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Video: Axelrod on Egypt Protests: Political Capital With Al Hunt

January 29, 2011

Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) — White House adviser David Axelrod talks with Bloomberg’s Al Hunt about Egypt’s political unrest and the need for democratic “reforms” in the country. Bloomberg’s Hans Nichols and Lisa Lerer discuss President Barack Obama’s State of the Union address and Egypt’s government. Bloomberg’s John McCormick reports on Rahm Emanuel’s bid to succeed Richard M. Daley as mayor of Chicago. Commentators Margaret Carlson and Kate O’Beirne discuss Obama’s speech and the Republican Party’s response. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Artisanal Ice Cream Makers To Sit With First Lady At State Of The Union

January 25, 2011

Joining a host of guests invited to sit with the first lady for tonight’s State of the Union address are Kendra Baker and Zachary Davis, who opened Penny Ice Creamery , an artisanal ice cream shop in Santa Cruz, CA, with the help of a $250,000 Recovery Act SBA loan. Baker and Davis posted an open thank-you in the form of a a YouTube video back in October that got the attention of the White House, and in November, Vice President Biden personally called them to thank them for the video and wish them luck with their shop. From the White House’s release on the first lady’s State of the Union guests: Business partners Kendra Baker and Zachary Davis had a dream of opening an organic, homemade ice cream shop in Santa Cruz, California, but had trouble finding a lender that would help finance their dream. With the help of a Recovery Act SBA loan of $250,000, Kendra and Zack were able open the doors to The Penny Ice Creamery in August 2010. The SBA Recovery Act funding allowed them to not only open the shop, but also to employ eleven people, purchase American-made equipment, and to hire nearly twenty local businesses to design and renovate the space. Kendra and Zack were so thankful for the financing help, that they posted a video on YouTube thanking the Administration and Members of Congress for their Recovery Act SBA loan. As a result of the video, the Vice President called them in November 2010 to thank them for the video and wish them good luck. Unlike most ice cream shops, Penny Ice doesn’t buy pre-made bases, which means they have to pasteurize their homemade base in-house. In a recent interview with Civil Eats , Baker explained the detailed process: In order to make your ice cream from scratch, you have to pasteurize your base, so that’s kind of the step that most people don’t do. They buy a pre-made base from a large distributor and they are adding flavor to it. When we were developing this business plan we wanted to have complete control over our recipes and what went into our product. Any time you create an ice cream base it has to be pasteurized, that’s the California Department of Food & Agriculture law. So we had to create a creamer, which is essentially the micro version of what you would find at a large milk production facility. We had to purchase a pasteurizer that fits our production cycle, which is seven to 15 gallons, because we make everything in really small batches. The process for that is you have to bring up the base to a minimum of 155 degrees with an airspace temperature of five degrees above that. We have to hold it for 30 minutes after which you draw your product and pull it down to below 40 degrees. Our production cycle is actually a two day process. There is a cooling and an aging period, because ice cream is actually enhanced when it is allowed to sit for about 24 hours. The next day you spin it and then it goes through a hardening period where it needs to go into a deep freezer. After that we can start to temper it, which is a softening of the ice cream, before we actually serve it. So it’s a lengthy process. They also discussed the work involved in starting up, and their November call from the White house: ZD: …I’m a firm believer in the American dream and I want everyone to believe that anything is possible. It’s not to say it’s not a lot of work. We put in over two years now, putting this together, just the loan part itself was over six months of extremely frequent back and forth to the bank giving them all the information they needed, proving ourselves. It’s not like we just said, “Oh, we’re going to go get an SBA loan” and walked into the bank and they gave us the money. There’s work, it’s all real work. KB: We had no idea what type of response we would get and we never anticipated that we would actually get a call from the White House…that was pretty incredible. Penny Ice Creamery’s YouTube thank-you video :

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Video: Regulators and Lobbyists Among D.C.’s Top Power Brokers

January 21, 2011

Jan. 21 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Megan Hughes reports on the top power brokers in Washington featured in the latest edition of Bloomberg Businessweek magazine, including Cass Sunstein, director of the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, Jon Leibowitz, chairman of the Federal Trade Commission, and lobbyist Kirsten Chadwick. (Source: Bloomberg)

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GE CEO To Replace Volcker On Obama’s Economic Team

January 21, 2011

Early Friday morning, Obama announced a significant shift for the White House economic team: the war against Wall Street greed has lost a major player, and corporate America has gained an advocate. General Electric CEO Jeffrey Immelt will be the new head of a Council on Jobs and Competitiveness. This panel will replace Obama’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board, formerly headed by Paul Volcker. The two men have significantly different backgrounds. Immelt is a lifelong Republican and, as Bloomberg put it, “a corporate heavyweight who can help burnish Obama’s pro-business credentials.” Volcker, a Democrat, was the creator of the eponymous rule in last year’s financial regulation bill which was designed to limit banks’ ability to use taxpayer-backed funds to make investments on their own behalf. In John Cassidy’s excellent New Yorker profile , he describes Volcker’s tenure in the White House as “a campaign to curb greed and speculation on Wall Street.” This news follows the appointment of Gene Sperling as the new top White House economic adviser and William Daley , a top JP Morgan executive, as the new White House chief of staff. Sperling, while he has never worked full-time in the financial sector, made millions on Wall Street in an advisory capacity even as the economy tanked. Daley, for his part, opposed Obama’s consumer protection agency. In a statement, Obama said that Immelt’s mission will be to help boost up the private sector to speed up economic growth and promote competition. “As we enter a new phase in our recovery, I have asked the new council to focus its work on finding new ways to encourage the private sector to hire and invest in American competitiveness,” the President wrote. The Washington Post characterized this move as a shift towards a focus on job creation and economic improvement: “The council’s new leadership and mission reflects the administration’s shift from trying to halt the recession to broader efforts to improve the U.S. economy and create jobs.” In an Op-Ed in t oday’s Post , Immelt outlined some of his goals. The piece is short on details but focusses in on three areas: manufacturing and export, free trade, and innovation. He writes: “My hope is that the council will be a sounding board for ideas and a catalyst for action on jobs and competitiveness. It will include small and large businesses, labor, economists and government.” In Peter Baker’s lengthy NYT feature looking at the frustration brewing inside the Obama administration’s efforts to fix the economy, Baker notes: “[Obama] surely knows that if he cannot figure out in the next two years how to create jobs, he may lose his own.” Now, he is changing the players. Baker tracks the changing personell and agenda: “The path from crisis to anemic recovery was marked by turmoil inside the White House. The economic team fractured repeatedly over philosophy (should jobs or deficits take priority?) and personality (who got to attend which meetings?), resulting in feuds that ultimately helped break it apart. The process felt like a treadmill, as one former official put it, with proposals sometimes debated for months before decisions were reached. The word commonly used by those involved is “dysfunctional,” and in recent months, most of the initial team has left or made plans to leave, including Larry Summers, Christina Romer, Peter Orszag, Rahm Emanuel and Paul Volcker. With Geithner as its anchor, a new economic team is being built around Bill Clinton-era figures like William Daley, Gene Sperling and Jack Lew, a group assembled to joust with Republicans instead of one another. Rather than responding to crises or putting into motion grand macroeconomic theories, they will focus on pushing the recovery into higher gear while at the same time figuring out how to reduce the deficit — two goals that some see as incompatible in the short term. And along the way, they need to convince Americans that the president is focused on jobs, jobs, jobs.”

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Immelt To Head Obama Economic Advisory Board

January 21, 2011

WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama is restructuring his economic advisory board to place an emphasis on job creation, and he is naming General Electric CEO Jeffrey Immelt as its new head. The new board, called the President’s Council on Jobs and Competitiveness, will replace the former Economic Recovery Advisory Board that had been chaired by former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker. Obama announced late Friday that Volcker was ending his tenure on the panel when its mandate expires on Feb. 6. The change signals Obama’s intention to shift from policies that were designed to stabilize the economy after the 2008 financial meltdown to a renewed focus on increasing employment, a vexing task that could affect his re-election prospects. Obama, in a statement released after midnight, said the board’s mission will be to help generate ideas from the private sector to speed up economic growth and promote American competitiveness. “We still have a long way to go, and my number one priority is to ensure we are doing everything we can to get the American people back to work,” the president said. The advisory board has included past government officials and representatives from labor and the corporate world. Volcker has been a regular White House adviser, though the board itself has met infrequently with the president. “Since my campaign for president, I have relied on Paul Volcker’s counsel as we worked to recover from the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression,” Obama said in a statement late Thursday. “Paul Volcker is not only one of the wisest economic minds in our country, he’s an individual who has for decades fought for policies that help American families and strengthen our economy.” “I have valued his friendship and skill over the years, and I will rely on his counsel for years to come,” Obama said. Immelt was to join Obama in Schenectady, N.Y., Friday for an economy-related visit to a General Electric plant, where the president will showcase policies that have aided the multinational conglomerate. GE is a diversified technology, media and financial services company. Immelt, a member of the economic recovery advisory panel, spelled out his goals for the reconstituted board in an opinion piece Friday in The Washington Post. In it, he called for a focus on manufacturing and exports, trade and innovation. “The president and I are committed to a candid and full dialogue among business, labor and government to help ensure that the United States has the most competitive and innovative economy in the world,” he wrote. His appointment adds another corporate insider to the White House orbit, underscoring the White House’s efforts to build stronger ties to the business community. Earlier this month, Obama named former commerce secretary and JPMorgan Chase executive William Daley as chief of staff. Immelt has been a White House ally since the start of Obama’s presidency, though his political contributions tend to be bipartisan and he financially supported Hillary Rodham Clinton and Republicans John McCain, Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney during the 2008 presidential elections. General Electric employees and their spouses, however, supported Obama over any other presidential candidate.

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Obama Losing Key Economic Adviser

January 21, 2011

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President Barack Obama announced on Thursday that former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker was stepping down from his role as head of an outside panel advising the White House on economic policy. “From his bold vision around how to reform our financial system to his thoughtful insight on how to make our economy work for working families again, Paul brought his brilliance and vast experience to bear on a host of difficult challenges,” Obama said in a statement. “I will always be grateful to Paul Volcker for his service as the head of my Economic Recovery Advisory Board,” Obama said. Reuters reported earlier this month that Volcker intended to leave the advisory board in February. Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions .

