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BlackRock Inc. (BLK) Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink told investors on a conference call in January last year that the world’s biggest money manager was “very well positioned” for 2010. At the end of the year, the market sent a different message: New York-based BlackRock’s total share return was negative 16 percent, while the Standard and Poor’s 500 Asset Management and Custody Bank Index rose 13 percent.

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BlackRock CEO Makes Fortune While Stock Sinks

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May 6 (Bloomberg) — Warner Music Group former director Len Blavatnik has agreed to buy the record company in a transaction valued at about $3.3 billion. Blavatnik’s Access Industries Holdings will pay $8.25 a share, the companies said in a statement today. The sale of New York-based Warner comes after a three-month auction whose finalists included private-equity brothers Tom and Alex Gores and Sony/ATV Music Publishing. Bloomberg’s Cristina Alesci discusses the transaction on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness With Margaret Brennan.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Blavatnik Agrees to Buy Warner Music for $8.25 a Share

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Video: Blavatnik Agrees to Buy Warner Music for $8.25 a Share

May 6, 2011

May 6 (Bloomberg) — Warner Music Group former director Len Blavatnik has agreed to buy the record company in a transaction valued at about $3.3 billion. Blavatnik’s Access Industries Holdings will pay $8.25 a share, the companies said in a statement today. The sale of New York-based Warner comes after a three-month auction whose finalists included private-equity brothers Tom and Alex Gores and Sony/ATV Music Publishing. Bloomberg’s Cristina Alesci discusses the transaction on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness With Margaret Brennan.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Blavatnik Agrees to Buy Warner Music for $8.25 a Share

May 6, 2011

May 6 (Bloomberg) — Warner Music Group former director Len Blavatnik has agreed to buy the record company in a transaction valued at about $3.3 billion. Blavatnik’s Access Industries Holdings will pay $8.25 a share, the companies said in a statement today. The sale of New York-based Warner comes after a three-month auction whose finalists included private-equity brothers Tom and Alex Gores and Sony/ATV Music Publishing. Bloomberg’s Cristina Alesci discusses the transaction on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness With Margaret Brennan.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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US Steel Tower Sold for $250M

April 26, 2011

An investment group led by New York-based real estate mogul Mark Karasick purchased the U.S. Steel Tower, Pittsburgh’s tallest office building, for $250 million, or about $107 per square foot. The 64-story, 2.3 million-square-foot, class A office tower is located at 600 Grant St. It was designed by architecture firm Harrison, Abramowitz & Abbe in the 1970s, and is noted for its triangular shape with indented corners and its corrosion-resistant…

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SHOCK: Which Company Is Top Workplace For Women?

April 10, 2011

Jaw, meet floor. According to a company press release, war megacontractor KBR was voted one of the 50 top companies for women by readers of Woman Engineer magazine, one of several diversity-recruitment mags published by Long Island, New York-based Equal Opportunity Publications. “The readers of Woman Engineer magazine selected the top companies in the country for which they would most prefer to work or believe are progressive in hiring woman engineers,” KBR said in its statement. The company came in at No. 46.

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Video: Lauren Hopes to Globally Expand Dylan’s Candy Bar Stores

April 8, 2011

April 8 (Bloomberg) — Dylan Lauren, founder and chief executive officer of Dylan’s Candy Bar, discusses the outlook for the New York-based confectionary boutique. Margaret Brennan reports on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Miller Says U.S. Mortgage Environment Is `Dysfunctional’

March 30, 2011

March 30 (Bloomberg) — Jonathan Miller, chief executive officer of New York-based appraiser Miller Samuel Inc., discusses the outlook for housing prices in the metropolitan New York area and the U.S. mortgage market. Miller speaks with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Miller Says U.S. Mortgage Environment Is `Dysfunctional’

March 30, 2011

March 30 (Bloomberg) — Jonathan Miller, chief executive officer of New York-based appraiser Miller Samuel Inc., discusses the outlook for housing prices in the metropolitan New York area and the U.S. mortgage market. Miller speaks with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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PM Digital Names Richard Chavez Senior Director of SEO and John Iozzia Vice President of Business Development

January 26, 2011

NEW YORK, NY–(Marketwire – January 26, 2011) – PM Digital ( www.pmdigital.com ), a New York-based online marketing agency that was named Internet Retailer’s Fastest Growing SEM Agency of 2010, today announced the addition of Richard Chavez — previously the Director of SEO at iCrossing — as Senior Director of SEO and John Iozzia — previously a Senior Business Development Executive at Performics — as Vice President of Business Development. Both are newly-created positions.

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Video: JPMorgan Profit Rise 47% on Reduction to Loss Provisions

January 14, 2011

Jan. 14 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co., the second-biggest U.S. bank by assets, said profit rose 47 percent, higher than analysts estimated, as provisions for soured mortgages and credit-card loans declined. Fourth-quarter net income climbed to $4.83 billion, or $1.12 a share, from $3.28 billion, or 74 cents, in the same period a year earlier and from $4.42 billion, or $1.01 a share in the third quarter, the New York-based company said today in a statement. Bloomberg’s Jon Erlichman reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: J. Crew Board Ties to Drexler May Pose Buyout Conflicts

January 13, 2011

Jan. 13 (Bloomberg) — Millard Drexler, chairman of J. Crew Group Inc., was recruited by TPG Capital in 2003 and is teaming up with the firm and Leonard Green & Partners LP to acquire New York-based J. Crew a second time in a $3 billion deal. In today’s Movers & Shakers, Bloomberg’s Erik Schatzker reports on potential conflicts posed by ties among the J. Crew board, TPG and Drexler. (Source: Bloomberg)

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JPMorgan’s Earnings Hide A Big Squeeze In Revenue

January 13, 2011

Fourth-quarter results, which the New York-based company plans to announce tomorrow, are likely to show a profit of $4.2 billion, or $1 per share, based on the average estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. About 40 percent of earnings for the first nine months came from money taken from loss reserves as U.S. banks dip into their funds, at least temporarily, and mask a revenue squeeze.

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Tishman Closes on Mesirow’s Office Tower in Chicago

December 15, 2010

New York-based Tishman Speyer closed on its purchase of the 46-story, 1.17 million-square-foot, Class A office tower at 353 N. Clark St. in the River North area of Chicago. Although the final price was undisclosed, the building was under contract for $380 million, or nearly $324 per square foot. A subsidiary of Chicago-based financial services firm Mesirow Financial Real Estate was asking for $480 million to $495 million when it put the trophy…

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Video: BGC’s Gillis Likes Apple, Microsoft, `Bearish’ on RIM

November 19, 2010

Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) — Colin Gillis, an analyst at New York-based BGC Partners LP, talks about U.S. technology stocks. Gillis speaks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Carlyle’s BankUnited Said to Target New York Banks: Video

October 25, 2010

Oct. 25 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Cristina Alesci talks with Lisa Murphy about plans by BankUnited, the Florida lender owned by investors including Blackstone Group LP, Carlyle Group and WL Ross & Co., to use proceeds from an initial public offering to take over New York-based banks. According to a person with direct knowledge of the bank’s plans, BankUnited is aiming to raise more than $500 million in its planned IPO. In addition to raising funds for acquisitions, the bank’s private-equity backers will sell some of their stakes, the person said. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Newmark Knight Frank’s National Expansion Continues With Denver Partnership

October 25, 2010

In its latest expansion in the West, New York-based Newmark Knight Frank announced Monday it has joined with Denver-based Frederick Ross Co., one of Denver’s largest commercial real estate brokerages. The addition of Frederick Ross, founded in 1888…

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In The Pipeline: CoStar Development and Construction News for Oct. 10-16

October 12, 2010

In this edition of Pipeline, New York-based Monday Properties will break ground this week on Washington, D.C.’s largest office tower; Hong Kong and Singapore investors have acquired one of the most prime real estate development sites in the country…

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Video: Horizon’s Adgate Says Internet TV Increases Viewership: Video

August 27, 2010

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Brad Adgate, research director at Horizon Media Inc., a New York-based advertising company, and Susan Lyne, chief executive officer at Gilt Group Inc., talk about the outlook for television on the Internet. They speak with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness”. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: Holtz-Eakin Discusses AIG’s Internal Risk Management: Video

June 30, 2010

June 30 (Bloomberg) — Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a member of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, talks with Bloomberg’s Megan Hughes about former American International Group Inc. executive Joseph Cassano’s testimony before the commission. AIG, once the world’s largest insurer, received a 2008 bailout designed to protect banks that bought $62.1 billion in swaps from the firm. The FCIC is reviewing decisions that led to the New York-based insurer’s rescue. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Video: SG’s Popper Sees Chinese Economy Growing at `Solid Pace’

June 29, 2010

June 29 (Bloomberg) — Andrew Popper, chief investment officer at SG Hambros Bank Ltd., talks about the economic outlook for China. The New York-based Conference Board revised its leading economic index for China to show the smallest gain in five months in April, in a release that contributed to the biggest sell-off in Chinese stocks in more than a month. Popper speaks with Andrea Catherwood on Bloomberg Television’s “The Pulse.”

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Video: EBay Beats Amazon As Top Mobile Retailer in U.S.: Video

June 25, 2010

June 25 (Bloomberg) — After losing ground to Amazon.com for years in online retailing, EBay Inc. has emerged as a leader in mobile commerce. As consumers increasingly shop with their BlackBerrys, iPhones, and handsets powered by Google Inc’s Android software, EBay has become the top mobile retailer in the U.S., according to Colin Gillis, a New York-based analyst at BGC Partners LP. Bloomberg’s Margaret Brennan reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Goldman Sachs Is Said to Request More Time to Respond to SEC’s Fraud Suit

June 18, 2010

By Joshua Gallu and Christine Harper June 18 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. asked for more time to respond to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s April 16 lawsuit accusing the firm of defrauding investors while selling mortgage-linked securities, said two people with direct knowledge of the matter. The company submitted the request today to the judge overseeing the case, asking for an extension until July 19, the people said. The original deadline was June 21, court documents show. The SEC consented to the New York-based firm’s proposed extension, according to one of the people. The SEC said New York-based Goldman Sachs and one of its employees, Fabrice Tourre , didn’t disclose to investors the role played by hedge fund Paulson & Co. in devising and betting against the securities. Tourre also has until July 19 to respond, according to court documents. Goldman Sachs, the most profitable firm in Wall Street history, has denied the SEC’s allegations and said it will fight the case. Company spokesman Lucas van Praag said he couldn’t comment today. “It’s no great surprise because it just gives them some more breathing room,” said Peter Henning , a former SEC enforcement attorney who teaches at Wayne State University Law School in Detroit. “It keeps them from having to deny the allegations and gives them more time to either negotiate a settlement or prepare their case.” To contact the reporters on this story: Joshua Gallu in Washington at jgallu@bloomberg.net ; Christine Harper in New York at charper@bloomberg.net .

