges to the ever-increasing number of homeowners faced with foreclosure, declines in home value and reductions in equity. The administration’s programs, announced by Obama in a Mesa, Ariz. high school just four weeks after he took office, originally aimed to “enable as many as 3 to 4 million homeowners to modify the terms of their mortgages to avoid foreclosure.” Using $50 billion from the Troubled Asset Relief Program, the bailout fund also known as TARP, the Obama Treasury Department would pay banks, investors and homeowners for every home loan modification that saved a borrower from foreclosure. To say the program has made a meaningful impact in ameliorating the housing crisis would be an overstatement. Through October, about 483,000 distressed homeowners were making reduced monthly payments thanks to the administration’s plan — barely 16 percent of Obama’s most conservative estimate. More than 755,000 borrowers have been tossed, due either to failure to keep up with the reduced payments, issues with documentation, such as proof of income, or bank blunders. The Treasury Department, which is overseeing the program, has not punished a single mortgage company for failing to comply with its directives, despite anecdotal evidence that homeowners are routinely misled or taken advantage of by their mortgage servicers. Treasury has spent just $710 million of that $50 billion through the end of last month. Meanwhile, home prices, which had stabilized, have begun to fall. The Federal Housing Finance Agency, a government watchdog, said last week that house prices have declined 3.2 percent nationwide during the past year. Moody’s Investors Service forecasts home prices to fall an additional 5 percent from their current values. FHFA predicts that home values won’t reach their June 2010 level until December 2013. The Federal Reserve expects 6.5 million home foreclosure filings this year through 2012, Fed Governor Elizabeth Duke said Nov. 18 in testimony to the House Financial Services Committee. Nearly one-quarter of homeowners with a mortgage owe more on that debt than their home is worth, putting them “underwater,” according to CoreLogic, a Santa Ana, Calif.-based data provider. The White House’s programs, while not meant to solve all of the nation’s housing woes, were supposed to make things better. Strapped homeowners would get a fresh shot at keeping their homes, the theory went, while banks and investors would face less losses from a reworked mortgage than a failed one. In turn, foreclosures would wane, putting fewer distressed homes on the market. Home prices would eventually rebound. That’s not happening. Instead, “the expected participation in the Treasury’s mortgage programs declined,” CBO wrote in its report. In March, when the budget office predicted that the administration would spend just $22 billion of the $50 billion it had allocated, or $10 billion more than it’s now predicting, it wrote that the difference stemmed “primarily from disparate outlooks on the number of eligible households and the participation rate among those households.” On Monday, CBO noted that it further “reduced its estimate of how many homeowners will receive aid under the Treasury’s mortgage initiatives. “Accordingly, CBO reduced the total expected expenditure of such programs from $22 billion to $12 billion,” it wrote. The White House’s Office of Management and Budget estimates that Treasury will spend $46 billion of TARP funds on its anti-foreclosure efforts. Last month, former Sen. Ted Kaufman, the head of the Congressional Oversight Panel — another bailout watchdog — said of Obama’s initial promise that “[a]t the time, our economy was on track to experience more than eight million foreclosures, so the goal was always modest compared to the scale of the problem. “Certainly it was modest compared to the boldness shown in rescuing AIG, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Bank of America, Citigroup, and the auto companies,” added Kaufman, a Delaware Democrat. “Yet now, two years later, we can see that even this modest goal will not be met.” In its most recent quarterly report to Congress, the Office of the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program wrote that “the most specific of TARP’s Main Street goals, ‘preserving homeownership,’ has so far fallen woefully short.” SIGTARP’s chief, Neil M. Barofsky, has been especially critical of the administration’s approach to helping homeowners. The bright spot in the budget office’s report was its forecast that TARP would cost the federal government just $25 billion. “Clearly, it was not apparent when the TARP was created two years ago that the cost would turn out to be this low,” the CBO report’s authors wrote. “While we are pleased that CBO recognizes that the overall costs of TARP are likely to be less than 5 percent of the original $700B authorized, we are working to ensure that our efforts to prevent foreclosures is as robust as possible,” Treasury spokesman Mark Paustenbach wrote in an e-mailed statement. The law authorizing the bailout gave the White House $700 billion to stabilize the financial system in a manner that “protects home values,” “preserves homeownership,” and “promotes jobs and economic growth,” among other responsibilities. Some may argue that the stabilization of Wall Street will be its sole accomplishment. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is the business reporter for The Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

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Lori Wallach: Obama Trade Policy Perils: Korea FTA Talks Resume Tomorrow