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Obama Consumer Agency May Not Be Able To Oversee Payday Lenders, Mortgage Firms

January 19, 2011

The nascent consumer agency dedicated to protecting borrowers from abusive lenders, a cornerstone of the Obama administration’s efforts to reform the financial industry, will not be able to regulate the kinds of lenders that helped cause the crisis if the White House doesn’t meet a key deadline, federal auditors say. Firms like New Century Financial, Ameriquest, Fremont General and Countrywide Financial — lenders that aren’t banks and fall outside the bounds of regular federal supervision — made the kinds of shoddy mortgage loans that ultimately led to the housing crisis. The Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection, currently led by Elizabeth Warren on an interim basis, is supposed to change that by putting them under the umbrella of a robust federal regulator. But if the White House can’t get a nominee through the Senate by July, the bureau will lack the authority to supervise nonbank lenders, according to a Jan. 10 report by the inspectors general of the Treasury Department and Federal Reserve obtained by The Huffington Post. In six months, the agency officially assumes the power formally held by bank regulators. Bloomberg News first reported on the existence of the report Wednesday afternoon. The dilemma poses a challenge to the Obama administration, which sold the agency to Congress and the industry in part based on the promise that it will help level the playing field between banks and nonbanks when it comes to government oversight. Banks have long been regulated by federal agencies and subject to regular audits. Nonbanks, like home mortgage and payday lenders, have been subject to sporadic oversight, at best. Such companies have been hit with billions in fines and legal settlements in response to accusations they engaged in abusive and predatory lending. Adding to bankers’ frustrations is the fact that the agency, even without a director, will be able to oversee consumer lending by banks with more than $10 billion in assets. Because this authority already exists with bank regulators, the consumer agency will be able to assume this responsibility in July, federal auditors said in their report. Nonbanks, though, will be off-limits. The report puts added pressure on the White House to meet the July deadline. It has struggled to name an agency chief. Industry officials and their allies in Congress prefer someone who will take a more relaxed approach to oversight. Consumer advocates are pushing for an aggressive regulator who will prevent the kinds of abuses that were common during the housing boom. The White House is stuck in the middle of this fight, wanting to please its allies who helped get the agency enacted into law in the first place, and helped the administration counter critics who say it’s too close to Wall Street. But the administration also wants to name an agency head who will face limited opposition in the Senate. Created as part of Dodd-Frank, the 2010 law overhauling financial regulation, President Barack Obama hailed it as one of the top achievements of his presidency. Under pressure, President Barack Obama tapped Warren in September to lead the agency on a temporary basis. Warren, a passionate consumer advocate, is supposed to stand up the unit before it assumes its full power in July. The White House has two choices: either go around the Senate and tap the agency’s director through a recess appointment, or pick someone the Senate will confirm. Shortly before tapping Warren, Obama noted the difficulty he’s had in getting the Senate to confirm his nominees. “I’m concerned about all Senate confirmations these days,” Obama said Sept. 10. “I mean, if I nominate somebody for dog catcher…” “I’ve got people who have been waiting for six months to get confirmed who nobody has an official objection to and who were voted out of committee unanimously, and I can’t get a vote on them,” he continued. Because of that difficulty, the White House “has always looked at a recess appointment as a possibility,” said Michael Calhoun, president of the Center for Responsible Lending. “And they can’t let the agency go without a director come July.” White House spokesmen didn’t respond to e-mailed requests for comment. Opponents have vowed a nomination fight. Observers believe that whomever the White House chooses will likely face extensive grilling and opposition by Senators who oppose the very idea of a dedicated consumer agency. Not having a director in place by July — and thus preventing the agency from supervising nonbank lenders — would be a “positive” for the industry, said Bill Cosgrove, president and chief executive of Union National Mortgage Company, a nonbank lender based in Ohio. “What we’re concerned about is overkill in terms of regulation,” he said. Cosgrove added that state regulators, which currently oversee lenders like his firm, have stepped up their oversight of his industry. His firm has been audited by six different state regulators in the past year alone, he said. Though the auditors’ report places additional pressure on the administration to get a director in place so the agency can police firms like Cosgrove’s, and not face the wrath of bankers who will note the administration’s broken promise of a “level playing field,” Calhoun said he was confident that the White House will meet its deadline. “They have to,” he said. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is a business reporter for The Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

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Obama’s Regulations Review Draws Mixed Responses

January 19, 2011

This story has been updated President Obama’s government-wide review of federal regulations, announced in an op-ed piece in the Wall Street Journal and with an executive order issued this morning, was immediately pounced on as a political move to curry favor with business interests by both health and safety advocates and conservative critics of the administration. And the true impact of the new agenda remains hard to assess, with the White House disclosing few details, such as which rules will be targeted and how the order will be implemented. Part of the new agenda involves taking a fresh look at old regulations that may be outdated and ineffective due to changes in technology and human behavior, according to an OMB spokesperson. The full impact of the review, which, according to a source close to the discussions, was developed by the administration’s regulatory czar Cass Sunstein and White House officials over the last two years, will only become clear when the Office of Management and Budget issues its guidance, which will be issued to federal agencies within the next few months. Such a document describes how agencies should actually implement the order. The review will exempt some federal agencies independent of the White House and will not impact health care reform and financial regulatory reform, the administration’s two biggest achievements. Obama’s review requires agencies, within 120 days, to determine how they will periodically assess current regulations to figure out which ones to modify, streamline, expand or repeal. Though the focus on burdensome regulations made headlines, it is clear that some rules could be strengthened and toughened, which encouraged some watchdog groups. Financial reform and health care reform will not be in danger, assured White House press secretary Robert Gibbs, who said that a cost-benefit analysis of both overhauls would demonstrate their positive impact. Gibbs did not provide more details on the review, beyond emphasizing “the very commonsense idea that we must protect the health and the safety of the American people without impeding our economic growth.” Though the president wrote that the overhaul is in line with his administration’s work to achieve “the proper balance” between protecting the public and stimulating the economy, his language seemed intended to win the favor of corporate America. Obama said the review was begun to “make sure we avoid excessive, inconsistent and redundant regulation,” which closely matched remarks made by one of the president’s chief nemeses, Chamber of Commerce President Tom Donohue. Donogue penned a scathing op-ed three months ago denouncing regulations that “are outdated, ineffective, overly complicated and counterproductive.” On Tuesday morning, Donohue welcome the new agenda in a statement praising the president for “restoring balance to government regulations.” Describing the executive order as “a positive first step,” Donohue also stuck the knife in, adding that “it also means repealing or replacing outdated or ineffective regulations” and that the review should include health care and financial reform laws. In addition, the Business Roundtable, a leading lobbying organization, said it welcomed the review, calling it “an important change in direction from the administration. Two weeks ago, in response to new House Oversight Committee chairman Republican Darryl Issa’s letter to business leaders asking them to list regulations they consider burdensome, the group lashed out at the “regulatory tsunami” hindering investment and job creation. Issa, who has become the White House’s chief tormentor, offered some of the kindest words he’s ever directed in the president’s direction: “I applaud President Obama for joining what must be an effort that stretches beyond ideological entrenchments to identify the regulatory impediments that have prevented real and sustained job growth in the private sector. And amid speculation that Obama was also reaching out to the new Republican House majority, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor took some credit for the new agenda, saying in a statement, “Interestingly, though he and his administration didn’t embrace it last year, we have noticed pieces of the plan being incorporated by the president, including trade agreements and rolling back barriers to job creation found in the regulatory system.” The move seemed to be in line with Obama’s recent business-friendly overtures, such as the naming of JPMorgan executive William Daley as his chief of staff and his upcoming visit to the Chamber, and critics remained skeptical. Celeste Monforton, a legal scholar with the Center for Progressive Reform criticized the president for “pandering to the business community,” adding that she was troubled by the new emphasis on regulations as a vehicle for job creation and economic growth. “We have have heard that rhetoric for many years and have not been able to come up with any concrete examples of how worker safety and health hurt business.” Gary Bass, the executive director of watchdog group OMB Watch, who has consulted the White House on transparency issues, says he was blindsided by the announcement and has mixed feelings. Though he was encouraged by the focus on stronger regulatory compliance, calling it “marvelous” and an appropriate response to the BP oil spill, Bass was disheartened by the push for flexibility, explaining that there doesn’t seem to be enough of an emphasis on balancing the burdens of regulations with the benefits of protecting the public. “That presidential memo had the look and feel of coming from the office of advocacy in the Small Business Administration, which was probably drafted by the Chamber.” Bass argued that the order’s emphasis on reviewing current rules is not a new step, since previous administrations did the same thing to little effect. “Clinton’s executive order also called for a look-back so one could argue that none of this stuff is really new,” says Bass. Conservative scholars welcomed the review but were skeptical of Obama’s motives. “The balance beam will move a little, but I doubt it will impact the implementation,” said NYU Law School professor Richard Epstein, a conservative who once made the controversial argument that environmental regulations should be considered similar to eminent domain laws. “The encouraging point is that it is a belated recognition at the general level of not making enemies when it helps to make friends.” Other proponents of cost-benefit analysis were more hopeful about the new agenda, noting that the administration has embraced an aggressive regulatory approach in a way that is economically justified. “I think my overarching impression was that I like the vector he’s on, which is about smart vs. dumb and doing more with less,” says economist Roger Martin, the dean of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management. “Lots of people make arguments that there is too much regulation, but when there are regulations that are really really important, you couldn’t live without them. There have always been some kind of regulations in society, whether it’s rules enforced by village elders or what we have now. It’s about smart versus dumb regulations.” Michael Livermore, the Institute for Policy Integrity’s executive director, claims that the cost-benefit analysis enshrined in Obama’s executive order rewards regulations that benefit society, dismissing conservative arguments that most regulations are burdensome to businesses. “For rules they’ve adopted in which you get more benefit at less cost, the net benefit to society is worth billions and billions.”

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Video: Warren `Can’t Believe’ Consumer Bureau Would Be Repealed

January 7, 2011

Jan. 6 (Bloomberg) — Elizabeth Warren, the White House adviser assigned to set up a U.S. consumer financial-protection bureau, talks about the efforts by congressional Republicans to block funding for the new agency. Holly Petraeus, appointed by Warren to establish an office within the consumer agency dedicated to military personnel and their families, also speaks. They talk with Bloomberg’s Lizzie O’Leary. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Petraeus Plans Focus on Online Scams, Military Victims

January 7, 2011

Jan. 6 (Bloomberg) — Elizabeth Warren, the White House adviser assigned to set up a U.S. consumer financial-protection bureau, and Holly Petraeus, appointed by Warren to establish an office within the consumer agency dedicated to military personnel and their families, talk about protecting service members from consumer fraud. Petraeus is the wife of Army General David Petraeus. They speak with Lizzie O’Leary on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Debtris: Animation Captures The Scale Of U.S. Debt (VIDEO)

January 3, 2011

The Sunday talk shows this week sparked fresh anxiety over the U.S. debt puzzle this week, with Austan Goolsbee, the chairman of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers pushing back hard against GOP refusal to raise the debt ceiling . If the debt ceiling isn’t extended this spring, the U.S. government could be effectively shut down, as it defaults on its obligations, a possibility that Austan Goolsbee, the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, calls “the first default in history caused purely by insanity.” In an interview on ABC’s This Week Goolsbee hit the “game” rhetoric hard. “This is not a game… I don’t see why anybody’s talking about playing chicken with the debt ceiling … There would be no reason for us to default other than that would be some kind of game. We shouldn’t even be discussing that.” The animators at Information Is Beautiful , however, have turned U.S. debt into a game of Tetris. Viewed below in relation to the cost of the credit crisis , the global cost of obesity related illness and total African debt to the West , our current debt problems don’t seem too severe. Behold, Debtris: The Game:

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Bruce Bartlett: Time to Reform the Budget Process

December 31, 2010

ne consequence of the Senate’s irresponsible delay in confirming Jacob Lew as director of the Office of Management and Budget is that Congress will have less time to finish its work on the budget next year. This week, the White House announced that the president’s budget won’t be sent to Capitol Hill until mid-February, a week later than usual. It probably won’t make much difference. For decades, the president’s budget has been dead on arrival in Congress. This wasn’t always the case. Before creation of the Congressional Budget Office in 1974, the White House had a virtual monopoly on budget numbers. Congress, therefore, had little choice but to work from the president’s baseline and accept his underlying assumptions, which meant that appropriations bills tended to adhere closely to presidential priorities.