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Moody’s Gives Aaa Rating to Riskier CMBS, Citing Underlying Loan Diversity

June 9, 2010

By Jody Shenn June 9 (Bloomberg) — Moody’s Investors Service plans to grant top ratings to U.S. commercial-mortgage bonds with less investor protection and potentially riskier underlying loans than in the market’s previous sale. Almost $609 million of securities being sold by JPMorgan Chase & Co. with so-called credit enhancement of 15 percent will get Aaa grades from the New York-based ratings firm. In this year’s only other sale of such debt, the amount of protection against the underlying loans’ losses, such as by having junior- ranked notes lose principal first, totaled 22.3 percent. The latest securities contain mortgages that are larger in relation to the properties’ values and the amount of income from tenants. At the same time, the bonds will be linked to 36 different loans, compared with only six in an April sale by Royal Bank of Scotland Plc. The greater diversity is the main reason Moody’s is allowing the lower credit enhancement, according to Nick Levidy , an analyst at the firm. “The benefit of diversity is very significant in that range” of difference in the amount of loans, Levidy said yesterday in a telephone interview. That reasoning represents “exactly the same types of mistakes” made by ratings companies in assigning top grades to commercial- and residential-mortgage bonds later proven flawed as property markets collapsed across the country, said Donald van Deventer , chief executive officer of Honolulu-based Kamakura Corp., which sells risk-management software and advice to financial firms. Diversity Benefit “The argument that diversity offers a huge benefit would work if you were talking about flipping coins,” van Deventer said. “They act as if real-estate moves around in an independent fashion.” Since the credit crisis, Moody’s has “increased the correlation” assumptions it uses, Levidy said. “All else being equal, it tends to lower the diversity benefit.” The JPMorgan securities are backed by $716.3 million of mortgages with an average loan-to-value ratio of 61.5 percent and debt-service-coverage ratio of 1.64 percent, according to Moody’s pre-sale report. In the Royal Bank of Scotland sale, the $309.4 million of loans’ LTVs averaged 54.3 percent and debt- service-coverage ratio was 2.51 percent, according to Bloomberg data. Moody’s ratings on the most recent deal also were boosted by the fact that the underlying mortgages contain loans tied to more types of properties, rather than almost exclusively retail and office buildings, as well as fewer office buildings, which the firm considers among the riskier sectors, Joe Baksic , another Moody’s analyst, said in an interview. Wal-Mart, CVS A larger number of underlying mortgages helps offset the “idiosyncratic risks” that can come up with individual ones, said Bryan Whalen , co-head of the mortgage- and asset-backed bond group at Los Angeles-based TCW Group Inc., which oversees about $115 billion. “There’s definitely a benefit to diversity, though there’s obviously a difference of opinion in the marketplace about how much of a benefit,” Whalen said. New York-based Fitch Ratings, which didn’t rate the commercial-mortgage-backed securities sold earlier this year, plans to assign AAA ratings to the same bonds as Moody’s. The deal’s strengths, Fitch said in a report, include the fact that “a large portion of the portfolio is anchored by national or large regional tenants, including investment-grade tenants” such as Walgreen Co., CVS Caremark Corp. and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. Still, having 71 percent of the debt tied to retail is a risk amid the “broad-based stresses” on the sector from the weak economy, according to the report. Past Mistakes Moody’s credit-enhancement requirements remain higher than before markets collapsed, even though loans are less risky than during the boom, when mortgage amounts were “well north” of true property values, Baksic said. In a June 2007 securitization of commercial mortgages by JPMorgan, the lowest-ranked Aaa securities carried credit enhancement of 12.2 percent, Bloomberg data show. The ratings company may simply be loosening its requirements to reflect it recently seeking protection against “end-of-the-world scenarios,” in part to compensate for its past mistakes, said Anthony Sanders , a professor of finance at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia, and former Deutsche Bank AG mortgage-bond research director. “They underpriced default risk on the way up, and they were heavily criticized for it, and then they were overly cautious on the way down,” he said. “They should be, in fact, lightening up on their credit enhancements, but they’re not going to say that’s the reason they are.” Bonus Motive Based on testimony to Congress this year by former employees about rating-firm practices during the securitization explosion ended in 2007, Moody’s may simply be seeking revenue for itself and market share, Kamakura’s van Deventer said. “The cynical response is: The reason is that, unless they actually rate something that can get done, they’re not going to get bonuses this year,” he said. Levidy declined to talk about its discussions with New York-based JPMorgan. Justin Perras , a bank spokesman, declined to immediately comment. To contact the reporter on this story: Jody Shenn in New York at jshenn@bloomberg.net

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SAC’s Cohen Expands Trading Team as Hedge-Fund Founders Groom Successors

June 8, 2010

By Saijel Kishan June 9 (Bloomberg) — Steven A. Cohen , the 53-year-old founder of SAC Capital Advisors LLP, picked four of his best people earlier this year to help select investments for the $2 billion he personally oversees at the hedge-fund firm. Louis Bacon , 53, bolstered the ranks at his Moore Capital Management LP by recruiting four senior managers in the past 20 months, while Thomas Steyer , 52, designated Andrew Spokes as his likely successor in the event he leaves Farallon Capital Management LLC, which he started in 1986. The appointments show how some of the most successful hedge-fund managers are preparing for the time when they scale back their roles or retire. They are surrounding themselves with experienced traders in an effort to keep clients from pulling out after they are no longer running the funds. “There’s an evolution in the hedge-fund industry where the baby boomers are handing over more and more responsibilities to a younger generation,” said Matias Ringel , head of research in New York at CMA North America, which provides research and advice to investors. “They’re in their fifties now and likely thinking more seriously about retirement.” An earlier cohort of hedge-fund entrepreneurs, including Julian Robertson and Michael Steinhardt , shut their firms after deciding they no longer wanted to invest money for clients. Robertson, 77, who returned an average of 25 percent annually over two decades, closed Tiger Management LLC in 2000 after losses and investor withdrawals cut assets to $6 billion from $22 billion two years earlier. Steinhardt, 69, shut his business in 1995 following a 28-year run in which he posted average annual gains of 24 percent. Founder’s Role Hedge funds are built on the reputations of their founders, and persuading investors to stay after they depart will be a challenge, according to Jean Keller , chief executive officer of Geneva-based 3A SA. “Most of them are intrinsically linked to their charismatic and entrepreneurial founders,” said Keller, whose firm has $2.2 billion invested in the private partnerships on behalf of clients. “Few hedge funds will succeed in a management transition.” John Horseman , 51, who started Horseman Capital Management LP in 2000, told clients in November that he would step down this year, leaving fund managers Russell Clark and John-Paul Burke at the helm. Assets in Horseman Global, the London-based firm’s biggest fund, fell to $444 million last month from $3.67 billion in October, mainly on client withdrawals, according to an investor. Carol Brown, a spokeswoman for Horseman Capital, which oversees about $1 billion, declined to comment. Willingness to Change Cohen started SAC Capital — the name is derived from his initials — in 1992 with $25 million, and the Stamford, Connecticut-based firm now oversees $12 billion. Adding the four senior traders will allow him to focus on fewer investments, mentor employees on portfolios and manage risk, according to an April 28 letter sent to investors. “I have always felt that one of the keys to the firm’s success over the years has been our ability and willingness to change the organization,” Cohen, who turns 54 on June 11, said in the letter. The traders selected by Cohen each has responsibility for an industry — energy, technology, media and health care — and for discussing investments with the rest of the firm’s managers and analysts, according to the letter. The sector heads, whom the letter didn’t name, will also continue to run their own portfolios. Concern for Investors “There’s no positive spin on him bringing in people to help on his portfolio,” said Peter Rup , chief investment officer at Artemis Wealth Advisors LLC, a New York-based firm that allocates money to hedge funds for clients. “It suggests that he is stepping back, managing less capital over time, and that’s not exactly in the best interests of his investors.” Cohen, in an interview in next month’s edition of Vanity Fair magazine, said, “I don’t have to sit at the desk. Seriously, I’ve got nothing left to prove.” Jonathan Gasthalter , a spokesman for SAC Capital, declined to comment. Bacon, who started Moore Capital in 1989, hired Greg Coffey in November 2008 as co-chief investment officer of his European business, a new position. Coffey, 39, was a top-performing emerging-markets trader at GLG Partners Inc. whose resignation triggered $2.2 billion in withdrawal requests. In January 2010, Bacon added Jean-Philippe Blochet , 46, a co-founder of London- based Brevan Howard Asset Management LLP, as a senior fund manager. Brevan Howard is Europe’s largest hedge-fund firm. Matthew Carpenter , 43, who ran a unit at Citigroup Inc. that traded U.S. stocks with more than $1 billion of the bank’s own money, joined in May as Bacon’s head of equity trading, a post that had been empty since Stanley Shopkorn gave it up in 2000. Carpenter’s deputy at New York-based Citigroup, Matthew Newton , 40, also joined Moore, which oversees $14 billion. ‘Key Man’ Shawn Pattison , a spokesman for New York-based Moore, declined to comment. At Farallon, co-managing partner Spokes was named the firm’s second so-called key man at the start of the year. That means investors have the right to withdraw their money if either manager leaves the San Francisco-based firm. Its hedge funds would be liquidated if both Spokes, 45, and Steyer stepped down. Mary Beth Grover , a spokeswoman for the $20.7 billion firm, declined to comment. The hedge-fund industry has seen assets rise more than 10- fold to $1.55 trillion since 1994, according to New York-based Credit Suisse Tremont Index LLC. Firms that once employed a couple dozen people now employ hundreds. SAC Capital, which started with nine people, now has about 800 employees. Preserving the DNA “Hedge funds are growing up and have been transitioning from a one-man, talent-based business to something more institutional,” said Jaeson Dubrovay , partner at Aksia LLC, a New York-based firm that advises clients on hedge-fund investments. “If the founder selects and trains four or five lieutenants by steeping them in the culture of the firm, then his DNA will continue. It’s a 5- or 10-year process, but it can work.” Firms that have expanded their senior ranks include Bruce Kovner ’s Caxton Associates LLC and Israel Englander ’s Millennium Management LLC. Kovner, 65, promoted Andrew Law in 2008 to the new post of chief investment officer of the $8.6 billion firm. Law, 43, who is based in London, has worked at New York-based Caxton since 2003. Englander, whose firm manages $7.4 billion, hired Michael Gelband two years ago from Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. as head of fixed income. Gelband, 51, joins Chief Risk Officer David Nolan , 61, and Jonathan Larkin , 35, head of equities, in helping Englander allocate money and set risk limits for the firm’s 120 trading teams. Difficulty Retaining Talent Englander, 61, started New York-based Millennium in 1989 and stepped away from directly trading money after five years. Kathy Lacey, a spokeswoman for Caxton, and Tripp Kyle , a spokesman for Millennium, declined to comment. Developing senior management is difficult at hedge funds because successful traders often want to build their own firms, reputations and legacies, according to Ellen Schubert , chief adviser to consultant Deloitte LP’s asset-management services practice in New York. “It’s hard to keep good portfolio managers in the stable,” she said. Simons, Shaw James Simons and David Shaw are examples of big-name hedge fund founders who engineered their own exits without shutting their companies. Simons , the 72-year-old mathematician who started Renaissance Technologies Corp. after leaving academia in 1977, retired at the end of last year and turned over responsibility for the firm to former co-presidents Bob Mercer , 63, and Peter Brown , 55. Renaissance, based in East Setauket, New York, oversees $15 billion. Shaw, who started New York-based D.E. Shaw & Co. in 1988, ceded oversight of his firm to a six-person committee in 2002, when client assets were $2.36 billion. The firm has grown to $22 billion, according to its website. Shaw, 59, who has a doctorate from Stanford University, spends most of his time as a chief scientist at D.E. Shaw Research , which conducts research in computational biochemistry. Both Renaissance and D.E. Shaw use computer models to trade, a style known as quantitative investing. Spokesmen for the firms declined to comment. Easier for Quants “It’s easier for the founders of the quant firms to pass on the reins since their businesses are mainly model-driven,” said Guido Bolliger, Paris-based chief investment officer of Olympia Capital Management, which invests $2.7 billion in hedge funds for clients. “But for most of the macro funds and some of the stock-pickers, it will be more difficult.” Macro fund-managers seek to profit from broad economic trends by trading everything from bonds to commodities. “It’s good that veteran managers are thinking about deepening the benches but it’s not going to be easy,” Bolliger said. “While there are a lot of smart people in the hedge-fund world, there are not that many geniuses. The proof will be in the pudding in terms of performance.” To contact the reporter on this story: Saijel Kishan in New York at skishan@bloomberg.net ;