November 29, 2010

That the Obama administration did not agree at the G-20 summit to push the same NAFTA-style Korea free trade agreement (FTA) that former President George W. Bush signed in 2007 is understandable. It’s projected to increase the U.S. trade deficit, is wildly unpopular in both countries, and replicates the most threatening NAFTA provisions that promote offshoring and financial deregulation . And, its chapter on labor rights bans references to the International Labor Organization (ILO) Conventions that establish, well, the internationally recognized labor rights. The real question is why the Obama administration would have been willing to sign off on the Bush agreement in Seoul if only the Koreans had agreed to some more market access for U.S. cars and cows. And why they might go for a deal based on those narrow fixes when talks resume tomorrow near Washington. …especially since a large bloc of senior Democratic legislators, unions and other Democratic base groups made clear months ago that a short list of critical deNAFTAization fixes were necessary to avoid a nasty battle in Congress. Recent polling has shown that perhaps the one issue that unites Americans across diverse demographics is opposition to more-of-the-same trade policy. The elections confirmed this , with an unprecedented number of candidates from both parties campaigning on fair trade themes. In its current form, the Korea deal is definitely more-of-the-same . But you wouldn’t know it from the media coverage. You’d think that all anyone cares about are market access issues related to automobiles and beef – and that refusing to move another Bush NAFTA-style FTA somehow undermines Obama’s efforts to double exports in five years. That, despite a recent study showing that, in fact, U.S. exports to countries with which we have NAFTA-style trade deals have grown at half the pace of exports to other countries. I hope they fix the lopsided auto market access provisions and, while they’re at it, the textile terms, which are also unfairly uneven. But dealing with cars and cows is far from sufficient to make the deal acceptable policywise, much less to avoid the foreseeable political disaster if Obama makes Bush’s NAFTA-style trade deal his own. The administration must remove the offshoring-promoting foreign investor protections that provide special privileges to firms that relocate and the new rights for Korean firms to use UN and World Bank tribunals to attack domestic regulatory policies and demand U.S. taxpayer compensation for regulatory costs. A major exception must be added to safeguard recent U.S. and Korean financial reforms from the Bush text’s deregulation requirements. The footnote banning reference to the ILO conventions has to be removed as well. In short, Obama should follow through on his campaign promises . He explicitly identified the Korea FTA’s labor provisions and the “investor-state” enforcement mechanism as problems that needed addressing. Getting rid of the investor-state private corporate enforcement of the deal’s new foreign investor rights is especially critical. Korea is a major capital exporter with about 270 establishments currently in the U.S. that would be newly empowered to raid the Treasury and attack domestic policies using foreign tribunals. These provisions elevate corporations to the same status of sovereign governments by providing them with the right to privately enforce a public treaty. So far, over $326 million in compensation has been paid out by governments to corporations under NAFTA’s similar terms. The cases include attacks on natural resource policies, environmental protection, and health and safety measures. Korea has just as much of an interest in fixing these provisions as we do, and there are indications that Korean officials would be amenable to doing so. Certainly, the Korean public is as upset over them as we are. Anyone who saw the tens of thousands of Korean protestors on the streets during the G-20 FTA talks this month is aware that inking Bush’s NAFTA-style deal does not improve U.S. standing or relations in Korea. That a bad Korea FTA deal was not completed in Seoul means the Obama administration has time to make the handful of other essential changes to Bush’s agreement and avoid a politically disastrous flip-flop on his campaign promises for trade reform. The question is: Will President Obama seize this opportunity to tackle our jobs crisis by starting to reform our failed trade policy like he promised as a candidate? His promised trade reform is a sure winner policywise and politically.

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Lori Wallach: Obama Trade Policy Perils: Korea FTA Talks Resume Tomorrow