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EXCLUSIVE: Obama Team Dysfunction Hurt Economic Policy, Says New Epilogue To Book

December 30, 2010

Some revelations about the Obama administration detailed in the new epilogue to the upcoming paperback release of Jonathan Alter’s bestseller, “The Promise,” probably won’t please too many folks at the White House. Alter claims that a dysfunctional relationship between top White House aides hurt the administration’s policy on job creation, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau was almost dropped from financial reform legislation and was only reinstated after complaints by Elizabeth Warren, and Bill Clinton continually grumbles about being disrespected by the administration. The Obama administration’s perceived failure to take laser-like aim at the unemployment crisis was partly due to the dysfunctional relationship between White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel, top economic adviser Larry Summers and senior adviser David Axelrod, specifically the intransigence of Summers, according to Alter: “The inability to pivot in 2010 to a single-minded focus on jobs was a by-product of what one senior aide called “dysfunction” between Emanuel, Summers, and Axelrod. Rahm had always admired Larry, but he was becoming exasperated with his failure to give him a jobs plan he could sell. ‘Week after week, Rahm would say, ‘Let’s explore this’ or ‘How about that?’ and Larry would slow-walk everything,’ recalled one senior advisor. ‘He basically doesn’t believe in the government helping small business’.” Alter writes that the CFPB survived certain death only because of Warren’s commitment: “The most popular provision of Dodd-Frank almost didn’t happen. In late 2009 Elizabeth Warren learned that a proposed bureau of consumer financial protection had been dropped from the bill. She went to the White House to object, and the bureau, to the dismay of predatory lenders, was reinstated.” Obama’s relationship with the Clintons remains strained and Bill Clinton constantly complains in private about how he’s been disrespected by the administration, writes Alter. Though they talk frequently, the former president was annoyed that Obama didn’t give him credit for helping to negotiate a spy swap that led to the release from Russian jails of four Russians who had been working for the CIA (in the wake of the bust of Russian spies living in American suburbs six months ago), Clinton’s aides tell Alter. In addition, Clinton was miffed that Samantha Power, who insulted Hillary during the 2008 campaign, was chosen as an emissary to Bosnia in July. (“Bill Clinton might not have accepted the job, but he wanted to be asked,” Alter writes.) “An old friend compared him [Clinton] to a big puppy dog who just needed some attention to be happy and helpful.” Clinton felt dissed because, after negotiating the release by North Korea of two imprisoned American journalists, he was told to travel on a separate plane so as not to overshadow the arrival of the women. “Some of these guys in the White House act small,” one aide told Alter. And Clinton’s team was angry that former protégés like Rahm Emanuel didn’t show the former president proper respect. After Clinton “worked like a nerd” to prepare a detailed 30-page memo on how to incentivize banks with loan guarantees to spur job creation, the White House ignored the memo for a few months, and then treated Clinton like a “prop” during Obama’s meeting with CEOs. When a Clinton aide complained to Emanuel, “Are you serious?”, the chief of staff replied that Clinton should be grateful he was on the president’s schedule at all, writes Alter. “Clinton felt better disposed toward his 1992 opponent, George H.W. Bush… one senior aide described Bush as a ‘father figure’ to Clinton, who never knew his natural father…” Tough media coverage continued to annoy the administration. When the New York Times reported in August that BP was rising to the challenge of cleaning up the oil spill but hardly noted the administration’s role, Obama snapped, “I’m getting pounded for not pushing BP hard enough and now they turn around and say BP did an acceptable job in spite of Obama. We can’t win.” Alter details Obama’s poisonous relationship with Congressional Republican leaders John Boehner and Mitch McConnell — though the president talked to John McCain in spite of his 2008 rival’s anti-Obama rhetoric, he refused for months to meet one-on-one with McConnell, because he thought it was unfair to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. After a frustrating mid-summer meeting with Republican leadership at the White House, Obama expressed his annoyance at Boehner’s insistence on extending tax cuts for the wealthy despite the budget deficit. The president told friends: “All I want for Christmas is an opposition I can negotiate with.” The White House has not yet responded to a late-afternoon request for comment.

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HuffPost TV: WATCH: Roy Sekoff Says Obama ‘Just Not That Into’ Tax Cuts For The Rich

December 17, 2010

Roy Sekoff appeared on “The Ed Show” Wednesday night to discuss the reasoning behind Obama’s willingness to extend the Bush-era tax cuts to the richest Americans. The bottom line? “Sometimes the simplest answer is the right answer,” Sekoff said. “[Obama] is just not that into forcing the wealthy to pay their fair share.” Sekoff cited the White House’s unyielding fight on other issues, such as the START treaty, as evidence. “They’re fighting on the hill tooth and nail to pass the START treaty,” he said. “The White House is doing things they’ve never done for tax cuts. They’re pounding the pavement. They’re twisting arms. They’re calling out Republicans. And you know what? It looks like they’re going to get their way on that one. It shows that when they want to fight, they can do it.” Sekoff offered a somber analogy to sum up his feelings on the matter: “I feel like I’m a divorced guy looking at the old home movies of the president I used to love…what happened?” WATCH: Visit msnbc.com for breaking news , world news , and news about the economy

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HuffPost TV: WATCH: Howard Fineman Talks Romney’s Opposition To ‘The Obama Compromise’ On ‘Hardball’

December 14, 2010

Howard Fineman appeared on “Hardball” Tuesday evening to discuss the White House compromise on tax cuts, including Mitt Romney’s recent opposition to the deal. “Help me, Howard, I’ve never needed you more,” Chris Matthews said, perplexed as to why such a staunch Republican would be against extending tax cuts for the wealthy. Fineman replied that there was both “substance and music” to Romney’s position. “The substance is…he wants these tax cuts to be permanent, not just two years, but permanent. That way they have a true supply side effect.” “But what he’s really trying to do is show he understands the music of the tea party,” Fineman continued. “What a lot of Republican conservatives don’t like, and what Mitt Romney is playing to, is the fact that in conservative circles this is now known as the ‘Obama Compromise,’ and that in and of itself is enough to doom it.” WATCH:

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Tax-Cut Plan Eases Pressure On Bernanke And Fed

December 13, 2010

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve last month absorbed a wave of criticism for announcing it will buy $600 billion in Treasury bonds to try to revitalize the economy. It won’t help, critics said. So when Fed officials meet Tuesday, they’re likely to feel a weight has been lifted: The White House and key Republicans have agreed on a tax-cut deal that’s expected to do just what critics said the Fed’s bond purchases wouldn’t: Boost spending, spur hiring and speed economic growth. Economists say they think the Fed will still carry out its full $600 billion bond-buying plan by the end of June as scheduled. Unemployment is 9.8 percent, and the economy needs all the help it can get. But the tax-cut plan does make the Fed less likely to buy even more than $600 billion in bonds – something Chairman Ben Bernanke said it might do if the economy needed further help. No policy changes are expected at the Fed’s meeting. “The tax-cut plan reduces pressure on the Fed to have to buy more government securities,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. “I think they are committed to $600 billion because they aren’t certain how things will turn out. It’s always possible the economy could rev up rapidly. But I think the odds are low the Fed will do less.” Zandi and other economists think the tax cuts will help stimulate growth over the next two years. And consequently, the Fed might have to raise record-low interest rates sooner than had been expected. That’s because stronger growth increases the risk of high inflation, which the Fed fights by raising rates to cool the economy. The tax-cut plan will also swell the government’s annual budget deficits, which are already running well over $1 trillion. Zandi and others now think the Fed will start raising rates in late 2012, compared with early 2013 without the tax-cut plan. The Fed announced its Treasury-purchase plan at its last meeting, Nov. 3. At the time, Congress seemed unlikely to do much on its own to strengthen the economy. Bernanke felt Congress’ reluctance to approve new stimulative spending obliged the Fed to do what it could to further drive down interest rates. But early this month, the White House and Republicans forged a broad tax-cut deal that seems likely to pass despite resistance from many Democrats. Among other things, the plan would extend 2001 and 2003 income-tax cuts for two years; renew long-term unemployment aid for 13 more months; reduce workers’ Social Security taxes in 2011; and let companies increase their tax write-offs for capital investments next year. The tax-cut package does raise the risk of higher interest rates resulting from a stronger economy. And critics say the Fed’s bond purchases will contribute to inflation pressures because it will be flooding the financial system with dollars – essentially, printing more money. Investors have already bid up the yield on the 10-year Treasury note in anticipation of higher inflation and higher rates. From a low of around 2.4 percent in early October, the yield on the 10-year Treasury has surged nearly a full percentage point to about 3.3 percent. Lowering rates on mortgages and other loans, to make it cheaper to borrow, was a key goal of the Fed’s bond-buying program. Instead, higher Treasury yields in recent weeks have raised mortgage rates, which tend to track long-term Treasury yields. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage has reached 4.61 percent. That’s up sharply from 4.17 percent a month ago, the lowest rate in the 40 years that records have been kept. Yet in defense of the Fed, some economists say rates would be even higher now if not for the Fed’s program to buy more Treasurys. And even the current slightly higher rates remain near historic lows. Most economists say the benefits of the tax-cut plan will outweigh the costs of slightly higher interest rates. That’s why economists are raising their estimates for economic growth. Zandi, for instance, has raised his forecast for economic growth next year from 2.7 percent to 4 percent. It also helps explain why stock prices have been rising. The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index is at a new high for the year and is now trading at roughly the same price it did the week before Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy protection in September 2008. Higher stock prices are helping households rebuild the wealth they lost to the recession. That, in turn, is spurring higher spending, especially by wealthier Americans. At the same time, critics who worry about inflation and the nation’s trillion-dollar budget deficits point to the tax-cut plan’s estimated $855 billion cost over two years. Lawmakers have yet to agree on any long-term deficit-reduction plan. Worries about runaway deficits and debt could inflame inflation fears. Bond investors would demand ever higher returns to lend their money. A sharp run-up in interest rates would slow the economy. The current roughly 3.3 percent yield on the 10-year Treasury is still low enough to support strong growth, economists say. But the higher it goes, the bigger the drag on growth as higher rates ripple through the economy. “Once it exceeds the 5 percent threshold, the recovery is in danger of stalling,” said Bernard Baumohl, chief economist at the Economic Outlook Group. “Higher borrowing costs will cool business and consumer spending.” Baumohl said he worries the Fed’s bond-buying program may prove counter-productive if “bond investors increasingly worry that additional monetary stimulus, in conjunction with the latest stimulative tax deal, will cause inflation expectations to flare up.” At their meeting Tuesday, Bernanke and his colleagues will likely discuss the effect of the tax-cut deal on the Fed’s efforts to stimulate the economy. But with scant likelihood of any Fed policy changes, attention has turned instead to the tax-cut plan emerging in Congress – its benefits and its risks. And no one is looking anymore at the Fed to rescue the economy alone.