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Bear Options at Record as Wien Says Stocks to Rally

June 7, 2010

By Jeff Kearns and Rita Nazareth June 7 (Bloomberg) — Confidence in stocks is sinking to record lows in the options market even with the U.S. economy poised for its fastest growth in six years, a sign to Blackstone Group LP’s Byron Wien that it’s time to buy. Contracts that pay off should the benchmark index for U.S. stocks plunge more than 23 percent from its April high cost 75 percent more than those speculating on gains, the biggest premium ever, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and OptionMetrics LLC. The 10-day average difference exceeded 50 percent 34 times since 1996. In those cases, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained a median 7.2 percent in six months. Wien says the gap shows Europe’s debt crisis caused too much pessimism in the U.S., where S&P 500 companies are forecast to post 38 percent profit growth in two years. Rising demand for insurance shows investors unwilling to sell stocks have hedged against losses, according to New York-based Morgan Stanley. “People are trying to protect themselves and they are willing to overpay for it,” said Wien, 77, the Blackstone adviser who foresaw last year’s gains in stocks and oil and predicts the S&P 500 will rally to 1,300 before ending 2010 little changed. “Bearishness is high. The best time to buy stocks is when the level of bearishness is at a peak.” Bank of America Corp. and the Oil Services Holders Trust are among stocks with bearish options priced highest relative to bullish ones, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. So-called two-month skew for the Charlotte, North Carolina-based lender and the energy exchange-traded fund exceeds 38 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Employment Disappoints U.S. equities fell last week, with the S&P 500 dropping 2.3 percent to 1,064.88, as a Labor Department report showed private employers added 41,000 jobs in May, 77 percent fewer than the median forecasts of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The stock index extended its 2010 retreat to 4.5 percent. The gauge’s June futures lost 0.5 percent to 1,060.50 as of 7:40 a.m. in London. Profits for S&P 500 companies are projected to rise 17 percent in 2010 and 18 percent next year, estimates from more than 2,000 analysts compiled by Bloomberg show. The index trades at 13.1 times 2010 per-share earnings forecasts, compared with an average 16.4 times reported income since 1954. Economists predict gross domestic product will expand 3.2 percent this year, the most since 3.6 percent in 204, the data show. The 10-day average premium for options that pay off should the S&P 500 decline to 940 jumped to 75.7 percent on May 27 and remains within a percentage point of the record, based on data compiled by Bloomberg and OptionMetrics , a New York-based provider of options market data and analytics. A retreat to that level would represent a 23 percent drop from the April high, exceeding the 20 percent commonly defined as a bear market. ‘Paranoia Premium’ “When you see this much fear in the market, it’s probably the time to get a little more constructive and possibly look to putting money to work,” said Peter Sorrentino , who helps oversee $13.3 billion at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati. “The skew is too heavy. The paranoia premium has driven it up.” Billionaire Warren Buffett said in a press conference on May 1 that his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is ready to spend as much as $10 billion on an acquisition as the economy improves. Buffett, chief executive officer of the Omaha, Nebraska-based insurer and investment company made an “all-in wager” on the U.S. by paying $27 billion for Fort Worth, Texas-based railroad Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. in February. Rally Signal When bearish puts cost 50 percent more than bullish calls, the S&P 500 rallied 28 times during the next six months and declined 6 times, according to OptionMetrics data going back to 1996 compiled by Bloomberg. The biggest gain started in November 1997, when the index rose 18 percent and the premium increased to 54.1 percent, data show. The S&P 500 plunged 35 percent after the skew reached 50.2 percent in June 2008. More than $1.9 trillion has been erased from American equities since April 23 on concern budget deficits in Greece, Portugal and Spain will spur bank losses and freeze lending. The S&P 500 slid 3.4 percent to a four-month low on June 4 following the jobs report and speculation that Hungary’s budget deficit may force a default. A group of U.S. financial companies posted the third- biggest retreat during the selloff since April, falling 16 percent. Energy and commodity producers both lost 17 percent. “The tail risk of a significant stock market correction is very high now, thus the option prices correctly reflect the cost of hedging against” a decline, Nouriel Roubini , the New York University professor who warned of a financial crisis in 2006, said in an e-mail on June 2. “Macro risks and financial risk are significantly rising.” Loss Protection Rising options costs suggest money managers are suffering smaller losses than are reflected in benchmark indexes after Europe’s crisis sent the S&P 500 down 8.2 percent in May, the biggest monthly slump since February 2009, said Christopher Metli , a derivatives strategist at Morgan Stanley. Hedge funds fell 2.6 percent last month, according to the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index. That was the largest drop since November 2008, two months after New York-based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed the biggest-ever bankruptcy. “The market’s telling you that investors are still bullish, and they’re hanging onto their positions, but they’re protecting through options,” Metli said. “Investors are worried about sovereign contagion, and the growth slowdown transmitting globally.” Traders are buying options on Bank of America amid the 1.9 percent rally in its stock this year. The second-biggest U.S. home lender behind San Francisco-based Wells Fargo & Co. said on June 2 that loan charge-offs may have peaked as demand improves. The company posted losses of about $9 billion in its mortgage unit since January 2008, Bloomberg data show. Transocean, Halliburton The Oil Services ETF has plunged 31 percent since April 23. The security is made up of companies such as Vernier, Switzerland-based Transocean Ltd. and Halliburton Co. and Schlumberger Ltd. in Houston that declined after U.S. President Barrack Obama proposed extending a moratorium on deepwater drilling. New York-based Citigroup Inc. was the fund’s biggest holder with 3.55 million shares, or 19 percent of those outstanding, as of March 31, data compiled by Bloomberg show. “It could be a buying opportunity,” said Wayne Lin , a money manager at Baltimore-based Legg Mason Inc., which manages $685 billion. “Stocks are at good value. Earnings are growing fairly strongly. Economic fundamentals are still strong, especially for the U.S., making it possible that the risks are overblown.” To contact the reporters on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net ; Jeff Kearns in New York at jkearns3@bloomberg.net .

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Nielsen Files to Raise $1.75 Billion in IPO by KKR, Thomas Lee, Blackstone

June 3, 2010

By Zijing Wu and Sarah Rabil June 3 (Bloomberg) — Nielsen Holdings BV, the television- audience rating company owned by KKR & Co., Thomas H. Lee Partners LP, Blackstone Group LP and Carlyle Group, filed to raise as much as $1.75 billion in an initial public offering. Nielsen will use the proceeds to help pay down its $8.6 billion in debt, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The New York-based company didn’t disclose how many shares it would offer or at what price it would sell the stock. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley, along with Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. will manage the IPO, the filing showed. The market-research company is pressing ahead with the IPO even after the European debt crisis triggered a 9.9 percent slump in the MSCI World Index of developed-nation stocks in May and at least 20 companies worldwide postponed or shelved IPOs. Initial offerings from U.S. companies backed by buyout firms are also losing money for IPO investors for the first time in at least a decade, data compiled by Bloomberg show. “The market is volatile, but this is a solid brand,” said Paul Schaye , managing partner of New York-based Chestnut Hill Partners, which helps private-equity firms identify investments. “Private-equity funds are of certain vintages, just like wine. At some point, you have to pop the cork and drink it.” Leveraged Buyout Nielsen is going public four years after it was acquired by a group of six leveraged buyout firms for $10.2 billion. Private-equity funds, which spent a record $1.6 trillion on deals from 2005 to 2007, are selling assets in initial public offerings after returning less money to clients last year than any time since at least 2000. Ed Dandridge , a spokesman for Nielsen, declined to comment beyond the filing and said Nielsen executives were not available. David Calhoun , previously vice chairman of Fairfield, Connecticut-based General Electric Co. , has been chief executive officer and executive director of Nielsen since the 2006 LBO. AlpInvest Partners NV of Amsterdam and San Francisco-based Hellman & Friedman LLC also own stakes in Nielsen. The company, which changed its name from VNU Group BV in 2007, has operations in more than 100 countries and measures audiences across TV, radio, websites and mobile phones and provides brand and market- research services. It had $8.6 billion of debt as of March 31. ‘Meaningfully Improved’ Revenue rose 9 percent to $1.2 billion in the first quarter from $1.1 billion a year earlier, according to the filing. Net income increased to $42 million in the period from $2 million. Nielsen doesn’t plan to pay dividends on its common stock for the “foreseeable future” and will retain earnings to repay debt and fund expansion. “Companies with significant debt loads only have so many options for refinancing or repaying that debt, and tapping the equity markets is one,” Mike Simonton , a Chicago-based credit analyst with Fitch Ratings, said in an e-mail. “Nielsen was taken out earlier in the buyout boom. The sponsors have had several years for their strategies to take hold and there’s evidence that their efforts have meaningfully improved the enterprise.” Nielsen’s 150 million euros ($183 million) of 9 percent notes due in 2014 were quoted at 103 cents on the euro, while the $500 million of 11.125 percent notes due in 2016 are valued at about 97 cents, according to Evolution Securities Ltd. Both securities have risen about 3 points since the announcement. Nestle, P&G The company’s TV ratings are an industry standard that help set advertising prices in the U.S. Nielsen also measures retail transactions and consumer behavior for the packaged-goods industry, showing how well products sell and are marketed. Coca-Cola Co. of Atlanta, NBC Universal, Vevey, Switzerland-based Nestle SA , News Corp. in New York and Cincinnati-based Procter & Gamble Co. are among Nielsen’s top 10 clients, according to the filing. Buyout funds are turning to IPOs after money raised by LBO firms fell 78 percent to $35 billion in the fourth quarter of 2009, according to Preqin Ltd. of London. The collapse of New York-based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. a year earlier had stymied deals and frozen credit markets. LBO firms are pushing ahead with some of the biggest initial U.S. offerings of 2010 even after private equity-backed IPOs from Fort Lauderdale, Florida-based Metals USA Holdings Corp. and Niska Gas Storage Partners LLC of Houston declined. HCA, NXP The 14 initial sales by private-equity funds so far this year have fallen 2.3 percent in the first month of trading after averaging gains every year since at least 2001, data compiled by Bloomberg and Greenwich, Connecticut-based Renaissance Capital LLC show. HCA Inc. , the hospital chain bought four years ago in a $33 billion LBO led by New York-based KKR and Bain Capital LLC of Boston, filed last month to sell as much as $4.6 billion in shares. The Nashville, Tennessee-based company’s U.S. IPO would be the largest since Visa Inc. of San Francisco raised $19.7 billion in March 2008. NXP Semiconductors NV, the Dutch chipmaker owned by KKR and Bain, said in April it will seek to sell $1.15 billion of shares. Apax Partners LLP in London was also among the private- equity funds that acquired Eindhoven, Netherlands-based NXP from Royal Philips Electronics NV of Amsterdam in 2006. Toys “R” Us Inc. , the Wayne, New Jersey-based retailer acquired by KKR, Bain and Vornado Realty Trust in 2005, said last week it plans to raise as much as $800 million in an IPO. To contact the reporters on this story: Zijing Wu in London at zwu17@bloomberg.net ; Sarah Rabil in New York at srabil@bloomberg.net .