November 29, 2010

That the Obama administration did not agree at the G-20 summit to push the same NAFTA-style Korea free trade agreement (FTA) that former President George W. Bush signed in 2007 is understandable. It’s projected to increase the U.S. trade deficit, is wildly unpopular in both countries, and replicates the most threatening NAFTA provisions that promote offshoring and financial deregulation . And, its chapter on labor rights bans references to the International Labor Organization (ILO) Conventions that establish, well, the internationally recognized labor rights. The real question is why the Obama administration would have been willing to sign off on the Bush agreement in Seoul if only the Koreans had agreed to some more market access for U.S. cars and cows. And why they might go for a deal based on those narrow fixes when talks resume tomorrow near Washington. …especially since a large bloc of senior Democratic legislators, unions and other Democratic base groups made clear months ago that a short list of critical deNAFTAization fixes were necessary to avoid a nasty battle in Congress. Recent polling has shown that perhaps the one issue that unites Americans across diverse demographics is opposition to more-of-the-same trade policy. The elections confirmed this , with an unprecedented number of candidates from both parties campaigning on fair trade themes. In its current form, the Korea deal is definitely more-of-the-same . But you wouldn’t know it from the media coverage. You’d think that all anyone cares about are market access issues related to automobiles and beef – and that refusing to move another Bush NAFTA-style FTA somehow undermines Obama’s efforts to double exports in five years. That, despite a recent study showing that, in fact, U.S. exports to countries with which we have NAFTA-style trade deals have grown at half the pace of exports to other countries. I hope they fix the lopsided auto market access provisions and, while they’re at it, the textile terms, which are also unfairly uneven. But dealing with cars and cows is far from sufficient to make the deal acceptable policywise, much less to avoid the foreseeable political disaster if Obama makes Bush’s NAFTA-style trade deal his own. The administration must remove the offshoring-promoting foreign investor protections that provide special privileges to firms that relocate and the new rights for Korean firms to use UN and World Bank tribunals to attack domestic regulatory policies and demand U.S. taxpayer compensation for regulatory costs. A major exception must be added to safeguard recent U.S. and Korean financial reforms from the Bush text’s deregulation requirements. The footnote banning reference to the ILO conventions has to be removed as well. In short, Obama should follow through on his campaign promises . He explicitly identified the Korea FTA’s labor provisions and the “investor-state” enforcement mechanism as problems that needed addressing. Getting rid of the investor-state private corporate enforcement of the deal’s new foreign investor rights is especially critical. Korea is a major capital exporter with about 270 establishments currently in the U.S. that would be newly empowered to raid the Treasury and attack domestic policies using foreign tribunals. These provisions elevate corporations to the same status of sovereign governments by providing them with the right to privately enforce a public treaty. So far, over $326 million in compensation has been paid out by governments to corporations under NAFTA’s similar terms. The cases include attacks on natural resource policies, environmental protection, and health and safety measures. Korea has just as much of an interest in fixing these provisions as we do, and there are indications that Korean officials would be amenable to doing so. Certainly, the Korean public is as upset over them as we are. Anyone who saw the tens of thousands of Korean protestors on the streets during the G-20 FTA talks this month is aware that inking Bush’s NAFTA-style deal does not improve U.S. standing or relations in Korea. That a bad Korea FTA deal was not completed in Seoul means the Obama administration has time to make the handful of other essential changes to Bush’s agreement and avoid a politically disastrous flip-flop on his campaign promises for trade reform. The question is: Will President Obama seize this opportunity to tackle our jobs crisis by starting to reform our failed trade policy like he promised as a candidate? His promised trade reform is a sure winner policywise and politically.

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GOP Lawmakers: Elizabeth Warren’s Job ‘Undermines’ Constitution

November 23, 2010

In the letters Reps. Spencer Bachus and Judy Biggert sent to the Treasury and the Federal Reserve, the GOP lawmakers challenge the legality of Elizabeth Warren’s authority to set up the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Bachus and Biggert have urged the inspectors general at the Treasury and the Fed to investigate how Elizabeth Warren, whom President Obama made special White House adviser in September, has been setting up the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a new agency created under the summer’s financial reform legislation. As she leads the search for the agency’s first director, Warren effectively serves as its interim head . By appointing Warren as special adviser in September, the president “undermined” the Constitution, Bachus and Biggert contend, in two nearly identical letters dated Nov. 22. From the letters: “First, the President’s decision to appoint Professor Elizabeth Warren as a special advisor to the Secretary of the Treasury and as a senior advisor in the White House with lead responsibility for establishing the Bureau, hiring its staff, and setting its agenda — as opposed to nominating the director of the Bureau, as contemplated by the Act — circumvented the advice-and-consent process and undermined one of the key checks and balances in our Constitution. While the Act confers upon the Secretary of the Treasury limited interim authority ‘to perform the functions of the Bureau’ (Section 1066(a)), Professor Warren is now exercising that authority.” The GOP lawmakers say Warren is overstepping her authority. But Warren has responded to this criticism in the past. As she explained on PBS in early October , her current job was specifically created by law. “There are two jobs on the table. And they were always there by statute. One certainly is the director of the agency,” Warren said. “There is a second job that was available. And it’s clear in the statute. Somebody is supposed to get out there and get that agency going. And the truth is, one has a cool title, but the other one gets to work right now.” A spokesperson for the House Financial Services committee, who speaks for Bachus on financial services issues, didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. Zachary Cikanek, press secretary for Biggert, said the agency’s eventual leader should face a full confirmation process. “What we would like to see is for the person with lead responsibility of the Bureau to be somebody nominated by the president and confirmed by the Senate,” Cikanek said. Bachus is a leading contender to replace Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.) as chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. During the 2009-2010 election cycle, his campaign received $132,200 from the securities and investment industry, and $80,800 from commercial banks, according to Open Secrets . His top contributors included Capital One, Credit Suisse, Wells Fargo and Bank of America, which each donated $10,000 to his campaign, Open Secrets says. READ the letter to Treasury below: Thorson BCFP Letter Biggert-Bachus 11-22-10