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HuffPost TV: WATCH: Arianna Tells ‘Morning Joe’ Hosts Why Tax Cut Deal Is A ‘Problem’

December 13, 2010

Arianna appeared on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” Monday to discuss the tax cut deal and its impending vote in the Senate. Noting that the bill shows the president “capitulated” to Republican interests, she voiced concern about Obama’s “pattern” of saying one thing and acting differently. “He proposed and accepted something he’s been opposing for years,” she said. She compared the tax cut compromise with the White House’s handling of financial reform, explaining that in both instances, Obama’s message contradicted his behavior. With the financial reform package, she said, he “basically did a lot of what Wall Street wanted, and then went on to give a speech calling them ‘fat cats’ and attacking them…the rhetoric does not match the actions.” The main problem with the tax cut deal, Arianna continued, is its failure to address job creation. “The president has been saying for months now that jobs is the highest priority,” she said. “And the whole debate has gone completely away from jobs. No one can tell you that this [deal] will substantially grow the economy or produce innovation.” WATCH: Visit msnbc.com for breaking news , world news , and news about the economy

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Obama, CEOs To Talk Job Creation Wednesday

December 11, 2010

WASHINGTON — The White House says President Barack Obama will discuss ideas for creating jobs and making the U.S. more competitive when he hosts about 20 CEOs on Wednesday. The White House isn’t saying yet who’s on the invitation list for the event at Blair House. White House spokeswoman Jennifer Psaki (SAH’-kee) says the session will give the president a chance to continue building his relationship with the business community. Obama has said that’s an area he needs to work on. Likely areas of discussion will include promoting exports and making sure the next generation is skilled enough to compete in a global marketplace. Other topics include tax reform, government regulation and the country’s medium and long-term federal deficits. Obama’s meeting with the corporate executives comes just weeks after the Commerce Department reported that U.S. corporations posted the highest profits ever recorded during the third quarter of the 2010 fiscal year. Despite a combined $1.659 trillion in corporate profits, hiring remains scarce . According to the most recent unemployment figures, 9.8 percent of all working-age Americans are seeking a job.

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Obama To Convene CEO Summit

December 11, 2010

WASHINGTON–President Barack Obama will convene a one-day summit of corporate chief executives Wednesday as part of a renewed White House effort to build support among business leaders for his economic agenda.

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Obama-Republican Deal Could Mean Tax Hike For One In Three Workers

December 10, 2010

WASHINGTON – The tax deal reached between President Obama and congressional Republicans could mean a higher tax bill for roughly one in three workers as a result of the Social Security tax cut Republicans pushed as a replacement for the current Making Work Pay tax credit. The Making Work Pay credit gives workers up to $400, paid out at 8 percent of income, meaning that anybody making at least $5,000 gets the full amount — and gets as much as anybody else. Its replacement knocks two percentage points off the payroll tax cut, meaning a worker would need to make $20,000 to get a $400 break. Of the nation’s roughly 150 million workers, around 50 million make less than $20,000 and will see at least some increase as a result. Additionally, roughly a quarter of 20 million state and local workers pay no payroll tax, because they have a separate pension system. Some of those workers with children will benefit from the extension of other tax credits, but overall will have less money in their pocket. Rep. Raul Grijalva (D-Ariz.), co-chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, said many House liberals were opposed to the payroll tax cut because of its effect on the poorest workers. Progressives are also concerned that the tax cut will become permanent and undermine Social Security’s funding stream and political support over time. Senior White House adviser Larry Summers told reporters on Wednesday that the GOP wanted to replace Making Work Pay with the payroll cut. “It came out of the process of compromise with the Republicans who were more attracted to the payroll tax holiday concept, and that was a proposal that, as had been coming out of here, we had been giving considerable thought to in the context of the President’s budget,” he said. White House officials have said that the situation must be viewed in the context of the entire package and that Republicans strongly resisted extending the refundable tax credits, such as the child tax credit or earned income tax credit, that will more than offset the loss of MWP for many workers. Had those credits expired, lower income workers would have been worse off. House Democrats, in their package, did not extend MWP, so, in that sense, the White House proposal is more generous. Making Work Pay is a more effective stimulus, economist Dean Baker said, because a higher proportion goes to the poorest workers, who are most likely to spend it immediately. “Dollar for dollar, undoubtedly, Making Work Pay is going to be more stimulative. The higher-end people will get five times as much than someone earning $20,000,” said Baker, of the liberal-leaning Center for Economic Policy and Research. Summers, asked by reporters about the effect on poorer workers, conceded that they would suffer slightly under the payroll tax cut as compared to Making Work Pay, but said the other tax credit extensions would balance it out or make the family better off. And if GDP goes up by one percent, he said, “that’s $2,000 for the average family.” Of course, wealth is not distributed to each family equally in the United States, so the poorest are very unlikely to see as much of a benefit from economic growth as the wealthiest. But the extensions of the tax credits, ultimately, are merely extensions, so workers won’t see a change in their income like they will see the change as a result of the change from Make Work Pay to a payroll tax cut. “It is just kind of an absurdity that we’re making so many low income and moderate income workers suffer as a result of a downturn that was brought about by Wall Street greed and incompetence,” Baker said. The White House, meanwhile, is circulating a chart comparing “What We Got” and “What They Got,” making the case that Democrats got much more, with the “We Got” stack roughly doubling up its rival. But, noted Rep. Donna Edwards (D-Md.) after Thursday’s Democratic meaning, the payroll tax cut could just as easily go in the Republican side. And if the temporary Democratic victories expire and the tax cuts for the wealthy are extended, the chart looks that much redder, as put together here by MoveOn.org in response to the White House.

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Trade Deficit Falls To 9-Month Low On Big Demand From China, India

December 10, 2010

Buoyed by strong demand from China and India, the U.S. trade deficit dropped to its lowest level in 9 months, as exports rose to their highest level in two years. The trade gap narrowed 13.2 percent to $38.7 billion in October and exports gained 3.2 percent over the same period. A good portion of the this increase has been driven by manufactured goods. “Exports of manufactured goods have accounted for about two-thirds of the total growth in exports so far this year,” Mark Dorns, Chief Economist at the Department of Commerce said in a statement. These numbers should please the Obama Administration, who’ve set out to double exports over the next five years to combat high unemployment rates and encourage domestic manufacturers. Analysis by the Economics and Statistics Administration indicate that exports in will this year support close to 9.4 million jobs, an increase from a 2009 estimate that put the number at 8.5 million. Chris Cornell, an analyst for Moody’s Analytics , was optimistic about the trade report. “Trade will improve at a disproportionate rate until it settles into its long-run pattern,” he said. He noted that exports had recovered nearly all of their losses since the start of the recession, while imports are perhaps two-thirds of the way to recovery. “Our forecast for fourth quarter GDP growth is likely to be higher, though precisely how much higher remains up in the air,” he said. The White House’s five-year export goal may be feasible, at least according to Moody’s forecast results which showed exports expected to be about $3 trillion by the fourth quarter of 2014, which would indeed double the $1.25 trillion reported in the second quarter of 2009. But, much will depend on the economies of China and Latin America, Cornell cautioned. The U.S. trade deficit with China, its largest trade gap by far, dropped 8.3 percent to $25.5 billion in October, but still accounts for about 65 percent of the overall trade deficit.

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Video: Warren Says Bonuses Show Big Banks Don’t Grasp Problem

December 10, 2010

Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) — Elizabeth Warren, the White House adviser in charge of setting up the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, talks with Judy Woodruff about Wall Street profits and executive bonus payouts amid an unstable economy. (This is an excerpt of the full interview to air this weekend on “Conversations With Judy Woodruff.” Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Goolsbee Says Obama Got Incentives He Wanted in Tax Deal: Video

December 10, 2010

Dec. 9 (Bloomberg) — Austan Goolsbee, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, talks about the agreement reached between President Barack Obama and Republican lawmakers to extend Bush-era tax cuts for all income levels. House Democrats voted to block a floor debate on Obama’s tax deal, in a non-binding move to force changes in the proposal. Goolsbee talks with Matt Miller and Carol Massar on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Larry Summers: If Tax Deal Goes Down There’s A ‘Significant Risk’ Of A Double Dip Recession

December 8, 2010

Senior White House officials significantly raised the stakes on congressional Democrats in their efforts to get a deal passed on the Bush tax cuts, warning on Wednesday that inaction would “significantly increase the risk” of a double dip recession. It wasn’t quite the metaphorical flare of mushroom cloud imagery, but outgoing senior economic adviser Larry Summers offered a fairly dire assessment of the stakes in the tax cut debate. “If they [Democrats] don’t pass this bill in the next couple weeks it will materially increase the risk that the economy would stall out and we would have a double dip,” he told a gathering of reporters at an off camera briefing. A double dip recession? “What I said it would significantly increase the risk,” Summers replied. The message was hardly subtle. But it certainly was debatable. Summers himself, downplayed the significance of continuing the Bush tax cuts back in September — though he was speaking, then, about the rates for the rich and the tax cut deal, at that point in time, did not include money for a 13-month extension of unemployment insurance or other tax incentives to help lower income workers. Asked whether the country would find itself dipping towards the economic doldrums if Congress waited a month or two to get a tax cut package passed, Rob Shapiro, a former commerce official in the Clinton White House and a proponent of the current tax cut deal, offered more sober-minded analysis. “The wait would not cause a double dip,” he said. “A double dip would come out of the reality of a relatively contractionary fiscal policy… I do think the deal that they announced is stimulative. And it ought to boost growth by some increment… But the issue is, that the deal certainly is not enough to lift the economy to a different place. Will we see what happened with the large stimulus happen here, which is once the stimulus is over the economy returns to slow growth? That’s the danger. And I keep on saying this, the single most important thing they can do to avert that is to stabilize housing prices.” Stabilizing the housing market, however, is not on the current congressional docket. And on Wednesday, the White House began a robust process of selling the deal to Democrats — skeptical, as they are, about an extension of Bush tax cuts for the wealthy and a generous revision of the estate tax. There were few carrots to go along with the sticks. Asked, for instance, if the White House would be willing to revise the informal compromise to bring more Democratic lawmakers on board, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said any changes would be fine, so long as they didn’t result in decreased support. Then he cautioned: “The physics and the blood and the sweat that might be involved in that, I’m not entirely sure I would put it quite as simply as that.” If anything, the pitch being offered from the administration to the rest of the party was: take the package now or risk being blamed for an economic downturn. “I guess the question back for those who ask [why not fight for more] is where does this go, what is the end game and what are the consequences of playing it?” said senior adviser David Axelrod. “Do they have a sense of how this ends and how long will that take, because as Larry said there are real consequences to that. Just as the forecasts went up on the basis of this agreement they will go down if this agreement fails. That we know. We know that on January 1 people’s taxes will go up, we know that at the end of this month 2 million people will lose their unemployment insurance. And so there are real consequences to that decision. We, I think we all stipulate, the president did, no one likes those provisions that they dislike but on the other side of the ledger are significant things that will help people and help the economy. And what we know for sure is that without any of it we are facing a really difficult situation.” Added Gibbs: “I think you would really have to ask somebody who says… lets have some eight week fight and on February the 15th come in and say, alright, now we are ready to make a compromise, who on earth, who on earth thinks that that is somehow going to be a fundamentally better agreement than the one we are looking at right now? No one I have ever talked to.”