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JPMorgan Fined Record $49 Million for Failing to Isolate U.K. Client Cash

June 3, 2010

By Caroline Binham June 3 (Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. ’s London unit was fined a record 33.3 million pounds ($48.9 million) by Britain’s financial regulator for not properly separating client money from the firm’s accounts. An average of $8.6 billion wasn’t properly segregated by JPMorgan Securities Ltd. in an error that went undetected for seven years, the Financial Services Authority said in a statement today. Client money held by the bank’s futures and options business wasn’t put in a separate overnight customer account, the FSA said. The bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. , which roiled financial markets worldwide in 2008, forced the regulator to put financial companies on notice that they must properly separate client funds. New York-based Lehman’s creditors filed more than $830 billion of claims and regulators worldwide are trying to unravel how money moved through its global units. “The FSA has repeatedly emphasized the importance of ensuring that client money is adequately protected,” said Margaret Cole , the FSA Enforcement Director. “This penalty sends out a strong message to firms of all sizes that they must ensure client money is segregated in accordance with FSA rules. Firms need to sit up and take notice of this action — we have several more cases in the pipeline.” Had the company gone bankrupt, clients could have lost all their money, according to the regulator. Reduced Fine JPMorgan spokesman David Wells declined to comment. The New York-based bank escaped a 47.6 million-pound fine by cooperating with the regulator, according to the FSA’s statement. No clients lost money, and the mistake didn’t affect the bank’s financial reporting, the FSA said. The fine is nearly twice as much the 17 million-pound fine levied against Royal Dutch Shell Plc in 2004 for market abuse. The 33.3 million pounds represents 1 percent of the average amount of client money that wasn’t properly separated, according to the regulator’s statement. The agency has said fines will increase as part of its new tougher approach following the financial crisis. In some cases, penalty size will triple. To contact the reporters on this story: Caroline Binham in London at cbinham@bloomberg.net

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Hedge Funds Post Biggest Monthly Losses Since Lehman Aftershock

June 1, 2010

By Katherine Burton and Saijel Kishan June 1 (Bloomberg) — John Paulson , Louis Bacon and Andreas Halvorsen navigated the global market turmoil of 2008 with little or no damage. They weren’t as successful last month as the Dow Jones Industrial average had its worst May since 1940. Hedge funds lost an average of 2.7 percent through May 27, according to the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index , as the sovereign debt crisis in Europe triggered declines in stocks, the euro and commodities, and the gap in yields between U.S. short-term and long-term debt narrowed. It was the biggest decline since November 2008, when hedge funds lost 3 percent in the wake of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s bankruptcy two months earlier. Almost every strategy lost money in May, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc. in Chicago, as the Dow index of 30 big stocks sank 7.6 percent including dividends amid speculation that Greece’s debt problems would spread to nations such as Spain and Portugal. Some of the best-known funds saw their gains for this year erased. “Attempting to manage risk in an environment where everything that could go wrong does go wrong seems like a fruitless endeavor,” said Brad Balter , who runs Balter Capital Management LLC, a Boston firm that invests in hedge funds for clients. “The only defense that seems to work in months like these is being in cash.” Paulson’s Advantage fund dropped 6.9 percent through May 21, dragging it to a year-to-date loss of 3.3 percent, according to investors with knowledge of the results, who asked not to be named because the information is private. Halvorsen’s Viking Global fund fell 3.4 percent in the same span and 2.9 percent for the year. Bacon’s Moore Global declined 7.7 percent as of May 20 and 4.8 percent in 2010, investors said. 2008 Performance Representatives of Paulson & Co., Viking Global Investors LP and Moore Capital Management LLC, the New York-based firms that oversee the funds, declined to comment. Paulson, Halvorsen and Bacon have among the best long-term returns in the industry, each with average gains of 20 percent or more since they started. Paulson Advantage fund climbed 25 percent in 2008 while the S&P 500 slumped 37 percent including dividends, its largest setback since the Great Depression. Viking rose 0.1 percent that year and Moore Global slid 4.6 percent, offering investors the type of bear-market shelter they look for in hedge funds. Many of the wagers that hedge funds put on to protect against falling markets didn’t work, Balter said. Their bets on falling stocks didn’t make enough money to counter losses in shares the managers expected to climb. Commodities retreated 8.2 percent in May, as measured by the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index. Traders who positioned themselves for the U.S. yield curve to steepen, a sign of expected economic growth, suffered losses when the difference between payouts on two-year and 10-year Treasury notes narrowed instead. The spread shrank from 269 basis points at the end of April to 252 on May 28. A basis point is one-hundredth of a percent. SAC, Citadel SAC Capital Advisors LLC, the hedge-fund firm run by Steven Cohen in Stamford, Connecticut, with about $12 billion under management, lost 2.9 percent last month through May 21 with its SAC Capital International fund, trimming this year’s gain to about 4 percent, according to people familiar with the firm. Citadel Investment Group LLC, the $12 billion hedge-fund firm run by Ken Griffin , lost about 2 percent with its biggest funds last month through May 21, said people familiar with the Chicago firm. The funds soared as much as 62 percent last year as markets rebounded after losing as much as 55 percent in 2008. Brevan Howard Asset Management LLP in London, Europe’s largest hedge-fund firm, lost 0.1 percent for the month through May 21 with its Brevan Howard Fund Ltd., leaving it with a decline of 0.3 percent this year, according to an investor. Caxton Gains Some funds made money last month. Caxton Associates LLC, the New York-based firm founded by Bruce Kovner , rose 1 percent through May 21 with its largest fund as currency trades paid off, an investor said. The fund is up 4.5 percent for the year. Autonomy Capital Research LLP, based in London, climbed 0.7 percent through May 21 and about 12.5 percent for the year, according to people with knowledge of the fund. Robert Gibbins , manager for the $1.5 billion firm, said his trades were based on the forecast that global economies won’t improve until currencies are better aligned, and in particular Chinese officials agree to let the yuan strengthen, he said. “That people were looking for new highs on equities didn’t make sense to us,” Gibbins said in a telephone interview. Before last month, the S&P 500 had soared 80 percent from its 12-year low in March 2009, including dividends. Volatility Surge Gibbins said his profitable trades included wagers that the S&P 500 would fall and that interest rates in a number of countries would slide. BAM Capital LLC, a $300 million hedge-fund firm in New York that bets on price volatility, returned 7.7 percent last month through May 21 with its main BAM Opportunity Fund LP, bringing its gain for the year to 8.2 percent, according to an investor. The VIX , an index measuring volatility, jumped about 45 percent last month. Spokesmen for SAC, Citadel, Brevan Howard, Caxton and BAM Capital declined to comment. The price swings in May haven’t changed managers’ views on whether global economies are rebounding or shrinking. “Managers who are positive are still positive, and negative managers are still negative,” said Charles Krusen, head of Krusen Capital Management LLC, a New York-based firm that invests in hedge funds for clients. To contact the reporters on this story: Katherine Burton in New York at kburton@bloomberg.net ; Saijel Kishan in New York at skishan@bloomberg.net .

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Goldman Sachs May Spend $621 Million to Settle SEC Fraud Case, Hintz Says

May 27, 2010

By Nikolaj Gammeltoft May 27 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. may spend $621 million to settle the Securities and Exchange Commission’s fraud suit that triggered a 13 percent one-day drop in the firm’s stock, analyst Brad Hintz said. Negotiations between the SEC and Wall Street’s most profitable investment bank may end with Goldman Sachs paying a fine of about $250 million, plus $371 million to reimburse investors in the disputed trades, Hintz, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. , wrote in a note to clients today. “While this would be painful to Goldman, we believe it would allow both Goldman Sachs and the SEC to walk away declaring ‘victory’,” said Hintz, who has had an “outperform” rating on the stock since June 2009. “Certainly Goldman wants this case settled. Its management has stated that it wants a ’normal’ relationship with its regulators.” The amount could reduce the New York-based firm’s earnings per share by $1.05, or 5.4 percent of 2010 earnings, which are estimated to be $19.55, according to the average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey . Goldman Sachs slumped on April 16 when the SEC accused Goldman Sachs of defrauding investors in a collateralized debt obligation linked to home loans. The firm concealed the fact that Paulson & Co., a New York-based hedge fund, picked components of the CDO and bet it would collapse, the agency said. The bank, led by Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein , 55, has denied wrongdoing. SEC spokesman John Nester and Goldman Sachs spokesman Michael Duvally declined to comment. To contact the reporter on this story: Nikolaj Gammeltoft in New York at ngammeltoft@bloomberg.net

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Goldman Sachs May Spend $621 Million to Settle SEC Fraud Case, Hintz Says