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Video: Altman Said to Be Leading Choice to Replace Summers: Video

November 17, 2010

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) — Roger Altman, founder of Evercore Partners Inc. and a former deputy Treasury secretary, has emerged as a leading candidate to replace Lawrence Summers as director of President Barack Obama’s National Economic Council, according to two people familiar with the matter. Bloomberg’s Hans Nichols reports. Todd Harrison, chief executive officer of Minyanville Media Inc., and Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speak on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: U.S. Stocks Erase Gains as Treasury Yields Surge: Video

November 15, 2010

Nov. 15 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks erased gains, wiping out most of an 88-point rise in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, as increased criticism of the Federal Reserve’s plan to stimulate growth and concern that a swelling federal deficit will lead to higher borrowing costs drove Treasury yields higher. Bloomberg’s Pimm Fox also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Sheldon Sees `Decent’ 2011 for U.S. Stocks on Economy

November 12, 2010

Nov. 12 (Bloomberg) — Christopher Sheldon, director of investment strategy at Bank of New York Mellon Corp., talks about the outlook for U.S. stocks. Sheldon also discusses the Treasury market, Europe’s sovereign debt crisis and U.S. consumer demand. He talks with Carol Massar, Matt Miller, Julie Hyman, Dominic Chu and Adam Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” Tres Knippa of Lotus Brokerage Services also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Kroszner Says Fed’s QE2 Is `Insurance’ Against Deflation

November 12, 2010

Nov. 12 (Bloomberg) — Former Federal Reserve Governor Randall Kroszner discusses the Federal Reserve’s plan to buy more Treasury securities and the U.S. economy. Kroszner, speaking in Chicago with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack,” says the Fed’s quantitative easing is “important” as it is “insurance” against deflation risks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Federated’s Tice Says Fed QE Is Likely to `End Badly’

November 11, 2010

Nov. 11 (Bloomberg) — David Tice, chief portfolio strategist for bear markets at Federated Investors Inc, talks about the Federal Reserve’s plan to buy more Treasury securities, the outlook for the U.S. stock market and investment strategy for the Federated Prudent Bear Fund. Tice speaks with Matt Miller and Carol Massar on Bloomberg’s Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Pride Cites Labor `Mismatch’ for Lack of U.S. Hiring

November 8, 2010

Nov. 8 (Bloomberg) — Jason Pride, director of investment strategy at Glenmede, talks about the U.S. labor market. Pride also discusses Federal Reserve monetary policy, the Treasury market and his investment strategy. He talks with Matt Miller and Carol Massar on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” Matt Shapiro of MWS Capital also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Stockman Says Fed Policy Designed to Pacify Wall Street

November 4, 2010

Nov. 4 (Bloomberg) — David Stockman, who was U.S. budget director in the Reagan administration, talks about the Federal Reserve’s plan to buy $600 billion in Treasury securities through next June in a bid to further reduce long-term borrowing costs and keep prices from falling. Stockman also discusses the midterm congressional elections and the federal deficit. He talks with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Geithner Had Off The Record Talk With Jon Stewart In April

November 4, 2010

Geithner and Stewart, host of Comedy Central’s “The Daily Show,” held an off-the-record meeting at Stewart’s office in New York on April 2, according to Geithner’s appointments calendar, updated through August on Treasury’s website.

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NTEU Sells 1750 H St. NW for $65 Million

November 3, 2010

National Treasury Employees Union sells 1750 H St. NW in Washington, DC, to First Potomac Realty Trust and AEW Capital Management, in a 50/50 joint venture, acquired for $65 million, or about $583 per square foot. The deal was contingent on the buyers…

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