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Dean, Ex-Obama Advisers Lament President’s Tax-Cut Deal

December 7, 2010

WASHINGTON — Obama’s decision to craft a deal with Republicans on the Bush tax cuts may have been, as administration officials insist, the product of economic and political necessities. But it has created deep reservoirs of distrust with the president’s ability to handle high-stakes negotiations and has compelled even former staffers to level blunt criticisms about the White House’s politics. “I think the president made a huge mistake in supporting any extension of tax cuts,” said Steve Hildebrand, the deputy national director of Obama’s presidential campaign and a strategist who has long grown sour on Washington. “We can’t afford it as a country, and we should recognize that. We need his leadership and bipartisan congressional leadership on it. And the whole idea of negotiating with Republicans who won’t negotiate in good faith, it is not the direction the president should be taking.” Hildebrand — while hesitant to discuss politics over policy — was reacting to the deal reached Monday evening that would extend the Bush tax rates for two more years in exchange for a 13-month extension of unemployment benefits and other tax cuts provisions the president has long favored. He wasn’t the only former Obama hand to speak critically about such an exchange, but the first since the administration announced the deal. That none of the measures would be paid for was a major problem, Hildebrand and other Democrats stressed. Writing hundreds of billions in tax cuts was simply incompatible with supporting long-standing safety net programs, let alone protecting the country’s long-term fiscal security. “We clearly have to deal with the deficit; it is probably the biggest problem facing the country,” said former DNC header Howard Dean. “But you can’t deal with the deficit from a political point of view if you say to Democrats, we are going to cut Social Security and Medicare and, by the way, give tax cuts to those who make a million dollars a year.” Antipathy, however, was saved as much for the process of securing the final tax cut package as for the substance of the package itself. Suggesting that the deal could die in the House, Dean echoed a question other Democrats offered in the hours after Obama’s announcement: Was enough secured in return? “I’m not so sure you can get the House to agree to this in conference committee,” he said. “And what about the president’s other priorities: Don’t Ask Don’t Tell, START, DREAM Act? I mean, do we not get anything for the $700 billion?” Certainly, Democrats got something, perhaps even more than expected. Discussing the arrangement with the Huffington Post, senior administration officials stressed that even the labor federation “AFL-CIO did not think…we could keep” the 13 months of unemployment insurance. The actual cost of the provisions that the White House secured, meanwhile, was pricier than the cost of extending the Bush tax cuts for the rich — $215 billion (including UI) versus $95 billion, all over two years. And so it wasn’t entirely surprising that some more progressive-minded columnists and economists opined favorably (albeit with caveats) about the final package. As Ezra Klein noted , “the end result is between $200 and $300 billion more in tax breaks, tax credits and unemployment insurance” that is, effectively, a stimulus. And yet, for skeptical lawmakers, it was hard to ignore how bungled the entire process seemed to be. What could the president have gotten had he stood a bit firmer in negotiations? “I don’t like this at all,” Rep. Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) said. “The president has not put up much of a fight.” Moreover, why should the caucus trust the White House to re-litigate this same battle when the tax rates expire two years from now? “My view is that if you’ve got a problem, deal with it now and you don’t kick it down the road for later,” Rep. Peter Welch (D-Vt.), who is whipping members to oppose the deal, told the Huffington Post. “Two years from now, we are going to have the reality of a Republican majority in the House, and we know their point of view on this. They will be for more tax cuts and higher deficit…this was our best chance.”

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4 Million Set To Lose Unemployment Benefits — Even If Congress Passes Extension

December 3, 2010

Even as Congress debates whether to extend emergency unemployment checks for more than 6 million Americans who are approaching the 99-week-limit, some four million others are facing the certain end of their benefits over the next year, unless an entirely new program is crafted. This is the sobering conclusion of a report released by the President’s Council of Economic Advisers on Thursday. The study forecast that the exhaustion of unemployment benefits for so many will curb spending power enough to significantly impede an already weak economic recovery. The typical household now receiving emergency unemployment benefits would see their income fall by a third should they lose their checks, according to the report. Among the roughly 40 percent of households in which the person receiving a check is the sole breadwinner, income would fall by 90 percent. The existing emergency unemployment program, which extends benefits for nearly two years, expired on Wednesday. Without an agreement to extend the program, the economy will lose about 600,000 jobs, as the spending enabled by continued unemployment checks ceases. National economic output–which expanded at an annual pace of 2.5 percent during the summer months–would fall off by 0.6 percent. That disturbing prospect does not even account for the roughly four million people who would exceed even the extended limits in the emergency program. Were that many jobless people left to fend themselves without unemployment checks, that would pose significant risks for the broader economy, say economists. They cite the fact that consumer spending accounts for roughly 70 percent of all economic activity. “If you’re looking for economic recovery supported by consumers, it’s discouraging,” said Henry J. Aaron, an economist at the Brookings Institution, a research institution in Washington. “It’s drag on the economy.” Many economists argue that paying unemployment benefits is among the most effective ways the government can spur the economy: Jobless people tend to spend nearly all of their unemployment checks, distributing those dollars throughout the economy. “There’s very few things we can spend money on that probably have such an immediate impact on household consumption as unemployment benefits for the long-term unemployed,” said Gary Burtless, a former Labor Department economist and now a fellow at Broookings. But even as the White House pushes Congress to reauthorize the existing emergency program, little discussion centers on what to do to prevent another four million jobless people from losing public assistance. If any active proposal exists to support this group, it remains well hidden. “That’s not where the war is being fought right now,” said Aaron. “Given the current configuration of political forces, nobody is proposing to do anything about it.” A senior administration official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said the White House is now focused on trying to persuade Congress to reauthorize the existing emergency unemployment program, which would protect 6.7 million unemployed workers from losing their checks over the next year. (See the below chart from the CEA’s report.) Given that even this goal is now uncertain, seeking yet another program for the four million jobless people at risk of exhausting emergency assistance seems futile, the official said. “The President will continue to work to ensure that Americans fighting to find a job can keep food on the table and make ends meet,” White House spokeswoman Amy Brundage said in an e-mailed statement. The diminishing support for the growing ranks of the long-term unemployed seems certain to add to demands on an already strained social safety net. Research shows that the longer a worker has been without a job the harder it is to find a new one, raising the likelihood that many of those losing their checks at the end of their 99-week term will have great difficulty securing a paycheck. Yet even those who lose their unemployment checks will not necessarily qualify for other forms of aid, like food stamps, said Burtless. “Only a pretty small fraction of the people who exhaust benefits are going to qualify,” Burtless said. Many of these workers have long been employed and have accumulated savings and assets such as houses, which makes them ineligible for support, he said. More than 6.3 million workers were out of a job for at least 27 weeks in November, comprising nearly 42 percent of all unemployed Americans, according to Labor Department data released Friday. The Federal Reserve forecasts that the unemployment rate will still be as high as 9 percent this time next year, and about 8 percent at the end of 2012, according to minutes from the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting last month. “What we’re seeing right now is the Christmas present from Scrooge,” said Aaron, the Brookings economist. “Merry Christmas, we’re cutting off your benefits.” ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is the business reporter for The Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

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David Bank: Scoring a Fiscal and Social Win-Win

December 2, 2010

It’s safe to say the debt commission’s proposal to raise Social Security’s retirement age to 69 has more to do with trimming finances than it does with a compelling vision of longer working lives. But there is a bountiful fiscal and social harvest to be reaped by accelerating the growing trend toward working longer — by choice not fiat. It’s not a stretch to say encore careers could help drive the kind of economic prosperity and job creation needed to make the debt more manageable. The potential windfall from longer working lives wasn’t factored into the calculations presented to the fiscal commission, but it should be. An initiative to enable people to work longer could eliminate cuts to Social Security that penalize those who cannot work and do nothing for those who can. Encore careers are a good investment. Americans working an average of just three years longer than they do now — raising the median age from just over 62 years now to just over 65 years — would give the economy an $800 billion a year boost, according to a model developed for Andrew Biggs of the American Enterprise Institute. That would generate $1.2 trillion in tax revenues between 2015 and 2024, Biggs says. ( Note: Biggs favors raising Social Security’s early-eligibility age, but says similar returns are possible with any combination of sticks and carrots that boost the median retirement age .) Economists agree that higher labor force participation drives higher economic growth. A model developed by the McKinsey Global Institute projected a GDP windfall of nearly $13 trillion over the next three decades by raising the median retirement age in 2015 to 64.1 years. McKinsey’s team, led by Diana Farrell, now deputy director of the White House’s National Economic Council, said the labor market innovation and flexibility needed to enable boomers to work longer could fuel even stronger productivity growth and job creation. Baby boomers are anticipating such changes. MetLife’s most recent annual human resources survey found that 59% of employees say they plan to work past 65, up from 53% a year ago; the increase in expectations was even more dramatic among workers now in their 50s. The draft debt-reduction plan does pay lip service to the transformation underway, promoting “smart retirement decisions” with education “to encourage greater personal savings, delayed retirement and phased retirement” and greater flexibility in how Social Security benefits are claimed. But the draft assigns no debt-reduction credit, or “score,” to the trend toward longer working lives, making it easy to ignore as a serious policy direction. Rhetorically, the alternative debt-reduction plan by former White House budget director Alice Rivlin and former Sen. Pete Domenici is even stronger on the need to encourage longer working lives, calling it “one of the most important components” of the whole proposal. “With workers spending more years in the labor force, production will rise and more retirees will have adequate savings and standards of living,” write Rivlin and Domenici. They add, “Policies influencing behavior are preferable to those that force people to delay retirement.” But that report likewise fails to give credit where credit is due and recognize the economic windfall represented by the working-longer trend. Simple reforms and modest investments could make encore careers more accessible. Expanded retraining program, financial aid and “encore fellowships,” could help older workers transition to new fields and less strenuous jobs. Making Medicare the first-payer for health coverage for workers over 65 could eliminate employers’ main concern about hiring older workers. Modernized pension rules could encourage phased retirement and flexible work arrangements. Disincentives to work in Social Security could be replaced with streamlined income-planning features that help people better manage the next stage of their lives. But it will take an intergenerational job-creation initiative to overcome the stark reality that economic stagnation and age bias mean there are too few encore career opportunities for older adults. Unemployment among older workers is at historic highs and the average length of unemployment for older workers is far higher than the national average. A third budget plan , from the Economic Policy Institute, Demos and the Century Foundation, calls for ambitious public investment to meet key national challenges, create jobs — and generate tax revenues. The report musters research demonstrating high rates of return on investments in early childhood education and childcare; roads, bridges and water systems; public transit and rural broadband connectivity; and basic science and R & D. The talent and experience of people seeking encore careers could help ensure the success of public investments in these and other critical areas — and strengthen efforts to create jobs for younger workers as well. As policymakers tackle the national debt, they should invest in a national asset: the talent of older adults seeking to put their experience to work in their encore careers.