May 27, 2010

By Nikolaj Gammeltoft May 27 (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. may spend $621 million to settle the Securities and Exchange Commission’s fraud suit that triggered a 13 percent one-day drop in the firm’s stock, analyst Brad Hintz said. Negotiations between the SEC and Wall Street’s most profitable investment bank may end with Goldman Sachs paying a fine of about $250 million, plus $371 million to reimburse investors in the disputed trades, Hintz, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. , wrote in a note to clients today. “While this would be painful to Goldman, we believe it would allow both Goldman Sachs and the SEC to walk away declaring ‘victory’,” said Hintz, who has had an “outperform” rating on the stock since June 2009. “Certainly Goldman wants this case settled. Its management has stated that it wants a ’normal’ relationship with its regulators.” The amount could reduce the New York-based firm’s earnings per share by $1.05, or 5.4 percent of 2010 earnings, which are estimated to be $19.55, according to the average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey . Goldman Sachs slumped on April 16 when the SEC accused Goldman Sachs of defrauding investors in a collateralized debt obligation linked to home loans. The firm concealed the fact that Paulson & Co., a New York-based hedge fund, picked components of the CDO and bet it would collapse, the agency said. The bank, led by Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein , 55, has denied wrongdoing. SEC spokesman John Nester and Goldman Sachs spokesman Michael Duvally declined to comment. To contact the reporter on this story: Nikolaj Gammeltoft in New York at ngammeltoft@bloomberg.net

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Morgan Stanley Said to Hire Heaton From Deutsche Bank as Banker for Funds

May 24, 2010

By Zachary R. Mider May 24 (Bloomberg) — Morgan Stanley hired Deutsche Bank AG’s David Heaton , an investment banker for fund managers including Legg Mason Inc., said a person with direct knowledge of the matter. Heaton, 43, will join in August and run Morgan Stanley’s investment banking for asset-management companies, said the person, who spoke on condition of anonymity because Heaton hasn’t joined the firm yet. Mary Claire Delaney , a spokeswoman for New York-based Morgan Stanley, declined to comment. Heaton was part of a group of 12 Merrill Lynch & Co. bankers who defected to the German bank last year, prompting Merrill to file a lawsuit. The case was later resolved. Also part of the group that went to Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank last year were Heaton’s brothers Eric and Seth Heaton . Eric and Seth Heaton remain at Deutsche Bank. To contact the reporter on this story: Zachary R. Mider in New York at zmider1@bloomberg.net ;

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JPMorgan’s 64% Note Tied to Tivo Stock Shows Risks of Reverse Convertibles

May 17, 2010

By Zeke Faux May 17 (Bloomberg) — A JPMorgan Chase & Co. reverse- convertible note paying 64 percent annualized interest plunged in value on May 14, three days after being sold, showing the risks of these products usually bought by individual investors. The structured notes offered 10.7 percent in interest payments over their two-month term and a return of principal, as long as shares of TiVo Inc. didn’t fall more than 25 percent, according to a prospectus. TiVo dropped 42 percent on May 14 after an adverse court ruling, triggering a provision that will leave investors holding the possibly depressed stock at maturity. Banks including JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and Barclays Plc sold $656 million of reverse convertibles in the U.S. last month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The securities, which combine features of bonds and stock options, are often sold to individuals who don’t understand the risks, said Jake Zamansky , a New York-based attorney who represents investors. “It’s being sold as a bond, an income-generating product, and I don’t think it’s being explained to people that you can get stuck with the stock,” the securities lawyer at Zamansky & Associates said in a telephone interview on May 14. He has represented investors in lawsuits related to the products. Justin Perras , a JPMorgan spokesman, declined to comment. The prospectus’s listing of risk considerations includes the statements “your investment in the notes may result in a loss” and “your protection may terminate on any day.” “Protection” refers to the feature where the principal is returned unless, on any day, the stock closes 25 percent below its initial price. Receiving Stock Because that level was breached, noteholders will receive at maturity as many shares of the stock as their investment would have bought at the initial price, hence the name “reverse convertible.” “Individuals should be buying reverse convertibles on stocks that they otherwise would consider owning outright,” said Keith Styrcula , chairman of the New York-based Structured Products Association, in a telephone interview today. Investors in JPMorgan’s notes could make money if TiVo’s share price recovers. The stock was up 5.8 percent , to $10.75, at 1:09 p.m. today in trading on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, compared with $16.88 when the notes were issued. JPMorgan sold $800,000 of the TiVo-linked products, it said in the prospectus. The 64 percent interest rate was the highest offered on any reverse convertible in months, according to Craig McCann , a Fairfax, Virginia-based litigation consultant who’s preparing a study of the market. ‘Ridiculous’ Commission The price of the securities included a 1.75 percent sales commission, of which JPMorgan received 0.75 percentage point, according to the prospectus. That’s 10.5 percent on an annualized basis, which is much higher than the commission charged on comparable investments, according to Seth Lipner , a Garden City, New York-based attorney. “A 10.5 percent commission is ridiculous,” Lipner said in a telephone interview on May 14. “The cost would be much lower” for investors to make the same kind of market bet using various options rather than reverse convertibles, he said. Structured notes generally include other costs, such as to offset risks related to the security, as well as a profit for the issuer. The built-in costs of the TiVo-linked note were limited to the 1.75 percent commission, according to the prospectus. Each $1,000 TiVo note was worth $945 on the day it was offered, according to Bloomberg’s reverse-convertible pricing model. McCann said his model came up with an initial value of $960. Prices generated by the models vary based on the source of market data and assumptions about liquidity and volatility. Court Case TiVo’s decline came after an appeals court said on May 14 it would reconsider the company’s victory over Dish Network Corp. and EchoStar Corp. in a digital-video recording patent case. Dish and EchoStar had asked on April 5 for the full panel of the appeals court to rehear the case. “I don’t think something with a major development about to take place, positive or negative, should be put into a reverse convertible,” Zamansky said. “There’s just too much volatility.” JPMorgan’s prospectus states that TiVo’s stock “has experienced significant fluctuations.” It doesn’t mention the pending patent case. Many investors who lost money on reverse convertibles have filed arbitration claims against their brokers, according to Zamansky. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, a trade group, said in a February letter to its members that reverse convertibles can be “difficult for retail investors and registered representatives to evaluate.” Brokers’ sales pitches must be “fair and balanced,” it said. Brokers often market reverse convertibles as a way for individuals to take advantage of the sophisticated derivatives trading that banks use, according to Chris Vernon, a Naples, Florida-based attorney who represents structured-note investors. “The pitch with these complex structured products is that this is what the big boys are doing and now you can do it too,” Vernon said in a telephone interview on May 14. “But the big boys aren’t paying 10 percent-plus commission per year.” To contact the reporter on this story: Zeke Faux in New York at zfaux@bloomberg.net .

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Metro-Goldwyn Creditors Audition Would-Be Moguls for Role of Studio Chief

May 7, 2010

By Ronald Grover and Michael White May 7 (Bloomberg) — Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Inc. ’s creditors, unsatisfied with proposals to buy or restructure the debt-laden film studio, have contacted Hollywood executives who may be willing to run it, people with knowledge of the situation said. Former News Corp. President Peter Chernin , ex- Viacom Inc. executive Jonathan Dolgen and the founders of Spyglass Entertainment met with lenders in recent weeks, said four people who declined to be identified because the talks are private. Five creditors have amassed 51 percent of Los Angeles-based MGM’s $3.7 billion in bank debt and are seeking advice about managing the studio, said two people. Under options being discussed, the studio would receive $500 million or more in fresh capital, they said. Creditors deemed earlier offers for the studio too low, people close to the talks said on March 25. “To run a company like this you want to bring in someone with a special skill set,” said Clark Hallren , managing partner of Los Angeles-based entertainment industry adviser Clear Scope Partners. “You would need to show the industry that you are sufficiently capitalized and you want to have a real Hollywood insider who has credibility with agents and talent.” Extended talks have been held with Spyglass founders Roger Birnbaum and Gary Barber , said one person. The Los Angeles-based company’s production credits include “Star Trek” and “G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra.” Outside offers to buy or restructure the studio are on hold, as is a proposal to restructure under current management led by turnaround artist Stephen Cooper , said one person. Chernin Role Chernin has discussed overseeing the studio in a consulting role rather than running day-to-day operations, two people said. The executive, who stepped down as president and chief operating officer at News Corp. in June, oversaw the media company’s Los Angeles-based operations and has a production deal on the Twentieth Century Fox lot. Allan Mayer , an outside spokesman for Chernin, declined to comment. Birnbaum and Barber, who were traveling, didn’t respond to requests for comment. The size of any cash infusion will depend on the structure of the new company, its business model and the number of films it makes, said one person with knowledge of the talks. One possibility to raise money is by selling distribution rights. Summit Entertainment LLC, which produces and distributes the “Twilight” vampire movies, has discussed releasing MGM’s films internationally, one person said. The process of evaluating options is being run primarily by the five creditors — Dallas-based Highland Capital Management, Anchorage Advisors, New York-based Davidson Kempner Capital Management, Solus and Goldman Sachs Group , said one person. Sands, McGurk Jonathan Gasthalter , a spokesman for New York-based Anchorage, declined to comment. Michael DuVally , a spokesman for New York-based Goldman, had no immediate comment. Messages for Christopher Pucillo at Solus in New York weren’t returned. Scott Wilson , a Highland spokesman, didn’t immediately return a call. Other Hollywood executives who have met with the studio’s lenders include Revolution Studios founder Joe Roth , now an independent producer, former MGM operating chief Richard Sands and Christopher McGurk , chief executive of Liberty Media Corp.’s Overture Films, who was MGM’s vice chairman and chief operating officer from 1999 to 2005, people said. Dolgen, who headed Viacom’s entertainment unit until 2004, is a principal with Wood River Ventures. He proposed operating the studio while turning over movie production to producer- directors Tony Scott and Ridley Scott , according to people with knowledge of his plan. Roth and McGurk weren’t interested in running MGM, said the people. Bids, Forbearance Roth’s spokesman, Arnold Robinson , said he couldn’t confirm or deny any meeting. “Joe is very happy doing what he’s doing,” he said. Courtnee Ulrich , a spokeswoman for Englewood, Colorado- based Liberty, didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment. MGM put itself up for sale and hired Cooper last year after falling behind on debt. Creditors have waived interest payments since September and the current forbearance expires on May 15. Ryan Kavanaugh ’s Relativity Media offered MGM $500 million to make movies as part of a management-led plan, two people said on April 8. Time Warner Inc. , based in New York, has bid $1.5 billion to acquire the studio, people with knowledge of the matter said in March. Private equity firm Qualia Capital, led by Amir Malin and Ken Schapiro , and billionaire Len Blavatnik ’s Access Industries, have proposed restructuring plans, people said then. Buying MGM “could make sense, but only at the right price,” Time Warner Chief Executive Officer Jeff Bewkes said on a conference call this week. To contact the reporters on this story: Ronald Grover in Los Angeles at rgrover5@bloomberg.net ; Michael White in Los Angeles at Mwhite8@bloomberg.net

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Video: Harper Discusses Goldman’s Blankfein, SEC Lawsuit: Video

May 7, 2010

May 7 (Bloomberg) — Bloomberg’s Christine Harper talks with Erik Schatzker about the outlook for Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s annual meeting today and the impact of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s fraud lawsuit on the New York-based firm. (Source: Bloomberg)

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`Strategic’ Home-Mortgage Defaults in U.S. Reach 12%, Morgan Stanley Says

April 29, 2010

By Jody Shenn April 29 (Bloomberg) — Decisions by homeowners to walk away from mortgages they can afford are accounting for more defaults, according to Morgan Stanley. About 12 percent of all mortgage defaults in February were “strategic,” up from about 4 percent in the middle of 2007, New York-based Morgan Stanley analysts led by Vishwanath Tirupattur wrote in a report today. Borrowers with higher credit scores and larger loans are more likely to stop paying their mortgages even while staying current on other consumer debt of at least $10,000, the analysts wrote, based on analysis of data from Transunion LLC. Strategic defaults also increase based on how much more borrowers owe in housing debt than their homes are worth, they said. To contact the reporters on this story: Jody Shenn in New York at jshenn@bloomberg.net

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BayernLB Ends Business Relationship With Goldman Sachs on SEC Fraud Suit

April 21, 2010

By Aaron Kirchfeld and Frances Robinson April 21 (Bloomberg) — Bayerische Landesbank, Germany’s second-biggest state-owned lender, has ended its business relationship with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. after allegations of fraud by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission against the New York-based firm, a spokesman for the German lender said. Munich-based BayernLB spokesman Matthias Priwitzer confirmed a previous report in German newspaper Handelsblatt by telephone today. He declined to provide further details.