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GOP Lawmakers: Elizabeth Warren’s Job ‘Undermines’ Constitution

November 23, 2010

In the letters Reps. Spencer Bachus and Judy Biggert sent to the Treasury and the Federal Reserve, the GOP lawmakers challenge the legality of Elizabeth Warren’s authority to set up the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Bachus and Biggert have urged the inspectors general at the Treasury and the Fed to investigate how Elizabeth Warren, whom President Obama made special White House adviser in September, has been setting up the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a new agency created under the summer’s financial reform legislation. As she leads the search for the agency’s first director, Warren effectively serves as its interim head . By appointing Warren as special adviser in September, the president “undermined” the Constitution, Bachus and Biggert contend, in two nearly identical letters dated Nov. 22. From the letters: “First, the President’s decision to appoint Professor Elizabeth Warren as a special advisor to the Secretary of the Treasury and as a senior advisor in the White House with lead responsibility for establishing the Bureau, hiring its staff, and setting its agenda — as opposed to nominating the director of the Bureau, as contemplated by the Act — circumvented the advice-and-consent process and undermined one of the key checks and balances in our Constitution. While the Act confers upon the Secretary of the Treasury limited interim authority ‘to perform the functions of the Bureau’ (Section 1066(a)), Professor Warren is now exercising that authority.” The GOP lawmakers say Warren is overstepping her authority. But Warren has responded to this criticism in the past. As she explained on PBS in early October , her current job was specifically created by law. “There are two jobs on the table. And they were always there by statute. One certainly is the director of the agency,” Warren said. “There is a second job that was available. And it’s clear in the statute. Somebody is supposed to get out there and get that agency going. And the truth is, one has a cool title, but the other one gets to work right now.” A spokesperson for the House Financial Services committee, who speaks for Bachus on financial services issues, didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. Zachary Cikanek, press secretary for Biggert, said the agency’s eventual leader should face a full confirmation process. “What we would like to see is for the person with lead responsibility of the Bureau to be somebody nominated by the president and confirmed by the Senate,” Cikanek said. Bachus is a leading contender to replace Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.) as chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. During the 2009-2010 election cycle, his campaign received $132,200 from the securities and investment industry, and $80,800 from commercial banks, according to Open Secrets . His top contributors included Capital One, Credit Suisse, Wells Fargo and Bank of America, which each donated $10,000 to his campaign, Open Secrets says. READ the letter to Treasury below: Thorson BCFP Letter Biggert-Bachus 11-22-10

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Mark Engler: Tax Cuts and Trade: Is Obama Triangulating?

November 13, 2010

It was about this far into his first term, back in late 1994 and early 1995, when President Bill Clinton truly fell under the spell of malevolent strategist Dick Morris. Stung by the heavy losses brought on by the “Republican Revolution” in the 1994 midterms, Clinton began to believe that his only route to reelection was to tack to the right and steal some of the conservatives’ thunder on issues like welfare reform and federal deficits. Morris, who was only forced out of the White House after a sex scandal and who has since exposed his true political stripes as a Fox News commentator , thought triangulation both a brilliant political strategy and a generator of fine public policy. The remaining liberals in the Clinton administration disagreed. As the Economist notes, George Stephanopoulos incisively labeled it “a fancy word for betrayal.” Not yet two weeks after the 2010 midterms, and just two years after Obama’s campaign of “hope” and “change,” there are troubling signs that the current president might be tempted to follow the same path as Clinton. Obama’s first move after the midterms, already much criticized by progressives, was to express his willingness to cave on Bush tax cuts for the rich. This one felt to me more like a gutless compromise than a calculated shift to the right. And, on the hopeful side, the White House is now backpedaling , indicating that the story was overblown and Obama’s pre-midterms position hasn’t changed. There’s no detectable silver lining, however, to the president’s drive to push forward the Bush-negotiated, NAFTA-style trade agreement with Korea. While it appears the deal has stalled for the time being, the denunciations of the neoliberal “free trade” program that Obama once used to attack rival candidate Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries are now long gone . Given the composition of the administration’s economics team, this flip-flop is not surprising. There were signs of it already back in 2008, when Obama quickly tried to moderate his earlier stances during the general election campaign. Nevertheless the maneuver is a sad one. While triangulation arguably worked for Clinton (he was reelected at any rate), rightward moves promise few benefits for Obama. A too-small stimulus meant that unemployment remained higher and anger about the economy greater than might otherwise have been the case going into the midterms. It also produced an uninspired Democratic base, resulting in a low-turnout election that favored Republicans. Likewise, the trade deals on deck with Korea, Colombia, and Panama are bad not only because they seek to expand a flawed economic model, but also because “free trade” is a political loser. The Democratic base is firmly in the “fair trade” camp, disenchanted with neoliberal policies, and an anti-NAFTA message also resonates with the wider electorate. As Public Citizen has documented , “House Democrats that ran on fair trade platforms in competitive and open-seat races were three times as likely to survive the GOP tidal wave than Democrats who ran against fair trade.” Global Trade Watch Research Director Todd Tucker has gone so far as to call compromising with the Republicans on pending trade deals a ” political death wish ” for a president who will soon be seeking reelection. After Obama’s first year in office, I gave the administration a “B” on trade policy, on the grounds that no news is good news. As long as unfinished “free trade” deals remained bogged down in negotiations and are not an administration priority, I am willing to judge the situation as no harm, no foul. But it’s a different story if the White House starts investing any real political capital in advancing these deals. Even worse would be if Obama keeps his backbone as well hidden from public view as it has been since the midterms and turns to triangulation, imagining that moving right on trade would be politically beneficial. Cross-posted from the “Arguing the World” blog at Dissent magazine.

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Fannie, Freddie Get New Regulaor

November 12, 2010

RALEIGH, N.C. — North Carolina’s banking commissioner has been nominated by President Barack Obama to lead the federal agency that oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The White House on Friday announced that Joseph Smith Jr. is the president’s choice to be director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, subject to Senate confirmation. Smith would replace acting director Edward DeMarco. The nomination comes as the agency works to clean up the mess of losses suffered by Fannie and Freddie when the housing crash hit the loans they backed. The agency projected last month that bailing out Fannie and Freddie could cost as much as $259 billion through 2013. Smith has been state commissioner since 2002. His office has been involved in efforts to eliminate payday lending in North Carolina and prevent mortgage foreclosures.

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Obama Presses To Finish Trade Deal With South Korea

November 8, 2010

WASHINGTON — The White House is intensifying negotiations with South Korea on revising a free-trade agreement negotiated by the Bush administration, even though the accord still faces opposition from Democratic politicians, labor unions and the Ford Motor Company.

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7 Shocking Facts About Minority Unemployment

November 1, 2010

There’s been very little good news in unemployment figures released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the last few months. But the unemployment crisis has been particularly hard on minority communities. Earlier this year, White House economic adviser Austan Goolsbee, called the minority unemployment rate “shockingly and totally unacceptably high.” Whether it be the jobs crisis, the foreclosure epidemic or the our nation’s vast prison population, there is a growing sense that minority unemployment has hit crisis levels in some areas of the country. Check out our round-up of some of the most shocking statistics about minority unemployment across America.

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Video: Jarrett Says U.S. Economy Moving in Right Direction: Video

October 21, 2010

Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) — White House senior adviser Valerie Jarrett talks about the U.S. economy and President Barack Obama’s job-creation initiatives. Jarrett, speaking with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop,” also discusses the outlook for the Group of 20 meeting in Gyeongju, South Korea. (Source: Bloomberg)

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DNC Makes Major Ad Buy Accusing Chamber Of Potentially ‘Stealing’ Election

October 10, 2010

Ratcheting up the debate over the influence of outside groups in congressional elections, the Democratic National Committee has made a major ad purchase pushing the case that the November elections could very well be “stolen” by foreign influences. The committee is airing a spot on national cable this coming week that turns an already harsh spotlight on the roles being played by former Bush strategists Karl Rove and Ed Gillespie in addition to the Chamber of Commerce. Pivoting off reports that the business lobby has used foreign donations for its campaign activities, the spot ends with fairly conspicuous if not ominous shot of Chinese currency being stacked up — ostensibly for use against Democratic candidates. “Karl Rove, Ed Gillespie: They’re Bush cronies. The US Chamber of Commerce: They’re shills for big business,” the ad goes. “And they’re stealing our democracy. Spending Millions from secret donors to elect Republicans to do their bidding in Congress. It appears they’re even taking secret foreign money to influence our elections. It’s incredible, Republicans benefiting from secret foreign money. Tell the Bush Crowd and the Chamber of Commerce – stop stealing our democracy.” The spot, timed to preempt Rove and Gillespie’s appearances on the Sunday talk show circuit, echoes what has quickly and clearly become the closing argument Democrats (from the White House on down) are making as the election nears. But it comes at a time of conflicting reports over the veracity of the charges. On Saturday the New York Times published a story questioning a basis of the report uncovering the Chamber’s foreign pools of cash. Specifically, the story quoted White House counsel Bob Bauer acknowledging that there was no specific evidence that the Chamber had crossed legal lines by using foreign money for its electioneering. “The DNC ad is rubbish,” said Tom Collamore, senior vice president of Communications and Strategy for the U.S. Chamber. “The U.S. Chamber will continue to discuss ways to create jobs and grow the economy no matter how often others may try to change the conversation. We’ve been working for growth, jobs, and opportunity for 100 years and we won’t be deterred now.” The Center for American Progress, which runs the Think Progress site that published the original report, has responded to critics by noting that the fundamental question at the heart of the debate had still not been answered: “How many foreign sources of funding does the Chamber have?” A spokesman for the DNC, likewise, pointed to a lack of transparency and disclosure on the part of the Chamber as the basis for the ad. “They all can, of course, clear all this up by releasing their donors,” said DNC Communications Director Brad Woodhouse. “We just think that it is vital that the American people know that this election is on the verge of being stolen by secret donors, anonymous special interests, and possibly foreign corporations. And these folks aren’t lurking in the shadows refusing to reveal themselves and their intentions and interests because they have the greater good in mind. It’s because they want to get their fingers back in the till and exert the influence they had when Republicans were last in charge. A spokesman for the Chamber did not return a request for comment asked for late Saturday night (when the Huffington Post was first sent the ad).

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White House Has ‘Concerns’ About Notarization Bill Seen As Foreclosure Cover

October 7, 2010

The White House is taking a careful look at legislation recently passed by Congress with little notice that would require courts to recognize notarizations from out-of-state, which some consumer advocates say would make it more difficult to fight bogus foreclosures by banks. “There were a series of meeting on that this morning here,” said White House spokesman Robert Gibbs, who added the White House would have a more definitive statement later on Thursday. “It is something that, as you said, there has been a lot of news on, the processing of documentation, the resulting impact on foreclosures, and that is being evaluated….In general, there is concern, ultimately, about the situation.” Max Gardner, a foreclosure defense attorney, said the timing of the bill was suspicious, considering fraudulent notarization of bogus foreclosure affidavits is at the heart of a scandal that has prompted the nation’s largest banks to pause foreclosures in 23 states. “The timing is just a little curious to me that all of a sudden you can’t get anything through the Senate at all and then all a sudden on a voice vote,” Gardner said. “This was first introduced in the House in 2007.” The legislation, titled the “Interstate Recognition of Notarizations Act,” would “require any Federal or State court to recognize any notarization made by a notary public licensed by a State other than the State where the court is located when such notarization occurs in or affects interstate commerce.” The bill would also require courts to recognize electronic notarizations. “The thing that concerns me about the bill is that the provisions in it that allow for digital notarization by electronic means,” said Gardner, “which implies that anyone with the appropriate software could notarize a digital document or image of a document, which would allow someone to notarize a document without seeing someone execute the document or doing the things a notary is supposed to do. In my mind that would lead a broad exception for more fraudulent practices.” Ira Rheingold, director of the National Association of Consumer Advocates, told HuffPost he wasn’t sure he agreed the bill was so problematic. “Just because you get a lawful notarization of a bunch of lies doesn’t change your ability to challenge an affidavit as a bunch of lies.” Sam Stein contributed reporting.