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Video: Buffett’s Goldman Sachs Warrants Drop on SEC Lawsuit: Video

April 16, 2010

April 16 (Bloomberg) — The value of Warren Buffett’s options to buy Goldman Sachs Group Inc. shares dropped after regulators sued the bank for misleading clients on the sale of securities tied to the subprime mortgage market. The warrants give Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. the right to buy New York-based Goldman Sachs common stock for $115 a share. Bloomberg’s Brennan Lothery reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

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MasterCard Appoints Ajay Banga Chief Executive Officer to Replace Selander

April 12, 2010

By Nikolaj Gammeltoft April 12 (Bloomberg) — MasterCard Inc. , the second-biggest electronic-payments network after Visa Inc., named Ajay Banga chief executive officer, 10 months after hiring him as a potential successor to Robert W. Selander . Banga, 50, will take the top position on July 1, the Purchase, New York-based company said today in a statement. Selander, 59, will continue as executive vice chairman and a member of the board of directors until he retires on Dec. 31. Banga joined MasterCard as president and chief operating officer from Citigroup Inc. last August, and was given a $4.2 million signing bonus he could keep if he wasn’t named CEO by June 30, 2010, according to a regulatory filing . Banga will retain his title as president when he becomes CEO. “Ajay has demonstrated extraordinary leadership and insight, and I know he is the ideal candidate to lead MasterCard moving forward,” Selander, who was named CEO in 1997, said in the statement. MasterCard’s fourth-quarter earnings fell short of most Wall Street estimates as rebates and incentives climbed 35 percent from a year earlier. Visa reported earnings that exceeded forecasts. Both networks are benefiting from consumers’ increased shift to plastic. Card-based transactions were projected to exceed cash and checks for the first time in 2009, according to the Nilson Report, an industry newsletter based in Carpinteria, California. By 2013, card- and electronic-based payments will account for 63 percent of an estimated $9 trillion in U.S. consumer transactions, Nilson said. Kraft, Citigroup Banga, who is a board member of Kraft Foods Inc., started his career at Nestle SA and spent 13 years at Citigroup. He joined the New York-based bank in 1996 as head of marketing in India for the consumer business. In 2000 he was promoted to head CitiFinancial and the U.S. consumer assets division. In 2002 he took over the retail bank in North America, and in 2005 he was named to head Citigroup’s international consumer-banking and finance businesses. He moved to Hong Kong in early 2008 after being named to oversee all of the bank’s businesses in Asia. Banga holds degrees from Delhi University and the Indian Institute of Management in Ahmedabad. To contact the reporter on this story: Nikolaj Gammeltoft in New York at ngammeltoft@bloomberg.net

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MasterCard Appoints Ajay Banga Chief Executive Officer to Replace Selander

April 12, 2010

By Nikolaj Gammeltoft April 12 (Bloomberg) — MasterCard Inc. , the second-biggest electronic-payments network after Visa Inc., named Ajay Banga chief executive officer, 10 months after hiring him as a potential successor to Robert W. Selander . Banga, 50, will take the top position on July 1, the Purchase, New York-based company said today in a statement. Selander, 59, will continue as executive vice chairman and a member of the board of directors until he retires on Dec. 31. Banga joined MasterCard as president and chief operating officer from Citigroup Inc. last August, and was given a $4.2 million signing bonus he could keep if he wasn’t named CEO by June 30, 2010, according to a regulatory filing . Banga will retain his title as president when he becomes CEO. “Ajay has demonstrated extraordinary leadership and insight, and I know he is the ideal candidate to lead MasterCard moving forward,” Selander, who was named CEO in 1997, said in the statement. MasterCard’s fourth-quarter earnings fell short of most Wall Street estimates as rebates and incentives climbed 35 percent from a year earlier. Visa reported earnings that exceeded forecasts. Both networks are benefiting from consumers’ increased shift to plastic. Card-based transactions were projected to exceed cash and checks for the first time in 2009, according to the Nilson Report, an industry newsletter based in Carpinteria, California. By 2013, card- and electronic-based payments will account for 63 percent of an estimated $9 trillion in U.S. consumer transactions, Nilson said. Kraft, Citigroup Banga, who is a board member of Kraft Foods Inc., started his career at Nestle SA and spent 13 years at Citigroup. He joined the New York-based bank in 1996 as head of marketing in India for the consumer business. In 2000 he was promoted to head CitiFinancial and the U.S. consumer assets division. In 2002 he took over the retail bank in North America, and in 2005 he was named to head Citigroup’s international consumer-banking and finance businesses. He moved to Hong Kong in early 2008 after being named to oversee all of the bank’s businesses in Asia. Banga holds degrees from Delhi University and the Indian Institute of Management in Ahmedabad. To contact the reporter on this story: Nikolaj Gammeltoft in New York at ngammeltoft@bloomberg.net

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Video: Morse Says Chapdelaine Perfect Foundation for Brokerage: Video

April 8, 2010

April 9 (Bloomberg) — Robert Morse, co-founder of Primus Financial Holdings Ltd., talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about his company’s agreement to buy 70% of Chapdelaine & Co., a New York-based municipal bond broker. Morse, who is Citigroup Inc.’s former Asia investment banking chief, also talks about the prospects for Taiwanese regulatory approval to acquire American International Group Inc.’s local unit, Nan Shan Life Insurance Co. (Source: Bloomberg)

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American Securities and ASP Westward Welcome James W. Hopson as CEO of ASP Westward

April 8, 2010

NEW YORK, NY and HOUSTON, TX–(Marketwire – April 8, 2010) –  American Securities ( http://www.american-securities.com/Main ), a New York-based private equity firm and majority owner of ASP Westward, and ASP Westward (Westward) are pleased to announce that James W. Hopson has joined Westward as chief executive officer, effective April 5, 2010. Tom Stamper, who served for 12 months as interim CEO, has assumed a new position as president of Westward’s East Texas division and publisher of the Longview News Journal , as well as resumed his previous role as vice president of operations, continuing to manage all of the company’s printing and distribution operations.

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Gap, Saks March Sales Exceed Analysts’ Estimates as U.S. Economy Improves

April 8, 2010

By Matt Townsend April 8 (Bloomberg) — Gap Inc. , Saks Inc. and TJX Cos. posted March sales gains that exceeded analysts’ estimates as retailers benefited from an early Easter and bounced back from last year’s revenue declines. Sales at stores open at least a year climbed 11 percent at clothing retailer Gap, beating the 3.7 percent average of estimates compiled by Retail Metrics Inc. Comparable-store sales at Saks , the luxury department-store chain, rose 12.7 percent, more than the average projection of 7.5 percent. TJX, which runs the T.J. Maxx discount chain, gained 12 percent, eclipsing the 6.3 percent average estimate. Easter fell eight days earlier this year, which drew more purchases into the reporting period. That produced more favorable comparisons with last March, when the economy was in the depths of the recession, said Brian Sozzi , an analyst with Wall Street Strategies Inc. in New York. “It could have been more, given all the drivers,” Sozzi said today in a telephone interview. “We’re past a major holiday, so it’s going to be interesting to see if the consumer continues to go out and spend.” Gap, based in San Francisco, climbed $1, or 4.2 percent, to $24.86 at 9:50 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading . Shares of New York-based Saks fell 6 cents to $9.11 and Framingham, Massachusetts-based TJX rose 15 cents to $44.77. The 31-company Standard & Poor’s Retailing Index reached its highest intraday level since October 2007. April Forecast March chain-store sales rose 9 percent, the biggest one- month gain since March 1999, said the New York-based International Council of Shopping Centers. The early Easter accounted for 4 to 5 percentage points of the gain, said the trade group, which based its report on 31 chains. April sales may be unchanged or fall as much as 3 percent, the ICSC said. Retail Metrics, based in Swampscott, Massachusetts, estimated a total increase of 6.1 percent in U.S. comparable- store sales in March, which would mark the seventh straight monthly gain and the biggest advance since November 2007. Retailers’ sales, which declined every month from September 2008 to August 2009, have rebounded as employment and consumer confidence have improved. The U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs in March, the most in three years. The Conference Board’s confidence index rose to 52.5 last month from 46.4 in February. To contact the reporter on this story: Matt Townsend in New York at mtownsend9@bloomberg.net

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Stock Bulls Increase With Share Buyback Spending Signaled by Profits Surge

April 5, 2010

By Whitney Kisling and Lynn Thomasson April 5 (Bloomberg) — U.S. companies are sitting on a record pile of cash after spending the lowest proportion of their profits on stock buybacks since 2003, a sign that repurchases may propel the equities rally as earnings recover. Buybacks by companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index totaled $137.6 billion last year, or 28 percent of operating profit, according to S&P. The last time the ratio dropped to that level, the S&P 500 subsequently climbed for four years. U.S. firms will almost double their spending on stock repurchases to $235 billion in 2010 as earnings surge, according to Mizuho Financial Group Inc. S&P 500 companies, excluding financials, that bought their own stock in fiscal 2009 have rallied an average of 7 percentage points more than the index since the start of last year as the purchases reduced the supply available to investors, according to Bloomberg data. More than U.S. 200 companies from PepsiCo Inc. to United Technologies Corp. have announced buyback plans this year, data from Birinyi Associates Inc. show, as the S&P 500 extended its one-year surge to 74 percent. “The acceleration of buybacks is a positive,” said Eric Teal , who oversees $4.5 billion as chief investment officer at First Citizens BancShares Inc. in Raleigh, North Carolina. “It’s showing that the recovery is translating itself into an expansion.” Repurchases by S&P 500 companies increased during the third and fourth quarters of last year, the first consecutive gains since 2007, as the economy pulled out of its deepest recession since the Great Depression and a record nine quarters of profit declines ended. S&P 500 Earnings Gross domestic product grew at a 5.6 percent annual rate during the fourth quarter, the fastest since 2003, the Commerce Department said March 26. Employers added 162,000 jobs last month, the most in three years, Labor Department data showed on April 2. S&P 500 earnings will surge 50 percent from last year to a record $93.86 a share in 2010, according to the average analyst estimates in a Bloomberg survey. S&P 500 companies are turning to share buybacks after cash climbed to a record $831.2 billion at the end of the fourth quarter, according to data from New York-based S&P that goes back to 1980. That was the fifth straight increase from the prior quarter. Cash represents 11.4 percent of assets at companies outside the financial industry, the highest level in more than 50 years, according to Tokyo-based Mizuho. “There’s cash sitting there, waiting to come in later, which will then later help buoy both businesses and stocks,” billionaire Kenneth Fisher , who oversees more than $35 billion as chairman of Fisher Investments Inc. in Woodside, California, told Bloomberg Television in an interview last week. “This bull market will carry on for several years.” Pepsi, United Technologies PepsiCo rallied the most in a month on March 15 after the Purchase, New York-based maker of Frito-Lay snacks said it plans to buy as much as $15 billion in stock by 2013. That’s the biggest repurchase announced this year, according to Birinyi. The world’s largest snack maker will spend about $4.4 billion on its shares this year after suspending the program in 2009. United Technologies, which ended 2009 with the most cash in at least 22 years, said on March 10 it plans to buy $4.3 billion in stock. Shares of the Hartford, Connecticut-based maker of Pratt & Whitney jet engines have gained 3.3 percent since then, compared with a 2.8 percent advance in the S&P 500. The increase in stock repurchases last year wasn’t enough to offset share sales and options-related issuance tied to executive compensation. The share count for S&P 500 companies rose 4.5 percent in the final three months of 2009 compared with the third quarter, data compiled by S&P show. Bank Bailouts Bank of America Corp. of Charlotte, North Carolina, and New York-based Citigroup Inc. used equity offerings to repay U.S. government bailout funds. Excluding financial firms, the number of shares of S&P 500 companies rose 0.6 percent. “Buybacks are simply a means of keeping dilution to a minimum,” said Malcolm Polley , who oversees $1 billion as chief investment officer at Stewart Capital Advisors in Indiana, Pennsylvania. “Most companies have tended to buy back their stock at any price.” While share repurchases demonstrate optimism among company executives, record amounts may also signal overconfidence that might lead to declines in equities, according to Harris Private Bank’s Jack Ablin . Buybacks surged 36 percent to a record $589.1 billion in 2007, S&P data show. The S&P 500 rallied to an all-time high of 1,565.15 in October 2007 before plunging 57 percent through March 2009. ‘From 30,000 Feet’ “It’s a good indicator of management confidence at the company level, but when you take a step back and you look from 30,000 feet and you see a bunch of buybacks, then it’s more a sign of overconfidence,” said Ablin, who oversees $55 billion as chief investment officer of Chicago-based Harris. “The good news today is we’re not at that extreme. I would peg management confidence as somewhere between sanguine to optimistic, but certainly not ebullient.” Companies can reward investors by repurchasing stock when prices are cheap, Warren Buffett , the billionaire chairman and chief executive officer of Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said in a 1984 letter to shareholders. The S&P 500 is valued at 15.1 times this year’s projected earnings of its companies, and 12.6 times 2011 profits, Bloomberg data show. The compares with an average ratio of 20.6 times reported earnings since 1991. Buffett’s Holdings ConocoPhillips , the third-largest U.S. oil producer, said March 24 that it would repurchase $5 billion in shares during the next two years. The authorization by the Houston-based company is the third-largest in the U.S. this year, data from Birinyi show. ConocoPhillips is Berkshire’s ninth-largest holding, based on the share price today of the portfolio that Buffett disclosed in a regulatory filing in February. NRG Energy Inc. the second-largest power producer in Texas, WellPoint Inc. , the biggest U.S. health insurer by enrollment, and 50 other companies in the S&P 500 are reducing their shares outstanding by at least 1 percent, according to S&P. NRG is based in Princeton, New Jersey, while WellPoint is located in Indianapolis. The S&P 500’s rally since March 2009 marked the first phase of a bull market that will last into 2013, according to Birinyi. The pace of buyback announcements since Dec. 31 may lead to more than $400 billion in plans by the end of 2010, the most behind 2006 and 2007, the Westport, Connecticut-based money-management and research firm founded by Laszlo Birinyi said in a March 5 report. “It’s a big positive when the companies buy it back because it indicates they have the cash and they’re using it,” said Hugh Johnson , who oversees more than $1.7 billion as chairman of Albany, New York-based Johnson Illington. “It’s exactly what happens in a bull market.” To contact the reporters on this story: Whitney Kisling in New York at wkisling@bloomberg.net ; Lynn Thomasson in New York at lthomasson@bloomberg.net .

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Goldman Sachs Buyout Firm Acquires Stake in Ganek’s $4 Billion Hedge Fund

April 2, 2010

By Katherine Burton April 2 (Bloomberg) — A Goldman Sachs Group Inc. buyout firm bought a minority stake in David Ganek ’s $4 billion Level Global Investors LP, adding a hedge fund that can bet on rising as well as falling stock prices globally. Goldman Sachs’s Petershill Fund Offshore LP, a $1 billion fund set up to buy minority stakes in hedge funds, won’t get any management or investment decision-making role with the acquisition, according to a letter Ganek sent to clients yesterday. New York-based Level Global said it will use the proceeds from the sale to help attract and retain top talent. “We believe this investment by Petershill is an important milestone in the continued development of Level Global’s investment management platform as an institutional quality business,” Ganek and managing partner Anthony Chiasson said in the letter, a copy of which was obtained by Bloomberg News. Ganek, an alumnus of Steven A. Cohen ’s Stamford, Connecticut-based SAC Capital Advisors LLC, founded Level Global in 2003. The firm has 64 employees, of which 25 are investment professionals. Petershill has interests in three London-based funds, Capula Investment Management LLP, Winton Capital Management Ltd. and Trafalgar Asset Managers Ltd., as well as in Greenwich, Connecticut-based Shumway Capital Partners LLC. Andy Merrill, a spokesman for Level Global, and Melissa Daly , a spokeswoman for New York-based Goldman Sachs, declined to comment. Hedge funds are loosely regulated private partnerships that can bet on rising or falling prices of any securities. For Related News and Information: Today’s top fund stories: TOP FUND Hedge-fund rankings: WHF Hedge-fund flows: TNI HEDGE FLOWS Most-read hedge fund news: MNI HEDGE Hedge Fund Home Page: HFND Hedge Fund Holdings: FLNG

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Sugar `Crash’ Isn’t Over as Crops in India, Brazil Recover, Analysts Say

March 31, 2010

By Yi Tian and Debarati Roy March 31 (Bloomberg) — Sugar prices, heading for the biggest quarterly drop since 1985, will extend a slump as Brazil and India, the world’s largest producers, harvest bumper crops next season, analysts and traders said. Raw sugar will fall 16 percent to 15 cents a pound by early July as the bulk of Brazilian supplies reach the market, said Marcelo Dorea , a partner at Round Earth Capital in New York. The price will tumble to 13 cents at the end of the year, posting a 52 percent annual loss, said Mark Hansen at CPM Group. Last year, the sweetener more than doubled. “Sugar has transitioned from a bullish scenario to a bearish scenario,” said Dorea, who began trading agricultural commodities in 1981. “Investors should sell into rallies. The market may correct itself a little bit more, but there isn’t anything that would bring sugar up to the levels of the mid- 20s.” Raw sugar tumbled as much as 47 percent from a 29-year high of 30.4 cents on Feb. 1, as importers including India, Pakistan and Egypt withdrew from the market. Yesterday on ICE Futures U.S., the contract for May delivery rose 0.37 cent, or 2.1 percent, to 17.88 cents. The commodity has tumbled 34 percent in the first quarter. “It has basically been a price crash,” said Hansen at CPM, a New York-based research and asset-management company that structures hedges and trades for producers and consumers. “It’s not unreasonable to expect some kind of a bounce, but it’s unlikely to see sugar return to anywhere near” 27 cents, the level at the end of the year, he said. Mills Open Early Today, Brazilian sugar industry group Unica will issue its first output forecast for the Center South, which produces about 90 percent of the nation’s sweetener and ethanol. Brazilian yields are beating forecasts as a waning El Nino brings dry weather, boosting prospects for a record harvest. Mills began crushing cane early after two years of heavy rains pared output, said Maurilio Biagi Filho, the world’s second- largest grower. “I had never seen a single mill operating in January before,” Biagi said in an interview on March 24. “This January, we had 90 of them working at full capacity.” The Indian Sugar Mills Association on March 25 estimated production in the year ending Sept. 30 will be 17 million tons, up 1.5 million from a February projection. Output next season may be as much as 24 million tons, the group said. ‘Overestimated Deficit’ “The market had basically overestimated the extent of the deficit,” said Judith Ganes-Chase , a Katonah, a New York-based consultant. She forecast “single-digit” prices in 12 months, assuming favorable weather conditions. The global supply shortfall will be 12.8 million tons this year, down from 14.8 million projected in February, Czarnikow Group Ltd. said on March 24, citing higher-than-expected output in India. The market will return to a surplus next year, according to London-based Czarnikow and Ratzeburg, Germany-based F.O. Licht. “The unknown issue is the weather,” Round Earth’s Dorea said. “Last year, we were under this El Nino regime which is beginning to go away now. We’re moving to La Nina, which is typically better for crops in terms of rainfall distribution. In most cases, crops are going to be better and yields are going to be higher.” The cyclical heating of the Pacific Ocean known as El Nino will continue to fade, U.S. forecasters said this month. The weather event, which occurs every four to seven years, brings more rain to South America and less precipitation to Asia. In 2009, sugar soared partly because two straight years of drought damaged the Indian crop. El Nino Weakens A weakening El Nino is a “positive sign” for the monsoon, India’s main source of irrigation, Ajit Tyagi, a director general at the India Meteorological Department, said on March 18. “A repeat of last year is positively not going to happen.” The sweetener will rebound in the second half as prices become “appealing enough to ramp up demand,” said Claudio Oliveira , a trader at New York-based Castlestone Management LLC., which manages $600 million, including sugar futures. The commodity may fall to 15 cents in three months, he said. Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators reduced their net-long position in New York futures by 9.3 percent in the week ended March 23, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data . Speculative long positions, or bets prices will rise, outnumbered short positions by 155,463 contracts, down 15,890 contracts from a week earlier. Net-longs have dropped 23 percent since Feb. 2, the day after sugar reached the highest level since January 1981. The bullish wagers were up 19 percent from a year ago. “There’s still a very large speculative-long position in the market,” CPM’s Hansen said. “We need prices probably to fall further to see that washed out.” To contact the reporters on this story: Yi Tian in New York at ytian8@bloomberg.net ; Debarati Roy in New York at droy5@bloomberg.net