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Donald Trump Says He’s Seriously Considering Running For President

October 5, 2010

Real estate mogul Donald Trump said on Tuesday’s edition of “Morning Joe” on MSNBC that he’s “absolutely thinking about” making a bid for the White House in 2012. The same day, Trump told Fox News that if he were to mount a presidential campaign he’d run as a Republican. “I’m totally being serious because I can’t stand what’s happening to the country,” said the New York-based businessman to the network. “I am being serious about it. I’ve been asked for years to do it. And I had no interest. This is the first time I am — at least I’m considering it.” Trump stressed that while he’s thinking about running for president, it’s premature to say whether or not he’ll bite the bullet in the end. CNN reported earlier this week: Trump is making clear he had nothing to do with a mysterious poll in New Hampshire that, accordant to TIME Magazine, asked Granite State voters about a potential Trump presidential bid. “I never heard of this poll but I’m anxious to find out what it says. I do not know about a poll taken in New Hampshire,” Trump said Monday on CNN’s “American Morning.” Trump reiterated to Fox News that he played no role in generating the study; however, he did call the results it produced “amazing.” He signaled he thinks he may just be the right person to takeover the White House, saying, “I think my whole life has sort of been about finesse when you get right down to it.” WATCH: Donald Trumps Talks 2012 On MSNBC’s ‘Morning Joe’

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Austan Goolsbee Trashes GOP Tax Plan Using White Board (VIDEO)

September 30, 2010

Austan Goolsbee, the new chairman of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, is the star of a new video which outlines the administration’s view on the increasingly contentious tax cut debate. In the first edition of the “White House White Board,” Goolsbee borrows a page from the graphical presentation styles of NPR and even, it seems, from Glenn Beck. From Goolsbee’s presentation: “Obama’s [tax plan] would preserve a couple thousand dollars per year for virtually all Americans. And even for people who make a lot they get to keep the tax cut on the first $250,000 of their income. Under the Republican plan however, people making over $1 million per year are going to be getting a tax cut of more than $100,000. That’s expensive…” On the White House’s blog , Jesse Lee added this talking point: “We simply can’t afford to give the wealthiest Americans these big tax cuts that would add to our deficit and, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, be just about the least effective way to grow our economy and help create jobs.” WATCH the video:

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Video: Hormats Says U.S. Can Double Exports in Five Years: Video

September 27, 2010

Sept. 27 (Bloomberg) — Robert Hormats, U.S. undersecretary of state for economic affairs, talks about a White House initiative to double exports over five years as a driver of economic growth. Hormats, speaking with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart,” also talks about U.S.-China trade issues. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Steven Rattner Interview: Former Car Czar Talks White House Turnover, Rescue Of GM

September 24, 2010

Former car czar Steven Rattner, whose new book, “Overhaul”, has been making waves as the first tell-all book to come out of the Obama administration, spoke to The Huffington Post about recent turnover at the White House, his job rescuing the U.S. car industry and his future. What do you think of these changes at the White House in recent days – with Summers leaving, Rahm Emanuel perhaps leaving? I think it’s very hard unless you’ve been there to understand how brutally tough it is to work in the White House in the middle of an economic crisis, it is an exhausting, wearing life that very few people can stand for too long. I’m a huge Larry Summers fan – I think he’s fantastic. I think it’s a great loss that he’s leaving. And I hope they find someone with his skill set to replace him. Did you have a sense when you were there that he had a time limit? I only heard the same rumblings everybody else heard about it. I didn’t have any particular knowledge one way or another as to what he was going to do. And the same, I guess with Orszag or Rahm or others? Yeah, I guess I was surprised by Orszag because he wasn’t there very long. Rahm has always said that he wanted to be mayor of Chicago, so I get that. But I think that you can sum it all up by saying that there is more turnover at this stage of an administration that one normally sees but for very understandable reasons. This has been a much more intense experience than anybody really signs up for when you take a job like this. I think people want to get their lives back. In the past, you’ve helped raise money for candidates. Have you heard anything about people already organizing to raise money for Rahm for a mayoral campaign? I just read somewhere that he was in New York meeting with some “Wall St types” to talk about it. I was not one of them so that’s literally all I know. What has been the White House reaction to the book? Well, I saw Rahm quoted in the Washington Post yesterday or the day before saying that people should read my book and Woodward’s book together and they will have a good picture of a president who is muscular and decisive and moving the country forward. What do you sense now in terms of how GM and Chrysler are doing? They’re both doing better than expected. GM has produced two quarters of net income which is extraordinary – they hadn’t made profits in several years. And Chrysler has had two quarters of operating profit, which is also very good. I think the management changes at GM have been all for the better. And I think both companies are very well-positioned to compete. How do you think the auto rescue effort differed from TARP? The bailout has become a curse word especially as we approach the midterms. Yeah, I understand that. I am a great believer that TARP saved our country You can rail about it however you want but at the end of the day, if we had not had TARP, we would have had a meltdown in this country of unbelievable proportions. What makes people angry is that the banks were “bailed out” without enough sacrifice by their stakeholders. That’s the distinction between how the banks were treated and the auto companies were treated. It’s not because the administration didn’t want the stakeholders in the banks to sacrifice. It’s because there is a bankruptcy mechanism that you can use for auto companies and other industrial companies, where with a bank you can’t really use that process because there are so many counterparties and a large bank is so intertwined in the financial system that taking them through a conventional bankruptcy would inevitably bring down many many other banks along the way and that was just not possible. This was a weakness in our system that was exposed by the financial meltdown, and the new regulatory reform package is designed to prevent a recurrence of that, to provide a systemic risk resolution mechanism. Whether it will work or not, we’ll see. Do you think it will work? I think the jury is out. Some people have said that “too big to fail” is still part of regulatory reform . Well, there is a systemic resolution authority that’s part of the regulatory reform bill. The question is whether it will work or not. And it’s completely untested. I’m not sure the legislation really spells out in enough detail how it should work. I think we’re in the unfortunate position of not really knowing if it’s going to work until we need to use it. I saw in the past that you’ve expressed a little bit of buyer’s remorse that the auto task force failed to impose tougher pay reductions or to reform bloated pension programs at GM and Chrysler. Do you still feel that way? I think what I said was… I don’t want to second-guess myself too much because on balance we really did get to the right place. But what I did say was that in retrospect, we could have probably asked for a little more sacrifice from all the stakeholders, not just the unions but also the lenders and other interested parties. We were under enormous time pressure and [at] an extra scary time in the economy so there was a limit to what we felt comfortable doing. But I think you could have made an argument that all the stakeholders could have sacrificed a little more and the pensions is one example. And are you still in touch with the guys in Detroit? What is the feedback you get from them on the job done by Obama’s auto task force? Frankly, they had some mixed feelings about the task force. Nobody wants to have a bunch of outsiders that they aren’t sure understand their business come parachuting in and become the new sheriff in town. I think that is understandably destabilizing to a lot of people but I would like to think that people in Detroit in general feel that we saved their core industry… I hear that every time when I go to Detroit. I get a lot of gratitude for what we did. There is a lot of feeling that the car companies needed to be rescued compared to Wall Street. Yet shockingly to me, when you look at the polls, the auto bailout is also not that popular. And I don’t really get it because to me it’s sort of an unambiguous success. I’m just hoping that as we get close to the IPO and people se the real value of GM and see that its going to succeed. I hope that they will appreciate what the president did for them. Now you didn’t touch too much on the pension fund investigation [in which Rattner's former private equity firm, Quadrangle, is being investigated by the SEC and New York Attorney General for hiring placement agents to land business with state pension funds]. Were you limited in what you could describe? I was very limited in what I can describe, because it’s an ongoing matter. But secondly, I wrote a lot of stuff about many other aspects of my life and my editor basically said, “You know, people aren’t really interested in your life. They’re interested in autos and the Obama administration.” So my editors didn’t have a lot of appetite for personal aspects of my life. I do want to ask, in this case, whether you think [New York Attorney General] Andrew Cuomo here in NY turned up the heat because you took the car czar job? Unfortunately, I’m precluded from getting into that. You can draw your own conclusions. Can you say, you mention that you checked out [placement agent] Hank Morris with [New York Senator] Chuck Schumer… I’m not getting into any of this… Did you make it clear to Schumer that you were thinking of hiring Morris as a placement agent? The book speaks for itself. Well, you describe it in the book… What’s in the book is in the book. I wouldn’t walk away from anything in the book but I can’t discuss it or amplify it. I just wanted to know whether you made it clear why you were interested in Morris I can’t go there. I’m sorry. What’s the future for you? At the moment, I am trying to sell books… And I am spending some time, I continue to help to work to oversee the mayor’s — Mayor [Michael] Bloomberg — money management operation. All that is keeping me very busy. Would you be involved in any role in any future Bloomberg political campaign? I would do anything I could do to help the mayor in any capacity. I think he’s an extraordinary guy and I would be very pleased to help him any way I could. Any return to private equity? I don’t feel that. I feel that 26 years on Wall Street as a full-time occupation, I feel that I’ve been there and done that.

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Video: Bobrinskoy Sees `Significant Upside’ for U.S. Stocks: Video

September 22, 2010

Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) — Charles Bobrinskoy, director of research for Ariel Investments, talks about the outlook for U.S. stocks. Bobrinskoy also discusses technology shares, his investment strategy and the possible impact of the departures of Lawrence Summers and Rahm Emanuel from the White House on the Obama administration’s policies. He talks with Carol Massar, Matt Miller, Dominic Chu and Adam Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” Stutland Equities LLC’s Dan Deming also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Gerstein Says Staff Changes Are `Opportunity’ for Obama: Video

September 22, 2010

Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) — Dan Gerstein, strategist at Dan Gerstein Consulting, talks with Bloomberg’s Melissa Long about the potential impact of White House staff changes on the policies of the Obama administration. Rahm Emanuel, President Barack Obama’s chief of staff, is likely to leave the White House before the November congressional elections to run for mayor of Chicago, people familiar with the matter said. The White House announced yesterday that Larry Summers, director of the National Economic Council, will return to Harvard University by the end of the year. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Lazear Says Obama Needs Chief of Staff With `Clout’: Video

September 22, 2010

Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) — Edward Lazear, a professor at Stanford University in California and former economic adviser to President George W. Bush, talks with Bloomberg’s Julie Hyman and Mark Crumpton about the prospects for a new White House chief of staff. Rahm Emanuel, President Barack Obama’s chief of staff, is likely to leave before the November congressional elections to run for mayor of Chicago, people familiar with the matter said. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Goolsbee Says Adviser Departures Won’t Shift Obama Focus: Video

September 22, 2010

Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) — Austan Goolsbee, head of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, talks about the impact of recent departures of presidential advisers on the Obama administration’s economic policies. Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel is likely to leave the White House before the November congressional elections to run for mayor of Chicago, people familiar with the matter said. Emanuel would be the fourth top-level Obama adviser to leave the White House since July. The administration announced yesterday that National Economic Council Director Lawrence Summers will leave by the end of the year. Goolsbee, speaking with Bloomberg’s Peter Cook in Washington, also discusses U.S. tax policy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Robert Reich: The State of the American Middle Class Means No Amount of Stimulus Will Be Enough