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Buffett Backs Toys Gone `Green’ as Parents Sniff Out Plastic at Wal-Mart

March 26, 2010

By Esmé E. Deprez March 26 (Bloomberg) — When Norma Ramos went to the Wal- Mart in North Bergen, New Jersey, last week to shop for her son’s birthday party, she passed over the plastic toys in favor of wooden ones with minimal paint. “Five years ago, I never paid attention,” said Ramos, 36, a mother of three who says she now smells toys to make sure they’re free of plastic odor. “Then I thought about what kind of environment my children’s children would grow up in.” Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Wham-O Inc. and Warren Buffett’s Garan Inc. are backing toys made from natural or recycled materials. As customers such as Ramos get choosier, sales of green toys may balloon to $1 billion, or as much as 5 percent of toy sales in the next five years, according to Earthsense , a Syracuse, New York-based environmental research firm. The heightened interest in green toys is a progression from the trend’s popularity in household cleaning and personal-care products, according to Catherine Fox-Simpson , a retail consultant at BDO Seidman. U.S. sales of natural and organic household cleaners grew 35 percent to $737 million in 2008, according to the Nutrition Business Journal . “Retailers are focused on going green because their consumers are focused on it,” said Fox-Simpson, who is based in Dallas. Paying a Premium While green toys account for less than 1 percent of the market, the number of products is growing, said Jim Silver, editor-in-chief of www.TimetoPlayMag.com. Researcher NPD Group, based in Port Washington, New York, estimated the toy industry’s 2009 retail sales at $21.5 billion. The growth of earth-friendly toys has been hampered by the higher prices that accompany sustainable manufacturing, or making products while using renewable resources, less energy and creating less waste, said Sean McGowan , a New York-based analyst at Needham & Co. “In any economic climate, the willingness to pay a premium to save the earth can be a tough sell,” McGowan said. With the U.S. unemployment rate at about 10 percent, “it’s even harder,” he said. Wal-Mart, the world’s largest retailer, may help change that. Shoppers are buying Garanimals blocks and puzzles made with wood from renewable forests, said Melissa O’Brien , a Wal- Mart spokeswoman. Garanimals toys are made by Garan, a unit of Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Also popular with customers now are plush animals made from recycled plastic bottles, a product from closely held Dan Dee International Ltd., in Jersey City, New Jersey, O’Brien said. Games, Modeling Dough As Wal-Mart makes a bigger push into green toys, the industry may have to respond. The chain is the biggest toy- seller, said Joseph Feldman , senior retail analyst at Telsey Advisory Group in New York. Based on the square footage devoted to toys in stores, he estimated that toy sales accounted for as much as 7 percent of Wal-Mart’s $258.2 billion in annual U.S. revenue last year. Amazon.com Inc. , the biggest online retailer, said it has seen increased demand for toys with a lighter environmental impact. Popular products include color-matching games made from bamboo and modeling dough made from rice flour and vegetable extracts, according to Sarah Wood, director of the company’s toy store. Both Amazon.com and Wal-Mart declined to provide sales figures. Mattel Inc. and Hasbro Inc., the two biggest U.S. toy companies, may produce eco-toys of their own to maintain shelf space at retailers, said Reyne Rice , a trend analyst at the New York-based Toy Industry Association. Frisbee-maker Wham-O Inc., based in Emeryville, California, bought Sprig Toys in February to add ecological products, and Rice said there will be more acquisitions in the industry. Sprigwood Fort Collins, Colorado-based Sprig was founded in 2007 by three former designers from Mattel around the time lead-paint toy scandals plagued larger manufacturers. Sprig makes paint- free toys from reclaimed wood and recycled plastic, a composite they call Sprigwood, and uses kinetic energy instead of batteries to power the toys’ lights and sounds. Wham-O, whose products are available at Wal-Mart, Target Corp. and Toys ‘R’ Us Inc., will sell Sprig toys in 4,000 stores this year, Sprig co-founder Justin Discoe said. In 2008, that number was 400. Sprig wouldn’t provide sales figures. Mattel has been working on reducing the size and amount of materials used in packaging and increasing the use of recycled content where possible, said Jules Andres , a spokeswoman for the El Segundo, California-based company. Hasbro, based in Pawtucket, Rhode Island, advertises similar strategies on its Web site and declined to comment further. Hampered Growth Wham-O will use its existing factories to make Sprig toys, which will reduce manufacturing costs beginning with the 2010 line, Discoe said. The average price of Sprig’s Captain Owen’s Dolphin Explorer Boat will fall to $19.99 in June from $29.99 last year. “Sprig’s ability to sell eco-friendly toys at prices comparable to ‘regular’ toys is a big deal,” said Needham’s McGowan. Ramos, whose search for birthday-party favors was only her third trip to Wal-Mart, said she has made up for the higher price of eco-friendly toys at specialty stores by purchasing fewer of them. “I’d tend to buy more if they were cheaper,” she said. “I’ll definitely come back to Wal-Mart now that I see what they have.” To contact the reporter on this story: Esmé E. Deprez in New York at edeprez@bloomberg.net

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Ad Summos Raises $3 Million

March 26, 2010

Ad Summos , a New York-based startup focused on helping “online publishers and marketers engage consumers of interest across the leading web destinations,” has raised $3.05 million in VC funding, according to a regulatory filing. Rich Levandov of Avalon Ventures is listed as a director. www.adsummos.com

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Wal-Mart Spurring Sustainable Toy Animals Into Billion-Dollar Green Market

March 26, 2010

By Esmé E. Deprez March 26 (Bloomberg) — When Norma Ramos went to the Wal- Mart in North Bergen, New Jersey, last week to shop for her son’s birthday party, she passed over the plastic toys in favor of wooden ones with minimal paint. “Five years ago, I never paid attention,” said Ramos, 36, a mother of three who says she now smells toys to make sure they’re free of plastic odor. “Then I thought about what kind of environment my children’s children would grow up in.” Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Wham-O Inc. and Warren Buffett’s Garan Inc. are backing toys made from natural or recycled materials. As customers such as Ramos get choosier, sales of green toys may balloon to $1 billion, or as much as 5 percent of toy sales in the next five years, according to Earthsense , a Syracuse, New York-based environmental research firm. The heightened interest in green toys is a progression from the trend’s popularity in household cleaning and personal-care products, according to Catherine Fox-Simpson , a retail consultant at BDO Seidman. U.S. sales of natural and organic household cleaners grew 35 percent to $737 million in 2008, according to the Nutrition Business Journal . “Retailers are focused on going green because their consumers are focused on it,” said Fox-Simpson, who is based in Dallas. Paying a Premium While green toys account for less than 1 percent of the market, the number of products is growing, said Jim Silver, editor-in-chief of www.TimetoPlayMag.com. Researcher NPD Group, based in Port Washington, New York, estimated the toy industry’s 2009 retail sales at $21.5 billion. The growth of earth-friendly toys has been hampered by the higher prices that accompany sustainable manufacturing, or making products while using renewable resources, less energy and creating less waste, said Sean McGowan , a New York-based analyst at Needham & Co. “In any economic climate, the willingness to pay a premium to save the earth can be a tough sell,” McGowan said. With the U.S. unemployment rate at about 10 percent, “it’s even harder,” he said. Wal-Mart, the world’s largest retailer, may help change that. Shoppers are buying Garanimals blocks and puzzles made with wood from renewable forests, said Melissa O’Brien , a Wal- Mart spokeswoman. Garanimals toys are made by Garan, a unit of Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Also popular with customers now are plush animals made from recycled plastic bottles, a product from closely held Dan Dee International Ltd., in Jersey City, New Jersey, O’Brien said. Games, Modeling Dough As Wal-Mart makes a bigger push into green toys, the industry may have to respond. The chain is the biggest toy- seller, said Joseph Feldman , senior retail analyst at Telsey Advisory Group in New York. Based on the square footage devoted to toys in stores, he estimated that toy sales accounted for as much as 7 percent of Wal-Mart’s $258.2 billion in annual U.S. revenue last year. Amazon.com Inc. , the biggest online retailer, said it has seen increased demand for toys with a lighter environmental impact. Popular products include color-matching games made from bamboo and modeling dough made from rice flour and vegetable extracts, according to Sarah Wood, director of the company’s toy store. Both Amazon.com and Wal-Mart declined to provide sales figures. Mattel Inc. and Hasbro Inc., the two biggest U.S. toy companies, may produce eco-toys of their own to maintain shelf space at retailers, said Reyne Rice , a trend analyst at the New York-based Toy Industry Association. Frisbee-maker Wham-O Inc., based in Emeryville, California, bought Sprig Toys in February to add ecological products, and Rice said there will be more acquisitions in the industry. Sprigwood Fort Collins, Colorado-based Sprig was founded in 2007 by three former designers from Mattel around the time lead-paint toy scandals plagued larger manufacturers. Sprig makes paint- free toys from reclaimed wood and recycled plastic, a composite they call Sprigwood, and uses kinetic energy instead of batteries to power the toys’ lights and sounds. Wham-O, whose products are available at Wal-Mart, Target Corp. and Toys ‘R’ Us Inc., will sell Sprig toys in 4,000 stores this year, Sprig co-founder Justin Discoe said. In 2008, that number was 400. Sprig wouldn’t provide sales figures. Mattel has been working on reducing the size and amount of materials used in packaging and increasing the use of recycled content where possible, said Jules Andres , a spokeswoman for the El Segundo, California-based company. Hasbro, based in Pawtucket, Rhode Island, advertises similar strategies on its Web site and declined to comment further. Hampered Growth Wham-O will use its existing factories to make Sprig toys, which will reduce manufacturing costs beginning with the 2010 line, Discoe said. The average price of Sprig’s Captain Owen’s Dolphin Explorer Boat will fall to $19.99 in June from $29.99 last year. “Sprig’s ability to sell eco-friendly toys at prices comparable to ‘regular’ toys is a big deal,” said Needham’s McGowan. Ramos, whose search for birthday-party favors was only her third trip to Wal-Mart, said she has made up for the higher price of eco-friendly toys at specialty stores by purchasing fewer of them. “I’d tend to buy more if they were cheaper,” she said. “I’ll definitely come back to Wal-Mart now that I see what they have.” To contact the reporter on this story: Esmé E. Deprez in New York at edeprez@bloomberg.net

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York Capital May Double Asian Hedge Fund Team in Next Two Years – BusinessWeek

March 25, 2010

York Capital May Double Asian Hedge Fund Team in Next Two Years BusinessWeek The New York-based hedge fund company founded by Jamie Dinan may expand its now seven-people Hong Kong office to the size of its London counterpart over the … and more

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