September 21, 2010

Fiscal policy is deadlocked. So, apparently, is monetary policy. The Fed’s decision today (Tuesday) to keep short-term interest rates near zero is no surprise. What’s odd is its apparent decision not to boost the economy by buying hundreds of billions of bonds — despite its acknowledgment that “the pace of recovery in output and employment has slowed in recent months,” and that prices are rising too slowly for comfort (i.e., we might be facing deflation). Every indicator suggests third-quarter growth will be as slow if not slower than in the second quarter. Consumer confidence is down. Retail sales are down. Housing sales are down. Commercial real estate is in trouble. A growth rate of 1.6 percent means even higher unemployment ahead. Maybe we’re not in a double-dip but we might as well be in one. Growth this slow is the equivalent of heading downward, relative to the growth needed to get us out of the hole we’re in. The Fed is deadlocked because it harbors hawks who worry near-zero interest rates will lead to another round of speculation, ending in an even bigger bust. Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig, for example, is openly dissenting from the Fed’s near-zero policy and I’m sure he resists doing anything more to stimulate borrowing. I don’t generally side with the hawks but they have a point. Even though economy is heading downward, flooding it with more money may not help. The problem isn’t the cost of capital. Most businesses can get all the money they need. Big ones are still sitting on $1.8 trillion in cash. The problem is consumers, who are 70 percent of the economy. They can’t and won’t buy enough to turn the economy around. Most don’t qualify for more credit given how much they already owe (or have already defaulted on). Without consumers, businesses have no reason to borrow more. Except to speculate by buying back their own stock and doing mergers and acquisitions, which is exactly what they’re doing. Ultimately, even if fiscal and monetary policy weren’t deadlocked, we’d still face the same conundrum. Say the White House and Ben Bernanke got everything they wanted to boost the economy. At some point these boosts would have to end. The economy would have to be able to run on its own. But it can’t run on its own because consumers have reached the end of their ropes. After three decades of flat wages during which almost all the gains of growth have gone to the very top, the middle class no longer has the buying power to keep the economy going. It can’t send more spouses into paid work, can’t work more hours, can’t borrow any more. All the coping mechanisms are exhausted. Anyone who thinks China will get us out of this fix and make up for the shortfall in demand is blind to reality. So what’s the answer? Reorganizing the economy to make sure the vast middle class has a larger share of its benefits. Remaking the basic bargain linking pay to per-capita productivity. Let me end with a brief commercial. My new book, Aftershock: The Next Economy and America’s Future is out today. In it, I explain this in detail. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org .

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Larry Summers Will Leave White House At The End Of The Year

September 21, 2010

This post has been updated Lawrence Summers, the White House’s top economic adviser, will leave at the end of the year and return to his position as a professor at Harvard University, according to a statement released by the White House today. (The news was first reported by Hans Nichols of Bloomberg News .) Earlier today, amid rumors of their departure, White House Spokesman Robert Gibbs said that President Obama is “enormously pleased” with the performance of Summers and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, Reuters reported. To fend off claims of being anti-business, the Obama administration may replace Summers , who serves as the director of the president’s National Economic Council, with a top corporate executive, Bloomberg reports. As Roll Call observed, at a town hall-style meeting broadcast yesterday on CNBC, Obama said he has yet to make “any determinations about personnel” on his economic team, but added that the administration is “constantly thinking … do we have other options and other alternatives that we can explore?” In a statement issued by the White House, the president expressed his gratitude for Summers’s service: “I will always be grateful that at a time of great peril for our country, a man of Larry’s brilliance, experience and judgment was willing to answer the call and lead our economic team. Over the past two years, he has helped guide us from the depths of the worst recession since the 1930s to renewed growth. And while we have much work ahead to repair the damage done by the recession, we are on a better path thanks in no small measure to Larry’s wise counsel. We will miss him here at the White House, but I look forward to soliciting his continued advice and his counsel on an informal basis, and appreciate that he has agreed to serve as a member of the President’s Economic Advisory Board.” In March, Fox Business Network’s Charlie Gasparino said “Wall Street executives” told him Summers might leave the White House by year’s end. At the time, a White House spokesperson dismissed the “rumor” as “ridiculous.” In April, Joshua Green of The Atlantic also predicted Summers would depart sometime close to the midterm elections.

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HuffPost TV: Arianna Discusses Elizabeth Warren’s Appointment, ‘Third World America’ on ‘Tavis Smiley’ (VIDEO)

September 21, 2010

Arianna Huffington appeared on “Tavis Smiley” to discuss why Elizabeth Warren’s appointment as the interim leader of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is a step in the right direction when it comes to fixing the economic problems she has outlined in her new book, “Third World America.” “I am very optimistic about [Warren's] appointment,” Arianna told Smiley. “She’s not the permanent head but the interim head, which shows recognition for the urgency of the problem. Instead of going through a lengthy confirmation process she can start working right now.” Arianna praised President Obama for appointing Warren. “She’s also going to be a direct adviser to the President– this being against the objections of his economic adviser Larry Summers and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner. Finally he is doing something against what they want, and that is really good. One of the problems with the White House is listening to what Summers and Geither say which is very Wall Street-centric.” WATCH:

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Video: Durbin Sees Vote on Tax Cuts Before Recess in October: Video

September 20, 2010

Sept. 20 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. Senate’s second-ranking Democrat, Dick Durbin of Illinois, talks about the outlook for the mid-term congressional elections, the impact of the Obama administration’s stimulus package on the economy, prospects for extension of the Bush-era tax cuts and the likelihood White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel will run for mayor of Chicago. Durbin speaks with Peter Cook and Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smmart.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Miller Says Banks Are `Afraid’ of Warren, Consumer Board: Video

September 17, 2010

Sept. 17 (Bloomberg) — Paul Miller, analyst at FBR Capital Markets, talks about the naming of Elizabeth Warren’s as an adviser to help create the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. President Barack Obama will name Warren this afternoon as an assistant to the president and a special adviser to Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner, according to a statement posted on the White House website. Miller speaks with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Elizabeth Warren To Lead Search For New Consumer Chief, Could ‘Pull A Dick Cheney’

September 16, 2010

In addition to being charged with forming the newly-created agency dedicated to protecting consumers from abusive financial products, Elizabeth Warren will lead the administration’s effort to find the first director of the nascent unit, the Huffington Post has learned. President Barack Obama will name Warren, a famed consumer advocate and passionate defender of the middle class, as one of his top advisers on Friday, creating a role inside the White House for the Harvard Law professor and bailout watchdog to lead the effort in forming the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection. Warren, though, will not be named as his nominee for the Senate-confirmed, five-year post to lead the new entity — at least not yet. She will, however, lead the search to find the right person. Consumer advocates and several dozen members of Congress say she’s it. “Who knows? Maybe she’ll pull a Dick Cheney,” said one source familiar with the matter. Former Vice President Cheney was tapped by then-Gov. George W. Bush to lead his search for a running mate during the 2000 presidential campaign. Cheney settled on himself. The possibility of Obama picking Warren surged in recent days after Obama heaped praise on her last Friday and called her a “dear friend.” However, a day after word leaked Wednesday that Warren would be selected for this different role, news outlets including CBS News, citing the White House, reported that not only was it unlikely Warren would get the nod — she allegedly didn’t want the position in the first place. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-Mass.) also said that Warren didn’t want the five-year role . Warren backers hold out hope that she remains on the short list of nominees for the permanent job, but CBS News reports that, “It is highly unlikely that Warren … will eventually be nominated to be director of the bureau.” According to CBS, Warren “is no longer on the list” for the long-term position. The reports could serve to undermine Warren before she even steps into the job. However, if it appears that she’ll ultimately deem herself the most qualified candidate for the permanent position — and her backers in Congress, the White House, and advocacy organizations that have the White House’s ear agree — Obama could very well end up choosing the middle class advocate. Support for Warren reached a fever pitch over the summer, as backers presented her as critical to both the success of the new agency and the financial reform effort as a whole. With a budget approaching $500 million and a staff expected to number in the hundreds, the agency represents the consolidation of a multitude of units inside government charged with protecting borrowers. It’s been touted as the capstone of the Obama administration’s effort to reform the nation’s broken financial system. Getting the right person in the job for the historic agency is key, experts and administration officials say. And Warren has long been touted as the natural choice for the position, given her advocacy on behalf of borrowers, her noted research into consumer debt and financial products, and the fact that she conceived the agency in a 2007 journal article. But Warren is seen as a polarizing figure. Her aggressive advocacy on behalf of working-class families has made her an enemy of lenders who favor less regulation and more opportunities for fee-based income, like excessive overdraft levies and credit card surcharges. Mortgages with exploding interest rates and well-hidden fees were particularly profitable for lenders during the boom, and Warren has fought against such practices. In her new role, Warren will be charged with getting the nascent agency on its feet and setting the tone for years to come. The White House isn’t expected to name a nominee for the directorship for months, sources say. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is the business reporter for the Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

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Elizabeth Warren To Lead Search For New Consumer Chief, Could ‘Pull A Dick Cheney’

September 16, 2010

In addition to being charged with forming the newly-created agency dedicated to protecting consumers from abusive financial products, Elizabeth Warren will lead the administration’s effort to find the first director of the nascent unit, the Huffington Post has learned. President Barack Obama will name Warren, a famed consumer advocate and passionate defender of the middle class, as one of his top advisers on Friday, creating a role inside the White House for the Harvard Law professor and bailout watchdog to lead the effort in forming the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection. Warren, though, will not be named as his nominee for the Senate-confirmed, five-year post to lead the new entity — at least not yet. She will, however, lead the search to find the right person. Consumer advocates and several dozen members of Congress say she’s it. “Who knows? Maybe she’ll pull a Dick Cheney,” said one source familiar with the matter. Former Vice President Cheney was tapped by then-Gov. George W. Bush to lead his search for a running mate during the 2000 presidential campaign. Cheney settled on himself. The possibility of Obama picking Warren surged in recent days after Obama heaped praise on her last Friday and called her a “dear friend.” However, a day after word leaked Wednesday that Warren would be selected for this different role, news outlets including CBS News, citing the White House, reported that not only was it unlikely Warren would get the nod — she allegedly didn’t want the position in the first place. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-Mass.) also said that Warren didn’t want the five-year role . Warren backers hold out hope that she remains on the short list of nominees for the permanent job, but CBS News reports that, “It is highly unlikely that Warren … will eventually be nominated to be director of the bureau.” According to CBS, Warren “is no longer on the list” for the long-term position. The reports could serve to undermine Warren before she even steps into the job. However, if it appears that she’ll ultimately deem herself the most qualified candidate for the permanent position — and her backers in Congress, the White House, and advocacy organizations that have the White House’s ear agree — Obama could very well end up choosing the middle class advocate. Support for Warren reached a fever pitch over the summer, as backers presented her as critical to both the success of the new agency and the financial reform effort as a whole. With a budget approaching $500 million and a staff expected to number in the hundreds, the agency represents the consolidation of a multitude of units inside government charged with protecting borrowers. It’s been touted as the capstone of the Obama administration’s effort to reform the nation’s broken financial system. Getting the right person in the job for the historic agency is key, experts and administration officials say. And Warren has long been touted as the natural choice for the position, given her advocacy on behalf of borrowers, her noted research into consumer debt and financial products, and the fact that she conceived the agency in a 2007 journal article. But Warren is seen as a polarizing figure. Her aggressive advocacy on behalf of working-class families has made her an enemy of lenders who favor less regulation and more opportunities for fee-based income, like excessive overdraft levies and credit card surcharges. Mortgages with exploding interest rates and well-hidden fees were particularly profitable for lenders during the boom, and Warren has fought against such practices. In her new role, Warren will be charged with getting the nascent agency on its feet and setting the tone for years to come. The White House isn’t expected to name a nominee for the directorship for months, sources say. ************************* Shahien Nasiripour is the business reporter for the Huffington Post. You can send him an e-mail ; bookmark his page ; subscribe to his RSS feed ; follow him on Twitter ; friend him on Facebook ; become a fan ; and/or get e-mail alerts when he reports the latest news. He can be reached at 646-274-2455.

Read the full article →